5* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Kings +

Most just assume the Kings were throwing in the towel after they traded away Cousins, but what they forget is that for as good as Cousins was, he had almost the same negative effect on the team with his attitude, which is why Sacramento continued to be one of the worst teams in the league. I think the Kings are going to surprise some people down the stretch and let's not forget they won their first game at home without Cousins 116-100 over the Nuggets as a 6.5-point dog.

The Timberwolves are in a horrible spot here, as they get read to play their 3rd game in 4 nights after an extremely up-tempo game at Houston that saw 272 combined points in a 130-142 defeat. I just don't see Minnesota being locked in for this one and that makes the Kings great value here as a decently priced home dog vs a T-Wolves squad that is 8-18 on the road this season.

Minnesota is 14-40 ATS in their last 56 after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game and 13-26 ATS in their last 39 off a road loss by 10 or more. Kings are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and 4-1-1 ATS last 6 off a double-digit loss at home. Take Sacramento!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Heat/Mavs UNDER

The fact that offenses are scoring at a ridiculous pace this season has forced oddsmakers to adjust the totals big time and I believe it creates some decent value when you get two teams like the Mavericks and Heat that aren't all that great offensively and still bring it on the defensive end of the floor. Dallas has especially been grinding games out of late. The Mavs have failed to eclipse 100 points in 4 straight and allowed 100 or less in their last 3.

Miami's offense has been playing well during their huge 2nd half surge, but I don't see them putting up a big number here on the road against this Mavs team. Not only will the Heat not being scoring as much as normal, they should be able to lockdown defensively on Dallas, who is scoring just 96.2 ppg over their last 5. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Lakers +

I like the value here with the Lakers as a double-digit home dog against the Spurs. LA is a young team that struggles with consistency, but have been a lot more competitive at home, where they are actually outscoring opponents on the season. I just feel the Lakers are getting zero respect here against the Spurs, who no one wants to go against when facing a team like LA. I think it's created great value in what I think could be a bit of a flat spot for San Antonio, as they finally finish up their lengthy rodeo road trip.

Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after covering the spread in their last game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Los Angeles!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Hawks/Magic OVER

I'm expecting a high-scoring affair tonight between the Hawks and Magic. Orlando traded away one of their best defensive players in Ibaka and were not good defensively to start with. The Magic come in having allowed 107 or more points in 7 straight games. They allowed the Blazers to shoot 50.6% from the field in their first game back from the break.

Atlanta only managed 90 points in their first game back last night at home against the Heat, but that came without starting point guard Dennis Schroder, who was serving a suspension. Atlanta has scored at least 110 points in each of the last 4 meetings in the series. Hawks haven't been playing great defense of late and I think Orlando does enough at home to push this well over the mark. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Suns/Bulls OVER

I'm not expecting a lot of defense to be on display when the Bulls host he Suns tonight. Chicago just traded away one of their better defensive players in Taj Gibson. That move also means the pulls are going to play more of a smaller lineup with a stretch 4 like Mirotic. That should help generate more offense, but will hurt the Bulls defensively and Phoenix is a team that can put the ball in the basket. The Suns come in averaging 106.9 ppg and don't have hardly any dropoff on the road (106.2 ppg).

Phoenix doesn't play defense, as they come in allowing 113.3 ppg on the road. They also just traded away one of their best defensive players in P.J. Tucker. The Suns final 4 games before the break all had a combined score of at least 212 points. That included a 115-97 win over the Bulls at home. That's the only time Phoenix has held an opponent under 100 points in their last 20 games. OVER is 12-4 in the Suns 16 games this season against teams that allow opponents to shoot 46 or better from the field. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Mavs/Wolves OVER

The books have set the bar too low for tonight's total between the Mavericks and Timberwolves. Minnesota is a team that likes to push the pace offensively and while their head coach preaches defense, they don't play a ton of it. The Timberwolves scored 106 or more points in 6 straight before the break and have allowed 100+ points in 14 of their last 16 games. Dallas isn't known for being an offensive team, but I believe they are trending in that direction with the move to release Deron Williams and give the point guard job to Yogi Ferrell.

I'm not expecting this to be in the 220's but I feel this number is way to low given that the average combined score in Minnesota home games is 210.7. OvER is 5-1 in the Mavs last 6 against the west and 20-7 in their last 27 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. OVER is also 5-0 in the T-Wolves last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record and 6-1 in their last 7 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Non Conference Game of the Month on Pacers +

I really like the value here with Indiana at basically a pick'em at home against the Grizzlies. The Pacers limped into the All-Star break with a 6-game losing streak and then had their best player rumored in multiple trades prior to yesterday's trade deadline. Some might view this as a negative, but I believe it's going to unite this team and have them playing inspired the rest of the way.

The biggest thing here is the Pacers just aren't getting enough respect for playing at home, where they are 20-10 SU on the season. Memphis does come in with a 16-13 road record, but they are just 11-22 ATS in their last 33 road games against a team with a wining record and a mere 3-16 ATS in road games against a marginal winning team like the Pacers with a win percentage between 51% to 60%. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Rockets -

I believe the Davis/Cousins combination is going to eventually turn the Pelicans into a serious threat in the West. The key word in that phrase is "eventually." It's easy to think the two superstars will instantly mesh, but that's just not how it works. You have to have chemistry to be successful in the NBA and it will especially take some time for these two big men to figure out how to compliment each other.

Not only does a trade like this cause problems on offense, but it really has a negative impact on their ability to communicate and lockdown defensively. That's the biggest problem I see for New Orleans in this game. The Rockets feature one of the most dynamic offenses in the game and know they can take advantage of the Pelicans in this one. Take Houston!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Blazers/Magic OVER

I really like the value we are getting here on the total in tonight's matchup between the Blazers and Magic. I have this one easily eclipsing the 220 mark and potentially getting to 230. I just don't see either of these teams being all that motivated to play defense coming out of the break, especially given how disappointing a season it's been for both of these teams.

On top of that, defense has been a major problem for both teams, as each ranks in the bottom 8 in defensive efficiency. Not to mention both teams have had some big moving pieces in trades. OVER is 11-2 in the Magic's last 13 home games against a team from the Northwest division and 11-3 in the Blazers last 14 road games after going under the total in their previous game. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Heavy Hitter on Bulls

I'm expecting an all out effort here from Chicago at home in a nationally televised game going into to the All-Star break. The Bulls have had their struggles, but they have shown the ability to step up their game at home against top level teams. That includes a 105-99 win over Boston at home earlier this season. As for the Celtics, this isn't a great spot. Boston just played an up-tempo game last night at home against the 76ers, which was their first home game after a 4-game west coast trip and now they are right back on the road. With the Celtics comfortably sitting in 2nd in the east, I just don't see them matching the intensity of Chicago in this one.

Boston is a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 following a win and 1-13 ATS in their last 14 after 4 or more consecutive wins. Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Chicago!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Heat/Rockets OVER

I look for a lot of offensive fireworks tonight when the Rockets host the Heat. These two recently played in Miami, with the Heat winning 109-103. Houston shot just 40% from the floor and the two teams still managed to combine for 212 points. Considering the Rockets are on 3-days rest and averaging 116.0 ppg at home this season, I think these two will have no problem making up the difference to push this over the mark. Miami has scored 105 or more points in 7 straight games.

OVER is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and a perfect 4-0 in Houston's last 4 when playing on 3 or more days rest. OVER is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Houston. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Spurs/Magic UNDER

I think the books have set the total too high for this one. San Antonio is playing on fumes right now, as this will be their 6th straight on the road, all of which coming since 2/6. I just don't see the Spurs looking to push the pace here. Their only focus is getting a win going into the All-Star break.

With Orlando likely playing short-handed, I look for the Spurs to try and put this game away early. Their defense should be able to make life miserable for the Magic. San Antonio has held 6 of their last 8 opponents under 100 points and Orland is only averaging 97.7 ppg at home. UNDER is 23-8 in the Spurs last 31 road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA ATS Heavy Hitter on Pacers +

I really like the value here with the Pacers catching a good sized number given the circumstances. Every team gets up for playing the Cavs and there's no question we are going to get the best Indiana has to offer in this one. The Pacers are not only going to be motivated to snap a 4-game losing streak, but they want to get revenge from a 117-132 loss at home to Cavs. While the Pacers are going to be locked in, I don't know that the same can be said about Cleveland.

Unlike Indiana, who has to play Washington tomorrow, this is the Cavs final game before the All-Star break. Cleveland has been desperate for some rest and will be coming into this one off tired legs. The Cavs just played a pretty fast-paced game last night in Minnesota, which they won 116-108. I just don't see Cleveland being all that interested here. Pacers are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and are 31-17 over the last 3 seasons in road games off a loss. Take Indiana!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bulls OVER

There's a lot of moving parts going on around this game, as the Raptors just made a trade for Serge Ibaka and the Bulls are expected to be without starters Wade and Butler, as well as reserves Mirotic and Zipser. All of this has this game feeling a bit like an exhibition game and I just don't see either team playing much defense in this one.

Chicago certainly hasn't been playing any of late. The Bulls have allowed 100 or more points in 9 straight games and given up 115 or more in each of their last 3. Given what Chicago has to work with and the Raptors ability to light it up offensively (109.1 ppg), I think Toronto is going to continue that streak. Not having Butler and Wade might seem like a huge loss for Chicago's offense, but it allows them to play at a little faster pace and gets some more 3-point shooters on the floor. You also have to take into consideration that Toronto will have a difficult time taking the Bulls seriously without their star players, so it's unlikely they are coming into this one looking to lock down defensively. OVER is 8-0 in the Bulls last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on Nuggets +

I like the value here with the Nuggets catching double-digits against the Warriors tonight. I just don't see Golden State being mentally all that interested in this contest. They played at Memphis on Friday, in a game where they had double-revenge from losing the first two against the Grizzlies this season, then they had the highly anticipated showdown against the Thunder on Saturday, which was Durant's first game back in OKC. Even with yesterday off, I see them coming out flate in what's their final road game before the All-Star break.

Denver on the other hand is going to treat this like it's the biggest game of their season. I'm not expecting them to win, but I'm confident they can keep it competitive. Warriors are just 3-12 ATS this season after 3 straight games where they hit 47% or more of their field goal attempts. Take Denver!

5* NBA Southeast Game of the Month on Magic/Heat OVER

I'm expecting a shootout in Miami when the Heat host the Magic tonight. Miami had their 13-game winning streak snapped in a 109-117 loss at Philadelphia on Saturday. It's exactly difficult to keep the momentum going from a long winning streak after it's snapped. On top of that, the Heat are returning home from a 4-game road trip. I just don't see the effort being their on the defensive side of the ball, especially against a bad team like the Magic.

Offensively the Heat should be able to continue to their recent surge. Miami has scored 100+ points in 12 straight games and are facing a Orlando defense that has allowed 112 or more in each of their last 4 and are giving up 109 ppg on the road this season. OVER is 8-1 in the Magic's last 9 road games after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 and 12-4 in their last 16 after giving up 60+ points at the half of their last game. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Raptors -

I like the Raptors to not only win but to win big at home against the Pistons. Toronto has gone just 4-9 in their last 13 games, which is an uncharacteristic run for what most consider one of the elite teams in the east. The thing is, Toronto played a number of those games without one of their best players in DeRozan and the majority came on the road. The Raptors come into this contest as healthy as they have been in a while and fresh off 3 days of rest.

I look for Toronto to come out looking to make a statement here and the Pistons are definitely a team they can beat by double-digits. In fact, they already beat them by 18 at home earlier this season. Detroit is only 9-18 SU and 10-17 ATS on the road. Pistons are also just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 60 or more points in the 1st half of their last game and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after playing their last game against a team from the west. Take Toronto!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Jazz -

I like the value here with the Jazz laying what I feel is a short number given how bad a spot this is for the Celtics. Boston is playing their 3rd straight road game on the west coast in a span of just 4 days. They started out with a loss at Sacramento then had to rally for a win at Portland. I just don't see them having enough left in the tank to keep up with the Jazz in the thin air of Utah.

Celtics beat the Blazers 120-111 in their last game and that's important to note, as Boston is a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game. The Jazz are 35-19 ATS in their last 54 after 3 straight games with a combined score of 205 or more and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take Utah!

4* NBA Big Money ATS Blowout on Hornets -

I really like this spot for the Hornets at home against the Clippers. Los Angeles is just 3-7 since Chris Paul tore a ligament in his thumb and their only two wins have come against the likes of the Suns and Knicks. Now I now Charlotte hasn't been playing great of late, but the schedule hasn't done them in any favors. This is a great spot for them to turn things around. LA can't have a whole lot left in the tank here, as they are playing their 4th straight on the road, all on the east coast.

The Hornets are a respectable 16-11 at home this season and LA is a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. Clippers are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the Eastern Conference and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 after a combined score of 205 or more in 3 straight games. Take Charlotte!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Annihilator on Hawks -

I like the value here with the Hawks as a short road favorite against the Kings. Atlanta comes in off a 117-106 win over the Nuggets and are playing the much better basketball. The Hawks have actually been rock solid on the road, where they are 15-11 on the season. Sacramento on the other hand is just 10-15 at home and are primed for a letdown after a 108-92 blowout win over the Celtics. A win that came with Cousins. While he will be back for this one, Atlanta has someone who can matchup with him in Howard.

Kings come in shooting the ball well, but are 0-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons after 3 straight games where they shot 47% or better from the field. Sacramento is also just 5-14 ATS this season off a win and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a win by more than 10 points. Hawks are 10-4 ATS last 14 road games and 5-0 ATS last 5 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Atlanta!

4* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker on Pelicans +

I expect the public to be all over the Timberwolves in this one, but I think the Pelicans are the play. Minnesota is still trying to figure out how to cope with the loss of Zach LaVine and incorporate their new addition of Lance Stephenson. The Timberwolves were able to knock off the Raptors 112-109 in their last game, but had lost 4 straight prior to that and continue to struggle on the defensive end. Minnesota has allowed 100+ points in 12 straight games.

New Orleans is primed for a big time effort here after an ugly 33-point loss to the Jazz at home and while they are just 1-5 in their last 6, the schedule has been brutal of late. Note that these two teams played earlier this season and the Pelicans cruised to a 117-96 win, shooting over 54% from the field, while the Wolves were under 40%. Minnesota is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games after scoring 110 or more in their previous game and a mere 8-17 ATS as a favorite this season. Take New Orleans!

5* NBA No Limit Heavy Hitter Top Play on Wizards -

I like the value here with the Wizards laying a relatively short number at home against the Pacers. Washington was on an absolute roll before losing in OT to the Cavs at home. No surprise, they didn't play their best game after that crushing loss, but they still managed to win at Brooklyn. I look for Washington to return to form here against the Pacers, who are primed for a letdown after a crushing 117-132 loss at home to Cleveland, which snapped their 7-game winning streak.

Indiana hasn't exactly been great on the road this season, as the Pacers are just 9-16 away from home. Washington on the other hand has been lights out at home. They had won 17 straight prior to the loss to the Cavs and are 22-7 at home on the season.

Pacers are just 3-15 ATS in their last 18 road games after scoring 110 or more in their previous game, while the Wizards are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a home favorite of 6 or less. Take Washington!

5* NBA Late Night Vegas Insider Top Play on Celtics +

Boston laid an egg in Sacramento last night, losing 82-108 as a 8.5-point favorite against a Kings team that was minus their best player in Boogie Cousins. Those performances are going to happen over an NBA season. The key here is that elite teams like the Celtics almost always bounce back after an ugly showing like that. I expect a completely different Boston team to show up tonight, especially with this game being a nationally televised contest on TNT.

This year's Blazers team still gets respect for how good they were a year ago, especially when playing at home, but the truth is they just aren't very good. Portland is only 14-11 SU at home on the season, which is the exact same record the Celtics have on the road. No rest for the Celtics has been no problem, as they are 42-17-1 ATS in their last 60 when playing on 0 days rest. They are also 9-3-2 ATS last 14 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Boston!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Heat/Bucks OVER

I think this total is a good 10-points lower than what it should be. The Heat are playing at a different level right now than they were just a few weeks ago. Miami only averages 100.7 ppg on the season, but have scored 100 or more in 9 straight games, eclipsing 115 points in each of their last 3. That trend doesn't figure to come to an end against a Bucks team that has allowed 100+ in 17 straight games and is mixing up the rotation with three new faces tonight.

While Miami figures to have no problem surpassing the 100-point mark, I think the Bucks could really light up the scoreboard here. The Heat are not the same team defensively on the road and the Bucks are locked in offensively right now. After putting up 117 at Denver, the hung 137 on the Suns the next night. These two played in Miami on 1/13 and combined for 224 points and I think we will see a similar type of output tonight. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Magic/Rockets OVER

I don't think the books have set the total high enough for tonight's showdown between the Rockets and Magic. On one side you have one the most dynamic and efficient offenses in the league in the Rockets and on the other you have one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA in the Magic, Houston is averaging 114.8 ppg at home and the Magic are giving up 108.2 ppg on the road. The Rockets should score close to 120-125 on their own, which means we just need an average offense night from the Magic to push this over the total.

I believe we will get at least that from Orlando and maybe some more. Given how bad the Magic have been this year and are playing at the moment, this isn't a game where the Rockets are going to choose to use up a ton of energy on the defensive side of the ball. OVER is 6-2 in the Rockets last 8 games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 7-0 in the Magic's last 7 road games after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Lakers/Knicks OVER

These two teams played back in December and combined for 230 points in a 118-112 Knicks win. I think we are going to see a similar scoring output here. Both of these teams have the ability to put up a lot of points and each rank in the top half of the league in pace. Each also come into this game in good form. Lakers have scored at least 107 in each of their last 3 and the Knicks are averaging 109.8 ppg over their last 5.

The big key here is that neither of these teams play much defense. In fact, both rank in the bottom 7 of the league in defensive efficiency. Lakers have allowed 113 or more in each of their last 3 games and the Knicks have allowed 100+ in 11 of their last 12. Add in this being a game played on Monday, where players just aren't always locked in and I think there's going to be zero defense played in this one. OVER is 13-4 in the Lakers last 17 road games when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

I really like the value here with the Pacers as a short home favorite against the Thunder on Monday. Indiana is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They come in having won 6 straight and are 13-4 in their last 17 overall. On top of that they are one of the best in the league at home, where they are 19-6 on the season.

OKC continues to get a lot of respect from the books because of all the attention that's been given to Westbrook, but this is a pretty average team that I think is starting to wear down. This is definitely a tough spot for the Thunder, who will be playing on no rest and 3rd in the last 4 overall. OKC is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games against the Central division. Take Indiana!

5* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month on Cavs/Wizards UNDER

I really like the value here with the total and this one going under the mark set by the books. This is a big time game. Cleveland is the team to beat in the Eastern Conference and the Wizards are playing as well as anyone right now. Washington is 14-2 over their last 16 and have won 17 straight at home. The Cavs are well aware of this and I expect them to try a send a massage to the Wizards, especially with this being a nationally televised prime time game on TNT.

The defensive numbers for Cleveland aren't great, but this is a team that can get after it on that side of the ball when they want to. They also have been playing much better on that side of the ball of late, allowing just 99.0 ppg over their last 4. Washington's defense has also been solid of late, giving up just 96.0 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 14-4 in Cleveland's last 18 as a road dog. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Clippers +

I like the value here with Los Angeles as a decently priced road dog against the Celtics on Super Bowl Sunday. The Clippers are a bit undervalued right now, as they have had to play two of their last 3 against the Warriors. LA was competitive in either game against Golden State, but that's to be expected without Chris Paul. Boston is another quality team, but no where close to the level of the Warriors.

I think we get a motivated and desperate Clippers team this afternoon. Not only do they want to get back to winning, but anytime their head coach goes up against his former team it means a little something extra. Note that Los Angeles is 5-1 in the series since Rivers left Boston for LA with the only loss by 5-points. Clippers are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 after a double-digit loss at home, while Boston is only 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after 4 or more consecutive wins. Take Los Angeles!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Kings +

I think the value here is clearly with the Kings as a massive home dog against the Warriors. Golden State is the best team in the league, but I just don't see them being all the interested in this one, as they get to return home an enjoy a 3-day break after this contest. Sacramento is going to treat this one like a Game 7 at home and are certainly capable of keeping it close. The Warriors really don't have an answer inside for Cousins. Look for him to have a big game here and for the Kings to keep this closer than people expect.

Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games, while the Warriors are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a losing record and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take Sacramento!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Pistons/Pacers UNDER

I think we are getting some great value here on the UNDER in the total for tonight's game between the Pistons and Pacers. Both teams are coming off a win last night where they scored 100+ points. The thing is, the offense figures to be down a notch for both sides playing on no rest, and this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. On top of that, we have two division rivals, who are both playing well at the moment and desperately want a win here.

UNDER is 31-17 in the Pistons last 48 road games after playing their previous game against a team from the western conference. UNDER is also 29-9 in the Pacers last 38 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and 20-9 in their last 29 at home after a game where they covered the spread. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker on Suns +

I like the value here with Phoenix as a road dog against the Kings. Sacramento will be playing for the first time since finishing up a grueling 8-game road trip that spanned just 12 days. So while they have had 2 days off since losing 83-105 at Houston, I look for them to be dealing with jetlag and a lack of motivation against a bad Phoenix team. Especially given they have a much bigger home game on deck against the Warriors tomorrow.

The Suns have lost 5 straight, but I like what I have seen from this team in those losses and think they are a great bet going forward. This is also a great matchup for Phoenix, as the Kings have struggled to guard the perimeter and that's clearly the strength of the Suns on the offensive side of the ball. Suns are also 31-19 ATS in their last 50 off a loss by 10 or more and the Kings are just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take Phoenix!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Total Top Play on Mavs/Blazers OVER

I believe the books have set the bar way too low for tonight's total between the Blazers and Mavericks. A big reason for the small total is the fact that the Mavericks are one of the worst offensive teams statistically at just 97.4 ppg. However, those numbers don't reflect how Dallas is playing right now. The Mavs are averaging 104.6 ppg over their last 5 and fresh off a 113-pt outburst against the 76ers.

Portland is a dynamic offensive team that comes in averaging 107.8 ppg on the season and is even better than that right now, putting up 114.0 ppg over their last 5. Defense has been the problem for the Blazers, as they are allowing 110.0 ppg. I see both teams easily eclipsing the 100-point mark and see this one finishing around the 215-210 range. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

Indiana is finally playing like the team everyone expected to see to start the season and I look for them to have no problem blowing out the Nets on the road tonight. The Pacers have won 4 straight and are 11-4 in their last 15 overall. Brooklyn on the other hand is playing horrible basketball right now. The Nets have lost 7 straight and are 1-18 over their last 19 overall. Of those 18 defeats, 15 came by 7 or more points.

Indiana did lose at Brooklyn back in October, but haven't messed around in the two meetings since, beating the Nets 118-97 and 121-109. I see a very similar type of score here, as Brooklyn is a tired team and haven't performed in this situation. The Nets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when playing 8 or more games in a 14 day stretch. Take Indiana!

5* NBA Prime Time  (TNT) Game of the Week on Rockets -

I know this look like a big number to lay on Houston, but I think the Rockets are poised to blowout the Hawks at home. Atlanta hasn't been playing well of late. They are just 2-3 in their last 5 and could easily be on 5-game skid, as they stole a 119-114 win at Chicago (trailed by double-digits with like 3 mins to go) and escaped with a 4-OT win at home over a struggling Knicks team 142-139. Atlanta also comes in on no rest after a 93-116 loss at Miami last night and I just don't think this team has the legs or confidence to keep pace with the Rockets.

Houston will be out to make a statement here. One because they want to send a message to Dwight Howard and the other to get revenge from an ugly 97-112 loss at Atlanta in November. Rockets are 15-6 when revenging a loss to an opponent this season and 16-6 ATS after playing their previous game at home. Take Houston!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Mavericks -

I believe this is going to be a tough spot for the 76ers, who will once again be without their best player in Embiid. While Philadelphia has played well without him on the floor, they are no where close to the same team, especially on the road. The 76ers are only 6-14 at home on the season and in their last road game (without Embiid) they lost by 13 to a Bulls team that was on a free fall.

Dallas has been playing much better of late and I see no reason why not to ride their hot play. The Mavericks have won 4 of their last 5 and are 7-3 in their last 10. They just recently won at San Antonio and then beat Cleveland at home in back-to-back games. I don't see any letdown here from the Mavs. Take Dallas!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Celtics -

I really like the value here with Boston at home against the Raptors. This is a key game for these two division rivals and right now just 1/2-game separates them. The key here is this is a really bad spot for the Raptors. Toronto is playing on no rest after a grueling 108-106 overtime game last night against the Pelicans, which saw Kyle Lowry log 45 minutes and all 5 starters with 30+. On top of that, they are short-handed right now with DeMar DeRozan sidelined.

Boston isn't going to care who the Raptors are paying, as they will be out for revenge. Toronto has already beat the Celtics twice this season, including a 101-94 win at Boston. I don't see that happening here, as the Celtics are playing very well right now, as they have won 4 straight and will be the much fresher team after a day off and no travel. Celtics are 31-16 ATS in their last 47 after a game where they made 12 or more 3-pointers and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games after a win by 6 or less. Take Boston!

4* NBA Late Night Total No Brainer on Hornets/Blazers OVER

I think we are getting some great value on the total going over the mark in tonight's matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. Portland likes to get up and down the floor and should be able to dictate the tempo at home, where they are averaging 108.9 ppg and allowing 107.8 ppg. I don't see Charlotte having any problem playing at the Blazers pace, as the Hornets come in off 2 days of rest and are putting up 104.8 ppg on the road this season. Charlotte's defensive woes are a big reason they are 23-25 and they come in allowing 106.0 ppg on the road. I see both teams easily getting past the 100-point mark and believe it will end up somewhere in the 220's.

OVER is 22-8 in the Hornets last 30 road games after playing their previous game at home, 14-6 in the Blazers last 20 after going under the total in their last game and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Kings/Rockets OVER

This might seem like a high total for tonight's matchup between the Kings and Rockets, but I don't see either team putting forth much effort on the defensive side of the ball in this one. Sacramento is playing on no rest, their 4th game in 5 nights and 8th straight on the road in a 12-day span. While the Rockets had yesterday off, they are dealing with jetlag after just returning home from a 5-game east coast trip.

On top of that, these two teams aren't exactly known for their defense and each is giving up a lot here of late. In fact, the Kings are allowing 111.8 ppg over their last 5 and the Rockets are allowing 116.0 ppg. At the same time, both offenses are scoring at will. Sacramento is averaging 112.8 ppg over their last 5 and Houston is even better at 113.2 ppg. Note that the Rockets average 115.3 ppg at home. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Late Night Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Suns OVER

I really like the value here with the total in Monday's matchup between the Suns and Grizzlies. The game is being played in Phoenix and I look for the Suns to dictate the tempo here against a Memphis team that has to be tired, playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights.

The Grizzlies are thought of as a great defensive team, but I don't see the effort being there tonight and they are giving up 104.4 ppg on the road this season. Offensively, Memphis is better than people think and have scored 100+ in 7 of their last 8. Phoenix has scored and allowed at least 100 points in 10 straight games. Only once in those 10 games did they fail to combine for at least 210 points. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Nets +

I really like the value here with the Nets as a near double-digit dog against the Heat. I know Miami has won 7 straight, which includes a 109-106 win at Brooklyn, where they covered as a 2.5-point favorite. The thing is, the Nets blew an 18-point lead in that game. I'm just not buying the Heat being a team that deserves to be laying this many points against any team. Add in that last meeting against Brooklyn was just last week, revenge is going to be fresh in the minds of the Nets. Too much value to pass up on the Nets in this one. Take Brooklyn!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Bulls -

There's been a lot of negative with the Bulls of late, but the team held a players meeting on Friday to straighten things out. I'm expecting one of Chicago's best performances of the season tonight against the 76ers. Philadelphia has been playing lights out of late, but will be without their heart and soul in Embiid. On top of that, the 76ers are running on fumes right now. This will be their 6th games in the last 10 days and they have to turn around and play against to tomorrow.

76ers are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 road games after playing their previous game at home and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after 3 straight games with a combined score of 20 or more. Bulls are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games after allowing 100 or more in 2 straight games. Take Chicago!

4* NBA Heavy Hitter ATS Blowout on Suns -

I really like the value here with Phoenix as a short home favorite against the Nuggets. These two teams just played on Thursday in Denver, which the Nuggets squeaked out 127-120. That has the Suns in prime position to get revenge with this meeting coming on their home court. At the same time, the Nuggets will be without a key player here, as Jokic was injured in that win over the Suns and won't be available. Denver also figures to be without Mudiay for this one.

Suns are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 home games off a SU loss and 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Take Phoenix!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Kings/Hornets UNDER

My money is on the Kings and Hornets to go under the mark set by the books on Saturday. Neither team is going to be looking to push the pace here. The Kings have to be running on fumes right now. Sacramento is playing their 6th straight road game in a span of just 9 days and this one comes on no rest after an overtime loss at Indiana last night. The Hornets haven't had to deal with as much travel, but are also playing for the 6th time in 9 days and on no rest after an ugly loss last night at New York. I look for both teams to come out flat and both offenses to struggle to score enough to push this over the mark.

UNDER is 4-1 in the Kings last 5 when playing on no rest, 6-2 in their last 8 after a SU loss and 11-5 in their last 16 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 7-1 in the Hornets last 8 overall, 4-1 in their last 5 off a SU loss and 5-0 in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Nets/Cavs OVER

I'm expecting a lot of points on the scoreboard in this one. Cleveland failed to win after LeBron called out ownership, losing in overtime at home to the Kings. The problem was the defense and I just don't see the Cavs being locked in on that side of the ball here. Cleveland is playing on fumes right now and aren't going to waste up their energy with a much bigger home game on deck Sunday against the Thunder.

Cleveland hasn't had any problem scoring of late, as they ahve put up 112 or more in each of their last 4 games. There's a good chance that trend continues against the Nets, who are allowing a ridiculous 117.3 ppg on the road this season. Brooklyn likes to play at a fast pace and that should allow them to take advantage of this tired Cleveland defense and do enough here to push it over the mark. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Situational Vegas Insider Top Play on Hornets -

I look for the Hornets to take care of the Knicks tonight. Charlotte comes in off back-to-back losses. The last one was a hard fought defeat at home to the Warriors. The other was against the Wizards, who are playing as well as anyone right now. I believe it has the Hornets in a prime bounce back spot against a Knicks team that has lost its way.

New York has gone 4-14 over their last 18 games and the trade rumors with Melo aren't going to help turn this around. That's more of a sign that the team is throwing in the towel on this season. New York is just 13-26 ATS in their last 39 as a home underdog of 6 or less and the road team has gone 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in the series. Take Charlotte! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pacers -

I like the value here with Indiana as a short home favorite against the Kings. The Pacers snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 109-103 win at Minnesota last night and I look for them to carry over that momentum tonight at home where they are 16-6 on the season. These two teams recently met in Sacramento and the Pacers turned a 19-point deficit into a 6-point victory. I just don't think the Kings will have much of an answer here, as they are primed for a letdown after that improbably overtime win at Cleveland, plus this is now their 5th straight game on the road.

Kings are just 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games when revenging a home loss, 3-12 in their last 15 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Mavs/Thunder UNDER

I'm expecting a low-scoring game here when the Thunder host the Mavericks tonight. Both of these teams are running on fumes right now. Dallas will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and will have to so without several key pieces. Wesley Matthews, Deron Williams, Dirk Nowitzki and Jose Barea are all out for this contest. As for the Thunder, they too are playing on no rest, plus are going to be dealing with some jetlag after just wrapping up a lengthy 6-game road trip. Neither team is going to be looking to push the pace here and the shots from long distance won't be falling like they normally would. Not to mention, Dallas knows they can't run up and down the floor with OKC and will really try to slow this game to a snails pace.

UNDER is 10-1 in the Mavericks last 11 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game, 12-3 in their last 15 games on Thursday and 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. UNDER is also 6-2 in OKC's last 8 after a win and 12-3 in their last 15 home games when playing 4 or less games in days. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on OVER

I'm expecting a much-higher scoring game than what most will anticipate tonight when the Mavericks host the Knicks. Dallas is known as a team that is limited offensively and likes to play at a slow pace. While that's true to an extent, you have to look at who they are playing and the current form.

While the Mavs are averaging just 96.6 ppg on the season, they come in scoring 104.2 ppg over their last 5, shooting just under 47% from the field as a team. Good chance they keep it rolling against a Knicks team that is allowing 107.4 ppg over their last 5 and 110.3 ppg on the road. Knicks are more than capable of keeping pace offensively, as they average 105.6 ppg on the season and are scoring 109.6 ppg over their last 5.

OVER is 42-18 in the Mavs last 60 home games off a home win by 20 or more points and a perfect 7-0 in the Knicks last 7 off a road win. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Bucks -

The 76ers added to their incredible run of late with a 121-110 win at home over the Clippers last night, spoiling the return of Blake Griffin. That's now 9 wins in 12 games for Philadelphia. While I think this will continue to be a good team to back going forward, this spot is not one of them. The 76ers are playing on no rest, plus it will be their 4th game in the last 6 days overall. They won't have Joel Embiid for this contest and Jahlil Okafor is questionable. It reminds me a lot of their last road game, where they got crushed by 17 at Atlanta.

Milwaukee isn't going to take the 76ers lightly, as they come into this game 1-5 over their last 6. Though they did get a big win last time out in a 127-114 win at home over the Rockets. That's the kind of win you can build on. Another reason the Bucks won't overlook Philadelphia, is they just lost at home to the 76ers 104-113 back on 1/16. Keep in mind they were only a 8.5-favorite that time, so the books see this as a much bigger mismatch. 76ers are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after a contest where both teams scored 100+ and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when playing on 0 days rest. Take Milwaukee!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Cavs -

Whenever LeBron James makes a public statement bashing the play of his team, chances are I'm going to be on them the next time out. Cleveland has clearly not played well of late, but I believe the bleeding stops here, at least for this game. James is going to be sure to back up his words with a strong showing and the rest of the team is going to play their hearts out here.

That should be more than enough for the Cavs to turn this into a blowout against the Kings. Sacramento is as inconsistent as they come and figure to be running on fumes right now. This is the Kings 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 6 days. They made their trip to Cleveland around the same time last year and lost by 20 and that was without James calling out his teammates. It's also worth noting the Cavs won at Sacramento 120-108 back on 1/13 and the Kings are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games when revenging a home loss. Take the Cleveland!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Heavy Hitter on Wolves +

I like the value here with the Timberwolves as a short road favorite here. Minnesota has had their way with the Suns in each of the first two meetings this season. They won by 13 at Phoenix on 11/25 and 7 at home on 12/19. The Suns come into this one off back-to-back wins over the Knicks and Raptors and I think it has them getting a little bit too much love here against a team they clearly don't matchup well with.

Everyone knows the Timberwolves are a talented young team, but haven't been able to play up to their potential. I think they are starting to get it figured out under Thibs and they come in ahving gone 5-2 SU in their last 7 and have covered the number in 6 of their last 8 games. Minnesota is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games after a combined score of 215 or more and the Suns are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Take Minnesota!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Wizards +

If you follow the NBA closely, you know these two teams don't like each other. So while the Wizards are going to be playing on no rest after last night's 109-99 win at Charlotte, I don't think it's going have a negative impact on their play here. Especially given that Washington will be out for revenge from a 108-117 loss at Boston back on 1/11. Keep in mind the Wizards won the first meeting this year 118-93 at home.

Washington comes into this one having won 10 straight at home and have covered the spread in 6 straight games. That's a sign of a team that's not getting the respect it deserves and for the Wizards it's because of how bad they started out this season. The Celtics aren't exactly in prime form, as they come in having lost 2 straight at home and will be without a key piece in Avery Bradley.

Celtics are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game, while Washington is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home with a total of 210 or more and 10-2 in their last 12 at home when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more. Take Washington!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Heat +

All the talk is on the Warriors and their recent run, but I think Golden State struggles to blowout the Heat tonight. The Warriors will be playing on no rest and their 3rd game in the last 4 nights overall. Sure they won by 20 over the Magic yesterday, but they couldn't miss from long-distance. They made 19 threes and shot 45.2% from behind the 3-point line. Not to mention the Magic are a mess right now.

Miami comes in having won 3 straight and none more impressive during this stretch than a 109-103 win at home over the Rockets as a 7-point dog. The Heat held the high-powered Rockets to just 40% shooting. I'm not expecting an outright win here for Miami, but I think this line is inflated to the point that there's simply too much value on the Heat to pass up. Take Miami!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Spurs/Nets OVER

I don't think the books have set the bar high enough for tonight's total between the Spurs and Nets. Brooklyn is a bad team, but their ability to put up points combined with their inability to play defense, makes them a great team to back on the OVER. The Nets come in averaging 106.2 ppg , while allowing 114.9 ppg. The Spurs can make great defenses look average and should have no problem scoring at will here against Brooklyn. San Antonio is averaging 108.1 ppg on the road this season and scored 130 on the Nets in the first meeting this season.

OVER is 12-4 in the Spurs last 16 after 3 or more consecutive wins  and 13-3 in their last 16 after shooting 50% or better from the field in each of their last 3 games. OVER is 13-4 in the Nets Last 17 non-conference games and 23-9 in their last 32 when they come in having failed to cover the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Take the OVER!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Timberwolves -

I really like the value here with Minnesota laying a short number at home against the Nuggets. The Timberwolves are slowing starting to turn the corner and have been a covering machine here of late. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 and 14-6 ATS in their last 20.

The Nuggets have also been playing well, but are getting a little too much respect here after a blowout win at home over the Clippers, who are minus their two best players. The big key here is that Denver is now playing on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in the last 4 nights overall.

The Timberwolves will be out for double-revenge here. They lost 99-102 at home on 11/3 and then 103-105 at Denver on 12/28. I don't see them losing another close and I think this could get ugly. Take Minnesota!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Bucks +

I know Milwaukee is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but I just feel the books have over-adjusted on this line. I look for the Bucks to have no problem here against a Heat team that is a mere 13-30 overall this season. The big key here is Miami could have a hard time getting up for this one, as they are set to host the Warriors on Monday. It's also worth pointing out that the Bucks are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series.

We also find a strong system in play backing the Bucks. Road underdogs that have allowed 105 or more in 3 straight games against an opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 33-4 (89%) against the spread over the last 5 seasons. Take Milwaukee!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Blazers/Celtics OVER

I like the value here with the total, as I'm expecting a shootout in Boston tonight. The Celtics have been scoring at will on the offensive end of late, as they have scored 100+ in 16 straight games. Hard to image that streak coming to an end against Portland. The Blazers are giving up 112.0 ppg on the road this season. Boston also figures to push the pace here coming off a 2-day break. I think the Celtics are going to hit 220 or more and the Blazers should be able to get at least 100. Boston has allowed 100 or more in 14 of their last 15 games.

OVER is 22-13 in the Blazers last 35 with a total of 210 or more and 16-5 in the Celtics last 21 home games after a game where both teams scored 105 or more points. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

I like the value here with Indiana laying a short number on the road against the Lakers. These two teams are headed in completely different directions. The Pacers are finally starting to play up to their potential, as they are 7-1 in their last 8. The only loss coming in their game in London. Last time out they erased a 20+ point deficit in a 106-100 win at Sacramento and that's the kind of win that you can build off of.

As for the Lakers, they have lost 5 straight and are a mere 5-21 in their last 26, which came after their surprising 10-10 start to the season. Indiana is the more talented team and playing the better basketball and we know we will get a big effort from the Pacers with this game being televised on ESPN. Indiana's road record on the season isn't great, but the Lakers are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on 76ers +2

I like the value here with Philadelphia as a small home dog against the Blazers. Philadelphia is starting to turn things around behind the outstanding play of big man Joel Embidd. The 76ers have won 2 straight and 7 of their last 9 overall. The only losses comes at Boston and Washington. Last time out they knocked off the Raptors 94-89 at home. Most just point to that being a bad game for Toronto, but a lot of it has to do with how this Philadelphia team is playing. For the first time in a long time, they believe they can win.

The things is the books are going to be slow to adjust their lines, as it's going to take the public more than just a 9-game stretch to start trusting this team. I like their chances of winning here at home against a Blazers team that is playing with zero confidence and have struggled to the tune of a 7-17 record on the road.

76ers are 23-14 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 overall. Take Philadelphia!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Game of the Month on Raptors +1.5

I like the value here with the Raptors as a small road dog against the Hornets. Toronto is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after ending their 4-game winning streak with a 89-94 loss at Philadelphia. Charlotte on the other hand is getting a lot of love here after a 107-85 blowout win over the Blazers at home. Beating Portland by 20+ at home isn't anything to get overly excited about with the way the Blazers have struggled on the road this season. Let's not forget this Hornets team had lost their previous 5 games.

Toronto has lost consecutive games just 4 times this season. The common factor in all 4 is the second loss came when the Raptors were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. That's not the case here tonight and I look for Toronto to find a way to win this one. Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after a SU loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 off a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Toronto!

5* NBA No Limit Top Play on Knicks +

I like the value here with New York as a home dog against the Wizards. New York is coming off their best game in quite some time, as they went on the road an upset the Celtics 117-106 as a 8.5-point dog last night. The thing is, this team is still getting zero respect because of how bad they have been of late (3-11 L14). Washington also come in off a win last night over Memphis and have won 3 straight overall, but all 3 wins came at home. I look for the Wizards to struggle here in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set on the road, especially when you factor in that Washington is just 4-13 away from home on the season.

Wizards are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 off a close win by 3 points or less, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 0 days rest. Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games after a division game last time out. Take New York!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Kings -

I like the value here with the Kings laying a short number at home against the Pacers. Sacramento is just 1-5 in their last 6, but are primed for a big effort here and will finally have some fresh legs playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days.

The big key here is the Pacers just aren't a good road team. Indiana has a winning overall record at 21-19, but are a mere 5-14 on the road and this is a long way from Indiana. Not to mention the Pacers are probably still filling the hangover effect from their trip to London last week.

Pacers are a mere 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after a SU win, while the Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after playing a game as a home dog and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 off a SU loss. Take Sacramento!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Blazers/Hornets OVER

I don't think the books have set the total high enough for Wednesday's non-conference clash between the Blazers and Hornets. Neither of these teams are playing much defense right now. The Blazers are giving up 110.7 ppg on the season and 113.0 ppg on the road. Don't see a big effort on defense from Portland in this one. Charlotte has been even worse defensively of late, as they have allowed 100+ in 8 straight games and have allowed 110 or more in 5 of those. Portland can score the basketball, as they average 107.9 ppg overall and 107.1 ppg on the road.

OVER is 13-5 in the Blazers last 18 road games with a total of 210 or more and 13-4 in the Hornets last 17 after going under the total in their previous game. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Mavs/Bulls UNDER

I'm expecting a very low-scoring game here when the Bulls host the Mavericks on Tuesday. Neither of these two teams like to play at a very fast pace. Chicago ranks 23rd in pace and Dallas is tied for last in pace with Utah. The big key here is the Bulls are going to be out for revenge from an ugly 82-107 loss at Dallas earlier this season. That's going to have Chicago locked in on the defensive side of the ball and this team can get after you defensively when they want to. More than anything, I just don't see enough possessions here for this one to reach 200, especially when you factor in both of these teams rank in the bottom of the league in offensive efficiency.

UNDER is 31-15 in the Bulls last 46 when revenging a loss where they allowed 100 or more points, 8-3 in their last 11 home games and 8-1 in their last 9 at home against a team with a losing road record. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Mavs last 10 following a cover, 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 7-0 in their last 7 games when playing on 1 day of rest. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Jazz -

I think we are getting some decent value here with the Jazz on the road laying a relatively short number against the Suns. Utah is starting to play well, as they finally have most of their key pieces in place. The Jazz have won 3 straight and are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. I really like how they matchup with the Suns, who aren't a great team to start with and don't play any defense. Utah on the other hand is a dominant defensive team. The Jazz are allowing just 94.8 ppg, while the Suns are giving up 111.8 ppg. 

Phoenix comes in off a surprising 108-105 win over the Spurs as a 12.5-point dog and that sets them up in a great spot to fade. The Suns are just 1-12 ATS in their last 13 off a win by 6 or less. Utah is 18-7 ATS in their last 25 as a road favorite and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games against a team that has a losing road record. Take Utah! 

4* Blazers/Wizards NBA ATS No Brainer on Wizards -

I like the value here with Washington laying a short number at home against the Blazers. The Wizards have been playing much better of late and have been a tough out all season at home, where they are 16-6. Portland on the other hand is a team that doesn't play well on the road. The Blazers are just 7-15 SU and 9-13 ATS on the road this year. 

Washington is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games against a bad defensive team that's allowing 99+ points/game  and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams who average 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Blazers are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Washington! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Bucks/Hawks UNDER

The books have created some great value here with this high number on the total for Sunday's game between the Bucks and Hawks. Atlanta's defense is trending up, as they come in having allowed just 93.6 ppg over their last 5 and I expect a big defensive effort from the Hawks at home after watching their 7-game winning streak snapped in a 101-103 loss at home to the Celtics. The Bucks aren't a great defensive team, but can lock down when they want to on that side of the ball and this Atlanta is far from explosive. 

UNDER has gone 6-3 in the last 9 meetings overall and 4-1 in the last 5 games in Atlanta. UNDER is also 8-1 in the Hawks last 9 after 5 straight games holding opponents to 42% or worse shooting percentage, 9-1 in their last 10 after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 and 12-2 in their last 14 home games off a home loss. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Clippers -

I got no problem laying this big number on the Clippers at home against their rivals from LA in the Lakers. Especially given the fact that the Clippers lost the first meeting between these two teams 102-111 back on Christmas Day. The Clippers come in having won 5 straight, so we are catching them playing their best basketball. As for the Lakers, they enter off a 94-134 loss at San Antonio, which followed an ugly 87-108 loss at home to the Blazers. Big thing in both of those games, is the offensive struggles. With the lack of defense the Lakers play, they are primed for a blowout loss when they aren't shooting the ball well.

Clippers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 when revenging a same season loss and the Lakers are just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games with a total of 210 or more. We also find a strong system in play backing LAC. Favorites of 10 or more, who have won 60% to 75% of their games and are revenging a loss where they allowed 100+ points are 37-13 (74%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a team with a losing record. Take Los Angeles!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Dominator on Pistons/Jazz UNDER

I'm expecting a very low-scoring game tonight when the Pistons visit the Jazz. Utah is locked in on the defensive side of the ball right now and it's well known that the Jazz are a dominant defensive team. In Utah's last 3 games they have held Minnesota to 92 points, Grizzlies to 88 points and the Cavs to 92 points. Detroit is only scoring 100.3 ppg and don't figure to have their legs in this one, as they are playing their 4th straight on a west coast road trip. I know the Pistons defense hasn't been great of late, but with the way Utah likes to slow the game down, I don't see them going off here.

UNDER is 29-16 in the Pistons last 45 road games after playing a game against a team from the Western Conference and 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 125 or more points in their previous game (allowed 127 to Warriors). UNDER is also 22-9 in Utah's last 31 home games with a total of 190 to 199.5, 8-0 in their last 8 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 and 8-0 in their last 8 at home after leading in their last game by 15 or more at the half. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on Nets +

Brooklyn comes in having lost 8 straight and 13 of their last 14 overall. The Nets have gone just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 and I believe it has forced the books to inflate this number big time against the Raptors. Toronto is clearly the better team, but they haven't been playing their best basketball of late, as they are just 3-5 in their last 8 games. I just don't see the energy level being there for this one, as the Raptors know they can just show up and win this game. We also have a great shot at a back-door cover given the large spread, if things do get out of hand early.

Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after covering the number in their last game. Keep in mind the Raptors only won 116-104 at home against the Nets back on 12/20 and that was with a similar line (15.5). We also find a strong system in play based off the current line and the previous result. Rod dogs of 10 or more, revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more are 45-20 (69%) ATS when their opponent comes in off a home win against a division rival. Take Brooklyn!

5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Hornets -

I really like the value here with Charlotte laying what I feel is a low number on the road against the 76ers. I believe we are getting this short number due to the fact that the Hornets have lost 3 straight, while Philadelphia has gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. I'm just not buying the 76ers being as good as this recent stretch and most of those wins came against bad teams. They were extremely fortunate to win their last game, which they trailed big throughout and were down 10 points with less than 3 minutes to play.

We should get a big time effort here from the Hornets, who will be playing with a full 2 days of rest and eager to put their 3-game skid behind them. Keep in mind all 3 losses during the streak have come on the road, the last two against two of the top teams in the west in Houston and San Antonio. This is also the first time 5 meetings that Charlotte has been favored by less than 9.5-points in this series (won 7 of 8). Hornets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record, while the 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at home. Take Charlotte!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Mavs/Suns OVER

I think the books have set the bar way too low for tonight's total between the Mavs and Suns, as they two will face off in Mexico City. I just don't think teams lock in defensively in these games outside the country and there's plenty of reason to expect a lot of scoring just given the matchup.

The Mavericks are giving up 102.6 ppg on the road and the Suns are allowing 113.5 ppg away from home. Dallas is only scoring 95.1 ppg, but even the most limited offenses can torch this Phoenix defense. The Suns also rank 3rd in pace, so we should see extra possessions for both sides. Phoenix can also light it up, as they are scoring 105.9 ppg.

OVER is 20-9 in the Suns last 29 after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game, 16-4 in their last 20 after scoring 105 or more and 9-1 in their last 10 after a home game where both teams scored 100+. TAKE THE OVER!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Annihilator  on Celtics -

I'm backing the Celtics at what I feel is a great price to take Boston at home against the Wizards. While Washington has been playing much better of late, most of their success has come at home, as they are a miserable 4-12 on the road this season. The Wizards are also a team that struggles to play well in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, as they are just 1-6 in this spot on the season. Boston on the other hand has thrived when playing on no rest, winning 5 of their last 6 in this spot.

There's also a little extra incentive for the Celtics in this one. Boston's star point guard Isaiah Thomas wasn't too happy about not being named the Eastern Conference player of the month in December. That honor instead went to Wizards point guard John Wall. I look for Thomas to take this game personally and for the rest of the Celtics players to follow his lead. As for the Wizards, I look for them to have a hard time showing up in this one. They come in having won 3 straight, but really haven't played well in those wins. Last night they edged out a Bulls team 101-99, who was minus their two best players in Butler and Wade.

Wizards are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 off a win by 3-points or less and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 dating back to last season when playing on no rest. Boston is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 off a SU loss and 31-19 ATS in their last 50 revenging a loss (lost at Wash 93-118 last meeting). Take Boston!

4* NBA Vegas Insider ATS Blowout on Knicks -

Last time out the Knicks were embarrassed in a 96-110 loss at home to the Pelicans, which was the game were Rose went missing. I'm not big on excuses, but when a player just doesn't show up to a game it takes away some of your mental focus on the game. Regardless if Rose plays tonight, I really like the Knicks to bounce back with a big time effort and win against the 76ers.

Philadelphia has won 3 of 4, but let's not get carried away, as the wins have come against the Nuggets, Timberwolves and Nets. The 76ers are still just 10-25 on the season really won't be a serious threat until next year when Simmons is 100% healthy. It's also worth noting that New York has owned this series, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings and it's not like the Knicks have been anything special the past few seasons.

Knicks are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 after playing their previous game at home, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after failing to cover the spread in their last game and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 off a home loss. Take New York!

5* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month on Lakers/Blazers OVER

I got no problem playing the over on this big total here with the Blazers and Lakers. All signs point to a high-scoring game in this one. We have two teams that don't play a lot of defense. In fact, each ranks in the bottom 3 in defensive efficiency. The Lakers are allowing 109.8 ppg and the Blazers are allowing 111.5 ppg (even worse 113.9 ppg on the road).

Not only do we have two teams who don't play defense, but we have two offenses that like to get out and run and shoot a lot of 3-pointers. Both rank in the Top 10 in pace. Portland averages 108.2 ppg and Los Angeles is at 105.3 ppg overall and a much better 109.8 ppg at home. Each team is also trending up on offense, with the Blazers scoring 109.6 ppg over the last 5 games and the Lakers at 115.4 ppg. 

OVER is 12-4 in the Blazers last 16 road games with a total of 210 or more and 13-4 in their last 17 on the road after allowing 105 or more in each of their last 2 games. OVER is also 13-3 in the Lakers last 16 against a team with a losing record, 13-5 in their last 18 at home and 7-3 in their last 10 when facing a team that allowed 100+ in their previous game. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Spurs -

I got no backing the Spurs at this line at home with the way they are playing right now. San Antonio is once again playing exceptional basketball, but not getting the type of attention you see with similar elite teams in the Warriors and Cavs. It's resulted in the books being slow to inflate the lines on San Antonio. The Spurs have gone a ridiculous 12-2 SU and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games (30-7 and 23-13 ATS on the season). They are outscoring teams by 17.4 ppg over their last 5. 

Milwaukee's a talented young team, but are not well-equipped to take on a team that's as efficient as the Spurs on both sides of the ball. Especially on the road, where they aren't nearly as good. The offense just doesn't produce at the same level. The Bucks average 105 ppg overall, but only 100.4 ppg on the road. San Antonio gives up just 97.5 ppg on the season and turn up the D at home, allowing only 95.9 ppg. That should allow the Spurs to not only win this game, but do so in convincing fashion. 

Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 off a win by 15 or more, 12-4 in their last 16 after scoring 100 or more in 2 straight games, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 at home and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record. Bucks 2-8 ATS in their last 1 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take San Antonio! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Celtics/Raptors OVER

I'm expecting a very high-scoring game when two of the Eastern Conference's best square off tonight. We have the Celtics visiting the Raptors. While these two can play solid defense, I don't think we see a lot of it tonight. More than anything, these are two elite offenses that can flat out score and are doing so at a very high rate of late. 

Toronto is second in the NBA in offensive efficiency, averaging 110.6 ppg on the season, 112.9 ppg at home and 109.0 ppg over their last 5. Keep in mind Boston will be without their best perimeter defender in Avery Bradley and that's a huge loss against the Raptors loaded backcourt. Boston ranks 7th in offensive efficiency, averaging 106.8 ppg overall, 106.7 ppg on the road and 115.4 ppg over their last 5. Note the Celtics offense has been lights out of late. They have scored 110 or more 8 straight and 9 of their last 10. 

OVER is 18-4 in the Celtics last 22 after scoring 100 or more in 4 straight games, 8-0 in their last 8 when having won 8 of their last 10 and 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. OVER is also 11-2 in the Raptors last 13 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 11-3 in their last 14 off SU loss and 11-0 in their last 11 after scoring 60 or more in the first half of their last game. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Thunder/Bulls OVER

I expect a high-scoring game tonight when the Bulls and Thunder clash at the United Center. This game features two of the league's most promising stars in Russell Westbrook and Jimmy Butler. While they get all the attention, it's how these two teams are playing overall that has me liking this one to go OVER the mark here set by the books.

Chicago has scored 100+ in 3 straight and are averaging 108.8 ppg over their last 5 games. A big part of the improved play offensively, is the production the Bulls are getting from guys like Mirotic, McDermott and Carter-Williams. I look for Chicago to have no problem keeping it going against a Thunder team that doesn't figure to play with a lot of energy on defense playing their 4th road game in their last 5 overall. OKC is giving up 108.7 ppg on the road this season and 106.6 ppg over their last 5.

While the Bulls offense is surging, the defense hasn't been there. Chicago is giving up 110 ppg over their last 5 and will be facing a dynamic Thunder offense that is scoring 106.8 ppg on the season and 111.4 ppg over their last 5. Big key here is the Bulls don't have the talent at point guard to make things tough on Westbrook. That should lead to a fast-paced game from the get go. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Timberwolves -

I like Minnesota to win and cover this short number at home against the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have had a miserable time closing games out and it cost them last time out in a 92-94 home loss to the Jazz. Minnesota took a double-digit lead after outscoring Utah 32-22 in the 3rd quarter only to follow that up by getting outscored 12-25 in the 4th quarter. That loss was the Timberwolves' 4th in a row and I think it's going to lead to a max effort at home tonight against Dallas.

The Mavericks have everyone back healthy and I think it has them getting a little too much love right now. Dallas hasn't had their core group together on the floor since the first week of the season and it's going to take some time to form some chemistry. It was certainly a problem in their last game, which they managed just 82 points in a 15-point home loss to the Hawks. I think it's going to take a few more games for Dallas to figure it out and let's not overlook the fact that they have not played well on the road, going just 4-15 in their 19 games away from home. Take Minnesota!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Lakers -

I really like the value here with Los Angeles at basically a pick'em at home against the Magic. The Lakers got off to that great start to the season and then got hit with some injuries and couldn't get out of the slump. They have won 2 of 3 and just rolled the Heat 127-100 at home in their last game. I think we are about to see LA go on a nice little run here to close out January and they should be able to take care of business against the Magic. 

Orlando is just 6-10 and are getting way to much respect here on the road, especially given this a long way for them to travel. It works both ways in the series and I believe it's why we have seen the home team dominate, winning each of the last 7 meetings. Home teams off a game where both teams scored 100+ are 83-45 (65%) ATS on Sunday over the last 5 seasons. Take Los Angeles!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Kings +

I really like the value here with the Kings as a double-digit dog against the Warriors. We know that we are going to get a max effort here from Sacramento against Golden State, as well as an energized home crowd that gets up for games like these. While the Warriors are 15-3 SU on the road, they are just 7-10 ATS (1-6 L7) and come in off an ugly collapse against the Grizzlies at home.

On top of that we are getting an inflated line here with the public going to be pounding Golden State off a loss. Warriors are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a game where they didn't cover. Kings are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 off a SU loss, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after playing a game as a home dog and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Sacramento!

4* NBA Situational Vegas Line Mistake on Jazz -

This is a great spot to jump on Utah as a short road favorite against the Timberwolves. The Jazz are going to come out locked in after losing their last two on the road against two of the better teams in the east in Boston and Toronto. This is one of the better teams in the west and is only going to get better once they get all their pieces healthy. They should have no problem here against a Timberwolves team that doesn't play great at home (6-12) and are in a tough scheduling spot having to play on no rest after a high-scoring fast-paced game last night at Washington, which they lost 105-112.

Utah is 10-8 on the road, so they know a thing or two about winning away from home and have really been good in this spot against bad teams. The Jazz are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Utah is also a dominant 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 against a team with a losing record. Minnesota doesn't have a lot of depth and are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after a game where their starters combined to log 160 or more minutes. I also love how Utah is one of the elite defensive teams and the Timberwolves struggle to stop opponents (allowed teams to shoot 50% or better from the field in 5 of their last 8 games). Take Utah!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Lakers -

I believe this is an ideal spot to jump on the Lakers at home against the Heat. I know LA is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but I believe that's already been factored into the line here. It's also important to keep in mind that it's not nearly as tough playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back at home as it is on the road. I expect a big effort here from LA, who let one get away last night in Portland, blowing a double-digit lead and getting outscored 13-1 down the stretch of a 109-118 loss.

The big key here is that the Lakers are facing off against a bad Miami team that aren't expected to have the services of big man Hassan Whiteside and just learned that 2nd year forward Justise Winslow will be out of the season. Not having Whiteside is a huge loss in this matchup, as the Lakers really don't have a great answer for him inside. Without him on the floor, it's going to make it very difficult for the Heat to contain this LA offense.

This is also a bad spot for Miami, who I think is getting a little too much love here off a 107-102 win at Sacramento. The Heat are just 6-13 on the road this season and have won back-to-back road games just once this season. This is also a bit of a flat spot for Miami, who will be playing the 3rd game of their 6-game road trip with games against the Clippers and Warriors looming next.  Take Los Angeles!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Knicks +

I really like the value here with the Knicks catching a pretty big number on the road against the Bucks. These two teams just played Wednesday in New York and the Bucks won 105-104 on a last second shot by Antetokounmpo. Having just lost head-to-head, the game now being played in Milwaukee and the Knicks now having lost 6 straight all have this line much higher than it should be. The team that loses the first of these home-and-home series has a big motivational edge in the rematch and even more so when the line is as high as it is.

It's also worth noting that previous game in New York came with the Knicks playing without Porzingis. He practiced fully yesterday and all signs point to him suiting up tonight. Even if he ends up sitting out, I still like the Knicks to cover here and think there's a good chance they can win outright.

We also find a strong system in play here. Road team that have allowed 105 or more points in 3 straight games and playing a team off a win by 6 or less are 33-8 (81%) over the last 5 seasons. Take New York!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Wolves/Wizards OVER

I really like the value here on the total in tonight's matchup between the Wizards and Wolves. These are two teams that know how to score the basketball. Minnesota comes in averaging 103.3 ppg and Washington is averaging 105.2 ppg with an even better 108.2 ppg at home. At the same time, these are two teams that struggle to defend. The Timberwolves give up 105.0 ppg and the Wizards allow 106.2 ppg.

With both teams having not played since Tuesday (2 days rest), both are going to have fresh legs and will be looking to get out an run as much as possible. This is huge for both of these teams, as Minnesota's starters lead the league in minutes played and the Wizards are second. Some might look to back the under after seeing Minnesota score 91 and 89 points in their last two games, but that actually is a good thing. OVER is 11-2 in the Wolves last 13 after going UNDER the total in each of their last 2 games. OVER is also 13-4 in the Wizards last 17 when playing with 2 days rest and 16-5 in their last 21 after playing their last 2 games on the road. Take the OVER!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Mavericks -

A lot of people are going to see Dallas laying a decent sized number at home and want nothing to do with the Mavericks, as they are just 11-24 on the season. However, Dallas is a team that I think is a great buy low option right now. The schedule hasn't been easy and they have had to deal with a lot of injuries and simply don't have the depth or talent to overcome not having their main guys on the floor. They are close to full health right now, as Bogut is set to return.

The other key here is the Suns are a mess right now. Phoenix has won just 5 games since the start of December and only 1 of those came on the road. That was against a Lakers team that was in a major funk and they barely squeaked out the win (4-16 road record overall). Suns did win their last game, but are a miserable 8-24 ATS in their last 32 off a win. Mavs are 11-4-1 ATS last 16 against a team with a losing record and 7-3 ATS last 10 vs the Western Conference. Take Dallas!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pistons -

Detroit is showing some great value here as a small home favorite against the Hornets. The Pistons have certainly been in a funk of late, but have shown some signs of life recently and this has the feeling of a must-win game for Detroit. They just lost at home 116-121 to the Pacers, in a game where their defense let them down. Look for a big effort on that side of the ball tonight. They also need to secure a win here with a 5-game west coast road trip looming after this contest.

The Hornets should be ripe for the taking tonight. Charlotte just played an intense game at home last night against the Thunder. This will be their 3rd game in 4 nights and 6th in the last 9 days. The Hornets have also not been playing great on the road of late, dropping 6 of their last 8, which includes an ugly loss at Brooklyn. Detroit has played much better at home and will be out for revenge from a 77-87 loss at Charlotte in the most recent meeting. That puts them in a great spot historically, as the Pistons are a perfect 10-0 ATS at home revenging a loss where they scored 85 or less under Van Gundy. Take Detroit!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Bulls/Cavs UNDER

I think the total here has been set way too high. Cleveland could be playing this game without all 3 of their Big 3 and will more than likely not have Irving in this one. James and Love are both dealing with sickness and it was so bad for James that he was told to stay home from shootaround. Even if he plays, I just don't see the Cavs looking to push the tempo here.

Chicago isn't in much better shape, as they could be without Wade and Rondo continues to ride the bench in Hoiberg's doghouse. The key here is that whoever does end up playing will bring the defensive intensity in this division matchup. UNDER is 19-7 in the Bulls last 26 division road games, 9-3-1 in their last 13 after scoring 100 or more in their last game and 7-3-1 in their last 11 off a SU win. Take the UNDER !

4* Thunder/Hornets NBA ATS Annihilator on Hornets -

Charlotte is showing some great value here as a small home favorite against the Thunder. All the attention that Russell Westbrook is getting has the OKC overvalued, especially on the road. The Thunder are just 8-8 in their 16 road games this season. Most of those wins have come against bad teams, as they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Last time out they lost 94-98 at Milwaukee and this is a bit of a flat spot with a huge game at Houston on deck tomorrow, which will be a nationally televised game on TNT.

The Hornets come in having lost 2 straight, but one was at home to Cleveland and the other was at Chicago. Charlotte is just 5-7 in their last 12, but the only loss at home was to the Cavs. With the Hornets set to hit the road for a 5-game trip after this game, I expect an all out effort here against the Thunder. Take Charlotte!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Raptors/Spurs UNDER

I think we are getting some great value here with the total in Tuesday's contest between the Raptors and Spurs. These are two of the best the league has to offer and I expect both to bring the defensive intensity in this one. Anytime you get two elite teams facing off with a big total like we have here, the UNDER is always a strong option. In fact, the UNDER is 62-20 (76%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 200 or more with two teams that are outscoring opponents by 7+ ppg.

Last year these two teams played twice and combined for just 191 and 197 points. It's also worth pointing out that both totals last year were no where close to what we are seeing here. The total was just 187.5 at San Antonio and 192 at Toronto. We also see that the UNDER is 4-1 in the Spurs last 5 off a SU loss and 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take the UNDER!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Timberwolves -

I have no problem laying this small number on the road with the Timberwolves. Minnesota is a much better team than their 11-23 record would indicate and a big part of that has been the inability to hold on to big leads. The Timberwolves have 9 losses this season where they led by double-digits. That includes their last game, where a 12-point halftime lead turned into a 89-95 loss at home to the Blazers. I think that loss is playing into this low number here and creating great value with Minnesota in a huge bounce back spot.

Philadelphia comes in off a 124-122 win at Denver, but have won back-to-back games just twice all season. I don't see it happening here, as this is a really bad matchup for the 76ers. Keep in mind the Timberwolves already annihilated Philadelphia 110-86 at home earlier this season and they were a 11.5-point favorite, which means they should be laying closer to 7.5 instead of 4.5 here.

76ers are just 5-17 ATS in their last 22 when revenging a loss of 20 or more points, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 when playing on 3 or more days of rest and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Minnesota!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Jazz -

I like the Jazz to go on the road and make easy work of the Nets tonight. Utah has gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6, which I believe is keeping this line lower than it should be. The Jazz come in having won 3 straight, but didn't play great last time out at Phoenix in a 91-86 victory. This will be the first of a 5-game road trip and I think Utah is going to come out looking to make sure they start their trip with an easy win. Best case scenario here would be to jump all over the Nets early and be able to keep minutes down before playing in Boston tomorrow.

Brooklyn is definitely a team that make that happen, as they just lost 95-118 last time out at Washington and have been losing by double-digits on a more consistent basis of late. Jazz are 33-19 ATS in their last 52 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Utah!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Jazz -

Don't let this big number scare you away from taking the obvious play here on Utah at home against the Suns. Phoenix comes in off what looks to be an impressive 99-91 win at home over the Raptors, but that was more about Toronto being in an awful spot than the Suns figuring something out. The Raptors were playing on no rest after laying everything on the line the night before in Golden State. They were not interested in that game against Phoenix.

The Suns haven't won back-to-back games since early November (only done it once all season) and last time they won, they came out the next night and lost by 16 to the Rockets. Seeing how they have had a miserable time against the Jazz of late and Utah getting back a big piece in point guard George Hill, this has a blowout written all over it. Suns are just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 off an upset win as an underdog, while the Jazz are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games against a team with a losing record. Take Utah!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pacers -

I really like the value here with the Pacers as a small home favorite against the Bulls. Indiana will be out for revenge here, as they just lost at Chicago 85-90 on Monday. Not a big surprise to see the Bulls win at home in the first meeting, given how the home/away splits of these two teams.

Chicago is 10-6 at home compared to 6-10 on the road. The gap between home and away is a lot bigger for Indiana. The Pacers are a strong 11-5 at home, compared to a miserable 4-13 on the road. Indiana has covered 4 of the last 5 at home against the Bulls and are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games when revenging a road loss. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Grizzlies -

I'll gladly take Memphis as a small home favorite against the Thunder. We can expect an all out effort here from the Grizzlies, as they come in having lost two straight on the road. Now Memphis returns home, where they are a solid 12-7 on the season. The Grizzlies recent struggles combined with the Thunder having won and covered 4 straight, has created the value here with Memphis.

The Grizzlies may or may not have the services of Mike Conley. There's no question they are in better shape with him on the floor, but I still like them to win here without him. Memphis is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off a road loss by 10 or more, while OKC is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog of 3 or less. Take Memphis!

4* Raptors/Warriors NBA ATS Annihilator on Warriors -

As much as I like the Raptors, I look for the Warriors to come out with a chip on their shoulder at home after losing the way they did at Cleveland on Christmas Day. Golden State has had a full days off since that heartbreaking loss and will be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor. The Warriors already went into Toronto and beat the Raptors 127-121 and it could have been a lot worse as they had a 13-point lead at the half and shot 50% from the field.

Warriors are 33-17 ATS in their last 50 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Golden State!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Grizzlies +6.5

I like the value here with Memphis catching a big number against a Celtics team that they will be motivated to play well against. These two teams just played in Memphis last Tuesday and the Celtics won 112-109 in OT after erasing a 14-point halftime deficit. Boston's Isaiah Thomas was sensational, scoring 44-pionts on 10 of 16 shooting with 7 made 3-pointers. I'll take my chances here that Thomas doesn't match that production and we get another closely contested game.

The reason Memphis is listed as a decent sized dog here, is because they are playing on 0 days rest, after an ugly showing last night in a 10-point loss to the Magic. The thing is that game was lopsided from the start and the Grizzlies were able to avoid playing their key players big minutes, so they aren't going to be gassed here. Memphis is also a team that has thrived in this spot. They are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 when playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 overall in this spot. Celtics are just 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 against the Western Conference and a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 at home. Take Memphis!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pelicans -

I really like the value here with New Orleans laying a short number at home against a Dallas team that is getting a little too much love here after back-to-back road wins over the Blazers and Clippers. What gets overlooked is they caught both of those teams in bad spots. Each was playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, while the Mavs were coming off a day of rest.

Now they catch an equally rested Pelicans team (2-days), who has been playing much better of late and should be a great bet going forward, as they are finally starting to healthy. Jrue Holiday has played in just 17 of their 32 games and Tyreke Evans only recently returned and has played in just 4. This will be just their 5th game with their 3 best players on the floor in Anthony Davis, Holiday and Evans.

Let's also not forget that Dallas had been a miserable road team prior these two recent wins. Even with those two wins, they are just 3-13 on the road this season. Mavs are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when playing with 2 days of rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Take New Orleans!

4* Bulls/Spurs NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on UNDER

The defensive intensity is turned up a notch from what it normally is during the regular season on these Christmas Day games and the Spurs/Bulls matchup will be no different. Both these teams can get after it defensively. Chicago is only giving up 99.7 ppg and the Spurs allow just 97.9 ppg. 

This game means a lot to both teams. San Antonio wants revenge from a 91-95 loss in Chicago earlier this season, which is one of only two road losses all year. The Bulls are simply desperate for a win, as they have dropped 2 straight and 8 of their last 11. 

UNDER is 11-3 in the Bulls 14 road games this season, 9-1 in their last 10 after a loss by 10 or more and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 after failing to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5. Take the UNDER!