ECU allows 24 ppg to Memphis' 29.1 and more than 400 yards a game so the better defense rests with the Pirates. The Pirates have only failed to  cover 2 of their 9 games  ATS this season to rank 6th-best in the nation at covering the spread and once again according to my power rankings matchup very well here vs the Memphis . Look for E.Carolina to lean on their D, here and to pound the ball on the ground alot more to slow the flow of their explosive opponents.E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons.

CFB road team (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 175 or less total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 107-53 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on E.Carolina to cover 

UCF is playing decent ball of late and have 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 with the only loss coming to undefeated Cincinnati. With that said, the UCF is more than capable hanging around here vs a SMU side that has lost two straight while giving up 400 plus yards in those tilts defensively. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.UCF is 8-1 straight up against SMU since 1992.

CFB road team vs. the money line (UCF) - after allowing 14 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 6 or less points is 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play on UCF to cover 

The Temple  Owls look to just be going through the motions as it looks like they threw the towel in on their season a while, back and that has  been evident over their L/4 games where they have  been outscored, 180-27. With that said, Im betting Houston laying down abeatdown of mammoth proportions here today against a team that will probably just lie down for them.Houston is ranked 10th in the nation, averaging 39.1 points per game and Im betting they breach that number here in this spot. 

TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -34 ppg. 

CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (TEMPLE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in November games are 27-62 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (HOUSTON) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 60-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

These teams have exhibited much better defensive efforts than offensive efforts this season, and Im betting things wont change tonight on the Blue Carpet as Boise State and Wyoming take part in a grinding game, that will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. From a historical standpoint the L/6 meetings here have gone under the total on the Blue Carpet. 

CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (WYOMING) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB team against the total (BOISE ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

USF will be very motivated to be ready to extend their 6-0 ATS L/6 mark in this series vs  undefeated Cincinnati. Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in South Florida. Its a ugly kind of clothes pin to the nose type selection, but this is easily the Bulls biggest game of the season considering that will not go bowling. Im betting they leave everything on the filed here while the Bearcats begin to feel the pressure of maintaining a  undefeated season. 

Bearcats are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Bulls are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on South Florida to cover 

North Carolina ended the Wake Forest win streak at 8 games last week in a emotional back and forth offensive slugfest. Now Im betting the Tar Heels wont have that same energy this week after that exhausting physical and emotional victory , and will fall victim to a Pittsburgh team that can actually play defense and light up the board just as efficiently. With that said look for Panthers QB Pickett to land KOs all day in the pocket behind a top-10 offensive line. 

 N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS  off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 0-9 ATS  off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of N CAROLINA. Brown is 4-15 ATS  after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points in all games . 

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - excellent offensive team (440  or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 30-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors,

CFB Road underdogs (N CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 14-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh to cover 

The Cardinals have   been a top tier unit against the run as  they have not  allowed more than 130 yards in any of the last four games and that will be key Im betting in a road win N.Illinois. On the flipside add to that the Huskies have allowed 12 touchdowns on 23 possessions over the last two games and you have an edge to the short road fav. 

BALL ST is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more  rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. 

CFB home team (N ILLINOIS) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 4-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

 Ball State has won the L/2 meetings in this series. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Injury note:[QB] 11/04/2021 - Rocky Lombardi left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Ball State ( Head )

Play on Ball State to cover 

This is a big game for both teams when it comes to play off and possible Bowl implications and Im expecting to be hard fought. Im not sold on N.Illinois D, but  tonights weather forecast in DeKalb, Ill.  is predicting   13-15 mph winds throughout the game, which will hamper  both air attacks which in turn will effect offensive output.N ILLINOIS is 16-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 and N ILLINOIS is 23-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored which was the case last time out. with a combined average of 52.8 ppg. 

 CFB team against the total (N ILLINOIS) - good passing team (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.) against a poor passing defense (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 64-28 L/5 seasons for 70% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

Toledo has a bad defensive game last time out  vs Eastern Michigan but have been very good overall this season, and  now  Im expecting a bounce back effort. Im also betting we will see Toledo grind on the ground all night, against a tough Bowling Green D and their spotty offense in what will be a low scoring war in the trenches. 

TOLEDO is 23-8 UNDER  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games.

CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TOLEDO) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons .

CFB  team against the total (BOWLING GREEN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points are 73-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Eagles took part in a back and forth affair last time out on the road vs Toledo winning by a 52-49 count as 9 point dogs, and will now be in a letdown spot here this Tuesday making them vulnerable to a Ohio program that has covered 5 of their 6 tilts in this series. 

Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Bobcats are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog. Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog.

E MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS L/12 after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.E MICHIGAN is 3-15 ATS   in home games after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Eagles are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games following a straight up win.

Eagles are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

OHIO U is 10-2 ATS  in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 or less yards per return. 

Play on Ohio. to cover 

Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.

BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS L/27 when the total is between 56.5 and 63.  Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 51-19 ATS L/29 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 13-38 ATS L/5  seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Buffalo to cover

These are two teams that base their offensive attacks on a run-heavy game plan  and both sides also are ranked among the slowest paces in college football. I know Akrons D, is horrendous and Western Michigan will do some damage, but they have had problems finishing  drives, so output Im betting will not be as extreme as the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile, Akron despite of some recent success through the air will have issues against a solid Broncos secondary. For me this equates to a more muted score than the pundits expect. Note:Under is 24-6 in Zips last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 

Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game which was the case last time out vs Central Michigan. ( A more concerted D effort is to be expected).

Play on the UNDER 

The Sun Devils  enter into this game in a 2 game losing streak and recently that has not been a good formula for success for this program  as they are just  6-15 SU  in conference games when coming off two straight negative results. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors with their uneven play this season but they are 17-4 L/21 vs Arizona State and from a matchup view point offer value on this line. I know USC will be without star WR Drake London, (injury) but QB Kedon Slovis still has a strong duo of WRs Tahj Washington and Gary Bryant that could start on most college football teams in this nation. 

CFB Home favorites (ARIZONA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season are 26-60 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on USC to cover 

After blowing a huge lead last time out to Michigan state - Michigan will come in here hanging their heads low vs a side that would love nothing more than to inflict more damage on their already battered egos. they could also easily find themselves looking ahead to Penn State which will be their next opponent. I know Penix Jr is out at QB for the Hooisers but  they are  quite capable of  top tier offensive production behind  freshman QB Donaven McCulley who threw for 242 yards and two scores last time out in a 38-35 loss to Maryland . Note:  Donaven McCulley was a 4 star prospect. 

MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Indiana is also 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in conference action as a 13 point or more dog.

INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27  in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season.  

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Texas RB RB Bijan Robinson ran for just 43 yards last time out  on 19 carries  . It was a disappointing performance for a back that had accumulated  100 yards in five straight games previous to that. This week Im betting on the senior bouncing back in a big way and being a key contributor in a Texas cover vs Iowa State. 

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 12-38 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. 

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 36-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November.

Play on Texas to cover 

Last weeks lopsided loss to Georgia will be a demoralizing factor coming into this road game against the Gamecocks.  South Carolina (4-4, 1-4) is coming off a bye week that followed a 44-14 defeat at then-No. 17 Texas A&M on Oct. 23 and now on rested legs will be out to pull off the upset while trying to get some kind of redemption. 

Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Gators are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

South Carolina  8-2 ATS in the last 10 games at home as an underdog of 13 or more points. 

CFB Road favorites (FLORIDA) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-54 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

South Carolina to cover 

This is alot of points to be laying if your a Alabama backers, especially considering the LSU Tigers have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss they suffered to the Tide the last time they played. Now rested and off a bye week with a great deal of preparation time Im betting on LSU making a game out of this or at the the very least covering the number. LSU is 6-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons. LSU Is 8-2 ATS L/10 as a dog of 20 or more points , including 7-0 ATS when playing with revenge.

LSU has covered 8 of their L/12 visits here, and won SU the last time they were here in 2019. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

LSU is 13-2 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons.

Play on LSU to cover 

Miss State is off a big win vs Kentucky last week, and could find it hard to get up the energy to take out a Arkansas side that  my power rankings  suggest is a under rated opponent. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals

ARKANSAS is 18-6 ATS L/24 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS   in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games

MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

CFB home team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - excellent team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. 

Play on Arkansas to cover 

Utah State can put points on the board but their defense is atrocious  allowing an average 435-yards per game. That to me is not conducive to be able to cover this big of spread on the road . I know New Mexico state may not inspire may bettors, but this is a viable point take here for the home dog according to my projections, especially since they are off a bye week and have had two weeks to prepare . Add to that back door cover capabilities with  the   28t h  ranked  passing offense in the nation ( 276 yards per game)  and Im betting we have value with a ugly puppy. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aggies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. MWC. Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Play on New Mexico State to cover 

Michigan State used alot of energy to come back from a DD deficit to defeat their long time Big 10 rivals Michigan last week, and will now have some problems getting back that intensity vs a Purdue side that has won the stats battles in 6 of their 8 games this season. It was not all peaches and cream for the spartans lat week a they allowed a hefty amount of yards on D.  MICHIGAN ST is 4-18 ATS L/22  in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.

Brohm is 8-1 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 7-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 17-4 ATS L/21   versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75  or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached. 

Play on Purdue to cover 

Middle Tenn State vs W Kentucky “100 miles of hate”. plus the points looks like a viable wagering opportunity. These teams are big time rivals , and Im betting on fireworks tonight in a tilt Im expecting to be closer than the line might indicate. Both sides are 4-4 on the season, and are both playing well overall right now. Major Bowl implications and a rivalry situation makes the points golden in my humble betting  opinion. Hey I know how explosive the Hilltoppers offense has been , but Middle Tenn has also been explosive recently scoring 34 or more points in 4 of their L/5 trips to the gridiron.Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.Hilltoppers are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.

Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The two most recent meetings in this series were decided by 3 and 4 points. 

Play on  Midd Tenn State to cover 

West Virginia with recent wins vs Iowa State  and  TCU are now in bowl contention and must not be underestimated as home dogs when they are determined to get a much needed third straight victory. Oklahoma State is a fine team, winning 7 of 8 but are just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favs going against a side off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins. 

CFB team (W VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 29-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on West Virginia to cover 

Huge heart breaker last week as SMU lost their first game of the season, thanks to a punt return returned for a TD and a subsequent 44-37 loss. That  was excruciating painful and Im betting the Mustangs will have a huge problem getting their butts off the mat for this one.SMU is 14-30 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game while MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS   in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

 Dykes is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more  yards/play as the coach of SMU. 

Memphis covered six straight times in this series until  suffering a close 30-27, loss as chalk last season . 

 SMU is 1-9 ATS  in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 0-6 ATS  in road games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-12 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Illinois has almost no offensive flow while Minnesotas D, has been mostly staunch as is evident by allowing just 18.9 ppg with 5 of their L/6 opponents unable to muster more than 16 points. The Gophers can also light up the board, especially at home where they have put 30 or more points in the board in 3 of their L/4 as hosts. Im betting on a lopsided affair here. 

MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

These sides slugged away on the ground against each other last year in a game that ended in a 10-7 score ( 17 total points) and the year prior to that a 17-13 final score ( 30 points) . Im betting on another grinder here and for the combined score to remain on the low side of the number again. Note :  Academy Totals are 39-9-1 UNDER L/49  for a 81% win rate.

AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER  after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.ARMY is 7-0 UNDER  in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Play UNDER 

Stanford is highly inconsistent but according to my power rankings this ATS  number is bloated making the Cardinal a live home dog here vs Utah. The Cardinal showed  their inconsistencies last time out in. a favorite loss to Washington by a 20-13 count, but the Huskies are very under rated so Ill give the Cards a break on that one.  HC Shaw is 14-4 ATS   off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of STANFORD. He's on the hot seat right now, and if he does not have his team ready to play this week, a farewell party maybe on the agenda. Stanfords Desperation, redemption  quotas have me taking points here. 

UTAH is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (STANFORD) - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 56-24 ATS L/29 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Stanford to cover 

Boston College is having problems again the run and  especially dual QB threats.    Louisville Cardinal  Malik Cunningham and Syracuse’ Orange pivot Garrett Shrader  ran all over Boston College as the Eagles  allowed  620 + rushing yards  including  6.4 yards per carry in those losing tilts. Don't look now but  now they have to face another strong ground game  featuring  double trouble threat Burmeister. 

CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Virginia Tech to cover 

Georgia State took part in a hammering slugfest vs Southern Georgia last week and Im betting they are still not at 100% after that nasty battle in the trenches and could find the sledding rougher than expected against a very physical Lafayette side. Meanwhile, Louisiana  Head coach Billy Napier  is a perfect 15-0 all-time against Sun Belt West sides including a  5-0 record  in conference play this year and 5-0 all-time against Georgia State. I know these are SU numbers, but Lafayette is explosive averaging 40.5 ppg at home this season while allowing just over 12 ppg, and that will be the difference maker -the Cajuns offense. 

The Ragin Cajuns at home have outscored their opposition by an average of 23.5 point per game and have covered  by 15 or more  points in each of their last three home games. Meanwhile, Georgia State is 1-3 ATS as dogs this season. 

CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in November games are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.3 ppg which qualifies on this spread. 

Play on Lafayette to cover 

Miami (OH) gets their starting QB back making them a dangerous opponent for Ohio. RedHawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record.

  Ohio is 1-7 on the year and have lost four of their last five games and fade material in this current form. 

MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

 OHIO U is 3-15 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) 

Martin is 30-9 ATS   after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.Martin is 12-1 ATS  against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.

OHIO U is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.OHIO U is 2-10 ATS   in home games over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 87-46 ATS L/29 season for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks to cover 

Eastern Michigan has lost only one game by more than 7 points this season and that was to Wisconsin on the road. Creighton is 7-0 ATS   as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN and always has his team ready to compete. Creighton is 6-0 ATS  in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Eagles are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games.

Candle is 3-11 ATS  off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of TOLEDO which was the case vs W.Michigan last time out.Candle is also just 4-12 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62%  like E.Michigan or better as the coach of TOLEDO.Rockets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.Rockets are 2-7 ATS/SU in their last 9 games following a straight up win.

Play on Eastern Michigan 

The  Washington Huskies  are a  7-0 team  if the offensive play-calling wasn’t so bad. The talent is there at Washington but its the guys directing plays on the sidelines that down grade this Huskies program. However, today vs a inconsistent Stanford team Im betting the visitors find a way to cash for us here this Saturday. 

STANFORD is 0-6 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.

CFBl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover 

Penn State started their season with a 5-0 run and than after blowing a late lead lost to Iowa 20-18 in heart breaking fashion, and than in a letdown situation lost last time out  in surprising fashion 20-18 to Illinois last time out. No matter what there has been one constant with Penn State this season, and that is a top tier D, both against the run and secondary as is evident by allowing an average of 14.7 ppg. With the opportunity to gain back some respect, Im betting the Lions really lean on the Buckeyes and make them work for points this week. This Im betting directly effects the combined score to the under as Penn State has also proven to be a conservative team on offense. 

Franklin is 11-2 UNDER  after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 44.4 ppg scored. 

CFB team against the total (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team ( 6.2 or more  YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 32-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. 

CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 37-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

Auburn is well rested and off a bye week, and will be primed to take down Ole Miss in this spot play. The Auburn D, will be the difference maker as they are 78 yards bette than the Ole Miss stopping units. 

Auburn has won the two most recent meetings in this series and are 17-4 L/21 overall meetings. 

CFB Home favorites (AUBURN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 121-76 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Auburn to cover 

 Im betting the explosive offense of SMU will be held in check this week by the Houston Cougars D, that is ranked 4th overall. The host has covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting on a Rinse and Repeat situation. 

SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-15 ATS  after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.

CFB  home team (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB home team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover

Houstons D, is of the top tier variety allowing just 17.3 ppg on the season and 14.3 ppg at home. I know SMU owns and explosive offense but Im betting they will be muted here. Meanwhile, SMUs D, is also under rated and despite of allowing alot of points in garbage time have still allowed an average of just 22.7 ppg . Today in this important game for these side, Im expecting more of a chess game than an all out slugfest which will result in this total not being eclipsed. 

HOUSTON is 20-7 UNDERoff a no-cover where the team won as a favorite with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored.

CFB team against the total (SMU) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-5  UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 62% or better, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 57-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more  YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

Recent history in this series:   Since the first meeting in this series back in 2014  the Panthers took the next three games, winning 34-7 in 2015 in Statesboro, 30-24 in 2016 in Atlanta and 21-17 in 2017 in Statesboro. GS won the next two games, 35-14 in 2018 in Atlanta and 38-10 in 2019 in Statesboro before the Panthers won last year 30-24 in Atlanta. According to these numbers none of confrontations has seen the combined score eclipse this total. 

 Georgia Southern remains a ground-oriented team. The Eagles rank No. 1 in the conference with 238.5 yards per game. Meanwhile, Georgia State averages 221.9 yards rushing per game, No. 3 in the Sun Belt, behind its big, experienced offensive line and will also pound the ball. With both teams leaning on their ground games alot of clock time will be eaten, and Im betting that results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. 

GEORGIA ST is 11-2 UNDER  off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. 

CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (GEORGIA ST/GA Southern) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games are 40-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

 GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS  in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 3 seasons

CFB road team vs. the money line (GEORGIA ST) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 29-1  L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. 

Georgia State to cover 

Southern Miss generated just 107 offensive yards last week while getting shut out by UAB and they are big time fade material here vs a Middle Tennessee State team that up-trending in my rankings. 

SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS   as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.9 ppg. 

SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.9 ppg. 

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a poor offense - averaging 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for 79% conversion rate.

CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.9. 

Middle Tennessee to cover 

Michigan State  is the real deal and just keep improving. Ill be honest I was not sold on them, but after watching the Spartans play on more than one occasion I get the feeling this is a never say die very tough crew . Entering this game against arch nemesis Michigan they are averaging 34.9 points and 451.7 yards per game while the  defense, which allowed more than  21 points  just once this season.

CFB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Michigan State to cover 

Bowling Green has won just 5 of their L/30 trips to the gridiron and are completely outgunned according to my projections by a Buffalo program that plays their best football at home and after 2-54 start have won 2 straight and in contention in the MAcEast. 

BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking 31.3 ppg. 

Buffalo  6-1 ATS win skein in this series. 

BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS in road games after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons . Opponent 49.2 BG 8.3

BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21 ppg. 

CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BUFFALO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the Buffalo to cover 

Nevada according to my power rankings is being over rated here on this line. I know UNLV is o-7 on the season, but they have been mostly competitive and deserve respect here getting 20 plus points . The last time these teams met the Rebels upset Nevada 33-30 two seasons ago, and Im betting they make the Wolfpack work hard again.Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.Wolf Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Play on the UNLV to cover 

Im betting that Coastal Carolina ha a huge hangover after having their undefeated season come to an abrupt end last time out vs   at Appalachian State  by a 30-27 count.  Now against the 7th ranked defense in the nation, Im betting Coastal has problems on lift off and will start slowly. Note: In recent meetings the Trojans have really made Coastal work for wins . CCU won 36-35 at home two seasons ago and than took a hard fought are 42-38 in L.A.. Im betting things wont come easily again. 

TROY is 7-0 ATS  against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season. 

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 14-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Troy to cover 

East Carolina won last year's meeting 44-24 and now redemption is at hand for the Bulls and Im expecting them to be ready to perform after last weeks win vs Temple. The Pirates (3-4, 1-2),   have lost two games in a row, and are limping into this tilt.

Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.Pirates are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.

S FLORIDA is 5-0 straight up against E CAROLINA since 1992 here on the road. 

Play on South Florida to cover 

Defensively,  Troy has been in top form this season  and Im betting they  keep Coastal Carolina  from one of their usually explosive offense outputs. They are hard to run on and pass against, thus Im betting that this will contribute greatly to a lower scoring affair that does not see this offered total eclipsed. 

l. Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games on grass. Under is 9-2 in Trojans last 11 road games.

Under is 5-1 in Chanticleers last 6 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Chanticleers last 5 games overall.

COASTAL CAROLINA is 12-3 UNDER  in home games after playing a conference game with a combined 47.1 ppg scored. 

CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TROY) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 49-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

USC at 3-3 are not be respected right now by linesmakers despite of great deal of talent all through the lineup. Yes, they have not performed optimally but are still extremely dangerous opponent for an inconsistent and lucky to sport a 5-1 record this  Fighting Irish side. Both sides are well rested but it must be noted that the Trojans are 9-1 ATS going into a non conference battle off a bye and 4-0 ATS L/4 off a loss. USC is 6-1 ATS as a underdog of 6 or more points and 11-2 ATS when coming off a SU home favorite loss. 

USC is 12-3 ATS  after allowing 42 points or more last game.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.

Play on USC to cover 

 UL Monroe  (3-3 on the season) scored a huge underdog upset  vs Liberty last week by a 31-28 count and now with momentum on their sides I expect them to be competitive here again this week vs a South Alabama  : Note: South Alabama is just 12-23-1 ATS on the road in Sun Belt play. 

S ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS  off a home win by 17 points or more which was the case in the 41-14 win vs Georgia Southern last week. 

Play on UL Monroe to cover 

Air Force is a one way offense that moves the chains on the ground,  and that is a problem for them here tonight as  they take on a San Diego State  rush defense allowing just 61 rushing yards per contest ranking among the best in the nation. 

SD State is 7-2 L9 ATS in this series and have won 9 straight  with the  Visitor  going 3-0 L/3 . San Diego State is also  9-2 as  8 point dogs or less. 

AIR FORCE is 1-10 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games.

CFB road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego State to cover 

Boston College roared out to a 4-0 start to their season, and than lost a hard fought battle to Clemson by a 19-13 count and than in a letdown state were beat up by North Carolina in their follow up. Now rested and ready for redemption Im betting the Eagles come out here and give Louisville all they can handle for the cover. Note: BC is 7-0 ATS L/7 entering this series off a loss. From a statistical standpoint the Golden Eagles are 122 yards superior to the Cards from a defensive standpoint, which Im betting will be the difference maker here today. 

BOSTON COLLEGE is 24-11 ATS (as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS  in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992.

BC has won 4 of the L/5 meetings on the road in this series with the only loss coming by 2 points. 

Play on BC to cover 

My projections estimate both these sides will score+28 points which gives value to this over wager. 

Over is 9-2 in WStates last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games following a ATS win.

Over is 5-1 in  BYU Cougars last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 3-1-1 in 
BYUS last 5 games following a straight up loss.

CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BYU/WASH ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG) after 7 or more games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 30-2 OVER L/10 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 72.6 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

Clemson has not been an underdog in 64 straight games  dating back to the 2016 season. I know they have not performed optimally this season, behind their QB  DJ Uiagalele, but this is still a talented group especially on defense where Im betting they will give this explosive Pittsburgh team problems. 

CLEMSON is 21-9 ATS in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game since 1992. Swinney is 11-2 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of CLEMSON.

Narduzzi is 1-8 ATS  in home games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of PITTSBURGH.

CFB road team (CLEMSON) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Clemson to cover 

Cal does not deserve to be this big a favorite here. The Bears have accumulated a    1-5  SU record with the only win against FCS Sacramento State.The Golden Bears currently  rank last in the PAC 12 in total defense  while their opponent the (Colorado Buffaloes  ranks 4th and 6th in total offense . Note: CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. 

Colorado won 34-0 last week as dogs and are being put into the dog pound again this Saturday in Berkeley. Colorado under Dorrell is 5-0 ATS coming off a SU underdog victory.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to cover 

My projections on total offensive output is based on trending stats , but also how both these coach's perform under certain situations and perimeters. Add to that a overall college football trend that denotes a lower scoring affair and I am solidly on the under here today. This is an important MAC game so it will see some chess master moves by both coaches that will keep the game more conservative than might usually be the case , which will Im betting keep this tilt under the total.

Candle is 6-0 UNDER  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of TOLEDO with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. 

Lester is 7-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored.Lester is 8-1 UNDER  after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored.

CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W MICHIGAN) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-8 L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Purdue after upseting Iowa last week as road dogs  will now be in a huge emotional  letdown situation. Considering Wisconsin has won 12 straight meetings in this series  including 6-0 SUATS on the road Im betting the Badgers come away with the win vs a vulnerable side.

Purdue is 5-21 L/16 SU as conference dogs. 

Play on Wisconsin to cover 

 From a matchup perspective Kstate. Matched up well here according to my power rankings and from a historical standpoint  have done well in this series winning  4 of their last 5 trips  to  Lubbock while winning 9 of the last 10 meetings overall. I know the wildcats lost last week, so they are not getting alot of respect right now form lines-makers, but it must be noted HC Chris Klieman when coming off a SUATS loss  is 6-0 ATS L/6. Look for KStates top tier QB Skylar Thompson to be the difference maker. 

KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS  as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

Wells is 1-12 ATS  after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992.

TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

CFB home team (TEXAS TECH) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play on the KState Wildcats to cover 

The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS as road favorites of 17 or more points and despite of all their obvious  strengths could find the sledding tough against a never say die  Navy side that has cashed 4 of their L/5 as 12 point or more conference dogs.  Note: Military Dogs of 20 or more points are 5-0 ATS L/4 seasons.  The Bearcats have also failed to cover in 6 of their L/8 vs Military schools including 0-3 ATS when favored by two TDs or more. Probably not an upset in the making, but getting points is a viable investment option.

Play on Navy to cover 

I  know Wake Forest is undefeated on the season, but Im still not a big believer in their overall prowess as a top tier team , and feel strongly they will find the sledding tough here in West Point this Saturday vs Army. From a historical standpoint the Demon Deacons are just 0-3-1 ATS as road favs when carrying a undefeated record. The Black Knights  can hit the weakest part of the Wake D,  which allows an average of 171 ypg on the ground, behind the  2nd-ranked rushing offense in the nation and garner us a cover and possible outright upset. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WAKE FOREST) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 12-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. 

CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARMY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on Army to cover 

Colorado States D, is up-trending in my power rankings, and have allowed a total of 51 points in their L/4 trips to the gridiron ( 12.75 ppg average) and their ability to slow down Utah States attack will help directly keep this game from going over the number. Meanwhile, Utah State after an explosive start offensively have settled down and have 24,28, and 3 points in their L/3 with all those tilts staying under the total. Tonight Im expecting a grinding game between two Mountain west squads and a total that will not be eclipsed. Note: CSU is 4-1 under L/5 overall. 

COLORADO ST is 37-19 UNDER L/56 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) with a combined average of 51.6 ppg going on the board.

UTAH ST is 39-21 UNDER L/60 when the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 56 ppg scored.

CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (COLORADO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

UCF head coach Gus Malzahn is on the hot seat this teams need wins and now  especially  after  getting smashed by 56-21  count  at Cincinnati  last week , which did not make Central Florida backers/boosters very happy and the rumblings are getting louder.  The good news here for UCF is that host is on a  13-1 ATS run in this series while,  Memphis’ has lost 13 of their L/15 when playing on the road against UCF. 

MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS  in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS  in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 8-30 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against  79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Central Florida to cover 

When these teams played last season San Jose  State won by a 34-17 count. Now despite of the Spartans offensive numbers showing. a distinct drop from last season, my own projections estimate they matchup well here vs D allowing 35 ppg on average  and should easily go above their offensive  season averages. Meanwhile, UNLV winless on the season, are desperate for a win and will not be conservative in their approach here today and  will come at the Spartans in aggressive fashion  which  increases the probability of an output that goes over this offered total.  UNLV is 21-9 OVER L/30 vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.UNLV is 20-4 OVERoff a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival with a combined average of 65.8 ppg scored.

Over is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 Thursday games.

Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (UNLV) - off a home loss against a conference rival, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 69-35 OVER L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Play OVER

I have projected a 3 TD win + here for Lafayette. ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -28.3 ppg. 

CFB home underdogs (ARKANSAS ST) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored are 7-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB road team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a home blowout win by 28 points or more, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a terrible team ( 25%) are 25-1 SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +25.5 points per game. 

Play on UL Lafayette to cover

 The Chanticleers are ranked and deserve respect even as road favs. But App State has a reputation for being giant killers and also deserve respect especially as home underdogs. Coastal enters this year's meeting undefeated and have a huge targets on their backs  while Appalachian St is perfect 2-0 at home. The Mountaineers have  also won 23 of their last 25 home games dating back to the middle of the 2017 season and 6 of 7 meetings  in this series. 

Mountaineers’ 8-0 SU  when coming off a loss the past four seasons. 

Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS  versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more  yards/game over the last 3 seasons.

 CFB Road favorites (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 15-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate .

Play on App State to cover 

 The Miners are playing some very good football as is evident by their 5-1 record  and ranked  in the nation’s Top 20 in both Total Defense and Tackles for Loss.  Recently they have had the advantage from a ATS perspective vs the 2-3 Bulldogs cashing 4 of the L/6 meetings and today Im betting they grab the cheese again. Note: HC Skip Holtz has failed to cover 16 of 26 road games as single digit chalk in his career. So from that data  this is not a role his teams excel in. 

UTEP is 16-5 ATS L/1 after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. 

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

CFB road team (LOUISIANA TECH) - off a road loss against opponent off a double digit road win are 23-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on UTEP to cover 

. The Oklahoma Sooners  have made any successes they have had torturous for their fan base and  no victories  vs FBS teams by more than  7 points. This week . Sooners QB Caleb Williams may start again after entering their game last week and rallying his team to a OT victory vs Texas. That was a hugely emotional game for the Sooners and now they may find it difficult to get up for this one, making them vulnerable to cover this matchup. 

OKLAHOMA is 8-22 ATS L/30 vs. struggling  passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. Riley is 0-6 ATS  after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of OKLAHOMA.

Patterson is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of TCU.  

CFB  road team (TCU) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 48-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on TCU to cover 

With Kansas State QB Skylar Thompson back in the lineup,Im betting the wildcats get their mojo back and really give Iowa State all they can handle here at home. This is also a big revenge tilt for the Wildcats who were crushed last season by Iowa State by a 45-0 count. Note: KANSAS ST is 4-0 ATS as a home dog with revenge. 

KANSAS ST is 26-12 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) . KANSAS ST is 22-7 ATS  after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. 

Note:  ISU QB Brock Purdy only has 5 TDs so far this season, and its obvious his WRs and him are not on the same page. Thats not a good look going against a D with hate in their eyes. 

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS ST) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-33 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

KANSAS ST is 13-1 straight up against IOWA ST since 1992 at home. 

Play on Kansas State to cover 

 Tennessee is starting fast this season and  have outscored their opposition by a  101-13 count  in the first quarter , including scoring s on 11 straight drives over the past two  tilts in the first half of the game. Im betting on another fast start vs a suspect Ole Miss D, and a subsequent underdog cover. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is off a back forth 52-51 win vs Arkansas last week, and will now be in a huge emotional letdown spot. 

OLE MISS is 4-13 ATS   after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.

Tennessee is 13-2 L/15 meetings in this series.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OLE MISS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 7-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

CFB home team (TENNESSEE) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 31-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tennessee to cover 

Iowa State plays a  grinding type of football and in 3 diff games allowed 10-7-3 points. the last two meetings in this series have stayed under the total. rinse and repeat. 

IOWA ST is 6-0 UNDER  off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. 

IOWA ST is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return with a combined average of 41.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CFB  team against the total (KANSAS ST) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 25-2 UNDER  for a 93% conversion rate with a combined average of 46.8 ppg scored. 

CFBeam against the total (IOWA ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 48.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Washington St has won 2 straight conference tilts the last time as an underdog which sets up well for a win here vs a inconsistent Stanford allowing 60 more yards than they gain and that has lost 2 of their L/3 games. 
WASHINGTON ST is 13-1 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog.  WASHINGTON ST is 15-1 ATS   off an upset win as a home underdog 

Washington State has won the last four meetings in this series  including 3 as underdogs. 

WASHINGTON ST is 22-9 ATS  versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.75  or more rushing yards/carry.

CFB  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 21-50 for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington St to cover 

Despite of starting their season at 0-5 the  UNLV Rebels  have been competitive of late as was evident in their L/2 road games against Fresno State losing by a 38-30 count and a 24-17 defeat to UTSA. Now here in their home opener vs. Utah State Im betting UNLV has the weapons to cover here vs a Aggies side that can score in bunches, but can also allow a boatload full of points. 

Rebels are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

Play on UNLV to cover

Mississippi State is off a bye week and well prepared to take on the Tide. I know there is a perception that Saban and company will be pissed after getting upset last time out and be ready to breath fire, but Im betting it wont be that easy. Note:  Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 0-5 ATS with the Tide  during the regular season in his career when coming off his first loss of the campaign  and going against an above .500 side like Mississippi State. 

CFB Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - off a win against a conference rival, after the first month of the season are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miss State to cover 

The Golden Flashes have to be respected in their current form as this sit at the top of the  MAC East Division . They have taken on big 12   Texas A&M and  a couple of Big Ten sides ie  (Iowa and Maryland), and are battle tested .   Last week they smashed a pretty good  Buffalo program  accumulating a whopping  633 yards of offence and are capable of really making  a strong Western Michigan ise feel the heat here this week. Im betting  KSU QB Dustin Crum  be the difference maker with his arm and legs.

Golden Flashes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Golden Flashes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Golden Flashes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games.

Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Play on Kent State to cover 

Wow. Big win for Iowa last week, as they came back to win 23-20 after knocking the Penn State Lions starting QB out of the game. This is a huge letdown spot for Iowa and a competitive  Purdue team   will be ready to take advantage of the situation. Iowa HC Ferentz  as a favorite in conference games after defeating an undefeated side , is 0-4-1 ATS  L/5 at home, as well as 0-4-1 ATS vs an above .500 opponent like Purdue .

Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Boilermakers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.

Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa.

Play on Purdue Boilermakers to cover 

 IOWA is 15-3 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.8 ppg scored. 

CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (PURDUE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-2 with the average combined score clicking in at 34.6 ppg. 

Play UNDER

Im betting on Wyoming pounding away on the ground and for the home town crowd and thin air of Larime to make life difficult for visiting Fresno this Saturday. 

Bohl is 18-9 ATS  in home games against conference opponents as the coach of WYOMING

CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (FRESNO ST) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 28-62 ATS L/5 seasons for 29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on Wyoming to cover 

 Michigan  State is having a great season so far. But their record is based on beating . sub .500 teams so I wont get to carried away with singing their praises.  Indiana head coach Tom Allen is officially on the hot seat and QB Michael Penix, Jr., needs to stand up and show some moxxy and get  some how get some redemption for an ugly start vs a over rated team with a D that allows 420 plus ypg .” Indiana is well rested and if there was ever a time they make a run its today here and now . Indiana is 4-0 ATS L/4 after a bye week. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Gophers  are. being under rated and if they had not taken a week off vs Bowling Green would be 4-1 right now instead of 3-2.  The Gophers have owned  Nebraska  in the last two here at home  spanking the Huskers  34-7 and 54-21 and today Im betting they get the job done again in the underdog role. 

MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS  vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.

Fleck is 35-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins in all games he has coached . 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Oregon and California have a long history of low scoring affairs with 9 of the L/10 meetings staying under the total. The two most recent meetings have seen 24 and 38 combined points go on the board. Rinse and repeat this Friday night. 

Wilcox is 12-4 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 47.7 ppg scored.Wilcox is 9-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 42 ppg going on the scoreboard.Wilcox is 22-11 UNDER   against conference opponents as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 46.7 ppg scored.Wilcox in 6 games   as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of CALIFORNIA has seen a combined average of 46 ppg scored. 

Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 games as a road underdog. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3 in Golden Bears last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 

Under is 9-3 in Ducks last 12 games in October.O  record.Under is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games following a bye week.

Play UNDER

 Clemson to me has been less than impressive this season with a 0-5 ATS mark, with their average margin ppg diff clicking in at just +6.4 ppg a far cry from recent seasons. Meanwhile, Coach Babers has the Orange playing some very disciplined defensive football, and they must respected on this Two TD line here at home. 

Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games .SYRACUSE is 18-3 ATS L/21 in home games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game and  11-1 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. 

Babers is 7-0 ATS  vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game as the coach of SYRACUSE. Babers is 12-3 ATS ( versus good rushing defenses - allowing  3.25 or less rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached in his career. 

CFB home team vs. the money line (SYRACUSE) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games is 46-7 L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Play on Syracuse to cover 

Marshall at .500 on the season  has not been able to get any kind of momentum this season and have continually been in close games as is evident by   four straight decisions  decided by 7 points or less.  Meanwhile, North Texas after giving Missouri all it could handle  in a 48-35 loss as a 20-point dog, and subsequent cover. In their previous tilt they also showed their ability compete in a 7 point loss to  Louisiana Tech as an 11.5-point underdog which resulted in a cover.  Im betting the Mean Green continue to conjure up the  spirits , and the gambling gods shine on their backers again here vs the Thundering Herd .MARSHALL is 0-9 ATS  L/9 after allowing 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games.

Play on the N.Texas Mean Green 

 Georgia Southern under interim head coach Kevin Whitley have looked viable.  The Eagles have won all 7 previous meetings in this series  by an average score of 35.9-11.3  (24.6 ppg diff  average) and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this Thursday night and a definite cover according to my projections. 

S ALABAMA is 15-32 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ALABAMA) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia Southern to cover 

Tulsa (1-4, 0-1) was blasted  45-10 at home by Houston and now shell shocked will go against an explosive Memphis offense again this week. 

After 3 straight wins Memphis has lost 2 straight . Note: Memphis is 18-8 ATS away versus sub .500 conference opposition  including 9-1 ATS when coming off a SUATS loss. Meanwhile, Philip Montgomery is 1-14 ATS as a home favorite of fewer than 6 points when coming off a defeat and 0-9 ATS in the last nine. In addition,

Tulsa is 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS at home in this series, and the host in Tulsa-Memphis showdowns are just 3-14-1 ATS. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

Utahs new QB Cam Rising has completed 34 of 57 passes for 319 yards this season, with 4 TDs  and has yet to be intercepted and deserves respect. Utah looked good in a win vs Washington State last week and  enter this game with a  9-1 ATS mark off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, USC despite of a boatload of 4 star prospects are enigmas at this point with inconsistent efforts and have unable to string consecutive wins on the board. 

UTAH is 45-23 ATS L/48 as a road underdogs. 

USC has failed to cover 13 of 20 as PAC 12 home favs and have failed in that role 4 of their L/5 trips to gridiron as hosts. 

CFB team (UTAH) - excellent rushing team ( 4.8 or more  YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 72-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

The KentuckyWildcats enter this game against LSU  off their first home victory over Florida since 1986 and are now in a classic emotional letdown situation. Note: Kentucky football program is 13-33 SU S in SEC games after a victory as an  SU as an underdog.With Ed Orgeron’s love affair fading with LSU faithful, you can bet he will be primed to get a win here today and will make sure his young men leave everything on the field. LSU is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25  or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. LSU is 10-1 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. Orgeron is 18-2 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of LSU.

NFL home team (KENTUCKY) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for 80% go against conversion rate.

CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 11-36 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB road team (LSU) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 36-11 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

Play on LSU to cover

Western Kentucky has a strong passing attack but today they go against a UTSA D that  ranks 6th in the conference in pass defense and 1st in total defense. On the flip-side the Hilltoppers rank 12th  in the Sunbelt in total defense while the Roadrunners rank 4th in total offense. In my humble opinion we have value with the underdog based on obvious statistical anomalies.

UTSA is 12-3 ATS L/15 as an underdog  , including 6-1 SUATS as a dog of 7 or fewer or points.

W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS  in October games over the last 2 seasons.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (W KENTUCKY) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTSA) - off a home win, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 62-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UTSA to cover 

Western Kentucky one way offensive pass crazy attack  will have problems penetrating the red zone here this week against  terrific UTSA pass defense and Im expecting UTSA to pound away on the ground here  in methodical fashion and eat up alot of clock time , which will result in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect . UTSA is 11-1 UNDER  when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons

UTSA is 12-4 UNDER in all games over the last 2 seasons. UTSA is 7-0 UNDER  vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (/UTSA W KENTUCKY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 29-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (W KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 turnovers/game committed) are 40-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

 Play UNDER 

Two strong undefeated teams go head to head here today in a huge Big 10 matchup. From the beginning of the season, I took out futures tickets on the Nittany Lions and Im not about to keep backing them in certain spots , especially as underdogs. Penn State also has revenge on board for a loss to Iowa last season. Note: Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz is 2-7 ATS as a favorite in tilts when both teams are undefeated and the opponent is seeking revenge. 

Play on Penn State to cover 

Boise State has been very competitive this season  and shown flashes of brilliance and according to my projections have the ability to hand with BYU here this afternoon. Im not basing this recommended wager on this stat but its interesting to note, that Boise State is a perfect 21-0 since 1999 in their 6th game of the season.  Also they are 21-1 SU after a loss a favorite as was the case last week vs under rated Nevada.  BYU is 10-23 ATS  in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. BYU is 10-23 ATS  in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

BOISE ST is 30-16 ATS  as an underdog since 1992.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BOISE ST) - poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game are 58-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Boise State to cover 

Colorado State is off a bye week after playing a power 5 team Iowa very tough, and are expecting a big crowd this week. However, an emotional letdown situation should be expected here, against a Spartans side that is under rated according to my power rankings  and off a win last week. 

SAN JOSE ST is 30-13 ATS  in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. SAN JOSE ST is 11-3 ATS  after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Brennan is 19-10 ATS against conference opponents as the coach of SAN JOSE ST.

Colorado State is 1-6 ATS record in this series.

CFB road team (SAN JOSE ST) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 48-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

San Jose State to cover 

 Auburn is being over rated here vs a Georgia side that despite of big numbers .  The Tigers offense  is well balanced (1,191 rushing and 1,199 passing) and the Tigers D is staunch and capable of slowing Georgias explosive attack. Note:the Tigers’ 22-6 SU and 20-8 ATS L/28 as hosts against undefeated opposition, including 8-1 ATS  as underdogs. 

Auburn to cover 

The Louisville pass defense is  the worst in the ACC. Thats not a good omen vs Virginia's QB Brennan Armstrong and the passing game are bombing away with close to 2,000 yards in the first five games of the season. Overall the Cardinal D is just downright bad and the worst in the ACC, and from matchup perspective an unfavorable situation. Louisville will battle back with some fireworks of their own, but it's their downtrodden D, that gives Virginia the edge. This game is very important to Virginia and Im betting they leave everything on field here. 

Virginia to cover 

Last week, Rutgers (3-2, 0-2) was hammered by a  52-13 count to Ohio State while Michigan State (5-0, 2-0 ) took out a lower tier  Sun Belt opponent in Western Kentucky by a 38-27 count. The Scarlet Knight looked asleep at the wheel last week, but Im betting they will be wide awake here and ready for redemption vs a side that might be just a bit over rated and vulnerable road favs. Note: The Spartans have been out-gained in their last two games while giving uo 1,000 yards.RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS  after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Huge letdown this week for Cincinnati after last weeks big time win vs Notre Dame by a 24-13 count easily covering the spread. Im expecting the Bearcats to start slowly here and for the Owls  who are uptrending in my power rankings to grab the cash as substantial underdogs. 

Temple has owned this series of late from a ATS perspective cashing 5 straight meetings and , and on a  a 5-0 ATS run as dogs of 20 or more points. 

Advantage Temple Take the points 

Houston will be a formidable opponent for Tulane , but after playing tough non-conference tilts  with games against UAB, Ole Miss and Oklahoma their more than capable of hanging tough here tonight. HC  Willie Fritz is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home in his career on Thursdays .

TULANE is 7-0 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite.

CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TULANE) - with 16 total starters returning are 72-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play on Tulane to cover 

 . BC enters this game being disrespected despite of a  4-0 record  as it prepares to play its ACC opener. vs a Clemson side that no longer sends shivers down the spines of their opponents.   Clemson's 121st-ranked offense will find the sledding tough against  BC's 20th-ranked defense and thus taking points here is an easy decision.

Clemson is last in the ACC in Yards Per Game and Points Per Game. Advantage BC to cover.

Play on BC to cover 

Stanford is coming off a loss, to UCLA that saw a 4 point difference in the fourth quarter before the Bruins scored late to pull away. The Cardinal should not be underestimated  here vs  4-0 Oregon and have shown flashes of brilliance this season, as was the case vs the USC Trojans earlier this season and are my choice getting points in this spot play. 

Shaw is 31-19 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of STANFORD.

Play on Stanford to cover 

Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin will be highly motivated to pull the upset this afternoon over former boss Nick Saban and Im betting he will get us at least the cover. He knows big Nicks ways. Im expecting future NFL QB Nick Coral  and company to do more than enough damage vs Sabans top tier D. 

Kiffin is 5-1 ATS L/6 as a DD conference dog. Ole Miss is 4-0 ATS L/4 on the road in SEC play as 14 or more point underdogs. 

Mississippi is 11-5 ATS in the last sixteen meetings, and 6-2 ATS on visitors. 

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (ALABAMA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 13-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ole Miss to cover 

Nevada is off a bye week after losing to KState. Now rejuvenated and hungry Im betting on a big effort here this week vs Boise state side that has lost the stats battles in 3 of 4 games this season. The Wolfpack Rank No. 6 overall in the nation in Returning Production  and have  all 22 returning starters from last season and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent Cowboys team that is not as dominant of Blue Carpet as the once were. 

Nevada is 6-1 ATS L/7 after a bye. Nevada is 9-1 ATS in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 7-0 ATS vs a side like Boise coming off a victory.

CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEVADA) - poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game are 54-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on Nevada to cover 

The Notre Dame Fighting  Irish have won 18 straight regular season tilts and 26 consecutive home games and  have the deeper lineup with more talent than the Bearcats. After watching the Irish against Wisconsin last weeks it's obvious their starting to jell now and are going into this game in peak condition. Hey Cincinnati is a fine team and deserve respect, but as as favorites not so much especially here on the road. It's one thing to roll up on a inconsistent Indiana side, with a negligible history and it's another thing to stroll into Notre Dame and garner a win vs the Irish. While anything is possible, taking points here is the smart money play. 

NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS  vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Kelly is 10-1 ATS  after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. Kelly is 12-2 ATS  after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.

CFB  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games are 69-32 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on Notre Dame to cover 

Minnesota was extremely impressive in  a  30-0 road shutout of Colorado a couple of weeks ago and than in a huge emotional letdown spot fell asleep at the proverbial wheel vs non conference opponents Bowling Green and lost a 14-10 sleeper. This week Im betting Minnesota being much more awake and ready for redemption against a Purdue team that is dealing with a crap load full of injuries coming into this game. 

MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS in road games vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game. MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game.

 MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons

CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 9 or more defensive starters returning are 24-12 L/29 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Home favorites (PURDUE) - after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on Minnesota to cover