The Florida Gators  defense is of the top tier variety with the speed, athleticism, on the front seven that is unmatched  against the run. With an  NFL-caliber secondary that allowed 175 yards per game, their opponents  Michigan will have alot of difficulties moving the ball down the field. Both teams I  am betting will struggle on offense, but the difference maker will come via the superior athleticism of Gators and their ability to not turn the ball over(+10), which cannot be said, about the Wolverines (-6).

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 MSU is the real deal and have proven that they are every bit as tough  on both sides  of the ball as any of the other top tier teams in the country as was the case against  Ohio State when they pulled of the win. The toughness , of the Spartans became evident to anyone who watched their games this season and are more than capable of hanging tough against a Crimson Tide offense that has had problems scoring more than 30 points this season. So if we can just get two TDs, from MSU ....getting the cover here is of the high probability type wager. Plus Spartans – Mark Dantonio and his staff are one of the very few groups in football that can duel against the brainy HC Saban and his group.

Sparty has dropped a grand total of just four games straight-up, in their l/38 overall games and posted a perfect 4-0 SUATS record in their L/4 Bowl events  the last four years. Cook is 34-4 SU as a starting QB. 

Michigan State is also 12-1-1 ATS as dogs 10 points or less and have won 9 of those games SU..Alabama Heisman winning bowl sides are 0-7 ATS as favorites  8 pts or more.

 Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cougars are a very good team, and I respect the great year, they had. But they are over matched vs a  Seminoles’  team loaded with NFL talent. Florida State is superior to the Cougars in every position except quarterback. But the top player in this game,  is super star  RB Dalvin Cook,  who Im betting will dominate vs a good but over matched D. Meanwhile, the Seminoles,  D has had a top tier year, ranking No. 12 nationally in yards per play allowed. Houston, freight train, I'm betting finally comes up a steel wall and it will hurt.  Lay the TD. 

Florida State to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Louisville has defensive stars at every level and more than a few of them are going to the NFL. They rank 25th in sacks  and will give Texas A&Ms rookie QB  some problems. On the other side of the ball, Texas A&Ms co-oridinator John Chavis has done a terrific job with the Aggies D, and they will give Louisville's rookie more than a few headaches. We have two true freshmans  QBs in a head to head battle today ....Texas A&M’s Jake Hubenak vs. Louisville’s Lamar Jackson, which means both offenses will use the run games consistently  to move the ball today, which in turn will eat up clock time and help keep this game on the low side of the  number .

Play UNDER the set total 1 unit reg selection 

Auburn (6-6) has been a disappointment all season long, and have had problems on both sides of the ball. Meanwhile, Memphis (9-3) is the real deal, and have proven their detractors wrong on a consistent basis , behind the arm of 6'7 Paxton Lynch who is probably headed to the NFL soon. Nothing changes today.

Memphis to cover 1 unit reg seletion 

Nevada owns a wildly inconsistent offense, and at the proverbial opposite end of he performance spectrum their opponents today Colorado State... do have a balanced offense. The Rams average 196 yards per game on the ground and 221 per game through the air, and Nevada's defensive front Im betting will  have alot of  issues dealing with the effective rushing attack and the secondary that’s been poroous at times this season, as they are not built  to be able to contend with the speed and athleticism of  Rashard Higgins and the Ram receiving corps. CSU has too many options on offense and if they can keep the Nevada run game under caps should actually cruise to an easy victory as short chalk in this spot. 

Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Central Michigan has , averaged 313 passing yards per game with a high-powered attack that puts up yards in giant chunks, while the defense has been equally efficient allowing just 328 yards per game.The Chippewas 5 losses were to top tier sides, as they played Oklahoma State tough in the  opener, lost on the road to Syracuse in overtime, lost to Michigan State  by DDs, but the game was far closer than than the 30-10 score would indicate, lost 41-39 at Western Michigan, and lost 28-23 to strong Toledo crew. Facing a pedestrian Minnesota offense, and a inconsistent Gophers defense, will be like a walk in the park compared to their battle tested efforts that were mentioned above. CMU’s ability to keep the chains moving, ranking fifth in the nation in time of possession will be the difference maker vs a  Gophers program that  has lost seven straight bowls. Note:The last five bowl games CMU has been involved with were decided by a  total of 13 points and all by three points or fewer. 

Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Pitt was at its best football on the road this season, going 5-1, including wins at Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech and Duke. The Panthers are a hard working crew ,  with very few big names, but they’re physical and fundamentally sound in most phases of their game.   The Panthers and the Mids  overall personnel matchup more equally than many might believe and Im betting neither one of these teams will  pull away with a wide margin of  victory. This game looks very much to be a war with the running games keying the event and a FG or late TD giving us the cover with Pittsburgh. Get ready for some Shock and Awe folks. 

Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Virginia Tech will be primed to send off Frank Beamer in style. Tulsa owns a bad defense that allows 5.5 yards per carry, despite of a wide open offense, that I'm betting will have problem against a quality D, as they gave up a whopping 38 sacks this season. Yes, I know QB Brewer and company struggled to score this season, but against this type of D, they will look like Baylor.Tulsa despite of the offensive accolades  are just  1-5 vs above .500 teams

Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In the Hoosiers’ final three games, no one held them below 41 points, including Michigan and this explosive offense averaged 36 ppg on the season  .Meanwhile,Duke despite of an overall good D, fell apart at the end of the season with four straight losses after a controversial loss to Miami Fl. After hanging tough , with Ohio State, Rutgers, Iowa and Michigan the Hoosiers are more than ready to take this opponent on. 

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

With star quarterback Luke Falk expected to return, Mike Leach will have an an advantage  to guide Washington State to its first bowl victory.Behind a prolific passing attack, the Cougars (8-4) contended this season and stayed within  reach of first place in the Pac-12 North Division to the very end before losing to Washington.Falk easily leads the nation with 387.8 passing yards per game. The Cougars can beat any secondary, and will also get a chance to pound away at a 13th ranked conference run defense that was gouged all season long allowing 210.5 ypg.Miami is  is 0-7 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 425+ yards/game losing SU by an average of 18.4 ppg. 

Washington State 1 unit reg selection to cover 

No. 1 in the nation in turnover margin, San Diego State has turned it over just 12 times all season long going giveaway-free in five of the final seven games.On the other side of the ball, the defense is a tough bunch that  has gobbled up with 31 takeaways . This year, SDSU is 8-0 when forcing two turnovers or more, while Cincinnati is 124th in the nation in turnover margin giving it up 30 times. From a mathematical perspective, if the averages continue, the Aztecs once again have a huge advantage.  Offensively, the Aztecs I'm betting will run over a porous Cincinnati defense that’s allowed 200 yards or more six times  this season with their strong run game controlling the tempo here from start to finish. With Bearcats QB Gunner Kiel , expected to the miss this game ,they are even at a further disadvantage. But if for some reason, he miraculously appears,  I am still betting San Diegos D, will make him pay for his downfield follies.  It must also be noted that Cincinnati has shown a propensity to travel badly out side of their conference, and be less than prepared consistently. With this game taking place in paradise Island , more of the same Attention deficit disorder should continue.

Cincinnati is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the SD Aztecs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SD State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Both these sides have strong QBs and downfield weapons. Western Michigan’s Zach Terrell sits third in the MAC in passing yards (3,225) . His counterpart, the heart of the Middle Tennessee State offense beats around quarterback Brent Stockstill .The Broncos’ defense ranks ninth in the MAC in yards allowed per game and passing defense efficiency and suffering with a slew of injuries and walking wounded in the secondary, which is a detriment for them today. Meanwhile, I know Western Michigan can do some damage, as mentioned above, and own No.1  time of possession numbers in the nation, which tells you something about their ball movement abilities. But the wild card comes,  via a /middle State D, that started to play much better as the season progressed and is being underestimated here. This game Im betting has the makings of a one score tilt, and wont be surprised if its won by a late FG. 

Middle Tennessee State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

These teams are two completely different football teams. Bowling Green plays a fast tempo downfield first type of offensive football behind the No.1 passer in the nation QB Matt Johsnon, while southern Georgia , is methodical in their attack behind a ground attack that averages 355.6 ypg, behind the no.1 rush offense in the nation! In this kind of matchup, and in true folklore fashion, Im betting the turtle outduels the hare. Slow and steady wins the race. Take the points with Georgia Southern 

Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Toledo and Temple both have top tier defenses, but the difference makers comes via the rockets  superior offense (more yards and Total points), that was use to trading punches with teams like Bowling Green and Northern Illinois in the MAC Conference. Temple has had alot of problems since Center Kyle Friend went down with injury and the offense, and will struggle to move the ball against a Toledo defense, with senior all stars -DT Orion Jones, and ends Allen Covington and Trent Voss anchoring what was one of the nations strongest and most under rated Ds this season.

Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection

Western Kentucky in my humble opinion is not getting the respect they deserve. It seems much of the attention for this Bowl game has been shined on the USF Bulls.  The Hilltoppers at 11-2 a Conference USA title and inclusion in the AP Top 25, tells a story of Jeff Brohm led program, that must be respected. It seems three straight blowouts of a exhausted Temple team, and a Cincinnati side that travels poorly, and horrible UCF side have set the pundits in a tizzy USF lovefest . Hey guys, I like how far the Bulls have come, and they have proven to be a pretty good team. But Western Kentucky despite of not being from a power 5 conference, are an explosive side that can compete with the best teams in the country. This game is being held in Miami and the Bulls should have alot of support, but that won't be enough to stop , an explosive offense, ranked third in the  FBS in passing yards (365.4 ypg) and fourth in scoring (44.2 ppg).  Im expecting them to  surprise the so called experts with a conclusive win.

Western Kentucky to cover 1 unitt reg selection 

   Arkansas State comes into this game hitting on all cylinders, but they maybe ready to hit a brick wall. I know LA Tech crashed and burned vs Southern Miss at the end of the season, but the Bulldogs are more than good enough to keep pace and trade punches on offense in this proverbial fist fight. 

Yes, Red Wolves will score, but so will La Tech. Actually despite of outward appearances, the  Bulldogs own a advanced and developed pro-style passing game, behind  Florida transfer QB  Jeff Driskel and a hardcore group of down field threats. Add to that  RB Kenneth Dixon, explosive legs and capable of pounding the ball down the throat of a defense that is less than staunch and you have the Bulldogs in a favorable position. Arkansas State is vulnerable on defense, allowing almost 29 points a game,  and are even worse shape after playmaking veteran Chris Stone was arrested in early December on drug charges. Redemption is the name of the game here for LA Tech as they squeeze out a victory.

LA Tech 14-3 ATS L/17 off an upset loss as a favorite.

NEW ORLEANS BOWL - Superdome - New Orleans, LA

Louisiana Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Jose State is a better team than many might believe as played  BYU extremely tough in a 17-16 loss and losing a heartbreaker at Nevada in overtime. Meanwhile, Georgia State that has come a long way after starting FBS play with a 1-24 record. They have beaten some weaker teams to get this far, but they are really over matched in my humble opinion. The reason being is that they are a pass first team and only average 3.2 ypc on with the run , and against a Spartans secondary that is allowing only 154 yards per game, GState will have its hands full getting traction.

San Jose State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Appalachian State was a superpower FCS program that turned into a superpower Sun Belt team.The Mounties bring the nation’s fifth-most efficient offense, sixth-best run defense, and 12th-best defense overall on the way to a ten-win season. Meanwhile, Ohio is also a solid team, but own a lower level of overall talent, that struggled during parts of this season, and had to finish with a three game win streak to get a bowl appearance. The difference maker is that despite of Ohio’s offense being  solid, it’s still a disaster in the red zone scoring just 77% of the time while ASU scores on whopping 89% of its opportunities. 

App State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah started 6-0 this season, with wins over Michigan and Oregon,  but faltered a bit down the stretch and fell out of contention for the pac12 championship. Utah in the past has played amazing football in the post season with a 7-1 SU record in at Bowl Games under Whittingham and overall are 10-1 SU in their L/11 Bowl Games. BYU is a public darling, but Im betting the Utes vaunted running game will be the difference maker here today. The Favorite is a perfect 9-0 SU in the Las Vegas Bowl since 2005. 

   Play on the Utah Utes to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 This is essentially a home game for the New Mexico Lobos and they will primed to pull the upset and have the guns to do it as was the case when they finished their season upending a pretty good Air Force football program as dogs. Meanwhile , Arizona finished their reg season schedule with a loss to Arizona State and lost 4 of their L/5 overall, and not happy or indifferent to  their Bowl invite. Considering the Wildcats had the 2nd worst run defense, in the SEC also does not help their cause vs a Lobos team that  garnered great success this season with a rushing attack that ranks fifth nationally in touchdowns, eighth in yards per game and an impressive 20th in yards per carry. I don't think we see the Wildcats at their best. Rodriguez is 1-14 ATS  after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of the Wildcats.

New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection

Clemson has turned the ball over 24 times this season. Thats a huge number for an elite side. I believe they are over rated, and that these turnovers eventually bite them in the butts. The Tar Heels are playing great ball and have the offensive guns and confidence to hand the Tigers a SU loss .

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

How good is Iowa?  Are they as good as their undefeated record would indicate. No matter what , I still believe that their underdog rating here is inaccurate, and from a mathematical view point Im will to lay money down on the Hawkeyes. I know Michigan State is a fine team, but Ferentz and company must not be over looked as viable opponents here on a neutral field  in Indianapolis today.

Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection 

App State according to my own numbers is far superior to South Alabama and I have no problem laying 18+ points with a well coached talented team, that has a way of beating up against less superior opponents with relentless ruthlessness.

South Alabama is 0-6 ATS L/6 when playing against a team with a winning record losing SU by 22.4 ppg . 

Appalachian State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Aztecs have ate conference opponents alive, recently covering 7 straight games , winning SU by an average of 24.8 ppg while D, has not allowed more than 14 points . San Diego State is one of the few teams in this conference that can deal well, vs a triple option offense, and is more than capable of a cover here in this spot.

San Diego State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Bill Snyder owns his opposition with a  42-1 SU record against a below .750 opponent he defeated in his most recent meeting.( West Virginia )

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I dont know what happened to the Gators last week vs Florida State,in a 27-2 loss but they are much better than that. Meanwhile, Alabama has had problems scoring this season, and eclipsing the 31 point plateau has been difficult and piercing the Gatos D, should also prove difficult. If we can get just a couple of TDs from the Gators in any way imaginable- our chances are very good for cashing a ticket in this spot  and that is what I am betting on.

Florida is a 17.5-point underdog, the biggest in the SEC title game since the Gators were favored by 24 against Arkansas in 1995.

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Western Kentucky has proven they are an elite team that can compete with the top teams in the nation. South Mississippi despite of currently being a quality football program are way out of their league here, and laying a TD  with an explosive Hilltoppers side is an easy decision.

Western Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The 14th-ranked Seminoles (9-2) and Gators (10-1) have been successful with strong defenses and power running games. Both are also young on offense and have used multiple quarterbacks. They matchup quite well, with the difference maker being home field advantage in revenge mode for a 24-19 loss last season. The Gators rank third in the nation in scoring defense and sixth in total defense. The defense ranks first or second in the SEC in yards, points allowed, sacks, interceptions and fumbles.Florida St  is just 2-2 away from Doak Campbell Stadium while averaging 16.8 points, third-worst in the ACC. 

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Vanderbilt has a great defense, but that cannot move the ball, and will once again have some huge problems scoring vs a tough Tennessee D. Vanderbilt Caleb Azubike has been yapping all week, and Im betting Tennessee will be hell bent onto shutting this guys comments down for good, with a big time DD win. 

Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama once again enters Saturday's game against rival Auburn able to secure a spot in the SEC championship game with a victory.labama has been rolling since a loss to then-No. 15 Mississippi, getting challenged only once against Tennessee.Coach Gus Malzahn says Alabama's likely the most talented team in the country, has the nation's best defensive front seven and one of the top running backs and will be ready to romp vs a Auburn , defense that ranks 11th in the league against the run.

 to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio States offense has been a concern all season long, and after scoring just 14 points in a big game vs Michigan State last week, it has become  obvious they have huge problems moving the ball. Now on the road against a Michigan defense that ranks sixth in the FBS in scoring defense (14.9 points per game) and second in total offense (263.1) those problems could very well be their downfall.

Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Terrapins interim coach Mike Locksley may be looking for work soon as he had a terrible season. With nothing left to play for here today, Im betting the home teams need for a final home win to be the difference maker.At 4-7, Rutgers' only bowl chances come with a victory. Injuries and illness have left Maryland's quarterback position in flux, and that will be their down fall today.

Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

It will be the last regular season game of Frank Beamer's 29-year career as the coach at his alma mater, but the fiesty Cavs are not going to just step aside and allow Beamer to leave College Football unscathed. I know VTech as won 11 straight games in this series, but Ending the losing streak would be a proper tribute, Cavaliers quarterback Matt Johns said. The last three meetings have been decided by a total of 17 points, and the Hokies won 24-20 last year on a touchdown pass with 1:48 remaining, and another hard fought game should be expected again with the points being golden. VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS L/8 as an underdog this season. 

Virginia  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In their last seven games, Missouri has thrown for 1,024 yards and three touchdowns – just one scoring throw in the last six games. Last week alone, Arkansas threw for 406 yards and seven touchdowns. With that said, you have to be able to score to beat Arkansas . Ok, I know Missouri has a solid D, but as the game progresses the consistent pressure of facing a big time offense will wear on them , and the Hogs will roll to a DD victory and cover. 

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Troy had looked good in three straight games prior to a loss to Southern Georgia last time out. They beat New Mexico State and LA Monroe and took an explosive Appalachian State side to the end in a 44-41 shoot out.  Meanwhile, Georgia State despite of two straight wins, is still a team that according to my numbers- is the less superior team in this matchup.  Troy is 12-3 ATS L/15 after 1 or more consecutive losses. 

Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Marshall has won 7 of their L/8 and are being disrespected on the line here in an important conference matchup. I know how explosive Western Kentucky is, but the Thundering Herd own an elite D, that is more than capable of slowing the Hilltoppers. Last season the Herd lost a 67-66 shootout vs Western Kentucky. But now wide awake and with revenge on board, Im betting the Herd  who are 14-3 SU L/17 away from home give the Hilltoppers all they can handle. The Hilltoppers are 2-10 ATS as favorites versus .500 or greater opponents, including 0-7 ATS at home.

Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Texas has won and covered five straight in this series, while Texas Tech is 2-10 ATS L/12 on the road in big 12 conference action. HC Strong of the Longhorns, needs win badly to secure a bowl game, and his team will play hard against a Texas Tech side with swiss cheese D, allowing 550 ypg, that ranks 121st in the nation .Coming into this game, the Red Raiders have accrued just 15 sacks in 11 games. On both a per-game and aggregate basis, this is by far the worst team in the conference at getting to the quarterback, which is not good vs a young QB in Heard, who when given time is dangerous.

 HC Strong vs the Red Raiders HC JKingsbry has seen his teams win by 25 and 21 points respectively and another big out put Im betting is on todays  agenda. 

Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Defense long has been the key component of Rocky Long-coached teams, and no one in the Mountain West is playing better defense than San Diego State is right now .

San Diego State has held its past 13 Mountain West opponents to less than 400 yards. The Aztecs are allowing just 287 yards per game this season and rank first in the league and sixth nationally.The Aztecs have allowed single digits in points four times this season.Long has been known for his 3-3-5 defense that is designed to bring pressure and create confusion for opposing offenses and Im betting that gives the host UNLV Rebels a boat load full of problems tonight. 

SD State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Louisville ranks 14th in the nation in total defense, giving up 311 yards per game and 11th in the country in rushing defense, allowing only 109 yard per contest. They are 34th in scoring defense, giving up only 22.3 points a game. Pittsburgh's offense has struggled at time this season, and this one will be no different.

I know the Cardinals offense remains inconsistent but QB  Bolin has been explosive at times this season ,while the Panthers secondary has been a part of some very long days this season, and could once again be smashed and gashed for a lot of yardage.

Louisville to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State football program enters this Big 10 matchup  on a 23 game win streak, as they get their first test of the season this week vs Michigan State. In some ways they have toyed with their competition and seemed less than impressive because of this. But now with something real to play for Im expecting we see the very best of the Buckeyes here, which is bad news for the Spartans. 

"We haven't really been tested," left tackle Taylor Decker said. "This is a huge gauge for us going into some of the biggest games at the end of the season, because this is the biggest game we've played yet this season.

Note: Spartans quarterback Connor Cook hurt his shoulder in last Saturday's 24-7 home win over Maryland.( This is not good news for Michigan State and part of the reason I like the Buckeyes to romp this week).

Ohio ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. top tier  teams that are  outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season like Michigan State winning SU by an average of 26 ppg. The Buckeyes are also 16-6 ATS L/22 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992.

Ohio State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium, Akron, Ohio

Akron and Buffalo enter this game with identical 5-5 records, but my own numbers suggest that the Bulls have faced the superior competetion.Buffalo stands 5-5 overall and 3-3 in MAC play after a  hard fought 41-30 loss to Northern Illinois on Nov. 11. after a 3 game win streak,  which is a top tier team , and will have them well prepared for Akron.

Last year, Buffalo cruised to a 55-24 win over Akron at UB Stadium and matchup very well vs Akron.

The Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings

AKRON is 0-10 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.

Buffalo to cover 2 unit Top selection -Generals Club Double Down Top Ticket 

Jim Harbaugh is known to be a relentless individual whose staff and players can get pretty burned out as a season progresses. The head man at Michigan is definitely an A personality. but that is not always a good thing.  Their exhausted state was evident last week vs  league-winless Indiana on Saturday barley getting the nod in OT. With Penn State  6-0 at home and coming off a needed bye week into Senior Day, I like the Nittany Lions' energy prospects much better than Michigan's.

Penn State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Air Force is on a four-game winning streak, with senior Karson Roberts  establishing himself at quarterback and playing the best football of his career.He's been spectacular during the past two wins.The surprise has been in his passing. In wins over Army and Utah State, Roberts completed 17 of 28 passes for 427 yards, or 23.7 yards per completion. This kid is now thriving in a option offense, which Im betting will give a over rated Boise State team some concerns tonight. 

Take the points 

Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UL Monroe(0-7) QB Garrett Smith should have no problem picking apart a Texas State (1-5) defense that has been porous all season long. Smith 2,033 yards and 17 touchdowns and is second on the team in rushing with 359 yard. With the under achieving Todd Berry now gone as the HC of the Warhawks Im betting the team will be feel rejuvenated and come out here and play hard vs a side that allowed 59, 49, 37, 31, 41 points in thier 5 losses. 

UL Monroe is 17-4 ATS  in road games when playing against a lower tier team with a win percentage of .250 or less.Texas State is 0-6 ATS L/6  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record.UL Monroe is 18-5 ATS L/23 as a road underdog of 7 points or less.

UL Monroe to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UCF (0-10)has had alot of problems this season, and just about anyone has followed them knows this. However, they do go against a East Carolina side   that has suddenly begun to show, alot of glaring deficiencies  , on offense  as they have scored just 14, 13, and 17 points respectively in their L/3 games. I know UCF has struggled against opposing teams passing attack, but with a two QB system now implemented by the Pirates, by two inefficient passers I'm betting sees them falter. 

E.Carolina is 0-9 ATS L/9  vs. poor passing defenses like UCF allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or less dating back to last season. E.Carolina s 2-12 ATS L/14 against conference opponents  Pirates are off aweek of rest but in the past .McNeill is just  2-10 ATS L/12 after a bye week as the coach of the Pirates.

Central Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When these teams met last season the name of the  game for the  the Rockets was establishing the run. They implemented their game plan perfectly and  ran for 325 yards and four touchdowns. Running back Kareem Hunt smashed through the  Flacons for 265 yards on 30 attempts. Im betting they plan on on force feeding the Bowling Green D, with run after run while at the same time  keeping them honest with a well timed deep throws. On the flidside Toledos D, is an elite group, and will give Bowling Greens explosive offense some problems. Three of the last four meetings between these two programs were decided by a touchdown or less. The Rockets have won five consecutive meetings against the Falcons and wont be surprised my another outright win here as underdogs. But the safest and smartest play would be to take the points, and that is what Im recommending we do. 

Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 This is a big time PAC 12 event between two top tier teams, Oregon and Stanford. Stanford is the favorite here for only the second time in the L/14 meetings, and they coincidently lost both times they laid points in this series.

Oregon has seemed less than motivated at times this season, but Im betting we see theme putting forward one of their  best efforts this week vs the Cardinal. Oregon has covered 6 straight as underdogs and have won SU 5 of those 6 times. With that said, under estimating the Ducks could be dangerous to your bankrolls, and thus we recommend backing the Oregon Ducks in this spot. 

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Red Raiders have dropped their last three games, and look very vulnerable at the moment vs a desperate Kansas State side that despite of playing some overall good football, have lost 5 straight and 4 to ranked opponents with the only clunker vs Oklahoma after losing to TCU the week before in heart breaking fashion. 

The Wildcats viable rush attack has the edge over a  Texas Tech D, that  gave up 300 yards rushing in its loss at West Virginia lat time out . The Red Raiders have given up 33 rushing TDs and 273.6 yards rushing per game and have the third worst rush defense in the nation.Kansas State QB Joe Hubene 6-4, 205-pounder has been effective running the ball, gaining 411 yards and scoring eight TDs. Kansas State 32-12 ATS (L/44 when they rush for 200 to 250 yards outscoring their opponents by an average of 23.7 ppg.

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Following a 49-29 win over TCU, the fifth-ranked Cowboys have suddenly inserted themselves into consideration for the College Football Playoff. The coaching staff knows that win means nothing if they can't keep the pedal to medal. This week has seen motivational specialists working hard to get the team ready for a Iowa State side that would love nothing more than to pull an upset. 

Iowa State  is just 11-26 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards per attempts losing SU by an average of 22.7 ppg. Gundy is 14-3 ATS  vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points per game winning SU 25.3 ppg .

Oklahoma State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Navy (7-1) ruined the unbeaten season of then-No. 15 Memphis with an big time  45-20 road victory last Saturday and will now be in a let down situation against a SMU team they may very well be over looking .

It must be noted that Navy has failed to cover 14 straight times at home off a SU underdog win.  SMU despite of being over matched  are viable, underdogs, as they average 30 points and an average of 412 ypg. 

SMU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Arkansas State is morphing into a Sun Belt power house. These teams plays fast and furious and are a bad matchup for UL Monroe side that has lost 15 o their L/16 SU vs FBS teams and have allowed 50+ points 3 times this season. 

The Red Wolves have a bye next week, so Im betting they won;t  start slow this week and leave everything on field and have no let down after upending top tier App State program last week 40-27. UL Monroes HC Berry is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games vs teams like Arkansas State that rush for 200 yards or more per game losing SU 19.1 ppg. 

Play on the Arkansas State Red Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 With the dream of a College Football Playoff berth still on the table, the 11th-ranked Gators will be primed to perform this week vs a . South Carolina football program that  ranks toward the bottom of the conference by coughing up 428.0 total yards and 27.3 points per game.Flip over to Florida and the defensive numbers rank toward the top of the SEC at averages of 288.8 yards and 14.6 points. Wht Im betting happens is that South Carolina gets very little traction of offense, while their defense gets gashed. South Carolina upset Florida last season, 23-20, so with pay back on the agenda the Gators will be wide awake and ready to perform. 

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 S.Alabama had to come from behind to beat bottom feeders Idaho last week. Before that they lost 3 of 4.  Meanwhile, UL Lafayette  has won 3 of their L/4, with the lone loss coming to power house Arkansas State.

The Ragin Cajuns continue to look like viable Sun Belt football program. 

Needless to say, from a matchup stand point, the Jaguars very much look like weak home favs here. 

S ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games against conference opponents and just 1-11 ATS L/12 in weeks 10- through 13

UL Lafayette to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Frank Beamer the soon to be retired coach of the Virginia Tech Hokies has made me alot of money over the years and tonight Im going back the ol ball coach again.( It must be noted Vtech is 14-4 ATS L/18 on the road as an underdog of 3. to 7 points.)

Im betting GTech (1-6) won't be as motivated as the Hokies, as the visitors have revenge on board for  a 27-24 loss in this series last year. Beamer is 25-9 ATS as in underdog off a loss the previous year, including 10-0 ATS from game 10 out.

It must also be noted that Gtech has failed to cover all 4 times they were favs in conference play this season. 

Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Northern Illinois proved how strong of a team they have this season, when they beat ranked Toledo last week 32-27 in the Glass Bowl. Northern Illinois as they proved with their previous victory vs the Rockets have no problems traveling as is evident by a 21-2 L/23 conference road mark which includes failing to cover only 4 of those tilts. The Huskies are also a perfect 12-0 SU/ATS vs a foe off a win under these above parameters, which the Buffaloes achieved last week in a 18-17 win vs Kent. Northern Illinois has also owned this series vs the Buffaloes, winning 7 straight, and have 5 of 7 times, all as DD favs. Now with a single digit number attached at under a TD, this game becomes a take on the road favorite. Note: HC Carey is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in November as coach of the Huskies with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 16.4 ppg. The Huskies are  12-0 ATS  L/12 off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog winning SU by an average of 21.8 ppg. 

 Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Memphis has shown themselves to have a very good team this season, and have a signature win under their belts with a win vs sec power house Ole Miss. But now comes, Navy's triple option offense. Im betting that the Middies run game and ability to control the Tigers fast snap attack, will be the difference maker this week. This one has the smell of a real stinker, for undefeated Memphis who have big games against Houston and Temple on board. NAVY is 17-4 ATS L/21 as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points.

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection

Alot has been made about how many defensive injuries the UCLA Bruins endured last week, but this week, after some practice their significant talent on the sidelines will step up against Oregon State this week. Its not like UCLA was strong defensively anyway, as the team relies on an explosive offense to pound other teams into submission. It must be noted that the Beavers have been outscored 182-87 during their five conference defeats, and only a minor miracle will keep them from getting slashed again.Oregon State upset the 19th-ranked Bruins 27-20 on the road in the previous meeting in 2012, so the Bruins wont be caught looking ahead after almost losing last week to Colorado.

OREGON ST is 2-9 ATS  as an underdog over the last couple of seasons losing SU by an average of just under 20 ppg.

UCLA to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wisconsin has an amazing defense that just keeps getting better. Maryland is a feisty team, but their offense is erratic and they wont get very much traction at all here today. On the flip-side , Wisconsin is now starting to find an offensive rhythm, as they scored 48 points last time out, and should do some decent damage vs a Terps D, that has allowed 49, 31, 31 points in their L/3 games. Wisconsin crushed Maryland last year 52-7 and even with revenge on board for the home team, they dont have the weapons to get their payback, and instead the Badgers most probably  will crush them again. 

MARYLAND is 2-10 ATS L/12  vs. elite defensive teams who give up 12 or less points per game losing SU by an average 26.5 ppg. 

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection

Notre Dame is lucky to be 7-1 on the season, as they rank 98th in red-zone offense - worst among Top 25 teams - scoring on only 78.8 percent of its chances and getting touchdowns on only 58 percent of their red-zone possessions. Talk about the luck of the Irish. Im betting this week, that luck runs out vs an under rated Pittsburgh football program. Pittsburgh lost last time out to North Carolina 26-19 , but still looked viable by slowing down the Tarheels offense as the game progressed .Thats a good omen for the Panthers this week, vs a Notre Dame team that took some scrapes and is banged up off a win vs Temple last week.The last four meetings have been decided by an average of 4.5 points. Notre Dame last visited Pittsburgh in 2013, when the Panthers beat the No. 23 Irish 28-21. Im betting on another close one here.

pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 After losing a hard fought game to Notre Dame last week, the Owls can ill afford a let down performance or another loss, or their time in the spot light will come to an end. The coaching staff knows this and will have Temple ready to play."As I told them before the game, this better not be the high point of our season," coach Matt Rhule said. "I think it just shows how good they've gotten, and they have to go finish it now."Rhule said his team may be without "a number of starters" against SMU, including running back Jahad Thomas but the back up options are solid. I have said this before and Ill say it again, RBs in College football are a dime a dozen, and Im not worried in the slightest. With SMU defense allowing an average of 46.7 points per game and some of their best D players alos missing this game with injurues, their suceptiable to getting slashed again . With that said Temples offense should do just fine, while their top tier defense, will give the 1-7 Mustangs alot of agony. SMU has dropped 23 of its last 25  games to ranked opponents, including the last nine, and I expect they lose this game in conclusive fashion again.

Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Appalachian State can take one more step toward its first Sun Belt Conference football title under the lights, in front of a national audience Thursday night.  They will prepared for a fast paced uptempo attack from Arkansas State who may now believe that is the way to take down the Mountaineers after Troy played fast and almost beat the Mounties who seemed off guard for that type of speed. Applachian State will now be prepared to slow things down, and let their hardcore defense, stop Arkansas State cold. It must be noted that they had allowed 0, 13, 3, 14, 13 points respectively in 5 straight games before last weeks anomaly.The difference, between Troy’s offense and Arkansas States's is that they rely more heavily on quick timing routes and screen passes. Arkansas State leans on the run, averaging 224 yards on the ground – 16th in the nation.Both times Appalachian State allowed more than 13 points this season were the only times the Mountaineers have allowed more than 200 passing yards. Passing hasn’t been a strength of the Red Wolves, who average 185 yards (104th overall) so Im betting their in trouble here. App States offense can be explosive and Im betting that Arkansas State won't be able to answer consistently and end up on the wrong end of a lop sided score.

Arkansas State  is 8-25 ATS L/33 against top tier  rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry.

App State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Kansas State is a good but currently struggling team, losers of four in a row. And the No. 2 Bears are unbeaten and moving toward college football's playoff as they head to Manhattan on Thursday night.The Bears may be the heavily favored group with national championship aspirations , but their recent shake-up at quarterback leaves some significant question marks.Freshman Jarrett Stidham, a year removed from leading his team to the Texas high school playoffs, will be under center for this tilt. That is alot of pressure to be playing nder  here in Manhatten against a Billy Snyder football program.

The wind was taken out of the Wildcats sails, when they blew a big halftime lead to TCU and eventually lost a few weeks ago. That defeat really hurt these young men and they have come out emotionally flat in back to back games, and now have something to prove to themselves and an allumni that has lost interest in them. Im betting on a big game from these kids, and yes maybe even a historical upset as huge home dogs.

 Kansas State is 23-9 ATS in home games off a road loss against a conference rival since 1992. HC Snyder is 20-8 ATS L/28 in home games versus good rushing teams -averaging 200+ rushing yards per game.

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Appalachian State ranks very high on my defensive charts, and even though they fell asleep at the wheel last time out against Troy., winning  a 44-41 slugfest. Before that anomaly they had allowed 0, 13, 3, 14, 13 points respectively in 5 straight games and will be ready for  a shut down performance again here vs a run first  one dimensional offensive opponent. App State can slow down the game with an aggressive running attack, and repeatedly stop Arkansas State, which will keep this contest on the low side of the number

ARKANSAS ST is 10-0 UNDER L/10 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct 75%+) with an average of 46.8 ppg. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 UNDER  when the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last few seasons, with an average of 48.8 ppg going on the score board.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

 I know alot of you are saying Im crazy, and maybe your right. Analysts on ESPN said,  that Temple had no chance of upsetting Notre Dame and were quite obnoxious about they way they put it. These same guys also said, that Memphis could not beat Ole Miss. Guess what , happened, Memphis beat them. Is Ole Miss as good as Notre Dame, ya, I would say so.  Im saying dont be shy making this bet and Don't take this very strong Owls defense lightly. Of course the Irish will come out slinging, but Temple, will play a clock game, and have the D to slow down the Irish at home and a special teams unit that can change the complexion of any game in a hurry. On the flip-side, Notre Dames defense has proven itself very inconsistent, so don't be surprised if they give up more points than many expect.

Once looked at as the eleventh or twelfth most-important game on Notre Dame’s schedule, Saturday could very well be the most important game in Temple football history.

 .

 Temple is ranked 14th nationally in total defense and eighth in scoring defense. DEFENSE wins big games. But we don't need a SU upset win, but a competitive event, with the points being golden.

In week 2 Notre Dame barely beat a Virginia team that I rate as lower than Temple, by a 34-27 count failing to cover as -14 point road chalk.

Also from a league wide trend, it must be noted that teams like Temple have won 29 of 31 times straight up under these parameters ....A home team vs. the money line  allowing 225 or less total yards per game over their last 3 games against opposition  after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game like Notre Dame just did.  

Notre Dame is also just  10-26 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play since 1992.

Temple to cover 2 unit  selection -Game of the Year - Generals Club Double Down TOP selection 

Georgia wants this game badly, and come into this contest in revenge mode for last seasons , 38-20 loss as 11.5 point chalk vs Florida. The Bulldogs can not afford another loss, and will leave everything on the field here today, making getting points a strong play . When considering both teams talent levels, I would have said, at the begining of this season, that Georgia would be the road favorite. but thanks to the Gators playing above themselves to an extent we get to bet into a FG underdog line.  I expect Georgia to use their vaunted ground attack to run the ball down the throat of host reptiles for top tier results and a cover.

Georgia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Southern Cal just snapped a two-game losing streak last week, knocking off previously unbeaten Utah 42-24, covering as a six-point home favorite. This was an emotionally charged event, mostly because of the  Sarkasian  firing, as the former coach was mismanaging  the team, because of alcohol problems. This Trojans team  has been put through alot of highs and lows this season, and not to take away from their talents, but they must be drained , rather than rejuvenated as they enter this tilt vs California. Meanwhile, Cal is coming off its poorest performance of this season, a 40-24 loss at UCLA last Thursday.  That was a letdown game for the Bears, after having out gianed Utah in their last trip to the gridiron  and still lost thanks to 6 turnovers. Now with time to regroup, this top tier Bears group will be ready to fire on all cylinders, something they can do with the best of teams, as they proved in their 5-0 start this season  behind gunslinger QB Jared Goff.

California to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When you first look at this line, its looks a little out of whack. Is Rutgers really that bad, and are the Badgers really that good.  Well , the lines-makers rarely make mistakes, and its become obvious to some of us, that yes Rutgers is pretty bad,  and that the Badgers continue to improve. Also many believe that the Badgers are a defensive clock control team, that does not win by big margins. While that maybe true to an extent, if you look at some of their recent performances, what becomes evident is that teams are having a hard time moving the chains on them and scoring. With Rutgers defense, shabby at best, even a pedestrian effort from the the Badgers offense will see them put in the high 20s  to low 30s on the board, while, Rutgers will be lucky to score more than 10 points  after getting beat up in a 49-7 loss to Ohio State las week. Defensively, Wisky is allowing 11.1 points and 279.9 yards per game.Yes Wisconsin has some injuries, but all the backups who take their place are quailty recruits with playing time behind them and they wont flinch.Rutgers also has some key players expected to miss or be less than 100% including all star WR Leonte Caroo and as team are banged up vs a bruising Ohio State matchup . The Wisconsin Badgers look for another home win to string together a four-game winning streak and Im betting they get it  and more importantly cover the all important number. 

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Rice has revenge on board here for a ugly  76-31 beardown last year to this LA Tech program. Batliff the HC of the Owls is 14-3-2 with revenge and is a perfect 6-0 ATS at home vs teams with a .333 win percentage or better. 

The Rice Owls are 15-1-1 ATS as conference home underdogs off a victory, including 12-0-1 the last thirteen.Bailiff Rice HC  is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games vs. explosive offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game. Rice is 18-3 ATS  in home games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game which happened in a win against Army last week. RICE is 12-1 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams like LA Tech averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. Meanwhile, LA Tech is 8-21 ATS  off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival which ahppened last week in a 45-16 smash down of Middle Tenn State.

Rice to cover 1 unit reg selection 

A depleted West Virginia secondary will have its hands full with TCU's Josh Doctson via QB Trevone Boykin, who leads the nation with an average of 152.4 yards receiving. Doctson has 11 TDs in his last five games and should once again have a big day vs a over rated West Virginia defense, that has allowed 44, 33, 62 points respectively in their L/3 games.The Mountaineers are more vulnerable defending the pass because of a season-ending knee injury to Karl Joseph on Oct. 6 in practice, which has proven disastrous. The safety is still tied for third in the country with five interceptions. It must also be noted that due to injuries, this TCU defense, has really begun to shine under a 4-7 formation. Its hard to believe but this Frog D , is making some big stops and will cause the Mounties some issues.

Off a bye week TCU looks strong and being under rated in this spot.

TCU is 10-1 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last  couple of  seasons winning SU by 33.7 ppg. TCU is also  8-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the last couple of seasons winning SU by an average of 34.7 ppg. 

Tcu to cover 1 unit Reg selection

E.Michigan is a horrendous team to watch. Ya they sling the ball down field well, but just stand   around like pilons on defense, as the offense waits to come back on the field.  E. Mich has allowed 58, 44, 47, 63, and 49 points respectively in their L/5 games.This Thursday night, however, the offense, Im betting wont get much traction as the defense gets smashed again vs a  Western Michigan football program that has faced Michigan state and Ohio State this season and played admirably in those contests. I also expect the E.Michigan D, to wear down to nothing as this tilt progresses, and for this contest to end in a  one sided beat down of ugly proportions. E MICHIGAN is 5-14 ATS  against conference opponents over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of 26.3 ppg. 

Western Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Utah is No. 3 in the country, and are the only undefeated school in the Pac-12. But here they are an underdog.  Many pundits may have been surprised ,but I was not. Utah needed 20 unanswered fourth-quarter points to beat Arizona State at home, and were out played at home two weeks ago vs California and had no right to win that game , but did . I believe the Utes are extremely overrated and their ranking questionable . Now this week vs an extremely talented and hungry USC team, the Utes go down to defeat. 

USC to cover 1 unit reg selection

Western Kentucky is a public darling. Everyone likes offense, and the way this team slings the ball down field, The Hiltoppers,can score in bunches , but  have not gone unnoticed by the elite teams in College Football, and after Memphis beat Ole Miss last week, you can bet that the Tigers won't be looking ahead or in trap situation, as they take their opposition lightly. Instead, the home team will be fully focused, and ready to make a statement. Hold your hats folks, the public darlings might just end up on a wrong end of a good old fashioned Boyou ass whoopin.

If you look at the  power on the rushing games and the intensity of the passing game, LSU overshadows WKU is almost all aspects of the game. Defense is what WKU would have to rely on to stop the run and pass -This WKU team gave up 38 points to Indiana and La. Tech.  They gave up 28 points to North Texas

 Does this sound like a LSU team that is looking ahead:

"This is a very good football team," Miles said. "All you have to do is watch film. ... Doughty, every bit an SEC quarterback, big,talented, strong, smart quarterback. Big arm. Again, enough (that if) you watch the film, he'll get your attention."

LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Hawaii is  playing their second straight mainland away game, and will be in a letdown mode after losing a lead last time out for a loss. They are currently on bankroll depleting  1-8 ATS run in the second of back-to-back away games and  and under  HC Chow 1-21 SU . You know how teams are distracted by visits to paradise island to play the Warriors, well the same holds true for young men visiting Reno or Vegas. I expect Nevada rolls to victory . 

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection

Despite of some strong recruiting classes, some of the best fans in the nation, and a media that constantly tells us how good the Vols will be . They just have not produced. Hopism is big in Tennessee , but the coaching and erratic QB Josh Dobbs and preparation remains behind what the pundits expect from the team. Even with a bye week, Im betting against them here in Alabama . The Crimson Tide are now starting to click on all cylinders, especially on defense , where the team held all but one of their opponents to season low yards. The Tide have won 8 straight meetings in this series by more than 23 points per game and covered the L/4 here at home in this series and  have covered 11 of their L/14 as a 11 to 19 point favorite. 

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Duke defense ranks third in the ACC overall, allowing 252.8 total yards per game, and second nationally against the pass, giving up 131.2. The Blue Devils allow an ACC-best 9.3 points per game and are well rested after a bye week and a dangerous dog in this spot. Duke is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 after a bye winning SU by an average of 7.7 ppg.  The last 2 meetings in this series were decided by a total of 4 points, and we have mucho value with a under rated underdog . 

Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cavaliers were 0-4 SU on the road last year versus the ACC and are 0-2 SU on the road this year so far. In those six games, they averaged just 16 PPG. You have to be able to score to beat a team like North Carolina. Virginia’s defense, they’re allowing 38 PPG against  FBS opposition while North Carolina's explosive offense is averaging 41 PPG on the season. Nothing is easy when it comes to wagering on College Football, many scenarios that can go against you can come back to bite you in the buttocks. But alot of the time, the numbers dont lie, and if all the facts on the ground remain the same, and Im betting we get a conclusive victory here.

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The 19th-ranked Rockets knocked off a pair of Power 5 squads to open the season and have dominated every opponent since. This team is the real deal, and must be respected.Toledo has outscored opponents 162-44 over the last four and set a season high with 611 total yards in Saturday's 63-20 win over Eastern Michigan to go 3-0 in MAC play. Meanwhile, the he Minutemen  rank an ugly 114th of 127 FBS teams in scoring defense (37.7) and 115th in yards allowed per game (489.5). Toledo's  offense averages  446.2 yards per tilt and ranked  second in the MAC and includes a conference-best 204.5 per game on the ground. With that said, Im betting laying the 14 points is a gift , even here on the road.

Teams like UMass  that are double digit dogs off a SU home favorite loss are 1-18 SU and 3-16 ATS when facing undefeated opposition like Toledo. 

Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kent State are no pushovers defensively, and wont be run over, even by an explosive Bowling Green side. Kent State has lots of work against  respected teams this season, Illinois, Minnesota and Marshall and will be nore than ready to compete vs a visiting side that they are 8-3 ATS in this series against  since 2004, including 4-0 ATS when taking 7 or more points. Kent State is also  16-6 ATS  L/22 when playing against a top tier team like Bowling Green with a Win % .600 to .750. 

Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Last week Bill Snyders Kansas State Wildcats were humiliated at home by Oklahoma. They showed up last week exhausted and in emotional letdown mode after blowing a big lead vs TCU before losing the week before. Now with redemption and looking for some lost respect I expect this fiesty group of Wildcats to give the  schizophrenic Longhorns all they can handle on their way to a cover.  Note: KANSAS ST is 16-3 ATS L/19 off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival.It must be noted that Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Texas have failed to cover 23 of the L/29 times  after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, which they did vs Oklahoma - against opposition after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game as KS was , also by Oklahoma, Kansas State has covered 4 of their L/5 visits here. HC Strong of Texas is 0-7 ATS (  after outr ushing opposition by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached .Kansas State is 18-1 ATS as a conference puppy in tilts off a SUATS loss under head coach Bill Snyder, including 17 covers in a row.

Kansas State to cover  1 unit reg selection

Clemson is 17-4 in its past 21 games - all those defeats coming in true road contests, so they are vulerable away from Death Valley. Meanwhile,Miami enters off a 30-20 victory over Virginia Tech   a heart breaking loss a week earlier to rival Florida State, and are currently in top form and are threat to Clemsons winning season. Miami Fl  HC Golden is a bankroll expanding  14-1 ATS  as a home dog of 24 or less points in his coaching career, including 10-1 ATS in conference play. The Tigers (6-0) maybe undefeated , but are just  2-10 ATS after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection

These teams successes and failures are based on their defenses. Nothing changes here today , especially with this game being played at SD State where low scoring sleepers are the  norm.
SAN DIEGO ST is 17-3 UNDER L/20   games and 9-1 in the L/10 home tilts with a combined average of 33.3 ppg getting scored.  In SD State L/11 vs Conference opponents and average of 41 combined points went on the board with the under cashing 10 of 11 times. The Aztecs have also gone under 7 straight times after a conference win, which happened last time out with an average of 38.3 ppg going on the score board!

Play under the set total 1 unit reg selection 

Georgia Southern (5-1, 3-0), which enters with the nation’s leading rushing offense ....an option team that operates out of spread formations with an average of 399 yards, is now ready to go up against a quality team , as the App State defense allows an average of just 109 rushing yards — 11th in the nation.In last season’s 34-14 victory in Statesboro, the Eagles gashed the Mountaineers for 408 yards on 60 rushes, Im betting this time around the Mounties are  better prepared for what's coming and overall will be relentless in their actions tonight, in revenge mode. App State  is one of the few teams in the nation that are built to slow down a team like Georgia Southern. Appalachian State is showing their explosiveness as they smashed an opponent for the  fourth straight week. The Mountaineers rolled to a blowout victory, reeling off 42 straight points to top Louisiana-Monroe 59-14, and I wont be surprised if this one ends in a DD  beat down as well.   Mountaineers are currently  on an 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS conference run with their only loss coming to Clemson- since mid-October of last season  .

year.Appalachian State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 In the last few years, Oregon has lost their best head coach, best player and best recruiting class (no. 10) all while the conference was seeing upgrades in coaching and recruiting.  Subsequently the Ducks were crushed by Utah earlier this season, and now its become obvious, that the Ducks are no longer and elite team. Despite of this , and because of the insurmountable pressure surrounding the coaching staff, and a still talented group, I'm expecting a top tier effort this week in Washington. It must be noted that the Ducks have not lost back-to-back games since 2007, as is evident by a 14-0 SU record . Also Washington is a ugly  0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS in this series and getting DDs each time. Has Oregon fallen off this much, I'm betting no. 

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After a big win vs California last week, I'm betting the Utes are in a letdown mode. Truth be known if, it were not for 6 interceptions, the Utes looked over matched in that contest, and have been out gained in 3 of 5 games. The big win vs Oregon  may have not been as big as thought, as Oregon has been down graded a bit after some sleepy losses. Also Arizona State has won 10 straight meetings in this series, and are 10-2 ATS L/12 on the road as 4 point dogs or more. Arizona State opened the season with a loss to Texas A&M and followed it up with two lackluster wins and  an ugly loss to USC. Since, the Sun Devils have played very good football with victories over UCLA and Colorado and an argument can be made they are the hottest team in the conference the last two weeks. If they lose this game,  a win  wont come easily for Utah. Take the points.

Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

USC  came out flat last time out, as their coach Sarkasian took the wind out of the team, as he showed up intoxicated for the game. Im not going to judge Sarkasian, but Im sure his condition has played a role in USCs struggles of late. The Trojans are a supremely talented team, and when prepared , are not a team to take lightly. With this situation cleaned up , Im betting these gifted young men come out here with something to prove. It must be noted that USC has proven itself before off a loss to bettors by cashing 13 straight tickets, as road dogs off a loss and 9 straight overall games off loss. Also USC has done well vs the South bend crew winning 10 of the L/13 meetings. Im betting on a tight game with the points becoming golden. 

USC To cover 1 unit reg selection 

You have to score to be able to keep up with  the Tar Heels. N.Carolina is diverse and explosive with the ball, smashing opponents  for an average of  40 points a game during their current  four game winning streak.  Meanwhile, Wake,  has a gazillion problems and cohesiveness  with their QBs John Wolford and Kendall Hinton on offense and  they also  can’t run the ball, and have a consistent tendency to turn it over , while averaging only 15 points per game against FBS teams. Tobacco road rivalry projection. North Carolina 41 Wake Forest 13

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

HAWAII is 4-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992

The Rainbow Warriors have been shut out  in all three trips to the mainland,. This the last place the football program wants to be as  has not notched a victory vs  New Mexico since 1991, and haven't won in Albuquerque since 1987 and are 0-5 ATS SU during that time. 

New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wyoming has lost all 6 of their games this season by DDs. HC Bohl is 1-8 ATS in lined home games with Wyoming losing by an average of 11.5 ppg. Nevada has played against the likes, of Arizona Texas A&M and stingy Buffalo, and smacked around New Mexico last time out, a team that beat the Pokes, 38-28. No reason Nevada a team looking to get above .500 on the season cant come out here and really pile up some numbers in a conclusive win. WYOMING is 0-7 ATS in home games after the first month of the season, losing SU by an average of 18.7 ppg.

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection

 After 3 straight shutouts the public loves Michigans Harbaugh and company, and that was obvious with the early line move. MSU (6-0) has consistently shown over the last few seasons, that their multiple receiver packages coupled with QB Connor Cook 29-3 record which includes having exploited every team they have played  which has led  to the nation's longest streak of 24+ points offensive outputs That makes the under rated Spartans  a dangerous opponent as underdogs vs a Michigan team that is getting far to much love here ... On the fipside.I don't see Rudock and Michigan's passing game fooling a tough Michigan State defense especially with a below average  Wolverine run game.Dantonio needs one victory to reach 100 in his head coaching career at Cincinnati and Michigan State and don't be surprised if he notches it here as an underdog. Note: Mich State is a perfect is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good rushing defenses allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards per carry winning SU by an average of 14 ppg. 

Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Oklahoma literally fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last week, when they visited the Texas Longhorns. They came in ill prepared to face Texas, and payed the price in a loss. The Sooners really heard it from their supporters, and crap was flying everywhere. Now with redemption needed, the Sooners will be in full mad dog mode. That's not a good omen for a downtrodden and deflated group of Kansas State Wildcats who blew a huge lead to TCU last week and eventually lost. It must be noted that Oklahoma is a perfect 34-0 SU L/34 after a loss. Sooners coach  Stoops is 5-0 SU against Kansas State away.

Oklahoma to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama's defense is elite -No. 1 according to my own data base numbers, but its offense and quarterback Jake Coker have been inconsistent.Texas A&M has the type of up-tempo, big-play offense that has historically given Alabama problems, so don't be surprised if this tilt resembles the close ones these teams took part  in 2012 and 2013 instead of the lopsided 59-0 beat-down last year . It seems Saban's troops only get motivated when they are off a loss, and the rest of the time this talented group just does enough to get the job done.  The Tide are under the spot light so much, that its got the point, where they treat each game like a chore. Texas A&M off a rest week, and are keyed up to avenge last seasons loss. Im betting they keep this game surprisingly close and possibly pull of the upset.

Texas A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In five games the Flashes have held opponents to 27-of-95 on third down conversion attempts.  Holding opponents to 26.3 percent ranks ninth in the nation. This is their key to a possible outright upset vs UMass this week.

Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Middle Tenn States pride was smashed down last week by Western Kentucky in a 58-28 beat-down. Now with redemption on their plates, this week at home, I'm betting this explosive side will be ready to take out their frustrations on a Florida International side that has not fared well in the past vs strong offenses that are averaging 450 + yards of offense per game, like Midd Tennessee currently is , failing to cover 12 of 14 times with the average margin of defeat coming by 32.2 ppg. 

Middle Tenn State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Marshall is a football program that has not been getting  the respect they deserve. Yes, they are rebuilding a bit after losing star QB Rakeem Cato to the Canadian Football league in the off season. But the truth is, Marshall is now adjusting, and getting better by the week, thanks to a defense that must be considered a top tier unit.  Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic is in my humble opinion getting to much respect, after losing last week to Rice at home by a 27-26 count as favs,  and  with their lone win this season coming against lower level Charlotte by a 17-7 score. In three games previous to that tilt their defense gave up 33 44 and 47 points, and Im betting they get dinged again here, while their own offense finds the going tough in the other direction. 

Florida Atlantic  is a bank roll depleting  0-7 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite losing SU by an average of 21.4 ppg . 

Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Thirteenth-ranked Ole Miss (5-1) travels to face Memphis (5-0) on Saturday.

OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. mistake prone teams  like Memphis - 60+ penalty yards per game losing SU by an a verage of 26.2 ppg. 

Ole Miss  has 11 players on the roster from the Memphis area so you can bet this team will be primed to play. Alot of pundits have also warned in social media that Ole Miss could upset -if not careful -by Memphis. This Mobile football field is a big one, and Memphis might not even have as much support as the Rebels.It's also familiar territory for Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze, who coached at a high school in Memphis for about a decade before a quick rise through the college coaching profession. Bottom line" Memphis has not faced a team the caliber of Ole Miss this season, and their numbers may mean nothing coming into this tilt vs a far superior SEC team. t\he Rebels have won six straight in the series, the past three coming by an average of 23.0 points. and Im betting on a similar outcome today. 

Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The BYU offense is kind of banged up, with key Rbs Adam Hine and Jamal Williams  down for the count and their current QB Tanner Mangum supposedly playing with a bad hamstring.  Against a under rated Cincinnati side that has lost only 2 of their L/12 games SU to two undefeated teams , BYU look like fade material at home this Friday night.

 BYU is just 3-14 ATS  in home games versus excellent offensive teams  averaging 450+ yards/game . Cincinnati is 13-4 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog and a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 after collecting 475 yards of offense last time out which happened in a 34-23 beatdown of a pretty good miami  team last time out.-BYU is in the midst of a 4 game home stand, which put this trend of bad payoff trends in play - BYU is  2-14 ATS at home off back-to-back home games, and 1-13 ATS off a Straight up  win.

Cincinnati to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When this season began alot of us believed Auburn was ready to break out, and make a run for the SEC title. Since than many bettors have turned against the Tigers. But the truth is, despite of some of the results, the Tigers are a supremely talented team, that now has a chip on their shoulders, because of the disrespect that is being heaped on them by the media. Im betting Auburn is fully awake now, and ready to get back some of that lost respect here tonight against a hard working  Kentucky team that is  getting far to much respect. Here;s a quote" “We still have a point to prove. It's going to be a big point.  That we're not as bad as people think we are," said wide receiver Melvin Ray. "We're actually a pretty good team and we know how good we are across the board. We know what we got talent-wise and ability-wise and so far we just haven't proved it.” It must be noted that the hosts have beaten and covered against their other two SEC opponents – as 7-point dogs at lowly South Carolina (26-22) and as 2.5-point home favorites vs. over rated Missouri (21-13), but they wont surprise Auburn. Book it.(AUBURN is 3-0 straight up against KENTUCKY since 1992 at Kentucky)

Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

TCUs explosive offense goes head to head with Kansas state top tier defense that has allowed 17.2 ppg.  When offense goes against defense, in a big game like this , defense almost always comes out on top. The last time the Frogs faced a defense with a heart beat was Minnesota in Week 1 and they barely pulled off the 23-17 win. The Frogs have failed to cover 4 straight in this series and are 1-9 ATS L/10 as visitors here. Bill Snyder considered to be a gridiron coaching God,  is 124-29 SU at home in his career and cashed 80 of 121 lines games and when he is off a loss (which happened last week) he has cashed 14 of his L/17 times. Kansas State is  8-0 ATS  in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The 11th-ranked Gators (5-0, 3-0 SEC) are one of the biggest surprises in college football. After close wins over East Carolina and Kentucky, Florida notched a come-from-behind victory against Tennessee and Im betting they are still over rated and over performing. The Gators have lost the last two games in the series  and I wont be surprised if they lose today.  Florida has not done well in October recent years as is evident by a  6-12 SU record in the month between 2010-2014.Grier will face  n a Missouri team that leads the conference in both total defense and scoring defense. His last road start, at Kentucky, he went 13 of 22 for 125 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. Meanwhile, Missouri  did very well when they started freshman Drew Lock in place of the suspended Maty Mauk last week, and Lock will be under center again this week. He went 21 of 28 for 136 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions to help the Tigers defeat South Carolina 24-10. This kid looks cool under pressure and will once again do well managing this offense. 

Missouri to cover 1 unit reg selection