Lafayette enters this game off a 43-14 setback to Louisiana Tech last Saturday night that lowered their record to 1-3. Now they face a Franchione coached team off a bye week. Meanwhile, with the departure of all-conference quarterback Terrance Broadway, Hudspeth and company haven’t found a consistent player behind center through four games and are going to have  a hard time keeping pace with a Texas State team that can score in bunches scoring 63 against Prarie View and 50 vs Southern Miss. Note: (UL Lafayette have failed to cover 7 of their L/8 as home favorites and lost 4 of those games straight up).

Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Poor Colorado State, this is a fine team, battling with undisciplined mistakes, as penalties are costing them wins and recognition they deserve. The Rams have out gained opponents by more than 80 yards on the season and are 34-15-1 as home dogs and are being disrespected . Hey I know Boise State is a fine team, but with a inexperienced rookie QB in Rypien a the helm of the offense, and more than two TD spread attached , the under rated home team looks dangerous. 

Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oregon’s young secondary struggled against lower tier Eastern Washington (438 passing yards, 549 total yards, five touchdowns) or Georgia State (318 yards, 431 total yards, four touchdowns) during nonconference home games against spread offenses. Oregon’s defense — which ranks 114th among 127 FBS teams in passing yardage allowed (287.2 ypg) — will face a Washington State  aerial attack offense that passed for 436 passing yards in last year’s meeting. QB Falk of the Cougars, a sophomore, leads Pac-12 quarterbacks in completion percentage (72.6) and yards per game (364.8) with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. The Cougars’ deep receiving corps promises to be a nightmarish adventure for Oregon’s secondary if Falk can handle Oregon’s pressure by making quick decisions, which he has proven without a doubt, in the past, that he can .Note: 9-2 SU is the  Record of road teams in Pac-12 games this season.

Washington State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Notre Dame fighting Irish enter this game in a natural letdown situation after a heart breaking loss to Clemson last week in Death Valley. That's not a good omen vs a Navy side in top form.

It must also be noted that the Middies are 11-1 ATS L/12 in South Bend and overall are 7-1 ATS L/8 as DD road underdogs.

Look for one of the most disciplined teams in the nation to wreak havoc with their clock controlled run game this Saturday and grab the ATS cover. 

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Texas Tech offense has been on fire to this point in the season, but from a historical perspective this is not necessarily a good thing as they are 0-6 ATS L/6 after gaining 450 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games over the last few seasons, actually losing SU by an average of 21.8 ppg.

Everyone loves an explosive offense, like the Red Raiders own, but their defense is miserable to say the least allowing 45, 55, 63 points in 3 separate games this season, so they are susceptible to being slashed. Meanwhile, Iowa State is a much better side, than some might realize , with their two losses coming to a perfect Toledo squad, and Iowa that is now making waves in the Big 10. With that said, Im expectinga much closer game than many talking heads might expect.

Take the points with Iowa State 1 unit reg selection 

Iowa State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Finishing off their nonconference slate at 3-1, the Mountaineers enter Sun Belt play on Saturday at Georgia State on a high note and just three victories from becoming bowl- eligible for the first time at the FBS level. This game really means something to them, so motivation is a factor.Since losing to Liberty last season, the Mountaineers are 9-1 SU and have found a new level of focus.App State punished Georgia State last season scoring a 44-0 win as 11 point favorites. The Mountaineers return almost their entire starting defense and offense, and so does Georgia State. The home field advantage is now reversed but the talent on the field remains the same, and the matchup very much favors the visitors to roll to another victory in the rematch. App State has already posted two 49-0 shut outs this season and Im betting GEorgia State has problems scoring again, and also struggle to App State from scoring in a boatload full of points. Meanwhile GStates defense has looked atrocious, allowing a Charlotte team that has an extremely inefficient offense to beat them 23-20 and in subsequent tilts to allow 32, 61, 41 points respectively.  With that said, look for the Mountaineers to again put up big numbers, against a  Georgia State side allowing an average of 305 passing yards — No. 119 in the nation and almost as bad against the ground game, allowing 186 yards per game.

App State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Syracuse Freshman quarterback Eric Dungey  is expected to return vs South Florida this week after sitting against LSU two weeks ago because of a head injury. Dungey stepped in for injured senior Terrel Hunt and has been a amazing. He has a 204.03 pass efficiency rating and has completed 21 of 36 passes for 428 yards and five TDs with zero interceptions and no lost fumbles, The Orange are off a bye and well rested and will be ready to take down a USF Bulls side that has lost 5 straight home coming games. It must be noted that from a CFB wide betting trend archive, that teams like like the Orange that have covered in 3 of their L/4, a top tier team with a win %.600 to .800 going against a lower tier side with a ,250 win percentage or less like South Florida  have covered 25 of their L/28 games, With that said, I look for HC Taggart and company to get ko'ed in this spot. 

Play on Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UMass has never beaten the Falcons, falling 47-42, 28-7 and 24-0 over the last three seasons .As back-to-back MAC East champions, the road to Motown goes through BG. The Falcons were picked to three-peat in the division during the preseason, and their play has lived up to  expectations thus far, netting the team road victories at Maryland (48-27) and Purdue (35-28) another near-win against Memphis in a game they should have won. They will want to make amends for that loss to their faithful alumni. With the Minutemen not exhibiting top tier excellence thus far, Im betting their injury riddled lineup get stood up and pounded in a big way here this Saturday by the Falcons . Note: Bowling Green is  is a perfect  9-0 ATS L/9 in home games vs. lower tier  defensive teams like Umass who give up 37 or more points/game winning SU by an average of 31 ppg.

 Bowling Green to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The amount of action from the public and even sharp bettors has been staggering here, and now the line has gone all the way down to -3 for Marshall which is now a take for me. Also alot of sharp money that took the 6.5 points on the opening line, is now coming back the other way. I know Marshall is no longer the team they were the last few years, but there is still a boatload full of talent here, and they must not be disrespected. Marshall only has one loss, and that was to a very good Ohio Bobcats team. Meanwhile, despite of Southern Missisppi's explosive offense, their defense has times looked porous as was the case when they allowed Texas State to put 50 points on the board,  as they own one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing over 200 yards per game on the ground. Marshall's rushing attack accounts for over 150 yards per game on the ground. Also despite of Southern Miss big time aerial attack  Marshall has proven to be one of the better teams in the country at defending the pass in 2015. With that said, I expect Marshall to feed on the home crowd and control the tempo of game via their ground attack. This will keep QB Mullens and his offense off the field for long stretches which in turn will effect their momentum.  In important conference USA game, Marshall has the experience and coaching needed to win and cover. 

Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 We have two offenses that are currently known for their prolific abilities to points on the board in bunches. But with that said, one of these teams ( Houston) also has an above average defense, that held Tulsa to just 24 points on the road last time out, and Texas State to just 14 points in their last home game, and also played tough in Louisville pulling off the 34-31 upset thanks to a bend but dont break defense . Im betting because of the short week, both sides may not be 100% and not be as explosive out of the gate as usual, and for the Cougars defense, to limit visiting SMUs scoring opportunities. I know since Chad Morris arrived on the Hilltop after five seasons as an offensive coordinator at Clemson and 16 years as a high school coach in Texas  , the Ponies looked viable again.Dont get me wrong I like SMU new direction, but it wont be easy moving the ball here tonight, and wont be surprised if Morris backs off and trys to get the ground game to control the clock.  Morris is a good coach and knows his teams limitations, and  Im betting will play this game much more conservatively than many might expect. Houston's last 29 games dating back 3 seasons has seen an average of 54.9 ppg go on the board. In home games with a  total that  is greater than or equal to 63 an average of 68.3 ppg went on the board, spanning 27 games. Houston is 8-1 UNDER L/9 times when the total is greater than or equal to 63 with an average of 56.2 ppg getting registered. Once again from a historical trends perspective,  Houston 12-1 UNDER  after gaining 300 or more rushing yards which happened against Tulsa last Saturday with both teams combining for an average 53.1 ppg going on the score board. 

Play under the set Total 1 unit reg selection

  Oregon is in a, let us just say cranky mood right now. They came out against a good Utah side,  last week at home and crapped their pants. It was ugly and humbling and something this football program did not take lightly afterwards. I know QB Mariotta is now in the NFL honing his skills, but this Oregon Ducks football team is still deep with talent. Oregon is  21-6 ATS  off a home game winning SU by an average of 10.7 ppg. Colorado is a much improved team , but this is not a good spot for them vs a extremely embarrassed Ducks side that will be hell bent on getting back their well earned respect, against a Buffs side that might be biting off more than they can chew . Im betting  the Ducks wake up out of their slumber in a big way here. Note: Crazy line movement  and most of the action was public bettors. 

Play Oregon to cover  1 unit reg selection 

 Clemson is a place no one wants to visit. Death Valley has seen visiting teams win SU just twice in their L/30 visits there. I know Notre Dame has played some great ball this season, but it seems they came flying out of the gate this season, with chips on their shoulders after many talking heads wrote them off after losing players to the NFL. Notre Dame's victories have come against opponents with combined records of 4-11. So now , reality check is now on the table in a nasty environment.Last week Notre Dame shot their wad and put 62 points up on the board vs Umass, and now a natural letdown must be expected vs a Clemson's defense  that is ranked ninth nationally in allowing 260.7 yards a game. Note: Notre Dame is just  1-11 ATS  in road games after gaining 7.25 or more yards per play last time out. The Irish are just 6-22 ATS  vs top rated defensive teams  that allow 285 or less yards per game losing SU by an average of 10.1 ppg. Irish are alos just 2-5  SU under Kelly on the road against ranked teams. Meanwhile, Clemson is 41-6 at home in seven seasons under coach Dabo Swinney and have won 11 straight. 

 Clemson to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Mississippi State's season is back on the upswing after an extremely important road win against Auburn. Meanwhile, their hosts Texas A&M after last weeks come from behind OT win against hard hitting Arkansas could find themselves short on energy, vs a nasty Bulldogs defense that held Auburn to 9 points last week. I know how much the talking heads love the Aggies, but I wont be surprised if their upset here by an under rated group. The Aggies allowed Nevada two weeks ago to score 27 points on them and had to come from behind last week in win in OT vs Arkansas, which will have them in a natural letdown scenario. Texas A&Ms coach agrees with my assessments, about the team he will face today Quote: This team has got an experienced quarterback who knows how to win and will not be intimidated, been in big environments and won big football games," Sumlin said. "... I think basically it's a team that's not getting the type of respect they should be getting. They're coming in here to prove something. You've got two very similar teams playing, so it's going to be a heckuva game." With that said, the points look to be golden. Note: Texas A&M  is 1-9 ATS ( when playing against a top-tierl team with a Win percentage of  .750 or better  over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of  8.3 ppg.

Miss State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Georgia Southern has won 3 straight and have put 40 points or more on the scoreboard  in all three behind an explosive rushing attack that logged 412 yards /on average. Thats not a good omen vs a Warhawks side that allows 4.7 yards per carry.HC Berry of ULMonroe is 0-7 ATS L/7  in home games versus top tier rushing teams  that  average 4.75 rushing yards per carry losing SU by an an average of 15.9 ppg. 

Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Georgia Tech seems to do well vs aerial attack oriented teams like North Carolina as  is  evident by a 9-2 ATS  record vs quality passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. After losing two straight games, one to Notre Dame in a hard fought affair and than a letdown loss in Duke, you can bet the Gtech will be ready to rock. It must be noted that    Tarheels HC Fedora is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games in the first half of the season. Also Im not always big on revenge angles, but this this one qualifies as N.Carolina defeated Tech last season 48-43 in a shootout and payback is at hand now. Note: North Carolina is No. 115 in the country against the run (228.8 yards per game). We all know what Gtech does well! Run baby Run!

Georgia Tech to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Duke is a fine team, but getting way to many accolades for beating a Gtech side last week in a letdown mode, after losing a heart breaker to Notre Dame. The Blue Devils were still out gained in that  game and got some breaks, so Im not all in on them, especially against this type of hardcore defense (ranking No.1 in the nation) while getting it done against  the likes of Florida State , N.Illinois holding both to season lows on offense. Boston College has covered 3 straight on the road in this series, and are capable of pulling off the SU upset. But with a TD plus point spread on our side, Im taking all the way.  Note: BC long term and under a historical pretext spanning a 58 game sample size vs  a program with a win % of .750 or better has seen an average margin of 4.2 points decide these games. 

Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama, has put itself in a must-win situation by losing at home to Mississippi a couple of weeks back. The Tide are being made underdogs for the first time since 2009. There is alot of excitement in Georgia about this game, and the possibilities .  But the truth is  Mark Richt and company almost seem like their playing scared this week. Georgia HC has been careful with his words about the game to the media, as he does not want to wake, what has been ,so far this season a sleeping giant.It must noted that Georgia is a bankroll depleting   4-18 ATS in home games when playing against a top-tier teams with a win percentage of .750 or better like Alabama . Roll Tide Roll.

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

From a league wide College football league trend archive it must be noted that teams like Buffalo that are Home underdogs off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road win like Bowling Green are a bankroll expanding 26-6 ATS for a 81% conversion rate. I know Buffalo lost to Nevada last week, but Im predicting a bounce back effort here ,  in mac play vs a Bowling Green side that just upset a Big10 opponent and could easily be in a letdown spot, vs a coach in Bulls  Leipold that must not be underestimated as a game plan tactician. It must also be noted the Buffalo is 7-0 SU in the second of back to back home games.

Play on Buffalo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Im big on Toledo this year, mostly because of the improved defense,  but this is just to many points to be laying on the road against a viable opponent in Ball State. Toledo has won their first three games, but in the past this has not always been a good omen for their covering abilities as they are just 5-17 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins losing SU by an average of 2.9 ppg. Ball State has covered 8 of the last 10 in this series at home. The line moved in a big way but +6 or better is a steal in my humble opinion. Take the points 

Ball State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Northern Illinois is a fine team, and a MAC power house. I have lots of respect for them, and they have played well this season despite of 2 straight losses to a sleepy looking Ohio State squad and feisty Boston College . But Central Michigan is a well coached squad in a home coming situation. They are just 1-3 on the season, but have played admirably vs top ranked competition playing close against Syracuse, Oklahoma State and Michigan State. Northern Illinois has lost only 3 of their L/41 MAC games, but guess who they lost all three to-yup you guessed it Central Michigan.

Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Umass has played Notre Dame, and and  improved Colorado team and Temple to start their campaign. They are now battle tested and very ready to take down a lower tiered Florida International squad on their own home turf. It must be noted the visiting Panthers are playing their 4th away contest of the season, and will be road weary and in a letdown situation after a mistake filled loss to LA Tech last time out. Im betting on up and coming star QB Blake Frohnapfel to pick apart the FIU secondary in a big way today and get us an easy cover. Umass is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6  after allowing 37 points or more last game which happened against Notre Dame. Take a minute and lay the FG.

 UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio is a very under rated side, and gave a tough Minnesota football program all they could handle last time out  in a close loss as 10 point road dogs. Now they come into face a Akron football program they have owned of late winning the L/7 meetings SU. It must be noted that Ohio HC 7-0 ATS  L/7 in road games after a loss by 3 or less points. UAkron is 0-10 ATS  off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last couple of seasons and have failed to cover 12 of their L/16 games overall. Akron's HC Bowden is 0-6 ATS  in home games in October games losing SU by an average of 11.2 ppg and is is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games in weeks 5 through 9.

Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Louisville's HC Bobby Petrino after an 1-3 start is desperate, and has seen his backers becoming less tolerant of his underachieving ways by the week, and he is on the HOT SEAT. This week against a revenge minded NC State side, that lost last year by a 30-18 count in this series, Petrino;s young talented group will be wound up and ready to play. As for the revenge factor goes, Im not overly concerned , as you don't always get what you want. Also Im not overly impressed by the faux numbers that Pack have put up vs the likes of South Alabama, Old Dominion, Eastern Kentucky and Troy. For a Cardinal side that has faced Clemson, Auburn and very under rated Houston this trip to Raleigh may seem like a Sunday walk in the park. Note : Petrino is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs an opponent of back to SUATS victories and a perfect 6-0 ATS in conference battles. 

 LOUSIVILLE TO COVER  1 unit reg selection 

Two seasons ago, Northwestern went undefeated in nonconference play and then managed one Big Ten victory the rest of the way. Northwestern has a history of early successes, going 21-3 in August and September since the start of the 2010 season. However, it's 6-14 SU record in October during that span that is troubling. Now against a very tough and physical Minnesota side, that slowed TCU down and only allowed them 23 points in the  season opener comes into Northwestern looking to pull of the upset, and cover for the 10th straight time in this series. Im betting the Gophers get it done. 

Minnesota to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Two long time rivals the Pittsburgh Panthers and VTech Hokies go head to head today and a tilt that promises to be hard hitting and close.The Panthers according to my power rankings are under rated, while VTech is over rated.  The Hokies enter this game off a failed cover, which is not a good omen for them as they are just 4-12-1 ATS L/15 in their following a failed cover game  and 1-10 ATS L/11in conference tilts. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATs L/8 in this series, and Im betting on another cover as I recommend taking the points. 

Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Mountaineers have allowed just 23 points through three games, which puts them at number one in the nation in points against.It's going to be a big test for Lincoln Riley's air raid offense who will be coaching his first Big 12 game at Oklahoma.West virginia is 10-2 ATS L/12 as conference dogs of 7 points or less.With revenge on board for a 45-33 win for Oklahoma last season , under rated West Virginia Im betting plays hard and brings home the cash!.

 WEST VIRGINIA TO COVER l 1 unit reg selection 

 Temple is playing their third straight road game, and are still pretty road weary after going against some stringent competition,  even though they are off a bye week. This situation vs a lower ranked opponent (Charlotte) will have them in a natural letdown position, which could easily make for a lackluster performance. It must be noted that historically speaking Temple's football program is just 1-29 SU L/30 in a lined road game with rest and have lost 25 straight under those parameters. By the way that one road win was by just 1 point. Charlotte enters the game after holding their own in a  17-7 home loss to an explosive Florida Atlantic side  in Conference USA play. If they can control that offense, Im betting they have a viable chance in this spot. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection   

Rebuilding Fresno state is very capable of covering the number here vs a San Jose State program that  has a coach in Caragher who is 0-9 ATS  off a road loss as the coach, something that the Spartans suffered last time out 35-21 at Oregon State. The Bulldogs put 21 points on the board vs one of the best teams in the nation Ole Miss and  scored 24 against Utah. Fresnos HC DeRuyter is 10-0 ATS against strong  rushing teams - averaging 4.75 + rushing yards/carry  like San Jose State winning SU by ana verage of 16.4 ppg. ( I know  Zach Greenlee might not  play  beause of being arrested, (party incident) but have factored in if DeRuyter opts to suspend Greenlee for Saturday’s game, the Bulldogs also have West Virginia transfer Ford Childress on the roster. Childress, a redshirt junior, started two games for the Mountaineers in 2013 and threw for 427 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. He spent the 2014 season redshirting at Trinity Valley Junior College (Texas) before landing at FSU.

Fresno State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My propietary programs rated this game very highly. Im expecting a one sided margin of vicory for a Houston team that upset Lousiville , scoring 34 points , two weeks ago and are very fresh and well rested after a bye week. 

Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS their last six at neutral sites, 1-5 ATS as a conference favorite of more than 7 points and 3-8 ATS away from home off back-to-back home games. The Aggies biggiest probelems come on the ground , as the  run defense as was evident when they surrendered 240 yards in a 56-23 win over Ball State on Sept. 12. The Aggies were also eaten alive for 285 on the ground by the physical Razorbacks last season and I can see the same thing happening again. TEXAS A&M is 1-8 ATS against quality rushing teams  averaging 4.75 or more  rushing yards per carry over the last few seasons losing SU By an average of 8.7 ppg. 

TEXAS A&M is  also a bankroll depleting 3-16 ATS   in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored .ARKANSAS football program is 11-1 ATS  in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards. Arkansas is also 21-8 ATS   in home games vs. top tier passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yard per game. 

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection

Arkansas State  is 0-12 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards  losing SU by 10.8 ppg which happend against Missouri State last time out . Toledo is 12-3 ATS L/15 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points wnning SU by an average of 14.1 ppg. Toledo beat Arkansas State away from home last season 63-44 and Im betting on  even bigger margin of  victory  this Saturday because of the Rockets upgraded defense that just held Arkansas to 12 points and Iowa State to 23 points! 

Toledo to cover 2 unit TOP selection (Generals Club Top Rated ++Blow Out Winner)

California and their high flying offense, come into Washington to go against a hardcore defense.Through three games, Washington leads the Pac-12 in scoring defense, total defense and rush defense and is one of the few teams built to stop this kind of offense. Im expecting a physical grinding close affair with the points proving golden. California is just 4-21 ATS  as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 

Washington cover  1 unit reg selection 

California and their high flying offense, come into Washington to go against a hardcore defense.Through three games, Washington leads the Pac-12 in scoring defense, total defense and rush defense and is one of the few teams built to stop this kind of offense. Because of Washington's ability to slow down the Bears and eat up clock time  Im betting this game stays under the total.  WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER   when the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last couple of seasons.

Play UNDER the set total 1 unit reg selection 

TCU is banged up with a boatload full of injuries, especially on defense where they have lost 7 defensive starters. Meanwhile, Texas Tech  3-0 has come along way, and is playing good football out of the gate this season. Tech has also won the L/4 meetings at Texas Tech all time and once again in front of a sold out crowd looks capable of putting up a strong fight and possible upset in this spot. There is a revenge factor in play here for last seasons 82-27 pounding. The embarrassment resonates, with coaches like Kingsbury and he will have his team fired up. 

Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I know that the Crimson Tide are angry, but 38 points is a big spread to cover. Saban has a history of being sub par off a loss with a 20-25 ATS mark and 3-11 ATS off one or more consecutive losses and has failed to cover in 11 of his 17 vs non conference opposition under these parameters. Lane Kiffin the Tides offensive coordinator does not have a clue to what hes doing with the talent assembled, as was evident in last weeks home loss to Ole Miss, and yes, they might roll UL Monroe today, Im betting they dont cover the number. UL Monroe is 5-1 ATS L/6 as 34 point or more underogs and  posted a 21-14 victory in the last meeting between the teams in 2007 at Alabama.

UL Monroe to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 East Carolina got clobbered by Navy last week, but I was not surprised by that. This week, after two straight losses, Im betting we see East Carolina at their best .It must be noted that VT QB Michael Brewer expected to miss 4-8 weeks ( Shoulder ).

E CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS   in home games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game. Beamer is 2-9 ATS  after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games .  VTEch is also just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favorites. HC McNeill of the Pirates  is 10-2 ATS (  after a loss by 17 or more points as the coach of E CAROLINA and is  is 5-0 ATS in his last five  versus the ACC and 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS off back-to-back losses.

 East Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Oklahoma State mostly destroyed opponents in its nonconference slate, while Texas has already been shown to be defensively challenged before beginning play in one of the nation's highest-scoring leagues. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State   is one of three FBS schools that ranks in the top 20 in scoring offense (41.7 ppg) and scoring defense (11.7). I know alot of hope, as been making the rounds in Austin this week after Jerrod Heard, making his second career start at quarterback, amassed 527 yards of offense, against what has proven to be a inconsistent California defense over the last few seasons. ( Im putting it politely, but who am /i to be politically correct, so Ill just say it......the Bears defense has been atrocious for while so Im not puting alot into that performance. 

The Cowboys got clobbered by Texas in their 2014 meeting, losing in  Stillwater by 21 points. Now Oklhoma State has revenge on board   for that loss and will be primed to add   7-0 ATS L/7 visitor ATS advantage . Oklahoma State also owns a  13-0 ATS  L/13 record as road favorite  of fess than 19 points when playing off back-to-back SU wins.

Gundy is 12-3 ATS  vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game as the coach of the Cowboys is winning SU By an average of 25.6 ppg and the Long horns qualify under those parameters 

Oklahoma State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Irish wont take this game for granted, but that is a big number to cover here. DeSpite of being ready to play , coach Brian Kelly still could have problems getting his young men in top form after a bruising hard fought win against a tough Georgia Tech side last week, as they will be in a natural letdown mode, which effect their performance out of the gate. The Irish are 29-point chalk against the Minutemen, one of the largest point spreads during Kelly's six seasons as Irish coach. No. 11 Notre Dame was 28-point favorites against Purdue in 2014 and won 30-12 , not covering. The 14th-ranked Irish were also 29.5-point favorites against Temple to open the 2013 season and won 28-6 with a no cover attached to that score. No. 11 Notre Dame also was 24.5-point favorite favorites against Boston College in 2011 and won only 16-14. Im betting on no cover here again.

NOTRE DAME is 7-20 ATS  as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.  UMass has 19 returning players and 17 retuning starters and must not be disrespected behind up and coming QB Blake Frohnapfel who threw for 393 yards vs a solid Temple defensive secondary last week in a underdog win. 

umass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio (3-0) returns 20 starters including 10 starters on offense, seven on defense and three specialists. They also return all five starters on the offensive line. This a very dangerous team, that could spring the upset here vs a Minny team that has a tendency of playing up or down to their competetion! 

Ohio to cover  1 unit reg selection 

This one is all about mathematics, and certain over projection of how good Baylor is both offensively and defensively. Rice is very under rated. Yes over matched on paper, but the number says its a take.

Rice is 8-0 ATS L/8 after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored, which happend last week.

Rice to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Stanford had a big win vs USC last time out and will now be in a letdown mode, and probably not as explosive out of the gate, vs a Oregon State side that would love to pull off an upset. The Cardinal also saw starting QB Kevin Hogan injure his ankle, and despite of it  being sore it  is luckily not broken. But with said, the QB may not start and if he does, will not be 100%.  Also if Stanford builds a good lead. Backups Ryan Burns and Keller Chryst have minimal game experience, I don't think the points will come as freely. This will give us room for back door cover. Keep an eye on True freshman quarterback Seth Collins, for OSU, this guy is the real deal, and getting better with each game out.Gary Andersen is 16-3-1 ATS As a a underdog of 3 or more points.

Play on OSU to cover 1 unit reg selection

Virginia’s 4-3 defense has six seniors slated to start this week against the Broncos, but it maters little considering  how inconsistent they have been as evident by , allowing 32.3 ppg .Two-thirds of Virginia's offense Saturday against  lower tier William and Mary who they barely beat was, 245 of 373 yards, was condensed  and squeezed into six gains of 21 to 80 yards each, wow. That tells the story of the  Cavaliers' playmakers but also their failure, to date, to consistently move the ball, especially between the tackles on the ground. Meanwhile, Boise State is limiting opponents to 1.7 yards per rush and 45.7 yards rushing per game, ranking 2nd in the nation . Im betting they force Virginia into a one dimensional aerial offense, which in turn makes them easy to read . Also Boise state has yet to name a starting quarterback,  but it'll be either sophomore Tommy Stuart or Brett Rypien, nephew of Super Bowl champ and Redskins quarterback Mark Rypien. Both bring alot of attributes to the field and Boise State Im betting will  not suffer  set backs on offense.

 BSU 20-7 ATS  L/27  in road games against below average  rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry winning SU by an average of 26.2 ppg. 

Historically speaking,  BSU is a perfect 8-0 ATS  in a game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 dating back 23 years with an average margin of victory coming by  28.2 ppg! 

Cavaliers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cincinnati QB Gunner Kiel is downgraded to doubtful Thursday vs. Memphis ( Concussion ) which will effect the Bearcats offensive output. This will in part make for a lower score than the linesmakers initially estimated. But despite of this I was still betting on this line being a little high , not because of both teams overall abilities  but because of the importance of the game, and the usual downturn a offense can take after explosive efforts returning to the mean, which my own line set at 61.5. 

Memphis long term has seen a  15-4 ledger UNDER  vs top tier offensive teams  like the Bearcats that  average 6.25 or more  yards per play. Historically speaking with Cincinnati took part in a game where 70 combined points went on the board (tallying 21 times) a average score of 51.2 ppg went on the board in the follwing bout.NOte: Cinncy took out Miami O 37-33 last week with more than 500 yards of total offense. The Bearcats have also gone under 7 straight times on the road  after accumulating 475 plus yards of offense with the average combined score clicking in at 40.6 points per game in the follow up. HC Fuente  of Memphis has seen an average of 53.1 ppg combined go on the board in home games where he is favored , dating back 12 games.

Play UNDER the set Total 1 unit reg selection 

Its all about rhythm. This game has what to me ,sounds like some slow melancholy southern Blues attached to it. As most of you know Ole Miss beat Alabama 23-17 at home last year. The Tide in revenge form Im bettling will be out to slow this game down even more than they did last season via the run,  so that they can ruin the rhythm of the Rebels offense. Its going to be much slower grinding game than many might like to believe, and thus Im betting on this tilt remaining on the low side of the number.DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENSE. Note: Espn's FPI projects that Ole Miss and Alabama are the top two defenses in the country, which for now I agree with. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The USC Trojans have come out and started their season by clobbering their first two opponents Idaho and Arkansas  State. Meanwhile, Stanford came out and started their season, in sleep mode, and woke up on the wrong side of the scoreboard in their opener vs Northwestern ,before coming back and beating up on UCF in their second game. Despite of the different, directions both teams have taken on , early this season, I still dont believe the Cardinal should be 10 point dogs here in a important conference matchup, Last season a 16 game home win streak was ended vs the TRojans by a 13-10 count, and now in revengeful fashion they would  love nothing more than to return the favor. Stanford has covered 4 of their L/5   visits here, and overall have covered 5 straight as 8 point or more dogs. USC has also failed to cover 5 of their L/6 in this series as DD favs.  HC David Shaw is also 7-1 ATS in his career as a dog, and when barking 3-0 ATS vs an undefeated opponent. 

Stanford to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Charlie Strong is on the hot seat in Texas and his job is on the line, after the Longhorns came out and looked completely out of sync in their first two games of the season.  Meanwhile, California and their explosive aerial attack, are humiliating opponents, and the lines-makers and public are in love with them, as the opening line shot up from -3 to -7 very quickly. But hold your horses, this is one very hungry and angry group the Bears are playing today, and to be honest, this is just to many points to pass up on with the home dog. California has still not proven that their defense, can remain consistent, and until they do I;ll reserve my opinion on their progression to god like gridiron status. California historically speaking has not been a good bet for their backers  under these parameters, as is evident by a 6-25 ATS mark as road favs of 8 points or less. 

Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Rams are 14-2 in their last 16 home games after last week valiant OT loss to Minnesota, including 9 of their L/10 with one loss as mentioned above coming in extra play. Meanwhile, Colorado despite of a win vs a UMass side playing their first game of the season, and showing rust , must not be considered a legitimate favorite in this rivalry game. Meanwhile, Colorado has lost 16 of their L/20 away from home, SU . Yes, I know Colorado State is a little miserable after an OT loss to Minnesota last time out but that game also solidified their confidence. The Rams are a fine team and will find a way to cover this number. (This game is being played in Denver) On a neutral field my own projections make the Rams -2 favs, so we have value here with this line. 

Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah State is one of my favorite College Football teams. They personify all that is good about the game. Very good coaching, a core of hard working lunch box types, and extremely under rated QB in Chuckie Keeton. The Aggies are as they say tough as rocks, and tenacious in their approach, as has been evident for their betting bakers as their 13-1 ATS mark as 5 point or more underdogs suggests. Washington is rebuilding and still is not 100% with their QB situation as HC Peterson Hums and Haws about you is the defintitive starter. With that said, Im betting the Aggies hang tough till the end here and cover the all important number, and possibly pull off the SU upset. 

Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Kentucky lost star running back Leon Allen for the season. Thats a huge blow, to the Hilltoppers as QB Brandon Doughty will now have problems keeping defenses honest. The Hilltopers defense remains susceptible and now against a explosive Big10 opponent like Indiana, things could get ugly fast. 

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Auburn beat LSU 41-7 last season, and I know many expect a huge revenge performance from the Tigers. However, Im not one of them. I know Auburn has not looked that impressive early on this season, but they are still a very talented team, and I expect their best of game of the early season here today in the Bayou. Add to that my power ranking suggest the Tigers are over rated and you have a situation, that screams for me to take the points with Malzahn .Les Miles has not done well in the past in conference openers in his career, covering only once in 13 tries. LSU is also just 1-8 ATS L/9 as a 7 point home  favorites or more. 

Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami enters this contest looking like a very viable team this season, and are primed to take down another opponent in a big way. I know they have been disappointing and inconsistent in the past, but for much of the year,  Al Golden coaching staff have preached about staying alert and game ready. Im betting this Canes talented group will be ready for the Cornhuskers today. It must be noted Miami Fl is 11-0-1 ATS  L/12 as non conference home favorites of 8 points or less. It must be noted that Nebraksa's head coach Riley is just 2-7 SU/ATS in non conference road openers. 

Miami Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 This is Navy's inaugural campaign as a football-only member of the AAC and Saturday's contest will mark its league debut. East Carolina is off a emotional road  loss at Florida, 31-24 and will be in a letdown spot after slogging around in the SWAMP with the Gators. * By the way don't be to impressed with that score board count as the Gators are downgraded and rebuilding this season. 

Navy, which has posted winning records in 11 of the last 12 seasons are a dangerous triple option foes. The Midshipmen boast a 58-35 mark during the eight-year tenure of HC Niumatalolo. The team is well rested and very ready to make a mark on the ACC with a opening win. 

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Umass a program with 17 returning starters , looked very rusty last week in their season opener vs Colorado, but now with a game under their belts should be ready for this home opening battle against Temple. After upsetting Penn State in their opener and than beating Cincinnati last week, Temple could very much be a letdown scenario this week, and come crashing back down to earth. Im taking the points here with the experienced home side. 

UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Memphis is a program on the rise, but being pegged as road favorites at a place like Bowling Green had me scratching my head as to the legitimacy behind the decision especially considering how well the Falcons have done in home openers winning 13 of their L/14 . I also recognize that Bowling Green has been dangerous as hosts recording a  13-4 SU mark L/17 overall which includes a 5-1 ATS mark as  non conference home dogs. Memphis beat a Kansas football program last week that is in desire straights, so this is a huge step up in competition. 

Bowling Green to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 I have not been impressed by Missouri so far this season despite of their 2-0 record.  Meanwhile, the Huskies who are also 2-0  remain a slow tempo team that can eat up clock time with their defense and ground game, and keep games close . They held their first two opponents to an average of 16 ppg and despite of this being a big upgrade in competition Im betting their style helps them cover. The Huskies have covered 10 of their L/16 as 21 points or more doggies and are 7-1 ATS L/8 as non confernce dogs of 20 or more points.  

UConn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida Atlantic is off a game against Mimai Fl, many of their players are from the Miami area, and they were hyped up for that game, not to mention, they were playing a big time name football program. They lost that game and came away battered and beaten, and their stud QB Jaquez Johnson hurt his ankle and is less than 100%. Meanwhile, Buffalo is a football team that can play two way football, and stopped Penn State cold holding them to 300 yards when they played them. The Bulls defense is staunch and must not be disrespected under any circumstances. It must be noted that FAU were favorites 4 times last season and lost all four times . ouch

Buffalo to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ill say Im sorry to Texas A&M fans before I tell you that the public is over reacting to the Aggies first two wins this season against Ball State and Arizona State. For one Ball State was able to rip off over six yards a crack and Arizona State was running relatively well vs the Aggies, and this Im betting is their achillies heel ....their run defense. Meanwhile, Nevada has the  talent  to deliver up with  big runs and alot of time consuming drives,which will keep the A&M offense off the field. The Wolfpack have been solid on  third downs so far – and able to hold Arizona to 2-of-13 conversions last week and are capable of doing the same thing to Aggies side that maybe in a bit of letdown after its first couple of tilts and bigger game on the horizon with conference action next week. 

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida State hasn't lost a regular season game since November 24, 2012 and haven't lost on the road since October 6 of that same year, but I wont be srprised if the streak ends tonight against a under rated and scrappy Boston College football program, that smashed a lower tier Howard Bisons by a 76-0 count last week. It must be noted that FSU has failed to cover 12 of their L/19 road games and 13 of their L/16 overall.  The Eagles might not have the same talent as the Seminoles, but what they do have is heart and never say die attitude. The Eagles are 13-6 ATS L/19 at home, and last season , as 16.5 point dogs almost upset FSU losing a 20-17 heart breaker. Play it again!

Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Louisville came out in their first home game of the season in lackadaisical fashion, and lost a 34-31 decision to Houston. The team, now 0-2 in my opinion was in a letdown situation, after a loss to Auburn, and than found themselves asleep at the proverbial wheel and looking ahead to this game with Clemson. This was a big mistake, and now alot of pressure is on, and Im betting the Cardinal play like their playing for their lives this week and leave everything on the field. Last year when these teams met the Clemson Tigers won by a 23-17 count, so revenge is on board.  It must be noted HC Petrino of Lousiville is   11-3 ATS L/14 in home revengers, and 8-1 SU off back to back losses.

  Play on the Louisville Cardinal to cover 1 unit reg selection (This selection can be played at +5 to +6)

 UCLA Bruins QB Rosen completed 28 of 35 passes for 351 yards and three touchdowns in a 34-16 season-opening win against Virginia. You can really see it this kid is something special. The Bruins gained 503 total yards against the Cavaliers, despite of a 10 minute discrepancy in the time of possession. Meanwhile, UNLV behind Senior quarterback Blake Decker threw for 329 yards and two scores, and the Rebels gained 493 yards of total offense. However, their defense allowed 545 yards and could easily be smashed again. Both teams can score, but both have suspicious defenses that could easily get thrashed. 

Play OVER the set Total 1 unit reg selection 

LSU's season-opening game against McNeese State was canceled due to lightning which means the Tigers may not be as tuned up as they need to be against this kind of opponent. LSU has a brand new  quarterback, Brandon Harris,  and now gets to take snaps vs a vicious and tenacious Bulldogs defense on the road in Starksville.

  Les Miles,  is a great coach, and in revenge mode for last seasons 34-29 downer in Baton Rouge , and  there is talent up and down the sidelines, but here in cowbell territory Im betting the sledding gets tough.LSU is just 6-6 on the road against SEC teams the last three seasons, including an 0-3 record against ranked teams.   The Bulldogs are 18-3 at home the last three seasons and are no pushovers. Im taking the points.

Mississippi State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Marshall vs. Ohio is a rivalry that dates back 110 years. The "Battle for the Bell" pits these two local rivals (and former conference foes) together in one of the best mid-major rivals this nation has to offer. Ohio has had the upper hand in the recent past pulling off three  wins in the L/4 in the series, but were clobbered last season by a 44-10 count and now have big time revenge on board. This season  Marshall was fortunate to knock off Purdue in their first game, after getting 4 interceptions including two picks sixes- one with just 1:31 left in the game to cover the spread. I just don't believe Marshall will be as dominant this season, and that Ohio is vastly under rated. It must be noted Frank Solich the Bobcats coach is 14-2 in home openers lifetime with the two losses coming by 3 and 7 point deficits. 

Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Western Michigan enters into this contest off a adrenalin pumping home tilt against  Big 10 power house  Michigan State last time out and will now be in a letdown mode. They lost but valiantly covered and will now be in a letdown mode, vs a triple option offense, that could cause them major problems. Meanwhile,. Willie Fritzs offense struggled last week vs West Virginia, which actaully surprised me. But Im betting they will be primed to rebound behind a running attack that averaged 383 yards per game last season. It must be noted that Western Michigan when allowing 200 or more yards on the ground have lost 15 straight games. 

Georgia Southern  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma defeated Tennessee 34-10 in Norman last time they played now its revenge time .The Volunteers have been built on top flight recruiting classes over the past three years which I am betting leads to a solid 2015 season.This is a different game than last year. Tennessee has a legitimate shot at winning this game , and with 100 thousand fans backing them the energy level behind the home team will be the difference maker.

Butch Jones is tough to play against at home, when he hosts non conference opposition winning 18 of 20 SU. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has covered just 6 of their L/16 vs non conference opposition on the road.

Neyland Stadium is going to be an amazing place to be tonight as Tennessee moves to the next level of their development with a win. 

Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

HC Kirk Ferentz and an extremely tough defense will make life difficult for Iowa State this week.  The Redbirds defense has held 11 sides to season low or 2nd lowest offensive output over the last couple of years, and are as tough a crew as could be imagined.  With revenge on board for last season 20-17 home loss as 13 point favorites to Iowa State, you can bet Iowa will be in the mood for a beat down. I know alot of these rivalry games between the two have been close , but there have been blowouts as well , with the home team only covering 11 of 35 battles.  It must be noted that Ferentz is a perfect 5-0 ATS L/5 from a previous season loss rematch.

Play on Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Colorado is on a 9 game losing streak and have lost 13 of their L/14, and Im betting things don't get suddenly better vs an under rated UMass side with 19 returning starters back in the lineup. It must be noted that Colorado has lost 14 of their L/18 at home . Their L/home win came against Hawaii by 9 points last season,  with 2 of the other three wins coming vs Central Arkansas, and CHSOU. Nothing comes easy for the Buffaloes, and UMass is the type of experienced team, that will make them work for anything they get here today. With that said, lets take the points with confidence.Colorado are far from a dominant side, and must be once again considered fade material! Yes even here at home. 

UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Jim Harbaugh is a fine coach. But here in the Wolverines second game of the season, the team might be a little gassed. There was alot of adrenalin pumping in game 1 of their season, against Utah and the team could now find itself in a letdown mode at an unfortunate time. The alumni are now, maybe a little unrealisticaly expecting a miracle to present itself becaise of the Jaws precense. But Im betting things may not go as smoothly as the fan base might expect. Meanwhile Oregon State are no pushovers with the crafty former Wisonsin HC Anderson at the helm. He knows the Big 10 like the back of his hand, and is a bankroll expanding 11-1 ATS on the road in non conference action and a perfect 9-0 ATS when getting DDs from the linesmakers. Considering the Wolverines, are 0-10 ATS L/10 vs PAC 12 opposiiton with only 2 SU wins, Im betting the Harbaugh/Wolverine road to respectability will remain rocky for alittle while longer .

Oregon State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 UConn is a program I respect and have rated them higher than many of my collegues this season. Time will tell if Im right. One thing for sure is that Army continues to grind along, with not much improvement from season to season. Running remains their strength, and so does their tradition of losing on the road, as is evident by a 0-20 SU and 1-19 ATS record in their L/20 away tilts. Last year UConn got smashed when they fell asleep at the wheel vs Army and lost as favorites by two TDS. Now this time around Im betting the Huskies are awake and ready to hammer the visitors in a start to finish wipe out. 

Connecticut to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah enters this tilt off a big time confrontation with Michigan in well advertised national televised event last Thursday. The Utes young men were sky high for that tilt and come into this rivalary game in a letdown mode, which Im betting effects their performance negatively. Meanwhile, Utah State that returns three all-MWC performers headlining a defense that ranked in the Top 30 in five categories last time out had a much easier tune up against Southern Utah, shutting them down allowing just 9 points on a total of 163 Totals yards and just 52 yards rushing on 30 touches. This week I also expect star QB Chuckie Keaton do get in some hard snaps as he is back at the helm of an offense that can be quietly explosive. 

Utah State three seasons ago won this battle in OT, and two seasons ago were leading in the th quarter before losing by 4 points. Im expecting a much closer smash up today. than the linesmakers line estimates. 

Utah State is 6-1-1 ATS L/8 road games in September. 

Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In last week’s game against Tulsa, FAU gave up 618 yards of total offense, including 424 through the air  . Needless to say its not hard to imagine Miami piling up points here today. Meanwhile,  . Against Tulsa, FAU racked up 563 yards of offense, including 300 yards rushing behind dual-threat quarterback in Jaquez Johnson. I also can see the Owls doing a little bit more than many might imagine. With that said, Im betting on this tilt to fly over the set total. 

Play OVER the set Total 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State one of the favorites for a national title this season, have some negatives to deal with in game 1 of the season vs Virginia Tech. Their junior defensive end, one if the top defensive players in the nation and projected future nfl starter, was suspended for the team's Sept. 7 opener against the Hokies.Coach Urban Myer said the suspension stemmed from a violation of team rules.  Those are not the only suspensions as Sophomore running back Jalin Marshall, junior running back Dontre Wilson and senior receiver Corey Smith also were suspended. It must be noted Jalin Marshall and Dontre Wilson - combined for 1,044 yards rushing and receiving last year on 108 carries, which averages out to 9.7 yards per touch.  I know highly hyped half back Braxton Miller is considered a backfield super athlete, but it may take time for the young man to make up for those above mentioned losses in his first game in the spot light. With that said, I expect VTechs top tier defense (line and secondary), to wreak havoc on Ohio States offensive efficiency and for their own offense  behind mini strong man tailback JC Coleman and some solid tight ends to do just enough damage to keep them from being completely humiliated by the reigning national champs.

Take the points with Frank  Beamer  and company at Lane Stadium tonight 1 unit reg selection (VTech cover). 

 The Boilermlaers should be improved this season with 16 returning starters in the fold. Meanwhile, Marshall has had to deal with the departures of versatile QB Rakeem Coto WR Tommy Shuler, and all conference center Chris Japerse and the teams best trio of DBs on defense. Im betting on a Tough under rated Big 10 team to come out and help their side get the cover. Purdue has won 13 of their L/16 season openers.

Purdue to cover  1 unit reg selection 

According to my own preseason power rankings Alabama is head and shoulders ahead of everyone on the planet when it comes to College Football. Yes even better than Ohio State.  The defense remains the most powerful front 7  in the nation . The offense is retooled and will be much better and even faster,despite of losing some key starters like WR Amari Cooper. Im expecting  Former high school All-Americans Chris Black and Robert Foster  to emerge as the top options in the passing game, and incoming freshman Calvin Ridle who has the tools to destroy records and star in the NFL. . Meanwhile,   In his first game as head coach, Paul Chryst is presented with this major challenge coaching this Wisconsin Badgers team here in the heart of south. His reconstituted offensive line Im betting will get molested by Alabama's superior defensive group, and the Tides backs will smash and grind past a defense that has a new nose tackle and inexperienced linebackers. I like the Badgers, and was mildly surprised with what they did with Auburn last bowl season, but Alabama on opening day is whole different beast. 

Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Defense should be the key for both teams successes and failures this season. The Irish return 10 defensive starters and Texas coach Charlie Strong  has proven defense is of the utmost importance and the strength of the team.The Longhorns led the Big 12 in passing defense (184.2 yards per game) and were No. 25 nationally in total defense (348.5 yards per game). The offense was the Longhorns Achilles  heal as they  ranked No. 106 nationally in scoring at just 21.4 points per game behind the  very inconsistent Tyrone Swoopes. I expect Texas will use a big dose of Johnathan Gray to run the ball alot more and base their offense on the ground game, which will eat up alot of clock. Meanwhile, Notre Dame will no longer have Everret Golson who transferred to Florida State, and will instead have an inexperienced QB in Malik Zaire at the helm of the offense. This is a big test for this talented kid and Im betting Notre Dames offense starts slowly and will use the ground game behind Tarean Folston to stay safe. Im betting on alot of grinding football action here tonight and for  a total combined score that stays on the low side of the number. 

Play UNDER the set Total 1 unit reg selection 

Georgia Southerns triple option via Time of possession is always what you're looking for as a team that likes to grind the ball alot on the ground . They can Keep a defense on the field, wear them down and frustrate them with a steady stream of four and five-yard plays. This is exhausting, and time consuming. West Virginia is experienced on defense, but no amount of experience can prepare you for this freak show. I like the Mountaineers this season, and they should be improved, but today they will have problems dealing covering this big of a spread. .Note: Backup quarterback Favian Upshaw  is no pushiver and was the fourth leading rusher in 2014 with 385 yards, he takes the place of suspended QB Kevin Ellison.

 Play on Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Owls lost their three best defensive players to graduation in linebacker Andrae Kirk, cornerback D’Joun Smith and safety Damian Parms -  former Baylor offensive coordinator Tulsa's new coach Philip Montgomery knows how to take advantage of defenses, and Im betting he engineers a way to  clobber this inexperienced crew in a big way tonight. I know Tulsa's defense is a work in progress after last seasons, ugly effort, but FAU one dimensional QB/WR combo Im betting does not have the guns to keep up with what Im betting will be an explosive Hurricane attack. Also Tulsa has big revenge on board for a 51-20 beat down last year at FAU, So there is added incentive to smash their opponents mercilessly here. 

Play on the Tulsa Hurricanne to cover 1 unit reg selection (Projected BLOWOUT winner)

Temple returns all of its starters from an extremely strong defense, which could cause major problems for a still young Nittany Lions offensive line.  Im betting the Penn State offense struggles to find their rhythm , while the Owls do just enough damage offensively for this contest to stay extremely close until the very end. 

Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Michigan State over the couple of decades have become notorious slow starters, as is evident in their last 19 road openers, where Michigan State has won only one game by more than 17 points!  Western Michigan has 16 returning starters  , and Narduzzi no longer coaching along the sidelines with Dantonio and revenge on board next time out against Oregon and you have a situation in a Kalamzoo that favors the underdog making this closer than expected  , which Im betting sees the home side covering the spread. This is a huge game for this Western Michigan school and bus loads full of fans will be there cheering their team in the most important game their current gridiron history.

Play on the Western Michigan Broncos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Up-tempo coordinator Don Bailey, who comes over from Idaho State a side that led the FCS in passing yards per game (348.1) in 2014, will Im betting present alot of problems for a defensively challenged group of Buffaloes.The Buffs ranked 102nd in the nation in rushing defense and 116th in scoring defense last season and despite of a new coridinator just dont have the talent to succeed. The Rainblow quarterbacks will operate behind an experienced line that includes 59 starts among Ben Clarke, Dejon Allen, Brenden Urban, Elijah Tupai and John Wa’a - which includes 12 returning starters for Hawaii. The Paradise Islabd  Defense includes coridinator Mason’s scheme of relentless blitzes, which should also make life difficult for team that needs time to look down field behind a pocket passer (Junior Sefo Liufau). This shapes up as the most talented team in head coach Norm Chow’s four seasons in the islands and should give a Buffs side that went 2-10 last season problems. Note: Hawaii is 5-1 ATS vs PAc 12 L/6  with all the games coming in the first month of the season .Colorado is 5-43 SU in its last 48 games as a visitor,with just one win coming by more than 5 points.

Play on the Hawaii Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Utes get alot of respect from the College Football pundits, but despite of a good season last year, they still fell apart against some quality teams and have been out gained in 35 of 50 games since joining the PAC12 I know Michigan lost , 26-10, at the Big House last season – despite out-gaining the Utes, 308-286, but payback is now on the agenda for new HC Harbaugh and company .The underdog is 31-6 ATS in Michigan’s road openers since 1978, including 7-0 ATS in season-opening tilts.

Play on the Michigan Wolverines to cover 1 unit reg selection

Gamecock ratings maybe a little over done this season thanks to the publics love fest with Steve Spurrier and his successes.  However, South Carolina has only four returning starters on offense, and may encounter chemistry problems early on . Meanwhile despite  the  defense returning much of last year squad, that unit was consistently beaten around  by top tier offenses like North Carolina owns. The defense  fell apart last season as they could not hold double digit leads with with the 2 minute clock in progress . In conference,  play  the Gamecocks held only two opponents below 34 points. Im betting they get clobbered by one of the best offenses in the country, while their own offense may not do as well as expected vs Head coach Larry Fedora  newly co-rdinated defense that hired former Auburn coach Gene Chizik to fix a unit that finished last in the conference in every major category  . Chizik is installing a base 4-3 to take the place of the 4-2-5 scheme that the Tar Heels used over the last three seasons, and players have noted that it is easier to understand and execute .

Take the points with NCarolina to cover   

Public bettors have started to pile on to the Ohio State bandwagon shortly after hearing from media out lets  that a few prominent pros had backed the Buckeyes. Personally I know quite a few wise guys from Hong Kong to Las Vegas and it seems its a 50/50 split. Personally I feel the Buckeyes defense is to soft to sustain the abuse the brusing offensive line of Oregon will inflict on them as this game progresses. Yes the Buckeyes can score, but the Ducks under rated defense  can be tough to play against as  QB Winston and Florida State experienced first hand. Note: The Ducks are 12-1 SUATS L/13  when not favored by 15 or more points.

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection

Toledo is just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in its last six bowl games. Sun Belt bowl dogs of 8 or less points like Arkansas State are 7-1-1 ATS.

Red Wolves are 12-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Red Wolves are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. MAC.Rockets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

Play on Arkansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

  Florida had some rough patches during their campaign, but the Gators finished the regular season ranked second in the SEC in total defense, allowing just 311 yards per game. The offense did struggle for the most part, but did show some flashes of moving forward with new QB Teon Harris who finished the year with 896 passing yards and seven touchdowns with three interceptions. Meanwhile, East Carolina despite of their accolades showed me that they remain an inconsistent mid level program. The back-to-back losses to Temple and Cincinnati cemented their postion with me and the loss to impotent but stunch UCF side to finish the season, made me beleive that they wouldnt do that well against this formidable SEC defense either. I know they get alot of love from the pundits and the media, and there are some good players in their lineup, but their still not the kind of team I would back consistently and certainly not today vs a Gators side that will be playing hard for a new coach (McElwain).

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I know the Saragrin ratings and overall stats when put down on paper back the Washington Huskies. But despite of the old saying, that stats dont lie,,,there is another saying that I like, much more, and that is that the stats dont tell the whole story. Defensively, the Cowboys matchup well against UW- that is fact on the ground,  and look much better.Oklahoma State played some very tough teams  Florida State: K State, Baylor, TCU which will have them ready for a side that is not in that elite status. Look for freshman QB Rudolph who has a lot of poise to surprise and give us the cover and lead the Cowboys.

Play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys to cover 1 unit reg selection 

College bowl favorite off a SU conference win as an underdog of 6 or more points if they are playing  a foe that won 6 or more games last season like Pittsburgh have failed to cover 17 of their L/19 overall . Houston has 17 returning starters and that experience makes them very tough opponents today, vs a Panthers side that has a tendency of not always being menatally ready to play. With HC Paul Cryst off to Wisonsin , Pittsburgh may not be well prepared. It must also be noted that PittU have failed to cover 8 of their L/10 as favs. 

Play on the Houston Cougars to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ohio State has as much speed as any SEC team .Ohio State is one of the best offensive teams in the country and with their speed they can attack you deep, something this version of the Crimson Tide have shown their vulnerable to. Ohio State's players have shown no sign of nerves this week in New Orleans and are playing loose as they know the pundits expect them to lose. Could a surprise be lurking in New Orleans today and a possible upset? I wouldnt be that surprised, but more importantly I believe the Buckeyes can stay close and get us the cover. 

Ohio State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida State is over rated. Yes, the defending National Champs are over rated and lucky to be here. They flirted with near losses almost the entire season, and made far to many come from behind victories. One thing Im betting on is Oregons explosive offense, to explode on the Seminoles porous defense. Im betting their will be little mercy shown by the Ducks as the respect factor will be in play. That respect will come for  QB Winston and an offense that is extremely dangerous. Peddle to the metal is what Im betting on and wont be surprised if all of Florida States karmic energy suddenly evaporates just like an over used credit card. End game and party over for FSU as  Heisman QB Mariota makes a Rose Bowl mark on the history books . 

Play on Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Baylor offensive and defensive line might be the most physical Michigan State has met up with all season long. The Bears are a little soft in the secondary, but the front seven is solid and will challenge the Spartans' run game in a big way. Baylors offense cannot easily be stopped, no matter how staunch a defense may be percieved and their going to score and score in bunches. This game takes place in Texas, and after being shunned from a play off spot by the national selections committee you can bet the fans and the Baylor Bears will be ready to send a message. 

Play on the Baylor Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Badgers won seven straight games to run away with the Big Ten West Division title. Their defense was one of the best in the nation all season long, and as the season progressed the offense started to explode as well. Yes they were annhilated in the Big10 Champinship game by Ohio State, but this Wisconsin team and program has to many quality players and people both on the field and side lines to stay down. Auburn will have their hands full today. 

LATE STEAM- Wisonsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

We all know how explosive an offense the Horned Frogs own behind QB Trevon Boykin. I know Ole Miss has a very athletic tenacious defense, but they have not faced this effecient of an offense this season. What most pundits also dont realize is how good the TCU defense is . and today Im betting the general college football enthusiast finds out how tough a Paul Dawson led group can be. Ole Miss is a fine team, but Gary Pattersons current football program at TCU is superior in my opinion, and feeling a little disrespected , after not getting a shot in the play offs, which makes them even more dangerous than usual. 

Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Georgia scored over 41 points per game, which was No. 1 in the SEC. They put points on the board in bunches vs some very staunch defenses. New offensive play caller Lily one of the tight end coaches, is well respected and he will be looking to make a mark here in the Belk Bowl as he replaces BoBo, Im expecting offensive fireworks. Meanwhile,  The Cardinals’ offense also finished the season on a roll, scoring 30 or more points in five straight games. Needless to say both teams can put points on the board quickly. As far as defense goes, both are over rated in my personal opinion. The Bulldogs allowed 4 of their L/6 opponents 30 or more points. Louisivlle allowed FSU 42, ND 28, Kentucky 40 points in 3 of their L/4 games . Im also willing to bet that Louisvilles staunch run defense, has finally met its match against future star Back  Nick Chubb who had 100+ yards in all 7 of his starts. With that said, Im expecting alot of points to go on the board today in what should be a back forth affair.

Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 games overall.Over is 20-7 in Bulldogs last 27 games overall.Over is 15-6 in Bulldogs last 21 non-conference games.

Play on the OVER 2 unit Generals Club Top Ticket  - College Football Bowl Game of the Year 

Arkansas shutout both LSU and Ole Miss in back to back games, which to me tells an amzing story about one of the most under rated defenses in the nation. I personally believe that Texas QB Tyrone Swoopes is not ready for what is coming his way, and I wont be surprised by another similar 5 turnover day like he experienced against TCU.

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Sun Devils look like a potential front-runner in the South division of the PAC12 in 2015 and must not be underestimated as a national contender. Yes, I know they fell asleep at the proverbial wheel at some critical times this season, but this is still a top tier team when focused. Meanwhile, Duke is a team that has looked lost at times this season despite of their overall successes. It important to note that offensively capable teams like Pittsburgh U, and North Carolina really gave the Blue Devils some problems this season, and now here comes an even more explosive ASU offense. 

Play on ASU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Frank Beamers VTech team was  puzzling this season. They went into Ohio State and controlled  the game from the get go. It was like the old days were back. Than suddenly East Carolina upset them, and then the Hokies hit rock bottom in a 6-3 double-overtime loss to Wake Forest, a game that was scoreless at the end of regulation. Wow, talk about bi polar extremes. Now there are unhappy boosters at Virginia Tech and their not happy with the program’s current direction.  Needless to say Frank Beamer’s  on the hot seat . The motivation for the Hokies during bowl practices  was said to be sky high  and its needs to be to quiet Beamer’s critics and potentially save his job.

VTech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 North Carolina has quality wins against Georgia Tech and Duke, thanks to an offense that must be considered elite. The defesne was their achilles heal this season, but  now with a new defensive co-oridnator this team is very dangerous. Meanwhile, Rutgers despite of almost a months rest  has eight key players, including six starters, listed on its injury report. North Carolina get the nod. 

Play on North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection

 HC Tim Beckman rallied his  Illini to consecutive wins over Penn State and Northwestern over the final two weeks of the regular season to earn a bowl bid.After getting beat up on by some quality opponents in the middle of their campaign and facing plenty of tough questions about the future of the program, Illinois has a chance to finish with a winning record and Im betting they will be motivated. I know, LA Tech is a fine team, but after being humiliated by Marshall in the championship game, they may find it difficult to be up going into this game. The Bulldogs proved in losing games to Old Dominion and Northwestern State that they have a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel. 

Play on the Illinois Illini to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 I know San Diego State is playing on their own turf this week, but bowl hosts have lost 4 of 6 bowl games of late. It must also be noted that the biggest naval base in the US West Coast is just down the road, which translates into a huge support base for the Middies here today.   Navy is 13-1 ATS mark off a SU win versus Mountain West sides!

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

BYU began their season with a  4-0 record, with three wins over Power 5 teams, none more impressive than a 41-7 blow out of Texas in Week 2. They have finsihed off their reg season schedule withFour straight wins without injured starting QB Hill to end the season, which has also been impressive. Im betting on this tough group finsihing their season in winning fashion.

Play on the BYU Cougars to cover 1 unit reg selection 

  Utah State owns a  a tough group of never say defensive players. Im sure their not in a good mood after surrendering 50 points and 498 total offensive yards to Boise State in the regular-season finale. How embarrssin that must of been for that proud group of young men.  After having their five game win streak end in humiliating fashion you can bet they will be fired up to get some redmeption back before the long hard winter sets in.  

Play on the Utah State Aggies to cover 1 unit reg selection