Ohio State has out gained every opponent they have faced this season. Wisoncins 7 game win streak, has the pundits in a big time love affair with them this week, but Im not love struck, and will take the very viable underdog in this spot. HC Meyer is a perfect 7-0 ATS L/7 as an underdog or pick. Note: In the last 46 games vs. Wisconsin, Ohio State was favored in an astounding 44 of those matchups. The only two occasions they were the underdog, the Buckeyes won the game outright.

Play on Ohio State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

GTech ha pounded its way to a 5-0 ATS run winning 3 straight SU as underdogs. Paul  Johnsons aggressive run attack is averaging 5.96 YPC. Meanwhile, Florida State has consistently escaped losses, thanks to a few explosive plays in each game this season. Six straight games they have come from behind, but that luck, Im betting runs out here today. Florida State has alot of glaring weaknesses, and still getting far to much respect for last years championship season.

Gtech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kansas State is one of the most disciplined well coached teams in the country. They are overall a tough group with a never say die attitude. Baylor is a fine opponent, with an explosive offense, but , they have had a tendency for bi polar  inconsistencies, and with all the pressure they face here late in the season, Im betting they  tighten up a bit. That is not a good omen against a tough -defense like they will face today. It must be noted that  the Wildcats are 7-0 ATS with Big 12 revenge, 10-2 ATS against .700 or better conference opponents  and 5-1 ATS as conference underdogs of 8 or more points..

kansas state to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Marshall Thundering Herd has some prolific numbers on offense this season, but those numbers were buoyed by the fact that they did not play against any Power Five teams in their four non-conference games. Marshall hasn't faced a defense like Tech's, a unit that leads the country in turnovers gained (36) and points off turnovers (150). Im betting on LA Tech aggressive hard hitting defense to win over the Herds explosive offense. 

Take the points with LA Tech to cover 

The Huskies are taking on Bowling Green for the second straight season on Friday night. A year ago, Northern Illinois came into Ford Field with a 12-0 record and hoping for a second-straight BCS berth, only to be blown out 47-27 by the Falcons. Now payback is on the agenda this Friday night. Im betting on the Huskies getting it vs a lucky Bowling Green side that has allowed an average of 501 ypg this season. 

Play on the Northern Illinois Huskies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

"You know what they say always? Defense wins championships and literally we gotta try to prove that this week," UCF senior linebacker Terrance Plummer said.

I could not agree with him more. Defense is the key here today, against a aggressive, but not always consistent East Carolina offense. 

The Knights own the No. 4 total defense and  are playing their brst football of the season  as they prepare to face one of the best passing teams they've seen all season.

East Carolina is expected to force a faster tempo, but defensive lineman Miles Pace said that won't be a problem because UCF always runs up-tempo practices.

UCF (8-3 overall, 6-1 AAC)  has the big time mental edge headed into Thursday's prime-time contest. With two losses on the record, East Carolina (8-3 overall, 5-2 AAC) is already out of the conference title race.

Central Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cougars’ head coach Mike Leach is 11-1 SU in Last Home Games of the season, With a great rookie QB firing on all cylinders behind a take no prisoners aerial attack, I wont be surprised of the home team pulls of a straight up upset vs a Huskies side that has lost 5 of their L/8 overall.

Play on the Washington State Cougars 1 unit reg selection 

 Its almost a weekly occurrence now, as Florida State seems to find a way out of bad situations  and turn losses into wins. Its been  a long time since I have seen a team get so lucky. This week the party might come to end, but more importantly as far as we are concerend we are backing a side tht can get us a cover (Florida). It must be noted tha the Seminoles are a ugly 2-11 ATS as home favorites of 14 or less points.

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Cougars last three wins were against inferior competition , so all the media hoopla associated with their run should be taken with a grain of salt.  Meanwhile, California has come along way since last year, thanks a offense that can score against some of the best teams in the nation, averaging 38.5 ppg. BYUs defense is far from strong and should easily get sliced and diced today. I know the Bears D is also bad, but the offenses that have beaten up on them are much better than Cougar opposition, so they will be ready today for the Cougars attack.

Play on California to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Big time rivalry game. With two teams entering this game with top tier teams. It should be an absolute war with the points Im betting be golden.It must be noted that the Rebs defense is 90 ypg better on the stat sheet than Mississippi State. Ole Miss Rebel head coach Hugh Freeze is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in his career as a single-digit underdog. 

Play on Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Coach Larry Blakeney concludes his 25th and fi nal season for Troy here a tVeterans Memorial Stadium this Saturday. His team will be jacked up and motivated to perform.The Trojans lost UL Lafayette last year, and now have revenge on board.The Trojans are 5-0 ATS as conference dogs of 6 or more points when looking for revenge..

Play on the Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Since defeating Wake Forest 30-7 on Oct. 18, Syracuse has scored a total of 40 points in its last four games. Its obvious the Orange offense is struggling, and will once again have difficulty scoring this week vs a staunch BC D. Syracuse defeated Boston College last year , in a 34-31 game. Revenge is now on board and BC will be looking to get it and build on the confidence associated by almost upseting the defending national champion Florida State Seminoles last week as they play for play off Bowl considerations .

Play on the Boston College Eagles 1 unit reg selection 

This is a three-touchdown spread, the highest in at least 29 years of this rivalry. Sure its a game both teams have circled on their calenders, but all the more reason to like a top tier team like Ohio State, that  is guaranteed to be awake and ready to play.  Especially after last years near fatal miss in Ann Arbor.With the selection committee watching, and play off implications pending, you can bet the Buckeyes will be ready to impress with a huge win.

Play on Ohio State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 No matter what the Bulldogs say Im betting their spirits are a little on the down side today, as. No. 17 Missouri (10-2) rallied to beat Arkansas 21-14 on Friday, clinching the SEC East. Meanwhile, The Yellow Jackets already have clinched a spot against top-ranked Florida State in the Atlantic Coast championship game and are in the running for an Orange Bowl berth.The Yellow Jackets are also eager to make up for 2013's double-overtime loss to Georgia, in which the Yellow Jackets squandered a 20-0 lead.The difference makers today will come via Georgia Techs No.1 conversion rate on third down, moving the chains an amazing 58.3 percent of the time (77 of 132). The Yellow Jackets aren't too bad when they go for it on fourth down, either, making 9 of 13 (69 percent).

Play on GTech to cover  1 unit reg selection 

Play UNDER the set Total 1 unit reg selection 

LATE STEAM 

Indiana played well against Ohio State last week, and have made positive adjustments because of key injuries. The key to this predicted win will be from super star RB Tevin Coleman, who needs just  94 yards to reach 2,000 this season. Purdue cant stop him.

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Cardinal (6-5, 4-4) have won six straight meetings between the California schools heading into the Cardinal's latest trip to the Rose Bowl on Friday vs UCLA. Hundley and Mora have lost three times to Kevin Hogan and coach David Shaw in the previous two years alone. UCLA's offense has scored at least 30 points in seven of its last eight games, but Stanford has allowed 30 points just once this season. I know alot of pundits think that the Bruins will be ready for the Cards but no matter what Im still thinking that after playing and beating the USC Trojans last week they will be in a let down situation. It must be noted that UCLA has failed to cover 5 straight times after playing USC and failed to cover 4 straight in back to back home games.

Play on Stanford to cover 1 unit reg selection 

A MAC title is no longer possible, and a winning season is in doubt. But becoming bowl eligible is possible for Akron .With that said,  the Zips will be very motivated to get a win here vs a 1-9 Kent side that has problems moving the ball. 

Play on the Akron Zips to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Horned Frogs enter this game fighting for their playoff lives, and the Longhorns are in prime position to play the roll of spoiler on a big stage. The Longhorns has remained a steady anchor of the team from day one of this season, and the offense despite of starting slowly has now become much more consistent behind QB Tyrone Swoopes.The Longhorns are tied for the Big 12’s best scoring defense with Kansas State at just 21 points allowed per game.In the last five games, the Longhorns are 4-1, losing only to Kansas State a month ago. The key todays game will be the ability to intefer with TCUs smooth offense, and behind a scary aggressive attacking defense are capable of doing this.It must be noted that Texas has 37 sacks this season, most in the Big 12 and No. 7 in the nation.  Final notes & key Trends: TCU is 2-29 SU in this series, and last year as 3 point favs lost straight up to Texas. Whether, the Longhorns can pull off the SU win is of little importance to me, but what I am betting is that will be in this contest to the end, and thus I am recommedning we take the points.

Play on the Texas Longhorns 1 unit reg selection 

LATE STEAM***

Play on LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 UCLA owns a fast-paced and efficient offense, and USC handles fast-paced and efficient offenses very well. UCLA beat Virginia by eight, Memphis by seven, Colorado by three, and California by two so there is no reason the Trojans cant cover this number or even pull of the upset according to my extensive cross league data. The Trojans are one of the strongest teams in this conference, and  controlled a very good  Arizona State side for 57 minutes, before blowing a nine-point lead because of a 73-yarder with 2:43 left and a 46-yard Hail Mary. Capable and talented is the word, and Im backing USC in this spot. 

Key Stat: UCLA's offense ranks 100th in IsoPPP, a measure of the magnitude of a team's successful plays. USC's defense ranks 34th. 

Play on USC Trojans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Baylor quarterback Bryce Petty has tried to avoid calling Oklahoma State a revenge game for the No. 6 Bears. He can be politically correct if he wants, but thats exactly what it is. The Bears' national championship hopes last season unraveled with that 49-17 loss at Oklahoma State, after going into that game undefeated and No. 3 in the AP poll.The Bears crushed and beat48-14 at Oklahoma two weeks ago,and are more than capable of carrying out a humiliating beat down of an opponent. The Bears are wearing all black and encouraging fans to do the same for their second designated blackout game. The first one last season was a 41-12 win over Oklahoma. Count down ready, 10,9 , 8. Blast off coming your way folks. Lay the lumber and watch the explosive results.

Play on Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Virginia's defense—highlighted by Quin Blanding and Anthony Harris, among others—is excellent. Overall, it's allowed 347.8 yards and 25.2 points per outing , and will make the Canes work for every offensive opportunity this Saturday. Miami is off a heart breaking loss to Florida State last time out, and will be in a let down mode. With that said, Im taking the points with the home team. 

Play on Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

According to the National Weather Service,  the game between visting Lousiville and the Irish at Notre Dame Stadium will see a  rainy and windy day with temperatures topping out at 43 degrees and winds from the south gusting to 20 mph. The chance of rain is 60 percent.Louisville (7-3) practiced outside at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium on Thursday, hoping to get used to the frigid air and biting wind expected at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, Ind., this weekend. In this kind of environment offenses have a history of struggling, while defenses seem to be in top gear. Notre Dame is known for their fluent attack, while the Cards are known for a staunch disciplined D. I liked Lousiville to cover prior to haring the weather forecast and now like them even more now.

Play on the Lousivillle Cardinal to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas runs the ball at an average of 235 ypg, and will run the ball down the throats of the vaunted Ole Miss defense. Some are saying Arkansas will be in a letdown spot after last weeks 17-0, LSU win that ended a long time SEC losing streak, I instead say this very well coached side, that now has a boatload full of confidence, and must not be underestimated as they go for their 8th cover in 9 games.

Play on Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Thundering Herd are 20-point favorites over the Blazers (5-5, 3-3), who need to win one of their final two games to become bowl eligible. You can bet we will see the best from a UAB side who will also play known that their program is on the chopping block on seniors day. So double and triple desperation is at play today. UAB's defense has made big strides after being among the nation's worst last season and Im betting they do just enough to stay within the three TD mark.

Play on UAB to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Jose State is 3-7 and just playing out their season, and with   back-up Blake Jurich expected to play at QB because Joe Gray was injured and hobbling  last week against Hawaii . Utah is still a very good team, but are starting their 4th string QB and he been stable but less than spectacular. Both San Jose State and Utah State both own strong defenses. The Aggies are allowing just 14.5 ppg, and no team has scored more than 24 on them in 10 straight games. Meanwhile the Spartans are top 30 nationally ranked defense in 7 key categories. Its going to be a cool night in Utah and Im betting slow and low scoring as well. 

Play UNDER the set Total 1 unit reg selection 

 Virginia Tech posted a upset of Duke last time out, Now Duke has redemption circled on todays calender. It must be noted Blue Devils senior quarterback Anthony Boone was 18-3 as a starter entering Saturday’s game. The winningest quarterback in Duke football history has lost just four career games as a starting QB, the exact same number of losses as Heisman favorite  QB Marcus Mariota of Oregon . As far as tonights concerned, it must be noted that the Tar Heels claim to fame is their offense, however, their defense is atrocious. Duke can score in bunches, and when their focused the Blue Devils defense must be considered a top tier stopping unit. Im betting they will be paying attention in this spot, and cruise to a hefty victory and more importantly get us the all important cover. 

Play on the Duke Blue Devils to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Trickett the QB for the Mounties is a pivot who prefers to stay in the pocket and throw, and does not scramble well in my opinion. He stays in the pocket til the last possible second which not a good thing vs an explosive Wildcats pass rush.Meanwhile, the Wildcats offense can pound the crap out of youslowly but surely and mercilessly and considering how soft West Virgina's rush D is, you can bet damage will be done. Im expecting some frustrated Mountaineer fans tonight in Morgantown. Kansas State  is 17-1 ATS as a underdog in conference games off a SUATS loss under Bill Snyder.

Play on the Kansas State Wildcats 1 unit reg selection 

 Arizona States big win vs Notre Dame last time will now have the Sun Devils in a let down situation. Not a good environment or place to be in this type of physical and mental mind set. Oregon State football program has shown a propensity to shock us , and tonight might be one of those nights.

Oregon State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas has lost 17 conference games in a row, dating back to the middle of the 2012 season, and they are beyond desperate for a win. But just because they need a win, does not mean they are going to get one. Both teams LSU and Arkansas are great at rushing the ball, but they have been plagued by subpar play at quarterback all season . The difference comes via defense. Arkansas does not have a disciplined group, while LSU owns an elite defense that is still getting better. With that said, Im backing LSU.

Play on LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Im not interested in what the talking heads think about Florida State, and their continued love affair with the defending national champs. The truth hurts, but the truth is, FSUs defense is average at best, and has been consistently thrashed for big yards this season by their opposition. The explosive offense has been their saving grace. But today against a top tier Miami Fl defense that is getting better with time,Im betting the Seminoles offense will be tested and will not be as productive as need be, to make up for the short coimings of the defense.Miami is allowing just 4.2 yards per play, the seventh lowest mark in the FBS (out of 128 teams). In our strength-of-schedule-adjusted efficiency metrics, the Hurricanes rank in the top 15 against the run and the pass. Despite playing a top-25 schedule, the Hurricanes rank third in all of college football, outgaining their opponents by an average of 2.6 yards per play. is 6-3 straight-up and 5-3 against-the-spread this season against the 25th ranked schedule in the nation, their three losses have come against Nebraska, Lousiville, and Gtech , teams with a total of three losses.Offensively, junior running back Duke Johnson leads the ACC in rushing with 1,213 yards and 7.7 yards per rush. The offense ranks  top-10 nationally on the ground. Through the air, this football team has turned into a big play unit. Freshman quarterback Brad Kaaya struggled early, completing under 60% of his passes with seven interceptions in his first four games. In his last four starts, however, Kaaya has eight touchdowns and just two interceptions, averaging 9.9 yards per pass. Only Oregon’s Marcus Mariota has topped that mark for the entire season. So if your worried about Miami keeping up offensively think again. All in all, Miami's superior defense, and ability to put points on the board makes them a solid pick today. No team is invinceable and Florida State after consistently grabbing defeat from the jaws of what should have been losses to top tier sides like Notre Dame and Lousiville, will now have to give back some of their positive karma today.Hurricanes HC Al Golden is 14-2 ATS as a home dog, including 14-0 ATS when taking less than 24 points.  Series underdog has covered 9 of the L/10.

Take the points with the Miami Florida Canes 1 unit reg selection

Alabama is according to my own numbers the top team in the nation, and I care little what the pundits think. Mississippi State is completely over rated at No 1, and the true number should be closer to -16 favoring the home team, so its obvious to me where the value is. The line opened as -7 favoring the Tide, and my first reaction was, you have to be kidding. The books were playing to public sympathies and the lack of in-depth knowledge. Wise guy money is all over Alabama here. Nick Saban lives for situations like this while the Bulldogs are not accustomed to this type of  limelight, and have already started to look a little sluggish of late. Meanwhile, Alabama has held 5 opponents to season low yards this season,while Miss State has held NO opponent to a season low on yards. Bulldogs coach Mullen has lost 24 of his L/32 SU vs .750 or greater opposition, while Saban is 30-13 SU vs undefeated teams.  This is a statement game for Alabama, and flag down for anyone who thinks they can slow their quest for a National  championship.

GOY - This is my one and only game of the year -

Alabama to cover 2 Unit Double Down Generals Club -Top Ticket 

Rice took out Marshall in last seasons title game, and now sweet revenge is lined up. Ok I know the Thundering Herd have not played the toughest schedule, but believe me when I say this is one very explosive and dangerous side, and when revenge is a motive, the Herds propensity to pile up points well after a win is in hand becomes important when laying 3 TDs.

Play on Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Pittsburgh began the season at 3-0 with convincing wins over Delaware, Boston College and FIU, but then for some reason the wheels fell off. The Panthers have since lost five of their last six games, with a impressive five-point win over Virginia Tech sandwiched in between the streak. Pitt dropped a Nov. 1 contest to Duke, 51-48, in double overtime, a game that showed alot of their true capabilities. A recipe for a win for Pittsburgh will center on grinding the ball on the ground, and eating up clock while consistently scoring against North Carolina. Pittsburgh offense  averages 31.1 ppg and 247.7 rushing ypg through nine contests played. Conner, the sophomore running back, averages 149.1 rushing ypg, and has touched the ball 220 times out of the backfield, making him the workhorse of the Panthers, and today he will be the key for what Im betting will be a Panther cover.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover  1 unit reg selection

 Georgia Tech running game can get the best of any run defense, no matter how well that defense might be playing against opposing ground games. Clemson has a tough stop unit, but Im betting that wont matter today.( 

, the Yellow Jackets are No. 2 in the nation with 335.6 yards rushing per game. The Tigers are second in the nation in total defense and fourth against the run, allowing 90.9 yards per game on the ground).

  The Tigers are expected to have QB Deshaun Watson back after being out for 3 games with an injury, but he will be rusty after the lay off, and Clemson probably wont be as cohesive with him at the helm of the offense . All in all look for Gtech to do what Gtech does best, and for Clemsons vaunted front to have their hands full. 

Play on Gtech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UC (5-3, 3-1 American Athletic Conference) rides a three-game winning streak but has done so against lower tier competition: 41-3 over SMU, 34-17 over USF and 38-14 over Tulane. The Bearcats need one win to become bowl-eligible and need this game badly and will play like it tonight. I know UC has some ugly numbers on defense, but I feel they are getting better late in the season. The three losses they suffered prior to their 3 game win streak came against, Ohio State, Memphis and Miami (Florida), teams with top tier offenses. Yes, I also know that East Carolina has some big offensive numbers, but UC after playing the above mentioned trio will be more than prepared for what's coming their way tonight. It must be noted that ECU is 0-5-1 ATS in their last six weekday affairs and and a lazy 1-8 ATS with rest. Also the Bearcats are 6-0 ATS L/6 at home in this series.

Play on the Cinccy Bearcats 1 unit reg selection 

UMass has some public pundits consistently drooling, about what is perceived as a breakout season via their offense which is scoring 19 ppg more than the previous season. What these same talking heads fail to notice is how horrible their 106th ranked  defense is . The Minutemen are allowing a whopping 448 yards per game, and live in a world of last possession football. Their undisciplined defense is the reason why they are just 2-7 SU on the season. In comes a Ball State team that is more than capable of exploiting their weaknesses and racking up a boatload full of points and a defense that despite of some CB injury issues is deeper at that position than outsiders might know. Im expecting a Ball State program that is experiencing a off year, and off a heart breaking loss to N. Illinois last week, to do everything possible to get back on their horses this week, and play a heck of a game.Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Cardinals are 43-16 ATS in their last 59 road games.

Play on the Ball State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Oregon has won 54 of its last 62 conference games by double-digit margins while going 46-16 ATS in those victories.Oregon can still win a national championship and will not be in a letdown situation after beating the Cardinal last week, as they will be remnded that that win would have been in vein if they falter here. Oregon behind Heisman candidate QB  Mariotta are beasts and must not be ignored even here on the road. 

Play on Oregon to cover 1 uniit reg selection 

“Because of the circumstances, this is a huge game,” LSU offensive lineman Vadal Alexandersaid. “It’s the most important game of the season, and we’re treating it that way.”This is a game that people well beyond the Mason-Dixon Line will watch and appreciate with anticipation. Both teams are hitting on all pistons, having won three straight. They both own bone-crushing running games and defenses with suffocating hard hitting tendencies. They are both more evenly matched than the pundits might appreciate and considering Les Miles 46-4 SU record at home in night games, you have to be brave soul to bet against LSU who almost always  plays a solid technical game.

.Since 2007, this annual game has been decided by seven points or fewer five times, with LSU winning three of those games. Im betting on another classic with the points ending up being golden.

Play on the LSU Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Football is a team sport , and talented players like Washingtons CB Marcus Peters does not recognize, this so he and his ego were released from the team.The Seattle Times reports the final straw was when Peters got into an argument Wednesday with an assistant coach during practice. Peters also reportedly argued with coaches during Washington's game last Saturday at Colorado and missed practice Tuesday.

Bottom line: The Bruins after their big win against arizona by a 17-7 count last time out will now Im betting be in a letdown situation. One of the key factors that could help the Huskies upset the inconsistent Bruins,  is the fact they are second in the nation in sacks with 37, and they feature the national leader in sacks on their defense in Hau’oli Kikaha. UCLA, on the other hand, is worst in the conference and 115th in the nation in allowing 3.33 sacks per game.The Huskies are second in the conference and eighth in the nation in turnover margin at +11, while UCLA is ninth in the conference with a margin of -1. With the USC Trojans on board next I expect the Bruins may not be 100% focused in their current conflict, which could effect the outcome of this game in an unfavorable way for them.

Play on the Washington Huskies to cover 1 unit reg selection - Upset Special 

LATE STEAM 

Florida State Seminoles to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Western Kentucky can score in bunches against ugly defenses and even against some of the better teams in this country. Its their equally bad defense that makes them such a wildcard team as was evident in a win vs Navy and BGSU and giving Illinois more than they bargained for in a closer than expected loss. Last week they were humbled by LA Tech in DD fashion (59-10). Their not in a good position against top tier defenses, but this week, they should have very few problems trying to redeem themselves, for last weeks embarrassing outcome vs a UTEP side that despite of a 5-3 record is not a top tier team. Western Kentucky, is your proto typical hollywood college team, with super star jock offensive talent and egos to match. The defense is a hodge podge patchwork, of bad recruiting, but these kids are tough and will also feel like they are being disrespected and play above themselves. 

Play on Western Kentucky to win a blowout 1* unit reg selection 

Michigan has played a little better as of late, winning two of their last three games and looked good last time against Indiana out after being awoken after getting the living snot knocked out of them vs Michigan State.  Meanwhile, Northwestern is coming off three straight losses, including a 41-point blowout defeat at Iowa last weekend and look very unready to take on any conference opponent at the moment. 

Northwestern is 4-30 SU versus Michigan since 1966, having been favored only once last year

– and they also lost that game straight-up.

Take the Michigan Wolvwerines to cover  1 unit reg selection

After splitting a pair of road games, this Texas Longhons team is back home Saturday to face nationally-ranked West Virginia Mountaineers, side that is heart broken after coming off a last-second 31-30 loss to TCU that snapped a four-game winning streak. Being in a letdown situation, against a side like the Longhorns with alot to prove, is not a good thing.Texas ranks 37th in the FBS in total defense (352.4 yards per game), No. 9 in passing defense (177.3 ypg), No. 14 in yards allowed per play (4.61), 14th in passing efficiency defense (105.09 rating) and tied for 18th in sacks (3.0 pg) and must not be underestimated as home dogs under any circumstances, especially in this situation.

Play on Texas to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The Wildcats have lost three in a row after starting the season 5-1, and now 17th-ranked Georgia is coming to town.The wheels aren't falling off," Stoops said. "We barely had them on. Stoops recognizes that Kentucky still has lots of work to do, and want to get his kids heads on straight and get their egos collared,after the fast start they had. Im betting that now that their finally back down to earth, he will be able to get a top quality effort out of them this week against Georgia. Note: Stoops and his staff attempted to send a message Monday by shaking up the depth chart, moving freshman running back Stanley "Boom" Williams into the starting job, ahead of Braylon Heard, and sliding sophomore Jojo Kemp — star of that South Carolina game — to fourth. Several receivers were reshuffled, too.

Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home)They got beaten up on by Florida 38-20).The Wildcats are 5-1 AU/ATS at home with their lone defeat coming to No.1 Mississippi State.

Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah State was in Hawaii last week, now they travel all the way back to Wyoming. These venues are two of thoughest travelling options in College football, and Im betting Utah State will be exhausted. Im expecting freshman RB Brian Hill to run roughshot over a tired Aggies side. The kid set a Mountain West record for all-purpose yards with all 387 of them from scrimmage in Wyomings 45-17 win vs Fresno State last week as 15 point dogs , and even though I doubt he will do the same again this Friday night, Im still expecting a good performance. Weather is supposed to windy and cool, and chance of rain. This favors the home side, as they look to grind the ball on the ground and wear down their exhuasted opponents. 

Take Wyoming to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Northern Illinois is not the team and football program it has been over the last few seasons, and the defense, is in my opinion a shambles and unable to stop the most pedestrian offenses. Don't get me wrong their still a viable MAC program, and must not be underestimated, but my numbers say they should not be a favorite against Ball State tonight on the road, and this game should actually be closer to a pickem. With that said, Im recommedning we take the points, with a Ball State squad, that has a new quarterback Jack Milas,and a offense that is getting better as the season progresses as was evident in their last two wins vs Akron and Central Michigan . In their last three contests Ball Sate has put up 38, 32, 35 points and shoud have another big output tonight on their way to a cover.

Play on the Ball State Cardinals 1 unit reg selection

Bowling Green are no pushovers, despite playing much of this season without their starting pivot Matt Johnson. The defense continues to get better as the season progresses, and the Falconfast offense when in motion can still put up points in bunches. Bowling Green has won the last 5 meetings in this series and the last time they lost was in 2006 by a35-28 count which does not cover this opening number. In a contest that culd easily be the MAC Championship game, Im betting on a never say die spirited effort from both team making getting the points in this spot golden.

Play on the Bowling Green Falcons to cover 1 unit reg selection

Jim Moras UCLA is under achieving in a big way especially on defense where they allow 435 ypg , with the secondary almost constantly asleep at the proverbial wheel allowing a whopping 268 yards per game which ranks them 108th in the nation. Tonight they face a Arizona aerial attack that is deadly, averaging 348 ypg , ranking 8th in the nation.  This basic premise puts these two teams at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. It must also be noted Arizona enters this tilt looking for revenge for a loss last season, which is not a good omen for the Bruins as they are a ugly 0-8 ATS facing a team with revenge on their own turf.

Play on Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Navys triple-option offense usually does very well against aggressive, over-pursuing defenses like Notre Dame has. Brian VanGorder led Irish defense is  over fueled and one of the most out of the box groups in College football, but this might be their undoing this week in Landover. Coming off their heart breaking loss vs Florida State will also have the Irish in a letdown spot in a tough environment.

Play on Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Ole Miss had their hearts ripped out last week in theirgruelng 10-7 loss to LSU . Now they face a tough Auburn side, with little pity. Im betting on Auburn making this matchup another hard hitting grinding affair, something a hungover Rebs team might find to exhausting. Auburn has one of the best rushing attacks in the nation, ranking 11th nationally with 5.96 yards per attempt and will pound away on the Ole Miss defense for what Im betting will be a cover.

Auburn Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Michigan enters this game after being mauled by Michigan State in a letdown situation. This is home coming but I dont expect a big crowd . Dont expect Indiana to just lay down here , as a few more wins could get them a bowl appearence. Look for the Hoosiers explosive offense , to come out strong and give the Wolverines more than they  bargained for.

Play on the Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have won three games in a row and will seek a fourth as they play host to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in a Conference USA clash at Joe Aillet Stadium Saturday and Im betting they get it vs a Western Kentucky football team, allowing   41.1 ppg to opponents, including 549.4 ypg. Yes the Hilltoppers offense is explosive, but their defense is non existent. Thats not a good omen this week vs a Bulldogs team, that has a decent defense, and explosive passing game, thanks to a mostly stable ground attack. The Bulldogs' defense has allowed opponents to score 20 points in back-to-back games, but also held UTEP to just three points to start the month of October. The team is allowing opponents to score 25.9 ppg and gain 350.8 ypg this season. The Bulldogs have also forced 12 opponent interceptions and eight fumbles for 20 turnovers gained (tied seventh most in the nation).

Play on LA Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Its not always a great idea to lay double digit chalk with a road fav, but after watching the Sooners dominate KState last time out, and still lose, you can bet some angry young men will be on the field today, and ready to hand out a spanking. Iowa State remains a weak dog, play even at home, and really feel they will be playing the nail and hammer game with the Sooners. You can guess who I think the hammer will be.

Play on the Oklahoma Sooners 1 unit reg selection

 In last year’s game with Pittsburgh, Duke’s defense had a rough day in a 58-55 Panthers win at Wallace Wade Stadium. This season Duke is No. 5 in the country in scoring defense, allowing just 15.1 points per game. Veteran players who experienced the embarrassing game against Pittsburgh last year seek to send a different message this Saturday.After going 10-4 last season and starting this season 6-1, Duke has won 16 of its last 21 games (16-5) and is a good bet to get us the SU win in this spot and an even better bet to cover the number.

Play on Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The University of Louisville football team finally fielding its expected starters for the first time this season .U of L having its full lineup against No. 2 Florida State for Thursday night's much-anticipated 7:30 p.m. kickoff on national television is a necessity if the Cardinals want to beat the reigning national champion. Meanwhile, The Seminoles, 1-5 ATS are already dealing with several controversies surrounding Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Jameis Winston, may not have starting running back Karlos Williams for Thursday's game because of an array of issues. The Seminoles have won 23 consecutive games. Three of their seven wins this season have been decided by six or fewer points and it seems like the damn is very close to busting, and this streak coming to an end. Tonight I expect Petrino and company to pull out all the stops on their way to a cover. It must be noted that the Cardinal are 15-1 ATS when going against a .600 or better ACC opponent, including 13-0 ATS in reg season battles.

Play on the Louisville Cardinal 1 unit reg selection 

 Carolina is trying to snap a two-game SEC losing streak and post its second win over a top-10 team this season. The pundits have jumped off the Spurrier bandwagon, and are discounting the Cocks completely. I know Auburn is 12-0 at home under Gus Malzahn and alot of the wins by big margins. But forget about a win, Im betting the Gamecocks just find a way from not getting embarrassed and keep it close enough for a cover up front or through the back door. I have played out the key scenarios, and feel that because of a capable run game, Carolina rolls the clock and keeps it fairly close. (It must be noted Spurrier and  Malzahn know each other off the field, and are friendly, having played in golf tournaments together. Spurrier knows whats coming from Auburn, and is a superior tactician , even using some of Auburns offensive schemes via a run heavy attack. QuoteWe just have a lot in common," Spurrier said. "We're the head coaches that call the plays, and we all play golf in the offseason. Any time a head coach is the play-caller and the offensive coach, we have a unique admiration for others that do it

Play on South Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection (Shop for your best lines - be patient at 19-21+ hit this wager confidently) obviously the better the number the better chance we have at a cover - I know with a certainty a big money syndicate is  waiting for the best number and than will hit this hard. (  But even though wise guy money will enter the market soon, does not mean that we will be guaranteed win. What it does mean is that my own recommendations are being backed by whales , with a long term win % in football equal to mine and I respect their opinions. Best of Luck of Folks - Alex S

LSU is 45-4 SU at Tiger Stadium at night under Les Miles. Three of the losses were against sides that were either ranked No. 1 or became ranked No. 1. This is a place where as a football team, you dont want to play. Boyou crocodile pits, are more welcoming than this venue.

Play on the LSU Tigers 1 unit reg selection

LATE STEAM 

The Golden Flashes (1-6, 0-3) are looking to win their second game in a row after a 39-17 thrashing of Army and are sky high with confidence at the moment. The RedHawks (1-7, 1-3), on the other hand, are coming off of a tough 51-41 loss at Northern Illinois and are in a let down situation. Both teams are desperate for a win, and this should be a battle. My own numbers tell me Kent State is the superior team, thus getting points makes for a very viable wager.

Golden Flashes are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.Redhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road recordRoad team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Play on Kent State 1 unit reg selection 

Toledo is off a bye week, and Im betting they have devised a group of blitz packages to slow down the Minutemens capable offense. On offense Toledo is explosive and that is evident by leading the MAC in scoring 34 ppg.  UMass,  have allowed offenses to run wild on them allowing 450 yards a game 188 being on the ground, and nothing will change here. I know the public is in love with UMass, but lets not get carried away with their 2 game win streak. Im betting they fall back to earth in a big way against the Rockets in their home coming game.

Play on the Toledo Rockets 1 unit reg selection 

Quarterback Marquise Williams,  of North Carolina has played magnificently and has recorded 2,224 yards of total offense and 19 touchdowns. With Carolinas D, starting to play a little better , this is one dangerous team, as was evident in a win vs Georgia Tech last time out. Virginia is a pretty good team, but truly  very average overall. In the one of footballs oldest rivalries, North Carolina has been superior of late winning the last 4 meetings. I wont be surprised by one more this Saturday.

Play on the North Carolina Tar Heels to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Illinois is off a bye week and well rested, which should provide an extra blast to the team. They will attack  Minnesota U via a two-quarterback system for the first time this season Saturday. The Gophers defense, was exposed last week allowing 38 points vs a Purdue offense that must be considered average at best, so the Illini Im betting will find the same ways to gauge the Gophers D. Note: Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meeting.

Play on Illinois 1 unit reg selection 

The Longhorns are 34th in the country in allowing just 346.3 yards per game, and those numbers would even be better if they werent caught looking ahead to this game against Kansas State . They did win in a 48-45 shoot out vs the Iowa State Cyclones, but it was far from a wide awake effort by Texas and very correctable. Remember, they held the University of Oklahoma to 28 yards  and eight yards rushing in the first half of their  game. On offense the Longhorns Quarterback Tyrone Swoopes and the Texas offense have showed significant progress over the previous two weeks and Im betting will  continue to progress against Kansas State. The Wildcats had a  energy draining game vs Oklahoma last week, and might still be a little exhausted after the celebrations. I know Manhattan has not been a friendly place for the Longhorns , but we need them to be competitive not win, and Im betting they will be. Texas head coach. Note Longhorn HC  Charlie Strong is 20-8 SU and 21-7 ATS away , including a perfect  13-0 ATS versus .666 or greater opposition.

Play on Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oregon is an explosive team, but they have proven in the past, that despite of all their talent, they sometimes fall asleep at the proverbial wheel when you least expect it.  Remember , that Oregon has Stanford on board, next , a team that gave them their first loss last season, and their only loss during the 2012 season. Meanwhile, California one of the nations most improved teams, behind a prolific offense, could easily put a surprise scare into the Ducks  and or at least  provide is with a back door cover. After an analysis of possible scenarios, a cover in this spot is not out of the question, as the home team treats this Friday night tilt like their own personal national title game. Note: The home team is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series, and the Ducks are 0-4 ATS L/4 on Friday nght!

Play on the California Bears 1 unit reg selection 

 The Hurricanes have had an array of doctor jekyll and my mr hyde type  results this season depending on the location of their games, going 4-0 at home with an average margin of victory of 22 points while losing all three of their road contests by an average of 13 points. They really cant be trusted on the road, and despite of having alot of talent, it sometimes seems like its not being managed properly, or the chemistry is just not there. VTech on the other hand despite of a down game, last time out against long time rival Pittsburgh U, are a hard working under rated team (program) that must not be disrespected. With that said, Im taking the points in this spot with the home dog. Note: The Underdog has cashed 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series.

 Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Sun Devils are well rested and ready to take on their rivals the Stanford Cardinal this Saturday after a off week . Before that time off, they upset USC in their own back yard by a 38-34 count. I know Stanford has been a thorn in the Sun Devils side of late, but this time around Im betting on things changing, and for more importantly for us getting the cover. ASU head coach Todd Graham is 8-0 ATS as a home dog of less than 20 points versus opponents that own at least one loss on the season.It must be noted that Stanford has failed to cover 4 of their L/5 games away from home as favorites. 

Arizona State to cover vs Stanford 1 unit reg selection 

The Fighting Irish visit the Florida State Seminoles at Doak Campbell Stadium at 8:00pm ET on Saturday night for a big time prime time affair.

The Florida State Seminoles are just 1-5 ATS so far this season, only   covering the spread in a 43-3 win over Wake Forest . The Seminoles are averaging 12.6 points per game less on offense and allowing 8.6 points per game more on defense than they did in 2013, but Florida State has still  among the nation's best teams with a perfect 6-0 SU record. With all the off field allegations and distractions facing FSU QB Jameis Winston we may see those numbers sink even further vs a tough Notre Dame team that can play defense when they are paying attention.  It must also be noted that defending national champions are 10-17-2 ATS since 1980 as favorites of less than 14 points in matchups of two undefeated teams, Also Irish QB Golson is 18-0 SU during the regular seaason in his career as a starter with Notre Dame.

Play on Notre Dame 1 unit reg selection 

The Panthers have had extreme difficulties all year on defense. The team is allowing  41.7 points and 481.2 yards per game. Ouch. It has just two interceptions in 187 pass attempts and eight sacks. Making matters worse this week the  team is expected to be without three of its top outside linebackers, which will make it even more difficult to blitz.Meanwhile, South Alabama defense is doing fairly well  allowing 21.4 points and 374.8 yards per game. They are giving up 184 rushing yards per game and 190.8 passing yards per game, second-lowest in the Sun Belt. They have 13 sacks and five interceptions. Add my own numbers into the mix, and consdiering the injury situation, Im betting on the Jaguars romping to a one sided victory.

Play on South Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection

Northwestern HC Fitzgerald has been breaking down a lot of Nebraska game film over the past six days, because that is what he does and very good at I might also say. A week after his football program was beaten by Northern Illinois, Fitzgerald found flaws in Penn State that led to a 29-6 win on the road. With the  Wildcats in desperation mode needing a victory here to have any chance of remaining in the Big Ten hunt you can bet his team and the coaches , especially Fitzgerald will be ready for the Huskers and will not go down without a big time fight. The home dog we are backing owns a diligent defense, that allows just 17.3 ppg, and must not be underestimated.

Northwestern to cover 1 unit reg selection

Southern Miss to cover 1 unit reg selction 

Rod Carey and the Huskies football team will want to get back on the proverbial horse after their 28-game home winning streak came crashing down vs Central Michigan. Now with questions starting to be asked, I expect the Huskies to wake up and answer the bell in a big way this week. The line looks cheap thanks to the public perception and the books playing to those perceptions. My owns numbers suggest N Illinois should be a -17 point fav in this spot  and Im betting on that number easily being covered by a motivated side.

Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Saturday’s game against Virginia will be the annual Homecoming game for Duke. They will play a side that  is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS when the betting line is between +3 and -3 the last two-plus seasons. Meanwhile, the Blue Devils have put together a 15-1 SU record in regular season contests with Anthony Boone under center.  Duke is also 13-0 SU and 11-2 ATS as favorites the last two-plus seasons.In three home games during the 2014 campaign, the program has averaged 46.7 points and allowed just 9.7 ppg. Im betting on them rolling again and get us the win in this spot.

Play on the Duke Blue Devils to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Baylor is lucky to have gotten a 3 point win vs a TCU side that controlled most of the game last week. Now Im betting on the Bears being in a bit of a letdown mode, after that huge Big 12 battle. This West Virginia side that is capable of hanging with them offensively ranking eighth nationally in total yards (552.2 YPG). Senior quarterback Clint Trickett has successfully passed for at least 300 yards in every game, with stud WR Kevin White (888 yards) leading the nation in receiving . It must also be noted Art Briles the HC of Baylor has failed to cover 4 of his L/5 on the road , as 13 point or less favs. Meanwhile West Virginia is 4-1 ATS L/5 as home dogs of 6 points or more.

Play on West Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Alot has been made  of the WKU offense this season but, the defense has not played up to par, allowing opposing teams to join in on shootout affairs in yielding 38.4 ppg and 516.8 ypg.As for FAU, it has struggled to get anything going on offense this season. It puts up only 21.2 ppg and 325.2 ypg, while scoring on just 68 percent of its red-zone drives. The numbers are not great but the team seems to score at the most opportune times. QB Jaquez Johnson has 998 yards with seven touchdowns and should substantially increase those numbers vs a pedestrian D. Home field advantage I feel will be golden in this spot. 

Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Fresno State's up-tempo, spread attack has at times struggled this season minus some serious firepower that departed after last season.They have had a tough time in key situations - they're 107th in red-zone scoring (74.2 percent) and 114th in third-down conversion percentage (31.9 percent). Defensively speaking, The Bulldogs have struggled against the pass, ranking 123rd (out of 125) in pass efficiency defense. Opponents have thrown 19 TDs to four interceptions for 1,805 yards, completing 60.3 percent of their passes. Thats not a good omen for them this Friday night on the blue carpet . Meanwhile,   Boise State is 6-0 in home games against the Bulldgos.  The Bronco defense held each of its fi rst four opponents of the season Bulldogs since 2001, and despite of being with star WR Matt Miller. are still explosive, as his fill in, Sperteck is a talented option athlete, On defense, Boise State held all of their opponents to less than 100 yards rushing, These teams are truely night and day. Making taking Boise the right side.
Note: BSU 41-12 all-time when playing a game on anyday other than Saturday, including a 35-7 mark during the regular season and a 20-5 Boise State is record on Friday regular-season games. The Broncos’ loss at Air Force (Sept. 27) was ust the 10th league loss since 2000. Boise State is 101-10 in league games during that time - the highest winning percentage in the country (.910).Boise State is also 18-0 SU and 13-3 ATS off back to back road games including 11-1 ATS in conference play.

Play on Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Sean Mannion has thrown five TD passes in five games - as much as he threw against Utah in one game last year , but alot of inexperience on offense might have been the problem early on, but I was betting the Beavers would get better as the season progressed, and I think I maybe correct in my assumptions.The most accurate representation, of the Beavers'  and their progression came in the most recent game: a 36-31 win at Colorado on Oct. 4. I think they are now ready to compete in this conference and the Utes better get ready. It must be noted that OSU really is solid up and down its defense. The Beavers' secondary is filled with playmakers. So if Travis Wilson or Kendal Thompson aren't careful, they may rack up the interceptions.

Utes are off a win last time out but that have not been cash friendly against the spread in their following game covering just 6  of the L/22 overall in this situation. Meanwhile Oregon State is off a rest week , and have been good bets in this situation in the recent past covering 16 of the L/21 occasions. The Beavers football program, is a backing bettor friendly 44-16 ATS in October games.  The Utes are 1-4 ATS L/5 in this series.

Play on the Oregon State Beavers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alabama is off their first loss of the season, and may have been exposed, for non national championship candidate. It seems Nick Saban has not bounced well of late failing to cover 11 of his L/14 times after his first win the season. Meanwhile, Arkansas despite of a late collapse , and losing in OT to Texas A&M on the road last time out , have been impressive, and very ready to break a SEC losing streak this week in front of their own fans. Hawgsville should be wild with crazy fans this week, and their Razorbacks will be ready to perform, and put Arkansas back on the College football map. Run Hawgs run! 

Play on Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

California Bears are now back as a media darling. The talking heads went from crapping all over them early on in the season, to a full fledged love affair now. Do these guys really know what they are talking about. I think for the most part most sports analysts and writers know xs and os, and nothing about how to beat the spread so I ignore most of their observations. With that said, I feel Washington has a good chance at a outright win here, with getting the points being golden. Remember this is a Bears defense that has allowed opposing team to torch them for 800 yards of offense. Meanwhile,  Huskies’ HC Chris Petersen is 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS in the regular season entering a game off a rest week , including a bankroll expanding 6-0 SUATS off a point spread win, which he got last time out.

Play on the Washington Huskies to cover

 Coming off a 48-31 smackdown of Texas A&M, the Bulldogs are in the national spotlight. This is uncharted territory for Mississippi State football. The Bulldogs (5-0, 2-0 SEC) are ranked higher in the Associated Press poll than they have ever been (No. 7 was the previous high nearly 33 years ago). This is the first time they have defeated two teams ranked in the top 10 in a season, which LSU and Texas A&M were before meeting Mississippi State. Their quarterback, Dak Prescott, is in the thick of the Heisman Trophy race. This team is on a trip of destiny, and concentration remains intact. Auburn will be out to upset them, but that wont come easily, making the points golden in my humble opinion.

Play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs 1 unit reg selection

Im not paying attention to the pundits who are saying TCU will be in a major letdown after beating Oklahoma last week. This TCU team is for real, and Im betting they will be up for taking on Baylor explosive offense this week. Dont be surprised if the Froggies pull the SU upset on the road, and wake up the National Championship talk. 

Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection

Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection

I like Dukes football program and talent base. I know they played horribly against Miami Fl last time out, but I still like their chances in this spot vs what my own numbers is a over hyped Gtech side. Tech coach Paul Johnson has covered only 7 of his L/19 in second of back to back games and has failed to cover 5 straight times under those perimeters. While everyone talking head in the land might be dismissing the Blue Devils , Im not. With that said, I am recommending we take the points. 

Play on Duke 1 unit reg selection 

Rice is starting to wake up after a slow start. The same thing happened last year when they looked asleep at the wheel in the early weeks of the season. After week three of the season since last year they are 11-1 SU. Meanwhile, Army might be off a win last week and getting respect from the linesmakers . But the truth is the military men are just 0-11 ATS/SU  L/11 after a win and are susceptible to a letdown. With that said, it looks like Rice is very ready for this matchup and good bets on a pickem type line. 

Play on Rice 1 unit reg selection

Florida State does not really seem to get up for most games and with bigger fish to fry than Syracuse in the coming weeks could come out flat enough for the Orange to give them a scare and cover the fairly big number, in what this program looks at as their biggest game of the season.

Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection

Stanford is a defensive force with a less than stellar offense. Stanford leads the nation in points allowed ( 8.6 ppg) . The Cardinal are a under machine, as is evident by going under in 9 of their l/12 overall. Stanford can slow the most explosive defenses, so Washington State does not scare them. The Cardinal dont really have much off a cohesive offense, and are not really capable of running up scores , so the under looks very much like a strong wager.

Key Trends: The UNDER is 4-1 in Washington State's last five road games, 8-1 in Stanford's last nine conference games, and 4-0 in Stanford's last four overall.... , the UNDER is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings,    

Play UNDER the set total 1 unit reg selection

The Utes have played well, but they will play a UCLA side that Im betting is a potential National Championship candidate. (Last week UCLA crushed Arizona State 62-27). The Utes have played the Bruins tough lately, so there is no way the Bruins will over look this contest. It must be noted that last week, Utah blew a 21-0 first quarter lead  and lost 28-27 lto Washington State, and will have had the wind knocked out of them, by that uneventful showing. Thats not good in a contest vs a heavy weight with some huge punching power.  UCLA has covered 7 of their L/8 after scoring 50 points and than playing at home. 

Play on the UCLA Bruins 1 unit rg selection 

UNLV and San Jose State are two sorry football programs, that will fight this out to the bitter end , making getting points here golden in my opinion. In this battle of the bottom feeders , the points is the play. 

Take the points with UNLV 1 unit reg selection 

Georgia Tech possesses the No. 11 rushing attack in the country, but the offense is there by virtue of volume and not necessarily because its been particularly outstanding. Truth is their so one dimensional their pretty easy to read for good defenses. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech's run defense has not been strong, allowing 5.43 yards per carry, which ranks 114th in the nation. With two quality backs ready to attack for the Canes,(Duke Johnson and Joe Yearby) GTech is in trouble. ( Miami is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings winning by an average of 15.8 ppg)

Play on the Miami Canes 1 unit reg selection 

, KSU gas some ugly numbers attched to their season as is evident by a  0-4 SU, ATS record and and  have been outstatted by 28 points and 229 YPG. After Arkansas beat them in DD fashion a few weeks ago, Northern Illinois has been in a cranky mood, and seathing with redemption dreams. Im betting on the Huskies crushing Kent State in a big way this Saturday afternoon.

Play on the Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

TCU and coach Patterson look like they finally have their dream team . This is argueably the best product the ol ball coach has assembled, and Im betting they make life difficult for the Sooners today. The Frogs have lost the last two encounters by 3 and 7 points and held Oklahoma to 20 and 24 points of offense. Could the third time around be a charm. Im taking the points.

Take the points with TCU 1 unit reg selection 

Inidana after a win in Missouri two weeks ago, were in a let down situation last week and lost to Maryland. Now with a new need for urgency on board, with conference football coming up against tough opposition the Hoosiers need to win. It must be noted that North Texas is off a win, but they dont do that well, in these situations as they are just 2-24 off a win SU and have failed to cover on 17 of those occasions. 

Play on the Hoosiers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Tar Heels are a disaster movie in how terrible on defense they are. Only two FBS teams give up more points per game (44.0), they cough up 543 yards of defense, and they’re on the field almost 35 minutes a game.UNC’s explosive offense might have somewhat of an advantage against the Hokie defense, and are pretty ihgh octane,  though Virginia Tech will likely not get smashed as badly as half asleep Clemson last week. Meanwhile, the Hokie offense is by no means explosive but should have a decisive advantage against the Heels defense that reminds me  of Swiss cheese.

The Hokies are 22-2 SU and 17-6-1 ATS in conference road openers.

Play on the VTech Hokies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

June Jones wasn't able to duplicate his high-octane offense from Hawaii at SMU and now hes gone (resigned) and now the Mustangs start a new era. Meanwhile,East Carolina has burst onto the national scene with a pair of quality wins against Power 5 competition and own a national ranking

Here is a quote from interim SMU HC. 'We can't keep going like this,'' interim coach Tom Mason said. ''That's my job. We just have to believe in ourselves.'''We're going to keep working,'' Krstich said. ''We still have eight games, and I have full confidence we can make it to a bowl game.''

The team has been said, to be getting along pretty good, and looking better in practices. Well Im not sure, about that, but what I do know is that according to my own numbers we have inflated line favoring East Carolina. With that said, I am recommending we put a clothes pin on our noses and pull the trigger here with the points. Believe it or not there is value to be had.

SMU is 7-1-1 in their L/9 as underdogs of 32 or more points.

Play on the SMU Mustangs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida is a much better team than many might think. I know they failed in their opportunity vs Alabama last week but Im betting they bounce back in a big way this week, vs a Tennessee side that played a over hyped Georgia program tough last and will now be in a letdown scenario. You have to remember Tennessee has 22 true freshman in the lineup, and these kids played like their hair was on fire last week. Now, its crash time for the Vols. It must be noted that  Gator QB Jeff Driskell is 16-4 as a starter and is a senior veteran who knows how to bounce back. Florida has also won 9 straight in this series and number 10 could come here. More importantly getting points looks to be golden.

Play on the Florida Gators to cover 1 unit reg selection 

We had a live dog traveling out to the land of the Mormons this Friday night. AS Utah State concedes around three TDs to a highly ranked opponent ( BYU). It must be noted that the Aggies are a cash making 9-0 ATS as dogs of 5 points or more. My own rankings also suggest this line is off by 4 points. I like the value we are getting here with a hard working under-appreciated side. Im also betting the  Aggies find a way to keep QB Hill in the pocket, while slowing this game down dramatically. 

Play on Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Last year Oregon were upset by a 42-16 count vs Arizona. It was embarrassing and stunning. This time around I expect the Ducks to be very ready to play and also hand out some punushment in revenge mode.  It must be noted that the Wild kitties are just 0-8 ATS in their L/8 vs undfefated programs. Meanwhile Oregon is a bankroll expanding 26-5-1 ATS L/32 play with conference revenge.

Play on Oregon Ducks 1 unit reg selection 

The Trojans had a bye week to stew about their 37-31 upset loss at Boston College. But dont expect the Trojans to bounce back that easily against OSU side that has progressed from game to game and has proven to have a formidable defense and more balanced offense than in 2013. It must be noted that the Trojans are 1-5 off SU road fav loss. While Oregon St 6-0 ATS in 1st of back to back road games and 9-2  ATS away with conf revenge.  Also USC is a bankroll depleting 1-5 ATS  as favorites of  19 pts or less  vs a side with conference revenge. 

Oregon State to cover 1 unit reg selection