College Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
09-27-14 | Nevada -5.5 v. San Jose State | 21-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
Nevada played Arizona tough last week, covering as 16-point underdogs, and now take a huge step down in class. San Jose State cant run the ball, they cant stop the run, and overall are inept on both sides of the ball. Nevada meanwhile is a balanced team, that can run, pass and play decent defense. Nevada has owned this series in the past winning 10 of the L/11 meetings and tonight Im betting will be no different. Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-27-14 | Duke +7 v. Miami (Fla) | 10-22 | Loss | -101 | 76 h 24 m | Show | |
HC David Cutcliffe, earned a berth in last year’s ACC Championship, and went 14-4 SU and 12-4 ATS in their previous 18 games. This team is no pushovers and must be respected at a TD underdog, vs a team in Miami Fl that is off a let down loss at Nebraska last week. Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-27-14 | Missouri v. South Carolina -5.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -106 | 76 h 52 m | Show | |
Watching the Missouri Indiana game last week, showed me that Missouri is just a little over rated and not the team many thought they were, as they lost that game at home. Granted Indiana played well, but most of the probems came via the Tigers flow, which seemed very uncooridnated. Some might think, that Missouri will be ready to bounce back this week, but Im not sold on them anymore, and feel South Carolina has progressed enough to hand them their second straight loss. It must be noted that Mizzou football program has only covered 2 of their L/16 away after a loss as a favorite. South Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-27-14 | North Carolina v. Clemson -14 | 35-50 | Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show | |
Don't look for Clemson to fold, as they are off a upsetting loss to Florida State last time out in OT, that saw center Ryan Norton snap the ball over his QBs head in a key situation. The Tigers have been through adversity before, and despite of probably being out side the ACC play offs are a tough bounce back team to deal with. Last year Florida State crushed them in embarrassing fashion , and they still bounced back to beat Ohio State in the Orange Bowl and still have a chance at a big bowl game this season. Im not going to make the mistake of discounting a team with a top tier QB like Watson at the helm of the offense, and instead we back them today in a tilt that Im betting ends in DD deficit favoring Clemson vs a side (North Carolina) that has shown a recent propensity to come out flat. Clemson to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-27-14 | Stanford v. Washington +8 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 73 h 8 m | Show | |
The Dawgs have done well in PAC12 season openers covering 5 straight events and have covered 4 straight as home underdogs of 10 or less points. The last time Stanford visisted the Huskies they were 7 point favs back in 2012 and left with their heads down losing 17-13. It must be noted HC Peterson of Washington is 51-3 at home SU and has never seen his team lose by more than 6 points during that time ! Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-27-14 | Stanford v. Washington UNDER 47.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
The Cardinal ead the nation in scoring defense (4.3 PPG) with shutouts over UC Davis (45-0) and Army (35-0) and also a home loss to USC (13-10). Meanwhile, new Huskies head coach Chris Petersen has concentrated on running the ball a great deal thus far (239.3 YPG, ranked 27th). quarterback Cyler Miles is also averaging around 24 throws per game. As you can see Washington will eat clock with the run game, and the Cardinal will also have no problem stacking the box, and forcing the young QB to the air. Everyhting points to a slow grinding affair with points being hard to come by. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-27-14 | Temple -5 v. Connecticut | 36-10 | Win | 100 | 73 h 55 m | Show | |
Uconn is a team that looks very ineffecient on offense as was evident when they gained just 132 yards of offense in a loss to lower level USF side last Friday night As a matter of fact UConnhas been on the wrong end of the stat sheet in all four contests this season. In the lone win vs Stony Brook thye grabbed a 3 point win , but were lucky to be on the right side of the scoreboard when the final whistle blew as they were outgained by a 300 to 223 count. It must be noted that the last time these team met last season UConn recorded a 28-21 road dog . But were lucky to beat the the Owls as they were out stated , 372-235. This time around, Im betting Temple outstats and also outscores them, for a win and more importantly a cover. Play on Temple 1 unit to cover |
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09-27-14 | Arkansas +9 v. Texas A&M | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 73 h 35 m | Show | |
Arkansas’ offensive philosophy is no secret. The Razorbacks want to run the ball -- a lot. Arkansas averages 45 rushes per game. Razorbacks, who have the No. 1 rushing offense in the SEC (324.5 yards per game). I know Texas A&M held South Carolinas run game down in game 1, but Mike Davis was injured, so this will be a real test, one Im betting they cant withstand. The Aggies were last in the SEC in rushing yards allowed per game (222.3) and 110th in the nation and despite of the upgrades and kids maturing I still think this D is susceptible to being trashed despite of media accolades.Texas A&M is 0-4 ATS at neutral sites of late, Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-25-14 | UCLA -4 v. Arizona State | 62-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
With QB Taylor Kelly out for Arizona State, UCLA has a pretty big edge and this line is not reflecting it properly.UCLA is coming off a bye week and very focused rested and ready to hand out some punishment. I know this game is on the road, but the Bruins Im betting easily come out of this with a win and cover. Play on UCLA to cover 1 iunit reg selection |
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09-25-14 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -13.5 | 35-45 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 5 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State hasn’t lost to Texas Tech in Stillwater, Okla., since 2001. The Cowboys’ five straight wins vs. the Red Raiders is the most consecutive wins in the series for either team.The past five years, have seen the Cowboys outscoring the Raiders 235-95 (5-0 SU). It must be noted that Oklahoma State is one of two teams in the Big 12 to still have a perfect red-zone scoring percentage. Texas Tech couldn’t stop Arkansas last week at all, let alone limit the Hogs to field goals and things look to get worse this week. I know the Cowboys had to replace 17 starters and 33 letter winners, but their recruiting has been fantastic as is evident by the top tier athletic talent that have put on the gridiron. Play on Oklahoma State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-14 | UNLV v. Houston -21 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 73 h 55 m | Show | |
Bobby Haucks HC, UNLV is 3-23 SU andhave covered just 7 of his L/26 ATS on the road, including 0-9 SU and 0-8-1 ATS when entering off a SUATS loss. UNLV is getting smashed as is evident by getting outgained by an average of 266 ypg this season. It must also be noted Houston 8-1 ATS record as favorites of more than 14 points versus .333 or less opposition. Im expecting an absolute beatdown of embarrassing proportions this Saturday when these two teams meet. Play on Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-14 | Miami (Fla) +7.5 v. Nebraska | 31-41 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 51 m | Show | |
Al Golden needs to gets things going quickly this week in a big road test in Lincoln, Nebraska. In his 4th year. A loss to Louisville on the road on Labor Day Night and a ugly victory against FAMU had fans wanting heads to role. Hes at the end of his days here, if something does not change immediately. With his butt on the hot seat, and boatload full of talent at his disposal, Im betting he finally gets something done. I expect the vaunted Cornhusker rushing game (324 YPG) won’t find the going quite so easy against a bruising Miami defense that has limited opponents to a minsicule 2.0 yards per carry. Look for this under rated Canes team to even possibly pull off the out right upset. But since we are getting points Im taking. Play on the Miami Florida Canes 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-14 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt +22 | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 61 h 46 m | Show | |
Vandy was outscored 78-10 by Temple and Ole Miss. Many are now questioning new HC Masons decisions. They did beat UMass last week, but it wasnt easy (3 point win). This week I expect a last ditch effort by Vandy. Literally I expect they will draw a line in the sand , and be ready to play vs rival South Carolina. It must be noted that the Gamecocks came off an emotional game last week against Georgia winning 38-35 , and will now be in a let down mode. Note: Spurrier is just 1-4 ATS as a road favorite of 12 or more points, and just 1-4 versus the spread after playing the Dawgs. Also Vandy is 5-2 ATS L/7 in this series and have a recent history of playing S.Carolina tough. Vanderbilt to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-14 | Northern Illinois v. Arkansas OVER 65 | 14-52 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois runs a very fast "hurry up no huddle" offense, which ranks as the seventh best up-tempo offense in the country. Meanwhile, Arkansas has an explosive offense led by their vaunted running game. Both sides rank top 25 in red-zone efficiency. Im betting on both teams lighting up the scoreboard tonight! Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-14 | Indiana v. Missouri -13.5 | 31-27 | Loss | -113 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
Indiana’s defense was on the field for 113 plays and allowed 571 yards against Bowling Green last time out they looked horrendous.Missouri's offense has been extremely effecient averaging (405.7 ypg) to assure plenty of points (41.7 ppg). It has been very efficient on third down (22-of-42) and in scoring touchdowns on red-zone drives (9-of-13). With that said, Missouri will have no problems putting up points, and its defense, which shut out Central Florida in the second half, is now in top form allowing just 17.3 ppg, while forcing nine turnovers. Play on the Missouri Tigers 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-14 | Florida +14.5 v. Alabama | 21-42 | Loss | -107 | 55 h 55 m | Show | |
The Crimson Tide opened as 16-point favorites at Bryant-Denny Stadium, but it was bet down to 14.5 points by Wednesday. Towards game time I would not be surprised for the game to get bet up towards -16 again as the public weekend warriors pile in on Alabama. In contrarian fashion I however, like the Gators to be very competitive this week. My own belief, is that the Crimson Tide are no longer, a true national championship contender. Until proven wrong, Im willing to go against them here today and get behind a Florida Gators program on the rise. It must be noted that Alabama is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home but 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall. Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-14 | Georgia Tech +9 v. Virginia Tech | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 65 h 48 m | Show | |
Paul Johnson GTech is 17-2 ATS as a dog in his career in games vesus an opponent off a SU loss. Visitor 4-0 ATS in this series . The Yellow Jackets are going to run the ball with the triple option and the Hokies are going to have to try to contain it to the best of their abilities and give the offense a chance to put points on the board and capitalize with every opportunity given. This is an obvious game situation. But Im betting that last weeks loss by VTech to East Carolina was devastating to their mental state. These are not pros, and dont bounce back like pros. Kids take things hard, and Im betting that above mentioned loss will sting well into this game and possibly the season. GTech has a way of making the best of teams, lose confidence quickly with their hard to handle run game. Play on Georgia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-18-14 | Auburn v. Kansas State +9.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 35 h 33 m | Show | |
No. 20 K-State is about to face No. 5 Auburn.The Tigers are the first non conference opponent with a top-five ranking to play at K-State since Penn State in 1969. So you can bet this will be a raucous atmosphere here tonight, favor in the home team.“This will likely be our greatest attended game ever,” K-State athletic director John Currie said last week. “We actually have not sold standing room-only tickets, because we know our student section will be as full as it has ever been that night. Bottom line:Im betting on KState being able to Establish the run. They will keep Auburn honest knowing the caliber of wideout Lockett. Bill Snyder’s attack keys on getting the run game being efficient and chalking up yards, behind Big 12 leading rusher Waters or the committee of versatile running backs. KStates ability to run will keep the Auburn defense on its heels while also keeping Gus Malzahn’s high-powered offense on the sidelines. The decided factor will come from the energy of this huge crowd. Play on the Kansas State Wildcats to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | Navy v. Texas State +10 | 35-21 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 6 m | Show | |
Navy as we all know loves to grind the ball on the ground. But today they will get a run for their money via a Texas State side that ran for 378 yards in last week’s 65-0 walkover win against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Both these teams love to run and I can see the game clock running quickly and for this tilt to be much closer than many pundits might think. Play on Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | Purdue v. Notre Dame UNDER 59 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Play UNDER the set Total 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | Western Kentucky +1.5 v. Middle Tennessee | 47-50 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 45 m | Show | |
For the second time in consecutive seasons Western Kentucky took a bit of a step back in week two on the road against a team from a so-called "Power Five" conference. Last season the Hilltoppers struggled with turnovers against an average Tennessee team Last week they were holding a 27-21 lead heading into the fourth quarter before surrendering 21 points in the final stanza to fall 42-34 to Illinois. This team does suffer, on defense, but the offense is explosive. I expect they will make enough adjustments on defense to slow Middle Tenn a bit, and than continue to sling away on offense and get the win! Kentucky is 10-4 SU and 15-1 ATS as single-digit dogs since 2010 and in my opinion and according to my own power numbers the superior team in this tilt even on the road. Play on Western Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | Southern Miss +48.5 v. Alabama | 12-52 | Win | 100 | 58 h 48 m | Show | |
Alabama is a 48-point home favorite Saturday vs. Southern Miss. When the Crimson Tide have been favored by 38 or more points going back to Week 3 of 2011, they have dumped the cash consistently for their backers failing in 6 of 7 attempts to cover the spread. This game is all about staying healthy for Alabama and not so much about cruel and unusual punishment. Play on Southern Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | Arkansas +3 v. Texas Tech | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
Arkansas deserves respect this week behind an offense that averages 300 ypg on the ground behind Alex Collins and John Williams. Tech has had problems stopping the run in the recent past and Im betting on a repeat performance today.After two easy paddy cake wins to begin their season and with Oklahoma State on Texas Techs calender next week, the Techies maybe a little distracted and than shocked at the outcome of todays battle. Play on the Razorbacks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | Louisville -6 v. Virginia | 21-23 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 40 m | Show | |
Lousiville remains a power house and are 22-3 ATS vs ACC L/25 and a perfect 11-0 ATS on the road! Bobby Petrino'd Louisville is in its first season in the Atlantic Coast Conference. It must be noted that home team in this situatio when facing a new ACC member is a perfect 0-6 SU. Louisville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | West Virginia +3.5 v. Maryland | 40-37 | Win | 100 | 68 h 14 m | Show | |
Maryland won their first game against USF despite of 6 turnovers. They are so very lucky and Im betting lady luck wont be on their side this week. West Virginia has revenge on board for last years beating at the hand the Terps. and behind a revamped and upgraded offense have the tools to get their redemption. WVU is still 8-1 in this series a and 4-0 in College Park and will add to those positive numbers after today/ Play on West Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | Ohio v. Marshall -20.5 | 14-44 | Win | 100 | 68 h 12 m | Show | |
Marshall when playing at home have very little mercy for less superior squads, and continue to pile up points of late not matter how big the lead is. That is evident by Marshalls 9 straight home wins that have seen them average 50 points in offense per tilt. Its been almost two years since the Thundering Herd have failed to cover at home. Get ready for the Herd to roll Ohio in ugly DD fashion. Play on Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-13-14 | GEORGIA SOUTHERN +20 v. Georgia Tech | 38-42 | Win | 100 | 68 h 11 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern is no easy team to deal with and must not be underestimated as they put 83 points on the board vs Savannah. Winning in Florida last year against the Gators was everyones wake up call and than a 1 point loss to NC State this season, is telling me they are very competitive and when a team is ready for them. GTech knows their coming , and that their a decent team, but Southern is more than prepared to go head to head in a ground for ground attack. Ill take the points. Play on Georgia Southern to cover 1 unit reg selection |