Texas a&M has gone under in 6 straight road games with ana verage of 34 ppg going on the board with only one game reaching the 47 combined point plateau. Texas AM after scoring more than 50 points in game like they did last time have come back and scored an average of 30.5 ppg in their following game with the total combined average clicking in around 51 ppg. Texas A&M has seen only 2 of their 13 games eclipse the Total. Mississippi State is 8-24-2 O/U since 2010 as a dog and 1-10-1 under as ahome dog with an average of 43.9 ppg going on the board. From a league wide perspective CFB sides- All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 like the Aggies - after allowing 475 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games against opponent after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are  51-18.74% on the under!

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Im not a big fan of  Charlie Strong football and it seems to me more often than not hes his own worst enemy. It  also seems hes on the hot seat on a consistent basis, and despite of talent level and top tier recruiting nothing seems come easy for this Longhorns football program of late, with close losses and defeats becoming the norm. After an emotional win vs Baylor (35-34) last time out in  a  game the Horns were fortunate to win, after being on the wrong side of the stats sheet, they now have the tall task as being listed as favorites on the road against an explosive Texas Tech side behind QB Mahomes ( expected to play and upgraded for Saturday). HC Strong of Texas has failed to cover 13 of his L/20 after a SU/aTS win and 3-7 ATS if that team was 5-0 or better. So what Im saying here is that , not even a  Matthew Mcconaughey motivational speech and heart thumping ritual song ie ( Wolf of Wall Street) will save the Horns or Strong from themselves.

Play on Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Notre Dame took advantage of a emotionally downtrodden Miami Fl side last week, and took a  20-0 lead vs the Canes before showing their 2016 inconsitencies allowing 27 unanswered points . Than  finally the football gods allowed them an opportunity for redemption by getting a late FG to win a ugly 30-27 event. Now Notre Dame 4-11 ATS off a win and 0-7 ATS L/7 on a neutral or home field under those peremiters situation will now  take on Navys triple option offense, that has gained more than 1148 yards in their L/2 games.

Play on Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Boise State perfect season is over after last weeks heart breaking loss and now a hang over is at hand, against a San Jose State team that has the ability on any given Sunday to hang with a deflated opponent. It must be noted the Broncos are just 2-17 ATS L/19 as a conference  favorite of more than 15 points on the Blue Carpet and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 in a week day game. And yes I know how bad a D, the Spartans have, but Boise State has not exactly been lights out against sides like this recently going,  0-7 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more pass yards per attempt .

Play on San Jose State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

QB Rush has been the catalyst behind the  Chippewas’ offense this season. The Charlotte Mich., native has already thrown for 2,533 yards and 21 touchdowns -  he owns two 300-yard passing games and he shelled Virginia for 402 yards in September. The Chippewas enter this game 25th in the FBS in passing yards per game at 283.4  and will be Im betting be able to keep pace with a suddently explosive Miami O offense.  The Chippewas’ defense is vastly under rated and some times disrepsected, but that would be a mistake, and Im betting will be the difference maker when all the chips are down. The unit is tied for second in the FBS in defensive touchdowns with four. Central Michigan’s defense has 11 interceptions (tied 13th in the nation), with nine of those coming via  the secondary -  Central Michigan,according to my own power rankings is the superior  side and has been more consistent throughout the course of the season.  

Play on Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection LATE STEAM 

Hawaii has put alot of air miles on their bodies so far this season, and after pulling off the upset of Air force last week come home on tired legs and in a letdown scenario. Meanwhile, New Mexico owns the No.1 rush offense in the country that allows opposing  run offenses to cruise to 259 ypg . New Mexico gets the nod.  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW MEXICO) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 30-8 ATS L/38 opportunities.NEW MEXICO is 20-8 ATS ( in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play. HAWAII is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after playing 2 straight conference games. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest. New Mexico has won 6 straight meetings in this series and 3-0 L/3 visits to Hawaii. 

New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College football totals are based on a comprehensive data sheet, which incorporates my power ranking scores . No stone has been left unturned in quest to punish the books for weak College Sports Totals numbers. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Florida State is quietly playing better  football of late, allowing just one TD in their L/6 quarters of play. Now in good form and being pegged as home underdogs vs Clemson, I feel strongly about pulling the trigger and backing them as home pups in a place where they have won 23 of their l/24 games. Consdering Clemson is just 0-6 ATS as road favorite of less than a TD, my recommendation here is to take the points with the host puppies. 

Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Utep barely got a win last week in a exhausting 5 OT affair vs UTSA. Now  beat up and in an emotional letdowns scenario, they go against a Dominion side fresh off a humiliating loss to explosive Western Kentucky. With redemption a key motivator here this week for a visitor with a chip on their shoulders the home side is in trouble. It must be noted that UTEP has allowed an average of 39.2 ppg at home this season. College Football underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTEP) - a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record 17-46 ATS L/63.UTEP is 4-17 ATS  in home games after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games.

Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Tigers are coming off an impressive 56-3 dismantling of an Arkansas team that dealt the Rebels a 34-30 setback the week before. Auburn averaged 9.5 ypc on the ground last time out.  Thats not a good omen for a Ole Miss side that ranks  113th out of 128 FBS teams against the run and don't rank any better than 70th nationally in pass defense, total defense or scoring defense. Auburns D allows just 14 ppg. This is a mismatch based on current perfromances and worth a wager on the visitor as short chalk. Malzahn is 9-0 ATS L/9 after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread and is s 10-1 ATS  in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse like Ole Miss. 

Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Badgers are brusied and battered after taking on three straight tough opponents, Michigan, Ohio State and Iowa.  Today against a under appreciated 7-0 Nebraska side, that has covered 4 of their L/5 as conference dog of 8 points or less Wisconsin is at a disadvantage. Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 20-43 ATS L/46 opportunities. Nebraskas coach Riley is 24-7 ATS in road games in October games in all games he has coached and is 9-1 ATS  in road games vs. mistake free teams like Wisconsin - 42 or less penalty yards per game in all games.

Play on  Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Texas Techs offense is so explosive its rediculous. I know their D, is atrocious, but after their 66-59 loss last week to Oklahoma, Im betting facing the Frogs offense wont be such a big task. It must also be noted TCUs offense has been stagnant of late, scoring 24 points vs a rebuilding Kansas program, and scoring just 10 points vs W.Virginia las t week, while losing 3 straight stat sheet battles. Im betting the Frogs weak favorites vs a Texas Tech side that is offensively tenacious and  hungry. TCU is 0-6 ATS  when playing on a Saturday this season.TEXAS TECH is 8-0 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals and is 21-9 ATS L/30 off a home loss against a conference rival.

Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection

The unbeaten and fourth-ranked Washington Huskies are enjoying their best ranking since the end of the 2000 season, but they are heading into what their coach calls their toughest test of the season.Utah senior running back Joe Williams Im betting is the catalyst this week for the Utes,  as he is coming out of a five-week retirement due to injuries, rushing for 179 yards against the Beavers and a school-record 332 vs. the Bruins. The coaching staff convinced him to come back after other injuries ravaged the position.UTAH is 36-19 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 pointsUtah is 7-1 this year and their only loss came by 5 points at California this season, and game they had a chance to win late. It must be noted that HC Whittingham in 72 games has only lost 6 times by 10 or more points in Salt Lake City. The Utes are 12-3 ATS as double-digit dogs – 3-0 SU the last three –including 3-0 ATS at home.

Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Baylor has yet to be tested this season, and now they go against a desperate Texas team that is trying ressurrect their season from a scrape heap of over estimated enthusiasm. Texas junior running back D'Onta Foreman has been a key cog in the Longhorns' offense and ranks third in the country with an average of 142.5 rushing yards per game. Foreman has carried the ball 141 times for 855 yards (11th nationally) and eight touchdowns, and will be the key catalyst behind what I am betting will be a Texas cover at home. TEXAS is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att. Baylor has yet to be tested this season, and now they go against a desperate Texas team that is trying ressurrect their season from a scrape heap of over estimated enthusiasm. ghorns' offense and ranks third in the country with an average of 142.5 rushing yards per game. Foreman has carried the ball 141 times for 855 yards (11th nationally) and eight touchdowns, and will be the key catalyst behind what I am betting will be a Texas cover at home. TEXAS is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att. 

Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Seven turnovers doomed Army last week vs North Texas. My own projections tell me this a better team than many might expect and much better than they showed us last week. This week, I expect they take care of the ball and get us a cover and possible upset vs a Wake Forest side that just does not float my boat. 

Underdogs like Army of 3.5 to 10 points - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games are 37-11 ATS L/48 opportunities.WAKE FOREST is 2-11 ATS  in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest .

Army to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Penn State is off a huge win vs Ohio State last week, and now will be in a monumental letdown spot. Considering Penn State has not covered in 8 straight road games  and 0-5-1 ATS as road favorites and as a program going back 3 decades have failed to cover 3 straight times after a home underdog win. Meanwhile, Purdue looked good last week in a hard fought loss to Nebraska, and look more motivated now that fired HC Darrell Hazel is gone. 

Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kentucky impressed me last week, getting a win last week vs a Mississippi State side that has won the previous 7 tilts against them. The wildcats have now won 4 of their L/5 games, and have a very good chance of pulling off another underdog win this week vs a Missouri side, that is less than impressive this season.  The Tigers are on  a3-0 ATSSU run and 3-11 SU L/14 vs opposition football teams and allowing an ugly 518 ypg and 35 points per game this season, and very much look like fade material. A road team like Kentucky - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. 

Play on the Kentucky Wildcats to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Central Michigan are a top tier MAC side, but Kent state are no pushovers with 17 returning starters on the roster. I know th Golden Flashes own a sub par 2-6 record, but their D, is raked 29th in the nation and must not be ignored when looking at DD spreads. After playing their hearts out vs Toldeo last week in a 31-17 loss, Im betting the Chips are in a letdown scenario and ripe for the upset. With that saidd, lets take the boatload full of points . 

Play on Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Lousiville is a great team, but we are starting to get into the outer limits of   their favorite status with this spread. I know impresive wins are a must now for the Cardinal after losing to Clemson earlier this season. However, thats alot of pressure and I doubt very highly Virginia would just lie down and die here at home in what is a great opportunity for the program to spring a upset. The Cavs have covered 4 of their L/5 as DD home dogs, and get my nod here as huge home doggies. 

Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Diego State is continuing to impress me with a solid D that is allowing just 17.6 ppg on the seaspn and just 285.7 ypg. Thats not a good omen for a Utah state side that ranks 81st in offense . It must aso be noted that the Aggies are a ugly 7-31-1 ATS in home losses, and have failed to cover their L/10 if they lose. I really like SD State SU, here, and barring a minor miracle the Aztecs should easily win and more importantly cover. 

SAN DIEGO ST is 9-2 ATS L/11 against conference opponents with the average margin of their wins coming by 22.8 ppg. Long is 15-4 ATS L/19 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in all games he has coached with the average margin of victory coming by 10.2 ppg. Road favorites like San Diego State  of 3.5 to 10 points after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team have cashed 30 of the L/37 times.

San Diego State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Historically speaking,  this Pitt  football program has a leg up on Virginia Tech, as the Panthers are winners of four consecutive meetings at Heinz Field and six of the previous seven. It seems that this long standing rivalry always brings out the best in the Panthers, no matter how good or bad they are doing at the time of their clashes. I know the Hokies run game is progressing upward quickly, as was evident against Miami last week in a lopsided win, but   against a Pitt defense that’s been as stingy as any in the ACC in the run game, allowing only 96.6 yards per game, the fifth best mark nationally, their in deeper than many might now think.  Piitsburgh is 5-0 ATS L/5 at home in this series all 5 as underdogs. PITTSBURGH is 15-4 ATS in home games off a win by 10 points  or more over a conference rival, which happened against Virginia last week.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Fresno State enters this game having lost 15 of his L/17 games against FBS opponents and when they lose SU, from a historical stand point are 8-47 ATS L/55 games. Utah state needs a win badly, and after a week off to prepare for this game I expect they will crush their lowly opponent . Utah State is a perfect 6-0 ATS off a bye. UTAH ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game which happened last time out. 


Play on the Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection

OIe Miss, coming off a 34-30 loss to Arkansas that dropped it to 1-3 against ranked opponents, are a inconsistent side. Im betting on quarterback Chad Kelly and company react with alot of energy to the loss at Arkansas that was sealed when he lost a fumble on the Rebels' final drive, ending hopes for a comeback win.I think this is when you find out a lot about yourself, a lot about your team, and a lot about your kids," Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze said I couldn't agree with him more. Ole Miss has some good character players and they will be in this game. Back to back wins vs Missouri and southern Miss are not impressive enough opponents to make me think their current 2-0 run under coach Orgeron is stimulus for this program to get back on track. Note: LSU is 1-10 ATS L/11 after playing at conference game at home. Ole Miss is 9-1 ATS L/10 at Baton Rouge. 

Play on Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection

We have revenge on board for Texas Tech, against Oklahoma for last seasons 63-27 beat down. Last week Tech was clobbered and thoroughly embarrassed by West Virginia not scoring 50 points for the first time all and now their going to want some redemption. Texas Tech has covered 7 straight, when getting 5 or more points as home pups. TEXAS TECH is also 7-0 ATS L/7 off 2 straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more over the last few seasons. 

Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection

After getting shutout by App State last week, UL Lafayette will be primed to beat up on a team they have owned over the last three seasons, winning each game by 3 or more Tds. Texas State has been out stated in 16 of their L/17 games overall and Im betting will once again be on the wrong side of the score sheet again. 

Play on UL Lafayette to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Washington has a very high rating, but I still believe their little over rated with three of their wins coming against Rutgers, Idaho and Portland State . Meanwhile, Oregon State has played admirably of late, upsetting California and losing to Utah by just 5 points.  It must also be noted that  HC Gary Anderson teams are 7-0 ATS of more than 23 points as they are here today. Also another interesting anomaly or trend shows that Washington is 0-10 SU week 7 record. Oregon State has the ability to cover this number. 

Play on Oregon state to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas HC Bielema is 6-0 ATS L/6 in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 and s 15-4 ATS L/19 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is 13 of 16 ATS as a dog off a SUATS win in his career, including 11-1 ATS as a underdog of 10 or less points.

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection

My own projections say this contest should be closer to a -3 line rather than the 7 we are getting. Big time value is available here with Utah to cover.UTAH is 36-13 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 120 or less rushing yards/game and is 35-19 ATS L/54 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.UCLA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in games played on a grass field.

Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection

West Virginia, which lost nine starters from last year's defensive unit and arguably its best player in free safety Dravon Askew-Henry in fall camp to a torn ACL, has utilized the odd 3-3-5 stack and disguised its blitzing to create problems for opposing offenses. But now 6 games in you can bet some top tier teams like TCU , know what they have to do to knock this group down a notch. "You have to make plays and tackle in space, and they were able to do that,"  HC Patterson said. "They got after Patrick (Mahomes II), who is a really good quarterback. They have great skill players."You have to be able to run the ball against them. Two years ago, we had to run the football to win. If you can't, you're going to get yourself in a lot of trouble." With that siad, Im a big fan of Pattersons, and with the extra week of rest to prepare for this game Im betting he has his Frgs ready to perform. Note: TCU is a perfect 13-0 ATS entering a game off a bye. 

TCU is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game.W VIRGINIA is 3-12 ATS L/15 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better.

Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

No. 24 Navy will Im betting capitalize on its 13 game straight home-field dominance in a pivotal matchup against conference rival Memphis on Saturday.The Midshipmen had two weeks to prepare after their last game against East Carolina was postponed to Nov. 19 because of flooding from Hurricane Matthew and will be very fresh for this game. NAVY is 9-1 ATS /10-0 SU in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. 

Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection

Western Michigan (7-0) is a special MAC team, but today here at Waldo Stadium their being asked to cover a boatload full of points vs a E.Michigan side that has some very good offensive capabilities and own road wins at Missouri, Bowling Green and Ohio and have only allowed 25 + points twice this season on their way to a 5-2 record. Im betting on the Eagles to make it 6 straight covers in this spot. Note: W Mich is 4-14 ATS L/18 in home games versus good offensive teams -averaging 425 or more yards per game.

Take the points with the Eastern Michigan Eagles

‘Bronco M’ as the HC  Virginia head  is 24-11-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points, including 8-2 ATS in conference play. The  Cavs under his tutledge  are 4-1 ATS as home dogs of 6 or more points.Meanwhile, the Heels are 0-5-1 ATS as road favorites of 7 or more points and  including 0-6 ATS versus an opponent off a SU loss. Virginia has covered 13 of their L/15 as dogs and get the nod here today.Bronco Mendenhall is 4-0 SU and 3-0 ATS at home in games off a SU home defeat VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS L/6 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.

Play on the Virginia Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I was big on Stanford before the season started ,but now Im pretty sure their flow is off. With star RB Christian McCaffrey operating with nagging injuries a key ingredient in their chemistry is causing issues. They have lost 2 of their L/3 and lost 3 straight stats sheet battles. Meanwhile, Colorado is proving their the real deal, outgainging opponents by an average of 200 ypg. The Buffs have revenge on board for last season 42-10 home loss to the Cardinal, and are 5-0 ATS L/5 on the road looking to get even. It must be noted that visiting sides where the line is +3 to -3 - excellent offensive team - scoring 35 or more points/game are a bankroll expanding 83-40 ATS over a huge 123 game sample size for a 68% conversion rate . 

Play on Colorado to cover 1 unit reg selection

Charlie Strong saved his job last week,with a win vs Iowa State but I am betting that is short lived, and that the Longhorns problems are more pronounced than many might think. KState lost to Oklahoma last week 38-17, but are 11-1 ATS off a road blowout loss by 21 points.TEXAS is 0-6 ATS L/6 after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game.KANSAS ST is 14-4 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game.TEXAS is 2-11 ATS in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game.

Play on KState to cover 1 unit reg selection

UMass is ranked 105th in the country on D, and have been out gained by an average 152 ypg this season. Even Carolinas pedestrian offense, should be able to pound away and put points on the board. The Gamecocks D, is of the top tier variety and have held to SEC opponents to season low yards, and Mass should have their hands full even putting up a few field goals here. 

Play on South Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection

The wrong team is favored here. Yes Northwestern has won 2 in a row , but the superior side is Indiana according to my own power ratings. From a league wide perspective Home teams like the Northwestern where the line is +3 to -3 - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in October games are just 17-46 ATS for a lowly 23 % conversion rate . HC Fitzgerald is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games .

Play on the Indiana Hoosiers to cover 1 unit reg selection

[QB] 10/18/2016 -Minnys Mitch Leidner is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Rutgers ( Concussion )

Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection

These Army and North Texas teams are both improved from recent years, and Im expecting the points to be golden here. Army has only covered 2 of their L/16 as DD favorites. From a league wide perspective teams like Army A home team  after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are just 7-30 ATS. 

North Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Bowling Green played their hearts out in their L/game vs Toledo but could still not get the win and will be in an emotional letdown situation this week . Bowling Green has lost 5 straight and nothing seems to come easy to them and this week will be no different. MIAMI OHIO is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games against teams who commit 2.75 or more turnovers/game on the season. Miami O has covered 6 of their L/7 trips to Bowling Green.

Play on Miami O to cover 1 unit reg selection

Oregon - the ducks are coming off a bye week so their well rested and ready to get back in the win column after 4 straight losses. Recent history is on the side of the Ducks, as they have won seven straight matchups with the Golden Bears, dating back to 2009. the Bears are also off a bye after a loss on the road to Oregon State 47-44, but are banged up with some key injuries to WR Chad Hansen and  QB Davis Webb. Both should  play but are less than 100%. No matter what , because of Cals Defense, no lead is safe, and going against them as favorites against a side that can put points up in bunches makes for what I am betting is  a solid underdog pick.  Note:  Cals Sonny Dykes is 0-12 SU in his career vs Oregon. 

Play on the Oregon ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Temple came back last week , for a late 25-24 win vs UCF , as QB Philip Walker hit a 8 yard touchdown pass. After watching that win I have come to the conclusion that Temple is improving with each week, and their D, is now in mid season form, and a danger to a full throttle USF that needs to flow to do well. Temple I am betting will disrupt their flow. It must be noted that the Owls have held four teams to season low offensive numbers and are moneymakers has underdogs under HC Matt Rhule, covering 18 of their 25. 

Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is an average Miami team coming off back-to-back losses, and Im sure their egos are little damaged as well . I know alot has been made the Canes, and how good a team they have become. In my opinion their over hyped to an extent, and out of their league tonight vs a Vtech side on the rise. I know you would never know it by last weeks loss at Syracuse, but , previous to that brain fart, the Hokies were dominant and here this week I expect them to return to form. 

Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Nick Rolovich and Hawaii Warriors are suddenly 2-0 SU & ATS in 2 underdog roles, but are just 10-20 ATS L/30 as home chalk after two SU wins. Now however, the Rainblow paradise island crew are being installed as favorites, something that has yet to happen yet this season. UNLV is improving and will be prepared to play here after, going against a tough San Diego State program last week. The visitor is a perfect 5-0 ATS in this series and Im betting on tourists grabbing the cash again in this spot. 

Play on the UNLV Rebels to cover 1 unit reg selection

Temples D, is phsyical and capable of slowing the UCF attack down, especially with a uncertain QB situation to deal with. On the flipside the Knights have struggled with their D and against the pass , ranking No. 81 in the nation by allowing 238 yards per game, which is not a good omen going up against talented Temple  QB in  Phillip Walker who passed for 445 yards last time out. 

Southern  Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Projected score: Texas 38 Iowa State 33 

Iowa State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida won a 13-6 physical slugfest vs Vanderbilt last week, and should feel the effects of it here vs Missouri. It must be noted the Gators are 2-12 ATS in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game and is 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games after allowing 14 points or less.Missouri got clobbered by LSU last time out but as a football program have proven a strong threat going 10-0 ATS after allowing 375 or more rushing yards last game.

Play on Missouri to cover 1 unit reg selection

Projected score: Utah 27 Oregon State 13 

Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points like Syracuse- in conference games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are a long term profitable wager going 156-90 for a 63%+ conversion rate ATS. Syracuse is 5-1 aTS L/6 in this series and have enough offense to keep pace here or jack up a back door cover. 


Play on Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection

Indiana according to my own power rankings is one of the most under rated teams in the nation, and are looking stronger and more confident with each game. Watching them perform well against Ohio State las tweek solidified my belief in them as a team on the rise in the Big 10 . With Nebraskas current injury problems Indiana very much looks like a solid bet today. 

Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection

This is a revenge game for Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan. With CMU looking ahead to Toledo next week, Im betting NIll who own a 8-1-1 ATS mark as conference home dogs has the edge. 

Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection

North Carolina and Miami according to my own power rankings are very close to each other from statistical matchup perspective. Both are off losses and both are desperate to get back to their winning ways. Im expecting an all out war in tilt that taking points in makes for a solid wager. 

Play on North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wake Forest 5-1 SU has a tough D, that is allowing just 18 ppg and will go against a Seminoles team off a big win and also in a look ahead situation against Clemson next week. Im betting when the Seminoles get up by a comfortable margin , the starters will get rested , in preparation for their next big game,  which will help Wake get close enough to cover. The Seminoles are 1-10 ATS off a underdog win and 0-8 ATS as a favorite and 0-7 ATS at home.

Play on Wake forest to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Kentucky remains high on my power ranking charts despite of some inconsistencies so far this season. It must be noted that the explosive Hilltoppers are 19-2 ATS L/21 in tilts as a conference pup, including a perfect 10-0 ATS off a loss of 3 points or more which happened last week in a heart breaking 55-52 loss to LA Tech. I expect the explosive Toppers bounce back here vs Middle Tennesee State this week and grab the cover as underdogs.

Play on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Virginia Cavs have won 2 straight after opening the season 0-3, and look to be in an upward projectory. Meanwhile, the U Pittsburgh Panthers continue to be involved in back and forth affairs, and never seem to be solid bets to cover against an opponent with a offensive heartbeat which, the Cavs certainly have. Considering the Cavs are home coming dogs, and Pittsburgh could be looking ahead to VTech in their next tilt, Im betting we have value with the home coming/home dog off a bye. It must be noted HC Mendenhall is 8-1 ATS L/9 as a conference underdog of 3 points or more.

Play on the Virginia Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Texas Tech is explosive offensively and have score 50 points or more in their L/9 home games. I know West Virginia is undefeated this season, but keeping up with this gridiron crew is going to be difficult. It must be noted that West Virginia is 0-8 ATS off a bye vs conference opposition. 

Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg seleciton

KState has covered 5 straight as DD conference dogs. After last seasons 55-0 home embarrassement to Okalhoma some pay back is on the agenda today. The Wildcats have held all 6 of their opponents to season low yards, and Im betting a repeat is on board here today. 

KANSAS ST is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return. KState is 7-1 ATS L/8 in this seires including 3 straight on the road. 

Play on the KState Wildcats to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Dating back to last season Fresno State has lost 14 of their L/18 games. Meanwhile, SD State's super star running back Pumphrey’s is a gridiron god and will explode on the Bulldogs empty defense this week for huge numbers. Long is a fine head coach, and he’s got his team on track to defend its Mountain West Conference title.

Projected score: SD State 47  Fresno State 17

Tigers are 31st in the nation in passing, putting up 281.6 ypg through the air so far, while ranking 42nd in total offense and 11th in scoring, putting up 43.4 ppg so far, and despite os struggling a bit last week va strng Temple D, will now find the going alot easier vs Tulane . On offense Tulane  is the 2nd worst passing team in the nation. The Green Wave run the ball well, but the Tigers are 37th in the nation against the run, allowing just 134.2 ypg so far, so Tulane is at a disadvantage here .TULANE is 10-25 ATS L/35 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game losing SU by ana verage of 18 ppg and is 3-14 ATS  vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season , losing Su by an average of 23.4 ppg. Memphis has covered 7 of their L/8 trips to Tulane. Memphis won last year’s meeting 41-13.

Play on Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Duke is being understimated here by the linesmakers, in this tilt vs the Lousiville. The Cardinal After losing to Clemson last time out, will I am betting feels the ffcts  of letdown scenario, which will  also be in play. Duke has enough offense, to help them stay within the number for the cover. 

Play on Duke to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Projected score: App State 28 UL Laffayette 17

App St to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Charlotte after allowing 52 points to Old Dominion, last week, is a tell tale sign of things to come this week, vs a hungry and under rated Florida Atlantic side that will be ready to romp after losing last week, in a game they should have won vs instate rival FIU. Charlotte has numerous problems, on both sides of the ball.Charlotte ranks 126th in points allowed per game (44.2ppg), 123rd in passing yards allowed (313.8ypg) and 115th in total yards per game (485.ypg)

Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After surprisingly getting crushed by a 44-6 score at Washington on Friday night, Stanford has an extra day to regroup and prepare for Washington State. Recent history suggests the Cardinal will rebound.Since 2010, Stanford has lost consecutive games only once. That occurred in 2014, when the Cardinal fell to Oregon and Utah, the latter in double-overtime.Last year, Stanford dropped its opener at Northwestern, and then stormed back for eight straight victories. In 2013, the Cardinal bounced back from defeats to Utah and USC to win three in a row. And in 2012, Stanford rallied from a tough loss at Washington .Stanford has beaten Washington State eight straight times, and I am betting one more win and cover comes this week. 

Play on Stanford to cover 1 unit reg selection 

California is even more explosive offensively than many expected this season. The D remains suspect , but Oregon State has shown very little in the way of scoring ability this season, and could easily end up as road kill for the nasty Bears here tonight.There is a long term trend here at work tonight as Home underdogs like Oregon St  have lost 33 of  their 34 SU - after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game against opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. These teams have lost by an average of 20 points per game.

California to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UTEP started their season with a 38-22 win vs NM State and than played 4 superior sides, Texas , Army, Southern Miss , LA Tech and now will feel like this is a walk in the park, vs a Florida International team that is wildly inconsistent. UTEP is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games .

UTEP is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games after playing a conference game winning by an average of 8.3 ppg. 

Play on UTEP to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Western Michigan is off a big win last week, vs Central Michigan and N.Illinois looked like they have finally woken up from a early season slumber by beating Ball State as visitors last week. N.Illinois because of their slow start and Western Michigan because of an impressive start , are now huge home favs at home, in a game I am betting will be much closer than the linesmakers estimate. N ILLINOIS is 13-0 ATS L/13 off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog . From a league wide perspective: Home favorites like W.Michigan - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards are a bankroll depleting 9-35 ATS for a lowly 20.5% conversion rate!

Play on the Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

North Carolina is in a perfect emotional letdown spot. The Heels are coming off a huge last-second victory against Florida State. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech had a bye week and two weeks to prepare for North Carolina.HC Fedora is in his career at NC is 0-8 ATS after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game . 
N CAROLINA is 10-30 ATS L/40 after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games, which just happened in bak to back story book endings. North Carolina needs a breather here but their not going to get it. 

Play on VTech to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Panthers are playing very good D, but their issues are on offense where they rank 11th in the Sun Belt in total offense, passing efficiency and rushing. And their rushing average, 56.2 yards per game, ranks last in the country. Georgia State was dealt a big blow this week, learning that sophomore receiver Penny Hart, whose 1,099 yards led the Sun Belt last year, has been lost for the season with a broken foot.Meanwhile, Texas State quarterback Tyler Jones leads the Sun Belt in passing percentage, is second in passing touchdowns (nine) and is fourth in passing yards (1,076) and has the ability to torch stiff defenses.

Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My own power ranking and numbers suggest that Maryland is the superior side. After a grueling game last week vs Minnesota that Penn State won in OT, which followed a physical beat down at the hands of Michigan in the prior week, Penn State will be in a letdown mode and ready for catastrophic failure . 
PENN ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry.MARYLAND is 21-9 ATS L/30 versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry.PENN ST is 4-13 ATS L/17 against conference opponents.

Play on the Maryland Terps to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Southern Miss is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games when playing against a team with a losing record.UTSA is 0-6 ATS L/6 when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play which my own projections predict will happen.

Play on Southern Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection

Cincinnati’s rushing attack is a two-headed monster consisting of senior Tion Green and junior Mike Boone. They have rushed for 345 and 247 yards, respectively. Both have accounted for two touchdowns and both will be instrumental in what I am betting will be a Bearcats win in cover vs UConn.  It must be noted that HC Tubberville and company now have chips on their shoulders after the media and their own fans have been vocal about the Bearcats losses to USF and Houston, two potent sides. UConn does not offer that kind of competition.

Play on the Cincinnati Bearcats to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Tigers are coming off their best performance of the year in rallying to beat Louisville. After jumping out 28-10, they saw the Cardinals storm back with 26 consecutive points and win 42-36 freak show and will now be in a letdown scenario on the road against a solid Boston College D, that can put the best of teams to sleep.It must be noted that  Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points like Boston college  - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record on the season are 35-9 ATS.Addazio is 6-0 ATS L/6 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct of  75% or more ) as the coach of BC.

Play on Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The game last week against for UCLA was heart breaking vs Stanford as they lost a close game that the team as a whole played their hearts out in. Now in a emotional letdown followup against Arizona , Im betting covering this number vs a under rated group will prove more difficult than the linesmakers and pundits expect .UCLA is 0-6 ATS L/6  in home games when playing on a Saturday are  1-11 ATS  in games played on a natural surface.

Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Dantonio is on of the top coaches in football, and will have his team ready to operate in top form this week after last weeks embarrassing loss to a very physical Wisconsin team. Meanwhile, Indiana side  has shown some inconsistencies this season, so far losing a 33-28 decision to Wake Forest last week despite of out gaining the Deacons. It must be noted that HC Wilson is 0-10 ATS L/10 after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of the Hoosies losing SU by an average of 10.3 ppg. 

Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection