At 9:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (977) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (978) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Madison Bumgarner. THE SITUATION: San Diego (0-0) looks to improve from a 79-83 record last season. Arizona (0-0) was 52-110 last year.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Padres are favored for this Opening Day contest — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when favored going back to last season. They have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total when the favorite. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with the number in the 9-10.5 range — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with the number in the 9-10.5 range. First-year manager Bob Melvin gives the ball to Yu Darvish who had an 8-11 record with a 4.22 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. The 35-year-old right-hander enjoyed a great first half of the season — but he was saddled with a 6.16 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP to close the year while he dealt with hip and back issues. The best-case scenario is the offseason has allowed him to heal and regain his early-season form. Maybe … but he is giving up too many gopher balls in the second half of his career. He surrendered 1.52 home runs per nine innings last season. He also did his best work at home in the spacious Petco Park where he had a 3.38 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .206 in 17 starts. But in his 13 starts on the road, Darvish had a 5.54 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .244. The Padres have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total with Darvish pitching and priced as a money-line favorite of -125 or higher. The Diamondbacks ended last season with the Over going 15-5-1 in their last twenty-one games against right-handed starting pitchers, and the over was 4-1-1 in their last six games when playing at home against right-handed starting pitchers.

Arizona has seen the Over go 22-8-1 in their last 31 games when the oddsmakers install them as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games at home when the dog. The Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games with the Total set from 9 to 10.5 — and the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games at home. They counter with Bumgarner who was 7-10 with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. The good news for the 32-year-old lefty is that his velocity was up in spring training. But that was the same story we heard last year — and his strikeout rate of 20.2% was still below the league average. This is a pitcher on the decline — and the underlying numbers validate his front-line numbers as his SIERA and xFIP both projected an ERA of 4.57 and 4.85 last year. His numbers were slightly worse when pitching at home last year where he had a 1.25 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .253 in 12 starts as opposed to his 1.13 WHIP and .233 opponent’s batting average in 14 starts on the road. The Diamondbacks have played 8 straight games at home Over the Total when listed in the +/- 125 price range.

FINAL TAKE: The Over was 3-0-1 in Arizona’s last 4 games against teams from the NL West — and San Diego has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total against divisional rivals. 10* MLB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (977) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (978) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Madison Bumgarner. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (567) and the Chicago Bulls (568). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (48-30) has lost two games in a row with their 118-112 upset loss to Dallas as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday. Chicago (45-33) had their two-game winning streak snapped with a 127-109 loss to Miami as a 2-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bucks allowed the Mavericks to make 51.3% of their shots on Sunday — and that was after they allowed the Los Angeles Clippers to nail 60.9% of their shots on Friday in a 153-119 upset loss at home as a 3.5-point favorite. Milwaukee was without Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Jrue Holiday, and Brook Lopez against the Clippers but they returned to the court on Sunday. With the playoffs looming and playing against a potential first-round opponent in the Bulls, this game is a good opportunity for the reigning NBA champions to re-embrace playoff intensity on the defensive end of the court. As it is, the Bucks have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing their last two opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. Milwaukee has also played 4 straight Unders after losing two straight games at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after getting upset at home in their last two games. With Lopez back on the court after missing much of the season injured, he offers the team their best interior defender. His post-up ability also slows down their offense when they get into their half-court offense. With the potential of earning the second seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs still viable, the Bucks have plenty to still play for in the regular season. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. They have also played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Chicago allowed the Heat to nail 53.7% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. They should tighten things up on defense tonight in this Central Division showdown. The Bulls have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Chicago has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. After a great start to the season, the Bulls have cooled off significantly — and a rash of injuries has not helped matters. The Bulls have lost nine of their last fifteen games whole posting a 110.3 Offensive Rating during that span, ranking 28th in the league. They are making only 46.5% of their shots with a 33.2% shooting mark from behind the arc in their last 15 games as compared to their 48.0% field goal percentage and 36.8% clip from 3-point range for the season. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games at home Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bulls have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago will be looking to avenge a 126-96 loss in Milwaukee on March 22nd — and they have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a 20 point loss. These two teams have played 6 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in Chicago. The Bulls have also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total against Central Division opponents — and the Bucks have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow divisional rivals. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (567) and the Chicago Bulls (568). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Atletico Madrid (224201) and Manchester City (224202) in the first leg of their Quarterfinals match in the UEFA Champions League. THE SITUATION: Atletico Madrid enters this match on a six-game winning streak after their 4-1 victory against Alaves in La Liga on Saturday. Manchester City has won two straight matches after their 2-0 win at Burnley in the English Premier League on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Atletico Madrid advanced to the Quarterfinals of this event with a 1-0 victory at Manchester United on March 15th which secured a 2-1 aggregate win against the Red Devils. Los Colchoneros was underperforming on the defensive end of the pitch for much of the season — especially in their domestic Spanish competition — but they have regained the fierce defensive form that is typical for manager Diego Simeone’s teams. Atletico Madrid held Man United to just 1.5 expected goals (xGA) and only two Big Chances (as defined as having a 35% or better chance of scoring) in both matches. During their six-game winning streak across all competitions, the Red and Whites have allowed only three goals. They have given up nine goals in their last five matches against teams playing in this competition (in Champions League or La Line matches), but their xGA is just 5.4 during that span of contests. But the Atletico Madrid attack is not overwhelming — they have generated only 9.5 expected goals (xG) in their eight Champions League matches which is the lowest mark for the remaining eight teams. Man City has allowed only one goal in their last four matches. But they have scored more than two goals in those four contests just once — and they blanked twice. They have just seven goals in their last five matches in the EPL of UEFA Champions League. An injury to Ruben Dias on the backline may have manager Pep Guardiola embracing a more conservative approach since that potentially exposes a weak link for the team. Man City leads the EPL with the fewest goals allowed and the lowest xGA — they are an excellent defensive side.

FINAL TAKE: The 4-4-2 that Simeone deploys is very difficult to break down when Atletico Madrid has their defensive cohesion — as they do now. Furthermore, the elimination of the road-goals tie-breaker in this competition has removed the incentive for the road team to play with more aggression in these first legs. Don’t be surprised if Simeone has his park the proverbial bus with ten men in the back with the hopes of escaping with a 0-0 draw which would bring this competition back to Madrid in very good shape. Even if Man City scores, Los Colchoneros are unlikely to open up since they do not want the match to get out of hand before they host the reverse fixture. And with Dias still out, I expect Guardiola to embrace conservative tactics as well. 10* UEFA Champions League Tuesday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the match between Atletico Madrid (224201) and Manchester City (224202). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the National Championship Game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (721) and the Kansas Jayhawks (722) in the National Championship Game. THE SITUATION: North Carolina (29-9) won their 11th game in their last 12 with their 81-77 upset victory against Duke as a 4.5-point underdog on Saturday. Kansas (33-6) won their tenth straight game with their 81-65 victory against Villanova as a 4-point favorite in their Final Four game on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tar Heels held Duke to just 42% shooting with them missing 17 of their 22 shots from behind the arc. That was the second-highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games — but it was an impressive defensive display against a Blue Devils team that was leading the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. North Carolina has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after an upset victory. They have also played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. The Tar Heels also pulled down 49 rebounds against Duke — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after grabbing at least 46 boards in their last game. Kansas made 54% of their shots in their victory against the Wildcats which was the best shooting effort in their last 12 games. They also made 13 of their 24 shots (54%) from behind the arc despite only making 33% of their shots from the 3-point range. While the Jayhawks have 76 and 81 points in their last two games, they have then played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. Kansas has really tightened things up in the second half of the season. While Villanova made only 39% of their shots, that was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in the Jayhawks’ last five games. Kansas has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after holding at least three straight opponents to no higher than a 40% field goal percentage. The Jayhawks have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games.

FINAL TAKE: North Carolina ranks eighth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their last ten games while Kansas ranks fourth in the nation in that defensive metric in their last ten games. Expect a lower-scoring game. 10* CBB Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the National Championship Game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (721) and the Kansas Jayhawks (722). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (703) and the Duke Blue Devils (704) in the Final Four round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: North Carolina (28-9) has won 10 of their last 11 games after a 69-49 victory against Saint Peter’s as an 8.5-point favorite in the Elite Eight last Sunday. Duke (32-6) has won six of their last seven games with their 78-69 win against Arkansas last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: I concluded that the game script for this showdown should trend Over -- but the red flag I have struggled is with the strong historical numbers supporting Unders on neutral courts with the Total in the 150s (in the last five years, the Under is 390-290 (59%) in games played on a neutral court with the Total in the 150s). I realized what would convince me is to simply look at the data in the Final Four play in domes. Since 2011, four games were in domes with the Total in that point total range. The Under is 2-1-1 -- but last year's Gonzaga-Baylor game would have gone Over if it was a closer game than the Bears’ 86-70 victory (and I think this will be closer, so more likely to trigger the late free throw circus). There was also an Over with the total at 149.5 with Villanova beating North Carolina in 2016's Championship Game -- and that total opened at 151, so the historical data is real close to a 2-2-1 Over/Under mark. The sample size is way low, of course, but this data does conflict with the historical data I was worried about above. I am seeing a lot of evidence for the Over between these ACC rivals. The Blue Devils have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage at 60% or higher — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when favored. Furthermore, Duke has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. North Carolina has played 3 games this season on a neutral court with the Total in the 150s — and all 3 games finished Over the Total. The Tar Heels have played 6 straight Overs against teams with a winning record. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court as a dog.

FINAL TAKE: North Carolina is scoring 78.1 Points-Per-Game and Duke scores 80.1 PPG. These are two teams whose identity is on offense — they both rank in the top-8 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. And while the Blue Devils are the top-ranked team in that metric in the nation, the Tar Heels rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in their last ten games. But these two teams rank 45th and 39th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — so I do not see either coach deciding that defensive stops are the key to their success. The average for both the games these teams played this season was 164.5 combined points — so this line asks if this game in the Caesars Superdome will see more than 10 fewer combined points. These two teams have played 6 straight Overs in their last 6 battles — and I expect more of the same. 10* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (703) and the Duke Blue Devils (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Final Four game between the Villanova Wildcats (701) and the Kansas Jayhawks (702) in the Final Four round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Villanova (30-7) is on a nine-game winning streak after their 50-44 upset victory against Houston as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. Kansas (32-6) has won nine games in a row after beating Miami (FL) by a 76-50 score as a 5.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats will have to play this game without their leader in minutes, Justin Moore. The junior is second on the team with a 14.8 Points-Per-Game scoring average while adding 4.8 Rebounds-Per-Game and 2.9 Assists-Per-Game. Villanova already plays at a snail’s pace — they average 19.9 seconds-per-possession, ranking 349th in the nation, and their games average only 62.6 possessions per game, ranking 345th in the country. Look for head coach Jay Wright to demand his team be even more patient on offense without Moore as a scoring option — they will probably average more than 20 seconds per possession. Wright will want to shorten this game — and then maybe Collin Gillespie and his veteran teammates can steal it late. This was the formula for success against Houston (even with Wright) as they only made 28.8% of their shots — but their defense stymied the Cougars who only made 29.8% of their shots. Villanova has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory — and they have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Wildcats rank 17th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency -- and that number improves to ranking 9th in the nation when evaluating Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on a neutral court. But in their ten games played on a neutral court, Villanova ranks 25th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency which is fine but -7.7 adjusted points per 100 possessions less than what they generate at home, where they rank 3rd in the nation. Incidentally, the Wildcats see their average possessions drop to a 61.7 average on neutral courts. Villanova has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. Kansas is playing their best defense of the season after holding the Hurricanes to just 34.5% shooting last weekend. That was the fourth straight game where they did not allow an opponent to make more than 35.6% of their shots from the field. Over their last ten games, the Jayhawks rank 5th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. They have also played 6 straight Unders after not allowing their last three opponents to shoot better than 40% from the field. Kansas thrives when getting out in transition to score baskets — but this will be easier said than done against Villanova. The Wildcats do not turn the ball over to allow for these opportunities — they rank 29th in the nation by turning the ball over just 15.5% of the time. Head coach Jay Wright’s team is also masterful in switches — so they are comfortable defending in transition. Look for the Wildcats to bypass offensive rebounding to get back on defense — not only will that help stifle the Jayhawks' attack, but it will also limit their own second-chance scoring opportunities. Villanova will try to make up the difference with 3-point shooting since they attempt 46.1% of their shots from downtown, ranking 26th in the nation. But Kansas holds their opponents to 29.6% shooting from behind the arc, ranking 17th in the country. By the way, while the Wildcats make 41.3% of their shots from 3-point range at home, ranking 6th in the nation, that proficiency plummets to a 31.9% clip when playing on a neutral court, ranking 183rd in the country — and those numbers include Moore’s contributions who is a 35.6% shooter from distance. The Jayhawks have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games — and Villanova has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games. The Wildcats have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the Big Dance — and the Jayhawks have played 28 of their last 41 games in the NCAA Tournament Under the Total when favored. 25* CBB Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Final Four game between the Villanova Wildcats (701) and the Kansas Jayhawks (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (43) and the Calgary Flames (44). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (36-23-10) has lost three of their last four games after their 4-3 loss in overtime at Edmonton on Wednesday. Calgary (40-19-7) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 2-1 loss to Colorado on Tuesday.

UPDATE (8:45 PM ET): I am seeing that the Kings are sending out Cal Peterson in goal, going against the earlier projections (although the LA goalie was never announced before pre-skate). The Over is still a 25* play — Peterson has a 2.83 GAA and an .899 save percentage since the All-Star Break and a 2.88 GAA with an .899 save percentage in 16 starts on the road this season.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kings are ravaged with injuries on their blue line right now. Drew Doughty, Sean Walker, Matt Roy, and Mikey Anderson are all out. Not coincidentally, Los Angeles has allowed 3.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. They have seen at least six combined goals in five straight games. But the Kings’ offense has stepped up as of late as they are averaging 3.5 Goals-Per-Game in their last four contests. For the season, Los Angeles is eighth in the NHL in expected goals at even strength five-on-five. The Kings have played 4 straight games Over the Total after going to overtime in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing a game on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. Furthermore, while Los Angeles has seen seven combined goals scored in two straight contests, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Jonathan Quick will be the goaltender tonight. For the season, he has a middling 2.68 Goals-Against-Average and a .909 save percentage in 38 starts — but his performance has dipped since the All-Star Break with a 2.83 GAA and a .898 save percentage in his last ten starts. Quick has a 3.23 GAA and an .873 save percentage in seven starts against Pacific Division rivals. Moving forward, the Over is 5-0-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Calgary has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by one goal on home ice. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals — and the Over is 18-6-3 in their last 27 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. And while the Flames have peppered at least 31 shots in five straight games, they have then played 30 of their last 43 games at home Over the Total after playing five straight games where they registered at least 30 shots. Calgary had seen at least six combined goals scored in four straight games before their contest with the Avalanche. They are fourth in the NHL in expected goals scored at even strength — and they are scoring 4.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last seven contests. They counter with Jacob Markstrom between the pipes tonight. While he has a 2.16 GAA and a .925 save percentage in 52 starts this season — but he carries an .889 save percentage in his last four starts. He also has a 2.61 GAA with a .909 save percentage in his 15 starts against Pacific Division rivals.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 5-0-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games against Western Conference foes — and the Over is 3-1-1 in the Flames’ last 5 games against Western Conference opponents. 25* NHL Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (43) and the Calgary Flames (44). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (649) and the Texas A&M Aggies (640) in the Semifinals of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Washington State (22-14) won their seventh game in their last eight with their 77-58 upset victory at BYU as a 2.5-point underdog last Wednesday in the Quarterfinals of the NIT. Texas A&M (26-12) has won 10 of their last 11 contests with their 67-52 victory against Wake Forest as a 2.5-point favorite in their Quarterfinals match on Wednesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at Madison Square Garden in New York City.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars made 43.9% of their shots against BYU which was their best shooting mark in their last five games. They are only making 38.3% of their shots in their last five games. Washington State finds success on the other end of the court where they rank 26th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. While BYU made 41.1% of their shots against them last week, that was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last three games. The Cougars have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. The Under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a point spread victory. Washington State has 75 and 77 points in their last two contests — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. The Cougars cannot shoot — they rank 263rd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 48.1% while ranking 313th in the country by making only 46.2% of their shots inside the arc. Furthermore, they have played 16 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days — and they have played 7 straight Unders when playing for no more than the second time in the last eight days. Additionally, Washington State has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games. Texas A&M ranks 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have held their last four opponents to no better than 39.3% shooting after the Demon Deacons only made 34.0% of their shots against them last week. The Aggies have not allowed more than 65 points in six straight games — and their last two opponents in this tournament have not topped 60 points. Texas A&M has played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in two straight games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a double-digit win at home. This play on defense has helped the Aggies play four straight Unders. They have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. Texas A&M wants to get their offense in transition by forcing turnovers — they rank eighth in the nation by triggering turnovers in 23.9% of their opponent’s possessions. But this is going to be tough against this Cougars team that only turns the ball in 16.4% of their possessions, ranking 50th in the nation. The Aggies can get bogged down in the half-court with their offense. They only make 32.7% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 231st in the nation — and they only made 29.0% of their 3-pointers in the SEC.

FINAL TAKE: Texas A&M has played 4 straight Unders when the favorite. Washington State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (649) and the Texas A&M Aggies (640). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (549) and the Philadelphia 76ers (550). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (46-28) had their two-game winning streak end with their 127-102 loss at Memphis as a 2-point underdog on Saturday. Philadelphia (46-28) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 114-104 loss at Phoenix as a 4.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bucks have played three straight Unders after their game with the Grizzlies finishing Under the 233 point total. Milwaukee has played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. They stay on the road where they have played 10 of their last 13 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The 76ers allowed the Suns to make 51.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last seven games. And while they only shot 41.6% from the field themselves, that was still the highest field goal percentage in their last four games. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. They return home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight home games Under the Total when favored. They have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 220 or higher — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The 76ers have also played 35 of their last 52 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (549) and the Philadelphia 76ers (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (537) and the Miami Heat (538). THE SITUATION: Sacramento (27-48) has won two straight games with their 114-110 upset victory at Orlando as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. Miami (47-28) lost their fourth game in a row with their 110-95 loss to Brooklyn as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kings pulled off their upset against the Magic by holding them to just 42.5% shooting from the field which was the best defensive effort in their last five games. Sacramento has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Despite the recent success, this team is in the tank with the playoffs most likely out of reach. De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis have both been put on the shelf with injuries — and Josh Jackson is not playing tonight with an injury. The effort on defense has not been as strong as of late — they have allowed their last five opponents to 49.1% shooting which is generating 121.4 Points-Per-Game for them. They stay on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to make 48.8% shooting which is resulting in 117.2 PPG for their home hosts. Sacramento has played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Kings have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog. Miami’s 95 points on Saturday was the lowest-scoring output in their last eight contests. They have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a loss by 10 or more points — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Injuries have played a role in their recent losing streak — and Caleb Martin is still out with Tyler Herro and P.J. Tucker questionable. The attrition has impacted their play on defense as their last five opponents are making 48.1% of their shots which has resulted in them giving up 112.0 PPG. They stay at home where they have played 41 of their last 57 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They have also played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Miami will be looking to avenge a 115-113 loss at Sacramento back on January 2nd. The Heat have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (537) and the Miami Heat (538). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (533) and the Houston Rockets (534). THE SITUATION: Washington (30-40) snapped their six-game losing streak with their 127-119 win against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Houston (17-54) has lost five games in a row with their 122-98 loss to Memphis as a 12.5-point underdog yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wizards’ losing streak likely played them out of a spot in the postseason — and their play on defense has illustrated their loss of ambition. Washington allowed the Lakers to make 52.7% of their shots which was the seventh time in their last eight games where they allowed their opponent to make at least 50% of their shots. Washington has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. The Over is 14-3-1 in the Wizards’ last 18 games after a win — and they have played 5 straight Overs after a point spread victory. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. Houston only made 43.0% of their shots against the Grizzlies which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last ten contests. The Rockies have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a loss by 10 or more points on their home court. The Over is 21-10-1 in Houston’s last 32 games after a point spread loss — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. They stay at home where the Over is 13-6-1 in their last 20 games at home — and the Over is 17-8-1 in their last 26 home games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Houston has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and Washington has played 5 straight Overs against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less. 25* NBA Monday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (533) and the Houston Rockets (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (583) and the Washington Wizards (584). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (30-40) snapped their three-game losing streak with a 128-123 upset win at Toronto as a 9-point underdog last night. Washington (29-40) has lost six games in a row after losing to New York by a 100-97 score as a 6-point underdog last night.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wizards only made 43.0% of their shots last night in what was the worst shooting effort in their last 12 contests. But Washington remained competitive with the Knicks because New York only made 34.4% of their shots which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 57 games. The Wizards had seen each of their previous six opponents make at least 50% of their shots — so that effort last night probably says more about the Knicks than it does about a sudden improvement in the play of the Washington defense. The Wizards have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing their third game in four days. They return home where the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games — and they have polled 13 of their last 16 home games Over the Total with the Total set at 220 or higher. Additionally, Washington has played 5 straight Overs at home as an underdog — and they have played 4 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset win as a road underdog. LeBron James is doing everything he can to carry this team into at least a Play-In game opportunity in the postseason. This team is not nearly as good on defense as they were last year. Their last five opponents have made 47.9% of their shots which has resulted in 122.9 Points-Per-Game. The Lakers have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total in non-conference play. 10* NBA Over/Under Situational Special with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (583) and the Washington Wizards (584). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (543) and the Utah Jazz (544). THE SITUATION: Chicago (41-27) lost their sixth game in their last eight with their 112-103 upset loss at Sacramento as a 3.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Utah (42-26) has lost two of their last three games with their 117-111 upset loss to Milwaukee as a 2-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulls have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Unders after a point spread loss. They have also played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. DeMar DeRozan has cooled off as of late with his shooting as he is making only 40% of his shots in his last eight games. Zach LaVine is not 100% with his knee. But while Chicago still misses the defensive presence of Lonzo Ball, they did get back Alex Caruso who gives them a boost on that end of the court. The Bulls stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 220s. The Under is also 13-5-1 in Chicago’s last 19 games on the road as an underdog. They have also played 5 straight Unders against teams with a winning record. Utah has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while they have not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after not covering the point spread in at least three straight games. The Jazz will be without their second-leading scorer tonight with Bojan Bogdanovic out with a wrist injury. They stay at home where they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games when favored. Utah has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on October 30th when the Bulls upset the Jazz at the United Center by a 107-99 score. That game finished well below the 219 point total — the Under is now 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams. 25* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (543) and the Utah Jazz (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the First Four NCAA Tournament game between the Indiana Hoosiers (665) and the Wyoming Cowboys (666). THE SITUATION: Indiana (20-13) won their first two games in the Big Ten Conference Tournament before losing to Iowa by an 80-77 score as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday. Wyoming (25-8) comes off a 68-61 loss to Boise State as a 3-point underdog in the Mountain West Conference Tournament on Friday. This game will be played on a neutral court at the UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hoosiers made 47.6% of their shots in their last-second heartbreaking loss to the Hawkeyes. They have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by three points or less. First-year head coach Mike Woodson has his alma-mater playing outstanding half-court defense. Indiana led the Big Ten in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that rank 24th in the nation in that metric. It starts from their interior defense as are seventh in the country by holding their opponents to just 43.4% shooting inside the arc. Woodson has two outstanding defensive players inside in the 6’9 Trayce Jackson-Davis and the 6’8 Race Thompson — and they will present problems against the Cowboys’ offense. The “Post Up Pokes” run their offense inside-out with Hunter Maldonado and Graham Ike capable of scoring when posting up but happy to pass to an open teammate if they are double-teamed. This is a game where Woodson’s chops as a long-time NBA head coach will help with a few defensive maneuvers to disrupt the flow of the Wyoming attack. Indiana dealt with several injuries during the regular season so their numbers do not adequately represent the team playing on the floor tonight. The Hoosiers’ defensive presence improved for the Big Ten tournament with the return of Trey Galloway and Rob Phinisee — and Jordan Geronimo is expected to be available after getting injured in the Big Ten Tournament. But the Indiana offense is not dynamic as it relies on not turning the ball over and getting to the free-throw line to reach their 71.5 Points-Per-Game mark. They only pull down 27.0% of their missed shots, ranking 213th in the nation and they force turnovers in 17.5% of their opponent’s possessions, ranking 229th in the country. They only make 44.6% of their shots away from Bloomington, so if their shots are not falling, the offense can stagnate. But Indiana holds their opponents to just 39.1% shooting which translates into 65.9 PPG to keep them competitive. Wyoming made 42.6% of their shots against the Broncos in a losing effort — and that was the best shooting effort in their last five games. That contest finished above the 128.5 point total — and the Cowboys have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing an Over in their last game. Wyoming is making only 38.4% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in just 62.2 PPG. While the Cowboys rank 17th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency at home, that ranking plummets to 124th in the nation when they are playing on the road. They make only 42.9% of their shots away from home which results in 67.0 PPG which is -6.0 PPG below their season average. But the Pokes’ defense does tighten up when away from Laramie. Wyoming’s Adjusted Defensive Efficiency is 162dn in the nation when playing at home — but they improve to 43rd in the country in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They hold their opponents to 40.7% shooting and 65.7 PPG away from home. The Cowboys defend the perimeter well as they hold their opponents to just 30.3% shooting from behind the arc, ranking 32nd in the nation. Their offensive profile is like Indiana in that they bypass creating extra scoring opportunities — and their offensive identity is predicated on protecting the basketball and getting to the free-throw line. Wyoming thrives with their inside scoring as they make 52.5% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 32nd in the nation — but they may not have played a team with a better interior defense this season than what they will face against this Hoosiers team.

FINAL TAKE: This shapes up to a slow-paced rock fight. Wyoming has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog on a neutral court. Indiana has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 4 straight Unders when favored on a neutral court. 25* CBB First Four NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the First Four NCAA Tournament game between the Indiana Hoosiers (665) and the Wyoming Cowboys (666). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders (306007) and the Southeast Louisiana Lions (306008) in the Championship Game of the Southland Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Texas A&M Corpus Christi (22-11) won their third straight game in a 71-64 victory against Nicholls State as a 6-point underdog in the semifinals of this tournament yesterday. Southeast Louisiana (19-13) has won four in a row with their 74-65 victory as a 1.5-point favorite yesterday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Merrell Center in Katy, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Islanders advanced to play for the right to earn the Southland Conference’s automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament despite making only 42.4% of their shots, the lowest in their last four games. They are still making 47.0% of their shots in their last five games. The Over is 20-7-1 in Texas A&M Corpus Christi’s last 28 games after a straight-up win. And while they have won six of their last seven games, they have then played 16 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Islanders have played 22 of their last 34 games Over the Total against conference opponents. They have also played 25 of their last 35 games Over the Total when an underdog — and the Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games Over the Total when an underdog on a neutral court. Southeast Louisiana held New Orleans to just 40.3% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 30 games. The Lions allow their conference opponents to make 47.0% of their shots which generates 80.1 Points-Per-Game — and they are scoring 82.6 PPG with a 48.6% of their shots in the conference. Southeast Louisiana has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Lions have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with one or zero days between games — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total when playing their second game in three days. Southeast Louisiana has played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total in conference play — and they have played 4 straight Overs against teams winning at least 60% of their games. And in their last 13 games when favored, the Lions have played 10 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season contests after Southeast Louisiana beat the Islanders by an 83-74 score on February 17th. Texas A&M Corpus Christi has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders (306007) and the Southeast Louisiana Lions (306008). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At (now) 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgetown Hoyas (673) and the Seton Hall (674) in the first round of the Big East Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Georgetown (6-24) limps into the Big East Tournament on a 20-game losing streak after their 97-75 loss at Xavier as a 13-point underdog on Saturday. Seton Hall (20-9) has won five games in a row with their 65-60 upset win at Creighton as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. This game will be played on a neutral court at Madison Square Garden in New York City.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Head coach Patrick Ewing’s first priority for the Hoyas in this tournament is to tighten things up on defense after they allowed the Pirates to make 54.7% of their shots. That was the second-highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last seven games. Georgetown has played 4 straight Unders after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. The Hoyas have also played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a conference rival — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss on the road. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after playing a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. The problems against Xavier started early as they went into halftime with a 54-30 deficit. Georgetown has played 8 straight Unders after trailing by at least 15 points at half-time of their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 45 points in the first half in their last game. While the Hoyas should play better on defense, they still cannot shoot the basketball. Georgetown ranks 319th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 46.5%. They make only 43.7% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 346th in the country. Their shooting is even worse away from home where they rank 328th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.7%. The Hoyas make only 41.1% of their shots inside the arc on the road, ranking 357th in the nation — and their road 2-point shooting in the conference was even worse with a 40.9% mark. The Hoyas have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog. Seton Hall has held their last five opponents to 39.4% shooting which has resulted in those foes scoring only 63.6 Points-Per-Game. They rank 28th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are second in the Big East in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. The Pirates have played two straight Unders — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders in a row. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Seton Hall only makes 40.5% of their shots on the road which generates 70.8 PPG which is -3.4 PPG below their season average. The Pirates have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the number set in the 140s. Additionally, Seton Hall has played 27 of their last 37 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when favored on a neutral court.

FINAL TAKE: The Pirates swept the Hoyas this season after beating them by a 73-68 score on March 2nd. Georgetown has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 25* CBB Big East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgetown Hoyas (673) and the Seton Hall (674). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (609) and the Fairfield Stags (610) in the first round of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Association. THE SITUATION: Canisius (11-20) has won three games in a row with their 67-64 win against Siena as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. Fairfield (14-17) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 57-41 loss at Saint Peter’s as a 6.5-point underdog on Saturday. This game will be played on a neutral court at Boardwalk Hall in New Jersey.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Griffins allowed the Saints to make 52.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 15 games. Canisius has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They go on the road where they are making just 38.3% of their shots away from home. The Golden Griffins have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Under is also 13-5-1 in their last 19 games as an underdog. Fairfield only made 25.9% of their shots on Saturday in what was the worst shooting effort of their season. They are only hitting 37.6% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in only 57.8 Points-Per-Game. The Stags have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Toal after scoring no more than 50 points in their last game. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 41-19-1 in Fairfield’s last 61 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Stags have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Fairfield swept the two regular-season meetings between these two teams after an 80-76 win on February 14th. The Stags have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total when favored on a neutral court. Canisius has played 18 of their last 23 games Under the Total played on a neutral court. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (609) and the Fairfield Stags (610). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (583) and the Memphis Grizzlies (584). THE SITUATION: New Orleans Pelicans (583) had their four-game winning streak snapped after a 138-130 loss in overtime at Denver as a 4.5-point underdog on Sunday. Memphis (44-22) has lost two of their last three games after their 123-113 upset loss at Houston as a 10.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans have been playing better defense as of late — they are holding their opponents to 101.3 points per 100 possessions in the last two weeks. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 4 straight Unders after scoring at least 125 points in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. The 54.0% shooting clip that the Nuggets put up on them was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games. They stay on the road where the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They have also played 19 of their last 26 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Memphis allowed the Rockets to make 52.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 47 games. Expect the Grizzlies to play much better on that end of the court tonight as their Defensive Rating ranks seventh in the NBA. Memphis has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Grizzlies can struggle to score if they do not get transition scoring opportunities — they rank just 23rd in the league by scoring only 92.5 points per 100 possessions. The Pelicans are seventh in the league with their opponents averaging 14.8 seconds per possession — so they do a good job of slowing teams down. Memphis returns home where the Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games — and the Under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games when favored. The Grizzlies have also played 33 of their last 46 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: New Orleans will be looking to avenge a 121-109 loss at home to Memphis on February 15th — and they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total when their opponent scored at least 110 points in the win. The rematch is in Memphis where these two teams have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total when facing each other. 10* NBA New Orleans-Memphis TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (583) and the Memphis Grizzlies (584). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (635) and the Fordham Rams (636). THE SITUATION: George Washington (12-16) had their two-game losing streak snapped with a 98-93 victory in triple overtime as a 7-point favorite on Wednesday. Fordham (13-15) has lost two of their last three games with their 81-73 loss at Massachusetts as a 4-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Colonials' three-overtime game earlier this week was tied at 59 after regulation — so that contest was going way Under the 137 point total. George Washington made 47.9% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last four games. They have just the ninth-best offense in the Atlantic 10 Conference in terms of Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they drop to 12th in the conference in that metric when playing on the road. GW has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after losing two of their last three games. Additionally, the Colonials have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game — and the Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last contest. George Washington has the 12th worst defense in the Atlantic 10 in terms of Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they do improve to seventh best in that statistic when playing on the road in conference play. The Colonials have played 22 of their last 28 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is 20-6-1 in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. George Washington has also played 6 straight Unders on the road with the Total set in the 135-139.5 point range. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Fordham allowed UMass to make 47.4% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort in their last five contests. The Rams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 36-16-1 in their last 53 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 27-11-1 in their last 39 games after a point spread loss. Fordham ranks just 13th in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they are fourth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They return home where they hold their opponents to 41.5% shooting which results in only 63.6 Points-Per-Game. The Under is a decisive 42-16-1 in the Rams’ last 59 home games when favored — and they have played 12 of their last 16 home games Under the Total as the favorite. They have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130-134.5 point range. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Fordham will be looking to avenge a 64-55 loss at George Washington as a 1-point underdog on January 30th. They have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they did not score more than 60 points. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (635) and the Fordham Rams (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (773) and the Idaho State Bengals (774). THE SITUATION: Southern Utah (18-10) had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 69-53 loss at Montana State as a 3.5-point underdog on Tuesday. Idaho State (7-21) has lost three of their last four games with their 73-69 loss at Portland State in overtime as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This game between two subpar defensive teams should be higher-scoring tonight. The Thunderbirds have the fourth-best defense in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the Big Sky Conference — but they rank 232nd in that metric nationally. Southern Utah has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 55 points in their last game. The Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with just one day of rest. They are making a healthy 47.4% of their shots in their last five games — but they have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 48.9% from the field. They stay on the road where they are scoring 75.1 PPG while allowing 75.6 PPG. They have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games when favored. The Thunderbirds have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140-144.5 point range. The Over is also 26-10-1 in their last 37 games when favored. Idaho State ranks 324th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They managed to hold Portland State to just 15 first-half points on Saturday — but they have then played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after not allowing more than 25 points in the first half of their last game. Additionally, the Bengals have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Idaho State has played four straight Overs — and they have played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their last game. They have also played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing at least three Overs in a row. Now after playing those last three games on the road, they return home rehear they see their scoring average rise +6.1 Points-Per-Game to a 70.7 PPG mark. The Bengals have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total — and they have played 17 of their last 21 home games Over the Total after playing their last three games on the road. Idaho State has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the number set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Southern Utah won the first meeting between these two teams by an 86-74 score as a 16.5-point favorite on January 22n. Idaho State has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an earlier loss this season to their opponent. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (773) and the Idaho State Bengals (774). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (717) and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (718). THE SITUATION: North Carolina State (11-18) has lost two in a row and eight of their last nine games after their 84-74 loss to North Carolina as a 4-point underdog on Saturday. Wake Forest (22-8) has won two of their last three games with their 99-77 win against Louisville as a 9-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Demon Deacons made 58.2% of their shots against the woeful Cardinals which was the best shooting mark in their last 21 games. But I do not consider that an outlier performance as much as it is evidence that this Wake Forest team will expose teams who are vulnerable on the defensive end of the court. The Demon Deacons now shot at least 53.7% from the field in seven of their last twelve games. Expect another higher-scoring game as they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win at home where they scored at least 85 points — and they have played 6 straight Overs at home after a victory at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. They have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by 20 or more points — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Demon Deacons did allow Louisville to make 50.8% of their shots which was the third time they allowed an opponent to shoot at that clip or higher in their last five games. Wake Forest plays at the fastest pace in the ACC — they average 16.8 seconds per possession. Their opponents play at the second-fastest possession in the conference by averaging 17.4 seconds per possession against them. The 69.9 average possessions per game in conference play leads the ACC as well. And when playing at home, the Demon Deacons play at the 25th fastest pace when looking at adjusted numbers (that eliminate garbage time). Wake Forest is 15-2 at home where they make 49.5% of their shots which generates 83.2 Points-Per-Game. They have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total at home — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40%. They have also played 17 of their last 21 home games Over the Total when favored by 9.5 to 12 points. NC State only made 37.9% of their shots in their loss to the Tar Heels on Saturday which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last four games. But the play of the Wolfpack defense is a bigger concern as the 51.8% shooting clip by North Carolina which was actually the sixth-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last eight games. NC State ranks 15th in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 52.9% is the 296th worst mark in the nation. The Wolfpack have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They have played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. And while this is their second game since last Wednesday, they have played 14 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days. They go back on the road where they are 4-8 with an average combined score of 150.0 points due to allowing 76.2 PPG. While the Wolfpack ranks eighth in the ACC in pace, they get lulled into playing faster on the road where they are playing at the fifth-fastest pace in the conference. NC State has played 35 of their last 51 road games Over the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Over the Total in conference play. They have also played 17 of their last 22 road games Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: NC State is losing to avenge a 69-51 loss at home to Wake Forest on February 9th. The Wolfpack have played all 5 of their revenge opportunities this season Over the Total when getting beat by double-digits in their first meeting this season — and both games went Over this season when they were avenging a loss where they did not score at least 60 points. NC State has played 22 of their last 31 games Over the Total as an underdog — and Wake Forest has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total as the favorite. 25* CBB ACC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (717) and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (718). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the San Jose Sharks (16). THE SITUATION: Boston (30-17-4) has won three straight games with their 3-2 win at Seattle on Thursday. San Jose (23-22-6) snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 4-3 victory against the New York Islanders on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston has been outstanding defense — they are allowing only 2.04 expected goals (xGF) per 60 minutes this month. They have held their last five opponents to just 2.2 goals per game. And while they have peppered the opposing goalie with at least 33 shots in three straight games, they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total on the road after attempting at least 33 shots in three straight games. They are only scoring 2.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests as they continue to be held back with their secondary scoring after their “perfection line” of Patrice Bergeron (who is listed as probable tonight despite an illness), Brad Marchand, and David Pastrnak. They continue their road trip where the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games on the road. Jeremy Swayman is their goaltender tonight. Swayman has a 2.09 Goals-Against-Average with a .925 save percentage — and he ranks seventh in saves above expectation for goalies with at least 10 games played this season. In his 11 games (10 starts) on the road, Swayman has a 1.59 GAA and a .945 save percentage. Moving forward, the Under is 5-0-1 in Boston’s last 6 games against teams with a losing record. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game at home where both teams scored at least three goals. The Sharks’ victory against the Islanders was preceded by a 4-3 loss at Anaheim — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Furthermore, San Jose has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games — and they have played 15 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. The Sharks are missing Erik Karlsson to help out their attack. The defenseman is out indefinitely with an upper-body injury — and his absence exacerbates their lack of scoring punch from their bottom-six forwards. San Jose has a low 1.95 GF per 60 minutes this month — and they are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. They turn to James Reimer as their goaltender tonight who is having a solid season. Reimer owns a 2.90 GAA with a .913 save percentage — and he has made +2.9 saves above expectation. The Sharks have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a winning record.

FINAK TAKE: San Jose has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents — and the Under is 3-1-1 in Boston’s last 5 games against Western Conference foes. The Sharks will be looking to avenge a 4-3 loss to the Bruins on October 24th — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. The Under is also 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams when playing in San Jose. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the San Jose Sharks (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Carolina Gamecocks (727) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (728). THE SITUATION: South Carolina (17-10) has won four in a row after their 66-56 upset victory against Mississippi State as a 21-point underdog on Wednesday. Alabama (18-10) has won four of their last five games after their 74-72 win at Vanderbilt as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Gamecocks made only 43.9% of their shots on Wednesday in what was the lowest field goal percentage in their last four games. But they won the game by holding the Bulldogs to just a 35.8% field goal percentage in what was the best defensive effort in their last seven contests. South Carolina has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing a game that did not see more than 125 combined points scored. The Gamecocks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total after a win against a conference rival. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They go back on the road where they have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total including their last four Over the Total. The Over is also 15-7-1 in their last 23 road games as an underdog. Additionally, South Carolina has played 5 straight Overs against teams winning at least 60% of their games -- and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog. Alabama only made 37.9% of their shots against the Commodores in what was the lowest field goal percentage in their last five games. They did hold Vanderbilt to just 35.8% shooting which was the second-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 15 contests. That game finished below the 153.5 point total — and the Crimson Tide has played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game including seven of these nine circumstances this season. Alabama has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win against a conference rival — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Crimson Tide returns home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total when favored by 9.5 to 12 points. Over their last five games, Alabama is scoring 80.0 Points-Per-Game — but they are allowing 77.4 PPG. They have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a high-scoring game between two teams that played at the two fastest paces in the SEC. The Crimson Tide averages only 15.4 seconds per possession which is the ninth-fastest in the country. Alabama has played 8 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 150s — and South Carolina has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total with the number in the 150-159.5 point range. 10* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the South Carolina Gamecocks (727) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (728). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (517) and the Los Angeles Lakers (518). THE SITUATION: The Los Angeles Clippers (30-31) went into the All-Star break winning three of their last four games after their 142-111 win against Houston as a 10.5-point favorite last Thursday. The Los Angeles Lakers (27-31) snapped a three-game losing streak to go into the All-Star break with a 106-101 upset victory against Utah as a 4.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Clippers have been playing higher scoring games this month with head coach Tyronn Lue relying on Reggie Jackson and Terance Mann to give the team more minutes. Jackson and Mann give the team a boost on the offensive end of the court. The Clippers have a 50.6% field goal percentage in their last five games which has generated 112.2 Points-Per-Game. But that duo is not as effective on the other end of the court. The Clippers may rank seventh in the NBA in Defensive Rating — but they are just 20th in that metric this month. Not surprisingly, the Clippers have played 6 of their last 8 games this month Over the Total. The Over is also 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread victory. And while the Clippers have covered the point spread in their last three games, they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in at least three straight games. This team remains without their big two in Kawhi Leonard and Paul George — and they will be without their recent acquisition from Portland in Norman Powell who is out with a toe injury. Moving forward, the Over is 5-1-1 in the Clippers’ last 7 games against teams with a losing record — and the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Lakers will be without Anthony Davis tonight as he is dealing with an ankle injury. That means more small-ball with LeBron James playing at the five position. The Lakers will likely try to play at a fast pace relying more on Russell Westbrook’s athleticism (with the hope he can finally break out of his “slump” — they are ride-or-die with him now after he was not dealt at the trading deadline). The Lakers went into the break making 49.4% of their shots in their last five games which were generating 112.8 PPG — but also allowed 114.2 PPG in those five contests. The Lakers have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win They have also played 7 of their last 10 games at Crypto.com Arena Over the Total when favored — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total when favored by no more than six points. And in their last 8 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Lakers have played 6 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. And while the Clippers allow 107.7 PPG this season, the Lakers have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams who do not allow more than 108 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Against Pacific Division rivals this season, the Lakers are allowing these opponents to make 47.5% of their shots which is resulting in 116.3 PPG. The Lakers have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against Pacific Division foes. The Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two Los Angeles rivals. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (517) and the Los Angeles Lakers (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Belmont Bruins (825) and the Murray State Racers (826). THE SITUATION: Belmont (23-5) won their tenth straight game with a 73-62 victory against SIU-Edwardsville as a 22-point favorite on Saturday. Murray State (26-2) won their 15th straight game with a 62-60 victory at Tennessee-Martin as a 17-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Belmont needs to win this game to put themselves in a position to share the Ohio Valley Conference regular-season title. Expected a lower-scoring game between the two best defensive teams in the conference in terms of Adjusted Efficiency. The Bruins have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win at home against a conference rival. Belmont has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. The Bruins are playing their best basketball of the season — and it has been led by their play on defense. Belmont has held their last five opponents to just 40.4% shooting which has resulted in just 59.2 Points-Per-Game. They go on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better at home. Additionally, the Bruins have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Murray State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Racers have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. Murray State has not allowed more than 62 points in five straight games while holding their last two opponents to 60 or fewer points. They have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in two straight contests. The Racers are scoring less on offense lately as well. They are shooting 2.9% below their season average in their last five games — and that 45.0% field goal percentage over that span is resulting in -7.3 PPG below their 79.7 PPG scoring average for the season. They return home where they are holding their guests to 38.7% shooting which is resulting in just 63.1 PPG. Murray State has played 8 straight home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 28 of their last 36 games Under the Total with the Total set in the range overall. The Under is also 16-7-1 in the Racers’ last 24 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against winning teams. Murray State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Murray State won the first meeting between these two teams back on January 15th by an 82-60 score as a  6-point underdog in Nashville. The Racers got 36 points in Justice Hill in that game who nailed eight shots from behind the arc in that game. Murray State made 51% of their shots in that contest while making 14 of their 25 shots from 3-point range in that game for a 56% clip. They are not likely to do that again tonight since they make only 33.2% of their 3-pointers in conference play — and their 3-point shooting drops to 29.9% at home in Ohio Valley play. Belmont holds their home hosts in conference play to just a 31.1% shooting mark from 3-point range when playing on the road. The Bruins have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total when avenging a same-season loss. 25* CBB Thursday ESPNU Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between Belmont Bruins (825) and the Murray State Racers (826). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Evansville Purple Aces (703) and the Drake Bulldogs (704). THE SITUATION: Drake (17-9) is on a three-game losing streak after their 68-59 loss at Bradley as a 1-point underdog on Saturday. Evansville (6-18) has lost two straight and five of their last six games after their 69-62 loss at Southern Illinois as an 11.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs only made 35.7% of their shots on Saturday while missing 10 of their 13 shots from behind the arc in the loss. Drake has played 6 straight Overs after not making more than three shots from behind 3-point range in their last game. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in three straight games. They return home where they are scoring +3.2 Points-Per-Game above their season average of 74.7 PPG. They lead the Missouri Valley Conference by pulling down 31.1% of their shots in conference play on their home court. Drake has played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total at home against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. They have also played 4 straight home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 120s. Additionally, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Evansville has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road after a loss on the road to a conference rival.  And while they have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 6 straight road games Over the Total after covering the point spread in at least two straight games. This is the Purple Ace’s third game since Thursday — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total when playing their third game in seven days. They stay on the road where they are allowing +5.4 more PPG than their season defensive average with home hosts nailing 49.4% of their shots which is generating 74.2 PPG. Evansville ranks 332nd in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 55.9% away from home with those teams making 38% of their 3-pointers and 55.3% of their shots inside the arc, both those marks rank 316th in the nation. The Over is 6-2-1 in the Purple Aces’ last 9 road games — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games against teams scoring at least 60% of their games at home. Evansville has also played 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total against winning teams.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of Drake’s narrow 60-59 win at Evansville on January 8th. The Bulldogs have allowed their eight opponents to score at least 66 points — and they have played 6 straight Overs when favored at home by 12.5 to 18 points. Evansville has played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 15.5 to 18 points. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Evansville Purple Aces (703) and the Drake Bulldogs (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Real Madrid (224201) and Paris Saint-Germain (224202) in the first leg of the Round of 16 matches in the UEFA Champions League knockout stage. THE SITUATION: Real Madrid enters this match coming off a 0-0 draw at Villarreal on Saturday in La Liga action. Paris Saint-Germain last played on Friday in a 1-0 victory at home against Rennes in a Ligue 1 domestic match.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Expect the respective offensive attacks to be on display in this heavyweight showdown between European powers who both reached the semifinals of this tournament last year. Star power will be all over the pitch in this match — but this talent has been masking less-than-elite tactics on the defensive side of the pitch. PSG defensive numbers have improved lately — and they have only allowed one goal on with just 1.4 expected goals (xGA) in their last two matches. But those contests were in Ligue 1 play and the quality of competition in the French top flight is not nearly the same as it is in the other top European leagues. Les Parisiens’ defensive numbers in that league are probably overstated. While they have conceded 19 goals in Ligue 1, their xGA rises to a 22.50 mark. The defensive results in the Group Stage of the Champions League are likely more reflective of what to expect from manager Mauricio Pochettino’s side. PSG allowed eight goals in their six Group Stage matches — and their xGA was even worse at a 10.7 clip. They only registered a clean sheet once in those six contests (surprisingly against Man City who did generate 1.90 xG but still somehow got blanked). To make matters worse for Pochettino, he will not have center-back Sergio Ramos to anchor his backline for this match as he remains out with an injury. But PSG will have Neymar available after he was out for an extended period with an injury. I suspect Neymar will come off the bench as a sub given his fitness issues — but Les Parisiens still have their dream-team combination up top of Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe which will become even more potent when Neymar joins this on the pitch. PSG will score in this match after registering 13 goals in their six Group Stage matches — and they will surrender at least once to Los Blancos. Real Madrid will have their star attacker, Karim Benzema, available for this match to join Vinicius Junior up top. Los Blancos are tops in La Liga in both goals scored and expected goals (xG). This side scored at least two goals in their final four Group Stage matches in the Champions League. The defensive play of Los Blancos under manager Carlo Ancelotti has also been superb — but I am not buying it against elite competition. Real Madrid had a relatively easy group with Inter Milan, Shakhtar Donetsk, and FC Sheriff). And they have been feasting on the lower end of the Spanish top-flight lately. But while Los Blancos have allowed just 20 goals to help them rest in first place in La Liga, they are just sixth in that league with their 25.35 xGA.

FINAL TAKE: These teams are playing higher-scoring matches against top competition. Real Madrid’s 3-2 victory against Barcelona in the Super Cup on January 12th is telling. Los Blancos also scored twice in December in league play against Atletico Madrid to overwhelm their elite defense. PSG followed up their two-goal win against Man City with a 2-1 loss in November in that reverse fixture in the Champions League. And in their two matches in the Champions League against a good but not great RB Leipzig side, they won by a 3-2 score and settled for a 2-2 draw. Expect more fireworks in this one — and these two powers have seen at least three goals scored in the last five meetings between them. 25* UEFA Champions League Round of 16 TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Real Madrid (224201) and Paris Saint-Germain (224202). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Super Bowl between the Cincinnati Bengals (102) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (101). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (13-7) advanced to the Super Bowl with their 27-24 upset win at Kansas City in overtime as a 7-point underdog on Sunday (January 30th). Los Angeles (15-5) joined them later that evening with their 20-17 victory against San Francisco as a 3.5-point favorite. This game takes place in the Rams’ SoFi Stadium, making them the de-facto home team.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford may get most of the attention for both these teams — but both of these offensive head coaches value their running game to help their underrated defenses. The Bengals controlled the Time of Possession by being on offense for 35:56 minutes against the Chiefs to hold them just under 40 yards below their season Yards-Per-Game average. Cincinnati has held five of their last seven opponents to no more than 21 points. The Bengals have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a close win by six points or less — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Cincinnati has covered the point spread in seven straight games — and they have payed 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least three games in a row. And while their game with Kansas City finished below the 54.5. point total, they have then played 8 of their 11 games Under the Total after playing their last game Under the Total. This is a true road game for the Bengals playing the Rams in their SoFi Stadium — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when the Total is set at 49.5 or higher. Los Angeles has held six of their last eight opponents to no more than 23 points after their victory against the 49ers — and they only gave up only 27 points in those other two contests. The Rams have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while Los Angeles has won six of their last seven games, they have then played 9 of their last 10 home games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Rams have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has played 17 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when favored — and Cincinnati has palled 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog. 25* NFL Non-Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Super Bowl between the Cincinnati Bengals (102) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cal-State Northridge Matadors (815) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (816). THE SITUATION: Cal-State Northridge (6-16) ended an eight-game losing streak with an 83-78 upset win at Cal-Poly SLO in double overtime as a 3.5-point underdog on Thursday. Cal-State Bakersfield (6-12) has lost six games in a row after their 74-62 loss to UC Santa Barbara as a 3-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Expect a higher-scoring game between these two teams that have the 10th and 8th ranked defenses in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the Big West Conference. Cal-State Northridge went into overtime with the Mustangs on Thursday with the score tied at 59-59 — they held Cal-Poly SLO to just 24 points in the first half. The Matadors have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 24 points in the first half of their last game. Cal-State Northridge has also played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a road win against a conference rival. Additionally, the Matadors have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after an upset win against a Big West foe — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. They are playing higher-scoring games of late. Their 68.0 Points-Per-Game scoring average in their last five games is +5.7 PPG above their season average. On defense, they have allowed their last five opponents to make 47.5% of their shots which helps explain why they are allowing +5.1 PPG above their season of 70.9 PPG. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 19 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Cal-State Bakersfield only made 36.2% of their shots on Thursday in their loss to Gauchos. The Roadrunners have played 4 straight Overs after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Cal-State Bakersfield has played 6 straight overs when playing at home after a loss to a conference opponent — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing at least two in a row to Big West opponents. They stay at home where they are scoring +6.2 PPG above their 65.4 PPG season average. The Roadrunners have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40% on the road. Cal-State Bakersfield has also played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with the Total set no higher than 129.5.  

FINAL TAKE: Cal-State Northridge has played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total in February — and they have played 4 straight Overs as an underdog. 20* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Cal-State Northridge Matadors (815) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (816). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (881) and the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (882). THE SITUATION: Wright State (15-10) has won four straight games after their 79-62 win at Wisconsin-Green Bay as an 8-point favorite on Wednesday. Wisconsin-Milwaukee (7-18) has lost six in a row after their 75-39 loss to Northern Kentucky as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Panthers shot a season-low 27.3% from the field against the Norse on Wednesday. They should shoot much better tonight as they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not scoring at least 50 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not making more than 33% of their shots in their last game. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight Overs after a loss by 20 or more points. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They stay at home where they make a modest — but certainly much better than on Wednesday — 44% from the field which is generating 68.7 Points-Per-Game.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (701) and the Seton Hall Pirates (702). THE SITUATION: Xavier (16-6) had their two-game winning streak snapped with their 69-65 upset loss to DePaul as a 13.5-point favorite on Saturday. Seton Hall (14-7) has won two games in a row with their 74-55 victory against Creighton as a 5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pirates shot 49.1% from the field on Friday against the Bluejays in what was the best shooting effort in their last seven games. Seton Hall has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They held Creighton to just 16 points in the first half after Georgetown to only 28 points in the first half in their last game. The Pirates have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 30 points in the first half in two straight games. Head coach Kevin Willard’s team ranks 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. In their last five games, they are limiting their opponents to just 37.1% shooting which is resulting in only 67.2 Points-Per-Game — a -8.7 PPG drop from their season defensive average. At home, Seton Hall holds their opponents to just 39.5% shooting which is resulting in just 65.7 PPG. They have played 11 of their last 16 home games Under the Total when favored. They have played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total overall when the favorite — and they have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Xavier allowed the Blue Demons to mark 47.5% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. The Musketeers have played 22 of their last 31 games on the road Under the Total after a loss by six points or less. Xavier has also played 5 straight Unders after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Musketeers have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while Xavier has only covered the point spread once in their last eight games, they have then played 33 of their last 49 games Under the Total on the road after failing to car the point spread in at least five or six of their last seven games. Xavier has the 43rd best defense in the nation as measured by Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have held their last five opponents to 42.6% shooting which has resulted in only 66.6 PPG — a -6.6 PPG drop from their defensive season average. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog. And in their last 4 games against teams winning at least 60% of their games, they have played all 4 games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Xavier has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and Seton Hall has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with the Total in the 140s. 25* CBB Wednesday FS1-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (701) and the Seton Hall Pirates (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (505) and the Atlanta Hawks (506). THE SITUATION: Indiana (19-36) has lost three straight games after their 98-85 loss at Cleveland as a 7-point underdog on Sunday. Atlanta (25-28) has lost three of their last four games after their 103-94 upset loss at Dallas as a 2-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pacers only made 37.3% of their shots on Sunday against the Cavaliers which was the lowest shooting effort in their last 23 games. They also held Cleveland to just 40.5% shooting which was the best defensive performance in their last 14 contests. The Over is 4-1-1 in Indiana’s last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a loss by 10 or more points. The Pacers have been playing more Overs lately given injuries that are forcing them to play more small-ball. Center Myles Turner remains out with an injury — and big man Isaiah Jackson is questionable with an ankle injury. Damontas Sabonis did return to the court on Sunday to give head coach Rick Carlisle another big man — but he was traded to the Sacramento Kings today leaving the Pacers thin upfront once again. Indiana has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Atlanta only made 38.9% of their shots on Sunday against the Mavericks which was the worst shooting effort in their last 13 games. The Hawks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Atlanta returns home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Big man John Collins has been upgraded to probable with his heel injury — and the Pacers lack the players to slow him down in the paint. The Over is 15-5-1 in the Hawks’ last 21 games against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 straight Overs when facing each other — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when Atlanta is hosting the game. The Hawks won the last meeting between these teams on December 1st by a 114-111 score as a 2-point underdog — and the Pacers have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total when avenging a same-season loss this season including six of their last opportunities for revenge from a loss by three points or less. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (505) and the Atlanta Hawks (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (905) and the Montana Grizzlies (906). THE SITUATION: Southern Utah (15-6) is on a four-game winning streak after their 84-72 victory against Eastern Washington as a 7-point favorite on Saturday. Montana (15-8) has lost two games in a row after their 86-63 upset loss at Idaho State as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Thunderbirds have the top-rated offense in terms of Adjusted Efficiency in the Big Sky. They have scored at 75 points in eight straight games while reaching at least 81 points in six of those contests. They are scoring 81.2 Points-Per-Game in their last five games. They have played 25 of their last 36 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Southern Utah has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win at home by double-digits. Their triumph against the Eagles was preceded by a 16-point victory against Idaho last Thursday — and the Thunderbirds have played 6 straight Overs after winning their last two games at home by 10 or more points. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing their third game in seven days on the road. Now after playing their last three games at home, Southern Utah goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing their last three games at home. They are scoring 75.0 PPG on the road — but they are allowing 78.4 PPG in those nine games. The Thunderbirds have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Furthermore, Southern Utah has played 8 of their last 11 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Montana has allowed 83.0 PPG in their last two games. They have played 35 of their last 51 games Over the Total after an upset win against a conference rival. They return home where they are a perfect 11-0 while making 48.6% of their shots which is generating 79.0 PPG. The Grizzlies have played 24 of their last 34 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range. They have also played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games. Montana will likely give the Thunderbirds plenty of opportunities at the charity stripe tonight — they rank 333rd in the nation in putting their opponents on the free-throw line. Southern Utah is 53rd in the nation in getting to the free-throw line.

FINAL TAKE: Southern Utah has played 8 of their last 10 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and Montana has played 14 of their last 19 home games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (905) and the Montana Grizzlies (906). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (549) and the Dallas Mavericks (550). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (25-27) has lost two of their last three games after their 125-114 loss at Toronto as a 3-point underdog on Friday. Dallas (30-23) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 107-98 win against Philadelphia as a 1.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Ignore the season-long Under team trends for the Dallas Mavericks tonight. After a stretch where they played 13 of 14 games Under the Total, Dallas has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and there are fundamental reasons why they are playing higher-scoring games. Both of the teams tonight are dealing with injuries — and that should produce more playing time for lineups that will lead to higher-scoring games. The Mavericks have been without Tim Hardaway, Jr. in the last five games, and Kristaps Porzingis has missed the last three games after only playing 11 minutes in their game against the Pacers two Saturdays ago. These absences have meant that Jason Kidd has given more playing time to Reggie Bullock — a good offensive player with limitations on defense. Bullock has averaged 18.2 Points-Per-Game in the five games since the Hardaway injury while playing just under 31 minutes per game. Dallas has seen at least 234 combined points scored in three of their last four games. In Bullock’s last two games, he has averaged 21.5 PPG while playing 36 and 38 minutes. Additionally, Maxi Kleber has also been declared out (after being listed as questionable earlier today) with the knee injury that kept him out of Friday’s game against the 76ers. The Mavericks will miss his defensive presence inside — Philadelphia made 51.4% of their shots against Dallas which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. Dallas has stepped up their offensive efforts with Bullock getting more playing time as well. They have an Offensive Rating of 122.3 in their last five games while scoring 132 points on two separate occasions. Luka Doncic still leads the way for this team — he poured in 33 points in the victory against the Sixers. Atlanta may be without John Collins, Danilo Gallinari, and Lou Williams tonight who are all listed as questionable. If Collins cannot play, DeAndre Hunter will be inserted into the starting lineup which means more small-ball for the Hawks — and that lends itself to higher-scoring games. Atlanta does have Bogdan Bogdanovic back in the mix to complement Trae Young in the offensive attack. The Hawks are making 49.7% of their shots in their last five games which are generating 115.0 Points-Per-Game. Atlanta is second in the NBA with an Offensive Rating of 113.4 — but their underwhelming play this year can be blamed on their decline at the other end of the court where they rank 27th with a Defensive Rating of 107.2. The Hawks have played 4 straight Overs after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. Atlanta has also played 14 of their last 17 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: The Hawks have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog — and the Mavericks have played 4 straight Overs as a favorite. 10* NBA Atlanta-Dallas ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (549) and the Dallas Mavericks (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers (861) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (862). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (11-8) has lost three games in a row after their 88-73 loss to Purdue as an 11-point underdog on Wednesday. Iowa (14-7) has lost three of their last four games after their 90-86 upset loss in double-overtime at Penn State as a 4.5-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Ignore the final combined score in the Hawkeyes’ loss to the Nittany Lions as the game went into overtime tied at a low score of 66-66. Iowa made only 35.1% of their shots in that game, their third-lowest field goal percentage of the season. The Hawkeyes have been cold with their shooting as of late as they have not made more than 40.7% of their shots in four straight games. But styles and opponents make fights — Iowa has played Penn State twice over that span who do everything they can for their games to devolve into rock fights. The other two games Iowa has played were against stout defensive teams in Purdue and Rutgers. The Hawkeyes still score 82.8 Points-Per-Game which is the sixth-highest mark in the nation — and they rank seventh in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. I expect the Regression Gods to make an appearance to help see more of their shots fall. The extended time off will help — Iowa has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. This team wants to play at a fast pace — they rank seventh in the nation by averaging just 15.2 seconds per possession. They return home where they make 47.6% of their shots which helps them generate 88.8 PPG. The Over is 24-9-1 in the Hawkeyes’ last 34 games at home — and they have played 7 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Iowa has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Over is 16-5-1 in their last 22 games when favored. In theory, Minnesota will want to slow the pace — but, in practice, this will be difficult to accomplish if and when the Hawkeyes take a comfortable lead. The Golden Gophers are last in the Big Ten in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.5% is also last in the conference. Minnesota allowed the Boilermakers to make 55.6% of their shots on Wednesday — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total. They go back on the road where they are 5-3 this season — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road. The Golden Gophers have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. Minnesota has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Additionally, the Golden Gophers have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Iowa will not have head coach Fran McCaffrey on the sideline today as he is in COVID quarantine but that should have much impact on today’s game (and the players may shoot the ball better without the hothead constantly screaming at them). Minnesota will be looking to avenge an 81-71 loss at home to the Hawkeyes on January 16th. The Gophers have palled 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 75 points including playing five of these six circumstances this season. Minnesota will be sped up in this one by Iowa, who should hold a comfortable lead — and this dynamic should produce our Over. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers (861) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (651) and the LaSalle Explorers (652). THE SITUATION: George Mason (11-8) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 92-90 upset loss to Saint Louis as a 1.5-point favorite on Wednesday. LaSalle (6-13) is on a five-game losing streak after their 89-87 loss at George Washington as a 1-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Patriots are one of the best shooting teams in the nation. They are top-34 in the country in both 2-point and 3-point shooting — and their effective field goal percentage of 55.2% is 20th best in the nation. They only made 45.6% of their shots on Wednesday in their loss to the Billikens which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games — they had made at least 51% of their shots in their previous three games. George Mason has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Patriots have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Now they go back on the road where their defense does wane a bit. The 73.3 Points-Per-Game they allow away from home is +6.0 PPG above their season average — and they allow their opponents to make 44.3% of their shots on the road as compared to the 41.6% of their shots they allow overall. George Mason has played 28 of their last 38 road games Over the Total — and they have played 15 of their last 16 road games Over the Total with the number in the 130s. Furthermore, the Patriots have played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. LaSalle is just 5-6 at home — and they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total at home with the Total in the 130s. They rank 10th in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have allowed at least 77 points in their last three games with all three of those contests seeing at least 146 combined points. The Explorers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 75 points in three straight games. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. And in their last 12 games when they have lost at least three in a row, LaSalle has played 10 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Explorers have played 4 straight Overs against teams with a winning record — and George Mason has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 20-40% range. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (651) and the LaSalle Explorers (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Watford (200001) and Burnley (200002). THE SITUATION: Watford (W4-D2-L14) looks to rebound from a 3-0 loss to Norwich City on January 21st in their last match in the English Premier League and across all competitions. Burnley (W1-D9-L8) comes off a 0-0 draw at Arsenal in their last match on January 23rd.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: After a pair of COVID cancellations delaying this match between two teams fighting off relegation, it looks like this match will finally take place this afternoon while the rest of the EPL takes the weekend off (for FA Cup competition). Watford plays their first match under new manager Roy Hodgson two took over after Claudio Ranieri was fired on January 24th. Ranieri was only the Hornets skipper since early October when Xisco Munoz was sacked after leading the team to promotion from the Champions League. The first order of business for Hodgson will be to shore up a leaky defense that is third to last in the EPL in expected goals allowed (xGA). Hodgson has a good reputation for installing defensive tactics — he led Crystal Palace to develop into a stingy defensive squad before losing that job last season. He inherits a Hornets side that will be undermanned in their attack today. Ismaila Sara remains unavailable as he continues to compete in the Africa Cup of Nations. Forward Emmanuel Dennis is suspended for this match after he picked up two yellow cards in that match against Norwich City. Sarr and Dennis have scored 18 goals between them — accounting for 78% of the team’s scoring production in the EPL this season. As it is, Watford had only scored five goals in their previous seven matches while getting blanked twice. In their last six matches, they are generating a mere 0.88 expected goals (xG) per match. Burnley is only averaging 0.63 xG per match in their last six games. The Clarets have only scored three goals in their last seven matches with four blanks in that span. Losing Chris Wood who transferred to Newcastle played a role in this scoring slump — but this is not a high-scoring team. The organization did acquire Wout Weghorst in the transfer window from Wolfsburg but the Dutch forward may need some time to get in synch with manager Sean Dyche’s system. While Weghorst had scored at least 16 goals in four straight seasons in the Dutch Eredivisie, he struggled when playing for a second-tier team in the Bundesliga which may not be a good sign for him in the EPL. But Dyche’s side plays quality defense. The Clarets have only allowed eight goals when playing at home at Turf Moor, the fifth-lowest in the EPL, and their xGA at home is third-best in the EPL.

FINAL TAKE: Watford has seen six of their 11 matches on the road this season finished Under 2.5 goals. Burnley averages only 2.29 combined goals per match in their seven home matches this season — and six of their last 11 home games have finished Under 2.5 goals. Expect a conservative approach from both teams who would rather register a point than concede three points to their opponent when trying to avoid relegation. 25* English Premier League Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Watford (200001) and Burnley (200002). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (515) and the Indiana Pacers (516). THE SITUATION: Chicago (32-19) had their two-game winning streak snapped with their 127-120 loss at Toronto as a 4.5-point underdog last night. Indiana (19-34) has lost five of their last seven games with their 119-118 upset loss to Orlando as a 3.5-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Injuries have significantly impacted both teams — and the result will be mostly small-ball tonight between two teams that playing higher-scoring games given the attrition that both teams are dealing with right now. Interestingly, the oddsmakers initially set the Total at 232.5 — about six points higher than any Pacers game this season. The market has considered this lunacy and bet it down a few points. But the line was set that high for a reason. Head coach Rick Carlisle may have no centers on his roster. After Goga Bitadze suffered a foot injury before Monday’s game with the Clippers, Carlisle had to rely on rookie Isaiah Jackson as his only center — and he did respond with 26 points and 10 rebounds in a 122-116 victory. But Jackson was then injured very early in the game with the Magic on Wednesday — and all Carlisle had left was to play rookie free agent Terry Taylor at center despite his 6’5 frame. Taylor did score 24 points with 16 rebounds in his 37 minutes as he looked to justify his two-way contract by flourishing in the frenetic pace of that game. Jackson will remain out tonight. So while Bitazde is listed as questionable with his ankle, Carlisle may have to use Taylor in significant minutes at the five spot tonight — and that is a recipe for a fast pace and little defense from the Pacers. How will Taylor defend Nikola Vucevic? The 6’10 behemoth is scoring 17.1 Points-Per-Game and averaging 11.5 Rebounds Per Game. Indiana is already without Damontas Sabonis, Malcolm Brogdon, and Myles Turner — and they have seen three straight and five of their last six games generate at least 230 combined points. In their last five games, the Pacers are making a healthy 46.5% of their shots which is generating 116.8 PPG — but they are allowing their opponents to make 49.5% of their shots which is resulting in 127.0 PPG over that span. Not having Turner defend the paint significantly derails Indiana’s defensive foundation. It remains telling that Orlando put up 119 points despite only making 44.2% of their shots which was the Pacers’ best defensive effort in their last 12 games. The Over is 3-0-1 in Indiana’s last 4 games after a loss. Additionally, the Pacers have played 26 of their last 36 games Over the Total after a loss at home — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after an upset loss at home when they were favored. They have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total as the underdog. Chicago got 30 points from Vucevic last night in their losing effort to the Raptors — so he is poised for another big game. The Bulls only made 47.8% of their shots last night after generating a field goal percentage of 51.1% in each of their previous four games. But they did hold Toronto to just 42.5% shooting in what was the best defensive effort in their last five games — and their third-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 13 contests. Chicago has now played four straight games where at least 246 combined points were scored. They are making 52.3% of their shots in their last five games which are producing 121.8 PPG but allowing their opponents to shoot 48.6% from the field and score 118.8 PPG. They are playing high-scoring games without Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso — and they might not play Zach LaVigne or Coby White tonight on the second of back-to-backs with them nursing nagging injuries. But head coach Billy Donovan will have DeMar DeRozan leading the way in the Bulls’ small-ball attack. Chicago has played 7 straight Overs when playing without rest — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing their third game in four days. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in the Bulls’ last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 12 games on the road when favored, Chicago has played 9 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Bulls have won the last two meetings between these two teams after their 108-106 road win on December 31st. Indiana has played 29 of their last 41 games Over the Total when avenging a loss — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (515) and the Indiana Pacers (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina A&T Aggies (306185) and the Winthrop Eagles (306186). THE SITUATION: North Carolina A&T (9-13) has lost three in a row after their 84-64 loss to USC Upstate as a 5-point favorite on Saturday. Winthrop (11-8) has lost two of their last three games with their 92-88 loss at Longwood as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Aggies only made 35.8% of their shots on Saturday against USC Upstate which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. But the troubling defensive play for this NC A&T team continued as they allowed USC Upstate to make 51.9% of their shots. The Aggies are 11th in the Big South in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have allowed their last five opponents to make 49.8% of their shots which is translating into 77.0 Points-Per-Game. North Carolina A&T should be able to generate some second-chance scoring opportunities. The Aggies lead the Big South by rebounding 36.9% of their shots — and they play an Eagles team that is 10th in the conference by allowing their opponents to pull down 29.7% of their misses. UNC A&T has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Aggies have palled 8 straight Overs after losing three of their last four contests. UNC A&T has played six straight Overs — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after playing their last game over the Total. The Aggies have also played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Now they go back on the road where they have played 4 straight Overs — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Winthrop has played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Eagles have scored 95 and 88 points in their last two games — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total when playing at home after scoring at least 85 points in two straight games. And while Winthrop has seen their last two games see 180 and 186 combined points, the Eagles have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after seeing at least 165 combined points in two straight games. They return home where they are 6-0 at home where they are making 52.1% of their shots which is generating 79.8 Points-Per-Game. Winthrop has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total at home when favored. This Eagles team lead the Big South with an effective field goal percentage of 57.3%.

FINAL TAKE: Winthrop has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. North Carolina A&T has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 20* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina A&T Aggies (306185) and the Winthrop Eagles (306186). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulane Green Wave (697) and the Houston Cougars (698). THE SITUATION: Tulane (9-9) has won two straight games after their 67-66 upset win at Wichita State as a 2-point underdog on Saturday. Houston (18-2) has won ten games in a row after their 63-49 win at Central Florida as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are trending down in their offensive attack as of late. They are making just 43.5% of their shots in their last five games which is generating 71.6 Points-Per-Game — both marks down from their 46.5% shooting percentage for the season which is resulting in 76.9 PPG. Houston has not reached 80 points in five straight games. They have played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a double-digit win on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Under is also 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. They return home where they are 11-0 this season while limiting their opponents to just 33.3% shooting which is resulting in just 52.3 PPG. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 13 of their last 19 home games Under the Total against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road. Tulane has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Green Wave have also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after an upset win. And while Tulane has covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least two straight games. They stay on the road where they only make 42.9% of their shots. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games at home.

FINAL TAKE: Tulane has played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog — and Under is 7-3-1 in Houston’s last 11 games when favored. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Tulane Green Wave (697) and the Houston Cougars (698). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the West Virginia Mountaineers (895) and the Baylor Bears (896). THE SITUATION: West Virginia (13-7) has lost five games in a row after their 77-68 loss at Arkansas as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday. Baylor (18-3) had their three-game winning streak snapped in an 87-78 loss at Alabama as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears should be in a feisty mood after losing for just the second time in the Big 12/SEC Challenge on Saturday. Baylor has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bears have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing their second game in the last three days. They return home where they are making 49.0% of their shots which is translating into 81.8 Points-Per-Game. Baylor has played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. The Bears should dominate the offensive glass in this game against Bob Huggins’ team that allows their opponents to rebound 33.9% of their missed shots, ranking 343rd in the nation. Baylor is fifth in the country by rebounding 37.5% of their missed shots — and that mark improves to 38.6% when they are playing at home. The Over is 25-12-1 in the Bears’ last 38 games when they are favored — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. West Virginia has played 5 straight Overs after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. And while the Mountaineers have failed to cover the point spread in four straight contests, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in at least three games in a row. West Virginia is struggling on the defensive end of the court — they are last in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and it is because of their half-court defense as they are last in the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.4%. They have allowed their last five opponents to make 47.0% of their shots which is translating into 77.8 PPG. But the Mountaineers do have success in generating extra scoring chances by forcing turnovers in 24.0% of their opponent’s possessions, ranking 15th in the nation. West Virginia can generate scoring transitions against this Bears team who turn the ball over in 19.2% of their possessions, ranking 205th in the nation. The Mountaineers forced 13 turnovers at a 19.1% rate against Baylor in their first meeting two weeks ago. Now West Virginia goes back on the road where they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Mountaineers have played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. West Virginia has also played 20 of their last 25 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Baylor won the first meetings between these two teams in Morgantown by a 77-68 score as a 4.5-point favorite on January 18th. The Mountaineers have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the West Virginia Mountaineers (895) and the Baylor Bears (896). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (323) and the Los Angeles Rams (324) in the NFC Conference Championship Game. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (12-7) won their fourth straight game with their 13-10 upset victory at Green Bay as a 6-point underdog on Saturday. Los Angeles (14-5) won their fifth game in their last six with their 30-27 upset win at Tampa Bay as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The 49ers grinded out a low-scoring game where they only managed 212 yards while failing to score an offensive touchdown — but they held the Packers to just 263 total yards. San Francisco has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after not gaining more than 250 total yards in their last game. They held Green Bay to just 67 rushing yards last week — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing at least 90 rushing yards in their last game. The Niners’ improvement on defense corresponds with the decision to move Arik Armstead into the interior of their defensive line. Since Week Nine, San Francisco is second in the NFL to Tampa Bay with 222 pressures on the quarterback. And after allowing 4.4 rushing Yards-Per-Carry in the first eight weeks of the season, the 49ers held their opponents to just 3.6 Yards-Per-Carry since — and their two playoff opponents have only averaged 3.5 YPC. Armstead thrives against the Rams. In his five games against them, he has 23 tackles, four hits on the quarterback, three sacks, two more tackles for loss, a forced fumble, and two knockdowns on passes. Armstead’s partnership with Nick Bosa allows the Niners to only rush three or four rushers — and this approach stymies Matthew Stafford and the Sean McVay offense. When only rushing three or four defenders, San Francisco still generates pressure in the 30% of their pass rushes in their two games against the Rams this season. Stafford has a 140 Passer Rating when blitzed this season — he chews up a defense with fewer defenders. But the Niners only blitzed 12.5% of the time against Stafford in their first two games. While holding Los Angeles to just 17.0 PPG, they sacked Stafford seven times while inducing four interceptions from three or four-man pressure. San Francisco has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the playoffs. Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing a game on the road where both teams scored at least 24 points. They held the Buccaneers to just 51 rushing yards — and they have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. And while Tom Brady passed for 308 net yards against them last week, they have played 5 straight Unders after allowing at last 250 passing yards in their last game. The Rams return home where they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They hold their guests to just 19.7 PPG at home at SoFi Stadium.

FINAL TAKE: These are two teams very familiar with the approaches of the two offensive head coaches. This is the third matchup between these two teams in 11 weeks. San Francisco has played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Los Angeles has played 17 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when favored. 25* NFL Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (323) and the Los Angeles Rams (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (321) and the Kansas City Chiefs (322) in the AFC Conference Championship Game. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (12-7) won their fifth game in their last six contests with their 19-16 upset win at Tennessee as a 4-point underdog on Saturday. Kansas City (14-5) won their 11th game in their last 12 contests with their 42-36 victory in overtime against Buffalo as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Chiefs have played seven straight Overs which might compel some technical handicappers to endorse the Under for this game. With the Total set at 54.5 in most spots, the number is not artificially inflated by bettors expecting the roulette wheel to continue to land on red. Kansas City has had eight of their 19 games see a Total of 54 or higher — and another four of their games were just a point lower at 53 or 53.5. A Total in the mid-50s is the standard operating procedure for the Chiefs. This is a team that has scored 42 points in each of their playoff games this postseason — and if they approach that number this afternoon, we are already in Over territory. Kansas City has played 4 straight Overs after playing at least three straight Overs in their previous games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. Additionally, the Chiefs have played 6 straight Overs after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight Overs after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Furthermore, Kansas City has played 4 straight Overs when playing at home as the favorite — and they have played 4 straight Overs against teams with a winning record. Safety Tyron Mathieu is expected to play this afternoon according to the Chiefs’ comments yesterday afternoon. While that will help in their pass defense, I concluded that the Bengals will likely have to abandon their attempts to control the Time of Possession to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. Cincinnati’s banged-up offensive line has contributed to them having just a 51% success rate in Power Rushing situations — the second-worst mark in the NFL. The Kansas City run defense improved in the second half of the season after the acquisition of defensive end Melvin Ingram, which allowed them to move Chris Jones back to his preferred spot on the interior of the line. After ranking 30th in Run Defense in the first half of the season according to the DVOA metrics at Football Outsiders, they improved to 15th in that metric over the second half of the season. The Bengals ran the ball just 19 times for 60 yards in their meeting on January 2nd. Cincinnati has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win on the road. And while the Bengals have won five of their last six games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. They did give up 353 yards to the Titans last week — and they have played 5 straight Overs after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Cincinnati upset Kansas City in Week 17 in a 34-31 victory where they rallied from a 28-17 halftime deficit to win the game as a 3.5-point underdog. Joe Burrow completed 30 of 39 passes for 446 yards with four touchdowns to lead the Bengals to the victory. After failing to score more than a field goal in the second half, look for Kansas City to get off to a fast start again — but with Burrow keeping up again but with the offense abandoning the run. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (321) and the Kansas City Chiefs (322). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Albany Great Danes (1147) and the UMass-Lowell River Hawks (1148). THE SITUATION: Albany (7-11) had their three-game winning streak snapped with an 86-75 loss to Stony Brook as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. UMass-Lowell (9-8) has lost two of their last three games after their 67-61 loss at New Hampshire as a 3-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Great Danes allowed Stony Brook to make 55.8% of their shots on Saturday in what was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. And Albany’s meager 44.8% field goal percentage in that game was actually the best shooting effort in their last five contests. The Great Danes have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. They have also played 6 straight Unders after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they are making only 40.7% of their shots which is generating only 60.3 Points-Per-Game. Albany has played 37 of their last 53 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 26 road games as an underdog, the Great Danes have played 19 of these games Under the Total. Albany is playing tough on the other end of the court. They have held their last five opponents to 41.0% shooting which is resulting in only 61.4 PPG. They have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams winning no more than 40% of their games. UMass-Lowell allowed New Hampshire to make 46.4% of their shots which was the second-highest opponent field goal percentage in their last 11 games. They have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the River Hawks have not scored more than 29 points in the first half in six straight games, they have then played 13 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 30 points in the first half of at least two straight games. They are making just 41.3% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in just 63.4 PPG. They return home where they are holding their opponents to just 37.6% shooting which is resulting in 61.2 PPG. UMass-Lowell has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when at home and favored. The River Hawks have also played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams not winning more than 40% of their games.

FINAL TAKE: Albany and UMass-Lowell rank 332nd and 308th respectively in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. These two make only 29.3% and 27.7% of their shots from behind the arc — ranking 304th and 339th in the country. In their first meeting on January 12th, they combined to make only 7 of their 31 shots from behind the arc for a 22.6% combined clip in a game that the Great Danes won by a 57-47 score as a 2-point underdog. The River Hawks have played 6 straight Unders when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* CBB America East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Albany Great Danes (1147) and the UMass-Lowell River Hawks (1148). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (649) and the Missouri Tigers (650). THE SITUATION: Auburn (18-1) won their 15th straight game with their 80-71 win against Kentucky as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Missouri (8-10) has lost three of their last four games after their 86-76 loss at Alabama as an 18-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This is a solid technical play point to a higher-scoring game than expected. Auburn has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win in conference play. Auburn has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Auburn has registered at least 80 points in six straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games where they scored 80 or more points. Head coach Bruce Pearl’s team is 13th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. On the road, they are scoring 81.4 Points-Per-Game on 46.4% shooting. In their last five games, Auburn is nailing 49.5% of their shots. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against SEC opponents. Missouri demonstrated some concerning signs on offense on Saturday by making 9 of their 24 shots (37.5%) from behind the arc. They are making 48.1% of their shots in their last five games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win. But head coach Cuonzo Martin’s team ranks 13th in the SEC on Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Missouri returns home where they have played 19 of their last 28 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Missouri has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total at home as an underdog. They have also played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total with the number set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Missouri has played 7 straight Overs against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog. Auburn has played 4 straight Overs against teams with a losing record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when favored. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (649) and the Missouri Tigers (650). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (317) and the Kansas City Chiefs (318) in their AFC Divisional playoff game. THE SITUATION: Buffalo (12-6) is on a five-game winning streak after their 47-17 win against New England as a 4.5-point favorite last Saturday. Kansas City (13-5) has won ten of their last eleven games after their 42-21 victory against Pittsburgh last Sunday as an 11-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bills are scoring 33.4 Points-Per-Game in their last five games — and they have scored at least 27 points in six straight games. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Now they go on the road where they are scoring 30.8 Points-Per-Game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. Buffalo has also played 6 straight road games Over the Total with the Total set at 49.5 or higher — and they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Kansas City has played 5 straight Overs after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 4 straight Overs after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. They host this game where they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total in the playoffs.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the Bills’ 38-20 upset victory in Kansas City on October 10th as a 2.5-point underdog. The Chiefs have played 4 straight Overs when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (317) and the Kansas City Chiefs (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (315) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (316) in their NFC Divisional playoff game. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (13-5) won their sixth game in their last seven with their 34-11 victory against Arizona as a 3-point favorite on Monday. Tampa Bay (14-4) has won four in a row and eight of their last nine with their 31-15 victory against Philadelphia as a 7.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rams score 27.4 Points-Per-Game — and they have scored 28 or more points in six of their last eight games. The Over is 9-4-1 in Los Angeles’ last 14 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a victory by double-digits. Furthermore, the Rams have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after holding their last opponent to no more than 14 points. And while their win against the Cardinals finished Under the 48.5 point total, Los Angeles has then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. The Rams travel east for this game — the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games on the road. Los Angeles has played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 45.5. to 49 point range. Additionally, the Rams have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog in all situations — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Tampa Bay has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win by 14 or more points — and they have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They stay at home where they are scoring 33.0 PPG and averaging 409.8 total Yards-Per-Game. The Buccaneers have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 8 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when favored by up to seven points. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams won the first meeting between these two teams on September 26th in a 34-24 victory with the Total set at 55. That was the 5th straight Over between these two teams. The Buccaneers have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 28 points. 25* NFC Divisional Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (315) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (316). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (561) and the New York Knicks (562). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (23-24) won its second game in their last three games with their 102-101 victory at Philadelphia as an 8.5-point underdog on Friday. New York (22-24) has dropped two games in a row with their 102-91 win against New Orleans as a 4-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Knicks allowed the Pelicans to make 50% of their shots which was tied for the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 14 games. New York has played 38 of their last 55 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Knicks have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. New York stays at home at Madison Square Garden where they have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 20 of their last 28 home games Under the Total when favored by up to six points. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a narrow win by three points or less — and they have played 22 of their last 32 road games Under the Total after a win on the road. The Clippers stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on their home court. Los Angeles has also played 18 of their last 24 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting up to six points.

FINAL TAKE: To compound matters for New York, they may be without one of their most reliable scorers in Kemba Walker who is questionable with a knee injury. Walker has regained a spot in the starting lineup given the injury to Derrick Rose last month. The Clippers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and the Knicks have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when favored. 10* NBA Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (561) and the New York Knicks (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (303) and the Green Bay Packers (304) in their NFC Divisional playoff series. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (11-7) won their third straight game and fifth of their last six contests with their 23-17 upset win at Dallas as a 3.5-point underdog in the wild card playoff round last Sunday. Green Bay (13-4) take the field again after their 37-30 upset loss at Detroit as a 4-point favorite to close out their regular season on January 9th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The 49ers have scored at least 23 points in nine of their last ten games after their victory in Dallas last week. San Francisco has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They stay on the road where they have played 12 of their last 18 road games Over the Total with the Total set at 45.5. or higher. The Niners have also played 9 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total when an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Green Bay has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Packers return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Green Bay has scored at least 30 points in six of their last seven games. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 7 straight games in the playoffs Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Over the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing in Lambeau Field. 10* NFL Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (303) and the Green Bay Packers (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (301) and the Tennessee Titans (302) in their AFC Divisional Round playoff game. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (11-7) advanced from the AFC Wild Card playoffs with their 26-19 win against Las Vegas as a 6-point favorite last Saturday. Tennessee (12-5) returns to action after their 28-25 victory at Houston as an 11-point favorite on January 9th in their final regular-season game.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: While the Titans’ offense has not been at full-strength often this season, Ryan Tannehill will have all his weapons this afternoon with running back Derrick Henry and wide receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones all expected to play. Tennessee scored 27.3 Points-Per-Game even at less than full strength on offense in their four victories against playoff teams in San Francisco, the Los Angeles Rams, Kansas City, and Buffalo. The Titans enter the postseason averaging 27.3 PPG in their last three games after scoring 34 and 28 points in their last two contests. Tennessee has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. The Titans are on a three-game winning streak — and they have played 13 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. Tannehill completed 23 of 32 passes for 287 yards with four touchdown passes while leading the offense to 425 total yards in their final regular-season game. Tennessee has played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last contest. The Titans have also played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread. And while the Texans gained 353 yards against the Tennessee defense, the Titans have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Davis Mills led a Houston offense that passed for 289 yards in that game. While Tennessee has a potent pass rush, their defensive backs do get burned — they rank 25th in the NFL by allowing 245 passing YPG. Here comes perhaps the most dynamic trio of wider receivers in the NFL in Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd of the Bengals. Second-year quarterback Joe Burrow has passed for 525, 446, and then 244 yards last week in his last three starts (he did not play in the Bengals’ final regular-season game against Cleveland). He has 10 touchdown passes and no interceptions in these last three starts — and completed at least 70.6% of his passes with at least a 110.4 Passer Rating in each of those three games. Cincinnati has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win. And while the Bengals have won four of their last five games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning at least four or five of the last six games. But the Cincinnati defense did give up 385 yards to the Raiders last week — and they have played 5 straight Overs after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The injuries to defensive tackles Larry Ogunjobi and Mike Daniels further expose a suspect defense that already ranked just 25th in the weighted DVOA metric at Football Outsiders.

FINAL TAKE: Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 6 trips to Nashville to play the Titans. The Over is 12-5-1 in Tennessee’s last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The Titans will score their share of points in this game with their weapons back in tow — but Burrow should be able to keep things interesting for the Bengals. Expect a higher-scoring game. 25* AFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (301) and the Tennessee Titans (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Air Force (653) and Boise State (654). THE SITUATION: Air Force (8-6) has lost two in a row and five of their last six games after their 75-68 loss to Nevada as an 8-point underdog on Saturday. Boise State (12-4) has won nine games in a row with their 71-63 win at New Mexico as an 8.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the nation. They rank 15th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency at KenPom — and they have held their last five opponents to just 39.7% shooting which has translated into just 59.4 Points-Per-Game. But head coach Leon Rice will want a better effort from his team on defense after they allowed New Mexico to make 49.5% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have given up all season. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as a favorite. Boise State is also an excellent rebounding team. They have held their last three opponents to no more than 29 rebounds — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not giving up more than 31 boards in three straight games. They held the Lobos to just three offensive rebounds on Saturday — and they have then played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total after not allowing more than five offensive rebounds in their last contest. The Broncos rank sixth in the nation by limiting their opponents to pull down just 21.2% of their missed shots. Air Force is simply not going to get many second-chance scoring opportunities tonight — they only rebound 18.8% of their missed shots, ranking 353rd in the nation. But Boise State is a bad shooting team themselves. They make only 60.3% of their shots at the charity stripe, ranking 355th in the nation. They only nail 32.5% of their 3-pointers, ranking 216th in the country. The Broncos have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing at home with the Total in the 120s. Air Force has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Falcons made only 38.2% of their shots in that game. They have made just 39.3% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in just 53.4 PPG. They go back on the road where they score only 56.9 PPG on 43.6% shooting. Air Force has played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 straight road games Under the Total as an underdog. They have also played 7 straight road games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their home games. The Falcons have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Air Force has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog. Boise State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a double-digit favorite. 25* CBB Tuesday CBS Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between Air Force (653) and Boise State (654). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Chelsea (200997) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200998). THE SITUATION: Chelsea (W12-D7-L3) comes off a 1-0 loss at Manchester City on Saturday. Brighton and Hove Albion (W6-D10-L4) settled for a 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Chelsea is just W1-D4-L1 in their last six matches after their loss over the weekend that likely ended their chances to win the English Premier League title. They managed only four shots against Man City with only one on target — and they did not register a shot in the entire first half of the match. They generated a mere 0.43 expected goals in the game. The Blues have only scored one goal in their last two matches. They are missing some key pieces in their attack in wings Reece James and Ben Chilwell are out with injuries. Their attack declines when playing on the road — while they average 2.20 expected goals (xG) when playing at home in league play, that drops to 1.64 xG when they are on the road in the EPL this season. But the defensive effort for this Chelsea side under manager Thomas Tuchel. They rank third in the league by holding their opponents to 1.10 expected goals allowed (xGA) — and their xGA on the road is 1.11. Brighton is unbeaten in their last five matches despite getting their goal on Friday from an own-goal from the Eagles. The Seagulls are an outstanding defensive team under manager Graham Potter. They rank fourth in the EPL by allowing only 1.19 expected goals (xGA). They are also second in the league in the fewest Big Chances (representing an expected goal rate of 35%) and fifth in fewest shots allowed. When playing at home, Brighton holds their opponents to 1.09 xGA. But the Seagulls have not scored more than one goal in six of their last seven games at home at Amex Stadium. These two teams just played on December 29th which resulted in a 1-1 draw. Chelsea managed only 0.92 xG in that match despite averaging 3.17 xG in their previous five matches at home. Brighton countered with only 1.05 xG in that contest. In the reverse fixture between these clubs last season, the result was a scoreless draw.

FINAL TAKE: Chelsea has seen two or fewer combined goals in four of their last six matches across all competitions. Brighton has seen two or fewer combined goals in nine of their last eleven matches across all competitions. 25* EPL Tuesday USA Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Chelsea (200997) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200998). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Cardinals (151) and the Los Angles Rams (152) in their NFC wild card playoff game. THE SITUATION: Arizona (11-6) has lost four of their last five games after their 38-30 upset loss to Seattle as a 5-point underdog on Sunday. Los Angeles (12-5) had their five-game winning streak snapped with their 27-24 upset loss at home to San Francisco as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Arizona was hit hard by injuries in the second half of the season including playing three games with quarterback Kyler Murray. The loss of wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins has hurt the offensive significantly — but it does look like defensive end J.J. Watt will be available to play some snaps tonight. The decline on defense corresponded to Watt’s shoulder injury.

At 8:15 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (149) and the Kansas City Chiefs (150) in their AFC wild card playoff game. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (9-7-1) has won two games in a row to sneak into the playoffs after their 16-13 victory in overtime at Baltimore as a 3-point underdog last Sunday. Kansas City (12-5) won their ninth game in their last ten in a 28-24 win at Denver as an 11-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Steelers made the playoffs on the strength of their defense. They held their last two opponents to just 27 combined points — and three of their last four opponents have not scored more than 14 points. The formula for success tonight for Pittsburgh will be give rookie running back Najee Harris plenty of carries in the attempt to slow this game down to a crawl. The Steelers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in two straight games. Additionally, they have played Pittsburgh has played 15 of their last 19 road games Under the Total after a win on the road against an AFC North opponent. The Under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. And in their last 10 games after winning three of their last four (as they have), the Steelers have played 7 of these games Under the Total. But scoring will be an issue for this Pittsburgh team that averages just 20.2 Points-Per-Game and 315.4 total Yards-Per-Game. Those numbers drop to 19.5 PPG and 312.1 total YPG in their eight games on the road. The Under is a decisive 38-15-1 in their last 54 games on the road — and they have played 29 of their last 41 road games Under the Total with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. The offense has not picked up during this last season run — they have only scored 19 or fewer points in three of their last four games while not scoring more than 20 points in five of their last seven games. In their last 5 games as a double-digit underdog, the Steelers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Kansas City has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing on the road in a game where both teams scored at least 24 points. The Chiefs have played their last two games on the road where they did not cover the point spread — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not covering the point spread in two of their last three games. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after completing a two-game road trip. They allowed 6.87 and 8.05 Yards-Per-Play in their last two games on defense — but they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 6.0 YPP in two straight games. The defense has been a bright spot for this team in the second half of the season — they have held seven of their last ten opponents to 17 points or less with four settling for single digits. They return home where they have played 14 of their last 17 home games Under the Total when favored by 10.5 to 14 points. Kansas City has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when a double-digit favorite. And in their last 5 games in the wild card round of the playoffs, the Chiefs have played 4 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas City dominated the Steelers in a 36-10 victory at Arrowhead Stadium on December 26th last month. These teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings in KC Under the Total despite that game sneaking over the 44 point total. Pittsburgh has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 35 points. 25* NFL Wild Card Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (149) and the Kansas City Chiefs (150). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (143) and the Buffalo Bills (144) in their AFC wild card playoff game. THE SITUATION: New England (10-7) has lost three of their last four games after a 33-24 upset loss at Miami as a 6-point favorite last Sunday. Buffalo (11-6) won their fourth straight game with their 27-10 win against the New York Jets as a 16-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Quarterback Josh Allen may garner most of the headlines for the Bills — but don’t sleep on the Buffalo defense under head coach Sean McDermott and defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier. The Bills have held their last three opponents to just 15.3 Points-Per-Game and 202.0 total Yards-Per-Game. Buffalo has allowed just 25 combined points in their last two games. Additionally, the Bills have not allowed more than 21 points in four straight games as well as six of their last seven contests. Buffalo hosts the third meeting between these AFC East rivals where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when favored. And while the Bills have covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least two of their last three games. Buffalo has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in January. McDermott and Frazier should have their best game plan yet to challenge Patriots’ rookie quarterback Mac Jones. Throw out the first game between these two teams when Jones only attempted three passes in the wind and cold in Buffalo (although that effort does not inspire confidence). In the rematch on December 26th which the Bills won by a 33-21 score as a 1-point underdog, Jones completed only 14 of 32 passes for 145 yards with two interceptions. The former Alabama quarterback might have hit a wall to close out the season. Since Week 14, Jones only completed 59.9% of his passes as compared to his 67.6% completion percentage for the season. Jones was much more effective when playing at home as well where completed 68.1% of his passes while averaging 249.1 passing Yards-Per-Game with 16 touchdown passes and seven interceptions. His Quarterback Rating at home is 97.5. But on the road, while Jones’ completion percentage only drops to 66.8%, he averages just 194.9 passing YPG with six TD passes and six interceptions — and his QBR falls to 85.4. Jones will not have Isaiah Wynn protecting his blind side either with the left tackle out with a hip and ankle injury. The Patriots were content to grind out lower-scoring games on the road with their defense that allowed only 16.0 PPG and 284.1 total YPG. Bill Belichick has had great success in frustrating Allen in his career. Allen completes only 57.1% of his passes against New England in his career while averaging just 215.9 passing YPG and a QBR of 82.7. Allen has not been great in his career in cold weather despite his college experience at Wyoming and his strong arm. His career completion percentage of 62.3% drops to 50.3% in his five games played in below-freezing temperatures. He averages only 166.6 passing YPG in those games with six touchdown passes and seven interceptions. The Patriots have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as a dog.

FINAL TAKE: New England has palled 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss. The Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing in Buffalo. The temperatures will be in the single digits for this game although the wind will not be nearly the factor that it was in the first game between these teams this season. Weather conditions must be considered in relation to the subsequent Over/Under number — but suffice to say that frigid temperatures harden the football which negatively impacts placekicking and makes it harder to catch the football. In other words, freezing temperatures certainly do not help produce higher-scoring games. 25* AFC East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (143) and the Buffalo Bills (144). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Raiders (141) and the Cincinnati Bengals (142) in their AFC wild card playoff game. THE SITUATION: Las Vegas (10-7) won their fourth game in a row with their 35-32 upset victory in overtime against the Los Angeles Chargers as a 3-point underdog on Sunday. Cincinnati (10-7) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 21-16 loss at Cleveland as a 6.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raiders had only scored more than 17 points twice in their previous nine games before reaching 35 points in overtime against the Chargers last Sunday night. Las Vegas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Raiders have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after an upset victory as a home underdog. Las Vegas has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Raiders go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total. Weather will be a factor with temperates expected to drop below freezing with a chance of snow. Quarterback Derek Carr has played five games when the temperature was under at 37 degrees or less: the Raiders never scored more than 17 points in all five of those games. Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Bengals won the first meeting between these two teams by a 32-13 score as a 2-point road favorite in Las Vegas on November 21st — but that was a low-scoring contest before Cincinnati scored 19 points in the fourth quarter to pull away. The Bengals only generated 288 total yards in that game — 73.5 yards below their season average. Quarterback Joe Burrow completed 20 of 29 passes but for only 148 yards with Raiders’ defensive coordinate single-high safety coverage and the lowest-blitz rate in the NFL frustrated Burrow with so many pass defenders. Las Vegas is still successfully generating a pass rush with Max Crosby and Yannick Ngakoue without blitzing. The offensive line is an area of weakness for the Cincinnati offense as the 51 sacks that Burrow has suffered is the most in the NFL. The Bengals have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing in January.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams after the game in November finished well below the 51-point total. 10* NFL Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Las Vegas Raiders (141) and the Cincinnati Bengals (142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (507) and the Philadelphia 76ers (508). THE SITUATION: Boston (21-21) has won three games in a row after their 119-100 upset win at Indiana as a 1.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Philadelphia (23-17) had their seven-game winning streak end with their 109-98 upset loss to Charlotte as a 5-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston made 51.3% of their shots in the upset win against the Pacers which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. The Celtics have been a disappointment on the offensive end of the court this season. They rank just 23rd in the league in Offensive Rating. Too often, Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown settle for isolation basketball rather than getting a better rhythm to their offense to generate better shots. Rookie head coach Ime Udoka has not offered much schematically to correct these issues either. The Celtics did allow Indiana to make 46.5% of their shots on Wednesday which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. Boston has been outstanding on the defensive end this season — they rank 5th in the NBA in Defensive Efficiency. Even after Wednesday’s game, the Celtics have held their last five opponents to 96.0 Points-Per-Game on 42.8% shooting. The Under is 33-15-1 in Boston’s last 49 games after a double-digit victory — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. The Celtics have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning three of their last four games. They stay on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. They have also played 5 of their last 8 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting up to six points. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia allowed the Hornets to make 51.7% of their shots in the loss on Wednesday. The 76ers still rank 3rd in the league in their last ten games in Defensive Efficiency. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. The Under is also 7-2-1 in Philadelphia’s last 10 games after a point spread loss. The Sixers are just 8-9 this season on their home court — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home. The 76ers have also played 22 of their last 32 home games Under the Total against teams not winning more than 40% of their games on the road (Boston: 8-13 on the road) — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Philadelphia has played 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: The 76ers are missing some players including Danny Green and Shake Milton. Marcus Smart is questionable for the Celtics. The Sixers pulled the upset against Boston on December 20th with their 108-103 victory — and Boston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when motivated by revenge. The Celtics have also played 33 of their last 51 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge an upset loss. These two teams have played 8 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing in Philadelphia. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (507) and the Philadelphia 76ers (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Southern Illinois Salukis (725) and the Missouri State Bears (726). THE SITUATION: Southern Illinois (9-5) has won four of their last five games after their 63-60 upset win at Valparaiso as an 11.5-point underdog on Saturday. Missouri State (11-6) and their three-game winning streak end with an 85-84 upset loss at Northern Iowa as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This is a strong technical situation for the Under. The Salukis have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Southern Illinois nailed 55.6% of their shots from the field in that game — but they are still only making 43.1% of their shots on the road. The Salukis score just 59.7 Points-Per-Game on the road — but they allow only 62.7 PPG in those eight games. Southern Illinois has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total as an underdog. The Salukis have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Missouri State has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Bears have also played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Missouri State allowed the Panthers to make 51.8% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. The Bears are second in the Missouri Valley Conference so far this season by holding their conference opponents to just 50.0% shooting inside the arc after four games. They return home where they have played 10 of their last 16 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s.

FINAL TAKE: Southern Illinois has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 straight Unders against teams winning at least 60% of their games. Missouri State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against winning teams. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Southern Illinois Salukis (725) and the Missouri State Bears (726). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Georgia Bulldogs (287) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (288). THE SITUATION: Georgia (13-1) reached the National Championship Game with their 34-11 victory against Michigan in the CFP Semifinals as a 7.5-point favorite on December 31st. Alabama (13-1) joined them in the Finals by winning their eighth game in a row with their 27-7 victory against Cincinnati as a 12.5-point favorite on the last day of 2021. This game will be played on a neutral field at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: I think the most important evidence in assessing the Over/Under proposition for this game is a quote from Nick Saban when assessing the philosophical shift he oversaw at Alabama in the last few seasons. Saban said: "It used to be if you had a good defense, other people weren't going to score. You were always going to be in the game. I'm telling you. It ain't that way anymore." When confronted with the must-win game for them in the SEC Championship Game against a Georgia defense some were describing as the best unit in college football in years, Saban took an aggressive stance against Kirby Smart’s defense. The Crimson Tide used pace to their advantage by averaging about one additional play for every two minutes their offense was on the field. While Alabama averaged 2.32 plays per minute during the regular season, they amped that up to 2.75 plays per minute against Georgia. The Tide raced out to a 24-17 lead at halftime which helped to get the Bulldogs out of rhythm — and they then controlled the second half. Saban has commented that recent rule changes make it tough even on the best defenses. Playing at a fast tempo puts defenses on their heels and prevents them from substituting players until there is a dead ball. Alabama is highly likely to deploy this strategy again. Against Cincinnati, the formula for success was running the football since the strength of the Bearcats defense was their secondary. The strength of the Bulldogs defense is their front seven — so going after their secondary makes sense. Quarterback Bryce Young passed for 421 yards against Georgia with a 9.64 Yards-Per-Attempt average with seven passes generating at least 20 yards. Granted, he had the services of junior wide receiver John Metchie who caught six passes in the first half before suffering a season-ending ACL injury. Alabama still has an embarrassment of riches in talent at wide receiver — especially with some freshmen who have had more than a month to continue their development. The Crimson Tide was third in the nation by scoring 41.4 Points-Per-Game— they are prepared to survive high-scoring games. It is telling that Alabama has played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total when playing in January. They have also played 33 of their last 55 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field. Additionally, the Crimson Tide have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a win by at least 21 points. And while Alabama flexed their muscles on defense by holding Cincinnati to just 218 total yards, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after holding their last opponent to no more than 225 total yards in their last game. The Crimson Tide has also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last game. Georgia took a page out of the Alabama playbook by using tempo to put the Michigan defense on their heels early and often. the exciting dynamic for Bulldogs’ fans is the continued development of their offense with Stetson Bennett under center. The senior quarterback torched an outstanding Michigan defense by completing 20 of 30 passes for 313 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions. He has improved to become much more than a game manager. In his last two games against Alabama and Michigan — two of the best defenses in the nation — Bennett has completed 49 of 78 passes for 653 yards and a robust 8.37 Yards-Per-Attempt average. He has six touchdown passes in those two games — and he adds a threat with his legs by running for 43 yards in those contests. It helps Bennett to have a loaded wide receiver corps bolstered by the return of junior George Pickens who missed most of the season after tearing his ACL in the spring. Bennett had eight receivers with multiple catches against the Wolverines. This is the approach I expect to see from the Bulldogs in this rematch — and I suspect Smart will think he needs to put 30 points on the scoreboard to win this game even with his elite defense. Georgia averaged 7.73 Yards-Per-Play against Michigan — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after averaging at least 7.25 YPP in their last game. And while the Bulldogs have generated 328 and 340 passing yards in their last two games, they have then played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after passing for at least 325 yards in two straight games.

FINAL TAKE: This is the second-lowest total in an Alabama game all season with the SEC Championship being the only game when the Tide had an Over/Under in the 40s. The Crimson Tide have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. I expect both teams to get at least into the mid-20s in what should be a fast-paced game. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Georgia Bulldogs (287) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (288). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (481) and the Las Vegas Raiders (482). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (9-7) snapped a two-game losing streak with their 34-13 win against Denver as an 8.5-point favorite on Sunday. Las Vegas (9-7) is on a three-game winning streak after their 23-20 upset win at Indianapolis as an 8.5-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Raiders have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after an upset loss as a road underdog — and they have played 32 of their last 48 games Over the Total when playing at home after a win on the road. Las Vegas has only allowed 15.7 Points-Per-Game in their last three games — but they have benefited from some favorable opponent quarterback situations during their winning streak. They beat a Cleveland Browns team ravaged by COVID three weeks ago who had to resort to three-stringer Nick Mullens at quarterback. They faced Broncos’ backup quarterback Drew Lock two weeks ago — and they then got Carson Wentz not at 100% last week after the unvaccinated quarterback returned from his inevitable case of COVID. They return home where the Over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Over is also 11-2-1 in their last 14 home games as an underdog. The Raiders do expect to play tight end Darren Waller and running back Josh Jacobs who are both listed as questionable — so that should help their offensive attack. Los Angeles has scored at least 28 points in five straight games. Since Week 11, the Chargers lead the NFL in total offense and rank second in scoring. They are scoring 30.3 PPG and averaging 395.3 total YPG in their last three games. Second-year quarterback Justin Herbert leads the NFL in third-down effectiveness — and that includes Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at least 14 points — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. They go back on the road where they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: The Chargers have played 4 straight Overs against AFC foes — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in January. Las Vegas has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against fellow AFC West rivals. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (481) and the Las Vegas Raiders (482). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (517) and the Toronto Raptors (518). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (14-25) snapped a three-game losing streak with their 101-96 win against Golden State as a 1-point favorite on Thursday. Toronto (19-17) is on a five-game winning streak after their 122-108 win against Utah as a 12-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans played their best defensive game in their last four contests after holding the Warriors to just 42.5% shooting. New Orleans has allowed at least 115 points in four of their last six games. They are giving up 114.8 Points-Per-Game on 48.1% shooting over their last five games. The Pelicans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, New Orleans has played 4 straight road games Over the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total in January. Toronto has scored at least 116 points in five straight games — they are averaging 120.5 PPG over that stretch. They have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 straight Overs after a win by 10 or more points. The Raptors have also played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They stay at home where they have played 7 straight games Over the Total. Toronto has also played 8 straight Overs at home when favored by 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing in Toronto. 10* NBA Over/Under Situational Special with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (517) and the Toronto Raptors (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (479) and the Los Angeles Rams (480). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (9-7) won their third game in their last four contests with a 23-7 win against Houston as a 14-point favorite on Sunday. Los Angeles (12-4) is on a five-game winning streak after their 20-19 win at Baltimore as a 7-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The news I was waiting on has just been confirmed this afternoon — the 49ers will be without left tackle Trent Williams. The future Hall of Famer who has probably been the most effective left tackle in the game this season is out with an elbow injury that left him questionable all week. Not only does that hurt in the protection against Aaron Donald in the San Francisco passing game, but Williams plays a vital role in the Niners’ run-blocking. Jimmy Garoppolo will be the starting quarterback despite his painful thumb injury — but it remains a question how effective he can be with this injury. Garoppolo playing this game probably speaks more to the readiness of rookie quarterback Trey Lance. While he is uber-athletic, Lance holds on to the ball too long and lacks a firm grasp of playing the position at the NFL level after not playing in almost two years after taking last year off with North Dakota State. As it is, the 49ers have only averaged 20.4 Points-Per-Game in their five divisional matchups this season. San Francisco has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win at home by double-digits. The 49ers have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. San Francisco’s defense has been playing well — they have held their last four opponents to no more than 23 points. They have held their last three opponents to 13.3 PPG and 266.0 total Yards-Per-Game. The 49ers have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total as a road underdog. San Francisco has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road with the Total set at 45.5 or higher. Furthermore, the Niners have played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total against winning teams — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog. Los Angeles has held their last five opponents to no more than 23 points — and they lead the NFL in sacks which make the loss of Williams on the offensive line for San Francisco a game-changer. the Rams have held their last three opponents to 17.3 PPG and 300.3 total YPG. Matthew Stafford completed 26 of 35 passes for 309 yards in their win against the Ravens last week — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The Rams have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 6 games after winning four or five of their last six games, Los Angeles has played all 6 games Under the Total. The Rams go back home where they have played a decisive 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total — and they have played 17 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when favored. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams will be motivated to avenge a 31-10 loss in San Francisco on November 15th — and they have played 31 of their last 47 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss to their opponent. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. 25* NFC West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (479) and the Los Angeles Rams (480). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (469) and the Philadelphia Eagles (470). THE SITUATION: Dallas (11-5) had their four-game winning streak snapped with their 25-22 upset loss at home to Arizona as a 6.5-point favorite last Sunday. Philadelphia (9-7) is on a four-game winning streak after their 20-16 win at Washington as a 6.5-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Injuries and COVID play a defining role in this game. The Eagles have 11 players on the COVID list. Running back Miles Sanders is out with a hand injury — and Philly may only have rookie Kenneth Gainwell healthy and available in their backfield tonight. Right tackle Lane Johnson is dealing with a knee - and Jalen Hurts is less than 100% with an ankle injury. Given that Philadelphia has already clinched a wildcard spot in the NFC playoffs, but they cannot secure a home game next week and have little idea who they will be playing, rookie head coach Nick Sirianni may opt to rest key players including Hurts. As it is, the Eagles have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games after a victory where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. Philadelphia has played 16 of their last 21 home games Under the Total after a win by seven points or less against an NFC East rival — and they have played 25 of their last 36 home games Under the Total after a win on the road against a divisional opponent. Additionally, the Eagles have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning two in a row — and they have played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after winning two in a row against NFC East foes. They return home where they have played 11 of their last 16 home games Under the Total with the number in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as an underdog getting up to seven points. Philadelphia does not have too much luxury to rest all their starters on defense given roster limitations. They have not allowed more than 18 points in five straight games — and they have held their last three opponents to 14.3 Points-Per-Game and 247.0 total Yards-Per-Game. Dallas has some COVID issues themselves most notably with rookie sensation Micah Parsons out for this game. Running back Tony Pollard is questionable with a foot injury — and Ezekiel Elliott has been saddled with a knee injury for much of the season. Wide receiver Michael Gallup is out the season with a torn ACL. But Dallas still has plenty to play for despite having clinched the NFC East title when ensures them no worse than the fourth seed. Losses by Tampa Bay and the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday would put the Cowboys in the position to take the second seed in the NFC playoffs — so head coach Mike McCarthy needs to play for the win tonight. Outside of their 56-point outburst against a Washington team ravaged by COVID and playing after limited practice time, Dallas has not scored more than 27 points in four of their last five games. The Cowboys have not given up more than 20 points in six of their last eight contests. Dallas has played 21 of their last 30 road games Under the Total after a loss by three points or less. The Cowboys have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 range.

FINAL TAKE: Dallas won the first meeting between these two teams by a 41-21 score. Philadelphia has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss on the road to their opponent. These two teams have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing in Philadelphia. 25* NFL Saturday Television Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (469) and the Philadelphia Eagles (470). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (681) and the Michigan State Spartans (682). THE SITUATION: Nebraska (6-8) has lost six of their last seven games after their 87-79 loss in overtime against Ohio State as a 9.5-point underdog on Sunday. Michigan State (12-2) won their seventh straight game with a 73-67 win at Northwestern as a 3-point favorite on January 2nd.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cornhuskers have allowed at least 70 points in nine of their fourteen games this season — and they play at the 9th fastest possession length in the nation so they are comfortable playing higher-scoring games under head coach Fred Hoiberg. Nebraska has played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. The Cornhuskers are one of the worst rebounding teams in the nation although much of that is by design since Hoiberg wants to sacrifice defensive rebounding for potential fast break scoring chances. They have been out-rebounded by at least eight boards per game in their last three contests — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after being out-rebounded by at least six boards in three straight games. They rank 302nd in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down 32.5% of their misses on the offensive — and now they travel to East Lansing to face a Spartans’ team that is 47th in the nation by rebounding 33.8% of their missed shots. Nebraska has allowed their last five opponents to make 46.6% of their shots which has resulted in 85.8 Points-Per-Game. Now the Cornhuskers go back on the road where they are allowing 90.3 PPG. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Nebraska has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total in the 140s. Michigan State has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread victory. The Spartans held Northwestern to just 32.3% shooting from the field which was the best defensive effort in their last 11 games. But Michigan State only made 38.5% of their shots against the Wildcats which was the lowest mark in their last eight games and the second-lowest field goal percentage all season. Even after that shooting effort, the Spartans have shot 48.6% from the field in their last five games. They rank 15th in the nation by making 38.9% of their shots from behind the arc — and they are making 40% of their 3-pointers in their three Big Ten games. They should make plenty of 3s against this Cornhuskers defense that ranks 281st in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 35.0% of their 3-pointers — and they are allowing their Big Ten foes to nail 44.3% of their shots from downtown. Five-star freshman Max Christie is finding a rhythm having scored in double-digits in four of his last six games. And head coach Tom Izzo has found an answer at point guard by splitting time between Tyson Walker and A.J. Hoggard. They return home to the Breslin Center where they are scoring 81.3 PPG on 47.0% shooting. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Spartans’ last 4 games at home — and they have played 4 straight Overs at home against teams with a losing record on the road. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams score at least 75 PPG. Michigan State has played 9 of their last 14 home games Over the Total when favored by at least 12.5 points. Nebraska has played 30 of their last 45 road games — and 10 of their last 15 road games — Over the Total when an underdog in the 12.5 to 18 point range. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (681) and the Michigan State Spartans (682). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (525) and the New York Knicks (526). THE SITUATION: Indiana (14-23) has lost four in a row after their 108-104 loss at Cleveland as a 4.5-point underdog on January 2nd. New York (17-20) has lost two in a row after their 120-105 loss at Toronto as an 8-point underdog on January 2nd.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pacers only made 44% of their shots against the Cavaliers — and that was still the best shooting performance in their last four contests. Indiana stays on the road where they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total. The Pacers have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, Indiana has played 4 straight Unders against teams with a losing record — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total as an underdog. New York shot 44.9% from the field against the Raptors which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. And while Toronto made 47.7% of their shots against them on Sunday, that was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in the last five games that Tom Thibodeau’s team has allowed. The Knicks have played 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. New York has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. They return home where they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total when favored. And in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record, the Knicks have played 11 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total — and these teams have played 9 of their last 13 encounters in Madison Square Garden Under the Total. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (525) and the New York Knicks (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (131) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (7-8) has lost three of their last four games after their 24-22 loss at Green Bay as a 7.5-point underdog. Pittsburgh (7-7-1) has lost two of their last three games after their 36-10 loss at Kansas City as a 10.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Browns have not scored more than 24 points in six straight games after their 22 points against the Packers last week. But the Cleveland defense has not allowed more than 24 points in five straight games. The Browns have lost two in a road despite covering the point spread in both those games. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after losing but covering the point spread as an underdog in their last two games. Cleveland did gain 408 yards in Green Bay last Saturday — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Despite their yardage numbers last week, the Browns are still only averaging 311.3 total Yards-Per-Game in their last three games and just 20.0 Points-Per-Game. Cleveland stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total with the number in the 42.5-45 point range. The Browns have played 33 of their last 50 games Under the Total in the final two weeks of the season. Pittsburgh has not scored more than 20 points in five of their last six games. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Steelers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. They return home where they are allowing only 20.5 PPG — but they are only scoring 20.1 PPG. Pittsburgh has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total when favored — and the Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. In their last three games, the Steelers are scoring only 19.0 PPG and averaging just 282.0 total Yards-Per-Game.

FINAL TAKE: Cleveland will be motivated to avenge a 15-10 loss at home to Pittsburgh on October 31st — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (131) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (129) and the Green Bay Packers (130). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (7-8) had their two-game winning streak snapped last week with their 30-23 loss to the Los Angeles Rams as a 3.5-point underdog last Sunday. Green Bay (12-3) is on a four-game winning streak with their 24-22 victory against Cleveland as a 7.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Despite enjoying a +4 net turnover margin at home last week against the Browns, the Packers only managed to gain 311 yards in their narrow victory against a Cleveland team hit hard by COVID. Aaron Rodgers completed 24 of 34 passes but for only 202 yards. Green Bay needs to tighten up on defense after allowing the Browns to gain 408 total yards in that game. They seized an early lead and took a 21-12 advantage into halftime before only scoring a field goal in the second half. Expect a similar game script against a Vikings’ team playing without Kirk Cousins. Mistakes may be the biggest threat to the Packers tonight — so they are likely to rely heavily on their running game and be satisfied with grinding out a lower-scoring game that re-establishes the confidence of their defense. Green Bay allows only 17.7 Points-Per-Game and 338.9 total Yards-Per-Game at home at Lambeau Field. They have played 4 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total when favored. The Packers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Minnesota will have to rely on backup Sean Mannion at quarterback with Cousins out after a positive COVID test. The former Oregon State has not taken a snap in a regular-season game since 2019. In his career, he has completed only 57.5% of his 74 NFL passes with a mild 6.0 Yards-Per-Attempt average. The Vikings are going to rely heavily on running back Dalvin Cook who was removed from the COVID list and will play tonight. Head coach Mike Zimmer will want to shorten the game by burning time off the clock — and he has had success slowing Rodgers down in his coaching career. Zimmer has led Minnesota to a 6-4-1 record against the Packers in his last 11 games as head coach of the Vikings. Green Bay has only scored more than 23 points against Zimmer’s Minnesota teams twice in their last six encounters. The Packers average 21.6 first downs per game with their offense on the field for 32:34 minutes per game — and the Vikings have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams who average at least 32 minutes in Time of Possession and 21 first downs per game. Green Bay only averages 0.7 turnovers per game with Rodgers rarely throwing interceptions — and Minnesota has played 6 straight games Under the Total against opponents who do not commit more than 0.75 turnovers per game.

FINAL TAKE: The Vikings have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams who are winning at least 75% of their games — and the Packers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. 25* NFC North Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (129) and the Green Bay Packers (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (113) and the Washington Football Team (114). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (8-7) has won three in a row with their 34-10 victory against the New York Giants as an 11-point favorite last Sunday. Washington (6-9) is on a three-game losing streak after their 56-14 loss at Dallas as a 10-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Football Team is a mess on offense right now after posting their three lowest yardage totals in the last three weeks. They managed only 224 total yards against the Cowboys on December 12th before picking up just 237 yards against the Eagles in a 27-17 loss in Philadelphia on December 21st. Washington only gained 257 yards last week in their debacle in Dallas. The Football Team wants to run the ball to set up the pass but they have only gained 148 yards on the ground in their last two games. To compound matters, star running back Antonio Gibson has been declared out for this game due to COVID. The Football Team has played 5 straight Unders after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by 14 or more points. Washington has also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss by 21 or more points to an NFC East foe. At least the Football Team should play better on defense after getting embarrassed last week. Dallas generated 497 yards of offense against them — but Washington has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. Philadelphia has not allowed more than 18 points in four straight games. They should stymie the Football Team this afternoon with their stout run defense that ranks fourth in the league by allowing only 3.9 Yards-Per-Carry. Philly held the Giants to just 108 passing yards and 192 total yards last week — and they have played 4 straight Unders after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. The Eagles held Washington to just 237 total yards two weeks ago — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 350 yards in two straight games. But look for the Philly offense to struggle — they have played 55 of their last 79 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Jalen Hurts is not 100% with an ankle issue that has limited him to just 45 rushing yards on ten carries in his last two games. Hurts is also regressing in the passing game. Since Week 11, he is completing only 58.2% of his passes which is 26th in the NFL during that span. He has thrown only three touchdown passes with four interceptions since Week 11 — and his Passer Rating of 73.7 since that time ranks 24th in the league. He will also be without his best running back in Miles Sanders who is out with a hand injury. The Eagles have played three straight Overs — but they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs and they have played 25 of their last 36 games Under the Total after playing at least three Overs in a row.

FINAL TAKE: Washington is a mess at quarterback with the league seeming to get a book on journeyman quarterback Taylor Heinicke. Head coach Ron Rivera suggested both Heinicke and Kyle Allen could play today. I do expect a spirited effort — and the Football Team has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* NFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (113) and the Washington Football Team (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Sugar Bowl between the Baylor Bears (283) and the Mississippi Rebels (284). THE SITUATION: Baylor (11-2) won their fourth straight game with their 21-16 upset victory as a 7-point underdog against Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship Game on December 4th. Mississippi (10-2) is on a four-game winning streak with seven victories in their last eight game with their 31-21 upset win at Mississippi State as a 2.5-point underdog on November 25th in the Egg Bowl. This game is being played on a neutral field at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This is a strong technical play — and we are getting some value with the number with bettors enamored with Lane Kiffin’s offensive acumen. Baylor has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Bears upset the Cowboys despite only gaining 242 total yards in the game — and they have played 8 straight Unders after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. They forced four turnovers to help them enjoy a +2 net turnover margin in that game — and they have played 6 straight Unders on the road after generating a +2 or better net turnover margin in their last game. Led by head coach Dave Aranda, Baylor allows only 19.2 PPG — and that number drops to 17.8 PPG they allowed in their six games played away from home. They held their last three opponents to just 16.7 PPG. Mississippi has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Rebels did allow 420 yards to the Bulldogs with 336 of those yards in the air. Ole Miss has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 yards in their last game. Despite those numbers, the Rebels’ defense has steadily improved as the season went on under defensive coordinator D.J. Durkin. Their bend-but-don’t-break 3-3-5 defense held their last three opponents to just 19.0 PPG. Mississippi only allowed three opponents to score more than 26 points against them — and that only happened once after October 9th. The Ole Miss scoring has been down as well — they have not scored more than 31 points in seven straight contests. The Rebels have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total playing away from home when playing with at least two weeks in-between games. Ole Miss has played 4 straight Unders when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Mississippi has played 6 straight Unders against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. Baylor has played 5 straight Unders against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. 25* CFB Saturday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Sugar Bowl between the Baylor Bears (283) and the Mississippi Rebels (284). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Rose Bowl between the Utah Utes (281) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (282). THE SITUATION: Utah (10-3) is on a six-game winning streak after winning the Pac-12 Championship Game with their 38-10 victory against Oregon as a 3-point favorite on December 3rd. Ohio State (10-2) had their nine-game winning streak end with their 42-27 upset loss at Michigan as a 6.5-point favorite on November 27th. This game will be played on a neutral field at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Ohio State may be deflated after missing out on their chance to win the Big Ten Championship and earn a spot in the College Football Semifinals — but this game is an opportunity to get the bad taste out of their mouth from that loss. The Buckeyes have played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Ohio State has played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road after an upset loss where they were favored by at least six points. The Buckeyes gained 458 yards against the tough Wolverines defense — and the Over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Redshirt freshman quarterback C.J. Stroud completed 34 of 49 passes for 394 yards in the loss — and the Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Ohio State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after passing for at least 375 yards in their last contest. Stroud will be without two of his targets in Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson — but don’t feel sorry for Buckeyes’ fans (ever). Slot receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba is still around after catching 80 balls for 1259 yards. The opt-outs create an opportunity for the top-rated wide receiver in each of the last two season national classes to get more playing time. The Buckeyes scored 45.5 PPG and averaged 551.1 total Yards-Per-Game — and they still have freshman running bac TreVeyon Henderson who was tied for the fourth-best YPC average in the nation. Ohio State has seen at least 63 combined points scored in three straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored. Utah has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Utes have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory against a Pac-12 opponent. The Utah offense took another step when head coach Kyle Whittingham inserted quarterback Cameron Rising into his starting lineup in their fourth game. Utah scored at least 28 points in each of their last nine games — and they scored at least 34 points in eight of their last contests. The Utes ranked 19th in the nation in Expected Points Added in the passing attack. They also ranked 10th in Rush Success Rate behind a strong offensive line that helped them fourth in Sack Rate Allowed.

FINAL TAKE: The Ohio State defense got exposed by Michigan who controlled the line of scrimmage against them. Utah’s offensive line should have similar success (which is why I am passing on a Buckeyes’ side play). Michigan rushed for 297 yards — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Ohio State’s defense ranked just 70 in Success Rate Allowed — and they will be without defensive tackle in All-American Haskell Garrett who opted out for the NFL draft. 20* CFB Utah-Ohio State ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the Rose Bowl between the Utah Utes (281) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (282). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Orange Bowl between the Georgia Bulldogs (269) and the Michigan Wolverines (270) in the College Football Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Georgia (12-1) looks to rebound from their 41-24 upset loss to Alabama as a 6-point favorite in the SEC Championship Game on December 4th. Michigan (12-1) won their fifth straight game with their 42-3 victory against Iowa as an 11.5-point favorite in the Big Ten Championship Game on December 4th. This game will be played on a neutral field at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs had not allowed more than 17 points in all of their games this season before facing off against the Crimson Tide in SEC Championship Game. Alabama only averaged 4.4 Yards-Per-Carry in their rushing attack — but they shellshocked the Georgia defense behind the arm of quarterback Bryce Young who completed 26 of 44 passes for 421 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions. Only two other opponents passed for more than 214 yards against them this season. I do not see Michigan quarterback Cade McNamara being able to approach those numbers that won Young the Heisman Trophy. McNamara is a game-manager who did not attempt more than 17 passes in a game until the Wolverines’ fifth game in October — and that was influenced by the Wolverines’ inability to run the football at Wisconsin. Michigan has thrown the ball more than 38 times twice this season. They want to ground-and-pound — but good luck doing that against the Georgia defense that ranks third in the nation by allowing only 81.7 rushing yards per game — and held opposing rushers to just 2.6 Yards-Per-Carry. The Bulldogs’ defensive line is huge — they average a height of 6’4 with a weight of 307 points. The Wolverines want to run inside-zone blocking plays — but Georgia thrives when thwarting that approach. Georgia only allowed one team to gain more than 127 rushing yards this season — and that was a Florida team that lost 3-47 to the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs held eight of their opponents to under 10 points — and they shut out three teams. Michigan averages 5.3 YPC in their ground game — but Georgia has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 4.75 YPC and they have played 6 straight Unders against opponents who average at least 5.25 YPC. Alabama only managed 115 rushing yards which were the most Georgia had allowed in four games. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 125 rushing games in two straight games. Michigan offense slows down significantly if they cannot get their ground game going. They averaged only 2.6 YPC against Wisconsin but benefitted from three early turnovers to take control of that game. They only averaged 3.5 YPC against Penn State in a tense 21-17 victory in Happy Valley. They managed only 112 rushing yards from 38 carries for a 2.94 YPC average against Rutgers in a 20-13 win against a 5-7 Scarlet Knights team.

But this is also a flawed Georgia offense. They did not score an offensive touchdown against Clemson to open the season. And while they averaged 39.4 PPG for the season, the defenses in the SEC do not appear very stout in hindsight. Alabama was the best defense that the Bulldogs played after that opening game — and after scoring on two of their first three drives, Georgia failed to score on seven of their last nine drives despite trailing in the game. Quarterback Stetson Bennett is not nearly as effective when given a comfortable cushion on the scoreboard. Remove Alabama from consideration and the Michigan defense is better than all the other defenses in the SEC that the Bulldogs have played. They allowed only 16.1 PPG and 316.3 total YPG. Ohio State is the highest-rated scoring and yardage offense in the nation — but they only scored 27 points and ran for 64 yards despite trailing most of that game against the Wolverines. Michigan’s star safety Daxton Hill appears cleared to play tonight after being in the COVID protocols — reports from last night are that he participated in team meetings in Miami after not being with the team most of the week (and the updated CDC guidelines would have required him to be in quarantine if he was still symptomatic and lacked a negative COVID test). The Wolverines have played three straight Overs — but they have then played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. And while Michigan has scored at least 42 points in three straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 37 points in three straight games.

FINAL TAKE: Georgia has played 6 of their last 7 bowl games Under the Total. Head coach Kirby Smart will want to run the football, limit mistakes, and lean on his outstanding defense that will be chippy to re-establish themselves after getting embarrassed by Alabama. The Bulldogs have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when favored on a neutral field by 7.5 to 10 points. Michigan’s offense can sputter — but they make big plays in their pass rush led by potential top-five pick Aidan Hutchinson. 25* CFB Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Orange Bowl between the Georgia Bulldogs (269) and the Michigan Wolverines (270). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Cotton Bowl between the Cincinnati Bearcats (273) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (274) in the college football playoff semifinals. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (13-0) remained undefeated this season with their 35-20 victory against Houston in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game as a 10.5-point favorite on December 4th. Alabama (12-1) won their seventh straight game with a 41-24 victory against Georgia in the SEC Championship Game as a 6-point underdog on December 4th. This game will be played on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bearcats held Houston to just 336 total yards in their dominant victory in the AAC Championship Game. Cincinnati has a stout defense that allows only 16.1 Points-Per-Game and just 305.1 total Yards-Per-Game. The Bearcats have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while that game finished Over the 52 point total, Cincinnati has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their previous game Over the Total. The Bearcats rushed for 210 yards in that win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. And while Cincinnati has scored at least 35 points in four straight games, they have then played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total on the road after scoring at least 30 points in three straight games. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 24-5-1 in the Bearcats’ last 390 games as an underdog — and they have played 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. Alabama generated a surprising 536 yards of offense against a shellshocked Georgia defense in the SEC Championship Game. Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young completed 26 of 44 passes for 421 yards in the win — but the Crimson Tide have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after passing for at least 375 yards in their last contest. Alabama did give up 449 yards with 340 of those yards coming in the air. But the Tide have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Despite allowing the big numbers, Alabama is still allowing only 20.2 PPG and 304.5 total YPG.

FINAL TAKE: Alabama has played 5 straight Unders in the College Football Semifinals under head coach Nick Saban. The Under is also 4-1-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 6 games played on a neutral field as a favorite. Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 7 games played on a neutral field Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight Unders on a neutral field as an underdog. 10* CFB Friday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Cotton Bowl between the Cincinnati Bearcats (273) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (249) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (250) in the Pinstripe Bowl. THE SITUATION: Maryland (6-6) snapped a three-game losing streak with their 40-16 upset win at Rutgers as a 2-point underdog on November 27th. Virginia Tech (6-6) has won two of their last three games after their 27-24 upset win at Virginia as a 7-point underdog on November 27th. This game will be played on a neutral field at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: A solid technical play this afternoon. The Terrapins have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. Additionally, Maryland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win against a Big Ten rival — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after an upset win as a road underdog. The Terrapins have also played 4 of their 5 games Under after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Maryland has some unattractive defensive numbers — but they played the 12th most difficult schedule according to Pro Football Focus. Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan State, and Iowa put up big numbers against the Terrapins defense — but they will not face as potent an offense this afternoon. They have played three straight Overs — but they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after playing three straight Overs. Maryland did generate 575 yards against the Scarlet Knights — but they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after gaining at least 525 yards in their last game. Virginia Tech enters this game missing key pieces of its offense. Quarterback Braxton Burmeister is in the transfer portal. The Hokies top two wide receivers in Tre Turner and Tayvion Robinson with Turner opting out for the NFL draft and Robinson transferring to Kentucky. Burmeister accounted for 64% of the team’s total yards and those two wide receivers caught 57% of the team’s receiving yards and eight of their 17 touchdown catches. Former Texas A&M transfer Connor Blumrick will be the starting quarterback after attempting only 16 passes in the regular season. As it is, Virginia Tech scored only 24.8 Points-Per-Game — and that scoring number dropped to 21.0 PPG in their five games on the road. The Hokies have played 4 straight Unders after an upset win against a conference rival — and they have also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Virginia Tech will likely rely on their rushing attack behind running back Raheem Blackshear given the absences in the passing attack. The Hokies have gained at least 227 rushing yards in three straight games — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 225 yards in at least two straight games. Virginia Tech has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in non-conference play.

FINAL TAKE: The Hokies have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. Maryland has played 5 straight Unders after a bye week. 10* CFB Pinstripe Bowl ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (249) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (250). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Liverpool (200141) and Leicester City (200142). THE SITUATION: Liverpool (W12-D5-L1) last played an English Premier League match on December 16th when they settled for a 2-2 draw at Tottenham. Leicester City (W6-D4-L7) last played on an EPL match on Sunday when they lost at Manchester City by a 6-3 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: These two teams just played on Wednesday in the Caribou Cup with the Liverpool B-team pulling out a 4-3 victory in a shootout. The Reds had their last EPL match with Leeds United postponed because of COVID. The Liverpool defense has been leaky as of late after giving up 2.87 expected goals to the HotSpurs nine days ago. The Reds have allowed six goals in their last three matches. They do get back holding midfielder Fabinho and defenseman Virgil Van Dijk for this match — but they are coming off the COVID list so they may not be back to full fitness just yet even if they had only “mild” symptoms. But the Liverpool attack has been clicking after scoring eight goals in their last three matches. They have generated at least 2.0 expected goals (xG) in each of the EPL contests since November 17th against West Ham. They are tied with Man City with 50 goals for the most goals in the league (with a match in hand) — and they generate 2.4 xG when playing on the road. Leicester City has scored 12 goals in their last four matches in all competitions. Their problem is on the other side of the pitch where they have allowed 14 goals in their last five matches across all competitions — and they have conceded 12 goals in their last four contests. The Foxes have conceded 33 goals in EPL play — the fourth-most in the league. Their 1.69 expected goals allowed (xGA) in the EPL is fifth to the bottom. Leicester City has also conceded the third most Big Chances (with a goal expectancy of 35% or higher). When playing at home, the Foxes are generating 1.51 xG with 11 goals in their last three matches.

FINAL TAKE: Leicester City has seen at least four combined goals scored in seven of their last eight matches. Liverpool has seen at last four combined goals in eight of their last 11 contests. 25* EPL Tuesday NBC Sports Network Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between Liverpool (200141) and Leicester City (200142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (481) and the New Orleans Saints (482). THE SITUATION: Miami (7-7) won their sixth straight game last Sunday in a 31-29 victory against the New York Jets as a 10.5-point favorite last Sunday. New Orleans (7-7) won their second-straight game with their 9-0 upset win at Tampa Bay as an 11.5-point underdog last Sunday night.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dolphins held the Jets to just 228 yards last week — they have held their last three opponents to just 14.3 Points-Per-Game and 225.3 total Yards-Per-Game. Miami has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while they gained 379 yards against New York, they also had their offense on the field for 34:22 minutes in that game. The Dolphins averaged only 5.49 Yards-Per-Play in that game. Miami has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. They go back on the road where they average only 19.5 PPG. They have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total when favored. Miami’s defense leads the NFL during that span in Expected Points Allowed per snap. New Orleans has 20 players out because of COVID including quarterbacks Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian. Head coach Sean Payton is on to his fourth-string quarterback in rookie Ian Book. The former Notre Dame star is an interesting project — but he left South Bend with a ceiling to his talents and there is a reason that there was little to no consideration of using him at quarterback up until tonight despite all the attrition at this position starting with the season-ending injury to Jameis Winston. In the preseason, Book completed 9 of 16 passes for 126 yards and an interception. Payton is an offensive wizard — but Book lacks Hill’s mobility to run the “Cam Newton Carolina” offense and his passing skillset is similar to Siemian’s but without the NFL experience. The Saints have Alvin Kamara back — but the Dolphins are likely to put eight men in the box to slow him down and dare New Orleans to beat them with Book’s arm (with a suspect receiving corps still missing Michael Thomas). New Orleans also remains without their starting tackles with Ryan Ramczyk out with COVID and Terron Armstead still dealing with a knee injury. That is not a good sign for a team that ranks second to last in the league over the last six weeks in Expected Points Added per snap on offense. New Orleans managed only 212 total yards in their upset win against the Buccaneers. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not scoring at least 250 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Saints have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread win.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is in the high-30s for this game which makes it very hard to take the Under — but that is one of the motivations for the bookmakers to list the Total this low. The Army-Navy game earlier this month had a Total drop into the 30s — and Army won that game by a 17-13 score. That is only one example — but is illustrative that these numbers get this low for a reason. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (481) and the New Orleans Saints (482).  Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Football Team (479) and the Dallas Cowboys (480). THE SITUATION: Washington (6-8) lost their second straight game in a 27-17 loss at Philadelphia as a 10-point underdog on Tuesday. Dallas (10-4) won their third straight game with a 21-6 victory in New York against the Giants as an 11.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys continue to excel on defense after holding the Giants to just 302 total yards. Dallas forced four turnovers in the game — they lead the NFL with 31 takeaways and 21 interceptions. They have held their last three opponents to just 14.3 Points-Per-Game and 310.3 total Yards-Per-Game. The Cowboys have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while Dallas has won four of their last six games, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six contests. But injuries are slowing this team down on offense. The biggest loss is Tyron Smith at left tackle — he might be the most important player on the team outside of Dak Prescott. Running back Ezekiel Elliott has been slowed with injuries this season. The Cowboys do get running back Tony Pollard back tonight but it remains a question how effective he will be with his foot injury. Dallas has not scored more than 27 points in four of their last five and six of their last eight contests. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when favored. Washington only managed 237 yards in their loss at Philadelphia. Granted, the Football Team had journeyman Garrett Gilbert under center — but he played well in completing 20 of 31 passes for 194 yards in numbers that looked similar to what Taylor Heinicke was providing them. Heinicke and backup QB Kyle Allen have been cleared to play — but Heinicke has not practiced all week. Aaron Rodgers is the exception that proves the rule that quarterbacks can avoid practice all week and still have their “A-Game” on Sunday. COVID has limited Washington’s ability to prepare and even game-plan. Offensive coordinator Scott Turner had to tentatively prepare three approaches since he had no idea if it would be Heinicke, Allen, or Gilbert again under center. These two teams played just two weeks ago in a 27-20 victory for the Cowboys in a game where the Football Team only gained 224 yards with both Heinicke and Allen getting snaps. Washington is scoring only 18.3 PPG and averaging 253.o total YPG in their last three games. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after losing two in a row. And while the Football Team surrendered 519 yards to the Eagles last week, they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after giving up at least 350 yards in their last game. Washington stayed competitive by forcing turnovers and not giving the ball up themselves — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after playing a game where they had a +2 or better net turnover margin. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not gaining at least 250 yards in their last game. They stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record, the Football Team has played 14 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Washington has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against NFC East rivals — and Dallas has played 5 straight Unders against teams from the NFC. 25* NFC East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Football Team (479) and the Dallas Cowboys (480). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (475) and the Kansas City Chiefs (476). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (7-6-1) has won two of their last three games after a 19-13 win against Tennessee as a 1-point favorite last Sunday. Kansas City (10-4) has won seven straight games after their 34-28 win in Los Angeles against the Chargers as a 3-point favorite on December 16th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Pittsburgh eked out that game with the Titans despite only gaining 170 total yards. They have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not gaining more than 250 yards in their last game. The Under is also 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. The Steelers enjoyed a +4 net turnover margin in that game which was the third straight game where they won the turnover battle — and they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after having a +1 or better net turnover margin in at least two straight games. The Under is also 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. They go back on the road where the Under is 37-14-1 in their last 52 games — and they have played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total with the number in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Pittsburgh has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total in December. Kansas City has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win on the road. Patrick Mahomes completed 31 of 47 passes for 410 yards in the win — but the Chiefs have played 5 straight Unders after a game where they passed for at least 250 yards. Kansas City did allow 192 rushing yards in the game — but they have played 37 of their last 55 games under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The Chiefs have played two straight Overs — but they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs. The Kansas City defense is playing much better at this part of the season — they have held six of their last seven opponents to no more than 17 points. They return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Chiefs have played 14 of their last 17 home games Under the Total when favored by 10.5 to 14 points. Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a double-digit dog. And in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (475) and the Kansas City Chiefs (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Brentford (200113) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200114). THE SITUATION: Brentford (W5-D5-L6) comes off a 2-1 win against Watford in their most recent match in the English Premier League on December 10th. Brighton and Hove Albion (W4-D8-L4) last played on December 15th when they lost 1-0 at home to Wolverhampton.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Brentford was blanked in their most recent match in the Caribou Cup on Wednesday in a 2-0 loss to Chelsea. The Bees are limited in their attack — they are 15th in the EPL in shot attempts per 90 minutes. When playing on the road, Brentford has only 8.6 expected goals (xG) in their eight matches so far in the EPL this season. But Brentford does play well on defense. They rank sixth in the league in non-penalty kick expected goals allowed (xGA). They have conceded the sixth-fewest shots per 90 minutes. On the road, the Bees improve to four best in xGA. Brighton struggles to score goals — they have only scored three times in their last six matches while getting blanked three times. They have not scored more than once in those six matches — and they will be without one of their best offensive playmakers in Yves Bissouma who is out with an injury. The Seagulls average only 1.0 non-penalty kick xG per match — and they rank 15th in Big Chances created (with a 35% or higher expected success rate). Playing at home at the American Express Community Stadium, Brighton has scored only two times in their last five matches with three blanks. But the Seagulls are tough on defense — they are fifth in the EPL by conceding only 17 goals this season while also ranking fifth best in xGA. They have allowed the third-fewest Big Chances.

FINAL TAKE: Brighton consistently grinds out low-scoring matches under manage Graham Potter. They have played six straight matches where no more than two combined goals were scored. 25* English Premier League Sunday NBC Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Brentford (200113) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (471) and the New England Patriots (472). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (8-6) snapped a two-game losing streak with their 31-14 victory against Carolina as a 14.5-point favorite last Sunday. New England (9-5) had their seven-game winning streak end last Saturday with their 27-17 loss at Indianapolis as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bills should build off their momentum from last week as they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. The Over is also 16-7-1 in their last 24 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Buffalo has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Now they go back on the road where they are scoring 30.4 Points-Per-Game and averaging 397.7 total Yards-Per-Game. The Bills are missing two wide receivers this afternoon with both Gabriel Davis and Cole Beasley on the COVID list — but they do get Emmanuel Sanders back from a knee injury that kept him out last week and they still have Stefon Diggs. Buffalo will be missing a key piece on defense with linebacker Star Lotulelei for reasons only detailed as “personal.” Buffalo has played 5 straight Overs on the road — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Bills have also played 7 straight Overs as an underdog. New England gained 365 yards last week in their loss to the Colts — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Rookie quarterback Mac Jones completed 26 of 45 passes for 299 yards with two touchdown passes in a losing effort — a far cry from the mere three passes he threw against the Bills the prior week. Now Jones returns home to Foxboro where he has been more prolific with head coach Bill Belichick seemingly more comfortable to let him air it out. Jones is completing 70.7% of his passes with a 267.1 passing YPG mark with 13 touchdowns and five interceptions and a Quarterback Rating of 102.5 in his seven starts at home. In his seven starts on the road, Jones’ completion percentage drops to 66.8% with a 185.4 passing YPG mark with five touchdown passes and five interceptions and a QBR of 84.5. The Patriots are scoring 30.0 PPG and averaging 388.4 total YPG at home. They have played 4 straight Overs when playing a home — and they have played 11 of their last 15 home games Over the Total when getting up to three points as an underdog. Running back Damien Harris is expected to play this afternoon with his improving hamstring. New England did give up 226 rushing yards last week to the Colts — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams from the AFC.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played on Monday Night Football back on December 6th in the cold and heavy winds in Buffalo in a game the Patriots won by a 14-6 score. The temperatures in Foxboro today will be in the 40s with the winds in the low-teens — so the offenses should be able to function much better in this rematch. 25* AFC East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (471) and the New England Patriots (472). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (455) and the Arizona Cardinals (456). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (8-6) won their fifth game in their last six contests with their 27-17 win against New England as a 1-point favorite last Saturday. Arizona (10-4) has lost two straight games after their 30-12 upset loss in Detroit as a 13-point favorite last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Colts only managed 275 yards in their victory against the Patriots last week. Carson Wentz only attempted 12 passes for a mere 57 yards in the win. Indianapolis has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not passing for at least 100 yards in their last game. The Colts did rush for 226 yards last week — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. It will be difficult for Indy to replicate that performance on the ground tonight with them missing three starting offensive linemen. Quenton Nelson and Mark Glowinski are on the COVID list while Ryan Kelly is taking personal time after the death of his child. The Indianapolis defense should keep them in this game — they have not allowed more than 17 points in four of their last five games. They did allow 284 passing yards to Mac Jones last week — but they have then played 5 straight Unders after surrendering at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Colts go back on the road where they are allowing only 17.7 Points-Per-Game and 303.7 total Yards-Per-Game this season. Arizona has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Cardinals have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after an upset loss by 10 or more points. Arizona has suffered two straight upset losses after getting beat by the LA Rams by a 30-23 score as a 3-point favorite the previous week. The Cardinals have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after getting upset in two straight games. Furthermore, Arizona has played 4 straight Unders after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing 30 or more points in their last game. The Cardinals are only allowing 20.3 PPG this season — but they are scoring just 22.7 PPG in their last three games.

FINAL TAKE: Indianapolis has played 29 of their last 41 games Under the Total in December. 25* NFL Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (455) and the Arizona Cardinals (456). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (453) and the Green Bay Packers (454). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (7-7) lost their second game in their last three with their 16-14 loss to Las Vegas as a 2.5-point underdog on Monday. Green Bay (11-3) won their third straight game with their 31-30 victory at Baltimore as a 9.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Browns activated both Baker Mayfield and Case Keenum off the COVID list — so they will not have to rely on third-string quarterback Nate Mullens this afternoon after he completed 20 of 30 passes for 147 yards against the Raiders. Mayfield gets the starting nod — but he will likely be rusty and has not practiced much with the team in the last two weeks. Cohesion on offense will likely be a problem for him. While the quarterbacks and wide receiver Jarvis Landry return to action, Cleveland is still missing key pieces from their starting offensive unit. The offensive line is hit hard with let tackle Jedrick Wills, Jr., and center J.C. Tretter out with COIVD — both losses are tough to swallow and the loss of Tretter should not be underestimated since Mayfield will be working with a new center to coordinate plays at the line of scrimmage. The Browns were already without starting right tackle Jack Conklin who is out the season with a right knee injury. And kicker Chase McLaughlin is on the COVID list which means head coach Kevin Stefanski will be relying on Chris Naggar despite him never having taken a kick in an NFL game. This is all happening to an offense that scores only 20.9 PPG — and they averaged just 16.0 PPG and 262.7 total Yards-Per-Game in their last three games. Cleveland only gained 236 yards last week against Las Vegas — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not gaining more than 250 yards in their last game. The Browns do get some key players on defense back for this game. Cornerback Denzel Ward returns from a groin injury and safety Grant Delpit was removed from the COVID list. Despite all their attrition of late, Cleveland has only allowed 18.0 PPG in their last three games. And the Under is a decisive 44-18-3 in their last 65 games in December. Green Bay has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in December. The Packers have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win on the road. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning two in a row — and they have played 5 straight Unders after winning three games in a row. They allowed 354 yards to the Ravens in their narrow win last week — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. And while they have scored at least 31 points in each of their last four games — but they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in three straight games. They return home to Lambeau Field where they are holding their guests to just 17.0 PPG and 327.3 total YPG. Aaron Rodgers is missing some important players on offense as well for this game with right tackle Billy Turner and wide receiver Randall Cobb out with injuries.

FINAL TAKE: Green Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Cleveland has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 range. 10* NFL Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (453) and the Green Bay Packers (454). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (451) and the Tennessee Titans (452). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (8-6) has won five of their last six games after a 31-13 win against Atlanta as a 9.5-point favorite on Sunday. Tennessee (9-5) lost their third game in their last four in a 19-13 loss at Pittsburgh as a 1-point underdog on December 19th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The 49ers gained 397 total yards last week in their victory against the Falcons. They have scored at least 30 points in four of their last six games and five of their last eight contests. San Francisco has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Niners have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Even without an injured Elijah Mitchell, San Francisco ran for 162 yards against Atlanta. Head coach Kyle Shanahan is using wide receiver, Deebo Samuel, out of the backfield to great success. In Samuel’s last five games — all victories for the 49ers where they have scored at least 26 points (he did not play in their loss to Seattle on December 5th) — he has run the ball 33 times for 247 yards with six touchdowns including a score in each of those five games. Running back Jeff Wilson ran the ball 21 times for 110 yards with a touchdown in his best game of the season after missing the first half of the year to an injury. The 49ers have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 150 yards in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now San Francisco goes back on the road where the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games when favored. The Titans went into halftime with a 13-3 lead against the Steelers but did not score in the second half in their loss last week. They did rush for 201 yards in the setback with D’Onta Foreman running the ball 22 times for 108 yards. Tennessee has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Tennessee returns home where the Over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total as an underdog. Injuries have depleted the skill position players on offense — but the running game is still functioning even without Derrick Henry and after getting wide receiver Julio Jones back last week, wide receiver A.J. Brown is expected to return to the field this week after dealing with a chest injury. The Over is 19-7-1 in the Titans’ last 27 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 13 games in December, Tennessee has played 9 of these games Over the Total. The Titans are dealing with injuries on their offensive line with three players out including two starters — but they can move some players around to still form a capable starting five which will now likely include their second-round draft pick, Dillon Radunz. The Niners are dealing with several missing pieces on defense including recent injuries to two of their starters at linebacker (and Dre Greenlaw has been declared out). I concluded the impact of the losses still offers us value relative to the line.

FINAL TAKE: The Titans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing on a Thursday night — and the 49ers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing on a Thursday. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (451) and the Tennessee Titans (452). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (337) and the Los Angeles Rams (338). THE SITUATION: Seattle (5-8) has won two games in a row with their 33-13 win at Houston as a 10-point favorite last Sunday. Los Angeles (9-4) has won two games in a row after their 30-23 upset victory at Arizona as a 3-point underdog last Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Seattle has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by 14 or more points. The Seahawks generated 453 yards of offense against the Texans — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Seattle did allow 380 yards to Houston — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. They stay on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total. The Seahawks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against fellow NFC opponents. And in their last 8 games in December, the Under is 5-2-1. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by 14 or more points. The Rams do get Von Miller and Jalen Ramsey back from the COVID list to bolster their defense. They return home to SoFi Stadium — and they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total. Los Angeles has also played 16 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when favored. Furthermore, the Rams have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in December.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing in Los Angeles. 10* NFL Tuesday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (337) and the Los Angeles Rams (338). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Football Team (339) and the Philadelphia Eagles (340). THE SITUATION: Washington (6-7) ended their four-game winning streak with a 27-20 loss to Dallas as a 6.5-point underdog on December 12th. Philadelphia (6-7) has won three of their last four games with a 33-18 victory in New York against the Jets as a 5-point favorite on December 5th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 47 combined points scored in the Football Team’s loss to the Cowboys included a fumble recovery touchdown for both teams. Washington only managed 224 total yards in the loss — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not gaining more than 250 yards in their last game. The Football Team has played 4 straight Unders after a loss — and they have played 4 straight Unders after a point spread loss. Washington will be without Taylor Heinicke and Kyle Allen tonight as with players who did not get cleared to be removed from the COVID list — so it will be Garrett Gilbert under center after he was signed to the team on Friday. The Football Team is not going to ask Gilbert to do much tonight with his limited arm strength and lack of familiarity with the offense. Washington is going to attempt to run the football and shorten the game. The good news for the Football Team is they are getting their defensive line room back who tested positive for COVID including Jonathan Allen and Matt Ioannidis. But they are missing skill position players on offense like wide receiver Curtis Samuel and third-down running back J.D. McKissic. They go on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Washington has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 6 straight Unders in December. Philadelphia has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a bye week. The Eagles will be content to grind this game out as they have evolved into a running team with second-year pro Jalen Hurts under center. Philadelphia rushed for at least 176 yards in six straight games after generating 185 yards against the Jets — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. They return home where they have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total — and they have played 13 of their last 16 home games Under the Total when playing a team with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Eagles have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against NFC East opponents — and Washington has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against divisional rivals. 10* NFL Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Football Team (339) and the Philadelphia Eagles (340). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (331) and the Chicago Bears (332). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (6-7) won their third game in their last five contests with a 36-28 victory against Pittsburgh as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday Night Football last week. Chicago (4-9) lost their second straight game win a 45-30 loss at Green Bay as an 11.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Chicago is dealing with some significant injuries on defense. Several players are on IR including linebacker Khalil Mack and Danny Trevathan. Defensive end Akiem Hicks and linebacker Roquan Smith are questionable. This attrition has played a large role in the Bears giving up 88 combined points in the last two weeks. They gave up 439 total yards to the Packers. Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Despite two interceptions last week, rookie quarterback Justin Fields has played well as the Bears’ starting quarterback. He completed 18 of 33 passes for 224 yards with two touchdown passes and another 74 rushing yards. Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 4 straight Overs in December. Minnesota has played 47 of their last 67 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. They gained 458 yards against the Steelers last week — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Pittsburgh gained 375 yards against the Vikings' defense — and Minnesota has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Vikings have allowed at least 28 points in four straight games — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 25 points in two straight games. Minnesota has also scored at least 26 points in six straight contests — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring and allowing at least 24 points in three straight games. They go on the road where they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their 9 road games Over the Total when favored. They have also played 9 of their last 10 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on December 20th last season when the Bears upset the Vikings on the road by a 33-27 score as a 3-point underdog. Minnesota has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams from the NFC North. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (331) and the Chicago Bears (332). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (329) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (330). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (6-7) snapped a five-game losing streak with their 30-9 win at New York against the Jets as a 4.5-point underdog on Sunday. Tampa Bay (10-3) won their fourth straight game with their 33-27 victory against Buffalo as a 3.5-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Saints held the Jets to just 256 yards last week in a strong defensive effort. New Orleans has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Saints have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 8 games after a win by 14 or more points, New Orleans has played 7 of these games Under the Total. They stay on the road where they are allowing only 18.3 PPG and 300.5 total Yards-Per-Game. Defensive coordinator Dennis Allen does a good job devising schemes against Tom Brady — his zone defense limits the effectiveness of the crossing routes that the Buccaneers love and New Orleans has the players to generate an inside pass rush which gets Brady out of his rhythm. The Saints contained Brady to completing just 60.8% of his passes which averaged only 6.05 Yards-Per-Attempt in their two meetings last season. Brady put up better numbers in their first meeting this season on October 31st — but he did throw two interceptions in a 36-27 upset loss when the Bucs were laying 3.5 points. The bigger concern for New Orleans in this game is their anemic offensive under quarterback Taysom Hill. The Saints are scoring only 17.7 PPG while averaging 313.0 total Yards-Per-Game in their last three games. Hill is an effective runner — but he is limited in the passing game. New Orleans operates an offensive akin to the Cam Newton offenses with Carolina — and that does mean longer possessions of offense as they attempt to win the Time of Possession battle. The Saints were on offense for 38:52 minutes against the Jets after rushing for 202 yards — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Tampa Bay did allow 173 rushing yards last week to the Bills — but they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing 150 or more rushing yards in their last game. The Buccaneers do have Vita Vea back on their defensive line who helps them become very tough to run on. Tampa Bay is third in the NFL by allowing only 91.2 rushing YPG — it will be a challenge to run the ball against this team without a credible passing attack. The Saints’ pass attack has averaged only 180 YPG in their last three games with a low 5.9 Yards-Per-Attempt average and a 55.4% completion percentage. The Bucs will be able to put eight defenders in the box in this rematch. Josh Allen led a Bills offense to average 6.4 Yards-Per-Play last week — but Tampa Bay has played 6 straight Unders after a game where they allowed at least 6.0 YPP. Furthermore, the Buccaneers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against NFL opponents — and they have played 4 straight Unders against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Halloween meeting between these teams was a game that Jameis Winston started but got injured in before Trevor Siemian came off the bench to play one of his best games in his career in unusual circumstances. These teams have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing in Tampa Bay. 25* NFC South Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (329) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (330). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Mistake ... wrong game.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (313) and the New York Giants (314). THE SITUATION: Dallas (9-4) has won two in a row after their 27-20 win at Washington as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday. New York (4-9) lost their third game in their last four in a 37-21 loss at Los Angeles against the Chargers as a 9.5-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Dallas held the Football Team to just 224 total yards in the victory last week. They have held five of their last six opponents to no more than 30 points. The Cowboys have played 4 straight Unders after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight Unders after a point spread loss. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. They go back on the road where they are scoring only 23.9 PPG — a far cry from their 29.2 PPG scoring average overall this season. The offense will be without their glue on the offensive line in left tackle Tyron Smith — and running back Tony Pollard is questionable with a foot injury.  The Cowboys have played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total when favored. New York only managed 316 yards last week with backup Mike Glennon under center. He completed only 17 of 36 passes for 191 yards in the loss. The Under is 9-3-1 in the Giants’ last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games after a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Under is 11-3-1 in New York’s last 15 games after a point spread loss. The Giants allowed the Chargers to gain 423 yards — but they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. New York enters that game not allowing more than 20 points in five of their previous six games. They return home where they score just 16.5 PPG and average 288.7 total YPG — but they do hold their guests to just 18.0 PPG. The Under is 10-1-1 in the Giants’ last 12 games at home — and the Under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 home games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Daniel Jones is out once again — so the Giants offense is again in the hands of Glennon. Rookie wide receiver and playmaker Kadarius Toney is also unavailable on the COVID list. New York has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in December. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (313) and the New York Giants (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (311) and the Indianapolis Colts (312). THE SITUATION: New England (9-4) won their seventh game in a row with their 14-10 upset win at Buffalo as a 3-point underdog. Indianapolis (7-6) has won four of their last five games after their 31-0 victory at Houston as a 10-point favorite on December 5th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. New England held the Bills to just 230 total yards in that game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to no more than 250 total yards. They have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Rookie quarterback Mac Jones has not been as impressive when playing away from home. At Gillette Stadium, Jones is averaging 267.1 passing YPG with 13 touchdown passes and five interceptions. He has a Quarterback Rating of 102.5 in those seven home games. But in his six games on the road, Jones sees his QBR drop to 87.7. Even after tossing out his 2 of 3 passing performance in the wind in Buffalo in his last game, Jones is still only averaging 196 passing YPG in his other five road games with just three touchdown passes and three interceptions. New England has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. Indianapolis held the Texans to just 141 total yards in their last game to outgain them by +248 net yards. They have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after outgaining their last opponent by at least 200 net yards. The Colts return home where they have played 37 of their last 54 games Under the Total in the final four weeks of the season — and they have played 28 of their last 40 games Under the Total in December.

FINAL TAKE: I suspect both teams will attempt to take the air out of the ball by running the football and burning time of the clock to keep their defenses fresh. Even ignoring the wind game in Buffalo — the Patriots have averaged 34.5 rushing attempts in their last four road games. The Colts have averaged 38 rushing attempts per game in their last three contests. 10* NFL Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (311) and the Indianapolis Colts (312). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (301) and the Los Angeles Chargers (302). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (9-4) has won six straight games after their 48-9 win against Las Vegas as a 10-point favorite on Sunday. Los Angeles (8-5) won their third game in their last four with their 37-21 win against the New York Giants as a 9.5-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chiefs have played 7 straight Unders on the road after a double-digit victory. Kansas City has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 7 games after scoring at least 30 points, the Chiefs have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Kansas City may not have pass rusher, Chris Jones, tonight after testing positive for COVID earlier this week. There is an outside chance that Jones can be cleared to play tonight if he is asymptomatic with two negative tests — if so, then the Under looks even better. But the Chiefs defense is playing better for reasons outside of Jones moving back to defensive tackle since the midseason acquisition of defensive end Melvin Ingram. Year after year, defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo oversees the steady improvement of his unit as the season moves on. Kansas City has held their last three opponents to just 9.0 Points-Per-Game and 323.0 total Yards-Per-Game. While they will miss Jones, the defense will not fall apart without him if he does not play. Spagnuolo’s group has held their divisional opponents to just 15.5 PPG and 336.3 total YPG  in their four games this season. They held the Raiders to just 44 rushing yards last week — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Now Kansas City goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Chiefs have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when favored. Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Justin Herbert completed 23 of 31 passes for 275 yards in the win against the Giants — but the Chargers have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Chargers stay at home where they have played 19 of their last 25 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. The Under is also 14-6-1 in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total as an underdog. Los Angeles’ defense has been playing better as of late after holding their last three opponents to 23.7 PPG and 324.7 total YPG — that is -2.1 PPG and -23.7 net YPG below their season averages. They have also held their three divisional games this season to 22.0 PPG and 327.3 YPG. The Chargers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against AFC West foes. The Under is also 20-9-1 in their last 30 games in December. Los Angeles’ offense is not at full strength with their star rookie left tackle Rashawn Slater out tonight and running back Austin Ekeler not at 100% with a high ankle sprain. Ekeler will play but not get a full workload.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in Los Angeles. 25* AFC West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (301) and the Los Angeles Chargers (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (541) and the Denver Nuggets (542). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (12-15) snapped their five-game losing streak with a 116-111 upset win at Portland as a 1-point underdog on Sunday. Denver (14-13) has won three of their last four games with their 113-107 win against Washington as a 4-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves have played 27 of their last 37 road games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. The 111 points they allowed to the Trail Blazers was their lowest in their last four games. Minnesota has let their last five opponents make 49.6% of their shots which has translated into 120.2 PPG. Now the T-Wolves stay on the road where they are scoring 111.1 PPG while allowing 113.9 PPG. Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court — and they have played 18 of their last 25 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting up to six points. D’Angelo Russell is questionable tonight with an ankle injury. Denver will be without JaMychal Green who is also dealing with an ankle — but Aaron Gordon and Will Barton have been upgraded to probable. The Nuggets have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Denver has also played 11 straight Overs after allowing at least 100 points. They are scoring 113.6 PPG in their last five games — but they are surrendering 113.0 PPG on 48.7% shooting in those five games as well. The 45.6% shooting they held the Wizards to on Monday was the best defensive effort in their last four games. But the Nuggets are now playing their sixth game in the last ten days — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing at least their sixth game in ten days. Denver has played four straight Unders — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 4 straight Overs when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total in December going back to last season. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (541) and the Denver Nuggets (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (129) and the Arizona Cardinals (130). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (8-4) ended a three-game losing streak with a 37-5 victory against Jacksonville as a 14-point favorite last Sunday. Arizona (10-2) has won two games in a row after their 33-22 win at Chicago as a 7.5-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rams held the Jaguars to just 197 yards in their victory last week. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 14 points — and they have played 4 straight Unders after a win by at least 21 points in their last game. The Rams have also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last contest. Los Angeles has also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after the first month of the season. And in their last 10 games against fellow NFC West rivals, the Rams have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Arizona has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Cardinals have also played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after playing a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. And while Arizona’s victory was a 23-13 win at Seattle, they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row by double-digits. The Cardinals return home where they are scoring only 22.6 PPG and averaging just 335.6 total YPG. Arizona has played 19 of their last 28 home games Under the Total when favored. They have also played 8 straight Unders on Monday Night Football.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals won the first meeting between these two teams by a 37-20 score in Los Angeles as a 3.5-point underdog. The Rams have played 31 of their last 46 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss to their opponent. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (129) and the Arizona Cardinals (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (127) and the Green Bay Packers (128). THE SITUATION: Chicago (4-8) lost their sixth contest in their last seven games after their 33-22 loss at home to Arizona as a 7.5-point underdog last Sunday. Green Bay (9-3) won their second game in their last three with a 36-287 upset win against the Los Angeles Rams as a 2-point underdog on November 28th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Don’t blame the Bears' defense for the loss against the Cardinals — despite injuries, they only surrendered 14 first downs and 257 total yards to Arizona. Giving up 192 yards in returns yards on special teams played a big role. That is something that will be easier for Chicago to clean up this week. The Bears have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Chicago is holding their last three opponents to just 265.0 total Yards-Per-Game. But the Bears are scoring only 16.8 Points-Per-Game and averaging 298.8 total YPG — and now they go back on the road where those numbers drop to 14.3 PPG and 287.3 total YPG. The Bears have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 21 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Chicago has also played 16 of their last 23 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Green Bay has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, while the Packers gained 399 yards against the Rams defense two weeks ago, they have then played 4 straight Unders after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Los Angeles gained 353 yards against them — and Green Bay has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Packers stay at home at Lambeau Field where they are holding their opponents to just 14.4 PPG. And the dynamic offense led by Aaron Rodgers is only scoring 27.8 PPG at home while averaging just 23.6 PPG on the season. Green Bay has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in December.

FINAL TAKE: Don’t be surprised to see the Packers running the ball a ton tonight as they look to rev up their two-headed monster of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon for the playoffs — and that likely means fewer offensive possessions. Green Bay has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams won are winning 25-40% of their games — and Chicago has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-75% of their games. 25* NFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (127) and the Green Bay Packers (128). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (123) and the Los Angeles Chargers (124). THE SITUATION: New York (4-8) has lost two of their last three games after a 20-9 loss at Miami as a 6.5-point underdog last Sunday. Los Angeles (7-5) has won two of three with a 41-22 upset win at Cincinnati as a 2.5-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 3-0-1 in the Giants’ last 4 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, New York has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Giants have only scored 32 combined points in their last three games — and they will have backup quarterback Mike Glennon under center this afternoon with Daniel Jones out with a neck injury. The Giants stay on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 15 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Los Angeles has seen the Under go a decisive 34-16-1 in their last 51 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Furthermore, the Chargers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Los Angeles returns home where they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total when favored. The Chargers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 20-8-1 in Los Angeles’ last 29 games in December — and New York has played 5 straight Unders in December. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (123) and the Los Angeles Chargers (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (563) and the San Antonio Spurs (564). THE SITUATION: Denver (12-13) has lost two of their last three games after a 123-111 setback on the road against the Spurs on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. San Antonio (9-15) has now won five of their last seven games with the victory two days ago.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets allowed the Spurs to make 52.3% of their shots on Thursday. Denver has allowed eight of their last twelve opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. Denver allowed New Orleans to make 52.2% of their shots in their previous game on Wednesday — and they have played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after allowing their last two opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. Additionally, the Over is 25-9-1 in the Pelicans’ last 35 games after a double-digit loss — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Nuggets allow their home hosts to score 110.4 Points-Per-Game on 48.1% shooting when on the road this season. That helps explain why they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total. Denver has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. On the positive side, the Nuggets are scoring 108.8 PPG in their last five games — more than 4 PPG above their season average. San Antonio has played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. The Spurs score 114.1 PPG on their home court while making 48.5% of their shots. San Antonio has played 20 of their last 27 home games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total as an underdog. And while Denver is 5-9 on the road, the Spurs have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 6 straight Overs when playing in San Antonio. 10* NBA Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (563) and the San Antonio Spurs (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (61) and the Vancouver Canucks (62). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (13-9-4) has won three of their last four games after their 3-0 win at Seattle last night. Vancouver (10-15-2) has won two straight and four of their last five after their 2-1 win against Boston on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 6-2-2 in the Jets’ last 10 games after a win — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after a win by three or more goals. Winnipeg has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Jets stay on the road where they are scoring only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game as opposed to their 3.0 Goals-Per-Game scoring average overall. Winnipeg has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road. They turn to Eric Comrie between the pipes who has been solid with a 2.49 Goals-Against-Average and a .912 save percentage in six games (five starts). The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Vancouver has seen the Under go 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after a win. The Under is also 5-2-1 in the Canucks’ last 8 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Vancouver has only allowed one goal in their two games since manager Bruce Boudreau took over as their new head coach on December 5th. The Canucks stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They are scoring just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game on home ice. Additionally, the Under is 20-5-4 in their last 29 games at home — and the Under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 home games when favored. Thatcher Demko should be in goal tonight after stopping 35 of 36 shots against the Bruins on Wednesday. Demko sports a 2.21 GAA and a .931 save percentage in 11 starts at home this season. He has a 1.73 GAA and a .947 save percentage in four starts this month.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-0-1 in the Canucks’ last 4 games against Western Conference opponents — and the Under is 7-3-1 in the Jets’ last 11 games against Western Conference opponents. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total as well. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (61) and the Vancouver Canucks (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (101) and the Minnesota Vikings (102). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (6-5-1) snapped a three-game winless streak with a 20-19 upset win against Baltimore as a 4-point underdog on Sunday. Minnesota (5-7) has lost two games in a row after their 29-27 upset loss at Detroit as a 7-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Steelers held the Ravens to just 326 total yards last week despite their defense being on the field for 36:30 minutes in that game. The Under is 8-2-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory against an AFC North rival. Now the Steelers go back on the road for the third game in their last four contests. They are averaging just 301.0 total Yards-Per-Game on the road. The Under is 37-13-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 51 games on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 range. Minnesota has played 17 of their last 22 games at home Under the Total after an upset loss. The Vikings have also played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after losing two in a row on the road. They return home where they are just 19.8 PPG. Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Pittsburgh has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in December — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total for Thursday Night Football. 10* NFL Thursday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (101) and the Minnesota Vikings (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:38 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (19) and the San Jose Sharks (20). THE SITUATION: Calgary (15-5-5) had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 loss in Las Vegas against the Golden Knights on Sunday. San Jose (13-11-1) has lost two in a row with their 6-4 loss at Columbus on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Flames have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by one goal. Calgary has also played 5 straight Unders after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Flames are playing fierce defense for head coach Daryl Sutter — they are allowing just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. They stay on the road where they are allowing just 1.9 Goals-Per-Game. Calgary has played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 13 road games with the Total set at 5.5. Backup goaltender Daniel Vladar gets the starting assignment tonight — but he has been spectacular this season. Vladar has a 1.78 Goals-Against-Average with a .939 save percentage in six starts all on the road. He also has two shutouts. The Flames have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Pacific Division rivals. San Jose has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss by two or more goals. Additionally, the Sharks have played 5 straight Unders after losing at least two in a row. San Jose has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 26 of their last 34 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last contest. In their last five games, the Sharks are allowing just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. Adin Hill likely will be between the pipes tonight. In three starts this month, Hill has a 2.35 GAA and a .914 save percentage. San Jose returns home for the first time since November 26th. The Sharks have played 8 straight home games Under the Total after being on the road for at least a week. San Jose has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog. The Sharks have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total as the underdog.

FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Calgary has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (19) and the San Jose Sharks (20). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (475) and the Buffalo Bills (476). THE SITUATION: New England (8-4) won their sixth straight game in a row with their 36-13 victory against Tennessee as a 7.5-point favorite on Sunday. Buffalo (7-4) has won two of their last three games after their 31-6 win at New Orleans as a 7-point favorite last week.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: My initial thought for MNF was with the Over but I do like to make final decisions with fresh eyes. The biggest questions for tonight's game are (1) how significant of an impact will the weather have on the game and (2) how significant is the line movement in reaction to the weather? After waiting for the early afternoon forecast to make my final calls, the temperates appear destined to be in the 20s (wind chill in the teens) with winds 25-35 MPH and gusting up to 40 MPH. Precipitation does not seem likely by game-time -- so probably not blizzard conditions. The wind negatively impacts field goal attempts and deeper passes. But the conditions also promote chaos for turnovers and special teams. I think the number has dropped too low -- so I am sticking with the over (and if I was leaning Under initially, then the low number would not scare me off). New England gained 394 yards in their victory against the Titans last week — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Patriots also forced four turnovers last week (+4 net turnover margin) — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after enjoying at least a +3 net turnover margin in their last game. New England has won the turnover battle in each game of their six-game winning streak — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after having at least a +1 net turnover margin in five straight games. Turnovers could play a role in getting the final score of this game into the 40s. Buffalo has seen the Over go 16-6-1 in their last 23 games after a straight-up win. The Bills held the Saints to just 190 total yards last week — but they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. They return home where they are scoring 28.0 PPG and averaging 392.0 total Yards-Per-Game. Buffalo has not played a game with a Total this low all season — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total with the Total in the 38.5 to 42 range.

FINAL TAKE: New England has played 5 straight games Over the Total against AFC opponents — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (475) and the Buffalo Bills (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (457) and the Kansas City (458). THE SITUATION: Denver (6-5) has won three of their last four games after their 28-13 upset win against the Los Angeles Chargers as a 2.5-point underdog on Sunday. Kansas City (7-4) has won four games in a row after their 19-9 win against Dallas as a 2.5-point favorite two weeks ago.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 3-0-1 in the Broncos’ last 4 games after a win by 14 or more points — and they have played 5 straight Unders after a point spread win. The Under is also 15-5-1 in Denver’s last 21 games after not allowing more than 14  points in their last game. The Broncos have held four of their last five opponents to 17 or fewer points. They are third in the league by allowing just 17.8 Points-Per-Game. They also have the third-best opposing quarterback Passer Rating of 82.7 in the NFL. They go on the road tonight where they are holding their home hosts to just 17.2 PPG and 312.0 total Yards-Per-Game. Denver has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. But the Broncos' offense is limited with Teddy Bridgewater under center. They are scoring just 20.7 PPG — and they have scored under 20 points in five of their last eight games. Bridgewater completed 11 of 18 passes for 129 yards last week. While a quarterback that is allergic to taking chances is a good fit with a defense-first team, his unwillingness to throw the ball down the field makes it difficult to stay competitive with a team that averages 25.5 PPG. Denver has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight Unders as an underdog. Kansas City has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and the Under is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games after a bye week. The Chiefs host this game where they are only scoring a surprising 21.5 PPG this season. Kansas City has played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Mahomes has been in a mini-slump this season after being frustrated with the two-high safety cover-2 looks he is facing. But it is not just that — defenses have finally realized that blitzing Mahomes is too dangerous a proposition since he can evade the rush and torch the defense with Travis Kelce or Tyreeke Hill getting a few more seconds to evade fewer defenders. It is the cover-2 combined with the standard pass rush which is frustrating Mahomes. The Chiefs have not scored more than 20 points in four of their last five games and five of their last seven. But Kansas City is on a winning streak due to the improved play of their defense. Acquiring linebacker defensive end Melvin Ingram from Pittsburgh allowed Chris Jones to move back inside to defensive tackle where he prefers — and he has thrived. The Chiefs have not allowed more than 17 points in four straight games — and they have held their last three opponents to 10.0 PPG and just 292.0 total YPG. Don’t count out a defense coached by Steve Spagnuolo to improve as the season moves on. Kansas City has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in December — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 14-5-1 in Denver’s last 20 games against AFC West foes — and the Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (457) and the Kansas City (458). Best of luck for us — Frank.