At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Leicester City (200121) and Leeds United (200122). THE SITUATION: Leicester City (W4-D0-L2) has won three straight matches across all competition that includes their 1-0 win at Arsenal last Sunday in their most recent English Premier League match. Leeds United (W3-D1-L2) comes off a 3-0 win at Aston Villa in their last match two Fridays ago on October 23rd.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Leicester City defeated AEK Athens on Thursday by a 2-1 score in Europa League action. They also held Arsenal to just 0.96 expected goals in that blank sheet victory. After a dominant 5-2 win at Manchester City on September 27th, the Foxes have played five straight matches across all competitions that have not seen more than three combined goals scored. This team under Brendan Rodgers has become a bit more defensively-oriented. They have allowed only one goal in their last three matches in all competitions. In the EPL, they have allowed only 8 goals but their expected goals allowed (xGA) is just 6.97 — and that 1.20 xGA per match mark is second-best in the league. They have allowed only four non-penalty shot Big Chances this season of scoring opportunities for their opponent with at least a 35% statistical chance of scoring. But the offense has lagged. While the Foxes have scored 13 goals, their expected goals mark (xG) drops to 8.67 which suggests they have been fortunate to see those many goals scored. Leicester City has just a 0.90 xG mark per game in non-penalty kick situations. Leeds United are tied with Leicester City by allowing just four non-penalty kick Big Chances which is the third-best mark in the EPL. They have allowed 12 goals with a 1.68 xGA mark but they have played a difficult schedule which includes Man City and Liverpool. The Whites have not seen more than three combined goals in four straight matches. Their striker, Patrick Bamford, has scored six times already — but that was based on 3.4 xG which suggests he has been pretty fortunate.

FINAL TAKE: After playing two high-scoring matches against Liverpool and Fulham, manager Marcelo Bielsa, has his team playing a bit less aggressive when it comes to when his midfielders rush to join the forwards in their counter-attack. Leeds plays a unique style that has stymied the topflight competition — most of their opponents have decided to play conservatively to counter their tactics. Leicester City will likely embrace this approach and bank on a Jamie Vardy counter-attack which was how they defeated Arsenal with his goal in the 80th minute. 25* EPL Monday NBC Sports Network with Under the Total in the match between Leicester City (200121) and Leeds United (200122). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (271) and the Philadelphia Eagles (272). THE SITUATION: Dallas (2-5) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 25-3 upset loss at Washington last week. Philadelphia (2-4-1) looks to build off their 22-21 win over the New York Giants last week as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Dallas has also played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They will be turning to rookie Ben Dinucci under center with Andy Dalton on the shelf after suffering a concussion last week. Frankly, the 7th round pick from James Madison cannot do much worse than Dalton has for this team. He passed for over 3400 yards in his senior season taking the Dukes to the national championship game. He adds desperately needed mobility to the position that Dalton lacks — he rushed for 569 yards with seven touchdowns last season for James Madison. I expect offensive coordinator Kellen Moore to get creative with Dinucci with some designed run plays. I also expect more creativity from Moore in getting the ball in the hands of the uber-talented Dallas wide receiving corps. And I expect more from running back Ezekiel Elliott after the Cowboys managed only 83 rushing yards last week against the Football Team. Dallas has played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The offensive line for the Cowboys is mired with injuries but they do expect guard Zack Martin to return to the starting lineup for this game. Dinucci’s mobility will make a big difference. Dallas has played two straight Unders with Dalton being their primary quarterback. The Cowboys have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a game that fished Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after playing two straight Overs. Even if Dallas struggles to score points, their defense is likely to offer the Eagles plenty of scoring opportunities. The Cowboys are last in the league by allowing 34.7 PPG — and these opponents are generating 408.1 total YPG against them this season. Philadelphia is scoring 26.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging 380.7 total YPG despite a number of injuries on offense. Quarterback Carson Wentz led an offense that gained 442 yards against the Giants last week — and the Eagles have played 5 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Wentz has thrown six touchdown passes in his last three games. The Philly offense is slowly getting healthier with tackle Lane Johnson, tight end Dallas Goedert, and rookie wide receiver Jalen Reagor all expected to play tonight. And while the Eagles win over the Giants last week finished Under the 44.5 point total, they have then played 12 of their last 20 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog — and they have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against fellow teams from the NFC East. With the number in the low-40s, expect a higher scoring game. 25* NFC East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (271) and the Philadelphia Eagles (272). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi Rebels (185) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (186). THE SITUATION: Ole Miss (1-4) has lost three games in a row after their 35-28 loss at home to Auburn as a 3.5-point underdog. Vanderbilt (0-3) returns to the field after getting last week off looking to rebound from a 41-7 loss at home to South Carolina as a 14.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Commodores managed only 249 total yards against the Gamecocks’ defense. Vandy has scored only 26 combined this season — they are averaging a mere 8.7 PPG along with just 256.7 total YPG. The Under is 27-13-1 in their last 41 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Commodores have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a bye week. Vandy allowed South Carolina to generated 485 yards in that loss — but the Under a 36-14-1 in their last 51 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. They stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Vanderbilt has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Mississippi has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Rebels ran the 51 times against the Tigers (as opposed to just 28 pass attempts) to gain 283 rushing yards for head coach Lane Kiffin’s offense — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Now Ole Miss goes back on the road where they have played 21 of their last 27 road games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 14 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 encounters in Nashville at Vandy Under the Total. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi Rebels (185) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (186). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (101) and the Carolina Panthers (102). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (1-6) looks to bounce back from their 23-22 upset loss at home to Detroit as a 1-point favorite on Sunday. Carolina (3-4) has lost their last two games after their 27-24 loss at New Orleans as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Falcons surrendered 386 yards to the Lions in their loss last week — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Quarterback Matt Ryan did complete 31 of 42 passes for 338 yards in a losing effort last week. Atlanta has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 250 yards in their last contest. Now the Falcons go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Over is 20-8-1 in Atlanta’s last 29 games against teams with a losing record. The Falcons have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against fellow NFC opponents — and the Panthers have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams from the NFC. Carolina has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Panthers are getting great play from quarterback Teddy Bridgewater who is tied for 6th in the NFL by averaging 8.2 Yards-Per-Attempt. He heads an offense that is 11th in the league by averaging 263.7 passing YPG — and Carolina should have success moving the football in the air against this Falcons defense that is 31st in the NFL by allowing 333 passing YPG. Atlanta is also last in the NFL by allowing 8.46 Yards-Per-Play. The Panthers return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total as the favorite. The Falcons have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow NFC South opponents.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta should have Julio Jones in this game as he deals with his nagging hamstring injury. Jones caught 8 catches for 97 yards last week. The Falcons are averaging 28.4 PPG when Jones plays this season — and the combined final score in those games is 59.4. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (101) and the Carolina Panthers (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (103) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (104). THE SITUATION: South Alabama (3-2) has won two straight games against Sun Belt Conference rivals after their 38-14 win over UL-Monroe on Saturday as a 14-point favorite. Georgia Southern (3-2) looks to rebound from a 28-14 loss at Coastal Carolina a 1-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jaguars have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning two in a row — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning their last two games against conference rivals. And while South Alabama allows 282 passing yards to the War Hawks, the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Now after playing their last two games at home, the Jaguars go back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total. South Alabama has also played 9 of their last 13 road games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their last two games at home. Additionally, the Jaguars have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total in October. Georgia Southern has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while quarterback Shai Werts passed for only 94 passing yards last week after completing only 7 of 20 passes, the Eagles have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after not passing for more than 170 yards in their last game. Now after playing three of their last four games on the road, Georgia Southern returns home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total as a favorite. The Eagles have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Georgia Southern returned their top four tacklers from last season — and they are allowing only 20.8 PPG this year.

FINAL TAKE: Georgia Southern has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing on a Thursday — and the Under is 4-1-2 in South Alabama’s last 7 games played on a Thursday night. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (103) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (961) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) listing both starting pitchers Blake Snell and Tony Gonsolin in Game Six of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (55-22) can win the World Series tonight after their 4-2 victory in Game Five on Sunday. Tampa Bay (51-28) looks to force a climactic seventh game. The Dodgers will be the designated home team for this game being played at Globe Life Park in Arlington, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after an off day. They send out Gonsolin who was 2-2 with a 2.31 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in eight starts (nine games) in the regular season. The deeper sabermetrics called for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.68 and 3.80. In this postseason, the right-hander has a 9.39 ERA along with a 1.70 WHIP in 7 2/3 innings — and his SIERA and xFIP of 5.94 and 7.10 agrees that he did not deserve much better results. He faces a Rays lineup that has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Gonsolin will be supported by a  Los Angeles bullpen that has a 4.50 ERA in their last five games. Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They counter with Snell who was 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in eleven regular season starts. The Rays have played 7 of their last 9 games with Snell on the mound Over the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. He faces a Dodgers’ lineup that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when facing a left-handed starting pitcher in Interleague play.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has played their last 3 playoff games Over the Total when trailing in the series. This World Series has also seen 4 of the 5 games finish Over the Total. Look for those trends to continue. 10* MLB Tuesday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (961) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) listing both starting pitchers Blake Snell and Tony Gonsolin. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (475) and the Los Angeles Rams (476). THE SITUATION: Chicago (5-1) has won two games in a row after their 23-16 upset win at Carolina as a 2-point underdog. Los Angeles (4-2) looks to bounce back from their 24-16 upset loss at San Francisco last Sunday night as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bears have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Chicago’s defense is holding its opponents to just 19.3 PPG this season. The Bears have not allowed more than 26 points all season — and they have held their last three opponents to less than 20 points. But the Chicago offense is another matter entirely. The Bears are averaging only 21.3 PPG this season — and tapping Nick Foles as their savior for a post-Mitchell Trubisky era has not solved the problem. Chicago has scored only 43 combined points in their last two games while settling for five field goals after stalled drives along the way. Foles is averaging only 5.9 Yards-Per-Pass-Attempt over his last two starts. He is not getting much help from the Bears’ rushing attack that is without running back Tarik Cohen is out the season with a torn ACL. In their two last two victories, Chicago has accumulated only 98 total rushing yards while averaging just 2.5 Yards-Per-Carry. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 10 of their last 13 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Chicago has also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total as an underdog overall. Furthermore, the Bears have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Rams surrendered 390 yards last week to the 49ers, but they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Los Angeles has been playing good defense as they have held their opponents to just 19.0 PPG along with 318.5 total YPG. The Rams return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when laying the points. Los Angeles has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams have played 6 straight games Under the Total in October — and the Bears have played 4 straight Unders in October. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on Monday Night Football. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (475) and the Los Angeles Rams (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Tottenham (200093) and Burnley (200094). THE SITUATION: Tottenham (W2-D2-L1) enters this match coming off a 3-3 draw against West Ham in their last English Premier League match back on October 18th. Burnley (W0-D1-L3) comes off a 0-0 draw at West Bromwich on October 19th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spurs have established chemistry between their talent and the tactics of manager Jose Mourinho who took over midseason last year. Tottenham lead the EPL with 15 goals (even with one less match under their belts than most of the league) — and they are second in the league by averaging 2.48 expected goals per match. Harry Kane is thriving in his #10 role on the pitch as an attacking midfielder. He has scored five times already this season. But in this position, Kane has assisted on seven goals which is very much out of character for him when he was playing the #9 role higher up the pitch. Son Heung-Min is now playing that attacker role (rather than the winger role that Mourinho relegated him to during the summer’s Project Restart). Yet the Spurs remain shaky on defense. They enjoyed a 3-0 lead against the Hammers before conceding three goals in the second half to settle with the draw. They also blew a lead by conceding a late goal versus Newcastle United. Tottenham brought in a bunch of new talent in the transfer window which has impacted their cohesion — and integrating the aging Gareth Bale into the mix does not help matters. The Spurs have allowed eight goals this season — and they are allowing their opponents to register 1.48 expected goals per game. Burnley was an outstanding defensive team during the summer with a tight backline working together combining with a hot goalkeeper in Nick Pope. It has not been the same to the start of this season as the Clarets have surrendered eight goals in four matches. Burnley has allowed Newcastle score three times against them, and Leicester City score four times against them so far this season — and they conceded three goals to Manchester City in League Cup action last month. The Clarets really miss the injured Ben Mee, who anchors that backline at center back. He will not play in this match. Burnley has only scored three times this season — but they will have to play more aggressively if and when they fall behind against the Hotspurs. They were content to settle for a draw against West Brom to finally get some points this season — but this is a different challenge. The Clarets are usually more potent when playing at home at Turf Moor. Last season, Burnley scored 24 of their 42 goals at home — and 31.08 of their 49.35 expected goals (xG) came on their home pitch. The Clarets averaged 1.64 xG at home last year.

FINAL TAKE: Tottenham leads the EPL in creating Big Chances (scoring chances with at least a 38% probability of scoring given historical averages). Look for the Hotspurs to take the lead, which will compel Burnley to abandon their preferred compact approach. 25* EPL Monday Afternoon Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between Tottenham (200093) and Burnley (200094). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (467) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (468). THE SITUATION: Seattle (5-0) returns to the field after their bye week after last defeating Minnesota by a 27-26 two weeks ago as a 6.5-point favorite. Arizona (4-2) comes off a 38-10 upset win at Dallas on Monday as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning at least three games in a row. Seattle comes off their bye week which means head coach Pete Carroll and his staff has conducted their self-scout regarding what they need to improve. There is no question that the defensive-oriented Carroll made decisions regarding how to improve his defense that is last in the league by allowing 471.2 total YPG. The Seahawks will not have Jamal Adams tonight but they should still play better on that side of the football — even if it means that they do not “Let Russ Cook” as much because they need to run the ball more to protect their defense by keeping them off the field. The fewer plays a defensive player has to make, the fresher he will be later in the game — that is what the coaches say. Seattle has allowed at least 415 yards in all five of their games this season — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. The Seahawks have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games. The 27 points that Seattle scored last week were the fewest they have put up on the scoreboard all season. The Seahawks have played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in three straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in four straight contests. Seattle goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored. The Seahawks have also played 4 straight games Under the Total in October. Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Cardinals have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Arizona has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after playing on Monday Night Football. The Cardinals will take a page out of the Vikings’ playbook to run the football to keep Wilson off the field. Seattle was on offense for just 20:32 minutes against Minnesota with the Vikings running the ball 40 times for 201 yards. QB Kyler Murray may get the headlines but Arizona is averaging 30 rushing attempts per game for 161 rushing YPG. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Seahawks’ last 5 games after they allowed at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. This commitment to keeping the running game going has helped the Cardinals rank second in the league by allowing 18.7 PPG. Arizona returns home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Cardinals have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow NFC foes.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played did not see more than 40 combined points scored in their two divisional meetings last season — and the last 5 clashes in Arizona have all finished Under the Total. 25* NFC West Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (467) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (468). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (959) and the Tampa Bay Rays (960) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Tyler Glasnow in Game Five of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (51-27) evened this series at 2-2 last night with their comeback 8-7 victory in the bottom of the ninth inning against the Dodgers. Los Angeles (54-22) has lost two of their last three games. This game will be played on a neutral field in Globe Life Park in Arlington, Texas. The Rays are the designated home team.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a blown save — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss. Los Angeles has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last contest. They send out Kershaw who was dominant in his last start in Game One of the World Series where he allowed only one run in 6 innings of work. Yet the Dodgers have played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total with Kershaw following up a Quality Start where he did not allow more than one earned run. Tampa Bay has played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total in Interleague play against left-handed starting pitchers. The Rays have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Additionally, Tampa Bay has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Glasnow who struggled in Game One by allowing six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. The right-hander has a 6.08 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in 23 2/3 innings of work in this postseason. The Rays have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total with Glasnow pitching after a victory.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers are averaging 5.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .281 batting average along with a .358 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .891. Los Angeles has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. 10* MLB Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (959) and the Tampa Bay Rays (960) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Tyler Glasnow. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (471) and the Denver Broncos (472). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (5-1) returns to action after their 26-17 win at Buffalo on Monday as a 5.5-point favorite. Denver (2-3) look to build off their 18-12 upset win at New England last Sunday as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chiefs flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Bills to just 206 total yards. Kansas City is allowing only 21.2 PPG this season. Offensive coordinator has his offense running the ball a bit more as they are averaging 30 rushing attempts per game while averaging 140 rushing YPG. This is helping to keep opposing offenses off the field as they are averaging 31:22 minutes per game. The Chiefs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Kansas City stays on the road where they have played 6 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total when favored. And in their last 9 games against AFC West rivals, the Chiefs have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Denver held the Patriots to just 288 total yards last week. The Broncos have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Denver returns home where they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 21 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Under is 18-8-1 in the Broncos’ last 27 games as an underdog — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total as the dog. The Denver offense behind QB Drew Lock is averaging only 305.2 total YPG which is resulting in just 20.0 PPG. They will want to run the ball plenty to burn time off the clock to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. This approach should ensure a lower-scoring game as the Broncos have played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 5-2-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams when playing in Denver. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (471) and the Denver Broncos (472). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Leicester City (200081) and Arsenal (200082). THE SITUATION: Leicester City (W3-D0-L2) has lost two EPL matches in a row after their 1-0 loss at home to Aston Villa last Sunday. Arsenal (W3-D0-L2) looks to rebound from their 1-0 loss at Manchester City last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: I waited for confirmation of the Leicester City lineup that was released an hour before game time after being burned last week when we took the Foxes without realizing that their top scorer, Jamie Vardy, would miss the game with an injury. Those are always the dangers in the first week back in the English Premier League after the international break. Leicester City hoped to have Vardy in their Starting XI today — but while his active on their roster, he is starting on their bench. So, I expect Vardy to play around 30 minutes today. Without Vardy, the Foxes have struggled to score. Not only have they been shutout in two straight matches but they have managed only 0.57 expected goals (xG) per match in those two games. Even with Vardy, Leicester City was struggling to generate scoring chances so far this season — they are averaging just 0.92 xG in non-penalty shot chances. Three of their twelve goals this season have come via a penalty kick — and the league is not calling as many controversial handball penalties like they were last month. 47% of the Foxes expected goals this season have come from penalty kicks. Manager Brendan Rodgers is dealing with a host of injuries besides Vardy — most notably defensive midfielder Wilfred Ndidi and center back Caglar Soyuncu. Rodgers has his team playing more cautiously to compensate for their absence on the pitch. Leicester City is allowing only 1.26 expected goals (xGA) this season. Arsenal is playing pretty solid defense themselves with an xGA of 1.38 this season even after playing two of the most prolific attacks in the league on the road already in Liverpool and Man City. The Gunners added defensive midfielder Thomas Partey in the transfer window from the defensive juggernaut that is Atletico Madrid. Manager Mikel Arteta has his team playing a defensive-first style with their offense coming from counter-attacks. Arsenal has managed only 39 shots on goal in their five matches for a 7.8 average per game which is third-lowest in the EPL. The Gunners are averaging only 1.28 xG per game.

FINAL TAKE: Arsenal’s approach has neutralized the activity and effectiveness of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang who has managed only six shots all season after scoring 22 goals last season. This shapes up to be a low-scoring affair. 25* EPL Sunday Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between Leicester City (200081) and Arsenal (200082). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (463) and the New York Jets (464). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (4-2) ha lost two straight games after their 26-17 loss to Kansas City on Monday as a 5.5-point underdog. New York (0-6) remained winless on the season last Sunday with their listless 24-0 loss at Miami as a 10-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bills have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Buffalo offense managed only 206 yards against the Chiefs on Monday. The Josh Allen for Most Valuable Player talk has completely ceased after the Bills have scored only 21.0 PPG over the last three weeks while averaging just 304.0 total YPG. Allen completed just 14 of 27 passes on Monday for 122 yards. Buffalo has played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not passing for at least 150 yards in their last contests. The Bills’ defense surrendered 466 yards to Kansas City as well — but they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Buffalo goes on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, the Bills have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and they have played 6 straight games away from home Under the Total with the total in that 42.5 to 49 range. Playing the Jets may be just what the proverbial doctor ordered as their injury-plagued offense is scoring just 12.5 PPG while averaging 276.7 total YPG. New York has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 21 points. Joe Flacco was the quarterback last week in getting a shutout — and Sam Darnold is probable to play this afternoon. But with running back Le’ Veon Bell traded to Kansas City, he simply lacks supporting talent at the skill positions. The Jets have played 10 of their last 16 home games Under the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. New York has also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total against fellow AFC East foes.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the September 13th meeting between these two teams which the Bills won by a 27-17 score. The Jets have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* AFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (463) and the New York Jets (464). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (957) and the Tampa Bay Rays (958) in Game Four of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (54-21) took a 2-1 lead in this series last night with their 6-2 victory over the Rays. Tampa Bay (50-27) has lost five of their last seven games. This game is being played on a neutral field at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Rays are the designated home team.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against an opponent who allowed at least five runs in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total priced as the favorite at least at -150. They give the ball to Urias who was 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in eleven regular-season appearances which included ten starts. The left-hander was not as effective on the road where his ERA rose to a 4.67 mark along with a 1.33 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .257 in four starts as compared to his 2.63 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and .200 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home at Dodgers Stadium. Urias has been outstanding in this postseason — but I remain wary of his deeper sabermetrics with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.88 and 5.06 from his peripheral numbers in the regular season. Urias has a 0.56 ERA in 16 innings in these playoffs but his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.34 and 3.80 moving forward based only on his peripheral numbers in this postseason. Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or higher. The Rays have also played 8 of their last 9 games in Interleague play Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Tampa Bay left only two runners on base yesterday — but they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing no more than three runners on base in their last game. The Rays have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They counter with Yarbrough who was 1-4 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.19 in 55 2/3 innings of regular-season work. His SIERA and xFIP during that time projected an ERA of 4.44 and 4.32 respectively. The lefty has a nice 3.37 ERA in 10 2/3 innings in these playoffs — but I have had the Over circled for this Game Four because of his SIERA and xFIP for those 10 2/3 innings project his ERA to blow up to a 5.32 and 6.26 level respectively moving forward.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total with Urias making the start as a favorite priced at -110 or higher. 25* Major League Baseball Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (957) and the Tampa Bay Rays (958). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Real Madrid (201885) and Barcelona (201886). THE SITUATION: Real Madrid (W3-D1-L1) enters this match coming off a 1-0 loss to Cadiz last Saturday in their most recent La Liga match. Barcelona (W2-D1-L1) looks to rebound from a 1-0 loss to Getafe last Saturday in their last La Liga contest.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Both of these Spanish giants limp into the first incarnation of El Clasico for the 2020-21 campaign. Real Madrid was stunned to lose to Cadiz at home last week against a newly promoted side to La Liga. Los Blancos followed that up on Wednesday with a shocking 3-2 loss to Shaktar Donetsk at home in Champions League play. What’s up? Manager Zinedine Zidane’s side is not working very hard — and they appear jaded and a bit lackadaisical after using Project Restart over the summer to win the 2019-20 La Liga campaign. Many elite teams in Europe have struggled with their intensity with the return to league play this fall. Real Madrid is struggling to score. They have scored only six goals in their last five league matches. The ever-disappointing Eden Hazard is dealing with a leg injury that has kept him off the pitch. Benzema and Toni Kroos are out of form. This problem on offense goes deeper than this season. Over their last fourteen matches, Los Blancos have eight single-goal wins with a nil-nil draw and a single-goal defeat. They have only had three victories over that span by two goals. But Zidane’s group is still playing outstanding defense. They allowed just 1.04 expected goals in their winning 2019-20 La Liga campaign — and they are close to that level so far this season with their 1.10 expected goals allowed (xGA) mark. They did not have their rock on their defensive backline for the midweek Champions League match in Sergio Ramos who should be fit to play in this crucial rivalry game. Barcelona has embraced a youth movement under first-year manager Ronaldo Koeman. The Dutch coach brings a defensive-approach to Camp Nou — the Blaugranas have an outstanding 1.03 xGA in league play so far this season. But Barca is generating only 0.90 xG in their last three matches. Lionel Messi is not in form after wanting to exit the team in the offseason. Messi has not scored in his last five matches against Real Madrid. This team was outmuscled by Getafe last weekend in a match where they struggled to find scoring opportunities — they managed a mere 0.92 xG.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played to a nil-nil draw in the match at Camp Nou last season. Real Madrid won the rematch by a 2-0 score at home later in the season — but that was another low-scoring match. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* La Liga Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Real Madrid (201885) and Barcelona (201886). Best of luck for us — Frank.

PLEASE NOTE: This play is for Tulsa-South Florida Under (I incorrectly loaded that Report for this Louisiana-UAB Under which was my Free Play here at Sportscapping). I apologize for the error and confusion -- Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (307) and the South Florida Bulls (308). THE SITUATION: Tulsa (1-1) takes the field again for the first time in 20 days after their 34-26 upset win at Central Florida as a 20.5-point underdog on October 3rd. South Florida (1-4) has lost four games in a row with their 39-37 loss at Temple last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. Tulsa did surrender 330 passing yards in that game along with 455 total yards to the Knights — but they have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after giving up at least 280 passing yards in their last contest. Now they stay on the road where they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total. The Golden Hurricanes have an improved defense this season. They have are allowing just 21.0 PPG this year along with 369.5 total YPG which is about 25 YPG below last year’s season average after losing a low scoring game to begin their season at Oklahoma State by a 16-7 score. Tulsa’s first two games have finished Under the Total — and they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders. And in their last 12 games played in October, the Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of these games Under the Total. South Florida has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss to an American Athletic Conference rival. They also have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 37 points in their last game. And while the Bulls have lost their last three games to American Athletic Conference rivals, they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after losing at least two straight games against conference foes. They return where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games. South Florida is struggling to score points this season as they are averaging just 19.0 PPG while averaging only 329.6 total YPG behind redshirt sophomore QB Jordan McCloud. The Bulls have played 7 straight games Under the Total as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points.

FINAL TAKE: Tulsa is scoring only 20.5 PPG themselves which is the tenth lowest of all teams that started play this season. The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in October. 10* CFB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (307) and the South Florida Bulls (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (307) and the South Florida Bulls (308). THE SITUATION: Tulsa (1-1) takes the field again for the first time in 20 days after their 34-26 upset win at Central Florida as a 20.5-point underdog on October 3rd. South Florida (1-4) has lost four games in a row with their 39-37 loss at Temple last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. Tulsa did surrender 330 passing yards in that game along with 455 total yards to the Knights — but they have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after giving up at least 280 passing yards in their last contest. Now they stay on the road where they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total. The Golden Hurricanes have an improved defense this season. They have are allowing just 21.0 PPG this year along with 369.5 total YPG which is about 25 YPG below last year’s season average after losing a low scoring game to begin their season at Oklahoma State by a 16-7 score. Tulsa’s first two games have finished Under the Total — and they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders. And in their last 12 games played in October, the Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of these games Under the Total. South Florida has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss to an American Athletic Conference rival. They also have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 37 points in their last game. And while the Bulls have lost their last three games to American Athletic Conference rivals, they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after losing at least two straight games against conference foes. They return where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games. South Florida is struggling to score points this season as they are averaging just 19.0 PPG while averaging only 329.6 total YPG behind redshirt sophomore QB Jordan McCloud. The Bulls have played 7 straight games Under the Total as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points.

FINAL TAKE: Tulsa is scoring only 20.5 PPG themselves which is the tenth lowest of all teams that started play this season. The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in October. 10* CFB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (307) and the South Florida Bulls (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Leeds United (200085) and Aston Villa (200086). THE SITUATION: Leeds United (W2-D1-L2) enters this match looking to rebound from their 1-0 loss at home to Wolverhampton on Monday in English Premier League action. Aston Villa (W4-D0-L0) remains the only EPL team with a perfect record with their 1-0 win at Leicester City last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Villans were one of the worst defensive teams in the EPL for much of last season — but manager Dean Smith made a tactical change after the March shutdown of action. When Aston Villa returned to play for Project Restart, they played less aggressively with a fourth defender in their backline. Since that time through last week, the Villans are holding their opponents to just 6.2 shots in the box per game along with only 1.2 Big Chances per game. Those are remarkable improvements when compared to the 12.2 shots per box and 3.1 Big Chances per game they allowed last season before the shutdown. Aston Villa has allowed only two goals this season — and the 3.71 expected goals allowed (xGA) from the deeper analytics is the best defensive mark in the league. The Villans have also scored 12 goals this season — but the metrics suggest they are overachieving since their expected goals (xG) mark drops to 6.79 xG. Seven of Aston Villa’s 12 goals came from their 7-2 blowout win over Liverpool which was very impressive — but the Reds also took their foot off the pedal in that embarrassing loss. In their 1-0 victory over Leicester City, they only managed 0.92 xG. The Villans have also benefited from playing a Fulham team that is perhaps the worst defensive team in the league — three of their goals come from that match. Leeds United held Wolverhampton to just 0.48 xG in their 1-0 loss to begin the week. Manager Marcelo Bielsa has his team play an aggressive style where the entire midfield joins the forwards in the times they go on the counter-attack. But after wild 4-3 matches against Liverpool and Fulham which they split, Bielsa has had his team be more cautious when embracing their counter-attack. In the Whites last three matches, only four combined goals have been scored with Leeds scoring twice and conceding twice. Two of these matches ended in a clean sheet including the Whites 1-0 victory over Sheffield United. With defensive midfielder Kalvin Phillips out for this match, look for Leeds to be even more judicious for when they decide to bring the house in their counter-attacks.

FINAL TAKE: Aston Villa remains a defense-first side under Smith. This match should follow the recent trends for both teams to be a lower-scoring game. 25* EPL Friday Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Leeds United (200085) and Aston Villa (200086). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (303) and the Philadelphia Eagles (304). THE SITUATION: New York (1-5) snapped their five-game losing streak on Sunday with their 20-19 win over Washington as a 2-point favorite. Philadelphia (1-4-1) has lost two games in a row with their 30-28 loss at home to Baltimore as a 10.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Giants have played a decisive 31 of their last 42 games Under the Total after a narrow win by three points or less — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by no more than a field goal against an NFC East rival. Additionally, New York has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games away from home Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread. The Giants are struggling to score points with running back Saquon Barkley out the season with his torn ACL. New York is scoring just 16.8 PPG while averaging a mere 275.3 total YPG. The Giants leading rusher is QB Daniel Jones — they are 30th in the league by averaging 87.8 rushing YPG. They did pick up Devonta Freeman to be their lead back but he is simply not a threat — his longest carry has gone for only 14 yards. Opposing defenses can lay off the run and use a linebacker to defend against potential passes. But the Giants’ defense has been playing pretty good — they are holding their home hosts to just 315.3 total YPG this season. New York has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Eagles have played two straight Overs where at least 58 combined points were scored. But Philadelphia has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 28 of their last 42 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Philly offense is riddled with injuries. They will be without running back Miles Sanders for a few weeks with his knee injury which means their lead back tonight will be the 5’7 Boston Scott who has rushed for only 67 yards on 21 carries. QB Carson Wentz is without a number of his best targets in the passing game. Wide receiver Alshon Jeffrey and tight end Dallas Goedert are out for tonight. Star tight end Zach Ertz has yet to be ruled out but he suffered an ankle injury that the doctors think will keep him on the shelf for weeks. Wide receiver DeSean Jackson plans to take the field tonight after missing the last three games but it remains to be seen how effective the 33-year old can be coming off a hamstring injury that may impact his speed. The Eagles offensive line is even in worse shape. Starters Brandon Brooks, Andre Dillard, and Isaac Seumaol are all out. The team brought back Jason Peters after Dillard suffered his season-ending biceps injury — and he is also on the Injured Reserve. Tackle Lane Johnson will take the field despite his ankle injury but rookie backup Jack Driscoll is out tonight with an ankle. Wentz has been sacked 25 times this season — and being hurried has contributed to his nine interceptions. The Giants have a good pass rush that ranks 10th in the legacy with 15 sacks. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Totals at home laying 3.5 to 7 points. The Eagles have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing in Philadelphia. 25* NFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (303) and the Philadelphia Eagles (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (953) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (954) listing both starting pitchers Blake Snell and Tony Gonsolin in Game Two of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (53-20) won the opening game of the World Series last night by an 8-3 score. Tampa Bay (49-26) has now won four of their last five games. The World Series will be played on a neutral field at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Dodgers are the designated home team for Game One.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Los Angeles will send Gonsolin to the hill instead of Walker Buehler who was the starter in Game Six of the NLCS on Saturday. This allows Buehler to pitch on five days of rest rather than three while keeping him in line to make the start in a potential Game Seven. Gonsolin takes the hill with his 2-2 record with a 2.31 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in eight starts (nine games) in the regular season. But the sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.68 and 3.80 moving forward. Gonsolin’s postseason has seen his numbers decline as he has a 9.95 ERA with a 1.74 WHIP in 6 1/3 innings of work. The Dodgers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the playoffs as the favorite. The Over is also 6-2-3 in Los Angeles’ last 12 games in Interleague play. Tampa Bay has played 33 of their last 48 games Over the Total after allowing at least 8 runs in their last game. The Rays have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total in Interleague play against teams with a winning record. They counter with Snell who was 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in eleven starts in the regular season. The left-hander did see his ERA rise to a 3.72 mark in his six starts away from home in the regular season. In three playoff starts, Snell has a 4.50 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP. Tampa Bay has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total with Snell pitching with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers are scoring 6.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .276 batting average over that span along with a .369 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .912. 10* MLB Wednesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (953) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (954) listing both starting pitchers Blake Snell and Tony Gonsolin. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:11 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (951) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (952) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Clayton Kershaw in Game One of the World Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (49-25) reached the World Series on Saturday with their 4-2 win over the Houston Astros in Game Seven of the ALCS. Los Angeles (52-20) joined them a day later on Sunday by defeating the Atlanta Braves in Game Seven of that series by a 4-3 score. The World Series will be played on a neutral field at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Dodgers are the designated home team for Game One.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after an off day — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against an opponent that did not allow more than two runs in their last game. The Over is also 6-2-2 in the last 10 opening games to a new series. The Dodgers’ bullpen pitched 8 innings on Sunday with Dustin May completing only 1 inning of work — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen pitched at least 7 innings. They give the ball to Kershaw who was 6-2 in ten regular-season starts with a 2.16 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP. The left-hander has been dealing with back spasms that not only canceled his planned Game Two start in the NLCS but also kept him from starting Game Seven on Sunday. His 5.72 ERA along with a 1.27 WHIP in his last two starts in these playoffs is concerning. His career 4.31 ERA in 177 1/3 innings of work in the postseason also raises alarms. Los Angeles has played 17 of their last 23 games on the road Over the Total with Kershaw pitching after a victory. The Dodgers have also played 23 of their last 35 games Over the Total with Kershaw pitching at night. Kershaw faces a Rays team that has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total in interleague play against left-handed starting pitchers. Tampa Bay has also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. The Rays have also played 9 of their last 12 games in Interleague play Over the Total again teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Glasnow who was 5-1 in eleven regular-season starts with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Glasnow has pitched 19 1/3 innings in four postseason starts in these playoffs. He has a 4.66 ERA in these games. The Rays have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers are scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .254 batting average along with a .339 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .844 over that span. 10* MLB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (951) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (952) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Clayton Kershaw. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Cardinals (275) and the Dallas Cowboys (276). THE SITUATION: Arizona (3-2) enters this game coming off a 30-10 win in New York against the Jets as a 7-point favorite last Sunday. Dallas (2-3) comes off a 37-34 win over New York Giants as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have to adjust to running their offense without Dak Prescott who suffered a season-ending ankle injury last week. Andy Dalton is capable at quarterback but he does have Prescott’s mobility. Dallas also does not want Dalton throwing the ball close to 50 times a game as what Prescott was about averaging. The Cowboys are going to have to run the football to take the pressure off Dalton — and that will also help their defense by keeping them relatively fresh since they will be on the field for fewer plays. Dallas has scored at least 31 points in each of their last four games — and they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in four straight games. The Cowboys have given up 20 and 31 points in their last two games — and they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 17 points in the first half in two straight games. And while Dallas has averaged 6.48 Yards-Per-Play in four straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in four straight contests. The Cowboys have lost the turnover battle in four straight games as well — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after having at least a -1 net turnover margin in four straight games. Dallas did hold the Giants to just 89 rushing yards last week — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Arizona has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while Kyler Murray completed 27 of 37 passes for 380 yards against the Jets, the Cardinals have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Arizona stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games away from home Under the Total with the total set at 45.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in October. Arizona games have seen an average of 46 combined points per game so far this season — expect the final score of this game to be closer to that mark than the 68.6 combined points per game that had been scored in Dallas’ games. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Cardinals (275) and the Dallas Cowboys (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (277) and the Buffalo Bills (278). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (4-1) looks to rebound from their 40-33 upset loss at home to Las Vegas as an 11-point favorite last Sunday. Buffalo (4-1) comes off a 42-16 upset loss at Tennessee on Tuesday where they were 3-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chiefs played their worst defensive game of the season against the Raiders who popped the for 490 yards of offense against them. This is an improving defense under defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo whose unit is allowing just 22.0 PPG. Kansas City has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Chiefs go back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road — and they have 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And while Patrick Mahomes passed for 340 yards against the Raiders’ defense, Kansas City has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game where they passed for at least 300 yards. Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Bills did hold the Titans to just 334 yards in an improved effort from their defense — but they allowed Tennessee to score touchdowns on all six of their Red Zone trips. Yet this remains a team that has played 8 of their last 9 games as an underdog Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas City will be without wide receiver Sammie Watkins who is out with a hamstring injury — and that takes away an important deep threat for Mahomes. The Bills will look to back to basics with their run game tonight to limit Mahomes’ possessions. The Chiefs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on Monday Night Football. 10* NFL Kansas City-Buffalo Fox-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (277) and the Buffalo Bills (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (273) and the San Francisco 49ers (274). THE SITUATION:  Los Angeles (4-1) has won two straight games with their 30-10 win at Washington as a 7-point favorite last Sunday. San Francisco (2-3) was upset for the second straight week last Sunday with their 43-17 shellacking at the hands of Miami as an 8.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rams have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by double-digits. The Los Angeles defense flexed their muscles by sacking Football Team quarterbacks seven times while holding them to just 108 total yards of offense. The Rams limited Washington to only 38 rushing yards in that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing at least 90 rushing yards in their last game. They also have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 250 passing yards in their last contest. Now Los Angeles goes back on the road where they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total. They also have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total in games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. And in their last 5 games in October, the game finished Under the Total all 5 times. San Francisco has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points at home. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. The 49ers are also simply ravaged with injuries especially on defense where Richard Sherman, Joey Bosa, and Dee Ford are on IR while linebacker Kwon Alexander is out with an ankle. Yet despite all this attrition, San Francisco is fifth in the NFL by allowing only 323.0 YPG — and they are third in the league by allowing only 215.6 passing YPG and only six touchdown passes. They allowed 350 passing yards last week — but the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The 49ers have also played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played five of their last six games Under the Total on the road when laying the points. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (273) and the San Francisco 49ers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910) in Game Seven of the National League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (51-20) forced a climactic seventh game in the NLCS last night with their 3-1 victory over the Braves. Atlanta (43-28) has lost the last two games in this series. The NLCS is being played in Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas with the Dodgers the designated home team batting last.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves give the ball to Anderson who was 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in six regular-season starts. He has pitched 15 2/3 innings of scoreless innings in his three postseason starts which are the sixth most in MLB history for a starting pitcher making his debut in the playoffs. We are approaching Christy Mathewson territory here — and I expect this streak to end tonight. The Dodgers now have a book on Anderson from which to develop a strategy. Anderson also showed some vulnerabilities by walking five batters in that start. Furthermore, the deeper sabermetrics show some red flags with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.82 and 3.45 moving forward from his regular-season peripheral numbers. He will be supported by a bullpen that has a 6.68 ERA with a 1.52 WHIP in their last seven games. The Braves pen did not allow a run last night — but they have then played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a game where they did not allow an earned run. Atlanta has not committed an error in four straight games either — but they have then played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after not committing an error in two straight games. Additionally, the Braves have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 8 to 8.5 range. Los Angeles has now played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the playoffs as the favorite. They counter with May who will be pitching on just one day of rest after pitching on Friday — so he will not pitch more than an inning or two. The right-hander had a 2.57 ERA in the regular season — but his SIERA and xFIP project his ERA to be 4.29 and 3.98 respectively moving forward. Tony Gonsolin and Julio Urias will likely next be up as left-handers. Gonsolin had a 2.31 ERA during the regular season but I am wary of his SIERA and xFIP of 3.68 and 3.80. Urias had a 3.27 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP in the regular season but those numbers rose to a 4.67 and 1.33 when pitching away from Dodgers Stadium. Urias also has a SIERA of 4.88 and an xFIP of 5.06. The LA bullpen has a 4.54 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP over their last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers have played 4 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Los Angeles is also scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .263 batting average, .355 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .844. 25* MLB National League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (281) and the New England Patriots (282). THE SITUATION: Denver (1-3) gets back on the field after their 37-28 upset win at New York against the Jets on October 1st as a 1-point favorite. New England (2-2) looks to rebound from their 26-10 loss at Kansas City in their last game on October 5th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 13-3-1 in the Broncos’ last 17 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after a point spread victory. The Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Look for the Denver offense to be rusty with the 17 days between games. The Broncos will also have QB Drew Lock under center but he is not 100% with his shoulder injury. Lock will not have two important weapons to help him with tight end Noah Fant out with an injury and running back not making the trip to New England given an illness. Those are some tough losses for an offense that is scoring only 20.5 PPG along with jut 306.8 total YPG. New England has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Patriots have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Patriots have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. New England does get Cam Newton back under center but this offense might also be out-of-synch having not played in thirteen days (longer without Newton) and them still dealing their facilities being closed intermittently due to new COVID cases.

FINAL TAKE: The Patriots are good defense — they limited the Chiefs offense to just 323 yards of offense and just 19 points with Kansas City’s final touchdown coming from an interception return. New England has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Patriots have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (281) and the New England Patriots (282). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:38 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (905) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (906) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Max Fried in Game Six of the National League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (50-20) extended the NLCS to a sixth game last night with their 7-3 victory over the Braves. Atlanta (43-27) has lost two of their last three games. The NLCS is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Dodgers will be the designated home team for Game Six.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss by at least four runs. Atlanta has also played 34 of their last 54 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range — and this includes them playing eleven of these last fifteen situations Over the Total. The Over is also 16-5-1 in the Braves’ last 22 games when they are the underdog. They give the ball to Fried who was 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. He allowed only one earned run in Game One of this series on Monday — but Atlanta has then played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total when Fried is pitching after a game where did not allow more than one earned run. The Braves have also played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total with Fried on the hill with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Dodgers’ bullpen logged in seven innings of work last night as well — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen pitched at least seven innings. Furthermore, Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when favored. They counter with Buehler who had a 1-0 record with a 3.44 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in eight regular-season starts. Buehler has not allowed more than one earned run in two straight starts — but the Dodgers have then played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after not allowing more than one earned run in two straight starts.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has played 4 straight playoff games Over the Total when trailing in the series. 10* MLB Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (905) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (906) versus the Atlanta Braves (905) listing both starting pitchers Walker Buehler and Max Fried. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (903) and the Atlanta Braves (904) listing both starting pitchers Dustin May and A.J. Minter in Game Five of the National League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (43-26) took a 3-1 lead in this series last night with their 10-2 victory over the Dodgers. Los Angeles (49-20) looks to stave off elimination tonight. This game is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas with the Braves the designated home team.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 19-8-5 in Atlanta’s last 32 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after scoring at least eight runs in their last contest. The Braves have also played 5 straight games Over the Total with the number set in the 9 to 10.5 range. And in their last 21 games as an underdog, the Over is 15-5-1 for Atlanta. They give the ball to Minter to serve as their opener. He had a 1-1 record with a 0.83 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 21 2/3 innings during the regular season. But the sabermetrics are not encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.74 moving forward. He will be supported by a Braves’ bullpen that the Dodgers have started getting to — they have a 4.70 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP in their last seven games. Los Angeles is scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .257 batting average along with a .363 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .811 during that span. The Over is 7-2-2 in the Dodgers’ last 11 games after a loss. Additionally, Los Angeles ha played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two runs in their last game. The Dodgers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. They counter with May who was 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in ten starts (twelve games) in the regular season. His SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.29 and 3.98 moving forward. He will face a hot-hitting Braves team that is scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .267 batting average along with a .346 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .848. The LA bullpen has also been saddled with a 4.83 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP in their last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: The Dodgers have played 55 of their last 89 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss where they were favored by at least a -150 price on the road. 10* MLB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (903) and the Atlanta Braves (904) listing both starting pitchers Dustin May and A.J. Minter. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (901) and the Tampa Bay Rays (902) listing both starting pitchers Framber Valdez and Blake Snell in Game Six of the American League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Houston (36-35) looks to build off the momentum of their 4-3 victory over the Rays last night. Tampa Bay (48-24) still holds a 3-2 lead in this series. This series is being played in San Diego’s Petco Park with the Rays being the designated home team for Game Six.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 7-2-1 in the Astros’ last 10 games after a win. And while Houston’ bullpen blew the save last night after allowing a tying run in the top of the 8th inning, they have then played 32 of their last 47 games Under the Total after a blown save. The Astros have not scored more than four runs in five straight games — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not scoring more than four runs in their last game. They also have played 4 straight games Under the Total with the Total set at 7 to 8.5. They give the ball to Valdez pitching on full rest after allowing two runs in 6 innings of work in Game One of this series on Sunday. The left-hander had a 5-3 record with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in the regular season. The deeper sabermetrics validate those strong frontline numbers with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.61 and 3.16 moving forward. The Astros have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Valdez pitching with the Total set at 7 to 8.5 — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with Valdez pitching during day games. He faces a slumping Rays lineup leaving hordes of runners on base. Tampa Bay is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .174 batting average along with a .247 batting average and an OPS of .573 during that span. The Rays have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. They are also hitting just .219 with a .298 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .703 against left-handed pitchers — and they have played 37 of their last 58 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. The Under is 14-5-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 20 games after a loss — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss by two runs or less. The Rays are hitting only .175 over their last five games — and they have then played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after not hitting better than .225 in their last five games. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has also played 5 straight games Under the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They counter with Snell who allowed one run in 5 innings in Game One of this series on Sunday. The left-hander had a 4-2 record with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. The Rays have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total with Snell pitching as a favorite priced in the -125 to -175 range. He will be supported by a bullpen that has a 2.38 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP in their last seven games. He faces an Astros team that has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Tampa Bay has played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a one-run loss. 25* MLB American League Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (901) and the Tampa Bay Rays (902) listing both starting pitchers Framber Valdez and Blake Snell. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (971) and the Houston Astros (972) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Zack Greinke in Game Four of the American League Championship Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (48-22) took a 3-0 lead in the ALCS with their 5-2 victory over the Astros yesterday. Houston (34-35) has lost four of their last five games. This series is being played on a neutral field at Petco Park in San Diego.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rays have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. Tampa Bay has also played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total when favored — and the Under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games in the playoffs when favored in the game. The Rays have also played 4 straight games Under the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. Tampa Bay is getting great efforts out of their bullpen that has a 2.18 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP over the last seven days. They give the ball to Glasnow who is 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. The right-hander was more effective on the road with his 3.45 ERA along with a 1.09 WHIP and .190 opponent’s batting average in six road starts. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish on Glasnow with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.04 and 2.75 moving forward from his deeper peripherals. Glasnow has been sharp in the postseason. He has an ERA of 4.05 given one mediocre outing — but his WHIP is 1.13 in 13 1/3 playoff innings while striking out 20 batters and walking only six. His last outing was on October 9th when he pitched 2 1/3 scoreless innings in Game Five of the ALDS against the New York Yankees on just two days of rest. Houston has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss — and the Under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 11-5-2 in the Astros’ last eighteen games against right-handed starting pitchers. Furthermore, Houston has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog. They counter with Greinke who was 3-3 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in twelve regular-season starts. He last pitched last Thursday when he pitched 4 2/3 innings against Oakland — and the Astros have played 8 straight games Under the Total with Greinke pitching on five or six days of rest. They have also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total with Greinke on the mound looking to end a losing streak.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has played 4 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. 10* MLB Wednesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (971) and the Houston Astros (972) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Zack Greinke. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (461) and the Tennessee Titans (462). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (4-0) remained unbeaten last week with their 30-23 win at Las Vegas as a 3-point favorite on October 4th. Tennessee (3-0) finally takes the field again after last playing on September 27th where they defeated the Vikings in Minnesota by a 31-30 score as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bills have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a point spread win. Additionally, while Buffalo allowed 383 yards to the Raiders in their last game, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Bills stay on the road where the Under is 20-8-1 in their last 29 games away from home. The Under is also 9-3-1 in Buffalo’s last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Tennessee defeated the Vikings in their last game despite allowing 464 yards in that game. The Titans have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Tennessee allowed 480 total yards in their previous game against Jacksonville — but head coach Mike Vrabel should get his defense to play better tonight. Not only have the Titans played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games but they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in two straight contests. I like the extended time that Vrabel and his staff have had to devise a scheme-specific against the Bills’ QB Josh Allen. But the Titans have issues on offense. While wide receiver A.J. Brown is expected to play despite his injured knee, quarterback Ryan Tannehill will be without his other two starting wide receivers in Corey Davis and Adam Humphries who are both on the COVID list. The seventeen days since their last game along with just two practices since the Tennessee facilities opened up again on Saturday could hurt the efficiency of the Titans offense as they look to get back in-synch.

FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in October while the Under is 5-2-1 in Buffalo’s last 8 games in October. 10* NFL Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (461) and the Tennessee Titans (462). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (477) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (478). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (1-3) has lost three straight games after their 38-31 loss at Tampa Bay as a 7.5-point underdog last Sunday. New Orleans (2-2) snapped a two-game losing streak last Sunday with their 35-29 victory in Detroit against the Lions as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chargers put up 31 points against a good Buccaneers defense despite only generating 324 total yards in that game. They have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at last 30 points in their last game. Led by rookie Justin Herbert, Los Angeles has generated at least 278 passing yards in three straight games — but they have then played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after passing for at least 275 yards in three straight games including playing five of these last six situations Under the Total. Herbert is lacking plenty of support in this game with offensive linemen Trai Turner and Bryan Bulaga along with jack-of-all-trades running back Austin Ekeler out for tonight. And while Tom Brady torched the Chargers’ secondary missing Delvin Ingram for 369 passing yards in that game, they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on Monday Night Football. New Orleans has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 35 points in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. And while the Saints raced out to a 28-14 halftime lead against the Lions, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. New Orleans returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Quarterback Drew Brees is also dealing with a banged-up offensive line with injuries to Andrus Peat and Ryan Ramczyk that leave them questionable for tonight. And while wide receiver Michael Thomas was questionable with the ankle that kept him out the previous two games, he was suspended for tonight’s game by the field after a physical altercation with a teammate.

FINAL TAKE: The Saints have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total in October while the Chargers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total in October games. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (477) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (475) and the Seattle Seahawks (476). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (1-3) won their first game of the season last Sunday with their 31-23 upset win at Houston as a 3.5-point underdog. Seattle (4-0) remains unbeaten this season after they defeated Miami on the road last week by a 31-23 score as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Quarterback Kirk Cousins has received his usual level of criticism during the losing streak — but he has led an offense that has scored 61 combined points over the last two games and that has reached the 30-point threshold in three of their four games this season. Justin Jefferson has emerged as a solid replacement for Stefon Diggs and a good complement to Adam Thielen — he has 11 receptions for 278 yards. Minnesota generated 410 yards last week — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Vikings have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total. The problem for this Minnesota team has been the collapse of their defense that really needed a normal preseason with exhibition games to address the departures from last season. The Vikings are allowing 31.3 PPG. Seattle has played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They have passed for at least 275 yards in all four of their games — after QB Russell Wilson completed 24 of his 34 passes last week of 360 yards — and the Seahawks have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a game where they passed for at least 250 yards. But the bigger concern is their defense that is allowing 476.8 total YPG. The Seahawks have allowed at least 312 passing yards in all four of their games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 275 passing yards in three straight games. Now Seattle returns home where the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Seahawks have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing in Seattle. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (475) and the Seattle Seahawks (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (961) and the Miami Heat (962) in Game Six of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Miami (58-35) staved off elimination on Friday with their 111-108 upset win over the Lakers as a 5.5-point underdog. Los Angeles (67-24) blew their first opportunity to hoist the championship trophy but they still own a 3-2 mark in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lakers lost Game Five despite making 46.3% of their shots which was their best shooting effort from the floor in the last three games. Los Angeles has played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after an upset loss. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 25 of their last 38 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Anthony Davis may not be 100% with the heel injury he suffered late on Game Four. If he cannot contribute the same level of offense as he has in this series, the Lakers’ reliable scoring weapons shrink. This will likely be the LeBron James Show tonight — and that means a slower pace as he looks to create his shot from isolation plays. The Lakers had been averaging 101.2 possessions per game with James on the court but that mark has dropped to just 94.8 possessions per game mark with James on the court in this series. Los Angeles has also outrebounded the Heat by seven boards in each of the last three games — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after outrebounding their last three opponents by at least five boards. Miami has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after being outrebounded by at least five boards in three straight games. The Heat nailed 14 of their 33 shots (42.4%) from behind the arc on Friday but regression back to their 36.2% mark from 3-point land in this series is likely for tonight. Miami has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when trailing in the series.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total. Expect another lower-scoring game. 20* NBA LA Lakers-Miami ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (961) and the Miami Heat (962). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (321) and the Georgia Bulldogs (322). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (2-0) enters this game with eight straight wins going back to last season with their 35-12 win over Missouri last Saturday as a 10-point favorite. Georgia (2-0) comes off their triumphant 27-6 victory over Auburn as a 7.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs flexed their defensive muscles last week by making their claim that they have the best defense in the nation. Georgia held the Tigers to just 216 yards of offense in that game. The Bulldogs have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Georgia has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs are holding their opponents to just 8.0 PPG along with only 248 YPG. Georgia did rush for 202 yards against the Auburn defense — but they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Georgia got a great quarterbacking effort from former walk-on Stetson Bennett who completed 17 of 28 passes for 240 yards. While the Bulldog Nation starts anointing him a Heisman Trophy candidate, I am not so sure that he does not take a step back this week with another week of game tape on him and now the clear starter after last week’s mystery regarding who head coach Kirby Smart would tap as his starter under center. Georgia stays at home where the Under is 29-9-2 in their last 41 games — and the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bulldogs have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total when favored. Tennessee has played 8 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Volunteers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Tennessee held the Tigers to just 344 yards last week in their victory (and that Mizzou offense is scoring at will on LSU this afternoon). The Vols are holding their opponents to just 19.5 PPG. Tennessee has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: The Volunteers rank just 71st of the 74 competing FBS teams in Success Rate on offense in blitz downs — and they are 44th in the nation in Big Plays and a daunting 72nd of 74 teams in opponent sack rate. They have scored only 26 combined points in their last three meetings against Georgia with quarterback Jarrett Gaurantano playing in all three of those games. He has been asked four times in those three games while averaging just 5.2 Yards-Per-Attempt. 10* CFB Tennessee-Georgia CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (321) and the Georgia Bulldogs (322). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (709) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (710) in Game Five of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (67-23) took a 3-1 lead in the NBA Finals on Tuesday with their 102-96 victory over the Heat. Miami (57-35) looks to keep their championship dreams alive in this must-win game for them. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Heat were able to get Bam Adebayo back on the court in Game Four where he played over 33 minutes. With the two days of rest since that game, Adebayo should be able to at least match that amount of time on the court tonight. As I argued for Game Two last Friday (our NBA Total of the Year), playing without Adebayo would have a significant impact on a higher-scoring game. The highest two scoring games in this series were Games Two and Three which Adebayo did not play — 238 and 219 combined points were scored in those two games. Adebayo’s return to the court leads to lower scoring games. For starters, he is Miami’s best interior defender. Anthony Davis can almost score at will if he is being defended by Meyers Leonard or Kelly Olynyk. But Leonard and Olynyk are both capable outside shooters that Adebayo. Head coach Erik Spoelstra has his team play at a faster pace when Adebayo is not on the court. In all, Adebayo’s presence on the court tonight means better defense for the Heat along with a slower pace and less 3-point shooting. Miami has been outrebounded by seven boards in each of the four games in this series. The Heat have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being outrebounded by at least five boards in three straight games. Miami has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least two days of rest. And in their last 6 playoff games when trailing in the series, the Heat have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Los Angeles has played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a victory by 6 points or less. Additionally, the Lakers have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread. Head coach Frank Vogel made a nice coaching adjustment on Tuesday by giving Anthony Davis the defensive assignment against Jimmy Butler. Not only does this make Butler’s job scoring at the rim more of a challenge but Davis was playing off Butler at the top of the key while seemingly daring him to take 3-pointers. Yet Butler only laughed three shots from downtown — missing all three attempts. Miami ended that game with a 42.7% field goal percentage which was tied for the lowest shooting mark in their last fourteen games. The Lakers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after outrebounding their opponent by at least 5 boards in three straight games.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* NBA Friday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (709) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be Over the Total in the game between the playing the New York Yankees (933) and the Tampa Bay Rays (934) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Tyler Glasnow in Game Five of their American League Divisional Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (44-22) looks to rebound from their 5-1 loss to the Yankees yesterday in Game Four of this series. New York (37-29) has won four of their last six games after their win on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral field at San Diego’s Petco Park with the Rays the designed home team batting last tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Yankees are crushing the baseball right now — they are averaging 6.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .272 batting average along with a .365 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .865 over that span. New York has played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They also have played 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not allowing more than one earned run in their last contest. And in their last 4 games with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range, the Yankees have played all 4 games Over the Total. They give the ball to Cole who will be making his first-ever career start on just three days of rest after he pitched Game One of this series. While Cole was 7-3 with a 2.84 ERA in the regular season, his ERA rose to a 3.67 mark in his six starts on the road. The sabermetrics also call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.21 and 3.38 respectively. He also has a 3.45 ERA in his 13 innings of postseason work this year. Nothing wrong with an ERA expectation in the mid-3s — but it certainly changes the betting dynamic when looking at his frontline numbers or evaluating him from his spectacular 2019 season with the Houston Astros. And while the Yankees’ bullpen has had to pitch at least five innings in the last three games in this series, they have then played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total when their bullpen has logged-in at least four innings in three straight games. Tampa Bay needed 6 1/3 inning from their bullpen yesterday — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a game where they pitched at least 6 innings. The Rays have also played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Glasnow who was 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in the regular season. He has a 4.91 ERA in his two playoff starts after allowing four runs on Tuesday in Game Two of this series. He is also pitching on just two days rest. Furthermore, the Rays have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total with Glasnow pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. The Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have still played 5 of their last 7 meetings Over the Total even after yesterday’s game. Expect a high scoring game. 10* MLB NY Yankees-Tampa Bay TBS-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the playing the New York Yankees (933) and the Tampa Bay Rays (934) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Tyler Glasnow. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (301) and the Chicago Bears (302). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (3-1) has won three straight games with their 38-31 win at home against the Los Angeles Chargers as a 7.5-point favorite. Chicago (3-1) lost their first game of the season on Sunday with their 19-11 loss at home to Indianapolis as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bears have played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Chicago has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after scoring less than 15 points in their last contest. Quarterback Nick Foles struggled as the starter in this game — the Bears offense managed only 269 total yards in that game. The Chicago rushing attack did not help the offense’s cause as they managed only 28 rushing yards on 16 carries for a meager 1.8 Yards-Per-Carry average. But the Bears defense did play well by limiting the Colts to only 289 total yards. Chicago is 7th in the league by allowing only 20.2 PPG. They stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bears have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record overall — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog. Tampa Bay has won three straight games — and this is a franchise that has played a decisive 56 of their last 87 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Injuries will likely slow down this team this week. Quarterback Tom Brady did not have his top four wide receivers available to practice on Tuesday. Chris Godwin and Justin Watson are now out for this game with Mike Evan a game-time decision and Scottie Miller likely to play despite being questionable. Tight end O.J. Howard was already lost for the season on Sunday with his Achilles’ injury. This leaves Brady without many weapons — and while he might have been able to manufacture offense with the players he knew very well back in his New England days, playing on a short week with a new cast of characters and a new offense presents a much different challenge. And while Brady has led the offense to average 30.0 PPG in their three-game winning streak, they have faced the Panthers, Broncos (without the injured Von Miller), and Chargers (without the injured Derwin James and Melvin Ingram) in those games. I expect the Bucs to lean heavily on their ground game with Ronald Jones leading the way along with their outstanding defense. Tampa Bay is 4th in the NFL by allowing only 312.0 total YPG — and they are 2nd in the league by holding their opponents to just 64.3 rushing YPG. The Buccaneers also have 14 sacks which are the 3rd most in the NFL — and they are 2nd in the league with eight takeaways. Tampa Bay has played 26 of their last 43 road games Under the Total when favored by up to 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: Head coach Bruce Arians has been an Over Machine in the league — especially during his time in Tampa Bay. But some of that credit/blame goes to Jameis Winston who was a turnover machine. Interestingly, in the seven games in Tampa Bay and Arizona has been the head coach for a Thursday night game, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. 10* NFL Tampa Bay-Chicago Fox-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (301) and the Chicago Bears (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (925) and the New York Yankees (926) listing both starting pitchers Ryan Thompson and Jordan Montgomery in Game Four of their American League Divisional Series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (44-21) took a 2-1 lead in this best-of-five series yesterday with their 8-4 victory in Game Three of this series. New York (36-29) has lost the last two games in this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rays have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win by at least four runs — and they have played 24 of their last 36 games after a game where they scored at least eight runs in their last game. Tampa Bay scored seven runs in their Game Two victory on Tuesday — and they have then played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total after scoring at least seven runs in two straight games. They turn to Thomson as their opener tonight who is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 26 1/3 innings of work this season — but he sees his ERA and WHIP skyrocket to an 8.49 and 1.80 marks with an opponent’s batting average of .340 in 11 2/3 innings away from home. Ryan Yarbrough will likely then be the bulk pitcher for the Rays in this game — he was 1-4 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 55 2/3 innings. The deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging for Yarbrough with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.44 and 4.37 respectively moving forward. He faces a Yankees team that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .270 batting average along with a .371 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .892 over that span. New York has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Yankees have now played five straight Overs — and not only have they then played 29 of their last 43 games away from home Over the Total after playing two straight Overs but they have also played 19 of their last 27 games on the road Over the Total after playing at least three straight games Over the Total. The Bronx Bombers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total when favored. They counter with Montgomery who is 2-5 with a 5.11 ERA and  1.30 WHIP in ten starts. But while the left-hander had a 3.71 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .238 in six starts at home, those numbers jump to a 7.27 ERA with a 1.62 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .303 in four road starts. New York has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Montgomery pitching when favored in the -125 to -175 price range.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay is also swinging hot bats right now — they are scoring 5.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .258 batting average along with a .328 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .787 in those games. 25* MLB AL East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (925) and the New York Yankees (926) listing both starting pitchers Ryan Thompson and Jordan Montgomery. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (917) and the Atlanta Braves (918) listing both starting pitchers Pablo Lopez and Ian Anderson in Game Two in the National League Divisional Series. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (38-25) has won three straight games after winning Game One of this series yesterday by a 9-5 score. Miami (33-30) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in the loss. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston with the Braves the technical home team batting last.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 12-4-4 in the Braves’ last 20 games after a victory — and the Over is 17-6-5 in their last 28 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Atlanta has also played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row. Additionally, the Braves have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total with the number set in the 8 to 8.5 range. And in their last 33 games as a favorite, the Over is 20-9-4. They give the ball to Anderson who is with 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in six starts. The deeper metrics are not as bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.82 and 3.45 moving forward. Miami has played 19 of their last 29 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by at least four runs. The Marlins have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least nine runs in their last game. Additionally, Miami has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. And in their last 7 second games to a new series, the Marlins have played 5 of these games Over the Total. The Miami bullpen surrendered four runs in the final three innings yesterday — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen allowed at least three earned runs in their last game. They counter with Lopez who was 6-4 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in eleven regular-season starts. But while the right-hander had a 2.56 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP in five starts at home, those numbers rose to a 4.91 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP in six starts on the road. He has not allowed more than two earned runs in his last three starts — but the Marlins have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when Lopez is pitching after not allowing more than two earned runs in his last two starts. He faces a hot-hitting Braves team that is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .272 batting average, .346 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .835. The Over is also 16-6-3 in Miami’s last 25 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta has seen the Over go 17-7-3 in their last 27 games against NL East opponents — and the Over is 21-10-2 in Miami’s last 33 games against NL East divisional rivals. 25* MLB Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (917) and the Atlanta Braves (918). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and Miami Heat (708) in Game Four of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Miami (57-34) looks to build off a 115-104 upset win over the Lakers on Sunday as a 9-point underdog. Los Angeles (66-23) still holds a 2-1 lead in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 28 of their last 41 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Miami has also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after pulling off an upset win. The Heat made 51.2% of their shots on Sunday after nailing 50.7% of their shots in Game Two of this series — and they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in two straight games. And while the last two games have this series have seen 219 and 238 combined points, Miami has played 21 of their last 33 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Despite shooting over 50% again, there is room for the Heat to replicate that feat again since Duncan Robinson and Tyler Herro combined to make only 5 of their 17 shots from behind the arc despite combining to shoot 38.9% from 3-point land in the regular season. The Heat were without the injured Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic on Sunday which made Butler’s effort even more spectacular. Dragic will probably not play in this series but Adebayo has been upgraded to questionable for tonight’s game with his neck injury. He wanted to play on Sunday but was not cleared by the Miami medical staff. Even if he does take the court, it remains questionable how effective he can be. I argued on Friday for the Over in Game Two (our NBA Total of the Year) that the injuries to Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic dramatically changed the tenor of this series: Miami was left without their best interior defender; their replacements were offensive players who were liabilities on defense; the Heat would resort to small-ball with a quicker pace and more 3-point shooting. Even if Adebayo plays tonight, I expect these factors to continue. Miami has also played 29 of their last 44 games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Los Angeles has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Lakers shot just 43% from the field which was their lowest field goal percentage in their last twelve games. LA should also score more points in transition in this game. After netting +6.1 points per 100 possession clip in transition in Game One and +1.1 points per 100 possession mark in transition in Game Two, LA had -1.4 points per 100 possession rating in Game Three. They had adequate transition scoring chances that represented 12.1% of their possessions on Sunday, but they only scored at 90.9 points per 100 possession rate. The Lakers entered this series averaging 23.3 points per game via transitions which was tops in the NBA playoffs with 18.5% of their possessions coming from transition.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when leading in playoff series. They had scored at least 114 points in their previous four games before only scoring 104 points on Sunday. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and Miami Heat (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (279) and the Green Bay Packers (280). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (0-3) will be playing with desperation tonight after losing their third straight game last Sunday by a 30-26 score despite being a 2.5-point favorite. Green Bay (3-0) is unbeaten so far this season after they upset New Orleans last Sunday night by a 37-30 score on the road as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Falcons defense is ravaged with injuries. The team is without Ricardo Allen, A.J. Terrell, Darqueze Dennard, and Keanu Neal. Atlanta’s pass defense is second-to-last in the NFL by allowing 350.3 passing YPG and the nine touchdown passes they have allowed are tied for last in the NFL. The Falcons have also allowed 15 passing plays of 20 or more yards which is tied for the second-most in the league. They allowed the Bears to gain 437 yards last week — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Atlanta allowed the Cowboys to gain 570 yards against them two weeks ago in their 40-39 loss in Dallas — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing their last two opponents to average at least 450 yards. The Falcons have also played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after giving up at least 30 points in their last contest. Atlanta is moving the ball on offense — they are scoring 30.0 PPG while averaging 419.0 total YPG. Matt Ryan is 3rd in the NFL with 961 passing yards this season — and he has seven touchdown passes to just two interceptions. The Falcons go back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting no more than 7 points. Green Bay has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win. And while they allowed the Saints to gain 397 yards last week, they have then played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This Packers defense that is last in the NFL by allowing 6.6 Yards-Per-Play. Opposing quarterbacks have racked up a Passer Rating of 113.4 which is the 3rd highest in the league. Green Bay is also allowing opposing rushers to average 5.5 Yards-Per-Carry. The Packers return home where they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 7 points — and they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with the number set at 45.5. Green Bay has also played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Even without his top two wide receivers, Davante Adams and Allan Lazard,  who are out with injuries tonight, Aaron Rodgers should be able to move the ball supported by a rushing attack that is averaging 177 rushing YPG. He completed passes to eight different receivers last week — and he is completing 67% of his passes. Expect a shootout tonight. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (279) and the Green Bay Packers (280). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (277) and the San Francisco 49ers (278). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (0-2-1) enters this game coming off a 23-23 tie with Cincinnati where they were 5.5-point favorites. San Francisco (2-1) returns home after winning their two games in the Meadowlands which concluded with their 36-9 win against the Giants last week.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Much has been made of the struggles Carson Wentz is experiencing. He has the lowest Passer Rating of all qualifying quarterbacks in the league. He is completing only 59.8% of his passes which is just 28th of qualifying NFL quarterbacks. He is working behind a depleted offensive line riddled with injuries. Yet despite all this, the Eagles did generate 381 yards last week — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The good news for Wentz is the Miles Sanders has been upgraded to probable to offer him a credible rushing threat that should take some of the pressure off him. The running back has generated 190 rushing yards over his last two games with a crisp 5.0 Yards-Per-Carry average. Last week’s game finished Under the Total —and the Eagles have played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. And while Philly has yet to cover the point spread this season, they have then played 7 straight games away from home Over the Total after not covering the point spread in two straight games. Philly did hold the Bengals to just 48 rushing yards last week — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total if they did not allow more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Eagles have played a decisive 41 of their last 61 games on the road Over the Total — and this tightens to them playing 18 of their last 23 road games Over the Total when they are the underdog. San Francisco has played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a win by at least three touchdowns. The 49ers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Niners held the Jets and the Giants to only 3 and 6 points in the first half in their last two games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than a touchdown in the first half in two straight games. San Francisco is dealing with a long list of injuries — Nick Bosa, Richard Sherman, Dee Ford along with cornerbacks Emmanuel Moseley and Akhello Witherspoon are all out for this game. But the 49ers are getting healthy on offense with tight end George Kittle and wide receiver Deebo Samuel upgraded to probable for this game. QB Jimmy Garoppolo remains out with his ankle injury but backup Nick Mullens has proven himself to be more than capable of operating Kyle Shanahan’s offense at a highly proficient rate. Mullens completed 25 of 36 passes last week for 343 yards without all team’s offensive weapons. The Niners generated 420 yards of offense in that game — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. San Francisco returns home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 9-3-1 in the 49ers’ last 13 games against fellow NFC opponents — and the Over is also 9-3-1 in their last 13 games when favored. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (277) and the San Francisco 49ers (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (705) and the Miami Heat (706) in Game Three of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (66-22) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Friday with their 124-114 win over the Heat as a 10.5-point favorite. Miami (56-34) has lost four of their last six games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lakers raced out to a 68-54 halftime lead after owning a 65-48 halftime lead in Game One of this series. Los Angeles has then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after leading by at least 10 points in their last two games. The Lakers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. I argued on Friday for the Over in Game Two (our NBA Total of the Year) that the injuries to Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic dramatically changed the tenor of this series: Miami was left without their best interior defender; their replacements were offensive players who were liabilities on defense; the Heat would resort to small-ball with a quicker pace and more 3-point shooting. These assessments were accurate the total soaring Over the 217 Total on Friday. While I do not expect the Heat to necessarily shoot 50% from the field while making 40% of their 3-pointers (and it is why I am passing on the side play), this should still be a high-scoring game. Miami has played 15 of their last 20 games on the road Over the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. They also have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Heat have also played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games.

FINAL TAKE: I do not expect much from Adebayo if he is able to play significant minutes tonight. I suspect Anthony Davis will still have his way inside while Spoelstra will still lean on small-ball and a bunch of 3s with the hope his team can nail 40% of them again as they did on Friday. Miami has lost all four games they have played against the Lakers this season — and they have then played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. The Heat have also played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 10* NBA LA Lakers-Miami ABC-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (705) and the Miami Heat (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (153) and the Georgia Bulldogs (154). THE SITUATION: Auburn (1-0) comes off a 29-13 win over Kentucky last Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite in the opening game of their season. Georgia (1-0) also won their first game of the season last Saturday when defeated Arkansas on the road as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers’ 29 points is a bit deceptive regarding the quality of their offensive effort last week. Auburn only gained 324 yards of offense last week. They were given a short field from a fumble recovery near the Red Zone along with a failed fake punt by the Wildcats. The Tigers rushed for only 91 yards on 30 carries with their best run being of just 12 yards. Auburn has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. The Tigers now go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total as an underdog overall. Additionally, Auburn has played 11 of their last 17 road games Under the Total as a dog getting 7.5 to 14 points. And in their last 5 games against SEC foes, the Tigers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Auburn will have trouble moving the ball against what might be the best defensive unit in the country. Georgia returns eight starters from a defense that led the nation by allowing only 12.6 PPG last season. The Bulldogs’ defense held the Razorbacks last week to just 280 yards. Both of Arkansas’ scoring drives were just 24 and 43 yards. Georgia has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. The Bulldogs have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. But the Georgia offense is an entirely different story. For starters, who will be their starter under center? Redshirt freshman Dawn Mathis got the start last week but struggled to move the offense with the Bulldogs leading by just a 7-5 score at halftime. Junior Stetson Bennett came on in relief with the former walk-on completing 20 of 29 passes for 211 yards to lead his to the easy win. That performance will likely be enough for head coach Kirby Smart to tap him as his starter. Yet Georgia still averaged only 4.3 Yards-Per-Play against Arkansas while generating 360 hidden yards stemming from their defense and special teams to help get their 37 points — and one of their scores came from a 30-yard interception return for a touchdown. Former USC QB J.T. Daniels was also medically cleared to play this week after recovering from the torn ACL he suffered in the opening game last year for the Trojans — but the spring transfer has only begun full-contact practices on Monday. The problem for Georgia is this unsettled QB situation is combined by a young offensive line as well as a rebuilt running back and wide receiver groups. The Bulldogs rushed for only 121 yards last week while averaging 2.9 Yards-Per-Carry. Georgia has played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight Unders against teams ranked in the top-ten. The Under is also 28-9-2 in the Bulldogs’ last 39 games at home — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Georgia won last year’s meeting on the road by a 21-14 score. Tigers’ QB made the start last year in his freshman campaign — he completed 30 of 50 passes for 245 yards but he averaged just 4.9 Yards-Per-Attempt. These two teams have played 6 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total — and the Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 encounters in Athens. 25* CFB SEC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (153) and the Georgia Bulldogs (154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (703) and the Los Angeles Lakers (704) in Game Two of the NBA Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (65-22) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday with their 116-98 victory over the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite. Miami (56-33) has lost two of their last three games — and they suffered two critical injuries in that game to Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic that have an immediate impact on this series moving forward. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Miami hit only 42.7% of their shots on Wednesday which was the lowest shooting mark in their last four games. They also made just 11 of their 36 shots from downtown for a low 31% mark. The team was simply overwhelmed in the 2nd quarter after racing out to an early 13-point lead. Adebayo only played 21 minutes while Dragic managed just 14:50 minutes before leaving the game to their injuries. The Lakers nailed 60% of their 3-pointers in the first half en route to 65 points. The Heat have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. Moving forward, the injuries to Adebayo and Dragic forces head coach Erik Spoelstra to make some significant changes. He is going to play more small-ball — which means a faster tempo, more 3-pointers but a reliance on players with defensive liabilities. Without Adebayo and Dragic on the court, Miami has seen the average possessions per game rise from a 97.4 average to 101 possessions per game. The Heat have their worst Defensive Rating when Dragic is not on the court. His absence means more minutes for Tyler Herro who can be lights out on offense but is a work in progress on the defensive end of the court. Adebayo claims he is going to try to play tonight. We’ll see. Spoelstra will have to give more minutes to Kelly Olynyk in his absence which is another player with defensive limitations when playing against a player like Anthony Davis. Spoelstra will likely embrace more small-ball lineups and even more 3-point shooting in the hopes that his team can replicate the 38% shooting from behind the arc they enjoyed during the first two rounds of the playoffs. The Heat have now allowed at least 113 points in their last three games — and they have played 9 straight games on the road Over the Total after allowing at least 110 points in three straight games. They also have played 28 of their last 42 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210-219.5 point range. Los Angeles coasted to victory despite making only 45.2% of their shots which was the lowest mark in their last four games. The Lakers raced out to a 65-48 halftime lead while nailing 60% of their 3-pointers in the first 24 minutes of that game. That was the sixth time that LA has scored at least 60 points in the first half of their sixteen playoff games. They have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after enjoying a 15-point lead at halftime. They also had a 10-point lead at halftime in their final game with Denver — and the Lakers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after generating double-digit halftime leads in two straight games. And in their last 20 games after a victory by at least 15 points, they have played 13 of these games Over the Total. The Lakers have an Offensive Rating of 115.7 which is 2nd best of all playoff teams. Davis scored 34 points on Wednesday and should have his way inside with Adebayo out (or less than 100%). Los Angeles outrebounded the Heat by a 54 to 36 margin in Game One — and Miami has played 8 straight road games Over the Total after a game where they were outrebounded by at least 15 boards.

FINAL TAKE: The Heat have to shoot their way to victory tonight — and if they miss, that triggers the Lakers’ transition offense from which they entered this series averaging 23.3 PPG in transition with it representing 18.5% of their offense. Miami has lost all three meetings with LA this season — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge. 25* NBA Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (703) and the Los Angeles Lakers (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (977) and the San Diego Padres (978) (action — do not list starting pitchers). THE SITUATION: San Diego (38-24) forced a climactic third game in this series yesterday with their 11-9 victory over the Cardinals. St. Louis (31-29) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday by a 7-4 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Padres have now won four of their last five games — and they have played 26 of their last 37 games at home Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. San Diego has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a game where both teams scored at least eight runs — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a game where they allowed at least nine runs. Furthermore, the Under is 5-1-1 in the Padres last 7 games both against teams with a winning record and at home hosting a team with a winning record. Manager Jayce Tingler has not announced a starting pitcher — and it just doesn’t matter as this will be a bullpen game before it is over. Likely candidate one to start the game is Adrian Morejon with his 2-2 record along with a 4.66 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 19 1/3 innings consisting of nine appearances with four starts. Morejon sees his ERA rise to a 7.59 mark with a 1.50 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .295 in his 10 2/3 innings at home. Both his SIERA and xFIP scream to fade this guy with those analytics projecting an ERA of 8.10 and 7.53 moving forward based on his deeper peripheral numbers. Garrett Richards is candidate two to start the 1st inning as was in the rotation to start the season before being moved to the bullpen in anticipation of the playoffs. Richards has a 2-2 record with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in 51 1/3 innings this summer. His SIERA and xFIP assess he has been overachieving with their 4.55 and 4.46 ERA projections. Even worse, Richards has a 5.85 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP in 20 innings at home. Tingler will have to rely on a tired bullpen sooner rather than later in this game. After using seven relievers in Game One, Tingler went to the mound to change pitchers eight times yesterday. Six of his relievers have pitched in both games. Overall, the San Diego bullpen has logged in 13 2/3 innings of work after the 6 innings they logged-in yesterday. The Padres have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen pitched at least six innings. The San Diego bullpen already has a 4.66 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP for day games (and the lights will be off for most of this game on the west coast). St. Louis’ bullpen has pitched 15 innings over their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after having their bullpen pitch at least 13 combined innings over their last three games. The Cardinals have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Flaherty who is 4-3 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in nine starts this season. But while the right-hander has a 2.67 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .186 at home, he is burdened with a 9.45 ERA with a 1.73 WHIP and .288 opponent’s batting average in four starts on the road. St. Louis has played 10 of their last 12 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog — and the Over is 17-6-1 in their last 24 games in the playoffs on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have scored 21 runs with a minimum of five runners players over their last three games. San Diego has scored 32 run overs over their last five games with a minimum of four runs scored in each game. UPDATE: Craig Stammen has been named the opening starting pitcher for the Padres with his 5.63 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. The Over remains strong — but let’s go with action rather than listing the starting pitchers, I don’t want anything messing this play up since the bet is, in part, against, all the available options for Tingler. 25* MLB Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (977) and the San Diego Padres (978) (action — do not list starting pitchers given the uncertainty with the Padres and because it just doesn’t matter). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (101) and the New York Jets (102). THE SITUATION: Denver (0-3) is winless so far this season with their 28-10 loss at home to Tampa Bay on Sunday as a 6-point underdog. New York (0-3) has also lost their first three games this season after their 36-7 loss at Indianapolis on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Broncos have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And with their game with the Buccaneers falling below the 42 point total, they have then played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. The Denver offense was a work in progress even before being hit hard by the injury bug. Quarterback Drew Lock is out indefinitely with a shoulder injury. Jeff Driskel led an offense that generated only 226 yards last week. He was relieved by Brett Rypien in that game — and after the former undrafted QB out of Boise State completed 8 of 9 passes for 53 yards (and an interception in the end zone), head coach Vic Fangio named him the starter for this game despite it being played on a short week. Wide receiver Cortland Sutton is on the IR with an ACL injury while running back Phillip Lindsay is questionable with his injury. The defense is also riddled with a long list of injuries with Von Miller’s ankle injury that put him on IR being the most significant — but they did receive good news this week with cornerback Bryce Callahan, strong safety Kareem Jackson, and nose tackle Shelby Harris all upgraded to probable and expected to start tonight. The Broncos have allowed 17 and 23 points in the first half of their first two games — but they have then played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing at least 17 points in the first half in two straight games. Denver did hold the Buccaneers to just 68 rushing yards last week — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last contest. And while the Broncos surrendered 353 yards overall to Tampa Bay, the Under is 19-6-1 in their last 26 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Denver goes back on the road where the Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 games. New York has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 35 points in their last contest. And while the Jets allowed the Colts to gain 353 yards last week, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. New York managed only 260 yards of offense last week with third-year quarterback Sam Darnold struggling under Adam Gase’s offense. The Jets are scoring only 12.3 PPG this season while averaging 263.7 total YPG. Injuries have not helped Darnold’s cause with running back Le’Veon Bell and rookie wide receiver Denzel Mims both on Injured Reserve and wide receiver Breshard Perriman out with a shoulder injury. Mims and Perriman were new additions this season to jumpstart the Jets’ offense that was 29th in the league by averaging 194.4 passing YPG and totaling just 17.2 PPG which was second-to-last in the NFL.

FINAL TAKE: New York has played 6 straight games Under the Total when hosting an AFC opponent — and Denver has played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total against fellow teams from the AFC. While the Total is low, this is one of those games where one (or both) of these teams may not reach double-digits. 25* AFC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (101) and the New York Jets (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago White Sox (937) and the Oakland A’s (938) listing both starting pitchers Luca Giolito and Jesus Luzardo in Game One of their American League Wildcard Playoff Series. THE SITUATION: Chicago (35-25) has lost seven of their last eight games after losing at home to the Cubs on Sunday by a 10-8 score. Oakland (36-24) has lost five of their last eight games after they ended the regular season with a 6-2 victory against Seattle. With the A’s as the 2nd seed in the AL, they will host for all the games in the best-of-three series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The White Sox have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an off-day. Chicago averages only 4.2 Runs-Per-Game in their thirty road games this season with a .220 batting average along with a .311 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .661. The Under is 7-3-1 in the White Sox’s last 11 games on the road — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games when favored. They give the ball to Giolito who is 4-3 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in twelve starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has an ERA of 2.79 along with a WHIP of 1.03 in five starts. Chicago has played 9 of their last 13 road games Under the Total with Giolito pitching with the price in the +/- 125 range. Oakland has played 4 straight home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. They also have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after an off-day. The A’s host this series where the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games — and the Under is 21-6-1 in their last 28 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Under is also 16-5-1 in their last 22 games as an underdog. They counter with Luzardo who is 3-2 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in 59 innings this season in twelve games with nine starts. The right-hander does his best pitching at home where he owns a 2.40 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .215 in 41 1/3 innings. Luzardo was impressive in last year’s Wildcard Playoff game where he allowed only one hit and no earned runs in three innings of relief work against Tampa Bay.

FINAL TAKE: Luzardo should pitch well against this White Sox team that is scoring only 4.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .209 batting average along with a .286 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .640. Yet the A’s are scoring just 3.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .222 batting average along with a .306 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .704. 10* MLB Tuesday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago White Sox (937) and the Oakland A’s (938) listing both starting pitchers Luca Giolito and Jesus Luzardo. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (489) and the Baltimore Ravens (490). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (2-0) rallied from a 17-6 deficit in the 3rd quarter last week to defeat the Chargers in Los Angeles in overtime by a 23-20 score as an 8.5-point favorite. Baltimore (2-0) enters this showdown coming off a 33-16 win at Houston last Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Ravens have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win after by at least two touchdowns. The Ravens lead the league in scoring defense by allowing just 24 points this season with their 38-6 win over Cleveland in Week One. Baltimore has played 11 of their 13 games Under the Total after two straight double-digit wins — and they have played 33 of their last 49 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. The Ravens have also played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after two straight wins where they covered the point spread as the favorite. Now Baltimore returns home to M&T Bank Stadium where they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total with the Total set at 45.5 or higher — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Ravens have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total when favored. The Baltimore strategy for success tonight will be running the football to burn time off the clock and to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. The Ravens rushed for 230 yards last week against the Texans — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Kansas City surrendered 479 yards last week against the Chargers with 183 of those yards on the ground. The Chiefs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have played a whopping 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Additionally, Kansas City has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The public is in love with the Over tonight — and that is creating more value on the under with every half point that the market bets the number up. What is underappreciated is how well the defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuola has done to limit Lamar Jackson. Jackson only had 46 rushing yards in last year’s 33-28 victory for the Chiefs which is the 4th lowest in his career. The benefit of having Tyrann Mathieu allows Spags to both use him as a spy for Jackson running out the backfield as well as a very good defender against tight end Mark Andrews. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (489) and the Baltimore Ravens (490). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (487) and the New Orleans Saints (488). THE SITUATION: Green Bay (2-0) has started the season unbeaten after defeating the Lions at home in Lambeau Field last week by a 42-21 score as a 7-point favorite. New Orleans (1-1) looks to rebound from their 34-24 upset loss in Las Vegas against the Raiders on Monday as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Packers’ offense is clicking on all cylinders as they have scored a whopping 85 points in their first two games. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers may be playing behind the best offensive line in his career this season. Not only has he suffered just one sack this season but the Green Bay running game is averaging 208 rushing YPG on 6.2 yards-per-carry. The Packers have played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a win by at least 14 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points. Green Bay generated 488 total yards against the Lions — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after gaining at least 40 yards in their last game. The Packers outrushed Detroit by 170 net yards on Sunday — and they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after outrushing their last opponent by at least 150 yards. Now Green Bay goes back on the road where they have played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total. New Orleans has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Saints gained 424 yards in the losing effort — and they have played 21 of their last 27 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now New Orleans returns home where the Over is 13-5-1 in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Saints also allowed 377 yards last week to the Raiders — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. And in their last 14 games in September, New Orleans has played 10 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: While both these teams may be without important weapons in wide receivers Michael Thomas and Devante Adams, both offenses move the ball quite well without either player last week. These two teams have played 7 of their last 8 meetings Over the Total. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (487) and the New Orleans Saints (488). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:30 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between Leicester City (200105) and Manchester City (200106). THE SITUATION: Leicester City (W2-D0-L0) remained undefeated so far for the 2020-21 English Premier League campaign with their 4-2 win over Burnley last Sunday. Manchester City (W1-D0-L0) opened their EPL campaign last Monday with their 3-1 victory on the road at Wolverhampton.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Man City was impressive on Monday to score three times against a Wolves team that led the EPL last season with just 27 non-penalty kick Big Chances conceded. Wolverhampton’s compact style makes them one of the most difficult teams to score against yet the Cityzens scored three times in their building at Molineaux. Now Man City turns home where they scored 57 times last season in 19 contests for a 3.0 goals-per-game scoring average. The underlying metrics support their offensive prowess at home as their expected goals (xG) were 2.67 xG per game at home at the Etihad Stadium. Over their last ten games at home, Man City has scored 26 goals. They are dealing with injuries. Both forwards, Gabriel Jesus, and Sergio Aguero are dealing with injuries. When both these forwards are out, manager Pep Guardiola usually places Raheem Sterling in the attacker role where he is comfortable playing (this is his role with the English national team). But what has me sold on the Over is that Guardiola plans to deploy midfielder Kevin DeBruyne higher up the pitch in an attacking position. DeBruyne is an assists-machine who also can score goals with his powerful kicks — it is just that he also helps the defense out when controlling the middle of the field. Phil Foden should also be in the Starting XI given these injuries — and he is a strong offensive player. But playing KDB higher up the pitch further exposes a vulnerable Man City defense. They allowed 37 Big Chances last season with teams being able to effectively counter their aggressive pressing tactics. The Cityzens are also missing some key defensive pieces in defensive midfielder Ilkay Gundogan and defenseman Aymeric LaPorte. Man City made some nice transfers in the offseason to help fortify their defense — but it may be too early to see those players join the pitch. This team is not likely to enjoy a clean sheet. Leicester City has already scored seven goals so far this season in their first two matches. Led by Jamie Vardy and his 23 goals last year, the Foxes had an impressive 1.89 expected goals mark in their nineteen matches on the road in the EPL.

FINAL TAKE: I have concerns about the Leicester City defense this season. They lost defender Ben Chilwell in the transfer market to Chelsea in the offseason. To compound matters, they will be without holding midfielder Wilfried Ndidi for a few months to injury. Ndidi is one of the best defensive midfielders in the world — and his absence last season directly related to the collapse of their hot start in the first half of the season. The Foxes should score on the counter-attack — but Man City should be good for 2-3 goals (at least) playing at home with DeBruyne tasked in an offensive role for this one. 25* EPL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between Leicester City (200105) and Manchester City (200106). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (711) and the Los Angeles Lakers (712) in Game Five of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (63-22) took a 3-1 lead in this series on Thursday with their 114-108 victory over the Nuggets as a 6-point favorite. Denver (55-36) once again finds themselves on the brink of elimination down 3-1 in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The referees responded from the criticism from LeBron James about not getting enough whistles as the Lakers got to the charity stripe 35 times from which they converted on 28 of those attempts. Look for the fewer fouls to be called in tonight’s game. The Lakers have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Denver made 50.6% of their shots in Game Four which was the third straight game where the Lakers allowed them to make at least 47.3% of their shots from the field. Los Angeles has then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing their last three opponents to make at least 47% of their shots. The Lakers have scored at least 105 points in eight straight games — but that is a strong indicator that this game will finish below the number. LA has played 48 of their last 76 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games — and they have played 38 of their last 60 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in four straight games. And in their last 47 games after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games, they have then played 30 of these games Under the Total. And while these two teams have seen 220 and 222 combined points scored in the last two games, the Lakers have then played 22 of their last 35 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Denver has seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games when playing with one day of rest. The Nuggets are certainly familiar with this situation of being on the brink of elimination. They must crave danger. The urgency of avoiding the abyss does motivate better efforts on the defensive end of the court for Denver. In Game Six and Seven of their series with Utah, the Nuggets held the Jazz to just 45.3% and 38.0% shooting which resulted in only 107 and 78 points in the final two games of that series. Then in Game Five, Six, and Seven in their series with the Clippers, Denver clamped down to hold Kawhi Leonard and company to 42%, 41%, and 37.8% shooting which translated into 105, 98, and 89 points. The Nuggets have played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination.

FINAL TAKE: These team trends are complemented by an empirical situational angle that has been 61% effective over the last five seasons. The Lakers have not covered the point spread in the last two games in this series — and in games involving two teams with a winning percentage in the 60 to 75% range, when one team has not covered the point spread in two straight games, these games have then finished Under the Total in 116 of these last 189 situations where these conditions applied. While Davis is one of the best defenders in the league, if he is not 100% (or does not play), that helps our Under play since he is so important to the Lakers offense — he is averaging 29 PPG in the postseason. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (711) and the Los Angeles Lakers (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins and the Jacksonville Jaguars (302). THE SITUATION: Jacksonville (1-1) enters this game coming off a 33-30 loss at Tennessee as a 7-point underdog. Miami (0-2) is winless in their first two games of the season after their 31-28 loss at home to Buffalo last Sunday as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jaguars have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss to a divisional rival. Additionally, Jacksonville has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. Quarterback Gardner Minshew comes off a big game where he completed 30 of 45 passes for 339 yards — but the Jags have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where they passed for at least 300 yards. Minshew may be without one of his top weapons in wide receiver D.J. Chark who is questionable with a chest injury. Now Jacksonville returns home where they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total when favored. Miami needs to tighten things up on defense after allowing 524 total yards last week against the Bills. But the Dolphins have still played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in September. Additionally, the Under is 8-2-1 in Miami’s last 11 appearances on Thursday Night Football.

FINAL TAKE: The Dolphins have played 26 of their last 36 games on the road Under the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher. Jacksonville has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total with the number installed in the 42.5 to 49 point range. 10* NFL Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins and the Jacksonville Jaguars (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (713) and the Miami Heat (714) in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Boston (57-29) won Game Three of this series on Saturday with their 117-106 win over the Heat as a 3.5-point favorite. Miami (54-31) still holds a 2-1 lead in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat had their worst shooting game in their last twelve contests by making only 38.8% of their shots on Monday. After making 44% of their 3-pointers in Game One of this series and then 33% of their shots from downtown in Game Two, Miami made just 27% of their 44 shots from behind the arc. The Heat should shoot better tonight — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. Additionally, Miami has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days off — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days. The Heat have still won ten of their last twelve games — and they have played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And in their last 38 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the game finished Over the Total 25 times. Boston tied their lowest defensive field goal percentage in their last nine games by holding the Heat to just 38.8% shooting. The Celtics have still allowed Miami to score at least 106 points in all three games in this series — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. Additionally, Boston has played 43 of their last 66 games on the road Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Celtics also now have Gordon Hayward back on the court after he logged-in over 30 minutes on Saturday. Hayward makes the Boston offensive attack better because his outside shooting serves as a zone-buster. In the twenty possessions that the Celtics played against a Heat zone defense with Hayward on the court, they scored 20 points at a 0.90 Points-Per-Possession clip — as compared to the 19 points they scored in Game Two in thirty-two possessions with Hayward where they scored at just a 0.59 PPP clip. Boston also scored in six of their final seven possessions against the Miami zone defense with Hayward on the court which suggests they began to figure out how to expose that defense.

FINAL TAKE: The pace is picking up in this series. After Game One and Game Two saw 90 and 93 possessions, Game Three had 99 possessions. Boston is scoring at a 1.10 Points-Per-Possession rate while Miami is scoring at a 1.09 PPP clip in this series. With the extra days of rest and the offensive impact the addition of Hayward has in this series, expect a higher scoring game. 10* NBA Boston-Miami ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (713) and the Miami Heat (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (25) and the Dallas Stars (26) in Game Three of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (58-26-7) evened this series at one game apiece on Monday with their 3-2 victory over the Stars. Dallas (51-33-8) had won their previous two games before their loss in Game Two.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning had the benefit of two power plays in the opening period from which they scored twice. That allowed for their defense tighten up — they only surrendered two shots in the final 14:33 of the 3rd period along with just one high danger scoring chance for the Stars in the final period. The Under is 10-4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 15 games after a win. The Under is also 19-6-3 in the Lightning’s last 28 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. And in their last 8 road games when playing their fourth game in seven days, the game finished Under the Total 7 times. Dallas needs to play with more discipline tonight to not allow the Lightning those scoring chances with a man advantage. The Stars stingy defense is limiting Tampa Bay to just 1.34 goals per 60 minutes of play in this series when playing at even strength. Moving forward, Dallas has played 40 of their last 62 games on the road Under the Total after winning two of their last three games.

FINAL TAKE: The Stars have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-Dallas NBC-Sports Network O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (25) and the Dallas Stars (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Denver Nuggets (708) in Game Three of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (62-21) has now won six games in a row in dramatic fashion with Anthony Davis nailing a buzzer-beating 3-pointers to seal a 105-103 victory over the Nuggets on Sunday as a 5.5-point favorite. Denver (54-35) is now down 2-0 to the Lakers in this series. This game is being played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: An encouraging aspect that the Nuggets can take from Game Two of this series was their improved play on defense in the final 24 minutes of that game. Denver limited the Lakers to just 45 points in the second half while limiting them to scoring at just a 0.95 Points-Per-Possession rate. Los Angeles missed 15 of their 21 shots from behind that arc in the second half. The Nuggets have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in Denver’s last 4 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread setback. And while that game finished just below the closing total of 209, the Nuggets have played a decisive 55 of their last 93 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Denver has covered the point spread in four of their last five games — and they have played 26 of their last 41 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least three of their last four games. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a narrow win by no more than 3 points. The Lakers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a victory where they did cover the point spread as the favorite. Furthermore, Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning at least six games in a row. The Lakers have scored at least 105 points in each of their six victories in a row — but they have played 23 of their last 36 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Additionally, LA has played 38 of their last 58 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in four straight games — and they have played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games. This Lakers’ team remains relatively rested after taking care of Houston in five games in the Western Conference Semifinals — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when not playing more than three games in the last ten days.

FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets have lost all four meetings between these two teams in 2020 — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with triple revenge. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Denver Nuggets (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (289) and the Las Vegas Raiders (290). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (1-0) enters this game coming off a 34-23 win at home to Tampa Bay last Sunday as a 4-point favorite. Las Vegas (1-0) comes off a 34-30 win at Carolina where they were 3-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The final score for the Saints was a bit deceiving with one of their touchdowns being score from a 36-yard interception. New Orleans had a +3 net turnover margin — but they managed to generate only 271 yards of offense. The Saints averaged just 4.1 Yards-Per-Play against the Buccaneers which was the 2nd lowest average of all teams in Week One. Quarterback Drew Brees completed just 18 of his 30 passes for only 160 yards. His adjusted completion percentage was just 24th best in the league last week after missing a handful of open receivers. Maybe it was just one bad week without the benefit of preseason — or maybe Father Time is beginning to catch up with the 41-year old. Brees will not have the benefit of his favorite target in Michael Thomas who is out with an ankle injury. The Saints did add wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders in the offseason — and I expect them to use running back Alvin Kamara as a slot receiver in passing downs — but this is an offensive not at full strength without their best weapon in the passing attack. Thomas caught a whopping 149 catches last year for 1725 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. As it is, New Orleans has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win over an NFC South rival. Additionally, the Saints have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after playing a game that went Over the Total. Furthermore, New Orleans has played 5 of their last 8 road games Over the Total as a favorite of no more than 7 points — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the total set at 45.5 or higher. And in their last 5 second games to a new season, the Saints have played 4 of these games Under the Total. The Under is 10-4-1 in Las Vegas’ last 15 games after a straight-up win. The Raiders have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined goals were scored. Las Vegas did not score more than 24 points in each of their final games last season — and they averaged just 15 PPG over that stretch. QB Derek Carr lacked a credible deep threat all season — that was supposed to be the role Antonio Brown would have assumed. The team drafted Alabama speedster Henry Ruggs with their 1st round pick to address this need — and he was targeted five times with three catches for 55 yards in the first half. Ruggs is listed as questionable to play but he will take the field tonight — however, it is unclear how effective he will be as he nurses the knee injury that kept home out of the second half last week. Las Vegas will rely on running back Josh Jacobs for this game — but the Saints have not allowed a 100-yard rusher in forty-four straight games. The Raiders did allow 260 passing yards last week — but the Under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Las Vegas had played their last four appearances representing Oakland Under the Total when playing on Monday Night Football. Gruden’s teams have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when playing in the first two weeks of the season including playing four of five Unders as the coach of the Raiders. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (289) and the Las Vegas Raiders (290). Best of luck for  us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Manchester City (200041) and Wolverhampton (200042). THE SITUATION: Manchester City (W0-D0-L0) makes their 2020-21 English Premier League debut this afternoon after not playing last week given scheduling requirements ensuring a handful of teams a sufficient break after completing 2019-20 competition last month that was delayed due to COVID-19. Wolverhampton (W1-D0-L0) did play last week as they defeated Sheffield United last Monday by a 2-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Manchester City was a scoring machine last year — they averaged 2.67 expected goals (xG) per match. In their last five EPL contests, they scored 21 combined goals. They also scored at least two goals in their last five EPL matches on the road. But the weakness of this team was they would allow too many Big Chances by their opponents usually when becoming vulnerable by counter-attacks to their constant pressing approach. The Cityzens allowed 37 non-penalty kick Big Chances last season representing scoring opportunities with a better than 35% chance of success. To compound matters for this match, they will be without their best backline defender from last season in Aymeric Laporte who is recovering from a positive COVID-19 test. Man City will also be without Sergio Aguero and midfielder Ilkay Gundagon — but I do not expect these absences to impact their potent offensive attack. Gabriel Jesus is more than capable to take Aguero’s striker role as he did all last summer after the restart — and Raheem Sterling usually steps up his attacking ambitions when Aguero is not on the pitch. And Phil Foden is expected to play of Gundagon who is more active as an offensive player but not quite as skilled defensively. Man City saw at last nine combined goals scored in nine of their last ten league matches. Wolverhampton generated a solid 1.87 xG in their win over a defensive-minded Sheffield United last Monday. But despite the clean sheet, they did display vulnerabilities in their defense with the Blades xG being at 1.03. The Wolves then played midweek last Thursday in a 1-0 loss to Stoke City in Carabou Cup action. While manager Nuno Espirito Santo did not play his best forward, Raul Jimenez, in that match, he did use six of his usual starters, which risks them being a bit fatigued for this match. A tired Wolverhampton team may leave them not quite as stout defensively.

FINAL TAKE: Wolverhampton are a fantastic counter-attacking team — and this is the system that tends to give Man City the most trouble since it is designed to take advantage of the high-pressing powerful attacking teams. When these two teams played at Molineaux last season, the Cityzens raced out to a 2-0 lead before the Wolves responded with three straight goals to pull off the home upset. Look for another higher-scoring match. 10* EPL Monday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the match between Manchester City (200041) and Wolverhampton (200042). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (287) and the Seattle Seahawks (288). THE SITUATION: New England (1-0) won their opening game of the season last week with their 21-11 win over Miami as a 7-point favorite. Seattle (1-0) also won their debut to the 2020 season with their 38-25 victory over Atlanta where they closed as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in September after last week’s game. don’t sleep on the New England defense despite losing a handful of players who opted-out this season. The Patriots’ secondary remains elite led by cornerback Stephon Gilmour. The front-seven is a work-in-progress which is why controlling possession is so important. New England limited the Dolphins to just 169 yards of offense last week while averaging a mere 4.6 Yards-Per-Play — and they forced three turnovers. Since the start of 2019, the Patriots lead the NFL in these defensive categories still: allowing 13.9 PPG; allowing only 275.5 total YPG; 28 interceptions; opponent Passer Rating of 61.7. New England has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games as an underdog. The Patriots also limited Miami to just 87 rushing yards last week — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last contest. The new-look Cam Newton run offense was clicking on all cylinders last week as they generated 357 total yards of offense on the strength of 202 rushing yards on 42 rushing attempts. The analytics folks tend to dismiss time of possession — perhaps that is one of the reasons they tend to replicate coin flips when making ATS prognostications? I assign plenty of value to the Patriots’ controlling the clock for 34:49 minutes last week. Not only does that keep the opposing offense off the field, but it keeps your own defense relatively fresh with one or two fewer defensive possessions they have to play in the game. That makes a big deal when coaching-up younger players — and that is what New England needs with their make-shift front seven. The Patriots have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. New England has also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing on the road. Seattle has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in September even after last week’s high-scoring game — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. The Seahawks have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while they allowed 434 passing yards to the Falcons last week, they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 passing yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: While New England seems committed to their ground game, don’t be surprised if Seattle avoids the outstanding Patriots’ secondary by getting back to their rushing attack to take advantage of the suspect New England front seven. Expect this to be a quick game with the running clock with what should see perhaps sixty rushing attempts between both teams. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (287) and the Seattle Seahawks (288). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (703) and the Miami Heat (704) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Finals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (54-30) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Thursday with their 106-101 upset victory over the Celtics as a 2.5-point underdog. Boston (56-29) has now lost five of their last seven games. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Miami pulled off their second straight upset victory in this series — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning two straight games as an underdog. And while the Heat have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games. Miami won this game despite allowing the Celtics to make 50% of their shots from the field. That was the worst defensive effort for the Heat in their last fifteen games. Miami has frustrated Boston with their use of a 2-3 zone defense. The Celtics average 0.98 Points-Per-Possession in their half-court offense — but they are scoring at just a 0.85 Points-Per-Possession clip in this series against the Miami 2-3 zone. Boston has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. While they struggle to adjust to this 2-3 zone, the Celtics will be hard-pressed to replicate their 50% shooting effort on Thursday as it was the best offensive performance in their last eleven games.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss. And while the Celtics have lost to Miami three straight times when including a loss in the bubble in August before the playoffs started, Boston has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with triple revenge. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (703) and the Miami Heat (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (21) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (22) in Game One of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (50-32-8) reached the Stanley Cup Finals by defeating the Vegas Golden Knights in five games culminating in their 3-2 victory on September 14th. Tampa Bay (57-25-7) joined them for the opportunity to lift Lord Stanley’s Cup on September 17th with their 2-1 win over the New York Islanders in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is a decisive 54-26-10 in the Stars’ last 90 games after a win. Interestingly considering the long break between the end of the Western Conference Finals and the start of the Stanley Cup Finals, the Under is 17-5-1 in Dallas’ last 23 games when playing with at least three days of rest. The Stars played suffocating defense against Vegas while getting great goaltending from Anton Khudobin. Dallas did not allow more than two goals in the final three games of that series. The Stars have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games — and they have played 17 of their last 20 games Under the Total on the road after not allowing more than two goals in three straight games. And while Dallas did not register more than 26 shots in any of the five games they played against the Golden Knights in their last series, they have then played 21 of their last 30 games Under the Total after not generating more than 26 shots in five straight games. Tampa Bay has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a victory. The Lightning reached the Stanley Cup Finals this season after getting upset in the first round of the playoffs last season by transitioning into a team that is comfortable forechecking and grinding out victories. Tampa Bay has allowed two goals or less in eight of their last nine playoff games — and they have surrendered just four combined goals in their last three games. The Under is 19-6-2 in the Lightning’s last 27 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Dallas won both meetings between these two teams during the regular season with the last contest being back on January 27th when they won by a 3-2 score. Tampa Bay has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing away from home and motivated by revenge — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 10* NHL Dallas-Tampa Bay NBC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (21) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (11) and the New York Islanders (12) in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: New York (48-28-13) kept this series alive on Tuesday with their 2-1 win in double-overtime. Tampa Bay (56-25-7) has now lost two of the last three games in this series. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This is a game that went 68:30 minutes from the 2nd period into the 7:30 mark in the 2nd overtime scoreless before Jordan Eberle scored the winner for the Islanders. New York has played a decisive 52 of their last 91 games Under the Total after a win or a tie in their last game — and they have played 40 of their last 66  games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Additionally, the Islanders have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total on the road after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. New York has lulled the Lightning into a grinding style of play — but they have managed to score only three combined goals in the last two games which has consisted of 152 1/2 minutes of action. The Islanders have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after suffering a loss in overtime. The Lightning did limit the Islanders to just 24 shots on target in 152:30 minutes in that game which is a good sign for them going into tonight. The Under is 18-6-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 26 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. The Lightning have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay may be without Brayden Point for the third time in this series as he is a game-time decision with his undisclosed injury. The Lightning’s offense slows down significantly if he is not on the ice — he has nine goals with sixteen assists in the playoffs. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-NY Islanders NBC-SN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (11) and the New York Islanders (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (729) and the Los Angeles Clippers (730) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Denver (53-33) pulled off their second-straight upset victory on Sunday as they defeated the Clippers by a 111-98 score as a 9-point underdog to force this Game Seven. Los Angeles (56-20) has blown a lead of at least 15 points in the last two contests in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Apparently, it is the sense of imminent failure that motivates this Nuggets team to play harder on defense. Five of Denver’s seven victories this postseason have come in elimination games. They held the Clippers to just 41% shooting on Sunday in what was the best defensive effort in their last four games — this performance was highlighted by them getting a defensive stop in eleven straight possessions in the second half. The Nuggets also nailed 54.1% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in the last seven contests. Denver has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games are a double-digit win. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games are a point spread victory. And in their last 15 playoff games with the series tied, the Nuggets have played 11 of these games Under the Total. Los Angeles played their worst defensive game in their last fourteen contests after allowing Denver can 54.1% of their shots. Head coach Doc Rivers will likely shorten his bench tonight which means less time for Montrezl Harrell and Lou Williams who are offensive spark plugs off the bench but who have liabilities on the defensive end of the court. The Clippers have only covered the point spread once in the last five games in this series — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after only covering the point spread at least three of their last four games. Los Angeles has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total away from home after not covering the point spread in their last two games.

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 23 of their last 33 games away from home Under the Total after suffering an upset loss — and they have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss when favored by at least 7 points. 25* NBA Tuesday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (729) and the Los Angeles Clippers (730). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (481) and the Denver Broncos (482). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (0-0) takes the field again after a 9-7 campaign that ended by losing at Kansas City in the AFC Championship Game. Denver (0-0) comes off a 7-9 season last year.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Titans will have revenge on their mind after getting shutout in Denver back on October 13th by a 16-0 score. That was the final straw for head coach Mike Vrabel who benched starting quarterback Marcus Mariota in that game. Ryan Tannehill came on to complete 13 of 16 passes in relief with that effort being enough to earn him the starting job that he then ran away with for the rest of the season. Tennessee won nine of their last thirteen games while leading the team one win away from the Super Bowl. Tannehill completed 67.9% of his passes while throwing 27 touchdown passes to just six interceptions. Tannehill opened up the vertical threats for this team as he completed 9.0 Yards-Per-Attempt in the passing game. But what defined success for Tannehill was his ability to operate in play-action. Tannehill sells the fake hand-off with the Titans using the play-action decoy to Derrick Henry (and the other running backs) 77.1% of the time with Tannehill under center. Tannehill generated a Passer Rating of 140.6 in the playoffs in play-action which was the best of all quarterbacks in the postseason. He will face a depleted Broncos’ pass rush that will be without Von Miller who went on IR with an ankle injury. Bradley Chubb will be on a pitch count as well with him dealing with an injured ACL. The lack of a pass rush will likely have Tannehill licking his chops. He completed 72.9% of his passes with a clean pocket with 21 touchdowns and just four interceptions while averaging 9.63 YPA — and his 122.6 Passer Rating from a clean pocket led the NFL last season. Tennessee should come out very motivated to avenge being shutout last year — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the opening week of a new season. This team averaged 24.1 PPG last season — and they also averaged 24.9 PPG on the road last season along with posting a 350.8 total YPG mark. The Titans have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against AFC opponents. Furthermore, Tennessee has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as a favorite — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total when laying the points. Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total in September — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total in the opening week of a new season. The Broncos are excited about the potential of their offense this season in the second season of quarterback Drew Lock. The former Missouri Tiger won four of his five starts to end the season last year. The organization hired Pat Shurmer to be the offensive coordinator after he became available when he was let go as the New York Giants’ head coach. The team also surrounded Lock with more weapons by signing running back Melvin Gordon from the Chargers and drafting Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler. The Broncos need to improve their 18.8 PPG scoring average at home last season. Denver held their guests to just 17.9 PPG but that is a number that looks destined for regression given the attrition that the unit has endured. Not only is Miller out but they also lost defensive back Chris Harris, Jr. to a middling unit in production as they were just 14th against the pass and 15th against the run. Frankly, their defensive scoring average was somewhat the product of a defensive head coach in Vic Fangio who ran the ball to burn time off the clock to shorten the game and rest his defense. If and when the Broncos fall behind in this game, then Denver will have to abandon the run game.

FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has played 4 straight games Over the Total on Monday Night Football. Expect Tannehill to have a good game which will force the Broncos to lean on Lock to win this game — and that is a recipe for an Over with the Total set in the low-40s. 25* AFC Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (481) and the Denver Broncos (482). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Giants. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (0-0) comes off an 8-8 season last year. New York (0-0) looks to build off a 4-12 campaign last season.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Steelers are optimistic that quarterback Ben Roethlisberger will be rejuvenated coming off elbow surgery after an injury that caused him to miss fourteen games last year. Fingers are crossed for the 38-year old but, like with Tom Brady yesterday, perhaps he is another quarterback who would have benefitted from the five to eight offensive series that a few preseason games would have provided him. Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in September. Head coach Mike Tomlin is likely to continue to lean on his outstanding defense especially when playing away from Heinz Field. The Steelers have played 39 of their last 52 games Under the Total on the road — and they have also played 22 of their last 27 road games Under the Total as the favorite. Pittsburgh was 5th in the league last year by allowing just 18.9 PPG — and they ranked 3rd best in the NFL by allowing only 194.6 passing YPG. The Steelers dialed-up 54 sacks last season while forcing 38 takeaways which is not good news for the second-year quarterback they will be facing. Pittsburgh has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the number set in 42.5 to 49 point range — and this includes them playing seven straight Unders when playing on the road with the Total set in that range. New York is hopeful that Daniel Jones takes the next step at quarterback after his rookie campaign. His backers are encouraged by the three four-touchdown passing games he produced in the second half of the season. But remember that those contests were against Detroit, the NY Jets, and Washington with defenses that are far cries than what he will face tonight. He will be operating under a new system under rookie head coach Joe Judge who hired Jason Garrett as his offensive coordinator. Jones could use a full preseason to get comfortable with the Garrett game plan. The Giants also have a reshuffled offensive line after Nate Solder opted-out from playing this year. New York drafted Andrew Thomas in the first round while adding center Nick Gates and right tackle Cam Fleming — but there will be growing pains for this unit as they develop cohesion together. The offensive game plan will likely be to rely on star running back Saquon Barkley — but he averaged just 55.7 rushing YPG last year against top-ten defenses as compared to his 90.5 rushing YPG average against the rest of the NFL.

FINAL TAKE: The Giants have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total in the opening two weeks of the season. While those four games were under the Pat Shurmer regime, Judge comes from New England so I do not expect him to suddenly roll out the Air Raid offense in this situation. Expect the Giants to try to run the ball with Barkley as long as they can stay competitive in this game. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Giants. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Chelsea (200037) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200038). THE SITUATION: Chelsea (0-0-0) returns to the pitch after tying to 3rd place in the English Premier League last month with Manchester United. Brighton (0-0-0) staved off relegation in Project Restart this summer with 41 points which were seven points clear but still finished only 15th in the EPL table.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Chelsea made a dynamic splash into the transfer market after the EPL season finally concluded. They had already signed defensive midfielder Hakim Ziyech in the winter period and they fortified their leaky defense with a nice signing of Thiago Silva from Paris-Saint Germain but he is not likely to start yet for this team today. But the signings that drew more attention were the blockbuster deals that brought over Timo Werner and Kai Havertz from the German Bundesliga. These two young offensive dynamos combined to score 52 goals in the Bundesliga last season. Werner will play the attacker position where he thrived for RB Leipzig. Werner has been on my radar since starring for the German national team in the 2017 Confederations Cup — he is the heir apparent to Robert Lewandowski who was the top scorer for Bayern Munich’s Champions League victories club last month. Werner will be a Golden Boot contender this season. But it is Havertz who may still be the more exciting player. At 6’2, he is a matchup nightmare who played in the midfield for Bayer Leverkusen but can also take on the attacker role. These two join a group that was already a high-scoring team in the EPL. The Blues scored 69 goals last year but their expected goals were +9.3 higher at 78.3 xG. Adding two technicians to the mix like Werner and Havertz will help get the actual goals closer to the expected goals mark. Christian Pulisic is dealing with a knock and not likely to play — but Chelsea has an abundance of riches in offensive talent even without him or Willian who they let go sign with Arsenal. The Blues will miss holding midfielder Mateo Kovacic for this contest which will hurt their defensive presence. Defense is an issue — while they scored ten goals in their five road games after the restart, they conceded fourteen goals in those matches. Brighton should score in this one. They only scored 39 goals last year but their xG was +8.42 goals higher at a 47.24 xG clip. They averaged 1.40 xG per match. But they also had an expected goals allowed mark of 60.42 which was +6.42 goals more than the 54 they allowed last year.

FINAL TAKE: The Seagulls allowed 12 goals in their five home matches after the return to action in July. The offensive talent for Chelsea is outstanding — and Werner has already established chemistry with Havertz playing for German national teams over the years. I do worry about the team chemistry for the Blues when it comes to stopping their opponents. The Chelsea issues on defense will likely continue — and their hotshot goalkeeper they just signed will not be on the pitch yet for this one. 25* English Premier League Monday Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between Chelsea (200037) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200038). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (477) and the Los Angeles Rams (478). THE SITUATION: Dallas (0-0) begins the new era of head coach Mike McCarthy tonight as he replaces Jason Garrett after his ten-year tenure ended with the Cowboys’ 8-8 finish last season. Los Angeles (0-0) looks to get back to the playoffs after missing the postseason last year despite their 9-7 record.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: McCarthy kept Kellen Moore as the offensive coordinator while deferring to him to continue to call plays for quarterback Dak Prescott. But the stout offensive line that Prescott has enjoyed over the years is not as strong. Five-time Pro Bowl center Travis Frederick returned in the offseason while their elite right tackle, La’El Collins, is beginning the year on the IR with a hip injury. The depth of the Cowboys will now be tested with Joe Looney taking over at center after playing in just five snaps last season while the poorly graded Cameron Erving becomes their best option at right tackle. Red zone offense was a problem for the Dallas offense when they were playing on the road last season. They averaged 388.4 total YPG away from home but that only translated into 22.1 PPG. The Cowboys’ offense may also struggle without the benefit of the preseason to implement the new principles that McCarthy wants to bring to the offense. As it is, Dallas has played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total in September. Additionally, the Cowboys have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total as an underdog (which they now are after the line movement earlier in the day) — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games on the road Under the Total when the underdog. Dallas does have a new defensive coordinator in Mike Nolan — and I think the veteran has a lot to offer the Cowboys. Dallas only allowed 20.4 PPG on the road last year along with just 322.6 total YPG. The Cowboys have also played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. The Rams have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when favored — and this includes them playing four of their last five games Under the Total when favored at home. The LA defense improved significantly midseason after the acquisition of cornerback Jalen Ramsey from Jacksonville. For the season, the Rams allowed only 339.6 total YPG. I have heard some pundits comment about how tough head coach Sean McVay is early in the season after the benefit of the offseason to devise new plays and offensive strategies. Yet Los Angeles has played 31 of their last 51 games Under the Total in the opening two weeks of the season including playing three of their last four opening two games Under the Total in the last two seasons. The Rams have also played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the first half of the season. LA will have the benefit of surprise on defense with new defensive coordinator Joe Staley calling the defense — and Dallas does not have the benefit of even vanilla game-tape from exhibition games to get a sense of what changes he will implement.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on December 15th where the Cowboys pulled a 44-21 upset win as a 1-point underdog with the final score flying over the 48 point total. Dallas ran the ball 36 times for 248 yards and three touchdowns — but their two highest-graded offensive linemen from that game were Fredericks and Collins who will not be on the field tonight. The Cowboys will likely stick with their commitment to the run with Ezekiel Elliott but expect this rematch to be a much lower-scoring game. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (477) and the Los Angeles Rams (478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (41) and the New York Islanders (42) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Finals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (55-24-6) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 2-1 victory over the Islanders. New York (46-27-13) has now lost four of their last five games. This game will be played on neutral ice in the Rogers Place in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win — and the Under is 17-5-2 in their last 24 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Tampa Bay is playing great defense — and they are getting great goaltending from Andrei Vasilevskiy who has not allowed more than two goals in five straight games. The Lightning have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after playing two straight games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. Tampa Bay will be short-handed at forward with Alex Killorn suspended for this contest after his boarding penalty in Game Two and with Brayden Point questionable with the injury that kept him out of the 3rd period on Wednesday. Head coach Jon Cooper likes to roll four lines so this hit to his forward depth is a money-wrench to those plans. Point has been fantastic in these playoffs with eight goals and fifteen assists in fifteen games. Tampa Bay has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total when not playing more than their third game in ten days (the Lightning had a week off before this series started). New York has only scored three goals in this series — and they have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after a loss. They also have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss by more than one goal. Additionally, the Islanders have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. New York has also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total when playing away from home after not scoring at least two goals in their last game. The Islanders had plenty of chances in Game Two as they had a five-minute major with that Killorn boarding penalty and they had a 5-on-3 edge for 0:38 on a power play as well.

FINAL TAKE: New York has now lost three straight games to the Lightning — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with triple revenge. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-NY Islanders USA-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (41) and the New York Islanders (42). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (711) and the Denver Nuggets (712) in Game Four of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (55-26) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-107 win over the Nuggets as an 8.5-point favorite. Denver (51-32) has lost two of their last three games. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This game finished right at the 220.5 closing total number despite the Clippers making 54.7% of their shots. Los Angeles also allowed the Nuggets to make 46.8% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for them in their last five games. Head coach Doc Rivers was imploring his team to play harder on defense with him claiming that the first team to play defense would win that game (paraphrasing from memory). The Clippers finally did raise their level of play and intensity on the defensive end of the court in the 4th quarter to take the lead and pull away from the Nuggets — they held them to just 19 points in the final twelve minutes. I do expect that late defensive effort to carry over into this game. LA has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Furthermore, the Clippers have played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total on the road after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after a narrow victory by 6 points or less. Los Angeles has also played 33 of their last 51 games away from home Under the Total after winning three of their last four contests. Rivers is getting a nice defensive effort from big man Ivica Zubac whose responsibility is to slow down the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic — but he was limited to only 21 minutes on Monday given foul trouble. The depth of this team should help the Clippers’ defensive effort tonight as well as they have played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fourth game in the last ten days. Denver has played a decisive 52 of their last 89 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. And after not taking more than 85 shots during a four-game stretch, the Nuggets have launched 91 and 94 shots in their last two games — and they have then played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams are doing an admirable job slowing down the key offensive player for the other team. Denver is throwing swarms of defenders at Kawhi Leonard who had only 23 points on Monday. The Nuggets’ Jamal Murray may be tiring as he has not scored more than 17 points in three of his last four games — he is shooting just 20 of 53 (37.7%) in this series while making only 7 of his 23 shots (30.4%) from behind the arc. 10* NBA Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (711) and the Denver Nuggets (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (33) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (34) in Game One of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (46-25-13) enters this series after defeating Philadelphia in Game Seven of that Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series on Saturday with their 4-0 victory. Tampa Bay (53-26-6) won four straight games in their five-game series with Boston with a 3-2 victory over the Bruins last Monday. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing away from home in not more than their third game in ten days. The extended time off will likely see this Tampa Bay team sluggish. The Lightning have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have seen the Under go 16-4-2 in their last 22 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has not allowed more than two goals in their last three games — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games. New York has played 10 of their last 13 games away from home Under the Total after a win by at least four goals. The Under is also 5-2-3 in the Islanders’ last 10 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The grind of Barry Trotz’s team's schedule should contribute to this being a lower scoring game tonight. The Under is 37-18-3 in their last 58 games when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, New York has played 28 of their last 40 games Under the Total when playing their third game in five days — and they have played 22 of their last 29 games Under the Total when playing their fourth game in seven days.

FINAL TAKE: The Islanders has seen the Under go a decisive 46-19-4 in their last 69 games when playing as an underdog. 10* NHL NY Islanders-Tampa Bay NBC-Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (33) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (745) and the Miami Heat (746) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Miami (51-29) seized a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Friday with their 115-100 upset victory over the Bucks as a 5-point underdog. Milwaukee (60-21) has been upset in all three games in this series and now find themselves on the brink of elimination. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four straight games. Miami has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after pulling off two straight upset victories. The Heat opened as the favorite for the first time in this series — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when favored who also having played 7 of their last 9 playoff games Under the Total in the playoffs. Furthermore, Miami has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when up 3-0 in a playoff series under head coach Eric Spoelstra. Milwaukee has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss by at least 15 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo is a game-time decision in this game after he wrenched in his ankle in Game Three. Even if he plays, he will not be at full strength for this game.

FINAL TAKE: An adjustment that head coach Mike Budenholzer will likely make in this game is to not give as many minutes to center Brook Lopez who has been consistently exposed on defense against the Heat’s cadre of 3-point shooting big men. Getting Lopez off the court will help the Bucks’ defense but hinder their offense since he plays an important role in their 3-point shooting attack. These two teams have played 8 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total. Expect another lower-scoring game. 10* NBA Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (745) and the Miami Heat (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (731) and the Houston Rockets (732) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (47-31) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Monday with their 104-100 upset win over the Rockets as a 4.5-point underdog. Houston (47-31) ha lost three of their last four games in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets blew their opportunity to close out this series on Monday despite making 45.2% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five contests. Houston has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after an upset loss. The Rockets have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Houston has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. The pressure of the playoffs tends to play a role in making all the 3s this team launches not fall quite as much. Every statistical moment is not the same — pressure plays a role in these games despite the protestations from the analytics community. It was their last Game Seven against Golden State back in the spring of 2018 where the Rockets missed twenty-seven straight 3-point shots. Houston has played 17 of their last 23 playoff games Under the Total when tied in the series including six straight Unders. They also have played 18 of their last 23 playoff games Under the Total with the opportunity to close out the series. Additionally, the Rockets have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 20 of their last 32 games Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Oklahoma City has seen the Under go a decisive 48-21-1 in their last 70 games as an underdog. Additionally, the Thunder have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have played 28 of their last 45 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This team has also played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after winning three of their last four games. Finding consistent scoring options for head coach Billy Donovan has been an issue outside of Chris Paul who scored 15 of his 28 points on Monday in the 4th quarter. Donovan is still starting Lu Dort alongside Steven Adams despite their liabilities on offense. When they are on the floor in this series the Thunder are scoring at just a 66.7 points per 100 possession rate — the Rockets are comfortable playing off both of them to pack the paint. But they are giving Donovan defense as Houston is scoring at just an 89.3 points per 100 possession rate when those two are on the court. I don’t see Donovan moving away from starting this combo tonight.

FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total away from home when looking to avenge an upset loss. 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (731) and the Houston Rockets (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (20) versus the Colorado Avalanche (19) in Game Six of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (50-24-9) has won two of the last three games in this series after winning on Monday by a 6-3 score. Dallas (45-30-8) still holds a 3-2 lead in this series. This game will be played on neutral ice in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: All five games in this series have seen at least seven combined goals scored — but I suspect this is the game where the tone of this series changes like it did last night between Vancouver and Vegas which has been seeing a ton of goals before a lowering scoring 2-1 result last night. This is the third game in four days for these two teams as they make up for the two days scratched last week. The Avalanche have seen the Under go 39-15-4 in their last 58 games when playing their third game in four days including playing nineteen of their last twenty-eight games Under the Total in that situation. Colorado has also played 21 of their last 33 games Under the Total coming off a win or a tie in their last game. Furthermore, while the Avalanche have scored at least four goals in three straight games, they have then played 27 of their last 41 games away from home Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in their last game. Dallas has played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. The Stars have also played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. I am not sure who will be the goaltender for Dallas tonight after Ben Bishop was the surprise starter for them in Game Five. Bishop allowed four goals on nineteen shots on Monday but his defense deserves much of that blame. I suspect Bishop gets the call tonight as he is one of the best in the business when on his game. Perhaps he was rusty on Monday — but he had a 2.50 Goals-Against-Average along with a .920 save percentage in the regular season so he should be good to go if he is between the pipes tonight.

FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by just two goals — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least three goals. 10* NHL Colorado-Dallas NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (20) versus the Colorado Avalanche (19). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (730) and the Miami Heat (729) in Game Two of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (49-29) won the opening game of this series on Monday with their 115-104 upset victory over the Bucks as a 5-point underdog. Milwaukee (60-19) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with the loss. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And while this game came on the heels of their 99-87 victory over Indiana back on August 24th to complete their four-game sweep in that series, Miami has played 4 straight games Over the Total after winning their last two games by double-digits. The Heat have rested legs right now with the seven-day break between ending that series with the Pacers and beginning this series — and that should help push the score up in this contest. Miami has played 24 of their last 35 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in seven days. Milwaukee has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bucks have played 30 of their last 46 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 46 of their last 75 games after allowing at least 115 points in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 4 of their last 5 second games to a new playoff series Over the Total. Game One was cruising to finish way Over the Total before only 41 combined points were scored in the 4th quarter. I suspect that was an aberration. Expect all four of the quarters tonight to consist of brisk scoring. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (730) and the Miami Heat (729). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (717) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (718) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Houston (47-30) has the opportunity to close out this series tonight after their 114-80 victory over the Thunder as a 5-point favorite on Saturday. Oklahoma City (46-31) trails by a 3-2 margin in this series and will be looking to force a climactic seventh game for this series on Wednesday. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win by at least 15 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 85 points in their last game. Houston has also played 32 of their last 50 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Getting Russell Westbrook back on the court gave the Rockets another outstanding ball defender. They did a very good job of defending the Thunder’s attempt to create scoring opportunities via isolation — and they have forced them into taking too many ill-advised 3s. But Westbrook looked rusty as he missed ten of his thirteen shots from the field. Houston has still scored 114 points in each of their last two games — but they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after scoring at least 110 points in two straight games. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games away from home Under the Total when playing their second game in five days. Oklahoma City was a mess on offense as they made just 7 of their 46 shots from behind the arc en route to only making 31.5% of their shots overall. Head coach Billy Donovan has a dilemma on his hands. He needs to give Luguentz Dort playing time because he is his best defender against James Harden. But Dort is a liability on offense — he was just three of sixteen from the field on Saturday while missing all nine of his 3-pointers. Donovan is also playing Steven Adams to offer a rim protector (something he will likely feel compelled to do with Westbrook now healthy) — but when Adams is on the court with Dort, the Rockets are comfortable playing off both players and cram the paint. Oklahoma City has played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total with the number set at 220 or higher. The Under is also a decisive 47-21-1 in the Thunder’s last 69 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road by 30 or more points. 10* NBA Houston-Oklahoma City TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (717) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (718). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (709) and the Toronto Raptors (710) in Game One of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Boston (52-24) has won four straight games after their 110-106 win over Philadelphia last Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite as they completed their opening-round sweep of the 76ers. Toronto has won eight straight games after they swept Brooklyn in their opening-round series after defeating them last Sunday by a 150-122 score as a 14-point favorite. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Raptors 28-point victory over the Nets came on the heels of their 117-92 win over Brooklyn in Game Three of that series — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning two straight games by at least double-digits. Toronto has played a decisive 37 of their last 59 games Over the Total after a game where at least 235 points were scored — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a game where at least 245 combined points were scored. The Raptors made 50.4% of their shots in Game Three before improving on that effort by nailing 55.4% of their shots in Game Four — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after shooting 50% from the field in two straight games. The Raptors are playing at a fast pace as they attempted 91 shots in Game Three before taking 101 shots in Game Four — and they have then played 15 of their last 20 games away from home Over the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. For the season, the Raptors average 88 shot attempts per game — and Boston has played 28 of their last 47 games Over the Total against teams who average at least 88 shots per game. The long rest should ensure the Celtics have fresh legs that usually help their offensive attack. Boston has played 41 of their last 63 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest — and they have played 8 straight games Over the Total when playing not more than their third game in ten days. Additionally, the Celtics have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 70%.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are dealing with significant injuries. Boston will be without Gordon Hayward who is on the shelf with an ankle injury. Toronto may be without Kyle Lowry who is questionable with an ankle injury of his own. The Raptors average 3.5 more possessions per game when Lowry is not on the court — so his potential absence should lead Toronto to play quicker. These two teams played in the bubble on August 7th where the Celtic won by a 122-100 score as a 2-point underdog. Toronto has played 32 of their last 51 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed their opponent to score at least 110 points including eight of these last thirteen situations. 10* NBA Boston-Toronto ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (709) and the Toronto Raptors (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (1) and the Boston Bruins (2) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (51-24-6) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 7-1 victory over the Bruins. Boston (49-19-13) remains the technical home team for this game which gives them the right to make the final line change. This game was originally scheduled for Friday but was cancelled with the NHL joining the protest regarding recent events in Wisconsin. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston will tighten things up on defense for Game Four. The Bruins have played 50 of their last 77 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games away from home Under the Toal after allowing five or more goals in their last contest. And while they surrendered five goals on Tuesday in their 5-4 loss in Game Two of this series on Tuesday, they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in two straight games. Additionally, Boston has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Remember, this team had allowed only seven combined goals in their previous four games before seeing the eleven combined goals in these last two games in this series. And in their last 41 games when playing their third game in five days away from home, the Bruins have played 25 of these games Under the Total. Tampa Bay has played 21 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a victory by at least five goals. The Lightning have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. This team demonstrated in their series with Columbus that they are more comfortable playing in a grinding defensive style that is more conducive to playoff hockey. They have allowed only four goals in the last two games of this series. Furthermore, the Under is also 5-2-2 in their last 9 games when the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. The Bruins have also played 33 of their last 49 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals. 10* NHL Saturday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (927) and the Los Angeles Angels (928) listing both starting pitchers Nick Margevicius and Andrew Heaney. THE SITUATION: Seattle (13-20) has won five of their last six games with their 8-3 win at San Diego yesterday. Los Angeles (10-22) snapped a three-game losing streak in the second game of a doubleheader at Houston on Tuesday with a 12-5 victory.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mariners have played 22 of their last 31 games on the road Over the Total as an underdog priced in the +150 to +200 range — and the Over is also 9-3-1 in their last 13 games on the road with the Total set in the 9 to 10.5 range. They give the ball to Margevicius who is 1-1 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.02 WHIUP in three starts and six overall appearances spanning 19 2/3 innings. He last pitched a week last Friday when he allowed four runs in 5 1/3 innings of work against Texas — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Margevicius with five or six days of rest. The left-handed was just 2-6 last year with a 6.79 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP in 57 innings of work — and he saw his ERA rise to a 7.03 ERA in his 24 1/3 innings on the road. He faces an Angels team that has played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Los Angeles has also played 4 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. The Angels finally get back on the field after hurricanes and player strikes regarding the events in Wisconsin postponed their games since Tuesday. Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win — and the Over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, the Angels have played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing at home. The Over is also 8-2-1 in LA’s last 11 games with the Total set in the 9 to 10.5 range. They counter with Heaney who is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in six starts this season. The lefty was 4-6 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP last season — and he was less effective at home where he owned a 4.92 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP along with an opponent’s batting average of .281.

FINAL TAKE: Heaney faces a hot-hitting Mariners team that is scoring 6.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .276 batting average along with a .335 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .813. Seattle has played 4 straight games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 10* MLB Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (927) and the Los Angeles Angels (928) listing both starting pitchers Nick Margevicius and Andrew Heaney. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (714) plus the points versus the Utah Jazz (713) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Utah (47-29) has won three straight games in this series after winning Game Four of this series on Sunday with their 129-127 loss as a 3.5-point favorite. Denver (47-30) finds themselves on the brink of elimination tonight. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have scored at least 124 points in all four games of this series — and they have nailed at least 51.2% of their shots in their last three victories after they shot 57.5% from the field on Sunday which included them making 48% of their 3-pointers. Utah has an effective field goal percentage of 61% in the playoffs which is the best mark of all sixteen teams. The Over is 19-9-1 in the Jazz’s last 29 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Utah has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Jazz have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as a favorite. Denver has been overmatched on the defensive end of the court while missing the injured Gary Harris and Will Barton who are two of their better perimeter defenders. The Nuggets have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Over is a decisive 35-14-2 in Denver’s last 51 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after scoring at least 125 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by just 3 points or less. 10* NBA Utah-Denver TNT O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Monday, will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Miami Heat (706) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Miami (47-29) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 124-115 victory over the Pacers as a 5-point favorite. Indiana (45-31) faces elimination from the playoffs. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Brooklyn Nets decided to not play defense yesterday when they were down 3-0 in their series with Toronto — and that is something I have considered for this game. These bubble games on neutral courts without fans where playoff elimination does have the benefit of offering the losing players the liberation of returning to their families. Yet I expect the Pacers to avoid the fate of the Nets’ players yesterday — they consistently play hard for head coach Nate McMillan. Besides, the longer they can keep this series alive, the better the chances they can get Domantas Sabonis who has returned to the bubble and is quarantining after dealing with plantar fasciitis. His return could be a game-changer for Indiana in this series. One game at a time. Indiana lost on Saturday despite making 48.8% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. The Pacers started slowly in Game Three by falling behind by a 74-56 margin — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after falling behind by at least 15 points at halftime in their last game. Indiana has also played 12 of their last 19 games on the road when playing their fourth game in seven days. Additionally, the Pacers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total as an underdog in the playoffs. Indiana has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing a team with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. And in their last 77 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the Pacers have played 46 of these games Under the Total. Miami made 45.3% of their shots on Saturday which was their best shooting mark in this series. The Heat have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the playoffs with a 3-0 lead under head coach Erik Spoelstra. They also have played 6 of their last 8 playoff games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Indiana has played 42 of their last 68 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. The first two games of this series went Under the Total before Game Three’s Over. Expect another lower scoring game tonight. 10* NBA Indiana-Miami TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Miami Heat (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (703) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (704) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (45-30) won their first game in this series on Saturday with their 119-107 victory in overtime over the Rockets as a 2.5-point underdog. Houston (46-29) still holds a 2-1 lead in this series. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Thunder made only 44.6% of their shots on Saturday yet that was still the best shooting effort in their last six games. Oklahoma City has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after an upset victory. The Under is also 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after a point spread victory. Head coach Billy Donovan looks to have decided to trade offense for defense in this series by giving significant minutes to big man Steven Adams and Luguentz Dort who has the defensive assignment of covering James Harden. Dort did a nice job on Harden in Game Three by limiting him to just 12 of 27 shooting along with him making only 3 of his 13 shots from behind the arc. But Adams and Dort are not shooters nor big offensive threats which makes it easier on the switching Rockets’ defense. The Under is 41-20-1 in Oklahoma City’s last 62 games as an underdog — and they have played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Thunder have also played 21 of their last 30 games with the Total set in the 220s. Houston has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an upset loss. The Rockets have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Houston has seen their shooting percentage decline in each game in this series so the grind of playing every other day may be getting to their 3-point shooting fest. This is a team that has played 8 straight games Under the Total on the road when playing their fourth game in seven days. The Rockets have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Houston has played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. Expect a lower-scoring game. 10* NBA Houston-Oklahoma City TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (703) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (745) and the Brooklyn Nets (746). THE SITUATION: Brooklyn (35-39) finds themselves on the brink of elimination today after losing Game Three of this series on Friday by a 117-92 score as an 11-point underdog. Toronto (55-19) has won seven straight games. This game will be played on a neutral court in Orlando.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nets really miss their best 3-point shooter in Joe Harris who left the team to deal with a family emergency. Without Harris’ outside shooting threat, the Raptors pay more attention to Jarrett Allen close to the basket. Brooklyn maned only 22 points in the paint on Friday. They also made only 16 of their 51 shots (31.4%) from behind the arc while settling for a 33.3% shooting percentage overall. Interim head coach Jacques Vaughn was already dealing with a depleted roster with seven of the players he had in March not making the trip to Orlando. This Nets team lacks scoring options. Brooklyn has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a loss to an Atlantic Division rival. The Nets have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Brooklyn has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after losing two straight games against Atlantic Division rivals. And in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog, the Nets have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Toronto may be due for a scoring letdown after making 50.5% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their eleven games in the bubble. The Raptors have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They also have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points — and they have played 27 of their last 35 games Under the Total after winning at least two in a row against a divisional rival.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. 10* NBA Toronto-Brooklyn TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (745) and the Brooklyn Nets (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Bayern Munich (224301) and Paris Saint-Germain (224302) in the Finals of the UEFA Champions League. THE SITUATION: Bayern Munich reached the Finals of the Champions League on Wednesday with their 3-0 victory over Lyon. Paris Saint-Germain got to the Finals of the European Championship the day before with their 2-1 victory over RB Leipzig. This match is being played on a neutral field in Lisbon, Portugal.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Bayern Munich has now won twenty straight matches across all competitions with their victory over a surging Lyon team out of Ligue 1. Lyon had just come off a 3-1 upset victory over Manchester City on Sunday. They are a defensive-oriented club so scoring three goals against them was impressive. The Bavarians have scored 42 goals in their ten Champions League games which is top-flight competition for their European tournament which only the top teams in Europe qualify to compete in. Bayern Munich has averaged a robust 3.51 expected goals per game in their ten Champions League matches so they are not getting lucky with their high scoring totals. The Bavarians high-line has them play very aggressively which can overwhelm their opposition. That is what happened to Barcelona in the Quarterfinals of this tournament who Bayern Munich blitzed with eight goals in their 8-2 victory last weekend. But that does make the Bavarians vulnerable in the back themselves. Lyon had scoring chances on Wednesday — they generated 1.74 expected goals despite failing to put the ball in the back of the net. Paris Saint-Germain will likely take advantage of these scoring opportunities. They averaged 2.41 expected goals per game in their Champions League contests. They were trailing 1-0 late in their Quarterfinals match against Atalanta — but getting Kylian Mbappe back on the pitch who did not start because of an injury made all the difference for Les Parisians as he jumpstarted the PSG attack with the necessary two late goals to steal that game. Mbappe was back in full force than last Saturday in helping to lead PSG to their easy 3-0 victory over a strong defensive side in RB Leipzig. And all this commentary about PSG has yet to mention Neymar who has the opportunity in this match to make the case that he is the best player in the world. Neymar may be “due” to score a goal after generating 1.68 expected goals in the Quarterfinals and Semifinals without getting the ball in the back of the net.

FINAL TAKE: These are two teams with dynamic offensive attacks. Sometimes these championship games tend to be lower-scoring affairs with both teams playing cautiously — but that is a style that neither team is most comfortable playing. Expect a higher-scoring match. 25* UEFA Champions League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Bayern Munich (224301) and Paris Saint-Germain (224302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (65) and the Vegas Golden Knights (66). THE SITUATION: Chicago (36-33-9) staved off elimination on Sunday with their 3-1 victory over the Golden Knights. Vegas (45-25-8) still leads this series by a 3-1 margin — and they are the technical home team again for this contest which gives them the final line change option. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Centre in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Despite the final score on Sunday, the Blackhawks have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when facing elimination in the playoffs — and that is a team trend that encompasses the long playoff history of core players Patrick Kane, Jonathan Tows, and Duncan Keith. Chicago has also played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing their third game on the road in five days. The Blackhawks have only allowed three combined goals in the last two games of this series — but they have then played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games. Additionally, Chicago has played 26 of their last 38 games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning record. Vegas has played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. Defenseman Nate Schmidt claimed after Sunday's game that it was probably the team’s best offensive effort in this series despite getting to the back of the net only once. The expected goals indicate that the Golden Knights should have scored 2.82 goals on Sunday — they peppered Chicago goalie Corey Crawford with 48 shots. Vegas led the NHL in the regular season in expected goal percentage when playing on five-on-five. This series has seen two straight Unders — but the Knights have played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders. And while Vegas had been on a nine-game winning streak before their loss on Sunday, they have then played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four contests.

FINAL TAKE: The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road by more than one goal. 20* NHL Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (65) and the Vegas Golden Knights (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (757) and the Los Angeles Clippers (758) in the opening game of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (43-32) enters the playoffs on a two-game losing streak after losing to Phoenix on Thursday by a 128-102 score as an 8-point underdog. Los Angeles (49-23) has won their last two games as well as four of their last five contests with their 107-102 win over Oklahoma City on Friday as a 3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks are challenged on the defensive end of the court — but head coach Rick Carlisle will demand more from his team after allowing the Suns to make 55.1% of their shots. That was the worst defensive effort of their eight games inside the bubble. Dallas has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They also have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. And the Mavericks have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Furthermore, Dallas allowed all eight of their opponents inside the bubble to score at least 110 points — but they have then played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 110 points in four straight contests. Los Angeles is an outstanding defensive team when fully engaged with all their best players. They will probably not have the services of Patrick Beverley for this game as he recovers from his calf injury but they will have Montrezl Harrell returning to the court after clearing the quarantine protocols. But with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, head coach Doc Rivers has two incredible safety valve options who can defend Luka Doncic. The Clippers have played 8 of their last 10 games in the playoffs Under the Total when favored — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, Los Angeles has played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total on the road after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games away from home after a narrow win by 6 points or less.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last met on August 6th in the bubble when the Clippers easily defeated the Mavericks by a 126-111 score. Dallas has then played 54 of their last 88 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a same-season loss under Carlisle. 10* NBA Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (757) and the Los Angeles Clippers (758). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (53) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (54) in the fourth game of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (47-23-6) seized a 2-1 lead in this series on Saturday with their 3-2 victory over the Blue Jackets. Columbus (36-25-7) remains the technical home team for Game Four this afternoon which gives them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning started slow on Saturday by conceding three straight Power Plays in the first ten minutes of that game while being outshot by a 9 to 2 margin. But Tampa Bay then tightened things up by focusing on puck possession and playing keep away — they only allowed the Blue Jackets to have just 8 more shots in the remaining 50:19 minutes of that game. The Lightning have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a victory. The Under is also 13-3-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 18 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Head coach Jon Cooper has his team playing grind-it-out hockey in this postseason as a response to them being swept in the first round of last year’s playoffs to these Blue Jackets despite earning the President’s Trophy for the best record in the regular season. The Lightning are averaging only 2.33 Goals-Per-Game in their six games in the bubble — and they have scored only 7 goals in the three games in this series which includes that opening game five-overtime affair which adds another game and a half to the minutes' ledger of this series. But Tampa Bay has surrendered only 7 goals in this series as well which is what certainly pleases Cooper since a commitment to defense is necessary to make deep runs in the Stanley Cup playoffs. Conceding only 17 shots in their last game is a great formula for lower scoring contests. Moving forward, the Under is 3-0-2 in the Lightning’s last 5 games as a favorite. Columbus has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. The Blue Jackets have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Head coach John Tortorella gave his team yesterday off after they have played over 122 minutes of overtime in their last six games. The Blue Jackets should have more energy on defense for this crucial Game Four. They are getting outstanding goaltending from Joonas Korpisalo who has a 1.51 Goals-Against-Average with a .956 save percentage in seven playoff games in the bubble.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now seen the Under go 26-10-3 in the last 39 meetings between these two teams. Expect another lower-scoring game. 10* NHL Monday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (53) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (929) and the New York Yankees (930) listing both starting pitchers Chris Mazza and J.A. Happ. THE SITUATION: Boston (6-15) has lost six straight games after dropping the second game of this series yesterday by an 11-5 score. New York (14-6) has now won four straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a loss. Additionally, the Over is 3-0-1 in Boston’s last 4 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Furthermore, the Over is 5-0-1 in the Red Sox’s last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. They called up Mazza from their alternative training facility after he pitched 2 2/3 inning for the team early in the season. The right-hander was with the Mets last season where he was 1-1 with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP in nine appearances spanning 16 1/3 innings. Mazza won’t get much support from the Red Sox bullpen which has a 5.44 ERA along with a 1.55 WHIP this season. He faces this mighty Yankees lineup who is scoring 7.6 Runs-Per-Game in their nine games at home with a Ted Williams-like .301 batting average (in this swing for the fences era) along with a .384 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .958. New York has seen the Over go 5-0-2 in their last 7 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is 5-0-2 in New York’s last 7 games after a win. The Over is also 5-0-2 in the Yankees’ last 7 home games when favored — and the Over is 17-6-3 in their last 26 games when facing a team with a winning percentage below 40%. They counter with Happ who is 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA and a 2.14 WHIP in two starts. He was roughed up in his last appearance where he allowed four runs in just 3 innings of work at Philadelphia. The left-hander was 12-8 last year with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP — but he was not as effective at home in Yankee Stadium where he was burdened with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in sixteen starts with opposing batters hitting .286 against him. The writing was on the wall for him when manager Aaron Boone barely used him in the postseason. He faces a Red Sox team that does hit lefties — they are averaging 5.4 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers while posting a .289 batting average along with a .330 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .800. Boston has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Red Sox have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss where they allowed at least six runs. And while Boston has now lost eight straight games to their arch-rivals in the Yankees, they have played 23 of their last 29 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from at least five straight losses to their opponent. 10* MLB Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (929) and the New York Yankees (930) listing both starting pitchers Chris Mazza and J.A. Happ. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (37) and the Arizona Coyotes (38) in the third game of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-20-9) took a 2-0 lead in this series yesterday with their 3-2 victory over the Coyotes. Arizona (36-31-8) becomes the technical home team for Game Three tonight which gives them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Center in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche have allowed two goals or less in four of their five games played inside the bubble — and they have surrendered just eight goals in those five contests. Expect another lower-scoring contest as they have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, Colorado has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 9 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals, the Under is now 7-1-1. They may be undermanned at the forward position with both Joonas Donskoi and Vladislav Namesnikov dealing with undisclosed injuries. The Coyotes have not had the services of their top-line center, Nick Schmaltz, who has been out since sustaining an injury in the exhibition bubble games against Vegas. This team needs his 11 goals and 34 assists during the regular season considering that they have scored only twice in this series. Arizona has played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing without rest. And the Under is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games when facing a team with a winning percentage over 60%. Furthermore, while the Coyotes have allowed three goals in three straight games, they have then played seventeen of their last twenty-four games under the total after allowing at least three goals in three straight games.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played four straight games Under the Total — and the Avalanche have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. With both these teams playing without rest while having their forward depth challenged with injuries, expect another lower scoring game. 10* NHL Saturday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (37) and the Arizona Coyotes (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:38 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (33) and the Calgary Flames (34) in the third game of their Western Conference quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (39-27-8) evened this series at a game apiece last night with their 5-4 victory. Calgary (40-29-7) becomes the technical home team for Game Three tonight which gives them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Center in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Dallas has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a high scoring game where at least nine combined goals where scored. The Stars blew a 4-2 lead with under 8 minutes to go in that game before they scored the winning goal with just 40 seconds left before overtime. Dallas has then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period. Look for the Stars to get back to their stout defensive play after surrendering seven combined goals in their last two games. Dallas has played 25 of their last 38 games on the road Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. The Stars had been struggling on offense before last night — they had scored only seven goals in their previous four games inside the bubble. Dallas has only won two of their last eleven contests going back to the pre-stoppage play — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. The Stars have also played 21 of their last 36 games Under the Total when playing without rest. Calgary has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing without rest — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing their third game in four days. The Flames have also played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total away from home after a game where they at least eight combined goals were scored. And in their last 16 road games after allowing at least five goals in their last game, Calgary has played 12 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Flames may be missing their start forward in Matthew Tkachuk who absorbed a big hit late in the 3rd period last night from which he did not return. Tkachuk had 23 goals in the regular season along with another 38 assists so he will be missed if he does not play. Expect a lower-scoring game between these two teams. 20* NHL Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (33) and the Calgary Flames (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:38 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vancouver Canucks (29) and the St. Louis Blues (30) in Game Two of their Western Conference quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Vancouver (40-28-6) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday with their 5-2 victory over the Blues. St. Louis (42-22-11) remains the technical home team for Game Two tonight which does give them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Center in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Canucks are loaded with exciting young talent who have exploded for 17 goals in their five games inside the bubble. Elias Peterson and Brock Boeser are both exciting talents — but it has been the emergence of defenseman Quinn Hughes who has been the eye-popper with the former Michigan Wolverine having one goal with six assists already in the team’s five games in the bubble. Vancouver has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a victory. And the Canucks have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, Vancouver has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Over is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games as an underdog. St. Louis has been rusty and perhaps uninspired in their opening games inside the bubble. But expect the reigning Stanley Cup champions to raise their level of play with their loss on Wednesday being a wake-up call that they are engaged in playoff hockey despite the unique circumstances. The Blues have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a loss by at least three goals. St. Louis has also played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. But stopping their opponent has been the biggest issue for this team so far in the restart as they have surrendered 15 goals in their four losses. The Blues have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the playoffs when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Don’t be surprised to see some 3rd period scoring in this game. Vancouver has scored seven goals in the 3rd period in their five games while St. Louis has surrendered nine goals in their four games in the final 20 minutes. The Blues have yet to score in the 3rd period in the bubble but I am expecting a champion’s effort from this team tonight — albeit against a very dangerous opponent. 10* NHL Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Vancouver Canucks (29) and the St. Louis Blues (30). Best of luck for us — Frank (and don't miss his 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Year that goes later tonight).

At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Bayern Munich (224229) and Barcelona (224230) in the Quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League. THE SITUATION: Bayern Munich reached the Quarterfinals of the Champions League knockout stage last Friday with their 4-1 victory over Chelsea which clinched their dominant 7-1 aggregate score over the Blues. Barcelona joined them in the Quarterfinals last Friday with their 3-1 win over Napoli which led them to a 4-2 aggregate score. This match will be played on a neutral field at Estadio Jose Alvalade in Lisbon, Portugal.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL:  Bayern Munich is a machine right now with eighteen straight victories across all competitions along with being unbeaten in their last twenty-seven games with twenty-six victories. Against the elite Champions League competition, they generated 3.27 expected goals (xG). Since the return to play, the Bavarians have scored 37 goals in their twelve matches. Over the last three competitive non-friendly matches, they have scored 12 times. While Bayern Munich has ten players on their roster that have scored at least four goals this season, they are led by striker Robert Lewandowski who has averaged an incredible 1.4 expected goals per 90 minutes of play. And while the appointment of manager Hansi Flick paid dividends with improved play on defense given his tactical and lineup changes, teams can score on the Bavarians. Chelsea was undermanned last week without Christian Pulisic and Willian in their attack. Bayer Leverkusen scored twice against them in both their Bundesliga fixtures which resulted in 4-2 victories for the Bavarians. Tottenham and Borussia Monchengladbach also scored against this team since the appointment of Setien. There is a very good chance that this Barcelona team led by Lionel Messi will exploit the aggressive high-press that Flick likes to deploy. Despite the final score, Barca was not impressive in their victory over Lyon. They managed only 1.06 expected goals (xG) with their non-penalty kicks xG dropping to just a 0.31 mark. They were playing without the suspended Arturo Vidal and Sergio Busquets so getting them back on the pitch will help the Barcelona attack. And if Barca falls behind early in this match, look for manager Quique Setien to turn to his young rising stars in Riqui Puig and Ansu Fati who possess dynamic offensive skills. This roster needs an overhaul — and it starts with their defense with a lack of quality central defenders. Gerard Pique is far too slow at this point in his career. Barcelona had a troubling 1.41 expected goals allowed (xGA) mark entering last week’s match. This team has become much too dependent on Messi who accounts for 34% of the team’s xG.

FINAL TAKE: With both these teams deploying open and aggressive styles, expect a higher scoring match. 10* Champions League Bayern Munich-Barcelona O/U Special with Over the Total in the match between Bayern Munich (224229) and Barcelona (224230). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (19) and the Vegas Golden Knights (20) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (43-24-8) won the opening game of this series on Tuesday with their 4-1 victory over the Blackhawks. Chicago (35-32-8) had won their previous two games to close out their qualifying playoff series with Edmonton. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights have played  16 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a win by at least two goals — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a victory by at least three goals. Vegas has won all four of their games in the bubble — and they have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after being unbeaten in at least two straight contests. The Golden Knights have been an offensive juggernaut since the restart as they have scored 19 goals in their four contests while finding the back of the net at least four times in all four of those games. Vegas has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least three goals in five straight games (and their last game before the stoppage was a 3-2 victory that was coincidentally played in Edmonton against the Oilers). But the Golden Knights has surrendered ten goals in their first three games with each opponent scoring at least three times before goalie Robin Lehner allowed only one goal on Tuesday. The Over is 11-3-2 in Vegas’ last 16 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Over is 18-6-2 in Chicago’s last 26 games after a loss by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Blackhawks have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. Chicago needs to Patrick Kane more active in the attack after he only had one shot in his 20:55 minutes of ice time on Tuesday. Kane scored 33 goals in the regular season while adding another 51 assists — and he scored one time with three assists in the qualifying series against the Oilers. The Blackhawks had scored 16 goals in those four games against Edmonton with at least three goals scored in each of those contests. This is a loaded offensive team that should be much more active tonight. The Over is 17-6-6 in Chicago’s last 29 games in the playoffs as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago is playing with double revenge having the last regular-season meeting between these two teams by a 5-1 score in December. The Blackhawks have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they did not score more than one goal — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least three goals. Additionally, Chicago has played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total when playing with double revenge where they lost each game by more than one goal. And don’t lose the faith if this is a lower scoring game entering the 3rd period as the Golden Knights have scored 10 goals in the 3rd period in their four games in the bubble. 20* NHL Chicago-Vegas NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (19) and the Vegas Golden Knights (20). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Paris Saint-Germain (224217) and Atalanta (224218) in the Quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League. THE SITUATION: Paris Saint-Germain reached the Quarterfinals of the Championship League back in March when they defeated Borussia Dortmund by a 2-0 score on March 11th to defeat them by an aggregate 3-2 score. Atalanta qualified for the Quarterfinals of this tournament the day before on March 10th when they defeated Valencia by a 4-3 score to win that Round of 16 contest by an aggregate 8-4 score. Given the pandemic, the two-leg knockout stage format where both teams host a match has been replaced with a single game elimination process played on a neutral field in Lisbon, Portugal. This match will take place at Estadio da Luz which is the home stadium for Benfica.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Paris Saint-Germain is an offensive juggernaut. Their 3.33 expected goals (xG) average is the highest mark of the top-five professional leagues in Europe. They are led by Neymar who has scored 12 goals in PSG’s last sixteen Knockout Stage matches. Les Parisiens are undermanned in this match with Angel Di Maria suspended for this contest while Kylian Mbappe and Marco Verrati dealing with injuries. Mbappe suffered his knock in the team’s last match which was a 1-0 victory in a friendly over Sochaux on August 5th. Rust is a factor for this team since they have played only two matches in five months after Ligue 1 canceled the remainder of their season in March when COVID-19 hit. This lack of cohesion may impact the qualify of their defense more than their offensive attack. In the Champions League this season, PSG generated 2.23 xG in those matches. However, they also saw their expected goals allowed (xGA) rise to 1.18 which was almost 33% higher than the 0.81 xGA they enjoyed in Ligue 1 play. PSG has scored at least one goal in thirty-two straight Champions League matches going back to the 2015-16 campaign. Atalanta finished in 3rd place in Serie A just 5 points behind Juventus who won the top-flight Italian professional league. La Dea did have the best season in Serie A according to the expected goals as they topped the league in expected points (xPTS). Atalanta’s strength lies in their offensive attack as the led Serie A by generating 2.31 xG per match. La Dea scored 98 goals in league play this season which was the third-highest mark in the top-five European professional leagues. But this team is vulnerable on defense — they have allowed the most goals in the Champions League of the eight teams still competing for the championship. Atalanta’s Champions League opponents this season has generated an alarming 2.01 xG. To compound matters, La Dea will be without their top keeper in Pierluigi Gollini due to injury which means they will be relying on Marco Sportello who made only five starts in league play this season. Atalanta will also be without their top scorer, Josip Illicic, who did not rejoin the team this summer — but manager Gian Piero Gasperini has plenty of offensive talent at his disposal. This team was W21-D3-L1 in their twenty-five road matches across all competitions this season where they scored at least two goals in eighteen of those matches.

FINAL TAKE: Styles make fights — and both of these teams prefer to play in a proactive and open style. These are two teams that rely on their offensive attacks. Expect plenty of goals. 25* UEFA Champions League Quarterfinals Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Paris Saint-Germain (224217) and Atalanta (224218). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (7) and the Vegas Golden Knights (8) in Game One of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Chicago (35-31-8) qualified for the Western Conference playoffs by winning their qualifying series with Edmonton after they defeated the Oilers on Friday by a 3-2 score. Vegas (42-24-8) claimed the top seed in the Western Conference on Sunday when they defeated Colorado by a 4-3 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: There were 31 combined goals scored in the four games between the Blackhawks and Oilers’ last week. Chicago likes to run-and-gun with their veteran superstar forwards Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews — and they are complemented by some intriguing younger talent. But look for this team to step back to lean on some defensive tactics against this loaded Vegas team. The Blackhawks allowed only five combined goals in their last two games against a potent Edmonton offensive attack. Goalie Corey Crawford played his best two games of the series in those final two games including making 43 saves on Friday including 20 saves in the final period. Crawford missed training time after dealing with his COVID-19 infection — and he was off to begin that series with the Oilers. The four-day break will certainly help him. Remember, Crawford has been a winning Stanley Cup champion goaltender for this organization. The Golden Knights are one of the best possession teams in the league — they outshoot their opponents by +5.2 shots per game. Chicago has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams who outshoot their opponents by at least 3 shots per game. The Blackhawks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Chicago has scored at least three goals in their last five games — but not only have they then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in four straight games, they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in five straight contests. Vegas has allowed at least three goals in all three games in the bubble — but they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in three straight games. They also have played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing a game where both teams scored at least three goals. Robin Lehner will get the start between the pipes for this game with head coach Peter DeBoer impressed with his focus and work discipline since the stoppage of play. Frankly, the Golden Knights have two high-level goaltenders with Lehner and Marc-Andre Fleury. Vegas will tighten their level of play now that the playoffs have started — the seeding round-robin games were glorified preseason games. Their formula for success against the Blackhawks will be to keep the puck away from Kane and Toews — and their star forward Mark Stone is one of the best defensive forwards in the league. Chicago gets outshot by -3.2 shots per game — and the Golden Knights have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when facing teams who get outshot by at least -3.0 shots per game. The Under is also 3-0-1 in Vegas’ last 4 games against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on December 10th where the Golden Knights won by a 5-1 score in Sin City. Chicago has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least five goals. Furthermore, in games in the second half of the season involving a team (with a winning percentage in the 45-55% range) that is playing with revenge from a loss on the road by at least four goals, these games finished Under the Total in 64 of these last 99 situations over the last five seasons. 10* NHL Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (7) and the Vegas Golden Knights (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (929) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (930) listing both starting pitchers Johnny Cueto and Clayton Kershaw. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (6-9) has lost two straight games as well as five of their last six contests after losing the opening game of this series last night by a 7-2 score. Los Angeles (10-4) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 2-0-2 in the Giants’ last 4 games after a loss. This is San Francisco’s sixth straight game against an NL West rival — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after losing two in a row to a divisional foe. Furthermore, the Under is 5-0-2 in the Giants’ last 7 road games as an underdog — and San Fran has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as an underdog priced at +250 or higher. They give the ball to Cueto who comes off a solid outing at Coors Field where he allowed only two earned runs in 5 innings of work on Tuesday. The right-hander has a 0-0 record with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in three starts this season. While he has been limited by Tommy John surgery over the last few seasons, the savvy veteran still has a few tricks up his sleeve. He also has consistently been more effective when pitching on the road. Since 2017, Cueto has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP in 106 innings on the road with 107 strikeouts. His teams have played 12 of their last 18 road games Under the Total with him pitching as a big underdog priced at least at +150. He faces a Dodgers’ lineup that is hitting just .232 in ten games against right-handed starting pitchers this season with a .288 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .762. The Under is 8-3-2 in Los Angeles’ last 13 games after a win — and the Under is 9-2-2 in their last 13 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 5-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 7 games against teams with a losing record — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games as a favorite. They counter with Kershaw who threw 5 2/3 shutout innings in his first start of the season on Monday at Arizona. The left-hander was 16-5 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP last season — and he saw his ERA lower to a 2.89 mark in his sixteen starts at home. He should enjoy another strong outing against this Giants team that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .235 batting average, .276 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .632 this season. The Under is also 4-0-1 in San Francisco’s last 5 road games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Expect another lower-scoring game. 10* MLB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (929) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (930) listing both starting pitchers Johnny Cueto and Clayton Kershaw. Best of luck for us — Frank

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Chelsea (224209) and Bayern Munich (224210) in the second-leg of their Round of 16 UEFA Champions League match. THE SITUATION: Bayern Munich won the first-leg of this duel at Stamford Bridge by a 3-0 score back on February 25th. Chelsea now has to travel to Allianz Arena in Munich needing to both upset the Bavarians while winning by at least three goals to win advance to the Quarterfinals next week.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: A theoretical 3-0 Chelsea victory would force penalty kicks with the aggregate score being 3-3 with both teams scoring three goals on the road (the first tiebreaker). But it is highly unlikely that the Blues will shutout this explosive Bayern Munich side. The Bavarians averaged 2.80 expected goals per game in Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal domestic contests this season which is the second-highest mark of any team playing in one of the top-five European Leagues (PSG leads in that metric). Bayern Munich has scored at least four goals in five of their last ten competitive matches (non-friendlies). Manager Hansi Flick has indicated that his top players will take part in this match despite the big lead from the first leg since he needs to build up their fitness for their likely Quarterfinals match next week. Defense has been a big concern for this Chelsea team all season — they had an expected goals allowed (xGA) mark of 1.23 xGA this season. The Blues are also missing some of their key defensive pieces for this contest as well. Not only did Chelsea blow a 1-0 lead against Arsenal last Sunday in their 2-1 loss to Arsenal in the English FA Cup Final but they also suffered a number of costly injuries. Defenseman Cesar Azpilicueta was injured in that match and will not be able to play this afternoon. N’bolo Kante did not play last week with an injury that may keep him out in this one. Even worse, defenseman Marco Alonso and defensive midfielder Jorginho are suspended for this game given yellow cards. Chelsea is also missing Christian Pulisic and Pedro who got injured last week but manager Frank Lampard still has the services of forward Olivier Giroud. With the goalie issues Lampard has with both Kepa Arrizabalaga and Willy Caballero both underperforming when compared to typical replacement level keepers. The Blues will need to play aggressively to have much of a chance.

FINAL TAKE: Both teams are likely to score in this contest with Chelsea only being blanked once in their last fifteen matches and Bayern Munich having played seventeen straight competitive matches where they scored at least one goal. The Bavarians have seen at least four combined goals in six of their last ten competitive matches as well. The Blues are not a team that will park the bus. Even when getting shutout in the first leg of this showdown, they generated 1.16 xG while allowing Bayern Munich to register 3.12 xG. Expect a higher-scoring match. 25* UEFA Champions League Round of 16 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Chelsea (224209) and Bayern Munich (224210). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (711) and the Toronto Raptors (712). THE SITUATION: Boston (45-230 enters this game coming off a 149-115 win over Brooklyn as an 8.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Toronto (49-18) has won seven straight games going back to before the stoppage of play after their 107-99 win over Orlando on Wednesday as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points — and they have also played 28 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a blowout victory by at least 30 points. Boston shot 56.8% from the field against the Nets in what was the best shooting effort in their four games inside the bubble. The Celtics lead all teams since the restart with a 121.9 points per 100 possession scoring average — but they were able to prop up their stats in two of their games against weak defensive teams in Portland and the Nets on Wednesday. They made only 40.7% of their shots in their opening game loss to Milwaukee. Moving forward, Boston has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog. Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Raptors nailed 48.7% of their shots against the Magic which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. But Toronto is just 20th of the twenty-two teams in the bubble by averaging 105.2 points per 100 possessions. The Raptors are dominating teams because of their commitment to defense. They are 2nd of the teams inside the bubble by holding their opponents to just 96.1 points per 100 possessions — and they have held two of their four opponents to below 100 points. Toronto has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: Boston will be looking to avenge a 113-97 upset loss at home to Toronto back on December 28th. The Celtics have played 19 of their last 27 games on the road Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss at home. 10* NBA Boston-Toronto TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (711) and the Toronto Raptors (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (57) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (58). THE SITUATION: Columbus (34-24-15) seized a 2-1 lead in this best-of-five series yesterday when they rallied from a 3-0 deficit in the second period to force overtime before winning by a 4-3 score. Toronto (38-26-9) now finds themselves on the brink of elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Head coach John Tortorella made the right move in benching goalie Joonas Korpisalo in the second period after giving up that third goal. Elvis Merzlikins came in to stop the 21 shots he faced over the last 49:35 minutes of that game to help the Blue Jackets steal that game. Merzlikins will get the start tonight after that effort. Expect a low scoring contest tonight as the Under is 51-25-5 in Columbus’ last 81 games after a victory. Tortorella has his team committed to playing defense in their end at the expense of creating many scoring chances. The Blue Jackets had scored only two combined goals in the first  2 1/2 games of this series — with one of those goals being an empty netter — before scoring those four goals yesterday. Columbus has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games in the playoffs Under the Total as a dog. And in their last 77 games against teams with a winning record, the Blue Jackets have played 52 of these games Under the Total. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. The Under is also 39-19-2 in the Maple Leafs’ last 60 games after playing a game that required overtime the previous day. Toronto has only scored once in their eight opportunities on the Power Play. Furthermore, the Maple Leafs have plated 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Rookie head coach Sheldon Keefe has had his team playing cautiously in this series to compensate for the defensive issues they have experienced over the years under Mike Babcock. Look for Toronto to play things pretty tight with the hope that their superior offensive talent like Auston Matthews or John Tavares will find a scoring opportunity. The Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. 10* NHL Friday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (57) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (58). Best of luck for us — Frank.