At 9:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (711) and the Toronto Raptors (712). THE SITUATION: Boston (45-230 enters this game coming off a 149-115 win over Brooklyn as an 8.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Toronto (49-18) has won seven straight games going back to before the stoppage of play after their 107-99 win over Orlando on Wednesday as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points — and they have also played 28 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a blowout victory by at least 30 points. Boston shot 56.8% from the field against the Nets in what was the best shooting effort in their four games inside the bubble. The Celtics lead all teams since the restart with a 121.9 points per 100 possession scoring average — but they were able to prop up their stats in two of their games against weak defensive teams in Portland and the Nets on Wednesday. They made only 40.7% of their shots in their opening game loss to Milwaukee. Moving forward, Boston has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog. Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Raptors nailed 48.7% of their shots against the Magic which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. But Toronto is just 20th of the twenty-two teams in the bubble by averaging 105.2 points per 100 possessions. The Raptors are dominating teams because of their commitment to defense. They are 2nd of the teams inside the bubble by holding their opponents to just 96.1 points per 100 possessions — and they have held two of their four opponents to below 100 points. Toronto has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: Boston will be looking to avenge a 113-97 upset loss at home to Toronto back on December 28th. The Celtics have played 19 of their last 27 games on the road Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss at home. 10* NBA Boston-Toronto TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (711) and the Toronto Raptors (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (57) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (58). THE SITUATION: Columbus (34-24-15) seized a 2-1 lead in this best-of-five series yesterday when they rallied from a 3-0 deficit in the second period to force overtime before winning by a 4-3 score. Toronto (38-26-9) now finds themselves on the brink of elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Head coach John Tortorella made the right move in benching goalie Joonas Korpisalo in the second period after giving up that third goal. Elvis Merzlikins came in to stop the 21 shots he faced over the last 49:35 minutes of that game to help the Blue Jackets steal that game. Merzlikins will get the start tonight after that effort. Expect a low scoring contest tonight as the Under is 51-25-5 in Columbus’ last 81 games after a victory. Tortorella has his team committed to playing defense in their end at the expense of creating many scoring chances. The Blue Jackets had scored only two combined goals in the first  2 1/2 games of this series — with one of those goals being an empty netter — before scoring those four goals yesterday. Columbus has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games in the playoffs Under the Total as a dog. And in their last 77 games against teams with a winning record, the Blue Jackets have played 52 of these games Under the Total. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. The Under is also 39-19-2 in the Maple Leafs’ last 60 games after playing a game that required overtime the previous day. Toronto has only scored once in their eight opportunities on the Power Play. Furthermore, the Maple Leafs have plated 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Rookie head coach Sheldon Keefe has had his team playing cautiously in this series to compensate for the defensive issues they have experienced over the years under Mike Babcock. Look for Toronto to play things pretty tight with the hope that their superior offensive talent like Auston Matthews or John Tavares will find a scoring opportunity. The Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. 10* NHL Friday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (57) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (58). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (979) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (980) listing both starting pitchers Drew Smyly and Julio Urias. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (1-2) won the third game of this series yesterday when they defeated Los Angeles (2-1) by a 5-4 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Giants have seen the Over go 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after a victory — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 5-2-1 in San Francisco’s last 8 road games as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Manager Gabe Kapler has been cagey about his starting pitcher choices for this opening series but it appears that Smyly will get the ball to start this game. The left-hander was 4-7 between stints with Texas and Philadelphia last season while posting an ugly 6.24 ERA along with a 1.59 WHIP across 114 innings of work. Since Smyly has pitched an inning already this season, Kepler may be using him as an opener while relying on his bullpen for this contest. The Dodgers have pounded the Giants’ relievers so far in this series — the San Fran bullpen has a 7.05 ERA with a 1.89 WHIP in 15 1/3 innings of work while surrendering three home runs. Kapler has relied on his bullpen to throw 5 and 6 1/3 innings in each of their last two starts — and the Giants have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after their bullpen has logged-in at least 5 innings pitched in two straight games. Smyly and the San Fransisco bullpen will face a loaded Dodgers’ team buoyed with the addition of Mookie Betts to their lineup. Los Angeles has averaged 7.0 Runs-Per-Game in their first three games of the season with a .308 batting average along with a .393 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .898. The Dodgers have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Over is 4-1-2 in their last 7 games with the Total set in the 9-10.5 range. They counter with Urias who was 4-3 with a 2.49 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in 79 2/3 innings of work from bullpen action along with eight starts. The lefty was not as effective at home where he had a 3.07 ERA along with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .239 as compared to his stellar 1.86 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP and .157 opponent’s batting average in 38 2/3 innings on the road. Urias also had a 2.80 ERA in 64 1/3 innings when pitching at night as opposed to his 1.17 ERA during day games.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Over go 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Expect another higher-scoring game. 10* MLB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (979) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (980) listing both starting pitchers Drew Smyly and Julio Urias. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between West Ham United (200169) and Manchester United (200170). THE SITUATION: West Ham (W10-D7-L19) has won two straight matches after their 3-1 win at home against Watford last Friday. Manchester United (W17-D11-L8) looks to bounce back from their 3-1 loss to Chelsea on Sunday in the Semifinals of the English FA Cup.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Man United saw their nineteen- game unbeaten streak across all competitions snapped in that loss to the Blues but they remain unbeaten in their last twelve matches in EPL play. They have scored 27 goals in those last twelve league games — and they have scored 19 goals in their seven EPL matches in Project Restart. With the return of the injured Paul Pogba and Marcus Rashford this summer to a team that signed star midfielder Bruno Fernandes in the winter transfer period, the Red Devils are now loaded with offensive talent. Their defensive play has been a bit overrated despot thirteen clean sheets in their last twenty matches across all competitions. Since the return to play, they have only played two opponents in Tottenham and Sheffield United with top-ten scoring offenses in their seven EPL matches. And while they have surrendered just six goals in their twelve league games since acquiring Fernandes, the expected goals allowed (xGA) rise to 12.45 over that span. Manchester United should generate plenty of scoring chances in this match — they are averaging more than three big chances representing opportunities with at least a 35% success rate since the return. West Ham has scored seven goals in their last two matches with manager David Moyes pushing the right buttons to get his offense going. Moyes moved midfielder Michail Antonio to the striker role where he has thrived with seven goals in Project Restart. He has benefited with the addition of winger Jarrod Bowen who was signed in the winter transfer period — Bowen has an assist in four of his last five games. The Hammers have scored at least two goals in four of their last five games while scoring twelve goals over that span. But defense remains an issue for this team as they have allowed six goals in those last five games — and they have surrendered ten goals in their seven EPL matches since the restart. West Ham has just one clean sheet in their last sixteen league matches going back to January 1st. They go back on the road where they are allowing 2.08 xGA.

FINAL TAKE: West Ham won the first meeting between these two teams by a 2-0 score back on September 22nd. But the Hammers have allowed 23 goals this season in their eleven matches against Big Six sides. West Ham still would like a result to clinch avoiding relegation this season — and Man United is in a dogfight for one of the top four spots in the table to qualify for next season’s UEFA Champions League. Expect a higher scoring match. 10* EPL Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the match between the West Ham United (200169) and Manchester United (200170). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Chelsea (200405) and Manchester United (2000406). THE SITUATION: The Football Association Challenge Cup is the oldest national soccer competition in the world consisting of teams from England’s professional leagues. Chelsea reached the Semifinals of the FA Cup on June 28th with their 1-0 win at Leicester City. Manchester United earned their right to play in the FA Cup Semifinals the day before when they defeated Norwich City on the road by a 2-1 score. This match will be played on a neutral field at Wembley Stadium.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Chelsea comes off a 1-0 win at home over Norwich City on Tuesday. While the Blues scored just one goal against the already-relegated Canaries (who were parking the bus in that match — they had only two shots in the entire match), the deeper metrics suggest that they were unfortunate with their expected goals mark of 2.77 xG. With the return to health of Christian Pulisic, Chelsea has been transformed into a potent scoring team that is energized when the 20-year old American is on the pitch. He has formed a nice combination with fellow midfielder Willian along with their veteran forward Olivier Giroud. The Blues have scored 13 goals in their seven EPL matches in Project Restart — and they are averaging a robust 2.34 expected goals (xG) per game. Lampard deploys a high-press on the opponent’s side of the field to generate more scoring opportunities. But one of the reasons why the rookie manager deploys this tactic is to compensate for the lack of defensive talent in their backline. Chelsea has allowed 11 goals in their seven league matches since the return. They have looked very shaky against less than offensive juggernauts as of late. Sheffield United generated 2.56 expected goals in a 3-0 loss to the Blades in their last road game. West Ham produced a 2.6 xG as well with meager offensive teams in Crystal Palace and Aston Villa also enjoyed 1.3 and 1.2 xG marks since the restart. To compound matters, Lampard will not have the services of one of the best holding midfielders in the world in N’Golo Kante who is on the shelf with a hamstring injury. Their Blues defense has been good at home with opponents generating just a 0.83 xG at Stamford Bridge — but in that mark rises to a 1.59 xGA clip in their eighteen EPL matches on the road. And since Project Restart, Chelsea has an ugly 2.05 xGA when playing on the road. Additionally, the Blues have seen 27 combined goals scored in their nine league matches against Big Six sides. Manchester United has been a scoring machine since the return to play as they have found the back of the net 21 times in their eight matches across all competitions. With Marcus Rashford and Paul Pogba healthy again and joining the winter transfer signing of Bruno Fernandes, the Red Devils are suddenly loaded with offensive talent. And while Man United has allowed only six goals in the twelve league matches they have played since Fernandes joined the team, their expected goals allowed (xGA) during that span double to a 12.45 mark. The Red Devils’ defense is not quite as good as the numbers indicate (thirteen clean sheets in their last nineteen games across all competitions). The only two teams they have played since the restart ranked in the top-ten in the EPL in scoring have been Tottenham and Southampton and both have scored against them. They are also undermanned on defense for this match with Luke Shaw and Brandon Williams both dealing with injuries.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played three times this season with both EPL matches along with an English League Cup match in October — and Man United scored eight goals in those three matches. While I do not expect the Blues’ defense to play much better in this fourth contest, they should score more goals with Pulisic integrated into the offense. In their only match in 2020 back in February, Chelsea peppered the Red Devils with 17 shots and a 1.36 xG mark despite being failing to score in that contest. 25* FA Cup Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Chelsea (200405) and Manchester United (2000406). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Burnley (200177) and Norwich City (200178). THE SITUATION: Burnley (W14-D9-L13) has suffered only one loss in their last fourteen EPL matches with their 1-1 draw against Wolverhampton on Wednesday. Norwich City (W5-D6-L25) has lost nine straight games across all competitions with their 1-0 loss at Chelsea on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Norwich City has nothing to play for having been officially been relegated back to the Championship League. Daniel Farke has been with the franchise for three years so there is a pretty good chance he will remain the Canaries manager next season by Sporting Director Stuart Webber. Farke appears to have his team embracing defensive tactics after his squad is last in the EPL in goals allowed. Norwich City has not allowed more than two goals in four of their last six games. But the consequences of these changes has been to stifle the Canaries offensive activity. Norwich City has scored only twice in their eight matches since the return to action — and they have scored just once in their seven EPL matches in Project Restart. In their loss to the Blues on Tuesday, the Canaries managed just a microscopic 0.06 expected goals (xG) mark with just two shot attempts with neither on target. Norwich City has the fewest big chances consisting of opportunities with at least a 35% success rate since the return to play last month while managing zero big chances and just three shots in the box over their last two contests. This problem did not just begin in Project Restart. After a 2-2 draw with Tottenham on December 28th, the Canaries have scored just five combined goals in their next sixteen matches. Teemu Pukki was an offensive juggernaut for this team early in the season but he has not scored since January 22nd — and he may not even play in this match after not starting against Chelsea since he is probably not in the team’s future plans next year. Norwich City returns home to Carrow Road where they have scored just 19 times in their eighteen EPL matches. And in their twelve home games against non-Big Six sides, the Canaries have scored only nine goals. Burnley has scored only six goals in their seven EPL matches since the return while posting a meager 0.92 xG. But the Clarets have very tough to score on as they have allowed only eight goals in those contests. Manager Sean Dyche has his team play a very disciplined and compact system that emphasizes defense — and he may have the hottest keeper in the EPL in Nick Pope who has registered fourteen clean sheets this season. Pope was brilliant for Burnley in the team’s last game on the road which ended in a 1-1 draw with the newly crowned EPL champions in Liverpool. The Clarets go back on the road where they have only scored three goals in their last five matches. They did suffer a 5-0 loss at Manchester City in their first game in Project Restart but Dyche fielded a young and inexperienced starting XI in that contest after dealing with some injuries and key absences given contract disputes (and he was sending a message to management that he needed help with the depth of his roster). Burnley can struggle against the elite teams in the league with huge talent disparities — but they are unbeaten in their last road games against non-Big Six sides with four victories. They only scored five goals in those six games but they allowed just two goals.

FINAL TAKE: Over their last six matches since that embarrassment at Man City, the Clarets have allowed only three goals while scoring six times. Pope has three clean sheets over that span leading his team to three 1-0 victories with the other three results being 1-1 draws. Those last six matches for Burnley have not seen more than two combined goals scored. Now facing a Norwich City team having so many difficulties in scoring, expect another lower scoring match. 10* EPL Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Burnley (200177) and Norwich City (200178). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Liverpool (200125) and Arsenal (200126). THE SITUATION: Liverpool (W30-D3-L2) enters this match coming off a 1-1 draw at home to Burnley on Saturday. Arsenal (W12-D14-L9) is winless in their last two matches after their 2-1 loss at Tottenham on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Arsenal is struggling with their attack. They managed just 0.72 expected goals (xG) against the Spurs while failing to generate a Big Chance representing a scoring opportunity with at least a 35% success rate. They have scored only eleven goals in their seven league matches since the restart — and their 1.18 xG mark over that span is just 13th best in the EPL. Furthermore, the Gunners have managed only 0.86 non-penalty kick Big Chances per game since the return to play which is also 13th in the league. Some of this lackluster offensive performance is due to manager Mikel Arteta having his team take on more counter-attacking tendencies after prioritizing more defensive tactics to compensate for a lack of elite defenders on their backline. They have allowed only eight goals in their seven EPL matches since the restart with a solid 1.22 expected goals allowed (xGA) mark. They return home to the Emirates where they have allowed only one goal in their last three home matches. Overall, Arsenal has surrendered only 21 goals in their seventeen home matches. But it will be difficult for the Gunners to score in this match. They have a meager 5.62 xG combined mark in their seven matches against teams in the top-four in the standings. And with the FA Cup Semifinals coming up on Saturday, don’t be surprised if their best attacker, Pierre-Emerice Aubameyag is benched to provide him rest for that match. Liverpool has allowed just six goals in their six matches in Project Restart — but they have managed to score only ten times during that stretch. The dirty little secret with the new EPL champions is that they have not been a devastating team when playing away from Anfield as of late. They broke a scoreless drought lasting longer than five matches across all competitions in their last game on the road with their 3-1 win at Brighton and Hove Albion. With manager Jurgen Klopp still looking to have his team break the EPL record for most points in a season, look for his best starting XI for this contest with the Reds needing to win each of their last three matches. Liverpool has allowed only 14 goals in their seventeen league matches on the road. The Reds have also allowed just nine goals in their eight matches against Big Six sides — but they have scored only four goals in their four road games against Big Six teams.

FINAL TAKE: Arsenal had produced three straight clean sheets before failing to win their last two matches where they scored only two combined goals. Liverpool won the reverse fixture between these two teams back on August 24th last year by a 3-1 score but this should be a lower scoring contest. 10* EPL Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Liverpool (200125) and Arsenal (200126). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Real Madrid (201881) and Granada (201882). THE SITUATION: Real Madrid (W24-D8-L3) has won all eight of their matches since the restart after they defeated Alaves by a 2-0 score on Friday. Granada (W14-D8-L13) is unbeaten in their last three matches after they defeated Real Sociedad on the road last Friday by a 3-2 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Real Madrid may be the best defensive squad in Europe. They have registered five straight clean sheets since blanking Alaves on Friday —  and they did that despite allowing their guests to register 1.20 expected goals (xG) which were their highest expected goals allowed (xGA) since the restart. Los Blancos were playing without their rock in the middle of their defensive line in Sergio Ramos for that contest but he should be back on the pitch after getting that match off to rest. Real Madrid has allowed only two goals in these last eight matches — and their 0.62 xGA per match is best in the league over that span. Los Blancos have held six of these last eight opponents to below a 1.0 xG mark. But scoring can be an issue for this team. Five of their fifteen goals since the return have been from Ramos which does speak to his greatness — but it is not a great sign when a defenseman is scoring 33% of your goals. Only the brilliant Karim Benzema is averaging at least 0.40 xG per 90 minutes of the Real Madrid attacking players since the return to play. Yet manager Zinedine Zidane is content to continue to play pragmatically and grind out lower-scoring matches. Their last five matches have seen two victories by 2-0 scores with three wins by narrow 1-0 margins. This is probably the formula for success that Zidane foresees for next month’s Championship League campaign with juggernaut offensive units like Bayern Munich, Manchester City, and PSG among the main challenges (and they need to rally against the Cityzens in the second leg of that Round of Sixteen showdown). Real Madrid goes back on the road where they have scored only five goals in their last five matches. Granada is a defensive-minded team that may very well play with five defenders in their back-line for this showdown. El Grana was very fortunate to score three goals on Friday on just four shots on target — their xG was a meager 0.61 in that match. Granada has scored only twelve goals in their eight matches since the return — but they have held those eight opponents to just ten goals. They expected goals metrics indicate those numbers are indicative of El Grana’s play on both ends of the pitch as they have averaged 1.33 xG along with 1.23 xGA in those contests. They host this match at Nuevo Los Carmenes Stadium where they have scored only 21 times in their seventeen home matches. But they have surrendered just 14 goals in those seventeen games which are good for a 0.82 goals-per-game allowed average — and their xGA of 1.01 in those contests is also outstanding. Furthermore, in their seven matches against teams in the top half of the league standings, they have a low 7.81 xGA mark which makes their 9.0 xG in those seven games quite competitive.

FINAL TAKE: Granada has become a very tough “out” at home with a 2-0 upset victory over Barcelona and a 1-1 draw with Atletico Madrid on their resume this season. El Grana has much to play for now besides being in the role of spoiler as they are just three points out of 6th place beginning the day. Real Madrid needs two victories in their last three contests to clinch the league title — but things could get nervy for this squad playing on the road against a feisty defensive side. 25* La Liga Monday beIN Sports Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between Real Madrid (201881) and Granada (201882). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Southampton (200097) and Manchester United (200098). THE SITUATION: Southampton (W13-D5-L6) enters this match coming off a 1-1 draw at Everton on Thursday. Manchester United (W16-D10-L8) is unbeaten in their last seventeen matches across all competitions after they defeated Aston Villa on the road last Thursday by a 3-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Manchester United as an offensive juggernaut right now having scored fourteen goals over their last four matches. The winter transfer addition of Bruno Fernandes has done wonders for this team to stabilize their midfield — and getting healthy again with the three-months of stoppage of play allowed both Marcus Rashford and Paul Pogba to return to the pitch to make this Red Devils attack explode. Anthony Martial is a feisty forward who is benefitting from the presence of Rashford, Fernandes, and Pogba while 18-year old Mason Greenwood is suddenly thriving as another attacker with this embarrassment of riches for manager Gunnar Solskjaer. Man United has been a streaky team under Solskjaer who has been under fire — but he has been smart enough to not rock the boat with a good thing going so I do not expect lineup changes for this match (perhaps midweek). The Red Devils have scored seventeen goals in their six matches across all competitions since the return to play. They return home to Old Trafford where they have scored 37 goals in their seventeen league matches. They are also averaging a healthy 1.97 expected goals in those contests — and keep in mind that these seasonal numbers include playing half the season without Fernandes while dealing with the off-and-on injuries to Rashford and Pogba’s almost season-long absence. In their last four home games in league contests, the Red Devils have scored 13 times. And while Man United’s defense has been strong since the return, there have been some cracks in that armor. They surrendered two goals to a struggling Bournemouth side with that expected goals allowed (xGA) number being 1.97 xGA. They have allowed 24 goals in their twenty-four matches against non-Big Six sides this season while conceding 11 goals in their twelve home matches against these clubs — so I do not expect them to keep a clean sheet in this match. Southampton has scored eight goals in their five matches since the return with attacker Danny Ings supplying five of those goals. Inge has 19 goals on the season to find himself in the Golden Boot race for most goals scored in the EPL this season. The Saints should have seen at least another goal in that match at Everton with their xG of 2.30 in that contest. Under manager Ralph Hasenhuttl, the team plays an aggressive high press which creates more scoring opportunities while leaving them vulnerable in the back. This team is not going to park the bus — besides, they would love to feed Ings more scoring chances to help his Golden Boot chances. Hasenhuttl is convinced this approach is what is best for his team — and they did just upset Man City by a 1-0 score. But while they produced the clean sheet against the two-time defending champions, they were quite fortunate with that result considering that they gave up an xGA of 3.53 in that contests. Now they go back on the road where they have scored seven times in their last three matches. The Saints are one of the better teams on the road in the league (one of the reasons why I am passing on the side play in this match) with 55% of their total expected goals this season taking place away from home. Their 1.58 xG on the road is 5th best in the league. And they also have upset wins at Chelsea and Leicester City on the road this season.

FINAL TAKE: Southampton has allowed just four goals since the restart — but their xGA for those five games jumps to 8.41. These two teams played to a 1-1 draw way back in the idyll days of late August 2019 at St. Mary’s — but the Saints have allowed 2.0 goals-per-game in their five road matches against a Big Six side with sixteen combined goals scored in those games. 25* English Premier League Monday NBC-Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Southampton (200097) and Manchester United (200098). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Manchester City (200077) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200078). THE SITUATION: Manchester City (W22-D3-L9) looks to build off a 5-0 win over Newcastle United on Wednesday. Brighton (W8-D12-L14) looks to rebound from a 3-1 loss at home to Liverpool on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Man City peppered the Magpies with 23 shots with nine of them on target. The Cityzens have scored 18 goals in their six EPL matches in Project Restart — and they have scored 20 goals in their last seven contests overall since the return including their 2-0 victory over that Newcastle team in the FA Cup two weeks ago. Man City is averaging 2.60 expected goals (xG) this season which is their highest mark in the last five seasons. We are not sure who will get the start in this match with manager Pep Guardiola keeping an eye towards the FA Cup Semifinals versus Arsenal along with the second-leg of their Round of Sixteen Champions League match with Real Madrid. But Guardiola has an abundance of riches to choose from given the depth of the winner of the last two EPL seasons. Raheem Sterling should be in the starting XI after not starting against the Magpies. And even if mainstays like Kevin DuBruyne do not get the start this afternoon, there is a good chance he will play for at least 20 minutes in this match to maintain his fitness. Man City has scored 69 goals in their last 24 matches against non-Big Six sides — and they have 31 goals in their twelve road matches against non-Big Six opponents. But the Cityzens’ have been leaky on defense this season especially playing on the road where they have allowed 22 goals in seventeen games away from the Etihad. Brighton had entered last week’s match with the newly crowned EPL champions having played pretty stingy defense — but they allowed Liverpool to attempt 20 shots with eight of them on target. The Reds generated 2.68 expected goals (xG) in that match. But manager Graham Potter can take comfort in their ability to generate 2.88 xG against the stout Liverpool defense in that match. The Seagulls have allowed 22 goals this season in their last eleven matches against Power Six sides. They have played Liverpool, Man United, and Arsenal in their last three home matches which have seen 10 combined goals scored in those contests including allowing three goals each to the Reds and Red Devils.

FINAL TAKE: Man City dominated the reverse fixture between these two teams with a 4-0 win on August 31st. The Cityzens have seen 3.60 combined xG in their matches this season with that mark rising to a combined 3.85 xG in their last five contests. 25* English Premier League NBC-Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Manchester City (200077) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200078). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Granada (201837) and Real Sociedad (201838). THE SITUATION: Granada (W13-D8-L13) enters this match coming off a 2-2 draw versus Valencia on Saturday. Real Sociedad (W15-D6-L13) also comes off a draw when they played Levante on the road to a 1-1 score on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Granada suffered some tough luck to settle for the one point on Saturday as they limited Valencia to just 0.82 expected goals (xG). El Grana has surrendered just eight goals in their seven matches since the return to play. They go back on the road where they have surrendered 26 goals in seventeen road matches — but the deeper metrics also suggest they have been unfortunate to see that many goals as their expected goals allowed (xGA) drops to 22.26. Granada has scored 21 goals in those seventeen road contests — but they have managed just seven goals in their eight matches against teams from the top half of the league. El Grana has also scored only nine goals in their seven matches in Project Restart. Real Sociedad has only scored five goals in their last six contests. La Real has also seen some bad luck relating to goals allowed. They have allowed 43 goals this season — but their xGA drops to 39.10. Furthermore, while Real Sociedad has held their opponents to just 17 goals in their seventeen home matches, their xGA at home in those contests falls to 14.28 which is the 3rd best mark in La Liga.

FINAL TAKE: Real Sociedad won the reverse fixture between these two teams on the road by a 2-1 score on November 3rd. Expect a lower-scoring game in this rematch. 10* La Liga Friday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Granada (201837) and Real Sociedad (201838). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Liverpool (200045) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200046). THE SITUATION: Liverpool (W29-D2-L2) enters this match as champions of the 2019-20 Premier League coming off a 2-0 win over Aston Villa on Sunday. Brighton and Hove Albion (W8-D12-L13) look to build off a 1-0 win over Norwich City on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Liverpool was fortunate to score against the Villans in what was a listless performance that remained scoreless after the 70th minute before they scored two late goals. The Reds registered a small 0.82 expected goal mark (xG) against the suspect Aston Villa defense in that match. Liverpool have scored just six times in their four matches since Project Restart. Mo Salah has registered just one Big Chance representing a scoring opportunity with at least a 35% success rate since the return of play. He may not even get the start this afternoon with manager Jurgen Klopp likely to rotate out some of his key players. Roberto Firminho did not start on Sunday so while he is likely to take the pitch again for this match, it is likely that either Salah or Sadio Mane will get the afternoon off with a higher-profile match against Arsenal on deck next week. The Reds lose some of their offensive cohesion when their big three are not together on the pitch. Klopp looks likely to also rest defenseman Andrew Robertson who is an important cog in their offensive attack. Liverpool has struggled to score goals when playing away from Anfield. They have failed to score in their last five road games across all competitions spanning an incredible seven hours and 42 minutes. But the Reds’ defense remains consistent — they have allowed only 13 goals in their sixteen road games in the EPL. Furthermore, Liverpool has only allowed 13 goals in their twenty-five league games against non-Big Six sides — and they have surrendered just 7 goals in their twelve road games against non-Big Six opponents. Brighton has scored only three goals in their four matches since the return to action while averaging just 0.85 xG. But the defensive play for manager Graham Potter’s side has been outstanding as they have allowed just four goals in these four matches while holding these foes to just 0.75 xGA. The Seagulls have allowed just one Big Chance in their four matches since the return which includes facing some formidable offensive clubs in Manchester United, Arsenal, and Leicester City. They have three clean sheets in their last five matches. Unfortunately for Potter, they have also been shutout in four of their last eight matches. They return home where they have scored only 19 goals — but they have surrendered just 19 goals. Furthermore, in their four opportunities to host a Big Six side, the Seagulls have scored just 6 goals while allowing only 5 goals.

FINAL TAKE: Liverpool won the reverse fixture between these two teams by a 2-1 score back on November 30th. The Reds have not scored more than two goals when playing on the road in their last six road games going back to December 26th. Brighton has seen seven of their last eight home matches go Under 2.5. 25* English Premier League Midweek NBC-Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between Liverpool (200045) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200046). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Leicester City (200029) and Arsenal (200030). THE SITUATION: Leicester City (W17-D7-L9) snapped a three-match winless straight on Saturday with a 3-0 victory over Crystal Palace. Arsenal (W12-D13-L8) has won four straight games across all competitions with their 2-0 win at Wolverhampton on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Arsenal has registered three straight clean sheets in EPL play with their upset win over the Wolves. The Gunners have adjusted tactics under new manager Mikel Arteta to become more of a defensive-oriented side who finds their offense from the counter-attack. Over their last four matches, they are allowing only 0.71 expected goals (xGA) per game while giving up just one Big Chance of a scoring opportunity with at least a 35% success rate. Arteta inherited a team from manager Unai Emery who was allowing 1.61 Big Chances per game so it is understandable why Arteta shifted tactics. This has had an impact on the Arsenal attack as they have averaged only 1.36 expected goals (xG) under his leadership. The Gunners have scored only 49 goals this season which is far below the 73 goals they scored last season. And while they have 30 goals scored at home at the Emirates in their sixteen matches in league play, that number plummets to just a 23.89 xG amount. Arsenal has scored 12 combined goals in their last four home games but all those opponents were bottom of the table teams. In their six matches this season against one of the top four teams currently in the EPL table, they have managed only a combined 4.44 expected goals — but they have held those six opponents to just 3.58 xGA combined. Leicester City had managed to score only two goals in their three matches since the return before Jamie Vardy scored twice in the final 17 minutes for that 3-0 win over the Eagles. I suspect that scoring display had more to do with good fortune while facing a desperate Crystal Palace team trying to even the score at 1-1 late in that match. Vardy has not been himself in 2020 after enjoying a torrid stretch late in the fall. Since New Year’s Day, the Foxes are generating only 1.44 xG in their five league matches on the road. They have scored only three goals in those five road games. But they have also held their five home hosts to just 1.28 xGA per match.

FINAL TAKE: Leicester City won the reverse fixture between these two teams by a 2-0 score back on November 9th. But the Foxes have scored only seven more goals in their eight other matches against Big Six sides. Leicester City has only allowed four goals since the return with two clean sheets in those four matches. Expect a lower-scoring match. 10* EPL Tuesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Leicester City (200029) and Arsenal (200030). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Manchester City (200013) and Southampton (200014). THE SITUATION: Manchester City (W21-D3-L8) enters this match coming off a 4-0 victory at home over Liverpool on Thursday. Southampton (W12-D4-L16) comes off a 3-1 win at Watford last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Manchester City may have relinquished their two-season run as English Premier League champions — but they have been an offensive juggernaut and remain motivated to maintain their form with the FA Cup and Champions League titles still at stake later this summer. The Cityzens peppered a strong Liverpool defense with 14 shots while posting an expected goal mark (xG) of 2.99 which suggests that their four goals were not too much of an overachievement against the new champions of the EPL. Man City has scored 13 goals in their four EPL matches since the return to play while posting at least a 2.60 xG mark in three of those games. They also have scored 15 goals in their five overall matches since the return which includes their victory in the FA Cup Quarterfinals last weekend. The Cityzens are averaging a robust 2.56 xG per match in the EPL this season which is their highest mark over the last five seasons. They also lead the league with the most Big Chances of scoring opportunities with an expected success rate of at least 35% since the return to play. Man City averages a robust 3.1 xG in league play this season against opponents that are not in the top seven in the EPL table. But the Cityzens defense is what has held them back from a three-peat in the EPL this year. They entered this match week having allowed the most Big Chances since the return to action. Manager Pep Guardiola’s pressing system creates many scoring opportunities — but it leaves them vulnerable to great scoring chances with counter-attacks. Man City is allowing their home hosts to average 1.42 xGA in league play this year. But they are also generating 2.63 xG in their sixteen road matches in the EPL. The Cityzens have seen 83 combined goals scored in their twenty-two matches against non-Big Six sides for a 3.77 combined goal score total — and they have seen 43 combined goals scored in their 11 road matches in EPL action for a 3.91 combined goal mark. Southampton got two goals from forward Danny Ings in their victory over Watford last Sunday. Ings is challenging for the Golden Boot Award with 18 goals in the EPL this season. He has been galvanized by first-year manager Ralph Hasenhuttl’s commitment to an aggressive high-press which increases scoring opportunities for the Saints. Southampton has scored six goals in their three matches since the return — and this philosophy has worked with them reaching the 40 point threshold in the standings while being safe from relegation by 13 points. But these tactics do make them vulnerable on defense — they have allowed 33 goals at home with an  1.78 goals-against average which is the higher home mark in the EPL. Even after throwing out the Leicester City 9-0 victory at St. Mary’s in the fall as an outlier, the Saints are surrendering 1.50 goals per game at home in the EPL this season. Furthermore, in their five home matches against traditional Big Six opponents (which does not include Leicester City), Southampton has seen 16 combined goals scored.

FINAL TAKE: Manchester City won the reverse fixture between these two teams by a 2-1 score back on November 2nd. Southampton is seeing an average of 2.93 xG in their matches this season with 62% of their games finishing Over 2.5 goals. Man City is seeing 3.56 xG combined goal marks in their league matches this season — and that number has increased to a 3.74 xG combined goal mark in their last four contests. 25* English Premier League NBC-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Manchester City (200013) and Southampton (200014). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:30 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Aston Villa (200009) and Liverpool (200010). THE SITUATION: Aston Villa (W7-D6-L9) has lost six of their last eight matches after their 1-0 loss at home to Wolverhampton last Saturday. Liverpool (W28-D2-L2) looks to rebound from their 4-0 loss at Manchester City on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Reds lacked intensity in their showdown with the Cityzens in their first match as reigning English Premier League champions. Liverpool should respond with more focus in their attack this afternoon. They return home where they have won all sixteen of their matches while scoring 44 goals. They also have averaged 2.62 goals-per-game in their thirteen home games against teams outside the Top-Six traditional powers. But with the Reds having nothing else to play for with them being eliminated from the FA Cup and Champions League competitions, don’t be surprised if the loss of vigor on defense that they displayed against Man City continues. Liverpool has lost five of their last nine matches across all competitions going back to before the stoppage of play — and that as many losses as they have experienced in their previous 76 matches combined! The Reds had been playing at an epic level for over a year — they did win the European Champions League last season. The decline seems to have begun. Aston Villa has allowed 14 goals in their last eight matches. The Villans have surrendered 60 goals this season which is the second-most in the EPL — and their expected goals allowed (xGA) worsens at a 64.21 mark which is the worst in the league. Aston Villa has also allowed 33 goals on the road which is last in the league. The Villans have only allowed four goals in their four matches since the return to play — but those results should not be overstated. They opened by facing a slumping Sheffield United team that is defensive-oriented before catching a rusty Chelsea in their first match in Project Restart. They then played an offensively-challenged Newcastle side before playing the counter-attacking Wolves last week. Their sketchy defense should be exposed by the new kings of the league.

FINAL TAKE: Liverpool won the reverse fixture between these two teams by a 2-1 score back on November 2nd. Liverpool has seen at least three combined goals scored in four straight home matches with at least four goals scored in three of those contests. 10* EPL Sunday Morning Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the match between Aston Villa (200009) and Liverpool (200010). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Mallorca (201941) and Atletico Madrid (201942). THE SITUATION: Mallorca (W8-D5-L20) snapped a two-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 5-1 victory over Celta de Vigo. Atletico Madrid (W15-D14-L4) remained unbeaten in their last thirteen matches across all competitions with their 2-2 draw at Barcelona last Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: It was an offensive explosion for Mallorca with the last-place team in La Liga breaking a three-game losing streak with those five goals. They had scored just two goals in their first five matches since the return to action before scoring five times on just nine shots. The analytics indicate that Los Bermellones were rather fortunate to put up five goals considering that their expected goals (xG) for that match were just 1.69 xG. Now Mallorca goes back on the road where they are last in La Liga with just 5 points based on their W1-D2-L13 record this season. Los Bermellones have scored just 13 goals in those sixteen road matches. Mallorca has failed to score at least one goal in nine of their last ten losses. They will also be undermanned in this match with the biggest loss being their leading scorer in Ante Budimir who is suspended for this match due to yellow cards. Budimir has scored 12 of Mallorca’s 35 goals this season. Manager Vicente Moreno’s team still has plenty to play for with them occupying the final relegation spot in 18th place being five points shy of safety in 17th place. Moreno’s team is playing better on defense as of late as they have allowed eight combined goals over their last five matches with only one of these sides scoring more than two goals. Atletico Madrid is a dominant defensive team that has registered three clean sheets while allowing just four combined goals in their six matches since the return last month. Los Colchoneros have allowed only 25 goals this season which is 2nd best in La Liga — and they lead the league with the lowest expected goals allowed mark. Atletico Madrid is also tied for 2nd by conceding only 10 goals in their sixteen league matches at home. But Los Colchoneros have scored just 23 times in those sixteen home matches. Manager Diego Simeone is likely to sub a number of his key players who played in that showdown with Barcelona when now hosting this lightly regarded Mallorca team. Six of Los Colchoneros’ last ten home games resulted in them shutting out their opponent.

FINAL TAKE: Atletico Madrid won the reverse fixture between these two teams on the road by a 2-0 score. Four of the last five meetings between these two resulted in a game that finished Under 2.5 combined goals. Expect another lower-scoring match. 25* La Liga Friday beIN Sports Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between Mallorca (201941) and Atletico Madrid (201942). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Getafe (201951) and Real Madrid (201952). THE SITUATION: Getafe (W14-D10-L8) snapped a five-game losing streak with their 2-1 win over Real Sociedad on Monday. Real Madrid (W21-D8-L3) has won all five of their matches since the return to action last month with their 1-0 win over Espanyol last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Getafe’s two goals on Monday almost eclipsed the three combined goals in their previous four matches. Manager Jose Bordalas has his team play a defense-first style of play supported by a sturdy backline led by center-back Djene. The Azulones have allowed just five goals in their five matches since the return to play. Getafe is 3rd in La Liga with fewest goals allowed — and they are surrendering just 1.13 expected goals per game. The Azulones are even stingier when playing on the road as the 15 goals they have allowed in fifteen league matches are tied for the second-fewest in the league. Getafe will likely park the proverbial bus against mighty Real Madrid — and Los Blancos are likely to be comfortable with that style of contest. Manager Zinedine Zidane is happy with his team playing pragmatically. Real Madrid has scored only five combined goals in their last three matches. But Los Blancos may have the best defensive team in all of Europe (we will learn more next month when the Champions League returns). Led by Sergio Ramos, Real Madrid’s backline does a very good job of conceding few chances. They have only allowed two goals since the return of play with three clean sheets in those five contests. Overall, they have surrendered just 21 goals this season which is the best number in La Liga. Eight of Los Blancos’ last eleven victories have been via a shutout — so a 1-0 or 2-0 final score is likely.

FINAL TAKE: Getafe will be looking to avenge a 3-0 loss at home to Real Madrid back on November 4th. The Azulones have not scored in their last three matches against Los Blancos. Expect another lower-scoring match. 10* La Liga Thursday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Getafe (201951) and Real Madrid (201952). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Manchester United (200153) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200154). THE SITUATION: Manchester United (W13-D10-L8) comes off a 3-0 victory over Sheffield United last Wednesday in their last match in the English Premier League. Brighton (W7-D12-L12) registered a nil-nil draw in their last match last Thursday at Leicester City.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Man United followed up their win over the Blades on Wednesday with a 2-1 victory at Norwich City in the Quarterfinals of the FA Cup on Saturday. Eight of the starters that played in that midweek match with Sheffield did not start o Saturday against the Canaries so manager Gunnar Solskjaer should have a relatively rested starting XI despite their busy schedule since the return to action this month. The Red Devils have scored five goals in their two EPL matches this month — and they have scored seven goals while allowing one goal in their three matches overall since the return. The Red Devils have been transformed with the winter transfer acquisition of Portuguese midfielder Bruno Fernandes as they have not lost since he put on their uniform. The stoppage of play also allowed this team to get healthy. Now Man United has seen forward Marcus Rashford and midfielder Paul Pogba on the pitch with Fernandes to make this starting XI loaded with talent. Forward Anthony Martial was the beneficiary last Wednesday as he scored a hat trick in the Red Devils’ 3-0 win against Sheffield United in EPL play. Martial, Rashford, and Pogba did not start on Saturday so they should all be fresh for this match. Man United is 2nd in the league since the restart in both big chances and expected goals. The Red Devils have also been outstanding on defense with five clean sheets in their last seven league matches. But while they have surrendered just two goals in their last seven EPL matches, their expected goals allowed (xGA) mark over those seven games rises to a 7.3 xGA mark which strongly suggests they have been very fortunate in not surrendering more goals. Furthermore, much of their defensive prowess has taken place at Old Trafford where they have resisted five straight clean sheets. Man United has allowed nineteen of their thirty goals when playing on the road this season in EPL action. Brighton has lost just once in their last seven matches in EPL play. They return home where they have scored in five of their last six matches. The Seagulls will be a confident group when playing at the Amex where they have already pulled off upsets against Tottenham, Everton, and Arsenal while earning draws with Chelsea and Wolverhampton. In their three home matches against Big Six sides, Brighton has scored six times. The Seagulls have scored 34 goals this season while conceding 41 goals — but the deeper metrics suggest that both those numbers are unexpectedly low given their expected goals mark of 40.80 (xG) and their expected goals allowed (xGA) figure of 45.82. Brighton still has plenty to play for being only six points safe from relegation. Manager Graham Potter will open up his team’s style of play if they fall behind to attempt to salvage at least one point with the draw. They have an expected goals mark of 1.53 when playing at home — and they allow their opponents to register 1.33 xGA when at home.

FINAL TAKE: Brighton are dangerous dogs in this match (which is why I am passing on the side play) — I expect them to score on this Man United team that is not as stingy when playing on the road. But the Red Devils are clicking on offense now with their best talent finally all healthy. Man United won the reverse fixture between these two teams when they won by a 3-1 score back on November 10th. But Brighton has won their last two opportunities to host the Red Devils where they have scored four combined goals. 25* EPL Tuesday NBC-Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Manchester United (200153) and Brighton and Hove Albion (200154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Burnley (200149) and Crystal Palace (200150). THE SITUATION: Burnley (W12-D6-L13) rebounded from a 5-0 loss at Manchester City in their return to action this month with a 1-0 win over Watford on Thursday. Crystal Palace (W11-D9-L11) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with a 4-0 loss at Liverpool.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Burnley found their defensive acumen again on Thursday by limiting the Hornets to just 0.84 expected goals in that match. The Clarets are second in league with twelve clean sheets behind their underrated keeper Nick Pope. Burnley will have to lean again on their defensive cohesion in this game. Manager Sean Dyche is saddled with a host of injuries in their attack with forwards Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes out and Jay Rodriguez questionable with a knock after he scored Burnley’s lone goal since the return to action on Thursday. The Clarets have scored only fourteen goals in their fifteen matches on the road this season. But they have allowed only sixteen goals in their twenty matches against non-Big Six sides this season for a microscopic 0.80 goals-per-game opponent scoring average. Crystal Palace had registered four straight clean sheets in EPL action before Liverpool dialed up four goals on Wednesday. The Eagles also play a defensive-oriented style for manager Roy Hodgson where things can get rough if they fall behind by more than one goal. It was apparent that is was going to be a long day for Hodgson when star midfielder Wilfried Zaha limped off the field with an injury that likely leaves him out for this match. Crystal Palace only managed three shots against the Reds with none inside the box for a microscopic 0.09 expected goals mark. It has now been thirty-one straight EPL matches where the Eagles did not score more than two goals. They have scored only twenty goals in their twenty-two matches against non-Big Six sides — but they have given up its sixteen goals in those contests. They return home where they are last in the EPL with just twelve goals — but they have surrendered only thirteen goals which were tied for the second-lowest home mark to begin this match week 31. Furthermore, in their twelve home games against non-Big Six sides, the Eagles have scored only ten goals while allowing just eight goals for 0.83-0.67 average scoring marks.

FINAL TAKE: Crystal Palace has won the last four meetings between these two teams while surrendering just one time after their 2-0 win in the reverse fixture back on November 30th. There is a good chance that at least one of these teams fails to score in this contest. 10* EPL Monday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Burnley (200149) and Crystal Palace (200150). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Manchester City (200413) and Newcastle United (200414). THE SITUATION: The Football Association Challenge Cup for men’s domestic soccer in England is the oldest soccer competition in the world. Manchester City reached the Quarterfinals of the FA Cup on March 4th when they defeated Sheffield Wednesday by a 1-0 score. Newcastle United punched their Quarterfinals ticket on March 3rd when they defeated West Brom on the road by a 3-2 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Man City will be playing their first match since officially being eliminated from defending their two-time English Premier League championship with their 2-1 loss at Chelsea on Thursday. Those are the only two goals that the Citizens have allowed in their three matches since the return of play this month. Man City leads the EPL by allowing just 1.01 expected goals per game this season — and their defense is much better with a healthy Aymeric LaPorte at center back leading their backline. In the seven games LaPorte has played this season (before the return to play this month), the Citizens allowed a stingy 0.43 goals-per-game as compared to their 1.14 defense Goals-Per-Game average in their other twenty-one contests. And while Man City allowed 5.7 shots per match in the box along with 1.6 Big Chances per match before the return to play, those numbers fell to just 4 shots per match in the box along with just 1.2 Big Chances allowed per game with LaPorte healthy and playing. With holding-midfielder Fernandinho suspended for this match after being issued a red card in that game with Chelsea on Thursday, I expect LaPorte to be in the starting XI this afternoon. Manager Pep Guardiola will likely choose his best players for this match with FA Cup and Champions League championships in August still goals this season. But Man City will be without their best attacking forward in Sergio Aguero who suffered an injury last week that may keep him out for the rest of the EPL season. While Gabriel Jesus is a capable replacement at forward after being rested in that Chelsea match, it is Aguero that is the straw that stirs the drink. Newcastle is playing very effective compact soccer right now. They registered their third clean sheet over their last four matches with the only goal being surrendered over that span being on Wednesday in their 1-1 draw at home versus Aston Villa. The Magpies are particularly stingy when play at home in St. James Park where they have allowed only 13 goals in sixteen English Premier League matches which are tied for the second-lowest mark in the EPL. With all eight teams competing in the Quarterfinals of the FA Cup being from the EPL, I am comfortable using those statistics in handicapping these contests. The concern for this Newcastle United team is that their ambition on offense can stagnate. They registered a low 0.79 expected goals against a suspect Aston Villa defense on Wednesday while failing to generate even one big scoring chance of at least a 35% probability of success rate. The Magpies are averaging just 1.07 expected goals per game in the EPL which is second-to-last. Newcastle has scored only 16 goals at home this year which is the second-fewest in the EPL — and that is matched by their expected goal projection at home which is also 19th in the league. 

FINAL TAKE: But manager Steve Bruce is content to grind out lower scoring matches on his home pitch. In their four home games against a big six side in the EPL this season, Newcastle has won two of these matches (while taking one point with a draw in a third game) while seeing only seven combined goals scored. 25* FA Cup Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Manchester City (200413) and Newcastle United (200414). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:30 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Southampton (200145) and Watford (200146). THE SITUATION: Southampton (W11-D4-L16) has lost three of their last four matches with their 2-0 loss at home to Arsenal on Thursday. Watford (W6-D10-L15) looks to rebound from a 1-0 loss at Burnley on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Southampton has seen five combined goals in their first two matches since the return to action this month as they began with a 3-0 victory at Norwich City. The Saints have played better under manager Ralph Hasenhuttl after hitting rock bottom in a 9-0 loss to Leicester City. Hasenhuttl doubled-down on his high-press aggressive style of play which has helped generate scoring chances. Southampton is averaging 1.59 expected goals per match this season — and they have the 7th best expected goals mark when playing on the road. But this approach does make them vulnerable on their back end. The Saints are allowing 2.42 big scoring chances with an expected success rate of at least 35% which is the 4th highest mark in the EPL. Their challenge on defense in this match is heightened with starting defensive back Jack Stephens suspended for this match after receiving a red card in that match against the Gunners on Thursday. Southampton is averaging 1.66 expected goals (xG) when playing on the road — but they are allowing 1.79 expected goals (xGA) in these fifteen road contests. The Saints have scored at least one goal in seventeen of their last eighteen road matches — and they have scored at least two goals in six of their last eight games away from home. Watford has only seen three combined goals in their first two matches since the return to action. But they return home to Vicarage Road where they are average 1.80 xG per match which is 8th best in the EPL. The Hornets have scored in seven of their last eight matches at home. But they are also allowing their opponents to average 1.51 xGA in their fifteen home matches. Additionally, Watford has only generated just one clean sheet in their last nine matches.

FINAL TAKE: Watford has seen an average of 3.03 combined expected goals scored in their fifteen matches at home. 60% of their home games have finished Over the Total. Southampton is averaging 3.04 combined expected goals per match in their fifteen road games. 67% of those matches have finished Over 2.5 goals — and they have seen eight of their last ten road matches finished Over 2.5 goals. 25* EPL Sunday NBC-Sports Network Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between Southampton (200145) and Watford (200146). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Dustin Poirier returns to the octagon in his first fight since losing to Khabib Nurmagomedov last September 7th at UFC 242. Khabib forced “the Diamond” to submit in the 3rd round. Still ranked 3rd in the UFC lightweight division, he faces Dan Hooker who is ranked 5th in this division. Our Best Bet for this fight is that it lasts Over 2.5 rounds. Poirer (25-6, one no-decision) has still seen five of his last seven fights last at least three rounds. The 31-year old has only been stopped twice in his thirty-two professional fights. The Diamond is a good defensive fighter when it comes to resisting takedowns and avoiding submissions. Poirer also has a good chin as evidenced by his nice resume of fighters he has defeated including Justin Gaethje, Anthony Pettis, Eddie Alvarez, Jim Miller, and Max Holloway. Poirier’s victory over Gaethje looks particularly good right now with him lined up to be the next fighter to challenge Khabib after he destroyed Tony Ferguson last month. Hooker has not shown as much power since moving up from 145-lbs to the 155-lb light heavyweight division. Poirier usually has the reach edge in his fights — but he will be at a three-inch disadvantage against Hooker’s 75” inch reach. It may take a round or two before the Diamond finds his rhythm against Hooker.

Dan Hooker is a durable fighter with a good chin. He has only been stopped once in his last nineteen fights. The Hangman is 7-1 in his last eight fights going back to 2017 after winning a decision against Paul Felder on February 22nd. That was an impressive performance for Hooker as he demonstrated he can pull out gritty decisions in brutal fights. But Hangman faded in this fight to barely hang on to survive to get to the points. Poirier will likely be cautious early before looking to wear down Hooker. The Hangman’s last two viOur Top Overlay Bet on the proposition that offers the most value relative to the odds is on Poirier two-win inside the distance which Bovada lists at -110. Poirier is a -240 favorite to win this fight. While I like Poirier to win the fight, I would rather lower the price. Hooker was outclassed in his last loss against Edson Barboza who eventually figured the Hangman out and picked him apart. This is a major step up in class for Hooker. And Poirier is a much more dangerous fighter then Felder who almost stopped Hooker in February. For a more aggressive flyer, our Long Shot Bet is on Poirier to win via stoppage in the 5th round which Bovada lists at +1600. This Long Shot prop captures both of my sentiments that this fight lasts longer than 2.5 rounds but with Poirier winning inside the distance. If you are interested in a second betting option after the Best Bet, choose either the Top Overlay Bet or the Long Shot depending on your level of risk you want to take on. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Manchester City (200137) and Chelsea (200138). THE SITUATION: Manchester City (W20-D3-L7) has won four of their last five matches after they defeated Burnley on Monday by a 5-0 score. Chelsea (W15-D6-L9) won their first game in their return to the pitch on Sunday with their 2-1 win at Aston Villa.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Man City has scored eight goals in their two matches this month. While they lost their striker Sergio Aguero for, at least, a few weeks with a knee injury he suffered in that match, manager Pep Guardiola has an embarrassment of riches with options to replace him on the pitch. Forward Gabriel Jesus gets plenty of action as the lead striker for this team -- but do not be surprised if Guardiola moves Raheem Sterling to the number nine spot atop the field — that is the position Sterling plays for the English National team. The Citizens lead the EPL with the most goals scored — and they also lead the EPL by averaging 2.62 expected goals (xG) per match. Now Man City goes back on the road where they are generating 2.53 xG per game — but they are vulnerable in back as they allow 1.21 xGA in their fifteen league matches on the road. The Citizens are better on defense with a healthy Aymeric LaPorte healthy and playing at center back — but they have still allowed their opponents to see 14% of their non-penalty scoring chances represent “big chances” with at least a 35% expected success rate. Chelsea was lethargic on offense on Sunday until Christian Pulisic and Ross Barkley took the pitch as substitutes in the second half. They jump-started the Blues offense with Pulisic evening the score with the Villans in the 60th minute before Olivier Giroud scored the game-winner two minutes later. Chelsea returns home to Stamford Bridge where they are scoring just 1.47 goals-per-game as compared to the 2.07 goals-per-game they are averaging on the road. But the Blues have suffered some hard luck at home because they have an xG of 2.33 at home which is better than the 1.61 xG they have on the road. Chelsea will be without one of their starting defenders for this match with Fikayo Tomori out with an injury. The defense is the weak-link for manager Frank Lampard’s team — the 40 goals they have allowed this season is more than the 39 goals they allowed all of last season.

FINAL TAKE: Pulisic has been injured for much of the season — but the American is the real deal despite him warranting some initial skepticism as just a product of the US media hype machine. The Blues are already an aggressive team that deploys a press to put their young talent in positions to succeed — and that approach is bolstered when left-back Marcos Alonso is starting (as he is in this one). Chelsea’s attack is even better with Pulisic in the middle of the field. Man City is a juggernaut — but the Blues should be competitive. Look for, at least, a 2-1 result. 10* EPL Thursday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the match between Manchester City (200137) and Chelsea (200138). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Burnley (200025) and Manchester City (200026). THE SITUATION: Burnley (W11-D6-L12) was unbeaten in their last seven matches before the stoppage of play after their 1-1 draw at home with Tottenham. Manchester City (W19-D3-L7) comes off a 3-0 win at home on Wednesday over Arsenal in their return to the pitch.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Citizens’ victory over the Gunners was their third clean sheet in their last four matches in the English Premier League — and they have played six straight matches in EPL action where one of the teams was shut out. Man City suffocated the Arsenal attack on Wednesday as they allowed only three shots with none on target. Pep Guardiola’s team is much better with center back Aymeric LaPorte on the pitch after he missed much of the season with an injury. Before Wednesday’s match, in the seven games LaPorte has played this season, the Citizens allowed a stingy 0.43 goals-per-game as compared to their 1.14 defense Goals-Per-Game average in their other twenty-one contests. And while Man City allowed 5.7 shots per match in the box along with 1.6 Big Chances per match before the return to play this week, those numbers fall to just 4 shots per match in the box along with just 1.2 Big Chances allowed per game with LaPorte healthy and playing. Man City scored three goals against Arsenal but keep in mind that two of those goals were scored with a man advantage after the Gunners’ defenseman, David Luiz, was whistled for a red card. The Citizens struggled early to get their offense going in that match as they managed only two shots while posting a minuscule 0.13 expected goals mark in the first 30 minutes of that match. Forward Sergio Aguero did not start in that match so he is likely to be one of the starters up top for the two-time defending champions for this match — but who knows what will happen with Pep roulette with the remaining starting XI. Don’t be surprised if Raheem Sterling and/or Kevin DeBruyne does not start in this match. With Liverpool all but clinched the EPL title this season, the goal for Guardiola and this team is to slowly get his team in shape and form for a Champions League run in August which is the only championship to elude this team over their fantastic run in the last few seasons. Man City has the allowed only 12 goals in the EPL when playing at home in the Etihad while also leading the league in the fewest expected goals allowed (xGA). They have produced six clean sheets in their fourteen home matches at home. And in their ten home games against teams outside the traditional big six EPL clubs, Man City has surrendered just seven goals. Burnley will be significantly undermanned at forward with both Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes out with injuries for this match. Wood and Barnes are the Clarets’ two leading scorers with seventeen combined goals which account for half of the team’s 34 goals on the season. As it is when at full strength, Burnley has scored only seven goals in their ten matches against the traditional big six sides in the EPL. Expect manager Sean Dyche has his team park the proverbial bus to stymie the Man City attack in this match. Dyche would be ecstatic with a nil-nil draw. The Clarets have allowed at least three goals in only six of their twenty-nine matches — and they have given up more than three goals in just three of those games. When Burnley is playing in a defensive 4-4-2 formation, they enjoy a positive net expected goal differential of +4.85 (xGD) so they are comfortable with this approach. Defense has led the way for the Clarets’ good form before the stoppage of play. Burnley has allowed only one goal in the last three matches while giving up just two combined goals over their last six matches. But the Clarets have scored just four times in their last six matches.

FINAL TAKE: Burnley will be looking to avenge a 4-1 loss at home to Man City in the reverse fixture on December 3rd. The Citizens have allowed only two goals in their last five opportunities to host the Clarets in Etihad Stadium. 25* EPL Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Burnley (200025) and Manchester City (200026). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Arsenal (200001) and Manchester City (200002). THE SITUATION: Arsenal (W9-D13-L6) had won their last three matches culminating with a 1-0 victory at home over West Ham on March 7th before the stoppage in play due to COVID-19. Manchester City (W18-D3-L7) has been anxious to get back on the pitch after losing the Manchester Derby to Man United by a 2-0 score in their building back on March 8th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: While the two-time defending champions have a roster packed with dynamic scorers, those players can distract from the fact that this team plays outstanding defense for manager Pep Guardiola. The Citizens lead the English Premier League in both fewest goals allowed along with the lowest expected goals allowed (xGA) in the league. They also led the EPL in giving up the fewest Big Chances in their last ten league matches before the March hiatus. The good news for Pep is that the extended layoff has provided the time for center back Aymeric LaPorte to recover from his injury. Man City’s defense improves significantly with LaPorte on the pitch. In the seven games LaPorte has played this season, the Citizens allowed a stingy 0.43 goals-per-game as compared to their 1.14 defense Goals-Per-Game average in their other twenty-one contests. And while Man City allows 5.7 shots per match in the box along with 1.6 Big Chances per match, those numbers fall to just 4 shots per match in the box along with just 1.2 Big Chances allowed per game with LaPorte healthy and playing. This will be the eighth match this season where they have played one of the perennial Big Six sides — the Citizens have scored only nine times in those seven matches. They host this match at Etihad Stadium where they lead the EPL in both the fewest goals allowed along with xGA. Arsenal has embraced more defensive tactics under new manager Mikel Arteta who took over in late December. The Gunners have allowed just nine goals in their ten matches under Arteta. However, these tactics have come at the expense of their offensive attack as they have scored just 16 times in those ten matches. Arsenal is likely to play cautiously in this match while hoping their attacking talent like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang can strike on a counterattack. They have scored only nine goals in their seven matches against a Big Six side. They go on the road where they have scored just 14 times in their thirteen contests — and they have scored just four times in their five road matches under Arteta. But the Gunners have surrendered just four goals in those last five matches away from home — and this is a team that has registered three clean sheets in their last four contests.

FINAL TAKE: Arsenal has scored only twice in their last six matches against Man City across all competitions. These are unique circumstances with 100 days passing since the last EPL match — so it is very much like a second offseason. It is interesting to note that Man City delivered two clean sheets in their last two opening matches to a new season. 20* EPL Arsenal-Man City NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the match between Arsenal (200001) and Manchester City (200002). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between FSV Mainz (202441) and Borussia Dortmund (202442). THE SITUATION: FSV Mainz (W9-D4-L18) looks to bounce back from a 1-0 loss at home to Augsburg last Sunday. Borussia Dortmund (W20-D6-L5) has won five of their last six matches with their 1-0 win at Fortuna Dusseldorf last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: That was the fourth clean sheet for the Black-Yellows in their six matches since the return to play last month. Borussia Dortmund has only allowed three goals in those six contests. Manager Lucien Favre has transformed his team from a freewheeling attacking unit into a side that prioritizes sturdy defense. BVB has allowed only five goals in their last ten matches across all competitions — and they have surrendered just three goals in their last ten matches in the Bundesliga. Furthermore, they have registered a clean sheet in eight of their last twelve matches in league play. Borussia Dortmund returns home where they lead the league in both goals allowed and in expected goals allowed (xGA). On paper, the Black-Yellows also have a very potent offense that is second in the league with 82 goals scored this season. But Borussia Dortmund has been wildly fortunate with that haul since their expected goals drop to just 59.71. And while the BVB has scored 46 times at home, their xG at home also plummets to a 33.52 mark. Since the return to play, Dortmund has failed to register even 1.0 xG in three of their six matches — and they have only topped 1.76 xG once in those contests. FSV Mainz has not scored a goal in four straight maths — and they are just six goals in their last eleven contests. But Achim Beierlorzer has been seeing his team play better defense since he took over the club midseason. The 05ers have only given up 10 goals in their six matches since the return. They also limited Augsburg to just 0.76 expected goals on Sunday in that narrow 1-0 loss.

FINAL TAKE: Borussia Dortmund produced a 4-0 shutout victory over FSV Mainz back on December 14th in the reverse fixture between these two teams. The 05ers will struggle to score against an even more compact foe in BVB this time around — but they should allow fewer goals in this rematch. 25* Bundesliga Midweek FS2-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between FSV Mainz (202441) and Borussia Dortmund (202442). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Augsburg (202413) and FSV Mainz 05 (2-2414). THE SITUATION: Augsburg (W8-D8-L14) enters this match coming off a 1-1 draw at home to FC Koln last Sunday. FSV Mainz (W9-D4-L17) looks to build off a 2-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Augsburg has only won twice in their last twelve matches. Their defense has not been the problem since the return to play last month as they have allowed only five goals in their five matches. But Fuggerstadter has scored only five times in those matches as well. Even worse, Augsburg has scored just once in their last three matches after being shutout in their prior two matches before scoring last Sunday against Koln. Fuggerstadter has scored only eight times going back to their last ten matches while being blanked five times over that span. Now they go back on the road where they have scored just 15 times in their fifteen matches which are tied for the second-lowest tally in the league. While Augsburg has lost six of their last seven road matches, they have scored only four times in those games. FSV Mainz has only scored five times in their last five matches since the return to action. But manager Achim Beieriorzer should feel good about his team’s improves play on defense last week as they held limited Frankfurt to just 0.44 expected goals in their clean sheet victory. Die Nullfunfer stays at home where they have scored just 15 times in fifteen matches which is also the second-lowest mark in the league.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are fighting to stave off elimination with Augsburg four points above the relegation zone and Mainz just one point behind them. A victory would be great for either team while a loss would be devastating. The one point coming from a draw would be acceptable. Because of these implications, both teams are likely to play cautiously for much of this match. Expect a lower-scoring contest. 10* Bundesliga Sunday Morning Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Augsburg (202413) and FSV Mainz 05 (2-2414). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Borussia Monchengladbach (202401) and Bayern Munich (202402). THE SITUATION: Borussia Monchengladbach (W17-D5-L8) looks to bounce back from their 1-0 loss at Freiburg last Friday on June 5th. Bayern Munich (W22-D4-L4) followed up their 4-2 win at Bayer Leverkusen last Saturday with a 2-1 victory at home over Eintracht Frankfurt on Wednesday in the Semifinals of the DFB-Pokal Cup.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bavarians will be undermanned in this match with both Robert Lewandowski and Thomas Muller suspended for this match after receiving infractions last week in league play. Bayern Munich will also be without winger Serge Gnabry who has been enjoying a breakthrough season this year. Those three scores account for 50 of the 90 goals that the Bavarians have scored this season. And while manager Hansi Flick has the luxury of a very talented roster from which to replace those players for this match, the cohesion for this team on the pitch remains a question without the glue from which Lewandowski with his 30 goals and Muller with his 20 assists offers. But Bayern Munich should remain very tough to score on — they have allowed only five goals in their last six matches. They stay at home at the Allianz Arena where they are tied for the best mark in expected goals allowed. Borussia Monchengladbach has only scored nine goals in their five matches since the return to action — but they have surrendered just seven goals in that span. They will also be undermanned in this contest with forward Alassane Plea suspended for this contest after receiving a red card in that loss to Freiburg. Plea has great chemistry with 22-year old forward Marcus Thuram — so his absence will derail the cohesion that Thuram has enjoyed up top on the pitch. Additionally, the Foals may be without striker Breel Embolo who is in doubt with a calf injury.

FINAL TAKE: Borussia Monchengladbach is tied for 4th best in the Bundesliga in fewest goals allowed — and they rank 3rd in the league in fewest goals allowed on the road. The Foals defeated Bayern Munich in the reverse fixture by a 2-1 score back on December 7th. With both teams missing some of their best offensive players, expect a lower scoring match. 10* Bundesliga Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Borussia Monchengladbach (202401) and Bayern Munich (202402). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Levante (201825) and Valencia (201826). THE SITUATION: Levante (W10-D3-L14) returns to the pitch in the Spanish top-flight professional soccer league after last eking out a 1-1 draw at home to Granada back on March 8th. Valencia (W11-D9-L7) followed up a 1-1 draw at Deportivo Alaves on March 6th in their last La Liga by losing at home to Atalanta by a 4-3 score in an empty stadium to end their Champions League run in the Round of 16 with an aggregate 8-4 loss.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Valencia’s Champions League campaign is now complete this season but manager Albert Celades will be trying to motivate his team to qualify for next year’s European championship as they are 4 points out of the last qualifying position in the La Liga table. Los Che hosts this match in front of an empty stadium where they have scored 23 times which is 6th best in the league — and they have scored in fifteen straight matches on their home pitch. Those offensive numbers are right-in-line with their overall scoring marks as they are 6th in La Liga with 38 goals scored. However, where this team has taken a step back from last year’s Copa Del Rey championship team under previous manager Marcelino is on the defensive end of the pitch. They have surrendered 39 goals in league play this season — but that mark rises to 43.83 expected goals allowed (xGA) per match which is the 3rd highest mark in La Liga in that metric. They have only registered seven clean sheets this season while allowing 15 shots per match. While they rank tied for 6th in the league in the fewest goals allowed at home, their expected goals allowed when playing at home is the 4th worst mark in La Liga. Their backline is also being reconfigured for this match with Ezequiel Garay and Gabriel Paulista both dealing with knocks that will keep them out for this match. Levante has allowed the 5th most goals in La Liga but they rank last in the league with an xGA mark of 2.17 per game. They also are last in La Liga in xGA when playing on the road. They have allowed at least two goals in five straight league matches away from home. But manager Paco Lopez’s counter-attacking approach has resulted in them scoring in nine of their last thirteen matches on the road. 59% of Granotas’ matches this season have gone Over 2.5 combined goals — and they have played eight of their last nine matches on the road Over 2.5 (so the worst-case scenario for this match should be a Push with the Total set at 3 in most spots).

FINAL TAKE: This Valencia Derby is typically a higher-scoring affair. The last four meetings between these two teams have seen 18 combined goals after Valencia won the reverse fixture between these two teams in December by a 4-2 score in a wild affair with sloppy defense where Los Che rallying from a 2-0 deficit. Valencia has scored at least three goals in their last four opportunities to host Levante in this rivalry. 25* La Liga Friday beIN Sports-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Levante (201825) and Valencia (201826). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between RB Leipzig (202405) and Hoffenheim (202406). THE SITUATION: RB Leipzig (W16-D11-L3) enters this match coming off a 1-1 draw at home to Paderborn last Saturday. Hoffenheim (W12-D7-L11) also comes off a draw on Saturday in their 2-2 result at Fortuna Dusseldorf.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: It was another frustrating result for the Red Bulls who have settled for seven draws in their last eleven matches despite not losing any of those league contests. RB Leipzig has scored thirteen goals in their five matches since the return to action last month. But while they have surrendered the second-fewest goals in the Bundesliga, they have given up five goals in their last three matches. The defensive cohesion of this team will be stretched for this contest after center back Dayot Upamecano being suspended for this match after he was issued a red card in that draw with Paderborn. Look for the Red Bulls’ scoring attack led by Timo Werner to be their catalyst for this match. RB Leipzig has scored 27 goals in their last thirteen matches — and they rank 2nd in the league in expected goals (xG) scored. This team also leads the Bundesliga in xG when playing away from home this season after finding the back of the net nine times in their two matches on the road since the return to play. Hoffenheim reacted to their loss on Saturday by sacking their manager Alfred Schreuder. Disagreements in philosophy were explained as the reason for his firing with ownership frustrated with the underwhelming attack coming from this side. Die Kraichgauer has seen thirteen different players score this season but they are just tied for 9th place in the league in goals scored. The tactics for this match should see Hoffenheim play with even more aggressive and attacking flourish. They will also benefit from the return to the pitch of Andrej Kramaric who was a sub on Saturday after being out since March with an injury. Kramaric leads the team with seven goals this year. But the increased emphasis on scoring tactics will place even more pressure on the Die Kraichgauer defense that ranks 7th in the Bundesliga with the highest expected goals allowed (xGA). When playing at home, Hoffenheim has allowed the 4th most goals which are right-in-line with their 4th highest xGA on their home pitch at Rhein-Neckar-Arena. To compound matters, they will be without their captain and center back Benjamin Hubner quarterbacking their backline after he was issued a red card last Saturday in the 9th minute of that match. This spells trouble against RB Leipzig. Hoffenheim has allowed 39 goals this season inside the penalty area — and the Red Bulls have an XG of 27.60 this season in that area of the field. Die Kraichgauer has scored in ten of their last twelve matches at home so they should contribute to reaching the Over for this match.

FINAL TAKE: RB Leipzig manager Julian Nagelsmann was the manager at Hoffenheim for the previous four seasons before getting banned by the Red Bulls last summer — so he will understand the defensive talent of Die Kraichgauer. The Red Bulls won the last meeting between these two teams back on December 7th in their 3-1 victory in a game where the expected combined goals were 5.1. The last eight contests between these two sides have seen 29 combined goals. 25* Bundesliga Friday FS2-TV Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between RB Leipzig (202405) and Hoffenheim (202406). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Hertha Berlin (202581) and Borussia Dortmund (202582). THE SITUATION: Hertha Berlin (W10-D8-L11) is unbeaten in their last six matches after they defeated Augsburg last Saturday by a 2-0 score. Borussia Dortmund (W18-D6-L5) bounced-back from their loss to Bayern Munich last Sunday with their 6-1 victory at Paderborn.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Die Alte Dame has been one of the best teams in the Bundesliga since the return to action last month as they are W3-D1-L0 in their four matches with eleven goals scored and just two goals conceded. Manager Bruno Labbadia was appointed in April to take over this team and he has them playing with more spirit along with offensive punch — but don’t sit on their improved play on the defensive end of the pitch. While surrendering 1.63 xGA before the stoppage of play, Hertha Berlin has allowed just 1.24 xGA in their four matches under Labbadia’s stewardship. The improved play from the Old Lady should also be attributed to the January signing of former RB Leipzig forward Matheus Cunha who has stepped in to score four goals in his eight matches with the club — but he is a doubt for this match as he recovers from a concussion. Borussia Dortmund entered halftime with a nil-nil score before exploding for six goals in the second half against a Paderborn side playing loose since they need points to avoid relegation. The Black-Yellows got a shot in the arm with the improved play of Jadon Sancho who scored three times in that second half. The 20-year old had been out of shape in the first few weeks of return to the pitch after being in self-quarantine for two months. Yet bettors should not read too much in his return to fitness as Borussia Dortmund has been an overachieving side this season. While they are 2nd in the league with 60 points, their expected points (xPTS) drop to just 54.53. This team has been very fortunate on offense as they have scored 80 times despite having an expected goals mark of just 57.18. They have scored 18 times in their last eighteen matches before last week’s second-half explosion — but they had failed to gain at least a 1.50 xG mark in any of those matches with their expected goals being just over half of that at a 9.02 mark before their trip to Paderborn. They return home where they have scored 45 times — but they have just 31.68 expected goals in those fourteen matches. BVB also is dealing with a host of injuries for this match headlined by 19-year forward sensation Erling Haaland along with captain Marcos Reus dealing with knocks — and center defenseman Matt Hummels is suspected for this match after receiving his fifth yellow card of the season. While Borussia Dortmund has seen their expected goals output decline in the second half of the season, their play on defense has improved with manager Lucien Favre adding a third defender to his backline. Over their last ten matches, the Black-Yellows are holding their opponents to just 0.87 xGA per contest while not allowing higher than 1.40 expected goals in nine of those matches. Borussia Dortmund has conceded just 11 goals at home at Signal Idun Park which is the lowest mark in the Bundesliga.

FINAL TAKE: Hertha Berlin played Borussia Dortmund tight in the reverse fixture between these two sides back on November 30th which resulted in a narrow 2-1 loss. With the Total set in the 3.5 range, expect another lower scoring game. 10* Bundesliga Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Hertha Berlin (202581) and Borussia Dortmund (202582). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Bayern Munich (202565) and Bayer Leverkusen (202566). THE SITUATION: Bayern Munich (W21-D4-L4) has won fourteen of their last fifteen matches across all competitions after their 5-0 win over Fortuna Dusseldorf last Saturday. Bayer Leverkusen (W17-D5-L7) has won six of their last seven contests with their 1-0 win at Freiburg last Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bavarians did not take their foot off the accelerator after defeating Borussia Dortmund in their previous contest which gave them a commanding 7 point lead in first place in the Bundesliga standings. They dominated Dusseldorf with manager Hansi Flick still using his first-string players. Bayern Munich now needs just three more victories to clinch their eighth straight Bundesliga title — and Flick seems like he wants his team to maintain their momentum to prepare for the return of the Champions League in August. The Bavarians may be playing the best soccer in Europe since Flick took over the team in November. Flick moved Joshua Kimmich from the backline to a defensive midfield slot which jumpstarted the team’s defensive acumen on the pitch. Not only is Kimmich a dynamic player that gives his more room to shine in the middle of the field but this move opened up space for Phonzie to get more playing time — and the Canadian has thrived as a starting fullback. Bayern Munich is W16-D2-L1 in their nineteen matches under Flick while averaging 2.98 expected goals which is over half a goal better than their 2.45 xGF mark in their ten matches in league play before Flick’s appointment. The Bavarians have won seven straight matches on the road with 2.68 expected goals scored in those matches. Since the return to play last month, Bayern Munich has scored 13 times. Bayer Leverkusen was listless in their effort last week against Freiburg as they managed only 0.43 expected goals while allowing them a 0.78 xG. That was the second straight match where Die Werkself lost the expected goals battle as they were dominated by Wolfsburg by a 1.71 xGF - 3.00 xGA mark in their previous contests. Bayer Leverkusen has demonstrated some vulnerabilities on the defensive end of the pitch as they have allowed goals in seven of their last nine matches along with nine of their last twelve contests. The better teams in the league have particularly exposed the Die Werkself backline as Wolfsburg and Borussia Monchengladbach combined for 5.29 expected goals.

FINAL TAKE: Bayern Munich should be motivated to avenge two straight losses to Bayer Leverkusen as they followed up their 3-1 loss to them in February of 2019 with a 2-1 loss in the reverse fixture this season on November 30th. Both those matches were before Flick’s appointment to the Bavarians. Expect another higher scoring match. 10* Bundesliga Bayern Munich-Bayer Leverkusen FS1-TV O/U Special with the Over the Total in the match between Bayern Munich (202565) and Bayer Leverkusen (202566). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Borussia Monchengladbach (202549) and Freiburg (202550). THE SITUATION: Borussia Monchengladbach (W17-D5-L7) comes off a 4-1 win over Union Berlin last Sunday. Freiburg (W10-D8-L11) looks to rebound from a 1-0 loss at home to Bayer Leverkusen last Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Borussia Monchengladbach is W2-D1-L1 in their four matches since the return to action after their decisive victory on Sunday. With them tied for 4th place in the Bundesliga standings with Bayer Leverkusen, they have plenty to play for with only the top four teams in the league qualifying for the Champions League next year — and with goal-differential being the first tie-breaker, manager Marco Rose will want his team to keep their foot on the accelerator if they are winning this match. The forwards of the Foals have found cohesion as of late with Marcus Thuram scoring twice in their last match with Alassane Plea adding another goal in their three-goal victory. With six players who have scored at least five goals this season, the balanced attack of Borussia Monchengladbach has generated at least two expected goals (based off the xG metric) in seven of their last ten matches. Die Fohlen ranks 3rd in the league in expected goals scored for the season — and they have scored 14 goals over their last seven matches. But their defense has not been at their best since the return to play as they have allowed 1.5 goals per game in their four contests. Freiburg has only won once in their last eight matches — and they have just three wins in 2020. This team has not produced a clean sheet since September — and they need to go for broke to gain the potential 3 points with a victory since they are 4 points out of 6th place which is the last qualifier for the Europa League next year. Freiburg ranks tied for 3rd in the league with just 16 goals allowed when playing at home — but their xGA jumps to 19.97 expected goals allowed which is just 9th best. This side has generated only 6 points in their last eight matches. Manager Christian Streich has gone back to a standard 4-4-2 formation with only two forwards up top over their last three matches — they have a 1.86 xGA mark on defense when playing in that formation in 557 minutes this season.

FINAL TAKE: The last league meeting between these two teams resulted in a 4-2 victory for Borussia Monchengladbach where they had 23 shots with 17 of them within the 18-yard box. The metrics indicated this was a dominant performance for Gladbach with their expected goals being at 4.87 and their xGA being just 1.54. Look for another higher-scoring contest with both teams having something at stake. 10* Bundesliga Friday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the match between Borussia Monchengladbach (202549) and Freiburg (202530). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between RB Leipzig (202517) and FC Koln (202518). THE SITUATION: RB Leipzig (W15-D10-L3) enters this match coming off a 2-2 draw against Hertha Berlin on Wednesday. FC Koln (W10-D4-L14) looks to rebound from a 3-1 loss at Hoffenheim last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: RB Leipzig is unbeaten in their last nine matches — but they have only secured three victories over that span. They have scored eight times in their three matches since the return to action in May — and they have the highest expected goal (xG) mark in the league over that span. They have also scored 22 goals over their last eleven matches. The Red Bulls are 3rd in the league with 70 goals scored — and their expected goals mark is 2nd best in the Bundesliga. They also have the most expected goals when playing on the road. RB Leipzig is also an excellent defensive team but they will be without starting left full-back Marcel Halstenberg who is suspended for this match. Koln has allowed seven goals in their three matches since the return of play. The Billy Goats have been inconsistent in these games perhaps not fully motivated since they are mired in the middle of the standings — safe from relegation but unlikely to be able to move up to the 6th spot to qualify for the Europa League next year. Koln blew a two-goal lead in their opening match against Mainz before rallying from a two-goal deficit as a home favorite to eke out a 2-2 draw with lowly Fortuna Dusseldorf. Then on Wednesday, the Billy Goats fell behind by a 3-0 score before getting their offense going — and they ended that match with an xG of 2.24. And despite scoring only four goals in their three matches in May, they ranked 2nd in the Bundesliga with 7.4 expected goals (2.56 xG/match) which is second only to RB Leipzig in that metric.

FINAL TAKE: FC Koln will be looking to avenge a 4-1 loss at RB Leipzig back on November 23rd. Their attacker, Cordoba, has scored nine of his 11 goals at home this season while RB Leipzig’s Timo Werner has scored 14 of his 24 goals on the road. Expect a wild, higher-scoring match. 25* Bundesliga Monday FS2-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between RB Leipzig (202517) and FC Koln (202518). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Borussia Dortmund (202529) and Paderborn (202530). THE SITUATION: Borussia Dortmund (W21-D4-L4) enters this match looking to bounce back from a 1-0 loss at home to Bayern Munich last Tuesday. Paderborn (W4-D7-L14) is winless in their last nine matches after pulling out a nil-nil draw at Augsburg on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Borussia Dortmund was stymied by the Bayern Munich defense as they registered a low 0.57 expected goal (xG) mark in their loss on Tuesday which dropped them to 7 points out of first place. Look for the BVB to be flat in this match. This team’s scoring prowess has declined significantly as of late even before playing the Bavarians. While Borussia Dortmund ranks 2nd to them with 74 goals scored, their expected goals on the season based on the deeper analytics plummets to just 52.68 which not only ranks just 5th in the league but also represents the biggest discrepancy between actual and expected goals. So this team was due a visit from the Regression Gods — and it appears these deities have made their presence known since the return to play this month. The Black-Yellows have scored only six combined goals over their three May matches — and yet their expected goals in these games translate into just 2.78 xGF over those contests for a microscopic 0.93 xGF per match. Regression only explains part of that massive drop off. Jordan Sancho plays a critical part in the offensive attack — but the 20-year old did not respond to self-quarantine in the same way many older professionals have. Sancho returned this month lacking so much fitness that manager Lucien Favre has chosen not to start him. Sancho did substitute in the second half against Bayern Munich on Tuesday but he is a step or two slow which neutralizes the dynamic skillset he displayed earlier in the season. To compound matters for this team’s offensive attack, not only have then been without captain Marcos Reus on their forward line but they will now be without 19-year old forward phenom Erling Haaland who is now out with a knee injury. Borussia Dortmund has seen a steady improvement in their defensive play in the second half of the season. BVB has clean sheets in two of their last three matches along with five of their last seven. They have limited their last eight opponents to just 0.87 expected goals. They go on the road where they rank tied for 9th with 23 goals allowed — but their xGA away from home improves to the 3rd best ranking in the Bundesliga. Paderborn may be in last place in the German top flight but they have pulled out three draws in their three matches since the return of play while generating two clean sheets and allowing only one goal. But they have only scored one time over that span of three matches. Manager Steffen Baumgart had his team playing a direct style which would go toe-to-toe with the top teams in the league — but quarantine must have had him hit the tape because his group has played very cautiously since returning to the pitch. In their three matches this month, Paderborn had held their opponents to just 1.12 expected goals per match which are far below their 1.86 xGA for the season. But they are averaging only 1.00 expected goals this month — and they have a low 0.82 xG mark over their last five matches.

FINAL TAKE: Paderborn will struggle to score in this match — not only do they rank 16th in the league in expected goals at home (versus being tied for 12th in actual goals at home) and they host a Dortmund side that are tied in 9th in goals allowed on the road but who rank 3rd in xGA in goals against away from home. 25* Bundesliga Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Borussia Dortmund (202529) and Paderborn (202530). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Fortuna Dusseldorf (202533) and Bayern Munich (202534). THE SITUATION: Fortuna Dusseldorf (W6-D9-L13) looks to build off a 2-1 win over Schalke on Thursday. Bayern Munich (W20-D4-L4) comes off a big 1-0 win on the road in their showdown against Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Bayern Munich likely clinched the Bundesliga championship with that effort earlier this week — so an emotional letdown is very possible especially as a big three-goal favorite in this match. Manager Hansi Flick is also quite likely to be liberal with his substitution strategy with this being his team’s third match in a week. Flick took over in November after Niko Kovac was fired and he immediately changed the tenor of this side on defense. His biggest adjustment was to move Joshua Kimmich from his fullback position on the backline to the midfield where he plays a holding defensive position. Kimmich has great instincts on the pitch so giving him a higher-profile role has worked. The move also gave a space for Phonzie to slide into the starting fullback role with the Canadian excelling in the role. This new XI has done a great job in suppressing high-quality shots by their opponents. Bayern Munich is unbeaten in their last fourteen matches while allowing just eight goals during that span. They have also allowed only two goals in their three matches since returning this month. They stifled a potent Borussia Dortmund offense on Tuesday as they limited them to just 0.57 expected goals in that match. Fortuna Dusseldorf has seen seven combined goals in their three matches this month while allowing just three goals in those contests. Die Flingeraner has scored only 31 goals this season which is tied for the second-lowest in the league — and their expected goals metric is also second-to-last in the Bundesliga.

FINAL TAKE: Fortuna Dusseldorf was held scoreless in the first meeting between these two teams which Bayern Munich won on the road by a 4-0 score. Die Flingeraner will find it difficult to score once again in this rematch — but they are likely to face a Bavarians side who will be resting on their laurels as a big favorite playing in an empty home stadium. 10* Bundesliga Saturday FS1-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the match between Fortuna Dusseldorf (202533) and Bayern Munich (202534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Bayer Leverkusen (202537) and Freiburg (202538). THE SITUATION: Bayer Leverkusen (W16-D5-L7) saw their five-match winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 4-1 upset loss at home to Wolfsburg. Freiburg (W10-D8-L10) comes off a 3-3 draw at Frankfurt on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Freiburg escaped with the one point coming from the draw on Tuesday — but they were fortunate. They allowed Frankfurt to pepper them with 21 shots with 13 of them on target. They expected goals allowed for that match was 4.38 — so they were lucky to get out of that match with the draw. Freiburg ranks 7th in the league in goals allowed — but their expected goals allowed (xGA) plummets to the third-worst mark in the league. And while they are tied for allowing the third-fewest goals when playing at home, their ranking drops to 10th place in xGA when playing at the Black Forest at Schwarzwald-Stadion. Freiburg does not have a clean sheet since September. Now they host a Bayer Leverkusen side that is tied for 4th in the league with 53 goals this season. Manager Peter Bosz had his team playing more cautiously in the first half of the season with superstar midfielder, Kai Havertz, playing more of a defensive role. Die Werkself lost Julian Brandt in the offseason and missed his talent on the pitch along with his seven goals from last season. But Bosz pushed Havertz higher up the pitch in midseason which has resulted in this team going on a scoring spree. Not only have they scored in seventeen straight matches but they have also scored a combined 18 goals in their last six contests even after scoring just once on Tuesday. Havertz had scored four goals in the first two matches in the return of play this month before going scoreless against Wolfsburg. But with striker Kevin Holland not yet fit after returning to training after dealing with an injury, Havertz will continue to play the striker role that he thrived in as of late. But the more aggressive tactics that Die Werkself has embraced has cost them on the other end of the pitch as they have allowed at least one goal in seven of their last eight matches — and they have only two clean sheets in their last fourteen games. Furthermore, while Bayer Leverkusen is tied for 5th in the league by allowing just 19 goals on the road, their expected goals allowed (xGA) away from home ranking falls to 12th in the league.

FINAL TAKE: Bayer Leverkusen has seen 14 combined goals scored in their three matches this month after scoring eight times but allowing another six goals. Freiburg has seen nine combined goals scored in their three matches since the return of play as they have scored four times while conceding five goals. Expect a higher scoring match. 10* Bundesliga Friday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the match between Bayer Leverkusen (202537) and Freiburg (202538). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Paderborn (202477) and Augsburg (202478). THE SITUATION: Paderborn (W4-D6-L17) eked out their second straight draw since the return of play in the German top flight with their 1-1 draw at home against Hoffenheim last Saturday. Augsburg (W8-D6-L13) snapped a six-match winless streak on Sunday when they defeated Schalke on the road by a 3-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Paderborn has received a burst of energy from forward Dennis Srbeny who has scored four of his team's last five goals with his strike on Saturday. This team has scored in nine of their last eleven matches with an exciting direct style-of-play under manager Steffen Baumgart who has his team go toe-to-toe with the top-level sides in the league. Paderborn is not going to park the bus in the back — especially when they are in last place in the Bundesliga and desperate for the three points that come with a victory. Paderborn has also conceded a goal in the first 15 minutes of the match in fourteen of their twenty-seven league matches this season — so they are frequently playing from behind. They have surrendered 55 goals this season which is the third most in the German top flight. Furthermore, Paderborn has only had four clean sheets in four of their last twenty-five matches — and they have pulled this feat off just once in their last eight contests. Augsburg has seen at least three combined goals scored in their first two matches since the return of play. They return home where they are 7th in the Bundesliga with 25 goals scored. They have scored at least one goal in twelve of their last thirteen matches in their WMK Arena — and eleven of their last twelve home matches have gone Over 2.5 combined goals scored. Florian Niederlechner may be due to score in this match as he has not found the back of the net in seven straight matches despite being the team’s leading scorer. Augsburg has also allowed the fourth-most goals in the Bundesliga at a 2.0 goals allowed per game rate.

FINAL TAKE: Paderborn will be looking to avenge a 1-0 loss at home to Augsburg back on November 9th. The Fuggerstadter also employ an open style of play — so Paderborn should get plenty of scoring chances in this match. Augsburg is tied for 12th place in the table which puts them 6 points above the relegation zone. So while the Fuggerstadter are probably safe, they will still be looking to increase their home winning streak against Paderborn to fourteen straight matches. 25* Bundesliga Midweek Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between Paderborn (202477) and Augsburg (202478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between RB Leipzig (202449) and FSV Mainz (202450). THE SITUATION: RB Leipzig (W14-D9-L3) comes off a 1-1 draw at home to Freiburg last Saturday. FSV Mainz (W8-D3-L15) also comes off a draw as they rallied from a 2-0 deficit to earn a 2-2 result at FC Koln last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: RB Leipzig has only lost once since last October — and they are unbeaten in seven straight matches. But this team needs to get a victory with the 3 points it provides in the league standings after settling for their ninth draw this year. Their 63 goals are the second-most in the Bundesliga this season — and they have the second-most expected goals in the league. On the road, RB Leipzig has scored 30 goals which are the second-most in the league — and they also rank second in the league in expected goals. FSV Mainz had not scored in three of their last five matches before finding the back of the net twice to pull out the draw on the road last week. Yet this team is still tied for 9th in the league with 36 goals scored this season. The bigger issue for this team has been their leaky defense as they are second-to-last in the Bundesliga having allowed 55 goals.

FINAL TAKE: RB Leipzig had an easy time of it in the reverse fixture between these two teams in November as they blasted FSV Mainz by an 8-0 score. With both teams motivated to improve their place in the German top-flight table, expect at least three combined goals to be scored. 10* Bundesliga Sunday Morning Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the match between RB Leipzig (202449) and FSV Mainz (202450). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Bayer Leverkusen (202461) and Borussia Monchengladbach (202462). THE SITUATION: Bayer Leverkusen (W15-D5-L6) has won eight of their last ten matches across all competitions while going unbeaten in their last six games after their 4-1 win at Werder Bremen on Monday. Borussia Monchengladbach (W16-D4-L6) has lost just once in their last eight matches after they dispatched of Eintracht Frankfurt on the road by a 3-1 score last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: This should be an entertaining — and high-scoring — contest between two teams fighting for one of the four slots to qualify for the Champions League next season. Both of these engage in aggressive tactics on the pitch. Bayer Leverkusen is currently in 5th place in the German top-flight table just 2 points behind Borussia Monchengladbach who is in 3rd place. Die Werkself is led by a 20-year old sensation Kai Havertz who is a matchup nightmare in the middle of the pitch given his agility along with his 6’2 size. He is destined to be the next great number #10 position player for the German national team for at least the next two World Cup cycles. Manager Peter Bosz did have Havertz playing more of a defensive position in the first half of the season given the loss in the offseason of Julian Brandt who contributed seven goals last season. But Bosz has pushed Havertz higher up the pitch in the second half of the season — and Bayer Leverkusen has responded by scoring 14 goals over their last four matches. Their defense has been an issue for this team as they have allowed goals in five of their last six matches along with ten of their last twelve contests. They only have three clean sheets on the road in league play this season — and they rank just 10th in the Bundesliga in expected goals allowed (xGA) when playing away from home. Borussia Monchengladbach has scored nine goals in their last four matches which have helped them rank 4th in the league in goals scored — and they rise to 3rd in the Bundesliga in expected goals (xG) scored. Their match with Eintracht Frankfurt was a wild one as they attempted 17 shots while allowing their opponents to launch 14 shots. Their ability to suppress scoring opportunities is hampered right now with their start holding midfielder in Denis Zakaria out for at least another month after he had knee surgery during the recent stoppage of play. Borussia Monchengladbach is just 7th in the league in goals allowed when playing at home — but they fall to 9th in the Bundesliga in expected goals allowed when playing on their home pitch. But on the other hand, this team has scored in a dozen straight league matches at home (after blanking in their opening home match this season) — and they rank 2nd in the league in expected goals scored at home.

FINAL TAKE: Bayer Leverkusen is looking to avenge a 2-1 loss at home o Borussia Monchengladbach back on November 2nd. Both teams should get on the board in this match with a high likelihood that at least four combined goals will be scored in this contest. 25* Bundesliga FS2-TV Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between Bayer Leverkusen (202461) and Borussia Monchengladbach (202462). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Union Berlin (202453) and Hertha Berlin (202454). THE SITUATION: Union Berlin (W9-D3-L14) returned to action in the German top flight with a 2-0 loss to Bayern Munich last Sunday. Hertha Berlin (W8-D7-L11) defeated Hoffenheim on the road last Saturday by a 3-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Union Berlin did a good job of keeping mighty Bayern Munich in check as the first-place team in Bundesliga had a goal expectation of just 1.35 (xG) from their tactics on the pitch — and one of their goals was scored from a penalty kick. But Union Berlin embraced defensive tactics for most of this match with their top scorer unavailable for that match. Forward Sebastian Andersson had been injured before the stoppage in play for COVID-19 — and while he was available on the bench for this match, manager Urs Fischer decided he was not yet fit for action. Andersson has scored 11 times this season which accounts for 43% of the scoring for Die Eisernen this season — but he should be back on the pitch for this local Berlin derby. This is the maiden season in the Bundesliga for Union Berlin — and Fischer’s team has generated fourteen goals via set pieces this year. This team overachieved on defense last week as they have allowed the sixth-most goals on the road in the league this season — and they also rank 6th for the highest xGA when playing away from home. Union Berlin has conceded at least one goal in five straight matches — and they have allowed ten combined goals in their last four contests. To compound matters, Die Eisernen will be undermanned on their backline with defenseman Kevin Schlotterbeck suspended for this match after picking up his fifth yellow card this season on Sunday. Hertha Berlin has seen an uptick in their offensive attack in the second half of the season after making two important moves in the winter transfer window. Die Alt Dame signed Krzysztof Piatek from AC Milan and Matheus Cunha from RB Leipzig to completely transform their forward line. Hertha Berlin has scored eight combined goals in their last three matches while finding the back of the bet at least twice in those three contests. Cunha has scored three goals while adding an assist in his five matches with his new club. And while Piatek did not play on Saturday, he was replaced by team captain Vedad Ibisevic with the 35-year old veteran scoring one of the team’s two goals Cunha. Die Alte Dame plays an entertaining open style of play which has seen plenty of goals from both sides as of late. Over their last six matches, 25 combined goals have been scored. Hertha Berlin has allowed the fourth-most goals when playing at home at the Olympiastadion — and the expected goals they have allowed at home (xGA) is also the fourth-worst in the Bundesliga. They do come off a clean sheet win on the road last week — but the xGA for that match was over 3.0 so they were very fortunate to see that result. Expect an appearance from the Regression Gods on Friday when it comes to the defensive results for this team.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have scored in four of their last five meetings in this rivalry. Hertha Berlin’s 31 points put them one point ahead of Union Berlin for 11th place in the German top-flight table. With both teams probably safe from relegation but too far removed from the sixth place necessary to qualify for the next Europa League, the only thing at stake in this match is bragging rights. Expect a higher-scoring match. 25* Bundesliga Friday FS2-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Union Berlin (202453) and Hertha Berlin (202454). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between VFL Wolfsburg (202417) and Augsburg (202418). THE SITUATION: Wolfsburg (W9-D9-L7) returns to action in the German Bundesliga after suffering a 2-1 loss at home to Shakhtar Donetsk in a Europa League match on March 12th. Augsburg (W7-D6-L12) last played on March 8th when they lost at home to Bayern Munich by a 2-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Augsburg fired their manager, Martin Schmidt, after that match with the first-place team in the Bundesliga. New manager Heiko Herrlich returns to the sidelines almost eighteen months after he was dismissed as the skipper for Bayern Leverkusen. Herrlich will be tasked with fixing a defense that has allowed the second-most goals in the league outside the bottom three sides. However, Herrlich was caught breaking curfew going on a toothpaste run so he will miss this match as he stays in quarantine for the required fourteen days. Despite this setback, I do expect the Fuggerstadter to play better on defense since a change in tactics should fix much of what ails this team. Augsburg has too often been burned in the midfield outmanned by their opposition. Expect Herrlich to implement a less-aggressive approach to compensate. The mission for Augsburg now is to stave off relegation as they are currently in 14th place with a 5 point lead out of the bottom three slots in the league. Grabbing one point from draws will go along way to serve this purpose. Frankly, Augsburg has been a bit unfortunate in surrendering goals this season. While thee have allowed 52 goals, their expected goals allowed drops to 45.18 xGA — and the 21 goals they have allowed at home at WWK Arena drops to just 16.85 xGA. More emphasis on defense makes sense with the Fuggerstadter struggling on offense as of late. They have only scored three combined goals in their last five matches while failing to score in three of those matches. They will struggle to score goals against VFL Wolfsburg who is 2nd in Bundesliga with an xGA mark of only 28.21. Wolfsburg has three clean sheets in their last five matches across all competitions. On the road, they have allowed only 17 goals in their twelve league contests — and their xGA of 15.92 when on the road is the 3rd best mark in Bundesliga. But Wolfsburg has scored only 18 goals when playing on the road in league play which is tied for the 8th lowest. They will also be without their top scorer, Wout Weghorst, who is suspended for this match after being handed a fifth yellow card this season back in March. Weghorst scored 18 goals last year and he was well on his way to besting that mark with 15 goals in Bundesliga already this season.

FINAL TAKE: These teams have seen three of their last five encounters end in a scoreless draw which included their last meeting at Wolfsburg back on October 27th. But in the reverse fixture at Augsburg almost a year ago on May 18th, Wolfsburg rocked the Fuggerstadter by an 8-1 score. Redeeming themselves from that embarrassment offers the final reason why an absent Herrich will likely demand a heavy reliance on defensive principles back at WWK Arena this season. 10* Bundesliga Saturday Morning Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between VFL Wolfsburg (202417) and Augsburg (202418). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the opening round of the Conference USA tournament between the Florida Atlantic Owls (675) and the Old Dominion Monarchs (676). THE SITUATION: FAU (16-15) has lost two straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 94-82 loss at Marshall as a 5.5-point favorite last Wednesday. Old Dominion (13-18) has lost three of their last five games with their 72-63 loss at UAB as a 2-point favorite on last Saturday. The Conference USA tournament is being played on a neutral court at the Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Owls allowed the Thundering Herd to nail 53.4% of their shots which was the second-worst defensive effort of their season (and worst over their last fourteen games). FAU has then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Owls have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss against a conference rival. Now FAU stays on the road where they are making just 40.1% of their shots which is resulting in only 65.6 PPG. The Under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games played on a neutral court — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games on a neutral court as an underdog. The Owls have also played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing their second game in eight days. And in their last 10 games when listed in the +/- 3 point range, FAU has played 8 of these games Under the Total. Old Dominion allowed the Blazers to make 51.1% of their shots which was the highest field goal percentage in their last four games. The Monarchs did hold UAB to just four offensive rebounds in that contest — and they have then played 10 of their last 12 games on the road Under the Total after not allowing more than 5 offensive rebounds in their last game. Old Dominion is 7th in the nation by limiting its opponents to rebounding just 21.7% of their missed shots. The Monarchs stay on the road where they are making only 39.6% of their shots which results in just 60.2 PPG. Old Dominion is 339th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 43.1% when playing away from home. The Monarchs have played 39 of their last 51 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have also played 21 of their last 26 games when playing on a neutral court as the favorite. Old Dominion has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total in tournament action.

FINAL TAKE: The Monarchs are a strong defensive team that ranked 3rd in Conference USA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank 57th in the nation Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. FAU has an effective field goal percentage of 46% when playing away from home which is just 279th in the country. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the opening round of the Conference USA tournament between the Florida Atlantic Owls (675) and the Old Dominion Monarchs (676). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Ohio Valley Conference championship game between the Murray State Racers (751) and the Belmont Bruins (752). THE SITUATION: Murray State (23-8) reached the finals of this tournament with their 73-61 win over Austin Peay as a 1-point favorite yesterday. Belmont (25-7) joined them yesterday as they won their eleventh straight game with their 60-50 win over Eastern Kentucky as a 13.5-point favorite. This game is being played on a neutral court in Evansville, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Racers have played 9 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Murray State is playing excellent defense right now after holding the Governors to just 39.3% shooting. The Racers have held their last five opponents to just 39.6% shooting from the field which has resulted in only 61.0 PPG. Moving forward, Murray State has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 12 games as an underdog, the Racers have played 9 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Belmont has played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a victory over a conference opponent. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Bruins made only 33.8% of their shots in that game — but they held Eastern Kentucky to just 29.9% shooting to win the game handily. Belmont has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a game where neither team scored more than 60 points. The Bruins have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a defensive struggle between the top two defenses in the Ohio Valley Conference in terms of Adjusted Efficiency. Murray State has played 7 of their last 8 games after fifteen games into the season Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Belmont has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Ohio Valley Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Ohio Valley Conference championship game between the Murray State Racers (751) and the Belmont Bruins (752). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Mountain West Conference tournament championship game between the Utah State Aggies (741) and the San Diego State Aztecs (742). THE SITUATION: Utah State (25-8) has won two straight games as well as eight of their last nine games with their 89-82 win over Wyoming as a 15-point favorite yesterday. San Diego State (30-1) has won their last four games after suffering their first loss of the season with their 81-68 win over Boise State yesterday. This game will be played on a neutral court at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Aggies outlasted the Cowboys by shooting 56.1% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last eleven games. Utah State has then played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total on the road after a point spread win. The Aggies have also played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. And while yesterday’s game flew Over the 136 point Total, Utah State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. San Diego State has played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They also have played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after a game where they scored at least 80 points. The Aztecs rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency this season. In their fifteen games away from home this year, San Diego State has held these opponents to just 39.9% shooting and only 60.9 PPG. The Aztecs have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total that were played on a neutral court. San Diego State has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total in tournament action. And while Utah State makes 46.1% of their shots this season, the Aztecs have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total against teams who shoot at least 455 from the field. The Aggies are outscoring their opponents by +12.7 PPG — but San Diego State has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Utah State hopes to avenge an 80-68 loss to San Diego State back on February 1st — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when motivated by revenge. The Aggies have also played 6 straight games Under the Total when avenging a double-digit loss on the road. Expect a lower scoring game between the top two defensive teams (in terms of Adjusted Efficiency) in the conference). 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Mountain West Conference tournament championship game between the Utah State Aggies (741) and the San Diego State Aztecs (742). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (861) and the Davidson Wildcats (862). THE SITUATION: VCU (18-12) has lost six of their last seven games with their 80-77 loss at home to Duquesne on Wednesday as a 5.5-point favorite. Davidson (15-14) has lost their last two contests after their 80-63 loss at Richmond on Wednesday as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: VCU has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread setback. They have also played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Missouri-Kansas City Kangaroos (679) and the Utah Valley State Wolverines (680). THE SITUATION: UMKC (15-14) has won three games in a row with their 80-58 win over Chicago State last Saturday as a 20-point favorite. Utah Valley State (11-18) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Wednesday in a 73-66 loss at Cal-Baptist where they were 6-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Kansas City has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 24 of their last 33 road games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Kangaroos have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. UMKC is hot with its shooting right now as they are making 48.5% of their shots over their last five contests. Now they go back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total. The Kangaroos have also played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total as an underdog. Utah Valley State made only 43.9% of their shots last week in their loss to Cal-Baptist — that was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. The Wolverines have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. And while Utah Valley State has lost five of their last seven games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven contests. Over their last five games, they are still making 49.8% of their shots which has resulted in them averaging 76.8 PPG. They have also allowed 75.0 PPG over those last five games. They return home where they are scoring 74.9 PPG while allowing their opponents to average 70.4 PPG. Hosting this Kangaroos team will help their shooting as UMKC is 285th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.8% when they are playing on the road. Utah Valley State has played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Wolverines have also played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total as a favorite or pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: Utah Valley State makes only 30.3% of their shots from behind the arc — but the Kangaroos have played 14 of their last 17 games Ove the Total against opponents who do not shoot better than 31% from behind the 3-point line. 25* CBB Western Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Missouri-Kansas City Kangaroos (679) and the Utah Valley State Wolverines (680). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas-San Antonio Road Runners (801) and the Old Dominion Monarchs (802). THE SITUATION: UTSA (13-16) snapped their two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 66-59 victory over UAB as a 3-point favorite. Old Dominion (12-17) also ended their two-game losing streak when they defeated Florida Atlantic on Sunday by an 85-80 score as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: UTSA has played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a victory at home against a conference rival. The Roadrunners have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, UTSA has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Toal after holding their last opponent to no more than 60 points — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. The Roadrunners held the Blazers to just 36.1% shooting — but now they go back on the road where they allow their home hosts to make 46.5% of their shots which results in them scoring 82.9 PPG. Defense is an issue for this team as they rank 290th in the Adjusted Defensive Efficiency along with just 11th in conference play. UTSA has played 7 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Roadrunners have played 11 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points. UTSA is a solid offensive team that scores 77.8 PPG while averaging 65 shots per game along with 10 made 3-pointers per contest. Old Dominion has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who score at least 77 PPG. The Monarchs have all played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who average at least 62 shots per game — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who make at least 8 shots from behind the arc per game. Old Dominion committed only eight personal fouls in their win over the Owls on Sunday with FAU getting whistled for 19 personal fouls — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after being called for at least 10 personal fouls than their opponent in their last game. The Monarchs have also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games against Conference USA foes. Now this team stays at home where they are 9-4 this season. Old Dominion has played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams who are not winning more than 40% on the road. The Monarchs have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams who are winning 40-49% of their games this season.

FINAL TAKE: Old Dominion will be looking to avenge an 85-81 loss at home to UTSA back on February 6th — and the Monarchs have played 18 of their last 21 home games when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Texas-San Antonio Road Runners (801) and the Old Dominion Monarchs (802). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (741) and the Providence Friars (742). THE SITUATION: Xavier (19-10) has won two straight games as well as six of their last eight contests with their 66-63 upset win at Georgetown as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. Providence (17-12) has won their last four games with their 58-54 win at Villanova as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 5-0-1 in the Musketeers last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory over a Big East rival. Xavier has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win where they did not cover the point spread. The Musketeers stay on the road where they are limiting their opponents to just 39.4% shooting from the field which results in them giving up only 68.1 PPG by their home hosts. Xavier also makes 43.7% of their shots away from home which is producing just 69.2 PPG. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Musketeers’ last 6 games on the road — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher on their home court. Xavier has also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting up to 6 points. Providence has paled 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset against a conference foe as an underdog getting at least 6 points — and this includes them playing five straight Unders in that situation. The Friars have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team returns home where they are 11-3 while holding their guests to just 39.1% shooting which results in these visitors scoring only 62.0 PPG. Providence ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home. The Friars have played 21 of their last 28 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They also have played 15 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when playing just their second game in seven days. Additionally, Providence has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 6 points. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Friars have played 5 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Providence will be looking to avenge a 64-58 loss at Xavier back on February 8th — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Xavier-Providence FS1-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (741) and the Providence Friars (742). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho State Bengals (865) and the Weber State Wildcats (866). THE SITUATION: Idaho State (6-20) has lost twelve straight games after their 89-76 loss at home to Portland State as a 4-point underdog last Thursday. Weber State (11-17) has lost three of their last four games after their 89-83 upset loss to Portland State as a 1-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bengals have played 15 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss by double-digits. Idaho State has also played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bengals have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing at least two in a row — and they have played 18 of their last 22 games Over the Total after losing at least fifteen of their last twenty games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to nail 50.7% of their shots which has produced 74.5 PPG. Idaho State has played 6 straight road games Over the Total — and they have played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Bengals have played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. Weber State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and this includes them playing four straight Overs after a victory. Furthermore, the Wildcats have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. Weber State stays at home where they are scoring 80.8 PPG on 49.4% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have played 5 straight home games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Over is 10-4-1 in Weber State’s last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% overall.

FINAL TAKE: Idaho State is just 318th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are 347th in the country by allowing their opponents to make 56.0% of their shots inside the arc. The Bengals have a defensive field goal percentage of 48.3% — and the Wildcats have played 15 of their last 20 home games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 45% or higher. Weber State is 3rd in the Big Sky Conference with a 53.3% of their shots inside the arc — they should score plenty of 2-pointers against this Idaho State team. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho State Bengals (865) and the Weber State Wildcats (866). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:38 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (11) and the Vegas Golden Knights (12). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (24-35-6) has won two straight games with their 2-1 win at home over New Jersey yesterday. Vegas (36-22-8) has won eight straight games with their 4-2 victory over Buffalo on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win on their home ice. Additionally, the Under is 3-1-1 in Los Angeles’ last 5 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-1-1 in the Kings’ last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. This is a solid defensive team that has held their last five opponents to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Jonathan Quick had a 2.50 Goals-Against-Average with a .920 save percentage in his eight starts in February. And while the Golden Knights average 3.3 Goals-Per-Game, the Kings have played 18 of their last 28 games Under the Total against teams who score at least 3.0 Goals-Per-Game. Los Angeles goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. The Under is also 10-3-1 in the Kings’ last 14 games against fellow Western Conference opponents. Vegas’ hot streak can be traced back to their improved play under new head coach Pete DeBoer who emphasizes defensive tactics. The Golden Knights have held their last five opponents to 2.6 Goals-Per-Game which is almost a half-goal lower than their 3.0 Goals-Per-Game opponent’s scoring average for the season. Vegas has been even stingier at home where they have allowed only ten combined goals in their last six games for a 1.66 Goals-Per-Game average by these last six guests. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Golden Knights’ last 5 home games as a favorite. Marc-Andre Fleury is playing his best goaltending of the season right now after posting a 2.27 GAA along with a .913 save percentage in his ten starts in February. Vegas has played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or lower. And while the Kings allow only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game, the Golden Knights have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against opponents who do not allow more than 2.5 Goals-Per-Game.

FINAL TAKE: Vegas will be looking to avenge a 5-2 loss to Los Angeles back on January 9th — and they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least two goals. 25* NHL Sunday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (11) and the Vegas Golden Knights (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (559) and the San Antonio Spurs (560). THE SITUATION: Orlando (23-32) has won three straight games with their 136-125 win over Minnesota last night as an 8-point favorite. San Antonio (24-33) has lost their last two games with their 109-103 loss at home to Dallas as a 4-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 7-0-1 in the Magic’s last 8 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 7-0-1 in their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Orlando has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last five games. Head coach Steve Clifford has found a five-man combination that is finally jumpstarting what had been a stagnant offense. Markelle Fultz, Terrence Ross, Evan Fournier, Aaron Gordon, and Nikola Vucevic entered the week averaging 110.1 points per 100 possessions in the 177 minutes they have played together. In the three games the Magic have played since, Orlando has averaged 127 PPG while making 49.4%, 49.0% and then 54.1% of their shots. But the problem for that grouping is their defense as they had allowed their opponents to score at an 111.8 points per 100 possession clip in those 177 minutes entering last Monday’s game. The Magic have allowed their last three opponents to average 119.3 PPG with a field goal percentage of 47.0%. All three games this week finished Over the Total — and Orlando has played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. In their last five games, the Magic are scoring 120.6 PPG on 47.4% shooting — and they are surrendering 118.1 PPG on 47.1% shooting. Now they go back on the road where the Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games — and the Over is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games as an underdog. Additionally, while this is Orlando’s sixth game in the last two weeks, they have played 15 of their last 19 road games Over the Total when playing no more than their sixth game in fourteen days. San Antonio held the Mavericks to just a 41.9% shooting percentage on Wednesday in that loss which was the best defensive effort in their last twelve games. The Over is 6-1-1 in the Spurs’ last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, San Antonio has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. And while San Antonio has lost and failed to cover the point spread in their last two contests, they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after suffering two straight losses — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in two straight games. The Spurs defensive effort on Wednesday was a surprise because they have still allowed their last five opponents to make 48.8% of their shots which has resulted in 115.4 PPG. They stay at home for this game where they are scoring 113.3 PPG on 46.6% shooting while allowing their guests to score 112.4 PPG. San Antonio has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 20 home games Over the Total as a favorite. The Spurs have also played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And while San Antonio has launched at least 91 shots in three straight games, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after taking at least 90 shots in two straight contests.

FINAL TAKE: Orlando averages 89 shots per game this season (while taking at least 89 shots in seven straight contests) — and the Spurs have played 24 of their last 36 games Over the Total against teams that average at least 88 shots per game. The Spurs allow 114.5 PPG this season — and the Magic have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who allow at least 110 PPG. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (559) and the San Antonio Spurs (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Michigan State Spartans (705) and the Maryland Terrapins (706). THE SITUATION: Michigan State (19-9) has won two straight games with their 78-70 win at home over Iowa as a 9.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Maryland (23-5) has won ten of their last eleven contests with their 74-73 win at Minnesota as a 1-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Spartans have seen the Under go a decisive 39-16-3 in their last 58 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a victory over a Big Ten rival. Michigan State has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Now Sparty goes back on the road where they are just 8-6 this season while making only 43.6% of their shots which is translating into just 70.2 PPG. Michigan State sees their effective field goal percentage of 53.9% drop to a 50.3% mark when they are playing away from their home at the Breslin Center in East Lansing — that ranks 91st in the nation. But the Spartans’ outstanding defense does travel as they hold their home hosts to just 38.7% shooting which results in only 67.6 PPG. The Under is 14-6-1 in their last 21 games on the road — and the Under is also 18-7-1 in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Under is 22-8-1 in Michigan State’s last 31 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, in the Spartans’ last 13 games in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, Michigan State has seen 11 of these games finish Under the Total. Maryland allowed the Golden Gophers to make 45.6% of their shots on Wednesday which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last eight contests. The Terrapins have a bad habit of starting slowly which requires them to dig themselves out of big holes — they had to rally from a 16-point halftime deficit to defeat Minnesota. The Terrapins average only 33.4 points in the first half this season with that number dropping to 31.8 points in the first 20 minutes in conference games. They are making only 43% of their shots at home with an effective field goal percentage of 49.1% which ranks 243rd in the nation. Overall, their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on the season ranks 35th in the nation — but that number plummets to 73rd in the country when they are playing on their home court in College Park. But Maryland holds their guests to just 36.7% shooting which results in a mere 59.8 PPG when they are playing at home. The Terrapins have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 11 of their last 17 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 130s. Maryland has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: These are two of the best defensive teams in the nation with the Spartans and Terrapins ranking 13th and 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency respectively. Maryland holds their opponents to just 39.1% shooting — and Sparty has played 8 straight games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 42% or less. And while Michigan State out-rebounds their opponents by +7.6 RPG, the Terrapins have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against opponents who out-rebound their opponents by at least +7.0 RPG. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Michigan State Spartans (705) and the Maryland Terrapins (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Wildcats (651) and the USC Trojans (652). THE SITUATION: Arizona (19-8) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 73-72 upset loss at home to Oregon as a 5.5-point favorite. USC (19-9) has lost their last two games with their 75-69 loss at Utah as a 1-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats allowed the Ducks to shoot 42.6% from the field which was the best shooting effort from an opponent in their last four games. Arizona should tighten up on defense — they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite. They have also played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a narrow loss by 6 points or less. The Wildcats rank 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that mark rises to them being the 5th best team in the nation when playing on the road in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Arizona holds their home hosts to just 39.8% shooting which is resulting in them allowing only 67.7 PPG in their eleven road games. The Wildcats make only 28.2% of their 3-pointers on the road which is 313rd in the nation — and their effective field goal percentage of 44.3% on the road ranks 318th. Arizona has played 4 of there last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as the favorite. USC has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Trojans have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a point spread defeat. USC allowed the Utes to make 48.2% of their shots on Sunday which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. The Trojans have the 40th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that ranking has improved to 31st best in the country in that metric over their last ten games. USC has held their last five opponents to just 37.6% shooting from the field and now they return home after playing their last two games on the road. The Trojans have played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road. USC is 11-2 at home while holding their guests to scoring 64.5 PPG on 39.5% shooting from the field. But USC only makes 43.2% of their shots at home given their 47.5% shooting percentage inside the arc which is 285th in the nation. The Under is 39-18-1 in the Trojans’ last 58 home games — and they have played 7 storage home games Under the Total in February. Furthermore, the Trojans have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.

FINAL TAKE: USC will be looking to avenge an 85-80 loss at Arizona back on February 6th. The Trojans have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. 25* CBB Thursday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Wildcats (651) and the USC Trojans (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (521) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (522). THE SITUATION: Sacramento (24-33) has won three straight games after their 112-94 win at Golden State as an 8.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Oklahoma City (36-22) has won four straight games as well as thirteen of their last sixteen contests with their 124-122 victory in Chicago on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a victory by at least 15 points. Head coach Luke Walton has this team playing at the faster pace they embraced last season. After ranking 24th in the NBA in pace, Sacramento has amped that up to the 7th fastest tempo in the league over their last five games. The Kings are scoring 115.8 PPG in these last five games while also allowing 115.0 PPG in those contests. Walton has indicated that he will have his team continue to play at the faster pace in preparation for next season. As it is, Sacramento has played 18 of their last 24 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220 to 229.5 point range — and they have also played ten of their last thirteen games Over the Total when playing on the road with the Total in that range. They stay on the road tonight where they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total — and they have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Oklahoma City has played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up victory where they failed to cover the point spread. They are scoring 119.4 PPG over their last five games on 50.8% shooting from the field — but they have allowed those last five opponents to make 47% of their shots which has resulted in them allowing 111.6 PPG in those games. They return home where they are making 48.7% of their shots for a 113.7 PPG scoring average — but they are also allowing 109.2 PPG. The Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Over is also 14-4-1 in the Thunder’s last 19 games when they are the favorite — and this includes them playing 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total when favored in the 6.5 to 12 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City won the last meeting between these two teams by a 120-100 score back on January 29th. The Kings have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Sacramento Kings (521) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (841) and the Florida Gators (842). THE SITUATION: LSU (19-8) snapped their two-game losing streak on Saturday with their 86-80 win at South Carolina as a pick ‘em. Florida (17-10) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 65-59 loss at Kentucky where they were 5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Tigers held the Gamecocks to just 37.3% shooting from the field in what was the best defensive effort in their last six games. But the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road after a victory. Additionally, the Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread win. LSU has also played 21 of their last 28 road games Over the Total after a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. The Tigers stay on the road where they are 6-6 while averaging 82.3 PPG but allowing 80.6 PPG in their twelve contests. LSU has played 36 of their last 52 road games Over the Total which includes them playing eight of the last nine games on the road Over the Total. They have also played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court — and the Over is 45-19-1 in their last 65 road games when they are the underdog. The Tigers rank 2nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have scored at least 76 points in six straight contests. LSU has then played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after scoring at least 75 points four straight games. Florida has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Gators have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after a game where neither team scored more than 65 points. They return home where they are 10-3 this season while averaging 75.4 PPG. Florida has paled 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on their home court. Additionally, the Gators have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Florida holds their opponents to just 41.5% shooting from the field — but LSU has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less. 10* CBB LSU-Florida ESPN2 O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (841) and the Florida Gators (842). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (513) and the Houston Rockets (514). THE SITUATION: Memphis (28-29) has lost three straight games after their 124-97 loss at Los Angeles against the Clippers on Monday as an 11.5-point underdog. Houston (37-20) has won four straight games with their 123-112 win over New York on Monday as a 13.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Grizzlies have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points — and this includes them playing four of these last five situations Under the Total. Memphis has also played 4 straight games Under the Total both after a straight-up loss and after a point spread setback. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. Memphis has been playing short-handed with Jaren Jackson, Jr., Grayson Allen, and the recently acquired Justise Winslow all injured. They made only 41.6% of their shots on Monday which was the lowest shooting effort in their last five games. Brandon Clarke also suffered a hip injury in that game which will keep him out for a couple of weeks which further hampers the Grizzlies offensive attack. Memphis has had the fourth-worst offense since the trade deadline with the reason seeming to be that when they dealt away Jae Crowder and Solomon Hill, they lost their two most active shooters from behind the arc. With Kyle Anderson sliding into the starting lineup despite not being a long-range shooting threat, opposing defenses are more comfortable to pack the paint to thwart Ja Morant’s driving lanes while also providing more help in double-teaming Jonas Valanciunas’ post-ups. And it is not helping matters that Dillon Brooks is in the midst of a big shooting slump: over his last nine games, he is shooting only 28.5% from the field while making just 17.1% of his shots from behind the arc. Now the Grizzlies play their fourth straight game on the road — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after playing their last three games on the road. Memphis has also played 21 of their last 30 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Grizzlies are scoring 111.7 PPG on the road this year which is not very much when considering tonight’s Total is in the high-230s. Memphis has played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total with the number set at 230 or higher. And while the Grizzlies are averaging 47.2% shooting this season while holding their opponents to a 45.5% field goal percentage, they are only making 45.4% of their shots over their last five games — but they are limiting their opponents to a 43.7% field goal percentage. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Rockets have also played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a game where at least 230 combined points were scored. With the trade of Clint Capela, this team has completely embraced small-ball with them launching even more 3-pointers than ever. But Houston has also played a bit better on the defensive end of the court as they rank 12th in the league in Defensive Rating in their ten games since the All-Star break as compared to their 15th ranking in that metric overall this season. Over their last five games, the Rockets are holding their opponents to 109.2 PPG which is -5.0 PPG below their season average. Houston has played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total with the number set at 230 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Russell Westbrook is listed as probable for tonight with his thumb injury but Eric Gordon is questionable with a knee injury — and his absence will impact the Rockets’ 3-point shooting. Houston will be looking to avenge a 121-110 upset loss in Memphis back on January 14th — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. These two teams have played 7 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 27 of their last 39 encounters in Houston Under the Total. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN2 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (513) and the Houston Rockets (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (507) and the Atlanta Hawks (508). THE SITUATION: Orlando (25-32) has won three of their last four games with their 115-113 upset win at Brooklyn as a 3.5-point underdog on Monday. Atlanta (17-42) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Monday with their 129-112 loss at Philadelphia as an 8.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Magic have seen the Over go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. And while Orlando has played four straight games Over the Total, they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. Head coach Steve Clifford has leaned more heavily on a lineup of Markelle Fultz, Terrence Ross, Evan Fournier, Aaron Gordon, and Nikola Vucevic which has given the team a jump on offense. Orlando is scoring 113.4 PPG over their last five games. But that group presents some liabilities on the defensive end of the court as the Magic have allowed their last five opponents to make 48.1% of their shots which was resulted in 117.0 PPG. The Magic stay on the road where the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Atlanta has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Hawks have also played 6 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. And in their last 7 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game, Atlanta has played 6 of these games Over the Total. The Hawks made just 41.2% of their shots on Monday which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last six games. Now the Hawks return home hewer they are making 45.6% of their shots which is producing 112.3 PPG. But Atlanta is also allowing their opponents to shoot 46.4% from the field which is resulting in 115.1 PPG when they are playing on their home court. The Hawks have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing at home. Atlanta has also played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played a decisive 32 of their last 45 games as an underdog overall. Over their last five games, the Hawks are scoring 116.6 PPG — but they allowed those five opponents to average 124.4 PPG on 48.1% shooting.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta has played 32 of their last 53 games Over the Total with the Total set at 220 or higher. Orlando has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (507) and the Atlanta Hawks (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (577) and the Toronto Raptors (578). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (49-8) has won three straight games as well as eight of their last nine games with their 137-134 win at Washington last night as a 12.5-point favorite. Toronto (42-15) has won their last two games as well as seventeen of their last eighteen contests with their 127-81 victory Indiana on Sunday as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a win on the road by 3 points or less. Milwaukee has also played 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. And the Bucks have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a game where they allowed at least 130 points. Milwaukee made 57% of their shots against the Wizards which the third straight game that they made at least 50% of their shots since the All-Star break — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in three straight games. The Bucks are shooting 49% from the field over their last five games which has generated 123.2 PPG. They stay on the road where they are making 47.9% of their shots which is resulting in 118.6 PPG. The Over is 19-7-1 in Milwaukee’s last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Raptors make 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc — and the Bucks have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who make at least 36% of their shots from 3-point land. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after a win on their home court. The Raptors have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 7 games after a double-digit win, Toronto has played 5 of these games Over the Total. The Raptors held the Pacers to just 32.6% shooting which was the best defensive effort of their season. They also made 51.1% of their shots in that game after nailing 52.5% of their shots in their previous game against Phoenix — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight contests. They stay at home where they are 23-7 while making 47.5% of their shots which is producing 117.3 PPG. Toronto has won nine straight games at home while averaging 125.1 PPG in those contests on 51.9% shooting from the field and a 41.3% clip from behind the arc. The Raptors have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with the number set at 230 or higher. Toronto has also played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog. And while the Bucks average 91 shots per game in their up-tempo offense, the Raptors have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who average at least 88 shots per game.

FINAL TAKE: The Raptors will not be at full strength with Norman Powell and Marc Gasol both out with injuries — and that will hurt them more on the defensive end of the court rather than with their scoring. These two teams last played back on November 2nd when the Bucks won on their home court by a 115-105 score. Toronto has played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Tuesday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (577) and the Toronto Raptors (578). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys (877) and the Kansas Jayhawks (878). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma State (14-13) has won three of their last four games after their 83-66 win over Oklahoma on Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite. Kansas (24-3) has won twelve straight games with their 64-61 upset win at Baylor as a 1-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the total after a straight-up win. Oklahoma State has also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games against fellow Big 12 opponents. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They also have played 6 of tiger last 9 road games as a double-digit underdog. The Cowboys will be challenged by the outstanding defense that this Jayhawks team plays. Kansas is limiting their opponents to averaging just 60.7 PPG — but Oklahoma State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against opponents who do not allow more than 64 PPG. The Cowboys rank 98th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency this season — but they have the 46th best Adjusted Offensive Efficiency mark over their last ten games. Kansas has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a narrow victory by 3 points or less — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And while the Jayhawks victory over the Bears fell below the 131 point total, they have then played 15 of their last 21 home games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Kansas has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game where both teams did not score more than 65 points. Kansas returns home where they are 12-1 this season while making 49.6% of their shots which is resulting in 78.7 PPG. The Jayhawks have the 9th best offense in the nation based on Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have the 2nd highest Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. Kansas makes 58.3% of their shots inside the arc when playing at home which is the 11th best mark in the country. Oklahoma State is vulnerable on the defensive end of the court as they rank 9th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they allow their home hosts to shoot 50% of their shots inside the arc on the road which is the 138th worst mark in the nation. The Over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Jayhawks have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total as a favorite — and they have played 18 of their last 28 home games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite. Kansas has also played 8 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. And while the Cowboys hold their opponents to 40% shooting this season, the Jayhawks have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against opponents who do not allow their opponents to shoot better than 40% from the field.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas won the first meeting between these two teams back on January 27th by a 65-50 score. Oklahoma State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when avenging a double-digit loss on their home court. 25* CBB Big Monday ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys (877) and the Kansas Jayhawks (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between West Ham (200041) and Liverpool (200042). THE SITUATION: West Ham (W6-D6-L14) returns to the pitch after a 2-0 loss at Manchester City back on February 19th. Liverpool (W25-D1-L0) comes off a 1-0 win over Norwich City on February 15th in their last English Premier League match.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Liverpool is playing outstanding defense after a shaky start to the season. The Reds have produced ten clean sheets in their last eleven games while allowing a mere one goal over that span in English Premier League action. The insertion of Joe Gomez into their defensive backline has certainly helped. Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp has also gotten his group to play a bit more conservatively with an emphasis on defensive tactics after starting the season where they were an offensive juggernaut. The Reds’ offensive attack has been moderated as of late as they have not scored more than two goals in seven of their last eight matches. Liverpool has also scored two goals or less in seven of their last ten matches at home. The team lost an important piece to their midfield last Tuesday in their loss to Atletico Madrid in Champions League play with Jordan Henderson suffering a hamstring injury. Look for the Reds to play a bit more cautiously this afternoon to compensate for his absence on the pitch. West Ham parked the proverbial bus last Saturday in their 2-0 loss to Manchester City. Manager David Moyes will likely deploy the same strategy in this contest with the Hammers trying to fight off relegation. Goal differential could play a role in staving off a return to England’s Champions League so West Ham will not begin to play more aggressively if they fall behind by a goal or two. Moyes will be relatively happy with a 2-0 loss so that the Hammers do not get dinged too badly with the goal differential tie-breaker. West Ham had only three shots against Man City with none of them on target. They have scored only five goals in their last six contests with three of them coming in a 3-3 draw against Brighton. West Ham has scored only 10 goals on the road this season in the EPL which is the second lowest amount in the league. The Hammers have seen 21 combined goals in their seven EPL matches against Big Six sides for a 3.0 combined goals per game average.

FINAL TAKE: There is a high likelihood that West Ham will not score in this match. These two teams played last month on January 29th where Liverpool won by a 2-0 score — and I see that result as the probable score this afternoon. Klopp will substitute early once this match is in hand to save the strength of his key players. With the Reds missing Henderson in the middle, I do not think their offensive attack will be clicking on all cylinders. 25* EPL Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between West Ham (200041) and Liverpool (200042). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (865) and the Washington State Cougars (866). THE SITUATION: Stanford (17-9) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 72-64 upset win at Washington as a 2.5-point underdog on Thursday. Washington State (14-13) has lost three straight games with their 66-57 upset loss to California as a 6.5-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cardinal has seen the Under go 8-3-2 in their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Stanford has also played 8 of their last 11 games after an upset loss. The Cardinal is one of the best defensive teams in the nation as they rank 6th in the country in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also rank 7th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They hold their hosts to just 42% shooting from inside the arc which helps them post an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.5% — both those numbers are 3rd best in the nation for teams playing on the road. The Under is 9-4-2 in Stanford’s last 15 games on the road — and the Under is also 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better when playing at home. Furthermore, the Under is 3-0-1 in the Cardinal’s last 4 road games as a favorite — and they have also seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games as a favorite. Washington State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Cougars have played 4 straight games Under the Total after losing two in a row — and they have played a decisive 36 of their last 51 games at home Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven contests. They made only 29.8% of their shots against the Golden Bears after shooting just 28.6% from the field in their previous game against USC. Over their last five games, Washington State is shooting just 35.8% which has resulted in only 63.8 PPG. They stay at home where they are making just 40.9% of their shots while ranking 302nd in the nation with a 46.4% field goal percentage inside the arc. Overall, the Cougars have an effective field goal percentage of 46.6% when playing at home which is the 313th lowest mark in the nation. Moving forward, the Cougars have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: To make matters worse, they may be without their point guard Isaac Bonton who is questionable with a leg injury. Boston leads the team in touches when he is on the court while ranking second in shots — so the Washington State offense will likely suffer if he is not able to play or if he is hindered with his leg. 25* CBB Sunday ESPNU Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (865) and the Washington State Cougars (866). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between Southern Utah Thundercats (771) and the Weber State Wildcats (772). THE SITUATION: Southern Utah (14-12) has lost three straight games after their 68-66 loss at Northern Colorado as a 7-point underdog on Thursday. Weber State (10-16) has lost their last three games with their 77-63 loss at Montana State as a 5-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Thunderbirds have played 7 of their last 10 games over the total after a loss on the road by 3 points or less. They also have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Southern Utah has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing three straight games to Big Sky opponents. Now the Thunderbirds go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Southern Utah has not made more than three shots from behind the arc in two straight games — but they have then played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total after failing to make more than three shots from 3-point range in two straight games. They now face a Wildcats team that is 328th in the nation by allowing their opponents to nail 37.3% of their shots from downtown. Weber State allows their opponents to make 45.1% of their shots this season — and the Thunderbirds have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams who allow their opponents to make at least 45% of their shots. Southern Utah has also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games. Weber State has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. The Wildcats have also played 6 straight games Over the Total after losing two straight games. They return home where they are 7-4 while making 49.4% of their shots which is generating 80.5 PPG. Weber State has played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as an underdog. The Wildcats’ play on the defensive end of the court has waned as of late. They have allowed their last five opponents to make 47.9% of their shots which has resulted in them averaging 71.0 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Southern Utah will be looking to avenge a 75-65 upset loss at home to Weber State back on January 30th. The Thunderbirds have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between Southern Utah Thundercats (771) and the Weber State Wildcats (772). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (839) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (840). THE SITUATION: Kansas State (9-16) has lost five straight games with their 68-57 loss at TCU on Saturday as a 3-point underdog. Texas Tech (16-9) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 73-70 upset loss at Oklahoma State as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats held the Horned Frogs to just 44.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last four games. Kansas State has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Wildcats stay on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Kansas State has played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 9.5 to 12 points. The Wildcats have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total as an underdog overall. And in their last 15 games with the Total set at no higher than 129.5, Kansas State has played 12 of these games Over the Total. Texas Tech has splayed 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a loss by three points or less — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Red Raiders return home where they are 12-2 this season while making 48.1% of their shots which has generated 76.6 PPG. Texas Tech has played 6 straight home games Over the Total with the number set no higher than 129.5. They also have played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas State will be looking to avenge a 77-63 loss at home to Texas Tech back on January 14th — and the Wildcats have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss at home. 25* CBB Wednesday ESPN2 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (839) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (840). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (625) and the Maryland Terrapins (626). THE SITUATION: Northwestern (6-18) has lost nine straight games with their 77-61 loss at Penn State as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. Maryland (21-4) has won their last eight games with their 67-60 upset win at Michigan State on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Terrapins have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home after a point spread victory. Maryland defeated the Spartans despite allowing them to make 41.8% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games. The Terrapins are 5th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They return home where they are 14-0 wheel holding their opponents to just 59.3 PPG on 36.2% shooting. Maryland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 21 of their last 29 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Northwestern has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. The Wildcats have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Northwestern lost that game against the Nittany Lions despite shooting 46.6% from the field which was the highest field goal percentage in their last six games. The Wildcats are last in the Big Ten in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are still shooting just 39.6% from the field in their last five games which has generated only 59.2 PPG. The Under is 15-7-1 in their last 23 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Wildcats have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Northwestern shoots only 40.8% in Big Ten play which has resulted in just 61.6 PPG. The Wildcats have played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total in conference play. Maryland is making only 40.2% of their shots on conference play — but they are holding their opponents to just 39.5% shooting in Big Ten play. The Terrapins have played 22 of their las 34 games Under the Total in conference play. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (625) and the Maryland Terrapins (626). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:38 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (55) and the Detroit Red Wings (56). THE SITUATION: Montreal (27-26-8) has lost four straight games after their 4-3 loss at home to Dallas in overtime on Saturday. Detroit (14-43-4) has also lost four straight games after their 5-1 loss at Pittsburgh on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after losing four of their last five games. And while Montreal has allowed four goals in three straight games (and three goals in their contest four games ago), they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in four straight games. Despite these struggles on defense, goaltender Carey Price has still been playing very well as of late. In his ten starts since the All-Star break, Price has a 2.31 Goals-Against-Average with a .923 save percentage. The Canadiens are also struggling to score goals — they are averaging just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games while manning just five combined goals in their last three contests. Now Montreal goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. Additionally, the Canadiens have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. Furthermore, Montreal has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow opponents from the Atlantic Division — and the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against Eastern Conference rivals. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Atlantic Division foes — and the Under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents. The Red Wings are probably the worst offensive team in the league. They have been shutout three times in their last nine games while scoring only 12 combined goals over that span. They have also scored only three combined goals in their last three games and just five goals in their last four contests. Head coach Jeff Blashill has his team play very conservatively with the hopes that will keep them competitive in lower-scoring games. They are averaging only 25.8 shots per game over their last five contests which has resulted in just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over that span. Their best scorer is Dylan Larkin but he has not scored in their last six contests. The Under is 3-0-1 in Detroit’s last 4 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 20-8-1 in their last 29 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Bruins were playing with revenge on their minds on Sunday after losing in Detroit the previous week. But the Red Wings are still getting solid goaltending from Jonathan Bernier who has a 2.52 GAA along with a .922 save percentage in his eight games (seven starts) since the All-Star break. Detroit returns home where they are scoring just 2.1 Goals-Per-Game — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total on their home ice. Additionally, the Under is 15-5-2 in the Red Wings’ last 22 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Montreal will be looking to avenge a 4-3 loss in Detroit back on January 7th — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (55) and the Detroit Red Wings (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (15) and the Colorado Avalanche (16). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (20-33-5) snapped a five-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 5-3 win over Calgary. Colorado (33-17-6) saw their five-game winning streak end on Thursday in their 3-2 loss at home to Washington. While a technical home game for the Avalanche, this game will be played at Falcon Stadium which is the football field for the Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after a win at home over a Pacific Division rival. Additionally, Los Angeles has played a decisive 16 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road after a win at home by at least two goals — and they have played 16 of their last 20 road games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals. That offensive explosion was an aberration for this Kings team in what has been a disappointing season. Los Angeles is still scoring only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests — and they are scoring just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game away from home this season. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals. Defense has also been an issue for this team as they have allowed at least three goals in their last six games — but they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road after allowing at least three goals in three straight games. The Kings go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Colorado has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a loss at home by just one goal. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five contests. The Avalanche have seen lowering scoring games as of late as they are scoring just 2.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games while surrendering just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over that span as opposed to the 3.6 Goals-Per-Game they are scoring this season along with the 2.8 Goals-Per-Game they are allowing. They are getting outstanding goaltending right now from Philipp Grubauer who has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average along with a .939 save percentage in his six starts since the All-Star Break. This will be their sixth game in the last ten days — and they have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing their sixth game in ten days. Colorado has also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest.

FINAL TAKE: The weather should be in the 30s so the ice in the outdoor stadium should be in pretty good shape (which can be an issue for these Stadium Series contests). The Avalanche have played 5 straight games Under the Total as a favorite. Los Angeles has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference foes. 25* NHL Stadium Series Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (15) and the Colorado Avalanche (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Bradley Braves (641) and the Southern Illinois Salukis (642). THE SITUATION: Bradley (17-9) has won their last two games with their 72-61 win over Indiana State as a 6.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Southern Illinois (15-11) had their seven-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 55-38 loss at Valparaiso where they were 3.5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Salukis shot a season-low 23.6% from the field on Wednesday against the Crusaders — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not making at least 33% of their shots in their last game. Southern Illinois has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after not reaching at least 50 points in their last game. Additionally, the Salukis have played 25 of their last 33 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a double-digit setback. The return home where they are holding their guests to just 39.2% shooting which is translating into only 56.8 PPG. Southern Illinois has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Bradley has seen the Under go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a victory on their home court. The Braves go back on the road where they are making just 39.1% of their shots which has resulted in only 64.3 PPG. Bradley has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total. They also have seen the Under go 10-2-1 in their last 13 road games as a favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Southern Illinois will be looking to avenge a 67-48 loss at Bradley back on January 11th. The Salukis have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road — and they have played 50 of their last 81 games when looking to avenge loss where they did not score at least 60 points. 10* CBB Bradley-SUI CBS Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Bradley Braves (641) and the Southern Illinois Salukis (642). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (857) and the Siena Saints (858). THE SITUATION: Rider (14-9) has won five of their last six games with their 73-58 victory over Niagara last Saturday as a 9-point favorite. Siena (11-10) has won four of their last five games with their 65-49 win over Fairfield as an 8-point favorite last Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Rider has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a victory. The Broncs won that game over the Purple Eaters by making 54.5% of their shots which was the best shooting effort of their season. But now Rider goes back on the road where they are making just 42.3% of their shots. The Broncs have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road. Rider is playing their best defense of the year at this point of the season after holding Niagara to just 33.3% shooting on Sunday. The Broncs have held their last five opponents to just 39% shooting which has resulted in just 64.6 PPG which is -6.0 PPG below their season average. Rider will be challenged to defend their defensive glass against this Saints team that leads the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference by pulling down 34.5% of their missed shots. The Broncs are 43rd in the nation by limiting their opponents to rebounding 24.5% of their missed shots. Rider has held their last two opponents to just 5 and 7 offensive rebounds in their last two games — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. And while Siena averages a +4.6 net Rebounding Per Game margin this year, the Broncs have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who are outrebounding their opponents by at least +4.0 RPG. The Saints have played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Siena has also played 8 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. The Saints stay at home where they have held their guests to just 41.2% shooting which has generated only 64.7 PPG. Siena has played 21 of their last 28 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Siena is also playing their best defense of the season after limiting the Stags to just 30.2% shooting last Friday. The Saints have limited their last five opponents to only 38% shooting which has resulted in just 63.2 PPG. Siena has covered the point spread in four of their last five games — and they have then played 9 straight games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games.

FINAL TAKE: Siena will be looking to avenge an 85-77 loss at Rider back on January 5th — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing with revenge where they allowed at least 75 points. 25* CBB Friday ESPNU Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (857) and the Siena Saints (858). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis Jaguars (853) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (854). THE SITUATION: IUPUI (6-20) has lost four straight games with their 80-79 win over Wisconsin-Milwaukee on Saturday as a 4-point underdog. Northern Kentucky (18-7) has won four straight games as well as nine of their last ten contests with their 84-65 win over Detroit last Saturday as a 12-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: IUPUI has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss to a Horizon League conference rival. The Jaguars have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. IUPUI shot just 32.9% from the field in that game against the Panthers which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last sixteen games. Now the Jaguars go back on the road where they have allowed the home team to score 80.3 PPG. IUPUI has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. This team is scoring a healthy 78.2 PPG over their last five games — but they have allowed 83.8 PPG in those games as well. Northern Kentucky has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Norse stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Northern Kentucky is scoring 81.4 PPG at home where they are making 46.2% of their shots. The Norse should approach or exceed this scoring average as they are 2nd in the Horizon League in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are facing a Jaguars team that is last in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Kentucky won the first meeting between these two teams back on January 12th by a 96-71 score. IUPUI has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis Jaguars (853) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (854). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Leicester City (200141) and Wolverhampton (200142). THE SITUATION: Leicester City (W15-4D4-L6) returns to English Premier League action after their 2-2 draw with Chelsea back on February 1st. Wolverhampton (W8-D11-L6) comes off a 0-0 draw at Manchester United on February 1st.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Leicester City has come back to earth after a outstanding stretch in the fall where they won ten of eleven EPL matches. The Foxes have won only three times in their last nine matches since that golden run. Some of the problem was the typical visit from the Regression Gods after outperforming their underlying statistics. Leicester City also enjoyed a favorable group of opponents during that autumn stretch before things got more challenging in December and January. But the biggest concern for this team has been the decline of their play on defense. The Foxes have allowed 16 goals over their last nine matches with too many of them occurring from within six feet. The team missed defensive midfielder Wilfred Ndidi who missed last month with a leg injury — and after suffering a setback in training he will miss this match this afternoon. Leicester City has seen at least three combined goals scored in each of their last eight matches. Forward Jamie Vardy has also seen his production decline after a torrid start as he has not scored in five straight EPL matches. Vardy was averaging a Lionel Messi-like 4 shots per game at his peak during that eleven match run for the Foxes — he has averaged just 1 shot per game since that run. Vardy is wily veteran who should break out of this scoring slump. Leicester City has still scored 13 goals in their last six matches even with Vardy’s slump. The Foxes have also seen their last five road matches all see at least three combined goals where they have scored eleven goals over that span. Leicester City has scored 28 times in their twelve road matches this EPL season. They also have scored 45 times in their seventeen matches against non-Power Six clubs — and they have scoed 25 goals in their eight road matches against non-Power Six sides this EPL season. Wolverhampton produced their first clean sheet in their last ten EPL matches to begin the month. That was also just their second EPL match since the opening game of the season where they were held scoreless. The Wolves have scored or conceded a goal in a league high nineteen matches this season — so the odds are very high that the we will be looking at a 1-1 score (or better for our Over) at one point in this contest. Wolverhampton has seen three of their last four home matches see at least three combined goals scored. They have surrendered 18 goals in their sixteen matches against non-Power Six sides. The Wolves have also allowed the 8th most goals when playing at home this season.

FINAL TAKE: Wolverhampton has won their last two opportunities to host Leicester City in English Premier League action by respective 4-3 scores. Expect both teams to score with at least one side scoring at least twice which will be enough to reach our Over. 25* English Premier League Friday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Leicester City (200141) and Wolverhampton (200142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Southern Illinois University-Edwardsville Cougars (651) and the Eastern Illinois Panthers (652). THE SITUATION: SIU-Edwardsville (6-19) snapped their four-game losing streak last Saturday with their 83-75 upset victory against Eastern Kentucky as a 2-point underdog. Eastern Illinois (12-12) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 71-65 win over Morehead State as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL:

At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (523) and the Boston Celtics (524). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (37-17) has lost two of their last three games with their 110-103 upset loss at Philadelphia as a 2-point favorite on Tuesday. Boston (37-16) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 116-105 loss at Houston as a 2-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Clippers will be playing their third game in the last five days tonight before the All-Star break begins tomorrow — they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing their third game in five days. Los Angeles stays on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total. The Clippers have also played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. It is not often when Doc Rivers’ team is getting the points — and that usually means that ramp things up on the defensive end of the court. Los Angeles has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog. They also have played 24 of their last 32 road games as an underdog which includes them playing seven straight games on the road as a dog getting up to 6 points. Furthermore, the Clippers have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against opponents with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. And while the Celtics are shooting 46.3% from the field this season, Los Angeles has played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total against teams with a 46% or better field goal percentage. Boston has not covered the point spread in their last two games — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in their last two games. The Celtics return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Boston has also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Celtics have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall.

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers won the last meeting between these two teams at home in the Staples Center with their 107-104 victory as a 7.5-point favorite on November 20th. Boston has played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge on their minds. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Thursday TNT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (523) and the Boston Celtics (524). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (45) and the Boston Bruins (46). THE SITUATION: Montreal (27-24-7) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Monday with their 3-2 loss at home to Arizona. Boston (39-11-12) had their six-game winning streak end on Sunday with their surprising 3-1 loss at Detroit against the Red Wings.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have played 12 of the last 13 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Now this team plays their eighth game over the last two weeks — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing at least their eighth game in the last fourteen days. Furthermore, the Under is also 7-1-1 in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. And in the last 39 road games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range, they have played 27 of these games Under the Total. Carey Price will be between the pipes tonight. The veteran has a 2.60 Goals-Against-Average with a nice .921 save percentage when playing on the road this season. Price also has a red hot 1.80 GAA in his five starts this month with a .940 save percentage. Boston has played 9 straight games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have also played 9 of their last 11 games on their home ice after a loss by at least two goals against an Atlantic Division rival. The Bruins return home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. They will use Tuukka Rask in net tonight with his 2.07 GAA along with a .930 save percentage in his eighteen starts at home. Rask also has a 1.25 GAA with a .947 save percentage in his three February starts. He has helped Boston hold their last five opponents to just 1.4 Goals-Per-Game. The Bruins have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has won the last two meetings between these two teams after their 3-1 win at home back on December 1st. Montreal has played 35 of their last 53 games Under the Total when playing with at least double revenge. These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 6 straight encounters in Boston Under the Total. 20* NHL Montreal-Boston NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (45) and the Boston Bruins (46). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (585) and the Houston Rockets (586). THE SITUATION: Boston (37-15) has won seven straight games after their 112-111 win at Oklahoma City as a 1.5-point favorite on Sunday. Houston (33-20) has lost their last two games with their 114-113 upset loss against Utah on Sunday as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Boston has not covered the point spread in their last two games with their victory over the Thunder preceded by a 112-107 win at home against Atlanta. The Celtics have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by 6 points or less. Boston stays on the road where they have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Additionally, the Celtics have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 220 or higher. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite. The Rockets have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by 3 points or less. Houston has fully embraced small-ball which was cemented with the trade of their center Clint Capela last week. The Rockets are getting killed on the boards as they have been out-rebounded by 10 and 15 boards in their last two games — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after being out-rebounded by at least 10 boards in two straight games. Houston has allowed their last four opponents shoot at least 47% from the field while scoring at least 110 points in all four games but they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least their last three opponents to make at least 47% of their shots — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 110 points in four straight games. Small-ball has not resulted in an uptick of scoring (except for their upset win over the Lakers, unfortunately for us, when Eric Gordon and the rest of the team could not miss from 3-point land): they are making only 42.8% of their shots over their last five games for a 113.4 PPG scoring average which is well behind their 119.3 PPG/45.1% field goal percentage for the season. Houston has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher. And in their last 51 expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Rockets have played 39 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Boston’s biggest weakness is the lack of interior defenders — but that will not be an issue against this Rockets team. The Celtics do a good job of defending the arc as they rank 7th in the league by holding their opponents to make just 34.5% of their shots behind the arc. These two teams have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 meetings in Houston Under the Total. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break TNT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (585) and the Houston Rockets (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (549) and the Philadelphia 76ers (550). THE SITUATION: Chicago (19-34) has lost four games in a row with their 125-119 loss at home to New Orleans on Thursday as a 6-point underdog. Philadelphia (32-21) snapped their four-game losing streak with their 119-107 win over Memphis as a 6.5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulls are struggling on the defensive end of the court — they allowed the Pelicans to make 56.3% of their shots. Chicago allowed the Raptors to shoot 56% from the field in their previous game as well — they have allowed their last four opponents to shoot at least 51.4% and five of their last six opponents have shot at least 50% from the field. The Bulls have then played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing their last two opponents to shoot at least 50% from the field — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing their last two opponents to make at least 55%. Furthermore, Chicago has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing their last three opponents to make at least 50% of their shots. The Bulls have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 54.5% from the field which has generated 122/.2 PPG. But Chicago has also made 47.0% of their shots over that span which has resulted in them averaging 111.0 PPG in those last five games. The Bulls have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Chicago has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games in a row. They go back on the road where they have played 4 straight Overs — and they have played 10 of their last 14 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. The Bulls have also played 21 of their last 28 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Philadelphia played their best defensive game in their last nine contests on Friday by holding then Grizzlies to just 40.9% shooting from the field. But the 76ers have still allowed their last five opponents to make 47.8% of their shots which has resulted in 119.8 PPG that they have allowed during that span. Philly has allowed their last five opponents to score at least 107 points — and they have then played 18 of their last 26 home games Over the Total after allowing their last three opponents to score at least 105 points. The Sixers stay at home where they are 23-2 while making 48.5% of their shots which has resulted in 111.7 PPG. Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The 76ers have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago will be looking to avenge a 100-89 loss at Philadelphia back on January 17th — and they have played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a same-season loss. These two teams have played 13 of their last 19 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing in Philadelphia. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bulls (549) and the Philadelphia 76ers (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (831) and the Connecticut Huskies (832). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (15-7) has won five games in a row with their 80-79 upset in at Wichita State as a 5-point underdog on Thursday. UConn (12-10) also comes off an upset victory as well as they knocked off Tulsa on the road on Thursday by a 72-56 score as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bearcats made 54.5% of their shots in shocking the Shockers on Thursday — that was the best shooting effort in their last eleven contests. But Cincinnati also allowed Wichita State to make 48.5% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage all season. The Bearcats have still held their last five opponents to just 39.7% shooting from the field. Cincinnati has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a victory over a conference rival — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Bearcats stay on the road where they are making only 42.9% of their shots. Cincinnati has seen the Under go 48-16-2 in their last 66 games on the road — and the Under is also 39-12-2 in their last 53 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Bearcats have also played 47 of their last 60 road games Under the Total as a favorite. UConn made 51.9% of their shots in their upset victory on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their last eleven games. Yet this team is still only making 39.1% of their shots over their last five games — so the Regression Gods are likely to visit Connecticut this afternoon. The Huskies have then played 33 of their last 50 games Under the Total after an upset victory. UConn has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They return home where they are only allowing their opponents to make 39.8% of their shots which has resulted in just 65.1 PPG. But the Huskies are making just 41.7% of their shots at home. UConn has played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Huskies have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: UConn will be looking to avenge a 67-51 loss at Cincinnati back on January 1st. The Huskies have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 10* CBB Cincinnati-UConn CBS Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (831) and the Connecticut Huskies (832). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Temple Owls (827) and the Memphis Tigers (828). THE SITUATION: Temple (11-10) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 76-64 win at home against East Carolina as a 10.5-point favorite. Memphis (16-5) has won their last two games with their 70-63 win over UConn as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Owls made 48.9% of their shots on Saturday in their victory over the Pirates which was the best shooting mark in their last ten games. But Temple has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Owls go back on the road where they are making only 36.4% of their shots which is translating into just 63.4 PPG. Temple ranks only 350th in the nation (out of 353 Division I teams) with an effective field goal percentage of 39.4% due mostly to their 37.7% shooting mark inside the arc which is also 350th in the nation — and they rank 310th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road. The Owls have played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Temple has also played 6 straight road games Under the Total with the number set in the 135 to 139.5 point range. The Owls are last in the American Athletic Conference overall in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they play strong defense for head coach Aaron McKie. Temple ranks 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with that ranking improving to 24th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. Memphis has been outstanding on defense this season for head coach Penny Hardaway — they rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency based on their nation-leading opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.7%. The Tigers have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight home games Under the Total after a win over a conference opponent. Memphis has also played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. But this team has struggled to score points as of late as they are making just 41.5% of their shots over their last five games which is has resulted in just 59.8 PPG. The Tigers stay at home where they are limiting their guests to only 34.2% shooting from the field which has translated into just 59.8 PPG. Memphis has the 3rd best Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. They have played 15 of their last 22 home games Under the Total as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Memphis has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Temple has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Wednesday CBS Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Temple Owls (827) and the Memphis Tigers (828). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the San Francisco 49ers (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (15-3) joined them in the Super Bowl later that day with their 37-20 victory over Green Bay as an 8-point favorite. Kansas City (14-4) has won eight straight games with their 35-24 victory over Tennessee on January 19th in the AFC Conference Championship Game as a 7.5-point favorite. The Super Bowl will be played on a neutral field in Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The adage is that matchups make prizefights — and I say that matchups also go a long way in assessing whether a game will go Over or Under the Total. Both these teams had Top-Eight scoring offenses and defenses in the regular season. I think it will be the offenses that have the edge for both teams in what should push into a higher scoring game. The Chiefs enter the Super Bowl averaging 283 passing YPG — and the 49ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who average at least 230 passing YPG. Kansas City also allows their opponents to average 351.7 total YPG in their eighteen games this season — and San Francisco has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against opponents who allow at least 350 YPG. The weakness of this Chiefs defense is against the run — even after their seeming improvement over the last eight games of the season, Kansas City ranked 27th in the NFL over that span in Expected Points Allowed per rushing attempt faced. The Chiefs allowed 4.8 Yards-Per-Carry this season — and the Niners have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams that allowed their opponents to average 4.5 or more YPC. San Francisco has scored 64 combined points in their two playoff games — and they have then played 30 of their last 45 games on the road Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. The 49ers have also played 13 of their last 16 games on the road Over the Total when playing with two weeks of rest and preparation. Kansas City has scored at least 26 points in four straight games — and they have played 6 straight games on the road Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in four straight games. And while the Chiefs have scored 21 and 28 points in the first half of their last two games, they have then played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring at least 17 points in the first half in two straight contests. Kansas City has won their last five games all by at least 10 points — and they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games by at least 10 points. They are averaging 29.8 PPG when accounting for their two playoff games — but the 49ers best that with their 30.2 PPG scoring average after their two playoff victories. The Chiefs have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams who score at least 24 PPG. And while the Niners average 4.7 Yards-Per-Carry in their rushing attack, Kansas City has played 7 straight games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who average at least 4.5 YPC.

FINAL TAKE: The Chiefs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are winning at least 75% of their games. San Francisco has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The winner of this game likely scores at least 30 points with both teams likely score at least 24 points one way or another. 25* NFL Total of the Year with Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the San Francisco 49ers (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). Best of luck for us — Frank (and to get my Super Bowl Props Betting Report for my top three prop bets, follow me on Twitter and contact me for this Report as a free courtesy: @FrankSawyer_HS ).

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Buffaloes (819) and the USC Trojans (820). THE SITUATION: Colorado (16-5) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 72-68 upset loss at UCLA as a 4.5-point favorite. USC (17-4) has won five of their last six contests with their 56-52 win over Utah as an 8-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Buffaloes have played their last two games Over the Total — and they have then played 27 of their last 36 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Colorado stays on the road where they are making only 38.9% of their shots which is resulting in just 65.6 PPG. The Buffaloes are making just 41.3% of their shots inside the arc on the road which is 338th in the nation. This difficulty in shooting 2-pointers has dragged their effective field goal percentage on the road to just a 44.2% mark on the road which is 300th in the country. Colorado has played 25 of their last 34 road games Under the Total — and they have played 20 of their last 26 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. But this Buffaloes teams does play excellent defense — they rank 18th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. And that ranking improves when only looking at how teams play on the road where Colorado ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. USC has played 30 of their last 44 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Trojans have played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a win against a Pac-12 rival — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning at least two in a row against conference opponents. USC has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 55 points in their last game. The Trojans stay at home where they have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total — and they have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season. USC also plays tough defense — they rank 28th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while also ranking 2nd in the Pac-12 in that metric in conference play. They hold their visitors to just 38.7% shooting on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Colorado out-rebounds their opponents by +6.1 RPG — but the Trojans have played 13 of their last 14 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who out-rebound their opponents by at least +4.0 RPG. And while USC is outscoring their opponents by +6.3 PPG, the Buffaloes have played 6 straight games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who outscore their opponents by +4.0 PPG. 25* CBB FS1-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Buffaloes (819) and the USC Trojans (820). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (821) and the Washington Huskies (822). THE SITUATION: Arizona State (12-8) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 67-65 upset loss at Washington State as a 2-point favorite. Washington (12-10) has lost four straight games after their 75-72 loss at home to Arizona as a 2-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sun Devils have played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss as a road favorite. Arizona State had only 9 assists in that game — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a game where they did not generate more than 9 assists in their last game. The Sun Devils have played their last two games Under the Total — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. Arizona State stays on the road where they are making only 40.9% of their shots which has resulted in just 64.7 PPG. But the Sun Devils play tough defense — they rank 26th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with that ranking improving to 21st in the country when looking at defensive numbers on the road. Arizona State has played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Sun Devils have played 9 of their last 12 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Washington has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played a decisive 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Huskies did nail 14 of their 28 shots from behind the arc in that game — but they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a game where they made at least 50% of their 3-pointers. They also have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after making at least 13 shots from downtown in their last game. Yet despite those numbers, Washington has made only 42.9% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in only 65.0 PPG. The Huskies stay at home where they are holding their guests to just 36.9% shooting which has resulted in just 61.9 PPG. The Huskies have the top Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in Pac-12 play executing the 2-3 zone of head coach Mike Hopkins — and they rank 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Washington has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have also played 17 of their last 25 home games Under the Total as a favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Huskies have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season Under the Total against opponents who are winning 60 to 80% of their games. Arizona State has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (821) and the Washington Huskies (822). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (525) and the Boston Celtics (526). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (31-18) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 127-117 upset loss at Atlanta as a 6-point favorite. Boston (32-15) has won two straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 119-104 win over Golden State as a 13.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 76ers allowed the Hawks to make 48.3% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst opponent’s field goal percentage in their last nine games. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. This is the Sixers just fourth game in the last ten days — and they have played 25 of their last 34 games when playing no more than their fourth game in the last ten days. Philly stays on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the 76ers have played 7 straight games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. Boston nailed 47.7% of their shots on Thursday in what was their best shooting performance in their last four games. The Celtics have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 10 points. Boston has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Celtics have scored at least 108 points in eight straight games — but they have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Boston has also played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: The Celtics will have revenge on their minds as they have lost their last four encounters with the 76ers with their last meeting being on January 9th where Philly defeated them by a 109-90 score. Boston has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge at least three straight losses to their opponent. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break ABC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (525) and the Boston Celtics (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (619) and the Memphis Tigers (620). THE SITUATION: UConn (11-9) snapped their four-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 78-63 win over Temple as a 4.5-point favorite. Memphis (15-5) ended their two-game losing streak on Wednesday when they defeated Central Florida in their gym by a 59-57 score as a 1.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. UConn has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 15 points. The Huskies managed that victory despite making just 35.5% of their shots. UConn has not shot better than 39.7% over their last three games — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after failing to shoot better than 40% in three straight games. Over their last five contests, the Huskies have a 39.5% field goal percentage. UConn is last in the American Athletic Conference with an effective field goal percentage of just 42.5% — and they are also last in the conference by making just 26.0% of their 3-point attempts. It gets even worse for the Huskies when they are playing on the road where they are scoring just 64.0 PPG. UConn’s Adjusted Offensive Efficiency is just 307th in the nation when playing on the road — and they are making only 24.2% of their 3-pointers in their true road games. But the good news for head coach Dan Hurley’s team is that they play very good defense on the road as they rank 20th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. UConn has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Huskies have also played 6 straight road games Under the Total as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Memphis has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Tigers have also played 6 straight home games Under the Total after a narrow win by 6 points or less. Memphis averages 73.7 PPG this season but that mark has plummeted over their last five games to a mere 59.4 PPG scoring average with a 42.8% field goal percentage. But head coach Penny Hardaway can lean on the outstanding defensive this team played. The Tigers lead the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.8% fueled by their tough interior defense that is limiting their opponents to just 39.2% shooting inside the arc which is 2nd best in the country. Overall, Memphis ranks 15th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that number improves to them being 7th in the nation in that metric when they are playing on their home court. The Tigers limit their guests to scoring just 60.9 PPG on 34.3% shooting. Memphis has played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Tigers have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with the number set in the 130s. 25* CBB CBS-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (619) and the Memphis Tigers (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northeastern Huskies (619) and the William & Mary Pride (620). THE SITUATION: Northeastern (11-10) has lost two of their last three games with their 76-74 loss to Delaware on Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite. William & Mary (15-7) has lost two of their last three games as well after their 70-58 loss to Towson State as a 5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 26 of their last 38 games Over the Total after a narrow loss by 3 points or less — and this includes them playing 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a narrow loss by 3 points or less at home. This is an outstanding team in shooting the basketball that ranks 6th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.3%. Northeastern also ranks 4th in the nation by making 40.4% of their shots behind the arc. Those numbers do not fall off much when they are playing away from — they nail 37.7% of their 3-pointers on the road which is 26th best in the country which helps maintain their effective field goal percentage of 55% which is 11th best in the nation for teams playing on the road. The Huskies have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Northeastern should score plenty of points against this Pride defense that ranks 232nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Huskies average 72.7 PPG on the road — and they are scoring 76.8 PPG in their last five games while making 48.5% of their shots from the field. But Northeastern has allowed their last five opponents to also make 48.5% of their shots as well. William & Mary has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. And while that game finished Under the 137 point Total, the Pride have then played 11 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. William & Mary should be able to keep up with the Huskies scoring as they rank 14th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%. The Pride will likely live inside against Northeastern — they rank 19th in the nation by making 54.7% of their 2-point shots while the Huskies rank 321st in the country by allowing their opponents to make 54.3% of their shots inside the arc. William & Mary is making 47.9% of their shots on their home court which has resulted in 76.7 PPG. The Pride have played 36 of their last 52 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, William & Mary has played 23 of their last 34 home games Over the Total as the favorite — and they have played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of William & Mary’s 66-64 upset victory over the Huskies back on January 4th. Northeastern shot just 43.5% from the field in that game while making just 6 of 19 (31.6%) of their shots from behind the arc in a game that saw only 65 respective possessions. The tempo should be quicker in this rematch (with the Huskies making more shots) — the Pride average 67.6 possessions per game while Northeastern averages 67.5 possessions in conference play. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Northeastern Huskies (619) and the William & Mary Pride (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (563) and the San Antonio Spurs (564). THE SITUATION: Utah (32-14) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Monday in their 126-117 loss to Houston as a 14.5-point favorite. San Antonio (20-26) has lost three games in a row with their 110-109 loss at Chicago as a 2-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up victory — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Utah has played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a game where at least 235 combined points were scored. The Jazz made 50.6% of their shots on Monday — and they are averaging 50.6% shooting over their last five games which has translated into 119.8 PPG. Now this team goes on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have also played 5 straight road games Over the Total as a favorite. Furthermore, Utah has played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 229.5 point range. And while the Jazz have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 22 of their last 32 games on the road Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. San Antonio has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Spurs have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning at least three games in a row. Furthermore, while the Spurs have an opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.2%, the Jazz have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total against teams who allow their opponents to make at least 46% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Over the Total — and they have also played 21 of their last 27 encounters in San Antonio Over the Total. Expect another higher scoring game between these two teams. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (563) and the San Antonio Spurs (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (527) and the Detroit Pistons (528). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (12-34) has lost seven straight games after their 118-106 loss to Chicago on Saturday as a 1-point favorite. Detroit (17-30) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests after their 121-111 loss to Brooklyn on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Cleveland has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Defense has been a significant problem for this team under first-year head coach John Beilein. The Cavaliers have allowed their last five opponents to make 52.2% of their shots from the field. Cleveland now goes back on the road where their home hosts are making 49.5% of their shots which has translated into 115.4 PPG. The Cavaliers gave played 12 of their last 17 road games Over the Total. Cleveland has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Detroit has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread setback. The Pistons made only 41.3% of their shots on Friday which was the lowest field goal percentage for them in their last six contests. Detroit does expect to get Reggie Jackson back tonight as he is listed as probable despite his back issues. The Pistons stay at home where they are making 47.5% of their shots which has resulted in 111.9 PPG. Detroit is also allowing its visitors to score 112.1 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field. The Pistons have played 19 of their last 26 home games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Detroit has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total as a favorite.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 straight meetings Over the Total. Expect another high scoring game between these two teams. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (527) and the Detroit Pistons (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (507) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (508). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (27-19) has won four straight games with their 140-111 blowout win over Atlanta last night as an 8-point favorite. Minnesota (15-30) has lost eight games in a row with their 131-124 loss at home to Houston yesterday as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Thunder made 58.1% of their shots against the Hawks which was the fifth game in their last seven contests where they made at least 50% of their shots in their last game. Oklahoma City is making 51.3% of their shots over their last five games which has generated 119.8 PPG over that span. The Thunder have also allowed their opponents to score 110.6 PPG in those last five contests. OKC has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Thunder go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% or lower on their home court. Oklahoma City has also played 12 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as the favorite. Minnesota allowed the Rockets to make 51.6% of their shots last night — that was the sixth time in their last eight games where they allowed their opponent to hit at least 50% of their shots. The Timberwolves have allowed their last five opponents to shoot 50.7% from the field which has resulted in them scoring 118.6 PPG over that span. Minnesota has averaged 112.0 PPG themselves over their last five games. The Timberwolves have played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. They also have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. They stay at home where they have played 21 of their last 30 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota will be looking to avenge a 117-104 loss at home to Oklahoma City back on January 13th. The T-Wolves have played 28 of their last 41 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. These two teams have played 6 straight Overs — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing each other in Minnesota. 10* NBA Saturday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (507) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (563) and the Orlando Magic (564). THE SITUATION: Boston (29-14) has won two straight games with their 119-95 win over Memphis on Wednesday as a 7-point favorite. Orlando (21-24) has lost three of their last four games after their 120-114 loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Magic played their worst defensive game of the season on Wednesday against the Thunder as they allowed them to make 60.5% of their shots. Orlando has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 60% of their shots. The Magic have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Orlando has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a narrow loss by 6 points or less including four of these last five situations. The Magic also nailed 47.8% of their shots against the Thunder which was tied for second-best in their last nineteen contests. Now Orlando returns home where they are holding their opponents to just 43.9% shooting from the field. The Magic have played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Orlando has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite. Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Celtics now go on the road where they are scoring 108.5 PPG on 44.1% shooting from the field — and those numbers are a bit below their 112.5 PPG scoring average overall on 46.1% shooting. Boston will be undermanned tonight with Jayson Tatum out with a groin injury along with Enes Kanter who is dealing with a foot injury — and Jaylen Brown is questionable with the ankle injury that he has been dealing with all month. That means more playing time for Marcus Smart who is an outstanding defender but inconsistent on the offensive end of the court. The Celtics have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and Boston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing the Magic in Orlando. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (563) and the Orlando Magic (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (663) and the Houston Cougars (664). THE SITUATION: UConn (10-7) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 61-55 loss at Villanova on Saturday as a 9.5-point underdog. Houston (15-4) has won two straight games as well as eight of their last nine games after their 65-54 upset win at Wichita State on Saturday as a 4-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. UConn made 49% of their shots in their losing effort to the Wildcats in that game which was the best shooting effort in their last six contests. Yet the Huskies are only making 40.3% of their shots still over their last five games. They stay on the road where they are making just 41.8% of their shots which is resulting in just 64.7 PPG. UConn has played 7 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Houston has played 16 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after a double-digit win on the road. And while the Cougars have only allowed 25 and 20 points in the first half of their last two games, they have then played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total at home after not allowing more than 30 points in the first half in at least two straight games. Houston returns home where they are holding their visitors to just 35.2% shooting from the field which is resulting in just 60.9 PPG. The Cougars are improving on the defensive end of the court as they have held their last five opponents to just 38.2% shooting. But Houston is not as dynamic on offense when playing on their home court this season. The Cougars are 13th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while posting an effective field goal percentage of 49.5% — but when playing at home, their effective field goal percentage drops to 49.1% while their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency plummets to just 64th in the nation. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: UConn has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight road games Under the Total when getting the points as the underdog. 5* CBB Thursday ESPNU Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (663) and the Houston Cougars (664). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Liverpool (200077) and Wolverhampton (200078). THE SITUATION: Liverpool (W21-D1-L0) continued their historic run in the English Premier League this season with their 2-0 victory over Manchester United on Sunday. Wolverhampton (W8-D10-L5) comes off a 3-2 comeback victory at Southampton on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wolves have now generated 18 points after finding themselves in a losing position in an EPL match this season — so don’t count out the Over if Liverpool takes an early lead in this game. Wolverhampton had a well-deserved reputation of being a defensive team last season in their first year back promoted to the EPL — but they are playing higher-scoring matches this season. The Wolves have seen at least three combined goals scored in six of their last eight matches. Wolverhampton has a hot striker right now in Raul Jimenez who is in form after scoring two late goals against the Saints to rally his team to victory. The Wolves are 7th in the EPL with 34 goals this season — and they have been held scoreless only twice this season (with one of those matches being the opening match of the season). In their four home matches against Power Six sides this season at Molineux, Wolverhampton has scored seven times. But after being tied for 7th in the EPL in fewest goals allowed at home last season, the Wolves have allowed 15 goals in their eleven home matches this season which is just 13th stingiest in the league at home. Liverpool has registered seven straight clean sheets which will certainly make the Under attractive to many bettors. But the Reds backline looked shaky on Sunday against Manchester United as they were outshot by a 9 to 6 margin with their defenders looking a bit tired late in the match. Liverpool was underachieving for most of the first half of the season when it comes to stopping the opposing offensive attack. Perhaps what jumpstarted that group was the injury to Joel Matip which cleared space to Joe Gomez to take his spot to solidify the Reds’ back four. There has not been an EPL team to win nine straight matches with clean sheets since Manchester United pulled this feat off in February of 2009 — so history may not be on the side of a ninth straight clean sheet for the Reds this afternoon. With the goal-line dropping in many spots to Liverpool only being a -0.5 Goal-Line favorite, many bettors consider the Wolves a live dog. I prefer the wiser investment is redirecting that sentiment into the Over. We should not be surprised if Liverpool scores at least three goals in this match. The Reds have scored 38 times in their fifteen matches against non-Power Six sides this season. Liverpool  has also scored 17 times in their seven road matches against non-Power Six clubs in the EPL this year for a 2.43 Goals-Per-Game average.

FINAL TAKE: Liverpool did win the first meeting between these two teams at home in Anfield by 1-0 score. Sadio Mane scored in the 42nd minute of that match with the Reds settling in at home in the second half to earn the clean sheet. That was just the second time that the Wolves were held scoreless since the opening week of the season in August. Liverpool has scored at least two goals in eleven of their other twelve matches with another 1-0 win over Tottenham being the other exception. But remember that the Reds’ last two victories over Man United and then the Spurs were against teams without their best scoring attackers in Marcus Rashford and Harry Kane who are both dealing with injuries. I think the Wolves break the Liverpool clean sheet streak this afternoon (but a Liverpool 3-0 result would not be a surprise) — but the chance of a draw or outright upset for Wolverhampton being a higher likelihood than two or less combined goals being scored in this rematch. 25* EPL NBC Sports Network Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between Liverpool (200077) and Wolverhampton (200078). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Newcastle United (200049) and Everton (200050). THE SITUATION: Newcastle (W8-D5-L10) enters this match coming off a 1-0 win over Chelsea on Saturday. Everton (W8-D5-L10) comes off a 1-1 draw at West Ham on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Everton will be playing this match undermanned as they currently have been hit with the injury bug. Richarlison is dealing with a knee injury while fellow midfielder Gylfi Sigurdsson has a groin injury. Both players did not play in the match against West Ham — and the team has also been without Alex Iwobi who has been out for over a month. The Toffees are getting nice play out of forward Dominic Calvert-Lewin but he will not have much help on the pitch for this contest with all three of those injured players unlikely to return for this midweek match. Everton has scored just one goal in each of their last three matches. But this group has tightened things up on the other end of the pitch under new manager Carlo Ancelloti. The Toffees are W3-D1-L0 in their four matches since he took over in late December. They have allowed only four goals in those five contests. Furthermore, outside a 2-1 loss at Manchester City, they have allowed more than one goal just once in their last seven matches while registering three clean sheets during that span. Everton returns home for this match where they have scored just 13 times in their eleven matches — but they have only conceded 11 goals in those eleven matches. Newcastle has seen just three combined goals scored in their last two matches. The Magpies have scored only 22 goals this season which is tied for the third lowest in the English Premier League. In their last seven matches, Newcastle has not scored more than one goal in each contest while getting blanked twice during that span. The Magpies now go back on the road where they have scored only 10 times in their eleven matches. Over the last five games on the road, Newcastle has scored just four times while conceding eight goals — and four of those goals were in a 4-1 loss to Manchester City.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of Everton’s 2-1 win at Newcastle back on December 28th. The Toffees host this rematch — and they have seen only fourteen combined goals scored in their seven home matches against non-Power Six sides this season. 25* EPL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Newcastle United (200049) and Everton (200050). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (311) and the San Francisco 49ers (312). THE SITUATION: Green Bay (14-3) has won six straight games with their 28-23 win over Seattle last week as a 4.5-point favorite. San Francisco (14-3) has won three straight games after they dispatched of Minnesota last week by a 27-10 score as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Packers have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a victory at home. They also have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Green Bay has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after winning at least six straight games. The Packers surrendered 375 yards to the Seahawks in the victory — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Green Bay has a mediocre defense that has been protected by their commitment to running the football. The Packers rank 18th in the NFL by allowing 352.8 total YPG while the analytics used by Football Outsiders rank their defense 15th in the league in DVOA. Green Bay now goes on the road where they have played 13 of their last 20 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points. They also have played 5 straight games Over the Total in January. The Packers have seen an uptick in their productivity on offense as of late as they have scored 24.7 PPG over their last three games while averaging 386.3 total YPG. San Francisco has scored 29.0 PPG over their last three games which is right in line with their 29.9 PPG scoring average this season which is 2nd best in the league. The 49ers raise that mark to 31.8 PPG in their nine games at home this season. San Francisco has played 5 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total. They also have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. And in their last 10 games against teams from the NFC, the Over is 7-2-1 for the Niners.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the 49ers’ 37-8 victory over the Packers by a 37-8 score. Green Bay could not stop the San Francisco offense in that game with the Niners averaging 7.5 Yards-Per-Play. But Aaron Rodgers may have played his worst game of the season as eh managed only 104 passing yards with the Packers averaging a mere 2.8 YPP. Look for Green Bay’s offense to be much more effective in this rematch in what should be a higher scoring game. 10* NFL Green Bay-San Francisco Fox-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (313) and the Kansas City Chiefs (314). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (11-7) comes off a 28-12 upset win at Baltimore as a 10-point underdog. Kansas City (13-4) rallied from a 24-0 deficit last Sunday to crush Houston by a 51-31 score.

THE SITUATION: The Titans have won three straight games — and they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. Tennessee has not allowed more than 14 points in those three victories — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight games. The Titans defeating the Ravens last week despite surrounding 530 yards of offense. Tennessee allowed 6.02 Yards-Per-Play to Baltimore while giving up 345 passing yards. The Titans have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after giving up at least 6.0 YPP. Now the Titans go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. The Tennessee defense is perhaps not as good as advertised as they rank 21st in the NFL by allowing 359.5 total YPG. They also surrender 255.0 passing YPG which is 24th in the league — and that is not a good sign when facing this Chiefs offense led by Patrick Mahomes which is 5th in the NFL by averaging 281.1 passing YPG. Kansas City has won seven straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight contests. The Chiefs generated 434 yards against the Texans last week — and they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. Kansas City has covered the point spread in all seven of their victories on their hot streak — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games while covering those games as the favorite. The Chiefs host this game where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. Kansas City has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and thy have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. Furthermore, the Chiefs have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas City has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And while the Chiefs allow 350 YPG this season, the Titans have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against opponents who allow at least 350 YPG. Look for Kansas City to exceed the 29.4 PPG scoring average they manage when playing at home with Tennessee playing catch-up and scoring in the 20s. 25* AFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (313) and the Kansas City Chiefs (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the California Golden Bears (693) and the USC Trojans (694). THE SITUATION: California (8-8) has won two straight games with their 61-58 upset win at home against Washington on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog. USC (13-3) has won seven of their last eight games after their 74-63 upset win at UCLA last Saturday as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trojans shot 57.4% from the field in their upset win over the Bruins which was their best shooting effort of the season. USC also held UCLA to just 37.9% shooting with that defensive performance being more indicative of their level of play since they have held their last five opponents to just 37.3% shooting from the field. USC has played an eye-popping 15 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game where they made 57% of their shots while holding their opponent to no better than 43% shooting from the field. Additionally, the Trojans have played 29 of their last 40 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now after playing their last three games on the road, USC returns home to make their Pac-12 debut in front of their home fans this season. The Trojans have played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total after playing their last three games on the road. The Under is 35-16-1 in USC’s last 52 games at home — and the Under is 21-8-1 in their last 30 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 9 home games in conference play, the Trojans have played 8 of these games Under the Total. California has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win over a Pac-12 opponent — and they have played 10 straight games on the road Under the Total after playing a game at home as an underdog. And while the Golden Bears have covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in their last two games. Cal looks to build off their best defensive performance of the season as they held the Huskies to just 29.5% shooting from the field. But now the Golden Bears go back on the road where they are scoring just 56.0 PPG while making only 36.2% of their shots. Cal ranks 353rd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of just 35.3% in their three true road games. And over their last five games, the Golden Bears are making just 39.6% of their shots. Cal has played 17 of their last 23 road games Under the Total. The Golden Bears have also played 35 of their last 55 games Under the Total as an underdog including the Under going 3-0-1 in their last 4 games when getting the points.

FINAL TAKE: Cal has played 19 of their last 26 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 20 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the California Golden Bears (693) and the USC Trojans (694). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (27) and the Washington Capitals (28). THE SITUATION: New Jersey (17-22-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 7-4 loss at Toronto. Washington (31-11-5) has won four of their last six games with their 2-0 win at home over Carolina.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Devils have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after allowing at least 6 goals in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in New Jersey’s last 7 games after a loss by at least three goals. New Jersey is allowing 3.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests — and they have surrendered at least three goals in five straight games. But the Devils have also scored 3.6 Goals-Per-Game over these last five games — and they have scored at least four goals in four of their last six contests. Louis Domingue will likely be between the pipes for this team tonight after getting pulled in that game against the Maple Leafs are allowing five goals in just over 30 minutes of play. Domingue has done his best work at home where he has a 1.68 Goals-Against-Average in three starts with a .934 save percentage — but he has been saddled with a 4.93 GAA with a .856 save percentage in his seven games (five starts) on the road. Regardless of who starts in net tonight for New Jersey, they have allowed their home hosts to score 3.6 Goals-Per-Game. The Devils have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road. New Jersey has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. Washington has played 21 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a victory — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win at home. Additionally, the Capitals have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total wen playing an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. Washington is scoring a healthy 3.5 Goals-Per-Game this season. They have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less. With rookie Ilya Samsonov earning the shutout on Tuesday, the Braden Holtby will be in goal tonight. The veteran has underachieved this season with a 3.02 GAA along with a .899 save percentage — and he has a rough 3.34 GAA with a .868 save percentage in his three starts this month.

FINAL TAKE: The Capitals will be motivated to avenge a 5-1 loss at home to the Devils on Saturday. Washington has played 33 of their last 50 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home by at least three goals. The Capitals have also played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total when avenging a loss to their opponent scored at least four goals — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least five goals. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Metropolitan Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (27) and the Washington Capitals (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the National Championship Game between the Clemson Tigers (283) and the LSU Tigers (284). THE SITUATION: Clemson (14-0) reached the National Championship game for the second straight season with their 29-23 win over Ohio State on December 28th as a 2.5-point favorite. LSU (14-0) joined them earlier that day with their 63-28 blowout win over Oklahoma as a 16.5-point favorite. This game will be played on a neutral field in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The offenses are getting all the headlines — and most of the bettor’s attention with the Total approaching the 70 threshold — yet I think both defenses of these teams are being under-appreciated. Clemson surrendered 516 yards of offense to Ohio State but it was their ability thwart three Red Zone trips by the Buckeyes in the first half of that showdown which kept the Tigers in that game. After giving up 16 points in the first 22:20 minutes of that game, the Tigers only gave up one final touchdown over the remaining 37:40 minutes of that game. Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venerable is one of the best in the business — keep in mind his ability to make in-game adjustments if LSU racks up the points early in this game. In the Tigers’ last three Championship Games (all with Venerable), Clemson allowed only 7 combined points in the second half while registering nine combined sacks. On paper, this may be a better statistical defense this season than the one that limited Tua Tagovailoa and a potent Alabama offense to just 16 points in last year’s National Championship Game. Last year’s Tigers’ defense allowed touchdowns in 10.8% of their opponent’s possessions while forcing turnovers in 12.1% of their opponent’s possessions and allowing 29.6% of the available yards per drive to their opponent. The 2019 Clemson defense improved on all those numbers against a comparable schedule: they held their opponents to TD drives in just 8.0% of their possessions while forcing a turnover in 18.0% of their drives while allowing only 26.4% of the available yards per drive to their opponent. The Tigers led the country by allowing their opponents to -152 YPG below their season average. LSU will offer a stiff challenge with them averaging 397.2 passing YPG with a 10.7 Yards-Per-Attempt average — but Clemson has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 8.0 YPA and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 250 passing YPG. The extra week to prepare for this game should help Venable as well as they have played 33 of their last 45 games Under the Total with at least two weeks to prepare including seven straight Unders. Clemson has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of at least 75% — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +17.0 PPG. LSU is outscoring its opponents by +27.8 PPG after their blowout victory over the Sooners. Defensive coordinator Dave Aranda devised a scheme that limited the explosive Oklahoma offense to just 322 yards of offense. It was key plays early in that game that stalled the Sooners’ offense which put them behind the eight-ball versus the Joe Burrow-Tigers offense. LSU held its last four opponents to 270 total YPG. Even better, after taking out that fourth game against Arkansas, the Tigers held their last three opponents to just 15.0 PPG along with only 259.0 total YPG against three above-average offenses in Texas A&M, Georgia and Ole Miss. LSU did generate 692 total yards against a depleted Oklahoma defense — but they have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after gaining at least 575 yards in their last game. And while the Tigers have scored at least 37 points in six straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 37 points in four straight games.

FINAL TAKE: LSU has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral field as a favorite. Clemson has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral field — and they have played 13 of their last 14 games in a dome Under the Total. While the field conditions help the speed of the offenses, it also helps the speed of the defenses. It does not take many Red Zone stops to keep the scoring below the number when it is approaching the 70 point range. Try to wait in placing this bet since I suspect the number will keep being pushed up by the betting public. 25* CFB Bowl Total of the Year with National Championship Game between the Clemson Tigers (283) and the LSU Tigers (284). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (307) and the Green Bay Packers (308). THE SITUATION: Seattle (12-5) snapped their two-game losing streak last Sunday with their 17-9 victory at Philadelphia as a 1-point underdog. Green Bay (13-3) takes the field again on a five-game winning streak after their 23-20 win at Detroit back on December 29th as a 13.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Of course, the outcome of their game last week changes dramatically if Eagles’ quarterback Carson Wentz does not get concussed by Jadeveon Clowney early in that contest. Wentz threw only four passes for 3 yards before that late hit before giving way to the game but overmatched Josh McCown who began the season coaching high school football. This Seattle defense is 26th in the NFL by allowing 381.6 total YPG. The Seahawks stay on the road for this game where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total. Seattle has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Over is 7-2-1 in the Seahawks’ last 10 games as an underdog — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the playoffs as an underdog. Green Bay has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win on the road by a field goal or less. They have also played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total after winning five games in a row. The Packers went into the locker room trailing by a 17-3 score — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 3 points in the first half in their last game. They did end up gaining 432 yards in that game with Aaron Rodgers completing 27 of 55 passes for 323 yards. Green Bay has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after passing for at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after attempting at least 50 passes in their last contest. The Under may be tempting for many bettors with the Packers having played four straight Unders. But Green Bay has played a decisive 52 of their last 83 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Unders — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Unders.

FINAL TAKE: The Packers have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 7 points. The Seahawks have seen the Over go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. A final word on the weather: the temperature will be in the mid-20s with snow possible in the second half of the game. These are two cold weather teams — with the Total just in the mid-20s, I don’t think the weather changes this game going over the number. 25* NFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (307) and the Green Bay Packers (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). THE SITUATION: Houston (11-6) has won three of their last four contests with their 22-19 win over Buffalo in overtime last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. Kansas City (12-4) ended the regular season winning six straight games with their 31-21 victory at home against the Los Angeles Chargers as a 10-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Texans have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. Houston generated 360 yards of offense against the Bills’ defense last week — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. But the Texans also surrendered 425 yards in that contest — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after giving up at least 350 yards in their last contest. Houston’s defense is below average as they allow 388.3 total YPG which is 28th in the league — and they have surrendered 442.3 total YPG over their last three contests. Now after playing their last two games at home, they go back on the road where they are allowing 410.2 total YPG. The Texans have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing two straight games at home.  Kansas City has won its last three games by at least 10 points with them being favored in all three contests. The Chiefs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning at least two in a row by double-digits — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning and covering the point spread as the favorite in at least three straight contests. Kansas City got their ground game going against the Chargers by rushing for 162 yards — and the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has not had as spectacular a fantasy season this year — but he still leads a potent offense that is 5th in the NFL by scoring 28.2 PPG while leading a passing attack that is also 5th in the league by averaging 281.5 passing YPG (despite their dynamic wide receiver, Tyreek Hill, missing some games). The Chiefs are 5th in the NFL by averaging 28.2 PPG. They stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Chiefs are outscoring their opponents by +9.0 PPG — and Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +6.0 PPG. Kansas City has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Houston-Kansas City CBS-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the Baltimore Ravens (304). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (10-7) has won their last two games after their 20-13 upset victory at New England as a 4.5-point underdog last Saturday. Baltimore (14-2) has won twelve games in a row with their 28-10 upset win at Pittsburgh to end the regular season as a 2-point underdog back on December 29th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Baltimore was an underdog in that game with the Steelers since they rested key players including quarterback Lamar Jackson. The Ravens still scored four touchdowns with Robert Griffin III under center against a good Pittsburgh defense that needed a win along with a Titans loss to reach the playoffs. Baltimore has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. So here comes a rested Jackson along with Mark Ingram whose injured calf is improving late this week who lead an offense that leads the NFL by scoring 33.2 PPG while ranking 2nd in the league by averaging 407.6 total YPG. What makes this Ravens’ offense so difficult to stop is their ability to play in “13” personnel with one running back and three tight ends who can all catch the ball. While the formation helps a heavy rushing attack, all three of those tight ends can catch the ball while offering Jackson a huge target down the field. Jackson faces a Titans’ defense that ranks 24th in the NFL by allowing 255.0 passing YPG. Baltimore also boasts the NFL’s top rushing attack that averages 206.0 rushing YPG. The Ravens have rushed for at least 218 yards in three straight games — and they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in two straight contests. What may score some bettors off the Over is the outstanding defense that Baltimore plays. They limited the Steelers to just 168 total yards on a mere 3.5 Yards-Per-Play average — but they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing their last opponent to average more than 3.5 YPP. And while the Ravens have allowed only 25 combined points in their last two games, they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in two straight games. Tennessee has played 13 of their last 17 road games Over the Total after an upset victory on the road as an underdog. Derrick Henry battered the Patriots last week as he led a ground game that generated 201 rushing yards — and the Titans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they are scoring 27.7 PPG while averaging 378.7 total YPG. Tennessee has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill only threw the ball 15 times last week in the win against the Patriots — but he should not be underestimated to move the football in the air in this contest. Since taking over as the starting quarterback in Week Seven, Tannehill led the NFL for the rest of the regular season by averaging 6.94 Yards-Per-Attempt in the passing game — and he was tied for 2nd in touchdowns and 6th in QBR. The Titans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: While Tennessee head coach would love to slow this game down by running Henry and burning time off the clock, this strategy is neutralized if Baltimore races out to a big lead — and the Ravens are averaging 17.7 PPG in the first half this season. The Titans have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams from the AFC — and the Ravens have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total against fellow AFC foes. 25* AFC Divisional Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the Baltimore Ravens (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (301) and the San Francisco 49ers (302). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (13-3) closed out the regular season winning their last two games after their 26-21 victory at Seattle for Sunday Night Football back on December 29th as a 3.5-point favorite. Minnesota (11-6) snapped a two-game losing streak last Saturday with their 26-20 upset win in overtime at New Orleans as a 7.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Vikings have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after an upset victory. Minnesota has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a narrow victory by 6 points or less. The Vikings have allowed at least 20 points in three straight games so being competitive will likely require them scoring into the 20s as well in this game. Minnesota does average 26.4 PPG on the road while averaging 374.2 YPG in those nine contests. The Vikings have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road — and they have also played 6 of their last 9 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. QB Kirk Cousins should certainly be bursting with confidence after leading his team to a playoff victory with a winning overtime touchdown drive that thwarted the Saints' ability to get Drew Brees back on the field. Now they face a Niners team that is outscoring their opponents by +10.5 PPG — and they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Over the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +10.0 PPG. And while the 49ers average 7.9 Yards-Per-Attempt in their passing attack, Minnesota has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after eight games into the season against opponents that average at least 7.5 YPA. San Francisco generated 398 yards two weeks ago in their victory over the Seahawks — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And while the 49ers have scored 60 combined points in their last two games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after they scored at least 25 points in two straight games. San Francisco has also played 23 of their last 36 games Over the Total after a bye week. The Niners did activate linebacker Kwon Alexander this week after he has been out with a chest injury. They had been holding their opponents to only 11 PPG in their first seven games before that injury — but they have allowed at least 25 points in six of their last nine games without him. It remains unclear how effective Alexander will be in his return with head coach Kyle Shanahan indicating that he will not be asked to embark in full-time duty for this game. San Francisco has allowed its last three opponents to score 27.0 PPG while averaging 344.3 total YPG.

FINAL TAKE: The 49ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing at home — and the Over is also 11-5-1 in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games when laying 3.5 to 9.5 points, San Francisco has played 8 of these games Over the Total. 10* NFL Minnesota-San Francisco NBC-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (301) and the San Francisco 49ers (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.