All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
06-23-17 | Twins v. Indians UNDER 10 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
At 7:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (921) and the Cleveland Indians (922) listing both starting pitchers Adalbert Mejia and Trevor Bauer. Cleveland (38-32) has won eight of their last nine games after their 6-3 win over the Orioles yesterday. The Under is then a decisive 33-15-7 in the Indians’ last 55 games after a victory. The Under is also 25-10-4 in Cleveland’s last 39 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They send out Bauer who is 6-5 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.43 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for significantly better numbers for the right-hander as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.78 and 3.53 moving forward. Bauer faced this Twins team three times already this season — and he has a 3-0 record with a 3.26 ERA in those starts. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Bauer facing a team from the AL Central. The Under is also 4-0-1 in Cleveland’s last 5 games with Bauer pitching on four days of rest. He should fare well against this Twins team that has played 4 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-22-17 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 55 m | Show | |
At 7:10 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (971) and the New York Yankees (972) listing both starting pitchers Jesse Chavez and Luis Severino. New York (39-30) enters this series having won Game Two of this series last night by an 8-4 score. The Yankees have then played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total after a victory by at least four runs. New York has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Yankees have played 8 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Bronx Bombers have also played 20 of their last 30 home games Over the Total when priced at least at -110. And in their last 7 Third Games of a series, New York has played 5 of these games Over the Total. They send out Severino who is 5-2 with a 2.99 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 3.32 ERA in six starts as compared to his 2.70 ERA in seven starts on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Severino had a 6.08 ERA and .281 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 5.52 ERA and .266 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Yankees have played 4 straight games Over the Total with Severino pitching on five days of rest. He faces this Angels team that has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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06-22-17 | Chile v. Germany OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Chile (85646) and Germany (85647). Germany (1-0-0) is using this tournament to audition a new generation of players who can earn themselves roles as this national team makes a major push to win the 2018 World Cup. Twelve likely players including most of the stars from next year’s national team — including Arsenal midfielder Mesut Ozil along with forward Thomas Mueller and keeper Manuel Nuer — did not make the trip to Russia. But Die Mannschaft is rich with soccer talent and this “Germany 2.0” still has plenty of quality players as they displayed on Sunday in their 3-2 victory over Australia. The German style on the pitch is to be aggressive — they are averaging 4.3 Goals-Per-Game in their nine matches in the Confederations Cup as a national squad. On Sunday, Germany collected 18 shots with six of them on target — scoring on three of these shots. Frankly, it could have been more particularly in the first half. Midfielder Julian Draxler looks destined to play an important role on next summer’s squad — and he scored an important goal at the 44th minute to give the Germans a 2-1 lead going into halftime. But defense looks to be a concern for this side as Australia was able to expose gaps in their back end as this match went on. Furthermore, keeper Bernd Leno did not demonstrate he is a threat to displace Nuer between the posts next year as the two goals he conceded were pretty shaky. Defensive tactics have been an issue for manager Joachim Low’s national teams with Germany — and this is a group that only had ten days of practice together to begin establishing some chemistry and cohesion. |
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06-21-17 | Astros v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (925) and the Oakland A’s (926) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Sean Manaea. Houston (48-24) has won two straight games after their 6-2 victory over the A’s last night. The Astros have then seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a win. The Over is also 10-4-3 in Houston’s last 17 games on the road. They send out Fiers who is 4-2 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been even less effective in his seven starts on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.40 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .268 as compared to his 2.68 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average when at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where Fiers had a 4.99 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .289 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to the modest improvements of a 4.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .273 opponents batting average when he was pitching at home. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Astros’ last 4 road games with Fiers facing a team with a losing record. He faces an Oakland team that has seen the Over go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 5-1-1 in the A’s last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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06-21-17 | Portugal v. Russia UNDER 2.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
At 11:00 AM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total (2.0) in the match between Portugal (65127) and Russia (65128). Russia has to feel very good about themselves after opening this tournament with a 2-0 victory over New Zealand on Saturday. Manager Stanislav Cherchesov was rewarded by opting for a younger yet more inexperienced roster for this event as his group was aggressive and the aggressor for most of that match. But there were vulnerabilities that were exposed by the Kiwis in that match particularly in the Russian midfield that this powerful Portugal side can exploit. Now this 3 points accumulated in this tournament, look for the Bears to retreat and play a very cautious and conservative game with the hopes of securing at least 1 point in a draw. Cherchesov will be very happy with a low scoring contest that perhaps his team can steal late via play from set pieces. The Russians’ athleticism and size makes them very credible in set pieces — and this was an area of vulnerability for the Seleccao against Mexico. But this prospect should ensure that Bears do not risk exposing their backside by taking many chances. |
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06-20-17 | Giants v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (955) and the Atlanta Braves (956) listing both starting pitchers Matt Moore And Julio Teheran. Atlanta (32-37) has won three straight games with their 9-0 shutout victory over the Giants last night. The Over is both 8-3-1 in the Braves’ last 12 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least nine runs. The Over is also 5-2-1 in Atlanta’s last 8 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They send out Teheran who is 6-4 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.44 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been very good in his seven starts on the road where he has a 2.89 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .248 opponents batting average but he has struggled at home where he has a 7.25 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and .293 opponent’s batting average in seven starts at home. The Braves have played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total with Teheran on the mound — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Teheran facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Giants team that has seen the Over go 3-0-2 in their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-18-17 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 22 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (969) and the Houston Astros (970) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Joe Musgrave. Houston (46-23) has lost four of their last six games despite defeating the Red Sox last night by a 7-1 score. That game finished below the Total of 9 which means the Astros have now played 20 of their last 31 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 8.5-10 run range. The Under is also 33-16-6 in Houston’s last 55 home games against teams with a winning record. They send out Musgrove who is 4-5 with a 4.81 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP this season. While it has been a disappointing start to the year for the right-hander, he has had shoulder issues with his throwing arm that finally prompted a stint to the disabled list. Remember, Musgrove had a 1.75 ERA along with a 0.92 WHIP and .185 opponent’s batting average at home last season. Musgrove is pitching with five days rest tonight — and the Astros have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Musgrove pitching with five days of rest. He should pitch well against this Red Sox team that has seen the Under go 3-0-2 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starting pitcher. The Under is also 3-0-2 in Boston’s last 5 games against a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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06-18-17 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
At 3:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (963) and the Colorado Rockies (964) listing both starting pitchers Ty Blach and Tyler Chatwood. Colorado (45-26) has won four straight games with their 5-1 win over the Giants yesterday. The Rockies have still played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow NL West opponents. The Over is also 5-1-1 in Colorado’s last 7 games at home. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Over is 4-1-1. They send out Chatwood who is 6-7 with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP this season. The right-hander has struggled at home where he has been saddled with a 7.03 ERA, 1.75 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .301 in six starts as compared to his 2.41 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .183 opponent’s batting average in eight starts away from Coors Field. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 home games against teams with a losing record with Chatwood on the mound. Furthermore, the Over is 3-0-1 in Colorado’s last 4 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-18-17 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
At 1:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (979) and the Baltimore Orioles (980) listing both starting pitchers Lance Lynn and Ubaldo Jimenez. Baltimore (33-34) bounced-back to win the second game of this series yesterday by a whopping 15-7 score. The Orioles have now played 4 straight games at home Over the Total. Baltimore has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They send out Jimenez who is 1-2 with a 6.71 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been rocked when pitching at home where he has an 8.85 ERA, 1.82 WHIP and .306 opponent’s batting average in four starts. The Orioles have played 7 straight games Over the Total with Jimenez pitching during the day. He faces a Cardinals team that has played 31 of their last 50 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-17-17 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (925) and the Houston Astros (926) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and David Paulino. Boston (38-29) has won four of their last five games with their 2-1 win over the Astros last night. The Red Sox have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, after Chris Sale’s complete game shutout on Thursday, Boston’s bullpen has pitched only 2 1/3 innings over the last two days — and they have then played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not having their bullpen pitch more than 3 innings of work in each of their last two games. And with the Red Sox having won six of their last eight games, they have then played 22 of the last 30 road games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eighth games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in Boston’s last 5 games on the road. They send out Porcello who is 3-8 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.51 WHIP this season. It has been a disappointing start for the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner — but the deeper sabermetrics strongly suggest that better times are coming. The right-hander’s BABIP (Batting Average for Balls In Play) of .366 is the highest of all qualifying pitchers and should drop (along with his opponent’s batting average). Porcello is enjoying his best strikeout rate in his career. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.09 and 4.23 moving forward. Porcello has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.76 ERA as compared to his 5.40 ERA when at home. The under is also 3-0-1 in the Red Sox’s last 4 games with Porcello pitching with four days of rest. |
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06-17-17 | Rays v. Tigers OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
At 4:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (921) and the Detroit Tigers (922) listing both starting pitchers Chris Archer and Michael Fulmer. Detroit (32-34) won the opening game of this series last night with their 13-4 victory. The Tigers have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a victory. Detroit has also played 5 pop their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least five run-in their last game. They send out Michael Fulmer who is 6-4 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP this season. The right-hander has struggled at home where he has a 4.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .271 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 2.30 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and .232 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. The Tigers have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Fulmer on the hill. Additionally, Detroit has played 13 of their last 16 road games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-17-17 | New Zealand v. Russia UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
At 11:00 AM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between New Zealand (91425) and Russia (91426). Russia faces the pressure of hosting this event which serves as the dress rehearsal for next summer’s World Cup in which they will also be hosting. Hosting obligations gave the Russians an automatic qualification for this event. The problem for the Bears is that they have a history of underachievement on the international stage while having a roster that plays exclusively in the lower-tiered Russian professional league. This team entered last year’s Euro Championship with expectations that were only heightened with a surprising 1-1 draw with England. That was an extremely misleading result with the Three Lions playing out of synch yet still overconfident with a 1-0 lead that Russia tied in the waning moments of that match in the 92nd minute. That result enabled their very cautious tactics which were exposed in their 2-1 loss to Slovakia in their second match. Needing a victory to advance to the Knockout Stage, the Bears changed their tactics and turned to their bench but the result was a decisive 3-0 loss to Wales. In all, Russia scored just two goals in those three matches which prompted a change at manager with Stanislav Cherchesov taking over. With an eye to next summer, Cherchesov has gone young which has surreptitiously occurred with the retirement of many of the aging veterans from last year’s group. Russia’s Talisman is still their keeper Igor Akinfeev. While Cherchesov has boasted that his goal is a Semifinals run in next year’s World Cup, the reality is that this team needs an acceptable result in this opening match. With their veteran 6’5 striker Artem Dzuba along with playmaker Alan Dzagoev both injured along with midfielder Roman Zobnin, the Bears will be relying on many players on the pitch lacking significant international experience. That will likely result in cautious play to temper the likely nerves in this opening match of the 2017 Confederation’s Cup. |
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06-16-17 | Yankees v. A's OVER 8 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
At 9:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (975) and the Oakland A’s (976) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Sean Manaea. New York (38-26) has lost three straight games after they dropped the first game of this series by an 8-7 score. The Yankees have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss. New York has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. They send out Luis Severino who is 5-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in twelve starts this season. The right-hander has not quite been as good on the road where he has a 1.07 WHIP and .221 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 0.97 WHIP and .204 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Yankees have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total with Severino on the mound. Oakland has seen the Over go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Furthermore, the Over is 10-1-1 in the A’s last 12 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.10 or lower. |
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06-16-17 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (953) and the Philadelphia Phillies (954) listing both starting pitchers Patrick Corbin and Aaron Nola. Arizona (41-26) has won four straight games — as well as seven of their last eight — with their 2-1 win in Detroit on Wednesday. The Diamondbacks have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a victory. The Over is also 20-5-1 in Arizona’s last 26 games after an off-day. The Diamondbacks have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. They send out Corbin who is 5-6 with a 5.38 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP in thirteen starts this season. The left-hander has struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 9.00 ERA, 1.96 WHIP and .357 opponent’s batting average in five starts as compared to his 3.45 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and .277 opponent’s batting average in eight starts at home. Arizona has played 8 of their last 10 road games Over the Total with Corbin on the mound. The Over is also a decisive 17-3-1 in the Diamondbacks’ last 21 road games with Corbin facing a team with a losing record. And in their last 8 opening games to a new series with Corbin on the mound, Arizona has played 7 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Over is 5-2-2 in the Diamondbacks’ last 9 games against a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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06-16-17 | White Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 11-4 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 30 m | Show | |
At 7:07 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago White Sox (965) and the Toronto Blue Jays (966) listing both starting pitchers Jose Quintana and Joe Biagini. Chicago (29-36) has won three of their last four games with their 5-2 win over the Orioles yesterday. The White Sox have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a victory. Chicago has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. They send out Quintana who is 2-8 with a 5.30 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 4.79 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in seven starts as compared to his 5.94 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and .271 opponent’s batting average in six starts at home. The Under is a decisive 23-4-1 in Chicago’s last 28 road games with Quintana facing a team with a losing record. The White Sox have also played 13 of their last 16 opening games to a new series Under the Total with Quintana on the hill. He faces a Blue Jays team that has seen the Under go 15-7-1 in their last 23 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-15-17 | Red Sox v. Phillies OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -107 | 0 h 19 m | Show | |
At 7:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (909) and the Philadelphia Phillies (910) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Nick Pivetta. Boston (37-28) has won five of their last six games with their 7-3 victory over the Phillies last night. The Red Sox have then seen the Over go 5-2-1 in their last 8g ames after a victory. The Over is also 3-1-1 in Boston’s last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 7 road games in Interleague play, the Over is 5-1-1. They send out Sale who is 8-2 with a 2.97 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP in thirteen starts this season. The left-hander has been very tough at home where he has a 2.45 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and .188 opponent’s batting average — but those numbers rise to a 3.63 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and .237 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. Sale’s teams have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total when favored at least at a -125 price as a favorite. He faces a Philadelphia team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Phillies have also seen the Over go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games at home against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-14-17 | Yankees v. Angels OVER 8 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
At 10:07 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (969) and the Los Angeles Angels (970) listing both starting pitchers Michael Pineda and Matt Shoemaker. New York (38-24) saw their six-game winning streak snapped yesterday with their 3-2 loss to the Angels. The Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when it is Game Three of a series as it is tonight. New York has also played 27 of their last 43 games Over the Total when a money-line favorite priced at least at -110. They send out Pineda who is 7-3 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been very tough at home where he has a 1.96 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and .190 opponent’s batting average in seven starts — but those numbers skyrocket to a 5.96 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and .308 opponent’s batting average in five starts on the road. Last season, Pineda had a 4.72 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and .256 opponent’s batting average at home which all worsened to a 4.91 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and .275 opponent’s batting average on the road. Pineda does come off a strong outing where he allowed zero earned runs in 7 innings of work at home against the Red Sox — but the Yankees have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Pineda looking to follow up a Quality Start. And in their last 20 games with Pineda pitching as a money-line favorite priced at -100 to -150, the Bronx Bombers have played 16 of these games Over the Total. Additionally, the Angels have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-13-17 | Yankees v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
At 10:07 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (919) and the Los Angeles Angels (920) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and J.C. Ramirez. New York (37-23) has won six straight games with their 5-3 win over the Angels. The Yankees have now played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They send out Sabathia who is 7-2 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in twelve starts this season. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.93 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .243. in seven starts as compared to his 4.60 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in five starts at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where he had a 3.26 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and .235 opponent’s batting average on the road as opposed to his 4.57 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average when at home. New York has seen the Under go 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games with Sabathia on the hill. And in the Yankees’ last 40 games with Sabathia pitching with the Total set in the 8.5-10 range, they have played 26 of these games Under the Total. |
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06-12-17 | Reds v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
At 10:10 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (957) and the San Diego Padres (958) listing both starting pitchers Bronson Arroyo and Luis Perdomo. Cincinnati (29-33) has lost three straight games with their 9-7 loss in Los Angeles to the Dodgers yesterday. The Reds have then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 21-8-2 in Cincinnati’s last 31 games after a loss. And the Over is 5-1-1 in the Reds’ last 7 games on the road. They send out Arroyo who is 3-4 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been even less effective on the road where he has a 7.50 ERA and 1.71 WHIP along with a .316 opponent’s batting average in five starts away from home. The Reds have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with Arroyo on the mound. San Diego has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Padres have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 230.5 | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (709) and the Golden State Warriors (710). Cleveland (64-35) made a huge withdrawal from the Bank of the Regression Gods on Friday by collecting on the plethora of missed open shots in the first three games of this series en route to their epic 137-116 victory over the Warriors. The Cavaliers broke a host of NBA Finals records including most points in the first quarter (49), most points by halftime (86) — and their 115 points after three quarters were more than they what they had scored in any of the first three games of this series. Cleveland made 59.1% of their uncontested shots in Game Four after making host 38.4% of their uncontested shots in the first three games of this series. And most of those shots were from behind the arc — the Cavaliers became the first team in NBA Finals history to take more 3-point shots than 2-point shots. That is the simplest way to dissect why Golden State has a 3-1 lead in this series. In Game Four, Cleveland players not named LeBron James or Kyrie Irving combined to make 14 of their 25 (56%) 3-pointers. It is that simple. Golden State (82-16) scored 116 points on their losing effort despite shooting just 44.8% from the field which was their second worst shooting performance in their last nine games. The Warriors also made just 11 of 39 shots from downtown (28.2%). Draymond Green’s 16 shots were more than both Stephen Curry (13) and Klay Thompson (11). And after averaging 33 PPG in transition in the first three games of this series, the Warriors managed only 7 points in transition. So while it would be foolish to expect the Cavs to come close to replicating their offensive performance from Game Four, it is very reasonable to expect Golden State to play much better on offense and surpass the 116 points they scored on Friday. In a series that is fast-paced with plenty of 3-point attempts and plenty of trips to the charity stripe, I still don’t think the oddsmakers adjustment to (finally) place the Total in the low-230s is high enough. After four games, Cleveland is 77 of 100 (77%) which translates to a 19.3-25 FT/FTA per game average. Golden State has made 82 of 100 free throws for a 20.6-25 FT/FTA per game average. These teams are combining to tack off 40 points from the Total just from the charity stripe. The 3-point numbers are even more fascinating (as I tweeted out this morning). Cleveland has made 55 of 149 shots from behind the arc for a 36.9% average. Golden State has made 57 of 148 shots from the 3-point line for a 38.6% mark. Both teams are averaging 13.8 and 14.3 made 3s per game on 37.3 and 37 shots per game from behind the arc. In this closeout game which should see both teams starters on the floor until the waning moments even if one team is dominating, expect another high-scoring affair. |
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06-11-17 | Penguins v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (11) and the Nashville Predators (12). Pittsburgh (66-28-6) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Thursday with their 6-0 shutout victory over the Predators. Now the Penguins look to close out their fifth Stanley Cup Championship with all of their previous four Cups being won on the road. Pittsburgh has played 10 of their last 12 road games in the Stanley Cup Finals Under the Total. The Penguins have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games when facing a team that allowed at least five goals in their last contest. Scoring depth has been an issue for this team when playing on the road — they have scored only seven goals over their last five playoff road games and eleven goals over their last eleven playoff games on the road. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 28 of their last 43 road games Under the Total against non-conference foes. |
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06-11-17 | Tigers v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 0 h 27 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Detroit Tigers (913) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Boston Red Sox (914) listing both starting pitchers Daniel Norris and Drew Pomeranz. Boston (34-27) won the second game of this series yesterday with their 11-3 victory over the Tigers. The Red Sox have still played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Boston has also played 5 od their last 6 games at home Under the Total. They send out Pomeranz who is 6-3 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.24 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 1.50 WHIP and .288 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Boston has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with Pomeranz facing a team with a losing record. The Red Sox have also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total with Pomeranz pitching at night. |
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06-11-17 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (911) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (912) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Robbie Ray. Arizona (37-26) has won four of their last five games with their 3-2 victory over the Brewers yesterday. The Diamondbacks have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a victory. Additionally, the Over is 23-9-2 in Arizona’s last 34 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Over is a decisive 50-22-3 in the Diamondbacks’ last 75 games at home — and that includes playing twenty of their last twenty-seven home games Over the Total with the number set in the 8.5-10 range. They send out Ray who is 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. The right-hander has allowed only one earned run in his last 30 1/3 innings of work — but the deeper sabermetrics call for regression. Both Ray’s SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.48 and 3.44 respectively moving forward. Ray has also not been as effective at home where he has a 5.67 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his microscopic 0.64 ERA along with a 0.76 WHIP and .134 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. The Diamondbacks have played 16 of their last 21 road games Over the Total with Ray on there mound. That bodes for trouble when facing this Brewers team that has played 13 of their last 16 road games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-11-17 | Blue Jays v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 4-0 | Win | 105 | 0 h 11 m | Show | |
At 4:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (923) and the Seattle Mariners (924) listing both starting pitchers J.A. Happ and James Paxton. Toronto (30-32) looks to complete this series tonight after their 4-2 victory over the Mariners yesterday. The Under is then 5-1-2 in the Blue Jays’ last 8 games after win. The Under is also 3-0-2 in Toronto’s last 5 games after allowing two runs or less in their last contest. And in their last 5 games on the road, the Under is 3-1-1. They send out Happ who is 0-4 with a 5.33 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP this season. The left-hander’s deeper sabermetrics call for a significant improvement in his frontline numbers with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.54 and 3.45 moving forward. Happ has also been much better on the road where he has a 0.97 WHIP and .196 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.46 WHIP and .216 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under is 3-0-2 in Toronto’s last 5 road games with Happ on the hill. He should fare well against this Mariners’ team that has seen the Under go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-10-17 | New York Mets - Game #2 v. Atlanta Braves - Game #2 OVER 9.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -119 | 0 h 10 m | Show | |
At 6:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (983) and the Atlanta Braves (984) listing both starting pitchers Steven Matz and Matt Wisler. New York (26-33) won the opening game of today’s double-header with their 6-1 victory over the Braves as a small favorite. The Mets have still played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total as a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. The Over is also 12-4-3 in the Braves’ last 19 games on the road. They send out Matz who is making his season debut after undergoing arm surgery in the offseason. Last year, the left-hander was 9-8 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Matz was more effective at home where he had a 2.97 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .236 as compared to his more modest 3.92 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .281 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Mets have played 4 straight road games Over the Total with Matz facing a team with a losing record. Atlanta has played 26 of their last 33 home games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Braves have also seen the Over go 6-1-1 in their last 8 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-10-17 | Royals v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 0 h 21 m | Show | |
At 4:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (981) and the San Diego Padres (982) listing both starting pitchers Ian Kennedy and Miguel Diaz. San Diego (24-38) snapped their five-game losing streak last night with their 6-3 win over the Royals. The Over is now a decisive 16-5-2 in the Padres’ last 23 home games in Interleague play. San Diego has also played 18 of their last 26 games when priced in the +/- 125 range. They send out Miguel Diaz who is 1-1 with a 7.50 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP in action exclusively out of the bullpen this season. The rookie makes his first major league start this afternoon — but he has struggled when pitching at home in Petco Park where he has an 11.57 ERA, 2.23 WHIP and .362 opponent’s batting average. The Over is 3-1-1 in Kansas City’s last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 7-3-1 in the Royals’ last 11 games against teams with a starting pitcher of 1.30 or higher. |
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06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 228.5 | Top | 116-137 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (707) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (708). Cleveland (63-35) finds themselves on the brink of elimination after blowing a 6-point lead late in the 4th quarter in their 118-113 loss on Wednesday as a 3-point underdog. With the second straight game where at least 231 combined points were scored, the Total has risen to the 228 range. With a number that high, it does not take much defense or slowing of the pace to produce an Under. But do not expect the Cavaliers to mail-in this effort. Cleveland will be playing for pride on their home court — and the opportunity to ruin the Warriors attempt to make history with the NBA’s first perfect 16-0 playoff mark should ensure a fast start for the underdogs. While this series can be dissected to death, my primary take is quite simple: Cleveland is not making baskets. On Wednesday, they shot only 44.4% from the field while making just 12 of their 44 shots from the 3-point line (27.3%). In Game One, the Caves made only 34.9% of their shots while making 11 of their 31 shots from the 3-point line for a 35.5% mark that turned out to be their best so far in these playoffs. In Game Two, Cleveland shot 45% from the field (their best mark in this series) but made only 8 of 29 of their 3-pointers (27.6%). Credit the Warriors’ defense — but keep in mind they are primarily focused on stopping LeBron James and Kyrie Irving who combined for 77 points on Wednesday. There is no question that Zaza Pachulia and the rest of the Warriors have completely neutered Tristan Thompson. But the Cavaliers’ supporting cast continue to miss open 3-point shots which has been the biggest difference in this series. In Game Three, they made only 3 of their 18 corner 3-point attempts while making just 7 of their 30 uncontested 3-point shots! Now with the pressure off this team facing a near-impossible 0-3 deficit to overcome, I do expect some of the 3-pointers to find the net rather than the rim. I won’t re-quote the analytics entering this series for the Cavaliers that I have referenced previously — but suffice to say that their Offensive Efficiency and effective field goal percentage was not just better than the Warriors this postseason but the best mark in the NBA Playoffs over the last forty years. That 44.4% mark in Game Three was their second worst offensive performance in their last twelve games — with the worst being Game One of the NBA Finals when they were playing off the rust of six days rest. This remains a team that shoots 48.6% on their home court while also making 39.1% of their shots from behind the arc. The Cavs’ open jumpers — and 3-pointers — are bound to fall sooner rather than later. |
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06-09-17 | Mets v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (905) and the Atlanta Braves (906) listing both starting pitchers Matt Harvey and Julio Teheran. New York (25-32) enters this series coming off their 4-3 win in Texas on Tuesday. The Mets have then seen the Over go a decisive 15-3-3 in their last 21 games after a victory. New York has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after an off-day. And in their last 23 games on the road, the Over is 16-4-3. They send out Harvey who is 4-3 with a 5.43 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective in his six starts on the road where he has a 1.68 WHIP and .287 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.25 WHIP and .200 opponent’s batting average in five starts at home. Additionally, the Mets have seen the Over go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games with Harvey facing a team with a winning record. Atlanta has played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 50 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP higher than 1.30, the Over is 32-15-3. |
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06-09-17 | Marlins v. Pirates OVER 10 | 12-7 | Win | 110 | 0 h 19 m | Show | |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be polkaing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (903) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (904) listing both starting pitchers Vance Worley and Tyler Glasgow. Miami (26-33) won the opening game of this series by a 7-1 score. The Marlins have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. The Over is also 10-1-1 in Miami’s last 12 games against an opponent that did not score more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Over is 13-6-2 in Miami’s last 21 games on the road. They send out Worley who is 0-2 with a 6.59 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in three starts this season. Last season with Baltimore, Worley had a 4.60 ERA as compared to a 2.38 ERA at home. That does not bode well when facing this Pittsburgh team that has seen the Over go 9-3-1 in their last 13 games against right-handed starting pitchers. And in the Pirates last 11 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Over is 8-2-1. |
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06-08-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 0-6 | Loss | -127 | 40 h 6 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (9) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (10). Pittsburgh (65-28-6) has only scored two combined goals in their last two games after their 4-1 loss to the Predators on Monday that evened this series at 2-2. The Under is then 4-1-2 in their last 7 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. First things first, the Penguins have to get better goaltending out Matt Murray while playing better defense in front of him. Murray has allowed eight goals over the last two games. But Pittsburgh has played 35 of their last 56 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. Returning home should help both Murray and the Penguins’ blue-line as the Under is 9-4-2 in their last 15 games on their home ice. |
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06-08-17 | Rockies v. Cubs UNDER 9 | 4-1 | Win | 103 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (961) and the Chicago Cubs (962) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Chatwood and Jon Lester. Colorado (38-23) begins this series by an 8-1 win over the Indians yesterday. The Rockies have then seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 5-1-1 in Colorado’s last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They send out Tyler Chatwood who is 5-7 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.31 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been much better in six starts on the road where he has a 2.68 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and .168 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 7.83 ERA, 1.75 WHIP and .301 opponent’s batting average in six starts at home in Coors Field. The Rockies have seen the Under go 10-4-2 in their last 16 games with Chatwood pitching with four days of rest. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Cubs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. |
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06-07-17 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
At 9:40 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (911) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (912) listing both starting pitchers Luis Perdomo and Zack Greinke. Arizona (32-25) won the opening game of this series last night by a 10-2 score. The Diamondbacks have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They send out Greinke who is 7-3 with a 3.06 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP this season. Those numbers are no fluke in the right-hander’s bounce-back season after a disappointing first season with Arizona — both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.02 and 2.99 moving forward. Greinke has been even better at home this season where he enjoys a 2.49 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and .192 opponent’s batting average in seven starts as compared to his 3.90 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and .244 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Greinke comes off an outstanding outing in Miami where he allowed only one earned run 7 innings of work — and the Under is then 3-0-1 in the Diamondbacks’ last 4 games with Greinke on the mound. Greinke’s teams have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total when he is making the start in the month of June. He should have another strong outing against this Padres’ team that has seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 226 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
At 9:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). Cleveland (63-34) returns home in a desperate situation down 0-2 in this series after their 132-113 loss to the Warriors on Sunday. While some pundits have proclaimed that the Cavaliers must slow the tempo down to not get into and up-and-down scoring bonzana with Golden State after seeing the Warriors put up 132 points seemingly without breaking a sweat, this is simply not likely to happen. As LeBron James remarked after Game Two: “We don’t play slow-downed basketball.” Remember, Cleveland entered this series with a 59.8% effective field goal percentage while scoring 120.7 points per 100 possessions which are both the best marks in NBA Playoff history over the last 40 years. So, yeah, these Cavs are going to continue to rely on their elite offensive skills which includes seeing 41.9% of their field goals attempts come from behind the arc in these playoffs before this series started — and hope they make more than the eight of the 29 shots from behind the 3-point line for the meager 27.6% mark that they had on Sunday. But can Cleveland do anything to slow down the Warriors’ offense? Golden State (81-15) scored 113 points despite being rusty in the opening game of this series — and with that game becoming garbage time for them on offense over the last few minutes of that contest. In Game Two, the Warriors shot 51.7% from the field while making 18 of their 43 shots from behind the arc for a solid but certainly not spectacular 41.9% mark for this team. There is little reason to expect the Cavaliers to slow down Golden State on Wednesday — especially with the pressing need to have James not defend Kevin Durant so that he can save his energy for the offensive end of the court. The Cavs were second to last in the NBA after the All-Star Break by allowing 111 points per 100 possessions to close out the regular season — so their defensive woes have been a problem for a long time. The Warriors have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Golden State has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road. |
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06-07-17 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 9 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
At 3:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (913) and the Oakland A’s (914) listing both starting pitchers Francisco Liriano and Jharel Cotton. Oakland (26-32) has won three of their last four games with their 4-1 win over the Blue Jays yesterday. The A’s have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against an opponent that failed to score more than two runs in their last game. The Over is also 6-2-1 in Oakland’s last 9 games at home. And in their last 11 home games with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range, the A’s have played 10 of these games Over the Total. They send out Cotton who is 3-6 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in nine starts this season. The rookie has has struggled at home where he has an 8.27 ERA, 1.74 WHIP and .321 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.83 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and .256 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Over is 3-0-1 in the A’s last 4 games with Cotton pitching with five days of rest. |
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06-05-17 | Nationals v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers listing both starting pitchers Gio Gonzalez and Hyun-Jin Ryu. Washington (35-20) has won five of their last six games with their 11-10 win in Oakland yesterday. The Nationals have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Washington has also played 9 of their last 12 road games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Los Angeles (35-23) has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Take the Under while listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank. Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports EASILY DELIVERED their 25* NHL Game of the Year on Saturday with Nashville to further a RED HOT 18 of 27 (67%) NHL Playoff mark along with a SCORCHING 33 of 48 (68%) highest-rated 25* run in All-Sports since May 1st! Now Frank UNLEASHES his 25* NHL Total of the Year for the 2016-17 campaign for Game Four of the Stanley Cup Finals! DO NOT DARE MISS OUT! Frank also tests his SENSATIONAL 18 of 20 (90%) NHL Playoff Side run with the Penguins-Predators Game Four money-line winner on NBC! WATCH & WIN — then CA$H IT IN! |
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06-05-17 | Penguins v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (7) and the Nashville Predators (8). Pittsburgh (65-28-6) scored in the first three minutes of the 1st period on Saturday but failed to score a goal for the remaining 57 minutes in their 5-1 loss to the Predators in Game Three of this series. The Penguins have scored just six goals in their last four road games as well as only ten goals in their last six playoff games on the road. While the Pens are loaded with scorers at forward, they are playing a bit more conservatively than perhaps they would like given the injuries they have endured on defense — most notably with their talisman blue-liner in Kris Letang. The team was also without their third-line center Nick Bonino on Saturday and he is listed as questionable for Game Four with his lower body injury. Goalie Matt Murray suffered his worst game in these playoffs by allowing five goals on 33 shots — he should play better tonight after stopping 60 of the first 64 shots he has faced in this series. Nashville scored twice in the 3rd period on Saturday — and Pittsburgh has played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the 3rd period of their last game. The Penguins have also played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 23 of their last 34 road games Under the Total after a loss by at least two goals. Additionally, the Under is 6-2-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 10 games against an opponent that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. And in their last 47 opportunities on the road to avenge a loss to their opponent, 32 of these games finished Under the Total. |
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06-05-17 | Marlins v. Cubs OVER 8 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (907) and the Chicago Cubs (908) listing both starting pitchers Dan Straily and Eddie Butler. Miami (24-31) has won three straight games with their 6-5 win over the Diamondbacks yesterday. The Marlins now travel to the Windy City — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games on the road. The Over is also a decisive 16-5-2 in Miami’s last 23 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Furthermore, the Marlins have played 7 of their last 9 opening games of a new series Over the Total. And in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record, the Over is 10-3-1. They send out Straily who is 4-3 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.11 and 4.50 respectively moving forward. The right-hander has been great at home where he has a 2.27 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .184 opponent’s batting average — but he sees his ERA skyrocket to a 6.00 mark along with a 1.29 WHIP and .213 opponent’s batting average in seven starts on the road. Miami has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Straily on the mound. |
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06-05-17 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
At 7:40 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (905) and the Milwaukee Brewers (906) listing both starting pitchers Jeff Samardzija and Junior Guerra. San Francisco (23-35) enters this series coming off a 9-7 loss at Philadelphia yesterday. The Under is then 5-0-1 in the Giants’ last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 4-1-1 in San Fran’s last 6 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They send out Samardzija who is 1-7 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The deeper sabermetrics are screaming out for much better numbers with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 2.99 and 2.84 respectively moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective on the road in six starts where he has a 1.11 WHIP and .253 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.28 WHIP and .285 opponent’s batting average when at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent last season where Samardzija had a 1.14 WHIP and .238 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 1.28 WHIP and .262 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Giants’ last 5 road games with Samardzija. He should fare well against this Brewers team that has seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-04-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 220 | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (703) and the Golden State (704). Golden State (80-15) scored an easy 113 points despite shooting just 42.5% from the field. That was their worst offensive performance since shooting just 36.8%back on March 14 which was 28 games ago. I suspected the Warriors to be a little rusty with nine days off between games. They were as evidenced by an incredible 20 missed shots in the restricted area along with their below-average 12 of 33 (36.4%) mark from behind the arc as compared to their 40.4% mark from the 3-point line on their home court for the season. Expect more 3-point attempts in Game Two with Cleveland making adjustments to negate the high-percentage shot which was the Kevin Durant uncontested driving slam dunk that ate the Cavs up in Game One. Expect better offensive performances from Klay Thompson and Draymond Green as well who combined to make only 6 of 28 shots on Thursday. As it is, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 game Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Golden State has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a double-digit win. The Warriors have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And perhaps most telling, Golden State has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after holding their last opponent to no better than 35% shooting. |
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06-03-17 | Penguins v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -132 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (5) and the Nashville Predators (6). Nashville (53-35-12) returns home looking to bounce-back from a 4-1 loss in Game Two of the Stanley Cup Finals on Wednesday. The Predators have played 18 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals on the road. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in Nashville’s last 4 games when playing with two days of rest. Embattled goalie Pekka Rinne should play better back at home where he had a 2.23 Goals-Against-Average along with a .920 save percentage during the regular season as compared to his 2.66 GAA and .916 save percentage when on the road. The bigger concern for this team is, frankly, their lack of scorers at forward after the season-ending injury to center Ryan Johansen. Head coach Mike Laviolette countered by splitting forwards Filip Forsberg and Viktor Arvidsson to separate lines to keep some vibrancy after his top line — but that may have hurt Forsberg’s ability to generate points not playing with his neither of the players that helped him produce eight goals and seven assists in these playoffs — including seven points in the Western Conference Finals. The Under is a decisive 9-1-2 in the Penguins’ last 12 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. And in their last 11 games at home, the Under is 7-1-3. |
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06-02-17 | Indians v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (973) and the Kansas City Royals (974) listing both starting pitchers Josh Tomlin and Jason Vargas. Cleveland (28-24) has won four of their last five games with their 8-0 victory over the A’s yesterday. The Under is then 26-10-2 in the Indians’ lat 38 games after a victory. The Under is also 17-6-3 in Cleveland’s last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record, the Under is 7-2-1. They send out Tomlin who is 3-6 with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics project better times for the right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.04 and 3.75 respectively moving forward. Tomlin has been more effective on the road where he owns a strong 1.13 WHIP as compared to his 1.44 WHIP along with a 6.19 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .321 when pitching at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Tomlin had a 4.31 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .257 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to his 4.50 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under is 6-1-2 in the Indians’ last 9 games on the road. He should fare well against this Royals’ team that has played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Tomlin also loves to pitch against Kansas City — he is 10-4 with a 3.94 ERA in 23 career appearances which includes 19 starts against the Royals. |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226 | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (701) and the Golden State Warriors (702). Golden State (79-15) has cruised through these playoffs with a perfect 12-0 record. Their last three victories have been by at least 12 points — and they have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games by double-digits. The Warriors are holding their playoff opponents to scoring just 99.1 points per 100 possessions which is the best mark of all teams in the postseason. Golden State has now played 29 of their last 42 home games Under the Total in the playoffs. And in their last 43 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Warriors have seen the Under go 28-13-2. |
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06-01-17 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 12-2 | Loss | -117 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
At 7:07 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (911) and the Toronto Blue Jays (912) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Marco Estrada. New York (30-20) has lost two of their last three games with their 10-4 loss in Baltimore yesterday. The Yankees have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. New York has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They send out Sabathia who is 5-2 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in ten starts this season. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.21 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 6.17 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .269 opponent’s batting average at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where Sabathia had a 3.26 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and .235 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.57 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under is 7-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 10 road games with Sabathia on the mound. He should fare well against this Blue Jays team that has seen the Under go 32-15-4 in their last 51 games against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-31-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (3) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (4). Pittsburgh (64-27-6) scored four goals on Pekka Rinne on Monday — with their final goal being a late empty netter — to secure a 5-3 victory in the opening game of this series. But after scoring three goals on eight shots in the 1st period, the Penguins managed only four more shots for the rest of the game which included a 37-minute stretch where they failed to manage even one shot on net. While some of that cold stretch can be explained by their desire to protect their lead, this team cannot expect to continue to beat Rinne if they are managing more shots at him. Pittsburgh has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. And while the Penguins allowed two goals in the 3rd period on Monday, they have then played 26 of their last 38 home games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the 3rd period of their last game. |
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05-31-17 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
At 3:40 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (953) and the San Diego Padres (954) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and Luis Perdomo. San Diego (20-33) has won three straight games with their 6-2 win over the Cubs last night. The Padres have then seen the Over go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after allowing two runs or less. San Diego has also played 25 of their last 36 home games after winning at least two straight games. And while the Padres have not allowed more than three runs in four straight games, they have then played 25 of their last 37 home games after not allowing more than four runs in four straight games. They send out Perdomo who is 0-2 with a 5.61 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in eight starts this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled at home where he has a 7.11 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and .311 opponent’s batting average in five starts as compared to his solid 3.50 ERA along with a 1.39 WHIP and .271 opponent’s batting average when on the road. While it surprising that Perdomo does not perform better in the spacious, pitcher-friendly Petco Park, these disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where he had a 6.33 ERA, 1.71 WHIP and .329 opponent’s batting average when at home as compared to his 5.30 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and .296 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Padres have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with Perdomo on the mound. |
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05-29-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -135 | 60 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). Pittsburgh (63-27-6) earned the opportunity to defend their Stanley Cup Championship in this year’s Stanley Cup with their 3-2 victory over Ottawa in the climactic seventh game of the Eastern Conference Finals on Thursday. The Penguins host this opening game as they retain the home ice advantage in this series — and the Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games at home. While Pittsburgh has two of the best forwards in the world in Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, head coach Mike Sullivan has had his team play a bit more conservatively to help compensate for some of the injuries on their blue line. Furthermore, expect both teams to be cautious in this opening game as they feel each other out after their tough respective Conference Finals. The Penguins have played 22 of their last 32 opening games of a new series in the playoffs. Additionally, the Predators will be taking the ice for the first time in a week for this game — and that helps place the Under into an empirical angle that has been 69% effective over the last five seasons. In games between non-conference opponents with the Total set at 5.5, when the road team is playing with at least three days of rest, these games then finished Under the Total in 36 of the last 52 situations where these conditions applied. |
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05-29-17 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9 | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
At 7:15 pM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (971) and the Kansas City Royals (972) listing both starting pitchers Daniel Norris and Jason Hammel. Kansas City (21-28) returns home for the first time since May 18th after concluding their road trip with a 10-1 loss in Cleveland. The Royals have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Kansas City has also played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total after returning for a road trip that took at least seven days. Furthermore, the Under is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games at home. They send out Hammel who is 1-6 with a 5.98 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 5.61 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. And while those numbers are certainly not desirable, lets remember that he posted a strong 2.42 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with the Cubs last season. The Royals have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with Hammel pitching on grass. |
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05-28-17 | Mets v. Pirates OVER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (913) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (914) listing both starting pitchers Matt Harvey and Tyler Glasnow. New York (20-27) looks to bounce-back from a 5-4 loss to the Pirates last night. The Over is then a decisive 33-16-4 in the Mets’ last 53 games after a loss. The Over is also 15-4-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 21 games on the road — and that includes five straight road Overs against teams with a losing record. They send out Matt Harvey who is 3-3 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has a 5.60 ERA along with a 1.76 WHIP and .295 opponent’s batting average in five starts. The Mets have also played 4 straight games Over the Total with Harvey facing a team with a losing record. Harvey faces a Pittsburgh team that has played 5 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Additionally, the Pirates have played. |
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05-28-17 | Rays v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
At 2:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (925) and the Minnesota Twins (926) listing both starting pitchers Alex Cobb and Kyle Gibson. Minnesota (26-19) has won five of their last six games with their 5-3 victory over the Rays. The Over is then a decisive 43-21-4 in the Twins’ last 68 games after they scored at least five runs in their last game. Minnesota has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home. They send out Gibson who is 1-2 with an 8.62 ERA and 2.01 WHIP in seven starts this season. While nothing has gone right for the right-hander this year, it has been even worse when he is pitching at home as he is saddled with a disastrous 2.29 WHIP and .385 opponent’s batting average in four starts. The Over is 7-1-1 in the Twins’ last 9 home games with Gibson on the mound. Additionally, the Rays have played 4 straight road games Over the Total when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. |
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05-26-17 | Rays v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 59 m | Show | |
At 8:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (925) and the Minnesota Twins (926) listing both starting pitchers Chris Archer and Hector Santiago. Tampa Bay (25-25) has won two straight games with their 4-0 win over the Angels yesterday. The Rays have then played 10 of their last 14 gams Over the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Tampa Bay has also played 7 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Archer who is 3-3 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in ten starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 4.74 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP in four starts on the road as compared to his 3.15 ERA and 1.08 WHIP when at home. Last season, Archer had a spectacular 2.65 ERA along with a 1.13 WHIP and .215 opponent’s batting average at home — but those numbers skyrocketed to a 5.44 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Over is 23-8-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 32 games on the road with Archer on the mound. The Rays have also played 10 of their last 11 games with Archer pitching on four days rest as he is tonight. The Twins have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-26-17 | Mets v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (903) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (904) listing both starting pitchers Jacob DeGrom and Chad Kuhl. Pittsburgh (22-26) has seen their bats awaken over the last two games as they have scored 21 runs over that span while belting six home runs in their four-game series against the Braves. The Pirates have won two straight games with their 9-4 win in Atlanta last night. Pittsburgh has then seen the Over go 9-4-2 in their last 15 games after a victory. The Over is also 5-1-1 in the Pirates’ last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. And in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, the Over is 6-2-1. They send out Kuhl who is 1-4 with a 5.85 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been hit hard in his five starts home this year where he has been saddled with an 8.20 ERA, 2.09 WHIP and .329 opponent’s batting average as compared to his solid 3.80 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .259 opponent’s batting average when on the road. These disparate home/road splits are entirely consistent with last season where Kuhl had a 7.03 ERA, 1.93 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average at home but a strong 2.72 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Pirates have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Kuhl on the mound. |
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05-26-17 | Reds v. Phillies OVER 8 | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 0 h 28 m | Show | |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (901) and the Philadelphia Phillies (902) listing both starting pitchers Tim Adleman and Aaron Nola. Cincinnati (22-24) enters this series coming off a 4-3 win in Cleveland on Wednesday. The Reds have played 8 of their last 11 opening games of a new series. Cincy has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road. They send out Adleman who is 2-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in six starts this season. In his two starts on the road, the right-hander sees his ERA rise to an 11.37 mark along with a 2.21 WHIP and .367 opponent’s batting average. The Reds have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total with Adleman on the hill. He faces a Phillies’ team that has seen the Over go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Over is also 8-2-2 in Philadelphia’s last 12 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 216 | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
At 8:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (507) and the Boston Celtics (508). Boston (62-37) looks to stave off elimination tonight after their 112-99 loss to the Cavaliers on Tuesday as a 15.5-point underdog. The Celtics have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Boston has been much more competitive in the last two games despite not having the services of their top scorer Isaiah Thomas. His absence on the court has made their strategy very clear: play at a fast pace to take advantage of their youth and depth while passing the ball to utilize their athleticism. The Celtics were clicking in the first half in Game Four as they assisted on 17 of their 21 field goals to generate 57 first-half points despite shooting a modest 46.7% from the field. Boston has played 18 of their last 24 home games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 12 of their last 14 home games after two straight point spread wins. Returning home should help the Celtics’ players perform better on offense to avoid that second half swoon they endured on Tuesday. The Over is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games on their home court. And in their last 26 home games with the Total set in the 210-219.5 point range, the game finished Over the Total 19 times. |
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05-25-17 | Senators v. Penguins UNDER 5 | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (61) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (62). Ottawa (55-36-6) was outplayed according the deeper metrics on Tuesday — they were outshot by a whopping 75-46 margin along with experiencing a 46-30 deficit with shots on net. But the Senators triumphed at the most important metric as they pulled out a 2-1 victory to force a climactic Game Seven of the Eastern Conference Finals. Ottawa made the decision to tangle less in the neutral zone and instead be willing to park their 1-3-1 zone on their end of the ice to grind things out there. That strategy puts plenty of pressure on goalie Craig Anderson — but he was up to the task on Tuesday as he stopped 45 of the 46 shots he faced to help the Senators steal that game. Anderson has been sensational in his four career playoff games when his team is facing elimination as he has allowed only three goals in those games for a 0.76 Goals-Against-Average along with a .978 save percentage. Expect Ottawa to employ the same strategy on the road tonight as they would be very happy for a low-scoring game that puts them in a position to steal. The Senators simply cannot get into a shooting contest with this Penguins team. They have not scored in Pittsburgh in this series since the opening game of this series way back on May 13rd. Moving forward, the Under is 9-4-3 in Ottawa’s last 16 games after a victory. The Under is also 37-18-5 in their last 60 games facing a team that did not score more than two goals in their last game. And in their last 38 games when playing their fourth game in seven days, the Senators have played 26 of these games Under the Total. |
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05-25-17 | Rockies v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
At 1:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (951) and the Philadelphia Phillies (952) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Vince Velasquez. Colorado (31-17) has won four straight games with their 7-2 win over the Rockies in the third game of this series last night. The Over is then 3-0-1 in Colorado’s last 4 games after a victory. The Over is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 6 games on the road, the Over is 5-0-1. The Rockies send out Anderson who is 3-4 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP this season in nine starts this season. The left-hander has been particularly ineffective in his five starts on the road where he has a 6.66 ERA along with a 1.48 WHIP and .291 opponent’s batting average as compared to his more modest 5.24 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and .262 opponent’s batting average in four starts at home. Colorado has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Anderson facing a team with a losing record. |
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05-24-17 | Giants v. Cubs OVER 7 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 25 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (907) and the Chicago Cubs (908) listing both starting pitchers Matt Moore and Kyle Hendricks. Chicago (23-21) looks to build off their 4-1 victory in the second game of this series last night. Despite last night’s game finishing below the number, the Cubs have still played 11 of their 13 home games Over the Total this month. Chicago has also played 18 of their last 22 games Over the Total when listed as a money-line favorite priced at least at -150 — and that includes nine straight Overs when playing at home while being favored in the -175 to -200 price range. They send out Hendricks who is 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP this season in eight starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 3.80 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .272 opponent’s batting average in four starts at home as compared to his 2.96 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .188 opponent’s batting average in his four road starts. The deeper sabermetrics are predicting regression for the roundball starting pitcher. Both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.33 and 4.04 moving forward based on his deeper peripheral numbers. And while last year Hendricks enjoyed an outstanding 2.13 ERA, his SIERA and xFIP numbers projected an ERA of 3.70 and 3.59 that may turn out to be right on the money this season. He faces a Giants team that has seen the Over go 5-2-3 in their last 10 games on the road against teams using a right-handed starting pitcher. |
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05-24-17 | Marlins v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
At 3:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (923) and the Oakland A’s (924) listing both starting pitchers Edison Volquez and Sonny Gray. Miami (16-28) opened this series with a 10-8 victory over the A’s last night. The Marlins have then seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Over is also 18-7-2 in Miami’s last 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 15 road games against American League opponents, the Marlins have played 12 of these games Over the Total. They send out Volquez who is 0–6 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective on the road in five starts where he has a 5.26 ERA and a rough opponent’s batting average of .303 as compared to his 4.20 ERA and .222 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home this season. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last year where Volquez had an uninspiring 5.11 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .285 opponent’s batting average at home with all those numbers even worse on the road to a 5.71 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and .287 opponent’s batting average. That does not bode well when facing this Oakland team that has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Furthermore, the A’s have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 216.5 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
At 8:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). Cleveland (61-32) looks to bounce-back from a terrible second half on Sunday where they missed fifteen of their seventeen shots from behind the arc in their 111-108 upset loss to the Celtics. Cleveland shot just 45.7% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last five games. They simply settled for too many jump shots feeling very comfortable in cruise control after going to the locker room with a 66-50 lead and increasing that gap to 21 points with 6:39 left in the 3rd quarter. Expect Cleveland to get back to attacking the basket and not settling for another 3-point shot. As it is, the Cavaliers have played 21 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Cleveland has played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after an upset loss. Moving forward, the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games at home which includes playing 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 65 games with the Total set in the 210-219.5 point range, the game finished Over the Total 44 times. |
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05-23-17 | Penguins v. Senators OVER 5 | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (59) and the Ottawa Senators (60). Ottawa (54-34-6) will be looking to stave off elimination in this series tonight as they look to rebound from their 7-0 loss to the Penguins on Sunday. The Senators were forced to abandon their 1-3-1 neutral zone trapping system early in that game after falling behind by a 2-0 score. And while head coach Guy Boucher will be reluctant to do that again, this is a team that will be playing with desperation if they fall behind in this elimination game. This Ottawa team does play with more confidence on their home ice to advance out of the neutral zone to partake in some forechecking — and that has translated into more offense. The Senators have scored 26 goals in their last seven home games. The Over is 5-1-3 in their last 9 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. The Over is also 4-1-4 in Ottawa’s last 9 games when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Over is both 3-0-1 in their last 4 games at home in these playoffs — and the Over is 19-6-2 in their last 27 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 217.5 | Top | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 9:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (725) and the San Antonio Spurs (726). San Antonio (69-28) decided to play small-ball on Saturday in Game Three of this series which resulted in them being at their most competitive against the Warriors since losing Kawhi Leonard to his left ankle injury. However, the Spurs still lost that game by a 120-108 score as a 9-point underdog. Kyle Anderson was inserted into the starting lineup — and while he is not a prolific scorer per se, he did help San Antonio score points through his athleticism. San Antonio forced 21 turnovers which instigated 25 points — and they also scored 23 points on the fast break. With LaMarcus Aldridge still struggling on offense being very uncomfortable in the role of the team’s primary scorer, look for head coach Gregg Popovich to continue to play small ball with perhaps Aldridge seeing more time on the bench. Small-ball means faster play and more offense for the Spurs (and the Warriors) — and that helps our Over even if Aldridge and his disastrous play on defense is on the bench. As it is, San Antonio has played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Spurs have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. San Antonio has also played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when avenging a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Spurs have played 5 straight games on their home court Over the Total. And while San Antonio has failed to cover the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. |
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05-22-17 | Ducks v. Predators UNDER 5 | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (13) and the Nashville Predators (14). Nashville (52-33-12) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Saturday with their 3-1 victory in Anaheim. The Under is then 5-2-7 in the Predators’ last 14 games after a victory. The Under is also 3-1-2 in Nashville’s last 6 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. And in their last 16 games when playing with one day of rest, the Under is 10-2-4. Now the Predators return home where the Under is 9-1-3 in their last 13 games on their home ice in Bridgestone Arena. |
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05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 217 | 111-108 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
At 8:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). Boston (61-36) was humiliated on Friday in their 130-86 loss to the Cavaliers. To add insult to proverbial injury, the team also lost their leading scorer Isaiah Thomas for the rest of the season to a right hip injury in that game. That leaves the Celtics without a go-to scorer — instead, they have a collection of complementary scoring options. It will be difficult for Boston to score points tonight. But expect the Celtics to work very on defense tonight after playing their second worst defensive game of the season in terms of opponent field goal percentage with the Cavaliers shooting 56.5% from the field. As it is, Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Celtics have also played 26 of the last 35 road games Under the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. Furthermore, in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Under is 6-1-1. And in their last 22 road games with the Total set in the 210-219.5 point range, the game finished Under the Total 15 times. |
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05-21-17 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 109 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (965) and the Detroit Tigers (966) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Matthew Boyd. Detroit (21-20) closes out this series tonight after their 9-3 win over the Rangers in the second game of this series. The Tigers have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory. Detroit has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road, the Under is 18-5-3. They send out Boyd who is 2-3 with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP this season. The left-hander is looking to redeem himself from a bad outing where he allowed seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work against the Orioles on Tuesday. Boyd has been respectable at home where he has a 1.30 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .241 — it is on the road where he has really struggled with a 1.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .329. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Boyd pitching with four days of rest. He should pitch better tonight against this Rangers team that has played 4 straight games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-21-17 | Senators v. Penguins UNDER 5 | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
At 3:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (57) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (58). Ottawa (54-35-6) looks to bounce-back from a 3-2 loss at home to Pittsburgh on Friday that evened this series at 2-2. The Senators have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a same-season loss to their opponents. This Ottawa team is more comfortable getting more aggressive with their forechecking when at home and bolstered by the energy of their fans. However, this team plays things very close to the vest with their 1-3-1 trapping zone system when playing in hostile environments. The Senators have scored only two goals in their two games in Pittsburgh in this series. Additionally, Ottawa has scored only 12 goals in their last seven games on the road — with four of these goals all occurring in one game against the Rangers. The Senators have not scored more than one goal in four of their last seven games away from home. Ottawa has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. And in their last 36 games when playing their fourth game in seven days, the Senators have played 25 of these games Under the Total. |
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05-21-17 | Phillies v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
At 1:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (957) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (95) while listing both starting pitchers Aaron Nola and Chad Kuhl. Pittsburgh (19-24) looks to build off their 6-3 win over the Phillies yesterday. The Over is then 3-0-2 in their last 5 games after a win. The Over is also 6-1-1 in the Pirates’ last 8 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They send out Kuhl who is 1-4 with a 6.69 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP in eight starts this season. The right-hander has struggled at home where he has a 11.20 ERA, 2.63 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .397 in four starts as compared to his 3.80 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .259 opponent’s batting average in his other four starts on the road. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last year where Kuhl had a 2.72 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average on the road but a rough 7.03 ERA, 1.93 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Pirates have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with Kuhl on the hill. Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Phillies have also seen the Over go 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-20-17 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 213 | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
At 9:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (723) and the San Antonio Spurs (724). Golden State (77-15) held the Spurs to just a 37% shooting percentage on Tuesday en route to their 136-100 victory. The Warriors have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. And while Golden State has scored at least 113 points in three straight games, they have then played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after scoring at least 110 points in three straight games. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. |
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05-20-17 | Predators v. Ducks UNDER 5 | 3-1 | Win | 110 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
At 7:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (11) and the Anaheim Ducks (12). Nashville (51-33-12) not only lost Game Four of this series on Thursday by a 3-2 score in overtime but they also suffered a big loss with the season-ending thigh injury to center Ryan Johansen. The Predators will miss his offense as he was leading the team in points in these playoffs with three goals and ten assists. Nashville will also be hurt on their Power Play as well — they have only scored once in their seventeen Power Plays in this series. This team can still lean heavily on their outstanding defense — and goalie Pekka Rinne is the best goaltender remaining in the playoffs. Rinne did allow three goals in the loss on Thursday but two of those shots came off deflections on his own players. Moving forward, the Under is 8-1-2 in their last 11 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. The Under is also 10-2-4 in Nashville’s last 16 games against an opponent that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 5-1-4 in the Predators’ last 10 games when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice, the Under is 3-1-2. |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 218 | Top | 130-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). Boston (61-35) was emotionally flat in the first half of the opening game of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics missed all eight of their open 3-point shots in the first-half en route to making only 12 of 38 shots from behind the arc (31.8%) in a 117-104 loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday as a 3.5-point underdog. Isaiah Thomas scored only 17 points in that game. Expect this Boston team that makes 36.1% from the 3-point line on their home court to shoot better from behind the arc. The Celtics should also come out with much more energy tonight considering the urgency they will face in needing to win this game before traveling to Cleveland to play Games Three and Four. Boston can exploit the Cavaliers who were last in the regular season in transition defense. The Celtics have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. And in their last 16 home games, the Over is 12-3-1 — and that includes being a perfect 7-0 in these playoffs. |
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05-19-17 | Penguins v. Senators OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (55) and the Ottawa Senators (56). Ottawa (54-34-6) scored four goals in the first 12:52 of the first period before retiring to their 1-3-1 zone en route to their 5-1 victory on Wednesday. While the Senators have the reputation for being a defense-first team, they have now scored 25 goals in their seven playoff games on home ice this postseason — and that includes 24 goals over their last six home games for a dynamic 4.0 Goals-Per-Game scoring average. Clearly, this team is more comfortable pushing forward with their forechecking and taking more offensive chances when at home. The Over is now 4-1-1 in Ottawa’s last 6 games at home. The Over is also 3-1-3 in the Senators’ last 7 games when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 4 games against teams that allowed at least five goals in their last game, the Over is 3-0-1. |
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05-18-17 | Ducks v. Predators UNDER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (9) and the Nashville Predators (10). Nashville (51-32-12) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 2-1 victory. The Predators thrive off the energy of the home crowd in Bridgestone Arena which helps ensure they provide maximum effort for all sixty minutes of the game. That helps explain why they have allowed only one goal in each of their last five playoff games on their home ice. The Under is now 9-1-2 in their last 12 games at home. Nashville has also played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total following a game that finished Under the Total. Much of the reason why the Preds are so tough at home is that head coach Peter LaViolette gets the option of the last line shift which affords him maximum flexibility to deploy his two elite defensive lines of Roman Josi and Ryan Ellis along with P.K. Subban Mattias Ekholm. The club is also getting outstanding goaltending from Pekka Rinne who has a superb .958 save percentage on the 167 shots he has faced at home in these playoffs. Moving forward, the Under is 4-0-1 in Nashville’s last 5 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. And in their last 5 games after not allowing more than two goals, the Under is 3-1-1. |
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05-18-17 | Blue Jays v. Braves OVER 8 | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (919) and the Atlanta Braves (920) listing both starting pitchers Marcus Stroman and Julio Teheran. Atlanta (16-21) has won three straight games — as well as five of their last six — with their 8-4 win versus the Blue Jays in the first game in Atlanta of this two-game home-and-home series with Toronto. The Braves have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 20-7-1 in Atlanta’s last 28 home games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 5 games in Interleague play, the Braves have played 4 of these games Over the Total. The team received bad news this afternoon with the announcement that Freddie Freeman would miss 8-12 weeks after being beaned in the wrist last night in this heated series. But this team will need to score runs tonight with Julio Teheran taking the hill after surrendering six home runs, 22 hits and seven bases-on-balls in his last three starts in Atlanta. For the season, the right-hander is 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP this year — but he sees those numbers explode at home with an 8.14 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .310 in four starts. The Braves have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Teheran on the hill. That is not a good sign against this Toronto team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Blue Jays have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220 | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
At 8:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (721) and the Boston Celtics (722). Cleveland (59-31) will be taking the court again for the first time in nine games after concluding their sweep of the Toronto Raptors back on May 7th. This extended break should help our Under in two ways. First, it will likely slow down the frantic Cleveland offense that is hoisting up an incredible 59.3% of their shots in the playoffs from behind the arc. This is where I expect to see some rust. The Cavaliers are shooting a scorching 43.4% from behind the arc in the playoffs. Second, Cleveland’s effort on defense should be excellent with their legs so rested. Tellingly, the Cavaliers have played 36 of their last 57 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days. Cleveland has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Cavs have played 8 of these games Under the Total. |
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05-17-17 | Penguins v. Senators OVER 5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (53) and the Ottawa Senators (54). Pittsburgh (60-25-6) evened this series at 1-1 on Monday with their 1-0 victory. The Penguins have then played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total after a win on their home ice. Now this team goes on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The first two games of this series have finished Under the Total — but Pittsburgh has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders. And in their last 70 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals, the Over is 43-20-7. |
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05-16-17 | Brewers v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 6-2 | Win | 101 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
At 10:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (907) and the San Diego Padres (908) listing both starting pitchers Jimmy Nelson and Clayton Richard. San Diego (15-25) won the opening game of this series last night by a 6-5 score. The Padres have then seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a victory. The Over is also 8-2-1 in San Diego’s last 11 games at home in Petco Park. They send out Richard who is 2-4 with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP in eight starts this season. The left-hander has not been as effective at home this year where he has been saddled by a 5.09 ERA, 1.76 WHIP and .304 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home as compared to his 3.90 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and .300 opponent’s batting average when on the road in five starts. The Padres have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with Richard facing a team with a winning record on the road. Milwaukee has played 9 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Furthermore, the Over is 13-3-1 in the Brewers’ last 17 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 211 | 100-136 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
At 9:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (719) and the Golden State Warriors (720). Golden State (76-15) rallied from a 25-point deficit in the 1st half to steal the opening game of this series by a 113-111 score as a 9.5-point favorite on Sunday. The Warriors have then played 24 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Golden State has also played 39 of their last 54 games when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road, Golden State has played 9 of these games Under the Total. |
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05-16-17 | Ducks v. Predators UNDER 5 | 1-2 | Win | 119 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (9) and the Nashville Predators (10). Anaheim (56-26-13) evened this series at 1-1 on Sunday with their 5-3 victory over the Predators. The five goals the Ducks scored in that game matched their total goal count in their last three games combined. The Under is 3-1-2 in Anaheim’s last 6 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Under is also 16-6-5 in the Ducks’ last 27 games against teams that allowed at least five goals in their last contest. And in their last 26 road games coming off a win at home where they scored at least four goals, Anaheim has played 18 of those contests Under the Total. |
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05-15-17 | Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
At 9:40 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (951) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (952) listing both starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Zack Godley. New York (16-20) has lost four straight games with their 11-9 loss to the Brewers yesterday. The Over is then 18-5-3 in the Mets’ last 26 games after a loss. The Over is also 13-3-4 in New York’s last 20 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 12-3-1 in the Mets’ last 16 games on the road. They send out Wheeler who is 2-2 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road this year where he has a 1.35 WHIP and .237 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.14 WHIP and .198 opponent’s batting average when at home. Wheeler allowed just one earned run in 6 innings of work in his last start which was at home against the Giants — but the Mets have seen the Over go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games with Wheeler looking to follow up a Quality Start. Furthermore, the Over is a decisive 39-18-1 in their last 58 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 212 | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (715) and the Boston Celtics (716). Boston (60-34) blew a golden opportunity to end this series on Friday with their 92-91 loss in Washington as a 5.5-point favorite to force a seventh and decisive game in this series. The Celtics struggled to shoot the basketball as they made only 40.5% of their shots. Boston also hurled up 35 shots from behind the arc but made only 11 of them. As this series moves forward, both teams’ defenses are getting more and more of the edge as they learn the (very limited) offensive tendencies of both teams. Friday’s game was just painful to watch — it was truly awful basketball. While we have made a living with the four Overs in this series, the worm has turned. Now both teams are settling for bad jump shots too early in the shot clock. With the pressure of a Game Seven, don’t expect these jump shots to start falling at a rate to produce an Over with the number opening in the 211.5 range. The Celtics have played 28 of their 45 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. Boston has also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total. |
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05-15-17 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -141 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (7) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (8). Pittsburgh (59-25-6) was flat on Saturday in their 2-1 loss in overtime to the Senators in the opening game of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Penguins failed to score in any of their five Power Play chances that included 45 seconds where they had a 5-on-3 advantage. I was not surprised as I expected Pittsburgh to struggle to adjust to Ottawa’s 1-3-1 zone trapping system. Look for Sidney Crosby and company to play much better on the offensive end of the ice tonight. The Penguins have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after failing to score more than one goal. And while Pittsburgh has played two straight Unders, they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders. Additionally, the Pens have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss to their opponent where they scored only one goal. And in their last 27 games on their home ice where the Total was not 5.5 or higher, the game finished Over the Total 21 times. |
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05-14-17 | Predators v. Ducks OVER 5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
At 7:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (5) and the Anaheim Ducks (6). Nashville (50-31-12) took the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 3-2 victory on overtime. The Predators have exhibited scoring depth with fifteen different players finding the back of the net in these playoffs. Nashville has scored three goals in each of their last two games — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight contests. Additionally, this will be the Predators’ fifth game since May 1st — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when not playing more than their fifth game in fourteen days. |
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05-14-17 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 111-113 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (501) and the Golden State Warriors (502). San Antonio (69-25) closed out their six-game series with the Rockets on Friday with their 115-75 blowout victory as an 8.5-point underdog. The Spurs improved throughout that series in defending the 3-point shot. In that Game Six, San Antonio defenders contested 34 of the 40 shots from behind the arc that the Rockets’ launched. Defending the 3-point line has been an area of emphasis for this team all season. During the regular season, the Spurs held their opponents to shooting -1.3% lower than their season average — and they limited their opponents to attempting just 23.7 shots from behind the arc per game. This is a matchup between the two teams with the best Defensive Efficiency marks in the NBA. The Spurs led the NBA by holding their opponents to scoring just 100.9 points per 100 possessions. They have also played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. |
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05-14-17 | Mets v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 9-11 | Win | 100 | 1 h 44 m | Show | |
At 2:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (905) and the Milwaukee Brewers (906) listing both starting pitchers Jacob DeGrom and Wily Peralta. Milwaukee (19-17) has scored 18 runs in the first two games of this series with their 11-4 triumph over the Mets yesterday. The Brewers have then played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Milwaukee leads the MLB in home runs while ranking 3rd in runs scored and 2nd in OPS. They have also played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total at home. They send out Wily Peralta who is 4-2 with a 5.30 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP this season. The left-hander has struggled particularly at home where he has been saddled with a 6.87 ERA, 1.75 WHIP and .333 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 3.63 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .213 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Last season, Peralta had a 5.23 ERA at home versus a 4.38 ERA when on the road. The Brewers have played 13 of their last 18 home games Over the Total with Peralta on the mound. Furthermore, over his last four starts, Peralta owns a terrible 7.71 ERA while pitching beyond the 5th inning only once. The Mets have seen the Over go 18-4-4 in their last 26 games against right-handed starting pitchers — including a 7-0-1 mark when playing on the road. |
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05-13-17 | Senators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). Pittsburgh (59-24-6) picked themselves off the mat after losing two straight games to the Capitals by then shuttin out Washington on their home ice to win that climactic Game Seven by a 2-0 score. Marc-Andre Fleury earned the shutout by stopping 29 shots — he has a .927 save percentage in the twelve playoff games he has started this postseason. While the Penguins have significant injuries on their blue-line with Kris Letang out for these playoffs and Trevor Daley still questionable with his lower body injury, head coach Mike Sullivan has had his team adapt by being less aggressive and emphasizing their defensive tactics. Pittsburgh has blocked 250 shots in the first two rounds of the playoffs. But this decision has also impacted the Penguins’ ability to apply pressure on offense. They averaged only 23 shots on net per game in that seven-game series with the Capitals. Moving forward, Pittsburgh has played 21 of their last 31 opening games of a new playoff series Under the Total. The Under is also 5-2-1 in the Penguins’ last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. |
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05-13-17 | Orioles v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
At 7:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (971) and the Kansa City Royals (972) listen both starting pitchers Chris Tillman and Nathan Karns. Kansas City (14-21) won the opening game of this series by a 3-2 score. The Royals have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a victory. Kansas City has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. They send out Karns who is 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP this season. The right-hander has a 0.95 ERA, 0.67 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .116 at home this season as compared to his 6.56 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .386 opponent’s batting average when on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where he had a 4.37 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 5.94 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and .286 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Royals have played 4 straight games Under the Total with Karns pitching on grass. |
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05-12-17 | Predators v. Ducks UNDER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (3) and the Anaheim Ducks (4). Anaheim (55-25-13) reached the Western Conference Finals on Wednesday with their 2-1 win over Edmonton. The Ducks have then played 19 of their last 27 home games Under the Total after a win on their home ice. Anaheim enters this series having won four of their last five games — and they have played 13 of their last 16 home games Under the Total after winning three of their last four games. And with this being the Ducks’ second game in five days, this team has played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing their second game in five days. |
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05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards OVER 216 | 91-92 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (711) and the Washington Wizards (712). Boston (60-33) seized a 3-2 lead in this series with their 123-101 victory over the Wizards on Wednesday as a 4-point favorite. The Celtics have then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least 120 points. Boston has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against an opponent that allowed at least 100 points in their last game. And while the Celtics have now covered the point spread in seven of their last nine games, they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. |
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05-12-17 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 8 | 5-1 | Loss | -113 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (915) and the New York Yankees (916) while listing both starting pitchers Lance McCullers and Jordan Montgomery. Houston (24-11) has won four straight games with their 3-2 win in the opening game of this series. The Astros have then seen the Over go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. The Over is also 7-2-1 in Houston’s last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They send out McCullers who is 2-1 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.51 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .279 as compared to his 2.08 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .213 opponent’s batting average when at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last year where McCullers had a 2.40 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 5.57 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and .296 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Astros have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with McCullers facing a team with a winning record. Furthermore, the Yankees have played 6 straight home games Over the Total when facing a right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-11-17 | Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 215 | 114-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (523) and the Houston Rockets (524). San Antonio (68-25) seized a 3-2 lead in this series with their 110-107 win in overtime on Tuesday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Spurs have then played 27 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory where they failed to over the point spread in as the favorite — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when this no-cover victory was on their home court. Additionally, San Antonio has played 25 of their last 39 road games Under the Total after a win on their home court. The Spurs shot only 40.8% from the field on Tuesday despite that game being on their home court. The loss of Kawhi Leonard who injured his ankle late the 3rd quarter clearly impacted this team in the 4th quarter as they scored only 15 points in that period without him on the court. While Leonard looks to play tonight, he might not be able to carry the offense which will be a challenge for the rest of his teammates to step up in his absence when playing in a hostile environment. |
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05-10-17 | Oilers v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (9) and the Anaheim Ducks (10). Edmonton (53-32-4) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Sunday with their 7-1 victory over the Ducks. After blowing Game Five by allowing three goals in the final 3:30 minutes of play before losing by a 4-3 score in double-overtime, the Oilers responded by exploding with five goals in the first period in Game Six back on their home ice. Don’t expect a similar outburst tonight as this decisive game should be played close to the vest. The Under is 31-15-5 in Edmonton’s last 51 games after a win. The Under is also 9-2-2 in the Oilers’ last 13 games against an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 8-3-1 in Edmonton’s last 12 games when playing with two days of rest. And in their last 18 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice, the Under is 11-5-2. |
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05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (519) and the Boston Celtics (520). Washington (55-37) evened this series at 2-2 on Saturday with their 121-102 victory over the Celtics as a 5-point favorite. The Wizards have then played a decisive 37 of their last 52 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, Washington has played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after winning two straight games. And in their last 56 games when playing with two days of rest, the Wizards have played 38 of these games Over the Total. Now Washington goes back on the road where the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games on the road against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. |
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05-10-17 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
At 7:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (7) and the Washington Capitals (8). Washington (61-25-8) has been dominant over the last two games — including enjoying scoring eight straight goals during a three-period stretch over the last two games — to even this series at 3-3 with their 5-2 win over the Penguins on Monday. But despite their nine combined goals over their last two games, expect the pressure of this climactic seventh game to lead to a lower scoring game. The Capitals have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a playoff series. Washington has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win on the road versus a divisional rival. Additionally, the Capitals have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less. And in their last 10 games on their home ice, Washington has played 7 of these games Under the Total. |
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05-10-17 | Indians v. Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 56 m | Show | |
At 7:07 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (911) and the Toronto Blue Jays (912) listing both starting pitchers Danny Salazar and Franciso Liriano. Cleveland (17-14) has won three of their last four games with their 6-0 win over the Blue Jays last night. The Under is then 21-5-2 in the Indians’ last 28 games after a win — and the Under is 11-2-3 in their last 16 games after scoring at least five runs in their last. Furthermore, the Under is a decisive 35-16-4 in Cleveland’s last 55 games on the road. The Indians have also played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over below 40%. They send out Salazar who is 2-3 with a 4.28 ERA and a .264 opponent’s batting average this season. The right-hander was more effective on the road last year where he had a 3.57 ERA as compared to his 4.19 ERA when at home. Moving forward, the Under is 3-0-1 in Cleveland’s last 4 games with Salazar facing a team with a losing record. He should fare well against this Blue Jays team that has played 18 of their last 22 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 214.5 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (707) and the San Antonio Spurs (708). Houston (61-30) made 19 shots from behind the arc while shooting 52.6% from the field en route to their 125-104 win over the Spurs on Sunday as a 5-point underdog. The Rockets also made 22 shots from the 3-point line in Game One of this series — and this is a team that will continue to push the pace and launch tons of 3s in the Mike D’Antoni system. Moving forward, Houston has played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit win over a Southwest Division rival. The Over is also 7-3-1 in the Rockets’ last 11 games after a double-digit win — and the Over is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when on the road. |
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05-09-17 | Senators v. Rangers UNDER 5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (3) and the New York Rangers (4). Ottawa (51-33-6) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Saturday with their 5-4 win in overtime. The Senators fell behind 2-0 early in that game and needed a goal from Derick Brassard with just 1:26 left in the 3rd period to force overtime where Kyle Turris then scored the winning goal at the 6:28 mark. Expect this contest to return to being a lower-scoring game as this Ottawa team beat Henrik Lundqvist only twice in the two previous games at Madison Square Garden in this series. As it is, the Under is 7-3-2 in the Senators’ last 12 games after a win — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Ottawa has also played 14 of their last 19 road games off a game at home where both teams scored at least three goals. And in their last 8 games when playing with two days of rest, the Under is 6-1-1. |
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05-08-17 | Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 207 | 121-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
At 9:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (701) and the Utah Jazz (702). Golden State (74-15) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 102-91 victory over the Jazz as a 6.5-point favorite. The Warriors have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Golden State has also played a decisive 39 of their last 53 games when playing with one day of rest. The Under is also 20-5-1 in the Warriors’ last 26 games against teams with a winning record. Golden State looks to close this series out tonight in Salt Lake City — and they have played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 18 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Warriors have played 13 of these games Under the Total. |
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05-08-17 | Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). Pittsburgh (58-23-6) blew both an opportunity to close this series out on Saturday as well as 2-1 lead after two periods in a 4-2 loss to the Capitals. The Penguins allowed three goals in the 3rd period against Washington to lose that game. Expect Pittsburgh to tighten things up on defense tonight. Despite that setback, goalie Marc Andre-Fleury has been strong in net for this team. The former Stanley Cup Champion for this team has a .921 save percentage over his last four games while posting a .929 save percentage in these playoffs after being the surprise starter for Matt Murray who suffered an injury in the pre-game warmups for the opening game in the postseason. The Penguins have played 25 of their last 36 home games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the 3rd period in their last game. Pittsburgh has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on their home ice. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Under is 6-2-1. |
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05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 212.5 | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
At 9:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). San Antonio (67-24) has won four of their last five games with their 103-92 win over the Rockets as a 5.5-point underdog on Friday. The Spurs have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. San Antonio has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow Southwest Division opponents. The Spurs stay on the road for Game Four where they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
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05-07-17 | Yankees v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 5-4 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (979) and the Chicago Cubs (980) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Jon Lester. New York (19-9) how won four straight games with their 11-6 win over the Cubs on Saturday. The Yankees have then played 20 of their last 27 road game Under the Total after a game where at least eight combined runs were scored. New York has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. They send out Severino who is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP this season. The right-hander has posted better numbers on the road where he has a 3.00 ERA as compared to his 4.35 ERA at home. Furthermore, the Yanks have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Severino pitching with five days of rest. |
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05-07-17 | Ducks v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 1 h 45 m | Show | |
At 7:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (65) and the Edmonton Oilers (66). Edmonton (53-31-4) has lost three straight games in this series after blowing a 3-0 lead with under 4 minutes to play in their 4-3 loss in double-overtime on Friday. The Total has moved up to 5.5 in this series with the Ducks winning the last three games by 6-3 and then 4-3 scores. In this crucial sixth game, expect a tighter more controlled game as was for most of the play in Game Five before Anaheim’s unlikely comeback. The Oilers have played 20 of their last 28 home games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. Edmonton has also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after playing their last two games Over the Total. Additionally, the Oilers have played 28 of their last 43 games Under the Total when playing their third game in five days. |
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05-07-17 | Celtics v. Wizards OVER 215 | 102-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (513) and the Washington Wizards (514). Washington (54-37) made this a series on Thursday with their 116-89 victory over the Celtics as a 5.5-point favorite. The Wizards have then played a decisive 36 of their last 51 games Over the Total after a victory. Washington has also played 5 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. The Wizards played their best statistical game of the season on defense in Game Three by holding Boston to just a 35.1% shooting percentage. That is highly unlikely to happen again in Game Four. Moving forward, Washington has played 27 of their last 39 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And in their last 29 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game, the Wizards have played 20 of these games Over the Total. |