At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (907) and the Miami Marlins (908) listing both starting pitchers Corey Oswald and Dan Straily. THE SITUATION: New York (48-65) has won four of their last six games with their 6-2 victory over the Marlins in the opening game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mets have seen the over go 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after a victory — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. New York has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 29 of their last 41 road games with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. They give the ball to Oswalt who is 1-2 with a 5.13 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in 33 innings this year. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 7.94 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .277. The Mets have played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total with Oswalt pitching with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. Miami (47-70) has not scored more than two runs in four straight games. But the Marlins have not only played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two runs in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two runs in three straight contests. They counter with Straily who is 4-5 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in eighteen starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 4.85 ERA in eight starts. The Over is a decisive 18-3-1 in Miami’s last 22 home games with Straily on the hill. He faces a Mets team that has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. New York has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 130-39-2 combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: The rookie Oswalt is very unreliable when pitching on the road — and Straily has not been very good at home. Expect a higher scoring game. 10* MLB Over/Under Sabermetrics Special with Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (907) and the Miami Marlins (908) listing both starting pitchers Corey Oswald and Dan Straily. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Leicester City (2518) and Manchester United (2519). THE SITUATION: The 2018-19 English Premier League kicks off their season on Friday with the 2015-16 Champions with Leicester City (0-0-0) traveling to Old Trafford to face Manchester United (0-0-0).

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This is a match greatly impacted by the World Cup last month — a number of key offensive talent will be missing from both sides. Leicester City will be without Jamie Vardy after he played was the backup striker for the England team that made it to the Semifinals. Vardy did not play a bunch for the Three Lions but he just joined the Foxes in training so manager Claude Puel does not think he is in shape to take the pitch. Leicester City has an intriguing young striker in 21-year old Kelechi Iheanacho but he is a step down from Vardy who is one of the best scoring forwards in the English Premier League after playing a vital role in that championship run three seasons ago. Puel will likely have his team rely even more on defense and counter-attacks with the loss of their star midfielder Riyad Mahrez who inked a big transfer to Manchester City this summer. The Foxes were 17th in the EPL last year by allowing 60 goals — but they are likely to change their tactics this year while being aided by a nice signing in center back Jonny Evans who came over from the relegated West Brom. Manchester United will likely be without a host of players who were still playing in the Semifinals of the World Cup: forward Romelu Lukaku, midfielders Paul Pogba, Jesse Lingard and Marouane Fellaini and defenseman Ashley Young. Cohesion will likely be an issue for this team after manager Jose Mourinho took a squad to the United States for the International Champions Cup matches without a whopping thirteen players who needed the time off after playing in the World Cup. The Red Devils will hope that backup forward Marcus Rashford or Alexis Sanchez in the midfield will be able to score — but they will be very happy with a 1-0 result. Mourinho’s team emphasizes defensive tactics to the frustration of many of his players and fans. The Red Devils were second in the EPL last year by allowing a mere 28 goals for a low 0.74 Goals-Per-Game allowed mark. Mourinho is also dealing with some injuries to midfielder Nemanja Matic and right back Antonio Valencia who both play critical roles in his defensive tactics. The absence of these two players will likely compel the Red Devils to play even more cautiously in this contest and not risk Leicester City seizing a lead.

FINAL TAKE: This opening match shapes up to feature conservative tactics on both sides given the absences for both teams. Leicester City would be thrilled with a scoreless draw while Mourinho’s teams tend to hold out to the second-half to finally get on the board. 25* EPL Friday NBC Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between Leicester City (2518) and Manchester United (2519). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (253) and the Cincinnati Bengals (254). Chicago (0-1) has one preseason game under their belt after they lost to Baltimore by a 17-16 score last Thursday in the Hall of Fame game. They now travel to Cincinnati (0-0) who will be playing their exhibition game this preseason.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Chicago managed only 276 yards of offense last week against the Ravens defense. Backup quarterback Chase Daniel completed only 8 of 16 passes for 53 yards. Second-year QB Mitch Trubisky did not play in that game but he will likely get some time tonight in first-year head coach Matt Nagy’s new offensive system. The Bears defense did play well against Baltimore as they allowed only 194 total yards which helped them cover the +2.5 point spread. Chicago has then played 3 straight preseason games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Bears have also played 6 of their last 9 preseason games Under the Total against AFC opponents. And in their last 6 preseason games as an underdog, Chicago has played 4 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Bears have played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total with the number posted in the 35.5 to 38 point range. Cincinnati will likely not give much time to their veteran starting quarterback Andy Dalton. Their likely backup QB will be Matt Barkley but the six-year pro has played in only 11 games in his NFL career. The remaining two quarterbacks on the Bengals roster have zero NFL game experience in the regular season between third-year pro Jeff Driskel and rookie QB Logan Whiteside out of Toledo. Cincinnati has played 10 of their last 16 home games Under the Total as a favorite of 3 points or less under head coach Marvin Lewis. The Bengals have also played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total with the number posted in the 35.5 to 38 point range under Lewis. Together, these team trends produce our specific 41-17 combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: Expect both offenses to struggle in this early preseason game. While the Bears have one preseason game under their belts, they are still working out plenty of kinks while operating in a completely new set of schemes. 10* NFLx Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (253) and the Cincinnati Bengals (254). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (965) and the Los Angeles Angels (966) listing both starting pitchers Blaine Hardy and Jaime Barria. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (57-58) has won the first two games of this series with their 11-5 victory over the Tigers yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Angels have seen the Under go 21-9-3 in their last 33 games after a win. Los Angeles has also played 53 of their last 87 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. They give the ball to Barria who is 6-7 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .237 in nine starts as compared to his 1.31 WHIP and .255 opponent’s batting average in seven starts on the road. The Angels have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Barria facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Tigers team that is scoring only 1.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .189 batting average along with a .226 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .493 during that span. Detroit (47-67) has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Tigers have played 36 of their last 52 games Under the Total after a loss — and the Under is also 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and they have also played 25 of their last 25 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They counter with Hardy who is 4-3 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.81 ERA along with a 1.06 WHIP. The Tigers have played 4 straight road games Under the Total with Hardy on the hill. He faces an Angels team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests along with just a .226 batting average along with a .282 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .632 during that span. LA has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 167-75-4 combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a low-scoring game between these two teams with their cold bats facing two underrated starting pitchers. 10* MLB Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (965) and the Los Angeles Angels (966) listing both starting pitchers Blaine Hardy and Jaime Barria. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (929) and the Oakland A’s (930) listing both starting pitchers Rich Hill and Sean Manaea. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (62-51) enters this game coming off a 3-2 win over Houston on Sunday. Oakland (67-46) has won six straight games with their 6-0 win over Detroit on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dodgers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an off day. Los Angeles has also played 7 off their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Hill who is 4-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in fourteen starts (15 games) this season. The left-hander has been better on the road where he owns a 3.09 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .221 in seven starts. He has also only allowed one earned run in his last two starts — and the Dodgers have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total with Hill on the mound after not allowing more than one earned runs in two straight starts. He faces an A’s team that has played 4 straight games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Oakland (67-46) has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. The A’s have also played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They counter with Manaea who is 10-7 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in twenty-three starts. The lefty has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.25 ERA with a 0.85 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .190 in eleven starts. Manaea comes off a strong start where he allowed only one earned run against Toronto — and the A’s have played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total with Manaea following up a start where he did not allow more than one earned run. He faces a Dodgers’ team that has seen the Under go 27-11-1 in their last 39 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Together, these team trends produce our specific 97-28-1 combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a pitching duel between these two crafty left-handed starting pitchers. 10* MLB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (929) and the Oakland A’s (930) listing both starting pitchers Rich Hill and Sean Manaea. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (915) and the Tampa Bay Rays (916) listing both starting pitchers Alex Cobb and Tyler Glasnow. THE SITUATION: Baltimore (34-78) snapped their three-game losing streak on Sunday with their 9-6 win in Texas. Tampa Bay (56-56) has lost three straight games with their 8-7 loss to the White Sox on Sunday. After a travel day yesterday, these two teams begin their series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Orioles have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a victory — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Baltimore has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, this is the Orioles’ seventh straight game on the road — and not only have they  played 16 of their last 22 road games Over the Total after playing at least their previous six games away from home but they have also played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They give the ball to Cobb who is 3-14 with a 5.83 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP in twenty starts. The right-hander has been even worse on the road where his ERA rises to a 5.93 mark along with a 1.58 WHIP in thirteen starts. Cobb’s teams have played 11 of their last 16 road games Over the Total when they are priced as an underdog in the +125 to +175 price range. He faces a Rays team that is scoring 5.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .254 batting average along with a .343 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .740 over that span — and all those numbers are above their season average. Tampa Bay has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Additionally, the Rays have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after allowing at least eight runs in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games. The Rays are big money-line favorites priced in the -160 range — and they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when priced at -150 or higher. Tampa Bay will be looking to avenge an 11-5 loss back on July 29th — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 10 runs. They counter with Glasnow who is 1-2 with a 4.27 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP this season. He will be making his first start for the Rays since being acquired from the Pirates at the trade deadline. The right-hander had an ugly 7.76 ERA in seven starts (eight appearances) at home last season — and has not been as effective at home almost exclusively out of the bullpen this season where he has a 1.43 WHIP and a  .232 opponent’s batting average in 38 1/3 innings as compared to his 1.40 WHIP and a .213 opponent’s batting average in 20 2/3 innings on the road. Glasgow’s teams have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with him making the start. He faces a hot-hitting Orioles lineup that is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .303 batting average along with a .345 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .803 over that span. The Over is also 13-3-2 in Baltimore’s last 18 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 131-30-3 combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: The number for this game is in the relatively low 7.5 to 8 range — perhaps because of the respective offenses in this game along with some optimism regarding Glasnow’s prospects as a starting pitcher. But both these teams are hitting the ball well as of late — and Glasnow has yet to see significant improvement in his command which is why he was relegated to the bullpen this season by the Pirates before being traded to Tampa Bay. 25* MLB American League East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (915) and the Tampa Bay Rays (916) listing both starting pitchers Alex Cobb and Tyler Glasnow. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (959) and the Cleveland Indians (960) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Gibson and Trevor Bauer. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (52-58) has won three straight games with their 6-5 win over the Royals yesterday. Cleveland (61-49) has won four of their last five games with their 4-3 win over the Angels.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Twins have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Minnesota has also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Gibson who is 5-8 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in twenty-two starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.94 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .198 in eleven starts. The Under is 14-5-1 in the Twins’ last 20 games on the road with Gibson on the hill. Cleveland (61-49) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory. The Indians have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They counter with Bauer who is 10-6 with a 2.34 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in twenty-three starts. The right-hander has been even better at home where he owns a 2.02 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .194 in eleven starts. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Bauer on the hill. Cleveland has also played 4 straight games Under the Total with Bauer facing the Twins. Lastly, in the last 4 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. Together, these teams trends produce our specific 44-10-1 combined angle for this situation.

FINAL TAKE: Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams. 10* MLB Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (959) and the Cleveland Indians (960) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Gibson and Trevor Bauer. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (915) and the Boston Red Sox (916) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Rick Porcello. THE SITUATION: Boston (76-34) won the opening game of this series with their 15-7 victory over the Yankees.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox banged out 19 hits last night — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after clubbing at least 10 hits in their last game. Boston has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by at least eight runs. Furthermore, the Over is 7-3-1 in the Red Sox’s last 11 home games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Porcello who is 13-4 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in twenty-two starts this season. The right-hander struggled with allowing gopher balls last season with his ugly 1.68 Home Runs allowed per 9 innings of work and while that number has decreased this season, he has still allowed 15 homers so far this year — and that is a dangerous number when facing the Bronx Bombers. The right-hander has struggled at home where he has a 5.10 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP in ten starts. The Over is 5-1-1 in the Red Sox’s last 7 home games with Porcello on the hill. He faces a New York team (68-39) that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .296 batting average along with a .367 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .835 over that span. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Yankees’ last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Additionally, the Over is 7-3-2 in New York’s last 12 games after a win. The Over is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after scoring at least five runs — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 3-1-1 in the Yankees’ last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They counter with Severino who is 14-4 with a 2.94 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP in twenty-two starts. The right-hander is struggling with his command over his fastball as of late — he has a whopping 10.07 ERA with a 2.66 WHIP over his last three starts. Severino has not been as effective on the road either where he sees his ERA and WHIP rise to 3.59 and 1.21 marks. New York has played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total with Severino on the hill — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Severino facing the Red Sox.

FINAL TAKE: Expect another high-scoring game between these two teams. 10* MLB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (915) and the Boston Red Sox (916) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Rick Porcello. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (959) and the Chicago Cubs (960) listing both starting pitchers Robbie Erlin and Mike Montgomery. THE SITUATION: San Diego (42-68) has lost seven straight games after their 3-2 loss to the Giants on Tuesday. Chicago (62-45) has won two of their last three games after they defeated the Pirates in Pittsburgh by a 9-2 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Padres have seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after an off day — and the Over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games are a loss. Additionally, San Diego has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They turn to Erlin to make this start for Luis Perdomo — he is 1-3 with a 3.47 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP this season. The left-hander has a 2.37 ERA with a 0.82 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .206 at home in Petco Park — but he sees those numbers rise to a 5.40 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .298 when pitching on the road. The Padres have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Erlin facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Cubs team that is scoring 5.8 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Chicago has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win. The Cubs have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Chicago has also played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total. They counter with Montgomery who is 3-4 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP this season. The left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 4.93 ERA with a 1.64 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .299. Montgomery’s sabermetrics also call for regression with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.57 and 4.49. He faces a Padres team that has seen the Over go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and the Over is also 4-1-1 in San Diego’s last 6 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a higher scoring game in the muggy Chicago heat in a game between two starting pitchers that toggle back and forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation. 10* MLB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (959) and the Chicago Cubs (960) listing both starting pitchers Robbie Erlin and Mike Montgomery. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Rich Hill. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (63-47) won the second game of this series last night with their 1-0 victory over the Dodgers.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Los Angeles (59-49) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their last contest. Additionally, the Dodgers have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played 12 of their last 16 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. Furthermore, while Los Angeles is hitting just .102 over their last three games (9 of 88), they have then played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after failing to have a team batting average of at least .200 over their last three games. The Dodgers have also played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Hill who is 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in thirteen starts (14 games). Hill has been outstanding since come off the disabled list dealing with blisters. The left-hander has a 2.55 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP over his last ten starts along with a 3-1 record with a 2.42 ERA over his last five starts. He comes off seven shutout innings of work in Atlanta in his last start — and his teams have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when he is following up a start where he did not allow an earned run. Milwaukee (63-47) has played 28 of their last 37 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Brewers also played 11 of their last 12 road games last August Under the Total. And in their last 19 games as an underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range, Milwaukee has played 13 of these games Under the Total. They counter with Anderson who is 7-7 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in twenty-one starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road with a 2.54 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .213 in ten starts. The Under is 13-3-1 in the Brewers’ last 17 road games with Anderson on the mound. He should thrive against this struggling Dodgers’ lineup that is scoring only 3.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .183 batting average along with a .287 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .584 during that span.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing in Los Angeles. Expect another low-scoring game. 10* MLB Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Rich Hill.  Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (965) and the Tampa Bay Rays (966) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Skaggs and Ryne Stanek. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (54-53) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 8-5 loss to Seattle. Tampa Bay (53-53) has lost three in a row with their 11-5 loss in Baltimore on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Angels have seen the Under go 10-2-1 in their last 13 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an off day. Additionally, the Under is 7-2-1 in the Angels’ last 10 games on the road. They give the ball to Skaggs who is 8-6 with a 2.62 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in nineteen starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.11 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP in ten starts. Skaggs comes off a strong outing where he allowed only one earned run in 6 innings of work against the White Sox — and LA has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Skaggs following up a Quality Start. He faces a Rays team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .294 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .683 over that span. The Under is 15-4-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 21 games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Rays have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after an off day. The Under is also 25-9-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 36 games against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 home games against winning teams. They counter with Stanek who is 1-3 with a 2.43 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in bullpen work and spot starts that initiate their bullpen shifts in lieu of a traditional starting pitcher. .Stanek has a microscopic 0.45 ERA with a .157 opponent’s batting average at home — and the Under is 6-0-1 in the Rays’ last 8 home games with Stanek making the start. He faces an Angels team that has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP no higher than 1.15. — and he will be supported by a bullpen that has a 2.78 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP at home this year.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower scoring game between these two teams. 10* MLB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (965) and the Tampa Bay Rays (966) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Skaggs and Ryne Stanek. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (901) and the Atlanta Braves (902) listing both starting pitchers Wei-Yin Chen and Julio Teheran. THE SITUATION: Miami (46-61) has won two straight games with their 5-0 win over Washington yesterday. Atlanta (55-47) snapped a four-game losing streak with Sean Newcomb’s near no-hitter 4-1 win over the Dodgers.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 22-10-2 in the Marlins’ last 34 games after a win — and they have also played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a shutout win. Additionally, Miami has played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 17 of their last 21 road games Over the Total as an underdog priced in the +150 to +200 range. They give the ball to Chen who is 3-7 with a 5.65 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he sees his ERA skyrocket to a 10.47 mark with a 2.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .359 in eight starts. The Marlins have played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total with Chen on the hill. He faces a Braves team that has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Atlanta has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. The Braves have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against fellow NL East foes. They give the ball to Teheran who is 7-7 with a 4.42 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in twenty starts. The right-hander has an alarming 40.1% Hard-Hit Rate by opposing batters which helps explain why his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.68 and 4.72 moving forward. Teheran has not been as effective at home either where he has a 1.27 WHIP an d an opponent’s batting average of .214 in ten starts as compared to his 1.22 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .206. The Braves have played 5 straight home games Over the Total with Teheran facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Marlins team that has played 9 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these pitchers should struggle in the muggy hot air in Hotlanta playing in a hitter’s ballpark. 10* MLB Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (901) and the Atlanta Braves (902) listing both starting pitchers Wei-Yin Chen and Julio Teheran. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (963) and the St. Louis Cardinals (964) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and John Gant. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (53-51) has won three of their last four games after winning the second game of this series yesterday by a 6-2 score over the Cubs.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cardinals have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, St. Louis has played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total — and they have played 23 of their last 36 games Over the Total as an underdog. They give the ball to Gant who is 3-3 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in seven starts (and fourteen appearances). The sabermetrics indicate that the right-hander has been overachieving as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.79 and 4.75 respectively moving forward. Gant is making his first start since July 21st (while pitching an inning of relief on Wednesday) — and the Cards have played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total with Gant pitching with at least seven days between starts. He faces a Cubs team that has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Gant will likely not get much support from his bullpen in this game either as the St. Louis bullpen has a 5.47 ERA with a 1.71 WHIP over the last seven days. Chicago (60-44) has lost four of their last six games — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. The Cubs have also played 7 of their last 8 third games of a series Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against fellow NL Central foes. They counter with Hendricks who is 6-9 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in twenty-one starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he sees his ERA rise to a 4.70 mark along with a 1.43 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .282. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total with Hendricks facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Cardinals team that has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these starting pitchers will likely give up their share of runs tonight. Look for a higher-scoring game on national television tonight. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (963) and the St. Louis Cardinals (964) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and John Gant. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Redblacks (365) and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (366). THE SITUATION: Ottawa (3-2) comes off a 29-25 win over British Columbia last week as a 6.5-point favorite. Hamilton (2-3) looks to bounce-back from a 31-20 upset loss at home to Saskatchewan where they were -10.5-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Redblacks have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after a straight-up win. Ottawa rushed for only 67 yards in the game after managing only 35 rushing yards the previous week — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to rush for more than 75 yards in two straight games. Now the Redblacks go back on the road where they are scoring only 21.0 PPG — but they are also allowing only 21.0 PPG while holding their opponents to just 332.0 total YPG. Ottawa has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. Additionally, the Redblacks have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against East Division foes — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, Ottawa has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of July. Hamilton saw 51 combined points scored in their last game — but that game also saw two punt returns for touchdowns which added significantly to that tally. The Tiger-Cats defense has stalled as of late with QB Jeremiah Masoli has thrown only one TD pass in his last three games. Head coach June Jones’ offense may not be making enough halftime adjustments as they have scored only 9 combined points in the second halves of their last two games. They were held scoreless in the last 21:42 minutes of their loss to the Roughriders last Thursday. Hamilton has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset loss to a divisional rival. The Tiger-Cats have also played 38 of their last 53 games at home Under the Total — and they have also played 51 of their last 77 home games with the Total set in the 52.5 to 56 range. Lastly, Hamilton has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Total for this game is rather high with it currently in the mid-50s. There is strong value for taking the Under with both these teams experiencing issues on offense. 25* CFL ESPN2 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Redblacks (365) and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (366). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (953) and the Cincinnati Reds (954) listing both starting pitchers Nick Pivetta and Anthony DeSclafani. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (58-44) won the opening game of this series last night over Cincinnati (45-58) by a 9-4 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Phillies have won three straight games as well as five of their last seven contests — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win. Philadelphia has also played 6 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, the Phillies have played 4 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Pivetta who is 6-8 with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in twenty starts (21 games). The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 5.36 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP in nine starts. Pivetta has also taken a nose dive since his ERA peaked at a 3.23 mark back on May 21st. In his 48 2/3 innings since, Pivetta has 6.29 ERA with a 1.80 WHIP. And in his last four starts, Pivetta has been even worse with an 8.82 ERA with a 2.03 WHIP. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Phillies’ last 4 games with Pivetta facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Reds team that has seen the Over go 16-4-2 in their last 22 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is 8-2-1 in Cincinnati’s last 11 games after a loss — and the Over is also 18-6-3 in the Reds’ last 27 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 14-3-2 in Cincinnati’s last 19 home games against teams with a winning record. They counter with DeSclafani who is 4-3 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP in nine starts. He has surrendered 14 home runs this season after giving up two bombs in his last start against the Pirates. The right-hander has been worse at home where he sees his ERA rise to a 5.57 mark along with a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .286 in six starts. The Reds have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with DeSclafani on the hill. He faces a Phillies team that has scored 6.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .263 batting average with a .319 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .812. Philadelphia has also played 4 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Pivetta has been a disaster for the last two months while struggling on the road even during his encouraging start to the season.— and the Reds have been an Over machine as of late. 25* MLB National League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (953) and the Cincinnati Reds (954) listing both starting pitchers Nick Pivetta and Anthony DeSclafani. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between Oakland A’s (969) and the Texas Rangers (970) listing both starting pitchers Edwin Jackson and Martin Perez. THE SITUATION: Oakland (59-43) has won six of their last seven games with their 13-10 win over the Rangers in Game Two of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 6-1-1 in the A’s last 8 games after a win — and the Over is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Oakland cranked four home runs last night — and they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a game where they nailed at least four homers. Additionally, the Over is 6-0-1 in the A’s last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. They give the ball to Jackson who is 1-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in five starts. He does have a 1.24 WHIP and .227 opponent’s batting average in his three road starts as compared to his 0.54 WHIP and .133 opponent’s batting average at home this year. The sabermetrics also indicate that Jackson has been pretty fortunate with his frontline numbers as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.48 and 4.46 moving forward. He faces a Rangers team that has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Texas (42-60) has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss. The Rangers have dropped six of their last seven contests — and they have then played 16 of their last 20 home games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games. Furthermore, Texas has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Perez who is 2-4 with an 8.05 ERA and a 2.08 WHIP in seven starts. The left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 10.05 ERA with a 2.30 WHIP and .400 opponent’s batting average in three starts. The Rangers have played 6 of their last 8 home games with Perez on the hill. He faces an A’s roster that has a cumulative .329 batting average against Perez in their respective careers. The Over is also 6-0-1 in Oakland’s last 7 road games against teams with a left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Global Life Park in Arlington has been the most hitter-friendly MLB stadium this season (even better than Coors Field). In the dog days of summer with the ball carrying and two suspect starting pitchers, expect another Over even with the number in the 11.5/12 range. 10* MLB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between Oakland A’s (969) and the Texas Rangers (970) listing both starting pitchers Edwin Jackson and Martin Perez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (909) and the Chicago Cubs (910) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Jose Quintana. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (50-48) won the second-game of their double-header with the Cubs yesterday with a 6-3 score that avenged a 7-2 loss to Chicago (57-40) in the afternoon. These NL Central rivals have split the first four games of this series. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: St. Louis has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Cardinals have played 5 straight road games Over the Total when playing a team with a winning record — and they have played 18 of their last 26 road games when a money-line underdog in the +100 to +150 price range. They give the ball to Mikolas who is 10-3 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in nineteen starts. The sabermetrics are calling for regression as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.01 and 3.78 moving forward. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he sees his ERA rise to a 3.56 mark along with a 1.10 WHIP in ten starts. St. Louis has played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total wit Mikolas facing a team with a winning record. He faces a hot-hitting Cubs’ lineup that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .299 batting average along with a .387 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .817 over that span. Chicago has also played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Furthermore, the Cubs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs. Chicago has also played 6 straight home games Over the Total — and they have played 13 of the last 17 home games Over the Total as a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. They counter with Quintana who is 8-6 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in eighteen starts. The sabermetrics also call for regression for Montgomery with both his SIERA and xFIP calling for an ERA of 4.63 and 4.38 moving forward. The left-hander has also not been as effective at home where he is saddled with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP in seven starts. Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with Quintana on the mound facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Cardinals’ lineup that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .272 batting average along with a .346 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .789 over that span. The Cardinals have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINA TAKE: Both these teams are swinging hot bats. Expect another high-scoring game between these two teams with overrated starting pitchers relative to their sabermetrics. 25* MLB TBS-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (909) and the Chicago Cubs (910) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Jose Quintana. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (961) and the Chicago Cubs (962) listing both starting pitchers John Gant and Mike Montgomery. THE SITUATION: Chicago (57-39) won the opening game of their double-header with St. Louis (49-48) by a 7-2 score this afternoon.

REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: St. Louis has played 5 straight games Over the Total after a loss — and they have also played 8 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Cardinals have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing on the road — and they have played 17 of their last 25 road games when a money-line underdog in the +100 to +150 price range. St. Louis has also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Gant who is 3-3 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP this season. The sabermetrics are calling for regression as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.48 and 4.51 moving forward. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he sees his ERA rise to a 3.69 mark along with a 1.30 WHIP. He faces a hot-hitting Cubs’ lineup that is scoring 6.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .275 batting average along with a .345 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .776 over that span. Chicago has also played 6 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Furthermore, the Cubs have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total at home. Chicago has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Montgomery who is 3-3 with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP this season. The left-hander has struggled since entering the Cubs’ rotation as he has failed to register a Quality Start in four straight starts. The sabermetrics also call for regression for Montgomery with both his SIERA and xFIP calling for an Era of 4.55 and 4.52 moving forward. He has also not been as effective at home where he is saddled with a 5.57 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP along with a .308 opponent’s batting average. Chicago has played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with Montgomery on the mound. He faces a Cardinals’ lineup that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .291 batting average along with a .355 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .817 over that span. The Cardinals have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINA TAKE: Both these teams are swinging hot bats. Expect another high-scoring game between these two teams with overrated starting pitchers. 25* MLB Saturday Fox-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (961) and the Chicago Cubs (962) listing both starting pitchers John Gant and Mike Montgomery. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (913) and the Toronto Blue Jays (914) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Bundy and Sam Gaviglio. THE SITUATION: Baltimore (28-69) closed out the first-half of the regular season with a 6-5 win over Texas on Sunday. Toronto (43-52) has lost four of their last five games with their 5-2 loss in Boston.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Orioles’ offense took a big hit during the break when they traded Manny Machado to the Dodgers. As it is, Baltimore has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after an off-day — and the Under is 17-6-3 in the Orioles’ last 26 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Orioles have also played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Bundy who is 6-9 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in eighteen starts. The right-hander does see his ERA drop to a 3.97 mark along with a 1.24 WHIP in eight starts on the road. The sabermetrics also predict better results with both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.81 and 4.12 mark moving forward. Additionally, Baltimore has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total with Bundy pitching as a money-line underdog. Toronto (43-52) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an off day — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after they allowed at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 18-7-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 26 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They counter with Gaviglio who is 2-3 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP in eleven starts. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he owns a 1.97 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .208 in five starts. The Under is 3-1-1 in Toronto’s last 5 home games with Gaviglio on the hill. His SIERA and xFIP also call for improved numbers with their baseline projection of his ERA dropping to 4.01 and 4.14 marks. Lastly, the Under is 2-0-2 in the Orioles’ last 4 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: With Machado removed from the meager Orioles’ lineup, the days of them seeing Totals in the 8.5 to 9 range may be gone — even with their suspect pitching. Bundy remains solid — and Gaviglio has been outstanding when pitching at home. 10* MLB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (913) and the Toronto Blue Jays (914) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Bundy and Sam Gaviglio. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Jon Lester and Eric Lauer. THE SITUATION: Chicago (54-38) has won five of their last seven games with their 11-6 victory over the Padres.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cubs have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Chicago has also played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Lester who is 11-2 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in eighteen starts. The left-hander has an outstanding 1.98 ERA in nine starts at home — but he sees that mark rise by nearly a run to a 2.96 mark on the road. The sabermetrics are screaming out for regression with the veteran with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.67 and 4.68 marks moving forward. Lester’s velocity has dropped below 91 MPH which is his lowest mark in over ten years. His Hard-Hit Rate is 33.1% which is not only a career high but also higher than the MLB average which is in the 31% range. The Cubs have played 14 of their last 17 road games Over the Total with Lester pitching with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range. He faces a Padres team that has played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. San Diego (40-58) has also lost five of their last six games — and they have then played 40 of their last 59 home games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. The Padres have also played 28 of their last 46 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. They counter with Lauer who is 5-5 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP in fifteen starts. The sabermetrics are also calling for regression for the rookie with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.71 and 4.53 respectively. San Diego has played 4 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with Lauer on the mound with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range — and the Over is also 4-1-1 in the Padres’ last 6 games with Lauer facing a team from the NL Central. He faces a Cubs team that has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Lester is simply very overvalued right now. We want to try to take advantage of that when he is pitching away from Wrigley Field. While we can’t be zombies to take the Over (or against the Cubs) whenever Lester is on the mound right now, there is enough complementary evidence on the Padres’ ledger to take make a strong investment in the Over. 25* MLB Pre-All-Star Break Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Jon Lester and Eric Lauer. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Belgium (9703) and France (9704). THE SITUATION: France (5-1-0) reached the World Cup Finals with their 1-0 win over Belgium on Tuesday. Croatia (6-0-0) joined them with this opportunity to win this championship the next day with their 2-1 win over England.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: France has been very stingy when it comes to allowing their opponents to score in this tournament. Les Bleus have only allowed four goals in their six matches — and only two opponents have found the back of the net against them. But one of those teams was a veteran group that is similar to Croatia in Argentina who scored three times in their 4-3 loss to the French in the first Knockout Stage match. Tactics often determined how a Total will resolve itself in soccer. The question in this match is how long will it take for one of these teams to score a goal which will force the other team to get more aggressive. Once either of these teams feels the urgency to be more aggressive to score goals, they become more vulnerable to counter-attacks. France scored in the 13th minute against Argentina scored from an Antoine Griezman penalty kick which opened things up — and the six other goals scored in that match were scored in the final 50 minutes of that match. Croatia has scored 12 goals in their six matches while registering a goal in each of their games. The Vatreni have scored nine of those goals in the second-half — so they are well versed to responding to the pressure of the moment way generating goals.

FINAL TAKE: I think both teams score in the regulation time in this match which makes the strong value play taking the chance that one of these teams scores twice. 10* World Cup Sunday Morning Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the match between Belgium (9703) and France (9704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (973) and the Cleveland Indians (974) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Mike Clevinger. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (51-42) has won two of their last three games with their 6-5 victory over the Yankees on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Indians have played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a victory. Additionally, Cleveland has now played five straight Overs — and they have then played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Overs. Furthermore, the Indians have played 11 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the number in the 9-9.5 range — and the Over is 17-4-1 in their last 22 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They give the ball to Clevinger who is 7-4 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in eighteen starts. The sabermetrics are not encouraging for Clevinger with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.03 and 3.94 moving forward. The left-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP in nine starts. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Indians’ last 4 home games with Clevinger on the hill. These are not good signs when faces the Bronx Bombers who are scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .293 batting average along with a .353 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .843 over that span. New York (61-32) has seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a loss — and the Over is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. The Over is also 4-0-1 in the Yankees’ last 5 games on the road. They counter with Sabathia who is 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in seventeen starts. His sabermetrics are also calling for regression with both his SIERA and FIP projecting ERAs of 4.38 and 4.51 moving forward. The left-hander sees his ERA rise to a 4.42 mark along with a 1.40 WHIP in seven starts on the road. Additionally, the Over is 4-1-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 games with Sabathia facing a team from the AL Central. He faces an Indians team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .263 batting average along with a .335 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .766. Cleveland has also played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: In this game between two teams swinging hot bats, expect a higher scoring contest. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Fox-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (973) and the Cleveland Indians (974) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Mike Clevinger. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between England (9700) and Belgium (9701). THE SITUATION: England (4-1-1) comes off a heartbreaking 2-1 loss to Croatia on Wednesday. Belgium (5-0-1) also has to settle for the third-place consolation match after they lost to France on Tuesday by a 1-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: These consolation this place matches tend to be higher scoring affairs. Each of the last ten third-place matches have seen at least three combined goals scored with six of these contests producing four or more combined goals. There are a few reasons for the uptick in scoring. First, the fear of losing liberates many managers from employing overly cautious defensive tactics. Teams are less likely to park the proverbial bus in the back — and midfielders are more likely to engage in attacking positions. It is difficult to motivate teams to get up for this match after they just lost in the Semifinals. Engaging in a more aggressive style of play helps to motivate players again. Second, managers often rotate players. There is no sense in pushing players dealing with knocks if the stakes are lower. It also makes sense to use this contest to provide playing time for bench players who have not played as much in this tournament. But this influx of new players can detract from chemistry and cohesion on defense. Third, with the pressure of this single elimination tournament now gone, players tend to play looser without the tentativeness that anxiety often instills. Pressure tends to create lower scoring matches since the onus is on the offense to execute plays to create scoring opportunities. Fourth, some players will still be motivated to score goals if they remain in contention to win the Golden Boot Award for most goals in the World Cup. England’s Harry Kane leads all players with six goals — and he would love to add another one or two goals to that tally to likely clinch his name being placed on that trophy. Belgium’s Romelu Lukaku is also in the mix for that award with four goals so he will also be looking to add to his total. The Red Devils have scored 14 goals in their six matches while the Three Lions have scored 12 times — so these are two teams that are typically scoring at least two goals per match.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams did play in their last Group Stage match back on June 28th which Belgium won by a 1-0 score. Both managers rested key players in that match since both sides had clinched spots in the Knockout Stage. It is unlikely either manager will want to see such a conservative approach in this rematch with nothing at stake except pride and building excitement for their national teams moving forward. 25* World Cup A-List O/U Special with Over the Total in the match between England (9700) and Belgium (9701). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (903) and the New York Mets (904) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Noah Syndergaard. THE SITUATION: Washington (47-46) won the opening game of this series with their 5-4 win over the Mets yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nationals have seen the Under go a decisive 50-24-5 in their last 79 games after a victory. Additionally, Washington has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range — and they have also played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total when priced in the +/- 125 range. The Under is also 47-19-6 in Washington’s last 72 road games which includes them playing four of their last five road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. They give the ball to Roark who is 3-11 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in eighteen starts. The right-hander has been more effective away from home as he sees his ERA drop to a 3.63 mark with a 1.23 WHIP and .239 opponent’s batting average in nine road starts as compared to his ugly 5.98 ERA along with a 1.52 WHIP and .286 opponent’s batting average at home. The Nationals have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total with Roark on the hill. Roark also usually pitches well against New York given his 3.19 ERA in nineteen career games with thirteen starts. He should fare well against this Mets team that is scoring only 2.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .167 batting average along with a .232 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .534. New York (37-54) has played 15 of their last 21 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Mets have also played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They get Syndergaard back after he spent the last seven weeks on the disabled list after posting a 4-1 record with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. The right-hander has been better at home in Citi Field throughout his career where he owns a 2.68 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP as opposed to his 3.22 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP on the road. The Under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 home games with Thor on the hill facing a team with a winning record. He should thrive in his return against this Nationals team that has played 29 of their last 40 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Total opened at 7.5 for this game but has jumped a full run in most spots. What looked like a solid Under play before that movement now becomes an outstanding opportunity with combined scores of 8 now cashing tickets. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break National League East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (903) and the New York Mets (904) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Noah Syndergaard. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Stampeders (361) and the Ottawa Redblacks (362). THE SITUATION: Calgary (3-0) returns to action after enjoying their bye week after they defeated these Redblacks by a 24-14 score back on June 28th. Ottawa (2-1) bounced-back from that loss by defeating the Alouettes in Montreal by a 28-18 score last Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Stampeders have demonstrated that they are still stout on defense despite some turnover on that side of the field during the offseason. Calgary leads the CFL by allowing only 11.7 PPG — and they also lead the league by holding their opponents to just 289.3 total YPG. The Stampeders have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games. Calgary has also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games on the road, the Stampeders have played 6 of these games Under the Total. Head coach Dave Dickenson should have another good defensive game plan to slow down Ottawa quarterback Trevor Harris given that recent game tape as well as the Redblacks’ victory last week. Ottawa flexed their muscles on defense against the Alouettes as they held them to just 323 total yards of offense. The Redblacks added some key free agents on the defensive side of the football but perhaps their biggest addition was defensive coordinator Noel Thorpe who established a great reputation for himself as the former defensive coordinator in Montreal. Ottawa is second in the CFL by holding their opponents to just 19.7 PPG while also ranking third in the league with a total defense of 331.0 YPG. The Redblacks outgained Montreal by +158 yards last Thursday — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after outgaining their last opponent by at least +120 net yards. Playing on a short week should also impact a lower-scoring game for Ottawa. They have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with six days or less of rest — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a Thursday. The Redblacks have also played 6 straight games Under the Total in the month of July. And in their last 16 home games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range, Ottawa has played 10 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: In this rematch from their first meeting this season two weeks ago, expect the defenses to have the upper hand in what was already a pretty low scoring game. 10* CFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Stampeders (361) and the Ottawa Redblacks (362). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (925) and the Cleveland Indians (926) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Mahle and Carlos Carrasco. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (41-51) has won the opening two games of this series with their 7-4 victory over the Indians.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 9-2-1 in the Reds’ last 12 games after a win — and the Over is also 11-2-1 in their last 14 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 4 straight games Over the Total on the road — and the Over is 16-4-3 in their last 23 games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Mahle who is 7-6 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in eighteen starts. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 1.53 WHIP and .273 opponent’s batting average in ten starts as compared to his 1.24 WHIP and .240 opponent’s batting average in eight home starts. That is not a good sign when facing this Indians team that scored 5.8 Runs-Per-Game at home while posting a .277 batting average with a .344 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .803 in those games. Cleveland (49-41) has seen the Over go 20-5-2 in their last 27 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Indians have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The first two games of this series have gone Over the Total — and Cleveland has played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total after playing their last two games Over the Total. Additionally, the Over is 26-7-2 in the Indians’ last 35 games at home which includes the Over going 16-4-1 in their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Cleveland has also played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total with the number in the 9 to 9.5 range. They counter with Carrasco who is 9-5 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he sees his ERA rise to a 5.48 mark along with a 1.38 WHIP and .286 opponent’s batting average in eight starts. The Over is 5-2-1 in the Indians’ last 8 home games with Carrasco facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Reds team that is scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .263 batting average along with a .344 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .742 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: Carrasco has consistently seen his home/road splits favor his starts away from home. With Cincinnati hitting the ball well and the Indians a strong offensive club at home, expect a higher-scoring game. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Interleague Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (925) and the Cleveland Indians (926) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Mahle and Carlos Carrasco. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between England (9703) and Croatia (9704). THE SITUATION: England (4-1-0) reached the Semifinals of the World Cup with their 2-0 win over Sweden on Saturday. Croatia (5-0-0) matched that accomplishment by surviving facing the most nation Russia by winning a shootout by a 4-3 score after that match was deadlocked at 2-2 after 120 minutes of play.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Croatia is dealing with injury issues. Goalkeeper Danijel Subasic injured his calf during that match with the Russians. While he finished the match, he was clearly hampered by that injury. He will start this match but his effectiveness remains in doubt. The Vatreni are also dealing with an injury to their best defensive player in Atletico Madrid’s Sime Vrsalijko who suffered a knock on Saturday. Not only will Croatia miss his play on the pitch but the changes that his absence forces manager Zlatko Dalic to make impacts the cohesion of that back line. These injuries will negatively impact the defensive makeup for this team. The Vatrenia have allowed only one goal via a set piece in this tournament — but they have allowed 22 shots via set pieces which is tied for the most in this tournament. This has been a counterattacking side for much of this World Cup where they have increased their offensive pressure if and when they got into jeopardy — as they did against Russia when the Bears forced extra time by tying that score at 1-1. Surrendering that second goal to Russia in the 115th minute mark does not speak well to the stinginess of their defense in crunch time either since the Bears are not offensive juggernauts. Croatia has scored ten times in their five matches — and seven of those goals were after the first-half when the sense of urgency was amped. England has scored eleven goals in their five matches. Eight of these goals has come from set pieces (including three penalty kicks). The Three Lions are averaging 5.71 shots via set pieces per 90 minutes in this tournament with 1.73 of these shots being on target. They should generate good looks from set pieces against this Croatia side. England has allowed only four goals — but they have benefited from a favorable opening pair of matches against Panama and Tunisia that lacks offensive firepower but who still scored on them twice. In fact, their Quarterfinals match with Sweden was their first clean sheet of this tournament.

FINAL TAKE: This match may start slow with both sides being patient — but before the 90 minute regulation period is over, I expect both sides to have scored with a very good likelihood that at least one of these teams has scored twice. 25* World Cup Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between England (9703) and Croatia (9704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (973) and the Los Angeles Angels (974) listing both starting pitchers Mike Leake and Garrett Richards. THE SITUATION: Seattle (57-34) enters this series coming off a 6-4 win over Colorado on Sunday. Los Angeles (46-45) enters this series after they defeated the Dodgers by a 4-3 score for ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mariners have played 8 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after an off day. Seattle has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Leake who is 8-5 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in eighteen starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.71 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP in eight starts. Leake’s teams have played 11 of their last 17 road games Under the Total when priced as an underdog in the +100 to +150 price range. He should fare well against this Angels team that has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Los Angeles is scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .195 batting average along with a .251 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .574 OPS over that span. The Angels have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after an off day — and the Under is 15-4-3 in their last 22 games after a victory. Furthermore, the Angels have not allowed more than four runs in each of their last six games — and they have then played 31 of their last 42 games Under the Total after not allowing more than four runs in at least six straight contests. Additionally, not only has LA played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total but they have also played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 8.5 to 10 range. They counter with Richards who is 5-4 with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in fifteen starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he sports a 3.31 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average in six starts. The Angels have seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games with Richards on the hill facing a team with a winning record. He should also pitch well against this Mariners team that is scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .240 batting average along with a .300 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .689 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: In this game between two slumping offenses, expect a low-scoring game with these two underrated starting pitchers on the hill. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break American League West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (973) and the Los Angeles Angels (974) listing both starting pitchers Mike Leake and Garrett Richards. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Belgium (9700) and France (9701). THE SITUATION: France (4-1-0) reached the Semifinals of the World Cup with their 2-0 win over Uruguay on Friday. Belgium (5-0-0) advanced to the Semifinals with their 2-1 win over Brazil on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: I expect a cautious and low-scoring match between these two national teams. When the stakes are at their highest, France tends to play low scoring matches. In the Semifinals of the 2016 Euro, France defeated Germany by a 2-0 score before losing to Portugal by 1-0 score in the Finals. In their 2-0 win over Uruguay, they had only two shots on target. Les Bleus have scored only nine goals in their five matches — and scoring less than two goals per game is not the makings of an offensive juggernaut. Les Bleus have tons of offensive talent but they scored only three goals in their three Group Stage matches — and this speaks to perhaps their talent not being a good match for their schemes. While France has nice talent at forward, the lack of a true center-forward in the group results in these players mostly playing out of their natural position with their club teams. Manager Didier Deschamps also has his team rely on crossing passes into the opponent’s penalty kick area which is not a great fit for taking advantage for all the speed this team possesses since those crosses typically require headers and physical play which does not play to these forwards strengths. France is playing outstanding defense has they have only allowed four goals in this tournament — with three of them scored by a desperate Argentina side in the Round of 16. Belgium has scored 14 goals in this tournament —but eight of those goals were in their first two matches against lowly Panama and Tunisia sides. They will be challenged by the Les Bleus defense. The Red Devils have conceded only five goals in their five matches. Belgium is getting outstanding goalkeeping from Thibault Courtois who stars for Chelsea in the English Premier League — but France also has a super EPL keeper in Tottenham’s Hugo Loris.

FINAL TAKE: Caution to reign the day for most of this match. I do not expect more than two goals to be scored in regulation time. 10* World Cup Tuesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Belgium (9700) and France (9701). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (901) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (902) listing both starting pitchers Jefry Rodriguez and Ivan Nova. THE SITUATION: Washington (45-44) saw their three-game winning streak snapped yesterday with their 10-2 loss to Miami. Pittsburgh (41-48) snapped their five-game losing streak with a 4-1 win over the Phillies yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pirates stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 11 of their last 12 home games Under the Total in the month of July. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 23 of their last 32 home games Under the Total with the number posted in the 9 to 9.5 range. They give the ball to Nova who is 4-6 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he owns a 2.77 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in six starts. The Pirates have played 16 of their last 21 home games Under the Total with Nova on the hill — and they have also seen the Under go 9-1-1 in their last 11 home games with Nova facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Nationals team that has played 26 of their last 37 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Washington (45-44) has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring no more than two runs in their last game — and they have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing on the road after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. The Nationals have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, Washington has played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. They counter with Rodriguez who is 0-0 with a 5.52 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in 14 2/3 innings of work this season after being called up from Triple-A. Manager Davey Martinez has described Rodriguez as having “electric stuff.” He benefits from facing a slumping Pirates lineup that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .287 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .688 during that span. Martinez will also be able to call on his strong bullpen that has a 3.75 ERA along with a 1.16 WHIP when pitching on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is listed in the 9/9.5 range mostly because of the uncertainty of Rodriguez — but I expect him to pitch pretty well before the Nationals turn to their bullpen. Nova should pitch well on national television as well. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Monday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (901) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (902) listing both starting pitchers Jefry Rodriguez and Ivan Nova. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (957) and the Chicago Cubs (958) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jon Lester. THE SITUATION: Chicago (50-36) has won seven of their last eight games with their 8-7 win over the Reds yesterday where they rallied from a 7-4 deficit in the bottom of the 8th inning to score four runs and pull out that comeback victory.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cubs have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Chicago has also played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total as a favorite priced in the -100 to -150 price range. And the Cubs have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Lester who is 11-2 with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in seventeen starts. The sabermetrics for the left-hander are screaming “Regression” as both his SIERA and xFIP project his ERA to more than double to a 4.57 and 4.53 marks. Additionally, Chicago has played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total with Lester — and they have also seen the Over go 8-1-2 in the last 11 games with Lester facing the Reds. He faces a red-hot Cincinnati lineup that is scoring 7.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .283 batting average along with a .368 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .781. The Over is also 12-3-2 in the Reds’ last 17 games against left-handed starting pitchers. Cincinnati (39-50) has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing at least eight runs in their last game. The Over is also 8-2-1 in the Reds’ last 11 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, Cincinnati has played 31 of their last 44 games Over the Total after a blown save. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, the Over is 5-1-1. They counter with Castillo who is 5-8 with a 5.53 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in eighteen starts. The right-hander sees his ERA skyrocket to a 6.70 ERA along with a 1.53 WHIP in his ten starts on the road. The Reds have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with Castillo. He faces a Cubs’ team that is scoring 7.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .350 batting average along with a .432 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .983 over that span. Additionally, Chicago has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Lester is extremely overvalued right now — and Castillo has been a nightmare when pitching away from the Great American Ballpark. Both these pitchers are facing lineups that are in the zone right now. Lastly, in the last 13 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 10 times. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break National League Central Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (957) and the Chicago Cubs (958) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jon Lester. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (923) and the Kansas City Royals (924) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Brad Keller. THE SITUATION: Boston (60-29) has won four straight games with their 10-5 win over the Royals in the opening game of this series last night.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have seen the Under go 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, the Under is 6-2-1 in Boston’s last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. They give the ball to Price who is looking to redeem himself from getting clobbered in Yankee Stadium last Sunday night. The left-hander has a 9-6 record with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in seventeen starts. Price had enjoyed a 2.72 ERA in his previous nine starts so he should get back to business tonight. The Red Sox have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Price facing a team with a losing record. He should pitch well against this Royals team that has played 9 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Kansas City (25-62) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Royals have also played 21 of their last 31 home games Under the Total with the number posted in the 9 to 9.5 range. They counter with Keller who is 2-3 with a 2.09 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in six starts this season. Kansas City has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Keller facing a team with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Price should be motivated to redeem himself from his bad outing in New York — and the rookie Keller has pitched well this season. 10* MLB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (923) and the Kansas City Royals (924) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Brad Keller. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Russia (9801) and Croatia (9802). THE SITUATION: Croatia (4-0-0) advanced to the Quarterfinals of the World Cup last Sunday when they defeated Denmark by a 5-4 mark in the shootout after that match finished in a deadlocked 1-1 score after 120 minutes of play. Russia (3-0-1) also survived via penalty kicks as they shocked Spain by a 4-3 score in the shootout after their match ended in a 1-1 score after the 30 minute extra time period.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Russia will likely continue to play in their 5-4-1 formation that allows them to park the proverbial bus with nine players defending their back end. Manager Stanislav Cherchesov has been emphasizing defensive tactics since taking over with this being his formula for success for achieving his goal of reaching the Semifinals of this World Cup (as indicated in my notes from last year’s Confederations Cup which I considered a fanciful expectation, at best, at the time). To his credit, Cherchesov has this team working very hard at playing tough defense. But scoring goals has been a challenge for this team. After their surprising eight goals in their first two matches against lowly Saudi Arabia and Egypt sides, Russia has scored only one goal in their last two matches spanning 180 minutes given the extra time against Spain. Croatia has only surrendered two goals in this World Cup which is a testament to their organized play led by an outstanding group of midfielders. Their match with Denmark saw two goals scored in the first four minutes of the match — but then things slowed down dramatically with neither team scoring for the next 116 minutes of play. The Vatreni have scored eight times in this tournament but this is a team whose style was to grind out low scoring matches in their qualification matches. In those ten qualification matches, Croatia scored only 15 goals while allowing just four goals.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams come off matches that required 120 minutes of play before requiring a shootout to determine the winner. The additional fatigue for both these sides should make things just a bit slower for both groups on the pitch. This shapes up to be a low-scoring slog. 10* World Cup Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Russia (9801) and Croatia (9802). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between England (9803) and Sweden (9804). THE SITUATION: England (3-0-1) reached the Quarterfinals of the World Cup by defeating Colombia on Tuesday by a 4-3 score in the shootout after that match was deadlocked at 1-1 after 120 minutes of play. Sweden (3-0-1) advanced to the Quarterfinals of this tournament with their 1-0 win over Switzerland.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Sweden is built to grind out low-scoring matches under manager Janne Andersson — just like they did against the Swiss. The Blue and Yellow have allowed only two goals in their four matches in this tournament. They also lead all teams with 140 defensive clearances in this World Cup. But Sweden has also scored only six times in their four matches. That continues a disturbing trend in their preparations for this tournament where they only scored once in their last four friendlies. Furthermore, in their final playoff match in the qualification stage for the World Cup, the Blue and Yellow advanced by holding Italy scoreless in those 180 minutes of competition. Even in the 2016 Euro with their talisman Zlatan Ibrahimovic on the pitch before retiring from international play, Sweden scored only one goal in their three Group Stage matches. England has allowed only four goals in their four matches. And while the Three Lions have scored nine goals in this tournament, eight of these goals were in their first two matches against two of the weakest teams in the World Cup in Panama and Tunisia.

FINAL TAKE: Sweden’s plan to win this match is to focus almost entirely on defense while taking their chances with counterattacks. They will be very happy with a scoreless match after the 90 minutes of regulation time. I am not sure they will be successful — they Blue and Yellows should dictate the pace and tempo of this match. 25* World Cup Quarterfinals Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between England (9803) and Sweden (9804). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (973) and the Kansas City Royals (974) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Jason Hammel. THE SITUATION: Boston (59-29) has won eight of their last ten games with their 3-0 win in Washington on Wednesday. Kansas City (25-61) has lost six in a row with their 3-2 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after an off-day — and the Under is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 opening games to a new series. The Red Sox have also played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home — and the Under is also 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall. They give the ball to Sale who is 8-4 with a 2.41 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP in eighteen starts. The left-hander has been more effect on the road where he owns a 2.32 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP along with an opponent’s batting average of .163 in eleven starts. Boston has played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with Sale facing a team with a losing record. He should thrive against this slumping Royals team that is scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .231 batting average along with a .261 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .584 during that span. Kansas City has played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. The Royals have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after an off-day. Additionally, Kansas City has played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total after a loss by just one run — and the Under is 24-11-2 in their last 37 games after scoring two runs or less in their last contest. The Royals have also played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row. They stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. They give the ball to Hammel who is 2-10 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP in seven starts this season. The sabermetrics do indicate he should be seeing better results with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.94 and 5.03 — and his ERA also drops a full run to a 4.53 mark in his seven starts at home. The Under is 6-0-1 in KC’s last 7 home games with Hammel on the hill. He faces a Red Sox team that has seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games against starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: While Hammel does not appear very encouraging for the Under, the sabermetrics are encouraging. Sale should dominate the Royals (which is why the Red Sox are remarkable road favorites priced at almost -400). 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break American League Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (973) and the Kansas City Royals (974) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Jason Hammel. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (963) and the Toronto Blue Jays (964) listing both starting pitchers Sonny Gray and Sam Gaviglio. THE SITUATION: New York (56-28) has won their last two games with their 6-2 win over the Braves on Wednesday. Toronto (40-46) has lost three of their last four games with their 6-3 loss to the Mets on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an off-day. Additionally, New York has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last contest. The Yankees have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Gray who is 5-6 with a 5.44 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander has been a disaster in Yankee Stadium — but he does see his ERA drop to a 3.28 mark with a 1.14 WHIP in eight starts on the road. New York has played 4 straight road games Under the Total with Gray on the hill. Toronto (40-46) has played 15 of their last 20 home games after losing two of their last three games. The Blue Jays have also seen the Under go 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. They counter with Gaviglio who is 2-2 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in eight starts. The right-hander has been very good at home where he sees his ERA drop to a 1.95 mark along with a 1.12 WHIP in four starts. Toronto has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Gaviglio on the hill. He faces a Yankees team that has played 11 of their 12 road games Under the Total against teams using a right-handed starting pitcher.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is set at a high 9.5 but Gray is a much better pitcher at home while Gaviglio has been quite good when pitching at home. 10* MLB Friday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (963) and the Toronto Blue Jays (964) listing both starting pitchers Sonny Gray and Sam Gaviglio. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Belgium (9503) and Brazil (9504). THE SITUATION: Uruguay (4-0-0) reached the Quarterfinals of the World Cup with their 2-1 win over Portugal on Saturday. France (3-1-0) advanced to the Quarterfinals with their 4-3 victory over Argentina on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Belgium found themselves in a scoreless tie with Japan going into halftime on Monday — but after allowing two goals in the first seven minutes of the second-half, they found themselves in desperate straits. The Red Devils amped up their pressure on aging Japanese side and eventually tied the game at 2-2 at the 74 minute mark. Then rather than settling for the 30 minute extra time, Belgium scored in the waning moments of extra time to steal a 3-2 win. The Red Devils will want to tighten things up on defense yet they have allowed only four goals in their four World Cup matches. They have scored twelve goals — but eight of those goals were in their first two matches against lowly Panama and Tunisia sides. Brazil has only allowed one goal in this tournament — and they have not allowed a goal in their last 388 minutes of play. The Selecao earned the clean sheet against Mexico despite not having the services of Marcelo in their back line. Marcelo should return for this match which only makes this Brazilian defense stronger as he is probably the best left back in the world. And while the Selecao will be without holding midfielder Casemiro who is suspended for this match due to yellow cards, they have the luxury of plugging in Fernandinho who plays the holding midfielder role for English Premier League champions Manchester City. Brazil is happy to eke out low scoring matches as they have only scored seven times in their four matches.

FINAL TAKE: With the stakes so high in this heavyweight Quarterfinals showdown, both teams may be a bit nervous while also feeling the pressure of the moment. Expect caution from both sides which will facilitate a lower-scoring match. I will not be surprised to see a 1-1 or 0-0 score after 90 minutes of regulation time. 10* World Cup Friday Afternoon Discounted Deal with THE SITUATION: Uruguay (4-0-0) reached the Quarterfinals of the World Cup with their 2-1 win over Portugal on Saturday. France (3-1-0) advanced to the Quarterfinals with their 4-3 victory over Argentina on Saturday. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 AM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Uruguay (9501) and France (9500). THE SITUATION: Uruguay (4-0-0) reached the Quarterfinals of the World Cup with their 2-1 win over Portugal on Saturday. France (3-1-0) advanced to the Quarterfinals with their 4-3 victory over Argentina on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Uruguay surrendered their first goal in this tournament when Portugal scored in that Round of 16 match. La Celeste is a defense-first team led by two outstanding center backs in Diego Godin and Jose Maria Gimenez who also play together for Atletico Madrid. Uruguay is also getting good goalkeeping from Fernando Muslera. Manager Oscar Tabarez has his team rely on counter-attacks to score their goals. This system worked quite well against Portugal with forward Edinson Cavani scoring two spectacular goals. But Cavani also suffered a calf injury which will likely keep him out of this match. Uruguay still has a star striker in Barcelona’s Luis Suarez but he will miss his partner up top in Cavani. As it is, La Celeste has scored only seven goals in their four matches in this tournament — so their formula for success in this match is to grind out a low-scoring match which they are comfortable in doing. France will be looking to tighten things up with their back line after they allowed three goals to Argentina after surrendering only one goal in their three Group Stage matches. Les Bleus rallied from a 2-1 deficit with two goals from their 19-year-old phenom in forward Kylian Mbappe. But while Mbappe’s speed devastated an aging Argentina team, he will not have those opportunities against a vastly superior Uruguayan back line that is both physical and more disciplined than what Mbappe took advantage of in that match. Les Bleus have tons of offensive talent but they scored only three goals in their three Group Stage matches — and this speaks to perhaps their talent not being a good match for their schemes. While France has nice talent at forward, the lack of a true center-forward in the group results in these players mostly playing out of their natural position with their club teams. Manager Didier Deschamps also has his team rely on crossing passes into the opponent’s penalty kick area which is not a great fit for taking advantage for all the speed this team possesses since those crosses typically require headers and physical play which does not play to these forwards strengths. When the stakes are at their highest, Les Bleus tend to play low scoring matches. In the Semifinals of the 2016 Euro, France defeated Germany by a 2-0 score before losing to Portugal by 1-0 score in the Finals.

FINAL TAKE: This shapes up to be a defensive struggle with Uruguay comfortable fending off the Les Bleus’ attack while hoping to get Suarez loose to score in a counter-attack. 10* World Cup Friday Morning Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Uruguay (9501) and France (9500). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Colombia (9883) and England (9884). THE SITUATION: England (2-0-1) reached the Knockout Stage after winning their first two matches in Group Stage play. With only first place at stake which did not guarantee a better Knockout Stage draw, the Three Lions played a listless match with a similarly unmotivated Belgium side that resulted in a 1-0 victory for The Red Devils. Colombia (2-0-1) needed a win while getting — and that all came together for Los Cafeteros as they defeated Senegal by a 1-0 score. But Colombia’s best player, James Rodriguez, injured his right leg in the match and has remained in doubt for this match even as we approach kickoff.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Manager Jose Pekerman will wait until an hour before match time to reveal his plans for Rodriguez. Personally, I am expecting Rodriguez to take the pitch. Tests on Saturday revealed swelling but no muscle tear — so he has had over two days to reduce the swelling from that injury. While Rodriguez may not start the match, I will not be surprised to see him playing in the second half. That said, to take the Over, I have to assume that Colombia will score at least one goal in this match — even if they are without the services of Rodriguez for the entire contest. I do think Los Cafeteros will score. This Colombia roster is loaded with talent in this golden generation of their national team even without Rodriguez. Their captain, Radamel Falcao, was injured and missed the 2014 World Cup where they made it to the Quarterfinals. Colombia also has a rising star in Juan Fernando Quintero and the player dubbed “James Junior” for his history of stepping up in Rodriguez’s absence. Quintero has been involved in three of Los Cafeteros’ five goals in this World Cup. Colombia has scored five times in their three matches with one of them occurring despite playing with just ten men in their opening match against Japan. In their last major international tournament in the 2016 Copa America, Los Cafeteros scored 11 times while surrendering 6 goals in six matches that resulted in a Third Place finish. England has scored eight times in this tournament — and their six goals via set pieces were the most of any team in the Group Stage. The offensive numbers for this Three Lions team would be even better if anything would have been on the line in their third match against Belgium where both teams went through the motions. Led by Harry Kane and his five goals, this England team is blessed with plenty of offensive firepower. But I do have concerns over their back line that feature three fullbacks not playing their natural position from their professional teams in the English Premier League. This group has yet to be tested with matches against lowly Panama and Tunisia before their glorified scrimmage with Belgium. England has scored in seventeen of their last eighteen Knockout Stage matches in the World Cup.

FINAL TAKE: These are two teams that are happy to push the pace and push the ball vertically up the field. I think the worst case scenario is a match that sees at least two combined goals — and the probability that one of these teams scores at least twice in the regulation time being very high since neither of these sides will even consider parking the bus in back. 25* World Cup Round of 16 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Colombia (9883) and England (9884). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (927) and the New York Yankees (928) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Luis Severino. THE SITUATION: Boston (56-28) won the second game of this series last night with an 11-0 victory over the Yankees.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a win — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Boston has also played 15 of their last 21 road games Under the Total against fellow AL East opponents. They give the ball to Price who is 9-5 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in sixteen starts. Price has not allowed more than three earned runs in his last nine starts going back to May 3rd. The Red Sox have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total with Price on the mound. He should pitch well against this cold Yankees lineup that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .205 batting average along with a .271 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .625. The Under is 9-1-1 in the Yankees’ last 11 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. New York (53-27) has played 7 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 9-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 12 home games. They counter with Severino who is 12-2 with a 2.10 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP in seventeen starts. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he owns a 1.83 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP in nine starts. The Under is 6-0-1 in New York’s last 7 home games with Severino on the mound.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a pitcher’s duel between Price and Severino. 10* MLB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (927) and the New York Yankees (928) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Luis Severino. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Denmark (9767) and Croatia (9768). THE SITUATION: Denmark (1-2-0) received the point they needed to secure advancing to the Knockout Stage with a 0-0 draw with France last Tuesday. Croatia (3-0-0) completed a perfect Group Stage mark on Tuesday with their 2-1 win over Iceland.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Both of these teams allowed only one goal in their group stage matches with both of those coming off penalty kicks. Given those strong defensive numbers, taking the under might look very tempting to many bettors. However, don’t be surprised if this ends up being a higher-scoring affair. Denmark only scored two goals in their three matches. But after their 1-0 win over Peru in their first match, they were happy to live with the two draws they secured against Australia and France while never having to abandon their organized but methodical tactics. That may have to change for the Danish Dynamite in this match against a Croatia side that scored seven times in their three group stage matches. Despite their outstanding defensive numbers in this tournament, it would not be accurate to describe Denmark as a defensive team as they are willing to take their chances in attack led by Tottenham dynamo Christian Eriksen. In this national team’s four matches in the knockout stage of the World Cup, the Danes have scored seven times while allowing nineteen goals. The average total in those four matches was 4.75 combined goals scored. Croatia scored at least two goals in all three of their group stage matches even after making nine changes in their 2-1 victory over Iceland in their last contest against Iceland. The Vatreni are very gifted in their attacking players which facilitates their aggressive style. But despite their good defensive numbers, Croatia is less than stout in their backline. In the 2016 Euro which was their last international tournament, they allowed four goals in their three group stage matches while scoring five times. Their tournament ended with a 1-0 loss that was dictated by Portugal’s extreme caution that led to neither side attempting a shot on target in regulation time. The Vatreni have not played in a cautious manner like that match in this tournament.

FINAL TAKE: Denmark is unbeaten in their last eighteen matches and will be a difficult out in this elimination contest. Croatia will score — but the Danish Dynamite should keep pace. 25* World Cup Sunday Afternoon O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the match between Denmark (9767) and Croatia (9768). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Portugal (9761) and Uruguay (9762). THE SITUATION: Uruguay (3-0-0) completed a perfect record in Group Stage play with three victories with their 3-0 win over Russia on Monday. Portugal (1-1-1) clinched their spot in the Round of 16 with a 1-1 draw with Iran on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Portugal has seen only three combined goals scored in their last two matches after their high-scoring 3-3 draw with Spain in their first World Cup match this summer. Manager Fernando Santos wants his team to play with caution and care with the ball while protecting their back end. During their 2016 Euro Championship campaign, they allowed only five goals in seven matches with four clean sheets. But the Seleccao managed to score only nine goals in those seven matches. Then in last year’s Confederation’s Cup in Russia, Portugal allowed only three goals in their five matches including another three clean sheets. This team scored nine goals last summer but four of them came against an overmatched New Zealand side while Santos entertained employing more aggressive tactics. As the Spain match displayed this year, the Seleccao cannot hang in those type of matches as they were very fortunate to survive with the draw. Uruguay will be happy to counter-punch by waiting for counterattacking opportunities in this match. La Celeste has not allowed a goal so far in this tournament while only seeing six shots on target in their three matches. Uruguay has scored five goals in those matches but two of those contests saw them score only once. What makes this Uruguay side dangerous is their outstanding back line anchored by the Atletico Madrid duo of Jose Maria Gimenez and captain Diego Godin. This center-back duo may be the best in the world and brings manager Oscar Tabarez great cohesion on defense. This group will make things very difficult for Cristiano Ronaldo.

FINAL TAKE: After watching six combined goals scored in the opening match between Argentina and France this morning, it might be tempting for some to expect another Over. But these are two teams that will be happy to eke out a 1-0 score. I think a 1-1 or 2-0 result in regulation time is the likely worst case scenario making this a good value play. 10* World Cup Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Portugal (9761) and Uruguay (9762). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (917) and the New York Yankees (918) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Eduardo Rodriguez. THE SITUATION: Boston (55-27) has won four straight games with their 4-2 win over the Angels last night. New York (52-26) enter this game coming off a 3-0 loss in Philadelphia on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 opening games to a new series. The Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Rodriguez who is 9-2 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in fifteen starts. The left-hander has been better on the road where he sports a 3.57 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and .209 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 4.08 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and .271 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under 14-5-2 in Boston’s last 21 road games with Rodriguez facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Yankees team that has played 8 straight home games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. New York has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an off-day — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss. Additionally, the Under is 12-3-1 in the Yankees’ last 16 games at home. They counter with Sabathia who is 4-3 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in fourteen starts. The lefty has been tough at home where he owns a 2.74 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP in eight starts. The Under is 14-6-1 in the Yankees’ last 21 home games with Sabathia facing a team with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a low-scoring contest in this battle of these two AL East behemoths. 10* MLB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (917) and the New York Yankees (918) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Eduardo Rodriguez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Redblacks (371) and the Calgary Stampeders (372). THE SITUATION: Ottawa (1-0) had the Week One bye — but they came out of the gate like gangbusters last week with a dominant 40-17 win over Saskatchewan as a 2.5-point favorite last Thursday. Calgary (2-0) remained undefeated this season with their 41-7 blowout win in Toronto in the revenge of their Grey Cup loss last Saturday as 4-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Redblacks dominated the Roughriders as they outgained them by +114 net yards due to their strong defensive play that limited Saskatchewan to just 345 total yards. Ottawa has then played 16 of their last 26 games Under the Total after outgaining their last opponent by at least +120 yards. It was the Redblacks defense that played a critical role in their late-season progression that led them to win the 2016 Grey Cup. This group regressed last year but the hiring of new defensive coordinator Noel Thorpe is very encouraging for this unit to get back to playing at an elite level given his strong reputation coordinating the Montreal defense for years. Ottawa also added a number of talented free agents to bolster their defensive group. Now the Redblacks go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. They also have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing with six days or less of rest including playing five of their last seven games played on a Thursday Under the Total. Calgary has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 25 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Stampeders have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least four touchdowns on the road. Calgary’s defensive unit remains quite good after suffering heartbreaking losses in the Grey Cup in each of the last two seasons. They held an Argonauts team that upset them last November in that championship game to just 215 yards of offense. Moving forward, Calgary has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 19 of their last 24 games Under the Total in the month of June.

FINAL TAKE: With both these offenses reaching the 40 point threshold last week, it might be tempting for some bettors to expect another high-scoring game. While that sentiment has pushed the Total into the high 50s, don’t be surprised if this rematch of the 2016 Grey Cup ends up being decided by the defenses. 25* CFL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Redblacks (371) and the Calgary Stampeders (372). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (957) and the Philadelphia Phillies listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Aaron Nola. THE SITUATION: Washington (41-37) has lost their last two games after losing in Tampa Bay by a 1-0 score on Tuesday. Philadelphia (42-36) snapped their three-games losing streak with their 3-0 win over the Yankees yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Phillies have now played 4 straight home games Under the Total. Philadelphia has not scored more than three runs in each of their last three games — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after failing to score more than three runs in three straight games. They give the ball to Nola who is 9-2 with a 2.58 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander enjoys a 1.86 ERA with a 0.91 WHIP in seven home starts. The Under is 5-2-1 in the Phillies’ last 8 home games with Nola on the hill. He should pitch well against this Nationals team that is scoring only 2.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .222 batting average along with a .301 On-Base Percentage along with a .645 OPS over that span. Additionally, Washington (41-37) has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Nationals have been shutout in their last two games — and they have then played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total after failing to knock out a home run in at least two straight games. Washington has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is a decisive 41-17-6 in the Nationals’ last 64 games on the road. The Nationals have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Roark who is 3-8 with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in fifteen starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.88 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP in eight starts. Washington has played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with Roark on the hill. He faces a Phillies team that has played 4 straight home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a low-scoring game between these two teams that are both swinging cold bats. 10* MLB Thursday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (957) and the Philadelphia Phillies listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Aaron Nola. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 AM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Senegal (9753) and Colombia (9754). THE SITUATION: Senegal (1-1-0) enters this third match in Group H play coming off a 2-2 draw with Japan on Sunday. A draw in this match would be enough for Senegal to advance to the Knockout Stage. Colombia (1-0-1) comes off a 3-0 win over Poland on Sunday. This team needs a result while getting some help from Poland to advance to the Knockout Stage. A victory in this match sees Los Cafeteros through to the Round of 16. Colombia can live with a draw in this match only if Japan fails to defeat Poland.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Since both these teams have yet to clinch a spot in the Knockout Stage, both sides will likely feel senses of urgency on the pitch to score. We have already witnessed plenty of matches that are scoreless in the first-half before seeing a second-half that sees a handful of goals scored with desperation kicking in. When teams can no longer rely on parking the bus in their back end to play defense, not only does their aggressiveness create more scoring opportunities but it makes them vulnerable to counter-attacks. Colombia will need to be the aggressors to open this match since they need a positive result. Los Cafeteros are developing a nice trio of players complementing each other in James Rodriguez, Juan Cuadrado, and Juan Fernando Quintero. Rodriguez was the Golden Boot winner in the 2014 World Cup with six goals and two assists and was in-form for Bayern Munich this past season. He assisted on two of Colombia’s three goals. Quintero is known as “James Jr.” since his previous role was often to replace Rodriguez in the starting XI when their striker was unavailable but manager Jose Pekeman has decided to insert his talents into the starting group. Cuadrado is a solid cog in the midfield who plays professionally for Juventus. Pekeman is also getting a key piece back in midfielder Carlos Sanchez who was suspended for that match with Poland. And remember that in their 2-1 loss to Japan to begin their tournament, Los Cafeteros played that match with only ten players on the pitch for 84 minutes of that match after Sanchez was booked with a red card. The offensive prowess of this team probably was more accurately displayed against Poland considering that they were at full strength for all that match. Senegal has also scored four goals in this tournament while displaying some beautiful attacking moments. With Liverpool star Sadio Mane leading the way, the Lions of Teranga have one of the best offensive talents in the world on the pitch. Senegal plays a fast, attacking style when they are most comfortable. Manager Alion Cisse may try to have his team start cautiously considering that a scoreless draw serves them very well. But if and when this team falls behind, they will immediately need to begin pressing forward since they risk disaster if they lose this match. Senegal has scored two or more goals in each of their last six World Cup matches. And they have been a bit porous on the defensive end of things by giving up three goals in this tournament while experiencing a few more nervy moments.

FINAL TAKE: With the stakes high for both these teams, at least three combined goals seems highly likely before everything is said and done. 25* World Cup Group G Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Senegal (9753) and Colombia (9754). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 AM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between the Korean Republic (9738) and Germany (9737). THE SITUATION: Both these teams remain technically alive to advance to the Knockout Stage. Germany (1-0-1) comes off a 2-1 win over Sweden last Saturday. They need to match Sweden’s result with Mexico while scoring one more goal than them in the process to ensure they secure the Goals-Scored tie-breaker. South Korea (0-0-2) looks to bounce-back from a 2-1 loss to Mexico on Saturday. The Taegeuk Warriors need Mexico to defeat Sweden while they defeat the Germans with one of these Wednesday victories occurring by at least two goals to put them in a position to eke out the second team advancing from Group F in what will turn out to be an elaborate tie-breaker.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Germany played better on Saturday than in their second match against Mexico where too often El Tri put them on their back foot. Die Mannschaft pulled out the victory over the Swedes despite being down to 10 men at the 82nd-minute mark when defenseman Jerome Boateng was issued a red card. The German defense did not waver — and they continued to pressure until Toni Kroos scored a spectacular goal in the waning moments of the six minutes of stoppage time. Germany will not have the services of Boateng in this match as he serves his suspension but the team will get back their best player on their back line in Matt Hummels who missed Saturday’s match with an injury. Germany will want to score goals in this match to secure the tie-breaker — but a comfortable win will likely be all they need to advance. They have only allowed two goals in this tournament while getting some outstanding player their keeper Manuel Neuer. But the Germans have only scored twice as they appear out of synch on offense from past squads. The Korean Republic’s goal against Mexico is the only time they have scored in this tournament. They lacked offensive imagination in their qualification matches so this their ability to get on the board will likely continue. Their main scoring threat is Son Heung-min who stars as a midfielder for Tottenham in the English Premier League — but the Germans have plenty of talent to key on him without sacrificing positioning elsewhere. The TaeGuek Warriors will be without their captain and best passer on the team in Ki Sung-Yueng who will be out for this match with a calf injury which leaves the offensive threats for this group even more limited.

FINAL TAKE: The Korean Republic will struggle to score goals in this match. Germany should control this match and win with comfort — but their zeal to run up the score will be mitigated by their need to control possession while limiting counter-attack opportunities from the Taeguek Warriors. 25* World Cup Group F Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between the Korean Republic (9738) and Germany (9737). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Iceland (9735) and Croatia (9736). THE SITUATION: Croatia (2-0-0) has clinched a spot in the Round of 16 with their 3-0 win over Argentina last Thursday. Iceland (0-1-0) remains alive to reach the Knockout Stage despite losing to Nigeria on Friday by a 2-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Iceland will likely return to their very defensive 4-5-1 formation for this match which they used against Argentina in their 1-1 draw but abandoned for a more aggressive 4-4-2 look against the Super Eagles. The Viking Boys are a physical and direct side — but their primary focus is on defensive tactics. They limit their scoring opportunities to counter-attacks or the occasional set piece which is why they have only scored once in this tournament. But these defensive tactics have kept them competitive as they have allowed only three goals in this tournament. They also held both Portugal and England to just one goal in their Quarterfinals run in the 2016 Euro. They will face a Croatia side that will likely rest their key players with things well in hand moving forward. The Vatreni have a nearly insurmountable +5 goal differential entering this match which would only be overcome if Nigeria defeats Argentina by five goals. While I see superstars like Luka Modric and Ivan Rakitic getting the match off to rest for their weekend matches, manager Ante Cacic will likely sit a handful of his starters who have already been booked with one yellow cards to avoid them getting hit with a second yellow which would suspend them for their next match. The Vatreni will likely see most of their offensive talent on the sidelines for this match with the players on the pitch playing emphasizing defensive tactics. Croatia allowed only four goals in their ten qualification matches — and they have now registered three clean sheets in their last four World Cup matches.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams were matched in the same World Cup qualification group — so they are very familiar with each other. Iceland won the last match between these two teams by a 1-0 score. Expect another low-scoring match here. 20* World Cup Tuesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Iceland (9735) and Croatia (9736). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (919) and the Tampa Bay Rays (920) listing both starting pitchers Sonny Gray and Wilmer Font. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (35-40) won the opening game of this series by a 2-1 score last night.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rays have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win — and the Under is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Tampa Bay has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. They give the ball to Font who is 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP this season in 33 1/3 innings of work. Since entering the starting rotation, he has allowed only one earned run in 8 innings of work over two starts. He will be asked to pitch 3 to 4 innings before handing things off to the Tampa Bay bullpen that has a 2.83 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP at home this year. New York (50-23) is scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Yankees have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss — and they have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, New York has played 11 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 8 straight games Under the Total on the road. They counter with Gray who is 5-4 with a 4.89 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in fourteen starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where his ERA drops to a 2.93 mark along with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .228. The Under is 5-1-1 in the Yanks’ last 7 road games with Gray on the hill. He faces a cold Rays lineup that is scoring only 1.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .209 batting average along with a .287 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .581. Lastly, Tampa Bay has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Handicapping the Rays pitching situation can be a bit trickier with their experiment with using bullpen relievers in modified roles as the starter two to four times a week. Font has pitched well in that role while Gray is a different pitcher away from Yankee Stadium. 10* MLB NY Yankees-Tampa Bay O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (919) and the Tampa Bay Rays (920) listing both starting pitchers Sonny Gray and Wilmer Font. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (961) and the Colorado Rockies (962) listing both starting pitchers Wei-Yin Chen and Jon Gray. THE SITUATION: Miami (29-46) has lost three of their last four games with their 6-5 loss in San Francisco on Wednesday. Colorado (37-38) has won three in a row with their 6-4 win in New York over the Mets yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Marlins have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after an off-day. Miami has also played 4 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 16 of their last 23 road games Over the Total as an underdog priced at +150 or higher. They give the ball to Chen who is 2-3 with a 5.91 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP in ten starts. The left-hander has been a disaster on the road where he sees his ERA rise to an 8.88 mark with a 1.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .340 in six starts. The Marlins have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Chen on the hill. He faces a hot-hitting Rockies team that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .305 batting average along with a .367 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .883. Additionally, the Over is 6-2-1 in the Colorado’s last 9 games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Rockies have seen the Over go 5-2-2 in their last 9 games after a victory. The Over is also 10-2-1 in Colorado’s last 13 games at home. They counter with Gray who is 6-7 with a 5.89 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in fifteen starts. The right-hander is struggling at home in Coors Field where he sees his ERA rise to a 6.45 mark along with a 1.59 WHIP and .301 opponent’s batting average in seven starts. Gray has an ERA of 7.36 over his last two starts. The Over is also 6-2-2 in the Rockies’ last 10 games when facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Marlins team that has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The number is high with this game being played in the hitter’s park of Coors Field. But with these two struggling pitchers and a surging Rockies lineup, this situation is worthy of investment. 10* MLB Friday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (961) and the Colorado Rockies (962) listing both starting pitchers Wei-Yin Chen and Jon Gray. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (965) and the Tampa Bay Rays (966) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Ryne Stanek. THE SITUATION: New York (50-22) has won seven of their last eight games with their 4-2 win over Seattle yesterday. Tampa Bay (34-40) has lost five of their last seven contests with their 5-1 loss at Houston on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 games after a win. Additionally, New York has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road. They give the ball to Sabathia who is 4-2 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in thirteen starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 1.20 WHIP and .209 opponent’s batting average in five starts as compared to his 1.22 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average at home. The Yankees have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total with Sabathia facing a team with a winning record — and they have also played their last 4 games Under the Total with Sabathia starting in Tampa Bay. The veteran will be supported by a bullpen that is second in the AL with an ERA of 2.86. He faces a cold Rays lineup that is scoring only 2.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .191 batting average along with a .267 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .558 over that span. The Under is also 7-1-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 9 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Rays return home for the first time since June 13th. The Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 home games after being on the road for at least seven days — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after an off day. Additionally, The Under is 19-7-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 28 games after a loss — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after scoring two runs or less in their last contest. They counter with Stanek will pitch the first inning tonight with it being a “bullpen game” for the Rays. The right-hander has not allowed an earned run this month in 10 2/3 innings consisting of eight appearances. He should be followed by Ryan Yarbrough who is pitching his regular fifth turn in the make-shift rotation out of the pen where he usually pitches 4 to 5 innings. Yarbrough is 5-3 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP this season — and he has a 4.19 ERA with 1.08 WHIP along with an opponent’s batting average of .229 when at home.

FINAL TAKE: The combination of Stanek and Yarbrough is solid for the Rays while Sabathia continues to cruise in the twilight of his career where he is thriving as a crafty lefty. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break American League East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (965) and the Tampa Bay Rays (966) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Ryne Stanek. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Serbia (9475) and Switzerland (9476). THE SITUATION: Serbia (1-0-0) finds themselves in the driver’s seat in Group E after their opening 1-0 win over Costa Rica last Saturday. Switzerland (0-1-0) are in decent shape with their 1-1 draw with Brazil last Saturday as well but need some kind of result in this match.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Swiss National Team frustrated the power Brazilian side with a defensive web that featured pressing in the midfield. Switzerland is very organized with a strong midfield led by Sheridan Shaqiri and and Granit Xhaka who start for Stoke City and Arsenal. These high pressing tactics should also frustrate this Serbian team. Switzerland are well-respected and capable — but they are a side that looks to grind out low-scoring matches. In their Round of 16 run in the 2016 Euro, they allowed only two goals in four matches. However, they only scored three goals in those contests. Their lack of a quality center forward makes their manager Vladimir Petkovic reliant on defensive tactics for good results. Serbia displayed encouraging team cohesion in their victory over Costa Rica. Their lone goal by their center forward Aleksander Mitrovic came off a free kick set piece. But this is a side where scoring will likely be at a premium as well despite their scoring of 20 goals in an albeit weak qualification group that includes Wales, Georgia, Austria and Moldova. The Eagles have experienced talent in their back-line that will be relied on this match. Serbia will be quite content with a draw since it keeps them in position to advance to the Knockout Stage.

FINAL TAKE: There have been plenty of 1-0 results so far in this World Cup — and that looks like a distinct possibility in this match between two strong defensive teams that lack scoring prowess. 25* World Cup Friday Afternoon O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the match between Serbia (9475) and Switzerland (9476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (919) and the Washington Nationals (920) listing both starting pitchers Kevin Gausman and Max Scherzer. THE SITUATION: Baltimore (21-51) won the second game of this series last night with their 3-0 shutout victory over the Nationals.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Orioles have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game — and the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after a victory. Additionally, Baltimore has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games in Interleague play. They give the ball to Gausman who is 3-6 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in fourteen starts. The sabermetrics call for immediate improvement in those numbers with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.62 and 3.54 moving forward. The Orioles have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total with Gausman on the hill. He should fare well against this Nationals team that has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and they have played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Washington (39-33) has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Additionally, the Nationals have seen the Under go 17-7-4 in their last 28 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road — and they have played 12 of their last 14 home games Under the Total in Interleague play. They counter with Scherzer who is 10-3 with a 2.06 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in fifteen starts. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he owns a 1.95 ERA with a 0.71 WHIP and .144 opponents batting average in seven starts. He should pitch another gem against this Orioles team that has played 5 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. Expect those trends to continue tonight. 10*  MLB Thursday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (919) and the Washington Nationals (920) listing both starting pitchers Kevin Gausman and Max Scherzer. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Argentina (9464) and Croatia (9463). THE SITUATION: Argentina (0-1-0) settled for a 1-1 draw with Iceland last Saturday in their opening match in the World Cup. Croatia (1-0-0) is alone in first place in Group D with their 2-0 victory over Nigeria.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Argentina was frustrated by the defensive tactics of Iceland who were content to park the bus in their back end. La Abliceleste scored only once despite their attempting a whopping 26 shots. However, Argentina would have remained in fine shape going into this match if Lionel Messi takes advantage of the penalty kick he took in that contest. Now La Abliceleste faces an urgent situation where a loss would put their chances to advance to the Group Stage very much in doubt. Sergio Aguero scored the only goal for Argentina which should ensure he remains in manager Jorge Sampaoli’s starting lineup with changes likely coming. Having the Manchester City star forward on the pitch to complement Messi should help the Argentine offense gel. However, La Abliceleste’s ability to slow down their opponents remains a big concern for this team whose high press makes them vulnerable in their back end that consists of players that are perhaps too old, too slowing and still unfamiliar with the system they are playing for their national team. Croatia will be relaxed after their decisive victory over the Super Eagles — and that makes them dangerous as technical underdogs. The Vatreni are very gifted with attacking players that are aggressive within their possession tactics. And while Croatia only allowed four goals in their last ten World Cup qualification matches, they are less than stout in their back end while being prone to errors. Like Argentina, the Vatreni typically face opponents primarily focused on defense with occasional counter-attacks given the oozing talent they have on the pitch.

FINAL TAKE: Both teams should score in this contest which makes a push the likely worst-case scenario. The urgency that Argentina will have in this match should ensure at least one of these two sides scores at least two goals. This will be an open, free-flowing match with neither side playing cautiously — and that is a formula for a high-scoring contest. 25* World Cup Group D Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Argentina (9464) and Croatia (9463). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (967) and the Minnesota Twins (968) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Lance Lynn. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (32-37) won the second game of this series yesterday by a 6-2 score over the Red Sox.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Twins have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a victory. The Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games at home. They give the ball to Lynn who is 4-5 with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in thirteen starts. The right-hander started slow but has been excellent as of late with a 3.20 ERA over this last eight starts. Lynn has also been much better at home where he sports a 3.13 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .216. Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Lynn making the start. He should pitch well against this Red Sox team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Boston (49-25) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss — and the Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Red Sox have also played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They counter with Price who is 8-4 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in fourteen starts. The left-hander has been very tough as of last as well as he boasts a 2.64 ERA over his last seven starts with a 1.04 WHIP with 47 strikeouts over those 44 1/3 innings of work. Price has also been better on the road where he sees his ERA and WHIP drop to 3.59 and 1.13 marks. Boston has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total with Price on the hill and favored at least at a -110 price. He should pitch well against this Minnesota team that has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Both these starting pitchers have pitched much better after slow starts in the month of April. With the Total set in the 8.5 range, expect a lower-scoring game. 10* MLB Wednesday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (967) and the Minnesota Twins (968) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Lance Lynn. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Iran (9457) and Spain (9458). THE SITUATION: Spain (0-1-0) earned a point last Friday with a 3-3 draw with Portugal. Iran (1-0-0) finds themselves alone in first place in Group B play with their 1-0 victory over Morocco on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Spain rallied from a 1-0 deficit against Portugal to take a 3-2 lead before having their hearts broken by Cristiano Ronaldo who scored a game-tying goal off a free kick in the 88th minute. The good news for La Roja is that their offense was clicking by scoring three goals on the defensive-minded reigning European champions who allowed only five goals in those seven matches in 2016. Diego Costa produced a brace with his two goals which provided ample evidence that his aggressive style could harmonize with the possession tactics of the Spanish national team. La Roja scored 36 goals in their ten qualification matches for this tournament — so this is a side that can generate another three goals themselves in this match. A draw would produce a nervy third match for the 2010 World Cup champions against Morocco — instead, this is a team that not only needs the 3 points from a victory but also some extra goals to boost their goal differential margin in case that becomes necessary as a tie-breaker to be one of the two teams that advance out of Group B. But the Spanish defense looked shaky at times on Friday — and their world-class keeper David de Gea did not perform well with the second goal he allowed to Ronaldo being a roller that he should have scooped up. La Roja’s tiki-taka style makes them vulnerable to counter-attacks — and this is the main source of offense coming from Team Melli. Iran did not score on Morocco in their match with the winning goal coming from an own-goal late in stoppage time. But they did pressure the Moroccan keeper with five shots on target in that match. In their qualification matches for this tournament where they went 12-6-0, the Iranians demonstrated that they can score goals with the core of their forwards and midfielders playing professionally in Europe. Their potential breakout star (their “Iranian Messi”) is 23-year-old Sardar Azmoun who plays his professional soccer in Russia. He has 23 goals in 33 national team contests.

FINAL TAKE: Spain is a powerhouse offensive juggernaut that will likely score at least two to three goals in this contest. But they have proven loose on the pitch in their back end — and Iran has the talent to stay competitive. This should be a high-scoring match. 25* World Cup Group B Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Iran (9457) and Spain (9458). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (917) and the Minnesota Twins (918) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Jose Berrios. THE SITUATION: Boston (49-24) begins this series coming off a 9-3 win in Seattle on Sunday. Minnesota (31-37) enters this game after they lost in Cleveland to the Indians by a 4-1 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win — and they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total after an off-day. The Red Sox stay on the road where they have played 13 of their last 18 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record overall. They give the ball to Sale who is 6-4 with a 2.75 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP in fifteen starts. The left-hander has been even better on the road where he owns a 2.56 ERA along with a 0.87 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .179 in nine starts. Boston has played 5 straight Unders on the road with Sale facing a team with a losing record. He should fare well against this Twins team that has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Minnesota (31-37) has seen the Under go 5-1-1 in thinner last 7 games at home — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. They counter with Jose Berrios who is 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in fourteen starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.12 ERA with a 0.77 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .179 in eight starts. The Under is 6-1-1 in the Twins’ last 8 home games with Berrios facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Red Sox team that has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: This shapes up to be a pitcher’s duel. 10* MLB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (917) and the Minnesota Twins (918) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Jose Berrios. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 AM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Panama (9436) and Belgium (9437). THE SITUATION: Belgium enters the 2018 World Cup as the favorite to advance out of Group G. They host Panama who has the distinction of being the CONCACAF representative that ousted the USMNT from their expected spot in this year’s World Cup.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Panama will struggle to score goals in this tournament. Los Canaleros only scored six goals in four matches in last year’s Gold Cup which featured a significant decrease in quality of opponents. In the 2016 Copa America, this squad scored only four goals in their three group stage matches. Panama has also only scored once in their last five friendlies — and that was against a lowly Trinidad and Tobago squad. The strategy for the Red Wave will be to park the bus in back to focus on defense while playing very physical. Their hopes of scoring rely almost exclusively on counterattacks. But don’t underestimate the defensive skill of this side that will play compact defense of manager Hernan Dario Gomez. In last year’s Gold Cup, Panama allowed only three goals in those four matches. And in their last five friendlies dating back to March 22nd, four of those matches ended in 1-0 or scoreless draws. They have a fine keeper in the 36-year old Jaime Penedo who is the lynchpin of their team. Belgium is a very skilled team led by English Premier League stars Romelo Lukaku at forward and Kevin DeBruyne in the midfield. But the golden generation for the Red Devils also includes some elite defensive players including Thomas Vermaelen of Barcelona, Vincent Company of Manchester City and Toby Alderweireld of Tottenham. Belgium also has the services of one of the best keepers in the world in Chelsea’s Thibaut Courtois. The Red Devils surrendered only three goals in their five matches in the 2016 Euro where they made a run to the quarterfinals before losing to Wales. Their three wins were all with clean sheets.

FINAL TAKE: Another clean sheet for Belgium is highly likely today. But the Red Devils are not likely to run up the score in this contest with the need to save their energy for a crucial upcoming match with England that will likely determine the winner of Group G which ensured preferred seeding in the Round of 16. 10* World Cup Monday Morning Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Panama (9436) and Belgium (9437). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (907) and the St. Louis Cardinals (908) listing both starting pitchers Jose Quintana and Jack Flaherty. THE SITUATION: Chicago (40-27) snapped their three-game losing streak last night with their 6-3 victory over the Cardinals.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cubs have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have now seen the Under go 39-19-2 in their last 61 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Chicago has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the third game of a series. They give the ball to Quintana who is 6-4 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in thirteen starts. The left-hander has been very tough on the road where he owns a 2.68 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .210 in seven starts. The Cubs have played 15 of their last 19 road games Under the Total with Quintana pitching as a favorite priced in the -100 to -150 range — and they have also played 12 of their last 14 road games with Quintana pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. Chicago has also played 10 straight road games Under the Total with Quintana pitching with five or six days of rest. Quintana has found a groove over his last three starts as he owns a 2.04 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP. He should pitch well against this Cardinals team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests. The Under is also 16-5-1 in St. Louis’ last 22 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Cardinals (36-32) has seen the Under go 13-6-3 in their last 22 games after a loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. St. Louis has also played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total at home — and they have also played 17 of their last 25 home games with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They counter with Flaherty who is 3-2 with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in eight starts. The rookie phenom has been better at home where he owns a 0.96 WHIP and .217 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 1.25 WHIP and .244 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Cardinals’ last 6 games with Flaherty facing a team with a winning record. He faces a slumping Cubs’ offense that is scoring only 4.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .221 batting average along with a .309 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .645. Lastly, Chicago has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: This shapes up to be a pitcher’s duel tonight with these two starters facing two teams swinging cold bats. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (907) and the St. Louis Cardinals (908) listing both starting pitchers Jose Quintana and Jack Flaherty. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (927) and the Toronto Blue Jays (928) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Sam Gaviglio. THE SITUATION: Toronto (32-38) with the second game of this series yesterday by a 2-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blue Jays have seen the Under go 15-7-2 in their last 24 games after scoring two runs or less in the last game. Toronto has also seen the Under go 8-2-1 in their last 11 games at home — and they have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as an underdog. They send out Gaviglio who is 2-2 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in five starts. The right-hander has been very tough at home where he enjoys a 0.54 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP and .177 opponent’s batting average in two starts. Gaviglio’s teams have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog with him making the start. He faces a Nationals team that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .223 batting average along with a .287 On-Base Percentage and a .582 OPS over that span. Washington (37-30) has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when facing right-handed starting pitchers. Additionally, the Nationals have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Washington has not clubbed a home run in the first two games in this series — and they have played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total after not hitting a home run in at least two straight games. The Nationals’ bullpen has surrendered only one run in their last five games for a 0.75 ERA — and they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when their bullpen has an ERA of 2.00 or better over their last five games. They counter with Roark who is 3-7 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in thirteen starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.45 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .208 in seven starts. Washington has played 5 straight road games Under the Total with Roark on the hill. He should pitch well against this Blue Jays team that has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Both starting pitchers should pitch well this afternoon. The personality of both teams strongly suggests another lower-scoring game between these two teams. 10* MLB Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (927) and the Toronto Blue Jays (928) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Sam Gaviglio. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Denmark (9421) and Peru (9422). Denmark and Peru face off in a match that will likely play a decisive role in who advances (along with France) out of Group C play. These two teams rank 12th and 11th in the world according to FIFA — and the ELO ratings have Peru 10th and Denmark 16th in the world. FiveThirtyEight’s Soccer Power Index that is used by ESPN ranks Denmark as the 14th best team in this tournament while dropping Peru to the 19th best side at the World Cup.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: While those various ranking systems diverge regarding who is likely the better side, all three suggest this will be a closely decided match between very competitive teams. The urgency of this situation should compel both sides to push the agenda. A victory for either side with those subsequent 3 points would put that team in a great position to advance to the Knockout Stage. On the other hand, a loss would be disastrous. Both sides can live with a draw — but that would only delay the likely resolution these two teams seem destined to have to determine who joins the French in the Round of 16. Denmark is led by a dynamic scorer in Christian Eriksen who stars for Tottenham in the English Premier League. The creative midfielder scored 11 goals in World Cup qualifying matches which was third most for any player — and his 41 scoring chances was the most of any player. He is supporting a group of complementary players with size and efficiency that mostly represent rosters in the professional leagues in Europe. Manager Age Hareire has his team play cautiously — but this group does not park the bus in back. The Danish Dynamite will aggressively attack their opponents as evidenced by their 5-1 victory over the Republic of Ireland which clinched their qualification for this World Cup. But the Denmark defense is vulnerable in their back end with significant questions regarding their fullback pair. Peru is dangerous given their attacking flair led by their 34-year-old talisman Paolo Guerrero who has been cleared to play by FIFA after seeing his suspension for a positive drug test overturned. Guerrero has 34 goals in 87 caps for the Incas. This is a battle-tested team that finished 5th in a very competitive CONMEBOL (finishing above reigning Copa America champion Chile).  Peru reached the Quarterfinals of the 2016 Copa America (with a win over Brazil) after a strong 3rd place finish in the 2015 Copa America. Manager Ricardo Gareca has this team in excellent form as they have not lost their last twelve matches since a 2-0 loss to Brazil in November of 2016. The Incas high-press creates scoring opportunities — but they are vulnerable in their back end particularly on the wing. Peru can also be beat via set pieces as they allowed ten goals off set pieces in their World Cup qualifying matches — so don’t be surprised if Eriksen scores or assists from that situation this afternoon.

FINAL TAKE: I expect both teams to score in this match with so much at stake. Neither of these teams expect to win through clean sheets. I think the worst case scenario is a push with the Total set at 2 in most spots — with a very good chance that at least three combined goals are scored. 25* World Cup Saturday Afternoon O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the match between Denmark (9421) and Peru (9422). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (917) and the Chicago White Sox (918) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Reynaldo Lopez. THE SITUATION: Detroit (33-37) begins this series coming off a 3-1 win over the Twins on Wednesday. Chicago (24-43) looks to bounce-back from a 5-2 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The White Sox have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Chicago has also played 6 straight home games Under the Total. They give the ball to Lopez who is 2-4 with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in thirteen starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.85 ERA with a 0.94 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .147 in five starts. The Under is 4-1-1 in the White Sox’s last 6 games with Lopez on the hill. He faces cold Tigers lineup that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .231 batting average along with a .278 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .642 over that span. Detroit has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Tigers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Detroit has also played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road. They counter with Fiers who is 5-3 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in twelve starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 1.10 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .250 in five starts as compared to his 1.41 WHIP and .286 opponent’s batting average in seven starts at home. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Tigers’ last 4 games with Fiers on the mound. He faces a White Sox team that is scoring only 2.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .188 batting average along with a .250 On-Base Percent and an OPS of .530 over that span. Lastly, the Under is 16-5-3 in Chicago’s last 24 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower scoring game featuring two suspect offense that mired in slumps. 10* MLB Friday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (917) and the Chicago White Sox (918) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Reynaldo Lopez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 AM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Saudi Arabia (9400) and Russia (9401). THE SITUATION: The World Cup begins Thursday morning with the host nation in Russia facing off against Saudi Arabia. Uruguay appears to be the class of Group A with the Russians in the mix with an Egypt side facing uncertainty with their injured superstar Mohamad Salah’s status unclear entering this tournament. Saudi Arabia is the big underdog in the group but they may have an opportunity to sneak into the Knockout Stage given the Salah injury for Egypt and this unproven Russian side. A loss for either side is disastrous while both teams could live with a draw.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Russia is filled with a roster made up almost entirely of players from their professional league that is not highly regarded. But there is plenty of valuable information from this national team that competed in the 2016 Euro and then hosted last year’s Confederation’s Cup. The Bears are far from an offensive juggernaut as they scored only twice in the Euro before scoring only three times last summer. Russia’s defensive tactics did improve last year in the second year under manager Stanislav Cherchesov’s stewardship as they allowed only three goals in their three group stages matches with a younger group of players. Their last two friendlies over the last two weeks against Turkey and Austria resulted in a 1-1 draw and a 1-0 loss respectively — and this match will likely feel similar to those low-scoring contests. Cherchesov prefers a slow and often stagnant and unappealing style of play — but this approach can make up for the talent gap his team will often face. With the advantage of home soil, Cherchesov is likely to have his team play patiently with the expectation that his side will eventually break through with a goal. With none of his players having scored more than 12 goals in international play, Russia is not likely to win higher-scoring matches. Saudi Arabia has a savvy manager in Juan Antonio Pizzi who was appointed just last November. He was the former Chile manager through last summer’s Confederation Cup where his side lost to Germany in the Finals. Pizzi’s coaching guile will likely see this team embrace defensive tactics as well with the hope that the Green Falcons’ advantage in team speed can lead to scoring opportunities. Saudi Arabia qualified for the World Cup with a 1-0 win in their final Asian Football Confederation match against a Japan side that finished in first place — that is likely Pizzi’s preferred style of play. In their five friendlies over the last five weeks to prepare for this tournament, the Green Falcons have scored only six goals. This is also a national team that will be playing in their first World Cup since 2006 so I expect some nerves to negatively impact their execution with the ball on the pitch. The Saudis have a dynamic scorer in Mohammad Al-Sahlawi who has 28 goals in 39 international caps. But most of those goals were against weaker Asian Football Confederation competition. I suspect the Green Falcons’ offensive attack will be stymied by a Russian side that can outmuscle them.

FINAL TAKE: Russia defeated New Zealand in the opening match of last summer’s World Cup by a 2-0 score in a showdown that is similar to this one regarding how the Group stacks up. These are two defensive teams that will be cautious in this opening match to avoid what would be a crushing loss. 10* World Cup Thursday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the match between Saudi Arabia (9400) and Russia (9401). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Hollywood Sports’ WORLD CUP FUTURES BETTING CARD — June

Russia hosts the 2018 World Cup. Our BEST BET to win this tournament is on Germany that my neighborhood South Point casino in Las Vegas has listed as a 4-1 favorite to win the championship (Bovada has them at +475 to win). There is a strong argument to be had that manager Joachim Low implemented a four-year plan for his team to repeat as World Cup champions after they won the 2014 event in Brazil. They lost in the Semifinals in the 2016 Euro to a French team playing on their home soil by a 2-0 score. The Germans endured some injuries prior to that match and it became clear that summer that Low had made some mistakes in constructing that roster (I endorsed France in that Semifinal match). Low was building for this summer even then — and that was clearly the case last summer when he went very young for the Confederations Cup with twelve stars on this roster kept off that team. Yet that German “B-Team” still dominated the world-class competition and won that tournament. This German team is loaded with both veteran and young talent that is second to no rival while boasting championship experience. That is a very tough combination for a slew of opponents that all have some significant question marks. The consensus favorite is Brazil (South Point has them listed as 3-1 favorites). That side has shown me nothing to suggest they are better than the team that was destroyed by Germany in the Semifinals of the 2014 World Cup by a 7-1 score despite being that match being played on their home soil. Brazil is led by Neymar who is perhaps the third best player in the world — but his move to Paris Saint-German this year was not the move of a player that relishes facing the best possible competition. Spain is loaded with talent but they enter this tournament with a huge question mark regarding who can be their attacking forward. I have looked at Argentina very closely but they simply have a bad roster to complement Lionel Messi of either aging veterans past their prime or unproven youngsters that are not necessarily their next golden generation. France failed to win the 2016 Euro despite being the host nation — their overall talent is still behind the elite sides here. Belgium is an amazing collection of some of the most overrated talents in the English Premier League in my opinion. I reserve the right to change my opinion while watching all these teams progress and develop over the next few weeks. But the opportunity to invest in the German machine at 4-1 or so odds in the early stages of this tournament is an opportunity I am taking full advantage of.

Our TOP OVERLAY BET relative to the value of their odds is on England. South Point has the Three Lions at 20-1 odds to win the 2018 World Cup while Bovada has them at shorter (but still intriguing) odds at 16-1. England takes a backseat to no one when it comes to talent that is full of strong players from the English Premier League. The knock of England has been fifty plus years of perennial underachievement. I have rarely liked the vibe of this national team in the Wayne Rooney era which concluded with their Quarterfinals run in the 2016 Euro. Now the Three Lions can move forward liberated from the need to give Rooney playing time and commit to their young superstars led by Harry Kane and Raheem Sterling. In terms of statistics and the eye-test, England dominated their three Group Stage matches in the Euro before being upset by a feisty Iceland side in the Quarterfinals. England is still a shaky favorite — but they are very dangerous underdogs. They have an easy draw before a potential showdown with Germany in the Quarterfinals. If they win that match, they can win it all — I think getting that showdown early in the Knockout Stage is ideal for that team to help them pull the upset. Our LONG SHOT BET on a team outside the top-ten favorites is on Poland. South Point lists Poland at 40-1 odds to win the World Cup with Bovada making them even longer 80-1 favorites. The White Eagles are led by one of the best strikers in the world in Robert Lewandowski who is in his prime at 29-years-old while being the Talisman for Bayern Munich. Poland also has a strong keeper in Lukas Fabianski who almost single-handedly at times keeps Swansea City competitive in their EPL matches. This will be a defensive counter-attacking team — but this group found plenty of success in the 2016 Euro where they lost to eventual Euro Champion Portugal in the Quarterfinals in a match decided by penalty kicks. Poland also earned a 0-0 draw with Germany in the Group Stage to demonstrate their ability to compete with elite teams. South Point has them listed at 9-5 odds to advance out of their group — they would have a relatively easy initial draw likely against Colombia if they finished second in Group H before potential draws against Brazil and then France who I both consider vulnerable. Not bad. Portugal won the 2016 Euro by being completely committed to defense and willing to take their chances that their superstar striker (Cristiano Ronaldo) would somehow seem them through. Lewandowski can replicate that Ronaldo role. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (903) and the Milwaukee Brewers (904) listing both starting pitchers Mike Montgomery and Jhoulys Chacin. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (40-27) won the second game of this series yesterday with their 4-0 win over the Cubs. They host the final game of this series this afternoon in this getaway game.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Chicago (38-26) has played 30 of their last 42 road games Under the Total after a shutout loss in their last game. The Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Cubs have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Montgomery who is 2-1 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP this season. The left-hander has a microscopic 1.02 ERA in three spot starts this season for the injured Yu Darvish — and he has 1.35 ERA with a 0.79 WHIP on the road. He comes off a strong outing where he allowed only one run in 6 innings of work against the Pirates — and Chicago has played 4 straight games Under the Total when Montgomery is looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Brewers team that has seen the Under go 10-3-2 in their last 15 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. Milwaukee has not scored more than four runs in three straight games — and they have then played 31 of their last 43 games Under the Total after scoring no more than four runs in at least three straight games. The Under is also 19-6-1 in the Brewers’ last 26 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They counter with Chacin who is 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in fourteen starts. Over his last eleven starts, Chacin sees his ERA drop to a 2.92 mark. In his five starts at home, Chacin has a 2.79 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and .229 opponent’s batting average. Milwaukee has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Chacin on the mound. He faces a slumping Cubs offense that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .199 batting average along with a .276 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .568 over that span. Chicago has played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total. Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams this afternoon. 10* MLB Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (903) and the Milwaukee Brewers (904) listing both starting pitchers Mike Montgomery and Jhoulys Chacin. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Mets (955) and the Atlanta Braves (956) listing both starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Mike Foltynewicz. THE SITUATION: New York (28-34) snapped their eight-game losing streak on Sunday with their 2-0 win over the Yankees. Atlanta (37-28) has lost three of their last four games with their 7-2 loss in Los Angeles to the Dodgers on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: New York has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less. The Mets have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Wheeler who is 2-4 with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in eleven starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.86 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and .224 opponent’s batting average in five starts. Three of Wheeler’s last four starts were registered as Quality Starts. The Under is also 3-1-1 in the Mets’ last 45 games with Wheeler facing a fellow NL East opponent. Atlanta (37-28) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Braves have also played 5 straight games Under the Total at home. They counter with Foltynewicz who is 5-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in six starts this season. The right-hander has an outstanding 0.97 ERA with an opponent’s batting average of .167 in his last six starts. Foltynewicz has only given up two earned runs or less in twelve of his thirteen starts this season. The Under is 5-1-2 in Atlanta’s last 8 home games with Foltynewicz on the hill. The Mets’ bats are ice-cold as they are scoring average 1.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .143 batting average along with .211 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .454 over that span. Lastly, New York has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: With two starting pitchers performing very well right now along with the anemic Mets’ bats in this game, expect a low-scoring contest. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Tuesday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Mets (955) and the Atlanta Braves (956) listing both starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Mike Foltynewicz. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (975) and the New York Yankees (976) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and C.C. Sabathia. THE SITUATION: Washington (36-27) has lost two of their last three games with their 2-0 loss to San Francisco on Sunday. New York (42-19) saw their four-game winning streak on Sunday with their 2-0 loss to the Mets.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nationals have played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two runs in their last game — and they have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an off day. Additionally, the Under is 37-14-6 in their last 57 road games — and this includes them playing fours straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They give the ball to Roark who is 3-6 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in twelve starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.29 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .200 in six starts. The Under is 16-5-1 in Washington’s last 22 road games with Roark facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Yankees team scoring only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .197 batting average along with a .277 On-Base Percentage and .671 OPS over that span. New York has played 5 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after an off day. New York has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. They counter with Sabathia who is 3-1 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in eleven starts. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.07 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP in six starts. The Under is 13-6-1 in the Yankees’ last 20 home games with Sabathia on the hill. He faces a Nats team also struggling with their bats. They are hitting only .217 over their last seven games with a .277 On-Base Percentage and .613 OPS over that span. Lastly, Washington is scoring only 3.8 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: With cold offenses facing two good starting pitchers that perform well in this situation, expect a low scoring game. 10* MLB Tuesday Night First Pitch with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (975) and the New York Yankees (976) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and C.C. Sabathia. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (963) and the Baltimore Orioles (964) listing both starting pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and David Hess. THE SITUATION: Boston (45-22) won the opening game of this series last night with their 2-0 victory.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. They give the ball to Rodriguez who is 7-1 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in twelve starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 0.97 WHIP and .163 opponent’s batting average in four starts. Boston has seen the Under go 20-8-2 in their last 30 road games with Rodriguez on the mound — and this includes them playing six of their last eight road games Under the Total with Rodriguez facing a team with a losing record. Rodriguez faces an Orioles team that is scoring only 2.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .181 batting average along with a .257 On-Base Percentage and .523 OPS over that span. Baltimore (19-46) has also played 6 straight games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. The Orioles have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. Baltimore has also played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. They counter with Hess who is 2-2 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in four starts. The right-hander has been a bit better at home where he owns a 3.00 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP and .217 opponent’s batting average in two starts. The Orioles have played 5 straight games Under the Total with Hess on the hill. Lastly, he faces a Red Sox team that has played 4 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Expect both starting pitchers to have the upper hand in this contest. 10* MLB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (963) and the Baltimore Orioles (964) listing both starting pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and David Hess. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (979) and the New York Mets (980) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Seth Lugo. THE SITUATION: The Yankees have won four straight games as well as nine of their last ten contests with their 4-3 win over the Mets in the second game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a victory. And while their bullpen has not allowed an earned run in six straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after their bullpen has not surrendered an earned run in at least three straight games. They give the ball to Severino who is 9-1 with a 2.20 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP this season. Over his last ten starts, the right-hander has an ERA of 1.85 after allowing only one earned run in 8 innings of work at Detroit in his last start. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 9 games when Severino is looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Mets’ team that is scoring only 1.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .145 batting average along with a .222 On-Base Percentage and a .470 OPS over that span. The Mets have scored only eleven runs during their eight-game losing streak. They have 5 straight games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games after a loss by two or more runs. Additionally, the Mets have played 5 straight games Under the Total at home — and they have played 20 of their last 28 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They counter with Lugo who is making a spot start out of the bullpen after pitching four scoreless innings in his last previous start this year. For the season, Lugo has a 1-1 record with a 2.04 ERA and 0.93 WHIP — and he has been even better at home where he enjoys a 1.13 ERA with a 0.83 WHIP. The Mets have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Lugo making the start. He faces a Yankees team that is hitting only .230 with a .303 On-Base Percentage and a .763 OPS over their last seven games. The Yankees have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Severino should continue his outstanding pitching tonight against the anemic Mets’ offense — while the Yankees are not hitting the ball great right now and Lugo is undervalued. 10* MLB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (979) and the New York Mets (980) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Seth Lugo. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (973) and the Minnesota Twins (974) listing both starting pitchers Nick Tropeano and Fernando Romero. THE SITUATION:  Los Angeles (37-28) has won six straight games with their 2-1 win over the Twins in the second game of the series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Angels have seen the Under go 10-1-2 in their last 13 games after a win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Tropeano who is 3-3 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in nine starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road where he sports a 2.55 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP in four starts. The Under is 5-1-1 in the Angels’ last 7 road games with Tropeano on the mound. He faces a Minnesota team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests. Additionally, the Twins have played 8 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Minnesota (27-34) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game — and the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 5-0-1 in the Twins’ last 6 games at home. They counter with Fernando Romero who is 2-2 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in seven starts. The right-hander has been better at home where he sports a 2.70 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP in three starts. Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games with Romero facing a team with a winning record. He faces an Angels team that is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests. LA has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Under is also 17-6-3 in the Angels’ last 26 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: With the Total set at 9, this game should finish below that number. 20* MLB Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (973) and the Minnesota Twins (974) listing both starting pitchers Nick Tropeano and Fernando Romero. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (903) and the Philadelphia Phillies (904) listing both starting pitchers Brent Suter and Jake Arrieta. Milwaukee (38-225) snapped a three-game losing streak last night with their 12-4 victory over the Phillies.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Brewers have still played 12 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Milwaukee has also played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total during the day. They give the ball to Suter who is 5-4 with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.77 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP in six starts. The Brewers have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with Suter facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Philadelphia team (32-29) that is only scoring 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .193 batting average along with a .273 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .567 over that span. The Phillies has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a left-handed starting pitchers. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Philadelphia has also played 19 of their last 26 home games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss as a home favorite. The Phillies have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total. They counter with Arrieta who is 5-3 with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in eleven starts. The right-hander has been sensational at home where he enjoys a 0.84 ERA with a 0.91 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .182. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Phillies’ last 5 starts with Arrieta on the  hill. He faces a Brewers team that is scoring only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests — and the Under is 44-14-1 in their last 59 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Despite yesterday’s scoring fest, both these teams are wishing cold bats. Expect a pitcher’s duel this afternoon. 10* MLB Saturday Afternoon First Pitch with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (903) and the Philadelphia Phillies (904) listing both starting pitchers Brent Suter and Jake Arrieta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (507) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (508). THE SITUATION: Golden State (73-29) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 110-102 win in Cleveland (62-41) as a closing 3.5-point favorite. They have the opportunity to win back-to-back NBA Championships Friday night.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors shot 51.9% from the field after making 57.3% of their shots in Game Two — but they have then played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in two straight games. Golden State has also played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after winning at least four straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Warriors have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Golden State has now played 20 of their last 28 road games Under the Total which includes them playing seven of their last eight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 4 opportunities to close-out a playoff series, the Warriors have played all 4 games Under the Total. Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. They also have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fifth game over the last fourteen days. Furthermore, the Cavaliers had 92 shots attempts in Game Three after taking 90 shots in Game Two — and they have then played 25 of their last 36 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games and this includes playing their last four games below the number in that situation. And in their last 17 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Cleveland has played 12 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: This is the first game in this series that will be played with just one day of rest. I look for a slower-paced game than the first three games of the series with perhaps both offenses taking a step back without the extra rest. 25* NBA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (507) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (9) and the Vegas Golden Knights (10). THE SITUATION: Washington (65-32-7) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 6-2 victory over the Golden Knights. This series goes back to Las Vegas for Game Five.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Capitals once again scored first in that game which allowed them to deploy their 1-3-1 trapping zone defense that clogs the neutral zone which has frustrated the speed of the Vegas skaters. Washington has allowed only five goals in the last three games after that opening game where they gave up six goals. Now the Caps go back on the road where the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games away from home. Additionally, Washington has played 16 of their last 22 Game Fives in the Stanley Cup Playoffs Under the Total — and this includes them playing seven straight Unders when leading by a 3-1 margin in the series. Furthermore, the Capitals have played 23 of their last 38 games Under the Total when attempting to close-out a playoff series. Vegas (64-30-7) is cold with their scoring with their top three lines — especially their top line. For the Golden Knights to extend this series, they need to tighten things up on defense and offer help to goalie Marc-Andre Fleury. Head coach Gerard Gallant made it clear that he did not think Fleury could do much to stop five of the six goals he allowed. Vegas has played 17 of their last 25 home games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, the Golden Knights have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored — and they have played 15 of their last 23 home games Under the Total after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. Furthermore, the Under is 3-1-1 in Vegas’ last 5 games when facing an opponent that scored at least five goals in their last game. Lastly, the Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least five goals.

FINAL TAKE: Winning the fourth game in a playoff series is considered the most difficult — and the Capitals have a bad history of blowing 3-1 series leads. Expect both teams to be tight in this game. 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (9) and the Vegas Golden Knights (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago White Sox (909) and the Minnesota Twins (910) listing both starting pitchers James Shields and Jose Berrios. THE SITUATION: Chicago (20-39) has won the last two games of this series after defeating Minnesota (26-32) by a 5-2 score in the third game of this series. This four-game series concludes this afternoon in this getaway game.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The White Sox have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a victory — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Chicago has also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win on the road — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, the White Sox have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after winning their last two games on the road against a divisional rival. They give the ball to Shields who has a 1-6 record with a 4.48 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in twelve starts this season. Knock me down with a feather but Shields has an impressive 3.45 ERA over his last seven starts which has been attributed to the lowering of his arm angle when releasing the baseball. He has been more effective on the road with a 1.17 WHIP and .219 opponent’s batting average in four starts away from home. Chicago has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Shields pitching with the Total set in the 9 to 9.5 range. Minnesota (26-32) has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with a double-revenge. The Twins have also played 6 straight home games Under the Total again teams with a winning record below 40% on the road. This is Minnesota’s eighth straight game at home — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing at least five straight games at home. And in their last 13 games when favored at a price of at least -150, the Twins have played 9 of these games Under the Total. They counter with Berrios who is 6-5 with a 3.86 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in twelve starts this season. The right-hander has been better at home where he owns a 3.35 ERA along with a 0.79 WHIP and .176 opponent’s batting average in seven starts. Minnesota has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with Berrios pitching in the month of June. Lastly, the Under is 10-3-3 in the White Sox’s last 16 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The starting pitchers should have the upper hand in this afternoon tilt. 10* MLB Thursday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago White Sox (909) and the Minnesota Twins (910) listing both starting pitchers James Shields and Jose Berrios. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). THE SITUATION: Golden State(72-29) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Sunday with their 122-103 win over the Cavaliers as an 11.5-point favorite. This series travels to Cleveland (62-40) for Games Three and Four.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors were on fire with their shooting in their two games at the Oracle Center. They made 65% of their shots inside the arc in those two games while nailing 28 of their 72 (38.9%) of their shots from 3-point land. Golden State made 57.3% of their shots overall on Sunday (after making 51.1% of their shots in Game One) which was not only their best field goal percentage in their 42 games but was also the best shooting mark in the playoffs for them in the Steve Kerr coaching era. The Warriors have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight games. Additionally, Golden State has played 11 of their last 17 games after a point spread as a double-digit favorite. The Warriors have also played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning at least four straight games. Furthermore, Golden State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. Cleveland (62-40) has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total aft losing two straight games on the road. Now the Cavaliers return home where they have played 11 of their last 16 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 games when not playing more than their third game in ten days, Cleveland has played all 6 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is rising after the first two games of this series finished Over the Total. The value is with the Under. 10* NBA Wednesday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:15 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (911) and the San Francisco Giants (912) listing both starting pitchers Patrick Corbin and Madison Bumgarner. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (30-30) won the opening game of this series last night by a 10-3 score over the Diamondbacks.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Giants have seen the Over go 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after a win — and the Over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. San Francisco has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least nine runs. And in their last 6 home games when favored in the -125 to -175 price range, the Giants have played 5 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Bumgarner who is making his first start of the season after recovering from a broken left pinkie finger. The left-hander was 4-9 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP last year. Bumgarner was not quite as effective at home last year as he saw his ERA rise to a 3.40 mark. But the bigger concern for Bumgarner was that he began to lose some of his bite on his four-seam fastball last season. From 2013 to 2016, Bumgarner has a swinging strike rate of 11.9% on that pitch but that plummeted to a 7.3% mark last year which was even below the 7.7% MLB average for four-seamers. He saw his opposing hitter’s Isolated Power rate skyrocket to a .340 rate in the last two months of the season which is more than double than the .150 MLB average for this metric that identifies extra-base hits. In his last thirteen starts, Bumgarner had a 3.43 ERA and with a 1.10 WHIP with a 21.6% strikeout rate while seeing the velocity on his fastball drop to just 90.7 MPH. While those are still numbers not to sneeze at, they are all worse than what he experienced in his previous four seasons. He faces an Arizona team that is scoring 6.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .258 batting average along with a .340 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .817 over that span. Additionally, the Diamondbacks have seen the Over go 7-0-1 in their last 8 games against left-handed starting pitchers. Arizona (31-28) has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total coming off a loss. The Diamondbacks have also played 6 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 14 games with the Total set at 7.0 or lower, Arizona has played 11 of these games Over the Total. They counter with Corbin who is 5-2 with a 2.99 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP in twelve starts this season. The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 3.07 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP in five starts. The Diamondbacks have seen the Over go a decisive 41-19-2 in their last 62 road games with Corbin on the hill — and this includes them playing ten of their last twelve road games Over the Total with Corbin pitching with the Total set at 7 or less. He faces a Giants team that has played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are hitting the ball well right now. The Total is set at a low 7 with Bumgarner back on the bump — but both Corbin and he are overvalued in this situation. 10* MLB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (911) and the San Francisco Giants (912) listing both starting pitchers Patrick Corbin and Madison Bumgarner. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (953) and the San Francisco Giants (954) listing both starting pitchers Zack Godley and Derek Holland. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (29-30) has won four straight games with their 6-1 win over Philadelphia yesterday. Arizona (31-27) has won five of their last six games with their 6-1 win in Miami yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Giants have played their last three games Under the Total — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. San Francisco has also played 8 of their last 13 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 7 to 7.5 range. And in their last 11 opening games to a new series, the Over is 7-2-2. They give the ball to Holland who is 3-6 with a 4.94 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The left-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 5.75 ERA in four starts this season. Holland has seen 4 of his last 5 starts against NL West teams finish Over the Total. He faces a hot-hitting Diamondbacks team that is scoring 6.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .815 OPS over that span. Arizona has played 6 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. They have also seen the Over go 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. And while the Diamondbacks have not allowed more than two runs in their last three games, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than four runs in three straight games. Now Arizona goes back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home — and they have also played 11 of their last 15 road games Over the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price range. They counter with Godley who is 5-4 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 5.81 ERA with a 1.90 WHIP and .286 opponent’s batting average in six starts. The Diamondbacks have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Godley on the mound. He faces a Giants team that is scoring 4.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .293 batting average along with a .341 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .751.

FINAL TAKE: With both these teams hitting the ball well right now, expect a high scoring game featuring two vulnerable starting pitchers. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Monday ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (953) and the San Francisco Giants (954) listing both starting pitchers Zack Godley and Derek Holland. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (7) and the Washington Capitals (8). THE SITUATION: Washington (64-32-7) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Saturday with their 3-1 victory over the Golden Knights. Game Four of this series stays on Washington.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: These two teams have played two straight Unders in this series. Vegas (64-29-7) has played 17 of their last 24 road games Under the Total — and they have played 17 of their last 24 road games after playing twos straight Unders. The Golden Knights have allowed at least three goals in three straight games — but they have then played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games while also playing 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. Vegas has only scored three goals in the last two games — but they have seen the Under go 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Golden Knights have played 14 of their last 23 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. Vegas has also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals. Moving forward, the Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Washington has seen the Under go 4-0-2 in their last 6 games when playing with one day of rest. The Capitals defense has tightened up by allowing only nine goals over their last five games for a stingy 1.80 Goals-Against-Average. Washington has played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Vegas has played all 3 of their previous Game Fours this postseason Under the Total while the Capitals have played 4 of their last 5 Game Fours Under the Total. Expect another low-scoring game for this Game Four. 10* NHL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (7) and the Washington Capitals (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (503) and the Golden State Warriors (504). THE SITUATION: Golden State (71-29) won the opening game of this series with their 124-114 win in overtime on Thursday over the Cavaliers as a 12.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: These two teams had their offensive clicking in the first-half with the halftime score being a 56-56 tie. But things slowed down in the second-half — and that game only needed a flurry of baskets in the final two minutes of the game to reach 214 combined points (before overtime allowed for all Over tickets to be redeemed). Cleveland (62-29) has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while the Cavs have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. The extended schedule should help Cleveland’s effort on defense as they Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 games when playing with two days of rest — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing just their second game in seven days. The Cavs have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Golden State shot 51.1% from the field which was their best shooting effort in their last five games. The Warriors have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games after a point spread loss. The Under is also 19-6-1 in Golden State’s last 26 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Warriors were out-rebounded by a 53 to 38 margin — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being out-rebounded by at least 15 boards. Golden State has also played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 40 of their last 65 home games Under the Total when laying 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: Look for Game Two to resemble the second-half on Thursday. 25* NBA Sunday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (503) and the Golden State Warriors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (913) and the San Diego Padres (914) listen both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Tyson Ross. THE SITUATION: San Diego (26-34) won the second game of this series yesterday over the Reds by an 8-2 score.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Padres have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a victory — and they have also seen the Over go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after allowing two runs in their last game. San Diego has also played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. They give the ball to Ross who is 4-3 with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 3.68 ERA  along with a 1.26 WHIP in five starts — he has also has been less effective in day games where he owns a 4.32 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP in five starts. He faces a Cincinnati team (21-38) that is scoring 4.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a healthy .291 batting average along with a .352 On-Base Percentage and .786 OPS over that span. The Reds have played their last three games Over the Total — and they have then played 15 of their last 19 road games Over the Total after playing their last three games Over the Total. They also have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road overall — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They counter with Castillo who is 4-5 with a 5.49 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in twelve starts this season. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he has a 6.49 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP in seven starts on the road. Cincinnati has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Castillo on the hill. He faces a Padres team that is scoring 4.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games. San Diego has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is installed a low 7.5 for this game which typically anticipates a starting pitcher’s duel — but both Castillo and Ross are overvalued in this situation given the home/road splits. 10* MLB Over/Under Sabermetrics Special with Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (913) and the San Diego Padres (914) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Tyson Ross. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (5) and the Washington Capitals (6). THE SITUATION: Washington (63-32-7) evened this series at a game apiece on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory over Vegas (64-28-7). The Capitals see this series return to DC where they will be hosting Games Three and Four.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: After the scoring fest in Game One that the Golden Knights won by a 6-4 score, Game Two settled down with just five combined goals. Braden Holtby was the hero for Washington as he stopped 37 of 39 Vegas’ shots including an epic save that robbed Alex Tuch of a goal with just 1:50 left in the third period. While Holtby was fantastic in Game Two, he was helped by a committed team that combined to block 18 shots before they reached him. The Capitals return home where they scored averaged only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game in their three home contests in the Eastern Conference Finals. The Under is 3-1-2 in Washington’s last 6 home games. The Capitals have also played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road. Furthermore, Washington has played 18 of their last 29 playoff games Under the Total when tied in the series. Vegas has played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. Marc-Andre Fleury should play better tonight as he has allowed only seven goals while posting a .932 save percentage in games following up the three previous Golden Knights’ losses in the playoffs. Remember that Fleury posted a 1.68 Goals-Against-Average with a .947 save percentage in the first three series of this postseason. Vegas is scoring only 2.25 Goals-Per-Game on the road in the playoffs while allowing only 1.88 Goals-Per-Game on these eight contests. The Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games — and the Golden Knights have played 16 of their last 23 road games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Washington hopes to have Evgeny Kuznetsov after he missed most of Game Two with a nasty left wrist injury — but his effectiveness remains in question which will contribute to the Caps’ playing cautiously. Expect another low-scoring game. 25* NHL Non-Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (5) and the Washington Capitals (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (913) and the San Francisco Giants (914) listing both starting pitchers Nick Pivetta and Chris Stratton. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (31-23) has won two of their last three games with their 2-1 win in Los Angeles over the Dodgers yesterday. San Francisco (26-30) snapped a three-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 7-4 win in Colorado over the Rockies.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 6-0-1 in the Giants’ last 7 games after a victory — and the Over is also 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 5-1-2 in San Francisco’s last 8 games at home. They give the ball to Stratton who is 6-3 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The right-hander has struggled at home where he has been saddled with a 6.65 ERA along with a 2.00 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average in five starts. The Giants have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with Stratton facing a team with a winning record. Additionally, the Over is 4-1-1 in the Phillies’ last 6 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Philadelphia has played 25 of their last 38 games Over the Total after allowing no more than one run in their last game. They also have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their game. Furthermore, the Over is 3-1-1 in Philly’s last 5 games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Pivetta who is 4-3 with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he has a 5.82 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .266 opponent’s batting average in four starts. Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total with Pivetta pitching after a victory. He faces a Giants’ team that has seen the Over go 6-2-3 in their last 11 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: With the Total installed at moderately low 8, expect this final score to finish above that number. 10* MLB Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (913) and the San Francisco Giants (914) listing both starting pitchers Nick Pivetta and Chris Stratton. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (501) and the Golden State Warriors (502). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (62-38) reached the NBA Finals with their 87-79 upset win in Boston on Sunday as a 3.5-point underdog. Golden State (70-29) sealed their fate to make this the fourth straight meeting between these two teams in the NBA Finals with their 101-92 win in Houston on Monday as a 6-point favorite. The first two games of this series are at the Warriors’ Oracle Center.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers held the Celtics to a season-low opponent’s field goal percentage of 34.1% on Sunday — but anyone watching that game will attest that Boston’s pathetic shooting deserves most of the credit for those numbers. Cleveland has then played 12 of the last 18 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 85 points in their last game — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after not allowing their last opponent to shoot better than 35% from the field. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 31 of their last 45 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And while the last meeting between these two teams back on January 15th resulted in a 118-108 victory for the Warriors in Cleveland, the Cavs have then played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total when avenging a double-digit loss. Golden State closed out their series with the Rockets by playing five straight games Under the Total. The Warriors have then played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after playing four straight Unders. Golden State has also played a decisive 42 of their last 69 home games Over the Total when favored in the 12.5 to 18 points favorites — and this includes playing nine of their last fourteen Over the Total in that situation.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played four straight Overs to close out the NBA Finals last year with the Total ranging from 222 in Game Two to 231 in the final Game Five. While both these are not as potent offensive units as they were last year at this time, they both should play at a fast pace once again that both teams prefer. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (501) and the Golden State Warriors (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (953) and the St. Louis Cardinals (954) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Williams and Jack Flaherty. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (29-26) snapped their four-game losing streak yesterday with their 2-1 win over the Cubs. St. Louis (29-24) has lost two of their last three games with their 3-2 loss in Milwaukee yesterday. The Cardinals return home to host this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pirates have lost five of their last seven games — and they have then played 13 of their last 17 road games after losing five or six of their last seven games. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-3 in Pittsburgh’s last 8 games on the road against teams with a winning record. And in their last 30 road games as an underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range, they have played 21 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to Williams who is 5-3 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.14 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and .170 opponent’s batting average in five starts. The Pirates have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with Williams on the mound. He faces a Cardinals teams that are scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .239 batting average, .285 On-Base Percentage and .661 OPS over that span. The Under is 5-1-1 in St. Louis’ last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Cardinals have also played 4 straight home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. St. Louis (29-24) has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games are a loss. The Cardinals have also seen the Under go 16-4-1 in their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. St. Louis has also played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total with the number set in the 8 to 8.5 range. They counter with Flaherty who is 2-1 with a 2.15 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in five starts this season. Flaherty will be making just his second start at home this year after allowing only one earned run in 7 2/3 innings of work against the Phillies earlier this season. In three career starts at home, the right-hander has a 0.89 WHIP and .080 opponent’s batting average. Furthermore, the Under is 4-0-1 in the Cardinals’ last 5 games with Flaherty facing a team with a winning record. He faces a cold-hitting Pirates team that is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .237 batting average, .266 On-Base Percentage and .656 OPS over that span. The Under is 4-1-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 — and the Under is 33-16-5 in their last 54 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Both starting pitchers should dominate against two lineups that are struggling to score points. 25* Major League Baseball Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (953) and the St. Louis Cardinals (954) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Williams and Jack Flaherty. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (3) and the Vegas Golden Knights (4). THE SITUATION: THE SITUATION: Vegas (64-26-5) won the opening game of the Stanley Cup Finals on Monday with their 6-4 victory. This series stays in Las Vegas for Game Two tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: While Game One of this series was a high-scoring game, that should set up tonight’s contest to be a low-scoring affair. The Golden Knights have played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored — and they have played 10 of their last 12 home games after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. Furthermore, Vegas has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last contest. Marc-Andre Fleury should play better tonight after allowing four goals on Monday which matched the most goals he allowed in these playoffs. Fleury has a 2.23 Goals-Against-Average with a .932 save percentage in his three playoff games this postseason after allowing four goals in his last game. Additionally, the Golden Knights have played 6 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when leading in a playoff series. Washington (61-32-8) has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least five goals. Goalie Braden Holtby had been on a 159:27 minute streak where he had not allowed a goal entering the Stanley Cup Finals before allowing a goal at the 7:15 mark of the first period. The five goals that Vegas scored on Holtby (their final goal was an empty netter) were the most goals that he has allowed since February 17th. But the Under is 3-0-1 in the Capitals last 4 games against an opponent that scored at least five goals in their last game. Lastly, Washington has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series.

FINAL TAKE: After an unusually high-scoring Game One, expect an Under to zag off the Game one zig. 10* NHL Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (3) and the Vegas Golden Knights (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (907) and the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Jason Vargas and Julio Teheran. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (32-22) won the third game of this series on Tuesday with a 7-6 victory over the Mets. The series concludes with a fourth game tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total. They also have played 7 of their last 10 fourth games to a series. They give the ball to Teheran who is 4-2 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The right-hander has struggled at home in the hitter-friendly Sun Trust Park where he has a 5.54 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP and .263 opponent’s batting average in five starts as compared to his 3.18 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .178 opponent’s batting average on the road. Atlanta has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Teheran pitching on grass. Teheran faces a New York team that is scoring 5.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .290 batting average, .351 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .810 over that span. The Mets have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. New York (26-26) saw their bullpen surrender all six runs yesterday — and they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen gave up at least five runs. Additionally, the Mets have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Vargas who is 1-3 with a 10.62 ERA and a 2.16 WHIP in five starts this season. The left-hander has been a disaster in three road starts where he has a 15.19 ERA with a 2.63 WHIP and .404 opponent’s batting average. Vargas had an 18-11 record with a 4.16 ERA and 1.33 WHIP last year with the Royals — but those numbers were propped up very fortunate BABIP and Left-On-Base rates in the first-half of the season. His ugly 6.38 ERA over the second-half of the season took place after those metrics finally regressed back to the mean. Vargas faces an Atlanta team that scores 6.1 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers with a .286 batting average, .360 On-Base Percentage and an .818 On-Base Percentage. The Braves also score 5.5 Runs-Per-Game at home — and the Over is 21-8-2 in their last 31 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. Atlanta has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower. Lastly, New York has played 5 of their last 7 games with Vargas making the start.

FINAL TAKE: Vargas has been a mess for almost an entire calendar year while Teheran typically sees home/road splits that favor his being away from the new Sun Trust Park. Expect the hitters to enjoy the advantage for both teams tonight. 25* MLB National League East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (907) and the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Jason Vargas and Julio Teheran. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (511) and the Houston Rockets (512). THE SITUATION: Golden State (69-29) forced a decisive seventh game in this series on Saturday with their 115-86 victory over the Rockets. This series returns to Houston (76-22) for the climactic seventh game.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State found their stroke in the second-half on Saturday en route to their 64 points scored in those final 24 minutes. The Warriors shot 49.4% from the field in that game which was the best offensive effort in their last three contests. But Golden State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when on the road. And in their last 9 games in the playoffs with the series tied at 1-1, 2-2 or 3-3, Golden State has played 7 of these games Under the Total. Houston only scored 29 points in the second-half to make the Boston Celtics’ second-half performance last night look like an offensive juggernaut — this team’s ability to score points without Chris Paul on the court is in serious question. And yet their 40.3% field goal percentage was the best offensive effort in their last four games. The Rockets have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Houston has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally. the Rockets have played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog. Lastly, Houston has played 14 of their last 19 potential closeout games in the playoffs Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Game Seven offers a Total that is way below the mid-220s that were offered in the opening games of this series. Yet this is a battle that has seen the respective defenses of both teams have more consistent success than the offenses. 10* NBA Monday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (511) and the Houston Rockets (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (1) and the Vegas Golden Knights (2). THE SITUATION: Washington (61-31-8) reached the Stanley Cup Playoff Finals with a 4-0 win in Tampa Bay in the seventh game of that series last Wednesday. Vegas (63-26-5) had earned their spot in the Finals last Saturday with their 2-1 win in Winnipeg that ended that series on five games. 

REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: The Capitals defense along with goaltender Braden Holtby is clicking on all cylinders right now after shutting out a potent Lightning attack in the final two games of the Eastern Conference Finals. Washington has then seen the Under go 3-1-2 in their last 6 games after a win — and they have also played 16 of their last 24 road games Under the Total after a win by at least three goals. The Capitals stay on the road where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games. And in their last 24 opening games to a new playoff series, the game finished Under the Total 17 times. Vegas has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a victory. The Under is also 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a game where they did not score more than two goals. And in their last 19 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest, the Under is 12-5-2 for the Golden Knights.

FINAL TAKE: With Washington and Vegas having five days and nine days off since last taking the ice, expect both offensive attacks to be shaking off some rust. 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (1) and the Vegas Golden Knights (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET own Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Boston Celtics (712). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (61-38) forced a climactic seventh game of this series on Friday with their 109-99 win over the Celtics. This series returns to TD Garden in Boston (66-34) tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Cleveland was carried by LeBron James who scored 46 points on 17 of 33 shooting from the field who led his team to victory. George Hill added another 20 points on 7 of 12 shooting — but he is scoring only 5 PPG on 31% shooting when playing on the road in this series. Who will step up to help James with the scoring tonight? The Cavaliers have played 16 of their last 27 road games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Additionally, Cleveland has played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when tied in a playoff series. Boston made 51.4% of their shots on Friday which was their best offensive effort in their last eleven games. But they should tighten up on offense in this climactic seventh game. They have played 33 of their last 52 games Under the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing 12 of their last 15 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: With the pressure of this climactic seventh game, the unreliable Cavs supporting cast combined with this young Celtics roster will likely result in a lower scoring game. 25* NBA Sunday Night O/U Special Feature with  Under the Total in the game between Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Boston Celtics (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (509) and the Golden State Warriors (510). THE SITUATION: Houston (76-21) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Thursday with their 98-94 upset win over the Warriors as a 1-point underdog. This series returns to the Oracle Center with Golden State (68-29) looking to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets will be without Chris Paul in this contest who suffered a hamstring injury late in Thursday’s game. Paul was essential in that contest as he was his team’s best offensive player. James Harden is in a massive slump: he  has missed 20 straight 3-pointers while making only 36.8% of his shots since the first game of this series. Houston will have to rely on their defense that has held the Warriors to under 100 points in two straight games with a series of sophisticated switching techniques that has frustrated this Golden State team. The Rockets have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games after an upset win as a home underdog. Houston has also played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. And while the last three games in this series have gone Under the Total, the Rockets have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. Additionally, Houston has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog. Golden State has been lulled into exacerbating some of the bad habits they have picked on offense this year. They are attempting to execute isolation plays at triple the rate they were during the regular season which is not the egalitarian pass-oriented offense that Steve Kerr wants from this team. The Warriors clearly miss Andre Iguodala who remains listed as questionable for tonight’s game. The Warriors have seen the Under go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after a point spread loss. Golden State returns home where they have played 13 of their last 20 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 20 games when playing with same-season revenge, the Warriors have played 13 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Houston is missing a key piece of their offense while Golden State is out-of-synch on offense. Yet both these teams with Top-Ten defenses during the regular season in terms of efficiency will lean on their defensive efforts in this contest. 25* NBA Saturday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (509) and the Golden State Warriors (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (709) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (710). THE SITUATION: Boston (66-33) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 96-83 victory as a 1.5-point favorite. The series returns to Cleveland tonight with the Cavaliers (60-38) looking to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Brad Stevens has moved Aaron Baynes into his starting lineup for Marcus Morris which has made things more difficult for LeBron James to attack the basket off pick-and-rolls. The Celtics have then played 26 of their last 37 games Under the Total after allowing 90 or fewer points in their last game. Boston has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Celtics have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total as road underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, Boston has played 14 of their last 18 Game Sixes in the playoffs Under the Total. Cleveland (60-38) has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a game where no more than 185 combined points were scored. Cleveland returns home where they have played 11 of their last 15  home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Cavaliers have also played 25 of their last 39 games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Lastly, Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Under the Total when trailing in the playoffs.

FINAL TAKE: Boston shot just 36.5% from the floor on Wednesday while Cleveland made only 41.9% of their shots. Rather than those being outlier results, it looks like the adjustments by both coaches have now favored both defenses — and the public has yet to adjust to this new reality with the Total still in the 200s (and climbing as of this writing). 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (709) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (707) and the Boston Celtics (708). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (60-37) held serve at home and evened this series at 2-2 with their 111-102 win over the Celtics as a 7-point favorite. This series moves to Boston (65-33) for Game Five.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Cleveland made 50.6% of their shots on Monday which was their best offensive effort in their last four games — so they will likely see a drop in their field goal per dentate tonight. The Cavaliers have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They also have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fourth game in the last ten days. And while the Cavs have won seven of their last nine games, they have then played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Additionally, Cleveland has played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Boston allowed the Cavs to generate the highest opponent field goal percentage they have allowed in their last ten games. The Celtics have also played 5 straight games Under the Total when they have scored at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, Boston has played 32 of their last 51 games Under the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in the last 13 meetings between these two teams in Boston, the game finished Under the Total 10 times.

FINAL TAKE: This is a likely a must-win game for the Celtics which makes this is a crucial game for both sides — and that will likely make things nervy for both teams. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (707) and the Boston Celtics (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (53) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (54). THE SITUATION: Washington (61-32-7) forced a climactic Game Seven on Monday with their 3-0 shutout victory over the Lightning. This series returns to Tampa Bay (64-29-7) for Game Seven to determine the Eastern Conference champion.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: There are historical angles that provide evidence how teams respond to situations similar to the circumstances facing the two teams in question but there are also team trends that offer specific support regarding how those particular teams have responded in the past. With Washington and Tampa Bay, we have a good sample size of recent evidence suggesting a team personality regarding how they should respond tonight. The Lightning have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after getting shutout — and they have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss to their opponent. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has played 4 straight games Under the Total after suffering a loss by at least three goals. Additionally, the Lightning have played 20 of their last 28 playoff games Under the Total when tied in a playoff series. And in their last 7 Game Sevens in the NHL Playoffs, Tampa Bay has played all 7 games Under the Total. Washington has played 8 of their last 9 Game Sevens Under the Total. Furthermore, the Capitals have played 22 of their last 27 games Under the Total when attempting to closeout a playoff series — and this includes them playing six of their last seven closeout games Under the Total. Lastly, the Under is 3-1-1 in Washington’s last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice.

FINAL TAKE: The oddsmakers have finally moved the Total off of 6 down to 5.5 for this contest. Despite that move, the Under remains a strong play. 25* NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Game Seven O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (53) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (975) and the St. Louis Cardinals (976) listing both starting pitchers Jakob Junis and Michael Wacha. THE SITUATION: Kansas City (15-33) won the second game of this series last night by a 5-1 score. This three-game series concludes this afternoon in this getaway game in St. Louis (26-20).

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Royals have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. They give the ball to Junes who is 5-3 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he sports a 2.70 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and .202 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 4.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average at home. Junis also is performing better in day games where he has a 2.75 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP in three starts which all finished Under the Total. Kansas City has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Junis pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. He faces a Cardinals team that has seen the Under go 11-4-3 in their last 18 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. St. Louis has seen the Under go 6-2-2 in their last 10 games after a loss — and the Under is also 20-7-2 in their last 29 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 9-3-2 in the Cardinals’ last 14 home games. They counter with Wacha who is 5-1 with a 3.08 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in nine starts this season — and he has not allowed more than two earned runs in each of his last six starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 2.38 ERA in six starts as compared to his 4.60 ERA in three starts on the road. Last year, Wacha enjoyed a 3.41 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .259 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 4.97 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and .277 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Cardinals have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total with Wacha facing a team with a losing record. Wacha was also more effective during day games last year where he sported a 3.16 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .252 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.64 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and .275 opponent’s batting average in night games.

FINAL TAKE: Expect both starting pitchers to see success in this afternoon midweek contest. 25* MLB Getaway Game Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (975) and the St. Louis Cardinals (976) listing both starting pitchers Jakob Junis and Michael Wacha. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (911) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (912) while listing both starting pitchers Chad Bettis and Brock Stewart. THE SITUATION: Colorado (26-22) has won three of their last five games with their 2-1 victory last night in the opening game of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockies have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total off a victory — and the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Additionally, Colorado has played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. They give the ball to Bettis who is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective away from Coors Field where he has a 6.89 ERA and 1.66 WHIP as he sees those numbers drop to a 1.83 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his six starts on the road. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 games on the road. He should fare well against this Dodgers team that has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Los Angeles (20-27) has seen the Under go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. The Dodgers have also played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they scored only one run. They counter with Stewart who will be making the start for Rich Hill who was placed on the disabled list this week. Stewart is 0-0 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in 5 2/3 innings of work with the Dodgers so far this season. Stewart has 68 innings pitched in the majors with 28 of these innings at home where he has a 1.55 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .213 as compared to his 6.46 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and .324 opponent’s batting average when on the road for those remaining 40 innings. LA has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home. And Stewart will be facing a Rockies team that has seen the Under go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The respective personalities of these two teams suggest they tend to play situations like this under the number. 10* MLB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (911) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (912) while listing both starting pitchers Chad Bettis and Brock Stewart. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (505) and the Golden State Warriors (506). THE SITUATION: Golden State (68-27) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their dominating 126-85 victory over the Rockets. They stay at home to host Game Four.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Golden State shot 52.2% from the field while making 13 of their 32 (40.6%) of their shots from behind the arc — and they will likely keep their offense clicking on all cylinders for this game. They have played 34 of their last 41 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. They have also played an incredible 97 of their last 113 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while they held Houston (74-21) to just a 39.5% field goal percentage, they have played 28 of their last 30 games(!) Over the Total after not allowing more than 90 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 23 of their last 27 home games Over the Total with the number set at 220 or higher. Golden State has also played 22 of their last 28 home games when favored in the 6.5 to 12 point range. Additionally, the Warriors have played 26 of their last 35 playoff games Over the Total when leading in the series — and they have played 7 of their last 10 Game Fours in the playoffs Over the number. Houston failed to score in triple digits for the first time in these playoffs while that 39.5% field goal percentage was their lowest mark in eleven games. Even worse, their Offensive Rating of 87.9 in that game was their lowest number of the entire season. But the Rockets have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. Houston has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 10 points — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss by at least 15 points. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 29 of their last 38 games Over the Total with the number set at 220 or higher — and this includes them playing thirteen of their last eighteen games on the road with the Total set at 220 or higher. Houston has also played 19 of their last 24 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 100 points. Lastly, in their last 5 Game Fours in the playoffs, the Rockets have played 4 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Houston should play much better on offense in this game — especially with the Warriors’ Andre Iguodala now listed as doubtful for this game. Iguodala has been the primary defender on James Harden in this series. Golden State should continue to play well on offense at home as well which should result in the highest scoring game so far in this season. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (505) and the Golden State Warriors (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (915) and the Tampa Bay Rays (916) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Jake Faria. THE SITUATION: Boston (32-15) has won four of their last five games after their 5-0 win over Baltimore on Sunday. Tampa Bay (22-23) hosts this series after seeing their six-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with a 5-2 loss in Los Angeles against the Angels.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a victory. Additionally, the Red Sox have played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road. They give the ball to Sale who is 4-1 with a 2.29 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in ten starts this season. The left-hander has been a bit more effective on the road where he has a 0.83 WHIP and a .182 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 1.09 WHIP and .202 opponent’s batting average at home. The Red Sox have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total with Sale on the hill. He should pitch better against this Tampa Bay team that is scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .253 batting average, .322 On-Base Percentage and .694 OPS. Furthermore, the Under is 4-1-1 in the Ray’s last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and the Under is 3-1-2 in their last 6 games against left-handed starting pitchers. Tampa Bay has seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a loss. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. They counter with Faria who is 3-2 with a 5.20 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander is struggling on the road with an 8.14 ERA and 1.56 WHIP but he has been much better at home where he sports a 1.74 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and .187 opponent’s batting average in four starts. The Under is 5-0-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 6 home games with Faria facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Boston team that sees their team batting average drop to a .253 mark with a .307 On-Base Percentage and .725 OPS when on the road. The Red Sox have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Under is 5-1-1.

FINAL TAKE: Faria usually pitches much better at home — this could end up being a pitching duel with Sale who is a bit more effective away from Fenway Park and it’s Green Monster. 25* MLB American League East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (915) and the Tampa Bay Rays (916) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Jake Faria. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (59-37) rebounded from losing the first two games of this series in Boston (65-32) by returning home to win Game Three decisively by a 116-86 score as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Cavaliers host Game Four.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Cleveland nailed 17 of their 34 shots from behind the arc on Saturday and the evidence is quite strong that this strong play on offense will continue tonight as demonstrated by the established personality of this team. Cleveland has played a decisive 22 of their last 25 home games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Cavaliers have also played 40 of their last 47 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range — including six straight Overs. Furthermore, Cleveland has played 16 of their last 20 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying no more than 6 points. This team has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 28 Game Fours in the playoffs, the Cavs have played 20 of these games Over the Total — including eight of their last ten Game Fours. Boston has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 games after a point spread loss. The Celtics have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss on the road by double-digits. Furthermore, Boston has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 30 points. They made only 6 of their 22 (27.3%) shots from behind the arc en route to their 39.2% field goal percentage which was the worst offensive effort in their last nine games. The Celtics have played three straight Unders — but they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. Lastly, Boston has played 23 of their last 29 games Over the Total when playing with revenge — and this including them playing eight of their last nine games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The team trends for both these teams strongly suggest that both will have strong offensive efforts. Cleveland will be playing with desperation down 2-1 while the Celtics can still feel loose with home court still in hand even with a loss. 25* NBA Playoff A-List O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (9) and the Washington Nationals (10). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (64-28-3) has won the last three games in this series on Saturday with their 3-2 victory. Washington (60-32-7) returns home looking to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Capitals have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total when facing playoff elimination — they have plenty of experience in this situation. Washington has only scored two goals in each of their last three games — and they have seen the Under go 7-2-2 in their last 11 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. The Capitals have been frustrated by Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy who has a .943 save percentage in these last three games. Washington returns home where the Under is 9-3-4 in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Capitals have also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 6. Tampa Bay has scored at least three goals in each of these last three games — but they have then played 31 of their last 47 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. The Lightning have also played 25 of their last 39 road games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. Additionally, the Under is 2-0-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 4 games after a victory. Lastly, the Lightning have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a playoff series.

FINAL TAKE: The Lightning are committing themselves to block shots to help protect a confident Vasilevskiy who has definitely found the form he enjoyed in the first-half of this season. The Caps have become a defensive-first team this year who should play tight but controlled in this potential elimination game. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (9) and the Washington Nationals (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (503) and the Golden State Warriors (504). THE SITUATION: Houston (74-20) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 127-105 victory over the Warriors. The series turns to Golden State (67-27) for Game Three.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets shot 51.1% from the field on Wednesday which tied their best offensive field goal percentage over their last sixteen games. But Houston has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. The Rockets have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The first two games have seen 225 and 232 combined points — but Houston has played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after seeing at least 215 points scored in each of their last two games. Now after playing their last three games on their home court, the Rockets go on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Houston has also played 7 straight road games Under the Total after playing three straight games at home. Golden State has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 15 points — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a double-digit loss. Furthermore, the Under is 3-0-1 in the Warriors’ last 4 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread setback. This team should play better on defense after surrendering their highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last twelve games. Additionally, the Under is 3-1-1 in Golden State’s last 5 games when playing with at least three days of rest. And in their last 16 opportunities to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 100 points, the game finished Under the Total 10 times.

CONCLUSION: Look for this game to be the lowest scoring one so far in this series. 10* NBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (503) and the Golden State Warriors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.