All Sports Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
05-20-18 |
Indians v. Astros UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (927) and the Houston Astros (928) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Lance McCullers. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (22-22) won the second game of this series yesterday with their 5-4 victory over the Astros. The series concludes tonight in Houston for Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston (29-18) has seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Astros have also played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road — and they have played 22 of their last 29 games Under the Total played at night. They give then ball to McCullers who is 5-2 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 2.37 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and .212 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home as compared to his 4.36 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and .242 opponent’s batting average on the road. Houston has played 10 of their last 13 home games Under the Total with McCullers facing a team with a losing record. He faces an Indians team that has seen the Under go 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Cleveland stranded three baserunners last night — and they have then played 16 of their last 26 games Under the Total after stranded three or fewer runners in their last game. The Indians have also played a decisive 47 of their last 38 road games Under the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price range. They counter with Carrasco who is 5-2 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in nine starts. The right-hander has been very tough on the road where he sports a 2.78 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and .211 opponent’s batting average in five starts as compared to his 5.01 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average in four starts at home. The Under is 11-4-1 in the Indians’ last 16 road games with Carrasco on the mound. He faces an Astros team that has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and the Under is 19-7-1 in Houston’s last 27 games against right-handed starting pitchers.
CONCLUSION: Expect a pitcher’s duel between Carrasco and McCullers. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (927) and the Houston Astros (928) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Lance McCullers. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-20-18 |
Golden Knights v. Jets UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 3:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (7) and the Winnipeg Jets (8). THE SITUATION: Vegas (54-30-7) seized a 3-1 lead in this series on Friday with their 3-2 victory over the Jets. This series returns to Winnipeg (61-26-11) for Game Five.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Both these teams are 8-1 if their score first in these playoffs — so not surrendering the first goal will be a priority for both teams. The Jets have only scored five goals in their last three games as goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has stymied them with a 1.67 Goals-Against-Average and a .951 save percentage in the last three games of this series which the Golden Knights have won. Winnipeg has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. And while the Jets lost Game Three of this series by a 4-3 score, they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge two straight loss to their opponent who scored at least three goals in both those victories. Winnipeg returns home where they are allowing only 2.25 Goals-Per-Game in eight postseason games — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. Vegas has seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games following a win — and they have played 15 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. The Golden Knights are allowing only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game in their seven playoff games away from home. The Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games on the road. And in their last 6 playoff games when leading in the series, Vegas has played 5 of these games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: Winnipeg has made too many mistakes which have created scoring opportunities for Vegas. The Golden Knights should remain patient this afternoon while the Jets play cautiously to stop their miscues. 25* NHL Conference Finals NBC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (7) and the Winnipeg Jets (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-18 |
Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 207 |
|
86-116 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (703) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (704). THE SITUATION: Boston (65-31) held serve on their home court by winning Game Two of this series on Tuesday with their 107-94 victory as a 1-point favorite. Cleveland (58-37) returns home down 0-2 in this series in what appears to be a must-win situation.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers return home where they have played 6 straight games Under the Total. Cleveland has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss and after a point spread defeat. For their part, Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Celtics have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points. Now this team goes back on the road for the first time since May 7th where they lost to the 76ers by 11 points while shooting only 41.3% from the field. The Celtics have shot better than 41.4% from the field just once on the road in these playoffs. Boston has played 8 of their last 12 road games Under the Total as an underdog of 6 points or less.
CONCLUSION: The Celtics are not likely to shoot on the road while the Cavaliers typically play Unders after enduring games like they played on Tuesday. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Boston Celtics (703) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-18 |
Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 6 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (5) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (6). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (60-31-7) evened this series at 2-2 on Thursday with their 4-2 victory over the Capitals. This series moves to Washington (60-31-7) for this critical fifth game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning won both their gams in Washington by 4-2 scores — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after winning two straight games on the road by at least two goals. The Under is also now 4-1-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 27 games when leading in a playoff series, the Lightning have played 19 of these games Under the Total. The Capitals have played 16 of their last 27 games Under the Total when a playoff series is tied. Washington has also played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total in Game Five of a playoff series. And in their last 10 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game, the Under is 6-2-2.
CONCLUSION: Expect this to be a lower scoring game at this critical juncture with the series tied 2-2. 10* NHL Washington-Tampa Bay O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (5) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-18-18 |
Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
105 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (61) and the Vegas Golden Knights (62). THE SITUATION: Vegas (53-20-7) seized a 2-1 lead in this series with their 4-2 win over the Jets on Wednesday. They host Game Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Winnipeg (61-25-11) has only scored four goals over the last 112:25 minutes of this series after racing out to a 3-0 lead in the opening 7:35 minutes at home in the first game of this series. The Jets have now played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have also played 16 of their last 23 road games Under the Total off a loss on the road. Furthermore, Winnipeg has played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss by at least two goals. And in their last 9 road games when playing with at least double-revenge on their minds, they have played 8 of these games Under the Total. Vegas (53-30-7) has only allowed ten goals in their six home playoff games this postseason. Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has a .949 save percentage at even strength in this series against Winnipeg while posting a .955 save percentage by stopping 63 of the 66 shots he has faced over the last two games. The Golden Knights won Game Two of this series by a 3-1 score — and they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by at least two goals. Vegas has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when leading in a playoff series.
CONCLUSION: This should be a tight, low-scoring contest. 10* NHL Winnipeg-Vegas O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (61) and the Vegas Golden Knights (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-18-18 |
Marlins v. Braves OVER 9 |
|
2-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (909) and the Atlanta Braves (910) listing both starting pitchers Dan Straily and Sean Newcomb. THE SITUATION: Miami (16-26) begins this series coming off a 7-0 loss to the Dodgers yesterday. Atlanta (26-16) comes off a 5-1 win over the Cubs on Wednesday and stay home to host this NL East series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Marlins managed only four hits in their last game — and they have played 9 straight games Over the Total after not managing at least five hits in their last contest. Miami has also played 28 of their last 40 games Over the Total on the road after a loss by at least four goals. Additionally, the Marlins have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total as a road dog priced at least at +150 — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Straily who is 1-0 with a 5.54 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP in three starts this season. Last year, the right-hander had a 4.95 ERA with a .259 opponent’s batting average on the road which was worse than their 3.57 ERA and .254 opponent’s batting average at home. The Over is 3-1-1 in Miami’s last 5 road games with Straily on the mound. The Over is 8-1-3 in the Marlins’ last 12 games with Straily facing a fellow NL East opponent. He faces a Braves team that is scoring 5.4 Runs-Per-Game who have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Atlanta has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when favored priced at -110 or higher. The Braves have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. They counter with Newcomb who is 4-1 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in eight starts this season. The left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 6.10 ERA along with a 1.74 WHIP and .289 opponent’s batting average in two starts as compared to his 1.49 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .164 opponent’s batting average on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Newcomb had a 3.89 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and .229 opponent’s batting average on the road but he saw those numbers rise to a 4.57 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, and .278 opponent’s batting average when at home. He faces an improving Marlins lineup that is scoring 4.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests — and they have played 4 straight road games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.
CONCLUSION: Both these starting pitchers will likely struggle tonight in the hitter-friendly Sun Trust Park in Atlanta. 10* MLB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (909) and the Atlanta Braves (910) listing both starting pitchers Dan Straily and Sean Newcomb. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-18-18 |
Padres v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
105 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (903) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (904) listing both starting pitchers Tyson Ross and Ivan Nova. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (26-17) won the opening game of this series last night by a 5-4 score.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pirates have won eight of their last nine games — and they have played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Pittsburgh has also played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total in the second game of a series. The Pirates have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They give the ball to Nova who is 2-3 with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 4.26 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average in three starts as compared to his 5.46 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and .306 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. Pittsburgh has played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total with Nova pitching at home. He faces a Padres team that has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. San Diego (17-28) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 5-1-1 in the Padres’ last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home — and they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range. They counter with Ross who is 2-2 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in eight starts this season. The left-hander has been better on the road in four starts where he has a 1.06 WHIP and .184 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.25 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average at home. Ross’ teams have played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road.
CONCLUSION: The sabermetrics for both these starting pitchers suggest they are undervalued given the Ross and Nova’s respective xFIP’s of 3.38 and 3.85. The value is with the Under. 10* MLB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (903) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (904) listing both starting pitchers Tyson Ross and Ivan Nova. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-17-18 |
Tigers v. Mariners OVER 8 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-107 |
2 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (967) and the Seattle Mariners (968) listing both starting pitchers Matthew Boyd and Marco Gonzales. THE SITUATION: Detroit (19-23) saw their three-game winning streak snapped yesterday with their 6-0 loss to the Indians. Seattle (24-18) enter this game coming off a 5-1 win over the Rangers yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mariners are swing hot bats right now as they are scoring 5.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .281 batting average along with a .341 On-Base Percentage and .779 OPS over that span. Seattle has played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. They stay at home where the Over is 27-9-1 in their last 37 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Mariners have also played 15 of their last 17 games Over the Total at home as a favorite priced in the -175 to -250 range. They give the ball to Gonzales who is 3-3 with a 5.31 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in eight starts this season. The left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 7.07 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and .333 opponent’s batting average in three starts. Seattle has played 5 straight home games Over the Total with Gonzales on the mound. He faces this Tigers team that is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers while posting a .314 batting average with a .357 On-Base Percentage and an .840 OPS. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Over is also 4-1-1 in the Tigers’ last 6 games against teams that allowed at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Boyd who is 2-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in seven starts this season. The lefty has struggled on the road where he has a 4.58 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and .246 opponent’s batting average in three starts as compared to his 2.22 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and .186 opponent’s batting average in four home starts. Boyd faced this Mariners team in his last start where he allowed three earned runs in 6 innings of work — but the Tigers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with Boyd looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Mariners team that has played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or less.
CONCLUSION: Both lineups should be comfortable tonight — expect plenty of runs. 10* MLB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (967) and the Seattle Mariners (968) listing both starting pitchers Matthew Boyd and Marco Gonzales. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-17-18 |
Lightning v. Capitals OVER 6 |
|
4-2 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (59) and the Washington Capitals (60). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (63-27-3) won their first game of this series on Tuesday with their 4-2 victory over the Capitals in Washington. They look to even this series at 2-2 tonight in Game Four of this series again in the nation’s capital.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lightning have seen the Over go 23-9-1 in their last 33 games after a victory. The Over is also 11-3-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 15 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Lightning are feeling very confident with their Power Play after scoring two more goals with the man advantage on Tuesday — they are 5 of 12 (40%) on the Power Play in this series. They are also averaging 3.4 Goals-Per-Game on the road in the playoffs while scoring four goals in each of their last three playoff road games. The Over is 17-6-3 in Tampa Bay’s last 26 games on the road. They should once again to play very aggressively tonight needing to win this game to even the series as they have 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total when trailing in a playoff series. Washington (59-31-7) has seen the Over go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games when playing with one day of rest. They are scoring 3.57 Goals-Per-Game in their seven playoff games on their home ice— but they are also allowing 3.29 Goals-Per-Game in these seven home game. The Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games at home. Lastly, the Over is 20-7-3 in the last 30 meetings between these two teams.
CONCLUSION: With the Capitals looking to bounce-back from their fourth loss at home in these playoffs while the Lightning need to once again win on the road to even this series at 2-2, this should be a high scoring contest. 20* NHL Tampa Bay-Washington O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (59) and the Washington Capitals (60). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-16-18 |
A's v. Red Sox OVER 8 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
105 |
2 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (915) and the Boston Red Sox (916) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Cahill and Chris Sale. THE SITUATION: Oakland (21-21) won the second game of this series last night with their 5-3 victory in Boston.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The A’s have played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Oakland has also played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total as a big underdog priced in the +175 to +200 price range. They send out Cahill who is coming off the 10-day disabled list exactly ten days after going on the DL — and his teams have played 4 straight games Over the Total when he was pitching with at least ten days between starts. The right-hander has a 1-1 record with a 2.25 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in four starts — but he has a 4.91 ERA in two starts on the road while not yet allowing an earned run in his two starts at home. Last year, Cahill had an awful 7.07 ERA with a 1.97 WHIP and .320 opponent’s batting average when pitching on the road in his stints with Kansas City and San Diego. The Over is 3-0-1 in Cahill’s last 4 road starts. He faces a strong hitting team in Fenway Park as Boston is scoring 6.5 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .287 batting average along with a .804 OPS. The Over is 9-3-1 in the Red Sox’s last 13 home games against teams against a right-handed starting pitcher. Boston (28-14) has played 12 of their last 17 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Red Sox have also played 6 of their last 9 home games with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. They counter with Sale who is 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP in nine starts this season. The left-hander has not been as effective at home with the Green Monster looming in left-field with his 1.06 WHIP and .224 opponent’s batting average in three starts as compared to his 0.83 WHIP and .182 opponent’s batting average on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Sale had a 2.17 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and .203 opponent’s batting average on the road with those numbers all rising to a 3.16 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and .215 opponent’s batting average at home. Boston has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Sale on the hill. Lastly, the Over is 26-8-2 in the A’s last 36 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.
CONCLUSION: The Red Sox should pound Cahill while Sale should give up a few runs on his end of things. 25* MLB American League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (915) and the Boston Red Sox (916) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Cahill and Chris Sale. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-18 |
Cavs v. Celtics OVER 202.5 |
Top |
94-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (701) and the Boston Celtics (702). THE SITUATION: Boston (64-31) was dominant on Sunday as they crushed the Cavaliers in the opening game of the Eastern Conference Finals by a 108-83 score as a 1-point underdog. The Celtics host Game Two.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers were dreadful on offense in this game as they made only 4 of their 26 (15.4%) of their 3-point shots while shooting just 36% from the field. That was their worst field goal percentage in their last 44 games. Cleveland has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Cavs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Furthermore, Cleveland has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging a loss that was by at least 20 points. Boston (64-31) is not likely to play as well on defense in this contest when considering that the Cavs’ 36% field goal percentage was their lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 43 contests. The Celtics have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win by at least 15 points. And in their last 12 games at home in TD Garden, Boston has played 10 of these games Over the Total.
CONCLUSION: This should be a close game which will drive the combined score over the number. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (701) and the Boston Celtics (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-18 |
Lightning v. Capitals UNDER 6 |
|
4-2 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (1) and the Washington Capitals (2). THE SITUATION: Washington (62-27-3) returns home with a commanding 2-0 lead in this series after their 6-2 win over the Lightning on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Capitals have won four straight games this postseason — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after being unbeaten by four straight games. Now this team returns home where the Under is 9-3-2 in their last 14 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Washington has been stifling with their 1-1-3 zone defense that has frustrated this Lightning team. The Capitals have surrendered one goal in this series when playing at even strength against Tampa Bay. Furthermore, Washington has played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Tampa Bay (62-27-3) have seen the Under go 4-0-2 in their last 6 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Lightning have also played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay defense should play better tonight as they have allowed only five combined goals over their last three road games in these playoffs. And in their last 13 games when avenging a loss by at least four goals, the Lightning have played 8 of these games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: In this crucial contest for the Lightning, expect them to tighten things up on defense in what should be a low-scoring game. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-Washington O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (1) and the Washington Capitals (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-18 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 225 |
|
119-106 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (731) and the Houston Rockets (732). THE SITUATION: Golden State (66-26) enters the Western Conference Finals having won five of their last six games with their 113-104 win over New Orleans last Tuesday that ended that five-game series. Houston (73-19) also closed out their five-game series with Utah on Tuesday with a 112-102 victory as a 12-point favorite. The Rockets host the first two games in this series as their reward to having the best record in the NBA.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games after a victory where they did not cover the point spread. The Rockets have also played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total games after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. They have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 11 of their last 18 home games Under the Total with the number set at 220 or higher. The Rockets have also played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Golden State (66-26) has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and the Under is also 21-8-1 in their last 30 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. And while the Warriors have launched at least 91 shots in five straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. Additionally, Golden State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when on the road. Furthermore, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Houston, the game finished Under the Total 5 times.
CONCLUSION: Expect a lower-scoring game between these two teams after five days off. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (731) and the Houston Rockets (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-18 |
Mariners v. Twins OVER 9.5 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (915) and the Minnesota Twins (916) listing both starting pitchers Wade LeBlanc and Jake Odorizzi. THE SITUATION: Seattle (22-17) enters this game coming off a 5-4 loss in Detroit yesterday. Minnesota (17-19) returns home after a 2-1 loss in Los Angeles to the Dodgers.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mariners have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road. The Over is also 11-5-2 in Seattle’s last 18 games on the road against teams with a losing record at home. They give the ball to LeBlanc who is 0-0 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in one start and 22 2/3 innings of work overall. The sabermetrics call for regression with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.94 and 4.47 moving forward. The left-hander struggled on the road last year with a 5.04 ERA along with a 1.35 WHIP. LeBlanc’s teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when he is making the start on grass. He faces a Twins team that has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss. They have also played 4 straight Overs after failing to score more than two runs in their last game — and the Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. They return home for the first time since May 2nd — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. They counter with Odorizzi who is 3-2 with a 3.83 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP in eight starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 1.41 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average in three home starts as compared to his 1.26 WHIP and .217 opponent’s batting average in five starts on the road. With a SIERA and xFIP of 4.96 and 5.18 respectively, the sabermetrics predict regression. He faces a Mariners team that has seen the Over go 20-7-2 in their last 29 games against right-handed starting pitchers — including five of their last six road games against right-handed starters.
CONCLUSION: With two subpar starting pitchers, expect a higher-scoring game between these two teams that tends to see Overs in situations like this. 10* MLB Over/Under Sabermetrics Special with Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (915) and the Minnesota Twins (916) listing both starting pitchers Wade LeBlanc and Jake Odorizzi. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-18 |
Capitals v. Lightning OVER 6 |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
112 |
1 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (55) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (56). THE S|TUATION: Washington (58-30-7) raced out to a 4-0 lead in the first 26:42 minutes of this game and held on to win the opening game of this series by a 4-2 score. Tampa Bay (62-26-3) hosts Game Two desperate to win this game to even this series at 1-1 before the Capitals host Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Washington has played 20 of their last 32 games Over the Total after a win by at least two goals. This win came after they defeated the Penguins by a 2-1 score to win that series in six games. The Capitals have played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after winning two straight. The Over is also 21-7-2 in Washington’s last 30 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after allowing two goals or less in two straight games. Washington is clicking on the road in these playoffs where they are 6-1 this postseason while averaging 3.4 Goals-Per-Game. The Capitals are executing with their Power Play opportunities — they are tops in the Playoffs with 15 Power Play goals and enjoy a strong 32.5% success rate in this postseason. They have also scored a Power Play goal in eleven of their last thirteen games. The Lightning are struggling with their Power Play Kill Unit as they have allowed 10 Power Play goals this postseason on 35 short-handed situations — that 71.4% kill rate is worst of all Playoff teams that advanced past the first round. Even worse, Tampa Bay has allowed seven Power Plays in 16 kill situations for an ugly 56.3% success rate. The Lightning should come out fast and aggressive after their slow start on Friday. Tampa Bay has played 22 of their last 32 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in five days. The Lightning have also seen the Over is 14-5-3 in their last 22 games against opponents that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. Lastly, the Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 encounters between these two teams when playing in Tampa Bay.
CONCLUSION: This second game shapes up to be a scoring fest between these two teams with potent offenses. 20* NHL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (55) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-18 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 205 |
|
83-108 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (733) and the Boston Celtics (734). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (58-35) takes the court again after sweeping Toronto in four-games after their 128-93 victory on Monday. Boston (63-31) dispatched of the 76ers in five games with their 114-112 win on Wednesday — they host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. They made 12 of their 26 shots (46.2%) from behind the arc on Monday en route to them shooting 59.5% from the field which was tied for the best offensive performance in their last twenty-two games so regression is highly likely. The Cavaliers have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Furthermore, while Cleveland has won seven of their last eight games, they have then played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Boston has played a decisive 33 of their last 54 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. They allowed the Sixers to make 48.8% of their shots on Wednesday which was their highest opponent field goal percentage in their last six games. Moving forward, the Celtics have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing at home when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Boston is looking to avenge a 121-99 upset loss at home to the Cavs on February 11th — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite which included three straight Unders when that loss was by double-digits. Lastly, in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in Boston’s TD Garden, the game finished Under the Total 8 times.
CONCLUSION: Expect both teams to be a bit rusty shooting the basketball given the extended time off. 10* NBA Cleveland-Boston ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (733) and the Boston Celtics (734). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-18 |
Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 11 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (909) and the Colorado Rockies (910) listing both starting pitchers Brent Suter and Kyle Freeland. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (23-16) pulled out an 11-10 victory in 10 innings last night. The Brewers had planned to use Chase Anderson as their starting pitcher tonight but his illness has them using Suter a day earlier than planned.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 36-15-1 in Milwaukee’s last 52 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Brewers have also played 23 of their last 30 games Under the Total on the road against teams with a winning record. Milwaukee has also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total as the underdog. Suter is 2-2 with a 4.86 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been better on the road where he has a 3.52 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and .241 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 5.82 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and .308 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home. The Brewers have played their last 5 games Under the Total with Suter facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Rockies team that has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Colorado (21-18) has seen the Under go 37-15-1 in their last 53 games after a loss — and the Under is also 15-6-1 in their last 22 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Rockies have also played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total at home at Coors Field. They counter with Freeland who is 2-4 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been better in his two starts at home where he enjoys a 2.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Colorado has played 15 of their last 18 home games Under the Total with Freeland on the hill. Lastly, in the last 9 meetings between these two teams in Colorado, the game finished Under the Total 7 times.
CONCLUSION: Despite the pitching change to Suter, this game should be another low-scoring game between these two teams. 10* MLB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (909) and the Colorado Rockies (910) listing both starting pitchers Brent Suter and Kyle Freeland. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-18 |
Golden Knights v. Jets UNDER 6 |
|
2-4 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (21) and the Winnipeg Jets (22). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (60-23-11) advanced to the Western Conference Finals by defeating the Predators in Nashville on Thursday by a 5-1 score in the seventh game of that series. Vegas (51-29-7) takes the ice again after disposing of San Jose in six games with their 3-0 win last Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Vegas has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after allowing one goal or less in their last game. Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury has been spectacular in these playoffs with a 1.53 Goals-Against-Average with a .951 save percentage with four shutouts — and he has a .958 save percentage at even strength which is the top mark in the NHL Playoffs since 1998. The Under is 12-5-1 in the Golden Knights’ last 18 games after a win — and the Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Vegas skaters may be a bit rusty after not playing since last Sunday — they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Golden Knights have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Winnipeg has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win — they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Jets have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on their home ice.
CONCLUSION: Expect a low-scoring game between these two teams as they play cautiously in this opening game of this series. 10* NHL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (21) and the Winnipeg Jets (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-18 |
Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 4:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (901) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (902) listing both starting pitchers Stephen Strasburg and Troy Scribner. THE SITUATION: Washington (22-18) has won the first two games of this series — as well as five of their last six contests — with their 3-1 win over the Diamondbacks yesterday. Game Three goes this afternoon as a nationally televised affair on Fox Sports 1.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL. The Nationals have seen the Under go 33-16-2 in their last 51 games after a victory. And while Washington has not allowed more than two runs in four straight games, they have then seen the Under go 17-6-3 in their last 26 games after allowing two runs or less in three straight games. They give the ball to Strasburg who is 4-3 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in eight starts this season. The right-hander has seen his ERA drop to a 2.66 mark in three starts on the road and that is consistent with last season where he had a 2.26 ERA on the road versus a 2.75 ERA at home. The Nationals have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total with Strasburg on the mound. He should fare very well against this struggling Arizona (24-14) lineup that is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .191 batting average, .265 On-Base Percentage and a .592 OPS over that span. The Diamondbacks have played 5 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The Under is 4-0-1 in Arizona’s last 5 games after a loss — and the Under is now 18-7-2 in the Diamondbacks’ last 27 games at home. They counter with Troy Scribner who was called up from Triple-A to make this start. The right-hander pitched 23 1/3 innings in the big leagues last year where he had a 2-1 record with a 4.18 ERA and 1.14 WHIP — and he was a bit more effective at home where he made four starts for Arizona posting a 4.08 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .175. He faces a Washington team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .219 batting average, .299 On-Base Percentage and .663 OPS over that span. Lastly, the Under is 24-11-3 in the Nationals’ last 38 road games against a right-handed starting pitcher . Together, these team trends produce our specific 141-59-16 combined angle for this situation.
CONCLUSION: Expect another low-scoring between these two teams wielding cold bats. 10* MLB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (901) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (902) listing both starting pitchers Stephen Strasburg and Troy Scribner. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-11-18 |
Twins v. Angels OVER 7.5 |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (977) and the Los Angeles Angels (978) listing both starting pitchers Lance Lynn and Tyler Skaggs. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (15-18) saw their five-game winning streak snapped yesterday with their 7-4 loss in the opening game of this series. Los Angeles (23-14) has won their last two games as well as seven of their last nine entering Game Two of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Twins have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Over is 10-1-1 in Minnesota’s last 12 road games against teams with a losing record on the road. They send out Lynn who is 1-3 with a 7.28 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in six starts this season. The transition to the American League has been tough on the right-hander — and he has particularly struggled on the road where he has been saddled with an 8.24 ERA, 1.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .321. Lynn has seen his last 4 starts on the road finish Over the Total. He faces an Angels team that has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 second games to a series Over the Total. The Angels have also played 12 of their last 15 home games Over the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. Los Angeles has also played 34 of their last 52 games Over the Total when a favorite priced in the -125 to -175 price range. They counter with Skaggs who is 3-2 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in seven starts this season. The lefty has not been as good at home where he has a 6.28 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in three starts as compared to his 1.14 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in four road starts. The Angels have played 5 of their last 7 home games with Skaggs on the hill Over the Total. And in the Twins’ last 6 road games against left-handed starting pitchers, the Over is 4-1-1. Together, these team trends produce our specific 94-33-2 combined angle for this situation.
CONCLUSION: The Total opened at 8.5 but has dropped to 7.5 in most spots which makes this Over play offer us some nice value. 20* MLB Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (977) and the Los Angeles Angels (978) listing both starting pitchers Lance Lynn and Tyler Skaggs. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-11-18 |
Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 6 |
|
4-2 |
Push |
0 |
0 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (23) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (24). THE SITUATION: Washington (57-30-7) overcame their demons by finally defeating the Pittsburgh Penguins in the Eastern Conference Semifinals in six games with their 2-1 win in overtime in Pittsburgh on Monday. Tampa Bay (62-25-3) reached the Eastern Conference Finals by disposing of the Boston Bruins in five games with a 3-1 win last Sunday. The Lightning host Game One.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Tampa Bay enters this series having won eight of their last ten games — and they have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after winning at least eight of their last ten games. And while the Lightning have scored at least three goals in their last four games, they have then played 31 of their last 47 home games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. They are getting good play from their blue line and from goaltender Andrei Vasilevkiy. Tampa Bay has allowed only seven combined goals over their last four games and the Russian goalie has overcome his second-half slump by posting a 2.24 Goals-Against-Average so far in these playoffs. The Under is 4-1-2 in the Lightning’s last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Tampa Bay has also played 12 of their 20 opening games to a new series Under the Total. Washington has played 17 of their last 24 opening games to a new playoff series Under the Total. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less in their last game — and they have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a one-goal victory over a Metropolitan Division rival in their last game. This team may have to play this game undermanned with their second-line center Nicklas Backstrom a game-time decision with his injured right hand. Lastly, the Capitals have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road with the number set at 6 or higher.
CONCLUSION: Expect both teams to feel each other out tonight with a bit of caution. 10* NHL Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (23) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-10-18 |
Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (907) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (908) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Zack Greinke. THE SITUATION: Washington (20-18) snapped their two-game losing streak yesterday with a 2-1 win in San Diego. Arizona (24-12) looks to bounce-back from a 6-3 loss in Los Angeles to the Dodgers.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nationals have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss — and the Under is 23-11-2 in their last 36 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. The Under is also 6-1-1 in Washington’s last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They give the ball to Roark who is 2-3 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in seven starts this season. The right-hander has been better on the road with a 3.15 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and .171 opponent’s batting average in three starts as compared to his 4.07 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .227 opponent’s batting average in four starts at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where he had a 4.26 ERA and .241 opponent’s batting average on the road versus a 5.04 ERA and .265 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Nationals’ last 9 road games with Roark on the mound. He should pitch well against this Diamondbacks team that has played 7 of their last 8 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Arizona has seen the Under go 15-5-2 in their last 22 games at home. And while the Diamondbacks have not committed an error in two straight games — as well as six of their last seven — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total after not committing an error in two straight games. They counter with Greinke who is 3-2 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in seven starts this season. The right-hander has been very tough at home where he enjoys a 1.85 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and .191 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 7.27 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and .324 opponent’ batting average. These splits are consistent with last season where he had a 2.87 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and .209 opponent’s batting average at home versus a 3.65 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .256 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Diamondbacks have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Greinke on the hill. Together, these team trends produce our specific 77-24-7 combined angle for this situation.
CONCLUSION: Expect a pitcher’s duel. 10* MLB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Washington Nationals (907) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (908) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Zack Greinke. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-10-18 |
Jets v. Predators UNDER 5.5 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (53) and the Nashville Predators (54). THE SITUATION: Nashville (60-22-4) forced a climactic Game Seven in this series with their 4-0 win over the Jets in Winnipeg on Monday. They host Game Seven back at Bridgestone Arena.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This should be a low-scoring game with both teams playing cautiously to avoid letting the first goal scored. The team that allows the first goal in Game Seven of the Stanley Cup Playoffs are just 44-126 for a rough .259 winning percentage. Furthermore, the team that allowed the first goal in this series has lost five of these six games. Winnipeg (59-23-11) has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least four goals to a division rival. Additionally, the Jets have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least four goals — and they have also played 25 of their last 37 games on the road when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. Winnipeg has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Nashville has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win over a divisional rival. The Predators have also played 11 of their last 13 home games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least three goals. And in Nashville’s last 6 opportunities to close out a playoff series, they have played 5 of these games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: With both teams playing cautiously to not make a mistake to allow the first goal, expect a tight, low-scoring game. 10* NHL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (53) and the Nashville Predators (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-18 |
76ers v. Celtics UNDER 205 |
|
112-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (711) and the Boston Celtics (712). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (57-34) staved off elimination on Monday by defeating the Celtics by a 103-92 score to make this a 3-1 series. Boston (62-31) returns home to host Game Five at TD Garden with the opportunity to close things out.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have still won four of their last five games after their loss on Monday — and they have played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Boston has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after facing an Atlantic Division rival in their last game. The Celtics have been called for 5 and 6 more personal fouls in each of the last two games in this series — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being called for at least five more personal fouls in each of their last two games. Moving forward, Boston has played 4 of their last 6 playoff games Under the Total with the possibility of closing the series out. The Celtics have also played 30 of their last 48 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes playing seven of these last nine situations Under the Total. Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after facing an Atlantic Divisional rival in their previous two games. And while the Sixers have launched 94 and 97 shots in their last two games, they have then played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after taking at least 90 shots in their last two contests. Lastly, Philly has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest.
CONCLUSION: The move to insert T.J. McDonnell into the starting lineup made things more difficult for the Celtics’ T.J. Rozier on offense — but it is hard to expect McDonnell to score 19 points again like he did on Monday when now playing in Boston with Brad Stevens making defensive adjustments to McDonnell playing in a smaller lineup along with Ben Simmons. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (711) and the Boston Celtics (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-18 |
Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 208.5 |
|
102-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (505) and the Houston Rockets (506). THE SITUATION: THE SITUATION: Houston (72-19) has now won five of their last six games after taking a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their 100-87 victory in Salt Lake City as a 6-point favorite. The Rockets return home looking to close out this series in five games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston has won five of their last six games — and they have then played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total after winning at least three of their last four games. The Rockets have also played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Now, this returns home where they have played 14 of their last 19 games — and they have also played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Houston has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. And in their last 17 opportunities to close out a playoff game, the Rockets have played 13 of these games Under the Total. Utah (53-39) has played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Jazz have trailed by 30 and 10 points at halftime of the last two games in this series, they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after trailing by at least 10 points in each of their last two games. Additionally, Utah has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to score at least 90 points in their last game. Injuries have hit this team with Ricky Rubio and now Dante Exum out for them in their backcourt. Over their last two games, they are shooting just 40% from the field while making only 31% of their 3-pointers which does not bode well for their offensive chances tonight against this Rockets team that is second in these playoffs in Defensive Efficiency. The Jazz have played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 22 playoff games when facing elimination, Utah has played 15 of these contests Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: Utah will need to slow the pace of this game down to stay competitive given their struggles on offense. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (505) and the Houston Rockets (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-18 |
Predators v. Jets UNDER 6 |
|
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (3) and the Winnipeg Jets (4). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (59-23-11) has the opportunity to close this series out in six games after they defeated the Predators in Nashville on Saturday with their 6-2 victory. The Jets host Game Six in Winnipeg.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Nashville (59-22-4) will replicate their game plan in Game Four of this series in which they won by a 2-1 score in Winnipeg. The Predators were successful in focusing on defense in that contest. The Under is 11-1-1 in Nashville’s last 13 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against an opponent that scored at least five goals in their last game. Additionally, the Predators have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total on the road after a loss to a Central Division rival. Moving forward, Nashville has played 11 of their last 17 road games Under the Total with the number installed at 6 or higher. And in their last 14 games in the playoffs facing elimination, the Predators have played 9 of these games Under the Total — including three of these last four situations. Winnipeg has played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after scoring at least six goals in their last game. The Jets have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least three goals. And in their last 7 games on their home ice, the Jets have played 6 of these games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: Expect a lower-scoring game similar in style to the fourth game in this series that the Predators won by a 2-1 score. 20* NHL Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (3) and the Winnipeg Jets (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-18 |
Raptors v. Cavs OVER 214 |
Top |
93-128 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (57-35) has taken a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 105-103 victory as a 4.5-point favorite over the Raptors. They host Game Four with the opportunity to close this series out.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers raced out to a 55-40 lead at halftime on Saturday before holding on for that victory. Cleveland has then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after leading at halftime by at least 15 points in their last game. The Cavaliers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Cleveland has won four straight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last six games. The Cavs have played 26 of their last 38 home games Over the Total after only covering the point spread once or twice in their last six games. Cleveland has also played 6 of their last 9 playoff games Over the Total when playing with the possibility of closing out the series with a win. Toronto (63-28) has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by 3 points or less. Additionally, the Raptors have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total as a road underdog of 6 points or less. Toronto has played has lost five games in a row to the Cavaliers going back to the regular season. The Raptors have then played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when facing an opponent that they have lost to at least four times in a row. Lastly, Toronto has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total in the playoffs when facing elimination.
CONCLUSION: Expect a high-scoring game with the Raptors playing like they did in the second-half where they scored 63 points with the pressure off after digging a likely insurmountable hole in this series. 25* NBA 2nd Round Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-18 |
Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). THE SITUATION: Washington (56-30-7) has the opportunity to finally defeat the Penguins in the playoffs after seizing a 3-2 lead in this series on Saturday with their 6-3 victory. The two-time defending Stanley Cup Champions return home to Pittsburgh where to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Pittsburgh (54-33-6) has lost three of their last four games — but they have won their last four games when facing the possibility of playoff elimination. Expect goalie Matt Murray and this entire Penguins team to play very tough — particularly on defense. Pittsburgh has played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total when trailing in the playoffs. Additionally, the Under is 6-1-1 in the Penguins’ last 8 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Pittsburgh has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least six goals in their last contest. Washington has played a decisive 21 of their last 26 games Under the Total when having the possibility to close out a playoff series — and this includes playing five of these last six situations Under the Total. The Capitals have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when leading in a playoffs series. The team may be without Nicklas Backstrom who is a game-time decision tonight as he deals with an upper-body injury. Backstrom is tied for second on the team with 13 points in these playoffs with three goals and ten assists playing mostly with Alex Ovechkin. Ovechkin has already lost Tom Wilson on his line due to his three-game suspension that concludes tonight — so more disruption to that chemistry will not help the Capitals offensive designs. Furthermore, Washington has allowed three goals in the last three games of this series — and they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in three straight games.
CONCLUSION: Expect a tight, low-scoring game. 25* NHL 2nd Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-18 |
Warriors v. Pelicans OVER 231 |
Top |
118-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (705) and the New Orleans Pelicans (706). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (53-36) made this a series on Friday by crushing the Warriors by a 119-100 score as a 4.5-point underdog. They host Game Four in the Big Easy.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Golden State (64-26) should bounce-back with a much better effort after being pretty lethargic with the comfort of their 2-0 lead in this series. The Warriors shot just 38% from the field which was the worst offensive effort in their last four games — and they made just 9 of their 31 (29.0%) of their 3-point shots. Golden State has played 18 of their last 20 games Over the Total after an upset loss. The Warriors’ 26 free throws in Game Three were 14 more opportunities at the charity stripe — and they have played 24 of their last 33 games Over the Total after attempting at least 10 more free throws than their opponent in their last game. Golden State has also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. Moving forward, the Warriors have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when not playing more than their fifth game in fourteen days. Golden State has played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range — and they have also played 31 of their last 47 games Over the Total as a road favorite laying no more than 6 points. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 30 of their last 38 games Over the Total with the number at the lofty 230 or higher point range — and this includes them playing thirteen of their last eighteen games Over the Total when on the road. New Orleans (53-36) has played 4 straight home games Over the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher. They have also played 21 of their last 27 home games Over the Total after a double-digit win. And in the Pelicans’ last 13 games after a win by at least 15 points, they have played 10 of these games Over the Total.
CONCLUSION: New Orleans should continue to feed off the energy of their crowd — which is why I am passing on the side play with the Pelicans being a home dog (though I lean to the Warriors). This is an instance where just taking the Over seems prudent. 25* NBA 2nd Round ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (705) and the New Orleans Pelicans (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-18 |
Bruins v. Lightning UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 3:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (63) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (64). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (61-25-3) has won three straight games in this series to seize a commanding 3-1 lead with their 4-3 victory over the Bruins on Friday. They return home with the opportunity to close out this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Expect the Bruins (58-26-9) to tighten things up on defense as they look to grind out a low-scoring victory and extend this series back to Boston. Boston has played 10 of the lsat 15 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal. Boston has also played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Additionally, the Bruins have played 14 of their last 17 road gams Under the Total after a loss to an Atlantic Division rival. Now Boston goes back on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games with the Total set at 6 or higher. The Under is also 8-3-1 in the Bruins’ last 12 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice. Boston has also played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total against Atlantic Division foes. Tampa Bay (61-25-3) has played 12 of their last 17 Game Fives in the Stanley Cup Playoffs Under the Total — and this includes them playing four of their last five games Under the Total when up 3-1 in the series. The Lightning have also played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing with the opportunity to close out a playoff series. Lastly, while Tampa Bay has scored four goals in three straight games, they have then played 24 of their last 38 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games.
CONCLUSION: I lean strongly to the Bruins as a big underdog today — but this is an ideal situation to translate that play into a two-team parlay with the Under. 25* NHL 2nd Round ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (63) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-18 |
Raptors v. Cavs OVER 216 |
|
103-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (703) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (704). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (56-35) returns home after taking a 2-0 lead in this series on Thursday with their 128-110 win over the Raptors as a 7-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers made 11 of their 26 (42.3%) from behind the arc en route to their 59.5% shooting percentage on Thursday — and they should keep up their good offensive mojo returning home. Cleveland has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field in their last game. The Cavaliers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Cleveland has played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. And in their last 4 games after winning their last two games on the road, the Cavaliers have played 3 of these games Over the Total. Toronto (63-27) has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after an upset loss a home as the favorite — and they have also played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Furthermore, the Raptors have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Toronto goes on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 9 opportunities to avenge a loss at home, the Raptors have played 7 of these games Over the Total. In fact, while Toronto has lost their last eight meetings with the Cavs, they have then played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with at least triple revenge.
CONCLUSION: Expect another high-scoring game between these two teams. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (703) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-18 |
Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 210 |
Top |
113-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (515) and the Utah Jazz (516). THE SITUATION: Utah (53-37) evened this series at 1-1 with their 116-108 upset win in Houston as a 10.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Jazz now return home to Salt Lake City to host Game Three tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Utah has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset win on the road as a double-digit underdog. The Jazz were on-fire with their shooting on Wednesday as they made 15 of their 32 (46.9%) shots from bind the arc. Their 51.8% field goal percentage in that game was their best shooting performance in their last five games. Utah returns home where they have played 13 of their last 20 home games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. The Jazz have also played 6 of their last 9 home games as an underdog of 6 points or less. Utah has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Houston (70-19) needs to tighten things up on defense after allowing this Jazz team to make at least 50% of their shots in the first two games of this series — and that came after allowing Minnesota to shoot 50.6% from the field in their close out game with the Timberwolves in their previous playoff series. Utah has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing their last two opponents to shoot at least 50% of their shots — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing their last three opponents to shoot at least 50% from the field. Additionally, the Rockets have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a double-digit favorite at home. Houston goes back on the road after playing their last three games at home — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after playing their last three games at home. And while the Rockets have scored at least 105 points in five straight games — and they have then played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Lastly, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss as a double-digit home favorite.
CONCLUSION: Expect the third game of this series to be lowest scoring game so far between these two teams in the playoffs. 25* NBA 2nd Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (515) and the Utah Jazz (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-18 |
Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the Vegas Golden Knights (26). THE SITUATION: San Jose (51-29-10) evened this series at two games apiece on Wednesday with their 4-0 shutout victory over the Golden Knights. This series returns to Las Vegas for this crucial fifth game.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: The Sharks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total registering a shutout win at home. San Jose peppered the Knights’ goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury with 34 shots after putting 47 and 42 shots on him in the previous two games in this series. But San Jose has then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after generating at least 33 shots on target in at least three straight games. The Sharks have won two of the last three games in this series — and they have then played 25 of their last 40 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three. Furthermore, San Jose has also played 35 of their last 54 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. Vegas (57-29-7) suffered their first loss in regulation in the playoffs. They have allowed eleven goals over these last three games after winning Game Three of this series by a 4-3 score in overtime. The Golden Knights have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in three straight games. The Under is also 7-2-1 in Vegas’ last 10 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. And in their last 8 opportunities to avenge a blowout loss by at least three goals, the Golden Knights have played 6 of these games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: Expect this important fifth game in this tied series to be played very close to the vest similar to how Vegas played all their games against Los Angeles in the first-round of the playoffs. 25* NHL 2nd Round Playoff Bailout Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the Vegas Golden Knights (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-18 |
Predators v. Jets UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
106 |
1 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (21) and the Winnipeg Jets (22). THE SITUATION: Nashville (58-21-4) scored three goals in the first period but preceded to blow that lead on Tuesday in a 7-4 loss to the Jets. The Predators find themselves down 2-1 in this series while having to play once again in Winnipeg.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Nashville has to tighten things up regarding their discipline and play on defense after committing four penalties in the third period with three of them occurring after tying the game at 4-4. The Predators should get better play from goalie Pekka Rinne who has a 1.35 Goals-Against-Average with a .957 save percentage in the last three games in their first-round series with Colorado. The Under is 10-1-1 in Nashville’s last 12 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The final two goals by Winnipeg (58-22-11) in Game Three were empty netters. The Predators have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after a game where both teams scored at least three goals. Nashville has also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road after a loss on the road to a Central Division rival. The Jets have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 20 of their last 31 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games as they have after winning their opening round series against Minnesota in six games. Winnipeg has played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a game where they scored at least six goals. They should get better play from their goaltender Connor Hellebuyck who had a 0.33 GAA along with a .991 save percentage with two shutouts in his last three games of that series with the Wild. And in their last 6 games on their home ice, the Jets have played 5 of these games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: After high-scoring games in Games Two and Three of this series, expect this fourth game to be a low scoring affair. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (21) and the Winnipeg Jets (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-18 |
76ers v. Celtics OVER 205.5 |
Top |
103-108 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). THE SITUATION: Boston (60-30) won the opening game of this series on Monday with their 117-101 upset win versus Philadelphia (56-32) as a 4.5-point favorite. The Celtics host Game Two.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Boston has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, the Celtics have played 7 straight games Over the Total after an upset win as a home underdog. Boston has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win on their home court. They held the Sixers to just a 42.2% field goal percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last three games — so that is area that should see some regression. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total on their home court. Philadelphia (56-32) made only 5 of their last 26 (19.2%) shots from behind the arc despite averaging 11 made shots from behind the arc with a 37.4% shooting percentage from 3-point land on the road. Yet despite that poor shooting effort, they still scored 101 points. The 76ers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 17 of their last 23 road games Over the Total as the favorite. Lastly, Philly has played 23 of their last 34 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range.
CONCLUSION: Expect another higher-scoring game between these two teams with Philly likely to play much better on offense and Boston happy to play at their pace while launching plenty of 3s. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-18 |
Cavs v. Raptors OVER 213 |
|
128-110 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 6:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). THE SITUATION: Toronto (63-26) let the Cavaliers off the hook on Tuesday as they missed their last eleven shots in regulation time before losing in overtime by a 113-112 score as a 7-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Cleveland (55-35) won that game despite LeBron James making only 12 of his 30 shots from the field. His teammates picked up the slack as the Cavaliers made 14 of their 35 shots (40%) from behind the arc. Cleveland also played their best defensive game in their last thirteen games by holding the Raptors to just a 42.9% field goal percentage. With the Cavs closing out the Pacers in seven games with their 105-101 win on Sunday, they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning their last two games by 6 points or less. Cleveland has also played a decisive 41 of their last 69 games Over the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. And in their last 44 road games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the Cavaliers have played 30 of these games Over the Total. Toronto (63-26) has played 10 straight home games Over the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite — and they have also played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a loss at home. Furthermore, the Raptors have played 32 of their last 49 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. Toronto has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on their home court. And while the Cavs’ 41.2% field goal percentage was the highest mark that the Raptors have allowed in their last three games, Toronto has then played 22 of the last 31 games Over the Total afternoon allowing their last three opponents shoot at least 43% from the field.
CONCLUSION: Overtime was needed to reach the Over on Tuesday but expect a higher scoring game tonight. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-02-18 |
Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (17) and the San Jose Sharks (18). THE SITUATION: Vegas (57-28-7) seized a 2-1 lead in this series with their 2-1 win in overtime in the third game of this series on Monday. This series stays in San Jose (50-29-10) for tonight’s Game Four.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Vegas is simply getting outstanding goaltending from Marc-Andre Fleury who may be playing the best hockey of his career. So far in these playoffs, Fleury has a 1.23 Goals-Against-Average with a .960 save percentage with three shutouts. Expect a lower scoring game tonight as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. Additionally, the Under is 13-7-1 in the Golden Knights’ last 21 games played with one day of rest. And in their last 14 games on the road, the Under is 9-4-1 for Vegas. San Jose has played 27 of their last 42 home games Under the Total after a game where they allowed at least four goals in their last game. The Sharks have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total when playing no more than their fifth game in fourteen days. Furthermore, while San Jose is averaging over 40 shots per game in this series (with the fewest being 33 shots in Game One of this series), they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after generating at least 33 shots in three straight games. The Sharks have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series.
CONCLUSION: After Vegas played four straight Unders in the first round of the playoffs, the first three games Over the Total in this series. Expect that trend to end at least for tonight. 10* NHL Wednesday Late Show O/U bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (17) and the San Jose Sharks (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-02-18 |
Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 207 |
Top |
116-108 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (507) and the Houston Rockets (508). THE SITUATION: Houston (70-18) won the opening game of this series on Sunday by a 110-96 score as an 11.5-point favorite. The Rockets dominated that game from the jump and held a 27-point lead at one point in the first-half while cruising to an easy victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Utah (52-37) needs to play much better on the defensive end of the court while making adjustments so that Rudy Gobert is roaming the middle again to protect the rim. Gobert did not block a shot on Saturday while Houston and too many easy shot attempts inside. The Jazz have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. They also have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Utah did make 50% of their shots in Game One which was the best offensive effort in their last four games. Despite being without Ricky Rubio, the Jazz collected 20 team assists that resulted in 38 field goals in that game — and it is difficult seeing them performing much better on offense despite that only producing 96 points with Rubio out indefinitely with a hamstring injury. Utah has played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Houston nailed 17 of their 32 (53.1%) of their 3-pointers on Saturday so they are due for an appearance from the Regression Gods in that aspect of their hame. The Rockets have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight up win — and they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Furthermore, Houston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Houston has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. The Rockets have also played 18 of their last 24 home games Under the Total including six of their last seven games against teams with a losing record on the road.
CONCLUSION: The adjustments in Game Two should favor the defensive end of the court for both teams leading to a lower scoring game. 25* NBA 2nd Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (507) and the Houston Rockets (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-18 |
Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 227.5 |
|
116-121 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (709) and the Golden State Warriors (710). THE SITUATION: Golden State (63-25) easily won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 123-101 win over the Pelicans as a 7.5-point favorite. The Warriors are likely to get Stephen Curry back for Game Two tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: New Orleans (52-35) should rebound with a better scoring performance after shooting just 43.8% from the field which was the worst offensive effort in their last thirteen games. The Pelicans have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. New Orleans has also played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. Furthermore, the Pelicans have played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after allowing at least 115 points in their last game. And in their last 9 games when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days, New Orleans has played 8 of these games Over the Total. Golden State should get a boost on offense with Curry back on the floor — he has averaged 28.3 PPG in his last three games in his first contest back from an extended time off due to an injury. As it is, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in the Warriors’ last 7 games on their home court. And in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Golden State, the game finished Over the Total 5 times.
CONCLUSION: The Total is posted this high for a reason between these two teams that love to push the pace. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (709) and the Golden State Warriors (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-18 |
Predators v. Jets UNDER 6 |
|
4-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
0 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (53) and the Winnipeg Jets (54). THE SITUATION: Nashville (58-20-4) evened this series at one game apiece on Sunday with their 5-4 win in double-overtime. Winnipeg (57-22-11) returns home to host the next two games in this series with home-ice advantage.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: The Jets have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss to a fellow Central Division rival. Winnipeg has also played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. Goalie Connor Hellebuyck should play better tonight as he has a 1.47 Goals-Against-Average with a .955 save percentage in his eight starts after a game where he allowed at least five goals. The Predators have played 17 of their 26 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Additionally, not only has Nashville played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games against a Central Division foe but they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games against a Central Division opponent. They allowed two goals to the Jets in the third period — but they have then played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period of their last game. And in their last 15 road games with the Total set at 6 or higher, the Predators have played 10 of these games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: With the Total being pushed up to 6 for this Game Three, expect a lower scoring game. 10* NHL Nashville-Winnipeg CNBC O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (53) and the Winnipeg Jets (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-18 |
Cavs v. Raptors OVER 214.5 |
|
113-112 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (557) and the Toronto Raptors (558). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (54-35) takes the court again after surviving their seven-game series with the Pacers on Sunday with their 105-101 victory as a 5.5-point favorite. Toronto (63-25) hosts this game after defeating the Wizards in Washington on Friday in their 102-92 win as a 2-point favorite to close out that six-game series.
THE REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Toronto held the Wizards to just a 40.5% shooting percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last nine games so the Cavaliers are likely to produce a better field goal percentage tonight. The Raptors have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Toronto has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And in their last 21 games on their home court when playing their second game in five days, they have played 16 of these games Over the Total. Cleveland has played 5 of their last 7 games in the Eastern Conference Semifinals Over the Total. The Cavaliers have also played 29 of their last 43 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times.
CONCLUSION: Both these teams will engage each other in the up-tempo pace that both prefer to play. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (557) and the Toronto Raptors (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-30-18 |
76ers v. Celtics OVER 205 |
Top |
101-117 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (555) and the Boston Celtics (556). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (56-31) gets back to the court for the first time since last Tuesday when they eliminated Miami in five games with their 104-91 victory as a 10-point favorite. Boston (59-30) has a quick turnaround after defeating Milwaukee on Saturday in Game Seven of that series by a 112-96 score as a 5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Philadelphia (56-31) played their best defensive game in terms of opponent field goal percentage in their last game by holding the Heat to just a 38.6% shooting percentage. That defensive effort helped that game finish below the 215.5 point Total — but the 76ers have played 28 of their last 43 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And in their last 22 road games as the favorite, the 76ers have played 16 of these games Over the Total. Boston (59-30) should come out smoking in regards to their shooting after making 53.6% of their shots on Saturday. The Celtics have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, Boston has 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. And in their last 8 games on their home court, the Celtics have played 7 of these games Over the Total.
CONCLUSION: While the Total for this game is dropping after initially being installed at 210, that line movement is going the wrong way. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown who is dealing with a hamstring injury — but it is his absence which has led to the line dropping. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (555) and the Boston Celtics (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-29-18 |
Yankees v. Angels OVER 9 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (977) and the Los Angeles Angels (978) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Tyler Skaggs. THE SITUATION: New York (17-9) has won eight straight games after their 11-1 win over the Angels yesterday. Los Angeles (16-11) has now dropped three straight games.
THE REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: The Angels have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. LA has also played 4 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Skaggs has an 8.00 ERA with a 1.78 WHIP and .325 opponent’s batting average in two starts at home as compared to his outstanding 0.49 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and .179 WHIP in three starts on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where the left-hander had a 4.78 ERA and .282 opponent’s batting average at home versus his 4.32 ERA and .264 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Angles have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with Skaggs on the hill — and the Yankees have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. New York has seen the Over go 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after scoring at least 5 runs in their last game — and the Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games on the road. Sabathia has been good in his first four starts — but he faces an Angels team that has seen the Over go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against left-handed starting pitchers.
CONCLUSION: 10* MLB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (977) and the Los Angeles Angels (978) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Tyler Skaggs. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-29-18 |
Jets v. Predators OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (13) and the Nashville Predators (14). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (57-21-11) seized home ice advantage in this series by stealing Game One of this series by a 4-1 score. Game Two will played again in Nashville.
THE REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Nashville (57-20-4) will be desperate to even this series at 1-1 to avoid traveling to Winnipeg trailing by two games. The Predators have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by at least three goals to their opponent. Nashville has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, while the Predators have played four straight games Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Unders. And in their last 7 games at home, Nashville has played 5 of these games Over the Total. Winnipeg (57-21-11) has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win by at least three goals over a Central Division rival — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when scoring at least four goals in a win over a divisional rival. The Jets have only allowed one goal in their last three games — but they have then played 24 of their last 38 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less in three straight games while also playing 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than one goal in three straight contests.
CONCLUSION: Nashville had 48 shots on net on Friday — maintaining that pressure again should ensure their share of goals. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (13) and the Nashville Predators (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-29-18 |
Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 199 |
Top |
101-105 |
Loss |
-102 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). THE SITUATION: Indiana (51-37) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Friday when they destroyed the Cavaliers by a 121-87 score as a 1.5-point favorite. Game Seven returns to Cleveland (53-35).
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Indiana made 15 of their 30 shots from behind the arc en route to their 56.3% field goal percentage on Friday which was the best shooting performance in their last 58 games. Expect those numbers to decline significantly when playing on the road under the pressure of a Game Seven. As it is, the Pacers shoot only 46.8% with a 36.2% mark from 3-point land when on the road. The Under is 19-6-1 in Indiana’s last 26 games on the road. Indiana has also played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Pacers have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Indiana has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Cleveland has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Cavs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as a point spread loss. Cleveland should play better on defense after enduring their highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 35 games. The Cavs have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. But while Cleveland shot just 41.8% from the field on Friday, that was actually a better shooting mark than their 41.3% field goal percentage at home in Game Five. The Cavaliers have played 4 straight home games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: The Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 games between these two teams — including going 3-0-1 in the last 4 games played in Cleveland. Expect these team trends to continue this afternoon. 25* NBA 1st Round ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-28-18 |
Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 226 |
Top |
101-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (551) and the Golden State Warriors (552). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (52-34) reached the Western Conference Semifinals by sweeping Portland in four games after their 131-123 win last Saturday. Golden State (62-25) defeated San Antonio in five games with their 99-91 win over the Spurs on Tuesday. Stephen Curry took part in practice to prepare for this game but he is officially listed as questionable.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: The Pelicans were unstoppable on offense against the Trail Blazers as they made 57% of their shots in their close out game which was their third straight game where they made at least 51.2% of their shots. New Orleans has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight games. The Pelicans have also played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total after allowing at least 115 points in their last game — and they have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a game where at least 235 combined points were scored. Furthermore, New Orleans has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The extended break should help the Pelicans offensive flow as well — they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Golden State (62-25) has played 12 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And while the Warriors have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 16 of their last 27 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Additionally, the Over is 4-1-1 in Golden State’s last 6 games on their home court. And in their last 7 games in the Western Conference Semifinals, they have played 5 of these games Over the Total.
CONCLUSION: Even if Curry does not play tonight, the Warriors should be quite content to engage the Pelicans in an up-tempo game in which they feel they have the advantage over every team in the league. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (551) and the Golden State Warriors (552). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-28-18 |
Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-140 |
1 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (89) and the Vegas Golden Knights (90). THE SITUATION: Vegas (56-27-7) blew out the Sharks in the opening game of this series by a 7-0 score on Thursday. San Jose will be without Evander Kane tonight after he was suspended for a cross-check to the face of Pierre-Edouard Bellemare.
THE REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: The Sharks will tighten things up on defense after their embarrassing effort on Thursday where they were caught by surprise by the speed of the Golden Knights. San Jose has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Goalie Martin Jones was pulled after allowing five goals on just 13 shots in that game. However, Jones had a 0.99 Goals-Against-Average along with a .966 save percentage during the regular season in games following a contest where he was pulled — so he should play very well tonight. The Sharks have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 8 straight games Under the Total on the road after a loss by at least two goals. They will miss Kane who registered 14 points in the 17 games he played with the team since being acquired from Buffalo — and he scored three goals with one assist in the first-round of the playoffs. San Jose has also played 14 of their last 19 road games Under the Total when playing no more than their 5th game in fourteen days. Vegas (56-27-7) might be without Bellemare tonight given that injury which will hurt their Power Play Unit. The Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury is playing as well as he has any time in his career with two straight shutouts. He has a .982 save percentage in the playoffs. The Under is 7-2-1 in Vegas’ last 10 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Knights have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home.
CONCLUSION: The Total has moved to 5.5 for this game after Vegas played their first five games in these playoffs with the Total just at 5. The Golden Knights scored only seven total goals in their four games against Los Angeles while surrendering only three goals. 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (89) and the Vegas Golden Knights (90). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-28-18 |
Bucks v. Celtics OVER 196 |
|
96-112 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (701) and the Boston Celtics (702). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (47-41) forced a climactic seventh game in this series with their 97-86 victory over the Celtics on Thursday as a 4.5-point favorite. Game Seven returns to Boston’s TD Garden.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Milwaukee (47-41) has consistently proven they can make baskets against the Celtics as their 50.7% field goal percentage on Thursday was the fourth time in their last five games in this series where they shot at least that from the field. The Bucks have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road. The Total has dropped to the mid-190s in this game after the last two games finished Under the Total which is the lowest Total in this series.
|
04-27-18 |
Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 203 |
|
87-121 |
Loss |
-104 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (511) and the Indiana Pacers (512). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (53-34) has the opportunity to close out this series tonight after taking a 3-2 lead on Wednesday with their 98-95 win over the Pacers as a 6.5-point favorite. Both of these teams have played six straight games Under the Total with all five of the games in this series finishing below the number.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: It can be dangerous to assume that the Under trend will continue just because the previous games in an NBA Playoff series cashed Under tickets. The oddsmakers are adjusting with Game One listed in the 212.5 point range and this game roughly 9 points lower. But a contrarian Over play can be just as simplistic a conclusion. Indiana (50-37) has played 22 of their last 33 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Unders — and this is the type of team trend we want to look for to decipher how the specific teams will react to this unique situation. The Pacers shot 47.9% from the field on Wednesday which was their best shooting effort in their last three games. Victor Oladipo is enduring a cold streak as he is scoring only 15.7 PPG over those last three games while making just 24% of his shots. Indiana has played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Pacers have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total on their home court. Indiana has also played 18 of their last 23 games Under the Total when avenging a same-season loss. Cleveland has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. LeBron Games was super-human on Wednesday — but he is getting almost no help from his teammates at this point. His championship veterans Kevin Love and J.R. Smith combined to make only 2 of 19 shots in that game and his new trade deadline teammates have failed to step up in these playoffs. The Cavs made only 41.3% of their shots in Game Five despite James scoring 44 points. These two teams have played 5 straight Unders when playing at Indiana.
CONCLUSION: 10* play with the Under. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-18 |
Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 |
Top |
0-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (81) and the Vegas Golden Knights (82). THE SITUATION: Both these teams come off 4-0 sweeps in the first-round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. San Jose (49-27-10) swept the Ducks after closing out that series last Wednesday with their 2-1 win in Anaheim. Vegas (55-27-7) proved that their regular season was no fluke by sweeping the Kings after defeating them last Tuesday by a 1-0 score.
THE REASONS FOR TAKING THE UNDER: Both these teams may be rusty since they are playing with seven days and eight days off since their last game. The risk of rust will likely compel both teams to play cautiously in this opening game. The Sharks have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest between contests while the Golden Knights have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Both these teams have hot goalies with Marc-Andre Fleury posting a 0.65 Goals-Against-Average with a .977 save percentage in the LA series for Vegas while Martin Jones allowed only four goals in four games against the Ducks while registering a .970 save percentage for San Jose. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Sharks’ last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Vegas has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on their home ice. The Under is also 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 7-1-1 in the Golden Knights’ last 9 games after allowing no more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after shutting out their opponent in their last game.
CONCLUSION: These are two teams very comfortable in playing low-scoring games. 25* NHL Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (81) and the Vegas Golden Knights (82). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-18 |
Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 201 |
Top |
86-97 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (501) and the Milwaukee Bucks (502). THE SITUATION: Boston (58-29) looks to close out this series tonight on the road in perhaps the last game ever to be played in the Bradley Center after taking a 3-2 lead in this series by a 92-87 score as a 4.5-point favorite. The Celtics got Marcus Smart back in that game and not only is one of the team’s best defensive players but he has been described as “kind of like the soul of our team” by fellow veteran Al Horford.” Milwaukee (46-41) returns home as the favorite looking to stave off elimination and force a decisive seventh game of this series. The Celtics and Bucks had played five straight and eight straight Overs respectively before Game Five finished below the Total that closed in the 202.5 range.
THE REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Boston has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total after allowing 90 points or less in their last game. The Celtics have also played 15 of their last 19 Game Sixes in the NBA Playoffs Under the Total — so their history suggests a lower scoring defensive struggle. The insertion of Smart into the rotation is very significant as he can defend the Bucks’ Khris Middleton who has been one of Milwaukee’s two consistent offensive players in this series. The other reliable offensive player for the Bucks has been Giannis Antetokounmpo — but Brad Stevens made an interesting switch in Game Five by starting his rookie big man Semi Ojeleye to defend the Greek Freak. Ojeleye played 40 possessions on Antetokounmpo which accounted for half the game while holding him to a series-low 16 points. Ojeleye’s insertion into the lineup is a game-changer for the Celtics as it created smaller lineups with Greg Monroe pushed out the rotation while Stevens avoided playing Aron Bynes along with Al Horford at the same time. These moves gave the Celtics flexibility on defense for the first time in this series as all five players on the court could switch of screens without needing help. Milwaukee had shot at least 52.1% from the field in Games Two through Four in this series but those look like outlier performances to the 109 Points Per 100 Possession scoring rate that ranked 13th in the NBA during the regular season. I expect points to be hard to come by again for this team. The Bucks have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring no more than 90 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 185 combined points were scored. Prunty does have this team playing better defense. The Celtics shot 42% from the floor in their winning effort on Tuesday which was their highest field goal percentage in their last three games.
CONCLUSION: Expect the pressure of a elimination/close out game to negatively impact the shooting of both these teams — and with the Total still in the low 200s, the line has not adjusted to what looks to be the new reality of this series. 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (501) and the Milwaukee Bucks (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-18 |
Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (87) and the Washington Capitals (88). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (51-31-6) advanced to the second round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs by knocking off the Flyers in six games culminating in an 8-5 win in Philadelphia on Sunday. Washington (53-28-7) rallied from an 0-2 deficit by winning four straight games against the Blue Jackets by closing that series out in Columbus on Monday with a 6-3 win. These two teams have faced off in each of the last two postseasons with the Penguins winning both times en route to winning the Stanley Cup.
REASONS WHY TO TAKE THE UNDER: Both these veteran playoff teams tend to play cautiously in the opening games of a new playoff series. Pittsburgh has played 11 of their last 14 opening games to a new series Under the Total while Washington has played 16 of their last 23 opening games to a new series Under the Total. The Penguins look due for an Under after that high-scoring closeout game against the Flyers as the Under is 3-0-2 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game while the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Pittsburgh will also be undermanned at the forward position with both Evgeni Malkin and Carl Hagelin out for this contest with injuries which decimates their second line. Washington has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning at least four in a row — and they have also played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least three goals. The Capitals have also played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. CONCLUSION: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. With the Total set at 6 for this opening game, expect a lower scoring game to contrast the high scoring game both teams closed out their previous series with. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (87) and the Washington Capitals (88). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-25-18 |
Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-114 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (25) and the Boston Bruins (26). Toronto (52-29-5) forced a decisive seventh game in this series on Monday with their 3-1 victory at home over the Bruins. Expect Mike Babcock to instruct his team to play disciplined and controlled hockey in this climactic game since surrendering a goal or two to the Bruins on their home ice could be the recipe for this game quickly spiraling out of hand. As it is, the Under is 4-0-1 in the Maple Leafs last 5 games after a victory. The Under is also 2-0-2 in Toronto’s last 4 games after allowing two goals or less in their last contest. And in their last 8 games after a win by at least two goals against an Atlantic Division rival, they have then played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total. The Maple Leafs are getting great goaltending from their veteran Frederick Andersen who has stopped 74 of the 78 shots he has faced in the last two games of this series. But Andersen has been helped by his teammates blocking 45 shots in these last two games as they begin to appreciation the need for defense in desperation elimination game situations in the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Boston (56-23-9) has seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against an opponent that allowed no more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Bruins have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals against their opponent. And while Boston has lost two of their last three games, they have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. And in their last 30 games against Atlantic Division foes, the Bruins have played 20 of these games Under the Total. Their top line has been slowed down to an injury to Patrice Bergeron over these last two games yet — that top forward group of Bergeron along with Brad Marchand and David Patrnak have not registered a point in the last two games of this series. Lastly, in their last 8 Game Sevens in the NHL Playoffs, Boston has played 5 of these games Under the Total. 25* NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Game Seven O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (25) and the Boston Bruins (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-25-18 |
Nationals v. Giants UNDER 7 |
Top |
15-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 3:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (953) and the San Francisco Giants (954) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Jeff Samardzija. Washington (10-14) has lost four straight games after their 4-3 loss in Game Two of this series against the Giants. The Nationals are swinging cold bats right now as they are scoring only 3.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .211 batting average along with a .285 On-Base Percentage and a .589 OPS over that span. These cold bats have helped Washington play four straight Unders — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing their last two games Under the Total. The Nationals have not committed an error in the field in five straight games — and they have then played 39 of their last 63 games Under the Total after not committing an error in at least two straight games. Washington has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing as a road favorite with double-revenge on their minds. They send out Scherzer who is 4-1 with a 1.36 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP in five starts this season. The right-hander was more effective on the road last year where he enjoyed a 1.82 ERA along with a 0.81 WHIP and .156 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 3.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and .200 opponent’s batting average when at home. Scherzer was also better in day games where he sported a 1.90 ERA, 0.77 WHIP and .140 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.72 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and .191 opponent’s batting average at night. Washington has seen the Under go a decisive 31-14-6 in their last 51 games on the road. The Nationals have also seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games with Scherzer on the mound on the road. He should fare well against this San Fran team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Under is also 15-5-1 in the Giants’ last 21 games against right-handed starting pitchers.
San Francisco (11-12) has won three straight games while hammering home runs in seven straight contests — but they will be facing a starting pitcher in Max Scherzer who has only allowed two homers this season. Despite this home runs, the Giants are scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games which is only a slight tick above the 3.2 Runs-Per-Game rate for the season. They are also hitting only .235 with a .292 On-Base Percentage and a .716 OPS over these last seven contests. The Under is 35-16-4 in their last 55 games after a win — and they have also played 36 of their last 54 games Under the Total after a win by just one run. San Fran has also only played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They counter with Jeff Samardzija who did not allow an earned run in 5 innings of work in his first start of the season on Friday on Los Angeles against the Angels. The right-hander started the season on the Disabled List with a pectoral injury but looked very good in that start. Last season, Samardzija was more effective at home where he owned a 3.97 ERA and .251 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.81 ERA and .258 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Samardzija struggled with giving up too many home runs last year — particularly in hitter’s parks like Colorado and Arizona. But he also struck out batters 24.2% of the time while only issuing walks in a career-low 3.8% of his batters faced. Those peripherals help explain why both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.63 and 3.60 off this 2017 numbers. Samardzija was also better during day games where hewed a 1.08 WHIP and .239 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.17 WHIP and .269 opponent’s batting average at night. The Giants have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total with Samardzija pitching as an underdog. San Fran has also played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total with Samardzija pitching with four days of rest. 25* MLB Getaway Game Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (953) and the San Francisco Giants (954) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Jeff Samardzija. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-24-18 |
Heat v. 76ers OVER 215 |
|
91-104 |
Loss |
-106 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (703) and the Philadelphia 76ers (704). Philadelphia (55-31) returns home with the opportunity to close out this series after their 106-102 win over the Heat on Saturday. The 76ers made only 42.9% of their shots in that win which was their second lowest field goal percentage in their last twenty-two games. The 76ers also only converted 7 of their 31 shots from behind the arc for a low 22.6% mark from 3-point land. Philly should shoot much better from the field tonight. As it is, the 76ers have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a win on the road. Philadelphia has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning their last two games on the road. Furthermore, the Sixers have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest.
Miami (45-41) shot only 43.6% from the field on Saturday which was their worst offensive effort in their last four games. The Heat have now lost five of their last seven games — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. Miami has also played 10 of their last 14 road games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Heat have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (703) and the Philadelphia 76ers (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-18 |
Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 208.5 |
|
96-113 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (511) and the Utah Jazz (512). Oklahoma City (49-36) looks to bounce-back from a 115-102 loss to the Jazz on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Thunder allowed Utah to make 52.5% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen games. Oklahoma City should clamp down on defense tonight as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. The Thunder have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Additionally, OKC has played 8 of the last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. The Thunder stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. Oklahoma City has also played 27 of their last 39 road games Under the Total as an underdog.
Utah (50-35) enjoyed their best offensive effort in their last four games by making 52.5% of their shots on Saturday — so some regression is to be expected. Additionally, the Jazz have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams that scored at least 100 points in their last game. Utah has also played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, while the Thunder out-rebound their opponents by +3.4 RPG, the Jazz have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams that out-rebound their opponents by at least +3.0 RPG. Lastly, in the last 9 meetings between these two teams in Salt Lake City, the game finished Under the Total 8 times. 20* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (511) and the Utah Jazz (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-18 |
Rockets v. Wolves UNDER 218 |
|
119-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (509) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (510). Minnesota (48-37) has won four of their last six games with their 121-105 upset win over the Rockets on Saturday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Timberwolves have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after an upset double-digit victory as a home underdog. Minnesota has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. And in their last 6 games after a point spread victory, the Timberwolves have played 5 of these games Under the Total. And in their last 6 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game, Minnesota has played 5 of these games Under the Total.
Houston (67-18) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit upset loss. The Rockets have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under there Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Houston has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 28 games after winning two of their last three games, they have played 20 of these games Under the Total. The Rockets stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Furthermore, Houston has seen the Under go a decisive 27-13-2 in their last 42 games on the road against teams with a winning record on their home court. 20* NBA Houston-Minnesota O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (509) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-22-18 |
Nationals v. Dodgers OVER 8 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-108 |
0 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (913) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (914) listing both starting pitchers Jeremy Hellickson and Alex Wood. Los Angeles (9-10) has won five of their last six games with their 4-0 shutout win over the Nationals yesterday. The Dodgers have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a victory — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two earned runs in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total. They give the ball to Wood who is 0-2 with a 3.91 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP this season. Wood has four starts under his belt which is the minimum sample size I need to begin considering the statistics from starting pitchers in a new season. The left-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 5.40 ERA in two starts at home as compared to his 2.38 ERA in two starts on the road. Admittedly, this is thin evidence — but it strengthens significantly when compared to his 2017 numbers where he had a 3.20 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average at home which was all higher numbers than his 2.24 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and .203 opponent’s batting average when pitching on the road. The Dodgers have played 8 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Wood on the mound. Furthermore, Los Angeles has played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total with Wood pitching as a money-line favorite priced in the -175 to -200 price range. Additionally, the Over is 5-2-2 in the Nationals’ last 9 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.
Washington (10-11) has still seen the Over go 6-2-2 in their last 10 games on the road even after yesterday’s Under. The Nationals’ bullpen is struggling as they have an ERA of 10.38 ERA over their last five games — and they have played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total when their bullpen has an ERA of 7.00 or worse in their last five games. They counter with Jeremy Hellickson who is making just his second start of the season after allowing two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work in his first start of the season in New York against the Mets. Hellickson was 8-11 with a 5.43 ERA and 1.26 WHIP last season between stints with the Phillies and Orioles. I am not typically enthusiastic to put much weight into starting pitcher numbers from the previous season when that pitcher was playing for another team — but I would lean to Hellickson being aligned with Overs since he is not a very good pitcher at this point in his career. With the Total set at 8 for this game, the oddsmakers are certainly counting on an outstanding effort from Wood — so Hellickson’s side of the equation is not overvaluing the Over play that I like. Furthermore, Hellickson was worse in night games last year where he was saddled with a 5.99 ERA along with a 1.31 WHIP. This Over gains enough evidence to be worthy of investment when considering that the Dodgers are scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games while having played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 78-22-4 combined angle for this situation. 10* MLB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (913) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (914) listing both starting pitchers Jeremy Hellickson and Alex Wood. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-22-18 |
Predators v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
Top |
5-0 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (75) and the Colorado Avalanche (76). Nashville (55-20-4) scored in the third period on Friday to take a 1-0 lead over the Flyers with the opportunity to close out that series in five games — but they then allowed two goals to lose Game Five of this series by a 2-1 score. Expect another low-scoring game in Game Six. While the Predators have much more balance and depth on offense this season versus their team that reached the Stanley Cup Finals last year, this is a team that is very comfortable playing low-scoring games behind the best blue-line in the NHL along with a goaltender in Pekka Rinne who will likely win the Vezina Trophy this season. Nashville has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss at home. The Predators have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total after a loss by just one goal to a Central Division rival. Furthermore, the Under is 8-2-1 in Nashville’s last 11 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game.
Colorado (47-33-8) got an outstanding effort from third-string goaltender Andrew Hammond who was pressed into service with an injury to Jonathan Bernier in Game Four of this series. The Hamburglar has certainly enjoyed hot streaks in his NHL career (most notably with Ottawa a few seasons ago) so he there should be a positive carry over from his stopping 44 of the 45 shots he faced on Friday. Good goaltending is also a product of good defense — and the Avalanche will likely continue to play less aggressively than they would if their first-stringer Semyon Varlamov was between the pipes. That is a recipe for another low-scoring game. As it is, Colorado has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win over a Central Division rival. Furthermore, the Avalanche have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a narrow win by just one goal. Colorado has also played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a win on the road by just one goal — and this includes them playing four of these last situations Under the Total. Additionally, in games with the Total set at 6 or higher, when the home team comes off a win on the road against a divisional rival, these games finished Under the Total in 209 of these last 341 situations (61%) where these conditions applied. Lastly, in games with the Total set at 6 or higher, when the road team comes off a loss against a division rival now faces a team that comes off win on the road against a division foe, these games finished Under the Total in 60 of these last 88 situations. 25* NHL NBC-Sports Network 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (75) and the Colorado Avalanche (76). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-18 |
Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 208.5 |
Top |
102-115 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (723) and the Utah Jazz (724). Utah (49-35) evened this series at one game apiece with their 102-95 upset win in Portland on Wednesday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Jazz return home for this first time since April 10th after playing three straight games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total after being on the road for at least the last seven days. Utah has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their last three games on the road. The Jazz have also played 12 of the last 16 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest — and this includes them playing eight of their last nine games Under the Total when playing on their home court with two days of rest. Additionally, Utah has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 12 of their last 17 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Furthermore, the Under is 20-8-1 in the Jazz’s last 29 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents.
Oklahoma City (49-35) played their best defensive game in their last ten games by limiting the Jazz to just a 41.7% field goal percentage — and they should continue to play well on the defensive end of the court. The Thunder have then played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite — and this includes playing seven straight Unders off an upset loss as a home favorite to a fellow Northwest Division rival. Oklahoma City has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Additionally, the Thunder have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now OKC goes on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. The Thunder have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. And as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, Oklahoma City has played 23 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Thunder have played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total when attempting to avenge an upset loss as a road favorite. And in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Utah, the game finished Under the Total all 8 times. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (723) and the Utah Jazz (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-18 |
Devils v. Lightning UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 3:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (65) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (66). Tampa Bay (57-24-3) has the opportunity to close out this series tonight after taking a 3-1 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 3-1 victory over the Devils. The Lightning are getting great play from their goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy who has rebounded from a second-half slump to post a 2.26 Goals-Against-Average along with a .937 save percentage in this series. The Tampa Bay Power Play Kill Unit has also stepped up to negate 15 of New Jersey’s 18 Power Play chances for a 83.3% clip which is much better than their 76.1% mark during the regular season. This has become a physical series which has slowed down the torrid scoring pace that defined the earlier games in this series. The Lightning have only scored five goals over these last two games after scoring five goals in both Game One and Game Two of this series. This should be another low-scoring affair — they have played 11 of their last 16 Game Fives in a playoff series Under the Total. Tampa Bay has also played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total when up 3-1 in a playoff series. And in their last 19 opportunities to close out a playoff series, the game finished Under the Total 12 times — and this includes them playing three of their last four games Under the Total in that situation.
New Jersey (46-32-5) has played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss at home. The Devils have also played 6 of their last 9 games after a loss at home by two more more goals. Goalie Cory Schneider was solid in net on Wednesday even in defeat as he stopped 34 of the 36 shots he faced. In this series, Schneider has stopped 78 of the 82 shots he has encountered since taking over for Keith Kinkaid for a sizzling .951 save percentage. Moving forward, New Jersey has played 5 of their last 6 games in the fifth game of an NHL series Under the Total — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when trailing by a 3-1 mark in the NHL Playoffs. 25* NHL 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (65) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-18 |
76ers v. Heat OVER 212.5 |
|
106-102 |
Loss |
-107 |
1 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 2:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (717) and the Miami Heat (718). Philadelphia (54-31) got 23 surprise points from Joel Embiid on Thursday who finally returned to the court after missing time with his head injury en route to their easy 128-108 victory over the Heat as a 2-point favorite. The 76ers shot 50.6% from the field while nailing 18 of their 34 shots (52.9%) from behind the arc. Philadelphia should keeping rolling with their dynamic offensive prowess as they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 7 games are a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a win on the road. Additionally, the Sixers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Philly has stayed on the road for Game Four where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 21 road games Over the Total as the favorite.
Miami (45-40) shot 45.2% from the field in this loss despite only getting 21 combined points from their shooting guard trip of Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade and Wayne Ellington. The Heat have played 4 straight home games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Over is also 13-6-1 in Miami’s last 20 games against an opponent that scored at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Heat have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Miami has played 4 of these games Over the Total. 10* NBA Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (717) and the Miami Heat (718). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-18 |
Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 206 |
|
92-116 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (715) and the Milwaukee Bucks (716). Boston (57-27) has won three straight games after winning the second game of this series on Tuesday with their 120-106 victory at home as a 1-point underdog. That victory came on the heels of their 113-107 win at home in the first game of this series. The Celtics have then played 3 of the last 4 games Under the Total after seeing at least 215 combined points scored in their last two games. Boston has also played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning their last two games at home — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning their last three games at home. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. And in their last 26 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, the Celtics have played 18 of these games Under the Total. 10* NBA play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.
|
04-20-18 |
Raptors v. Wizards OVER 218 |
|
103-122 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (713) and the Washington Wizards (714). Washington (43-41) has lost three straight games — as well as seven of their last eight games — with their 130-119 loss to the Raptors in the second game of this series as a 7-point underdog. The Wizards have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Over is 21-8-1 in Washington’s last 30 games after a point spread loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. Head coach Scott Brooks is entertaining take out center Marcin Gortat and replace him with the 6’8 Mike Scott. Gortat has struggled on both ends of the court — and replacing him for Scott to play more small-ball will likely result in higher scoring games. The Wizards return home for their first game since April 10th — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. Bradley Beal has made only 11 of 28 shots from the field in this series — he should play better back at Capital One Arena. Washington has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight games. Furthermore, the Wizards have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
Toronto (61-23) has now won six of their last seven games — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. The Raptors have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in Toronto’s last 7 games when playing with two days of rest. Now the Raptors go on the road where they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Toronto has also played 9 of their last 14 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (713) and the Washington Wizards (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-18 |
Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 209.5 |
Top |
90-92 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Indiana Pacers (712). Cleveland (51-33) raced out to a 16-1 lead in the opening minutes of Game Two of this series on Wednesday — and they held on to win that game by a 100-97 score as an 8.5-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Cleveland has also played 11 of their last 15 games after a win on their home court where they failed to cover the point spread as a favorite. The Cavs shot 50.7% from the field while nailing 11 of their 28 (39.3%) shots from behind the arc — yet they scored 10 points below their 110.4 PPG season scoring average. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Over is also 4-0-1 in Cleveland’s last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
Indiana (49-35) has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Pacers have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road against their opponent. Furthermore, the Under is 24-7-1 in Indiana’s last 32 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Pacers have played 7 of these games Under the Total. 25* NBA Central Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Indiana Pacers (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-18 |
Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 207 |
Top |
110-97 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (527) and the San Antonio Spurs (528). Golden State (60-24) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Monday with their 116-101 win as an 8.5-point favorite. The Warriors made 52.6% of their shots in that game after making 54.3% of their shots in Game One of this series fueled by them nailing 15 of their 31 (48.4%) of their shots from behind the arc. Golden State is likely to get a visit from the Regression Gods tonight in regards to their shooting — especially with them playing on the road where they see their 3-point shooting drop to a 37.7% clip as compared to their 39.3% 3-point shooting mark for the season. The Warriors have played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where they made at least 50% of their shots. The Under is also 19-7-1 in Golden State’s last 27 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Warriors have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Golden State won the opening game of this series by a 113-92 score — and they have then played 35 of their last 57 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by double-digits. Now the Warriors go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.
San Antonio (47-37) has now lost three games in a row as well as five of their last seven contests. The Spurs have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. Game Two finished well above the 205.5 point total — and San Antonio has also played 13 of their last 18 games on their home court Under the Total after game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, the Spurs have seen the Under the Total go 12-5-1 in their last 18 games when playing with two days of rest. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 games when avenging two straight double-digit losses to their opponent. Now the Spurs return home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 21 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. 25* NBA 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (527) and the San Antonio Spurs (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-18 |
Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 215.5 |
|
102-119 |
Loss |
-113 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (525) and the New Orleans Pelicans (526). New Orleans (50-34) returns home with a commanding 2-0 lead in this series after their 111-102 upset win over the Trail Blazers on Tuesday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Pelicans have been led by guard Jru Holliday who scored 33 points and added 9 assists in that Game Two win — but it has been his play on defense that has really made the difference. Holliday has been suffocating in his defense on Portland’s Damian Lillard. Lillard and his backcourt partner, C.J. McCollum have combined to score only 29 baskets in this series. This shapes up to be another relatively lower-scoring game. New Orleans has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Pelicans have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against an opponent that scored at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, while New Orleans has covered the point spread in seven straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least five straight contests. They return home where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their salt 12 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 9-2-1.
Portland (49-35) has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Trail Blazers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now Portland goes back on the road where they have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Trail Blazers have played all 6 games Under the Total. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (525) and the New Orleans Pelicans (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-18-18 |
Ducks v. Sharks OVER 5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-136 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (63) and the San Jose Sharks (64). San Jose (48-27-10) has the opportunity to close this series out tonight after they took a commanding 3-0 lead with their 8-1 win on Monday in Game Three of this series. The Sharks have seen the Over go 12-3-2 in their last 17 games after a win. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in San Jose’s last 7 games after a game where they scored at least 5 goals in their last game. The Sharks enjoyed eight Power Play opportunities in that game which was filled with Ducks’ committing penalties — and they scored on four of those Power Play chances. San Jose has then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after getting ate last eight Power Play chances in their last game. Furthermore, the Over is 4-0-1 in the Sharks’ last 5 games after allowing no more than two goals in their last game — and the Over is also 9-1-1 in their last 11 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last contest. San Jose can close this series out at home where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total.
Anaheim (45-28-13) has only scored three goals in this series — so they will be desperate to generate more offense tonight. The Ducks need to get more bodies in front of the net to pressure the Sharks’ goaltender Martin Jones. The Over is 3-1-1 in Anaheim’s last 5 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Over is also 3-1-1 in the Ducks’ last 5 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last contest. The Over is also 3-0-1 in Anaheim’s last 4 games when playing with one day of rest. But in trying to create more offense, the Ducks’ blue-line has creeped up into San Jose’s side of the ice which has made them vulnerable to the Sharks’ speed on rushes of their own. San Jose has scored fourteen goals in this series and do not seem to be letting up. Lastly, the Sharks have played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. 25* NHA 1st Round Pacific Division Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (63) and the San Jose Sharks (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-18-18 |
Wolves v. Rockets UNDER 215 |
|
82-102 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (521) and the Houston Rockets (522). Minnesota (47-36) was able to slow down the Rockets dynamic offense on Sunday in their 104-101 loss in the opening game of this series as an 11.5-point underdog. Houston made just 10 of their 37 shots (27%) from behind the arc in that game. Granted, James Harden scored 44 points with many of those points coming from layups — but head coach Tom Thibodeau has to be pleases with the Rockets only scoring ten fewer points than what they average at home. The Timberwolves have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Minnesota has also played 5 straight games Under the Total with two days of rest and preparation. Additionally, while the Timberwolves have covered the point spread in five straight games, they have then played 8 straight games on the road Under the Total after covering then point spread in at least four straight games. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing away from home.
Houston (66-17) has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win at home where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Rockets have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Houston stays at home for the second game of this series where they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total. Lastly, Houston has played 13 of the last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 20* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (521) and the Houston Rockets (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-18-18 |
Pacers v. Cavs OVER 212.5 |
|
97-100 |
Loss |
-107 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (517) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (518). Cleveland (50-33) looks to bounce-back from an embarrassing 98-80 upset loss to Indiana despite being a 7-point favorite on Sunday. The Cavaliers have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Cleveland has also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a double-digit upset loss as a home favorite. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 34 opportunities to avenge a loss, Cleveland has played 22 of those games Over the Total.
Indiana (49-34) has won eight of their last eleven games with their upset win on Sunday. The Pacers have then played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a double-digit win over a Central Division rival. Indiana certainly did not overachieve on the offensive end of the court in that game — they shot only 45.6% from the field which included shooting 11 of 28 (39.3%) of their shots from behind the arc. The Pacers are making 36.9% of their 3-point shots this season so their Sunday performance was propelled by them making just one more 3-pointer than what their averages would suggest. Moving forward, Indiana has played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in seven days. And in their last 9 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points, the Pacers have played 6 of these games Over the Total. 10* NBA Indiana-Cleveland TNT O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (517) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-17-18 |
Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 214 |
|
111-102 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (709) and the Portland Trail Blazers (710). New Orleans (49-34) looks to take a commanding 2-0 lead in this series after their 97-95 upset win over the Trail Blazers on Saturday as a 5-point underdog. The Pelicans have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset victory as a road underdog. New Orleans has now won and covered the point spread in six straight games. The Pelicans have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games — and they have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. New Orleans shot 47.7% from the field in Saturday by they made only 8 of their 24 shots (33.3%) from behind the arc.
Portland (49-34) shot only 31.9% of their shots in the first-half on Saturday and went into the locker room with a 45-36 deficit. The Trail Blazers outscored the Pelicans by a 59-52 score in the second-half — and if this game is played at that scoring pace tonight, this game will see a score finish well Over the Total. The Trail Blazers made only 12 of their 39 shots (30.8%) from behind the arc after a terrible first-half where they made only 3 of their 17 shots from 3-point land. Portland has played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Lastly, in games in the month of April with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, when the home team comes off a loss on their home court, these games finished Over the Total in 46 of the last 66 situations (70%) where these conditions applied. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (709) and the Portland Trail Blazers (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-17-18 |
Golden Knights v. Kings UNDER 5 |
|
1-0 |
Win
|
105 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (55) and the Los Angeles Kings (56). Los Angeles (45-32-8) finds themselves in desperate straits down 0-3 in this series after they lost by a 3-2 score to the Golden Knights on Sunday. But this veteran team will not panic tonight — eleven of their players were on the team that rallied from an 0-3 deficit to defeat San Jose in that best-of-seven series. All three of these games have been decided by just one goal — so the Kings do not a radical rethinking of what they are doing. Expect another low-scoring game as they have played 25 of their last 36 home games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal. Los Angeles has also played 25 of their last 35 home games Under the Total after suffering two straight losses by just one goal. Additionally, the Kings have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing three straight games to Pacific Division rivals. LA is having significant troubles scoring goals in this series as they have only beaten Vegas’ Marc-Andre Fleury three times in over 155 minutes of ice time (with Game Two needing double-overtime to resolve that 2-1 contest). The Under is a decisive 43-24-14 in the Kings’ last 81 games after a game where they failed to score more than two goals.
Vegas (54-27-7) has the reputation this season as a high-scoring team given that they finished 5th in the league with a 3.27 Goals-Per-Game scoring average. But the Golden Knights closed out the regular season scoring only 2.62 Goals-Per-Game since February 24th. Vegas has seen the Under go 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after a victory. The Knights have also seen the Under go 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Under 4-0-1. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total. 10* NHL Vegas-Los Angeles NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (55) and the Los Angeles Kings (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-17-18 |
Wizards v. Raptors OVER 213.5 |
|
119-130 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (705) and the Toronto Raptors (706). Washington (43-40) has lost six of their last seven games with their 114-106 loss to the Raptors on Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Wizards have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Washington has also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight games. Now the Wizards stay on the road for their third straight game — and they have played 39 of their last 49 games Over the Total when playing at least their third straight game on the road. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in Washington’s last 5 games on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Furthermore, the Wizards have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
Toronto (60-23) has now scored at least 108 points in four straight games after their win on Saturday. The Raptors have then played 18 of their last 29 games Over the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Toronto has now covered the point spread in five of their last six games — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. Additionally, the Raptors have played 10 of their last 11 home games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, Toronto has played 6 of these games Over the Total. 20* NBA Washington-Toronto NBA-TV Special with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (705) and the Toronto Raptors (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-16-18 |
Spurs v. Warriors OVER 204 |
|
101-116 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (703) and the Golden State Warriors (704). San Antonio (47-36) shot only 40% from the field on Saturday in their 113-92 loss to Golden State as a 7.5-point favorite. The Spurs should shoot much better tonight. They have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 15 points — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after a loss on the road by at least 20 points. Furthermore, the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss while the Over his also 3-1-1 in their last 5 game after a loss by at least 10 points. Additionally, San Antonio has played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss by at least 20 points. They stay on the road tonight where the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games away from home — and the Over is also 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
Golden State (59-24) has won two of their last three games with their win on Saturday. The Warriors host Game Two again in the Oracle Center — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in Golden State’s last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Over is also 3-1-1 in the Warriors’ last 5 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Oakland, the Over is 5-1-1. 20* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (703) and the Golden State Warriors (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-16-18 |
Heat v. 76ers UNDER 217 |
|
113-103 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (701) and the Philadelphia 76ers (702). Philadelphia (53-30) has won seventeen straight games after they pulled away in the second-half on Saturday in their 130-103 victory over Miami. The 76ers nailed 18 of 28 (64.3%) of their shots from behind the arc to overwhelm the Heat in that game. But Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. That win came on the heels of the 76ers’ 130-95 victory over the Milwaukee to close out the regular season last Wednesday. The 76ers have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Additionally, the 76ers have played a decisive 32 of their last 44 games Under the Total at home after covering at least their last two games as the favorite. Furthermore, Philly has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest.
Miami (44-39) has now lost three of their last four games after their Saturday defeat. The Heat have then played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. Additionally, Miami has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against an opponent that allowed at least 100 points in their last game. And while the Heat have failed to cover the point spread in six of their last eight games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. They stay on the road where they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in their last 35 opportunities to avenge a loss when playing on the road, Miami has played 23 of these games Under the Total. 10* NBA Miami-Philadelphia O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (701) and the Philadelphia 76ers (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-15-18 |
Wolves v. Rockets OVER 215 |
|
101-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). Minnesota (47-35) has won three straight games with their 112-106 win over Denver on Wednesday as a 4-point favorite. The Timberwolves have then played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least 100 points. Minnesota has also played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total agains teams with a winning record. The Timberwolves will be looking to avenge a 129-120 loss to the Rockets back on March 18th — and they have played 31 of their last 49 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss where their opponent scored at least 110 points. A problem for Minnesota has been trying to defense this Houston team as they have allowed the Rockets to score at a 129.8 Points Per 100 Possession rate in their four meetings this season.
Houston (65-17) has lost two of their last three games with their 96-83 loss in Sacramento as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Rockets have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Additionally, Houston has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a game where no more than 185 combined points were scored. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Lastly, these two teams have seen 14 of their last 17 meeting finish Over the Total — and in the last 9 encounters between these two teams in Houston, the game finished Over the Total 7 times. 10* NBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-15-18 |
Pacers v. Cavs OVER 213 |
|
98-80 |
Loss |
-102 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (511) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (512). Cleveland (50-32) has lost two of their last three games with their 110-98 loss to the Knicks as an 8-point favorite on Wednesday. The Cavaliers made only 39.4% of their shots in that game in what was their worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Over is 33-15-3 in the Cavaliers’ last 51 games after a double-digit loss. Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. The Over is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against fellow teams from the Central Division.
Indiana (48-34) has lost two of their last three games with their 119-93 upset loss to Charlotte as a 2-point favorite. The Pacers have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Now Indiana goes back on the road where they have played 13 of their last 17 road games Over the Total as an underdog in the 6.5 to 12 point range. Additionally, the Pacers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in the last seven days. Lastly, the Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Cleveland. 10* NBA Indiana-Cleveland O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (511) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-15-18 |
Bucks v. Celtics OVER 199.5 |
|
107-113 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). Boston (55-27) snapped their two-game losing streak to close out the regular season with their 110-97 upset win over Brooklyn on Wednesday. The Celtics have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, Boston has played 4 straight games Over the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. The Celtics have home court advantage in this series. They have played 4 straight games Over the Total on their home court — and they have seen the Over go 37-14-1 in their last 52 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.
Milwaukee (44-38) looks to bounce-back from their 130-95 loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday. The Bucks have then played a decisive 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Bucks have also played 7 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have 4 straight road games Over the Total when facing a team with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Milwaukee has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, in the last 10 meetings between these two teams, the Over is 8-1-1. 10* NBA Milwaukee-Boston O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-14-18 |
Sharks v. Ducks OVER 5 |
|
3-2 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (63) and the Anaheim Ducks (64). San Jose (46-27-10) scored three goals in the second period en route to their 3-0 shutout win in the opening game of this seven-game series. The Sharks have then seen the Over go 11-3-1 in their last 15 games after a victory. The Over is also 8-2-1 in San Jose’s last 11 games after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. The Sharks have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by at least three goals in their last game. San Jose has also played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total after a win over a Pacific Division rival. Despite that shutout, the Sharks have are still allowing 3.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. San Jose has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams that did not score more than two goals in their last contest.
Anaheim (45-26-13) will be desperate to get some offensive going after being shutout on Thursday. They closed out their regular season with a 3-0 shutout win in Arizona versus the Coyotes — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where no more than four combined goals were scored. Additionally, the Ducks have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when avenging a home loss that was decided by at least three goals. Furthermore, Anaheim has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 5 home games with the Total set at 5 or less, the Ducks have played 4 of these games Over the Total. 10* NHL Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (63) and the Anaheim Ducks (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-14-18 |
Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 217 |
|
97-95 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (507) and the Portland Trail Blazers (508). New Orleans (48-34) enters the NBA Playoffs coming off a 122-98 win over San Antonio as a 4-point favorite on Wednesday. The Pelicans made 59.1% of their shots against the Spurs and they will likely continue their hot shooting tonight. New Orleans has played a decisive 35 of their last 51 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points. The Pelicans have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after scoring at least 120 points in their last contest. This New Orleans team has scored at least 113 points in each of their last five games — and they have then played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games. Additionally, the Pelicans have played 23 of their last 35 games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in their last 5 games against Western Conference opponents, New Orleans has played 4 of these games Over the Total.
Portland (49-33) closed out the regular season with a 102-93 win over Utah on Wednesday as a 2-point favorite. The Trail Blazers held the Jazz to just a 37.1% field goal percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last 44 games in what looks to be a clear outlier performance. Portland has then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Portland hosts this game where they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Lastly, in their last 6 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals, the Trail Blazers have played 5 of these games Over the Total. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (507) and the Portland Trail Blazers (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-14-18 |
Heat v. 76ers OVER 214 |
|
103-130 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (505) and the Philadelphia 76ers (506). Philadelphia (52-20) flexed their muscles on offense to close out the regular season as they scored 130 points in their easy 130-95 blowout win over Milwaukee as a 6-point favorite. Look for the 76ers offense to pick up just where they left off in this opening game of their seven-game series with the Heat. Philadelphia has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Additionally, the 76ers have played a decisive 39 of their last 60 games Over the Total after a blowout win at home by at least 20 points — and this includes playing five of their last six games Over the Total in these situations. Furthermore, Philly has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a win by at least 30 points. And in their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points, the 76ers have played 4 of these games Over the Total. This team is on fire with a sixteen game winning streak entering the postseason — and they have played 21 of their last 33 games Over the Total after winning at least two games in a row. They also have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total in the month of April. And in their last 4 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, the 76ers have played all 4 of these games Over the Total.
Miami (44-38) snapped their two-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 116-109 win over Toronto as a 2.5-point favorite. The Over is then 8-3-1 in the Heat’s last 12 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 11-3-1 in their last 15 games after a point spread victory. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total. Miami has also played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Heat have played all 4 games Over the Total. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 20* NBA Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (505) and the Philadelphia 76ers (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-14-18 |
Wizards v. Raptors OVER 211 |
|
106-114 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 5:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). Washington (43-39) limps into the NBA Playoffs having lost five of their last six games after their 101-92 loss in Orlando as a 5.5-point favorite. The Wizards made only 34.7% of their shots which was their worst shooting performance in their last 35 games. Washington should play much better on offense tonight as they have played 36 of their last 53 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. The Wizards have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Washington has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 9 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals in the playoffs, the Over is 6-2-1 for the Wizards. Additionally, this Washington team has played a decisive 51 of their last 84 games Over the Total when on the road as the underdog.
Toronto (59-23) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 116-109 loss in Miami as a 2.5-point underdog. The Raptors have then played 18 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. And while the Raptors have scored at least 108 points in each of their last three games, they have then 17 of their last 28 games Over the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Toronto returns home where they have played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, the Raptors have played 5 of these games Over the Total. 10* NBA Washington-Toronto O/U Special with the Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-18 |
Kings v. Golden Knights OVER 5 |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (55) and the Vegas Golden Knights (56). Los Angeles (45-30-8) needs to generate offense tonight after being shutout on Wednesday in their 1-0 loss to the Golden Knights. The Kings have played 15 of their last 24 games Over the Total after allowing one goal or less in their last game. This team will have to rally around each other with their best blue-line player Drew Doughty suspended for this game given a shot to the head he delivered to a Vegas player in that opening game of this series. Missing Doughty hurts LA on both ends of the ice — but his absence will negatively impact them moreso on defense. The Kings were already thin on defense in terms of depth and experience with Jake Muzzin and Derek Forbort both out with injuries. Los Angeles will need to get their offense going tonight — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. The Kings have also played 16 of their last 25 games Over the Total when they are not playing more than their 5th game in the last fourteen days. And this Los Angeles team has played 3 straight games Over the Total when playing away from home with the Total set at 5 or less.
Vegas (52-24-7) saw their defenseman Shea Theodore score early in the period in Game One — and their defense along with goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury do the rest in holding the Kings’ scoreless. But the Golden Knights did face 30 shots in that game. Vegas has played 7 straight games Over the Total after a win by just one goal against a Pacific Division rival. The Golden Knights have also played 13 of their last 19 home games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Lastly, Vegas tends to play high-scoring games when on the Strip on a Friday night as they have played 13 of their last 14 games Over the Total. 10* NHL Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (55) and the Vegas Golden Knights (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-18 |
Wild v. Jets OVER 5.5 |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (53) and the Winnipeg Jets (54). Winnipeg (53-20-10) took Game One of this series on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory in a game where they scored two goals in the 3rd period to rally from a 2-1 deficit. The Jets entered that 3rd period with a 1-0 score before both teams found the back of the net two times. Expect the scoring to continue in this important game for the Wild that wants to avoid falling behind by an 0-2 deficit in this series. Winnipeg has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against opponents that did not score more than two goals in their last game. The Jets are scoring 3.9 Goals-Per-Game at home in the Bell MTS Place this season — and they are averaging 4.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Winnipeg peppered the Wild’s goalie Devan Dubnyk with 40 shots on Wednesday. They remain undermanned with their depth at the blue-line with Toby Enstrom and Dmitry Kulikov out with injuries. The Jets have won six straight games — and this will be their fourth game on home ice. Winnipeg has played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. The Jets have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing their fourth game at home in a row.
Minnesota (45-27-11) needs to put pressure on the Jets’ goalie Connor Hellebuyck after only peppering him with 20 shots on Wednesday. The Wild should see their top line of Eric Staal, Jason Zucker and Nino Niederreiter be more aggressive tonight after they failed to generate a combined point in Game One. The trio combined for only four shots on net and just two legitimate scoring opportunities in that game. Minnesota has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss to a Central Division rival. The Wild have also played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. And in their last 17 road games after a game where they allowed at least two goals in the 3rd period. Considering that Minnesota is allowing 3.5 Goals-Per-Game when on the road, they have to enter this game thinking they need to score at least three goals on Hellebuyck to win this game. Lastly, these two teams have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing in Winnipeg. 25* NHL 1st Round Central Division Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between Minnesota Wild (53) and the Winnipeg Jets (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-18 |
Flyers v. Penguins OVER 6 |
|
5-1 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (51) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (52). Pittsburgh (48-29-6) reminded everyone else in the NHL why they are the two-time defending Stanley Cup Champions as they dismantled the Flyers in the opening game of this series by a 7-0 score. It was amusing to read in many of the previews of this series that the Philly top line led by Claude Lemieux was better than the Penguins’ top line that remains anchored by Sidney Crosby. The greatest player in the world remains Crosby for my money — and he registered a natural hat trick against the Flyers to reassert his dominance in the league. Crosby helped expose a Philadelphia blue-line that lacks depth — and it is a significant concern that Shayne Gotisbehere had a -4 goal differential in that game despite being considered one of their top two defensemen along with Ivan Provorov. Expect the Pittsburgh offense to keep rolling tonight as they have played 7 straight games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. The Penguins have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on their home ice. Goalie Matt Murray removed any lingering concerns about his mediocre regular season by pitching his third straight shutout in the postseason — he has now played 206:26 minutes of playoff hockey without giving up a goal. I was not that worried about Murray’s ability to step up his game in the postseason — but he did close out the regular season with an .898 save percentage in his last eight regular season games so he should not suddenly be considered untouchable. Pittsburgh has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Penguins have now played 4 straight games Over the Total in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals.
Philadelphia (42-27-14) has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss by at least three goals in their last game. They must play more aggressively tonight particularly with their question marks between the pipes. Brian Elliott was pulled as their goaltender at the 9:01 mark of the second period after giving up five goals on 19 shots. Backup Petr Mrazek allowed another two goals on 14 shots in relief. Elliott will start tonight but he clearly lacks confidence which is not a good sign for a goalie who has a 2.70 Goals-Against-Average along with a subpar .905 save percentage in 42 postseason appearances. The Flyers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing on the road. Philadelphia has also played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Flyers have played 5 of these games Over the Total. 10* NHL Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (51) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (52). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-12-18 |
Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-5 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (11) and the Boston Bruins (12). Boston (50-20-9) is limping into the playoffs having lost four of their last five games after their 4-2 loss in Florida. The Bruins have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Boston has also played 6 straight home games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least two goals. The good news for this team is that they will be healthier for the playoffs with both Rick Nash and Sean Kuraly practicing with the team this week and listed as probable to play tonight after they were out for that recent losing stretch. With a core group of Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand and Zeno Chara, the Bruins still have the leadership team that led them to a Stanley Cup win in 2013. Expect this team to be prepared to grind out a lower scoring game in this opening salvo. Their offense is struggling as they are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Goalie Tuukka Rask has been solid this season with a 2.36 Goals-Against-Average and a .917 save percentage — but he has a very good resume in the playoffs which included raising the Cup as the starting goalie in that 2013 campaign. In 53 career starts in the playoffs, Rask has a 2.12 GAA along with a .928 save percentage. Rask also likes playing against the Maple Leafs as he enjoys a 2.14 GAA with a .925 save percentage in 25 career starts in the regular season against them. Moving forward, the Under is 18-6-3 in Boston’s last 27 games against fellow Atlantic Division opponents. The Under is 33-16-6 in the Bruins’ last 55 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher, Boston has played 5 of these games Under the Total.
Toronto (49-26-5) enters the playoffs having four of their last six games with their 4-2 win over Montreal. Head coach Mike Babcock perhaps got this team to overachieve last season by making the playoffs with such a young roster. Some critics have suggested this year’s team has not been as dynamic on offense when considering their great young talent led buy Auston Matthews. However, Babcock has been molding his team to be able to be comfortable playing in the harder-hitting games that typically are required to advance deep into the playoffs. The Maple Leafs have played 10 of their last 13 opening games to a new playoff series Under there Total. Toronto has also seen the Under go 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Goalie Frederik Anderson has been solid again this season with a 2.81 GAA and a .917 save percentage although those numbers are not as good as what he posted last year when he carried this team at times. But Anderson loves playing against the Bruins against whom he has a 2.09 GAA along with a .935 save percentage in eleven career starts. The veteran also has plenty of playoff experience with a 2.45 GAA and .915 save percentage in thirty-two postseason starts. The Maple Leafs have now allowed more than two goals in their last three regular season games. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in three straight contests. Lastly, in their last 8 trips to Boston, Toronto has played 6 of these games Under the Total. 25* NHL 1st Round Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (11) and the Boston Bruins (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-12-18 |
Devils v. Lightning UNDER 6 |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-103 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (9) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (10). Tampa Bay (54-23-3) closed out the regular season with a 3-2 loss in Carolina on Saturday. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Lightning’s last 4 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Tampa Bay has also played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest between contests. The Lightning host the first two games of this series where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. The Under is also 3-1-2 in their last 6 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 3-0-1 for Tampa Bay.
New Jersey (45-29-5) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 5-3 loss in Washington. The Devils have then played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after suffering two straight losses to Metropolitan Division rivals. New Jersey has also played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a road game where both teams found the back of the net at least three times. Additionally, the Devils have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days between contests. Keith Kinkaid will be making his postseason debut between the pipes tonight after posting a sizzling 1.34 Goals-Against-Average along with a .951 save percentage in three starts this month before Cory Schneider made the start on Saturday. New Jersey has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams from the Atlantic Division. The Under is also 9-4-2 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams. And in their last 4 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, the Under is 2-0-2. 10* NHL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (9) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-11-18 |
Flyers v. Penguins UNDER 6 |
Top |
0-7 |
Loss |
-104 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (5) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (6). Philadelphia (42-26-14) enters the playoffs having won four of their last five games with their 5-0 shutout over the Rangers last Saturday. Head coach Dave Hakstol tipped his hand by starting Brian Elliott in goal for their last two games after he missed 25 games through April 3rd — so he has to be pleased with that shutout to end the regular season. Elliott only made five starts after the All-Star Break but he was outstanding with a 1.94 Goals-Against-Average and a .918 save percentage. The Flyers have a good core of young players — but after their dynamic top line featuring Sean Couturier and Claude Giroux, the scoring prowess of their forwards drops off considerably. Philadelphia has only seven players who registered at least 30 points during the regular season. Expect the Flyers to play with more caution on the road in this opening game of the playoffs. They have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. The Under is also 5-1-1 in Philly’s last 7 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals.
Pittsburgh (47-29-6) has also won four of their last five games with their 4-0 shutout win over Ottawa last Friday. The Flyers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. These Penguins are considered to be not more than average with their blue-line — but I find those assessments undervaluing a group that helped the Penguins win the Stanley Cup for the second straight season. Pittsburgh has Kris Letang back to lead their defense after he missed all of the postseason last year with a herniated disc in his neck. But it was two years ago in the Pens’ first Cup run where Letang raised his level of play to establish that he was a top tier number one blue-liner. He is joined this year with many of the players that manned the blue-line in Brian Doumolin, Justin Schultz and Olli Maatta. I am loving that Game One of this series has a Total listed at 6 — let’s attack that number which is quite high for a playoff game. Head coach Mike Sullivan had his forwards help on defense in the playoffs last year to compensate for the absence of Letang which resulted in plenty of Unders — and I do not see him deviating from that winning formula. The Penguins were outscored this season in 5-on-5 play so I do not see Sullivan being too anxious in getting into a high scoring affair with the Flyers. Instead, Pittsburgh should be able to take advantage of their Power Play opportunities to grind out low-scoring games. The Penguins led the NHL with a Power Play Unit that converted on 26.2% of their chances. They also scored on 5 of their 13 Power Play chances in their four games against a Flyers’ team that ranked 29th in the NHL with a Power Play Kill Unit that was successful only 75.8% of the time. Pittsburgh also has a battle-tested net minder in Matt Murray who enjoys a 1.95 Goals-Against-Average with a .928 save percentage in 32 playoff games. Lastly, the Under is supported by two strong empirical situational angles. First, in games in the month of April with the Total set at 6 or higher, when the home team has won at least three of their last four games, the game finished Under the Total in 47 of these last 67 (70%) situations where these conditions applied since 1996. Second, in games involving a home team coming off a shutout win now facing a team did not allow more than one goal, these games finished Under the Total in 227 of the last 381 situations where these conditions applied since 1996. 25* NHL First Round Metropolitan Division Playoffs Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Flyers (5) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-11-18 |
Wild v. Jets OVER 5.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (3) and the Winnipeg Jets (4). Minnesota (45-26-1) will need to rely on their forwards to advance in these Stanley Cup Playoffs given their depleted blue line. The Wild are without their top defensive player in Ryan Suter who is out the season with a broken ankle. He was averaging 26:46 minutes per game before suffering that injury. Minnesota is likely without their second best defenseman in Jared Spurgeon who has missed the last twelve games with a groin injury — he is listed for questionable for tonight. That is not a good sign for a team that allowed 3.5 Goals Per Game when playing on the road this year. The Wild enter this game coming off a 6-3 win in San Jose last Saturday. The Over is 7-3-1 in Minnesota’s last 11 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Over is also 10-3-1 in their last 14 games when playing with at least three days of rest between contests. Additionally, the Over is 12-5-2 in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record.
Winnipeg (52-20-10) has won five games in a row as they enter the postseason after their 4-1 win over Chicago on Saturday. The Jets have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after win by at least three goals. Winnipeg has also played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Jets will be playing their first home game in the playoffs since April of 2015. They are scoring a 3.9 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice. Winnipeg has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total on their home ice — and they have also played 6 of their last 6 home games Over the Total agains teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Winnipeg, the game finished Over the Total all 7 times. 10* NHL Minnesota-Winnipeg O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Wild (3) and the Winnipeg Jets (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-10-18 |
Suns v. Mavs UNDER 209 |
Top |
124-97 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508). Phoenix (20-61) has lost two straight games after their 117-100 loss to Golden State on Sunday as a 12.5-point underdog. The Suns allowed the Warriors to make 52.2% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last three games. Phoenix has then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, the Suns gave played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on their home court. And in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, Phoenix has played 14 of these games Under the Total.
Dallas (24-57) has lost three straight games with their 109-97 loss in Philadelphia on Sunday as a 13.5-point underdog. The Mavericks allows the 76ers to make 50.5% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last nine games. Dallas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Mavericks have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Dallas returns home where they have played 22 of their last 32 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. The Mavs will be looking to avenge a 102-88 loss to the Suns in Phoenix back on January 31st — and they have played 18 of their last 28 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss on the road. Lastly, in the last 16 meetings between these two teams in Dallas, the game finished Under the Total 13 times. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (507) and the Dallas Mavericks (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-09-18 |
Cavs v. Knicks OVER 223 |
|
123-109 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (703) and the New York Knicks (704). Cleveland (49-31) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Friday with their 132-130 loss in Philadelphia as a 3.5-point underdog. The Cavaliers cannot blame their offensive effort in that game as they made 51.7% of their shots — and this came on the heels of their 54.5% field goal percentage against the Wizards in their previous game. The issue for this Cleveland team continues to be their defense. After allowing Washington to make 50% of their shots on Thursday, the Cavaliers saw the 76ers make 49.5% of their shots. Cleveland has played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a game where at least 245 combined points were scored. The Cavaliers have also played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total after a game where they allowed at least 115 points. Additionally, Cleveland has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring at least 130 points in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points. Furthermore, while the Cavaliers have allowed at least 106 points in each of their last three games, they have then played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. Cleveland has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Moving forward, the Cavs have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 26 of their last 37 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Cleveland still has plenty to play for as they are fighting to clinch 3rd seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They are undermanned with both point guards George Hill and Jose Calderon questionable with injuries — and they will miss their defensive play. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 26 of their last 41 games Over the Total when playing with a double-digit favorite.
New York (28-52) has lost five of their last six games with their 115-102 loss to Milwaukee on Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Knicks have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. And while New York has only covered the point spread once in their last six games, they have played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. This Knicks team is undermanned due to injuries with Tim Hardaway Jr out along with Enes Kanter and Emmanuel Mudiay both doubtful with injuries. But this team is seeing offensive production from unexpected places such as their second round draft pick Damyean Dotson who scored 30 points on Saturday in that loss to the Bucks. New York has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on their home court. The Over is also 11-4-1 in the Knicks’ last 16 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (703) and the New York Knicks (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-06-18 |
Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 210 |
|
73-92 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). Indiana (47-32) has won six of their last seven games with their 126-106 upset win over Golden State last night as a 3-point underdog. The Pacers made 53.8% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive performance in their last 28 games. The Regression Gods are likely to rear their ugly heads in this game given that outlier effort. As it is, Indiana has played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. The Pacers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, Indiana has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Pacers go back on the road where they have seen the Under go 18-7-1 in their last 26 games — and the Under is also 9-1-1 in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Indiana has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents.
Toronto (56-22) snapped their two-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 96-78 win over the Celtics. The Raptors have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win against a fellow Atlantic Division rival. Additionally, Toronto has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Moving forward, the Raptors have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And while the Pacers make 37.1% of their shots from 3-point range, Toronto has played 24 of their last 37 games Under the Total against teams that are making at least 36% of their 3-pointers. 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-05-18 |
Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 210 |
Top |
106-126 |
Loss |
-104 |
1 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (701) and the Indiana Pacers (702). Golden State (57-21) has won three straight games with their 111-107 upset victory at Oklahoma City on Tuesday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Warriors flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Thunder to just a 37.6% field goal percentage. This Golden State team is still playing without Stephen Curry but they do have their other Big Three players in Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green back healthy and on the court. The results have been lower scoring games with the team seeming to emphasize defense as they prepare for the playoffs. They have held their last five opponents to just 103.6 PPG as compared to their 107 PPG they allow for the season. The Warriors are also scoring just 105.6 PPG over those last five games which is far below the 113.9 PPG scoring average for the year. Golden State has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a win on the road. Additionally, the Warriors have played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now Golden State stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Warriors have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. They will be looking to avenge a 92-81 loss at home to the Pacers just back on March 27th — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss in the Oracle Center.
Indiana (46-32) saw their five-game winning stream snapped on Tuesday with their 107-104 loss in Denver as a 4.5-point underdog. The Pacers have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. Additionally, Indiana has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And in their last 29 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game, the Under is 21-6-1. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Pacers have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. Lastly, in their last 8 opportunities to host the Warriors, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. 25* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (701) and the Indiana Pacers (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-04-18 |
Mavs v. Magic UNDER 198 |
|
100-105 |
Loss |
-115 |
0 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (505) and the Orlando Magic (506). Dallas (24-54) snapped their three-game losing last night with their 115-109 upset win over Portland as a 7-point underdog. The Mavericks made 45.7% of their shots which was their best offensive effort in their last six games. Dallas has played 22 of their last 33 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset win. The Mavericks have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. And in their last 8 games after a point spread win, Dallas has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Mavericks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 20 of their last 28 games as an underdog getting 6 points or less. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, Dallas has played 4 of these games Under the Total.
Orlando (23-54) snapped their three-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 97-73 win in New York against the Knicks last night as a 1-point underdog. The Magic have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Orlando has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 4 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Magic have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Orlando has also played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Lastly, while the Magic are looking to avenge a 114-9 score back on January 9th, they have then played 33 of their last 54 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (505) and the Orlando Magic (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-02-18 |
Michigan v. Villanova UNDER 145.5 |
Top |
62-79 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Michigan Wolverines (601) and the Villanova (602). Villanova (35-4) made 13 of their 26 shots from behind the arc in the first-half on Saturday en route to their 95-79 win over Kansas. The memories of the Wildcats’ explosive first-half while making 55.4% of their shots and scoring 95 points against the Jayhawks will compel many bettors take expect another high scoring game and take the Over. The Wildcats 3-point shooting quickly regressed back to their mean in the second-half as they made only 5 of their 14 (35.7%) shots from 3-point land. And while Kansas and Michigan hold their opponents to just a 33.3% and 33.0% shooting percentage from the 3-point line, this Wolverines team does a much better job in contesting these shots. Michigan ranks 5th in the nation with their opponents taking only 29.8% of their shots from the field from downtown which is far lower than Kansas’ 39.1% 3-point attempt to field goal attempt ratio. The Jayhawks simply did not execute on defense in the opening moments of that game — and that combined with Villanova’s Omari Spellman exposing Kansas big man Udoka Azubuike out on the perimeter. It will be much harder to do that against Michigan who have already played three wars against a Purdue team that has a similar offensive profile as this Wildcats team. Mo Wagner is much more mobile than Azubuike which will help his defensive assignment against Spellman. So while Villanova will cover the point spread if they shoot 50% from 3-point land, there is simply plenty of reasons to conclude that was an outlier performance. I expect both teams to be nervy in this game given the pressure of the moment. Both of these teams also sacrifice offensive rebounding for getting back on defense — so the tempo of this game can quickly become a slower, half-court affair. The Wolverines only rebound 25.6% of their missed shots which is 270th in the nation. And while Villanova ranks 149th in the nation with a healthier 29.4% offensive rebound rate, that number dropped significantly to a 25.2% mark in Big East play. The Wildcats have covered all five of their games in the NCAA Tournament as the favorite — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after covering at least three straight games as the favorite. Villanova has also played 7 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court with the number set in the 145 to 149.5 point range. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less between games. And while the Wolverines hold their opponents to just 62.9 PPG, Villanova has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG.
Michigan (33-7) is now ranked 3rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency after their 69-57 win over Loyola-Chicago on Saturday. They held the Ramblers to just a 43.1% shooting mark while limiting them to making only 1 of their 10 shots from behind the arc. The Wolverines raised their level of play in January when Xavier Simpson finally earned the starting point guard job. Simpson is an outstanding defender who has stymied some of the best offensive guards in the nation — he will make things difficult for the Wildcats’ Jalen Brunson. It is defense that has gotten this Michigan team to the National Championship Game. They made only 42.4% of their shots against the Ramblers — and that was the fourth time in this NCAA Tourney in their five games where they did not shoot better than 44.7% from the field. Head coach John Beilein will try to slow the pace of this game. The Wolverines rank 324th in the nation by averaging only 64.8 possessions per game as compared to the 68.3 national average for possessions. Michigan also ranks 309th in the nation with a patient offense that averages 18.7 seconds per possession which is 1.5 seconds slower than the national average. This slower pace translates into the NCAA Tournament where the Wolverines have now played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Michigan has also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court as an underdog or pick ‘em. Additionally, the Wolverines have played 8 of their last 12 games on a neutral court Under the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 11 games when playing their second game in three days, Michigan has played 8 of these games Under the Total. 25* College Basketball Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Michigan Wolverines (601) and the Villanova (602). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-01-18 |
Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 |
|
0-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (957) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (958) listing both starting pitchers Chris Stratton and Rich Hill. Los Angeles (1-2) finally scored their first runs of the season yesterday with their 5-0 win over the Giants after losing two consecutive games by a 1-0 in their opening two games of the season. The Under is 7-2-1 in the Dodgers’ last 10 games after a win — and the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They give the ball to Hill tonight who was 12-8 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP last season. The left-hander with one of the nastiest curveballs in the majors was outstanding at home last season where he enjoyed a 2.77 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and .179 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.06 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and .233 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Los Angeles has played 37 of their last 57 home games with Hill on the mound. The Dodgers have also played 50 of their last 77 games Under the Total with Hill pitching at night. And in LA’s last 43 games when favorited at a -150 price or higher with Hill making the start, they have played 29 of these games Under the Total. He should fare well against this Giants team that has only produced 19 base hits and just two runs in their first three games this season. San Francisco has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. And in the Giants’ last 4 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower, they played all 4 games Under the Total.
San Francisco (2-1) has played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road. The Giants have also seen the Under go 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Chris Stratton who was 4-4 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP last season. The former 20th pick in the 2012 draft had an opponent’s batting average of .250 on the road last year which was much better than his .282 opponent’s batting average when at home. San Francisco has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when on the road. He should also pitch well against this struggling Dodgers’ lineup that has managed to scrape together just eleven base hits in their first three games. 10* MLB Sunday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (957) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (958) listing both starting pitchers Chris Stratton and Rich Hill. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-31-18 |
Kansas v. Villanova UNDER 155 |
Top |
79-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks (813) and the Villanova Wildcats (814). This is an interesting clash between two teams that love to attempt 3-point shots. Kansas (31-7) is attempting more 3-pointers than ever under Bill Self with 41.4% of their field goal attempts coming from behind the arc which is 80th in the nation. Jay Wright has been having his team take advantage of the 3-point shot for years now — this year’s Wildcats are attempting 47.1% of their shots from 3-point land which is 14th most in the nation. This importance on the 3-point shot extends to the defensive end of the court where both teams emphasize defending against these shots. The Jayhawks hold their opponents to just a 32.7% shooting mark from inside the arc while Villanova limits their opponents to just a 32.2% field goal percentage from 3-point land. I see these similar styles clashing to produce a lower scoring game between these two heavyweights that will be feeling the pressure of the Final Four. Kansas made only 43.5% of their shots on Sunday in their 85-81 win in overtime over Duke as a 3.5-point underdog. The Jayhawks have then played 18 of their last 26 road games Under the Total after a game where they scored at least 85 points. Kansas made 13 shots from 3-point land against the Blue Devils after making 10 shots from behind the arc in their previous game against Clemson — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after making at least 10 shots from behind the arc in each of their last two games. Additionally, while the Wildcats outscore their opponents by +16.4 PPG, the Jayhawks have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG.
Villanova (34-4) reached the Final Four with their 71-59 win over Texas Tech as a 6-point favorite last Sunday. The Wildcats held the Red Raiders to just a 33.3% shooting percentage in that victory. Villanova has raised their level of play on the defensive end of the court in this Big Dance as they have held their four opponents to scoring at just a 0.99 Points-Per-Possession rate. But concerns exist for the Wildcats on the offensive end of the court after they also made only 33.3% of their shots. Jay Wright credited the Red Raiders’ scouting and schemes to stymie their 3-point offensive attack. They made only 4 of their 24 (16.7%) shots from the 3-point line — and Kansas should be replicating those schemes with a week to prepare for this contest. Villanova has covered the point spread in all four of their NCAA Tournament games as the favorite — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after covering the point as the favorite in three straight games. 25* CBB Final Four Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks (813) and the Villanova Wildcats (814). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-31-18 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan UNDER 130 |
|
57-69 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (811) and the Michigan Wolverines (812). This is a matchup between two teams that are in many ways mirror images of each other — and this clash of similar styles will likely result in a lower scoring game. The Ramblers and Wolverines play at a slower and methodical pace when on offense which is why the Total opened in the 128 range (having gone a bit then this week). Loyola-Chicago averages 65.2 possessions per game while Michigan averages 64.5 possessions per game with both marks being far below the 68.2 possessions per game national average. Both these teams have very good defenses — the Ramblers rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive while the Wolverines rank 4th in the nation in that metic. Both of these teams are also aggressive in finding scoring opportunities in transition from their opponent’s missed shots. However, both of these teams also sacrifice offensive rebounding so they can get back on defense — Loyola-Chicago is 332nd in the nation in offensive rebounding while Michigan is not much better at 274th in the nation. But with both teams racing back on defense to thwart the other team’s fast break opportunities, this shapes up to become a half court affair where both teams get only one shot per possession. Michigan (32-7) has scored over a 1.00 Points-Per-Possession rate only once in this tournament — and that was against a Texas A&M team that did not match up well given their two big men on the court. The Wolverines’ offense has struggled against more versatile defense that are comfortable switching off their multiple pick-and-rolls. The Ramblers’ are happy to quickly switch on defense with their smaller lineup of interchangeable parts. In their 58-54 win over Florida State in the Elite Eight, Michigan shot just 38.8% from the field while making only 4 of their 22 (18.2%) of their 3-point shots. But because they held the Seminoles to just 31.4% shooting, they were able to eke out that game. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Wolverines’ last 6 games in the NCAA Tournament.
Loyola-Chicago (32-5) held Kansas State to just a 34.8% shooting percentage in their 78-62 victory in the Elite Eight last Saturday as a 1-point underdog. The Ramblers have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Loyola has not allowed more than 68 points in this tournament with their three of their opponents scoring just 62 points . The Ramblers made 57.4% of their shots in that win which tied for their best offensive effort in their last nine contests so they are likely to see that figure drop in this contest. Loyola-Chicago has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 10* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (811) and the Michigan Wolverines (812). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-30-18 |
Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Colorado OVER 157.5 |
Top |
71-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (781) and the Northern Colorado Bears (782). Northern Colorado (25-12) reached the Championship Game of the College Insider Tournament on Wednesday with their 99-80 win over Sam Houston State as a 10.5-point favorite. The Bears made 59% of their shots in that game — they are torching the nets to close out the season by making 52.7% of their shots over their last five games. They are scoring 89.9 PPG on their home court this season while making 49.9% of their shots. Northern Colorado has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games on their home court Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, not only have the Bears played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring 80 points in their last game but they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last contest. Northern Colorado made 17 of their 30 (56.7%) shots from behind the arc on Wednesday — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after making at least 13 shots from behind the arc in their last contest. Furthermore, the Over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games on their home court — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bears have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams outside the Big Sky Conference.
Illinois-Chicago (20-15) reached the Finals of the CIT with their 67-51 upset win at Liberty on Wednesday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Flames are finding their offense late in the season as the are shooting 46.6% from the field over their last five games which is a notch or so higher than their 45.2% season field goal percentage. Illinois-Chicago has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after an upset win. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a double-digit win on the road. Furthermore, this team has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Flames have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Illinois-Chicago has played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after winning three of their last four contests. Lastly, the Flames have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. 25* CBB CIT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (781) and the Northern Colorado Bears (782). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-29-18 |
Penn State v. Utah UNDER 135.5 |
|
82-66 |
Loss |
-101 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Penn State Nittany Lions (711) and the Utah Utes (712). Utah (23-11) held Western Kentucky to just a 34.8% shooting percentage on Tuesday en route to their 69-64 upset win over the Hilltoppers as a 2-point underdog. That was the Utes’ second straight upset victory after they pulled that deed in the Quarterfinals of the NIT at Saint Mary’s. Utah has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after two straight upset wins. Additionally, the Utes have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Utah has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against teams outside the Pac-12. The Utes’ style of play is to sacrifice offensive rebounding to get back on defense. They have pulled down only 7 and 3 offensive rebounds in their last two games — and they have then played 18 of their last 22 games Under the Total after not pulling down more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. And while the Nittany Lions make 45.9% of their shots, Utah has played 15 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field. The Utes have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range.
Penn State (25-13) held the Bulldogs to just a 39.6% shooting percentage on Tuesday in their 75-60 win over Mississippi State as a 2.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions nailed 11 of their 20 (55%) from behind the arc in that game — but they have then played 27 of their last 35 games Under the Total after making at least 50% of their shots from behind the arc in their last contest. Penn State finds themselves the favorite in this contest. They have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total as the favorite while also playing five of their last six games Under the Total when favored away from home by 3.5 to 6 points. Lastly, the Nittany Lions have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big Ten. 10* CBB Penn State-Utah ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Penn State Nittany Lions (711) and the Utah Utes (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|