All Sports Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
05-25-19 |
Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 213 |
|
94-100 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). THE SITUATION: Toronto (69-30) seized a 3-2 in this series on Thursday with their 105-99 upset victory in Milwaukee as a 7.5-point underdog. The Bucks (70-26) has lost three straight games and look to avoid elimination in the playoffs tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors have played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total after a win at home — and the Under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after a straight-up victory. Toronto has also played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games. The Raptors success in this series has come from their efforts on the defensive end of the court. In the playoffs, Toronto has held its opponents to just 41.7% shooting from the field. The Raptors have completely stymied the Bucks in their half-court offense since the third game of this series when head coach Nick Nurse moved Kawhi Leonard to be the primary defender against Giannis Antetokoumpo. The Greek Freak has made only 11 of his 31 attempted shots (35.5%) in the 131 possessions in this series where he has been defended by Leonard while dishing only 4 assists and committing 5 turnovers while attempting only three free throws in those possessions. In Game Five, Milwaukee scored at just a 0.63 Points-Per-Possession in the half court. But Toronto is making only 40.5% of their shots themselves over the first five games of this series. Moving forward, the Raptors have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 16 playoff games Under the Total when leading in the series. Milwaukee has played 14 of the 20 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Additionally, the Bucks have played 21 of their last 31 road games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 27 of their last 42 road games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while Milwaukee has not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total when looking to avenge two straight losses to their opponent. Milwaukee has also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-23-19 |
Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 |
|
105-99 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (507) and the Milwaukee Bucks (508). THE SITUATION: Toronto (68-30) evened this series at 2-2 on Tuesday with their 120-102 upset victory over Milwaukee (70-25) as a 3-point underdog. The Bucks return home to host the fifth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Head coach Nick Nurse has found success over the last two games defending Giannis Antetokounmpo by moving Pascal Siakam over to defend Eric Bledsoe with Kawhi Leonard taking over the primary ball-handling responsibilities against the Greek Freak. Toronto is also matching up with Antetokounmpo higher up on the key while aggressively double-teaming him when he begins to attack the basket. These strategies have worked in the last two games of this series as Antetokounmpo has made only 14 of his 33 shots (42.4%) while committing 12 turnovers over that span. The Raptors are holding their playoff opponents to just 41.5% shooting from the field. But the increased expectations on Leonard in defending Giannis may be negatively impacting his efforts on the offensive end of the court. Leonard scored only 19 points on Tuesday as he looks both fatigued and limited with what appears to be a painful left leg injury. Leonard finally got some help in Game Four with Kyle Lowry leading the team with 25 points and Norman Powell scoring 18 points while leading the team with 18 shot attempts. Toronto made 47.1% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. The Raptors enjoyed an effective field goal percentage of 61.3% with their 40 uncontested shots from behind the arc in Games Three and Four of this series on their home court. Coincidentally, Toronto also launched 40 uncontested 3-pointers in Games One and Two of this series in Milwaukee but they enjoyed only a 47.5% eFG on those shots in the hostile environment. The Raptors are making only 40.7% of their shots over their last five games — and they made only 71 of their 179 shots (40%) in Games One and Two of this series on the road. The Under is 7-2-1 in Toronto’s last 10 road games — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. And while the Bucks have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after suffering two straight point spread losses. The Bucks need to tighten things up on defense after allowing the Raptors to make 47.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last eight games. Milwaukee has still held their last five opponents to just a 39.3% shooting percentage. Returning home should help as the Bucks limit their guests to only 42.7% shooting on the season. But Milwaukee is making only 42.7% of their shots over their last five games with an offense that is stale and too often stalling when in their half-court sets.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when it was the fifth game in a playoff series. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games in the playoffs when the series was tied. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (507) and the Milwaukee Bucks (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-21-19 |
Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 217.5 |
|
102-120 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). THE SITUATION: Toronto (67-30) made this is a 2-1 series on Sunday with their 118-112 victory over Milwaukee (70-24) in double-overtime as a 2.5-point favorite. The Raptors host the fourth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Toronto has seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a straight-up win. The Raptors pulled out Game Three of this series despite making only 40% of their shots inside the arc which was the fifth lowest shooting effort for their 2-point shots in their 97 games this season. Toronto made 17 of their 45 shots (37.8%) of their 3-pointers to stay competitive in that game. Yet that was only the fourth time in these playoffs that a team made at least 36% of their shots from behind the arc against the Bucks. The Raptors have made only 39.9% of their shots over their last five games. In this postseason, Toronto is scoring at just a 0.99 Points-Per-Possession rate which is -5.0 PPP below the woeful Knicks who had the least efficient offense in the NBA in the regular season. Going deeper, if it seemed like the Raptors blew a bunch of layups on Sunday, it is because they did: Toronto is converting a mere 43% of their layup attempts coming from their half-court offense in this series. But the Raptors are hanging their hat on their defensive efforts as they have held their playoff opponents to just 41.2% shooting. Additionally, Toronto has limited the Bucks to scoring only 80 Points per 100 Possessions in the half court in the first three games of this series. The Raptors have been beaten on the boards by at least -6.0 Rebounds Per Game in each of the three games in this series — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after getting being out-rebounded by at least 5 boards in three straight games. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 15 fourth games of a playoff series Under the Total. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while the Bucks had won and covered the point spread in their previous six games before suffering their loss on Sunday, they have then played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after winning at least four of their last five games. Milwaukee has also played 13 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four contests. The Bucks are struggling to execute their offense as well in this series — they have made only 42.4% of their shots over their last five games while converting only 29.5% of their shots from behind the arc in this series. Milwaukee has also made only 52% of their layup attempts from their half-court offense in this series. The move by Toronto head coach Nick Nurse to have Kawhi Leonard handle the one-and-one defensive assignment against Giannis Antetokounmpo paid dividends in Game Three with the Greek Freak missing 11 of his 16 shots attempts en route to just 12 points. But the Bucks are playing outstanding defense as well as they have limited their last five opponents to just 37.5% shooting from the field. Furthermore, Milwaukee has played 4 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: While Game Three (fortunately) finished Over the Total, it needed the two overtime periods to get there after that game concluded regulation time knotted at 96 points apiece. Expect another lower scoring game that will not need overtime to resolve. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (503) and the Toronto Raptors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-21-19 |
Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the St. Louis Blues (26). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (56-35-9) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Sunday with their 5-0 victory over San Jose (56-36-7). The Blues return home tonight as they attempt to close out this series to advance to the Stanley Cup Finals. The Sharks are big money-line underdogs given the injury status of Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl, and Joe Pavelski. Reports this afternoon indicate Karlsson and Hertl did not make the trip to St. Louis with Pavelski still being a game-time decision (and, hence, I am comfortable making my call on this game with that updated information).
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Jose has scored only one goal in the last two games since their controversial hand pass helped Karlsson score the winning goal in overtime in the third game of this series. The Sharks were still in a close game on Sunday midway through the second period before Hertl took a big hit that was not called for a penalty. Instead, Hertl was unable to return for the third period and joined both Pavelski and Karlsson in suffering game-ending injuries. Don’t read much into the final score where the Sharks allowed five goals as San Jose committed 32 minutes of penalties in the final 20 minutes of that game that was likely lost. The Sharks will be without at least two important pieces on offense with Karlsson and Hertl out. San Jose can only grind out a low-scoring game tonight. But don’t count them out — goaltender Martin Jones owns a sensational .943 save percentage in the four elimination games he has played this season which includes two overtime periods as he has stopped the 149 of the 158 shots he has faced which is a pretty large sample size. The Sharks have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. San Jose has also played 14 of their last 20 sixth games of a playoff series Under the Total. Additionally, the Sharks have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least three goals. They have also played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total after failing to score more than one goal in two straight games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in San Jose’s last five games on the road. St. Louis has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a shutout victory — and they have played 6 of their last 8 Under the Total after allowing no more than one goal in two straight games. Additionally, not only have the Blues played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a shutout win on the road but they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least three goals. Much of St. Louis’ success has come from not giving the Sharks’ too many chances with a man-advantage. The Blues have committed only 12 minor penalties in this series — and that has helped them allow only two Power Play goals in this series. The Under is 18-6-2 in St. Louis’ last 26 home games when a favorite priced in the -151 to -200 range — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 playoff games priced in the -151 to -200 range.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least four goals. The Sharks can win this game — but they need to focus most of their energies on stopping the Blues’ from scoring and make this a tight game in the third period where their experience gives them an edge. 25* NHL Tuesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the St. Louis Blues (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-20-19 |
Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 219 |
|
119-117 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (501) and the Portland Trail Blazers (502). THE SITUATION: Golden State (68-29) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 110-99 upset win in Portland (61-36) as a 2.5-point favorite. The Trail Blazers host Game Four as they hope to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 4 straight games Under the Total after an upset win as an underdog. Golden State has now covered the point spread in three of their last four games — and, not only have they played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread win, but they have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Additionally, the Under is 16-7-1 in the Warriors’ last 24 games when playing with one day of rest. Golden State will likely be without Andre Iguodala tonight who is listed as questionable with a right calf injury while being declared as “unlikely” to play. While Iguodala is ball hawk on defense, the Warriors’ will likely miss his contributions on offense even more tonight. He will likely be replaced in the starting lineup with Alfonzie McKinney who is a good defensive player but not nearly as effective on the offensive end of the court. Golden State has been installed as the favorite for this game — and they have played 31 of their last 51 games Under the Total as a road favorite of 6 points or less. The Warriors have also played 7 of their last 8 games in the Western Conference Finals Under the Total. Portland has blown halftime leads of 13 points in each of the last two games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after leading at halftime by double-digits in two straight games. The Blazers have to play better on the defensive end of the court after allowing the Warriors to score at least 110 points in their third straight game. An adjustment head coach Rick Stotts made on Saturday was to start Meyers Leonard for Enes Kanter and only insert Kanter on the court when Steph Curry gets a rest. Curry has simply burned the Blazers on pick-and-rolls with Kanter has been on the floor as he is a significant defensive liability. Leonard is a better defensive player — but he does not offer nearly the same offensive skills as Kanter. Scotts moved away from this approach in the second half in Game Three — expect him to stay committed to this tactic in Game Four which will contribute to a lower scoring game on both ends of the court. Portland has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 110 points in three straight games. But the Blazers are also struggling to score points — especially in the second half. Damian Lillard is shooting only 32% in this series — and he has made only fifteen baskets in the first three games of this series. Lillard may be slowed down by the rib injury he suffered in the middle of Game Two. Or, he simply may be getting tired with his teammates. The Trail Blazers have not had more than the standard one day off since May 12th — and they enjoyed more than one day off between games just once since April 29th. That seven-game series with Denver which included four games in the high altitude of the Mile High air may have really taken a toll as well. Portland has played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total with a 44.2% field goal percentage in Game Two of this series being their best shooting mark over that span.
FINAl TAKE: The Trail Blazers have played 38 of their last 62 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Portland has also played 12 of their last 20 fourth games of a playoff series Under the Total. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (501) and the Portland Trail Blazers (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-19 |
Cubs v. Nationals OVER 9.5 |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday. we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (913) and the Washington Nationals (914) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Jeremy Hellickson. THE SITUATION: Washington (18-26) has won three of the last four games after winning the second game of this series last night by a 5-2 score. Chicago (26-16) has lost three of their last four games.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nationals have seen the Over go 15-7-1 in their last 23 third games of a series. The Over is a decisive 30-14-3 in their last 47 games at home — and the Over is also 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Washington has also played 36 of their last 57 home games Over the Total when playing at night. They give the ball to Hellickson who is 2-2 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in seven starts this season. The right-hander has struggled at home where he sees his ERA and WHIP rise to 8.04 and 1.79 marks — and his opponents are hitting .299 when he is pitching in Washington. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Hellickson had a 4.50 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .260 at home as compared to his 3.03 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and .218 opponent’s batting average when he was pitching on the road. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Nationals’ last 5 home games with Hellickson on the hill — and Washington has played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with Hellickson pitching when priced in the +/- 125 range. He faces a hot-hitting Cubs team that is scoring 6.4 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .274 batting average along with a .345 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .833. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, the Cubs have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total with the number set in the 8.5 to 10 range — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total on the road with the number set in that 8.5 to 10 range. They counter with Hendricks who is 3-4 with a 2.86 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in eight starts. The deeper sabermetrics are not nearly as encouraging as those frontline numbers with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.13 and 3.86 respectively moving forward. And while the right-hander has been outstanding at home in Wrigley Field where he has a 0.62 ERA with a 0.72 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .180, those numbers skyrocket to a 5.91 ERA with a 1.73 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .330 on the road in four starts.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing in Washington. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (913) and the Washington Nationals (914) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Jeremy Hellickson. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-19 |
Bucks v. Raptors OVER 219.5 |
Top |
112-118 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (549) and the Toronto Raptors (550). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (70-23) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Friday with their 125-103 victory as a 6-point favorite over Toronto (66-30). The Raptors host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Milwaukee has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. This Bucks team has won and covered the point spread in six straight games. Milwaukee has then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning at least five straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four straight contests. The Bucks have dominated the boards in this series as they have out-rebounded Toronto by 15 and 14 boards in the first two games of this series. Milwaukee has then played 28 of their last 39 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last two foes by at least 10 rebounds. The Bucks have also held their last five opponents to just 38.1% shooting from the field — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after their last five opponents shot no better than 42% over that span. Now after playing their last three games on their home court, Milwaukee goes back on the road where they are scoring 116.8 PPG on 47% shooting from the field. The Bucks have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing their last three games at home. Milwaukee has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Furthermore, the Bucks have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total as an underdog. Toronto has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And while they have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games as well as six of their last eight contests, the Raptors have then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after they have failed to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Toronto shot just 42.5% from the field on Friday — but they return home where they are scoring 113.8 PPG while making 47.4% of their shot attempts. The Raptors have played 14 of their last 21 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing three of these last four situations Over the Total when playing on their home court.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has lost their last three encounters with the Bucks — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge. The Raptors have also played 34 of their last 54 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 110 points. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (549) and the Toronto Raptors (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-19 |
Royals v. Angels UNDER 9 |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 4:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (925) and the Los Angeles Angels (926) listing both starting pitchers Danny Duffy and Tyler Skaggs. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (22-23) has won the first two games of this series with their 6-3 victory over the Royals yesterday. Kansas City (15-31) has lost four straight games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Angels have seen the Under go a decisive 49-23-5 in their last 77 games after a win — and the Under is 37-18-5 in their last 60 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against teams who are not more than 40% of their games on the road. They give the ball to Skaggs who is 4-3 with a 5.05 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in seven starts this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.19 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .209 in two starts. Skaggs was 8-10 last year with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP — but the deeper sabermetrics were bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.86 and 3.79. Skaggs was dominant over his first nineteen starts last season before three separate stints on the disabled list slowed down his campaign. Over those first nineteen starts, Skaggs had a 2.62 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP while registering eleven Quality Starts. His increased reliance on his change-up resulted in a 25.5% strikeout rate over that span presented great promise for what he could accomplish this season. With him making just his third start at home this season, he is an undervalued commodity this afternoon. The Angels have played 4 straight games Under the Total with Skaggs on the hill — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games in the afternoon with Skaggs making the start. He faces a Royals team that is scoring 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with just a .243 batting average along with a .301 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .606 over that span. Kansas City has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. The Royals have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range — and the Under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 road games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Duffy who is 2-1 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in four starts this season. His one start on the road was successful as he surrendered only two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work in Houston. While that is not nearly enough of a sample size to trust, the left-hander was much more effective on the road last season where he had a 3.94 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .256 as compared to his 6.31 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, and .276 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Royals’ last 5 road games with Duffy facing a team with a losing record. Duffy had shoulder issues that saw his ERA rise to a 4.88 ERA — but he still has averaged a 3.47 ERA over the last four seasons. He seems to be in better form again this season. He faces an Angels team that has seen the Under go 18-7-1 in their last 26 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Under is also 5-0-2 in Los Angeles’ last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Angels score only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed pitching while posting a .230 batting average along with a .293 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .693.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams — and the Under is also 3-0-1 in the last 4 contests between these two teams when playing in LA. 10* MLB Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (925) and the Los Angeles Angels (926) listing both starting pitchers Danny Duffy and Tyler Skaggs. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-18-19 |
Warriors v. Blazers OVER 220.5 |
|
110-99 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (547) and the Portland Trail Blazers (548). THE SITUATION: Golden State (67-29) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Thursday with their 114-111 win at home over Portland (61-35). The Trail Blazers return home where they will host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Golden State has also seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Warriors have won four straight games — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight contests. And while Golden State has scored at least 114 points in those last three victories, they have then played 15 of their last 22 road games Over the Total after scoring at least 110 points in three straight games. The Warriors have shot at least 49.4% from the field in their last three games as they adjust to life without Durant — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games on the road Over the Total after shooting at least 47% from the field in three straight games. The Over is also 3-0-1 in Golden State’s last 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Warriors are scoring a robust 117.7 PPG on the road while making 49% of their shots from the field. And in these playoffs, Golden State is scoring 117.6 PPG while making 48.9% of their shots. Portland has played 12 of their last 16 games after a straight-up loss. The Blazers were out-rebounded by a 56 to 39 margin in Game Two — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after being out-rebounded by at least 15 boards in their last contest. Additionally, Portland has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing at least two games in a row. The Blazers return home where they are making 47.5% of their shots which is generating 118.1 PPG. The Over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 games on their home court — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Portland has also covered the point spread in 25 of their last 41 home games Over the Total as the favorite. Moving forward, the Blazers have played 6 of their last 9 playoff games Over the Total when trailing in the series. Portland has also played 4 straight Game Threes Over the Total in the playoffs.
FINAL TAKE: The Trail Blazers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss by 3 points or less in their last game. With this being a must-win game for Portland, they will either score a bunch of points to overwhelm the Warriors or feel the need to extend the game to keep their chances alive. 10* NBA Saturday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (547) and the Portland Trail Blazers (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-17-19 |
Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215.5 |
Top |
103-125 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (545) and the Milwaukee Bucks (546). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (69-23) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday with their 108-100 victory over Toronto (66-29). The Bucks host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks won this game despite shooting just 39.8% from the field which was the lowest shooting mark in their last five games. The seven-day break they experienced after defeating the Celtics in five games resulted in some cold shooters for this Milwaukee team. The Bucks made only 11 of their 44 shots from behind the arc for a 25% shooting clip which was well below their 35.8% percentage when playing at home. Milwaukee scores a robust 119.0 PPG when playing at home given their up-tempo pace and their 47.8% field goal percentage. The Bucks have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Milwaukee should be primed for a better shooting effort tonight as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Bucks have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning five games in a row (as they have after dropping Game One of their series with Boston. Milwaukee has also played 4 straight second games of a playoff series Over the Total. And while the Bucks have not allowed their last three opponents shoot better than 37.8% from the floor, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not allowing their last three opponents to make more than 42% of their shots in three straight games. Toronto entered the fourth quarter of Game One with 83 points but only Kyrie Lowery managed to score a field goal in those final 12 minutes of play with Kawhi Leonard showing signs of fatigue by missing all three of his field goal attempts during that span. The Raptors shot just 37% from the field which was the lowest shooting effort in their last six games. Toronto has played 19 of their last 30 games Over the Total as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 range — and this includes them playing five of these last eight situations Over the Total. The Raptors have also played 6 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total when an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. And in their last 6 playoff games in the second game of the series, Toronto played 4 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Raptors have played 16 of their last 26 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. And while Toronto has lost the last two games between these two teams, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when looking to avenge at least two straight losses to their opponent. 25* NBA Friday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (545) and the Milwaukee Bucks (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-16-19 |
Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220 |
|
111-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (543) and the Golden State Warriors (544). THE SITUATION: Golden State (66-29) won the opening game of this series on Tuesday with their 116-94 victory over Portland (61-34) as a 7-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Under is also 15-6-1 in Golden State’s last 22 games when playing with one day of rest. Even without the injured Kevin Durant, the Warriors shot 50% from the field which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. Golden State got 36 points from their reserves on Tuesday which was out of character for that group as they were just 28th of the 30 NBA teams in terms of scoring production from their bench. The Warriors stay at home tonight where they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total — and they have played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total at home favored by 6.5 to 12 points. Golden State has also now played 6 straight games Under the Total in the Western Conference Finals. Portland lacked focus on the defensive end of the court as the 50% field goal percentage for the Warriors was the worst defensive effort in their last seven contests. The funk that Portland endured extended to their head coach with Terry Stotts being having his team play too far off Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson as if the bigger threat on offense was the Warriors role players who were still dealing with one-on-one defenders. It is incredible — after Houston overcompensated in the sixth and final game in that series by barely paying attention to the non-Splash Brothers in the first half of that game, the Blazers pulled a complete 180-degree turn as they focused more efforts trying to slow down the likes of Kevon Looney. Needless to say, I expect Stotts and this Portland team to find a happy medium where they correctly identify the Splash Brothers as the two biggest scoring threats for the Warriors without then leaving open shots for the remaining three Golden State players on the court. Portland’s success in these playoffs has been in large part due to their improved play on the defensive end of the court as they have held their playoff opponents to just a 43.6% field goal percentage. But the Blazers are making just 41.3% of their shots this postseason. They have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. Portland has also played 4 straight games Under the Total in the second game of a playoff series. And while Golden State nails 38.5% of their 3-point shots, the Trail Blazers have played 42 of their last 69 games Under the Total against teams who make at least 36% of their shots from behind the arc.
FINAL TAKE: Portland has played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponent. These two teams have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing in the Oracle Center at Golden State. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (543) and the Golden State Warriors (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-16-19 |
Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Carolina Hurricanes (16). THE SITUATION: Boston (60-29-9) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 2-1 victory on the road at Carolina (54-35-7). The Hurricanes look to stave off elimination tonight as they host Game Four tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Carolina has scored only five goals in the first three games of this series. Much of this can be blamed on their struggling Power Play as the Hurricanes have failed to score in eleven straight opportunities with the man-advantage in this series. Overall, Carolina has scored only 5 Power Play goals in their 50 opportunities for a 10% success rate in this postseason. But the Hurricanes are also facing a red hot goaltender in Tuukka Rask. The Bruins have won six straight games with Rask sporting a 1.50 Goals-Against-Average over that span while stopping 196 of the 205 shots he has faced in those six games for a sensational .956 save percentage. Carolina came out on fire on Tuesday as they peppered Rask with 20 shots. But after Rask stopped every one of those shot attempts, this Hurricanes team look frustrated as they fell behind then by a 2-0 score before narrowing that game to a one-goal deficit before finally losing that game. Carolina probably took from that game that they cannot expect to win high scoring games with this Bruins team — so they will likely be looking to eke out a low-scoring game. The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal on their home ice. Carolina has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing three straight games — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total after losing at least three in a row. And while this is the Hurricanes’ fifth game in the last fourteen days, they have then played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days. Carolina will likely stick with Curtis McElhinney between the pipes after he stopped 29 of the 31 shots he faced on Tuesday. The Hurricanes are allowing only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game when playing at home. Boston is allowing only 2.1 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs — and they have given up just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. The Bruins have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a narrow win by just one goal. Boston has also played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. And while the Bruins have won six straight games in a row, they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after winning at least six games in a row. Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 30 of their last 47 games Under the Total when playing at least two straight games away from home. The Bruins have also played 15 of their last 23 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. And in their last 26 games in the playoffs when favored priced in the -110 to -150 price range, the Under is 15-6-5.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least one goal. The Hurricanes have also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Carolina Hurricanes (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-19 |
Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 218.5 |
|
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (531) and the Milwaukee Bucks (532). THE SITUATION: Toronto (66-28) survived their seven-game series with their 92-90 victory over Philadelphia as a 6-point favorite on Sunday. Milwaukee (68-23) takes the court again for the first time since last Wednesday when they closed out their five-game series with Boston with their 116-91 victory as an 8.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 7-3-1 in the Raptors’ last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Toronto has also played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. And while the Raptors have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in their last two contests. Toronto is playing outstanding defense as they have held their playoff opponents to just 41.3% shooting which has translated into just 96.0 PPG. But the Raptors are also struggling to score baskets as they have made only 43.6% of their shots over their last five games which has resulted in just 102.8 PPG during that span which is -10.3 PPG below their season average. Milwaukee has played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And while the Bucks have covered the point spread in eight of their last nine games, they have then played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Milwaukee is also playing outstanding defense this postseason as they are holding their playoff opponents to just 39.9% shooting which has resulted in 101.6 PPG which is -6.9 PPG below their season average. But the Bucks are also shooting only 43.5% from the field in their last five games which has generated 113.0 PPG which is -5.0 PPG below their season scoring average. Milwaukee stays at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower scoring game between these two teams as they begin this seven-game series. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (531) and the Milwaukee Bucks (532). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-19 |
Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (13) and the St. Louis Blues (14). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (54-34-9) evened this series at 1-1 on Monday with their 4-2 victory in San Jose (55-34-7) over the Sharks. The Blues return home to host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: St. Louis has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals. The Under is also 19-7-3 in the Blues’ last 29 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last contest. Now St. Louis returns home where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. This team has also played 4 of the last 5 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied. The Blues do have some issues with their offense. Their star scorer, Vladimir Tarasenko, has scored only one goal in his last eight games. Tarasenko’s scoring slump has correlated with St. Louis struggling to score goals when on the Power Play. Over their last eight games, the Blues have scored only once in their last twenty-eight Power Play chances which includes them not scoring in their Power Play chances in this series. San Jose is also struggling to score with the man advantage as of late — they have scored only two Power Play goals in their last fifteen opportunities for a 13.3% success rate in their last five games. The Sharks are not getting much scoring after their top-two forward lines. San Jose has played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least two goals — and this includes them playing six of those last nine situations Under the Total. Now the Sharks go back on the road where the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Under is also 3-1-1 in San Jose’s last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 6-2-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams — and this includes the Under going 2-0-2 in the last four games when played in St. Louis. 20* NHL San Jose-St. Louis NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (13) and the St. Louis Blues (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-19 |
A's v. Mariners OVER 9 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (973) and the Seattle Mariners (974) listing both starting pitchers Brett Anderson and Mike Leake. THE SITUATION: Seattle (21-23) won the opening game of this series over Oakland (19-24) with their 6-5 victory.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 10-2-2 in the Mariners’ last 14 games after a win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Seattle has also seen the Over go 6-0-1 in their last 7 games at home. They give the ball to Leake who is 2-4 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in eight starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.65 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .333 in three starts as compared to his 4.15 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and .273 opponent’s batting average in five starts on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where he had a 4.55 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and .287 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 4.20 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and .274 opponent’s batting average when pitching on the road. The Mariners have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Leake pitching against a team with a losing record. He faces an A’s team that is scoring 5.3 Runs-Per-Game on the road. The Over is also 15-5-1 in Oakland’s last 21 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. The A’s have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have also played 27 of their last 38 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. They stay on the road where the Over is 20-7-1 — and they have played 4 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. They counter with Anderson who is 4-2 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in eight starts. The left-hander has seen his ERA rise to a 4.30 mark in his four starts on the road. Anderson struggled on the road last year where he was saddled with a 6.06 ERA with a 1.57 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .335. The Over is 5-2-1 in the A’s last 8 road games with Anderson facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Mariners team that has played 14 of their last 16 home games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Seattle has also seen the Over go 15-4-2 in their last 21 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.
FINAL TAKE: Expect both starting pitchers to surrender their share of runs in this one. 10* MLB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Oakland A’s (973) and the Seattle Mariners (974) listing both starting pitchers Brett Anderson and Mike Leake. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-19 |
Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220.5 |
Top |
94-116 |
Win
|
101 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (533) and the Golden State Warriors (534). THE SITUATION: Portland (61-33) advanced to the Western Conference Finals on Sunday with their 100-96 upset victory in Denver as a 5.5-point underdog. Golden State (65-29) reached the Western Conference Finals two days earlier on Friday when they upset Houston on the road by a 118-113 sore as a 7.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors stepped up without Kevin Durant on Friday as they made 49.4% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. But this team will miss Durant’s scoring ability as he will likely miss the first few games of this series. Stephen Curry was outstanding in the second half by scoring 33 points — but he did not score in a first half where Golden State got surprising scoring contributions from their reserves. Curry and Klay Thompson have been inconsistent in these playoffs. This team is making only 46.4% of their shots over their last five games which is far below their 49.0% field goal percentage for the season. The Warriors have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Golden State has also played 17 of their last 25 home games Under the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. The Warriors return home where they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total — and they have played 36 of their last 58 home games Under the Total when favored in the 6.5 to 12 point range. Additionally, Golden State has played 5 straight games Under the Total in the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors are making 38.3% of their shots from behind the arc — and Portland has played 41 of their last 68 games Under the Total against teams who shoot at least 36% from behind the arc. The Trail Blazers have stepped up their play on the defensive end of the court. They held the Nuggets to just 37.1% shooting on Sunday after limiting them to a 38.4% field goal percentage in Game Six of that series. Portland has held their last five opponents to a 42.9% field goal percentage which is a few clicks better than their 45.3% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. But the Blazers are making only 42.4% of their shots over their last five games which is a bit below their 46.4% field goal percentage for the year. Portland will also likely be without their super sub, Rodney Hood, who has been downgraded to being doubtful given the knee injury he suffered in Sunday’s game. The Trail Blazers have also played 12 of their last 20 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.
FINAL TAKE: This is Golden State’s fourth game in the last ten days — and in games involving teams who have won five or six of their last seven games and is now playing just their fourth game (or less) in the last ten days, these games finished Under the Total in 435 of the last 764 situations where these conditions applied. 25* NBA Tuesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (533) and the Golden State Warriors (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-19 |
Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (7) and the San Jose Sharks (8). THE SITUATION: San Jose (55-33-7) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 6-3 victory over St. Louis (53-34-9). The Sharks host the second game of this series Monday night.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: San Jose has been an offensive juggernaut on their home ice. They are scoring 3.7 Goals-Per-Game at home and they are back at full strength with their leading scorer, Joe Pavelski, back on the ice after he missed the first six games of last round’s series with Colorado. Most of those games’ Totals were set at 6 despite Pavelski still recovering from the head injury he suffered in the third period of their Game Seven with Vegas in the opening round of the playoffs — so grabbing a 5.5 is a nice opportunity for this situation. The Sharks have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a win at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. This is San Jose’s third straight game at home after they disposed of the Avalanche in seven games — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. Furthermore, the Sharks have played 11 of their last 13 home games Over the Total. Additionally, San Jose has played 6 of their last 8 playoff games Over the Total when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. And in their last 4 games in the Western Conference Finals, the Sharks have played all 4 of these games Over the Total. St. Louis has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. The Blues stay on the road where the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games. And in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog, the Over is 3-0-1.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose is going to score their share of goals on home ice at the SAP Center. With the Blues needing to win this game to avoid an undesirable 0-2 deficit when they return to St. Louis to play Games Three and Four, look for them to be very aggressive in trying to score goals. 25* NHL Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (7) and the San Jose Sharks (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-19 |
Brewers v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-112 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (901) and the Philadelphia Phillies (902) listing both starting pitchers Freddy Peralta and Aaron Nola. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (24-18) has lost two straight games after their 4-1 loss in Chicago last night against the Cubs. Philadelphia (23-16) has won two straight games with their 6-1 victory in Kansas City yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Phillies have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 11 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Philadelphia has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least two runs in their last game. They give the ball to Nola who is 3-0 with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in eight starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home this season given his 3.77 ERA in five starts. Nola had a 2.34 ERA at home last year. After a slow start, Nola has looked like the pitcher who concluded the year with a 2.37 ERA along with a 0.97 WHIP in thirty-three starts. Over his last four starts, Nola has a 2.25 ERA while striking out 26 batters in 24 innings of work over that span. The Phillies have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total with Nola pitching as a favorite priced at least at -150. The Under is also 18-5-2 in Philadelphia’s last 25 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. He faces a Brewers team that is hitting just .218 on the road with a .300 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .666 — and their slugger, Ryan Braun, is questionable tonight with a hamstring injury. Milwaukee has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss. The Brewers gave up more than three runs for the first time in nine games last night — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than four runs in at least four straight games. And while Milwaukee’s bullpen has thrown 13 1/3 innings over their last three games, they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after their pen combined to throw at least 13 innings in their last three games. The Brewers stay on the road where they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total. Milwaukee has also played 27 of their last 35 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The counter with Peralta who is 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP in six games. After Peralta was used after an opener in his last outing against Washington where he allowed only three hits and no runs in 5 innings of work, manager Craig Counsell will have him start in the first inning tonight. He has been better on the road where he has a 0.97 WHIP and .227 opponent’s batting average. The Brewers have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with Peralta pitching as a money-line underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. The Under is 15-5-1 in the Phillies’ last 21 games when facing a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Under is also 13-3-1 in Philadelphia’s last 17games against right-handed starting pitchers.
FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia is hitting only .225 over their last seven games with a .312 On-Batting Average and an OPS of .638 over that span. Expect a low-scoring game between these two teams. 25* MLB Monday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (901) and the Philadelphia Phillies (902) listing both starting pitchers Freddy Peralta and Aaron Nola. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-19 |
Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (963) and the Chicago Cubs (964) listing both starting pitchers Jhoulys Chacin and Jon Lester. THE SITUATION: Chicago (23-14) has won four of their last five games after their 2-1 victory over Milwaukee (24-17) in the second game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cubs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. Chicago has also played 4 straight games Under the Total at home in Wrigley Field — and they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total when facing a team with a winning record. They give the ball to Lester who is 2-1 with a 1.41 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in six starts this season. The left-hander has a 0.69 ERA in three starts at home this year. The Cubs have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Lester facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Brewers team that is scoring only 4.2 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .216 batting average along with a .300 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .691. Milwaukee has also played 6 straight games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. The Brewers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the third game of a series. Furthermore, the Under is 17-5-1 in Milwaukee’s last 23 games on the road — and they have played 26 of their last 34 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They counter with Chacin who is 3-3- with a 5.03 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in eight starts. The right-hander was more effective on the road last year where he had a 3.33 ERA along with a 1.08 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .205 as compared to his 3.79 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and .242 opponent’s batting average at home — and the sample sizes this season are still small enough that I give credence to last year’s numbers. Chacin’s road efforts are further confirmed by the Brewers’ team trends as they have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total with him making the start on the road. He faces a Cubs team that is scoring only 4.4 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .229 batting average along with a .327 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .715 at home at Wrigley Field.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing in Wrigley Field. Expect another low-scoring game tonight. 10* MLB Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (963) and the Chicago Cubs (964) listing both starting pitchers Jhoulys Chacin and Jon Lester. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-19 |
76ers v. Raptors UNDER 210 |
|
90-92 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (521) and the Toronto Raptors (522). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (58-35) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Thursday with their 112-101 upset win at home over Toronto (65-28) as a 1.5-point underdog. The Raptors return home to host this seventh game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 76ers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Philadelphia has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. The Sixers made 46.1% of their shots on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in the last three games of this series. But this is a team that makes only 43.9% of their shots over the last five games in this series. Philadelphia has played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Toronto has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Raptors have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Raptors have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. Expect another lower scoring game between these two teams. 10* NBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (521) and the Toronto Raptors (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 |
|
100-96 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (525) and the Denver Nuggets (526). THE SITUATION: Portland (60-33) forced a climactic seventh game of this Western Conference series on Thursday with their 119-108 victory at home over Denver (61-34) as a 4-point home favorite. The Nuggets host this game at the Pepsi Center.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Portland has played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a win at home over a fellow Northwest Division rival. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Head coach Terry Stotts got a fantastic contribution on Thursday from second-year big man, Zach Collins, who scored 14 points in that game. But the reason why Collins played over 28 minutes in that game (the most he has played in a game since January of last season) including the entire fourth quarter were his contributions on the defensive end of the court. Collins blocked five shots while altering plenty more as he provided Portland a rim protector that Enes Kanter does not offer. Collins is not likely to score another 14 points in this game — but he will likely play significant minutes once again instead of Kanter with Stotts trading offense for defense. The last four games in this series have seen 224 combined points scored in each of those contests — but the Blazers have played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Additionally, Portland has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a playoff series. Denver has played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Nuggets have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Now Denver returns home where they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total in the playoffs when the series is tied — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series.
FINAL TAKE: Despite the last four games in this series finishing Over the Total, Denver and Portland are shooting just 42.3% and 42.7% from the field over the last five games in this series. Expect this to be a lower scoring game than the previous four contests. 10* NBA Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (525) and the Denver Nuggets (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-19 |
Hurricanes v. Bruins OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
115 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (5) and the Boston Bruins (6). THE SITUATION: Boston (58-29-9) won the first game of this series on Thursday with their 5-2 victory over Carolina (54-33-7). The Bruins host the second game of this series this afternoon.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Boston entered the third period of that game trailing by a 2-1 score before scoring three times to win that game easily. The Bruins have scored at least three goals in four straight games — and they have totaled 16 goals scored in those four contests. They should keep it up this afternoon as they are scoring 3.4 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice. This team is getting it down with their Power Play after scoring twice with a man-advantage in Game One of this series. Boston has scored 12 Power Play goals in these playoffs in their 40 opportunities with the man-advantage for a 30% success rate that is tops of all teams in the playoffs. The Bruins have won four straight games after winning their six-game series at Columbus by a 3-0 score. Boston has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning two straight games by at least two goals — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning their last two games by at least three goals. The Bruins have also played 15 of their last 24 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. And in their last 5 playoff games when favored in the -151 to -200 price range, the Over is 4-0-1. Carolina has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Hurricanes have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Carolina should get their offense cranking in this important game for them to steal since they do not want to return to Charlotte with a 2-0 deficit. They are scoring 3.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. However, they are also allowing 2.9 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road. The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. Additionally, Carolina has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams — and this includes four straight Overs when playing in Boston. 25* NHL Third Round NBC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (5) and the Boston Bruins (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-11-19 |
Blues v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-126 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis (3) and the San Jose Sharks (4). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (53-33-9) reached the Western Conference Finals on Tuesday with their 2-1 win in double-overtime at home against Dallas in the seventh game of that series. San Jose (54-33-7) joined them in this series on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory over Colorado in the seventh game of that series. The Sharks host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blues have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game — and the Under is also 3-1-2 in their last 6 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 25-10-2 in St. Louis’ last 37 games after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. The Blues averaged 2.98 Goals-Per-Game during the regular season but they have seen that number drop to 2.62 Goals-Per-Game in their thirteen playoff games. This scoring decline can be attributed to their impotent Power Play as they managed only two goals in their 22 Power Play chances for a rough 9.1% success rate in their seven-game series with the Stars. Now the Blues open this series back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. St. Louis’ goalie, Jordan Binnington, and their blue line have been playing outstanding as of late as they have allowed only two combined goals over their last two games (which includes the second overtime on Tuesday). The Blues have played 6 straight road games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last two games. Over their last five games, St. Louis is allowing only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game. San Jose has been playing outstanding defense as well as they have allowed only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. Their top defensive pair of Brent Burns and Marc-Edouard Vlasic limited the Avalanche’s powerful top-line led by Nathan MacKinnon to just 14 combined points in that seven-game series. The Under is 19-6-3 in St. Louis’ last 28 games against an opponent that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 3-1-1 in the Sharks’ last 5 games against Central Divison foes. San Jose is also struggling with their Power Play as scored only twice in their 20 Power Play chances against Colorado last round. The Sharks are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has won the last two meetings between these two teams — and St. Louis has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 10* NHL St. Louis-San Jose NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis (3) and the San Jose Sharks (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-10-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 213.5 |
Top |
118-113 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (519) and the Houston Rockets (520). THE SITUATION: Golden State (59-33) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 104-99 victory at home over Houston (59-33) as a 6-point underdog. This series moves back to the Rockets’ Toyota Center tonight for Game Six with Houston looking to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The calf injury that Kevin Durant suffered in the second half of this game that will keep him out the rest of this series is the most important intangible in handicapping this game. The Warriors will be looking to re-invent their Splash Brothers offense of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson circa the 2015-16 season before they signed Kevin Durant as a free agent. I do expect Golden State to attempt to play at a faster pace as their offense has tended to slow down to adapt to Durant’s isolation game in the half-court. But that all said, I do not expect the efficiency of the Warriors offense to significantly improve — especially without the luxury of having Durant that head coach Steve Kerr describes as the ultimate weapon. For starters, neither Curry nor Thompson are not in great form. Thomson’s series high is 27 points while he has only connected on thirteen shots from behind the arc in all five games. Curry has reached 30 points just once in this series while not nailing more than five 3-pointers in a game in this series while he seems to be slowed by a hyperextended left finger along with a right ankle issue. Furthermore, those pre-Durant Golden State teams had a better set of complementary offensive pieces (such as Harrison Barnes and a more productive Draymond Green on offense) than this current group that began the season banking on big contributions from DeMarcus Cousins. The Rockets have been doing a great job of defending Curry and Thompson in this series. Chris Paul remains a strong on-the-ball defender but what this Houston team has after him is a slew of guards with size whose length can mess with the Splash Brothers: James Harden is 6’5, Eric Gordon is 6’4, Austin Rivers is 6’4, Iman Shumpert is 6’5, Gerard Green is 6’7, and P.J. Tucker is 6’6. What head coach Mike D’Antoni chooses to do with Tucker will be particularly interesting since he has been relieved of being the primary defender on Durant for the Rockets. Frankly, Houston also has three more years of experience under their belts defending the Splash Brothers’ offense that a number of teams have copy-catted as they embraced up-tempo offensive systems that emphasize launching tons of 3s. And this Rockets team has steadily improved in their defensive play due to some important reconfigurations of their roster along with the continued work of their defensive guru in assistant coach Jeff Bzdelik. Houston boasted the second best Defensive Rating in the NBA over the last fifteen games of the regular season — and they have held their opponents in the playoffs to just 43.3% shooting from the field which has resulted in a -5.2 drop in points they are allowing per game from the 113.3 PPG they gave up in the regular season. Golden State typically plays harder on defense when they are away from home as well — they hold their home hosts to just 43.7% shooting as compared to the 44.4% overall mark this year. The Under is 10-2-1 in the Warriors’ last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Golden State has only covered the point spread twice in their last eight games — and they have played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Under is also 19-7-1 in the Warriors’ last 27 games when playing with one day of rest. The Under is 18-5-2 in Houston’s last 26 games when playing with just one day of rest. Houston has also seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Rockets have only reached their 117.7 PPG scoring average once in this series with it being evident that Chris Paul is not the same offensive player that he once was. Paul is making only 45% of his midrange jump shots in these playoffs — and the 58% shooting inside feet of the basket is a few notches below the 61% mark he enjoyed in last year’s Western Conference Finals. Houston returns home where the Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when looking to stave off elimination in a playoff series. They will dedicate their defensive energies in stopping Curry and Thompson to dare the Warriors to rely on their secondary scorers. The Under is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams when playing in Houston. 25* NBA Second Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (519) and the Houston Rockets (520). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 216 |
|
108-119 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (515) and the Portland Trail Blazers (516). THE SITUATION: Denver (61-33) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 124-98 victory at home against Portland (59-33) as a 5.5-point favorite. The Trail Blazers return for Game Six of this series hoping to keep their season alive.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win against a fellow Northwest Division rival. Denver shot 48.9% from the field on Tuesday which was the best shooting effort for them in their last four games. They have launched at least 90 shots in the last five games in this series playing at a fast pace that the Blazers have been happy to oblige — but they have then played 18 of their last 23 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in at least two straight games. The Nuggets are still playing very good defense as they have held Portland to just 43.6% shooting in the five games in this series. The last three games in this series have seen 222, 228, and 277 combined points — but Denver has played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games Under the Total where at least 215 combined points were scored while also playing 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. The Nuggets have also covered the point spread in four of their last five games — and they have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Denver has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Portland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. And while the Blazers have allowed the Nuggets to score at least 116 points in each of their last three games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 110 points in three straight games.
FINAL TAKE: The Trail Blazers have played 3 of their last 4 games when looking to avenge a loss by at least 20 points. 10* NBA Denver-Portland ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (515) and the Portland Trail Blazers (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-19 |
Nationals v. Dodgers OVER 7 |
|
6-0 |
Loss |
-120 |
2 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910) listing both starting pitchers Patrick Corbin and Rich Hill. THE SITUATION: Washington (14-22) enters this series on a four-game losing streak after their 7-3 loss in Milwaukee yesterday. Los Angeles (25-14) has won three straight games after their 9-4 win over the Braves last night.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 15-7-1 in the Nationals’ last 23 games after a loss. The Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 opening games to a new series. They give the ball to Corbin who is 2-1 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in seven starts. Corbin has been hit hard as of late as he has surrendered nine earned runs in his last two starts. The left-hander has not been as effective on the road this year where he has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .239 in three starts as compared to his 3.51 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and .204 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home. Corbin’s teams have played 5 straight games Over the Total with him making the start against teams with a winning record. He faces a Dodgers team that has played 4 of their last 5 games at home Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Los Angeles scores a healthy 6.3 Runs-Per-Game when playing at home with a .282 batting average along with a .362 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .864. The Dodgers have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Over is 3-0-1 in Los Angeles’ last 4 games at home. They counter with Hill who is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in two starts this season after starting the year on the disabled list. Hill was less effective at home last year where he had a 3.69 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .246 as compared to his 3.63 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .193 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Dodgers have played 5 straight home games Over the Total with Hill on the mound against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles has also played 19 of their last 25 games Over the Total with Hill pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. He faces a Nationals team that is scoring 5.2 Runs-Per-Game on the road. Furthermore, Washington has played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.
FINAL TAKE: With the Total set in the 7 range with this being an expected pitching duel, expect a higher scoring game. 10* MLB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (909) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (910) listing both starting pitchers Patrick Corbin and Rich Hill. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 |
|
101-112 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (513) and the Philadelphia 76ers (514). THE SITUATION: Toronto (65-27) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 125-89 victory at home over Philadelphia (57-35) as a 6-point favorite. This series returns to Philly where the 76ers look to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 76ers did not work very hard on defense on Tuesday as they allowed Toronto to score 125 points while making 48.8% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. They went into halftime trailing by a despicable 64-43 margin in Game Five. Philadelphia has then played 39 of their last 59 games Under the Total after trailing by at least 20 points in their last game. Effort on the defensive end of the court should not be an issue for this team tonight as they have played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after enduring a loss by at least 30 points in their last game — and this team has played 4 straight games Under the Total after losing by at least 20 points in their last contest. They should play better on the defensive end of the court tonight as they hold their visitors to just a 44.8% shooting percentage — and they have still held the Raptors to only a 43.4% field goal percentage over their last five games. Philadelphia has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And while this is the Sixers fourth game in the last ten days, they have played 21 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing just their fourth game in the last ten days. Toronto has valued 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit win — and they have also played 24 of their last 31 games Under the Total after winning two straight games against an Atlantic Division rival. Furthermore, the Under is 7-2-1 in the Raptors’ last 10 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. While the offensive exploits of Kawhi Leonard get most of the headlines with this team, the under-appreciated story to the success has been their outstanding play on the defensive end of the court. Toronto has held their playoff opponents to just a 40.6% field goal percentage. Now the Raptors go back on the road where the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Toronto has covered the point spread in five of their last seven games — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. The Raptors have also played 10 of their last 15 playoff games Under the Total when leading in the series.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. With Game Five of this series (finally) going Over the Total, expect this to be a lower scoring contest. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (513) and the Philadelphia 76ers (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-19 |
Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-135 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). THE SITUATION: Carolina (54-32-7) returns to the ice for the first time since May 3rd when they completed their four-game sweep over the New York Islanders with their 5-2 victory at home. Boston (57-29-9) closed out Columbus in six games on Monday with their 3-0 victory on the road again the Blue Jackets. The Bruins host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win by at least four goals over a fellow Metropolitan Division rival. Carolina has also played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total on the road after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. And while the Hurricanes have won six straight games, they have then played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. It remains unclear who will be between the pipes tonight for Carolina with goalie Petr Mrazek missing the last few games because of an injury. The Hurricanes platooned their goaltenders during the regular season — and Craig McElhinney played well to close out that series with the Islanders. He stopped 26 of the 28 shots he faced in their Game Four win. Carolina has allowed only 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they have not allowed more than two goals in four straight games. The Hurricanes have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. This Carolina team may be a bit rusty on the offensive end of the ice since they have not played since last Friday. The Under is 46-22-3 in the Hurricanes’ last 71 games when playing with at least three days between games. Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory. They are allowing just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they limit their visitors to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game this season. The Bruins have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on their home ice. The Under is also 15-6-5 in Boston’s last 26 games when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. The team will be without their star young defenseman, Charlie McAvoy, who was suspended for this game after an illegal check in his last game against the Blue Jackets. Rookie Connor Clifton will take his place on the blue line in what remains a deep group of defensemen for the Bruins.
FINAL TAKE: Boston won the last game between these two teams back on March 5th with the Bruins winning that game by a 4-3 score. The Hurricanes have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road when avenging a loss by just one goal. Carolina has also played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total when playing with revenge where they allowed at least four goals. 20* NHL Carolina-Boston NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 221 |
|
99-104 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (511) and the Golden State Warriors (512). THE SITUATION: Houston (59-32) evened this series at 2-2 on Monday with their 112-108 victory over Golden State (63-29) as a 1-point favorite. The Warriors return home to the Oracle Center to host Game Five of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 3-0-1 in the Rockets’ last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. And while Houston has scored at least 109 points in each of the last three games, they have then played 28 of their last 42 road games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight contests. Now the Rockets go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Houston has played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total when getting no more than 6 points as the dog. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 15 of their last 21 Game Fives in a playoff series Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in a playoff series that is tied. Golden State has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when a playoff series is tied. Additionally, the Warriors have played 27 of their last 41 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a straight-up loss overall. Golden State has also played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after losing two straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after losing two straight games on the road. The Warriors return home to host Game Five where they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Under go 9-3-1 in their last 13 meetings — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in Golden State. 10* NBA Houston-Golden State TNT O/U Special with the Houston Rockets (511) and the Golden State Warriors (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Reds v. A's UNDER 8.5 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-112 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (979) and the Oakland A’s (980) listing both starting pitchers Sonny Gray and Brett Anderson. THE SITUATION: Oakland (16-21) won the opening game of this series last night with their 2-0 victory over Cincinnati (15-21) with Mike Fiers pitching a no-hitter.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Reds have played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Cincinnati has also played 25 of their last 38 games Under the Total after failing to score more than one run in their last contest. Additionally, the Under is 37-13-3 in the Reds’ last 53 games on the road — and they have played 8 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Cincinnati has also played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range. The Reds have also played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing at night. They give the ball to Gray who is 0-4 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in seven starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.06 ERA with a 0.68 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .136 in three starts as compared to his 4.76 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .262 opponent’s batting average. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season when Gray was pitching for the Yankees as he had a 3.17 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .226 as compared to his 6.98 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, and .318 opponent’s batting average when pitching at Yankee Stadium. Gray’s teams have played 19 of their last 27 road games Under the Total. The deeper sabermetrics are encouraging for Gray with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.59 and 3.33 moving forward. He faces an A’s team that is scoring only 3.8 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .231 batting average along with a .302 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .680. Oakland has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a game where no more than four combined runs were scored. The A’s have played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total in the month of May — and they have played 17 of their last 23 home games against teams who are not winning at least 40% of their games on the road. The Under is also 8-1-1 in Oakland’s last 10 home games in Interleague play. They counter with Anderson who is 4-2 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in seven starts. Anderson sees his ERA drop to a 3.21 mark in his three starts at home. Last season, the left-hander had a 2.01 ERA with a 0.83 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .191 at home as compared to his 6.06 ERA with a 1.57 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .335 when pitching on the road. He faces a Reds team that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .194 batting average, .246 On-Base Percentage, and .596 OPS this season.
FINAL TAKE: Cincinnati has played 16 of their last 21 road games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Expect another low-scoring game with this Reds team that was no-hit last night. 10* MLB Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (979) and the Oakland A’s (980) listing both starting pitchers Sonny Gray and Brett Anderson. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
109 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (27) and the San Jose Sharks (28). THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-34-14) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Monday with their 4-3 victory in overtime at home against San Jose (53-33-7). The Sharks host Game Seven in their SAP Center.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win at home by just one goal. Colorado has also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game at home where both teams scored at least three goals. The Under is also 11-3-2 overall in the Avalanche’s last 16 games after a victory — and the Under is 13-4-2 in Colorado’s last 19 games when playing with one day of rest. The Avalanche’s offense has slowed down in this series as they have scored just 2.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contest as compared to their 3.2 Goals-Per-Game scoring average for the season. Now Colorado goes back on the road where the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 road games as an underdog. Additionally, the Avalanche have played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. Colorado has also played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. San Jose has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. The Sharks offense has also slowed down as this series has moved forward as they are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games as opposed to their 3.5 Goals-Per-Game scoring average for the season. San Jose has also played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total bouncing back from an overtime loss.
FINAL TAKE: Two of the last three games in this series have seen just three combined goals scored. Look for this to be another lower scoring game. 25* NHL Second Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (27) and the San Jose Sharks (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218 |
|
91-116 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (509) and the Milwaukee Bucks (510). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (67-23) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-101 upset victory over Boston (54-36) as a 1-point underdog. The Bucks return home with the possibility of closing out this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Milwaukee pulled off two straight upset victories in Boston against the Celtics. The Bucks have then played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after pulling off two straight upset victories — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning two straight games on the road as the underdog. The Bucks held Boston to just a 37.8% field goal percentage on Monday which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. Milwaukee also launched 100 shots in that win in Game Four — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after attempting at least 100 shots in their last game. Additionally, the Bucks have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 6 games after a double-digit victory, Milwaukee has played 5 of these games Over the Total. The Bucks have also played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Boston’s 37.8% field goal percentage on Monday was the worst shooting effort in their last seven contests. The Celtics have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Boston has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. The Celtics have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from two straight upset losses. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (509) and the Milwaukee Bucks (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 |
|
98-124 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). THE SITUATION: Denver (60-33) evened this series at 2-2 on Sunday with their 116-112 upset win at Portland (59-32) as a 3-point underdog. The Nuggets return home where they host the fifth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers have played 29 of their last 46 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Portland made 47.6% of their shots on Sunday which was the best shooting mark in their last three games. The Blazers have only covered the point spread once in their last four contests — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. And while these two teams have seen 228 and 277 combined points scored in the last two games (including the 140-137 triple-overtime thriller in Game Three of this series), Portland has then played 15 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games after playing at least two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Denver has played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. The Nuggets have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an upset victory. Denver returns home where they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total — and they have played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And while the Nuggets have launched 92, 119, and 98 shots in each of their last three games, they have then played 18 of their last 22 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in at least two straight games.
FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 8 of their last 11 playoff games Under the Total with the series tied. Expect a lower scoring contest tonight. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-07-19 |
Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (23) and the St. Louis Blues (24). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (52-33-9) forced a climactic seventh game of this series on Sunday with their 4-1 win on the road at Dallas (50-37-7). This series returns to St. Louis tonight with the Blues hosting Game Seven.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Stars should tighten things up on defense after surrendering four goals on Sunday. They are still giving up only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs. Dallas has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Stars have played 22 of their last 33 games Under the Total on the road after a loss at home — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least two goals. Dallas has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road after conceding at least four goals in their last game. The Stars goalie, Ben Bishop, left Game Six after taking a slap shot in his collarbone. He will be good to go to play tonight and should bounce-back after surrendering four goals on Sunday. Bishop entered Game Six with a 2.13 Goals-Against-Average and a .936 save percentage in the playoffs. Bishop has been the best goaltender in the NHL this season as he carried Dallas in the second half of the season with a 1.15 GAA along with a .962 save percentage. Bishop also has Game Seven experience as he has pitched two shutouts in his previous two Game Seven opportunities in his career. He has helped the Stars be sensational when playing undermanned in these playoffs. Dallas has successfully thwarted 33 of the 35 Power Play they have faced in this postseason for a .942 Power Play Kill rate. He will need to be outstanding tonight since the Stars score only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game when on the road. The Under is 17-6-5 in Dallas’ last 28 games on the road. The Under is also 11-3-3 in the Stars’ last 17 games as an underdog priced in the +110 +150 price range. St. Louis has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals. The Blues have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game — and the Under is 18-7-3 in their last 28 games when facing an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last contest. Their rookie goaltender, Jordan Bennington, stepped up on Sunday by stopping 22 of the 23 shots he faced. Bennington was spectacular in the second half of the season with a 1.90 GAA with a .928 save percentage in twenty-three regular season starts after the All-Star Break. St. Louis has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as a home favorite. The Blues have also played 13 of their last 20 playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least two goals — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. The Under is also 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams when playing in St. Louis. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (23) and the St. Louis Blues (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 211.5 |
|
89-125 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (505) and the Toronto Raptors (506). THE SITUATION: Toronto (64-27) evened this series at 2-2 on Sunday with their 101-96 upset victory over Philadelphia (57-34). The Raptors host the fifth game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Kawhi Leonard finally got some help on the offensive end of the court on Sunday as Toronto shot 46.1% from the field en route to that victory. The Raptors also got a boost with the surprising ability of Pascal Siakam to play despite being listed as doubtful with his right calf injury. Siakam only scored 9 points while adding 3 rebounds but he should be at least a little better tonight with an extra two days of recovery since then. The Toronto supporting cast play better again tonight back on their home court where they scorer 114.0 PPG on 47.6% shooting from the field. The Raptors have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total after pulling off an upset win on as a road underdog — and this includes them playing five of these last seven situations Over the Total. Toronto has also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after an upset win over an Atlantic Divisional rival. The Raptors have also played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win by 6 points or less. And while all four of the games in this series have finished Under the Total, Toronto has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Unders. The Raptors have also played 8 of their last 12 Game Fives in a playoff series Over the Total. Philadelphia has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Sixers have played 18 of their last 24 road games Over the Total after a loss on their home court. And they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after playing their last two games at home. Philly shot just 40.2% from the field on Sunday with Joel Embiid hampered by an illness that clearly kept him from being close to 100%. Embiid managed only 11 points in that game. The 76ers sore 111.8 PPG on the road on 46.6% shooting so they should shoot better tonight.
FINAL TAKE: All four games so far in this series have finished Under the Total — while the closest game has been decided by 4 points. Expect this to be the first game in this series where both teams are executing on the offensive end of the court. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (505) and the Toronto Raptors (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-19 |
Barcelona FC v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Barcelona (224209) and Liverpool (224210). THE S|TUATION: Barcelona won the first leg of the two-leg Champions League Semifinals with a 3-0 win over Liverpool last Wednesday. The second-leg match moves to Liverpool’s home field at Anfield Stadium. The Reds must at least three goals to stay alive to advance to the Finals. A 3-0 Liverpool victory in regulation time forces two fifteen minute extra periods — and if things are still tied after that, then the match (and Champions League Finalist) will be decided by a shootout. With the first tie-breaker being goals scored on the road, Barcelona advances to the Finals even with a 4-1 loss since their one goal scored on the road is more than Liverpool’s zero goals scored last week. Liverpool advances to the Finals with a victory by at least four goals in regulation time.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Liverpool needs to score at least three goals to keep their Champions League aspirations alive. The problem for manager Jurgen Klopp is that he will be without two of his top strikers. Roberto Firmino has been dealing with a groin injury — and while he was a substitute in last Wednesday’s first-leg, he did not play in the Reds English Premier League match over the weekend. He does not fit to play this afternoon. Mohamed Salah also will be out this afternoon after receiving a knock in their Saturday match against Newcastle United which has him in the concussion protocol. Liverpool will push forward — they still have a prolific goal scorer in Sadio Mane while also possessing a group of talented defensemen who are comfortable playing up on the pitch to score goals. Look for Klopp to deploy the high-press system he relied on last season. This approach creates scoring opportunities by forcing turnovers — but it also leaves his defense vulnerable when these tactics fail. Klopp dialed back this approach this season to make the Reds more defensive in their tactics — but this situation calls for uber-aggressiveness. Barcelona is a pragmatic side this season — but they will not be resting on their laurels in this contest. Manager Ernesto Valverde has indicated he wants his team playing aggressively as well — if and when they score, it forces Liverpool to have to score five goals to win this match given the tie-breaker situation. Furthermore, with the Catalans featuring Lionel Messi on the pitch, he is capable of scoring from anywhere at any time.
FINAL TAKE: It is very difficult to expect the Reds to generate a clean sheet against Messi and this Barcelona side. I do think an aggressive Liverpool scores at least twice in this rematch (even without Salah and Firmino). 25* Champions League Semifinals Total of the Year with Over the Total in the match between Barcelona (224209) and Liverpool (224210). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets OVER 220 |
|
108-112 |
Push |
0 |
0 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (503) and the Houston Rockets (504). THE SITUATION: Houston (58-32) made this a 2-1 series on Saturday with their 126-121 win in overtime over Golden State (63-28) as a 3.5-point favorite. The Rockets host Game Four of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 19 of their last 29 games Over the Total on the road after a game where they scored at least 115 points in their last game. Golden State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Warriors should shoot better tonight after making just 44.2% of their shots on Saturday. That was the worst shooting effort in their last thirteen games. Golden State stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Warriors have also played 5 of their last 6 playoff games Over the Total when leading in a playoff series. Houston has played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when trailing in a playoff series. Golden State is outscoring their opponents by +6.5 PPG — and the Rockets have played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total against teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least +3.0 PPG. And while the Warriors are making 38.5% of their 3-point shots this season, Houston has played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total against teams who shoot at least 36% from behind the arc.
FINAL TAKE: The Over is also supported by an empirical situational angle that has been 61% effective since 1996. In games involving a team that allowed at least 120 points in their last game now facing a team that played a game where at least 235 combined points were scored, these games finished Over the Total in 398 of the last 673 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NBA Monday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (503) and the Houston Rockets (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics OVER 219 |
Top |
113-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (66-23) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Friday with their 123-116 upset win at Boston (54-35) as a 2-point underdog. The Celtics host the fourth game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bucks have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total on the road after a win by at least 20 points. Milwaukee has also played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bucks have played 24 of their last 32 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Now Milwaukee stays on the road where they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total — and they have played 7 straight road games Over the Total against a team with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Boston has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 30 of their last 45 home games Over the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. And while Boston has lost the last two games in this series, they have then played 8 straight home games Over the Total after losing two of their last three contests. Additionally, the Celtics have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And in their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road, Boston has played 7 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Over go 18-7-1 in their last 26 games when playing in Boston. The Celtics have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite. 25* NBA Monday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 210 |
|
116-112 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (593) and the Portland Trail Blazers (594). THE SITUATION: Portland (59-31) survived a triple-affair on Friday with their 140-137 victory as a 5.5-point favorite over Denver (59-33) to take a 2-1 lead in this series. The Trail Blazers host the fourth game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: If there is a silver lining from the Nuggets’ loss on Friday, it is that Nikola Jokic simply seems to be unstoppable in this series. Jokic scored 33 points while adding 18 rebounds and 14 assists in the losing effort. With the Trail Blazers having to resort to Enes Kantor as their starting center after the season-ending injury to Jusuf Nurkic, they do not have a defender who can slow Jokic down on their defensive end of the court. Denver has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Over is also 17-8-1 in their last 26 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 6 games on the road, Denver has played all 6 games Over the Total. Portland has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 14 of their last 20 home games after a game where they did not cover the point spread. The Blazers have also seen the Over go 22-8-2 in their last 31 games when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 19 home games after a game that finished Over the Total, Portland has played 14 of these games Over the Total. They stay home where the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games — and the Over is also 13-3-1 in their last 17 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing in Portland. With both these teams tired with just a 41-hour turnaround from their triple-overtime marathon on Friday, expect the defensive play to be less than desired tonight. 10* NBA Sunday Late Show Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (593) and the Portland Trail Blazers (594). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 |
|
101-96 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (591) and the Philadelphia 76ers (592). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (57-33) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Thursday with their 116-95 upset victory over Toronto (63-27) as a 1.5-point underdog. The 76ers host Game Four of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Raptors simply need to make their darn open shots. They have missed 35 of their 50 open 3-pointers so far in this series — and their failure to make these shots has prompted them to be more cautious in even taking these shots in Game Three. That is not this Toronto team’s game: they led the NBA in both volume and accuracy from the 3-point line after the trade deadline. After making only 36.3% of their shots in Game Two, the Raptors followed that up by shooting just 42.2% from the field with those two efforts being the worst offensive performances in their last eleven games. That should improve this afternoon. Toronto’s complications were heightened yesterday with the news that they will be without their rising star, Paskal Siakam, who is dealing with a right calf injury. The Raptors are likely to respond with Fred VanVleet entering the starting lineup for a three-guard small-ball set. Toronto will likely embrace a faster pace with the small lineup — and this will likely push them to get back to launching 3s with no abandon again. The smaller lineup does have it’s drawbacks since it will further expose the size disadvantage they are burdened with when facing this Sixers team. Toronto has played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points against an Atlantic Division rival. The Raptors have also played 10 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after pulling off two straight upset victories. The 76ers have also played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total after winning their last two games against a divisional rival. And the Sixers have also played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points over an Atlantic Division foe. Philly has out-rebounded their last eight opponents by at least six boards per game — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least +5.0 RPG. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss. The Raptors have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when avenging two straight upset losses. 10* NBA Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (591) and the Philadelphia 76ers (592). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-19 |
Blues v. Stars OVER 5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (5) and the Dallas Stars (6). THE SITUATION: Dallas (50-36-7) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Friday with their 2-1 victory at St. Louis (51-33-9). The Stars return home to attempt to close out this series on their home ice.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blues will be playing with desperation this afternoon with their season hanging in the balance. St. Louis averages 3.0 Goals-Per-Game this season but they have managed only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. The Blues need to get their Power Play going as they have only scored twice in their sixteen opportunities with the man advantage against the Stars in this series. They should be scoring more than that 12.3% clip considering that they scored five goals in their nineteen chances on the Power Play in their opening round series against Winnipeg for a 26.3% clip. St. Louis has seen a regression in their rookie goaltender, Jordan Binnington, in these playoffs. After posting a 1.90 Goals-Against-Average with a .928 save percentage in his last twenty-three regular season starts after the All-Star Break, Binnington has 2.73 GAA along with a .908 save percentage in these playoffs. The Blues have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after playing their last two games against a Central Division rival. The Over is also 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. St. Louis has also played 4 straight games Over the Total with the number set at 5 or less. Dallas has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing their last three games against divisional foes — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning two straight games against Central Division opponents. The Stars have found their offense as they have scored 3.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Dallas has played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total at home with the Total set at 5 or less. And the Over is 8-2-3 in the Stars’ last 13 games when favored in the -110 t0 -150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: This is been a higher scoring series with only Game Five seeing less than five combined goals scored and three of these contests seeing at least six combined goals were scored. 25* NHL Second Round NBC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (5) and the Dallas Stars (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 |
Top |
121-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (589) and the Houston Rockets (590). THE SITUATION: Golden State (63-27) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 115-109 victory over Houston (57-32) as a 5.5-point favorite. The Rockets host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest between contests. They return home where the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games — and they have also played 5 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Rockets’ have more than an 0-2 deficit to be concerned about after James Harden got his eyes raked on Tuesday. While Harden will play, he indicates that he is still feeling the effects of that injury. Houston made 46.8% of their shots in Game Two which was actually the best field goal percentage in their last five games. The Rockets have been thriving in the last quarter of the regular season by significantly ramping up their play on the defensive end of the court. Over the last fifteen games of the regular season, Houston had the fourth best Defensive Rating in the NBA. In these playoffs, the Rockets are allowing only 101.1 PPG along with a 42.3% field goal percentage which is far below the 108.5 PPG they are allowing for the season along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.3%. In their last five playoff games, Houston is holding their opponents to just 100.8 PPG on 41.3% shooting from the field. The Rockets have played a decisive 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Golden State is not often the underdog — the two-time defending NBA champions usually tighten things up on the defensive end of the court when their victory is not a foregone conclusion (in their minds). The Warriors have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when they were the underdog — and they have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, Golden State has played 11 of their last 15 road games Under the Total as an underdog. The 46.8% shooting percentage that Houston executed on Tuesday was the highest field goal percentage that the Warriors had allowed in their last three games. When playing on the road, Golden State holds its home hosts to just a 43.6% field goal percentage.
FINAL TAKE: Houston has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. And despite the high Totals that typically are associated with these two high scoring teams, these two teams have played 9 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total. 25* NBA Second Round Saturday ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (589) and the Houston Rockets (590). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-19 |
Liverpool v. Newcastle United UNDER 2.75 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 2:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Liverpool (200181) and Newcastle United (200182). THE SITUATION: Liverpool (28-7-1) enters this English Premier League match coming off a 5-0 victory at home over Huddersfield in their last EPL match last Friday. Newcastle United (11-9-6) comes off a 1-1 draw at Brighton and Hove Albion in their last match last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: These are precarious times for Liverpool as they followed up their match with Huddersfield with the first leg of their Champions League Semifinals showdown with Barcelona which ended in a 3-0 loss. The Reds host the second leg of that contest midweek — so manager Jurgen Klopp will be keeping one eye with that impending rematch with his need to conserve the energy of his key players. Klopp does not need a blowout victory. However, Liverpool absolutely must generate the three points with a victory in this match to keep up their championship aspirations in the EPL as they are one point behind Manchester City. Things could get nervy for this team to register a goal. Before facing the bottom-feeder team in the league in Huddersfield who are already mathematically eliminated from not being relegated, the Reds had scored more than two goals just twice in their last five EPL matches. Liverpool’s offensive proficiency has been particularly slowed down when they are playing on the road away from Anfield. In their last nine EPL matches on the road, the Reds have scored more than two goals only once. Liverpool has still enjoyed great success because they have developed into an outstanding defensive team under Klopp. The acquisition of defenseman Virgil Van Dijk in last year’s winter transfer window has certainly played a huge role in their defensive transformation as he perhaps been the Most Valuable Player in the EPL. The Reds have allowed only 20 goals this season which is the lowest number in the league. Liverpool has allowed only ten goals in their 18 EPL matches on the road. And in their thirteen road games against the non-Big Six EPL sides, the Reds have surrendered a mere 5 goals. But also keep in mind that Liverpool has scored only 26 goals in those thirteen matches for flat 2.0 Goals-Per-Game average. Newcastle is a difficult opponent who plays a compact system that can be difficult to penetrate. The Magpies are happy to grind out low-scoring matches where they find scoring opportunities in cautious counter-attacking moments. Newcastle is in good form right now — they are 2-1-0 in their last three matches where they have allowed only two goals. In their last six matches on their home field at St. James Park, the Magpies have allowed only five goals — and they have conceded just 22 goals in their eighteen home matches this season. Newcastle has scored 22 goals in those eighteen home matches as well. Digging deeper, the Magpies have scored only nine goals in their eleven matches against one of the Big Six teams in the EPL — and they have conceded only nine goals in their five home matches against one of those Top Six EPL sides this season.
FINAL TAKE: Newcastle usually plays Liverpool tough — they have only lost once in their last seven home matches against the Reds. Liverpool will be cautious in this contest and will be very content with a 1-0 victory. While the Magpies are not likely to score a goal, the Reds are not likely to find the back of the net more than twice. 25* English Premier League Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between Liverpool (200181) and Newcastle United (200182). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-19 |
Twins v. Yankees OVER 8.5 |
|
7-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 1:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (965) and the New York Yankees (966) listing both starting pitchers Jake Odorizzi and J.A. Happ. THE SITUATION: New York (18-13) won the opening game of this series last night with their 6-3 victory over Minnesota (19-11).
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a victory — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, while New York has allowed just three runs in three straight games, they have then played 19 of their last 26 home games Over the Total after not allowing more than three runs in three straight contests. Furthermore, the Yankees have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall. They give the ball to Happ who is 1-2 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in six starts this season. The left-hander has been outstanding when pitching away from Yankee Stadium this year with his 1.96 ERA with a 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .194 in three starts — but he has been hit hard with an 8.16 ERA with a 1.67 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .328 in three starts at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where Happ had a 2.61 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and .204 opponent’s batting average at home but a 4.31 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and .237 opponent’s batting average when on the road in his stints with Toronto and the Yankees. New York has played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with Happ on the hill. He faces a Minnesota team that is scoring 6.1 Runs-Per-Game on the road this season with a .272 batting average along with a .322 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .841. The Twins have also played 5 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Minnesota has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Odorizzi who is 3-2 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP this year. The right-hander has been tough at home where he has a 0.96 ERA with a 0.80 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .167 in three starts — but he has been crushed with a 7.36 ERA with a 1.64 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .268 in his two road starts. Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Odorizzi on the hill. Odorizzi is not reliable to pitch the third time through a lineup — last year, he suffered from an 11.44 ERA after pitching through the lineup twice. The Twins’ bullpen will most likely play a major role in this game — and that group has a 5.40 ERA with a 1.66 WHIP on the road this season. He faces a Bronx Bombers team that is banging out 6.2 Runs-Per-Game in day games this season despite all their injuries along with a .281 batting average, .369 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .864. New York has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing in Yankee Stadium. 10* MLB Saturday Afternoon O/U Matinee with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (965) and the New York Yankees (966) listing both starting pitchers Jake Odorizzi and J.A. Happ. Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-03-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 215 |
Top |
137-140 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (587) and the Portland Trail Blazers (588). THE SITUATION: Portland (58-31) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 97-90 upset victory over Denver (59-32) as a 4-point underdog. The Trail Blazers host the third and fourth of games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets pulled the upset over the Trail Blazers in the opening game of this series by nailing 40.4% of their 3-pointers en route to a 50.6% shooting percentage for that game. It was a much different story in Game Two as they made only 6 of their 29 shots from behind the arc for a dismal 20.7% shooting percentage from 3-point land. Their 34.7% field goal percentage in that game was their lowest mark of the entire season. Denver has played 25 of their last 43 games Over the Total after suffering an upset loss as a home favorite. The Nuggets have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 90 points in their last game. Now after playing their last three games at home, Denver goes back on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games at home. The Nuggets score 107.4 PPG on the road — and they allowed 110.1 PPG in those contests. Denver has played 5 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Portland has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset victory over a fellow Northwest Division rival — and this includes them play those last four situations Over the Total. The Over is also 21-8-2 in the Trail Blazers’ last 31 games when playing with one day of rest. Now Portland returns home where they are scoring 117.8 PPG on 47.7% shooting from the field. The Blazers pulled off their upset on Wednesday despite making only 42.4% of their shots. The Nuggets’ 34.7% field goal percentage in that game was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in Portland’s last 79 games. The Blazers allow their visitors to shoot 45% from the field which generates 109.3 PPG. The Over is 16-4-1 in Portland’s last 21 games at home — and the Over is also 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Blazers have also played 11 of their last 17 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Denver has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss where they were home favorites. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games played in Portland Over the Total. 25* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (587) and the Portland Trail Blazers (588). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-03-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics OVER 219 |
Top |
123-116 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (585) and the Boston Celtics (586). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (65-23) evened this series at 1-1 on Tuesday with their 123-102 victory over the Celtics. Boston (54-34) hosts Games Three and Four of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Milwaukee has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Bucks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points. They now go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Boston has played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. They have also played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a loss by double-digits — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Celtics shot just 39.5% from the field on Tuesday which was the lowest field goal percentage for them in their last five games. They return home where they are making 47% of their shots en route to 113.0 PPG. Boston has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 38 of their last 57 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss on the road. The Celtics have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 20 points. Lastly, the Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings between these two teams in Boston. 25* NBA Friday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (585) and the Boston Celtics (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-02-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers OVER 216.5 |
Top |
95-116 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (581) and the Philadelphia 76ers (582). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (56-33) evened this series at 1-1 on Monday with their 94-89 upset victory at Toronto (63-26) as a 7.5-point underdog. The 76ers return home to host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Philadelphia has played 15 of their last 21 games after a victory by 6 points or less. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 7 games over the Total when playing with two days of rest — and that extra day of rest should help Joel Embiid be ready to play this game as he deals with knee injuries. Philadelphia held the Raptors to just a 36.3% shooting percentage on Monday which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 41 games. But the Sixers also shot just 39.5% from the field in that low-scoring game. Now Philly returns home where they are scoring 118.6 PPG on the strength of 48.5% shooting from the field. The 76ers have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Toronto’s 36.3% field goal percentage was the worst shooting effort in their last 53 games. They also missed 27 shots from behind the arc on Monday — they should improve significantly on that resulting 27% mark from 3-point land tonight considering that they are making 36.6% of their shots from behind the arc on the road. The Raptors are averaging 113.2 PPG when playing on the road. The Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Toronto has also played 10 of their last 14 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, in Toronto’s last 18 games overall in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Raptors have played 13 of these games Over the Total. And in their last 13 games in the Eastern Conference Playoff Semifinals, Toronto has played 9 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 meetings in Toronto Over the Total. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (581) and the Philadelphia 76ers (582). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-02-19 |
Cardinals v. Nationals OVER 9 |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (957) and the Washington Nationals (958) listing both starting pitchers Dakota Hudson and Stephen Strasburg. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (20-10) has won five straight games with their 5-1 victory over the Nationals yesterday. Washington (12-17) has now lost their last three games as they host this afternoon Getaway Game.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cardinals have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. St. Louis has also seen the Over go 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. They give the ball to Hudson who is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.92 WHIP in five starts this season. Two of these starts were on the road where he currently sees his ERA and WHIP rise to unseemly 9.35 and 2.42 marks — and opponents are hitting .366 against him on the road. Hudson pitched 27 1/3 innings late last season in his September call-up — but while he did not allow an earned run in 14 1/3 innings at home, he had a 5.54 ERA with a 1.69 WHIP in his 13 innings on the road. The Over is also 13-6-1 in the Cards’ last 20 games on the road. He now faces a Nationals team that is scoring a healthy 5.2 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers. Washington has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring no more than two runs in their last game. The Over is also 35-17-2 in the Nationals’ last 54 games at home — and the Over is also 16-5-2 in their last 23 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They counter with Strasburg who is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in six starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 4.74 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .233 as compared to his 2.89 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .184. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Strasburg had a 2.40 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .227 but those numbers skyrocketed to a 5.02 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .252 when pitching at home. The Over is 37-12-2 in the Nationals’ last 51 games at home with Strasburg on the hill. Strasburg does come off a strong effort where he allowed only two earned runs in 7 innings of work last Saturday against San Diego — but Washington has then played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total with Strasburg looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Cardinals team that is scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starters while posting a .275 batting average along with a .349 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .806 against right-handers. The Over is 11-5-1 in St. Louis’ last 17 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a higher scoring game between two of the best offenses in the National League. 10* MLB Thursday Afternoon O/U Matinee with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (957) and the Washington Nationals (958) listing both starting pitchers Dakota Hudson and Stephen Strasburg. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 219 |
Top |
97-90 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (577) and the Denver Nuggets (578). THE SITUATION: Denver (59-31) won the opening game of this series on Monday with their 121-113 victory over Portland (57-31). The Nuggets host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The silver lining for the Trail Blazers in Game One was that Enes Kanter was able to play despite a shoulder injury that had him questionable. Kanter played 33 minutes which allowed him to score 26 points while making 11 of his 14 shots. He is more of an offensive threat than Jusuf Nurkic who is out the season with an ankle injury. The problem for the Blazers with Kanter absorbing Nurkic’s minutes is that he is a liability on the defensive end of the court. Denver’s Nikola Jokic exploited him by scoring 37 points on 11 of 18 shooting while pulling down 9 rebounds. Kanter’s presence on both ends of the court has generated higher scoring games — and bettors have yet to catch up. Portland has played 27 of their last 44 games Over the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. The Blazers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Over is 21-7-2 in Portland’s last 30 games when playing with one day of rest. And while this the Blazers just second game in the last seven days after they dismissed Oklahoma City in five games, they have played 4 straight games when playing their second game in seven days. Portland has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. Denver has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against Northwest Division foes. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Nuggets increase their offensive proficiency when playing at home — they are scoring 113.2 PPG on 48.3% shooting from the field at the Pepsi Center as compared to their 110.4 PPG scoring overall on 46.6% shooting this season. Denver has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 5 straight Overs — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing in Denver. Expect another high scoring game between these two teams. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (577) and the Denver Nuggets (578). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-30-19 |
Rockets v. Warriors OVER 220.5 |
Top |
109-115 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (573) and the Golden State Warriors (574). THE SITUATION: Golden State (62-27) won the opening game of this series on Sunday with their 104-100 victory over Houston (57-31). The Warriors host the second game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Golden State smoked this Rockets team who had been playing good defense by making 50.7% of their shots on Sunday. The Warriors have a 49.2% field goal percentage at home in the Oracle Center which has translated into 118.2 PPG. Over their last five games, Golden State is making 50% of their shots — and they are shooting 50.3% from the field so far in these playoffs. This shapes up to be a high-scoring game as the Warriors have played 8 of their last 9 second games to a new playoff series Over the Total. Golden State has also played 19 of their last 30 games Over the Total when leading in a playoff series — and this includes them playing three of these last four games Over the Total when leading in that playoff series. Houston should shoot better than the 41.9% field goal percentage they endured in the opening game of this series. The Rockets have played four straight games Under the Total — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing four straight games Under the Total. Houston averages 110.2 PPG when playing on the road. The Rockets have also been out-rebounded by 13, 14, and 14 boards in each of their last three games — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after being out-rebounded in their last three games by at least 5.0 Rebounds-Per-Game. Houston has also played 14 of their last 21 second games in a new playoff series Over the Total — and this includes them playing four of these last five situations Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen their last three games finish Under the Total — but the first game these two teams played in 2019 was in the Oracle Center where the Rockets won by a 135-134 score. After Game One finished Under the Total by more than 20 points, look for this game to finish Over the Total. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (573) and the Golden State Warriors (574). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-30-19 |
Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
|
4-2 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (69) and the Colorado Avalanche (70). THE SITUATION: Colorado (43-32-14) evened this series at 1-1 on Sunday with their 4-3 victory over San Jose (51-31-7). This series moves to Denver where the Avalanche will host Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 10-3-1 in Colorado’s last 14 games after a win. The Under is also 11-3-1 in their last 15 games when playing with one day of rest. The Avalanche return home where they are allowing only 2.8 Goals-Per-Game this season. Over their last five games, they are giving up only 2.6 Goals-Per-Game — and they have not allowed more than three goals in five of their last six games. Additionally, Colorado has played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total as the favorite. San Jose has seen at least seven combined goals scored in their last three games — but they have then played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing three straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. The Sharks have also played 26 of their last 44 games Under the Total after losing a game on their home ice. San Jose goes on the road again for the first time since Game Six of their opening round series with Vegas. The Sharks have played 21 of their last 35 games Under the Total after playing three straight games at home. San Jose has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on the road. Over their last five games, the Sharks have improved their play on defense as they are allowing just 2.6 Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: Game Three saw only three combined goals scored over the first 50 minutes of play before four combined goals were scored over those final ten minutes. Expect this to be the lowest scoring game of the series (so far). 10* NHL San Jose-Colorado NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (69) and the Colorado Avalanche (70). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-30-19 |
Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218 |
|
102-123 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (571) and the Milwaukee Bucks (572). THE SITUATION: Boston (54-33) won the opening game of this series on Sunday with their 112-90 upset victory over Milwaukee (64-23) as an 8-point underdog. The Bucks host the second game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have played 25 of their last 36 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a victory by at least 15 points. Boston has also played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a win on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with just one day of rest. The Celtics stay on the road tonight where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Milwaukee has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total coming off an upset loss by at least 10 points as a home favorite. The Bucks have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after double-digit loss a home. The Bucks should shoot much better tonight after making only 34.8% of their shots in Game One which was the worst shooting effort in their last 32 games. The Celtics made a point of double-teaming Giannis Antetokounmpo when he got the ball down low — he made just 4 of 15 shots inside the paint. The solution to this tactic is for his teammates to make open shots when the Greek Freak passes out of these double-teams — but these shots were simply not falling on Sunday which prompted him to force too many shots down low. Milwaukee has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. They also make 48.1% of their shots at home which translates into 119.2 PPG. Additionally, the Over is 14-6-1 in the Bucks’ last 21 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total the avenging a double-digit loss to their opponent. The Over is also 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (571) and the Milwaukee Bucks (572). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-30-19 |
Rockies v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (957) and the Milwaukee Brewers (958) listing both starting pitchers German Marquez and Jhoulys Chacin. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (16-14) won the opening game of this series yesterday with their 5-1 victory over Colorado (13-16).
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 15-7-1 in the Brewers’ last 23 games after a win. This team may be without the reigning National League Most Valuable Player who is listed as questionable after he tweaked his back yesterday in the win. Milwaukee has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total at home. They give the ball to Chacin who is 2-3 with a 6.35 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in six starts this year. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 7.50 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .250 in four starts — but those numbers improve in his two starts at home where he owns a 4.35 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .216. Those home numbers are similar to his 3.79 ERA at home with a 1.30 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .242. The Brewers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Chacin pitching at home. He should fare well against this Rockies team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .209 batting average along with a .254 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .613. Colorado has also played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. Colorado has seen the Under go 35-14-2 in their last 51 games after a loss — and the Under is 21-6-3 in their last 30 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Under is also 23-9-3 in the Rockies’ last 35 games on the road — and the Under is 19-6-1 in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. They counter with Marquez who is 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA and a 1.05 WHIp in six starts this season. The right-hander has been filthy when pitching away from home as he has surrendered only one earned run on the road which has translated into a 0.41 ERA along with a 0.55 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .063 on three starts on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where Marquez had a 4.74 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .284 at home but a 2.95 ERA with a 0.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .203 on the road. The Under is 18-7-4 in Colorado’s last 29 road games with Marquez on the hill. The Rockies have also played 5 straight games Under the Total with Marquez facing the Brewers. He faces a Milwaukee team that is hitting only .225 over their last seven games with a .292 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .757.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 19 of their last 26 meetings Under the Total — and this includes them playing 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing in Milwaukee. 10* MLB Over/Under Sabermetrics Special with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (957) and the Milwaukee Brewers (958) listing both starting pitchers German Marquez and Jhoulys Chacin. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-29-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 215 |
Top |
113-121 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (563) and the Denver Nuggets (564). THE SITUATION: Portland (57-30) takes the court again for the first time since last Tuesday after they disposed of Oklahoma City in five games with their 118-115 win as a 3.5-point favorite. Denver (58-31) defeated San Antonio on Sunday by a 90-86 score as a 6.5-point favorite to win that series in seven games. The Nuggets host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread — and the Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after a point spread loss. Portland launched 96 shots in that game after attempting 90 shots in Game Four of that series. The Blazers have then played 26 of their last 39 games Over the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. Portland now goes back on the road where they are scoring 111.0 PPG while also allowing 111.0 PPG. The Trail Blazers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. The Nuggets shot just 39.8% from the field in that game which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last twelve games. Denver survived because they limited the Spurs to shooting only 36.5% which was the best defensive effort in their last sixteen games. The Nuggets have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Denver stays at home where they are scoring 113.0 PPG this season on 48.2% shooting from the field — and they are making 48.3% of their shots in the playoffs. The Nuggets have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 encounters Over the Total when playing in Denver. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (563) and the Denver Nuggets (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-29-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 219.5 |
|
94-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (501) and the Toronto Raptors (502). THE SITUATION: Toronto (63-25) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 108-95 victory over Philadelphia (55-33) as a 6-point favorite. The Raptors host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win at home over a divisional rival. The Raptors have won five straight games while covering the point spread in four of those contests. Toronto has played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. The Raptors have also played 26 of their last 41 games Over the Total after winning two straight games — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total after winning three games in a row. Furthermore, Toronto has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. The Raptors stay at home where they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a victory. And in their last 12 games in the Eastern Conference Semifinals, Toronto has played 9 of these games Over the Total. Philadelphia has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight up loss. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Philadelphia should shoot better tonight as they shot just 39.3% from the field which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eleven games. The Sixers did out-rebound the Raptors by a 56 to 50 margin on Saturday. That was the sixth straight game where Philadelphia out-rebounded their opponent by at least 6 boards — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least +5.0 RPG.
FINAL TAKE: Expect the second game of this series to be a higher-scoring contest. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (501) and the Toronto Raptors (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-28-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 6 |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (53) and the San Jose Sharks (54). THE SITUATION: San Jose (51-30-7) won the opening game of this series on Friday with their 5-2 victory over Colorado (42-32-14). The Sharks host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: San Jose has played 13 of their last 18 home games Over the Total after a win by at least two goals. The Sharks have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. San Jose is scoring 3.7 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice this season — and they have generated ten goals over their last two games. The Sharks have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in two straight games. But this San Jose team is also allowing 2.9 Goals-Per-Game at home this season with their tendency to have their offensive-minded defensemen, Brent Burns and Erik Karlsson, play aggressively up the ice. In the playoffs, the Sharks are allowing 3.4 Goals-Per-Game. The Sharks stay at home where they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total — and they have played 8 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. San Jose has also played 5 straight games Over the Total in the playoffs as the favorite. Colorado has played 31 of their last 51 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. The Avalanche had won four straight games in their series with Calgary before dropping Game One of this series — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. This is Colorado’s fifth game over the last fourteen days — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing no more than five games in the last fourteen days.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has lost their last five meetings with the Sharks — and they have played 37 of their last 57 games Over the Total when playing with at least double-revenge. The Over is also 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in San Jose. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (53) and the San Jose Sharks (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 210.5 |
|
86-90 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (541) and the Denver Nuggets (542). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (51-37) forced a climactic seventh game of this series on Thursday with their 120-103 win over Denver (57-31) as a 3-point favorite. The Nuggets host the final game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Denver should step up their work efforts on the defensive end of the court after allowing the Spurs to make 57.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 45 games. The Nuggets have played 38 of their last 55 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots in their last game. Denver has also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. The Nuggets have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Denver returns home where they hold their opponents to just 44.9% shooting from the field. The Nuggets have played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of no better than 40% on the road. Denver has also played 24 of their last 38 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. San Antonio enjoyed the best shooting mark in their last 39 games — so they are not likely to come close to replicating that 57.1% shooting mark. The Spurs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Now San Antonio goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. The Spurs have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. With the pressure of a Game Seven impacting the nerves of both teams, expect a lower scoring game. 25* NBA Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (541) and the Denver Nuggets (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-19 |
Blue Jackets v. Bruins OVER 5.5 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
0 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (43) and the Boston Bruins (44). THE SITUATION: Boston (54-27-9) seized a 1-0 lead in this series on Thursday with their 3-2 win overtime over Columbus (51-32-4). The Bruins host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Columbus had been on a six-game winning streak before losing in Boston on Thursday. They looked rusty after having eight days off from their opening-round sweep of Tampa Bay. They entered the third period trailing by a 1-0 score before taking a 2-1 lead in a thirteen second span where they scored twice — but the Bruins scored again to force overtime where they eventually won that coin flip of a game. The Blue Jackets are still scoring 4.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they average 3.1 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road. This Columbus team absolutely dominated the President’s Trophy winners in the Lightning. After falling behind by a 3-0 margin in the first period of the opening game of that series, they then outscored Tampa Bay by a whopping 19 to 5 margin. They have only lost twice since March 24th — and they have played 16 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after winning at least eight games of their last ten games. The Blue Jackets have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the playoffs as a money-line underdog priced at +110 to +150 price range. And in their last 10 playoff games when trailing in the series, Columbus has played 8 of these games Over the Total. Boston has played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total when leading in a playoff series. They also have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against a team that did not score more than two goals in their last game. They have now won three straight games after rallying from a 3-2 series deficit last round against Toronto. The Bruins have played 19 of their last 30 games Over the Total after winning two straight games. Boston has not allowed more than two goals in four straight games — and they have played 27 of their last 45 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last two games. The Bruins are scoring 3.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they are averaging 3.4 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total. Expect another high scoring game tonight. 10* NHL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (43) and the Boston Bruins (44). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 222.5 |
Top |
95-108 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between the Philadelphia 76ers (553) and the Toronto Raptors (554). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (55-32) has won four straight games after they disposed of Brooklyn in five games culminating in a 122-100 victory at home on Tuesday as a 9.5-point favorite. Toronto (62-35) has won four straight games as well after taking care of Orlando in five games after their 115-96 victory at home over the Magic on Tuesday as an 11-point favorite. The Raptors host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The 76ers have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a victory by at least 20 points over a fellow Atlantic Division rival — and they have played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total after winning their last two games against divisional foes. Philadelphia has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. The Sixers held the Nets to just 38.7% shooting from the field which was the best defensive effort in their last twenty games. Philadelphia did not let Brooklyn shoot better than 41.1% from the field in the last three games of that series — but they have then played a decisive 46 of their last 72 games Over the Total after not allowing their last three opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. Furthermore, the Sixers controlled the boards in their series against the Nets as they out-rebounded them by at least 7 rebounds per game in all five games of that series. Philly has then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least 5.0 RPG. Moving forward, the 76ers have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing their second game in seven days. Toronto has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Raptors have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite. Toronto has also played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games — and they have played 30 of their last 45 home games Over the Total after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. The Raptors also played very good defense in their opening series as well — they have not allowed their last seven opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. But Toronto has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after not allowing at least three straight opponents to make more than 42% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 14 meetings Over the Total — and this includes them playing 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing in Toronto. Expect these team trends to continue tonight in this opening game of this Eastern Conference Semifinals series. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between the Philadelphia 76ers (553) and the Toronto Raptors (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-19 |
Stars v. Blues OVER 5 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
115 |
1 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (41) and the St. Louis Blues (42). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (50-30-9) won the opening game of this series on Thursday with their 3-2 victory over Dallas (47-35-9). The Blues host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: St. Louis has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a win over a fellow Central Division rival — and they have also played six straight games at home Over the Total after a victory over a divisional foe. Furthermore, the Blues have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a win on their home ice. Additionally, St. Louis has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a narrow victory by just one goal. The Blues have played three straight games that concluded with 3-2 scores which makes taking the Over seem like a safe investment with a Push being the worst case scenario. St. Louis has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games by just one goal. The Blues score 3.2 Goals-Per-Game on home ice this season — but they are also allowing 3.0 Goals-Per-Game at home. In defeating Winnipeg in six games last round, St, Louis converted on 5 of their 19 Power Play opportunities which translated into an impressive 26.3% success rate. Dallas has seen at least five combined goals scored in four of their last five games. While the Stars have been an Under machine for much of the season, they have quietly players 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total in the month of April. Dallas has also played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road with the Total set at 5. Over their last five games, the Stars are scoring 3.2 Goals-Per-Game. When playing on the road, Dallas allows 2.6 Goals-Per-Game. Additionally, the Over is 7-2-7 in the Stars’ last 16 playoff games as a money-line underfoot priced in the +110 to +150 range. The Over is also 3-0-4 in the Stars’ last 7 games in the Western Conference Playoff Semifinals.
FINAL TAKE: With the Total set at 5, the worst case scenario is likely another 3-2 final score — but I do think both teams find the back of the net three times (or perhaps this game ends with a 4-2 score). 25* NHL NBC-TV Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (41) and the St. Louis Blues (42). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (5) and the San Jose Sharks (6). THE SITUATION: Colorado (42-31-14) takes the ice again after winning four straight games to dispatch of Calgary in five games with their 5-1 win on the road last Friday. San Jose (50-30-7) has won three straight games after surviving their seven-game series with Vegas on Sunday with their 5-4 victory in overtime. The Sharks host the first two games of this seven-game series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sharks rallied from being down 3-1 in that series with the Golden Knights to eke out the last two games in that series in overtime. San Jose has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after going to overtime in their last two contests — and they have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by just one goal against a Pacific Division rival. The Sharks have also played 71 of their last 111 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least four goals. Remember, that Game Seven was looking like another shutout in that series for goalie Marc-Andre Fleury before that controversial call on Vegas when Joe Pavelski was double-hit and fell to the ice where his head started bleeding. Replays strongly suggest that the second hit from Paul Stastny was an inadvertent bump — but the five-minute major that was called on the Golden Knights resulted in a five-minute power play where the Sharks scored four times with the man-advantage to jumpstart their offense. Perhaps the most important development during that series was the improved play of goalie Martin Jones. After allowing 13 goals on 80 shots for a rough .838 save percentage in the first four games of that series, he stopped 122 of the next 129 shots he faced for a sparkling .946 save percentage in those three elimination games which included over two full periods of overtime hockey. San Jose was converting on only 4 of their 29 (13.8%) of their Power Play chances in that series before that miraculous five-minute Power Play on Sunday. But the ripple effect from that game will be felt tonight with Pavelski being declared out for Game One as he recovers from that head injury. Not only will the Sharks miss his 38 goals in the regular season, but head coach Peter DeBoer moved him to the second-line help provide his team more depth. Colorado has seen the Under go 10-2-1 in their last 13 games after a win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning three games in a row. The Avalanche has also scored at least three goals in four straight games — but they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. Colorado has a dynamic first line of forwards led by Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog. But what the Sharks got better at in their series with Vegas was contain their elite line of Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty, and Statsny which they checked with the defensive pairing of Marc-Edouard Vlasic and Brent Burns — and DeBoer has final choice regarding what players to put on the ice as the home team so he can ensure that top pair will combat MacKinnon and company. After losing by a 5-0 score in Game Four, the Sharks allowed only seven goals in the remaining three games in that series which went around 220 minutes of ice time when accounting for overtimes. What was underappreciated about the Avalanche in the first round was their strong defensive play against the Flames as they allowed only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game in those five games while not allowing more than two goals in those last four games. They stay on the road where the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games — and the Under is also 3-0-1 in Colorado’s last 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on April 6th where San Jose won at home by a 5-2 margin. The Avalanche have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least three goals. 25* NHL Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (5) and the San Jose Sharks (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-19 |
Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 233 |
|
129-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (533) and the Los Angeles Clippers (534). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (50-37) extended this series to a sixth game on Wednesday with their 129-121 upset victory in Golden State as a 15-point underdog. This series moves back to the Staples Center in Los Angeles with the Clippers looking to force a climactic seventh game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State should play better on defense after allowing the Clippers to score 129 points on 54.1% shooting from the field. The Warriors have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an upset loss. Additionally, Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is 24-9-1 in their last 34 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. Now Golden State goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and the Warriors have played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Golden State has played 36 of their last 54 road games Under the Total with the Total set at least at 230. Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after an upset win on the road as an underdog. The Clippers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing on a Friday night. Now Los Angeles returns home to the Staples Center where they have played 33 of their last 50 home games in the second half of the season Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +6.0 PPG (Golden State: +6.5 net PPG). Furthermore, these team trends are complemented by a historical angle the has been 64% effective since 1996. In the month of April with the Total set at 220 or higher, when one of the teams comes off a win on the road, these games finished Under the Total in 54 of these last 84 situations.
FINAL TAKE: The Warriors have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total when motivated to avenge an upset loss as a home favorite. 10* NBA Golden State-LA Clippers ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (533) and the Los Angeles Clippers (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-19 |
Rockies v. Braves UNDER 9 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-113 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 7:20 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (957) and the Atlanta Braves (958) listing both starting pitchers Antonio Senzatela and Max Fried. THE SITUATION: Colorado (11-14) enters this series having won eight of their last ten games with their 9-1 victory over Washington on Wednesday. Atlanta (12-11) has lost two of their last three games after a 4-2 loss at Cincinnati yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockies have played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Under is also 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after an off day. Now this team goes on the road where the Under is 22-6-3 in their last 31 games. They give the ball to Senzatela who is 1-1 with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in two starts this season — and he has pitched at least 6 innings in both those starts. The 24-year old right-hander was 6-6 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP last season — but he was more effective away from Coors Field where he saw his ERA and WHIP drop to 4.01 and 1.11 marks while posting an impressive .220 opponent’s batting average. In his one start on the road this year, Senzatela allowed only 1 earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work at San Diego. Colorado has played 8 straight road games Under the Total with Senzatela on the hill. He faces a Braves team that has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Atlanta has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss. Now the Braves return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Atlanta has also played 24 of their last 31 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They counter with Fried who has been outstanding so far this season with a 3-0 record along with a 1.38 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in four starts. Two of those starts were at home where he sported a 0.75 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .186 as compared to his 1.29 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average when on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where the left-hander had a 2.40 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .200 in 15 innings at home as compared to his 3.38 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .242 in 18 2/3 innings on the road. I pay close attention to sample sizes — but I feel comfortable with Fried’s career 2.80 ERA along with a 1.18 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .200 in 34 2/3 innings of work when pitching at his Sun Trust Field in Atlanta. Fried faces a Rockies team that is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .199 batting average along with a .242 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .558 this year. The Under is 40-19-2 in Colorado’s last 61 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is 19-7-2 in their last 28 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.
FINAL TAKE: The Rockies are looking to avenge a 7-1 loss at home as a small money-line favorite against the Braves back on April 9th. Colorado has played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss at home. Lastly, these two teams have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 meetings in Atlanta Under the Total. 25* MLB National League Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (957) and the Atlanta Braves (958) listing both starting pitchers Antonio Senzatela and Max Fried. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-19 |
Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-0 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (7) and the New York Islanders (8). THE SITUATION: Carolina (50-32-7) has won four of their last five games after defeating the Capitals in Washington on Wednesday with their 4-3 win in overtime in the climactic seventh game of that series. New York (52-27-7) has won their last six games after completing their seven-game sweep of the Penguins with their 3-1 win in Pittsburgh back on April 16th. The Islanders host this game in the Barclays Center to begin this seven-game series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Carolina has also won 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals against a Metropolitan Division rival in their last game. Furthermore, the Hurricanes have played 16 of their last 24 road games Under the Total after playing a game on the road — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a game on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. Carolina is getting outstanding goaltending from Petr Mrazek who had a 1.83 Goals-Against-Average with a .938 save percentage after the All-Star Break during the regular season. The Hurricanes held the Capitals to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over the last five games in that series. Carolina has also played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total when playing Metropolitan Division rivals. And while the Hurricanes have played three straight Overs, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total. New York has only allowed one goal in each of their last three games. Goalie Robin Lehner enjoys a 2.05 Goals-Against-Average with a .929 save percentage when playing at home this season. Over their last five games, the Islanders allowed only 1.2 Goals-Per-Game. Moving forward, the Under is 34-16-2 in New York’s last 52 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. But the Isles will likely be rusty in their offensive execution after not being in a real game in ten days. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. New York has also played 11 of their last 13 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Islanders led the NHL by allowing only 196 goals this season — and the Hurricanes were not far behind as they finished tied for sixth in fewest goals allowed. While I suspect some of the games in this series to finish Over the Total, look for both these teams to be cautious in this opener. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (7) and the New York Islanders (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-19 |
Huddersfield Town v. Liverpool UNDER 4 |
Top |
0-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
0 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Huddersfield Town (2000137) and Liverpool (2000138). THE SITUATION: Huddersfield (3-5-27) limps into this match coming off a 2-1 loss to Watford last Saturday. Liverpool (27-7-1) comes off a 2-1 win at Cardiff City on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Huddersfield is not likely to score a goal in this match. The Terriers have scored the fewest goals in the league at 20 — and that number drops to just 11 goals in their 17 matches on the road. Even worse, Huddersfield has scored only three times in their 10 matches against one of the Big Six franchises this season. The Terriers are cemented to be relegated to the Champions League — so this match is all about pride. Don’t be surprised if they park the proverbial bus in their back end to limit the Reds damage. On the plus side, the 29 goals they have surrendered against Big Six competition in ten matches results in less than 3.0 Goals Allowed per match. Yet this remains a side that has not scored a goal in seven of their last English Premier League matches on the road. And while they have allowed 69 goals this season with 39 of these goals being on the road — the Expected Goals metric indicates that they should have allowed just 60.78 goals overall this season along with only 32.00 goals allowed when playing on the road. Liverpool needs every point possible in their fight for first place with Manchester City. But the Reds will be without their top forward in Roberto Firminho who meager Jurgen Klopp has announced will not play today because of a muscle injury. While Liverpool is still loaded with goal scorers led by midfielders Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane, the absence of Firminho hurts their cohesion up top. As it is, the Reds have not scored more than three goals in five straight EPL matches. But Liverpool has held their last two EPL opponents scoreless. The Reds have allowed only 20 goals this season which is the lowest mark in the league. In twelve home matches against the non-Big Six sides this season, Liverpool has scored a solid but not overwhelming 36 goals — while allowing just 7 goals in those matches.
FINAL TAKE: This match looks destined to be 3-0. The Reds should average their three goals in these situations — but it will be very difficult for Huddersfield to find the back of the net once. With the Total set at 4.0, we have a reasonable cushion. 25* EPL Friday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between Huddersfield Town (2000137) and Liverpool (2000138). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-25-19 |
Stars v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 9:38 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (5) and the St. Louis Blues (6). THE SITUATION: Dallas (47-34-7) won the last three games of their opening round series to defeat Nashville in six games with their 2-1 victory in overtime on Monday. St. Louis (49-30-9) won their last two games in their series with Winnipeg to also dispatch of them in six games with their 3-2 victory last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 31-13-7 in the Stars’ last 51 games after a victory — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win over a Central Division rival. Dallas has also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a narrow win by just one goal — and the Under is 19-5-6 in their last 30 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Stars were the second best defensive team in the NHL during the regular season where they allowed just 2.44 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Ben Bishop enjoyed a 1.15 Goals-Against-Average with a .962 save percentage in his fifteen regular season starts after the All-Star Break. Dallas allowed only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. But this team also scores only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road with only their top forward line being a reliable source of goals. The Under is 17-6-4 in the Stars’ last 27 games on the road — and the Under is 13-4-4 in their last 21 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Under is also 10-2-2 in Dallas’ last 14 games as a money-line underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. St. Louis has played 16 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning two straight games. They are led by a red hot goaltender that spearheaded their strong second half of the season in rookie Jordan Bennington who enjoyed a 1.90 GAA with a .928 save percentage in the twenty-three regular season starts after the All-Star Break. The Blues have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total when priced as a favorite in the -151 to -200 price range. The Under is also 20-8-2 in St. Louis’ last 30 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas was a perfect 15 of 15 with their Power Play kills in the opening round of the playoffs — and the Blues were solid by allowing only three goals in fourteen Power Plays for the Jets. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. Expect this opening game to continue this low-scoring tempo. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (5) and the St. Louis Blues (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-25-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 208.5 |
|
103-120 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (525) and the San Antonio Spurs (526). THE SITUATION: Denver (57-30) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 108-90 victory over the Spurs (50-37) as a 5.5-point favorite. This series returns to San Antonio tonight for Game Six.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while that game on Tuesday finished Under the Total, Denver has then played 30 of their last 48 games Under the Total after a game that finished below the Total. Furthermore, the Nuggets have won and covered the point spread in three of their last four games — and they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games while also playing eighteen of their last twenty-five games after winning three of tiger last four contests. Denver goes on the road where they are the underdog — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. San Antonio has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Spurs are playing their sixth game over the last fourteen days — and they have played 17 of their 25 games Under the Total when playing no more than their sixth game in the last fourteen days. San Antonio has also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total with the Spurs hosting the game. San Antonio has also played 23 of their last 35 home games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. 10* NBA Denver-San Antonio TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (525) and the San Antonio Spurs (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-25-19 |
Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total run in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (3) and the Boston Bruins (4). THE SITUATION: Columbus (51-31-4) takes the ice with this first time since April 16th after they completed an improbable 4-0 sweep over Tampa Bay that concluded with a 7-3 victory back on April 16th. Boston (53-27-9) pulled out a seven-game series on Tuesday when they defeated Toronto by a 5-1 score. The Bruins host the opening two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blue Jackets will likely be a bit rusty having not played in twelve days. Their head coach, John Tortorella, is a veteran who has led a previous team to a Stanley Cup championship and he will likely continue to rely on his team playing very physical to set the tone on defense. As it is, the Under is 25-11-4 in Columbus’ last 40 games after a victory — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games after a win at home by a test four goals. Additionally, the Under is 6-2-2 in the Blue Jackets’ last 10 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against a team that did not allow more than two goals in their last contest. The team is getting great goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky who stopped 109 of his 117 shots against the Lightning for a stellar .936 save percentage in that series. Columbus is the hottest team in the NHL right now as they have only lost once since March 24th — and the play of their goaltender has played a big role in their surge. Since the All-Star Break, Bobrovsky has a 2.20 Goals-Against-Average along with a .924 save percentage. The Blue Jackets have allowed only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Now they go on the road where they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total. The Under is also 7-1-1 in their last 9 road games as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Boston has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have also played 7 straight home games Under the Total after scoring five or more goals in their last contest. Furthermore, the Bruins have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a win over an Atlantic Division rival. Boston will be happy to grind out a heavy-hitting lower scoring game with the Blue Jackets — they finished tied for third in the regular season by allowing only 2.59 Goals-Per-Game. Their goalie, Tuukka Rask, stopped 32 of the 33 shots he faced against the Maple Leafs to lead his team to that Game Seven victory. Rask entered these playoffs with a career 2.25 GAA along with a .924 save percentage in 65 games. Additionally, the Under is 13-4-5 in Boston’s last 22 games in the playoffs as a favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: Columbus’ only loss since Match 24th was a 6-2 loss at home to the Bruins back on April 2nd as a -140 money-line favorite. The Blue Jackets have played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total when looking to avenge an upset loss — and they have also played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. Boston has won the last two meetings between these two teams — and Columbus has played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total when motivated by double-revenge. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Columbus Blue Jackets (3) and the Boston Bruins (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-24-19 |
Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 232.5 |
Top |
129-121 |
Loss |
-101 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (515) and the Golden State Warriors (516). THE SITUATION: Golden State (60-26) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-105 victory over the Clippers (49-37). The Warriors look to close out this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Warriors took 13 fewer free throws on Monday after attempting 16 fewer free throws than the Clippers in Game Three — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after attempting at least ten fewer free throws than their opponent in two straight games. Now Golden State returns home to the Oracle Center where they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing their last two games at home. The Clippers go back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total. And in their last 23 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court, Los Angeles has played 16 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 13 of their last 14 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home their opponent. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (515) and the Golden State Warriors (516). Best luck for us — Frank.
|
04-24-19 |
Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 214 |
|
93-100 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Houston Rockets (518). THE SITUATION: Utah (51-35) staved off elimination on Monday with their 107-91 upset win at home as a 2-point underdog against the Rockets (56-30). This series returns home to Houston for Game Five with the Rockets have another opportunity to close out this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have found success in this series by amping up their physicality on the defensive end of the court. Despite losing a heartbreaker on their home court last Saturday, Utah held the Rockets to just 38.4% shooting in Game Three before limiting them to only a 35.4% field goal percentage on Monday. The Jazz have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset victory as a home underdog. Utah has also played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a win on their home court. Furthermore, the Jazz have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 19 games against Western Conference opponents, Utah has played 13 of these games Under the Total. Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points on the road. The Under is also 6-0-1 in the Rockets’ last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now Houston returns home where the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games — and the Under is also 4-1-1 in the Rockets’ last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Houston has played 16 of their last 21 playoff games Under the Total when attempting to close out a series.
FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. These two teams have now played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Houston Rockets (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-19 |
Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 |
Top |
115-118 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (503) and the Portland Trail Blazers (504). THE SITUATION: Portland (56-30) took a 3-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their 111-98 upset victory in Oklahoma City against the Thunder (50-36). The Trail Blazers return home with the opportunity to close out this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Oklahoma City offense has stalled in their three losses where they have failed to score even 100 points. Paul George is showing signs of being less than 100% with injuries to both his shoulders. He is making only 37% of his shots in this series while shooting just 30.8% from behind the arc — he is simply not close to his outstanding form in February prior to the All-Star Break when he was making a case to being the league’s Most Valuable Player. Russell Westbrook is also struggling as he is making only 36.3% of his shots in this series while shooting only 30.4% from behind the arc. The Thunder have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in OKC’s last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Thunder have played 16 of their last 19 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 74 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 50-23-1. Portland has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games after a win over a Northwest Division rival. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last games Under the Total after a point spread win. Portland certainly deserves much of the credit for the strong defense they are playing in this series. The Blazers have held the Thunder to just 41.3% shooting percentage from the field along with a low 30.8% mark from behind the arc. The Trail Blazers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. 25* NBA First Round Northwest Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (503) and the Portland Trail Blazers (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-19 |
Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 6 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-114 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (11) and the San Jose Sharks (12). THE SITUATION: San Jose (49-30-7) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Sunday with their 2-1 double-overtime victory over Vegas (46-35-7). The Sharks host Game Seven.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Vegas has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing a game in overtime. They once again got great goaltending from Marc-Andre Fleury who stopped 27 of the 29 shots he saw. Fleury’s has won three Game Sevens on the road with his time with Pittsburgh — and he produced a sterling 1.00 Goals-Against-Average with a .959 save percentage in these three games. The Golden Knights have seen the Under go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games in the playoffs as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Vegas has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a series. San Jose has played 17 of their last 23 games when facing elimination in a playoff series. This Sharks team is a perfect 35-0 this season when they do not allow more than two goals — so it will likely be the strategy of head coach Peter DeBoer to have his team play conservatively. Goalie Martin Jones has been up-and-down in this series — but he certainly seems to have found his form as of late. He stopped 58 of the 59 shots he faced on Sunday — and he has a .967 save percentage in his last two games. Jones has been beaten at the start of new periods throughout this series — so it seems that he can get settled in, then he plays at his best. San Jose has allowed only three goals over the last two games that includes an extra period and a half from Sunday’s overtime game.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas has played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home. Expect this to be a cautious game from both teams — much like Game Six. 10* NHL Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (11) and the San Jose Sharks (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-22-19 |
Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 215 |
Top |
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (575) and the Utah Jazz (576). THE SITUATION: Houston (50-35) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday night with their 104-101 upset win in Utah (50-35) as a 2-point underdog. The Jazz host Game Four looking to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a pulling off an upset victory — and they have played 23 of their last 34 games after a victory by 6 points or less. That game finished below the 214.5 point Total — and Houston has played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. The Rockets are playing their best defense of the season. They have held their last five opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage. Houston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after holding their last five opponents to no higher than a 42% field goal percentage. Now the Rockets go on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Houston has played an incredible 36 of their last 44 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing eleven of their last fourteen games Under the Total in that situation. Additionally, the Rockets have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a playoff series. Utah has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Over their last five games, this team is shooting only 43.3% from the field. The Jazz stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Utah has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. These two teams have also played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. 25* NBA Round One Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (575) and the Utah Jazz (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-22-19 |
Predators v. Stars UNDER 5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 8:38 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (85) and the Dallas Stars (86). THE SITUATION: Dallas (46-34-7) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Saturday with their victory at Nashville (49-32-6). The Stars have the opportunity to close out this series tonight back on their home ice.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Dallas is getting it done with their defense as they ave allowed only eleven goals in the first five games of this series. The Stars not only play a cautious style of play but they are also getting outstanding goaltending from Ben Bishop. The veteran had a 1.98 Goals-Against-Average during the regular season with a .934 save percentage — and those numbers improved to a 1.90 GAA with a .937 save percentage when playing at home. The Under is 30-14-7 in Dallas’ last 51 games after a win — and they have played 14 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after a win. Furthermore, the Stars have played 8 straight games Under the Total after a win on the road where they scored at least four goals. Additionally, Dallas has played 19 of their last 25 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a game on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. Now the Stars return home where the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 home games when priced as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range. Nashville has played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after a loss to a Central Division rival — and they have also played ten of their last fifteen games Under the Total after a loss at home to a divisional rival. Furthermore, the Under is 22-7-5 in the Predators’ last 34 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games against opponents who scored at least five goals in their last contest. This team has to tighten things up on defense after allowing ten goals in their last two games. Nashville has played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in two straight games. Now this team goes on the road where the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Additionally, the Preds have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total when facing elimination.
FINAL TAKE: Nashville has played 7 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road where are attempting to avenge two straight losses by at least two goals. 25* NHL First Round CNBC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (85) and the Dallas Stars (86). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-19 |
Braves v. Indians OVER 8 |
Top |
11-5 |
Win
|
101 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (929) and the Cleveland Indians (930) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Shane Bieber. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (10-10) snapped a four-game losing streak yesterday by defeating Cleveland (12-8) by an 8-7 score.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves have seen the Over go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a win. The Atlanta bullpen has been busy as of late as they have pitched 15 combined innings over their last three games — and they have then played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after pitching at least 13 combined innings over their last three games. They send out Fried who is 2-0 with an 0.92 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP so far this season. While those numbers look great, the fact that the left-hander is striking out only 5.5 batters per 9 innings of work is of concern. Both his SIERA and xFIP project significant regression with those numbers projecting an ERA of 4.15 and 3.80 moving forward. Fried was more effective at home last year where he had a 2.40 ERA with a 1.287 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .200 — but those numbers rose to a 3.38 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .242 when pitching on the road. The Braves have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Fried on the hill. Atlanta has also played 5 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Over is 22-7-2 in the Braves’ last 31 games against teams with a winning record. Fried faces an Indians team that scores 5.0 Runs-Per-Game at home — and they are scoring 4.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games. Cleveland (12-8) has played 4 of their last 5 games in Interleague play Over the Total. The Indians’ bullpen has been roughed up as of late after they blew the save yesterday by surrendering 6 runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Cleveland’s pen has an 8.25 ERA over their last five games — and they have lost 23 of their last 32 games when their bullpen has a 6.50 ERA or worse over their last five contests. They counter with Bieber who is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP so far this season. But his SIERA and xFIP project a decline in those numbers as they project an ERA of 3.78 and 3.99 respectively moving forward. Bieber was not as effective when pitching at home last year where he had a 5.88 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .328 as compared to his 3.56 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .250 when on the road. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Bieber on the bump after a game where they allowed at least five runs. Cleveland has also played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They face a hot Braves lineup that is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last five games with a .261 batting average along with an On-Base Percentage of .353 and an OPS of .819. Atlanta also scores 5.4 Runs-Per-Game when playing on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Over is 15-3-4 in the Indians’ last 22 home games when facing left-handed starting pitchers. The sample size regarding the number of starts a pitcher has made with his team is an important factor before I feel comfortable investing in April baseball action. With both these pitchers with their same team from last year — and with both with a growing set of 2019 data that says they are overachieving relative to their frontline ERA and WHIP numbers — let’s attack this early season opportunity. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (929) and the Cleveland Indians (930) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Shane Bieber. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-19 |
Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 217 |
Top |
119-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (561) and the Detroit Pistons (562). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (62-22) took a commanding 2-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 120-99 victory over Detroit (41-43) as a 15.5-point favorite. The Pistons host Games Three and Four tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Detroit has not been able to put up much of a fight without their best offensive option in Blake Griffin who is likely to miss the third game in this series. The Pistons made only 37.4% of their shots on Wednesday. Over their last five games, Detroit is scoring only 99.2 PPG while shooting 39.9% from the field as opposed to their 106.7 PPG scoring average for the season on 43.8% shooting. The Pistons have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is 34-15-2 in their last 51 games after a double-digit loss. Detroit was also not competitive in the first game of this series which they lost by a 121-86 score. The Pistons have played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing their last two games by double-digits — and this includes them playing their last six games Under the Total after losing their last two games on the road by at least 10 points. Detroit should play better on defense back at home tonight after allowing the Bucks to make 52.2% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s shooting mark in their last seven contests. The Pistons hold their guests to just 46.0% shooting — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home court. Additionally, the Under is 9-4-1 in Detroit’s last 14 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Milwaukee has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by at least 10 points. Now the Bucks go on the road where they have played 48 of their last 77 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Milwaukee has also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range overall. And in their last 16 games against fellow Central Division opponents, the Bucks have played 12 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Pistons have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (561) and the Detroit Pistons (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 209.5 |
|
117-103 |
Loss |
-115 |
0 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 5:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (559) and the San Antonio (560). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (50-35) seized a 2-1 lead in this series on Thursday with their 118-108 victory over Denver (55-30) as a 4.5-point favorite. The Spurs host Game Four before this series returns to Denver for Game Five.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Antonio was led by Derrick White who scored 36 points on Thursday. But his effort on the offensive end of the court obscured the great work he did on defense on Jamal Murray who only scored 6 points. The Spurs have stepped up their level of play on defense as of late. They have held their last five opponents to just 100.4 PPG on 44.5% shooting from the field as compared to the 109.0 PPG they allow for the season along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.7%. San Antonio has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Spurs have also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, San Antonio has played 32 of their last 52 games Under the Total with the 200 to 209.5 point range. Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. They are scoring 105.0 PPG over their last five games which is 5.5 PPG below their season average.
FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total on the road when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 24 of their last 34 games when playing in San Antonio. 10* NBA Denver-San Antonio TNT-TV Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (559) and the San Antonio (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-19 |
Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 221.5 |
|
108-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (556). THE SITUATION: Portland (55-29) has won five straight games after they won Game Two of this series by a 114-94 score over the Thunder (49-35) on Tuesday. The Thunder return home for the third and fourth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Oklahoma City has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have seen the Under go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. The Thunder have been struggling to make their 3-pointers as they made just 5 of their 28 shots from downtown on Tuesday. OKC has made only 10 of their 61 3-point shots for an ugly 16.4% clip in the first two games of this series. Now the Thunder return home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total — and they have also played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, OKC has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Portland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Under is also 6-2-1 in the Trail Blazers’ last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now Portland goes on the road where the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Blazers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: The Thunder have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least 20 points. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total — and the Under is 25-10-2 in the last 37 games between these two teams played in OKC. 10* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-19 |
Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (63) and the Boston Celtics (64). THE SITUATION: Boston (51-26-9) evened this series at 2-2 on Wednesday with their 6-4 victory over Toronto (48-30-6). The Bruins return home with the opportunity to move within one game of clinching this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston has played 8 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total after a victory over an Atlantic Division rival. The Bruins have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 6 straight games after scoring at least five goals when they are playing on their home ice. Furthermore, Boston has played 36 of their last 54 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game. While it was a high scoring game in Toronto on Wednesday, look for the Bruins defense and goaltender Tuukka Rask to play better tonight. Rask had a 2.32 Goals-Against-Average at home during the regular season with a .913 save percentage. Rask entered this postseason with a 2.25 GAA along with a .924 save percentage in 65 games in the playoffs which includes a Stanley Cup championship run. Boston has played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bruins have also seen the Under go 12-4-5 in their last 21 games in the playoffs when favored and priced in the -110 to -150 price range. Toronto needs to play better with their Power Play Kill Unit as they have allowed Boston to score in 5 of their 11 (45.5%) Power Play chances. The Maple Leafs were just 17th in killing Power Plays during the regular season — but they should get closer to that 79.9% mark as this series moves on. Toronto has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Maple Leafs have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And the Under is 5-2-1 in Toronto’ last 8 games as an underdog in the +110 to +150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: The Maple Leafs have played 10 of their last 13 games on the road when motivated by revenge — and they have played 16 of their last 23 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals. These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. With this game being played in Boston, expect the Bruins’ to win the battle of styles which will result in a slower and more physical game. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (63) and the Boston Celtics (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-19 |
Raptors v. Magic UNDER 211.5 |
Top |
98-93 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (551) and the Orlando Magic (552). THE SITUATION: Toronto (59-25) evened this series at 1-1 on Tuesday with their 111-82 victory over the Magic (43-41) as a 10.5-point favorite. Game Three and Four of this series move to Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors tightened up their 3-point defense — or the Regression Gods paid a visit to Toronto in Game Two as the Magic made only 9 of their 34 (26.5%) shots from behind the arc after nailing 14 of their 29 (48.3%) 3-pointers in their upset win in Game One. The deeper concern for Orlando is that their most reliable scorer, Nikola Vucevic, has been bottlenecked down low by the Toronto combination of Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka. Vucevic is averaging only 8.5 PPG in this series while shooting just 6 of 21 (28.6%) from the field. The Raptors are an outstanding defensive team that ranked 5th during the regular season in Defensive Rating. Toronto has held their last five opponents to just 101.6 PPG on 41.4% shooting from the field — as compared to the 108.0 PPG they are allowing for the season on 44.8% shooting. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Raptors’ last 4 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 3-0-1 in Toronto’s last 4 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, while the Raptors have covered the point spread in seven of their last nine games, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Furthermore, the Under is 3-1-1 in Toronto’s last 5 games on the road — and they have now played 5 straight games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. Orlando has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Magic have all played 35 of their last 52 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 36 of the last 52 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Head coach Steve Clifford will focus his team’s bounce-back from Game Two on the defensive end of the court where they ranked 8th in the NBA in Defensive Rating. Orlando has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 19 of their last 26 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total — and in their last 6 games played on Orlando, the game finished Under the Total all 6 times. 25* NBA First Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (551) and the Orlando Magic (552). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-18-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 210.5 |
|
108-118 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (545) and the San Antonio Spurs (546). THE SITUATION: Denver (55-29) evened this series at 1-1 on Tuesday with their 114-106 victory over the Spurs (49-35). This series moves to San Antonio for Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They rallied to win that game by making 48.3% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. Denver now goes on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total — and they have also played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Additionally, the Nuggets have played of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, Denver has played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. San Antonio has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. The Spurs have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have paled 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. San Antonio has been playing better defense as they are allowing only 101.2 PPG over their last five games on 43.8% shooting from the field by their opponents — as compared to their 109.9 PPG and opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.3% for the season.
FINAL TAKE: The Spurs have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 100 points. These two teams have played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total when playing in San Antonio. 10* NBA Denver-San Antonio NBA-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (545) and the San Antonio Spurs (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-17-19 |
Flames v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (49) and the Colorado Avalanche (50). THE SITUATION: Colorado (40-31-4) seized a 2-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 6-2 victory over Calgary (51-27-7). They host Game Four of this series tonight before the Flames return home to host Game Five.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total after scoring at least six goals in their last contest. Colorado has also played 11 of their last 15 home games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. And in their last 10 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game, the game finished Under the Total 7 times. Colorado will be undermanned at the forward position tonight with Derick Brassard out with an illness. Head coach Jared Bednar has limited options to replace Brassard with no additional forwards available on his roster. Despite their scoring output on Monday, the Avalanche are scoring only 2.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. They have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. Calgary has played 11 of their last 15 road games Under the Total after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. The Flames have also played 30 of their last 43 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and this includes them playing thirteen of their last eighteen games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals. Calgary stays on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Flames were the favorite in their last games against the Avalanche in this series. Calgary has then played 19 of their last 28 road games when looking to avenge two straight upset losses to their opponent. 10* NHL Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (49) and the Colorado Avalanche (50). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-17-19 |
Pistons v. Bucks UNDER 215.5 |
|
99-120 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (539) and the Milwaukee Bucks (540). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (61-22) took a 1-0 lead in this series on Sunday with their dominant 121-86 victory over Detroit (41-42). The Bucks host the second game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pistons have seen the Under go a decisive 38-16-2 in their last 56 games after a double-digit loss. The Under is also 7-3-1 in Detroit’s last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 33-16-3 in their last 52 games after a point spread loss. And while the Pistons have lost five of their last seven games, they have then played 23 of their last 33 games after losing at least four of their last five games. This team is not likely to have the services of Blake Griffin who has missed five of his last seven games with a left knee injury. Word has spread that he will not be able to play in this series although head coach Dwane Casey is officially claiming he remains day-to-day. Without Griffin, the Pistons lack a reliable first-scoring option. Detroit is making only 41.1% of their shots over their last five games which explains why they are scoring only 100.4 PPG over that span which is over 6 PPG below their season average. The Pistons have played 5 of their last 7 games in the month of April. The Under is also 32-15-4 in Detroit’s last 51 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court — and they have played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 12.5 to 18 points. The Pistons should play better on defense knowing that they cannot get into a track meet with the Bucks without the services of Griffin. They allowed them to shoot 48.9% from the field on Sunday which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. Milwaukee has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 30 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo only played in 23:38 minutes of Game One with that result easily in hand — don’t be surprised if head coach Mike Budenholzer calls off the dogs early in this game to rest his starters for what he hopes will be a long postseason. The Bucks have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fourth game in ten days. Milwaukee has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Furthermore, the Bucks play their best defense against familiar Central Division opponents who are making only 41.7% of their shots against them. This translates into only 101.3 PPG from Central Division foes which is far below their 109 PPG scoring average for the season. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total against Central Division rivals.
FINAL TAKE: The Pistons have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss where their opponent scored at least 110 points. And in the last 9 meetings between these two teams, the Under is 6-2-1. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (539) and the Milwaukee Bucks (540). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-17-19 |
Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-110 |
0 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (45) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (46). THE SITUATION: Toronto (48-29-6) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 3-2 victory over Boston (50-26-9). The Maple Leafs host Game Four before this series goes back to Boston for Game Five.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Toronto is doing a great job of containing the Bruins’ top-line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Pastrnak who were held without a point on Monday. Head coach Mike Babcock will be able to continue to choose his forward group last of John Tavares, Mitch Marner, and Zach Hyman with the home advantage of last option. The Maple Leafs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on their home ice — and the Under is also 9-1-1 in their last 11 home games as an underdog priced in the -110 to -150 price range. The Toronto offense will continue to be impacted by the suspension of center Nazeem Kardic who anchors their third line — he will be out the rest of this series. The Maple Leafs are scoring only 2.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. Toronto has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Maple Leafs have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams from the Atlantic Division. Boston has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total against Atlantic Division foes. They have also played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Forward depth ager their top-line is an issue for this team — so when that top group is not scoring, they can get into low scoring games. The Bruins are scoring only 2.6 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Look for head coach Bruce Cassidy to want his team to get back to the physical bruising play that elevated to win Game Two of this series. Getting back defenseman John Moore with his 38 games of playoff experience will also help their defensive efforts after he missed Monday’s contest with an upper-body injury. The Under is 29-14-2 in Boston’s last 45 games against teams with a winning record. The Under is also 26-10-1 in the Bruins’ last 37 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 4 straight Unders — and the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Toronto has finished Under the Total. Expect another lower scoring game. 10* NHL Boston-Toronto NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (45) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (46). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-16-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 210 |
Top |
105-114 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (533) and the Denver Nuggets (534). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (49-34) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 101-96 upset win over the Nuggets in the opening game of this series. Denver (54-29) hosts Game Two before the Spurs host Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Antonio has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while the Spurs have won four straight games, they have then played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after winning at least three in a row. San Antonio found success by double-teaming Nikola Jokic in the post and forcing him to pass to open teammates who more often than not missed their open shot — the Nuggets made only 42% of their shots from the field. But the Spurs had their own difficulties on offense with their two leading scorers, LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan combining to score only 33 points on 12 of 36 combined shooting. San Antonio has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Spurs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents, San Antonio has played 10 of these games Under the Total. Denver has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Nuggets have lost three of their last four games, they have then played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four. Denver should have better success containing the Spurs scorers who — outside of DeRozan and Aldridge — converted 28 of their 47 shots for a sizzling 60% shooting clip. The Nuggets hold their opponents to just a 44.9% shooting percentage on their home court. Denver has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 straight games Under the Total. Expect these trends to continue tonight in Game Two of this series. 25* NBA-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (533) and the Denver Nuggets (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-15-19 |
Arsenal v. Watford UNDER 3 |
Top |
1-0 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Arsenal (200073) and Watford (200074). THE SITUATION: Arsenal (19-6-7) enters this English Premier League matching looking to bounce-back from a 1-0 loss at Everton last Saturday. Watford (13-7-12) returns to EPL action where their last match was back on April 2nd when they defeated Fulham by a 4-1 score.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Arsenal has scored only five goals in their last four matches — but they have surrendered only two goals over that span. None of those last four matches saw more than two combined goals scored. The Gunners have slowed down on offense in large measure to do the slump of their striker, Pierre-Emerick Aubemeyang. First-year manager Unai Emery is no longer playing Aubemeyang consistently despite him being the team’s leading scorer with 17 goals. When Emery pairs Aubemeyang with Alexandre Lacazette at forward, Arsenal becomes one of the most dynamic scoring sides in the EPL. But Emery does not like how that pairing impacts how his team plays defensively — and it has been Aubemeyang who has been the odd man out. The Gunners have scored 65 goals this season — but the deeper metrics suggests they have been fortunate to generate that much scoring as their Expected Goals drops to 54.21 this year. Arsenal has scored only 26 goals on the road this year in their 15 matches for a meager 1.73 Goals-Per-Game average — but their Expected Goals on the road drops to just 20. On the positive side of the ledger, the Gunners have allowed 28 goals on the road but the Expected Goals allowed drops to 25.02. Arsenal simply does not create a ton of scoring chances. The Gunners rank 12th in the EPL by scoring 11.9 shots per game — and that number drops to 10.5 shots per game when they are playing on the road which is just 13th in the league. Watford plays a grinding and physical style of play that tends to give Arsenal some trouble. The Hornets have only allowed two goals in their last five matches at home. Overall, Watford has surrendered just 20 goals in their 15 home matches. But the Hornets have scored only 23 times at home this year — and their Expected Goals at home drops to just 19.42. Watford plays conservatively on the pitch — they are just 16th in the EPL by averaging only 11.2 shots per game. The Hornets are also 7th in the league by only allowing 12.7 shots per game. Watford has scored only eight times in their ten matches against the Big Six teams in the EPL. At home, the Hornets have scored only five goals in their five home matches against the Big Six.
FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are playing lower scoring games as of late — particularly when Watford is playing at home where just 10 combined goals have been scored in their last five home matches. 25* EPL Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between Arsenal (200073) and Watford (200074). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-14-19 |
Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (27) and the Vegas Golden Knights (28). THE SITUATION: Vegas (44-33-7) evened this series at 1-1 on Friday with their 5-3 victory over the Sharks (47-28-7) in San Jose. This series moves to Las Vegas for Games Three and Four of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Jose surrendered three quick goals to the Golden Knights in the first 6:39 minutes of the first period which prompted head coach Peter DeBoer to give the hook to goaltender Martin Jones. Jones will be back between the pipes tonight and I do expect him to play better. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Sharks’ last 6 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have also played 22 of their last 33 games Under the Total on the road after allowing at least five goals. Furthermore, San Jose has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss to a Pacific Division rival — and they have also played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least two goals. Additionally, the Under is 8-3-1 in the Sharks’ last 12 games when playing with one day of rest. And while San Jose has played three straight Overs, they have then played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. Vegas has played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total after a win by at least two goals against a Pacific Division rival — and they have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a win on the road where both teams scored at least three goals. The Golden Knights were very fortunate on offense on Friday with two of their goals being scored shorthanded with the Sharks on the Power Play. The Under is 5-2-1 in Vegas’ last 8 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Now the Golden Knights return home where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total as the favorite — and the Under is also 8-2-1 in Vegas’ last 11 home games as a favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: With the first two games of this series seven and eight combined goals, the Total has been moved to 6.5. Expect this to be the lowest scoring game so far in this series. 10* NHL Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (27) and the Vegas Golden Knights (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 211.5 |
|
101-96 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (48-34) enters the playoffs having won three straight games after their 105-94 win over Dallas on Wednesday as a 14-point favorite. Denver (54-28) snapped a two-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 99-95 win over Minnesota as a 12.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Spurs have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now, this veteran team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. San Antonio has also played 9 straight games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. And while the Spurs are shooting 47.8% from the field this season, the Nuggets have played 26 of their last 40 games Under the Total against teams who make at least 46% of their shots. Denver has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. The Nuggets have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Denver has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Nuggets stay at home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the total on their home court — and they have also played 5 straight games Under the Total at home against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played their last 4 encounters Under the Total. Look for them to make it five straight Unders tonight. 20* NBA Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-11-19 |
Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the Washington Capitals (14). THE SITUATION: Carolina (46-29-5) enters their first postseason in a decade on a three-game winning streak after their 4-3 win in Philadelphia last Saturday. Washington (48-26-7) begins their defense of their Stanley Cup championship having lost two of three with their 3-0 loss to the New York Islanders. Washington hosts the opening two games of this seven-game series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory. Carolina is going to be a tough out for the Capitals because they do such a good job of controlling possession of the puck. The Hurricanes lead the NHL in both Corsi-For-Percentage and Fenwick-For-Percentage which measures their net differential in shot attempts versus their opponents. First-year head coach, Rob Brind'Amour, has overseen a style of play that emphasizes speed and constant pressure to keep the puck bottled up on their offensive end of the ice. This approach has helped Carolina to surrender only 28.6 shots per game which is the 3rd lowest in the NHL. This approach has done wonders for journeyman goaltender Petr Mrazek who has responded with an outstanding 1.83 Goals-Against-Average with a .938 save percentage since the All-Star Break. Over his last thirteen games, Mrazek enjoys a 1.68 GAA along with a .944 save percentage with two shutouts. Mrazek flashed plenty of potential when playing for the Red Wings. He has a career 1.98 GAA in 11 games (10 starts) in the playoffs along with a .927 save percentage which includes three shutouts. The Hurricanes have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Carolina has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and the Under is 46-21-3 in their last 70 games when playing with at least three days of rest. Washington has played 6 straight home games after scoring one goal or less in their last game. The Capitals have also played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total where no more than three combined goals were scored — and the Under is 23-9-2 in their last 34 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Washington enters the playoffs with a cold Power Play that has converted on only 3 of their last 25 opportunities (12.1%). But the Caps have a hot goalie right now with Braden Holtby boasting a .947 save percentage over his last five starts. Holtby will be a confident goaltender after finally leading his team to hoist the Cup last year. Holtby had a 2.16 GAA in last year’s playoffs with a .922 save percentage and two shutouts. In his career 82 playoff starts, Holtby has an outstanding .929 save percentage. The Under is 9-2-1 in Washington’s last 12 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total as the favorite. The Caps have also played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow Metropolitan Division opponents.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina will be looking to avenge a 3-2 loss at home to the Capitals back on March 28th in the last meeting between these two teams. The Hurricanes have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total when avenging a one-goal loss to their opponent. And in the last 5 encounters between these two teams in Washington, the Under is 4-0-1. 25* NHL USA-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (13) and the Washington Capitals (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-10-19 |
Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (009) and the San Jose Sharks (010). THE SITUATION: Vegas (43-25-5) has lost two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests after closing out the regular season with a 5-2 loss in Los Angeles to the Kings on Saturday. San Jose (46-27-6) won their last two games of the regular season after they defeated Colorado on Saturday by a 5-2 score.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury played in those final two games of the regular season after getting a bunch of time off in March with the birth of his child coinciding with Vegas being pretty much locked-in to the third seed in the Pacific Division standings. Fleury's first game back was a 4-1 loss at home to Arizona last Thursday — but the Golden Knights have then played 11 of their last 14 games on the road Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in two straight games. Fleury needed to knock some rust off after taking time off — but I expect the veteran to be ready to go after being simply outstanding in his last two playoff experiences. In Vegas’ victory over the Sharks in six games in last year’s Western Conference Semifinals, Fleury had a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average with a .935 save percentage with two shutouts. The Golden Knights have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Furthermore, the Under is 20-9-2 in Vegas’ last 31 road games as an underdog — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog in the playoffs. San Jose has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Sharks scored 3.52 Goals-Per-Game during the regular season which was tied for third best in the league. But playoff hockey might see their offense take a step back. For starters, it remains unclear if this team has a consistently reliable top-line. Second, the health of their offensive-minded defenseman, Erik Karlsson, remains an issue as he returns to the ice after a nasty groin injury. Another concern for the Sharks is the play of their goaltender, Martin Jones, who had a 2.94 Goals-Against-Average with a .896 save percentage during the regular season. Jones has a career .926 save percentage in 42 games in the playoffs so he is more than capable and experienced. San Jose may choose to play a bit more cautiously to help build his confidence with the clean slate of the playoffs. San Jose has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when favored. The Under is also 3-1-1 in the last 5 games for the Sharks in the Western Conference Quarterfinals.
FINAL TAKE: The last two games played in San Jose in last year’s Western Conference Semifinals saw each team register a shutout win. The biggest problem the Sharks had last year in that series was being too loose with the puck which played right into the Knights’ transition game from forcing turnovers — after blanking them in the opening game of that series by a 7-0 score, Vegas scored four and five goals in their next two victories in that series before then winning by a 6-0 score in the first meeting between these two teams in the regular season back in November. Head coach Peter DeBoer cannot let his team surrender another barrage of goals to this Knights team. Expect this opening game to be a hard-hitting and tightly played affair which makes the Under very enticing with the Total set at 6. 25* NHL 1st Round Pacific Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (009) and the San Jose Sharks (010). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-08-19 |
Texas Tech v. Virginia UNDER 118 |
Top |
77-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (811) and the Virginia Cavaliers (812). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (31-6) reached the National Championship game on Saturday with their 61-51 upset victory over Michigan State as a 2-point underdog. Virginia (34-3) joins them in this showdown with their 63-62 win over Auburn as a 6-point favorite. This game will be played in U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis as a neutral court.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: We know about the strong defenses both these teams play. Texas Tech leads the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while Virginia ranks 5th in the nation in that metric. The question is whether the oddsmakers have installed the Total too low with it currently residing in the 118 range. While the Over might look for very tempting to many bettors, don’t take the bait. The Red Raiders allowed only 58.8 PPG this season while limiting their opponents to just 36.8% shooting from the field. Their five NCAA Tournament opponents are scoring at just a 0.85 Points-Per-Possession rate which is the lowest since mark in the Big Dance since 2006. What makes this Texas Tech defense so tough is their ability to seamlessly switch off as defenders to fight off picks with all five of their players on the court. The Red Raiders have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big 12. Texas Tech has also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have also played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total as a pick ‘em or underdog of 3 points or less when playing on a neutral court. Additionally, the Red Raiders have played 18 of their last 25 games in the postseason Under the Total — and this includes them playing five of their last six games in the Big Dance Under the Total. Virginia has played 8 of their last 9 road games against teams who do not allow more than 64 PPG. The Cavaliers are holding their opponents to just 55.5 PPG this season while limiting these foes to just 38.4% shooting from the field. Texas Tech has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 39% or lower. On paper, Virginia has the third highest Adjusted Offensive Efficiency number in the nation. In practice, the Cavaliers have only matched or eclipsed that number once in their last six games this season (against Purdue). Virginia made 49% of their shots against Auburn which was actually their best shooting effort from the field in their last four games — yet they scored only 63 points. The Cavaliers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a close win by 3 points or less — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Virginia has only scored 28 and 29 points in the first half of their last two contests — and they have then played 7 straight games on the road Under the Total after failing to score at least 30 points in the first half in two straight games. The Cavaliers have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. Virginia has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.
FINAL TAKE: I would not be shocked if one of these teams gets hot with their shooting. However, I do not see both teams torching the nets — and it is much more likely that both teams will struggle to hit baskets with the pressure of winning a National Championship on the line. Both these teams complement their stout defenses with a slow deliberate pace on the offensive end of the court. The strong fundamental play here is with the Under. 25* College Basketball Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (811) and the Virginia Cavaliers (812). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-08-19 |
Braves v. Rockies UNDER 11 |
|
8-6 |
Loss |
-125 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (957) and the Colorado Rockies (958). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (5-4) enters this series coming off a 4-3 victory over Miami yesterday. Colorado (3-7) has lost three straight games after their 12-6 loss last night to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Braves go back on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total. Atlanta has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. They send out Teheran who is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in two starts this season. The right-hander was 9-9 with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP last season. Teheran has been more effective when pitching away from the news Sun Trust Park in Atlanta — he had a 3.96 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .205 at home last year but all those numbers improved to a 3.92 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .185 when he was pitching on the road. The Braves have played 4 straight games Under the Total with Teheran pitching with four days rest. Atlanta has also played 5 straight games Under the Total with Teheran facing the Rockies. Colorado is struggling with their bats early on this season. They are scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game with a .216 batting average along with a .277 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .601. The Rockies have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. Colorado has played 21 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is a decisive 42-19-1 in the Rockies’ last 62 home games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Freeland who is 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP in two starts so far this season. Freeland has a 17-7 record last year with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. The left-hander was more effective at home in Coors Field where he enjoyed a 2.40 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and an opponents’ batting average of just .228. Colorado has played 26 of their last 31 home games Under the Total with Freeland on the hill — and they have played fifteen of their last seventeen home games with him facing a team with a winning record. The Braves are scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game on the road this year with a .221 batting average along with a .333 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .691. Atlanta has also played 6 straight road games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.
FINAL TAKE: The Total is set in the 10.5 to 11 range with this game being played in the hitter-friendly Coors Field — but this should be a lower scoring game. 10* MLB Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (957) and the Colorado Rockies (958). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-06-19 |
Texas Tech v. Michigan State UNDER 133 |
Top |
61-51 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (801) and the Michigan State Spartans (802). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (30-6) reached the Final Four last Saturday with their 75-69 upset victory over Gonzaga as a 5-point underdog. Michigan State (32-6) joined them the next day when they upset Duke by a 68-67 score as a 2.5-point underdog. The Final Four takes place U.S. Bank Stadium on a neutral court in Minneapolis.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: In theory, the Red Raiders were facing their biggest defensive challenge of the season against a balanced and dynamic Bulldogs offense last week. In practice, Gonzaga scored at just a 0.97 Points-Per-Possession pace which was just the third time all season that the Bulldogs failed to score at least 1.0 PPG against their opponent. Yet even still, the 42.4% shooting clip that Gonzaga managed against Texas Tech was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage the latter had allowed in their last five games. The Red Raiders are holding their NCAA Tournaments to only 57 PPG. A key to their defense is the play of their rim protector, the 6’8, 250-lb Norense Odiase who is holding opponents to scoring at a minuscule 0.429 Points-Per-Possession in Post-Up plays which is in the 95th percentile in the nation this season. The issue for this Texas Tech team is that their offense tends to stall if Chris Mooney or Davide Moretti are not providing a scoring boost to complement Jarrett Culver. Mooney scored 17 points against Gonzaga but that was his highest scoring output in two months. Moretti made a whopping 62.5% of his 3-pointers in the two games in Anaheim after missing all seven of his 3-pointers in the first two games in the Big Dance. When neither of those players are contributing points, the Red Raiders offense becomes too one-dimensional as they rely on Culver to create shots in isolation. Texas Tech has played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. Furthermore, the Red Raiders have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big 12 — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Texas Tech has also found more offense by scoring in transition — but they are now facing a Spartans team that did not allow Duke to score a single point in transition last Sunday. The Under is 28-10-1 in Michigan State’s last 39 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Spartans have only allowed 30 and 28 points in the first half of their last two games — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 30 points in their last game. Michigan State has held their opponents in the NCAA Tournament to just 61.3 PPG while limiting them to only 28.2% shooting from behind the arc. The Under is 19-7-1 in the Spartans’ last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, Michigan State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games in the NCAA Tournament.
FINAL TAKE: Texas Tech averages 18.3 seconds per possession which is the 267th slowest in the nation. With the Red Raiders boasting the top Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the nation and Sparty not far behind by ranking 9th in the nation in that metric. Points should be hard to come by in this contest. 25* CBB Final Four Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (801) and the Michigan State Spartans (802). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-06-19 |
Auburn v. Virginia UNDER 133 |
|
62-63 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (803) and the Virginia Cavaliers (804). THE SITUATION: Virginia (33-3) reached the Final Four last Saturday with their 80-75 victory in overtime against Purdue as a 4.5-point favorite. Auburn (30-9) joined them on Sunday with their 77-71 upset victory in overtime over Kentucky as a 4.5-point underdog. The Final Four takes place on a neutral court in Minneapolis.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers reached the 80-point threshold due to a hot second half of shooting and the extra five minutes of overtime to dispatch of the Boilermakers — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Virginia has scored only 30 points in the first half in each of their last two games — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than 30 points in the first half in two straight games. Virginia has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 29 games with the Total set in the 130s, the Cavaliers have played 20 of these games Under the Total. Virginia will be looking to slow this game to a crawl — the 59.2 possessions per game they average is the fewest in the country. This low level of possessions helps the Cavs lead the nation by allowing only 55.4 PPG. Virginia is also 3rd in the nation in 3-point defense as their opponents only make 28.7% of their shots from behind the arc. Auburn will shoot tons of 3s — and they have 38.3% of their shots from downtown which is 15th in the nation. But Virginia has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total against teams that make at least 37% of their 3-pointers. The Tigers thrive by making the game chaotic which helps their athletes score buckets in transition — but the Cavaliers' style of play is designed to limit transition opportunities. Virginia does not emphasize crashing the offensive glass as they privilege getting defenders back on defense. They also only turn the ball over in 14.7% of their possessions which is 12th best in the nation. Auburn’s offense tends to stall if they get stuck in a half-court battle. The Tigers made only 43.5% of their shots when playing away from home. The season-ending injury to Chuma Okeke leaves the Tigers without their best scorer inside the arc. Auburn has scored at least 77 points in five straight games — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in five straight games. The Tigers have also played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total against teams who do not allow more than 64 PPG.
FINAL TAKE: In a battle of conflicting styles of tempo, usually the team that wants to slow down the pace tends to more likely get their way. Virginia will eat time off the clock on offense — especially since Auburn full court press is designed to slow down the initial execution of their opponent’s half-court offense. 10* CBB Auburn-Virginia CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (803) and the Virginia Cavaliers (804). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-05-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5 |
Top |
110-119 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Denver Nuggets (556). THE SITUATION: Portland (50-28) enters this game coming off a 116-89 win over Memphis on Wednesday as a 9.5-point favorite. Denver (52-26) comes off a 113-85 win over San Antonio on Wednesday as a 5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Under is also 3-0-1 in Portland’s last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Trail Blazers are playing tough on the defensive end of the court as of late as they have held their last five opponents to just a 43.0% field goal percentage. Portland needs to lean on their defense given the injuries to C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Turkic who takes away a big-time scoring and a beast on the offensive glass for them. The Blazers go back on the road where the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Denver (52-26) has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Nuggets have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Denver is struggling to score points as of late. They are scoring just 101.0 PPG over their last five games on 44.3% shooting from the field which is far below their 110.8 PPG scoring average for the season allowing with a 46.6% field goal percentage. The Nuggets stay at home where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. Denver has also played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents — and in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Denver has played all 6 games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Portland has lost their last five encounters with the Nuggets with the last result being a 116-113 loss in Denver back on January 13th. The previous result was a narrow 113-112 loss at home back on November 30th — and the Trail Blazers have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when looking to avenge to straight losses that were decided by 3 points or less. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Denver Nuggets (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-05-19 |
Liverpool v. Southampton UNDER 3 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-130 |
0 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Liverpool (200013) and Southampton (200014). THE SITUATION: Liverpool (24-7-1) enters this match coming off a 2-1 win at home over Tottenham back last Sunday. Southampton (8-9-14) enters this match coming off a 1-0 win at Brighton and Hove Albion last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Liverpool leads the English Premier League by conceding only 19 goals this season for a low 0.59 Goals-Per-Game allowed. They are even stingier when they are playing on the road as the Reds have conceded only 9 goals away from home this year for a 0.56 Goals-Per-Game allowed. Manager Jurgen Klopp has his team play with a bit more emphasis on defensive tactics when playing in hostile territory. Liverpool leads the EPL by allowing only 6.5 shots per game when playing on the road. Furthermore, in their eleven matches on the road against non-Big Six clubs, the Reds have given up only four goals for a measly 0.36 Goals-Per-Game allowed. So, there is a good opportunity for Liverpool to earn a clean sheet on the road in this match. But with the Reds in a dog fight with Manchester City for first place in the EPL this season, they have been playing pretty tight on the road as of late. Liverpool has scored only seven goals in their last seven matches on the road while conceding just four goals — and none of these seven matches saw more than three combined goals scored. Mo Salah looks tired on the pitch right now as he has not scored a goal in his last eight matches for the Reds. Additionally, Liverpool is just not as active when playing on the road. While they average 20.7 shots per game when playing at home, this number drops to just 14.9 shots per game when playing on the road. Furthermore, the Reds average 8.2 shots on target per game at home but this mark drops to 5.7 shots on target per game when playing on the road. Southampton can play the role of spoiler in this match since their win at Brighton placed them 5 points above relegation. The Saints return home where they have only conceded four goals in their last four matches — but they have scored only six goals over that span. Southampton struggles to score goals — their 35 goals this season is 6th fewest in the EPL. The Saints average just 1.27 Goals-Per-Game at home this year.
FINAL TAKE: Southampton has been difficult to score on when playing at home as of late. With Liverpool’s offense hampered with Salah’s slump, expect a lower scoring game. 20* EPL Liverpool-Southampton NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the match between Liverpool (200013) and Southampton (200014). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-04-19 |
Lipscomb v. Texas UNDER 143 |
|
66-81 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Lipscomb Bison (727) and the Texas Longhorns (728). THE SITUATION: Texas (20-16) reached the NIT Finals on Tuesday with their 58-44 win over TCU as a 1-point favorite. Lipscomb (29-7) joined them in the Finals of this tournament with their 71-64 victory over Wichita State as a pick ‘em on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns held the Horned Frogs to just 17 points in the first half on Tuesday — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 25 points in the first half of their last game. Texas has also played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. And in their last 57 games after a straight-up win, the Under is 39-17-1. Shaka Smart’s team ranks 28th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. While the Longhorns have held their last five opponents to just a 39.2% shooting percentage, they have made only 41.2% of their shots over their last five contests. Texas has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Longhorns have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. And in their last 6 games played on a neutral court as a pick ‘em or a favorite of no more than 6 points, Texas has played 5 of these games Under the Total. Lipscomb has played 11 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total after a straight up win. Additionally, Lipscomb has played 4 of their last 5 games when playing their second game in three days. And in their last 7 games playing on a neutral court, the Bison have played 5 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Look for this to be a low-scoring contest. 20* CBB Lipscomb-Texas ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Lipscomb Bison (727) and the Texas Longhorns (728). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-02-19 |
Texas v. TCU UNDER 138 |
Top |
58-44 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (711) and the TCU Horned Frogs (712). THE SITUATION: Texas (19-16) reached the Semifinals of the NIT last Wednesday with their 68-55 win over Colorado as a 5-point favorite. TCU (23-13) joins them in the NIT Semifinals care of their 71-58 won over Creighton as a 3.5-point favorite last Tuesday. The way meet in the Madison Square Garden where the Semifinals and Finals of this event take place.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns held the Buffaloes to just 32.7% shooting in their win on Thursday. This is a strong defensive unit for head coach Shaka Smart — they rank 35th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Under is 38-17-1 in Texas’ last 56 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. And while they held Colorado to just 19 first-half points — and they have then played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 25 points in the first half of their last game. Now the Longhorns go on the road after playing their last three games — and they shoot just 41.5% from the field away from home. Over their last five games, Texas is shooting only 40.2% from the field. They have played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total on a neutral court with the Total set in the 135 to 139.5 point range. TCU is also playing their first game away from home in their last four contests. The Horned Frogs have played 31 of their last 43 games Under the Total after playing their last two games at home. And while their victory over the Bluejays was preceded by an 88-72 win over Nebraska, TCU has then played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning their last two games at home by double-digits. Head coach Jamie Dixon’s squad is also very good on the defensive end of the court as they rank 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency after holding Creighton to just 36.2% shooting. The Horned Frogs have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court with the Total set in the 135 to 139.5 point range. And in their last 87 games in expected close contests where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, TCU has played 53 of these games Under the Total — and this includes them playing five of these last seven situations.
FINAL TAKE: The Horned Frogs have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Longhorns have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Texas is looking to avenge a 69-56 upset loss at home laying 7 points to TCU back on March 9th — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss. These two teams have played 10 of their last 12 meetings Under the Total — expect another low scoring game between these two teams in the third meeting between these Big 12 opponents this season. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Longhorns (711) and the TCU Horned Frogs (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-31-19 |
Michigan State v. Duke UNDER 150.5 |
|
68-67 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 40 m |
Show
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At 5:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Michigan State Spartans (691) and the Duke Blue Devils (692). THE SITUATION: Michigan State (31-6) has won eight straight games after their 80-63 win over LSU on Friday as a 6-point favorite. Duke (32-5) reached the Elite Eight on Friday with their 75-73 win over Virginia Tech as a 7-point favorite. This East regional game takes place in Washington D.C.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Spartans have seen the Under go 27-10-1 in their last 38 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is also 19-7-1 in their last 27 games after a point spread victory. While Michigan State likes to play at a fast pace at times, the bread-and-butter of Tom Izzo teams have been pushing the game into a physical battle of wills. Don’t be surprised if the Spartans slow the pace of this game down. The 90 points they scored on Friday were the most points they scored in their last seven games. Michigan State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Under is also 18-7-1 in the Spartans’ last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Duke has seen the Under go 21-8-2 in their last 31 games after a straight-up win. The Blue Devils did shoot 55.4% from the field on Friday which was the best shooting effort in their last eight games. Duke has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 150s. The Blue Devils have also played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150 to 154.5 point range. And in their last 9 games against teams outside the ACC, the Under is 7-1-1.
FINAL TAKE: Both these teams have outstanding defenses. Michigan State ranks 9th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while Duke ranks 7th in that category. The Spartans have held their last five opponents to just a 37.5% shooting percentage while the Blue Devils have held their last five opponents to only 39% shooting from the field. Expect a lower scoring game. 10* CBB Michigan State-Duke CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Michigan State Spartans (691) and the Duke Blue Devils (692). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-30-19 |
Stars v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 |
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2-3 |
Win
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100 |
2 h 5 m |
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At 10:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (21) and the Vancouver Canucks (22). THE SITUATION: Dallas (41-31-5) has won three straight games with their 3-2 win over Edmonton on Tuesday. Vancouver (33-35-2) snapped a three-game losing streak on Thursday with their 3-2 win over Los Angeles in a shootout.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is a decisive 23-3-4 in the Stars’ last 30 games after a victory — and the Under is also 20-4-5 in their last 29 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Dallas is allowing only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. They will turn to Anton Khudobin in between the pipes tonight with Ben Bishop nursing a lower-body injury. Khudobin has a strong .923 save percentage on the road this season — and he enjoys a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average with a .937 save percentage in five starts (seven games) this month. He will need to be good tonight since the Stars score only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road. The Under is 19-6-5 in Dallas’ last 30 games on the road — and they have played 20 of their last 22 games Under the Total on the road with the Total set at 5.5. Furthermore, the Under is 7-1-2 in the Stars’ last 10 road games as a favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range. The Under is also 18-6-3 in Dallas’ last 27 games against fellow Western Conference foes. Vancouver has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a victory. The Canucks have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. Jacob Markstrom will be in goal tonight — he has a solid 2.68 GAA along with a .918 save percentage since the All-Star Break. Vancouver stays at home where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. The Canucks have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home as an underdog. Additionally, Vancouver has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference foes.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower scoring game between these two teams. 25* NHL Bailout Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (21) and the Vancouver Canucks (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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