All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
10-28-17 | Dodgers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (908) versus the Houston Astros (907) listing both starting pitchers Charlie Morton and Alex Wood. Houston (110-66) has seen their bats wake up with the sense or urgency that filled them in the 8th inning of Game Two of this series when they were facing Kenley Jansen with a 3-1 deficit. Since those dire moments, the Astros have scored eleven runs in their twelve frames at bat which includes the remaining four innings in their 7-6 victory on Wednesday as well as their 5-3 win over the Dodgers last night in Game Three of this series. The Over is now 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Over is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against teams that allowed at least five runs in their last game. They give the ball to Morton who is 14-7 with a 3.62 ERA along with a 1.19 WHIP this season. But the right-hander has a 6.23 career ERA with a 1.54 WHIP in his three career starts in the postseason — so there is a good chance he will be feeling some nerves in his first appearance in the World Series. And remember, this Astros bullpen has been unreliable — to say the least. In these playoffs, the Houston bullpen has a 4.50 ERA. |
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10-28-17 | Miami-FL v. North Carolina UNDER 55 | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (129) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (130). Miami (6-0) remained undefeated last week with their 27-19 win over Syracuse as a 17.5-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while QB Malik Zaire passed for 344 yards in that victory, Miami has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a game where they generated at least 280 passing yards. Now they go back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. The Hurricanes bring with them a defense that is 23rd in the FBS by holding opponents to just 18.7 PPG. |
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10-28-17 | Buffalo University v. Akron UNDER 50 | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
At 11:30 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (123) and the Akron Zips (124). Buffalo (3-5) will be starting a true freshman at QB in Kyle Vantrease with both Drew Anderson and Tyree Jackson declared out for this game. Vantrease completed just 17 of 41 passes last week for 202 yards in the Bulls’ 24-14 loss at Miami (OH) as a 3-point underdog. Buffalo is playing all of their opponents tough with three of their losses by 4 points or less and all five of their defeats being within 10 points — so expect a conservative game plan in this contest with a freshman QB playing in a hostile environment. As it is, the Bulls have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. Furthermore, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 5 games after a loss by at least 20 points, the Bulls have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Moving forward, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of October. |
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10-27-17 | Dodgers v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (905) and the Houston Astros (906) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Lance McCullers. Los Angeles (112-60) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 7-6 win in extra innings in what became a game for the ages in World Series history. The Dodgers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after an off day. Now they go on the road where the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games away from home. They give the ball to Darvish who is 10-12 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP this season. The right-hander was been more effective on the road during the regular season where he had a 2.44 ERA with a .206 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 5.25 ERA along with a .246 opponent’s batting average at home with Texas and then the Dodgers after being traded to LA. The right-hander has been outstanding in this postseason where he has a 2–0 record with a 1.59 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in two starts. Darvish’s teams have played 11 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price-range. He faces an Astros team that is hitting just .201 over their last seven games with a .280 On-Base Percentage and .638 OPS over that span. Houston has played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Astros have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens UNDER 37.5 | Top | 0-40 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (101) and the Baltimore Ravens (102). With this Total set in the 37.5 range as of this writing, oddsmakers seem to be trying coax Over bets. Lets not take the bait. After a week where three teams were shutout and another six teams scored 10 points or less in regulation time, there is a good chance that at least one of these teams with limited offenses will fail to score more than 10 points when playing on a short week. Miami (4-2) enters this game coming off their 31-28 win over the NY Jets last week as a 3-point favorite. The Dolphins did generate 357 yards in that game in their best statistical effort on offense all season — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Miami rushed for just 53 yards in that game — and they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. QB Jay Cutler has been declared out for this game with his rib injury — and while Matt Moore is a capable backup, some of the talk defending him that approaches Dan Marino territory is a bit overblown. Now this team goes on the road where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. Miami has also played 3 straight games Under the Total as an underdog. The Dolphins do have a top-ten defense in yards allowed while ranking 7th in the NFL by allowing 18.7 PPG. The Under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games played on a Thursday night. And in their last 26 games in the month of October, the Under is 17-8-1. |
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10-25-17 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (903) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (904) listing both starting pitchers Justin Verlander and Rich Hill. Los Angeles (112-59) won the opening game of this series last night by a 3-1 score. The Dodgers have then seen the Under go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a win — and the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after not allowing more than two earned runs in their last game. And in their last 13 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road, Los Angeles has played 10 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to Hill tonight who is 12-8 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.09 WHIP during the regular season. The left-hander was particularly effective at home during the regular season where he enjoyed a 2.77 ERA along with a 1.05 WHIP and .179 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts as compared to his 4.06 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and .233 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts on the road. Hill will be making his first start since October 15th when he allowed only one earned run in 5 innings of work at home against the Cubs in the NLCS. Hill’s teams have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when he is pitching with at least nine days of rest. He faces a cold Astros lineup that is scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .173 batting average along with a .253 On-Base Percentage and .548 OPS over that span. Additionally, the Astros have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-24-17 | Astros v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (901) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (902) listing both starting pitchers Dallas Keuchel and Clayton Kershaw. Los Angeles (111-59) takes the field again since they eliminated the Cubs in five games last Thursday in their 11-1 victory. The Dodgers have then played 19 of their last 27 home games Over the Total after a win by at least four runs. Los Angeles has not allowed more than three runs in six straight games — but they have then played 40 of their last 62 games Over the Total after allowing no more than three runs in at least five straight games. Furthermore, the Dodgers have seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games on their home field. They give the ball to Kershaw who was 18-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.95 WHIP during the regular season. But the left-hander is not quite the same pitcher in the postseason where he has a 4.40 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 106 1/3 innings. In these playoffs, Kershaw has a 3.63 ERA which is pretty good (and better than his previous playoff stints) but I expect him to surrender runs in this game. In fourteen starts at home during the regular season, the left-hander had a 2.58 ERA which was a bit higher than his filthy 2.03 ERA in thirteen starts on the road. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 home games with Kershaw on the mound. He faces a Astros team that has played 5 straight road games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-23-17 | Redskins v. Eagles UNDER 49 | 24-34 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (477) and the Philadelphia Eagles (478). Philadelphia (5-1) returns to the field tonight after their 28-23 win at Carolina back on October 12th as a 3-point underdog. The Eagles have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a victory on the road. Philadelphia now returns home where they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total — and this includes playing four straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Eagles defense kept the Skins in check in the first meeting between these two teams which they won by a 30-17 score. The Skins managed just 264 yards while rushing for only 64 yards in that game. This rematch is back in Philadelphia where the Eagles are holding their guests to just 15.5 PPG. |
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10-22-17 | Falcons v. Patriots OVER 56.5 | 7-23 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (475) and the New England Patriots (476). New England (4-2) got away with one last week with their 24-17 win over the Jets where they rallied from an early two-touchdown deficit and were later beneficiaries of a crazy goal-line ruling where a Jets touchdown was instead called a fumble out-of-bounds that actually cost them their Red Zone possession. The Patriots defense continued to be a significant problem for this team as they allowed a woeful Jets’ offense to generate 408 yards of offense. New England has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Pats simply cannot generate a pass rush as they are sacking the quarterback just once in every eighteen passes. This Falcons offense is especially potent when QB Matt Ryan is given time to find open receivers. But New England should keep up in what shapes up to be a scoring bonzana — and that certainly what the books are telling us with the Total set in the mid-50s which is basically begging bettors to take the Under. The Patriots have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a victory. New England has also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 72 games at home in Foxboro, the Patriots have played a decisive 49 of these games Over the Total. |
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10-22-17 | Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | Top | 14-29 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (455) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (456). Pittsburgh (4-2) returns home this week after their triumphant 19-13 win at Kansas City last week as a 3.5-point underdog. The Steelers defense flexed their muscles by holding the explosive Chiefs offense to just 251 yards of offense in that contest. Pittsburgh was able to control the football for 36L39 of that game due to the outstanding performance of running back LeVeon Bell who ran the ball 32 times for 179 yards. Expect the Steelers to commit to running the football as well in this divisional rivalry. Pittsburgh has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Steelers did generate 439 yards of offense in that victory — but they have then seen the Under go 13-2-1 in their last 16 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has played 21 of their last 27 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 31 games against fellow AFC North opponents, the Under is 21-8-1. |
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10-22-17 | Bucs v. Bills OVER 44.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (461) and the Buffalo Bills (462). Buffalo (3-2) looks to bounce-back from their 20-16 loss at Cincinnati two weeks ago as a 4-point favorite. The Bills have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, while Buffalo allowed 388 yards to the Bengals, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now this team gets back to work at home after their bye week where they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and that includes four straight Overs against teams with a losing record on the road. |
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10-21-17 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 8 | 0-4 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (917) and the Houston Astros (918) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Charlie Morton. Houston (107-65) uncorked their bats last night by scoring seven runs (one run too many for us) in their 7-1 win over the Yankees to force a climactic seventh game. I expect the pressure of the moment to impact the pitchers more than the hitters in what should be a much more competitive game than last night. Both bullpens have been shaky in this series with the typically reliable David Robertson getting hit hard by the Astros yesterday. Houston has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Astros have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a victory. And in their last 5 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game, Houston has played 4 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Morton who was shelled for seven earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work in Game Three of this series on Monday. Morton has not fared well in his postseason experiences as he is now saddled with a 7.24 ERA with a 1.76 WHIP in just 13 2/3 innings of work spanning three playoff starts. And while he is pitching on his normal four days of rest, the Astros have seen the Over go 5-2-2 in their last 9 games with Morton pitching on four days of rest. The Houston bullpen has been ineffective as well as they have a 5.40 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP over their last seven games. 10* MLB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the Over. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
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10-21-17 | Boston College v. Virginia UNDER 47 | Top | 41-10 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston College Eagles (361) and the Virginia Cavaliers (362). Boston College (3-4) looks to build off their 45-42 upset win at Louisville last week as a 20-point underdog. The offensive explosion in that game from this Eagles team that typically relies on stout defense with points hard to come by on offense was a surprise. Expect things to get back to the lower-scoring ways under fifth-year head coach Steve Addazio. Boston College has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Eagles have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Additionally, while BC allowed 625 yards of offense in that game, the Under is then 43-19-1 in their last 63 games after a game where they allowed at least 450 yards in their last game contest. Now the Eagles stay on the road where the Under is a decisive 36-14-1. |
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10-21-17 | Akron v. Toledo UNDER 61 | 21-48 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (327) and the Toledo Rockets (328). Akron (4-3) looks to build off their 14-13 upset win at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. Additionally, Akron has played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. The Zips won that game despite managing just 215 yards of offense in that contest. Akron has then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 275 yards — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring no more than 20 points This team is allowing only 13.0 PPG over their last two games. But they stay on the road agains where they are scoring just 16.2 PPG while averaging a mere 275.5 total YPG. Furthermore, the Zips have played 12 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
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10-20-17 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary UNDER 51.5 | Top | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Saskatchewan Roughriders (651) and the Calgary Stampeders (652). Calgary (13-1-1) has won eleven straight games with their 28-25 win at Hamilton last Friday as a 9.5-point favorite. The Stampeders have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory on the road where they failed to cover the point spread. Calgary has also played 31 of their last 43 games Under the Total after win by 3 points or less — and this includes playing sixteen of their last twenty-one games Under the Total with a win on the road by a field goal or less. And in their last 8 games after a point spread loss, the Stamps have played 6 of these games Under the Total. This Calgary team needs a win to clinch the West Division and secure home field up until the Grey Cup. They lead the CFL by holding opponents to just 326.0 total YPG. Moving forward, the Stampeders have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the month of October. Calgary has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games against West Division foes, the Stampeders have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
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10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (913) and the Houston Astros (914) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Justin Verlander. Houston (106-65) returns home having lost all three games in Yankee Stadium after their 5-0 loss on Wednesday. The Astros have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss. Houston has not scored more than four runs in five straight games — and they have then played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after not scoring more than four runs in at least four straight games. Furthermore, the Under is 15-5-1 in the Astros’ last 21 home ames against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Verlander tonight who has been outstanding for them since being acquired from the Tigers at the trade deadline. In his five regular season starts wearing an Astros uniform, Verlander had a 5-0 record with a 1.06 ERA and a 0.65 WHIP. In his two regular season starts in Houston, Verlander had a 0.64 ERA, 0.50 WHIP and 0.93 WHIP. The right-hander has been outstanding in the postseason with a 3-0 record along with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP with 16 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings of work. In his 116 innings in his career in the playoffs, Verlander has a 10-5 record with a 3.18 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Verlander comes off a complete game where he allowed only one earned run against the Yankees in Game Two of this series — and not only am I not worried about the carry over from the pitch count from that effort with him pitching on his normal four days of rest but his teams have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total when he is following up a start where he allowed one earned run or less. Furthermore, the Astros have played 5 of their 7 games Under the Total with Verlander on the mound for them. He faces a Yankees lineup that is hitting only .227 with a .301 On-Base Percentage and .688 OPS over their last seven games. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in New York’s last 4 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 46.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (301) and the Oakland Raiders (302). Kansas City (5-1) looks to bounce-back from their first loss of the season on Sunday in their 19-13 loss at home to the Steelers as a 3.5-point favorite. The Chiefs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is a decisive 35-15-1 in their last 51 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Under is 19-7-1 in Kansas City’s last 27 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Chiefs have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the month of October. And in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record, KC has played 8 of these games Under the Total. And in the last 24 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 18 times. |
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10-19-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 11-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (911) and the Chicago Cubs (912) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Jose Quintana. Los Angeles (110-59) looks to bounce-back from their 3-2 loss in Game Four of this series last night. The Dodgers have now played straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. These two teams have also now played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when battling in Wrigley Field. Los Angeles turns to their ace Kershaw who is 18-4 with a 2.31 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP this season. The left-hander has a better ERA on the road with a 2.03 mark in thirteen regular season starts as compared to his 2.58 ERA in fourteen home starts. Kershaw was good in Game One of this series where he allowed two earned runs whole striking out four run 5 innings of work. The Under is a decisive 20-6-1 in their last 27 games with Kershaw facing a team with a winning record. The Dodgers have also played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total with Kershaw looking to stop a team losing streak. And in the last 12 games against the Cubs, the Under is 9-2-1 for Kershaw when he makes the start. He faces this Chicago team that is still struggling to score runs. Over their last seven games, the Cubs are scoring just 2.6 Runs-Per-Game with a .169 batting average along with a .230 On-Base Percentage and .498 OPS. Furthermore, the Under is 5-0-1 in the Cubs’ last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-18-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:01 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (967) and the Chicago Cubs (968) listing both starting pitchers Alex Wood and Jake Arrieta. Chicago (95-75) finds themselves on the brink of elimination tonight after their 6-1 loss to the Dodgers last night. The Cubs have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss. Chicago has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, not only have the Cubs played 4 straight home games Under the Total but they have also played 24 of their last 36 games Under the Total at home when a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. I was a little surprised to the see the Total listed at 9.5 (as of this writing) when it opened — but Chicago has played 29 of their last 46 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 9 to 9.5 range. They give the ball to Arrieta who is 14-10 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.90 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and .206 opponent’s batting average in ten starts. Arrieta has been good in the playoffs throughout his career given his 3.33 ERA along with a 1.07 WHIP in 46 innings of work. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in the Cubs’ last 6 games with Arrieta facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Dodgers team that has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-18-17 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
PLEASE NOTE: The Play is the Under for this contest -- I accidentally hit the wrong tab (again) when inputting this play and I do not have the ability to easily correct this clerical error. I apologize for any inconvenience. Thanks, Frank. At 5:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (969) and the New York Yankees (970) listing both starting pitchers Dallas Keuchel and Masahiro Tanaka. Houston (106-64) looks to bounce-back from their 6-4 loss to the Yankees that evened this series at 2-2. The Astros have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, Houston has not scored more than four runs in their last four games — and they have scored only combined nine runs in those last four games. The Astros have then played a decisive 29 of their last 40 games Under the Total after scoring four runs or less in each of their last four games. They give the ball to Kuechel this afternoon who is 14-5 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP this season. The left-hander raises his level of play in the postseason. In 26 2/3 innings in the playoffs, Kuechel has a 1.69 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP — and this includes an 0.71 ERA with a 0.87 WHIP in his 12 2/3 innings of work this postseason. Houston has played 4 straight road games Under the Total with Keuchel facing a team with a winning record. He faces a New York team that is hitting just .211 over their last seven games with a .292 On-Base Percentage and .655 OPS. The Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Keuchel loves pitching against the Yankees against whom he sports a 1.89 ERA in eight career starts. |
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10-17-17 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
At 5:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (965) and the New York Yankees (966) listing both starting pitchers Lance McCullers and Sonny Gray. Houston (106-63) looks to bounce-back from their 8-1 loss to the Yankees last night. The Astros have now played 4 of their last 5 playoff games on the road Over the Total. Houston has also played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total in the road going back to the regular season. They give the ball to McCullers who is making his first start this postseason. McCullers had a 7-4 record with a 4.25 ERA and 1.30 WHIP this season that was shortened due to injuries. But while the right-hander had a 3.04 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and .222 opponent’s batting average in nine starts at home, those numbers exploded to a 5.14 ERA along with a 1.39 WHIP and .269 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts on the road. The Astros have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with McCullers on the mound. |
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10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans OVER 47 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (275) and the Tennessee Titans (276). Indianapolis (2-3) has won two of their last three games with their 26-23 win in overtime over San Francisco last week. The Colts have found an answer at QB during the continued absence of Andrew Luck with Jacoby Brissett who was always an intriguing prospect when initially drafted in the 3rd round by the Patriots after a good career at NC State. Brissett completed 22 of 34 passes for 314 yards with a TD while adding another 14 yards with a TD on the ground. By giving the Colts a credible passing attack, the running game has thrived as well behind age-less wonder Frank Gore and Marlon Mack. Indy ran the ball 35 times for 159 yards in their win over the 49ers — and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. But defense has been a problem for this team. Brain Hoyer passed for 336 yards against them — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 300 passing yards in their last game. The Colts are allowing 408 YPG over their last three games — and they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing at least 400 YPG over their last three games. Moving forward, Indianapolis has played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing on grass. The Colts have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, Indianapolis has played 25 of their last 34 games on the road — and they have 19 of their last 25 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 10 points. And in their last 7 games played in the month of October, Indy has played 6 of these games Over the Total. |
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10-15-17 | Giants v. Broncos OVER 38 | 23-10 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Giants (273) and the Denver Broncos (274). The fact the Giants’ wide receiving corp is out with injuries has helped move the Total of this game down at least 3 points from its opening at 41. Denver (3-1) has a great defense — but the Over is still 8-3-2 in their last 13 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Broncos have had an extra week to rest and prepare after their 16-10 win over the Raiders as a 3.5-point favorite back on October 1st. Denver has played 6 straight games Over the Total after a win at home. The Broncos have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. |
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10-15-17 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
At 7:38 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (907) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (908) listing both starting pitchers Jon Lester and Rich Hill. The money-line quickly moved to place the Dodgers as money-line favorites in the -155 range — and that is a Black Hole area for us as I don’t like taking money-line favorites (or the accompanying dog) nor Run-Line Dogs (or the accompanying Run-Line Favorite) when the price is above -150 that betting favorite. I think there is a strong side play out there that I will release before game-time if I see enough line movement to have it fit into my self-imposed guidelines. If that line-movement does not occur, I will still release this opinion as a free play by 7 PM ET (FYI) -- UPDATE: I missed the 30 minute deadline at this site -- I liked the Cubs +1.5 Run-Line but it still priced at -155 across the board. The Over remains a solid investment tonight. Chicago (95-73) looks to bounce-back from their 5-2 loss to the Dodgers in the opening game of this series. The Over is then 13-6-1 in the Cubs’ last 20 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Over is also 3-1-2 in Chicago’s last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They give the ball to Lester who is 13-8 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has been saddled with a 4.41 ERA along with a 1.38 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts as compared to his 4.27 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .254 opponent’s batting average in eighteen starts at home. The Cubs have played 7 straight road games Over the Total with Lester pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. And while Lester was strong in his previous start in the postseason where he allowed only one earned run in 6 innings of work against the Nationals (Lester later had a lengthy bullpen stint in Game Four of that series), Chicago has played 24 of their last 31 road games Over the Total when Lester is looking to follow up a start where he allowed only one earned run. He faces a hot-hitting Los Angeles team that is scoring 5.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .270 batting average along with a .358 On-Base Percentage and .771 OPS over that span. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 games against left-handed starting pitchers. Keep in mind that if Lester gets in trouble in this game, the Cubs’ bullpen has a 6.49 ERA along with a 1.67 WHIP in their last seven games. |
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10-14-17 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (903) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (904) listing both starting pitchers Jose Quintana and Clayton Kershaw. Los Angeles (107-58) reached the NLCS with their 3-1 in in Arizona on Monday. The Dodgers did not allow an earned run from their bullpen in that game — and they have played 41 of their last 70 games after a game where their bullpen did not allow an earned run. Los Angeles stranded ten runners in that contest — and they have played 47 of their last 74 games Over the Total after stranding at least ten runners in their last game. They give the ball to Kershaw who is 18-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.95 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been quite as effective at home where he sees his ERA rise to a 2.58 mark in fourteen starts this year. Of more concern is the regression that Kershaw sees in the postseason. Overall, Kershaw has a 5-7 record with a 4.63 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 95 1/3 innings of work. He has allowed four earned in the 6 1/3 innings that he started in these playoffs against the Diamondbacks which sent a big signal to me that he is simply not over his postseason problems. He faces a veteran and confidence Cubs team that hits lefties very well. Chicago averages 5.5 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers with a .271 batting average along with a .351 On-Base Percentage and .789 OPS. |
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10-14-17 | Ohio v. Bowling Green UNDER 63 | 48-30 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 0 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (119) and the Bowling Green Falcons (120). Ohio (4-2) looks to rebound from their 26-23 upset loss to Central Michigan last Saturday despite being a 10.5-point favorite. The Bobcats should tighten things up on defense under head coach Frank Solich. Not only has Ohio played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss but they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bobcats have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, the Under is 5-0-1. |
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10-14-17 | Toledo v. Central Michigan UNDER 55 | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 1 h 55 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (123) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (124). Central Michigan (3-3) enters this game riding high after they upset Ohio on the road last week by a 26-23 score as a 10.5-point underdog. The Chippewas have then played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Central Michigan has also played a decisive 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They return home to Muskegon where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on their home field — and they have played 13 of their last 16 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in the last 8 games in the month of October, the Chippewas have played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
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10-14-17 | Rutgers v. Illinois UNDER 48.5 | 35-24 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (135) and the Illinois Fighting Illini (136). Rutgers (1-4) has had a week off to recover from their 56-0 loss at home to Ohio State back on September 30th. The Scarlet Knights have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Rutgers managed only 209 yards of offense in that game — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Now the Scarlet Knights go back on the road where they are scoring only 17.0 PPG while averaging just 194.0 total YPG. Rutgers has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. |
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10-13-17 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Please note: this play is on the Over. I initially mishit the play selection entry and lack the ability to correct this clerical error. I apologize for this error on my part. Thanks, Frank. At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (901) and the Houston Astros (902) listing both starting pitchers Masahiro Tanaka and Dallas Keuchel. Houston (104-62) closed out the Red Sox in four games in the American League Divisional Series with their 5-4 win in Boston on Monday. The Astros have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a victory — and they have won 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, Houston has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after an off day. They give the ball to Kuechel who is 14-5 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP this season. The Over is then 3-1-1 in their last 5 home games with Keuchel on the hill. He faces a Yankees’ team that has seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers UNDER 46 | 28-23 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (103) and the Carolina Panthers (104). Philadelphia (4-1) enters this game coming off their 34-7 win over Arizona on Sunday. The Eagles have then played a decisive 39 of their last 56 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory by at least two touchdowns. The Eagles do have the second best run defense in the NFL as they are holding their opponents to just 62.8 rushing YPG. Philly has also seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. |
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10-12-17 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 9-8 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (959) and the Washington Nationals (960) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Gio Gonzalez. Chicago (94-72) has only scored eight runs in this series after being shutout last night by a 5-0 score. The Cubs have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a lost. Chicago has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 40 games when priced in the +/- 125 range, the Cubs have played 27 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to Hendricks who is 7-5 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road this year where he enjoys a 2.83 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and .234 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts as compared to his 3.20 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts at home. The Cubs have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total with Hendricks on the hill. Hendricks was outstanding in Game One of this series as he held the Nationals scoreless in 7 innings of work where he scattered just two hits. Chicago has then played 5 straight games Under the Total with Hendricks looking to follow up a Quality Start — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total with Hendricks following a start where he allowed only one earned run. He faces a Nationals team that is scoring only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .210 batting average along with a .290 On-Base Percentage and .640 OPS over that span. The Under is also 6-0-2 in the Nats’ last 8 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-11-17 | Yankees v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
At 8:08 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (915) and the Cleveland Indians (916) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Corey Kluber. Cleveland (104-62) looks to bounce-back from their 7-3 loss to the Yankees on Monday which evened this series at 2-2. The Indians have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Cleveland has also played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Kluber who is looking to redeem himself from a rough performance when he allowed six earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work in Game One of this series. The right-hander had an 18-4 record with a 2.25 ERA and 0.87 WHIP this season. Kluber has been very tough at home where he had 1.81 ERA along with a 0.81 WHIP and .197 opponent’s batting average in sixteen starts at home as opposed to his 2.83 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and .210 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts on the road. The Indians have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total with Kluber on the hill. He faces a cold Yankees team that is hitting only .206 over their last seven games with a .291 On-Base Percentage and .660 OPS over that span. |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears OVER 40.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
PLEASE NOTE: Our play is on the Under. I committed a data entry error when loading this play and there lacks a quick fix to this on my end of things. I apologize for the confusion while hoping it is my only mistake of the day. Thanks, Frank. At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (475) and the Chicago Bears (476). Minnesota (2-2) looks to bounce-back from their 14-7 loss at Detroit last Sunday. The Vikings have now played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total against NFC North opponents. Minnesota has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the month of October. And in their last 18 games after failing to score more than 14 points, the Vikings have played 13 of these games Under the Total. The teams looks to get QB Sam Bradford back under center tonight but he returns with his phenom running back Dalvin Cook out the season with a torn ACL. Losing Cook will slow down this offense. Moving forward, Minnesota has seen the Under go 15-6-1 in their last 22 games on the road — and this includes playing 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Chicago (1-3) looks to bounce-back from a 35-14 loss in Green Bay two Thursdays ago as a 7.5-point underdog. The Bears have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And in their last 4 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game, the Bears have played all 4 games Under the Total. With head coach John Fox tapping rookie Mitch Trubisky to make his first NFL start tonight, expect the team to game plan to put him in a position to succeed by running the ball plenty and shortening the length of this game — and that helps our Under play. Moving forward, Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of October. Lastly, the Bears have played a decisive 48 of their last 76 games at home Under the Total as an underdog getting 7 points or less. 25* NFL NFC North Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (475) and the Chicago Bears (476). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
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10-09-17 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
At 1:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (909) and the Boston Red Sox (910) listing both starting pitchers Charlie Morton and Rick Porcello. Boston (94-71) staved off elimination on Sunday with their 10-3 victory over the Astros to make this a 2-1 series entering Game Four this afternoon. The oddsmakers have set this Total in the 10-10.5 range given that at least ten runs have been scored in all three of these games in this series. Still, lets go with the Over when considering that these two teams have played 23 of their last 32 meetings Over the Total which includes eight of the last ten games played in Fenway Park going Over the Total. Boston has played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total at home after scoring at least ten runs in their last game. The Red Sox have also played 6 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total, in general. Furthermore, Boston has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. They give the ball to Porcello who I joked yesterday had fallen so out of favor with this team that they chose to rely on Doug Fister in their elimination game yesterday. The reigning AL Cy Young Award winner struggled with an 11-17 record with a 4.65 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been even less effective at home where he has been saddled with a 5.43 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and .306 opponent’s batting average in ten starts as compared to his 3.67 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts on the road. The Red Sox have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with Porcello on the hill. He faces a hot-hitting Houston team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .303 batting average along with a .371 On-Base Percentage and an .837 OPS. The Astros have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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10-08-17 | Chiefs v. Texans OVER 44 | 42-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (473) and the Houston Texans (474). Kansas City (4-0 remained the only undefeated team in the NFL on Monday with their 29-20 win over Washington. The Chiefs have been dynamic on offense with an inspired Alex Smith at QB completing 27 of 37 passes for 293 yards. He was complemented by rookie running back Kendall Hunt who rushed the ball 21 times for 101 yards. Overall, Kansas City rushed for 168 yards en route to their 429 total yards of offense. That bodes well for another high scoring game tonight. The Chiefs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Furthermore, KC has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when on the road. |
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10-08-17 | Indians v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (953) and the New York Yankees (954) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Masahiro Tanaka. New York (92-73) finds themselves on the brink of elimination tonight after falling behind by a 2-0 margin in this series on Friday with their 9-8 loss to the Indians. The Yankees have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a loss. New York has also valued 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Now New York returns home to Yankee Stadium where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. The Yanks have also played 7 of their last 9 games in the playoffs at home Under the Total. They give the ball to Tanaka who is 13-12 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP this season. But the right-hander has been much better at home where he owns a 3.22 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and .223 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts as compared to his 6.48 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .292 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Yankees’ last 9 home games with Tanaka on the hill. He should pitch well against this Cleveland team that is hitting just .220 over their last seven games with a mediocre .324 On-Base Percentage and a .703 OPS over that span. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-07-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 5-8 | Win | 107 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
At 9:05 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (903) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (904) listing both starting pitchers Robbie Ray and Rich Hill. Los Angeles (105-58) won the opening game of this series last night with their 9-5 victory. The Dodgers have then played 18 of their last 26 home games Over the Total after a win by at least four runs. The Over is also 9-3-1 in Los Angeles’ last 13 games after allowing at least five runs. Furthermore, the Dodgers have played 5 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 home games in the playoffs, LA has played all 5 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Hill who is 12-8 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP this season. The left-hander comes off a nice outing where he pitched 7 shutout innings against the Padres — but the Dodgers have then played 4 straight games with Hill looking to follow up a Quality Start. The Over is also 3-1-1 in Arizona’s last 5 games with Hill facing this Diamondbacks’ team. Arizona is swinging hot bats that have produced 7.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .288 batting average along with a .375 On-Base Percentage and .911 OPS over that span. The Diamondbacks have played 5 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-07-17 | Cubs v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
At 5:30 PM EDT, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (901) and the Washington Nationals (902) listing both starting pitchers Jon Lester and Gio Gonzalez. Chicago (93-70) won the opening of this Best-of-Five series last night with their 3-0 shutout victory. Despite that low-scoring result, the Over is still 5-2-1 in the Cubs’ last 8 games in the NLDS. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 Over the Total in the second game of a new series. They five the ball to Lester who is 13-8 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 4.41 ERA along with a 1.38 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts as compared to his 4.27 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .254 opponent’s batting average in eighteen starts on the road. The Cubs have played 7 straight road games Over the Total with Lester pitching with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. And in their last 5 games with Lester facing a team with a winning record, Chicago has played 4 of these games Over the Total. Despite being shutout last night, the Nationals remain a powerful hitting team at home. Washington scored 5.1 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .285 batting average along with a .350 On-Base Percentage and a .796 OPS. |
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10-06-17 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
At 7:35 PM EDT on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (981) and the Washington Nationals (982) while listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Stephen Strasburg. Chicago (92-70) enters this series having played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Frankly, I loved the Cubs in this game plus the +1.5 Run-Line and waited until 11:30 AM EDT to make a call on this game — but with the Cubs price at +1.5 Runs moving into the -160 price range, it is too expensive in respects to my self-imposed guideline to not endorse baseball (or hockey) prices that are higher than -150 (3:2 odds). The Under remains a solid investment opportunity for us behind Hendricks. The right-hander has a 7-5 record with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP this season. Hendricks has been more effective on the road where he has a 2.83 ERA along with a 1.08 WHIP and .234 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts as compared to his 3.20 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts at home. The Cubs have played 9 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with Hendricks pitching at home. Chicago has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when on the road. |
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10-06-17 | Yankees v. Indians UNDER 7 | 8-9 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
At 5:05 PM EDT on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (987) and the Cleveland Indians (988) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Corey Kluber. Cleveland (103-60) won the opening game of this series last night with their 4-0 shutout victory over the Yankees. The Indians have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a victory. Cleveland has also seen the Under go a decisive 16-5-2 in their last 23 home games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Indians have played 18 of their last 24 home games Under the Total when a money-line favorite priced at -200 or higher. They give the ball to their ace Kluber who is 18-4 with a 2.25 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of 0.87 WHIP this season. The right-hander has made six postseason starts spanning 34 1/3 innings of work — and he owns a 4-1 record with a 1.83 ERA and 1.05 WHIP this year. Kluber has been outstanding at home this season where he enjoys a 1.81 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and .197 opponent’s batting average in sixteen starts as compared to his 2.83 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and .210 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts on the road. The Under is 18-7-1 in Cleveland’s last 26 games at home with Kluber on the hill. He should thrive against this Yankees team that is scoring just 3.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .224 batting average along with a .295 On-Base Percentage and .710 OPS over that span. |
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10-06-17 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-8 | Win | 105 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
At 2:05 PM EDT on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (985) and the Houston Astros (986) listing both starting pitchers Drew Pomeranz and Dallas Kuechel. Boston (93-70) will be playing with desperation this afternoon after they lost the opening game of this series yesterday by an 8-2 score. The Red Sox have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss. Boston has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. And in their last 6 road games agains teams with a winning record at home, the Red Sox have played 5 of these games Over the Total. They send out Pomeranz who is 17-6 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 1.43 WHIP and .255 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts as compared to his 1.28 WHIP and .249 opponent’s batting average in seventeen starts at home. Pomeranz has pitched 3 2/3 innings in playoff action in his career but has a 4.91 ERA and 1.64 WHIP to show for it. He does come off a strong outing where he allowed just one earned run in 6 innings of work against this same Houston team — but Boston has then played 9 of their last 13 games with Pomeranz looking to follow up a Quality Start. Pomeranz’s teams have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total with the number in the 8 to 8.5 range. He faces a hot-hitting Houston team that is scoring 8.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .323 batting average along with a .382 On-Base Percentage and an .891 OPS over that span. The Astros have played 4 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs UNDER 56 | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 23 m | Show | |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (303) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (304). New England (2-2) has been dismal on defense so far this season as they are allowing 32.7 PPG along with 456.7 total YPG. They surrendered 444 yards last week in their 33-30 loss to Carolina at home in Foxboro. The oddsmakers have responded by placing this Total very high in the low 50s. This is an opportune time to be contrarian and expect a lower scoring game — and this line of thinking is supported by an empirical angle that has been 77% effective over the last ten seasons. New England has seen their last two games finish Over the Total by 15 and 24.5 points over their last two games — and in games after the first month of the season involving a road team that has seen their last two games finish Over the Total by at least two touchdowns, these games then finished Under the Total in 30 of the last 39 situations where these conditions applied. The Patriots defense is not as bad as the numbers suggest in these first four games. And while the New England offense has been prolific still behind Tom Brady, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where they gained at least 350 yards in their last game (Patriots: 373 yards last week). Furthermore, the Pats have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing on grass. |
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10-05-17 | Louisville v. NC State UNDER 66 | 25-39 | Win | 100 | 33 h 52 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EDT on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Louisville Cardinals (305) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306). Louisville (4-1) has won two straight games with their 55-10 win over Murray State last Saturday. The Cardinals have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Louisville held the Racers to just 80 yards in that game — and they have then seen the Under go 17-8-1 in their last 26 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last contest. This Cardinals team once again has a strong defense that returned seven starters from last season — and they are 27th in the nation so far this year by holding their opponents to just 317.6 total YPG. Moving forward, the Under is 18-7-1 in Louisville’s last 26 games in October. And in their last 24 games as a favorite in the 3.5 to 10 point range, the Cardinals have played 18 of these games Under the Total. |
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10-04-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 8-11 | Win | 100 | 53 h 36 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (933) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (934) listing both starting pitchers Jon Gray and Zack Greinke. Colorado (87-75) has to travel to Chase Field in Arizona for the National League Wildcard showdown — and the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They send out Job Gray who is 10-4 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.30 WHIP this season. But while the right-hander has a 3.13 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and .244 opponent’s batting average in eight starts at home, those numbers rise to a 4.06 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .281 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts on the road. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 opening games to a new series behind Gray. He faces a strong Arizona lineup that scores 5.6 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .274 batting average along with a .346 On-Base Percentage and .819 OPS. |
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10-04-17 | Arkansas State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 55 | Top | 43-25 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Georgia Southern (0-3) is still looking for the first win of the season after their 52-17 loss at Indiana back on September 23rd. The play of the Eagles defense was not quite as bad as the scoreboard reflected with two of the Hoosiers’ touchdowns resulting from a 70-yard punt return as well as a 22-yard fumble recovery. Overall, Georgia Southern allowed 468 yards in that game — but they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Eagles have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Now Georgia Southern begins conference play with a bit of a blank slate. This team needs to get their “Flexbone” offense going again after this team got away from that foundation last season in the first year under head coach Tyson Summers. The team averaged 22 passing attempts last season which was double the amount in the previous season under Willie Fritz. The Eagles did rush for 242 yards against Indiana — and they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Keeping the potent Arkansas State offense off the field has to be a top priority for this team tonight. Georgia Southern has played 7 of their last 9 games in the Sun Belt Under the Total. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, the Eagles have played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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10-03-17 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (931) and the New York Yankees (932) listing both starting pitchers Ervin Santana and Luis Severino. We have a strong technical situation here. New York (91-71) hosts this AL Wildcard game tonight as a heavy money-line favorite — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total as a money-line favorite priced at least at -200. The Yankees enter this game having allowing 2 runs, 1 run and zero runs in their last three games. But New York has then played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after allowing three runs or less in their last two contests — and they have played 8 straight home games Over the Total after allowing no more than three runs in three straight games. And in their last 10 games after an off day, the Yankees have played 7 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Severino who is 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective at home where he owns a 3.71 ERA in sixteen starts as compared to his 2.24 ERA in fifteen starts on the road. New York has played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Severino on the mound — and that includes playing four straight Overs at home with Severino facing a team with a winning record. Furthermore, while Severino comes off a strong outing where he allowed just one earned run in 6 innings against the Rays — and not only have the Yankees played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Severino following up a Quality Start but they have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with Severino following up a start where he allowed only one earned run. |
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10-02-17 | Redskins v. Chiefs UNDER 49.5 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (279) and the Kansas City Chiefs (280). Kansas City (3-0) remained one of the two remaining undefeated teams in the league last week with their 34-17 win in Los Angeles against the Chargers. The stout Chiefs defense has not allowed more than 20 points in six of their last eight games. They have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Kansas City has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. QB Alex Smith passed for only 155 yards in that game — and they have then seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after not passing for more than 150 yards in their last game. Now the Chiefs return home where they have played a decisive 39 of their last 56 games Under the Total — and this includes playing eight of their last eleven home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, KC has played 5 of their last 7 appearances on Monday Night Football Under the Total. |
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10-01-17 | Colts v. Seahawks OVER 42 | 18-46 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (277) and the Seattle Seahawks (278). Indianapolis (1-2) looks to build off their 31-28 win over Cleveland last Sunday as a 1-point underdog. The Colts got very good quarterback play from for Patriots’ signal caller Jacoby Brissett who completed 17 of 24 passes for 259 yards and a TD pass. Now the Colts go on the road where they have played 24 of their last 33 games Over the Total on the road. Indianapolis has also played 11 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog. Additionally, Indianapolis has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the month of October. And in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record, the Colts have played 5 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, with the Total set in the low range around 41, Indianapolis has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with the number set in the 35.5 to 42 point range. |
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10-01-17 | Raiders v. Broncos UNDER 44 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (275) and the Denver Broncos (276). A couple of new pieces of information this afternoon pushes this situation into a worthwhile investment opportunity with the Under. First, Denver (2-1) has moved to become a favorite of 3.5 points in many locations — and they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when favorited in the 3.5 to 10 point range. Second, the Raiders will officially be without their wide receiver Michael Crabtree who is dealing with a chest injury. The impact of injuries can be overstated — but that has not been the case lately in the NFL with the mass attrition that many teams are facing (especially on the offensive line — it really does make a difference if one or two key players cannot take the field). |
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10-01-17 | Bills v. Falcons OVER 48.5 | 23-17 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (267) and the Atlanta Falcons (268). Atlanta (3-0) returns home still unscathed this season after escaping Detroit with a 30-26 win as a 3-point favorite. The Over is then 13-2-1 in the Falcons’ last 16 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Atlanta has played 12 straight games Over the Total on their home field. Moving forward, the Falcons have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the month of October. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record, Atlanta has played all 8 games Over the Total. |
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09-29-17 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (925) and the Minnesota Twins (926) while listing both starting pitchers Matthew Boyd and Kyle Gibson. Detroit (63-96) snapped their nine-game losing streak last night with their 4-1 win in Kansas City. The Tigers have then played 12 of their last 15 Over the Total after allowing two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, not only has Detroit played 34 of their last 46 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games but they have played 26 of their last 35 games Over the Total after losing four of their last five contests. This team has not scored more than four runs in eight straight games — but they have then played 19 of their last 25 games Over the Total after failing to score more than four runs in three straight games. And while the Tigers are looking to avenge getting swept at home in a four-game series against this Minnesota team, they have then played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge after being swept in at least a three-game series against their opponent. Additionally, Detroit has played 6 of their last 7 opening games to a new series Over the Total. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Over is 3-0-1. They give the ball to Boyd who is 6-10 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.54 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been less effective on the road where he owns a 5.86 ERA, 1.870 WHIP and .328 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts as compared to his 4.52 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and .256 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts at home. The Tigers have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with Boyd on the hill. He faces a red-hot Minnesota offense that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last three games with a .296 batting average along with a .350 On-Base Percentage and .815 OPS. The Over is 3-1-1 in the Twins’ last 5 games against starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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09-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Duke UNDER 56 | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (105) and the Duke Blue Devils (106). Duke (4-0) returns home still undefeated after they pulled the upset last Saturday with their 27-17 win at North Carolina as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Devils have then played 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Duke has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. The Blue Devils relied on their defense to win that game against the Tar Heels as it was a 61-yard interception returned for a touchdown at the 4:01 mark that provided their last touchdown in that contest. Head coach David Cutliffe appears to have one of his best defensives in his ten years at Duke. 66% of the tackles from last year returned to a unit that is allowing only 15.3 PPG (17th in the FBS) while ranking 11th in the nation in total defense (261.5 total YPG). Moving forward, Duke returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Blue Devils have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, Duke has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of September. |
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09-28-17 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (101) and the Green Bay Packers (102). In a game between two divisional rivals both who are banged-up and coming off a game on Sunday that required overtime — and now both playing on a short week — expect this contest to a grind where both opposing coaches look to rise to the challenge by winning the battle at the line of scrimmage in what should result in a lower scoring game. Chicago (1-2) travels to Lambeau Field with confidence after their 23-17 upset win over the Steelers in overtime as a 7-point underdog. The Bears have an underrated defense that limited the potent Pittsburgh offense to just 282 yards of offense. Chicago has now played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of September. The Bears have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games against NFC North opponents, Chicago has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-28-17 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:15 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (957) and the St. Louis Cardinals (958) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Lance Lynn. Chicago (89-69) won the third game of this series yesterday with their 5-2 victory yesterday. The Cubs have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last game. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 28 of their last 39 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They give the ball to Hendricks who is 7-5 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.07 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and .235 opponent’s batting average in ten starts as compared to his 3.20 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts at home. The Cubs have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with Hendricks on the mound. He faces a Cardinals team that has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-27-17 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (905) and the Philadelphia Phillies (906) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Mark Leiter. Philadelphia (63-95) has won two of their last three games with their 4-1 victory over the Nationals last night. The Phillies have now seen the Under go 6-2-3 in their last 11 games at home. That was just the second time in their last six games where they managed to score four runs — and they have then played 29 of their last 43 games Under the Total after playing at least four straight games where they scored no more than four runs. Additionally, the Under is 5-0-2 in Philly’s last 7 games Under the Total against NL East opponents. They give the ball to Leiter who is 3-6 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.27 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for immediate improvement with both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.10 or 4.12 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.36 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .207 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts as compared to his ugly 7.35 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and .281 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Phillies’ last 5 home games with Leiter on the hill. He should fare well against this Washington team that is scoring just 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .192 batting average, .259 On-Base Percentage and .626 OPS over that span. Furthermore, the Under is 21-7-3 in the Nationals’ last 31 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-26-17 | Giants v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:40 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (961) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (962) listing both starting pitchers Matt Moore and Robbie Ray. San Francisco (62-95) exploded for nine runs last night in their 9-2 victory over the Diamondbacks in the opening game of this National League West series. The Giants have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. San Francisco has also played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams that allowed at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 48 games at night on the road, the Giants have played 30 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Moore who is 6-14 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been particularly ineffective on the road where he has been saddled with a 6.51 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and .306 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts (sixteen games) on the road as compared to his 4.21 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts (seventeen games) at home. San Francisco has seen the Over go 7-0-1 in their last 8 road games with Moore facing a team with a winning record. He faces a hot-hitting Diamondbacks team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with an OPS of .802 over that span. |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals UNDER 47 | Top | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (489) and the Arizona Cardinals (490). Dallas (1-1) was embarrassed last week on the road in Denver where they were spanked by a 42-17 score despite being a 2.5-point favorite. The Cowboys surrendered 380 yards in that contest while seeing their defense be on the field for 33:50 minutes in that game. Ezekiel Elliott rushed the ball only nine times for 8 yards. Overall, Dallas rushed the ball only 14 times for 40 yards with Dak Prescott ending up as their leading rusher with 24 yards. The Cowboys have to get back to running the football behind the bruising offensive line in an attempt to control the clock and impose their will while keeping their defense off the field. Dallas will not be successful in the long run if Prescott attempts 50 passes like he did against the Broncos. As it is, the Cowboys have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Dallas has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Cowboys have played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And in their last 14 games on the road, Dallas has played 11 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-25-17 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (917) and the Boston Red Sox (918) listing both starting pitchers Brett Anderson and Drew Pomeranz. Boston (91-64) begins this series coming off a 5-4 win at Cincinnati yesterday afternoon. The Under is then 21-8-2 in the Red Sox’s last 31 games after a victory. Boston has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 51 games at home, the Under is 33-16-2 for the Red Sox — and this includes playing twenty-one of their last thirty home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Pomeranz who is 16-5 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 3.11 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .241 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts at home as compared to his 3.19 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and .255 opponent’s batting average in fifteen starts on the road. The Red Sox have played 4 of their las 5 games Under the Total with Pomeranz pitching on grass. He should fare well again this Blue Jays team that is hitting only .201 over their last seven games with a .274 On-Base Percentage and .636 OPS. The Under is a decisive 46-19-5 in Toronto’s last 70 games against left-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 27 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Under is 18-8-1. |
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09-24-17 | Raiders v. Redskins OVER 53.5 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (487) and the Washington Redskins (488). Oakland (2-0) looked very good for the second straight week with their dominant 45-20 win over the Jets last Sunday as a 14-point favorite. The Raiders have then played 19 of their last 25 gams Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Over is also 31-13-2 in Oakland’s last 46 games after a point spread victory. And in their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns, the Raiders have played 5 of these games Over the Total. But while the Raiders defense has impressed by only allowing 292 yards last week to the Jets, but concerns remain when going deeper inside the numbers as they are allowing opponents to convert on 50% of their 3rd down plays. Moving forward, Oakland has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total in the month of September. |
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09-24-17 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (971) and the Houston Astros (972) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Skaggs and Lance McCullers. Houston (95-59) has won eight of their last nine games with their 6-2 victory in the second game of this series. The Astros have now played 5 straight games Under the Total after a victory. Houston has also seen the Under go 15-5-1 in their last 21 games at home — and that includes playing 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to McCullers making his first start since the beginning of the month after dealing with arm fatigue. He was fine in his last bullpen session and will be motivated to prove himself in this audition to be included in the team’s playoff rotation. For the season, McCullers has a 7-3 record along with a 3.97 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.39 and 3.15 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.87 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .217 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.78 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Astros have played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total with McCullers on the mound. He should fare well against this LA team that has played 4 straight road games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. This is a slumping Angels’ team playing out the string. Over their last seven games, this team is scoring only 2.1 Runs-Per-Game with a .186 batting average along with a .272 On-Base Percentage and .576 OPS. |
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09-23-17 | Rutgers v. Nebraska UNDER 47.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (349) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (350). |
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09-23-17 | Toledo v. Miami-FL UNDER 61 | 30-52 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (351) and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (352). Miami (1-0) will likely be rusty on offense as they take the field for the first time since September 2nd after having a couple games cancelled due to Hurricane Irma. The Hurricanes won their opening game against Bethune Cookman by a 41-13 score — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Miami (FL) has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a bye week. The strong Hurricanes defense was sloppy against that FCS school as they allowed 350 yards — so expect a focused effort this afternoon. The Under is 5-2-1 in Miami’s last 8 games at home. And in their last 63 games against teams outside the ACC, the Hurricanes have played 44 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-23-17 | UMass v. Tennessee OVER 59.5 | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (327)/Tennessee Volunteers (328) Over the Total. Tennessee (2-1) looks to bounce-back from their heartbreaking 26-20 loss to Florida that ended on a Hail Mary pass from Florida with the game-tied that featured such terrible defense that it will likely be the signature visual that gets head coach Butch Jones relieved of his duties in early December. But I do expect the Volunteers to beat up on the Minutemen this afternoon. Tennessee did cover the ending +6.5-point spread in that game — and they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread win. The Vols have also played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total in the month of September. Additionally, not only has Tennessee played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home but they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total agains teams with a losing record on the road. |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 40 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (301) and the San Francisco 49ers (302). In this game between two rebuilding teams in the NFC West, look for both teams to try to win the battle at the line of scrimmage with both teams playing on a short week under the leadership of first-year head coaches trying to re-establish the identity of their respective franchises. Expect both teams to stay committed to running the football to keep their defenses off the field — which also serves to limit the number of offensive plays in this game. Los Angeles (1-1) looks to rebound from a 27-20 loss to Washington on Sunday as a 3-point favorite. The Rams allowed the Skins to rush for 229 yards in that game on 33 carries in a strategy that the 49ers will likely try to replicate behind Carlos Hyde — and Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The Rams have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow NFC West opponents. Furthermore, the Under is 35-15-1 in Los Angeles’ last 51 games on the road — and that includes playing 9 of their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record at home. |
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09-20-17 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 13-7 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
At 9:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (963) and the San Diego Padres (964) listing both starting pitchers Robbie Ray and Dinelson Lamet. San Diego (68-83) has won three straight games with their 6-2 win over the Diamondbacks last night. The Under is then 8-3-1 in the Padres’ last 12 games against an opponent that did not allow more than two runs in their last game. The Under is also 9-3-2 in San Diego’s last 14 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They give the ball to Lamet who is 7-7 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.20 WHIP this season. The right-hander’s deeper sabermetrics do call for immediate improvement in his frontline numbers with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.92 and 4.06 moving forward. Lamet has also been more effective at home where he owns a 3.59 ERA along with a 1.04 WHIP and .185 opponent’s batting average in nine starts at home as compared to his 4.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .225 opponent’s batting average in ten starts on the road. The Padres have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total with Lamet on the hill. He faces a cold-hitting Arizona team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game with a .236 batting average along with a .292 On-Base Percentage and .657 OPS over that span. Additionally, the Diamondbacks have played 8 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-19-17 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 107 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
At 7:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Twins (915) and the New York Yankees (916) listing both starting pitchers Jose Berrios and C.C. Sabathia. New York (83-67) won the opening game of this series last night by a 2-1 score. The Yankees have then played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a victory. New York has also payed 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. The Yankees have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total at home. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record, New York has played 6 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to Sabathia who is 11-5 with a 3.85 ERA and 1.31 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.29 WHIP and .241 opponent’s batting average in ten starts at home as compared to his 1.32 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts on the road. The Yankees have played 4 straight home games Under the Total with Sabathia facing a team with a winning record. He faces a slumping Twins’ offense that is scoring only 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .270 batting average along with a .321 On-Base Percentage and an .804 OPS over that span. |
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09-19-17 | Royals v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
At 7:07 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (919) and the Toronto Blue Jays (920) while listing both starting pitchers Ian Kennedy and Marcus Stroman. Kansas City (73-76) has lost four of their last five games with their 3-2 loss in Cleveland on Sunday. The Royals have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a loss. Kansas City has also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss by just one run. The Royals have also played 5 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Kennedy who is 4-11 with a 5.45 ERA and 1.35 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 4.21 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .225 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts as compared to his rough 6.82 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and .270 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts at home. Kennedy’s teams have played 12 of their last 14 road games Under the Total in the second-half of the season with him making the start. |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants UNDER 42 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Lions (289) and the New York Giants (290). Detroit (1-0) opened their season with a 35-23 win over Arizona last week as a 2.5-point underdog last Sunday. The Lions’ defense forced four turnovers while holding the Cardinals to just 309 yards of offense. But Detroit has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this Lions team goes on the road where they have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total. Detroit has also played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3 points or less. |
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09-17-17 | Packers v. Falcons OVER 53.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (287) and the Atlanta Falcons (288). Atlanta (1-0) returns home to host their first regular season game ever in their new home at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons enter this game coming off a 23-17 win in Chicago as a 6.5-point favorite. Atlanta has then seen the Over go 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after a straight-up win. The Falcons have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Atlanta has played 6 straight games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games at home in Atlanta, the Falcons have played all 11 games Over the Total. |
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09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 41 | Top | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (261) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (262). Tennessee (0-1) looks to bounce-back from an opening week 29-16 upset loss to the Raiders last Sunday despite being a 2.5-point favorite. The Over is then 10-4-1 in the Titans’ last 15 gamers are a point spread loss. Tennessee did generate 350 yards of offense in that loss — and the Over is then 11-4-1 in their last 16 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. The Titans have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. |
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09-14-17 | Texans v. Bengals UNDER 38 | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (101) and the Cincinnati Bengals (102). Cincinnati (0-1) was anemic on offense last week in getting shut out by the Ravens by a 20-0 score. The Bengals managed only 221 yards of offense in that game. Now on a short week, do not expect Cincinnati to find many answers for what ails them on offense. As it is, the Bengals have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to gain more than 250 yards in their last game. And in the air last 5 games at home, the Bengals have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Cincinnati has problems on their offensive line which is an ominous sign when now facing this outstanding Texans’ defense. The Bengals did play well on the defensive side of the football last week as they limited the Ravens to just 268 yards of offense. |
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09-14-17 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 59 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (103) and the Boise State Broncos (104). Boise State (101) looks to bounce-back from a heartbreaking 47-44 overtime loss at Washington State last week in a game where they had a 31-7 lead with under 11 minutes to go before blowing that lead and eventually succumbing in overtime. This team has quarterback issues with the inconsistent junior QB Brett Rypien benched in their first game before suffering a head injury in the 1st quarter last week against the Huskies. Graduate transfer Montell Cozart finished that game out — but while this 12 of 20 passing for 161 yards with two touchdowns with an additional 72 rushing yards looks dynamic, he completed only 3 of 9 passes to close out the game for just 33 yards which helped Washington State eke that game out. Rypien’s status for this game is questionable which makes things even more difficult for the Broncos on a short week. Don’t be surprised if the former Kansas QB gets the start tonight. Boise State needs to tighten things up on defense after allowing 455 yards to the Cougars. The Broncos have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, Boise State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 14 games at home, the Broncos have played 11 of thee games Under the Total. |
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09-13-17 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
At 10:15 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (913) and the San Francisco Giants (914) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Matt Moore. Los Angeles (93-52) snapped their eleven-game losing streak last night with their 5-3 victory in the second game of this series. The Dodgers have played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 11 of their last 14 road games after losing four of their last five games. And in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Dodgers have seen the Over go 9-3-1. The Dodgers send out Darvish who is 8-12 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.24 WHIP this season with the Rangers and now LA this season. The right-hander is out of form right now since coming off the disabled list — he has allowed 13 earned runs in his last 12 1/3 innings but the Total has dropped to 7.5 with bettors assuming that Darvish is his old self. In his last 5 starts, Darvish’s teams has seen 4 of these games finish Over the Total. He faces a hot-hitting San Francisco team that is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game with a .285 batting average along with a .344 On-Base Percentage and a .783 OPS over that span. The Over is 5-0-1 in the Giants’ last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Over is also 4-0-1 in San Fran’s last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-13-17 | Padres v. Twins OVER 9 | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
At 8:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (929) and the Minnesota Twins (930) listing both starting pitchers Dinelson Lamet and Ervin Santana. San Diego (65-80) was shutout last night by an embarrassing 16-0 score in the opening game of this series. We had the Over last night — and lets ring the bell again as the Padres have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Over is also 18-7-2 in San Diego’s last 27 games on the road. And in their last 25 games in Interleague play against teams with a winning record, the Over is 17-7-1. They give the ball to Lamet who is 7-7 with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP this season. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he owns a 5.16 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .224 opponent’s batting average in nine starts as compared to his 3.59 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .185 opponent’s batting average in nine starts at home. The Padres have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Lamet facing a team with a winning record. He faces a hot-hitting Minnesota team that became the first team ever in MLB history to hit a home run in each of the first seven innings of their game last night. The Twins are scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .295 batting average along with a .358 On-Base Percentage and .919 OPS over that span. |
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09-12-17 | Padres v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
At 8:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (979) and the Minnesota Twins (980) listing both starting pitchers Travis Wood and Kyle Gibson. San Diego (65-79) begins this series coming off a 3-2 loss in Arizona on Sunday. The Padres stay on the road where the Over is 17-7-2 in their last 26 games on the road — and this includes playing four straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. They give the ball to Wood who is 3-5 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.72 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been hit even harder when on the road where he has a 7.36 ERA in fifteen appearances — and this will be first start away from this season. Wood’s teams have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with him making the start. Wood’s teams have also played 18 of their last 24 road games Over the Total with him making the start with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. |
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09-12-17 | Mets v. Cubs OVER 8 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (957) and the Chicago Cubs (958) listing both starting pitchers Robert Gsellman and Jose Quintana. New York (63-80) enters this game coming off a 10-5 loss to Cincinnati on Sunday. The Mets have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss. New York has also played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after allowing at least nine runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Mets have seen the Over go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after an off day. And in their last 10 games as an underdog in the +175 to +250 money-line range, 9 of these games have finished Over the Total. They give the ball to Gsellman who is 6-6 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.57 WHIP this year. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 7.44 ERA, 1.87 WHIP and .313 opponent’s batting average in eight games (seven starts) as opposed to his more modest 4.43 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and .282 opponent’s batting average in thirteen games (ten starts) at home. The Over is 5-1-1 in New York’s last 7 games on the road with Gsellman on the mound. And in their last 13 games at night with Gsellman making the start, the Mets have played 10 of these games Over the Total. |
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09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 42 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
At 10:20 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (481) and the Denver Broncos (482). Denver (0-0) had the 4th best defense in the NFL last year by holding their opponents to just 316.1 total YPG. The Broncos defense was even better at home as they held their visitors to last year to only 300.6 total YPG. Denver has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total as the favorite. The Under is also 13-6-1 in the Broncos’ last 20 home games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. Furthermore, Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents. And in their last 5 games played on grass, the Broncos have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings UNDER 48 | 19-29 | Push | 0 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
At 7:10 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (479) and the Minnesota (480). Minnesota (0-0) will be leaning heavily on their defense tonight after they finished 3rd in the NFL by holding their opponents to just 314.9 total YPG last season. The Vikings have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total in the first two weeks of the season. Minnesota has also played 24 of their last 34 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and that includes playing four of their last five home games Under the Total with the number set at 45 or higher. Furthermore, the Vikings have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total against NFC opponents. |
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09-11-17 | Huddersfield Town v. West Ham United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between West Ham United (81832) and Huddersfield Town (81833). West Ham (0-0-3) remained winless back on August 26th with their 3-0 loss at Newcastle. The Hammers have yet to score a goal this season — and this was after last year’s campaign where they only scored 47 goals for the entire season. Defense was their calling card under manager Slaven Bilic whose tactics kept things afloat despite their difficulties in scoring goals. The team did make a major signing last month when they acquired Javier “Chicharito” Hernandez from Bayer Leverkusen in the German Professional League. Unfortunately for Bilic, the Mexican star will not have many of his key teammates in this match. Midfielder Marko Arnautovic is suspended for this match while midfielders Manuel Lanzini, Andrew Ayew and Edmilison Fernandes are all out with injuries. Forward Andy Carroll is also questionable for this afternoon’s match with a knock of his own leaving this side thin up front. West Ham does return home to play their first match this season — and they need a result. They managed only eight shots against Newcastle and they will likely lean heavily on their good depth in their backfield along with a strong keeper in Joe Hart who is on load with the club from Man City.
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 46.5 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (477) and the Dallas Cowboys (478). New York (0-0) may be a team where most of their attention goes to their offense with Eli Manning and Odell Beckham — and now they have added Brandon Marshall to that mix. But it is the defense that should be mentioned when first considering this Giants team. Last year, the Giants were 2nd in the NFL by holding opponents to just 17.8 PPG — and they were 10th in the NFL by allowing only 339.7 total YPG. Defensive coordinator is one of the best in the business — and his return to this franchise where he was the coordinator for their last Super Bowl run which earned him a head coaching stint with the Rams — has helped make this an elite defense once again. In particular, the Giants boast two of the best safeties in the league Landon Collins and Darian Thompson. New York has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against NFC opponents. The Giants have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on turf. Furthermore, New York has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total when the number at 45.5 or higher. Additionally, the Giants have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. |
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09-10-17 | Orioles v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (967) and the Cleveland Indians (968) listing both starting pitchers Jeremy Hellickson and Trevor Bauer. Cleveland (86-56) looks to conclude this series on a winning note after their 4-2 win over the Orioles yesterday. The Indians did not commit an error in that game for the fourth straight contest — and they have then played 31 of their last 48 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games without an error. Additionally, Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played a decisive 30 of their last 48 home games Under the Total when priced with the money-line at least at -150. They give the ball to Bauer who is 15-8 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for immediate improvement with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.90 and 3.73 moving forward. Bauer has been seeing better numbers this summer as he boasts a 2.50 ERA over his last nine starts. Furthermore, he has been better a home where he has a 4.01 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in fourteen starts this year as compared to his 4.88 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in thirteen starts on the road. The Under is 5-2-1 in Cleveland’s last 8 home games with Bauer on the mound. He faces a Baltimore team that is scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .220 batting average along with a .264 On-Base Percentage and a .630 OPS over that span. The Under is also 20-7-1 in the Orioles’ last 28 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-10-17 | Yankees v. Rangers OVER 10.5 | 16-7 | Win | 100 | 0 h 29 m | Show | |
At 3:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (973) and the Texas Rangers (974) listing both starting pitchers Jordan Montgomery and A.J. Griffin. New York (76-65) has won five of their last seven games with their 3-1 win over the Rangers yesterday. The Yankees have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win. New York has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road. They give the ball to Montgomery who is 7-7 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.25 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been less effective on the road where he owns a 4.20 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .243 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts as compared to his 4.08 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .240 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts at home. The Yankees have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with Montgomery on the mound. He faces a red-hot Rangers team that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .270 batting average along with a .359 On-Base Percentage and .678 OPS during that span. Furthermore, the Over is 5-0-1 in Texas’ last 6 games against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-10-17 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 47 | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 67 h 16 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (469) and the Cleveland Browns (470). Pittsburgh (0-0) looks to have one of the most dynamic offenses in the AFC this season under the veteran quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. But the Steelers tend to keep the play-calling pretty conservative when they are playing on the road. Pittsburgh has played 19 of their last 26 road games Under the Total. The Steelers have also played 21 of their last 31 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 45.5 or higher. Furthermore, the Under is 11-3-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 15 games when playing a fellow AFC North opponent. These lower scoring games certainly translate into this rivalry as these two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. Additionally, these two teams have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing in Cleveland. |
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09-09-17 | Stanford v. USC UNDER 55 | 24-42 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (387) and the USC Trojans (388). USC (1-0) survived a scare last week as they pulled away from Western Michigan in the 4th quarter to win by a 49-31 score. The Trojans defense did not play as poorly as that final score would suggest as the Broncos managed only 357 yards in that contest. USC returns seven starters from a unit that held seven opponents last year to their season low in total yardage. The Trojans have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while USC passed for 289 yards in that game, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Trojans held Western Michigan to just 94 passing yards — and they have then seen the Under go 25-8-1 in their last 34 games after allowing 170 or fewer passing yards in their last contest. And in their last 5 games at home, USC has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-07-17 | Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 49 | Top | 42-27 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (451) and the New England Patriots (452). Kansas City (0-0) was just 20th in the NFL last season by averaging 343.0 total YPG. Yet this team was able to generate more points than that level of production would suggest as they ranked 13th in the league by scoring 24.3 PPG. But this is an offense under QB Alex Smith that was middling at best in both the pass where they averaged just 233.8 passing YPG (19th in the NFL) and only 109.2 rushing YPG (15th in the NFL). This is a team that seems to have taken a step back then this season with the decision to cut wide receiver Jeremy Maclin via voicemail and then running back Spencer Ware suffered a season-ending knee injury. The defense remains stout after finishing in the Top-Ten in points allowed for the fourth straight season by allowing just 19.4 PPG which was 7th best in the NFL. The Chiefs secondary is elite with strong safety Eric Berry and a true shutdown cornerback in Marcus Peters anchoring a great group that can play man-to-man and afford an extra defender in the box. This defensive group will also be buoyed by the return of linebackers Justin Houston and Derrick Johnson after they suffered season-ending injuries before the playoffs last season. Kansas City has played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Chiefs have also played 12 of their last 18 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 10 points. And in head coach Andy Reid’s last 6 road games that he has coached as an underdog in the 7.5 to 10 point range, those games finished Under the Total 5 times. |
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09-05-17 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show | |
At 7:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (905) and the Miami Marlins (906) listing both starting pitchers Stephen Strasburg and Odrisamer Despaigne. Washington (83-54) has won two of their last three games with their 7-2 victory over the Marlins in the opening game of this series. The Nationals have then seen the Under go 9-1-2 in their last 12 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. The Under is also 16-5-3 in Washington’s last 24 games on the road — and that includes going 8-1-3 in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home. They give the ball to Strasburg who is 11-4 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.07 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.23 ERA along with a 1.03 WHIP and .192 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts as compared to his 3.60 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and .232 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts at home. The Nationals have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total with Strasburg on the mound. He faces a slumping Miami team that is scoring 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .217 opponent’s batting average along with a .279 On-Base Percentage and .609 OPS over that span. Additionally, the Under is 7-1-1 in the Marlins’ last 9 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-04-17 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 0 h 21 m | Show | |
At 3:10 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (955) and the Colorado Rockies (956) listing both starting pitchers Chris Stratton and Chad Bettis. Colorado (72-64) has lost four in a row after their 5-1 loss to Arizona yesterday. The Rockies have then seen the Under go 23-8-1 in their last 32 games after a loss. And despite the reputation of their hitter-friendly Coors Field, Colorado has played 8 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total. They give the ball to Bettis who is 0-2 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.33 WHIP this season in four starts. Three of those starts have been at home where he has a 3.79 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Last season, Bettis had a 4.44 ERA along with a 1.37 WHIP at home which was much better than his 5.06 ERA and .45 WHIP when on the road. The Rockies have played 7 straight home games Under the Total with Bettis on the hill. He faces a cold-hitting San Francisco team that is scoring just 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests along with a .217 batting average along with a .300 On-Base Percentage and .674 OPS over that span. Furthermore, the Giants have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-03-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 7 | 2-9 | Loss | -115 | 0 h 12 m | Show | |
At 7:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (916) and the Boston Red Sox (915) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Chris Sale. New York (72-63) won the third game of this series yesterday with their 5-1 victory over the Red Sox. The Yankees have then seen the Under go 12-5-1 in their last 18 games against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last game. New York has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They give the ball to Severino who is 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.10 WHIP this season. The Yankees have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with Severino facing the Red Sox. He faces a Boston team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game with a .236 batting average along with a .322 On-Base Percentage and .710 OPS over their last seven games. |
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09-03-17 | Texas A&M v. UCLA UNDER 61 | 44-45 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (211) and the UCLA Bruins (212). Texas A&M (0-0) enters this season having seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games in the month of September. Additionally, in the Aggies’ last 7 games against teams outside the SEC, the Under is 5-1-1. This team travels west to Los Angeles to face this UCLA team. Not only has Texas A&M played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total but this also includes playing four straight road games Under the Total as an underdog. |
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09-02-17 | Angels v. Rangers OVER 11 | 7-4 | Push | 0 | 0 h 16 m | Show | |
At 7:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (977) and the Texas Rangers (978) listing both starting pitchers Ricky Nolasco and A.J. Griffin. Texas (67-67) has won three of their last four games with their 10-9 victory over the Angels in the opening game of this series. The Rangers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Texas has now played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home. And in their last 51 home games against teams with a winning record, the Over is 32-15-4. They give the ball to Griffin who is 6-5 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.33 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has been saddled with a 5.89 ERA along with a 1.75 WHIP and .297 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 5.00 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and .225 opponent’s batting average in nine starts on the road. The Rangers have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with Griffin on the hill. He faces a hot-hitting LA team that is scoring 6.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .277 batting average along with a .348 On-Base Percentage and a .789 OPS over that span. The Angels have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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09-01-17 | Nationals v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
At 8:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (907) and the Milwaukee Brewers (908) listing both starting pitchers Tanner Roark and Jimmy Nelson. Milwaukee (70-64) won the opening game of this series last night with their 6-3 victory over the Nationals. The Brewers have then seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a victory. The Under is also 4-0-1 in Milwaukee’s last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 5-1-1 in the Brewers’ last 7 games after a victory. They give the ball to Nelson who is 10-6 with a 3.75 ERA and 127 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics are very encouraging for Nelson with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.45 and 3.17 moving forward. The left-hander has been a bit better at home where he owns a 3.39 ERA in fourteen starts as compared to his 4.16 ERA in thirteen starts on the road. Milwaukee has played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total with Nelson facing a team with a winning record. He should fare well against this Washington team that hits just .250 with a .315 On-Base Percentage and .740 OPS on the road. Additionally, the Nationals have seen the Under go 4-0-2 in their last 6 road games against left-handed starting pitchers — and the team is still without Bryce Harper who remains on the shelf with his knee injury. |
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08-31-17 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 36 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (105) and the New York Jets (106). Philadelphia (2-1) looks to build off their 38-31 victory over the Dolphins last Thursday. Despite all those points, the Eagles defense played pretty well in holding the Dolphins to just 302 yards of offense. With likely backup QB Nick Foles still dealing with an injury, expect the uninspiring Mitch McGloin to handle the quarterbacking duties tonight with Carson Wentz not risking taking the field and getting injured. The starting offensive line for the Eagles will not be playing in this game either which will make things more difficult for the former Penn State QB. As it is, Philadelphia has played 5 straight preseason games under the leadership of head coach Doug Pederson Under the Total with the number in the 35.5-42 point range. The Eagles have also played 4 of their last 6 preseason games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3 point range. |
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08-31-17 | Bengals v. Colts UNDER 36 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 0 h 11 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals (107) and the Indianapolis Colts (108). Indianapolis (1-2) enters this final preseason game after a 19-15 win at Pittsburgh. The Colts return home for their last exhibition game — and they have played 6 of their last 8 preseason games after playing a preseason game on the road. The good feelings from that victory are likely to be short with this franchise seemingly in deep trouble given the state of Andrew Luck. The quarterback still does not seem to have any time-table as to when he will return to the field this season. In the short run, backup Scott Tolzien is likely the Week One starter in the regular season. Because of that, Tolzien will likely not play tonight which means the snaps will be shared by Stephen Morris and Philip Walker. Neither QB has taken a snap in a regular season game. The Colts will likely rely on their ground game in this contest — but they have yet to rush for even 70 yards in their first three preseason games. Indianapolis has then played 5 of their last 6 preseason games under head coach Chuck Pagano after failing to rush for at least 99 yards in two straight preseason games. |
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08-30-17 | Giants v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Ty Blach and Travis Wood. San Diego (58-74) snapped their four-game losing streak last night with their 6-3 win over the Giants. The Padres have then seen the Over go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 19-7-1 in San Diego’s last 27 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They give the ball to Wood who is 3-4 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.63 WHIP this season. Since being picked up by the Padres after being waived by the Royals, the left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 1.85 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .355 as opposed to his more mild 1.77 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average on the road. Wood’s teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when he is making the start. He faces a Giants team that has played 4 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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08-29-17 | Mets v. Reds OVER 10 | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 0 h 25 m | Show | |
At 7:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (955) and the Cincinnati Reds (956) listing both starting pitchers Chris Flexen and Sal Romano. New York (57-73) begins this series after losing in Washington on Sunday by a 5-4 score. The Mets’ bullpen has worked 9 innings of work over their last two games — and they have then played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total when their bullpen has logged in at least 9 innings of work over their last two games. Additionally, New York has played 4 of their last 4 road games Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Flexen who is 3-2 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.93 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for things to be even worse for the right-hander given his SIERA and xFIP of 6.33 and 6.57 this season. Flexen has not been as effective on the road where he has an 8.18 ERA along with a 2.55 WHIP and .396 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.24 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and .242 opponent’s batting average at home. He faces a Reds team that has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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08-28-17 | Indians v. Yankees OVER 6.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 0 h 26 m | Show | |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (909) and the New York Yankees (910) listing both starting pitchers Corey Kluber and Luis Severino. New York (70-59) has won two straight games with their 10-1 win over Seattle yesterday. The Yankees have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a victory. New York has also played 7 straight games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least nine runs. And while the Yankees have not allowed more than three runs in each of their last three games, they have then played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after not allowing more than three runs in at least two straight games. They give the ball to Severino who is 11-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.10 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective in eleven starts at home where he owns a 4.14 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and .223 opponents batting average as compared to his nasty 2.32 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and .201 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts on the road. The Yankees have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with Severino on the hill. He faces a Cleveland team scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .272 batting average along with a .352 On-Base Percentage and .825 OPS over that san. Additionally, the Indians have seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. |
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08-28-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 0 h 12 m | Show | |
At 7:07 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (913) and the Toronto Blue Jays (914) listing both starting pitchers Drew Pomeranz and Marcus Stroman. Boston (73-57) opens this game coming off a 2-1 loss to Baltimore yesterday. The Red So have then played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. Boston has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Pomeranz who is 13-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.34 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been better on the road where he has a 3.09 ERA in twelve starts as compared to his 3.26 ERA in thirteen starts on the road. Furthermore, the Under is 15-6-1 in the Red Sox’s last 22 games with Pomeranz pitching on four days of rest. He faces a Toronto team that struggles against left-handed pitching. The Blue Jays are scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game with a .232 batting average along with a .306 On-Base Percentage and .681 OPS. The Under is 41-17-4 in their last 62 games against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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08-27-17 | 49ers v. Vikings OVER 39.5 | 31-32 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (281) and the Minnesota Vikings (282). Minnesota (1-1) enters this preseason game coming off a 20-13 loss at Seattle last Friday. The Vikings have played their last 2 preseason games Over the Total after failing to score at least 14 points in their last preseason game. Both of Minnesota’s preseason games this season have finished Under the Total — but this franchise has then played 10 of their last 15 preseason games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders in the preseason. Additionally, the Vikings have played 13 of their last 22 preseason games Over the Total after a loss on the road. And in their last 6 preseason games under head coach Mike Zimmer against fellow NFC opponents, Minnesota has played 4 of these games Over the Total. |
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08-26-17 | Rice v. Stanford UNDER 51.5 | Top | 7-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (297) and the Stanford Cardinal (298). Stanford (0-0) should be loaded for bear once again on defense this season as they return eight starters from a 10-3 team that won their last six games including beating North Carolina (and future Chicago Bears’ Hall of Fame quarterback Mitch Trubisky?) by a 25-23 score in the Sun Bowl. The Cardinal held their opponents to just 20.0 PPG and only 368 YPG. Stanford was 10th in the FBS with the most 3-and-outs on defense last year. Redshirt junior Keller Chryst returns as the starting quarterback but he missed all of spring ball from the injury he sistine in the Sun Bowl. Expect head coach David Shaw to rely on his defense along with a physical ground game with this team struggling to effectively execute the forward pass. The Cardinal has played 7 of their last 9 games in the first two weeks of the season Under the Total. Stanford has also played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 56 point range. |
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08-26-17 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between Manchester United (84578) and Leicester City (84577). Manchester United (2-0-0) has been the toast of the new English Premier League season so far this year after winning their second straight game by a 4-0 score. This side looks dominant — particularly on offense after scoring eight goals so far this season. The $100 million acquisition of forward Romelu Lukaku looks to be just what the doctor ordered as he has given the team an active and fluid attacker that better fits the team as compared to their big pickup last year of Zlatan Ibrahimovic. But the key newcomer for this team is midfielder Nemanja Matic who played a key role for the champions Chelsea last season. Matic reunites with manager Jose Mouinho from his time in Chelsea. Not only does he offer the side a defensive-minded controlling midfielder but his presence on the pitch frees up Paul Pogba to become more of an attacker from the middle of the field. It is the chemistry between Pogba and Lukaku that makes the Red Devils very dangerous this season. Man United should score at least twice on their home field this afternoon. |