This is a 10* play on CWM.

It's been a tough year for The College of William and Mary, but this team has been historically tough at home. The Charleston Cougars know that well, as the home team has won 10 straight in the last 10 head to head meetings. These teams played at Charleston at the end of January and the Cougars won by a score of 74-73. The Tribe have covered in five straight overall, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. I don't just think the Tribe cover the spread, I fully expect them to win this game outright.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

I started betting the over in Wisconsin games late last year, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Michigan State: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The Badgers come into Illinois averaging 74.8 points over their last five games, and Illinois averages 81.6 points per game at home. The over is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 home games, and the over is 7-3 in the Badgers last 10 road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Razorbacks come into Georgia as a double digit favorite, and I am expecting this game to be a shootout. Arkansas has won six straight, and they have won four of their last five head to head meetings versus Georgia. These teams played last January, and the Razorbacks won by a score of 99-69. The Bulldogs won by a score of 99-89 at home versus Arkansas in 2020. Five of the last six head to head meetings have gone over the total, and the over is 20-6 in the Razorbacks last 26 road games, and the over is 9-4 in the Razorbacks last 13 games as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on UNLV.

The Rebels host the Nevada Wolfpack tonight, and history tells us that Nevada has had a big edge in recent head to head meetings. The Wolfpack have won eight straight in this series, and they are 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings. This year's aquad isn't as talented as the Nevada team we've seen over the last few years, and they come in with a record of 1-4 on the road. The Wolf Pack are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Rebels are 10-3 at home, and they have only allowed 61.9 points per game at home. The Wolfpack have give up and average of 80.4 points per game on the road. This looks like a great spot to back the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Jayhawks just barely beat the Cyclones 62-61 at home a few weeks ago, and they are coming off a blowout home loss to Kentucky on Saturday. It won't get any easier on the road at Iowa State Tuesday. The Cyclones are holding opponents to just 56.4 points per game on their home court. Kansas has failed to cover in four straight overall. Ochai Agbaji leads the Jayhawks in scoring averaging over 20 points per game, but he shot just 4-of-14 from the field and scored just 13 points in the loss to Kentucky. We saw these teams play a defensive battle in Lawrence, and I expect to see another close, low scoring game in Ames.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Spartans are just a half game out of first place in the conference, and they will be a favorite on the road at Maryland Tuesday. The Terps are just a game above .500 at home, and they are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. One of the reasons they have struggled at home is a lack of scoring. They scored just 55 points in a home loss to Indiana on Saturday. These two teams have gone under in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Spartans have held the opposition to 63.2 points per game on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on UNCW.

The Seahawks are back on top in the CAA, and they are coming off an impressive home win over Hofstra. They are now 8-0 in the conference and 8-1 at home. The history favors the home team in this series, with the hosts winning outright in seven of the last eight meetings. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Seahawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five straight home games. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Eastern Michigan Eagles will be a home dog against Miami-Oh, and we should expect plenty of scoring in this matchup. The Eagles have scored an average of 78 points per game at home, and the Red Hawks have allowed opponents to score 80+ in each of their last three games. The over is 23-11 in the Eagles last 34 overall, and the over is 15-6 in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. The last time the Eagles hosted the Red Hawks they lost by a score of 85.63. Neither of these teams are known for their defense, so expect another shootout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on MD.

Maryland will be a home underdog versus Indiana on Saturday, and they are coming off back to back big wins. The Terps shot 12-of-25 (48%) from beyond the arc in a win over Rutgers in their last game. Indiana has lost four of five road games so far this season, and the one win came at last place Nebraska. The Hoosiers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team has won outright in nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Hoosiers have no business being a road favorite here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on OKST.

The Cyclones started the season with 12 straight victories, but have since lost five of their last seven overall. They are 0-3 in BIG12 road games, and they have had trouble scoring. Iowa State scored just 44 points on 30.9 percent shooting in a home loss to TCU in their last game, and they went 3-of-26 from beyond the arc in that game. The Cowboys have won two of three home games in the BIG12, and the one loss came to first place Kansas. The favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Rutgers.

Rutgers is 38-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, and they are 10-1 at home so far this season. Maryland has lost six of eight BIG10 games so far, and they have lost thee of four road games. Their last road game was a 19-point loss at Michigan. Maryland has allowed an average of 81.5 points on the road, while Rutgers has held opponents to just 58.3 points per game at home. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings versus Maryland, and they appear to be undervalued as the home favorite here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Sparty.

Michigan State is in first place in the BIG10, and they come into Illinois as winners of 10 of their last 11 overall. The one loss came in a game decided by just two points. The Spartans have won five of their last six versus Illinois, and the one loss came in a game decided by five points. Michigan State has cashed a winning ticket in five straight road games, and they catch Illinois off back to back losses. The Illini leading scorer Kofi Cockburn didn't play on Friday at Maryland, and he's listed as questionable with a concussion. I expect him to play, but whether or not he's at full speed is another question.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

I recently bet over on the Trojans game at Colorado. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Trojans have lost two of their last three overall, taking a big slide in the AP Top 25. They come into Colorado off a 79-69 loss to Oregon, allowing 70+ points in three straight games. The total here looks quite low, and these teams combined to score over 140 points in both meetings last season. Colorado won at home by a score of 80-62, and the Buffaloes have averaged over 80 points per game home in PAC12 games so far this season. The Trojans rank 2nd in the PAC12 in scoring averaging 75.4 points per game, and they have the 2nd best FG percentage (.478)." They have been far better at home, scoring an average of 81.1 points per game. Tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Indiana.

The Wolverines are just 8-7 overall and 2-3 in the BIG10. They play on the road at Indiana Sunday, and the Hoosiers are 12-0 at home. Indiana has held opponents to just over 57 points per game at home, and they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Michigan's last two road games were losses at Rutgers and Illinois by a combined 23 points. They have lost four of five road games this season, with the only win coming at Nebraska (0-8). This woild be a tough game for Michigan at the best of times, and these are NOT the best of times.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Wake Forest.

The Tar Heels are coming off an ugly 85-57 loss at Miami, and they may have lost their leading scorer to an injury in that game. To be fair, the injury happened late when the Tar Heels already trailed by as many as 33 points. Wake Forest is 10-1 at home, and they have held opponents to just 65.2 points in those games. They have also scored over 80 points per game at home. The Tar Heels are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Over.

I bet the over in Wisconsin's last two games, including 78-68 win over Ohio State. Here is what I said before that game: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The Badgers beat Northwestern 82-76, and they have gone over in seven straight. The over is 18-6 in the Badgers last 24 overall. The bookmakers have yet to make the necessary adjustments for Wisconsin's current style of play.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BKN.

Kyrie can only play in road games, and he's now played just five games this season. His most recent game was his best so far, scoring 30 points on 13-of-23 shooting in a 119-118 win at Washington. The Nets will be at San Antonio tonight, and the Spurs are just 9-13 at home. San Antonio is coming off a home win over Oklahoma City, but they have gone 3-10 in their last 13 overall. Former Spur Patty Mills has averaged over 17 points per game in his last four starts, and he could be primed for a strong performance against his former team. I like Brooklyn to get the win here even without KD.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Trojans have lost two of their last three overall, taking a big slide in the AP Top 25. They come into Colorado off a 79-69 loss to Oregon, allowing 70+ points in three straight games. The total here looks quite low, and these teams combined to score over 140 points in both meetings last season. Colorado won at home by a score of 80-62, and the Buffaloes have averaged over 80 points per game home in PAC12 games so far this season. The Trojans rank 2nd in the PAC12 in scoring averaging 75.4 points per game, and they have the 2nd best FG percentage (.478). Both teams should score their share of points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Rutgers.

Iowa has won four of the last five meetings in this series, with two of those wins coming at Rutgers. Those wins each came in games decided by a single bucket. So what will be different about this game? For starters all time great Luka Garza is no longer playing for the Hawkeyes. He scored 25 points in the win at Rutgers last year. The Scarlet Knights are in good shape, with both Geo Baker and Ron Harper Jr. averaging double figures. Rutgers is 9-1 at home, and they have held opponents to an average just 59.5 points in those games. The Hawkeyes are 2-3 on the road, and while they are averaging over 86 points per game, they have averaged just 71.4 points per game on the road. Rutgers is 37-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, while Iowa is 12-14 straight up on the road over the last three seasons. The underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on ATL.

The Timberwolves have won six of their last eight, and none of those wins were bigger than last night's thriller at MSG. Karl Anthony Towns (who grew up in New Jersey) had this to say after the game: "I told my dad everyone's going to get a chance to have their Madison Square Garden moment and I felt that was for me tonight. That was the biggest moment that I've had in MSG," Towns said. "Great crowd, great atmosphere, great energy and I got to silence everybody, so that makes it even better." Now they play on the back end of a back to back on the road at Atlanta, and this looks like a helluva let down spot for Minny. The Hawks are coming off a home win over Milwaukee, and they have covered in four straight versus Minnesota and they are 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Over.

I bet the over in Wisconsin's last game, a 78-68 win over Ohio State. Here is what I said before the game: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." Northwestern has scored an average of 75 points per game over their last five overall, and during that span they have allowed opponents to average almost 80 points per game. The Badgers have gone over in six straight overall, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have made the necessary adjustments.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Texas Tech.

The Cyclones won 51-47 at home versus Texas Tech just before Christmas, and I was fortunate that I got a good line. Many people would have pushed or lost depending on when they played that game. One of the reasons I decided to bet against Texas Tech in that spot, was that they were missing leading scorer Terrance Shannon. He played 18 minutes in a loss to Kansas State over the weekend, and he should be ready to take on more minutes here in a revenge game against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is 10-0 at home, and the Cyclones have lost two of three on the road. The Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they won their last home game against Iowa State by 27 points. This smells like a double digit win for the Red Raiders.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Sun Devils host Utah Monday, and historically these teams have been involved in high scoring games. They have gone over in five straight head to head meetings, but a dark cloud hangs over both these teams at the moment. Arizona State has struggled without Marcus Bagley, ranking 391st nationally scoring just 62.6 points per game. They come into tonight's game averaging just 59.4 points per game in their last five overall. Utah hasn't been much better, averaging 67 points per game in their last five overall. The Sun Devils have gone under in five straight overall, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 home games. They shot just 33 percent from the field in a home loss to Colorado in their last game, and they rank last in the PAC12 with a FG percentage of .385 on the season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Minnesota.

The Warriors have struggled without Draymond Green, losing four of their last five road games. Minnesota is coming off a loss at Memphis, and the Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Golden State is expected to be missing Steph Curry who is dealing with a sore hand, and fellow splash brother Klay Thomspon is still working his way into shape. The Warriors are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings in Minnesota. The Wolves are at full strength, and they have won four of their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on under.

The Cavs have won nine straight head to head meetings against Wake Forest, and the Demon Deacons scored an average of 55 points in those games. The last two meetings went over the total, but the number in those games was far lower than the total we see here today. The under is 4-1 in the Demon Deacons last five overall, and the under is 7-2-1 in the Cavaliers last 10 games following a straight up win. The Cavs have played three home games in conference play, and all three of those games fell well short of 129 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Denver.

With Damian Lillard looking to have surgery, the mission for the Blazers might be to secure a lottery pick. They come into Denver with a road record of 2-13. When you are struggling on the road, the last place you want to play is in mile high city. The Trail Blazers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games. Denver has covered the spread in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The Blazers might as well throw in the towel, and they just might do exactly that.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games, and the Buckeyes have averaged exactly the same amount of points over that span. The over is 16-5 in the Buckeyes last 21 road games, and the Badgers have gone over in five of their last six home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on CSU.

The Colorado State Rams are coming off their first loss of the season against San Diego State, but they look to bounce back in a home game versus Utah State. The Aggies have failed to cover in four of their last five road games, and they scored an average of just over 75 points in those games. That might not be enough against a Rams team that averages over 86 points per game at home. The Rams have won 17 of their last 18 home games dating back to the beginning of last season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Philly.

The Hornets are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee, and they could be due for a let down on the road at Philly. The Sixers have won seven straight, and Joel Embiid has scored 30+ points in all of those games. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 10-0 straight up in their last 10 versus the Hornets. Their last three home wins over Charlotte came by an average margin of 13 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Rebels host the last place New Mexico Lobos, who are coming off back to back losses to Utah State and Nevada. The Lobos have lost six straight head to head meetings versus UNLV, and they have failed to cover in seven of the last eight meetings. Four of the last five head to head meetings went under the total. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in both meetings in 2021.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

While the Warriors defense has been stellar this season, they will be without their best defensive player (Draymond Green) when they play at Memphis tonight. This will be the second game back for Klay Thompson, and a showcase of Steph Curry versus Ja Morant. These teams have gone under the total in seven of the last nine head to head meetings, but tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in eight of the last nine meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on the Celtics.

The Celtics are coming off a 108-105 loss at MSG, blowing an 18 point lead in the second half. Evan Fornier went off for 41 points on 15-of-25 shooting, and this sets up a huge let down spot for Fornier and the Knicks. The Celtics look good here in a revenge spot with the majority of their squad intact. The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight as an underdog. The home team has won five straight meetings in this series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on Eastern Michigan.

The Eastern Michigan Eagles are just 6-6, and three of those wins came against Illinois State, Western Illinois and Fliorida International. What is the significance of three non-conference games when they are playing at home against a team from the Mac? Well all three of those teams are common opponents with Ball State, and the Cardinals went 0-3 versus those teams. The Cardinals are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games, and they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in six straight as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Texas.

The Longhorns are 12-2 overall, and they rank 1st in the nation allowing just 52.3 points per game. They will be a favorite on the road here in Stillwater, facing a Cowboys team that has lost four of their last five overall. They are just 4-4 at home, and they have only scored an average of 68.8 points in their last five games. Texas has held it's last five opponents to an average of just 50 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Wake Forest.

Wake Forest is off to a strong start, with a 12-3 overall record and coming off a home win over Florida State. The Deacons are 9-0 at home, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. The home team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams, and the Favorite has covered in five of the last six meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

The NBA pushed the pause button shortly after Rudy Gobert tested positive for Covid back in 2020, and now two years later he's again tested positive. With the Jazz playing in Toronto Friday, they could be without their entire starting lineup. In fact it will be a miracle if this game is even played. Toronto on the other hand is playing it's best ball of the season, riding a four game win streak. The Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Toronto.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Penn.

The Quakers are 4-10, and they have lost six of their last seven games. They have played a tough schedule, and their last three losses came in games decided by single digits. They are the favorite in a home game against Cornell tonight, and the Big Red are coming off a 79-71 win over Dartmouth. Penn is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Quakers have covered in five straight as a favorite, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Badgers are coming off an upset win at Purdue, holding the Boilermakers under 70 points on their home court. Wisconsin has allowed just 63.3 points per game while winning six of seven at home. They host the Iowa Hawkeyes who have only averaged 66 points per game on the road. The Hawkeyes last road game was a 73-53 loss at Iowa State. The under is 9-1 in the Hawkeyes last 10 road games. The under is 5-1 in the last six head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Iowa State.

The Cyclones won 12 straight before suffering their first loss of the season at the hands of #1 ranked Baylor. It was a close game, with the Bears winning 77-72. Iowa State looks to get back on track with a home game against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four coming off a win. The Cyclones have been a defensive powerhouse, only allowing 57.7 points per game this season. They have held opponents to just 56 points per game at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Providence.

The Friars are in first place in the Big East, and they play on the road at last place Marquette. The Golden Eagles are coming off a double overtime loss at home to Creighton, and they should be overmatched here. The Friars have some big road wins already this season, winning at Wisconsin, UCONN and DePaul. Marquette has lost some big games at home, losing to UCLA, UCONN and Marquette. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and the Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Oregon State Beavers are 2-10 overall, and 0-2 in the Pac12. They have really struggled on offense, scoring just 67 points per game. They have been pretty average on defense, allowing 72 points per game, very close to the national average. Utah comes in with an 8-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in the Pac12. The under is 2-2 in the last four head to head meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in those previous four games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 5* play on Utah.

The Jazz are one of a few teams that have yet to be decimated by Covid and injuries, and that's likely part of the reason why they have won nine of their last 11 games. Minnesota comes limping into Salt Lake City without Anthony Edwards, Patrick Beverly and Jarred Vanderbilt and several others. The Jazz are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest, and seven of their last nine wins have come by 10 or more points. The Jazz lead the NBA averaging 115.4 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Wildcats are still undefeated coming into Knoxville with an 11-0 record. Playing on the road at Tennessee will be the toughest test they've faced so far, as the Vols have allowed just 54 points per game at home. The Vols are 6-0 at home, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. This will be the second time Arizona will play a ranked team, and their win over Michigan saw a combined 142 points, well under the listed total here.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Villanova Wilcats have lost back to back games, scoring an average of just 47.5 points. They shot just 22 percent from the field against Baylor, and just 33 percent from the field against Creighton. They are 3-0 at home and they have allowed fewer than 50 points per game in those wins. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and they have gone under in three of their last four versus Xavier.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Iowa.

The Hawkeyes have lost three straight, but two of those losses came against ranked teams on the road. They also lost at home to an Illinois team that is tied for first place in the BIG10. I like their chances of snapping this losing skid against Utah State. The Aggies have only faced one ranked opponent this season, and they lost by double digits at BYU. They have lost four of their last five versus ranked teams, by an average margin of over 10 points. The Hawkeyes held their own in a 77-70 loss at #2 ranked Purdue.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on PHI. 

The Nets will once again be shorthanded due to Covid protocols, but their B-team is coming off an overtime win over the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Another win here at home versus Philly might be too much to ask. The Nets are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games, and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Creighton.

Arizona State has failed to impress, losing six of their first eight games. They come into Nebraska as winners of back to back games over Oregon and Grand Canyon, but they appear to be over-matched versus the Blue Jays. Creighton has won four of five home games, and they are coming off a double digit win over a ranked BYU team. The Sun Devils are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Sun Devils have really missed starting forward Marcus Bagley, who has not played since mid November.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Iowa State.

The Cyclones are 8-0, and they have a pair of wins over ranked teams and a road win at Creighnton. They host the Hawkeyes tonight, and Iowa has lost back to back games. The Hawkeyes are averaging over 90 points per game, but they rank at the bottom of the BIG10 allowing over 70 points per game. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, and the Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. They underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Milwaukee.

The Heat have lost four of their last five, and the average margin of defeat in those games was more than 10 points. The Bucks have won 10 of their last 11 overall. Miami has struggled with Jimmy Butler battling an injury, and he's out for Wednesday's game against the Bucks. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they have covered in four of their last five versus the Heat.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

8*

This is an 8* play on Atlanta.

The Sixers have just three wins in their last 12 games overall, and they have been dealing with injuries. Joel Embiid missed time with Covid, and since his return he has complained about his lack of fitness. The Hawks are on a roll, coming into this home game as winners of eight of their last nine. The 76ers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and they are 10-25-2 ATS in their last 37 games as a road underdog. The Hawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Arizona State.

After winning their first five games, the Washington State Cougars are coming off a loss to Eastern Washington. They will be a slight favorite on the road at Arizona State in their PAC12 opener, and the Sun Devils have lost four in a row. All four of those losses came at neutral sites versus quality opponents. The Cougars are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite, and the home team is 19-9 ATS in the last 28 head to head meetings. The home team is 4-0 straight up in four head to head meetings the last two seasons.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Indiana.

It's normal for teams to have a better record at home, but these two teams each have dramatic home away splits. The Pacers are 6-4 at home, and the Hawks are 3-8 on the road. The Hawks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. The Hawks are 0-4 straight up in their last four at Indiana.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Miami Heat rank 1st in the Eastern Conference in opponent's scoring average, and the Bulls aren't far behind. For that reason the total is pretty low here, but it is still higher than the number in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last seven games as a home underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 16 as a dog. The under is 20-6 in the Bulls last 26 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Two 4-0 teams will meet on Thanksgiving Day in California when the Crimson Tide take on the Iona Gaels. Both these teams come in scoring plenty of points, Alabama averaging over 89 points per game while the Gaels are averaging over 74 points per game. The Crimson Tide can play defense if they need to, but they are also content to run and gun if it suits them. That was the case when they beat South Dakota State 104-88 in their second game of the season. This game has the potential to be a similar style, with another high score.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Seton Hall.

The Pirates are off to a 3-0 start despite losing their leading scorer from last season to the NBA draft. They still have three seniors in the starting lineup, and that experience has been paying dividends early in the season. They come off an upset win at #4 ranked Michigan, and they are the underdog here in a neutral site game against #19 ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes are coming off a 71-65 loss to Xavier, in a game that they trailed from start to finish. This came after they narrowly avoided losing their season opener to Akron by hitting a game winning shot at the buzzer. The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss, and the Pirates are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Hawks.

Atlanta didn't start the season off well after an inspired run in last year's playoffs, but they come into Saturday's home game against Charlotte as winners of three in a row. The Hornets are playing on the back end of a back to back, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Hawks are 24-4 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite, and they are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 106-92 win over the Spurs. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss." The Clippers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five versus Memphis.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

After losing 99-96 at home to Phoenix in their last game, it seems rather optimistic to have the total set over 220 for a home game against the Sacramento Kings. The under is 11-4-1 in Kings last 16 road games, and the Kings have failed to reach the total in 35 of their last 51 overall. The under is 7-1 in the Timberwolves last eight home games, and they have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 18 overall. Minnesota is only averaging 103 points per game this season (23rd). 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Oakland Grizzlies will be a small favorite at home versus Toledo tonight, and the total for this matchup appears a little inflated. The Grizzlies have held their first two opponents to 56 points or fewer, going 1-1 versus West Virginia and Oklahoma State. The Grizzlies scored just 53 points in a loss to Toledo in 2020, and 63 points against the Rockets in a loss in 2019. Tonight's total is much higher than it was in those two games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The LA Clippers have quietly been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season. They come into tonight's home game against the Spurs ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 103.3 points per game. That would be good enough to rank 1st in the NBA last season. The under is 6-1-1 in Spurs last eight road games, and they have gone under in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The Clippers scored just 90 points in a home loss to Chicago in their last game, and the under is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Ducks scored 80+ points in both their first two games, and they shot 51.6 percent from the field in an 86-63 win over SMU in their last game. They hit 9-of-20 (45%) from beyond the arc in that game. Oregon has been playing a ton of high scoring games, with some pretty heavy over trends. The over is 8-0 in the Ducks last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. They have also gone over in 10 of their last 11 neutral site games. The over is 10-2 in the Ducks last 12 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on Over. 

The Charlotte Hornets have won back to back games, but they rank dead last in the NBA allowing 116 points per game this season. Golden State ranks first in the NBA in scoring, averaging over 116 points per game. The Warriors come in as winners of seven straight, with an overall record of 11-1. The over is 4-1 in Hornets last five home games, and the over is 3-1 in the Warriors last four overall. Don't be surprised to see a high score in a game between two of the highest scoring teams in the NBA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Bearcats gave up just 43 points in their season opener against Evansville, and they are a big favorite Saturday in a home game against Georgia. The Bulldogs scored just 58 points in a win over FIU in their first game of the season. Georgia shot just 35 percent from the field, going 3-of-15 (20%) from beyond the arc despite facing an inferior opponent. A road game against a notorious defensive powerhouse like Cincinnati spells trouble for the Bulldogs. Expect a low score here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is an 8* play on LAC.

The Clippers bring a five game win streak into tonight's home game against the Heat. Miami is playing on the back end of a back to back after a tough game in LA against the Lakers. Jimmy Butler left that game early with an ankle injury, and his status at the moment remains in limbo. The Heat have failed to cover in five straight against the Clippers, and they are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Los Angeles. A Morris brothers reunion seems unlikely, with both twins listed on the injury report for their respective teams. This is just a terrible spot for a banged up Miami team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

This game features the highest total on tonight's NBA card, but there is a good reason for that. Memphis and Charlotte rank 29th and 30th respectively in opponents scoring, and both these teams can score more than their share of points. In fact Charlotte ranks 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114  points per game. The Hornets have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 4-0 in their last five games at Memphis.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Buffalo.

The #6 ranked Wolverines will open their season as a double digit favorite against an unranked team from the MAC, but don't for a second think this game will be easy. Buffalo finished second in the MAC last season, and they are bringing back their leading scorer, their leading rebounder, and their assist leader. The Bulls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and they have covered in six straight road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on UK.

Kentucky comes in ranked #10, and Duke #9, with the line close to a pickem for the season opener. There isn't much recent history between these teams, with Duke winning the last meeting 118-84 back in 2018. Things change fast for college basketball blue bloods like Duke and Kentucky, with freshmen phenoms arriving year after year, and departing shortly then after. It's the talent that is left behind that should favor Kentucky here this early in the season. Leading scorer Davion Mintz returns with junior Kion Brooks and Oscar Tshiebwe coming over from West Virginia. The Wildcats are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The one take away from the early season NBA games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Spurs and the Magic are doing their part to keep scoring up, by refusing to play defense. They are both allowing roughly 110 points per game, well above the league average. These two teams have gone over in six of the last seven meetings, and the over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Orlando. The over is 9-2 in the Magic last 11 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Two teams that haven't had any problems scoring are Miami (2nd in the NBA averaging 115.6 points per game) and Boston (4th in the NBA averaging 113.9 points per game). These teams have gone over in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the over is 12-5 in Miami's last 17 games as a home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Nobody has been hit harder by the rule changes than James Harden, who is only averaging 18.6 points per game so far this season. The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and the under is 10-4 in the Hawks last 14 road games. The under is 8-2 in the Hawks last 10 games as an underdog. Brooklyn has failed to reach the total in five straight at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The Jazz are one of five teams allowing less than 100 points per game, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The under is 19-6-1 in the Kings last 26 road games, and the under is 9-1 in the Kings last 10 games as a road underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Blazers.

The Blazers are an underdog on the road at Philly, and they have dominated the Sixers in recent seasons. Portland is 6-1 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and the one loss came in a game decided by one point. Joel Embiid will sit out this game, making it a tough ask for the Sixers to snap this trend. Philly is 1-4 ATS in their last five when coming off a win, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

I had the under in last night's game when the Jazz lost to Chicago. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The one take away from the early games is that scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. Both the Utah Jazz and the Chicago Bulls rank near the top of the NBA in points allowed so far. History suggests that these teams trend toward low scoring games, and the under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings. The under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Chicago." With another big total in tonight's game in Milwaukee, I'll take the under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Heat are off to a great start, winning three of their first four games. They host Charlotte tonight, and the Hornets are also playing well. Miami is getting it done on defense, ranking 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring allowing just 95 points per game. Charlotte is on the opposite end ranking 1st in the NBA in scoring. Scoring in general is down as the officials have been calling a lot fewer fouls, giving defenders a significant advantage in comparison to the way the game has been called in recent seasons. The under is 10-3 in the Hornets last 13 games as a road underdog. The total in the last seven head to head meetings has never been higher than 216.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

The Warriors are off to a helluva start to the season, undefeated with a 4-0 record (9-0 if you include the pre-season). They host the Grizzlies who are coming off a 20 point loss at Portland last night. The Grizz are in a tough spot with another road game in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus a team with a winning record. They are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Golden State. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they have covered in eight of their last 10 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The New York Knicks finished #1 overall in scoring defense last season, and Philly wasn't far behind. Both these teams appear to have picked up right where they left off, and if history is any indication then we could be in for another low scoring game. Three of four meetings last season went under the total, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in three of the four meetings last season. The under is 17-8 in the 76ers last 25 road games, and the under is 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 games as a home favorite. The Knicks have failed to reach the total in four straight home games versus Philly.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Miami.

The Orlando Magic are not going to win many games this year, and it's not a surprise to see them as a double digit underdog in Miami tonight. Both of their losses so far have come by 20+ points. The Heat are coming off a loss at Indiana, but they beat defending champions Milwaukee by 40+ in their home opener. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win, and the Heat are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. The Heat will win this game by as many points as they "feel like".

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Miami.

The Heat crushed Milwaukee in their season opener, and they catch the Indiana Pacers on the back end of a back to back tonight. The Pacers lost in overtime in the nation's capital last night. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Indiana, and they are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. This is a tough spot for the Pacers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on GSW.

The Warriors are coming off an undefeated pre-season, and they beat the Lakers in LA in their season opener. They host the LA Clippers in their home opener, and I see no reason why we shouldn't continue to ride the hot hand. The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win, and they are  6-0 ATS in their last six home games. Steph Curry had a triple-double in the win over the Lakers, and he scored a total of 71 points in his final two games of the pre-season. It's fair to say that he's already in mid-season form.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

The Wizards open the season north of the border in Toronto, and this looks like a tough matchup for the visitors. The Raptors are a much younger team, with veterans Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Marc Gasol, and Norm Powell all moved on. Fred Van Fleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby sre still in the starting lineup, along with veteran Goran Drajic who came over from Miami. The Wizards were winless in the pre-season, including a loss to Toronto. The interesting thing about the Raptors win over Washington was that the Raptors starters did not play against Bradley Beal, KCP, Kyle Kuzma and Spencer Dinwiddie. Toronto is 9-1 straight up in their last 10 versus the Wizards, and this is a big game in a home opener after they played last season's home games in Tampa.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks are defending champions, and they host the Brooklyn Nets in their season opener. These teams last played in double overtime in Game 7 od the Eastern Conference Semi Final. The Nets have failed to cover in four of their last five at Milwaukee, and they are 15-32-1 ATS in the last 48 head to head meetings. The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Milwaukee was 26-10 straight up at home last year and they were 30-5 straight up at home in 2019.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on PHX.

It's fair to say that Game 5 was an outlier. It was the first time in this series that the road team won, and it was also the first time in this series that the total went over in the first half. The Phoenix Suns scored 119 points, shot better than 55 percent from the field and hit over 68 percent of thier three-point attempts. Those numbers are good enough to win 99 percent of the time, but in Game 5 the Bucks somehow shot 57.5 percent from the field and hung on for a stunning victory. So what happens in Game 6? I am going to go out on a limb and say Milwaukee won't be able to pull that off again. Looking back at Game 4 in Milwaukee, Phoenix dominated that game for the first three quarters, and fell apart in the final three minutes. With no margin for error, I expect the Suns to be at their best here in this elimination game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on Under.

I bet the under for the first half of Game 2, and here is what I said before tipoff: “The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog.” Despite going under in the first half in each of the first four games, the total for Game 5 is still quite high.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is an 8* play on Milwaukee.

The Bucks are facing a must win situation in Game 3, as no team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA Finals. They came on strong in the first quarter of Game 2, leading 29-26 heading into the 2nd quarter. The Suns had no answer for Giannis, who scored 42 points and pulled in a dozen rebounds. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss, and they are 7-1 straight up at home in these playoffs. The Suns might just get caught flat footed here as the series heads back to Milwaukee.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bucks.

I bet Phoenix in Game 1, and I have Phoenix winning the series and Chris Paul to win MVP. That being said, Game 1 wasn't as one-sided as the final score would indicate, and I expect Milwaukee to be better in Game 2. Devin Booker was just 8-of-21 from the field, scoring the majority of his points at the free throw line. A lot has been made about the disparity in free throw opportunities, and the Bucks have been lobbying for more calls in Game 2. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS when coming off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under 1H. 

The Bucks scored just 49 points in the first half of Game 1, and Giannis once again struggled at the free throw line. The total for Game 2 is a little higher than it was in the previous game, and I expect both the team to turn up the heat on defense. The Suns should continue to send Giannis to the line every chance they get, and the Bucks may have to make a few adjustments to slow down Chris Paul. The under is 8-1 in the Bucks last nine games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4 in the Bucks last 13 games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Phoenix to win the Finals.

The Milwaukee Bucks finished with the best record in the Eastern Conference in both 2019 & 2020, but each of those seasons ended with post-season disappointment. Are they really any better this year than they were the last two years... or have they just been fortunate that James Harden, Kyrie Irving and Tre Young all got hit by injuries? Their luck may have run out here in the Finals, facing a healthy Phoenix team that finished with the second best record in the NBA this season. Giannis might play, but it's highly unlikely that he will be anywhere near 100 percent. Even when healthy, he's had plenty of struggles, especially at the free throw line. The Suns have won five of their last six versus Milwaukee, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the Bucks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Atlanta.

This series has been all over the map, with injuries playing such a key role. The Bucks proved that they can win without Giannis in Game 5 at home, but they sure didn't rise to the challenge back in Game 4 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog, and the Hawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games. I expect Atlanta to make the necessary adjustments, and Game 6 should look a lot like Game 4.

GL,

Jesse Schule