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Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-23-17	Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206	Top	92-117	Loss	-110	20 h 45 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CHI@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Bulls had been the league's worst team just a few weeks ago, but they come into Boston Saturday as winners of seven of their last eight. The one loss came by just three points on the road at Cleveland. I bet on the over in that game, but I am expecting tonight's game to be much lower scoring. Seven of the Bulls last eight games have seen at least 200 points, with the only exception being a 108-85 win over the Celtics. Boston is coming off back to back losses to the Heat and the Knicks, and the Celtics have struggled offensively during a rough stretch. They still rank 2nd in the NBA on defense, allowing opponents to average just over 98 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in all five of those games. The under is 38-18 in the Bulls last 56 games playing on a days rest. The Celtics have gone under in eight of their last 11 when facing a team with a losing record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-17	Connecticut v. Auburn UNDER 149		64-89	Loss	-110	7 h 47 m	Show
9*
12-22-17	Xavier v. Northern Iowa +6.5	Top	77-67	Loss	-110	18 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the UNI Panthers. The Xavier Musketeers are coming into Friday's game at Cedar Falls as winners of six straight. They are ranked in the Top 10, and have an overall record of 11-1. This will be just their second road game of the season though, and they look like a team primed to suffer an upset. They have four players listed as questionable for tonight's game, and three of those players are in the starting five. Gates, Jones and Macura are 2nd,3rd and 4th in scoring on the team. Xavier's only previous road game was at Wisconsin, and they won that game by double digits (80-70). The final score is terribly misleading though, as they were losing with 2:44 remaining, but went on a 16-4 run in the final few minutes. The Panthers are undefeated (6-0) at home, and they have held opponents to an average of just 53.8 points on 35.6 percent shooting in those games. Northern Iowa has an impressive resume so far going 8-3 overall with quality wins over SMU, NC State, UTA and UNLV. History seems to suggest that Northern Iowa stands a good chance of pulling off an outright win. The Panthers are 12-6 all time at home against ranked teams. Take UNI. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-17	Elon v. Indiana State -4		73-68	Loss	-110	14 h 7 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Indiana State Sycamores. Indiana State started off the season with a blowout win over the Indiana Hoosiers, but they went on to lose four of their next five games. They have had a challenging schedule, but they remain a force on their home floor. They will put their 4-1 home record to the test tonight against the Elon Phoenix. Elon has won 25 games since the start of last season, and only seven of those wins came on the road. They have lost five of six road games so far this season, averaging just 63 points per game. Indiana State has scored an average of 81.3 points on better than 48 percent shooting at home. Elon has failed to cover the spread in eight of it's last 10 overall, and the Phoenix are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a winning home record. They are also 1-7 ATS in their last eight non-conference games. Elon scored just 51 points on 37 percent shooting in a blowout loss at Canisius in it's last game, and I think the Sycamores are a far tougher opponent than the Griffins. Take INST. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-17	Temple v. Georgia -3		66-84	Win	100	9 h 7 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. The Georgia Bulldogs are off to a solid start at 8-2 overall, and 5-0 at home. They are coming off an impressive 80-59 win over rivals Georgia Tech, and they host a Temple team that is 0-2 on the road. The Owls lost at LaSalle and George Washington, and they have failed to cover in five straight overall. The Bulldogs should have a huge advantage on the boards, coming in averaging over 37 rebounds per game. The Owls are averaging less than 30 rebounds per game, and they have only scored an average of 67.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting over their last five games. The Bulldogs have scored an average of 77 points on better than 48 percent shooting over their last five games. Georgia was 12-5 at home last season, while Temple lost eight of it's 12 road games. I feel pretty comfortable backing the home team as just a slight favorite here. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule
12-21-17	Montana State v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 156.5		71-84	Loss	-110	13 h 54 m	Show
This is a 9* play on MTST@NEOM to go OVER the total. The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks opened the season with an 89-90 loss to Montana State. They host the Bobcats in a rematch tonight, and I expect to see another high scoring game. I bet on the Mavs in their home win over Arkansas State, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Mavericks only have one win, but that came in their only previous home game against Drake. To their credit, the Mavs have had a tough schedule. They've played four games against Power Five schools (Louisville, Washington, TCU and Oklahoma) and seven of their 11 games have been true road games. They have won nine of their last 13 at home in Omaha. They have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games, and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall." They just barely hung on to win that game by a score of 77-74. Scoring isn't a problem for the Mavs, but they have been downright terrible defensively, allowing 87.8 points per game over their last five. These two teams have played three times since 2015, and they went over in all three of those games. Tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in any of those previous three meetings. The over is 7-0 in the Mavs last seven versus Big Sky teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-21-17	Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Illinois -3.5		63-69	Win	100	13 h 52 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies will host the Chicago Illinois Fire tonight, and the Fire are still winless (0-4) on the road. They have been terrible on defense in those losses, surrendering 87.5 points per game on better than 52 percent shooting. The Huskies are 4-1 at home, and they have been solid defensively in those games. They have allowed just 65 points per game, holding opponents below 40 percent shooting. The Huskies beat the Fire by double digits at home last year, and won 70-65 at Chicago the previous season. UIC is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning record. They've also covered just once in their last five versus a team from the MAC. Eugene German scored 17 points on 7-of-10 shooting in last year's game, and he comes in as the team's leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game. The Huskies lost at Marquette in their last game, but covered the spread as a double digit dog. They have been better than the bookmakers have expected, covering the spread in all but one of their last six games. I like NIU to win comfortably at home here. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-21-17	Iona +12 v. Rhode Island		74-80	Win	100	12 h 53 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Iona Gaels. The Rhode Island Rams will be a double digit favorite at home versus Iona tonight, and the Rams have won three straight in this series. All three of those games were home games for the Rams, and they covered the spread in two of the three. Last year they won by a score of 79-74 in overtime as a 12 point favorite. I am expecting Iona to put up a fight once again here this time around. The Gaels come in playing well, winning three of their last four. Over their last five games they have averaged 76 points on 43.3 percent shooting. They have made 77.8 percent of their free throws during that span, and they've been on fire from beyond the arc (42.9 percent). The Rams failed to cover as a double digit home favorite against the College of Charleston in their last game, winning 68-62. The Gaels have been a good bet as a road underdog, covering the spread in six of their last eight road games against teams with a winning record. This number appears to be a bit inflated, Rhode Island was just a single digit favorite in two of it's last three home games against the Gaels. Take IONA. GL, Jesse Schule
12-21-17	Bowling Green v. Green Bay UNDER 161		81-78	Win	100	6 h 31 m	Show
This is a 9* play on BGRN@GB to go UNDER the total. The Bowling Green Falcons have been involved in some high scoring games lately, and the same can be said for Green Bay. The two teams will play in Wisconson tonight, and the bookmakers have set the total sky high. Last year the Falcons lost to Green Bay by a score of 77-61, failing to reach the listed total of 157. Actually they have fallen well short of that number in each of the last four head to head meetings, but tonight's game has a total far higher than that. While both these teams are terrible defensively, giving up a lot of points, neither team shoots for a particularly high percentage. The Falcons have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, and Green Bay has gone under in eight of it's last nine versus teams from the MAC. The Falcons have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five versus teams from the Horizon Conference. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-17	Arkansas-Little Rock v. Mississippi State -22.5		48-64	Loss	-105	13 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Bulldogs are 9-1 overall, and their only loss came to #21 ranked Cincinnati. They are coming off a 30+ point win at home over UT Martin, and they are asked to cover 22 points here at home against Arkansas Little Rock. The Trojans are just 3-9 overall, and 0-6 on the road. They have averaged just 58.4 points per game over their last five, and one of those was a 40 point loss at Bradley. They lost their last game against Mississippi State by 30 points (83-53). The Bulldogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have averaged just under 80 points on just shy of 50 percent shooting at home so far this season. The Trojans have failed to cover in four straight versus SEC teams, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Take MISST. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-17	Heat v. Celtics -8		90-89	Loss	-105	13 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics have only covered the spread in three of their last 10 games. Of course with the best record in the NBA, it's understandable that they could become overvalued. They will be an 8-point favorite in tonight's home game against the undermanned Miami Heat. That seems just about right, considering that Boston is 13-3 at home, and 9.5 games ahead of Miami in the standings. When you look a little closer at Miami's injury woes however, it seems like a bargain to get Boston as a favorite in single digits. Goran Drajic is hoping to return to the lineup after missing the last game with an elbow injury, but he may not be 100 percent. He scored just 29 points on 10-of-33 shooting, and was just 1-of-7 from behind the arc in his last three starts. Dion Waiters is also questionable with an illness, but Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow and James Johnson will not play. The Heat are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Boston, and they are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-17	Manhattan v. Hofstra -5.5		63-61	Loss	-110	11 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Hofstra Pride. These two teams have played four times since 2011, and Mannhattan won all four meetings. The Jaspers aren't as strong this season as they were in past seasons, and Hofstra comes in playing quite well. The Pride are undefeated on their home court, and they have been particularly impressive in their last four games. Hofstra has averaged over 84 points on better than 54 percent shooting during a five game stretch than includes road wins at Monmouth, Rider and Stonybrook. The Jaspers have played just two road games this season, and both of those were double-digit losses. The fact that Manhattan shot below 50 percent from the free throw line in those losses doesn't inspire much confidence that they can compete here at Hofstra. The Jaspers have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 road games, and they have scored just 65.6 points per game while losing three of their last five. Take HOF. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-17	Georgia State v. Massachusetts -4.5		71-63	Loss	-110	11 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the UMASS Minutemen. The Minutemen are 6-0 at home this season, and they are coming off three straight wins over Providence, Holy Cross and Georgia. They host Georgia State tonight, and I like their chances of extending this winning streak. The Panthers are coming off a loss at Dayton, and this looks like a tough spot for the visitors. Massachusetts defeated the Panthers by a score of 75-65 at Atlanta last season. Sophomore guard Luwane Pipkins was one of five players to score in double-figures in that game, and he leads the team in scoring averaging 18.7 points per game this season. He comes in feeling the hot hand, averaging over 21 points in his last four starts, and hitting seven of his last 11 three-point attempts. Last year's game was decided at the free throw line, with the Minutemen hitting 17-of-23 from the charity stripe, while Georgia State was just 11-of-21. The Panthers come in hitting just 68.4 percent from the free throw line this season, so we could see history repeat itself in this year's game. Take UMASS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-17	St. Joe's v. St. John's UNDER 146.5		73-77	Loss	-110	10 h 60 m	Show
This is an 8* play on JOES@SJU to go UNDER the total. The St. Joseph's Hawks are coming off a 72-59 win over Maine, but had lost back to back games to Villanova and Temple prior to that. They will be an 8-point underdog here against the Red Storm in Connecticut. St. Johns is one of the top defensive teams in the country, allowing just 61.9 points per game so far. They held the Hawks to just 61 points in a 63-61 win the last time these two teams met. The Red Storm have been even better defensively over their last five games, holding the opposition to just 59.8 points per game on 35.3 percent shooting. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight games played at a neutral site. St. Johns has gone under in five straight overall, and seven of their last eight when listed as a favorite. I am predicting the Red Storm win this game by a score of 71-62 (or in that neighborhood). I expect the winner to score less than 75, and the loser to score less than 70. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-19-17	Georgia Tech +4.5 v. Georgia		59-80	Loss	-110	12 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Georgia Tech. Both Georgia and Georgia Tech have been pretty average so far. The Bulldogs 7-2 overall record isn't that impressive when you consider their strength of schedule. The Yellow Jackets are just 5-4 overall, but they played their first eight games without their leading scorer. Sophomore guard Josh Okogie returned to action Sunday, scoring 19 points on 6-of-13 shooting in a 79-54 win over Florida A&M. He was 2-of-3 from beyond the arc and made 5-of-6 free throws in the victory. Georgia has won the last two meetings between the two teams, but the Yellow Jackets had won and covered in four straight prior to that. Two of those wins came at Georgia, where the Bulldogs have failed to cover in eight of their last 11. They haven't been a good bet regardless of the venue, failing to cover in nine of their last 12 overall. The Yellow Jackets are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. I like Georgia Tech as a strong underdog getting points against a lackluster opponent. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
12-19-17	Drake v. South Dakota State -11		74-87	Win	100	12 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the SDST Jackrabbits. South Dakota State is coming off an overtime loss at Colorado, putting them at 9-5 overall so far. They are 6-0 at home, and have averaged a whopping 86 points per game on better than 47 percent shooting in those games. They host Drake tonight, and last year they beat the Bulldogs 83-75 at Des Moines. Drake is 0-4 on the road, and the Dogs are coming off a 90-64 loss at Iowa. Drake has been a bad bet on the road, failing to cover in eight of it's last 10 away games. The Jackrabbits are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. They appear to be an underrated team overall, covering in 16 of their last 22 overall. It's worth noting that the same Iowa team that crushed Drake a few days ago, lost to South Dakota State on a neutral court earlier this season. Take SDST. GL, Jesse Schule
12-19-17	Belmont v. Western Kentucky -5.5		75-72	Loss	-115	11 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. The Hilltoppers finished in the bottom half of the C-USA standings last year, despite going 11-3 at home. They appear to be greatly improved, coming into tonight's home game against Belmont with a 7-4 overall record. Their record is even more impressive when you look at their schedule. They lost to Wisconsin by just one-point, and lost a close game to Villanova. They have wins over the likes of SMU and Purdue. They have scored an average of over 84 points per game on better than 52 percent shooting while going 5-1 at home. Belmont is just 1-4 on the road, losing by double digits at Lipscomb and TCU in each of their last two road games. It appears that the bookmakers have yet to make adjustments based on the Hilltoppers success. Western Kentucky is 7-1 ATS in it's last eight overall, and they have covered the spread in four straight at home. The Bruins really struggled shooting just 34 percent from the field in a loss at Lipscomb in their most recent road game. They attempted a whopping 31 three-pointers, but made just six. Take WKU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-17	UNLV -6.5 v. Pacific	Top	81-76	Loss	-110	21 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the UNLV Rebels. The Pacific Tigers are coming off back to back losses to UC Davis and Wyoming, and they will be in for a stiff challenge at home tonight against the 8-2 Rebels. UNLV's only two losses came to Arizona and UNI, and both of those games went to overtime. I bet on the Rebels last weekend in their 89-82 win over Illinois, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "UNLV is off to a surprising start, with a 6-1 home record and a 7-2 overall record. That includes a blowout win over a very good Utah team, and a home loss to Arizona by just three points. This is one of the biggest teams in the country, and they rank 2nd in the nation averaging 46.4 rebounds per game. They also rank in the Top 5 in both points scored and assists per game. The Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 non-conference games. UNLV scored 92 points on 54.2 percent shooting in a home win over Oral Roberts in their last game, and they hit 9-of-17 three-point shots in the victory." The Tigers have been a bad bet in Stockton, failing to cover in 13 of their last 16 home games. The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus teams with a losing record, and Pacific has failed to cover in four of it's last five versus the Mountain West. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-17	Oklahoma v. Wichita State -7		91-83	Loss	-115	12 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. I bet on the Shockers in their second game of the season, a blowout win at home over Charleston (81-63). Here is what I said prior to that game: "Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site." They have since won six of seven, including a win over #16 ranked Baylor. Oklahoma will be playing its first true road game of the season, after going 1-9 on the road last year. Their first road game of last season was a 20 point loss at Wisconsin. The Shockers are 4-0 at home, and have averaged over 99 points on 54.6 percent shooting in those games. The Sooners have failed to cover in five of their last six non-conference games, and Wichita State is 8-3 ATS in it's last 11 home games. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-17	Notre Dame -5.5 v. Indiana		77-80	Loss	-110	11 h 40 m	Show
8*
12-16-17	Davidson v. Virginia -12		60-80	Win	100	15 h 17 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Cavaliers. There are some new faces on the Cavs rosters, but it's the same old story here in 2017. The Cavs are 5-0 at home, 8-1 overall, and they are still the best defensive team in the country. Virginia has allowed opponents to average just 52.5 points per game on 36.7 percent shooting. All five of their home wins have come by a double digit margin. The Davidson Wildcats have lost two of three road games and both losses have come by double digits. These two teams have played twice since 2013, and both of those games were double digit wins for the Cavs. The Wildcats have struggled against ACC teams in recent seasons, going just 4-9 ATS in their last 13. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, and they've covered the spread in six of their last eight home games. Virginia has allowed opponents to average fewer than 50 points per game at home so far. This should be another blowout home victory for the Cavs. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-17	Syracuse v. Georgetown +3		86-79	Loss	-110	14 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. Undefeated Georgetown will host the Syracuse Orange in an early tip off Saturday, and the home team is actually a dog in this contest. Georgetown has had the better of this rivalry in recent seasons, winning three of the last four meetings. Last year they went to the Carrier Dome and won outright as a seven point underdog. The Hoyas 7-0 home record is even more impressive when you consider that they've averaged 82 points on 49.5 percent shooting in those games. Now the Orange have perhaps had a tougher schedule, but this will be their first true road game. They lost eight of 10 road games last year, and they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Georgetown has been a good bet in recent games against teams from the ACC, covering in eight of their last 10. The Orange have failed to cover in four straight versus teams from the Big East. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored. Take GTWN. GL, Jesse Schule
12-15-17	UC-Davis +6.5 v. San Francisco		61-74	Loss	-110	15 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the UC Davis Aggies. The Aggies come into San Francisco as winners of four straight, and that includes an upset over Washington State at Pullman. The San Francisco Dons are coming off a double digit home win over Eastern Washington, but they allowed the Eagles to battle back from a 21 point deficit at halftime to make it interesting late. San Francisco's lead was cut to just six points in the final minute, and a few late free throws made the game appear to be an easier win that it actually was. The Dons are shooting just 35.7 percent from the field over their last five games, while the Aggies have shot 45.7 percent during that span. San Francisco has been terribly overrated of late, and that is evidenced by the fact that they have failed to cover the spread in eight straight against teams with a winning record. They have failed to cover in six of their last seven non-conference games, and five of their last six home games. The Aggies on the other hand have covered the spread in five straight road games, and seven straight non-conference games. Take UCD. GL, Jesse Schule
12-14-17	Knicks v. Nets -120		111-104	Loss	-120	16 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets. The Knicks have won 13 of 18 at home, but have lost eight of nine road games this season. They are coming off an overtime win over the Lakers at MSG, and could be in for a let down here in Brooklyn. The Nets have won three of their last four overall, and two of their last three versus the Knicks. Brooklyn recently acquired Jahlil Okafor in a trade with Philly, but the 6 "11 center has yet to make his debut for Brooklyn. He should be ready to go here for tonight's game against the Knicks. "We're just very excited to get on the court together," Okafor said of injured teammate D'Angelo Russell. "You never would've thought the No. 2 and No. 3 picks would be playing on the same team a few years after, but like I said, everything happens for a reason and I'm really excited." In the mean time it's Spencer Dinwiddie running the point for the Nets, and he's played reasonably well. The Nets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 overall, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. The Knicks have failed to cover in four straight following a win, and five of their last six road games. Take BKN. GL, Jesse Schule
12-13-17	Raptors v. Suns UNDER 217		115-109	Loss	-115	11 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHX to go UNDER the total. The Suns have lost four straight, and leading scorer Devin Booker has missed the last three games. Booker (averaging 24.3 points per game) is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks with a groin strain. Without him the Suns have averaged just 97 points per game in their last three overall, and all three of those games went under the total. The Raptors come to town as winners of six of their last seven, but they scored just 91 points in a loss to the Clippers on Monday. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six road games, and six of it's last seven road games against teams with a losing record. The Suns are a team that is normally associated with high scoring basketball games, but that doesn't seem applicable when Devin Booker is out of the lineup. Toronto has allowed fewer than 100 points in three of it's last four road games. I expect this game to be a blowout, and if that's the case it's going to be hard to see enough scoring to reach a high total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-13-17	Arkansas State v. Nebraska-Omaha -155		74-77	Win	100	10 h 0 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Nebraska-Ohama. It's been a tough start to the season for both Arkansas State and Nebraska Omaha, and the two teams have just four wins between them. The Red Wolves are 3-6, with wins over the likes of Abilene Christian, Henderson State and the Howard Bison. Of those three victories, by far the most impressive would be the game against Abilene Christian, as Howard has lost 10 of it's first 11 games, and Henderson State is a Div. 2 school. The Mavericks only have one win, but that came in their only previous home game against Drake. To their credit, the Mavs have had a tough schedule. They've played four games against Power Five schools (Louisville, Washington, TCU and Oklahoma) and seven of their 11 games have been true road games. They have won nine of their last 13 at home in Omaha. They have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games, and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Arkansas State on the other hand is 0-8 ATS in it's last eight road games, and 1-10 ATS in it's last 11 games overall. Take NEOM. GL, Jesse Schule
12-13-17	Villanova v. Temple UNDER 150.5		87-67	Loss	-110	13 h 41 m	Show
Villanova vs Temple Free Pick December 13, 2017. The Villanova Wildcats come into tonight's game at Temple as the #1 ranked team in the country. They are still undefeated, although they faced a stiff challenge from unranked LaSalle in their last game. They beat the Explorers by a score of 77-68, failing to cover as a 20 point favorite. That game went over the listed number of 142, but tonight's total his far higher than it was in any of Villanova's previous road games this season. Tonight's number is almost 20 points higher than it was when Villanova played at Temple in February of 2016. The listed total was lower than 140 in six of the last eight meetings between these two teams. One of the reasons why we have seen such low totals is that both these teams are excellent on defense. That is true again this year, as Temple has held opponents to just 66.5 point per game at home, while Villanova is allowing an average of just 63.3 points per game overall. The Wildcats have gone under in 11 of their last 14 road games, and I expect another low scoring battle here in Philly. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-17	Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 210.5		103-84	Win	100	11 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on DEN@DET to go UNDER the total. The Pistons have lost six straight, and they scored more than 100 points in just one of those games. They host the struggling Denver Nuggets tonight, and this should be a favorable matchup for the home team. These teams played twice last November, and the Pistons won both those games. The Nuggets were held under 100 points in both of those losses, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last six meetings. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of those previous six meetings. Despite the Pistons struggles, they remain one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, especially at home where they have won eight of 12. The Nuggets have failed to reach the total in four straight versus teams with a winning record, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine road games versus winning teams. Denver has balanced scoring with four players averaging over 15 points per game. Two of those players have been sidelined with injuries though. Nikola Jokic is out with a sprained ankle, while Paul Millsap is out for 2-3 months with a serious wrist injury. The Pistons have failed to reach the total in six straight overall, and 15 of 22 at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-17	Yale v. Iona -155		67-83	Win	100	11 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Iona Gaels. The Yale Bulldogs are 3-5 on the road this season, and they play at Iona tonight. The Gaels have only played one home game, winning by a score of 82-75 over Fairleigh Dickinson. They come into tonight's game riding a three game winning streak, with road wins at Ohio and NJIT. Iona has scored an average of 76.8 points per game this season, just one more than Yale has averaged. They do have a significant advantage when it comes to free throw percentage though, hitting 78.6 percent from the charity stripe. That's roughly 10 percent higher than the Bulldogs. Both teams played the Albany Great Danes early in the season, and Yale lost by eight points while Iona lost by just two points in a game that went right down to the wire. Iona won eight of 12 home games last season, while Yale was just 7-7 on the road. Iona lost a couple of key players from last year's team, but they brought in a pair of senior transfers in Zach Lewis and TK Edogi. Lewis was the leading scorer for Canisius back in 2014-15, then played last year at UMASS after missing the previous season. Yale has not done well in previous non-conference games against teams from the Metro-Atlantic, failing to cover in eight of their last 11. Take IONA. GL, Jesse Schule
12-10-17	Gonzaga v. Washington OVER 153	Top	97-70	Win	100	16 h 39 m	Show
This is a 10* play on GONZ@WASH to go OVER the total. The Huskies are coming off an impressive upset win over #2 ranked Kansas, but they are a significant home underdog in tonight's game against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have dominated this series, winning three straight and nine of the last 10. History tells us that we can expect a high scoring game, as four of the last five have meetings have gone over. The total for tonight's game is almost 10 points lower than it was in all five of those previous meetings. Both teams come in averaging over 80 points per game, and Gonzaga has allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game as well. The Huskies have scored at least 70 points in all nine of their games so far, and they are averaging 83.7 points per game at home. The over is 17-8 in the Huskies last 25 non-conference games. Gonzaga has gone over in four straight non conference games, and seven of their last 10 when coming off a loss. The Huskies lost last year's game versus Gonzaga by a score of 98-71, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-10-17	Celtics -118 v. Pistons		91-81	Win	100	5 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are coming off a loss on the road at San Antonio, but they looked pretty good forcing the Spurs to hit a buzzer beater in a 105-102 win. They will play at Detroit this afternoon, with a chance to avenge a rare home loss to the Pistons earlier this year. The Pistons have really struggled of late, losing five straight. Kyrie Irving has scored an average of 28.9 points over his last 10 games, but he's taking off the protective mask here this afternoon. He scored 36 of 13-of-21 shooting in the loss to the Spurs, and he hit six three-point shots in that game. While the Pistons won the last meeting in this series, Boston had won four of the previous five. They have won four straight at The Palace, covering the spread in all four of those games. The Celtics haven't lost back to back games since their second game of the season, coming after Gordon Hayward was lost for the season in the season opener. They have covered the spread in six of their last seven when coming off a loss, and I expect them to be all fired up for a revenge game against the slumping Pistons. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-17	Illinois v. UNLV -190	Top	82-89	Win	100	14 h 25 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the UNLV Rebels. Illinois has lost three of it's last four games, and the Fighting Illini are coming off an unimpressive 64-57 win over Austin-Peavy, failing to cover as an 18-point favorite. They are 0-2 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. They don't do well against the tougher teams, covering in just three of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record. UNLV is off to a surprising start, with a 6-1 home record and a 7-2 overall record. That includes a blowout win over a very good Utah team, and a home loss to Arizona by just three points. This is one of the biggest teams in the country, and they rank 2nd in the nation averaging 46.4 rebounds per game. They also rank in the Top 5 in both points scored and assists per game. The Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 non-conference games. UNLV scored 92 points on 54.2 percent shooting in a home win over Oral Roberts in their last game, and they hit 9-of-17 three-point shots in the victory. Illinois has only won 5-of-21 road games over the last three seasons, and I don't like their chances here in Las Vegas. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-17	Wichita State v. Oklahoma State +5.5		78-66	Loss	-100	17 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Last weekend the Shockers played at Baylor, and I had Wichita State -2.5 in that game. They went on to win by a score of 69-62, scoring the game's final seven points. The game was tied at 62-62 with 2:50 seconds remaining, but Baylor was held scoreless the rest of the way. Now they are asked to cover twice as many points here in Stillwater, against a Cowboys team that is 6-0 at home, and has averaged 85.6 points per game in those wins. The Shockers were a 7.5 point favorite when they played Oklahoma State last season, but the Cowboys won that game 93-76. The Cowboys are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games. Oklahoma State is tough to beat in Stillwater, where their last loss came by a score of 90-85 to then #1 ranked Kansas. Senior guard Jeffrey Carroll scored a team high 22 points on 8-of-10 shooting in the win over the Shockers last year. He leads the team averaging 14.6 points per game so far in 2017. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-17	William & Mary v. Ohio State -14.5		62-97	Win	100	13 h 26 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. The Buckeyes have emerged as one of the top teams in the BIG10 so far, boasting a 7-3 record with quality wins over Wisconsin and Michigan. They host the College of William and Mary in a non conference game this Saturday, and this looks like a complete mismatch. The Buckeyes are asked to cover a double digit spread, but both of William and Mary's losses have come by double-digits. They opened the season with a 100-66 loss at High Point. William and Mary is a classic example of a Jeckyll and Hyde team, they play quite well at home, but are nothing short of brutal on the road. They lost 12-of-15 road games last season, and all five of their non-conference losses came in games decided by double digits. The Buckeyes have dominated against teams from the CAA, covering the spread in seven of their last nine such games. The Tribe aren't very strong defensively, allowing opponents to average 82.5 points while going 2-2 away from home. The Buckeyes held Wisconsin to just 58 points, and they gave up just 62 points in a home win over Michigan on Monday. This should be a blowout from start to finish. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-17	Eastern Washington v. San Francisco -7		71-81	Win	100	16 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Eastern Washington Eagles have lost four of their last five overall, and all four losses came by double digits. The San Francisco Dons have won four of six home games so far this season, and they have been a good bet when facing inferior opposition. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus teams with a losing record. They are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Eagles are a terrible team to back on the road, and they've failed to cover in six of their last seven away from home. They are also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non conference games, and 2-6 ATS in their last six overall. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-17	Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 221.5		107-104	Win	100	11 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on LAL@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Sixers beat the Lakers by a score of 115-109 in LA in November, and the Bookmakers are expecting another high scoring game here in Philly. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four games at Philly, and the one exception was a 113-111 Lakers win in overtime back in 2015. The Lakers have gone under in six straight road games against teams with a winning record. The Sixers have gone under in five of their last seven home games, and four of their last five overall. Lonzo Ball scored just 2 points on 1-of-9 shooting in 21 minutes in the last meeting. The Lakers have scored an average of 103.8 points per game in their last 10 losses. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule.
12-07-17	Valparaiso +16 v. Purdue		50-80	Loss	-103	7 h 36 m	Show
Valparaiso vs Purdue Free Pick December 7, 2017. The Crusaders are 8-0 so far this season, and last year they were 9-3 in non-conference games. The wins include an upset over #21 ranked Rhode Island, and a neutral site game against BYU. They will be getting a whopping 16 points in their game at Purdue tonight, despite the fact that the Boilermakers are coming off three consecutive games decided by single digits. Purdue failed to cover as a 14 point favorite in a 74-69 win over Northwestern. The Boilermakers were a 19 point favorite against Western Kentucky, and they lost that game outright. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 10 of it's last 14 road games, and the Crusaders are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Often the Boilermakers enjoy a size advantage with the 7-footer Isaac Haas and 6"8 forward Vince Edwards. The Crusaders have a pair of 7-footers that should allow them to compete on the boards. I recommend to take the points here. Take VALPO. GL, Jesse Schule
12-06-17	Kings v. Cavs OVER 210.5		95-101	Loss	-110	9 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on SAC@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs can tie a franchise record with their 13th consecutive win when they host the Sacramento Kings tonight. As easy as that may sound, the Kings have actually won two of their last three on the road, averaging 107 points in those games. One of those games was a 110-106 win at Golden State. The Cavs have scored more than 110 points in four of their last five games, and they've allowed over 100 points in 17 of their last 22 overall. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in each of the last four head to head meetings. The total in all four of those games was much higher than it is tonight. The Kings have gone over in 18 of their last 24 games versus Eastern Conference teams. The over is 8-1 in Cleveland's last nine games against the Western Conference. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
12-05-17	Wizards v. Blazers -5.5	Top	106-92	Loss	-109	13 h 27 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. The Blazers are badly in need of a solid performance after suffering a 123-116 home loss to an undermanned New Orleans Pelicans team over the weekend. Their problems pale in comparison to those of the visiting Washington Wizards. Without John Wall the Wizards were held to just 69 points in a historic loss at Utah last night. Playing on the road in the second game of a back to back without their best player, a similar result could be expected here tonight. The home team is 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings between the two teams, and this looks like a particularly favorable spot for the Blazers. While Portland is healthy, poor play in recent games is cause for concern. Tonight's game presents a golden opportunity for them to snap out of a funk, and they should be primed to take advantage of a hurting Wizards team. "I play against whoever's out there," said Damian Lillard. "I'm always up for a challenge. Everybody knows that. But I ain't crazy. If John Wall's not playing, I'm not going to be like, 'Man, I'm mad. I wish he was playing." The Blazers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four versus the NBA Southeast. Take Portland. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-17	Kansas State v. Vanderbilt -117		84-79	Loss	-117	5 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Kansas State Wildcats have covered the spread just once in seven games this season, but that's once more than the Vanderbilt Commodores who are 0-6 ATS this season, and 0-8 ATS in their last nine overall dating back to last season. Something has got to give here on Sunday, and with an experienced Vanderbilt team playing at home, I feel comfortable backing the favorite. Vanderbilt is 3-1 at home, with the one loss coming in overtime to #10 ranked USC. They have also lost to Seton Hall, Virginia and Belmont. Kansas State has cruised threw an easy schedule winning six of seven games. They have played just one team from a major conference, and that was a 92-90 loss to Arizona State. The Commodores have three seniors in their starting lineup, including last year's leading scorer Mathew Fisher-Davis. All three (Fisher-Davis, Roberson and LaChance) are scoring in double-figures. This will be the Wildcats first road game, and they were 6-6 on the road last year. Vanderbilt is 12-6 in it's last 18 home games. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule
12-02-17	Pelicans v. Blazers -3.5	Top	123-116	Loss	-110	17 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. The Blazers are coming off a home loss to Milwaukee, and they are now 7-3 in their last 10 overall. They have a home record of 7-5, and they sit in fourth place in the Western Conference. Portland will host the Pelicans tonight, and New Orleans has lost three straight. Anthony Davis left last night's game in Utah with a groin injury, and the Pelicans blew a lead in the fourth quarter losing by a score of 114-108. They have lost five of their last six visits to Portland, and the average margin of victory in those games was greater than 10 points. The prognosis for Davis is bleak, here is a quote from ESPN in the game recap of last night's game: "They eventually carried the All-Star off because he couldn't put any pressure on one of his legs. He was immediately placed in a wheelchair and taken to the training room." The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams, and New Orleans has failed to cover in five of their last six at Portland. The Pelicans are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on back to back nights. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule
12-02-17	Wichita State -145 v. Baylor		69-62	Win	100	6 h 31 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. I bet on the Shockers in their second game of the season, a blowout win at home over Charleston (81-63). Here is what I said prior to that game: "Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site." They have since won three of four, losing by a single point to #13 ranked Notre Dame. They Shockers come in averaging 90 points per game, shooting better than 50 percent from the field so far this season. They have killed the opposition on the boards, averaging 43.3 rebounds per game, while allowing just 24.3. Baylor is coming off a 76-63 loss to Xavier, and they were out-rebounded 38-28 in the loss. Look for the Shockers to own the boards here in Waco. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule
12-02-17	Colorado -155 v. Colorado State		63-72	Loss	-155	5 h 31 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. I bet on Colorado in their second game of the season, an 89-62 win over Denver. They have since won four in a row, moving to 6-0 on the season. Here is what I said about Colorado before the Denver game: "The Buffaloes were 10-3 in non conference play last year, but things went downhill from there. They lost their first seven games against PAC12 teams, finishing 7th in the conference standings. They finished last season strong, winning 9-of-12 prior to a loss to Arizona in the PAC12 Tournament. Despite finishing in the bottom half in the PAC12, they had a strong home record going 13-4, even more impressive when you consider the caliber of competition. They had three wins in eight games against ranked opponents. The Buffaloes might be set to improve this season, with three seniors in the starting lineup. One of those starters is 6"6 guard George King, who led the team in rebounds last season. He played just 19 minutes in the season opener, scoring 12 points on 4-of-7 shooting, and pulling in nine rebounds." The Buffaloes were a 13.5 point favorite at home versus rivals Colorado State last year, but they lost that game outright. They did win three of the previous four in this series, including a pair of road wins at Fort Collins. Colorado has been a good bet when playing the Rams, covering the spread in 13 of the last 17 head to head meetings. I think superior talent and a more experienced squad will be the difference here. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule
12-01-17	Spurs -175 v. Grizzlies		95-79	Win	100	8 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Memphis Grizzlies have lost eight in a row, and they have fired head coach David Fizdale. It isn't uncommon for teams to turn things around after a coaching change, but the Grizzlies have more than their fair share of problems. Starting PG Mike Conley has missed the last six games with an Achilles injury, and he won't be back anytime soon. Backup PG Mario Chalmers is banged up, listed as day to day. Chandler Parsons left the last game with a sore knee, and Brandon Wright has missed four games with a groin injury. The Grizzlies have lost five straight at San Antonio, and four of those give losses came by double digits. Despite the injury to Kawhi Leonard, the Spurs are 9-2 at home, and just three games back of first place Houston in the West. They welcomed back Tony Parker on Monday, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a losing record. Memphis has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and is 3-13 ATS in it's last 16 overall. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-17	Texas Tech v. Seton Hall		79-89	Loss	-110	19 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Red Raiders are one of several teams in the country that remain undefeated. Most of these teams will come crashing down to earth once the competition gets a little more challenging, but I like what I see from this Texas Tech team. They have covered the spread in all of their games so far, and they crushed a ranked Northwestern team in an 85-49 win at the Hall of Fame Tip-Off. Seton Hall has had a disappointing start, failing to cover in four of six games so far. They lost to an unranked Rhode Island team on a neutral court, and they have been absolutely brutal from the free throw line. They are hitting just 63 percent from the line this season, and just 57 percent in neutral site games. The Red Raiders are shooting for a higher percentage from the field, and significantly higher from beyond the arc. Texas Tech has held opponents to an average of just 55.3 points on 33.5 percent shooting. After losing to Texas Tech, Wildcats coach Chris Collins said: "They have great point, they are very well coached and they are a terrific defensive team. They have depth, so they can keep coming in with athletes in waves and have fresh bodies out there. I think they have the makings of having a great year." Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-29-17	Grizzlies v. Spurs -8	Top	95-104	Win	100	31 h 44 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Memphis Grizzlies have lost eight in a row, and they have fired head coach David Fizdale. It isn't uncommon for teams to turn things around after a coaching change, but the Grizzlies have more than their fair share of problems. Starting PG Mike Conley has missed the last six games with an Achilles injury, and he won't be back anytime soon. Backup PG Mario Chalmers is banged up, listed as day to day. Chandler Parsons left the last game with a sore knee, and Brandon Wright has missed four games with a groin injury. The Grizzlies have lost five straight at San Antonio, and four of those give losses came by double digits. Despite the injury to Kawhi Leonard, the Spurs are 9-2 at home, and just three games back of first place Houston in the West. They welcomed back Tony Parker on Monday, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a losing record. Memphis has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and is 3-13 ATS in it's last 16 overall. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule
11-29-17	Marshall v. William & Mary -4		104-114	Win	100	13 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on #CWM. The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule
11-28-17	Nuggets v. Jazz -120		77-106	Win	100	22 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee and Chicago, and I like their chances of making it three straight here tonight when they host Denver. The Nuggets are not a great road team, winning only three of nine road games so far. Their depth will be tested, with Paul Millsap out and Mason Plumlee and Wilson Chandler both listed as day to day. They have lost six straight at Utah dating back to 2015, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight at Salt Lake City. The Jazz are a great home team, and even with all the adversity they have faced this season they have won eight of 12 at home. Utah shot 58.6 percent from the field and made 18 three-pointers in a 121-108 win over the Bucks on Saturday. Denver has only covered the spread once in it's last five road games, and is 1-6 ATS when coming off a win. The Nuggets made just 57 percent of their free throws in a win over the Grizzlies on Friday, and they were out-scored in the second half of that game. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-28-17	Northwestern v. Georgia Tech -110		51-52	Win	100	19 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Georgia Tech. How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games. Northwestern will be playing it's first true road game, and they could struggle against a Georgia Tech defense that has allowed opponents to average just 60 points on 38 percent shooting so far this season. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-17	Florida v. Gonzaga +3		111-105	Loss	-110	12 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. I bet on Gonzaga last night in their blowout win over Ohio State, and I like them here as an underdog versus Florida. Here is what I said prior to last night's game: "Gonzaga is 3-0, and one of it's wins comes against a common opponent with Ohio State. The Buckeyes beat Texas Southern by 12 points at home, while Gonzaga beat the Tigers by 28 points, and scored 97 in a home victory in their season opener. Gonzaga has averaged 94 points per game, shooting 50 percent from the field and 38.5 percent from beyond the arc." The teams played in Florida last year in a neutral site game, and Gonzaga won 77-72. Josh Perkins led all scorers with 18 points in that game, and the junior guard scored 20 in last night's win over the Buckeyes. Senior forward Jonathon Williams scored 16 points in the win over Florida last year, and he went off for 21 points in 27 minutes against Ohio State last night. This looks like a good spot to take the Bulldogs getting points against a team that they know they can play with. Take GONZ. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-17	Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5.5	Top	92-104	Win	100	19 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Both the Nuggets and the Grizzlies are dealing with injuries to star players, as Paul Millsap and Mike Conley are each expected to be sidelined for several weeks. The Nuggets are still in fairly good shape, with plenty of depth at PF with players like Kenneth Faried, Trey Lyles and Juan Hernangomez. The same can't be said for the Grizzlies, who have lost six straight, four of those games without their starting PG. Backup Mario Chalmers struggled in a home loss to Dallas on Wednesday, shooting just 2-of-11 from the field. He's shooting just .358 percent from the field this season, and a woeful .208 percent from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies haven't covered the spread in any of their six losses during this losing skid, and this looks like a tough spot playing at altitude in Denver. The Nuggets are 7-2 at home, and are coming off a loss at Houston. They are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule
11-23-17	Ohio State v. Gonzaga -6		59-86	Win	100	21 h 8 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. The Ohio State Buckeyes are 4-0, but they travel to Portland to play the Bulldogs in their own backyard in a late game Thursday. Gonzaga is 3-0, and one of it's wins comes against a common opponent with Ohio State. The Buckeyes beat Texas Southern by 12 points at home, while Gonzaga beat the Tigers by 28 points, and scored 97 in a home victory in their season opener. Gonzaga has averaged 94 points per game, shooting 50 percent from the field and 38.5 percent from beyond the arc. This looks like a tough spot for the Buckeyes who are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, and 4-17 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. Gonzaga has seven players averaging in double figures, and that kind of depth could pose problems for the Buckeyes. Ohio State's starting center Micah Potter suffered an injury in Sunday's game against Northeastern, but he's expected to play here in Portland. Gonzaga won it's first 28 games last season, before suffering it's only regular season loss to BYU. The Bulldogs losing in the National Championship game 71-65 to North Carolina. Take GONZ. GL, Jesse Schule
11-23-17	Utah -135 v. UNLV		58-85	Loss	-135	12 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. The Utes are 4-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, here is what I said before that game: "The Utes won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." The Rebels finished dead last in the Mountain West last season, and they failed to post a winning record at home. They faced two PAC12 teams in non-conference play, losing to Arizona State and Oregon. UNLV has only covered once in it's last nine games against a team with a winning record, and has failed to cover in four straight versus teams from the PAC12. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-22-17	Bulls v. Jazz -8.5	Top	80-110	Win	100	22 h 48 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have struggled since the injury to Rudy Gobert, losing eight of their last 10 overall. They are in a good spot here tonight though, hosting the bottom feeders of the NBA (Chicago). The Bulls are playing on back to back nights, and also their third game in four nights. This looks like a throw away game for a team that is angling itself for a high lottery pick in the draft, rather than competing for a playoff spot. Rodney Hood scored 31 points on 12-of-21 shooting in a win over the Magic on Saturday, and he should prove to be a handful for a Bulls team that ranks 27th in the league in three-point defense. Some might expect the loss of shot blocking specialist Gobert to result in a more high scoring game, but according to the data that doesn't seem to be the case. Gobert only missed one game last season, but was sidelined for Utah's first three games in their first round playoff series versus the Clippers. Two of those three games saw less than 200 combined points. The previous season saw a stretch where Gobert missed 18 consecutive games, and in 13 of those games the combined score was less than 200 points. The Jazz are ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, holding opponents to an average of 101.1 points per game. I expect them to hold the Bulls to fewer than 90 points here in a double-digit home win. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-22-17	Utah -135 v. UNLV		58-85	Loss	-135	2 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. The Utes are 4-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, here is what I said before that game: "The Utes won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." The Rebels finished dead last in the Mountain West last season, and they failed to post a winning record at home. They faced two PAC12 teams in non-conference play, losing to Arizona State and Oregon. UNLV has only covered once in it's last nine games against a team with a winning record, and has failed to cover in four straight versus teams from the PAC12. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-21-17	Niagara v. BYU -12		88-95	Loss	-115	16 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. I bet on the Cougars in their last game, and they came up short in a home loss to the Texas Arlington Mavericks. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season" The Mavericks shot out the lights in that game, hitting 60 percent of their three points attempts. That proved to be the difference in the game, but I expect a much better result here for BYU tonight. Niagara is coming off back to back road losses by 20+ points at Massachusetts and Minnesota. The Purple Eagles have failed to cover in six straight against teams with a winning record, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. They have been out-rebounded by an average of more than 10 rebounds per game so far, and opponents have averaged 94.3 points on 51.2 percent shooting this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-21-17	Penn State v. Texas A&M -6		87-98	Win	100	8 h 31 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. Texas A&M has won all three games so far by double digits, and during that span they played #11 ranked West Virginia, and an Oklahoma State team that was 20-13 overall last season. They will play Penn State tonight, and the Nittany Lions are off to a 5-0 start after finishing with a losing record last season. Despite the fact that the Aggies have played a far tougher schedule, they are shooting for a significantly higher percentage from the field, three point range and the free throw line. Their biggest edge seems to be in three-point shooting, hitting 46.2 percent of their attempts from behind the arc this season. Sophomore guard Tony Carr leads Penn State in scoring averaging 19 points per game, and he's battling an ankle injury that has already caused him to miss one game. The Aggies return all five starters from last season's team. The Nittany Lions have failed to cover in four straight versus SEC teams, and this looks like a tough ask for an inferior Penn State team. Take AGGIES. GL, Jesse Schule
11-20-17	Utah +1.5 v. Ole Miss	Top	83-74	Win	100	14 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes. The Ole Miss Rebels remained undefeated after beating Georgia State by a score of 77-72 at home on Friday. They had to rally from behind, trailing by eight points at the half in that game. The Utes are 3-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, a blowout win at home over Missouri. Here is what I said before that game: "The Utes have won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." With so much experienced talent, I can't see why Utah would be an underdog in a late game in Las Vegas. The Utes have dominated on the boards, and they are shooting for a higher percentage both from the field and the free throw line than the Rebels. Utah is 4-0 ATS in it's last four games against SEC teams. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-19-17	Boise State +1 v. Iowa State	Top	64-75	Loss	-110	19 h 24 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos. I bet against Iowa State as a double-digit favorite in their win over Appalachian State, and the Cyclones won that game 104-98. Here is what I said before tip off: "Iowa State has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc." Jackson is second on the team in scoring, despite shooting just 34 percent from the field in four games. The Cyclones have allowed opponents to average 81 points per game on 47.1 percent shooting during a 2-2 start. Boise State comes in with a 4-0 record, and they have held opponents to 63 points per game on 37.7 percent shooting. Chandler Hutchison led the team in scoring last year, and the 6"7 guard is back for his senior year. Boise State has an experienced team that can play at a high level on both offense and defense. I like the Broncos to win big. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-17	Texas-Arlington v. BYU -6.5	Top	89-75	Loss	-110	24 h 59 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. They return home to face the University of Texas Arlington, and this game comes with a huge revenge angle. The Mavericks defeated BYU by a score of 105-89 in last year's NIT Tournament. That was one of two games last season where the Mavs scored over 100 points, and they shot over 55 percent from the field in the victory. They were nowhere near as impressive in an 85-80 home win over Loyola Marymount in their season opener. They were out-rebounded 39-29 in that game, and rallied late to come from behind and win. They lost their first three road games last season, two of those losses came by a double-digit margin. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-17	Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199		101-104	Loss	-110	13 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA for decades under head coach Greg Popovich, and nothing has changed this season. San Antonio ranks 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 98.9 points per game. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have become one of the league's top defensive teams in 2017. They rank 2nd in the NBA allowing just 97.1 points per game. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in seven of the last 10 meetings dating back to April of 2016. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in all five of those games. Oklahoma City has failed to reach the total in 13 of it's last 16 road games, while the Spurs have gone under in four of their last five versus Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-17	Heat v. Wizards -4.5		91-88	Loss	-110	10 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards have won four straight, and they sit in first place in the Southeast Division. They are coming off a 102-93 win at Miami on Wednesday, and they play the second game of this home and home series tonight at Capital One Arena. Washington's last three home games have been double-digit wins, and I expect another comfortable home win tonight. John Wall and Bradley Beal scored a combined 53 points in Wednesday's win, and Washington scored a whopping 29 points at the free throw line. "We have had success keeping teams under 100 points and getting wins," Beal said. "When we continue to have a defensive mindset, we're a really good team. We showed a glimpse of it (Wednesday)." The Heat have failed to cover in 12 of their last 16 overall, and in nine straight versus Eastern Conference teams. The Wizards have covered the spread in four straight when playing on one day's rest. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-17	Tulane v. Colorado State -4		80-53	Loss	-110	7 h 49 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. The Tulane Green Wave have won back to back games to start the season, which is a huge accomplishment for a team that won just six games all of last season. They lost seven of their first eight games last season, and five of those seven losses came by double digits. The Colorado State Rams won eight of their first 10 games last year, and finished second in the Mountain West. The Rams should have a huge advantage on the boards in this game, as they have averaged 47.5 rebounds per game so far. Their 6"11 sophomore forward Nico Carvacho pulled in a whopping 20 rebounds in 36 minutes in Tuesday's win over Winthrop. The Green Wave are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and I just can't see a team that lost 20 of it's first 24 games last season turning things around overnight. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-16-17	Xavier v. Wisconsin -1		80-70	Loss	-103	22 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. I had the Badgers in their last game, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Last year the Badgers finished second in the BIG10 with a record of 27-10. They had another strong run in the NCAA Tournament, losing in the Sweet 16 to Florida (by one point in overtime). They will have to replace four of five starters from last year's team, but only one of those players was really a star. Leading rebounder Ethan Happ is back for his junior year, and he scored 20 points and pulled in 11 rebounds in the Badgers season opener (85-50 win over SCST). Happ averaged 14 points per game last year, while Bronson Koenig led the team with 14.5 points per game. Koenig was a decent role player, but he was a terrible shooter at times. His replacement D'Mitrik Trice may well prove to be a better player. He shot 3-of-6 from beyond the arc, and scored 13 points in the first game of the season. Khalil Iverson, Andy Van Vliet and Brevin Pritzl will all move into the starting lineup, but all of them have experience playing a significant role last season. We can expect Wisconsin to be just as dominant on defense, and on the boards as they have been in recent seasons. The seven footer Van Vliet scored 18 points and pulled in eight rebounds in 22 minutes on Friday." The seven footer Van Vliet is 6-of-10 from beyond the arc in his first two games of the season, looking like the second coming off Frank Kaminsky. The sophomore guard D'Mitrik Trice has shot 5-for-8 from beyond the arc so far, and has scored 27 points on 11-of-16 shooting in two games. I like Wisconsin to move to 3-0 with a home win over #15 ranked Xavier. Take WISC. GL, Jesse Schule
11-16-17	Missouri v. Utah -154		59-77	Win	100	11 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. The Missouri Tigers finished dead last in the SEC last year, but they are hoping to show improvements this season. They are already off to a good start, coming into Utah with a 2-0 record. Their double-digit win over Iowa State looked pretty good, until the Cyclones lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. They face a far tougher test tonight on the road in Salt Lake City. The Utes have won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring. This will be Missouri's first road game of the season, and they were 0-9 on the road last season. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU. With so much experienced talent, I can't see the Utes slipping up at home here. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-16-17	Appalachian State +10.5 v. Iowa State		98-104	Win	100	12 h 58 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Appalachian State Mountaineers. The Mountaineers 2-0 start has come against inferior opponents, but they are bringing back plenty of talent from last year. They lost their first two games of last season to Tennessee and Davidson, but by just a combined 21 points. They will be a double-digit underdog here against Iowa State, a team that has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Junior guard Ronshad Shabazz has scored 49 points and has shot 6-of-11 from beyond the arc in two games this season. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc. The Cyclones haven't given any indication that they should be a favorite in this game, let alone a double-digit favorite. Take APP. GL, Jesse Schule
11-14-17	Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky		65-61	Loss	-110	13 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. Kentucky is coming off consecutive wins in close games against inferior opponents. The UK freshman will be thrown in the fire tonight, playing #4 ranked Kansas in Chicago. The Jayhawks beat Kentucky in Lexington last year by a score of 79-73, and three of their five starters this season played in that game. Coach John Calipari sounds like he might be over the moon if his team could even keep this game as close as it was last year: "This is going to be a really hard game for us to win," Calipari said. "Kansas is flying. They're shooting 25 to 30 threes. They're going to shoot them whether we're zone, man, triangle-and-two, box-and-one. They're taking 25 to 30 threes. "They'll still run some of their weave into pick-and-roll. They do a lot of pick-and-roll to try throw skip passes to shoot. I mean, they're who they always are." Sometimes coaches make statements like this to motivate their team, but I think Calipari is just being honest: "Guard defense is really ... what's the word above bad? Atrocious," Calipari said. "We're just getting beat on the dribble by everybody. "Defense starts on the ball. It always has. And if you can't guard the ball, it's hard to keep you in. Like I had to take Quade out. He gave up like five points in 18 seconds. You can't score enough to stay in the game. "It's going to be a process. We have to be able to stay in front of people. Freshmen get beat that way. That's what freshmen do." Take KU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-14-17	Denver v. Colorado -10		62-89	Win	100	12 h 45 m	Show
This is a 6* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. The Buffaloes were 10-3 in non conference play last year, but things went downhill from there. They lost their first seven games against PAC12 teams, finishing 7th in the conference standings. They finished last season strong, winning 9-of-12 prior to a loss to Arizona in the PAC12 Tournament. Despite finishing in the bottom half in the PAC12, they had a strong home record going 13-4, even more impressive when you consider the caliber of competition. They had three wins in eight games against ranked opponents. The Buffaloes might be set to improve this season, with three seniors in the starting lineup. One of those starters is 6"6 guard George King, who led the team in rebounds last season. He played just 19 minutes in the season opener, scoring 12 points on 4-of-7 shooting, and pulling in nine rebounds. Denver opened the season at home with a double-digit loss to UCI, shooting just 33 percent from the field in the defeat. The Pioneers only played one Power Five team last season, losing by 20+ at Texas A&M. These teams don't meet very often, but Colorado has won the last three meetings by double-digits, dating back to 2000. Denver has failed to cover in six of it's last seven overall, and I think this line should be significantly higher. Take COL GL, Jesse Schule
11-14-17	Michigan State +3 v. Duke	Top	81-88	Loss	-115	14 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans. For the second consecutive year, the Blue Devils will play the nation's #2 ranked team in their third game of the season. Last year #5 ranked Duke lost by a score of 74-63 to #2 ranked Kentucky in Chicago. This year the Blue Devils are ranked #1, despite a starting lineup that features four freshman. The new faces have impressed against lesser opponents, much like last season when Duke scored over 200 points in wins over Sienna and Bryant in it's first two games. The Blue Devils lost four of seven games against ranked teams last season, and crashed out of the NCAA Tournament in an 82-66 loss to Oregon. The #2 ranked Spartans are a more experienced squad, four of their five starters played in last year's 78-69 loss to Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Miles Bridges led the team in scoring last year, and he returns for his sophomore season. The 6"7 guard scored scored 20 points on 9-of-15 shooting, pulling in 10 rebounds in 27 minutes in the Spartans season opener. While Duke tops the pre-season polls, there are plenty of reasons for skepticism. This is exactly why the ESPN BPI (Basketball Power Index) has them ranked 14th. It's not the talented freshman in the starting lineup that are the real concern, it's the lack of returning talent that is coming off the bench. I tend to agree with the BPI, and I think this lack of experience really has the potential to be a problem here early in the season in such a high profile game. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-13-17	Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208	Top	109-98	Win	100	17 h 40 m	Show
10*
11-13-17	Coll Of Charleston v. Wichita State -16.5	Top	63-81	Win	100	19 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. They play tonight at home against the College of Charleston, a team who's first three losses last year came by an average margin of 21 points. They didn't look very impressive beating Sienna in their season opener. They shot just 32.9 percent from the field, and 20 percent from beyond the arc in that game. Charleston's leading rebounder, and second leading scorer from last season missed the game against Sienna with a knee injury. The status of All-CAA forward Jarrell Brantley for tonight's game is still unknown. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-12-17	Yale v. Wisconsin -14	Top	61-89	Win	100	14 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. Last year the Badgers finished second in the BIG10 with a record of 27-10. They had another strong run in the NCAA Tournament, losing in the Sweet 16 to Florida (by one point in overtime). They will have to replace four of five starters from last year's team, but only one of those players was really a star. Leading rebounder Ethan Happ is back for his junior year, and he scored 20 points and pulled in 11 rebounds in the Badgers season opener (85-50 win over SCST). Happ averaged 14 points per game last year, while Bronson Koenig led the team with 14.5 points per game. Koenig was a decent role player, but he was a terrible shooter at times. His replacement D'Mitrik Trice may well prove to be a better player. He shot 3-of-6 from beyond the arc, and scored 13 points in the first game of the season. Khalil Iverson, Andy Van Vliet and Brevin Pritzl will all move into the starting lineup, but all of them have experience playing a significant role last season. We can expect Wisconsin to be just as dominant on defense, and on the boards as they have been in recent seasons. The seven footer Van Vliet scored 18 points and pulled in eight rebounds in 22 minutes on Friday. The Badgers host the Yale Bulldogs, who are coming off a blowout loss at Creighton. The Badgers won their first six home games last season by an average margin of well over 20 points per game. That includes wins over Syracuse and Oklahoma. Three of their first four home games in conference play were 20+ point wins against Rutgers, Penn State and Ohio State. I think it's asking way too much from the Bulldogs to keep this game close. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-17	Nets v. Blazers -8.5		101-97	Loss	-105	18 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Portland Blazers. After winning the first two games of this home stand, the Blazers fell 98-97 to the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. They have had two days to rest ahead of tonight's game versus Brooklyn, and this looks like a perfect opponent for the Blazers to lay a beating on. The Nets have lost two of three on this road trip, with the average margin of defeat in those games being 10 points. They are dealing with some injuries to key players, and with the second game of a back to back in Utah tomorrow, this figures to be a tough spot. The Nets are 1-5 straight up on the road, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams from the Northwest. The Blazers have won four straight versus Brooklyn, covering the spread in three of those four wins. Portland has had a challenging schedule, but when they have faced inferior opponents they have been a good bet. The Blazers are 9-3-1 in their last 13 versus teams with a sub .500 record. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-17	Heat v. Jazz UNDER 196.5		84-74	Win	100	17 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MIA@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and even though we have a lower number here tonight, I am coming back with another play on the under. These two teams have gone over in four of the last seven meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact six of those seven games saw a total of 190 or lower. The Heat have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 road games, while the under is 5-1 in Utah's last six when playing on two day's rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-17	Heat v. Jazz -160		84-74	Loss	-160	17 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and I expect another low scoring game here tonight. I do expect a solid effort from the home team, and I think there is great value getting the Jazz as just a slight favorite. The Heat are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win, while the Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-17	Bucks v. Spurs -4.5		94-87	Loss	-110	17 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. Over the years we've seen coach Popovich get the most of his team, even when he doesn't have all his stars available. That has been the case here again in 2017, as the Spurs are just 1.5 games out of first place in the Western Conference. They are 5-1 at home, and are just a small favorite against an Eastern Conference team that comes in with a losing record. Sure the Milwaukee Bucks have an emerging superstar, and some would say they have underachieved, but I still think they are in over their heads playing here in San Antonio. Since 2012, the Spurs are 9-1 straight up against Milwaukee, and 4-1 at home. They are 7-2 ATS overall in the nine wins. They have won three straight by a combined 37 point margin. LaMarcus Aldridge has scored over 20 points in three of his last four games, and he's doing a fine job of carrying the load in the absence of Kawhi Leonard. The Bucks might be welcoming a new player to the lineup, as Eric Bledsoe is expected to be ready to make his debut for the team. It takes time to develop chemistry, and it's unlikely that Bledsoe will make a positive impact immediately. The Bucks have failed to cover in four straight versus teams with a winning record, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus Western Conference teams. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-17	Hawks v. Pistons UNDER 208		104-111	Loss	-110	15 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ATL@DET to go UNDER the total. The Hawks have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they've averaged just 100 points per game in those losses. They are playing at the Palace in Detroit tonight, and I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here. The Pistons are sitting in first place in the Central Division, and it's no thanks to their 16th ranked offense. Detroit has been taking care of business on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to average just over 100 points per game. They rank 8th overall in scoring defense, and they are 5-1 at home. They've held their opponents under 100 points in five of their six home games so far. These two teams have gone over the total in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. That results in a much higher number here for tonight's game. The last three times these teams faced each other, the boomakers set the total below 200. The under 15-7-2 in Hawks last 24 road games, and they have several key players nursing injuries heading into tonight's game. The Pistons have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-17	Elon +20 v. Duke		68-97	Loss	-115	6 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. So #1 ranked Duke opens the season against Elon, and the Blue Devils are asked to win by 20 points. The bookmakers are well aware that bettors will be eager to back the favorite here, and for that reason this line appears to be grossly inflated. If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup). Duke is loaded will talented freshmen, and only Grayson Allen remains from last year's starting five. The Blue Devils will no doubt be a contender, but it will likely take a few weeks for the freshmen to get settled in. Duke has won 17 straight season openers, but they weren't all blowouts. I'll take the points. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-17	Cavs v. Rockets -5		113-117	Loss	-115	16 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets scored 122 points in an upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but then went on to score less than 100 points in each of their next seven games. They come into tonight's home game against the Cavs off a season high 137 point performance against the Jazz (one of the top defensive teams in the league). James Harden scored a career high 56 points, and was 7-of-8 from three-point range. The Rockets lead the league in three-point attempts, as well as made three-point shots. This could spell trouble for a Cleveland team that ranks dead last in the NBA in three-point defense. They have allowed opponents to average almost 42 percent from beyond the arc. The Rockets average over 44 attempted three-point shots per game. Cleveland has been just brutal on defense, even in the games they have recently won. Opponents have scored 110 points or more in each of the Cavs last nineH games. That includes the Bulls, Nets, and Hawks (the three bottom teams in the Eastern Conference). Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings at Houston, including a 117-112 loss in Texas last year. They have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 versus Western Conference teams. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-09-17	Cavs v. Rockets OVER 228		113-117	Win	100	16 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CLE@HOU to go Over the total. The Rockets scored 122 points in an upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but then went on to score less than 110 points in each of their next seven games. They come into tonight's home game against the Cavs off a season high 137 point performance against the Jazz (one of the top defensive teams in the league). James Harden scored a career high 56 points, and was 7-of-8 from three-point range. The Rockets lead the league in three-point attempts, as well as made three-point shots. This could spell trouble for a Cleveland team that ranks dead last in the NBA in three-point defense. They have allowed opponents to average almost 42 percent from beyond the arc. The Rockets average over 44 attempted three-point shots per game. Cleveland has been just brutal on defense, even in the games they have recently won. Opponents have scored 110 points or more in each of the Cavs last nine games. That includes the Bulls, Nets, and Hawks (the three bottom teams in the Eastern Conference). Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings at Houston, including a 117-112 loss in Texas last year. They have gone over in each of their last five games versus Western Conference teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-08-17	Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 229		101-125	Win	100	17 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MIN@GS to go Under the total. The Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, scoring over 118 points per game. They are coming off a 97-80 win over the Miami Heat, marking the first time they won a game without reaching 100 points since April of 2016. It was a dominant performance defensively, blocking 10 shots and holding the heat to 36.1 percent shooting. Tonight's game against Minnesota will feature two of the league's premier shot blockers, as both Kevin Durant and Karl Anthony Towns are ranked in the Top 5 in blocks per game. Minnesota is coming off five straight wins, holding opponents to less than 100 points in each of their last three. They have proven to be a tough matchup for the Warriors, who have only covered in one of their last 10 versus the Wolves. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams, and seven of those 10 games went under. I expect both these teams to continue a trend of strong defensive play, in what should be a competitive game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-08-17	Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 210		96-107	Win	100	14 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on LAL@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Lakers are 5-5, and the hype continues to build. They say showtime is back, but is it really? LA will play it's next four games on the road, after playing seven of 10 at home. Rook PG Lonzo Ball is getting mixed reviews, but one thing is for sure, his shot still needs plenty of work. The #2 overall pick is just 6-of-28 from the field in his last two games, hitting just one of 11 three-point attempts. The young Lakers will face the NBA's #1 ranked scoring defense, as the Celtics are holding opponents to just over 94 points per game. Boston has won nine straight since opening the season with back to back losses, and I don't expect a let down here at home in such a high profile game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings, and Boston has gone under in four of it's last five versus Western Conference teams. I think the total here looks a bit too high. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-17	76ers v. Jazz UNDER 205		104-97	Win	100	14 h 22 m	Show
This is a 5* play on PHI@UTAH to go Under the total. The Jazz defeated Portland by a score of 112-103 last week. That game was tied 94-94 at the end of the fourth quarter, but overtime pushed the total over the number. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Jazz are still the best defensive team in the NBA, and they are 4-0 at home so far. Their last home game was a 104-89 win over the Dallas Mavericks. They trailed Dallas 53-44 at halftime, but they took over in the third quarter, allowing the Mavs to score just 15 points. They might have let their guard down early in that game, but they likely know they need to concentrate for a full four quarters here against the Blazers." They have since lost to Houston and Toronto, going over the total now in three straight. The result is a higher total for tonight's home game against Philly. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two teams, and the listed total was under 200 in each of the last six of those games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-17	Raptors v. Jazz -120		109-100	Loss	-120	21 h 1 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have won three straight, and they are 5-0 at home. They rank 2nd in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing under 95 points per game. They haven't allowed 95 points (in regulation) in any of their last three games. The Jazz host Toronto tonight, and the Raptors are in a tough spot, playing their final game of a six game road trip to the West Coast. They had won back to back games in LA and Portland, before getting blown out in Denver. They gave up less than 100 points in wins over the Lakers and Blazers, but allowed over 100 points in three quarters against the Nuggets. The Jazz are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest, and the under is 7-2-1 in Jazz last 10 games following a straight up win. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in 23 of their last 31 road games. I predict the Jazz win a defensive battle here at home. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-17	Raptors v. Jazz UNDER 196		109-100	Loss	-110	21 h 1 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TOR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz have won three straight, and they are 5-0 at home. They rank 2nd in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing under 95 points per game. They haven't allowed 95 points (in regulation) in any of their last three games. The Jazz host Toronto tonight, and the Raptors are in a tough spot, playing their final game of a six game road trip to the West Coast. They had won back to back games in LA and Portland, before getting blown out in Denver. They gave up less than 100 points in wins over the Lakers and Blazers, but allowed over 100 points in three quarters against the Nuggets. The Jazz are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest, and the under is 7-2-1 in Jazz last 10 games following a straight up win. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in 23 of their last 31 road games. I predict the Jazz win a defensive battle here at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-17	Heat v. Nuggets -5	Top	94-95	Loss	-110	21 h 2 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are coming off a 129-111 home win over the Raptors, and they have won three of their last four overall. They are 2-1 at home, and they host the Miami Heat tonight, a team that is winless on the road. The Heat have played six of their seven games so far at home, winning just three of those games. Denver is a notoriously difficult place to play, especially when coming from the East Coast. The Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at Denver, and 6-16 ATS in the last 22 meetings overall. Hassan Whiteside missed five games due to a knee injury, but returned to score 13 points and pull in 14 rebounds in 26 minutes in a 97-91 win over Chicago. The Heat still failed to cover, beating the worst team in the NBA by just six points at home. Miami is burying bettors, failing to cover in any of their games so far this season. Normally that would result in better value that a 5-point spread on the road against a team that is considered a playoff contender in the superior Western Conference. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-17	Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 196.5		103-112	Loss	-110	22 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are still the best defensive team in the NBA, and they are 4-0 at home so far. Their last home game was a 104-89 win over the Dallas Mavericks. They trailed Dallas 53-44 at halftime, but they took over in the third quarter, allowing the Mavs to score just 15 points. They might have let their guard down early in that game, but they likely know they need to concentrate for a full four quarters here against the Blazers. Portland has won two of three road games, holding opponents to under 100 points in both those victories. The Blazers have been solid defensively so far, holding opponents to 98.3 points per game, the 6th best in the league. These two teams have played three times in 2017, going under in all three of those games. The Blazers failed to reach 90 points in each of their two games at Salt Lake City during that span. The under is 5-2 in Utah's last seven home games, and Portland has failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine when coming off a double-digit loss. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-31-17	Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 213.5	Top	110-91	Win	100	22 h 11 m	Show
This is a 10* play on OKC@MIL to go UNDER the total. The Oklahoma City Thunder are not the same team they were a year ago. So far this season they've been far better defensively, holding opponents to just 96.5 points per game. They play a tough road game at Milwaukee tonight, and the Bucks have won three of their last four. These teams played twice last year, and both games went under the total. In fact, neither of those two games saw a combined 200 points. The under trend goes back several seasons, with seven of the last nine head to head meetings going under the total. Russell Westbrook scored just 12 points on 5-of-13 shooting in a 101-69 win at Chicago on Saturday. He's really been shooting poorly from the free throw line this season, hitting just over 60 percent. In fact both these teams are below league average in free throw percentage, and the Thunder rank 25th overall in that category. The Bucks have gone under in six of their last eight home games, and they've failed to reach the total in four straight home meetings versus Oklahoma City. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-30-17	Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 192		89-104	Loss	-105	18 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on DAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are missing Gordon Hayward, and coming into tonight's home game against Dallas they rank 29th in the league in scoring averaging just 94.5 points per game. The good news is, they are 3-0 at home, and they are still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. The Jazz rank 2nd overall in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 93.8 points per game. They have allowed just 87.6 points per game at home. The Mavericks are winless on the road, and they rank 25 in the NBA in scoring, averaging just over 99 points per game. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and the under is 5-0-1 in Utah's last six overall. These two teams have gone over the total in five of the last six head to head meetings, but two of those games went to overtime. The total for tonight's game is also higher than it was in five of the last six meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-30-17	76ers v. Rockets UNDER 216.5		115-107	Loss	-110	22 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on PHI@HOU to go UNDER the total. The Rockets beat the Sixers by a score of 105-104 last week, and I bet the under in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams." The Rockets have continued to trend under, but the total for tonight's home game remains the same as the last meeting between these two teams. I expect a similar result. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-30-17	Spurs v. Celtics -165		94-108	Win	100	16 h 27 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Spurs are really hurting, playing without their MVP Kawhi Leonard, and veteran PG Tony Parker. They are coming off back to back road losses, and tonight's game in Boston will be their second of a back to back, and third game in four nights. These have traditionally been spots where coach Popovich has opted to rest key players, something that is no longer an option according to NBA rules. Veteran forward Pau Gasol logged 30 minutes last night, and he's likely to be used sparingly here in Boston. The Celtics have won four straight, and they've allowed opponents to average just 90 points in those games. The Spurs haven't lost in Boston since 2011, and San Antonio has won 11 straight versus the Celtics. This could provide additional motivation for the home team, and they appear to have a golden opportunity to snap that streak. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
10-29-17	Magic v. Hornets UNDER 212		113-120	Loss	-105	12 h 57 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ORL@CHA to go Under the total. The Orlando Magic are off to a surprising start, and they come into tonight's game at Charlotte looking for their fourth consecutive win. They could be due to suffer a bit of a let down, coming off a huge 114-87 win over the Spurs. They shot 57.1 percent from the field, and 47.8 percent from beyond the arc in the victory. Those numbers are obviously not sustainable, and Charlotte ranks among the top teams in the NBA, holding opponents to just 99.6 points per game so far. Dwight Howard leads the NBA in rebounds, and ranks among the league leaders in blocked shots. The Magic are 0-4 in their last four visits to Charlotte, and they failed to score 100 points in three of those games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all four of those games, and Charlotte has gone under in seven straight. The Hornets have played more than their fair share of low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 16 of their last 22 when playing teams in their own division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-28-17	Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 208		95-87	Win	100	22 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on DET@LAC to go UNDER the total. I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 104-103 win at Portland. Blake Griffin hit a buzzer beater three-pointer for the win. Here is what I had to say prior to the game: "The new look Clippers are off to a decent start, and most impressive has been their defense. They've allowed an NBA best 88 points per game so far. While we have seen the Clippers play their fair share of high scoring games in previous seasons, this year's squad appears to be designed to play a different brand of basketball. With Patrick Beverly at PG instead of Chris Paul, and J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford no longer coming off the bench, we shouldn't expect to see the same "Lob City" offense." The Clippers host the Detroit Pistons, another solid defensive team. This game will feature two of the league's worst free-throw shooters in DeAndre Jordan and Andre Drummond. These two teams have gone over the total in four of the last six meetings, but the total in those games was much lower than the total for tonight's contest. The Clippers have failed to reach the total in five of their last six at Staples Center. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-26-17	Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 216	Top	104-103	Win	100	33 h 15 m	Show
10*
10-25-17	Rockets v. 76ers UNDER 221		105-104	Win	100	12 h 30 m	Show
This is a 5* play on HOU@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-24-17	Pelicans v. Blazers -4.5		93-103	Win	100	15 h 39 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Portland TrailBlazers. The Blazers are off to a solid start, winning two of three on the road to open the season. They are coming off a 113-110 loss at Milwaukee, in a game decided by a buzzer beater. They play their home opener against the New Orleans Pelicans, who have won just one of three games, and nearly blew a big lead in LA on Sunday. Everyone knows that Portland is a strong home team, but their streak of 16 consecutive wins in their home opener is an NBA record. The Pelicans were just 13-28 on the road last season, and they've failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven at Portland. The Blazers aren't known for their defense, but currently they rank in the Top 5 in the league allowing just 95 points per game. The Pelicans have allowed over 114 points per game so far, ranking near the bottom of the league in most defensive categories. Damian Lillard has owned the Pelicans, averaging over 27 points in his last five games against them. I expect the Blazers to make it 17 straight wins in their home opener. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule
10-23-17	76ers v. Pistons UNDER 214.5	Top	97-86	Win	100	20 h 55 m	Show
This is a 10* play on PHI@DET to go UNDER the total. The Pistons are off to a solid 2-1 start, and they've been strong on defense allowing just over 104 points per game. They host the Sixers tonight, and despite so much optimism in Philly, this team is still a long way away from being competitive. The 0-3 Sixers have failed to score 100 points in back to back double digit losses. They hit just 39 percent from the field in a loss at Toronto on Saturday, and they could struggle against this gritty Detroit defense. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the league in defending the three-point shot, and the Sixers rank 26th overall in field goal percentage. These teams played three times last season, failing to reach the total in two of those three contests. The total for tonight's game is actually higher than it was in any of those three previous meetings. The Pistons have gone under in six straight home games against teams below .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Suns v. Clippers UNDER 217.5	Top	88-130	Loss	-110	14 h 0 m	Show
This is a 10* play on PHO@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Suns played a high scoring game at home last night, coming up just short in a heart-breaking two point (132-130) loss to the Lakers. They will play at the Staples Center against the other team from Los Angeles tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for the Suns. They have failed to cover in three of their last four against the Clippers in LA, and they failed to score 100 points in all four of those games. The Clippers are a different team without Chris Paul, but so far the most important thing about his replacement (Patrick Beverly) has been his defense. After shutting down Lavar Ball in the Clippers season opener, some media personalities were calling him "the best defensive PG in the NBA". The Suns have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss, and I expect this game to be decided midway through the third quarter. The backups might get some minutes in garbage time here, and it's going to be tough for these teams to reach such a high total in a lopsided game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-20-17	Blazers v. Pacers OVER 221.5	Top	114-96	Loss	-110	29 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on POR@IND to go OVER the total. The Indiana Pacers scored 140 points in their season opener, despite shooting just 9-of-34 from beyond the arc. They had eight players score in double figures, and the played at an incredible fast pace. They host the Portland Trailblazers on Friday night, and Portland is a team that is happy to run with the likes of Indiana. The total for this game is a little higher than it has been in previous meetings, but these teams combined to score over 225 points in three of the last four meetings. The Blazers scored 124 points, and shot 14-of-24 from three point range in their season opener versus Phoenix. CJ McCollum sat out the season opener due to a suspension, but he should be ready to go here in Indiana. The Pacers beat the Blazers 118-111 at home last December (the most recent meeting), and four of the Blazers last five at Indiana have gone over the total. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
10-18-17	Nuggets v. Jazz -130		96-106	Win	100	19 h 1 m	Show
8*