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Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-20-18	George Mason v. Duquesne -5	Top	89-95	Win	100	6 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Duquesne Dukes. Needless to say, I was a little surprised that the Dukes didn't play better on the road at Saint Louis in their last game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Dukes are 4-1 in the Atlantic 10 so far. The Dukes rank 25th nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 64.2 points per game. The Dukes have won five of the last seven meetings between the two schools, and the most recent meeting was a 72-71 win for the Bilikens in last year's conference tournament. Reggie Agbeko, Mike Crawford and Elliot Welmer combined to score 48 of the Bilikens 72 points in that game. Agbeko and Crawford have played out their eligibility, while Welmer is sidelined with a foot injury. Mike Lewis led the Dukes with 22 points, and he comes into tonight's game off back to back 20+ point performances. The Dukes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the Atlantic 10, and I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here as they are getting points against the cellar dwellers of the conference." They are back at home tonight, hosting George Mason. The Patriots are coming off a double digit loss to George Washington, and they are 2-4 on the road. They have scored just 68.7 points per game on the road, and they may struggle to hit that number tonight against a Dukes team that allows opponents to average just 63.2 points per game at home. The Dukes won their last home game against George Mason by a score of 62-53, and a similar result is expected here tonight. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus Duquesne. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule
01-20-18	Notre Dame +7 v. Clemson		58-67	Loss	-108	15 h 10 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. The Irish have lost three straight, but by an average margin of just four points. They were without both their top two scorers for two of those three games, but Matt Farrell came back to score 23 points in an overtime loss to Louisville on Tuesday. They are getting a bunch of points here on the road at Clemson, and these two teams have a history of playing close games. The Irish have won each of the last five meetings dating back to 2014, and all of those games were decided by seven points or less. The Tigers have won three of their last five games overall, and two of their three wins during that span came in games decided by five points or less. The stats for each team are shockingly similar. Both teams have allowed an average of exactly 65.6 points per game, while Clemson has scored 77.6 points per game (0.2 PPG more than the Irish). The Tigers have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record, while the Irish are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Take Notre Dame. GL, Jesse Schule
01-20-18	Pittsburgh v. Duke UNDER 153		54-81	Win	100	8 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on PIT@DUKE to go UNDER the total. The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest favorites on the board today, but I have my sights set on the total here in their home game versus Pittsburgh. These two teams played at Pittsburgh just over a week ago, and Duke won by a score of 87-52. The game fell well short of the total of 155, and these two teams haven't combined to score 150 points in any of the last six meetings dating back to 2007. The Panthers can't score, they come into this game averaging just 53.8 points over their last five games. As bad as they are offensively, they are actually above average defensively. They have allowed an average of 72 points per game on the road, and they have actually given up fewer points than Duke over the last five overall. Not one of Pittsburgh's last 10 games has seen a combined 150 points, and that includes blowout losses at Virginia Tech, Louisville and Syracuse. The under is 23-6 in Pittsburgh's last 29 road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-19-18	Suns v. Nuggets OVER 218		108-100	Loss	-106	17 h 16 m	Show
8*
01-19-18	Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 137.5		50-75	Win	100	23 h 36 m	Show
8*
01-19-18	Iona v. Monmouth OVER 153		76-73	Loss	-110	15 h 12 m	Show
8*
01-18-18	Wolves +5.5 v. Rockets		98-116	Loss	-108	10 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota T-Wolves. The Houston Rockets have lost eight of their last 13 games, and they have played their last seven games without leading scorer James Harden. They are hoping Harden can return to action for tonight's home game against Minnesota, but the news isn't all good for Houston. Trevor Ariza and Gerald Green will not play, serving suspensions stemming from a brawl in the Clippers locker room after a 113-102 loss at LA on Monday. Even if Harden plays, we should not expect him to be at full speed. He's going to be on a strict cap of 25 minutes per game until he gets back to full strength. The Rockets have been a bad bet in previous meetings with Minnesota, failing to cover in four straight and eight of the last 10. The Wolves come in playing their best basketball, winning five straight prior to suffering a bit of a let down in Orlando Tuesday. Minnesota has covered the spread in five straight visits to Houston. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule
01-18-18	St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -7.5		74-71	Loss	-101	14 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. Gonzaga lost a ton of talent from last year's squad that lost to North Carolina in the Championship Game, but not much has changed in Spokane. The Bulldogs are 6-0 in the WCC, tied with St. Mary's. The Gaels will visit the McCarthey Athletic Center tonight, and this is a venue where they haven't had a lot of recent success. They lost their last game here by a score of 74-56 last March, and they have lost the last four in this series by double digits. Gonzaga still looks like the team to beat in the WCC, they are 10-0 at home, and have scored an average of more than 90 points in those games. St. Mary's comes in riding a 12 game winning streak, and an overall record of 17-2. As is normally the case, their numbers are a little suspect due to a questionable strength of schedule. The Gaels haven't faced any ranked teams so far, and their two losses to Washington State and Georgia don't inspire a lot of confidence that they can compete with the better teams in the country. Gonzaga has wins over Ohio State, Creighton, and Texas. They have three losses, but two of those came against Top 10 ranked teams (Villanova and Florida). The Gaels have failed to cover in six of their last seven at Spokane. Take GONZ. GL, Jesse Schule
01-18-18	Minnesota v. Maryland UNDER 150		66-77	Win	100	13 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MINN@MD to go UNDER the total. I bet on under 148 in Minnesota's last game, and they lead 74-71 at Penn State with just three seconds on the clock. A buzzer beater three-pointer sent that game to overtime, killing my bet on the under. The Gophers play at Maryland tonight, and the total for this game is a little higher than it was in the game against Penn State. Maryland is coming off a 68-67 loss at Michigan, but the Terps are 11-1 at home. They have been great defensively, allowing opponents to average just 60.9 points per game at home. Before the win at Penn State, the Gophers had gone under in five straight, and seven of their previous eight. They are still missing two starters, including their second leading scorer Amir Coffey. These two teams have gone over the total in two of the last three games at College Park, but tonight's total is much higher than it was in those previous contests. Only one of those three games saw a combined 150 points scored. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-18-18	Denver v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 152		80-86	Win	100	8 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on DEN@NEOM to go OVER the total. The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks are an interesting team. They come into tonight's home game against Denver with a terrible overall record of 6-14, yet they score an awful lot of points. They have averaged 82.2 points per game over their last five, but they lost three of those games. Their problem seems to be on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to average over 87 points per game. They host the Denver Pioneers tonight, and previous games between these two teams have been high scoring. Last February the Mavericks won at Denver by a score of 84-83, and they won at home by a score of 97-88 last January. The Mavericks have seen at least 150 combined points in each of their last 10 games overall. They have failed to reach the total in eight of their last nine home games, but the number for tonight's game is significantly lower than it had been in any of those previous contests. I expect both teams to score 75+ here in Omaha. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-18-18	76ers v. Celtics UNDER 211	Top	89-80	Win	100	9 h 8 m	Show
This is a 10* play on PHI@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Sixers and the Celtics played in London a week ago, and Boston won that game by a score of 114-103. It was a relatively high scoring game, especially for Boston, the NBA's #1 ranked team in scoring defense. These teams had played twice before the game in London, and both those games went under. Both teams have injury concerns, with the Sixers losing J.J. Redick to a broken leg, and the Celtics potentially could be without Kyrie Irving. Boston's leading scorer missed practice because of a sore shoulder, and his status is still in question. He missed three games previously this season, and all three of those games saw the total fall short of 200 points. Redick scored 22 points in the loss in London, and he is second on the team in scoring averaging over 17 points per game. The last time he sat out, Philly lost by a score of 102-86 at Toronto. I expect similar score here at The Garden tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-17-18	Nuggets v. Clippers -145		104-109	Win	100	12 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the LAC. The fact that the Clippers have battled so many injuries, and still they are 13-9 at home speaks volumes about how competitive this team is. The Nuggets have not been very competitive away from home, losing 16 of 23 games. They play their second game of a back to back after just barely hanging on to beat Dallas last night. DeAndre Jordan has missed the Clippers last two games, but that didn't stop them from beating the Kings and Rockets. In fact LA is riding a five game winning streak, powered by Blake Griffin and Lou Williams. The duo combined for 60 points in the win over Houston. The home team has covered the spread in each of the last five head to head meetings in this series, a trend that seems likely to be extended tonight. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule
01-17-18	Knicks v. Grizzlies -125		99-105	Win	100	15 h 2 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Knicks are coming off a 119-104 win over Brooklyn, but they had lost nine of their previous 11. They have been brutal on the road all year, with a record of 5-15, and they have lost six straight visits to the Music City. The Grizzlies have faced plenty of adversity this season, dealing with more than their fair share of injuries. They come into tonight's game as winners of three of their last four home games, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 overall. This Memphis team is still one of the top defensive teams in the league, ranking seventh in scoring defense. The Grizzlies lost 99-88 at New York earlier this season, setting up a revenge spot here at home tonight. The Knicks haven't won at Memphis since 2011, and the average margin of defeat in those six games has been 11.5 points. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule
01-17-18	Duquesne +4.5 v. St. Louis		63-76	Loss	-108	21 h 41 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Saint Louis Bilikens have lost four of their last five games, and their only win during that span came against the 4-13 Richmond Spiders. They host Duquesne tonight, and the Dukes are 4-1 in the Atlantic 10 so far. The Dukes rank 25th nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 64.2 points per game. The Dukes have won five of the last seven meetings between the two schools, and the most recent meeting was a 72-71 win for the Bilikens in last year's conference tournament. Reggie Agbeko, Mike Crawford and Elliot Welmer combined to score 48 of the Bilikens 72 points in that game. Agbeko and Crawford have played out their eligibility, while Welmer is sidelined with a foot injury. Mike Lewis led the Dukes with 22 points, and he comes into tonight's game off back to back 20+ point performances. The Dukes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the Atlantic 10, and I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here as they are getting points against the cellar dwellers of the conference. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule
01-17-18	Valparaiso v. Missouri State UNDER 139.5		57-64	Win	100	10 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on VALPO@MOSU to go UNDER. The Missouri State Bears beat Valparaiso by a score of 67-50 just a few weeks ago. Despite the fact that the two teams combined to score just 117 points, the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in the previous contest. In fact it's higher than it has been in any of the previous five head to head meetings. The Bears have held opponents to just 61.8 points per game on 37.2 percent shooting at home, while the Crusaders have averaged fewer than 68 points per game on the road. Valparaiso has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 14 overall, while the Bears have gone under in six of their last seven overall. Tonight's number is higher than it was in any of Missouri State's last seven games. The under is 6-2 in the Bears last eight home games. It sure looks like the bookmakers have come with an inflated total for this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-17-18	SMU v. Wichita State -9.5		83-78	Loss	-110	14 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. The Shockers were one of the biggest surprises of the 2013 NCAA Tournament, going all the way to the Final Four. In an article I wrote prior to the tournament, I had picked Wichita State as my dark horse. I also picked the Gonzaga Bulldogs as the team most vulnerable to an upset, and they were eliminated in the second round by Wichita State. The Shockers have come a long way since then, and they entered this season ranked in the Top 10. Here is what I had to say prior to their home win over win over Charleston earlier in the season: "Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits." They host SMU tonight, and the Mustangs are coming off three straight losses. SMU has lost four straight road games against Top 25 teams, and they lost 94-83 at Texas Tech in their only road game against a ranked team this season. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule
01-16-18	Mavs v. Nuggets -5.5		102-105	Loss	-108	11 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Playing on the road in the NBA is a tough task at the best of times, but it's even more challenging at altitude in Denver. Only the San Antonio Spurs have a better home record than Denver in the Western Conference. Here is what I said about Denver before they played the Jazz last week: "Both the Jazz and the Nuggets are missing key players due to injury, but Denver has proven it has the depth to overcome adversity. The Nuggets have enjoyed a significant advantage at home in Denver. They are 11-3 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in six of their last eight in Denver. The home team has won six straight in this series, and has covered the spread in all six of those games as well. Utah is just 3-13 on the road this season, only the Mavericks have lost more road games in the Western Conference. They are coming off a 103-89 home loss to Oklahoma City, and Rodney Hood struggled, hitting just 3-of-14 shots and scoring just nine points. The Jazz have lost six of their last seven road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Nikola Jokic has averaged over 22 points per game in his last three starts." Denver has won three of the last four meetings with Dallas, and all three of those wins came by a double digit margin. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-16-18	Oklahoma v. Kansas State UNDER 164		69-87	Win	100	9 h 27 m	Show
This is a 9* play on OKLA@KSU to go UNDER the total. The Sooners can move into a first place tie with Kansas if they win tonight in Manhattan. The Wildcats are just 2-3 in the BIG12 so far, but they are 8-1 at home. Oklahoma comes into tonight's game as winners of back to back home games against TCU and Texas Tech. Trae Young scored 43 points in the win over the Horned Frogs on Saturday, and he looks like he is getting better as the season goes on. Kansas State won't be able to keep up with the Oklahoma offense, the Wildcats are averaging just 75 points per game over their last five. They are one of the better defensive teams in the BIG12 though, allowing just 61.1 points per game at home. An injury to their top playmaker isn't going to help, Kamau Stokes is the team's assist leader, and third leading scorer. The junior guard has missed the last two games with a foot injury, and he's listed as (out indefinitely). The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings between the two schools. In fact, not one of the last 10 head to head meetings saw enough points to reach tonight's total. The Sooners have failed to reach the total in two of their last three, and the exception was an overtime game against TCU. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-16-18	Kentucky -117 v. South Carolina		68-76	Loss	-117	8 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. The Wildcats haven't been very impressive this season. All they have done is go 14-3 overall and win four of five games in the SEC. I don't think we've yet seen the best of this team, and they have the potential to be a lot better. They come into South Carolina tonight as a short favorite, despite the fact that they have owned the Gamecocks in recent meetings. The Wildcats have won nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, and they have covered the spread in four straight. During that span they've won four of their last five at South Carolina. The Gamecocks have failed to cover in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record, and they are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 versus the SEC. The Gamecocks have really dropped off from last season, while I think Kentucky has a chance repeat as SEC champs. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule
01-16-18	Pelicans v. Celtics -178		116-113	Loss	-178	10 h 58 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. I bet on Boston in their win over Philly at O2 Arena. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Celtics bring a six game winning streak into today's NBA International game versus the Sixers in London. Philly has won four straight, but the Sixers have been inconsistent all year. They had lost 10 of 12 prior to this recent win streak. The Celtics have owned this series in recent seasons, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. These teams have played twice this season, and Boston has won both meetings by double-digits, including a 102-92 win at Philly. Both teams will have to adjust to playing at O2 Arena, which isn't designed to host NBA games. The Celtics bring the NBA's best defense, and the old saying goes "defense travels well". Boston doesn't mind playing away from their home arena, the Celtics are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games. It wouldn't be too hard to imagine young stars like Simmons and Embiid getting distracted on a trip to London, and Embiid's comments seem to indicate that: "Just walking around, it was beautiful," he told NBC Sports Philadelphia. "Beautiful women ... so I had a great time. I'm just excited to be going there. Obviously want to get a win, and if I get a chance to catch a soccer game, I'm going to do that, too." Kyrie Irving on the other hand spoke more about the task at hand: "For us we just have to play with our own unique intensity on the defensive end, make it uncomfortable." They host the New Orleans Pelicans tonight, a team that they have owned (won 4 of last 5). Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
01-16-18	Wisconsin v. Purdue UNDER 137		50-78	Win	100	12 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on WIS@PURDUE to go UNDER the total. The Badgers are struggling, just 9-9 overall and 2-3 in the BIG10. Their problem isn't their defense, they are allowing opponents to average less than 65 points per game. They have allowed less than 65 points in five of their last six overall. Purdue has picked up right where it left off last year, sitting at the top of the conference standings with a 6-0 record. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the country, and they have held opponents to just 58.5 points per game at home. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings. The Badgers have only averaged 55 points per game on the road, and they have gone under in six straight road games. Purdue has gone under in five straight versus BIG10 teams, and I expect another low scoring battle here tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Warriors v. Cavs OVER 229	Top	118-108	Loss	-105	31 h 30 m	Show
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total. The defending champion Golden State Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They have scored 120+ points in seven of their last 10 overall, and they have scored 120+ points in seven straight with Steph Curry in the lineup. The Cavs are also one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, however they rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed. They have given up 120+ points in three of their last four overall, and they have lost three straight. The Warriors have dominated this series, winning six of the last seven meetings. While the most recent meeting was a low scoring game with the Warriors winning 99-92, Steph Curry did not play in that game. The previous four games in this series all went over the total, and Curry played in all of those games. The Warriors have gone over in seven of their last eight overall, and six of their last eight at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in four of their last five home games, and the over is 9-0 in their last nine home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Minnesota v. Penn State -7.5		95-84	Loss	-105	16 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions. I bet against the Gophers in their last game, and they lost by a whopping 34 points at home versus Purdue. Here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "The Gophers are coming off a home loss to Indiana, and they have lost two of three on the road so far. The Wildcats have won five of the last seven in this series, and they won their last home game against Minnesota by a whopping 24 points. The Gophers will miss two starters tonight, with guard Amir Coffey and center Reggie Lynch both out indefinitely. The pair have averaged over 24 points and 12 rebounds per game combined this season." Granted that Penn State is a step down in competition from their previous two games against Ohio State and Purdue, the Gophers haven't shown any evidence that they can compete in the BIG10 with their current roster. They have failed to cover in four of the last five meetings between the two teams, and they are 0-3 straight up and 0-3 ATS in their last three at University Park. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Minnesota v. Penn State UNDER 148		95-84	Loss	-110	10 h 17 m	Show
Minnesota vs Penn State Free Pick January 15, 2018. I bet against the Gophers in their last game, and they lost by a whopping 34 points at home versus Purdue. Here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "The Gophers are coming off a home loss to Indiana, and they have lost two of three on the road so far. The Wildcats have won five of the last seven in this series, and they won their last home game against Minnesota by a whopping 24 points. The Gophers will miss two starters tonight, with guard Amir Coffey and center Reggie Lynch both out indefinitely. The pair have averaged over 24 points and 12 rebounds per game combined this season." Granted that Penn State is a step down in competition from their previous two games against Ohio State and Purdue, the Gophers haven't shown any evidence that they can compete in the BIG10 with their current roster. Since the injury to Coffey, they have averaged less than 60 points per game. The total for tonight's game looks a little high, it's in fact higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between these two schools. Penn State has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 11 home games, while the Gophers have gone under in five straight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Maryland v. Michigan -7		67-68	Loss	-105	11 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines. I bet against Maryland in their last game, a blowout loss to Ohio State. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "While some might expect the Buckeyes to suffer a let down here again the Terps, I think they will only build on the positive momentum. Maryland is 3-2 in the BIG10, but all three of their wins came against conference bottom feeders. They beat Iowa and Penn State at home, and won by a single point at Illinois. The Buckeyes on the other hand have defeated Michigan and Michigan State at home by a combined 25 points, and they are undefeated (4-0) in the BIG10. Maryland is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the BIG10, and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams." This game is strikingly similar, as Michigan is also coming off an upset win over the Spartans. Once again, a potential let down spot, but once again I am taking the home favorite to take care of business. Maryland has already lost it's leading rebounder Justin Jackson for the season with a shoulder injury, and second leading rebounder Bruno Fenando may be sidelined by an illness tonight. The Wolverines are 9-1 at home, and perhaps the most impressive stat you can pull away from those games is that they have held the opposition to an average of just 58.1 points. Michigan is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight home games, and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 versus the BIG10. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Heat v. Bulls -112		111-119	Win	100	13 h 60 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls. I have been keeping my eye on the Bulls since Nikola Mirotic returned from injury, and I bet on Chicago several times over the last few weeks. Here is what I had to say prior to a home win over Indiana: "The Bulls won 115-106 at Milwaukee last night, and it was their eighth win in their last 10 games. They have averaged over 111 points per game in those wins. Nikola Mirotic is a big reason for the turnaround in Chicago, and he scored 24 points on 9-of-18 shooting in Milwaukee last night. The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago. The Bulls have covered the spread in six straight home games, and they are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall" The Heat are playing their second game of a back to back after blowing out the Bucks at home yesterday. As well as Miami is playing, this Chicago team just welcomed back Zach Lavine who looked great in his season debut. The 22 year old scored 14 points on 5-of-9 shooting in 19 minutes Saturday. He's expected to be capped at 20 minutes per game until he works himself into shape. The Bulls are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 versus teams from the Southeast, and the Heat have failed to cover in four of their last five when coming off a double digit win. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Bucks v. Wizards -190		104-95	Loss	-190	12 h 32 m	Show
This is a 6* play on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards are coming off back to back home wins, and they host the Milwaukee Bucks on MLK Day. The Bucks are playing their second game of a back to back, coming off a blowout loss at Miami yesterday. The Bucks are just 8-12 on the road this season, and they come into Washington as losers of three of their last four overall. They have lost eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, and four of their last five visits to Washington. The Wizards are 15-8 at home, and the favorite has covered in 10 of the last 14 meetings between these two teams. Washington has been brutal ATS of late, but I like their chances getting an outright win here at home versus an inconsistent Bucks team. This is a revenge game for the Wizards, as they lost to the Bucks just over a week ago. If there was any doubt about how serious they are treating this game, listen to what Bradley Beal has to say: "It's going to be a physical game," Beal said of the rematch with Milwaukee. "It's going to be a playoff-type game, it's pretty plain and simple. They're a team that plays hard. They are playing well right now too. We need to take advantage of it, take advantage of our home court, treat it as it is a playoff game." Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Hornets v. Pistons -145		118-107	Loss	-145	10 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons have been great at home this season (13-5), and they host the struggling Charlotte Hornets in an early game on Martin Luther King Day. The Hornets are coming off a home loss to Oklahoma City by a score of 101-91. They have lost five of their last six against the Pistons, and they are just 5-13 on the road this season. Detroit beat the Hornets by a score of 102-90 in the most recent meeting at the Palace in their season opener back in October. The Pistons have won five straight home games, and they have beaten some of the league's top teams during that stretch (Spurs and Rockets). They rank 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 101.5 points per game. The Hornets have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, while the Pistons have gone under in six of their last eight at home. The under is is 12-5-1 in the Pistons last 18 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. I like the Pistons to win a low scoring game here at the Palace. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-18	Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 205		118-107	Loss	-105	10 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CHA@DET to go UNDER. The Pistons have been great at home this season (13-5), and they host the struggling Charlotte Hornets in an early game on Martin Luther King Day. The Hornets are coming off a home loss to Oklahoma City by a score of 101-91. They have lost five of their last six against the Pistons, and they are just 5-13 on the road this season. Detroit beat the Hornets by a score of 102-90 in the most recent meeting at the Palace in their season opener back in October. The Pistons have won five straight home games, and they have beaten some of the league's top teams during that stretch (Spurs and Rockets). They rank 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 101.5 points per game. The Hornets have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, while the Pistons have gone under in six of their last eight at home. The under is is 12-5-1 in the Pistons last 18 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. I like the Pistons to win a low scoring game here at the Palace. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-14-18	Pacers v. Suns +4		120-97	Loss	-105	18 h 60 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns 1st Half. The Indiana Pacers trailed Cleveland by 22 points in the first half on Friday, but they rallied to beat the Cavs by a score of 97-95. I am not sure whether to be impressed with the comeback, or concerned about why they trailed to 22 points at home in the first place. Regardless, I believe this sets them up for a let down on the road two days later at Phoenix. Here is what I had to say about the Suns before their loss to Houston: "The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away." The Pacers have failed to cover in five of their last six visits to Arizona, and they are just 2-11 ATS in the last 13 meetings overall in this series. I'll take the points. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule.
01-14-18	Ohio State v. Rutgers +6.5		68-46	Loss	-115	9 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. I have been backing the Buckeyes all season long, and I had them in each of their last two games. They come into Rutgers as winners of four straight, but three of those games were at home. They are a half a game back of Purdue for first place in the BIG10, but I think they are due for a let down here as a big favorite on the road. Rutgers has been brutal in recent seasons, but they have quietly been very competitive so far this season. Their last home game was a 64-60 win over Wisconsin, and they followed that up with an overtime loss at #1 Michigan State. The Scarlet Knights rank in the top 10 in the country allowing just 61.7 points per game. They beat the Buckeyes by a score of 66-57 in the most recent meeting between the two schools, and they have covered the spread in four straight home games. Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in it's last six games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their last five versus teams with a winning record. Take RUTGERS. GL, Jesse Schule
01-14-18	Monmouth v. Canisius -160		79-94	Win	100	4 h 2 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins. I bet on Canisius in their last game, a home win over St. Peters. Here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Griffins sit in a second place tie with Rider in the MAAC standings, and they host the St. Peter's Peacocks tonight. Canisius is looking to bounce back from a loss to the cellar dwelling Siena Saints, and I like their chances at home where they are 5-1 this season. Their last three home games were quite impressive, beating the top two teams in the MAAC (Rider and Iona) as well as a double digit win over Elon. The Peacocks are 2-6 on the road, and they have averaged just 64.9 points on 40.8 percent shooting in those games. These two teams have a history of playing close games, as evidenced by the fact that the favorite has been asked to cover three points or less in six of the last eight meetings. The Griffins have covered the spread in eight straight home games, and they are averaging almost 80 points per game on close to 50 percent shooting during that span. I like the home favorite to win straight up here." They host Monmouth tonight, and the Hawks have struggled without their leading scorer. Micah Seaborn is listed as doubtful for today's game. Take CAN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-13-18	Pistons v. Bulls	Top	105-107	Win	100	10 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls. I have been keeping my eye on the Bulls since Nikola Mirotic returned from injury, and I bet on Chicago several times over the last few weeks. Here is what I had to say prior to a home win over Indiana: "The Bulls won 115-106 at Milwaukee last night, and it was their eighth win in their last 10 games. They have averaged over 111 points per game in those wins. Nikola Mirotic is a big reason for the turnaround in Chicago, and he scored 24 points on 9-of-18 shooting in Milwaukee last night. The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago. The Bulls have covered the spread in six straight home games, and they are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall" The Bulls will welcome Zack Lavine back from injury in tonight's home game against the Pistons. Chicago is now 15-5 ATS in it's last 20 overall, and the Bulls have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 at home. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule
01-13-18	Northeastern v. NC-Wilmington +5.5	Top	81-77	Win	100	19 h 52 m	Show
This is a 10* play on UNC Wilmington. The Seahawks finished first in the CAA last year, with a 29-5 overall record, and a 13-1 home record. There is no doubt that after losing several key players from last year's team, they aren't as good as they were a year ago. That being said, they are coming off a road win over a good Elon team, and I don't think they should be an underdog at home. The Seahawks are 4-2 at home, and they have averaged 83.2 points per game on 48.2 percent shooting in those games. They scored 107 points in a win over Drexel in their last home game. They host the Northeastern Huskies, who are coming off a double digit road loss at Charleston. The Huskies are 3-4 on the road, averaging just 67.4 points on 42.2 percent shooting in those games. The Seahawks have won four straight and seven of the last nine in this series. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule
01-13-18	Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois +1.5		66-72	Win	100	17 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. I bet on Northern Illinois a few weeks ago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Huskies will host the Chicago Illinois Fire tonight, and the Fire are still winless (0-4) on the road. They have been terrible on defense in those losses, surrendering 87.5 points per game on better than 52 percent shooting. The Huskies are 4-1 at home, and they have been solid defensively in those games. They have allowed just 65 points per game, holding opponents below 40 percent shooting. The Huskies beat the Fire by double digits at home last year, and won 70-65 at Chicago the previous season. UIC is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning record. They've also covered just once in their last five versus a team from the MAC. Eugene German scored 17 points on 7-of-10 shooting in last year's game, and he comes in as the team's leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game. The Huskies lost at Marquette in their last game, but covered the spread as a double digit dog. They have been better than the bookmakers have expected, covering the spread in all but one of their last six games. I like NIU to win comfortably at home here." The Huskies are coming off back to back road losses, but their last home game was a double digit win over Kent State. The home team is 5-0 in the last five meetings in this series, and 9-1 in the last 10. The underdog has covered the spread in nine of the last 11 meetings as well. I like the Huskies getting points at home. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-13-18	Towson v. William & Mary -150		99-73	Loss	-150	6 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the William and Mary Tribe. The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. I bet on them in their win over Marshall back in November, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road." The Tribe sit in first place in the CAA after winning five straight in conference play. They host the Towson Tigers tonight, and Towson has lost five of six road games this season. William and Mary are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule
01-13-18	South Carolina v. Georgia -5		64-57	Loss	-109	13 h 2 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. The Bulldogs are coming off a road loss at Missouri, but they had won back to back home games prior to that. I bet on them in their win over Ole Miss, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Bulldogs got off on the wrong foot in their opening game in the SEC, losing 66-61 at Kentucky. It was a solid effort though, easily covering as a double digit dog. I like their chances of getting back on track at home tonight, hosting the Ole Miss Rebels. Georgia has had the better of this series, winning six of the last seven meetings between the two schools. Last year the Bulldogs beat Ole Miss by a score of 69-47 at Oxford, and the previous year they won by a score of 80-66 at home. Mississippi is just 3-8 ATS in it's last 11 overall, and the Rebels are also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at Georgia. The Bulldogs are still undefeated at home, and they have won 18 of their last 23 home games. The Rebels lost their only previous road game at Middle Tennessee, shooting just 27.8 percent from the field in a 77-58 defeat. The Rebels come into this game with an 8-5 record, and all five losses came against unranked teams. I don't think they can hang with the Dawgs in Georgia." The Bulldogs will put their perfect 8-0 home record to the test today against the South Carolina Gamecocks. The Gamecocks are coming off a double digit loss at Alabama, and they have lost three of their last four by 10 or more points. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-13-18	La Salle v. Duquesne +1		94-101	Win	102	1 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Dukes are 3-1 in conference play, with impressive wins over Fordam, George Washington and Dayton. They are a home dog in today's game against the La Salle Explorers, who have lost three of four games in conference play. The home team has won four of the last five in this series, and La Salle has failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 overall. The Dukes are 10-2 overall at home, holding opponents to an average of just 60 points per game. The Dukes are one of the top defensive teams in the country, and I like their chances of taking down La Salle at home today. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	Rockets v. Suns +7.5		112-95	Loss	-103	16 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. The Rockets leading scorer remains out, and Houston has lost four of it's last six on the road. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard, and tonight's game should be a fast paced, high scoring affair. These two teams have gone over in seven straight, and nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last seven on the road, and eight of their last 11 overall. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	Rockets v. Suns OVER 226.5		112-95	Loss	-105	16 h 12 m	Show
This is an 8* play on HOU@PHX to go OVER the total. The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. The Rockets leading scorer remains out, and Houston has lost four of it's last six on the road. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard, and tonight's game should be a fast paced, high scoring affair. These two teams have gone over in seven straight, and nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last seven on the road, and eight of their last 11 overall. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	Idaho v. Eastern Washington -130	Top	58-51	Loss	-130	14 h 16 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. Eastern Washington finished second in the Big Sky last season, and they were 15-1 at home. Their only home loss came to the Montana Grizzlies, and wouldn't you know that I had a bet on them. Here is what I had to say prior to that game: "Eastern Washington is 7-0 at home so far, and they've won four straight home games against conference rivals Montana State. The Eagles have won seven of the last nine meetings in this series, going 7-1-1 ATS in those games. Last year the Bobcats lost by a whopping 24 points at Cheney. The Eagles are averaging 86 points per game on better than 46 percent shooting at home this season, while the Bobcats are scoring just 75 points on 37.4 percent shooting on the road. After finishing first in the Big Sky two years ago, the Eagles had an off year last season. They still won 10-of-12 home games, and they are now 30-4 at home over the last three seasons. The Bobcats are 0-5 on the road this season, and it doesn't seem very likely that they'll get a positive result here in Cheney." The Eagles host Idaho tonight, and the Vandals were 6-9 on the road last season, and they are 3-3 on the road so far this year. Idaho has lost four straight visits to Cheney, failing to cover in three of those four games. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	Jazz v. Hornets OVER 206.5		88-99	Loss	-110	13 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UTAH@CHA to go OVER the total. The Utah Jazz are one of the NBA's best defensive teams, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. They have struggled without star center Rudy Gobert though,, losing nine of 12. They have allowed at least 100 points in seven of their last eight games, and they have allowed well over 100 points in each of their last three visits to Charlotte. These two teams have gone over the total in three of four meetings dating back to 2015. The Hornets have scored 100+ points in eight of their last 10 overall, and they have allowed 100+ points in eight of their last nine overall. Rookie Donovan Mitchell leads the Jazz in scoring, and he is averaging 22.2 points per game over his last five starts. He's attempted at least 10 three-pointers in three of the last four games. The Jazz have gone over in five of their last seven versus Eastern Conference teams, and I think their defensive intensity could be lacking here in Charlotte where they are just 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	Ohio v. Kent State UNDER 153.5		69-70	Win	100	10 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on OHIO@KENT to go UNDER the total. You don't see a lot of high scoring games in the MAC, and previous games between Kent State and Ohio have been low scoring. They have failed to reach the total in seven of the last nine meetings, but the listed total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. The Golden Flashes are coming off an 80-69 loss at Miami-Oh, and their leading scorer Jaylin Walker only played 13 minutes, suffering an undisclosed injury. His status for tonight's game remains in question. Ohio is 1-2 in conference play, failing to reach the total in all three games. The Bobcats have averaged just 69.3 points per game on 38.7 percent shooting while losing all three of their home games. Ohio has gone under in six straight MAC games, while the Flashes have gone under in nine of their last 12 within the conference. These two teams have gone under in five of the last six at Kent. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	St. Peter's v. Canisius -140		58-70	Win	100	9 h 12 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins. The Griffins sit in a second place tie with Rider in the MAAC standings, and they host the St. Peter's Peacocks tonight. Canisius is looking to bounce back from a loss to the cellar dwelling Siena Saints, and I like their chances at home where they are 5-1 this season. Their last three home games were quite impressive, beating the top two teams in the MAAC (Rider and Iona) as well as a double digit win over Elon. The Peacocks are 2-6 on the road, and they have averaged just 64.9 points on 40.8 percent shooting in those games. These two teams have a history of playing close games, as evidenced by the fact that the favorite has been asked to cover three points or less in six of the last eight meetings. The Griffins have covered the spread in eight straight home games, and they are averaging almost 80 points per game on close to 50 percent shooting during that span. I like the home favorite to win straight up here. Take CAN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-18	Marquette v. Butler -185		83-94	Win	100	6 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Butler Bulldogs. Butler has lost three straight, and they face a must win game at home here versus Marquette tonight. The Golden Eagles are coming off a big home win over Seton Hall, and they have won three of their last four overall. They haven't had a lot of success against Butler in recent seasons, losing five of the last six, and covering the spread just once in those games. The Bulldogs are 9-1 at home, and their one loss came in a game that they led by double digits halfway through the second half versus Seton Hall. They led 40-36 at the half in that game, and I expect them to jump all over Marquette in the first half of tonight's game. Marquette has failed to cover in nine of their last 10 versus Butler, and the Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Take BUTLER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-11-18	NC-Wilmington v. Elon -9		80-78	Loss	-105	12 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. This is what I had to say about Elon prior to the 2017 season: "If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup)." They come into today's home game against the Seahawks as winners of four of their last five. UNC Wilmington lost most of it's talent on last year's roster, and currently sits near the bottom of the standings in the CAA. The Seahawks are just 4-12 overall, and they rank 344th in the country allowing over 85 points per game. They are coming off back to back blowout losses on the road, losing to Towson and Delaware by a combined 38 points. The Seahawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, while Elon is 9-4 ATS in it's last 13 home games. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
01-11-18	Northeastern v. College of Charleston -140		66-82	Win	100	10 h 17 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Charleston Cougars. The Cougars are coming off back to back road losses, but they return home where they are 7-0 this season. They host the Northeastern Huskies, who are off to a good start winning three of four in conference play. The Huskies are 3-3 on the road, and they've failed to cover in four of their last five road games against a team with a winning record. They are 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall versus teams with a winning record. The Cougars are 17-4 in their last 21 home games, while the Huskies are 10-13 in their last 23 road games. Charleston won the last meeting between these two teams by a score of 85-71 at Northeastern. The Cougars had three players score 20+ points in that game (Riller, Chealy & Brantley). All three will start in tonight's game. Take COFC. GL, Jesse Schule
01-11-18	James Madison v. William & Mary -8		82-89	Loss	-103	9 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CWM. The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. I bet on them in their win over Marshall back in November, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road." The Tribe sit in first place in the CAA after winning four straight in conference play. Three of those wins came on the road, and they return home where they are averaging over 91 points per game on better than 55 percent shooting. The Dukes don't have the offensive prowess to keep up with that kind of scoring, especially if second leading scorer Joey Maclean remains out with an ankle injury. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule
01-11-18	Celtics -130 v. 76ers	Top	114-103	Win	100	17 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics bring a six game winning streak into today's NBA International game versus the Sixers in London. Philly has won four straight, but the Sixers have been inconsistent all year. They had lost 10 of 12 prior to this recent win streak. The Celtics have owned this series in recent seasons, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. These teams have played twice this season, and Boston has won both meetings by double-digits, including a 102-92 win at Philly. Both teams will have to adjust to playing at O2 Arena, which isn't designed to host NBA games. The Celtics bring the NBA's best defense, and the old saying goes "defense travels well". Boston doesn't mind playing away from their home arena, the Celtics are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games. It wouldn't be too hard to imagine young stars like Simmons and Embiid getting distracted on a trip to London, and Embiid's comments seem to indicate that: "Just walking around, it was beautiful," he told NBC Sports Philadelphia. "Beautiful women ... so I had a great time. I'm just excited to be going there. Obviously want to get a win, and if I get a chance to catch a soccer game, I'm going to do that, too." Kyrie Irving on the other hand spoke more about the task at hand: "For us we just have to play with our own unique intensity on the defensive end, make it uncomfortable." Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-18	UNLV v. Air Force OVER 150.5		81-76	Win	100	13 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UNLV@AFA to go OVER the total. The UNLV Rebels are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 88 points per game. That is a huge improvement from last season, but their defense still has a long way to go. They rank 255th nationally allowing over 75 points per game. They have given up more than 80 points in three of their last four, and the one exception was an 82-76 win over San Jose State. The Spartans are the cellar dwellers of the Mountain West, and that 76 point total is their best this season against a team from their own conference. Air Force isn't known as an offensive powerhouse by any means, but they scored 75 points in a home loss to Nevada their last time out. These two teams have gone over the total in eight of the last nine meetings, and the number of 150.5 seems way too low. I can't see either of these two teams scoring less than 75 points. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-18	Temple v. SMU -9		66-64	Loss	-110	14 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the SMU Mustangs. The Temple Owls and the SMU Mustangs have been among the class of the American Conference in recent seasons, but both teams come into tonight's game struggling of late. The Owls have lost five straight, and they are 0-5 on the road. They have lost five of the last six meetings in this series, and SMU covered the spread in all five wins during that span. SMU swept last season's series, winning both games by double digits. The Mustangs are coming off a pair of tough road losses, but they return home where they are 11-0 straight up this season, and 21-6-1 in their last 28 overall at home. Opponents are averaging just 55.1 points per game on 36.8 percent shooting at SMU, while the Mustangs are scoring over 78 points on better than 50 percent shooting at home. A strange coincidence, the Owls scored just 39 points in their last road game, while SMU held USF to just 39 points in their last home win. Take SMU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-18	Minnesota v. Northwestern -165		60-83	Win	100	12 h 15 m	Show
8*
01-10-18	Thunder v. Wolves -175		88-104	Win	100	10 h 38 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota T-Wolves. Minnesota is coming off a blowout win over the Cleveland Cavaliers, and I think rather than suffer a let down, they will build on that positive momentum. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder are still struggling to meet expectations. They have lost back to back games to Portland and Phoenix, and both of those losses came by a double digit margin. Minnesota has improved on defense, ranking 5th in defensive rating over the past 10 games. They held LeBron James to a total of just 10 points on 4-of-8 shooting on Monday. The Thunder have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Minnesota, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Minnesota. The T-Wolves are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Western Conference teams, while the Thunder are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 versus teams from the West. Oklahoma City is also 2-10 ATS in it's last 12 versus teams from the NorthWest. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-18	Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1		53-60	Win	100	20 h 20 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They come into tonight's home game against Notre Dame as winners of eight of 11 home games this season. They beat Miami by double digits at home last week. The Yellow Jackets have won four of their last five home meetings with Notre Dame, and they are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the two schools. The Irish are without two of their top players. Bonzie Colson is out with a foot injury, and Matt Farrell has a sprained ankle. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-18	Mississippi State +8.5 v. Florida		54-71	Loss	-105	12 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Gators are coming off a thrilling 77-75 win over Missouri, and it was guard Chris Chiozza with a steal and a buzzer beater for the win. A case of strep throat might keep Chiozza from playing tonight's home game against the Bulldogs. Historically these teams have played close games, and both of the last two games were close. The Gators won by five points at Mississippi State in the last meeting, but won by just three points in their last home game against the Bulldogs. Mississippi State is coming off a loss at Ole Miss, and that game was close, with the Rebels winning by a score of 64-58. The Bulldogs failed to cover the spread in that game, but they are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 when coming off an ATS loss. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine when coming off a straight up loss. The Gators have failed to cover in six straight home games. Take MISST. GL, Jesse Schule
01-09-18	Tennessee -140 v. Vanderbilt		92-84	Win	100	13 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. After upsetting Kentucky over the weekend, the Vols fancy themselves as contenders in the SEC. They should be all fired up for a rivalry game against Vanderbilt. While it's a home game for the Commodores, there hasn't been much of a home court advantage in this series in recent seasons. The road team has won seven of the last eight meetings outright. The visitors covered the spread in all seven of those games. Tennessee has won two of three road games so far this season, and the Vols have scored more points, and shot for a higher percentage on the road than the Commodores have at home. Vanderbilt shot just 35.2 percent from the field in a double digit loss to South Carolina in it's last game, and they were just 8-of-29 from beyond the arc. It won't get any easier here for the Commodores, facing a Tennessee team that is 5-0 ATS in it's last five road games. Take TENN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-09-18	Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -165		65-75	Win	100	10 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners 10 game winning streak came to an end on the road at West Virginia this weekend, and I bet on the Mountaineers in that game. I like the Sooners to bounce back here at home against Texas Tech. In fact I see a lot of similarities between this game, and Oklahoma's last game. This time around it's Texas Tech that comes in riding high, in a prime spot to get knocked off their horse. They are 1-4 straight up, and 1-4 ATS in their last four games at Oklahoma, including an 84-75 loss in Norman last season. The Sooners are a far better team this year, and they boast a 7-0 home record so far. The most impressive thing about their play at home is that they are averaging well over 100 points on 55 percent shooting. The Sooners are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 versus the BIG12, and 4-1 ATS in their last five versus a team with a winning record. The home team has covered the spread in six straight meetings in this series. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-09-18	Georgetown +7.5 v. St. John's		69-66	Win	100	13 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. The Hoyas sit near the bottom of the Big East standings, losing three of four conference games. They were blown out at home by Creighton over the weekend, but I expect them to give St. John's a run for their money here in New York. The Red Storm haven't exactly been tearing it up either, losing four straight. Their second leading scorer Marcus LoVett has missed the last nine games, and he is out indefinitely with a knee injury. St. Johns beat the Hoyas twice in 2017, but neither of those games were decided by more than six points. The Hoyas had won and covered in four of the previous five, including a 20 point road win back in 2016. While the Hoyas are just 3-3 straight up in their last six game, two of those losses came in overtime. They have covered the spread in five of their last six overall, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road. The Hoyas have hit over 82 percent of their free throws in their last five games, while St. Johns is hitting 67 percent during that span. This could prove to be a major advantage for the visitors. Take GTWN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-18	Knicks v. Mavs OVER 207		100-96	Loss	-107	14 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NYK@DAL to go OVER the total. The Mavs are one of the worst teams in the Western Conference, but they are on a bit of a roll, winning four of their last six overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last four games. The Knicks are really struggling, they have lost seven of their last eight overall. They allowed an average of 107 points in those losses, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. The total for tonight's game appears to be a bit low, as the Knicks have gone over the number in four of their last five, while Dallas has gone over in four straight. The Mavs have gone over in five of their last six versus Eastern Conference teams, and with not a lot at stake here between a couple of teams in the midst of a rebuild, don't expect to see a defensive battle. The Mavs are coming off a 127-124 loss to the Bulls, and Chicago shot over 56 percent from the field in the game. I expect to see a similar flow to tonight's game. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-18	Michigan State v. Ohio State +8.5		64-80	Win	100	8 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. It was exactly a year ago today that the Buckeyes beat the Spartans by a score of 74-66 in Columbus. A lot has changed since then, most notably the Spartans are the top ranked team in the country with a 15-1 overall record. Michigan State was the better team last season as well, and they were a seven point favorite in last year's contest. The Spartans aren't the only team that has improved. This year's Ohio State team is 12-4 overall, and 2-0 in the BIG10. When these teams met last year the Buckeyes had lost four of five conference games, and had an overall record of 11-7. Michigan State doesn't inspire a lot of confidence as a big road favorite considering they have covered the spread in just four of their last 14 road games. The Buckeyes have signature wins against Gonzaga, Michigan and Wisconsin. They have held opponents to just 64.9 points per game on 40.9 percent shooting while winning 9-of-10 at home. They should be able to keep this one competitive, and I'll take the points. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-18	William & Mary v. Drexel OVER 154.5		85-63	Loss	-110	9 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CWM@DREX to go OVER the total. The CAA is not a conference known for it's defense, and two of the worst defensive teams will meet when Drexel hosts William and Mary today. I bet on William and Mary in their win over Hofstra, and here is what I said before the game: "The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. They come into tonight's home game against Hofstra with a perfect 5-0 home record." They won that game despite giving up 87 points to a pretty average opponent. They have since won back to back road games, scoring an average of 87 points in those victories. Both these teams have given up well over 80 points per game in their last five, and they have both scored almost that many during that span. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points lower than it was in the last two meetings, and the Dragons have gone over in five straight versus CAA teams. The over is 18-4 in William and Mary's last 22 conference games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-18	College of Charleston v. Towson -135		62-73	Win	100	5 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Towson Tigers. After losing four straight on the road, the Tigers returned home for a big game against William and Mary on Friday. They would win by a score of 89-71, moving to 6-0 at home this season. They host the Charleston Cougars tonight, and the home team is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the two schools. Charleston has lost two of it's last three road games, and the one victory was a nail biter, beating Coastal Carolina by a score of 67-65. Charleston lost it's last game on the road at Drexel on Friday, giving up 87 points and allowing the Dragons to hit 57 percent of their field goal attempts. The Tigers are scoring over 81 points per game on 50 percent shooting at home this season, and their defense is among the best in the conference. They have allowed opponents to average 66.5 points on 35.7 percent shooting in their six home games. Towson is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight at home, and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. Take TOWS. GL, Jesse Schule
01-06-18	Kansas v. TCU +1.5		88-84	Loss	-108	12 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the TCU Horned Frogs. The Kansas Jayhawks have been the top team in the BIG12 for decades, but they don't look like they have the experience to compete for another conference title this season. Kansas has already lost three games, and now they have to play on the road at Fort Worth. The Horned Frogs are 13-1, coming off an upset win over Baylor in Waco. The last time these two teams met, TCU shocked the Jayhawks, winning outright as an 8-point underdog. Kansas has covered the spread just twice in it's last eight games against TCU, and the Jayhawks have failed to cover in four of their last five versus a team with a winning record. TCU has won nine of it's last 10 home games, and the Frogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. Take TCU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-06-18	Seton Hall v. Butler -160		90-87	Loss	-160	6 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Butler Bulldogs. Butler is 9-0 at home so far, and yet the Bulldogs are just a slight favorite in today's game against Seton Hall. The Pirates have lost five of their last six versus Butler, and their last road game was a 71-65 loss at Rutgers. The Bulldogs have shot almost 55 percent from the field at home this season, and they have hit 42.4 percent from beyond the arc in those games. Seton Hall has only covered the spread once in the last nine meetings between these two schools, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Butler is looking to bounce back from an 86-79 loss to Xavier, and the Bulldogs are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Pirates just aren't among the elite in the Big East, and I expect them to come up short here. Take BUTLER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-06-18	Texas v. Baylor -150		60-69	Win	100	6 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. I bet on the Bears in their overtime loss to TCU last week, and here is what I said prior the game: "The Bears are 8-1 at home, and they beat TCU by a score of 70-52 at home last year. Baylor is trying to bounce back from a tough road loss at Texas Tech, playing without their leading rebounder Jo Lual-Acui. He's officially listed as a game time decision for tonight's game, but I expect him to play. "He's excited to be back after watching the Texas Tech game," coach Scott Drew said. "As far as how effective, we'll have to wait and see. We'll see what we've got come game time. It seems like every day it's an adjustment with who can practice and who can't." The Bears senior forward Terry Maston returned to the lineup against Texas Tech, but failed to score in 21 minutes. Maston averaged 10 points and seven rebounds per game last year, and it's just a matter of time before he get's back up to speed. At 6"8 225 lbs, he gives them another big body to pick up the slack in the event that Jo Lual-Acui is limited." Their center did play, and he was effective. They just ran into a very good TCU team playing as well as anyone in the BIG12. I don't like the Longhorns chances of pulling out an upset here in Waco, where they have lost their last two by a combined 33 points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule
01-06-18	North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 137.5		49-61	Win	100	11 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on UNC@UVA to go UNDER the total. The last game between these two teams saw a combined 96 points. I bet the under in that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Virginia Cavs had lost four straight before busting loose and scoring 70 points in a win at North Carolina State Saturday. They return home to host the red hot UNC Tar Heels, in this season's second meeting between the two teams. North Carolina won at home in the previous meeting, despite scoring a season low 65 points. The Tar Heels might be hard pressed to score that many here in the rematch, as the Cavs have held opponents to just 51.1 points on 36.7 percent shooting at home. The Cavs lost 54-48 in overtime at home to Miami, and lost 65-55 to Duke. They crushed Louisville by a score of 71-55, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Tar Heels have already clinched at least a share of the ACC Title, and even if they lose tonight's game, they can clinch with a win at home versus Duke on Saturday. This looks like a bit of a let down spot for the Tar Heels, and they could also get caught looking ahead to that game against Duke.The under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 games as a home underdog, and 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 games as a favorite." The total for today's game is actually higher than it was this time last year, despite all the trends pointing toward another low scoring game. The Cavs have held opponents to an average of 50 points at home this season, and they rank 1st nationally in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 52.7 points per game overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
01-06-18	Florida -113 v. Missouri		77-75	Win	100	5 h 41 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Florida Gators. After Florida upset Gonzaga to move to 5-0, the Gators hit a wall. They went on to lose four of their next five games, but they have since won four straight. Their most recent win was a double digit road victory at #11 ranked Texas A&M. The 11-4 Gators have three wins over ranked teams so far, while the Missouri Tigers have none. Missouri is coming off a 79-68 win at South Carolina, but they were upset by Illinois in their previous game in St. Louis. Florida has won four of the last five in this series, and all four wins came by at least 10 points. The Tigers have failed to cover in four of their last five home games, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. The Gators have won outright in eight of their last 11 road games versus teams from the SEC. I think that is a trend that will likely continue here today. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-06-18	Alabama v. Georgia -165		46-65	Win	100	4 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. I bet on the Bulldogs in their win over Ole Miss the other day, and here is what I had to say about that game: "The Bulldogs got off on the wrong foot in their opening game in the SEC, losing 66-61 at Kentucky. It was a solid effort though, easily covering as a double digit dog. I like their chances of getting back on track at home tonight, hosting the Ole Miss Rebels. Georgia has had the better of this series, winning six of the last seven meetings between the two schools. Last year the Bulldogs beat Ole Miss by a score of 69-47 at Oxford, and the previous year they won by a score of 80-66 at home. Mississippi is just 3-8 ATS in it's last 11 overall, and the Rebels are also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at Georgia. The Bulldogs are still undefeated at home, and they have won 18 of their last 23 home games." Georgia went on to win by a score of 71-60, and they have extended their home winning streak to nine straight games. They host Alabama today, and they have won four of the last five meetings between the two schools. Alabama has only covered the spread in one of the last seven meetings in this series. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-06-18	Xavier -190 v. Providence		72-81	Loss	-190	3 h 50 m	Show
This is a 7* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Xavier sits at the top of the Big East standings, and the Musketeers come into Providence riding a 10 game winning streak. The Friars are coming off back to back losses to Creighton and Marquette, and they have lost four of their last five versus Xavier. The Friars have been costing bettors a lot of money this season, covering the spread just three times in their last 16 games overall. They have been even worse as a home favorite, as they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games. Some might think the Musketeers could be looking ahead to their next game at Villanova, but I am not buying it. I like Xavier to keep on rolling here against an inferior opponent. Take Xavier. GL, Jesse Schule
01-06-18	Creighton v. Georgetown +5.5		90-66	Loss	-105	2 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. The Hoyas are 9-2 at home this season, and both of their home losses have come in overtime to Butler and Syracuse. Creighton has lost two of three road game, and the Jays are just 2-6 ATS in their last six on the road. The visitors are expected to cover a bunch of points here, and I think the bookmakers aren't giving the Hoyas enough respect. In recent seasons Creighton has been the better team, but that hasn't translated into wins versus Georgetown. The Blue Jays have lost five straight at Georgetown, and six of the last eight overall in this series. Georgetown has covered the spread in five straight overall, while the Blue Jays have failed to cover in four of their last five versus the Big East. I'll take the points with the home dog here. Take GTWN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-05-18	Jazz v. Nuggets -7.5		91-99	Win	100	32 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Playing on the road in the NBA is a tough task at the best of times, but it's even more challenging at altitude in Denver. Only the San Antonio Spurs have a better home record than Denver in the Western Conference. The Utah Jazz on the other hand have really struggled on the road, winning just three games of 18. Utah comes into Denver off a double digit home loss to the Pelicans, and the Jazz have lost seven of their last nine overall. Six of those seven losses came by a double digit margin, with the one exception being a 109-100 loss to Cleveland. One of those losses was a 107-83 loss at Denver. Here is what I said prior to that game: "Both the Jazz and the Nuggets are missing key players due to injury, but Denver has proven it has the depth to overcome adversity. The Nuggets have enjoyed a significant advantage at home in Denver. They are 11-3 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in six of their last eight in Denver. The home team has won six straight in this series, and has covered the spread in all six of those games as well. Utah is just 3-13 on the road this season, only the Mavericks have lost more road games in the Western Conference. They are coming off a 103-89 home loss to Oklahoma City, and Rodney Hood struggled, hitting just 3-of-14 shots and scoring just nine points. The Jazz have lost six of their last seven road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Nikola Jokic has averaged over 22 points per game in his last three starts, and he won't have to worry about Rudy Gobert tonight." I see no reason why we should see a dramatically different result here tonight. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-05-18	Knicks v. Heat -5		103-107	Loss	-110	31 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. Miami sits just 1.5 games back of Washington, second in the Southeast. They have faced plenty of adversity with Hassan Whiteside missing 15 games due to injury, but since his return they have won three of four. They are hosting the New York Knicks tonight, hoping to improve on just a .500 home record. The Knicks have been dreadful on the road, winning just three of 16 games. They come into Miami as losers of six of their last seven overall, and they are just 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings with the Heat. I bet against the Knicks in their last home game, a home loss to the Spurs. Here is what I said before the game: "New York's last home game was a 105-98 loss to the Sixers, and Jarrett Jack scored zero points on 0-5 shooting in the loss. The veteran is filling in for the injured Tim Hardaway Jr, and he's shot just 35 percent from the field in his last five starts." After losing to the Spurs, they lost 121-103 at Washington. Here is what Kristaps Porzingis said after the loss: "I'm tired. I'm tired. I'm so tired right now. I have one day now to rest my legs and then get back and play better and have more energy and also try and bring the team's energy up. Also we're in a tough stretch. The mental part doesn't help at all. When it's mentally tough you just don't have it in you. It's normal. It's normal. It's up and down. Get some rest, enjoy nice Miami weather and go try and win the Miami game." I like Miami to win big here. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-05-18	Manhattan +5.5 v. Monmouth		66-77	Loss	-105	12 h 16 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Manhattan Jaspers. Manhattan is one of three schools in the MAAC to win both their first two games in conference play. They will be an underdog on the road at Monmouth tonight, and the Hawks are 0-2 in the MAAC. Monmouth only has four wins in 14 games, and a lot of those losses came to teams you would expect the Hawks to beat. They were favored in losses to Hofstra, St. Peters and Quinnipiac. They are just 2-2 at home, and they have not covered the spread in any of their four home games so far. The Jaspers come in as winners of two of their last three road games, winning at Hofstra and Marist. Hawks leading scorer Micah Seaborn left the last game with an ankle injury, and he's officially listed as questionable for tonight's game. History favors Manhattan here, as the Jaspers are 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings, 4-0 ATS in their last four at Monmouth, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. I'll take the points! Take MAN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-04-18	Northern Iowa v. Missouri State -5.5		55-62	Win	100	14 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Missouri State Bears. The Northern Iowa Panthers are 0-2 in the Missouri Valley Conference, losing their first two games by a combined 22 points. They have lost four straight overall, and they will face a Missouri State team that looks like the favorite to finish at the top of the conference this season. The Bears are 12-3 overall, and they are coming off a huge road win at Valparaiso. Missouri State is 6-1 at home, and they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight overall. The Panthers have struggled offensively, averaging just 60 points per game on less than 40 percent shooting over their last five games. They also appear to be undersized, getting hammered on the boards night in and night out. Northern Iowa has failed to cover the spread in five straight road games, and seven straight games against Missouri Valley Conference teams. The Bears held Valparaiso to 50 points on 34.8 percent shooting on their home floor, and if they play that kind of defense tonight this game should be a one sided affair. Take MOSU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-03-18	Raptors v. Bulls +5		124-115	Loss	-105	21 h 11 m	Show
8*
01-03-18	Pacers v. Bucks -7.5	Top	101-122	Win	100	23 h 2 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. I bet against the Pacers in their loss at Chicago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago." The Pacers aren't expecting Oladipo back for Wednesday's game against Milwaukee, and they have lost all three games since his injury. The average margin of defeat in those games is well over 10 points. The Pacers have failed to cover in five straight overall, and they have lost their last two games at Milwaukee by a combined 31 points. The Bucks are a solid 12-6 on their home floor, and this looks like a good spot for them to open up a good old fashioned can of whup-ass on an inferior opponent. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
01-03-18	Connecticut v. Tulsa -145		88-90	Win	100	9 h 20 m	Show
The Huskies finished 6th in the American Athletic Conference last year, just one game ahead of Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane were a force at home, going 10-5 overall on their home floor last year. So far this year, the Hurricane have won six of seven at home, and have won back to back games to open conference play. The Huskies on the other hand have lost both their first two road games, and are still looking for their first conference win. They have lost three of their last four at Tulsa, and they have failed to cover in three straight versus the Hurricane. Tulsa has scored an average of over 83 points per game at home, and they have allowed just over 72 points per game. The Huskies are averaging just 61 points and conceding 81 points per game on the road. Tulsa is 7-2 ATS in it's last nine home games, while the Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine overall. I like the home team here as a small favorite. Take TULSA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-03-18	Ole Miss v. Georgia -195		60-71	Win	100	10 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. The Bulldogs got off on the wrong foot in their opening game in the SEC, losing 66-61 at Kentucky. It was a solid effort though, easily covering as a double digit dog. I like their chances of getting back on track at home tonight, hosting the Ole Miss Rebels. Georgia has had the better of this series, winning six of the last seven meetings between the two schools. Last year the Bulldogs beat Ole Miss by a score of 69-47 at Oxford, and the previous year they won by a score of 80-66 at home. Mississippi is just 3-8 ATS in it's last 11 overall, and the Rebels are also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at Georgia. The Bulldogs are still undefeated at home, and they have won 18 of their last 23 home games. The Rebels lost their only previous road game at Middle Tennessee, shooting just 27.8 percent from the field in a 77-58 defeat. The Rebels come into this game with an 8-5 record, and all five losses came against unranked teams. I don't think they can hang with the Dawgs in Georgia. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-02-18	Kent State v. Northern Illinois -155		61-75	Win	100	12 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. I bet on Northern Illinois a few weeks ago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Huskies will host the Chicago Illinois Fire tonight, and the Fire are still winless (0-4) on the road. They have been terrible on defense in those losses, surrendering 87.5 points per game on better than 52 percent shooting. The Huskies are 4-1 at home, and they have been solid defensively in those games. They have allowed just 65 points per game, holding opponents below 40 percent shooting. The Huskies beat the Fire by double digits at home last year, and won 70-65 at Chicago the previous season. UIC is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning record. They've also covered just once in their last five versus a team from the MAC. Eugene German scored 17 points on 7-of-10 shooting in last year's game, and he comes in as the team's leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game. The Huskies lost at Marquette in their last game, but covered the spread as a double digit dog. They have been better than the bookmakers have expected, covering the spread in all but one of their last six games. I like NIU to win comfortably at home here." They are just a slight favorite at home versus Kent State tonight, and the Flashes are just 1-3 on the road. The Huskies are coming off a poor season last year, but I expect them to be far more competitive in the MAC this season. They appear to be a little underrated here at home. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-02-18	IUPU-Indianapolis v. Green Bay -170		67-63	Loss	-170	12 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Green Bay Wisc. The Indiana Purdue Jaguars are 0-9 on the road, and they are still looking for their first conference win. I don't like their chances here in Green Bay, as the Phoenix have been playing great at home of late. They are 7-2 overall at home, and they are coming off a big win over the Oakland Grizzlies. The Phoenix finished in 3rd place in the Horizon last year, going 12-6 in conference play. They were 10-3 overall at home, and they are 28-8 overall at home the last three seasons. The Jags are playing their first season in the Horizon, and they were 5-13 on the road last year, playing in the Summit League. I can't see a Jaguars team that is 1-8 in it's last nine overall pulling off an upset here against a superior team on the road. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule
01-02-18	Spurs -5 v. Knicks		100-91	Win	100	29 h 17 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Knicks have a respectable .500 record overall, and they are an impressive 15-6 at home. They haven't played well of late though, losing four of their last five overall. The majority of their wins have come against mediocre Eastern Conference teams, not comparable to tonight's opponent. The Spurs are still one of the top teams in the West, despite dealing with injuries all year. Kawhi Leonard will be playing his seventh game since returning from injury, and he's looked like he's getting close to 100 percent. He's totaled 39 points in his last two starts. The Spurs have beaten up on Eastern Conference teams, covering the spread in four of their last five. New York's last home game was a 105-98 loss to the Sixers, and Jarrett Jack scored zero points on 0-5 shooting in the loss. The veteran is filling in for the injured Tim Hardaway Jr, and he's shot just 35 percent from the field in his last five starts. The Knicks lost at San Antonio by a score of 119-107 last week, and Kawhi Leonard didn't play in that game. I like the Spurs to take down the Knicks at The Garden tonight. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-02-18	Towson v. Elon +2		72-75	Win	100	26 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. This is what I had to say about Elon prior to the 2017 season: "If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup)." They come into today's home game against Towson as winners of all five of their home games. They were 10-4 at home last year, and one of those wins was a double digit win over Towson. The Tigers were just 6-8 on the road last year, and they are 1-4 on the road this year. I believe the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
01-02-18	TCU v. Baylor -118		81-78	Loss	-118	10 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. The TCU Horned Frogs won 12 straight games to start the season, climbing to #10 in the national rankings. They hadn't really faced any great teams until they lost to Oklahoma on Saturday, and they blew a big lead in that game. They will try to recover from a heart-breaking loss when they travel to Waco to play Baylor. They haven't had much luck against the Bears, losing 10 straight meetings since 2013. They failed to cover the spread in nine of those 10 losses. The Bears are 8-1 at home, and they beat TCU by a score of 70-52 at home last year. Baylor is trying to bounce back from a tough road loss at Texas Tech, playing without their leading rebounder Jo Lual-Acui. He's officially listed as a game time decision for tonight's game, but I expect him to play. "He's excited to be back after watching the Texas Tech game," coach Scott Drew said. "As far as how effective, we'll have to wait and see. We'll see what we've got come game time. It seems like every day it's an adjustment with who can practice and who can't." The Bears senior forward Terry Maston returned to the lineup against Texas Tech, but failed to score in 21 minutes. Maston averaged 10 points and seven rebounds per game last year, and it's just a matter of time before he get's back up to speed. At 6"8 225 lbs, he gives them another big body to pick up the slack in the event that Jo Lual-Acui is limited. The Horned Frogs are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against BIG12 teams, and I think people might be getting a little too excited about their hot start. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule
01-01-18	West Virginia -135 v. Kansas State	Top	77-69	Win	100	9 h 2 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers. The Mountaineers have lost just once this season, in their opening game at an Air Force base in Germany against Texas A&M. They bring a 12 game winning streak into Manhattan, and they have won seven of their last eight versus the Wildcats. Kansas State was competitive in the BIG12 last year, but finished with a losing record against BIG12 teams (8-10). They have been a solid bet as a home underdog, but they aren't getting a huge spread here in a game that is close to a pickem. The Wildcats have actually failed to cover in five straight home games, and seven of their last nine overall. The Mountaineers should have a huge advantage on the boards, averaging 38 rebounds per game while the Cats average just 30. They are also far better at the free throw line, hitting 78 percent of their free throws on the road, while the Wildcats have hit less than 70 percent at home. The Mountaineers won six of 10 road games last season, and this looks like a very winnable game for a superior West Virginia team. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-31-17	Wolves -3.5 v. Pacers		107-90	Win	100	30 h 12 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Timberwolves. I bet against the Pacers in their loss at Chicago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago." The Pacers aren't expecting Oladipo back for Sunday's game against Minnesota, and they have failed to cover in four straight. The Minnesota Timberwolves had won five straight before blowing a 20 point lead at Milwaukee. Three of those five wins came on the road, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five road games. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games versus a team with a winning home record, and they have covered the spread in three straight visits to Indianapolis. Jimmy Butler comes in feeling the hot hand, he scored 39 points in a home win over Denver on Wednesday, and he's averaged over 27 points in his last five games. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule
12-31-17	Missouri State v. Valparaiso -1		67-50	Loss	-102	14 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Valparaiso Crusaders. The last time I bet on VALPO, they let me down in a blowout loss to Purdue. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Crusaders are 8-0 so far this season, and last year they were 9-3 in non-conference games. The wins include an upset over #21 ranked Rhode Island, and a neutral site game against BYU. They will be getting a whopping 16 points in their game at Purdue tonight, despite the fact that the Boilermakers are coming off three consecutive games decided by single digits. Purdue failed to cover as a 14 point favorite in a 74-69 win over Northwestern. The Boilermakers were a 19 point favorite against Western Kentucky, and they lost that game outright. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 10 of it’s last 14 road games, and the Crusaders are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Often the Boilermakers enjoy a size advantage with the 7-footer Isaac Haas and 6″8 forward Vince Edwards. The Crusaders have a pair of 7-footers that should allow them to compete on the boards. I recommend to take the points here." While they did lose by 30 points, they were a 15 point underdog. They played their next four games without leading scorer Tevonn Walker, and they would lose three of those four games. Walker returned to play 25 minutes in the Crusaders loss to Indiana State, scoring 19 points on 6-of-17 shooting. The senior guard scored 21 points in an 84-81 win at Missouri State last year. The Crusaders have won and covered in each of the last four meetings between these two teams, and they won their last home game against Missouri State by a score of 74-45. Take VALPO. GL, Jesse Schule
12-31-17	East Tennessee State +155 v. Mercer	Top	74-55	Win	155	1 h 26 m	Show
This is an 8* play on East Tennessee State. The Buccaneers are an underdog at Mercer here this afternoon, but I think this is a case of the wrong team favored. East Tennessee State is 9-4 overall, with two of those losses coming on the road versus ranked teams. Their most recent defeat came at Xavier by a score of 68-66. Mercer on the other hand is 7-6 overall, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record (Liberty). Two of their wins have come against divsion II schools, and history tells us that they have struggled in recent meetings with the Buccaneers. They have lost six straight to East Tennessee, and they have failed to cover the spread in the last eight meetings. Last year they lost at home to the Bucs 67-58. I did quite well betting against Mercer in similar situations last year, noting that I felt this team is still overrated several years removed from their historic upset win in the NCAA Tournament versus Duke. Take ESU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Hofstra v. William & Mary -1	Top	87-90	Win	100	25 h 36 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CWM. The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. I bet on them in their win over Marshall back in November, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road." They went on to win by double digits, and they come into tonight's home game against Hofstra with a perfect 5-0 home record. The Pride have not played well within the CAA conference, going 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20. They have also struggled against teams with a winning record, failing to cover in five of their last six. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Florida State +11.5 v. Duke		93-100	Win	100	2 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles. The Duke Blue Devils will be a double digit favorite at home versus Florida State Saturday, and the Seminoles gave them plenty of trouble last year. Duke failed to cover as an 8-point favorite at home, and they lost by a score of 88-72 at Tallahassee. Florida State comes in with an 11-1 record, losing only to Oklahoma State by a single point (71-70). Florida State is 8-2 ATS in it's last 10 overall, and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. Florida State has been locked in on defense, holding opponents to just 59.6 points per game on 36.3 percent shooting. The Blue Devils are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win, and I believe Duke is simply overrated here in this spot. I'll take the points. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-30-17	Drexel v. Elon -5		75-90	Win	100	22 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. This is what I had to say about Elon prior to the 2017 season: "If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup)." They come into today's home game against Drexel with a 4-0 home record and an 8-5 overall record. They swept the season series against Drexel last year, and won by a whopping 20 points at home. Junior forward Tyler Seibring led all scorers with 25 points in that win, and he comes into today's game averaging 14.2 points and 7.6 rebounds per game over his last five starts. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
12-29-17	Kansas -2 v. Texas		92-86	Win	100	16 h 4 m	Show
8*
12-29-17	Pacers v. Bulls -2	Top	107-119	Win	100	30 h 22 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, coming into Friday's home games against Indiana as winners of nine of their last 11. I have bet on them several times during that span, and here is what I had to say prior to their win over the Knicks: "The Bulls won 115-106 at Milwaukee last night, and it was their eight win in their last 10 games. They have averaged over 111 points per game in those wins. Nikola Mirotic is a big reason for the turnaround in Chicago, and he scored 24 points on 9-of-18 shooting in Milwaukee last night." The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago. The Bulls have covered the spread in six straight home games, and they are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule
12-27-17	Knicks v. Bulls -120		87-92	Win	100	19 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls won 115-106 at Milwaukee last night, and it was their eight win in their last 10 games. They have averaged over 111 points per game in those wins. Nikola Mirotic is a big reason for the turnaround in Chicago, and he scored 24 points on 9-of-18 shooting in Milwaukee last night. The Knicks are horrible on the road, losing 10 of 12 so far. They are coming off a 105-98 home loss to the Sixers on Christmas, and Kristaps Porzingis shot just 6-of-19 from the field in the loss. Tim Hardaway Jr. remained sidelined for the Knicks, and they missed him on Christmas Day. Jarrett Jack started at PG against Philly, scoring zero points on 0-of-5 shooting with seven assists and three turnovers in 21 minutes. The Bulls have covered the spread in five straight home games, and playing on back to back nights shouldn't be a huge issue for a young team that is just getting a taste of what it feels like to win. This is further evidenced by the fact that the Bulls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on back to back nights.The Knicks have covered the spread just four times in their last 13 road games, and they are going to be hard pressed to win here at Chicago. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Jazz v. Nuggets -6		83-107	Win	100	18 h 48 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Denver Nuggets. Both the Jazz and the Nuggets are missing key players due to injury, but Denver has proven it has the depth to overcome adversity. The Nuggets have enjoyed a significant advantage at home in Denver. They are 11-3 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in six of their last eight in Denver. The home team has won six straight in this series, and has covered the spread in all six of those games as well. Utah is just 3-13 on the road this season, only the Mavericks have lost more road games in the Western Conference. They are coming off a 103-89 home loss to Oklahoma City, and Rodney Hood struggled, hitting just 3-of-14 shots and scoring just nine points. The Jazz have lost six of their last seven road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Nikola Jokic has averaged over 22 points per game in his last three starts, and he won't have to worry about Rudy Gobert tonight. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Bulls v. Bucks OVER 211		115-106	Win	100	16 h 38 m	Show
This is a 9* play on CHI@MIL to go OVER the total. The Bulls are coming off a 117-92 loss at Boston, failing to score 100 points for the first time in nine games. They won seven straight before dropping back to back games at Cleveland and Boston. They could catch a break here in Milwaukee, as the Greek Freak may not be 100 percent. The Bucks still managed to score their share of points in a 111-106 loss at Charlotte, despite the absence of Antetokounmpo. He's expected to return to the lineup here at home versus Chicago. The Bulls beat the Bucks by a score of 115-109 at home a few weeks ago, and they have gone over the total in three straight head to head meetings. The Bulls have gone over in four straight road games, and five of their last six overall. The Bucks have also been playing a lot off high scoring games, going over in seven straight at home. The over is 13-2-1 in Bucks last 16 overall. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Pacers v. Pistons -130		83-107	Win	100	18 h 5 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, allowing opponents to average 102.2 points per game. They have won four of their last five overall, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall. One of those games was a 104-98 win at Indiana last week. The Pistons have won two of the the last three in this series, and two of those three games went under the total. The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five, and the Pacers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games. The last time the Pacers played in Detroit, they were out-rebounded 42-31, and they shot just 7-of-24 from beyond the arc. They scored just 97 points in the loss, and I am expecting a similar result here in today's game. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 208		83-107	Win	100	15 h 43 m	Show
This is a 9* play on IND@DET to go UNDER. The Pistons are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, allowing opponents to average 102.2 points per game. They have won four of their last five overall, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall. One of those games was a 104-98 win at Indiana last week. The Pistons have won two of the the last three in this series, and two of those three games went under the total. The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five, and the Pacers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games. The last time the Pacers played in Detroit, they were out-rebounded 42-31, and they shot just 7-of-24 from beyond the arc. They scored just 97 points in the loss, and I am expecting a similar result here in today's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-17	Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 209		93-98	Win	100	13 h 24 m	Show
This is a 9* play on TOR@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Mavs have won two of their last three home games, and they held opponents to less than 100 points in all three of those contests. They will be a significant underdog here on Boxing Day, hosting the Toronto Raptors. Toronto has taken over first place in the Eastern Conference, and they come into Dallas as winners of 12 of their last 13. Toronto ranks third in the league in scoring, but points have been hard to come by in previous games against Dallas. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the two teams, and they have gone under in five of the last seven in Dallas. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the previous five meetings. The Mavs have failed to reach the total in six straight when playing on two days rest, and the under is 6-1 in their last seven versus a team with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-25-17	Wizards v. Celtics -4.5	Top	111-103	Loss	-110	161 h 2 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are still in first place overall (as of Dec 19). The Cavs are hot on their heels, and both teams will be in action on Christmas Day. These games are a showcase for the stars, and players like Kyrie and LeBron can make a statement to the rest of the league with a strong performance on the big stage. Both delivered last Christmas in a 109-108 win over Golden State. Lebron scored 31, but Kyrie had 25 points, 10 assists, seven steals and six rebounds. It was Irving that drained the game winning three-point shot with three seconds on the clock. I expect another big game from Kyrie here at home against the Wizards. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-25-17	Cavs +5 v. Warriors		92-99	Loss	-115	13 h 23 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the Cleveland Cavs. The Celtics are still in first place overall (as of Dec 19). The Cavs are hot on their heels, and both teams will be in action on Christmas Day. These games are a showcase for the stars, and players like Kyrie and LeBron can make a statement to the rest of the league with a strong performance on the big stage. Both delivered last Christmas in a 109-108 win over Golden State. Lebron scored 31, but Kyrie had 25 points, 10 assists, seven steals and six rebounds. The Warriors are banged up with Curry out and Draymond nursing a sore elbow. The defending champs aren't going to make or break their season here in a Christmas Day game against the Cavs, but this game likely means the world to LeBron and company. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule