This is a 10* play on GT.

The Yellow Jackets might not be the best team in the ACC, but they are one of the best teams when they play on their home court. This is evidenced by wins over Mississippi State and Duke, both ranked in the Top 25. Boston College has road wins over The Citadel and Vanderbilt, but this is a huge step up in class. History favors the home team, as Georgia Tech has won five straight versus the Eagles, covering the spread in all five of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on ARK.

Auburn comes into Arkansas as a favorite asked to cover points despite losing four of the last five meetings, and having not won at Arkansas in the last three seasons. The Razorbacks are 7-1 at home, including a win over Duke without their leading scorer. Even though they finished in the bottom half of the standings in the SEC last year, their home record of 14-3 was right up there with the top teams. Auburn has lost seven straight road games, and this looks like a case of the wrong team favored.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The West Virginia Mountaineers rank 268th nationally in pace of play, averaging 69 possessions per game. Houston ranks 342nd nationally, averaging just 66 possessions per game. The Mountaineers rank 353rd in scoring, averaging 68 points per game, and they face a Houston team that is allowing just 49 points per game. With both these teams playing so slow, it's hard to imagine that the Mountaineers can score 50 here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on PHX.

The Heat have played well despite a the absence of Jimmy Buckets and Caleb Martin, but tonight's game in Phoenix looks like a tough spot. They've been in LA since New Years, and lord knows what a bunch of millionaires in their 20s get up to in LA. This is a final game of a West Coast road trip, and they are back home to host Houston on Monday. The Suns have struggled, but Bradley Beal has scored 20+ points in three straight games. Prior to KD sitting out the last two games, the Suns had won back to back games with their BIG3 intact. KD was able to practice on Thursday, and he should have an opportunity to play here on Friday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The North Texas Mean Green are a defensive powerhouse, allowing 58.9 points per game on the season. They rank 354th nationally in pace of play averaging 66 possessions per game. They held St. Johns to 53 points, LSU to 66 points, and the last time they faced Wichita State they won 62-52. The Shockers are averaging over 75 points per game this season, but have failed to score 70 in four straight games. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Campbell Camels ranks 344th nationally in scoring, averaging just 68 points per game. They are strong defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 64 points per game. Campbell ranks 350th in pace of play, averaging fewer than 68 possessions per game. The last time these teams played, Campbell won by a score of 64-63 at home. The total in both games last year was listed 10+ points lower than the listed number for tonight's game. Tonight's total is higher than in any of Campbell's last 10 games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

The Clippers are 12-2 in their last 14 overall, and they are 10-0 in their last 10 when Kawhi Leonard starts. Kawhi is healthy, but KD is not. Durant is expected to miss this game with a sore hamstring. The Clippers were 3-1 at Phoenix last season before Kawhi was injured, and he averaged averaged 34.5 points in the series versus Phoenix last year. The Suns are reeling, and Durant is rumored to be looking to leave.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The UCLA Bruins have struggled to score this season, ranking 368th in scoring averaging 67 points per game. Putting that in perspective there are only 362 Division 1 teams. UCLA has been pretty solid defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 62 points per game. Gonzaga, Ohio State, Villanova, Oregon, Oregon State and Maryland all failed to score 70 against UCLA. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Arizona, scoring 100 points in the victory. They only score 60 in a loss at San Diego State in their last road game.

GL,

Jesse Schule.

This is a 4* play on Under.

There are 362 Division 1 teams, and 361 of them play at a faster pace than the Davidson Wildcats, who rank dead last in possessions per game. The Dayton Flyers are only slightly faster, ranking 355th in possessions per game. History tells us that these teams play low scoring games, with both meetings going under last season. The total for this game is seven points higher than it was in those two games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on CSU.

The Rams and the Lobos are 12-1, and both teams only loss came against St. Mary's. The Rams lost by three while the Lobos lost to the Gaels by double digits. Colorado State has a far better strength of schedule, with wins over #8 ranked Creighton, Colorado and Washington. The Rams are 6-2 in the last eight meetings versus New Mexico, and they are 5-0 in their last five home games versus the Lobos.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on GSW.

The Warriors are a desperate team in need of a win, coming into this home game off three straight losses to Dallas, Miami and Denver. They had previously won five straight, and four of those wins came at home. The Magic actually won at Golden State last January, but the previous nine head to head meetings were all won by the home team. The Magic have lost nine of their last 10 at Golden State. The Warriors are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Illinois comes in averaging over 82 points per game, but those numbers came in non-conference play. It's time to buckle up for the BIG10, and their one conference game came against Rutgers, winning by a score of 76-58. Terrance Shannon Jr. scored 23 points in that game, and he leads the team in scoring averaging almost 22 points per game. Nobody else averages 12 points per game, and Shannon is their best three-point shooter hitting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc. The kid is a great player, but he's got himself in some trouble with the law and he will be away from the team for the foreseeable future. The Wildcats lost by a score of 66-62 at Illinois in the most recent meeting between the two teams. The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in the last four meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

How high can an NBA total go? The Bucks and the Pacers are high flying offensive powerhouses, so it comes as no shocker that they have gone over in seven of the last eight meetings. We have yet to see a total as high as 260 though. Only four of the last seven meetings have gone over 260 combined points. These teams rank 1st and 2nd in the NBA in scoring, but both average well below 130 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MEM.

The Grizz have a terrible home record, just 2-11 on the season. They host the Sacramento Kings who are a pedestrian 7-7 on the road. When it comes to Memphis, you have to throw out all the numbers prior to the return of Ja Morant. The Grizz are 4-1 in the five games he's played, with the only loss coming on the road at the Clippers on Friday. The Grizzlies are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 versus the Kings, and they have won four of five home games during that span.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on YSU.

The Oakland Grizzlies travel to Youngstown coming off three straight losses on the road. They lost both meetings versus the Penguins last year, and they also lost at Youngstown in the 2022 season. The Penguins are 7-0 at home, and they are 2-0 in the Horizon. They crushed the Cleveland State Vikings by 25 points, and the Grizzlies last game was a loss at Cleveland State. This could be a blowout win for the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on IND.

After winning back to back games on the road, the Pacers are back in Indy hosting the New York Knicks Saturday night. The Knicks are playing the second game of a back to back, coming off a loss to Orlando. Playing on back to back nights is always tough, but against the league leader in pace of play perhaps even tougher? The Pacers are 15-5 straight up in their last 20 home games versus the Knicks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DET.

Have you heard of the Casey Curse? For those who don't know, the Raptors fired coach Casey after finishing first in the East, but losing to LeBron and the Cavs in the playoffs several years ago. The Raptors went on to win a championship with Nick Nurse, and Detroit hired coach Casey. The Pistons have long been the laughing stock of the league, but the one team that they could beat was Toronto. While Casey is no longer the Pistons coach, and the Raptors have won five straight meetings versus Detroit, the Pistons are still 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head. Both these teams look like they are tanking, but the Pistons are desperate to snap their historic losing streak. This looks like as good a spot as any for the Pistons to get a W.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MARSH.

The Thundering Herd finished 2nd in the Sun Belt last season, tied with the Ragin Cajuns. They were 15-2 at home, and they have a pair of senior starters back from that team. The Ragin Cajuns have lost four of five one the road so far this season, and they were just 7-7 in road games last year. Louisiana-Lafayette are 1-7 SU in their last eight games on the road, while Marshall has won 12 of their last 16 in the Sun Belt.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Utah.

Both these teams are 9-2, but Utah has more impressive wins. They won at St. Mary's and they beat #14 ranked BYU. The Utes are 6-0 at home, and they won by 14 in the most recent meeting versus WSU last January. Utah is 8-2 straight up, and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 versus the Cougars. This will be the first true road game for Washington State, and they were 4-8 on the road last year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Warriors.

So the Heat got a home win over a shorthanded Philly team on Christmas Day, while the Warriors lost at Denver in a game that was highly controversial. The Dubs should bring it here at home after Steve Kerr railing against the officials after the loss to Denver. The Dubs have won eight in a row at home, and they are 4-1 in their last five home games against Miami. They have actually been a better team since the suspension of Draymond Green.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on EWU.

So the 4-7 Eagles are a home favorite here against the 9-3 Vikings. I think this line is a product of these teams overall records, despite the fact that strength of schedule tells us that Eastern Washington is much better than their record would indicate. The Eagles losses came against five teams from the PAC12, and road games versus teams from the BIG12 and SEC. They have won 13 of their last 14 home games, and they have won seven straight head to head versus the Vikings. They are 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

You gotta have a big set to be betting unders in the NBA these days, but the Iceman has a pair, don't you worry about that. Houston ranks 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 108 points per game. They lost at home last night to Indiana, in a game that they let get away from them. The Suns are also coming in off an ugly loss, and I am expecting both these teams to reign it in here as they look to bounce back. The last time Phoenix played at Houston they scored just 97 points. We might see both these teams bring it on defense tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on HOU.

The Rockets are 12-2 at home, and nobody in the Western Conference has more wins. They rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They host a Pacers team that is allergic to defense, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing 126 points per game. The Pacers have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five versus teams from the Western Conference.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on DENVER.

The defending champs are 11-2 at home, and the Joker is still in a class of his own. While the mainstream media refuses to five Nikola Jokic the credit he is due, he continues to dominate everything in his path. The Warriors five game winning streak only puts them a game above .500, and four of those five wins came at home. Now they are on the road, and Steph Curry averages over 30 points per game at home, and just over 26 points per game on the road. The Warriors have lost four straight in this series, and they are 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

4*

This is a 10* play on Over.

This number looks a little too low. Perhaps the bookmakers haven't fully adjusted for the fact that Georgia Tech is playing at a far faster pace than they did last year. Their average of over 72 possessions per game ranks among the faster teams in the country. Nevada is right behind them averaging just short of 72 points per game. Nevada comes in averaging over 79 points per game. The Yellow Jackets have averaged over 72 points per game, and they have allowed 71 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MEM.

The Grizzlies are a different team with Ja Morant in the lineup, and since he's back they have won back to back games. Morant scored 34 in his return to the lineup in a win at New Orleans, and then followed up with 20 points in a home win over the Pacers. The Hawks have a far better record on the road than they do at home, and they are playing the second game of a back to back after a loss at Miami last night. The Grizz have won three of their last four at Atlanta.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Mean Green rank 353rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 65 possessions per game. They rank 360th in the nation in scoring, but they are holding opponents to an average of just 59.8 points per game. They are 4-0 in their last four versus Texas Arlington, and the Mavericks have averaged just 55 points per game during that span.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Bruins are slumping, losing four of their last five overall and scoring just 63.8 points per game during that span. UCLA ranks 309th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They host Maryland, and the Terps last road game was a 65-53 loss at Indiana. We should expect this game to be played at a snail's pace, and the score should reflect that.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on HOU.

The Rockets are coming off a brutal home loss to the Hawks, but this looks like a nice bounce back spot against an undermanned Dallas team. The Mavs entire starting lineup is expected to be out due to injuries, and that includes leading scorer Luka Doncic. The Rockets are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they rank 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring average.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MEM.

Not going to deep into this one. Ja Morant just set the record for most points in a return to the lineup, and the Pacers are playing the second game of a back to back on the road off a big win. Bad spot for Pacers, good spot for Grizz.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

There are 362 division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 251st in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They will be a heavy favorite versus USC Upstate, who only scored 53 points in their last game. Davidson is 6-0 at home, holding opponents to an average of 55 points in those games. Expect the Wildcats to shut down USC Upstate here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SAC.

This looks like a huge let down spot for the Celtics, losing in overtime in a late game at Golden State last night. Now they play the second game of a back to back on the West Coast in a different time zone. Tatum and Brown each played 40+ minutes in the loss to the Warriors, and I would be shocked if they didn't get a lighter workload here in this spot. The Celtics have lost four of their last five versus teams from the Western Conference, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on UNC.

I will stop short of calling the Oklahoma Sooners a fraud, but I will caution not to read too much into a perfect 10-0 record. Keep in mind strength of schedule, and while they have beaten four Power Five teams, but Iowa, USC, Providence and Arkansas have all underachieved so far. The Tar Heels come off back to back losses to Kentucky and Connecticut, both of those teams look like legit contenders. I think Oklahoma gets exposed here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

So the Clippers lost six in a row after the James Harden trade, but after Russell Westbrook offered to come off the bench, things started clicking. A few days before Christmas and the Clippers look like the best team in the NBA. They have won eight in a row, and they take on a Dallas team tonight that could be without three starters. The Clippers have won five of their last six on the road and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight versus Dallas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Northwestern Wildcats will play Arizona State at a neutral site Wednesday, and we are expecting a low score here. The Wildcats rank 340th in pace of play, averaging just 66.8 possessions per game. The Sun Devils actually play at above average pace, yet rank 323rd in scoring, averaging less than 70 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on HOU.

The Rockets are a Jeckyll and Hyde team at home and on the road. They are 11-1 at home, and just a short favorite against the Atlanta Hawks, who have a losing record on the road. The Hawks are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 overall, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight on the road. They are 4-8 straight up in their last 12 versus Houston.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on N.O.

The Grizzlies will get Ja Morant back tonight, and there is no doubt that Memphis will be a better team with his return. Don't expect that impact to be significant here in the second game of a back to back on the road at New Orleans. He hasn't played since the first round of last year's playoffs. Normally in a situation like this you expect to see a limited number of minutes in the first game back. The Pelicans are winners of four straight, and three of those four wins were blowouts.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So we go inside the numbers here and we find that both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. Minnesota ranks 2nd allowing less than 106 points per game. Both teams also rank in the bottom 10 in the NBA in pace of play, and Miami ranks 28th averaging just 100 possessions per game. These teams have gone under in three of four head to head meetings dating back to 2021.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on WASH.

The rivalry between these two Pacific Northwest schools has been very one-sided. The Huskies have won 10 straight head to head, covering the spread in four straight. Perhaps it could be considered a let down spot for the Huskies coming off a home win over Gonzaga. The Red Hawks play a couple of PAC12 teams in non-conference play every year. They are 0-9 straight up versus PAC12 teams since 2019.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIZZ.

The Pirates are 6-4 overall, but 0-4 versus teams from teams from Power 5 conferences. They lost at home to Rutgers, at Baylor and at neutral sites versus USC and Iowa. The Missouri Tigers are coming off a 73-64 loss at Kansas, but they had previously won eight of 10. While it's not a home game for Missouri, playing in Kansas City should favor the Tigers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on FAU.

The Owls are off to an impressive 8-2 start to the season, and six of those eight wins came by double digits. Their last loss came at a neutral site versus Illinois, and the Illini shot over 63 percent from the field. Despite that the final score was relatively close (98-89). They are simply in a different class than this St. Bonnies squad, that faces a ranked team for the first time. The Bonnies lost by 17 to unranked Auburn.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on NMSU.

The Lobos come into this rivalry game with a 9-1 record, and one of those wins was a 44-point blowout at home versus New Mexico State. They could be primed for a bit of a let down here in just their second road game of the season. We don't normally see blowouts in this rivalry, prior to this season the average margin of victory in the previous four head to head meetings was just four points. The Lobos have failed to cover in six of their last seven as a road favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on ORL.

The Celtics are undefeated at home this season, but this appears to be a tough spot for the home team. Boston is playing the second game of a back to back after winning back to back home games in a two game set versus Cleveland. History favors the visitors here, as the Magic are 6-0 ATS in the last six head to head meetings. What is really shocking, is that Orlando has won four straight outright in this series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SAC.

The Kings got off to a slow start, and De'Aaron Fox missed some games. They come into tonight's home game against the Thunder as winners of 11 of their last 16. Only two of those losses came at home. History favors the Kings, as they are 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings. They won all five home meetings during that span, and one of those wins was just a few weeks ago. The Kings are coming off a blowout loss to the Clippers, and this looks like a get right game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

We expect a high scoring game here in Milwaukee tonight, but how high are we talking. This is the biggest number I have ever seen, and I think there are just so many things that can happen to prevent these two offensive juggernauts from getting there. Putting things in perspective, last week's meeting in the In-Season Tourney ended with a final score of 128-119, going under the inflated number. The previous head to head meeting went over the listed number of 239.5, but the score of 126-124 wouldn't have come anywhere near this number. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings, but only three of those games saw enough points to go over this inflated total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

We should expect a snail's pace here in this game between Boston University and Dartmouth. Both these teams rank near the bottom of Division I in pace of play each averaging fewer than 70 possessions per game. The Terriers are averaging just 66 points per game, but Dartmouth ranks 413th nationally averaging just 62 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Red Raiders are 4-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of 52.5 points per game. Oral Roberts is 0-3 on the road with losses at Texas A&M, Missouri State and Kansas State. There are 362 division I teams, and Texas Tech ranks 258th in pace of play averaging just 69.9 possessions per game. Oral Roberts is much the same averaging just 70.4 possessions per game (235th). We have Texas Tech scoring 70-77 points, and Oral Roberts scoring 53-60 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SAC.

The Kings finished first in the Pacific Division last year, and they currently trail the LA Lakers by just a half game. They host the Brooklyn Nets tonight, and a win could put them in first place. The Kings won and covered in both head to head meetings versus the Nets last year. They won at home by a score of 153-121. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus teams from the Eastern Conference.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Penn.

The Quakers are 6-1 at home, and the one loss came in overtime versus Belmont. They host the Howard Bison who are 1-4 on the road. The Bison have lost 14 of their last 15 versus teams from the Ivy League. The Quakers are 12-1 in their last 13 home games, and they have have won five of their last six versus teams from the Mid East.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Pacers are cooking fire heading into the NBA In-Season Tournament Final, but the Lakers may be able to cool them off. These two teams have gone under in three straight head to head meetings, and the Lakers have held opponents to just 105 points per game in their last five. We saw LA hold the Pelicans to just 89 points in the Semi Finals. Expect a strong defensive effort here in a Championship Game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Last year Seton Hall beat Rutgers in New Jersey by a score of 45-43, and while that game may look like anomaly, low scoring games have been the norm when these teams play. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has gone under in seven of their last eight overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six road games. The Pirates are 5-0 at home, and they have held opponents to 62 points per game. This one should be a defensive battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Of 362 Division 1 teams, West Virginia ranks 341st in possessions per game. Drexel ranks 340th, so we should expect a snail's pace here in this matchup. The total has gone under in eight of West Virginia's last 11 games. The total has gone under in six of Drexel's last seven games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Catamounts last home game was a 66-65 win over Yale, and they came back from down five in the final three seconds. Vermont is 5-0 at home, and the majority of those games have been low scoring. Of the 362 Division 1 teams, Vermont ranks 358th in possessions per game. The total has gone under in eight of Colgate's last nine games. The total has gone under in 8 of Vermont's last 11 games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Under.

These two rivals rank 3rd and 4th respectively in opponent's scoring average, and history tells us that low scores have been the norm in recent meetings. They have failed to reach the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and both previous meetings this season have gone under. The Celtics have won nine straight at home and the total has gone under in 10 of Boston's last 14 games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The St. Peters Peacocks rank 341st in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. They are coming off a 54-52 win at Canisius, and they rank 411th nationally scoring just 61.5 points per game. Duquesne has failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and they have gone under in three straight home games. While this is a low number, I think the Peacocks are gonna struggle to score 50.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Oklahoma City Thunder come in averaging over 119 points per game, but the Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 107 points per game. These teams have gone over this number in the last two meetings, but both those games were at Oklahoma City. They have gone under in four straight at Houston. The total has gone under in eight of Houston's last 11 games, and they have won eight straight home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

We should expect a snail's pace here in Davidson's home game against Campbell. There are 362 Division 1 teams in college basketball, and 350 of them average more possessions per game than both these two teams. Campbell ranked 359th, and Davidson ranks 351st in possessions per game. Campbell is 0-3 on the road, and they have scored an average of 51 points in those games. They might be lucky to reach a half a hundred here at Davidson.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Terps will be a favorite at home versus Penn State, and history tells us we should see a low score. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total, and the last time these teams played Penn State won 65-64. Both teams have scored fewer than 70 points in four of the last five meetings. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Maryland's last 13 games, and they are 15-0 in their last 15 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BSU.

North Texas is the poor man's version of the Virginia Cavaliers, and that's not a knock on them. They come into Boise as defending NIT champs, and they have won five of seven so far this season. Their two losses came by a combined five points, so why on earth would we be betting on them to lose by 5+ here tonight? Well it is their first road game, and they face a Broncos team that has won 16 of it's last 17 home games. Boise is coming off a neutral site win over St. Mary's, a team that plays a similar style to the Mean Green. We expect a relatively comfortable win for Boise, predicting a final score of 68-60.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SAC.

The Kings are 9-3 in their last 12 overall, and they sit first overall in the Pacific Division. They host New Orleans Monday, and the Pelicans are 3-6 on the road. New Orleans has lost three straight road games, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. The home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. I think the Pelicans run into a buzz saw here in Sacramento.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Creighton.

The Blue Jays lost at home to Nebraska last year, but they have dominated this rivalry over the last decade. There is reason to like Creighton in this revenge game. The bring back their top three scorers from last year, and they picked up senior guard Steven Ashworth in the transfer portal, and he averaged over 16 points per game for Utah State last year. Nebraska has overhauled their entire starting lineup with mostly roles players. Creighton has won eight of the last 10 head to head meetings, and three of the last four at Nebraska. They covered in all three of those wins.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Gonzaga ranks 220th in the country in possessions per game, and they play solid defense allowing under 65 points per game. USC is coming off a 106-78 win over Eastern Washington, but we should see a lot more defense here in this game. Gonzaga is 3-6 ATS in their nine overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last six games overall. The last time these teams played head to head Gonzaga won 85-66 falling a half point short of the total of 151.5. The number is a little higher here this time, and I don't think this is the same high flying Gonzaga team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4% play on Under.

These two teams have gone under in each of the last two head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings have gone under 138 points. The total of 138 is higher than the number listed in each of the the last four meetings. Rutgers has gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 8-3 in their last 11 BIG10 games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Ducks.

I like Oregon to bounce back here at home after losing back to back games. They hung around in a 99-91 loss to Alabama, but that was in Florida. The Ducks are 2-0 at home so far this season, and they were 15-6 at home last year. They are an experienced squad with senior center N'Faly Dante leading the team in scoring, and senior guard Jermaine Couisnard leading the team in assists. They have four seniors in the starting rotation. Michigan was 3-8 on the road last year, and there isn't a ton of buzz surrounding this year's team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on NW.

The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. The Boilermakers won two of three meetings last year, but lost the last meeting at Northwestern by a score of 64-58. These teams have a history of playing close games, as only one of the last five head to head meetings has been decided by more than six points. Purdue comes in ranked #1 in the country, and history tells us that can often be the kiss of death. Purdue has failed to cover in five straight road games, while the Wildcats have covered in seven of their last eight at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the under.

This matchup features two of the top 10 defensive teams in the NBA. In fact the Knicks rank 1st in the NBA in opponents scoring average allowing 105 points per game. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in each of their last three games, and this looks like a matchup where both teams are content to play at a slow pace. A few weeks ago an article was published in The Athleitc titled: "Toronto Raptors are slow, stingy and soft on glass" ... noting that they ranked 28th in the NBA in pace of play. I suspect that one of these teams will fail to score 100 points in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on OKST.

The Cowboys are just 3-3, and they will play a ranked team for the first time at home tonight. They are getting eight points, and their three losses this season all came by five points or fewer. Creighton is coming off a 21-point loss to unranked Colorado State at a neutral site. This Creighton team is playing it's first true road game, and the Blue Jays lost their first four road games last season. They didn't win a true road game until mid January, and they were 5-6 overall on the road last season. I'll take the home team plus the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Duke.

So Arkansas is coming off back to back losses, to Memphis and North Carolina. Their leading scorer was carted off in the loss to the Tar Heels with a back injury, and he's doubtful to play here. That didn't have much of an effect on the result, as they were losing by double digits in the dying minutes at the time of the injury. Now they host a #7 ranked Duke team that can cause them plenty of problems. Arkansas has failed to cover in six straight, and they have lost eight in a row versus teams ranked in the Top 25.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

The Rockets lost a tough one last night in Dallas, but they could catch a break in their second game of a back to back at Denver. The Nuggets are banged up, and it remains to be seen how much of their starting lineup can play. Ime Udoka has done a helluva job making this team competitive, and the Rockets currently rank #1 in the NBA in opponents scoring average. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference, and they are trending 13-7 overall to the under. Houston has gone under in seven of their last nine overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIN.

The Thunder are coming off a home loss to Philly, and off the court issues may be a distraction for a young team that were off to such a good start. They are in a tough spot here in Minnesota, and it's fair to say that the T-Wolves have had their number. Minnesota is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Minnesota has also covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games, and they are 11-2 SU in their last 13 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SOCAR.

The Gamecocks finished near the bottom of the SEC last year, but they come into tonight's home game against Notre Dame with a 5-0 record. Their leading scorer BJ Mack (F) is a senior transfer from Wofford. Junior guard Meechie Johnsoin is back after averaging 12.7 points last year. He's joined in the backcourt by senior transfer Myles Stute from Vanderbilt. The Gamecocks are certainly a lot more experienced than Notre Dame who is lead by a pair of talented freshmen. The Irish are facing an SEC team for the second time this season, and they lost by 24 in a neutral site game against Auburn. The Irish have lost 10 straight road games and 15 of their last 20 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Pistons.

I feel like a bit of a Sadist betting on a game between the two worst teams in the NBA. The Pistons have lost 13 straight overall, and Washington has lost nine straight. As improbable as it may seem, one of these two teams will win tonight's game. My money is on the home team that is at least healthy. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Washington.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on HAMPTON.

The Pirates were just 5-13 in the CAA and 8-24 overall last year. They still posted a winning record at home, and seven of their eight wins were in home games. Their only home game this season was a win over Florida Gulf Coast. They have overhauled their starting lineup to include three seniors, including leading scorer Tedrick Wilcox who came in via transfer. UMBC was just 8-8 in the American East last season, but they lost 10 of their 15 road games. Hampton is 5-1 ATS in their last five home games while UMBC is 1-9 SU in their last 10 on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BSU.

Boise State won 27 games last year, finishing first in the Mountain West and ranked in the Top 25 in the country. They bring back three of their top four scorers from last year's team, and they look like an early favorite to win the conference again. The Broncos are 3-2 with a pair of losses to ACC teams, and they face a tough opponent Sunday in the Butler Bulldogs. Butler is 4-2 with a pair of losses to ranked teams. Butler finished ninth in the Big East last year, winning 14 games. Only four of those wins came away from home. All five starters are gone, but it remains to be seen if this team is any better. This will be a good test for both teams but I am going to go with the experience of the Broncos.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Dallas.

The Mavs beat the Lakers 104-101 in their last game, almost blowing a 20-point lead in the 4th quarter. They are back at the Staples Center tonight to take on the Clippers, who have lost seven of 10 since the James Harden trade. The Clippers are playing the second game of a back to back and all the starters played heavy minutes in a loss to the Pelicans last night. Not only has LA lost seven of 10, but the wins during that span came against Houston and San Antonio. This looks like a tough spot for the older Clippers against Luka and Kyrie who are firing on all cylinders.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play o GMU.

George Mason will host the East Carolina Pirates Saturday afternoon, and this will be the first true road game for East Carolina this season. The Pirates were 2-9 on the road last year. George Mason was 14-2 at home last season, and they bring back two senior starters from last year including starting PG Ronald Polite. The Patriots are 3-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games was over 13 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on BAY.

The Bears come into this Black Friday game against Florida with a 5-0 record, and they are scoring almost 90 points per game on 51 percent shooting. Freshman JaKobe Walker is averaging 19 points per game, leading the bears in scoring. Senior guard RayJ Dennis scored 19.5 points per game in the MAC last year, and he's leading the team in assists. Baylor looks like a contender in the BIG12. The Gators are 4-1, and they are facing a ranked opponent for the first time. Florida finished last season with a losing record, and leading scorer Colin Castleton has moved on to the NBA. Incoming transfers will keep the Gators competitive, but they should be over-matched against a Baylor team with more high end talent.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on USC.

I bet against Oklahoma yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their win over Iowa: "The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody." The Hawkeyes were 4-of-23 from beyond the arc and shot just 35 percent from the field losing 79-67. The Trojans are coming off a 71-63 win over Seton Hall, and they hit 10-of-23 three-pointers in the win. Here is what I said about USC earlier this season: "the Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience." 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TAM.

Coming into this season I said I expected FAU to be overvalued. Here is what I said: "
Think about this... the last time we saw this Florida Atlantic Owls team they lost a close game in the Final Four versus San Diego State. They are bringing back all five starters, and they make the move to the American Athletic Conference. Everyone is going to be looking to back the Owls here, but Loyola is also bringing back four starters, and three of them are seniors." They have since lost to the Bryant Bulldogs, and I don't like their chances against an undefeated SEC powerhouse.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Iowa.

The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody. Iowa went to Creighton and lost, but played pretty well in a 92-84 loss. Senior forward Ben Krikke has made a huge impact transferring in from Valparaiso. He's leading the Hawkeyes with 20 points per game. Iowa finished Top 5 in the BIG10 last year, and it appears that this program is simply in better shape than Oklahoma at the moment.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DAL.

The Lakers are 6-1 in their last seven overall, but the one loss came in the second game of a back to back. Anthony Davis was terrible in the loss to the Kings, scoring nine points on 3-of-9 shooting. The Mavs come in well rested, and they are hungry coming off back to back losses. Kyrie scored 38 points in a win over the Lakers last March, his last visit to the Staples Center. Luka Doncic didn't even play in that game. This just looks like a great spot for the Mavs, and a let down spot for LA after beating Utah by 31 last night.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Purdue.

The Boilermakers took down #11 ranked Gonzaga yesterday, and they will face an even tougher Tennessee team tonight. I think they will be up for the task. Senior center Zach Edey scored 25 points in 33 minutes versus Gonzaga, after dropping 28 points on Xavier in the previous game. The Vols don't have anyone who can stop the 7-footer, and he should be primed for another big game. This seems like a short line for a Purdue team that started 22-1 last season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SLU.

I bet against the Shockers in their blowout loss to Liberty on Friday. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game." I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored in this one. The Bilikens have an experienced starting lineup with returning seniors from last year. While leading scorer Sincere Parker may not play, it's not like the Bilikens are thin at guard. They still have Gibson Jimerson who was the top scorer last year and Freshman Djordje Curcic who played for the Serbian National Team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TOR.

When the Pistons hired Monte Williams as their head coach, it may have put an end to the "Casey Curse". The Pistons owned the Raptors under Casey, who was spurned by the Raptors despite several winning seasons as bench boss in Toronto. The Pistons come in as losers of 10 straight, and the majority of those losses were of the blowout variety. Despite failing to cover in nine of the last 10 meetings, the Raptors have won four straight in this series. A healthy OJ Anunoby should benefit the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on GSW.

I am rolling the dice here hoping Steph Curry plays as a game time decision. Kerr said he might miss "a game or two", and he's missed the Warriors last two games. They are playing the second game of a two game set at home versus Oklahoma City, and while the Thunder won big in the first leg, they were only up by one-point with 2:41 remaining in the third quarter. Kerr limited his starters minutes in that game, and guys like Paul and Wiggins should get more time tonight if Curry doesn't play. It's normally a good play to take the team coming off a loss in a two game set like this, even if the Warriors are shorthanded.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

I bet under in Rutgers home win over Georgetown, and here is what I said before that game: "Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers." They beat the Hoyas 71-60. That was the highest score of any of the Scarlet Knights four games this year, and now they face a Howard team coming off a 64-53 win over Boston University. The Bisons might be lucky to score 60 here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Liberty.

The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game. Liberty won 27 games last year, finishing second in Conference USA. They bring back all but one starter, as well as a few quality transfers giving them a ton of experience. They did knock Villanova out of the NIT last year, and lost a close game to Wisconsin after that. The Flames should be on another level than Wichita.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SJU.

Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino. Dayton rallied late to come back after trailing LSU BY 15 points midway through the second half yesterday. This could set them up for a let down here on Friday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on OKC.

No Curry and no Draymond for the Warriors, and they have lost four straight and five of six. It's fair to say that these are teams trending in opposite directions, as Oklahoma City has won four of five. The Dubs have lost four of their five home games, and this team just looks like a mess at the moment. I like the Thunder to win big here at the Chase Center.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SJU.

The Red Storm are coming off a bad loss as a favorite versus Michigan, and I had them in that spot. Here is what I said before the game: "St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino." Here they are just a short favorite against a North Texas team that everyone remembers from the NCAA Tournament last year. The Mean Green had three double digit scores on last year's team, and all three of them have either graduated on transferred. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SAC.

The Kings finished near the top of the Western Conference standings last year, and forced a Game 7 versus Golden State in the playoffs. They got off to a slow start without D'Aaron Fox, but they come into LA as winners of three in a row and sitting in first place in the Pacific. Fox returned Monday, and he looked as good as ever going for 28 points on 11-of-20 shooting in a win over the Cavs. The Lakers could be in a let down spot here, coming off a blowout win over Memphis, and playing the second game of a back to back. The Kings have won seven of their last 10 versus LA, and four of their last five in LA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Colgate.

This is a revenge game for Syracuse, as they lost at home versus Colgate in non-conference play last year. Colgate went on to win the Patriot League and made the NCAA Tournament. The Orange have a new head coach, and they lost their leading scorer Joseph Girard and leading rebounder Jesse Edwards. Colgate is bringing back senior forward Keegan Records, sophomore Braenen Smith at guard, and senior forward Ryan Moffatt. I'll take the points here in what should be a close game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on FGCU.

The Eagles have been known to slay a few giants in the past, and they have an experienced lineup of returning starters who are mostly seniors. They already went to Indiana and gave the Hoosiers a run for their money, losing by six in a game that they were within two in the final 35 seconds. Pittsburgh was one of the best teams in the ACC last year, finishing with the same record as Duke. The Panthers lost their top four guards to graduation, and the names they brought in via transfer don't exactly pop off the page. This looks like too big of a number for a team in transition to be asked to cover.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SJU.

Michigan lost leading scorer Hunter Dickenson to Kansas, and they have to replace their top three scorers from a team that finished 8th in the BIG10 last year. You would expect a blue blood like Michigan to make a big splash in the transfer portal, but that doesn't seem to be the case. Olivier Nkamhoua averaged just over 10-point per game with Tennessee last year, and Nimari Burnett was a backup last year at Alabama and the previous year at Texas Tech. It would appear that the Wolverines are asking role players to step up and fill the void in the starting lineup. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on TENN.

The Vols are coming off a 25 win season, finishing 5th in the SEC and ranked #20 in the country. They bring back three starters, including senior guard Santiago Vescovi who lead the team in scoring last year. The Badgers finished 12th in the BIG10, unranked with a losing record in conference play. Wisconsin struggled in close games last year, and they lost four of their last six in Madison. They may find themselves overmatched here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on NW.

The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. They should have their way with an inferior Dayton team here in Evanston.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on ATL.

The Magic have been a solid play at home in recent seasons, but they are thin with a couple starters out of the lineup here. Atlanta comes in off a loss but has won four of their last five. History favors the Hawks, who have won eight of the last 10 meetings outright. The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in those games, and they are 3-1 SU in their last four at Orlando.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on FIU.

The Panthers were a middle of the road team in Conference USA last season, but they were pretty good at home. They won 11 games on their home court (11-7) overall, despite a losing record in conference play. They lost leading scorer Denver Jones in a transfer to Auburn, but bring almost every body else back. Tarleton State was in the middle of the pack in the WAC, but they were just 2-12 on the road last year. Their leading scorer transferred to Arkansas State, and their starting PG graduated. Junior Shamir Bougues also transferred to Vermont. That leaves them replacing their entire backcourt with freshman and role players. I thinking laying five here against a team that lost 86 percent of their road games last year seems like a bargain.

GL,

Jesse Schule