Rocketmansports.net - Free Picks from Expert Hanidcappers

Become a Facebook Fan!

Follow Me on Twitter!

Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-28-18	IUPU-Indianapolis v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 146.5	Top	77-92	Loss	-110	21 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on INDPU@NKU to go Under the total. The Norse are a strong team on defense, allowing just 65 points per game this season, and allowing just over 62 points per game at home. Northern Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six home games, and tonight's number is far higher than it was in most of those previous contests.These teams have played in each of the last two seasons, playing low scoring games with INDPU failing to reach 60 points in both games. INPU has failed to reach the total in four straight versus teams from the Horizon, while Northern Kentucky has gone under in 13 of it's last 16 as a home favorite. This total appears to be 5-6 points higher than it should be. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-26-18	Raptors -3.5 v. Heat		106-104	Loss	-103	6 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Heat have won five of six games since Goran Dragic last played. The veteran PG had a right knee scope last week, and there is no initial timetable for a return. While the Heat have played well at times, they have a losing record at home. They host the Toronto Raptors tonight, and the Raptors have the best record in the NBA. Toronto comes in with a 12-6 road record. While Kyle Lowry might not play tonight, the Raptors are expected to have Kahwi Leonard and Serge Ibaka back. Neither player was in the lineup when the Raptors lost at Philly before Christmas. Fred Van Fleet has been solid filling in for Kyle Lowry, in his last start he scored 14 points on 6-of-10 shooting with five rebounds and eight assists in a win at Cleveland. The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six head to head meetings, and I'll take the visitors as a small favorite. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-18	Raptors v. 76ers -4.5		101-126	Win	100	10 h 30 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. This looks like a let down spot for the Raptors, who have already missed Kyle Lowry and Danny Green due to injuries. Playing on the road on the second leg of a back to back in Philly, Nick Nurse says he plans to rest Kawhi Leonard tonight. The Sixers are 15-3 at home, and Jimmy Butler is back from a groin injury. The home team has won four straight in this series, and I don't like the Raptors chances of breaking that trend here tonight as they appear to be severely shorthanded. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-18	North Carolina -3.5 v. Kentucky	Top	72-80	Loss	-108	19 h 19 m	Show
This is a 10* on the UNC Tar Heels. Two of the top teams in the country will face off in Chicago on Saturday, and I like the ACC team here against the big dog from the SEC. Kentucky got crushed by Duke in their season opener, and has since lost to unranked Seton Hall. The Tar Heels last loss came on the road at #7 ranked Michigan, but two of their last three wins have come against ranked teams (UCLA and Gonzaga). Kentucky is 3-9-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the two teams. North Carolina has had little trouble with SEC teams, going 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 versus the SEC. The Tar Heels scored 103 points in a double digit win over #4 ranked Gonzaga last Saturday, and they beat #17 ranked UCLA by 16 points at the end of November. Senior guard Cameron Johnson has scored 45 points on 15-of-26 shooting in his last two starts, and I expect him to have a big game here against the Wildcats. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-18	Clemson v. South Carolina UNDER 145		78-68	Loss	-110	16 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CLEM@USC to go Under the total. The 8-3 Clemson Tigers will be a slight favorite on the road at South Carolina on Saturday. The 4-6 Gamecocks are just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Clemson beat the Gamecocks in each of the last two seasons and the Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight versus SEC teams. The trend that I think is even more significant is that these two teams have failed to reach the total in nine straight meetings. Now given the history, it certainly seems odd that tonight's total is almost 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous nine meetings. Clemson has failed to reach the total in 22 of it's last 30 versus SEC teams, and the Gamecocks have gone under in nine of their last 11 versus ACC teams. South Carolina has gone under in nine straight versus teams with a winning record. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-18	Northern Illinois v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 149		62-65	Win	100	9 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NIU@NKU to go Under. This will be the second meeting between Northern Kentucky and Northern Illinois, and the first meeting was tied at 65-65 at the end of regulation. They went on to play double overtime, with the Norse winning by a score of 88-85. We should expect a far lower score here tonight (barring overtime). The Norse are a strong team on defense, allowing just 65 points per game this season, and allowing just over 62 points per game at home. Northern Kentucky has failed to reach the total in four of it's last five home games, and tonight's number is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. They should shut down the Huskies here at home, and I think this number is grossly inflated, perhaps because of the high score in the last meeting. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-18	Texas Tech +10 v. Duke	Top	58-69	Loss	-115	10 h 14 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The #2 ranked Blue Devils have only lost once this season (89-87 vs Gonzaga), and they played a close game in a 78-72 win over Auburn. They opened as a 7.5 point favorite for tonight's neutral site game versus Texas Tech and MSG, but they have since been bet up to a double digit favorite. The Red Raiders come undefeated at 10-0, and while they haven't played any ranked teams, they do have an experienced squad with two seniors in the starting five. Texas Tech made it to the Elite Eight in last year's NCAA Tournament, beating the likes of Purdue and Florida before losing to Villanova. The Red Raiders rank 1st nationally in opponent's scoring average as well as opponent's field goal percentage. They could make life tough for Duke's talented freshman. I'll take the points. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-19-18	Auburn v. NC State -108		71-78	Win	100	9 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the North Carolina State Wolfpack. The #7 ranked Auburn Tigers will play their first road game of the season tonight, and it's not going to be easy. The NC State Wolfpack are 9-1, and 7-0 at home. They have beaten the likes of Vanderbilt (by 15) and Penn State (by 11). Auburn has failed to cover in three straight, and the Tigers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Last year the Wolfpack finished sixth in the ACC, behind five teams ranked in the Top 25 (Duke, UNC, Clemson, UVA and MIA). They were 16-3 at home, which included a 96-85 win over #2 ranked Duke. I'll take the Wolfpack here at home against a ranked team from the inferior SEC. Take NCST. GL, Jesse Schule
12-18-18	North Texas v. New Mexico -155	Top	74-65	Loss	-155	12 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos. The North Texas Mean Green come into New Mexico with a 9-1 record, but they haven't been tested by many quality teams. They are 2-1 on the road, but the one loss came by a 16-point margin at unranked Oklahoma. The Lobos don't have a very impressive record, 5-4 overall and just 3-2 at home. Their losses though have came against tough teams the likes of New Mexico State, St. Mary's and Colorado. While they lost 78-75 at home to the Buffaloes, they led by nine points at halftime in that game. They followed up that game with a double-digit home win over UNC Ashville. Tonight they host a North Texas team that has failed to cover in four of their last five overall, and in four straight when coming off a win. The Mean Green have built a strong record by winning close games against lesser opponents, and they should be overmatched here in New Mexico. Take UNM. GL, Jesse Schule
12-17-18	Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 210		93-110	Loss	-109	3 h 49 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MEM@GSW to go Over. The Warriors are back at full strength, with Draymond and Steph back from injuries. While they have won five of their last six, they haven't exactly looked that sharp. They lost a revenge game to the Raptors at home by a score of 113-93, and they needed to rally from behind to beat Sacramento. Their defense hasn't been very good, allowing and average of 110 points per game in their last six. The trends suggest that these teams have gone under more often than over, but the last two meetings both went way over the total. The Warriors scored 117, and 141 points in those games. I expect to see a high scoring first half here in Oakland. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule
12-17-18	Bucks v. Pistons +4		107-104	Win	100	1 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons are coming off a home win over the Celtics, snapping a six game losing streak. Detroit is still a solid 10-6 at home while Milwaukee is just .500 (6-6) on the road. The home team has won six straigh meetings straight up, and Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Milwaukee. "We haven't done anything," Pistons coach Dwane Casey said during his postgame press conference. "We've got some momentum now but we still have a tough team coming in Monday night. It doesn't get any easier. I told the guys to enjoy it until midnight and think about the things we can do better." The Bucks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-18	Nebraska v. Oklahoma State UNDER 142.5	Top	79-56	Win	100	7 h 27 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NEB@OKST to go Under the total. When the Cornhuskers take on the Cowboys in Sioux Falls, SD on Sunday, I expect to see a defensive battle. Both these teams have played strong defense so far, but Nebraska has been really impressive only allowing 59.6 points per game. Previous head to head meetings have been really low scoring, going under in each of the last three. Oklahoma State won by a score of 53-52 in the most recent head to head meeting. Low scoring games are nothing new for the Cowboys, the under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 overall. They have also gone under in seven of their last eight neutral site games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-15-18	Gonzaga v. North Carolina -2		90-103	Win	100	15 h 42 m	Show
This is a 9* play on the North Carolina Tar Heels. The public loves Gonzaga in this spot, they have a better record than the Tar Heels and the are ranked in the Top 5. If you look at their last two games (a loss to Tennessee and a 2-point win over the unranked Washington Huskies) they haven't looked like a team that should be expected to win at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are undefeated at home, and they have won 16 of their last 19 home games dating back to last year. That's pretty impressive when you consider they play the likes of Duke and Virginia. The Bulldogs haven't had a lot of success against ACC teams, failing to cover in six of their last seven. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule
12-15-18	Penn State v. NC State -3.5		78-89	Win	100	17 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the NC State Wolfpack. The Wolfpack come into Atlantic City with an 8-1 record, and their only loss came in a close game on the road at #22 ranked Wisconsin. Penn State has lost four of it's last seven overall, and they appear to be overmatched here against a competitive ACC team. These two teams have played three times since 2000, and the Wolfpack won and covered in all three meetings. Both these teams have been solid defensively, but while the Nittany Lions average just 69.6 points per game, the Wolfpack come in averaging over 88 points per game. They shoot the ball better from the field, from beyond the arc as well as the free throw line. They Wolfpack also appear to have the edge in rebounds per game. This looks like a mismatch. Take NCST. GL, Jesse Schule
12-15-18	Purdue -4.5 v. Notre Dame		80-88	Loss	-110	16 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Purdue Boilermakers. I bet against Notre Dame when they played Oklahoma at MSG earlier this month, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Notre Dame Irish will play Oklahoma at MSG tonight, and I think these two teams are trending in opposite directions. The Irish have lost Matt Farrell and Bonzie Colson, and they appear to be thin on talent after some mediocre results early on this season. They barely beat a below average Illinois team at home in their last game, and they trailed at halftime in that contest." The Irish have since lost at UCLA, and I still think Notre Dame has a tough season ahead. Purdue has lost four of it's last six overall, but three of those losses came on the road, and three of those losses came to ranked teams. The Irish have failed to cover in five straight versus the BIG10, and the Boilermakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 versus the ACC. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-18	Raptors v. Warriors -6.5		113-93	Loss	-110	8 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the GS Warriors. The Raptors needed overtime and 37 points from Kawhi Leonard to beat a banged up Warriors team at home at the end of November, and the media went nuts. All the talk in Toronto was that this was almost certainly a preview of the NBA Finals. Not so fast my friend! Steph Curry is back, and the Warriors have won four straight by double digits. That includes a 105-95 win over the Milwaukee Bucks in a very similar "Revenge Spot". This is the second game of a back to back for a Toronto team that hasn't played it's best basketball over the past few weeks. I like the Warriors to win big. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-18	LSU v. Houston -170		76-82	Win	100	7 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Houston Cougars. The LSU Tigers are coming off back to back blowout wins at home over inferior teams, but they face a tough test in their first road game of the season at Houston. The Cougars are 8-0, coming off a road win at Oklahoma State. The Cowboys had previously won by double digits in a neutral site game in Orlando. This is a spot where the Tigers have had trouble in the past, losing three of their last four at Houston. The Tigers are 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, while the Cougars are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-18	Blazers v. Grizzlies -155		83-92	Win	100	25 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizz are still one of the NBA's best defensive teams, ranking 3rd in the league in opponent's scoring average. Coming off back to back losses, they should be focused on getting back on track at home against a Blazers team on the back end of a back to back. Portland came up just short in a 111-104 loss at Houston last night, and might not have the same energy here in Memphis tonight. Portland isn't great on the road at the best of times, failing to cover in six straight road games. The Grizzlies are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-18	Jacksonville State v. Wichita State -8		65-69	Loss	-108	6 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. The Shockers have failed to impress so far this season, and they are coming off a devestating loss at Oklahoma. After losing 80-48 to the Sooners in Oklahoma City, they should be looking forward to a home game against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. The Gamecocks lost their first three games of the season on the road, and two of those three losses came in games decided by 15 or more points. The Shockers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, while the Gamecocks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-18	Celtics -146 v. Wizards		130-125	Win	100	5 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are banged up, but they look to extend a six game winning streak in Washington tonight against a struggling Wizards team that might be without John Wall and Otto Porter Jr. The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus Washington, and the road team has won three of the last four in this series. Kyrie Irving didn't play in Boston's win over New Orleans on Monday, but he is expected to return tonight. Marcus Morris scored 31 against the Pelicans, and Jalen Brown and Jason Tatum combined for 40 points. Superior depth should bode well for Boston here given the injuries to both teams. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-11-18	Raptors v. Clippers UNDER 224.5		123-99	Win	100	13 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TOR@LAC to go Under the total. The Toronto Raptors are still the best team in the NBA, or at least they still have the best record. They come into LA off back to back losses to Milwaukee and Brooklyn, and they struggled to score in both of those games. Kyle Lowry is just 1-for-13 from the field in his last two starts, and he's just 3-for-25 from three point range in his last four starts. The total for tonight's game in LA looks a little inflated, in fact the number is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 12 of the last 15 in NBA. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five straight games, and they should be locked in defensively tonight as they look to avoid a third straight loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-11-18	Denver v. Wyoming -7.5		90-87	Loss	-108	19 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Wyoming Cowboys. The Cowboys are coming off an inspiring home win over the South Carolina Gamecocks, and they will be a sizeable favorite at home versus Denver tonight. The history between these two teams is pretty clear, as the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings. All but one of those games was decided by a double a digit margin. Only once in the last eight head to head meetings did the home team fail to cover. Denver is 0-4 on the road, and hasn't covered the spread in any of it's last eight overall. Denver has also failed to cover in four straight trips to Laramie. Take WYO. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-18	Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 230	Top	104-99	Win	100	26 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go Under the total. The Bucks are coming off a home loss to the Warriors, scoring a season low 95 points. This is the highest scoring team in the NBA, and they still average over 120 points per game. Playing on the road against one of the league's top defensive teams in Toronto, and their DPOY candidate Kahwi Leonard isn't a good spot for the Bucks. The Raptors are coming off an overtime loss a Brooklyn, suffering a let down after beating the Sixers at home by a score of 113-102. Kyle Lowry was just 1-of-8 from the field in the loss, and he's 4-of-23 from the field in his last three starts. These two teams have gone over in six of the last 10 meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. In fact, nine of those 10 games saw a total at least 10 points lower than tonight's number. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the East, and easy buckets should be few and far between. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-09-18	Oregon State v. St. Louis UNDER 134.5		61-65	Win	100	3 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on ORST@SLU to go Under the total. The Saint Louis Bilikens are off to a solid 6-2 start, and they are 5-0 at home. All of their success has been achieved as a result of their strong defensive play. They are holding opponents to just 58.8 points per game at home, and during that span that includes a 64-52 win over Butler. Oregon State is no stranger to playing defense as well, holding opponents to 65 points per game his season. Last year the Beavers won 63-60 at home versus the Bilikens. Saint Louis has failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight overall, and five straight at home. The Under is 15-7 in the Beavers last 22 Sunday games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-08-18	Dayton v. Auburn UNDER 140.5	Top	72-82	Loss	-110	24 h 14 m	Show
This is a 10* play on DAY@AUB to go Under the total. Two of the best defensive teams in the country will face each other when #6 ranked Auburn hosts Dayton on Saturday . The Tigers will be a 15 point favorite, and they are 5-0 at home so far. Perhaps more impressive is that Auburn is only allowing 53.5 points per game at home. Neither of these teams are particularly good at shooting free throws, but hitting around 65 percent from the charity stripe. The Tigers have gone under in six of their last eight at home, and eight of their last 11 overall. All three head to head meetings (in the last decade) went under. Dayton has gone under in four of their last five road games, and in four straight versus SEC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-08-18	Lakers v. Grizzlies -120		111-88	Loss	-120	7 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizzlies are coming off a huge upset win on the road at New Orleans, and they held Anthony Davis to just 25 points. That's well below his season average of 29 points per game at home. The Grizz are still one of the NBA's best defensive teams, ranking second in the league in opponent's scoring average. They host the Lakers tonight, and LA is coming off a loss at San Antonio. LeBron scored 35 points in 37 minutes, and he continues to pile up the milage on his 33 year old body. Tonight's game figures to be a good spot to limit his minutes (if possible). In two games against Memphis last year LeBron averaged 26 points, and in one game versus Memphis two seasons ago he scored just 23 points. The Grizz have covered in seven of their last 8 home games versus teams with a losing road record, and they are 4-1 ATS in their las five home games versus LA. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule
12-08-18	Georgetown v. Syracuse UNDER 145.5		71-72	Win	100	19 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on GTWN@SYR to go Under the total. The Syracuse Orange will be a double digit home favorite in today's game against Georgetown, and the reason they are expected to cover such a big number here is because they are so strong defensively. The Orange are 5-0 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average just 52.8 points per game during that span. Historically these teams have played low scoring games, going under in six of the last nine meetings, yet the bookmakers have listed a total higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Syracuse has gone under in four straight against non-conference opponents, and the under is 4-1 in their last five at home. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-18	Nevada -7.5 v. Arizona State	Top	72-66	Loss	-110	30 h 1 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada is off to a hot start, coming into Friday's game versus Arizona State ranked sixth in the AP Poll. It's not just that the Wolfpack are 8-0, it's that all eight wins came by double-digits. Their closest game so far was a 96-86 win over Tulsa, in a game that they led by 11 at the half. The Sun Devils are also undefeated, and ranked in the Top 25. Their 7-0 start hasn't been quite as impressive, winning close games over teams like Utah State and Cal State Fullerton. They have only faced one ranked team, beating Mississippi State by a score of 72-67 in Las Vegas. Their last game was far from impressive, turning the ball over 19 times and shooting just 13-of-25 (52%) from the free throw line in a home win over Texas Southern. If they play like that here at the Staples Center, another double-digit win for Nevada will likely be the result. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-18	Warriors +1 v. Bucks		105-95	Win	100	12 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the GS Warriors. Without Draymond Green and Steph Curry, the Warriors have had more than their share of losses this season. One of those losses came against the Bucks, and that sets up a revenge spot here in Milwaukee tonight. This time around it's the Bucks that may be shorthanded, potentially missing second leading scorer Kris Middleton (personal issues) and Ersan Ilyasova. While Draymond remains out with a toe injury, Curry is back and he cooked up 42 points in a win over the Cavs on Wednesday. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, with the road team covering in 20 of the last 27 meetings. The Warriors have won three of their last four at Milwaukee. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule
12-05-18	Washington v. Gonzaga OVER 156		79-81	Win	100	23 h 24 m	Show
This is a 5* play on WAS@GONZ to go Over the total. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are the top ranked team in the country with an 8-0 record. They are averaging 98.4 points per game, second to only The Citadel who average 100 points per game. The Bulldogs are coming off back to back games with over 100 points, and a home game against Washington might see them put up another ridiculous number. They beat Washington 97-70 last year, and 98-71 the year before. So given the history you might expect the total for tonight's game to be over 160. Even though these teams hsve gone over in five of the last six meetings, tonights total is far lower than it was in all of those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-04-18	Michigan -4.5 v. Northwestern		62-60	Loss	-110	8 h 38 m	Show
5*
12-03-18	Iowa v. Michigan State UNDER 158		68-90	Push	0	20 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on IOWA@MSU to go Under the total. Iowa got off to a good start, winning six straight non-conference games to start the season, but they lost to Wisconsin by a score of 72-66 in their first game in the BIG10. They play on the road at East Lansing tonight, and the Spartans are a double digit favorite. The last time these teams met, they played a high scoring game going well over the total. Prior to that they went under in five of eight meetings. Tonight's total is significantly higher than it was in any of those games, and all of those games went under the listed number for tonight's contest. Michigan State can really play defense, and that has translated into going under in four of their last five home games, and six of their last eight BIG10 games. They have also gone under in 11 of their last 13 when coming off a win. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-28-18	Wizards v. Pelicans -6		104-125	Win	100	10 h 2 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are 8-2 at home, and one of those two losses came in a game that Anthony Davis sat out. The haven't had a lot of success against the Wizards though, losing seven straight and 13 of the last 14 meetings. This isn't the same Wizards team though, as Washington is close to completely blowing things up and starting a rebuild. The Wizards are 2-7 on the road, and ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Wizards are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games versus teams with a winning record. I like the home team in a revenge game, and I expect a big first half from the Pelicans. Take N.O. GL, Jesse Schule
11-27-18	Indiana v. Duke OVER 155	Top	69-90	Win	100	30 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on IND@DUKE to go Over the total. The Blue Devils will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they take on Indiana at home Tuesday night. Last year the Blue Devils won 91-81 at Indiana, and in the only other meeting in the past decade (2015) they won at home by a score of 94-74. The total for tonight's game is significantly lower than it was in the Hoosiers last trip to Cameron Indoor Stadium. In fact it's the lowest total the Blue Devils have seen all season. They come in averaging 91.8 points per game, but on defense they are allowing opponents to average 71.2 points per game. I guess that's what you get will a roster full of talented freshman. Indiana is lighting up the scoreboard as well, shooting 55.1 percent from the field and averaging 84.3 points per game. The over is 4-1 in Duke's last five games against BIG10 teams, and I woudn't be surprised to see another barn burner here tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule.
11-25-18	Clippers v. Blazers -170		104-100	Loss	-170	10 h 38 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Blazers. Portland and the Clippers are each sitting on 12 wins, but the Blazers are 7-2 at home while the Clippers are 4-5 on the road. This looks like a good sport for the Blazers to get back on track after a tough loss to the Warriors in Oakland on Friday. Portland has won all four meetings with the Clippers in 2018, two at home and two on the road. They covered the spread in all four games, and the average margin over victory in the two home games was in double digits. I'll take the home favorite to pick up the "W". Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule
11-24-18	Houston v. BYU OVER 148.5		76-62	Loss	-110	5 h 16 m	Show
This is an 8* play on HOU@BYU to go Over the total. Both Houston and BYU have got off to a good start this season, and both teams appear to be clicking offensively. The 5-1 Cougars come in averaging 84.7 points per game on 45.9 percent shooting, while the 3-0 Cougars (Houston) are averaging 87.3 points per game on 50.7 percent shooting. BYU has a history of playing high scoring games in Provo, the over is is 16-5-1 in the Cougars (BYU) last 22 home games. BYU has also gone over in 11 of their last 16 overall, and nine of their last 11 when coming off a win. If you can get a total under 150, I like the over here. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-21-18	Nuggets v. Wolves -125		103-101	Loss	-125	18 h 59 m	Show
8*
11-20-18	Washington v. Texas A&M UNDER 148.5		71-67	Win	100	28 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TAM@WAS to go Under the total. I took the under in Sunday's game between the Aggies and Minnesota in Vancouver, and it cashed easily. Here is what I said prior to tipoff: "Both these teams have played high scoring games early in the season, and because of that we see an inflated total for tonight's game. The Aggies are far from a run and gun team, despite averaging over 80 points per game so far. The majority of their points came in a 98-83 win over Savannah in their season opener. The have shot just over 22 percent from beyond the arc, and 66 percent from the free throw line. Minnesota scored 104 points against a Nebraska Omaha team that can't even think about playing defense, but then won by a score of 78-69 over Utah in their last game." The Aggies scored 64 points on 41 percent shooting, and they hit just 20 percent of their three-point attempts. Now they play a Huskies team that has allowed fewer than 70 points in all three of their wins this season. I expect another low scoring game here at this venue. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-18-18	Texas A&M v. Minnesota UNDER 151.5		64-69	Win	100	12 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MINN@TAM to go Under the total. Both these teams have played high scoring games early in the season, and because of that we see an inflated total for tonight's game. The Aggies are far from a run and gun team, despite averaging over 80 points per game so far. The majority of their points came in a 98-83 win over Savannah in their season opener. The have shot just over 22 percent from beyond the arc, and 66 percent from the free throw line. Minnesota scored 104 points against a Nebraska Omaha team that can't even think about playing defense, but then won by a score of 78-69 over Utah in their last game. I expect a similar score here tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-17-18	St. Louis v. Seton Hall UNDER 137.5		66-64	Win	100	9 h 12 m	Show
This is an 8* play on SLU@HALL to go Under the total. The Seton Hall Pirates lost a lot of their star players from last season, and they were humbled in an 80-57 loss at Nebraska their last time out. They shot just 35.6 percent from the field and 2-of-16 from beyond the arc in the loss. They will likely lean on strong defensive play as they hope to bounce back at home tonight against Saint Louis. They held Wagner to 49 points on 32 percent shooting in their home opener. Saint Louis comes in averaging just 68 points per game, and they've shot just 56.5 percent from the free throw line this season. The under is 19-6-1 in the Bilikens last 26 home games, and that's a trend I expect to hold true tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
11-16-18	Nets v. Wizards -7		115-104	Loss	-102	19 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. Washington couldn't do anything right at the beginning of the season, but the Wizards come into tonight's game as winners of three straight. They host Brooklyn, and the Nets first game since the Caris LaVert injury went as expected. They fell behind by 20 early in the first half, and went on to lose by a score of 120-113. History certainly favors the home team, the hosts have won the last four head to head meetings. The Nets are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Washington. The home team is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Nets are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
11-15-18	Oregon -4 v. Iowa		69-77	Loss	-100	21 h 2 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are coming into New York averaging over 80 points per game, but perhaps more impressive than their offense has been the fact that they have held opponents to just 52 points per game. They will face an experienced Iowa team at MSG tonight, and Iowa brings back it's top three scorers from last year. The Hawkeyes were one of the worst teams in the BIG10 last season though, only Rutgers had fewer wins. Iowa comes in with a pair of wins in close games against inferior opponents. They gave up 82 points in a win over Green Bay in their last game. The Hawkeyes have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 versus teams with a winning record. I like Oregon to win big here in New York. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule
11-14-18	Heat -124 v. Nets	Top	120-107	Win	100	19 h 19 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Miami Heat. The Brooklyn Nets are a young and exciting team, that has been quite competitive early this year. Losing their leading scorer Caris LaVert to a gruesome injury is sure to take some of the wind out of their sails. They play their first game since the injury, at home versus Miami tonight. The Heat are looking to snap a three game losing skid, and they have lost three straight versus Brooklyn. Goran Dragic sat out two games last week with a sore knee, and he was 0-for-7 for no points in 21 minutes in his first game back. He's coming off a 22-point game against Philly, shooting 8-of-15 from the field. History is certainly on the side of Dragic and the Heat. Miami is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings versus the Nets, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 at Brooklyn. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
11-13-18	Georgia Tech v. Tennessee OVER 139.5		53-66	Loss	-110	17 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on GT@TENN to go Over the total. Both the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and the Tennessee Volunteers come into tonight's game averaging over 80 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting. The Vols will be the favorite, and they won 77-70 at Georgia Tech last season. The total for tonight's game is set below 140, and that's a little too low in my opinion. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have come up short of the total, however the number for all three of those games was set above 140. Georgia Tech has gone over in four of it's last five road games, and the over is 4-1 in their last five non conference games. I don't expect either of these two teams to be dialed in on defense so early in the season. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-13-18	Wisconsin v. Xavier OVER 143.5	Top	77-68	Win	100	7 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on WIS@XAV to go Over the total. The Musketeers won at Wisconsin by a score of 80-70 last November, and I think we'll see another high scoring game here in Cincinnati. This time the Badgers are a road favorite, coming off an 85-63 win over Coppin State. The Musketeers are 2-0 with a couple of close wins over unranked teams. They have not looked strong defensively, ranking 243rd in the country allowing 77 points per game. They are coming off a 91-85 win over the Evansville Aces, and the over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games. The Badgers have gone over in four of their last five non-conference games. Tonight's total is lower than it has been in any of Xavier's last 10 games, and this early in the season I don't expect either of these two teams to be dialed in defensively. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-12-18	Illinois-Chicago v. Duquesne -5.5		88-89	Loss	-108	23 h 55 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Dukes were 16-16 overall last season, and finished near the bottom of the Atlantic 10. They are off to a good start here in 2018, crushing William and Mary in their season opener by a score of 84-70. They will look to keep the ball rolling here in the Gotham Classic, hosting Illinois-Chicago. The Dukes shot 52.5 percent from the field and 46.2 percent from beyond the arc against the Tribe, while the Flames have shot just 43 percent from the field in back to back losses so far. The Dukes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and they were 13-6 at home last season. They have done well in recent games against teams from the Horizon league, covering the spread in six of their last seven such contests. I'll take the home favorite here. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-18	Texas Southern v. Gonzaga OVER 155.5		67-104	Win	100	11 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on TXSO@GONZ to go Over the total. The Bulldogs opened the season with a 120-79 win over Idaho State, and they host Texas Southern in Spokane tonight. Last year they beat Texas Southern by a score of 97-69, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Texas Southern can score points, they beat Baylor 72-69 in their first game. I don't like their chances of holding Gonzaga under 90, and I expect them to score at least 65. Gonzaga has gone over in 9 of it's last 12 non-conference games, while Texas Southern has gone over in 7 of its last 10 against non-conference opponents. Gonzaga hit over 58 percent from the field in their first game, and they should pile on the points here versus Texas Southern. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule
11-10-18	76ers v. Grizzlies -120	Top	106-112	Win	100	24 h 16 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizz are undefeated at home so far this season, and they host the Sixers on Saturday night. Philly was expected to be one of the top teams in the East this season, but so far they haven't lived up to expectations. While they are just a half game back of Boston in the Atlantic Division, they have lost five of six road games so far. The 76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games, and they are 1-9 straight up in their last 10 versus Memphis. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. I don't like the Sixers chances on the road in the second game of a back to back versus the #1 scoring defense in the NBA. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule
11-07-18	Ohio State v. Cincinnati -200		64-56	Loss	-200	6 h 7 m	Show
This is a 7* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. The Ohio State Buckeyes are coming off a pretty solid season, finishing third in the BIG10 with a record of 25-9 overall. They might struggle to get back to that level this year, losing leading scorer Keita Bates-Diop, and starting forward Jae-sean Tate. The news that center Micah Potter transferred just days before their season opener in Cincinnati doesn't bode well for the Buckeyes. Cincinnati finished first in the AAC last season ahead of Houston and Wichita State. They went into the NCAA Tournament ranked #6 overall, but were knocked out in the second round versus Nevada. This Cinci team was 15-1 at home last season, and the Buckeyes come in having failed to cover in four straight road games and six straight non-conference games. I'll back the home favorite. Take CINCI. GL, Jesse Schule
11-06-18	Florida v. Florida State -185		60-81	Win	100	19 h 14 m	Show
This is a 7* play on the Florida State Seminoles. Florida vs Florida State might look like a pretty even matchup at first glance, but I like the home team to win big here on Opening Night. The Seminoles are 4-0 straight up against Florida since 2014, and 5-0 ATS against the Gators since 2013. They have also dominated SEC teams, covering in five straight versus SEC opponents. The Gators on the other hand have failed to cover in 11 of their last 13 versus the ACC. I'll back the Seminoles with home court advantage, and history on their side. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule
11-06-18	Elon -120 v. Manhattan		62-56	Win	100	19 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. Both Elon and Manhattan finished with 14 wins last season, but while the Jaspers picked up the majority of their wins against the minnows of the Metro Atlantic, the Phoenix won most of their games in non-conference play. Elon returns four senior starters, and that includes leading scorer Tyler Seibring who averaged 15.4 points per game last year. Manhattan doesn't have the luxury of bringing back all their stars from last season, losing three starters that accounted for more than 36 points per game last season. The Jaspers have home court advantage, but I think the more experienced team from the CAA will have the edge here in this season opening game in Riverdale NY. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
11-05-18	Pelicans v. Thunder -182		116-122	Win	100	21 h 57 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder lost four straight to start the season, but they come into tonight's home game versus New Orleans looking for a fifth straight win. Russel Westbrook missed the first two games of the season while recovering from an injury, but he's firing on all cylinders now. He dropped 32 points on 13-of-25 shooting in a 128-110 win over the Clippers in his last home game. The Pelicans have lost five straight, and they are at the end of a brutal road trip that has seen them play five games in seven days. History favors the home team here, as the Thunder are 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus New Orleans. This looks like a tough spot for a tired New Orleans team. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule
11-03-18	Celtics -147 v. Pacers	Top	101-102	Loss	-147	8 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. Boston really is the BEAST of the EAST, and I expect them to prove it here in Indiana tonight. The Pacers are returning home after a taxing win at Chicago last night. Victor Oladipo appeared to be drained after the game: "I'm not feeling well, but I don't care, it's time to win," Oladipo told Fox Sports Indiana. "The game ball should go to the bench because we did a terrible job coming out strong. The bench lifted us and we finally got our groove late." The Celtics have won five of the last seven meetings in this series, and four straight at Indianapolis. Boston ranks 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they are the only team allowing less than 100 points per game this season. This looks like a tough spot to play a back to back for the home team, and my money is on the visitors. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-18	Pelicans v. Blazers -178		119-132	Win	100	9 h 25 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Portland Trailblazers. The Pelicans are coming off a 131-121 loss at Golden State last night, and Anthony Davis logged 41 minutes in the game. They play on back to back nights, in their third game in four nights on the road at Portland tonight, and this looks like a lay down spot for the visitors. Portland has a little extra motivation for this game, as they still remember being knocked out of the playoffs in the first round by these Pelicans last year. "We have this game circled," Portland point guard Damian Lillard told reporters. "We'll have (last season's playoff series) in our minds when we play against them. But it's only going to be the eighth game of the season, and we can't get last year back." The Blazers are coming off back to back wins, and they look good to blow out the Pelicans here in this REVENGE game. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-18	Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 221.5		113-117	Loss	-108	8 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on MIL@BOS to go Under the total. When an old cat like D-Rose is dropping 50 in a single game, you know that defense is dead in the NBA. Scoring is up, and there's no denying that. The Celtics and the Bucks are two teams that still play a little defense though, ranking 1st and 4th respectively in opponent's scoring average. The Celtics haven't seen any of their games reach 220 points yet this season, and I wouldn't bet on that changing in such a big game here at the Garden tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-30-18	76ers v. Raptors UNDER 227.5	Top	112-129	Loss	-108	6 h 25 m	Show
This is a 10* play on PHI@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Milwaukee last night. Their superstar Kahwi Leonard sat out that game so he could play tonight at home in the second game of a back to back. Leonard is widely considered to be the league's best defender, and with him in the lineup the Raptors have been tough. Leonard has played in five games this season, and only one of those saw more than 227 combined points. Tonight's total is far higher than in any of the previous ten games between Toronto and Philly, and the under looks like a great bet here with this inflated line. While the trends will tell you that these teams have gone over, it's important to know that those trends just don't hold true when you factor in the inflated total. Philly is not one of the better shooting teams in the league, and the Raptors should hold them to under their season average of 112 points per game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
10-29-18	Blazers v. Pacers -160		103-93	Loss	-160	17 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers return home from a three game road trip in which they took two of three, winning in San Antonio and Cleveland. They are 2-0 at home, and they were a solid 24-17 at home last year. They host the Blazers tonight, and Portland comes in off a 120-111 loss at Miami. The Blazers are 1-1 on the road and they were 21-20 on the road last season. The Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Western Conference teams. The Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games against a team with a winning home record. I'll take the home favorite here. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule
10-24-18	Lakers -140 v. Suns		131-113	Win	100	20 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the LA Lakers. LeBron's Lakers debut hasn't gone as well as some might hope, and the Lakers come into Phoenix looking to snap a three game losing skid. They will have to do it without Rajon Rondo and Brandon Ingram, but I still like LeBron and company to edge out a young Suns team. The Suns are coming off back to back double digit losses to Golden State and Denver, and I think they are going to be a bit star stuck here against the Lakers. Trevor Ariza really struggled in Golden State, shooting just 2-of-12 from the field. The Suns are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus LA. Take LAL. GL, Jesse Schule
10-24-18	Pacers v. Spurs -135		116-96	Loss	-135	18 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. Houston is coming off a 115-112 loss to the Clippers in LA, and that game got ugly. An incident involving Rajon Rondo, Chris Paul and Brandon Ingram resulted in all three players being suspended, and there is no doubt the Rockets will miss Chris Paul tonight. That being said, they pushed the Warriors to the brink in a 7-game series in the Western Conference Finals last year, despite CP3 playing hurt and missing two games. James Harden looked sharp in the game at LA, scoring 31 points on 11-of-26 shooting. The Jazz come into Houston tonight struggling offensively. They shot just 35.4 percent from the field and 25 percent from beyond the arc in their last game, a home loss to Memphis. I'll take Clutch City as a small home favorite here. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
10-24-18	Jazz v. Rockets -115		100-89	Loss	-115	5 h 23 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. Houston is coming off a 115-112 loss to the Clippers in LA, and that game got ugly. An incident involving Rajon Rondo, Chris Paul and Brandon Ingram resulted in all three players being suspended, and there is no doubt the Rockets will miss Chris Paul tonight. That being said, they pushed the Warriors to the brink in a 7-game series in the Western Conference Finals last year, despite CP3 playing hurt and missing two games. James Harden looked sharp in the game at LA, scoring 31 points on 11-of-26 shooting. The Jazz come into Houston tonight struggling offensively. They shot just 35.4 percent from the field and 25 percent from beyond the arc in their last game, a home loss to Memphis. I'll take Clutch City as a small home favorite here. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
10-23-18	Clippers v. Pelicans -6.5		109-116	Win	102	5 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Pelicans. The LA Clippers are off to a good start, winning two of their first three. All three of those were home games, and they will play their first road game of the season at New Orleans tonight. The Pelicans finished last season strong, upsetting Portland in the first round of the playoffs, and giving the Warriors a handful in a 4-1 series loss. They have scored 70+ first half points in both of their two games so far, and they won those two games by a combined 30 point margin. New Orleans is 4-1 straight up in their last five versus LA, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. The Clippers are Clippers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. This Clippers team doesn't appear to have the talent to hang with a team like the Pelicans on the road. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule
10-19-18	Celtics v. Raptors -145		101-113	Win	100	18 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. Who had the best home record in the NBA last year? It wasn't the Golden State Warriors, or the Houston Rockets, and definitely not the Cleveland Cavaliers. The San Antonio Spurs had a better home record than all of those teams, but still not quite as good as the Toronto Raptors. The Celtics might be the best team in the Eastern Conference when the dust settles, but I wasn't overly impressed with their home win over Philly in their season opener. Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward combined to go 6-for-26 from the field, and they were fortunate that Philly couldn't make a shot to save their lives. The Raptors didn't appear to miss a beat after swapping DeMar DeRozan for Kawhi Leonard. The two time Defensive Player of the Year scored 24 points and pulled in a dozen rebounds. The home team has won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings, and Boston has lost five in a row in Toronto. I'll take the Raptors as a small home favorite. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
10-17-18	Wolves v. Spurs -145		108-112	Win	100	30 h 17 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the San Antonio Spurs. A lot of people are overlooking the Spurs again this year, but this is a team that has managed to stay among the league's elite for decades. Last year they 33-8 at home, the best home record in the Western Conference. That was with Kawhi Leonard riding the pine all year. Leonard has been dealt to Toronto, and the Spurs get DeMar DeRozan back the other way. They host the Minnesota T-Pups tonight, and this team is dealing with a circus surrounding the Jimmy Butler trade request. The Spurs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 versus Minnesota, and I like Pop and company to win their home opener. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule
06-08-18	Warriors -4.5 v. Cavs		108-85	Win	100	14 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Warriors. It's hard to see the Cavs having any fight left in this series. I don't think they want any part of going back to Oakland for a Game 5. Steph Curry and Klay Thompson couldn't hit a shot to save their lives in Game 3, and it just didn't matter. You can't count on Curry missing 10 of 11 three-point shot here in Game 4. The Warriors appear to be motivated to end this series in a sweep, and I think they put the Cavs to bed tonight. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule
05-31-18	Cavs v. Warriors -11.5		114-124	Loss	-113	58 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Cavs weren't supposed to be here, but LeBron James has added to his legacy by willing his team to another Finals. Now they face the mighty Golden State Warriors, and this looks like a huge let down spot for LeBron and the Cavs. Keep in mind that the Warriors won last year's Finals in five games. They won Game 1 at home by 22 points, and won Game 2 by 19 points. This time around there is no Kyrie Irving, and Kevin Love is banged up. The Warriors have won their last two series openers at home by 20+ points, and in the Western Conference Final in Houston they won Game 1 by 13 points. This series is going to be a massacre, and the only way the Cavs win a game and avoid a sweep, is if the Warriors "allow" it. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule
05-28-18	Warriors -5.5 v. Rockets		101-92	Win	100	13 h 58 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors may have dodged a bullet, as they play Game 7 in Houston tonight against a Rockets team that likely won't have veteran PG Chris Paul. Golden State played about as bad as they can play in Games 4 & 5, and still those games each went down to the wire. Paul scored 27 points in Game 4, and scored 20 in Game 5 before going down with an injury in the final minutes. Even if they plays he's likely to be ineffective on a sore hamstring. We've seen this before as things have always ended with bitter disappointment for Paul in the post-season. Klay Thompson is coming off back to back big games, giving the Rockets an awful lot to worry about on defense. The Warriors are a -250 favorite to win this game straight up, but it's interesting you can get them at -163 to win the Championship. Whoever wins this game will be an enormous favorite in the Finals, and I give the Cavs almost zero chance in a rematch of last year's Finals. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-27-18	Cavs v. Celtics -130		87-79	Loss	-130	30 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The home team has won all six games in this series so far, and I expect that trend to hold true in Game 7 in Boston. LeBron James scored 46 points in Game 6, and still it was a relatively close game. With no Kevin Love, it's going to be a tough ask for the Cavs to win here on the road with this roster. There is only so much LeBron can do, and there likely isn't a lot of gas left in the tank. A lot of people out there will talk about LeBron's record in Game 7s, and when facing elimination. He's likely never been this shorthanded before, so I don't think it's worth reading too much into his previous success in these situations. I'll take the younger, deeper, more athletic home team. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-25-18	Celtics +7 v. Cavs	Top	99-109	Loss	-105	22 h 5 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. I wouldn't read to much into LeBron James having an off night and looking tired in Game 5, and I expect James and the Cavs to be much better tonight. That being said, they are asked to cover a whopping seven points, which is a few too many in my opinion. After getting blown out in Game 3, I bet on Boston +7 in Game 4. They failed to cover, but it was close. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Cavs won big (by 32 points) in Game 3 in Cleveland, but I don't think they are 32 points better than Boston. In fact, I don't think they are seven points better than Boston. Prior to Game 3 they had played 13 playoff games, and only two of those were wins by more than four points. The Celtics will surely be better tonight, and I expect a close game from start to finish. Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Cavs have not been a good bet following a blowout win, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win." I expect tonight's game to be the closest game we will see in this series. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-24-18	Warriors +103 v. Rockets	Top	94-98	Loss	-100	11 h 56 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. A lot of talk about how the Rockets beat the Warriors in Game 4, and it's all hogwash. The Warriors beat themselves. They played like a team that was far too confident, and showed a lack of respect for their opponent. Kevin Durant and Steph Curry took some terrible shots in the fourth quarter, and it was terrible coaching by Steve Kerr. Golden State started the game on a 12-0 run, and they took a double-digit lead into the fourth quarter. They got exactly what they deserved, and the loss will likely serve as a wake up call ahead of Game 5. Home court advantage hasn't been a factor in this series so far, and with the Warriors covering the spread in 10 of their last 14 at Houston, I can't see betting this game any other way. Take the champs in a must win game. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule
05-23-18	Cavs v. Celtics +102		83-96	Win	102	12 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. After suffering a 32 point loss in Game 3, the Celtics showed a lot more fight in a much closer Game 4. With the series shifting to Boston, I expect to see the Cavs suffer a let down in Game 5. The Celtics are 9-0 straight up at home in these playoffs, and they have covered the spread in five of their last six when coming off a loss. We should expect a strong start from the home team, with plenty of support from a wild crowd. The good news for Cleveland is that their role players have been great over the last two games. The bad news is that Kevin Love has really struggled. He scored just nine points on 3-of-12 shooting in Game 4, and he wasn't much better in Game 3. He appeared to be banged up in the last game, and lingering injuries might be a factor as was the case in the first round versus Indiana. My money is on the home team to bounce back here in this pivotal Game 5. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-22-18	Rockets v. Warriors -8.5		95-92	Loss	-103	13 h 53 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the GSW. I bet on the Warriors in Game 1, and I have several pending bets on the Warriors to win the series. Steph Curry found his shot in Game 3, and that's going to make it awfully tough for Houston to get back in this series. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "Despite the fact that the Warriors are almost a 2-1 favorite to win the series, they are an underdog in Game 1 at Houston. While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors. Steph Curry comes in hot, scoring 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting in Game 5 versus the Pelicans. He's 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in his last two games. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Finals games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Houston." Take the Champs. GL, Jesse Schule
05-21-18	Celtics +7 v. Cavs		102-111	Loss	-110	15 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Cavs won big (by 32 points) in Game 3 in Cleveland, but I don't think they are 32 points better than Boston. In fact, I don't think they are seven points better than Boston. Prior to Game 3 they had played 13 playoff games, and only two of those were wins by more than four points. The Celtics will surely be better tonight, and I expect a close game from start to finish. Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Cavs have not been a good bet following a blowout win, going -4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-20-18	Rockets v. Warriors -7.5		85-126	Win	100	11 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the GSW. I bet on the Warriors in Game 1, and I have several pending bets on the Warriors to win the series. Heading back to Golden State, I feel confident that Curry will find his shot, and the Rockets won't have any answer for KD. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "Despite the fact that the Warriors are almost a 2-1 favorite to win the series, they are an underdog in Game 1 at Houston. While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors. Steph Curry comes in hot, scoring 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting in Game 5 versus the Pelicans. He's 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in his last two games. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Finals games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Houston." Take the Champs. GL, Jesse Schule
05-19-18	Celtics +6.5 v. Cavs	Top	86-116	Loss	-108	84 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. Surely LeBron isn't going to allow the Cavs to lose at home in Game 3? Well, that's what everyone said about Game 2 in Boston, and despite 42 points and a triple-double, the Cavs suffered another double-digit loss. Bettors must have short memories, because if you go back just a few weeks when the Cavs were struggling against the Pacers, all the so called experts were saying that Philly would sweep the Cavs in the Eastern Conference Finals. A few days later the Sixers found themselves right where Cleveland is now, heading home down 0-2 and heavily favored in Game 3. Boston won that game and ended up winning the series in five games. Cleveland has eight wins in these playoffs, and six of those have come by four points or less. Asking them to cover almost twice that margin here in Game 3 doesn't seem realistic at all. The Celtics were just a 4.5 point underdog in their last game at Cleveland, and they have covered in five straight visits to Quicken Loans Arena. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-16-18	Warriors v. Rockets +100		105-127	Win	100	13 h 26 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Houston Rockets. I had the Warriors in Game 1, and I also have bets on Golden State to win the series. Here is what I said prior to the first game: "While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors." Now that Golden State has stolen home court advantage, they could suffer a let down in Game 2. They could have swept both the Spurs and the Pelicans, but they had an off game in each of those series. This is Houston's best shot at winning a game and avoiding a sweep. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
05-14-18	Warriors +110 v. Rockets	Top	119-106	Win	110	84 h 56 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. Despite the fact that the Warriors are almost a 2-1 favorite to win the series, they are an underdog in Game 1 at Houston. While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors. Steph Curry comes in hot, scoring 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting in Game 5 versus the Pelicans. He's 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in his last two games. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Finals games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Houston. Take the Champs. GL, Jesse Schule
05-13-18	Cavs v. Celtics +2		83-108	Win	100	54 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. Things change fast in the NBA, and after sweeping the Raptors the Cavs are a favorite on the road in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals in Boston. During their first round series versus the Pacers, the Cavs stock was at an all time low. Most experts were picking Philly to win the East. Cleveland was a seven point underdog in Game 1 at Toronto, and they trailed at the half in both of their games north of the border. Now after taking out the favorite Philly in just five games, the Celtics are home dogs. Granted that LeBron's performance has been perhaps the best anyone has ever played in the playoffs, can we simply assume he can keep it up. People seem to be taking that for granted. The Cavs haven't played since Monday, and at the age of 33 and leading the league in minutes, I wouldn't be surprised if LeBron gets off to a slow start in Game 1. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-09-18	76ers v. Celtics -113		112-114	Win	100	10 h 11 m	Show
After going down 0-3 in the series, the Sixers avoided the sweep with a win at home in Game 4. The series shifts back to Boston, where the Celtics have owned Philly. That's true not only in this series, but during the regular season as well. Boston has won seven of the last 10 meetings, and four of their last five home meetings versus Philly. Still the bookmakers opened with Philly as a road favorite in Game 5. Boston plays stellar defense, is well coached, and has a lot more playoff experience than Philly. It's no surprise to me that public money is coming in on Boston, and they will likely be asked to cover a few points by game time. For those of you who do not remember, I bet on Boston to win the East at +$300 before the season started. I also had Boston winning this series, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-07-18	Raptors v. Cavs -5		93-128	Win	100	7 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Raptors showed a lot of heart battling back to tie Game 3 in Cleveland in the final seconds, but once again LeBron James crushed their souls. That's the type of loss you just don't expect a team to come back from, especially on the road, facing elimination. We saw this same scenario last year, and the Raptors lost Game 4 at home. They trailed by a dozen at halftime in that game. DeMar DeRozan was benched for the entire fourth quarter of Game 3, after scoring just eight points on 3-of-12 shooting. Who know's where his head is at, but I am guessing that going back to "LEBRONTO" for a Game 5 is not all that appealing right now. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule
05-06-18	Rockets v. Jazz +6		100-87	Loss	-105	34 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. I had the Jazz in Game 3, and I was a little shocked by their poor effort. I expect a far better effort here at home in Game 4, and perhaps a bit of a let down for the Rockets. Here is what I said prior to Game 3:"After the Jazz evened the series with a shocking win in Game 2 in Houston, it's a little surprising to me how many people are willing to back Houston as a road favorite in Game 3. Utah crushed the Thunder at home in the first round, and they've won seven straight home games dating back to the regular season. Their regular season home finale was a 40 point win over the defending champions Golden State. I am guessing the people who are betting on the Rockets have forgotten that James Harden failed to hit a shot in the first half of his final playoff game last season (Game 6 versus the Spurs). He finished that game 2-of-11 from the field with six turnovers and six fouls. The Rockets lost by 39 points as a favorite. Keep in mind Utah leads the league in opponent's scoring, so don't be surprised if Harden has a tough time scoring here in Salt Lake City. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, I'll take the points."Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
05-06-18	Warriors v. Pelicans +5.5		118-92	Loss	-105	29 h 4 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans and the Warriors were both ranked near the top of the NBA in scoring during the regular season, and not surprisingly, they have a history of playing high scoring games. They have gone over in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings, but all 10 of those games were in the regular season. The Pelicans are not the same team here in the playoffs that they were when they ranked 29th in the NBA allowing over 110 points per game. The jumped all over the Warriors in the first half of Game 3, leading 62-56 at halftime. I expect some push back from the Warriors here in Game 4, but I still think the Pelicans can keep this game close. The line value here is key, as bettors are looking to back Golden State coming off a loss. Keep in mind the Warriors are a bigger favorite tonight than they were in Game 3, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five at New Orleans. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule
05-05-18	Raptors +5 v. Cavs		103-105	Win	100	11 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Eastern Conference Semifinals have been a complete disaster for the Toronto Raptors. Once again regular season success has failed to translate in the post-season. The Raptors appear to have hit rock bottom, and everyone is down on the team right now. The local media is publishing headlines, suggesting the city be renamed "LeBRONTO". If Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan have any pride at all, they'll come out swinging here in Game 3. While the Raptors lost both Games 1 & 2 at home, they did take a lead to the locker room at halftime in both those games. I believe that those games were every bit as much a product of Toronto beating themselves, as it was Cleveland beating Toronto. I'll take the points here as I don't think this Raptors team is quite ready to give up. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
05-05-18	Celtics v. 76ers -8.5		101-98	Loss	-107	7 h 39 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. I bet on the Sixers in Game 2 in Boston, and they came close, but blew it in the final minutes. They return home for Game 3, and I expect them to blow the doors off in a must win game. Here is what I said prior to game 2: "The Sixers came out flat in Game 1, but I expect them to respond with a far better effort in Game 2. The Celtics are still banged up, and Jaylen Brown is not expected to be back for Game 2. Boston shot the ball incredibly well in Game 1, and that's something I don't think the Celtics can count on happening again. They made 18-of-19 free throws, shot almost 50 percent from three-point range and over 48 percent from the field. We can expect a far better effort on defense from Philly, and the law of averages would suggest that those numbers in Game 1 were an anomaly. The same can be said about the Sixers going just 5-for-26 from beyond the arc in the series opener. Philly is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight when coming off a loss." Take PHILLY. GL, Jesse Schule
05-04-18	Rockets v. Jazz +5		113-92	Loss	-110	11 h 38 m	Show
This is a 6* play on the Utah Jazz. After the Jazz evened the series with a shocking win in Game 2 in Houston, it's a little surprising to me how many people are willing to back Houston as a road favorite in Game 3. Utah crushed the Thunder at home in the first round, and they've won seven straight home games dating back to the regular season. Their regular season home finale was a 40 point win over the defending champions Golden State. I am guessing the people who are betting on the Rockets have forgotten that James Harden failed to hit a shot in the first half of his final playoff game last season (Game 6 versus the Spurs). He finished that game 2-of-11 from the field with six turnovers and six fouls. The Rockets lost by 39 points as a favorite. Keep in mind Utah leads the league in opponent's scoring, so don't be surprised if Harden has a tough time scoring here in Salt Lake City. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, I'll take the points. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
05-04-18	Warriors -190 v. Pelicans		100-119	Loss	-190	8 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Pelicans return home down 0-2 in the Western Conference Semifinals, but perhaps they can take some positives away from an improved performance in Game 2. They were an 11 point underdog, and easily covered losing by just five. The final score is a little misleading though, as the Warriors went up by 13 points on a Steph Curry three-pointer with 1:47 left. It was very much a "back door" cover, with the Pelicans scoring 10 of the final 12 points in garbage time. We got a glimpse of vintage Steph Curry in his first game back, he scored 28 points on 8-of-15 shooting in just 27 minutes off the bench. He should have no limitations here in Game 3. These two teams played in the first round back in 2015, and the Warriors won that series in a four game sweep. This Pelicans team may be vastly improved, but perhaps not enough to account for the Warriors adding Kevin Durant. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule
05-03-18	76ers -165 v. Celtics		103-108	Loss	-165	30 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers came out flat in Game 1, but I expect them to respond with a far better effort in Game 2. The Celtics are still banged up, and Jaylen Brown is not expected to be back for Game 2. Boston shot the ball incredibly well in Game 1, and that's something I don't think the Celtics can count on happening again. They made 18-of-19 free throws, shot almost 50 percent from three-point range and over 48 percent from the field. We can expect a far better effort on defense from Philly, and the law of averages would suggest that those numbers in Game 1 were an anomaly. The same can be said about the Sixers going just 5-for-26 from beyond the arc in the series opener. Philly is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight when coming off a loss. Take PHILLY. GL, Jesse Schule
05-03-18	Cavs v. Raptors UNDER 213		128-110	Loss	-115	9 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CLE@TOR Under. I had a halftime bet on the Raptors in Game 1 (winner), and here is what I had to say prior to the game: "The Cavs lost two of three road games in their first round series versus Indiana, and if it wasn't for a controversial missed goaltending call in Game 5, they might have lost the series. They have just one off day ahead of Game 1 in Toronto, and I think the Raptors should be able to jump all over them in the first half. Toronto had the best home record in the NBA, and they beat the Cavs by a whopping 34 points at home during the regular season. Kevin Love has been playing through the pain of a thumb injury, and his numbers reflect that. LeBron had to dig deep, giving everything had to in order to will his team to victory in Game 7 versus the Pacers. Don't be surprised if the Cavs are running on empty here in Game 1 in Toronto." LeBron didn't shoot well in Game 1, and it took a comedy of errors by the Raptors to allow Cleveland to come away with a rather fortunate overtime win. I don't like their chances of going back to Cleveland up 2-0. The nder is 15-7 in Raptors last 22 games playing on 1 day's rest. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
05-01-18	Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 227	Top	116-121	Loss	-107	40 h 2 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go Under the total The total for Game 1 was bet up as high as 227, but came up short landing on 224 after a low scoring second half. I bet on the under, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Pelicans and the Warriors were both ranked near the top of the NBA in scoring during the regular season, and not surprisingly, they have a history of playing high scoring games. They have gone over in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings, but all 10 of those games were in the regular season. The Pelicans are not the same team here in the playoffs that they were when they ranked 29th in the NBA allowing over 110 points per game. The Warriors held the Spurs to an average of less than 97 points per game in their first round series, and they have gone under in five of their last six home games versus a team with a winning record. The Pelicans have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine road games, and the under is 4-0 in their last four Conference Semi Final games. The Warriors have won nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams." I am not reading much into the return of Steph Curry, as I don't expect him to log full minutes. I think Kerr will be happy to get Curry some playing time, but I expect Kevin Durant to continue to carry the load. The number still looks a little inflated, and I'll take the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-30-18	76ers v. Celtics UNDER 208	Top	101-117	Loss	-110	11 h 6 m	Show
This is a 10* play on PHI@BOS to go Under the total. The pundits are calling for Philly to go all the way to the NBA Finals, but first they have to get past a Celtics team that finished three games ahead of them in the standings. I bet on Boston to win their series versus Milwaukee, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." They won all four home games in the first round, and held the Bucks under 100 points in each of the last three games in that series. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-29-18	Pacers v. Cavs -5.5		101-105	Loss	-105	26 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers 1st Half ML. The Cavs led by 10 at the half in Game 4, and they led by 15 at the half in Game 3. The Pacers had a chance to take a stranglehold 3-1 series lead, but blew it late in Game 4 at home. The series would have been over if it wasn't for a missed goaltending call in Game 5, but instead we have a deciding Game 7 in Cleveland for all the marbles. Historically teams that fail to capitilize on such opportunities tend to run out of chances. LeBron has never played in a Game 7 in the first round, but his last Game 7 was in the NBA Finals versus Golden State. James has also never lost in the first round of the playoffs, and I expect that trend to continue with the Cavs moving on to round 2. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule
04-28-18	Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 224.5		101-123	Win	100	13 h 10 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go Under the total. The Pelicans and the Warriors were both ranked near the top of the NBA in scoring during the regular season, and not surprisingly, they have a history of playing high scoring games. They have gone over in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings, but all 10 of those games were in the regular season. The Pelicans are not the same team here in the playoffs that they were when they ranked 29th in the NBA allowing over 110 points per game. The Warriors held the Spurs to an average of less than 97 points per game in their first round series, and they have gone under in five of their last six home games versus a team with a winning record. The Pelicans have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine road games, and the under is 4-0 in their last four Conference Semi Final games. The Warriors have won nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-28-18	Pelicans v. Warriors -7.5		101-123	Win	100	13 h 9 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Warriors. The Pelicans and the Warriors were both ranked near the top of the NBA in scoring during the regular season, and not surprisingly, they have a history of playing high scoring games. They have gone over in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings, but all 10 of those games were in the regular season. The Pelicans are not the same team here in the playoffs that they were when they ranked 29th in the NBA allowing over 110 points per game. The Warriors held the Spurs to an average of less than 97 points per game in their first round series, and they have gone under in five of their last six home games versus a team with a winning record. The Pelicans have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine road games, and the under is 4-0 in their last four Conference Semi Final games. The Warriors have won nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule
04-28-18	Bucks v. Celtics -195		96-112	Win	100	11 h 31 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. I bet on Boston in both the first two games of this series, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." Boston is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings between the two teams, including a two point loss in Game 4 in Milwaukee. I'll take the home team. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
04-27-18	Raptors +2.5 v. Wizards		102-92	Win	100	10 h 23 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The home team has won all five games in this series so far, but I think the Wizards are going to struggle to keep that trend alive. The Raptors jumped all over Washington in Game 4, leading by double digits at halftime. Toronto couldn't hang on in the second half, and Washington was able to slip away with a 106-98 win. The Wizards are likely going to be without Otto Porter tonight, and that might spell trouble for the home team. Porter is the team's leading scorer behind Bradley Beal and John Wall. Toronto is certainly capable of winning a game on the road, the Raptors had two more wins on the road than Washington had at home during the regular season. The Raptors also won two of three road games in their first round series versus Milwaukee last year, winning in Game 6. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
04-26-18	Celtics +4.5 v. Bucks		86-97	Loss	-108	7 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics . I bet on Boston in both the first two games of this series, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Celtics are just a slight favorite at home, despite being a #2 seed versus a #7 seed. Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Milwaukee. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." Boston is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings between the two teams, including a two point loss in Game 4 in Milwaukee. I'll take the points. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
04-25-18	Jazz v. Thunder -160		99-107	Win	100	11 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the OKC Thunder ML. Here is what I said before this series started: "The Utah Jazz were one of the hottest teams in the league in the second half of the season, but they ran into a brick wall in Portland in their final game. They play Game 2 on the road at Oklahoma City, and they appear to be catching the Thunder at a bad time. Oklahoma City won four of their final five games, including a win on the road at Houston. Russell Westbrook is playing out of his ******** mind. Paul George averaged almost 28 points per game in his last five, and the Thunder are starting to look like the team everyone expected them to be when they signed George in the off-season. Utah has lost seven of their last eight versus the Thunder, and they are 0-7 in their last seven trips to OKC. " The Thunder return home for Game 5 down 3-1 in the series, and the are on the ropes. I expect the to extend the series at least forcing a Game 6 back at Utah. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule
04-24-18	Bucks v. Celtics -145		87-92	Win	100	20 h 44 m	Show
8*
04-23-18	Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 209	Top	96-113	Push	0	21 h 55 m	Show
This is a 10* play on OKC@UTAH to go Under the total. Game 3 in Utah went over the total, and Ricky Rubio scored more points than Russell Westbrook. I don't think either of those two things are happening in Game 4. Utah boasts the NBA's #1 defense, holding opponents under 100 points per game. Both of these teams have played well defensively in this series, and I expect that trend to continue here in Game 4. Recent meetings between these teams have trended under, as they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven overall. The Thunder have gone under in five of their last six on the road, and eight of their last nine at Utah. These trends go back a lot further, the under is 22-9 in the last 31 meetings. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule
04-22-18	Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 205.5	Top	104-100	Win	100	16 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CLE@IND to go Under the total. The Pacers have a chance to take a stranglehold on this series, heading into Game 4 at home already up 2-1. The Cavs lone win came by a score of 100-97 at home in Game 2, and LeBron scored 46 points in that game. All three games in this series have been low scoring, and I expect another defensive battle in such a high stakes contest tonight. The Pacers were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA after the all start break, and these two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight at Indianapolis. The Cavs are just 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings between the two teams, yet they are a road favorite here tonight. Kevin Love is banged up, and George Hill could miss tonight's game with a back injury. The under is 15-5 in Pacers last 20 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
04-21-18	Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 207	Top	102-115	Loss	-105	16 h 46 m	Show
This is a 10* play on OKC@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz return home with the series tied 1-1 after a 102-95 win in Game 2 in Oklahoma City. Utah boasts the NBA's #1 defense, holding opponents under 100 points per game. Both of these teams have played well defensively in this series, and I expect that trend to continue here in Game 3. Recent meetings between these teams have trended under, as they have failed to reach the total in five of the last six overall. The Thunder have gone under in five straight on the road, and eight straight at Utah. These trends go back a lot further, the under is 22-8 in the last 30 meetings. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule