This is a 5* play on Under.

Rutgers will be a big favorite at home versus Michigan tonight, despite the fact that they scored just 46 points in a loss to Maryland in their last home game. Rutgers ranks dead last in the BIG10 in scoring, averaging just 66 points per game, and they rank 3rd in the conference in opponent's scoring allowing 66 points per game. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings between these teams. Rutgers has gone under in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and they have averaged just 60 points in their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SOCAR.

The Gamecocks are just one game out of first place in the SEC, and they are an underdog on the road at Texas A&M. The Aggies have lost four straight, and that includes a home loss to Arkansas. This is a revenge game for the Gamecocks, after losing at home to Texas A&M in January. South Carolina had won eight of the previous nine meetings between the two teams. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and I'll take the points with the better team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Orlando.

This looks like a let down spot for the Nets, who are playing the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando. They got Kevin Ollie his first win as head coach last night at Memphis. They had lost four straight prior to that, and they are are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games on the road. This looks like a good spot for Orlando, and they have covered in five of their last six as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LSU.

After upsetting Kentucky at home last week, the Tigers suffered a let down in their next game against Mississippi State. They should get back on track here against a Georgia team that has lost seven of their last eight overall. The only win during that span came against Vanderbilt. After beating the Commodores they lost by 21 at home to Auburn. Georgia has lost six of their last seven at LSU, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus the Tigers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on TOR.

The Pacers won in Toronto by a score of 127-125 before the All Star break, but they didn't cover as a two-point favorite. The underdog has covered in each of the last four meetings between these teams, and I expect that trend to continue tonight. This is a tough spot for Indiana, playing the second game of a back to back coming off a blowout win over the Mavericks. The Pacers are just 2-8 in back to backs this season, and the two games they won were both decided by just two points. One of those losses came at home by a score of 132-131 to Toronto, and the Pacers have allowed opponents to average 126 points in those 10 games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Dallas.

The Mavs are coming into Indy riding a six game win streak, sitting a half game out of first in the Southwest. Indy is five games out of first in the Central, and the Pacers are 5-5 over their last 10 games. This might be a tricky spot for the home team, playing the first leg of a back to back with Toronto in town tomorrow. The Mavs have won three of their last four in Indianapolis, and they are the team playing better basketball at the moment. Luka and Kyrie combined for 70 points in a double digit win over Phoenix on Thursday, and Luka leads the NBA in scoring. The media is suspiciously quiet about how well this team has been playing.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MIN.

The Timberwolves ran into a desperate Milwaukee team in their first game out of the All Star break, and despite rallying late they lost 112-107. They host the Brooklyn Nets in the second game of a back to back, and the Nets looked pretty awful in a 121-93 loss at Toronto. If that's any indication of how the team is responding to the interim head coach, Brooklyn could struggle down the stretch. Brooklyn are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against Minnesota, and they are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games on the road. I expect the Wolves to bounce back with a double digit home win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PITT.

The Panthers are coming off a blowout loss at Wake, but they had won seven of eight heading into that game. Their only loss during that span was close game at Miami. A home game against Virginia Tech looks like a good bounce back spot, especially considering the Hokies are 1-6 on the road. This is also a let down spot for the Hokies, who are coming off a blowout home win over rivals Virginia. The Hokies have failed to cover in eight of their last nine on the road, while Pittsburgh are 15-5 SU in their last 20 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MISS.

The Rebels are coming off a loss to Mississippi State, but this looks like a good bounce back spot at home against South Carolina. It's also a revenge game, as they lost 68-65 at South Carolina earlier this month. The Gamecocks barely held on in that game after being outscored 34-25 in the second half. The Rebels are 14-1 at home, with the only loss coming against first place Auburn. South Carolina is coming in off back to back losses.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on WAKE.

Wake bounced back from a loss at Virginia with a blowout win at home over Pitt. They are now 14-0 at home, and here comes Duke off a blowout win at Miami. Duke is 12-3 in the ACC and they come in as winners of eight of nine. Duke has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams, but they lost their last game at Wake by a score of 81-70. Duke's most recent road win came against a Miami team that was missing a pair of starters. Their previous win came at Florida State, making this a third straight road game and a real tough spot.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Cavs are favored on the road at Philly on Friday, with both teams coming off a loss last night in the first game back from the All Star break. This makes plenty of sense, as Philly is just 6-15 without Joel Embiid this season, and they averaged just 112 points in those games. This is significantly less than the over 121 points per game that they averaged in games that Embiid played. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in opponents scoring average allowing 109 points per game. We should expect a strong effort on defense from both these teams coming off a loss. This number appears to be a bit inflated.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MINN.

So the Buckeyes are coming off a home win over Purdue, and that puts them in a massive let down spot here on the road at Minnesota. This is an Ohio State team that hasn't won on the road all year, and Minnesota has 14 wins on their home floor. Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings, and they are 22-3 ATS overall this season. The Gophers are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 home games, while the Buckeyes have lost 16 straight road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The Raptors lost 119-116 at home versus Brooklyn in December, but so much has changed since then. Toronto traded elite defender OJ Anunoby to the Knicks for a couple of talented offensive players (Quickley and Barrett). This has changed the style of play, and following the trade the Raptors went over in seven straight games. Coming out of the All Star break, we should expect Toronto to get right back to pushing the pace. The Nets just fired their coach, and Kevin Ollie takes over as interim coach for the remainder of the season. We'll see if the players respond here in his debut. I expect both teams to score their share of points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Vandy.

The Bulldogs bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game at Vanderbilt, and they have struggled against the Commodores in recent seasons. Vanderbilt has won four in a row versus Georgia, covering the spread in three of those four wins. The Commodores have struggled this season, but their last home game was an impressive win over Texas A&M. They have covered the spread in three of their last four home games, and this looks like a good spot to back the home underdog in a very winnable game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UNDER.

The Huskies are the #1 ranked team in the country, 14-1 in the Big East and 24-2 overall. The defending champs are coming off a 28-point win over Marquette, and they could be due for a let down here on the road at Creighton. History suggests that this is a tough spot for UCONN, as they are just 2-6 straight up in the last six head to head meetings, and they have lost four straight at Creighton. History also tells us that when these two teams get together they put on a defensive clinic. This was on full display when the Huskies won 62-48 at home versus Creighton earlier this season. Neither team has scored 70 points in any of the last six head to head meetings, and neither team has scored 70 in regulation in any of the last eight meetings. The Blue Jays won at home by a score of 56-53 versus UCONN last February. Don't be surprised if history repeats itself.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UCLA.

I bet on the Bruins in a home game against Oregon last week, and I said the following: "The Bruins have been futile offensively at times this season, but they come into Saturday's home game against Oregon as winners of four of their last five overall. The one loss came on the road at Arizona in a close game. The Bruins lost 64-59 at Oregon earlier this season, and that sets up a revenge angle here at home. The Ducks have lost three of their last four at UCLA and the one win came in overtime. The Ducks have been hit hard by the injury bug, putting their depth to the test." Now the Bruins are the hottest team in the PAC12, and they should keep rolling in a home game against conference bottom feeder UTAH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UAB.

The Blazers last two home games were outright wins over ranked teams, beating Memphis and FAU. They host North Texas here on Sunday, after defeating the Mean Green in Texas earlier this season. While you could call this a revenge game, the Mean Green have lost three of their last four road games. UAB is undefeated at home in conference play, and I fully expect them to bring it here on Sunday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Colorado.

The Buffaloes are on the bubble, badly needing a win here on the road at USC. This has been a down year for the Trojans, and they know their season is coming to an end. Colorado is 7-3 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have won three of their last four at USC. The Buffaloes came up just short at UCLA on Thursday, but a similar performance here would likely be enough to get past the Trojans. Colorado will have a huge edge at the free thrown line, as they rank 1st in the PAC12 hitting 79 percent. The Trojans rank 10th in the conference in free throw percentage.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on SHSU.

Sam Houston is a half game out of first place in the C-USA, and they are 9-2 at home. They have beat the best teams in the conference at home (Western Kentucky and LA-Tech). Liberty comes in as a favorite, despite a 2-5 road record. It's fair to say that this Liberty team is overrated. They have been favored in four of their last five road games. They went 0-5 ATS and 1-4 straight up in those games. This looks like a clear case of the wrong team favored, and worthy of a sprinkle on the moneyline.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on Oklahoma.

Kansas is no longer the cream of the crop in the BIG12, and they find themselves in a tough spot here on the road at Oklahoma. Even at full strength, this team has struggled on the road losing five of seven. Their most recent road game was a 29 point loss at Texas Tech. Leading scorer Kevin McCullar Jr. didn't play, and he's still dealing with a bone bruise. Bill Self expressed optimism that McCullar can return to the lineup, but suggested his role might be limited. The Sooners are 13-2 at home, and just a game back of Kansas in the BIG12 standings. No way Kansas should be the favorite in this spot.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on WKU.

The Hilltoppers host New Mexico State, and this is the ultimate revenge spot. I bet on New Mexico State in the last meeting, and I was fortunate to be on the right side of one of one of the wildest comebacks this conference has ever seen. The Aggies trailed by 23 points five minutes into the second half at home, and rallied to win the game outright. This team is 0-11 on the road, and I don't think they can count on another miracle here in Kentucky. The Hilltoppers are 11-1 at home, and their last home game was a double digit win over UTEP. Western Kentucky has covered in five of six, while the Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The last time Golden State was on the second game of a back to back Curry scored 42 in a win over Indiana, prior to that Curry scored 60 in a loss at Atlanta. I expect another high score here in Utah, against a Jazz team that likes to play fast and loose. The over is 9-4 in Utah's last 13 games overall, and the Jazz have gone over in seven of their last eight versus Western Conference teams. The Warriors have gone over in four straight when playing on back to back nights.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

History paints a pretty clear picture that games between these two teams are normally ugly, defensive and low scoring. The under is 7-2 in the last nine head to head meetings, and the two games that went over the number both went to overtime. Last March Northwestern won by a score of 65-53. In six of the last eight meetings neither team reached 70 points. Rutgers ranks dead last in the conference in scoring averaging just 67 points per game, and they rank 2nd in scoring defense allowing 65 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on RICH.

The Spiders are in first place in the A-10 with a 9-1 record in conference play. Their lone loss came on the road at VCU, and they responded with a blowout win at home over LaSalle. Richmond is 12-0 at home while UMASS is 1-5 on the road. History favors the Spiders who have won eight of 10 head to head and all six at home during that span. So what am I missing? Well two of the last three losses for the Minutemen came by one point, but their last game at Richmond was a 33-point loss last March. Hard for me to imagine an upset here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on NEV.

The Wolfpack are 12-1 at home, and they have a revenge game on tap against New Mexico on Tuesday. The Lobos crushed Nevada at home earlier this season by a score of 89-55. The Wolfpack had won nine straight versus New Mexico prior to that. Nevada has won four of five, and three of those four wins came against ranked teams (San Diego State, Utah State and Colorado State). New Mexico has lost two of three, with their only win during that span coming at Wyoming. This looks like two teams trending in opposite directions, and a significant edge for the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on LAC.

The Clippers host Minnesota Monday, and the winner of this game will take over sole possession of first place in the Western Conference. The Clippers are 100 percent healthy, and they are 20-5 at home this season. You can call this a revenge game as LA lost 109-105 at Minnesota back in January. Since then the Clippers have won 10 of 12, and Minnesota is 8-5. The Clippers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games, and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on UAB.

The Blazers are quietly one of the top teams in the AAC, winning seven of 10 in conference play. All three losses came on the road, but all three losses came against teams ahead of them in the standings. Tulsa is just 3-7 in the AAC, and they have lost three straight versus UAB including back to back home losses to the Blazers. Tulsa has three wins in conference play, against three teams ranked in the bottom four. Wichita, Rice and UTSA are all bottom feeders in the conference.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on IND.

The Knicks are coming off a home loss to Dallas, and they have been hit hard by injuries. OJ Anunoby and Julius Randle are sidelined indefinitely, and Jalen Brunson didn't play against Dallas. Brunson is questionable for Saturday's game. The Pacers lost 109-105 at MSG just over a week ago, and Brunson scored 40 in that game. This looks like a solid revenge spot for the Pacers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on ARK.

Arkansas lost 76-66 at Georgia earlier this season, setting up a revenge spot here at home. The Bulldogs are 2-6 since that win over Arkansas, and they have struggled in recent games at Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won five straight at home versus Georgia, and all five of those games were 10+ point blowout wins. The Bulldogs built a solid record with a soft schedule early in the season, but reality is starting to set in as they play more tough SEC games. Georgia are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against Arkansas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Nevada.

The Aztecs have dominated this series, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. They did lose at Nevada last year though, by a score of 75-66. San Diego State has failed to cover in eight of the last 10 meetings, and their last win at Nevada came by just one point. The Aztecs are 4-5 on the road, and Nevada is 11-1 at home this season. San Diego State is coming off a road win at Air Force, but had lost at New Mexico, Boise State and Colorado State in their previous three road games. I'll take the home team here to get the win over a ranked team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Dayton Flyers are first in the A-10 with a 9-1 record, their only loss coming at Richmond by a score of 69-64. The Flyers are one of the slowest paced teams in the country, averaging only 65.9 possessions per game (352nd). VCU ranked 292nd nationally averaging just 68 possessions per game. Both teams allow roughly 65 points per game, ranking as two of the top defenses in the conference. History tells us that the under has cashed in each of the last three head to head meetings. These teams haven't gone over 134 combined points in any of the last five head to head meetings. We expect a slow, defensive game here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Campbell Camels will host Northeastern Thursday in a matchup between two of the lowest scoring teams in the CAA. These teams rank 11th and 12th respectively in scoring in the conference. Campbell is also one of the top defensive teams in the CAA, allowing just 67.6 points per game. The Camels rank among the slowest teams in the country, ranking 337th averaging 67 possessions per game. The Huskies only average 67.8 possessions per game. Expect a slow pace and a low score.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TOR.

The Raptors were blown out by the Pelicans in their last game, but that was the second game of a back to back after pushing Oklahoma City to the brink the night before. They should be in good shape here against a Hornets team that is in full on tank mode. The Hornets have lost eight straight, and the average margin of defeat in those games is 10+ points. The Raptors have won seven of the last nine head to head meetings, and they covered in all seven of those wins. Four of those wins came at Charlotte. This looks like a get right game for a young team with new talent, as Quickley and Barrett are still getting into the swing of things.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is 4* play on Under.

The Davidson Wildcats rank 14th in the A-10 Conference in scoring, ahead of only Saint Louis. The Duquense Dukes rank 11th in scoring, averaging less than one point more than Davidson. There are 362 Division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 359th in pace of play averaging just 64.8 possessions per game. Davidson has failed to score 70 points in three of their last four games. Duquense has gone under the total in all four of their home games in conference play, and their most recent home game was a 65-60 win over Chicago State. Davidson is 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they failed to reach the total in all but one of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on PHX.

The Bucks are in a tough spot here on the road at Phoenix. They have recently fired their head coach and they are still trying to figure things out under new bench boss Doc Rivers. This will be the final game of a road trip, and might just be a throw away game. Four starters carry a questionable designation, while the Suns are 100 percent healthy and firing on all cylinders. Phoenix has won 10 of 13, and KD, Booker and Beal are starting to look like the BIG3 that everyone expected them to be. Milwaukee are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games, and it's likely going to take time for this team to sort out their issues.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SOCAR.

The Gamecocks are 11-1 at home this season, and that includes a win over Kentucky. The Rebels have lost three of four road games in the SEC, and they are 0-3 on the road versus ranked teams. South Carolina ranks #1 in the SEC in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 64 points per game. They have held Kentucky, Missouri and Mississippi State to 64 points or less at home this season. They are coming off back to back road wins at Georgia and Tennessee, allowing 62 points or less in both those games. This looks like a bad spot to back the Rebels.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

Immediately following the trade that sent OJ Anunoby to New York in exchange for RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickley, the Raptors appeared to improve on offense and regress on defense. The result was a stretch of several high scoring games before cooling off. They have gone over in four straight against the Thunder, and there are several storylines ahead of this game. You have Canada's team taking on Canada's best player (SGA). Canadian RJ Barrett has missed three straight games, but is expected to give it a go in the morning shoot around to see if he can return tonight. The over is 6-1 in the Raptors last seven at Oklahoma City.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on UAB.

The Blazers have won 10 of their last 12 games, and they are coming off an outright win as an underdog at North Texas. They had previously lost on the road at Charlotte by just six, and covered as a double digit underdog at FAU. Overall the Blazers are 4-3 on the road this season, and they have won seven straight against SMU. That includes three outright wins at SMU. The Mustangs are 10-2 at home, but their last home game was a four point win over Tulane. It looks like the home team is asked to cover too many points here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UCLA.

The Bruins have been futile offensively at times this season, but they come into Saturday's home game against Oregon as winners of four of their last five overall. The one loss came on the road at Arizona in a close game. The Bruins lost 64-59 at Oregon earlier this season, and that sets up a revenge angle here at home. The Ducks have lost three of their last four at UCLA and the one win came in overtime. The Ducks have been hit hard by the injury bug, putting their depth to the test.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UTEP.

The Liberty Flames have struggled in their first year in the C-USA, and after losing five of seven games and going 0-4 on the road, they have no business coming into tonight's game asked to cover a handful of points. UTEP is 11-1 overall at home, and 3-0 at home in conference play. The teams they have beaten at home (WKU, JVST & MTU) all sit higher in the C-USA standings than Liberty. This looks like another clear case of the wrong team favored.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

This number looks a little high, as the Knicks have gone under this number in 11 straight games. The Lakers are coming off a 114-105 win at Boston, but they had gone over in seven straight prior to that. These teams have gone under in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and all three games that went over the number required overtime to do so. My only concern here is that the Lakers seem to get awarded 3 x more free throws than their opponent. The Knicks have been dominant defensively since the trade with Toronto, and even a few favorable calls for LeBron shouldn't be enough to keep LA in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on USF.

The Bulls come into North Texas as winners of 12 of their last 13 overall. That includes upset wins over the likes of Florida State and Memphis. The one game they did lose came on the road at UAB by just four points. UAB just handed North Texas a home loss. I don't think the bookmakers give the Bulls enough credit, and I like their chances of keeping this game within the number if not winning outright.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Houston Cougars will be the favorite at Kansas, but I expect this game to be a defensive battle. Houston has held opponents to 52.9 points per game this season, and they rank 349th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. Kansas can play defense as well, and you look at recent games against top tier opponents and it gives you an idea what to expect. Games against #4 Marquette, #7 Tennessee and #4 UCONN all went under this total. I'd be surprised if either of these teams reaches 70.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The #1 ranked Huskies might have a battle on their hands here at MSG versus St. John's. These two teams played in December, and UCONN won that game by a score of 69-65 at home. The Huskies are one of the slowest teams in the country, ranking 278th averaging just 68 possessions per game. The Red Storm have failed to reach the total in four of their last five games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

So immediately following the trade that sent RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickly to Toronto in exchange for OJ Anunoby, we saw the Knicks games trend under and the Raptors games go over. Toronto is coming off a 118-107 win at Chicago, falling short of 227 despite shooting 52 percent from the field and 48 percent from beyond the arc. Barrett and Quickly didn't play, and they both remain questionable for Friday's game at Houston. I don't like the Raptors chances of shooting as hot as they did in Chicago. The under is 7-1 in the Raptors last eight overall, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in five of the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on IOWA.

These teams both rank near the bottom of the BIG10, but Iowa is still a tough nut to crack when they play at home. They are 9-3 at home, losing to Purdue, Maryland and Michigan. Their wins have all come by five or more points, beating Rutgers by nine and Nebraska by 18. Ohio State is 0-5 on the road, and they are coming off three straight double digit losses. They lost by 25 at Northwestern and by 14 at Nebraska in their last two road games. The Buckeyes are 1-6 straight up in their last seven, and all six losses came by 5+ points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UTAH.

The Sixers come limping into Utah with a decimated lineup, and four of five starters are likely to miss this game. Joel Embiid appeared to aggravate his injured knee in a loss to the Warriors on Tuesday, and he didn't travel with the team after the game. The Jazz are 15-6 at home, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 at home. The Sixers have failed to cover in five of their last six overall, and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three at Utah.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on OVER. 

The Badgers beat Nebraska at home by a score of 88-72 earlier this season, going way over the total of 144. The bookmakers haven't adjusted for this game at Nebraska, despite the fact that the Cornhuskers are one of the better offensive teams in the BIG10, and they have scored over 81 points per game at home in conference play. The Badgers have averaged just over 71 points per game on the road in conference play. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG 10 in free throw percentage hitting over 77 percent of their attempts, while Nebraska ranks 3rd hitting better than 75 percent. This number looks like it should be a few points higher. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on UK.

The Gators lost at home to Kentucky earlier this season, so is this a revenge spot? I don't like the revenge angle here, as Kentucky is the far better team and Florida struggles on the road. The Gators have lost three of four road games this season, and they were 4-7 on the road last year. Kentucky is 9-1 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have covered in five straight and eight of the last 10 versus Florida. The Gators rank dead last in the SEC in opponent's scoring, and Kentucky ranks second in the conference in scoring averaging over 88 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

While this might look like an easy game for a ranked Baylor team, let's dig a little deeper. The Central Florida Knights have held five of their last six opponents under 70 points. That includes a 65-60 home win over Kansas. They held BYU to just 63 in a home loss, and held West Virginia to 59 in a win in their most recent home game. Baylor on the other hand scored just 64 in an outright loss at Kansas State last week. Baylor has gone under in six of their last nine road games, and UCF has gone under in six of their last seven overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on GSW.

So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. The Warriors have to be pissed, and we can expect them to come out like gang busters here against a thin Sixers lineup. Melton, Maxey and Embiid all sat out last night in Portland, and likely won't play tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MISS.

So the Bulldogs have dominated this rivalry in recent seasons, but perhaps that just pours fuel on the fire adding motivation for the Rebels to win here as a home favorite in a rivarly game. The Rebels are 12-0 at home, and those wins include convincing victories over quality opponents like Florida and Arkansas. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road with losses to the likes of Florida and Georgia Tech. The Bulldogs rank dead last in the SEC in three-point shooting hitting just 27 percent of their attempts.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on ATL.

I faded the Lakers last night, and here is what I said before the game: "So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. As much as it puts a bad taste in my mouth for betting on any future games involving LeBron and the Lakers, this just looks like a classic let down spot for LA. Not only did LeBron and AD each log 45+ minutes at Golden State, but tonight's game is the first leg of a back to back with a game at Atlanta tomorrow." I was surprised AD and LeBron played heavy minutes last night, and I wouldn't be surprised if LeBron sits out tonight. Either way, there are a lot of miles on those old legs, and this makes this game a tough spot for the visitors.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on HOU.

So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. As much as it puts a bad taste in my mouth for betting on any future games involving LeBron and the Lakers, this just looks like a classic let down spot for LA. Not only did LeBron and AD each log 45+ minutes at Golden State, but tonight's game is the first leg of a back to back with a game at Atlanta tomorrow. The Rockets are healthy, and they have won three of their last four home meetings versus LA. I'll take the home dog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on NW.

The Buckeyes are winless on the road, while Northwestern is 10-1 at home. The Wildcats have beaten Purdue and Illinois on their home floor. Ohio State are 0-13 SU in their last 13 games on the road. While Northwestern is in a bit of a sandwich spot between Illinois and Purdue, they should do enough to rack up another win at home against a below average opponent.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on GSW.

The Warriors host the Lakers tonight, in a battle between perhaps the two most disappointing teams in the Western Conference. The Dubs are at least healthy, and well rested. History favors the home team as the visitors are 0-5 SU in the last five meetings. LA Lakers are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Golden State. This looks like a good spot to back the Dubs at home against an inferior opponent.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CUSE.

The Orange are 9-1 at home this season, and they have won five straight against NC State. They have covered the spread in four of those five games. The Wolfpack are coming off a 59-53 loss at Virginia, and their road wins have come against conference bottom feeders Louisville and Notre Dame. History favors the home team here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PSU.

The Gophers have lost three of four on the road, and they are at Penn State and the Nittany Lions are 8-2 at home. History favors the home team, as Penn State is 5-1 in the last six head to head meeting and 4-0 at home during that span. Their last home game was an 87-83 win over 1st place Wisconsin. Minnesota are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Wisconsin.

The Badgers as just a slight home favorite has me scratching my head here, but after digging a little deeper I think I can see why that is. Historically the home favorite has not been a good play in this series, as the road team is 6-0 straight up in the last six meetings. This is just one indicator, and the majority of the rest of the data still points me toward Whisky. The Badgers are 10-1 at home, while Sparty has lost three of four on the road. The Badgers are 7-1 in the BIG10, while Sparty is 4-4 with all four wins coming against teams with a losing record. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG10 in free throw percentage (77%) while Sparty ranks 11th (70%). That right there could prove to be the difference in a close game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PHO.

I had the Suns in their last game, and here is what I said prior to their win over Dallas: "The Suns got off to a slow start, but now that the BIG3 have had a chance to play together for some time, this team is surging. They come into Dallas as winners of six straight. This line looks about right if everyone is healthy, but with both Kyrie and Luka carrying a questionable tag as of Tuesday night, we could see money come in late on the Suns." Now they catch the Pacers in a let down spot after upsetting Philly last night. Haliburton is still sidelined by injury, and this will be the Pacers 4th game of the season playing on back to back nights. They lost two of the previous three, and both losses were blowouts.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Nuggets have failed to reach the total in three straight, and they rank dead last in the NBA in pace of play. The Knicks are right behind them, with both teams averaging roughly 100 possessions per game. The Knicks have been a different team since the trade with Toronto, and they have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games. These teams have gone under in four of the last six head to head meetings, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have adjusted here with what looks like an inflated number.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Campbell Camels have played two home games in conference play, and neither team scored 70 points in either of those contests. Campbell is one of the slowest teams in country, ranking 339th out of 362 teams in pace of play. They average just 66 possessions per game, and Elon is also fairly slow averaging just 70 possessions per game. These teams have only met twice in the last five years, but both of those games went under the number and nobody reach the 70 point mark in either game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on WASH.

So Colorado might well be the better team here, but they have no business coming in to Seattle as a road favorite. The Huskies only home loss in conference play came by just two points versus Oregon. They beat Gonzaga in a home game outside of the PAC12. Colorado has lost all four road games so far this season, and has dropped four of their last five at Washington. This appears to be a case of the wrong team favored.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PHO.

The Suns got off to a slow start, but now that the BIG3 have had a chance to play together for some time, this team is surging. They come into Dallas as winners of six straight. This line looks about right if everyone is healthy, but with both Kyrie and Luka carrying a questionable tag as of Tuesday night, we could see money come in late on the Suns. The Mavs have lost back to back games despite Luka scoring 33 in each loss. This looks like a tough spot for Dallas against a hot team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Knicks are a completely different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from Toronto. They have won nine of 11 and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 10 overall. They have held opponents to roughly 100 points per game during that span. The Brooklyn Nets are trending in the opposite direction, losing 10 of 12. Brooklyn are 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games. I expect the Knicks to shut down the Nets, resulting in another low scoring game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on CUSE.

The Seminoles flipped a switch at the start of conference play, winning five straight games. They have since lost at home to Clemson, and they face another tough test here on the road at Syracuse. The Orange are 9-0 at home this season, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus FSU. The Orange are 12-1 SU in their last 13 versus teams not ranked in the Top 25.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NEB.

The Cornuskers are 12-1 at home, hosting an Ohio State squad that is 0-3 on the road. The Buckeyes lost 63-60 at Nebraska last year, and these two teams have since trended in opposite directions. This is a Nebraska team that has beaten #1 ranked Purdue at home, and followed up with a home win over Northwestern in their last game. Ohio State are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Nebraska, and has lost 12 straight on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on TOR.

The Memphis Grizzlies are in rough shape since losing Ja Morant for the rest of the season. They come to Toronto as losers of six of their last seven, and it looks like Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane won't be traveling north of the border. It's possible that only one of the starting five will dress for tonight's game in Toronto. The Raptors are rebuilding, but they have done very well in the trade market getting several solid players in return for Pascal Siakam and OJ Anunoby. This is a game that should be tilted in favor of the home team. The Raptors have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, including the last two in Memphis.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on PHO.

The Pacers have lost three of four, and they are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Portland Blazers. They could be down a few key players here in Phoenix tonight, and Pascal Siakam is still trying to figure out where he fits in. It takes time to gel, and that is evidenced by the fact that the Big Three in Phoenix is just starting to show what they can do. The Suns have won four straight, and Devin Booker dropped 52 on the Pelicans on Friday. This looks like a tough spot for a Pacers team that has lost six of nine versus the Western Conference this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

I said this about the Knicks prior to their recent game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they followed that up with a 109-94 win over Houston. Now they play the Raptors who just dealt Pascal Siakam to Indiana. This should be another low scoring battle at MSG.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Of the 362 Division 1 teams in the country, Davidson ranks 360th in pace of play averaging just 63.8 possessions per game. The Wildcats host Richmond Saturday, and these teams have failed to reach the total in back to back games the last two seasons. Richmond also plays at a slow pace, ranking 282nd nationally averaging 68.8 possessions per game. The Spiders are coming off a 63-61 win at Duquesne, and their previous road game was 58-56 win at Loyala Chicago. I expect both teams to score fewer than 70 points here

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NCST.

The Wolfpack are 9-1 at home, coming off an 83-76 win over Wake Forest. They are 5-1 in the ACC, and they host the Virginia Tech Hokies Saturday. Virginia Tech comes in winless on the road with an 0-4 record, and they are 2-4 in the ACC. The Wolfpack have won and covered in three of the last four head to head meetings. Virginia Tech are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on the road, while North Carolina State are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on MIA.

So this is the first game of a back to back for Atlanta, and Trey Young is questionable with an illness. That makes me think that this should be a throw away game, and rather than rush their star back before he's 100 percent, they should concentrate of tomorrow's home game against the Cavs. The last time Atlanta played back to back games they lost  both by 20+ points. Miami has won and covered in both meetings this season, and they have won seven of the last nine, covering in five of those seven wins.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on NMSU.

While Western Kentucky comes into this game with a record of 13-4, their strength of schedule is questionable. According to TeamRank.com they rank 215th nationally in strength of schedule. New Mexico State on the hand has played New Mexico twice, losing by a bucket at home. They lost to Kentucky, Fresno State, Tulsa and Louisville. The Aggies are 7-1 at home, and they have covered the spread in five straight home games. Western Kentucky is 4-2 on the road so far, but they were 4-9 on the road last year. Give me the home team at a pickem!

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NW.

The Wildcats are 8-1 at home and one of those wins came in overtime against Purdue. They host Maryland tonight, and the Terps are struggling to score. Maryland ranks 13th in the BIG10 scoring just 71 points per game on 41 percent shooting. Maryland are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

I said this about the Knicks prior to their last game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they now face a Houston team that they have owned in recent seasons. The Knicks have won seven straight in this series, and Houston has averaged just 100 points per game in the last six meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UVA.

The Cavs are undefeated at home with a 9-0 record, and they have owned rivals Virginia Tech at home winning four straight home games in the series. Virginia Tech are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games on the road, and their last road game was a 77-74 loss at Florida State. They are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games against Virginia, and the Cavs have won 19 straight home games dating back to last season. Virginia are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on RUTG.

Nebraska suffered a let down after upsetting Purdue at home, losing on the road at Iowa 94-76 in their last game. They have lost three of four on the road, and they face a tough test at Rutgers tonight. The Scarlett Knights are just 1-4 in the BIG10, but three of those four losses came on the road. They are 8-1 at home, with their only loss coming versus #24 ranked Illinois. Nebraska are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Iowa State Cyclones are scoring just 62 points per game in the BIG12 so far, but they have held opponents to just 55 points per game. The BYU Cougars are scoring just 65 points per game in conference play, and they are allowing 70 points per game. We should see a defensive battle here in Provo and I wouldn't expect both these teams to reach 70 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MINN.

The Gophers finished dead last in the BIG10 last year, but they are a far better team this season. Iowa on the other hand appears to be trending in the opposite direction. Coming off a big home win over Nebraska, this looks like a let down spot for a Hawkeyes team that is 0-4 on the road. The Gophers are 11-1 at home, and they are looking to bounce back from a road loss at Indiana. Minnesota are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games, and they have covered in nine straight home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span. The Magic rank 24th in the NBA in scoring, and they are 7th in opponent's scoring average. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in six straight meetings and eight of the last 10. The Magic are coming in off four consecutive unders.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on LAC.

This is a huge game between the first place Minnesota Timberwolves and the 4th place Clippers. Whoever wins this game will be touted by the media as the best team in the NBA (in a snapshot of time). The Clippers come in as winners of eight of nine, and they have won 15 of their last 16 when Kawhi Leonard plays. I don't normally like backing road favorites, but I think this is such a high profile game and I truly believe that the Clippers may well be the creme of the crop in today's NBA when they have a healthy Kawhi Leonard.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on WASH.

The UCLA Bruins have lost four straight, and eight of their last nine overall. During that span they scored an average of 52 points per game. They haven't given us any indication that they can turn things around, as it's tough to win games when you can't score. Washington comes in off a home win over Arizona State. Washington comes in scoring over 81 points per game on 47 percent shooting, while the Bruins rank dead last in the PAC12 shooting just 41 percent from the field and averaging 64 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on LA-Tech.

The Flames haven't received a warm welcome to Conference USA, losing their first two games in conference play to Jacksonville State and Western Kentucky. A road game at LA-Tech isn't a great spot to get back on track. The Bulldogs are 8-0 at home, and the Flames have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. The Bulldogs have an impressive resume, and what stands out perhaps more than their wins is that their losses in tough road games were all close games against mostly tough opponents. New Mexico State, Colorado State and Grand Canyon for example. Their only conference loss came by four points at first place Sam Houston.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MISST. 

The Crimson Tide are undefeated in conference play, but after a win over South Carolina at home, and a win at Vanderbilt, this will be their toughest test so far. Mississippi State is 6-1 at home, and the Bulldogs are coming off a home win over #5 ranked Tennessee. Alabama has failed to cover in four of their last five on the road and they are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine versus Mississippi State. The Bulldogs have covered in four of their last five home games against Alabama. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on NYK.

The Grizzlies are coming off a nine point home loss to the Clippers last night, and they are just 3-14 at home this season. Playing the second game of a back to back with a thin lineup tonight, they might be looking at a double digit loss to the Knicks. New York has won five of six since acquiring OJ Anunoby, and they have been dominant defensively during that span. The Grizz have failed to cover in seven of their last eight home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* on VT. 

The Hokies are undefeated at home, and they will be a small favorite here against Miami. Both teams are 2-2 in the ACC, and both these teams are winless on the road. Virginia Tech was just 2-10 on the road last year, but they were also 13-4 at home. The Canes have lost back to back games since beating Clemson at home, and they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games in conference play. The Hokies are gunning for 10 straight home wins. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DEN.

The Nuggets are 15-4 at home, and they are 7-3 in the last 10 versus the Pelicans. Call this a revenge game after New Orleans won at home 115-110 in the last meeting in November. The Pelicans come in with three of their starters listed as questionable (Zion, CJ & Brandon Ingram). The Pelicans lost 134-116 in their last game at Denver, and we might be expecting another blowout here tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UTAH.

The Raptors are coming off back to back losses in LA, and this looks like a tough spot for them on the road at Utah. The trade with the Knicks provided a spark, but that won't be the last deal before the deadline. We expect Pascal Siakam to be on his way out, and he likely won't play tonight. The Jazz have won six of their last seven versus Toronto, and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. The Jazz will look for a seventh straight home win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Knicks are a different team since the trade with the Raptors. New York is 5-0 since the trade, allowing opponents to average much less than 100 points per game during that span. The Raptors are also doing well since the trade, but they have gone over in all their games. It makes sense that after trading a pair of offensive minded players for an elite defender, this would be the result. These teams have gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings, and they haven't scored 234 points in regulation in any of the last five meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Towson Tigers rank 335th nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. This is even slower than they played last season, and they host the Stonybrook Seawolves, who also play at a below average pace. When these two teams played last year the Tigers won 67-55, going under the total of 127. The total for tonight's game sits several points higher... and that's hard for me to justify.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on UGA.

The Georgia Bulldogs are 9-0 at home so far, and they come into tonight's game against Arkansas as winners of nine straight overall. The Razorbacks are coming off an ugly home loss to Auburn, a game where they only scored 51 points. This is the first true road game for Arkansas, and this team was 2-8 on the road last season. Arkansas are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games on the road. The home team has won four of the last five in this series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on IND.

How will the Pacers get on without Tyrese Haliburton? Well they should do just fine against a Wizards team that is 3-17 on the road. They came storming back to beat the Celtics at home in the second half without their leading scorer in their last game. Washington are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road, while the Pacers have won seven of their last eight. I expect Indiana to rally for another double digit win here at home against a bottom feeder.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The East Carolina Pirates rank 301st nationally in pace of play, averaging just 68 possessions per game game. They are on the road tonight at Temple, and the Owls are coming off a 68-61 win over Wichita State. These teams have gone under in four of the last five meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

The Clemson Tigers rank 233rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just over 70 possessions per game. They are coming off a 65-55 loss to North Carolina, and we might expect another low scoring game at Virginia Tech. The Tigers won the last meeting by a score of 51-50, and they have gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Rutgers is 8-2 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings versus Indiana, and they are 5-0 at home in those games. Neither team has scored 70 points in each of the last four meetings, and they have failed to reach 140 combined points in five straight meetings. Rutgers has failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Rutgers ranks 349th in scoring averaging just 68 points per game, but they are great defensively allowing just 64 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

There are 362 Div 1 teams, and none of them play slower than the Davidson Wildcats. Their average of 62 possessions per game ranks 362nd in the country. The Wildcats host Rhode Island, and these teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 meetings. Only two of those games went over a combined 140 points, and one of those went to overtime. Davidson won the last meeting by a score 68-54, and we could see a similar score here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MIN.

The T-Wolves sit in first place in the Western Conference, and they come into Dallas with an 11-7 road record. The Mavs are banged up, and Luka Doncic did not play in a win over Portland on Friday. His status is still uncertain for tonight's game, but it appears unlikely he will be 100 percent. The Wolves have won five of the last six head to head, including both meetings at Dallas during that span.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on MINN. 

The Maryland Terrapins were just 2-9 on the road last year. One of those wins came at Minnesota though, and they have owned the Gophers. Maryland is 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Minnesota appears to have vastly improved, and they should have no trouble getting up for this game. The Gophers are 10-1 at home so far, and their win over Nebraska looks more impressive by the day. They come off a road win at Ann Arbor, and while Michigan doesn't look great that's still an impressive result for a team that finished last in the BIG10 a year ago. Maryland has lost two of three on the road, and they have scored an average of just 54 points in those games. Their road win at UCLA is looking less impressive by the day. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Under.

Throw out the previous numbers for the Knicks, since the trade this team is trending in a different direction. They gave up a couple of offensive players to acquire an elite defender, and in the three games Anunoby has played the Knicks have held opponents under 100 points per game. Washington has lost six of their last seven at home, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven versus the Knicks.

GL,

Jesse Schule