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Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
02-03-17	Raptors -185 v. Magic		94-102	Loss	-185	8 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Raptors (1st half). The Raptors are slumping, coming into tonight's game as losers of seven of their last nine overall. They have slipped into second place in the Atlantic Division, a game and a half back of Boston. They played well in a losing effort at Boston in their last game, in fact they led 62-51 at halftime. They lost at home by a score of 114-113 to Orlando last Sunday, and that sets up a revenge spot as the Raptors look to return the favor in Orlando. The Magic have lost five of their last six overall, and they've lost five of their last six home games against the Raptors. Orlando is 5-16-1 ATS in it's last 22 home games, and has failed to cover in 10 of it's last 13 when playing on one day's rest. This game should mean a lot more to the visitors, and I expect to see the Raptors jump out to a fast start. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
02-03-17	Rhode Island v. Davidson -1	Top	70-59	Loss	-110	30 h 45 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. Davidson got off to a bit of a shaky start this season, and a few weeks ago I bet heavily against them when they played at La Salle. Here is what I said prior to that game: "Davidson is normally one of the top teams in this conference, but this year's squad is struggling. They've lost three of four in conference play, and that includes home losses to Richmond and Fordham. Davidson's leading scorer Jack Gibbs was just 3-of-17 from the field in his last game, and the team as a whole shot just 28.9 percent from the field." They would end up losing 91-83 in that game, but have since won three straight. All three of those wins have come by double digits, and they held opponents to an average of just 62 points per game during that span. The Wildcats are 6-2 at home, and they host the Rhode Island Rams, who are just 2-5 on the road. Those two road wins came against bottom feeders Saint Louis and Duquense. Davidson beat the Rams at home last year by a score of 65-54, and I expect a similar result this time around. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule
02-02-17	James Madison v. Elon -5.5	Top	61-67	Win	100	8 h 14 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Elon Phoenix. Elon has won four straight, and sits third in the CAA behind Charleston and UNC Wilmington. They will host bottom feeders James Madison tonight, and the Dukes have lost six of their last seven overall. They are just 2-10 on the road, and they've scored an average of just 64.1 points on 42.7 percent shooting in those games. That's 15 points less than Elon has averaged at home. When looking at these teams overall records, and season averages, it's important to note that Elon played a far tougher non-conference schedule with games against teams like Duke and Georgetown. This is a revenge game for Elon, who lost by just one points at James Madison earlier in the year. Yohanny Delambert scored 15 points, and dominated the boards with 17 rebounds for the Dukes in that game. He's since suffered a season ending injury, and they've really missed him. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
02-02-17	Northeastern v. William & Mary -185	Top	69-94	Win	100	8 h 10 m	Show
This is a 10* play on William and Mary. The William and Mary Tribe will host Northeastern Thursday, and the the two teams are tied, each with a 6-4 record in the CAA. William and Mary have won three straight home games by double digits, and they are still undefeated at home this season (10-0). That includes an 18-point victory over conference leading UNC Wilmington. The Huskies have lost three straight road games, all against teams that trail them in the standings. The Tribe are averaging over 90 points per game on better than 54 percent shooting at home, and Northeastern simply doesn't have the offense to keep up with that kind of scoring. The Tribe are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games versus Northeastern. This looks like a mismatch in favor of the home team. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule
02-01-17	New Mexico v. UNLV +1.5	Top	80-77	Loss	-110	15 h 32 m	Show
This is a 10* play on UNLV. This is a revenge spot for New Mexico after losing at home to the Rebels by a score of 71-66 earlier this year. The Lobos might be hard pressed to earn a better result here tonight though, coming off a blowout loss to Nevada. Not only did they lose that game by 17 points, they also lost a pair of starters to injury. Most notable is leading scorer Tim Williams, who is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Sophomore guard Dane Kuiper suffered a concussion in the loss to Nevada, and he's expected to be out at least a couple weeks. Kuiper had a team high 17 points in the loss to the Rebels earlier this year. The Rebels are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they should be able to get it done against a shorthanded opponent tonight. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule
02-01-17	Baylor +6.5 v. Kansas	Top	68-73	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. The #2 ranked Baylor Bears will take on the #3 ranked Jayhawks in Kansas tonight, and if anyone is going to end KU's 12 year reign at the top of the BIG12, it will probably be Baylor. This game reminds me a lot of last year's thriller when Oklahoma came to Lawrence, and lost 109-106 after three overtimes. The Sooners were ranked #2 at the time, and Kansas was ranked #1. This appears to be a difficult spot for the home team, coming off an emotional upset win at Kentucky. The Bears have only lost one game all year, and they haven't had any trouble winning on the road. They are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games, and the road team is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in this series. The Jayhawks have only covered twice in their last eight games as a favorite, and I expect them to struggle with a tough opponent here in such a huge game for both teams. I'll take the points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule
02-01-17	Florida State v. Miami (Fla) -123	Top	75-57	Loss	-123	11 h 40 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. The Seminoles jumped out to an early lead in the ACC Standings, much thanks to a favorable schedule playing five of their first seven games at home. They come into Miami tonight off back to back losses (@Syracuse and @Georgia Tech). They have lost three of four road games overall, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Hurricanes are 10-1 at home, coming off a 77-62 home win over #9 ranked North Carolina. The Hurricanes have won three straight in this series, and four of their last five home meetings versus FSU. This looks like a tough game for the visitors to get back on track, and I think this FSU team might still be a little overrated. Miami has been a strong bet at home, going 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-01-17	Georgia Tech +10 v. Clemson	Top	62-74	Loss	-108	11 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech. Clemson is asked to cover a double digit spread at home versus Georgia Tech tonight, despite a history of close battles with this conference rival. Three of Clemson's last four home games against the Yellow Jackets have been decided in overtime, and six of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been decided by less than five points. The Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back home wins over ranked teams (Notre Dame and Florida State). They were blown out in road losses at Virginia and Duke, but they've won two of their last three road games against unranked teams, with the one loss coming by a single point at Virginia Tech. Clemson lost 75-63 at Georgia Tech earlier this season, and the road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this series. It sure seems like a tough ask for the Tigers to cover this inflated number. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
01-31-17	Hornets v. Blazers OVER 214		98-115	Loss	-110	20 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on CHA@POR to go OVER the total. The Hornets are reeling, coming into Portland off four straight losses. Starting center Cody Zeller has missed all four of those games due to injury, and Charlotte has lost nine of 10 games without Zeller this season. They've struggled on defense in his absence, allowing over 110 points per game during their current losing skid. The Blazers have been a major disappointment this season, but they've won three of their last four, scoring an average of over 113 points in those games. The one loss came by just two points to defending Western Conference champs Golden State. Portland has won five straight home meetings with the Hornets, scoring an average of 115 points in those games. The over is 6-1 in the Blazers last seven versus teams with a losing record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-31-17	Wisconsin v. Illinois +6.5	Top	57-43	Loss	-110	19 h 6 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Illinois. The Fighting Illini are just 3-6 in conference play, but five of those six losses have come on the road. Their only home loss during conference play, came by just six points against BIG10 leaders Maryland. They are 10-2 overall at home, and they've averaged 80.5 points on 49.2 percent shooting in those games. Wisconsin is 3-2 on the road, but it's last road game was just a 78-76 win at Minnesota. They needed overtime to avoid a home upset to Rutgers on Saturday, and I think they might have a tough game on their hands in Illinois. The Fighting Illini have already beaten Michigan, Iowa and Ohio State at home, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Wisconsin has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 in this series, but in their last four games at Illinois they were favored by -3, -4, -1.5 and -1.5. They are asked to cover a far bigger number here, and I'll take the points. Take ILL. GL, Jesse Schule
01-31-17	Kings v. Rockets OVER 224.5		83-105	Loss	-110	12 h 20 m	Show
This is an 8* play on SAC@HOU to go OVER the total. The Kings came up just short in a 122-119 loss at Philly last night, but DeMarcus Cousins continued his extraordinary play, scoring a whopping 45 points and pulling in 15 rebounds. Cousins scored 35 points in Saturday's win at Charlotte, and that was the second game of a back to back for the Kings. Sacramento has scored an average of 112 points per game over their last five (all on the road). It's going to take plenty of points to keep up with the Rockets in Houston tonight. The Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114 points per game. Houston defeated Sacramento 132-98 at home back in December, and six of the last eight meetings between these two teams have gone over the total. Neither of these two teams are too keen on playing defense, and they should both be content to play a fast pace high scoring game in Houston tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-31-17	Maryland +2 v. Ohio State	Top	77-71	Win	100	17 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Maryland Terrapins. The #17 ranked Terrapins come into Columbus as winners of six straight, and they are 7-1 in conference play. They've picked up road wins at Michigan, Minnesota, Iowa and Illinois, but they are an underdog here against the Buckeyes. Ohio State isn't exactly playing great right now, coming off a blowout loss at Iowa. The Hawkeyes won 85-72, despite missing their leading scorer Peter Jok who sat out with a sore back. The Buckeyes are just 3-6 versus BIG10 teams, and that includes home losses to Purdue and Northwestern. Maryland won both meetings last year, winning 66-61 at Columbus in the last meeting. Ohio State has played four ranked teams so far, losing all four of those games. They show now signs of being able to knock off a top 25 team, not even at home. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule
01-31-17	Creighton v. Butler -6.5	Top	76-67	Loss	-110	17 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Butler. This is a revenge game for the Bulldogs, after getting hammered at Creighton earlier this season by a score of 75-64. The Blue Jays are short-handed this time around, losing guard Maurice Watson Jr for the rest of the season. He led all scorers with 21 points on 9-of-14 shooting in the last meeting between these two teams. Without him the Jays have struggled, losing at home to Marquette, and on the road at Georgetown. They beat DePaul at home on Saturday, but playing on the road at Butler is a whole different ball game. The Bulldogs are 11-1 at home, and looking to bounce back after suffering their first home loss to Georgetown on Saturday. The Hoyas were simply shooting out the lights in that game, hitting 63.8 percent from the field, and 50 percent from beyond the arc. The home team has covered in four straight in this series, and Butler is 5-1 ATS in it's last six home games. I'll take the home favorite. Take BUT. GL, Jesse Schule
01-30-17	Siena v. Quinnipiac +1.5	Top	84-75	Loss	-107	11 h 31 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats. The Bobcats have been making big money for betters in conference play, covering the spread in eight of their last nine games overall. I was fortunate enough to have them in several of those games. Here is what I said prior to their loss at Siena (they covered): "The Bobcats are coming off another loss on the road at St. Peters on Monday, and they are now just 6-10 overall. While they might not be getting wins, they have covered the spread in four straight games. They have been very competitive, especially on the road where they are 3-0 ATS in their last three. They are getting a bunch of points here at Siena, and the Saints are struggling. Siena hasn't covered the spread in nine straight games, and their last game was a 56-54 home win over the same St. Peters team that Quinnipiac nearly beat on the road. The Bobcats are killing it on the boards, averaging 40 rebounds per game over their last five. They out-rebounded St. Peters 40-28, and I expect the visitors to own the boards again tonight. Don't be surprised if the underdog gets an outright win here at Siena." The Saints managed to win that game by a score of 81-74, but I don't like their chances of doing it again on the road. They've been brutal on the road all year, winning just twice in 13 road games. They scored an average of just 70.9 points in those games, while Quinnipiac has averaged 82.6 points at home. The Bobcats have scored 90+ points in their last two home games, wins over Iona and Canisius. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-30-17	Kings v. 76ers OVER 205		119-122	Win	100	8 h 52 m	Show
This is a 10* play on SAC@PHI to go OVER the total. The Kings have won three of their last four games, scoring an average of over 110 points per game during that span. They are Philly to play the Sixers tonight, and Philly has lost back to back games, giving up over 120 points in each of those losses. The Sixers appear to have cooled off after a 10-3 run prior to Friday's home loss to the Rockets. James Harden went off for 51 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists in that game. I think we could see another half hearted effort on defense tonight, and DeMarcus Cousins could pile on the points. Cousins scored 35 points in a win at Charlotte Saturday, and he's averaged over 30 points per game in his last five. The Kings have been having their way with opponents from the Eastern Conference, and they've covered the spread in five straight on this road trip. The Sixers have gone over in five straight, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 when playing the second game of a back to back. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-29-17	Indiana v. Northwestern -6.5		55-68	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats are just one game out of first place in the BIG10, and they host the Indiana Hoosiers in a huge game this Sunday. The Hoosiers are reeling, coming off a 30-point loss to Michigan at Ann Arbor. Indiana has lost it's leading scorer James Blackmon after he suffered a leg injury in the loss to Michigan. They were already shorthanded after losing OG Anunoby for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Northwestern is 11-1 at home this season, scoring an average of 79.1 points on 45 percent shooting in those games. That's 10 points more than the Hoosiers are averaging on the road, and they've lost three of their four away games. The Widcats have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 home games, and they are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 versus Indiana. The Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of more than six points. Take NW. GL, Jesse Schule
01-29-17	Michigan v. Michigan State -130		62-70	Win	100	2 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Michigan State 1st half. The Wolverines are coming off a blowout win at home against a banged up Indiana team, and I think they could suffer a let down here against Sparty at East Lansing. The Spartans should be hungry, coming off three straight losses. Two of those defeats came on the road (@Osu and @IND), and they lost at home to #20 ranked Purdue in their last game. It was only their second loss in 11 home games this season, and they have covered in their last four home games as a favorite. Michigan is still looking for it's first road win, losing all five away games and failing to cover in four of those five losses. The Wolverines have been brutal defensively in those games, giving up over 80 points per game. I like the home team to earn a much needed victory here in this battle between two BIG10 rivals. Take SPARTY. GL, Jesse Schule
01-28-17	Ohio State v. Iowa -1	Top	72-85	Win	100	17 h 23 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Iowa. I bet on the Buckeyes in their last game, and they beat Minnesota by a score of 78-72 at home. They are playing at Iowa on Saturday, in what appears to be a much tougher game. Iowa should be hungry, coming off three straight losses. Two of those three defeats came on the road, and they lost a close game at home to BIG10 leaders Maryland. Their last win as an upset of #17 ranked Purdue, at home at Iowa City. The Hawkeyes have had a tough season, but they are still 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games. They've scored an average of 87.2 points on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and it's going to be difficult for the Buckeyes to match that kind of offensive production. Ohio State has scored an average of just 68.3 points per game on 44.4 percent shooting on the road. The Buckeyes aren't making bettors any money as an underdog, failing to cover in five of their last seven when getting points on the road. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-28-17	Kings v. Hornets OVER 209	Top	109-106	Win	100	16 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on SAC@CHA to go over the total. The Kings appeared to be well on their way to a third straight victory last night in Indiana, leading by double digits in the fourth quarter. They couldn't hang on though, eventually losing by a score of 115-111 in overtime. They might not have much left in the tank here on their second game of a back to back in Charlotte. The Hornets though have lost three straight, giving up an average of 110 points per game in those losses. This will be their second game in as many nights, and third game in four nights. Recent games between these two teams have been high scoring, the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in the last two meetings, and I don't expect to see a lot of effort here on defense from two teams that might not make the playoffs. The Hornets have gone over in 13 of their last 17 when playing their second game of a back to back, and the over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games versus the Kings. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-28-17	Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +6.5	Top	60-62	Win	100	16 h 59 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. I bet on Georgia Tech in their last game, getting 8.5 points at home to #6 ranked Florida State. They won that game outright by a score of 78-56, and here is what I said before tip off: "Georgia Tech is just 3-4 in conference play, but three of those four losses came on the road. They've played a lot better at home, including a 75-63 win over the Tar Heels." The Yellow Jackets have been the underdog in each of their last seven games against the Irish, and they've covered in all seven of those games. To say that these teams have played close games in recent meetings would be an understatement. In Notre Dame's last four visits to Atlanta, they've lost twice by a single point, won by two points, and lost by five points. There no reason why we should expect them to cover a big number here in this game. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
01-26-17	Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202	Top	88-96	Win	100	13 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are coming off back to back losses, failing to score 100 points in both of those games. They are one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging just 99.4 points per game (28th). It has been their defense that has helped them win 16-of-24 at home. They rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed, giving up just 95.5 points per game. They are likely to put even more emphasis on defense tonight, looking to get back on track against a struggling Lakers team. LA has failed to score 100 points in back to back losses at Portland and Dallas. They scored just 73 points, suffering their worst ever loss at Dallas on Sunday (122-73). They've lost seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and they've scored an average of just 82 points while losing their last three visits to Utah. The Jazz have gone under in five straight following a loss, and the under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 home meetings versus the Lakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-26-17	Mavs v. Thunder -8		98-109	Win	100	11 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Both the Thunder and the Mavs will be playing their second game of a back to back, and both teams are coming off a win. The visitors though will be shorthanded Thursday, with Dirk Nowitzki scheduled to sit out (rest), and Wesley Matthews and Deron Williams both out due to injury. Dirk scored 19 points in 25 minutes in last night's win over New York, and Williams had a team high seven assists. Russell Westbrook passed Larry Bird last night, recording his 60th career triple-double. The Thunder are a solid 15-6 at home this season, and each of their last five home wins have come by eight points or more. They've covered the spread in four straight home games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing record. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Washington v. Arizona State -160	Top	75-86	Win	100	15 h 7 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Both the Huskies and the Sun Devils sit near the bottom of the PAC-12 standings with a 2-5 record. The Huskies have played two road games so far, losing at Stanford and California. Arizona State will look to snap a four game losing streak, coming off a tough stretch where they lost to UCLA, USC, Arizona and Utah. They've been quite good at home, scoring an average of 91.2 points on 48.2 percent shooting. The Huskies have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and seven of their last eight as an underdog. The Sun Devils are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. I don't think Washington will be able to keep up with Arizona offensively. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Alabama v. Georgia -5.5	Top	80-60	Loss	-100	13 h 15 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. The Alabama Crimson Tide are off to a good start, winning four of six games against SEC teams so far. They've played some of the weakest teams in the conference though, and hey were humbled in 20-point loss at Auburn in their last game. I think they could be looking at another one-sided loss here at Georgia. The Bulldogs are 4-3 in conference play, but two of those three losses came against SEC heavyweights (Florida and South Carolina). Georgia has won four straight against Alabama, covering the spread in all four of those wins. Alabama is just 2-7 ATS in their last seven visits to Georgia, and they've had a tough time scoring points in those games. The Tide are averaging just 67.4 points per game on the road, and that's not likely going to cut it here in Athens. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 204.5	Top	95-103	Win	100	13 h 41 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NYK@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Mavericks are coming off a blowout win over the Lakers, and they've held opponents to fewer than 100 points in four of their last five overall. Dallas only averages 96.6 points per game on offense (30th), but they have been one of the better defensive teams in league, allowing just 100 points per game (4th). They host the New York Knicks tonight, and the Knicks are struggling. New York beat the Mavs at home by a score of 93-77 at home in November, but had lost five straight in this series before that. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Dallas has gone under in four of it's last five home games, and I expect another low scoring game in Texas tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 201	Top	99-101	Win	100	12 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on TOR@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Raptors came up just short in a 108-106 home loss to San Antonio last night, and they have their work cut out for them on the road at Memphis in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four, but they will like their chances of getting back on track against a short-handed and tired opponent. Toronto's leading scorer DeMar Derozan didn't play last night, and isn't expected to play in Memphis. The Grizzlies are a tough team to score on at the best of times, ranking third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing fewer than 100 points per game. Toronto won the last meeting between these two teams in a shootout in Toronto, but they had gone under in five straight meetings prior to that. They've failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 17 trips to Memphis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Rockets -155 v. Celtics	Top	109-120	Loss	-155	12 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Houson Rockets. The Rockets have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games, and they are coming off a 127-114 at Milwaukee. They will look to get back on track in Boston tonight, and the Celtics are in rough shape. Boston has lost three straight, and they've been brutal defensively during that stretch. They play their second game of a back to back without Avery Bradley, who they have really missed. The Rockets are 6-1 straight up in the last seven in this series, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 at Boston. James Harden should put up some big numbers tonight against this struggling Celtics defense. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Florida State v. Georgia Tech +9	Top	56-78	Win	100	11 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. The Florida State Seminoles are sitting at the top of the ACC standings, and they are a big road favorite at Georgia Tech tonight. The Seminoles have only played two road games this season, winning by two points at Virginia, and getting blown out at North Carolina. Georgia Tech is just 3-4 in conference play, but three of those four losses came on the road. They've played a lot better at home, including a 75-63 win over the Tar Heels. The Seminoles won at Georgia Tech last year, but it was a close game decided by a score of 57-53. In fact three of the last four meetings between the two teams have been decided by six points or less. Not surprisingly, with so many close games in this series, taking the points has paid off in a big way. The underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
01-25-17	Minnesota v. Ohio State -165	Top	72-78	Win	100	11 h 8 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. After back to back wins over Michigan State and Nebraska, the Buckeyes came up just short in a 74-72 home loss to Northwestern on Sunday. They should be able to get back on track tonight, hosting Minnesota. The Golden Gophers have dropped three straight, including a double digit loss to the Spartans at East Lansing. Ohio State is averaging 75.5 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and that's 10 points more than the Gophers have averaged on the road. The Buckeyes are 5-0 straight up in their last five home games against the Gophers, and they've covered the spread in four straight at home versus Minnesota. This is also a revenge spot for the Buckeyes, who lost 78-68 at Minnesota earlier this year. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-24-17	Villanova v. Marquette OVER 152.5	Top	72-74	Loss	-105	16 h 8 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Villanova@Marquette to go OVER the total. The Marquette Golden Eagles have scored at least 80 points in five straight games. Their most recent game was a 102-94 win at Creighton. Earlier this month they gave Villanova a run for their money, losing 93-81 in Philly. The Wildcats will visit the Bradley Center tonight, and Villanova has only lost once this season, losing 66-58 at Butler. Marquette also lost to Butler, but led by a whopping 16 points at halftime in that game. When the Wildcats visited Marquette last year, it was a shootout. Villanova won that game by a score of 89-79, but this year's Marquette team appears to be a lot more talented than it was a year ago. The Eagles are averaging 87.2 points per game on 51.8 percent shooting at home this season, and I think Villanova will have to score plenty of points to avoid another loss. The over is 8-1 in Marquette's last nine games as an underdog, and these teams have gone over in four straight meetings in Milwaukee. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
01-24-17	Kent State v. Northern Illinois -165	Top	73-66	Loss	-165	8 h 24 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NIU. Northern Illinois is particularly strong at home. The Huskies are 8-3 at home this season, and they were an incredible 18-1 at home last year. NIU is 17-7 ATS in it's last 24 home games, but they lost to Ohio at home on Saturday. They blew a late lead in that game, but I think the Huskies get back on track against an inferior Kent State team today. The Flashes are coming off a home win over Toledo, but had lost four straight prior to that. They were crushed by the Bobcats by a score of 85-67 in Ohio, and they lost to cellar dwellers Western Michigan in Kalamazoo. The Golden Flashes are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 road games. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-24-17	St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -7	Top	63-67	Loss	-110	29 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies will host St. Joe's on Tuesday, and they are coming off back to back wins by combined 39-point margin. St. Bonaventure has been a beast at home over the last decade, but they haven't been as dominant on their own floor so far this season. While they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, their most recent home win came by a whopping 20 points in a 73-53 win over Fordham. The Bonnies have covered the spread in five straight meetings versus St. Joe's, and they won all five of those games by at least eight points. The Red Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six visits to St. Bonnies, and they have averaged just 66 points per game while losing four of seven on the road. The Bonnies are scoring an average of 85 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and they should blow the doors off here in this one. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule
01-23-17	Thunder v. Jazz -5.5	Top	97-95	Loss	-110	16 h 52 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. Utah has won six straight games, by an average margin of more than 11 points. The Jazz will host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have lost six of their last eight on the road. Five of those six losses came in games decided by a double digit margin. Center Steven Adams has missed the last two games with a concussion, and he still has to clear concussion protocol before he will be cleared to play. The Jazz beat the Thunder here in Utah in December by 20 points in the last meeting between the two teams, and the Jazz have covered the spread in five of their last seven home meetings versus the Thunder. Oklahoma City got the season started off on the right foot, but they had a soft schedule with a lot of early home games. They are just 10-13 on the road this season, and only three of those 10 road wins came against winning teams. I expect Utah to handle Westbrook and the Thunder easily. Take UTA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-23-17	Quinnipiac +10 v. Iona	Top	74-84	Push	0	9 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats. The Bobcats beat Iona at home just last week, and they are currently among the hottest teams in the conference, with a record of 5-4 versus MAAC teams. They aren't the sexiest team in their conference, and they don't get a lot of respect from bookmakers. They've been the underdog in six of their last seven overall, and they've covered the spread in all seven of those games. I've bet on the Bobcats several times during that stretch, and the bookmakers aren't giving me any reason to jump off the bandwagon here today, giving them a double-digit cushion against a team that they just beat. Iona is a talented team that scores a lot of points, but the Gaels have given up an average of 84 points per game in their last five. They are coming off a 96-89 home win over Fairfield, yet they are asked to win by a far greater margin here against a superior Quinnipiac team. These teams have a history of playing each other tough, and the Bobcats have been playing everyone tough this season. Quinnipiac has covered the spread in each of it's last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-21-17	Ohio v. Northern Illinois -1	Top	78-69	Loss	-110	18 h 2 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Norther Illinois Huskies. The Ohio Bobcats were cruising in the MAC, winning their first three games in conference play. The lost their leading scorer Antonio Campbell in last week's game against Eastern Michigan, and without him they scored just 53 points on 30.4 percent shooting. They lost to the Eagles at home, and then went out on the road to play Akron at mid week. Things didn't get much better against the Zips, losing by 15 points (83-68). They play the second best team in the MAC on the road today, and Northern Illinois is particularly strong at home. The Huskies are 8-2 at home this season, and they were an incredible 18-1 at home last year. NIU is 17-6 ATS in it's last 23 home games, and I think they'll mop the floor with a shorthanded Bobcats team. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-21-17	Iowa State v. Oklahoma	Top	92-87	Loss	-110	16 h 33 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. At first glance, this looks like a classic let down spot for Oklahoma. The Sooners last game was an upset win at West Virginia, with Jordan Woodard scoring the game winning bucket just before the end of overtime. Woodard leads the Sooners in scoring, and when he was sidelined for four games due to injury, Oklahoma struggled. He played just 24 minutes in a home loss to Kansas, and scored just seven points on 2-of-8 shooting. The Sooners led that game at the half by a score of 36-27, but couldn't hold off the mighty Jayhawks in the second half. Woodard has totaled 47 points in back to back wins over Texas Tech and West Virginia. The Sooners host the Iowa State Cyclones Saturday, and the home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Cyclones have lost three of their four road games this season, and are coming off back to back losses to Kansas and TCU. I don't expect Oklahoma to suffer a let down here at home, I think they'll be full of confidence and looking to build on some positive momentum. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
01-21-17	Louisville v. Florida State -3	Top	68-73	Win	100	10 h 36 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles. The Louisville Cardinals scored 92 points in a blowout win over Clemson at home on Thursday, but I think they are primed to suffer a let down on the road at Florida State today. The Cardinal played their last game without starting PG Quentin Snider, who is the team's assist leader. They shot out the lights, hitting 56.3 percent from the field, and 40.9 percent from beyond the arc in the win over the Tigers. They can't count on such a high shooting percentage here in Tallahassee. The Seminoles are 13-0 at home this season, and have scored an average of 91.5 points on 51.6 percent shooting in those games. They've won five of six in conference play, with the only loss coming on the road at North Carolina. Even more impressive is the fact that five of their last eight wins have come against ranked teams. That includes an upset win at #12 ranked Virginia. Louisville has failed to cover in 11 of it's last 15 road games, while FSU is 12-5 ATS in it's last 17 home games. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-19-17	Wolves v. Clippers -135		104-101	Loss	-135	18 h 7 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the LAC. The Clippers were dealt some bad news following their 120-98 win over Oklahoma City on Monday. Chris Paul suffered a thumb injury that will keep him out for 6-8 weeks. Even without Blake Griffin and Chris Paul, the Clippers are still a slight favorite at home versus Minnesota, and for good reason. The Wolves are just 5-15 on the road this season, and four of those five wins came against Eastern Conference teams. The only Western Conference team that Minnesota has beaten on the road, is the last place Phoenix Suns. The Clippers are currently riding a six game winning streak, and they were without Chris Paul for two of those games (home wins over Memphis and Phoenix). The Clippers relied on their depth after Paul left in the first half of Monday's game. They out-scored the Thunder 56-51 in the second half, and backups Marreese Speights, Kevin Felton, Brandon Bass and Austin Rivers all scored in double digits. Rivers will see increased minutes with the absence of Paul, and he's proven to be up to the task, averaging over 18 points in his last three games played. The Clippers have covered the spread in six of their last seven overall, and Chris Paul missed three of those games. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule
01-19-17	Davidson v. La Salle -135	Top	83-91	Win	100	8 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the La Salle Explorers. At first glance it might seem strange to see Davidson getting points in a matchup with La Salle. The Wildcats have won all four meetings in this series dating back to 2009. This year's Davidson squad doesn't appear to be at par with those previous teams. I bet against the Wildcats in their last game, a home win over VCU. Here is what I said prior to the game: "Davidson is normally one of the top teams in this conference, but this year's squad is struggling. They've lost three of four in conference play, and that includes home losses to Richmond and Fordham. Davidson's leading scorer Jack Gibbs was just 3-of-17 from the field in his last game, and the team as a whole shot just 28.9 percent from the field." Now a home win over VCU might seem to suggest that the Wildcats have righted the ship, but I've drawn a different conclusion. They won that game by a score of 69-63, shooting just 40.4 percent from the field. The Rams simply couldn't buy a bucket, shooting just 34.5 percent from the field, and 17.6 percent from beyond the arc. I think that win says more about the poor play of VCU than it does about Davidson. They are going to struggle here against an Explorers team that is 7-1 at home, coming off back to back double digit wins over Rhode Island and George Washington. Take LAS. GL, Jesse Schule
01-18-17	Miami (Fla) v. Wake Forest -1	Top	79-96	Win	100	16 h 0 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Wake Forest has lost four of five games in conference play, but they've had a tough schedule, much tougher than Miami. Three of their four losses come against Top 25 teams (Virginia, North Carolina and Florida State). Most recently they lost 93-87 at home to the Tar Heels, which is an impressive result against one of the top teams in the country. Miami is 2-2 in conference play, and their wins have come against lesser opponents in Pittsburgh and North Carolina State. They lost at home to Notre Dame, and were blown out by a score of 70-55 at Syracuse. Miami was a favorite in each of it's last two games at Wake Forest, but lost both those games outright by a combined 17 points. The Deacons are scoring an average of 86.9 points on 49.2 percent shooting at home, and it will be tough for the Hurricanes to keep up offensively. Miami has failed to cover the spread in five of it's last six road games, and is 1-5-1 ATS in it's last seven visits to Wake Forest. Take WAKE. GL, Jesse Schule
01-17-17	Ohio v. Akron -5	Top	68-83	Win	100	10 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Akron Zips. The Zips are the top team in the MAC, coming into tonight's home game against Ohio with a perfect 4-0 conference record. The Bobcats are tied for second in the conference, but are coming off a tough home loss to Eastern Michigan. They shot just 30.4 percent from the field in that game, and leading scorer Antonio Campbell left after playing just three minutes, suffering a foot injury. He's not expected to return for tonight's game, and that's going to make it tough for Ohio to hang in there against a team that has had their number in recent seasons. The Zips have won four of the last five meetings in this series, covering the spread in all three home meetings during that span. Akron won the last meeting by a score of 91-76, and the Zips are 8-0 at home this season. The Bobcats have failed to cover in four straight road games, and that's a trend likely to continue tonight. Take AKR. GL, Jesse Schule
01-16-17	Thunder v. Clippers -5.5	Top	98-120	Win	100	33 h 15 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the LAC. The Thunder won 122-118 at Sacramento last night, and Russell Westbrook recorded another triple-double. The Kings out-scored OKC 72-63 in the second half, but the comeback bid fell just short. The Thunder are playing on back to back nights, their third game in four night's in the middle of a six game road trip. They have the Warriors up next, and that makes this a particularly tough spot for the visiting Thunder. Center Steven Adams suffered a possible concussion last night in Sacramento, putting his status in question for tonight's game. If he can't go, that's going to make it tough to handle DeAndre Jordan. The Clippers center is coming off a dominant performance, scoring 24 points and pulling in 21 rebounds against the Lakers on Saturday. The Clippers have covered the spread in five of their last six home games, and they should be able to take advantage of the Thunder in this spot. I like LA to win big. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule
01-16-17	Marquette v. Butler -7.5	Top	80-88	Win	100	3 h 59 m	Show
The Bulldogs are 10-0 at home so far, and their last three wins have come against Big East rivals Xavier, Villanova and Providence. The average margin of victory in those games was 10 points. They host the Marquette Golden Eagles tonight, and Marquette has been blown out by 20+ points in each of it's last two road games in this series. The Eagles has lost two of three road games this season, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite, and the line here looks reasonable. Marquette scores it's fair share of points, averaging 78.7 points per game on the road. That's only a few points less than Butler averages at home (80.1). Butler is far superior defensively though, holding opponents to just 62.4 points per game at home. The Eagles have given up over 80 points per game on the road. Marquette has only covered in one of the last eight meetings in this series, and I don't think they'll hang with the Bulldogs at Butler. Take BUT. GL, Jesse Schule
01-15-17	Michigan State v. Ohio State -135		67-72	Win	100	3 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on OSU. The Buckeyes have lost four straight, and they are still looking for their first win in conference play. They host the Michigan State Spartans Sunday, and this is a "must win" for the home team. The Buckeyes are 9-2 at home this season, and they were 14-5 at home last year. The Spartans have only played two road games, winning by a single point at Minnesota, and losing 78-69 at Duke. The Buckeyes last home game was a one-point loss to Purdue. Ohio State has scored an average of 76.2 points per game on 47.7 percent shooting at home, which perhaps isn't that impressive (slightly better than MSU averages on the road). What is impressive is that they've held opponents to just 61.7 points per game on 37.4 percent shooting. The home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings in his series, and that's a trend that is likely to continue today. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-14-17	St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga	Top	56-79	Loss	-110	18 h 19 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. The Gonzaga Bulldogs have reigned supreme in the WCC in recent seasons, but this year St. Mary's poses a serious threat for the top spot in the conference. The Gaels won both meetings last season, winning at Gonzaga by a score of 63-58. Both games were close, decided by an average margin of just four points. Gonzaga is still undefeated, while St. Mary's is 15-1 overall. The Gaels have won nine straight games by a double-digit margin, and have shot 51.4 percent from the field and 42.6 percent from beyond the arc over their last five games. The most impressive thing about this year's St. Mary's squad though is their defense. They have held opponents to just 56.6 points per game this season, and they've allowed even fewer points on the road (50.6 PPG). The home team has failed to cover the spread in four straight meetings in this series, and I think Gonzaga is asked to cover a few too many points here tonight. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule
01-14-17	Duke v. Louisville -4	Top	69-78	Win	100	9 h 49 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals. Duke is reeling, coming into Louisville off an 88-72 loss at Florida State. Coach K is recovering from back surgery, and assistant coach Jeff Capel has his work cut out for him as the interim bench boss. He's going to be shorthanded here at Louisville, with senior forward Amile Jefferson unavailable for today's game. Jefferson is Duke's leading rebounder, and without him they got killed on the glass in the loss to Florida State. Louisville is one of the more dominant rebounding teams in the country, averaging 39.6 rebounds per game. The Cardinals are 9-1 overall at home this season, and 7-2 ATS. They have won two of their last three home meetings versus Duke, and the Blue Devils have only covered the spread once in their last eight road games. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-13-17	Heat v. Bucks -7	Top	108-116	Win	100	21 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heat are two teams trending in opposite directions. The Heat have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and their lost five losses have all come by at least nine points. The Bucks on the other hand have won four of their last six, with their last win coming on the road at San Antonio. The Greek Freak (Giannis Antetokounmpo) did not score a single point in the win, his first game back after sitting out Sunday with an illness. He should be back at 100% here three days later, and that's not good news for the Heat. He had scored 20 or more points in 14 straight before he got sick. The Heat are in a tough spot here, playing their final game of a six game road trip with four of those games in California. Miami is just 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games when playing on two day's rest. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
01-12-17	Quinnipiac +8.5 v. Siena	Top	74-81	Win	100	31 h 5 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats. The Bobcats are coming off another loss on the road at St. Peters on Monday, and they are now just 6-10 overall. While they might not be getting wins, they have covered the spread in four straight games. They have been very competitive, especially on the road where they are 3-0 ATS in their last three. They are getting a bunch of points here at Siena, and the Saints are struggling. Sienna hasn't covered the spread in nine straight games, and their last game was a 56-54 home win over the same St. Peters team that Quinnipiac nearly beat on the road. The Bobcats are killing it on the boards, averaging 40 rebounds per game over their last five. They out-rebounded St. Peters 40-28, and I expect the visitors to own the boards again tonight. Don't be surprised if the underdog gets an outright win here at Siena. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-11-17	Butler v. Creighton -4.5	Top	64-75	Win	100	18 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Creighton Blue Jays. It was just one week ago that Butler knocked off #1 ranked Villanova at home, and since then the Bulldogs won at Georgetown by a score of 85-76 in OT. They are just 2-2 on the road this season, and playing at Creighton will be their toughest road game to date. They lost 72-64 at Creighton last year, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams. Creighton is 8-1 at home, with their only loss coming to the #1 Wildcats. Among those eight wins they've beaten Wisconsin and Seton Hall, with both wins coming by a double digit margin. The Blue Jays are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 as a favorite. They have scored an average of 84.8 points per game on 52.8 percent shooting at home, and it's going to be difficult for the Bulldogs to match that. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule
01-11-17	St. Louis v. Duquesne -10.5	Top	66-73	Loss	-110	15 h 10 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Duquense Dukes. The Saint Louis Bilikens were the top team in the Atlantic 10 Conference just four seasons ago, but they've fallen a long way since then. They were just 5-13 in conference play last season, and they only won three road games all year. The Bilikens have lost all three games within the conference so far this year, and all those losses were blowouts. The average margin of defeat in those games was a whopping 22 points. Saint Louis lost both meetings versus Duquense last season, and each of those losses came by double-digits. The Dukes have won and covered in four straight versus Saint Louis, and this year's squad looks a lot better than the team that finished 10th in the A-10 a year ago. The Bilikens have averaged just 51.3 points per game on 37.2 percent shooting on the road, and their leading scorer Jermaine Bishop has missed the last six games with an ankle injury. Saint Louis is just 8-20 in it's last 28 on the road. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-17	Duke v. Florida State -1.5	Top	72-88	Win	100	15 h 43 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles. Duke gave Coach K a proper send off in his final game before taking time off to have back surgery, beating Georgia Tech by over 50 points. They followed up that impressive performance with a lackluster 93-82 win over Boston College. The Eagles out-scored the Blue Devils 48-40 in the second half of that game, but Duke held on for the double-digit win. Grayson Allen had 12 points and 11 assists, but highlights showed that he might have been guilty of another trip. Whether or not it was intentional, you can bet that Allen isn't going to be getting the benefit of the doubt from officials at this point. Amile Jefferson scored 11 points before leaving in the first half with a foot injury, and the Blue Devils leading rebounder will not be available here tonight. The Seminoles are coming off back to back wins over Top 25 teams, including an upset win at Virginia. Duke has failed to cover the spread in six of it's last seven road games, and is 0-5 ATS in it's last five as an underdog of five points or less. This looks like a tough spot for the banged up Blue Devils. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-17	Celtics v. Raptors -175	Top	106-114	Win	100	14 h 17 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are just 2-5 in their last seven overall, but before we say they are struggling, let's look at who they've played. Three of those losses came to the top three teams in the league, at Golden State and San Antonio, and at home versus Houston. The host the Celtics tonight, and Boston is just a game back in the Eastern Conference standings. The Celtics will be looking to avenge a home loss to the Raptors earlier this season, but Toronto has won four of the last five meetings in this series. Kyle Lowry scored 34 points in a 101-94 win at Boston last month, and he could have a big game here in the rematch. The Celtics will be missing Avery Bradley, who is sidelined with a strained Achilles. Toronto is an incredible 12-4 ATS in it's last 16 games against Eastern Conference teams. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
01-10-17	Xavier v. Villanova -7.5	Top	54-79	Win	100	14 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Villanova. The Musketeers won their last meeting versus rivals Villanova, winning 93-80 at home last February. They had lost the previous six meetings in this series though, and failed to cover in all six losses. They were blown out by a whopping 31-point margin at Villanova last year, and they've lost by double-digits in each of their last four visits to The Pavilion. The Wildcats lost their first game of the season at Butler last week, but responded immediately by easily beating Marquette in their next game. The final score in that game was 93-81, but the 12-point margin of victory is a little misleading. They led by as much as 27 midway through the second half, and Marquette didn't get within 20 points until the final 1:39 of the game. A meaningless three-point shot at the buzzer made the game appear closer than it really was. The Musketeers have lost two of three on the road so far, averaging just 69.3 points on 36 percent shooting in those games. Villanova is averaging 81.1 points on 52 percent shooting while remaining undefeated (7-0) at home. History tells us the home team should run away with this one. Take VILL. GL, Jesse Schule
01-09-17	Thunder v. Bulls -113	Top	109-94	Loss	-113	11 h 13 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls. The Thunder will play nine of their next 11 games on the road, and they've lost four in a row away from home. They come into Chicago off a 121-106 home win over Denver, and they've scored over 110 points in four of their last five overall. The Bulls are also surging offensively, they've scored an average of 115 points during a three game winning streak. Jimmy Butler went off for a combined 94 points in Chicago's last two home games, and he should be full of confidence ahead of this matchup opposite MVP candidate Russell Westbrook. The NBA's leading scorer (Westbrook) recorded his 17th triple-double of the season in the win over Denver on Saturday. He's scored 30 or more points in four straight games, and he's averaging 32 points per game on the road this season. All those points have done little in the way of manufacturing wins though, as OKC has a record of 8-10 on the road. The Bulls are hot, with wins over the top 2 teams in the East in their last two games. I'll take the home team. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule
01-09-17	Quinnipiac +7.5 v. St. Peter's	Top	54-58	Win	100	21 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats. The Bobcats have lost a lot of games this season, but they rarely get blown out. The've won two of their last three, and the one loss was an 83-77 defeat at Canisius, a game that Quinnipiac led until midway through the second half. The Bobcats are getting a bunch of points on the road at St. Peters tonight, and the Peacocks are just 3-3 at home. They are coming off a 56-54 loss to Sienna on Saturday, and it was the fifth time in seven games that they failed to score 60 points. They lost all five of those games, and I think that a team that is struggling offensively is going to have a hard time covering such a big spread here in tonight's game. The Bobcats have scored an average of 74.8 points on 43 percent shooting over their last five games, while the Peacocks have averaged just 59 points on 37 percent shooting during the same span. The last meeting between the two teams was a 56-55 home win for the Bobcats, and I expect a similar result here in this game. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-08-17	Pistons v. Blazers -3	Top	125-124	Loss	-115	12 h 0 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. Portland has been one of the biggest disappointments in the NBA this year, but they are still in a position to lock down one of the final playoff spots in the Western Conference. The Blazers are coming off an impressive blowout win at home over the Lakers, and they host a struggling Detroit team tonight. The Pistons have lost three of their last five, and they are just 7-12 on the road this season. The Blazers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last six overall. They've covered the spread in four of their last five home meetings with Detroit. Damian Lillard scored 21 points in his return after missing five games with a sprained ankle. C.J. McCollum really stepped up his game with Lillard out, and after scoring 27 against the Lakers, he's averaged over 30 points per game in his last five. The Pistons have failed to cover in six straight when coming off a win, and I don't think they'll break that streak in Portland. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-17	Utah v. Arizona State +4.5		88-82	Loss	-105	5 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. The Utah Utes have lost two of three road games so far this season, and their one win came at Hawaii. They are on the road at Arizona State this afternoon, and the Utes are actually asked to cover a four points spread. Arizona State has had a tough schedule, but they've played pretty well at home, winning six of eight. The Sun Devils are averaging a whopping 92.4 points per game on 48.3 percent shooting at home, and they've scored 84.8 points per game in their last five overall. They have shot the ball well from three-point range during that span, hitting 38.2 percent of their attempts. The Utes have really struggled to score on the road, averaging just 63.7 points per game, and they've shot just 24.1 percent from three point range in their three road games. The Sun Devils are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-17	Montana v. Eastern Washington -130		65-59	Loss	-130	4 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. This is what I said about the Eagles before they played Montana State: "Eastern Washington is 7-0 at home so far, and they've won four straight home games against conference rivals Montana State. The Eagles have won seven of the last nine meetings in this series, going 7-1-1 ATS in those games. Last year the Bobcats lost by a whopping 24 points at Cheney. The Eagles are averaging 86 points per game on better than 46 percent shooting at home this season, while the Bobcats are scoring just 75 points on 37.4 percent shooting on the road. After finishing first in the Big Sky two years ago, the Eagles had an off year last season. They still won 10-of-12 home games, and they are now 30-4 at home over the last three seasons. The Bobcats are 0-5 on the road this season, and it doesn't seem very likely that they'll get a positive result here in Cheney." Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-07-17	Manhattan v. Quinnipiac -2	Top	72-81	Win	100	8 h 34 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats. I had the Bobcats as a nine point dog in their last game at Canisius, and they covered the spread losing by a score of 83-77. They are back home hosting Manhattan Saturday, and the Jaspers are reeling after losing four straight to start conference play. Manhattan is coming off a blowout home loss to Fairfield, allowing the Stags to score a whopping 97 points on almost 60 percent shooting. The Jaspers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. The Bobcats played well in their loss to Canisius, leading at halftime and holding that lead until well past the midway point in the second half. If they play with the same passion today, at home against an inferior opponent, they should hang on for a win. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule
01-05-17	Montana State v. Eastern Washington -5		64-82	Win	100	13 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. Eastern Washington is 7-0 at home so far, and they've won four straight home games against conference rivals Montana State. The Eagles have won seven of the last nine meetings in this series, going 7-1-1 ATS in those games. Last year the Bobcats lost by a whopping 24 points at Cheney. The Eagles are averaging 86 points per game on better than 46 percent shooting at home this season, while the Bobcats are scoring just 75 points on 37.4 percent shooting on the road. After finishing first in the Big Sky two years ago, the Eagles had an off year last season. They still won 10-of-12 home games, and they are now 30-4 at home over the last three seasons. The Bobcats are 0-5 on the road this season, and it doesn't seem very likely that they'll get a positive result here in Cheney. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
01-04-17	Virginia Tech +1 v. NC State	Top	78-104	Loss	-105	11 h 10 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies. The Hokies opened conference play with a dominant win over a shorthanded Duke team, and now they head out on the road to face N.C. State. The Wolfpack have an 11-3 record, but not one of their wins has come against a quality opponent. They have been an underdog just three times this season, losing all three of those games to Miami, Illinois and Creighton. Last year N.C. State finished with a losing record, and they were just 5-13 versus the ACC. The Hokies were 13-5 in conference play, and they won on the road at Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and Boston College. Virginia Tech comes in averaging over 90 points per game on 51 percent shooting in their last five games, and they have hit 42.9 percent from beyond the arc during that span. N.C. State has only covered the spread once in it's last six games versus ACC teams. Take VT. GL, Jesse Schule
01-04-17	Bucks -120 v. Knicks	Top	105-104	Win	100	10 h 5 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have won three of their last four, and they've played some tough opponents during that span. They beat the Bulls in Chicago, the Pistons in Detroit, and the Thunder at home. They are in New York tonight, taking on a Knicks team that is stuck in downward spiral. The Knicks have lost five in a row, and they've allowed an average of 113.8 points in those games. Head coach Jeff Hornacek showed his frustration in Monday's loss to Orlando, turning his back and walking away when Carmelo Anthony called his own number on a crucial play late in the game. Kristaps Porzingis has missed the last two games with an Achilles injury, and is listed as doubtful. Milwaukee leads the NBA in points in the paint, and the Greek Freak has scored 20+ points in seven straight games. The Knicks are going to struggle to snap out of their losing streak tonight. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
01-04-17	Georgia Tech +19 v. Duke	Top	57-110	Loss	-110	16 h 11 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Duke and Georgia Tech appear to be teams trending in opposite directions. The Blue Devils were upset by Virginia Tech in their opening game of conference play, while the Yellow Jackets upset the #9 ranked UNC Tar Heels. Duke has not looked sharp in it's last three games, beating Elon and Tennessee Tech by a combined 21 points. They were favored by more than 25 points in each of those games, but were fortunate enough just to get the outright victories. There could be tough times ahead for Duke, with Coach K scheduled to take time off after back surgery following this game, and Grayson Allen suspended indefinitely. This line appears to be extremely inflated, especially when you consider that over the last three years these teams have played three times, with Duke winning two of those three games by just a single digit margin. The Blue Devils have won nine straight in this series, but they are a bigger favorite tonight than they were in any of those previous nine games. The Yellow Jackets have been a solid bet when getting at least 13 points, covering in four straight such situations. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
01-03-17	Pacers v. Pistons -186	Top	121-116	Loss	-186	20 h 13 m	Show
8*
01-02-17	Siena v. Canisius -2	Top	79-82	Win	100	11 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins. The Golden Griffins have won five straight, and their last game was an outright road win at St. Bonaventure. They host Sienna this afternoon, and the Saints have lost four of their last five. Sienna is 0-8 on the road this season, and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight versus the Golden Griffins. Canisius has averaged over 90 points per game on 48.5 percent shooting during their recent winning streak, and they have been red hot from beyond the arc. They've hit 45.9 percent from three point range in their last five games, and have hit better than 40 percent for the season. The Saints were just 3-of-18 from beyond the arc in a home loss to Vermont in their last game. Leading scorer Nico Clareth had a horrible game, hitting just 1-of-6 from beyond the arc. Take CAN. GL, Jesse Schule
12-27-16	Grizzlies v. Celtics OVER 198.5	Top	103-113	Win	100	12 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on MEM@BOS to go OVER the total. The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed. Opponents are averaging just 97.7 points per game this season, but Memphis has lost four of it's last six, surrendering well over 100 points in each of it's last two losses. One of those games was a 112-109 home loss to the Celtics just seven days ago. They come into Boston tonight off a 112-102 loss at Orlando last night. Playing their second game of a back to back, the Grizzlies defense might not be at it's best. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in five of the last six meetings. Going back even further, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and eight of the last 11 at Boston have gone over the total. The Celtics are hot, winning five of their last six, scoring an average of 108.9 points in those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-23-16	Wizards v. Bucks -150	Top	96-123	Win	100	12 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. After winning back to back games in a home and home series versus Chicago, The Bucks dropped both games in a two game series versus the Cavs. They were competitive in both those games against the defending champs, and on their home court they forced overtime before falling by a score of 114-108. They should get back on track against Washington here, a team that is just 3-9 on the road. The Wizards could be shorthanded, after Otto Porter sat out the second half of their 107-97 win over the Bulls due to back spasms. The Bucks are feeling good about themselves despite coming up short against Cleveland: "If we play like we've played the last week, regardless of our wins and losses, we'll be fine," forward John Henson said. "We're not beating ourselves. We're playing the right way for the most part." They've covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 games when playing on 1 day's rest. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-16	Spurs -120 v. Clippers	Top	101-106	Loss	-120	16 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Clippers upset the Spurs in San Antonio earlier this season, and Blake Griffin scored a game high 28 points in the victory. The Spurs won't have to worry about Griffin when they attempt to avenge that loss at the Staples Center tonight. San Antonio has the best road record in the NBA at 15-1, and they've covered the spread in five straight overall. The Clippers haven't been making bettors any money at home, failing to cover in six of their last eight at Staples Center. They've also failed to cover in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record, and five in a row when coming off a win. I like the visitors to get revenge here against the undermanned Clippers. Take SPURS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-16	LSU v. Wake Forest -8	Top	76-110	Win	100	11 h 37 m	Show
8*
12-22-16	William & Mary v. Rhode Island -10		62-73	Win	100	10 h 31 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Rhode Island Rams. The Rams have dropped out of the Top 25 rankings after suffering losses to Valparaiso, Duke, Providence and Houston. All four of those losses came against top level opposition on the road, and Rhode Island hasn't disappointed at home. The Rams are averaging 78 points per game on better than 50% shooting with a perfect 6-0 record at home. Tonight they host William & Mary, and the Tribe are struggling this season. William & Mary are 0-4 on the road, with all four of those losses coming by a double digit margin. They have shot just 39.8 percent from the field in those games, while allowing opponents to average over 87 points per game. The Rams have a history of being a good bet as a home favorite of 7-12.5 points. They've covered the spread in 17 of their last 22 such situations. Take URI. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-16	Canisius +11.5 v. St Bonaventure	Top	106-101	Win	100	11 h 42 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins. The Bonnies have always been a strong home team, but perhaps they've lost a step this season. They have failed to cover in eight straight as a home favorite, and they are being asked to cover a double-digit spread here versus a strong team that has given them trouble in the past. Canisius has covered the spread in five straight road games, and three of the last four meetings between these two teams have been decided by six points or less. The Bonnies followed up a home loss to UNC Wilmington by beating Niagra and Army. Neither of those wins came by more than 10 points, and I don't think either of those teams are as competitive as Canisius. The underdog has covered the spread in five of the last seven in this series, and that's a trend that is likely to continue tonight. Take CAN. GL, Jesse Schule
12-22-16	Central Arkansas v. Arizona State -18	Top	62-98	Win	100	2 h 16 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Sometimes wins and losses don't tell the real story, and I think that's the case with this 6-6 Arizona State team. The Sun Devils have lost to #1 Kentucky, #9 Creighton, #18 Purdue, Davidson, Northern Iowa and New Mexico State. Despite their .500 record, they've scored plenty of points. They are averaging a staggering 93.8 points per game on 48.5 percent shooting at home. They've covered the spread in seven of their last nine home games against teams with a losing record. They host the 1-11 Central Arkansas Bears in a matinee Thursday, and this really looks like it should be a massacre. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six non conference games, and they've only covered the spread once in their last seven road games. Three of their last four road losses came by 20+ points. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-21-16	Georgia State v. Middle Tennessee -12.5	Top	64-56	Loss	-110	20 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders. Georgia State is 0-4 on the road, and three of those four losses came by double digits (at Old Dominion, at Mississippi State, and at Auburn). The Blue Raiders at 10-2 have more wins than any of those teams, and they have beaten some good teams by a wide margin. They have double digit wins over Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Evansville, Belmont, and Toldeo. They are coming off a 80-77 loss at VCU, covering the spread for the sixth straight game. It's only a matter of time before this team becomes overvalued, but I think we are still getting a reasonable price here on the home favorite, as this game should be a blowout. The Panthers have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 road games, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. Take MTU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-20-16	Lakers v. Hornets UNDER 213	Top	113-117	Loss	-110	20 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. The Lakers are struggling after starting the season 10-10. They've lost nine of their last 10 overall, and PG DeAngelo Russell is still dealing with a knee injury that will keep him off the floor in Charlotte. The Hornets return home from a five game road trip, and they've won three of their last four at home. They held opponents under 100 points in all three of those wins, and they've held the opposition to an average of just 99 points in their last seven overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and 19 of their last 28 when playing on two days rest. The under is 6-2-1 in the Lakers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-17-16	Butler v. Indiana -143	Top	83-78	Loss	-143	7 h 40 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Indiana Hoosiers. The Hoosiers are 8-1 with wins over #3 ranked Kansas and #3 ranked North Carolina. They play state rivals Butler in Indiana Saturday, and the Bulldogs are 9-1 so far. Both teams are shooting close to 50% from the field, but the Hoosiers have averaged 87.6 points per game, 10 more than Butler. Indiana's biggest advantage should be on the boards, averaging 42.9 rebounds per game (13 more than Butler). The last time these two teams met in the Crossroads Classic, the Hoosiers won 82-73, out-rebounding Butler 48-40. Sophomore forward OG Anunoby scored 16 points on 6-of-8 shooting in the Hoosiers win over the Tar Heels, but missed the last three games with an ankle injury. He's expected to be back for this game, and I like the Hoosiers to prove to be too much for Butler. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule
12-16-16	Portland State v. San Francisco -8.5		82-78	Loss	-110	25 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons. San Francisco has impressed so far, starting the season 7-1, and winning all five home games. The Dons host Portland State tonight, and they are just a single digit favorite. The Vikings have lost four of five road games, including double-digit losses at Arizona State and Loyola Marymount. Junior forward Braxton Tucker leads the Vikings in scoring averaging 16.8 points per game, but he's missed the last three games with a knee injury. Tucker missed all of last season with a knee injury, and his return to the lineup is questionable. The Vikes are getting killed on the boards, averaging just 27 rebounds per game, and giving up an average of 35.5. Rebounding won't be the only advantage for the Dons here tonight, as they are shooting 51 percent from the field this season, and 40.7 percent from beyond the arc. While San Francisco has the more efficient offense, there is an even bigger separation on defense. The Dons have allowed an average of just 70.4 points per game, while the Vikes are allowing a whopping 85.3 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot better than 50 percent from the field. This looks like a complete mismatch from top to bottom, and I like the Dons to win by double digits. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule
12-14-16	Cavs v. Grizzlies -4	Top	85-93	Win	100	10 h 15 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies and the Cavs will play the second leg of a home and home series on back to back nights in Memphis Wednesday. Tyron Lue has already announced that LeBron and the rest of the "Big Three" will be rested in this game. They aren't even expected to fly with the team to Memphis. The Grizzlies have dealt with adversity (nothing new for them), but have remained competitive. Their 10-4 home record is superior to the Cavs 6-3 road record, and I can't see the Cleveland B team competing on the road here tonight. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule
12-14-16	St. Joe's +8.5 v. Princeton		76-68	Win	100	14 h 16 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the St. Joe's Hawks. After suffering four straight losses, the Hawks bounced back with a solid road win at Drexel on Sunday. Their losses came against some very good teams: Villanova, Temple, N.C. State and Ole Miss. They will be getting a generous amount of points here on the road at Princeton Wednesday. The Tigers have an identical 4-4 record, but their wins aren't all that impressive. They just barely beat Liberty by a score of 67-64 in their last game, and they shot a woeful 3-of-12 from the free throw line in that game. The loss of senior forward Hans Brase has really hurt Princeton, he led the team in rebounding and averaged over 11 points per game in each of his last two full seasons. The Tigers have been losing the battle on the boards all year, averaging under 30 rebounds per game so far. These teams played last year in Philly, and the Hawks won 62-50. They out-rebounded Princeton 43-39, and held the Tigers to just 28.8 percent shooting. The Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog, while the Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. I'll take the points here in a game that looks quite winnable for the Hawks. Take JOES. GL, Jesse Schule
12-12-16	South Carolina v. Seton Hall -145	Top	64-67	Win	100	10 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates. The Gamecocks will be without leading scorer, and leading rebounder Sindarius Thornwell when they face Seton Hall on Monday night at Madison Square Garden. South Carolina is undefeated, but seven of their eight wins came at home. They really missed Thornwell in their last game, shooting just 41 percent from the field and getting outrebounded by an inferior Florida International team. The Pirates come in averaging 78.3 points per game on 49.9 percent shooting, and they should feel at home at Madison Square Garden. Not only has Seton Hall won seven of nine games to start the season, their last three games of last season were wins over Creighton, Xavier and Villanova in New York. They have four of five starters from the team that won the Big East Tournament last year. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule
12-10-16	NC-Wilmington v. St Bonaventure -4	Top	81-80	Loss	-105	16 h 56 m	Show
This is a 10* play on St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies come into Saturday's home game against UNC Wilmington as winners of five straight. They are undefeated at home, and they scored a whopping 90 points in a win over Buffalo in their last home game. The Seahawks are in first place in the CAA, and they were the top team in their conference last year. They didn't fare all that well in non conference road games though, dropping four of their first five. The Bonnies are always tough at home, and they were 14-2 on their home floor last season. They shoot the ball particularly well at home, and have a significant edge when it comes to free throw percentage and three-point field goal percentage. Over their last five games, the Bonnies have shot 43.3 percent from beyond the arc, while the Seahawks have hit just 32.1 percent of their three-point attempts during that span. Given how well the Bonnies have played at home in recent seasons, it seems a little odd that they are asked to cover such a low number here. We can see that they've failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games, but they won those six games by an average margin of more than six points. I think the bookmakers have perhaps overcompensated based on that trend, giving us great value betting the home team as such a short favorite. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule
12-10-16	Mercer v. Clemson -13	Top	47-90	Win	100	14 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. The Mercer Bears have been struggling this season, and playing on the road at Clemson is going to be tough. The Tigers are 4-0 at home, and three of those four wins came by double digits. Their defense has been spectacular in those games, holding opponents to an average of 59.8 points on 39.8 percent shooting. The Bears haven't been competitive when facing top tier teams, losing by 20+ points to Florida and Davidson. They are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 overall, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. Mercer sits in the bottom half of the Southern Conference standings, and Clemson has covered in five straight versus teams from the Southern. This looks like a complete mismatch, and I like Clemson to win big here at home. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule
12-10-16	Wisconsin -185 v. Marquette		93-84	Win	100	2 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Wisconsin. The Badgers will play at Marquette Saturday, in the latest edition of this in-state rivalry. Marquette won last year by a score of 57-55 at Madison, while the Badgers won at Milwaukee by a score of 49-38 the previous year. Those are some pretty low scores for college basketball, which makes it surprising that the total for this game is more than 10 points higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings in this series. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 overall. Marquette comes in averaging a whopping 86.7 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting, but they have yet to face a ranked opponent. They scored in average of just 68 points in their two losses (vs Pittsburgh and Michigan). Wisconsin will be by far the best defensive team they've seen this season, as the Badgers are allowing just 59.1 points per game. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule
12-10-16	Wisconsin v. Marquette UNDER 147.5	Top	93-84	Loss	-110	12 h 56 m	Show
This is a 10* play on WISC@MARQ to go UNDER the total. The Badgers will play at Marquette Saturday, in the latest edition of this in-state rivalry. Marquette won last year by a score of 57-55 at Madison, while the Badgers won at Milwaukee by a score of 49-38 the previous year. Those are some pretty low scores for college basketball, which makes it surprising that the total for this game is more than 10 points higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings in this series. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 overall. Marquette comes in averaging a whopping 86.7 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting, but they have yet to face a ranked opponent. They scored in average of just 68 points in their two losses (vs Pittsburgh and Michigan). Wisconsin will be by far the best defensive team they've seen this season, as the Badgers are allowing just 59.1 points per game. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games versus Marquette. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-16	Blazers v. Bucks -130	Top	107-115	Win	100	21 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks had a four game winning streak snapped when they lost 97-96 to the Spurs on Monday. They host Portland tonight, and the Blazers have lost four of their last six on the road. The home team has won five straight in this series, and Milwaukee has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 meetings. The Blazers have covered the spread just twice in their last seven road games, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams with a winning record. The Greek Freak scored a career high 34 points on 13-of-19 shooting in a home win over Cleveland last Tuesday, and he should put up big numbers against a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in points allowed. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
12-07-16	Harvard v. Boston College	Top	74-66	Loss	-130	20 h 45 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Boston College Eagles. After suffering consecutive double digit losses to Richmond and Kansas State, the Eagles won big at home by a score of 88-70 over Dartmouth. They host another Ivy League team tonight, and While Harvard should prove to be a tougher opponent than Dartmouth, the Crimson are no longer the class of their conference. These teams played last November, and the Eagles won by double digits on their home court. Boston College has won four of it's five home games so far, scoring an average of 79.2 points on 50.2 percent shooting. The Crimson have played just one true road game, losing 70-66 at Massachusetts. They committed 19 turnovers in that game, and shot just 36.8 percent from the field. The Eagles leading scorer Jerome Robinson has been feeling the hot hand, totaling 27 points in each of his last two games. He was 10-of-16 from beyond the arc in those two games. This looks like a tough spot for a struggling Harvard team playing on back to back nights. Take B.C. GL, Jesse Schule
12-06-16	Knicks v. Heat UNDER 204	Top	114-103	Loss	-110	12 h 28 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NYK@MIA to go UNDER the total. The New York Knicks are just 2-6 on the road this season, and they have failed to cover in nine of the last 10 in this series with the Heat. New York's 15th ranked offense is averaging 5.5 points fewer on the road than it does at home. The Heat are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 28th overall, averaging just 97.1 points per game. Miami's defense though is ranked 6th in the NBA, holding the opposition to an average of 98.8 points per game. The Heat are coming off a 99-92 loss at Portland, failing to reach the total for the fifth time in their last 10 games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Putting it in perspective, neither team has scored 100 points in the last four meetings, and the Knicks haven't reached the century mark in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-05-16	Celtics v. Rockets -4.5	Top	106-107	Loss	-110	15 h 54 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Houston returns home from a recent road trip with four wins in five games, including a 132-127 win at Golden State. The offense is really clicking under new head coach Mike D'Antoni, ranking 2nd in the NBA averaging 111.3 points per game. They will host Boston tonight, and the Celtics are coming off a couple close wins over sub .500 teams. They beat the Sixers by just a single point in Philly on Saturday, and they failed to cover as a six point favorite in a home win over the Kings. Houston has won five of the last six meetings in this series, and the Rockets covered the spread in four of those five wins. While it looks like the Celtics have been good on the road, a closer look reveals that they've benefited from a very soft schedule. They've won five straight road games, but those five teams have a combined winning percentage of .333. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-16	Heat v. Blazers OVER 214	Top	92-99	Loss	-107	8 h 18 m	Show
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go OVER the total. Portland is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 110 points per game. They've scored an average of more than 121 points while winning two of three during this current home stand. They give up an awful lot of points as well, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing opponents to average more than 113 points. The Miami Heat are not known for their offense, but they come into Portland off back to back road wins at Denver and Utah. The Heat shot 51.2 percent in a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday. These two teams have gone over the total in nine of the last 13 meetings, and the over is 12-1 in Portland's last 13 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-16	Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 200.5	Top	100-103	Loss	-105	8 h 39 m	Show
This is a 10* play on LAL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Lakers are coming off a 113-80 loss to Toronto last night, shooting just 34.4 percent from the field. Playing on the road on back to back nights against one of the league's best defenses in Memphis tonight, I expect another poor showing offensively for LA. The Grizzlies are coming off a 95-94 win over Orlando, and they've failed to reach 200 points in four straight home games. Injuries to DeAngelo Russell and Nick Young haven't helped the Lakers, and LA has failed to reach the total in five straight. Memphis has it's own injury concerns, as they've been without Mike Conley, Zack Randolph and Vince Carter. The Grizz have gone under in four straight at home versus teams with a losing record, and that's a trend I expect to continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
12-03-16	Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona	Top	69-62	Win	100	7 h 47 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. Gonzaga comes into LA undefeated, winning seven straight games to start the season. This game against Arizona is a revenge spot for the Bulldogs, who have lost three straight, and six of the last seven in this series. Things could be different this time around, as Gonzaga is averaging 85.6 points per game on 48.9 percent shooting. They have shot slightly better than Arizona from beyond the arc (38.7 percent), but their biggest advantage may be on the boards. The Bulldogs are averaging 39.1 rebounds per game, and they pulled in a whopping 45 boards in their last game, a 97-63 win over MVSU. Arizona has a win over #12 ranked Michigan State, which doesn't look quite as impressive after the Spartans dropped out of the Top 25 with four losses. They also lost to unranked Butler by a score of 69-65. Arizona will be shorthanded here, without starting PG Peter Jackson-Cartwright, and G Allonzo Trier. The Bulldogs can smell blood: "We feel like we owe them some payback. It's been some years building up. Saturday's a time for us to get back at them." Take GONZ. GL, Jesse Schule
12-01-16	Bucks -4.5 v. Nets	Top	111-93	Win	100	9 h 22 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Milwaukee has won three of it's last four, including a home win over the defending champs. They will play on the road tonight in Brooklyn, and head coach Jason Kidd will have a chance to stick it to his former team. The Nets could suffer a let down coming off an upset win over the Clippers Tuesday. That win ended a seven game losing skid, and it was just the second time in 10 games that Brooklyn covered the spread. The Nets have lost six straight to Milwaukee, and they've covered the spread just once in the last eight meetings in this series. Giannis Antetokounmpo is on fire for the Bucks, he recorded a career high 34 points in the win over the Cavs, and he's averaged 26.4 points on 57.8 percent shooting over the last five games. He recorded a triple-double the last time the Bucks played in Brooklyn, and the Bucks won 109-100. I expect a similar result here tonight. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	St. Mary's -2.5 v. Stanford	Top	66-51	Win	100	21 h 30 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. The Gaels look to remain undefeated when they face Stanford in a tough road game tonight. Stanford will be looking to avenge a 78-61 loss at St. Mary's last season. The Gaels led the nation in field goal percentage last year, and they come into tonight's game averaging 81.8 points per game on 52.8 percent shooting. Stanford will need to play it's best defense, because there is no way the Cardinal can match the Gaels in a shootout. St. Mary's has covered the spread in seven of their last eight versus PAC12 teams, while the Cardinal have covered the spread just once in their last six versus teams from the WCC. Stanford has also failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	Pacers v. Blazers -7.5	Top	109-131	Win	100	15 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers. The Blazers won nine of their final 10 home games at the end of last season, and went on to upset the Clippers in the first round of the playoffs. They haven't lived up to expectations so far this season, sitting eighth in the West with a 9-10 record. They are just 5-4 at home, and are coming off a 130-114 home loss to Houston. They host the Indian Pacers tonight, and Indiana has lost five of six on the road. Portland has won six of the last seven meetings with the Pacers, and the Blazers have won four straight home games versus Indiana. Paul George has miss four of the last five games with a sore back, and his status for tonight's game remains uncertain. The won game he did play was a 96-85 loss to Atlanta, and he shot just 6-of-22 from the field, and 2-of-11 from beyond the arc in the loss. Damian Lillard has averaged over 30 points per game at home this season, and he scored 33 points the last time he faced the Pacers. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	Hawks v. Suns UNDER 209.5	Top	107-109	Loss	-119	16 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks have lost three straight, scoring an average of just 87 points in those losses. They will be a favorite in Phoenix tonight, facing a Suns team that has won just once in it's last five games overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings dating back to 2014, and tonight's total is significantly higher than it was in any of the last four meetings. The Hawks are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents under 100 points per game on average. The under is 19-7 in their last 26 road games, and they've failed to reach the total in 21 of their last 29 versus Western Conference teams. The Suns have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 versus Eastern Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 210	Top	96-90	Win	100	11 h 20 m	Show
This is a 10* play on LAL@CHI to go UNDER the total. The Lakers will be shorthanded when they face the Bulls in Chicago tonight, already missing starting PG DeAngelo Russell, they could be without Nick Young who suffered a strained Achilles in the loss to New Orleans last night. These teams have gone over the total in each of the last four meetings, but we see a higher total in tonight's game than in any of those previous contests. The Bulls are one of the league's top defensive teams, holding opponents to an average of just 99 points per game. These teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 12 meetings at the United Center, and Chicago has held opponents to an average of 95.8 points while winning four of five home games this season. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 195	Top	105-120	Win	100	14 h 24 m	Show
This is a 10* play on MEM@TOR to go OVER the total. The Raptors have scored over 110 points in nine of their last 11 games overall. They scored a whopping 122 points in a blowout win over Philly last night, and they host a banged up Memphis team here tonight. Memphis is already missing Zack Randolph, Mike Conley and Chandler Parsons, and could be without Vince Carter here in Toronto. The Grizzlies have a reputation for being one of the league's toughest defensive teams, but I don't like their chances of slowing down the Raptors with a depleted lineup. The over is 9-2 in Toronto's last 11 overall, and they've gone over in seven of their last 10 home games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five straight meetings, but two of the last three times they met, the total was over 200. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-30-16	Pistons v. Celtics OVER 197.5	Top	121-114	Win	100	11 h 47 m	Show
This is a 10* play on DET@BOS to go OVER the total. The Pistons will play their second game in as many nights on the road at Boston tonight. They 112 points in an upset win over the Hornets in Charlotte last night, and they were 12-of-28 from three point range in the victory. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, but the listed total was over 200 in all four of those games. Tonight's number looks a little too low, and I am expecting the Pistons to be competitive, with a little momentum coming off an impressive performance. The Celtics are also coming off an impressive showing, scoring 112 points and hitting 11-of-27 from three-point range at Miami on Monday. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-29-16	Rhode Island v. Valparaiso OVER 134	Top	62-65	Loss	-110	13 h 32 m	Show
This is a 10* play on URI@VALPO to go OVER the total. History tells us to expect a low scoring game when Rhode Island faces the Crusaders in Indiana tonight, but this year's Rams team is nothing like the mediocre squads in past seasons. Last year the Crusaders won at home by a score of 58-55. The Rams are 5-1, with their only loss coming in a close game against Duke. They have scored an average of 82.2 points per game, shooting better than 50 percent from the field, and 38.4 percent from beyond the arc. Both teams are hitting better than 70 percent from the charity stripe, but Valparaiso ranks second nationally with an 83.6 free throw percentage. The Rams have gone over in six of their last eight non-conference games, and all but one of their games this season has seen more points than the listed total for tonight's game. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
11-29-16	Pistons v. Hornets -3	Top	112-89	Loss	-108	11 h 10 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets will play their second game in as many nights at home versus Detroit. Charlotte is coming off back to back wins, putting them half a game up on Atlanta for the lead in the Southeast Division. I don't think they'll let up here in a home game against a struggling Pistons team. Detroit has lost eight of nine games on the road this season, and their last game was a 106-88 loss at Oklahoma City. They have really missed starting PG Reggie Jackson, who has returned to practice but isn't expected to play until this weekend at the earliest. The Hornets have covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and four of five home meetings during that span. The Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games versus a team with a winning record. Take CHA. GL, Jesse Schule
11-28-16	Boise State v. Oregon OVER 136.5	Top	63-68	Loss	-106	14 h 48 m	Show
This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total. The Ducks are coming off a 79-69 win over the Connecticut Huskies, and they shot 54.7 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in the victory. They host the Boise State Broncos tonight, and I expect to see both teams score their share of points. The Broncos are coming off back to back blowout wins, scoring 90 against Western Michigan, and dropping 82 on Presbyterian. These teams have met twice since 2011, and the home team won each meeting. Last year the Broncos won 74-72 at home, and the Ducks won the previous meeting 79-71 at Eugene. The total for tonight's game looks a little low, especially when you consider that both teams scored over 70 points in each of the previous two meetings. The Ducks have averaged 83.5 point on 46.6 percent shooting at home so far, and they have hit 81.1 percent of their free throws at home. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule