This is a Free play on the Portland Blazers.

There's nobody you would rather have in the clutch than Damian Lillard. He sent Paul George packing with a buzzer beating three-pointer in last year's playoffs, and he's made a ton of big shots in his career. He needed to make just one of two free throws to tie the game game versus the Clippers in the dying seconds yesterday, but missed them both. So the question is ... how do you think he's going to respond? I think he's gonna open up a can of whoopass on a Philly team that just lost Ben Simmons for likely the remainder of the year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Grizzlies off their first win in the bubble, and the Raptors are looking for payback after a loss to the Celtics.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets.

The Jazz have lost three of their last four, and they are in a tough spot here in Saturday's game against Denver. This second game of a back to back in an early game could result in limiting the minutes of some star players. Denver has been far better in Orlando, with wins over the Spurs and the Thunder prior to losing to a much improved Portland team. The Jazz are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss, and they have lost both previous meetings versus Denver in 2020.

Take DEN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 218.5.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. So far all of the Raptor's games have gone under, and by a large margin. They are facing the Celtics for the fourth time this season, and two of the first three meetings went under the total. Kemba Walker is expected to play after resting a sore knee in the last game, but he's averaging just 14 points over his last four games. Marc Gasol preaches team defense: "In our locker room, if you don't have the will or the discipline to play defense, it is going to be really hard for you to see the floor, and that gives the coaches a lot of credit, right?"

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Houston.

The Lakers clinched first place in the West, then they lost badly to Oklahoma City. They play their second game of a back to back tonight against the Rockets, and LeBron is going to sit this one out. If the Lakers are wise, they will also limit the minutes for Anthony Davis and the rest of the starters. This could be an easy roll over for the Rockets.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 228.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Monday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin. On Tuesday that trend continued, but one of the games that did go over was the Nets win over Milwaukee. It was the largest upset in the NBA in the last 27 years. That could set them up for a let down here against Boston. The Celtics are resting leading scorer Kemba Walker, so don't be surprised if these teams struggle to reach such a high number.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 224.

So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Yesterday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin. The Magic are facing the Pacers on Tuesday, and both teams have been impressive so far. The bookmakers haven't set a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 meetings between these teams, and in fact the last six meetings had a total set below 210. Both these teams are among the top defensive squads in the NBA, and I expect this game to have a playoff feel to it.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 227.5.

The Spurs and the Sixers are trending in opposite directions. This isn't the same San Antonio team we saw struggle during the season. Since the restart they have won back to back games, and they look like a team desperate to make the playoffs. The Sixers on the other hand are the exact same team they were earlier this season. Philly was brutal away from home, and their first game of the restart was a loss to Indiana. The Sixers rank just 21st in the NBA in scoring, and 7th in the NBA in points allowed. We should see a playoff type atmosphere in this game, which should keep the score under 227.5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Pacers.

The Wizards are coming off back to back losses by a combined margin of over 20 points. Their loss to Brooklyn likely ended any hope of an early exit from the bubble, but that might be just what they want. Who know, Magic City might seem like a lot more fun that hanging around in Orlando right now. Indiana on the other hand won outright as a 5.5 point underdog versus the Sixers, and this is a team that is firmly looking forward to the playoffs. The Pacers have won and covered in four of the last five meetings, and with Washington starting a bunch of backups, this game should be a blowout.

Take IND.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Raptors.

I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They face a Miami team that is coming off a big win over Denver, and might be due for a bit of a let down. There is some concern about Jimmy Butler, although we expect him to play.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavs did everything right in their first game back, except for the final 41 seconds in an overtime loss to the Rockets. They blew a seven point lead, allowing Houston to force overtime in a game that they had no business winning. Luca Doncic had a triple-double, and Kristaps Porzingis went off for 39 points and 16 rebounds. The good news for Dallas is they are right back on the court, and they have an excellent opportunity to get that bitter taste out of their mouths. They face the Phoenix Suns, who might be happy with themselves after beating the Wizards backups. The Mavs have won three of the last four meetings by an average margin of nine points.

Take DAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Rockets should have lost to Dallas in their first game of the restart, but they took advantage of a young team making rookie mistakes. Dallas had a seven point lead with 41 seconds to play, and let it slip away. The Rockets tied the game and went on to win in overtime. Now they are facing a Bucks team that doesn't make many mistakes. Milwaukee (unlike Houston) is solid on both sides of the ball ranking top five in points scored and points allowed. The Bucks have won three straight versus Houston, and they have covered in five of the last six meetings.

Take MIL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Grizzlies were on the wrong side of an OT loss in their first game out of the restart. They looked pretty good overall, considering they were playing a healthy Portland team that is also fighting for it's playoff life. San Antonio got a win over Sacramento, but it remains to be seen if this depleted Spurs team can compete without LaMarcus Aldridge. The Spurs haven't played well all season, and they trail Memphis by three games in the standings. They have lost exactly twice as many games as they have won away from home (11-22). Memphis has won three of the last five head to head meetings, and they covered the spread in four of those games. I'll take the younger, more motivated Memphis team.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Raptors.

I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Lakers off a win in their first game over the Clippers, setting up LA for a let down spot. They didn't look impressive in the win over the Clippers, and they should be resting players here with a 6.5 game lead in the standings and only a handful of games to play.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic.

The Brooklyn Nets bring a rag tag group into Orlando, without KD, Kyrie and Spencer Dinwiddie. They looked completely overmatched in their first scimmage game, scoring just 68 points in a one sided loss. They face an Orlando team that ranks among the top defensive teams in the NBA, and Orlando should have a decided advantage. After losing to the Clippers and Lakers, the Magic won their final scrimmage game against Denver. The Magic are back to full strength, and Nikola Vucevic should have his way with Brooklyn today.

Take ORL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on the LA Lakers.

The Lakers started the season with a loss to the Clippers, and I bet on Kawhi and company in that game. Here is what I said before the season opner: "The Clippers were a playoff team last year and the Lakers were not. The Lakers are expected to be dramatically better with Anthony Davis, and so are the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Lakers though are old, I don't like their depth, and I think it's inevitable that LeBron loses a step." The Clippers looked like the better team before the pandemic, but I don't like what I see from them since. While Lebron looks focused with his eye on the prize, the Clippers appear to be disorganized. Lou Williams embarrassed the team when he was caught at a strip club while he was supposed to be at his grandfather's funeral (turns out it wasn't even a family member's funeral). He wasn't the only one, Pat Bev, Montrezl Harrell and center Ivica Zubac have all left the bubble. In contrast, Alex Caruso decided to pass on his sister's wedding, putting his team first. The Lakers appear to want it more at the moment.

Take LAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8 play on the Tar Heels.

I had the Tar Heels versus Virginia Tech last nigtht, and here is what I said before that game: "North Carolina had a terrible season, but they did finish strong down the stretch. The Tar Heels had won three straight before losing 89-76 at Duke. They scored an average of over 80 points in their last five games, while the Hokies averaged less than 60 points per game in their last five overall. Virginia Tech lost five of their final six games. Injuries were a problem for the Tar Heels all year, but Cole Anthony and Garrison Brooks were healthy down the stretch. The Hokies are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. They are 2-8 straight up in their last 10 versus UNC." The Tar Heels have won nine straight against Syracuse.

Take UNC. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores.

Vanderbilt was dead last in the SEC this season, with a record of 3-15. They picked up two of those three wins in their last two games however, and they were quite competitive in March. They come into the conference tournament averaging 72 points per game in their last five overall. Only one of their last six games was a loss by double digits. The Razorbacks are an awfully big favorite for a team that has covered in just three of it's last 10 overall and is just 1-5 ATS in it's last six neutral site games. I'll take the hot team getting a bunch of points.

Take Vanderbilt.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 7* play on the Tar Heels.

North Carolina had a terrible season, but they did finish strong down the stretch. The Tar Heels had won three straight before losing 89-76 at Duke. They scored an average of over 80 points in their last five games, while the Hokies averaged less than 60 points per game in their last five overall. Virginia Tech lost five of their final six games. Injuries were a problem for the Tar Heels all year, but Cole Anthony and Garrison Brooks were healthy down the stretch. The Hokies are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. They are 2-8 straight up in their last 10 versus UNC.

Take UNC. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars.

The Cougars are winners of nine straight, and they have score over 81 points per game in their last five overall. During their winning streak they have wins over Saint Mary's and Gonzaga. The Gaels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog. The Gaels are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. The Cougars are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall, abd they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.

Take BYU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets.

After the Lakers beat the Clippers last night at the Staples Center, they cemented themselves as a consensus favorite to win the NBA Championship. But did you know that Denver actually has a better home record than LA? In fact over the last five seasons, Denver has the best home record in the NBA. Tonight they host the Milwaukee Bucks without Giannis, and they should be ready to make a statement here. The Bucks have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Milwaukee is 6-13-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Denver.

Take DEN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons.

The Bulldogs are a double digit favorite here against San Francisco, after beating the Dons in both regular season meetings. The game at San Francisco was close, decided by just four points. Now the Bulldogs have little to gain here, and the Dons have everything to play for. We should expect this game to be somewhat close. The Dons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. The Dons are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as an underdog.

Take SF.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The Kings are coming off a double digit win at Portland last night, setting them up for a let down here at home in the second game of a back to back. The Raptors have won 19 of their last 23 games overall. Here is what I said about Toronto prior to their season opener: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans." That looks like a pretty solid read right about now.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on CWM.

This will be the third meeting between Elon and William and Mary this season, and the Tribe just defeated the Phoenix by a score of 86-79 just over a week ago. Elon covered the spread in both meetings, but the number here is lower than it was in either of those games. The Tribe are 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings versus Elon, and they come into this game riding a five game winning streak.

Take CWM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Clippers.

The Clippers have won both previous meetings, and they come into today's game looking far stronger than they have all season. They picked up Marcus Morriss, and Pat-Bev is back in the lineup. They are coming off a double digit win over Houston, holding James Harden to 16 points on 4-of-17 shooting. He was 0-for-8 from beyond the arc in the loss. The Lakers really need this game, but the Clippers are going to want it just as bad. I bet on the Clippers in the last two meetings, and I still think they are the better team. I expect Kawhi to be better than LeBron, and the Clippers to make it a 3-0 sweep.

Take LAC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 144.5.

Pepperdine is coming off an 84-73 win over Santa Clara, and I expect to see another high score here in Las Vegas when they play St. Mary's. The Gaels won 78-69 at Pepperdine earlier this season, the over is 19-7 in the Gaels last 26 overall. St. Mary's is coming off an 86-76 loss to Gonzaga, and the over is 6-1 in the Gaels last seven games following a straight up loss. The over is 5-1 in the Waves last six neutral site games, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 as an underdog.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 130.

The Aztecs have scored over 80 points in two of their last three games, and they have allowed 60 or more points in all of those games. We have seen high scores here in Las Vegas, and I expect that trend to continue here in the Mountain West Final. The last time these teams played each other the Aztecs won by a score of 80-68. Both meetings this season have gone over, and the total here looks far too low all things considered.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on the Texas Longhorns.

Texas comes into Saturday's home game against Oklahoma State as winners of five straight. Some impressive results during that span include wins at Texas Tech and Oklahoma, and a home win over West Virginia. The Cowboys have won back to back games at home, but they have lost their last two road games and they are just 4-7 on the road. They have lost four straight at Texas dating back to 2015. The Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win.

Take TEX.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 8* play on the Virginia Cavs.

The defending champs are playing like contenders down the stretch, coming into Saturday's home game versus Louisville as winners of seven straight. Louisville on the other hand has lost three in a row on the road. They lost by double digits to Clemson and Florida State, and lost 64-58 at Georgia Tech. They beat the Cavs at home in February, but they had lost nine straight to Virginia prior to that. They are 0-5 straight up in their last five at Virginia, and they covered the spread in just one of those games. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.

Take UVA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Moutaineers.

A few weeks ago the Baylor Bears were ranked #1 in the country, and they looked unbeatable. They might have peaked too early though, as they have been pretty average since. Baylor comes into Morgantown as losers of two of their last four, and they only covered the spread in one of those games. This isn't an easy place to play, and the Mountaineers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Baylor did win it's last game in West Virginia, but the Bears had lost four straight at Morgantown prior to that. This just looks like a tough spot for a Baylor team that hasn't been that sharp lately.

Take WVU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Portland Blazers.

Portland has won three straight, and Damian Lillard is back from a hamstring injury. "I felt pretty good," Lillard told reporters after Wednesday's game. "I thought I moved pretty well. I picked my moments to really explode and take off and cut hard and fight over screens and stuff like that. I didn't feel restricted." The Blazers still have plenty of work to do if they want to get back in the hunt for a playoff spot in the Western Conference. They are in Phoenix tonight, and the Suns are slumping. Losers of four straight, Phoenix is just 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. The Suns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games overall.

Take POR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

After cashing in with the Grizzlies in their win over Atlanta, I like them getting a bunch of points here against Dallas. Here is what I said prior to the game in Atlanta: "The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team." Memphis has held three straight opponents to fewer than 90 points, including upset wins over the Lakers and the Nets. I'll take the points here in Dallas. 

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Northern Illinois.

Northern Illinois is 11-3 at home this season, and they have won their last six home games. Here is what I said prior to last week's win over Central Michigan: "The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400." They host Ball State tonight, and the Cardinals are just 4-7 on the road, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog.

Take NIU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Sacramento Kings.

I bet on the Kings in their win over the Pistons earlier this week, and they won by six as a 6.5 point favorite. With a much smaller number here at home against a shorthanded Philly team, I am back on the Kings. Here is what I said before the game against Detroit: "The Pistons will be playing the fourth game of this current Western Conference road trip in Sacramento tonight, coming off a 113-111 win over the Suns in Phoenix on Friday. That win ended a seven game losing streak, and it's unlikely that they can follow up with a positive result here against the Kings. Pistons are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Sacramento has been hot since the All Star break, winning four of five. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have covered in six straight versus teams with a losing record." Philly is one of the worst road teams in the NBA, and a loss here would make it 10 consecutive road losses.

Take SAC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.

The Huskies have just one win in their last 11 games overall, and one of their 10 losses during that span came at home to Arizona State. The Sun Devils are winners of six straight home games, and they are just 1.5 games out of first place in the PAC12. The Huskies have visited the Sun Devils twice since 2017, and both of those were double digit losses. This is a big game for Arizona State, and I think this line should be near double digits.

Take ASU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Houston Cougars.

Houston is just a half a game out of first place in the AAC with two games remaining, and I like their chances on the road at Connecticut tonight. The Huskies have hit by injuries to a pair of key guards, including team assist leader Alterique Gilbert. The Cougars are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings between the two teams, and they have won four straight since 2017. One of those wins was a 71-63 win here in Connecticut. Home court hasn't been an advantage in this series, with the home team failing to cover in seven of the last nine meetings.

Take HOU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 143.5.

The Bulldogs beat the Falcons by a score of 71-62 just a few weeks ago, falling short of the total of 143. It was the sixth time in the last seven head to head meetings that these teams failed to reach the total. The majority of those games saw a lower number than we see for tonight's game. Air Force only scores an average of 66 points per game away from home, and they have averaged just over 58 points per game in their last seven versus the Bulldogs. This total appears to be on the wrong side of 140.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The Raptors haven't lost four straight games since 2017, and while they have lost three straight heading into tonight's game in Phoenix, they are still 18-4 in their last 22 overall. Toronto has injury concerns, but that's nothing new. Their depth has allowed them to continue to win games with whichever healthy bodies they throw out there. The Suns on the other hand will miss Kelly Oubre. Toronto has almost twice as many road wins than Phoenix has at home. The Suns are 0-6 straight up in the last six head to head meetings.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies.

Northern Illinois is 10-3 at home this season, and they have won their last five home games. Here is what I said prior to last week's win over Central Michigan: "The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400." They host Toledo tonight, and the Rockets appear to have decent numbers on the road. They are coming off consecutive road wins over Western Michigan and Central Michigan, two of the conference bottom feeders. I don't like their chances against MAC West leaders Norther Illinois.

Take NIU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Hawks have been playing well lately, winning four of their last eight overall. Those wins came against two teams hit hard by injuries (Blazers and Nets). The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Sacramento Kings.

The Pistons will be playing the fourth game of this current Western Conference road trip in Sacramento tonight, coming off a 113-111 win over the Suns in Phoenix on Friday. That win ended a seven game losing streak, and it's unlikely that they can follow up with a positive result here against the Kings. Pistons are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Sacramento has been hot since the All Star break, winning four of five. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have covered in six straight versus teams with a losing record.

Take SAC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes.

Ohio State won at Michigan by a score of 61-58 earlier this season, and I like their chances of sweeping the season series with a win here at home on Sunday. The Buckeyes are 13-2 at home while the Wolverines are just 4-5 on the road. Michigan is coming off a home loss to Wisconsin. The Wolverines are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog, and they are 0-3 at Ohio State since 2014. The home team has covered in seven of the last nine head to head meetings, and I'll go with the home favorite in this one.

Take OSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the San Antonio Spurs.

The Spurs won't have LaMarcus Aldridge for tonight's home game against Orlando, but I don't think they are going to need him against a Magic team that is terrible on the road. Orlando is 11-18 on the road this season, and they are coming off a big home win over Minnesota last night. They are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games playing the second game of a back to back. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. We expect the Spurs to take care of business on their home court.

Take SA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on California.

The Cal Bears have been playing a lot better of late. They are coming off a home win over the #21 ranked Colorado Buffaloes, and they have won two of their last three. Utah doesn't have a lot to be positive about, the Utes have lost four of their last five overall and they are just 1-9 on the road. It sure seems odd that a team that has lost nine of 10 road games is actually a favorite this afternoon against a Bears team that is 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Bears are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog.

Take CAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Eastern Michigan.

Central Michigan has lost seven in a row, and last week I bet against them when they played on the road at Northern Illinois. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game." They face Eastern Michigan this Saturday, and the Eagles have been rock solid at home. Opponents have averaged fewer than 60 points per game at Eastern Michigan.

Take EMU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.

Iowa lost 89-86 to Penn State in Philadelphia earlier this season, but they have a chance to get revenge here at home this Saturday. The Hawkeyes are undefeated at home in conference play, and they are 13-1 overall at home this season. They come into today's game averaging over 82 points per game at home. Penn State has lost two of their last three, with the lone win coming at home by a single point against Rutgers. It's going to be difficult for the Nittany Lions to keep up with Iowa here in Iowa City.

Take IOWA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

I bet on Memphis in their first game back from the All Star break, and they lost by a score of 129-125 at Sacramento. Here is what I said before that game: "Memphis was one of the league's hottest teams heading into the All Star break, winning 15 of their last 19 games. They are an underdog on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings are not really in the hunt for the playoffs this season. The Kings have a controversy brewing, as the rumors are that Buddy Hield wants out of Sacramento. He's unhappy with his role coming off the bench, and believes he is a starter in the league (guess he's not familiar with Lou Williams). We can expect the visitors to be more focused here as they continue their pursuit for the post season. Memphis has more road wins than the Kings have at home, and they are a tighter unit right now. "For some reason, we didn't feel the need to try to play much defense tonight," said coach Luke Walton after losing their last game. "We couldn't stop their top guys and when we did, it just didn't feel like we had the passion and desire that it takes to win, especially on the road, in this league." It looks like Walton isn't getting his players to buy in, and that is likely going to be an issue moving forward." The Kings made 19-of-39 three point attempts in that game, and I don't like their chances of doing that on the road in Memphis. I'll back the Grizz in a revenge spot.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Ohio Bobcats.

The Bobcats have won four straight at home, most recently defeating MAC powerhouse Buffalo by double digits (80-69) on Tuesday. Kent State lost at home to Buffalo last week, and the Golden Flashes have dropped back to back road games. The Golden Flashes are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last six overall. I'll jump on board and ride the hot ream as a pickem at home here.

Take OHIO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 1* free play on Over 141.

The UCLA Bruins host the Arizona State Sun Devils in a big game in the PAC12 tonight. The winner will take over first place in the conference, and both these teams come in riding long winning streaks. The Sun Devils are going for an eighth straight win, while the Bruins have won five straight. The total seems a little low here considering that both teams have been scoring plenty during their win streaks. History suggests that we could see a high score, as eight of the last 10 meetings have seen at least 150 points scored. That includes an 84-66 win for Arizona State at home just a few weeks ago. The Sun Devils have gone over in five of their last six road games, and the over is 13-5 in the Bruins last 18 games following a win.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 149.5.

LSU has struggled of late, losing four of their last six overall. It hasn't been due to a lack of scoring, they have scored 80+ points in five of their last six. The scary thing is that they've given up even more points. History tells us we should expect plenty of scoring here in Florida, as these teams have gone over in six of the last seven meetings. They haven't just gone over, they have gone well over (at least 10 points over in six of the last seven overall). They have also gone to overtime twice in the last four head to head meetings.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings.

The Warriors have lost six straight, and four of those games were decided by double digits. They host one of the league's hottest teams, a Sacramento Kings squad that has won five of seven, including a win over the Clippers in LA in their last game. The Kings have owned the Warriors in recent seasons, covering the spread in each of the last six meetings, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six at Golden State. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Take SAC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over 136.

The Xavier Musketeers host Depaul tonight, and the bookmakers have listed a low number for the total. The reason is likely a trend of low scoring games, with these teams going under in eight straight head to head meetings and nine of the last 10. Of course tonight's total is far lower than it was in any of those games. Each of the last five meetings saw a total of 140 or higher, and twice the total was higher than 150. Depaul has given up a ton of points over their last five games, allowing an average of 79 points. They have scored 70+ points in three of their last four games. This total seems just a little lower than it should be.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz.

Utah has come out of the All Star break and lost back to back home games to San Antonio and Houston. I will forgive them for their sloppy start to the second half (post All Star), and I don't think there is any way in hell they drop a third consecutive home game tonight versus Phoenix. The Suns are coming off a road win at Chicago, after losing by double digits to Toronto. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. The Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Utah. Expect the home team to win by double digits.

Take UTAH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Brooklyn Nets.

The Nets got some great news last week, when they learned Kyrie Irving will miss the remainder of the season. Kyrie has been the biggest flake in the league ever since he told us the earth was flat in 2018. The Celtics are glad to be rid of him, and Brooklyn has been a better team without him. Now it's time for players like Caris Lavert and Garrett Temple to step up. Tonight they host an Orlando Magic team that is brutal on the road, and has lost 11 of it's last 15 overall. The Magic are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 overall. Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in it's last five home games, and 7-1 ATS in it's last eight as a favorite.

Take BKN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.

I had the Pelicans in their win over Portland on Friday, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "New Orleans went into the All Star break as one of the hotter teams in the league. They are finally healthy, and this young team is causing plenty of excitement around the league. They catch a break here on Friday, facing a Blazers team without Damian Lillard. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall." They are in Golden State tonight, and the Warriors have lost five straight. This couldn't be a bigger mismatch.

Take NO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

I had the Raptors on Friday, and they beat the Phoenix Suns by double digits. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year." Toronto has now won 16 of their last 17 overall, and eight straight home games. They covered the spread in six of those eight home games, and they won by double digits in six of those eight games. The Pacers are 13-27 ATS in the last 40 meetings in Toronto. This line should be almost double what it is.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

After the Sixers rallied at home to beat the Nets, Joel Embiid told reporters that he was the best player in the world. Embiid is delusional, and so are Philly fans if they think this team is going anywhere in the playoffs. The Sixers can't win on the road, and that will mean that they aren't going to have home court advantage in the post-season. They are on the road tonight, facing the best team in the NBA. Philly has won four straight, but their last defeat was a double digit loss here in Wisconsin. The Sixers have failed to cover in four of their last five in Milwaukee, and I see no reason to "buck" that trend here tonight.

Take MIL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies.

The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

Take NIU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Grizzlies lost a close game at Sacramento last night, and normally playing the second game of a back to back is considered to be a significant disadvantage. This might not be the case in this situation however though, with the Lakers playing their first game back from the All Star Break and the Grizzlies being a young team playing for just the second time in over a week. I lost my bet with the Grizzlies last night, but I was happy with their effort. The fact is that the Kings hit 19-of-39 three point attempts, making it almost impossible for the Grizzlies to keep up. The fact that they rallied to within a point in the final seven seconds says a lot about their character, and I hope to see them play the same way tonight in LA. The Lakers could be caught looking ahead to a marquee matchup versus the Celtics on Sunday.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.

New Orleans went into the All Star break as one of the hotter teams in the league. They are finally healthy, and this young team is causing plenty of excitement around the league. They catch a break here on Friday, facing a Blazers team without Damian Lillard. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and they have won outright in three straight meetings. That includes a 102-94 win in their last game at the Rose Garden.

Take NO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The Suns have covered the spread in 10 straight meetings versus Toronto, but this is one trend I don't think will hold. Let's be real about this.. the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year. Toronto will be a 7.5 point favorite tonight, a smaller number than we saw in each of the last six meetings. The Suns have failed to cover in four straight road games and seven of their last eight overall. Toronto had won 15 straight before losing in Brooklyn in their final game before the break. They have covered in six straight coming off a loss.

Take TOR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

Memphis was one of the league's hottest teams heading into the All Star break, winning 15 of their last 19 games. They are an underdog on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings are not really in the hunt for the playoffs this season. The Kings have a controversy brewing, as the rumors are that Buddy Hield wants out of Sacramento. He's unhappy with his role coming off the bench, and believes he is a starter in the league (guess he's not familiar with Lou Williams). We can expect the visitors to be more focused here as they continue their pursuit for the post season. Memphis has more road wins than the Kings have at home, and they are a tighter unit right now. "For some reason, we didn't feel the need to try to play much defense tonight," said coach Luke Walton after losing their last game. "We couldn't stop their top guys and when we did, it just didn't feel like we had the passion and desire that it takes to win, especially on the road, in this league." It looks like Walton isn't getting his players to buy in, and that is likely going to be an issue moving forward.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Washington Huskies.

The Huskies come into tonight's home game against Stanford as losers of eight straight overall, but they have shown signs of being competitive in recent losses. They were leading at halftime in their last two games, losses at USC and UCLA. Stanford comes into this game as losers of seven of their last eight overall, and they have lost four straight on the road. The Huskies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite, and they have won three of their last four home games against Stanford. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the home team has covered the spread in four straight meetings.

Take WASH.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 132.

California is coming off a home loss to Arizona State (80-75), and I had the over in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "California and Arizona State have  failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, but the bookmakers might have over-corrected with a super low number here in Sunday's game. The total in each of the last four meetings was higher than 150, and each of the last eight meetings had a total higher than 140. As poorly as California has played this season, they have scored 72 points and 69 points respectively in two of their last three home games." We see another low total here in tonight's game at Washington State. It's lower than it was when the Bears beat the Cougars 73-66 at home earlier this year. Three of the last five meetings between these teams had a total over 150. Let's punish the books for offering such a low number here in this game.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 1* free play on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.

Michigan is the bigger basketball brand, and that can be the only explanation for why this line is so close to a pickem. Rutgers has a better overall record, and they are 17-0 at home. Michigan has been brutal on the road, losing five of seven games and averaging under 70 points per game in that span. Rutgers has the better conference record, and their last home game was a double digit win over a ranked team (Illinois). Rutgers has been lights on defensively at home, allowing just 57.5 points per game. This line probably should be 3-4 points higher than it is.

Take Rutgers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.

The #1 ranked Baylor Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of 22 straight. They are 12-0 in the BIG12, and they are 11-0 on the road. You've got to have BIG BRASS TACKS to bet against a team that hasn't lost since November ... but sign me up! The Bears keep winning, but rarely are they blowing teams out. Four of their last five road games were single digit wins, and all five of those games came against teams that trail Oklahoma in the standings. They won by a score of 61-57 at home versus Oklahoma just a few weeks ago. The Sooners are 11-1 at home, and they won their last two home games by a combined 39 points against #13 ranked West Viriginia and Iowa State. The underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings between these two teams.

Take OKLA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 1* free play on Notre Dame.

The Irish are coming off back to back losses to Duke and Virginia, but a home game against North Carolina figures to be an opportunity to get back on track. Ladies and gentlemen, these aren't your daddy's Tar Heels, this UNC squad is just 3-11 in the ACC, and they have lost six of eight road games. Even when the Tar Heels have been competitive, they have found a way to blow leads and lose close games. The Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. Notre Dame has averaged almost 80 points per game at home, and the Tar Heels haven't looked capable of keeping up on offense.

Take ND.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 140.

The St. John's Red Storm will be a home dog on Monday against Xavier, and history suggests this could be a high scoring battle. The total sits at just 140, while in previous meetings we had seen far higher totals. Eight of the last nine meetings had a total higher than 145, and five of those games had a total higher than 150. The Red Storm have been scoring plenty of points at home, averaging almost 78 points per game while winning 11 of 16 home games. They have averaged almost 75 points per game in their last five overall, and they have averaged 73 points in their last three home games against Xavier. The over is 6-3 in the last nine head to head meetings, but all nine of those games went over 140 combined points.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 133.5.

California and Arizona State have  failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, but the bookmakers might have over-corrected with a super low number here in Sunday's game. The total in each of the last four meetings was higher than 150, and each of the last eight meetings had a total higher than 140. As poorly as California has played this season, they have scored 72 points and 69 points respectively in two of their last three home games. Arizona State hasn't been one of the better defensive teams in the PAC12, and they are allowing 72.5 points per game on the road. The Bears average almost 69 points per game at home, and they should be competitive here against the Sun Devils. The over is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five road games, and the over is 5-1 in the Golden Bears last six home games versus a team with a winning road record.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Rutgers Scarlett Knights.

It's hard to ignore Rutgers home record of 16-0, and I like their chanced of extending that home win streak here against Illinois. The Scarlet Knights are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall. They have been very impressive defensively at home, holding opponents to just 57.5 points per game. Illinois has struggled offensively of late, averaging less than 65 points over their last five games. Illinois leading scorer Ayo Dosunmu suffered a serious knee injury in Wednesday's loss to Michigan State, and needed to be helped off the court. It's unclear if he will be available today.

Take Rutgers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Eastern Michigan Eagles.

The Eagles have won three of their last four, and they are 8-3 at home. They will be a significant favorite at home Saturday versus MAC rivals Western Michigan. The Eagles have won three straight versus the Broncos, and four of their last five home meetings versus Western Michigan. Western Michigan has lost eight of 11 road games this season, and they have struggled on defense allowing and average of more than 77 points in those games. The Eagles have been solid on defense over their last five games, allowing fewer than 65 points per game. The Eagles should handle the Broncos at home here.

Take EMU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 137.

The Iowa State Cyclones will host Texas Saturday afternoon, and this will be their second game since losing leading scorer Tyrese Haliburton for the rest of the season with a wrist injury. They scored just 61 points in a loss at Oklahoma on Wednesday. Iowa State has struggled offensively scoring just over 63 points per game in their last five overall. That's still roughly five points more than Texas has averaged during that span. The Longhorns could also be without a pair of starters for this game. Texas has failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall, and this should be another low scoring game.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over 133.

The Davidson Wildcats will be on the road at St. Bonaventure Friday, and the bookmakers may have set a low number for this game. Both these teams come in scoring plenty of points in recent games. The Wildcats have scored almost 80 points per game in their last five overall, while the Bonnies have averaged 73 points per game during that span. These teams failed to reach the total in a low scoring game last March, but they had gone over in four straight meetings prior to that. The over is 6-2-1 in the Bonnies last nine overall, and they have gone over in five straight home meetings versus Davidson.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under 155.5.

The Central Michigan Chippewas rank in the top 10 nationally averaging over 81 points per game, but I don't like their chances of reaching that number here as a home underdog versus Akron. Central Michigan has averaged fewer than 73 points over their last five games, while Akron has held opponents to fewer than 70 points per game in their last five. The Zips have won two of the last three meetings, and neither team surpassed the 70 point mark in those games. The under is 38-18 in the Zips last 56 games as a favorite, and the Chippewas have failed to reach the total in each of their last four as an underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 137.5.

The Huskies are sitting dead last in the PAC12, and they come into tonight's game as losers of eight of their last nine overall. They have lost five straight road games, scoring just 61 points per game during that span. The Trojans are 9-2 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average just 66.5 points in those games. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, most recently the Huskies winning 72-40 at home earlier this season. The under is 31-12 in the Huskies last 43 road games, and the Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. The under is 37-18-1 in the Trojans last 56 home games.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 1* free play on the USC Trojans.

The Huskies are sitting dead last in the PAC12, and they come into tonight's game as losers of eight of their last nine overall. They have lost five straight road games, scoring just 61 points per game during that span. The Trojans are 9-2 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average just 66.5 points in those games. The Huskies crushed USC by a score of 72-40 in Washington earlier this year, setting up a killer revenge angle here in California. The Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and the favorite is 20-9 ATS in the last 29 meetings between these teams.

Take USC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are nine games up on New Orleans in the standings, and they have a better road record than New Orleans has at home. Still the Pelicans are the favorite here, and I am jumping all over it. The Thunder are slumping, coming into tonight's game off back to back home losses. The Pelicans have won three straight and six of their last eight. Zion Williamson appears to be getting better with every game, and he's coming off a career high 31 points against the Blazers. The way this teams is playing, you really have to toss out all the numbers before Zion joined a healthy roster with Jrue Holliday, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo and J.J. Reddick.

Take NO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is a 5* play on the Orlando Magic.

Orlando is still a playoff team in the Eastern Conference, while the Pistons right now might be driving a large metal vehicle on tracks (tank). The Pistons have lost three straight, and two of those losses came at home against teams with a losing record. With the All Star break coming up, we shouldn't expect a big effort from this Detroit team on the road tonight. The history between these teams favors the home team, which has won nine of the last 10. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Orlando.

Take ORL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on MIN@TOR to go Over the total.

The Minnesota T-Wolves shook things up at the trade deadline, and their first game with a new look roster was dramatic indeed. They scored 142 points in a blowout win over the Clippers Saturday. They attempted 44 three-point shots in the game, making 26 of them. This is a team that needs to score to win games, because they rank 27th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game. The Raptors scored 122 points in a double digit win at Minnesota earlier this year, and another high score should be expected here tonight. Toronto has won 13 straight overall, and the majority of those games were high scoring. Their last two home games have ended with the exact same score (119-118). The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, and the Raptors have gone over in four straight home games.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on FSU@DUKE to go Under the total.

Duke is coming off a 98-96 win at Chapel Hill, rallying after trailing by 14 in the final 4:30 to win in overtime. We should expect a much lower score here at home versus Florida State. These teams last played in March of 2019, and Duke won by a score of 73-63. The Seminoles come in averaging under 70 points per game on the road, but they have only allowed 66 points per game on the road. Duke has held opponents to an average of just over 62 points per game at home. The under is 11-5-1 in the Seminoles last 17 games as an underdog, and the Blue Devils have gone under in 10 of their last 11 following a game where they scored 90+ points.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers.

Portland is making a run for the post-season, which really shouldn't surprise anyone. If you have been paying attention over the last several years, you should remember that this is a team that has started slow only to dominate in the second half of the season, and then they have made plenty of noise in the playoffs. It seems like Dame Time has arrived, as Damian Lillard has scored 40+ points in six of his last nine games. It's not surprising that the Blazers have won six of their last nine games. They take on a shorthanded Miami Heat team tonight. Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro are expected to sit out tonight. The Blazers have covered in four straight home games, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Miami.

Take POR.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish.

At first glance we can see that the Clemson Tigers are 9-4 at home, while the Irish have lost four of six road games. Look a little closer and you can see that Clemson has lost four of six, and their two wins during that span came by a combined four points. The Irish on the other hand have won four of six, and their two losses during that span came by a combined three points. Notre Dame lost by just a single point on the road at #5 ranked Florida State in it's last road game. The Irish are 5-2 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and they have won two of the last three at Clemson.

Take ND.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Boise State Broncos.

Boise State will be a big underdog on the road at Utah State tonight, and the Broncos come in as winners of five straight overall. One of those wins was an 88-83 home win over the Aggies. That game went to overtime, and close games between these teams have been the norm. These two teams have played eight straight games decided by six points or less, and each of the last two meetings went to overtime. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Take BSU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 148.

The Orange beat Wake Forest by a score of 79-54 last March, going under the listed total of 137. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in the last meeting, and each of the last four head to head meetings saw a total below 140. The under is 4-1 in the Orange last five games as a home favorite, and they have held opponents to just 63 points per game at home. This figures to be an easy win for the Orange, and it seems unlikely that Wake can score enough points to push this total over such a high number.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under 138.5.

The Flyers beat Saint Louis earlier this season, hitting a buzzer beater to tie the game at 69-69 to force overtime. Then they hit another buzzer beater for the game winner. This game isn't expected to be as close, with Dayton favored by double digits at home. The Flyers are 12-0 at home, and they have held opponents to just 61 points per game. The total for this game is higher than it was in any of the last nine head to head meetings. The under is 10-4 in the Billikens last 14 games as an underdog.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Kentucky Wildcats.

The Wildcats come into Knoxville as winners of five of their last six, and they are just a game out of first place in the SEC. The Vols had lost three straight before edging out a win at Alabama by a single point in their last game. The Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and they might not have the talent to pull off an upset here against Kentucky. Their best free throw shooter and best three-point shooter (J.J. James) is listed as doubtful to play against the Wildcats.

Take UK.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Pacers.

This might be the mother of all let down spots for Toronto. The Raptors trailed by as many as 22 points, and were down double digits in the final 2.5 minutes at home versus Indiana on Wednesday, but rallied to win a franchise best 12th straight game. Now they face those same Pacers on the road in the second game of this home and home set. This sets up the big revenge angle for a tough Pacers team that is 18-7 on their home floor this season. History certainly favors the home team in this series, with the hosts winning nine of the last 10 straight up.

Take IND.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Sixers are really struggling, coming into tonight's game as losers of four straight. While they have struggled on the road, they are still 22-2 at home. This isn't an easy home game though, playing the second game of a back to back, facing a Memphis team that has won 13 of it's last 16. The Grizzlies have all the momentum, and they are getting a ton of points here all things considered. The Sixers have failed to cover in five of their last six when playing on no rest, and the starters logged plenty of minutes in Milwaukee last night. I have a tough time believing that a team that is playing so poorly can simply flip the switch just because they are back home.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies.

The Huskies lost both games against Kent State in 2019, and they look to return the favor here in 2020. They already beat the Golden Flashes by a score of 76-69 on the road earlier this year, and they will be an underdog here at home in the second meeting. Kent State may have a better overall record, but the Huskies have a better record in the MAC, and they have won five straight overall. The Golden Flashes appear to be currently overvalued, failing to cover in six straight as a road favorite, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall. The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and the underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

Take NIU.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores.

I cashed in a winner with Vanderbilt on Saturday, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Florida. "The Vanderbilt Commodores are in last place in the SEC, and they have lost plenty of games by double digits. They are coming off a nine point loss on the road at 1st place Kentucky. They easily covered a 20+ point spread in that game, and they have played well against the top teams in the conference. They also lost by just four points at #5 ranked Auburn." The Tigers appear to be overvalued, coming in with an 8-0 record in the SEC. It's important to understand that LSU hasn't played any Top 25 teams, and the majority of their wins came in close games.

Take VAN.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Mavs have already proved that they shouldn't be taken lightly just because Luka Doncic isn't in the lineup. They have won back to back games without him, and they are now 4-3 in their last seven when he doesn't play. They will face a particularly tough opponent tonight though, with the Grizzlies coming in as winners of 12 of their last 15 games. Dallas hasn't had a lot of success at home, with a record of just 14-12 on their home floor. The Mavericks are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. This looks like a good spot to take the points with a Grizzlies team that has plenty of momentum.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under 131.

The Yellow Jackets are always a tough out on their home court, and they have been quite competitive all season long. They are coming off an 80-72 loss at Notre Dame, but they have won back to back home games, holding opponents to fewer than 60 points in both those games. Georgia Tech will host Virginia Tech tonight, and the Hokies struggle to score on the road averaging just 61.7 points per game while winning three of six away games. The bookmakers set the total at just 122 when these teams met last year, but they went way over that number. Tonight's total is far higher, and six of the last eight meetings have gone under. The Yellow Jackets leading scorer is also listed as questionable after missing their last game.

Take Under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Grizz are coming off a double digit road loss to New Orleans, but they had won 11 of their previous 13 games. They still hold the eighth and final playoff spot in the West, but Porland is now on their heels sitting a game and a half back. They host the Pistons tonight, and Detroit comes off an overtime win at home over Denver on Sunday. Derrick Rose left the game after suffering a groin injury in the first half, and he should look to rest here in the second game of a back to back. The Pistons had lost five straight (all by double digits) prior to Sunday. Detroit is just 1-5 ATS when playing the second game of a back to back, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Memphis.

Take MEM.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores.

The Vanderbilt Commodores are in last place in the SEC, and they have lost plenty of games by double digits. They are coming off a nine point loss on the road at 1st place Kentucky. They easily covered a 20+ point spread in that game, and they have played well against the top teams in the conference. They also lost by just four points at #5 ranked Auburn. The Gators are coming off three straight losses, and they may be hard pressed to cover such a big number.

Take VAN.

GL,

Jesse Schule