8*

5*

8*

This is a 10* play on Providence.

The Friars finished first in the Big East this season with a 14-3 record, half a game ahead of Villanova. The Wildcats are favored by 15 in their first round matchup versus a 15 seed. The Friars are just a slight favorite here against 12 seed Richmond. The Spiders weren't even in the top five in the A-10 this season, but they got hot at the right time and won a close game versus Davidson in the Conference Tournament Final. As well as the Spiders are playing, I believe this line is a product of recency bias. Richmond ranked dead last in the A-10 in rebounds per game, and they weren't a particularly good shooting team. They can muddy it up and play strong defense all they want, but that's not going to be anything new for a Providence team that plays Villanova twice a year. Richmond is the Cinderella, but the clock might strike midnight here and the carriage could turn into a pumpkin.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Blue Jays defense has been impressive, holding Villanova to just 54 points (in a loss) in the Big East Tournament, and then winning 72-69 in OT in their first round game against the Aztecs. Kansas has also been playing great defense lately, holding Texas Tech to 65 points in the BIG12 Tourney Final, and then allowing just 56 points in their first round win over Texas Southern. Both teams have allowed an average of 61.8 points over their last four games. The under is 9-4 in the Bluejays last 13 neutral site games, and the under is 26-12 in the Jayhawks last 38 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. I think 70 points will be more than enough to win this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

Wisconsin lost 69-63 to Michigan State in the BIG10 Tournament, and I expect to see another low scoring game here in their first round matchup versus Colgate. Wisconsin averaged just 68 points per game in their last five overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five coming off a loss. The under is 7-2 in the Raiders last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five neutral site games. Wisconsin ranked 11th in the BIG10 in scoring, and dead last in the conference in three point shooting. They should lean on their defense here in a matchup versus an inferior opponent.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

Michigan State ranked second in the BIG10 with a three-point field goal percentage of .378. They also shot 74.7 percent from the charity stripe. Davidson ranked third in the A-10 in scoring averaging over 75 points per game, and their .386 three-point percentage was the best in the conference. The over is 4-1 in the Wildcats last five neutral site games, and they have gone over in five of their last six as an underdog. The Spartans have gone over the total in five of their last six overall. I expect both teams to have success shooting from beyond the arc.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

The Jazz are coming off a blowout home win over Chicago (125-110), and Donovan Mitchell scored 37 points. Mitchell and Bojan Bogdanovic will not be available for the Jazz tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for the shorthanded home team. The Clippers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last seven as an underdog. The Jazz are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite, and they have failed to cover in five straight when coming off a win. The Clippers have covered in four of the last five head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Ohio State.

With all do respect to Loyola Chicago, I think they come into this first round game against the Buckeyes a little overrated. Their magical run to the Final Four in 2018 and last year's team going to the Sweet 16 is still fresh in everyone's memory. They are no longer an underdog, despite the fact that they face a much easier schedule than teams from the Power Five conferences. The Ramblers faced just one ranked team this season, losing 62-53 to Auburn. The Buckeyes played seven games against ranked teams, winning four of those. That includes a win over #1 ranked Duke. The Ramblers still have 102 year old cheerleader Sister Jean, but they won't have Cameron Kurtwig. He's the 6"9 center that looked like a balding 40 year old man playing against neihborhood kids. He was the heart and sould of the Final Four team in 2018. The Buckeyes should have superior depth, talent and coaching, and they should probably be favored by 2-3 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on SMC.

The Hoosiers lost seven of their last nine regular season games, and if it wasn't for a good showing in the BIG10 Tournament they wouldn't be here. They earned a spot in the play in game and defeated Wyoming in a close game. They shot just 2-of-13 from beyond the arc, and made 60 percent of their free throws. They ranked dead last in the BIG10 in free throw shooting, and that could haunt them here against St. Mary's. The Gaels were just one of three teams to beat the #1 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs this season. The Gaels are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite, and the Hooiers might be a little fatigued here. The Hoosiers are 1-3-1 ATS in the fourth game of a 4-in-7 days situation.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Longwood Lancers will be a huge underdog in their first round matchup versus Tennessee, but you could say they have a "puncher's chance". Or more accurately a shooter's chance. Longwood ranks among the best in the country with a 38 percent three-point percentage, and they shot a solid 72.6 percent from the charity stripe. The over is 11-3 in the Volunteers last 14 neutral site games as a favorite, and the Lancers went over the total in five of their last seven overall. Longwood played Iowa and Georgetown in non-conference play, and both those games saw over 180 points combined. They lost both games, but scored 83 versus the Hoyas and 73 versus the Hawkeyes.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Michigan.

The Wolverines made the NCAA Tournament despite losing five of their final 10 games. Six of those games came against Top 25 teams, and four of those five losses came versus ranked opponents. If you are wondering how many wins the Colorado State Rams have this season versus ranked teams, well the answer is zero. They went the entire season without playing a team ranked in the Top 25. The Wolverines are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 neutral site games, and they are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. The Rams are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

The Raptors have been on a roll, but injuries could put their winning streak in jeopardy. Three of five starters could be out of the lineup in LA tonight. Fred Van Fleet is dealing with knee pain after playing 40 minutes against the Lakers. The injury may explain his 11 points on 3-of-14 shooting. Gary Trent Jr. is questionable due to illness. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in 10 of their last 14 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on ND.

The Irish won 22 games this season, and finished 15-5 in the ACC (tied with North Carolina for 2nd). The shot over 38 percent from beyond the arc, ranking 2nd in the ACC in three points field goal percentage. They also shot 75.7 percent from the free throw line, second best in the ACC behind the Tar Heels. Rutgers ranked near the bottom of the BIG10 in both three point shooting as well as free throw percentage. The Scarlett Knights struggle to score at the best of times, and they averaged just 64.4 points per game over their last five. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, while the Fighting Irish are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Wyoming Cowboys lost three of their final four games, but they played some strong defense down the stretch. The Cowboys allowed an average of just 65 points in those games. The problem is that they only scored 62.2 points per game over that span. The Hoosiers also lost three of their last five games, and prior to the loss to Iowa in the BIG10 Tournament they held four straight opponents to fewer than 70 points. They held the Illini to 63 points in the quarterfinals. The under is 7-3 in the Cowboys last 10 neutral site games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Minnesota.

The Spurs got Greg Poppovich his record setting 1336th win over the Jazz the other night, and that's likely the last meaningful game this team will play this season. The Spurs are just 13-20 at home, and they should be looking at rebuilding in the next draft. Minnesota is currently sitting in seventh in the West and should be in good shape to secure a spot in the playoffs. The Timberwolves are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus San Antonio. The Spurs are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Davidson.

The Wildcats rank first in the conference in field goal percentage, and their 38.7 percent three point percentage is also the best in the A-10. They shot over 50 percent from the field and made 10-of-23 from three point range in an 84-69 win over Saint Louis on Saturday. The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a favorite, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Richmond has scored and average of just 65 points per game over their last five, and they could struggle to keep up with the Wildcats offense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

This is an 8* play on Under.

The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that St. Peters has averaged just 68 points per game over their last five overall, They face a Quinnipiac team that has averaged 69.8 points per game. The under is 13-4 in the Bobcats last 17 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 neutral site games. These teams have gone under in three of the last four head to head meetings. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Detroit.

The Pistons are in dead last in the Central Division Standings, but they've actually been one of the hotter teams in the Eastern Conference lately. Detroit has won six of nine overall, and one of those wins came against the Celtics in Boston. A few days after beating the Celtics at the Garden, the Celtics won at the Palace by a score of 113-104. The Pistons have covered the spread in nine straight games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. They have also covered in seven straight versus the Celtics, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in Boston. This line looks a bit inflated all things concerned.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that Seinna has averaged just 64.6 points per game over their last five overall, They face a Quinnipiac team that has averaged 69.8 points per game. The under is 13-3 in the Bobcats last 16 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last nine neutral site games. The under is 6-1 in the Saints last seven neutral site games. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that Creighton has averaged just 67.8 points per game over their last five overall, and the under is 10-4-1 in the Bluejays last 15 overall. They have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine neutral site games. Marquette has failed to cover in six of their last seven overall, and the Blue Jays defense could give them fits. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that Cincinnati has averaged just 62 points per game over their last five overall, and the Pirates failed to score 70 points in five straight, averaging 64.2 points in those games. The Bearcats won the most recent meeting by a score of 60-59 back in January, and they are a five point favorite here today. The Pirates have failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine when coming off a loss. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Toronto.

The Raptors have lost three straight, and a trip to San Antonio looks like a good spot to get back on track. The Spurs are just 12-19 at home, and their most recent win came against the Lakers with LeBron out of the lineup. Fred Van Fleet told TSN this morning that he will return to the lineup tonight after missing time with a sore knee. The Spurs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a win, and they are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 as an underdog. The Raptors are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that New Mexico has averaged just 64.8 points per game over their last five overall, and the Wolfpack failed to score 70 points in three of their last four games. These teams failed to score 150 points combined when Nevada won 79-70 at home earlier this season. The under is 6-1 in The Lobos last seven overall, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven as an underdog. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

    

This is an 8* play on Under.

The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that Utah Valley has averaged just 61.6 points per game over their last five overall, and Chicago State scored just 60.8 points per game in their last five. The Cougars have gone under in six straight neutral site games, while the under is 4-1 in the Wolverines last five games following a straight up loss. Utah Valley has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven as a favorite. The Wolverines defense has been good of late, holding opponents to just over 63 points per game in their last five overall.  In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that Marist has averaged just 64.4 points per game over their last five overall, and Quinnipiac has scored just 67.4 points per game in their last five. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The under is 12-2 in the Bobcats last 14 neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five as an underdog. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The total for this game looks a little high when you consider that California Baptist has averaged just 65.8 points per game over their last five overall, and Texas Rio Grande Valley scored just 63 points per game in their last five. The under is 6-2 in the Vaqueros last eight overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six when coming off a loss. The under is 6-1 inthe  Lancers last seven overall, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 when coming off a win. In a single elimination game we can expect every possession to be a battle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Kings.

The Kings are just 3-6 in their last nine overall, but eight of those games came on the road. They host the New York Knicks tonight, and this looks like a tough spot for an Eastern Conference team at the end of a West Coast road trip. The Knicks have lost seven of eight, and they are coming off an upset win over the Clippers on Sunday. The Knicks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven coming off a win. I like the Kings here, as they are 6-2 ATS when coming off a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAL.

I'm not a Lakers fan by any stretch of the imagination, and I bet against them last week when they lost to the Clippers 132-111. I don't think they are going anywhere in the post-season, but I do expect them to do enough to get into the playoffs. The same can't be said for for the Spurs, who have lost four straight. The Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, and the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in San Antonio. LeBron scored 56 against the Warriors Saturday, so his nagging knee injury can't be that bad. The Lakers are 5-0 straight up in their last five at San Antonio.

GL,

Jeese Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bucks.

The Suns are the best team in the NBA, and they are coming off a home win over the Knicks despite playing without their two best players. They are due for a let down here on the road in Milwaukee, and without Devin Booker and CP3 they could be in trouble. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have failed to cover in four of their last five at Milwaukee. The Bucks have won three straight, and they have scored an average of 123 points in those games. The Bucks are healthy and the Suns are not, this game should be a blowout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Ohio State.

Michigan is 2-2 since the loss to Wisconsin that resulted in the suspension of head coach Juwan Howard for the remainder of the season. This will be their first road game since that loss, and they are just 4-7 on the road this season. The Buckeyes have won 13 of 15 home games this season, and they have outscored opponents by an average margin of 12 points per game on their home court. The Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they seem to draw a favorable matchup in their final home game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on the Aztecs.

The Aztecs didn't have the best start this season, but they sure have finished strong. They come into the season finale in Nevada as winners of eight of their last nine overall. The only loss during that span came by a single point against the Conference Champs Boise State on the road. Nevada didn't start strong, and they aren't finishing strong. The Wolfpack have lost nine of their last 12, and two of those three wins came against last place San Jose State. The Aztecs are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 road games, and the Wolf Pack are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on the Aggies.

The Bulldogs are a decent team (at home), but not so much on the road. They have just one road victory this season, and that came at Missouri in a game decided by just two points. The Aggies play their final home game Saturday, and they are a solid 12-4 at home. They are coming off an upset win at #25 ranked Alabama, and they have won four of their last five overall. They scored an average of 75.4 points per game during that span, which is more than 10 points more than Mississippi State has scored over their last five games. I will ride the hot team as a short favorite at home on Senior's Night.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Miami.

The Sixers are winning the Harden for Ben Simmons trade so far, but playing on back to back nights in Miami might be a let down spot for Philly. We know that Joel Embiid often rests in the second game of a back to back, so if he plays his minutes could be limited. The Heat are 21-7 at home, and they have covered the spread in five of their last six overall. This looks like a good spot to back the home team in a battle between two teams fighting to be top dog in the East.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Hornets.

The Spurs bring a three game losing streak into Charlotte, and they are just 13-20 on the road this season. They have failed to cover in five of their last seven at Charlotte, and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. The Hornets are coming off a blowout win at Cleveland, and they have a .500 record at home. Charlotte has been able to take care of business when playing inferior opposition, covering in 43 of their last 58 versus teams with a winning percentage below .400.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

I cashed in with the under in the Patriots last game, and here is what I said before tipoff: "The Davidson Wildcats sit in first place in the A-10, but the VCU Rams are just a half game back. They play their final home game against George Mason Wednesday, and we should expect them to be at their very best. Davidson is 12-1 at home, and they have gone under in four straight home games. They have really stepped it up defensively over their last five games, allowing just 57.2 points per game. Their last home game was a 66-45 win over Fordham. These two teams have gone under in five of the last six head to head meetings." The Patriots have averaged just 63.8 points per game over their last five overall, and they are the favorite here against the Minutemen.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Wyoming.

The Cowboys were in first place in the Mountain West a couple weeks ago, but after losing four of their last six overall they sit in fourth. So what happened? Well they had a tough schedule, facing Colorado State and UNLV on the road, and losing a close home game against long time Mountain West powerhouse San Diego State. They are still 15-1 at home, with the only loss coming to the Aztecs. They beat Boise State, Colorado State and Utah State at home, and tonight's game against Fresno State will be their final home game. The Bulldogs have lost five of their last seven, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

I have been playing a lot of totals here at the end of the season, and the vast majority of the time I am betting unders. This looks like the kind of matchup you might want to bet to go under. Both these teams are great defensively, and neither team scores a ton of points. That said, it looks like the books may be overreacting with a number under 130. History tells us that these teams went over in each of the last six head to head meetings. The total for this game is far lower than it was in any of those games. Three of those six games went to overtime, and this game figures to be a close contest as well.

Take Over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Mercer Bears and the West Carolina Catamounts will meet in Asheville NC Friday in the first round of the Southern Conference Tournament. The Bears have averaged just 67.4 points per game over their last five overall, and they have a history of playing low scoring games versus Western Carolina. The last five meetings between these teams all went under the total, and the under is 8-1 in their last nine neutral site games. The under is 9-4 in the Catamounts last 13 overall. It's tournament season and that means we should see some dialed up defense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Ducks won at home by a score of 84-56 versus Washington back in January, falling short of the total of 142. The total for tonight's game in Washington is several points higher, History suggests that we could see a low scoring game here in Washington, as eight of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under. Oregon has scored an average of just 67.4 points over their last five games, while the Huskies have averaged 66.6 points in their last five overall. This time of year we expect to see teams crank it up on defense, and we should see that here in Washington tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Michigan.

Iowa might be the hottest team in the BIG10. They come into Ann Arbor as winners of seven of their last eight overall. The one loss came at home to the Wolverines. Three of those seven wins came on the road, and all three came against teams in the bottom four in the conference standings. While the Hawkeyes have look great lately, the majority of those wins came against mediocre opposition. Only one of their last seven wins came against a ranked team. They have lost five straight road games at Michigan, and the Wolverines look good as a pickem here in this spot.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Maryland.

The Terrapins have won three of their last four, and they play their final home game Wednesday versus Minnesota. The Gophers have lost nine of their last 11 overall, and there isn't much reason to expect them to go all out here on the road at the end of the season. Maryland has won and covered in each of their last six meetings versus Minnesota. The Gophers are coming off back to back 20+ point losses in their last two road games, scoring just 45 and 46 points in those losses. The Gophers have averaged just 61.4 points per game on the road, and I expect them to struggle here at College Park.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Philly.

It's too early to say that Philly got the better of the Nets in the trade that sent Ben Simmons to Brooklyn in return for Harden. So far it looks good for Philly. After scoring 27 in his Sixers debut, he scored 29 points and recorded a triple-double in a 125-109 win at New York on Sunday. This is just his third game with the Sixers, and his first home game. Expect the Sixers to go hard, as first impressions are important. The Knicks are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on ISU.

The Cyclones have won four straight, and their final home game comes against Oklahoma State on Wednesday. The Cowboys have lost eight of 10 road games this season, and they are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Cyclones are 14-4 at home, and they have allowed just 59.4 points per game at home. Izaiah Brockington has been on a tear, averaging over 24 points per game in his last five starts. He scored 26 points in a win over the Cowboys earlier this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Badgers host Purdue in a marquee matchup in the BIG10 Tuesday, and these two teams have scored plenty of points this season. Scoring is down for both Purdue and Wisconsin in recent games though. The Boilermakers have scored over 80 points per game overall, but in their last five games they have averaged just 67.8 points per game. Thesse teams have a history of playing defensive games, which is why we haven't seen a total as high as 140 in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The under is 6-1-1 in the Badgers last eight overall, and Purdue has failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

The Nets might be favorites to win the Eastern Conference with a Big 3 of KD, Kyrie and Ben Simmons, but none of them will be in the lineup tonight in Toronto. The only healthy starter for the Nets will be Seth Curry, who has spent the majority of his career coming off the bench. The Nets lost at home last night to the Raptors by 36 points, and traveling north of the border 24 hours later isn't likely to yield a better result. The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Wyoming.

Nobody has won at Wyoming this season. Not Boise State, not Colorado State, and not Utah State. San Diego State has lost five of eight road games, losing at Colorado State, Utah State and Boise State. Given their resume, the Cowboys deserve to be a favorite here at home. The Aztecs will come in as a road favorite despite averaging just 60..5 points per game on the road. Wyoming has averaged 82.2 points per game at home. Expect a close game and I got my money on the home team plus the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Iowa Hawkeyes have won six of their last seven, and they have averaged 88 points in those wins. They have scored an average of 87.6 points while going 14-3 at home. The Northwestern Wildcats aren't shy about playing high scoring games either, and they have scored an average of 73.3 points per game. The over is 21-8-1 in Hawkeyes last 30 overall, and they have gone over in 19 of their last 27 home games. Both meetings between these teams last season saw more than 155 points, and the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in either of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

Nebraskas is just 1-16 in the BIG10, and they rank dead last in scoring defense allowing 79.6 points per game. Penn State ranks last in the conference in scoring, but they should get their points here in a home game against Nebraska. Last year the Nittany Lions won both meetings versus Nebraska, going over 137 in each of those games. The total for tonight's game is at least eight points lower than it was in those games last season.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Temple.

The Owls have won four straight home games, and one of those came against SMU. Tulane has lost six of nine road games, and they are coming off a double digit home loss to Houston. The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 overall. Tulane recently defeated Temple 92-83 in overtime in New Orleans, and I expect the Owls to avenge that loss here in Philly.

GL,

Jesse

This is a 5* play on Over.

The Utah Utes and the Arizona State Sun Devils are two of the bottom feeders in the PAC12, but each of them have shown signs of life late in the season. The Utes won back to back games at Stanford and California, before losing their last game to Arizona. The Sun Devils have won four of their last five games, and they scored an average of 69.2 points per game during that span. Utah has averaged 70 points per game over their last five overall. Utah has gone over in four straight home games, while the Sun Devils have gone over in five of their last seven as an underdog. Utah scored 98 points in their last home game versus Arizona State, and the listed total of 147 went over the number.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Bulls.

Chicago has won six straight overall, and DeMar DeRozan has scored 30+ points in nine straight games. The Bulls host the Memphis Grizz Saturday, in a game that features two of the league's biggest stars. The Grizz have lost back to back games and Ja Morant hasn't been at his best lately. He battled a hip injury while scoring 20 points on 7-of-25 shooting in a loss to Minnesota in his last start. He was forced to leave the game in pain in the third quarter, but was able to return. He's listed as questionable, and while he's expected to play he might not be 100%. Not great timing for a head to head duel versus the MVP front runner.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Tennessee.

The Vols and the Tigers are two of the top dogs in the SEC, and between the two of them they are 29-0 at home. Auburn has a decent road record (7-2), but a close examination of their last four road games suggests they are in big trouble here at Knoxville. They lost at Florida and Arkansas, and prior to that wins at Georgia and Missouri came by a combined three points. History favors the Vols, as the home team is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

At the age of 37, LeBron James played a career high 37 minutes in the NBA All Star game on a bad knee. He's listed as questionable for tonight's game against the Clippers. AD is out for sure, and so is Avery Bradley. The Clippers won three of four before the break, and they have managed to remain competitive without PG and Kawhi. The Clippers are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. History favors the Clippers who are 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Penn State.

Penn State will host Northwestern Friday, and these two teams have plenty in common. They each have six wins in the BIG10. and both these teams are far better at home than they are on the road. The home team has won six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the Wildcats are 0-4 at Penn State during that span. The Nittany Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games, and they have covered in four of their last five as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Detroit.

The Cavs are just 2.5 games out of first place in the East, but they lost back to back games heading into the All Star break. They have three starters sidelined by injury, and they still come into Detroit as a big favorite. The Pistons have won their last two home games against Cleveland, and two of their last three home losses against the Cavs came in games decided in overtime. Before the break the Pistons upset the Celtics in Boston, with Cunningham, Grant and Bey all scored 20+ points. The young guns are starting to come together, and a competitve game at home against a banged up opponent seems likely here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on Iowa State.

The West Virginia Mountaineers have lost 11 of their last 12 games, and that one win came in a home game against Iowa State. Well it's payback time for the Cyclones, who are 13-4 at home. The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing record. The Mountaineers might be looking ahead to a home game against Texas this Saturday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Wake Forest.

Clemson has lost six straight overall, and they are banged up with their leading scorer (PJ Hall) leaving their last game in the opening minute, and another starter (Hunter Tyson) done for the season. The Demon Deacons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Tigers are 0-4-2 ATS in their last six games overall, and the Favorite has covered in six of the last eight head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BSU.

The Boise State Broncos sit in first place in the Mountain West, just a half game ahead of Wyoming. They host San Diego State tonight, and the Aztecs are a formidable opponent. The Broncos already beat the Aztecs 42-37 in San Diego, and they are 11-3 at home. San Diego State has a losing record on the road, and they have lost at Utah State and Colorado State. The Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Arkansas.

The Gators are coming off an upset win over Auburn, with fans storming the court at the buzzer. This sets up a classic let down here as they host an Arkansas team that is damn close to as good as anyone in the country. Florida's win over Auburn might say more about how the Tigers played than how well Florida played. I don't think they can count on the Razorbacks sleeping here in Gainesville. Florida has failed to cover in five straight coming off a win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on MD.

Maryland only has four wins in the BIG10, but they have lost a couple big games that could have gone either way. Losing by two versus Michigan State, and losing to Purdue by one point doesn't show up in the standings. They host a Penn State team that has lost seven of eight road games, with the one win coming at Northwestern in a close game. Penn State won at College Park last March (rallying from a double digit halftime deficit), but the home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This line opened at 318.5 ... already pretty high. They scored 320 last year, and less than that in two of the previous three years. Nobody cares, everyone is betting the over and there is no end in sight. I can't help but get in at 325 an hr before game time. FADE THE MOVE!

This is an 8* play on USC.

The Cougars come into this game as losers of four straight, while USC has won five of six. The Trojans are 12-2 at home, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The favorite has covered in seven of the last nine meetings. USC has averaged over 77 points per game at home, and they have won 10 straight versus Washington State. The Cougars only covered in two of those 10 games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on WISC.

The Badgers are just a half game out of first place in the BIG10, and they are a slight home favorite here against Michigan. The Badgers are 10-3 in Madison, while the Wolverines have lost six of 10 on the road. Michigan is just 1-4 versus Top 25 ranked teams this season, with the one win coming at home versus Purdue. Even though Michigan has won three of their last four visits to Madison, this year the Badgers are a lot better than they were the last few years. I like the home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Boise State.

Boise State sits at the top of the Mountain West, with just a half game lead over Wyoming. They have a home game against Utah State Saturday, and I like the Broncos to win big. The Broncos have won four of the last five meetings versus the Aggies, and Utah State has struggled on the road this season. The Aggies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Utah State has covered in just one of their last five games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Arkansas.

The Vols are coming off a double digit hom win over Kentucky, moving to 14-0 at home. This sets them up for a let down here on the road at Arkansas, and they are just 4-4 on the road. The Razorbacks are 14-1 at home, and they have won 10 of their last 11 overall. The home team has won six straight head to head meetings, and the Razorbacks are 5-0 ATS in their last five as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 7* play on Auburn.

The Tigers are ranked #2 in the nation, and they have only lost twice so far this season. They are 7-1 on the road, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Gators have failed to cover in five straight overall, and they look to be overmatches here. The Tigers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. Florida has lost five straight against Top 25 ranked teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on ISU.

The Cyclones ended a four game losing skid with a road win at TCU in their last game, and a home game against Oklahoma looks like a good spot to make it back to back wins. Oklahoma has lost six of eight on the road, and the Cyclones are 12-4 at home. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. The Cyclones defense has been light out at home, holding opponents to just 58.4 points per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Grizzlies,

Oakland is still undefeated at home, and they host the Wright State Raiders on Friday night. This will be a revenge game for the Grizzlies, who lost by double digits at Wright State a few weeks ago. The Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 as a home favorite. The Raiders are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six as an underdog. Oakland has score an average of just 75.9 points per game this season, but they have scored a whopping 87.5 points per game at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Trojans are a 10.5 point favorites at home versus Washington, and they scored 95 points in a home win over the Huskies last year. The Huskies allowed 92 points in a loss to Arizona on Saturday, they gave up 87 points to Stanford a week earlier, and they allowed 84 points in a loss to Oregon at the end of January. That's an average of 88 points in their last three losses. The over is 19-7 in the Huskies last 26 road games, and the over is 10-4 in the Huskies last 14 games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Texas Tech.

The Red Raiders are 15-0 at home, and that includes a win over Kansas. They host the #7 ranked Baylor Bears tonight, and this looks like a tough game. The Bears suffered a big blow this weekend, losing their leading rebounder J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua to a season ending knee injury. The Red Raiders are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. Texas Tech has held opponents to just 58 points per game at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

The Raptors are coming off back to back losses, following an eight game winning streak. They will be on the road in Minnesota tonight, and the Wolves are coming off an overtime win over Charlotte. The Raptors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have won five of their last six on the road. The Timberwolves have failed to cover in four of their last five when playing on back to back nights, and coming off an overtime might be even more significant.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Tennessee.

The Vols host Kentucky in a revenge game in Tennessee tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. Tennessee is 13-0 at home, and yet just a slight favorite here versus the Wildcats. They have held opponents to fewer than 60 points per game during their unbeaten run at home. The Wildcats are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Volunteers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Missouri.

The Razorbacks will be a well deserved favorite here at Missouri, coming into this game as winners of nine of their last 10 overall. Missouri has lost two of their last three at home, but those losses each came by a single point versus #1 ranked Auburn and the Florida Gators. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and they have covered in each of their last five home games. The home team has been the better bet in this series, covering in seven of the last nine head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Wyoming.

The Cowboys are now in first place in the Mountain West, and they come into tonight's game at New Mexico with a 10-1 conference record. The Lobos are just 2-6 in conference play. While New Mexico has won three of their last four, those wins came against weaker opposition (0-12 San Jose State and Northern New Mexico. The Cowboys are 28-9 ATS in their last 37 road games, and they are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Lobos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Boise State Broncos will be a slight favorite at home against Colorado State, and the total for this game is at least 10 points lower than it was in the previous 10 meetings. The Broncos have allowed 60 or more points in each of their last five games overall, and they face a Colorado team that has averaged 72 points per game on the road. The over is 10-2-1 in the Broncos last 13 versus a team with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Gophers.

Two of the bottom feeders of the BIG10 will meet in Minnesota this Saturday, and despite the Gophers 2-10 conference record, I actually like them as the home favorite here. Penn State has lost five of six overall, and the Nittany Lions only road win came against a 3-18 PAC12 team (Oregon State). The home team has covered in each of the last four head to head meetings, and the favorite is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Nittany Lions struggle to score at the best of times, but they have averaged less than 60 points per game on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Missouri.

In a battle of the bottom feeders in the SEC, I like Missouri at home versus Ole Miss. The Rebels have lost back to back games since losing Freshman guard Daeshun Ruffin for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Ruffin was second on the team in scoring, and a huge part of the offense. The Tigers have covered in four straight home games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven coming off a loss. Missouri won by a whopping 25 points at Mississippi earlier this season, and they look good for the sweep of the season series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Seahawks.

UNCW has reigned supreme in the CAA for years, and they occupy the top spot in the standing again this season. They host the Charleston Cougars Saturday, and they have already won at Charleston earlier this season. The Seahawks are 9-1 at home, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 overall and they have covered in six straight on their home court. The Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Saturday games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bilikens.

The Bonnies are an underdog on the road at Saint Louis tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. The hosts have won four of the last five meetings, and the Bonnies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog. The Bonnies were briefly in the Top 25 early in the season, but the have struggled in conference play sitting in the middle of the pack in the A-10. Saint Louis is 11-3 at home, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The favorite has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The opening total looks a little low here, as both these teams have been scoring plenty in their last five games. Purdue comes in averaging 83.6 points per game, while the Wolverines have scored 75.8 points per game at home. Purdue has gone over in each of their last five games, and the over is 35-16 in the Boilermakers last 51 games as a favorite. The Wolverines have gone over in five of their last six home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UT Martin.

The Cougars are the last place team in the OVC, and yet they are a favorite here in a home game against UT Martin. This would be a tough ask at the best of times, but they haven't won a game since losing leading scorer Ray'Sean Taylor for the rest of the season. They scored just 47 points in a home loss to SEMO in their last game. Home court hasn't been an advantage in this series, as the road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Cougars have failed to cover in six straight overall. Looks like the wrong team is favored here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, but things have changed. I think the bookmakers are mistaken here with an opening total just under 150 points. Neither of these two teams has averaged 70 points in their last five games overall, and both teams have held opponents to an average of less than 70 points per game during that span. The under is 10-4 in the Hawkeyes last 14 road games, and the under is 14-5 in the Terrapins last 19 home games. Bet this one early because I expect money to come in on the under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Ole Miss.

The Rebels will be an underdog at home versus Alabama, and the Crimson Tide have lost four of their last five road games outright. Alabama scores plenty on the road (averaging over 80 points per game) but they have struggled defensively (allowing over 85 points per game). The Crimson Tide are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Rebels are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Wyoming.

The Cowboys are half a game back of first place Boise State in the Mountain West, and they are 10-0 at home. Tonight they host Utah State, who they have already beaten once this season in Logan. The Aggies have a losing record on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games following a three game home stand. The Cowboys last home game was a win over Boise State, and prior to that they beat Colorado State. Wyoming should be a far bigger favorite here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Badgers were fortunate to have avoided an upset at home against Penn State, shooting just 37.5 percent from the field, 6-of-21 from beyond the arc and 3-of-6 from the charity stripe. They will have to be much better here on the road at East Lansing, and we should expect both teams to score their share of points. The over is 6-1 in the Badgers last seven games as an underdog, and they have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall. The over is 5-2-1 in the Spartans last eight home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Kansas.

The Jayhawks are 19-3 overall and 8-1 in the BIG12 heading into tonight's game at Texas. The Longhorns are 5-4 in their last nine overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven. The Longhorns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Kansas has faced top 25 teams in each of their last four games, winning three of those. They are coming off a 24-point win over #8 ranked Baylor.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Arizona State.

The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Cincinnati.

The Houston Cougars are cruising, coming into Cincinnati with a 19-2 overall record, and they are undefeated in conference play. The Bearcats are just 5-3 in the AAC, but they are 11-2 at home. They have won outright in three of their last four home games versus Houston. They will be getting a bunch of points here as the home underdog. Cincinnati is allowing just 60.2 points per game, and scoring an average of 74.5 points at home. This is a tough spot for the Cougars, with another road game against second place SMU coming up next. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Arkansas.

The Razorbacks have won seven in a row, and they have scored over 78 points per game in their last five. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road, and they have averaged just 67 points in those games. Mississippi State is coming off a home win over South Carolina, and they are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. The home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 head to head meetings, and this looks like a potential double digit win for Arkansas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

I started betting the over in Wisconsin games late last year, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Michigan State: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The over is 20-8 in the Badgers last 28 overall, and they have gone over in five of their last six home games. This number should be a lot higher.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

There were 100 points scored in the first half of Georgia's last game, a home loss to Arkansas. They host #1 ranked Auburn Saturday, and another shootout should be expected. The Tigers took a 52-27 lead to the locker room at halftime in a home win over Georgia earlier this season, but we should expect more scoring from the Bulldogs here at home. The over is 7-2 in the Tigers last nine overall, and the over is 9-4 in the Bulldogs last 13 overall. Georgia has gone over in seven of their last 10 as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on HOU.

The Rockets will be an underdog in San Antonio Friday, and they catch the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the road team has won four of the last five meetings outright. The Spurs have failed to cover in five of their last six home games, and they have just three wins in their last 12 games overall. Three starters missed last night's game against Miami, and the Spurs are in rough shape considering Houston is as healthy as anyone right now. Christian Wood has scored 20+ points in three straight games, and alongside Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, the Rockets are not short on young talent.

GL,

Jesse Schule