free play

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Huskies won at Marquette earlier this year, holding the Golden Eagles to just 54 points. These teams have long history of playing defensive games, and they have been playing strong defense lately. UCONN has held opponents to 65.6 points per game in their last five, while Marquette has only scored 67.8 points per game in their last five. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

 It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Wisconsin has cranked up their defense, allowing just 62 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 overall, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. The Badgers have gone under in six straight overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the under.

It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last nine head to head meetings. Davidson has really cranked up the defense, allowing an average of 58.8 points over their last five games. VCU has also been good defensively, allowing 66 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2 in Rams last nine road games. The under is 12-4 in the Wildcats last 16 Saturday games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Minnesota.

Two struggling teams meet in the BIG10 tonight, but the Gophers appear to be a well deserved home favorite. Here is what I said prior to their last home win: "The Gophers have been world beaters at home, with wins over Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and Iowa. Overall they have won 12 of their 13 home games this season. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. Minnesota scores an average of over 81 points per game at home, while conceding just 68 points per game." The Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they are just 1-8 on the road.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Knicks are ranked #1 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they are ranked 30th in scoring. That alone might be tempting enough to bet the under, but history shows us there are plenty of trends that are worth noting. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under, and the under is 21-8 in the Knicks last 29 overall. They have gone under in seven straight following a loss, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Warriors play their second game of a back to back here in Indiana, and history suggests the total looks a bit high here. The Dubs have gone under in three of their last four road games, and they have really played strong defense during that span. The Warriors are just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana, so we might not be expecting their best effort here. While these teams have gone over in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact seven of the last 10 meetings saw a number below 220.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Clemson.

The Tigers aren't ranked in the Top 25, but they sure have proved that they can play with the top teams in the country. They've beaten Alabama, Florida State, Louisville and North Carolina (all ranked). They come into today's game as winners of four of five, while Wake Forest is a bottom feeder with just a 3-11 conference record. The Deacons have lost back to back home games by a combined margin of more than 40 points. Clemson has won outright in seven of the last eight meetings, winning three of their last four at Wake Forest.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Orlando.

The Pistons lost in Orlando on Sunday, and often when a team loses the first game of a back to back set you would expect them to have a better showing in Game 2. For a team that has just two road wins all year, that might not be the case. Here is what I said prior to Sunday's game: "The Magic are coming off a home win over Golden State, and they face a Pistons team that rarely wins on the road. Detroit is 2-13 overall on the road this season, so it seems odd that this game is close to a pickem. The Magic are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win, and with a win tonight they would have a .500 home record."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Hokies.

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have played some good games this season, mostly at home. They are just 2-5 on the road, and they have lost four straight at Virginia Tech. The Hokies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they are 9-1 overall at home this season. The Yellow Jackets won at home versus the Hokies last February, but had lost six straight to the Hokies prior to that. The Hokies last home game was a double digit win over Virginia.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Orlando.

The Magic are coming off a home win over Golden State, and they face a Pistons team that rarely wins on the road. Detroit is 2-13 overall on the road this season, so it seems odd that this game is close to a pickem. The Magic are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win, and with a win tonight they would have a .500 home record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on St. Bonaventure.

The Davidson Wildcats come into Sunday's game at Saint Bonaventure as winners of five in a row, but they might struggle against the first place Bonnies. The Bonnies are undefeated at home so far, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bonnies are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Rutgers.

The Scarlet Knights were 18-1 at home last year, and they have won nine of 12 at home this season. They host Maryland Sunday, and the home court should be a big factor. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six when coming off a win. The Scarlet Knights are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 home games. Rutgers won by a score of 78-67 at home versus Maryland last season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bearcats.

Cincinnati comes into Houston as winners of four straight, but they are just 7-7 overall. Six of their seven losses have come in games decided by single digits, so the double digit cushion here against Houston looks generous. The Cougars are a strong team that have struggled a bit lately. They are coming off a loss at Wichita State, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. The underdog has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings, so I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Huskies.

Washington and California are both sitting at the bottom of the PAC12 with just three conference wins. The Bears beat the Huskies in Berkeley earlier this year, but I expect the Huskies to get revenge here in Washington. The Golden Bears are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games, and the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. California was an 8.5 point dog at Washington last year, and they lost by 35 points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on PHX.

The Suns are the hottest team in the NBA dating back to the bubble this summer. They have won 10 of their last 12 overall, and they are just a slight favorite in tonight's game at Memphis. Both teams are playing the second game of a back to back, but superior talent should make the difference for the visitors. The Suns are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games, and the Grizzlies aren't strong at home. Memphis is 3-3 in their last six home games, with wins coming against the likes of Detroit, OKC and Charlotte.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on LSU.

Auburn has lost four of their last five games, and the one win came against last place Vanderbilt. Playing on the road at third place LSU Saturday, I don't expect this game to be close. LSU is 9-2 at home, averaging 84.4 points in those games. Auburn has lost six of eight on the road, averaging 71.9 points per game. LSU is coming off a 78-65 home win over Tennessee, shooting 51.9 percent from the field. Auburn won't likely be able to match the Tigers (LSU) scoring.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Minnesota.

The Gophers are coming off back to back road losses, but they have been an absolute monster at home. They are 13-1 overall at home, and they have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games. The home team has covered in five straight head to head meetings, so getting 5.5 points seems like a helluva bargain. Illinois has won six straight, but three of their last five wins have come by five points or less.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Vols.

The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off back to back wins, but neither of those were particularly impressive. I bet on them in their home win over Auburn, and they just barely hung on winning that game by two points. They followed that up with a narrow win on the road at last place Auburn, and that inspires little confidence as they head to Knoxville to take on the #19 ranked Vols. The Wildcats are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven coming off a win. Tennessee has won four of the last five head to head meetings, and the average margin of victory was far greater than seven points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Clippers.

Breaking news suggests Kawhi and PG are going to suit up for the Clippers. This sets up a classic revenge spot for LA, after losing at home by double digits to Utah on Wednesday. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home. This is also a natural let down spot for Utah.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Oregon.

The Ducks have won three straight, including back to back road wins in Arizona. They host Colorado Thursday, and home court advantage figures to be key here. The home team is 10-0 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The Buffaloes are 17-43 ATS in their last 60 road games, and the Ducks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The home team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and the favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Lakers.

The Nets got the win in Phoenix after trailing by 24 points. They did it without Kyrie and KD, but don't think that's gonna happen on LeBron's watch. KD is not going to play in LA, although Kyrie could be back. I think the Nets will miss Durant more than the Lakers miss AD. LA has won eight of their last nine, while the Nets are 5-4 in their last nine. If we're talking GOAT, then I am firmly in the MJ camp, but if we're talking MVP it's LeBron all day.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UCLA.

The Bruins are 9-0 at home, and yet they are just a small favorite in Thursday's home game against Arizona. The Wildcats have struggled on the road, and they have lost four of their last six overall. They have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games against teams with a winning record. The Bruins are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Bruins have won five of their last six versus Arizona outright.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz.

The Lakers and the Clippers are each looking up at the Utah Jazz, who sit in the top spot in the Western Conference. The Clippers have done well to keep pace with the Lakers and the Jazz, sitting just 2.5 games out of first. They are a bit banged up though, with Paul George, Kawhi Leonard and Nick Batum all dealing with injuries. The Jazz are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. They have covered in eight of their last 10 road games against the Clippers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Indiana.

I bet against the Gophers in their last road game at Maryland, and they got clobbered. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Minnesota Golden Gophers are a real Jeckyll and Hyde team. They are world beaters at home (13-1) but they can't win a road game to save their lives. Maryland has been tough both on the road as well as at home, and they won't make life easy for Minnesota Sunday. They are the only team to beat the Gophers in Minnesota this season, and they are 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they shot just 30.4 percent from the field in the loss to home loss to Maryland last month." The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a Free play on DePaul.

The Blue Demons are just 1-9 in the BIG EAST, and they will be a 13.5 point underdog at Seton Hall Wednesday. DePaul has been perhaps more competitive than you would expect for a team with a 1-9 conference record. Their last three losses came by 10 or fewer points to Creighton, Butler and Providence. Seton Hall has failed to cover in four straight home games, and seven of their last eight games against De Paul have been decided by a single digit margin.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on PHX.

Two of the league's hottest teams will meet in Phoenix tonight, but this won't be an ideal situation for the visitors. Brooklyn is 9-4 in their last 13, but they won't have the services of Kevin Durant, and playing the second game of a back to back they might want to limit the minutes for stars James Harden and Kyrie Irving. The Suns have won nine of their last 10 overall, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. The Nets have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 when playing the second game of a back to back, and they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on St. Johns.

Xavier has played just twice in the last month, and they are coming off a loss to the UCONN Huskies. The St. John's Red Storm are coming off a three-point loss on the road at Butler, but they had won six straight prior to that. Their win streak included a home win over Villanova, and a double digit road win over Providence. The Red Storm are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. St. John's scores an average of over 80 points per game at home, and a banged up Musketeers team may not be able to keep up.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Purdue.

The Spartans are struggling, coming into Tuesday's road game at Purdue as losers of five of their last seven overall. They have lost all three road games during that span, and they lost at home by a score of 55-54 to Purdue. That was the only time the road team won in the last six head to head meetings. The Spartans have lost their last three at Purdue by double digits. The Spartans are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall, and they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play Providence.

The Huskies will be a pretty sizeable favorite here at home against Providence, but I think this looks like a tough spot for the home team. The Huskies got off to a strong start, but they have lost four of their last six. Their leading scorer James Bouknight remains sidelined with an elbow injury. They have missed his 20 points per game. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have been decided by fewer than five points. The Friars have played well on the road, going 2-2 in their last four away from home. They won outright at Creighton and lost by a single point to Georgetown. Don't be suprised if they give the Huskies all they can handle.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

I bet against the Cavs last night, and they got clobbered by a shorthanded Clippers team. They play their second game of a back to back with Andre Drummond benched, and I think they lose by double digits again in California. Here is what I said last night: "The Clippers are just two games back of the Lakers, and a home game against Cleveland is an opportunity for them to close the gap. The Clippers have won six straight against Cleveland, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. The Cavs have lost six straight, and all six losses have come by double digits. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 0-6 in their last six as an underdog. The Cavs have also failed to cover in four straight at LA."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

The Clippers are just two games back of the Lakers, and a home game against Cleveland is an opportunity for them to close the gap. The Clippers have won six straight against Cleveland, and five of those wins came by a double digit margin. The Cavs have lost six straight, and all six losses have come by double digits. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 0-6 in their last six as an underdog. The Cavs have also failed to cover in four straight at LA. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Maryland. 

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are a real Jeckyll and Hyde team. They are world beaters at home (13-1) but they can't win a road game to save their lives. Maryland has been tough both on the road as well as at home, and they won't make life easy for Minnesota Sunday. They are the only team to beat the Gophers in Minnesota this season, and they are 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they shot just 30.4 percent from the field in the loss to home loss to Maryland last month.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on GT.

The Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back losses in close games. They lost at home by six points to first place Viginia, and they lost by two points on the road to a very strong Clemson team. Pittsburgh has been pretty competitive as well, but this looks like a tough matchup for the Panthers. Pittsburgh has failed to cover in nine of their last 10 against Georgia Tech, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Seton Hall.

The Pirates are 8-5 in the Big East, but they are 8-1 against everyone other than Creighton and Villanova. They host Marquette Sunday, and these teams are trending in opposite directions. The Golden Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five straight road games. Marquette has lost five in a row to Seton Hall, and the average margin of defeat in those games is over eight points. This should be a comfortable win for the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Missouri.

The Tigers are coming off a loss at Ole Miss, but they had won six of seven prior to that. They have won four straight at home, and they are 8-1 overall at home. The Razorbacks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The home team has covered in five of the last six meetings between these teams. Missouri has been a good bet coming off a loss, covering the spread in six of their last eight such situations.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Suns.

Phoenix was the biggest surprise team in the bubble this summer, but they got off to a slow start to the 2020-2021 regular season. They come into this afternoon's game on a roll though, winners of seven of their last eight overall and five straight at home. They host the Sixers, who aren't that strong on the road. The 76ers are 14-35-3 ATS in their last 52 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven versus the Suns. Phoenix has covered in five straight home games, and the Suns are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on WVU.

The Mountaineers will host Oklahoma Saturday, and the Sooners have a dozen wins so far this season. Ten of those wins came at home, and they have lost four of six on the road. The Mountaineers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games versus a team with a winning record. The Sooners offense has struggled on the road, averaging just 68.5 points per game. We expect the Mountaineers to win a close game at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on Dallas.

I had the Mavs in their last game, a come from behind win over Atlanta. Here is what I said prior to Tip Off: "It's been a slow start to the season for a Dallas team that came in with such high expectations. Luca Doncic has averaged 27 points per game, but he hasn't lived up to the hype after an outstanding season a year ago. The Mavs may be turning the corner though, coming into tonight's game as winners of three of their last four. They host Atlanta, and the Hawks are coming off a four game home stand that saw them lose three of four. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, and they lost by double digits in their last two visits to Dallas."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on VCU.

The Rams lost at St. Bonaventure by a score of 70-54 in January, but I like their chances in this revenge spot at home Friday. They are 7-1 straight up at home, and they are coming off road wins over Dayton and Rhode Island. The Rams have won three of their last four home games against the Bonnies, and last year they won at home almost 30 points. St. Bonaventure doesn't score a lot of points on the road, averaging just 63.6 points per game. The Rams have averaged 76.8 points per game at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Celtics.

The Raptors have won five of their last six games, but they are at the end of a road trip playing the second game of a back to back. Playing the Celtics in Boston isn't quite the same as beating up on the likes of the Wizards, Magic and Memphis. The Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. The Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Under normal circumstances we would expect a close game between these teams, but this situation heavily favors the Celtics. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Stanford.

Stanford was forced to play home games off campus for a while, but they are back on their home court for tonight's game against Colorado. The home team has won six of the last seven head to head meetings outright, and I don't think the Buffaloes should be laying points on the road in this spot. The Buffaloes are 16-42 ATS in their last 58 road games, and they are 12-39 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Cardinal are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 home games, and the home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Cal.

The Golden Bears are sitting in dead last in the PAC12 Conference, and they have lost six game in a row. They have been competitive, losing at home to UCLA by four points, and losing their last game by five points at Stanford. The Golden Bears are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games. The Utes are only 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. Cal has just two win in conference play, but one of those wins came on the road at Utah. The Bears won outright as a home underdog versus Utah last February.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Minnesota.

The Gophers have been world beaters at home, with wins over Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and Iowa. Overall they have won 12 of their 13 home games this season. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. Minnesota scores an average of over 81 points per game at home, while conceding just 68 points per game. Purdue has some big road wins at Ohio State, Michigan State and Indiana. They have lost five of eight road games overall, and Minnesota is as tough as it gets for visitors.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Mississippi State.

The Tigers have struggled on the road, and they come into tonight's game in Starkeville as losers of four of their last five overall. The Bulldogs have been solid at home, with an overall home record of 8-3. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the igers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The have covered the spread just twice in their last eight road games. The Bulldogs are playing well as evidenced by covering in four of their last five overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Dallas.

It's been a slow start to the season for a Dallas team that came in with such high expectations. Luca Doncic has averaged 27 points per game, but he hasn't lived up to the hype after an outstanding season a year ago. The Mavs may be turning the corner though, coming into tonight's game as winners of three of their last four. They host Atlanta, and the Hawks are coming off a four game home stand that saw them lose three of four. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, and they lost by double digits in their last two visits to Dallas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on WVU.

The Mountaineers won at home by a score of 88-87 versus the Red Raiders a few weeks ago, and another close game should be expected here in Lubbock. Texas Tech has their fair share of wins, but they aren't exactly a good bet to cover points. The Red Raiders are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite, and they have failed to cover in seven straight as a home favorite. They are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games. The line of 5-6 seems a little high.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on MSU.

The Spartans snapped a four game losing streak with a double digit home win over Nebraska in their last game, and they look poised to make it back to back home wins here against Penn State. The Nittany Lions have lost six straight road games, and their only road win this season came in non-conference play. The Spartans have won outright in eight of the last 10 meetings, and I don't expect an upset here in East Lansing tonight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UK.

It's been a disappointing season for Kentucky, and the Wildcats come into tonight's home game against Arkansas as losers of six of their last seven. Four of those losses came on the road, and at home they lost to Alabama and Tennessee (both ranked). Arkansas on the other hand has a winning record in conference play, but they've been earning those wins against the bottom feeders in the conference. The Razorbacks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they have lost four of six road games so far this season. The Wildcats have won the last eight head to head meetings outright.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Suns.

Phoenix has won five of their last six overall and three straight at home, and they are finally starting to look like the team that took the bubble by storm this summer. They host the Cavs, who had a bit of a solid run despite low expectations early this season. Cleveland is coming off three straight home losses, and they have lost seven of 10 on the road. The Cavs have failed to cover in six straight overall, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven as a road underdog. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Phoenix. It looks like the home team should win this one by double digits.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Kansas.

The Jayhawks have lost five of their last seven overall, but all five of those losses came on the road. They are still one of the toughest home teams in the country, and a home game against Oklahoma State figures to be a good spot to get back on track. The Cowboys have lost their last three visits to Kansas all by double digits. The home team has covered the spread in six of the last seven head to head meetings, and the Jayhawks are 46-21-3 ATS in their last 70 games following a straight up loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Iowa.

I don't normally like a road favorite in college basketball, but Iowa has been a strong play on the road. The Hoosiers are only .500 at home this year, and this looks like a tough spot against a dominant Hawkeyes team. The Hoosiers are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and the road team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. Iowa lost a close game at home to Ohio State this week, and the Hawkeyes are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

Texas will play at Oklahoma State Saturday, and we are expecting a high score here in Stillwater. These two teams played three times in 2020, going over the total in all three of those games. The over is 8-0 in Longhorns last eight overall, and they have gone over in seven straight Saturday games. The over is 15-4-3 in Cowboys last 22 home games, and the over is 22-8-3 in Cowboys last 33 overall. This total should probably be a little closer to 150.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 6* play on Hofstra.

The Pride bring a five game winning streak into Saturday's home game against Drexel, and history tells us the home team should be a big favorite here. Drexel has lost eight straight to Hofstra dating back to 2017. The Dragons are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 road games, and they are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Pride are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games, and they are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the favorite has covered in six of the last seven.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Clemson.

The Tigers are coming off a pair of impressive home wins over the Tar Heels and the #25 ranked Louisville Cardinals. This is one of the most experienced teams in the ACC, with a pair of seniors in the starting lineup. They are 7-1 at home so far, and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games versus a team with a winning home record. The home team has won seven of the last nine head to head meetings outright, and the Orange have lost four of their last five at Clemson.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Heat.

Miami has really suffered an NBA Finals hangover, and they come into tonight's home game against the Wizards as losers of seven of eight. The Wizards upset the Heat 103-100 on Wednesday, but Washington has only won three of their last eight overall. Both previous wins during that span have been followed by double digit losses. This being a revenge game for Miami, it could very well be a blowout. The Wizards are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Dayton.

The Flyers are no longer the top team in the A-10, but they are still one of the big boys in this conference. They proved that by winning their last home game by double digits against Rhode Island. Their previous two home games were nine point wins over Duquesne and George Mason. The Patriots are coming off a 17 point road loss to St. Bonaventure, and they had previous lost by 20 at Rhode Island. Another double digit loss looks likely here against Dayton. The Flyers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, while the Patriots are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 games versus teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Rutgers.

The Scarlet Knights are a beast at home, and I don't think five points should be tough to cover against a Minnesota team that isn't that strong on the road. The Gophers are 0-5 on the road, and they have failed to cover in six straight road games. The home team has covered in four of the last five meetings and the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. This should be a double digit win for Rutgers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Alabama.

The Crimson Tide are undefeated in the SEC, and they spanked LSU by a score of 105-75 in Baton Rouge a few weeks ago. After losing by 30 points at home, you might figure this would be a revenge spot for the Tigers. They might not have a lot of fight in them though, losing their leading rebounder Darius Days to a knee injury in a loss to Texas Tech. Day played 21 minutes in Sunday's game, scoring 11 points and pulling in nine rebounds before suffering a knee injury that will keep him out for at least a month. LSU has lost three of their last four overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six at home. This should be a double digit win for the Tide.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Baylor Bears are still undefeated, and they will be a six point favorite on the road at Texas Tuesday. These two teams have a history of playing very defensive basketball, and the total appears a little low given the history. The Longhorns lost both meetings versus Baylor in 2020, and they failed to score 50 points in both those games. Baylor failed to score 60 points in both those games. The total was under 140 in each of the last 10 meetings between these teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Clemson.

The Tigers have lost four of their last five, but three of those losses came on the road. The other was a home loss to first place Virginia, the defending national champions. The Tar Heels on the other hand have won six of seven, but four of those wins came at home. None of those six wins came against teams with a winning record in the ACC. Historically these teams have played close games in recent seasons, and last year Clemson won 79-76 in overtime at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels last win at Clemson came by just two points, and their previous win at Clemson (2015) came in overtime by three points. The Tigers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Sooners are coming off a huge win over Alabama, holding the Tide to just 61 points. Oklahoma has been stellar defensively during a five game winning streak, but they are a significant underdog here in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are coming off a couple high scoring games, both of those on the road. Their last home game was a 68-60 loss to #2 ranked Baylor. History tells us that these teams have failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, yet the total for this game is a little higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Oklahoma has gone under in nine of their last 12 overall, and the under is 25-9 in the Red Raiders last 34 versus teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Rockets appeared to reinvent themselves after dealing James Harden to the Nets, and they have allowed opponents to average just 102 points per game during a five game winning streak. They will face the #25 ranked Oklahoma City offense tonight, and it appears that the bookmakers have set the total a little too high. The under is 18-7-1 in the Rockets last 26 overall, and they have gone under in 13 of their last 19 against the Thunder. The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Oklahoma City.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Nevada.

The Wolfpack are coming off back to back losses on the road at Wyoming, and they look to get back on track at home versus UNLV. Nevada has won six straight meetings versus the Rebels, and each of their last two home wins versus UNLV came by double digits. The Wolf Pack are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite, and they have covered the spread in five of their last seven home games. The Rebels will be shorthanded after losing their starting PG for the remainder of the season.

Take NEV.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on GSW.

The Pistons are coming off a big home win over the Lakers, but that was a situational advantage for Detroit. Don't expect them to go on a run now, they haven't won back to back games all season. Only one of their five wins have come on the road, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games playing on 1 days rest. The Warriors have covered in five straight home games against teams with a losing record. Each of the last four wins for Golden State came by a double digit margin, and I just don't think 5.5 points will be enough for the Pistons.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Akron.

The Zips already beat Ball State by 15 points on the road earlier this season, and they look like a bargain as a small favorite at home here on Saturday. Akron has won five straight overall, and they are just 1.5 games out of first place in the MAC. They are undefeated at home so far, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Cardinals are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games. Gimme the home favorite all day!

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Spurs.

The Spurs have been playing pretty solid, winning four of six with losses coming to the Warriors and Mavericks. They find themselves catching a handful of points as a home dog versus a Denver team at the end of a road trip. The Nuggets have won five straight, two of those wins coming in overtime. The Spurs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog, and the home team has won outright in four of the last five head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Buffalo.

Buffalo is coming off a comfortable home win over last place Eastern Michigan, but they may have a real fight on their hands Friday when they host Ohio. The Bobcats are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall, but they aren't that strong away from home. The home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Bulls have won six of the last seven head to head meetings outright. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on La Salle.

Rhode Island will be a big road favorite here at La Salle, but the Rams have lost five of their six road games outright so far this season. La Salle is coming off an impressive upset win at Richmond, and they are 4-4 in the A-10. Last January the Rams barely held on for a three point win at home versus the Explorers, and this number sure looks inflated. Junior forward Jared Kimbrough has really stepped up for La Salle lately. His minutes were limited earlier in the season, but he's made 24-of-28 shots for a combined 44 points over his last three starts. Don't be surprised if he is a factor, helping La Salle hang in there with the Rams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Under.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have averaged just 57 points per game in their last four, and they are 2-2 during that span. They are excellent on defense, holding opponents to fewer than 63 points per game this season. The Temple Owls know a thing or two about playing defense, and we can expect a real defensive battle here in Philly. The under is 8-2 in the Owls last 10 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Owls have gone under in seven of their last eight versus teams with a winning record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Aggies are coming off their first loss in conference play, falling 84-76 to the Colorado State Rams. They will be a road favorite at UNLV, and I expect another high score here. The Rebels have won four straight against inferior opposition, including two Division 2 teams. The last time they played a contender in the Mountain West they lost back to back games at Colorado State. Both of those games were high scoring (145+). The home team has covered in four straight meetings between these teams, and I expect the Rebels to score enough points to keep this a close enough game to go over the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

The Milwaukee Bucks are coming off back to back losses, and that might have them tighten up the defense here against the Hawks. The Hawks have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 6-1 in Hawks last seven games as an underdog. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. This number looks a little inflated.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Over.

The Washington Huskies are the worst team in the PAC12, but they are coming off a big home win over Colorado. They host Utah tonight, and I expect a high score in this game. The Huskies are terrible defensively, allowing over 77 points per game. The Utes have gone over in six of their last eight road games, and the over is 12-5 in Utes last 17 overall. The Huskies have gone over in five straight overall. We should see both teams reach 70 points in this one.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is in 8* play on Over.

The Rockets have averaged over 90 points per game in their last four, and they host Kent State in what should be a shootout. These two teams have gone over in four straight head to head meetings. The over is 7-1 in the Golden Flashes last eight games following a straight up win. Kent State has scored 80+ points in five straight. Both these teams are below average defensively, so it would be no suprise to see a similar score to the most recent meeting when Toldeo won by a score of 84-82 earlier this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on under.

The Nevada Wolfpack will be the favorite when they play at Wyoming tonight, and Nevada is one of the strongest defensive teams in the Mountain West. They have help the opposition to just 65 points per game this season. The Cowboys are a high scoring team that averages 78 points per game. They are coming off back to back games against Air Force, and neither of those games saw more than 145 combined points. These two teams haven't gone over 145 points in each of the last four head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Nets new Big Three made their debut in Cleveland on Wednesday, and things didn't go as planned. Kyrie Irving scored 37 points on 15-of-28 shooting, but his defensive assignment (Colin Sexton) went off for a career high 42 points and helped Cleveland win in overtime by a score of 147-135. The Cavs held Brooklyn to 113 points in regulation, well below their season average of 120 ppg. Cleveland has been one of the best in the league on defense, allowing just 106 points per game. Unfortunately for the Cavs their offense only averages 102.9 ppg (29th). The under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 12 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

After a brutal start to the season the 2019 NBA Champion Toronto Raptors have won three straight. They host the Miami Heat tonight, but it looks like Miami will be shorthanded for this game. Jimmy Butler and a handful of others are expected to miss the game due to health and safety protocols. The Heat are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six road games. Despite their struggles, Toronto has a respectable home record of 4-2.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bulldogs.

I had the Bulldogs in their last home game, and here is what I said prior to their win over Florida: "Mississippi State is coming off a heart-breaking 1-point loss at home to Texas A&M, and it won't get any easier Saturday as they host the Florida Gators. They did beat the Gators in each of the last two meetings, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. The Gators are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games, while the Bulldogs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and I'll take the home dog here."

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Louisville.

Louisville is coming off it's first loss in conference play on the road at Miami, and they are back home to host Florida State on Monday. The Seminoles aren't quite as formidable as they were a year ago when they finished first in the ACC, but they are just a half game back in the conference standings. Louisville is 23-1 in 24 home games since the beginning of last season, and I like their chances of adding to that total. The Seminoles have only played once on the road this season, losing to Clemson. This spread should be 3-4 points higher than it is.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

The Minnesota Timbewolves are 3-8 overall, and six of their eight losses have come by double digits. Karl Anthony Towns has only played four games, and they are 2-2 when he plays. He's tested positive for Covid-19 and will not play Monday in Atlanta. The Timberwolves are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six versus the Hawks. Atlanta won it's last home game by a score of 112-94 versus Philly. They should be able to lay a similar beating on a short-handed T-Wolves team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Tulsa.

Tulsa is sitting in third in the AAC, and the Golden Hurricanes are 7-4 overall. They have won four of five at home, and they have won three of the last four head to head meetings versus Memphis. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. I think this might be a case of Memphis being overrated based on past performance, when they are not quite as strong this season as they have been in the past.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Bulldogs.

Mississippi State is coming off a heart-breaking 1-point loss at home to Texas A&M, and it won't get any easier Saturday as they host the Florida Gators. They did beat the Gators in each of the last two meetings, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. The Gators are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games, while the Bulldogs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and I'll take the home dog here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Alabama.

The Crimson Tide are coming off a massive double digit win at Kentucky, and you might think that sets them up for a let down here on Saturday. I expect them to be all fired up for a home game against Arkansas, a team that they have lost to in six straight head to head meetings. The Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and they have lost 15 of 20 road games since the start of last season. Alabama is undefeated (5-0) in conference play, despite playing some of the best teams in the SEC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toledo.

The Rockets are the cream of the crop in the MAC so far, with a 6-0 conference record. They will play on the road at Akron, and asked to cover a few points. Akron isn't the powerhouse it was a year ago, coming off back to back losses to Northern Illinois and Eastern Michigan. The Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Zips are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 8* play on Rutgers.

I have been backing Rutgers in their recent home games, and here is what I said prior to their win over Purdue: "The Scarlet Knights won both meetings versus Purdue last season, and they should be even better equipped to take on the Boilermakers this season. Home court advantage should be a huge factor for a Rutgers team that has won 23 of their last 24 home games. The Boilermakers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Scarlet Knights are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games, but they aren't asked to cover much of a spread here." The Scarlet Knights are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog, and the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Toronto.

The Raptors are sitting dead last in the Atlantic Division with a record of 2-8 overall. They have lost back to back games by a single point, but they have a home game against Charlotte tonight. This should give the struggling Raptors a chance to get a W, and make a statement with a double digit home win. Charlotte is playing on back to back nights after losing 104-93 at home to Dallas Wednesday. The Hornets are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home. Gordon Hayward leads the Hornets in scoring averaging 22 points per game, and he left last night's game with a hip injury. His status for tonight is in doubt.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Santa Clara.

The Broncos are coming off a 66-64 road win at St. Mary's, and they are 7-2 overall so far this season. They play at Pacific tonight, and this will be the Tigers first conference game, and just their fifth game this season. It's been over a month since the last time Pacific played a competitive game against a Division 1 school. The Tigers have had 10 games cancelled or postponed, and that has to take a lot of the wind out of their sails. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite, and the road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Georgia.

Both the Bulldogs and the Tigers are winless in the SEC so far, but that will change when Georgia host's Auburn tonight. I like the home side here, as Georgia has been highly competitive despite losing their last three games. They lost to LSU by just two points on the road, and they are 7-1 overall at home this season. The Tigers have failed to cover in four straight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on FSU.

The Seminoles might not be the powerhouse they were last year, but they are still a formidable home team. They host NC State tonight, and the Wolfpack haven't covered in any of their last five road games. They have only covered in one of their last six games overall, and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. FSU is 21-1 at home since the beginning of last season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Warriors.

The Warriors are 4-2 since Draymond Green returned to the lineup, and tonight they catch the Pacers playing on back to back nights after a loss in Sacramento. The Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games playing on 0 days rest. The Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. Steph Curry is averaging over 28 points per game so far, and he's scored over 30 in three of his last five games. He's proving he's still capable of carrying this team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Virginia Tech.

The Hokies are 3-1 in the ACC, with their only loss coming at first place Louisville. They host Duke tonight, and the Blue Devils come in as a road favorite. Duke hasn't looked worthy of laying points on the road, just barely beating Boston College at home last week. The Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings, and the Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Florida.

The Gators have lost back to back games, but to the top two teams in the SEC. They now have a home game against Ole Miss, and the Rebels are 2-12 in their last 14 road games. The Rebels are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning straight up record, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss, and the home team has won six straight between these teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Portland.

I bet against the Raptors last night, and here is what I said prior to their loss at Golden State: "The 2-6 Raptors are a road favorite at Golden State? I guess a slow start hasn't prompted the bookmakers to make any adjustments when it comes to evaluating this Toronto team. The slow start really shouldn't be a surprise, after losing veterans Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. They are playing their home games in a temporary location, and they have a disgruntled star in Pacal Siakam. The Raptors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points." The Raptors are 7-15 ATS in the last 22 meetings versus Portland.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UCONN.

The Huskies come into DePaul with a 6-1 record, and their lone loss came against #7 ranked Creighton. They have a history of beating up on their conference rivals, winning 10 straight versus DePaul. Eight of those 10 wins came by a double digit margin. The Blue Demons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss, and the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. UCONN is coming off back to back double digit road wins over Butler and Marquette.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Warriors.

The 2-6 Raptors are a road favorite at Golden State? I guess a slow start hasn't prompted the bookmakers to make any adjustments when it comes to evaluating this Toronto team. The slow start really shouldn't be a surprise, after losing veterans Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol. They are playing their home games in a temporary location, and they have a disgruntled star in Pacal Siakam. The Raptors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Steph Curry and Draymond Green likely still have a bitter taste in their mouth after watching Toronto celebrate a Championship win in their building. The Dubs aren't going to let up here against Toronto.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Nebraska.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are not a good team, let's be honest. They finished dead last in the BIG10 last year, and they are well on their way to another last place finish this season. As bad as they are, they have nine wins in 24 home games since the beginning of last season. They are getting a bunch of points here against Indiana on Sunday, and the Hoosiers have just two road wins in 13 games during that span. Indiana covered in both meetings last year, but had failed to cover in their previous four versus Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are coming off losses to Michigan. Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin, so it's not a surprise they have struggled against the better teams. This game should be a better matchup for them.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Wildcats are coming off an 87-73 loss to USC, and they have scored 70+ in each of their last six games. Both of these teams have averaged over 75 points per game this season, and we can expect another high score in Arizona tonight. The over is 5-2 in the Bruins last seven overall, and the Wildcats have gone over in five of their last six overall. The Wildcats have gone over in five of their last six home games. This game really could go either way, but we expect both teams to score 70+.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Nuggets.

Philly will be forced to fave the Nuggets with just nine players available after several players have been sidelined by health and safety protocols. Ben Simmons won't play because of a knee injury, and starting and backup PG Seth Curry and Shake Milton are also out Saturday. This looks like a situation where Philly will be waiving the white flag.

GL,

Jesse Schule