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Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
03-09-17	Texas +11.5 v. West Virginia		53-63	Win	100	8 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. Perhaps it shouldn't be so surprising that Texas upset Texas Tech in the first round of the BIG12 Tournament. The Longhorns had lost seven straight games before yesterday, but during that span they played great defense. Only two of those losses came by more than 10 points. West Virginia has won seven of it's last 10 overall, but not all of those wins were blowouts. Recently they won by a single point at TCU, and needed overtime to beat Texas Tech at home. The Mountaineers have only covered the spread once in their last 10 versus Texas, and they've covered in just one of their last five games overall. Texas has allowed opponents to average just 68.5 points on 40.9 percent shooting in neutral site games this season, and with a strong defensive team, I'll take the double digit spread. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule
03-09-17	CS-Northridge v. CS-Fullerton -140	Top	68-81	Win	100	10 h 4 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Cal State Fullerton. The Titans finished the season strong, winning seven of their last eight games. Their final game of the regular season was an 86-78 win at CS Northridge. The Matadors on the other hand lost their final five games of the season, and their last win came against bottom feeders UC Santa Barbara. They haven't had much success against teams with a winning record, failing to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11. The Titans have covered in five straight versus teams with a losing record. The last time these two teams played, the game was not as close as the final score would indicate. The Titans led by nine at halftime, and he lead grew to 15 midway throw the second half. After failing to beat the Titans in their final home game, I don't like the Matadors chances here in a neutral site game. Take CSF. GL, Jesse Schule
03-09-17	California v. Utah -140		78-75	Loss	-140	7 h 49 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. California comes limping into their second game of the PAC12 Tournament off an unimpressive win over bottom feeder Oregon State. The Bears beat the Beavers by a score of 67-62. They shot below 40 percent from the field in the victory, after failing to score 50 points in back to back blowout losses to Colorado and Utah. They will play the Utes for the second time in seven days, and I think they'll be hard pressed to hang with a Utah team that has won three straight. The Utes have averaged 80 points on 55.2 percent shooting in two neutral site games this season, and that's almost 18 points more than the Bears have averaged in their four neutral site games. California is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
03-09-17	Davidson -4 v. La Salle	Top	82-73	Win	100	13 h 28 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats come into this A-10 Tournament matchup versus La Salle as winners of three of their last six. Two of those three losses came on the road, and all three of those games were against teams ranked near the top in the A-10 standings. The Explorers have lost five of their last seven overall, and their wins during that span came against bottom feeders Fordham and St. Joe's. All five of those losses came by a double digit margin, and La Salle has failed to cover in four straight as an underdog. Davidson has improved since losing at La Salle in January, while the Explorers have really dropped off after a solid start to the season. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and I'll take Davidson as the small favorite. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule
03-08-17	Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 211.5	Top	91-107	Win	100	15 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on LAC@MIN to go UNDER the total. The Clippers are in Minnesota tonight, and this is a big game for two teams that are trying to improve their playoff position. The Wolves are trying to catch Denver, sitting three and a half games back of the eighth place Nuggets. The Clippers are a game and a half back of the Jazz for fourth place in the West. This is the time of year when we see an increased emphasis on defense, and teams still in the hunt should be battling hard for ever single possession all night. That's resulted in a trend of low scoring games for Minnesota, who have gone under in five of their last six overall. During that span they allowed 100 points only once, in a 142-130 loss at Houston. Previous meetings in this series have trended over, but tonight's total is higher than it was in seven of the last eight. The Clippers lost at home to Minnesota by a score of 104-101 in the last meeting. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-08-17	Oklahoma v. TCU UNDER 141.5	Top	63-82	Loss	-110	16 h 14 m	Show
This is a 10* play on OKLA@TCU to go UNDER the total. The Sooners defeated TCU in their final home game by a score of 73-68 on Saturday. The two teams will meet for the third time this season in the BIG12 Tournament on Wednesday. Both previous meetings went under the total, and I expect another defensive battle here in Kansas tonight. The Sooners have made adjustments since losing their leading scorer Jordan Woodard to a season ending injury in early February. In the six games he missed, Oklahoma covered the spread in all of those games. They failed to reach the total in five of the six games, and the under is 5-1 in their last six versus TCU. The Horned Frogs come in as losers of seven straight, and they've failed to cover in seven of their last eight. TCU has averaged just 68.2 points per game on 45 percent shooting over it's last five, and it's going to be tough to create offense against an Oklahoma team that has held opponents to 69.6 points on 41.1 percent shooting over it's last five games. The under is 20-8 in OKLA last 28 neutral site games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-08-17	Clemson v. Duke UNDER 147.5	Top	72-79	Loss	-110	5 h 8 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CLEM@DUKE to go UNDER the total. Clemson will play Duke in the second round of the ACC Tournament this afternoon, and these two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Duke beat the Tigers at home by a score of 64-62 earlier this season, and seven of the last 10 meetings have failed to reach the total. Of the three games that went over, none of those games more than 145 combined points. Clemson played at the Barclay Center yesterday, beating NC State 75-61. Neither team shot the ball particularly well, and of the six ACC teams that played at the Barclay Center yesterday, five of those teams shot below 43 percent. Duke has gone under in five of it's last six games at a neutral site, while Clemson have failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-07-17	St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga		56-74	Loss	-110	11 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Gonzaga has won both regular season meetings versus the Gaels, but since then it's been St. Mary's that's been playing better basketball. The Gaels mopped the floor with BYU last night (81-50). This comes just over a week after the Cougars upset the Bulldogs on their home court. Gonzaga struggled to put away Santa Clara last night, but ended up pulling away late to win by nine (77-68). The Bulldogs have now allowed 60 points or more in seven of their last eight games, while the Gaels have held the opposition under 60 in six straight. While Gonzaga won and covered in both previous meetings, the Bulldogs are asked to cover an even greater number here at this neutral site. The Gaels have better numbers in neutral site games, averaging 73.9 points on 54.9 percent shooting. St. Mary's has been hot from beyond the arc, hitting 47.4 percent from three-point ranger over the last five games. I'll take the points in this marquee matchup. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule
03-05-17	Celtics -6 v. Suns	Top	106-109	Loss	-110	11 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. The Phoenix Suns have won back to back games, and that has them climbing in the standings. They are no longer the worst team in the Western Conference, but all that means is that the Lakers are getting the better position in the upcoming draft. Of course nobody will admit to tanking games, but let's just say that motivation is dubious at the moment for the league's bottom feeders. The Celtics on the other hand are coming off back to back wins over Cleveland and the Lakers, and they are just 2.5 games out of first place in the East. Isaiah Thomas scored 31 points on 10-of-20 shooting in the win over the Cavs, and he might have a little added motivation facing his former team. He should put up big numbers against this Suns defense, Phoenix ranks 29th in the league allowing over 112 points per game. I think this looks like a let down spot for the rebuilding Suns who have failed to cover in five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
03-05-17	Penn State v. Iowa -5.5	Top	79-90	Win	100	15 h 57 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa is coming off a huge upset win at Wisconsin, and some might say that sets them up for a let down here at home versus Penn State. I expect the Hawkeyes to bring it here in their final home game though, sending off their seniors with a blowout win. The Nittany Lions have lost four straight, and their last two road games were both double digit losses. They've lost three of their last four games at Iowa, and the average margin of victory in those games was far greater than 10 points. The Hawkeyes beat PSU at home last year by a score of 73-49. Iowa averages 85.9 points per game on 47 percent shooting at home, and the Hawkeyes are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. The Nittany Lions are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Iowa. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule
03-04-17	San Diego State v. New Mexico	Top	59-64	Win	100	20 h 14 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos. It's Senior's Night for New Mexico, and one senior in particular could have a major impact on this game. Forward Tim Williams hasn't played since the end of January, but he's expected to start in the Lobos final home game. Williams is the team's leading rebounder, and he led them in scoring prior to his injury. In his absence Elijah Brown has stepped up, and the junior guard has totaled 47 points in his last two home games. The Lobos host rivals San Diego State, and the Aztecs have really dropped off this year. They are just 3-8 on he road, and two of those wins came against bottom feeders UNLV and Utah State. They are coming off a 51-38 win over Air Force in their final home game, bu they were brutal offensively in that win. They shot just 28.8 percent from the field, and went 4-for-27 from three-point range. The Aztecs have averaged just 60.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting over their last five games. San Diego State has only covered the spread twice in 11 road games this season. The Lobos won 68-62 at San Diego State earlier this year, and they dominated the boards in that game, out-rebounding SDSU 38-27. Take UNM. GL, Jesse Schule
03-04-17	Stanford v. Utah -8.5		59-67	Loss	-105	16 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. The Utes crushed Cal by a score of 74-44 at home on Thursday, and they wrap up the regular season with a home game against Stanford. Here is what I said prior to Thursday's game: "Utah will wrap up the season with a pair of home games, and they'll need to win both of them to have any shot of playing in the post-season. They lost to Cal at Berkley by just two points earlier this year, and I like their chances of avenging that loss at home tonight. Utah is 12-3 at home, and those three losses were all versus ranked teams. They lost to Oregon, UCLA and Butler all in close games. The losses to the Bruins and Ducks came by a combined seven points. Utah scores an average of 81.9 points per game on 51.6 percent shooting at home, and it will be tough for Cal to match that." Stanford is coming off a 91-72 loss at Colorado on Thursday, and they've lost five straight road games. I expect another blowout in Salt Lake City. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
03-04-17	TCU v. Oklahoma -150	Top	68-73	Win	100	7 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Oklahoma. It's been a difficult season for the Sooners, and they sit tied with Texas at the bottom of the BIG12 standings. They come into their final home game against TCU playing their best basketball of the season though, and I expect them to end the season on a high note on Senior's Night. Oklahoma's leading scorer Jordan Woodard battled injury all year, but since they shut him down they've been a better team. The Sooners have covered the spread in all five games since, and their last home game was an impressive 81-51 win over Kansas State. TCU has lost seven of 10 road games, and the Frogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They only average 67.8 points per game on the road, and they might struggle to reach that number against a strong Sooners defense. The Sooners jumped all over BIG12 champs Kansas in their last game, leading by double digits halfway through the second half. They should have their way with a mediocre TCU team today. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
03-04-17	California v. Colorado -145		46-54	Win	100	7 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. Cal is coming off an ugly 74-34 loss at Utah on Thursday, and they play their final regular season game on the road at Colorado. The Buffaloes are coming off a 91-72 home win over Stanford, and they've won five of their last six home games. They score an average of 78.2 points per game on 46.3 percent shooting at home, while Cal averages just 64.2 points on 41.2 percent shooting on the road. The Bears have lost three straight on the road, and they've only won three road games all year. The Buffaloes are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. They are also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 versus Cal. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule
03-04-17	St. Joe's v. Duquesne -150		63-60	Loss	-150	7 h 33 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Dukes are tied with St. Joe's for last place in the Atlantic-10 Conference, and they've lost four of their last five games. They have been pretty competitive during that span though, losing their last two games by a combined four points. They will play their final home game tonight against a St. Joe's team that has lost nine straight. The Hawks were throttled by a score of 68-49 in their final home game against Rhode Island. One of the more disturbing stats from that game was that they shot just 9-of-20 (45 percent) from the free throw line. Missing their leading scorer Shavar Newkirk and second leading scorer and starting PG Lamarr Kimble has taken it's toll on the Hawks. Without their two most talented players, they've been getting killed on the boards, and haven't shot the ball well at all. This looks like a tough spot with not much motivation here on the road at the end of the season. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule
03-04-17	Indiana v. Ohio State -145		96-92	Loss	-145	5 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. The Hoosiers are coming off an 86-75 loss at Purdue, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game." The Buckeyes have won back to back games in impressive fashion. They won at home by double digits versus Wisconsin, before winning their last game on the road at Penn State. They play strong defense at home, holding opponents to 64.7 points per game on 39.3 percent shooting. Indiana is just 2-5-2 ATS in it's last nine road games, and has failed to cover in five of it's last six at Ohio State. I like the Buckeyes to win big on Senior's Night. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule
03-03-17	Clippers -3.5 v. Bucks	Top	101-112	Loss	-110	30 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. The Clippers have lost three of four since the All Star break, but those losses came against three of the league's best teams (Warriors, Rockets and Spurs). The head out East to play their next two games on the road, and they really need to pick up some points. LA is in a dogfight for the fourth spot in the Western Conference. Only two points separate the 4th and 7th spot (Utah, OKC, The Clippers and Memphis). They will be in Milwaukee tonight, and the Bucks are a team with a promising future. They are not ready to compete right now though, as evidenced by the fact that they have lost two of three home games coming out of the All Star break. The Clippers have won eight of the last nine meetings in this series, and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. They are also 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight following a double digit home loss. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule
03-03-17	Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 214	Top	135-130	Loss	-110	29 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total. It's that time of year again... the stretch run in the NBA regular season. Teams are jockeying for playoff position, and preparing for the post-season. That means more attention to detail, and a lot more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Historically we know that playoff basketball tends to be significantly lower scoring than the regular season, but I believe that trend starts right now. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six straight, and eight of their last 10. They host the Cavs, who have gone under in four of their last five. These two teams have trended over in recent meetings (7 of the last 10), but tonight's total is far higher than it was in an of those previous games. In fact, the listed total was under 200 in six of those games, and never higher than 208. The Hawks have more to play for, at home and sitting just 2.5 games out of first in their division. Atlanta ranks in the Top 10 in the league in points allowed, and the bottom 10 in points scored. They've gone under in four of their last five home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-03-17	Toledo v. Eastern Michigan -4		60-56	Loss	-105	13 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Eastern Michigan. It's the Eagles final home game, and senior guard Ray Lee comes into Senior's Night off a 50 point game in a 109-81 win over Central Michigan. He's averaged 30 points per game in his last four, and I expect him to play a huge role in tonight's game. The Eagles host Toledo, and the home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. The one exception was a 79-75 Eagles win over the Rockets at Toledo. The Rockets are brutal on the road, only winning three of 12 games this season. There isn't a lot for Toledo to get excited about here in their final game of the season on the road. I expect a big win for the home team on Senior's night. Take EMU. GL, Jesse Schule
03-02-17	California v. Utah -130		44-74	Win	100	14 h 23 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. Utah will wrap up the season with a pair of home games, and they'll need to win both of them to have any shot of playing in the post-season. They lost to Cal at Berkley by just two points earlier this year, and I like their chances of avenging that loss at home tonight. Utah is 12-3 at home, and those three losses were all versus ranked teams. They lost to Oregon, UCLA and Butler all in close games. The losses to the Bruins and Ducks came by a combined seven points. Utah scores an average of 81.9 points per game on 51.6 percent shooting at home, and it will be tough for Cal to match that. The Bears haven't scored 80 points in any of their games versus PAC12 teams this year. The Utes have won three straight home meetings in this series, and five of the last seven overall. The Bears come in as losers of three of their last four, with the one win against last place Oregon State. The Bears last road game was a loss at Stanford (73-68). Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
03-02-17	UC-Santa Barbara v. CS-Fullerton -10		54-65	Win	100	13 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Cal State Fullerton. The UCSB Gauchos are 0-11 on the road this season, and they've lost their last two road games by a combined 39 points. They lost at home to the Titans by a whopping 26 points earlier this season, so it would come as no surprise if they got their butts served to them here at Fullerton on CSF's Senior's Night. Gabe Vincent leads the Gauchos in scoring, and he hasn't played due to a knee injury suffered the last time these two teams met. Fullerton's last two home games were wins over the top two teams in the conference (UCD and UCI). They average 14 points more at home than the Gauchos do on the road, and they give up a couple points less. The Gauchos are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games, and the home team is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings between these teams. Take CSF. GL, Jesse Schule
03-02-17	Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 143.5	Top	59-57	Win	100	22 h 58 m	Show
This is a 10* play on IOWA@WISC to go UNDER the total. The Badgers have suffered a late season collapse, losing four of their last five games. Three of those four losses came on the road though, and their last home game was a 71-60 win over Maryland. That game landed right on the total of 131, and they've gone under the total at a rate of 12-4-2 in their last 18 home games. Despite their struggles, the bookmakers have Wisconsin listed as a double digit favorite here at home versus Iowa. I think the only way they can win this game in a blowout is to get back to playing their game, which is slow and ultra defensive. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series, and significantly higher than in any of the Badgers last 10 games. Scoring has been an issue for Wisconsin, averaging just 67 points per game on 41 percent shooting over their last five. This is all the more reason why they need to go all out defensively, as they can't rely on out-scoring opponents. The under is 11-4 in Hawkeyes last 15 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
03-01-17	Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 222	Top	99-103	Win	100	16 h 25 m	Show
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics host the Cavs Wednesday, and both teams are gearing up for a playoff run. This time of year we see teams step up the intensity on defense, especially in games like this. Boston has lost two of three games since the break, and the Celtics scored an average of less than 100 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially at The Garden where they've failed to reach the total in the last four meetings. Cleveland won nine of 11 games in February, and they've gone over in five straight road games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all five of those games though, and it's far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Boston's leading scorer Isaiah Thomas is ice cold since the All Star break, shooting just 31.4 percent from the field in three games. He's not the only one struggling, Al Horford has totaled 10 points on 5-of-20 shooting the last two games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-28-17	Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -135	Top	52-61	Win	100	14 h 55 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech is coming off back to back losses, but those games were decided by a total of just six points. They are still one of the best home teams in the ACC, with a record of 10-4, and marquee wins over Syracuse, FSU, Notre Dame and North Carolina. They play their final home game against the Pitt Panthers, who are coming off a blowout loss at home in their final home game of the season. Pittsburgh is just 2-6 on the road, and one of those wins was out of conference. The other was an 83-72 win at Boston College, the last place team in the ACC. Georgia Tech is dominant defensively at home, holding opponents to just 62.1 points per game on 36.4 percent shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in five of their last six home games, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
02-28-17	Indiana v. Purdue UNDER 152	Top	75-86	Loss	-115	17 h 56 m	Show
This is a 10* play on IND/PUR to go UNDER the total. // */to go UNDER the total. // ]]> The Boilermakers are hosting BIG10 rivals Indiana Tuesday, with a chance to clinch first place in the conference. The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. One of those losses was a 69-64 home loss to Purdue. The Boilermakers have a history for punishing Indiana at home, winning by double digits in 2015 and 2014. Purdue has been beating up on the opposition at home this season, with a 14-2 home record. They have held visiting teams to an average of just 61.4 points on 37.7 percent shooting in those games. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game. They ended up winning by one-point with a free throw in the final seconds, and I think that sets them up for a let down here against the mighty Purdue Boilermakers. The under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last six games as a favorite, and Indiana has gone under in five of their last six versus ranked teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-28-17	Indiana v. Purdue -10.5	Top	75-86	Win	100	15 h 22 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers. The Boilermakers are hosting BIG10 rivals Indiana Tuesday, with a chance to clinch first place in the conference. The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. One of those losses was a 69-64 home loss to Purdue. The Boilermakers have a history for punishing Indiana at home, winning by double digits in 2015 and 2014. Purdue has been beating up on the opposition at home this season, with a 14-2 home record. They have held visiting teams to an average of just 61.4 points on 37.7 percent shooting in those games. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game. They ended up winning by one-point with a free throw in the final seconds, and I think that sets them up for a let down here against the mighty Purdue Boilermakers. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule
02-28-17	St Bonaventure v. Davidson -155	Top	63-68	Win	100	11 h 36 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats are coming off a particularly disturbing loss. They led by 11 with five minutes to play in the second half on Friday versus Dayton. The Flyers battled back to force overtime, and Davidson went on to lose by a score of 89-82. Normally I don't like to bet on teams coming off these type of games, but I'll make an exception here. It's the Wildcats final home game, and they host St. Bonaventure, and I think the Bonnies might be looking ahead to their own final home game against Massachusetts this weekend. At first glance, it looks like the Bonnies aren't bad on the road, with a winning record of 5-4. A closer look reveals that those wins came against Saint Louis, St. Joes, Duquense, UMASS and an out of conference win versus Hofstra. Beating the bottom four teams in the conference doesn't offer any evidence that the Bonnies can upset the Wildcats on Senior's Night. If Davidson plays the way it did against Dayton, this game won't be close. The Wildcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule
02-27-17	Heat v. Mavs UNDER 200	Top	89-96	Win	100	25 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on MIA@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Heat have won 16 of their last 18 overall, but they face a tough test on the road in Dallas tonight. Both these teams are battling for a playoff spot, and Dallas has won three of their last four home games. The Mavs rank 4th overall in the NBA allowing just 100 points per game, and they rank 30th in scoring, averaging just 97.8 points per game. Dallas is coming off a 96-83 home win over New Orleans, and they held DeMarcus Cousins to just 12 points in that game. History favors the Heat, who have won four of the last five in this series. All five of those games saw fewer than 200 points scored, and I expect another defensive battle tonight. The under is 7-1-1 in the Mavs last nine games against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has gone under in five of it's last seven against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-27-17	Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 213	Top	114-98	Win	100	20 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks have come out of the All Star break in a slump. They lost their last game 108-86 at Orlando, and they've scored an average of 86.6 points per game while losing three straight. It won't get any easier tonight, playing on the road at Boston. The Celtics are 20-8 at home, and the have covered the spread in three straight home meetings with Atlanta. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in four straight meetings. The Celtics have gone under in nine of their last 10 home games when returning from a road trip. The total for tonight's game is higher that it was in each of the last 10 meetings. This time of year, when you have two teams jockeying for playoff position, you expect more emphasis on defense. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and I expect another low scoring game here at the Garden. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-27-17	West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 139	Top	62-71	Win	100	10 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on WVU@BAY to go UNDER the total. The Mountaineers will visit Baylor on Monday, and these two teams rank among the nation's best on defense. West Virginia allowed just 60 points in a road win at TCU in it's last game, while the Bears held Oklahoma to just 54 points while winning their last home game. Baylor is holding the opposition to an average of just 58.9 points on 38 percent shooting this season, and that's a big reason why they've failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. This is the time of year when every basket counts, and teams crank it up on defense. The Mountaineers won their last game at Baylor by a score of 69-58 last March, but I expect a better effort from the home team this time around. The under is 5-0 in Baylor's last five home games, and West Virginia has gone under in two of it's last three road games. The exception being an overtime loss at Kansas. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-27-17	North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 132	Top	43-53	Win	100	7 h 11 m	Show
This is a 10* play on UNC@UVA to go UNDER the total. The Virginia Cavs had lost four straight before busting loose and scoring 70 points in a win at North Carolina State Saturday. They return home to host the red hot UNC Tar Heels, in this season's second meeting between the two teams. North Carolina won at home in the previous meeting, despite scoring a season low 65 points. The Tar Heels might be hard pressed to score that many here in the rematch, as the Cavs have held opponents to just 51.1 points on 36.7 percent shooting at home. The Cavs lost 54-48 in overtime at home to Miami, and lost 65-55 to Duke. They crushed Louisville by a score of 71-55, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Tar Heels have already clinched at least a share of the ACC Title, and even if they lose tonight's game, they can clinch with a win at home versus Duke on Saturday. This looks like a bit of a let down spot for the Tar Heels, and they could also get caught looking ahead to that game against Duke.The under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 games as a home underdog, and 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 games as a favorite. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-26-17	Suns v. Bucks -6.5	Top	96-100	Loss	-110	9 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Phoenix Suns are sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference Standings, with nothing left to play for. The Bucks are just two games out of a playoff spot in the East, and they went into the All Star break as winners of three straight. Both teams lost their first game following the break, but the Suns lost in particularly disturbing fashion. They blew a double digit fourth quarter lead, and Devin Booker missed a potential game winning free throw in the final second of regulation, before losing 128-121 at Chicago. The Bucks have won four of the last five meetings between the two teams, covering the spread in all four of those games. The Greek Freak has score 30 or more in three straight games, and he should have another monster game against a Suns team that allows 112.7 points per game (29th in the NBA). The Bucks last home game was a 137-101 win over the Lakers, and a similar result is expected today. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
02-25-17	San Diego State v. Colorado State	Top	55-56	Win	100	12 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Colorado State. "Colorado State comes in tied for first place in the conference (with Nevada and BSU), and the Rams are one of the hottest teams in the country right now. They've won seven of their last eight, with four of those wins coming on the road (at SDSU, at USU, at UNLV and at WYO). Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo has really elevated his game, averaging 16.8 points and 11.4 rebounds per game in his last five. He scored 19 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in a win at Wyoming last Tuesday." That's what I said about the Rams before they beat the Lobos by double digits at New Mexico Tuesday. They return home tonight to host San Diego State, a team that has struggled on the road. The Aztecs have lost seven of 10 road games, scoring an average of just 64.2 points on 38.8 percent shooting in those games. San Diego State is 2-7-1 ATS in it's last 10 road games. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-25-17	76ers +5 v. Knicks	Top	109-110	Win	100	18 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers have now won four of their last five overall, and they have covered the spread in six straight. They will play on the road in New York tonight, and the Knicks have lost six of their last seven, and have only covered the spread in three of their last 10 overall. The news gets bad to worse for the Knicks, as Kristaps Porzingis is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. Carmelo Anthony isn't pleased that he's still in New York after the deadline, and he is coming off an uninspiring performance against the Cavs. He scored 20 points on 9-of-25 shooting in a 119-104 loss. Playing on back to back night's is usually considered to be a disadvantage, but a young team like the Sixers coming off a long layoff, and then upsetting the hottest team in the NBA (Washington), should be up for this game. They've covered the spread in five straight when coming off a victory. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule
02-25-17	Hawks -140 v. Magic	Top	86-105	Loss	-140	18 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are in position to battle for one of the top four spots in the Eastern Conference standings, but they dropped their first game back from the All Star break at home to Miami last night. It's understandable that they came out flat after a week long layoff, and it made matters worse that starting PG Dennis Schroeder was suspended for returning late from Germany and missing practice. They will play their second game in as many nights on the road at Orlando tonight, but I don't expect fatigue to be a factor. The Magic have lost five of their last six overall, and four of their last five at home. Serge Ibaka was second on the team in scoring, and their second best rebounder, but he's moved on to Toronto. The Magic got Terrence Ross in return, and he failed to impress in his debut. Ross scored 13 points on 4-of-17 shooting in a 112-103 loss to Portland on Thursday. The Hawks are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Orlando. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
02-25-17	Florida v. Kentucky UNDER 156.5	Top	66-76	Win	100	10 h 50 m	Show
This is a 10* play on FLA@UK to go UNDER the total. The Florida Gators have won nine in a row, and they are tied at the top of the SEC standings with Kentucky. They beat the Wildcats 88-66 at home earlier this month, and I expect a competitive game here in the rematch in Kentucky this afternoon. Both these team are capable of playing shut down defense, and both teams have held the opposition to an average of less than 70 points over their last five games. There two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and five straight at Kentucky. In a game of this magnitude, I expect to see hard fought battles for every possession. There won't be many easy buckets to be had here, and I expect to see another relatively low scoring battle. The under is 20-7 in Kentucky's last 27 home games versus ranked teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-24-17	Dayton -130 v. Davidson	Top	89-82	Win	100	10 h 17 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Dayton Flyers. The Davidson Wildcats aren't as competitive this season as they have been in years past. They come into tonight's home game with a losing record in conference play, and they lost their last game by a score of 84-76 at Richmond. They have seven wins versus A-10 teams, and all but one of those came against teams that are below them in the standings. They did beat VCU at home back in January, but the Rams simply couldn't make a shot to save their lives in that game. Dayton comes to town as winners of seven straight, and 10 of their last 11. The Flyers have scored an average of 79.2 points on 45.7 percent shooting over their last five games. Davidson has twice as many losses at home as the Flyers do on the road this season, and the Flyers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. Take DAY. GL, Jesse Schule
02-24-17	Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 215.5		97-107	Win	100	12 h 14 m	Show
This is an 8* play on BOS@TOR to go UNDER the total. The Raptors host the Celtics in their first game back after the All Star break, and this is a huge game for both teams. Boston sits four games clear of Toronto in second place in the Eastern Conference, and the Raptors are just half a game up on 5th placed Atlanta. Toronto limped into the break as losers of 11 of their last 15. During that span they failed to score 100 points six times. I would expect both teams to be a little rusty following a week off, and I don't think either team will be giving up any easy buckets. Toronto ranks in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring averaging, allowing just 104.3 points per game. The addition of big man Serge Ibaka at the trade deadline certainly isn't going to hurt. Tonight's total is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series, and four of the last five have gone under. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last eight overall, with the two exceptions coming in games against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-24-17	Heat v. Hawks -3.5		108-90	Loss	-107	12 h 52 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. The Miami Heat were one of the league's worst teams during the first two months of the season, but an improbable 13 game winning streak has them back in the hunt for the playoffs. The Heat appeared to cool off right before the break though, losing to the Sixers and the Magic before beating the Rockets in Houston. They currently sit 2.5 games back of eighth place Detroit, and I think we could see the Heat struggle down the stretch. The Hawks on the other hand are just a half game back of the Raptors who are in 4th place in the East, and 2.5 games back of first place Washington in the Southeast Division. Atlanta has won five of it's last seven home games, and losses during that span came against Utah and Washington, two teams that are ahead of them in the standings. They've covered the spread in five of their last six home games against teams with a losing record. Atlanta has won two of three in the seasons series, and won by a score of 103-95 at home in December. I expect a similar result here in the final meeting between the two teams. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
02-23-17	Weber State v. Eastern Washington -155		72-82	Win	100	13 h 52 m	Show
8*
02-23-17	Hornets v. Pistons -4.5		108-114	Win	100	20 h 57 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons won six of nine games heading into the All Star break, putting them in the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They've won five of their last six home games, with the only home loss during that span coming to San Antonio. The Pistons host Charlotte in their first game back, and the Hornets have won just once in their last 12 games. That one win came at home against the cellar dwelling Brooklyn Nets. It's no coincidence that center Cody Zeller has missed all but one game during that losing streak, and he's not expected to be ready to return tonight. Backup center Miles Plumlee is also out with a calf injury. With injury concerns, and a road record of 8-19, I would have expected the Hornets to be a bigger underdog in this game. They've only covered the spread twice in their last 13 games overall. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
02-23-17	Georgia v. Alabama -4.5		60-55	Loss	-105	10 h 17 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Alabama. The Georgia Bulldogs have lost four of their last six, and both wins during that span came after trailing at the half. Junior forward Yante Maten leads Georgia in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game. He played just two minutes against Kentucky on Saturday, before suffering a season ending knee injury. Alabama has won three of it's last four, and the Crimson Tide can move into a three way tie for third place in the SEC with a win tonight. Bama scored 51 points in the first half at home versus LSU in their last game, and they scored a season high 90 points in that contest. Georgia has been good on the road, and the Bulldogs have had success in previous trips to Tuscaloosa. It's going to be tough for the visitors this time around though, playing their first game without their top scorer. Alabama led 41-27 at the half the last time these two teams met, and they owned the boards, out-rebounding Georgia 40-27. Take BAMA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-23-17	Hofstra v. William & Mary -7	Top	96-82	Loss	-110	19 h 13 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe. The Tribe are coming off a rare road win at Deleware, and they return home to face Hofstra. William and Mary might be the nation's best bet at home, with a perfect 12-0 record this season. They don't just win their home games, for the most part, they blow out their opponents. Their last five home wins have all come by a double digit margin, even against some of the top teams in the CAA. They beat the first place Seahawks by a whopping 18 points at home last month. William and Mary are averaging 91 points on an unbelievable 55.1 percent shooting at home. Hofstra comes in struggling, failing to cover in eight of their last 10 overall, and they are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings at William & Mary. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule
02-22-17	Utah State v. San Jose State	Top	81-75	Loss	-110	18 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans. The Spartans have had a stranglehold on last place in the Mountain West for most of the last decade. That is not the case this seasons. San Jose State comes into tonight's home game as winners of five of their last six overall. They are a solid 9-5 overall at home, and they host a struggling Utah State Aggies team. The Aggies are just 2-7 on the road, and they come in as losers of five straight road games. The Spartans have been rather efficient offensively, scoring 74.4 points on 48.7 percent shooting over their last five games. Utah State has scored just 66.2 points on 35.6 percent shooting during that same span. The Spartans have covered in five of their last six, while Utah State is just 1-7 ATS in it's last eight road games. Take SJSU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-22-17	UNLV v. Air Force -150		58-81	Win	100	12 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Air Force Falcons 1st Half. Both the UNLV Rebels and the Air Force Falcons are bottom feeders of the Mountain West Conference. They will meet tonight at Colorado Springs, and I like Air Force to pick up another home win here. The Falcons have a solid 10-6 home record, and the home team has won six straight meetings between these two teams. The Rebels last two home wins over Air Force have come in close games decided in overtime. The Falcons lost their last game in overtime at San Jose State, but they led that game by a score of 41-28 at halftime. The Rebels are 3-16-2 ATS in their last 21 road games, and they have lost seven straight overall. They've been brutal defensively, allowing opponents to average 81.2 points per game on 50.2 percent shooting over their last five. They trailed by double digits at the half in their lst game, and I expect them to be trailing after 20 minutes here in Colorado Springs. Take AFA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-22-17	Texas A&M v. Arkansas -4.5		77-86	Win	100	13 h 0 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks 1st Half. The Razorbacks are surging, coming into tonight's home game against Texas A&M as winners of three straight. They've been scoring at will, averaging over 86 points per game during that span. They already beat the Aggies at College Station earlier this year, and Texas A&M comes in as losers of three of it's last four road games. The lone away win during that span came against bottom feeders LSU. The Aggies will not have starting forward D.J. Hogg, who is out for the remainder of the season with a foot injury. Hogg is a major contributor, averaging 12 points and 5.1 rebounds per game. Prior to the Razorbacks win at Texas A&M this season, the home team had won seven straight in this series. Arkansas is 13-3 at home this year, and the Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Take ARK. GL, Jesse Schule
02-22-17	St Bonaventure -4.5 v. St. Joe's		83-77	Win	100	15 h 22 m	Show
This is an 8* play on St. Bonaventure. St. Joes is just 3-11 in conference play, and the Red Hawks have lost six straight. Their last home game was a double digit loss to bottom feeders UMASS. Their leading scorer and top playmaker Lamarr Kimble is out for the season with a foot injury. He led the team with 15.5 points and 4.5 assists per game. He's missed the last two games, both double digit losses on the road. The Bonnies have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games, since beating St. Joe's at home by a score of 67-63. The Bonnies rallied to out-score the Red Hawks 40-21 in the second half of that game. St. Bonaventure has won six straight in this series, with a pair of wins at St. Joes during that span. With a depleted lineup, I can't see the Red Hawks ending that trend here tonight. Takek SBON. GL, Jesse Schule
02-22-17	Manhattan v. Rider -6		82-93	Win	100	12 h 25 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Rider Broncs. Rider is coming off it's most impressive result of the season, scoring a whopping 103 points in an upset win at Iona. They play their final home game tonight against bottom feeders Manhattan, and I think this looks like a mismatch. The Jaspers are just 3-11 on the road, and their last two road games were both losses by more than 20 points. They shot just 25 percent from the field in a 78-49 loss at Fairfield on February 1st. Manhattan has scored fewer than 70 points per game on just 40 percent shooting on the road, while the Broncs are averaging over 80 points per game at home. Rider has scored more than 85 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting in it's last five games. The home team should win this one in a route. Take RIDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-22-17	Xavier v. Seton Hall -165		64-71	Win	100	10 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Seton Hall 1st Half. The Xavier Musketeers have lost three straight, and none of those games were close. In fact, losses to Marquette and Villanova each were decided my more than 20 points. They've been without their starting PG Edmond Sumner since January, and leading scorer Trevon Bluiett has missed the last two games with an ankle injury. Bluiett scored 24 points in a 74-72 home win over Seton Hall earlier this season, but Hall led that game at halftime by a score of 32-28. With Xavier reeling, this looks like an excellent opportunity for the Pirates to exact revenge in their home building. Seton Hall is 10-2 at home, and has won three straight home games against Xavier dating back to 2014. The Musketeers have lost seven of 10 road games this season, and they are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in this series. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule
02-21-17	Colorado State +3 v. New Mexico		68-56	Win	100	22 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. The New Mexico Lobos are just 1.5 games out of first place in the Mountain West, but they haven't played particularly well lately. They are 3-3 in their last six games, and one of those losses came at home to San Jose State. The Lobos leading scorer Tim Williams suffered an injury against Nevada at the end of January, and it's no coincidence that they've struggled since. Colorado State comes in tied for first place in the conference (with Nevada and BSU), and the Rams are one of the hottest teams in the country right now. They've won seven of their last eight, with four of those wins coming on the road (at SDSU, at USU, at UNLV and at WYO). Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo has really elevated his game, averaging 16.8 points and 11.4 rebounds per game in his last five. He scored 19 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in a win at Wyoming last Tuesday. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-21-17	Indiana v. Iowa -130		90-96	Win	100	12 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes 1st Half. The Indiana Hoosiers come into Iowa as losers of four straight, and six of their last seven. They have lost six of seven road games this season, and have scored an average of just 66.7 points in those games. The Hawkeyes on the other hand are averaging over 85 points per game at home, and they boast a solid home record of 12-4. After beating Ohio State and Nebraska by double digits in it's previous two home games, Iowa was upset by Illinois at home on Saturday. They did take a 29-25 lead to the locker room at halftime in that game. The Hoosiers trailed Minnesota 33-29 at the half in their last game, coming up just short with a rally in the second half. The Hawkeyes are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games, and they've covered the spread in eight of their last 10 home meetings with Indiana. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-21-17	NC State v. Georgia Tech -4.5	Top	71-69	Loss	-115	32 h 46 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack have lost seven of eight on the road, and their last two road games were losses by 20+ points. With nothing left to play for, they aren't likely to pose a threat to a Georgia Tech team that is very strong at home. The Yellow Jackets play a strong defense on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 61.3 points per game on 36 percent shooting. That's even more impressive when you consider that they've played teams like Louisville and North Carolina. Georgia Tech beat Syracuse on Sunday, and I like them here on Tuesday night against a much weaker opponent. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
02-21-17	Clemson v. Virginia Tech -140	Top	70-71	Win	100	10 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies 1st Half. The Hokies have been playing as well as anybody in the ACC recently. They have been very strong at home, boasting a 13-1 record. Those wins include upsets over Duke and Virginia. The Hokies already beat Clemson on their home floor earlier in the season, and they've won four of their last five home meetings with Clemson. Virginia Tech has scored over 84 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting at home, while the Tigers have averaged just 64.8 points per game on the road. This is the final road game for Clemson, before finishing the season with three straight home games. At this point it's easy to imagine the Tigers getting caught looking ahead to their upcoming home stand. The Hokies led at halftime the last time these two teams played (at Clemson), and they should get off to a good start here at home. Take VT. GL, Jesse Schule
02-19-17	Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +2.5	Top	65-71	Win	100	9 h 27 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Syracuse is coming off back to back losses, but the Orange will come into Georgia Tech as the favorite. It seems strange that the bookmakers are asking bettors to lay points with a Syracuse team that has only won two road games all year. They beat Clemson by just one point, and needed overtime in their win at N.C. State. The Yellow Jackets are a stronger home team than the Tigers or the Wolfpack. They are 13-3 at home this year, with wins over North Carolina, Florida State and Notre Dame. The Orange have failed to cover the spread in each of the last four meetings in this series, and their last win at Georgia Tech came by a score of 46-45. The Yellow Jackets play a strong defense on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 61.3 points per game on 36 percent shooting. That's even more impressive when you consider that they've played teams like Louisville and North Carolina. The Orange are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games, while the Yellow Jackets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
02-19-17	Maryland +7 v. Wisconsin	Top	60-71	Loss	-110	6 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Maryland Terrapins. The Badgers host Maryland Sunday, and the winner of this game will move into a first place tie with Purdue at the top of the BIG10. Wisconsin has only lost one game at home this season, while the Terps have only lost once on the road. The Badgers are coming off back to back losses, and they've failed to cover in four straight. They've been brutal offensively, averaging just 61.8 points on 38.6 percent shooting over their last five games. One reason for their struggles has been an injury to senior guard Bronson Koenig, who didn't play in a 64-58 loss at Michigan Thursday. He was just 1-of-8 from the field, scoring two points in 30 minutes in last Sunday's home loss to Northwestern. Koenig is officially listed as day to day, and might be able to play today. Maryland has won 10 of 13 games in conference play, and their three losses came by an average margin of just three points. They beat the Badgers at Madison last season by a score of 63-60, and they are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Melo Trimble comes in feeling the hot hand, he scored 32 points on 12-of-17 shooting in a 74-64 win at Northwestern on Wednesday. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule
02-18-17	Oklahoma +12 v. Oklahoma State	Top	92-96	Win	100	22 h 32 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. Oklahoma finally snapped it's seven game losing streak with a win over Texas at home on Tuesday. It was the Sooners first game since they announced that leading scorer Jordan Woodard would miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. Woodard wasn't playing well, failing to score in double figures in three of his last four games. One of those games was a 68-66 home loss to the Cowboys, and Woodard scored just seven points on 3-of-11 shooting. Oklahoma State won that game with a buzzer beater, and here we are just over two weeks later and they are asked to cover a double digit spread in the rematch. While the Sooners will miss Woodard, I believe they will be better off giving his minutes to a healthy role player, rather than a struggling star who's unable to contribute due to injury. That was certainly the case against Texas, as backup center Jamuni McNease scored 14 points and pulled in 14 rebounds in 26 minutes. The Sooners have played close games in each of their last four visits to Stillwater, with only one loss, which came in overtime. The average margin of victory in those four games was just four points. This line appears to be a little inflated. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-18-17	Nebraska v. Ohio State -4.5		58-57	Loss	-110	10 h 39 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Ohio State (1st Half). Nebraska has just two wins in it's last 10 games, and both of those wins came at home. The Cornhuskers are just 2-6 on the road, and in four games at Ohio State dating back to 2012, they have lost all four by double digits. The Buckeyes aren't much of a force offensively, but they do play pretty strong defense. They are particularly stingy at home, where they allow just 64.6 points on 39.1 percent shooting. The Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5, while the Buckeyes are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Nebraska has trailed at the half in four straight road games, including a 65-64 loss at last placed Rutgers. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-18-17	Air Force v. San Jose State -165		78-83	Win	100	9 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on San Jose State (1st Half) The Spartans had a four game winning streak snapped on the road at Fresno State on Wednesday. They got off to a good start in that game, leading by five points at the half. They are back home Saturday hosting Air Force, and the Falcons have lost eight of their last nine. That streak started with a home loss to the Spartans by a score of 89-85. San Jose State took a lead into the second half of that game, and I like the Spartans to start well here at home in the rematch. Air Force is 0-8 on the road this season, and last year the Falcons lost by a whopping 21 points at San Jose State. The last time the Falcons actually won a game, they had to come back from a 10-point halftime deficit at home versus San Diego State back in January. Take SJSU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-18-17	Illinois v. Iowa -4.5	Top	70-66	Loss	-110	13 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Iowa (1st Half) Illinois has been brutal on the road, losing five of six games, and scoring an average of just 66.5 points on 41.9 percent shooting. They did beat Iowa at home earlier this year, but I expect the Hawkeyes to execute revenge for that loss here on Saturday. Iowa is a much stronger team at home, where they average 80.8 points per game, and shoot over 40 percent from beyond the arc. I don't think Illinois can score enough points to keep those one close. The Illini have averaged just 61.4 points, shooting just 39.8 percent from the field in their last five games overall. Iowa's last two home games were double digit wins over Ohio State and Nebraska, and I think they can handle bottom feeders Illinois with relative ease. Take Iowa. GL, Jesse Schule
02-17-17	Idaho v. Eastern Washington -5	Top	67-77	Win	100	20 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. The Idaho Vandals are coming off a blowout loss (88-65) at North Dakota, falling to 4-8 on the road this season. They face another tough road game tonight, playing at Eastern Washington. They already lost to the Eagles at home earlier this season by a score of 69-62. The Eagles are a dominant team on their home court, with a record of 12-1 this season, and a record of 34-4 over the last three seasons. They score an average of 85.9 points on 49 percent shooting at home, and that's roughly 15 points per game more than the Vandals have averaged on the road. The Eagles won last year's home game against Idaho by a score of 74-60, and they've won their last four home games by an average margin of 12 points. Eastern Washington is coming off it's best defensive showing of the season, holding Northern Colorado to just 44 points on 28.3 percent shooting. I don't expect this game to be close, Eastern Washington should run away with it. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-16-17	Wizards -130 v. Pacers	Top	111-98	Win	100	16 h 15 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards. Washington might be the hottest team in the NBA, coming into tonight's game at Indiana as winners of 10 of their last 11. The only loss during that span came to the defending champion Cavaliers, in a game decided in overtime. The Pacers on the other hand have struggled, losing five straight, with four of those losses coming by a double digit margin. Paul George scored just 13 points on 4-of-19 shooting in a loss at Cleveland last night, and he only managed 13 points on 4-of-11 shooting the last time he played on back to back nights (a home loss to Milwaukee). The Wizards come in well rested, having had two days off since their win over Oklahoma City on Monday. They have a history of playing well in Indiana, covering the spread in seven straight visits. John Wall has averaged 27 points per game on 49 percent shooting in three games against the Pacers this season, helping the Wizards take two of the three. The Pacers will be without starting PF Thadeus Young, who has missed the last seven games due to a wrist injury. Backup PF Lavoy Allen has also missed the last two games, and is listed as questionable to play tonight. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
02-15-17	Hawks v. Clippers -140	Top	84-99	Win	100	20 h 9 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the LAC. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule
02-15-17	Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 213	Top	84-99	Win	100	16 h 23 m	Show
This is a 10* play on ATL@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-15-17	San Jose State +7.5 v. Fresno State	Top	59-77	Loss	-110	19 h 27 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans. San Jose State has been the worst team in the Mountain West for a long time, but apparently not this season. The Spartans have won four straight, including an upset win over the Lobos in New Mexico. They were an underdog in their last three games, and they are getting a bunch of points on the road at Fresno State tonight. They already beat the Bulldogs at home in January, and they have covered the spread in each of the last three meetings over the last three seasons. The Bulldogs are struggling, they've lost three straight, and they have a few key players sidelined with injuries. The Bulldogs last home game was a 67-70 loss to San Diego State, the same Aztecs team that the Spartans beat in San Jose just over a week ago. Fresno State is 5-11 ATS in it's last 16 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5, and the Bulldogs have failed to cover in five straight overall. Take SJSU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-15-17	Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 205	Top	88-111	Win	100	19 h 38 m	Show
This is a 10* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Utah Jazz are coming off an embarrassing 88-72 home loss to the Clippers. The Portland Trailblazers are coming off a home loss to Atlanta, shooing just 35.9 percent from the field and scoring just 97 points in regulation. The two teams will meet in Utah tonight, and we should expect to see a defensive battle. Utah is a heavy favorite, and the Jazz have a history of locking in defensively off a big home loss. They've gone under in nine of their last 10 following a double digit home loss. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it has been in recent meetings. In fact each of the last 10 meetings in this series saw a number below 200, dating back to 2014. The Jazz will be desperate to end a three game losing streak, and that should mean a heavy emphasis on defense. Two of Portland's last three visits to Utah have failed to go over 200 points, and none of the three went over the total listed for tonight's contest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-15-17	La Salle v. St Bonaventure -4.5	Top	65-83	Win	100	17 h 36 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies. The La Salle Explorers had been enjoying their best season in the A-10 Conference in years, but have started to struggle in recent weeks. La Salle has lost five of it's last seven, with wins against bottom feeders Fordam and Massachusetts. The Bonnies have long been one of the toughest teams in his conference on their home court, and they've won four of their last five home games. The one loss came in overtime to powerhouse VCU. St. Bonaventure has averaged over 81 points per game at home, shooting 47 percent from the field. The Explorers are 4-5 on the road, and they've lost three of their last four road games by 10 or more points. It's no coincidence that La Salle has struggled over it's last seven games, as they have been without starting guard Pookie Powell for six of those seven contests. Powell averaged 13.4 points per game, logging an average of 31 minutes prior to suffering a knee injury in a loss to VCU in January. The Explorers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and they've failed to cover in four of their last five as an underdog. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule
02-14-17	Cavs -170 v. Wolves		116-108	Win	100	11 h 17 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have won five of their last six, scoring an average of over 123 points per game during that span. Three of those wins have come on the road, and they will be a favorite on the road at Minnesota tonight. The T-Wolves have lost five of their last seven, and their wins during that span came against Toronto (without leading scorer DeRozan) and Chicago (without Butler and Wade). The Cavs will be without one of their big three tonight, as Kevin Love is out with a knee injury. The Cavs should be in good shape with Channing Frye stepping in to replace Love. Coincidentally, the last game the Cavs played without Love, was a 125-97 win over Minnesota. Frye scored 18 points in 22 minutes in the victory. Cleveland out-scored the Wolves 62-37 in the second half of that game, and I don't think home court is going to be enough to help Minnesota avoid a sixth straight loss in this series. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule
02-14-17	Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -180		66-63	Loss	-180	10 h 13 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers. The Hokies are coming off an 80-78 home win over the #12 ranked Virginia Cavaliers. Virginia Tech is not a good road team at the best of times, but after such a huge upset win, this sets up a clear let down spot. Home court has been a huge advantage in this series, with the home team winning seven of the last eight. The one game that the road team prevailed was a 75-62 Pittsburgh win at Virginia Tech. Pittsburgh is coming off back to back wins, including an impressive 85-80 home win over a hot Syracuse team. Prior to that they gave both Duke and North Carolina a tough test, losing close games at Chapel Hill and Cameron Indoor both by single digits. The Hokies have lost their last three road games by an average margin of 16 points, and they have lost five straight at Pittsburgh since 2001, and four of those losses came by 10 or more points. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
02-14-17	Iona -110 v. Canisius	Top	83-89	Loss	-110	10 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Iona Gaels. Iona has won seven of it's last eight overall, with the only loss during that span coming by just two points versus Siena. Canisius is just 3-3 over it's last six games, suffering home losses to Niagara and Rider during that span. For whatever reason, the Golden Griffins have struggled at home, failing to cover in eight of their last 11 at the Koessler Athletic Center. Iona has no trouble scoring on the road, averaging 81.1 points per game on 44.5 percent shooting. Rebounding has been a huge issue for Canisius, and they were out-rebounded 44-31 by Niagara in their last game. They are averaging fewer than 25 rebounds per game over their last five, and it's tough to win games with those kind of numbers. The Gaels have won seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and two of those win came on the road. I expect that trend to continue here in Buffalo tonight. Take IONA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-14-17	Tennessee +14 v. Kentucky	Top	58-83	Loss	-110	8 h 40 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. The Wildcats are just 3-3 in their last six games, and one of those was an 82-80 loss at Tennessee. Kentucky is favored to win the rematch at home, and many bettors will be playing the revenge angle here. I think this line is just far too inflated, especially considering how the Wildcats have struggled in recent weeks. They failed to cover in home games against LSU and Georgia, lost at home to Kansas, and got absolutely crushed at Florida. They have won their last three home games versus the Vols, but not one of those wins came by more than 10 points. Seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been relatively close (10 points or less). Kentucky has struggled defensively over it's last five games, giving up 78.2 points per game on 48.7 percent shooting. The Vols have allowed opponents to average 10 points fewer, with a field goal percentage of just 38.4 percent during that same span. Tennessee has been a good bet on the road, covering the spread in eight of their last 11. I'll take the points. Take TEN. GL, Jesse Schule
02-13-17	Warriors v. Nuggets +12	Top	110-132	Win	100	20 h 2 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors are coming off a 130-114 win over the Thunder in Oklahoma City. That game was the second of a back to back, coming off a 122-107 win in Memphis the night before. They will play their third game in four nights on the road in Denver (at altitude) and this game couldn't be any more meaningless for the visitors. This is the ultimate let down spot for Golden State. This team has nothing left to prove to anybody. Kevin Durant scored 34 points in his first game back in Oklahoma City, despite dealing with hostile fans all night long. We don't have to speculate about what the Warriors did after the game, as their party plans are well documented. Durant wanted to rent out the Mahogany Prime Steak House, but was refused. He and his teammates ended up dining with the rest of the restaurant's regular clientele, which includes Russell Westbrook. It could be hard to get up for this game in Denver coming off such a marquee win. The Nuggets have won seven of their last eight home games, and they are battling for the eighth and final playoff spot in the West. Denver has covered the spread in six of their last eight versus Golden State, and they look good getting a double digit spread here tonight. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule
02-12-17	Pelicans v. Kings OVER 210	Top	99-105	Loss	-110	22 h 57 m	Show
This is a 10* play on NO@SAC to go OVER the total. The Pelicans are coming off a 122-106 win at Minnesota, and they shot 60 percent from the field in the victory. They play Sunday in Sacramento, and the Kings aren't the best defensive team in the NBA. Sacramento scored 65 points in the second half to come from behind and beat the Hawks 108-107 in overtime on Friday. They've scored an average of 107 points while wining three of five games during their current home stand. These two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings, and the Kings have gone over in seven straight games coming off a win. The Pelicans have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall, mostly due to the fact that they give up an awful lot of points. Opponents have averaged over 112 points over their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
02-12-17	Nevada +3 v. San Diego State	Top	56-70	Loss	-110	17 h 3 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. The Wolfpack sit a half a game back of Boise State in the Mountain West, and they will play on the road at San Diego State Sunday. The Aztecs have dominated this conference for more than a decade, but they currently sit in the bottom half of the standings with a losing record in conference play. Nevada beat the Aztecs at home by a score of 72-69 earlier this year, ending a seven game losing streak in the series. The Wolfpack haven't had any trouble winning on the road this season, winning five of eight games and averaging a whopping 80.5 points. San Diego State has been beaten at home by Colorado State and New Mexico, two teams that trail Nevada in the standings. Scoring has been an issue for the Aztecs, averaging just 70.4 points per game on 40.5 percent shooting in their last five games. The Wolfpack are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, while the Aztecs have failed to cover in four straight games as a favorite. Take NEVADA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-11-17	Warriors v. Thunder +7.5	Top	130-114	Loss	-110	13 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on OKC. The Golden State Warriors visit the Thunder Saturday, in Kevin Durant's first game back at Oklahoma City. This will be the third meeting this season, and the Warriors won the previous two at home. Both of those games were high scoring, but neither game reached the inflated total. Once again the bookmakers are calling for a shootout, with another inflated number. These teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and the under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. This is a huge game for both teams, and we should see both sides giving 100 percent on both offense and defense. The Warriors have gone under in 19 of their last 26 road games, while the Thunder have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record. The Warriors dominated the first two meetings, and Kevin Durant went off for 39 and 40 points (his two highest totals of the season). Playing on back to back nights, and dealing with all the emotions, I could see Durant struggling in tonight's game. He's hired additional security for this game, and that in itself may suggest his mind is on more than just basketball. The Warriors are just 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule
02-11-17	Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State	Top	64-80	Loss	-110	12 h 36 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Oklahoma Sooners have lost six straight, and they are at the bottom of the BIG12 standings with a record of 2-9 within conference. With all the losses piling up, it's easy to forget just how competitive this team has actually been. Their last win came on the road at West Virginia by a score of 89-87. Since then, they've lost by just one point at Texas, and by two points at home versus Oklahoma State. Both of those games were decided by buzzer beaters. A home loss to Iowa State came by a score of 92-87 in double overtime. The Sooners were actually a two point favorite in that game, which means we see a 11.5 point swing in the rematch just three weeks later. These two teams have a history of playing close games, as each of the last five meetings have been decided by five points or less. Nine of the last 10 meetings have been decided by seven points or less, and neither team has been favored by more than 7.5 points in each of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2013. The Sooners are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, and the line in this revenge game appears to be grossly inflated. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-11-17	Fresno State v. Colorado State -3	Top	62-78	Win	100	17 h 5 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Colorado State Rams. The Rams have really played well in recent weeks, winning five of their last six games. The only loss during that span came in a close game versus Mountain West powerhouse Boise State. They sit just a half a game out of first place in the conference, and they host a struggling Fresno State team this afternoon. The Bulldogs have lost three of their last four, and they are just 4-8 on the road. They have missed a couple of key players, leaving them shorthanded and undersized. Karachi Edo leads the Bulldogs in rebounds averaging 6.8 per game, and Cullen Russo is second on the team averaging 5.9 RPG. Edo is questionable with an ankle injury, and Russo is suspended indefinitely. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games versus a team with a losing road record, and the Bulldogs have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-11-17	College of Charleston v. William & Mary	Top	79-89	Win	100	15 h 4 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe. The Charleston Cougars are one of the top dogs in the CAA, sitting just one game back of UNC Wilmington with a 10-3 record. They are coming off a brutal loss at home to Northeastern, and now they head out on the road to face a William and Mary team that is 11-0 at home this season. The Tribe don't just win at home, they dominate the opposition. Their last home game was a 94-69 win over Northeastern, the same team that upset the Cougars. William and Mary averages a staggering 92.1 points on 55.4 percent shooting at home this season. The Cougars average just 66.5 points per game on the road. The home team has won seven of the last eight in this series, and the one exception was a 63-61 win for William and Mary at Charleston. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule
02-10-17	Lakers v. Bucks -160	Top	122-114	Loss	-160	21 h 12 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Lakers come into Milwaukee as losers of six of their last seven road games, and they've lost five straight at the Bradley Center. The Bucks are coming off a blowout loss to Miami, but the Heat have been beating everybody. Miami has won 12 straight, and during that span they beat both Golden State and Houston. The Bucks are just two games back of the Pistons who occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, while the Lakers are in the middle of a rebuild, looking toward the future. This is a big game for Milwaukee, not so much for the visitors. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games versus LA, and they have a .500 record at home. The Lakers are just 6-24 on the road, and they've failed to cover in six of their last seven when playing on one day's rest. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
02-09-17	Cavs v. Thunder -3.5	Top	109-118	Win	100	11 h 19 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the OKC Thunder. After going through a rough patch, the Cleveland Cavaliers are officially "back in business". The defending champs have won four straight, scoring an average of 127 points in those games. They face a huge let down spot tonight though, playing on the road in the second game of a back to back, coming off last night's blowout win at Indiana. Don't be surprised to see the Cavs big three play limited minutes (if at all). Oklahoma City has improved it's home record to 18-7 after beating Portland and Memphis in it's last two home games. The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games, while Cleveland is just 2-8 ATS in it's last 10 when playing on no rest. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule
02-09-17	North Carolina v. Duke -135	Top	78-86	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. Duke has faced plenty of adversity this year, but has survived and appears to be peaking at the right time. The Blue Devils have won four of their last five, and they are 11-1 at home. They host rivals North Carolina tonight, and this is a revenge spot for Duke. The Tar Heels won 76-72 at Cameron Indoor last March. The Blue Devils had won the previous four meetings, and they are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. North Carolina hasn't looked all that sharp on the road this season. They lost their last road game by a whopping 15 points at Miami, and they failed to cover in wins at Boston College and Wake Forest. They have allowed opponents to average 78.7 points per game on the road, while Duke is giving up just 63.2 points per game at home. Coach K is back on the bench after taking time off to have surgery. Things look like they are coming together for Duke, and this is a good spot to back the Blue Devils as a small favorite. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule
02-09-17	Purdue -125 v. Indiana	Top	69-64	Win	100	8 h 54 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers. Indiana has lost three of it's last four overall, with the one win coming in triple overtime by a score of 110-102 at home versus Penn State. The Hoosiers have also lost four straight versus Top 25 teams, and they host the #16 ranked Purdue Boilermakers tonight. Purdue has won five of their last six overall, and two of those win came on the road. They beat Michigan State by 11 points in East Lansing, and upset Maryland at College Park on Saturday. The Hoosiers have been banged up, but they hope to get leading scorer James Blackmon back tonight. If in fact he plays, there's no guarantee that he'll be as effective as he was prior to missing the last three games. Even with Blackmon in the lineup, the Hoosiers suffered home losses to Wisconsin, Louisville and Nebraska. Indiana has given up over 80 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot 46.7 percent from the field in their last five games. Purdue has allowed just 67.8 points per game on 39.8 percent shooting during that same span. This is a huge game for Purdue who are just 1.5 games behind first place Wisconsin in the BIG10. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule
02-08-17	Virginia Tech v. Miami (Fla) -5.5	Top	68-74	Win	100	15 h 39 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. The Hurricanes will host Virginia Tech tonight, and both teams are 5-5 in conference play. Virginia Tech actually has a better record at 16-6, but the Hokies have been blown out in three of their last four road games. The only exception during that span was a one-point win at Clemson. Miami has won three of it's last four, and that includes a double-digit home win over the #9 ranked Tar Heels. They have played exceptional defense at home, holding opponents to just 61.9 points per game on 38.1 percent shooting. The Hokies are allowing opponents to average over 85 points on better than 50 percent shooting while losing four of six road games. The Hurricanes are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. I don't think the Hokies have what it takes to hang with the Hurricanes in Miami. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-08-17	Raptors -150 v. Wolves	Top	109-112	Loss	-150	14 h 4 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors had lost eight of 10 before putting together back to back wins. They really missed leading scorer DeMar DeRozan who missed eight games during that span with an ankle injury. DeRozan returned to score 31 points on 11-of-22 shooting in a win over the Clippers on Monday, and he's expected to be back to 100 percent moving forward. Toronto will play on the road at Minnesota tonight, and the Wolves have lost four straight. This T-Wolves team is still young, and has a long way to go before it can expect to be playing in the post-season. The Raptors have won nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams, and that includes three wins at Minnesota. Toronto has a winning record on the road this season, and is 9-2 ATS in it's last 11 at the Target Center. Zach Lavine's season ending injury has taken the wind out of the sails of this Minnesota team. He was averaging over 18 points per game, and led the team playing 37.2 minutes per game. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
02-08-17	Nuggets v. Hawks -175	Top	106-117	Win	100	13 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks. The Denver Nuggets currently occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference, but they are going to be hard pressed to keep it. They are in Atlanta tonight, and the Hawks have won five of the last six meetings between the two teams. Atlanta is coming off a home loss to Utah, but the Hawks are just a half a game back of Washington for the top spot in the Southeast Division. Denver is just 3-9 ATS in it's last 12 visits to Atlanta, and they've lost their last two games in Atlanta by a combined 30 points. The Nuggets leading scorer Danilo Gallinari remains out of the lineup with a groin strain, and Kenneth Faried and Emmanuel Mudiay are both banged up. The Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
02-07-17	Butler v. Marquette -125	Top	68-65	Loss	-125	12 h 15 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Marquette Golden Eagles. The Golden Eagles played at Butler in the middle of January, and they opened up a big lead early in that game. The Bulldogs trailed by 16 points at halftime, but went on to score 63 points in the second half, winning 88-80. This sets up a revenge opportunity for Marquette tonight, and the Golden Eagles boast an 11-2 home record and since their loss at Butler they have upset wins over #1 ranked Villanova, and #7 ranked Creighton. Butler is coming off back to back losses to Georgetown and Creighton, and the Bulldogs have lost three of their last four at Marquette. The Golden Eagles average 85.5 points per game on 51 percent shooting at home, and Butler has really struggled to score averaging just 73.4 points on 43.6 percent shooting over it's last five games. The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four meetings between these two teams, and I expect that trend to continue here tonight. Take MARQ. GL, Jesse Schule
02-07-17	Utah State v. Colorado State -5		52-69	Win	100	15 h 47 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. Colorado State has won four of it's last five overall, with the only loss during that span coming to Mountain West leaders Boise State. The Rams host the Utah State Aggies, who are sitting just a game out of last place in the conference. Colorado State handled the Aggies easily in Utah, winning by a score of 64-56 in January. The Rams are 10-4 at home, and they have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games versus a team with a losing record. The Aggies have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as an underdog. Colorado State is coming off a convincing 69-49 win on the road at UNLV, holding the Rebels to just 30.5 percent shooting. Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo was unstoppable, scoring 22 points and pulling in 13 rebounds in the victory. He scored 20 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in the win at Utah State in the previous meeting. He should fill the stat sheet again at home tonight. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-07-17	Texas Tech v. TCU -145	Top	61-62	Win	100	10 h 49 m	Show
This is a 10* play on TCU. The Texas Tech Red Raiders have lost five straight road games in conference play, and they failed to cover the spread in four of those five losses. They are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as an underdog, and they are just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. The Horned Frogs are 12-3 at home, and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. TCU is coming off back to back impressive wins, blowing out Texas at home on Saturday, after upsetting Kansas State on the road during the week. TCU has average 78.4 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and that's 14 points more than the Red Raiders have averaged on the road. The Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. I'll take the home team here as just a slight favorite. Take TCU. GL, Jesse Schule
02-07-17	Illinois v. Northwestern -5.5	Top	68-61	Loss	-110	14 h 53 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Northwestern Wildcats. Northwestern had won six straight before losing at Purdue last week. The Wildcats have had a week to recover from that game, while they host an Illinois team that has lost six of it's last seven. Illinois is 0-5 on the road this season, failing to cover in all five of those losses. They've also failed to cover in each of their last six losses overall. Scoring has been a huge issue for Illinois, averaging just 60.4 points on 39.4 percent shooting over their five games. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and have covered the spread in four straight home games versus teams with a losing record. While these teams have a history of playing close games in the past, this looks like a much tougher game for Illinois than previous trips to Evanston. Take NW. GL, Jesse Schule
02-06-17	Suns v. Pelicans -4.5	Top	106-111	Win	100	24 h 54 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans have a losing record at home (13-14 overall), but they have won seven of their last 11 home games. During that span they beat the Spurs, Clippers and Cavs. They host Phoenix Monday, and the Suns have lost six of their last seven overall. Their last five losses have all come by a double digit margin, and they have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six overall. Anthony Davis has been banged up all year, but he's played through various injuries, and continues to dominate. He's averaged over 25 points and 15 rebounds over his last five games. They Suns have allowed opponents to average over 112 points per game, only Brooklyn ranks worse. The Bucks scored a whopping 137 points on 63.4 percent shooting, handing Phoenix a 137-112 home loss on Saturday. The worst team in the Western Conference is unlikely to provide much of a challenge to New Orleans team that is just 3.5 games out of a playoff spot. Take N.O. GL, Jesse Schule
02-05-17	Blazers v. Thunder -175	Top	99-105	Win	100	8 h 46 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Portland is coming off a tough home loss to Dallas by a score of 108-104. The Blazers now head out on the road, where they are just 8-18 this season. Oklahoma City is coming off a 114-102 home win over Memphis on Friday, and the Thunder are a solid 17-7 at home so far. Russell Westbrook went off for 38 points, 13 rebounds and 12 assists, for his 25th triple-double of the season. He should light up the scoreboard here on Sunday, facing one of he league's poorest defensive teams. Portland is allowing an average of 109.9 points per game on the road this year, ranking 26th in the NBA. The home team has won seven straight meetings in this series, and OKC is 5-2 ATS in those games (3-0 ATS at home). The Thunder have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games, and they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule
02-05-17	Indiana v. Wisconsin -12.5	Top	60-65	Loss	-110	14 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers The Indiana Hoosiers are coming off a triple overtime win over Penn State, by a score of 110-102. They had lost back to back road games prior to that, by a combined margin of 43 points. Now they head to Wisconsin, where the Badgers have won 18 straight. Wisconsin has beaten up opponents at home, winning their last four home games by an average margin of more than 15 points. The Hoosiers are in a tough spot, missing a pair of key players (OG Anunoby and James Blackmon). The Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Badgers on the other hand have covered the spread in four of their last five as a home favorite. This looks like a mismatch of epic proportions. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	Magic v. Hawks -7.5	Top	86-113	Win	100	12 h 55 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are just a half a game out of first place in the Southeast Division, and they host last placed Orlando tonight. The Magic are playing their second game in as many nights, coming off a home win over the Raptors. Orlando has lost five of it's last seven, with both wins during that span coming against Toronto. The Raptors played without leading scorer DeMar Derozan last night, and Kyle Lowry was unable to carry the load, scoring 18 points on just 5-of-20 shooting. This looks like a let down spot for the visiting Magic, and the Hawks have shown the ability to beat up on weaker teams. Atlanta has covered in four straight games against teams with winning percentage below 40 percent. The Hawks won the last meeting by a score of 111-92 in Orlando, and I expect a similar result here tonight in Atlanta. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	Oklahoma +7 v. Texas Tech	Top	69-77	Loss	-110	17 h 44 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. Oklahoma has had some bad luck this season. The Sooners have lost four straight, and eight of their last 10. Their leading scorer Jordan Woodard has been battling injury and illness during that span, but despite all the adversity, they've still been quite competitive. Three of four losses on their current losing streak came in games decided by five points or less. They have covered the spread in six of their last eight versus BIG12 teams, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Texas Tech hasn't looked that great, failing to cover in six of it's last eight overall. The Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Jordan Woodard no longer appears on the Sooners injury report, and if he's healthy the Sooners might just be a threat to win this game outright. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	San Diego State v. Fresno State +1.5	Top	70-67	Loss	-110	7 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Fresno State Bulldogs. San Diego State has long been the top team in the Mountain West, but they've taken a back seat this year to the likes of Nevada, Boise State and Fresno State. The Bulldogs are one of five teams that are ahead of the Aztecs in the conference standings, and their 10-1 home record is one of the reasons why. Fresno State swept the season series last year, winning 68-63 at San Diego in the most recent meeting. They haven't lost a home game in conference play, and they have already beaten the best teams in the Mountain West at home. The Aztecs have lost three of their last four road games, and they have only scored 62.1 points per game on 38 percent shooting on the road this season. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in five of their last six home games, while the Aztecs have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. Take FRES. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	San Jose State +11 v. New Mexico	Top	78-68	Win	100	16 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans. New Mexico is coming off a road win at UNLV, in a game that they trailed until the dying minutes. They won by a score of 80-77, avenging their home loss to the Rebels earlier this season. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This is a revenge spot for New Mexico after losing at home to the Rebels by a score of 71-66 earlier this year. The Lobos might be hard pressed to earn a better result here tonight though, coming off a blowout loss to Nevada. Not only did they lose that game by 17 points, they also lost a pair of starters to injury. Most notable is leading scorer Tim Williams, who is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Sophomore guard Dane Kuiper suffered a concussion in the loss to Nevada, and he's expected to be out at least a couple weeks. Kuiper had a team high 17 points in the loss to the Rebels earlier this year." The Lobos are asked to cover a big number here in Saturday's game against San Jose State, who have lost five of their last eight. Not one of those losses came by more than 10 points though, and I don't think a shorthanded New Mexico team should be such a huge favorite. Take SJSU GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	Utah -130 v. Stanford		75-81	Loss	-130	4 h 18 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. Stanford has lost seven of 10 games in conference play, and it's last game was a home loss to Colorado. The Cardinal will have a tough time at home Saturday, hosting Utah. The Utes have won three of the last four meetings in this series, and Stanford's one win came in overtime. Utah hasn't had much trouble winning on the road, especially against the weaker teams in the conference. The Utes have wins at Washington, Washington State and Arizona State. The Utes come in averaging 82 points per game on 53 percent shooting in their last five games, and three of those were on the road. Stanford has scored an average of just 63.8 points per game during that same span. The Cardinal are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games, and I don't think they'll be able to handle Utah in this matchup. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	Minnesota v. Illinois -1	Top	68-59	Loss	-110	14 h 33 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Illinois. I bet on Illinois as a home dog in their last game versus Wisconsin. They came out a little flat, and Wisconsin jumped out to an early 12-2 lead. They would play the Badgers even he rest of the way, and held them to just 55 points. Here is what I had to say before that game: "The Fighting Illini are just 3-6 in conference play, but five of those six losses have come on the road. Their only home loss during conference play, came by just six points against BIG10 leaders Maryland. They are 10-2 overall at home, and they've averaged 80.5 points on 49.2 percent shooting in those games." The Illini have won six of the last seven in this series, and Minnesota is just 2-4 on the road. The Gophers have score just 66 points on 39 percent shooting on the road, and they should struggle against an Illinois team that has held opponents to just 68.8 points per game at home. The Gophers have failed to cover in 20 of their last 27 versus Illinois. Take ILL. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	Xavier v. Creighton -3.5	Top	82-80	Loss	-110	13 h 34 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Creighton Blue Jays. After losing starting guard Maurice Watson, Creighton struggled, losing back to back games to Georgetown and Marquette. They bounced back big time with a 76-67 win at Butler on Tuesday. They have made the necessary adjustments, and in the absence of Watson Jr, guards Khyri Thomas and Marcus Foster combined to score 30 points on 11-of-22 shooting. Creighton is a monster at home, boasting an 11-2 record with wins over a pair of ranked teams (Butler and Wisconsin). They have scored an average of 84.6 points on 52.8 percent shooting at home, and this Xavier team shows no signs of being able to match that kind of offensive production. The Musketeers are coming off a rather uninspiring win over Seton Hall by just two points, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall. They couldn't handle Creighton at home, and I don't think they'll be able to hang with them here in Nebraska. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	George Washington v. Richmond -5.5	Top	75-84	Win	100	12 h 6 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders. The Richmond Spiders are just a half a game out of first place in the A-10 Conference, and they have a home game against bottom feeders George Washington Saturday. The Spiders won at George Washington by a score of 77-70 earlier this season, and they've four of five home games in conference play. That includes wins over powerhouse teams like Rhode Island and St. Bonaventure. The Colonials have lost three of their last four road games, with all three of those losses coming by a double digit margin. George Washington has failed to cover in six of it's last seven, and is just 1-4 ATS in it's last five road games. Richmond has covered the spread in eight of it's last 10 conference games, and is 4-1 ATS in it's last five versus George Washington. Take RICH. GL, Jesse Schule
02-04-17	Seton Hall v. Georgetown -3.5	Top	68-66	Loss	-103	10 h 40 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. The Hoyas come into Saturday's home game versus Seton Hall off three straight wins. That includes a home win over Creighton, and an upset win at Butler, handing the Bulldogs their first home loss of the season. Georgetown is playing it's best basketball, scoring 72.6 points on 49.8 percent shooting in it's last five games. The Pirates have lost five of their last six overall, and they have lost six of seven road games this season. In their last game at Xavier, they struggled from the free throw line hitting just 6-of-12. They are shooting just 58 percent from the charity stripe on the road, and that's going to make it tough to steal a game here at Georgetown, when the Hoyas are hitting better than 73 percent at the line at home. The Hoyas have held opponents to an average of 39 percent shooting at home this season. Take GTWN. GL, Jesse Schule