This is a 4* play on Dallas.

The Blazers are overachieving, coming into Dallas as winners of four of five on this current road trip. Playing a sixth straight road game could be a let down spot for Portland. Dallas is coming off back to back losses on the road after winning four in a row at home. Luka Doncic is averaging an NBA best 33.6 points per game, and he's been even better at home (35.2 ppg). The Blazers are 0-4 straight up in the last four versus Dallas, and they failed to cover in all four of those losses.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on SDSU.

The BYU Cougars finished in the middle of the pack in the WCC (5th) last season, and they lost their top two scorers from last year. Expectations are much higher for the #19 ranked Aztecs, who have four seniors in the starting lineup. Leading scorer Matt Bradley is back in 2022, and Senior Darrion Trammell transferred from Seattle. He led all scorers with 18 points in a 80-57 win in the season opener. The Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and these programs appear to be trending in opposite directions.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Over.

The Warriors snapped a five game losing streak with a home win over the Sacramento Kings, but there remains plenty of reason for concern in Golden State. Only the San Antonio Spurs are allowing more points per game than the Warriors, who's opponents are averaging more than 120 points per game. The good news is that Steph Curry scored 47 points and shot 7-of-12 from beyond the arc in the win over the Kings. We could see another shootout here against the Cavs. The over is 18-7-1 in the Cavaliers last 26 road games, and the Warriors have gone over in four of their last five home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Over.

The Raptors haven't missed Pascal Siakam, coming off a 116-109 win over Houston. Fred Van Flleet scored 32 points and shot 7-of-16 from beyond the arc. Toronto has gone over in five of their last six in Oklahoma City, and the over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Thunder have gone over in four straight home games. We should both teams run and gun here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Bucks are coming off a 136-132 double overtime win over Oklahoma State. They are banged up with Giannis, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton all out of the lineup. The backups played well, shooting over 47 percent from the field, and 47 percent from beyond the arc against the Thunder. They have a history of playing high scoring games against the Spurs. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings, and the total for this game is lower than it was in the last eight meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on OVER.

Nebraska Omaha lost their season opener at Kansas by 25 points, but despite shooting just 38 percent from the field and 23 percent from beyond the arc they still scored 64 points. They play rivals Nebraska in their second game, and the Cornhuskers defense isn't quite the same as the Jayhawks. This game should be a bit of a track meet, with both teams running and gunning. The over is 19-7 in the Mavericks last 26 overall, and the over is 14-4 in the Cornhuskers last 18 games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule.

This is a 2* play on Under.

Coming off a 74-61 win over USC, it's not entirely clear if that win was a result of poor shooting from the Trojans or solid defense from the Eagles. USC shot just 3-of-19 from beyond the arc, but the Eagles only shot 37.5 percent from the field. San Diego is hardly an offensive juggernaut, only averaging 63.6 points per game in their last five dating back to last season. The under is 10-4 in the Toreros last 14 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on GMU.

The Patriots were giant killers in non-conference play last year, winning outright against #20 ranked Maryland, beating Georgia and losing by just nine points at #6 ranked Kansas. They get most of their starters back, including leading scorer senior Josh Oduro. Auburn lost their two best players to the NBA draft (Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler). They come into their season opener with five players listed as questionable, most notable of those is starting center Johni Broome. This game has upset written all over it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 3* play on TOR.

The Bulls lost in Boston last night, and they are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Raptors are coming off a 111-110 loss to at Dallas, and they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. The home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DET.

The Cavs lost their season opener on the road at Toronto, but they have since won six straight. They will be a big favorite here in the Motor City, but Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are both a little banged up. This looks like a natural let down spot for the visitors. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Pistons are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games overall. The home team is 6-0 straight up in the last six head to head meetings. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Jazz were supposed to be in contention for a lottery pick this season, but after winning six of their first eight games the betting markets are slow to react. Utah comes into Dallas averaging 118 points per game, while the Mavs are scoring roughly the same. Utah is allowing opponents to average 114 points per game, and the Mavs are allowing opponents to average over 110 points per game. Historical trends for the Jazz point to the under, but the Rudy Gobert Era is over in Utah. These Jazz have gone over (221) in six of eight games, while the Mavs have gone over in five straight.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Utah.

I said this prior to the Jazz winning outright as a home dog versus Memphis on Saturday:

"I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game."

Not enough has changed to justify the Grizz laying points here two days later.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in four of their five games. The over is 5-0 in the Celtics last five versus a team with a winning straight up record.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Utah.

I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in three of their four games. The over is 15-5-1 in Cavaliers last 21 road games, and they have gone over in 13 of their last 19 overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Dallas.

The Mavs will be a favorite here in New Orleans, with Ingram out and Zion questionable. Herbert Jones also suffered a knee injury late in the Pelicans loss to Utah over the weekend. With the status of three starters in question, the Mavs depth should be enough to power them to a comfortable win here. History is on their side, having won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, including a pair of wins at New Orleans last season. The Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and the Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in New Orleans.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on DEN.

After losing the season opener on the road at Utah, Denver has won back to back games. They are on the road in Portland tonight, and the Blazers are playing their second game of a back to back. Damian Lillard scored 41 points in 34 minutes in a 106-104 win over the Lakers in LA last night. The Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last seve games playing on 0 days rest, and 4-10 ATS overall in their last 14 games. The Nuggets are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on GSW.

The Dubs are coming off a 128-123 home loss to Denver, but they should be able to bounce back Sunday against the Sacramento Kings. The Kings ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game last season. They are playing on back to back nights after losing at home to the Clippers last night. The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing on one day's rest. Golden State has won the last four head to head meetings by 10+ points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on the Clippers.

The Kings lost their home opener by a score of 115-108, and they might struggle here against the Clippers on Saturday. The Kings were 16-25 at home last year, and only Houston and Oklahoma City had fewer home wins in the Western Conference. The Clippers finished with a dozen more wins than Sacramento last season, and they are in far better shape now with a healthy Paul George, Norman Powell and Marcus Morris. Of course Kawhi is back as well, but after we learned he will sit out for load management, this line has dropped. Kawhi only scored 14 points in 21 minutes off the bench in a 103-97 win over the Lakers in the season opener. The Clippers should be in good shape without him here in Sacramento.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. They went well over the number in their season opener versus Philly, and this number looks a little low all things considered.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over.

The Blazers lost 124-121 to the Sacramento Kings in their season opener last year, and they play the Kings in their first game of the 2022 season. The Kings finished dead last in the NBA in opponent's scoring average last year, and Portland wasn't far behind. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings, and the over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Sacramento was 4-0 in the pre-season averaging 117 points per game. We should expect a lot more offense than defense here in this game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Over. 

The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. Joel Embiid should feast here in the season opener, and both teams should do plenty of scoring. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Boston.

There is a meme going around the internet with a picture of referee Tony Brothers, captioned as the Warriors MVP of Game 5. Boston fans certainly feel that the Warriors got the better of the calls, and that it influenced the result of the game. For those who subscribe to conspiracy theories, the idea that the NBA would want Boston to win Game 6 and extend the series to increase revenue isn't all that far fetched. I do expect the home team to get the better of the calls early here in Game 6, and Boston should respond coming off back to back losses. The Celtics are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

The Warriors are back in the driver's seat after earning a split in Boston. They return home to play a pivotal Game 5, well aware that the team that takes a 3-2 lead has an 82 percent chance to win the Championship. The Zig Zag theory would favor the Celtics coming off a loss, but I am going to buck that trend and take the Warriors. Robert Williams has played through a knee injury and has been a huge factor in this series so far. He tweaked his knee in Game 4 and his status is in question for Game 5. Jason Tatum has been inconsistent, while Steph Curry is coming off a 43 point performance in Game 4. We have yet to see the best of Draymond Green, but I expect him to deliver in the clutch here at home in Game 5.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

The Warriors appeared to be overmatched in Game 1 of these Finals, but they flipped a switch in Game 2 and looked like a completely different team. They will have to do the same here in Game 4 in Boston, after getting blown out in the fourth quarter again in Game 3. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss, while the Celtics haven't won consecutive home games since the first round versus Brooklyn. Boston has failed to cover in four of their last five following a win of 10 points or more. The Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Celtics.

The Celtics got a split on the road in the first two games of these Finals, and they are in the driver's seat here heading into Game 3. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they could suffer a let down after such a one sided win in Game 2. The Celtics are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. The Warriors have failed to cover in four of their last five at Boston. Expect the Celtics to jump all over Golden State early in Game 3.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

Don't be foolish if you are a Warriors fan concerned about losing Game 1. Draymond Green said what should be obvious to everyone. Derrick White, Al Horford and Marcus Smart shot 15-of-23 from three point range, and that's like getting struck by lightning. Boston shooting better than 50 percent from beyond the arc is not something that can continue moving forward. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and they should blow the doors off here in Game 2.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

The Warriors are just a small favorite in the NBA Finals, but I don't have high hopes that the Celtics can make this a competitive series. There are memes floating around social media right now, showing that the Celtics have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings. If you are wondering how significant that is, keep in mind that similar memes showing Dallas winning three of four regular season meetings were floating around prior to the Western Conference Finals. The Mavs were lucky to win just one game in that series. The Celtics are young and inexperienced in comparison to the Warriors. We have a rookie head coach for Boston against a cagey veteran in Steve Kerr coaching the Warriors. Playing a seven game series against a banged up Miami Heat in the East Final doesn't bode well for the Celtics. A well rested Warriors team should take this series in 5-6 games, and Curry will finally win a Finals MVP.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Celtics.

I said this before Game 5: "So far this series has been back and forth, and the team coming off a loss has bounced back each time. The Heat come in looking to avenge a brutal 102-82 loss in Boston in Game 4. They are back home for Game 5, and with a healthy squad you would expect them to be far better on their home court. They don't have a healthy squad though, and without a healthy Jimmy Butler they are going to struggle to keep up to Boston. Butler scored just six points on 3-of-14 shooting in 27 minutes in Game 4. He's struggled while playing through a knee injury, and he's certainly not going to be at 100 percent just a few days later. The Celtics are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they should have more healthy bodies to throw out there in tonight's game." It was another disappointing performance from Jimmy Butler, and the injuries appear to have derailed the Heat.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

So the Warriors are now 0-3 in these playoffs in their first attempt to clinch a series. After losing Game 4 to the Nuggets in round 1, they came back and took care of business in Game 5. They lost Game  in their series versus Memphis, and won 110-96 back home in Game 6. Expect history to repeat itself here in Game 5 at Chase Center. The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have been blown out in three of their last four at Golden State. The Warriors are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. This is a let down spot for Dallas, and I expect the Dubs to open up a can of whupass as they book their ticket to the Finals.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Celtics.

So far this series has been back and forth, and the team coming off a loss has bounced back each time. The Heat come in looking to avenge a brutal 102-82 loss in Boston in Game 4. They are back home for Game 5, and with a healthy squad you would expect them to be far better on their home court. They don't have a healthy squad though, and without a healthy Jimmy Butler they are going to struggle to keep up to Boston. Butler scored just six points on 3-of-14 shooting in 27 minutes in Game 4. He's struggled while playing through a knee injury, and he's certainly not going to be at 100 percent just a few days later. The Celtics are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they should have more healthy bodies to throw out there in tonight's game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Dallas.

This isn't the first time in these playoffs that the Warriors have had a chance to sweep. After going up 3-0 on Denver, they came out flat in Game 4. The Nuggets had a double digit lead at halftime, and went on to win by a score of 126-121. In the second round against the Grizzlies, they had a chance to close out the series in Game 5. Memphis jumped all over them early, clobbering them by a score of 134-95 to extend the series. It certainly wouldn't be any shock at all if the Warriors turned in another lackluster effort here, and then take the series back home in Game 5. The old saying goes: "History Repeats Itself".

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Dallas.

The Mavs came out on fire in Game 2, with a 32-25 lead after the first quarter, and a 72-58 lead at halftime. The Warriors were able to rally in the second half and take a 2-0 series lead, and that means Game 3 in Dallas is a must win for the Mavs. The Warriors have failed to cover in four straight road games, and the Mavs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight as a home favorite. The Mavericks are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss. I like Dallas to blow the doors off in the first half here at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Celtics were dominant in the first half of Game 2, holding Miami to just 45 points. This comes after the Heat held Boston to just 45 points in the second half of Game 1. I am expecting both teams to bring their A-game on defense here in a pivotal Game 3 at the Garden. The Heat have failed to reach the total in four of their last five when coming off a loss, and the under is 9-4 in their last 13 overall. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five playoff games as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The Mavs were destined to suffer a let down after their epic Game 7 win over Phoenix, and sure enough they came out and shot just 36% from the field scoring only 87 points. They were 11-of-48 from beyond the arc, and it killed them. They will need to be more selective here in Game 2, and I would expect them to be far more competitive. The over is 8-3 in Mavericks last 11 road games, and they have gone over in 12 of their last 17 versus Golden State. The Mavs have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings versus Golden State, scoring an average of 123 points in those games. The over is 7-3 in the Warriors last 10 games following a straight up win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Boston.

The Celtics got off to a strong start in Game 1, but the Heat took over the game in the third quarter and went on to win 118-107. Boston has proven the ability to bounce back from a loss, covering in four straight when coming off a loss. The Celtics are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Miami, and they are are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. While it looks like Al Horford will miss Game 2, Marcus Smart is expected to be in the lineup. I like Boston to even this series at 1-1.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on GSW.

After crushing the Suns in Game 7, there are no shortage of believers in this Dallas team. The Mavs do look like the real deal, but Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals looks like a let down spot for Dallas. The Warriors have won all six of their home games in these playoffs, and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six Conference Finals games. Prior to their win in Game 7, the Mavs had lost all three road games in their series versus Phoenix. You might here a lot of talk of how the Mavs won the season series 3-1, but it's important to put those games into perspective. Draymond Green wasn't even in the lineup in three of those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Miami.

The Celtics come into the Eastern Conference Finals off an emotional Game 7 win over Milwaukee. This could set them up for a let down here on the road in Game 1 at Miami. The Heat won all three of their home games in the series versus Philly by a double digit margin. The Heat are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Finals games, and they are  8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. They started fast in both Game 1 in the first round versus Atlanta and in the second round versus Philly opening up a healthy lead after the first quarter.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on PHX.

The home team is 6-0 in this series heading back to Phoenix for Game 7. Historically home court advantage has been quite significant when an NBA series goes to a seventh game. The Mavericks are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. They shot just 38 percent from the field and scored just 80 points while losing Game 5 here at the Footprint Center. The Suns are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

Here is what I said before Game 6: "The Celtics are reeling after blowing a big lead late in Game 5, and now they have to win on the road in Milwaukee in Game 6 to avoid elimination. Boston looks banged up with Marcus Smart limping on the floor and Robert Williams siting out the last two games. Don't be fooled by the fact that Jason Tatum is coming off back to back 30 point games. He's just 5-for-21 from beyond the arc in those games. If the Celtics have to rely on Al Horford to be the best player on the floor, my money is on Giannis and the Bucks at home." Neither of these teams has won back to back games in this series, and I expect that trend to continue in Game 7.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Celtics are reeling after blowing a big lead late in Game 5, and now they have to win on the road in Milwaukee in Game 6 to avoid elimination. Boston looks banged up with Marcus Smart limping on the floor and Robert Williams siting out the last two games. Don't be fooled by the fact that Jason Tatum is coming off back to back 30 point games. He's just 5-for-21 from beyond the arc in those games. If the Celtics have to rely on Al Horford to be the best player on the floor, my money is on Giannis and the Bucks at home.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 2* play on Dallas.

I said the following before Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinal: "Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls." So fa the home team has won all five games in this series, and there is every indication that trend will continue.  The Suns are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. The Mavericks are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a ATS loss.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Philly.

I said the following before Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinal: "Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls." So fa the home team has won all five games in this series, and there is every indication that trend will continue. The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last five playoff games as an underdog, and they re 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Philadelphia.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Grizz.

Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls. When it was announced that Ja Morant will not play Game 5, the line moved 2.5 points. Of course Morant didn't play Game 4 in Golden State and that game went right down to the wire. Memphis is now 20-6 straight up in games without Morant this season. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Memphis, and the Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play Boston.

The Celtics stole all the momentum in this series with a come from behind win in Milwaukee in Game 4. Al Horford took the game over in the 4th quarter, scoring 30 points on 11-of-14 shooting. A pivotal Game 5 on the road looks like a tough spot for Milwaukee. The Bucks are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six at The Garden. They are are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. My money is on the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on PHX.

I said this prior to Game 2: "The Suns just barely covered in Game 1, after allowing Dallas to score 35 in the fourth quarter. That being said the game was never in doubt, the Suns were up by 13 points at the half and they took a 17 point lead into the 4th quarter. The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in the last 30 meetings, and they are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix. The Suns have won 10 straight versus Dallas dating back to 2020. The Suns are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Semifinals games. As impressive as the Mavs were in the first round, they were facing a Jazz team that is notorious for falling apart in the Playoffs. Phoenix is looking to get back to the Finals, and at this point it's tough to see anyone stopping them." The Mavs went on to win both games in Dallas drawing level in the series, and Chris Paul really struggled in those games. CP3 has something to prove here, and I like the Suns to blow the doors off early. The home team has won the first quarter in all four games in this series so far.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Miami.

The Heat are reeling after losing back to back games in Philly, but some home cooking might be just what the doctor ordered. The 76ers are 1-6-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Miami, and they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Jimmy Buckets scored 40 in Game 4, and I expect him to take over this series here in Miami.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Celtics.

The Bucks held on to win Game 3 as the Celtics game tying shot came just after the time expired. There was a lot of talk about controversial calls, and neither team was happy about the officiating. The fact that Jason Tatum scored 10 points on 4-of-19 shooting and the game nearly went to overtime might actually be a good sign heading into Game 4. Surely Tatum will be better here on Monday. The Celtics are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine coming off a loss. The Celtics are 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on PHI.

Who would of thought that Philly would come into Game 4 as the favorite, with a chance to tie the series. They looked completely overmatched in the first two games of this series, but now it's Miami that is dealing with injuries. Embiid is back, while Lowry, Butler, Hero, Strus, Tucker, Vincent, Martin and Dedmon are all playing hurt. Miami scored just 79 points on 35 percent shooting in Game 3, and I am expecting them to struggle again here in Philly.

GL,

Jesse Schule

    

This is a 5* play on Dallas.

The Mavs returned home trailing 0-2 in the series, and they took care of business in Game 3. Luka Doncic scored 35 points in a losing effort in Game 2, but Game 3 was more of a team effort. The Mavs started that game strong, and they actually held a lead at halftime. The Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games, and they were 3-0 ATS in the first quarter of their three home games in the first round. The Mavericks are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on GSW.

The Grizzlies have had trouble with slow starts in these playoffs, and they are strutting into San Francisco with their chests puffed out after a big win in Game 2. This sets them up for a big let down here in Game 3, and I expect the Warriors to blow the doors off early. The Warriors lost once in their first round series versus Denver, and in the next game they started strong leading 30-25 after the first quarter. The Grizzlies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 playoff games as an underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Milwaukee.

The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and Boston has lost four of their last five in Milwaukee. Their last visit was exactly a month ago, and the Bucks won that game 127-121. After the beating they took in Game 2 at the Garden, they will have a point to prove. Expect them to start like a house on fire, blowing the doors off in the first quarter and taking a healthy lead to the locker room at halftime. In the first round they lost Game 2 versus the Bulls, and went on to win the next game by 30 points. The Bucks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss.

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is a 5* play on the Bucks.

The Celtics had no answer for Milwaukee in Game 1, and it's difficult to imagine how they are going to turn things around a few days later without Marcus Smart. Boston was a 4.5 point favorite in Game 1, and they are again asked to cover points in Game 2. It seems quite clear that even if the Celtics can win this game (and that might be a big if) they shouldn't be asked to cover a bunch of points against a the two time MVP and defending NBA Champions. The Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on PHX.

The Suns came into the post-season as the best team in the NBA, and in the first round they survived an injury to Devin Booker. They host the Mavs in the second round, and Booker is back at full strength. Chris Paul ia coming off a perfect shooting night, going 14-of-14 from the field in Game 6 versus the Pelicans. The Suns have won nine straight versus Dallas dating back to 2020. The Suns are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. As impressive as the Mavs were in the first round, they were facing a Jazz team that is notorious for falling apart in the Playoffs. Phoenix is looking to get back to the Finals, and at this point it's tough to see anyone stopping them.

GL,

Jesse Schule

5*

5*

This is a 5* play on Dallas.

I said this prior to Game 5: "I bet on Utah in Game 4, and I consider myself quite lucky to have escaped with a win. The Jazz held on to win by a score of 100-99, despite 30 points from Luka Doncic. The calf injury that kept him out of the first three games didn't seem to bother Luka, and he looked great in his return. The Jazz are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus the Mavericks, and their reputation for choking in the post-season looms large." The Mavs have all the momentum and with Donovan Mitchell hurt this series could be over.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Suns.

The Suns were the best team in the NBA this season, and they have a chance to clinch this series here in New Orleans tonight. They proved that they have the depth to win without their leading scorer, even on the road. They will get Booker back tonight, and that makes it a daunting task for the Pelicans. The Suns have covered in four of their last five at New Orleans, and three of those four wins came by a double digit margin. Expect this to be a blowout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on TOR.

Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "No team has ever come back from an 0-3 series deficit in the NBA Playoffs, so you have to think this series is over. That being said, the Raptors have to chance to prevent the Sixers from celebrating on their court if they can win Game 4 and extend the series. The Sixers are due for a let down after winning Game 3 with a buzzer beater three-point shot from Joel Embiid. The 76ers are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Toronto, and I like the Raptors to salvage some pride here in Game 4." With Embiid struggling to play hurt, and Toronto potentially at full strength in Game 6, this series appears to be destined to go to a Game 7.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Miami.

I bet Miami in Game 4, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Hawks win in Game 3 will prevent them from being swept, but I don't think they are back in the series. Trae Young hit the game winner in the final seconds, but it wasn't really a convincing performance. Kyle Lowry might be out with a hamstring injury, but the Heat were 12-7 in games he missed during the regular season. The Hawks are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. The Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, and I expect them to want it more here in Game 4." Back in Miami it's going to get ugly for Trae Young and the Hawks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Dallas.

I bet on Utah in Game 4, and I consider myself quite lucky to have escaped with a win. The Jazz held on to win by a score of 100-99, despite 30 points from Luka Doncic. The calf injury that kept him out of the first three games didn't seem to bother Luka, and he looked great in his return. The Jazz are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus the Mavericks, and their reputation for choking in the post-season looms large.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Miami.

The Hawks win in Game 3 will prevent them from being swept, but I don't think they are back in the series. Trae Young hit the game winner in the final seconds, but it wasn't really a convincing performance. Kyle Lowry might be out with a hamstring injury, but the Heat were 12-7 in games he missed during the regular season. The Hawks are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. The Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, and I expect them to want it more here in Game 4.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Utah.

Right now the Jazz are the laughing stock of the NBA. Everyone has them labelled as fraud, a team that can't win in the Playoffs despite success in the regular season. As bad as it is, they still have a chance to even the series at 2-2 with a win on their home court against a Dallas team that has been playing without it's leading scorer. It will be very important for the Jazz to get off to a good start in Game 4. This does look like a let down spot for the Mavs.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Toronto.

No team has ever come back from an 0-3 series deficit in the NBA Playoffs, so you have to think this series is over. That being said, the Raptors have to chance to prevent the Sixers from celebrating on their court if they can win Game 4 and extend the series. The Sixers are due for a let down after winning Game 3 with a buzzer beater three-point shot from Joel Embiid. The 76ers are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Toronto, and I like the Raptors to salvage some pride here in Game 4.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bulls.

The Bulls lost 15 of their last 22 regular season games, and an early exit in the Playoffs seemed likely. Heading into Game 3 versus the Bucks, everything has flipped on it's head. Chicago has been the better team in this series, and the Bucks were lucky to win Game 1. Now Milwaukee won't have Kris Middleton for the rest of the series, and the Bulls look to take advantage on their home court. DeRozan scored 41 points in Game 2, and Chicago has all the momentum. I expect the home crowd to fuel a hot start for the home team.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Minnesota.

The home team won all four meetings during the regular season, but the Timberwolves shocked the Grizzlies by winning Game 1 in Memphis. The Grizzlies handed them a 28 point loss in Game 2, and the Timberwolves are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. Back home for Game 3, I expect the home team to come out firing on all cylinders from the opening tip off. The Grizzlies are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games. Memphis could suffer a let down here in Game 3.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Bulls.

DeRozan after Game 1: "I'm not gonna go 6-for25 again". The Bulls shot 32 % from the field and just 18 % from beyond the arc in Game 1 and still almost won. While I am not convinced the Bulls won't get swept, I think it's asking a lot for the Bucks to be a double digit favorite after nearly blowing the series opener.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Toronto.

This series has been totally one-sided so far, but expect the Raptors to push back in Game 3 in Toronto. The 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six north of the border. The Raptors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss. They know that this is a must win, and I expect them to blow the doors off in the first half. When Toronto lost the first two games of the Conference Finals versus the Milwaukee Bucks in 2019, they went on to win the next four games, winning the series and going on to win the Championship. Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam were a huge part of that championship squad, and they should be great with their backs against the wall in Game 3.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Boston.

I said this before Game 1: "While KD and Kyrie are without a doubt a formidable force, the Nets have serious issues with depth. The Nets won their play-in game against the Cavs, but failed to cover. Kyrie started that game 12-for-12, and you have to wonder what would have happened if he didn't make every shot, and realize you can't count on him to do that every night. The Celtics were the best team in the NBA after the All Star break, and they finished the season winning 19 of their last 25 overall. The Celtics dominated the season series, even when both Kyrie and KD were in the lineup. A lack of depth, poor defense and relying too heavily on two players is a lot to overcome for Brooklyn." The Nets shot 53.8% from the field and over 45% from beyond the arc, and it wasn't enough to win Game 1. I don't expect it to get an easier in Game 2 in Boston.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Philly.

I had high hopes for the Raptors in this series, but losing three key players (Barnes, Trent Jr. and Young) in Game 1 doesn't bode well heading into Game 2 in Philly. The MVP Joel Embiid scored just 19 points on 5 -of-15 shooting in Game 1, and the Sixers won by 20. You can expect Embiid to be better in Game 2, and all of a sudden the Raptors are at a huge disadvantage. Toronto was in foul trouble throughout Game 1, and Van Fleet and Boucher both fouled out. Staying out of foul trouble is going to be that much more difficult with fewer bodies to through out there.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Boston. 

The media is pumping up the Nets, and many are picking Brooklyn as the team to beat in the Eastern Conference. While KD and Kyrie are without a doubt a formidable force, the Nets have serious issues with depth. The Nets won their play-in game against the Cavs, but failed to cover. Kyrie started that game 12-for-12, and you have to wonder what would have happened if he didn't make every shot, and realize you can't count on him to do that every night. The Celtics were the best team in the NBA after the All Star break, and they finished the season winning 19 of their last 25 overall. The Celtics dominated the season series, even when both Kyrie and KD were in the lineup. A lack of depth, poor defense and relying too heavily on two players is a lot to overcome for Brooklyn. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Toronto.

I like the Raptors to steal Game 1 and win this series in six games or less. Philly is the favorite, but it's no secret that they don't match up well with this young, athletic Raptors team. James Harden is a proven playoff performer (proven to underperform). He averaged just over 10 points per game in the Eastern Conference Semi Finals versus Milwaukee last year. He averaged just over 15 points per game in the month of April, and it's obvious that he didn't come into this season in the best shape of his life. The Raptors are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four versus Philly.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz.

No Luka Doncic in Game 1 should spell trouble for the Mavs. Dallas played 17 games without him this season, going 8-9 and averaging 107 points per game. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last eight playoff games as a favorite, and they have covered four straight in the first round. Utah has a history of playoff disappointment, losing in the second round to the Clippers last year, and getting bounced in the first round by Denver the year before that. They have an opportunity to flip the script here, and I expect them to take full advantage.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Atlanta.

The Cavs were a competitive team in the East during the regular season, and they have an impressive group of young and talented players. I don't think they are ready to take the next step into the post-season though, and that is evidenced by the fact that they lost seven of their last 10 games. Atlanta made it to the Eastern Conference Finals in last year's playoffs, and watching them play their play-in game against Charlotte it looked like they are ready for another strong post-season run. Trae Young has lit up the Cavs to the tune of 32.5 points per game in the season series (4 games). The Hawks have covered in six straight as a favorite, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the Cavs.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Atlanta.

The Hawks host the Charlotte Hornets in the play-in game Wednesday, and home court advantage should be key in this game. The Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a favorite, and they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Atlanta had as many home wins as the Milwaukee Bucks (27) during the regular season. Trae Young finished the season strong, averaging 31 points per game in his last five starts. He averaged four points more at home than he does on the road. The Hornets will miss Gordon Hayward, and wiithout him it will be tough to keep up with high scoring Hawks in Atlanta.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Clippers.

Normally I would take a look at stats and trends in my analysis, but in the case of the Clippers the numbers don't seem all that relevant. Norman Powell (they call him Playoff Powell in Toronto) missed all but two games in the second half of the season, and since his return he's averaged 22 points and the Clippers won both games. Paul George only played in five games after the All Star break, but he's ready to go for the playoffs. Veteran forward Marcus Morris has also missed a significant portion of the season. but he's also healthy in time for the playoffs. Minnesota has enjoyed success in the regular season, but I am reminded of Jimmy Butler's final days in Minnesota. In his final practice with the team he told Karl Anthony Towns that he was "as soft as a baby's sh#t". Jimmy has since backed up his talk, but the verdict is still out on KAT and the rest of the T-Pups. I'll take the more experienced Clippers as a dog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Orlando.

The Heat have already clinched first place in the East, so this is a meaningless game in Orlando. Jimmy Butler didn't travel with the team, and this should be a game where the starters give way to the backups. The Magic won their last home game by a score of 120-115 over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Heat have only covered twice in their last seven games at Orlando, and the Magic look good as a double digit home dog in a meaningless game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Chicago.

The Bulls have faded in the second half of the season, and they come into tonight's home game against Charlotte off three straight losses. Those losses came against Milwaukee, Boston and Miami, the top three teams in the East. The Hornets have already clinched a spot in the play-in, and right now their top priority might be staying healthy. Gordon Hayward is not expected to play as he rests his foot injury. The Bulls don't want to take a losing streak into the playoffs, so they should go all out tonight. The Bulls are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite, while the Hornets have failed to cover in five straight when playing the second game of a back to back.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Spurs come into Denver as winners of six of their last seven overall, and given the high stakes with just a few games to go in the regular season this might as well be a playoff game. Denver is just a half game up on Utah in the Northwest, and the Spurs are just two games up on the Lakers for the final play-in spot. San Antonio has played solid defense during a five game stretch, allowing an average of just 107.6 points. The total for tonight's game is 10+ points higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The under is 19-9-2 in Spurs last 30 games as a road underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 at Denver.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on UNC.

Here is what I said prior to the Tar Heels Final Four win: "Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%." As good as Kansas is, they aren't unbeatable. They had their hands full with Creighton and Providence in the tournament, and it seems like a big ask to cover and handful of points here in the Final. 

GL,

Jesse Schule

8*

This is an 8* play on UNC.

Duke will be the favorite in their Final Four matchup versus North Carolina, and the question is how much better than the Tar Heels is this team. They finished with one more win in the ACC, and they both got eliminated by Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. The Tar Heels upset Duke in Coach K's final home game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have been lighting it up in the NCAA Tournament. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. The Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, and I am not sure they are 4.5 points better than UNC.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Both the Jayhawks and the Wildcats have been outstanding defensively in the Tournament. Kansas has held it's last five opponents to an average of just 60.8 points per game, while Villanova has allowed just 53.6 points per game over their last five. Here in the Final Four the stakes are high, so don't expect either team to waste any time cranking up the defensive intensity. The under is 8-1 in the Wildcats last nine neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at the NCAA Tournament. The under is 7-3 in the Jayhawks last 10 overall, and they have also failed to reach the total in four of their last five NCAA Tournament games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Chicago.

The Bulls were sitting in first place in the Eastern Conference earlier in the season, but they have slipped all the way to 5th in the East, trailing first place Miami by 4.5 games. They appear to be primed to finish strong, with most of their starting lineup healthy and DeMar Derozan scoring 30+ in back to back games. The Clippers have failed to cover in five of their last six overall, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the Clippers, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. Chicago is also 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on TAM.

The Aggies won seven straight games before losing to Tennessee in the SEC Tournament, and they felt slighted not to be invited to the Big Dance. They are taking it out on their opponents here in the NIT, and they have Semi Final matchup tonight against the Washington State Cougars. The Cougars are coming off a blowout win at BYU, but they are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win. The Aggies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last seven at a neutral site.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on UNC.

There isn't a lot of room left on the St. Peters bandwagon, as it seems that everyone is a die hard Peacocks fan these days. It's impossible not to give them credit for making the Elite-8, but the road to the Final Four has a major obstacle ahead. North Carolina has scored an average of 87 points per game in the tournament so far, including a 93-86 win over defending champs and #1 seed Baylor. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. Everyone loves a Cinderella Story, but we all know how it ends. The clock is about to strike midnight for the Peacocks.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Miami.

While the Hurricanes are one of the few remaining teams that were not projected to be here, keep in mind that they finished just two games behind Duke and a game back of North Carolina in the ACC this year. They beat Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium and won at home versus the Tar Heels. The were bounced from the ACC Tournament in an 80-76 loss to Duke. Kansas survived close games against Creighton and Providence, and they can expect to be challenged once again in the Elite-8 versus Miami. The Hurricanes are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, and the Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Razorbacks are coming off an upset win over Gonzaga, holding the nation's #1 offense to just 68 points. They have allowed an average of just 62 points per game in the tournament so far. The under is 7-2 in the Razorbacks last nine NCAA Tournament games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six games as an underdog at a neutral site. Arkansas will rely on their defense here as they are not equipped to match Duke offensively. They rank near the bottom of the SEC in field goal percentage as well as three-point percentage.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on BKN.

The Nets still need to go on a winning streak to get into the playoffs, but things appear to be trending in the right direction as Kyrie Irving has been cleared to play in the rest of their home games. We got a preview of what Kyrie and KD can do, as they went off for a combined 78 points. They were on the wrong side of a shootout in Memphis, but they might have more luck here in Miami against a struggling Heat team. The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight home games. The Nets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

10*

This is a 10* play on UNC.

The Tar Heels scored 90+ points in both their first two games of the tournament. UCLA struggled on offense in their first round matchup versus Akron, scoring just 57 points, and they have averaged less than 70 points over their last five games. The Tar Heels are 8-1 in their last nine games overall, and that includes a win at Duke in Coach K's last home game. North Carolina ranked second in the ACC with a three-point percentage of .385, and the Tar Heels ranked first in the conference in free throw shooting hitting over 77%. I will take the hot team as an underdog here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Providence.

I bet on the Friars in their win over Richmond, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Friars finished first in the Big East this season with a 14-3 record, half a game ahead of Villanova. The Wildcats are favored by 15 in their first round matchup versus a 15 seed. The Friars are just a slight favorite here against 12 seed Richmond." They won the game by 28 points, and they look good as a big underdog here versus Kansas. The Friars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog, and the Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Cougars are coming off a 68-53 win over Illinois, and I expect another low score here in the Sweet-16. Arizona has scored 80+ points in eight straight, but they are going to find it tough sledding here against a Cougars defense that has allowed just 59.2 points per game over their last five. The under is 6-2-1 in Cougars last nine overall, and they have failed to reach the total in 14 of their last 20 as an underdog. I am predicting a final score of 76-67.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Texas Tech.

Duke is coming off an 85-76 win over Michigan State, but the final score in that game is a little misleading. The Spartans were in the lead with 2:18 to play, but Duke ended the game with a 12-2 run in the final two minutes. The Red Raiders are coming off a 59-53 win over Notre Dame, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. The Blue Devils are 1-7 ATS in their last eight NCAA Tournament games. Texas Tech has held their last five opponents to an average of 57 points. Duke can score with the best of them but they can't play defense like Texas Tech.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Villanova.

Michigan has got off to slow starts in both their first two games at the NCAA Tournament, but they have manged to come back and win. That might not be so easy in the Sweet-16 versus Villanova. The Wildcats are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. They beat Ohio State by double digits in their last game, and they have won 12 of their last 13 overall. The Wolverines are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Over.

The BYU Cougars have scored 90+ points in both of their NIT games so far, and they host a Washington State Cougars team that can also score their share of points. Washington State has averaged 72.6 points per game over their last five, while BYU has scored 81.2 points per game in their last five. The over is 15-7 in the Wazzu Cougars last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The BYU Cougars have gone over in five of their last seven as a favorite.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on BKN,

The Nets have won six of their last seven overall, but they still need to pile up some more wins to avoid a play-in situation. Kyrie is only appearing in road games, but he's trying to make up for it by going off for 60 points, and 50 points in two of his last three starts. This was supposed to be a showdown against one of the best young guards in the league, but it looks like Ja Morant may miss the game with knee soreness. The Nets are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Memphis. The Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on Under.

The Hawks are currently sitting in the 10th spot in the Eastern Conference, which has them playing a play-in game to advance to the playoffs. They are only 2.5 games back of 8th place Brooklyn, and if they could move up a few spots then at least their play-in game would be in Atlanta. They will take on the Knicks in New York Tuesday, and the Knicks rank 27th in the NBA averaging just 106 points per game. The under is 5-1 in the Hawks last six road games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall. The under is 5-1 in the Knicks last six games playing on 1 days rest. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is an 8* play on the Pistons.

The Pistons are one of the worst teams in the NBA, so it looks a little strange seeing them such a big favorite here tonight. They host a Portland team that is playing on back to back nights at the end of a road trip on the other side of the country. The Blazers have lost 10 of their last 11 and nine of those 1o losses came by at least nine points. The Trail Blazers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Pistons don't win a lot of games, but they have been playing great lately. This is a chance to get a win at home, and I expect them to take full advantage. The Pistons are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in five of their last six home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule