082919

4* (137) Florida International+ over Tulane

8:00 Eastern

The Green Wave come in a solid 12-5 ATS against the C-USA, but return just 5 starters (13) on the offensive side of the ball.  FIU brings 8 offensive starters (16) which should help them greatly procuring an outright road upset considering QB Morgan is back again with his wide out crew to inflect damage.  Remember, the math charts project Tulane falling in the AAC power rankings, while the Golden Panthers are near the top in the C-USA.  FIU shows 6-0 ATS road L6, 4-1 ATS in non-conference and 12-5 ATS on turf.  We’ll project another upset (Hawaii) this time in a road setting.  Good Luck.

4*  Hawaii+ (254) over Arizona

College Football Week "O" Opener...BDS

Arizona (5-7) is coming off a lackluster PAC-12 season this time with coach Sumlin which includes a so-so recruiting season almost last in the conference.  Last season 'Zona averaged 31.3 points with QB Tate (2,530) who was injured but still accrued solid yards. Running back Tate (1,434) will be back and is one of their keys in 2019.  No, matter we don't see their defense improving over 2018 (32.6) as they surrendered over 4 touches a game.  Hawaii went to the run-n-shot offense last season moving their 2017 record from 3-9 to 8-6 in 2018 with a much more competitive unit in the MWC and HC Rolovich is staying with this system.  He has QB McDonald (3,875) back to hopefully improve on the 36 touchdowns from last season.  The offense averaged 32.2 points a game and the HC has said, "he sees much improvement in the spring."  Just like Zona the 'Canes have had problems on defense allowing 34.5 points per game in 2018, but they do have 9 starters back on that side of the ball?  Overall Hawaii is an experienced football team and have a chance to the pull the upset in this non-conference tilt.  With Hawaii 5-0 ATS in the month of August, we'll take the points.  GL.

9:07 Eastern

5* Houston (Miley) over Los Angeles (Harvey)

MLB Solid Best Runs Line Winner…BDS

After winning last night the Astros (60-37) look to exit Los Angeles with a huge win over Harvey and the Angles (50-47). The Astros bring lefty Miley (7-4, 3.32) to challenge young Harvey (3-4, 6.88) of Los Angeles. In Miley’s last three outings Houston is 2-1 with wins over KC and Seattle, the lone loss to Minnesota.  In his Twins loss Miley just threw 2-2/3’s innings with the Twins winning 16-7.  Harvey of the Angels is 3-0 last three times out beating Texas, Colorado and Seattle.  In theseries, Houston is a sharp 10-3 last thirteen on the board.   Challenging the ALW Miley/Houston come 5-0 L5 and overall 11-4 L15 in Miley starts overall.  LAA has hit well against lefties at home (4-1) but, they show 0-4 L4 starts with Harvey against >.500 clubs. For our money, I believe we should back Houston in this spot.  Good Luck.

12:00

4* (H) Chicago+ (6-3) over Washington (7-3)

Would normally look at the Mystics since they have won three straight games but, all on the road by double-digits, if they were playing at home.  However, this is their four in a row, playing at Chicago who just defeated Connecticut (9-2) 93-75.  There may be a letdown angle to look at but, the Sky was drubbed earlier by Washington 103-85.  Fundamentally, the Mystics have a real shot to win here with 4 double-digit scorers coming out of the Sun win. They will need to minimize Delle Donna on the board.  Remember the Mystics are just 1-4 ATS L5 with two days of rest.  So, we must support the home unit is a perfect 7-0 ATS L7 against winning units.   

2:00 Eastern

 5* (926) Houston -1-1/2 Runs over Toronto

Baseball Runs Lines Game of the Week

Houston (Valdez) cashed yesterday with a 7-2 win over Toronto (25-45) and Richard.  In the Sunday closer the Blue Jays bring Trent Thornton (1- 5, 4.78), while Houston (48-23) challenges with talented hurler Brad Peacock (6-3, 3.42­­).  The Astros play with a 41-12 record at home against

4* Houston -1-1/2 Runs (970) over Toronto

Our runs line edition looks to the Astros who just took out the Blue Jays easily on Friday evening to start the series.  Toronto (25-44) uses lefty Richard (0-2, 7.04) who is 0-2 his last three starts carrying 11-1/3 innings with a hefty 8.74 ERA.  Adding more misery Toronto brings an 0-5 L5 versus winning units and an 0-6 brand of baseball in Saturday calls.  To make matters worse umpire Cooper is behind the plate with the Jays showing 1-4 on Saturday’s.  We know Toronto has fared well lately against lefties, but so has the Astros at home.  Overall Houston is a solid 35-16 challenging port side hurlers L51 times out.  Lefty Valdez (2-2, 2.73) for Houston is off his first insert as a starter pitching 7 solid innings at Baltimore giving up just 1 earned run and 5 hits.  As a team the Jays are hitting .230 and the Astros .270 against lefties.  From the slugging percentage, the Jays are at .380, while Houston has a more respectful .473 BA.  From the run differential angle the Jays show a miserable -86 versus Houston’s + 109 on the season.  Since we have key major variances in the numbers, use the run line and win again.  Good Luck.

8:00 Eastern

3* Golden State+ (523) over Toronto

NBA Playoff Appreciation Angle…BDS

We cashed Saturday with the appreciation move in baseball, and we look to continue winning this time in the NBA Playoffs up in Toronto (71-30).  Golden State (69-30) shows behind and badly needs to be successful here today.  In the series, the underdog is 4-1 ATS L5 on the board.  The Warriors show 6-2 ATS with two days of rest, the Raptors 1-4 ATS in the same set. Also, note Toronto shot extremely well in their last battle, but we doubt the same effectiveness Sunday with the Warriors in need.  Good Luck.

NOTE:

THE LAST 7 WINS BY THE TWINS HAVE THEM WINNING BY 2 RUNS OR MORE.  GL.

Carrasco laying, but on the road in 4 outings 16 runs allowed and there was a solid shutout against the Twins.  Does the veteran fade against lesser foes.  Good Luck.

FREE...PHILLY

7:35 Eastern…

Brad Diamond Sports

4* Toronto (554) over Philadelphia

NBA Playoff Side Best Bet…

The Raptors (62-25) show up at home against the Sixers (55-32) on Saturday evening in the first Semifinal Playoff game in the East.  Already Philadelphia starts with an issue as Mike Scott is out creating quality depth issues.  This year Toronto was 3-1 SU and ATS against the Sixers.  Over the last seventeen games in the series, the Raptors show 13-4 ATS.  Philadelphia brings and 0-4 ATS mark at Toronto, while executing today formulating a horrid 0-4 ATS on three or more days of rest.  With the home team 5-1 ATS L6 in the series, we’ll back Toronto in game #1.  Good Luck.

5* Toronto over Orlando

NBA PLAYOFF BEST BET

BDS

4* NETS+ over Philadelphia

NBA Super Angle...BDS

4* Toronto over Orlando

NBA PLAYOFF ROUND

BDS

4* Tampa Bay -1-1/2 over Baltimore

MLB RUNS LINE EDITION...BDS

4* Philadelphia over Nets

NBA PLAYOFF ROUND...BDS

4* OKC+ over Portland

NBA PLAYOFF BEST BET...BDS

4* Nets+ over Philadelphia

NBA FIRST ROUND BEST BET

BDS

4* BALTIMORE +1-1/2 over Boston

MLB RUNS LINE EDITION...BDS

4* LAC over Utah

NBA KEY POWER ANGLE...BDS

4* COLUMBUS +1-1/2 over Tampa Bay

PLAYOFF PUCK LINE EDITION...BDS

4* Phoenix+ over Dallas

NBA Shocker Alert...BDS

4* Toronto over Minnesota

NBA Key Power Angle...BDS

4* Cleveland+ over Charlotte

NBA Super Revers Angle...BDS

3* DALLAS+ over Memphis

NBA APPRECIATION ANGLE...BDS

3* NEW JERSEY+ over Indiana

NBA KEY APPRECIATION...BDS

3* Minnesota+ over OKC

NBA APPRECIATION...BDS

3* Miami+ over Toronto

NBA Key Reverse Angle...BDS

4* MICHIGAN STATE over Texas Tech

FINAL FOUR KEY ANGLE...BDS

4* Auburn+ over Virginia

NCAA FINAL FOUR ANGLE...BDS

4* South Florida+ over DePaul

CBB Tourney Action...BDS

4* DENVER+ over Golden State

NBA CRUSHER SERIES...BDS

4* TCU over Texas

In this series the Frogs have won 5 of 6 SU and ATS.  On neutral sites they are 17-7 ATS, while Texas is 1-5 ATS.  Statistically on neutral boards we find TCU 79.5/65.3 with the Longhorns 72.5/75.8, and obvious edge for the Frogs.  A problem will show here for Texas as last month 6'11'' Jaxson Hayes (10.0) went down with an injury.  Take the Horned Frogs tonight to cover the number.  Good Luck.

4* LAKERS+ over OKC

NBA LATE SEASON ANGLE...BDS

3* OKC over Dallas

NBA KILLER ANGLE...BDS

4* Kentucky over Auburn

NCAA TOURNEY BEST BET...BDS

4* Purdue+ over Virginia

NCAA TOURNEY KEY ANGLE...BDS

4* Texas Tech+ over Gonzaga

NCAA Tourney Saturday Edition...BDS

3* Cleveland+ over LAC

NBA APPRECIATION ANGLE

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

3* Charlotte over LA Lakers

NBA APPRECIATION ANGLE...BDS

4 UNC overs Auburn

NCAA Tourney Best

BDS

4* CS Bakersfield+ over Green Bay

CIT GAME WINNER...BDS

4* TEXAS TECH+ over Michigan

NCAA Massive Move...BDS

4* Houston -5 over Denver

This is a give back game for the Rockets after being crushed by Denver 136-122 on the road.  The favorite in the series is 2-1 ATS this season, 3-0 ATS last year.  The aspiring Nuggets show 7-20 ATS versus the Southwest and 1-5 ATS with just one day of rest.  Houston in same season revenge brings a 3-1-1 ATS with a day of rest.  For your best chance of winning, go with the Rockets.

Note:

College Hoops later this afternoon, Good Luck.

4* FLORIDA STATE+ over Gonzaga

NCAA BARN BURNER...BDS

4* Creighton+ over TCU

CBB Tourney Upset...BDs

3* MINNESOTA+ over LA Clippers

NBA APPRECIATION ANGLE

BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS

4* Florida International+ over Green Bay

CIT Best Bet Angle...BDS

3* Longwood+ over DePaul

CBI Tourney Angle...BDS

4* ORLANDO+ over Philadelphia

NBA POWER ANGLE...BDS