5* USF over Charlotte @ 2:00 Eastern

Although both units have been inconsistent in the early going, the recent coaching change at UNCC this early in the season could be a devastating factor when facing the Bulls.  Good Luck.

 4* (712) HOUSTON ROCKETS over LA

No doubt the Rockets are super hot winning fourteen straight games.  When showing off rest they are 9-4-1 ATS.  They play to a weak defense of the Lakers who have been surrenderinng almost 110-points per game. They are near the bottom of the league in scoring defense.  Although they may not look like a super crusher spot, I still believe the Rockets talents and "kill instinct" will do the trick. 

They have CASHED on a 19-7 ATS tear against Houston most recently. 

Good Luck.

10* LA TECH+ POINTS vs. SMU...SMU playing in their last CFB Bowl going back in  2012. Since finishing 7-5 (#69 Power Scale), they appear to have an edge against LT who competed for 6-6 with a #69 Power Scale. Still must note their former HC Chad Morris left for the opening at Arkansas. The 'Stangs just 1-3-1 ATS outside of their home stadium and a horrid recent 1-5-1 ATS L7 in 2017. La Tech has had a nice 32-21 ATS record in bowl action L53 on the board, usually playing fairly well with a 4-1 ATS L5 vs. Bowl opponents. Critical, they are 12-5 L17 ATS as a Bowl dog. No doubt the 'Stangs have the talent edge but, may be faced with a disinterested unit. Good Luck.

4* (749) Houston Cougars (9-2 SU) vs. Providence Friars (8-3 SU)

CBB Eastern Edge Best Bet…BDS

Injury:  Emmitt Holt is out for Providence, while both guards “?” also.

In the power systems report, we found the Cougars at 82.77, Friars 79.6

Because the guard injuries Providence will have lesser of a chance to support their floor game against up-tempo Houston.  Gray and Brooks should at least guarantee a non-conference road here and should cover a number that will most likely catch Friar's action for the eastern setting. If Bullock doesn’t get tired out the game will be close but, but we’ll lay the short price knowing Providence is 2-7 ATS against .500+ teams. Remember Houston is on a nice 4-1 ATS run in non-conference game, and they should defeat an inflated LSU last time.  Good Luck.

10* Philadelphia+ (127) over LA Rams @ 4:25 Eastern

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR...BDS

Last week we gave you an early move on the Seahawks over Philadelphia, we cashed a nice 5* winner with the line value a plus. Here is a similar situation as the line has moved to LA interests so, we will dive in now and play the Eagles to CRUSH THE BOOKS.  Although the Eagles lost last week it should be noted they do show a PERFECT 5-0 ATS after gaining 350+ total yards. Overall the Eagles come in 10-2 SU, the Rams 9-3.  Los Angeles has a slight edge in strength of schedule.  In order to beat LA, the Eagles highly rated defense will have to slow the Rams rushing attack that is accruing 4.7 yards per rush.  Philly has held running teams to 68.1 yards on average this season.  The Eagles show 7-0 ATS on grass 8-1 L9 ATS.   The Rams are 1-4 ATS in December and 4-9 ATS in week #14.  By the way, Philly brings a super 11-4-1 ATS record in week #14.  The Eagles have covered four straight in the series.  And, the closer QB Wentz (72.4) of Philly has a much higher rating than Goff (54.9) of the Rams, and the difference in the game just maybe Wentz is averaging 9.7 yards per rush, Goff 3.4 yards per. Good Luck.

3* SOUTHERN MISS+ over Troy State

CBB Line Adjustment Angle...BDS

Note, free selections, LaSalle+ over Philadelphi

4* CAROLINA +3 (116) over Minnesota @ 1:00 Eastern

This is a huge game for the Panthers as a win will tie them with the Saints for first place in the division.  On the other hand, Minny is rolling with no comes in the NFC North.  The Panthers come in 17-6 SU at home over the last three years, 5-1 ATS off a SU loss.  The Vikings have been on an extended winning streak, and bring a 6-0 ATS record in week #14.  Statistically, the units are very similar on offense and defense in 2017.   However, the underdog in the series is carrying a super 80% run, 4-1 L5 times on the board.  TAKE THE POINTS!

4* Wichita State over Oklahoma State

CBB SHOCKER OF THE DAY...BDS

Last year 93-76 Oklahoma State but, the Pokes had Evans and Carroll scoring 22 each both are gone from the program. Also, in 2016 OKS shot 52.5% overall and 50% from three. Not gonna happen today. Despite the road setting this is a TRIPLE REVENGE situation for the Shockers who are a massive 45-21 ATS on the road L66 games.   Both units are 7-1 SU, however, Wichita State has the revenge motive and the more talented club at this time. Good Luck.

TOP PLAY LATE MONEY MOVE...BDS

5* PENNSYLVANIA (757) over Dayton @ 3:00 Eastern

CBB Eastern Edge Best Bet...BDS

The 7-4 Quakers visit the 4-4 Flyers in what should be a close game no matter the final score.  Granted Dayton has played a more difficult schedule but, the experienced unit from Penn has been consistent in the early going.  Penn's RPI is a respectable 92 for an Ivy unit with the Flyers booking #78 out of the A-10.  Granted the Quakers come in just 1-5 ATS against the A-10 conference but, Dayton shows 0-4 ATS off an SU win.  This is Penn's eight straight road game and they have been playing with great character and play with two days of rest.  We are catching some line value because of the overall situation and the fact Dayton is in the middle final exams.  As I mentioned this should be a closer game than expected with the Quakers being "smart" on the court.  So, I'll TAKE THE POINTS with Pennsylvania.  Good Luck.

4* St. Bonnies (746) over Yale @ 2:00 Eastern

BDS Famous Eastern Edge...BDS

No doubt these two have played some fierce games over the years but, but like kind opponents in 2017 give us the edge with the Bonnies this time, despite the number.  SBA has covered 5 straight vs. the Ivy League. Granted Yale (6-2) has won three straight vs. Canisius, Buffalo, and Siena which must be respected considering the road sets. The key has been guard Copeland who has been on fire of late plus, the Eli play with depth.   SBA (6-2) does bring an outstanding scoring defense (64.4) that just might be the key to the whole game.  Remember, Yale will be without Mason and Brunner who could have made a difference against the Bonnies guards!   Last year Guard Copeland pounded the SBA defense for 25-points, he must replicate that effort or the Eli will have no chance.  With the line movement down to -9-1/2 or lower, I'll take a ticket with St. Bonaventure.  Good Luck.

Note: Utah SG Hood (17.7) is still injured.

5* Houston (707) over Utah @ 10:35 Eastern

Realize it's difficult to replicate back-to-back scores and situations in NBA series play but, the Rockets have a chance to manifest their earlier 137-110 victory over Utah.  With SG Hood of the Jazz out, Houston has more of a chance to push the ball with less fear of falling behind in a road setting.  Houston has won six straight against the spread on the road vs. Utah, and 6-0 ATS against the Western Conference.  More important, they are a solid 7-1 ATS with 3+ days of rest.  And remember this is an 18-4 unit vs. a struggling 13-12 squad. Good Luck.

4* Iowa State over Iowa

CBB Rivalry Game of the Night...BDS

3* Drexel +10-1/2 over LaSalle

CBB Shocker Alert...BDS

4* Cincinnati+ (380) over Pittsburgh

Obviously, they're looking to balance the books with +6 as the number allocated above, considering the "public" line Pittsburgh (9-2) -4.  However, tonight I'll take a ticket with the Bengals (5-6) who have blown away in the recent series with Pittsburgh dominating the L5 with outstanding wins.  Last time the Steelers won 29-14 at home with 400+ yards of offense, holding Cincy to under 200 overall.  It looks like a give away referring to Vegas post with the Steelers 10-0 L10 SU in prime time and 3-0 SU in the division this season.  Cincy offense is dead last posting 18+ points per game and show with a run defense that is highly inconsistent.  The key will be pressuring Big Ben who lives for the big play and deep ball offense.  Pittsburgh is 16-3-2 ATS at Cincinnati, which is not good for the home fans, however, some kind of letdown is not out of the question.  If QB Dalton stays focused, I believe the Bengals will catch the Steelers napping..  Remember, techs have the Bengals a solid 7-2 ATS at home vs. a winning road unit and 8-3 ATS after securing 350+yards in their last game.  Again Dalton must come through tonight after being sacked four times with two interceptions vs. Pittsburgh this season. SHOCKER!

(378) 5* Seattle +5-1/2 or higher over Philadelphia @ 8:30 Eastern

This super UPSET play has been coming for some time as the Eagles (10-1) have been cleaning up on the lesser or injured foes of late.  Here, the Sea Chickens (7-4) are at home which accrues a huge edge as the weather is changing and the guts become tighter in the NFL Playoff chase. The real gem in this call is QB Wilson (14-7-1 ATS as a Dog) of Seattle who's varying talent the Eagles have yet to face this season on foreign soil.  He has been the yardage leader in 5-of-the-L6 games. The question comes down to the Seahawks defense that has not been so strong (injuries) in home games of late, losing to Atlanta and Washington SU.  In what should a very different type game with each feeling out each other, the score just might be lower than the current statistical base recognizes.  Remember too, if the Eagles score 23 points or less, they are 1-9 SU under their current head coach Doug Pederson.  Where is that 12th man in Seattle?  Good Luck and TAKE THE POINTS!

(714) 10* Mississippi State over Dayton

SEC Game of the Month...BDS

Usually, give fighting A-10 units a chance in road settings but, not down in "Bulldog Country!"  Remember Dayton has one returning starter, MSU three showing in their opener.  I don't know what's going on from the floor perspective with the Flyers as their inconsistent play has been buoyed by their turnover issues.  MSU is on a perfect 6-0 SU run and should have no problem here considering the site.  Against the spread, we find the Bulldogs 10-2 ATS in Sunday calls, while the Flyers 2-5 ATS in that same venue.  Further, MSU is 9-3-1 ATS against the lesser A-10 and 5-1 ATS at home versus a road unit

4* (363) Indianapolis+ (3-8) over Jacksonville (7-4) @ 1:00 Eastern

With the high flying Jags off a 27-24 road loss at Arizona, you would estimate this line coming in around 11-1/2 or -12, not so.  And that's even with Gabs playing quarterback for the Colts?  In addition, the Jaguars have covered five straight in the series and possess the NFL's #1 defense, holding the opposition to just 168 points.  Oh, the last meeting JAX 27-0 with 518 yards of offense and 10 sacks.  Before you sell the house, remember the Jags are "expected" to roll easily today showing off a loss but, they do have Seattle and Houston up next on the schedule. In addition, the NFL favs are starting to read their press clippings of late so, don't expect the rugged Jags to complete the task here. They play with a 3-7 ATS record at home while visiting Indy brings a stellar 32-12 ATS mark off a SU loss.  Good Luck.

4* Minnesota+ (355) over Atlanta @ 1:00 Eastern

The Falcons come in hot winners of three straight and against the spread.  They have the #12 rated SOS this season but, play at home against the Vikings who have given them fits in the past.  The Vikings visit after a Turkey Day Shoot winning their 7th straight game (6-1 ATS). Minnesota has the #14 rated SOS with the dog 3-0-1 ATS in the series.  No doubt, the Falcons have been blowing leads of late and show with a horrid 3-7 ATS record after allowing 250+ yards through the air.  In closing, we don't think you will see a flat Vikings unit considering their 16-5 ATS run in December. The Minnesota defense is holding the opponents to 17.7 points a game...TAKE THE POINTS!

5* Georgia +3 over Auburn

I'll take three any day in this series that has 5-2 ATS L7 meetings and the chalk comes 6-2 ATS to boot.  We know the Tigers CRUSHED Georgia 40-17 during November and beat Alabama in rousing fashion.  However, looking back at a tough facility Auburn did fall to LSU 27-23.  Prior to their blowout loss to Auburn, the 'Dawgs had won three straight in the series.  We believe they get back on track here as the War Eagles are caught celebrating 'Bama.  Good Luck.

4* IDAHO+ over Georgia State

The line has moved up this morning to +6-1/2 or +7 pending your outlet.  This has all transpired because of the quarterback injuries facing Idaho.  And we know this is a revenge game for State after being waxed last year 37-12 by Potato Heads.  Georgia shows in bowl position already so, that just might accrue enough emotional support for Idaho to stay under this number.  Remember, the Potato Heads are a remarkable 15-1 ATS in Conference Championship games.  Also, GSU is a perfect 0-5 ATS after surrendering less than 170 yards passing in their last game, and Idaho is 8-2 ATS after a SU loss.  Good Luck.

4* Georgia+ over Marquette

CBB Revenge Game of the Week...BDS

10* ST. BONNIES+ over Buffalo @ 2:00 Eastern

CBB EASTERN EDGE GAME OF THE MONTH...BDS

We're back in 2017 with our Eastern Edge format and we go live this afternoon with a monster turnaround by SBA who should not be the underdog here. Don't worry about the injury to Adams as the Bonnies have sufficient depth here to overcome a Buffalo unit off a big program win. The Buffs are 1-3-1 ATS against the A-10, while SBA is a SUPER 4-1-1 ATS versus the Mid-American. This is a LARGER game for the Bonnies with "reputation need" the primary focus.  Good Luck.

5* TCU+ 7-1/2 over Oklahoma @ 12:30 Eastern

BIG-12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

This is a major revenge situation for the Horned Frogs after being pasted 38-20 in their initial meeting with Oklahoma (11-1) this year.  However, for TCU that loss came right after an emotional 24-7 victory against "hated" Texas.  Against the Sooners, TCU fizzled in the first quarter and the Sooners never looked back with an easy win. RB Anderson sourced for 200 yards rushing.  Here we look for a MAJOR REVERSAL as the Horned Frogs have a solid 10-2 SU mark this season.  In four of the last five games with the Sooners, the final score has been decided by six points or less.  OU is 3-7 ATS L10 achieving over 450 total yards in their last game.  Also, the Sooners show 1-7 ATS at neutral sites.  TCU on a solid run of 4-0 ATS on turf and will come to play "early" here to offset the OU emotion.  Good Luck.

BASKETBALL HALL OF GAME 

BELFAST CLASSIC...BDS

4* Towson -1-1/2 over LaSalle

LaSalle had four their player chart 146 minutes in their last game.  This lack of depth will hurt them here against a feisty Towson group who bring more overall to the floor.  In fact, Towson shows a PERFECT 5-0 ATS in non-conference with the Explorers 0-5 ATS on a neutral site.  Good Luck.

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Play on:  5* (275) Houston+ over Baltimore @ 8:30 Eastern

 Here we have another “situational” cracked egg that compounds the handicap in a Monday affair.  Specifically, the Texans (4-6) travel to Baltimore (5-5) with key injuries at the running back position which should give the Ravens DL a more than average edge at the line of scrimmage. Houston QB Savage having to throw most downs will eventually put his defense in field position quandaries. We do respect coach Harbaugh’s 8-2 SU record after a bye week.   However, all that said the Texans are a desperate unit trying to SAVE their season on the road in front of a hostile MNF crowd.  Enter, what the hell has happened to QB Flacco of Baltimore?  He has thrown 9 touches but, 11 interceptions with a horrid QBR of 74.4 coming into action.  So, we fully expect coach O’Brien to dial up the blitz packages. Also, if Houston accrues positive yardage out of their running game and QB Savage avoids the turnover issue, an outright upset would be no surprise.  What makes the Vegas number even more suspect is the fact Houston is 1-9 ATS on MNF.  So, why isn’t the number at -9 or -9-1/2.  This is one of my critical issues in the handicap, the line seems soft.  In closing, Baltimore comes in off another big win but, they're 1-4-1 ATS L6 after a win of 14 plus points.  In addition, they seemingly play down to the level of their opponent going 6-13-1 ATS versus losing units.  Houston shows 6-2 ATS on turf and a solid long-term 21-7-2 ATS after gaining 350+ yards in their last game.  TAKE THE POINTS!

4* Philadelphia +1-1/2 over Pittsburgh

NHL Value Added Road Warrior...BDS

Check out these losing (0-7) but, hard luck Flyers tonight as they visit hated Pittsburgh.  Granted the Pens are 7-2-1 at home of late while coming off a huge win (5-2) over Tampa Bay.  The Flyers are in last place, inside the division but have a solid net goal advantage overall compared to Pittsburgh this season. MacDonald returns to the ice tonight for Philadelphia which will strengthen their defense.  Feel the Flyers will really show up tonight with a more fierce like determination since the fathers are traveling with the team. They own the series in Pittsburgh going 14-6 L20. The Pens show a PERFECT 0-7 after allowing two or fewer goals, and a PERFECT 0-5 L5 in the 4th in six game situation.  The Flyers hit the ice with a 7-3 mark L10 after allowing 5+ goals.  In closing, Philly comes in being one goal short in 4-of-the-L5 games.  Good Luck.

4* South Carolina+ over Clemson @ 7:30 Eastern

CFB Series Reverse Angle...BDS

The people down in Gamecock country won't forget the 56-7 loss last year to the Tigers. This time around, though, the showdown is in South Carolina under the lights with a national audience taking in the festive event.  SC shows 8-3 with a ranking of #24, while the Tigers field at #4. We do note Clemson is in line for the College Football Playoffs if, all goes well.  They do have the #4 rated strength of schedule this season.  Technically, the Gamecocks have covered 5 straight at home in the series, 8-2 ATS overall against the ACC.  Clemson, despite their lofty value, show 5-11 ATS in November and 2-5 ATS against winning home units.  In closing, SC will give a great fight but, the Clemson SOS will pay off late in the game with a SU win still, TAKE THE POINTS!

3* Minnesota+ over Wisconsin

CFB Fan Appreciation Side...BDS

Again cashed our Appreciation move yesterday with Baylor over TCU.  This afternoon we have undefeated Wisconsin (11-0) traveling to Minnesota (5-6) after back-to-back DD wins at home against conference rivals Iowa and Michigan. Obviously, the Badgers are the far superior unit and have won 13 straight games vs. the Golden Gophers. Also, the current line posted above -18, we expect it to move to -19 or higher by game time...VALUE!  Yes, quite possibly a letdown in some phases of the game, accruing the home unit a rare cover in the series.   Remember, Minnesota is 22-8 ATS L30 in the month of November, and 6-3-1 ATS L10 overall.  Good Luck.

112517

5* Auburn+ (226) over Alabama @ 3:30 Eastern

CFB Game of the Week…BDS

Here we go with another Iron Bowl war between two old-time SEC rivals from Alabama. At this writing, the Crimson Tide are favored -4-1/2 over Auburn, with the line opening around -3 at different spots on the Strip.  The last three games in the series have seen the Crimson Tide win by a total of 114-69, 30-12 last year at home.  But, hold on now the Tigers this season have played the #5 schedule based on the difficulty of the opponent….’Bama is at #26.  Also, Auburn will move the ball offensively against Nick Saban’s defense, and we just might see an outright upset Saturday.  Remember, Alabama is 1-4 ATS L5 in SEC games, 0-2 ATS L2.  Granted Auburn is lacking at home going 2-5 ATS but, the Tigers show 6-1-1 ATS in the SEC and 4-1 ATS in November.  Make sure have at least a FG as we see a very close game down to the last minute.  Good Luck.

10* Tulane (203) over SMU @ 12:00 Eastern

CFB REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH...BDS

Double Revenge for visiting Greenies after dropping a heartbreaking 35-31 decision LY at home.  This time around we find SMU 6-5 SU, Tulane 5-6 SU off BB SU wins.  Believe Tulane more positive mindset critical here in road outing.   The Greenies show 6-1 ATS at the Mustangs and 9-of-11 ATS on the road of late.   Further, they have a perfect tech 6-0 ATS after surrendering less than twenty points in the last game.   SMU comes 5-1 ATS at home but, 1-5 ATS in the conference and 4-9 ATS in the month of November.   With Tulane 5-2-1 ATS in conference L8, TAKE THE POINTS.

4* Texas -7 (142) over Texas Tech

A 5-6 Tech unit visits a 6-5 Texas club down Austin on senior night.  Tech started the season 4-1 SU but, has obviously decayed.  The Longhorns are on a solid 3-1 run after winning at West Virginia last week SU.  Texas leads the recent series ATS 6-1 with the chalk 5-2 ATS.  The Longhorns have the edge in SOS rated around #9 at most outlets.  Granted Texas has a banged up OL but, meshed well in key down and distance situations at WVU. Remember on defense they held both #4 Oklahoma and #19 Oklahoma State to season lows in yardage.  The 'Horns have the #2 rushing defense in the conference which will force Tech into throwing all night into some negative situations.  No doubt Tech has one of the highest rated offenses in the Big-12 but can't expect them to score 37 and 45 (2015 and 2016) against this Texas defense.  The Longhorns show a solid 7-2-1 ATS L10, 3-1-1 ATS at home.  In closing, Tech is a horrid 1-5 ATS in Big-12 games.  Good Luck.

3* (115) Baylor+ over TCU

Our appreciation offering yesterday, of course, won with the Vikings in a close call.  Here one-win Baylor tries to circumvent the conference title driven Horned Frogs on their home field.  Granted TCU has covered 5 straight in the series has the domination edges at many positions but, it appears it's the "spot" the sporting community may overplay.  And, that's even considering the Baylor 2017 issues, and bringing a frosh QB to the starting lineup.  No matter, this old-time traditional battle usually brings the unexpected, and we know the UNDERDOG is 6-0 ATS in the series.  TCU shows 2-11 ATS at home 1-5 ATS off a SU win.  TAKE THE POINTS!

4* ULL+ over Wyoming

CBB UPSET ALERT...BDS

Wyoming is off UTC who had no returning starters out of the Southern Conference, while ULL comes in after beating tough Big-10 unit Iowa  Thus far overall ULL has played a stronger schedule and facing the Hawkeyes last time should prime them for an upset.  ULL shows 6-2 ATS on neutral boards (Cayman Islands) and 5-1-1 ATS off a SU win.  Good Luck.

3* KC (6-3)  -9-1/2 not higher...over New York (1-8) 

Special Note:  

Would not even think about using this situation but, the Chiefs are 6-1 ATS off a SU loss.

Dangerous spot for Andy Reid, as Chiefs are expected to win easily.  Add in the SU 16-2 winning mark off a bye, no doubt there are questions to be solidified. First off, Reid's teams (Eagles and Chiefs) average around 24 points coming off a period of rest.  However, during that run, they have averaged wins around 9 points.  From the points differential angle, Reid's teams show +166 vs. the opposition.  The 1-8 New Yorkers come in off two losses (82-38) and 10-22-1 ATS in November. So, you CAN BET the building will empty out early if the situation depreciates. Remember the Giants are 0-4 ATS at home thus far, while KC shows 14-of-18 ATS on the road of late.

Sorry no analysis, computer issues, back around 2:30 eastern, thanks Brad

4* NEVADA+ over San Diego State

CFB Reverse Angle of the Week...BDS

Right now SDS is rolling with an 8-2 mark at home vs. 2-8 Nevada. However, some strange techs surface in this heated rivalry.  First off, this is double revenge for Nevada, and they have gone 8-2-1 ATS during the month of November.  SDS has a winning record ATS in 2017 but, they show 1-4 ATS in home games.  Overall, they have covered just four times in the last thirteen on this field.  Overall, SDS has won back-to-back games by a total of 82-14, and they just might have somewhat of a letdown here.  TAKE THE POINTS!

10* Northwestern over LaSalle @ 2:30 Eastern

College Basketball Game of the Week

Not afraid to lay decent number against traveling Explorers who exhibit inconsistent and sloppy play at times especially, on defense.  Coach "G" simply can't rely on Williams and one-on-one composition offensively to handle a Big-10 team who has been frustrated in the early going.  Both teams have deficiencies in the paint rebounding but, we must recall the Wildcats just lost Big East unit Creighton who can board.  The Blue Jays were the most talented team either have played thus far.  LaSalle is traveling which is always negative, and now they bring a perfect 0-5 ATS mark against .600+ units while going 4-12 ATS in non-conference events.  LaSalle, too, has a history of falling badly at times off a SU win with coach "G" running the unit.  Whereas, NW is 14-6 ATS in non-conference games and a PERFECT 4-0 ATS off a SU loss.  When you add in the Wildcats 5-1 ATS record on neutral sites, the play is...Northwestern!

LATE MONEY MOVE...BDS

5* UNLV (4-6) +2-1/2 over New Mexico (3-7)

Clearly, UNM is on a massive losing streak, while the Rebs have at least won 2-of-3 SU.  Also, the differential in the Fresno State games for each tells us a more definitive story. Also, the Rebs have covered five straight on the road and their getting points as a plus.  Recently, they have been playing much better off an SU loss at 4-1 ATS.  UNM has even played poorly in Vegas against losing teams with a 4-9 ATS mark.  Finally, they show 8-23 ATS after surrendering more than 450 yards in their last game.  In the series, UNLV has covered 5-of-7.  TAKE THE POINTS!

4* Northeastern+ (725) over Stanford @ 6:00 Eastern

Would like nothing better than to use the Cardinal (2-1) showing off a bad loss, however, they have North Carolina on-deck so must question focus.  Critical they start three frosh who are still looking to fit into the rotation and floor construct.  NE brings back three starters from last year and should be feisty and focused enough to keep this close.  It’s always a major “up” for an eastern school to go out west and challenge the more noted western entity especially, out of the PAC-12. Stanford does have an experienced roster but, we truly expect a gallant effort from the under-valued Huskies who will not quit no matter the score.  Technically, NE shows 10-2-1 ATS versus units with over a .600 mark and 10-4 ATS off a win of 20+ points.  In contrast, home-standing Stanford is 0-5 ATS in non-conference and 0-5-1 L6 times out.  TAKE THE POINTS!

4* Florida State over Fordham 

Jamaican Classic First Round

After facing the Rams (A-10) the Sems follow this up with a game against Colorado State, I believe they can win each encounter.  First off, Florida State has a major edge already playing in Jamaica this summer in exhibition hoops which allows them to feel comfortable on this floor.  They show off a blowout win 87-67 over GW who simply couldn't handle 7-4 Koumadjie (14-7-5) and the double-digit scorers possessed by the ACC unit.  GW made a run to get back in the game but, the Sems quickness out stated the effort.  Here they face a gutty coach in Jeff Neubauer of the Rams who played at LaSalle under firebrand HC Speedy Morris.  The Rams have some talent and will challenge in the A-10 as the season progresses but, the numbers and talent seem to be too difficult to circumvent this early in the season.  Remember the Rams are 0-6 ATS in non-conference and 0-4 ATS on neutral floors.  Good Luck.

4* Temple +2-1/2 over Auburn

The Owls (1-0) will have to slow the pace against quicksilver Auburn to pull out a victory.  They have the discipline to do just that in this early start.   Tigers come 9-19-2 ATS on neutral boards and 2-5 ATS off a SU win.  The Owls come a PERFECT 5-0 ATS in Friday calls and 5-1 ATS on neutral boards, and 10-3 ATS in non-conference games. Good Luck.

10* MIAMI+ over Carolina

NFL...MNF GAME OF THE YEAR...BDS

Aas you know we close the NFL season on a strong consistent run.  Over the last two years our post season selections went 19-3, 86%. We cashed another 2-1 TOP PLAY card yesterday, 3-1 overall in the NFL.  Now is the time to sign-up for the remainder of the season as save cash. good luck and thank you.

10* Mississippi State+ over Alabama

CFB UPSET OF THE MONTH...BDS

10* AUBURN+ over Georgia

SEC GAME OF THE YEAR..BDS

Realize the Bulldogs are on a roll but, they could be looking down the road at a bigger game on deck.  However, the Tigers can match up in most situations on both sides of the ball.  So, with the home team 8-2 ATS in the series, we look for the OUTRIGHT UPSET.

Play on: 5* Cincinnati+3 (120) over Temple @ 7:00 Eastern (Friday)

College Friday Night Eastern Edge….BDS

This is a huge situation for each club if they expect a bowl invite. Temple is coming off a win against Navy as an underdog, while the Bearcats rebound off an underdog SU win over Tulane. The Owls have beaten the Bearcats in back-to-back games, so this is a special double revenge scenario for Cincinnati on their home field. With Temple being inconsistent on defense the ‘Cats actually have a solid chance to win this SU.  Remember, the Owls are 0-4 ATS off a SU win, while the ‘Cats are 9-2 ATS against a losing football team, and now we’re accruing line value with the public laying into Temple.  Take the points.  Good Luck.

4* Drexel over Cleveland State

First off the Dragons have the edge in returning starters, play at a quicker pace and possess three balling issues that BG cant offset.  Also, Drexel plays in a stroger conference and comes with a solid coach.  Good luck.

5* Cincinnati+ (457) over Jacksonville @ 1:00 Eastern

Everything looks rosy for the 4-3 Jags, being at home, off a bye, and Leonard is back in the lineup.  Cincinnati challenges with a 3-4 frustrated unit on both sides of the ball.  However, these two have not met since 2014 when Cincy won 33-23 at home.  The Bengals are 3-0-2 ATS in the series.  JAX has reversed out their recent WLWLWLW record of late with obviously a SU loss on-deck if you lean that way.  Also, the Jags are showing off a 27-0 win rested so, they should take some time getting adjusted to the tempo.  JAX is 9-19-1 ATS off a win, 3-7-1 week #9 and 8-20 ATS off a SU win of 14+ points.  Good Luck.

3* Denver over Phila

NFL EARLY APPRECIATION MOVE...BDS

10* TCU....(382 over Texas

This is a 4-4 'Horns unit going up against the high flying Frogs from TCU who just happen to be one of the best teams in the country.  Laying -6-1/2?  TCU is 4-1 ATS, 4-1 ATS in November and 5-1 ATS off an ATS loss. Texas shows 1-5 ATS in November and 1-4 ATS off a loss of 20+ points.  TCU has covered 4-of-5 in the series...BLOWOUT!

10* Maryland -3, not higher over Rutgers

One of the keys here is the changing home field from the last time they met.  How many fans will be present for the inconsistent Knights?  The Terps are 5-2 ATS against losing teams, while the road unit is 4-1 ATS in the series. Plus, since achieving bowl status last season with the help of a soft schedule, Maryland has played the second-toughest schedule in the nation thus far as its first eight opponents are a combined 32-14. The Terrapins are on pace to play the toughest schedule in the nation by season's end, as its 12 opponents are a combined 53-24. Good Luck.

Play on:  4* Navy -7 (313) over Temple

Revenge...key motivational tool for the Middies as they come into Philly looking to avenge a 34-10 loss to the Owls in the conference championship game.  Plus, the Middies lost three critical games at the end of last season to LT, Army and the aforesaid Owls which should have the visitor ready physically and emotionally.

NAVY EDGES:

ROAD UNIT 4-0 ATS IN THE SERIES

DOG 4-1 ATS (SERIES)

10-3 ATS IN NOVEMBER

STATS...

376.1: Average yards per game rushing by Navy, which is No. 1 in the country.

20.9: Average points per game by Temple which is last in the AAC and 112th nationally.

 49.5: The third-down conversion percentage of Navy, which is No. 1 in the AAC and No. 6 in the nation. By comparison, Temple’s conversion percentage is 40.5, eighth in the AAC and 59th nationally.

4* UL-Monroe (165) over Idaho (H) @ 5:00 Eastern

Double Revenge series scenario for the visiting Warhawks (3-4, 4-3 ATS) in another smashing Sun Belt game versus home standing Idaho (2-5, 3-3-1 ATS).  Despite a home situation, really can't trust the emotionally drained Potato Heads who were just CRUSHED by Missouri 68-21. Sometimes it's very difficult for a defense to rebound in a must-win situation.  ULM is the #33 rated offense in the nation this season and can produce a 500+ total yardage outing here.  ULM is 5-1 ATS on the road and 4-1 ATS on turf.  And, after gaining 200+ yards on the ground they come in 4-1 ATS. Although, Idaho is at home and brings consistent numbers ATS in the conference, seemingly the Warhawks have the "critical" emotional edge Saturday.  Good Luck.

3* Louisiana Tech (175) over Rice (H) @ 3:30 Eastern

The Bulldogs show off BB disturbing losses to Southern Miss and UAB by an overall total of 8 points, now 3-4 on the season.  Rice 1-6 is at home after five straight losses to UTSA, Army, Pittsburgh, FIU and Houston by a combined point-differential of 88 points an average of 17.6 points per game.  Last year, although with a stronger unit it was Louisiana 61-16 over Rice, as the winner gained a total of 735 yards overall, 301 rushing all on their home field.  The Owls despite their record have improved somewhat in 2017 but, lack the offense to pull the upset or sufficient firepower to cover the number on their home field.  Rice is dead last in NCAA offenses securing 11 points a game and that's against the #104 rated schedule in 2017.  They are 1-4 ATS on turf (their home field), while Tech shows 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losing units and 15-3 ATS after allowing 280+ yards through the air. Good Luck.

4* West Va+ over Oklahoma State @ 12:00 Eastern

6-1 Pokes show up in West Virginia after beating Texas 13-10 down in Austin, while the 5-2 Mounties also arrive off a win 38-36 over Baylor at Waco. Last year Oklahoma State at home beat the Mounties 37-20 accruing a yardage advantage of 421-358.  Granted the Pokes have the talent advantage but, show 1-4 ATS L5 in the conference. Believe the inconsistent West Virginia defense will play their best game of the year, gaining an ATS win and maybe an outright win for the home crowd.  Good Luck.

4* Oregon State+ (110) over Stanford @ 9:00 Eastern

Stanford (5-2) travels to Oregon State (1-6) for a Thursday night Pac-12 and ESPN affair.  The Cardinal have won seven straight in the series, 6-1 ATS.  Last year Stanford won at home 26-15.  This time around Stanford is in the midst of a four-game winning streak against Oregon, Utah, Arizona State and UCLA.  Whereas, the Beavers have lost five straight to Colorado, Southern California, Washington, Washington State and Minnesota.  The Cardinal possesses the edges on offense and defense, Points for and Points against.  Classic RB Love (1,387, 11) should be ready for tonight, while Oregon State will look to replacement QB Garretson (114.3) continuing on the uptick. Starter QB Luton has been out with an injury.  From the emotional standpoint, this should be a challenging spot for Stanford who has a MAJOR REVENGE game with Washington State on-deck.  Also, in these short week starts, the home team accrues somewhat of an edge and the Beavers show off a bye.  Technically, the Cardinals have illustrated much success this year but, show 2-5 ATS after allowing 20+ points.  Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in Thursday calls, 9-3 ATS in conference and 7-3 ATS at home.  We’ll take a ticket with the Beavers to keep this close.

3* Orlando (702) over Nets

This is our opener for this season in the NBA, and we'll make an appreciation move with the Magic who just crushed the Cavs shooting 17-35 from three. The Nets maybe 2-1 this season ranked #1 in scoring offense (124.3) but, they show almost at the bottom of the charts in defense with a 121.7 average.  Right now, the avenging Magic are hitting 14.3's per game (#2) and will look to outrun and shoot this inconsistent opponent.  The home team is 5-0 SU in the series and 4-0-1 ATS.  The Nets come in 5-16-1 ATS off a SU win of more than ten points.  Remember too, the Magic have played a tougher schedule this season than the Nets.  Good Luck.

4* Philadelphia (478) over Washington...MNF

Redskins (3-2) are off close win against San Francisco after generating an early dominating lead. They are 10-21 ATS on Monday night.  Also, QB Cousins of Washington is a perfect 0-5 SU in MNF.  The 5-1 Eagles come in flying with great confidence and the home crowd to help support their efforts.  A few key areas that Philly should have an advantage is their tenacious DL vs. the 'Skins OL.  Remember, Washington has scrambled in third-down situations on the road converting just 37.5%.  The opposing Philly group is ranked #1 in that important offensive conversion rate with a 50.7% effectiveness.  QB Wentz of the Eagles has the sensational dual-threat capabilities which should cause real problems tonight for the Washington defense.  Trending, the Eagles are 5-2 ATS on Monday night and at home have covered 4 straight against a winning road team.  Good Luck.

4* Cincinnati+ over Pittsburgh

Note we had to reduce the unit strength of this play as the "players" on the Strip are chasing Cincinnati (2-3) early this morning.  Our assertion is still solid with the visitor losers of four straight in the series and 7-of-8.  Pittsburgh (4-2) is 3-0-1 ATS L4 meetings.  The Steelers are off a SU/ATS win as an underdog out in KC.  Cincy shows off a bye week after beating the Bills and come into this Sunday afternoon looking for revenge.  Both teams have struggled overall on offense this season with scoring averages under 20-points a game. So, we look for a low scoring defensive type battle which should entice the underdog money, and we agree.  Remember, the Steelers have not covered back-to-back games this season and arrive with a 1-4 ATS off a SU win.  We know Pittsburgh has controlled the series ATS but, this overall situation does favor the emotionally drive Bengals who have covered 4 straight on the road.  Good Luck.

5* TENNESSEE over Cleveland

GAME OF THE WEEK....BDS

Note, we may have a play later on today.  Here believe the 0-6 Browns are in trouble again versus a unit that is averaging 24.3 points inside a schedule that has been stronger than Cleveland.  Realize this is a road situation but, note the Browns have been playing the 30th ranked schedule in 2017.  And their 6-25-1 ATS L32 and 3-13 ATS at home (0-5 ATS October).  The Titans show 6-2 ATS after gaining over 350 yards in their last game...GL.

10* (411) Colorado +11 over Washington State @ 10:45 Eastern

Last week Washington State (6-1) was flying high going into the Cal game but, came away with a 38-3 loss.  Now the Cougars set up at home to play hard trying Colorado (4-3). The Cougars are 5-0 SU at home this season and the world is expecting a large rebound.  Colorado surely does not have the defensive talent of the Bears so, we expect a combined higher scoring game this afternoon.  Another question for State is, will QB Faulk comeback from a five-interception game, being sacked nine times?  Granted Colorado has given up 35.5 points per game this season, winning last time over Oregon State by 3. The Buffs were rebounding from three straight losses, the last two heart stoppers, 27-23 to UCLA and 45-42 to Arizona. The key for the visitor will be TOP which is critical keeping the Cougars offense off the field.  If the Buffs running attack continues to improve we should have a nail-bitter here.  Also, QB Montez of Colorado has been successful with his conservative passing game not throwing an INT in 95 attempts.  Staying away from the turnover is critical for the visitor.  Recall last year Colorado defeated Washington 38-24.  Trending we find Colorado 6-1 ATS L7 road games vs. a home unit with a winning record and 7-2 ATS on the road L9.  Washington State fields with a 1-4 ATS mark in October and 2-5 ATS record against a winning team.  In the series, the UNDERDOG is 5-2 ATS.  Good Luck.

102017

4* (384) UCLA -6 (H) over Oregon @ 4:00 Eastern

Oregon will be without QB Justin Herbert on Saturday afternoon out in Los Angeles, and that should be the demise of the Ducks this afternoon.  The offense overall has floundered since his injury.   Last week Oregon (4-3) was crushed by Stanford (5-2) 49-7. The Ducks come in 1-3 SU L4.  The frustrated Bruins show at home 3-3 overall, 1-3 SU L4.  Clearly, UCLA has the edge in strength of schedule but, must turnaround a six-game losing streak to the Ducks dating back to 2007.  They have a HUGE edge at quarterback with Josh Rosen (392.3) but, must stay away from the turnover bug (15, L6 games) to be successful both SU and ATS.  On defense, that’s another story for a Mora coached unit allowing 40.5 points per game.  However, Oregon has a very young team especially on defense and we believe they will not illustrate consistent pressure against UCLA QB Rosen.  Granted there are trending numbers favoring Oregon but, without the ability to control TOP we’ll take the Bruins.  The Ducks show 2-7-1 ATS on the road L10.  Good Luck.

4* UCONN+ (318) over Tulsa @ 12:00 Eastern

As you know we used UCONN as a major play on this site last week. Here we catch the Huskies at home, while being booked as the underdog(?). For decades in College Football there has been a noted negative losing pattern of major proportions when schools from the South or Southeast region come East booked as the favorite.  Tulsa is 0-3 SU on the road this season, and show off an upset win over Houston.  UConn cashed last week down in Philly when they defeated Temple in an AAC game.  The Huskies actually have a viable chance of running the football Saturday against a Tulsa rush defense (dead last nationally) that is hurting at the line of scrimmage. Also, UCONN has a major edge in senior starters 15-10. From the trending standpoint, Tulsa is a perfect 0-6 ATS after allowing less than 20-points in their last game.  Good Luck.

3* Louisville +6-1/2, prefer 7....over Florida State

CFB Fan Appreciation Saturday Special...BDS

Sorry, no analysis appreciation moves

102017

5* Middle Tennessee State+ (310) over Marshall @ 7:00 Eastern

Our C-USA Game of the Week has 5-1 Marshall visiting 3-4 MTS.  Despite, the change in quarterback (Stockstill injured) to young Urzua, the Blue Raiders attack is holding well and playing more efficiently at home.  Actually, MTS seems to be in a qualifying spot with this a huge revenge game after being crushed last year and showing now 4-0 ATS off a SU loss.  Also, Marshall maybe somewhat overvalued nationally as the Blue Raiders have faced a more challenging schedule.  In closing, we’ll back the home team that clearly has the emotional edge, while covering four straight in the series.  Good Luck.

#1 nationally in 2017

10-0 perfect run in College Football

12-1 L13 selections overall

15-1 in the NHL L16

10* Rams (265) over Jacksonville @ 4:05 Eastern

NFL Sunday Late Money Move Top Play Alert...BDS

Buy before the line drops...Good Luck.

3* Minnesota (260) over Green Bay

One of the great fundamentals here is the fact the Vikes are #1 in the NFL in opponent 3rd down conversions (2.8).  That's critical the Packers coming off a huge offensive showing last week.  However, GB is 2-8 ATS after surrendering 30+ points in their last game, and Minny is a super 9-1 ATS at home against a winning road unit.  Appreciation Winner!!  More to follow.