Note, you must have 3-1/2 or don't play the game.  Brad Diamond

5* NAVY over East Carolina

CFB GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

Cashed both our Thursday night games, refrained on Friday, but looking for more here. At this time of the season, must favor Middies mental and physical advantages as they will most likely win the turnover battle versus inconsistent Pirates...Good Luck!

Play on: 4* SAN DIEGO STATE over Wyoming @ 3:30 Eastern

Normally, don't like laying DDs on the road but, this seems to be super situation even considering the line adjustment.  SDS shows 9-1 SU winning 6 straight, going 5-1 ATS for money clones. The Pokes come in off a loss to UNLV last time, only to lose in 'trips OT 69-66, AND OF COURSE NOT COVERING.

LOOKING BACK...Wyoming comes in 3-11 ATS in November, while the road team in this series is red hot at 4-1 ATS.  Considering that numbers don't lie late in the season look for State to crush COWBOY COUNTRY.

Play on: 4* Washington State (373) over Colorado 

Colorado actually plays in the PAC-12, "My mother would be shocked to know the Buffs are playing road games near water."  Still have to respect State despite the road setting.  They have not lost a conference and scored 56 on Cal last week.  Overall, the surprising unit from Pullman has won 8-of-10 SU, while earning in Vegas overall.  After losing to the Trojan Horse the Buffs have been hot and come 8-2 SU, while stealing 6-of-10 on the Strip.  The public seems to be backing Colorado considering the line moves, but remember the road unit is 5-1 ATS in the series along with the UNDERDOG, Ditto.

OVER LAY AGAINST AN EASTERN UNIT THAT CAN SCORE AGAINST RELAXED COUG "D."  

4* OKLAHOMA STATE+...FALSE LINE MOVEMENT VIA THE SHARPS, BUT LIKE THE MONEY PLUS HERE AS THE COWBOYS WILL CATCH THE FROGS A LITTLE SHORT EARLY SATURDAY.  GOOD LUCK.

LETDOWN SPOT FOR OKC VS. LESSER EASTERN FOE...TAKE THE POINTS!

Missed out with the Jaspers last time but, they should grab the cash here with more effective foul shooting.  Good luck, Brad

Try to buy a 1/2-point edge to the aforementioned line.  The Suns, despite some shortcomings, play well against Indiana covering 5-of-6.  More important, Phoenix is 11-1 ATS in the overall series, but make sure you grab 7-1/2.  Good Luck, Brad

Short price gives us the "go sign" here in what could be buzzer job.  Remember, the Hawks come 0-3-1 ATS at Charlotte.  Good Luck!

5* Monmouth +13 or higher, over Syracuse

This is a real nice letdown spot for the Orange versus an undervalued conference and foe.  If you can take 13-1/2 the move is closer to a TOP PLAY.  Good Luck.

Hate going against the "coach" here, but floor advantages do present a problem for aspiring Mustangs.  Take any points.  Good Luck.

10* New Orleans+ 3-1/2 over Carolina

Held off until we garnered the latest injury, and as we thought the Panthers have key injuries on sides of the ball, and their secondary should be destroyed QB Brees.  Like the way the Saints are playing now despite some short comings.  Good Luck.

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5* EASTERN MICHIGAN over NIU
Not afraid to buck the Huskies this evening who are both 3-7 SU & ATS on the season.  Surprisingly, EMU is rocking with a 6-4 SU record, while going 8-2 ATS in Vegas. They are 5-1 ATS off an ATS win, NIU 1-3 ATS on the road.  Remember, the Huskies have lost both their quarterbacks this season (Hare and Maddie), so I'll go with the surprising EMU to pick the cash on Wednesday night...Good Luck.

(539) 4* Morehead State over Marshall @ 7:00 Eastern
Our power ratings actually give the Eagles a slight edge despite this being a road test in West Virginia.  The line opened overnight at -4-1/2 but, the sharps have taken it down to +3 as we write.  So please ensure you have the three when going to the window.  Inside the game, the Eagles have improved their rebounding from the prior season and will need contributions from front line to win on the road.  Hopefully, Alexander will continue on the uptick.  Although Marshall has solid talent feel they always have problems against MS who are 4-0-2 ATS in the series.   The Herd comes in 0-5 ATS L5 times out.  We close with MS a nice 6-2-2 ATS in road sets, take all the points.

(714) 5* Baylor +1 over Oregon @ 3:30 Eastern

Oh, took about REVENGE!  Last year Baylor (a ranked unit) had their hands full up in Duck country losing 74-67.  This time around, Oregon is the ranked foe, but this is early season action and anything can happen.  What drives my thought process is seeing a clip of the Ducks 91-77 victory over Army recently....not impressed.  Here, the Bears are dangerous three-point shooting team that could play havoc on the Ducks defensive rotations, and I like their SU chances.  Remember, the Ducks are without their best player.  Realize the Ducks are 4-1 ATS versus the Big-12 and Baylor has had issues in Vegas vs. N/C goes.  However, REVENGE ups the Bears money chances here.

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10* USC +7-1/2 or +8 (6-3) over Washington (9-0) @ 7:30 Eastern
Just getting up to speed in College Football for this week.  Well, we our earlier BIG-10 GOY won for you this Saturday.  Here, we all know the Huskies are generating CFB Playoff vibes and rightly so, considering their ability and guile. Still, I love the number that has now dropped down to +7-1/2 for the wacky Trojans.  Remember, UNDERDOG is 4-1 ATS in the series, and Trojans show strong at 4-1 ATS against the conference rivals coming into action Saturday.  If USC gets off quickly, don't be surprised an outright UPSET is on-deck.  Good Luck.

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10* Purdue+ over Northwestern @ 12:00 Eastern

BIG-10 GAME OF THE YEAR…BDS

Not afraid to go against wasted Wildcats who fought with Ohio State and Wisconsin the last few weeks.  Northwestern defeated Purdue last year taking advantage of 5 turnovers by the ‘Cats.  Realize NW the superior entity but, just don’t see marked effort here.  NW 6-13 ATS off a SU loss, while suffering ‘Due a super 8-2 ATS off a SU loss and 8-1 ATS after rushing for under 100 yards in their most recent game.  The road unit has done well of late in this series, but just can’t project a strong effort by the flat ‘Cats.  Good Luck!

Return later for the night card in all sports!

4* Toledo -7 or less, over NIU

Realize NIU off BB wins, can't recommend since they show 2-7 ATS vs. >.500 clubs.  Burning Rockets should have their way from the offensive standpoint, and show 7-0 ATS off a SU win of 10 or more points.  Look for a high scoring game and a cover by the Rockets!

PAC-12 BARKING DOG

11/05….5* (393) Oregon+ over USC @ 7:00 Eastern

Looks as though the public has taken heart knowing the Ducks defense is allowing 530 yards to opposing offenses, basically an open field to success.  This has resulted in the line moving from a -14 to -17 at press time. But, young QB Herbert of Oregon threw for almost 500 yards against Arizona State last Saturday. We know the Ducks are a long shot to become bowl eligible, while USC (5-3) must stay on their current path to secure post season entrance.

Last year Oregon was -4 over USC winning SU/ATS 48-28.  Hence, a revenge and a more critical situation for home standing USC. The major quirk here for this handicapper is the number, USC won by more than 20 points last week, but show 2-8 ATS in that role the next week.  Also, the Trojans are 10-26 ATS off a SU win.  So, with Oregon 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, we’ll grab the inflated number to cash.  Good Luck.

10* UMass (375) over Troy @ 3:30 Eastern

The “M’s” had to travel from Amherst to Troy this weekend which should help with the frequent flyer mileage for those privileged, that’s about 1,232 miles, a long-distance commute for sure.  The eastern visitor is 2-7 SU, 5-4 ATS on the campaign.  Home standing Troy out of the SBC comes off a 4-8 year, bringing back 13 starters.  Well the Trojans have them rocking down in Alabama winning 6-of-7 SU with the only loss to national star Clemson.  They opened the season covering 5 straight (5-2 ATS) games.  UMass finished 3-9 SU last, while returning only 10 starters and inexperience has hurt on the defensive end.  They started the season with losses to Boston College and Florida.  UMass has been competitive with the exception of the Louisiana Tech (28-56) game .  Remember Troy has won 5 straight, showing off a bye week, and have Appalachian State next. Troy is 2-1-1 ATS laying doubles this season, but I just don’t like the spot, since the Trojans bring a 0-4 ATS record after a bye.  Visiting UMass is 4-1 ATS on the road.  TAKE THE POINTS.

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4* Atlanta (307) over Tampa Bay @ 8:25 Eastern

Thursday night the Falcons (5-3) show off a huge mind bending 33-32 win over Green Bay down south.  Whereas, the home standing Bucs (3-4) look to recharge after a 30-24 OT defeat versus visiting Oakland.  The better football team coming in, Atlanta shows with a 5-3 SU & ATS in 2016.  Tampa Bay fields a 3-4 SU & ATS legend.  In this series, the chalk has covered 8-of-11 in Vegas.   By the way, out of the two the Bucs have the more difficult emotional assignment coming off an OT loss.  They play with QB Winston 6-14 SU in his NFL starts.  Since the Falcons show off a more positive experience and bring same season revenge, must back QB Ryan and company.  Remember, Atlanta is 5-1 ATS on Thursday and 5-0 ATS in road games.  Good Luck

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3* Buffalo + over Ohio University @ 6:00 Eastern

Most power rating sources have the Bobbies (6-3) 3+ touchdown leader here.  However, there is a glaring factor to consider inside the letdown angle.  Ohio was just booked as a +16-point underdog, winning SU 31-26 last week at powerful Toledo (6-2) last week.  They have experienced Central Michigan next on the schedule.  In this series, Ohio has dominated with 6 straight victories however, Buffalo has covered 4-of-5 in Vegas.  Currently, Ohio has won 5-of-6, splitting on the big board 3-3 now plays into revenge.  Critical, on the negative side, the Bobbies have not covered a double-digit spread this season at 0-3 ATS L3 times out.  And, when you considered the visitor runs for 130 yards a game the Bulls have a great chance of staying close throughout.

We have more selections on deck.

3* SAC +3-1/2 over Miami @ 7:35 Eastern

This is the "must have" game for the Kings on this eastern swing, off a loss and a revenge situation no doubt.  Remember last night SAC played a super 3rd quarter before falling apart offensively in the 4th 27-14.  Miami covered the other night versus SA but, don't forget the Spurs played without LaMarcus Alridge. In short, not frayed looking at a 33-49 unit vs. a 48-34 Miami as the Heat inconsistencies hurt them last season when laying money.   SAC is 3-0-1 ATS with no rest, 6-1 ATS off a SU loss.  FREE BONUS TOTAL...UNDER!

4* (503) CHICAGO -5-1/2 or -6 over Nets @ 7:35 Eastern
Must use the Bulls tonight, considering they show off the more positive performance of the two over the weekend, as they defeated Indiana 118-101.  Whereas, the Nets dropped a 110-108 decision to Milwaukee.  The visiting Bulls are 5-1 ATS L6 on this floor and come with a 5-0 ATS perfect mark dating back to last season.  Indiana played inconsistently on defense against the Bucks as their defense again faltered.  The Nets are 4-9 ATS dating back to last season and a horrid 3-9 ATS after surrendering 100+ in their prior game.  From the point-differential standpoint Chicago (101.6 - 103.1) has an edge over the Nets (100.9 - 107.5) in most recent schedule.  We project the UNDER 210 considering the injuries for Brooklyn as our BONUS TOTAL.  Good Luck.

3* Arizona+ over Stanford @ 11:00 Eastern

The Cardinal has fallen on hard times losing 3-of-4 to Washington, Washington State and Colorado. Last week they scored just 5 points against the Buffs.  And, we know Arizona has been banged up, but they are getting healthy at the quarterback position which tells me we have a "pay-on" situation in a much needed conference game at home.  Granted the series ATS has gone to Stanford of late, but their reality has us seeing a close game, maybe a FG win either.  Good Luck.

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5* Florida State over Clemson

ACC GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS

This battle is one of the most highly regarded matchups this season in College Football, and one of the most significant rivalries in the nation. The successful school has an inside shot at taking the conference and a good chance of playing in the four team set which eventually crowns the nation’s best team.  Clemson comes in 7-0 SU and looks to continue their national surge.  On the other hand, the 5-2 (UNC/Lousiville) Sems look to challenge with an injured defense.  Remember, though, RB Gallman is still questionable for the Tigers.  No matter, he will not be 100% for this situation.  Actually, we expect FSU to change some of their offensive play calling to allow for a more structure attack, keeping QB Watson of Clemson off the field as much as possible. Despite the injuries, FSU has the ability to win this SU, even though the road unit has been cashing in the series of late.  Technically, FSU shows 4-0 ATS after an ATS loss and 12-3-1 ATS scoring 20 or less in their most game.

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10* WASHINGTON #4 (199) over Utah #17 @ 3:30 Eastern
We have -9-1/2 in this game, in some areas it's as high as -10.  Do your home work and try your best to have -9-1/2 going into action.  One important angle for us was the 34-23 win by Utah last year in Washington.  To say the alumni were pissed off would be an understatement. This time around the units play in Utah. Last week Utah (7-1, 4-4) won at UCLA barely, while the Huskies at home crushed Oregon State.  So, Washington comes in fresh with a strong positive attitude knowing they must avenge last season's debacle.  The Huskies (7-0, 4-3) will use their balanced attack to pound the smaller Utes, causing gaps and allowing the passing game to develop. Although Utah will be sky high, we must note they are a perfect 0-4 ATS at home versus a winning road unit.  And the Huskies need not worry about the Troy Williams revenge, FINAL SCORE:  Washington 31 Utah 13, Good Luck.

10/27/16

5* Jacksonville (101) +3-1/2 over Tennessee @ 8:25 Eastern

Theme:  “Grab the Hook with JAX”

Yes, we realize this is a critical home game for Tennessee after losing SU to Cleveland and Indianapolis on this same field.   But, the Jags are 4-1 ATS after their defense collapsed allowing 30 or more points in their most recent contest.  Last week Jacksonville dropped a 33-16 encounter to Oakland down in Florida.  Like the Jaguars, the home standing Titans won back-to-back games but, then lost last week 34-26 at Indianapolis.  Defensively, Tennessee suffers allowing key red zone points.  By the way, JAX defeated Indianapolis in week #4 on the road.    Overall on defense the Jaguars allow just 290 yards (#5) a game, and can win this SU if they hold Tennessee to roughly the same output. And, after surrendering 30 or more points to their most recent opponent Tennessee comes up short in Vegas…1-9-2 ATS, and 2-8-1 ATS L10 as a HOME favorite.  In closing, recall Jacksonville is 8-1-2 ATS in the series and will grab the money here.  Good Luck! 

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10* (H) Georgia Southern (110) over Appalachian State @ 7:30 Eastern

Hate going against App. State but, RB Cox appears to be less than 100% coming into action.  Last year Cox ran for two touchdowns in a 31-13 win over Southern, as the home team scored 31 straight points to win.  GS could not get their passing game going to balance their attack (64 yards), therefore the App. State defense was able to focus on the air game.  This time around, we look for a reversal of form as finally Southern has a more balanced attack and should at least stay under (dog) the number.  We note, App. State comes in 1-8 ATS off a SU win, while the home standing GS kids bring a 7-3 ATS record vs. >.500 units. GS has dropped 5 straight to the number, but appears to be the very best side here. TAKE THE POINTS!