5* Wisconsin+ over Arizona

CBB NCAA BEST BET

BDS...No comments traveling this morning, will update if possible.

5* Northern Arizona -1 over Kent State

College Insider Best Best

BDS..

This is being played on NA's home floor should be enough to do in the traveling unit from MAC. The surprising unit from NA were playing outstanding basketball until they ran into Montana in the Big Sky Conference playoffs.  Last time NA handled Sacramento State, but will need a similar marksmanship (55%) to handle the under rated Kent unit.  Golden Flashes show with one of the better records in the Midwest outside of the Big-10 Conference with a 23-11 record coming into action. Last time out Kent won because of the all around game of Jim Walker who posted 23 points and 13 rebounds. The NA home unit will have their hands full, but should survive with their rebounding, FT% and more effective.  Lumberjacks are 11-2 SU at home and 11-2-3 ATS vs. winning units w/>.600 record...Golden Flashes 2-5 ATS off a SU win.

5* Duke over Utah

Love the way the Utes play considering their 26-8 record, but who wouldn't? Still, I'm going right back to the ACC as they have lost just one game in the NCAA bracket focus (UNC). As you know we used Notre Dame as our 5* last night winning easily, UL-Monroe the night before 3-1 run this week. Here Duke does not have the bench depth of Utah, so coach "K" will use a more tempo driven attack to enhance the talents of Okafor (67 FG%) who has been on fire inside. In addition, recall the Blue Devils are 7-1 SU at neutral sites.  Utah does hold an edge in points allowed 57.2 vs. 64.8 for Duke...but, again remember the Blue Devils are out of the ACC and carry a 0.0593 RPI vs. the Utes 0.0574...We close with the Blue Devils 7-3 ATS vs. the Pac-12.

7* Gonzaga over UCLA @ 8:15 Eastern

CBB #1 NCAA MOVE

BDS

Note, we have waited for any respective line changes around the noon eastern log, and it has just moved 1/2 point against our side, Gonzaga. Let's face it, UCLA is fortunate to be hear consider the call at the end of the SMU game.  The Zags handled this unit fair easily earlier this year, and should do so again!  Look for the Zags defense to create stress points in the Bruins attack causing a bad shot selection, which will inevitably accrue scoring runs for the Gonzaga offense...Good Luck

032615

4* EVANSVILLE (811) +3-1/2 over ULL @ 8:30

College Insiders Tournament

This encounter is being played down in the Cajun Dome where goofy situations have evolved over the years.  Here we catch 20-12 Evansville vs. 19-13 UL-L in a home game for the Ragin’ Cajuns. No this is not the PERFECT 1964 Evansville team that went undefeated, but a unit that has been solid cash for their backers vs. the Sun Belt games going 6-2 ATS.  The visitor must now contend with NBA prospect Shawn Long for ULL who will control the inside game, so it is even more critical for the ACES defense to protect the perimeter.  Evansville has advantages on defense and foul shooting (critical on the road), while controlling tempo.  This game must stay in the high 60’s or low 70’s.  No doubt it will be an inside out war on the floor, I’m banking the advantage in SOS (0.5068 vs. 0.4880) for the ACES in what will be a buzzer job…Good Luck, back with more hoops!

5* Notre Dame+ over Wichita State

Play on: 5* Notre Dame+ over Wichita State

Granted the Shockers (30-4) have floor edges here tonight!  The Shockers play effective defense and can bound better than the Irish.  But, can’t help sticking with my tourney dark horse Notre Dame who has won thirty-one games this season.  If you think there is some relevance when the almighty “gut feeling” comes twofold, you can look back to yesterday in the CBI and our ULM selection and winner. How can Vermont be favored on the Warhawks home floor bringing lesser RPI and SOS scores?  Tonight we find two Indiana schools doing battle with Wichita State garnering more press considering their recent upset of #2 seed Kansas and their ongoing 7 straight wins…”MO” to say the least.  No matter the winner of this Indiana based set will have Kentucky on-deck this Saturday…so, with that I mind believe the Irish will bring match up issues for the 3-4 guard offense of the Shockers…In addition, their bravado has props considering they show out of the ACC (0000 losses in the NCAA).  Remember ND brings 5 DD scorers and an incredible tenaciousness…There is no doubt that the Shockers have more talent, but this is going to be an offense show.  When the Irish score over 80…..they are 18-0 SU.  Finally, Shockers 2-6 ATS in non-conference games!

4* Oklahoma City over San Antonio

The Thunder have won 4 straight games and show with a 14-21 SU mark at home. The catch the talents of SA tonight who bring a monster 26-8 SU record at home. However, in the Western Conference they show a mediocre 23-19 SU mark vs. the OKC 23-23 record.  The Spurs are ranked #6, OKC #8 in the Western Conference.  The Thunder are 13-5-1 ATS in the series and 5-0 ATS off a SU win. Plus OKC is a masterful 10-2 ATS in the conference.

Play on:  5* UL-Monroe (790) over Vermont @ 8:00 Eastern

Here we have another competitive battle in the CBI Tournament this evening down in Monroe, Louisiana.  Showing is the 20-13 unit out of Vermont going up against ULM who dribbles in with a real nice 23-12 mark.  Before tourney action VU was averaging 66.2 points per game vs. ULM’s 64.3.  On defense, VU came in a little stronger holding opponents to 57.7 points per game vs. ULM’s 59.7 points per game.  One note of interest prior to the CBI Vermont was 6-9 SU on the road, ULM 12-3 SU home. As far as RPI, ULM has improved to a #132 ranking, while Vermont has dropped to #204 on the ESPN watch after the regular season.  The key advantage, though, tonight for VU is their 46.7% FG average which ranks #32 nationally.  As far as strength of schedule Vermont comes in ranked #243 vs. UL-Monroe at #188.  Conference rankings have the American East #29 nationally with an SOS of 0.4560 vs. the Sun Belt with a #20 ranking and a SOS of 0.4751.  If Vermont’s continues to falter on the road, and they should considering the shooting background (ULM), look for a huge win by the Warhawks.  Don’t forget coming in the Warhawks are a PERFECT 4-0 ATS L4 times out, while VU is 0-7-1 ATS off a SU win.  We close with Monroe a super 15-6 ATS in non-conference battles…Good Luck.

4* New York+ over LAC

Granted the Knicks (14-57) look dead, but with this number the visitors to the Las Vegas books will be looking at the hefty price.  LAC has won and covererd 4 straight, while off BB wins at home. They are averaging 108 points per game in the current run. New York has lost four straight averaging 86 points per game, going 0-4 ATS.  LAC shows 3-8 ATS vs. the Eastern Conference. LAC has NY, Philadelphia and Boston over the next three road games. Usually, the first game in such a east coast brings will have the road unit a little flat, especially considering the opponent. TAKE THE POINTS!

10* Arizona State+ over Richmond

TOP PLAY TOURNEY ALERT

BDS

10* George Washington+ over Temple

NIT GAME OF THE YEAR

BDS...Note the style play winners of yesterday in the NCAA were Cincinnati and NC State, both covering the Strip numbers.  Here we have a similar floor relationship where changing and contrasting means an awful lot to the underdog. Remember GW defeated a very physical Pittsburgh unit, an oddity for their program and show with great confidence.  Temple is 3-7 ATS in non-conference with GW 4-0-1 ATS in the same venue.  GW 5-2 ATS vs. Temple. TAKE THE POINTS!

10* USC Update over UT Chattanooga

College Insider's TOP PLAY

BDS

5* DAVIDSON+ over Iowa

CBB UPSET ALERT

BDS

10* Oregon over Oklahoma State

CBB KEY MATCH UP OF THE DAY

BDS

After yesterday's results we are looking more at the floor sets than the historic valuation process. Here we have one of my surprise units this year in College Basketball, the Oregon Ducks.  They do not possess a strong inside game, but with speed and shooting ability and one of the best players in College Hoops we finally expect an Oregon. Plus we now know the Big-12 is an over rated conference something I've been saying all season long.  Oregon recall is on a 7-1 ATS run, while the Cowboys show 0-4 ATS vs. units with >.600 record.

5* Buffalo over West Va.

CBB SHOCKER

BDS

4* New Mexico State+ over Kansas

We of the important factors, especially in the early brackets every year is the differential in match ups.  When units have contrasting styles that circumvent or alter the oppositions game plan, you have a great shot of winning when points afforded as part of the compilation.  Early Friday we have another such club in New Mexico State...Look for a much close game than the Vegas Strip has booked, factoring in the Aggies super 7-1 ATS mark vs. >.600 units. Finally, the Jayhawks have poor history in the NCAAs with a 1-6 ATS record...Good Luck.

5* Eastern Washington+ over Georgetown

NCAA SHOCKER OF THE WEEK

That's right, I said Eastern Washington is in the NCAA tourney on Thursday showing with a MONSTER 26-8 record out of the Big Sky Conference.  For better, the Eagles beat Indiana this season and played well at SMU.  Further, Eastern has the leading scorer Tyler Harvey (22.9), and the youngster has put together some amazing games with 5 over 30 point creations.  Georgetown is 1-3 SU in their last four opening tries in the NCAA Tournament. Georgetown has some outstanding scorers in their rotation, but the key for EWs defense is trying to stop GT Center Smith who is 6-10 and approximately 350 pounds.  If so, EW should pick up a MAJOR WIN in round one of the Tournament.  Techs have EW 11-1-1 ATS at neutral sites, while GT is 1-4 ATS in the NCAA.

10* LSU over NC StateRealize the Tigers looked horrible last time out and are playing with "Mic" really banged up.  But, the kid has great composure and will be the difference maker in this encounter.  When the guard play is conscious LSU has the ability to create gaps in the open floor allowing their more athletic unit additional opportunities to generated a higher FG% than their norm.  Their inside defensive game will  give the Wolfpack problems all game long.  In what should be a HUGE REBOUND for LSU back their spread numbers when on foreign boards. Good Luck!

4* Stephen F. Austin+ over Utah

CBB UNDERVALUED UNIT

BDS

3* TENNESSEE MARTIN+ over Northwestern State

NIT APPRECIATION MOVE

BDS

5* Purdue over Cincinnati

MIDWEST BRACKET

We looked at Purdue on Sunday realized that have a few edges over physical Cincinnati. No doubt the Boilers looked horrible early this season, especially losing to North Florida and Gardner-Webb.  However, HC Painter did a great job overall as his unit completed the season with a solid 21-12 mark.  What Purdue has in abundance vs. the Bearcats is their height, so they should easily win the rebounding wars. If the 'Due cuts down their turnover tendencies they should win this by 8, considering they do play team basketball as per their 14.9 assists per game. Technically, the Bearcats are 4-9-1 ATS in the NCAA Tourney...Good Luck.

FIRST TOURNEY TRIPLE CROWN THURSDAY 10* 10* AND 5* MOVES

10* Ole Miss over Xavier

As expected the Muskies are the favorite here this late afternoon. Any time you have a Big East unit laying points in the Southern region it is always wise to check out their set.  Loved the way Ole Miss rebounded here after almost being exited to the NIT...They will play with more energy, and have a solid head coach in Andy Kennedy.  Coaching means so much at this time of year, check the Rebs road wins (6-3) in the talented SEC this past season!  In addition, Kennedy is one of seven coaches in the SEC to win 20+ games in the last 4-of-5 seasons.  This is a wire job and the points are clearly a premium...Good Luck!

10* Dayton over Boise State

Would normally look at the more effective 3balling unit (Boise), but just like the overall talent of the Flyers and their conference makeup.  In addition, they support the more balanced defense with an outstanding game coach to boot...Flyers have covered 4 straight in NCAA action, while the Boise State unit shows 2-6 ATS at neutral sites...Realize spread change overnight, but can't go against the more prepared unit.

4* ULM over Eastern Michigan

CBB Line Value Edition

BDS

5* BYU over Ole Miss

SEC TOURNEY GAME OF THE WEEK

BDS

Play on:  5* UTEP+ over Murray State

Despite Murray State going 27-5 this season they were ousted by Belmont (OVC) in the tournament. They do average slightly over 79 points per game, shooting 48.4%. No doubt incredible numbers, but they will need to offset their porous defense with improved play tonight, if they expect to take home the cash in front of their home fans. UTEP shows with solid scores of 22-10 SU this year, but they lost out in the second round of the C-USA Tournament. They average 69.3 points game, allowing 63.2 points per. Clearly, MS (0.4732 SOS) brings the scoring advantage to the floor, but the Miners (0.5072 SOS)  bring the stronger conference rep. They have won 8-of-12 SU in non-conference games, covering at a 17-7-1 ATS clip in non-conference.

Play on: 5* Rhode Island over Iona

Here we go with the Metro Atlantic Gaels vs the A-10 which some might theorize is a mismatch for the Rams (20-9) in the NIT Opening Round on Tuesday night.  A key for Iona will be their ability to continue shooting 39.2%.  They are hitting almost seven 3Balls a game which might keep them close...We know the Rams are not very happy about being left out of the NCAA, considering they went 22-9 SU with sensational players English and Matthews.  I believe the Gaels defense will have match up problems all night falling behind their more athletic opponent. Remember the Gaels are 0-4 ATS vs. A-10, 1-6 ATS L7.  Rhode Island is a PERFECT 4-0 ATS off a SU loss.

5* Manhattan over Hampton
We are looking at a losing team Hampton who is 16-17 on the season, versus a solid METRO unit Manhattan who shows with a respectable record of 19-13. Hampton upset Delaware State in the MEAC Tournament and sets up against an experienced unit that is used to "critical" games on the schedule. The Jaspers have a well rounded unit that has advantages on the foul line and from 3Ball range. Hampton has the edge statistical edge rebounding, but the conference strength differential nullifies. Technically, the Pirates are 12-5 ATS in non-conference, and have covered 8 straight. However, we must side with Manhattan that is on PERFECT streak of 6-0 ATS playing a STRONGER BASIS of units.

3* Kentucky over Arkansas

*CBB SEC CHAMPIONSHIP

BDS

*Only College Release

10* Harvard over Yale

IVY TOP PLAY ALERT

031415

Ivy League Championship

Site:  University Pennsylvania (Palestra)

Play on:  10* Harvard  -2 (not higher) over Yale @ 4:00 Eastern

Back on February 7th, Harvard escaped the Eli in incredible basketball game winning 52-50. If Harvard is two win this afternoon they will to replicate their first half defensive performance in the aforementioned encounter as Yale was held to 3-22 shooting with only 11 points the end result.  No doubt Amaker’s defense did a great job.  In the return battle Yale erupted for 62 points limiting the Crimson to just 52, as the Bulldogs lead by thirteen in the second half. However, Harvard to get back in the game at 43-41, but Yale’s Duren killed them down the stretch for a super win. Going into the game the Eli had the stated emotional angle on their side as they were in revenge and Harvard was going through a tough stretch offensively.  Yale does bring four seniors to the floor, but our power rating indicators have the Crimson as the more effective overall unit.  Key:  Harvard’s defense must keep Justin Sears from dominating the game.  The Crimson stingy “D” has held the opposition to 58.4 points per game this season.  Harvard is 5-1 ATS on neutral sites, Yale 4-0 ATS.  The Eli seem, though, to have an issue on Saturday’s going just 1-4 ATS of late, while Harvard shows 14-6 ATS.

5* Albany over Stony Brook

CONFERENCE GAME OF THE DAY

Would love to give spunky Stony Brook (23-10) a shot considering their defense, ball handling and overall game concept.  However, Albany (23-8) has the better shooters, especially from 3Ball range and is coming off a recent loss to the “Brook.”  Although the underdog has covered 4 straight in the series, we seriously prefer the Great Danes who are 8-2 ATS vs. units with scores over .600…Good Luck!

5* Providence over Villanova

The Wildcats again last night decimated another foe last night on their way to this physical battle with the Friars.  If you recall Providence won this tourney last year, and looks to pull a devastating UPSET here vs. the Wildcats. Seeing 'Nova play all year feel the UNDERDOG Friars will have a mental edge because of past wars.  And, Nova despite their depth advantages just might be a little slow out of the gate.  Providence recall has covered 8 straight on neutral sites, and they grab the cash tonight..Good Luck.

Back in about one hour.

4* LSU over Auburn

LSU handled Auburn easily last time out should be well prepared to go deep in the SEC Tournament run, even if Mackey does not play...LSU is well rested and should take out Auburn who is playing with no rest...LSU.

4* Kentucky over Florida

Wildcats seemingly out beatable to this point face up start that is coming off an over valued win against offensively challenged Gators. KU defeated Fla. 67-50 (-16) earlier.  Granted this has been a hotly contested series, but KU is 8-3 ATS w/3 days rest and 9-1 ATS at neutral sites. Florida is 0-2 ATS with no rest and 5-15-1 ATS off a SU win...Wildcats Roll!

4* Davidson over LaSalle

Disregard the Explorers who show off an outstanding win over UMASS that plays inconsistent defense with sloppy versions quite often. Yesterday the Minutemen allowed Jordan Price of the Explorers too many stops at the foul line and the kid broke his own career mark from the charity striped pushing LaSalle into the winners circle. However, Davidson offers too many perimeter weapons (as they just did at LaSalle) for the Explorers inconsistent offense to survive put their defense in fouling situations late that will drive up the final differential. Remember the Wildcats (23-6) are the superior unit scoring 79.1 points per game, going against a "tired" LSU zone that will implode. They have no answers for Tyler Kalinoski and his friends from the arc. In addition, HC Bob McKillop's kids are 9-1 ATS L10.

021215

Play on:  5*Western Kentucky+ (563) over UAB @ 7:00 Eastern

Going back to one of my favorite teams Western Kentucky (20-11).  Today Middle Tennessee State was on our card, another unit who’s style of play is exciting and admirable.  WK just got through a battle with Marshall as the invite here to the quarterfinal war.  The key advantage tonight for UAB is the home(!) court as it is quite familiar to the Blazers (16-15) who come out of the USA Conference from Birmingham. In their only battle during the regular season the Blazers survived 71-66 against Western Kentucky.  Here believe the fragmented UAB defense (68.6) will give the talented ‘Toppers the floor advantages allowing overall better looks at the basketball.  Western shows 36-17 ATS at neutral sites and 78% ATS vs. >.500 units.  UAB is 9-22 ATS at “neutral sites.”  Good Luck!

031015

Play on:   5* Pennsylvania+  (664) over Princeton @ 7:30 Eastern

As you know we were all over Columbia on Saturday night as our LETDOWN GAME OF THE YEAR leading until the last two minutes vs. Princeton.  Once again we saw the Tigers defense giving up too many easy buckets, while allowing Columbia to control the tempo early.  Lately in this series the Quakers have taken home cash...4-of-5 ATS with the UNDERDOG being the valued side at 4-1 ATS.  In addition, the avenging Quakers (74-78) lost a heart breaker at Nassau earlier this season, so that angle helps support Penn who is 4-0 ATS with two days of rest and now play at the historic Palestra. Away from home the Tigers are 3-9 ATS, and we doubt their interest considering no Ivy Title or Tourney credentials being issued.   …TAKE THE POINTS!

5* UNCW+ over Northeastern

CBB TOURNEY UPSET ALERT

BDS

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

10* SMU over Tulsa

AAC GAME OF THE MONTH

BDS

TOP PLAY ALERT***

5* LOUISVILLE+ over Virginia @ 7:00 Eastern

The critical data here is insuring that our clients have +3, if not, buy a 1/2-point with Louisville. This MOTO is exactly what have use during the College Football season. There are encounters, especially late in the season that seems to be an obvious winner! Not so fast, as Looie has a HUGE REVENGE MOTIVE after losing to the Cavs 52-47 last year.  Further, the Virginia plays into a negative system that says to play against a unit off a SU win (3-7 ATS) when playing in their last game with one game in the loss column. In addition, we find the Cardinals in spectacular 10-2 ATS position off a DD loss at home...Mentally, this scenario favors Louisville and we'll go that way on Saturday as a Best Bet...GOOD LUCK.

10* Columbia +4 over Princeton

CBB LETDOWN GAME OF THE YEAR

BDS

4* LaSalle +2-1/2 over Dayton

CBB A-10 SHOCKER

BDS

4* Yale over Harvard

IVY LEAGUE UPSET

BDS

Don't laugh, but one of our contacts who visited the Crimson game last weekend thought they looked expended late in the game, while winning on the road Saturday night. Corbin Miller's 21 off the bench was a major key. Plus Harvard shot 58.7% from the field, an incredible accomplishment and 40% from the arc.  They will not accrue the same statistical advantages tonight against the upset minded Eli. In the series first game this season the Crimson survived 52-50...not here as Yale takes down the Harvard machine.

5* Morehead State+ over Murray State

CBB SU UNDERDOG WINNER

BDS

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

3* Philadelphia+ over Utah

NBA FAN APPRECIATION MOVE

BDS

4* Toledo over E. Michigan

Any time I went into an EMU (18-12) game it was to go against the school that has to work extra hard for offense, but does bring a creditable defense to the floor. However, the majority of EMU wins have been against bad teams.  For example, in their last game against Toledo (19-11) they were CRUSHED 84-60. In this series the chalk is on a MONSTER 20-7 ATS roll.  Toledo has won three straight in the series covering -6, -3 and -5.  In addition, overall Toledo is more dangerous unit when they fall behind as they shoot 36.9% from the 3Ball range. EMU has a deficit there in comparison of 5%...TOLEDO!

10* Princeton over Cornell

This is not only our IVY GAME OF THE MONTH...but, a sure fire REVENGE ANGLE to bank on this Friday evening.  Last time out in Ithaca the Big Red smashed the Tigers 68-60 as a 1-1/2 point underdog.  In that game, the Tigers garnered a half-time lead only to squander the second-half with a 12-point margin differential.  Remember that was a Saturday game and the Tigers were "watching" in the last stanza as the Big Red took control and the win.  When Princeton falls behind they have a tendency to depend on the three a little too much. In that loss to Cornell, Brase and Cook killed the Tigers chance shooting a combined 2-14 from the arc. Not to tonight as Princeton kids BLOWOUT the Big Red who are 0-6 to the number in New Jersey.

4* Illinois State over Evansville

MVC BEST BET

BDS

10* Niagara+ over Siena

METRO-ATLANIC CONFERENCE TOURNEY

BDS

10* UTAH STATE+ over Wyoming

No doubt the Pokes have intimating numbers with a solid 21-8 SU mark, 16-2 SU at home...Against the spread presents a whole different view.  Wyoming is 7-16 ATS , 2-8 ATS the last ten games.  They have played with stud Nance back in the lineup, but he has yet to approach former numbers. Granted this iencounter is being played at home where Wyoming has been even more tenacious on defense stifling opponents with PA of just 55 per game.  And the two recent losses to UNLV and Fresno can be discounted considering the Nance contribution. We do note, UTS has defeated those two easily.  UTS carries an 18-10 mark into play, but more important they have been a solid addition to the cash register accruing a 17-9 ATS mark this season, HIGHLY RESPECTED.  Further, UTS is 5-0 ATS off a SU win, 6-0 ATS L6 and 16-5 ATS in conference.  Wyoming, remember is 2-6 ATS off a SU loss and 1-5 ATS L6 in the MWC. Going back to 1997 Utah State has won 3-of-5 games in the series, and has covered BB games. Finally, with Nance back in front of the home crowd, and this being a REVENGE game for Wyoming, fully expect public money to help secure our UTAH STATE position...Good Luck.

3* St. John's over Marquette

CBB ROAD WARRIOR BLOWOUT

BDS

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

5* LaSalle+ over St.Joe

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

3* Seton Hall+ over Providence

CBB KEY FAN APPRECIATION WINNER

BDS

4* Auburn+ over Missouri

CFB LINE VALUE #1 EDTION

BDS

4* Memphis over Utah

Realize the Grizzlies have Houston on-deck, but remember Memphis has won five of the last six SU in series.  Plus Utah is a sorry 2-7 ATS with two days, while the Grizz are a SUPER 16-5-1 ATS on Tuesday's.  Overall, can't expect Memphis to letdown as they possess the clear advantage of the scoring standpoint...Good Luck!

(533) 10* Ole Miss+ over Alabama @ 7:00 Eastern

Not afraid to play on the Rebels (17-12) after the LSU debacle, considering the public domain had a disaster with the road unit in Baton Rouge.  In this situation, we are going to accrue some line value as the public overnight has pushed ‘Bama up to -2 and higher in some outlets.  As history would indicate this is one of the fiercest rivalries in the SEC and nationally in all sports.  Both units are coming in off SU losses, each having super ATS marks off a SU loss.  Ole Miss, though, has won 3-of-4 SU in the series and a 4-1-1 ATS series streak.  In addition, the feisty Rebels show 8-2 ATS in their last ten road encounters.  Alabama has a solid mark at home 13-4 this season, but anchor a losing mark of 0-4 ATS L4 vs. >.500 units.  No doubt the Crimson will be difficult with coach Mason carrying a strong final home game mark, while bringing a physical defense to the floor holding the opposition to 63.9 points per game.  The Crimson Tide offensive effectiveness has been decreased by the loss of two key starters.  On the other hand, a key factor tonight will be the foul shooting of Ole Miss who brings a 77.6% mark to the floor. With that being the case our chances of winning SU and covering the current impost with Mississippi has greatly increased…Ole Miss 68 Alabama 65

3* Army+ over Navy

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY ALERT

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

3* SPC+ over Iona

This looks easy does it not?  A 24 win like the Gaels show in a road test vs. the

10* Nevada over San Jose State

MWC GOY

BDS

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

4* Air Force over Utah State

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

10* William & Mary over Drexel

CAA CRUSHER

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST

3*   AVERAGE

5* Rhode Island over LaSalle

REPORTING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST

3*   AVERAGE

(833)…4* Princeton+ over Yale @ 7:00 Eastern

Critical game for both units trying to finish strong in the Ivies, while the Eli (19-8) still have hopes of catching the Crimson with a game left on the schedule next week against Harvard.  Yale has just four games remaining, but has to play Princeton in a same season revenge (73-81) encounter for the Tigers…The Tigers have decent math as they have been involved in no Ivy game this season with a point differential of greater than eight with Princeton as a foe.  The Tigers are a scary bunch as they have lineup balance with four players averaging at least nine points per game…They bring a perimeter offense to the floor.  Princeton is 5-0 ATS off a SU loss, but has a 1-4 ATS mark L5 vs. the Eli. Yale is averaging almost 69 points per game ranked #3 in the Ivies with FG% of 44.3 and do have the edge in overall talent.  But, we must note there will be immense pressure for both since each face a “must win” environment.  Finally, the Tigers have allowed 69+ points per game on the road which is a major concern, but with the stakes at hand feel we will see a lower scoring game in the high fifties, low sixties. Good Luck, and don’t forget our SENSATIONAL TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE goes Saturday on this network!

10* Oregon +1 over California

PAC-12 CBB GAME OF THE MONTH

BDS

Love the way Oregon has been playing and feel they can take the Bears out even in Berkley. Remember the Berkley kids are just 8-20 ATS in conference and they face Oregon who has better floor balance.  We told you the Huskies would upset State last time out, and they did so in OT. This is a similar situation with the wrong team being favored.  The road team is 6-1 ATS in the series, so this equates to another VALUED TOP PLAY...Good Luck!

THIS IS A TRIPLE CROWN ENTRY

10* Illinois+ over Iowa

With Rice back in the lineup for the Illini we fully expect this to go to the wire as Hawkeyes have looked too good the last two times out.  Recall this series has produced numerous physical wars over the years. And, all though the home team has been successful in series, the Hawkeyes are just 6-13 ATS on their home floor last 19 times out....CLOSE!

5* Philadelphia+ over Milwaukee

Granted Philly (12-44) going through more changes, but they did play with solid emotion in recent road loss at Orlando 103-98.  See no reason why the Sixers can't "challenge" inconsistent Bucks (31-25) who show off a 97-86 loss at home to Atlanta 97-86, after (Atlanta) running out to a 13-point lead at the half.  Feel we will see Milwaukee playing down to the level of the adjusting Sixers, so expect a closer game than the number so indicates...Remember, the Bucks have dropped 4 straight in Vegas, while going 1-5 ATS at home. Philly is 5-0 ATS with one day of rest and 4-0 ATS after losing by 10 or more in their last game.  With both units adjusting their rotations...TAKE THE POINTS!

(757) 5* Davidson+ over Rhode Island @ 7:00 Eastern

Last time out valued guard Jake Gibbs returned to the lineup with 17 points in just 23 minutes as the Wildcats blew out 8-17 Fordham 76-57.  Davidson has now covered 5 straight against the Atlantic-10 in their initial year of competition.  Coach McKillop of Davidson has a huge task of going on the road against talented Rhode Island who has the identical season record of Davidson at 19-6.  Rhode Island is no slouch vs. conference foes at 5-1 ATS.  However, they show 8-17 ATS at home vs. units with a .600+ mark on the road.  Fundamentally, the four guard offense of Davidson could force RH into lineup mistakes as the game progresses…Plus, feel the Wildcats sound fundamentals “sharing the basketball” support a huge edge in assists rated #6 nationally vs. #139 for the Rams.  The Rhode Island scorers have a tendency to play one-on-one basketball, which will play into open floor opportunities for Davidson on the other end of the floor…DAVIDSON.

4*  Auburn+ over LSU

Don't be too stymied in your thought process after the War Eagle was crushed by the #1 team in the country last time out...as Auburn is 5-0 ATS after having their defense thrashed for 100+ points. Plus Auburn has won the last 3-of-4 SU in the highly contested series with the kids from Baton Rouge.  Technically, the series has the UNDERDOG cashing 6-of-7 with Auburn 17-5-1 ATS in the most recent meetings..Good Luck.

5* Washington over Washington State

PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK

BDS

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

5* Temple+ over Tulsa

Playing in back-to-back road venues not exactly the most desired situation for a Temple team coming off a tough loss at SMU...However, REVENGE situation for Dunph and Owls who will play with much desire to avoid another late season downer hurting NCAA props.  The Golden Hurricanes won at Temple this season but, must note the Owls super guard Cummings was injured. Good Luck.

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

5* Western Kentucky+ over Middle Tennessee

CBB FALSE FAV GAME OF THE WEEK

BDS

Who compiled this line?  Love the way MTS plays, but the value here is all with the 'Toppers. The underdog has covered 7-of-10 in series, while Western has cashed 8 straight tickets on Sunday. Also, more impressed with the Western SOS.  Good Luck.

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

10* GEORGIA***+ over Alabama

SEC TOP PLAY ALERT

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

***TCP

10* Georgetown over DePaul

BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH

BDS

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*  BEST BET

4*  STRONG/BEST BET

3*  AVERAGE

4* St. Bonnies +2-1/2 over St. Joseph's

CBB UPSET ALERT

BDS

RETURN LATER WITH OUR TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

5* Davidson over Fordham

College Conference Game of the Week

Believe the Rams traveling will have a devastating effect here, as they gone through a run of difficult game.  Fordham is 3-9 ATS off a SU and now travel to face Davidson who has covered 8-of-9 on the road.  In addition, they are 12-3 ATS on Saturday...88-71

4* Kansas over TCU

CBB CRUSHER SERIES

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

5* Ole Miss over Miss. State

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*  AVERAGE

3* Wofford over UNC-Greensboro

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*  BEST BET

4*  STRONG/BEST BET

3*  AVERAGE

3* Dayton over St. Joseph's
Here is an encounter that will have the techies scratching their heads as the visiting Hawks have covered 7-of-8 in the series out on the Strip. And, with a hefty number it would NOT take much thought to jump on the 11-13 visitor. Giving further review we look to play on the Flyers (19-5) who are a sure shot tourney participant, and can't afford a letdown. Granted SJU is 3-0 SU & ATS L3 in the series, but the Flyers have won 6 straight at home by an average of 16.7 points per game. What drives Dayton is their defense which allows just 59.8 points per game #33 nationally. SJU brings the #298 ranked offense (61.5) to the floor. The RPI numbers clearly favor Dayton (#31) 0.5978 vs. #163 SJU (0.5046)...Dayton 85 SJU 70

4* Middle Tennessee (BEST BET)...Line value MTS, despite national appetite for the inconsistent play of Marshall who brings horrible identity as a road unit to the floor this afternoon. In addition, believe the MTS scoring defense (62.1) will be the difference computing a surprising low scoring game..LAY THE WOOD!

4* UTAH SATE -13 over San Jose State

BEST BET CBB

BDS...Classic fundamental mismatch, and UTS will not letdown vs. a unit that has won only two games on the season.  Realize they have bigger games down the road, but SJU offense, and defensive lapses put the visitor a horrible position.

(710)…4* LaSalle over Duguesne   @ 7:00 Eastern

Duguesne (8-15) visits the Gola center on Wednesday trying to rebound from a 84-72 loss to UMass on Saturday.  On the other hand, the Explorers (14-11) show off a home loss to highly charged Davidson 77-69, a game in which the Wildcats took  shooting and rebounding advantages as the keys to an ATS cover.  Having seen both games I can tell you LaSalle faced a more difficult opponent, while again the Dukes struggled in their series vs. UMass.  Series notes have the Dukes always playing the Explorers tough, but LaSalle has won 4 straight and 3-of-4 ATS in the series.  Dr. “G” talked this week about keeping the Dukes Micah Mason who shot 7-of-12 last time out under control.  LaSalle does catch a huge break as Duquesne has one of the worst defenses (74.2) in the A-10 as they employ a waving technique against defenses they play off the dribble (cutters)…Look for a huge offensive night by LaSalle and Jordan Price…84-70!

5* Florida over Vanderbilt

CBB BLOWOUT ALERT

BDS

Comments later...

5* Tulsa over East Carolina

Line value with home standing Golden Hurricanes (17-7) who have huge floor edges vs. Golden Hurricanes (11-14).  With the visitor 0-9 SU and needing a deep game tonight, feel aspiring Pirates simply over matched. Good Luck

5* Wyoming over Nevada @ 10:00 Eastern

Wyoming two weeks back defeated Nevada by controlling the boards, while having an outstanding game on the foul line hitting 80.8% garnering a solid shooting effort overall…Nevada more of an outside game, the Pokes the insiders.  So, if the Wolfpack bring a lackluster shooting night to the floor, Wyoming will once again take home the cash. Wyoming’s RPI 0.5539..#79  clear edge over Nevada, so road engagement of no concern..Good Luck.

5* TEXAS A&M over LSU

Here is a great chance for LSU to garner more positioning points for the NCAA board. However, although the Tigers have looked outstanding of late, feel they are in a CLASSIC LETDOWN set tonight.  The home team in the series has covered 6-of-8, while LSU has hurt their backers in College Station with a 1-4 ATS mark on these boards...A&M 75 LSU 69

021615

(720)….5* Creighton+ over Butler…9:15 Eastern

Stayed away from Butler and Villanova the other night, but it was a shame the way the Bulldogs lost via a three at the buzzer 68-65 giving the ‘Cats the SU & ATS combination.  No matter, the Bulldogs have still won 5-of-6 SU.  Creighton who had gone through and up and down season is just 3-10 SU in conference will need a near perfect outing to stop the talented visitor tonight.  Going in Butler has a slight edge in series, but struggled in their first encounter this season surviving 64-61. The major deficit between these units is the Creighton defense which is allowing 67+ points per game, really hurting their chances in the talent rich Big East. Still, can’t help but, think Butler will have an emotional downer considering their recent loss to Villanova.  Further, the Bulldogs show 1-6-1 ATS on the road after playing three or more consecutive home games.