(712)…4* Monmouth over Marist

Can’t trust Marist on the road with their 2-11 SU mark, as home standing Monmouth has all the statistical and talent edges on the floor.  UM shooting a solid 43% from the field, where the Red Foxes are inconsistent, especially from deep 31% coming into action. Granted the Hawks are just 6-6 SU, but has played some stiff conference entities on their floor.  If Monmouth hits 70+ (66.7% normally) here they should win and cover. Remember the Hawks are 6-2-1 ATS vs. units under

5* Clemson+ over Georgia Tech

Would not go away from the Tigers now when they are in a solid upset position, despite the site.  In fact, Clemson shows 4-0 ATS in the series and the road team has taken 8 straight tickets in Vegas. Recall, Georgia Tech again shot poorly from the field vs. FSU, especially from three (3-15) where most unit do damage against Tech. Look for a SU win by Clemson in this very tough building. Good Luck.

(704)...4* Virginia over Pittsburgh

Doubt recent successes by the Panthers will play into an upset here, considering the Cavs perfectionist defense (50.9) #1 in country…Plus Pittsburgh has incredibly bad techs going 1-9-1 ATS on the road. In addition, the Panthers have covered 6-of-22 games overall and 6-35-1 ATS off a SU win. Yes, we know they show 4-1 SU of late and have a recent win over UNC this past Saturday, but again that accrues VA line value. Going back to Virginia who just missed being upset last time out vs. Wake here in Virginia. The Cavs have a super 9-3 SU edge in this series winning both games by three last year 51-48 and 48-45…but again this has the public domain pumping cash into the Pittsburgh side, no thank you.

10* Vanderbilt+ over Alabama

Despite this situation being a road visit for the Commies LOVE THEIR CHANCES winning SU. 'Bama seems to be an illusion on the floor at times with their shooting and ball handling causing troubles throughout the SEC.  And, although, the Tide has been virtually unbeatable at home see a change in fortune...Commies, normally, a not so perfect road unit has some key trends hitting the boards this evening.  The road team in this series is a PERFECT 5-0 ATS, while the UNDERDOG is 6-1 ATS...TAKE THE POINTS!

TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE 10:30 EASTERN

no comment, sorry.

10* Oklahoma State over TCU

We all know the Pokes have been red hot, but honestly this line fooled me at first.  Still must recall the Frogs are in shutdown mode, the football season and baskets are fading, so despite public warnings feel this home floor will not work. With the Pokes athletic ability smashing this foe lately inside the series, have no qualms about laying this price...Good Luck.

5* LSU +2 over Tennessee

Fear public money chasing LSU after KU close shave.  Plus the Vols took apart the Tigers 68-50 and so we have obvious REVENGE as an emotional edge. The Tigers are striving for positioning in the NCAA and can't afford to lose another game down the stretch. Tennessee is 0-5 ATS this season off road game which bodes well for the Tigers as the UNDERDOG is a RED HOT 8-2 ATS. Good Luck.

TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE POSTED @ 10:30 EASTERN THIS MORNING

10* SBA+ over Dayton

This is without question our #1 line value edition for Saturday in College Hoops...SOS and where the Bonnies have played well accrues solid value with a nice line to boot. Remember the last time these two played 78-61 Flyers was the FINAL..Clear and precise REVENGE MODE with the road team 5-2 ATS in the series and show 2-0 ATS recently off a home game...CLOSE

10* TOP PLAY

5* BEST BET

4* STRONG/BEST BET

3* AVERAGE

RANKING SYSTEM

021113

Play on:  5* (803) Brown +9 over Princeton @ 7:00 Eastern

Interesting Tigers went 21-9 last year mediocre in the Ivies, now having 3 returning starters to a unit that is 10-11 SU, 3-2 in conference.  Brown who is 10-13 and 1-5 in the conference brought back 4 starters from a 15-14 unit.  No doubt the Tigers are upset coming in off a SU loss, showing 5-1 ATS in that role.  However, Princeton is just 4-12 ATS, laying large vs. an “assumed” opponent and, more importantly have “hated” Yale on-deck.  The Bears actually have rebounding edge, but must stop the Tigers from the three (38.9%) where they have dangers over the recent weeks.  This brings to case the Leyland Brown departure from the Brown program, but again, to me this seems like a major letdown spot for Princeton, so we’ll grab the points…Good Luck!

021314

Play on:  10* (807) Cornell+ over Dartmouth

Green have lost four straight and lines makers asking too much of the unit to cover this price.  In addition, this is a REVENGE game for Cornell who shows 8-2-2 ATS vs. losing units.  Surprising is the Big Green horrid marks at home 0-6-1 ATS L7 on the Strip.  Further, they show 7-19-1 ATS overall, while Cornell has done well financially vs. Dartmouth covering at a 5-1-1 ATS clip…Look for Dartmouth to win a barn burner 70-69…TAKE THE POINTS

IVY LEAGUE TOP PLAY 6-0 ATS RUN IN THE LEAGUE

#6 COLLEGE HOOPS

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY***

5*   BEST BET

4*  STRONG/BEST BET

3*  AVERAGE

***Working projected total numbers for Ivies, comments maybe later

4* Niagara+ over SPC

STRONG/BEST BET

BDS

NOTE: TRIPLE CROWN SATURDAY...GOOD LUCK!

10* South Dakota+ over Nebraska-Omaha

MID-MAJOR TOP PLAY

BDS....

RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAY

5*   BEST BET

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

4* Maryland over Indiana

The Hoosiers have been one of the units that I have focused on this year because of their ability to shoot from deep, and their aggressive defense.  No this evening, as the Terps catch some decent line value...STRONG MOVE!

COLONIAL ATHLETIC GOY

(742) 10* William & Mary over Elon

When I look at possible game of the year scenario’s there is numerous data to unfold, but the one constant is the obvious, the “GOY unit must have controlling statistical edges” that will under normal conditions lead to the win and cover…The Tribe owns all the numbers here, except rebounding and a slight disadvantage on the bench. Still this is a Colonial unit that is playing into SAME SEASON REVENGE for an earlier 85-79 loss to Elon. So, take into consideration the Tribe is pissed off, versus a unit that assumes defense is a watch and see proposition, the positive factors accumulate for the home unit.  Remember Bill & Mary shoot almost 50% from the field and 39% 3Balling, while Elon allows over 70 points a game on defense?? With the Tribe winning at +15 points per game at home this season and Elon 6-17 ATS in the CAA…WILLIAM & MARY COVERS!

(745) 5* Georgia +4 or +4-1/2 over Texas A&M @ 7:00 Eastern

This is the time of year in conference play when a big win is needed to access potential NCAA attraction.  This clubs are 16-6 and 15-7 so another win towards the magic #20 victory should guarantee a ticket to the Big Dance.  In the SEC as we saw last night no one will catch Kentucky, so the close on of these entrants gets to the Wildcats the better their resume.  Although this battle is being played in College Station, we note the ‘Dawgs have won three straight in the series.  An if you’re seeing the line movement overnight and currently pushing the Aggies to -4 or -4-1/2 it’s because of their tenacity on the home floor at 10-1 SU coming into Wednesday night. In addition, what helps the public favor A&M is their recent 83-61 destruction of Missouri, as the Aggies did everything right, the Tigers everything wrong.  I am not jumping!!  In Georgia’s recent not so pretty win over UT 56-53 Thornton returned to the lineup with some decent numbers, but this time around the insider should be 100% which will guarantee a very strong competitive game from the visitor.  Techs give us an insider view on how the Aggies respond off a 20+ point win, 3-13-1 ATS is their rebound effort in Vegas.  Both units show well ATS vs. SEC units, but I love the odd stat indicating Georgia 11-1 ATS Wednesday’s…TAKE THE POINTS!

4* Delaware (H) over James Madison

Realize the strength goes to Madison here, but I like the way the Blue Hens have played late in the season.  In this situation, we catch Delaware 3-0 ATS off a road game then playing their next game at home.  They have covered 7-of-10, while JM is 4-6 ATS L10.  Also, we catch the Dukes a horrid 0-5 ATS off a SU win...at home its DELAWARE!

5* Fairfield +8-1/2 or +9 over Iona

CBB EASTERN EDGE BEST BET

BDS

10* CLEMSON+3 over Notre Dame

Love the EMOTIONAL ANGLE here setting up for Clemson after their disaster vs. the 'Canes last time out.  To add our emotional pitch is the loss last season to the Irish 68-64 in double OT.  ND is a horrid 10-24-1 ATS in the ACC and 15-33-3 ATS off a SU loss.  Remember common knowledge will dictate Irish off the Duke debacle, but that does not necessarily equate an ATS cover.

5* PEACOCKS 77 Siena 70

10* TOP PLAY

5* BEST BET

4* STRONG/BEST BET

3* AVERAGE

3* Phoenix over SAC

Our Fan Appreciation Alert for Sunday.

10* Clemson+ over Miami Florida

Real line value, including the public domain chasing the wrong side a solid indicator of the money result on the Strip. Plus the Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in series with the UNDERDOG being the historic venue to follow..Good Luck.

BDS RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAYS

5*   BEST BETS

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3*   AVERAGE

BDS RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAYS

5*   BEST BETS

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3* AVERAGE

BDS RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAYS

5*   BEST BETS

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3* AVERAGE

BDS RATING SYSTEM

10* TOP PLAYS

5*   BEST BETS

4*   STRONG/BEST BET

3* AVERAGE

10* Columbia -7 over Penn

The critical issue here is the line as there are many outlets that have posted -7 on their board. Please buy -1/2-point to insure you have insurance.

Play on:  10* Columbia (634) over Pennsylvania @ 6:00 Eastern

DOUBLE REVERSE

There is an old Ivy system that says to, “Play on a Saturday unit off back-to-back Ivy losses SU and ATS versus an Ivy League school off back-to-back wins both SU and ATS.”  We catch the Quakers coming off a stellar road win 71-69 at Cornell last night and now travel  in New York again to visit the Columbia Lions.  What makes this situation playable is the poor second half performance by the Lions last night costing them a huge win in the league.  Now they are in a critical bounce back situation.  In addition, they catch Penn off an EMOTIONAL win.  The home team is a PERFECT 4-0 ATS in the series, while Columbia shows 7-1 ATS off a SU loss.  Visiting Penn is a horrific 9-21-1 ATS off a SU win…Lions coast as their run-n’-shoot offense tires out the Quakers in the second half…Good Luck.

ve the aforementioned call.

3* Towson over James Madison

This line is a stretch the reason for the 3* rating. No doubt JMU (13-11) is the better basketball team, but the kids from Towson are playing in REVENGE...inside a series they own ATS covering 4 straight at home.  Looking further, we find the Tigers have increased %s at home in almost all statistical categories and along with the emotional angle here, should take home the cash. TOWSON HAS IMPROVED! Remember, the FAVORITE is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the series with the home team 5-1 ATS.

Play on: Milwaukee+ over Houston

We catch the Rockets (34-15) in a slight letdown situation off a huge win, but Houston is 2-5 ATS off a SU win. More important, technically this points to Milwaukee (27-22) who is coming in off three straight losses to Houston by an average of 10-points per game.  No matter, the techs show Milwaukee 21-6-1 ATS on the road and 8-3 ATS vs. the West.  Plus, the UNDERDOG is a PERFECT 6-0 ATS in the series, while the Bucks have covered 5-of-6 ATS in Houston. Without question this is technical beauty for Friday..Good Luck.

5* Drexel +2, +2-1/2 over Elon

No doubt tough building for Drexel (7-14), but they catch ELON (11-12) minus 2 in the injury column, so their bench is not what national so indicate. Plus this situation is "Bruiser" special, road situation with 10-point REVENGE...Last time Elon defeated Drexel 77-67 when the Dragons were in a real negative funk.  HC Flint has his unit playing much better now and show with a positive mindset.  In fact, the DAK kids are now 4-1 ATS in the CAA, while Elon is 5-16-1 ATS. One of the imposing problems tonight for Elon offensively (3BPG..6.8) could be the Drexel zone, if perimeter game off, DREXEL WINS!

10* LASALLE+ over Richmond

Hard pressed to go against disciplined Spiders well coached to say the least.  However, Richmond does show off almost (+9.50) a DD SU road win over very talented VCU...They have won BB games and play a unit they destroyed defensively last season 62-49 in Virginia.  The VCU underdog win was the first for Richmond this season winning both SU & ATS catching points.This is the REASON for the inflated line. LaSalle should be -2 per our A-10  PR. So, this situation will be EMOTIONALLY ALL LASALLE...as the Spiders come in with a natural comfort level vs. their A-10 brethren. The Explorers to be blunt are helter-skelter on a good day, and this must drive "Dr.G" nuts, considering he prefers to play with consistent tempo control...Not gonna happen with Auburn transfer G-F Price in the lineup, the key to winning here. So, I expect Richmond will look to possess the ball, accruing an early lead, forcing the Explorers to run out of control...In the long run this should be an asset for LaSalle being at home off BB wins. Plus "Dr.G" will try and use the 1-3-1 zone to disrupt the inside passing game of Richmond.  If center Zack has 10-10 LASALLE WINS! Note Zack had no points last time. This is the most important game for LaSalle this season, and they will need the kids in that tiny gym to be LOUD. The home teams in the series is 4-0 ATS.

4* Bonnies +9 over Davidson

This looks like a CLASSIC OVERLAY on Wednesday at Davidson. Granted the Wildcats are coming off a hard pill losing at St. Joseph's on Saturday, but without PG Gibbs who can control tempo. Now Davidson now sets up 14-5, 9-0 at home against Bonnies who just were blown out by LaSalle up in New York...So, we are catching much value as the visitor is more competitive than their last out.  SBA is 11-8 SU, 4-4 on the road. Davidson has covered 6 straight at home, but remember Gibbs was on the floor. The Bonnies are 5-2 ATS on the road and should be competitive enough to take home cash.

4* St. Joseph's (9-11) over St. Louis (9-12)

Despite 0-8 SU & ATS run vs. the Bills, feel HC Martelli of St. Joseph's has some positives to work with as the Hawks (as we predicted) show off a MONSTER HOME UPSET against talented Davidson. I'm sure the coach is telling his players that their last four losses to the Bills have been by an average of 15 points... SJU has been good to their backers of late going 7-3-1 ATS L11 times out, while struggling St. Louis has lost 4 straight, and one of their last nine games overall. STL has the more effective shooters, so the Hawks will have to rely on their dogged defense to keep the game under control, and they will!

5* Seattle+1*** (102) over New England @ 6:30 Eastern

….A.K.A “Deflate Gate”

Once the Super Line hit the sportsbooks the money seemed to be going to the side of the Patriots.  However, our good friend in Las Vegas mentioned the High Rollers that he does business with were all over the Seahawks.  Just keep that in mind for now.

Going back to the recent Conference Championship games, we note the Patriots destroyed Indianapolis and shutdown QB Luck to boot 45-7.  NE finished on a 1-3 ATS run after covering vs. the Colts.  Seattle defeated Green Bay 28-22 in a valued performance by QB Rodgers.  Seattle did not cover, but finished with a super 7-of-8 ATS mark.

It’s Thursday as we write our game analysis.  We find out the fire alarm system in the hotel has gone off twice, maybe three times, since the Patriots arrived in Vegas.  Other distractions include QB Tom Brady being sick.   No matter the Patriots are 14-4 SU, while the Seahawks bring the same record in play.  Seattle is the 12th team to repeat as a Super Bowl entrant.  The Patriots won back-to-back Super Bowls in 2004-2005. New England is 0-4 ATS in their last four Super Bowl encounters, and 4-11 ATS in playoff games.  In addition,   NE is 1-9 ATS on grass.  One critical stat fact is Brady’s incomparable 20 playoff wins but, he is only 10-8 SU since those Super Bowl wins. 

My favorite player in the NFL is QB Russell Wilson who brings energy that can change the tempo and the result of a football game every time out with his running abilities.  He is a PERFECT 10-0 SU against other quarterbacks who have won the SUPER BOWL.  On offense the Pats crushed Indy by running the football creating huge gaps for Brady to throw into.  Believe this will not be the case on Sunday as Seattle has held the opposition to an average of 87 yards a game.  This will force Brady to look more down the field into the solid Seattle defensive secondary.  Key for the Seahawks is their vaunted rushing attack (Lynch) which averages 170 yards a game.  Seattle comes in +10 in turnover margin, New England +15.

We look for a huge running day by RB Lynch this is the Seahawks way to control the tempo keeping Brady on the sideline.  Remember the group from New England is averaging 30 points per game, so Seattle can’t afford to trade points and expect to win.  The Seahawks are 10-3 ATS on grass. The UNDERDOG in the Super Bowl is 10-3 ATS.  Just as important, we know Seattle travels well, so expect the crowd to be supporting Seattle loudly. 

***Line based on the Westgate sportsbook at the time of this analysis..Good Luck.

Play on: Utah over Southern California

Here come the Utes (16-4) off a rare loss playing the struggling Trojans.  They are coming down a little, but are still sitting VERY HIGH at #11 in the country. Earlier this season Utah SMASHED USC 79-55 and as we've seen this past Saturday that have lost game one of the series are extremely dangerous in game #2.  However, we doubt the these Trojans have the ability to respond SU at all, considering they are 1-7 SU after losing to Colorado Thursday.  Based on what I saw and now know it will be very difficult for the Trojans (9-11) to respond emotionally even at home...as the Trojans are 19-39-2 ATS at home, while UTAH is a solid 4-0 ATS in the series.

WE SWEEP OUR TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE ON SATURDAY IN COLLEGE BASKETBALL:

10* ST.JOSEPH'S, 10* HARVARD AND 5* PURDUE the winners +25 UNITS!

TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE AN AMAZING 20-3, 87% WITH SELECTIONS A MASSIVE 52-17, 75.4%...THESE ARE RECORD BREAKING NUMBERS.

SUNDAY I HAVE TWO SUPER BOWL SELECTIONS AND ANOTHER 10* TOP PLAY IN CBB

10* St. Joseph's +4 over Davidson...Got involved with the Wildcats in their recent roadie to Mason, and did not like the way the game transpired.  Here head coach McKillop travels up to Philly to play in the Hawks who are well coached by stoic Phil Martelli.  No doubt Hawk Hill is missing fire power this season, but Davidson plays without guard Gibbs which bring into a classic wire job.  Davidson might be 14-4 SU, but is only 4-4 SU L8. In addition, Davidson 9-0 SU home, while just 5-3 on the road. If guard Bembry of the Hawks is sharp, Martelli will add a key upset to this season record...Good Luck.

10* CHICAGO+ over Phoenix...usually would not run into situation that has a late west coast moniker, but the Bulls (30-18) have had recent success in the Phoenix (27-20) series winning both games last year by 5 and 9 points respectively. The Bulls show off their OT loss to the Lakers, prior defeating the Warriors.  So, it's understood a letdown would be on-deck considering the west coast swing. Road unit is 8-3 ATS in the series with the underdog 8-2 ATS. Chicago has taken 5 straight ATS in Phoenix.

5* Yale -2 over Columbia...This has been in and out series for the last winner on the board. What now looks as though the Tigers have the reverse angle in place they show with key injuries.  Offensively, Yale has the edge with Sears and Towsend, but Columbia could cause problems inside, especially if the Eli is not converting.  Yale (13-6) is in first place Ivy wide, while Columbia is down the list with a 9-7 record.  Yale is 6-5 SU on the road, Columbia 7-3 SU home. Yale has key edge in offensive numbers FG%, FT% and 3B%.  What could really hurt Columbia is their sometime shoddy foul shooting...With Yale 10-2 ATS in the series, and a 9-3-2 ATS run currently, we will use the Eli tonight.

4* Arizona State over Oregon...Normally we try and stay away from laying points with the Sun Devils. However, this is same season REVENGE for ASU who dropped a 59-56 encounter earlier to the Ducks.  Oregon is 4-10-2 ATS in the series, while the Sun Devils come in 4-1 ATS at home. Oregon is 7-15-2 ATS off a SU loss and 1-6 ATS in conference. Tough number, but yet worth the play.

Play on:  (807) Houston over Boston @  7:35 Eastern

I woke early this morning and checked my favorite odds site and low and behold Dwight Howard is still bothered by that knee.  For those Rockets Rioters out there your favs are 10-2 SU without the big guy in the lineup. Houston (32-14) is 27-19 ATS on the season, struggling Boston (16-18) 23-21 ATS.  Houston is 15-7 away SU, while the Celtics show 9-13 SU at home.  The Celtics off a 110-98 road loss to Minnesota which concluded a six game road schedule.  The only “quality” win in the trip was in game #2 as Boston won 90-89 over Portland.   Houston has won 6 straight in the series, while the favorite has covered 6 straight.  The Rockets winners of three straight by an average of 18 points per game, show 4-1 ATS against Eastern foes.  Boston looks better with Rondo back at guard, but can’t recommend a home unit that is a PERFECT 0-5 ATS at home vs. >.600+ road units.  Although the Celtics are 5-1 ATS vs. Western units, the choice is Houston.

Friday, look for Ivy and PAC-12 game selections, along with side and totals in the NBA.

NOTE...OUR FIRST TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE THIS YEAR GOES SATURDAY IN COLLEGE HOOPS...INCLUDED IN OUR $59.95 PRICING WILL BE TWO 10* TOP PLAYS AND ONE 5* BEST BET. IF YOU WERE AROUND LAST YEAR YOU KNOW THIS PACKAGE PRODUCES 86.4% WINNERS (19-3) WITH SELECTIONS A MASSIVE 49-17 (74.2%)..DON'T MISS THE SATURDAY CALL. 

(733) 5* Northeastern  over Drexel @ 7:00 Eastern

CAA GAME OF WEEK

NE i(14-7) coming off 78-62 loss to William & Mary. We note the Huskies are 3-1 ATS in 2015 off a SU loss.  Drexel (5-14) is coming off a rare win 53-51 over College of Charleston.   The Dragons are 0-3 ATS this season off a SU win and cover.  In the series NE is on a 5-0 ATS run and 6-2 ATS at Drexel.  Drexel is on a 6-14 ATS run overall, 3-7 ATS in CAA action.  Although the DAK can be a noisy building doubt the home crowd will make much off a difference tonight.  Remember overall the road team is 9-4-1 ATS in this series.  The problems with Drexel not only the lack of talent, but offensively they have few options for balance purposes averaging 56.7 points per game (#345), while NE averages  67.0 points per game.  The key floor difference here is NE has a more effective bench…NE 67-57

10* OKC +4-1/2 over Atlanta

In the recent past we have tagged the Hawks as a play on unit as their talent and depth levels have increased this year. However, here the line opened overnight at -3/-3-1/2 pending outlets as is now -4-1/2 in certain outlets.  It's curious the line level considering the Hawks have won 14 straight, while upstart OKC has nailed four straight.  Normally, would not go against Atlanta or a unit with such a run, but the LETDOWN THEORY APPLIES as the Thunder grabs the cash.

10* Rhode Island over LaSalle

CBB REVERSE ANGLE OF THE WEEK

A-10 teams always have a chance with helter-skelter LaSalle, as their offense tends to play out of control with errant passes and poor floor judgement.  The Explorers are comng off a SU win over Fordham.  LaSalle does come in with a winning record of 10-8 against a very competitive schedule. Home standing RH shows off back-to-back SU losses, the last against UMASS on Saturday. LaSalle has won 4 straight in the series and has covered 4-of-5 in RH. Still, this is a difficult spot for the visitor as the Rams are in need of a win in conference.  They went through a solid 6-0 run earlier, but have dropped the last two against more difficult opponents (VCU & UMASS). What will aide the Rams in the second-half tonight is their aggressive defense and bench strength.  On the unadjusted RPI scale LaSalle is #106, RH #74.  We note, RH 5-1 ATS off a SU loss, while the Explorers board 5-16-1 ATS off a SU win. With LaSalle having trouble with sucess, they are 5-14-1 ATS  vs. the A-10 which gives us valid reasoning to move on RH.  

10* Quinnipac +3/+3-1/2 over St.Peter's

Putting this up early and will try and update later on Wednesday. 

Not only is this a revenge game for the "Q" but, it's a program game as they need to pick up a win over a NAMED UNIT with a reputation inside the conference.  What will happen this evening St.Peter's will most likely falter in the second-half shooting the basketball.  And, this is where the "Q" will start their rally and will do so with second chance points.  They are #1 in the nation in REBOUND MARGIN +13.5 per game. UPSET ALERT!

I am playing this game at +3, but try and buy a 1/2 point to improve the math. Good Luck everybody!

10* Indianapolis +7 nothing less....over New England

Most will look at this set up and assume a Patriots win and cover, considering the Colts will be playing back-to-back weeks on the road. We'll give the public domain the head nod as they back the overall more talented team being at home.  However, we note inside this series the UNDERDOG has been the play running at 14-5-2 ATS.  In addition, our key game changer is the fact QB Luck is not a standstill signal-caller, he will roll out, option and boot leg.  This will cause problems for the NE defense that was not an issue last week vs. Flacco...Believe this factoid insures the Colts and Patriots will be playing a dead even game until the final buzzer.  Now add in the Patriots spread record in Conference Championship games of 0-5 ATS and you have a MAJOR ANSWER to the right side of this contest.  Our AFC GAME OF THE YEAR is Indianapolis over New England.

111815

(302) 4* Seattle -7 not higher…over  Green Bay @ 3:05 Eastern

We used the Seahawks in these pages last weekend, but they needed a long INT for a touchdown to grab the cash in the 4th quarter. Clearly, Carolina proved how wrong the national talking heads were about their abilities on the playing field.  But, just like last week Seattle will need to bring it defensively again to defend their Super Bowl crown in the upcoming 2015 edition. Since the beginning of December the Seahawks have been the #1 NFL defense in total yards allowed and in points surrendered.  This is the Packers chief overall concern as Seattle is on a monster 25-2 SU run at home. The Seahawks have won seven straight kept the opposing offenses under control limiting five of the teams to seven points or less.   My favorite player in the NFL is QB Wilson and the leader is 41-13 SU as a starter.  SEATTLE has a huge edge playing their second playoff game in the post season at home, they’re rested and successful with a high level of confidence, especially with their defense healthy.  Granted the Seattle offense centers on Wilson and Marshawn Lynch (1,300+), but electric Wilson gives Seattle an added edge considering Rodgers (no matter success) will not be 100%.  For Green Bay all we can say is it was a team effort vs. Dallas, but the Pokes really lost the game in the first half when they failed to take control of the game with Rodgers obviously gimpy.  As always it will be a high level challenge for the Packers to go into Seattle and win.  When QB Rodgers (4,381) is healthy his 38 touches are a stat to revel over, but if not, GB will need to use RB Lacy often.  The former SEC running back has 9 touches this season with 1,139 yards.  His counter balance on the outside is Jordy Nelson (1,519) who brought home 13 touches to support Rodgers’ arm abilities.  The last time these two met was back in September with Seattle winning 36-16 in Seattle.  KEY:  Seattle’s defense held the Packers running attack to 80 yards on the ground. This does not bode well for the Packers, especially considering the home team is 4-1-2 ATS in the series.  Plus Seattle is HOT against the spread in the playoff rounds with a solid 5-1 ATS mark.  Realize the early money is supporting  Green Bay, but we just can’t see Rodgers’ offense not committing key turnovers allowing the Seahawks scoring chances.

10* Oregon State +1 over Washington State

CBB GAME OF THE MONTH

BDS

2* Pennsylvania +18 or more...over Villanova

Realize I don't have to print the records but, Nova is 16-1 and UPN 4-8.  Home standing Quakers despite their Palestra archives have no business to be on the same floor with the Wildcats who shoot 3-Balls like their layups.  Already Villanova has blown out the other three teams in the fame Philadelphia Big-5, LaSalle, Temple and St. Joseph's.  Villanova did play Temple before the Owls talented transfers became eligible.  A great deal of the Nova players are not from the Philly area, and most have no idea of the great history this gym holds. especially for the Quakers back in the Dick Harter years.  So when the Wildcats hit the floor they are accruing direction from talented HC Jay Wriight who knows about the legends of the Big-5.  Interesting years ago when a Big-5 coach had  a major edge on the floor they had a tendency to let up after building a big lead.  But, Wright's kids don't care about the past and want to bury everyone.  Wright's friendship with LaSalle  HC Giannini did not come into play as the 'Cats blew out the Explorers.  If you recall, in these pages we predicted the Seton Hall win over Villanova 66-61. Granted the Quakers have no chance here, but I question the 'Cats mental after Xavier with hated Georgetown up next.  On a program basis this game means more to the old alumni of the 'Cats.  For the Nova players this is party time as they will be in the heart of Philadelphia right after the game...We just might have that letdown that I and others thought would come in the Xavier game.  I'm making this a light 2 unit play considering all factors. Good Luck.

5* Davidson +1 or higher...over Richmond

First off, the overnight line booked was a PICK. However, once we saw the overall release Davidson had gone to -1-1/2 late Friday afternoon.  Well immediately, the sharps took it back quickly as we now write with the aforementioned line favoring the Spiders. One of the keys for me in college hoops is having RESPECT FOR THE COACH.  I really like Bob McKillop of Davidison, but this Southern Conference unit last year fell apart late in the season, losing their only NIT game...McKillop loses some key talent, but hhis club has shown great character thus far, even with the lineup changes, 12-3 SU to be exact.  Okay, the Spiders are at home, have played to the edge of the SOS angle, but the Wildcats have more scoring balance and their the underdog.  Davidson has been gold in the A-10 with a sharp 5-0 ATS marker, while Richmond is a horrid 5-14-1 ATS mark L20 times out.

815

Play on:  4* Denver+ (18-20) over Dallas (27-13) @ 8:35 Eastern

NBA BEST BET

BDS

Alright we know how well the Mavs continue to play winning 7-of-10 SU, 13-6 at home.  In addition, the Dallas sets up just one game back in the Southeast division.  In this series they have won 6-of-8 vs. struggling Denver.  But, they do have Memphis up next, so a look ahead appears to be a viable observation.  On the other hand the Nuggets on a 5 GAME WINNING STREAK, WHILE setting in second place inside the division.  Denver is coming off a huge road win over Dallas in Dallas 114-107. Dallas had a diminished lineup with Chandler, Nowitzki and Rondo out.  All three are expected back in the lineup Friday, but that does not necessarily predict a SU & ATS win even though Dallas averages 108.8 points per game. The key here for the Nuggets is the lackluster focus on defense by Dallas (103.7).  From the statistical standpoint we have good reason to believe this will be closer than the numbers floating off-shore and Vegas.  The key will be how well Denver can replicate their recent advantage on the boards. The underdog is 12-4 ATS in the series with the road unit 11-4 ATS.  At home Dallas is a miserable 1-11 ATS vs. Western Conference teams.

AFC GAME OF THE YEAR GOES SUNDAY

POSSIBLE CBB TRIPLE CROWN, CK. BACK EARLY SATURDAY

10* Manhattan+ over St.Peter's

CBB METRO-ATLANTIC GAME OF THE MONTH

BDS...We are insert this selection early on Thursday because of the anticipated line movement.  We will do our best to further update the situation.

Re: Manhattan has won 7 straight in the series

Further, Manhattan has covered 7 straight in the series, and possess a +6.9 scoring margin in conference vs. SPCs -2.6.  FG% is 45.1% for Manhattan, 40.7% for SPC next last in the conference.  Plus the Jaspers have the edge in turnover margin, assets and rebounding. Realize the home team is doing well ATS in the series, but SPC could be a little flat out of the box after their road win Wednesday. And, we know they are not a winning proposition overall at running a 8-26-1 ATS tap in Vegas as we write..Good Luck.