14-1 RUN, 11 STRAIGHT WINNING PACKAGES...#1 STREAK ON THE WEB WITHOUT A LOSS!

4* MISSOUR +13-1/2 over LSU

SEC INSIDER MOVE....BDS

Granted LSU is looking for a spot in NIT, unless they cash the SEC Tourney overall.  We doubt that because of their forgiving defense that is allowing almost 81 points per game L5 times out.  Granted Mizzou is undermanned, but shows 3-0 ATS as a dog in the series and is 6-1 ATS vs. the SEC.  LSU, despite Simmons and their talent just 4-10 ATS in conference and a horrid 2-6 ATS off a SU win. With Kentucky next for LSU....MISSOURI+

701
4* INDIANA+ over Cleveland
Realize LeBron did not play last night and knowing he will be in the lineup this time around. And, despite the Pacers looking inconsistent of late believe they will show with a huge effort.  Remember Indiana has played the Cavs tough this season, but have yet to come up with a victory.  Also, we are supporting the Pacers because Cleveland is 0-5-1 ATS this season after scoring under 100 points in back-to-back games...INDIANA!

729
4* (DUNPHY) Temple over Tulsa
At the end of the regular season HC Fran Dunphy spends additional time in preparation knowing conference and tourney choices are coming.  Here Tulsa has revenge for the early OT loss at Temple.  But, the linesmakers are asking too much on the board.  The Owls are 7-1 ATS this vs. 60% or better schools and 19-9 AAC...OWLS+
758
4* MAHANTTAN over SPC
Huge same season revenge for the Jaspers after 1-point loss recently to SPC.  With Manhattan 9-0 ATS in the series and with a respectable number...JASPERS
759
4* RIDER over Marist

Broncos simply the better team and they should survive despite the road setting.   They are 7-1 ATS in the series on the road, and play a with smart 21-8 ATS in the series when away from home.

4* Georgia Tech +2-1/2 or higher over Notre Dame

Normally, would not go against a hot 3-0 unit late in the season, but this smells so bad as the situation fits into our long-time LETDOWN THEORY.  When teams come off 3 straight quality wins and then are on road in game #4 laying points in conference (February)...TAKE THE POINTS.

Granted the Irish look strong beating UNC, LOUISVILLE and CLEMSON all with a combined record of 56-20, 74% winners.  Still, Tech is a completely different unit at home 10-5 SU, and they are 5-0-1 ATS in this series.   They suffered a difficult loss at ND 72-64 on January 13th.  The Irish are now 4-0 SU in the series, so this has revenge quotient too. 

10* Minnesota over NY Knicks @8:05 Eastern

NBA TOP PLAY ALERT...BDS

Could have swept last night, but SAC converted a layup with no time left cutting Denver out of either a push or ATS win, pending your line.  Here we the struggling T-Wolves and Knicks doing battle in Minnesota.  NYK won the earlier at home covering the number too.  The Knicks have lost 8 straight both SU/ATS, and we don't feel this is a good spot for a turnaround.  Minnesota is playing decent ball of late 3-2 SU/ATS with wins over LAC, Chicago Toronto.  With NBA home chalks hitting 71.13% in Vegas, the play is on...MINNESOTA.

022016

10* PENN+ (608) over Yale @ 7:00 Eastern

Yale (17-6) coming off a road loss to Princeton sItting ½ game atop the Ivy League.  Pennsylvania (10-12) won their fourth straight Ivy League game last night and returns home +9 vs. the talented Eli. Yale has won 7 straight in the series, 6-1 ATS. In their last meeting Yale (13-½) won 81-58.  Over their last ten games they have captured 9, going 6-2 ATS.   However, they have lost a key performer in Montage (9.6) who is out indefinitely.  The Quakers have looked improved lately coming with a +4.0 average margin lately, not as definitive as Yale, but a great improvement.  With this game being played at the famous Penn Palestra you can bet the crowd will be loud supporting the Quakers defense, especially around the arc where the Eli is 41% the last five games.  Realize this is a bounce back for Yale, but the Quakers improvement and crowd should bring this under the current number.  Remember too, Yale is just 6-6 SU away, while the Quakers are 8-4 at home.  Penn has covered at a 3-1-1 clip in conference, while being 5-2 ATS at home.

5* HARVARD -2 over Cornell

Despite the line I will take the Crimson on the road in a REVENGE situation.  Looking back the only Ivy game won by the Big Red of late was against Harvard on the road.  In fact, Cornell (9-14) is 6-2 ATS in the recent series, but this is the shortest line L10 years.  Harvard (10-15) is 1-5 SU, while Cornell is 0-5 SU their last few Ivy tilts.  We note, the Crimson show 8-2 SU in the series, while Cornell is on an 0-5 ATS downer in conference.  On the floor, Harvard has the edge in viable bodies, and possess a more balanced attack.  Cornell relies basically on three players, two in doubles.  With Harvard in double-digit revenge and bringing the edge in SOS...CRIMSON!

022016

4* William & Mary (530) over Drexel @ 2:00 Eastern

This line actually opened last night -16, now -15 or -14-½ pending your store choice.  The Tribe enter after a monster conference win over first place UNCW, and that was off rare BB losses.  Here the home standing unit shows 18-8 two games behind in the CAA. WM is 12-2 SU at home this season.  Visiting Drexel (3-23) shows off a tough home loss to Elon as we predicted in these pages.  The Dragons have won just one game in the CAA this year.  They have lost 11 straight games and come 2-9 ATS of late.  In the series last meeting the Tribe won 72-63 at Drexel laying -4.  WM is  7-3 ATS vs. Drexel, but double-digit dogs are 3-1 ATS in the series.  Obviously, this along with the WM defense has drawn money to the Dragons ledger.  Still, can’t support a unit that will come in flat early after massive effort vs. Elon. Remember they have shot just 62% on the foul line last five times out, an important number in road sets.  With the Tribe in a “must win” conference speaking, look for an early BLOWOUT.  WM is 23-7 ATS vs. losing units and 20-7-1 ATS on Saturday.  Drexel is 1-6 ATS vs. units with 60% winning marks or better.  

022016

5* (524) Towson -4  over ELON @ 12:00 Eastern

CAA SMASH MOUTH WINNER...BDS

Elon played their hearts out on the road vs. lesser Drexel, surviving and covering.  Towson is a different brand and will be sky high for a unit on a definitive downer.  Home standing Towson is off two great outings going 1-1 SU, beating WM and losing a heart breaking encounter to Hofstra last time out.  They have covered 3-of-4 in this series, and now lay a beatable number. Good Luck!

4* PRINCETON over Yale

HUGE GAME FOR THE TIGERS!  Being at home and chasing the Eli who are in first place within the league.  THIS IS A MUST WIN...We note, Yale won (-4) over Princeton 79-75 early on.  The difference between the two from perspective is the Eli overall defensive plan.   However, key defender contributing guard Montague is out Yale.  This will allow more diversity for the Tigers offense outside the arc.   Further, this is a revenge game for the Tigers who are just 3-7 SU in the series of late.   Still like the fact, the Tigers are at home....41-15-1 ATS on Friday, 4-1-1 ATS in the Ivies.   Yale has solid ATS numbers across the board, but without a key wing, especially on defense, believe the Tigers can do the trick tonight...PRINCETON 80-74.

021916

4* Columbia (870) over Harvard.. @ 6:00 Eastern

The Crimson (10-14) visit the Tigers on Friday trying to upend their bid for an Ivy Title.  Columbia is 17-8 SU, 6-2 in conference two games back of the Eli in the Ivies.  For Columbia to have any chance of taking the conference they will need to win their remaining games on the schedule. In the only meeting this season Columbia survived 55-54 at Harvard.  Over the last ten games in the series when Columbia has been favored the highest outlay has been -1-½.  Here the line opened -9 and is now -7-½.  The Line actually hit -7 in some stores, but has now recoiled to -7-½,  As far as the floor edges, statistically Harvard has shown a slightly more effective defense (67.6), however, SOS clearly indicates that’s anomaly since the Tigers competition has been at a higher level.  A key point similar to our Elon selection last night shows here, as over the last five games the Crimson have regressed badly at the foul line...57.7%  You can’t let alone expect to win SU on the road and cover too.   Remember over the L10 games Harvard is 4-6 SU, 2-8 SU overall on the road.  Columbia comes 8-2 SU with a solid 11-3 SU record at home. The Crimson are on an 0-8 ATS.... 0-6 ATS off a SU loss. The Tigers have covered 7-of-9 ATS in the series and utilize a more dominate rotation with scoring support.  Harvard lately, has been faltering defensively once they fall behind...COLUMBIA!

021816

Play on: 4* ELON (505) -4 over Drexel @ 7:00 Eastern

CBB EASTERN EDGE...BDS

Tough outing yesterday, hurt by UM coming out slow vs. Fordham.  Looking to rebound with the Phoenix visiting Philadelphia and Drexel.  Home standing Dragons 3-22 with only one success (COC) against a winning unit.  They are 2-7 SU at home this season, and have lost 10 straight games.  Elon boards 6-6 SU away, but just 3-7 SU L10.  The Phoenix show 3-0 SU on the road last three tries vs. units with a combined record of 49-30.  Over their last 5 games, the offense is averaging 75 points per.  Drexel in that same time span brings just 55.6 points per game.  One of the critical floor edges for Elon is the highly noticeable 60.6% foul shooting efforts L5 by the Dragons. Tough to cover when you’re unable to convert on the charity stripe.  SOS is all ELON, as our tables indicate a 5-point net advantage over Drexel.  The Dragons have covered 3-of-4 in the series.  Still, can’t ignore Drexel’s 15-36-3 ATS mark at home, and the 2-7 ATS record in the CAA.  By the way, the road unit is 4-0 ATS in the overall series.  Despite Drexel being at home, and overdue for a big win, I’m backing the Phoenix who simply present too many problems for the home unit.

10* Duke +7 or higher over UNC

CBB ACC GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

10* UMASS +2 or higher...over Fordham

A-10 GAME OF THE YEAR...BDS

Because of the injury for the Rams, we are coming out early instead of waiting for the fav money later. Believe the "true" line in the game s/b Rams -3-1/2.  Since we see the "M's" winning this SU our money value has been increased.  UM has now won back-to-back games, including beating VCU! They seemed to have been discarded most the season by the lines makers who have now reacted appropriately. All the techs in this encounter seem to favor the Rams, and they do possess floor edges.  However, in the SU battle last time at UM, the Rams won in OT.  Believe me, there egregious calls in the game both down the stretch in regulation and in OT, not favoring UM.  Remember UM had won four straight in the series before the 2016 loss, while Fordham has been the underdog in the last three games (series).  TAKE ALL THE POINTS, and remember be patient and try to buy a 1/2-point, if possible. Good Luck...THIS IS THE FIRST PART OF OUR TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE FOR WEDNESDAY. 

10* ST. PETER'S -3 not higher over Manhattan

EASTERN EDGE GAME OF THE MONTH...BDS

This series have been a filtering game for the Jaspers who have won 10, 9-1 ATS coming into action. More important, for the Peacocks this is the ultimate REVENGE series SPC.  They are laying a moderate (-3) price after the -4-1/2 opener.  Action obviously has gone to the visitor.  Manhattan is on a third game plus roadie after losing a 79-70 decision to swift shooting Monmouth.  So, you believe they will come up short emotionally here knowing series domination.  Further the Jaspers are just 3-3 SU of late and are running with a losing SU mark on the road.  Where  the Peacocks have found their best success this season is at home...68-60!

4* Troy State over South Alabama

CBB ROAD WARRIOR ALERT...BDS

Classic shutdown for SA tonight knowing they have dominated this series of late and the fact Troy has some players nicked coming into action.  But, two controlling ATS factors give rise to the value added Troy here as the UNDERDOG in the series is a massive 8-of-11 ATS.  Further the road unit is 8-3 ATS, and now Troy is showing some positive angles winning 2-of-3 SU.  Good Luck!

10* BAYLOR -10, not higher over Texas Tech

BIG-12 GAME OF THE YEAR..BDS

10* WESTERN KENTUCKY +1 over Marshall

USA GAME OF THE MONTH...BDS

5* PENN over Cornell

IVY LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK

BDS

10* NORTHERN ILLINOIS +2-1/2 over Akron

MAC GAME OF THE WEEK..BDS

5* Niagara (867) over SPC @ 7:00 EASTERN

Here we have the 6-19 Purple Eagles traveling to St. Peter's (9-13).  This series has produced 7 wins for Niagara, 3 for SPC L10, with the chalk cashing at a 6-4 rate. The Purple Eagles have recently lost three straight vs. Iona, Rider and the "Q" losing by an average of 11+ points per game.  They are 3-7 SU over their last ten games.  SPC comes 1-5 SU after defeating the "Q" 68-52.  However, prior to, they dropped 5 straight to Siena, Iona, Monmouth, Rider and Iona by an average of 16.4 points per game. Each unit regresses vs. quality teams.   The last five games for the Peacocks have proved deficient in offense 57.8 points, this gives Niagara a solid edge to come inside the Vegas number.   Critical for the Purples defense is shutting off three ball effectiveness of SPC.  Niagara has covered 6-of- 7 vs. SPC., while the Peacocks play into a miserable home record of 16-33-1 ATS.  Finally, there are a couple systems that fit Niagara too.

4* Dartmouth +9-1/2 over Yale @ 7:00 Eastern

Tough to swallow going against the Ivy best unit who does possess more talent than last place Big Green.  However, the series has seen some wild games, and Dartmouth usually comes up with a few surprises each season when least expected.  Yale has won 10 straight, 4-1-1 ATS.   The level of talent has been lacking with only three winning teams two in the Ivies and New Jersey Tech.  I have trouble with the Daniel Webster's of the world, Hartford and Central UConn.  The Eli average SOS this season is .530, of course they won all the games.   In this series they have won 7-of-10 SU, with Dartmouth 5-4-1 ATS...5-0 ATS as an underdog.  Last year Dartmouth shocked Yale 59-58 in a huge late season event, so the Eli is looking to avenge.  But, still recommend the Big Green who will come to play throughout, and the will utilize with the whole bench looking to frustrate Yale offensively.  On of the major keys in defeating Yale is keeping the shooters of the three line.  Good Luck.

4* PRINCETON -8-1/2 not higher over Cornell

Realize this is an assumed letdown spot for ragging Tigers from Princeton, but the "machine" has now won 8-of-10 SU (3-2 ATS).  They did not cash vs. Dartmouth (-15) 83-70 because of the overlay generated by the BLOWOUT of Harvard.  Princeton (14-5) must keep rolling as they have a showdown with Yale next week, can't afford to lose or show flat.  Exactly, they are on a season best run of 7-1 SU...winning by an average of 22 points.  The only Ivy team that has given them trouble is Penn @ the Palestra.   Cornell (9-11) has improved defensively last five times out. but then again check their SOS(?)!  The Big Red is coming off 4 straight road games so natural handicapping form would suggest taking when at home and catching "inflated(?)" number, not so.  The Tigers have all the floor edges and possess a tenaciousness not present for Cornell once they fall behind.  In addition, Princeton could has an off night shooting, they will still cover because of their definitive rebounding advantage.  Finally, the Tigers have won 7 straight in the series by an average of 19-points.

10* Georgia Southern (745) over Troy

Very easy to go against Troy who show with a 3-7 SU mark at home and a losing (7-16) record overall. Plus they have Varnado (14.3) hobbling a key performer and their #2 rebounder.  Injuries as such in a tight losing set is critical in what happens, cause and effect, on the floor.  Further, Georgia Southern (10-12) plays with a stronger SOS facing stronger defensive units overall this season. Troy is a horrible 7-21-2 ATS at home last 30 times out, while the underdog in the series is a PERFECT 4-0 ATS.  Lastly, with GS on a solid 11-4 ATS streak on Thursday and 7-0 ATS vs. the Sun Belt, we are on the visitor.

4* Siena over Canisius

The value has been taken from the Griffins as the line opened -10-1/2, now at -7 in most stores as the action is going against the Saints who are in a "look ahead position."  Both units feature offenses scoring the in the 70's, but the Griffins defense has faltered badly L5 allowing 81.4 points per game.   In fact, they are 50.9% from the field overall.  Back in January Siena crushed CU 99-78, and we see a replication here.   Realize Bisping (15.6) is probable for the Saints which plays into the line adjustment, but overall Siena still brings 62+ from their double-digit scorers and they are playing more effective defense than the visitor lately.  In Siena's last ten games they have 7-of-10 with the chalk 5-2 ATS.  Series, has the chalk 21-8-1 ATS.  No doubt the Griffins have been money lately inside series numbers, but can't trust a unit deficiencies in defense and rebounding on the road.

5* UNG -5, not higher  over VMI

We have been looking at this one-sided issue, considering all factors this morning.  We just can't reconcile the "number" on the board, feel it should be at least -7-1/2.  Granted both schools are losing entities, but VMI is dead last in conference, losers of 7 straight.  They were waxed earlier by UNG 85-68, and really have few floor edges.  UNG has won the last three in the series both SU & ATS.  Back the road unit here!

759
4* Monmouth -9 over Marist
CBB Eastern Edge...BDS
Overnight the action took this number from -13-1/2 to 9 which has us somewhat concerned. Still, we feel the Hawks  (19-5) are a viable play considering they have won 5 straight by an average of 14.4 points and lead the MAAC overall. Marist in dead last in the conference but, won SU/ATS last time out at home.  My guess the reason for the line adjustment and action.  On the floor the Hawks have all the noticeable advantages, including playing improved defense during this streak holding the opponents to 66.8 points per game.   And, Marist in the same span is giving up higher numbers than the season with the opponents nailing 40.4% from the field, while Marist has shot horribly from three...24%.  Techs in the series have Marist 3-2 ATS, covering back-to-back with the road team 5-0 ATS, however.  Marist shows

10* DENVER +6..nothing lower over Carolina

We project this battle to be one of the great ones in the storied history of the Super Bowl.  If we look back to last week, it was noted how Carolina dominated Arizona who had key injuries on the defensive side of the ball, missing the "Honey Badger" above all and his incredible "field efficiency" numbers which are off the charts.  Also, QB Palmer still showed signs of the finger injury, no matter what the observers thought.  I have been doing this 40-years and see the Cardinals play all the time, Palmer was no exacting and the stats prove that out.  Granted the Panthers defense had a say in his effectiveness, but early touch in the 2nd half could have changed the "MO" in the game...and we liked Carolina.  Here the Panthers are being solid hard everywhere as the line opened truly at -3-1/2 last Sunday, and is now at the aforementioned incredible transition.  Granted Carolina is the superior physical team, and Cam is the stellar player on the field.  However, we can't discount the gritty ride Denver has had all season, and their sensational defense against QB Brady and the Pats.  The Broncos defense during the challenging regular season held the opponents to 18.2 points per game, and 283 an outing.  They held offenses to a third down conversion ratio of 35% which is more effective than Carolina.  This is critical because of Newton's running ability...If Denver is successful in this aspect of the game...they win SU.  As far as the Denver offense and Manning looking at a slower paced approach (TOP) and with a much different game plan than what was shown against NE...This is really the issue as HC Kubiak will not be out coached in this situation. Remember Denver coming into the season had the #10 SOS vs. Carolina who showed #27.  Granted against the spread in the playoffs the Panthers have a winning mark, but this is CLASSIC UNDERDOG set for this handicapper, as the majority of the nation is taking the Denver abilities for granted which accrues point spread value.  The Broncos are 4-1 ATS vs. winning units, and no matter, I believe they will cash here in a VERY CLOSE GAME!

3* William & Mary (572) over Delaware @ 2:30 Eastern

CBB Fan Appreciation Move

Realize 16-6 William & Mary has its tormentor Delaware today, but can't find a reason to play the Blue Hens in a road setting.  WM has almost all the edges on the floor, and accrues real line value from the -17 opener.  The Hens are just 5-17 SU this season and have allowed 83.2 points per game last five times out.   We know hot shooting WM has Hofstra next with 28-point same season revenge on this court.  However, the Tribe is 12-4 ATS this season 4-0 ATS off a road game.  Delaware is 9-1 SU in the series losing last year 94-79 in Philadelphia.  Despite the Blue Hens success ATS in the series, prefer the line value...Good Luck!

3* MICHIGAN ST. (561) over Michigan @ 2:00 Eastern

CBB UPSET ALERT...BDS

We go back into the Big-10 with a better package of numbers last time out as we were crushed in that encounter.  By the way, our updates are going by the "time" of game always gathering the late line movements to prevent against too great of swing.  We have this much cheaper with action going Blue.   Still prefer, the Spartans as the road unit is 5-1 ATS L6.  Plus, guard Levert (17.6) is still not 100%.  Remember the more valued defense because of SOS is MSU with great respect for coach "B."  Over the last five games, the Spartans have turned it up from three...50.4%. Add in Michigan's falter turnover ratio during the same span and you have to wonder.  Michigan has hurt their chances recently allowing 45.4% FG accuracy L5.  With the Spartans 13-5 ATS after winning by 20+ we'll back the visitor...FAN APPRECIATION!

4* SJU (547) over Fordham @ 2:00 Eastern

A-10 BEST BET...BDS

This is the very best coaching edge formula in day action on Saturday.  HC Martelli of the Hawks is a massive 16-2 ATSS off a DD loss at home and 40-16-1 ATS after a SU loss.  In the series, St. Joe (18-4) has dominated going 9-1 SU & 7-2-1 ATS.   Fordham (12-8) 11-2 SU at home against not so difficult competition and their defense has surrendered 71.4 ppg. L5.  SOS favors the Hawks have played a level above Fordham's rating.  Remember the Rams are 0-5 ATS vs. winning teams, and 1-5 ATS vs. >.600+ units.  Granted Fordham (9-4 ATS) has played much better on their home floor, however, the Hawks are show on mission to regain respect and conference seeding.

5* Temple (521) over Central Florida @ 12:00 Eastern 

The Owls (13-8) visit CFLA on a 5-1 SU winning streak, just taking out Tulsa 83-79 at home.  Central (11-9) opposes defeating the Green Wave on the road 70-62.  That was just after dropping three straight to UConn, Memphis and Tulsa by an average of 17.3 points per.  The net margins this are similar between the two, but obviously the last few games CFLA has suffered defensively because of their schedule. The last battle in the series the Owls crushed CFLA 86-62 on this same floor, so the home underdog will be primed.  SOS clearly favors visiting Temple having played some of the better units in the AAC and nationally.  They possess the better technical and game coach in Fran Dunphy who specializes in defense, disallowing the passing lanes.  The Owls will play "smarter" here knowing the AAC is at stake, and they board with a monster 17-5 ATS record vs. winning units.  In addition, the road team has covered 80% of the last five meeting.

4* Siena (886) over SPC @ 7:00 Eastern

The Saints (15-8) are in major REVENGE this evening at home when they face the Peacocks (8-12).  They are 1-3 SU L4 vs. SPC, but three of the games were on the road.  In those games the Saints averaged shooting 39.5% from the field, but in three of those cases SPC played a better overall floor game.  Last season, the Peacocks won SU/ATS 72-68 as an underdog.  The highest point spread in the series 2012 Siena -8.  The Saints have a solid SU record, but could have been a little better cutting out critical turnovers.  They have been successful SU in 4-of-5 with the only loss to Monmouth who is 18-5. Siena is just two games back to Monmouth in the MAAC. In their last five games, the Saints are averaging 81.6 points and stroking 40.6% from three.  Granted SPC has cashed 9-of-10 in the series, but the home team is 6-1 ATS.  Plus the Saints come in 4-0-1 ATS off a SU loss, and possess a higher SOS value.

4* PRINCETON (878) over Harvard @ 7:00 Eastern

No doubt this is a difficult number to swallow when you're going to the window on the Strip.  Still, must remember the Tigers have the superior offense (77.1 ppg.) and decent enough defense to hold back the Crimson, even at this price.  Harvard has 7 contributing elements, but the key is center Zena Edosomwan (14.2) who fortunately is an asset in our forecast with his 47.5% foul shooting efforts.  Harvard has won 4 straight in the series, but again has been truly brutal their last five games on the stripe (49.4%).  The Crimson are a perfect 0-7 ATS in the Ivies, and the public knows it!  The Tigers are coming off a loss to Yale 79-75 on the road.  Over their last 13 games, they have played just 3 at home.  Last five times out Princeton illustrates improved numbers in scoring 80.6 points per.  They complimented their efforts with a solid foul shooting streak 78.1%.  So, I believe on the floor the Princeton major edge in foul shooting will help push the final over the -10 post.   Don't discount the Tigers monster 39-15-1 ATS record on Friday, and their 6-2 ATS record off a SU loss.  With a major edge ins SOS, the call is Princeton!

020416

5* Quinnipiac -3 (788) over Marist (787) @ 7:00 Eastern

MAAC GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS

Can’t expect a road unit on a 10-game losing streak to win SU, let alone cover versus a depreciating number.  Granted Marist (4-16) has some valued floor advantages from the statistical standpoint, but the “Q” has won and covered back-to-back games against Fairfield (A) and Niagara (H). And, their defense has shown improvement, despite rough numbers last 5. Also, the glaring move vs. the line (-5, -3-1/2) is supported technically with the Red Foxes 5-0 ATS in the series.  However, on the floor believe guards Hart (22) and Parker (17) will have a huge night considering Marist commits so many mental errors switching coverage both in man and zone. The “Q” has a slight edge in SOS.  Finally, Marist shows 5-1 ATS on the road off a loss, but the line has that built in considering they have loss ten straight!

4* Knicks +3-1/2 over Boston

Not afraid to back the Knicks in this spot vs. offensive minded Boston.   Granted New York is 23-27 SU this season, but have shown resiliency at home at 14-11 SU.  Further, they are a nice 29-21-1 ATS this season, and 8-0 ATS on Tuesday's, and 9-3 ATS with one day rest. Remember, the Knicks have played a brutal schedule since the 20th of January, and will benefit from the day away from the court. If Porzingis has a solid night, and the Knicks circumvent the critical turnover they should win this SU.   Boston is coming off a loss, but travels into a negative spot showing 0-6 ATS on the road of late.

013016

4* BROWN (640) over Pennsylvania @ 8:00 Eastern

The Quakers ran into a very hot Eli unit last night on the road, as Yale shot 60% for the night taking out any chance Penn had of pulling an upset.  Also, Henry did not play for the Quakers as he adds rebounding support.  Yale won 90-66 and covered the double-digits as we forecasted. Penn is 1-6 SU on the road this season.  Brown at home was axed by Princeton with the Tigers hitting 42% from field and converting 20-22 from the foul line.  Also, the Tigers crushed the Bears on the boards, including a productive TOV% of just 11.3 vs. the Bears 24.1.  Brown can’t make mistakes on offense, because of their defensive lapses.  Penn comes in 0-2 in the Ivy League, while Brown is 0-3.  By the way, Brown’s last three losses were to 12-4 Princeton and twice to Yale who is 12-5 and has a huge edge in SOS in relation to other schools in conference.  BROWN has won 4 straight in the series covering all in Vegas. In two of the games Brown went -4-1/2 and -5.  Last year when Brown lost on a Friday night at home they came back in both Saturday sets to cover the number vs. Dartmouth and Cornell.  After facing Princeton and Yale twice this should be a huge win opportunity for the home standing Bears who should cover the small number.

10* PRINCETON+ over Yale

IVY LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH...BDS

Can't project how much I love this situation, especially the level of which Yale has been playing of late.   They shot out of their minds last night against faulty Penn who can't shoot from the foul line either.  Here, the Tigers have been gunning Yale all summer and will need to continue playing turnover free hoops to win this SU.  If Yale has an off night shooting, the Tigers rebounding should bring this game to the wire.   Remember, the Eli again last night failed on the foul stripe hitting 51.5%, if the inaccuracy continues tonight the Tigers should win this system play SU.

5* SYRACUSE -5...not higher over Georgia Tech

CBB NON-CONFERENCE GOW

BDS

5* Yale (-13) H over Pennsylvania @ 7:00

Respect Penn (6-9) for the late showing at home vs. hated Princeton taking the cash for their backers.  However, they play a unit with a huge edge in SOS and simply more talent in their starting lineup.  Yale (11-5) is in first place in the Ivies and will look to build on that status. With their sharp passing and outstanding shooting (82 ppg.) feel they will eventually overwhelm the pesky Quakers who have SU issues on the road 1-5 recently.  In the series, Yale (6-0 SUH) has won 6 straight, covering 5-of-6, missing last season at -14.  However, the chalk is a stout 7-1 ATS in the series, while the Eli come super hot on Friday 35-14-2 ATS.  Now, when you add in the ineffective foul shooting (54.1% L5) of Penn, and a deficit ridden 7-18 ATS in Friday calls, we'll back Yale tonight.

SPECIAL NOTE:

Our SELECTIONS the last two years that have an Ivy League in the box are a MASSIVE 28-11 ATS (72%) here. 

5* DAVIDSON +2 over VCU

CBB TRAP GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

Overnight analysis to follow....

4* Harvard -4, not higher over Dartmouth @ 7:00 Eastern

These two just met on the 9th at Harvard, 77-70 Crimson win, but +9 Big Green cashed.  The road team is now 9-1 ATS in the series.  Overall these two are closely matched, Harvard (9-8) and Dartmouth (6-9), but the Big Green is 5-2 SU at home this season.  Statistically similar with Harvard having the better defense.  The Crimson weakness is road games has to be their foul shooting 61% y-t-d.  But, they are a more dangerous three ball shooting unit (42.3).  So, if they come out hot from deep, good-bye Dartmouth.   Harvard has 7 major floor contributors that play 24+ minutes.  Dartmouth goes 11 deep with three double-digit scorers, but drop off badly there after.  SOS goes to Harvard as they have faced the more dangerous offensive units in conference.  After allowing 60+ points, the Big Green is 2-10 ATS.  Harvard comes 20-4 SU as a favorite, and 4-0-1 ATS at Dartmouth.

5* Columbia -3-1/2 over Cornell

Won again last night in the Ivies with Yale!  Continued our run in Eastern Hoops!  Today up in New York, injuries may tell the story of the cover.   Columbia Cohen, Cornell Hatter and Btherest are nicked up.   This schools just battled 6 days ago at Columbia (-9) with the Tigers surviving 74-70, but the Big Red (7-8) cashing.  Now on the road the Tigers benefit from line (-3-1/2) attrition because of the recent score.  This is similar to Yale last night.  Both schools average in the 70's, however, the Tigers are the far more efficient (75% vs. 62%) foul shooting unit.  This is especially critical on the road and being favored.  Further, Columbia (12-6) has 4 double-digit scorers, and bring the better defense by around 9-10 points per game.  No doubt, the Big Red can challenge on the boards, but this is a huge game for Columbia in the league as they still trail the leaders. Columbia has won 4-of-5 SU in the series with a PERFECT 5-0 ATS on the road after 3 or more home games.  Believe the line has been adjusted by public pursuing HD and the fact Columbia is 0-4 ATS off a SU win....but, we caution THEY ARE PLAYING CORNELL!  Finally, with the more talented Tigers 8-2 ATS on the road vs. home units carrying a .600+ SU mark...COLUMBIA.

SPECIAL TOTAL NOTE:  THIS HAS BEEN A MONSTER UNDER SERIES (10-1) OF LATE.

10* TEXAS TECH +4 over West Va. @ 1:00 Eastern

Realize this is a natural home dog in January inside a very competitive set.  Plus we know the recent showings by the Mounties will draw support to the road unit.  However, this is circled game for Tech who the public thought would do the trick in a similar situation a few games back.  So, we look at the number and a MAJOR REVENGE (DD) situation for the Red Raiders vs. a visitor that has played one of the strongest schedules to date.  But, Tech has faced some of the strongest offensive units in conference.  Remember, WVU is 7-13 ATS in this price range when a road fix.   Tech is 23-13 ATS at home and 9-2 SU in the building...SHOCKER!

10* NW+9 or higher over Indiana @ 12:00 Eastern

BIG-10 GAME OF THE MONTH

I rarely go inside the Big-10 with a big play, but this TOP PLAY had to happen Saturday.  If you recall, my conference side winner last week in the Michigan State and Wisconsin game 77-76 SU by Wisconsin who made 17 more foul shots?  This situation has some of the same angles, despite the Wildcats being on the road in a tough building.  And, too like the aforementioned battle, Indiana has a stronger SOS, as did Mich. State, but the Badgers recall won SU as a dog.  IU is a horrid 8-21 ATS off an ATS win, can't handle prosperity!  NW owns this series in Vegas 18-5 ATS, while going a monster 6-2 ATS at Bloomington. Finally, look at their records 15-5 and 16-3 SU. Blackmon is out for IU, so expect the pace to be slower which favors the visitor...OVERLAY PERIORD!

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4* Yale -7 over Brown @ 8:00 Eastern

NOTE: This is a rescheduled game from Saturday.

Yale (10-5) has won five of the last seven meetings versus Brown (5-10) on the road, including 80-62 last year. Overall, Yale has won five of the last six meetings and leads the all-time series 104-52. After winning 77-68 (-15) last Saturday in New Haven, the Bulldogs are looking to sweep the season series again. Over their last 5 games Yale has stepped up on defense holding units to 59.2 points per game.  Whereas, the Bears slacked off on defense giving 84.2 points per.  A major key here is Brown’s soft perimeter “D” that has surrendered 40% from three over the L5 outings.  In addition, the Eli rebound more effectively. Yale shows a clear edge in SOS of schedule facing more difficult opponents overall.  Brown is 4-1 ATS in conference, but Yale 29-11 ATS off an ATS.  The two units split ATS last year, here Brown covering last week catching doubles.  We close with the Eli 12-3-2 ATS vs. a winning home unit. We note the line has adjusted down to -7 which maybe an edge, as the road team is 13-6 ATS in the series.