25* graded play on San Diego as they take on San Francisco in NL West action set to start at 8:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Diego will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-26 since 1997 good for 52.7% winners and made 33.5 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG under .250) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA under 3.00) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Francisco is 5-12 (-18.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season; 10-17 (-14.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season; 8-15 (-18.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season; 31-41 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season this season. Bumgarner's team's record is 2-9 (-14.6 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season.San Diego is 14-10 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 2-9 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 1-4 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts vs. National League West. Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Fundamental Discussion Points Padres have won seven of their last eight games against the Giants. Bumgarner is just 4-5 with a 3.55 ERA since the All-Star break and has dropped his last two starts against lowly San Diego. Posey is a poor 1-for-11 over the past three games. San Diego 2B Carlos Asuaje had his first two major league hits and scored twice Friday. Take San Diego Padres.

25* graded play on Southern Mississippi as they take on UTEP in NCAA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SMU will win this game by 16 or more points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 83-37 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 2010. Play against home underdogs (UTEP) with a struggling scoring defense allowing 35 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. Here is a second system that has gone 45-17 ATS for 73% winners since 1992. Play on a road team (SOUTHERN MISS) allowing 200 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games with an experienced QB facing an opponent with inexperienced QB. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SM is a solid 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt; UTEP is a miserable money burning 8-45 ATS (-41.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards.

Fundamental Discussion Points Southern Miss comes into this game with a 2-1 record off a tough loss at home against Troy.  The Golden Eagles come into this game averaging 43 points a game versus 19 for UTEP. The Eagles own all the statistical angles in this game bringing the Better Rushing offense by 88 yards per game, Passing offense by 99 yards per game. Statistically are better on the defense side of the ball allowing only 97 yards on the ground versus 243 for the miners and allow 50 plus less passing yards per game. Basically saying Southern Miss comes off a 9-5 season returning 7 Starters on offense that averaged 40 points per game last year and most of the leading tacklers return. Last year they beat this same UTEP team at home by 21 putting up over 500 yards of Offense and holding the miners to 13 points and 298 yards of total offense. Southern Miss has a big road win already this year over Kentucky out of the SEC and we look for the Golden Eagles to get off to a big start in this Conference USA Western Division Matchup and use them as our top play today in El Paso.

25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Seattle in AL action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 63-30 since 1997 good for 67.7% winners and made 32.5 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or more over his last 10 starts. Another proven system supports this play posting a 128-99 over the last 5 seasons good for 56.4% winners and made 46.6 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SEATTLE) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP under 1.000 over his last 3 starts, with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 10 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 12-20 (-13.8 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season and they are 148-154 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Duffey's team's record is 8-1 (+9.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 11-3 (+10.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series. Mariners are 1-4 in Miranda's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Twins are 5-1 in Duffey's last 6 Saturday starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Seattle was swept by the Twins in late May. Duffey, who never has opposed the Mariners, will try to rediscover the form that allowed him to go 3-0 with a 3.79 ERA over his first three starts in August. With a victory on Saturday or Sunday, Seattle will earn its first series win against the Twins since the start of the 2013 season (0-5-2). The Twins won't be a 100 loss team yet, nor lose the series on Saturday. Take Minnesota Twins.

25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Boston in AL East action set to start at 6:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-13 over the last 5 seasons good for 69.8% winners and made 29.4 units/unit wagered. Play on home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TAMPA BAY) - bad offensive team (under 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA under 3.50) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 100-87 (-21.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Red Sox are 3-7 in Porcello's last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 5-1 in Andriese's last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 5-2 in Andriese's last 7 Saturday starts. Home team is 7-1 in Torres' last 8 games behind home plate.

Fundamental Discussion Points Porcello gave up two runs and four hits in a complete-game victory over Baltimore his last time out, which followed a 1-0 loss to the same team. Even the best of pitchers tend to perform poorly their next start after a complete game outing. Corey Dickerson is 5-for-16 with three doubles and a homer versus Porcello. Andriese has won his last two starts while allowing three runs over 10 1/3 innings combined. Tampa Bay INF Brad Miller has hit 22 homers at home this season, one shy of Carlos Pena’s club record in 2007.  The Rays did win the season series the last two years. Take Tampa Bay Rays.

25* graded play on LSU as they take on Auburn in SEC action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by 7 or more points.  

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-6 ATS mark good for 84% winners since 2010. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (AUBURN) with a turnover margin of -1 /game or worse on the season and after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a solid 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games when they score 22 to 28 points; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 or less yards/play.

Fundamental Discussion Points Both head coaches are loved by their players, but are on the hot seat and another loss by either coach will turn the heat up on them even more. This would represent Auburn’s third home loss of the season and that unfortunately could be the final nail in his coaching coffin. The problem is the lack of consistency with the offense execution and playing against a team as strong as LSU is not the remedy. After starting the game against Texas A&M last week by completing his first six attempts, he bogged down and completed only 12 of his last 21 throws.

When he couldn't get the offense moving against the Aggies, Malzahn turned to junior college transfer James Franklin III in the fourth quarter. Franklin had two drives end with Auburn giving up the ball on downs, but he did get his team into the end zone for a late touchdown. Auburn will have no other option than to pound the ball between the tackles and I do not see that turning into any success against an LSU defense that will put 8 and 9 men in the box. Without play action capabilities resulting from an established run game, any of the Auburn QBs will be facing a mountain of pressure.

25* graded play ‘UNDER’ Mississippi State – UMASS in NCAA set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that 47 or fewer points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion PointsMS 24-9 UNDER (+14.1 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points; 19-5 UNDER (+13.5 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MS is a solid 51-24 UNDER (+24.6 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

Fundamental Discussion Points UMASS defense has played well against strong competition allowing 24 to Florida, 26 to BC, and 13 to FL International. MS is coming off a very tough loss at LSU losing 23-20 and will certainly be focused on the defensive end – as they are EVERY game. They do not possess the high-power offense that is an inherent characteristic of the SEC. They play ball control and field position first and this will be evident throughout this game. Take the ‘UNDER’

25* graded play ‘OVER’ Purdue – Nevada in NCAA action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 67 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points I also like Nevada as a 10* Titan play. In addition, add no more than 5* play using Nevada and the ‘over’ in a reverse action wager. So, if you wager $10/star like the majority of our clients, this would be a $50 parlay wager that will pay $200 if both sides hit. If this play wins 1 and loses 1 then the net loss will be $60 and if both should lose then the loss is $120. These are very rare releases, but when we get a dog like this one that projections show can win the game, it opens up the educated and disciplined opportunity to engage in a reverse action risk.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nevada is a solid 34-19 OVER (+13.1 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

Fundamental Discussion Points Blough has served up far too many interceptions so far this season and I strongly believe you will see a different playbook designed for him and the offense to maximize his talents and play makers surrounding him in a balanced attack. I expect both teams to have more than 450 yards in offense which translates to 75 points of offense at 12 yards per point execution rate.

25* graded play on San Diego as they take on San Francisco in NL West action set to start at 10:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Diego will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 79-58 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.7% winners and made 38.5 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SAN DIEGO) - team with a terrible SLG (under .390) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP under 1.250) -NL, playing on Friday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Fran is 4-12 (-19.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season; 9-17 (-15.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season; 15-25 (-22.9 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season; 15-25 (-22.9 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. San Diego is 33-18 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; is 8-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season; 15-9 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season. Giants are 0-4 in Suarez's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. Giants are 0-5 in Suarez's last 5 starts. Padres are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Fundamental Discussion Points Suarez lost to the St. Louis Cardinals in his last turn when he gave up two runs and five hits over five innings. He has dropped three straight decisions and hasn't notched a victory since beating Pittsburgh on June 23. Jackson defeated San Francisco in his San Diego debut on July 17 when he allowed three runs (two earned) and one hit in 6 1/3 innings. Giants 2B Joe Panik has 1 hit in 25 at-bats during his past eight games. San Diego RF prospect Hunter Renfroe — who was MVP of the Pacific Coast League this season — went 2-for-4 on Thursday in his first major-league start. Take San Diego Padres.

25* graded play on LA Dodgers as they take on Colorado in NL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-9 over the last 5 seasons good for 82% winners and made 32 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams (COLORADO) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), in the second half of the season. Another proven system supports this play posting a 84-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 71.2% winners and made 38 units/unit wagered. Play ON home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - poor hitting team (AVG under .250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The LA Dodgers are 165-95 (+46.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the second half of the season since 1997. Colorado is 3-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season; 17-49 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 330-508 (-98.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997; 33-81 (-34.7 Units) against the money line in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Rockies are 15-41 in their last 56 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Rockies are 1-4 in Grays last 5 Friday starts. Rockies are 3-14 in Grays last 17 road starts. Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 14-5 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 41-16 in their last 57 home games. Dodgers are 4-1 in Kazmirs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.

Fundamental Discussion Points Gray has struggled on the road with a 3-6 mark and 4.56 ERA in 13 starts. Kazmir is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in three career starts against the Rockies, including a no-decision July 2 when he struck out 10 while pitching six innings of three-hit shutout ball. Colorado RF Carlos Gonzalez, who is one RBI from reaching 100 for the second time, is hitless in 11 career at-bats against Kazmir. Los Angeles rookie SS Corey Seager is 5-for-9 with a homer against Gray. Take Los Angeles Dodgers.

25* graded play on LA Angels as they take on Houston in AL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Angels will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 39-18 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.4% winners and made 23.1 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring under 4.7 runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LA Angels are 77-49 (+27.5 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons and they are 12-6 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span this season. Fister's team's record is 1-7 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Hinch is 27-42 (-24.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in all games he has managed since 1997. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Astros are 2-9 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 0-4 in Fister's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. Astros are 0-4 in Fister's last 4 starts vs. American League West. Astros are 0-4 in Fister's last 4 home starts. Astros are 0-5 in Fister's last 5 starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Albert Pujols has hit more home runs against the Houston Astros than versus any other team and looks to go deep for the second straight game. Meyer picked up his first major-league victory in his last turn, when he struck out seven while scattering two hits over five scoreless innings. Fister is 0-4 with a horrific 10.71 ERA over his last five starts and hasn't lasted more than five innings during the stretch. He has allowed five homers during that span and has given up six or more earned runs in three of the defeats. Angels SS Andrelton Simmons recorded two hits on Thursday and is batting .306 in 62 at-bats this month. Take Los Angeles Angels.

25* graded play on TCU as they take on SMU in NCAA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TCU will win this game by more than 24 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 1992. Play on road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (TCU) after a game where they committed no turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. TCU is a solid 39-11 ATS (+26.9 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards; SMU is just 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards; 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) when they allow 500 to 550 total yards; 7-25 ATS (-20.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 150-200 yards. Patterson is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of TCU.

Fundamental Discussion Points TCU does have a big showdown coming up next week against Oklahoma. However, this is a short drive for TCU fans and there could easily be more TCU fans in the stands than the hometown folks. Plus, TCU does have the better coaching and that staff will not allow TCU to have any letdown in this game and will use this game as a full dress rehearsal for Oklahoma.

25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Colorado in NL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-6 over the last 5 seasons good for 87.8% winners and made 31.2 units/unit wagered. Play against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (COLORADO) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is 16-43 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 17-49 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 30-85 (-32.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 40-16 in their last 56 home games.

Fundamental Discussion Points Chatwood is looking to bounce back from a rough outing against San Diego on Friday when he allowed seven runs on eight hits over five innings at Coors Field. Anderson was encouraged after his last rehab appearance, when he allowed three hits and one run in five innings for Triple-A Oklahoma City in the Pacific Coast League playoffs. Arenado is 5-for-10 with a home run against Anderson, who has gone 1-0 with a 4.43 ERA in four career starts against the Rockies. Take LA Dodgers.

25* graded play on the New England Patriots as they take on the Houston Texans in NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NE will win this game. Yes, this does factor in the all of the injuries and without Gronk playing.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-11 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1983. Play on home teams (NEW ENGLAND) off a win against a division rival, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when they rush for 100 to 125 yards since 1992; Patriots are a remarkable 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a home underdog;

Here is a money line system that under scores the strength of this play and has produced a 21-4 mark for 84% winners since 1983. Play against any team using the money line (NEW ENGLAND) off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival, when playing on a Thursday.

Fundamental Discussion Points NE is by far the best managed team in the NFL and arguably the best ever in the history of the NFL. Whether you like them or hate them, you have to give credit to how the program is run from a team first attitude. So many times when the Patriots looked wrecked by injuries a new star appears on the scene or a 3rd string player steps and does his job, which in turn allows teammates to make even bigger plays. That unity is still there and based on the Algorithm projections I am confident the Patriots will move to 3-0 on the season.

25* graded play on Milwaukee as they take on Pittsburgh in NL Central action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 105-79 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.1% winners and made 45.5 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is 40-35 (+7.9 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season; 27-19 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span this season; 22-15 (+12.6 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games this season; 13-8 (+10.6 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games this season. Pittsburgh is 8-16 (-11.8 Units) against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Pirates are 1-5 in Vogelsong's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Pirates are 1-7 in Vogelsong's last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 4-1 in Anderson's last 5 home starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Vogelsong is winless in his last four starts and did not record an out in the sixth inning during any of them. He yielded six runs - four earned - over 4 2/3 frames at Cincinnati last time out. Anderson’s only loss in his last 12 starts came against Pittsburgh on Aug. 28, but he is 2-1 with a 2.33 ERA in four outings versus the Pirates this season. Gregory Polanco is just 4-for-17 versus Anderson. Brewers UTIL Hernan Perez has hit safely in his last five games and is 18-for-58 with three homers, 10 runs scored and 11 RBIs against the Pirates this season. Take Milwaukee Brewers.

25* graded play on Georgia Tech as they take on Clemson in ACC action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that GT will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a reasonable shot at pulling off a major upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-3 ATS mark good for 89% winners and has made 21 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on a home team during the first four weeks of the season (GEORGIA TECH) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 5 or less defensive starters returning. This remarkable system is 6-0 ATS over the L5 seasons and 11-1 over the L10 seasons. Supporting the upset bid is a money line system that has gone 29-24 for 55% winners, BUT has made 34.2 units/unit wagered averaging a +201 DOG play since 1992. Play on home underdogs using the money line (GEORGIA TECH) after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clemson is just 8-19 against the money line (-34.5 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; GT is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Wreck, as we all know, has an offense designed from the triple option and involves power running between the tackles augmented by the treat of option plays attacking the perimeter of the defense. Another area that favors GT is penalties. If a DOG is going to trip up a top-10 opponent, then playing without mental mistakes and penalties is critical to attaining that goal. In three games Clemson has been flagged 20 times for 185 yards, while GT has been flagged just 8 times for 93 yards.

25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on the NY Mets in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 187-160 over the last 5 seasons good for 53.9% winners and made a MASSIVE 79.8 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 13-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season; 37-35 (+18.0 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 22-15 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs this season; 14-8 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. NY Mets are 2-8 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season and they are 9-21 (-21.5 Units) against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League East.

Fundamental Discussion Points Morgan has allowed two or fewer runs in four straight starts. Mets RF Jay Bruce struck out in the ninth as a pinch hitter in Wednesday's loss and is 3-for-38 over his last 12 games. Phillies 1B Tommy Joseph is batting .480 with three home runs and eight RBIs during a seven-game hitting streak. Phillies love to play spoiler for their New York rivals. Take Philadelphia Phillies.

25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on the NY Yankees in AL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-22 over the last 5 seasons good for 66.7% winners and made 27.3 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (NY YANKEES) - bad offensive team (under 4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA under 4.20) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.Another proven system supports this play posting a 60-34 since 1997 good for 63.8% winners and made 38.2 units/unit wagered. Play on home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NY Yankees are 141-140 (-50.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997: 12-27 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons; 8-23 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. At home Tampa Bay is 4-2 (+2.1 Units) against NY Yankees this season. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 games on astroturf. Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Fundamental Discussion Points Tanaka was superb again in his last outing, only to watch his bullpen unravel in the ninth in a stunning 7-5 defeat. That same bullpen has given up 32 homers on the road this season. Kevin Kiermaier is 4-for-8 versus Tanaka.  Cobb permitted only one run on two hits over 6 2/3 innings at Toronto last time out. He is 5-2 with a 2.13 ERA against New York. In the season series the Rays are outhitting the Yanks (.243 to .237) and allowing less runs (3.85 ERA) compared to New York (4.59 ERA). Take Tampa Bay Rays.

25* graded play on Boston as they take on Baltimore in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-11 since 1997 good for 81.4% winners and made 34.9 units/unit wagered. Play against home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 216-187 (+44.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game since 1997; 33-24 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 29-15 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons; 31-16 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. Baltimore is 79-100 (-39.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 since 1997. Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Orioles are 2-5 in Jimenezs last 7 starts during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Baltimore. Red Sox are 6-1 in Buchholz's last 7 road starts vs. Orioles.

Fundamental Discussion Points Buchholz held the New York Yankees to two runs on seven hits and a pair of walks in six innings on Friday. Jimenez went seven innings and allowed four runs on Friday. He made two starts against Boston in the first half of the season and was lit up for a total of nine runs in 10 innings. Baltimore 3B Manny Machado is 2-for-17 in the last five games. Boston 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee) sat out Tuesday but is expected to be back in the lineup on Wednesday. Boston is almost exactly a 1.00 ERA lower than Baltimore in the season series. Take Boston Red Sox.

25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Houston in AL West action set to start at 3:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-26 since 1997 good for 61.2% and made 30.4 units/unit wagered. Play on home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is 24-30 (-15.3 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 44-53 (-24.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 19-25 (-16.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is 379-244 (+102.7 Units) against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997. Athletics are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Home team is 6-0 in Fagan's last 6 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Home team is 6-1 in Fagan's last 7 Wednesday games behind home plate.

Fundamental Discussion Points Mengden is coming off the best outing of his brief time in the major leagues, a victory at Kansas City on Thursday in which he scattered three hits over a career-high seven innings. Oakland SS Marcus Semien is 7-for-15 with three doubles and a homer against McHugh. After beating the A's 2-1 in 10 innings on Tuesday night, Houston may get fatigued to play in the afternoon today. Taking 10 innings to beat lowly Oakland may be a warning sign for this game. Take Oakland Athletics.

50* graded play on Boston as they take on Baltimore in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 77-47 since 1997 good for 62.1% winners and made 46.5 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, playing on Tuesday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 215-187 (+43.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game since 1997; 32-24 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 26-15 (+10.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season; 30-16 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. Red Sox are 4-0 in Rodriguez's last 4 Tuesday starts. Orioles are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Fundamental Discussion Points Rodriguez tossed four hitless innings at Baltimore on Aug. 16 before leaving with an injury. Gausman is 3-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 13 career games - eight starts - against Boston. Betts is batting .500 with eight home runs and 15 RBIs in seven games at Baltimore this season. Boston 1B Hanley Ramirez, who was named AL Co-Player of the Week on Monday, is 10-for-20 with four home runs and nine RBIs in the last five games. Boston has the lower ERA in the season series (4.86 to 5.67) and throughout the entire season (4.06 to 4.37). Expect the Sox to continue with their dominant bats in this game. Take Boston Red Sox.

35* graded play on the Chicago Bears as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in NFC action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Bears will win this game by at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Eagles have been a money losing 3-22 ATS (-21.2 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt; 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) when they allow 400 or more total yards. Fox is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game in all games he has coached. Week 1 was a great debut for Wentz and the Eagles as they cruised to an easy victory and covered by double digits ATS. However, they are a young and inexperienced team at HC, QB, and other positions. Rookie NFL HC off a Week1 win and are on the road in Week 2 are just 1-12 and when they are off a double-digit ATS win in Week 1 are a horrifying 1-11-1 ATS

Fundamental Discussion Points Cutler is an experienced QB that has trouble all his career establishing consistency on a week-by-week basis. However, we do know he responds especially well after a horrid drubbing and we believe he will do just that against the Eagles.

A matchup to watch is how the Bears handle Eagles DT Fletcher Cox. Kyle Long is one of the best RG in the league and he is one of the few that can handle Cox by himself. By not needed a double team to block/pass protect Cox, the Bears RBs will be running far more short slants, ins, and outs that Cutler can hit in space.

Eagles OL is certainly within the second-best quartile in the NFL. They added Brandon Brooks from the Texans, who has improved his pass grade in every year and is one of the better run blocking guards in the NFL. However, this unit will be matched up against arguable a top-3 defensive front and one that will look to play far better than they did in Week 1. Having a rookie starter at QB, you will see the Bears lining up all sorts of schemes to bring confusion to his QB reads/progressions and will certainly bring heat from varying spots on the field and at different times after the snap.

25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Arizona in NFC action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will keep this game within 4 points and has an outside shot to pull off an upset.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 65-30 over the last 10 seasons good for 68.4% winners and made 32 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY) - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games, in conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) after scoring 30 points or more last game since 1992; 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992; is 5-3 straight up against Arizona since 1992. Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 2. Buccaneers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Cardinals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. Cardinals are 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Fundamental Discussion Points Arizona rookie Williams got burned a handful of times by the Patriots and Winston surely will be looking to pick on him if he's still in the starting lineup. Winston was named the NFC's Offensive Player of the Week for his 281-yard, four-TD performance in the opener. He threw those 4 TDs to 4 different receivers. Tyrann Mathieu is easing his way back after undergoing major knee surgery in the winter. He's playing more as a straight center fielder in the secondary; not as the unpredictable blitzer and wild tackler and ball hawk the NFL is used to seeing. This lack of play-making ability against Winston and his offense will prove to be a difference. Take Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

25* graded play on New England as they take on Miami in AFC East Divisional matchup set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NE will win this game by at least 11 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons. NE is a solid 45-14 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 net passing yards; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow less than 75 rushing yards over the last 3 seasons; 46-9 ATS (+36.1 Units) when they allow 50 to 75 rushing yards; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points ­Bill Belicheck and the coaching staff did an outstanding job last week in the desert preparing Jimmy Garrapolo in his first start for Tom Brady (Deflategate Suspension). We now look for a similar performance at home in a division game against the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins were in a physical game last week in Seattle. The offense struggled against the Seahawks and the Defense gave up a late score to end the game. The Patriots get back more offensive weapons for this game mainly Rob Gronkowski and we don't see how the Miami offense will keep up with the Patriots. Take New England and lay the 6 1\2.

25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Arizona in NL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-33 since 1997 good for 67.3% winners and made 36.8 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (ARIZONA) - average offensive team (4.3 to 4.8 runs/game) against a below avg. starter (ERA= 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is 15-49 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 13-29 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging under 0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons; 29-46 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.Miller's team's record is 2-18 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 0-10 (-11.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 1-16 (-16.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 3-19 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Norris's team's record is 23-8 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss.

Fundamental Discussion Points Stewart earned his first major-league victory by beating Arizona on Sept. 7, when he gave up one run and five hits in five innings. Miller lost to the Dodgers on Sept. 6 as he gave up five runs - four earned - and 11 hits in 4 1/3 innings to drop to 1-2 with a 7.02 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in six career appearances (four starts). He is winless in his last six overall starts, going 0-5 with an 8.35 ERA, and has allowed six or more earned runs on three occasions. Miller is 0-7 with a 7.85 ERA and a .332 batting average against in nine home turns this season. Take LA Dodgers.

25* graded play on Southern Cal as they take on the action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win the game.    Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a ­­36-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 1992. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses and is a team that had a winning record last season.

Fundamental Discussion Points Coming back with the USC Trojans getting 9 1\2 from the Stanford Cardinal, as we said last week the Trojans were embarrassed in Week 1 against Alabama and then easily covered the 16 last week against Utah State, holding the Aggies to their lowest total in a number of years. Stanford beat USC twice last year winning by 10 during the season and 19 in the Conference Championship game. Stanford lost several Offensive Lineman to graduation and struggled at times to move the ball against Kansas State but have 2 weeks to prepare for this game and probably have the best player on the field in Christian McCaffrey and bring an improved Defense. USC does have playmakers and should have learned something playing against the Alabama Defense. Look for the Trojan Offense to score enough points to keep this game close similar to the Trojans last trip up the coast in 2014. Take USC and the points.

Ryan’s 25* NCAA ‘Upset Alert’ Titan

25* graded play on Auburn as they take on Texas A&M in SEC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 52-18 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1992. Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (AUBURN) - after a win by 35 or more points against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. A&M is a money burning 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt; 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more and allowing

Ryan’s 25* SEC ‘Upset Alert’ Titan; 14-2 ATS situation

35* graded play on Georgia Southern as they take on UL-Monroe in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that GS will win this game by 28 or more points.  

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LM is just 8-45 ATS (-41.5 Units) in road games when they score 14 or less points; 10-38 ATS (-31.8 Units) when they gain less than 4 total yards per play; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they gain 3.5 to 4 total yards per play; GS is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 8 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Georgia Southern has been a model of consistency and one of the more physical teams in the Sunbelt Conference. They typically control the line of scrimmage and wear down their opponents. Last year Ga Southern went to Monroe and put up 51 points and won by 20. Moreover, they return all starters on the defensive front and this will create a mountain of issues for LM to just move the chains. UL Monroe comes off a 2-9 season and only returns 3 starters from last years’ weak defense. We look for the GS offense to put up significant numbers but the defense to clamp down and keep the Warhawk offense to a couple of scores, if that, and easily cover this spread.

25* graded play on Boston as they take on the NY Yankees in AL East rivalry action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New York is 9-20 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span this season and they are 8-21 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. Price's team's record is 83-36 (+32.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. Farrell is 53-39 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in September games as the manager of Boston. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games. Red Sox are 7-0 in Price's last 7 starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Mitchell struggled in his second start since breaking a toe in spring training, allowing six runs (two earned) on eight hits in 2 1/3 innings in an 8-2 setback to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday. Price owns a 14-9 career mark against the Yankees and a 9-3 record at home this season. Take Boston Red Sox.

25* graded play on University of New Mexico as they take on Rutgers University in NCAA action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UNM will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a solid shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-12 since 1992 good for 75.5% winners and made 23.8 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW MEXICO) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 58% or worse, with 9 or more defensive starters returning. Another interesting system supports this play going 22-2 ATS: Play on any college football road team off a SU double-digit non-conference road favorite loss. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rutgers is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992 and they are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after a win by 35 or more points since 1992. Davie is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of New Mexico. Lobos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Scarlet Knights are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Scarlet Knights are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Fundamental Discussion Points While still limited in his overall effectiveness, quarterback Chris Laviano was able to make some positive plays in the passing game against Howard. The redshirt junior, who could be playing for his job against New Mexico, only managed to connect with 50 percent of his passes for 137 yards. Giovanni Rescigno and Tylin Oden each saw time at quarterback for Rutgers in the second half against Howard, but neither attempted a pass. The Lobos' leading rusher Teriyon Gipson will miss the game while in the concussion protocol. New Mexico has several other capable runners including Tyrone Owens, and quarterback Austin Apodaca's ability to run and pass can provide a tough test for any defense. Take New Mexico Lobos.

25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Arizona in NL West action set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 77-30 since 1997 good for 72% winners and made 34.6 units/unit wagered. Play on all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG under .250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA over 4.50), playing on Friday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is 14-49 (-30.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 12-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season; 4-16 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging under 0.5 errors/game this season; 9-24 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons; 25-53 (-32.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season; 11-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 4-1 in Maeda's last 5 starts vs. National League West. Dodgers are 4-1 in Maeda's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Diamondbacks are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. Diamondbacks are 2-9 in their last 11 Friday games. Dodgers are 39-15 in the last 54 meetings.

Fundamental Discussion Points Los Angeles rookie Corey Seager is batting .333 with six multi-hit efforts this month and is 5-for-6 with two homers against scheduled Arizona starter Zack Greinke. Maeda defeated Arizona in his previous start, when he struck out eight and gave up one run and three hits in 6 1/3 frames to improve to 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in five starts against the Diamondbacks. Greinke has lost back-to-back starts after serving up five homers while being rocked for eight runs and nine hits in 4 2/3 innings by the Dodgers on Sept. 5. The former Los Angeles pitcher is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA against his ex-teammates this season. Take LA Dodgers.

25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Miami in NL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 29-37 (-14.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season; 15-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season this season; 16-37 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Philly is 43-38 (+10.2 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season and they are 237-170 (+55.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 since 1997. Philadelphia is 33-23 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Marlins are 2-6 in Koehler's last 8 road starts. Marlins are 0-4 in Koehler's last 4 starts. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Koehler surrendered eight homers in his last six games - including three in five innings on Saturday in a 5-0 setback to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Morgan has a 3.64 ERA in his last five starts. Morgan's lone win in that run was a 4-3 victory over Miami on Sept. 6, as he permitted just one run on five hits in six frames. Miami SS Adeiny Hechavarria is mired in a 1-for-14 stretch. Phillies 2B Cesar Hernandez has hit safely in nine of his last 11 contests and is batting .344 with six runs scored in 16 games versus the Marlins in 2016. Miami 3B Martin Prado is  0-for-6 versus Morgan in his career. Take the Phillies. 

25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Baltimore in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-28 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.2% winners and made 18.6 units/unit wagered. Play on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP under 0.800 over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 35-23 (+16.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. Baltimore is 33-44 (-16.3 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points Archer has pitched well over the last two months, allowing three runs or fewer in nine of 10 starts. The Rays have won four of their last five contests – all against teams in the chase for the division crown. The play here is that they will continue that magic to keep playing spoiler to their own division. Tampa Bay OF-DH Corey Dickerson boasts a nine-game hitting streak, going 17-for-35 with eight RBIs in that span.  Take Tampa Bay Rays.

25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on San Francisco in NL action set to start at 10:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Louis will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Louis is 20-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 20-9 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging under 0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons; 17-8 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season; San Fran is 10-18 (-18.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season and they are 6-15 (-16.9 Units) against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League West. Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwright's last 5 Thursday starts. Cardinals are 9-3 in Wainwright's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Giants are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings head-to-head.

Fundamental Discussion Points Wainwright allowed one run, six hits and struck out seven in eight innings of a 5-1 victory over Milwaukee on Saturday. His most recent start against St. Louis was on June 3 when he allowed two runs in seven innings. Matt Adams is 6-for-16 with a home run versus Cueto, who is 6-8 with a 3.88 in 21 starts against the Cardinals. The Giants are the major league-worst 20-35 since the All-Star break. The Cardinals have an even 4.00 ERA (0.68 lower than the Giants) and have Carpenter hitting at a .545 clip in this season series. Take St. Louis Cardinals.

25* graded play on the LA Angels as they take on Toronto in AL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Angels will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 99-80 over the last 5 seasons good for 55.3% winners and made 51.6 units/unit wagered. Play against road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 42-54 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 30-43 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Los Angeles is 75-47 (+26.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Gibbons is 29-57 (-37.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season as the manager of Toronto. Scioscia is 402-367 (+50.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) as the manager of the Angels. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Blue Jays are 1-6 in Happ's last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Angels are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Happ has struggled against the Angels with an 0-5 mark and 7.83 ERA in five career outings, including a loss Aug. 25 when he gave up four runs and six hits in five innings. He has experienced struggles with Kole Calhoun (5-for-10, two homers) and Trout (4-for-11). Toronto 1B Edwin Encarnacion, who leads the AL with 116 RBIs, was hitless in nine at-bats in the Tampa Bay series. Angels SS Andrelton Simmons (hand) could return after a three-game absence. Angels in the season series are posting a 3.81 ERA while the Blue Jays are struggling with a 5.33 ERA this series. Take LA Angels.

25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on the NY Jets in AFC East action set to start at 6:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Jets are a miserable 2-9 against the money line (-8.4 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons; Buffalo is a stout 17-8 against the money line (+11.3 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt and are 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt

Fundamental Discussion Points Both teams start the season off with losses and it already a[ears that the Patriots – even if Brady did not play one game – would easily win the Division. However, this is just Week 2 and getting to 0.500 may prove to be just what Buffalo needs in order to contend for a wild card berth.

Buffalo significantly underperformed it’s DVOA (defense adjusted value over average) in Week 1 and teams that have missed the average by two standard deviations or more from their mean have a very strong tendency to outperform their mean in the following week. This same concept also applies to Buffalo’s offense so we have a powerful combination of a team, in needs of a win at home, having played horrid football in the previous week. Buffalo will get much better use of their ground attack with McCoy and give Tyrod a chance to use play action pass to open up the middle of the field and gain that extra second to execute plays. TE Charles Clay had an excellent game in Week 1 and I expect him to be a key ingredient to this win tonight.

25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Kansas City in AL action set to start at 7:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 59-41 over the last 5 seasons good for 59% winners and made 48.5 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG under .265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA under 3.33), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas City is 260-377 (-107.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997; 16-23 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons; 10-22 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against AL West opponents this season. Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central. Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall. Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Royals are 1-4 in Volquez's last 5 starts vs. American League West. Royals are 1-4 in Volquez's last 5 home starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Yonder Alonso went 3-for-4 and joined Khris Davis and Marcus Semien with two RBIs for Oakland, which has won three in a row for the first time since posting three straight one-run victories over Baltimore from Aug. 8-10. Alonso has driven in six runs during his four-game RBI streak and has hit safely in six of his last seven contests. Mengden pitched well against Seattle on Friday, allowing two runs over five frames. Volquez has yielded four runs in six of his last seven outings. In this season series Oakland has posted a stellar 2.00 ERA while KC has a horrid 6.23 ERA. Take Oakland Athletics.

25* graded play on Texas as they take on Houston in AL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is 38-23 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 57-36 (+25.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season; 48-20 (+32.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season; 62-40 (+27.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 57-30 (+33.1 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season; 63-39 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. Houston is 11-19 (-12.4 Units) against the money line vs. a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season. Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Rangers are 24-8 in their last 32 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 overall. Astros are 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 1-9 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Fundamental Discussion Points Holland defeated the Astros on Sept. 3, when he gave up two runs and six hits in six innings to improve to 5-2 with a 4.19 ERA in 12 career starts versus Houston. Musgrove suffered the loss on Sept. 3, when he was hammered for five runs and eight hits in 4 1/3 frames. He has served up homers to Beltre (3-for-6) and Nomar Mazara (2-for-6). Astros' RF George Springer is 0-for-9 in the series and hitless in 14 at-bats over his last four games. Take Texas Rangers.

25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Kansas City in AL action set to start at 7:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas City is 10-21 (-11.8 Units) against the money line against AL West opponents this season. Oakland is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against KC this season. Melvin is 67-52 (+13.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 as the manager of Oakland. Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central. Athletics are 6-1 in Manaea's last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 home games. Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Royals are 0-4 in Ventura's last 4 starts vs. American League West.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Royals have dropped eight of their last 13 overall, yielding at least five runs in each setback. Manaea has been done in by a lack of run support en route to a 2-4 record in his last 10 outings, yielding just 20 earned runs in that span. Ventura suffered a loss on Friday after allowing five runs and a season-high 10 hits in seven innings of a 7-2 road setback against the Chicago White Sox. He also struggled in his last encounter with the Athletics, permitting five runs in 3 1/3 frames to take the loss. Athletics SS Marcus Semien has recorded a homer and four RBIs in the series and is 3-for-6 with two blasts and four RBIs versus Ventura. Royals LF Alex Gordon is 0-for-10 with four strikeouts in his last three contests.Take Oakland Athletics.

25* graded play on the Dodgers as they take on the NY Yankees in Inter-league action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kershaw's team's record is 57-21 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in day games in his career. Pineda's team's record is 3-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 7-0 in Kershaw's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 Wednesday starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Kershaw has only allowed two runs in 15 career innings against New York and is 12-4 with a 2.28 ERA in 27 interleague starts. Pineda is winless in his last six starts and allowed two runs in 4 2/3 innings against Tampa Bay on Friday but was pulled with runners at the corners and the game on the line. He is upset about the quick pull, while his season stats are 6-11 with a high 5.07 ERA, considering he's facing the Dodgers line-up. Take LA Dodgers.

50* graded play on the Dodgers as they take on the NY Yankees in Inter-league action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yankees are 28-42 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons and they are are 54-70 (-22.6 Units) against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.. Sabathia's team's record is 28-35 (-22.9 Units) against the money line after a game where he did not walk a batter since 1997. Girardi is 8-14 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 in all games he has managed since 1997. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 overall. Dodgers are 21-7 in their last 28 Tuesday games. Dodgers are 4-0 in Urias' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 8-1 in Urias' last 9 starts. Yankees are 2-6 in Sabathias last 8 home starts. Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia's last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 0-6 in Sabathia's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Fundamental Discussion Points Urias has not lost since being recalled at the beginning of August and allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last five appearances. Sabathia is winless in his last three starts and was bounced after four innings against the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday. The hefty veteran surrendered three runs - all on solo home runs - and seven hits in the outing and has yielded 13 homers in his last nine outings. Sabathia is making his third interleague start of the season and was rocked for 11 runs - 10 earned - and 15 hits over 10 total innings in his two previous chances against NL teams. Dodgers RF Yasiel Puig homered on Monday and has three blasts in 14 at-bats since returning from the minors. New York rookie 1B Tyler Austin is 0-for-9 with eight strikeouts in his last three games. Take LA Dodgers.

25* graded play on Texas as they take on Houston AL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is 37-23 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 56-35 (+25.8 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season; 61-39 (+27.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 47-20 (+31.3 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season; 56-30 (+31.9 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season; 85-58 (+31.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.. Houston is a bad  6-15 (-14.5 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season. Fister's team's record is 1-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Rangers are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games. Rangers are 8-2 in Perez's last 10 starts vs. American League West. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Perez is coming off back-to-back victories over Seattle in which he allowed four runs — two earned — over 12 innings. Fister looks to halt a three-start losing streak during which he has yielded 18 runs — 15 earned — and 26 hits over 12 1/3 innings while registering only three strikeouts. He has worked more than 4 1/3 frames just once in his last five overall turns and is 0-5 in his last seven outings at home. Fister dropped to 5-6 with a 5.18 ERA in 14 career starts versus the Rangers on Sept. 2, when he was tagged for eight runs — seven earned — and 10 hits in only 3 2/3 innings at Texas. Take Texas Rangers.

25* graded play on Miami as they take on Atlanta in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 33-26 (+11.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season and they are 21-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.. Atlanta is 96-125 (-36.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 40-60 (-22.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-36 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East. Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Braves are 1-6 in Foltynewicz's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Fundamental Discussion Points Cashner matched a season high with nine strikeouts and scattered four hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 6-0 rout of Philadelphia on Wednesday. Foltynewicz owns a 1-0 mark in two career meetings with the Marlins but permitted three runs in three innings on June 30 before his evening ended following a 68-minute rain delay. Miami 2B Dee Gordon has hit safely in four straight games and five of his last six. Take the better team, Miami Marlins.

25* graded play on the Dodgers as they take on the NY Yankees in Inter-league action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yankees are 258-208 (-89.0 Units) against the money line after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games since 1997. Girardi is 79-86 (-32.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off as the manager of New York. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 Monday games. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Fundamental Discussion Points De Leon picked up the win in his major-league debut on Sept. 4 against San Diego, allowing three earned runs and five hits in six innings while striking out nine. The 24-year-old went 7-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 86 1/3 innings at Triple-A Oklahoma City. Mitchell posted a 4.29 ERA in six minor league starts prior to being recalled. Yankees SS Didi Gregorius is 3-for-34 this month. Gregorius still leads the Yankees this season in average, hitting .273 as opposed to Seager leading the Dodgers with a .319 average. Dodgers have a team ERA of 3.72 while the Yankees have an ERA of 4.17. Take the LA Dodgers.

25* graded play on San Diego as they take on Colorado in NL West action set to start at 4:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SD will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 131-97 mark good for 58% winners and has made 61 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SAN DIEGO) below average NL hitting team batting =5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is just 12-25 (-18.2 Units) against the money line vs. a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season. 

25* graded play on the Angels as they take on the Rangers in AL West action set to start at 3:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Angels will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Weaver is a solid 29-6 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record); 44-14 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game since 1997. (Team's Record) 42-14 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Fundamental Discussion Points Even comedians are now poking fun at Weaver’s 82-84 MPH fastball and 33 HR allowed. However, he still has that pinpoint control that gets batters swinging off balance and not squaring up the ball. He has won 2 of this last three starts and his team has been hitting much better in run-scoring situations.

25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on the NY Mets in NL East action set to start at 1:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will Atlanta win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-25 mark good for 62% winners and has made 31 units/unit wagered since 2010. It has averaged a very nice +133 DOG play as well. Play against all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), good power team averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season.

Fundamental Discussion Points Perez has really struggled in his last 2 starts, but he is now pitching at home against a weak offense. He has posted a 3.25 ERA with a 1.012 WHIP in 5 starts. Take Atlanta

25* graded play on San Diego as they take on Kansas City in AFC West action set to start at 1:00 PM ET Sunday. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Diego will lose this game by less than 4 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-30 over the last 10 seasons good for 67% winners and made 28 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs or pick (SAN DIEGO) - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games, in conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Diego is 60-33 ATS (+23.7 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992 and they are 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. McCoy is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a road underdog as the coach of San Diego. Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1. Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Chargers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in September. Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Fundamental Discussion Points The opening week of the NFL regular season is about gauging public perception and taking advantage of what might well be an inflated spread. I think this game falls into the category. The Chiefs are widely perceived as a team that has a great chance to get back to the playoffs for a second straight year. The Chargers are widely considered to be the likely last-place team in the AFC West and one of the weakest entries in the league. But in the opening week of the season, one of my favorite maneuvers is to zero in on divisional road dogs that were below .500 the prior season, particularly if they’re facing an opponent that was a playoff team. The rationale here is that the favorite will be priced a little too high based on that public perception and that creates value on the underdog. Fact is, if you check out the results of Week One games that have fit this scenario, taking the points has been extremely profitable.

25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Houston in Week 1 NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at getting the upset win too. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Chicago is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons; Fox is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in all games he has coached

Fundamental Discussion Points Chicago’s biggest asset and a vastly under rated group is their defensive front seven. 2016 additions Danny Trevathan, Jerrell Freeman, Akiem Hicks, Leonard Floyd, and Jonathan Bullard were infused with Eddie Goldman and Pernell McPhee from last year to complete a very strong group that is perhaps one of the top-3 in the NFL. Freeman was the top graded LB against the run last season and now they add Travathan, who also ranked in the top-10 last season. Pushing the pocket from the interior shouldn’t be a problem with Hicks, who managed 18 pressures (seven knockdowns) a season ago, and Jonathan Bullard lined up at end. The latter’s skill-set appears well-suited to the five-technique position. This is the big key for this matchup and I do strongly believe that the Bears defensive front will eliminate Houston’s ground attack and subsequent paly action pass plays, whose success is dependent on an established ground game. Houston is one of the most run dominant teams, but with Osweiler under center, Chicago will look to force him to move to the chains with his arm and decision making, which was largely inconsistent at best in 2015. Take the Bears.

25* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on the Green Bay Packers in Week 1 NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that JAX will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JAX is a solid 61-22 ATS (+36.8 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Further, JAX is 21-10 against the money line (+12.8 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play.

Fundamental Discussion Points JAX is the most improved team in the NFL based on our grading and I also like taking the ‘over’ in Season WINS. This team has the potential to make the playoffs or at least be in playoff contention for the majority of the season. They are also in a division that is wide open with no dominant team in its’ mix. After acquiring up to five new defensive starters in free agency and the draft this offseason, both established and young talent on the defense will augment an improved offense — one that rose from the lowest-graded unit in 2014 to 16th in 2016. Bortles improved last season and is set to take his game to a higher level benefitting from the best WR duo in the league in Hurns and Robinson. The Packers are obviously a very good elite team. However, their LB and defensive front 7 are not even in the top half of the league. Bortles will get the run established and then can use play action where he will have plenty of time to scan the field and make solid decisions. Jax wins this one.

25* graded play on San Diego State as they take on California in Western action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SDST will win this game by more than 9 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cal is 36-96 ATS (-69.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992; 13-52 ATS (-44.2 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992; 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt since 1992; 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards since 1992; 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992. SDST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Golden Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Golden Bears are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games on grass. Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Golden Bears are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Golden Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Golden Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Aztecs are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Aztecs are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Aztecs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Defensively, the Golden Bears allowed 248 yards on the ground against Hawaii and will need an improved effort to slow down Pumphrey, the nation’s active leader in rushing yards (4,370), all-purpose yards (5,284) and 100-yard rushing games (22). Running back Khalfani Muhammad ran for 96 yards on 10 carries in the opener but could have trouble finding holes against an Aztecs defense that ranks sixth nationally in rushing yards allowed per game (106.2) since the start of last season. The home team has won all seven meetings. San Diego State has gone a school-record 13 games without throwing an interception. Take San Diego State Aztecs.

25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Virginia Tech in NCAAF action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by at least 14 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (TENNESSEE) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first month of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tennessee is a solid 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt ; 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games when they allow 300 to 350 total yards

Fundamental Discussion Points Virginia Tech is the public favorite this week with 62% against No. 17 ranked Tennessee; I am going with Tennessee. Though they underperformed in their opening game against Appalachian State, there is definitely reason to believe that they will rebound. In their first game they struggled with their offensive line lacking physicality and QB Dobbs underperforming, which I predict will both greatly improve this week.

It is hard to make a compelling statistical argument based on Tennessee’s lackluster performance in Week One. However, their defense performed well, holding their opponent to just 292 yards and only 13 points. Also, Tennessee’s offense only committed two turnovers in their season opener; Virginia Tech committed 4 turnovers in their season opener. In any sport, turnovers cost games, and this could be a potential difference maker for Tennessee. Look for number 17 Tennessee to come out physical this week to take down the public favorite, Virginia Tech.

25* graded play on UConn as they take on Navy in AAC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UConn will win this game. Make a 21* play using the spread and a 4* using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-8 over the last 5 seasons good for 80% winners and made 23.2 units/unit wagered. Play against Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NAVY) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 59-24 since 1992 71.1% winners and made 32.6 units/unit wagered. Play ON underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CONNECTICUT) - with 6+ more total starters returning than opponent, in the first month of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Midshipmen are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Fundamental Discussion Points Navy's Tago Smith is out for the season ( Knee ). Quarterback Bryant Shirreffs was a one-man show for the Huskies in the opener, passing for 162 yards and rushing for 95 more on 20 carries. Ron Johnson (two touchdowns) and Arkeel Newsome (one) each carried the ball 15 times in the opener, combining for 105 yards. The Huskies were among the nation's stingiest defenses last season. College football and upsets of the public persona go hand in hand to make you more money when betting. Take Connecticut Huskies.

25* graded play on Wake Forest as they take on Duke in ACC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wake Forest will win this game. Make a 21* play using the spread and a 4* using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wake Forest is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) when their defense forces 3 turnovers since 1992. Duke is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) when they commit 3 turnovers since 1992. Wake Forest is 8-3 straight up against Duke at home since 1992. Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Road team is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings head to head.

Fundamental Discussion Points A stout defensive effort made Hinton's early touchdown stand up as the Demon Deacons won their opener for the second year in a row. WF faced a real division 1 team in Tulane as opposed to Duke facing a barely division 1 team in NCCU to pad their stats. Walford has averaged 292 yards with five touchdowns in two career meetings with Duke. College football and upsets of the public persona go hand in hand to make you more money when betting. Duke is known for their basketball, not football...so take Wake Forest Demon Deacons.

25* graded play on Southern Cal  as they take on Utah State in NCAA action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by 21 or more points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Utah State is a money losing 4-26 ATS (-24.6 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards; USC is a stout 47-19 ATS (+26.1 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

Fundamental Discussion Points Clay Helton comes back to the Coliseum after a big opening day shellacking on National TV. The Trojans Offense returned 10 starters from a team that averaged 34 points a game in 2015 and after getting shut down by the Bama D last week will look to turn it on against a Utah State team that had an easy going against a division 1A program. Utah State had to replace a big portion of its' defense only returning 3 starters from last years team. This gives us tremendous line value in this game and look for the Trojans to come out with a purpose this week and win this one easy. FIGHT ON.

25* graded play on Houston as they take on the Chicago Cubs in inter-league action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 127-95 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.2% winners and made 49.3 units/unit wagered.  Play against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 10 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP under 1.000 over his last 3 starts.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Chicago Cubs are 9-18 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season; 6-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season; 188-230 (-92.7 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start since 1997; 121-154 (-52.7 Units) against the money line after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base since 1997. Houston is 54-33 (+17.2 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season; 42-29 (+12.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 15-7 (+9.7 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Cubs are 2-10 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 0-5 in Lester's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 Friday games. Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cubs are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Houston.

Fundamental Discussion Points Lester's team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) when starting against Houston with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 1.800. Joe Musgrove is 1-0, 0.54 in three games (two starts) at home. The Cubs lost in Milwaukee on Tuesday and Wednesday. Houston 2B Jose Altuve is four stolen bases shy of becoming the first player in history to reach 200 doubles and 200 steals in his first six seasons. Chicago CF and leadoff hitter Dexter Fowler is hitless in his last 19 at-bats. Take Houston Astros.

25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Cleveland in AL Central action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 39-23 since 1997 good for 62.9% winners and made 35.4 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Another proven system supports this play posting a 42-23 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.6% winners and made 22.1 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is 21-13 (+12.0 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 15-23 (-12.6 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season; 11-20 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season; 20-28 (-17.0 Units) against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Duffey's team's record is 14-4 (+12.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 14-6 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Indians are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Indians are 2-5 in Salazar's last 7 starts with 4 days of rest. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Dozier is 11-for-23 with two home runs and five doubles versus Salazar, who is 3-3 with a 4.63 ERA in nine starts against Minnesota after a 12-5 loss Aug. 1 in which he permitted six runs in two innings. Duffey won his first three starts in August, including a 13-5 victory over Cleveland on Aug. 3. Duffey fares well against Lindor (1-for-13, five strikeouts). Dozier has six home runs versus Cleveland this season. The Indians are 36-17 against the AL Central, but 8-8 versus Minnesota. Take Minnesota Twins.

50* graded play on Seattle as they take on Texas in AL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-21 since 1997 good for 72% winners and made 31.6 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 17-6 (+11.6 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games. Rangers are 1-4 in Holland's last 5 Thursday starts. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Seattle first baseman Adam Lind fueled Wednesday's 8-3 victory with two homers and five RBIs. Mariners left fielder Seth Smith joined Lind in the starring role by going 3-for-3 with a homer Wednesday for his first multi-hit outing since Aug. 21. Holland has struggled against Robinson Cano (16-for-45, two homers). Cano (foot) went 1-for-3 to extend his hitting streak to 11 games one night after departing a game early. Cano leads all hitters in this season series with 6 homers. Although Walker may not have good stats coming in, he can ride the momentum of Seattle's last game. Also the last time Holland faced the Mariners, he allowed 5 earned runs in as many innings giving up 3 homers and 2 walks back on June 10th. Take Seattle Mariners.

25* graded play on the Denver Broncos as they take on the Carolina Panthers in Inter-league NFL action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Denver will win this game. Given this favorable projection, I like making these plays combination wagers using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The money line, however, must be +140 or higher to validate the risk-reward profile. If it is not at level then simply wager a 25* amount using the line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-4 mark good for 86% winners since 2005. Play on home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Denver is 14-1 against the money line (+12.0 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons; 7-1 against the money line (+6.8 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Denver is also 13-1 against the money line (+12.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points I think we all must remember the major matchup that saw Denver dominate Carolina in SB 50. Carolina tackle Remmers against OLB Von Miller. That matchup is the same, but both teams are significantly different from last years SB 50 rosters. Still, it will be that matchup to watch and one that Miller will again dominate. Over the 19 SB 50 snaps that the two met in pass-block/rush situations, Remmers held up entirely on just three occasions. That’s roughly 15 percent of the snaps. Think about that for a second: When left alone with the assignment of blocking Von Miller, there was only a 15 percent chance that Remmers was going to get the job done. There were five other snaps in which either Miller was reading Cam Newton on the rush and playing contain, there was a legit double-team, or the ball came out too fast for any kind of winner or loser to be determined. Even if we fold all of those into the “win” column for Remmers, he escaped unbeaten on only 42.1 percent of his snaps against Miller. The problem the Denver Broncos present is that they have other threats to contend with. Even if you take Miller’s pressures out of the equation, the Broncos’ defense racked up 33 total pressures in the last meeting, with five different players amassing four or more individually. If you eliminate Miller entirely from the pressure column with a combination of strategies, you still need to find a way to block DeMarcus Ware, Shaquil Barrett, Derek Wolfe, Shane Ray, and the rest of the defense. Take Denver. The Panthers O-line alone gave up 31 pressures in the Super Bowl, and on plays in which Newton was pressured, he completed just 35.3 percent of his passes for a passer rating of 53.6.

25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Arizona in NL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is 31-74 (-33.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-47 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-29 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season; 57-78 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. Ray's team's record is 6-15 (-11.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season and they are 9-18 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. Diamondbacks are 7-17 in Rays last 24 starts. Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 road games. Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Ray's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Diamondbacks are 2-10 in Ray's last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 1-7 in Ray's last 8 Wednesday starts. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Fundamental Discussion Points Ray escaped with a no-decision at Colorado on Friday after surrendering six runs — five earned — and eight hits in 4 1/3 innings. Stewart produced his best major-league effort Aug. 28 against league-leading Chicago as he limited the Cubs to two hits and two walks while striking out eight in five scoreless innings of a no-decision. Los Angeles recalled RHP Pedro Baez, who went 3-2 with a 3.61 ERA in 62 relief appearances earlier this season, from Tulsa. Dodgers are on a roll, especially in hitting, so don't over-complicate this. Take LA Dodgers.

25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Kansas City in AL Central action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 148-115 over the last 5 seasons good for 56.3% and made 45.7 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. KC is 18-33 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. Minnesota is 52-52 (+13.1 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 27-24 (+12.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. Molitor is 64-61 (+26.1 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start as the manager of Minnesota. Twins are 8-2 in Gibson's last 10 Wednesday starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Dozier has been on a white-hot tear for the Twins, belting seven home runs during a five-game streak and hitting 11 in 14 contests this season against the Royals. Dozier has clubbed 22 homers since July 31, becoming the first player to hit 22 during a 36-game span since Shawn Green in 2002. Duffy gave up three homers and was rocked for seven runs at Boston in his next to last start and did not factor in the decision after yielding four runs versus Detroit last time out. Gibson is 5-4 lifetime with a 3.10 ERA against Kansas City. Royals C Salvador Perez sustained a bone contusion in his right wrist after he was hit by a pitch in Tuesday's game. Dozier has hit in 11 straight games overall and 15 in a row at home, belting 13 homers over the latter streak. Take Minnesota Twins.

25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Baltimore in AL East action set to start at 1:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.3% and made 28.8 units/unit wagered. Play on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a terrible OBP (under .310) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP under 1.300) -AL, playing on Wednesday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 106-92 (+35.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. Baltimore is 34-57 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 19-31 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 31-55 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons; 39-60 (-21.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons; 15-29 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Rays are 4-0 in Smyly's last 4 home starts. Rays are 5-0 in Smyly's last 5 starts on astroturf. Rays are 14-6 in Smylys last 20 starts vs. American League East.

Fundamental Discussion Points Bundy may have won two of his last three starts, but his 11 walks leave plenty to be desired. He has come a long way since he made his first major-league start at Tampa Bay on July 17, yielding three homers and four runs over 3 1/3 innings. Smyly owns a 4-0 mark over his last eight starts. Smyly has enjoyed success in his career versus Baltimore with a 4-1 mark. Rays 2B Logan Forsythe is 10-for-20 in his last five contests. Tampa Bay CF Kevin Kiermaier is 13-for-41 during his 10-game hitting streak. Take Tampa Bay Rays.

25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Kansas City in AL Central action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 235-188 since 1997 good for 55.6% winners and made a HUGE 75.9 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (KANSAS CITY) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP under 1.000 over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. KC is 17-33 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 7-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season; 12-19 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 52-51 (+14.1 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Santana's team's record is 14-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Royals are 1-4 in Gee's last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Royals are 0-4 in Gee's last 4 road starts. Twins are 6-1 in Santana's last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.

Fundamental Discussion Points  Yesterday three more home runs were hit by Dozier - who has eight in his last seven games overall and 10 against Kansas City this season. Dozier is 5-for-14 with three home runs against Gee, who is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA in five games (four starts) against the Twins. Gee is 4-7 with a 5.23 ERA in 12 starts this season. Santana struck out 10 Royals and surrendered an unearned run in seven frames Aug. 21. Take the Minnesota Twins.

25* graded play on Toronto as they take on the NY Yankees in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 25-7 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 18-7 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season; 92-51 (+17.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. New York is 3-15 (-11.3 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons and they are 27-42 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons. Toronto is 30-20 (+8.8 Units) against Yankees over the last 3 seasons and they are 9-3 (+5.8 Units) this season. Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a loss. Blue Jays are 7-1 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Sanchez made two starts against New York in the first half and went 1-0 while allowing a total of one earned run in 12 2/3 innings. He's also posting a WHIP of 1.184 against them. Cessa has a 6.14 ERA in five home games – one start. The Yankees placed OF Aaron Hicks (hamstring) on the 15-day disabled list. Toronto 2B Devon Travis is 5-for-13 in his last three games and was moved into the leadoff spot in the order on Monday. New York rookie RF Aaron Judge is 3-for-39 with 26 strikeouts in the last 13 games. Take Toronto Blue Jays.

25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Washington in NL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a dog with a money line of +194.3 going 66-75 but made a huge 53.2 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is 8-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season; 13-12 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season; 30-23 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season; 24-25 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. Perez's team's record is 9-3 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.Washington is 22-22 (-8.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.Gonzalez's team's record is 9-17 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 overall. Braves are 7-0 in Perez's last 7 starts vs. National League East. Nationals are 0-5 in Gonzalez's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. Nationals are 0-4 in Gonzalez's last 4 Tuesday starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Perez beat Washington in his final start of last season, allowing six hits over six shutout innings. Braves 1B Freddie Freeman recorded his 73rd extra-base hit of the season with a double Monday, the first Atlanta player to reach 70 since Chipper Jones (2007, 75). Ender Inciarte is hitting a strong .308 in this season series. Take Atlanta Braves.

50* graded play on FSU as they take on Mississippi in NCAA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by at least 9 points. FSU returns all 11 offensive starters including the QB obviously. Mississippi returns 10 starters with 5 on offense and 5 on defense. This is a monumental advantage for FSU, especially with the chemistry they now have on the OL for both pass blocking and run blocking.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-5 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1992. Play against any team (OLE MISS) in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80% winning record) playing a team that had a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Mississippi is just 26-71 ATS (-52.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. FSU is a solid 128-70 ATS (+51.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Fundamental Discussion Points­ Jimbo Fisher and the Florida State Seminoles come into the 2016 season and many predict to be in the playoff hunt for a national title, the offense returns intact from last years team averaging 32 points per game but most likely will start the young Quarterback in this game. The defense lost some key personnel but this roster is loaded with talent all over and also brings in the nations top recruiting class. The FSU run game returns Dalvin Cook who many feel is the best running back in the country. Ole Miss comes into this game with the best Quarterback on the field in Chad Kelly, but will be without his top playmaker Laquan Treadwell who took his talents to the NFL. Hugh Freeze has done a great job at Ole Miss going to 4 straight bowl games and the only SEC team with Alabama's number. Ole Miss lost some key playmakers on defense and all everything tackle and main run stuffer Robert Nkemdiche. This should allow Florida State to control the ground game and the clock, keeping Chad Kelly and the Ole Miss offense frustrated. We look for Florida State to get off to a good start on their National Title Hopes today and will take the Seminoles where they are typically very strong playing at a neutral site, which should still feel like home for the Seminoles. Take FSU.

25* graded play on Texas as they take on Notre Dame in NCAA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making this play a combination wager using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the Money Line. Current ML are in the +150 range. Should the line movement decrease to below +140 then simply play a 25* amount using the line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-24 ATS for 71% winners since 1992. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) with 6+ more total starters returning than opponent, in the first month of the season.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ND is a money burning 18-69 ATS (-57.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points; Texas is a solid 38-10 ATS (+27.0 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Longhorns look like an improved team after closing the 2015 campaign with a win at Baylor and bringing in another top recruiting class. “The attitude of the team right now ­– offense, defense, special teams – is something we didn't have last year, in my opinion,” Texas defensive coordinator Vance Bedford told reporters. “Guys are focused, ready to go. They're ready to prove that last year was a fluke.” Swoopes got the start last season at Notre Dame and went 7-of-22 for 93 yards as the Longhorns were outgained 527-163.

25* graded play on the Cubs as they take on the Giants in NL action set to start at 2:20 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Cubs will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cubs are a solid 24-5 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games facing a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season; 24-4 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 

25* graded play on BYU as they take on Arizona in non-conference action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that BYU will win this game by at least 4 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. BYU is 53-29 ATS (+21.1 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt since 1992. Arizona is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Rodriguez is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday in all games he has coached since 1992. Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Wildcats are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games on grass. Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Cougars will display a variety of pro-style sets under new offensive coordinator Ty Detmer, who threw for more than 15,000 yards in his BYU career. Hill started last year's season opener against Nebraska before suffering a season-ending injury that opened the door for Mangum to throw for 3,377 yards and 23 touchdowns. The Cougars should have a much better running game led by Jamaal Williams, who sat out last season after withdrawing from school and returns 930 yards shy of breaking the school rushing record. Where they'll need players to step up is the receiving corps, where only one of the top four pass catchers return from last season and that's Nick Kurtz, who caught 39 passes for 578 yards and three touchdowns. Like the Cougars, the Wildcats will also be thin on experience at wide receiver compared to a year ago, as last season's leading receiver, Cayleb Jones, left early for the NFL and second-leading receiver Johnny Jackson used up his eligibility. Freddie Tagaloa is expected to anchor an offensive line still reeling from the sudden death last month of Zach Hemmila, who started six games at left guard last season. Last season 'Zona's defense allowed 46.8% 3rd down conversions and 92% red zone scoring while BYU only allowed 38.4% 3rd down conversions and 75% red zone scoring.

25* graded play on LA Angels as they take on Seattle in AL West action set to start at 9:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Angels will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 30-32 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons; 36-44 (-14.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 62-81 (-31.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons; 25-46 (-29.5 Units) against the money line after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games since 1997. LA Angels are 50-37 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings since 1997; 125-87 (+31.6 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games over the last 3 seasons; 155-92 (+30.0 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

Fundamental Discussion Points Skaggs ended a five-start victory drought in his last turn as he blanked Detroit on two hits over six innings. Walker was shelled for six runs and seven hits in four innings versus the Angels on Aug. 6 and has posted a 5.48 ERA in four career starts against them. Nelson Cruz hit his 33rd homer in the opener - his lone hit in 13 at-bats over his last three games. Los Angeles 3B Yunel Escobar was activated from the seven-day concussion list prior to Friday's game and reached base three times on a single and two walks. Take Los Angeles Angels.

25* graded play on Auburn as they take on Clemson in NCAA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at a major upset win. Given this favorable projection, I like making these combination wagers using a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. I am seeing lines north of +275, so this represents a tremendous investment opportunity. Over the course of the season, these combination wagers will add a significant amount to the bottom line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-8 mark good for 80% ATS winners since 2005. Play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (AUBURN) and is a team that had a winning record last season, playing in a non-conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Fundamental Discussion Points While Clemson is obviously the clear favorite for the public at 67% (as of Aug. 30th) and ranked at number two in the AP Preseason Pool, I have decided to go with Auburn. Clemson undoubtedly had an incredible year last year, but also lost nine players due to the NFL draft (compared to Auburn’s three). With seven of those draftees being defensive players, Clemson only has four returning defensive starters. Only one starter remains in Clemson’s secondary, so look for Auburn QB Sean White to attack the secondary in the season opener. Sean White has emerged as the Auburn starter in the wake of a 3 way QB battle over the summer; he brings experience and knowledge of the offense to the field, which is very important in the opening weeks.

25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Philadelphia in NL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-10 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.7% winners and made 23.1 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 150-88 over the last 5 seasons good for 63% winners and made 56.1 units/unit wagered. Play On any team (ATLANTA) - after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 79-144 (-43.4 Units) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons; 9-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season; 22-46 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 3 seasons; 8-24 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base this season; 3-14 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. Atlanta is 29-23 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season and they are 11-7 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 straight games without giving up a stolen base this season. Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 overall. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss. Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League East. Phillies are 1-7 in Velasquez's last 8 starts.

Fundamental Discussion Points Since Kemp made his Atlanta debut Aug. 2 – after a trade deadline deal with San Diego – the Braves are averaging 5.2 runs and 9.4 hits while hitting .272, after batting .242 through the end of July. Gant posted a 3.38 ERA in four starts with six walks and 17 strikeouts before he was injured. Velasquez has struggled in his past eight starts, going 0-4 with a 5.76 ERA and a .292 opponents’ batting average. Velasquez is 0-1 in two starts against Atlanta this season, giving up six runs on 13 hits in 12 innings. The Phillies have scored 218 runs in 67 home games (3.25 per contest), last in the major leagues. Take Atlanta Braves.

25* graded play on the OVER in UNC-Georgia action set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that this game will go over 59 points scored.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is 28-9 OVER (+18.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992. Over is 20-6 in Bulldogs last 26 games in September. Over is 5-1 in Tar Heels last 6 games overall. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Trubisky completed 40-of-47 passes in 2015 and has thrown 11 touchdowns while spelling Williams the past two seasons. Hood looks to build on an outstanding sophomore season in which he rushed for 17 scores and averaged 6.7 yards per carry en route to rushing for 1,463 yards. The Tar Heels had issues at times on defense last season in allowing 24.5 points per game. UNC WR Ryan Switzer holds the ACC record for most punts returned for a touchdown (seven). Chubb was cleared Monday for the opener; he has rushed for 2,294 yards and 21 touchdowns in 19 career games. Take the OVER.

25* graded play on Houston as they take on Texas in AL West action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 122-57 since 1997 good for 68.2% winners and made 53.1 units/unit wagered. Play on all teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (HOUSTON) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is 38-19 (+16.5 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 10 game span over the last 2 seasons and they are 23-12 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 10-3 in their last 13 overall. Rangers are 6-14 in their last 20 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Rangers are 2-5 in Holland's last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Fundamental Discussion Points Rookie Alex Bregman, who homered and drove in three runs in the series opener, is 6-for-18 in four contests versus the Rangers. Musgrove pitched 5 1/3 scoreless innings against Oakland on Monday. Musgrove pitched well in his first career start versus Texas, settling for a no-decision on Aug. 7 despite permitting one run on five hits in seven frames. Holland has an ERA of 4.31 against the Astros. Take Houston Astros.

25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Kent State in NCAA action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by 20 or more points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-4 ATS mark good for 87% winners since 2006. Play against any team in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses and is now facing an opponent in the first month of the season that was a bowl team from prior season and who lost their last 3 games. The need for PSU to get out of the gate well is only magnified by how they finished last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. KSU is just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when they allow 42 to 48 points; 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when they gain 4 or less net passing yards/attempt; 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games when they gain 5 or less net passing yards/attempt; PSU is a stout 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they gain 550 or more total yards.

Fundamental Discussion Points KSU finished dead last in D_1 offensive scoring last season. PSU returns just 5 defensive starters, but the additions are vastly superior to those players replaced by graduation. They have the perfect offensive opponent and the offense will shred the Flash defense. Not to mention that PSU is back to fully strength with 85 scholarship players.