Stars vs Capitals

8:07 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Stars using the money line if it is cheaper than -150

Betting on road favorites between -125 and -150 following a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals and are a slow starting team getting outscored in the first period by 0.2 or more goals in the first period of action in matches played since 2015 has earned as solid 37-16 record for 70% winning bets and averaging a -134 wager over the past 10 seasons.

Stars are 20-4 making 14 units on the road and facing a struggling team that is getting outscored by 0.5 goals per game in matches played over the past three seasons.

Iowa vs Iowa State

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the OVER currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Over in a game with a total priced between 150 and 159.5 with one of the teams allowing 77 or more PPG and with that team trailing at the half in their previous game by 20 or more points has produced a 55-32 record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Maple Leafs vs Senators

7:07 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Maple Leafs using the money line if it is cheaper than -150

Betting on road favorites between -125 and -150 following a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals and are a slow starting team getting outscored in the first period by 0.2 or more goals in the first period of action in matches played since 2015 has earned as solid 37-16 record for 70% winning bets and averaging a -134 wager over the past 10 seasons.

Ottawa is just 6-18 losing 14 units in home games following two consecutive home games spanning the last three seasons.

Nebraska vs Minnesota

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on Nebraska -2 or fewer points.

Betting on road favorites including pick-em following a game in which they lost to the spread by 18 or more points and facing a host that has seen total play OVER by 24 or more points over their previous three games has earned a highly profitable 27-15 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road favorite show less than 40% from the field in their previous game, they have then gone 17-7 SUATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay
8-Unit bet on Tampa Bay using the money line, priced at -130 or less.

Betting on home teams using the money line in games played in the first half of the season, with both teams winning between 40 and 49% of their games and with the road team playing their 4th game in 7 days has produced a 22-11 record good for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Cincinnati vs. Jacksonville
EverBank Stadium
8:15 ET | ABC/ESPN
8-Unit best Bet on Jacksonville minus the 10 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop on the Jaguars and then look to add 30% more at 6.5 or fewer points during the first half of action only.

Betting on home favorites from -5 to -12 points in a game with a total of 40 or fewer points that have covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 games and has won 60 to 75% of their games and facing a losing record team has earned a solid 31-6 SU (84%) and 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Betting on home teams that are facing a poor defensive team that is allowing 6 or more YPPL and was outgained by 150 or more total yards in their previous game has earned a highly profitable 29-13-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons.

The Bengals defense ranks dead last in the NFL allowing 6.41 yards per play.

I have been hearing and more importantly seeing that the offensive play calls are now being called by Doug Pederson and since this ‘rumor’ began to circle around the Jaguars offense has been quite good. In the past two weeks, the Jaguars have scored 58 points, they have won and covered 7 of their last 8 games with the only loss and failed cover to the 49ers, who are destroying everyone on their schedule since the BYE week three weeks ago. The Bengals have lost and failed to cover the spread in their last three games. Their ground game has all but disappeared and gained just 25 yards on 11 rushes in their 16-10 loss to divisional foe Pittsburgh. The Bengals D has allowed 153, 157, and 188 rushing yards in each of their last three games.

Pederson is 7-0 ATS after covering the spread in three of his last four games as the HC of the Jaguars; 10-1 ATS in home games when facing a foe that averages less than 1 turnover per game for his career.

From the predictive models we are looking for the Jaguars to have 100 or more total yards and have the same or fewer turnovers. In previous home games in which the Jaguars met or exceeded these projections they have gone on to a 173-5 SU record and 146-28-4 ATS mark good for 84% winning bets since 2019.

Tampa Bay vs Dallas Stars

8-Unit best Bet on the Lightning using the money line currently at +105.

Betting on a team that allowed 6 or more goals in their previous game and facing a foe that won their game buy four or more goals with the current game taking place in the first half of the season has gone 50-35 for 59% and has averaged a +105 bet an earned a highly profitable 23% ROI since 2015. If our team is playing at home they have gone to produce a 28-16 record for 64% and averaged a -111 money line wager for an more profitable 27% ROI since 2015.

Kansas City vs Green Bay Packers
Lambeau Field
8:20 ET | NBC
8-Unit bet on the Packers plus the 6 points and is good to 5.5 points.

Betting on dogs that are coming off two consecutive wins priced as the underdog in each one and has won between 40 and 49% of their 8 or more games played on the season has earned a solid 28-10-2. ATS for 74% winners over the past 30 seasons and is 6-0 ATS and 4-2 SU since 2019.

Chiefs are 1-7 ATS when coming off an ATS win and facing a foe also coming of an ATS win.

Chiefs are 0-6 ATS coming off a win in which that opponent had a double-digit lead.

Chiefs are 1-10 ATS coming off a double-digit win.

From the predictive model, the Packers are 29-2 SU and 27-4 ATS (87%) when scoring 21 or more points and forcing 2 or more opponent turnovers in home games since 2014.

San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles
4:25 PM EST | FOX

Lincoln Financial Field
5-Unit best bet on the OVER 48 points and is valid up to 49.5 points

This is game 4 of the 6-game gauntlet of having to facing winning record teams, who are also playoff and divisional contenders. The game will be the third one in the past 13 days and coming off the OT and come from behind win over the Bills last Sunday adds the fatigue factor the Eagles team is dealing with. However, the entire betting world is on the 49ers and I did put out a betting angle and breakdown supporting the 49ers earlier the week on many shows including ESPN Syracuse. My appetite to bet the 49ers has been reduced to a tepid one to say the least as I find it extremely difficult to fade this Eagles team is 28-2 with Hurts under center. They may be getting smoked in games in the box score, but the style points just do not matter to a team that is 10-1 and has will to win second to none. Yet, the total in this game is the opportunity presented by the models.

Betting on the Over in a game priced between 42.5 and 49 points that features a road team scoring at least 28 PPG on the season and is coming off two consecutive games in which they allowed 14 or fewer points in each one has produced a highly profitable 22-7 for 76% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. If our road team is the favorite, the Over has gone 20-6 for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Longwood vs Morgan State
8-Unit On Longwood minus the 10 points and is valid up to 11.5 points.

From the predictive model, we learn that Longwood is 10-2 Ats when scoring 75 to 80 points and MS is just 1-8 ASTS when allowing 75 to 80 points over the last three seasons.

Betting on favorites between -4.5 and -11.5 points that have won each of their last three games by double-digits and facing a foe that has trailed in each of their last three games at the half by 5 or more points has produced a 21-2 SU record and 16-6-1 ATS mark for 73% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints
Caesars Superdome
1:00 ET | FOX
Lions -4.5 | 47.5-point total

Betting on teams that have won 60% or more of their games after having played at least 8 games and is coming off a home loss have gone 63-28 SU and 61-28-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Lions defense has been getting better each week with the exception of the Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers. However, winning teams at this point of the season refocus after a humiliating home loss and get back on track. The Lions defense ranks 11th in the NFL having allowed 1038 yards after the catch or 94 yards per game this season.

On offense the Lions have been outstanding in the passing game ranking 6th with 1,411 yards gained after the catch. I do not see the Saints being able to contain the Lions ariel attack and see the Lions winning this one fairly easily.

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans
1:00 ET | CBS
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
8-Unit Best bet OVER the posted total of 47.5 points and is valid up to 48.5 points.

This is the highest total each of these teams have played in and stands to reason given the various matchups favoring a much higher scoring affair than is expected.

Betting on the Over in a game with a total priced at 47 or more points with one of the teams (Texans) coming off a three or fewer point loss to a divisional foe and with the game taking place in December has earned a solid 24-11-1 for 69% winning bets since 1996.

Betting the Over in a game with a total priced between 45 and 49.5 points that is coming off a loss of fewer than 7 points to a divisional foe and with the game taking place in the second half of the season has earned a 31-13-1 record good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders
1:00 ET | FOX
FedEx Field
8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total currently priced at 49.5 points and is valid up to and including 51.5 points.

The weather in the DC region is not going to be a factor in this game and current forecasts are for no rain to start to the game. Temps are milder than normal for this time of year.

The Commanders rank last or near last in 10 of my defense power ratings. They rank last in scoring defense, points per play allowed, TDs allowed per game, third-worst in passing yards allowed per game. Miami ranks second in scoring offense, first in offensive yards per game, first in points-per-play, first in yards gained per play, first in red zone scoring percentage, first in TDs scored per game. Get the point?

Betting on the Over in a game priced between 42.5 and 49 points that features a road team scoring at least 28 PPG on the season and is coming off two consecutive games in which they allowed 14 or fewer points in each one has produced a highly profitable 22-7 for 76% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. If our road team is the favorite, the Over has gone 20-6 for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons. Plus, if we increase the PPG to 30 PPG, this system has gone 11-4 OVER for 73% winning bets for the base part of this system.

Louisville vs FSU
ACC Championship
8 ET | 8-Unit Best Bet on FSU minus the point.

FSU is not a team based on a star quarterback. They are a complete team and no one talks about their defense that ranks 8th nationally allowing 17.1 PPG and 7th posting a 0.252 points per play allowed ratio. They are the BEST passing defense in the nation allowing 47% completions and 8th with a 9.08% sack percentage. It will be the defense that will get the job done and limit Louisville’s offensive production.

FSU is 8-1 when facing an above average passing team completing 64% or more of their passes.

[QB] Tate Rodemaker (Head) - Doubtful () [12/01/2023] => Rodemaker is tending to a head injury, and it is unlikely that he will take on Louisville in the ACC Championship game. So, Brock Glenn is likely to start under center for the Seminoles and he is an outstanding talent and athlete with size at 6-3 and 220 pounds and a huge arm. Four-star prospect ranked as No. 13 quarterback nationally and No. 7 overall prospect in Tennessee by 247Sports…rated as country’s 15th-highest quarterback prospect by Rivals, 17th by ESPN and 25th by On3…made Elite 11 Finals in summer of 2022…accounted for more than 4,500 yards of total offense and 68 touchdowns during prep career…passed for 3,928 yards and 57 touchdowns with only 13 interceptions and added 654 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns…led Lausanne to eight wins and advanced to quarterfinal round of Tennessee High School Division II Class AA playoffs his senior season…was 74-of-126 passing for 1,413 yards and 18 touchdowns and added 443 rushing yards and seven touchdowns while averaging 9.8 yards per carry…led Lynx to semifinal round of state playoffs and nine wins in 2021…completed 97 of 155 passes for 1,576 yards and 23 touchdowns…also rushed for 161 yards and three touchdowns on 31 carries…played six games his sophomore year, passing for 912 yards and 15 touchdowns and rushing for 28 yards on 12 carries…was 1-of-1 passing for 27 yards and rushed for 22 yards in one appearance as a freshman.

Iowa vs Michigan
8:00 EST | FOX
Big Ten Championship
8-Unit best Bet on Iowa as long as they are 20 or more-point underdogs.
A small sprinkle with pizza money using the money line is worth it.

I also like betting over the Iowa Team Total for 5-Units.

Iowa is on a 6-0 ATS win streak when away from home and having allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards in their previous game; 18-7 on the road and when coming off a win by 6 or fewer points. Iowa head coach Ferentz is 38-19 ATS in games with a posted total of 42 or fewer points; 40-18 ATS when facing an elite passing team averaging 8 or more YPPA. Iowa is 20-23 SU and 26-14-3 ATS when playing with triple revenge and 16-9-3 ATS when taking on a conference foe and 8-2 ATS since 2014.

Back in 2016 on November 12, Iowa as priced as a 24-point underdog to Michigan, and they defeated them 14-13 and the score at the half was 10-8 Michigan. Michigan got out to a 10-0 lead, then Iowa scored on a safety and added a TD, but failed to convert the 2-pointer. In the second half Iowa added a FG to take a 11-10 lead. Michigan followed q with a FG with 9 minutes left in the game and then place kicker Duncan hit a 33-yard FG on the last play of the game to win it. Think history repeats?

It is a long shot for Iowa to pull off the upset and there is defense will have to play their best game yet this season. The four defenses in the nation based on my power ratings are in the Big Ten and Iowa is one of them. Iowa ranks 4th in scoring defense allowing 12.2 PPG, tops with a 0.171 opponent points per play ratio, second allowing just 3.9 yards per play, second allowing 5.0 yards per pass. They play smart and rank third averaging 3.3 penalties per game. Michigan is also a great defense, but if Iowa can force Michigan into second and third and long yardage situations, they are going to keep the game close and get into the fourth quarter with a single score margin. At that point, who knows what could happen. Iowa may not need their offense to be productive if they generate turnovers and perhaps even get a pick six. That is a lot to ask for if the game was priced at pick-em, but it’s not and we are getting 22 points to assume the risk.

NY Islanders vs Florida Panthers
8-Unit Best on the Islanders using the money line currently priced at +154.

Betting on road dogs between 100 and 180 on the money line that have allowed four or more goals in each of their last two games and facing an opponent that allowed no more than a single goal in their previous game has gone 115-123 averaging a +140 wager and earning a 15% ROI since 2011.

SMU vs Tulane
American Athletic Championship
4:00 ET | ABC
8-Unit bet on Tulane minus the three points and is good up to 4.5 points, but that is unlikely to occur.

Betting on a team that has covered the spread by 50 or more points over their past 5 games both teams have won 80% or more of their games and the total of the game is 45 or more points has earned a 54-25-3 ATS mark for 68.4% winning bets since 2015.

From the predictive model, we learn that Tulane is 62-14 SU and 57-19 ATS for 75% winning bets when scoring 24 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. SMU is 16-94 SU and 27-83 ATS for 24.5% winning bets when allowing 24 or more points and having the same or more turnovers.

Iowa vs Michigan
8:00 EST | FOX
Big Ten Championship
8-Unit best Bet on Iowa as long as they are 20 or more-point underdogs.
A small sprinkle with pizza money using the money line is worth it.

I also like betting over the Iowa Team Total for 5-Units.

Iowa is on a 6-0 ATS win streak when away from home and having allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards in their previous game; 18-7 on the road and when coming off a win by 6 or fewer points. Iowa head coach Ferentz is 38-19 ATS in games with a posted total of 42 or fewer points; 40-18 ATS when facing an elite passing team averaging 8 or more YPPA. Iowa is 20-23 SU and 26-14-3 ATS when playing with triple revenge and 16-9-3 ATS when taking on a conference foe and 8-2 ATS since 2014.

Back in 2016 on November 12, Iowa as priced as a 24-point underdog to Michigan, and they defeated them 14-13 and the score at the half was 10-8 Michigan. Michigan got out to a 10-0 lead, then Iowa scored on a safety and added a TD, but failed to convert the 2-pointer. In the second half Iowa added a FG to take a 11-10 lead. Michigan followed q with a FG with 9 minutes left in the game and then place kicker Duncan hit a 33-yard FG on the last play of the game to win it. Think history repeats?

It is a long shot for Iowa to pull off the upset and there is defense will have to play their best game yet this season. The four defenses in the nation based on my power ratings are in the Big Ten and Iowa is one of them. Iowa ranks 4th in scoring defense allowing 12.2 PPG, tops with a 0.171 opponent points per play ratio, second allowing just 3.9 yards per play, second allowing 5.0 yards per pass. They play smart and rank third averaging 3.3 penalties per game. Michigan is also a great defense, but if Iowa can force Michigan into second and third and long yardage situations, they are going to keep the game close and get into the fourth quarter with a single score margin. At that point, who knows what could happen. Iowa may not need their offense to be productive if they generate turnovers and perhaps even get a pick six. That is a lot to ask for if the game was priced at pick-em, but it’s not and we are getting 22 points to assume the risk.

Louisville vs FSU
ACC Championship
8 ET | 8-Unit Best Bet on FSU minus the point.

FSU is not a team based on a star quarterback. They are a complete team and no one talks about their defense that ranks 8th nationally allowing 17.1 PPG and 7th posting a 0.252 points per play allowed ratio. They are the BEST passing defense in the nation allowing 47% completions and 8th with a 9.08% sack percentage. It will be the defense that will get the job done and limit Louisville’s offensive production.

FSU is 8-1 when facing an above average passing team completing 64% or more of their passes.

[QB] Tate Rodemaker (Head) - Doubtful () [12/01/2023] => Rodemaker is tending to a head injury, and it is unlikely that he will take on Louisville in the ACC Championship game. So, Brock Glenn is likely to start under center for the Seminoles and he is an outstanding talent and athlete with size at 6-3 and 220 pounds and a huge arm. Four-star prospect ranked as No. 13 quarterback nationally and No. 7 overall prospect in Tennessee by 247Sports…rated as country’s 15th-highest quarterback prospect by Rivals, 17th by ESPN and 25th by On3…made Elite 11 Finals in summer of 2022…accounted for more than 4,500 yards of total offense and 68 touchdowns during prep career…passed for 3,928 yards and 57 touchdowns with only 13 interceptions and added 654 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns…led Lausanne to eight wins and advanced to quarterfinal round of Tennessee High School Division II Class AA playoffs his senior season…was 74-of-126 passing for 1,413 yards and 18 touchdowns and added 443 rushing yards and seven touchdowns while averaging 9.8 yards per carry…led Lynx to semifinal round of state playoffs and nine wins in 2021…completed 97 of 155 passes for 1,576 yards and 23 touchdowns…also rushed for 161 yards and three touchdowns on 31 carries…played six games his sophomore year, passing for 912 yards and 15 touchdowns and rushing for 28 yards on 12 carries…was 1-of-1 passing for 27 yards and rushed for 22 yards in one appearance as a freshman.

Alabama vs Georgia
SEC Championship
10-UNIT BEST BET Over the posted total
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
4:00 ET | CBS
Georgia -6 | 54.5-point total

The Over bet for this conference championship game is backed by one of the best betting algorithms in my database consisting of more than 5000 money-making algorithms. This one has earned a 21-9-1 Over record good for 70% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are as follows:

§  Bet the Over in a conference championship game.

§  The total in the game exceeds average of both team’s points allowed by at least 20 points.

Now, if we drill down a bit further into the database and filter games that had a total of fewer than 60 points the Over has produced a perfect 9-0 record. Georgia and Alabama rank first and second in the SEC allowing 15.8 and 17.9 points per game respectively. Their defenses combine for 33.7 points per game which is 20.8 points below the posted total of 54.5 points. The Under may gain some steam from the public given that the defenses are the best in the conference and among the best nationally. So, even if this points differential falls to -19 or fewer points (52.5-point total) know that the system still has produced a money-making 10-3 Over record good for 77% winning bets.

Illinois vs Rutgers
8-Unit bet on Rutgers using the money line if the spread is less than 2.5 point favorite.

Betting on teams priced between the 3’s that have led at the half by six or more points in each of their past three games and facing a foe that scored 75 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 78-47-3 ATS record for 62.4% winners since 2015.

Detroit vs Cleveland State
8-Unit bet on winless Detroit getting 12 points and is valid as long as they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are getting outscored by 12 or more points per game and is coming off a game in which there was 115 or fewer combined points scored has earned an 84-37 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Washington vs. Oregon
8-Unit Best Bet on the Oregon Ducks minus the 10 points and this line may drop to 9.5 or fewer points as kickoff approaches.

Betting on teams that are gaining 5.8 or more RYPA and coming off a game in which they allowed fewer than 100 yards and now facing a foe that gaining between 4.3 and 4.8 RYPA has earned a solid 125-70 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

From the predictive mode, we learn that Oregon is 122-4 SU and 87-3% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points and having the same or fewer interceptions thrown. If they have scored 41 or more points and did not throw an interception has produced a 71-1 SU record and 54-15-2 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers plus the points, currently priced as 6.5-point underdogs.

Betting on teams revenging a loss to the current opponent and is coming off an upset loss has gone 67-41 SU and 69-37-2 ATS good for 65% winning bets. If we drill down into the data a bit deeper we find out that if the game is a divisional matchup and our dog is priced more than 7 points, they have gone 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets.

New Mexico State vs Liberty
C-USA Championship
8-Unit Best Bet on the Liberty Flames -10.5 points and is valid up to -12 points.

Undefeated teams facing a foe with three or more losses in their Conference Championship game are 41-7 SU and 13-17 ATS for 65% winners since 1996. If our team si favored they are 41-5 SU and 31-15 ATS for 67.4% winners. If a double-digit favorite they have gone 34-3 SU and 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets.

From the predictive models we learn that Liberty is 41-8 SU and 36-10-1 ATS in games in which they have scored 31 or more points since 2018. Plus, if they score28 or more -points and gain 450 or more yards has produced a 32-3 SU mark and 26-8-1 ATS record good for 77 % winning bets.

Houston vs Xavier
8-Unit best bet on Houston minus the points, currently priced at 8.5 points.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off an ATS win priced as a double-digit favorite and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has gone 76-20 SU and 56-38-2 ATS for 60% winning bets. If our team made three or more three pointers than their foe did in the previous game, their record soars to a highly profitable 33-5 SU and 27-9-2 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Seahawks vs Cowboys
Thursday | Prime
8-Unit Best Bet on the Seahawks +7.5 points
5-Unit Best Bet on the Over.

Betting on road teams in a non-divisional clash that are coming off a divisional game and after this game they will take on a divisional foe (Sandwich) on the road has gone 16-9 ATS for 64% winning bets and the OVER is 16-8-1 for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Cowboys have looked like Super Bowl Champions in their wins, but then have struggled against losing record teams such as the Arizona Cardinals, for instance. This is a ‘sandwich’ game for both teams and serious regression spot for the Cowboys.

Betting on teams that have failed to covered the spread by 33 or more points spanning their last five games and taking on a foe that has seen the OVER go 33 or more points spanning their last five games has produced a 34-33 SU record and 47-19-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 2010.

So, consider an in game pizza money parlay if you can get the Seahawks at 10 or more points and the total at 43.5 or fewer points during the first half of action.

Portland Trailblazers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
8-Unit best bet on the Trail Blazers plus the 11.5 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record after the 15th game of the regular season has been played has earned a 78-45-2 ATS for 65% winning bets. If the total in the game is 220 or fewer points our double-digit dog has gone 26-10 for 72% winning bets.

NJ Devils vs Philadelphia Flyers

8-Unit bet on the Devils using the money line currently priced at -140 and is valid up to and including -150

Betting on road favorites between -125 and -150 using the money line that are a slow starting team that is gettig outscored in the first period by an average of 0.2 or more goals and are coming off a game in which they allowed four or more goals has earned a 36-16 record for 69% winners since 2015, averaging a -134 bet and earning a highly profitable 34% ROI.

Texas Tech vs Butler
8-Unit bet on Texas Tech using the money line.

From the predictive model we are looking for Akron to score 78 or more points and make at least 48% of their shots. In past games when Akron scored 78+ points and/or shot 48% from the field they went 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets. If they scored 78+ points and made 80% or more of their free throws they went 36-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.
let’s put 8-Units on Akron.

Akron vs UNLV
8-Unit bet on Akron plus the 3.5 points and is valid down to 2.5 points.

From the predictive model we are looking for Akron to score 78 or more points and make at least 48% of their shots. In past games when Akron scored 78+ points and/or shot 48% from the field they went 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets. If they scored 78+ points and made 80% or more of their free throws they went 36-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.
let’s put 8-Units on Akron.

Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets
8-Unit bet on the Stars using the money line currently at -120 and is good up to -135.

Betting on road favorites between -110 and -150 that are coming off a game where they allowed four or more goals and is a slow starting team getting outscored by .2 or more goals I the first period has gone 64-42 averaging a -122 wager and earning a solid 18% ROI since 2015. If our road favorite has had more days of rest than their host has had, then record improves to 14-6 for 70% averaging a -123 wager and earning a whopping 33% ROI.

Miami vs Kentucky
8-Unit Bet on Kentucky minus the 6 points and is goo up to 7.5

Betting on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are outscoring their foes by 10 or more PPG and led at the half by 20 or more points in their previous game has produced a solid 147-112 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets since 2015. If the game has a total of 160 or more points our favorites have gone 55-22 ATS for 71% winning bets.

From the predictive model we learn that when Kentucky has scored 81 or more points they have gone an impressive 19-0 SU and 15-4 ATS over the past five seasons. Miami is just 2-16 SU and 3-15 ATS when allowing 81 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings
8:15 ET
8-Unit Bet on the Chicago Bears plus the 3 points and is good down to 2.5 points.

Betting on road teams priced between a 3.5-point underdog and favorite that is coming off a road loss but covered the spread and with the game taking place in November has earned an outstanding 21-11 SU (66%) and 24-8 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 1989.

I only like betting the money line in-game if the Vikings score a TD first or go up 10-0 in the first half of action. So, making the 8-Unit bet preflop and then add pizza money sized wager if the Vikings do get off to a solid start.

The Vikings are just 17-23 SU and 11-28-1 ASTS fort 28% winning bets when coming off back-to-back games allowing less than 75 rushing yards in each game. The Vikings allowed 46 rushing yards on 15 attempts top the Broncos last week and 65 rushing yards on 15 attempts to the Saints the week prior to that one. They have also covered the spread in their last six games. Home favorites that are on a five or more-game ats win streak and facing a divisional foe that has won less than 40% of their games have gone just 4-10 ATS for 29% winning bets.

Let’s bet on the Chicago Bears and get the 3 points.

Sun vs Knicks

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Knicks minus the 3-points.

Betting on winning record home teams that are facing a winning record foe that has covered the spread in their last three games priced as a favorite has produced a 89-48 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2015 and if priced as a favorite has produced a 41-19 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets. Let’s bet on the Knicks

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles
4:25 PM EST | FOX
8-Unit Best Bet UNDER the posted total currently priced at 48.5 and is valid down to 47.5 points. However, the betting trends are supportive of the OVER and this has potential to move to 49.5 ahead of kickoff.

Betting the Under in a game played from Week 9 on out and where the home favorite has won at least 80% of their games on the season and is coming off a road upset win has seen the Under go 24-12 for 67% winning bets since 1989.

LA Rams vs Arizona Cardinals
4:05 ET Sunday | FOX
8-UNIT BEST BET on the Rams at pick-em (money line) and use the money line on the Rams whether the market moves to price them as a favorite or underdog.

Betting on a team that has failed to cover the spread in each of their last games and facing a foe that has covered the spread in two consecutive games and in a game priced between the 3’s has gone 31-14-3 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015. If the game is a divisional showdown, our team, the Rams, have gone 16-4-1 ATS for 80% winning bets.

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos
Sunday 4:05 PM EST | FOX
8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 35.5 points

Last week the Browns won a critical game 13-10 at home over their divisional rival Pittsburgh Steelers. They were 1.5-point favorites and were covering the spread for 70% of the game, but needed a late scoring drive by rookie QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson to set up the last second field goal to break a 10-10 tie. They also failed to convert on 13 of 17 third down situations and the two teams combined converted just 7 of 31 third situations. That is not efficient ball control offense no matter you would twist it around and it does carry over in the next game.

Road teams that failed to convert on 13 of or more third down attempts, but still managed to win that game at home have seen the Under go 21-8 for 72.4% winning tickets since 2001. If the total is less than 50 points in these games the Under has gone 19-8 for 70% winning bets. If the matchup is a non-divisional game, the Under then soars to 15-4 for 79% winning bets.

Yale vs Rhode Island
8-Unit bet on Rhode Island plus the 6 points and is valid down to 4.5 points.

The betting flows are favoring more action on Yale and the line could get to 6.5 points later today ahead of the tip.

Betting on home teams as an underdog including pick-em that is shooting 48% or better from the field and is out rebounding their foes by at least 7 per game has gone 28-6 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons and is an amazing 15-1 ATS over the past three seasons for 94% winners.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Pelicans using the money line and they must not be favored.

Betting on away dogs that are playing with revenge from previous loss of three or fewer points and with that foe coming off an upset loss has earned a 43-18 ATS record good for 71% winners since 2016 and our dog is priced at 4.5 or fewer points they soar to a 15-5 ATS mark for 75% winners.

Clemson vs South Carolina
7:30 ET | Saturday
Williams Brice Stadium, Atlanta
8-Unit Best bet on South Carolina plus the 7.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Betting on home underdogs between 3.5 and 12.5 points that are riding a three or more-game win streak and facing a foe that has won at least their previous game and with a total of 50 or more points has gone 44-21-1 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This system has not had a losing season spanning this 10-season slice of games.

SC is 5-6 and needs the win to be bowl eligible and that is far more motivation that what Clemson has to grab a hold of as they conclude their very disappointing season already with four losses. Clemson is 0-7 ATS failing to cover by an average of 13.6 PPG after allowing seven or fewer points in the first half of each of their last two games.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins
8-UNIT best bet on Toronto using the money currently priced as -120 favorites.

Betting on road favorites between -110 and -150 that is a slow starting team getting outscored the first period by an average of 0.2 goals and coming off a poor defensive effort where they allowed four or more goals has gone 72-45 averaging a -122 favorite and earning a highly profitable 21% ROI since 2016.

South Alabama vs Texas State
7 ET | NFL Network | Saturday
Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, TX
8-Unit Best Bet on the UNDER 58.5 points

Betting the Under in conference games with a posted total of 44 or more points and with both teams sporting win percentages between 50 and 60% on the season has gone 53-18 Under for 75% winning bets since 2013.

Betting the Under with a total between 56.5 and 63 points with the home team averaging at least 31 PPG on the season and is coming off a game in which they allowed 50 or more points has earned a 40-20 Under record for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

SA is 14-3 Under following a two-game home stand; 27-12-1 Under when the total has been between 56.5 and 63 points. TXST is 28-9 Under following a double-digit loss to a conference foe; 15-5 Under after a loss of 21 or more points to a conference foe.

Alabama vs Auburn
Iron Bowl | 3:30 ET
8-Unit bet on Auburn +13 points and is good down to 11.5 points.

Auburn head coach Freeze is a solid 31-14 ATS when priced as the dog for his career and 16-4-1 ATS when facing a strong passing attack that is completing 62% or more of their passes.

Betting on home underdogs that are allowing an average of 5.2 to 6.2 YPPL and facing a foe that is an elite offense gaining 6.2 or more YPPL and is coming off two consecutive games gaining an average of 6.2 or more YPPL in each game has earned an outstanding 90-42-2 ATS for 68% winning bets. Not a single unprofitable season over the past 10 seasons.

NJIT vs Wagner
8-Unit bet on NJIT plus the points, currently priced as 8.5 point dogs.

Betting on road dogs of three or more points that average between 65 and 75 PPG and have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last three games and facing a foe is averaging 64 or fewer PPG has earned a solid 28-16-1 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Ohio State vs Michigan
Noon EST, Saturday
10-Unit Best Bet on Ohio State plus the 3 points

Since 1980, there have been 34 games pitting 10 or more-win teams against each other and the DOGS have gone 13-21, but 20-12-2 ATS for 63% winning bets. If both teams have 10 wins exact, the dog has gone 8-8 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% and there have been just three matchups featuring 11-0 teams and the DOG is 3-0 SUATS.

Bet Over OSU points total of 20.5 points -115

Highest scoring half being the second +115

First Half three-way on OSU +150 to be leading at the half.
Note: OSU and Michigan have only been tied three times at the half since 1980 and the three-way line for a tie is only +600, which is horrid value. In those three games that were tied at the half OSU won all three games.

In a matchup of undefeated teams in weeks 12 or 13, the dog has gone 8-10 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets since 1987. If the dog is priced at single-digits, they have gone 7-5 SU and 9-3 ATS for 75% winners.

I absolutely love the OSU defense right now and that is the part of this team no one is talking about. Since allowing 17 points in a 37-17 win over Maryland they have allowed an average of 8.5 PPG over their last six games. They have allowed more than 200 passing yards just one this season and that was back in Week 3 action where they won 63-10 over Western Kentucky and second and third stringers were in the game. So, overall OSU ranks 2nd in scoring defense allowing 9.5 PPG and second to Michigan, who is #1 allowing 9 PPG, but have played a much easier schedule. OSU ranks best nationally with a 0.145 points per play ratio, best allowing 3.9 YPPL, second-best allowing 27% third down conversions, best allowing 4.7 YPPA, and #2 allowing 145 PYPG.

Michigan is not a good passing team ranking 61st averaging 228 YPG so they are going to struggle mightily to move the chains on any third and long situation.

This game could come down a field goal and that is not good news for Michigan, who ranks 124th of 137 D1 programs making just 56% of their attempts this season. OSU ranks 15th converting 88% of their field goal attempts.

From the model we are expecting OSU to score 24 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games OSI when in this role have gone 145-5 SU and 106-40-4 ATS for 73% winners and when priced as the road dog, they are 9-1 ATS for 90% winners.

Alabama vs Ohio State
8-Unit Best bet on Alabama minus the 6.5 points and is valid up to 7.5 points.

Betting on home or neutral court favorites between 2.5 and 7 points that are coming off a win by 24 or more points and scored 90+ points in that win and now playing in a game with a total of 155 or fewer points has produced a 52-10 SU record and 41-19-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons.

UTSA vs Tulane
3:30 ET | ABC
Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
10-UNIT BEST BET on UTSA plus the 3.5 points and is valid if they remain the dog.

Betting on road underdogs that are scoring between 28 and 34 PPG, facing a foe with a defense allowing an average between 16 and 21 PPG, after week 6 of the regular season and is coming off a game in which they scored 24 or more points in the first half has earned a highly profitable 22-10 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team also scored 42 or more points in their previous game, the improve to a stellar 15-6 ATS for 71.4% winners.

Betting on road teams facing a foe that has lost to the spread by 49 or more total points over their last 5 games with the game occurring in weeks 10 through 13 has earned a solid 60-28-1 ASTS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road team has three or fewer losses on the season, they soar to a 23-9-1 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.

UTSA is 14-1 SU when facing a defense allowing 58% or higher completion percentage over the past two seasons; 11-1 SU when facing an elite offense that is gaining 5.9 or more yards per play over the past three seasons.

Edmonton Oilers vs Washington Capitals
3 ET Friday
8-Unit Bet on the Oilers using the money line and is valid bet up to -150.

Betting on favorites up to and including -145 on the money line that have scored three or more goals in five consecutive games and facing a foe that has allowed three or more goals in each of their two previous games has earned a highly profitable 42-24 for 64% winners averaging a -125 wager and earning a highly profitable 22% ROI since the 2015 season.

Stuart Skinner is going to be in goal for the Oilers and he is the preferred net minder for this game today. The Oilers are 37-23 when priced as a road favorite spanning the past three seasons and are 17-8 for 68% averaging a -125 road favorite and earning a 28% ROI over the past three seasons.

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets
3:00 PM EST Friday | Prime Video
8-Unit Best Bet Under the total currently priced at 41 points and is good down to 40 points.

Bet on the Under with a total of 44 or fewer points from week 9 on out and the home team is coming off an embarrassing loss of 21 or more points has produced a 38-22-1 Under record for 63% winning bets since 2013. If that previous blowout loss was on the road to a divisional foe, the Under has gone 14-8-1 for 64% winning bets since 2009. If the matchup see the home team with a losing record while the guest has a winning record improves the Under record to 11-4 for 73% winning bets since 2013.

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic
2:30 PM EST NBA TV Friday

8-Unit Bet on the Celtics minus the 6 points and is valid up to and including 6.5 points.

Betting on road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are revenging a previous loss to the current foe, who scored 100 or more points in that loss, the foe is also coming off a home win where they scored 115 or more points has earned a solid 47-25-3 ATS for 65% winning bets.

UNCA vs Lipscome
8-Unit best Bet on UNCA minus the 3.5 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

Betting on home or neutral court favorites between 2.5 and 7 points that are coming off a win by 24 or more points and scored 90+ points in that win and now playing in a game with a total of 155 or fewer points has produced a 52-10 SU record and 41-19-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons.

Miami (FLA) vs Boston College
Alumni Stadium Chestnut Hill, MA
Noon ET | ABC | Friday

8-Unit Bet Under 49 points and is valid down to 47.5 points. Again, it is unlikely the price will move down that much ahead of kickoff.

ESPN Bet is currently offering 49.5 at -105 vig
I also like betting 6 units Under at that price and then look to add 2-Units at 51.5 or higher in the first half of action.

Betting the Under with a total of 54 or fewer points in a matchup of conference foes has gone 28-10 for 74% winning bets since 2013. There was just one losing season in 2016 when this system went 1-0 OVER, so this is a proven money-making betting system that can be counted on to make more profits in the seasons coming up.

Miami head coach Cristobal is 21-7 Under for 75% when favored between 3.5 and 10 points for his career. Miami is 40-20 Under after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State
7:30 PM EST Thanksgiving Day
8-UNIT Best Bet on Mississippi State plus the 10 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too.

Ole Miss is on a 2-9 ATS streak following a game in which forced no more than a single turnover. Betting on home underdogs between +155 and +325 on the money line that are coming of a game in which they did not commit a turnovers and now facing a foe that has committed no more than a single turnover in each of their two previous games has gone 23-17 SU averaging a +198 money line wager and earning a highly profitable 92% ROI.

Miss State needs the qin to become bowl eligible and there are 8 returning starters on that offense that will want to do just that especially against their state rival Ole Miss squad. I think that motivating factor for State is significant and may be the edge that gets them within single digits and a possible win.

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions
12:30 PM ET | FOX
8-Unit Best Bet on the Lions minus the 7.5 points and is valid up to -9, but that is unlikely to happen.

Betting on favorites of 3 or more points and facing a divisional foe, are coming off a win, the last two games went OVER the total, and the last three games have seen the total lower than the previous game has gone 26-13-1 ATS for 67% winning bets. This total is priced at 47 points, last week the total was 48 points and week prior to that one the total was 48.5 points.

We were on the Chicago Bears as a 7.5-point dog and they were leading by 6 points entering the fourth quarter against the Lions, who came from behind and won the game. Teams that have exceeded their team scoring total line by more than 10 points over their last two games and are favored by four or more points against a divisional foe and are coming off a come from behind win in which they were trailing by 6 or more points at the start of the fourth quarter have gone 17-9-1 ATS for 65.4% winning bets.

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Lakers
10:30 PM EST

8-Unit Bet on Dallas minus the 2.5 points and is valid up to 3.5 points.

Betting on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a 49-25 ATS record good for 66.2% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. If a conference matchup these favorites soar to 33-12 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Las Vegas vs Dallas
8-Unit UNDER the posted total of 6 goals

Betting the Under in a game priced at 6 or more goals, the road team is priced as no more than 150 underdog and has allowed three or more goals in each of his last three games and now facing a foe that has scored three or more goals in each of their last three games has earned a 56-29 Under record good for 66% winning bets since 2017. This system has made significant profits in every season since 2017. The Under is the Bet.

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic
7 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Nuggets minus the 3.5 points

Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 95 points that are revenging loss in which the opponent scored at least 100 points and that opponent is coming off a home win scoring at least 115 points has earned a 47-24-3 ATS or 66% winners.

Michigan Vs Memphis
5 EST Wednesday
8-Unit Bet on Memphis using the money line.

Memphis is off to a solid 3-0 start to the season and have shot over 50% from the field in two of the games and allowed 33% or lower shooting in two of those contests as well. Michigan is coming off a horrid 94-86 loss to Long Beach State priced as a fifteen-point favorite. Memphis head coach Hardaway is 27-14 ATS following three or more consecutive wins and 21-10 ATS when facing a team that is outscoring their foes by 12 or more PPG.

From the predictive playbook we learn that Michigan is 34-75 ATS when they have allowed 75 or more points. Memphis is 9-2 ATS when they have committed 10 to 13 turnovers. So, the predictive mode is expecting Memphis to scire 75 or more points and to commit fewer than 13 turnovers.

Cavaliers vs 76ers
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers -7.5 points and is valid up to 9.5 points

Betting on favorites between 6.5 and 9.5 points that are coming off back-to-back double-digit win and are outscoring their opponents by 8 or more PPG and with a win percentage at least 10 percentages higher than the current foe has produced a 41-7 SU record and 33-16-1 ATS for 67.3% winning bets since 2016.

Teams that are coming off a 20+ point win and are outscoring their foes by 9 or more PPG and are priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-ppoint favorite has gone 128-76 ATS since 1996.

Eagles vs Chiefs
8:15 ET | ESPN
Arrowhead Stadium
8-Unit Best Bet on the Eagles plus the 2.5 points.

The Chiefs have had 23 games – most in the NFL - among 49 played since 2021 that they and their opponent both had 7 or more-point leads in the same game. So, this lends itself to multiple lead changes for this game against the Eagles. They are both the best team currently in the NFL and do think there will be lead changes during the first half of action. So, let the scoring volatility work for you and consider betting 70% on the Eagles preflop and then if KC scores the first TD of the game and it occurs during the first half of action then add the 30% remaining balance on the Eagles.

Betting on road underdogs that have gained 7 or more yards per pass in each of their last two games and facing a host that allowed 5.5 or fewer yards per pass in their previous game has earned highly profitable 53-25-2 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our dog is priced between 2 and 7.5 points, they have gone on to a 38-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.

Player Props
Under Travis Kelce 7.5 receptions -135
Over Mahomes passing attempts 37.5 -118 at FanDuel

Over Swift rushing and passing yards 77.5 at FanDuel.

Heat vs Bulls
8:00 PM EST
8-Unit best Bet on the UNDER 208.5 points.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has earned a 140-87-9 record for 62% winning bets since 2017. If our team is on the road in a game with a posted total of 215 or fewer points and is priced between a 3-dog and a 3-point favorite, the Under has gone 43-21-1 for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Rangers vs Stars

8-Unit bet on the Stars using the money line currently priced at -125 and is valid up to and including -150

Betting on home favorites between -110 and -150 on the money line that is coming off a loss by three or more goals and facing a foe that has scored 3 or more goals in each of their last two games has earned a 247-140 record averaging a -1390 bet and earning an outstanding 23% ROI. If that foe scored 4 or more goals in each of their past two games, the record improves to a highly profitable 104-54 record for 66% and earning a 28% ROI.

Vikings vs Broncos

8:20 PM EST Sunday Night FB

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver

10-Unit best Bet on the Denver Broncos -2.5 points and is good up to and including -4.5 points.

Betting on losing record teams from Week 9 on out that are facing a foe that has won 50 to 60% of their games and coming off an upset home win have produced a remarkable 18-13 SU record and 25-5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. If our team is playing at home, their record has been 15-7 SU and 17-4-1 ATS for 81% winning bets. If the game has a total of 45 or fewer points, our team regardless of home or away situation have gone 14-11 SU and 21-3-1 ATS for 88% winning bets.

Betting on home teams using the money line that are on a 3 or more-game Under streak, is scoring between 17.5 and 23 points per game and facing a foe that is allowing 17.5 to 23 PPG from Week 9 on has earned a highly profitable 32-13 SU and 31-13-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

76ers vs Nets
8-Unit best bet on the Nets +3.5 points and is good down to 2.5 points. Betting on teams in a game pricing them between a 4-point dog to 4-point favorite that is facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by at least 7.5 PPG and with that foe seeing their last three games have at least 220 points scored in each one has earned a 27-12 ATS record for 69% winning bets since 2018.

Chargers vs Packers
1 ET | FOX
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
8-Unit Best Bet on the UNDER 43.5 points and good down to 42.5 points.

Green Bay head coach LeFleur is 23-12 Under when coming off a road game and 26-15-1 Under when facing a below average pass defense that is allowing 64% or more completions on the season.

Teams coming off a game in which they made two or more fourth down conversions and were 100% on all fourth down situations have seen the Under go 42-18-2 for 70% winning bets since 2001. This system has been at .500 or better since 2012 posting an impressive 28-10-1 Under for 74% winning bets.

Since Justin Herbert’s first start for the Chargers, the franchise has suffered their 13th loss by three or fewer points. The Bengals lead the NFL since 2020 with 14 losses by a field goal or less. The Chargers defense will play better against the Packers offense that ranks 21st in the league scoring an average of 19.9 PPG. The Chargers rank third allowing just 34% 3rd down conversions. From the predictive model, we learn that the Chargers are 11-5 Under for 69% winners in games in which they allowed 35% or lower third down conversions over the past three season.

Vikings vs Broncos
8:20 PM EST Sunday Night FB
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver
10-Unit best Bet on the Denver Broncos -2.5 points and is good up to and including -4.5 points.

Betting on losing record teams from Week 9 on out that are facing a foe that has won 50 to 60% of their games and coming off an upset home win have produced a remarkable 18-13 SU record and 25-5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. If our team is playing at home, their record has been 15-7 SU and 17-4-1 ATS for 81% winning bets. If the game has a total of 45 or fewer points, our team regardless of home or away situation have gone 14-11 SU and 21-3-1 ATS for 88% winning bets.

Cardinals vs Texans
1:00 ET | CBS
NRG Stadium, Houston
8-Unit Bet on the Cardinals plus the 6 points

The following betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 28-16-2 ATS record for 64% winners over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points

·      Game is taking place from Week 9 on to the end of the regular season.

·      Our dog is facing a foe has a winning record in the current season.

·      That foe is coming off an upset win.

·      That foe won six or fewer games in their previous season.

If we drill down a bit further int the database and include games that had a posted total of 42.5 or more points has earned a highly profitable 16-7-2 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Bears vs Lions
1 ET | FOX
Ford Field, Detroit
8-Unit Bet on the Bears plus the 7.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points. If any line movements occurs, I see it going to +8.

Consider betting 75% on the Bears preflop and then look for the Lions to score the first TD of the game and then bet the Live line with the remaining 25% amount.

Betting on dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are facing a foe that has gained at least 400 total yards in each of their last two games and are outgaining their foes by at least 50 yards per game on the season has earned an outstanding 88-44 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game occurs in the second half of the season, from Week 9 on, our team’s record is 42-26-2 ATS for 62% winning bets and if favored between 3.5 and 6.5 points have earned a solid 24-11-1 ASTS mark for 69% winning bets.

Chicago has the second-best rush defense in the NFL allowing 76 RYPG and have held their last seven foes to less than 100 RY. Five of the last six opponents have been held to less than 50 RY and only the Saints gained more (87) over this span. The Lions will struggle to run the ball period. What is more impressive is that the Bears average 9.4 blitzes per game, which is below the league average of 10.25 blitzes per game. So, the Bears safeties can focus on bracketing receivers and especially tight ends. The Lions have a very good TE in Sam LaPorta, who is second on the team with 47 receptions on 64 targets and gaining 474 yards. Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (65 catches) and LaPorta account for 46% of the team’s total completions and also account for 151 of the team’s 307 targets of 49%.

Betting on road dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that have allowed fewer than 1200 rushing yards in each of their previous three games has earned a 27-6 ATS record for 82% winning bets since 2018. If our team averages fewer than 10 blitzes per game, these road warriors soar to a remarkable 17-2 ATS  record for 90% winning bets.

Cardinals vs Texans
1:00 ET | CBS
NRG Stadium, Houston
8-Unit Bet on the Cardinals plus the 6 points

The following betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 28-16-2 ATS record for 64% winners over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points

·      Game is taking place from Week 9 on to the end of the regular season.

·      Our dog is facing a foe has a winning record in the current season.

·      That foe is coming off an upset win.

·      That foe won six or fewer games in their previous season.

If we drill down a bit further int the database and include games that had a posted total of 42.5 or more points has earned a highly profitable 16-7-2 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Cardinals vs Texans
1:00 ET | CBS
NRG Stadium, Houston
8-Unit Bet on the Cardinals plus the 6 points

The following betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 28-16-2 ATS record for 64% winners over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points

·      Game is taking place from Week 9 on to the end of the regular season.

·      Our dog is facing a foe has a winning record in the current season.

·      That foe is coming off an upset win.

·      That foe won six or fewer games in their previous season.

If we drill down a bit further int the database and include games that had a posted total of 42.5 or more points has earned a highly profitable 16-7-2 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Syracuse vs Georgia Tech
Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta
8:00 ET
8-Unit Best Bet on Syracuse plus the 6.5 points

Consider betting the Orange with 60% of your normal betting amount for an 8-Unit Titan. Then if the first score of the game is a TD by GT add 30% on the LIVE in-game line. Next, add the remaining 10% if GT earns the first two scores of the game by two TDs or a TD followed by a FG or even a safety. The next scenario for either the 30% or the 10% is to bet Syracuse if they lose the lead during the first half of action.

Betting on teams that allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that is coming off a loss by 17 or more points has earned a 345-86 SU record and a 249-175-7 ATS mark good for 59% winning bets since 2009. If we drill down and filter that our team is on the road, their record improves to 163-47 (78%) and 138-70-2 ATS for 66% winning bets. If then add in only those games with a total between 50 and 54.5 points their record soars to a remarkable 48-10 SU (83%) and 43-15 ATS mark for 74% winning tickets. If our team is a dog of 2.5 or more points, they have gone 9-1 ATS for 90% winners.

Both teams need the win to be bowl eligible and Syracuse does have a winnable game against Wake Forest in their finale. G-Tech has No. 1 Georgia on deck and no chance to win that game so there is a lot on the line for both programs. I like what I saw out of the Orange offense last week in their 28-13 road win over Pittsburgh scoring 21 points in the second half and hold Pitt scoreless. Granted, it was on a neutral field, but nevertheless the Orange looked solid on both sides of the ball, and I see that positive development carrying over to this game as well.

Oregon vs Arizona State
4:00 PM EST
Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
8-Unit best Bet on ASU plus the 24.5 points

•        23-10 ATS for 70% winning tickets since 2006.

•       If our team is playing at home

4-3 SU | 6-1 ATS (86%) since 2015

LIVE in-game strategy is to bet 80% preflop at +24.5 and then look for Oregon to score a touchdown and look to get the remaining 20% at 27.5 or more points during the first half of action.

UCLA vs USC
3:30 ET
LA Memorial Coliseum
8-UNIT BET Under the posted total currently priced at 63.5 points and is valid down to 61.5 points.

Betting the Under in a game where one of the teams has seen their last seven games play Under the posted total by 46 or more points and has a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season has gone 70-36 for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team is on the road and facing a conference foe, the Under has gone a remarkable 32-8 for 80% winning bets spanning the past five seasons.

No.3 Michigan vs Maryland
SECU Stadium, College Park, MD
12:00 ET
8-Unit Best Bet on Maryland plus the 18.5 points and sprinkle the money line.

Undefeated teams play on the road as a conference favorite and facing a host that Has won 60% or more of their games from Week 10 on out have gone 46-61-1 ATS for 57% winners and if the host is coming off a conference win and covered the spread by 7 or fewer points has earned a 5-10 ATS mark for 33% winners. So, fading these undefeated teams is the way to go late in the regular season.

From the predictive model, we learn that Maryland has gone 8-2 ATS as a home dog when they have had fewer turnovers than the guest and 12-6 ATS when having the same or fewer turnovers.

Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz

10:00 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on the Suns minus the 5.5 points and is valid up to 6.5 points.

Betting on road favorites between -3.5 and -9.5 points that saw their previous game play over the total by 18 or more points and has seen their last 10 games play over by a combined 48 or more points has earned a 56-15 SU record and 45-25-1 ATS for 64.3% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the host is playing on two days of rest exact, our road favorites have gone a perfect 7-0 SUATS.

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Suns to score at least 117 points and have the better assist-turnover ratio. In past games in which they met these performance measures has seen them go on to a 47-7 SU record and 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the past three seasons.

Bet the Suns.

Iowa vs Arkansas State
8:00 ET
8-Unit best bet on Iowa minus the 20.5 points and is valid up to and including -21.5 points

Betting on home favorites that have scored 80 or more points in each of their two previous games and facing a foe that scored 85 or more points in their previous game has earned a 115-70 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total in these games is 160 or more points our favorites have earned a solid 14-6 ATS record for 70% winning bets.

Same system applies to betting on Eastern Kentucky.

Philadelphia vs Atlanta
8-Unit best bet on the Hawks in a game priced at pick-em and is valid up to the Hawks being favored by 1.5 points.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and underdog that are facing a foe that has seen their last three games each play over 220 points and are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG has earned a 58-21 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. If our team is playing at home they have produced a 38-17 SU and 38-14 ATS record good for 74% winning bets and if priced from pick-em to +3.5 points 27-10 SU and 30-7 ATS for 81% winning bets.

Tennessee Martin vs Eastern Kentucky
7:00 EST
8-Unit best Bet on the EKU minus the 8 points and is valid up to -9 points.

Betting on home favorites that have scored 80 or more points in each of their two previous games and facing a foe that scored 85 or more points in their previous game has earned a 115-70 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total in these games is 160 or more points our favorites have earned a solid 14-6 ATS record for 70% winning bets.

Cincinnati vs Baltimore
Thursday
8-Unit Best bet on the OVER 46.5 points

First, this is not a bet on the OVER because the Under in proime time games has hit at historical extreme win percentages. Since Week 2 action when the Over went 13-3 for 81% winning bets, the Under had not gone less than 50% in any week until last week when the Over went 8-5 for 62% winning tickets. However, in prime time games, the Under continued its meteoric win percentage going 3-0 Under marking the third consecutive week that all three prime games played Under their respective totals. For the season, the Under is 25-7 for 78% winning bets in prime time spots, which is the highest win percentage since the 2012 season when the Under went 28-14 for 67% in these prime time games.

Betting OVER the total in a game where one of the teams is coming off a three or fewer point loss to a divisional rival and with the game taking place in the second half of the season has earned an outstanding 31-8-1 record for 80% winning tickets over the past five seasons. If the current game is against divisional foes, then the Over record has been 13-3 for 81% winning bets over the past five seasons. Even if the loss was by 7 or fewer points and this is another divisional matchup, the Over has gone 23-9 for 72% winning bets.

Live in-Game betting Strategy: I suggest considering to make a preflop bet of 75% of your normal bet size and then look to add 25% more at 42.5 points during the first half of action.

Cleveland vs Portland

Moda Center, Portland, OR
10:00 ET

8-Unit Best bet on Portland if they are a double-digit underdog

Betting on teams playing on back-to-back nights and are coming of three consecutive road losses has gone 36-42 SU and 53-23-2 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2016. If they are playing at home, their record improves to 17-16 SU and 22-10-1 ATS for 69% winning bets and if priced as a 7 or more-point underdog has produced a terrific 24-9-1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets.

Kraken vs Oilers

8-Unit bet on the Kraken using the money line,

currently priced at +160 and is good down to +135.

Betting on road dogs between 115 and 200 on the money line that have allowed four or more goals in each of their last two games and facing a oe that allowed no more than one goal in their previous game has earned an outstanding 106-121 record for 47% averaging a whopping +152 dog bet and earning a highly profitable 17% ROI over the past 15 seasons. If our dog is priced between 115 and +155, they improve to 68-62 averaging a +137 wager and earning a 22% ROI.

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia

7:05 ET

8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the 4.5 points

Betting on any team that is facing a foe that is coming off back-to-back double-digit wins over divisional foes and has won at least 75% of their games on the season has earned a solid 31-26 SU record and 53-23 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 1996. If our team is the host and it is a divisional matchup has seem them go 11-2 ATS for 85% winning bets since 1996.

Merrimack vs Ohio State

7 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on Ohio State minus the 23.5 points and is valid up to and including 26 points.

Betting on double-digit favorites that are taking on a non-conference foe that had a winning record last season and is coming off a road upset win has earned a solid and consistent 75-5 SU and 51-25-4 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games is not greater than 140 points, these favorites produce big profits going 31-1 SU and 21-7-4 ATS for 75% winning bets. Bet Ohio State and lay the wood.

Buffalo vs Miami (Ohio)

7 ET, Wednesday

8-Unit Best bet on the Buffalo Bulls plus the 9

points and is valid if the price stays above 8

points.

Betting on a road team that has struggled to win 25 to 40% of their games, facing a winning record host and has seen their last three games play Under the total by at least 21 points in total has earned a solid 86-56-2 ATS for 61% winners since 2014. If the host has covered at least 5 of their last 6 games ATS, our road warriors have gone 11-5-1 ATS for 69% winning bets.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
10 PM | Chase Center, San Francisco
8-Unit best Bet on the Warriors minus the 1.5 points and is valid up to and including 3.5 points.

Betting on teams that have lost their last two games priced as the favorite and facing a foe that they lost to in their previous meeting and are priced between a 3.5-point favorite or underdog has earned a 49-28 SU record and 50-27 ATS mark for 65% winning bets since 2016. If the home team they have gone 25-11 SU and 26-10 ATS for 72.2% winning bets.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 7.5 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 28-11 SUATS for 72% winning bets since 2014. The clincher is if the game is priced with a total of 221 or fewer points, these home teams have gone 11-1 SUATS for 92% winning bets since 2014.

No.1 Kansas vs. No. 17 Kentucky
9:30 PM | Champions Classic, Chicago, IL
United Center
10-Unit Best Bet on Kansas minus the 6.5 points and is valid up to and including -7.5 points. I do believe if there is any market movement, the price will get cheaper to bet Kansas. So, look for -6 or lower throughout the day.

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points in the first 10 games of the regular season, both teams won at least 60% of their games last season, and our favorite has 3 or more returning starters than their foe has earned a 36-12-1 ATS record for 75% winners and 44-5 SU mark. So, consider betting 80% of your normal bet size preflop and then look to get on Kansas with the remaining 20% at -2.5 or even pick-em knowing this system has gone 44-5 SU!

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 8.5 points playing on a neutral court that are coming off back-to-back wins by 20 or more points and scored at least 90 points in their last game have gone 31-18-1 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Ranked teams that made 15 more field than their previous two foes are 60-8 SU and 38-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2006. If they are favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points have gone to a remarkable 20-2 SU and 18-3-1 ATS for 86% winning bets since 2006.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans
8 PM | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
8-Unit Best Bet on the Pelicans plus the 3.5 points and is valid if the Pelicans remain the underdog.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 55-21 ATS for 72.4% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home as the dog, they have gone to a 23-9 SU record and 25-7 ATS mark for 78% winning bets since 2018. If the game has a total of 230 or more points, these home dogs have gone 9-1 ATS and SU for 90% winning bets.

Golden Knights vs Capitals
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
7:00 PM | NHLPP|ESPN+
8-Unit best Bet on the Knights using the money line.

Betting on teams coming off a home shutout win over a divisional foe and facing an opponent coming off a road win over a divisional foe has earned an outstanding 79-40 record for 66.4% winners averaging a -124 wager and earning a 22% ROI. If our team is on the road, their record improves to 33-19 for 64% and has earned a 33% ROI.

Betting on road teams that are well-rested playing their second game in the past five days and has won 70% or more of their games played in the first half of the season has earned a 32-13 record for 71% winners and has earned a highly profitable 42% ROI in games bet over the past five seasons.

Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois
7 PM | ESPNU
Huskie Stadium, Dekalb, IL
8-Unit best Bet on Northern Illinois minus the

From the predictive models we are looking for Northern Illinois to sacore at least 30 points and gain at least 7.5 yards per pass tonight. In past home games in which NIU achieved these measures has led them to a highly profitable 54-10 and 46-18 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2006 and 9-3 ATS over the past 5 seasons. They are also 13-5-1 ATS for 72% when scoring 30 or more points and their foe had 60 or more penalty yards called over the past five seasons.

Take Northern Illinois

Toledo vs Bowling Green
Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH

7:00 PM ESPN2
8-Unit best bet on Blowing Green plus the 10.5 points and is valid down to 9.5 points.

Betting on home dogs that have won three straight games that are taking on a foe that is coming off one or more consecutive wins has gone 95-61-2 ATS for 61% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our dog is priced between 3.5 and 12 points, they have gone to a 57-30-1 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games has been 50 or more points, our home dogs have gone 43-20-1 ATS for 68.3% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Bet Bowling Green.

Colorado Avalanche vs Seattle Kracken
10:00 PM Climate Pledge Arena
8-Unit best bet on the Avalanche using the money line and is valid up to -170.

Betting on road favorites between -110 and -150 on the money line that are coming off a game in which they allowed four or more goals and is a rather slow starting team getting outscored by 0.2 or more goals in the first period of action have produced a 72-44 record averaging a -124 wager and earning a 19% ROI since 2015. If the line does move above -150 as required by this system will not invalidate the bet on the Avalanche. These systems support the gradings and metrics produced by my predictive models.

NY Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers
8:30 PM Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
8-Unit Best Bet on the Islanders using the money line and is valid down to +140.

Betting on road dogs from +100 to +180 that have allowed four or more goals in each of their past two games and is facing a foe that that allowed no more than one goal in their previous game has earned a highly profitable 114-120 record averaging a +141 wager and earning a 16% ROI in matches played since 2011. If priced between a 120 and 160 dog, they have produced an even 65-65 record, but by averaging a +140 wager has earned a 20% ROI since 2011.

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills
Highmark Park, Orchard Park, NY
8:15 PM ABC/ESPN
8-Unit Best Bet on the Broncos plus the 7 points and good at 6 points. I do not see this line moving ahead of kickoff.

Bet on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are struggling on defense allowing 28 or more PPG have gone 75-36-3 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2015. If our road dog is in a matchup against a conference foe, their record soars to 57-21-1 ATS for 73% winners and if we drill further and include only games with a total of less than 50 points these dogs are a remarkable 43-13-1 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2015.

Betting on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a game in which they committed no more than a single turnover and facing a foe that has not forced a turnover in two consecutive games has earned a robust 21-21 SU record and 33-9 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game occurs from Week 8 on out these dogs have garnered a wealth-building 24-4 ATS mark good for 86% winning bets.

Florida International vs Miami (Fla)
Watsco Center, Coral Gables
7 PM
8-UNit best bet on FIU at 20 or more points

Miami is the 13th ranked team in the nation, but the models are suggesting this is just too many points to be giving FIU. This line opened at -20 and has quickly risen to 23 and even 23.5 at some books currently. I suggest betting 50% now and add the remaining 50% amount within the last hour till the tipoff.

Betting on double-digit road dogs that are coming off a horrid game losing by 15 or more points and were priced as the favorites has produced an 22-176 SU record, but a 138-58-2 ATS result for 70.4% winning bets.

Michigan vs St. Johns
6:30 PM | Madison Square Garden
8-Unit best Bet on Michigan +2.5 points and is valid down to pick-em.

This is part of the Gavitt Tipoff games. Betting on teams priced between the 3’s in the first 10 games of the regular season after leading their previous two games by at least 10 or more points at the half and have only two returning starters has produced a 120-64 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

St. Johns is just 1-7 ATS in home games after playing a game priced as the favorite; 3-10 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite; 1-10 ATS in home games after one or more wins.

Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors

8:30 PM, Chase Center
8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the 1.5 or money line, whichever is cheaper at your book.

Bet on teasms that are facing a foe that is coming off three straight games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one, that foe is outscoring their opponents by at least 6 PPG and the line is priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5 point underdog has gone 55-20 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home the record soars to 37-13 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing on no more than a single day of rest, they get even better producing a 29-9 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets since 2018.

Take the Warriors today.

Vancouver vs Montreal
8-Unit Best Bet on Montreal using the money line

Bet on any team using the money line that is facing a streaking team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games and is playing their third road game in the past four days has earned a highly profitable 24-11 record for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons averaging a +122 wager and earning a 50% ROI. Bet Montreal in this one.

NY Giants vs Dallas Cowboys
AT&T Stadium, Dallas
4:25 PM | FOX
10-Unit best bet OVER the posted total of 38.5 points

I also like betting the Over Giant and Cowboys team totals for no more than 2-units each. If elect to do those two bets, then reduce the 10-UNIT Game total to a 7-Unit bet.

Another option is to bet 70% of your bet size preflop on the Over, and then look for a slower than expected start and add the remaining 30% betting amount at 33.5 points.

Let’s get right to it. Betting on the Over in a game with a total of 39.5 or fewer points in the second meeting of a same-season divisional matchup, the line is double-digits has earned a 14-8-1 record for 64% winning bets.

The Cowboys rank third in the NFL scoring an average of 27.5 PPG for the season and 37 PPG in home games. The Giants rank dead last averaging just 11.22 PPG but have averaged 14.8 PPG in their road games. Over the past three seasons, the Cowboys have averaged 32.8 PPG at home ranking best in the NFL by more than 3-points.

Betting Over with a game total between 35.5 and 42 points, with a home team that is averaging an excellent 6.7 to 7.25 yards per pass, gained at least 7 yards per pass attempt in their previous game and facing a struggling passing team averaging 5.3 or fewer yards per pass attempt has seen the Over go 26-12 for 68% winning bets since 1994 and is 6-0 Over the past 10 seasons.

Betting the Over with a game total between 35.5 and 42 points with one of the teams getting outscored by four or more PPG and is coming off five consecutive Under results has earned a 31-18-2 record for 63.3% winning bets since 1994 and 18-7-1 Over if that team is on a 6-game Under streak. If on a 7-game Under streak, which the Giants are currently on the Over is 5-1.

McCarthy is on an 8-1 Over streak in home games when facing a divisional foe.

From the predictive playbook, the Cowboys are 9-2 Over for 82% when averaging at least 7 YPPA over their past five seasons. 85% probability that the Cowboys average at least 7 YPPA.

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks
Lumen Field, Seattle
4:25 PM | FOX
8-Unit Best bet on the Washington Commanders plus the 6 points and is valid bet down to 4.5 points, although I do not see any significant change in the market ahead of kickoff.

Betting on road teams in a conference matchup that are facing home favorites of not more than 6-points that are coming off a humiliating loss by 28 or more points and with a total of 46 or fewer points has earned a highly profitable 38-19-2 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. The best of all is the fact that these wounded teams have gone 0-12 ATS and 2-10 SU over the past 10 seasons. A rare situation, but one that has significant analytical meaning (p-Value and others)

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
4:05 PM | CBS
8-Unit best bet on the Under 43.5 points

Betting on the Under from Week 9 on out with s home team that is coming off a terrible loss by 21 or more points and a total of 44 or fewer points has earned a solid 38-19-1 record for 67% winning tickets. If that horrid loss was on the road, the Under record improves to 32-14-1 for 70% winning bets.

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars
EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
1:00 PM | FOX
8-Unit best bet on the Under 45.5 points

Betting the Under in a game priced between the 3’s, with one of the teams having lost to the spread in three straight games and facing a foe that has won their last two games ATS has gone 30-17 for 64% winning tickets since 2015. If one of the teams has lost 3 straight ATS and the foe has won three straight the Under has gone 14-8 for 64% winners.

Home teams that are coming off the BYE and facing a foe that is also coming off their BYE has seen the Under go 70-57 for 55%. If the total is between 42 and 49 points, the Under has gone 25-17 for 60% winners. The clincher is the fact that in a game that features two winning record teams both coming off the BYE week, the Under is a stellar 22-9 for 71% winning bets.

UAB vs Maryland
8-Unit Best bet on Maryland minus the points, currently priced at -5 and is good up -7.5 points.

Bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have three or more returning starters than the foe and with both teams having won 60 to 80% of their games in the previous season has earned a 33-10 record good for 77% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

USC vs Oregon
8-Unit best bet on USC plus the 15.5 points and is good as long as USC is a double-digit underdog.

This is an insane amount of points to be giving USC, who has stumbled lately, and who is getting mispriced because of Oregon’s monster blowout win of Cal last week (Oregon was our PAC-12 MAX Bet of the Month).

Before the season began, the Circa had this game priced as Oregon favored by just two points and this meteoric rise is presenting a terrific betting opportunity. USC has not covered the spread in seven straight games and the OVER has won the money in these games.

Betting on road teams using the money line that allowed 42 or more points in their last game and have outscored their foes by 7 or more points in the first half of action has earned a 60-33 record for 65% winning bets and has made a highly profitable 42 units on the money line.

From the predictive model we learn that USC is 18-4 ATS for 82% winning bets when they have scored 31 or more points and won the turnover battle in games played over the past five seasons.

Texas vs TCU

Amon G. Carter Stadium, Forth Worth, TX
7:30 PM EST | ABC
8-Unit Best bet on the Texas Longhorns minus the 12.5 points

Betting on a ranked double-digit favorite facing an unranked foe. Our favorite is gaining an average of 4.8 yards per rush, outgained their previous foe by 125 or more yards on the ground, is now facing an average ground attack averaging 4.3 to 4.8 YPRA has earned a solid 34-20-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Betting road favorites between 10 and 21.5 points that have won four of their last 5 games with the current game taking place in November has earned a 49-6 SU record and 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.