All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
08-12-20 | Twins v. Brewers +125 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers The machine learning toolshed projects that the Brewers will score in at least three innings and have one multiple run inning. IN past games where the Brewers have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 206-85 record for 71% winning bets and a 47% ROI since 2016. Under the same measures and installed as a dog they have gone 105-42 for 71.4% winners and a 62% ROI. Brewers are 40-18 (+19.2 units-per-unit bet) using the money line with a tired bullpen after three straight games throwing more than four innings in games played over the last three seasons. Take the Brewers |
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08-12-20 | Raptors v. 76ers +6.5 | Top | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Toronto vs Philadelphia
6:30 PM EST, 08-12-20
Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the point spread and a 2.5* amount using the money line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even if the games are played in a ‘bubble’. This is not a play because Embiid has been cleared to play just to be clear.
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08-11-20 | A's +146 v. Angels | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers
9:40 PM EST, 08-11-20
Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the money line and a 2.5* amount using the run line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even a 60-game sprint season. Here is a betting system that has earned a 56-15 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on NL home favorites between -125 and -175 inclusive sporting a team slugging percentage of at least 0.440 and an OBP of at 0.300 or WORSE over the last 15 games.
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08-10-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | Top | 121-124 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Denver vs Lakers 9:00 PM EST, 08-10-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-9 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and coming off a game that the combined score eclipsed the posted total by at least 30 points. The Lakers have done well against low-pressure intensity style of defenses and are 22-9 ATS when facing a team like the Nuggets, who force an opponent into less than 14 turnovers per game this season.
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08-10-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz The machine learning toolshed projects that the Mavs will shoot at least 43% form the field and at least 35% from three-point territory, and score at least 111 points. In past games where the Mavs have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 283-62-9 ATS record good for 82% winning bets since 2000; 23-7 ATS in the current season. Take the Mavs. |
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08-09-20 | Nets +13 v. Clippers | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs LA Clippers
9:00 PM EST, 08-09-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 66-29 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on underdogs of 10 or more points in a non-conference matchup and is a well-rested team playing six or fewer games in the past 14 days of action.
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08-09-20 | Reds +111 v. Brewers | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers The machine learning toolshed projects that the Reds will score in at least three innings and have at least one multiple-run-inning game. When they have met or exceeded these projections as a road dog they have earned an outstanding 256-98 record for 72% winning bets since 2004 and 18-3 for 86% wins since the start of the 2019 season. Here is a super betting system that has had elite winning performance with a 77-28 record and 73% winning bets spanning over the last five seasons. Play against home teams that are batting under 0.250 for the seasons and with an OBP of 0.285 on the season and now facing an elite NL starting pitcher sporting a 3.10 ERA or lower and a WHIP of 1.25 or lower on the season. Take the Reds. |
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08-08-20 | Yankees v. Rays +135 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 135 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees The machine learning toolshed projects that the Rays will have at least two multiple-run-innings and when they have done that in home games they are 236-75 for 76% winning bets since 2004. Here are a few team tendencies that support the Rays in this matchup. They are an outstanding 33-20 (+24.2 units per unit wagered) against the money line when facing a team with a good bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.45 or better in games played spanning the last three seasons. They are also a solid 27-16 (+21.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last three seasons. The left-handed Jalen Beeks will start this game probably and it does not matter, who starts, the bet is still valid. This is his first start of the season following five appearances and sports a 4.00 ERA. I think he will be used once through the lineup as the Rays did so many times last season. So, this is more of a play favoring the Ray hitters over the Yankee batters. Take the Rays. |
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08-08-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
3:30 PM EST, 08-08-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 68-20 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs off an ATS win installed as an underdog and are now in a game with both teams winning between 60% to 75% of their games on the season. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 237-56-4 ATS for 81% winning bets. |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -1 | Top | 122-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics
9:00 PM EST, 08-07-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-8 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game and is a solid team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a winning record. Machine learning projects that the Raptors will score 111 or more points and have at least 14 offensive rebounds. In past games in which the Raptors met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 61-27 ATS record for 69% winning bets. |
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08-05-20 | Brewers +113 v. White Sox | Top | 1-0 | Win | 113 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Milwaukee Brewers vs the Chicago White Sox
8:10 PM EST, 08-05-20 Here is a betting system that has earned a 41-25 record for 62% winning bets and has made 38 units per 1-unit wagered over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against AL home teams that are averaging at least 4.9 RPG on the seasons and are coming off two consecutive wins of two or fewer runs. The Brewers are a solid 32-15 (+18.0 Units) against the money line after scoring four runs or less in three straight games in games played over the last three seasons. |
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08-04-20 | Blue Jackets +130 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
Columbus vs Toronto 4:00 PM EST, August 4, 2020 Let us start with a betting system that has actually earned a losing 129-134 over the last 25 seasons, but because it lays on underdogs has earned a solid 55 units-per-unit wagered. These are the type of long-term systems that make money consistently year in and your out. The query instructs us to play on road teams that are off a road shutout win and has a losing record on the season. Further, Toronto is just 17-20 and losing 22 units when playing a team with a losing record on the season. From the machine learning side of things Toronto is projected to be contained to just two or fewer goals. Note that Columbus is 24-8 when they have allowed two or fewer goals and Toronto just 4-20 when they have scored two or fewer goals this season. |
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08-03-20 | Pirates v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
PITTSBURGH VS MINNESOTA Here is a betting system that has earned a 31-7 record good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play ‘under’ with all teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 and is a below average NL hitting team batting no higher than 0.255 and with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last five games and is now facing a team with a very good bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.33 or lower on the season. In a short sprint of 60-games no team can afford a four-game losing streak as the Pirates have suffered. They also are 0-4 in 1-run games so far this season. Tonight they start a 2-game home and home series with the Minnesota Twins, who are 7-2, on a 3-game win streak, and have won 7-of-9 games to start the season. The Pirates have struggled at the plate and the Twins pitching has been the best in baseball allowing just nine runs on their last seven games. Twins manager Baldelli is an outstanding 11-1 ‘UNDER’ after a game in which his bullpen threw 6 or more innings. Ryan’s MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan Total |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Memphis vs New Orleans The machine learning toolshed projects that the Grizzlies will have at least 53 boards and score at least 111 points. In past games, they are 17-5 ATS when achieving this pair of KPIs. The Pelicans are a money-burning 14-33-3 ATS when allowing 111 or more points and allowing 53 or more rebounds and 7-24-2 ATS for 23% spanning games played over the last five seasons. Here is a nice betting system that underscores the strength of the bet on the Memphis Grizzlies and has earned a 49-20 ATS result good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. Play on any team revenging a road loss to the current opponent of at least 10 points and with both teams sporting win percentages between 40 and 49.9% on the season. Take the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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08-02-20 | Bucks -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Houston
8:30 PM EST, 08-02-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 48-14 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play against underdogs that are playing a gme that went over the posted total by 24 or more points and is a team that has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% and facing a team with a winning record. The machine learning tool shed projects that Milwaukee’s defense will be feared tonight by the Rockets. Overall, and dating back to 1990 teams that have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 33% or lower and a field-goal % lower than 42% are 8,364-2268 ATS for 79% winning bets. The Bucks are 69-18 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bucks are projected to score at least 115 points. So, the Rockets are a miserable 1-21-1 ATS when shooting 42% or less and 33% or less from beyond the arc and allowing 115 or more points in games played since 2015. |
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08-02-20 | Kings +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-132 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Sacramento vs Orlando The machine learning toolshed projects that the Kings will have fewer turnovers than the Magic and that they will shoot at least 48% form the field. In past games in which the Kings did achieve these performance KPI they are an amazing 234-56-5 ATS for 81% winning bets and 50-10-3 ATS since 2015. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
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08-02-20 | Astros v. Angels +131 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs LA Angels 7-Star Best Bet on the Angels
The Machine learning tools project that Angels starter Shohei Ohtani will bounce back from his horrible first start of the season. He is projected to complete more innings than Astros starter Josh James. In past games in which the Angels starter did complete more innings than the opponent starter and were installed as a home underdog they have earned a remarkable 25-12 for 68% winning bets. These bets have earned $1,674 per $100 wager and a robust 45% ROI since 2015.
Take the Angels.
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08-01-20 | Pirates +152 v. Cubs | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
PITTSBURGHM VS CHICAGO CUBS 8:15 PM EST, 08-01-20 MLB 7-star Best Bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates Here is a betting system that has earned a 73-41 record using the money line over the last 25 seasons. The betting system query instructs us to be against NL home teams with a high slugging percentage of at least 0.430 and is now facing a team with a struggling bullpen postig a WHIP of at least 1.550 and an ERA of at least 5.50 or worse on the season. The Pirates will have RHP Mitch Keller on the hill looking to continue his brilliant first start of the season that resulted in a 5-1 win over the Cardinals. He has a solid FB that averages 95 MPH with heavy downward movement hat generates far more ground ball outs and whiffs than the average MLB fastball. He then has a slider and curve that he mixes in well and keeps batters guessing. The Machine learning projections call for Keller to complete more than innings than Cubs starter Chatwood. Note that road dogs, whose starter does not complete more IP have been a resounding 1641-85 for 67% winning bets and have made $136,000 in profits per $100 bettor just over the last five seasons. Take the Pittsburgh Pirates as a 7-Star Best Bet Titan |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +6 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers I like the 76ers once we get into the playoffs. I like the fact that Ben Simmons has accepted his new role as power forward and you will definitley see more bulk and muscle on this budding superstar. Yet, there are a few things that the 76ers need to figure out before heading into the payoffs and they will. The Pacers will push the ball tonight and make the game fast at both ends. The 76ers have not had good results in high-paced games. They are just 3-35 SU and 4-34 ATS in games played where they allowed an opponent 50% or better shooting and allowed 90 or more shot attempts. Just 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS spanning the last five seasons. Take the Pacers. |
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07-30-20 | Padres -165 v. Giants | Top | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
Ryan’s MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the San Diego Padres The Padres are a team that could push for a playoff position and are being overlooked by nearly everyone. Here is a betting system that has earned a 71-20 record good for 78% winning bets over the past five seasons and it instructs us to bet on road favorites with a money line between -125 and -175 and is outscoring their opponents by an a average of one or more runs-per-game at any point during the season and are coming off a loss of two or more runs. Giants are a money-burning 8-20 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last two seasons. Padres starter Dinelson Lamet is the real deal and is coming off a solid first start completing five innings of work allowing five hits and just one earned run including one walk and eight strikuts in a 5-1 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. He throws one of the heaviest fastballs/sinkers in MLB and averages 96 MPH with an average of 8 inches in drop and 7.5 inches in arm-side tailing action. Plus, he has a knee buckling slider that averages 86 MPH and is an ‘out’ pitch. He may have another 8+ K start tonight . |
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07-30-20 | Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
7-Star NBA Best Bet Titan on the LA Clippers
The Clippers will take on the Lakers in a 2020 opening season game that many ‘talking heads’ see as a preview to the Western Finals. I do disagree with that prognostication and see the Clippers as the team by the West by a wide margin. That’s a story for another time. The line opened with the Lakers installed as 1-point favorites weeks ago and the line has steadily risen to its’ current price of Lakers favored by 4.5-points. Consider making this a combination wager consisting of a 5-star bet getting the points and a 2-star amount using the money line. Purely optional, but this betting design has served to add significantly to bottom line profits spanning an entire season. Take the Clippers and expect the SU win. |
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07-29-20 | Cubs v. Reds -107 | Top | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds July 29, 2020 7-Star Best Bet on the Cincinnati Reds Let us take a look at a solid betting system that has earned a remarkable 34-15 record good for 69.4% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on home teams (CINCINNATI) that are off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite at any point of the season and has won 38% or fewer of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record. When Sonny Gray has been on the hill his team record has been 15-5 when pitching against a winning record team over the last two seasons. |
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07-29-20 | Rockies v. A's -143 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -143 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Colorado Rockies vs Oaland athletics
3:40 PM EST, 07-29-20
It is early in the betting sessions globally, bnut I will admit that one metric I do not care to see is that the public bets are with me to the tune of 71% on the A’s. I do belevie waiting for the pors to come in a move this line lower to -130 level by game time. Overnight, I saw -150, and the ‘Machine’ like the A’s then. So, this is on eof those special situations that I do believe you will see positive line movement unwind in our favor. Currently, the majority of books ar showing a price favoring the A’s as -135 favorites and -130 did just appear at PointsBet. There are trends and betting systems that apply to this game and games plaed in the month of July. In the 2019 season, the Rockies posted a terrible 3-10 mark for 23% winning bets in July. Moreover, they are just 47-90 for 34.4% winning bets and losing $2,990 in the process for a -21 return-on-investment. Both starters are off to strong starts with the A’s RH Frankie Montas boasting a 2,25 ERA and 1.500 WHIP. He has some zip to has fastball averaging 96-97 MPH, but it is the heavy sinking action that gets batters out and generates a much high percentage of whiffs than even the elite pitchers of the league. Last yeaqr he threw fourseam FB 18% and sinker 29% for a combined 47% of all pitches thrown. Batters, though had no idea which pitch was coming and gave hime a leg up on any hitter with an 0-1 count. On 1-2 counts batters it just 0.107 in 2019. A’s head coach Melvin is 27-1s at any point of the regular season when facing a team that is allowing 4 or fewer runs on the season. Take the Oakland Athletics as a 7_Star Best Bet Titan |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's -110 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Bet 7-Star ‘OVER; 10-runs in the LA Angels vs Oakland Athetics Matchup The Angels starting pitcher cam through with a hige effeort to propel his team to the win aqdn even the series at 1-game a piece. Ohtani will get the ball to take to the mount to make his first start in over two years. The A’s will counter with veteran 35-year old Mike Fiers. The Yankees starting pitcher Paxson wlloed good for first 20 pitches, 17 of them fastballs. Once batters got hits and loaded the bases he mentally losy composure. Yes, Ohtani has immense talent, but how in the world can anyone expect him to go 6-innings, allow a run or two? Not me at least and certainly not the machine learning MATH. Here is big betting system supporting the A’s and has earned a solid 32-15 record good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The betting system or query as us database guys like me love to call them instructs us to be on home underdogs with a money line of +100 or highe and was a good team from last season that outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs-per-game, when facing a divisional opponent. There are a lot of trends that support the A’s and the one’s that have the steeler ‘P’ value are the one’s by models and my eyes gravitate to. So, Fiers is 42-19 in all games making a whopping 30 units in games he has started over the last three seasons. When at home, he is 28-6 making 28 units as a home underdog over the past three seasons. |
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07-26-20 | Marlins v. Phillies -145 | Top | 11-6 | Loss | -145 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 1:05 PM EST, 07-26-20 Bottom half of the Phillies came to life with JT Realmuto hitting a 3-run HR, and Phil Gosselin sporting a 3-3 line including 3 RBI in their runaway 7-1 win over the Marlins. It is a fact to say that the Marlins will be one of the worst teams in the NL again this year, but never discount the elite talent that is on this team. Problem is they lack the depth and team-balance to truly challenge. So, no team can take them for granted and under manager Joe Girardi, he will make certain that does not occur. This matchup in the final of a 3-game series will pit the Phillies RH Vincent Velasquez against the Marines RH starter Jose Urina. The 28 year-old Urina hails from the Domincan Republic and has posted career records of 32-43 with a 4.57 ERA in 137 games. In 2019, he went 4-10 in 24 appearances including 13 starts, and a not-so-good 2.38 strikes-to-walk ratio and 6.6 K-per-9 He does posses a 95 MPH FB that has extremely heavy sinking action. On average this sinking FB has averaged 8.8 inches – most of which is gravity as the pitch does slow down approaching the plate. However, the pitch is generated just 11% ground-ball (GB) outs. In his career since 2015, batters have hit 0.319 on the fastball and it will be hot with the wind blowing out towards center and right-center today. Perhaps Bryce Harper is a good selection for your DFS today. Vincent Velasquez is more of a typic three-pitch professional starter, who throws four-seem fastballs 60% of all pitches thrown that also has just enough arm-side motion to keep batters from barreling up the pitch. His slider and curve are mixed in 14% and 13% respectively and both are slightly above average pro pitches. Batters have struggled to hit his four-seem batting just 0.228 in his career and 0.219 during the 2019 season. Overall, it is his best pitch and he will use slider to curve to start an at-bat the second and third times thorugh the line on occasion, Granted, we are looking at a two=game sample. Nonetheless, the Phillies bullpen has been solid sporting a 1.59 ERA while the Marlins pen has struggled with 7.37 ERA. Two games, but a sign of how these respective pens will look during this 60-game sprint. Take the Philadelphia Phillies for 7-Star Best Bet. |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Oklahoma State 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Iowa State Cyclones This is an upset in the making based on the projections and situations these teams find themselves in for this matchup. OSU is a money-burning 4-15 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons; 1-10 ATS after having won four of their last five games in game splayed over the last three seasons. ISU has been horrid on the roads this season cover just tow games, but this is not a road game. It is a neutral court site and is being played in the month of March during conference and NCAA Tournament time. ISU is 63-35-1 ATS in all March games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things, ISU is a solid 45-18-1 for 71% winners when making at least 80% of their shot attempts and making at least 42% of their FGA. If they make over 45% from the floor and 80%+ of their free throws their record zooms to 36-9 for 80% winners; 8-1 ATS at a neutral site and covering the spread by an average of nine points. |
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03-11-20 | St. Joe's +5.5 v. George Mason | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
St. Joes vs George Mason St. Joes is not a strong 3-point shooting team. However, George Mason is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when facing a team that is making 31% or fewer from beyond the arc in games played after the 15th game in each of the last two seasons. St. Joes may not shoot well, but they do not add to the pain by turning the ball over. George Mason is 14-28 ATS against good handling teams that are committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. George Mason Head Coach Paulsen is just 3-13 ATS off a road win against a conference foe. From the predictive side of things, St. Joes is a solid 57-33 -2 ATS when they have made 71 to 77% of their free-throw attempts. GMU is a money-losing 3-15 ATS when they have allowed 67 to 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Clemson | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Miami vs Clemson
10 PM EST, March 11, 2020 Clemson has not done well when facing teams that are not all that aggressive on the defensive end. The Tigers are just 4-12 ATS when facing teams that are forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game and 4-14 ATS after the 15th game of th season spanning the last two seasons. Head Coach Larranaga is 58-38 ATS off a home win as the coach of the Hurricanes and 20-10 ATS after playing two consecutive home games. From the predictive side fo things, the Hurricanes are 68-36-5 ATS in games that they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts; 20-9 ATS for 70% in road games when they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 67 points including 9-3 ATS in neutral site games since 2005. |
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03-09-20 | Raptors v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Toronto vs Utah 9:05 PM EST, March 9, 2020 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Let’s get right to it as the Jazz are 32-14 ATS for 70% winning bets when they are coming off back-to-back wins of six or fewer points and 22-10 ATS when favored on these spots. This situational query has earned a solid 60-25-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to be on teams that are lined within four points on either side of ‘pick’ and are coming off three consecutive games in which they and their respective opponents each scored 100 or more points om each of the three games and are now facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least six points. From the predictive side of things, Utah is projected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded this pairing of performance measures they have earned an outstanding 127-27-5 ATS mark good for 83% winning bets and 26-6-2 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last three seasons. |
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03-09-20 | Elon v. Northeastern -8.5 | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Elon vs Northeastern 8:30 PM EST, March 9, 2020 Colonial Conference Tournament 7-Star Best bet Titan on the Northeastern Huskies This game is taking place on a neutral court in Washington DC. Elon is coming off a shocking upset win over 2-seed William & Mary by a 68-62 score, but now find themselves installed as an 8.5 to 9-point underdog. The Huskies re off an upset win based on seeding by defeating Towson State 72-62, but covered the spread installed as a 3.5-point favorite. Elon is not in a god situation for this game noting they are just 2-13 ATS after two consecutive ‘UNDERS’ in game splayed over the last three seasons. They are 10-25 ATS coming off one or more wins in games played over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, ELON is just 9-23 ATS in road games, 0-16 ATS in home games, and 0-3 ATS at neutral sites when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and their opponent shot greater than 47% from the field. |
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03-09-20 | Miami-OH +9 v. Buffalo | Top | 85-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo This is a 12-5 pairing of the 12 teams in the MAC Conference Championship with the Miami Redhawks the 12-seed and the Buffalo Bulls the 5-seed. The winner will then face the 4-seed Northern Illinois, who along with top-seed Akron, 3-seed Ball State, and 2-seed Bowling Green have Byes. The Bulls are in a tough situation and matchup to cover the spread in this matchup. First, they are a money-burning 7-16 for 35% against-the-spread (ATS) in home games that had a posted total between 150 and 155 since 2010. The Bulls are coming off an upset 88-84 win at Bowling Green as two-point underdogs. However, head coach, Whitesell is 9-24 ATS coming off an upset win as an underdog in his career. From the predictive side of things, the RedHawks are 13-4 ATS in games they have scored between 67 and 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. Further, the RedHawks are 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets when they have been road dogs and made more 3-pointers than the opponent and had 11 or fewer turnovers. |
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03-08-20 | Ohio State +7 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
No. 19 Ohio State vs No. 16 Michigan State 3-Star Reverse Parlay Bet using OSU and the ‘UNDER’ When playing against Michigan State, everyone on the team has to rebound well. Ohio State freshman forward E.J. Liddell may be first man off the bench. He had a great performance against Illinois on Thursday, where he matched his career high with 17 points on 7-of-9 shooting from the floor, but he also grabbed 11 rebounds, setting a new career standard and earning his first career double-double. Lidell also had 17 points just five games ago against Iowa, grabbing eight rebounds in that contest, as he continues to progress and is getting more minutes in head coach Chris Holtmann's rotation. From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS and 13-1-1 ‘UNDER’ when they have played on the road and had 10 or fewer turnovers and held the opponent to 40% or worse shooting. |
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03-08-20 | Connecticut v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Connecticut vs Tulane Let’s take a quick look at few supporting team trends for Tulane and ones that work against UCONN. Tulane is 18-6 ATS when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80% over the last two seasons. Tulane is 8-0 ATS following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throws in game splayed this season. UCONN is 43-69 ATS after a game with nine or less assists in all games played spanning the last 20 seasons. They are 0-6 after having won six or seven of their last eight games in games played spanning the last three seasons. Huskies are an imperfect 0-9 ATS in road games after scoring 75 or more points in five consecutive games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things UCONN is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in road games in which the host shot between 30 and 37.5% from beyond the arc. |
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03-08-20 | Tulsa +7.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 57-79 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Tulsa vs Wichita State 7-Star Best bet Titan on Tulsa The dominant trend supporting Tulsa is the fact that they are a perfect 7-0 ATS coming off a win against a conference foe and held that foe to 55 or fewer points in game splayed over the last 10 seasons. Tulsa is 54-29 ATS after two consecutive games getting nine or fewer offensive rebounds in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive side of things, Tulsa is a solid 14-5 ATS in games that had nine or fewer offensive rebounds in this season and 12-3 ATS for 80% in games in which they had 33 to 40 rebounds. A win will give Tulsa the AAC regular-season conference championship. Take Tulsa. |
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03-07-20 | Long Beach State +5.5 v. CS-Fullerton | Top | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Long Beach State vs Cal State Fullerton 10:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
I am jumping right the meat and potatoes of this betting opportunity only due to time. From the predictive side of things, the 49ers are a solid 16-4 ATS for 80% winning bets when scoring between 65 and 75 points in game splayed over the last three seasons; CSF Titans are just 4-16 ATS for 20% in games in which they did not shoot about 46% from the field in game splayed over the last two seasons; 0-7 ATS when they score less than 75 points in games played over the last two seasons. |
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03-07-20 | Charlotte +8.5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 43-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Charlotte vs Louisiana Tech 7:00 PM EST 03-07-20
Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 69-34 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road dogs including ‘pick’ that are coming off a poor shooting game making no more than 33% of their shot attempts and is facing a hot shooting team posting three consecutive games making at least 47% in each one. |
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03-07-20 | Rockets -8 v. Hornets | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Houston vs Charlotte 5:05 PM EST, 3-07-2020 This betting system has earned a terrific 60-22 -1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on road favorites of 3 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 or more points in four consecutive games and are facing a struggling host that has been outscored by their opponents by six or more points-per-game. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 9-1 ATS when they have allowed fewer than 105 points in games played this season; 74-22 ATS for 77% winning bets when they have scored at least 117 points and had the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2015. |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +3.5 | Top | 66-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
No. 1 Kansas vs Texas Tech
2:00 PM EST, 03-07-20 Let us start with a situational vetting system that supports the Red Raiders and has earned a solid 30-7-1 ATS mark good for 81% winning bets. The system requires us to play on home teams in a game lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ that is solid a defensive team allowing 40 to 43% shooting and is an average rebounding team posting a differential between -3 and +3 and are facing an excellent defensive teams allowing less than 40% shooting on the season and has outrebounded their opponents by six or boards-per-game on the season. Texas Tech is 11-3 ATS when facing very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points-per-game after 15 or more games over the last two seasons. From the predictive aside of things, TT is 22-3 SU and 19-6 ATS for 76% winning tickets and covering the number by 10.4 points-per-game in games in which they attempted 54 to 60 shots. |
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03-06-20 | Bucks +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Lakers 10:35 PM EST 03-06-20 Let us run through a few situational trends that support the bet on Milwaukee. They are an amazing 15-5 ATS and tops in the NBA when facing a solid opponent that is outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. Here is a situational betting system that follows the theme above and has earned a solid 39-13 ATS mark good for 75% winners over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on all teams in games lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is facing an opponent that is an elite NBA team outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game and with the opponent coming off three consecutive games allowing 105 or more points in each game; 33-8 ATS for an amazing 81% winning bets over the last five seasons! From the predictive side of things, The Bucks are 30-7 ATS for 81% winning bets in game sin which they have attempted at least 88 shots, made at least 33% of their shots from beyond the arc, and had the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last two seasons. |
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03-06-20 | VMI -2.5 v. Samford | Top | 96-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
Samford vs VMI
6:00 PM EST, 03-06-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on VMI minus the points. This is a first-round matchup in the Southern Conference with VMI sporting double revenge from to losses to Samford this season. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 47-18 ATS 72% record over the last 15 seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on all teams where the line is within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and revenging a straight up loss to the opponent as a road favorite and is a struggling team that has won 20% to 40% of their games on the season and is now playing a team with a losing record. Teams that have had same season double revenge and are favored by at least 3 points in the third game of the season are a decent 34-22-2 ATS for 61% winning bets since 2006, but 17-5 ATS for 77% winners over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Samford is just 12-28 for 30% when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and shot under 35% from beyond the arc. VMI is 4-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9.4 points when holding an opponent to 40 to 45% shooting and not allowing more than 35% shooting from beyond the arc. |
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03-05-20 | Wyoming v. Nevada -10 | Top | 74-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Wyoming vs Nevada
11:30 PM EST, 03-05-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack minus the points. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 61-29 ATS 68% record over the last five seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on neutral court games betting on the favorite including pick and after two or more consecutive ‘OVERS’ and in a game where both teams are decent defensive ones that allow an average between 65 and 75 points on the season. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Nevada is an outstanding 19-4 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and gotten at least 45 rebounds. They are also 47-18-2 ATS for 72% when scoring 75 or more points and purebounding their opponent by at least 11 boards over the last 15 seasons; 12-1 ATS for 82% wins over the last three seasons. |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +1.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Stanford vs Oregon State 9:00 PM EST, March 5, 2020
From the predictive side of things, Stanford is 91-13 SU and 78-19-1 ATS for 81% winners when they have shot at least 48% form the field and at least 50% form beyond the arc in games played since 2006. |
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03-05-20 | Clippers v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
Clippers vs Rockets 7-Star Best Bet on the Houston Rockets Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 69-33-2 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. the system requires us to bet on home teams that are lined within 3.5 points on either side of ‘pick’ and is coming off an upset loss installed as a favorite and with both teaqms playing well postig win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 162-15 SU and 138-37-2 ATS for 79% winning bets in home games when they have shot at least 42% from beyond the arc and had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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03-05-20 | Illinois v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
Illinois vs Ohio State 7:00 PM EST 03-02-20 Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 100-66ATS mark good for 62% winners over the last five seasons. The requirements re to bet on home teams lined as favorites of 3 to 9 points and are coming off a double-digit win over a conference foe and with both teams in the game sporting solid win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season including a tightener that soars to 28-10 ATS for 74% winning bets when the team is ranked. From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 65-2 SU aqnd 47-10 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and made at least 42% of their three-point shots in games played since 2006. |
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03-04-20 | Georgetown v. Creighton -12.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
Georgetown vs Creighton 8:00 PM EST, 3-04-2020 From the predictive side, the Bluejays are a solid 94-5 SU winning the games by an average of 19 points and 62-25 ATS for 70% wins when they have shot at least 49% from the field and 39% from beyond the arc. Adding in that the Bluejays had the better assists-to-field-goal-made (A-FGM) and their record soars to a 101-5 SU mark and 71-24 ATS mark good for 75% winning tickets since 2006. |
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03-04-20 | Jazz -8 v. Knicks | Top | 112-104 | Push | 0 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Utah vs New York NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Here is a situational betting system that has earned a 144-78-3 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 20seasons and requires us to bet road favorites that are facing a host that is coming off a close home win by a margin of three or fewer points and has a losing record on the season. Here is a second betting system that has earned an outstanding 40-8 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and requires us to bet on road favorites against an opponent that is seeking revenge from a previous road blowout loss of 20 or more points and are coming off a close home win by three or fewer points. |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis v. George Mason +3 | 69-57 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
St. Louis vs George Mason
7:00 PM EST, 03-04-20 Patriots head coach Dave Paulson will look to end a two-game losing skid when they take on the St. Louis Billikens, who have won three straight in this A-10 matchup. The conference has been dominated by the No. 3 ranked Dayton Flyers, who are 27-2 SU, 16-0 in conference play, and lead the Richmond Spiders and Rhode Island rams by four games. The Billikens sit in fourth place tied with the Duquesne Dukes and St. Bonaventure Bonnies at 10-6 and the Patriots are in 12th place in the 14-team conference. The danger for bubble teams is that if Dayton stumbles and fails to win the conference tournament, the winner will advance along with the Flyers. Anyway. Let us take a look at this situational betting query that has earned a 44-20-1 ATS record since 2000. The requirements are to bet on home teams with a line within three points on either side of ‘pick’ that is an average defensive team allowing 42.5 to 45% opponent shooting and is facing an opponent that is shooting between 45 and 47.5% on the season and has shot 49% or better in four consecutive games. The system looks to exploit teams that have been red hot hooting teams, but so hot that is nots sustainable and are prone to a below average shooting game on the road. From the predictive aside of things, the Patriots are projected to score at least 68 points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 111-13 SU record and 79-30-4 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2006; 7-1 ATS as a home dog. |
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03-04-20 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -12 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
Texas A&M vs Auburn 7:00 PM EST 3-04-20
The Tigers are coming off a 73-66 loss to the Kentucky Wildcats, who are ranked No. 6 and sit at 14-3 in the conference standings. The Tigers shot 36% form the field, but they will shoot much better tonight. The Tigers are 22-12-2 ATS for 65% in home games following a game in which they lost, failed to cover the spread, and shot not better than 37.5% from the field; 6-0 ATS if favored by double digits. From the predictive side of things, the Tigers are 46-15 ATS for 75.4% winning bets when they have held an opponent to less than 40% shooting and less than 30% shooting from beyond the arc; 31-9 ATS for 78% winning tickets when the game is at home. |
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03-03-20 | Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Purdue vs Iowa 9:00 PM EST 03-02-20 Purdue is the best near 0.500 team, in the country and are as good as many teams with 18-10 records. They are a dangerous team and they are in desperation mode now knowing that they need to win their final two games and then get to the seminfinals to catch the attention of the selection committee. It is difficult to bet against Iowa, who has lost just twice at home this season. They are largely inconsistent though, but when they play poorly, they are not Tournament-worth and when they play well, they are Final Four well. This is a great spot for Purdue though and I think they are capable of pulling off the upset. Consider playing this game as a combination bet comprised of 80% of your normal 7-Star bet size using the line and then place the remaining 20% using the money line. Over the ocurse of a season, these types of bets add significantly to the ROI of the season. Purdue is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9 points after game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 33% or less over the last three seasons. Iowa is a money-burning 23-42 ATS after covering four of their last five against the spread since 2000; 7-15 ATS since 2015. From the predictive side of things,. Purdue is 34-3 SU for 92% outright wins and 26-8 ATS in games in which they get at least 38 rebounds and have no more than 11 turnovers; 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% against a conference foe. |
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03-03-20 | Nets +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs Boston 7-Star Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 36-16 ATS mark for 69% wins over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on any team that has lost at least three consecutive road games and is taking on an opponent that is off an upset loss as a favorite. From the predictive side of things, the Nets are an outstanding 74-17-3 ATS good for 81% winning bets when they have made 77% or more of their free throw attempts, had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio, and made 45 to 48% of their shot attempts. |
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03-03-20 | Michigan State v. Penn State +2 | Top | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
Michigan State vs Penn State
7:00 PM EST, 03-03-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions plus the points. Coming up with late-season wins in the Big Ten is always a challenge, and Penn State knows it's a matter of executing and giving maximum effort. The Spartans have won three striaght games and will be looking to win their third consecutive game over a ranked opponent. Penn State appears to be sputtering down the stretch, but already defeated the Spartans February 5th in East Lansing 75-70. The Spartans are in a terrible situation for this matchup. Big-Ten teams playing their third consecutive game against a ranked opponent and won the previous two games and are now playing on the road are an imperfect 0-6 straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS). Penn State has a pair of seniors playing in their final home game in this one that lead the way in Lamar Stevens (17.7 points, 6.9 rebounds) and Mike Watkins (9.6 points, 7.6 boards, 2.3 blocks). The Lions did get a significant lift in their last game with the return of guard Myreon Jones (13.7 points, 52 3-pointers) after he missed six games with an illness. This adds depth to the bench as well. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 29-6-1 ATS record for 83% winners and requires us to bet on home teams that are lined with three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is an average rebounding team posting a rebounding differential of between -3 and +3 per-game and is hosting an opponent that is an excellent defensive team allowing 40% or less shooting and has posted a rebounding differential of 6 or more rebounds-per-game From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that PSU is 45-15 SU winning the games by an average of 11 points and 36-13-3 ATS when they have had fewer turnovers than the opponent and made at least nine three-point shots; 10-2 ATS for 83% wins in game splayed over the last three seasons. PSU made nine 3-point shots in their win over MSU previously. |
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03-03-20 | Jacksonville +8 v. North Florida | Top | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
Jacksonville vs North Florida 7:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
This is a Roud-1 matchup in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament. The North Florida Ospreys tied with the Liberty Flames atop the conference standings with 13-3 records and splitting their season matchups with one win each. This is too many points to be giving a team, like the Dolphins, who know a loss means they turn in their sneakers to the equipment manager tomorrow.
Jacksonville is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS in road games after three straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers this season. From the predictive side of things, the Dolphins are 12-4 ATS for 75% wins when they have made 27 or more field goals and made at least 42% of their field goal attempts and had at least three more rebounds than the opponent. |
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03-02-20 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. Baylor | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs Baylor
9:00 PM EST, 03-02-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Texas Tech plus the points. Let us start with a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 48-19-5 ATS record for 72% winners and requires us to bet on road teams as an underdog or pick (Red Raiders in this matchup)revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent as a home favorite and are off two consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals. The Red Raiders are coming off back-to-back dominating losses. They first lost 65-51 to No.1 Kansas and failed to cover as 1.5-poit favorites. They shot a season-low 33% in that game. In their most recent game they lost at home to the Texas Longhorns 68-58 and failed to cover the spread as 11.5-point favorites. So, this is an exemplary contrarian play to be sure. Here si the good news. The Red Raiders are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after the 15th game of the regular season when facing excellent teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least 8 points-per-game in games played over last 2 seasons. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show a final score result within a range of Baylor winning by four points to Texas Tech winning by four points. Consider making a combination wager on this dog bet using 80% of your normal 7-Star wager amount and then add the remaining 20% using the money line. Texas Tech is 53-11 SU for 83% wins and 33-15 ATS for 69% winning bets in home games where they have attempted at least 55 shot attempts, made at least 24 field goals, and had 12 or fewer turnovers in games played since 2006. Take the Texas Tech Red Raiders and Look for the Upset Win |
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03-02-20 | Pacers -2 v. Spurs | Top | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
Indiana vs San Antonio 8:00 PM EST 03-01-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 79-40 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on away favorites in a non-conference game and facing an opponent coming off a home win of three points or less. Spurs are a money-burning 1-11 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive wins this season. From the predictive side of things, the Spurs are 1-12 ATS when the opponent has made between 48 and 52% of their shot attempts this season. |
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03-01-20 | Michigan v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Michigan vs Ohio State 4:00 PM EST 03-01-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 33-11 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after an ATS win as a double-digit favorite and is now facing an opponent off an upset loss installed as a favorite. The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season. From the predictive side of things, the Buckeyes are 72-1 SU and 44-13-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when they scored 75 or more points and had nine or more offensive rebounds since 2007 and 19-0 SU and 14-3-1 ATS for 82% winning bets if the game was at home facing a conference foe. |
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03-01-20 | Towson v. Northeastern -5 | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Towson vs Northeastern 4:00 PM EST, February 29, 2020
Northeastern will have themselves prepared for this game as the conclude the regular season and look to begin a strong run in the Colonia Athletic Conference Tournament starting this week.
Towson State is just 2-11 ATS after a game in which they were outrebounded by 20 or boards. |
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03-01-20 | Mavs v. Wolves +7.5 | Top | 111-91 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Dallas vs Minnesota 7-Star Best Bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 25-11 ATS for 69% wins over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on underdogs that has been struggling and failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. Timberwolves are 123-55-2 ATS for 69% wins when they have scored 111 or more points in home games since 2000. |
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03-01-20 | Creighton -4.5 v. St. John's | Top | 71-91 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Creighton vs St. Johns
12:00 PM EST, 03-01-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Creighton minus the points. Let us start with a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 40-15-2 ATS record for 72% winners and requires us to bet on road favorites of 4 to 11 points that have covered at least four consecutive games to the spread and is playing with five or 6 days of rest. This system has earned a 16-5 ATS mark for 76% winning bets since 2010 and 5-1 ATS over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Creighton Bluejays are 26-7-1 in road games when they have scored 80 or more points, 20-5 ATS for 80% winners in road conference games and scoring 80 or more points, and 1 3-0 SU winning the games by an average of 18 points and 12-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points when favored on the road against a conference foe and scoring 80 or more points. Ryan’s Big East 7-Star Best Bet Titan Ryan went 5-2 ATS for the Saturday card and looks to add on to the winning weekend with this Big east matchup. The research supporting this play is awesome and features a betting syste that has hit 76% ATS over the last 10 seasons and a predictive team metric that has earned a 12-1 ATS record and has covered the spread by an average 11.1 points. Oklahoma vs West Virginia 4:00 PM EST 2-29-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 28-5 ATS record for 86% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are coming off an double-digit upset win and is facing an opponent coming off a humiliating double-digit loss as a five or greater favorite. WVU lost 67-57 on he road at Texas and were installed as 6-point favorites. The Sooners ended a 3-game losing skid with an outstanding 65-51 home win as a 1.5-point underdog over Texas Tech. From the predictive side of things, the Sooners are 34-3 SU and 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets when shooting 45% or lower, shooting better than the opponent, and making more 3-point shots than the opponent. |
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02-29-20 | Rockets +2 v. Celtics | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Houston vs Boston 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Houston Rockets
Here is a terrific situational query produced from the database that has earned a 41-15 record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on any team that is lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is facing an outstanding opponent that has outscored their opponents by at least 6-points-per-game and after scoring and allowing at least 100 points in three consecutive games. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 110-32-4 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have scored 111 points and attempted 84 or more shots in road games. |
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02-29-20 | Michigan State v. Maryland OVER 138 | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Michigan State vs Maryland Due to the huge card, these reports are shorter than normal. I am sure you understand. So, from the predictive side Michigan State is 40-22 ‘OVER’ for 65% winning bets in games in which they make at least 77% of their free throw shots and made at least 26 field goals. Maryland is projected to match these projections and is 47-16-1 ‘OVER’ for 75% winning bets including 6-0 ‘OVER’ when they and the opponent are both ranked. |
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02-29-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +5.5 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
San Diego State vs Nevada 7-Star Upset Alert Titan Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack. So, consider an alternative wager consisting of 80% of your 7-star betting amount on the line getting the points and the remaining 20% on the money line to optimize this bettig opportunity on a DOG that I think will the game outright. This is just one game, but I can tell you first hand that applying this combination bet to all of the dogs I release adds a significant amount to the total profits over the course of the season Nevada is 33-15 ATS in home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game; 12-5 ATS after one or more consecutive wins this season. Nevada Head Coach Alford is 40-21 ATS when playing against a top-level team winning at least 80% of their games, and with the game taking place after 15 or more games of the regular season. From the predictive side of things, the Wolfpack is 76-12 SU winning the games by 12 points on average and 64-13-3 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have shot 44% or better from the field and had 10 to 13 turnovers including 32-5 ATS for 84% in home games. |
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02-29-20 | USC Upstate +7 v. Hampton | Top | 90-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
USC-Upstate vs Hampton 7-Star Best Bet on USC-Upstate Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 143-110 using the Money Line and making $9.100 for the $100 bettor over just the past five seasons. Play on any team (USC UPSTATE) after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. So, consider an alternative wager consisting of 80% of your 7-star betting amount on the line getting the points and the remaining 20% on the money line to optimize this betting opportunity on a DOG that I think will the game outright. This is just one game, but I can tell you first hand that applying this combination bet to all of the dogs I release adds a significant amount to the total profits over the course of the season |
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02-29-20 | Oklahoma +8.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs West Virginia 4:00 PM EST 2-29-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 28-5 ATS record for 86% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are coming off an double-digit upset win and is facing an opponent coming off a humiliating double-digit loss as a five or greater favorite. WVU lost 67-57 on he road at Texas and were installed as 6-point favorites. The Sooners ended a 3-game losing skid with an outstanding 65-51 home win as a 1.5-point underdog over Texas Tech. From the predictive side of things, the Sooners are 34-3 SU and 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets when shooting 45% or lower, shooting better than the opponent, and making more 3-point shots than the opponent. R |
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02-29-20 | Florida v. Tennessee +1 | Top | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Florida vs Tennessee 2:00 PM EST, February 29, 2020
On the predictive side of things, the Gators are 5-15 ATS when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons; 10-22 ATS when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last three seasons. |
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02-29-20 | Penn State +4.5 v. Iowa | Top | 68-77 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
No. 16 Penn State vs No 16 Iowa
12:00 PM EST, 02-29-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Penn State plus the points. As I have mentioned on my Podcast and in several published articles this week the Big Ten Conference will send nine and possibly 10 teams to the NCAA Tournaments. These two teams are in the Dance, but they are now fighting for the coveted double byes in the conference tournament and for a better seed in the Dance. Based on the ‘math’ PSU wins this game outright. So consider an alternative wager using 80% of your normal size bet for the 7-star wager using the line and the remaining 20% on the money line. I am not in the least suggesting this will be an easy blowout win for PSU. The Lions will have to end a 13-game home win streak that the Hawkeyes have intact right now and have won two of the last six games at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. This Penn State team is different than any other in the past decade – at least and they are well-coached by Chambers. Izaiah Brockington scored a game-high 16 points and had five rebounds to help the Nittany Lions to earn their most conference wins since finishing with 12 in the 1995-96 season. Myles Dread added 11 points, including the go-ahead 3-pointer with under 30 seconds remaining in the game after the Lions had blown an 18-point halftime lead. Lamar Stevens was limited to nine points to see his streak of games scoring in double figures end at 41 in a row, but he still became the program’s all-time leading scorer in Big Ten play with 1,217 points overtaking Talor Battle, who had 1,209 points. PSU is 9-1 ATS in road games facing teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots-per-game on the season after 15 games have been played in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Lions are 45-12-5 ATS covering the number by an average of 8.1 points when scoring 75 or more points and shooting a minimum of 45% from the field; 20-4-2 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last three seasons |
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02-28-20 | Washington State v. Washington -9 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Washington State vs Washington
9:00 pm est, 02-28-20 NCAAM 7-star best bet titan on the Washington Huskies The Huskies have three regular-season games remaining, starting with tonight’s at home matchup against a Washington State team that has been outscored by an average of 12.3 points during its current four-game losing streak. Washington sits in last place in the pac-12 standings, but the huskies could still be a dangerous opponent that none of the teams atop the standings wants to face in the conference tournament. The Huskies head into Friday’s game looking to build on their dominating performance from last Saturday, when they snapped a nine-game losing streak with an 87-52 win over California. Coach Mike Hopkins remains optimistic about his squad, which boasts two of the top freshmen in the country in Isaiah Stewart and Jaden McDaniels. However, the pair have been unable to step up and have gone 2-11 since point guard quade green was ruled academically ineligible. Forward 6-9, 250-pound stewart averages 16.9 points, 8.5 rebounds while shooting 56.2 percent from the field to lead the team. Stewart owns the school freshman records for blocks (61) and rebounds (239). The washington defense was stifling holding cal to 11 field goals and 24 percent shooting. The Washington freshman class includes guard Marcus Tsohonis, who made three 3-pointers and scored 11 points against California and has averaged 9.8 points and 2.3 assists in his last six games. Here are a few tip-ins. WSU is a near-imperfect 1-9 ats in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last two seasons; 0-6 ats in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last two seasons; 3-14 ats (-12.4 units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers over the last two seasons; 1-10 ats after four straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers over the last two seasons. From the predictive side things, the following historical precedents match the overall summarized projections produced by the machine learning tools. WSU is 1-10 ats in games in which they shot 42% or lower and the gasme tempo was on the fast side in which WSU shot 65 to 70 field goals attempts. R |
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02-28-20 | Mavs v. Heat -4 | Top | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Dallas vs Miami 8:05 PM EST 2-28-20
From the predictive side of things, the Heat are 78-10-0 ATS for 89% winning bets and have covered the spread by an average of 11.6 points when they have scored 111 points, had five or more double-digit scorers, and had a better assist-to-turnover ratio by a margin of at least 0.5; 16-2 ATS last two seasons for 89% winning bets. |
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02-28-20 | Davidson v. Dayton -10.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
Davidson vs Dayton 7:00 PM EST, February 28, 2020
The Flyers are an outstanding 12-2 ATS when facing fundamentally sound ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game over the last two seasons. On the predictive side of things, the Flyers are 24-1 SU and 18-5 ATS in games in which they shot between 49 and 54% form the field and scored at least 73 points in games played over the last five seasons. |
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02-27-20 | Oregon State +10 v. Oregon | Top | 54-69 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Oregon State vs No. 14 Oregon 11:00 PM EST 2-27-20
Oregon is just 2-9 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons; 2-10 ATS in home games off a close road win of three or fewer points. From the predictive e side of things, the Beavers are 12-4 ATS for 75% winning bets in road games when they have shot 45% or better form the field and had the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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02-27-20 | Lakers v. Warriors +10 | Top | 116-86 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Lakers vs Golden State 10:35 PM EST, February 27, 2020
Plus, Lebron scored 40 points in their win over the Pelicans and their star Zion. Lebron’s team is just 1-12-1 ATS in games following one in which he scored 40 or more points and is now facing an opponent that has won fewer than 35% of their games on the season. |
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02-27-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan -6 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Michigan
7:00 PM EST, 02-27-20
A huge matchup in the Big Ten Conference for both teams. The Wolverines started out scoring hot winning their first seven games in dominating fashion then went through a significant amount of adversity and now have responded with five consecutive wins and covered in all five games. They were ranked No. 4 in the country in the December 2 AP poll and were not ranked in the January 20th poll. After four weeks of not appearing in the Top-25, they earned the 19th ranked slot in this week’s poll. Teams that have won four out five ATS and are ranked, but were not ranked the previous week and installed as a conference favorite are 21-14-2 ATS for 60% and more important for Michigan is that those teams have gone 32-5 SU winning the games by an average of 10 points. Here is a situational betting system that supports the Wolverines in this matchup and has earned a 75-38-2 ATS for 65% ATS winners last five seasons and has an excellent ‘p’ value. Send me a direct message @JohnRyanSports1 if you are interested in learning what and how the ‘p value is used in combinatorial algorithms. Make bets on home favorites of 3 to 9.5 points that are coming off an upset win over a conference foe and in a game involving both teams with win percentages between 60 and 80% on the season. From the predictive side things, the following historical precedents match the overall summarized projections produced by the machine learning tools. Michigan is 53-0 SU and 34-7-1 ATS covering by an average of 9 points in home games in which they held their opponent to less than 40% shooting and they made 25 or more field goals in games played since 2007. |
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02-26-20 | Celtics v. Jazz -5 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Boston vs Utah 10:35 PM EST, February 26, 2020
The Jazz is 172-23-4 ATS for 88% winning bets in games in which they shot 50% or better form the field and scored at least 111 points and had the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. Ryan’s NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan John Ryan has a 7-Star Titan release in the NBA that is backed by a power-query betting system that has earned a terrific 83% winning record and a predictive metric that us 172-23-4 ATS for 88% winning bets. |
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02-26-20 | CS-Northridge +1.5 v. Long Beach State | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
CS-Northridge vs Long Beach State 10:00 PM EST 2-25-20
The Matadors are a vastly better ball-handling team and rank 55th in the country with a 1.155 assist-to-turnover ratio while LBST ranks 344th with a terrible 0.653 ATR ratio. From the predictive side of things, the Matadors are 20-8 ATS for 71.4% wins when they have forced an opponent into 15 or more turnovers and had the better, more efficient, assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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02-26-20 | Furman +4 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 81-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
Furman vs UNC-Greensboro
7:00 PM EST, 02-26-20
Huge matchup in the Southern Conference tonight when the Furman Paladins travel to take on the UNC-Greensboro Spartans. The Paladins are 13-3 in conference play and trail conference-leading East Tennessee State Buccaneers by one-game. The Spartans are tied in the conference standings with the Paladins in a three-team race down the stretch to win the regular season conference championship. ICYMI: Paladins refers to the knights of Charlemagne's Court who were men of courage and daring, persons of "outstanding worth or quality who are firm in support of some cause or objective. Not bad for a sports team. The Spartans have been scorching hot winning their last six games and 11 of their last 12 games. However, they have shot poorly in the last three games making just 37% of their shots in a 67-55 win at Mercer and 36.4% shooting in their last game where they defeated VMI 71-68 and failed to cover the spread as 9.5 point road favorites. The Paladins have been equally as hot winning seven of their last eight games with the loss occurring on the road against conference-leading E-Tenn-State. Here is a situational betting system that supports the Paladins in this matchup and has earned a solid 52-25-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 67% wins since 2006 and 24-9-1 ATS for 73% wins since 2015. So, the requirements are to play on road underdogs including ‘pick’ that are revenging a home loss and with the opponent coming off two close wins of five or fewer points against conference rivals. From the predictive side things, the following historical precedents match the overall summarized projections produced by the machine learning tools. Furman is 27-17 ATS for 61.4 wins in games in which they took between 54 and 62 shots; 7-3 ATS for 70% when they have allowed 64 to 74 points in games played over the last three seasons; 22-6 ATS for 79% winning bets in road games in which they had the better, more efficient, assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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02-25-20 | Senators v. Predators OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
Ottawa vs Nashville 10-Star Best bet ‘OVER’ the posted total Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 100-63-5 record betting on the ‘OVER’ spanning the past five seasons. The requirements are to be ‘OVER’ with any team that is a slow starting team getting outscored in the first period by 0.2 or more goals-per-first period and are coming off a 1-goal loss and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. The Senators are 65-45-1 ‘OVER’ when playing against a strong offensive opponent that is averaging more than three goals-per-game on the season in games played over the last three seasons. The Senators are also 22-9 ‘OVER’ for 71% after having lost four or five of their last six games in games played this season. |
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02-25-20 | Bucks v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Toronto 7:35 PM EST, February 24, 2020
The Raptors have won 17 of their past 18 games and the Bucks have won 17 of their last 19 games. The Bucks though are playing their third game in four days and that is a huge disadvantage for them as visitors tonight. The Raptors are 39-22-1 ATS for 64%, which is the best record in the NBA, when playing against good passing teams that are averaging 23 or more assists-per-game in games played over the past two seasons. They are also a solid 25-13 ATS for 65.8% winners. Which is also best in the NBA, playing against teams that average 23 or more APG and are making 46% or more of their field goal attempts in games played over the last two seasons. Toronto is also coming off their largest margin of victory in franchise history (46) with their drubbing of the Indiana Pacers 127-81 this past Sunday. This puts them into an excellent betting system that has earned a solid 36-17 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams that are lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and are coming off a game in which they allowed 85 or fewer points. If we add the tightener to return games from the database that had lines within two points of ‘pick’ the record increases to 20-7 for 74% winning bets. |
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02-25-20 | Dayton v. George Mason +12 | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Dayton vs George Mason 7:00 PM EST 2-25-20
The Patriots are a solid 25-12 ATS when facing elite shooting teams making at least 48% of their shots on the season. Dayton is just 6-18 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last three seasons; 11-22 ATS after three straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last three seasons. Patriots are a terrific 10-2 ATS after two straight games where they attempted 12 or free throws |
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02-25-20 | Iowa +8.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Iowa vs Michigan State
7:00 PM EST, 02-25-20 This is a matchup that has been dominated by the Michigan State Spartans, who have won four consecutive games and 13 of the last 15 dating back to the 2011 season. That translates into an 11-2 straight-up (SU) mark and 9-4 against-the-spread (ATS) in favor of the Spartans. The last time the Hawkeyes defeated the Spartans was a road victory in East Lansing by the final score of 76-59 and with the Hawkeyes covering the spread by 26 points as a 9-point underdog. This will mark the third game that both teams were ranked in the Top-25 AP poll and the last two games were both won and covered by the Spartans. In the first meeting this season the Spartans defeated Iowa on the road 82-67 and covered the spread as 5-point favorites and the score stayed ‘UNDER’ the posted total of 156 points. Prior to that game, the Spartans defeated the Hawkeyes at home 90-68 and covered the spread as 11-point favorites on December 3, 2018. Note that when ranked teams are playing each other in conference matchups and the team that is ranked higher (better) in the polls is an underdog of at least 7.5 points they have sported a terrible 12-48 SU mark for 20%, but have earned a solid 37-23 ATS record for 38% winning tickets since 2006. Adding on this data theme, the Spartans are coming off a big 86-65 dominating win over Nebraska and shot51.6% from the field. So, take the aforementioned string of parameters and add the favored team, Spartans, coming off a game in which they shot better than 50% form the field and they turn into a money-burning 5-13 ATS for just 28% winning bets. Now, Iowa has won back-to-back games and shot 56% from the field in their demolition of Ohio State by an 85-76 final score. If we take the aforementioned parameters and substitute the opponent, Iowa, shooting over 50% in their last game, the result is that the favored team goes 1-6 ATS. It gets worse for Michigan State too. I’ll summarize the parameters that we have been working on to make sure the final team-specific trend is crystal clear for all of us. Favorites of at least 7.5 points that are playing an opponent that is ranked higher than them in the most recent AP poll and the opponent is coming off a win are an imperfect 0-12 ATS and failing to cover the spread by an average of 14.6 points. So, I think I will be on Iowa tonight. I also recommend splitting this wager into two parts consisting of 80% of your 7-Star betting amount placed using the line and the remaining 20% placed using the money line.
The money line is priced at about +300 and with the 80/20 rule in place serves to optimize the total rate of return for this betting opportunity. For example if you bet $100-per-star then 80% of $700 is $560, which is placed on the line and then 20% of $700 is $140 using the +300 money line. So, if Iowa loses by less than eight points you win the ATS wager, but lose the money line wager for a net gain of $420. If Michigan wins by nine or more points, you will lose both bets and a total of $700 just as you would have betting all $700 on the line. If Iowa does pull off the upset, you win the ATS wager of $560 and win the money line wager of $420 (3*$140) for a grand total of $980.
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State +14.5 v. Kansas | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Oklahoma State vs kansas
9:00 PM EST, 02-24-20 Kansas is coming off a huge win over then=No.1 ranked and conference rival Baylor Bears and the letdown factor is in play here. Teams that have defeated the No 1 ranked team in the nation on their court and then return home are 5-15 ATS including 1-8 ATS for 12% when installed as double-digit favorites. From the predictive side of things, the Cowboys are 7-3 ATS as an underdog and making at least 77% of their free throw attempts and getting a minimum of 36 rebounds. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS installed as double digit dogs and scoring 75 or more points. |
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02-24-20 | Wolves +13.5 v. Mavs | Top | 123-139 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Dallas 8:35 PM EST, February 24, 2020
From the predictive side, the Timberwolves are 31-9 ATS as a double-digit road underdog and making 45% of their shot attempts and 37.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. |
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02-24-20 | Louisville +3 v. Florida State | Top | 67-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
Louisville vs Florida State
7:00 PM EST 2-24-20
A matchup of two ranked teams with the home team ranked higher and both teams ranked in the Top-10 in the polls and favored by less than three points are 5-12 ATS for 29% wins. From the predictive side of things, Louisville is 19-2 SU and 17-4 ATS for 81% wins covering the spread by an average of 11 points in road games when they have made at least 43% of their shots from beyond the arc and made at least 27 field goals. |
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02-23-20 | Spurs +5 v. Thunder | Top | 103-131 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
San Antonio vs Oklahoma City 7-Star Upset Alert on the San Antonio Spurs The recommended bet is to play a 7-Star amount using the line. Also, as an alternative consider a combination wager comprised of 80% of a 7-Star amount on the line and 20% on the money line. From the predictive side of things, the Spurs are 73-12-3 ATS for 86% winning bets when they have shot at least 48% form the field, made at least 78% of their free throw attempts, and made at least 40% of their shots form beyond the arc; 26-3-2 ATS for 89% winning bets over the last three seasons. |
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02-23-20 | Rider +2 v. St. Peter's | Top | 54-73 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Rider vs St. Peters
2:00 PM EST 2-23-20
From the predictive side of things, Rider is an outstanding 17-2 ATS for 90% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 12.3 points in road games when they have made at least 24 field goals, had fewer turnovers than the opponent and had more assists than the opponent. |
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02-23-20 | Bucknell v. Lehigh +2 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
Bucknell vs Lehigh
12:00 PM EST, 02-23-20 This situational betting system has earned a solid 47-16 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to be on any team that is in a game with a line within three points on either side of pick-em and is revenging a road loss of 10 or more points and is also coming off a closely contested loss by three or fewer points. So the team being bet on, is lined as no more than a 3-point favorite or no more than a three-point underdog. Back on January 18 Lehigh traveled to Bucknell (within about an hour of Penn State) and were dealt a 72-56 loss and failed to cover the spread as 5.5 point road dogs. Lehigh is also coming off a 70-67 loss at Colgate, but easily covered the spread as 13-point underdogs. The Colgate Raiders are leading the Patriots Conference with a 12-3 record so, for Lehigh to nearly pull off the huge upset is a confidence builder and it will spill over into this game as well. From the predictive side of things, the Bison are just 1-9 ATS in road games in which they attempted 55 to 65 shots this season. Lehigh is 22-10 ATS in games in which they have made 47 to 53% of their shot attempts. |
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02-23-20 | Penn State -1 v. Indiana | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 53 m | Show |
Penn State vs Indiana 12:00 PM EST, February 23, 2020
The Hoosiers are 7-8 SU in conference are tied for ninth place with No. 25 Ohio State, which reflects once again how incredibly deep and talented the Big Ten Conference is this season. The Lions are 18-5 ATS in road games when facing defensive teams that are forcing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game after 15 or more games over the last three seasons. The Lions are 13-4 ATS against teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season. Not to mention a sparkling 11-1 ATS after four straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last three seasons. Hoosiers are just 5-15 ATS after two games with nine or fewer offensive rebounds in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive side, the Lions are 11-3 ATS for 79% winning bets in road games when they have shot between 42 and 28% from the field and had more assists than the opponent. |
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02-22-20 | CS Bakersfield +5 v. Seattle University | Top | 54-69 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Cal State Bakersfield vs Seattle This situational betting system that has earned a 62-30-2 ATS record good for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone over the total by 33 or more points in their last five games and in a game between two teams with win percentages between 40 and 49.99% on the season. CSB is a perfect 9-0 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent under head coach Barnes tenure. From the predictive side of things, CSB is 9-1 Straight-up (SU) in games in which they got 12 or more offensive rebounds. |
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02-22-20 | 76ers +9 v. Bucks | Top | 98-119 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Milwaukee 8:35 PM EST, February 22, 2020
There has been talk about if Embiid can coexist with Simmons, which I say is nonsense. Yes, they may not like each other personally, but there have been many dynamic duos that have not shared beers or broke bread together, but still won Championships in every professional sport. I do think Simmons will have a monster game tonight. He is rested and did not play in the 76ers win over the Nets, which saw the 76ers climb to a 16-point lead in the first quarter and then were outscored 44-10 and trailed by 20 points in the second quarter. Simmons is one of the bnest defensive players in the NBA and his presence on the court is going to slow down the Milwaukee Bucks scoring machine. The Bucks are 25-42 for 36% coming off a game in which they had 10 fewer turnovers than the opponent including 12-27 for 30% when the game is at home. From the predictive side of things and why I do believe it is quite possible for the 76ers to win this game, the 76ers re 26-3-1 ATS for 90% winning bets in road games when the have had the better assist-to-turnover ratio and held their opponent to 107 or fewer points in games played since 2015. As an alternative wager, consider a combination bet using 80% of your 10-Star bet size on the line and then 20% on the money line. |
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02-22-20 | Florida +5 v. Kentucky | Top | 59-65 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
Florida vs Kentucky 7-Star Upset Alert on the Florida Gators From the predictive side of things, the Gators are an outstanding 8-3 ATS for 73% in road games when they have had 10 to 13 turnovers and made 72 to 78% of their free throws. The Gators are 30-12 ATS for 71.4% winners when they have made at least nine 3-pointers and made at least 24 field goals in road games including 24-10 ATS for 71% winners in road conference games and 13-5 ATS for 72% as a road dog. |
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02-22-20 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -6 | Top | 55-64 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show |
Eastern Michigan vs Ball State
1:00 PM EST, 02-22-20 Ball State is trying to stay within range of the Northern Illinois Huskies in the West Division of the Mid-American Conference (MAC) and will need to be focused and simply take care of business on their home court. This situational betting query has earned a solid 49-20-1 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on a home team that has posted a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season and is hosting an opponent that is coming off at least three consecutive wins and has posted a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season. From the predictive side of things, the Eagles are just 11-28 ATS for 32% when they have scored 60 or fewer points and shot between 34 and 39% from the field. The Cardinals are an terrific 24-5-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of nine points when allowing 55 to 60 points scored and allowing less than 30% shooting from beyond the arc. |
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02-22-20 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh UNDER 111.5 | Top | 59-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
Virginia vs Pittsburgh 12:00 PM EST, 02-22-20 The betting line opened at 111 points and despite 60% of the bets placed being on the ‘OVER’ the line has dropped to the current level of 108 points. This reflects the fact that there have been much larger sized bets being placed on the ‘UNDER’ – the so-called smart money. Pittsburgh is 25-10 UNDER (+12.3 Units) in home games and facing good ball handling opponents committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last three seasons. This is also the lowest total for a Pitt game since at least 2006,. But for good reasons too as both teams bring an intense defensive attitude in their games. From the predictive side of things, UVA is projected to contain the Pitt offense to 57 or fewer points. UVA is 16-2 ‘UNDER’ in road games since 2010 when holding an opponent to fewer than 57 points. This implies that if UVA allows 56 points they will lose the game in order to stay under the 108 point total. Not is not the case as it is more likely that Pitt scores between 48 and 52 points than scores 56 points. It is the ceiling projection that Pitt will not score more than 56 points is what matters in this matchup. |
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02-22-20 | Kansas +2 v. Baylor | Top | 64-61 | Win | 100 | 1 h 9 m | Show |
Kansas vs Baylor
12:00 PM EST 2-22-20
From the predictive side of things, Kansas is a perfect 10-0 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 12.6 points when they have scored 71 or more points and attempted at least 18 free throws and the opponent is ranked higher in the polls than they are. |
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02-21-20 | Pacers -6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Indiana vs New York
7:35 PM EST, 02-21-20 The Indiana Pacers will play seven of its next nine games on the road and had dropped six in a row before topping Milwaukee 118-111 in their last game before the break. The Pacers had many encouraging signs in the win over the NBA-best Bucks from several players. The Pacers have been trying to get back on track since former All-Star Victor Oladipo returned from surgery to repair a ruptured quad tendon on Jan. 29. Oladipo turned in his most efficient performance with 13 points on 5-of-7 shooting. Point guard Malcolm Brogdon handed out 13 ‘dimes’ and spread the ball extremely well I the half-court sets. The Knicks were riding a four-game winning streak before dropping two straight heading into the break and are still dealing with the fallout after a rumor by a front office marketing executive stated in an interview that the coaching staff was on the way out. The team brass, though, denied that Allegation, but the damage had been done. New York is playing for the future (whatever that means to them) amnd they will put the younger players on task for more minutes down the stretch – a modified form of tanking The Pacers are 30-15 ATS when facing defensive teams that are allowing 46% or worse opponent shooting in game splayed in the second half of each of the last three seasons.
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02-21-20 | St. Peter's v. Manhattan +1 | Top | 67-64 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
St. Peters vs Manahattan
7:00 PM EST 2-20-20
The Peacocks are just 1-10 ATS om the road when the line is within three points of either side of pick-em in games played over the last three seasons. The Jaspers are a solid 19-10 ATS after scoring 65 or fewer points in two consecutive games over the last two seasons. The ‘UNDER’ in these games has gone 21-7-1 (just food for thought).
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02-20-20 | San Francisco +18 v. Gonzaga | Top | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Gonzaga San Francisco is 19-7 ATS when facing up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots-per-game after 15 or more games have been played; 16-5 ATS in road games when facing up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots-per-game. Gonzaga is just 1-9 ATS in home games off a road win over the last two seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Doms are 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets in road games installed as a double-digit underdog and scoring at least 67 points. |
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02-20-20 | Rockets -9.5 v. Warriors | Top | 135-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Houston vs Golden State
10:30 PM EST 2-20-20
Warriors are 4-14 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or more four straight games over the last three seasons.
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02-20-20 | Nets v. 76ers -7 | Top | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers
8:05 PM EST, 02-20-20 This is the final game of the head-to-head series between the Nets and 76ers with the 76ers winning tow of the first three games. The 76ers laid an egg in December, but have won the last two in this series in convincing fashion and both of those wins without their star power forward Joel Embiid. Embiid will be in the lineup and may find it a bit more difficult to score given the presence of Nets DeAndre Jordan, who is always near the top of the league defensively. Still, his presence will open up things on the perimeter for his teammates to bang away at 3’s. The 76ers are 14-5 ATS as a home favorite having covered the spread in two of their last three games and are coming off a game in which they forced only nine turnovers and facing an opponent that has won eight or more of their last 10 games ATS and with the opponent having a lower win percentage than the 76ers. From the predictive side of things, the 76ers are 72-18 ATS for 80% winning bets since 1995 when the playing at home as a 3.5 to 9.5-point favorite and made at least 41 field goals and had the better, more efficient, assist-to-turnover ratio; 29-5 ATS for 85% wins since 2015 and 4-1 ATYS this season. |
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02-20-20 | Bucks -13 v. Pistons | Top | 126-106 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Detroit 7:05 PM EST, February 20, 2020
The Pistons are 8-22 ATS when facing good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 3 or more per game over the last two seasons. The Pistons are 5-17 ATS when facing very good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more points-per-game over the last two seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Bucks are 14-4 ATS when they have allowed 100 to 105 points and force that opponent to make between 14 and 18 turnovers in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-20-20 | Ohio State +3 v. Iowa | Top | 76-85 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
Ohio State vs Iowa 7-Star Best Bet on the Ohio State Buckeyes Iowa is a money-burning 5-14 ATS when facing good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4 or more per game after 15 games have been played in each of the last three seasons. Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less this season. From the predictive side of things, the Buckeyes are a solid 9-2 ATS in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in games played over the last two seasons; 83-38 ATS when they score 75 to 80 points in a game; Iowa is a terrible 3-14 ATS when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3-pointers in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-19-20 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State -5.5 | Top | 76-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Mississippi State vs South Carolina
9:00 PM EST, 02-19-20 Both South Carolina and Mississippi State have their work cut out for them to get the attention of the NCAA selection committee and to earn one of the coveted double-byes in the SEC conference Tournament. I believe the Bulldogs will take a large stride toward achieving both goals with a dominating win tonight in Starkville, Mississippi. After starting the conference portion of the season with three consecutive losses the Bulldogs have clawed their way back to sixth place and trail conference-leading Kentucky by 2.5 games and are only 1-game behind second-place Auburn in a log jam of six teams. They are coming off a come-from-behind win over Arkansas by a final count of 78-77 and covered the spread as a 2.5-point road underdog. The following situational betting query has earned a terrific 73-36-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record and 67.2% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to home favorites of 3 to 9.5 points that are coming off an upset win over a conference foe and in a game involving both teams with win percentages between 60 and 80% on the season. The Bulldogs are an excellent rebounding team and rank second in the conference in allowed offensive rebounds. In defending their glass well they limit an opponents’ second chance scoring opportunities. Not good news for SC as they are an imperfect 0-7 ATS when facing a dominant rebounding team that is outrebounding opponents by 7 or more per game over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Bulldogs are 14-4 SU and 9-3-1 ATS for 75% winners when they have played a game making between 31 and 37% of their 3-point attempts and attempted between 54 and 62 shots. The Bulldogs are 14-0 SU and 8-1 ATS for 89% winning tickets when they have had 40 or more rebounds and made between 31 and 37% of their 3-point shot attempts. |
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02-19-20 | Duke v. NC State +7 | Top | 66-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
Duke vs NC State
9:00 PM EST 2-18-20
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