Xavier vs DePaul

8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 150.5 points and is valid down to 148.5 points.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 157.5 points during the first half of action.

Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois

8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.

The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team is the underdog.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action.

(12) Iowa State vs (18) Baylor
8:00 ET | ESPN

Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
10-Unit MAX Bet on Baylor -3.5 points and is valid to -5.5 points.

Betting on ranked teams that are ranked higher in numeric value in the AP poll (Baylor ranked 18th and Iowa State ranked 12th) and are at home facing a conference foe have gone 294-180 SU (62%) and 176-133-8 ATS (57%) since 2006. If the line is between 3.5 and 6.5 points these home ranked teams have gone 7-1 SUATS since 2018.

In a ranked matchup of conference foes where the home team is favored between 1.5 and 10.5 points and the total is between 135 and 145 points, the home team has gone 60-17 SU and 47-27-3 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2006. If the home team has won 75% or more of their games on the season, they improve to 44-11 SU and 36-17-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2006. If we drill down a bit further into the matchup and include only games after the 15th one of the regular season, these homers have gone 32-5 SU and 24-11-2 ASTS for 69% winning bets.

ISU is just 2-12 ATS in road games facing teams that attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game on the season over the last two seasons. Baylor is 6-0 ATS when facing teams who are called for 3+ less fouls per game than their opponents over the last three seasons.

From the predictive model we expect Baylor to score 77 or more points and shoot 42% or higher form beyond the arc and have no more than 15 turnovers. In past home games when they met or exceeded these performance hurdles, they have gone on to a highly profitable 102-4 SU record and 53-7 ATS mark good for 88% winning bets since 2006. In games in which ISU allowed these measures has seen them go a terrible 12-56 SU and 5-31-1 ATS for 14% winning bets.

Brooklyn Nets vs 76ers

Wells Fargo Arena

6 EST

8-UNIT BET on the Brooklyn Nets plus the points and is valid down to pick-em.

Ben Simmons is listed as probable for this game against his former team and you can be sure he will know form the fans that he is playing in the City of Brotherly Love. He returned from a significant lower back neurological injury to nearly record a triple-double against the Utah Jazz in just 20 minutes. So, in games he has played this season he has put up better numbers than last season, for instance. Do not forget, that does rank 31st on the all-time NBA list in triple-doubles and if he does start tonight, making a pizza money bet on him to get that triple-double is an excellent betting opportunity.

Embiid is listed as OUT for tonight and with Maxey coming off a 52-point game, the 76ers are prone to regression.

The following betting algorithm has gone 114-181 and 181-111-3 ATS for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on road teams avenging a loss to the current foe.

Ø  That team is coming off a double-digit home loss.

If in a divisional matchup, our road team has produced an 81-38 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois

8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.

The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip.

NIU is 12-3 ATS when facing teams that average 6 or less steals per game on the season after 15 or more games in each of the past three seasons. EMU is a money-burning 0-8 ATS in road games after two or more consecutive UNDER results over the last three seasons.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team is the underdog.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action.

Morehead State vs Tennessee Tech

8-Unit best bet on Tennessee Tech plus 11 points and is valid of the remain a double-digit underdog.

TTECH is not a good basketball team. However, there are solid teams ATS in specific situations. They are 9-1 ATS having lost eight or more of their last 10 games over the last three seasons; 6-0 ATS in home games avenging a loss to the current opponent by double-digits over the last two seasons. TTECH head coach Pelphrey is 28-12 ATS in home games when facing low pressure defensive teams that are forcing 14 or fewer turnovers per game after 15 games in all games he has coached.

Detroit Mercy vs Robert Morris

8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 144.5 points and is valid down to 143.5 points.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 39-23 Under for 63% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under between 143 and 152 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

If the home dog is priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points, the Under has gone 17-8 for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 151.5 points during the first half of action.

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers

7:30 ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse

10-Unit best bet on the Kings minus the 3.5 points and is valid to 5.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 231-69 SU and 191-102-7 ATS (65%) winning bets since 2000. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on a Western Conference Road team.

Ø  That road team is favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Ø  That team is avenging a loss to the current host in their previous meeting.

If our road team is playing on less rest than the host the record improves to 67-17 SU for 80% and 55-26-3 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2000.

For live betting considerations and knowing that the algo shows an 80% SU record, bet 75% of your 10-Unit betting amount at -3.5 points and then add 25% of that amount at pick-em during the first half of action.

From the predictive models we are expecting the Kings to score 127 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist to turnover ratio. In past road games in which the Kings met or exceeded these expectations has produced a 47-9 SU record for 84% and a 42-11-3 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The Pacers are a horrid 1-32 SU and 7-26 ATS for 21% winning bets when allowing these performance measures.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz

10:00 ET | The Delta Center

8-Unit best bet on the 76ers getting a plus 4.5 points and is valid down to +3.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 48-47 SU and 61-32-2 ATS (65.6%) winning bets since 2014 (10 seasons). The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

Ø  That road team is playing at least their fourth consecutive road game.

Ø  That road team has lost all of the previous three road games.

If our road team is playing on one day of rest exact they improve to 20-13 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2014.

The 76ers have used 15 different lineups and there have been 3 games in which Maxey and Embiid have not started. In those games they have gone 0-3, but 2-1 ATS and nearly took don the Celtics earlier this year and the Nuggets this past Saturday. The team already knows Embiid will be out for tonight and likely to be out until after the all-star break. That is great news for the 76ers having these injuries happen to several of their players this close to the break. In games played with a different starting five than the previous game, the 76ers are 8-3 SU and 6-5 ATS. Tonight they are the dog and knowing they are 8-3 having a different starting five presents a powerful opportunity.

The current market pricing the 76ers as 4.5-point underdogs and a total of 234.5 points reflects a 119-115 Jazz win. My predictive models project an 83% probability that the 76ers will score at least 114 points and have the better and more efficient assist to turnover ratio. So, again, the market pricing and my predictive models is reflecting the expectation that Maxey and Embiid will be out tonight. However, in most cases like this one the market over reacts and presents a solid betting opportunity to get on the dog tonight knowing that the 76ers are 111-12 SU (90%) and 95-28 ATS for 77% winning bets and if on the road as a dog they are 11-3 SU and 13-1 ATS for 93% wining bets over the past five seasons.

Morehead State vs Tennessee State
8 EST | 8-Unit best bet on Tennessee State (TS) plus 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

TS is a solid 11-2 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last three seasons; 15-4 ATS in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons; 24-9 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. TS head coach Collis is a perfect in home games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games.

From the predictive model TS is expected to score 70 or more points and for Morehead to have at least four ore turnovers than TS. In past games in which TS has met these projections has seen them go 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets.

Old Dominion vs Marshall

7:00 EST |

8-Unit Bet on ODU plus the 9 points and is valid down to 7.5 points.

Consider adding a sprinkle on the money line that is not more than 0.5 units. If you like the money line more than just a sprinkle then reduce the spread bet to 7 units and add 1.5 units on the money line to make the combination wager a little more aggressive.

ODU is on an 11-3 ATS run when facing teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game after 15+ games spanning the last two seasons. Marshall is 3-18 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent in each game.

From the predictive model, ODU is a perfect 7-0 ATS when scoring 71 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons.

San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks
10:30 EST | NHLPP|ESPN+

Honda Center
8-Unit bet on the Sharks using the money line +155 and is valid down to +140.

The following NHL betting algorithm has produced a 79-42 record for 65% winning tickets that have averaged a -122 wager and earned a profitable 24% ROI since 2006. A $1000 bettor has made $32,850. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on any team off a home shutout win over a divisional rival.

Ø  The opponent is coming off a road win.

If our team is playing on back-to-back nights, they surge to a 10-2 SU record for 83% winning tickets averaging a +145 wager and earning a highly profitable 91% ROI since 2006.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trailblazers

Moda Center, Portland, Oregon | 10:00 ET | ESPN

8-Unit Bet on the Bucks -9.5 points and is valid to -11 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 103-15 SU record and a 76-39-3 ATS mark for 66% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on winning record road favorites of 7.5 or more points.

Ø  Game is being played in the second half of the season.

Ø  The foe is on no more than two game win streak.

Ø  The foe has won between 25 and 40% of their games on the season.

Vanderbilt vs Auburn

Neville Arena, Auburn, AL

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 142.5 points and is valid to 142.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 62-34 Under record for 65% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet Under the total between 140 and 150.

Ø  The road team is coming off a double-digit loss.

Ø  The host is coming off a road upset loss.

If our road team is the underdog, the Under improves to a 56-27 record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Consider betting 70% preflop at 142.5 points and then at 15% more at 146.5 points and 15% more at 149.5 points during the first half of action.

Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat

7:30 ET | Kaseya Center

8-Unit best bet on the Kings getting a point and remains valid to -2.5-point favorites.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 55-48 SU and 72-30-1 ATS (71%) winning bets since 2016. From 2016 to the current game scoring has been on a historic rise lead wide and is the reason this season is selected as the starting point for the algorithm. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on road teams.

Ø  That road team lost to the host in their previous meeting by 3 or fewer points.

Ø  The host is coming off an upset loss.

If our road team is priced as a dog of not more than 6.5 points, they have soared to a highly profitable 19-12 SU and 25-6 ATS (81%) winning bets record since 2016. Also, road teams that lost by three or fewer points in the previous meeting with the host and playing on one day of rest exact facing that host who is coming off an upset loss have gone an impressive 38-25 SU and 46-16-1 ATS for 75% winning bets since 2016.

The base algorithm has had 10 consecutive seasons producing profits with winning ATS records. Over these years the worst losing streak was 4 straight games that overlapped the 2021 and 2022 seasons. The longest losing streak in a specific season has been three games ATS. Looking at the first derivative when this system lost the previous bet has bounced back with an 18-10 ATS 64% winning record. The last active game for this algorithm lost SU and ATS when the San Antonio Spurs lost to the Atlanta Hawks 109-99 as 8-point underdogs. For the 2023 season, this algorithm is 5-2 ATS for 71.4% winning bets.

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Rocket Mortgage Field House, Cleveland | 7 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Cavaliers minus the 12.5 points and is valid up to 14.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has done very well posting a 32-16 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on any team facing a foe coming off a home win of 8 or more points.

Ø  In that win they had 8 fewer fouls called on them than their season-to-date average.

If our team has a winning record and the game takes place in the second half of the regular season they improve to a 10-4 ATS mark good for 71.4% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Wichita State vs Tulsa

7 EST | Donald W. Reynolds Center, Tulsa, OK
8-Unit bet on Tulsa using the money line if priced at -1.5 or less.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 50-21 SU record and a 38-21-5 ATS mark for 64% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on any team that is outscoring their opponents by 3.5 to 8 points per game.

Ø  Game occurs after the 15th one of the season.

Ø  Our team is coming off five consecutive games in which they allowed 75 or more points in each one.

Ø  That team is facing a foe that has a scoring differential between -3.5 and +3.5 PPG.

If our team has recorded an effective field goal percentage of 50% or better over their last five games, their record improves to 28-6 SU and 18-9-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Richmond at Fordham
7 PM EST

8-Unit Bet on the Fordham Rams getting 2 points. If this line drops to 1.5 dog and at most 1.5-point favorite use the money line. So, this bet is valid to -1.5-point favorite.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 42-19 SU record and a 43-17-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on home teams priced between a 3-point favorite and a 3-point dog.

Ø  That home team has earned a win percentage between 40 and 50%.

Ø  That home team has played Under the total by 30 or more points over their last five games.

Seattle Kraken vs San Jose Sharks
SAP Center at San Jose | 10:30 PM EST
8-Unit Bet on the San Jose Sharks using the money line currently priced at +170 and is valid to +150.

The following NHL algorithm has produced a 144-133, averaging a +144 underdog and earning 77 units per unit wagered over the past 25 seasons and a highly profitable 25% ROI. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on underdogs using the money line.

Ø  That dog has played two consecutive home games.

Ø   That dog is facing a foe having played four consecutive home games.

If our underdog is playing at home, their improves to 58-42 for 58% winning bets averaging a +133 wager and earning a 32% Roi over the past 25 seasons.

From the predictive model, we learn that Seattle is 2-13 losing 12.5 units per unit wagered when they have allowed 27 or more shots on goal this season.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State Warriors

10:00 ET | Chase Center

8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the 3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Keep in mind that Joel Embiid and Maxey have not played in the last two games and it is unknown currently if either will be suiting up tonight. The 76ers have lost three consecutive road games and they would like nothing more than to end this streak tonight, but the health of both players is paramount first and foremost.

We saw the line jump from a 5.5 point dog to 13.5 points when it was announced close to the tip of the game that they 76ers two studs were not playing in the game. Still, the 76ers easily covered and nearly defeated the Nuggets, who were at full strength. I would bet no more than 50% of your normal bet size now and then look for the news to surface declaring either player starting or is OUT. I do think there is a lean on this line that Maxey will play and Embiid will be out. However, if Embiid and Maxey are both good to go in this game, the line will will move toward pick-em in a NY second.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 28-40 SU record, but a solid 45-22-1 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on a road team that is playing the second game of back-to-backs.

Ø  That team has lost their last three games all on the road.

If the game is not a conference matchup, our road team improves to an highly profitable 19-24 SU and 30-12-1 ATS for 71.4 % winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan
7 PM EST |
8-Unit bet on the NIU +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

If you like NIU to win this game outright then consider placing 6.5 units on the line and 1.5 units on the money line.

The following Money Line College Basketball betting system has gone 99-115 for 46% winners, but by averaging a +158-money line wager has earned 45 units per unit wagered over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on any team that has allowed 47% or higher shooting in three consecutive games.

Ø  That team is facing a foe that has allowed 40% or lower shooting in each of their last three games.

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks

8:30 ET | American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas.

8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks minus the four points and is valid up to -5.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 115-126 SU record, but a solid 141-98-2 ATS record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on any team that has lost five or six of their last 7 games.

Ø  That team has a winning record on the season.

Ø  The opponent has a winning record on the season.

If our team is playing at home and priced as the favorite, they have improved to a highly profitable 51-17 SU (75%) and 45-23 ATS mark good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. Last, if our home favorite has posted a 1.8 or higher assist-to-turnover ratio they soar to an 18-6 SUATS mark for 75% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Mavericks preflop and then look to add 30% more at Mavericks priced at pick-em.  

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

7:30 ET | NBA TV

8-Unit Bet on the Heat -3.5 points and is valid up to 4.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 115-126 SU record, but a solid 141-98-2 ATS record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on any team that has lost five or six of their last 7 games.

Ø  That team has a winning record on the season.

Ø  The opponent has a winning record on the season.

If our team is playing at home and priced as the favorite, they have improved to a highly profitable 51-17 SU (75%) and 45-23 ATS mark good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. Last, if our home favorite has posted a 1.8 or higher assist-to-turnover ratio they soar to an 18-6 SUATS mark for 75% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Heat preflop and then look to add 30% more at pick-em.

Boston University vs Holy Cross

7 ET | Hart Center, Worcester, MA

8-Unit bet on Holy Cross +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Let’s get right to the predictive model that projects Holy Cross will score 69 or more points and commit 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games over the past five seasons when Holy Cross has met or exceeded these performance measures in home games has led to a 4-4 SU record and a 6-1 ATS record good for 86% winning bets over the past two seasons. Boston University is 10-26 ATS for 28% when allowing 69 or more points and forcing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. Holy Cross has not been lined to all games over the lifetime as a Division-1 Basketball program.

Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers

8-Unit bet on the 49ers minus the 7 points and is valid up 7.5 points.

Consider betting 75% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 25% on two parts consisting of 15% on the 49ers -4.5 points and 10% more at -1.5 points during the first half of action.

Home teams in the conference championship that failed to cover the spread in their divisional win and had fewer than 30 minutes of time of possession are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS. The only loss was when the team was on the road. The Green Bay packers traveled to Seattle to take on the Seahawks as 8.5-point underdogs and enjoyed a 16-point half time lead. How, the Seahawks stormed back with 22 second-half points (15 of them scored in the fourth quarter) and won 28-22. So, home teams in this role are undefeated and in any round of the playoffs have gone 17-12-1 ATS for 59% and

Supporting this bet on the 49ers is the following algorithm that has gone 25-13 (66%) SU and 25-12-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home favorites in the playoffs.

·      Facing an opponent that won 5 or more games, but were outgained in the stats.

·      That opponent is coming off a home win.

If in the Conference Championship Game

Ø  11-3 SU | 12-2 86% ATS | 8-6 O-U

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks

8-Unit bet on the Raptors +6.5 points and is a valid bet down to 5 points.

The following betting algorithm has earned an 48-72 SU record, but an impressive 77-41-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet on road teams playing with same season revenge.

Ø  The road team is coming off a home loss by double-digits.

Ø  The Total in the game is 220 or more points.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

10-Unit bet on the Chiefs plus 3 or more points.

Consider betting 60% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on the Chiefs at +6.5 and then 20% more at +9.5 points during the first half of action.

5-Unit Bet OVER 44.5 points.

Consider betting just 40% preflop on the total because the first quarter scoring in these Championship games sees the least amount of points scored. Then if the game does go accoding to plan, you will be able to add 30% more at 41.5 points and 30% more at 39.5 points at some point during the first half of action. The downside is that if the game starts out fast, you are likely to only have 40% bet on the Over preflop, but that also implies that bet will be winning by margin at the half.

CBS Sports noted that Kyle Shanahan of the 49ers was 0-31 SU when trailing by five or more points entering the fourth quarter and last week’s comeback against the Packer’s was the first time he and the 49ers overcame that type of deficit to win a game. However, this type of stat is a bit misleading starting with the fact that all NFL coaches and their teams have had few wins when trailing by 5 or more points entering the fourth. In 49ers history Mike Nolan went 0-27 and Dennis Erickson went 0-27, for instance. Bill Belichick went 19-102, Jeff Fisher went 12-108, Tom Coughlin went 15-94, and Andy Reid went 20-80 to round out the top-4 coaches records with 100 or more trailing by 5+ entering the fourth quarter.

Speaking of Reid, he is tops on the coaching list with 20 come from behind fourth quarter wins trailing by 5+ points. In case you were wondering Jay Gruden went 0-34 for his career when trailing by 5+ points entering the fourth quarter.

In week 16 on Monday Night Football, the Chiefs were priced as 11.5-point favorites and trailed by 20-7 entering the fourth and lost 20-14 to the AFC West Division rival Raiders. Ten of the 20 wins in this situation for coach Reid have occurred with the Chiefs and prior to that with the Eagles. With the Chiefs he is 7-3 ATS in those 10 games, so keep that in mind too if they are trailing entering the fourth.

Since 2019, the Chiefs have played in a league-high 32 games in which they and their opponents enjoyed 6 or more-point leads at some point during these games. What is remarkable is Reid has won 26 of these 32 games and went 17-9 ATS and 18-8 OVER. So, I do see many lead changes in this AFC Championship game against the Ravens.

Supporting this bet on the Chiefs is the following algorithm that has gone 31-39 SU and 49-21-3 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

·      Our dog has committed no more than one turnover in each of their last two games.

·      The host forced zero turnovers in their previous game.

if the game occurs in the playoffs our dogs have gone 4-5 SU and 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Although just two games, these dogs have gone 1-1 and 2-0 ATS in the Conference Championship.

            Player Prop bets for Both games today:

1)    Bet Mahomes OVER 1.5 passing TDs -110

2)    Bet Mahomes OVER 25.5 completions +115

3)    Bet Kelce OVER 63.5 receiving yards -110

4)    Bet Pacheco OVER 15.5 longest rush -105

5)    Bet Pacheco Over 63.5 rushing yards -115

6)    Bet Goff OVER 2.5 passing TDs +300

7)    Bet George Kittle most receiving yards +550

Analysts will say that Kyle Hamilton will take away Kelce. Maybe. The fact that TEs have done well against this defense bodes well for Kelce. He’s had 71+ yards in each playoff game. The Chiefs will need him if they want to have a chance to score 20+ points.

LA Kings vs St. Louis Blues
8-Unit Under the posted total of 6.5 goals

Bet the under with a total of 6 or more goals.

Our road team has allowed three or more goals in each of their last three games.

The opponent has scored three or more goals in each of their last three games.

These parameters have combined to produce a 174-136-7 record for 56% winning bets and earning a solid 16% ROI since 2017.

If the road team has a win percentage above .500 the Under has gone 69-48-4 for 59% and earning a 21% ROI.

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

8-Unit bet on the Mavericks plus the three points and is valid if they remain the dog.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Mavericks at +6.5 or better during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 24-22 (52%) SU and 30-15-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points.

·      Our dog has allowed 115 or more points in five consecutive games.

·      The favorite has scored 115 or more points in each of their two previous games.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks

8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus 5 points and is valid up 6.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Bucks at -1.5 or better during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Bucks is the following algorithm that has gone 38-22 SU and 39-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home teams in the second half of the regular season.

·      The home team has won 60 to 75% of their games.

·      The home team has lost to the spread by 47 or more points spanning their last 7 games.

·      The opponent has posted a winning record.

If our home team is playing the second game of a back-to-back schedule they soar to 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2019.

Tulsa vs Rice

8-Unit bet on Tulsa plus the 3 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on Tulsa at +7.5 or better during the first half of action.

Rice is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 1-8 ATS when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by four or more PPG this season; 8-18-1 ATS when facing a conference foe spanning the last two seasons; 0-6 ATS following three consecutive games in which they committed no more than 14 turnovers in each of the three games.

From the predictive models we learn that Tulsa is 15-6 SU and 12-6-1 ATS for 67% winning bets when scoring 74 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past five seasons.

Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz

8-Unit bet on the Jazz minus 10 points and is valid up 11.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Jazz at -6.5 or better during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 257-60 (81%) SU and 191-119-7 ATS for 62% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road favorites between -5.5 and -10.5 points.

·      Our road team has scored 5 or more points above the league average scoring level in their last three games.

If the host is playing on back-to-back nights our road favorite soars to a highly profitable 45-7 (87%) SU and 36-16-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2004.

Arkansas vs Kentucky

8-Unit bet on the Razorbacks plus 7.5 points and is valid to 6 points

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Razorbacks at +11.5 or better during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Razorbacks is the following algorithm that has gone 15-100 SU and 70-44-1 ATS for 61.4% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs of 6 or more points.

·      Our dog is coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe.

·      The opponent is coming off an road upset loss.

If our dog is playing at home and their average points plus the foe’s average points per game is more than the posted total, our dog’s record improves to a highly profitable 5-18 SU and 17-6 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Boston Bruins vs Philadelphia Flyers
8-Unit bet on the Flyers using the money line starting at 12:30 PM EST, Saturday.

Betting on underdogs that have won fewer games than their opponent.

The favorite has won 60% or more their games on the season and is coming off a road win.

This set of simple to use parameters has earned a highly profitable 77-67 record for 55% winning bets that have averaged a +135 wager and earned an amazing 21% ROI since 2015.

Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets

8-Unit bet on the Rockets minus the 5.5 points and is valid up 6.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Rockets -2.5 15% more at pick-em points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Rockets is the following algorithm that has gone 341-117 SU and 275-166-17 ATS for 63% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road favorites of not more than 12 points

·      Facing a host that is getting outscored by 6 or more PPG.

·      Our favorite has held their previous five opponents to 9 or fewer points less than the league scoring average.

·      The game takes place in the second half of the season.

Pacific vs St. Mary’s
8-Unit bet on Pacific plus 27.5 points and is valid to 24.5 points

Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on Pacific at +34.5 points during the first half of action. This is a monster dog and upon occasion the models do identify a great opportunity with these horrible playing teams going up against a top-level conference foe.

Supporting this bet on Pacific is the following algorithm that has gone 11-113 SU, bnut a hioghly profitable 81-43 ATS for 65.3% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are:

·      Bet on double-digit underdogs.

·      The dog is coming off three consecutive losses to conference foes.

·      The favorite is coming off an upset win on the road.

If the foe is not ranked in the latest Top-25 AP poll our dogs improve to a 64-36 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 1995.

San Francisco vs Gonzaga
8-Unit bet on Gonzaga -8.5 points and is valid to -9.5 points.

Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on two parts consisting of 10% on the Zags at -6.5 and 10% on the Zags at -3.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Zags is the following algorithm that has gone 70-20 SU and 52-36-2 ATS for 59% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

·      The favorite is outscoring their foes by an average 10 or more PPG.

·      The favorite is playing on four or more days of rest.

·      The favorite led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game.

If the game is after the 13th game of the regular season our favorites have gone an impressive 24-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks
8-Unit bet on the Nuggets -2.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Nuggets at +1.5 and 15% on the Nuggets at +4.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 366-135 SU and 309-182-10 ATS for 63% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road favorites between -1.5 and -11 points.

·      The game is a non-conference matchup.

·      The road team is a member of the Western Conference.

·      The road team lost the last time they faced this host.

If the favorite is averaging 25 or more assists per game, they soar to a 93-27 SU record and an 80-46-3 ATS record good for 64% winning bets since 1995 and

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets
8-Unit bet on the Nets plus +3.5 points and is valid if the remain the underdog.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Nets at +6.5 and 15% on the Nets at +9.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Nets is the following algorithm that has gone 53-42 SU and 60-28-7 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home dogs of 5 or fewer points.

·      The visitor is playing the second game of back-to-back nights.

·      The visitor played on the road previous night and won by double-digits.

If the total in the game is 220 or fewer points our home dog goes to earn a highly profitable 30-18 SU mark and 32-13-3 ATS for 71% winning bets since 2015.

Utah Jazz vs Washington Wizards

8-Unit bet on the Jazz minus the 7.5 points and is valid up 9.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Jazz at -4.5 and 15% on the Jazz at -1.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 149-38 SU and 120-64-3 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are:

·      Bet on favorites between 3 and 14 points.

·      The opponent had 13 more turnovers than their previous opponent.

If the underdog is playing the second of back-to-back nights, our favorite’s record improves to 33-9 SU and 29-13 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1995.

NY Islanders vs Montreal Canadiens
8-Unit bet on the Canadiens +125 and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Supporting this bet on the Canadiens is the following algorithm that has gone 60-36 for 63% winning bets and has averaged a +112 wager and earned a highly profitable 25% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home teams using the money line.

·      The home team is coming off a humiliating home loss by three or more goals to a divisional rival.

·      The game takes place in January.

If our home team is an underdog their record improves to 25-23 averaging a +1255 wager and earning a 33% ROI over the past five seasons.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings
8-Unit bet on the red Wings -110 and is valid up to -125.

Supporting this bet on the Red Wings is the following algorithm that has gone 50-18 for 74% winning bets and has averaged a -122 wager and earned a highly profitable 37% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on any team that allowed five or more goals in their previous game.

·      The opponent has lost three consecutive games by two or more goals in each game.

If our team is playing at home they have gone 22-6 for 79% winning bets averaging a -145 bet and earning a 40% ROI over the past five seasons.

Illinois vs Northwestern
8-Unit bet on Northwestern +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 158-91 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home teams from pick-em to any size underdog.

·      Game is after the 15th game of the season.

·      The home team allows an average of 67 to 74 PPG.

·      Facing a foe that is averaging 78 or more PPG.

·      That foe is coming off two straight Over results.

Northwestern plays a bit slower style of game than Illinois and having the home court advantage will allow NWU to control the tempo of the game to their advantage. This is a critical game for Northwestern and with a win puts them into the coference champion conversation and off the NCAA bubble chat.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit bet on the Mavericks plus the 2 points and is valid down to pick-em.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points.

·      That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games.

·      The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus the 6.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points.

After firing Adrian Griffin, the Milwaukee Bucks have reached out to Doc Rivers and are engaging him in conversations about the franchise's head-coaching job, sources told ESPN on Tuesday. Griffin had a 30-13 (.698) record, but the Bucks had dropped from fourth to 22nd in defensive efficiency from a season ago, although some of that can be attributed to the loss of All-Star guard Jrue Holiday.

So, a breath of fresh air and the removal of the uncertain status of their head coach has been removed from the team culture and many times this lends itself to an outstanding first game under the new head coach or even an interim coach.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 54-29 SU record and a 55-26-2 ATS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by a total of 47 or more points over their last seven games.

·      That team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season.

·      The guest has a winning record.

If the game takes place in the second half of the season these teams have earned a 38-22 SU mark and 29-19-2 ATS mark good for 67.2% winning bets since 2019.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 33-19 SU record and a 34-17-1 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on a home team that has lost three or more games to the spread.

·      The visitor has covered the spread in 7 or more of their last 8 games.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit bet on the Mavericks plus the 2 points and is valid down to pick-em.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points.

·      That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games.

·      The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies +10 points and is valid to 9.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Grizzlies at +13.5 and 15% on the Grizzlies at +16.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Grizzlies is the following algorithm that has gone 70-40-2 for 64% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road underdogs with a win percentage between 25 and 40% on the season.

·      Our road dog is coming off a road win.

·      The host has a winning record on the season.

·      The game occurs after the 21st game of the regular season (25% of the season).

If our dog is priced at 9 or more points they have earned a 37-13-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets since 2016.

The Heat are playing with two days of rest and coming off a terrible 18-point drubbing to the Orlando Magic and failed to cover the spread priced as 1-point favorites. The Grizzlies are playing with one day of rest and coming off an 8-point win over the Toronto Raptors and covered the spread by 15.5 points priced as 7.5-[point unde4dogs.

Carolina vs Boston
8-Unit bet on Carolina +115 using the money line
7:37 EST

The following NHL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 52-30 record for 64% winners and has made 31 Units earning a 40% ROI in each of the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road teams using the money line.

·      That road team has played their two previous games at home.

·      The home team is playing their fifth consecutive home game.

Jax State vs Middle Tennessee State
8-Unit bet on MTST at pick-em and is good to a -1.5-point favorite.

MTST is 40-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after the 15th game of the regular since 1997; 24-11 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game; 15-4 ATS in home games following a conference game spanning the past three seasons; 26-12 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive road losses. JAX State head coach Harper is just 4-13 ATS when the total has been fewer than 130 points. MTST head coach McDevitt is 12-3 ATS after the 15th game of the season playing at home and facing a foe that is shooting 45% or better from the field.

Auburn vs Alabama
8-Unit bet on Auburn plus the 3 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The line and total for this game conveys an 83-79 Alabama win. My predictive models show an 84% probability that Auburn will score 78 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Auburn met or exceeded these performance measures in their road games has seen them go 22-3 SU and 19-4-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Alabama is 7-9 SU and 2-14 ATS for 13% winners in home games when they allowed 78 or more points and had the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons.

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons
8-Unit bet on the OVER currently priced at 230.5 points.

5-Unit Bet on the Pistons -3 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% Over 230.5 and 15% Under at 227.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Over is the following algorithm that has gone 31-18-1 Over for 63% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Over

·      The home team is coming off three excellent games posting a 2.5 or better assists to turnover ratio.

·      The guest has posted a season-to-date assists to turnover ratio below 2.

If the total in the game is between 225.5 and 239.5 points the Over has gone 16-7 for 70% winning bets since 2018.

If the team on with three straight games posting an excellent 2.5 or more assist to turnover ratio has lost their last two games has seen them go 10-3 SU and ATS for 77% wins and if on a three-game losing streak they have gone 5-1 SUATS.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus the 6.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points.

After firing Adrian Griffin, the Milwaukee Bucks have reached out to Doc Rivers and are engaging him in conversations about the franchise's head-coaching job, sources told ESPN on Tuesday. Griffin had a 30-13 (.698) record, but the Bucks had dropped from fourth to 22nd in defensive efficiency from a season ago, although some of that can be attributed to the loss of All-Star guard Jrue Holiday.

So, a breath of fresh air and the removal of the uncertain status of their head coach has been removed from the team culture and many times this lends itself to an outstanding first game under the new head coach or even an interim coach.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 54-29 SU record and a 55-26-2 ATS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by a total of 47 or more points over their last seven games.

·      That team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season.

·      The guest has a winning record.

If the game takes place in the second half of the season these teams have earned a 38-22 SU mark and 29-19-2 ATS mark good for 67.2% winning bets since 2019.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 33-19 SU record and a 34-17-1 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on a home team that has lost three or more games to the spread.

·      The visitor has covered the spread in 7 or more of their last 8 games.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit bet on the Mavericks plus the 2 points and is valid down to pick-em.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points.

·      That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games.

·      The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games.

OKC Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
5-Unit bet on the Thunder -7 points and is valid to -9.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 70-91 SU record and a 95-65-1 ATS mark good for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road teams playing the second game of back-to-backs.

·      The road team has played Under by 48 or more points spanning their 10 previous games.

·      The host that has covered the spread by 54 or more points over their 10 previous games.

If our road team is playing on the second of back-to-back games they improve to 16-20 SU and 25-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Jax State vs Middle Tennessee State
8-Unit bet on MTST at pick-em and is good to a -1.5-point favorite.

MTST is 40-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after the 15th game of the regular since 1997; 24-11 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game; 15-4 ATS in home games following a conference game spanning the past three seasons; 26-12 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive road losses. JAX State head coach Harper is just 4-13 ATS when the total has been fewer than 130 points. MTST head coach McDevitt is 12-3 ATS after the 15th game of the season playing at home and facing a foe that is shooting 45% or better from the field.

Illinois vs Northwestern
8-Unit bet on Northwestern +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 158-91 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home teams from pick-em to any size underdog.

·      Game is after the 15th game of the season.

·      The home team allows an average of 67 to 74 PPG.

·      Facing a foe that is averaging 78 or more PPG.

·      That foe is coming off two straight Over results.

Northwestern plays a bit slower style of game than Illinois and having the home court advantage will allow NWU to control the tempo of the game to their advantage. This is a critical game for Northwestern and with a win puts them into the coference champion conversation and off the NCAA bubble chat.

Auburn vs Alabama
8-Unit bet on Auburn plus the 3 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The line and total for this game conveys an 83-79 Alabama win. My predictive models show an 84% probability that Auburn will score 78 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Auburn met or exceeded these performance measures in their road games has seen them go 22-3 SU and 19-4-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Alabama is 7-9 SU and 2-14 ATS for 13% winners in home games when they allowed 78 or more points and had the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons.

Carolina vs Boston
8-Unit bet on Carolina +115 using the money line
7:37 EST

The following NHL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 52-30 record for 64% winners and has made 31 Units earning a 40% ROI in each of the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road teams using the money line.

·      That road team has played their two previous games at home.

·      The home team is playing their fifth consecutive home game.

Buffalo vs Anaheim

10:07 PM EST
8-Unit Bet on Buffalo using the money line currently priced at +145 and is valid to +130.

The following betting algorithm has gone 135-95 for 59% averaging a +121 wager and earning a 24% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team coming off a home loss by two or more goals in the second half of the season. It’s that simple and we have a live dog here.

Evansville vs Northern Iowa
8-Unit Bet on Evansville +13.5 points and is valid f they remain a double-digit underdog.

The following college basketball betting algorithm has gone 27-46 SU, but a highly profitable 45-26-2 ATS for 63.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are:

·      Betting on underdogs.

·      The Dog has failed to cover the spread by 42 or more points over their last five games.

·      The opponent has seen their last five games play Under by 55 or more points spanning their last five games.

If the total in the game is posted at 140 or more points, these dogs improve to 20-23 SU and 29-13-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015.

Toledo vs Northern Illinois

8 EST
8-Unit Bet on Northern Illinois +5.5 points and is valid to 4.5 points.

Here are a few of the situational betting angles supporting NIU in this game. Toledo is 2-9 ATS when facing a team whose defense averages 14 or fewer turnovers per game. NIU is 37-16 AYTS when facing an elite ball handling team committing an average of 12 or fewer turnovers per game after the 15 game the regular season spanning the past 20 seasons. Toledo is 1-11 ATS after having won three of their last four games spanning the past two seasons; 26-13 ATS after two games facing conference foes spanning the past three seasons. NIU is 31-13 ATS following a game in which they scored 75+ points spanning the past 20 seasons.

The current lines convey an 82-77 Toledo win and my predictive model project that NIU has an 85% probability of scoring 85 or more points. In past home games in which NIU scored 75 or more points has led them to a highly profitable 84-8 SU record and 41-14 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past 20 seasons and 10-4 ASTS for 71.4% winning bets over the past three seasons.

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers

8-Unit best bet on the Pacers plus 4.5 points and is valid to 3.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% at Pacers +7.5 and 15% at Pacers +9.5 points.

Supporting this bet on the Pacers is the following algorithm that has gone 69-76 straight-up (SU) and 93-49-3 ATS for 65.5% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are:

·      Bet on dogs of 2.5 to 6.5 points.

·      Our dog had a losing record in the previous season.

·      Total is 220 or more points.

·      The opponent had a winning record in the previous season.

·      The opponent is coming off a road win.

This algorithm had hardly any plays prior to the 2017 season, since it was that season that saw the steady increase in scoring in each year since. So, it has not had a losing record since 2016. There is a subset too that if our home dog has a 1.80 or greater season-to-date assist to turnover ratio the overall ATS record improves to 44-18-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota
8-unit bet on Wisconsin -3.5 points and is valid to 4.5 points.

7 EST

Wisconsin is 16-5-1 ATS when facing teams averaging 16 or more assists per game in games played over the past three seasons; 8-1 ATS when facing teams that are outscoring their foes by 8+ PPG in games played this season; 14-4-1 ATS following a game in which both teasm scored 75 or more points over the past 15 seasons.

From the predictive models, there is an 85% probability that Wisconsin will score 78 or more points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which Wisconsin met or exceeded these performance measures they went on to an outstanding 28-1 SU and 20-6 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons. When Minnesota has allowed these measures they have gone on to a 2-21 SU record and 5-17-1 ATS mark for 22% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Hawks vs Kings

8-Unit best bet on the Hawks plus 8 points and is valid to 7.5 points.

Betting on a road team coming off an Under result and is now facing a foe that returned home from a four or more-game win streak and lost at home in their previous game has gone 306-201-34 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1995. If our team is coming off an under result priced as the underdog they have soared to a 36-17-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since 1995. 

Cincinnati vs Kansas
9:00 EST |
8-Unit Bet on Kansas minus 8 points and is valid up to 9.5 points.

Cincinnati is 9-19 ATS when facing an elite team shooting 45% or better and allowing 42% or lower in games played over the past three seasons. Kansas is 120-74 ATS when playing only their third game in a week; 70-40 ATS after allowing 80+ points in their previous game; 85-57 ATS following a loss.

Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word
7:30 EST
8-Unit bet on Nicholls State -2.5 points and is valid to 3.5 points. If the line drops to -1.5 or lower then use the money line for this bet.

Betting on road teams after game number 15 where the line is priced between the 3’s that are averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game and facing a host that is averaging 14.5 to 18 turnovers per game and in matchup where both teams defenses are allowing 42.5 to 45% shooting has earned a 27-7-1 ATS record fot 79% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Cavaliers vs Magic

8-Unit Bet on the Magic +1.5 points and use the money line if the line is between 1.5 and -1.5 for this game.

Bet on winning record home teams that have are facing a winning record foe that has covered the spread in each of their last three home games priced as the favorite has earned a highly profitable 94-53 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2015. I four team is playing on the secod of back to back nights they have gone 13-6 ATS for 68% winning bets.

Indiana vs Phoenix
Footprint Center, Phoenix
8 EST
8-Unit bet on the Phoenix Suns -5.5 points

Betting on winning record home teams that are priced as 3.5 to 9.5-point favorites that are facing a foe that has played Under by 42 or more points spanning their last seven games and also has posted a win record on the season has earned an highly profitable 84-49 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team has a 1.75 or greater assist to turnover ratio they soar to an outstanding 67-36 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons.

From the predictive models, the Suns are 27-2 SU and 24-5 ATS when scoring 125 or more points and having 15 or fewer turnovers in home games played since 2019.

Tampa Bay vs Detroit

3:00 PM EST | NBC
Ford Field, Detroit

10-Unit Bet on the Tampa Bay Bucs +6 points and is valid to 4.5 points although a drop in the line at this point would be rare. Please remember to bet with your heads and ne er over it on every bet I provide, especially these 10-UNIT max bets which have hit 68% on a 76-35 record across all sports and over 4 years of betting action. This also means they LOSE 32% of the time abd to be completely honest, there is no way I nor anyone else knows with any degree of certainty that this play will win this afternoon. So, a reminder that is a marathon and that I have proven for many years that profits are achieved not in one day or one week or even a month, but over 12 months or a full season.

Let’s look at some of the betting systems supporting the pick from the predictive models.

Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that committed no more than one turnover in each of their last two games and facing a foe coming off a game without recording a forced turnover has gone 41-57 SU (42%) and 65-33 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Making this system even better is that it has had NO seasons in which it lost money and if the game has taken place in any round of the playoffs it has recorded an insanely great 4-4 SU and 7-1 ATS record for 88% winning bets.  

If you have watched any my show appearances on ESPN Syracuse, SportsMap Radio, and Rotowire, you already know who important the metric called yards per points is to my predictive models. So, in the divisional round, road teams that have posted a defensive yards per point ratio of 20 or more over their last three games have gone 10-13 SU, but a healthy and profitable 15-8 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 20 years. A YPPT defensive ratio of 20 or more simply means that the team’s defense I playing at a high level and forcing their last three opponents to gain 20 yards on average to just 1 single point on the scoreboard.

If the dog in this situation is priced at 4 or more points they have gone 10-3 ATS for 77% winning bets in the divisional round of the NFL playoffs.

Teams playing the divisional round of the NFL playoffs that won their Wild card game by 21 or more points have gone 23-12 SU and 21-14 ATS for 60% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. They have gone 12-5 ATS for 71% winning bets with a total of 45 or more points. If our team is facing a foe that is allowing an average of 21 or more points over their last three games has produced an amazing 7-2 SU and 7-1-1 ATS mark for 88% winning bets.

Tampa Bay vs Detroit

3:00 PM EST | NBC
Ford Field, Detroit
8-Unit Bet Over the posted total of 49.5 points and is valid to 50.5 points.

Consider betting 50% preflop on the Over at the current price available and then look for a bit slower start to the game and add 25% more at 46.5 points and 44.5 points to complete the 7-Unit bet during the first half of action. To be clear you are making full game bet on the Over during the first half of action only. If you do not execute either of the 25% betting amounts at the prescribed numbers, then at the half if the price is 50.5 or fewer points add the 50% at that time.

In the divisional round of the playoffs teams that have played Under the posted total in four consecutive games has seen the Over go 6-1. In the divisional round of the playoffs teams that have played Under the posted total in three consecutive games and is the dog has seen the Over go 12-4 for 75% winning bets.

Teams playing the divisional round of the NFL playoffs that won their Wild card game by 21 or more points have seen the Over go 24-12 for 67% winning bets averaging an ou margin of 7.3 PPG over the posted total last 20 seasons. If our team has allowed an average of 17 or fewer points over their last three games, the OVER has gone 14-4 for 78% winning bets.

Fairfield vs Manhattan
2:00 EST | ESPN+
Draddy Gymnasium, Riverdale, NY
8-Unit Bet on the Under 148.5 and is valid to 145,5 points.

Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to add 1-Unit at 155.5 points during the first half of action.

Betting the Under in a game with a total between 143 and 152 and the home team has failed to cover the spread by 50 or more points over their previous 10 games and facing a foe that has seen the total play OVER by 35 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 56-28 Under record good for 67% winning bets since 2016.

Green Bay vs San Francisco

Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA

8:15 PM EST | FOX
5-Unit bet on the Over 50.5 points and is valid to 51.5 points.

8-Unit bet on the Packers plus the 9.5 points

1-Unit optional bet on the Packers using the money line

Supporting the play on the Packers is a terrific betting system where betting on underdogs in the divisional round that are on a three or more-game win streak has earned a highly profitable 24-15 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Moreover, if our underdog is priced between 4.5 and 10 points they improve to a highly profitable 16-7 ATS for 70% winning tickets. If the total is 50 or more points, these dogs have been near-perfect going 6-1 ATS for 86% winning bets.

Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone four consecutive games with no more than one committed turnover and facing a foe that is coming off a game where they forced no more than one turnover have gone 23-14-1 ATS for 62% winning bets. In games with a posted total of 47 or more points they have gone 14-5-1 ATS for 74% winning bets.

Betting the Over with any team coming off an upset win, which is Green Bay, and now facing a foe that lost their previous game by three or fewer points to a divisional rival has earned a solid 27-9 Over record for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and if the total is 45 or more points the Over has gone an exceptional 14-4 for 78% winning bets.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks

8-UNIT bet on the Hawks plus 2.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on underdogs that are solid offensive teams scoring an average of 114 or more PPG and facing a foe that scored 135 or more point sin their previous games has earned a 56-27-2 ATS record for 68% winners over the past five seasons. If our dog has a losing record on the season they have gone 22-8 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Mercer vs Samford
8-Unit Bet on Mercer plus the 13.5 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points on a three game losing streak against conference foes and facing a host that is coming off an upset road win and with a posted total of 147 or more points has earned a 26-11 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

4:30 PM EST | ESPN/ABC/ESPN+
M&T Stadium, Baltimore, MD

8-Unit Bet on the Texans +9.5 points and is valid to 8.5 points.

The line is not likely to move and if it does I do not see it going more than ½ point in either direction barring some major breaking news of a star player being ruled out.

Consider betting 6 units on the Texans preflop and then look to add the remaining 2 units if the Ravens score the first TD of the game or when the Ravens retake the lead during the first half of action. Another strategy is to bet 5 units on the spread and 1-unit on the money line preflop and then look to add the remaining 2-units if the Ravens attain a 7 or more-point first lead. The negative part of these strategies is that the Texans score first and never give up that lead.

This one is a jaw dropper for sure. Betting on teams in the divisional round that lose the same-season previous meeting by double digits and is now facing that foe on the rod and with a game total of 48 or fewer points has gone 5-6 SU and 10-1 ATS for 91% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Three of these matchups went into overtime.

On January 15, 2005 of the 2004 season, the Pittsburgh Steelers hosted the NY Jets as 8.5 point favorites and needed overtime to secure a 20-17 win. On January 14th, 2007, the Chicago Bears hosted the Seattle Seahawks priced as 8.5-point home favorites and needed overtime to win the game 27-24. The Baltimore Ravens hosted the Denver Broncos on January 12, 2013 priced as 9.5-point favorites and needed overtime to win 38-35. Notice that each of these games had a significant favorite matching the line for today’s game between the Ravens and the Texans.

The Texans lost to the Ravens on the road in the opening week of the season by the final score of 25-9 and failed to cover the spread as a 9.5-point road dog. Rookie QB CJ Stroud took that loss and used it to greatly improve over the course of the season and is now playing at an elite level. He finished the regular season ranked 8th with 4,108 passing yards and threw for 25 TDs with just 5 interceptions. He ranked 6th best with a 100.8 QBR and posted three game winning drives.

The weather will be in the mid-20’s and winds will be at 15 MPH at the start of the game, but will be decreasing throughout the game. So, I do not see this being a disadvantage for either of these teams. The Stadium is a bowl and the wind will be blowing from end zone to end zone, so there may be an added advantage for field Goal attempts with the wind. The wind can swirl in this stadium, but nothing like how unpredictable the wins are in the NY Met Life Stadium in the Meadowlands.

Teams that are on a three or more-game win streak coming into the divisional round of the playoffs and are priced as underdogs of 4.5 to 10 points have produced an 8-14-1 SU mark and a 16-7 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Northwestern vs Nebraska
2:15 EST
8-Unit bet on Nebraska -3.5 points and is valid up to 4.5 points.

Nebraska is 13-4 ATS in home games when facing a good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers per game in games played over the past two seasons; 17-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons.

Northwestern is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when allowing 75 or more points and the predictive models show an 82% probability that Nebraska will score at least 75 points today.

Hampton vs Monmouth

8-Unit bet on Hampton +11.5 points and is valid to +10 points
2 EST

Betting on double-digit road underdogs that have forced 14 or fewer turnovers in five consecutive games and now facing a host that has played three consecutive games facing 11 or fewer turnovers has earned a 114-73-3 ATS record for 61% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. If the total is 145 or more points, these dogs have gone 34-17 ATS for 67% over the past 25 seasons.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs.
8-Unit best bet on the Lightning using the money line currently priced as -120 favorites and is valid up to -135 favorite.

Betting on road favorites using the money line that has scored three or more goals in five straight games and facing a foe that has scored three or more goals in each of their last two games has earned a highly profitable 69-35 record for 66% wines averaging a =146 wager and earning a 20% ROI since 2015.

Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors
8-Unit best bet on the Bulls minus the two points and is good up 3.5 points
Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a 61-17 SU (78%) and 51-27 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Obviously, the trade has diminished the Raptors team immensely and I do believe the Bulls will win this game by a comfortable margin.

New Jersey Nets vs Portland Trailblazers
8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 223 points and is valid to 220.5 points.

Portland is 9-1 Under when on the road and having failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games spanning the past two seasons. Portland is 27-13-1 Under in non-conference games over the past two seasons. Nets head coach Vaughn is 28-12 Under in road games and having lost four of their last five games for his career.

From the predictive models, we are expecting Portland to score 108 or fewer points and in past games when they have has seen the Under go 50-9-1 for 85% winning bets in home games over the past five seasons.

TX-San Antonio vs Tulsa
8-Unit bet on Tulsa minus the 6 points and is valid up to -8 points.

Tulsa is on a 56-31 ATS run when facing offensive-minded teams averaging 77 or more PPG. TXSA is just 4-13 ATS in road games after covering five or six of the past seven games. TXSA head coach Henson is just 13-24 ATS in road games when playing a winning record team after the 15th game of the season.

From the predictive model, Tulsa is projected to score 80 or more points and commit no more than 12 turnovers. In past home games when Tulsa has met or e3xceeded these performance measures has led them to a 48-7 SU record and 28-6-3 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets.

Timberwolves vs Pistons
5-Unit Bet on Timberwolves -11.5 points.
8-Unit Bet on the Under at 223 points and is valid down to 220.5 points

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons. This algorithm has earned a 144-92-8 Under record for 61% winning bets and if our team is the road favorite in the matchup, the Under has gone 66-33-5 for 67% winning bets and our team has gone 64-37-3 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2017.

One strategy would be to bet 75% of you 8-Unit bet size on the Under preflop and then look to get the remaining 25% booked at a price of 229.5 points during the first half of action. The side strategy would be not bet 2.5-Unit amount preflop and look to get the Timberwolves at -7.5 points for the remaining 2.5 units during the first half of action.

Detroit Mercy vs Robert Morris
8-Unit bet on Detroit Mercy +8.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points.

Betting on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points and is facing a foe that is coming off a close win by three or fewer points over a conference rival and has 3 or more returning starters than our road team has earned a 65-30 ATS record good for 68% winning nbets over the past 25 seasons of action.

RM is 0-7 ATS when coming off a home upset win.

Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to dd the remaining 3 units at 159.5 points during the first half of action.

From the predictive models we are looking for MSST to commit no more than 18 turnovers, score 70 or fewer points and hold Kentucky to 38% or worse from beyond the arc. In past games when they have achieved these measures has seen the Under go 41-6 for 87% winning bets over the past five seasons. The Under has gone 33-9 for 79% winning bets when Kentucky has shot no better than 37% from beyond the arc, allowed 70 or fewer points and forced 18 or fewer turnovers spanning the last five seasons.

Arkansas vs Texas A&M
8-Unit Best Bet on Arkansas +2.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread by 42 or more points spanning their last five games and now facing a foe that has gone Under the total by 55 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 26-26 SU record and 44-26-2 Ats mark for 63% winning bets since 2014 (10 seasons). If the total is between 140 and 149.5 points, these dogs have produced a 13-19 SU record and 21-10-1 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and the Over in these games has been even better at 23-9 for 72% wining bets.

The models did not identify a potential OVER bet for this matchup, but if you like it, I suggest betting it LIVE in-game at 137.5 or fewer points and make it no more than 3 units in size. I may put the OVER out on the web site as a free pick with the system featuring just the OVER and not giving away the side.

Georgia vs South Carolina
8-Unit Bet on Georgia +7 points and is valid to 5.5 points.

Georgia is 13-3 ATS when coming off a home ATS win where the team lost the game; 9-1 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in each of their last five games. Georgia head coach White is 25-10 ATS in road games and facing a host that is averaging six or fewer steals per game after game number 15 for his career.

Denver vs Philadelphia
8-Unit Bet on the 76ers using the money line.

Betting on any team after losing to the spread by 48 or more points over their last seven games and is a solid team winning 60 to 75% of their games and facing a winning record team has earned an outstanding 45-27 SU and 47-24-1 for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If both teams have won 60% o more of their games, our team has earned a 31-16 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game occurs after the 25th played game of the regular season our team has posted a 30-14 SU record for 68% and 31-13 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators
8-Unit bet on the Colorado Avalanche using the money line and currently priced as a -120 favorite and is valid up to -135.

Bet on road favorites that have scored three or more goals in five straight games and facing a foe that scored three or more goals in each of their last two games has earned a 68-35 record averaging a -140 wager and earning a 22% annual ROI since 2015.

Richmond vs Duquesne
8-Unit Bet on Richmond plus the four points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Richmond is 9-2 ATS this season when facing a solid ball handling team that averages 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Duquesne is 1-8 ATS this season when playing a team with a winning record; 0-6 ATS this seasons when facing a team making 45% or more of their shots; 1-8 ATS when facing a strong defensive team allowing 42% or less shooting this season.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Raymond James Stadium | FOX | 8:00 EST
8-Unit Bet on the Eagles -2.5 points and is valid to -3.5 points.
OR Bet 5.5-units using the money line currently priced at -150

I am betting 3.5 units using the money line and 3.5 units -2.5 points. That equals 7-units, which accounts for the money line being -150 and the probability of 77% that the Eagles win this game.

In the playoffs road teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that has the better (lower) more efficient offensive yard per point ratio has gone 22-19 SU and 24-15-2 ATS for 62% winning bets. If in the wild card round, these road teams have done extremely well going 20-8 SU and 21-6-1 ATS for 78% winning bets. If that road team has a better yards per point ratio by 1 or more has produced a 9-5 SU record and 11-3 ATS mark for 79% winning bets.

The Eagles have the 4th best YPPT ratio at 13.91 while the Bucs rank 18th with a 15.29 YPPT ratio.

The Eagles have lost five of their last 6 games and lost all 6 games to the spread. Teams that have lost by 27 or more points to the spread over their previous three games has gone 8-7 SU and 10-5 ATS for 67% winning bets in the Wild Card Round. The Eagles rank worst having lost to the spread by 43.5 points over their previous three games. Road teams that have lost to the spread by more than 10 points over their previous three regular season games and facing a host that has won to the spread by 10 or more points over their previous three regular season games has gone 65% ATS on a 13-7 record in the playoffs.

Betting on teams using the money line fresh off a 14 or more-point upset loss priced as the favorite and has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season have gone 90-48-1 SU (65%) since 1989. If the game occurs in the second half of the regular season from week 9 on out including the playoffs has produced a 59-31 SU record and 50-37-3 ATS mark good for 58% winning bets since 1989. If priced as a road favorite from the week 9 on out, these road teams have gone 22-7 SU for 76% and 19-9-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 1989.

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Eagles to score 24 or more points and to have fewer dropped passes than the Bucs. Over the past five seasons, the Eagles are 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS for 82% winning bets when they have scored 24 or more points and had fewer dropped passes than the host. In home games played over the past five seasons, the Bucs are just 4-7 SU and 2-89 ATS for 18% when allowing 24 or more points and having more dropped passes than their guests since 2019.

Southern University vs Bethune-Cookman
7:30 EST
8-Unit best bet on BC plus the 5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Southern is 2-12 ATS in road games when facing teams making no better than 31% of their shots from beyond the arc in games played over the past three seasons; 1-9 ATS in road games after the 15th game of the season and facing a foe that has won 20 to 40% of their games, BC is 8-1 ATS in home games when facing a foe that averages three or more fouls per game than their opponents spanning the past three games.

NY Islanders vs Minnesota Wild
6:07 EST
8-Unit Bet on the Islanders using the money line currently priced at -105 and is valid up to -130.

Betting on road teams priced between a -125 favorite and 125 underdog that is playing their 6th game over no more than the past two weeks (13 days), in the second half of the regular season and with both our team and their opponent sporting win percentages between 40 and 49% on the season has earned a solid 68-53 record averaging a +104 wager and earning a 16% ROI over the past 10 seasons.

The Wild is 10-21 losing 12 units when facing a decent offensive team averaging 2.85 or mor goals per game this season; 7-17 losing 12 units after a loss this season; 0-5 losing 7 units off a blowout loss of 4 or more goals this season.

Iowa vs Minnesota
2 EST
8-Unit Best bet on Iowa plus the 2 points and is valid to pick-em.

Iowa is 8-1 ATS following a game with 24 or more assists spanning the past three seasons. Minnesota is just 24-42 ATS following losses to the spread in four of their last five games over the past 20 seasons. Iowa head coach McCaffery is 60-38 ATS when facing a team that averages 21 or more three point shots per game after the 15th game of the regular season.

From the predictive model, Minnesota is just 3-9 SUATS in home games in which they allowed 77 or more points over the past five seasons.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Highmark Stadium, Orchard, Park, NY
4:30 EST | CBS
8-Unit Best Bet on the Steelers +10 points and is valid at 9.5 points.

Weather is going to be an issue with sustained winds of 12 to 17 MPH and a below zero wind chill. The wind will be out of the NNW and will make the one side play mostly downwind with a slight left to right breeze and into the wind with a right-left head wind. So, on kickoffs into the wind it will be nearly possible to achieve a touchback and more likely the receiver of the kickoff will catch the ball around the 10-yard line. I also think you will see lie drive squib type of kicks when kicking off into the wind.

Any field goal attempt with the wind has the potential be achievable from 60+ yards despite the frigid temperatures. Right-footed kickers can draw the ball spinning it so it curves right-to-left with the wind holding the amount of draw and resulting in a mostly straight kick. On long range kicks, they can slice the football aiming a bit outside of the left goal post and allow the wind to push the ball further and from left-to-right though the goal posts. The kicking game (including punts) will be a major factor in this game.

Tyler Bass is the kicker for the Bills and made 24 of 29 attempts (82%) and converted 49 of 50 extra points. For his four-year career with the Bills, he is 32 for 32 from inside 30 yards, 36 of 43 from 30 to 39 yards including three misses this season, 26 for 31 from 40 to 49 yards, and 12 for 19 from 50 and beyond.

The veteran Chris Boswell is the Steeler’s kicker and he had an excellent season making 29 of 31 field goal attempts and 27 of 28 extra points. Through 9 seasons with the Steelers he has made 62 of 62 from inside the 30, 64 of 71 from 30 to 39 yards, 73 of 93 from 40 to 49 yards, and 30 of 37 from 50 yards and beyond. Despite kicking on the road, Boswell brings a significant advantage over Bass in this game.

In the Wild Card Round, the underdog with the better defensive yards per point allowed ratio has gone 23-26 SU and 31-17-1 ATS for 65% winning bets. If our dog is priced between 3 and 7.5 points they have gone 13-17 SU and 20-10 ATS for 67% winning bets.

The team that has averaged fewer dropped passes per game and is priced as a road underdog has gone 7-10 SU and 11-6 ATS for 65% winning bets in the Wild Card Round since 2019. The Steelers ranked third best in the regular season averaging just 0.94 dropped passes per game while the Bills averaged 1.67 dropped pass per game ranking 20th.

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks
8-Unit best bet on the Spurs plus the 8 and points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Betting on road underdogs that previous lost the last matchup to the current foe by three or fewer points and with that foe coming off an upset loss has earned a highly profitable 48-16 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 2016. If our road dog is playing on one day of rest exact they have gone 17-20 SU and 28-9 ATS for 76% winning bets.

Seattle Kraken vs Pittsburgh Penguins
1 EST
8-Unit Bet on the Kraken priced at +120 on the money line and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on road teams priced between a -125 favorite and 125 underdog that is playing their 6th game over no more than the past two weeks (14 days), in the second half of the regular season and with both our team and their opponent sporting win percentages between 40 and 49% on the season has earned a solid 68-53 record averaging a +104 wager and earning a 16% ROI over the past 10 seasons.

Kraken head coach Dave Hakstol is 16-3 on the money line making 18 units when on the road and coming off three consecutive games in which they scored three or more goas in each game.

Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys

4:30 EST | Fox| AT&T Stadium,. Arlington, TX
10-Unit Bet on the Green Bay Packers +7.5 points and is good at +7 points.

I do not expect that the lie will move against the Packers and if any movement occurs it will be attributed to the public bettors., who will be on the Cowboys.

I expect the Packers to get off to a solid start and score first. If they do score first, it would limit the live bet opportunity. So, I like simply making the 8-Unit bet preflop. Of course, you can bet 7 units preflop and save the last unit for live in game at a price of 11.5 points. Now, if they do not score first all is not lost either as 16 of 45 games played saw comeback wins by teams that did not score first.

In the wild card round teams that scored first went on to a 29-16 SU record and 24-20-1 ATS for 55% winning bets. If the team scored first via a TD, they went on to a 25-12 record and 22-14-1 ATS mark for 61% winning bets. Road teams that were tied or led at the half have gone on to a 30-11 SU record and 31-7-3 ATS (82%) including a 27-13-1 Under mark for 68%. Road teams that led by 6+ points at the half went on to a 20-6 SU record and 20-4-2 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2002. If the road dog led by 6+ points at the half, they went on to a 15-5 SU mark and 18-2 ATS for 90% winning bets since 2002.

Betting on road dogs of 7.5 or fewer points in the wild card round of the playoffs with a posted total that is higher than the dog’s average total during the regular season has gone 18-21 SU, 27-12 ATS for 69% and the Under has done well going 23-15-1 for 61%. If you like the Under, my recommendation is to wait and look to get a number closer to 57.5 points during the first half of action.

Here is one of the best betting algorithms I my database consisting of more than 5000 across all sports and has earned a 17-20 SU record, but a 31-6 ATS mark for 84% winning bets since 2018. Bet on road dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that have allowed less than 100 rushing yards in three consecutive games. If the game occurs in the playoff rounds, these dogs have gone 3-3 SU and 6-0 ATS with the Under going 5-1.

Long Beach State at UC-Santa Barbara

10 EST
10-Unit Best bet on UC Santa Barbara using the money line

LBST is 4-11 ATS when playing against a team that has won 60% or more of their games on the season over the past two seasons; 0-6 ATS when facing a team that averages 17 or fewer fouls per game after the 15th game of the regular season spanning the last two seasons; 2-10 ATS when facing good rebounding teams outrebounding their foes by 4 or more boards per game over the past two seasons; 5-12 ATS after having won two of their last three games over the past two seasons.

UCSB is 14-4 ATS following a game in which they made 55% or fewer of their free throws. UCSB head coach Pasternack is 30-15 ATS when playing against a team that has won 60 to 80^ of their games; 19-6 ATS when facing a solid offensive team scoring 77 or more PPG.

From the predictive models, we are expecting a slower than usual pace in this game with UCSB attempting 54 to 62 shots, shoot better than 47% from the field, and score 75 or more points. UCSB is 31-3 SU and 19-6-1 ATS in home games in which they have scored 75 or more points over the past five seasons; they are 29-2 SU and 18-5-1 ATS when shooting better than 47% and scoring 75+ points in home games over the past five seasons.

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs
8-Unit bet on the Bulls -6 points and is valid to -7.5 points

Betting on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a 51-26 ASTS record for 66% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Ducks vs Lightning (Saturday)
8-Unit Bet on the Ducks using the money line currently priced at +215 on the money line.

Consider betting 5-Units on the money line and 3-Units using the puck line.

Betting on road teams in a game with a posted total of 6 or more goals and is coming off three consecutive games allowing 3 or more goals in each game and facing a foe that has scored 3 or more goals in each of their last three games has earned a 150-166 record, but by averaging a +154 wager has earned a highly profitable 14% ROI over the past 7 seasons.

Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans
8-Unit best bet OVER the posted total of 44.5 points and is valid top 46.5 points.
Consider betting 6-Units preflop and then look to add 2-Units at 40.5 points during the first half of action.

Bet the Over in a game priced between 43 and 50 points after game number 8 and the playoffs where one of the teams is averaging 6.75 to 7.5 yards per pass play and is coming off a game in which they gained 8 or more YPPA and facing a defense that is allowing 5.25 to 5.99 YPPA has produced a highly profitable 29-7 Over record good for 81% winning bets over the past 33 seasons. In the playoffs the Over has gone 5-1 for 83% winning bets.

If the total is between 44.5 and 48.5 points, the OVER has produced a 22-4 record for 85% winning bets.

Texans are 29-15 Over in home games and coming off two straight Under result games. Browns HC Stefanski is 11-3 Over in road games after having won four or five of their last six games.

Incarnate Word vs. Northwestern State

4:00 EST
8-Unit bet on NWST plus the 2.5 points and is valid down to pick-em.

Betting on dogs that have lost to the spread by 42 or more points over their past five games and facing a foe that has seen the total play Under by 55 or more points over their last five games has gone 43-26-2 ATS for 62.3% winning bets since 2015.

NWST is 18-4 ATS when facing a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game after the 15th game of the regular season.

Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee Tech
4:00 EST ESPN+ | Hooper Eblen Stadium
8-Unit Bet on the Under 146.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.

Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Tennessee Tech head coach Pelphrey is 8-0 Under when coming off an upset double-digit win and is 11-2-1 Under coming off a road win by double-digits.

Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois

4 PM EST

8-Unit Best Bet on Bowling Green using the money line.

Betting on any team priced between the 3’s, after a game in which they made 50% of more of their three pointers, has a solid defense allowing 40 to 42.5% shooting, is facing a foe that is allowing 42.5 to 45% shooting, and after the 15th game of the regular season has earned an outstanding 38-12 ATS mark for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Arkansas vs Florida
4 EST |
8-Unit bet on Arkansas +7.5 points and consider a sprinkle on the money line.

Betting on dogs of 6 or more points that are coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe and facing a foe coming off an upset loss priced as the favorite has earned a 77-43-1 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Oakland vs IUPU

2 EST | Indiana Farmers Coliseum
8-Unit best bet on the Under 143.5 and isa valid to 141.5 points.

Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Oakland is 7-0 Under in road games following a close win by six or fewer points in games played over the past two seasons.

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat
8-Unit bet on the Magic +2 points and is valid to pick-em

Betting on road teams that lost to the current foe in the same season and are coming off a double-digit home loss has earned an outstanding 178-108-3 ATS for 62.2% since 2016. This betting algorithm has not had a losing season since 2013. If our team is facing a divisional foe, their record soars to 68-20-1 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 8 seasons.

Predators vs Stars
8-Unit Best bet on the Predators using the money line, currently priced at +140 and is valid to +120.

Betting on road teams in a game with a posted total of 6 or more goals and is coming off three consecutive games allowing 3 or more goals in each game and facing a foe that has scored 3 or more goals in each of their last three games has earned a 150-166 record, but by averaging a +154 wager has earned a highly profitable 14% ROI over the past 7 seasons.

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons
8-Unit best bet on the Rockets -7.5 points and us valid up to 9.5 points.

Bet on road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that saw the OVER win by 18 or more points in their previous game and with the foe seeing their over-under margin play Over by 18 or more points spanning their last 10 games has earned a 66-17 SU record and 50-32-1 ATS for 61% winning bets over the past 11 seasons. If it is a conference game, which this one is not, the record soars to 41-18-1 ATS for 70% winning bets.