The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: TCU (193)
The Matchup: TCU (7 - 0) at IOWA ST (5 - 2)

Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 10 stars out of 10 star maximum

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on TCU using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Kenny Hill has been having an outstanding season for TCU completing 70% of his passes with15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on the season. The Horned Frog ground game has been producing scoring 13 Touchdowns and averaging over 5 yards per carry. They also bring a balanced passing game and the best defense in the conference. This defense was able to shut down Mason Rudolph and the high flying Oklahoma State offense earlier this year. Iowa State has played well all season and had the big comeback win against Oklahoma and the public has taken notice. TCU just takes care of business and is 7-0 on the season. We look for a big defensive effort in Ames this afternoon similar to what Texas did holding Iowa State offense in check and to 7 points. TCU should be well prepared for the Cyclone attack and has won the last 3 in this series handedly and we look for more of the same this afternoon. Take TCU and lay the 6 ½ Points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has gone 25-2 ATS hitting 93% winners and has made $2,280 wagering $100 per qualified play since 2007.

Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU).

Off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’.

And with a good first half defense allowing 8 or less points per game.

Both teams are similar in all of the major metrics we create and interpret with TCU ranked higher in all of them. Iowa State is close to TCU in the majority of the rankings, but in not one are they ranked higher than TCU.

The one exception is 3rd down conversions where TCU ranks best in the nation converting 55% of those third down opportunities into first downs. ISU ranks 78th in the nation converting 37% of their third down conversions. Keeping the chains moving in drives by converting third downs is a monumental metric, to say the least. In addition, TCU runs the ball on 57% of their plays, which keeps the clock rolling and gives them an even greater advantage in TOP.  ISU may come out flying with tons of energy in the first quarter, but over the course of the game, TCU will wear them down.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Penn State
The Matchup: PENN ST (7 - 0) at OHIO ST (6 - 1)

Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum

Recommended Strategy: Play PSU for a 7 star amount on the line.

Alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on PSU using the line and a 2 star amount on the money line. This combination wager exploits the expectation that PSU will win this game.

Round Table Discussion Points

Penn State has played a more difficult schedule to date than Ohio State. PSU is undefeated coming off a monumental destruction of Michigan that does have a strong team with a very good defense. OSU lost badly to Oklahoma at home earlier this year.

The Yards Per Point (YPP) metric is a valuable tool for sports handicappers and professional bettors. The offensive version of YPP (OYYP) reveals how efficient a team is scoring points. The lower the number the better as it takes fewer yards to score points. Conversely, the defensive measure of YPP (DYPP) reveals how stingy or soft any defensive unit is when facing any type of offense. The more points per point, the stronger the defense. Of course, then we can use the offensive and defensive differential to reveal team rankings and good solid drill-down to team valuation.

So if two teams are from the same conference, then there is a presumed equality of SOS implied. Let’s now take a quick look at Penn State versus Ohio State, which is essentially the BIG Ten matchup of the year. Penn State ranks 5th posting an 11.6 OYYP ratio while OSU ranks 12th in DYYP allowing one point for every 19.8 yards allowed. On the other side of the ball, we see that PSU ranks best in DYYP allowing one point for every 29.6 yards allowed and OSU ranks 18th scoring one point for every 12.2 yards gained.

Ohio State has been coming on since their horrid loss at home to Oklahoma earlier this season. Over their last three games, they have posted a 15.3 differential reflecting much improved performances on both sides of the ball. Penn State has performed at superior levels for the entire season and are actually getting better on defense. These observations are not being mentioned in the media and by itself offers you a betting advantage for this matchup.

Then there is McSorely, the heart and soul of the offense, who is scrappy at times, and will do whatever it takes to will his team to a win. This is how the entire team plays on both sides of the ball and special teams. This team had been behind at the half in nearly all of the big games last season. They have corrected that problem this year and will not be intimidated by the crowd noise of the importance of the game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has shown a 61-23 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2013. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $3,570.

Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST).

After a win by 17 or more points.

And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.

The following database query has shown a 44-16 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2007. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $2,640.

Play on road underdogs (PENN ST).

In a game involving two good rushing teams  with both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG.

And after 7 or more games have been played.

and  after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

PSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

PSU is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they score 29 to 35 points.

PSU is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play.

OSU is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att.

PSU is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a perfect 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 17 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 168 Colorado State
The Matchup: AIR FORCE (3 - 4) at COLORADO ST (6 - 2)

Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Colorado State using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Mike Bobo and the Colorado State Rams come into this one sitting on top of the MWC Mountain division one game ahead of Boise State. CSU Quarterback Nick Stevens is having a solid year for the Rams completing 63% of his passes, throwing 20 Touchdowns to only 6 interceptions on the season. Leading Receiver Michael Gallup already has a thousand yards on the season. The Rams also bring a solid running attack with both rushers averaging over 5 yards per carry. The Rams offense has been scoring 35 points per game and was able to move the ball against Alabama. The Rams will be looking to avenge a loss to their in state rivals last year and we look for more of what happened the last time these 2 teams met on this field where CSU one easily by 15 points  as a underdog. CSU faced an option attack last week and should be well prepared for the Air Force schemes this afternoon. Air Force has been allowing opponents to score 33 plus points per game this season and have been coming back from big deficits this season. The toll of the season is taking an effect on the Falcon defense and we do not feel that Colorado State will let up in this one. Look for a big home effort by the Rams this afternoon as they get the easy win and stay on top of the Conference standings. Take Colorado State and lay the 10 ½ points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 51-19 ATS hitting 73% winners since 1992. Wagering $100 would have made a total profit of $3,000.

Play on home team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt.

And is now facing an opponent allowing 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

CSU is 9-2 ATS when they gain 9 or more passing yards per attempt the last 3 years.

CSU is 98-38 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1992.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Nashville (59)
The Matchup: NASHVILLE (4-3-0-2, 10 pts.) at CHICAGO (5-3-0-2, 12 pts.)

Start Time: 8:35 PM ET

SIM grading: 7 star out of 10 star max

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Nashville using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Nashville is 16-4 against the money line (+11.2 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Nashville is 27-13 against the money line (+13.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Peter Laviolette is 18-5 against the money line (+12.6 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games as the coach of Nashville.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Brooklyn Nets (505)
The Matchup: BROOKLYN (3 - 2) at NEW YORK (0 - 3)

Start Time: 7:35 PM ET

SIM grading:  7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Brooklyn using the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 47-15 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $3,050 wagering $100 per game since 2013.

Play against favorites.

That was a bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Brooklyn is a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms  has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Baltimore (102)
The Matchup: MIAMI (4 - 2) at BALTIMORE (3 - 4)

Start Time: Week 8 Thursday, 10/26/2017 8:25 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Baltimore using the line. Sim projects a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by 6 or more points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has produced 39-12 ATS winners hitting 77% winners and has made $2,580 wagering $100 per game since 2007.

Play on any team.

After being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

And with the current game being played in the first half of the season.

Here is a second database query that plays against Miami and has produced a 29-7 ATS mark for 80.6% winners and has made $100 players a total of $2,130 since 2007.

Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3.

After going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

With a winning record on the season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Harbaugh is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of Baltimore.

Harbaugh is also a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off 3 or more consecutive ‘overs’ as the coach of Baltimore.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Baltimore tonight.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Memphis
The Matchup: DALLAS (1 - 4) at MEMPHIS (3 - 1)

Start Time: 8:05 PM ET.

SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Memphis using the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 26-6 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,940 wagering $100 per game since 2013.

Play on home favorites (MEMPHIS).

Marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games.

Facing a division opponent.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Memphis is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Memphis is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Memphis.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Ball State (104)
The Matchup: TOLEDO (6 - 1) at BALL ST (2 - 5)

Start Time: Week 9 Thursday, 10/26/2017 7:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10.

Recommended Strategy: Take Ball State and the points, with a line currently at +25.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 10-15 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,350 wagered since 2013.

Play on a home team (BALL ST).

After 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

And now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Toledo is just 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Ball State.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Los Angeles Dodgers
The Matchup: HOUSTON (108 - 66) at LA DODGERS (112 - 59)

Start Time: Wednesday, 10/25/2017 8:05 PM

SIM grading: 7 out of 10 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount using the money line on the Dodgers.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 30-10 hitting 75% winners and has made $2,020 wagering $100 per game since 1997.

Play against road teams (HOUSTON).

That are good AL offensive team scoring 5.1 or more runs/game.

And is now facing an NL starting pitcher sporting an ERA of 3.70 or better.

After scoring and allowing 3 runs or less.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Houston is just 12-23 (-19.5 Units) against the money line after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

LA is a solid 69-21 (+33.1 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

LA is 18-3 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 1 run or less this season.

LA is 29-5 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 2 runs or less this season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dodgers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Los Angeles Dodgers (902)
The Matchup: HOUSTON (108 - 65) at LA DODGERS (111 - 59)

Start Time: Tuesday, 10/24/2017 8:05 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wagering a 7 star amount on the Dodgers using the money line.

Optional strategy is to wagering a 5 star amount on the money line and a 2* amount using the Run Line.

Third option if you have availability to the -2 ½ Run Line, then consider wagering a 4 star amount using the money line, a 2 star amount using the Run Line,and 1 star amount using the -2 ½ Run Line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Looking at the lines available at Five Dimes we can briefly discuss some of the very interesting and opportunistic betting lines. Wagering a 5 star amount ($100 per star player) on the money line at -167 is risking $835.00 and wagering 2 star amount on the Run Line at +130 is risking $200 for a $260 dollar gain. Total risk of $1035 to win $760.00.

The second optional wager plays out as follows:

4 star on the money line is risking $668 to win $400, 2 star amount at +135 using the -1 ½ Run Line risks $200 to make $260 and 1 star amount on the - 2 ½ Run Line risks $100 to make $210. Total risk of $968 to win $870.

You may initially think that the second three-part wager strategy is the best option since it returns an amount closer the amount being risked. But, you must always factor in the probabilities of any team defeating their opponent by 2 and 3 runs to win the second and third parts respectively. So, ROI, then becomes a very important tool for the complete analysis and is why there are different size amounts wagered for each strategy.

Now, the SIM shows a 14% probability that the Dodgers will win this game by 6 or more runs. The implied probability of a +779 dog wager is calculated as follows:

For a Favorite Implied Probability = (-1 * Minus Money-line Odds) / ((-1 * Minus Money-line Odds)+100)

IP = (-1* -1207)/((-1*-1207)+100)

IP = 1207/-1307

IP = 0.9234

Implied Probability = 100 / (Plus Money-line Odds +100)

IP = 100/(779+100)

IP = .1137

For the -1207 line that sees Houston getting 6 runs, there is a 92% probability that Houston will NOT lose this game by more than 6 runs. For the DOG line of +779, there is an 11.37% probability that the Dodgers will win this game by 6 or more runs. So, the fact that the SIM shows a 14% probability that the Dodgers will win this game offers a very cheap opportunity. The 14% probability converts to a 600 dog line. We are picking up +179 points (779-600) to assume the risk of the 6 run line wager and makes it an attractive opportunity too, for no more than a ½ star amount.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has gone 33-8 hitting 81% winners and has made $2,270 per $100 wagered since 2013.

Play on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS).

With a starting pitcher posting a winning percentage better than 80%.

And now facing an AL opponent with a starting pitcher posting a WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season..

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LA Dodgers are 67-19 (+37.9 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

LA Dodgers are 31-6 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.

Kershaw is 41-8 (+21.2 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dodgers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Boston Celtics (706)
The Matchup:NEW YORK (0 - 2) at BOSTON (1 - 2)

Start Time:Tuesday, 10/24/2017 7:35 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy:

Play on the Boston Celtics using the line, currently at -7 ½ points. SIM shows a high probability that Boston will win this game by more than 10 points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive .

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Boston is a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when their opponents make 25% to 31% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Boston is a near-perfect 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Boston is a solid 151-68 ATS (+76.2 Units) when they score 106 to 111 points in a game.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Boston Celtics tonight.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Detroit Red Wings (11)
The Matchup:DETROIT (4-4-0-1, 9 pts.) at BUFFALO (2-5-0-2, 6 pts.)

Start Time: Tuesday, 10/24/2017 7:35 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query that has gone 43-26 hitting 62.3% winners and has made $2,790 per $100 wagered since 1996. The system has also averaged an 125 DOG play.

Play on road underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (DETROIT).

Off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more.

Against an opponent after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Buffalo is a money burning 3-13 against the money line (-10.7 Units) in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons.

Jeff Blashill is 2-11 against the money line (-9.7 Units) in road games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game as the coach of Detroit.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Detroit Red Wings.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Washington (477)
The Matchup:WASHINGTON (3 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 1)

Start Time: Week 7 Monday, 10/23/2017 8:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Washington using the line. The current line shows Washington at + 4 or + 4 1/2 .

A second opportunity tis to exploit the upset potential of this matchup. Lace a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line. This wager is what we have coined as the ‘Combination Wager’.

Round Table Discussion Points

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Washington is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query returns a 29-7 ATS record good for 81% winners and has made $2, 130 per $100 wager since 2008 inclusive.

Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON).

That are excellent passing team averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/attempt.

And after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games.

Over the past 3 season, this query has produced a 11-3 ATS mark good for 79% winners. This reflects the consistent performance and validity of the query.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Redskins are a solid 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus excellent rushing defenses allowing 70 or fewer rushing yards/game.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Redskins tonight.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: New England
The Matchup: ATLANTA (3 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 2)

Start Time: 8:30 PM ET

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play Patriots for a 7 star amount on the line.

An optional strategy is to play the ‘under’ and the Patriots using the line for no more than 3 star reverse action parlay that pays 4:1 odds.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive .

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Patriots are a solid 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons.

Patriots are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Patriots are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

Patriots are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing excellent offensive teams averaging 6 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons.

Belichick is 53-25 ATS (+25.5 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NE.

Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots.

The Matchup:Miami -3 versus NY Jets

Start Time:10-22-2017 1:00PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: wager a 7 star play using the line on Miami.

An alternative wager is to play a 4* amount on the money line and a 3 star amount on the line.

Miami is coming off a strong second half at Atlanta last week, while the Jets were getting robbed in New England. This was a tough loss for the Jets who have to travel to Miami who will be looking to avenge an earlier loss to the Jets this season. We are for expecting an  inspired effort by the Dolphins this afternoon and avenge the loss earlier this season. Take Miami

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 23-4 hitting 85% winners and has made 19.0 units/unit wagered since 2013.

Play on home teams using the money line.

After going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games.

In conference games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

NY Jets are 0-6 ATS off a division game the last 3 years

Miami is 18-7 ATS revenging a road loss of 14 or more points since 199

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Miami Dolphins.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 363 Wyoming
The Matchup: Wyoming at Boise State

Start Time: 10-21-2017 10:15 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7star amount using the line on Wyoming. Current line is in the +14 ½ range. We also highly recommend a 2.5* amount using the money line on Wyoming. This money line is at +440, which means if you wager $100 per star unit and Wyoming does pull off the upset, you will make $1,100 just from the 2.5 star money line wager.

Round Table Discussion Points

Here is a data query from our massive database of college and pro sports that has delivered a very strong 28-5 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 2013.

Take underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points.

After winning 4 of last 5 games.

And is now facing a good team with a winning record.

The Cowboys are currently tied with Boise just a game behind CSU in the conference. Josh Allen has been able to get the job done when the Cowboys have stepped down in class this season. Both Offenses have struggled to put points on the board, but both defenses have been good this year. Boise State had a big win last week at San Diego State, but this was mostly done by the defense and special teams and then they were able to force the Aztecs out of their game. We look for another slugfest and we like getting the points in a game we feel will be less than a TD. Take Wyoming and the points.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 321 SMU
The Matchup: SMU at Cincinnati

Start Time: 10-21-2017 4:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on SMU minus the points, which is currently at -7 ½ at the majority of books.

Round Table Discussion Points

Couple of systems delivering 76% plus winners on SMU for this Saturday afternoon matchup.

Cincinnati is 4-14 when allowing 28 points since 1992

Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS when rushing for 100 to 150 yards last 3 years.

Cincinnati is 4-24 ATS when allowing 35 to 41 points the last 3 years

SMU comes into this one scoring 43 plus points per game on the season and has a balanced  per plays offensive attack with 191 yards on the ground and over 316 yards through the air. The Bearcats offense comes into this one averaging 20 points per game and offense has struggled most of the season. SMU has also been opportunistic on defense and are a plus 8 turnovers on the season. Ben Hicks has been solid this season completing 59% of his passes for 15 Touchdowns and 5 interceptions on the season. The top 3 rushers are averaging over 5 yards per carry and the receivers led by Trey Quinn and Cortland Sutton have been productive against all defenses this year. We don’t see the Bearcats offense keeping up with the charging Ponies today. Take SMU and lay the 7 1\2 today

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Indiana
The Matchup: INDIANA (3 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (5 - 1)

Start Time: Week 8 Saturday, 10/21/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 10* Big Ten

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on Indiana using the line.

Alternate wager is place a 7.5 star amount on the line and a 2.5 star amount on the money line.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Indiana is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has gone 42-15 ATS hitting 74% winners and has made $2,550 wagering $100 per game since 1992.

Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points.

Off 3 straight wins against conference rivals.

With just 9 or fewer total starters returning.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Indiana.

Ryan’s 10* Big-10 Conference Game of the Month

Ryan has been hammering the books on the gridiron this season led by an incredible 19-5 ATS NFL start in 2017. The 10 star play is the highest and strongest possible grading produced by his SIM Algorithm programs. This play is a DOG that the SIM projections show can win the game SU.  Get on board now and start having this 22-year proven veteran work for you

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Connecticut (318)
The Matchup: TULSA (2 - 5) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 4)

Start Time: Week 8 Saturday, 10/21/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy:  Wager a 7 star amount on Connecticut. The line opened with Tulsa installed as a seven point favorite. The line has slipped to 6 at the majority of books with a few now at 5 ½. This line movement is quite favorable given that 76% of the public wagers are on Tulsa, but the line is going down. This reflects that the large ‘mart money’ pros are betting on Connecticut.

So, an alternative strategy is to play a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query returns games that have gone 2-18 ATS hitting 10% winners and has made $1,580 per $100 wagered since 1980.

Play against a road favorite in a conference tilt.

Team is off a straight-up conference home win installed as a dog.

Team covered that home win by more than 10 points.

And is now facing a conference opponent.

And that foe is off a straight-up win installed as a DOG.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Tulsa is just 49-116 ATS (-78.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Tulsa is 23-57 ATS (-39.7 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt.

Tulsa is 24-60 ATS (-42.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Connecticut is 48-12 ATS (+34.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Connecticut is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Connecticut.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Portland (709)
The Matchup: PORTLAND (1 - 0) at INDIANA (1 - 0)

Start Time: Friday, 10/20/2017 7:05 PM

SIM grading: 7 star grading

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the line with Portland.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has gone 35-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since2014. So, if you had wagered $100 on these games, you would have a total profit of $2,300 since the beginning of the 2014 season.

Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND).

After a blowout win by 15 points or more. an

And is now facing opponent after scoring 110 points or more.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Indiana is just 53-139 ATS (-99.9 Units) when they allow 106 to 111 points in a game.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Portland.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Edmonton (61)
The Matchup: EDMONTON (1-4-0-0, 2 pts.) at CHICAGO (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.)

Start Time: Thursday, 10/19/2017 8:35 PM

SIM grading: 7 star grading

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the money line on the Edmonton Oilers.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has gone 53-22 hitting 71% winners and has made 27.5 units/unit wagered since 1996. The system has also averaged an impressive .

Play on road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (EDMONTON).

That are off 2 or more consecutive home losses.

And with a losing record in the first half of the season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Edmonton is a solid 15-7 against the money line (+9.4 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Edmonton.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Oakland Raiders (302)
The Matchup: KANSAS CITY (5 - 1) at OAKLAND (2 - 4)

Start Time: Week 7 Thursday, 10/19/2017 8:25 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play on the Raiders plus the points for a 7 star amount.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 58-27 hitting 68% winners and has made 28.3 units/unit wagered since 1983.

Play against any team (KANSAS CITY).

That is a good rushing team averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry.

And after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Oakland is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 5 to 5.5 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Oakland is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they rush for 5 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders on Thursday Night Football.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: LA-Lafayette (305)
The Matchup: LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 3) at ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2)

Start Time: Week 8 Thursday, 10/19/2017 7:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount using the line on LA - Lafayette.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following database query has gone 18-11 hitting 62% winners and has made 29 units/unit wagered since2014. The system has also averaged an impressive +223 DOG play.

Play on a road team.

Using the money line (LA LAFAYETTE).

After going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

And with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LAL is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards.

LAL is  17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better.

LAL is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better.

Hudspeth is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 straight conference games as the coach of LAL.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board LA - Lafayette.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Los Angeles Dodgers (967)
The Matchup: LA DODGERS (110 - 58) at CHICAGO CUBS (95 - 75)
Start Time: Wednesday, 10/18/2017 9:05 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount using the money line on the Dodgers.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has shown that teams that have won the first three games of a 7-game playoff series are 5-2 SU and 5-2 ‘under’ in Game 4.  

Disregard the average for line, as it is simply summing the negative and positive values instead of centering it on the 100 value.

Here is another query that has produced 44-21 record for 68% winners and has made $2,420 per $100 wagered since 2014.

Play on road teams (LA DODGERS).

Starting a pitcher who walked 1 or fewer hitters in each of his last 2 outings.

And is now facing an opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing.

Arrieta is just 1-4 in 6 career starts against the Dodgers with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.028 WHIP.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dodgers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Houston Rockets
The Matchup: HOUSTON (61 - 32) at GOLDEN STATE (83 - 16)

Start Time: Tuesday, 10/17/2017 10:35 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount using the line on Houston plus the points. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this would be a $700 wager. If you play $500 on a 7 star play then your star unit is $72.

Alternate strategy. Wager a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game, the Houston Rockets is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has gone 9-2 SU and 4-7 ATS hitting 64% ATS winners since 2006. Play against the previous season’s NBA Champion in game 1 of the current season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Houston Rockets.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Los Angeles Dodgers (963)
The Matchup: LA DODGERS (109 - 58) at CHICAGO CUBS (95 - 74)

Start Time: Tuesday, 10/17/2017 9:05 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on the Dodgers.

Alternate strategy is to place a 2* amount on the alternate Run Line and a 5* wager using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 61-30 over the last 5 seasons for 67% winners and has made $100 per game players $2,800.

Play against any team (CHICAGO CUBS).

That is a struggling hitting team batting .165 or worse over their last 3 games.

Against an opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games.

Her e is a second data query that has produced a 50-33 mark good for 60% winners, BUT has made $3,440 averaging a +135 DOG play since 1997.

Play against all favorites with a money line of -110 or higher.

In a playoff game.

And after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Dodgers are 62-18 (+34.1 Units) against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

Cubs are just 13-21 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against NL West opponents this season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dodgers tonight.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Florida (53)
The Matchup: FLORIDA (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.)
Start Time: Tuesday, 10/17/2017 7:05 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Florida using the the money line.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Florida is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has gone 64-41 hitting 61% winners and has made 41.5 units/unit wagered since 2014. The system has also averaged an impressive 129 DOG play and is the sole reason this query has made $4,150 per $100 wager.

Play against home favorites of -200 or less against the money line (PHILADELPHIA).

That are off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more.

Winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Florida tonight.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Tennessee (276)
The Matchup: INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 3) at TENNESSEE (2 - 3)

Start Time: Week 6 Monday, 10/16/2017 8:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 10* amount using the line on Tennessee.

Play a 5 star amount on the ‘OVER’.

Play a 3* reverse parlay using the Titans and the ‘OVER’.

Round Table Discussion Points

A reverse parlay is essentially a double action ‘IF’ bet. Here's how the reverse parlay works:

In the first part of the bet, we'll say Tennessee is -7 ½, you are risking $110 to win $100. The ‘IF’ bet comes into play next with your second part of the bet which we'll say is the ‘OVER’ lined at 49 1/2 for $110 risk to win $100.

Part 2 of the reverse bet would be the ‘OVER’ risking $110 for $100 and then if that wins the Titans -7 comes into play at $110 risk to win $100.

If both ‘IF’ bets win you get $400 for the $100 reverse parlay bet. If one play wins and one play loses you lose $120. If both lose you lose $220 or $240 depending on the books vig charge. A push, where you win one, and push on the second, or push on both would get you $200.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has produced a 35-10 ATS record hitting 78% winners and has made $2,400 per $100 game wagered since 2008.

Play on any team (TENNESSEE).

After being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games.

And is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games.

This shows the games played since the 2014 season, which has produced a 9-3 ATS record.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Tennessee.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Tampa Bay (1)
The Matchup: TAMPA BAY (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) at DETROIT (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.)

Start Time: Monday, 10/16/2017 7:35 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play Tampa Bay for a 7 star amount. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this would be a $700 wager. If you play $500 on a 7 star play then your star unit is $72.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has gone 38-12 hitting 76% winners and has made $2,420 wagering just $100 per game. since .

Play on road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (TAMPA BAY).

Off a home win.

And now facing an opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins.

Take Tampa Bay

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Minnesota Vikings (260)
The Matchup: GREEN BAY (4 - 1) at MINNESOTA (3 - 2)

Start Time: Week 6 Sunday, 10/15/2017 1:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on the line playing the Vikings.

Given that the projections clearly show an upset, consider making a combination wager that consists of a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Interesting that when the announcement of Bradford not starting and that Kennum would be starting at QB, the lie did not move. If anything, the line has seen a slight push toward the 3 point level and the books increasing the vig to -115 to play on the Vikings. This push will increase the money line we can get on the Vikings. That money line is currently listed at +140/+145 at the majority of the large sports books. So, as long as you can get a minimum of +135 on the money line, the combination wager is the preferred strategy.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following money line system has gone 78-59 hitting 57% winners and has made $3,090 per $100 game wagered since 2008.

Play against road teams using the money line.

After having won 3 out of their last 4 games.

And is a top level team winning 75% or more of their games on the season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Vikings are  23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games after a win by 6 or less points since 1992.

Vikings are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Vikings are 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards

Vikings are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 100 rushing yards over the last 3 seasons.

Vikings are a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Minnesota Vikings.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: New England
The Matchup: NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) at NY JETS (3 - 2)

Start Time: Week 6 Sunday, 10/15/2017 1:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount using the line on the Patriots.

Round Table Discussion Points

The Patriots will be without two of their top cover men against the Jets. A late addition to the Pats’ injury report, Stephon Gilmore is out for Sunday’s game with a concussion. Gilmore was not listed on New England’s injury report prior to Saturday, but Josina Anderson of ESPN.com reports (on Twitter) the cornerback had experienced headaches since the Buccaneers game nine days ago. Eric Rowe is out with a groin injury, leaving the Patriots shorthanded on the outside. Gilmore’s concussion setback comes after he was a game-time decision to face the Bucs due to an ankle injury. Rowe hasn’t practiced since aggravating a groin problem in Week 4. New England did not sign anyone before Saturday afternoon’s deadline, so the team will not make a practice squad promotion for depth purposes as a result of these injuries.

This key info does not have any significant impact to our week long analysis of this matchup. The Patriots have played a bend and do not break style of defense in previous seasons including ones that saw them win the SB. We do not see McCown being successful enough at exploiting these gaps in the Patriots defense.

The Jets will not have an answer for Gronkowski and would not be surprised at all to see him grab more than 10 receptions. These plays are essentially run plays in the Patriots offensive game plan. Gronk can line up anywhere on the field and you will see him near the sidelines to spread the field and open up the A and B running gaps.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 23-4 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made $1,860 per $100 wagered on each game since 1983.

Play on road favorites (NEW ENGLAND).

Excellent passing team averaging 255 or more passing yards/game.

And after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games.

Here is a second data query that has produced a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners and has made $2,230 per $100 wagered on each game.

Play on road teams (NEW ENGLAND).

With a struggling defense allowing 385 or more total yards/game.

After allowing 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.

The Patriots defense has allowed 400 or more yards in three straight games. NFL teams with struggling defenses allowing 400 yards in three straight games are 86-53 ATS for 60% ATS winners. Adding in the parameter that the season-to-date allowed yards exceeds 350 yards per game produces a very nice 30-7 ATS for 81% ATS winners. The Patriots are 9-4 ATS after allowing 400 or more yards in three straight games.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Montreal Canadiens
The Matchup: TORONTO (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) at MONTREAL (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.)

Start Time: Saturday, 10/14/2017 7:05 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount using the money line on Montreal.

Current line is -110 to -115 area.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 27-10 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,100 wagering $100 per play since 2014.

Play on home teams against the money line (MONTREAL).

After 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more against opponent.

After scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Montreal is a solid 9-2 against the money line (+8.4 Units) off a home loss by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

CLAUDE JULIEN is 6-0 against the money line (+6.7 Units) off a home loss by 2 goals or more as the coach of Montreal.

Take the Montreal Canadiens.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Navy (193)
The Matchup: NAVY (5 - 0) at MEMPHIS (4 - 1)

Start Time:

Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:45 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on the line with Nay. Line currently at +3 ½ .

Alternate wager is play a 5* amount on the line and then add a 2* play using the money line; as long as the money line is returning +135 or higher value.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 32-8 hitting 80% ATS winners and has made $2,320 per $100 wagered game since 2014.

Play against any team (MEMPHIS).

Is a good team outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game.

After allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Navy is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.

Navy is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards.

Navy is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards over the last 3 seasons.

Navy is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Memphis is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Navy Midshipmen.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Auburn (207)
The Matchup: AUBURN (5 - 1) at LSU (4 - 2)

Start Time: Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play Auburn on the line for a 7 star amount. DSo, if you wager $100 per star unit, then this is a $700 play.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 78-24 hitting 77% winners and has made $5,280 units wagering $100 per release since 2008. The system has also averaged an impressive .

Play on a road team using the money line (AUBURN).

That are excellent offensive teams gaining a minimum of 440 YPG.

Against a good offensive team allowing between 390 to 440 YPG.

And after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992.

The average score was LSU 38.6, OPPONENT 25.0

LSU is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992.

The average score was LSU 26.6, OPPONENT 23.7

LSU is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.

The average score was LSU 25.0, OPPONENT 10.0

LSU is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when they commit 2 turnovers since 1992.

The average score was LSU 24.0, OPPONENT 17.5

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Toledo (123)
The Matchup:Toledo (4-1) at Central Michigan (3-3)

Start Time:

Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Toledo.

Round Table Discussion Points

Toledo Senior WR, Cody  Thompson suffered a broken leg and it is expected to cost him the remainder of the season in last week’s win over Eastern Michigan. He led the team in receptions in 2016 and was leading the team again in 2017 with 28 receptions for 537 yards and 4 TD.

Toledo is a high -power offense type team and we fully expect the ‘Next Man Up’ to fill the gaps left by the season ending injury to Thompson. Toledo ranks 29th in the nation scoring 35.2 PPG, 15th gaining 492.5 YPG, 8th gaining 9.2 yards per pass. CMU defense ranks 71st allowing 30 PPG, 91st allowing 42% third-down conversions, and 101st allowing 207.6 RYPG.

On the other side of the ball the advantages that Toledo will enjoy in this matchup are clear. CMU ranks 100th scoring 22 PPG, 105th converting just 32% of their third down conversions, and 128th in red zone scoring.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive .

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Toledo is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points.

Toledo is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt.

Toledo is 96-40 ATS (+52.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

CMU is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

CMU is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points.

CMU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Toledo.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Houston (902)
The Matchup: Game 1 ALCS Yankees at Astros

Start Time: 7:05 PM ET, Friday, October 13, 2017

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount using the money line.

An alternate wager is place an additional 2 star amount using the -2 ½ Run Line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 4-11 hitting 79% winners and has made $2,510 per $100 wagered since 2013.

Play against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES).

That are solid offensive teams scoring at least 5.1 runs/game.

And are now facing a very good AL starting pitcher with a maximum ERA of 3.50 on the season.

And with a struggling bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

TANAKA is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.86 and a WHIP of 1.701.

KEUCHEL is 5-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.24 and a WHIP of 0.789.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Houston Astros in game of the 2017 ALCS.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Clemson (109)
The Matchup: Clemson (6-0) at Syracuse (3-3)

Start Time: Week 7 Friday, 10/13/2017 7:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars (1 to 10 ranking scale)

Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Clemson. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, then this would be a $700 play. In similar fashion, if you wager $10 per star unit, this is a $70 play. If you wager $500 per 7* graded play, then you wager $71.42 per star.

Round Table Discussion Points

The biggest question this week surrounding No. 2 Clemson as it prepared for tonight’s game at Syracuse is whether their starting quarterback Kelly Bryant will be healthy enough to return to the lineup after sustaining an ankle injury last week in the Tigers' 28-14 win against Wake Forest.

The answer is that it is highly probable that he will return to action tonight.

And it really doesn’t matter. If Bryant is unable to go, the starting nod is likely to fall to freshman Hunter Johnson, who was rated the nation's top prep quarterback in 2016 by ESPN. Johnson guided the Tigers for their final three offensive series last week and completed all five of his passes for 42 yards and a touchdown.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Syracuse is just 38-92 ATS (-63.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Syracuse is  9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points.

Syracuse is 21-49 ATS (-32.9 Units) when they rush for 100 to 150 yards.

Syracuse is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points.

Syracuse is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clemson Tigers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Carolina (104)
The Matchup: Philadelphia at Carolina

Start Time: 8:25 PM ET

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star wager amount on Carolina using the line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has gone 35-11 ATS hitting 76% winners winners and has made $2,290 per $100 wagered since 2014

Play against underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA).

After allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Carolina is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

Carolina is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games when facing excellent offensive teams averaging 375 or more yards/game.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Carolina Panthers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Washington (920)
The Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals Game 5 NLDS

Start Time: 8:05 PM ET

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy:

Play a 7* amount using the money line.

An optional and more risky, but still very strong ROI features is to make a combination wager using a 4.5* amount using the money line and a 2.5* amount using the alternative Run Line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 84-36 since 1997 for 70% winners, and has made $4,330 per $100 wager. The system has also averaged a +111 DOG matching the current line for this game.

Play on home teams (WASHINGTON).

That are very good offensive teams scoring 5.0 runs/game.

And now facing a good NL starting pitcher posting an ERA of 3.70 or better.

And after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Cubs are a money losing 4-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season.

Cubs are 3-10 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.

Gio Gonzalez is a solid 13-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington Nationals.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Cleveland (916)
The Matchup: Ny Yankees at Cleveland Game 5 ALDS

Start Time: 8:05 PM ET

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount using the money line on Cleveland.

An optional combination wager is to place a 5* amount on the money line and a 2* amount using the Run Line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 56-10 hitting 85% winners and has made $3,720 per $100 wagered since 1997.

Play on all AL favorites with a money line of -175 to -250.

Team is a below average hitting team batting less than 0.266.

Facing a good starting pitcher sporting an ERA of 4.20 or better.

And with a starting pitcher posting a WHIP of less than 1.101 over his last 10 games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Yankees are just 13-28 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 3 seasons.

Cleveland is 38-16 (+15.4 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Indians.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Columbus (3)
The Matchup: Columbus at Carolina

Start Time: 7:05 PM ET. Tuesday 10-10-17

SIM grading: 7* grading

Recommended Strategy: Simply play a 7 star wager amount using the money line on Columbus.

Round Table Discussion Points

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Columbus is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Columbus is a solid 27-10 against the money line (+18.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Columbus is  20-8 against the money line (+13.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Columbus is  53-39 against the money line (+29.9 Units) after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game.

Bill Peters is just 15-35 against the money line (-21.4 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game as the coach of Carolina.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Columbus tonight.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Chicago Bears
The Matchup: Minnesota (2-2) at Chicago (1-3)

Start Time: 8:30 PM ET

SIM grading: 7stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount using the line on the Bears.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 82-83 for just 50% winners using the money line, BUT has made $6,080 wagering just $100 per game since 1983. The system has also averaged an impressive +175 dog play.

Play against road favorites using the money line.

After allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.

And now facing an opponent after a loss by 14 or more points.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Bears are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Bears are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Chicago Bears.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Green Bay
The Matchup: Green Bay (3-1) at Dallas (2-2)

Start Time: Sunday, October 8, 4:25 PM ET

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on the Green Bay Packers. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this would be a $700 wager.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 31-7 ATS hitting 82% winners and has made $2,330 per $100 wager since 1983.

Play on any team, road or home.

After leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half.

And is now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Green Bay is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Garrett is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Green Bay Packers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Buffalo
The Matchup: Buffalo (3-1) at Cincinnati (1-3)

Start Time: Sunday, October 8, 1:00

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on the line with the Bills.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 36-13 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,170 per $100 wager since 1983.

Play against home favorites.

After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game.

And is now facing an opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Lewis is just Lewis is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a 2 game road trip.

Lewis is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game.

Taylor is a solid 7-2 ATS facing vs. passing defenses allowing 4.3-6.3 passing yards/att.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Buffalo Bills.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Texas A&M (410)
The Matchup: Alabama (5-0) at Texas A&M (4-1)

Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 7:15 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on Texas A&M using the line.

Optional strategy to is to add a 2* amount on Texas A&M using the money line.

Round Table Discussion Points

How do you get in front of the Tide as they have been rolling in 2017? Alabama brings a stout defense and an opportunistic offense into this one and is the number one team in the land. The tide has also won 4 in a row in this series both straight up and against the spread. However, this will be the largest number in those 4 years and at this number would not have had one ATS win. Last year’s game was a dogfight until the Aggies wore down and the Alabama defense took over. This Aggies get this one in College Station which should help Freshman QB Kellen Mond, along with a bruising running game to help move the chains and provide some rest for the defense. Texas A&M defense is not Alabama, but has some big playmakers and is plus 8 in Turnovers on the year. We feel the line is too large and asking too much of Jalen Hurt and the Tide offense to cover on the road. Look for a competitive game again this year and for Texas A&M to easily cover this inflated number.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 27-6 ATS hitting 82% winners and has made $2,040 per $100 wagered since 1992.

Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points.

After 2 or more consecutive straight up wins.

And is winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season.

Saban is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) facing mistake free teams that have 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of Alabama.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Texas A&M.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: LSU
The Matchup: LSU (3-2) at Florida (3-1)

Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 7* SIm Titan

Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on LSU. If you wager $100 per ‘star’ unit, then this is a $700 wager.

An alternate strategy is to wager a 5* amount on the line and a 2* amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 48-19 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,710 per $100 wager since 1992.

Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3.

After going over the total by more than 21 points in their previous game.

In the first half of the season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is a solid 103-54 ATS (+43.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

LSU is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play.

LSU is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the LSU Tigers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: TCU (388)
The Matchup: W VIRGINIA (3 - 1) at TCU (4 - 0)

Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 3:30 PM

SIM grading: 10* Titan

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10* amount on TCU minus the points. So, if you wager $100 per ‘star’ unit playm this would be a $700 wager.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

TCU is a solid 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

TCU is 110-44 ATS (+61.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

WVU is an imperfect  0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games facing excellent kickoff coverage teams, allowing 19 or fewer yards per return.

WVU is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. good offensive teams scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

TCU is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games after a bye week.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board TCU.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: 406 Auburn
The Matchup: Auburn  versus Mississippi

Start Time:  10-7-2017 12;00 PM

SIM grading: 7* wager

Recommended Strategy:

Round Table Discussion Points

Ole Miss travels back to the state of Alabama after getting taken out to the woodshed by Alabama and we look for a similar result here. The Rebel offense will face another top tier defense this week and the Auburn offense led by Jarred Stidham is starting to roll. Stidham is completing 72%of his passes and has a strong running game to keep the offense balanced. Auburn has put away its last 2 opponents early and we look for more of the same today. Take Auburn and lay the points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 40-14 ATS hitting 74% winners and has made 24.6units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points.

After 2 straight wins by 21 or more points.

Against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game.

Defense Data Query

Play any team allowing 14 or less points the last 2 games.

Facing a team allowing 37 or more points the last game 65% winners last 10 years

Here is another data query that has gone 15-7 ATS and 21-1 SU in the SEC since 1984.

Play against team allowing 37 points last game.

Facing a team winning 2 straight games by 28 or more points.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Auburn is 8-1 when scoring 28 or more points the last 2 years

Malzahn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of Auburn.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers.

The Play and How to Play it:

The Play: Penn State (331)
The Matchup: PENN ST (5 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 2)
Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 12:00 PM

SIM grading: 7 stars

Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on Penn State on the line. For example, a $100 per ‘star’ player would make a $700 play on Penn State.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query has gone 60-24 ATS hitting 71.4% winners and has made $3,360 per $100 wager since 2008.

Play on road favorites in a conference matchup.

That are Excellent rushing team gaining at least 4.8 YPR.

And is now facing a poor rushing team gaining 3 to 3.5 YPR.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

PSU is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt.

PSU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is 35-9 ATS (+25.1 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points.

PSU is 59-13 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play.

PSU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.

NWU is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 2 to 2.5 yards/play.

NWU is just  9-41 ATS (-36.1 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play ‘OVER’ in Game 2 of the Best-of-Five AL Divisional Series between Boston and Houston set to start at 2:20 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  more than 10 runs will be scored in this game.

We also have a 7* play on Boston, so this opens up a huge opportunity.

The recommended wager is to place a 7* play using the money line on Boston.

Then add a 7* play using the ‘over’ and then,

Add no more than a 3.5* amount for a parlay using the money line and the ‘over’.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following query has gone 11-12 hitting 48% % winners and has made 8.87 units/unit wagered during the 2017 season.

Play against a team that has won at least 7 or 8 of their last 8 games.

Is now facing a team that has lost 6,7, or 8 of their last 8 games.

Is play at home.

With a line of -115 or higher.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Pomeranz is a perfect 8-0 making 10.1 units when facing teams outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game over the last 3 seasons.

Pomeranz is also 15-3 making 15.2 units when facing teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season.

Pomeranz is 23-10 making 13.8 units when facing a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘Over’, the Red Sox, and the parlay.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on New England (303) as they take on Tampa Bay in NFL action set to start at   8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by at least 8 points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 24-5 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made 18,5 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play on road favorites.

Excellent passing team averaging 255 or more passing yards/game.

After allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Patriots are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons.

Patriots are  40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game.

Patriots are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play over the last 2 seasons.

Belichick is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6 yards/play.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the Minnesota Twins (931) as they take on the NY Yankees in the American League Wild Card Game set to start at 8:05 PM ET.

Simply make a 7* wager on the Twins using the money line.

An alternate wager is to play a 4* amount using the Run Line and a 3* play using the money line.

We also like the ‘UNDER’ n this game, so an extra and optional wager is to play the Twins using the ML and the ‘under’ for no more than a 2* amount of risk. This parlay with a ML of +200 and the total paying juice of -110 yields about a 5:1 payout. Sok if you are wagering $100 per ‘star’ unit, then this parlay is paying $500 for a risk of $100.

Based on the betting flows, the public is beginning to push the line higher with their  thinking that there is just no way the Yankees can lose this game at home. So, we would not be surprised to see this line escalate to the -250 and -260 levels. This level, then changes the parlay payout to a very attractive 5.8:1 ratio or risking $100 to make $580.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Minnesota is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 51-39 hitting 57% winners and has made 48.4 units/unit wagered since 1997.

Play on all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more.

After allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival.

Starting a pitcher who walked less than 2 hitters each of his last 2 outings.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Twins tonight.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the Kansas City Chiefs (280) as they take on Washington in NFL action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that KC will win this game by more than 9 points.

For those that love playing money lines, the line is looking a bit cheap currently at -280. So, that too is an attractive, yet far more riskier wager based on ROI analysis.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following data query  has gone 19-7 ATS for 73% winners and 24-3 SU since 1989.

Play against road dogs.

That are off a home dog SU win covering by 20 or more points.

That are winning record teams.

That are now taking to ther road installed as dogs.

And Facing an opponent that has a winning record on the season.

The spreadsheet shown above displays all of the query results since 1989.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Buffalo (267) as they take on Atlanta in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  Buffalo will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win this game.

Play a 7* wager using the line OR

Play a 5* wager using the line and a 2* wager using the money line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 60-27 ATS hitting 69% winners and has made 30.3 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play on road teams (BUFFALO).

Team is off 1 or more straight ‘overs’.

Team is averaging just 17 or less points/game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Atlanta is just 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

Matt Ryan is 7-15 ATS as a home favorite of -4 ½ to -11 points.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bills and look for the shocking upset win.

The Play and how to Play it:

168 Texas A&M -89-30-2017 7:30 PM

7 Units Texas A&M -8 versus South Carolina

Round Table Discussion Points

We feel South Carolina is not as good as their 3-1 record. The Gamecocks came from behind last week to beat Louisiana Tech 17-16 and have a struggling offense. Texas A7M did the same last week coming back to beat Arkansas by 7 in overtime. The Aggies did put up 50 points in that game. Kevin Sumlin needs to keep winning to keep the Alums happy and the offense led by Kellen Mond has been clicking and the Aggies have some big play capabilities on defense. South Carolina has had numerous injuries and lost their best offensive weapon Deebo Samuel last week for the season. This is an offense that struggles and we don’t see them keeping pace with the Aggies today. Texas A&M won the last 3 against South Carolina and we look for a fourth today. Take Texas A&M and lay the 8 points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive .

3 Strong Data Trends on the Aggies in this one.

Texas A&M is 107-58 when scoring 28 or more points since 1992.

South Carolina is 24-73 when allowing 28 points.

South Carolina is 5-17 when outgained by 100 to 150 yards since 1992.

South Carolina is just 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Texas A&M.

The Play and how to Play it:

190 Auburn -99-30-2017 6:00 PM

4 Units Auburn -9 Versus Mississippi State

Round Table Discussion Points

Mississippi State comes into this game taking a conference loss at Georgia last week 31-3 and now must face another strong defense again this week. Auburn QB Jarrett Stidham is starting to get comfortable with Gus Malzahn’s playbook, Stidham is completing a little over 70% on his attempts and today gets to play a big game in front of the Tiger faithful. The Tigers defense is stout against both the run and pass. Last year Auburn went to Starkville and won 38-14 jumping out to a 35-0 lead before putting it in cruise control. The personnel is similar and now the Tigers get the Bulldogs at home. The Bulldogs offense struggled at Georgia last week and we look for more of the same this week. Big expectations for Auburn this year and the Tigers look to go 2-0 in conference play today. Take Auburn and lay the 9 points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

Play on any team allowing 17 points or less in last 2 games versus opponent scoring 6 or less in last game. 16 -4 ATS last 5  years good for 80% winners.

The average cover has been by 13.7 PPG. The four losses show that only one lost the game SU.

Matching SIM data queries

Mississippi State is 28-47 ATS after scoring 14 or less in previous game since 1992

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tigers.

117 South Florida -23 9-30-2017 12:00 PM

7 Units South Florida -23 at East Carolina

Some strong data trends on South Florida in this one.

ECU is 2-11 when allowing 28 or more points the last 2 years

ECU is 0-6 against opponents scoring over 31 points per game the last 2 years.

Play on road teams off a home win with 4 or more starters and experience QB against team with new QB is 47-18 ATS last 5 years.

Round Table Discussion Points

Along with the strong trends we get a South Florida team who has their sights on an undefeated season and a big Bowl Game this year. Charlie Strong inherited a team with a top notch defense and an explosive QB in Quinton Flowers. The Bulls return 16 starters from last year’s 9-2 Bowl Team. Last year South Florida won 38-22 and the Bulls are much better while the Pirates are allowing 48 points per game. The Bulls only let up 17 points per game and the offense is balanced with both the run and pass and a very athletic QB. This is a team who can line up against any of the power-5 schools and we get them against a bad team today. Take South Florida -23 as the Bulls will be running today.

The Play and How to Play it:

7* graded play on the ‘UNDER’ in the Washington State (112)  - SOuthern Cal PAC-12 showdown set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 60 points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The ‘under’ has been a great money winner in the role where Wash State finds themselves tonight. Teams that have scored 40 or more points in three straight games and are now lined as home dogs facing a strong opponent that allowed 14 or fewer points in their last game have gone 7-0 ‘UNDER’ since 2006. The ‘under’ has gone under the total by an average of 12.4 points.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’

7* graded play on the Pirates (903) as they take on the Nationals in MLB ction set to start at  7:05 PM ET.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Minnesota is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Nats are just 14-18 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

Gerrit Cole is 3-1 in five career starts against the Nats with a solid 2.56 ERA and a 1.010 WHIP.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Pirates.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the NY Giants as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in NFC East action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.

The recommended play is to make a 7* wager on the line.

An optional wager is to make a 5* play using the line and then a 2* wager using the money line.

Round Table Discussion Points

Eli Manning has consistently targeted his TE, Engram’s way through the first two weeks, targeting him a total of 12 times, tied for ninth most in the league among tight ends. The rookie could potentially have a tough matchup this week, coming up against linebacker Jordan Hicks. However, Hicks has had a surprisingly slow start to his third season, currently grading as the second worst linebacker in the league among 78 qualifying linebackers.

The key matchup, though, will be Odell Beckham, Jr. against Rasul Douglas or Jalen Mills, who are both rookie corners. Douglas is the better of the two through two weeks, so look for the Giants to force the matchup onto Jalen Mills. Whether ODB is 80% or not, any rookie corner is going to be overwhelmed by his athleticism and size.

The fact that ODB is even on the field presents significant matchup problems for the Eagles. This will open up better opportunities for Eli to target his TE, which will open up the gaps in the running game too.

Giants have not been able to rush the ball or even establish the run since they have fallen behind in each of their first two games. However, teams that have rushed for 99 or less yards in two straight games are a solid 35-24 ATS for 59% winners since the start of the 2016 season. In NFC East games only, these teams are a perfect 3-0 ATS.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

Giants are 0-2 and in full desperation mode. Making matters worse is that they now find themselves on the road against a division foe in a very, very hostile environment. As a rule that we are taught as young children, never approach a wounded animal and this is certainly the case in this matchup.

In the NFC, since 2006 season, these matchups have seen the 0-2 loser go 8-2 SU and 8-2 ATS for 80% winners.

When these wounded animals take to the road , they are 5-1 ATS and SU since 2006. Since, 1989, these traveling winless teams have gone 13-9 SU and 14-8 ATS.

As you can see from the data above, the times that these dogs don’t come through, they are absolutely destroyed. In 2013, the Giants were destroyed 38-0 and were installed as 1 ½ point favorites.

There is more data that supports a strong effort from the Giants. They are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants.

The Play and how to Play it:

10* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  PSU will win this game by more than 14 points.

Round Table Discussion Points

Sometimes the matchup is Penn State quarterback Trace McSorley trying to beat a loaded up box through the air, but this one is all about if the Hawkeyes can slow down or stop No. 26 in white. Even when holes haven’t there for Barkley he has simply burned team through the air, hauling in 11 catches for 241 yards and two touchdowns so far. Iowa will just not be able to contain all of the PSU offensive weapons for the entire game.

The PSU offensive line has been fantastic as well in all types of formations. If Iowa does load the box, look for Barkey to come out of the backfield and line up in the slot before the snap (late in the time clock). Iowa will have no choice, but to have a LB on him. Causing added confusion for Iowa, is if they want to use a safety to help to double Barkley, the middle of the field will be vast plain of open area for crossing routes with the TE and WR. As the metrics show, there is only a minimal chance that this Iowa defense could hold PSU to fewer than 28 points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

PSU is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt.

PSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

PSU is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points over the last 3 seasons.

PSU is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

PSU 59-13 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play.

PSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.

Iowa is just 19-64 ATS (-51.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Iowa is  3-24 ATS (-23.4 Units) when they allow 35 to 41.

Iowa is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when they gain 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.

Iowa is  5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt.

Iowa is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 rushing yards per attempt.

Iowa is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when they score 15 to 21 points.

Iowa is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

Iowa is 8-27 ATS (-21.7 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Iowa is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards.

Iowa is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 2 to 2.5 yards/play.

Iowa is 4-28 ATS (-26.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play.

PSU has scored 50+ points in 2 of their first three games and now find themselves installed as double digit favorites on the road against an undefeated host. Teams in this role are a perfect 13-0 and 10-3 ATS, and 9-4 ‘UNDER’ over the past 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Georgia (324) as they take on Mississippi State in SEC action set to start at  7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by at least 10 points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 78-18 hitting 81% winners using the money line and has made  38 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play against road underdogs using the money line.

Off a home win by 17 points or more.

In the first month of the season.

After closing out last season strong with 2 or more straight wins.

M-State is coming off a huge epoch win destroying then ranked LSU as 8.5 point dogs. In SEC play, these types of emotional wins do not follow through into the next game, especially when it’s on the road. Teams in this role and installed as 3 point or more road warriors are just 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in SEC action.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs of Georgia.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Vanderbilt (380) as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Vanderbilt will lose this game by fewer than 17 points.

7* amount using the line, which is currently at 18.5 points.

2* using the money line, which is averaging about +825 at majority of books offering this opportunity.

This is 9* amount of risk, but it is well defined and disciplined. The combination of the two parts reflects an optimized ROI.

Round Table Discussion Points

Every season, there is that one game where my technology will identify a DOG of greater than 17 points and by some terrestrial act, they end up up pulling off the epoch upset. The problem is that I don’t believe there ever will be a technology that will be able to accurately identify these games. If there was, then why would we watch this game or any sporting event as it is the thrill of the unknown that brings such great passion to live sporting events. I am very confident, though, that Vanderbilt will give Alabama a true test.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Vanderbilt is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of data queries that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 39-10 hitting 80% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points.

After 2 or more consecutive straight up wins.

And has a winning record on the season.

Since the start of the 2013 season, this data query has produced a 7-2 ATS mark good for 78% winners with an average cover of 8.4 points. In 2016, it went 3-1 ATS with TWO straight up winners.

The upset alert dogs that pulled off the upset win last year was first Penn State, who had the miracle win over Ohio State installed as 18 point home dogs and won the game 24-21. The second game was when Houston hosted Louisville as 16 point dogs and destroyed them 36-10.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Vanderbilt.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Arizona as they take on in  action set to start at  PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  will win this game.

The recommended play is to wager a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 55-21 ATS hitting 72.4% winners and has made 32 units/unit wagered since 2013.

Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points.

After a win by 17 or more points.

And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.

In 2014, the query went 12-9 SU and a solid 16-5 ATS for 76.2% ATS winners and an average coverage of 8.2 points.

In 2015, the query produced a 11-15 SU mark and went 19-7 ATS good for 65.4% ATS winners with the average ATS coverage of 5.4 points.

In 2016, this query produced a SU mark of 7-13 and a very strong 15-5 ATS good for 75% ATS winners with an average coverage of of 3.7 points.

In all of PAC-12 action since 2012, the query has produced a 6-14 SU mark, but has been a money maker with a 15-5 ATS mark.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Arizona.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on  the Giants (963) as they take on the Dodgers in MLB action set to start at  10:10 PM ET.

Wager a 7* play using the money line, which is currently at +200.

Wager a 4* amount using the money line and a 3* play using the Run Line, which is currently at + 1 ½ -105.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, San Francisco is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive +173 DOG play.

Play on all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more.

After allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival.

Starting a pitcher who walked 1 or fewer hitters each of his last 2 outings.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Dodgers are a money losing 10-15 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers (302) as they take on the Los Angeles Rams in  NFL Thursday Night football action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Fran will win this game.

Make a 7* wager getting the points on SF.

Combination wager consisting of a 5* play on the line and a 2* play using the money line.

Optional: Make a 3* reverse parlay wager using the line and the ‘OVER’.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 34-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made 22.0 units/unit wagered since the beginning of the 2008 season. Of the 45 games played, 60% of them covered the spread by 7 or more points and under scores the upset potential for the 49ers.

Play on any team.

After scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games.

The spreadsheet above is displaying the last 5 seasons of results for the data query. Over the past 5 seasons, it has produced a 10-4 SU mark, 11-3 ATS mark, and a 10-4 ‘OVER’  mark.

The average SU margin has been 4.86 points and the average spread cover has been by 7.8 points and the total points has covered the ‘over’ by an average of 9.3 points.

Rams find themselves installed as a modest favorite for the third straight game. The Rams are an imperfect 0-5 ATS in this role coming off a home loss.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the 49ers and the other recommended wagers.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Washington (909) as they take on Atlanta in MLB action set to start at 7:35 PM ET.

There are two ways to play this release.

Play a 7* amount using the money line

Play a combination wager using a 5* play using the money line and a 2* play using the Run Line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following grid shows the 2017 games that qualified as releases based on a specific data query. That data set shows the games and results playing against a home dog of 150 or more and has a starter that won his last start pitching 6 or more innings and allowing 6 or fewer hits.

It has produced a record of 5-16 and making 7.24 units/unit wagered in 2017 with an average line of -185.

The average loss of these home dogs was 3.14 runs per game.

Since 2007 season, this data set has produced a 47-128 record and a -29 ROI, 76-97 Run Line record and a -12.8 ROI.

Since 2015, it has produced a 15-42 record and -29 ROI, 23-34 Run Line record and -20 ROI.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nationals tonight.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play ‘UNDER’ in the MNF game between the Giants and the Lions set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 40 points will be scored in this game.

We are releasing this play late to give you the best intelligence on the status of ODB. He is probable to play and we expect the ‘total’ to move a point higher in the next few hours leading up to game time. We recommend waiting to about 30 minutes before game time and placing your wager then. If the line does move, then there will be a wave of under best in that last 30 minutes as the ‘pro’ bettors square up positions.

The following system has gone 23-5 ‘under’ hitting 82% winners and has made 17.5 units/unit wagered since 1983.

Play ‘under’ with any team against the total.

In the first 2 weeks of the year.

After closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses.

And in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Giants are 25-45 ATS ‘Under’ since 1992 when they have allowed 5.0 to 5.5 yards per play.

Giants are 7-1 ‘under’ when they allow an opponent to gain fewer than 75 rushing yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the RAMS (282) as they take on the Redskins in NFL action set to start at  4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game by more than 6 points.

Round Table Discussion Points

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 38-5 hitting 88% winners and has made 32.5 units/unit wagered since 2008.

Play against road teams using the money line.

Off a home loss by 10 or more points.

And now facing an opponent off a home win.

These road money burners have gone just 17-25-1 ATS for 40% winners.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play ‘OVER’ in the Philadelphia Eagles - KC Chiefs matchup set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game.

Round Table Discussion Points

Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia Eagles travel to Arrowhead to take on the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs come off a big win in New England while the Eagles beat the Redskins in the opener. The Chiefs lost all pro safety Eric Berry last week to injury and the Eagles should be

able to move the ball through the air. The Eagles also lost cornerback Ronald Darby to an already weak secondary. Both teams bring the ability to make big plays with their special teams. This game sets up nicely for both offenses and we look for some points to be put up on the scoreboard  in Kansas City, Sunday afternoon.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

Supporting the passing attacks in this matchup are the strong running games. The chiefs gained 185 rushing yards in their upset win over the Patriots in Week 1. We expect them to gain 150 more rushing yards in this matchup today. The following data shows the results of games played by the Chiefs after gaining 150 or more rushing yards and then gaining 150 or more in the next game. Since 1980, the Chiefs are 31-7 SU and 29-8-1 ATS and 23-14 ‘over’ in this rushing situation. Since Andy Ried arrived in KC at the start of the 2011 season, the Chiefs have gone 5-2 ‘over’ and have cashed the last four ‘over’ tickets.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’ in this matchup.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on ‘OVER’ TEXAS - USC (202) in NCAAF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that 70 or more points will be scored in this game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 25-4 ‘over’ hitting 86% winners and has made 20.6 units/unit wagered since 2013.

Play ‘Over’ with all teams.

Where the total is between 63.5 and 70.

After allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game.

And now facing an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Texas is a solid 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) when they allow 550 or more total yards

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Wyoming (186) as they take on Oregon in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oregon will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and can possibly pull off the home upset.

The recommended strategy is to place a 7* amount on the line and then add a 2.5* amount using the money line. We also like playing ‘over’ the first half  total for a 3* amount. If you want to add more defined risk, then consider playing a reverse parlay with Wyoming on the money line and the ‘over’ and Wyoming plus the points and the ‘over’ for 1* each.

Round Table Discussion Points

The Wyoming Cowboys comes off an easy win against Gardner & Webb while the Oregon Ducks beat the Nebraska Cornhuskers in Eugene last week. The Ducks took a big lead into the locker room at halftime and did not show up in the second half, but still held on to beat the Cornhuskers. Wyoming played a tough road game to begin the season at Iowa and struggled against the physical Hawkeye defense. The Cowboys stop troops have played well this year and can limit the big play capabilities of the Oregon offense. Future pro QB Josh Allen should find the sledding a little easier against the Oregon defense. Big game in Laramie for the Cowboys and we look for Allen to make enough plays to keep this one close throughout. Take Wyoming and the generous amount of points.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

The games shown above are when Oregon has allowed their opponent to score 28 or more points since the 2015 season inclusive. In these games, they have gone just 4-8 SU and a miserable money burning 2-9-1 ATS. The ‘over’ has been a successful wager going 7-4-1. So, the Bayesian probability analyses overwhelmingly project that Wyoming will score 28 points and with potential to achieve that level before the end of the first half.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 23-11 using the Money Line hitting 68% winners and has made 22.4 units/unit wagered since 2013. The system has also averaged an impressive +145 dog play.

Play on a home team using the money line.

After allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game.

And is now facing an opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wyoming Cowboys.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on LSU (187) as they take on Mississippi State in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by at least 11 points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 55-21 hitting 72.4% winners and has made 31.9 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play on road favorites.

After allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games.

And facing an opponent where 60 total points or more were scored in their last game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is a solid 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards.

LSU is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

LSU is 103-53 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

LSU is  24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

M-State is just 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points.

M-State is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt.

M-State is 7-32 ATS (-28.2 Units) when they allow 500 or more total yards.

M-State is  5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

M-State is 10-44 ATS (-38.4 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the LSU Tigers.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play taking the ‘OVER’ in the Oklahoma State at Pittsburgh matchup set to start at  12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 65 points will be score in this game.

Make a 7* wager using the total line, which is at 63 ½ currently.

Round Table Discussion Points

Look to go over the total in this one the high scoring Cowboy offense led by Mason Rudolph is putting up big numbers in 2017 very similar to 2016. Last year these teams combined for 83 points and we look for more of the same today. The Cowboys averaged 37 points per game last year and have scored 51 per game this year. Big play receiver James Washington is off to another strong start with 243 yards and 3 Touchdowns in 2 games and the Cowboys have a full stable of receivers for Rudolph. Oklahoma State also has a stable of running backs averaging close to 250 yards per game. The Panthers will need to take some risks defensively today and can lead to big plays for both sides. Pitt is replacing some big weapons offensively but can move the ball, the panthers offense should find playing against the Cowboy defense a lot friendlier than what they faced in State College last week against Penn State. We think Pitt can put up some points but can't see Pitt stopping Rudolph and the high flying Cowboy Offense. Look for another high scoring game in this contest this afternoon.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 25-4 ‘over’ hitting 86% winners and has made 20.6 units/unit wagered since 2013.

Play ‘Over’ with all teams.

Where the total is between 63.5 and 70.

After allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game.

And now facing an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

OKST is a solid 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.

OKST is 32-12 OVER (+18.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’ in this matchup.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on San Francisco (914) as they take on Arizona in MLB action set to start at 10:15 PM ET.

The recommended wager is to place a 5* amount using the money line and add a 2* amount using the Run Line.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, the Giants are today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large collection of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

   So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 40-21 hitting 65.6% winners and has made 34 units/unit wagered since 1997. The system has also averaged an impressive 137.2 dog play.

Play on all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175.

Team is an average hitting team batting between .255 to .269.

Facing an average NL starting pitcher posting an ERA between 4.20 to 5.20.

And with a hot starting pitcher posting a WHIP of 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Temple (106) as they take on UMASS in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.

Make a straight 7* wager amount on Temple minus the points.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 35-10 hitting 80% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points.

The team outscored opponents by 10 or more points/game

Current game is a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

UMASS is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

UMASS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when they rush for 50 to 100 yards.

UMASS is a near imperfect  1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they rush for 2 to 2.5 yards per attempt.

UMASS is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they gain less than 250 total yards.

UMASS is an imperfect 0-15 ATS (-16.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards.

Temple is a perfect  6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Temple is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Temple is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards.

Temple is  8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Temple is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points.

Temple is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow less than 250 total yards over the last 3 seasons.

Temple is  15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Temple Owls.

The Play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Houston (927) as they take on LA Angels in MLB action set to start at 10:05 PM ET.

Play is a 7* amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Houston is 16-6 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

When Skaggs starts, Angels are just 1-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Houston Astros.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the Washington Nationals (902) as they take on the Atlanta Braves in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET.

5* play using the money line combined with a 2* play using the Run Line.

Option is to add a 1 * amount using the -2 ½ Run Line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 38-7 hitting 84% winners and has made 27.2 units/unit wagered since 2013.

Play against road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher.

Team is an average hitting team batting between .255 to .269.

Against a good NL starting pitcher posting an ERA of 3.70 or lower.

With a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Scherzer is a solid 106-39 (+30.5 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more since 1997.

Nationals are 24-4 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games off a loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington Nationals.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the Twins (980) as they take on the Padres in MLB action set to start at 8:10 PM ET.

The recommended wager is to create a combination wager using a 5* play on the money line and a 2* play using the Run Line.

Fundamental Matchups, Data Metrics, and Round Table Takeaways

Twins are holding a 1-game lead over the Angels for the second wild card berth and will facing what many in the media call an easy schedule. Skipper Paul molitor corrected that by saying “ I find it a little bit comical. I saw something about the lack of teams we play that are over .500 as early as a couple of weeks ago. But the last time I checked, (the games) were all going to be against major league teams."

That type of leadership is critical for the Twins right now to keep playing one pitch, one out, one inning, one game at a time. Statements like this one can be more powerful than having the team ace on the hill.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

Padres have won 6 of their last 10 games, which isn’t bad for a losing record team. However, teams that are facing  a team that have won 6 or more of their last 10 and are installed as  a favorite lined at -170 and higher have gone 67-24 for 73.6% winners making 23.22 units/unit wagered in 2017. Moreover, this same situation has produced a 55-36 record against the Run Line for 60.4% winners making 18.55 units/unit wagered and a very nice 18.5% ROI. The Twins are a perfect 4-0 SU and 4-0 RL in the 2017 season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Twins.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on ‘OVER’ the posted total in the MNF matchup between the Chargers and the Broncos set to start at 10:20 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 44 points will be scored.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 36-12 hitting 75% winners and has made 22.8 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play ‘over’ with any team.

Where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.

And is a solid offensive team from last season scoring 24 or more points/game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Denver is 25-12 OVER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games when they rush for 75 to 100 yards.

Denver is 175-50 ‘over’ when scoring 24 or more points.  

Denver is 105-29 ‘over’ in home games when scoring 24 or more points.

Chargers are 91-24 ‘over’ when scoring 21 or more points in away gamnes.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’.

Team Analysis 

Seatlle- Seattle has a weakness in its O-line, but their skill players are what shows promise this season. QB Russell Wilson has developed solid in-the-pocket skills in a spread passing attack, while maintaining his ability to improvise on the move. WR Doug Baldwin can beat defenders in a number of ways, while TE Jimmy Graham still causes matchup problems. RB Thomas Rawls is a violent runner, while change-of-pace RB C.J. Prosise looked great in limited action as a rookie. The Seahawks gave up the third fewest points and the lowest yards per carry average in the league last season.

Green Bay- Not much more I can say about Aaron Rodgers that you don’t already know. WR Jordy Nelson is nearly impossible to cover one-on-one, and Rodgers makes up for the lack of talent in the rest of his receiving group. RB Ty Montgomery impressed after moving from WR, but his durability is questionable and the Packers lack depth at RB. Two second-round picks, CB Kevin King and S Josh Jones, need to get up to speed quickly. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Morgan Burnett are a solid safety combo, but if the Packers can't cover, they'll be forced into many shootouts.

Recent Trends

Seattle

Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. 
Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. 
Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games in September. 

Green Bay

Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. 
Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games on grass. 
Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games in Week 1. 

Head to Head

Seahawks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay. 
Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. 
Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings. 

Personal Analysis

Although the Seahawks play a better team on paper, something about Rodgers and his competitiveness seems to be concerning. Along with Rodgers comes the notorious Lambeau field lure. As you can see from the trends, it’s not looking too optimistic for the Seahawks. This should be a tight game early, but the Packers will come out on top and cover the spread.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the LA Rams (472) as they take on the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 NFL action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game.

If you like the money line play only, we have no issue with that strategy. Make certain you are risking a 7* amount, which at current money lines of -200 would be a wager risking 7* amount to make a 3.5* amount.

Round Table Discussion Points

Not good numbers for either team in this one based on last year’s performance metrics. We like the fact that a much improved Rams defense will be going up against Scott Tolzien, who has not won a game in his career as a starter. Today we get to lay a field goal with a team, who has the better defense and offense against a team who will be without their QB field general today. This is the second year for Ram QB Jared Goff and we look for some major improvement this year. Also, Goff has additional playmakers to work with this season. Look for Todd Gurley to get off to a good start against the weak Colts defense front five. This in turn will force the Colts linebackers to creep closer to the LOS to cover the A and B gaps. Then, Goff, will have play action knowing his WR are in man coverage.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 48-20 using the money line hitting 71% winners and has made 25.3 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play against any team using the money line.

Poor passing defense from last season that allowed 7 or more passing yards/attempt.

In non-conference games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Pagano is just 2-8 against the money line (-8.4 Units) in the first two weeks of the season as the coach of the Colts.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams.

7* graded play on  the Chicago Bears (456) as they take on the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 NFL  action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Bears will cover this number and may win this game.

The recommended strategy is to make this release a combination wager using a 5* play on the line and a 2* play using the money line.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

We are expecting the Bears ground attack led by Howard to present quite a problem for the Atlanta defensive front. The SIm projects that the Bears will have at least 125 rushing yards. In past games where Atlanta allowed 125 or more rushing yards, they are 23-42 ATS since 1992 and 58-125-2 ATS since 1980. This situation is not exclusive to the Falcons, but it is one that applies to the majority of matchups in the NFL.

Since the 2013 season, the Falcons are 5-10 ATS and 3-12 SU when allowing more than 150 rushing yards.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 22-4 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made 17.6 units/unit wagered since 2007.

Play on any team team.

That had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season.

In conference matchups..

Super Bowl Losers have an extended hangover and the Falcons certainly should have that in place after their historic collapse. SB losers are just 5-12 SU and 2-15 ATS since 2000 season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears.

The play and how to Play it:

10* graded play on Auburn (377) as they take on Clemson in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  Auburn will win this game.

We see current lines at Clemson installed as a five point favorite. 67% of the best wagered are on Clemson, but the large bettors are on the Tigers as evident by the line moving lower from the -6 opening level. The analytics clearly show a high probability that this line will move to 4.5.

The recommended strategy is to play a 5* amount on the line and a 2* play using the money line. The money line is currently at +170

Round Table Discussion Points

Auburn comes into this game off an easy 41-7 game against Georgia Southern while Clemson was beating up Kent State 36-3. The Clemson Tigers return 12 starters from last years National Championship team with 7 on the defensive side of the Ball. Auburn returns 15 starters from last years 8-5 Bowl team. Clemson QB Kelly Bryant went 16/22 for 236 yards with a TD and an interception in his first start taking over for the dynamic Deshaun Watson. Auburn QB Jarrett Stidham struggled some in his first start for the Tigers after transferring from Baylor. Stidham went 14/24 for 185 yards with 2 TD’s and a pick. Both teams rushed the ball well last week and the defenses were stellar. Clemson beat Auburn by 6 last year at Auburn and we look for a very tight game again this year, but this time around there is no Deshaun Watson. This is a big early game for both teams and look for the offense minded Gus Malzahn to come up with a little more wrinkles to the offense and possibly even steal a game in Death Valley.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 40-11 hitting 78.4% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points.

In the first month of the season.

After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.

Team that had a winning record last season.

This money line query has produced incredible results and underscores the probability that Auburn will win this game. It has produced a 19-7 mark and has made 25.8 units/unit wagered since 2013.  It has averaged a quite impressive +173 Dog play.

Play on a road team using the money line.

After allowing 2 or less rushing yards/attempt last game.

Facing an opponent that out rushed their last opponent by 200 or more yards.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Auburn is a solid 13-4 against the money line (+12.3 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt

Auburn is 39-8 against the money line (+36.4 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

Auburn is 95-9 against the money line (+103.2 Units) when they score 28 or more point.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Auburn with the 6 points in this tightly contested affair.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Michigan State (310) as they take on Western Michigan in NCAA action set to start at  3:30 PM ET.

Round Table Discussion Points

The Spartans come into this one easily beating Bowling Green 35-10 last week, while Western Michigan lost a hard fought game last week in the Coliseum to Southern Cal. Western Michigan  put up 31 points on USC rushing for 263 yards while giving 232 yards on the ground. Western Michigan QB Jon Wassink struggled in the passing game completing 50% of his passes for a mere 67 yards. Spartan QB Brian Lewerke went 22/33 for 250 yards and 3 Touchdowns. The Spartan defense held Bowling Green to 67 yards on the ground. This all brings us to the value in this pick as Western had a tough game last week and now go into East Lansing taking only a Touchdown. This line is based on records from last year as the wheels came off the bus for the Spartans after the Wisconsin Game while Western Michigan was having a special year going 13-1 and a major bowl game. This is now 2017 and the red faced Spartans will be hungry for this one and won't overlook the Broncos. Perfect set up here for Sparty.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 34-10 hitting 77% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points.

In the first month of the season.

After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.

Facing an opponent in the first month of the season.

And the opponent closed out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

WMU is just 34-72 ATS (-45.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

WMU is just 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards.

MSU is a solid 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

MSU is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt.

MSU is  22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games when they gain 450 to 500 total yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Spartans.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Louisville (323) as they take on North Carolina in NCAAF action set to start at  12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by more than 10 points. Play a 7* amount using the line.

UNC is off an embarrassing home loss to California in Week1 losing 35-30 as 13 point favorites. Team that have had this type of demoralizing week 1 loss are just 3-22 SU and 8-17 ATS in week 2 games installed as 6.5 point or more dogs. A bonus play based on this query is to take Idaho as they host UNLV.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 31-6 ATS hitting 84% winners and has made 24.4 units/unit wagered since 1992.

Play against a home team.

In the first month of the season or first four weeks.

After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.

And is now facing an opponent that was a bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Louisville 106-55 ATS (+45.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Louisville is 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

UNC is a money burning 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when they allow 29 to 35 points.

UNC is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they allow 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt.

UNC is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards.

UNC is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Louisville Cardinal.

The play and how to Play it:

10* graded play on the Toronto Blue Jays (as they take on Arizona in MLB action set to start at  7:10 PM ET.

Make a 7* wager amount on the under dog Blue Jays.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 43-23 hitting 65% winners and has made 33.7 units/unit wagered since 2013. The system has also averaged an impressive +132 Dog play.

Play against all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175.

Has strong defensive play allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season.

And after two straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base.

Here is a second system that has gone 48-34 for 59% winners and has made 44.8 units/unit wagered since 1997.

Play against all favorites with a money line of -150 or more.

Averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season.

And after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Fister’s team record is just 3-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Toronto Blue Jays.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the Dodgers as they take on Arizona in MLB action set to start at 8:10 PM ET.

Make a straight 7* amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 61-17 hitting 78% winners and has made 35.1 units/unit wagered since 2013.

Play against NL road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher.

Good offensive team scoring >=4.5 runs/game on the season.

In September games.  

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dodgers.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Tennessee (213) as they take on Georgia Tech in NCAAF action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.

Play a 7* amount on the line currently at - 3 1/2 .

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 30-6 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made 23.4 units/unit wagered since 1992. 60% of the games played have covered the spread by 7 or more points and underscores the high probability that Tennessee will win this game vt more than 10 points.

Play against any team in the first week of the season.

After closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers.

Team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%).

Playing a team that had a winning record.

The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research.

15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt.

36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt.

109-48 ATS (+56.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

23-4 ATS (+18.6 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points.

42-12 ATS (+28.8 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards.

21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) when they gain 7.5 or more total yards per play.

G-Tech is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.

2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when they allow 550 or more total yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Texas A&M (211) as they take on UCLA in NCAAF action set to start at 7:30 PM ET.

Play a 7* amount on the line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 39-11 ATS hitting 78% winners and has made 26.9 units/unit wagered since 1992. 41% of the games played have covered the spread by 7 or more points and underscores the high probability that A&M will win this game SU.

Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points.

In the first month of the season.

After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.

Team that had a winning record last season.

The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research.

UCLA is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they rush for 50 to 100 yards over the last 3 seasons.

A&M is a strong 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) when they allow 50 to 100 rushing yards.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Aggies.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Colorado as they take on Arizona in MLB action set to start at  3:10 PM ET.

Make a straight 7* amount using the money line.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 37-8 hitting 82% winners and has made 26.9 units/unit wagered since 1997.

Play against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher.

After 9 or more consecutive wins.

Posting a winning record on the season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rockies.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Minnesota Twins as they take on in MLB action set to start at  2:10 PM ET.

Make a straight 7* wager on the Twins.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 52-23 hitting 69% winners and has made 29.5 units/unit wagered since 2013.

Play against any team.

With a starting pitcher posting a winning percentage of worse than 30%.

With a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Twins.

Favoring The UnderDawg.
From the machine learning results, we do like FSU (205) for a 7* play. We also recommend splitting the wager and create a combination wager using a 5* play on the line and a 2* play using the money line.

Everyone loves a games where two goliaths of college football face-off. Alabama is statistically one of the best dynasties ever in NCAA History, if not the best. While Florida State is always assembles a solid squad year after year. In this match up, there is many variables. Alabama is returning only 11 starters and Florida State is relying on their strong defense to carry the team in this game and throughout the regular season.

Alabama and other major schools are accustomed to simply reloading and the return of starters is not that critical unless they are facing a team like FSU. Alabama does get positive marks returning most of the skill positions, in Jalen Hurts, Bo Scarbrough, and Calvin Ridley. Bama’s defense is predicted to be top 10, per usual. What might hurt them is team chemistry during the first month of the season.

Florida State features one of the best defenses in their school history and one that the offense can feed off of. The offensive success will rely mostly on the new O-line protecting Deondre Francois. This O-line can run block with the best and you will see them push the ‘Bama D-Line back on their heels on the majority of plays. This is the crucial situation that will allow FSU to open up the run game and then use play action pass to elite and very fast WR that will be in man coverages.

This is the first time that a No. 1 ranked team will play a No. 3 ranked team this early in the season. So, there is little history to learn from that have similar characteristics. Bama will have to learn how to work together rapidly, as they play a whole new half of a team. While going up against a team that will most likely win the ACC Conference. Clemson is realistically the only team in the Conference that will give FSU any sort of test.

For one of our top plays this weekend we go to South Bend Indiana and our taking the Fighting Irish laying 18 points to the Temple Owls. We loved the game at the opening line under 2 TD’s, but the betting public has pushed this up to 18 points. Although Notre Dame comes off a 4-8 season losing their top Quarterback and many experts predicting a close outcome along with Temple coming off a 10-4 season going 12-2 ATS, you may ask how could the Irish be our top play? Several factors come into play on this one but the first is the leadership and news coming out of South Bend. Basically no news last year's team started with suspensions and issues with the players and was void any real leadership, basically all things are quiet and the expectations down for the Irish. The next matter is the Irish are loaded with talent and some of that is up front in the trenches. Next we see a lot of similarities to the 2013 game where Matt Rhule the ex Temple coach started his career at Temple and the Irish jumped out early and easily covered a similar type of spread putting up over 500 yards of Offense. New Temple head coach Geoff Collins is facing a similar situation losing a lot of Seniors especially on the defense and losing QB PJ Walker. Now the talent that Matt Rhule left is better than what he inherited. We still feel this is not the ideal situation for a young QB. Although the Owls only gave up 283 yards and 18 points per game many of those players are gone. Brandon Wimbush takes over an Irish offense that put up 31 points per game and 418 yards of offense. Wimbush has plenty of offense weapons from Running Back Josh Adams and leading receiver Equanimous St. Brown along with a full stable of running backs and receivers. The Irish although not deep up front have a lot more playmakers on defense this year. The Irish have strong Special teams this year which will also aid in this one. For halftime betters look for a favorable first half line as Notre Dame usually starts with the football. Take the Irish and lay the points today as we like Notre Dame to take the fight to the Cherry and the White.

Boston Red Sox (76-57) @ New York Yankees (70-62)

Yankee Stadium

Fister(3-7) V. Gray(8-8)

Statistical Analysis 

BOS- Doug Fister has been everything but consistent this season. His statistics on the year are below average to say the least. Sporting a 4.53 ERA over 59.2 innings and a 3-7 record. Even though BOS serve up constant run support and at the top team in the division fister is still struggling in his starts. I don’t see him having an flashes of excellence anytime soon. 

NYY- Sonny Gray on the other hand is back to his usual self after a tough season in 2016. He has a 3.25 ERA  in 127.1 innings with an 8-8 record. Since being traded from OAK to the NYY, he has a 2.70 ERA only going 2-3. Run support has been the biggest issue for him. Aaron Judge isn’t on as hot of a streak since after the all star break. The young line-up is still figuring out how to jell together and beome a force even though they are the second best team in the division. The Yankees are also 37-26 at home this season.

Final Analysis

In this matchup I am selecting the favorite. The Yankees are playing at home where they have had most of their success. Sonny gray is on the mound who has been a one pitch warrior all season and Doug fister is still struggling to find a groove. If Sonny can get some help on the offensive side this game should be in the bag. 

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) as they take on the Milwaukee Brewers in MLB action set to start at 4:10 PM ET.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

Milwaukee will start a struggling Jimmy Nelson while the Dodgers start a highly tune Yu Darvish. Nelson has posted a 9.00 ERA and 2.200 WHIP over his last 3 starts spanning just 15 IP. Darvish has posted an impressive 2.50 ERA with a 1.111 WHIP over his last three starts spanning 18 IP and with 22 Ks.

Dodgers were held scoreless in yesterday’s 3-0 loss to the Brewers. The Dodgers are 10-2 SU and 8-4 RL following a game where they were shutout at home since 2014.

Further, Justin Turner was held hitless Saturday. The Dodgers are 12-1 SU after Turner was hitless in the previous game.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

Dodgers are 45-14 (+24.7 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game this season.

Dodgers are 87-34 (+35.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.

Dodgers are 58-17 (+31.9 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

Dodgers are 55-16 (+30.1 Units) against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dodgers.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on the Chicago Cubs (903) as they take on Philadelphia in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET.

Cubs are lined just below -200, so this does open up the opportunity to use the combination wager and reduce risk without altering the ROI of this play. The recommended wager is to place a 5* amount using the line and add a 2* play using the - 1 ½ Run Line, which will be about -110 to -120.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone 229-80 hitting 74.1% winners and has made 86.8 units/unit wagered since 2013.  

Play on all NL favorites with a money line of -150 or more.

With a starting pitcher posting an ERA is 3.70 or better on the season.

Team is now facing an opponent with a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or less HR/start.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Cubs are 33-18 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games facing a starting pitcher that gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last three seasons.

Phillies are just 29-61 (-27.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Methodology Discussion Points

Kyle Hendricks is pitching very well posting a 2.16 ERA over  his last three starts. He is not a dominating power starter, but he moves the ball well and is able to induce batters to swing at his pitches in favorable pitcher counts. This high performance level has been evident in his three career starts against the Phillies where he has posted a 2.61 ERA and a 0.822 WHIP.

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cubs.

The play and how to Play it:

7* graded play on Oregon State (291) as they take on Colorado State in NCAAF action set to start at 2:30 PM ET.

The recommended strategy is to wager a 5* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line to exploit the significant probability of an SU Oregon State win.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive .

The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research.

Oregon State is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt.

Oregon State is 91-31 ATS (+56.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points.

Oregon State 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they gain 400 to 450 total yard.

Oregon State is 33-11 ATS (+20.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play.

Colorado State 37-90 ATS (-62.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

Colorado State 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they allow 6 or more rushing yards per attempt.

Oregon State is  8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Oregon State Beavers.

This may be too simple of an outlook, but Manchester United are unbeatable at the moment. It will take a significant turn around for them to concede points at home and we don’t see that negative turn around happening this week. Leicester are a good side, and will challenge many teams this season, hopefully pushing for a top 6 place in the table this year. They are strong going forward, but they will have a tough time stopping United from scoring. It is a bad line as United are favored, but its not egregious enough to take a flier on the upset. Expected Result: 3-0 Manchester United

Newcastle have proven to be a frustrating side this year. They have played tough against Spurs to open the season, but ultimately lost after a grave mistake. Last week they lost a game against the up starts from Huddersfield. Their inability to repeat a strong performance against an opponent they beat last season, and who were also newly promoted to the EPL, is difficult to swallow. Their backline let them down, and Huddersfield has proven to be a formidable side, making a case for a mid-table finish this season. West Ham, on the other hand, have been poor. They were thoroughly beaten by their opponents and look to be in the basement of the EPL this season. • With both teams being in the basement of the table currently, it would be easy to see a draw coming from these two sides. We believe that the talent that is present in Newcastle should reign supreme for this match. Playing at home their defense should remain solid, and they will create goal scoring chances against West Ham, as everyone else has this season. Expected Result: 2-1 Newcastle