Bowling Green vs Norfolk State
7:00 PM EST, December 20, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Norfolk State
 
Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal.

 BG is a money burning 2-10 against the spread (ATS) in road games following a stretch of three games in which they led ta the half by five or more points. NFST is a perfect 6-0 ATS following a dismal shooting game in which they scored 60 or fewer points and 6-0 ATS following a game in which they scored 25 or fewer points in the first half. NFST Head Coach Jones is 14-3 ATS coming off a game in which they lost by double digits.

The Bahamas Bowl
Thomas Robinson Stadium, Nassau
2:00 PM EST, December 20, 2020

This is the first Bowl Game of the season and one that I expect to be entertaining and played well by these teams. This Bowl game started in 2014 and was called the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl, in which Western Kentucky defeated Central Michigan 49-48. The 49 points scored by Western Kentucky remains the Bowl record

The Charlotte 49ers play in the East Division of C-USA and earned a 7-5 record by winning their last five games of the regular season. The 49ers went an even 5-5 against the spread (ATS) and the ‘OVER’ won the money in eight of their 12 games. Their first-year head coach Will Healy absorbed the growing pains at the start of the season has them playing at their best right now and is a reason I like them as a Best Bet.

The 49ers had two huge wins during their five-game win streak. In Week 10 they shocked Middle Tennessee State 34-20 and were lined as 2.5-point home underdogs. In Week 13 they played their best game of the season in a 24-13 win over Marshall and were lined as 6.5-point home underdogs. As a home underdog they went a perfect 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS so they relish the role they find themselves in for this Bowl game.

In a twist of fate, I suppose we have two teams that at the Pro levels have the same team name with only the Buffalo Bulls missing the ‘I’ in Bills. The Bulls play as a member of the East Division in the MAC Conference and earned a 7-5 record this season. They rewarded their bettors with a 7-5 ATS record and the ‘OVER’ bet also went 8-4 on the season.

The Bulls had two huge wins this season in which they covered the spread by 28 points. In Week 4 they pounded Temple 38-22 and were 12-point home underdogs. In Week 10 they dominated Eastern Michigan 43-14 and were lined as a 1-point road favorite.

This NCAA football betting system has earned a 38-10 ATS record good for 79.2% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on underdogs of 3 to 10 points after having won four or more of their last six games SU and have a win percentage between 51% and 60% on the season.

This system will track teams that are on winning runs later in the season. A team cannot lose four of their first six games and have a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season. The system aligns with the positive momentum I like to see a team have that I bet on in the early bowl games.

·        Bulls head coach Leipold is 0-6 ATS in road games after outrushing the previous opponent by 125 or more yards.

·        49ers are a solid 10-2 ATS after playing three consecutive conference games spanning the last three seasons of play.

Portland State vs Loyola Marymount
10:00 PM EST, December 19, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Portland State
 
Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal.

Let us start with a situational betting system that has hit 69% ATS for a 72-28-5 ATS record since 2007 and 32-12-1 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Ther requirements are to play on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone over the total by 33 or more points in their last five games and in a game between two teams with win percentages between 40 and 49.99% on the season.

LM is just 13-21 straight-up and 10-22 against the spread (ATS) in home games and have failed to cover the spread in a minimuk of two consecutive games. 5-13 ATS following a game in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds.

These team trends match the machine learning projections. LM is 27-44 ATS when allowing 65 to 75 points in a home game; 5-10 ATS over the last three seasons. LM is 12-29 ATS when committing between 15 and 20 turnovers in home games since 2006. LM is 5-15 ATS when making less than 70% of their free throws and committing 15 to 20 turnovers in home games since 2006.

Utah vs Atlanta
7:35 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Atlanta Hawks

This is a simple to track betting query that has earned a solid 42-23 ATS record over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play on Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Atlanta obviously) after four or more consecutive losses in games played in December.

·       The Jazz are 10-21 ATS when they have made between 43 and 47% of their shot attempts in games played over the last two sesons.

·       The Hawks are an amazing 20-1 ATS coverig the spread by an average of 10.2 points-per-game for 95% winning bets when they have had the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio by at least 0.7, scored 105 or more points, and were home dogs.

Utah Valley State vs Wyoming
9:00 PM EST.
7-Star Titan bet on the Utah Valley State Wolverines

From the predictive toolshed the Wolverines are expected to shoot 47% or higher from the field, hold the Wyoming Cowboys to between 55 and 65 points, and will have at least four more offensive rebounds.

In past Cowboy games in which they allowed these performance measures or worse they have gone 2-11 ATS for 85% winning bets.

Utah State vs South Florida
Toyota Center, Houston, TX
7:45 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet on South Florida

After a slow start to the season the South Florida Bulls have been playing better with each passing week. They are 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, and the ‘UNDER’ bet has earned a solid 7-2-1 record this season. They are on a 3-game win streak and have covered all three of these games by a combined 34.5 points.

So, we have the Aggies on a downward performance stretch and the Bulls playing increasingly better and is why I like the underdog Bulls in this matchup.

·       The Bulls are 11-1 ATS when facing excellent offensive teams that are averaging 77 or more points-per-game in games played over the last two seasons.

·       The Bulls are 18-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.

Ryan’s NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan

This Titan is backed by several team-specific trends with one sporting a near-perfect 11-1 ATS record good for 92% winning bets. John Ryan is currently 40-19-1 (68%) over his last 60 basketball picks this season and 229-167 (58%) over his last 406 basketball picks with $1,000/game bettors have made $49,310 since 2-21-18 by following his advice!

Miami vs Philadelphia
NBA: 10--Star Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

This situational betting system has earned a remarkable 45-24-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites of 6 to 10 points (76ers in this case) after going under the total by more than 20 points in their previous game and now facing an opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.

From the predictive machine learning tools the 76ers are a stout 143-40-2 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9 points-per-game for 78% winning bets when they have been at home and had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio by a margin of at least 1.1 and had 15 or fewer turnovers over the last 25 seasons; 75-21 ATS fo r78% wining bets since 2010; 12-4 ATS for 75% over the last two seasons; 5-0 ATS this season and covering by an average of 13 points.

Eastern Tennessee State vs LSU
7:00 PM EST, December 18, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Eastern Tennessee State
 
 Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal. It does not in any way diminish the strength of the play identified. If you are one of the many new clients welcome on board. To refresh, a 7-Star graded play is recommended to be your normal bet size. A 5-Star is recommended to be 30% less than your 7-Star amount, and 10-Star is 30% more than your 7-Star normal bet size. The key is discipline and having a longer-term view knowing that the profits will come and it is a grind over the course of that season or calendar year.  Remember that as documented by Sports Capping (not me), Dime Players are up over $45,000 for the 2019 calendar year and there are pullbacks in the profits made

just as their pullbacks in a bullish chart picture of Apple Computer. Any questions send me a direct message to me @JohnRyanSports1

Let us start with a situational betting system that has hit 75% ATS for a 36-12 ATS record since 2006. Play on road dogs of 4.5 or more points that held their previous opponent to less than 30% shooting and is now facing an opponent that has made 47% or more of their shots in each of their last three games.  

ETST is a solid 17-5-2 ATS for 77% in road games facing good free throw shooting teams making 72% or more of their attempts over the past 15 seasons; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2015.

Phoenix vs the Clippers
NBA: 7-Star bet on the Phoenix Suns

This situational betting system has earned a remarkable 45-22-1 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on struggling teams that have win percentage between 24 and 44 and are facing an opponent that has a WP between 60 and 75% and the opponent has exceeded the implied Vegas line by 30 or more points over their last five games.  DM me on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 to further explanation of dps and dpa parameters.

Some Background Info:
Deandre Ayton returns from a 25-game suspension for testing positive for a diuretic when the Phoenix Suns visit the Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday. Ayton was the NBA's third-best rookie last year but played only this season's opener before being suspended the next day.

Ayton, who averaged 16.3 points and 10.3 rebounds last season, is eager to return and has regrets about the situation. “Most of all, I disappointed everybody that’s in my circle and I started to just think to myself how my career is gonna be in that one moment, in that one call,” Ayton told Fox Sports Arizona in regard of getting the suspension call from the NBA office. Los Angeles had a four-game winning streak halted Saturday when it suffered a 109-106 road loss to the Chicago Bulls. Star forward Kawhi Leonard (knee) sat out that setback on the second end of a back-to-back and will be back on the floor against Phoenix.

Booker scored 30 points as the Suns broke a 12-game losing streak to the Clippers with a 130-122 home victory Oct. 26.e

From the predictive machine learning tools the Suns are a stout 28-9 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8 points-per-game for 76% winning bets when they have been a road dog, had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio by a margin of at least 1.1 and had 14 or fewer turnovers.

Nebraska-Omaha vs Eastern Washington
 9:05 PM EST.

7-Star Best Bet on Eastern Washington

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 52-14 against the spread (ATS) for 79% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to play on home favorites of 3 to 10 points and are a dominant team outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game and after leading in their last game by 20 or more points at the half.

EWU is also a solid 10-2 ATS facing poor foul drawing teams that are attempting 18 or fewer free throws-per-game over the last three seasons.

Orlando vs Utah
8:05 PM EST.
7-Star Titan bet on the Orlando Magic

This betting system has earned a 77-40 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons.  Play against home favorites (Utah in this case) in non-conference games, off a home no-cover (Push) or ATS loss where the team won straight up as a favorite.

From the predictive toolshed  and supporting the upset alert is the fact that the Magic are resounding 15-7 against the money line (+15.8 Units per unit wagered) when they commit three to five fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last two seasons. The Utah Jazz are a money-burning 2-6 against the money line (-9.7 Units per unit wagered) when they commit three to five more turnovers than their opponents this season.

Magic are near-perfect 16-3 ATS in road games when they commit three to five fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last three seasons.

Pittsburgh vs Calgary
9:05 PM EST, December 17, 2019
7-Star NHL Titan Bet on the Pittsburgh Penguins

Due to time allotments, these reports are shorter than normal.

Calgary Flames are a money-burning 12-18 against the money line (-18.8 Units per unit wagered) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

Mike Sullivan is a solid 87-46 against the money line (+22.3 Units per unit wagered) after allowing four goals as the coach of the Penguins.

The machine learning projections center around Calgary not scoring more than two goals as the Penguins are 14-2 against the money line (+10.9 Units) when they allow two or less goals this season. Calgary is a horrid 1-14 against the money line (-14.8 Units) when they score two or fewer goals this season.

John Ryan Sports

NORTHEASTERN VS EASTERN MICHIGAN

7:00 PM EST, DECEMBER 17, 2019

7-STAR TITAN BET ON THE NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES

 Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal. It does not in any way diminish the strength of the play identified. If you are one of the many new clients welcome on board. To refresh, a 7-Star graded play is recommended to be your normal bet size. A 5-Star is recommended to be 30% less than your 7-Star amount, and 10-Star is 30% more than your 7-Star normal bet size. The key is discipline and having a longer-term view knowing that the profits will come and it is a grind over the course of that season or calendar year.  Remember that as documented by Sports Capping ( not me), Dime Players are up over $45,000 for the 2019 calendar year and there are bullbacks in the profits made just as their pullbacks in a bullish chart picture of Apple Computer. Any questions send me a direct message to me @JohnRyanSports1

EMU is 5-16 ATS when facing excellent 3 point shooting teams that are making44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins; 41% or more of their attempts; 22-42 ATS after playing two consecutive games as favorite; 44-68 ATS after two or more consecutive wins. 

EMU head coach Murphy is 4-15 ATS when facing very good shooting teams making a minimum of 48% of their shots as the coach of EMU.

NE has played a vastly more difficult schedule than what EMU has faced to date and that ‘seasoning’ will benefit the Huskies greatly in this matchup. 

Colts vs Saints
8:20 PM EST, December 16, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Colts
 
 Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal. It does not in any way diminish the strength of the play identified. If you are one of the many new clients welcome on board. To refresh, a 7-Star graded play is recommended to be your normal bet size. A 5-Star is recommended to be 30% less than your 7-Star amount, and 10-Star is 30% more than your 7-Star normal bet size. The key is discipline and having a longer-term view knowing that the profits will come and it is a grind over the course of that season or calendar year.  We did not do well yesterday in the NFL, but remember that as documented by Sports Capping ( not me), Dime Players are up over $45,000 for the 2019 calendar year. Any questions send me a direct message to me @JohnRyanSports1

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 24-6 against the spread (ATS) record good for 80% winning bets over the last 35 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs or pick (The Colts in this matchup) off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.  

The Colts are 17-3 ATS when coming off a win and facing an opponent that averages 6.375 or more rushing first downs-per-game and scoring an average of 27 or fewer points-per-game. When the Colts have been a dog they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in this role.

The 7-Star Best Bet is on the Colts

Dallas vs Milwaukee
8:05 PM EST.
7-Star Titan bet on the Milwaukee Bucks

This betting system has earned a 37-13 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last five seasons.  Play against underdogs (Dallas in this matchup) after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team with a win percentage between 60% to 75% playing a team with a winning record.

Milwaukee is 8-0 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half this season.

From the predictive tool box we see that Milwaukee is 25-12 ATS when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons. Milwaukee is 31-14 ATS when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3-pointers in a game over the last two seasons.

Washington vs Columbus
NHL: 7-Star bet on the Washington Capitals

This situational betting system has earned a remarkable 25-6 record  good for 81% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to play on any team against the money line (Caps in this matchup) that are revenging a loss where opponent scored five or more goals, a top-level team winning at least 70% of their games in the current season and playing a struggling team winning between 30% to 40% of their games in the current season.

Marist vs Rider
Alumni Gymnasium
7:00 PM EST.
NCAA Betting Odds: Rider -14.5 (-110)

7-Star Best Bet on Marist Red Foxes

The Marist Red Foxes travel to New Jersey to take on the Rider Broncos in a MAAC Conference matchup. This is just too many points to be giving the one-win Red Foxes and there is significant value in betting on them tonight. I am looking at the final score being a Rider win, but by single digits.

This betting system is a solid one having earned a 59-26 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements that need to be met are that we are betting in underdog between 10 and 20 points after they have gone under the posted total by a combined 25 or more total points in their last three games, has a win percentage of 20% or lower, and is playing a team with a win percentage of at least 65% on the season.

Rider is just 5-14 ATS against conference opponents in game splayed over the last 2 two seasons.
Rider is 0-6 ATS in home games when playing only their second game in eight days over the last three seasons.

 Let us start with a situational betting system that has earned a 30-8 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last 35 seasons. Bet on road teams after they have gone under the total by 21 or more points in total over their last three games and are facing an opponent that has gone under the total by a combined 49 points in their last five games.

This betting system is 6-0 ATS over the last three seasons.

Intended air yards is a great measure of offensive performance. It measures all of the passing yards, the distance the ball travel from the line of scrimmage – not the QB hand – and for both incompleted and completed passes.

The Buffalo offense is one of the most balanced offensive attacks. They rank 14th with 3,800 yards of intended air passing yards. They have thrown a total of 422 passes and this translate into a quite impressive 9.0 yards of intended air yards per pass attempt that ranks fourth-best in the NFL. This also reflects the Bills abilities to stretch a defense using vertical crossing routes and with success.

The Steelers strength has been their defense this season where they rank third allowing 1,161 yards after the catch has been made. They average an allowed 8.3 yards of depth per pass attempt. This simply means that the average yards the ball flies through the air beyond the line of scrimmage has been 8.3 yards per-pass-attempt. So, I believe with the help of my 3,500 algorithms and machine learning tools that Buffalo will be able to dominate this game.

So, bet a 7-Star amount on the Buffalo Bills.

Minnesota vs LA Chargers
4:05 PM EST, December 15, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the LA Chargers
 
 Due to time and holiday activities these reports are shorter than normal.

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 18-4 against the spread (ATS) record good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on teams that have forced one or zero turnovers in four consecutive games and are facing a team that had zero turnovers in their last game and in a game that has a line between +3.5 and -3.5 points.

The straight-up record of this system is 19-5.

The Vikings are just 5-18 ATS in road games off a home ATS loss or push where the team won as a favorite.

From the machine learning projections:
Vikings are 23-40 ATS in road games when they allow 350 to 400 total yards.
The Chargers are 70-41 ATS when their defense forces two turnovers and 149-63 ATS when they have forced two or more turnovers since the 1992 season.
The Chargers are when they gain 6 or more total yards per play.
The Chargers are 7-1 ATS covering the number by an average of 13.3 points-per-game when they have gained an average eof 6.0 yards-per-carry and have forced two or more turnovers as a home dog.

NC State vs UNC Greensboro
Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
3:00 PM EST.
7-Star Titan bet on the UNC Greensboro Spartans
 

This betting system has earned a 36-10 ATS record good for 78% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play against a favorite (NC STATE) after going over the total by more than six points in four consecutive games and is facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

The UNC Greensboro Spartans have an excellent under rated defense and they are facing a NC State Wolfpack team that may be playing without their best offensive player. Jericole Hellems suffered a concussion from a sever crash to the floor and based on published reports will be a game-time decision. I do not think he will play given that the Wolfpack rank 18th nationally in scoring offense averaging 82.8 PPG and have solid bench players to fill in for Hellems.

It will be the Spartans defense and rebounding though that will win this game. The Spartans are 7-0 when outrebounding their opponent this season. They also rank 23rd in the nation averaging 5.5 blocks per game with Kyrin Galloway and James Dickey each averaging more than 2.0 blocks-per-game.

Due to time allotments, these reports are shorter than normal.

The 200th meeting between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers on Sunday at Lambeau Field will feature plenty of playoff implications. The Bears have won three straight and four of five to remain in the mix for a wild card spot, while the Packers are on the verge of clinching a playoff spot but have plenty of work left to lock down the NFC North and, perhaps, a first-round bye. But, Obviously I strongly believe that the Bears are going to pull off the upset win.

The Packers have been out-gained by many of their opponents and they find ways to win games. They just are not as good as that record indicates and the Bears have the talent that matches up well against he Packers. Chicago's turnaround can be tied directly to the improved play of quarterback Mitchell Trubisky, who has completed 70 percent of his passes with seven passing touchdowns and two rushing scores during the three-game winning streak.

Here is a betting system that has earned a solid 45-17 ATS record good for 73% ATS winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to BET ON road teams (CHICAGO in this matchup) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games and with the game being played in the month of December.

Here is a second betting system that has earned a 33-11 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY in this matchup) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season.

The machine learning summary projection calls for the Packers to not score more than 20 points. The Packers are 46-139-7 ATS for 25% wins when they have scored 20 or fewer points; 1-16-1 in home games since 2010.

7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat
NBA: Miami vs Dallas
8:30 PM EST, December 14, 2019

Shortened report due to time today.

This situational betting system (query) has earned a solid 86-46 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Dallas in this matchup) in non-conference games with the team off a road win by 10 or more points.

Miami is a near-perfect 12-1 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last two seasons.

From the predictive bucket Miami is 16-6 ATS in road games where both teams score 105 or more points in a game over the last two seasons. Miami is 160-63 ATS when they score 106 to 111 points in a game since 1996.

 This is a matchup of Horizon Conference teams and two extremely good players that are coming off excellent games. WGB Phoenix Amari Davis shot 12-for-14 from the field and scored 25 points over 32 minutes including two assists, four rebounds, and tw0 blocked shots. Evansville Purple Aces Deandre Williams scored 37 points on 17-for-18 shooting and scored 37 points in 34 minutes including three assists, 10 rebounds, and three blocked shots. So, this will be an entertaining game to watch.

The Phoenix play faster than the Purple Aces and shoot a higher percentage. The Phoenix average 65 shot attempts per game and are making 46% of those shots. The Purple Aces average 58 shot attempts-per-game and are hitting 45% of the shots. So the shooting percentages are close, but the Phoenix attempt more of them.

The Phoenix have superior ball movement as well. They rank 11th in the nation averaging 17.1 assist-per-game. The Purple Aces rank 277th averaging just 13.8 assists-per-game and reflects too many isolation possessions with the play clocking winding down.

·        The Phoenix are 8-1 ATS in home games facing good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons.

·        Darner is 10-2 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.

Georgia Tech’s sophomore guard Michael Devoe has scored 20-plus points five times and is shooting an ACC-best 52.9 percent from 3-point range. He did finished just 2-for-12 from the field against Syracuse. Senior forward/center James Banks III did not block a shot last week and fell from the top spot in the nation’s rankings, but entered the weekend averaging four blocks per game (third nationally) along with 11.3 points and 8.4 rebounds per game. Junior forward Moses Wright is shooting 55.6 percent from the field and has averaged 15.7 points and 10 rebounds across his past three games.

That trio of athletes is the dominant reason I see this game staying close and ending in a single-digit Kentucky win. There is a minimal probability that we will see a shocking upset, so it would be a wise idea to bet no more than a 1-Star play on the money line, which is currently priced at +900.

A Few Extra Points:

·        GT is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS in road games when facing excellent teams that are outscoring their opponents by 8or more points-per-game over the last two seasons.

·        GT is 13-3 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.

John Ryan Sports

Memphis vs Tennessee
3:00 PM EST, December 14, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Tennessee Volunteers
 
The No. 13 Memphis Tigers will be visiting Knoxville to play the No. 18 Tennessee Volunteers in a huge showdown in the state of Tennessee. Both teams have just a single loss with the Tigers earning eight wins and the Vols seven wins. The Tigers are 5-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and the ‘OVER’ bet is 5-4 in these games. The Vols are 4-4 ATS and the “UNDER’ bet has earned a 4-3-1 record in these games.

This game will be won by Tennessee on the glass. The Tigers remain one of the best rebounding teams in the nation, but have been out-boarded in four of their last five games.  Losing their stud James Wiseman and his 11 rebounds-per-game have hurt them significantly. The Vols have been out rebounded once in a game they won over Washington, but lost the boards 42-32. For the season, the Vols are outrebounding their opponents by an average 11 rebounds-per-game.

The Vols rank 14th-best in the nation allowing opponents to reboubd just 22% of their offensive missed shots. The Tigers thrive on the offensive glass getting second chance scoring opportunities on 34% of their possessions, but again without the presence of Wiseman, this stat has been on the decline. So, I strongly believe that the Vols will limit the Tiger’s second chance scoring opportunities and that will go a long way to the Vols winning this game by double digits.

You will see the Tigers looking to play extremely fast in this game given that they rank 11th in the nation with an average possession time of only 14.8 seconds. They rank 10th in the nation in adjusted tempo, which takes the number of possessions per game divided by the minutes and adjusted  by the preferred pace of play of their opponent and when the game was played.

The Tigers pace of play will work against them against a fundamentally solid Vols defense. Further, the Vols rank 303rd out of 353 Division-1 programs and 256th with a an average possession time of 18 seconds. The Tigers have played two teams that rank lower than the Vols in adjusted tempo. They lost to Oregon 82-74, failed to cover the spread as a four-point underdog, and hot a miserable 37.7% from the field. In the second game, which was their last game, they defeated UAB 65-57 and pushed the spread as an eight-point favorite, and shot 37.9% from the field. Bit of a trend there in the matchups I would say.

This situational betting system reinforces the bet on the Volunteers and has earned a 52-12 (81%) against the spread (ATS) record over the last five seasons and requires us to bet on  home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are top caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half.

New York vs Sacramento
10:05 PM EST, December 12, 2019
7-Star Titan on the Knicks
 
This situational betting system reinforces the bet on the Knicks and has earned a 35-10 (78%) against the spread (ATS) record over the last 20 seasons and requires us to bet on road underdogs that are coming off two consecutive games allowing 100 or more points and are facing an opponent that ihas earned three straight wins by six or fewer points.

The No. 24 ranked Buffalos will take on their state rival Rams at Moby Arena in Fort Collins tonight. The game will be televised on CBSSN.

The Buffalos won their first seven games of the season and then hit abrupt wall in the form the Kansas Jayhawks losing 72-58, and failed to cover the spread by 3.5-points. In their last game, the sting of that loss was still wearing on the Buffalos as they played poorly in a 79-76 loss to Northern Iowa. So, you can trust that head coach TAD Boyle will have his team fully prepared for this game.

The Buffalos have terrific depth on their return. They have returned 94% of the minutes played and 95% of the scoring from last season’s team.

They are led by Junior guard Tyler Bey, who is averaging 13.0 points-per-game (PPG) and 13 reboubnds-per-game (RPG). They play a three guard lineup most of the time with Junior guard McKinley Wright IV averaging 12.3 PPG, 4.4 RPG, and 3.8 assists-per-game (APG) and Junior guard D’Shawn Schwartz adding 10.3 PPG, 2./7 RPG, and 1.8 APG). This trio is going to be difficult for the Rams to defend for the entire game.

A Few Extra Points:

·        Buffalos are 78-48 against the spread (ATS) after two or more consecutive losses over the last 20 seasons.

o   They went a perfect 5-0 ATS last season in this role.

·        The Rams are a money-burning 6-17 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last three seasons.

·        Buffalos are a perfect 13-0 ATS having lost their last two or more games and have failed to cover the spread in their previous three or more games.

Let us begin with this situational betting system that has earned a solid 90-52 ATS mark over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against a road team that is outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points-per-game and is facing a host that scored 90 or fewer points in their previous game.

James Harden will put his high-scoring ways up against one the league's better defensive teams when he leads the Houston Rockets into a Friday night matchup at the Orlando Magic. Harden elevated his NBA-leading scoring average to 38.7 with 55 in a 116-110 victory at Cleveland on Wednesday.

The Cavs scored 24 consecutive points, before Harden took over the game in the fourth quarter by scoring 20 points and helping greatly to erase an 11-point deficit. But it does show that the Rockets can be defeated and I strongly believe that the Magic has that stifling style of defense that can present many problems for the Rockets dynamic offense.

·        The Magic are 23-10 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons.

o   23-9 ATS after covering the spread in four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons.

·        The Magic are a solid 161-80 ATS when they score 106 to 111 points in a game spanning the last 20 seasons.

Some quick Hitters:
 Harbaugh is just 5-15 ATS in home gam,es after allowing 17 or fewer points points in B2B games as the HC of the Ravens.

John Ryan Sports

Yale vs UMASS
7:00 PM EST, December 11, 2019
7-Star Titan on UMASS
 
This situational betting system reinforces the bet on UMASS. It has earned an 89-40 (69%) against the spread (ATS) record over the last five seasons and requires us to bet on any team (UMASS in this matchup) after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and is now facing an opponent that has gone under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.

Some quick Hitters:
Knicks are 4-15 ATS when facing teams who are called for two or more fouls-per-game than their opponents over the last three seasons.

 Knicks are 17-39 ATS after one or more consecutive unders over the last two seasons.

Portland is 37-21 ATS in home games following a poor shooting game making 37% or less of their shot attempts.
 
From the machine learning side of things, Portland is projected to score at least 111 points and the Knicks are 13-43 ATS when they have allowed 11 or more points.

This is a Big Ten Conference matchup that will be highly competitive and will provide plenty of entertainment. This is Penn State’s shot at knocking off on eof the best teams in the conference and the nation and get their name noticed as a contender.

The Maryland Terrapins are off to a perfect 10-0 record and have earned an even 5-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record to begin the season. They were quite fortunate to come away with a win in their last game, which was the conference home opener against Illinois. They needed a huge rally to overcome a 15-point second-half deficit and made the winning free throw with just 2.1 seconds left in the game.  So, they are beatable is what we learned from that game.

Penn State is off to a surprising 7-2 start to their season and have earned a 5-3 ATS record with one the game against Wagner not having a betting line. They were hammered by Ohio State in their last game by the final score of 106-74, but the first half was competitive.

·        PSU is a rock solid 13-2 ATS after two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists over the last three seasons.

·        PSU is 10-2 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last three seasons.

·        PSU is 20-9 ATS after playing a game as an underdog over the last three seasons.

A stat I have studied fo years is intended air yards, which is exactly what it sounds like. The total yards of all passes thrown that have been competed or not completed. The Eagles rank 13th most in the NFL with 3,863 yards. By comparison, The Bucs lead the NFL with 5,170 intended air yards on the season and 49ers – go figure – rank last with only 2,609 IAY.

What matters more is the average depth of these intended air yards. The Eagles are above average hear again averaging 8 IAY-per-attempt. The problem is that Wentz has completed 1,738 IAY – the yards the ball traveled past the line of scrimmage before being caught and does not include yards-AFTER-THE-CATCH. This illustrates how monumental the loss of WR Jackson has been to the offense as they have no one that can stretch the defense in vertical routes. So, you can throw downfield all day long, but if there is no a playmaker that can get seperation from the defender and make the catch, the rest of the offensive scheme will suffer.

The receivers and Wentz share equally in their demise. WR are rounded routes instead of squaring them off with sharp change of direction moves. Wentz is making horrible reads and has been largely inaccurate with his passes even when the receiver is open.

·        The Giants are 8-1 ATS in road games when they have allowed 22 to 28 points in games played over the last three seasons.

·        The Giants are 8-1 ATS in road games in which both teams score 20 or more points.

·        The Giants are 56-14 ATS for 80% when they have forced a host into three or more turnovers.

Some quick Hitters:
Kings are 9-0 ATS when facing good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points-per-game this season.

Kings are a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

John Ryan Sports

7-Star Best Bet on Alabama State
NCAA Hardwood: Alabama State vs South Dakota
8:00 PM EST, December 9, 2019

This situational betting system (query) has earned a solid 58-27 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points  that are average defensive teams allowing between 67 and 74 PPG and are now facing a struggling defensive team allowing between 74 and 78 PPG and are coming off a win by 15 points or more.

SDST is just  8-19 ATS facing a struggling 3 point shooting team that is making 31% or less of their attempts.

7-Star NHL TOTAL
UNDER Columbus vs Capitals
7:00 PM EST, December 9, 2019

This situational betting system has earned a 61-23-3 record good for 70% winning bets over the last 3 seasons. The requirements are to bet UNDER with a road team that has allowed 3 or more goals in their last 3 games and is facing an opponent that has scored 3 or more goals in each of their last three games.

Columbus is 65-38 UNDER in road games against mistake free teams in which opponents average 4 or fewer power plays-per-game over the last two seasons.

7-Star NFL Late Afternoon TItan
4:25 PM EST, December 8, 2019

This situational betting system has earned a 375-264 record good for 59% winning bets over the last 30 seasons. The requirements are to bet against road teams after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and is a team winning 60to 75% or more of their games on the season.

KC is a money-burning 0-6 ATS when facing teams who commit one or less turnovers-per-game on the season over the last two seasons.

Patriots are 15-4 ATS facing struggling defensive teams allowing 350 or more yards-per-game over the last three seasons.

Patriots are 9-1 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game over the last three seasons.

·        The Dolphins are just 23-44 ATS when playing against a struggling team sporting a win percentage between 25% to 40%.

·        The Dolphins are 10-27 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards-per-game in their last three games.

·        The Dolphins are 41-112 ATS when they rush for less than 75 yards.

Some quick Hitters:
Colts are a money-burning 13-28 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team winning between 40% to 49% of their games.

7-Star Best Bet on the Buffalo Bills
NFL: Ravens vs Bills
1:00 PM EST, December 8, 2019

This is a trap game for ther Ravens and a classic ‘wise-guy’ bet against situation.

Play against road teams that are on an eight-game win streak in the month of December. This simple query has earned an incredible 23-4 ATS record for 85% winning bets since 1980 and is 8-0 ATS over the last five seasons.
 

10-Star NHL Upset Alert
10:05 PM EST, December 7, 2019

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 18-9 record good for 67% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. This is one of the best in the database and is obviously quite rare, but has made a fortune betting on it. The requirements are to bet against home favorites between -200 and -300 that are playing just third or fewer game over the last 10 days and has a winning percentage between 45 and 55% on the season in the first half of the regular season.

7-Star bet on Cal Poly Slo
NCAAM Hardwood
10:00 PM EST, December 7, 2019

 Siena is a money-burning 3-12 ATS facing poor teams that are outscored by their opponents by 4 or more points-per-game over the last three seasons; 1-9 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as a road underdog.

From the predictive side Siena is an imperfect 0-6 ATS in road games when they grab four to nine more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last three seasons.

ACC Championship

7:30 PM EST, December 8, 2019

7-Star Titan on the Clemson Tigers

THIS SITUATIONAL QUERY HAS EARNED A SOLID 35-12-3 ATS MARK GOOD FOR 75% WINNING PICKS SINCE 2000. THE REQUIREMENTS ARE TO PLAY ON FAVORITES OF 21.5 TO 31 POINTS THAT ARE AVERAGING 200 OR MORE RUSHING YARDS-PER-GAME ON THE SEASON AND HAVE ALLOWED 125 OR FEWER RUSHING YARDS IN THREE CONSECUTIVE GAMES. 

THE FOLLOWING PRECEDENTS MATCH THE PROJECTIONS FROM THE MACHINE LEARNING RESULTS.

•The  Tigers are a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

•The Tigers are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.

•The Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

Some quick Hitters:
Missouri is 8-1 ATS in games in which they make a minimum of 79% of their free throw attempts.

Temple is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

The betting system has earned 72% winning bets on a 50-19 ATS record and instructs us to play on An underdog (MISSOURI) after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.

 Some quick Hitters:
Georgia is 11-1 ATS in road games after a game where they forced one or less turnovers over the last three seasons; 9-1 ATS in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards-per-play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. Coach Smart is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after the first month of the season as the coach of Georgia.

From the predictive side we learn that Georgia is 20-6 ATS over the last three seasons and 126-56 ATS over the last 25 seasons when scoring 28 or more points. LSU is just 18-60 ATS when allowing 28 or more points over the last 25 seasons.

Georgia is 47-25 ATS when gaining at least 135 RY and scoring 35 or more points and 145-7 ATS over the last three seasons. 

The betting system has earned 77% winning bets on a 36-11 ATS record and instructs us to play on Neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season.

The following precedents match the projections from the machine learning results.

·       The Sooners are 80-41 ATS when gaining at least nine yards-per-pass attempt.

o   58-24 ATS when they have gained a minimum of 10 yards-per-pas attempt.

o   Bears are a 12-39 ATS when allo1ing 10 or more passing yards-per-attempt.

·       The Sooners are 149-87 ATS when scoring 28 or more points.

o   Bears are just 61-123 ATS when allowing 28 or more points.

CSN is 18-5 ATS when facing a good ball handling team committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game over the last two seasons.

Portland State is just 1-10 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in eight days over the last two seasons.

From the predictive side that we get from the machine learning summary we see that PS is just 8-1 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Let us get right to the meat and potatoes portion of this game.
This situational query has earned a solid 109-54 ATS mark good for 67% winning picks since 2010. The requirements are to play on any team that is a good solid rushing team gaining between 190 and 230 RYPG after Week 7 and after allowing 100 or fewer RY in their last game and is now facing an opponent that is a decent rushing team that has averaged 140 to 190 rushing yards-per-game.

·        Utes are 7-0 ATS when facing below average passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse this season.

·        Utes are 30-15 ATS in road games facing excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better on the season.

·        Utes are a perfect 8-0 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in four straight games this season.

·        Whittingham is 22-3 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games as the coach of UTAH.

7-Star bet on the Golden State Warriors
NBA: GS vs Chicago
8:05 PM EST, December 6, 2019

Here is a another situational betting system that has earned a 35-10 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) in non-conference games off three or more consecutive road losses.

Bulls are a money-burning 6-19 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Boylen is 8-24 ATS in home games when facing poor defensive teams allowing 106 or more points-per-game as the coach of the Bulls.

From the machine learning summaries, the Warriors are 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when they have had the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio and scored 111 or more points as a road dog since 2015.

There will be an over abundance of Bulldogs running the court tonight when the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in this inter-conference matchup. Sorry, had to write it.

LT is off to a 5-2 start and have an even 3-3 against the spread (ATS) record with one game not being lined. MS is off to a solid 6-1 start and after failing to cover the spread in their first two games, they have ripped off five consecutive covers.

LT is a member of the Conference-USA and have an extremely balanced team on the offensive end. Senior guard Kalob Ledoux leads the team in scoring averaging 12 points-per-game and is tied for the team-high averaging 3.9 rebounds-per-game. They have tremendous team leadership with four Seniors starting and ranking in the top-5 in scoring.

LT has seven players averaging 8.4 or more points-per-game and they have used 12 and 13-player rotations in recent games. I love the depth and the fact that they will be the fresher team down the stretch in the second half. They have 74% of the minutes played and 73% of the points scored from last season returning to this team.

·        LT is an amazing 13-2 using the money line after scoring 75 or more points in four consecutive games.

MS head coach Howland is just 3-10 using the money line after covering four or five of their last six games against the spread. 

No.6 Ohio State vs No. 2 North Carolina
Big Ten vs ACC Challenge
9:30 PM EST
Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
NCAA Basketball Odds: UNC favored by 4

Even though we are barely a month into the NCAA basketball season there have been some great matchups involving the best teams in the nation. This is another one to be sure and there will be more coming this weekend. Ohio State will open their Big Ten Conference schedule hosting Penn State this Saturday and UNC will be a guest of the National Champion Virginia Cavaliers.  

The Buckeyes are off to a 7-0 start and have covered the spread in six of these games. Their defense has been incredible as they have held every opponent to less than 37.5% shooting. They are an excellent ball handling team as well and have not had more than 15 turnovers in any game and have had four games committing 11 or fewer turnovers.

UNC is off to a 6-1 start but have covered only two games to the spread. They have a solid defense that has held every opponent, but one, to 38% or worse shooting from the field. They are a perennial leader in rebounding and this season is no different. They have had problems with turnovers, however, and this will be a significant reason OSU can win this game.

·        OSU is 8-1 ATS coming off two or more consecutive home wins in games played over the last two seasons.

·        OSU is 12-3 ATS facing team that are called for three or fewer fouls-per-game than their opponents in games played over the last three seasons.

Wisconsin vs North Carolina State
Big Ten vs ACC Challenge
PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC
9:15 PM EST
NCAA Basketball Odds: NC-State favored by 5 (-110)

The Wisconsin Badgers will be the guests in Raleigh tonight to play against the NC-State Wolfpack, which is part of the BIG-TEN vs ACC Challenge series of games. The Badgers are off to a 4-3 start and have covered just two of these seven games to the spread. The Wolfpack is off to a 5-2 start and have covered three of the seven games.

Wisconsin has a terrific defense and their entire game is fed off the defense. They have allowed an average of 61.7 points-per-game, which ranks 52nd in the nation. They have solid leadership on this team given that 70% of the minutes played and 62% of the points scored are on this team.

The Badgers are led by A Junior Forward in Nate Revers, who is 6-11 and 240 lbs and is averaging a team-high 15.4 points-per-game and a team-high 5.7 rebounds-per-game. He has plenty of support as four players are averaging 10 or more points-per-game and six players are averaging four or more rebounds-per-games. I love the depth that the Badgers have, which will be a reason they end up winning this game.

Here Are a Few Additional Tip-Ins

·        The Wolfpack is just 22-41 ATS in home games when facing strong free throw shooting teams making at least 72% of their attempts.

The Badgers are 16-6 ATS when playing with seven or more days of rest.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 63-31 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams within three points of pick-em after having lost two of their last three games and has a win percentage between 51% and 60% and is playing against a winning record team.

Utah is 56-13-3 ATS for 81.2% winning bets when they have had the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio and scored 111 or more points including 29-6-3 ATS in home games for 83% winning bets.

7-Star bet on the San Antonio Spurs
8:35 PM EST, December 3, 2019

Here is a another situational betting system that has earned a 38-14 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against any team (Houston in this matchup) after two consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team winning between 60% to 75% and is now playing a struggling team winning between 25% to 40% of their games.

Under head coach Popovich the Spurs are a solid 47-24 ATS in a home game and coming off an embarassing blowout loss of 15 of more points.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 30-8 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against Any team (DALLAS) after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games and are facing an opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games.

The Northwestern Wildcats are a team that I believe is under rated and has the advantages to win this game against the Boston College Eagles.

Northwestern has posted a 3-3 record and are 2-4 ATS in these games. BC is an even 4-4 on the season and has posted a 3-5 ATS mark over these games. After covering the spread in the first three games they have lost five straight to the number and I think a sixth striaght ATS loss is forthcoming tonight

Northwestern has struggled on the offensive end this season, but that is because they lost a lot of players from last season. They have only 45% of the minutes played and 36% of the scoring having returned to this team. Despite ranking 290th in scoring offense averaging 63.8 points-per-game they are out scoring their opponents by an average eof 3-poits-per-game with a suffocating defense that ranks 94th allowing 63.8 points-per-game.

Northwestern has a size advantage on BC and their defense is much better.

·        BC is a near-imperfect 1-10 ATS in home games coming off two non-conference games in game splayed over the last two seasons.

·        BC is 5-14 ATS coming off a game in which they failed to cover the spread in games played over the last two seasons.  

St. Louis vs Chicago
NHL: 7-Star bet on the Chicago Blackhawks

This situational betting system has earned a solid 502-364 for 58% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor $10,664 since 2006 and has earned a 203-119 record for 63% winners and has made the $100 bettor a nice tidy profit of $7,500 for a 19% ROI over the last FIVE seasons. The requirements are to be on home teams after a blowout loss of three or more goals and facing an opponent that has scored three or more goals in two straight games.

Minnesota vs Seattle
7-Star Best Bet on the Minnesota Vikings
8:15 PM EST, December 2, 2019

 This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 48-27 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the last five seasons and 28-14 ATS for 67% winning bets over the last three seasons. The requirements are to play on road teams in the month of December that have lost three or four of their last games to the spread.

If we slice the dataset to include having lost three games exact of the last four games to the spread then the record is 24-10 ATS for 71% winning bets over the last three seasons.

If the ‘dps’ for the team was positive then the query goes to 15-8 ATS and the UNDER has earned a 17-5-1 record good for 77% winning bets. DPS parameter is how the team did scoring as compared to the the implied Vegas lines. For example, in this game Minnesota is a 3-poit underdog with a posted total of 50 points. So, this implies that the final score will be Seattle 26.5 and Minnesota 23.5. If Minnesota scores 31 points, the dps is 7.5 points. If they would score 20 points, then the dps is -3.5 points.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 36-10 ATS record good for 78% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and is facing a team that was involved in a game that went over the posted total by 24 or more points and has a winning record between 60 and 75% on the season.

This bettig system improves to 24-4 ATS for 86% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Miami vs Illinois

7-Star Bet on the Fightin’ Illini

7:00 PM EST

WHAT DOES THE MACHINE HAVE FOR US? 

This situational query has earned an outstanding 59-13 ATS record for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ILLINOIS in this matchup) that are elite caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 10 or more points-per-game and after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half.

A few more Extra Points:

Miami is just 5-18 ATS when facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points-per-game over the last two seasons.

Miami is just 3-13 ATS when facing solid offensive teams scoring 77+ points-per-game over the last two seasons.

Illini are a strong 30-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. 

Illini are 17-5 ATS in home games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game

San Diego vs St. Bonaventure
Boca Raton Beach Classic
FAU Arena, Boca Raton, FL
9:00 PM EST
NCAA Basketball Pick: 7-Star Wager on SBU

This is a matchup of two teams struggling to play sound fundamental basketball. The St. Bonaventure Bonnies are 2-4 and have earned a 2-3-1 ATS record. The San Diego Toreros are 3-5 and have posted a 4-3-1 ATS record.  

I am a bit surprised that San Diego is favored in this game. I had expected the Bonnies to be favored because they possess the much better defense. The Bonnies are allowing 65 points-per-game that ranks 117th best in the nation. The problem has been on the offensive end where they rank 324th of 353 Division-1 programs averaging 61.7 points-per-game and 333rd making just 38% of their field goal attempts.

I do see them shooting much better against a Toreros defense that allows 71 points-per-game that ranks 223rd in the nation. The Bonnies will get to the free throw line more than the Toreros and they make 80% of those free throw attempts that ranks 16th-best in the nation.

·        The Bonnies are 43-25 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.

·        The Bonnies are 39-19 ATS after two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists.

·        The Bonnies are 36-20 ATS in low scoring games where both teams do not score more than 65 points.

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans
10-Star Bet on the Patriots
8:20 PM EST

This situational query has earned an outstanding 62-26 ATS record for 70 % winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on road teams that are above average passing teams averaging 230 or more passing yards-per-game, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards-per-attempt in last game.

A few more Extra Points:
Patriots are 9-1 ATS when facing poor passing defenses allowing 235 or more passing yards-per-game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Texans are an imperfect 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Belichick is Belichick is 65-28 ATS (+34.2 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games.

These precedents all match the Machine learning projections.
Patriots are 11-1 ATS when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 3 seasons.
Patriots are 8-1 ATS when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.

6:05 PM EST, December 1, 2019

7-Star bet on the Toronto Raptors

This situational query has earned a 31-9 ATS record for 78% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) that are good offensive teams scoring 99 or more points-per-game on the season against opponent after allowing 85 points or less.

This second situational query has earned a 36-10 ATS record good for 78% winning bets since 2015. Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) after allowing 85 points or less.  

Raptors are a perfect 11-0 ATS in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

The Packers have not been playing well over the last several weeks and have been outgained by the last three opponents they have played. Not a good sign for Aaron Rogers, who is also coming off the worst game of his career, in which he gained just 104 passing yards versus the 49ers stout defense.

This situational query has earned a solid 67-30 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play against favorites after they were trailing by 14 or more points at half-time in their previous game.

From the machine learning summary projections, we learn that the Giants are a perfect 17-0 SU and 14-0 ATS as a dog when they have scored 24 to 28 points, gained more than 125 rushing yards and the opponent did not exceed 100 rushing yards.

Philadelphia vs Miami
7-Star bet on the Miami Dolphins
1:00 PM EST, December 1, 2019

Here is a situational betting system that has earned a 93-52 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on struggling teams that are being outscored by 12 or more points-per-game and are coming off a game in which they allowed 40 or more points.

Here is another situational betting system that has earned a 51-22 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be against favorites that are coming off a game where they had a -3 turnover margin.

If we combine the two, the Dolphins find themselves in a very nice 13-4 ATS spot hitting 77% winning bets.

San Francisco vs Baltimore
7-Star Best Bet on the 49ers
1:00 PM EST, December 1, 2019

 This is the battle of the two best teams in the league and is a game the 49ers can win with their defense. They may be the only team that has a defense strong enough to contain the LJ greatest show on turf.

It is hard to mentally bet against the Ravens as they are doing things that no team in the last 20 seasons has achieved. They have won their last three games by 17 points versus the spread and the last team to do that was the 2001 Rams, who were the ‘Greatest Show on Turf’. Still, the value here is on the 49ers.

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 27-7 ATS record good for 79.4% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are excellent offensive teams scoring 27 or more points-per-game, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games.

Alabama vs Auburn
7-Star Bet on the Auburn Tigers
3:30 PM EST

This situational query has earned an outstanding 35-8-5 ATS record for 80 % winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on home teams from week 7 on that are averaging 190 to 230rushing yards per game and coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 100 RY and are facing an average rushing opponent that gains an average of 140 to 190 per game on the season.

A few more Extra Points:
Auburn is a solid 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or fewer points-per-game.
Alabama is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

These precedents all match the Machine learning projections.
Auburn is 10-0 SU when scoring 28 points and forcing the opponent into three or more opponents.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota

7-Star bet on the Wisconsin Badgers
3:30 PM EST, November 30, 2019

This is the Battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe, but there is heck of a lot more on the line than just the award. The winner will move on to play Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship. Jack Coan completed 15-of-19 passes for 203 yards and a pair of touchdowns to help the Badgers finish with 606 yards of offense, which is the most since amassing 627 against Nebraska in 2014. Jonathan Taylor racked up 222 yards on the ground to go along with a touchdown in the win over the Boilermakers to gain 200 or more rushing yards for the 12th time in his illustrious career. Further, he has gained 200 or more yards in three consecutive games.

Safety Collin Wilder will miss the first half against Minnesota after he was ejected for targeting against the Boilermakers. So, I am not concerned one bit about this fact and the Wisconsin defense will play well despite his absence.

These precedents match the projections form the summary Machine learning tools.

Badgers are 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.

Badgers under head coach Chryst is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of Wisconsin.

The machine learning tools show overwhelming results that the Badgers will score at least 28 points. They are 6-1 ATS this season, 18-7 ATS the last three seasons, and 127-51 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 28 or more points.

Ohio State vs Michigan
7-Star Best Bet on Ohio State
12:00 PM EST, November 30, 2019

This situational query has earned an outstanding 35-8-5 ATS record for 80 % winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on home teams from week 7 on that are averaging 190 to 230rushing yards per game and coming off a game where they allowed fewer than 100 RY and are facing an average rushing opponent that gains an average of 140 to 190 per game on the season.

The talent gap between Ohio State and Michigan is reflected in the Buckeyes winning 16 of the last 18 against the Wolverines. Ohio State enters this year's game with a 17-game overall winning streak and a seven-game win streak against Michigan. By all indications, Jim Harbaugh will have a tough time beating Ohio State for the first time in his five seasons as Wolverines coach. Ohio State has crushed its opponents this year and handled its biggest challenge to date last week in a 28-17 victory over No. 12 Penn State.

From the machine learning projections:
Ohio State is 21-4 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 12 points when they have scored 28 or more points and the defense has forced the opponent into two or more turnovers in road games since 2006 including 7-0 ATS and covering by an average of 16 points over the last three seasons.

Holy Cross vs Monmouth
12:00 PM EST, November 30, 2019
7-Star on the Monmouth Hawks

These reports are shorter than normal only due to the amount time necessary to do the research behind these plays.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 44-22 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. Play against road underdogs of 5 to 11.5 points that are coming off a double digit conference win and facing an opponent that has won their last three consecutive conference games. The machine learning summary projections match the following precedents.

The Bonus plays are to bet ON WOFFORD and to Bet on Albany

Washington vs LA Lakers
10:35 PM EST, November 29, 2019
7-Star on the Washington Wizards

These reports are shorter than normal only due to the amount of time necessary to do the research behind these plays.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 75-38 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. Play on road underdogs (WASHINGTON) off a road win, and has a win percentage between 25% to 40% on the season and is playing a team with a winning record.

The machine learning summary projections match the following precedents.
Wizards are 22-10 ATS for 69% winning bets when scoring 114 points in a road game.

LA Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs
10-Star Bet on the Clippers
8:30 PM EST

This situational query has earned an outstanding 159-83-7 ATS record for 67 % winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on road favorites of 3 to 10 points that have a win percentage of 64% and higher after game number 16, is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least 3 points-per-game and have scored 104 or more points in 3 consecutive games, and have less than two days rest from their previous game.

A few more Tip-Ins:
Spurs are 0-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Spurs are 1-11 ATS facing good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists-per-game this season.
Spurs are 1-12 ATS facing good offensive teams scoring 106 or more points-per-game this season.

These precedents all match the Machine learning projections.
Spurs are 2-10 ATS in up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots this season.
Spurs are 9-23 ATS when they make 30% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Washington State vs Washington
4:00 PM EST, November 29, 2019
7-Star Bet on the Washington Huskies

This is the battle for the Apple Cup. Both teams had higher aspirations than this winning this state-rivalry game as both teams have underachieved preseason expectations of a PAC-12 crown. Yet, this will make the recruiting and state bragging rights even more powerful for the winner of this game.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 49-16 record betting the UNDER since 2015. The requirements are to bet UNDER with a home team and a total of at least 5.5 goals that are revenging a loss to the opponent and has a winning record on the season and with the game taking place in the first half of the season.

WSU is just 2-11 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points.
Washington under head coach Peterson is a solid 12-2 ATS facing poor rushing teams averaging 90 or fewer rushing yards-per-game.

Chicago vs Detroit

7-Star on the Detroit Lions
12:30 PM EST, November 28, 2019

Let us start with a situational betting system that underscores the Machine Learning projections. This betting system has earned a remarkable 32-8 ATS mark good for 80% winning bets since 2000.  Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (in this game Chicago) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games and is a marginal losing team sporting a win percentage of 40% to 49% playing a bad team wining between 25 and 40% of their games. 

These precedents match the projections form the summary Machine learning tools. 

Detroit is a solid 31-15 ATS when they have allowed 5. 50 5.5 yards-per-play in a game.
Detroit is 33-15 ATS when they have gained 350 to 400 total offensive yards in a game. 

Detroit is 15-5 ATS when getting 7 or more first downs than the opponent and gaining a minimum of 125 rushing yards. 

Portland State vs US-Santa Barbara
10:00 PM EST, November 23, 2019
10-Star on UCSB

These reports are shorter than normal only due to the amount time necessary to do the research behind these plays.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 75-38 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points and is an explosive team averaging 76 or more PPG on the season, and after scorig 75 or more points in three consecutive games and now facing a decent offensive team scoring between 74 and 76 PPG on the season.

The machine learning summary projections match the following precedents.
UCSB is 8-1 ATS when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons.

UCSB is 59-28 ATS (+28.2 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game.

Sacramento vs Philadelphia
7-Star on the Philadelphia 76ERS
7:05 PM EST, November 25, 2019

Let us start with a situational betting system that underscores the Machine Learning projections. This betting system has earned a remarkable 43-16 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets since 2015. Play against road underdogs (SACRAMENTO) after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games and is facing an opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games.

Extra Points:
22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Predictive Supporters:
76ers are 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games when they allow 106 to 111 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

76ers 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. 

76ers are 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Philadelphia vs Columbus
7:05 PM EST, November 27, 2019
7-Star Bet is on the ‘UNDER’

This situational betting system has earned a solid 49-16 record betting the UNDER since 2015. The requirements are to bet UNDER with a home team and a total of at least 5.5 goals that are revenging a loss to the opponent and has a winning record on the season and with the game taking place in the first half of the season.

Columbus is 61-36 UNDER in a home game facing a mistake-free team that is allowing opponents to have four or fewer power plays over the last two seasons.

This situational query has earned an outstanding 58-19 ATS record for 75.3% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams that are facing an opponent off of a road ATS win, but lost the game SU, and both teasm have solid win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season.

These precedents all match the Machine learning projections.

Utah is just 26-172 ATS when allowing an opponent to shoot 48% or better and allow 111 or more points.

The Pacers are a solid 166-42-1 ATS when shooting at least 48% and scoring at least 111 points.

Norfolk State vs Monmouth

7-Star on the Monmouth Hawks
7:00PM EST, November 27, 2019

Let us start with a situational betting system that underscores the Machine Learning projections. This betting system has earned a remarkable 26-3 ATS mark good for 90% winning bets since 2000.  Play against road teams as an underdog or pick and is a decent offensive team scoring between 74 and 78 points on the season and after three straight games in which both teams scored 70 or more points and is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 74 and 78 points-per-game.

Extra Points:
Hawks are 17-7 ATS in home games where they shot 45% or better form the field.

7-Star on the LA Clippers over the Dallas Mavericks
8:35 PM EST, November 25, 2019

Let us start with a situational betting system that underscores the Machine Learning projections. This betting system has earned a remarkable 35-11 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to play against Underdogs after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.

Extra Points:
Clippers are a solid 16-4 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Predictive Supporters:
Clippers are 43-17 ATS (+24.3 Units) when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
 

7-Star Los Angeles Lakers over the San Antonio Spurs
8:35 PM EST, November 25, 2019

Let us start with a situational betting system that underscores the Machine Learning projections. This betting system has earned a remarkable 51-20 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are to play on road favorites of 3 to 11 points that are facing an opponent that was leading buy 20 or more points at the half of their previous game.

Extra Points:
Spurs are 1-10 ATS when facing an opponent that is scoring an average of 106 or more points-per-game this season.

Spurs are just 7-24 ATS after three straight games in which the combined score was 215 points or lower in games played over the last two seasons.

Predictive Supporters:
Spurs are 8-25 ATS in games in which they shot 43 to 47% form the field over the last two seasons.
Spurs are just 7-26 ATS in games in which they shoot between 32 and 38% from beyond the arc over the last two seasons.
 

This situational query has earned a solid 25-7 ATS record for 78% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on underdogs or pick (in this case the Rams) after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games and facing a non-conference opponent. The total has earned a steady 22-12-1 record good for 65% winning bets.

For the 6-point teaser, the Rams will become a 9.5-point underdog and the total will be lowered to 41 from the current 47-point level. For those new to teaser and parlay betting, a teaser has two bets and both must win for the bet to cash. So, we need the Rams to NOT lose by more than nine points and for both teams to combine for 42 or more points.

The table below shows the payouts for 2 through 10-team teaser bets using the +6,. +6.5, and +7-point teaser bets. Many sports books offer 10-point teaser lines. Remember, you are receiving points, which increases your chances of winning. In turn, you will take on risk elsewhere in getting a reduced payout.

From the machine learning summary projections we learn that the Ravens are just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after a win by 21 or more points. Look for Goff to get going tonight – finally – as the Rams are projected to average 7 or more yards-per-pass attempt. The Rams are 26-12-3 for 68% since 2010 when they have gained 7.5 YPPA.

Vancouver vs Philadelphia
7:05 PM EST, November 25, 2019
7-Star Bet is on the ‘OVER’

 The Flyers have some significant losing and winning streaks this season but are now in the midst of losing streak. They Fly Boys have lost five of their last six games, but pro teams have a tendency to revert back to the mean  and even exceed their mean performance levels when dealing with losing ways. The Flyers are 21-10 OVER  in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last three season and 22-9 OVER (+12.7 Units) in home games after having lost two of their last three games over the last three seasons.

Vancouver is 9-2 OVER when facing an offensive team that gets an above average number of shots on goal – more than 29.5 shots-on-goal  - this season.

This situational query has earned an outstanding 35-9 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs (Pelicans) after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less.

This situational query has earned a solid 41-15 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on favorites that have won three of their last four games and are facing an opponent that has won eight or more of their last 10 games. Simple and straight-forward betting system.

From the machine learning summary projections we learn that Green Bay is just 5-23 ATS when they have been outgained by 150 or more total yards. 49ers are 52-11 ATS when they have outgained an opponent by 150 or more total yards.

7-Star Pittsburgh Steelers over the Cincinnati Bengals
1:00 PM EST, November 24, 2019

 Let us start with a situational betting system that underscores the Machine Learning projections. This betting system has earned a remarkable 29-9 ATS mark good for 77% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are to bet on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after the eighth game of the regular season that are averaging between 4.9 to 5.4 YPP and is facing a terrible defense that has allowed a minimum of 5.8 YPP.

Extra Points:
Steelers are 12-5 ATS when allowing an opponent to rush for 3.5 to 4.0 yards-per-carry.
Steelers are 16-5 ATS when scoring between 24 and 28 points.
Bengals are 0-6 ATS in home games when allowing 24 to 28 points.

Chicago Bears vs the NY Giants
1:00 PM EST, November 24, 2019
7-Star Bet is on the Bears

The Chicago Bears were the trendy pic to win the NFC prior to the start of this season. I was included in that selection and admit that I was wrong on that futures pick, but I do not think I was wrong on how good this team is on paper. I completely agree that no one has made money on a bet based on a team’s paper worth. I do believe they are beginning to find their footings and will finish the second half of the season much better than they did the first half of the season.

Despite the Bears 4-6 record they do rank 14th in my power rankings while the G-Men rank 29th. Based on these rankings the Bears would be favored by 10 points and as a result provides betting value on the Bears given the current NFL odds showing the Bears to be a 6-point home favorite.

The Bears defense has played well this season and rank 4th in scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points-per-game. The Giants offense ranks 22nd scoring 20.3 points-per-game on the season. The Giants are not running the ball well enough and they will struggle even more against a Bears run defense that ranks 4th allowing just 3.6 yards-per-attempt.

The Bears average defense has been fantastic and not given the media credit they deserve. The unit does not have to bring the blitz to get quarterback pressure. This is the dominant reason they rank 7th allowing 6.3 yards-per-pass-attempt. This will a nightmare for the Giants sputtering offense that ranks 26th averaging just 5.9 passing yards-per-attempt.

The Giants rank 30th in scoring defense allowing 28.9 points-per-game. Enough said. Trubiski is worth to be considered your starting quarterback in daily fantasy contests this week.

The absence of a strong Giant running attack, the play action passes have not worked for the Giants. Daniel Jones ranks 24th gaining 431 passing yards on play action pass routes. To illustrate how poor this really is consider the NFL-leader Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins, who has passed for 938 yards using playing action and second-best Dak Prescott, who has passed for 886 yards out of play action.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 65-39-3 ATS record for 63% winners over the last 10 seasons. Bet on losing record favorites that have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games after Week 4.

The G-Men are a horrifying 0-7 ATS after playing three consecutive games in which 50 or more points were scored in each game.

Arizona State vs Oregon
7:30 PM EST, November 23, 2019
7-Star Bet is on Arizona State and consider adding a 2-Star amount on the money line.

This situational betting system has earned a 26-10 record using the money line for 72% SU winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play against a road team using the money line in a matchup of two excellent passing teams averaging 8.3 or more yards-per-pass and are coming off a game where they allowed 4.5 or fewer passing yards-per-attempt.

If the team is coming off a game where they allowed the opponent 5.3 or fewer yards-per-pass play provides more betting opportunities and a solid 77-43 record for 66% winning bets and has made $5,3560 per $100 bet over the last five seasons.

This situational query has earned an outstanding 23-4 ATS record for 85% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites that are struggling from beyond the arc, hitting just 32% or less and are now facing a team that is a poor defender of the ‘three’ allowing 37% shooting from beyond the arc and both teams are average ball handling and passing teams averaging between 14 and 17 turnovers-per-game.

Illinois-Chicago is 29-14 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

This situational query has earned a solid 54-18 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and is an outstanding 13-1 ATS this season. The requirements are to play on a home team after Week 7 that is a very good rushing team averaging 190 to 240 RYPG and is coming off a game where their defense allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards and is now facing an opponent that averages 140 to 190 RYPG on the season.

Georgia has already won the SEC East, but the Bulldogs must nevertheless avoid a stumble here before they play for the conference title against LSU. The Aggies, who still must take on LSU next week to close out their regular season schedule.

The Bulldogs dominated last week for three quarters but needed a final stop late in the game before winning at Auburn. QB Jake Fromm was able to make enough plays against the Tigers’ stingy defense. He figures to have an easier time this week, though top WR Lawrence Cager aggravated a shoulder injury and might be limited in today’s game. Texas A&M QB Kellen Mond and RB Isaiah Spiller might have their hands full against the Georgia defense, which finally allowed its first rushing TD of the season late last week but still knows how to control gaps.  

Georgia will dominate on both sides of this game and the machine learning projections call for a bug win here. Georgia is projected to score at least 28 points and are 125-56 ATS when doing so and 19-6 ATS over the last three seasons. They are 30-9 ATS when they have scored 35 to 42 points. A&M is 5-28 ATS when allowing 35 to 42 points in a game.

7-Star Penn State over Ohio State
12:00 PM EST, November 23, 2019

This is the 33rd meeting between these two storied programs and the 19th time both teams have been ranked with the Ohio State Buckeyes holding a 12-7 edge over the Penn State Nittany Lions. When both teams have been in the Top-10 the Buckeyes are 6-3.

The largest margin of victory ahs been 49 points with each team doing it once. The Lions won by 49 points on October 26, 2013 and the Buckeyes won by 49 points on October 29, 1994. In these games each team scored the most points in this matchup with 63 points.

The longest win streak by the Buckeyes has been four games and three games for the Lions.

The winner of this game will advance to the College Football Playoffs. I know I am one of the few and to be honest I feel lonely out here making such a bold statement that the Lions will win this game. To me, it is not that bold a statement.

I had thought that a line of 11 to 12 points is what the opening line would be. I was shocked to see it at 18 points and immediately realized that this was only reflecting public sentiment. The Buckeyes are 10-0 and have earned an 8-2 record against the spread (ATS). They failed to cover against the two weakest opponents they faced in Florida Atlantic in Week 1 and Big Ten foe Rutgers in Week 13. So, it is the normal betting behavior to jump on the team that is winning games and covering spreads.

The Lions offense is quite good and is led by sophomore quarterback Sean Clifford, who leads the Big Ten gaining 2.824 total yards. He is second in passing yards with 2,450 yards and trails Minnesota’s Tanner Morgan by only 18 passing yards for the top spot.

The Lions run defense is the best in the Big Ten and on eof the best – if not the best – in the nation allowing only 2.2 yards-per-attempt. By stopping the Buckeyes on first down and forcing them into second-and-long situations will allow the Lions pass rush to get put immense pressure on the offensive line. Shaka Toney has 6.5 sacks and 7.5 tackles-for-loss and Yeter Gross-Matos has 6.0 sacks and is the team-leader with 10 tackles-for-loss.

The Lions are 6-0 ATS when facing the absolute best rushing teams in the nation that Have averaged 230 or more yards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons.

The Lions are 7-0 ATS off a push or ATS loss when the team won the game as a favorite in game splayed over the last three seasons.

 Head Coach Franklin is 13-2 ATS off a push or ATS loss when the team won as a favorite including all games he has coached (Vanderbilt and Penn State).

Play an additional  2-Star amount on the money line! Just in case.

Illinois vs Iowa (Big Ten Football)
12:00 PM EST, November 23, 2019
7-Star on the Iowa Hawkeyes

These reports are shorter than normal only due to the amount time necessary to do the research behind these plays.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 32-12 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in a game between to average teams posting yards-per-play differentials between -0.6 and 0.6 YPP and are coming a game in which they were outgained by 125 or more yards.

The machine learning summary projections call for Iowa to score at least 30 points and gain a minimum of 450 total yards. In past games in which they met or exceeded these projections they have earned a remarkable 23-5 ATS for 82% winning bets and hav e covered the spread by an average of 12 points.

When Illinois has been the team that allowed these measures they have ended up a money-burning 10-29-1 ATS for just 25% winning bets.

This situational query has earned an outstanding 70-33 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that is a team from a mid-major Division-1 conference and is facing a team from a weak conference and the team is coming off a ats win, but lost the game.

 KS is just 1-8 ATS in games played in November over the last two seasons.

KS is 3-12 ATS in a non-conference matchup.

Monmouth is 21-9 ATS following a game in which both teams scored 65 or fewer points.

This situational query has earned a solid 69-31 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to play against road underdogs of 3 to 9.5 points coming off two consecutive games allowing 50% or higher opponent shooting and is now facing a host that has had two consecutive games making nine or more 3-point shots.

 Spurs have lost seven consecutive games and are 1-6 ATS in those games. Plus they are just 3-12 ATS over their last 15 games dating back to October 23.

76ers are a solid 21-7 ATS following a divisional game over the last three seasons.

Gardner-Webb vs South Carolina
7:00PM EST, November 22, 2019
7-Star Bet is on Gardner-Webb

This situational betting system has earned a 44-22-1 ATS record good for 67% winning NCAA Hoops bets over the last 13 seasons. The requirements are to play on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points that have gone UNDER the total by 24 or more points over their last three games and are facing an opponent that is coming off a game that they failed by to cover by at least 18 points.

This situational query has earned a solid 41-13 ATS record for 76% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on home favorites that are revenging a close loss by seven or fewer points and are coming off a road loss.

The Texans were hammered at Baltimore this past Sunday and with a 6-4 record there will be a sense of urgency to defend their home turf tonight. The Texans run the ball well and the Colts do not do well against good running teams. Colts are just 6-18 ATS in road games facing a host that is averaging at least 130 rushing yards-per-game after Week 8.

This situational query has earned a solid 69-32 record for 68% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play UNDER the posted total with road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TOLEDO) after having won two out of their last three games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. Simple – Straight-forward-money-maker!  

Buffalo is 22-8 UNDER when they have allowed an opponent to score between 14 and 21 points.

Toledo is 22-3 UNDER when they have scored between 14 and 21 points.

This situational query has earned a solid 50-18 record for 74% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The requirements are to play on any team against the money line (TORONTO) after allowing 6 goals or more and is now facing an opponent coming off a blowout win by four goals or more.

Vegas is just 3-9 when facing an opponent that is allowing 3.0 or more goals-per-game this season.

Toronto is 10-2 after having lost five or six of their last seven matches over the last two seasons.

Ohio University vs Bowling Green
7:30 PM EST, November 19, 2019
7-Star Bet is on Ohio University

This situational betting system has earned a 30-5 ATS record good for 86% winning NFL bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight-up losses and has a win percentage between 40 and 49% on the season.

Here is a second betting system that has earned a 41-19 ATS record good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play against home underdogs of 14.5 or more points after failing to cover the spread in four or five of their last six games in a game occurring in Weeks 10 to 13.

Ohio University is expected to easily score 28 or more points. They are 93-36 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points and 43-19-2 ATS as a home favorite.

This situational query has earned a solid 27-17-3 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on a team that is facing a quick starting opponent that is score more than 14 PPG in the first half and is coming off a loss of 7 or fewer points. Simple, straight-forward and easy to understand.

The location is Estadio Azteca – Mexico City and this is actually good for the Chargers, who have had home games in which 80% of the fans in attendance were fans of the opposition. So, even if it split 50-50 the Chargers are accustomed to this type of ‘strange’ environment.  

Here are a few team specific situations supporting the Chargers and working against the Chiefs.

Chargers Are 38-19 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record on the season and the game taking place in the second half of the season.

Chargers are 32-12 ATS in road games (neutral sites)  when facing a solid passing team that is completing at least 61% of their pass attempts on the season with the game taking place in the second half of the season.

Chargers are 26-11 ATS in road games facing good offensive teams averaging 350 or more total yards per game in games played in the second half of the season.

Chargers head Coach Lynn is a perfect 8-0 ATs in road games and is coming off game where the team failed to cover the spread.