25* graded play on Northern Colorado as they take on Portland State in NCAAM Basketball action set to start at 5:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC will win this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010. Play on a road team (N COLORADO) off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog and with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

NC is a solid 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game

PS is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games

25* graded play on Washington as they take on Alabama in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl in the College Football playoff set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Washington is a solid 6-2 against the money line (+10.3 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons.

Washington is 7-1 against the money line (+12.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons.

Washington is 6-1 against the money line (+11.8 Units) in road games facing good offensive teams averaging greater than 5.9 yards/play over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington Huskies.

No one is giving Washington even a glimmer of hope to defeat Alabama. Only 35% of all bets made, which exceeds 40,000 tickets, that we monitor at 7 different sportsbooks have been on Washington. This line opened at 14 ½ and based on the money flows, the line could be much higher. The fact that it isn’t is a key metric reflecting the larger so-called ‘Smart Money’ is on Washington.

Let’s not forget too, that Washington is an elite team. Period. They rank best in the nation posting a 0.645 points per play ratio, third in scoring offense, and 17th in yards-per-rush. No doubt that Alabama defense is the best in the nation, BUT that does not imply that Washington can’t move the ball successfully against them.

Washington defense ranks 10th in scoring defense, 8th in points per play allowed, and 5th allowing 4.5 opponent yards per play. We strongly believe that this game will be much tighter than any talking media head will lead you to believe and it just might be Washington winning the game.

25* graded play on LSU as they take on Louisville in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl set to start at 11:00 AM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by more than 10 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are quality teams outscoring opponents by seven or more points/game and after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

LSU is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

LSU is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play

Louisville is just 33-74 ATS (-48.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points

Louisville is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers

Fundamental Discussion Points

Louisville ranks best in scoring offense, but let’s face it, they have not played the most difficult schedule, especially when compared to LSU. Ohio State was ranked hardest in SOS and Louisville a rather distant 19th. The margin between them is significant and we believe it will quite evident in this matchup. The most glaring advantage for LSU is their defense that ranks 5th in scoring defense, 5th in points per play allowed, and 14th allowing opponents to convert just 33% of their third down conversions.

Lamar Jackson is the Heissman Trophy winner, but he was contained and confused by a Houston defense that ranks 39th in scoring defense allowed in the nation and 45th in opponent points per play. Take LSU.

25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by at least three points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 172-109 ATS mark good for 61% winners since 2010.Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) off an upset win as a road underdog. 

Here is a second system that has gone 23-11 using the money line for 68% winners and has made 12.8 units/unit wagered since 1996. All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MINNESOTA) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Milwaukee is just 123-191 ATS (-87.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game since 1996.

Minnesota is a solid 199-144 ATS (+40.6 Units) when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game since 1996.

Minnesota is 190-133 ATS (+43.7 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Timberwolves.

25* graded play on Michigan State (728) as they take on Northwestern (727)  in BIG TEN Conference Hoops action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that MSU will win this game by at least 6 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Northwestern is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

MSU is a solid 90-56 ATS (+28.4 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game

MSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game this season. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Spartans.

25* graded play on Air Force as they take on South Alabama in the NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that AF will win this game by at least 20 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 1992. Play on any team with an excellent rushing attack gaining more than 4.8 YPR and is now facing a terrible rushing defense allowing more than 4.8 YPR and after 7 or more games, and after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in 2 straight games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

South Alabama is an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·      AF is a solid 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 50 to 100 rushing yards.

·      AF is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 3 seasons.

·      South Alabama is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams averaging more than 425 yards/game over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play on Valparaiso (725) as they take on Illinois-Chicago (726) in NCAAB action set to start at  5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Valpo will win this game by 14 or more points. 

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. 

·      Valpo is a solid 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game

·      Chicago-Illinois is just 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game

·      Valpo is a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. 

·       Valpo is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons. 

·      McCalin is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more in all games he has coached.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Valparaiso.

25* graded play on West Virginia (723) as they take on Oklahoma State (724) in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WVU will win this game by at least 7 points. 

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. 

·       West Virginia is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

·       W VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a The 

·       W VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons.

·       W VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they attempt 30 or more free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons.

·       W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons.

·       W VIRGINIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.

25* graded play on TCU (257) as they take on Georgia (258) in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TCU will win this game by at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-5 ATS mark good for 84% winners since 2010. Play against all teams in a non-conference matchup where the line is +3 to -3 that is an average offensive team scoring between 21 and 28 PPG and is now facing a good offensive team scoring between 28 and 34 PPG after 7 or more games.in non-conference games 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·      TCU is a strong 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·       Georgia is just 21-64 ATS (-49.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.

·      TCU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) facing excellent punt coverage teams that are allowing less than 7.5 yards per return over the last three seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points

Both teams fell far short of expectations for this season. TCU is tied with Oklahoma in the Big-12 with a 29-9 overall record over the past three seasons, but won just 6 games this season. However, there are only 13 Seniors on this team, so this is the first audition, if you will, for the underclassman to make a statement to the coaching staff in this Bowl game. The spotlight will certainly be on Texas A&M transfer and Junior QB Kenny Hill. He massed 3,062 passing yards with 15 TDs, but three 13 INTs. He was without his NO. 1 receiver KaVontae Turpin, but that can longer be a reason for Hill not to take another big step forward in leading the offense into next season. So, we expect a huge game from him today that will spill over to the rest pf the team. Take TCU.

25* graded play on Oklahoma State (255) as they take on (256) Colorado in in the Valero Alamo Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-41 record for only 51% winners, But has made a whopping 45.3 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on neutral field underdogs using the money line that are off a road loss against a conference rival and with the current game taking place after November 30. The average play for this system has been a +200 dog, making it one of the most powerful money making systems.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Oklahoma State is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·       Colorado is 44-97 ATS (-62.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992.

·       Colorado is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.

·       OSU is a near-perfect 13-1 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cowboys tonight.

25* graded play on Golden State (720) as they take on Toronto (719) in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Toronto is 80-200 ATS (-140.0 Units) in road games when they allow 105 or more points in a game

Toronto is 40-139 ATS (-112.9 Units) in road games when they allow 110 or more points in a game

Golden State is 201-105 ATS (+85.5 Units) when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game

Golden State is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 18 to 22 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Golden State is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points

This will certainly be a game to watch with GS ranked best and Toronto third in our NBA power rankings. In fact, this may very well be an early preview to the NBA Championship too. This is also a matchup of offense versus defense among the best teams in those categories. GS ranks best in scoring offense averaging 117 PPG, 17th in scoring defense (104.2), and best in scoring differential. Toronto ranks third in scoring offense (111.4 PPG), 9th in scoring defense (102.4), and second in scoring differential. The GC fast break will be a dominant force in this game. They rank best in the NBA averaging 20.5 fast break PPG. Another matchup advantage for GS will be in the paint. They rank 3rd averaging 47 PPG from the pain while Toronto has struggled at times allowing 42.8 PPG ranking 14th in the league. After coming off their Christmas Day loss in Cleveland, where the game ended on a horribly bad ‘no-call’ that arguably changed the outcome of the game, we think GS, now with three days of rest, will be completely focused and play one of their best games of the season.

25* graded play on Kansas State as they take on Texas A&M in the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that K-State will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The one caveat is that we need to have a money line of at least 135. If it is not at that level or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount using the available line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-7 mark using the money line good for 84% winners and has made 29.6 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (KANSAS ST) after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game and is now facing an opponent after being outgained by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This system is 7-2 this season an 22-5 over the past three seasons.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·      K-State is a solid 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards

·      K-State is 33-9 ATS (+23.1 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt 

·      A&M is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards

·      A&M is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt 

·      A&M is 6-25 ATS (-21.5 Units) in road games when they commit 2 turnovers

·      A&M is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards

·      A&M is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 total yards per play

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board K-State.

These teams are somewhat similar with a strong ground game that has overwhelmed many DLs this season. In this matchup, we believe it will be the K-State groud attack that proves to be the difference maker. K-State ranks 14th in the nation averaging 46.1 rushing plays per game and 12th running the ball on 62% of their plays. K-State had a season low of 110 rushing yards in their 38-17 loss at Oklahoma, but since have gained at least 237 rushing yards and averaged 290 rushing yards over those last 6 games. The A&M defense has been exposed to the ground game havig allowed 298 rushing yards in their last game against LSU and 365 rushing yards on 58 plays at Mississippi State, November 5. We strongly believe K-State OL and pounding run game that will also attack the perimeter will gradually wear down the A&M defense. Take K-State.

50* graded play on UCLA (761) as they take on Oregon (762) in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. This game will be televised on ESPN2. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 7 points. Key projection is that UCLA will exceed 50% shooting while Oregon may not exceed 45% shooting.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·      Oregon is just 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

·      Oregon is 51-106 ATS (-65.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game

·      Oregon is 40-87 ATS (-55.7 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game.

UCLA is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus very good defensive teams shooting percentage defense of 

25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Pittsburgh-Carolina NHL matchup set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 6 goals will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 108-62 ‘under’ mark good for 64% winners since 2010. Play ‘Under’ with a home team against the total (PITTSBURGH) after having won 3 of their last 4 games and is now facing an opponent after having won 4 of their last 5 games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Carolina is a solid 50-25 UNDER (+22.1 Units) against excellent power play teams scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 3 seasons. 

·      Carolina is 31-16 UNDER (+15.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons. 

·      Carolina is 8-1 UNDER (+7.1 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons. 

·      Carolina is 10-2 UNDER (+8.4 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. 

·      Carolina is a perfect 6-0 UNDER (+6.1 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season. 

25* graded play San Jose on as they take on Anaheim in NHL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Jose will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

San Jose is a solid 19-9 against the money line (+13.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. 

San Jose is 19-8 against the money line (+14.8 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. 

San Jose is 18-8 against the money line (+13.2 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. 

San Jose is a perfect 8-0 against the money line (+8.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the San Jose Sharks .

25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 8:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 65-24 mark using the money line and has made 34.4 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home teams using the money line (DALLAS) after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and now facing division opponents. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Houston is a money losing 25-31 against the money line (-22.7 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

Houston is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dallas Mavericks.

25* graded play on Temple as they take on Wake Forest in Military Bowl action set to start at  3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by 17 or more points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Wake Forest is just 34-91 ATS (-66.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points

·       Wake Forest is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play

·       Temple is a solid 22-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points

·       Temple is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt

·       Temple is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 2 seasons.

·       Temple is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.

·       Temple is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play

Fundamental Discussion Points

Temple has had a fantastic season given that they had low expectations after losing 19 seniors from last year’s team. However, they have won 12 straight games ATS after losing ATS in Week 1 to Army and that by just one point. They have also won seven straight games and destroyed a then-ranked No. 20 Navy team in the Conference Championship 34-10 as 1.5 point dogs. Back in Week 3 they played Penn State and that game was special for both teams. PSU did not lose a game the rest of the way and Temple also began their 9-1 win streak. Temple also covered against Penn State losing 34-27. WF lost 5 of the last 6 games and the last three games. This team has a new interim coach as well, BUT a win this bowl game would make them the winniest team in Temple history. There is a great article in the Philadelphia Inquirer if you are interested to see how this team was built and how much they grew over the last four seasons. It is a great read. http://www.philly.com/philly/sports/colleges/temple/20161227_Jensen__Temple_is_beating_the_odds_from_start_to_finish.html

Take Temple.

R

25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Northwestern in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The one mandatory requirement is that the Money Lie must be at least 135. If is not +135 or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount using the line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Penn State is a very strong 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Penn State is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Penn State is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games 

Fundamental Discussion Points

This is a late breaking release, which is rare, but always strong opportunities. One of the reasons is that more than 78% of all bets wagered have been on Northwestern and anything over 70% becomes a ‘red flag’ parameter. I call it the public’s irrational exuberance to draw upon the famous quote made by former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan in 1998 prior to the 2000 bubble busting of the NASADAQ and the ‘Dot Com’ bubbles. When this consensus metric ties into the SIM grading it serves to reinforce the strength and validity of the SIm grading.

25* graded play on The Washington Wizards as they take on Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 8 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Milwaukee is just 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

·       Milwaukee is just 123-191 ATS (-87.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game.

·       Milwaukee is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. 

Take Washington.

25* graded play on Boston College as they take on Maryland in the Quick Lane Bowl set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that BC will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, we have one mandate and that is the money line portion of the combination wager must be at a minimum of +135. If is not there, then simply wager the 25* amount on the line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 83-44 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010.  Play against any team (MARYLAND) after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Maryland is a money burning 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt

Maryland is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. 

Bowl favorites under the leadership of first year coaches are 5-16-1 ATS when facing an opponent off a ATS and SU win.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Boston College.

Maryland started off 4-0 and then won just more games against an injury riddled Michigan State team and lowly Rutgers. Boston College has a strong defense that is battled tested in the ACC. The Eagles rank 11th in the nation allowing 328 yards per game, 13th allowing opponents 33% third conversion success, and 11th allowing just 3.4 yards per rushing attempt. Maryland relies on the run and we feel strongly BC will dominate the LOS, get penetration, and stop the Maryland ground attack. Without play action and the weapons to attack the BC perimeter defense, it may prove to be a very long afternoon for Maryland. Take BC.

25* graded play on the Lakers as they take on Clippers in Christmas Day NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 5-25 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) explosive offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Clippers are just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. 

Clippers are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

Lakers are a solid 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. 

Clippers are a horrid 4-6 against the money line (-27.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds this season.

Take the Lakers

25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take on Baltimore in AFC North Division action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than 11 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-22 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 2005. Play on favorites (PITTSBURGH) good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG and is now facing an average team (+/- 40 YPG differential after outgaining opponent by 150 or more total yards in their previous game. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Pittsburgh is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.

Pittsburgh is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.

Pittsburgh is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points this season.

Pittsburgh is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) in home games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Normally, our analysis centers on the most common personnel alignment (single back, 3 WR, slot receiver and/or TE), but in this matchup keep your eyes peeled to Baltimore’s fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Baltimore’s use of the FB is unique in this modern-era of spread offenses and it certainly works for them. Without the lead FB blocker, Baltimore averages 3.9 YPR, which ranks 24th in the league in all formations, but with the FB 5.0 YPR. However, Pittsburgh is a divisional rival, who already knows Baltimore’s tendencies better than anyone in the league. Pittsburgh defense ranks third allowing 89.2 rushing yards per game. We strongly believe that Pittsburgh will force Baltimore into third-and-long situations, which all but eliminates the power FB scheme. Take the Steelers.

25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Pittsburgh-Baltimore (127-128) showdown set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 45 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-34 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 69% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with any team against the total (PITTSBURGH) versus division opponents, off a win against a division rival. 

Here is a second system that has gone 39-12 ‘under’ for 76% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with any team against the total (PITTSBURGH) revenging a loss against opponent, off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       Baltimore is a near-perfect 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.

·       Pittsburgh is a solid 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons.

·       Pittsburgh is 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 2 seasons.

·       7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points

Normally, our analysis centers on the most common personnel alignment (single back, 3 WR, slot receiver and/or TE), but in this matchup keep your eyes peeled to Baltimore’s fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Baltimore’s use of the FB is unique in this modern-era of spread offenses and it certainly works for them. Without the lead FB blocker, Baltimore averages 3.9 YPR, which ranks 24th in the league in all formations, but with the FB 5.0 YPR. However, Pittsburgh is a divisional rival, who already knows Baltimore’s tendencies better than anyone in the league. Pittsburgh defense ranks third allowing 89.2 rushing yards per game. We strongly believe that Pittsburgh will force Baltimore into third-and-long situations, which all but eliminates the power FB scheme. And if you haven’t figured already, the battle of the power games and control of the LOS will take large chunks of time off the clock leading to a lower scoring game. Take the Steelers.

25* graded play on the NY Knicks as they take on the Boston Celtics in Christmas Day action set to start at 12:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Knicks will win this game. If the money lie gets to +135 or higher, which will need to see the line go to Knicks + 3 ½, consider making this wager a combination wager consisting of a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.  

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-41 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play on home underdogs (NEW YORK) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points and is a well-rested team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

NY is a solid 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons.

NY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season.

NY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Knicks.

25* graded play on Hawaii (228) as they take on Middle Tennessee State (227) in the Hawaii Bowl set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Hawaii will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-21 mark using the money line for 58% winners and has made 37 units/unit wagered since 1992. This system has averaged an +200 DOG, which makes it a very powerful tool to use for qualifying games in the future.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Hawaii is a solid 36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when their defense forces 3 turnovers

·       Hawaii is 97-42 ATS (+50.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points

·       Stockstill is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of MTST.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Hawaii. Strength of schedule is meaningful for this matchup with Hawaii playing a far more difficult schedule. MDST defense has not been all that good this season and has been largely inconsistent down the stretch. They rank 108th in scoring defense and 107th posting a 0.506 opponent points per play ratio. Hawaii defense ranks 48th posting a 5.4 opponent yards per play and 64th allowing opponents to convert 40% of third down situations. Conversely, MTST ranks a horrid 126th allowing opponents a 51% third down conversion percentage. Take Hawaii.

25* graded play on Minnesota (11) as they take on Green Bay (12) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2005. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) after a game where they forced one or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after two consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers.

Here is a second system that has gone 23-4 ATS for 85% winners since 1983. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 9 points or less last game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       Minnesota is a solid 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt

·       Minnesota is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

·       Minnesota is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·       Minnesota is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points

Green Bay defense is just not good and reflects all of the injuries the unit has had to endure this season. Minnesota’s defense remains one of the best in the NFL and they will certainly have the skills to contain Rogers. Vikings rank 2nd in the NFL allowing just 5.9 yards per pass play, third allowing 205.6 yards per game, and fourth overall allowing 5.0 yards per offensive play. Moreover, they are excellent at bringing pressure ranking 7th in sack percentage. Take Minnesota.

25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Carolina in NFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by at least 6 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-5 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       Atlanta is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt

·       Atlanta is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt

·       Atlanta is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play

·       Carolina is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Falcons.

25* graded play on Detroit as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great opportunity to win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-9 mark using the money line good for 71% winners and has made 26.7 units/unit wagered averaging a +162 DOG play. Play on home teams using the money line (DETROIT) that have been cold shooting teams posting three straight games making less than 42% of their shots and is now facing an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3-point shots. 

Here is a second system that has gone 84-39 using the money line good for 68% winners and has made 49.5 units/unit wagered averaging a +105 DOG since 2010. Play on any team using the money line (DETROIT) that are off a double-digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more. 

Here is a third system that has gone 55-25 ATS good for 69% winners since 2010. Play against any team (GOLDEN STATE) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Detroit is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Detroit is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points

Golden State won and covered at Brooklyn last night and now have to play B2B road games before a day –off to then face the Christmas Day matchup in Cleveland. Remarkably, given this lineup, the Warriors have posted NINE straight ‘under’ results. This is evidence that the public has created artificially high betting lines on totals involving the Warriors. Detroit has lost four straight games SU and ATS. Given the matchup, I do believe you will see a possible lie move to as high as 8 points. However, it is very interesting to note this line opened at 8 points and quickly went to 6 ½ adjusting to ‘smart money’ bets. The consensus presently shows 77% of bets are on the Warriors and the line has moved lower; counter to the public consensus, which is powerful combination for us.

Even the Warriors get and battle road fatigue and we expect that to be evident on tonight’s game. Detroit may struggle on offense, but they have the third best scoring defense, rank 5th allowing just 10.6 fast break points, and 4th allowing just 39.4 points in the paint.

25* graded play on the LA Clippers (510) as they take on the San Antonio Spurs (509) in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2010. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) that are off a home win by 10 points or more and is now facing an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       SA is just 36-101 ATS (-75.1 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game

·       SA is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

·       Clippers are a solid 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers tonight.

25* graded play on the NY Giants (101) as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles (102) in a major NFC East matchup set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NY will win this game by more than 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-3 mark good for 91% winners using the Money Line since 2010. Play on favorites using the money line in the second half of the season (NY GIANTS) hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games. 

Here is a second amazing system that has gone 22-4 ATS for 85% winners since 2010. Play on road teams (NY GIANTS) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       NY Giants are a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt

·       NY Giants are 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt

·       Philadelphia is a near-imperfect 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the NY Giants.

Two teams heading in opposite direction face off tonight on Thursday Night Football. Of note, is the fact that this is the first Thursday Night Game between these two teams in their 84-year history. Giants have won eight of the past nine games and in large part due to a very staunch defense. The Giants ‘D’ ranks third in scoring defense, second in opponent points per play, and third allowing opponents to convert just 35% of third down situations. Eagles offense is really struggling, but head coach Pederson has his team playing all 60 minutes and there is yet to be any ‘give-up’ yet. Doubtful, they will give up in this heated Division rivalry either. However, the Giants defense presents so many very difficult matchups to the Eagles offense, that lacks any significant receiver threat. Over the last 3 games, the Giants defense ranks best in the NFL forcing opponents to gain 26.3 yards to score just 1 equivalent point on the scoreboard. Take the Giants.

25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (219 and 220) set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 59 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-4 ‘under’ result good for 85% winners since 2010. Play ‘Under’ with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (COLORADO ST) after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games and is now facing an opponent after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

CSU is a solid 11-2 ‘UNDER’ (+8.8 Units) in road games after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game.

Fundamental Discussion Points

Idaho has to be the MOST UNLIKELY bowl participant this season. After more than two decades of losing ways and a school admin decision to go to the FCS after being dismissed from the Sun Belt Conference, the Vandals make only their third bowl appearance at the top level of College Football. Both teams have been hot with CSU winning 5 of the last 7 games and covering the spread in all 7 games. Idaho has won 6 of the last 7 games and has covered all 7 games. Idaho is not going to stop the CSU offense, however, they are capable of making stops and making the game a field possession type competition. The Idaho defense limited three of its last four opponents to 14 or fewer points and season-lows in the stats too. Sophomore middle linebacker Tony Lashley recorded a team-best 99 tackles. Although not big in size, they are fast to the ball and are above average making open field tackles. No play on the side, but we do think confidently the ‘under’ is the strong play.

25* graded play on Virginia (747) as they take on California (748) in NCAA basketball action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·      UVA is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons

·      CALIFORNIA is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997.

·      CALIFORNIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

·      CALIFORNIA is 34-62 ATS (-34.2 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board UVA.

UVA is once again dominating teams with an amazing defense this season. They rank first in the nation allowing 46.7 PPG, second allowing just 8.7 assists per game, 3rd with a 40% effective opponent FG percentage, and 2nd with a 0.876 opponent shooting percentage. We expect Cal to struggle to score given that they rank 175th scoring 72.5 PPG, 193rd with an average of only 13 assist per game, and 156th posting a 0.993 assist-to-turnover ratio. Take the Cavaliers.

25* graded play on Houston as they take on Phoenix in NBA action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game by more than 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 50-22 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 2010. Play against home underdogs (PHOENIX) that are struggling defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense that is greater than 46% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Houston is a solid 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they make 71% to 77% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Houston is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers this season.

Houston is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season.

Houston is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game this season.

Phoenix is just 22-43 ATS (-25.3 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

14-36 ATS (-25.6 Units) when they allow 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

25* graded play on Washington (51) as they take on Philadelphia (52) in NHL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-13 mark good for 76% winners and has made 23.1 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play against home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) facing division opponents, off a close home loss by 1 goal.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Washington is a solid 47-20 against the money line (+18.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Trotz is a stout 72-39 against the money line (+21.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’ as the coach of Washington.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington Capitals tonight.

25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Brooklyn in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by 21 or more points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

·       Toronto is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game this season.

·       Toronto is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season.

·       Toronto is a solid 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season.

·       Toronto is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game this season.

·       Toronto is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games where they commit 12 or fewer turnovers this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Toronto Raptors.

Toronto is averaging 112 points-per-game and is now facing the worst scoring defense in Brooklyn, who allows 114.3 PPG. Toronto has posted a solid 1.722 assist-FG ratio ranking 8th best while Brooklyn struggles posting a 1.236 ratio ranking 29th in the league. Logically, there is high probability that Toronto will exceed 105 points as detailed above and win this game going away.

50* graded play on Washington as they take on Carolina in NFC action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by 11 or more points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Carolina is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. 

Carolina is 15-42 ATS (-31.2 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points 

Carolina is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when they allow 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt 

Carolina is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. 

Washington is a solid 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt 

Washington is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they gain 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons.

Washington is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Washington is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Washington.

It will be the Washington passing game led by Cousins that will be the major difference maker in this game. Washington ranks 2nd in the NFL averaging 303 passing yards per game and 3rd allowing a sack on only 3.50% of passing plays. The OL has done a magnificent job protecting Cousins and giving him extra time and confidence to find the open receiver. Carolina defense is poor ranking 30th allowing 272 passing yards per game. We strongly believe Cousins will shred the Carolina zone and post above average numbers across all major metrics. Take the Washington Redskins.

25* graded play on the Atlanta Hawks as they take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Atlanta is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games where both teams score 98 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta is 182-114 ATS (+56.6 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game

Atlanta is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. 

OKC is just 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play ‘OVER’ in the OKC-ATL NBA game set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 218 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 99-53 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play ‘OVER’ with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a losing record. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to place the following wagers:

25* play on Atlanta

25* play ‘OVER’

5* reverse action parlay ‘Atlanta’ and ‘OVER’

25* graded play ‘OVER’ in the OKC-ATL NBA game set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 218 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 99-53 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play ‘OVER’ with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a losing record. 

25* graded play on South Dakota State  (745) as they take on Drake (746) in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SDST will win this game. Currently, they are installed as a 1-poit dog and this is not near enough to validate a combination wager. If the line does rise to +3 and you can get +135 money line, then placing a combination wager in a ratio of 4:1 is a solid investment. So, if you play $500 per play, then make the wager two part with a $100 play using the money line and a $400 play using the line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2010. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DRAKE) after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

SDST is a solid 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game.

SDST is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game.

SDST is a solid 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games 

Drake is just 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days

Drake is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after 5 or more consecutive losses 

25* graded play on the Chicago Bears (312) as they take on the Green Bay Packers (311) in NFC North action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (GREEN BAY) off an upset win as a home underdog and with a winning record on the season. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Bears are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last two seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points
Weather conditions will have an impact on this game. It is very rare that we ever state that weather will impact the result or will favor one team and not the other, but in this case, it does favor the Bears. Green Bay’s ground game is average with their OL having below average run blocking grades. Chicago’s defensive front is one of the best in the game that the media never highlights. That defensive front will completely stop the ground game forcing Rogers to make throws in what will be horrific conditions with wind chills between -10 and -20 degrees. Even for the best spiral throwers in the game, the swirling and strong winds will make any throw over 15 yards difficult. Punts will be a big factor too and I would not be surprised to see returners let the ball drop to the ground instead of attempting a high-risk catch. Bears ground game will be successful against the Packers DL. Bears rank 8th averaging 4.4 yards-per-rush. Also, have you noticed that Bears have covered 5 of the last six games? Plus, Rogers I 0-3 in his career when the game temperatures are in the single digits. He HATES this weather and is nursing a right calf injury, which is the leg an RH QB needs strength and leverage to throw the ball. Take the Bears and expect the win.

25* graded play on Jacksonville (319) as they take on Houston (320) in AFC South action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that JAX will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-21 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1983. Play on road underdogs or pick after 7 or more consecutive losses. 41% of the plays made based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by more than 7 points. This underscores the upset potential identified by the SIM Algorithm

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       JAX is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

·       JAX is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Jaguars.

Houston is arguably the worst offensive team to ever be in first place in a Division. They have been outscored by 45 points this season. Of course, JAX is a struggling team having lost eight straight games, but they do have the tools and talent to compete and win this game. JAX passing defense has done very well ranking 5th in opponent passing yards per attempt, 4th allowing 203 passing yards per game and 14th in sacks. Houston is a horrible 29th averaging just 5.8 yards per pass, rank 28th throwing an interception on 2.88% of all plays run, and 28th in completion percentage. JAX surprises everyone, but not you and not us. Take Jacksonville.

25* graded play on Tennessee (317) as they take on Kansas City (318) in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-11 SU mark using the money line for 79% winners over the past five seasons. Play against any team using the money line (KANSAS CITY) after a game where they forced no turnovers and is now facing an opponent after four consecutive games where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Titans are 32-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards

Titans are 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards

KC is a money burning 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards 

KC is also a horrid 25-80 ATS (-63.0 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards

Fundamental Discussion Points

As the SIM projects and the technical points under score, it will be the Titans ground attack that will be the principle reason they win this road game and take control of the AFC South Division. Tennessee ranks 3rd averaging 4.7 yards per rush, 3rd averaging 144.5 rushing yards per game, and 2nd with 48% of all plays executed on the ground. KC can’t stop the run and rank 25th allowing 4.3 yards per rush, 27th allowing 123 rushing yards per game. Marriota has played extremely well over the last nine games and has done even better taking care of the ball and not forcing throws that can lead to interceptions. Tennessee has gone four straight games without a turnover while creating eight turnovers by their defense. Take Tennessee.

25* graded play on the Miami Dolphins (303) as they take on the NY Jets (304) in NFL Saturday action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that MIAMI will win this game by at least 8 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2005. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) with a poor first half defense allowing 14 or more points per game, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Jets are a miserable 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards over the last 3 seasons. 

20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins.

Now, I am fully aware that the Dolphins have been a terrible cold weather team, especially in December games; that they now are relying on Matt Moore due to the injury to Tannenhill; that somehow the Jets defeated the 49ers last week; and that Miami has outplayed only 2 of the last 6 opponents in the box score data. But, this is the Jets 2016 edition and having Bryce Petty under center is hardly an asset at this point in his very young career. It is one thing to be prepared to be under center in the NFL and have a strong OL in front of you. It’s vastly different when the QB is not quite ready and the OL and other units are playing largely inconsistent football more evident of an expansion team. Miami is playing to get into the playoffs and the team is centered on taking it one play at a time and not getting caught up in the emotion of any game or situation. The Dolphins also have two excellent WR in Landry and Parker going up against a Jets defense that ranks 24th in the NFL in allowed pass completion percentage and 30th in interceptions. Moore is the most undervalued QB in Draftkings for those folks who are engaged in that competition. Take the Dolphins.

25* graded play on Arkansas State (207) as they take on UCF (208) in the Autonation Cure Bowl set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ARST will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-17 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1992. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARKANSAS ST) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

ARST is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) off a road win against a conference rival 

ARST is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points

Arkansas State has had an excellent defense this season ranking 18th in scoring defense and 23rd in opponent pass completion percentage. Granted, their schedule was significantly easier than the one faced by UCF this season. However, ARST matches up very well against UCF and we see the winning this game outright. Of course, the SIM grading is what first identifies an opportunity, but then we dive deep into our databases and then apply fundamental matchup analyses to complete the vetting process of any game released. All systems are ‘GO’ on Arkansas State.

25* graded play ‘OVER’ Houston – SD State in the Las Vegas Bowl set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 55 points will be scored in this game. Interesting play here given the large line movement from 60 to the current 51 ½ range, which by itself has generated this opportunity. I have done extensive testing regarding ‘steam’ moves and I can tell you that fading large line moves of 5 points or more under the right situations can offer a fantastic long-term ROI. This is obviously not a steam move, but the public has jumped on the ‘UNDER’ with irrational exuberance.

Technical Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Houston is 28-13 OVER (+13.7 Units) after gaining 375 or more passing yards in last game

Long is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) when playing against a good team having won 60% to 75% of their games as the coach of San Diego State.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’ for this matchup.

Aztecs have had 10 straight weeks with 6 of them on the road playing football games and now in just two weeks must turn around and face a significant step up in competition. Houston has had 3 weeks off to prepare for this matchup and they may score more than 42 points on their own merit. Despite the fatigue, we see the Aztecs being quite successful using the ground attack, which then sets up play action to exploit vertical routes in man coverage. Houston also can play fast and will definitely use the no-huddle scheme at times in this game. Houston runs a balanced attack, but rank 7th in the nation throwing an average of 42 passes per game. This reflects the speed that they can execute on offense and this will expose SDST in the second half of the game. Take the ‘OVER’

25* graded play on New Mexico as they take on UT-San Antonio in the Gildan New Mexico Bowl  set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will New Mexico win this game by more than 11 points. Lobos are projected to dominate the LOS and gain more than 350 rushing yards with total output over 500 yards.

Technical Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       UTSA is a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

·       Lobos are a solid 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards

·       Lobos are 73-32 ATS (+37.8 Units) when they score 28 or more point

·       Lobos are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points

·       Lobos are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons.

·       Lobos are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when they are outgain their opponents by 150-200 yards

·       Lobos are also 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points

The Roadrunners are playing their first bowl game in school history after going 6-6 an 5-3 in C-USA action. The Lobos are bowl eligible for the second straight season and gained a share of the Mountain West Mountain Division title. The Roadrunners feature a balanced attack with not only two rushers over 700 yards, but two receivers, Josh Stewart and Kerry Williams Jr., who have combined for 1,200 yards.

On defense, the Roadrunners hold their opponents to 152 yards, but we do not believe they can control the line and stop the Lobos on the ground. Lobos are ranked second in the nation gaining 6.6 yards per rush and third averaging 53.4 rushing plays per game. They rank best in the nation gaining 355 rushing yards per game. SOS is actually fairly equal for the season quotient, however, UTSA has not faced a dominant physical OL with power between the tackles and speed to attack the perimeter on any play.

25* graded play on Houston (514) as they take on New Orleans (513) in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game by more than 14 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-15 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 2010. Play against road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) that are solid offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game on the season and is now facing an opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       New Orleans is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

·       New Orleans is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when they allow 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

·       Houston is a solid 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

·       Houston is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers this season.

·       Houston is a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season.

·       14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season.

25* graded play on the Kings (3) as they take on Pittsburgh (4) in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-13 mark good for 65% winners and has made 32.5 units/unit wagered since 2010. It has averaged a 190 DOG play making this a very powerful money making system. Play against home favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (PITTSBURGH) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less, off a home win. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Pittsburgh is just 10-17 against the money line (-14.3 Units) after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kings.

25* graded play on Rider as they take on Drexel in NCAA basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Rider will win this game by at least 7 points..

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Drexel is just 34-73 ATS (-46.3 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game

Drexel is just 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

Rider is a solid 63-23 ATS (+37.7 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game

Rider is a stout 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Rider .

25* graded play on the Rams (301) as they take on Seattle (302) in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at  8:25 PM ET. PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will lose this game by fewer than 13 points and has only a modest opportunity to post a remarkable upset win. Given the favorable projections, I like normally make these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, in this case, we are suggesting adding a 3* play to the 25* line wager.

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Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 55-22 ATS mark good for 71.4% winners since 2005. Play on a road teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games. Here is a second system that has gone 23-5 ATS for 82% winners since 2005. Play on road teams (LA RAMS) that are struggling offensive teams scoring 17 or less points/game, and after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games. Here is a third system working against Seattle and has gone 32-10 ATS for 76% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (SEATTLE) after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       Seattle is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams tonight.

The Rams defense is the key to this cover. They are playing well despite being backed by the worst NFL offense. That unit ranks 5th allowing just 35% third-down conversions and rank 8th allowing 7.2 yards-per-pass. Wilson had a horrific last game and the team, in our opinion, is not nearly as good as the media talking heads would lead you to believe. Hence, that is why the line is inflated to these lofty levels and then lifted even higher by an irrational public sentiment. Take the Rams.

25* graded play on Western Kentucky as they take on St. Mary’s in NCAA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WKU will lose this game by fewer than 17 points. There is no shot for the WKU SU upset win, however, if there is an ML available, we do recommend placing an additional 2* amount on the ML.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-8 ATS mark good for 79% ATS winners since 2010. Play on a road team (W KENTUCKY) that is off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog and has a winning percentage of between 40 and 49% on the season. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       WKU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons. 

·       10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points
WKU is coming off a very positive confident building win defeating Indiana State 77-59 installed as 10-point dog. They also played Missouri very tight in the second to last game as well. They know St. Mary’s is the better team, but we fully expect them to compete and play hard in this jump-up in competition.

25* graded play on Pittsburgh (4) as they take on Boston (3) in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-9 mark good for 80% winners and has made 24.5 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on any team against the money line (PITTSBURGH) after 5 or more consecutive ‘overs’, good team that is posting a 0.4 goals/game differential or better and is now facing an average team posting a scoring differential between -0.4 to +0.4. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       Pittsburgh is a solid 37-13 against the money line (+19.4 Units) after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. 

·       Pittsburgh is 33-7 against the money line (+20.9 Units) in home games after a 5 game unbeaten streak since 1996. 

·       Claude Julien is 42-49 against the money line (-23.6 Units) after winning their previous game in overtime as the coach of Boston.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Penguins tonight.

25* graded play on Philadelphia (504) as they take on Toronto (503) in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philadelphia will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven money line system posting a 21-7 mark for 75% winners and has made 22.8 units/unit wagered averaging a +141 DOG play since 2010. Play on home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) after going under the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, with a losing record. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       Toronto is a horrid 35-50 against the money line (-38.3 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more since 1996.

·       Philadelphia is a solid 26-9 against the money line (+14.6 Units) in home games after three straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less since 1996. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Philadelphia 76ers.

Toronto is certainly playing well and has launched themselves in second place in the Eastern Conference just 1-game behind Cleveland.  The 76ers have improved on recent losing seasons, but are tied for last in the Conference with Brooklyn. However, they have shown a steady improvement and have won two straight games, and it has been led by a strong defensive presence. They are rebounding well and rank 4th in the NBA in blocked shots per game. We expect the 76ers to take Toronto to the wire and don’t be surprised fi they come away with a win.

50* graded play on New England (134) as they take on Baltimore (133) in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by at least 11 points. I also have money flow data to believe this line, now at NE -7 points can drift lower to 6 points by game time. There has been a surge in public betting support on Baltimore and it has been enough to move the line lower. I would recommend waiting till later this afternoon or even after 6:00 PM ET to place the wager for the game. Although the projections show that the extra point benefit in the line will not be necessary, it NEVER hurts shopping and working for the best possible line available.

­Technical Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       Patriots are a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons.

·       Patriots are 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when they allow 75 to 100 rushing

·       Patriots are 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points

·       Patriots are 42-18 ATS (+22.2 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 to 1 yard/play

·      TOM BRADY is a perfect 6-0 ATS in his career at home when facing the current No.1 ranked defense.

Fundamental Discussion Points
The 6-0 ATS record when facing the best defense in home tilts in Foxborough essentially sums up this section of analysis as well. We can discuss the x’s and o’s, but truly no one prepares a team better for a game than the Patriots coaching staff. They find a way to identify an opponent’s strength and minimize that strength in the game. They then force an opponent to beat them using their weaknesses, which many times matches up against the Patriots’ strengths.

Baltimore ranks first in scoring defense, yards per game allowed, third-down conversions allowed, and yards per rush allowed. The Patriots are tied with Baltimore in scoring defense, 9th in total yards allowed, 11th in rushing yards per attempt, 8th in rushing yards per game, and 11th in passing yards per game allowed. So, with Baltimore’s inconsistent offense, it may be the Patriots defense that creates turnovers and gets stops on third downs and gives the offense short field scoring opportunities. Take the Patriots.

25* graded play on New Orleans as they take on Tampa Bay in NFC action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New Orleans will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 84-41 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1983. Play ON underdogs or pick (NEW ORLEANS) in a game involving two average teams posting a +/- 3 PPG differential after 8 or more games, and after scoring 14 points or less scored in their last game. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       TB is just 27-54 ATS (-32.4 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points

·       TB a miserable 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when their defense allows 300 to 350 net passing yards.

·       TB is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games when their defense allows 300 or more net passing yards.

·       13-38 ATS (-28.8 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards/play. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Saints.

Saints are second in offensive scoring and will be matched against a rather suspect TB defense that ranks 19th in scoring defense. Granted, the Saints defense does rank 30th in scoring defense, but that stat is a bit manipulated due to the scoring barrage of their offense. The Saints offense is just too powerful with Brees for the Bucs to contain enough to allow Winston and his unit to keep pace. Brees ranks first in the NFL converting 50% of their third-down situations this season. Take the Saints.

25* graded play on Miami (116) as they take on Arizona (115) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 1983. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARIZONA) off 2 or more consecutive ‘overs’ and is a good offensive team scoring between 23 and 27 PPG and is now facing a matchup against a poor defensive team allowing between 23 and 27 PPG. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

Arizona is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons. 

Miami is a solid 41-14 ATS (+25.6 Units) when their defense forces 3 turnovers since 1992.

Arizona is a money burning 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins.

If you read even a little bit of the media coverages for this game, you already know that Miami has not covered a December game in the last 3 seasons. That’s all about to change this afternoon.  We fully expect Ryan Tannenhill to have a monster game throwing the ball to Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker, who will have favorable matchups against the Arizona secondary. The reason is the emergence of the Dolphins ground attack, which has opened up far more play action opportunities to exploit vertical routes. Take Miami.

25* graded play on Indianapolis as they take on Houston in AFC South action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Colts will win this game by at least 11 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-18 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2005. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game. Of the 62 qualifying plays made by the criteria detailed in the system, 29 of them or 47% covered the spread by at least 7 points.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game:

·       Houston is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. 

·       Houston is a money losing 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games when they rush for 100 to 125 yards

·       Indianapolis is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points
This game marks Houston’s fourth road game in the last five weeks and travel fatigue will be an issue. Actually, that fatigue has become quite evident in the Houston secondary in recent weeks and Luck will undoubtedly exploit any assignment mistake that secondary makes in this game. It is fact, that statistically, the Colts defense essentially can’t stop much of anything this season. They are though in a favorable spot against an offensive challenged Texans offensive unit ranking 28th in scoring offense and dead last with a miserable 5.4 yards-per-pass play ratio. Take the Colts.

25* graded play on California as they take on Cal-Davis in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 10:30PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that California will win this game by more than 21 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 112-60 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play on home favorites of 10 or more points in December (CALIFORNIA) playing only their 3rd game in a week. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CAL is a solid 86-37 ATS (+45.3 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; 76-36 ATS (+36.4 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game; 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds; 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board California tonight .

25* graded play on San Antonio as they take on Brooklyn in NBA action set to start at 8:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Spurs will win this game by more than 17 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 69-38 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play on any team (SAN ANTONIO) off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off an upset win as a home underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Antonio is a solid 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 23-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Pittsburgh in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-14 mark good for 75% winners and has made 30 units/unit wagered since 2010. Home teams against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lightning are a solid 28-11 against the money line (+15.2 Units) off a home loss over the last 3 seasons; 10-1 against the money line (+8.2 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 25-7 against the money line (+15.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tampa Bay Lightning.

25* graded play ‘UNDER’ Kansas 544 – Nebraska 543 in NCAA action set to start at 3:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 140 points will be scored in this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 52-16 mark ‘UNDER’ for 77% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with home teams against the total after 6 or more consecutive wins and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a marginal winning team sporting a record between 51% to 60%.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nebraska is a solid 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kansas is a solid 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

25* graded play on ARMY as they take on Navy in NCAA football action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Army will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-9 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARMY) outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Army is a solid 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards since 1992; 47-23 ATS (+21.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by =230 rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Arizona un NCAA Hoops action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is also just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 

25* graded play on the Thunder (712) as they take on the Rockets (711) in NBA action set to start at  8: 30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game by 3 or more points. This line opened with OKC installed as a 1-point favorite. The line has since moved to Houston favored by 1 to 1 ½ points. If the line money line reaches +135, which would require a line move to Houston -3 or higher, then the combination wager is validated. That combo wager would be a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is just 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) when they allow 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; OKC is a solid 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Thunder.

The Thunder are an excellent rebounding team led by 6-3 Westbrook, who is averaging an amazing 10.9 boards per game. When he gets a defensive board, the break starts immediately. With the ball already in his hands, it allows his taller teammates to get out on the break and put immediate pressure on the opponent. The Rockets are coming off a 134-95 trouncing of the Lakers. Gordon drained a career-best eight 3-pointers as the Rockets continues to put up long distance shots with no conscience. They are first in the league at 37 attempts from 3-point range per game and have set an NBA record by making 10 or more 3-pointers in 21 consecutive games. And you thought it might be Golden State in that role.

The rebounding edge still goes to the Thunder and 3-point shots generate long range rebounds that will allow Westbrook to go get while his teammates box out their opponent. The key is that the Thunder will minimize Houston’s second chance scoring opportunities with their team rebounding and this will be the principle reason the Thunder win this game.

25* graded play on UBC Greensboro (722) as they take on Wake Forest (721) in NCAA basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Greensboro will lose this game by fewer than eight points and has a reasonable opportunity at getting a significant upset win too. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-17 mark good for 63% winners using the Money Line and has made 26.4 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play on home underdogs using the money line (UNC-GREENSBORO) after leading their last two games by 10+ points at the half against an opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more. It has averaged a +150 DOG play, which makes this a very powerful system.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wake is just 2-9 against the money line (-8.0 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents over the last two seasons. Greensboro is a near-perfect 13-1 against the money line (+12.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board UNC Greensboro.

25* graded play on the Chicago Bulls (512) as they take on the San Antonio Spurs (511) in NBA action set to start at 9:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Bulls will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 129-70 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1996. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days,and with the game occurring in the first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Spurs are 118-195 ATS (-96.5 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996. Bulls are a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Kansas City in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Make certain you get a minimum Money Line of +135. If it is below +35, then simply make this a 25* play using the line only.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2005. Play against any team (KANSAS CITY) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs.' The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a solid 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. KC is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games facing defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last two seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders.

KC has been out gained for the season, and Alex Smith has had seven straight games throwing less than 300 passing yards. Oakland’s defense leads the NFL with 25 takeaways and a +14 turnover margin that has propelled to a tie with New England for the best record in the conference. The key matchup tonight involves KC’s abilities to convert on 3rd down situations. Oakland’s defense ranks 8th best in the NFL allowing opponents to convert 3rd down situations 37.6% of the time. KC ranks a dismal 28th converting 34.6% of their third down conversions. Oakland’s defense will be a principal reason they win this critical AFC West showdown.

50* graded play on the LA Clippers as they take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA Western Conference action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-26 mark for 54% winners and has made a whopping 41 units/unit wagered averaging an eye-popping +222 line. Play against favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) that is a solid team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clippers are a solid 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Golden State is just 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. 

25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Miami (Ohio) in NCAA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will win this game by at least 11 points.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games when they make 23% to 30% of their three-point attempts in a game; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last two seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points We se this game as a significant mismatch with Missouri having matchup advantages at every major c=facet of the game. Missouri ranks 27th in the nation averaging 41.1 rebounds per game while Miami ranks 153rd getting 36.3 boards per game. More glaring is that Miami ranks 334th with a 0.415 assists/FG made ratio. In case you were wondering there are 351 D-1 basketball programs in the database. Missouri defense is excellent and contests all shots and generate a turnover of 18% of their opponent possessions.

25* graded play on Purdue (555) as they take on Arizona State (556) in NCAAB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by at least 15 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 115-66 ATS mark good for 64% winners since 2010. Play on favorites in the month of December of 10 or more points (PURDUE) playing only their 3rd game in a week. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they make 54% to 59% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 87 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. ASU is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 87 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Boilermakers.

25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Harvard in NCAAB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game. Given the line currently installing Northeastern as a 5-point dog, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 86-46 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HARVARD) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Harvard is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. 

25* graded play on the NY Jets (378)  as they take on the Indianapolis Colts (377) in AFC action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Jets will win this game. If this line, currently showing the Jets installed as 1.5 point dog, moves to 3 and you can get a money line of at least +130, then a combination wager is validated using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Jets are a stout 63-25 ATS (+35.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Moreover, they are an impressive 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games off a home loss dating back to 1992.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Jets.

25* graded play on Milwaukee (714) as they host San Antonio (713) in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 101-45 mark good for 69% winners using the money line and has made 45 units/unit wagered since 1996. Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons.

25* graded play on Boston (58)  as they host Florida (57) in NHL action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-24 mark good for 72% winners and has made 32 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play against road teams using the money line (FLORIDA) and is a tired team playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Florida is just 1-9 against the money line (-10.4 Units) after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins .

25* graded play on Siena as they take on Rider in MAAC action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider has been a miserable money burning 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Siena is a stout 53-23 ATS (+27.7 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Siena Saints will be in Lawrenceville New Jersey to take on the Rider Broncs Monday night at 7. Siena’s offense likes to get out and run and they have no trouble scoring the basketball averaging 75 points per game, unlike Rider who struggles to score ranking last in the MAAC in scoring (69 points per game). Rider shoots just 22% from 3 and only average 10.7 assists per game, again last in the MAAC. Look for the Siena offense to score quite a bit and for Riders slow offense not be able to keep up with them. Take Siena -4.5.

25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on Oakland in AFC Conference action set to start at  4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-6 ATS mark good for 82.4% winners since 2005. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OAKLAND) in a conference matchup, who are off a no-cover where the team had won installed as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a miserable 5-26 ATS (-23.6 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards; 18-78 ATS (-67.8 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears.

Buffalo is a strong team that has not had things go their way in every game. They are 6-5 and right in the middle of the playoff hunt in the AFC. Oakland has won 5 straight games to move to first place in the West. Yards-per-point is a metric and not a fundamental variable, but it does lead into t the fundamental discussions. Buffalo ranks 3rd in the NFL with 13.3 yards per point offensive ratio. This means that on average for Buffalo to score 1 point on the scoreboard, they need to gain 13.3 yards of offense. This metric ranges from about 12 to 24 in any given season. The lower the metric, the more efficient an offense operates on the field. Oakland ranks 5th in this category at 14.8 and has posted a very impressive 11.8 reading over their last three games. However, the last three weeks has put Oakland into an unsustainable situation, and there is a significant propensity for their offense to revert to or below their mean. So, look for Buffalo to establish the ground game and control the tempo of the game.

25* graded play on Penn State(333) as they take on Wisconsin(334) in BIG 10 action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 98-52 over the last 5 seasons good for 65.3% winners and made a great 40.8 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games this season; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season; 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Wisconsin. Wisconsin is a poor 

Fundamental Discussion Points

25* graded play on Fairfield (817) as they take on Sienna (818) in NCCAM action set to start at  7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Fairfield will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Fairfield is a solid 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears.

The Fairfield Stags head to Albany, New York to take on the Siena Saints Saturday at 7 pm. For Fairfield, it will be their 2nd conference game this season having beaten Rider 76-67. Siena however will be playing their first conference game of the season. Both teams average right around 75 points offensively but Fairfield averages 68.5 points per game compared to Siena who gives up 76.9 points per game (8.4 points worse than Fairfield). Fairfield also averages 5 rebounds more than Siena this season, Amaduo Sidibe is the leading rebounder for the Stags with 11 rebounds per game which is 3 rebounds higher than Siena’s highest rebounder. We look to see the Stags play hard and keep it very close on the road and try to move to 2-0 in the MAAC conference this season. Take Fairfield getting 7.5 points.

25* graded play on Idaho (322) as they take on Georgia State (321) in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho will win this game by more than a touchdown.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-5 over the last 5 seasons good for 84.4% winners and made 21.5 units/unit wagered. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IDAHO) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho is a solid 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season; 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf. 

Fundamental Discussion Points

25* graded play on Purdue (824) as they take on Morehead State (823) in NCAAM action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by more than 26 points.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 91-50 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997. Play on home teams as a favorite or pick (PURDUE) and is a very good shooting team making >=48% of their shot attempts on the season and is now facing an opponent after a game attempting 20+ less free throws than the opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MS is a money burning 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games when they allow 87 or more points in a game; Purdue is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 87 or more points in a game over the last two seasons.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Purdue Boilermakers get a visit from The Morehead State Eagles this Saturday at 2 pm. Purdue comes into this game at 5-2, and the Eagles come in at 2-4 (0-3 in road games). Morehead State will have their hands full with 6 foot 8 Caleb Swanigan and 7 foot 2 Isaac Haas. Morehead State will struggle to stop the two big post players for Purdue. Purdue enters the game averaging 37 rebounds per game. Meanwhile Morehead States biggest player stands at only 6 foot 6. Simply enough Purdue has the height advantage in this one and will use it to get easy buckets, get out in transition, and get to the free throw line. Look for Purdue to score more than 90 points and overwhelm Morehead State with their bench depth.

50* graded play on Oklahoma(318) as they take on Oklahoma State(317) in Bedlam Rivalry action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by more than 12 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-8 over the last 10 seasons good for 88.5% winners and made 24.2 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs (OKLAHOMA ST) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OU is a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points with Stoops as their coach; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. OK State is a poor 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992 and they are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Fundamental Discussion Points

In the game they call Bedlam we look for the Sooners and the Cowboys to put up lot of offense today. Oklahoma rushes for 230 yards a game and passes for over 320. Baker Mayfield completes over 70% of his passes with 35 TD Passes on the season. Joe Mixon and Samantha Perrine are a solid 1-2 running punch averaging over 7 yards per carry with 17 TD's on the year. Mason Rudolph and the Cowboys offense have been equally impressive this season averaging over 40 points per game. We do look for the Sooners to do what they are accustomed to do and control the Big 12 teams especially at home where the OU defense should be able to get more stops in this one. When I say Boomer, you say Sooner today!

25* graded play on Troy(313) as they take on Georgia Southern(314) in Sun Belt Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Troy will win this game by more than 8 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-10 over the last 5 seasons good for 80.8% winners and made a great 31 units/unit wagered. Play against a home team (GA SOUTHERN) - after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 38-11 over the last 5 seasons good for 77.6% winners and made 25.9 units/unit wagered. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TROY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GASO is an awful 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing their last game on the road this season; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games; 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Troy is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games; 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Fundamental Discussion Points

25* graded play on Temple (325) as they take on Navy (326) in NCAA Football action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-7 over the last 5 seasons good for 81.1% winners and made 22.3 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NAVY) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 70-28 over the last 5 seasons good for 71.4% winners and made a huge 39.2 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEMPLE) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is a strong 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 425 or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons; 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons; 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread this season; 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992; 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf. Navy is a poor 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and they are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games with Niumatalolo as their coach.

Fundamental Discussion Points

25* graded play ‘UNDER” the posted total in the Toronto-LA Lakers NBA game set to start at  7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 205 points will be scored this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 159-105 over the last 5 seasons good for 60.2% and made a great 43.5 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Any team (TORONTO) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Under is 20-6 (+13.4 Units) when Lakers are playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 overall. Under is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic. The last 2 games played in Toronto in this series have gone under.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Under.

Toronto limits it's opponents to 100 PPG at home. 

25* graded play on Iona (533) as they take on St. Peters (534) in Metro Athletic Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iona will win this game by more than 7 points. If you want to play the money line, I see no reasons not to engage in that wager type given the strong technical situations detailed next.

Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iona is a near-perfect 14-1 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. STP is a money losing 4-12 against the money line (-12.4 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that Iona is a stout 10-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams shooting percentage defense of >=45% over the last 3 seasons. 

Fundamental Discussion Points The Iona Gaels take on St. Peters at the Yantelli Center in Jersey City, New Jersey. Both teams come into the game with 3-2 records and this will be the first conference game for both teams. St. Peters comes into the game ranked 309th of 350 in assists per game. This stat is to help you see that their offense is slow and selfish. Iona went 2-0 against St. Peters last year, Iona also has an older team led by Seniors who have won the MAAC conference. Look for the Gaels defense to stop the bad offense of St. Peters and have their defense lead to their scoring. Take Iona as a 3 point favorite on the road.

25* graded play on Mississippi State (718) as they take on Oregon State (717) in CBB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miss State will win this game by at least 11 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon State is a poor 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games; 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Miss State is a strong 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record; 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games; 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs.

Both Oregon State and host Mississippi State have lost their leading scorers to wrist injuries in the games leading up to Thursday night's meeting. Mississippi State is 1-1 since Quinndary Weatherspoon was lost for the season while the Beavers won their first game without Tres Tinkle. This means Miss State has more experience without their leading scorer while they rallied from a double-digit deficit to win in two of their past three games. The Beavers have more turnovers than their opponents in six of seven games (minus-4.6). Take Mississippi State Bulldogs.

25* graded play on the UNDER in the Dallas-Minnesota Thursday NFL game set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the total will be under 41 points in this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 69-32 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.3% winners and made a nice 33.8 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. Another proven system supports this play posting a 98-50 since 1983 good for 66.2% winners and made a great 43 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DALLAS) - after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dallas is 17-4 Under (+12.6 Units) in road games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. since 1992; 6-0 Under (+6.0 Units) in road games off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 under in their last 4 games in December; 8-2 under in their last 10 road games. Minnesota is 13-4 Under (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 Under (+6.9 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons; 14-4 Under (+9.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons; 6-1 under in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game; 9-2 Under in their last 11 games following a ATS loss; 20-7 Under in their last 27 vs. NFC.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Cowboys are playing their third game in 12 days. Both teams have strong defenses allowing less than 20 PPG to opponents and both love to play the time of possession/run the ball offense type which limits each others ability to score a lot in this game. Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, 2 guards, and Sam Bradford are listed as probable and will be not be as effective while playing hurt. That's a mostly injured offense that has struggled to post 19.8 PPG this season. Take the UNDER.

25* graded play on the Clippers (705) as they take on Cavaliers (706) in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given that they are installed as 5 point dogs, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.8% winners and made 27.4 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (CLEVELAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Cavs are a poor 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season; 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest; 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points; 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Cavs are ranked 14th in the NBA in both shooting % and opponents shooting %, while the Clippers are ranked 3rd and 4th respectively in those categories. Los Angeles also has the advantage of being #1 in free throws made, attempted, and forcing opponents fouls for some extra points. The Clippers have the slight advantage in turnovers ranking 2 spots ahead of the Cavs in those categories. Take Los Angeles Clippers.

25* graded play on Boston (56) as they take on Carolina (55) in NHL action set to start at  7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this match.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 59-21 over the last 5 seasons good for 73.8% winners and made a nice 34.9 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams against the money line (CAROLINA) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is a terrible 0-7 (-7.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 7-23 (-16.0 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons; 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games. Boston is a solid 17-5 (+12.7 Units) after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons; 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game; 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins.

Rask is 7-3-3 with a 1.89 goals-against average versus the Hurricanes. Cam Ward has lost three straight starts, receiving four goals of support in that span while Jordan Staal will sit out his second straight contest with a concussion for the Canes. Take the Boston Bruins.

25* graded play on Portland as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will win this game by more than 9 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 121-73 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.4% winners and made 40.7 units/unit wagered. Play on home favorites (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in non-conference games.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Portland is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons; 3-1 ATS against Indiana over the last 3 seasons; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game; 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest. Indiana is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Northwest; 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games; 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings with Portland.

Fundamental Discussion Points Both teams allow over 105 PPG, however the Pacers are only averaging 103 PPG comparing to the Trailblazers' 109.7 PPG. Portland SG C.J. McCollum has scored 24 or more points in five of the past seven contests. Blazers have the turnover advantage ranking 12th with 12.3% turnovers/play while the Pacers are 21st with 13.4% turnovers/play. Take the Portland Trailblazers to outscore them.

25* graded play on Clemson as they take on Nebraska in CBB action set to start at 9:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Clemson will win this game by more than 13 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nebraska is a poor 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their FTs since 1997; 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Clemson is a strong 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with Brownell as their coach; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Wednesday games; 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Fundamental Discussion Points Mitchell's return is key for Clemson, as he is 1 of 6 Tigers that have combined for 386 of the team's 393 points and 930 of its 1000 minutes. Clemson scores 8.2 PPG more than Nebraska while playing 1 fewer game. As evidenced above, Nebraska is not a good underdog or road team play. Take Clemson Tigers.

25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Cornell in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by more than 3 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 80-43 since 1997 good for 65% winners and made a nice 32.7 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NORTHEASTERN) - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Cornell is a poor 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Fundamental Discussion Points Through 6 games for both teams they are scoring 73.5 PPG (NE) and 66.5 PPG (Cornell) and defensively allowing 70.5 PPG (NE) and 76.3 PPG (Cornell). They have the edge so take the Northeastern Huskies.

25* graded play on James Madison as they take on Charlotte in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that JMU will lose this game by less than 3 points and have a  good chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 70-36 over the last 5 seasons good for 66% winners and made a nice 30.4 units/unit wagered. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or more on the season, poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JMU is a solid 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts since 1997; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons; 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons; 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win; 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is very poor defensively giving up 83.6 PPG so JMU will certainly have chances, especially considering they rebound better. JMU also has the advantage in off the bench scoring and contributions. Take James Madison Dukes.

25* graded play on Montreal as they take on Anaheim in NHL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Montreal will win this game. 

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-17 over the last 5 seasons good for 65% winners and made a nice (125-91 since 1996) 42.3 units/unit wagered. Play against home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (ANAHEIM) - off a road win by 1 goal, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Montreal is a solid 19-6 (+12.8 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Pacific; 11-3 in their last 14 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game; 11-3 in their last 14 games following a win; 20-8 in their last 28 overall. Ducks are a poor 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win and they are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Carey Price, the 2015 Hart Trophy winner, is bidding for another MVP trophy with a league-most 13 victories against two losses (one in overtime), a 1.66 goals-against average and a .946 save percentage. He has allowed two or fewer goals in 12 of 15 games. Take Montreal Canadiens.

50* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game by more than 9 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-16 over the last 5 seasons good for 72.9% winners and made 29.4 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (CLEVELAND) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a top-level team (>75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is a poor 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central. The Cavs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Fundamental Discussion Points Cleveland is the better team in all the categories. In their last game multiple teammates were in a slump shooting while James stepped it up to dominate the game. Those teammates are due to go off in this game. Take Cleveland Cavaliers.

25* graded play on VCU as they take on Princeton in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VCU will win this game by more than 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-3 over the last 5 seasons good for 88.5% winners. Play against a road team (PRINCETON) - after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. VCU is a solid 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons; 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons; 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games; 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Princeton is a poor 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog; 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall; 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

Fundamental Discussion Points The VCU Rams are ranked 25 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 49.4% while Princeton is ranked 211 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 42.4% from the field. VCU only allows 63.3 PPG against. VCU is the better team and will show that in the final score. Take VCU Rams.

25* graded play on the UNDER in Philadelphia-Green Bay action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the total score will be less than 45 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-8 over the last 10 seasons good for 80.5% winners and made 24.2 units/unit wagered. Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (GREEN BAY) - after going over the total by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, after the first month of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. 7 of 8 games in this series have gone under the total since 1992. McCarthy is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games as the coach of the Packers. 

Fundamental Discussion Points The Eagles play better at home as they are undefeated there. Their defense has only allowed an average of 9.5 points against at home. Wentz and the Eagles will struggle to score with their starting running back injured and virtually only one-two pass catchers on the team. Take the Under.

25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Philadelphia in NBA Atlantic action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by more than 16 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is a poor 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win; 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. NBA Atlantic; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record; 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win; 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall; 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Atlantic.Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Fundamental Discussion Points Joel Embiid won't be playing in this game for the Sixers and with his presence on offense and defense missing in this game, Toronto will rack up on points. Toronto has captured seven in a row at home against Philadelphia. Philly is 0-5 (1-4 ATS) on the road and have a -20 point differential on the road. Take Toronto Raptors.

25* graded play on Charlotte as they take on Appalachian State in CBB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game by more than 10 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 

Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is posting an 89.5 PPG at home while App State is only posting 74 PPG on the road. That'll be close to the score to expect since both team's defenses allow around 86 PPG to opponents. Take Charlotte 49ers and lay the points.

50* graded play on the OVER in Carolina-Oakland action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that  these teams will score over 51 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-4 since 1983 good for 85.7% winners. Play Over - Any team against the total (OAKLAND) - after playing on Monday night football against opponent after playing a Thursday game. 

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons; 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons; 6-1 over last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record; 11-3 over last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Oakland is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread this season; 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons; 4-0 iover last 4 games overall; 36-14-2 over last 52 games following a ATS win; 12-4-2 over last 18 games in Week 12; 18-5-3 over last 26 games in November.

Fundamental Discussion Points Carolina's defense took a major hit in last week's victory as linebacker Luke Kuechly entered the league's concussion protocol while cornerback Leonard Johnson (chest) and defensive end Mario Addison (foot) also exited with injuries. Carr has been outstanding in his last three meetings with teams from the NFC South, throwing for 1,131 yards with eight touchdowns and zero interceptions for a 111.6 rating. Oakland gives up 28 points per game at home and Carolina gives up 30 points on the road. Take the OVER.