Sacramento Kings vs 76ers
8-Unit bets bet on the Kings using the money line unless this game would move to make the Kings +2.5 or more-point dogs. The money line is the bet even if the Kings move to a -1.5-point favorite.

Betting on teams that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more points and priced between a 3.5-point favorite and 3.5-point underdog and with their foe having played their last three games with 220 or more points scored in each one has earned a 56-31-2 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. If the matchup is NOT a conference one, these teams soar to a 24-9 SU and 24-8-1 ATS record good for 75% winning bets.

Minnesota vs Indiana
8-Unit bet on Indiana minus the 4 points and is valid to 5.5 points.

Indiana is 8-0 ATS in home games and taking on a foe that has won 80% or more of their games spanning the past three seasons; 6-0 ATS in home games and facing an elite foe that is outscoring their foes by 12 or more PPG; 15-4 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games spanning the past three seasons; 9-1 ATS in home games following a game in which 125 or fewer points were scored.

Minnesota gas covered the spread in 8 consecutive games. Teams that are priced as a road dog and facing a conference foe and have covered in 7 straight games have gone just 16-50 SU and 25-41 ATS for 62% winning bets.

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks
8-Unit bet on the Bucks -2.5 points and is valid up to -3.5 points.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3-[point underdog that are coming off two consecutive losses priced as favorites and who lost to the current foe in their previous matchup. has earned an outstanding 55-27 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2016 and has earned a 42-17 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Nuggets vs Jazz
8-Unit bet on the Nuggets minus the 7 points and is valid up to -9.5 points.

Bet on a road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that is outscoring their opponents by at least 3 points per game and facing a foe that won their previous game by 20 or more points has earned an outstanding 55-7 SU record and 46-16 ATS mark for 74% winning bets since 2007. If the opponent has a losing record, then record soars to an incredible 35-3 SU and 32-6 ATS record for 84% winning bets since 2007.

76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks
8-Unit bet on the 76ers +1.5 points and is valid up to -1.5 points.

Betting on dogs that have lost to the spread by 20 or more points over their last three games, is on a two-game losing streak exact, shot 43% or lower spanning the last three games, and the game is played in the first half of the regular season has earned a 20-9 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons. If they are playing a losing record team, like the Hawks, the record has been 9-4 ATS for 69% winning bets.

No Embiid tonight and that is already baked into the line.

Thunder vs Heat
8-Unit bet on the Thunder -4.5 points and is valid to -6 points.

Bet on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss in which the opponent scored at least 100 points and that opponent is coming off a home win scoring at least 115 points has gone 61-19 SU and 50-27-3 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. If our team has an assist to turnover ratio of 2 or higher, then these teams have produced a remarkable 20-7-1 ATS for 74% winning bets.

Washington Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
7:30 PM EST | ESPN
8-Unit bet on Washington plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog, but I do not see this line moving if at all ahead of kickoff.

With a total that is already in the mid-50’s, there is reason to believe scoring volatility will be present and that there may be several lead changes along the way. So, consider betting 70% of your amount preflop and then look to add 15% at Washington +6.5 and 15% more at Washington +7.5points during the first half of action. Another consideration is to bet 70% preflop and then look to add 30% more if Michigan scores the first TD of the game or retakes the lead during the first half of action. I also like a pizza money size bet on Washington’s team total over 24.5 points.

This is just the second team from the PAC-12 to make it to the CFP championship game. On January 12, 2015, Oregon faced off against Ohio State in the first CFP Championship game and lost 42-20 as 6-point favorites. Current Philadelphia Eagles backup QB Marcus Mariota was the Heisman Trophy winner along with the Walter Camp Player of the Year, Maxwell Award, Johnny Unitas Golden Arm, and AP Player of the Year awards. Ohio State’s DL Joey Bosa was the only Buckeye to earn Consensus All-American that season. Oregon was 13-1 with one conference loss while Ohio State was 13-1 under Urban Meyer having just one loss losing in Week 2 on the road at Virginia Tech 35-21 as 10.5-point favorites. A little history of the only PAC-12 vs Big Ten Championship game as the rest have been dominated by the SEC Conference.

Underdogs of 6.5 or fewer points are 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS for 71% in the Championship game. The first five Championship games saw a dog of 6.5 or fewer points cover the spread. When the dog has covered the Over has gone 4-1.

Betting on underdogs using the money line that are priced between +150 and +300 invovling a matchup of team that both average 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after the 8th game of the season and with our team coming off a game in which they committed no more than a single turnover has earned a 31-24 record averaging a +225 wager and earning a 67% ROI over the past five seasons.

Washington head coach DeBoer is 19-2 SU in all games; 5-0 SU as an underdog; 11-1 SU after scoring 35 or more points; 17-1 SU following a win; 14-1 SU after a game in which they committed no more than one turnover; 9-1 SU after two consecutive games gaining 6.25 or more YPPL. Harbaugh is just 3-8 SU in road and neutral site games against non-conference foes.

From the predictive model, we are expecting Washington to score 27 or more points and to have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Washington met or exceeded these measures they went on to an outstanding 24-3 SU and 20-7 ATS for 74% winning bets over the previous five season and 4-1 ATS in those games if priced as the underdog. Michigan is 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS when allowing 27 or more points and having the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 5 seasons.

Buffalo vs Miami

Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Gardens, FL

8:20 ET | NBA
8-Unit bet on the Bills minus the 2.5 points and is valid up to 3.5 points.

The following betting algorithm supports a betting opportunity using the money line and has produced a 32-13 record good for 71% winning bets over the past 10 years. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road teams facing a winning record host.

·      The road team defeated the host in their previous game.

·      The game occurs in the second half of the regular season.

·      The road teams scored 35 or more points in their previous matchup against the host.

·      The total is 48 or more points.

The Bills are 24-20 SU and 26-17-1 ATS for 61% winning bets when they have failed to cover the spread in each of their last two games spanning games played since 2010. If they are facing a divisional foe in this situation, they have gone 9-8 SU and 11-6 ATS for 65% winning bets since 2010.

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Bills to score at least 27 points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games facing a divisional foe and matching or exceeding these performance expectations, they have gone on to an impressive 21-2 SU record and 19-4 ATS mark good for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns
8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 74-38-3 ATS for 66% winning bets. If the game is after game number 25, the record then goes to a money-making 60-32-3 ATS machine for 65% winning bets.

Maryland vs Minnesota
8-Unit Bet on Maryland +1.5 points and is good to Maryland priced as a 1.5-point favorite.

Minnesota is 0-7 ATS in home games following two games in which they committed 11 or fewer turnovers in each game. Maryland is coming off a 14-point loss to No.1 ranked Purdue on January 2 and shot just 33% from the field. IN the 2023 season, Maryland is 4-0 ATS following a game in which they shot less than 40% from the field. As a dog of 4.5 or fewer points, Maryland is 8-3 ATS following a game in which they shot less than 40% form the field.

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

4:25 ET | FedEx Field, Landover, MD
8-Unit bet on the Commanders +13.5 points and valid if they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on divisional home dogs revenging a same-season blowout loss of 27 or more points in the final four weeks of the regular season have gone 12-11 SU and 14-8-1 ATS for 64% winning bets. So, don’t think that Dallas is just going to waltz into FedEx Field and get a double-digit lead early and coast to a win. Of course, that is a possibility, but the numbers beg to differ despite the Commanders being a horrible team.

The line for this game opened before the season started with Dallas a 3-point favorite at the Circa. Line movements of 7 or more points from the opening become fade or contrarian betting opportunities that have hit 65% ATS over the past five years.  So, these opportunities always look like bad decisions and they do lose 35% of the time, but over the course of the second half of the regular season, they have provided added profits.

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
4:25 EST | FOX
8-Unit bet on the Eagles minus the 4.5 points and is valid to -6 points.

Consider betting on the Eagles using the first half line to minimize the potential that the Eagles will pull starters at some point if Dallas does get out to double-digit lead. However, we are on Washington for a reason. Even if Dallas gets a 3 or more-score lead, they may even pull starters in the fourth quarter and giving Washington a shot at the backdoor cover. Just saying.

Betting on favorites that are scoring between 23.5 and 27.5 PPG and facing a foe that is allowing 23.5 to 27 PPG and with our team coming off back-to-back games in which 50+ points were scored in each game has produced a 75-22 SU record and 62-32-3 ATS record good for 66% winning bets since 2010. If the game occurs in the final four weeks of the season, our team has gone 18-5 SU and 15-7-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2010. If a divisional matchup our team has gone 10-2 SU and 8-3-1 ATS for 73% winners.

Trail Blazers vs Nets
8-Unit bet on the Trailblazers plus the 8.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points. A sprinkle on the money lie is a great opportunity too.

Betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have lost their last three road games and now facing a non-conference foe has earned a 47-47 SU record and 60-32-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games is229.5 or fewer points, our dog has gone 43-34 SU and 55-20-2 ATS for 73% winning bets over the pat 10 seasons.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
4:30 ET | ESPN/ABC/ESPN+

8-Unit best bet on the Steelers minus the 3.5 points and is valid up to 4.5 points.

Be careful presuming this bet is a winner before it starts simply because the Ravens may not be starting anyone from the first units. So, with that statement, consider betting 70% of your betting amount preflop on the Steelers and then look to add the remaining 30% if the Ravens score the first TD of the game or retake the lead at some point during the first half of action.

Betting on favorites that are facing a divisional foe that they defeated earlier in the season, is coming off two consecutive OVER results and with a total that is lower than each of the past two game’s totals have gone 46-33 for 58% winning bets since 1989. If the favorite is priced between 2.5 and 7.5 points, they improve to 40-10 SU and 34-16 ATS for 68% winning bets and 11-2 SU, 10-3 ATS and 9-4 Under since 2015.

Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings

Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
8-Unit Bet on the Raptors plus the five points and is valid down to and including 3.5 points.

Bet on road underdogs who have won 25 to 40% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record has been 74-37 ATS for 67% winning bets. If the game is after game number 30, the record then goes to a money-making 51-27-3 ATS mark for 65.4% winning bets.

Bowling Green vs Akron
James A. Rhodes Arena
Akron, Ohio
8-Unit Bet on BGU plus the 9.5 points and is valid down to 7.5 points.

Akron is 6-15 ATS when facing a winning record team over the past two seasons; 0-6 ATS following two games in which they allowed 65 or fewer points over the past two seasons. Akron head coach Morehead is 2-9 ATS following two games in which his team allowed 65 or fewer points.

From the predictive model, BGU is 126-23 SU and 48-12 ATS for 80% winning bets when holding a foe to fewer than 74 points and have an assist to turnover ratio above 1.0 since 2016.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston
8 ET
8-Unit best bet on the Wolves -3.5 points and is valid to 5.5 points. If this line drops to 2.5 or fewer points, consider the money line as an alternative wager.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5 point underdog that lost their last two games priced as a favorite and also lost the previous meeting to the current foe has earned a solid 55-27 ATS record for 67% winning bets since 2016. If our team is priced as a favorite of 5.5 or fewer points including pick-em has led them to a solid 47-24-1 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2016.

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
7 ET
8-Unit bet on the Hawks plus the 3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off three consecutive road losses and now facing a non-conference foe has gone 46-47 SU and 59-32-2 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team has a losing record and the foe has a winning record, our dogs have gone 25-17 SU and 31-9-2 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes
Capital One Arena | 7 ET | NHLPP ESPN+

8-Unit bet on the Capitals using the money line currently priced at +150 and is valid to +140.

Betting on a team that allowed 6 or more goals in their previous game, the current game occurs in the first half of the regular season, and they are facing a foe that won their last game by 4 or more goals has earned a 52-36 record averaging a +110-dog wager and earning a 24% ROI since 2015. If our team is a dog of 130 and higher, they soar to 16-14 SU averaging a 172 bet and earning a highly profitable 47% Roi since 2015.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Anaheim Ducks
8-Unit bet on the OVER 6.5 goals and is valid at 6.5 goals or lower.

Bet the Over in game with a total of 6 or more goals with the home team coming off a loss of two or more goals and facing a foe that is coming off a game in which four or fewer goals were scored has earned a 118-72-13 record good for 62% winning bets. If the home team is the underdog, the OVER has then gone 55-28-1 for 66.3% winning bets over the past five seasons.

South Dakota State vs. Weber State
Dee Events Center, Ogden, Utah
9 ET
8-UNIT bet on SDST plus 5.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Over the past 10 seasons betting on road underdogs including pick-em that allowed less than 35% shooting in their previous game and facing a foe that has shot at least 50% from the field in each of their three previous games has earned a 55-31 ATS record for 64% winning bets. This is a system created to exploit significant regression situations, which in this game is focused on seeing Weber State shoot below their recent three game average.

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX | 8 ET
8-Unit Bet on the Nets plus 6.5 points and is valid down to 4.5 points.

The Nets are struggling recently and sit with a 15-19 record and are 6-11 in road games, but this is an excellent situation for them to cover the spread and potential win the game outright. The Nets have lost four straight games failing to cover the spread in all four. They have lost nine of their last 11 games and have failed to cover in 10 of those games. Simply, the market now has put the Nets in an oversold situation and they will be priced on the cheap side for many games coming up.

They are coming off a 112-85 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans as 5.5-point underdogs and shot a horrid 36% from the field. The Rockets are coming off 136-113 win over Detroit and covered easily as 9.5-point favorites and shot 56% from the field.

Betting on dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are facing a host that has scored 120 or more points in each of their previous two games has earned a 121-79-2 ATS for 61% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road dog is playing on back to back nights, they soar to a 28-10 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Oklahoma City vs Atlanta
State Farm Arena | Atlanta | 7:30 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Hawks getting 1.5 points and is valid bet if they are pried at pick-em or the dog.

The Hawks are a miserable 13-19 SU and 7-25 ATS for just 22% on the season ranking worst ATS win percentage in the NBA. On the other side of the spectrum sits the Thunder who are league-best 24-8 ATS for 75% and are 23-9 SU on the season. In this situation and having had more than 30 games played, the market has overreacted in pricing both teams. From my Wall Street Days as an institutional bond and currency market strategist, we have a situation in this game for an arbitrage selling a team in the3 Thunder that is overbought and simultaneously buying a team that severely oversold in the Hawks. This does not mean that this game is going to win ATS for us tonight, but over the next few weeks I am expecting the Hawks to show up more often on the betting radar.

Home teams that are playing at least their 30th game of the regular season and have cover the spread in less than 30% of those games and facing a foe that has covered better than 50% of their games has earned a solid 11-6 SUATS record good for 65% winning bets.

Betting on underdogs that have allowed 115 or more points in five consecutive games and now facing a foe that has scored 115 or more points in their two previous games has earned a 56-29-1 ATS record good for 65.9% winning bets over the past five seasons. Further, if our home team is a single-digit dog including pick-em and the total is at least 230 points, their record soars to 32-14 ATS for 70% winning bets.

Tennessee Chattanooga vs. Samford
8-Unit Bet on Samford minus the 8.5 points and is valid up to 9.5 points.

Betting on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points playing with four or more days of rest that are outscoring their opponents by double-digits and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half have earned a 63-16 SU record and 50-27-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game occurs after the 10th game of the season these teams improve to 30-5 SU and 23-10-2 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
7:00 ET

8-Unit best bet on the Bucks minus the 3.5 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 20% on the Bucks at pick-em and the remaining 10% at +2.5 points during the first half of action. The total is priced at 258.5 points which is within two points of the all-time high of 260.5 points recorded earlier this season when the Wizards hosted the Pacers in a 137-123 Wizards win on December 15. There have been four previous games with a total of 255 or more points this season and the Pacers have been involved and were the road team in every game.

Betting on road favorites that lost to the current opponent in the same season and is also coming off a home loss and playing with one day of rest have gone 55-28 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2015.

From the predictive models we learn that the Bucks are 38-2 SU and 36-4 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored 130 or more points and had the better and more efficient assists to turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.

Western Carolina vs. The Citadel
8-Unit bet on Western Carolina minus the 3.5 points and is valid up to and including 5.5 points.

Betting on road teams in a conference matchup that won each fo their two previous games by 20 or more points and are facing a host that scored 45 or more points in the first half of their previous game has earned an outstanding 21-10 SU and 16-7-1 ATS mar good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

10-Unit MAX Bet on the Texas Longhorns minus the 3.5 points and is valid to -6 points.

The market is telling you that Texas is the better team since they are favored but ranked No.3 to Washington’s No. 2. That does not tell us the complete story, though, so let’s dig deep here and learn why Texas is my pick and why I do believe Texas will win the National Championship. So, if you have watched the shows I appear on, the one consistent theme since Week 1 was that I saw Texas and Penn State colliding in the National Championship and had bet each one individually. So, now we have Texas left on the betting slips and even at current pricing.

Texas is 14-3 ATS on a neutral field with a total between 56.5 and 63 points. Undefeated teams playing in a bowl game or the CFP and dressed as a dog have gone 1-5 ATS and 0-6 SU. Washington has played tough games winning their last three games by three or fewer points. Texas has won their last three games by 10, 50, and 28 points respectively. Texas QB Ewers threw for 464 yards in the Big-12 Championship game that they won 49-21 over Oklahoma State. They have covered the spread in five of their last six and three straight and the market is simply not catching up to the true market value of Texas.

Three models that I have developed over decades of research prices Texas as a 9.5-point favorite over Washington. However, this does not imply that simply betting Texas is an easy winner. Instead it informs us that there is plenty of value betting Texas which increases are odds to win this 10-Unit bet, but certainly never a guarantee.

From the predictive model, Texas is expected to score 30 or more points and execute more rushing plays than passing plays. In this situation they are 87-9 SU and 71-24-1 ATS for 75% winning bets since 2015. Washington is 5-50 SU and 8-46-1 ATS for 15% when they allowed these measures since 2015.

Betting on elite rushing teams gaining 4.8 or more YPRA from Week 7 on out, is coming off a game limited that opponent to less than 100 rushing yards and now facing a foe that is averaging 4.35 to 4.75 YPRA has earned a 78-41 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Arizona vs Philadelphia
Lincoln Financial Field
1 ET
8-Unit Titan Bet on the Eagles minus 13 points.

My recommendation is to bet 80% of your normal 8-unit bet amount preflop and the look to add the remaining 20% betting amount with the Eagles priced as 9.5-point favorites  or at whatever price is available if the Cardinals score the first touchdown of the game or retake the lead during the first half of action. Granted, this scenario is not likely to happen, but it never hurts to have the plan in place if it does.

I do see AJ Brown having a monster game against a Cardinals defense that struggles to cover anyone no matter if it is zone or man coverage situations. The Eagles will be in much better shape and nearly at full strength when the playoffs begin as they continue to get more starters returning from the IR.  So, with pizza money, I am recommending a bet on AJ Brown over 83.5 receiving yards.

Eagles are 28-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four out of their last five games. They are also 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS following three straight ATS losses over the past five seasons.

From the predictive model, the Eagles are 13-1 SU and 10-3-1 ATS when scoring 28 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past five seasons.

Miami vs Baltimore

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
1:00 ET | CBS
10-Unit bet on the Dolphins +3.5 points.

Consider betting 80% of your bet amount on the Dolphins preflop and then look to at 20% more at a price making the Dolphins a 7.5-point underdog or if the Ravens score the first touchdown of the game.

Bet on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

Our dog has allowed

Raiders vs Colts

1 ET
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
8-Unit best bet on the Raiders plus the points currently priced as 4-point underdogs.

I would bet 7-units preflop on this one and look to add that final unit using the money line if the Colts score the first TD of the game or retake the lead during the first half of action.

Betting on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have committed no more than a single turnover in each of their last two games and facing a host coming off a game in which they did not force a turnover has gone 31-36 SU and 48-19 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game is taking place in the second half of the season and is a non-divisional matchup, our road warriors have gone 17-15 SU and 25-7 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

49ers vs Washington

1:00 ET | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville

8-Unit bet on the Commanders plus the 14 points

Betting on teams that have failed to cover the spread by 33 or more points over their past five games and facing a foe that has seen their last three games play OVER by 30 or more points have gone 40-45 SU, but 60-24-1 SATS for 71% winning bets since 2009 or 15 seasons.

In the last four weeks of the regular season double-digit home underdogs are 15-62 SU, but a highly profitable 48-27-2 ATS for 64% winning bets and if the total in these games is 45 or more points, our home dogs with fleas has gone 24-11-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Auburn vs Maryland
Music City Bowl, Nissan Stadium, Memphis, TN
Saturday, December 30, 2:00 ET (ABC)
8-Unit best bet Under 49 points and is valid to 47.5 points.

5-Unit Optional Wager on Auburn minus the points.

Consider betting 75% of your preflop amount and then look to get 25% more at 54.5 points during the first half of action.

Here are some notes supporting a 5-Unit bet on Auburn and may be opportunities for those who like betting teasers or parlays. I do not bet teasers or parlays often and in the rare time that I do, I will only add to my bets with a pizza money sized amount. Maryland is 1-9 ATS after having won two of their last three games under HC Locksley. Auburn is motivated to win this bowl game to avoid being labeled the first team to have three consecutive losing seasons since the 1977. Moreover, Hugh Freeze’s 6-1 SUATS mark in bowl games and as mentioned Auburn has plenty to prove in this game to show the War Eagle fan base head coach Freeze was the right hire for the long-term.

Maryland is 32-16 after a game gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in their previous game; 27-11 UNDER after scoring 42 points or more last game. HC Freeze is 38-13 UNDER when facing a solid offensive team that is averaging 5.9 or more yards per play in all games he has coached.

The Under is 13-5-1 for 72% winning bets in bowl games in which the favorite of less than 10 points has won 6 games and the opponent has won more than 6 games, with the favorite possessing a ground attack averaging 75 or more yards per game then the opponent and with the game total set at fewer than 50 points.

Mississippi vs Penn State
Peach Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA

Noon, Saturday December 30
10-Unit Bet on Penn State minus 5.5 points and is valid to 7 points.

Consider betting 75% of your betting amount preflop and the look to add 25% more with PSU priced at pick-em or better during the first half of action. Another option is to add 25% if Mississippi scores the first TD of the game or retakes the lead with a TD score during the first half of action.

Some notes of interest about the Peach Bowl. The 2023 Peach Bowl game is a college football bowl game that will feature No. 10 Penn State and No. 11 Ole Miss on Saturday, Dec. 30 at noon ET. The game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, and will be televised by ESPN.

This will be the first-ever meeting between the two programs, and only the sixth Big Ten vs. SEC matchup in the Bowl's history. Both teams finished the regular season with 10-2 records and are looking to end the year ranked in the Top-10 Final poll.

Penn State boasts the nation's top-ranked defense based on my comprehensive power rankings. They are expected to slow down the high-octane Mississippi Rebel offense for the entire game. That does noy imply that Mississippi will be held scoreless, but rather that the Mississippi offense will not keep pace with the PSU offense led by sophomore 5-star

The Peach Bowl game will be a clash of styles, as Penn State's stingy defense will try to slow down Ole Miss's high-powered offense. Both teams have a chance to make history, as Penn State can become the first program to win every bowl game that comprises the New Year's Six, and Ole Miss can win its first New Year's Six bowl game under head coach Lane Kiffin.

PSU is 9-1 ATS as a favorite this season; 11-1 ATS after playing two consecutive games against conference foes over the past two seasons; 9-1 ATS in December games; James Franklin is 12-2 ATS when having won 8 or more of their previous 10 games; 16-1 Ats following back-to-back double-digit wins over conference foes; 9-1 ATS when facing a team that is averaging 275 or more passing yards per game.

Ohio State vs Missouri
The Cotton Bowl Classic
8 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on the OVER, currently priced at 49 points. Given the player news that has surfaced over the past week, I do see this total moving lower. I recommend betting 25% no, though at the best price you are offered and then monitor the total movement over the next week.

The Buckeyes starting QB McCord lost just one game this season but nevertheless entered the transfer portal and is going to attend Syracuse next season. Replacing him for the Cotton Bowl Classic is red shirt freshman Devin Brown, who hails from Draper, Utah. He attended Corner Canyon High School and led them to the state championship game and was named MaxPreps’ Utah state player of the year and threw for nearly 8,000 yards and 85 touchdown passes in his 31-game high school career. He played his first three seasons at Queen Creek High School in Arizona and was coached by former Buckeye QB and Rose Bowl MVP Joe Germaine. He then transferred to Corner Canyon, in Draper Utah, for his senior season to play in a different offense, and he threw for a whopping 4,881 yards with 57 TDs while adding 430 yards on the ground and eight more touchdowns.

He competed with Kyle McCord for the No. 1 quarterback role through 11 practices during the 2023 spring drills before injuring a finger and missing the final four practices, including the spring game. He then switched jersey numbers from 15 to 33, a number he wore throughout age group football and for a time in high school, and as a tribute to Sammy Baugh, a charter member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Brown says No. 33 is “the original quarterback number” and no one can disagree with that fact. So, I do not see much decline in the performance of the high-powered offense with him under center and a stable of weapons and underclassmen making their first appearances, who will be motivated to give the best possible performance for the coaching staff heading into Spring Football.

Brown suffered an ankle sprain and is listed as pout till the end of December, but I strongly believe he will start.

Betting the OVER in a bowl game featuring two teams with nine or more wins and with one of them having beaten the spread by 42 or more points over their last five games has goner a highly profitable 15-3 for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total is priced between 42.5 and 60 points the Over is 9-1 for 90% winning bets.

Notre Dame vs Oregon State
Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas
2 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Oregon State Beavers plus the 6.5 points

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more with OSU priced at 10.5 points during the first half of action.

Betting on neutral field underdogs that are facing a foe that has won 60 to 85% of their games and has won three of their last four games has earned a 32-10 record good for 77% winning bets since 2014.  

The predictive models I have developed reveal that OSU is 23-6 SU and 25-4 ATS for 86%) when scoring 28 or more -points and gaining at least 150 rushing yards since 2019.

Clemson vs Kentucky

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl | Noon ET, Friday
8-Unit Bet on Kentucky plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

This bowl game features a team from the SEC going up against a team from the ACC ro another conference if no ACC teams are available. Here are some more interesting facts about the Gator Bowl.

Some facts about the Gator Bowl Football Game are:

The first Gator Bowl was played on January 1, 1946, between Wake Forest and South Carolina, with Wake Forest winning 26-14.

The most recent Gator Bowl was played on December 30, 2022, between Notre Dame and South Carolina, with Notre Dame winning 30-33.

The Gator Bowl has hosted four national championship teams: Georgia Tech in 1952, Florida in 1996, Tennessee in 1998, and Florida State in 2013.

The Gator Bowl has featured some of the most memorable moments in college football history, such as the “Fog Bowl” in 1959, the “Lindsey Scott Miracle Run” in 1980, the “Gator Flop” in 1971, and the “Woody Hayes Punch” in 1978.

The Gator Bowl has also showcased some of the most prominent players and coaches in college football history, such as Bobby Bowden, Steve Spurrier, Peyton Manning, Tim Tebow, Joe Namath, and Johnny Unitas.

Clemson (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) had a disappointing season by its own standards, losing four games for the first time since 2014. The Tigers struggled offensively, ranking 56th in the nation in scoring with 29.2 points per game. Quarterback Cade Klubnik had a solid debut season, throwing for 2,580 yards and 19 touchdowns, but also had eight interceptions. The Tigers relied on their running game, led by Phil Mafah and Will Shipley, who combined for 1,692 yards and 14 touchdowns. Clemson’s defense was solid, allowing only 19.9 points per game and ranking fifth in the nation in passing defense. However, the Tigers will be without some key players on defense, such as linebacker Jeremiah Trotter and defensive end Ruke Orhorhoro, who opted out of the bowl game. Most importantly, they are very thin at the cornerback position and any injury, even if minor that removes the starting corners out fo the game for a few plays, will present some high percentage chunk plays for Kentucky.

Kentucky (7-5, 6-6 ATS) had a roller-coaster season, winning its first four games before losing five of its next seven. The Wildcats had a balanced offense, averaging 28.6 points per game and ranking 95th in passing and 96th in rushing. Quarterback Devin Leary, a transfer from NC State, had a breakout season, throwing for 2,440 yards and 23 touchdowns, with 10 interceptions. He had a trio of reliable receivers in Dane Key, Barion Brown and Tayvion Robinson, who each had over 400 yards and four touchdowns. The Wildcats also had a star running back in Ray Davis, who rushed for 1,066 yards and 13 touchdowns. Davis declared for the NFL Draft, but will play in the bowl game.

Kentucky’s defense was average, allowing 26.8 points per game and ranking 65th in total defense. The Wildcats thrived on forcing turnovers, as they had 21 takeaways, including 14 interceptions.

Head coach Stoops is 23-13 ATS when facing a non-conference game. Clemson is 3-12 ATS after allowing 14 or fewer points in games played over the past three seasons; 1-8 ATS after allowing seven or fewer points in the first of each of their ;ast two games in games played over the past three seasons.  

Arizona vs Oklahoma
Valero Alamo Bowl
9:15 ET, December 28
8-Unit best bet Under the posted total

Betting the Under with a team (Oklahoma) that has covered the spread by 42 or more points over their last five games in a bowl game or playoff game and with both teams having won 9 or more games on the season has seen the Under go 15-3 for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Here is another system that has earned a record good for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are to be the Under in a neutral field matchup with a total between 56.5 and 69.5 points with a team (Arizona) coming off two consecutive wins over conference rivals. If the game takes place in December, these games have seen the Under go 13-4 for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Memphis vs Denver
8-Unit bet on Memphis plus the 7.5 points and is valid down to 4.5 points.

Betting on road underdogs that have won between 25 and 40% of their games on the season and facing a winning record foe and has played 25 or more games and with a total of not more than 230 points has gone 57-23-2 ATS for 71% winning bets since 2016.

NY Jets vs. Cleveland Browns

Thursday NFL on Prime
8-Unit Bet on the Jets plus the 7 points and is valid down to 5.5 points.

8-Unit Bet Under 36 points and is valid to 35.5 points.

Betting on road teams in the last four weeks of the season that are facing a host that is averaging 2 or more points per drive and has allowed less than 100 rushing yards in each of their last three games has produced a 15-20 SU record and 23-11-1 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game is a conference matchup these road warriors have gone 13-15 SU and 20-8 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Two of the best defenses in the NFL square off in this matchup and there is an opportunity to bet the Under. Betting the Under in a game involving a team that converted three or more fourth down situations in a win in their previous game has produced a 46-25-2 record fort 65% winning bets since 2002.  So, I suggest betting 75% of your normal bet size preflop on the Under and then look to get the remaining 25% at 41.5 or more points.

I do not play teasers often, but there is an opportunity for those of you who do enjoy the teaser bets.  Tease the Jets up to 13 points and the Under up to 42 points. As game time approaches Thursday, there may be better prices available enabling you to get 42.5 points and 13.5 points. If you choose to do the teaser, I recommend betting 2 units only and then reduce the 8-Unit bets on the Jets and the Under to 7-unit bets.

NY Jets vs. Cleveland Browns

Thursday NFL on Prime
8-Unit Bet on the Jets plus the 7 points and is valid down to 5.5 points.

8-Unit Bet Under 36 points and is valid to 35.5 points.

Betting on road teams in the last four weeks of the season that are facing a host that is averaging 2 or more points per drive and has allowed less than 100 rushing yards in each of their last three games has produced a 15-20 SU record and 23-11-1 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the game is a conference matchup these road warriors have gone 13-15 SU and 20-8 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Two of the best defenses in the NFL square off in this matchup and there is an opportunity to bet the Under. Betting the Under in a game involving a team that converted three or more fourth down situations in a win in their previous game has produced a 46-25-2 record fort 65% winning bets since 2002.  So, I suggest betting 75% of your normal bet size preflop on the Under and then look to get the remaining 25% at 41.5 or more points.

I do not play teasers often, but there is an opportunity for those of you who do enjoy the teaser bets.  Tease the Jets up to 13 points and the Under up to 42 points. As game time approaches Thursday, there may be better prices available enabling you to get 42.5 points and 13.5 points. If you choose to do the teaser, I recommend betting 2 units only and then reduce the 8-Unit bets on the Jets and the Under to 7-unit bets.

Winnipeg Jets vs, Chicago Blackhawks

8-Unit best bet on the Blackhawks using the money line currently priced at 185 and is valid down to 150.

Betting on teams in the first half of the season that allowed 6 or more goals in their previous game and facing a foe that is coming off a win by four or more goals has earned a 51-36 record for 59% winners averaging a +115-dog bet and earning a 23% ROI since 2015. If our dog is priced at 150 and higher, they have gone 9-9 averaging a 191 wager and earning a 49% ROI.

New York Knicks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center
8:00 ET
8-Unit bet on the Ny Knicks +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog to a 3.5-point favorite that are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and facing a foe that has seen their last three games produce 220 or more points in each one has earned a 59-26 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2018. If our team is on the road they improve to 19-7 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Bet on road teams priced between 3.5 dog and favorite that has allowed 120 points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that is coming off a game in which 235 or more points were scored in total has earned a 31-16 SU record and 32-13-2 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

USC vs Louisville

8 ET | Fox | Holiday Bowl
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
8-Unit bet on the Trojans plus the 7 0oints and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Betting on teams priced as 4.5 or greater underdogs in a bowl game and covered the spread in three or fewer games on the season have produced a 14-9-2 ATS mark good for 61% winning bets dating back to the 1989 season.

The market has overreacted to how poorly USC played down the stretch ranking 11th best in total offense but a horrid 120th in total defense nationally and the fact that their 2022 Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams has opted out of this bowl game. It is also a fact that PAC-12 Bowl teams have gone a shocking 0-16 ATS when coming off a SU and ATS loss in their season finale. However, that trend is mature and statistically poised to move in the other direct over the coming bowl seasons. Problem is there I no PAC-12 conference starting next season. Trends like this one reflect a market that has continuously relied on it and others and the result is an undervalued underdog, especially in this matchup.

USC has a new defensive coordinator who will prepare this Trojan team better than in any of the previous 8 games this season and further they have the motivation to play hard and put the those terrible defensive games in the rearview mirror heading into Spring Football. Lincoln Kennedy is an elite coach and is 6-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points in bowl games. If this game was priced before the season started the trojans would have been 9.5-point favorites.

The predictive models inform us that USC is 69-4 SU and 55-16-1 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have been priced as a dog, scored 27 or more points, and had the same or fewer turnovers.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL
7 PM EST
8-Unit bet on the Magic -2.5 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

The reigning NBA MVP Joel Embiid will be out of action again tonight as he continues to recover from a strained ankle he suffered Friday night in the first quarter of a 121-111 win over the Toronto Raptors. He did continue to play on it logging regular game minutes. An ankle injury gets evaluated the next day, but seeing him play that many minutes makes for the possibility he will be back on the court by the weekend.

The 76ers are 0-4 straight-up (SU) and 1-3 ATS this season with Embiid out of the lineup.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog to a 3.5-point favorite that are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and facing a foe that has seen their last three games produce 220 or more points in each one has earned a 59-26 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2018. If it is a non-divisional matchup, these teams have produced a 49-20 ATS mark for 71% winning bets since 2018. If the total is between 220 and 234.5 points, these home teams have gone 26-12 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 2018.

Memphis vs New Orleans
8-Unit Bet on the Memphis Grizzlies plus the 5 points and is valid to 4 points.

Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, these road dogs have produced a 43-24-1 ATS for 64% winning bets. If our dog is priced between pick and 7.5 points the have earned a 12-4 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Bowling Green vs. Minnesota
2 PM EST, Tuesday December 26
Quick Lane Bowl, Ford Field, Detroit, MI
5-Unit Bet UNDER the posted total currently priced at 39.5 points and is valid down to 37.5 points.

Consider betting 50% preflop at that best price you can get and the look to add 25% at 42.5 points and 25% more at 44.5 points during the first half of action only. If you don’t get either LIVE bet booked it implies that the 50% preflop bet is doing well and that the LIVE total is probably below 39.5 points.

Betting the Under in a game where the a dog between 3 and 9 points has won 2 or more games than the foe has produced a 33-16-2 Under record in bowl games over the past 15 seasons. Also, if the total is 50 or fewer points the Under has gone 9-3 for 75% winning bets.

Now, there is still time to buy John Ryan’s Bowl Subscription and the [rice has been reduced to just $99.00 covering you through the remainder of the Bowl Season including the CFP Championship game. He has not lost a 10-UNIT MAX Bowl game in the past three seasons and is on a 72-30 ATS run for 69% winning bets with 10-UNIT Bets across all sports and over 4 years of action. He is also riding a remarkable 25-6 ATS run for 81% winning bets in the NFL since November 1.

Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers
10-Unit Best Bet on the OVER currently priced at 46.5 points and is valid up to 48 points.

Consider betting 7 units preflop and then look to add 1.5 units each at 45.5 and 42.5 points during the first half of action.

Let’s look at this incredibly profitable betting algorithm that supports the OVER Bet. Betting the Over in games where one of the teams is playing with extra rest and is priced as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points from Week 9 on out and is a matchup of teams with the same record and is above 0.500 has earned a 16-3 record for 84% winning bets over the past 30 seasons. Very rare, but still an extremely strong betting algorithm.

Here is a variation of that system has provided more betting opportunities and has gone 44-20-2 Over for 69% winning bets. The requirements are to bet the Over with a team with a winning record that is facing a foe with the same record and the total is 42.5 or more points and with the game occurring after Week 9.

From the predictive models we are expecting the 49ers and the Ravens to each score 21 or more points. In past home games with a total of 46 or more points since 1993, the 49ers have seen the Over go 18-3 for 86% winning bets when both teams have scored 21 or more points. In past road games since 1993, the Ravens have seen the Over go a perfect 14-0. Combined that is a 32-3 (91%) Over metric.

Boston Celtics vs. LA Lakers
8-Unit Best Bet on the Celtics -3 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

Betting on road favorites coming off a win by 20 or more points and is facing a host that has scored and allowed 107 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a highly profitable 36-7 SU (84%) and 30-13 ATS (70% winning bets overt the past 10 seasons.

We were on the Celtics as an 8-Unit blowout win over the Clippers defeating them 145-108 and covering the spread by 32.5 points. They are playing great team basketball and I see them rolling in this game as well.

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears
4:25 PM EST, Christmas Eve
8-Unit Best Bet on the Cardinals plus the points.

Did you know that dogs of 3.5 to 4.5 points in the final three weeks of the regular season are 40-41 SU and 58-23 ATS for 71.6% winning bets since 1990.  

Here is a first half line with a road team facing a host that is coming off a game in which they allowed fewer than 50 rushing yards and  is a solid ground attack team averaging 130 or more RYPG has earned a 35-11-1 ATS record good for 77% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. So, if you like the Cardinals as I obviously do, consider betting them with a pizza money bet if the Bears score the first TD of the game or retake the lead during the first half of action.

Dallas Cowboys vs Miami Dolphins

4:25 ET, Week 16 Christmas Eve

10-Unit bet on the Dolphins minus the 2 points.

Consider betting 80% of your bets size preflop and then look for Dallas to score the first TD of the game or retake the lead during the first half of action and then add the remaining 20% on the Dolphins.

Betting home teams coming off a double-digit win over a divisional foe and the current game is a non-conference matchup has earned a 52-15 SU record and 47-18-2 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets since 2009 or 15 seasons. If the game occurs from game number 10 on, these home teams have gone 20-5 SU and 18-6-1 ATS for 75% winning bets.

From the predictive models we are expecting the Dolphins to score 28 or more points and gain at least 8 yards per pass. In games over the past five seasons the Dolphins are 59-4 SU and 55-6-2 ASTS for 90% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. If the Dolphins have been at home they have gone 31-0 SU and 26-4-1 ATS for 87% winning bets.

The Cowboys have yet to defeat a winning record team on the road and have defeated just one team (Eagles) all season. They played horribly poor last week in Buffalo and were dominated on both sides of the ball. Moreover, they are averaging 40 PPG in home games and just 21 PPG on the road and is by far the widest differential of any team in the NFL this season.

The Cowboys scoring differential between home and away is the most since the 2014 Green Bay Packers posted a 17.1 PPG differential, the Ravens in 2004 and the 49ers in 1991 posted 16.4 PPG differentials. In 2014 the Packers won the NFC North Division and went on to defeat the  Cowboys 26-21 in the Divisional Round and then lost to the Seattle Seahawks 31-17 in the NFC Championship game. The Seahawks lost the Super Bowl on the last play of the game to the New England Patriots. The 1991 49ers and the 2004 Ravens failed to make the playoffs.

[DB] Elijah Campbell (Knee) - Questionable [12/21/2023] => Campbell was limited in practice on Friday heading into Week 16 versus the Cowboys.

[DE] Emmanuel Ogbah (Hamstring) - Questionable [12/17/2023] => Ogbah was limited in practice on Friday heading into Week 16 versus the Cowboys.

[OL] Austin Jackson (Oblique) - Questionable [12/17/2023] => Jackson was limited in practice on Friday heading into Week 16 versus the Cowboys.

[CB] Cam Smith (Hamstring) - Questionable [12/17/2023] => Smith was limited in practice on Friday heading into Week 16 versus the Cowboys.

[CB] Xavien Howard (Hip) - Questionable [12/13/2023] => Howard was limited in practice on Friday heading into Week 16 versus the Cowboys.

[WR] Tyreek Hill (Ankle) - Questionable [12/11/2023] => Hill was limited in practice on Friday heading into Week 16 versus the Cowboys.

From all my resources Hill is a game-time decision but has a 90% probability of playing in this critical game. Even if he does not start, the 10-Unit Bet is valid.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

8-Unit Bet on the Jaguars using the money line if the spread is -2 or fewer points.

Betting on teams priced between the 3’s  that have failed to cover the spread in three or more games and facing a foe that is on a two or more-game ATS win streak has earned a highly profitable 28-13-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets and also has gone 29-14 SU for 67.4% winning bets. If our team is on the road these records improve to 14-4 SU and 13-3-2 ATS for 81% winning bets.

Northwestern vs. Utah
68 Ventures Bowl, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
7:30 PM EST, Saturday December 23, 2023
8-Unit bet on Northwestern plus the 6 points and is valid down to 4 points.

Teams that became bowl eligible coming off a season in which they won three of fewer games and playing a foe that won four or more games in their previous season has earned an outstanding 34-19 SU record and 38-12-3 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team is a member of the Power 5 conferences (PAC-12, ACC, SEC, Big Ten, Big-12) they have gone a highly profitable 18-3 ATS for 86% winning bets. Northwestern is a member of the Big Ten and certainly outperformed everyone’s expectations this season given they were priced with a 2.5 wins total before the season started.

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh

8-Unit Bet on the Steelers plus the points currently priced as 2.5-point home underdogs and is valid if they remain the underdog.

This will end up being a contrarian bet as the Steelers have lost four of their last five games and three straight. They have scored just 67 points over their past five games ranking fifth least in the NFL. The Bengals rank 8th most scoring 125 points over their last five games but are prone to regression in this divisional matchup. Tomlin has made some questionable head scratching calls, but no one can take away his ability to prepare his team on the defensive end in a must win game.

Betting on teams priced between the 3’s that have lost three consecutive games to the spread and facing a foe that has covered their last two games ATS has produced a 33-16 SU record for 67.3% winners and 32-14-3 ATS for 70% winning bets, including a 31-18 UNDER mark for 63% winning bets spanning the past 10 seasons. If the foe has covered the spread in three consecutive games, then our home team has gone 17-10 SU for 63% and 18-9 ATS for 67% winning bets including a 16-10-1 Under mark for 62% winning best over the past 10 seasons. If a divisional matchup our home team has gone 16-6 SU and 15-4-3 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Here is a money line system that has produced an 86-37 record for 68% since 1990. The requirements are to be on home team that is facing a divisional foe that they defeated in the previous same season meeting and with that foe coming off a game in which both teams scored 24 or more points and with the game occurring in the last three weeks of the regular season. If our home team has a 0.500 or better record, they soar to greater heights posting a 68-25 record for 73% winning bets since 1990 and 10-4 over the past three seasons (71.4%).

Also, if our home team has struggled offensively scoring 70 or fewer points over their past five games, has a 0.500 record or better and facing a divisional foe from Week 14 on out, have gone 17-13 SU, 19-7-4 ATS for 73% winning bets since 1990.

Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers
8-Unit Best Bet on the Celtics minus the 2.5 points and is valid up to -4 points.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off a win by 20 or more points that are facing a host that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 104-30 SU record for 78% wis and 84-47-3 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2015. If the foe scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, our road favorite has gone 54-12 SU and 44-12-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2015.

NEW MEXICO ST (5 - 8) at TULSA (7 - 3)

Friday, 12/22/2023 8:00 PM

8-UNIT Best Bet on Tulsa minus the seven points and is valid up to 8.5 points.

Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off B2B home wins and that are a member of a major D-1 conference and facing a team from a mid-major conference has gone 75-38-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1996.  

Brooklyn vs Denver
8-Unit bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid if they remain the dog.

Nets are 19-8 ATS when revenging a road loss in games played over the past two seasons. From the predictive model, the Nets are 62-13 SU and 52-22 ATS (70%) at home when making at least 37% of their 3-point shots and scoring at least 110 points in games played over the past five seasons.

Detroit vs Philadelphia

8-Unit bet UNDER 6 goals and is valid at 6 or more goals.

The Flyers are playing on back-to-back night coming off a home loss to Nashville and then traveling on top of it. However, any fatigue is baked into the betting line. Betting the Under with a team. Detroit, that is revenging a loss to the current foe priced as a favorite, has won 40 to 49% of their games and playing a winning record team gas gone 92-46 for 65% winning bets and has made 36 units per unit bet over the past 20 seasons. 

UCF vs. Georgia Tech
Gasparilla Bowl - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL

8-Unit Under the posted total of 67 points and is valid to 65.5 points.

This total is more likely to climb higher in the last hours of trade ahead of kickoff.

Betting the Under in a game involving two struggling defenses that are allowing 390 to 440 YPG in a non-conference matchup has earned a solid 40-13-1 Under record good for 75.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This system has gone 11-2 Under for 85% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.

Consider betting 75% of your betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% at 74.5 points during the first half of action only.

The Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl
Thursday, December 21, 2023
8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 56.5 points and is valid down to 55.5 points.

The South Florida Bulls will square off against the Syracuse Orange in Boca Raton, Florida and is scheduled to start at 8:00 EST and will be televised by ESPN. The game will be played on the Florida Atlantic home stadium and will give provide a modest home field advantage for the Bulls. What does matter is that both teams are 6-6 SU and with win can claim a winning season record for their recruiting efforts.

The Bulls yielded the most passing yards per game (301) in the nation this year, but Syracuse will be starting redshirt freshman Braden Davis, who threw one pass this season. He attended South Carolina as a freshman and made the transfer last season. He is 6-5 and 200 pounds and does have a strong arm, but will be throw accurate passes for 60 minutes is an unknown.

He was the Gatorade Delaware Player of the Year and led the Middletown, DE Cavaliers to an 11-1 record and the state championship as a senior. He was selected for the Under Armour All-America game. He completed 114-of-156 passes for 1,872 yards and 20 touchdowns through nine games and rushed for 638 yards and three scores on 46 carries. One of six members of the prestigious Franklin D. Watkins Memorial Award Class of 2022 and ranked as the top player in the state of Delaware, the 23rd-best quarterback prospect in the nation. 

His running ability is a threat in this matchup and look for Syracuse to execute RPO and the wild cat far more than they did during the regular season. It may be his only start knowing that Ohio State starting QB McCord transferred to the Orange in recent weeks.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 49-24 Under record good for 67% winning bets. Bet the Under in games with a total between 57.5 and 70 points.

One of the teams is coming off a SU + ATS win.

The game occurs in December and includes all Bowls.

If that team is priced between the 3’s

12-11 SU (52%) | 12-11 ATS (52%) | 18-5 Under (78%)

Bet the Under!

Clippers vs Thunder
8-Unit Bet on the Thunder -4.5 points and is valid up to and including 5.5 points.

Betting on winning record home teams that are facing a winning record foe that has covered their last three games priced as favorites has earned an 82-53 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2015. If that foe is playing on back-to-back nights, our home teams has gone 18-6 ATS for 75% and 18-6 SU.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
8-Unit bet on the Vegas Golden Knights

7 ET
8-Unit bet on the Golden Knights using the money line currently priced as -110 favorites and is valid bet up to and including -130.

Betting on road favorites up to -150 on the money line that have seen the OVER win the money in six or more consecutive games has earned a solid 33-14 record for 70% winning bets over the past 17 seasons averaging a a -126 wager and earning a 33% ROI.

Vegas has seen the Over cash in 7 straight games. If that host referenced above scored 6 or more goals in their previous game our road favorite has produced a 5-1 SU record and earning a 47% ROI.

UNC-Ashville vs. Appalachian State
7:00 ET, Thursday
8-Unit Bet on UNC-Ashville (ASH) plus the 10.5 points and is valid down to 8.5 points.

Betting on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points that is facing a team that has won 80% or more of their games on the season and has covered the spread in five or six of their last seven games has earned a highly profitable 86-43 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons.

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks if they remain the underdog and includes pick-em. Consider using the money line if they are priced at +1.5 or fewer.

Betting on home underdogs of not more than four points and including pick-em that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG and taking on an opponent that has seen their last three games each have more than 220 points scored has earned a 28-16 SU record and 30-13-1 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 2018. If the game has a total between 220 and 239.5 points, our home dogs have gone an impressive 24-9 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Liberty vs. Utah Valley State
8-Unit Best Bet on UVS plus the 5.5 points and is valid if the remain the underdog.

Betting on any team that is facing a foe that made 13 or more 3-point shots in their previous game and is a matchup where both teams make 65 to 69.9% of their free throws has earned an 84-40-ATS record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game has a total between 125 and 140 points, our teams have gone 50-47 SU and 64-33 ATS for 66% winning bets. If our team is playing at home, they soar to a highly profitable 26-13 SU and 27-12 ATS record for 7-% winning bets.

Minnesota vs Philadelphia
8-Unit bet on the 76ers minus the points and is valid up to 5.5 points.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 favorite and underdog that are outscoring their foes by at least 6 PPG and is facing an opponent that has seen each of their last three games score a combined 220 or more points has gone 56-28 SU and 56-26 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 6 seasons of action. If the game is a non-divisional matchup then our team soar to 44-18 SU and 45-16-1 ATS for 74% winning bets. If the total is between 220 and 229.5 points, our team has gone 18-6 SUATS for 75% winning bets.

UCONN v Seton Hall
8-Unit Bet on Seton Hall plus the points currently priced as 8.5-point underdogs and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Here are a few situational angles supporting the bet on Seton Hall in this Big East matchup tonight. SH head coach Holloway is 20-7-1 ATS when facing teams that are out rebounding their opponents by 4 or more boards per game; 44-26-2 ATS when priced as the underdog for his career.

Betting on underdogs using the money line that are facing a foe that shot 50% or higher in each of their last three games and is shooting 47.5% or between for the season and is now facing a defense allowing between 40 and 42% shooting has gone 66-62 SU averaging a +165 money line wager for a 31% ROI.

Bet on the Hall for an 8-Unit betting amount getting the points and sprinkle another unit on the money line.

UTSA vs Marshall
Frisco Bowl
9 ET December 19
8-Unit bet on Marshall plus 7.5 points and is valid bet if they remain the dog

UTSA is coming off a 29-16 loss as a 3.5-point underdog to Tulane in their previous game. Marshall is coming off a 35-21 win as 1-point underdog over Arkansas State in their season finale and that momentum will carry over to this bowl game. Marshall has seen 11 players enter the transfer portal with their sophomore quarterback Cam Fancher entering the portal December 11. However, Marshall is quite deep in the quarterback position.

Marshall faces a quarterback conundrum with a major transfer triggering a rise in the betting lines to a double-digit spread. However, there is not going to be a significant drop-off if this opens the door for Cole Pennington, son of former NFL QB Chad Pennington, to step in under center. In fact, I see no change to a potential better offense with Pennington calling the signals.  He completed 49-of-79 passes for 437 yards including 6 TD and 3 interceptions in three games, including starts against Georgia Southern and South Alabama. So, his potential is quite high, and he already has proven he can run an efficient offense.

From the predictive model we are looking for Marshall to score 24 or more points and gain at least 5 yards per play has seen them produce a 56-12 record and a 42-25-1 ATS record over the last 10 seasons. If they were an underdog in these games, they have gone 6-4 SU and 8-2 ATS.

Cornell vs Siena
8-Unit on Cornell minus the 13 points

Cornell is 17-5 ATS when facing a team that is averaging 57.5 or fewer PPG. Siena is 1-8 ATS following a blowout loss of 20 or more points; 4-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 of their last seven games.

From the predictive model we learn that Siena is 0-8 ATS when allowing 80 or more points in games played over the past three seasons.

Eastern Washington vs Cal Poly SLO
8-Unit bets bet on Cal Poly priced as a 6.5-point home dog and is valid down to 5 points.

Betting on team that is allowing between 45 and 47.5% shooting and is facing a foe that is shooting 47.5% or better form the field and is coming off a game in which they shot 60% or better from the field has earned a solid money-making 40-18 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Philadelphia vs Seattle

8-Unit best bet Under the total currently priced at 45 points.

I recommend getting 50% to 75% of your bet amount done before 6:00 ET given the uncertainty surrounding whether Hurts can start or not. If he cannot, then the betting line will push closer towards a pickem and the total will move lower. If hurts does play, the total may move marginally higher ahead of the kickoff.

So, look for both teams to get out to faster than expected starts and consider adding the remaining betting amount on the Under at 49.5 or more points during the first half of action.

Betting on the Under in a game with a total between 42.5 and 49 points in the month of December (final five weeks of the season) with one of the teams (Eagles) having lost to the spread by 21 or more points over their last three games has produced a 82-41 record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team is coming off two straight losses, the Under has gone 60-25 for 71% winning bets and if our team has a winning record, the Under is 9-2 over the past 10 seasons.

Timberwolves vs Heat
10-Unit Bet on the Heat currently priced as 1.5-point home underdogs and is valid down to -1.5-point favorite.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point favorite to 3.5-point underdog that is facing a foe, who is outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG and who has played three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored in each game has produced a 59-23 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. If the total in these games has been 220 or fewer points, our teams have gone a highly profitable 14-2 ATS for 88% winning bets over the past six seasons.

Minnesota vs Pittsburgh
8-Unit best bet Over 6 goals and is still good at 6.5 goals.

Betting on the Over in game posting as total of 6 or more goals that has the home team coming off a loss by 2 or more goals and facing a foe that is coming off a game in which four or fewer goals had been scored has produced a 120-68 record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game is occurring from the 25th game on to the end of the regular season, the Over has gone 79-34-8 for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Dallas vs Buffalo

8-Unit Bet on the Bills minus the 2-points.

Currently, 58% of the tickets but just 35% of the handle is on the Cowboys. The recency bias is a big factor in this game as the Cowboys are two solid back-to-back wins while the Bills held off a furious rally and strange officiating to get the ‘must win’ they needed. It remains a desperate now or never game for the Bills given that two 7-6 teams won Saturday in the Bengals and the Colts. They come in to the week ranked 11tnh in the playoff standings and after yesterday’s results are in the 9th position. With a win, they may remain in the 9th position, but with a loss, they would drop two positions to 11th. There is a myriad of playoff scenarios today, but if there are a few upsets, and the Bills win, they could be one of six AFC teams with 8-6 records with just three weeks remaining.

The Cowboys are a different team on the road going 3-3 SU and ATS, but are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in home games. The Cowboys are the most prolific offense averaging 40 PPG at home, but are 9th in the NFL scoring an average of 23 PPG on the road. The Cowboys’ scoring differential between home and away games is 16.2 PPG and is the widest in the NFL by 5 PPG to the second-widest differential of the Titans. Moreover, the Cowboys average 3 dropped passes per game on the road, which is the worst in the NFL. The Cowboys defense in road games ranks fifth worst seeing only 1.17 opponents drops.

From Week 14 on out teams that have a winning record but three or more less wins than their foe have gone 34-17 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If it is a non-conference matchup, their record soars to 11-3 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2004.

The predictive model projects that the Bills will score 26 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers than the Cowboys. In past home games since 2019 in which the Bills have scored 26 or more points and have had the same or fewer turnovers has led to an excellent 25-1 SU and 18-8 ATS record for 69% winning bets.

Commanders vs Rams
8-Unit Best bet on the Commanders plus the 6.5 points and is good down to 5.5 points. 5-Unit Bet on the Under currently at 50.5 points.

Betting on road underdogs that are facing a losing record team that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games has earned a 50-57 SU record and 66037-4 ATS for 64% winning bets dating back to 1990 and is 14-6 ATS for 70% winners over the past 10 seasons.

As for the Under bet the Commanders are the worst defensive team in the league, but they do matchup well against this Rams offense. They rank 32nd in scoring defense, yards allowed per game, and points allowed per play. The Rams offense rank 30th with a 59% completion percentage and matchup against the Commanders, who rank 13th allowing 64% completions.

Betting the Under with a favorite of 6.5 to 9.5 points from Week 5 on out and is facing an opponent that has seen the total play over by 30 or more points spanning their last five games has earned a highly profitable 23-87 record good for 74% winning bets since 2017.

Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns

8-Unit Best Bet on the Browns mins the 3-points and is good to 4.5 points.

 Betting on all teams priced between the 3’s and now facing a foe that has allowed 14 or fewer points in each of their past two games has earned a solid 63-29-5 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the foe (Bears) had five or fewer dropped passes in their previous game, our team has then gone on to a 36-13-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the pat 10 seasons.

California vs Texas Tech

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently at 57.5 points and is valid down to 56.5 points.

Betting the Under in a game with a total between 56.5 and 63 points and in a game involving a pair of defenses that allow between 5.6 and 6.5 yards per pass play have earned a 62-21-2 record for 71% winners over the past 30 seasons.

Steelers vs Colts
10-Unit Bet on the Over currently priced at 42.5 points and is valid up to 44.5 points.

Betting on the OVER in a matchup of teams with identical record and are at .500 or better, the total is 42.5 or more points and one of the teams has had more than 7 days of rest since their last game has earned a 44-20-2 Over record good for 69% winning bets. If the game takes place from Week 12 on out, the Over has produced a 32-13-1 record for 71% winning bets.

Florida vs, Vancouver

8-Unit Best Bet on the Panthers using the money line

Betting on a favorite that is revenging a home loss by 2 or more goals and both teams have win percentages between 55 and 70% on the season has gone 54-32 averaging a -125 wager and earning a 22% ROI. Bet on the Panthers using the money line.

LA Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders
Thursday Night on Prime
10-UNIT BET on the Over 34.5 points and is valid up to and including 35.5 points.

Consider betting 8-Units preflop and the look to add the remaining 2-units at 31.5 points during the first half of action.

Betting the Over with a team that has lost three of their last four games (Raiders) and is a matchup of teams that have won 25 to 40% of their games on the season has produced a highly profitable 86-47-2 for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the team is at home and priced between the 3’s the Over has gone 28-12 for 70% winning bets.

Every season over the past 10 seasons has made profits making this an extraordinary betting algorithm you want to keep and track forever.

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat
8-Unit best Bet on the Under currently priced at 217.5 points.

Consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to add the remaining 1.5 units at 224.5 points during the first half of action.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has earned a 143-90 record good for 61% winning bets. If our team has won 40% or fewer of their games, the Under has gone 32-12-2 for 73% winners.

Jacksonville State vs Wisconsin
8-Unit Best Bet on JS plus the 19 points and is valid to 17.5 points.

Betting on road underdogs between 10 and 20 points that has a losing record on the season and facing a host that has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season and that saw their previous game play Over the total by 24 or more points has earned a money-making 235-152 record good for 61% winning bets.

Wisconsin is 0-7 ATS when facing a team with a losing record in games played over the past seven seasons. JS is 9-2 ATS when playing a below average defense allowing 45% or higher shooting spanning the past two seasons.

Hornets vs Heat
8-Unit Best bet on the Under currently at 222.5 points and is valid to 221.5 points.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has produced a 142-90-9 record good for 62% winning bets since 2017. If our team has a losing record, the Under has gone 52-22-4 for 70% winning bets since 2015.

Let’s bet the Under. Consider betting 6.5 Units preflop and the look to get the Under at 227.5 points during the first half of action only.

North Alabama vs Charleston Southern
8-Unit Bet on CSU +5.5 points and consider a sprinkle on the money line. Also, consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to get 1.5 more units at +9.5 points during the first half of action only.

Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that has seen their last five games play Over the total by 33 or more points in total and is a matchup modestly losing record teams with win percentages between 40 and 50% on the season has earned a 64-48-5 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets and if our dog has an assists to turnover ratio of at least 1.1 they improve to a 15-8 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Marshall vs Toledo
8-Unit Bet on Marshall plus the 8.5 points. Consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to get 1.5 units on Marshall at 12.5 points during the first half of action.

Marshall is 18-7 ATS when playing their second game in the past seven days. Marshall head coach D’Antoni is 19-7 ATS when facing a team with a poor defense allowing 787 or more points per game and 45-27-1 ATS when facing a solid offensive team scoring 77 or more points per game. Toledo is scoring 80 points per game and allowing 77.

LA Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit Best bet on the Dallas Mavericks +4.5 points and is good if they remain the dog.

Betting on winning record road teams that are facing a winning record guest that has covered the spread in the last three games in which they were priced as the favorite has earned a 79-50 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2015. If the game takes place in the first half of the season our dogs have gone 37-17 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2019.

Let’s bet the Mavericks. Consider betting 6.5 Units preflop and the look to get the Mavericks at +9.5 points during the first half of action only.

New Orleans vs San Francisco
8-Unit Best Bet on New Orleans plus 20 or more points

Betting on losing record road underdogs of 20 or more points and facing a host that has covered the spread in 6 or7 of their last eight games and has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season has earned a 53-21 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and is 18-9 ATS for 67% winners since 2014.

Green Bay Packers vs NY Giants

10-Unit Bet on the Giants plus the 6-points.

Consider betting this game by placing a 7.5-unit amount preflop at +6 and then look in game and bet the remaining 2.5 units if the Packers score a TD first or score a TD to go up 10-0 or if they retake the lead at any point during the first half of action only.

Betting on teams that are facing a foe that has won their last three games priced as a dog has produced a highly profitable 26-20 SU (57%) and 28-18 ATS for 61% winning bets since 1990. If our team is playing at home they improve modestly to 16-8 SU and 15-9 ATS for 63% including a 17-6-1 Under mark for 74% winning bets. If our team is the dog or priced at pick-em they have gone to produce a highly profitable 13-11 SU mark and 18-6 ATS for 75% winning bets. If the game takes place from Week 9 on out, they soar to an incredible 8-7 SU and 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets.

Betting on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are slow starting ones being outscored by 5 or more PPG in the first half of action and after scoring 14 or fewer points in their previous game has earned a highly profitable 24-33 SU and 40-15-2 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks
8-Unit Best Bet on the Bulls if they are a double-digit underdog

Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record has earned a 28-99 SU mark and 77-48-2 ATS for 62%. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 71-39-2 ATS for 65% winning bets.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets
8-Unit bet on the Heat minus the four points and is good up to 5.5 points.

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 or more points coming off two straight games in which they allowed 100 or more points in each game and now facing a foe that is coming off a narrow by three or fewer points has earned a 102-34 SU record and 81-52-3 ATS for 61% winning bets. If the total is 225 or fewer points, this algorithm has gone 85-25 SU and 71-37-2 ATS for 65.7% winning bets.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys
8-Unit bet on the Eagles plus the 3.5 points and is valid to 2.5 points.

Betting on road teams priced between 3- and 7-point underdogs that have two or fewer losses that defeated a divisional foe, who has three or more losses in the previous meeting have gone 17-13 SU and 20-10 ATS for 67% winning bets.

Eagles are 7-0 ATS when on the road and following a game in which they allowed 30 or more points; 31-14-1 ATS following two straight games in which 50 or more points were scored. Cowboys are 16-38-2 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.  

Eagles have played a much more difficult schedule to date than the Cowboys, who have yet defeat a team with a winning record. From my predictive models, we are expecting the Eagles to score 27 or more points and have an edge in time of possession. In past games when meeting these projections and also facing a divisional foe has seen them go 54-2 SU and 48-6-2 and since 2017 they have gone 12-0 SU as a dog.
Let’s bet the Eagles plus the points and should the Cowboys score a TD first in this game or get to 10-0 or 10-3 lead during the first half, then the money line for pizza money sized bet is a great opportunity.

Bills vs. Chiefs
4:25 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on the Bills at pick-em or a dog price.  If they do move to a favorite bet 50% of your bet size on the Bills, then look for any underdog price of 3.5 or more points for the Bills during the first half of action.

Buffalo is off the BYE and the Chiefs have not been playing well of late. Over a three stretch that began 5 games ago, they did not score a single point in the second half. Buffalo is healthier than they have been since the start of the season and are in desperation mode at 6-6 and truly playing with their season on the line.

The following betting algorithm has done quite well.

·      Bet on road teams facing a conference foe.

·      The road team has failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last four games.

·      The game occurs in December.

·       

51-47 SU  (52%)| 67-30-1 ATS (69%) last 10 seasons. If our dog is priced between pick and 7.5 points has seen our road team go 31-12 ATS (72%) and supports a bet on the Bills

Bills are 11-2-1 ATS in roads games following a game in which both teams scored 24 or more points; 22-7-1 ATS after allowing 35 or more points. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Bills to score 28 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. When they have met these performance measures in road games they have gone 49-5 SU and ATS and 15-4 SUATS for 79% over the past 10 seasons.

Lions vs. Bears

8-Unit Bet on the Bears plus the 3.5 points and is a valid bet if they remain the underdog.

Betting against favorites of not more than 4.5 points that are playing in week 14 and later and are coming off a road win and have a winning record on the season have gone 14-21 SU and 11-22-2 for 33% winning bets since 1989. If that false favorite defeated a divisional foe in a previous meeting, they underperform even more going 5-10 SU and 3-11-1 ATS for a miserable 21% winning bets. This all supports a best bet opportunity on the Chicago Bears.

Colts vs. Bengals
1:00 ET
8-Unit Best Bet on the Colts plus 2.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on teams coming off an ATS win in which they won the game outright by a single score , completed 30 or more passes in that win and now find themselves priced as a home favorite have gone 24-30 SU and 20-34 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 30 seasons.  If the total is 44 or more points in these games, our road warrior has gone 22-14 SU and 26-10 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past 30 seasons.

Rams vs. Ravens
1:00 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the Rams plus the 7.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points and sprinkle the money line if the Ravens score a TD first in this game.

Betting on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that have allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in each of their last three games have gone 16-19 SU and 29-6 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018. If the total in these games is 40 or more points, these road dogs have gone 13-18 SU and 25-6 ATS for 81% winning bets since 2018.

Pacers vs LA Lakers

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Under in a game with a total of 230 or more points coming off two consecutive home wins and facing a foe coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points has earned a solid 28-11-2 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019.

Lakers are 35-55 ATS following an ATS win over the past three seasons. They are 5-16 ATS after covering the spread in four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons.

Pacific vs Fresno State
7 ET
8-Unit best bet on Pacific plus the 14 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog. 

Bet on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are outscored by eight or more PPG and have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last two games has earned a 155-96-2 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Milwaukee vs Cal Davis
5:00 EST
8-Unit best bet on Milwaukee plus 9.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Bet on dogs that have lose to the spread by a total of 42 or more points over their last five games  and now facing an opponent that has seen their last five games play Under the total by 55 or more points has earned a 41-24-2 ATS mark for 63% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and if the total in these games have been 145 or more points, these dogs have soared to a 14-4 ATS record good for 78% winning bets.

Towson State vs UMBC
1:00 EST
8-Unit best bet on UMBC plus the points and is a valid bet if they remain the underdog.

Bet on dogs that have lose to the spread by a total of 42 or more points over their last five games  and now facing an opponent that has seen their last five games play Under the total by 55 or more points has earned a 41-24-2 ATS mark for 63% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and if the total in these games have been 145 or more points, these dogs have soared to a 14-4 ATS record good for 78% winning bets.

Hurricanes vs Flames

9:07 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Hurricanes using the money line if it is cheaper than -150

Betting on road favorites between -125 and -150 following a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals and are a slow starting team getting outscored in the first period by 0.2 or more goals in the first period of action in matches played since 2015 has earned as solid 37-16 record for 70% winning bets and averaging a -134 wager over the past 10 seasons.

Calgary is 14-27 losing 28 units when facing a non-conference foe in matches played over the past two seasons.

New Orleans vs LA Lakers

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Under in a game with a total of 230 or more points coming off two consecutive home wins and facing a foe coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points has earned a solid 28-11-2 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019.