At 9:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UCLA Bruins (875) and the Kentucky Wildcats (876). UCLA (31-4) held the Cincinnati Bearcats to just 44.8% shooting to advance to the Sweet 16 with their 79-67 victory as a 4-point favorite. The Bruins have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The defensive struggles of this team is a tired meme that continues to offer us great value with the Under for Steve Alford’s team. This UCLA defense has improved since Alford installed a tricky 3-2 zone that presents opponents a challenging unique look. Save for their two games against Arizona and what the Bearcats shot against UCLA was their worst defensive performance in ten previous contests. The Bruins have seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against teams outside the Pac-12. And in their last 7 games played on a neutral court, UCLA has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

Kentucky (31-5) held Wichita State to just 38.7% shooting to advance to the Sweet 16 with their 65-62 victory on Sunday. The Wildcats have then played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total following a straight-up win. And with that game falling well below the 148.5 point total, Kentucky has now played 4 straight games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the SEC, Kentucky has played all 4 of these games Under the Total. These two teams played a fast-paced scoring fest back on December 3rd which UCLA won by a 97-92 score. John Calipari had his team playing at a blistering pace early on the season — that game had 83 respective possessions. Over their last eight games, the Wildcats have played a game with more than 72 possessions just once in a 74-possession game against Northern Kentucky. Calipari no longer wants to run with teams — he is happy to slow things down and lean heavily on his team that plays outstanding defense. The Wildcats rank 8th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. 25* CBB Sweet 16 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the the UCLA Bruins (875) and the Kentucky Wildcats (876). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:39 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (876) plus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (875). Kentucky (31-5) has won thirteen straight games with their 65-62 win over Wichita State last weekend. Interior defense has been a vulnerability of this team all season — so the fact that the Wildcats held the Shockers to just a 38.7% shooting mark including a low 42% mark inside the arc is very encouraging for John Calipari’s team. Calipari’s teams always improve to peak during March Madness — and he wants his teams to constantly get better on the defensive end of the court. This team also has the benefit of reviewing the game tape of their 97-92 loss to UCLA back on December 3rd in Rupp Arena. Calipari had his team playing at a much quicker pace back then — expect a game plan now that does not attempt to simply outscore the Bruins. This Kentucky team has three future NBA first round draft choices on the roster with Bam Adebayo, Malik Monk and De’Aron Fox. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 NCAA Tourney games as an underdog. Kentucky is also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog on a neutral court. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Wildcats are 3-0-1 ATS.

UCLA (31-4) enters this game coming off their 79-67 win over Cincinnati on Sunday as a 4-point favorite. The Bruins have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Led by Lonzo Ball, this UCLA team is popular with the bettors right now which helps explain why they are small favorites. But the supporting cast for Ball is not just not as talented as the team they will be competing against tonight. The Bruins are offensive-oriented by ranking 2nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but it is not like Kentucky are weak on that end of the court. The Wildcats rank 12th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they thrive on getting easy baskets after leading the SEC by making 52.7% of their shots inside the arc. But defense remains the issue for this UCLA team despite their improvement this season. The Bruins rank 79th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they allow their opponents to make 36.3% of their 3-pointers which is 256th in the nation. Kentucky ranks 7th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while also ranking 12th in the nation by limiting their opponents to making just 30.5% of their 3-pointers. This UCLA team rarely misses many of their shots — but when they do, they lack a Plan B. The Bruins were 6th in the Pac-12 by rebounding only 29.9% of their missed shots and they are 315th in the nation by forcing turnovers in just 16.0% of their opponent’s possessions. UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games laying less than 7 points. And in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Bruins have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests. 25* CBB Sweet 16 Underdog of the Year with the Kentucky Wildcats (876) plus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (875). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Arizona Wildcats (818) minus the points versus the Xavier Musketeers (817). Xavier (23-13) reached the Sweet 16 with a dominant 91-66 win over Florida State as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday. That was the Musketeers’ best offensive performance in their last twenty-one games. This has been an improbable run for Chris Mack’s team who lost his point guard to a season-ending injury early in the Big East campaign which helped lead to a difficult six-game losing streak that almost cost this team an At-Large bid to the NCAA Tournament. So this is a very nice accomplishment. But here comes the “but.” This team looks very ripe for a significant letdown now after the euphoria of shocking the Seminoles and making the Sweet 16. The Musketeers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after playing a game as an underdog. This is a team that can struggle to score — they were just 7th in the Big East by making just 33.0% of their 3-point shots. Xavier does consistently thrive by crashing the glass on both ends of the court — but Mack’s teams struggle against elite teams that can match his team on the boards. The Wildcats out-rebound their opponents by +6.7 RPG — and the Musketeers have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games against opponents who out-rebound their foes by at least +6.0 RPG. Additionally, Xavier has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 80%.

Arizona (32-4) survived but did not play great in their 69-60 win over Saint Mary’s on Sunday. But they showed off their offensive balance by seeing four players score at least double-digits — and it is this diversity of scoring options that should challenge the Musketeers’ tough defense. The Wildcats have suffered two slow starts so far in this tournament after trailing by double-digits to the Gaels in the first half and not being able to increase a single digit lead in the first half against North Dakota. Don’t be surprised if this Arizona team races out to a big deal in this game which will help them change the tempo of this contest. If the Wildcats can increase the pace of the game by taking advantage of transition points, a blowout becomes very possible. But they should still be able to cover the point spread in this game due to their outstanding defense. Arizona held an efficient Saint Mary’s team to scoring just 0.97 Points-Per-Possession. They only allowed the Gaels to make one of their ten contested shots from behind the arc. The Wildcats are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games in the NCAA Tournament under head coach Sean Miller against as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, Arizona has covered the point spread 5 times. 25* College Basketball Game of the Year with the Arizona Wildcats (818) minus the points versus the Xavier Musketeers (817). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Texas-Arlington Mavericks (770) minus the points versus the California State-Bakersfield Roadrunners (769). Cal-State Bakersfield (24-9) pulled their second straight upset in the NIT with their 81-63 win at Colorado State on Monday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Roadrunners shot 48.3% from the field against the Rams which was their best offensive effort — by far — in their last six games with their next best shooting effort being just a 41.8% shooting mark. This is a team that has shot just 37.0% from the field over their last five games. To make matters worse for this team, they do not make up for things on the free throw line as they rank 346th in the nation by making only 63.1% of their free throws. CS-Bakersfield does put their opponent’s on the line though given their rough 47.2% opponent’s Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio which is 340th in the nation. The Roadrunners also turn the ball over too much as they rank 309th in the nation by turning the ball over in 20.6% of their possessions. The Mavericks do pressure the basketball as they ranked 2nd in the Sun Belt by forcing turnovers in 20.2% of their opponent’s possessions. These are all dangerous signs forced to play their third straight game on the road in this tournament.

UT-Arlington (27-8) has won three of their last four games with their 85-69 win over Akron on Monday as a 5-point favorite. This Mavericks team is one of the best mid-majors in the nation as they returned all five starters from last year plus got back their best player from that team in Kevin Hervey who suffered a season-ending ACL injury last year. This team will be motivated to make a run in Madison Square Garden to win this tournament. They host this game where they were a perfect 14-0 this season with an average winning margin of +18.2 PPG due to strong 50.4% shooting along with stout defense that held their opponents to just 39.1% shooting. The Mavericks are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, UT-Arlington has covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games against teams outside the Sun Belt. And in their last 11 games with the Total set in the 140-149.5 point range, the Mavericks have covered the point spread in 9 of these games. 25* CBB NIT Quarterfinals Game of the Year with the Texas-Arlington Mavericks (770) minus the points versus the California State-Bakersfield Roadrunners (769). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (767) and the Central Florida Knights (768). Illinois (20-14) advanced to the Quarterfinals of the NIT with their 71-56 win over Boise State on Monday as an 8-point favorite. The Fighting Illini have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread win. This team has also played 8 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win on their home court. Now the Illini go on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Fighting Illini are the favorites in this game. Illinois has also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as the favorite when laying less than 7 points.

Central Florida (23-11) enters this game coming off their 63-62 upset win at Illinois State as a 5.5-point underdog on Monday. The Knights have then played 4 of their last 5 games after both s straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Central Florida now returns home to host this game — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on their home court. The Knights have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, UCF has played all 7 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB NIT Quarterfinals Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (767) and the Central Florida Knights (768). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Minnesota Timberwolves (662) plus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs (661). Minnesota (28-41) looks to snap a three-game losing streak tonight after their 123-109 loss in New Orleans on Sunday. The Timberwolves have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 20 home games after a loss. Minnesota returns home after playing their last three on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court. The T-Wolves have also covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Minnesota will need to play better on the defensive end of the court after surrendering 117 points along with 123 points twice in this road trip. The T-Wolves allow their visitors to score 103.2 PPG on their home court. And while Minnesota has allowed their last three opponents to shoot at least 54.4% from the field, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after allowing each of their last three opponents to shoot at least 47% from the field. This Timberwolves team has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games against Western Conference opponents. Furthermore, not only has this Minnesota team covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games against teams with a winning record but they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games in the second-half of the season against teams with a winning percentage over 70% in the second-half of the season.

San Antonio (53-16) enters this game coming off their 118-102 win over Sacramento on Sunday. The Spurs have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up victory. San Antonio has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Spurs have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 9 games against teams from the Western Conference, San Antonio has failed to cover the point spread 7 times. 25* NBA Southwest Division Underdog of the Year with the Minnesota Timberwolves (662) plus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs (661). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (629) and the Illinois-Chicago Flames (630). George Washington (20-14) won their opening game in the College Basketball Invitational with their 73-69 win over Toledo last Wednesday as a 6-point favorite. The Colonials have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. George Washington has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Colonials go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 Over the Total. GW has also played 4 straight games on the road Over the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points.

Illinois-Chicago (16-18) has won two of their last three games with their opening round win over Stony Brook as a 2.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Flames have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Illinois-Chicago has also played 6 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Illinois-Chicago has also played 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 38-10 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB College Basketball Invitational Quarterfinals Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Over the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (629) and the Illinois-Chicago Flames (630). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Atlanta Hawks (603) plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (604). Atlanta (37-32) has lost three straight games after their 113-097 loss to Portland on Saturday as a 2-point favorite. The Hawks fell behind by 23 points in the first ten minutes of that game in a very flat performance — expect a much better start from this team that is preparing for the playoffs. Atlanta has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Hawks have also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games on the road after suffering an upset loss. This team will be have rally together with both Paul Millsap and Kent Bazemore both on the shelf with injuries. But this remains a team that has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Charlotte (604) snapped their three-game losing streak with their 98-93 win over Washington as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Hornets have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread victory. This team is also undermanned with big man Miles Plumlee out with a calf injury. Charlotte has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games on their home court. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Hornets have failed to cover the point spread 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-25-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year with the Atlanta Hawks (603) plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (604). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (731) and the UCLA Bruins (732). UCLA (30-4) enters this game coming off a hot shooting night where they nailed 62.7% from the field in their 97-80 victory over Kent State. The Bruins have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. UCLA has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Steve Alford’s team has the reputation for having a mediocre defense — but they have held their last five opponents to just a 42.5% shooting mark. The Bruins will be facing a Bearcats team that will be looking to slow the pace of this game way down — and they hold their opponents to just 60.8 PPG. UCLA has played 17 of their last 22 road games Under the Total against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG. The Bruins have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. And while both teams have scored 75 points in the last two games for UCLA, that helps place the Under in a historical angle that has been 79% effective since 1997. In games played on a neutral court, when teams who score at least 76 PPG (UCLA: 90.6 PPG) who have played two straight games where both teams scored at least 75 points and now faces a team that does not allow more than 63 PPG, these games then finished Under the Total in 42 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied.

Cincinnati (30-5) has won five of their last six games with their 75-61 win over Kansas State as a 3-point favorite. The Bearcats shot a sizzling 62.8% from the field which was their best offensive performance in their last 24 games. With that game finishing above the 130.5 point total, Cincy has played three straight games Over the Total. But this team has then played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. Mike Cronin’s team ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played a decisive 44 of their last 62 games Under the Total against non-conference opponents. Cronin relies heavily on his defense when attempting to pull the upset. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Bearcats last 9 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. And in their last 4 games as an underdog on a neutral court, the Under is 3-0-1. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament 2nd Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (731) and the UCLA Bruins (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Rhode Island Rams (729) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (730). Interestingly, this game features the top two teams in the nation in blocked shots. That suggests that this will be a defensive-oriented game — and that typically offers value to the underdog. Rhode Island (25-9) has won nine straight games after their 84-72 win over Creighton on Friday. This team has covered the point spread in four straight games with Dan Hurley’s team finally healthy and playing at full strength. They have the defensive makeup to make this a very tough game for the Ducks. The Rams are 9th in the nation in defensive effective field goal percentage — and they are second in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 29.1% shooting mark behind the arc. This Rhode Island team has the talent to disrupt the Oregon offensive flow and get them out of their rhythm. Expect Hurley to have his team slow the pace of the game down to a slog. The Rams have covered the point spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral court. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Rhode Island has covered the point spread all 4 times.

Oregon (30-5) has won nine of their last ten games with their blowout 93-77 win over Iona on Friday. The blowout win over the Gaels was nice — but that was a beneficial matchup for this team learning to live life without their 6’10 big man Chris Boucher who suffered a season-ending injury in the Pac-12 Tournament. The Ducks will miss Boucher’s scoring punch inside — and with their offense now more perimeter-oriented, they are susceptible to cold shooting nights. They have failed to cove the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. But the loss of Boucher will be even more painful on the defensive glass. As it is, this was an area of weakness for the Ducks team that is 206th in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down 29.8% of their missed shots. Oregon was 9th in the Pac-12 in defensive rebounding. Led by Hassan Martin, Rhode Island does crash the offensive glass as they ranked 2nd in the Atlantic-10 by rebounding 32.2% of their missed shots. The Ducks have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, while Oregon has played three straight Overs — as well as eight of their last nine games Over the Total — they have then failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 24 games after playing at least three straight Overs. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament Second Round Underdog of the Year with the
Rhode Island Rams (729) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (730). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (524) minus the points versus the Xavier Musketeers (523). Xavier (22-13) has won four of their last five games after pulling the upset on Thursday by defeating Maryland by a 76-65 score. The Musketeers shot 50% from the field which was their best offensive effort in their last twelve games since facing a suspect defensive team in Creighton — so regression is likely on that end of the court. This team has been an enigma to the oddsmakers for months as they failed to cover the point spread in seven straight games amidst a six-game losing streak. The team was suffering from the season-ending injury to point guard Edmond Sumner followed up by Myles Davis leaving the team after returning for just three games after serving a first-semester suspension. But now this Xavier team has recovered to win four of five games while covering the point spread in five straight games. Look for the bubble to burst on what is now a flawed basketball team after the losses of those two players. This team relies on a freshman point guard in Quentin Goodin who was at best a part-time player earlier in the season before losing Sumner. Despite the upset win on Thursday, the Musketeers have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games as an underdog. Xavier has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games outside the Atlantic-10, the Musketeers have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

Florida State (26-8) has won three of their last four games with their 86-80 win over the Florida Gulf Coast. This Seminoles’ team is the tallest team in the field of 68 — and they will be facing a Musketeers team that does not have a starter taller than 6’6. Depth is also a big strength for Leonard Hamilton’s group as he has eleven players that average at least 10 minutes per game. All these players will challenge Chris Mack who does not have nearly the depth he had hoped for when beginning the season. Turnovers will be another issue as this Xavier team turned the ball over in 18.9% of their Big East possessions with Goodin and their starting shooting guard JP Marcura relegated to point guard duties. The Seminoles do a great job in pressuring the basketball as they were 2nd in the ACC by forcing 19.8% turnovers in their opponent’s possessions. Xavier must slow the pace of this game down to have a chance — but it will be Florida State’s ability to force turnovers that will facilitate them playing at the faster pace they wish to engage. Lastly, the Musketeers allowed their Big East foes to make 55.9% of their shots inside the arc which was 9th in the conference. That is a frightening number when now facing their Seminoles team that was 23rd in the nation by making 54.5% of their 2-point shots. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament 2nd Round Game of the Year with the Florida State Seminoles (524) minus the points versus the Xavier Musketeers (523). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:50 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (820) plus (or minus) the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (819). South Carolina (22-10) stumbles into the NCAA Tournament with two straight losses after an ugly 63-54 loss to Alabama in the SEC Tournament. The Gamecocks shot only 36.7% in that game — and that was actually their best offensive effort in their last three games after making just 35.9% and 34% in their previous two contests. But scoring will be easier tonight when facing this Golden Eagles’ defense that was 9th in the Big East in Defensive Efficiency. South Carolina will enjoy a big geographical advantage with this game being played only 100 miles away in Greenville. And in a battle of Offense v. Defense, we will happily side with Frank Martin’s team. The toughness of this team should make the difference as they cut off driving and passing lanes. Marquette may have led the nation with a 43% shooting percentage from the 3-point line but the Gamecocks were 5th in the nation by holding opponents to just a 29.6% shooting percentage from behind the arc. South Carolina has covered the point spread in 18 of their last 27 expected higher scoring games with the Total set in the 140-149.5 point range. Additionally, the Gamecocks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games played on a neutral court — and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games against non-SEC teams.

Marquette (19-12) has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court. They are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the Big Dance with teams with similar offense-first profiles. This team crumbles when facing elite defenses that will not try to outscore them with their shooters (see Villanova). In sixteen of their nineteen wins, the Golden Eagles scored at least 80 points. But in the five games where they failed to score more than 70 points, this team lost all five games and only covered the point spread once (by a half point). The three times they shot below 30% from downtown, they lost all three games. Furthermore, while the Gamecocks have a defensive field goal percentage of 39.8%, Marquette has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who do not allow their opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. And while the Golden Eagles score 82.5 PPG, South Carolina has covered the point spread in 25 of their last 38 games against teams who score at least 77 PPG. Lastly, if this ends up being a close game as expected, it is telling to note that Marquette has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament First Round Game of the Year with the South Carolina Gamecocks (820) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (819). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (843) and the Creighton Bluejays (844). Rhode Island (24-9) has won eight straight games to win the Atlantic-10 Tournament with their 70-63 win over VCU on Sunday. The formula for success for this team now when facing the offensive juggernaut which is this Bluejays’ team is to slow the pace of the game, force bad shots on defense and crash the boards on offense — just like how they slowed down the Rams in their last contest. While that game finished just above the 132.5 point total, Rhode Island has still played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when played on a neutral court. These Rams have also played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total with the number set in the 140-149.5 point range. Rhode Island has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams outside the A-10. Head coach Dan Hurley will try to make this game a slog. Creighton scores 82.1 PPG while throwing 22 shots from behind the arc per game. The Rams have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 77 PPG — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 21 shots from the 3-point line per game.

Creighton (25-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 74-60 loss to Villanova in the Big East Tournament as a 10.5-point favorite. The Bluejays have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Creighton has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral court, the Bluejays have played all 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (843) and the Creighton Bluejays (844). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:27 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Vermont Catamounts (731) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (732). Vermont (29-5) played the role of Schoolyard Bully by going undefeated in American East play while rattling off twenty-one straight games. Yet they shot only 33.3% from the field against Albany to win the American East Tournament so this team will be focused on improving their effort after surviving their worst shooting performance of the season. This team has the profile that reminds me of the recent Harvard teams that dominated the Ivy but changed gears in the Big Dance to great success. The Catamounts made 39.7% of their 3-pointers in conference play but these shots accounted for only 25.4% of their points as opposed to the 30.4% national average. Why? Because this Vermont team eats teams up alive inside the arc where they make 55.6% of their shots which is 12th in the nation. And despite the Boilermakers’ size, they struggle with interior defense as the were just 6th in the Big Ten with these opponents making 47.4% of these shots. Look for the Catamounts to launch more 3s in this game while continuing to slow the pace — they averaged only 67.1 possessions per game. Vermont can also increase their pressure on defense — they forced turnovers in 19.4% of their opponent’s possessions which was 2nd in their conference while Purdue was vulnerable here by seeing turnovers in 18.0% of their possessions which was 7th in the Big Ten. Additionally, this Catamounts team plays good defense that led the American East in both Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and opponent’s effective field goal percentage. This helped Vermont cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on a neutral court as an underdog.

Purdue (25-7) lost to Michigan for the second time this season in the Big Ten Quarterfinals by a 74-70 score in overtime. The Wolverines defeated the Boilermakers twice this season and gave the Catamounts the Smallball blueprint to defeat this team. The Purdue bigs are not comfortable moving outside to defend 3-point shooters — and that opens up space in the lane for penetrators that Vermont is loaded with. The Boilermakers committed 15 turnovers in that second loss to Michigan — and they made only 6 of their 13 free throws which may come in to lay late if we are in the need of a backdoor cover. This Purdue team can also get too reliant on their first shot considering that they were 11th in the Big Ten by pulling down 28.1% of their missed shots. As a near double-digit dog, Vermont should be able to do a number of things to keep this very interesting. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament First-Round Underdog of the Year with the Vermont Catamounts (731) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Phoenix Suns (618) minus the points versus the Sacramento Kings (617). Phoenix (22-45) has lost three of their last four games after a subpar effort on Sunday in a 110-101 loss to Portland as a small 2-point underdog. The Suns shot just 43.6% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last eleven games — and the 50% shooting they saw the Blazers achieve was their worst performance on the defensive end of the court in their last seven contests. But say what you want about this team — they are consistently inconsistent. Except a much better effort from this young team tonight as they are a decisive 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games after a point spread loss. Phoenix has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points, these Suns have covered the point spread in 6 of these contests. This team does get healthier tonight with two of their big men Tyson Chandler and Alex Len upgraded to probable after missing the last two games. And in their last 7 games on their home court, Phoenix has covered the point spread in 5 of these games.

Sacramento (26-41) snapped their eight-game losing streak on Monday with their 120-115 loss to Orlando as a 1.5-point underdog. This was an outlier performance for the Kings as their 53.7% shooting percentage was their best offensive effort in their last nineteen contests. But this Sacramento team is just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after a straight-up win — and they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread win. This is a team that has lost eight of their ten games since trading away DeMarcus Cousins. This team also looks undermanned tonight with Tyreke Evans questionable with an ankle injury and Rudy Gay already out the season. This Kings team is playing out the string — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Look for Sacramento get back to their losing ways while this feisty Suns team bouncing-back with a nice win on their home court after a particularly poor effort. 25* NBA Pacific Division Game of the Year with the Phoenix Suns (618) minus the points versus the Sacramento Kings (617). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Belmont Bruins (625) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (626). Belmont (22-6) takes the floor for the first time since their disappointing 65-59 loss to Jacksonville State back on March 3rd as an 8-point favorite in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. The Bruins shot only 36.7% from the field after missing 30 of their 38 shots from behind the arc. Live by the 3 — die by the 3. But Belmont is a team that mostly lived quite well shooting 3-pointers like there was no tomorrow. The Bruins were 2nd in the nation with 56.2% of their shots coming from the 3-point line — and they were 10th in the nation with 39.1% of their points coming from made 3-pointers. Belmont is more than just a 3-point shooting machine either as the 62.4% shooting mark inside the arc leads the nation. Considering that this team made 37.2% of their 3-pointers in conference play and they finished 10th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.1%, this team should shoot better from the field tonight. The Bruins are disappointed to not win the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament — but they also lack a signature win this year after losing to Vanderbilt, Florida, Rhode Island and Middle Tennessee. But Belmont has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Bruins have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

Georgia (19-14) has lost two of their last three games with their 71-60 loss to Kentucky that dashed their NCAA Tourney hopes. It has been a very disappointing season for Mark Fox’s team with overtime losses to Florida and Kentucky along with the screw-job they suffered against Texas A&M where the clock mysteriously stopped at 5.6 seconds remaining combining to make the difference between this team taking Vanderbilt’s spot in the Big Dance and them now relegated to the NIT. Even worse, this pairing is a rematch from their NIT contest last March 16th which the Bulldogs won by a 93-84 score as a 7-point favorite. With Fox now on the hottest, just how motivated will this Georgia team be for this contest? As it is, they haver failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games on their home court. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em. Additionally, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite laying less than 7 points. And while these Bulldogs have scored only 57 and 60 points in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight home games after failing to score more than 65 points in two straight games. Seven of the top eight contributors from that Belmont team that lost in Athens last season are back for this rematch that means so much more to this mid-major than it does this Bulldogs team that we last saw trying to dethrone Kentucky. 25* CBB NIT First Round Game of the Year with the Belmont Bruins (625) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (626). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina-Central Eagles (621) and the UC-Davis Aggies (622). UNC-Central (25-8) won the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference on Saturday with their 67-59 win over Norfolk State as a 7-point favorite after holding the Spartans to just a 35.4% shooting percentage. The Eagles were 3rd in the MEAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UNC-Central needed this defensive effort as they only shot 39.3% from the field themselves. The Eagles have seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 boarded games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 boarded games after a point spread victory. UNC-Central was rewarded with their automatic bid by a trip to Dayton to play in the First-Four — and the Under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 boarded games played on a neutral court. This Eagles team has also played 5 of their last 6 boarded games Under the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points — and the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 boarded games on a neutral court as the favorite. Additionally, UNC-Central has played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against a non-conference opponent.

UC-Davis (22-12) won three games in a row with capture the Big West Tournament Championship with their 50-47 victory over UC-Irvine as a 5.5-point underdog in that contest. The Aggies have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. UC-Davis flexed their muscles on the defensive end of the court to win that game as they held the Anteaters to just 38% shooting. This team was 2nd in the Big West in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But the Aggies struggled mightily to find baskets as they managed just a 34.6% shooting mark themselves. Moving forward, UC-Davis has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Aggies have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog. 25* CBB First-Four NCAA Tourney Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina-Central Eagles (621) and the UC-Davis Aggies (622). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kansas State Wildcats (543) minus (or plus) the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (544). Kansas State (20-13) is being disrespected in many circles for making the Big Dance despite with their losing 8-10 record in Big 12 play. But this is a battle-tested team from the most competitive conference in the nation with two signature wins over Baylor along with victories over West Virginian and Oklahoma State along with two agonizing 2-point losses to Kansas this season. There are plenty of things to like about this underrated team in single-elimination play. They play physical in the paint which triggers some very tough defensive play. In their 51-50 loss to West Virginia in the Big 12 Tournament as a 5.5-point underdog, they held the Mountaineers to just a 26.7% shooting mark in the defeat. The Wildcats’ rank 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. This team sees their five starters all score at least 9.4 PPG — and they are 21st in the nation by assisting on 60.5% of their field goals. Bruce Weber’s team also generates scoring chances with their pressure defense as they were 2nd in the Big 12 by forcing turnovers in 22.2% of their opponent’s possessions. Kansas State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, the Wildcats have committed 5 and 6 fewer personal fouls in their last two games despite their intense defensive pressure — and they have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after committing at least five fewer personal fouls in at least two straight games. Additionally, Kansas State has covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record.

Wake Forest (19-13) were the overachievers of the ACC this season with their 9-9 conference record. But this is a young team that may be a year away — and this is a team that often showed some jitters down the stretch of games with turnovers and careless play. This is a program that has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games in the NCAA Tournament. Defense is an issue for Danny Manning’s team. In their 99-90 loss to Virginia Tech last Wednesday in the ACC Tournament, they allowed the Hokies to shoot 51.7% from the field. Overall, the Demon Deacons ranked 10th in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. And while the Wildcats are vulnerable on the boards ranking 7th in offensive rebounding and 9th in defensive rebounding in the Big 12, this Wake Forest was a middling 6th in offensive rebounding and 4th in defensive rebounding against ACC competition. The Demon Deacons have not committed more than 13 turnovers in six straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 roads games after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least five straight contests. And while Wake Forest forces only 12 turnovers per game, the Wildcats have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games against opponents that do not force more than 14 turnovers per game. Lastly, this game could come down to free throws with both these teams loving to get to the charity stripe after leading their respective conference in Free Throw Attempt to Field Goal Attempt ratios on offense. But while Kansas State was a middling 7th in their defensive FTA/FGA ratio, the Demon Deacons were second to last in their opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio. The Wildcats just have many more paths to success in this contest after showing a much higher upside during the regular season. 25* CBB First-Four NCAA Tournament Game of the Year with the Kansas State Wildcats (543) minus (or plus) the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Cleveland Cavaliers (532) minus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (531). Cleveland (43-22) has lost four of their last five games with their 117-112 loss at Houston on Sunday as a 7-point underdog. Te Cavaiers are struggling with injuries alongside the dog days of March as they physically and mentally prepare for the playoff season. But having lost four of their last five games, this team will look to raise their level of play tonight against a fellow Central Division rival who defeated them last week by a 106-101 score as a 4.5-point underdog in Detroit. The Cavaliers have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 home games when avenging loss on the road against their opponent as a favorite. The Cavaliers have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Cleveland did shoot 52.5% from the field in that game after making 50% of their shots in their previous game in Orlando — and they have then covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 home games after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight games. The Cavs have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game.

Detroit (33-33) has won four of their last five games after their 112-92 win over the Knicks on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. Not only have the Pistons have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after a straight-up loss but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit win. Detroit has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after a win on their home court. Moving forward, the Pistons have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 23 road games as an underdog. Lastly, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow Central Division opponents. 25* NBA Central Division Game of the Year with the Cleveland Cavaliers (532) minus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (531). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Memphis Grizzlies (508) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (507). Memphis (36-30) is desperate for a victory having dropped five straight games with their 107-90 loss to Atlanta on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. Head coach David Fizzle will likely employ a fifth straight different starting lineup tonight in the attempt to shake up his team that remains in the 7th spot in the Western Conference playoff race. Expect Tony Allen to be in the starting lineup tonight to take advantage of his outstanding defensive play in the opening moments of this game. The Grizzlies have failed to cover the point spread in five straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 34 of their last 54 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight contests. Memphis has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Grizzlies will remember their 106-96 loss in Milwaukee as a 2.5-point underdog back on November 12th — and home teams looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent while entering this rematch coming off an upset loss by at least 15 points as a favorite have then covered the point spread in 77 of the last 114 situations (68%) where these conditions applied.

Milwaukee (32-33) has won six straight contests with their 102-95 win over Minnesota on Saturday. But the Bucks have then failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 25 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. This team looks to be undermanned tonight with Mirza Teletovic questionable with a hamstring and Malcolm Brogdon out with a back injury. Milwaukee has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Grizzlies average making 9 shots from 3-point land per game, the Bucks have then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 road games against teams who make at least 6 shots from the 3-point line per game. Lastly, while Milwaukee has covered the point spread in six straight games with the last five being as the favorite, teams who have covered the point spread in at least two straight games as a favorite now facing a team that comes off a double-digit loss at home have then failed to cover the point spread in 57 of the last 84 situations (68%) where these conditions applied. 25* NBA Game of the Year with the Memphis Grizzlies (508) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (507). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (771) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (772). New Mexico State (27-5) has won four straight games with their 78-60 win over Missouri-KC as an 8.5-point favorite. The Aggies held the Kangaroos to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was the third time over their last four games that they have held an opponent to no better than a 36.7% shooting mark from the field. New Mexico State sot a blistering 55.8% from the field themselves which was their best shooting performance over their last nine games. Expect the Aggies to come back to Earth with their shooting considering that they make only 45.1% of their shots away from home. New Mexico State has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Aggies have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Western Athletic Conference opponents. Moving forward, New Mexico State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as a favorite. The Under is also 24-7-1 in their last 32 games when playing on a neutral court.

Cal-State Bakersfield (22-8) reached the WAC Finals with their 81-80 win over Utah Valley State yesterday in an ugly shooting contest where the Roadrunners’ 29.5% shooting mark failed to best the Wolverines’ 31.6% shooting percentage. Both teams needed four overtimes and a full 20 more minutes of play to reach the 80 point threshold after a 52-52 score at the end of regulation. Despite that Over, the Roadrunners have still have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in conference play. CS-Bakersfield has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. Moving forward, the Roadrunners have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And in their last 8 boarded games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, CS-Bakersfield has played 6 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (771) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (772). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (745) and the Villanova Wildcats (746). Villanova (30-3) has won four straight games with their narrow 55-53 win over Seton Hall yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Villanova has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, the Wildcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They face a Bluejays team that does nail 51% of their shots this season — but Villanova has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field.

Creighton (25-8) has won three of their last four games with their 75-72 win over Xavier yesterday as a 4-point favorite. The Bluejays’ 54.7% shooting percentage in that game was their best offensive effort in their last eight games. Creighton has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And with that game just finishing below the 147.5 point total, the Bluejays have now played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow Big East opponents. Moving forward, the Under is 3-0-1 in Creighton’s last 4 games against teams with a winning record. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. And while the Wildcats hold their opponents to just 62.9 PPG, the Bluejays have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG. Lastly, the Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. 25* CBB Big East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (745) and the Villanova Wildcats (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (731) and the Wisconsin Badgers (732). Northwestern (23-10) has won two straight games with their 72-64 win over Maryland as a 2-point underdog yesterday. The Wildcats shot a sizzling 55.3% from the field in that game which was the third time over their last four games where they made at least 52.9% from the field. Regression is likely for this team that makes just 43.8% of their shots this season — and that number drops to only a 43.2% mark when away from home. As it is, Northwestern has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Under is 9-2-1 in the Wildcats’ last 12 games as an underdog. And in their last 13 games played on a neutral court, Northwestern has played 10 of these gams Under the Total. Now they face this Badgers team that outscores their opponents by +10.8 PPG — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG.

Wisconsin (24-8) held Indiana to just a 41.1% shooting mark yesterday in a 70-60 victory as a 5-point favorite. The Badgers have then seen the Under go 21-10-1 in their last 32 games after a straight-up win — and they have seen 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Moving forward, the Under is 3-1-1 in Wisconsin’s last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, the Badgers have now played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total played on a neutral court — and that includes five straight games when laying the points. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (731) and the Wisconsin Badgers (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (737) and the Kentucky Wildcats (738). Kentucky (26-5) has won nine games in a row with their 71-60 win over Georgia yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats held the Bulldogs to just a 33.3% shooting percentage but they shot just 38.3% from the field themselves. John Caliper has slowed the pace down for this team after engaging a blistering pace earlier in the season. There were 72 possessions in that game yesterday which was actually the highest total for the Wildcats over their last four games. Kentucky has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points.

Alabama (18-13) reached the SEC Tournament Semifinals in an ugly 64-53 win over South Carolina yesterday as a 4-point underdog. The Crimson Tide have now played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread win — including five straight Unders. Alabama has also played 4 of theirs last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Expect head coach Avery Johnson to attempt to shorten this game and take his chances against a Wildcats team that may get jittery down the stretch. There were only 61 possessions yesterday in the Tide’s upset win over the Gamecocks. Alabama has not seen more than 71 possessions in their last nine games since a four  overtime affair with South Carolina in early February. The Crimson Tide have played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog. Alabama has also played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total with the number in the 130-139.5 point range. And in their last 5 games play played on a neutral court, the Crimson Tide have played all 5 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB SEC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (737) and the Kentucky Wildcats (738). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 AM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Albany Great Danes (763) plus the points versus the Vermont Catamounts (764). Vermont (28-5) has cruised through the American East Tournament with a 45-point win over Maine followed up by a 74-41 victory over New Hampshire on Monday in a game where they held their visitors to just a 28% shooting percentage. Given the Catamounts’ dominance, it might be tempting to expect more of the same from them in this Championship Game — especially with Vermont hosting this contest. But the Catamounts have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home boarded home games as the favorite. They are also are just 4-11-1 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Remember that Maine was the doormat of the American East with their 3-13 record and that New Hampshire team has never played in an NCAA Tournament. Granted, neither team scored more than 41 points against Vermont — but teams that do not allow more than 63 PPG (Vermont defense: 61.8 PPG) and who have not given up more than 50 points in two straight games — now facing an opponent that allows 63-67 PPG (Albany defense: 66.2 PPG) — these teams have then failed to cover the point spread in 30 of the last 38 situations where these conditions applied.

Albany (21-12) has won both their games decisively as well with a 29-point win over Hartford followed up by a 63-56 win on the road at Stoney Brook as a 2.5-point favorite on Monday. This is a young team with their top two players being sophomores. While this group could very well by a top-100 team next season, the future is now for this group with the chance to make the Big Dance next week. Expect a spirited effort from this team playing without any pressure — and this is a group that has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road boarded games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Lastly, underdogs who have covered the point spread in two straight games as a favorite now facing a team that has covered the point spread in two straight games as a double-digit favorite have then covered the point spread in 25 of the last 31 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CBB American East Game of the Year with the Albany Great Danes (763) plus the points versus the Vermont Catamounts (764). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (593) and the North Carolina-Central Eagles (594). MD-Eastern Shore (15-19) has three straight games in Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference play after their 68-66 win over Hampton yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. That game finished far below the 143.5 point Total which made it there 4 boarded game in a row that MD-Eastern Shore has played a game Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. The Hawks have also played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, MD-Eastern Shore has played 8 of their last 9 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 10 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range.

North Carolina-Central (23-8) enters this game following a blowout 95-60 victory over Bethune Cookman on Wednesday as a 12.5-point favorite. The Eagles have then played 5 straight boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 boarded games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is 11-3-1 in UNC-Central’s last 15 boarded games as a favorite which includes a 4-1-1 Under in their last 6 boarded games laying 7-12.5 points. Lastly, these team trends are complemented by a strong empirical angle that has been 61% effective over the last five seasons. In games in the month of March with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range, when both teams come off at least two straight wins versus conference opponents, these games finished Under the Total in 192 of the last 316 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CBB Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (593) and the North Carolina-Central Eagles (594). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (556) minus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (555). South Carolina (22-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in a 75-70 loss at Ole Miss as a 3-point favorite. Now the Gamecocks being their SEC Tournament with the opportunity to avenge a 90-86 upset loss to the Crimson Tide back on February 7th. Favorites in the 3.5-9.5 point range coming off an upset loss as a road favorite who are now looking to avenge a same-season loss have then covered the point spread in 120 of the last 193 situations (62%) where these conditions applied. While Alabama is outscoring their opponents by +4.2 PPG, South Carolina has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games against opponents that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Additionally, the Gamecocks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on a neutral court as the favorite.

Alabama (18-13) has won two of their last three games with their 75-55 win over Mississippi State yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Crimson Tide are just 19-41-2 ATS in their last 62 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a double-digit victory. The Gamecocks shoot only 41.6% from the field, the Crimson Tide have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against teams that do not shoot better than 42% from the field. Furthermore, Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court. 25* CBB SEC Tournament Game of the Year with the South Carolina Gamecocks (556) minus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (555). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Rice Owls (761) minus the points versus the UTEP Miners (762). Rice (22-10) has won four of their last five games with their 86-75 win over Southern Mississippi yesterday as a 12-point favorite. But these Owls have not covered the point spread in five of their last six contests. Rice has also failed managed only eight offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight toad games after failing to pull down more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. The Owls have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games played on a neutral court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when favored on a neutral court. Furthermore, Rice has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

UTEP (19-16) did upset the Owls in their last meeting back on February 18th by a 79-71 score as a 7-point underdog on Rice’s home court. But teams playing their second game in three days looking to avenge a loss to their opponent as a home favorite laying at least 7 points have then covered the point spread in 76 of the last 119 situations (64%) when the conditions applied. The Miners have won six of their last seven games after a 74-67 victory over Charlotte last Saturday as a 6-point favorite. UTEP has covered the point spread in thirteen straight contests — and this is the time to fade them. The Miners have covered the point spread by 43.5 combined points over their last five games — but teams on a neutral court with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range have failed to cover the point spread if they have beaten the point spread by at least 36 combined points in 47 of the last 67 situations where these conditions applied. Lastly, while UTEP commits only 13 turnovers per game, the Owls have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 road games against teams who do not commit more than 14 turnovers per game. 25* CBB Conference USA Game of the Year with the Rice Owls (761) minus the points versus the UTEP Miners (762). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Illinois Fighting Illini (719) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (720). The Michigan team (20-11) survived a scare yesterday when their airplane taking them from Detroit to Washington D.C. could not take off due to heavy winds and skidded off the runway. While significant damage occurred to the airplane, there were no significant injuries from any of the passengers. The mishap has forced the Wolverines to take a 7:45 AM EST charter flight into DC this morning. Not only does this take this Michigan team out of their routine regarding practice and preparation but their sleep patterns will be out of whack today. Even worse, the Wolverines are scheduled to play the early noon tip off game in situations that are already notorious for slow starts. Michigan is a jump shooting team with little interior game — and the impacts of air travel earlier in the morning will likely negatively impact their orientation. As it is, this was a team looking due for a letdown after closing out their regular season with a 93-57 win at Nebraska. The Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 42 games after a double-digit win at home against a Big Ten rival. And while Michigan has won six of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Furthermore, the Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range.

Illinois (18-13) closed out their regular season with a disappointing 62-59 win at Rutgers as a 5.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Illini need a deep run in this tournament to make themselves part of the conversation of perhaps still making it into the NCAA Tournament. The Illini have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when playing their second game in eight days. The Fighting Illini will be looking to avenge a 66-57 loss to the Wolverines back on January 21st. Illinois has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when looking to avenge a same-season loss. This will remain a confident Illini team who can tap into their experience of defeating the Wolverines by an 85-69 score back on January 11th. And this Illinois team has already been in DC for a day and will benefit from a good night’s sleep and some practice time in the Verizon Center. 25* CBB Tournament Underdog of the Year with the Illinois Fighting Illini (719) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Bucknell Bison (582) minus the points versus the Lehigh Mountain Hawks (581). Bucknell (25-8) was the class of the Patriot League this season leading the conference in both Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Efficiency while possessing a nice signature win on the road at Vanderbilt. But the Bison were swept by the Mountain Hawks during the regular season — so this Bucknell team has everything on the line in this game. Frankly, Lehigh won both those games because they were on fire with their 3-point shots. In their 82-71 win on January 11th, the Mountain Hawks nailed 10 of their 17 shots from behind the arc and then followed that up on February 8th by making 9 of 19 shots from 3-point land in a 79-71 victory. All combined, Lehigh has been 19 of 36 for an uncanny 52.8% mark from behind the arc in a number screaming out for regression. On the other hand, Bucknell was just 13 of 46 from the 3-point land in both games for a low 28.3% mark. The Bison host this Championship Game where they are 14-2 where they nail 37.9% of their 3-point shots. Bucknell has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite laying less than 7 points.

Lehigh (20-11) enters this game coming off a 91-88 win at Boston on Sunday — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight boarded games after a point spread win. The Mountain Hawks may be undermanned in this game with 6’8 freshman Pat Andree questionable with an ankle injury — and he is a vital role player who is on the court 41.1% of the time. This will be a tough enough game as it is for this team playing in a hostile environment where they shoot just 46.8% from the field. The Mountain Hawks are shooting only 45.9% over their last five games. Bucknell holds their guests to just a 40.2% shooting mark — and their last five opponents have shot just 35.9% from the field. 25* CBB Patriot League Game of the Year with the Bucknell Bison (582) minus the points versus the Lehigh Mountain Hawks (581). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (528) plus the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (527). Virginia Tech (21-9) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in an 89-85 loss at home to this same Wake Forest team as a 1.5-point favorite. The Hokies get the opportunity for revenge as they begin their ACC Tournament — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games when avenging a loss as a home favorite. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Hokies have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 28 games as an underdog, Virginia Tech has covered the point spread 21 times — and that includes covering the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games when getting less than 7 points.

Wake Forest (18-12) has won four straight games after dispatching of Boston College yesterday by a 92-78 score as a 12.5-point favorite. But not only have the Demon Deacons then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a double-digit win. Wake Forest has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. And in their last 10 games laying less than 7 points, the Demon Deacons have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games. 25* CBB ACC Underdog of the Year with the Virginia Tech Hokies (528) plus the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (527). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte 49ers (535) and the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (536). Charlotte (13-16) has lost five of their last seven games entering the Conference USA Tournament with their 74-67 loss at UTEP last Saturday as a 6-point underdog. The 49ers committed only 10 turnovers in that game which made it the thirteenth straight time that they did not commit more than 14 turnovers in a game. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least three straight contests. Now the 49ers stays on the road where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season. Additionally, Charlotte has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 7 games as an underdog, the 49ers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, while the Blazers shoot 46.5% from the field, Charlotte has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams that shoot at least 45% from the field.

UAB (16-15) limps into this tournament having lost five of their last six games after suffering an upset 68-56 loss to FIU as a 13-point favorite on Saturday. Not only have the Blazers then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss but they have played 13 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. UAB shot just 31.7% from the field in that game — and they have then played 18 of their last 23 games Under the Total after failing to shoot at least 33% from the field. The Blazers have also played a near consecutive 16 of their last 17 games Under the Total after losing four of their last five games. Moving forward, UAB has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a favorite. And while the 49ers have an opponent’s defensive field goal percentage of 46.7%, the Blazers have played 10 of their last 12 road games Under the Total after teams who allow their opponents to shoot at least 45% from the field. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte 49ers (535) and the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (536). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Milwaukee Panthers (713) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (714). This Horizon League Championship Game features the most overachieving team in the league’s regular season in the Norse favored against the league’s most underachieving team in the regular season. Milwaukee (11-23) disappointed by closing out the regular season with nine straight losses to finish 4-14. But the Panthers have rattled off three straight wins over Detroit before pulling a big 43-41 upset over Valparaiso and then upsetting Illinois-Chicago by a 74-68 score as a 2-point underdog to reach this Championship Game. Now Milwaukee has the chance to erase all the disappointment in the regular season with a victory tonight. As it is, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games on the road after winning at least three straight games against Horizon League opponents. Milwaukee is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing their third game in five days. And the Panthers are typically dangerous underdogs as they are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog — and they are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court. And while the Panthers lost to the Norse by a 69-63 score back on February 11th, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games when avenging a same-season loss.

Northern Kentucky (23-10) has won five games in a row with their 84-74 win over Youngstown State last night. The Norse reaches the Horizon League Championship without having to face either Valparaiso nor Oakland who were the best two teams in the league during the regular season. The Norse shot 50% from the field last night for the fourth time in their last five games — but they will now be facing a Panthers’ team that has held their last five opponents to just a 42.4% shooting mark. Northern Kentucky has been very reliant on their first shot considering that they have pulled down only nine and five offensive rebounds in their last two games. The Norse have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after not rebounding at least ten offensive boards in two straight games. Furthermore, Milwaukee does a good job of taking advantage of higher percentage shots as they were tops in the Horizon by shooting 53.5% inside the arc. This is an area of vulnerability for Northern Kentucky as they were 6th in the conference by allowing their opponents to hit 52.0% of their 2-point shots. The Norse also only average 6 steals per game — and the Panthers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games against teams that do not average more than 6 steals per game. Northern Kentucky exceeded expectations all season — and they are a program that has never qualified for a postseason tournament which makes them a precarious favorite against a program that made the Big Dance three seasons ago. 25* CBB Horizon League Tournament Game of the Year with the Milwaukee Panthers (713) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (714) Milwaukee Panthers (713) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (513) and the Charlotte Hornets (514). Indiana (32-30) has won three of their last five games with their 97-96 win at Atlanta yesterday as a 3-point underdog. The Pacers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Indiana has played 5 straight games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record, the Under is 9-2-1.

Charlotte (27-35) has won three of their last five games with their 112-102 win at Denver on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Hornets have then played a decisive 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Charlotte has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Hornets have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 9 games after allowing at least 100 points, Charlotte has played 8 of these games Under the Total. Now this team returns home for the first time after a seven-game road trip — and they have played 4 straight home games Under the Total. Additionally, this team is banged up with Frank Kaminsky out for around ten more days with a shoulder injury and Miles Plumlee still nursing a calf injury. Lastly, the Hornets have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. 25* NBA TNT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (513) and the Charlotte Hornets (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the College of Charleston Cougars (533) plus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (534). UNC-Wilmington (28-5) reached the Colonial Athletic Association Tournament with their 105-94 win over William & Mary yesterday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Seahawks are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, UNC-Wilmington is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last contest. Moving forward, the Seahawks have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. UNC-Wilmington has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite on a neutral court.

Charleston (25-8) reached this Championship Game with their 67-59 win over Towson yesterday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Cougars should enjoy a home crowd advantage with this game being played in North Charleston. The College of Charleston have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And while the Seahawks score 85.4 PPG, the Cougars have covered the point spread in 31 of their last 47 road games against teams that score at least 77 PPG. UNC-Wilmington also launches 26 shots from behind the arc per game — but Charleston has covered the points spread in 11 of their last 15 games against teams who attempt at least 21 shots from 3-point land per game. Lastly, while the Cougars shoot 73.8% from the free throw line, the Seahawks have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after fifteen games into the season against teams that shoot at least 72% from the charity stripe. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Game of the Year with the College of Charleston Cougars (533) plus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (525) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (526). Northern Illinois (15-16) has lost three straight games entering the first-round of the Mid-American Conference Tournament with their 87-82 loss at Ball State as a 5.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Northern Illinois has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games. Now the Huskies begin on the road in this tourney where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Northern Illinois has also played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5-6 points.

Eastern Michigan (15-16) saw their two-game winning streak snapped with their 60-56 loss to Toledo as a 4.5-point favorite. The Eagles have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. And while that game finished below the 147.5-point Total, Eastern Michigan has still played 5 of their last 7 conference games Over the Total. Now the Eagles return home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. Eastern Michigan has also played 6 straight home games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Eagles defeated the Huskies by an 84-68 score in their last meeting back on February 25th — and Northern Illinois has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total when avenging a same-season loss to their opponents on the road. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total all 5 times. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Tournament of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (525) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the St. Peter’s Peacocks (864) minus the points versus the Iona Gaels (863). St. Peter’s (19-12) has won seven straight games after their survived a 61-58 win over Canisius in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Quarterfinals on Friday as a 6.5-point favorite. The Peacocks have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a point spread victory. St. Peter’s has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after allowing 60 points or less in their last game. This team will very extra motivated tonight after being swept by this Gaels’ team this season — so this showdown is a measuring stick for this team. The Peacocks have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record — and that includes covering the point spread in six straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games as the favorite laying less than 7 points, St. Peter’s has covered the point spread 5 times.

Iona (20-12) has won two of their last three games with their 88-70 win over Rider yesterday as a 5-point favorite. But the Gaels have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after a point spread victory. This team has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a double-digit win against conference opponents. Additionally, while Iona has played three straight games that finished Under the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after playing three straight Unders. Moving forward, the Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range. Iona has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog on a neutral court. And in their last 7 encounters with the Peacocks despite their regular season sweep, the Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Game of the Year with the St. Peter’s Peacocks (864) minus the points versus the Iona Gaels (863). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Wisconsin Badgers (836) minus the points versus the Minnesota Golden Gophers (835). Wisconsin (22-8) has lost three straight games — as well as five of their last six games — with their 59-57 loss to Iowa on Thursday. The Badgers continued their shooting struggles in that game by hitting only 42.6% of their shots. But this remains a team that is 14-2 on their home court with an average winning margin of +19.7 PPG. Wisconsin only allows 56.2 PPG while holding their opponents to just a 38.1% shooting percentage. Their loss to the Hawkeyes did finish well below the 143 point Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 20 of their last 30 games after a game that finished Under the Total. If the Badgers shots are not falling in this one, then this team should find success creating second-chance scoring opportunities. Wisconsin is 4th in the Big Ten by pulling down 33.5% of their missed shots — and the Golden Gophers are 8th in the conference by allowing their opponents to pull down 30.8% of their missed shots. The Badgers have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage on the road. And while Minnesota gets called for less personal fouls per game than their opponents, Wisconsin has covered the point spread in 32 of their last 47 home games against teams who average at least 3 less personal fouls per game than their opponents.

Minnesota (23-7) has won eight straight games with their 88-73 win over Nebraska on Thursday as a 7.5-point favorite. That was the best offensive effort for this Golden Gophers team over their last 27 games since their third game of the season way back in the idyllic days of November 16th when they hosted Mount St. Mary’s. But this team goes back on the road where they shoot just 41.3% from the field despite their 6-4 record on the road. Minnesota has been a bad road underdog as they have failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 39 road games as the dog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in twenty of their last twenty-seven road games when getting 7-12.5 points. Lastly, the Golden Gophers have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Year with the Wisconsin Badgers (836) minus the points versus the Minnesota Golden Gophers (835). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Wofford Terriers (865) plus the point(s) versus the UNC-Greensboro Spartans (866). Wofford (16-16) reached the Semifinals of the Southern Conference Tournament with their 79-67 win over Chattanooga yesterday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Terriers have now won three of their last four games — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a point spread win. Wofford has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games after a straight-up win. The Terriers converted 17 of their 19 free throws yesterday — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after shooting at least 88% from the charity stripe. Wofford will be looking to avenge a 74-55 loss to the Spartans on the road back on February 15th — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games games when avenging a same-season loss on the road against their opponent. The Terriers have been dangerous underdogs having covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing as an underdog on a neutral court. Furthermore, Wofford has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games against teams with a winning record.

UNC-Greensboro (24-8) has won eight games in a row with their 76-67 win over the Citadel yesterday. While the Spartans did not cover the 11.5-point spread as the favorite yesterday, they have still covered four of their last six games. But this UNC-Greensboro team has failed to cover the point spread in 39 of their last 62 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Spartans have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played on a neutral court. And in their last 6 games as a favorite, UNC-Greensboro has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. Lastly, the Spartans are precarious favorites in this game considering that they are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 encounters with the Terriers. 25* CBB Southern Conference Underdog of the Year with the Wofford Terriers (865) plus the point(s) versus the UNC-Greensboro Spartans (866). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Connecticut Huskies (838) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bearcats (837). UConn (14-15) has lost three straight games after a 66-62 loss at East Carolina as a 4.5-point favorites on Wednesday. The Huskies shot just 34% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last eleven games. Now UConn returns home where they are 8-5 while playing outstanding defense as they hold their guests to just a 36.9% shooting percentage. This outstanding defense has helped Kevin Ollie’s team cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This team enters this game as a M*A*S*H unit but it looks as if only freshman Vance Jackson will not play in this game as he recovers from a concussion. UConn is playing better at protecting their defensive glass — they have allowed only 9 and 7 offensive rebounds in their last two games. The Huskies have covered the point spread in 29 of their last 43 games after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. And while the Bearcats have a defensive field goal percentage of 38.2%, UConn has covered the point spread in 42 of their last 72 games after fifteen games into the season against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or better.

Cincinnati (26-4) has won four of their last five games with their 65-47 win over Houston on Thursday as an 8-point favorite. The Bearcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread victory. Now Cincy goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games. The Bearcats are also 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games as a favorite laying less than 7 points. Lastly, the Huskies defense overall enjoys a 39.3% opponent’s field goal percentage — and Cincinnati has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road games after fifteen games into the season against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Game of the Year with the Connecticut Huskies (838) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bearcats (837). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (628) minus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (627). North Carolina (25-6) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Monday in a 53-43 loss at Virginia as a 3.5-point favorite. The 43 points that the Tar Heels managed was their lowest scoring output in the shot clock era. Except a big bounce-back effort tonight. Roy Williams-coached teams have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after an upset loss as a road favorite. If that is not enough motivation, the opportunity to avenge their arch rivals will be more than enough. The Blue Devils defeated North Carolina by an 86-78 score back on February 9th — but the Tar Heels’ 6’9 forward Isaiah Hicks did not play in that game. He will be on the floor tonight. The Tar Heels have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home. And in their last 6 home games as a favorite laying less than 7 points, North Carolina has covered the point spread 5 times.

Duke (23-7) has little to play for in this game having dropped two of three games to fall out of the race to earn top seen in next week’s ACC Tournament. Both Grayson Allen and Amile Jefferson where game-time decisions on Tuesday in their 75-70 win against Florida State — but they still covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win. These two players must be healthy in the weeks coming up so their availability might waver in this game. They are also not playing at 100%. Allen nailed 7 of his 12 shots from behind the arc in the first meeting with the Tar Heels — but he has made only 7 of his 28 shots from 3-point land since that triumph with his ankle injury clearly impacting his shot. Duke has not been a reliable road team either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points — and they are just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games on the road overall. Lastly, the Blue Devils have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB ACC Game of the Year with the North Carolina Tar Heels (628) minus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (627). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (504) minus the point(s) versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (503). Cleveland (42-18) has won two of their last three games after their 135-130 win in Atlanta last night. But the Cavaliers have not been very good when playing without rest in the grind of the regular season. Not only has this Cleveland team failed to over the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games playing without rest but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games when playing on back-to-back days. And while a trip to Miami will always mean something more for LeBron James, his Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight trips to Miami. Cleveland did crush the Heat back on December 9th by a 114-84 score — but Miami has then covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 home games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 100 points.

Miami (28-34) has lost two of their last three games with their 110-99 win at Orlando last night as a 4.5-point favorite. The Heat show just 38.5% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last twenty-three games. Miami also allowed the Magic to nail 50% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last ten games. The Heat have rebounded to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a double-digit loss. Miami has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when playing without a day of rest. Now Miami returns home where they are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Heat have covered the point spread all 4 times. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year with the Miami Heat (504) plus the point(s) versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (503). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Southern Illinois Salukis (657) plus the points versus the Illinois State Redbirds (658). Illinois State (26-5) has won seven straight games after their 80-69 win over Evansville last night. But with the showdown against Wichita State looming tomorrow in a game that is likely essential for the Redbirds to reach the Big Dance, they may get caught looking ahead to that contest. While Illinois State is 17-1 in Missouri Valley Conference, five of these wins have been decided by 5 points or less. As it is, the Redbirds have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win. And while Illinois State closed out the regular season with a 21-point win over Northern Iowa, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after two straight wins against a conference rival. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Redbirds have failed to cover the point spread in all 4 games.

Southern Illinois (17-15) has won three of their last four games after their 55-50 upset win over Loyola-Chicago last night as a 4-point underdog. The Salukis won this game on the defensive end of the court by holding the Ramblers to just 27.3% shooting. Southern Illinois also forced 20 turnovers in 28.6% of Loyola-Chicago’s possessions which is something they should be able to do again this afternoon to keep this game close. The Salukis lead the MVC by forcing turnovers in 20.1% of their opponent’s possessions — and this is an area of vulnerability for the Redbirds as they turn the ball over in 20.9% of their possessions which is 9th in the conference. As it is, Southern Illinois has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. The Salukis have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a win by 6 points or less. And in their last 4 games as an underdog, Southern Illinois has covered the point spread all 4 times. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year with the Southern Illinois Salukis (657) plus the points versus the Illinois State Redbirds (658). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas A&M Aggies (528) plus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (527). Texas A&M (16-13) has won two straight — as well as three of their last four games — after their 60-43 win at Missouri on Tuesday. The Aggies held the Tigers to a microscopic shooting percentage of 24.6% — and that strong defensive play should continue tonight considering that they hold their visitors to just a 38.7% shooting percentage. Head coach Billy Kennedy is seeing better results from his team by slowing down the pace. After seeing a minimum of 69 possessions during a five-game stretch, Texas A&M’s last two games have produced just 62 and 60 respective possessions. And while Kentucky averages 64 shot attempts per game, the Aggies have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 home games after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 62 shot attempts per game. Furthermore, this slowed pace should help Texas A&M stay competitive in this game as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range. The Aggies have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Texas A&M has covered the point spread 4 times.

Kentucky (25-5) has won seven straight games after their 73-67 win over Vanderbilt on Tuesday as a 10.5-point favorite. But the Wildcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Kentucky has also slowed their pace down a bit as they are scoring just 75.5 PPG over their last six games after opening the SEC schedule by scoring 92.6 PPG at a blistering pace. Lower scoring games help the underdog since each point has more relative value. The Wildcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Now Kentucky goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games. And in their last 12 road games laying 7-12.5 points, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread 9 times. 25* CBB SEC Game of the Year with the Texas A&M Aggies (528) plus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (527). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (889) and the St. Peter’s Peacocks (890). Canisius (18-14) advanced in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference last night with their 77-73 win over Marist as a 9-point favorite. Despite the victory, the Golden Griffins have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — and they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. The Under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Moving forward, Canisius has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Golden Griffins have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog on a neutral court. And in their last 5 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Under is 3-1-1.

St. Peter’s (18-12) closed out their regular season with a 72-65 win over this Canisius team as a 3-point favorite. The Under is 3-0-2 in the Peacocks’ last 5 games — and the Under is 3-0-2 in their last last 5 games after a point spread victory. Moving forward, St. Peter’s has seen the Under go 4-0-2 in their last 6 games as a favorite. And in their last 26 games played on a neutral court, the Under is 17-7-2. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-13-10 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Canisius Golden Griffins (889) and the St. Peter’s Peacocks (890). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (824) plus the point(s) versus the New York Knicks (823). Philadelphia (22-38) suffered their worst loss of the season on Wednesday in a 125-98 loss at Miami that equaled their 27 point loss to the Raptors back in November. With the announcement that same day that Joel Embiid would join Ben Simmons in missing the rest of the season, some might conclude that this team has thrown in the towel for the year. But this team has been playing hard all season for head coach Brett Brown — and this team typically responds with strong efforts after a disappointing performance. Not only have the 76ers bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games after a loss by at least 15 points. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 22 of their 30 games this season — and that includes seven straight games against teams with a losing record on the road. The 76ers have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 home games as an underdog of 6 points or less. And in their last 6 games against fellow Atlantic Division opponents, Philly has covered the point spread all 6 times.

New York (25-36) comes off an upset 101-90 win in Orlando on Wednesday as a 2-point underdog. But this Knicks team has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit victory. Now this team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall, New York has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these contests. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Underdog of the Year with the Philadelphia 76ers (824) plus the point(s) versus the New York Knicks (823). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Columbia Lions (843) and the Brown Bears (844). Brown (12-16) has lost six of their last seven games with their 77-58 loss at Harvard as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. The Bears have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. This Brown team has the Ivy League’s worst Defensive Adjusted Efficiency in conference play. For the season, they allow their opponents to shoot 49.6% from the field with this number a higher 52.1% mark in Ivy League play. The Bears return home where they have okayed 11 of their last 15 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 9 home games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points, Brown has played 8 of these games Over the Total.

Columbia (11-14) snapped their five-game losing streak on Saturday with their 70-67 win over Penn as a 4.5-point underdog. The Lions have played 7 straight games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games. Columbia has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Now this Lions team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total. Columbia has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road as the favorite. And in their last 5 games laying less than 7 points as the favorite, the Lions have played 4 of these games Over the Total. Lastly, not only have these teams played 9 of their last 13 encounters Over the Total but they have also played 9 of their  last 13 games Over the Total when playing at Brown. 25* College Basketball Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Columbia Lions (843) and the Brown Bears (844). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Portland Trail Blazers (706) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (705). Oklahoma City (35-25) has won four straight games after their upset 109-106 win over Utah as a 2.5-point underdog on Tuesday. But the Thunder have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after winning four or five of their last six games. Letdown concerns for this team increase with the news that guard Victor Oladipo — the second best scoring option for this team after Russell Westbrook — is questionable for this contest with a back injury. Now this team goes on the road where they are just 12-17 with an average losing margin of -6.0 PPG while allowing their opponents to shoot 46.7% from the field. The Thunder have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. OKC has also failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 23 road games in expected high-scoring games where the Total was set at 220 or higher.

Portland (24-35) has lost two straight as well as five of their last six games with their 120-113 loss at Detroit as a 4-point underdog on Tuesday. Now after playing four straight games on the road, the Trail Blazers return home for the first time since February 13th. Portland has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games after being on the road for at least seven days. While the Blazers are just 10-22 when on the road this season, they are a respectable 14-13 on their home court where they shoot 46.3% from the field. They should shoot much better tonight than they did on February 5th where they made only 40.2% of their shots in a 105-99 loss to the Thunder. Oklahoma City typically struggles with teams with potent offenses. The Blazers score 107.4 PPG — and the Thunder have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games in the second half of the season against teams that score at least 106 PPG. Lastly, the home team typically prevails in this series as home court advantage has translated into point spread covers in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Game of the Year with the Portland Trail Blazers (706) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (705). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (743) and the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (744). UC-Santa Barbara (5-21) has won two of their last three games with their 68-61 win over UC-Riverside last Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Gauchos have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while that game went Under the 123.5 point-Total, UC-Santa Barbara has still played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big West play. Now the Gauchos go back on the road where they shoot only 35.8% which explains why the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road as an underdog. UC-Santa Barbara has also seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 games as an underdog. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 4-1-1.

Cal-State Fullerton (14-13) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday in a 64-58 loss at Hawai’i as a 3.5-point underdog. The Titans have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. CS-Fullerton returns home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, the Titans have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total as a favorite. CS-Fullerton has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Big West opponents. And in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record, the Titans have played 8 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 62-15-3 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big West Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (743) and the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (744). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (555) and the TCU Horned Frogs (556). Kansas State (17-12) has lost two straight games with their 81-51 blowout loss at Oklahoma on Saturday. The Wildcats shot just 25% from the field but that does not look like much of an aberration considering that they have shot 36.7% or less in three of their last five contests. Kansas State has then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Wildcats have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big 12 play after that game with the Sooners fell below the 138 Total. Kansas State stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Wildcats have played 4 of these games Under the Total.

TCU (17-12) has lost five straight games with their 61-60 loss to West Virginia last Saturday as a 5-point underdog. The Horned Frogs have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while this TCU team has still failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then played 9 straight home games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Horned Frogs have also now played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in Big 12 play with that result finishing well below the  144.5 point Total. Moving forward, TCU stays at home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. The Horned Frogs have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total as the favorite. Additionally, TCU has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Horned Frogs have played 9 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 64-16 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big 12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (555) and the TCU Horned Frogs (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Xavier Musketeers (552) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (551). Xavier (18-11) lost their fifth straight game — and their sixth straight versus point spread expectations — with their 88-79 loss to Butler at home on Sunday as a 3-point underdog. The Musketeers lost that contest due to seeing the Bulldogs shoot 54.8% from the field. That was the worst defensive effort for this Xavier team all season. Expect the Musketeers to play better on defense tonight considering that they hold their visitors to just a 43.9% shooting mark. Xavier has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Musketeers have also covered the point spread in 7 straight games after losing five or six of their last seven games. This remains a very good team that is likely to make the NCAA Tournament. College basketball metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks this team as the 40th best team in the country — and they are desperate for a win. And while they are looking to avenge an 83-61 loss to Marquette back on February 18th, they have then covered the point spread in 43 of their last 69 home games when avenging a same-season loss on the road.

Marquette (17-11) enters this game coming off a 73-69 loss at Providence on Saturday in a pick ‘em contest. The Golden Eagles have now failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Marquette stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. The Golden Eagles are just 4-8 on the road while allowing their home hosts to shoot 50.1% from the field. Lastly, Marquette has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog. 25* CBB Big East Game of the Year with the Xavier Musketeers (552) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (551). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (745) and the Kentucky Wildcats (746). Vanderbilt (16-13) has won four games in a row with their 74-48 blowout win over Mississippi State as a 7.5-point favorite. The Commodores held the Bulldogs to just a 29.8% shooting mark — and that appears to not be an aberration considering that they held Tennessee to just a 29% shooting mark in their previous contest. Vanderbilt has played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Commodores have played 8 straight games Under the Total after a win on their home court. And in their last 8 games after allowing no more than 50 points in their last game, Vandy has played 6 of these games Under the Total. The Commodores have also played 5 straight games on the road Under the Total.

Kentucky (24-5) has won six games in a row with their 76-66 win over Florida on Saturday. The Wildcats held the Gators to just a 36.6% shooting percentage which was the third time over their last four contests where they held their opponent to no better than a 36.7% shooting mark. Kentucky got to the charity stripe 27 times in that contests as compared to the mere 6 times Florida took a free throw attempt. The Wildcats have then played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after taking at least 20 more free throws than their opponent in their last game. Kentucky has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 home games as a favorite getting 7-12.5 points, Kentucky has played 9 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (745) and the Kentucky Wildcats (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Wizards (702) minus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (701). Washington (34-23) has lost both their games after the All-Star Break with their 102-92 loss to to Utah on their home court on Sunday. The Wizards closed out the first-half of the regular season on a red hot 18-3 run so this team will be anxious to get back to their winning ways against an elite opponent. Not only has Washington covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss on their home court. Additionally, the Wizards have been very tough at home where they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games. Washington has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games against Western Conference opponents, the Wizards have covered the point spread in 6 of these contests.

Golden State (50-9) has won four straight games with their 119-108 win at Philadelphia last night. But the Warriors have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when playing without a day of rest. Golden State has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win. And in their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game, the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. 25* NBA Game of the Month with the Washington Wizards (702) minus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (701). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (720) minus the points versus the Indiana Hoosiers (719). Purdue (23-6) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Saturday at Michigan by an 82-70 score as a 1.5-point underdog. The Boilermakers allowed the Wolverines to shoot 54.5% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last eleven contests. Look for Purdue to bounce-back with a big effort as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. This Boilermakers team has covered the point spread in 6 straight home games after winning at least four of their last five games. Purdue has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Boilermakers have also covered the point spread in 4 straight home games when favored in the 7-12.5 point range. Matt Painter’s team is also 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 games against fellow Big Ten opponents.

Indiana (16-13) snapped their five-game losing streak on Saturday with their 63-62 win over Northwestern as a 4.5-point favorite. But the Hoosiers have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 road games after a win on their home court. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. This Indiana team has also not been a reliable underdog as they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games when getting 7-12.5 points — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in six straight road games as a dog getting 7-12.5 points. The Hoosiers have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Indiana has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against Big Ten opponents. Lastly, the Hoosiers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight encounters against the Boilermakers. 25* CBB Super Tuesday ESPN Game of the Year with the Purdue Boilermakers (720) minus the points versus the Indiana Hoosiers (719). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (516) plus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (515). Virginia (19-9) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with a 70-55 win at North Carolina State as a 7-point favorite. The Cavaliers found their shooting stroke in that game as they nailed 48.9% of their shots in the win. Virginia is still playing outstanding defense as they have not allowed more than 55 points in four straight games. The Cavaliers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 55 points in at least two straight games. Now Virginia returns home where they shoot 47.2% from the field while holding their opponents to just a 36.7% mark. The Cavs have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 home games with the Total set in the 130-139.5-point range. Virginia has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Cavaliers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points which includes five of their last six games when on their home court.

North Carolina (25-5) has won four straight games after their 85-67 win at Pittsburgh. The Tar Heels stay on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. North Carolina has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. UNC destroyed the Cavaliers in their first meeting back on February 18th by a 65-41 score. Virginia shot just 27.8% from the field in that game while going an awful 2 of 20 from behind the arc. But the Tar Heels have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 trips to Charlottesville to play the Cavaliers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 67-21 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big Monday Game of the Year with the Virginia Cavaliers (516) plus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (515). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Nebraska Cornhuskers (846) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (845). Nebraska (12-15) looks to bounce-back from an 88-72 loss at Michigan State on Thursday as a 4-point underdog. The Cornhuskers have rebounded to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after a double-digit loss on the road. This Nebraska team has been much better at home — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 home games laying less than 7 points. The Cornhuskers have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 home games in the month of February. And while the Illini only force 12 turnovers per game, Nebraska has covered the point spread in 38 of their last 54 home games against teams that do not force more than 14 turnovers per game after fifteen games into the season.

Illinois (16-12) has won two straight games with their 66-50 win over Northwestern on Tuesday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Fighting Illini have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after both a straight-up win as well as a point spread victory. And while that game finished well Under the 135 point Total, Illinois has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 road games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Now after two straight upset victories, the Fighting Illini go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. Illinois has also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 road games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Month with the Nebraska Cornhuskers (846) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (845). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (823) and the Wright State Raiders (824). Illinois-Chicago (14-16) has lost three straight games with their 90-82 loss at Northern Kentucky on Friday. The Flames have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Illinois-Chicago now stays on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total. The Flames have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. And in their last 5 games agains teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Illinois-Chicago has played 4 of these games Over the Total.

Wright State (19-11) has lost two straight games after their 84-78 loss to Valparaiso as a 2.5-point favorite on Friday. The Raiders have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a double-digit loss at home. Wright State stays at home where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And this Raiders’ team has played 6 straight home games Over the Total as a favorite. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-6-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Horizon League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Illinois-Chicago Flames (823) and the Wright State Raiders (824). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Arizona Wildcats (670) minus the point(s) versus the UCLA Bruins (669). UCLA (25-3) has won six straight games with their 87-75 win at Arizona State on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. But the Bruins have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a point spread victory. While this UCLA has been dynamite on the offensive end of the court, defense is the vulnerability for this team when facing elite competition. The Bruins have a defensive effective field goal percentage of 48.1% which is 71st in the nation. Even worse, their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 102.1 which is 102nd in the nation — and this mark rises to a 105.0 clip in Pac-12 play. This helps explain why UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Bruins are not as good on the road either as they have failed to cover then point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Furthermore, UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 5 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Bruins have failed to cover the point spread 4 times. Additionally, while UCLA is looking to avenge a 96-85 loss to the Wildcats back on January 21st, they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing with same-season revenge.

Arizona (26-3) has won five straight games with their 90-77 win over USC. The Wildcats have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 home games after winning at least four straight games. This team has lost only once on their home court since the 2013-14 season — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Furthermore, Arizona has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as a favorite of less than 7 points. Frankly, the Wildcats match up well against this Bruins team. UCLA only gets to the free throw line 17 times per game — and Arizona has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games against opponents who do not get to the free throw line more than 18 times per game. And while the Bruins shoot a sensational 41.7% from behind the arc, the Wildcats have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games against teams who hit at least 41% of their shots from the 3-point line after fifteen games into the season. 25* CBB Pac-12 Game of the Year with the Arizona Wildcats (670) minus the point(s) versus the UCLA Bruins (669). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (859) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (860). San Antonio (43-13) returns from the All-Star Break having won four of their last five games with their 107-79 blowout win at Orlando last Wednesday. The Spurs look to get Pao Gasol back for this contest as he is listed as probable after dealing with a hand injury. San Antonio has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing without a day of rest. The Spurs have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. This San Antonio team will be highly motivated for this game on national television having lost both their meetings with the Clippers this season. Their last encounter was back on December 22nd where  Los Angeles pulled the upset as a 2-point underdog by a 106-101 score. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games when avenging a same-season upset loss to their opponents. Furthermore, road favorites in the 3.5-9.5-point range playing with double revenge against an opponent that comes off a game where both teams scored at least 100 points have then covered the point spread in 66 of the last 96 situations (69%) where these conditions applied.

Los Angeles (35-22) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last night in a 123-113 loss at Golden State. The Clippers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games when playing without a day of rest. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the point spread in 48 of their last 77 games after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. There are some rumblings that Chris Paul will take the court again after being medically cleared to play with his injured thumb — but he has yet to practice and did not play last night. He remains listed as questionable. As it is, the Clippers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 112-55 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Game of the Year with the San Antonio Spurs (859) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Clippers (860). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Wright State Raiders (876) plus the points versus the Valparaiso Crusaders (875). Wright State (19-10) saw their four-game winning streak on Tuesday in an 83-76 loss at Northern Kentucky as a 3-point underdog. We had the Norse in that contest — but we like the Raiders even more tonight as they return home for the first game since February 11th in a 9-point win over Green Bay after playing three straight on the road. Wright State has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 home games after playing at least three straight games on the road. The Raiders have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on their home court where they are 11-3 for the season with an average winning margin of +12.4 PPG. Furthermore, Wright State has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 25 home games in the month of February. The Raiders have been hot with their shooting by nailing 48% of their shots over their last five games. And they will be playing with revenge after losing to the Crusaders by a 70-55 score back on January 27th. Wright State has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games when looking to avenge a same-season loss to their opponents.

Valparaiso (23-6) has won four of their last five games with their 67-61 win over Milwaukee on Tuesday. But the Crusaders have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win. Valparaiso has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after a win decided by 6 points or less. This team seems to underachieve on Horizon League Friday nights as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing on a Friday. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games after fifteen games into the season against teams with a winning record. Lastly, in their last 13 encounters with the Raiders, Valpo is just 3-9-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 77-16-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Horizon League Underdog of the Year with the Wright State Raiders (876) plus the points versus the Valparaiso Crusaders (875). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the money line on the New York Rangers (2) versus the Montreal Canadiens (1). Montreal (21-20-6) will be playing just their second game under new head coach Claude Julien. The team struggled in implementing the former Boston Bruins’ coach new systems on both ends of the ice in their opening game under Julien as they lost at home to Winnipeg by a 3-1 score on Saturday. These team still lacks the practice time to hone down these new philosophies. As it is, the Canadiens have lost 5 of their last 6 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. This team has also lost 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Now Montreal goes back on the road where they have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Canadiens have also lost 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice. Goalie Carey Price has not been himself this season particularly away from home where he has been saddled with a 2.85 Goals-Against-Average along with a mere .902 save percentage.

New York (38-19-0) has won seven of their last eight games with their 2-1 win over Washington on Sunday. The Rangers have won a decisive 66 of their last 97 games after failing to score more than two goals — and they have won 9 of their last 10 games after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. New York has also won 5 of their last 6 games after a win. The Rangers stay at home where they have won 5 straight games. New York has also won 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Rangers have also won 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Goalie Henrik Lundqvist is on fire this month. He is 6-1-0 in February with a 1.99 GAA along with a .941 save percentage. Lastly, this team is looking to avenge a 5-4 loss to the Canadiens back on January 14th. Not only have the Rangers won 14 of their last 19 games when avenging a loss where that opponent scored at least four goals but they have won 8 of their last 9 games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least five goals. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Year with the New York Rangers (2) versus the Montreal Canadiens (1). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Fairfield Stags (558) plus the points versus the Monmouth Hawks (557). Fairfield (14-12) looks to bounce-back from a 74-55 loss at St. Peter’s on Sunday as a 6-point underdog that snapped a three-game winning streak. The Stags shot only 37% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last eight games while their defensive field goal percentage of 54% was their worst defensive performance in their last nine contests. This team should bounce-back with a big effort with the opportunity to snap the Hawks’ thirteen game winning streak. As it is, Fairfield has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. The Stags have also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit loss on the road. Fairfield has also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss by at least 15 points. Now they return home here they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Stags have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games as an underdog getting less than 7 points.

Monmouth (23-5) enters this game coming off a 93-75 win over Niagara on Thursday last week as a 15-point favorite. But the Hawks have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. And while Monmouth has allowed one 6 and 7 offensive rebounds in their last two games, the Hawks have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in at least two straight games. Now Monmouth goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games. And in their last 7 road games as a favorite, the Hawks have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Association Underdog of the Year with the Fairfield Stags (558) plus the points versus the Monmouth Hawks (557). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the South Alabama Jaguars (634) minus the points versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers (633). Appalachian State (8-16) has pulled off two straight upset victories with their 83-778 win over Georgia Southern on Monday as a 1-point underdog. But the Mountaineers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Appalachian State has also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after an upset win versus a conference rival. Both these upset wins were on their home court — but not this team goes back on the road where they are an awful 1-12 with an average losing margin of -11.3 PPG. The Mountaineers struggle on both ends of the court away from home as they shoot 40.6% from the field while allowing their home hosts to nail 48.8% of their shots. Appalachian State is just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. Additionally, they are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in the last 4 road games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Mountaineers have failed to cover the point spread all 4 times.

South Alabama (12-13) looks to bounce-back from an 87-61 loss at UL-Lafayette. The Jaguars have rebounded to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Now South Alabama returns home after three games on the road for the first time since January 30th. The Jaguars are 8-5 at home with an average winning margin of +6.6 PPG based largely on good defensive play as they hold their visitors to just 41.5% shooting. South Alabama has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 home games as a favorite laying less than 7 points. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Jaguars have covered the point spread 4 times. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year with the South Alabama Jaguars (634) minus the points versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers (633). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (533) and the Tulane Green Wave (534). South Florida (7-18) enters this game coming off a 68-54 loss to Cincinnati on Wednesday as a 20.5-point underdog. The Bulls have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Now South Florida goes back on the road where they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as an underdog of less than 7 points. And in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Bulls have played 13 of these games Over the Total.

Tulane (4-21) continued their slide this season with an 80-75 loss at SMU in a close loss despite them being big 24-point underdogs. The Green Wave have then played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Tulane has also played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Tulane has also played 5 straight games Over the Total against fellow American Athletic Conference opponents. Now the Green Wave returns home where they have played 7 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, in the last 4 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total in all 4 encounters. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-10 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls (533) and the Tulane Green Wave (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Yale Bulldogs (862) plus the points versus the Princeton Tigers (861). Yale (14-7) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 75-67 against arch rival Harvard as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs have rebounded to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 52 games after a point spread loss. That was the first loss at home for Yale all season who remain 8-1 with an average winning margin of +16.0 PPG on their home court where they score 81.6 PPG while shooting 51.4% from the field. The Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Yale has also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games as an underdog getting less than 7 points.

Princeton (15-6) looks to build off their 61-59 win over Columbia on Saturday as a big 14-point favorite. The Tigers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a  point spread victory. Now Princeton goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games The Tigers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when the favorite. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Princeton has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. Lastly, in their last 5 trips to Yale, the Tigers are just 0-4-1 ATS. 25* CBB Ivy League Underdog of the Year with the Yale Bulldogs (862) plus the points versus the Princeton Tigers (861). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (738) plus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (737). Western Kentucky (12-13) has lost two of their last three games with their 84-79 loss to Marshall as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. That was just the second loss on the Hilltoppers’ home court in ten games this season. Western Kentucky has still covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Hilltoppers have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games as an underdog. Furthermore, Western Kentucky has covered the point spread 8 of their last 11 games overall getting 7-12.5 points. And in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Hilltoppers are 9-4-1 ATS.

Middle Tennessee (22-4) has won two straight games after their 70-55 win over Charlotte on Saturday. That victory came off a 64-51 win at home over Old Dominion last Thursday. But the Blue Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after two straight double-digit wins at home. This Middle Tennessee team has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after two straight wins on their home court. Additionally, the Blue Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 road games after winning two of their last three games. And in their last 17 games in the month of February, Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 79-25-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Conference USA Underdog of the Year with the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (738) plus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (737). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (512) minus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (511). Charlotte (24-31) has lost three straight games — as well as ten of their last eleven — after their 105-99 loss to Philadelphia on Monday as an 8-point favorite. The Hornets are then 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss — and they have are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread setback. Defense has been an issue for this team as they have allowed at least 105 points in twelve straight contests. Charlotte has then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after allowing at least 105 points in two straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. This team will be undermanned tonight with both Cody Zeller and Miles Plumlee nursing injuries — and being without both big men will not help their efforts on defense. The Hornets are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. Charlotte has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against Eastern Conference opponents. And in their last 19 expected high-scoring games with the Total set at least 210, the Hornets have failed to cover the point spread 16 times.

Toronto (32-24) has lost three straight games after their 105-94 loss at Chicago last night. The Raptors do help coming after acquiring Serge Ibaka from the Magic yesterday. While his ability to take the court tonight remains questionable, the transaction should jump start this Toronto team. As it is, the Raptors are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing without a day of rest. And while Toronto has allowed at least 102 games in four straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last two games. Lastly, while the Raptors allow 104.7 PPG, the Hornets have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against teams that allow at least 102 PPG in the second half of the season. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Eastern Conference Game of the Year with the Toronto Raptors (512) minus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets (511). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Richmond Spiders (709) and the George Mason Patriots (710). Richmond (15-9) has won four of their last five games with their 64-52 win at Lasalle as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. The Spiders have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in eight days as they are doing here. Richmond has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a favorite. And while the Patriots hold their opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage, the Spiders have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less. And while Richmond is looking to avenge an 82-77 loss to George Mason back on January 22nd, they have then played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge.

George Mason (17-8) has won three in a row with their 73-67 win over Fordham on Saturday. The Patriots have then played 33 of their last 49 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. George Mason has also now played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total with that contest finished above the 136.5 point total. Moving forward, the Patriots have played 20 of their last 26 home games Over the Total as an underdog. George Mason has also played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total all 5 times. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Richmond Spiders (709) and the George Mason Patriots (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (509) and the Indiana Pacers (510). San Antonio (41-13) saw their two-game winning streak snapped yesterday in their 94-90 loss at New York against the Knicks. The Spurs allowed the Knicks to shoot 50% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last eight games. Expect a better defensive performance tonight. San Antonio has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. And while the Spurs have failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then played 28 of their last 43 games Under the Total after only covering the point spread once in their last four games. Additionally, San Antonio has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 43 road games as a favorite of 6 points or less, the Spurs have played 28 of these games Under the Total.

Indiana (29-25) has lost three straight games with their 116-100 loss to Milwaukee. The Pacers have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, while Indiana has allowed at least 112 points in each of their last three games, they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 105 points in three straight contests. The Pacers stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and that includes four straight Unders when this opponent has a winning percentage on the road of at least 60%. Furthermore, in their last 8 games against Western Conference opponents, Indiana has played 6 of these games Under the  Total. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Indiana, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (509) and the Indiana Pacers (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (857) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (858). Virginia (18-5) has won two of their last three games with their 71-55 win over Louisville last Monday as a 6-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then seen the Under go 21-7-1 in their last 29 games after a straight-up win. The Under is also 19-6-1 in Virginia’s last 26 games after a point spread victory. The Cavaliers lead the ACC with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 96.3. Virginia also holds their opponents to just 39.1% shooting. Moving forward, the Under is 20-7-2 in the Cavaliers’ last 29 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Under is also 5-2-1 in Virginia’s last 8 road games as a favorite of less than 7 points.

Virginia Tech (16-7) has lost three of their last four games with their 74-68 loss at Miami (FL) on Wednesday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Hokies have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And with that game finishing just below the 142.5-point total, Virginia Tech has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow ACC opponents. The Hokies do not have a strong statistical defense overall — but they do hold their visitors to just a 41.6% shooting percentage. That helps explain why Virginia Tech has played 4 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 84-28-5 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB ACC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (857) and the Virginia Tech Hokies (858). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Utah Jazz (516) minus the points versus the Boston Celtics (515). Boston (34-19) has won eight of their last nine games with their 120-111 win at Portland on Thursday as a 3-point underdog. We had the Celtics in that game — and that victory sets up a strong “play-against” situation against them now. Boston has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win. The Celtics have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, Boston has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Celtics have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 road games after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. They look to be without Jae Crowder tonight for personal reasons which leaves Brad Stevens’ team further undermanned after being without Avery Bradley for the last few weeks.

Utah (34-20) saw their four-game winning streak end on Thursday with their 112-105 upset loss at Dallas a 2-point favorite. The Jazz allowed the Mavericks to shoot 50.6% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last five games. Now Utah returns home where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 7 games against Eastern Conference opponents, the Jazz have covered the point spread 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 44-11 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, Utah is supported by a strong historical angle that has been 66% effective since 1996. Utah outscores their opponents by +4.8 PPG while Boston outscores their opponents by +2.4 PPG — and after 42 games into the season, home favorites in the 3.5-9.5 point range who outscore their opponents by +3 to +7 PPG coming off a loss and now facing an opponent with a net point differential in the +/- 3 PPG range have then covered the point spread in 83 of the last 126 situations where these conditions applied. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Game of the Year with the Utah Jazz (516) minus the points versus the Boston Celtics (515). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Saint Mary’s Gaels (680) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679). Gonzaga (25-0) faces their last big test in the regular season tonight in their attempt to complete an undefeated season while erasing some demons from past NCAA Tournament disappointments under head coach Mark Few. This is not Few’s most talented team — but he has nice balance between the perimeter and the frontline with three high-profile transfer players along with two nice freshmen big men. But this is a tough spot for the Bulldogs with this being their fourth game on the road over their last five games over a two-week span. And when this team falters, it is usually because they cannot hit their shots from downtown. In three NCAA Tournament losses to Syracuse, Duke and Arizona, Gonzaga shot a combined 16 of 47 from 3-point land which contributed greatly to their scoring just 60, 52 and 61 points in those games. Now they travel to Saint Mary’s to face a team that is 9th in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 30.9% shooting mark behind the arc. Granted, the Bulldogs destroyed the Gaels by a 79-56 score at home back on January 14th. But Saint Mary’s big man Jock Landale found himself in foul trouble after some silly mistakes and Gonzaga was on fire by nailing 64.7% of their shots. Revenge is a dish best served cold — and the pressure will be on the Bulldogs.

Saint Mary’s (22-2) would love to put a blemish on their West Coast Conference rivals record. They have won seven straight games after their 51-41 win over Portland on Thursday as a 24-point favorite. The Gaels have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. Saint Mary’s shot only 30.6% in that victory so it is safe to say that they have not used up all their good shots and kind bounces off the rim this week. While Gonzaga holds their opponents to just a 37.0% shooting clip, the Gaels have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games against teams that do not allow their opponents to shoot better than 45% from the field. Saint Mary’s previous game was an epic defensive effort as they held San Diego to just 27 points in a 71-27 win in their building. The Gaels have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after not allowing more than 65 points in two straight games. Saint Mary’s has also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games after at least two straight double-digit victories. And in their last 23 home games after a double-digit win, the Gaels have covered the point spread in 18 of these contests. Expect a very close game that Saint Mary’s will have a great chance to win outright. 25* College Basketball Underdog of the Year with the Saint Mary’s Gaels (680) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (529) and the Bowling Green Falcons (530). Buffalo (12-12) has won three straight games with their 65-45 win over Northern Illinois. Despite that strong defensive effort where they Bulls held the Huskies to just a 32.1% shooting percentage, they have still played 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Buffalo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against Mid-American Conference opponents. Furthermore, in their last 6 road games as a favorite, the Bulls have played 5 of these games Over the Total.

Bowling Green (11-13) has won three games in a row as well after their 84-83 win at Kent State as an 8-point underdog. That game finished well above the 151 Total which means the Falcons have now played 4 straight games Over the Total against fellow MAC opponents. Now Bowling Green returns home where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. The Falcons have also played 7 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total as an underdog. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record, Bowling Green has played 7 of these games Over the Total. Lastly, these two teams have played a decisive 18 of their last 23 games Over the Total — including 10 of the last 12 games Over the Total when playing at Bowling Green. Together, these team trends produce our specific 45-7 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (529) and the Bowling Green Falcons (530). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Monmouth Hawks (883) and the Manhattan Jaspers (884). Monmouth (20-5) has won ten straight games with their 74-69 win at Rider on Monday as an 8.5-point favorite. The Hawks won that game despite shooting 36.4% from the field. The held the Broncs to just a 44.3% shooting mark on the other end of the court — and that was actually their worst defensive effort in their last eleven games. Monmouth holds their conference opponents to shooting just 39.9% from the field. Expect a tighter defensive effort tonight. Not only have the Hawks played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win but the Under is 27-12-1 in their last 40 games after a point spread victory. Monmouth has also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Hawks now stay on the road where they have played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total. Monmouth has also played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total as a favorite in the 7-12.5 point range. The Hawks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 7 games against conference opponents, Monmouth has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

Manhattan (9-16) enters this game coming off a 68-67 win over Marist on Saturday as a 6-point favorite. The Jaspers modest 44.7% shooting percentage in that game was actually their best shooting effort over their last six games. Manhattan has then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Jaspers have also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Manhattan has also now played 4 straight games Under the Total in conference play. The Jaspers stay at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 18 games with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range, Manhattan has played 13 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, in there last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Monmouth Hawks (883) and the Manhattan Jaspers (884). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Indiana Pacers (861) plus the points versus the Washington Wizards (862). Indiana (29-23) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 132-117 loss to Cleveland. The Pacers watched the Cavs shoot 54.8% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen contests. Expect a much better effort on the defensive end of the court for Indiana. Indiana is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after surrendering at least 125 points in their last contest. Furthermore, the Pacers have covered the pint spread in 5 of their last 6 gams after a double-digit loss at home. And in their last 12 road games after a loss by at least 15 points, Indiana has covered the point spread 11 times. Additionally, the Pacers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents.

Washington (31-21) looked shaky on Wednesday after their heartbreaking loss at home to Cleveland in a 114-110 loss in Brooklyn where they needed overtime to overcome the lowly Nets. The Wizards have then failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 41 games after a win by 6 points or less. Washington has also failed to cover the point spread in 46 of their last 78 games after a road win where they scored at least 110 points. The team will likely be without big man Markieff Morris who is dealing with a calf injury. And in their last 8 opportunities to host the Pacers, Washington has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Friday ESPN Game of the Year with the Indiana Pacers (861) plus the points versus the Washington Wizards (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (709) plus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (710). Boston (33-19) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped last night in a 108-92 loss at Sacramento. Despite that previous winning streak, the Celtics have still failed to cover the point spread in five straight games. Boston has then covered the point spread in 27 of their last 41 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Celtics are an impressive 42-17-1 ATS in their last 60 games when playing without a day of rest. Brad Stevens’ team has been strong road warriors. Not only are they 12-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games on the road, but they are also 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Boston has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games when playing in Portland.

Portland (23-30) enters this game coming off a 114-113 win at Dallas as a 3-point favorite. But the Trail Blazers have then failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games after a straight-up win. Portland has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Trail Blazers have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Evan Turner remains out for this team as he deals with a hand injury. Lastly, this team does not do well in the bright TNT lights in a nationally televised Thursday contest as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a Thursday night. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Thursday TNT Game of the Year with the Boston Celtics (709) plus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana-Purdue University Jaguars (585) and the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks (586). IUPUI (10-14) snapped a three-game losing streak with an 86-81 win over North Dakota State as a 2-point underdog. Their defense field goal percentage of 44.6% was their best defensive performance in their last nine games. But regression on the defensive end of the court is likely for this Jaguars team that allows their home hosts to shoot 49.0% from the field. IUPUI has played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Jaguars go on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. IUPUI has also played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog.

Nebraska-Omaha (13-11) has won two straight with their 79-67 win at Western Illinois. While that game finished below the 161.5 point total, the Mavericks have still played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in Summit League play. And the Nebraska-Omaha defensive field goal percentage of 41.4% was their best defensive mark in their last five contests. But the Mavericks have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Nebraska-Omaha has also played 14 of their last 17 home games Over the Total. And in their last 6 home games when favored by less than 7 points, the Mavericks have played all 6 games Over the Total. Lastly, while the last meeting between these two teams back on January 11th finished below the 166.5 point total with Nebraska-Omaha’s 79-71 win, the Over is still 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Together, these team trends produce our specific 63-9-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Summit League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana-Purdue University Jaguars (585) and the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Massachusetts Minutemen (728) plus the points versus the Rhode Island Rams (727). Rhode Island (15-7) has won three straight games with their 70-59 win at Davidson as a 2.5-point underdog. The Rams have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games after a point spread win. While this Rhode Island team is 11-1 at home this season, they are just 4-6 when on the road. Tellingly, the Rams are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on the road. Additionally, Rhode Island is just 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, in their last 5 road games when favored by less than 7 points, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread all 5 times.

UMass (12-11) has lost four straight games — as well as eight of their last ten contests — after their 88-78 loss at Lasalle as a 5.5-point underdog. The Minutemen saw the Explorers shoot 51.9% from the field which was tied for their worst defensive effort of the season. It was this Rhode Island team that accomplished that feat against UMass earlier this season. Expect a much better defensive effort from the Minutemen tonight. Their third worst defensive effort this season was significantly better with a 46.7% clip in their previous game against George Mason. UMass holds their visitors to just a 38.6% shooting clip when playing at home. The Rams shoot just 43.4% when away from home. Moving forward, the Minutemen have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after dropping eight of their last ten games. And in their last 5 home games as an underdog, UMass has covered the point spread 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 66-16-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Atlantic-10 Underdog of the Year Massachusetts Minutemen (728) plus the points versus the Rhode Island Rams (727). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, February 5th, we will be playing the New England Patriots (101) minus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (102). IThe Championship experience of Bill Belichick and Tom Brady should play a key role in this contest. These two lead a group that is determined to once again hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy perhaps for the last time while enjoying the sweet taste of revenge against commissioner Roger Goodell for Deflate-gate. Furthermore, Belichick is the master in coaching defenses to take away the best offensive threat from an opponent to make them uncomfortable — and he has two weeks to scheme against this Falcons team. Expect the X-Factor for the Patriots to be LeGarrette Blount who had his best game of the season against the Steelers in their 36-17 victory. Blount’s physical running can help New England control the line of scrimmage and the clock while keeping the Falcons’ offense off the field. New England also enjoys the superior defense that holds their opponents to 15.7 PPG and just 326.6 total YPG.

Atlanta (13-5) has speed to burn on offense — as the Packers found out in the Falcons’ 44-21 victory in the NFC Championship Game. But the Falcons’ score -2.5 PPG less along with gaining -41.2 YPG less when playing on the road. The Atlanta defense also is much less potent as they allow 24.8 PPG along with 367.5 total YPG. And despite all the talk of the continued improvement of this unit as the season went on, they still allows 24.3 PPG while seeing their yardage allowed increase to 383.0 total YPG over their last three games. This was a much different team away from the Georgia Dome as they only outgained their opponents by +14.3 net YPG on the road. Additionally, the strength of schedule this team enjoyed was not the most challenging. Frankly, both the Seahawks and Packers teams they hosted in the playoffs were injured and on the decline relative to their past franchise successes. December contests against the Rams and 49ers were laughers while they traveled to Carolina after they were eliminated from the playoffs. Lastly, the mention of the Panthers is perhaps apropos since they were a trendy team coming out of nowhere built on what looked like a dynamic offense before playing in the Super Bowl. That team fell to an opponent with a better defense with Championship experience. This remains a young Atlanta team perhaps happy to be experiencing the mania of two weeks of build up for this game. Atlanta would not be the first team to fold under the pressure and intensity of this game — and, it would  not be the first time for this franchise. 25* National Football League Game of the Year with the New England Patriots (101) minus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in Super Bowl between the New England Patriots (101) and the Atlanta Falcons (102). In this game between two explosive offenses that has produced the highest Total in Super Bowl history, it is tempting to expect this game to be a shootout that will pay off Over tickets. However, don’t be surprised if the pressure of the Super Bowl along with the extra week of preparation slows the momentum of both offenses. This second week of practice and preparation should also help both defenses — and remember that both Bill Belichick and Dan Quinn are defensive wizards. Furthermore, the Under is supported by a strong historical angle that has been 71% effective since 1983. The Falcons covered the point spread in both their NFC Playoff games — and in games with the Total set at least at 49.5, teams with a winning percentage who have covered the point spread in two straight games now facing a team with a winning record have then played 29 of the last 41 situations where these conditions applied.

Atlanta (13-5) has won six straight games with their 44-21 win over Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game. The Falcons generated 493 yards of offense in that game — but they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. In fact, while Atlanta gained 422 total yards against Seattle in the playoffs and 465 yards in their last regular season game against the Saints, they have then played 28 of their last 40 games Under the Total after playing two straight games gaining at least 375 yards — and they have played 13 of their last 17 game Under the Total after playing at least three straight games gaining at least 375 yards of offense. New England (16-2) has won nine straight games with their 36-17 victory over Pittsburgh in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots gained 431 yards against the Steelers’ defense — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Go contrarian and take the Under. 25* NFL Playoff Total of the Year is with the Under the Total in Super Bowl between the New England Patriots (101) and the Atlanta Falcons (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cal-Davis Aggies (693) and the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (694). UC-Santa Barbara (3-17) has lost five in a row in a lost season after their 79-53 loss to Cal-State Fullerton on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Under is then 8-1-1 in the Gauchos’ last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. The biggest problem for this team is on offense. UC-Santa Barbara is last in the Big West with Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of .876 — and this team is last in both 3-point and 2-point shooting which results in an effective field goal percentage of 39.2% which is also last in the conference. Moving forward, the Gauchos have played 7 straight home games Under the Total. This team has also played 17 of their last 22 home games Under the Total when the underdog — and when UC-Santa Barbara is getting less than 7 points, then they have seen fifteen of these eighteen home games finish below the total.

Cal-Davis (13-9) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 74-70 loss at Cal-Poly SLO as a 1.5-point underdog. The Under is then a decisive 38-16-2 in the Aggies’ last 56 games after a point spread loss. Cal-Davis stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on their home court. The Aggies thrive on the defensive end of the court where this team leads the Big West with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 91.2 along with an opponent’s eFG of 43.8% which is 2nd best in the conference. That helps explain why Cal-Davis is favored in this contest. Not only have the Aggies played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total when not laying more than 6.5 points but they have also played six straight of these games Under the Total when these games are on the road. 25* CBB Big West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cal-Davis Aggies (693) and the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (694) . Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Minnesota Timberwolves (853) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (854). Minnesota (19-30) had won five of their last six games before their 125-97 loss in Cleveland on Wednesday. The Timberwolves allowed the Cavaliers to shoot 53.9% from the field which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen contests. Expect Tom Thibodeau to have had the full attention of his young team in practice in preparation for their defensive efforts and assignments for this contest. As it is, Minnesota has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss. The Timberwolves have also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games after a loss on their home court. And in their last 6 trips to Detroit, the T-Wolves have covered the point spread 5 times. Despite that success, their second-year big man Karl-Anthony Towns has lost all three of his professional encounters with the Pistons’ Andre Drummond — and that should have him extra-motivated to play well tonight.

Detroit (22-27) snapped their three-game losing streak with an 118-98 win over New Orleans on Wednesday. But Stan Van Gundy’s team has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a double-digit victory. Additionally, the Pistons have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Detroit shot 54.5% from the field in that contest against the Pelicans which was their best offensive performance in their 29 games going back to November 30th. But this Pistons team has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home. Even worse, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-18 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Road Warrior of the Year with the Minnesota Timberwolves (853) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (854). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Wofford Terriers (769) minus the points versus the Citadel Bulldogs (770). Wofford (9-13) has lost two of their last three games with their 68-62 loss at Western Carolina despite being a 9-point favorite. The Terriers shot just 40.4% from the field in that contest which was their worst shooting effort in their last nine games. But Wofford has rebounded to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a straight-up loss. Now the Terriers look to avenge a 104-103 overtime loss to the Citadel back on January 2nd despite being a 15-point favorite at home. After committing 23 turnovers in 25.6% of their possessions, there is no doubt that Wofford has practiced against the full-court press that the Bulldogs’ deploy. Expect the Terriers to better protect the basketball as they are 3rd in the Southern Conference by turning the ball over in just 18.0% of their possessions. Wofford has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against Southern Conference foes. The Terriers have also covered the point spread in 8 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, not only has Wofford covered the point spread in 22 of their last 28 games when favored by less than 7 points, but that includes covering the point spread in ten of their last thirteen road games as a favorite of under 7 points.

Citadel (9-14) has lost five in a row after their 82-66 loss at Mercer. The Bulldogs are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. To compound matters, they lost one of their key bench players in 6’4 freshman Kaelon Harris who suffered a season-ending foot injury. The Citadel does return home for the first time in four games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games after playing at least three straight games on the road. The Bulldogs are also just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home. And in their last 5 home games as an underdog of less than 7 points, the Citadel has failed to cover the point spread all 5 times. 25* CBB Southern Conference Game of the Year with the Wofford Terriers (769) minus the points versus the Citadel Bulldogs (770). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Oklahoma City Thunder (522) minus the points versus the Chicago Bulls (521). Oklahoma City (28-21) has lost two games in a row with their 108-94 loss at San Antonio last night as a 9-point underdog. There is no question that this team is missing Enes Kanter down low with the big man out with a broken arm — and that helped contribute to our fading the Thunder in their last two games. But now it is a great time to take OKC as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. They have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a double-digit setback. This team returns home where they are 16-6 with an average winning percentage of +8.0 PPG. The Thunder have covered the point spread in 5 straight home games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. OKC should better back at home after not hitting more than 37% of their shots in their last two contests with both being in hostile environments. Back on their home court, the Thunder shoot 47.4% from the field.

Chicago (24-35) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 121-108 win over Philadelphia on Sunday as a 7-point favorite. But drama remains high in the Bulls’ locker room which could help lead to a flat performance tonight. As it is, Chicago has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bulls have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. And in their last 12 games against Western Conference foes, Chicago has failed to cover the point spread 9 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Wednesday ESPN Game of the Year with the Oklahoma City Thunder (522) minus the points versus the Chicago Bulls (521). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (749) and the Texas A&M Aggies (750). Vanderbilt (10-11) has won two of their last three games with their 84-78 win over Iowa State on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Commodores have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while Vandy nailed 13 shots from behind the arc in their victory over the Cyclones, they have then played 14 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after hitting at least 13 shots from 3-point land. Moving forward, the Commodores have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Under is 23-9-2 in Vanderbilt’s last 34 road games as an underdog of under 7 points.

Texas A&M (11-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped with their 81-77 loss at West Virginia on Saturday. The Aggies have then played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 6 points. Additionally, while Texas A&M has played two straight games Over the Total after that contest finishing above the 144.5 point Total, they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Under is 5-0-1 in the Aggies’ last 6 games when listed as a favorite of under 7 points. Texas A&M is out rebounding their opponents by +6.2 Rebounds-Per-Game — and the Commodores have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with at least +4.0 RPG. Lastly, the Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 encounters between these two teams. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores (749) and the Texas A&M Aggies (750). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the San Antonio Spurs (708) minus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (707). San Antonio (36-11) has lost two straight games with their 105-101 loss to Dallas on Sunday as a 11.5-point favorite. The Spurs have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. San Antonio has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when playing with one day of rest. The Spurs will be focused on producing a better effort on the defensive end of the court after their loss to the Mavericks — and they should be very focused on slowing down Russell Westbrook and the Thunder tonight. This will be the first meeting between these two teams since the Western Conference Semifinals last May when Oklahoma City won two games in San Antonio before closing out that series at home on May 12th with a 113-99 victory. This rematch will be in Alamo City where the Spurs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games. San Antonio has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.

Oklahoma City (28-20) looks to rebound from their 107-91 loss at Cleveland on Sunday. This Thunder team still learning to live life without Kevin Durant has absorbed another big blow when Enes Kanter broke his forearm last week which will keep him on the shelf for two months. Kanter played a critical role in the playoffs against the Spurs last season. OKC has failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 road games in the month of January. And in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Thunder have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games. Lastly, OKC allows their opponents to score 105.2 PPG — and the Spurs have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games against teams that allow at least 103 PPG. Together, these team trends produce our specific 79-28 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Game of the Month with the San Antonio Spurs (708) minus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (707). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Sabres (63) and the Montreal Canadiens (64). Buffalo (20-19-4) is getting outstanding play from Evander Kane whose emergence from a load of potential can makes this a dangerous team in the second half of the season. Kane has produced 9 points over his last nine games before the All-Star break last weekend. The Sabres have played 4 straight games when playing with at least three days off. The Over is also 6-0-1 in Buffalo’s last 7 games on the road which includes a 3-1-1 mark against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on home ice. Goalie Robin Lehner has a 2.57 Goals-Against-Average along with a .921 save percentage — but those marks decline to a 2.75 GAA along with a .917 save percentage when on the road. Furthermore, the Over is 3-1-1 in the Sabres’ last 5 games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Montreal (29-14-6) entered the All-Star break having lost two of their last three games with a 3-1 loss in New York against the Islanders. The Canadiens have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Over is 4-0-1 in Montreal’s last 5 games against Eastern Conference opponents. This team returns home to begin the second-half of the season where the Over is 5-1-2 in their last 8 games. Lastly, don’t be surprised if the Power Play plays a key role in this game finishing Over the Total. The Sabres convert on 22.5% of their Power Plays — and the Canadiens have played 16 of their last 21 games in the second-half of the season Over the Total against teams that convert at least 17.5% of their Power Plays. And while Montreal has a suspect Power Play Kill Unit that allows their opponents to convert 19.9% of their Power Plays, the Sabres have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a Power Play Kill of 19% or worse. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Sabres (63) and the Montreal Canadiens (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Phoenix Suns (510) plus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (509). Phoenix (15-32) has lost three games in a row with their 123-112 loss to Denver on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Suns have been remarkably consistent when bouncing back from setbacks. Phoenix is 48-21-3 ATS in their last 72 games after a double-digit loss which includes covering the point spread in twelve of their last fifteen games after a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are also 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games after a point spread setback. And while Phoenix was whistled for 36 fouls against the Nuggets, they have then covered the point spread in 8 straight games on their home court after a game where they were whistled for at least 30 personal fouls. Moving forward, the Suns have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Phoenix has covered the point spread 4 times.

Memphis (28-21) has won two of their last three games with their 102-95 win at Utah on Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Grizzlies have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Grizzlies stay on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 road games with the Total set in the 200-209.5 point range. And in their last 5 meetings with the Suns, Memphis has failed to cover the point spread 4 times. 25* NBA Bailout Game of the Month with the Phoenix Suns (510) plus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies (509). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Oklahoma Sooners (526) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (525). Oklahoma (8-12) has lost three straight games after their ugly 84-52 loss to Florida in a game where they shot just 27.7% from the field. Look for a much better effort tonight against their in-state rival. As it is, the Sooners are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Moving forward, Oklahoma is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Big 12 opponents. And in their last 6 games as an underdog, the Sooners are 4-1-1 ATS.

Oklahoma State (13-8) has won three straight games with their 99-71 win over Arkansas on Saturday as a 7-point favorite. But the Cowboys have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by at least 20 points. Oklahoma State is also just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Now the Cowboys go back on the road where they have failed to cove the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games when favored — and that includes failing to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 road games when favored by less than 7 points. Lastly, in their last 8 trips to Norman, Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread all 8 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 55-15-4 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big 12 Game of the Month with the Oklahoma Sooners (526) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (525). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (531) and the Canisius Golden Griffins (532). Rider (12-10) has lost five of their last six games with their 80-67 loss at Niagara on Saturday as a 1-point favorite. The Broncs have then played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Rider has also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Broncs shot just 36.8% in that game which does not bode well for them as they stay on the road where they shoot only 41.6% from the field. That helps explains why Rider has played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 11 road games as an underdog of under 7 points, the Broncs have played 9 of these games Under the Total.

Canisius (13-9) has lost three straight games before their 78-64 win over Manhattan. The Golden Griffins enjoyed their best offensive performance of the season in that game as they nailed 56.8% of their shots. That game still finished Under the 158.5 point total in that contest — and Canisius has played 9 of their last 11 home games after a game that finished Under the Total. The Golden Griffins have also played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 10 home games as the favorite, Canisius has played 8 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Canisius, the game finished Under the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 79-25 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (531) and the Canisius Golden Griffins (532). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Illinois-Chicago Flames (868) plus the points versus the Wright State Raiders (867). Illinois-Chicago (11-10) has lost two straight games with their 79-62 loss to Northern Kentucky on Friday as a pick ‘em in that contest. The Flames have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Illinois-Chicago is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Flames will be playing with revenge on their mind after getting blasted in the Horizon League Tournament the last time these two teams met last March 6th in a 74-43 loss. Illinois-Chicago are dangerous underdogs given their tough play on defense as they are 2nd best in the Horizon with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 95.7. The Flames have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as a dog getting less than 7 points.

Wright State (14-8) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Friday with a 70-55 loss at Valparaiso as a 9.5-point underdog. The Raiders have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss — and they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight-up setback. Moving forward, Wright State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. Lastly, in their last 7 road games as a favorite, the Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 63-19-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Horizon League Game of the Month with the Illinois-Chicago Flames (868) plus the points versus the Wright State Raiders (867). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (852) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (851). Michigan State (12-9) has lost three straight games with their 84-73 loss to Purdue as a 1.5-point underdog on Tuesday. The Spartans have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games after a straight-up loss. Michigan State has also rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a double-digit loss at home. Moving forward, the Spartans have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 4 home games as the favorite, Michigan State has covered the point spread all 4 times.

Michigan (14-7) has won two straight games after playing perhaps their best game of the season in a 90-60 thumping of Indiana on Thursday. The Wolverines shot a red hot 63.3% from the field in that game. But what remains a concern is their discipline on defense as they saw the Hoosiers to shoot 54.5% from the field even in defeat. Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. The Wolverines have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. Moving forward, Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 road games as an underdog of under 7 points, the Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 66-23 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Month with the Michigan State Spartans (852) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (851). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (849) and the Villanova Wildcats (850). Virginia (16-3) has won five games in a row with their 71-54 win at Notre Dame as a 2-point underdog. The Cavaliers have then played 20 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 53-19-1 in Virginia’s last 73 games as an underdog of under 7 points. And in their 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 19-7-1.

Villanova (19-2) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with a 74-72 loss at Marquette as a 5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Villanova has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Furthermore, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 4 games as a favorite of less than 7 points, Villanova has played all 4 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 129-43-2 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (849) and the Villanova Wildcats (850). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (507) and the Golden State Warriors (508). Los Angeles (30-17) has lost three of their last four games with their 121-110 loss at Philadelphia on Tuesday as a 4.5-point favorite. The Clippers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Los Angeles has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. The Clippers have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Without the injured Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, this team is limited on offense. But expect head coach Doc Rivers to demand a better effort on defense tonight after seeing the 76ers shoot 50% from the field on Tuesday.

Golden State (39-7) bounced-back from a 113-103 loss at Charlotte on Wednesday with a 113-103 win in Charlotte as a 9.5-point favorite. The Warriors have then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after a point spread victory. Golden State has also played 6 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Under is 23-8-2 in the Warriors’ last 33 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Lastly, in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 94-32-3 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (507) and the Golden State Warriors (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (604) minus the points versus the Kansas Jayhawks (603). Kentucky (17-3) could use this late January non-conference win a bit more than the Jayhawks. The Wildcats need a high-profile won on their resume to help to perhaps secure a number one seed in the NCAA Tournament. Remember, Kentucky lost their previous high-profile matchup at home against UCLA in December. The Wildcats will also be playing with revenge from a 90-84 loss to the Jayhawks last January. Kentucky enters this game coming off a 82-80 loss at Tennessee on Tuesday as a 10.5-point favorite in a game where their 41.7% shooting percentage was their worst mark in their last seven. But reliability on offense has been a staple for this John Calipari team. Their 43.4 PPG in the paint this season is on pace to be the most from a major conference team over the last six seasons. The Wildcats also score 26.4 PPG in transition this season which is 2nd most in the nation. Kentucky has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. Moving forward, Kentucky has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 28 home games — including 12 of their last 16 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 29 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Wildcats have covered the point spread 20 times.

Kansas (18-2) does not have nearly the stakes in this game with a number one seed likely secured if they win the Big 12 Tournament in March. Head coach Bill Self intimated as much in comments preceding this contest. The Jayhawks are also looking to bounce-back from an 85-69 loss at West Virginia on Tuesday. Kansas has a few fundamental flaws right now that make them vulnerable against elite competition. Their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 95.3 is just 40th in the nation as compared to Kentucky’s 91.9 mark which is 13th best. The Jayhawks also only convert 63.2% of their free throws which is 332nd in the nation. This team will also be undermanned with 6’10 forward Carlton Bragg suspended indefinitely. As it is, Kansas has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games. The Jayhawks have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. Lastly, Kansas will likely play right into Kentucky’s plans as the Jayhawks’ average 15.3 seconds per offensive possession which is almost as crisp as the 14.3 seconds that Calapari’s team averages. 25* CBB Big 12-SEC Challenge Game of the Year with the Kentucky Wildcats (604) minus the points versus the Kansas Jayhawks (603). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Appalachian State Mountaineers (564) plus the points versus UT-Arlington Mavericks (563). Appalachian State (6-12) has lost three in a row with their 83-72 loss at Georgia State last Monday as a 9-point underdog. This was one of the worst games of the season for the Mountaineers. Appalachian State shot just 39.3% from the field — and the 56.9% mark they allowed the Panthers to enjoy was their worse defensive performance in their last twelve games. The Mountaineers have rebounded to go 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while App State has failed to cover the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after failing to cover the spread in two of their last three. Now this team returns home where they are 5-2 with an average winning margin of +22.9 PPG. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games as an underdog of under 7 points. Appalachian State are dangerous sharpshooters at home as they make 43.6% of their shots from behind the arc while averaging 25 3-pointers per game at home.

UT-Arlington (15-5) has won three straight games with their 108-71 blowout win over UL-Lafayette on Monday. But the Mavericks have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a win by at least 20 points against a conference rival. UT-Arlington comes off one of their best performances of the season. Their 57.1% shooting percentage in that contest was their best offensive effort of the season — and by holding the Ragin’ Cajuns to just a 32.9% mark, they had their third best defensive performance of the season along with their best effort in their last nine games. UT-Arlington is getting outscored when on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Mavericks have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as a favorite of under 7 points. Lastly, while UT-Arlington holds their opponents to just a 41.1% shooting mark this season, the Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 6 straight home games against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or better. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Underdog of the Month with the Appalachian State Mountaineers (564) plus the points versus UT-Arlington Mavericks (563). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Central Michigan Chippewas (619) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (620). Central Michigan (13-7) has won three of their last four games after their 82-76 win over Bowling Green as a 6-point favorite on Tuesday. The Chippewas held the Falcons to just a 30% shooting percentage from the field which was their best defensive effort in their last eleven contests. Except regression from this team considering that home teams shoot at a 47.2% clip against CMU. As it is, Central Michigan has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, the Chippewas have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 4 games as an underdog of less than 7 points, CMU has played all 4 games Over the Total.

Kent State (11-9) has won two and covered the point spread in straight games with their 73-66 win at Northern Illinois as a 4-point underdog on Tuesday. The Golden Flashes have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Kent State has now played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against MAC competition. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Golden Flashes have played 4 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Lastly, while the Total is installed in the mid-170s, the Over is supported by an empirical angle that has been 77% effective over the last five seasons. In games with the Total set at least at 170, when one team (Kent State) has covered the point spread in at leas two straight games, these games finished Over the Total in 36 of the last 47 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Central Michigan Chippewas (619) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Dayton Flyers (885) plus the points versus the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (886). Dayton (15-40 has three straight games — as well as eight of their last nine — with their 67-46 blowout win over St. Louis as a 23.5-point favorite. The Flyers have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. This Dayton team matches up well with the Rams since they are better on both ends of the court in dealing with the turnover game that this VCU team still likes to employ in their post-Shaka Smart era. The Flyers force turnovers in 23.1% of their A-10 opponent’s possessions which is 2nd best in the conference and a bit better than the 22.3% defensive mark for VCU in conference play. And while the Rams commit turnovers in 19.8% of their conference possessions (5th in the A-10), Dayton is 4th in the league with an 18.3% turnover rate. The Flyers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 road games as an underdog of less than 7 points, Dayton has covered the point spread in 5 of these contests.

VCU (15-5) snapped their two-game losing streak last Sunday with a dominant 90-52 victory over Lasalle as a 7-point favorite. This might have been the best overall game of the season for this Rams team. Their 56.5% shooting percentage in that game was their top offensive performance of the season while the 28.3% shooting percentage they held the Explorers to was their second best defensive performance second only to an early November contest against Binghamton. But except a letdown from this team that has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. VCU has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 8 home games as a favorite of less than 7 points, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread 7 times. 25* CBB Atlantic-10 Underdog of the Month with the Dayton Flyers (885) plus the points versus the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (886). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the New Orleans Pelicans (868) plus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs (867). New Orleans (18-28) has lost four of their last six games after a 114-105 loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Pelicans have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Anthony Davis has been slowed down with a quad injury — but he is listed as probable for tonight’s game. Remember that this Pelicans team without Davis defeated the Cavaliers earlier this week. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 44 home games as an underdog, the Pelicans have covered the point spread in 29 of these contests.

San Antonio (36-9) has won five in a row with their 108-106 win at Toronto on Tuesday as a 3-point underdog. The Spurs have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when playing with two days of rest. Kawhi Leonard is listed as questionable for this game as he deals with an injury to his left hand. Pau Gasol remains out with a hand injury of his own. Moving forward, the Pelicans average only 18 personal fouls per game — and San Antonio has failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 37 games in the second half of the season against teams that do not commit more than 21 personal fouls per game. Additionally, the Spurs have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 trips to the Big Easy to face the Pelicans. Lastly, road favorites in the 3.5-9.5 point range coming off an upset win on the road as an underdog now playing on a Friday night have failed to cover the point spread in 49 of the last 71 situations (74%) where these conditions applied. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Southwest Division Underdog of the Year with the New Orleans Pelicans (868) plus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs (867). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Utah Jazz (708). Los Angeles (16-33) has lost seven of their last eight games with their 105-98 loss in Portland last night as an 8-point underdog. The Lakers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Over their last two contests, the absence of D’Angelo Russell is impacting this team on the offensive end of the court as they are shooting only 38.9% from the field and a mere 28% from behind the arc. Additionally, in the last 14 games in the second-half of the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range, the Lakers have played 12 of these games Under the Total.

Utah (29-18) has lost two straight games themselves with their 103-93 loss at Denver on Tuesday as a 2-point underdog. The Jazz have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Utah has also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their game. This team is also struggling to shoot the basketball with Gordon Hayward hitting just 29.6% of his shots and George Hill shooting 28.6% of his shots over their last two games. Moving forward, the Jazz have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Lastly, in the last 18 games between these two teams in Utah, the Under is 11-5-2. Together, these team trends produce our specific 62-17-2 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (707) and the Utah Jazz (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.