At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Wizards (534) minus the points versus the Atlanta Hawks (533). THE SITUATION: Washington (22-30) has lost three of their last four games after their 131-115 loss to Milwaukee on Saturday as a 6-point underdog. Atlanta (12-35) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 118-112 upset win at Phoenix as a 2-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WIZARDS MINUS THE POINTS: Washington should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Wizards have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Washington stays at home where they are 15-10 this season. The Wizards have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Washington has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 home games after a game where at least 245 combined points were scored — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set at least at 230. Atlanta comes off one of their best efforts of the season. The Hawks made 51.2% of their shots against the Suns which was the best offensive effort in their last eight games — and they held Phoenix to a 46.9% field goal percentage which was the best defensive performance in their last five contests. Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset win as a road underdog. The Hawks have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Atlanta completes their seven-game road stand tonight so don’t be terribly surprised if they mail-in this effort as they prepare to return home. The Hawks are just 9-22 on the road this season where they are being outscored by -8.8 PPG. Atlanta lets their home hosts make 48% of their shots from the field — and their last five opponents have made 50.6% of their shots. The Hawks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Atlanta has also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: Washington usually plays well against Southeast Divisional rivals as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games against divisional foes. The Wizards are still in the Eastern Conference playoff race as they are only 2 1/2 games out of the eighth and final spot. This is a game they need to win. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Southeast Division Game of the Year with the Washington Wizards (534) minus the points versus the Atlanta Hawks (533). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the New England Patriots (101) and the Los Angeles Rams (102). THE SITUATION: New England (13-5) has reached the Super Bowl for the third straight year along with fourth time in the last five seasons with their 37-31 win in overtime at Kansas City as a 3-point underdog. Los Angeles (15-3) earned the right to play them with their 26-23 upset win in overtime in New Orleans as a 3-point underdog. Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta will host Super Bowl LIII.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: In theory, these are two teams that like to run the ball first to establish their passing game. Both these teams have two of the best offensive lines in the NFL. New England lacks a dynamic deep threat after they lost the services of wide receiver Josh Gordon. Los Angeles has evolved into a power run team with the addition of C.J. Anderson to complement running back Todd Gurley. Yet even if this is a low scoring game early on, I expect the final score to reach the Over. In part, because this game shapes up to be very competitive, the closeness of the game should push the scoring up. And as things get more desperate as the game gets into the 4th quarter, both teams’ passing games should take over. We certainly got burned in the AFC Championship Game with New England going into the 4th quarter with a 17-7 score before 38 combined points were scored to ruin our Under play. The Patriots scored 31 points in regulation away from the Meadowlands in less cold weather while reaching 524 total yards of offense after their overtime touchdown drive. Offensive proficiency like that from Tom Brady typically is a sign that New England should be able to keep their offense clicking on all cylinders. The Patriots have played 53 of their last 79 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and they have also played 34 of their last 52 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. New England has also played 40 of their last 61 games Over the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. The Patriots also lit up the good Chargers defense for 41 points in their 13-point win in the AFC Divisional round of the playoffs. New England has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least 35 points in two straight contests. The extra week of preparation should help Brady and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels scheme for the Rams defense as they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with two weeks of preparation. Additionally, the Patriots have played 7 of their last 8 games in the playoffs Over the Total. This Super Bowl will feature two defenses that are middle of the pack — the metrics from Football Outsiders ranks New England 16th in the league in defensive DVOA while the Rams rank 19th in that metric. The Patriots allowed 24.8 PPG when playing away from home this season while Los Angeles gives up 24.0 PPG overall for the year. The Rams should dial up a great offensive game plan to take advantage of the Patriots defense that could not stop the Chiefs in the 4th quarter. Los Angeles has played 18 of their last 29 games Over the Total when playing with two weeks of rest and preparation. The Rams got sensational play from Jared Goff in the second-half of their victory over the Saints. Goff completed 25 of 40 passes for 297 yards after leading his team to their game-winning field goal in overtime. Los Angeles has then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a game where they passed for at least 250 yards. And while the Rams have covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in two straight games.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is in the high-50s for this Super Bowl — but that is warranted given the ideal conditions in the dome stadium and the high level of proficiency from both these offenses. Expect a high-scoring game. 25* NFL Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the New England Patriots (101) and the Los Angeles Rams (102). Best of luck for us — Frank. For those interested in Super Bowl Props, I will have my Betting Card for a Best Bet, Top Overlay Bet (offering the best value relative to the odds), and my top Long Shot Bet by Saturday (2/2) with it being attached as a Free Bonus to a Saturday (and Sunday) College Basketball play).

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (101) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (102). THE SITUATION: New England (13-5) has reached the Super Bowl for the third straight year along with fourth time in the last five seasons with their 37-31 win in overtime at Kansas City as a 3-point underdog. Los Angeles (15-3) earned the right to play them with their 26-23 upset win in overtime in New Orleans as a 3-point underdog. Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta will host Super Bowl LIII.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PATRIOTS MINUS POINTS: The Rams were one of the top two betting favorites to win the Super Bowl before the season started but I always considered them overrated. Playoff wins over a Cowboys team that finished 3-6 on the road while scoring 17.4 PPG in those contests and then the controversial way they won in New Orleans in the NFC Championship Game did little to change this initial opinion. The travesty non-call on wide receiver Tommylee Lewis likely cost the Saints the game — and that call obscured another bad non-call penalty interference on Ted Ginn on the previous drive that probably sets up another New Orleans scoring drive. Admittedly, the officials missed a face mask call on Jared Goff in their game-tying drive that ended in a field goal — but the terrible officiating did more to keep the Rams in the game, all things considered. This represents the signature victory for Los Angeles this season — yet it lacks any definitive statement moving forward given the shaky circumstances from which they escaped with the win. The Rams defeated a still-improving Chargers team earlier in the season before beating Kansas City at home who proved to be a team that simply could not stop any quality offense. I had concerns over whether the Rams’ collections of free agent splurges could come together to form a cohesive unit given the history of Dan Snyder’s teams in Washington and the so-called “dream team” of the 2011 Philadelphia Eagles. I have never loved the collection of egos that were assembled with this team — and the two weeks of Super Bowl hype is not the best way for hired guns to mentally prepare for a game of this magnitude. And given that this franchise is facing a salary cap crunch in the offseason, there is tremendous pressure on this team to take advantage of this moment. The Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games in expected close games where they were listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Patriots have a substantial advantage at quarterback given the experience of Tom Brady versus a Jared Goff playing in just his fourth playoff game. Goff was exposed late in the season when made uncomfortable against the Bears and Eagles in a game plan that Bill Belichick will have completely mastered. While Goff made some great plays in the second-half against the Saints, this is still a quarterback who did not play nearly as well on the road and who clearly missed his security blanket in wide receiver Cooper Kupp who suffered a season-ending injury midseason. The weakness of the Rams’ defense has always been their linebackers after they traded Robert Quinn and Alec Ogletree in the offseason to clear cap room space. That left that group thin on the edge which has been compounded by the decline of inside linebacker Mark Barron whose past Achilles’ injury has seen his speed and athleticism dwindle to subpar levels. Los Angeles is second-to-last in the NFL by allowing 8.8 Yards-Per-Attempt from play-action passes. Brady is going to pick apart this Rams’ defense in the middle of the field with his assortment of weapons that feasts on mismatches like this. Defensive coordinator Wade Phillips has been stubborn with his cornerback positioning by keeping Talib Aqib on the left side of the field which allowed opponents to exploit Marcus Peters. LA ranked 2nd in the NFL in pass defense on Aqib’s side of the field when he was healthy while ranking 24th in the league on Peters’ left side — and these vulnerabilities are exactly the things that Brady will have a field day exploiting. This is an opportunity for New England to redeem themselves from last year’s loss in the Super Bowl. While the final score indicated that the Eagles won by 8 points, remember that the Patriots had a 33-32 lead with under 3 minutes to go before letting that game slip away. Brady was sensational in that game against a defense better than this Rams’ unit — he completed 28 of 48 passes for 505 yards with three touchdowns all without the services of the injured Julian Edelman. Brady’s offensive support is better this time around with a healthy Edelman and an improved offensive line. Brady was not sacked in 90 passing attempts in this year’s playoffs. And don’t underestimate the positive impact of rookie running back Sony Michel who has given the Patriots their most talented running back in years. Finally, I just find the playoff experience that this New England team enjoys to offer this franchise a decisive edge. This is Brady and Belichick’s ninth Super Bowl appearance in eighteen seasons. Belichick’s assistants have been with him for years as well: offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels has been with New England for fifteen of Belichick’s nineteen seasons there; offensive line coach Dante Scarnecchia has been with them for seventeen of Belichick’s nineteen seasons; running backs coach Ivan Fears has been there for all nineteen seasons. From the two weeks of preparation and planning for the Super Bowl to the management of the game, the Patriots simply have a huge edge. While Sean McVay is the wunderkind of the league now, his reputation was saved by the bad non-call late in the game against the Saints that pushed to the background his bad decision to not go for the touchdown earlier in the 4th quarter when he elected to kick a tying field goal. Rams’ backers for this game mention things like the “value” they offer as a small underdog. I think those are sentiments that are rationalizing hype from the preseason. Let’s also remember that New England has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games against teams with a winning record while also covering the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games in the playoffs.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams opened as a 1.5-point favorite but were quickly bet down to a 1-point underdog to the Patriots. Since that time, New England has been bet up to 2.5 to 3-point favorites as of a week before the game. This line movement is consistent with how I initially handicapped this matchup. I did consider a contrarian angle regarding the Rams being pushed by the commentary that New Orleans was robbed by the referees but I quickly dismissed it. I don’t think the Rams need any more bulletin board material for them to get motivated to win a championship. Besides, the referee's storyline from last week will be old news by kick off for this game. The Patriots traveled to Arrowhead Stadium and outgained Kansas City by a decisive 524 to 290 margin. With the edges in coaching, quarterback, and playoff experience (after losing last year’s Super Bowl that I saw as basically a coin flip or two away from them winning), New England is the strong play. 25* NFL Super Bowl A-List Special with the New England Patriots (101) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (102). Best of luck for us — Frank. For those interested in Super Bowl Props, I will have my Betting Card for a Best Bet, Top Overlay Bet (offering the best value relative to the odds), and my top Long Shot Bet by Saturday (2/2) with it attached as a Free Bonus to a Saturday (and Sunday) College Basketball play.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the UAB Blazers (742) minus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (741). THE SITUATION: UAB (14-8) has the opportunity for immediate revenge as they host Middle Tennessee (6-16) after getting upset in their gym by a 71-65 score despite being a 6-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLAZERS MINUS THE POINTS: UAB should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after an upset loss as a favorite. The Blazers made only 41.1% of their shots in that game — but now they return home where they are making 50.1% of their shots this season. UAB is 10-1 on their home court this season while outscoring their guests by +13.1 PPG. The Blazers lead Conference USA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are holding their visitors to just 62.7 PPG with a low 37.8% field goal percentage. UAB has covered the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Furthermore, the Blazers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games when laying 6.5 to 12 points. And while UAB has played two straight games Over the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after playing two straight Overs. Middle Tennessee is due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Now the Blue Raiders go back on the road where they are 0-12 this season with an average losing margin of -18.1 PPG. Middle Tennessee only scores 59.2 PPG away from home on 38.2% shooting which is not surprising when considering that they rank 12th in Conference USA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Blue Raiders are not much better on defense either where they rank 11th in the conference in Adjusted Efficiency. Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Blue Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: Middle Tennessee travels to Birmingham for this rematch where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 trips to face the Blazers. We are on a great College Basketball run right now with the conference sample sizes now large enough to make some strong comparative assessments — and this play really popped when I got to it on the large CBB card where I look closely at every game on the docket to find hidden gems (and I hope I did not just jinx it for us — great situations still do not always win). 25* CBB Conference USA Game of the Year with the UAB Blazers (742) minus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (741). Bets of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (869) and the Wisconsin Badgers (870). THE SITUATION: Maryland (17-5) snapped a two-game losing streak on Tuesday with a 70-52 win over Northwestern as a 7.5-point favorite. Wisconsin (15-6) has won four straight games after their 62-51 upset win at Nebraska as a 3.5-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Terrapins played a great game on defense against the Wildcats as they held them to just a 31% field goal percentage. Maryland has played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. And while that game finished below the 132.5 point total, the Terrapins have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished below the number. Maryland’s defense has traveled this season — they are holding their home hosts to just 62.2 PPG on low 39.6% shooting. The Terrapins have held their last five opponents to just a 39.4% field goal percentage as head coach Mark Turgeon continues to see improvement from his team on that end of the court. But while Maryland is loaded with talent, their offense can stall out. Turgeon decided early on to move his best player, Anthony Cowan, off the ball to put him in better positions to score while lowering his work rate as he did with Melo Trimble’s final year with the program. But while it was Cowan who glided into the point guard position then, freshman Eric Ayala is struggling with this transition this season. The Terrapins starting point guard has a higher turnover rate than assist rate and he is one of the reasons that this team ranks 13th in the Big Ten by turning the ball over in 21.0% of their possessions. Maryland scored 78.7 PPG when playing at home — but that number drops to just 68.6 PPG when they are playing on the road. Over their last five games, the Terrapins are making just 42.8% of their shots. The Terrapins have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Big Ten opponents — and they have played 3 of their last 4 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Wisconsin has played 26 of their last 31 games Under the Total after an upset victory over a Big Ten rival. The Badgers play outstanding defense — they rank 5th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while also ranking 12th in the country with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 44.8%. Wisconsin has held their last five opponents to just 33.6% shooting from the field — and Big Ten opponents are making only 37.8% of their shots against them. Furthermore, the Badgers are holding their visitors to just 61.7 PPG on low 40.4% shooting — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. One of the reasons why the Badgers are so tough to score on is that their games are almost entirely consisting of slogs in the half-court. Wisconsin is 9th in the nation by turning the ball over in just 14.9% of their possessions. But the Badgers’ half-court offense has slowed down as opponents have made the decision to key on D’Mitrik Trice. While the 6’0 guard is averaging 13.9 PPG, he is scoring 12.2 PPG over his last five games which includes only 8 points against the Cornhuskers and only 6 points against Michigan. Senior Ethan Happ gets most of the headlines for this team — but he is not a good natural shooter given his 47% free throw percentage along with zero made 3-pointers this season. Wisconsin is making just 43.8% of their shots over their last five games. Head coach Greg Gard does have an assortment of players who can make 3-pointers — they rank 3rd in the Big Ten by making 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc. But the Terrapins defend the perimeter well — they rank 4th in the Big Ten with an opponent’s 3-point mark of just 31.1% and home teams are making only 29.1% of their 3-pointers against them when they are playing on the road. The Under is a decisive 38-18-4 in Wisconsin’s last 60 games against Big Ten opponents — and the Badgers have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. With two head coaches that preach defense facing offenses that have significant holes, expect a lower scoring game once again between these two teams. 25* CBB Friday FS1 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Maryland Terrapins (869) and the Wisconsin Badgers (870). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the IUPUI Jaguars (864) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (863). THE SITUATION: IUPUI (13-9) has won three of their last four games with their 80-65 win over Detroit last Saturday as an 8-point favorite. Northern Kentucky (18-4) has won six games in a row with their 73-60 win over Wisconsin-Milwaukee last Saturday as a 16.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JAGUARS PLUS THE POINTS: Northern Kentucky has established themselves as the class of the Horizon League in his fourth year with the program. But this is basketball team that has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after winning at least three straight games in conference play. The Norse held Milwaukee to just a 36.9% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last seven games. But Northern Kentucky has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing no more than 60 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Norse has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit win on their home court. Now after playing their last two games at home, Northern Kentucky goes back on the road where they experienced all four of their losses including a 2-point conference loss at Oakland that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks as the 209th best team in the nation (as compared to the #179 ranking for IUPUI, for comparisons sake). The Norse have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. IUPUI defeated the Titans last week despite seeing them shoot 51.1% from the field which was the worst defensive effort in their last eight games. The Jaguars stay at home where they are 8-2 this season with an average winning margin of +11.7 PPG. IUPUI should play better on defense tonight as they hold their visitors to just a 43.2% field goal percentage. But what makes the Jaguars tough to beat when playing at home is their ability to score points — they are averaging 84.3 PPG while making 49.6% of their shots on their home court. IUPUI leads the Horizon League by pulling down 36.7% of their missed shots. Former 4-star recruits coming out of high school are rare commodities in the Horizon League but head coach Jason Gardner has one in Vanderbilt transfer Camron Justice who left that program to liberate himself from a crowded backcourt situation. The Jaguars rise to the occasion against good teams as they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. IUPUI has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Jaguars will also have revenge on their minds after losing to the Norse on the road back on December 28th by a 92-77 score. IUPUI has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss on the road to their opponents. 25* CBB Horizon League Underdog of the Year with the IUPUI Jaguars (864) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (863). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters (647) and the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (648). THE SITUATION: UC-Irvine (17-5) has won three straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 82-64 win over UC-Riverside last Saturday as a 13-point favorite. UC-Santa Barbara (15-4) has won seven of their last eight games with their 82-71 win at Long Beach State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: UC-Irvine has played 27 of their last 38 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Anteaters made 52.5% of their shots on Saturday which was the best offensive effort in their last six games. But now UC-Irvine goes back on the road where they are making just 41.6% of their shots. The Anteaters’ defense should travel — they lead in the Big West Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while also leading the conference with an opponent’s effective goal percentage of 46.1%. UC-Irvine holds their home hosts to just a 38.3% field goal percentage. The Anteaters have played 15 of their last 19 road games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total as the favorite. Additionally, UC-Irvine has played 12 of their last 14 games on the road Under the Total against fellow Big West opponents. UC-Santa Barbara has played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and this includes them playing eight of their last nine home games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Gauchos return home where they are a perfect 9-0 while holding their visitors to just 56.3 PPG on low 36.4% shooting. The Under is a decisive 34-15-2 in UC-Santa Barbara’s last 51 games on their home court — and they have also seen the Under go 6-1-1 in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Gauchos can struggle to score points — they are 8th in the Big West in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Over their last five games, UC-Santa Barbara is making only 42.8% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams typically play lower scoring games. The Under is 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings between these two teams — and this includes them playing four straight Unders when facing off in Santa Barbara. Expect another lower-scoring game between these two teams. 25* College Basketball Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters (647) and the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos (648). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Detroit Mercy Titans (606) minus the points versus the Cleveland State Vikings (605). THE SITUATION: Detroit Mercy (8-13) has lost three straight games after their 80-65 loss at IUPUI last Saturday as an 8-point underdog. Cleveland State (6-16) snapped their eight-game losing streak on Saturday with their 72-62 win over Youngstown State as a 1.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TITANS MINUS THE POINTS: Detroit should bounce-back to play a good game tonight as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 21 games after double-digit loss on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. And while Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 contests after failing to cover the point spread in three straight contests. Now after playing their last two games on the road, the Titans return home where they are 5-4 this season with an average winning margin of +6.4 PPG. Detroit has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Titans have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Detroit has a good head coach running things in Mike Davis — and they are the second best team in the Horizon League in terms of Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Titans are making 48.1% of their shots over their last five games. They are also second in the Horizon League with a 38.9% shooting mark from behind the arc — and the Vikings are 7th in the conference by allowing their opponents to make 36.5% of their 3-pointers. Detroit should also find success forcing turnovers — they lead the Horizon League by forcing turnovers in 21.2% of their opponent’s possessions. Cleveland State is 8th in the conference by forcing turnovers in 19.5% of their possessions. The Vikings are due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And while Cleveland State has only covered the point spread once in their last five games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least three of their last four games. This Vikings team is not good — they are last in the Horizon League in both Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Now after playing their last three games at home, Cleveland State goes back on the road where they are 0-9 with an average losing margin of -13.5 PPG. The Vikings make only 40.6% of their shots on the road — and they allow their opponents to score 84.3 PPG on 47.6% shooting away from home. Cleveland State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games after playing their last three games at home. Additionally, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 150 to 154.5 point range — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road as an underdog getting 6.5 to 9 points. Furthermore, Detroit is 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games when playing at Detroit.

FINAL TAKE: This should be a hidden gem on tonight’s big college basketball card as this Vikings team has been not good at all when playing on the road. Detroit is not great either — but they have bee respectable when playing in front of their home crowd. By making their 3s and forcing turnovers, Davis’ team does a few things that should help them win this game comfortably. 25* CBB Horizon League Game of the Month with the Detroit Mercy Titans (606) minus the points versus the Cleveland State Vikings (605). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (836) plus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (835). THE SITUATION: Washington State (8-12) has lost three straight games as well as nine of their last ten games with their 78-58 loss at Oregon on Sunday as a 13-point underdog. UCLA (11-9) has won three games in a row with their 90-69 blowout win over Arizona on Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS PLUS THE POINTS: After playing their last two games on the road as well as seven of their last nine games away from home, Washington State returns home to play for just the third time since December 19th. This is the anti-Duke college basketball schedule who played in their first true road game on January 8th. Washington State defeated Cal by an 82-59 score in one of these lonely two home games before getting upset as a small 2-point favorite to Stanford. The Cougars are 8-3 on their home court this season with an average winning margin of +10.6 net PPG. They play much better defense at home where they hold their visitors to just a 43.4% field goal percentage. But where Washington State thrives back on the familiar home court is in shooting the basketball where they make 49.1% of their shots including 37.9% of their shots from behind the arc. The Cougars should have a field day from outside against this Bruins team that has allows their home hosts to drill 40.9% of their 3-point shots. Washington State has covered the point spread in a decisive 34 of their last 54 home games after losing at least four of their last five games. The Cougars have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 33 home games, as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points, Washington State has covered the point spread 21 times. Washington State should certainly get more whistles tonight after getting to the line only four times when playing in Eugene against the Ducks and Nike University. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a game where they did not attempt at least 7 free throws. Washington State has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 expected high-scoring games with the Total set at least 160. This team has a good player who bypassed the NBA last year in forward in Robert Franks who is scoring 21.2 PPG while averaging 7.6 Rebounds-Per-Game — and he missed five games this season including four of the nine losses this team has experienced during this recent stretch of games. UCLA has plenty of talent with rotational players returning from last year’s NCAA Tournament team along with five top-100 freshman recruits. However, this team has been an inconsistent mess that has already cost head coach Steve Alford his job. Admittedly, the Bruins played one of their best games of the season in their blowout win over the Wildcats on Saturday. UCLA made 57.9% of their shots in that game in what was the best shooting performance of the season — and they held Arizona to just a 33.3% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last thirteen contests. But a letdown is highly likely for this wildly inconsistent team that has lost eight of their nine games by double-digits. The Bruins have failed to get the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a win by at least 20 points. Perhaps it is the lack of a senior on the roster that contributes to the immaturity of this squad. They also cannot make their free throws which is a very dangerous characteristic for a small road favorite. UCLA is 345th in the nation by making just 60.8% of their shots at the charity stripe — and that number drops to an incredible 58.9% mark in conference play. The worst-case scenario playing out early tonight could be still salvaged by the Cougars putting the Bruins on the line so they can trade missed free throws for made 3-pointers. Then again, this UCLA team is just 1-5 on the road with an average losing margin of +14.7 PPG. The Bruins make only 41.8% of their shots on the road — and they allow their home hosts to make 47.6% of their shots which translates into 86.2 PPG. UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games when favored by no more than 6 points.

FINAL TAKE: I have considered this Washington State team a little underrated this season in the weak Pac-12 given that their record includes not having their best player for five games. It took some elbow grease researching this game to discover just how skewed the Cougars schedule has been — but this offers us a very nice opportunity now against a reliably unreliable UCLA team. 25* CBB Pac-12 Game of the Month with the Washington State Cougars (836) plus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (835). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (561) and the New Orleans Pelicans (562). THE SITUATION: Denver (34-15) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 95-92 win at Memphis as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday. New Orleans (23-28) snapped a three-game losing streak last night with their surprising 121-116 upset win at Houston as a big 13.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after an upset win by at least 10 points — and this includes them playing three of their four games Over the Total when that double-digit upset win was over a Southwest Divisional rival. New Orleans has also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. This team is a  M*A*S*H unit right now with Anthony Davis out (and perhaps never to wear a Pelicans’ jersey again given his declaration that he will not resign with the team when his contract expires and Nikola Mirotic, Julius Randle, Elfrid Payton, E’Twaun Moore all dealing with injuries. The latter three are listed as questionable for tonight as of this writing. This leaves the team with only Jrue Holiday as the only regular starter available for the Pelicans — but he starred alongside Jahil Okafor and a slew of bench players last night. This group buys-in to head coach Alvin Gentry’s aggressive defensive schemes and fast-tempo. The Pelicans made 51.1% of their shots against the Rockets last night — and their 48.9% field goal percentage in their last five games since Davis suffered his injury is higher than the 48.1% mark they have overall for the season. I am not sure how well New Orleans will play on defense tonight — but they should continue to score plenty of baskets back at home where they are averaging 118.4 PPG on 48.4% shooting. The Pelicans have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a dog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, New Orleans has played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. Where the Pelicans really miss Davis is with their interior defense. Through his injury on January 19th, opponents were taking 39.5% of their shots at the rim when Davis was not on the court — that would translate into the second-highest mark if extended to the entire season. The lack of credible rim protector without Davis requires the Pelicans to help on defense — and that opens things up for these opponents on the perimeter again. Opponents were making 46.7% of their corner 3s against New Orleans with Davis off the court before his injury. While Houston lacks a credible inside scoring threat (especially with Clint Capela injured), the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic should have a field day against the Pelicans inside tonight. Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after both a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Nuggets were sluggish for most of that game with the Grizzlies as they made only 43.5% of their shots which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eight games. Denver rallied from a 25-point third quarter deficit as well as a 17-point margin in the fourth quarter to pull out that win. They should shoot much better tonight — they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total in the month of January. The Nuggets have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: New Orleans averages 103.2 possessions per game which is the 5th quickest pace in the NBA. Their injuries require them to play small-ball — and that should facilitate both teams flying up and down the court like the Pelicans’ game with the Rockets last night. Even in a losing effort, Houston scored 116 points while making just 39.6% of their shots. We took that Over last night — and I think we have another big advantage versus the number tonight. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (561) and the New Orleans Pelicans (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (810) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (809). THE SITUATION: Tulsa (12-9) has lost three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 77-65 loss to Houston as a 7.5-point underdog on Sunday. Memphis (13-7) has won four of their last five games with their 77-57 win over Central Florida as a 1-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN HURRICANES PLUS THE POINTS: Tulsa should rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Head coach Frank Haith has a solid team this season that returned six of the top ten players from last year’s squad that finished 19-12. The Golden Hurricanes will be happy to stay at home after playing four of their last six games on the road. Tulsa has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 home games after a straight-up loss. The Golden Hurricanes have endured a difficult schedule at home as of late. Metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks that Cougars team they played on Sunday as the 20th best team in the nation. The other loss at home over their last six games was in overtime against a Cincinnati team that Pomeroy ranks as the 24th best team in the country. Tulsa has registered a win at home against UConn that Pomeroy ranks at #76 and they also have a win on a neutral court against Dayton that Pomeroy ranks at #68 — so hosting this Memphis team that Pomeroy places at #71 is a very winnable game for them. The Golden Hurricanes are 10-2 at home this season with an average winning margin of +5.9 PPG. They make a healthy 46.6% of their shots on their home court — but their more impressive play is on defense where they limit their guests to just a 39.9% field goal percentage. Tulsa has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, the Golden Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. Tulsa thrives at getting to the free throw line — they rank 4th in the nation with a Free-Throw-Attempt to Field-Goal-Attempt ratio of 46.3%. Memphis plays at the 10th fastest pace in the nation — but this blazing tempo has the side effect of producing plenty of fouls. The Tigers are 281st in the nation with an opponent’s FTA:FGA ratio of 37.7%. Memphis is due for a big emotional letdown after their big win over the Knights on Sunday. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 9 straight games after a win by at least 10 points over an American Athletic Conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a victory by at least 20 points over a conference opponent. This young Memphis team has been tough at home in that rejuvenated environment under first-year head coach and local icon Penny Hardaway. The Tigers are 11-1 on their home court this season. But Memphis is just 2-6 when playing away from home this year where they are being outscored by -6.6 PPG. The Tigers are allowing 80.2 PPG when on the road with those opponents making 46.0% of their shots. Memphis also sees their 46.2% field goal percentage on the season drop to just a 42.4% mark when playing away from home. The Tigers’ two wins away from home do not inspire confidence in this situation. Memphis defeated Tulane in a true road game while also beating Canisius on a neutral court — yet Pomeroy ranks those teams as his 301st and 241st teams in the nation (to offer some context for those accomplishments). The Tigers are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Those six returning players on the Golden Hurricanes will also have revenge on their mind as it was Memphis who handed them their twelfth loss to end their season last year by a 67-64 last March in the American Athletic Conference tournament. These are two teams fighting for a second-tier postseason tournament this year — Tulsa’s home court edge along with their likely spending a lot of time on the free throw line tonight should make the differences. 25* College Basketball Underdog of the Month with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (810) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (809). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Chelsea (200153) and Bournemouth (200154). THE SITUATION: Chelsea (14-5-4) looks to rebound from a 2-0 shutout loss on the road at Arsenal in their last English Premier League match back on January 19th. Bournemouth (9-3-11) returns to EPL play after the break going off a 2-0 win over West Ham on January 19th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Chelsea needed help with their attack so they made a big splash in the January transfer window by adding Gonzalo Higuain to be their striker. Frankly, I am not bullish on the veteran forward who seemed past his prime this summer as part of the vast Argentina disappointment at the World Cup. Higuain thrived when playing for manager Maurizio Sarri at Napoli — but that was back for the 2015-16 season. However, the best benefit of getting Higuain on the pitch is it frees up for their best player, Eden Hazard, to go back to his preferred space out wide rather than playing the traditional striker role. Higuain has already made his debut with the Blues last week in a 3-0 victory over Sheffield in FA Cup action which is encouraging regarding this team finding their offensive attack again. Chelsea has seen 29 combined goals scored in their eleven EPL matches on the road this season. They have scored 40 goals this season but 31 of these have come against the non-power six teams in the league. In those seventeen matches against the bottom-fourteen sides in the EPL, the Blues have seen 40 combined goals scored. In their last six road matches in the EPL against non-power six teams, Chelsea has seen at least three combined goals scored in five of those contests. The Blues will put plenty of pressure on the Cherries in this match. They are second in the league by averaging 15.7 shots per game — and they lead the EPL by averaging 15 shots per game when playing on the road in executing Sarri’s aggressive system. Bournemouth may not have their top striker in Callum Wilson who is dealing with hamstring and knee injuries after limping off the pitch in their win over West Ham — he was downgraded to doubtful yesterday for this match. But the Cherries have a capable second striker in Joshua King so his loss does not derail their offensive attack. Bournemouth has scored 21 times in their twelve matches at home this season — so they should find the back of the net at least once in this contest. However, the defense is the problem for this team that has allowed the fourth most goals in the EPL this year. The Cherries allow the third most shots (12.85) when playing at home this season — so this match with Chelsea will likely see them surrender plenty of shot attempts. Bournemouth typically gets exposed when playing one of the traditional top-six teams in the league (Man City, Man United, Liverpool, Arsenal, Tottenham, and Chelsea). They have allowed 22 goals in their seven matches against the power-six teams which translate into over 3.0 goals-per-game surrendered. The Cherries have seen 10 combined goals scored in their three matches at home against power-six teams with the visitor scoring 8 times.

FINAL TAKE: With Chelsea being one of the most active teams in the league and Bournemouth vulnerable to these teams, expect a higher-scoring contest this afternoon. 25* EPL Television Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between Chelsea (200153) and Bournemouth (200154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (547) and the Houston Rockets (548). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (22-28) has lost three straight games with their 126-114 loss to San Antonio on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. Houston (29-20) has won three straight games with their 103-98 win over Orlando on Sunday as an 8.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. And while New Orleans has lost five of their last six games, New Orleans has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven contests. This team is mired with injuries with Anthony Davis out with a hand injury and fellow big man Nikola Mirotic also out with a calf injury. With Julius Randle questionable with an ankle injury as well, this leaves head coach Alvin Gentry pretty thin with options on his frontline. Smaller lineups from Gentry will likely see the Pelicans push the pace even faster than the 103.19 possessions per game average they already average which is 6th fastest in the NBA. New Orleans goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total. The Pelicans have also played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. And in their last 5 games against fellow Western Conference opponents, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Houston has played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Rockets have won four of their last five games — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five contests. The team did see Chris Paul III return to the court on Sunday with his minutes being limited until he gets himself back into shape. The Rockets stay at home where they are averaging 116.7 PPG. Houston has played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, while their win over the Magic fell well below the 221.5 point Total, they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the number. Houston held Orlando to just a 40.2% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last eighteen games. Yet the Rockets have still allowed their last five opponents to score 116.4 PPG. Houston has played 4 straight games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Pelicans will be looking to avenge a 108-104 loss at home to the Rockets back on December 29th — and they have played a decisive 40 of their last 64 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. With New Orleans’ injuries, it will be Small Ball City in this contest which should facilitate a blazing pace and a high scoring game. 25* NBA TNT Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (547) and the Houston Rockets (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (603) and the Arkansas Razorbacks (604). THE SITUATION: Georgia (10-9) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 98-88 upset win over Texas as a 4.5-point underdog. Arkansas (11-8) has lost five of their last six games with their 67-64 loss at Texas Tech as a 10-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs made a season-high 66.7% of their shots in their rout of the Longhorns. The Regression Gods are highly likely to make a visit to Fayetteville for this Georgia team that makes only 45.2% of their shots on the road. And in their six conference games this season, they are hitting just 41.4% of their shots. The Bulldogs have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Georgia has also played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Bulldogs have also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last contest. Furthermore, while Georgia has played their last two games Over the Total, they have then played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs. The Bulldogs go back on the road where they are scoring just 69.1 PPG. They have played 15 of their last 21 road games Under the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Arkansas has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total. And while the Razorbacks have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Arkansas returns home where they are 8-4 while holding their opponents to just 70.7 PPG on low 40.7% shooting from the field. The Razorbacks have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is in the 150s for this contest given Arkansas’ fast “40 Minutes of Hell” pace. But the Razorbacks have still played six of their last eight games Under the Total — and they are hosting a Bulldogs team that is likely to see their hot shooting disappear in a hostile environment. 25* CBB SEC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (603) and the Arkansas Razorbacks (604). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:45 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Arsenal (200134) minus the Goal-Line versus Cardiff City (200133). THE SITUATION: Arsenal (13-5-5) returns from the winter break looking to build off their 2-0 win at home over Chelsea back on January 19th. Cardiff City (5-4-14) looks to rebound from their 3-0 loss at Newcastle back on January 19th.

REASONS TO TAKE ARSENAL MINUS THE GOAL-LINE: The Gunners will be looking to redeem themselves back at home at the Emirates following their 3-1 loss to Manchester United last Friday in FA Cup action. The Gunners lost defenseman Laurent Koscielny with a jaw injury in that match to further deplete an injured back line. However, that will not likely be an issue for Arsenal in this match. The Gunners are flat track bullies when playing at home. They have won five straight EPL matches on their home pitch with a dominant 14-4 goal differential over that span which includes two victories over top-six sides in Chelsea and Tottenham. Overall, Arsenal is 9-2-1 at home this season with a +16 goal differential. The Gunners are 7-1-0 at home when hosting a team outside the traditional top-six powers with 19 goals scored and just five goals conceded. Six of these eight victories at home against the bottom-fourteen sides have been by at least two goals which makes laying the -1.5 goals for this match an intriguing proposition. Arsenal simply makes their living by overwhelming teams like this when playing at home. The Gunners are 32-1-0 in their last thirty-three matches at home when facing a team currently in the bottom-three relegation zone going back to April of 2007. Arsenal is also 20-3-0 in their last twenty-three matches at home going back to November 2010 against newly promoted teams in EPL action. Cardiff City is currently in 18th place with 19 points which has them 2 points behind Newcastle for safety in 17th place. The Bluebirds are 1-2-4 in their last seven EPL matches — but while this team has been feisty against teams on the lower end of the table, their lack of talent has been exposed by the elite teams in the league. Cardiff has lost all seven of their matches against the top-six teams while conceding 25 goals in those matches and scoring just 5 times. The Bluebirds have struggled on the road as well where they are 1-2-8 this season with just 6 goals and 21 conceded. Not surprisingly, it has been ugly for Cardiff City when playing on the road against top-six teams as they have lost all three of those matches with a -7 net goal differential. To make matters worse, this team has been distracted over the break with the tragic news that their high-priced transfer Emiliano Sala went missing in a plane crash and is presumed dead. Sometimes tragedy can rally a group together but I suspect this will be demoralizing for this group who never got the chance to play with Sala. The Bluebirds are also without their captain Sean Morrison who is recovering from appendicitis surgery.

FINAL TAKE: Arsenal is tied for third in the EPL with 48 goals with 26 of these goals being at home at the Emirates. The Gunners take care of business against the bottom feeders — and when they score first this afternoon, the route should be on. 25* EPL Match of the Month with Arsenal (200134) minus the Goal-Line versus Cardiff City (200133). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (856) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (855). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (16-4) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 67-64 win over Arkansas as a 10-point favorite. TCU (15-4) has won two straight games with their 55-50 win over Florida as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED RAIDERS MINUS THE POINTS: Texas Tech has the best Adjusted Defensive Efficiency mark in the nation. They have not allowed more than 64 points in thirteen straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after not allowing more than 65 points in at least two straight games. This is the Red Raiders’ third game since last Tuesday — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when playing their third game in a week’s span. And while Texas Tech has only covered the point spread once in their last ten games, they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 home games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Red Raiders stay at home where they are 11-1 this season with an average winning margin of +21.3 PPG. The conventional wisdom regarding this Texas Tech team is that they lack a reliable second scoring option after their superstar sophomore Jarrett Culver. But his supporting cast plays better on their home court — the team had a 51.2% field goal percentage in their win over the Razorbacks on Saturday. The Red Raiders make 49.6% of their shots at home which has translated into 73.3 PPG. They also limit their guests to just 52.0 PPG along with a filthy low 32.7% field goal percent. Texas Tech should also be able to create scoring opportunities in transition against this Horned Frogs team that is 9th in the Big 12 by turning the ball over in 20.8% of their possessions. The Red Raiders are 6th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 24.0% of their opponent’s possessions. TCU has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. The Horned Frogs win over the Gators on Saturday was preceded by a 65-61 win at home against Texas last Wednesday — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after winning two straight games by 6 points or less. TCU has played three straight games Under the Total — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after playing at least two straight Unders. Now the Horned Frogs go back on the road where they are making only 44.9% of their shots — and they are shooting just 40.1% from the field over their last five games. TCU has failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 30 road games with the Total set in the 130 to 134.5 point range — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in those last three situations. This is a bad matchup for this Horned Frogs team coming off their best two wins of the season against Florida and Texas. The Red Raiders hold their opponents to just 56.3 PPG on 35.7% shooting. TCU has failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games after fifteen games into the season against teams with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 39% of lower — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games against teams that do not allow more than 57 PPG. And while the Horned Frogs make 47.2% of their shots overall with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 40.5%, the Red Raiders have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games against teams who make at least 45% of their shots and who hold their opponents to no better than 42% from the field.

FINAL TAKE: Jamie Dixon has done a great job with the TCU basketball program — but scoring will be very hard to come by in Lubbock against this defensive dynamo that Chris Beard has constructed at Texas Tech. 25* CBB Big Monday ESPN Game of the Month with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (856) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (855). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (534) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (533). THE SITUATION: Boston (30-19) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 115-111 loss at home to Golden State as a 3-point underdog. Brooklyn (27-23) has won six straight contests with their 109-99 win over New York as an 8.5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS MINUS THE POINTS: Boston should play well tonight as they look to begin a new winning streak as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. The Celtics stay at home where they are 19-6 with an average winning margin of +10.3 PPG. Boston has covered the points spread in 16 of their last 23 home games as a favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range. Furthermore, the Celtics have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 18 games on their home court against fellow Atlantic Division opponents. Brooklyn was the beneficiary of ten fewer personal fouls charged against them than the 31 whistles blown against the Knicks in their game on Friday — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after getting called for at least 10 fewer personal fouls than their opponent in their last game. The Nets have been one of the surprises of the league with their 27 wins — but fourteen of these victories have been decided by single digits so this is a team that has been fortunate to win a disproportionate number of their close games. This team is also dealing with a host of injuries right now. Caris Levert is out the year with his Achilles’ injury and starting guard Allen Crabbe has been on the shelf since the beginning of the month with a knee injury. Furthermore, now Jared Dudley is out with a hamstring injury and Joe Harris is questionable with a hip for tonight’s contest. These are not good developments for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Brooklyn has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games as a double-digit underdog.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch from the Nets' 109-102 win at home as a 2-point underdog back on January 14th. Boston has covered the point spread in 30 of their last 41 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 100 points — and they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a home favorite. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month with the Boston Celtics (534) minus the points versus the Brooklyn Nets (533). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (71) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (72). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (31-15-1) takes the ice again after the All-Star break by looking to bounce-back from a 4-2 loss in Dallas back on January 19th. Philadelphia (19-23-6) entered the break on a three-game winning streak after their 5-2 win at Montreal two Saturdays ago on January 19th.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg had been on a four-game winning streak so they should be eager to get the bad taste out of their mouths with that disappointing loss to the Stars. The Jets have won 14 of their last 16 games after a loss — and they have won 13 of their last 14 road games after a loss to a Central Division rival. Furthermore, Winnipeg has won 8 of their last 10 games when playing with at least three days of rest. The Jets stay on the road where they are 13-9 this season while scoring 3.1 Goals-Per-Game in those contests. Winnipeg has won 9 of their last 13 games on the road. They have announced that backup goaltender Laurent Brossoit will be between the pipes tonight — but that is fine news. Brossoit has a 5-1 record in six starts on the road this year with a 2.22 Goals-Against-Average and a .930 save percentage. Brossoit is also 8-1 this year with a 1.71 GAA and a save percentage of .952 when playing with at least three days between starts. Furthermore, the Jets have won 25 of their last 34 games against Eastern Conference opponents. Philadelphia has lost 7 of their last 10 games against Western Conference foes. They are playing better hockey as of late — but they have still lost 7 of their last 10 games after a victory. Additionally, the Flyers have lost 13 of their last 16 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. This team is 10-13 on home ice this season but they have an average losing margin of -0.4 Goals-Per-Game. Philadelphia has lost 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Flyers will have revenge on their minds after losing in Winnipeg back on December 9th by a 7-1 score in the last meeting between these two teams. But Philadelphia has lost 11 of their last 16 games at home when attempting to avenge a loss where they allowed at least five goals. 25* NHL Monday NBC Sports Network Game of the Month with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (71) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (72). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Timberwolves (524) plus the points versus the Utah Jazz (523). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (24-25) had won three games in a row before traveling Utah on Friday where they lost to the Jazz by a 106-102 score as a 10.5-point favorite. This home-and-home divisional series returns to Minnesota for the rematch tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIMBERWOLVES PLUS THE POINTS: Minnesota made only 42.2% of their shots in that game which was the worst offensive effort in their last five contests. The Timberwolves have played three straight games Under the Total — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 home games after playing two straight games Under the Total and they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 16 home games after playing three straight Unders. After playing their last three games on the road, they should enjoy a better offensive night back at home where they have a team field goal percentage of 45.6% which has translated into 114.0 PPG. Minnesota is 16-8 on their home court with an average winning margin of +5.9 PPG. Additionally, the Timberwolves have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 home games with the Total set at 220 or higher. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as an underdog. Furthermore, the Timberwolves have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents. This team is playing better defense under interim head coach Ryan Saunders who has seemed to establish a better rapport with the players than what Tom Thibodeau was able to nurture. The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eleven games with them enjoying a Defensive Rating 6th best in the NBA over that span which is far better than their ranking of 17th for the season. Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a victory at home where they failed to cover the point spread as a favorite. The Jazz are also 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games are a straight-up win. And while Utah has won eight of their last nine games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after winning at least three of their last four games. Moving forward, the Jazz are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents, Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are dealing with a bevy of injuries at the point guard position. Utah is missing Raul Neto and Dante Exum which leaves them Ricky Rubio along with Joe Ingles who has assumed point forward responsibilities. For the T-Wolves, Jeff Teague is out and Derrick Rose is questionable with an ankle injury — but they are getting good play from Jerryd Bayless who logged in over 40 minutes on Friday. Expect a strong effort from Minnesota in this rematch after being on the road for the last three games. 25* NBA Northwest Division Underdog of the Month with the Minnesota Timberwolves (524) plus the points versus the Utah Jazz (523). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (834) minus the point(s) versus the Central Florida Knights (833). THE SITUATION: Memphis (12-7) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 85-76 loss at Temple as a 5-point underdog. Central Florida (15-3) has won their last two games after their 75-50 win at Tulane as a 12-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS MINUS THE POINT(S): Memphis should rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. The Tigers made only 39.7% of their shots in that game which was the worst offensive performance in their last twelve games. Memphis should shoot much better back at home where they are making 49.1% of their shots which has translated into 90.8 PPG in head coach Penny Hardaway’s fast pace offense. The Tigers are averaging 75.3 possessions per game which is the 6th fastest tempo in the nation (and far above the 68.6 national average for possessions). Memphis returned four starters from last year’s 21-13 team with Hardaway bringing in a nice five-person freshman class led by a rising star in Tyler Harris. This fast pace has contributed to the team leading the American Athletic Conference with a 56.8% shooting percentage inside the arc. The Tigers are 10-1 at home with an average winning margin of +16.0 PPG. Memphis also plays tough defense at home as they have held their visitors to just a 41.7% field goal percentage. The Tigers have also held their last five opponents to a low 41.1% shooting mark. Memphis has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 145 to 149.5 point range — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 home games as a favorite laying no more than 6 points. Central Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a double-digit win over a conference rival. Furthermore, the Knights have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game — and they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, UCF has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after winning at least twelve of their last fifteen games. The Knights go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games with the Total set in the 145 to 149.5 point range. Central Florida has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog of no more than 3 points.

FINAL TAKE: This is Memphis’ first opportunity to avenge a 68-84 loss at home to the Knights when they last played back on February 11th. Look for the new-look Tigers under Hardaway to earn the win. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Game of the Month with the Memphis Tigers (834) minus the point(s) versus the Central Florida Knights (833). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (700) minus the points versus the Arkansas Razorbacks (699). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (15-4) has lost three straight games after their 58-45 loss at Kansas State as a 2.5-point underdog on Tuesday. Arkansas (11-7) snapped a four-game losing streak on Wednesday with a 72-60 win over Missouri as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED RAIDERS MINUS THE POINTS: After a 15-1 start, Texas Tech has lost three straight games. I am chalking this up to just a tough stretch in the challenging Big 12 with their last two games being played in hostile territory. The Red Raiders lost by a 72-62 score at Baylor in their game prior to their contest with the Wildcats with their losing streak beginning with a 4-point loss at home to Iowa State. Metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks all three of those opponents in his top-43 teams in the nation. Texas Tech has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after suffering two straight losses by double-digits on the road. And while the Red Raiders have only covered the point spread once in their last nine games, they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 21 games on their home court after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The conventional wisdom regarding this Texas Tech team is that they lack a credible second scoring threat after their superstar Jared Culver. Returning home to Lubbock will help these secondary scorers — the Red Raiders are making 49.5% of their shots on their home court which has translated into 73.9 PPG. Texas Tech is 10-1 at home this season with an average winning margin of +23.0 PPG — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 135 to 139.5 point range. The Red Raiders also need to share the ball more — they only had 7 assists in their loss to the Wildcats. But Kansas State has covered the point spread in 29 of their last 43 home games after failing to generate at least 9 assists in their last contest. But what makes this Texas Tech team tick is their outstanding play on the defensive end of the court. The Red Raiders lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their visitors to only 50.9 PPG along with a very low 31.8% field goal percentage. Texas Tech is 7th in the nation in forcing turnovers in 23.9% of their opponent’s possessions — and the Razorbacks are 12th in the SEC by turning the ball over in 20.2% of their possessions. Arkansas has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. The Razorbacks have covered the point spread twice in their last eleven games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight road games after failing to cover the point spread in eight of their last ten games. Arkansas has also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games on the road after losing four of their last five games. The Razorbacks are led by 6’10 sophomore Daniel Gafford who has a future in the NBA but has sometimes looked lethargic and disinterested with this team that has ten new players from last year’s NCAA Tournament team. Arkansas struggles to shoot the basketball on the road where they are making 43.6% of their shots. This team will likely struggle with the slow pace that the Red Raiders will attempt to dictate. The Razorbacks have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, Arkansas has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams outside the SEC.

FINAL TAKE: The Razorbacks score many of their points in transition with their head coach Mike Anderson’s “40 minutes of Hell” approach. But Arkansas will turn the ball over as much as they will force turnovers in this game — and it will be the half-court defense of the Red Raiders that will eventually overwhelm this young Arkansas team playing in a very difficult place to play. 25* CBB Big 12-SEC Challenge Game of the Year with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (700) minus the points versus the Arkansas Razorbacks (699). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (572) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (571). THE SITUATION: Houston (27-20) looks to build off their 114-110 win at New York against the Knicks on Wednesday as an 8-point favorite. Toronto (36-14) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 110-106 loss at Indiana as a 6-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKETS MINUS THE POINTS: Houston is being carried right now by James Harden who is averaging 52.2 PPG over his last five games. He should be very motivated to make a splash on national television tonight. Their win over the Knicks fell below the 227 point total on Wednesday — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after a game that finished Under the Total. They return home where they are 17-7 this season. The Rockets are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Houston has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Additionally, while Houston is without the injured Chris Paul and Chris Capela, they have still managed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Toronto has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. And while they have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering at least three of their last four games. Now the Raptors stay on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games. Toronto has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 road games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Harden should be awesome once again tonight — and his supporting cast usually plays better on their home court. The Rockets have a good chance of pulling the upset tonight — but take the points for some insurance. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Game of the Month with the Houston Rockets (572) plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (571). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Indiana Hoosiers (852) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (851). THE SITUATION: Indiana (12-7) has lost five straight games after their 73-67 loss at Northwestern on Tuesday as a 2-point underdog. Michigan (18-1) bounced-back from their first loss of the season at Wisconsin by defeating Minnesota back in Ann Arbor by a 59-57 score as a 12.5-point favorite on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HOOSIERS PLUS THE POINTS: Indiana was out-rebounded by a 44 to 29 margin against the Wildcats — but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after being out-rebounded by at least 15 boards in their last game. The Hoosiers have been the victim of a brutal stretch of games in the highly-competitive Big Ten conference — each of their last five opponents (Michigan, Maryland, Nebraska, Purdue, Northwestern) ranks in metrics guru Ken Pomeroy’s top-56 ranked teams. Indiana has registered impressive wins against Louisville, Marquette, and Butler who Pomeroy ranks 16th, 33rd, and 44th in the nation. This is a talented team that returned six of the top ten players from last year’s team with second-year head coach Archie Miller bringing in a strong freshman class led by Romeo Langford. Indiana has only covered the point spread once in their last six games — but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Now after on the road for four of their last five games against these strong Big Ten teams that are all likely to make the NCAA Tournament, the Hoosiers return home to Bloomington where they are 10-1 with an average winning margin of +18.6 PPG. Indiana is 4th in the nation by making 57.5% of their shots inside the arc — and they are making 54.2% of their shots on their home court. The Hoosiers also tighten things up on defense at home where they are holding their guests to just 60.9 PPG along with a low 39.1% field goal percentage. Indiana has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 home games after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning percentage over 80%. Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a narrow win by no more than 3 points against a Big Ten rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. And while the Wolverines have covered the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Michigan is struggling to score points as of late — they are experiencing difficulties choosing good shots to take while lacking a true go-to scorer. The Wolverines have a nice collection of offensive talent but they are all more comfortable being the second guy. Last year’s group had two experienced veterans who wanted the basketball when it was time to make a basket in Moritz Wagner and the underrated Muhammad-Ali Abdur Rahman. The Wolverines are only making 44.4% of their shots over their last five games. Michigan held the Gophers to just a 40.4% field goal percentage in their win on Tuesday which was the best defensive effort in their last six contests. The Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 road games as a favorite laying no more than 6 points.

FINAL TAKE: Indiana will be looking to avenge a 74-63 loss in Ann Arbor as a 9-point underdog back on January 6th. Don’t be surprised if the Hoosiers pull the upset — but take the points for some nice insurance in what should be a close game. 25* CBB Friday FS1 Game of the Month with the Indiana Hoosiers (852) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (851). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the BYU Cougars (664) plus the point(s) versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (663). THE SITUATION: BYU (12-9) saw their three-game winning streak on Saturday with their 82-63 loss at San Francisco as a 7-point underdog. Saint Mary’s (13-7) has won four straight games with their 76-59 win over San Diego as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS PLUS THE POINTS: The Gaels have covered the point spread in four straight games as well as five of their last six contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And while Saint Mary’s has played their last two games Under the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 24 games after playing their last two games Under the Total. This team’s best win this season came in non-conference play when they defeated a New Mexico State team back in November that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy currently ranks as the 60th best team in the nation. The Gaels were 27-4 last year but their lack of a convincing non-conference schedule kept them out of the NCAA Tournament. Five of their top seven players from that team graduated including Jock Landale who had been the leader of this team for years. Now Saint Mary’s goes back on the road where they are 3-5 this season while making just 43.9% of their shots which is far below their 48.9% clip for the season. Playing away from home at McKeon Pavilion detracts from this team’s outside shooting — and this team has not been doing a great job of sharing the basketball. Last year with Landale keying the offense, the Gaels assisted on 54.9% of their field goals which was 104th best in the nation. This season. Saint Mary’s have seen their assist rate on made field goals drop to 42.3% which is 342nd in the nation. The Gaels have dished out only 10 team assists in two straight games — and they have failed to cover the points spread in 8 of their last 13 games are failing to produce at least 12 team assists in two straight contests. Saint Mary’s have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after winning four or five of their last six contests. BYU should bounce-back after their disappointing loss on Saturday as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a double-digit loss on the road. The Cougars have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a loss to a fellow West Coast Conference opponent — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss on the road to a conference foe. BYU has failed to cover the point spread in seven of their last nine games — but they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games while also covering the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home after a point spread loss. The Cougars made only 44.2% of their shots in that game which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games but things were much worse on the defensive end of the court as the Dons’ 63.6% field goal percentage was by far the worst defensive effort of the year. Now this team returns home where they are 9-1 with an average winning margin of +16.2 PPG. BYU should shoot much better tonight back at home where they are scoring 83.9 PPG while making 48.1% of their shots. The Cougars are 10th in the nation by making 56.9% of their shots inside the arc. BYU should also play much better defense as they hold their visitors to just a 39.4% field goal percentage. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: BYU has registered a nice non-conference win over a Utah State team that Pomeroy ranks as the 40th best team in the nation. The Cougars only lost one important contributor from last year’s team that finished 24-11 after losing in the NIT in what was considered a rebuilding year. BYU will have revenge on their mind after losing to the Gaels by an 88-66 score back on January 5th. The Cougars have their best opportunity in years to hop Saint Mary’s in the WCC standings so winning this rematch is very important to David Rose’s basketball team. 25* CBB Thursday ESPN2 Game of the Month with the BYU Cougars (664) plus the point(s) versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (663). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Samford Bulldogs (673) and the Wofford Terriers (674). THE SITUATION: Samford (12-8) has lost four of their last five games with their 93-87 loss to Mercer as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Wofford (15-4) has won six games in a row with their 59-54 win over Furman as an 8-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Terriers have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a victory. Wofford is one of the best mid-majors in the country after returning all five starters and some depth from last year’s team that finished 21-13 with a win over North Carolina. This year’s team lost to North Carolina on opening night of the season by 9 points but they later earned a win over South Carolina. This team uses four guards in their starting lineup that deploys an offense that is highly proficient in making 3s. The Terriers are 28th in the nation by making 38.2% of their 3-point shots — and that number rises to a 39.9% mark when they are playing at home. Wofford averages 88.3 PPG on their home court while making 51.4% of their shots. The Terriers have paled 37 of their last 51 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Wofford has also played 18 of their last 23 home games Over the Total as a favorite — and they have also played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total when laying double-digits. The Terriers made only 38.9% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst offensive effort in their last ten games. Yet over their last five games, the Terriers have made 52.6% of their shots even after that subpar effort. Overall, Wofford ranks 23rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They should have a field day against this Bulldogs team that has allowed their last five opponents to make 47.5% of their shots. Samford is 8th in the Southern Conference by allowing their conference opponents to make 37.9% of their 3-point shots. The Bulldogs have played a decisive 50 of their last 69 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Samford has played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss to a conference rival. The Bulldogs tend to play more Overs because they play at a quick pace. They average 16.3 seconds per possession which is the 67th fastest pace in the nation — and that tempo has risen in conference play to 15.9 seconds per possession. Samford has allowed their last five opponents to score at least 76 points — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 75 points in four straight contests. The Bulldogs go back on the road where they have played 5 stage games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Samford has also played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings in Wofford’s gym Over the Total. Expect another high scoring game between these two teams with the Terriers scoring plenty of points in response to Samford’s preferred quick pace. 25* CBB Southern Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Samford Bulldogs (673) and the Wofford Terriers (674). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (36) versus the Nashville Predators (35). THE SITUATION: Vegas (29-18-3) has lost three of their last five games after their 4-2 loss at home to Minnesota on Monday. Nashville (29-18-3) had lost four of their last five games before rebounding to defeat the reeling Avalanche team (that just fired the general manager) in Colorado on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Head coach Gerard Gallant has been very good in getting his team to respond with a strong effort after a loss. Vegas has bounced-back to won 38 of their last 58 games after a loss — and they have won 9 of their last 12 games after a loss by at least two goals. The Golden Knights’ success in their 1 1/2 years of existence has been predicated on having an outstanding home ice advantage. Vegas does not lose often when playing at T-Mobile Arena — and when they do, they have then won 5 of their last 7 games while also winning 6 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least two goals on home ice. Furthermore, the Golden Knights have won 10 of their last 15 games after allowing at least four goals in their last game. With the All-Star Break beginning tomorrow and a challenging four-game trip to the east coast on deck next week, Vegas needs this victory. Gallant was very disappointed with his team’s effort on Monday: "I don't think we played good (against the Wild). I don't think we showed up ready to play a team that was aggressive for points. I don't think we played hard enough. ... I don't think we played good. That's not everybody, but it's a fair amount." Goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury has been steady once again this season with a 2.50 Goals-Against-Average along with a .911 save percentage — but he has been much better with a 2.17 GAA along with a .923 save percentage when playing at home. Furthermore, in eight starts this month, Fleury has a 2.28 GAA with a .913 save percentage. Vegas is 16-5-3 at home this season while scoring 3.3 Goals-Per-Game and holding their visitors to just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game. The Golden Knights started slow with an early scheduled front-loaded with road games — and early season injuries did not help. But this team cemented their spot in the upper tier of the Western Conference once again this season once newcomers Max Pacioretty and Paul Stastny starting playing together to provide this team a powerful second line. Nashville has lost 13 of their last 21 games after a win on the road by at least three goals. The Predators have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, Nashville has lost 10 of their last 14 games after a win on the road against a fellow Central Division rival. Despite their good defensive effort on Monday, they have allowed their last five opponents to score 3.6 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Pekka Rinne thrives at home where he has a 2.19 GAA along with a .917 save percentage — but those numbers are much worse on the road with his 2.75 GAA along with a .913 save percentage. Rinne has not had a great January as he holds a 3.33 GAA with a .896 save percentage in seven starts. The Predators have lost 13 of their last 18 games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Nashville ranks 4th in the NHL in both Corsi and Fenwick ratings that attempt to evaluate puck possession numbers — but Vegas ranks 3rd in both those metrics (which is why I was bullish on them in December despite their slow start). The Golden Knights will be looking to avenge a 4-1 loss in Nash-Vegas back on October 30th — and they have won 8 of their last 11 opportunities to avenge a same-season loss. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Game of the Month with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (36) versus the Nashville Predators (35). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Arkansas Razorbacks (822) minus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (821). THE SITUATION: Arkansas (10-7) has lost four straight games with their 84-67 loss at Ole Miss on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog. Missouri (10-6) snapped their three-game losing streak with a 66-43 loss at Texas A&M as a 5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAZORBACKS MINUS THE POINTS: Arkansas has suffered through a tough stretch with their last four games being losses against Florida, LSU (in overtime), Tennessee, Mississippi all ranking in metrics guru Ken Pomeroy’s top-40 teams in the nation. The Razorbacks have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least 8 points against a conference rival. Arkansas has allowed at least 84 points in three straight games - -but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 80 points in two straight contests. The Razorbacks have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after losing four straight contests. Head coach Mike Anderson has taken this team to the Big Dance in three of the last four seasons but this season was always going to be a struggle with only three players returning from last year’s team. Anderson has ten new players on his roster with the most exciting being the 6’5 freshman Isaiah Joe. Anderson did an All-SEC player return in 6’11 sophomore Daniel Gafford who can single-handedly keep the Razorbacks competitive in every game they play. Arkansas is 7-4 at home this season but they are outscoring these opponents by +8.5 PPG. The Razorbacks have cord the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range — and this includes them covering the spread in eight of their last twelve games at home with the Total set in that range. As usual, Anderson has his team implementing his “40 minutes of hell” pressure defense — and this group ranks 67th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.1% of their opponent’s possessions. This is an area of vulnerability for the Tigers who have three freshman and a sophomore in their five-man rotation at guard. Missouri ranks 290th in the nation by turning the ball over in 20.9% of their possessions — and that number has risen to a 21.9% clip in conference play. The Tigers are due for a letdown as they are just 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a win by at least 20 points. Injuries have held back this Mizzou program in the first two years of the Cuonzo Martin. Last year, Michael Porter played only one game before not taking the court again with his ankle injury. The plan this year was to run the offense around his brother Jontay Porter but an early ACL/MCL tear in a scrimmage ended his season prematurely as well. The Tigers have a second promising big man in Jeremiah Tilmon but he has not been as comfortable or proficient in passing out of double-teams as the focus of the offensive attack. This has made Mizzou mostly a perimeter team as they are nailing 39.2% of their 3-point shots. But that number drops to a 37.3% mark when playing away from home — and they face a Razorbacks team that ranks 56th in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 31.3% mark from behind the arc which drops even lower to a 29.2% mark when they are playing at home in Fayetteville. Missouri makes only 42.8% of their shots on the road with their offense lacking a go-to scorer. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Missouri has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Tigers have played two straight Unders, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after playing two straight games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: This is a bad matchup for Missouri who has struggled with turnovers in their losses this season — in their six losses they have suffered turnover numbers of 35.7%, 21.9%, 23.4%, 27.1%, 28.6%, and 17.2% in terms of possession percentages. With Arkansas due to play better back at home — where they have defeated Indiana this season, expect the Razorbacks to earn a decisive win. 25* CBB SEC Game of the Month with the Arkansas Razorbacks (822) minus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (821). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (553) and Memphis Grizzlies (554). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (22-24) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 120-95 loss at Indiana as an 8-point underdog. Memphis (19-28) has lost six straight games as well as twelve of their last thirteen games with their ugly 105-85 upset loss at home to New Orleans on Monday as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Grizzlies have played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after an upset loss to a fellow Southwest Division rival. Memphis has also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points to a divisional rival. Furthermore, not only has this team played 31 of their last 45 games Under the Total after losing three straight games but they have also played 7 straight games Under the Total after dropping four straight games. Look for the Grizzlies embarrassment lead to a better effort on the defensive end of the court. The Pelicans — without an injured Anthony Davis — made 52.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for Memphis in their last seven contests. The Grizzlies have also allowed their last six opponents to score at least 105 points — but they have then played 9 straight home games Under the Total after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. Led by remaining holdovers from the Grit-n-Grind days of yore in Mike Conley and Marc Gasol, this team still plays good defense — they currently rank 8th in the NBA in Defensive Rating. But their play on offense has been a disaster. They made only 37.5% of their shots on Monday while scoring a mere 35 points in the second-half. Over their last nine games, the Grizzlies are last in the NBA by scoring only 97.0 PPG — and they are second-to-last over that span with a 43.6% field goal percentage. Gasol’s skills seem to be in decline. He is scoring only 13 PPG while making less than 40% of his shots since December. The team also misses Kyle Anderson’s scoring punch as he is out two to four weeks with an injury. Memphis stays at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Grizzlies have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 8 straight games at home Under the Total priced in that +/- 3-point range. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points on the road. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. This team is playing well on the defensive end of the court as of late. Over their last five games, they have held those opponents to just a 44.7% field goal percentage as compared to their 46.5% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. The Hornets have a Defensive Rating that ranks 7th in the NBA over that span which is well above their 20th rating for the season. But Charlotte struggles to score on the road where the role players to rising superstar Kemba Walker fail to offer support. The Hornets make only 43.6% of their shots on the road as compared to their 45.2% field goal percentage for the season. The Under is 3-0-1 in Charlotte’s last 4 games on the road — and the Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against Western Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams come off bad losses — which should ensure a much better work rate from both teams tonight. While effort does not always translate into scoring, it should produce better defensive performances. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (553) and Memphis Grizzlies (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (614) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (613). THE SITUATION: Akron (10-8) has lost three of their last four games with their 68-61 loss at Miami (Ohio) as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Central Michigan (14-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 83-72 loss to Ball State on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ZIPS MINUS THE POINTS: Akron has failed to cover the point spread in five straight games after their upset loss to the Redhawks — but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. The Zips are not getting much help from the officials as they have only gotten to the charity stripe 12 and 8 times respectively in their last two games. But Akron has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on their home court after not getting more than 12 attempts at the free throw line in two straight games. The Zips have played three straight games Under the Total — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home after playing at least two straight games Under the Total. Akron returns home where they are 8-1 this season with an average winning margin of +18.1 net PPG. The Zips play outstanding defense — they rank 57th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They limit their visitors to just 55.1 PPG on their home court while holding them to only a 35.6% field goal percentage. Akron has covered the point spread in 26 of their last 39 home games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range — and this tightens to them covering the point spread in 11 of their last 15 home games with the Total set in the 145 to 149.5 point range. Central Michigan has played two straight games Under the Total — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing two straight Unders. The Chippewas go back on the road where they are making only 44.3% of their shots as compared to their 47.3% overall field goal percentage. The Zips have an opponent’s field goal percentage of 40.9% — and Central Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots. The Chippewas have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 meetings with the Zips — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played at Akron.

FINAL TAKE: Central Michigan did cover the point spread in the last meeting between these teams when they pulled off an 88-86 upset victory over the Zips back on January 8th. The Chippewas have won four more games than the Akron — but the Zips only lost to a loaded Nevada team in their building by 6 points while also losing to Clemson on a neutral court by just 3 points. Look for Akron to avenge that loss with a decisive victory in this rematch. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Game of the Month is on the Akron Zips (614) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (613). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (862) minus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (861). THE SITUATION: Western Kentucky (9-9) snapped a three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 72-66 win over Florida Atlantic as a 10.5-point favorite. Marshall (12-6) has won five in a row with their 105-97 win over Florida International as a 9-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HILLTOPPERS MINUS THE POINTS: Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a win on their home court. In head coach Rick Stansbury I trust who was one of only two head coaches to take his team from outside analytics guru Ken Pomeroy’s top-100 at the start of the season to inside his final top-50 at the close of the season. Western Kentucky was 14-4 in Conference USA play last year before making a run to the Semifinals of the NIT. Stansbury lost three of his top four scorers from that team — and graduate transfer DeSean Murray left this team in early December — but he has done a fine job of incorporating a new batch of players as he continues to add depth to his roster in his third year with the program. Stansbury recruited a five-star freshman in Charles Bassey who has made an immediate impact while sophomores Tavern Hollingsworth and Josh Anderson stepping up into leadership roles and sophomore Marek Nelson’s improvement taking time away from Murray whose decision to leave the program may have related to his concerns overseeing his potential professional prospects decline. These Hilltoppers have pulled off impressive wins at home over Wisconsin and St. Mary’s along with a win on the road versus Arkansas and a neutral court win over West Virginia. They stay at home for the third straight game tonight where they are 5-2 while making 49.6% of their shots. Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after playing their last two games at home. The Hilltoppers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 160 to 169.5 point range. This team is clamping things down on the defensive end of the court as they have held their last five opponents to just a 40.8% field goal percentage. But Western Kentucky made only 42.9% of their shots on Saturday against the Owls which was the worst offensive effort in their last eight contests. They should shoot much better tonight against this Thundering Herd team that ranks second-to-last in Conference US play in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while ranking last in conference play by allowing their opponents to make 55.2% of their shots inside the arc and by seeing them drain 40.6% of their 3-pointers. Marshall has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after winning at least five games in a row. Furthermore, the Thundering Herd has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after scoring at least 80 points in their last contest. Head coach Dan D’Antoni returned six of the top seven scorers from last year’s group that made the NCAA Tournament — but depth is an issue for this team that plays at the 11th fastest tempo in the nation. But Marshall has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games where the Total is set in 160s. They are getting outscored by -10.2 net PPG due to their struggles on defense as they allow their home hosts to score 88.0 PPG on 49.5% shooting. The Thundering Herd are aggressive in attempting to force turnovers — but if that fails, they are likely to then be scored on in transition or in the half-court. Marshall has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Western Kentucky will be looking to avenge a 70-69 loss at  Marshall back on January 12th where they were 2.5-point underdogs. The Hilltoppers have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when attempting to avenge a narrow loss by 3 points or less. 25* CBB Monday CBS Sports Network Game of the Month with the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (862) minus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (861). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (314) minus the points versus the New England Patriots (313). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (13-4) has won their last two games after their 31-13 win over Indianapolis last Sunday as a 4-point favorite. New England (12-5) reached the AFC Championship Game last Sunday with their 41-28 win at home over the LA Chargers as a 3.5-point favorite.  This is a rematch of the Patriots’ 43-40 win against the Chiefs in Foxboro back on October 14th as a 3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CHIEFS MINUS THE POINTS: I would have raced to make a call on this game earlier in the week, I might have endorsed the Patriots. With the weather projections being of an Arctic Blast that would see wind chill temperatures well below zero degrees, I needed to strongly consider that Tom Brady’s experience with below-freezing weather could be overwhelming for Patrick Mahomes and the high-precision Kansas City offense to overcome. But the 48-hour projection is for highs to be in the low-30s with game-time temperatures expected to stay in the 20s. It will be difficult for the Patriots to come close to replicate the near-perfect game they played against the Chargers last Sunday. It certainly helped that Los Angeles was traveling east for the second straight week to play in an earlier 1 PM ET kickoff with that being their third straight game on the road. The Chargers only flew in the day before — so their travel management did themselves no favors to get ready for that showdown. But now the Patriots go on the road where they have not won a playoff game since 2007. New England was a perfect 9-0 at home this season where they scored 33.8 PPG — but the Patriots were just 3-5 on the road with an average losing margin of -2.4 PPG. New England only scores 21.6 PPG while allowing their home hosts to average 399.0 total YPG The DVOA defensive ranking by the analytics folks at Football Outsiders ranks the Patriots as the second worst defensive unit on the road this season. New England has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games on the road. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 opportunities to play in the AFC Conference Championship Game. Kansas City has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. And while the Chiefs have covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in two straight contests. Mahomes was more than capable playing in temperatures in the 20s against the Colts by completing 27 of 41 passes for 278 yards while leading the offense to 433 yards (which was above their league-leading yardage average). Kansas City is now 8-1 at home with an average winning margin of +14.8 PPG. The Chiefs have scored at least 26 points in every game this season — but it is the play of their defense that home has them so tough to beat in Arrowhead Stadium. While KC allows 34.3 PPG on the road, that number plummets to just 17.4 PPG at home which is tied for the third-best mark in the NFL. The noise of the home crowd certainly helps to disrupt opposing offenses snap counts and the ability of opposing quarterbacks to call audibles at the line of scrimmage. The Chiefs’ pass rush thrives at home as well — they lead the NFL with 34 sacks at home and a pressure rate of 36.9% as compared to their 25.9% pressure rate on quarterbacks on the road which ranks only 26th in the league. Kansas City has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: While the Chiefs defense plays much better when playing at home when they are bolstered by the crowd noise, Kansas City’s formula for success still requires their offense to outperform what Brady can do with the Patriots’ offense. While the cold is not ideal for Mahomes, the prospect of temperatures below 10 degrees would have been a much more difficult challenge. This year’s Patriots’ team has not been nearly as good when playing away from Foxboro. 25* NFL Sunday Night Special Feature with the Kansas City Chiefs (314) minus the points versus the New England Patriots (313). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (313) and the Kansas City Chiefs (314). THE SITUATION: New England (12-5) reached the AFC Championship Game last Sunday with their 41-28 win at home over the LA Chargers as a 3.5-point favorite. Kansas City (13-4) has won their last two games after their 31-13 win over Indianapolis last Sunday as a 4-point favorite. This is a rematch of the Patriots’ 43-40 win against the Chiefs in Foxboro back on October 14th as a 3.5-point favorite. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: While an Arctic blast will not be hitting Arrowhead Stadium for this game, the temperature will still be in the 20s during this game to produce less than ideal conditions for both offenses. It is telling this is the highest over/under number for a game with the temperatures expected to be below 30 degrees since the Patriots played the Packers at Lambeau Field back on 2014 which New England lost by a 26-21 score. It would be foolish to take the Under only because that Under came through — but that comparison does underscore that the number is unseasonably high despite these weather conditions. This rematch is unlikely to approach the 83 combined points that were scored in Foxboro. The Patriots scored just under 10 points more than their season average at home in Foxboro for that game — but they see their scoring drop to just 21.6 PPG on the road. They have only scored 28 or more points once away from home this year. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road while also playing 14 of their last 19 road games Under the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher. New England’s lack of a vertical threat on offense after the loss of wide receiver Josh Gordon will make moving the ball much more difficult this time around. They ate up a KC defense in that first meeting that allows 34.3 PPG on the road — but that number plummets to just 17.4 PPG at home which is tied for the third-best mark in the NFL. The noise of the Arrowhead home crowd certainly helps to disrupt opposing offenses snap counts and the ability of opposing quarterbacks to call audibles at the line of scrimmage. The Chiefs’ pass rush thrives at home as well — they lead the NFL with 34 sacks at home and a pressure rate of 36.9% as compared to their 25.9% pressure rate on quarterbacks on the road which ranks only 26th in the league. Kansas City has played 19 of their last 27 games at home Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Chiefs have also played 4 straight playoff games Under the Total in the playoffs. Kansas City has scored at least 31 points in three straight games — but they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in three straight games. Don’t underestimate what Belichick will be able to do to slow down Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ defense in this rematch — and his experience coaching games in cold weather will likely make the challenge on the young quarterback even more difficult. Mahomes was tearing up the league by averaging 9.34 Yards-Per-Attempt in the first eleven weeks of the season — but defenses have caught up a bit since he has seen that number drop to 7.6 YPA in his last six starts.

FINAL TAKE: While 83 combined points were scored between these two teams in their first meeting, this rematch should seem far fewer points this time around. 25* AFC Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (313) and the Kansas City Chiefs (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (312) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (311). New Orleans (14-3) reached the NFC Conference Championship Game with their 20-14 win over Philadelphia last Sunday as an 8.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (14-3) has won three straight games with their 30-22 win over Dallas as a 7.5-point favorite last Saturday. This is a rematch of the Saints’ 45-35 win in New Orleans as a 2.5-point underdog back on November 4th.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SAINTS MINUS THE POINTS: New Orleans showed resiliency to pull out that game last week despite falling behind 14-0 in the first-quarter. The Saints surrendered 150 yards in the opening quarter to the reigning Super Bowl Champions before clamping down to limit the Eagles offense to only 100 more yards of offense. The officials certainly did New Orleans few favors as they were pretty whistle-happy in calling holding penalties on their offensive line — yet Drew Brees and this team could not be denied winning this game on their home field. Remember, the Saints cover the point spread if they hit a late field goal attempt. They out-gained Philly by a 420 to 250 yards margin. They also took the lead and seized control of this game with an eighteen play drive in the 3rd quarter that ate over 11 minutes of time off the clock while overcame 25 yards in penalties to result in a touchdown that started on their 8-yard line. Those efforts are good signs for New Orleans today as they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after out-gaining their last opponent by at least +100 yards. And while the Saints have not covered the point spread in four straight contests, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight games. Much has been said this week about the “struggling” Saints offense that has scored only 19 PPG over their last six games. Some caveats should be offered when presenting that statistic — most notably, that the offense was missing their top offensive lineman in Terron Armstead to close out the the regular season before getting him back on the field last week. Furthermore, we can throw out the meaningless Week 17 game against Carolina while remembering two of those games were on the road against two good defenses with Carolina and Dallas. New Orleans did put up 31 points at home in an important win over the Steelers during this final stretch that never seems to get mentioned. The Saints score 32.6 PPG at home this season — and the 420 yards they generated last week were higher than their 402.9 YPG season average in the Superdome. Brees completes 75.9% of his passes in the dome while averaging 9.31 Yards-Per-Attempt with an incredible 23 touchdown passes to just 2 interceptions. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 25 of their last 32 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The defense should get some of the credit for the drop in the Saints’ scoring numbers, as well, since head coach Sean Payton does not have to game plan to reach 30 points to have a chance to win. Throw out that Week 17 game with the Panthers and the Saints have allowed just 14.5 PPG over their last eight contests while holding seven of those opponents to under 17 points. Los Angeles has won and covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning three in a row. That victory over the Cowboys was against a team that finished just 3-6 on the road while averaging only 17.9 PPG in those contests. The Rams have morphed into a rushing team to close out the season — they have rushed for at least 155 yards in three straight games. But while LA has scored at least 30 points in three straight games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 30 points in three straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in three straight contests. Of course, one of the reasons why head coach Sean McVay has decided to run the ball more is to hide quarterback Jared Goff who was exposed in a two-game stretch against the Bears and Eagles. Goff struggles against teams with good pass rushes — he ranks 28th in the league in Passer Rating when facing pressure and gets off the McVay script. The Saints' defense rank 5th in the NFL when playing at home in both sacks and QB Pressures. Goff has thrown for more than 220 yards only once in his last six games. Goff clearly misses wide receiver Cooper Cupp who was his security blanket. In his six career starts without Cupp, Goff sees his passing YPG drop by 22.6 yards while his Yards-Per-Attempt drops a whopping 1.3 YPA. Goff also is a much better passer at home where he averages 8.8 YPA with a 22:3 TD-to-interception ratio — but those numbers plummet to just 7.56 YPA with a middling 10:9 touchdown-to-interception ratio when he is playing on the road. Those are ominous numbers for this young quarterback now playing in one of the loudest football stadiums in the NFL. Goff may be required to win this game with his arm considering this Saints’ defense is outstanding against the run. New Orleans is second in the NFL by allowing just 80.2 rushing YPG — and they rank 3rd in the league by limiting opposing rushers to just 3.98 Yards-Per-Carry. This is an expected higher-scoring game with the Total set in the high-50s — but the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. And while LA has revenge on their minds from the first meeting, they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when attempting to avenge a same-season upset loss as a road favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Saints are very reliable in expected close games as they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games when they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. This is their fourth straight game at home as well so they hold a big situational edge which afforded them the opportunity to coast out the close of the regular season. New Orleans will miss defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins who suffered a season-ending knee injury last week — but he was often double-team which put the onus on his teammates to make plays. With their playoff experience and the better quarterback, look for the Saints to seize this moment and play their best game since peaking with that 48-7 win over the Eagles in mid-November. 25* NFL Game of the Year with the New Orleans Saints (312) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (311). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (584) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (583). THE SITUATION: Houston (25-19) has lost two of their last three games with their 145-142 upset loss to Brooklyn on Wednesday. Los Angeles (25-21) has won four of their last six games with their 138-128 win at Oklahoma City as a 10-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKETS MINUS THE POINTS: Houston allowed the Nets to make 51.9% of their shots which was the worst defensive performance in their last seven games. The Rockets also made just 42.9% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. This team has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Clint Capela is on the shelf with a hamstring injury but the team has received good news with both Eric Gordon and Clint Capela upgraded to probable for tonight’s game. Houston is 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games on their home court — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Rockets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record — and they are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games against fellow Western Conference opponents. Los Angeles is just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Lakers are just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. This team is playing pretty good basketball still despite both LeBron James and Rajon Rondo out with injuries. But Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games played in Houston against the Rockets.

FINAL TAKE: The Lakers remain just 5-7 since James last played on Christmas Day. James Harden has been playing outstanding basketball with Chris Paul out with his injury. Harden should have support with this game being played in Houston. 25* NBA Saturday Night ABC-TV Game of the Month with the Houston Rockets (584) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (583). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (557) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (558). THE SITUATION: Miami (21-21) saw their two-game losing streak snapped on Tuesday with their 124-86 loss in Milwaukee as a 9-point underdog. Detroit (19-24) has won two of their last three games after their 120-115 win over Orlando on Wednesday as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HEAT PLUS THE POINTS: Miami allowed the Bucks to make 50% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for them in their last fifteen games. They also made just 41.9% of their shots which was the worst shooting performance in their last four contests. They should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 31 games on the road after a loss on the road by at least 20 points. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 9 straight road games after a loss by at least 30 points. Additionally, Miami has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread win. The second day of rest and preparation should help Eric Spoelstra’s team as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing with two days of rest. Now the Heat go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games — and they are also a decisive 36-14-2 ATS in their last 52 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Miami has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Detroit made 47.8% of their shots on Wednesday which was the best field goal percentage they have seen in their last five games. But this remains a team that is shooting just 43.6% from the field over their last five games. The Pistons have also allowed their last five opponents to make 49% of their shots. Consistency has been a problem for Dwayne Casey’s team as Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 120 points in their last game — and they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win. The Pistons are also just 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games when playing with one day of rest. Now this team stays at home where they are just 12-10 this season while being outscored by their visitors. Detroit is just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Eastern Conference opponents. Furthermore, the Pistons have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Miami is still without point guard Goran Dragic — but his knee injury has opened up space for former Duke star Justise Winslow to find a nice rhythm running the point for this team that has good depth. Detroit remains an underachieving team that has overpaid their point guard Reggie Jackson who has not emerged as a superstar to match Blake Griffin. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Eastern Conference Underdog of the Year with the Miami Heat (557) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas-San Antonio Road Runners (621) and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (622). UTSA (10-7) has won seven straight games with their 76-74 win over North Texas as a 2-point underdog on Saturday. Middle Tennessee (3-14) has lost three straight games after their 73-56 loss at Louisiana Tech on Saturday as a 13-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: UTSA has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win against a conference rival. The Road Runners have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. UTSA has held their last five opponents to just a 40.1% field goal percentage. The Road Runners lead Conference USA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in four games so far this season — and they rank 105th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency overall. But UTSA also ranks a low 328th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 45.3%. The Road Runners make just 38.3% of their shots on the road. UTSA has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on their home court. The Road Runners have also played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Middle Tennessee has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Blue Raiders made only four of their ten free throws in that game — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after shooting no better than 53% from the charity stripe in their last game. Middle Tennessee struggles to make baskets — they are 339th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.0% and the Blue Raiders are 329th in the country in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. But this team does hold their visitors to just a 39.3% opponent’s field goal percentage. They have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Middle Tennessee has also played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 24 games as an underdog, the Blue Raiders have played 15 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams struggle to score baskets — but they are solid on the defensive end of the court (particularly with Middle Tennessee playing at home). These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — expect another lower-scoring game between these two teams. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Texas-San Antonio Road Runners (621) and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (622). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Delaware Blue Hens (610) minus the points versus the James Madison Dukes (609). James Madison (12-7) had won four in a row before their 71-58 loss at the College of Charleston as a 10.5-point underdog on Saturday. James Madison (9-9) has won two straight games after their 74-65 win over Towson on Saturday as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUE HENS MINUS THE POINTS: Delaware shot just 35.9% from the field which was the worst shooting effort for them in their last five games. They also allowed the Cougars to make 51% of their shots which was the worst defensive performance in their last five contests. The Blue Hens should bounce-back with a strong effort as they are 38-16-3 ATS in their last 57 games after a point spread loss — and this includes them covering the point spread in four of their last five games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Delaware has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss on the road where they have failed to score at least 60 points. The Blue Hens have still covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning two of their last three games. They return home where they are 6-3 with an average winning margin of +6.1 PPG. Delaware makes a healthy 48.9% of their shots on their home court while limiting their guests to just a 41.7% field goal percentage. The Blue Hens have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Delaware has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against conference opponents. When this team is on, they are making their 3s as they rank 43rd in the nation with a 37.7% shooting percentage from behind the arc. James Madison has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. The Dukes go back on the road where they are just 3-7 with an average losing margin of -8.0 PPG. James Madison scores only 63.5 PPG when playing on the road where they are making just 39.9% of their shots — and they are also allowing their home hosts to make 46.2% of their shots. The Dukes have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Lastly, James Madison has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Delaware has been a surprise team in the Colonial Athletic Association — look for them to bounce-back with a decisive victory back on their home court against a James Madison team that is not very good when playing away from home. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Game of the Month with the Delaware Blue Hens (610) minus the points versus the James Madison Dukes (609). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (530) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (529). THE SITUATION: Boston (25-18) has suffered three straight upset losses after their 109-102 loss at Brooklyn on Monday where they were 2-point favorites. Toronto (33-12) has won five games in a row with their 140-138 win at Washington in double overtime as a 5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS MINUS THE POINTS: Boston was without Kyrie Irving on Monday which played a role in their making only 40.7% of their shots from the field. That was the second-worst shooting effort in their last thirteen games. The Celtics have plenty of good news for this game. For starters, Irving has been upgraded to probable to take the floor again tonight as his quad injury has improved. Boston also returns home after their three-game road trip where they lost all three times as the favorite. The Celtics have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after losing three straight games. Boston has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss on the road. This team is very tough to beat on their home court where they are 15-5 with an average winning margin of +10.3 PPG. The Celtics have covered the point spread in 35 of their last 51 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Boston has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games as a favorite of no more than 6 points. Toronto blew a 23-point lead to the Wizards before eking out that game in overtime. The Raptors have won five straight games in a row — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after winning at least five in a row. Toronto has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after scoring at least 125 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight contests after allowing at least 125 points. This Raptors team is undermanned tonight with Jonas Valunciunan still out for another couple of weeks and OG Anunoby missing this game on personal leave. Fred VanVleet and C.J. Miller are also questionable for this game with hip injuries which threatens to limit their outstanding second unit. Toronto stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games. And in their last 52 games with the Total set in the 220 to 229.5 point range, the Raptors have failed to cover the point spread 34 times.

FINAL TAKE: Toronto will be looking to avenge a 123-116 loss at Boston back on November 16th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Game of the Month with the Boston Celtics (530) minus the points versus the Toronto Raptors (529). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (514) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (514). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (28-16) snapped a two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 108-105 win at New York as a 9-point favorite. Minnesota (21-22) has won four of their last five games with their 110-106 win over New Orleans as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE 76ERS MINUS THE POINTS: Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a victory on the road by 6 points or less. The Sixers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. This team will be motivated to play well tonight with this being Jimmy Butler’s first opportunity to play his former Timberwolves teammates since the big trade earlier this season. The 76ers have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five games — but they have covered the point spread in 7 straight home games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Philadelphia has scored at least 105 points in seven straight contests — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 home games after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games. The 76ers are an impressive 18-4 on their home court this season with an average winning margin of +8.7 PPG. They are scoring 117.7 PPG on their home court while making 48% of their shots — and they hold their visitors to just a 44% field goal percentage. Philly has covered 16 of their last 23 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Sixers are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games against Western Conference opponents. Minnesota had covered the point spread in four of their last five games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 straight road games after covering the point spread in three of the last four games. The Timberwolves have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with two days of rest. Now they stay on the road where they are just 6-15 with an average losing margin of -5.5 PPG. Minnesota makes only 44.3% of their shots on the road while allowing their home hosts to make 47.5% of their shots. The T-Wolves have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games with the Total set at 230 or higher. Lastly, the Timberwolves have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight trips to Philadelphia to face the Sixers.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota will likely get Jeff Teague back for this game as he has been upgraded to probable with a lower-body injury — but the team will be undermanned in this contest with Derrick Rose questionable with an ankle injury and Robert Covington (who came over in the Butler trade) still out with an ankle injury. Butler will want to make a statement in this game and his Philly teammates should step up their play in a show of support. 25* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month with the Philadelphia 76ers (514) minus the points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida State Seminoles (869) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (870). THE SITUATION: Florida State (13-3) has lost two of their last three games with their 80-78 loss to Duke as an 8-point underdog on Saturday. Pittsburgh (11-5) has also lost two of their last three contests with their 86-80 loss at NC State on Saturday as an 11-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Florida State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Additionally, the Seminoles have played 27 of their last 37 games Under the total after a loss by 3 points or less. Now this team goes on the road where they are making only 43.1% of their shots. But this Florida State team plays outstanding defense as they rank 15th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Seminoles have held their last five opponents to just a 40.6% field goal percentage. Florida State has played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 8 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Under is also 9-3-1 in the Seminoles’ last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Pittsburgh has played 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total — and this includes them playing six straight games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Now the Panthers return home where they have played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total. Pittsburgh has also played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. This team also plays well on the defensive end of the court. They rank 37th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency led by an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 44.2% which is 13th best in the nation. The Panthers hold their guests to just 65.1 PPG on their home court with a low 38.4% field goal percentage. Pittsburgh has also played 40 of their last 57 games Under the Total in ACC play.

FINAL TAKE: This is an important game for Pittsburgh who are probably on the outside-looking-in right now in earning an at-large bid for the NCAA Tournament. Defeating Florida State would be the best win on their resume. Expect this to be a lower-scoring game. 25* CBB ACC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Florida State Seminoles (869) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (870). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Nuggets (592) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (591). THE SITUATION: Denver (28-13) looks to rebound from a 102-93 upset loss in Phoenix last night as a 9-point favorite. Portland (26-17) has won six of their last seven games with their 127-96 win over Charlotte as a 6.5-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NUGGETS MINUS THE POINTS: Denver made only 38.6% of their shots last night which was the worst offensive performance for them in their last 15 games. This remains a team that has won seven of their last nine contests along with eleven of their last fifteen games. Playing the second day of back-to-back games should not be an issue for this team with a great bench — they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played without rest. This is one of the few teams in the league that are in the top ten in both offensive and defensive efficiency — and they have a rising star in big man Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets have not allowed each of their last three opponents to shoot better than 45.6% from the field which has helped produce three straight Unders. Denver has covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after playing an Under — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after playing two straight Unders while also covering the point spread in 6 straight games after playing three straight Unders. The Nuggets return home to the Pepsi Center where they are 17-3 this season with an average winning margin of +11.6 PPG. They score a healthy 113.6 PPG at home while making 48.3% of their shots. Denver has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home. They also have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Nuggets have thrived when facing fellow Northwest Division rivals against which they are a perfect 5-0 this year with an average winning margin of +7.2 PPG. Denver is holding these division foes to just 99.4 PPG while limiting them to an opponent’s field goal percentage of 42.7%. The Nuggets are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games against Northwest Division rivals. Portland has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against divisional foes. Denver held the Hornets to just a 40% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last five contests. The Trail Blazers shot 55.9% from the field after making 56.6% of their shots in their previous game against the Bulls. But Portland has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after shooting at least 55% in two straight games. Portland has also played their last two games Over the Total — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after playing two straight Overs. The Blazers have four straight games with three of these being by double-digits — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 35 games after winning three straight games by double-digits. Now they go back on the road for the first time after a four-game homestand where they are just 8-10 with an average losing margin of -5.4 PPG. Defense has been an issue for this team on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to score 113.7 PPG while making 47.1% of their shots. Portland has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has been without guard Gary Harris who remains questionable with a hamstring after missing the last three games. Portland is without big man Maurice Harmless who is dealing with a knee. The Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings with this balanced Nuggets team that matches up well with them. 25* NBA Northwest Division Game of the Month with the Denver Nuggets (592) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (591). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (308) minus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (307). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (13-3) closed out their regular season with a 33-14 upset loss to Carolina as an 8-point favorite. Philadelphia (10-7) has won four straight games with Nick Foles under center after their 16-15 upset win at Chicago last Sunday as a 6.5-point underdog. This is a rematch of the Week Eleven meeting between these two teams back on November 18th where the Saints destroyed the Eagles in the Superdome by a 48-7 score.

REASONS TO TAKE NEW ORLEANS MINUS THE POINTS: If I am going to play-against a team with a chip on their shoulder looking to avenge a 41-point same-season loss — with the point spread value that often creates in the betting market — I am going to very comfortable with that decision. I am. We can’t be zombies in these situations — especially because appealing betting situations often run into conflict other reliable betting situations pointing to the other side. Playoff teams looking to avenge a loss of at least 30 points in the regular season have lost nine of those fourteen showdowns. I never researched the against-the-spread numbers on those — but seeing five outright wins is certainly not an argument against the Eagles. Frankly, I just assumed the worst about how these avenging dogs generally do in these playoff situations. But that the personality of this Philly team goes the other way as they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games when avenging a loss on the road by at least two touchdowns. I also am not going to haphazardly bet against any team that has pulled off four straight upset victories in the playoffs while winning five of their last six games outright when getting the points. I was on the wrong side of too many of those playoff upset victories. But each new situation is unique — and I hate the circumstances this Eagles team faces entering this game. This is Philly’s third straight game on the road — and it is their fifth game in their last six contests away from home. And let’s remember that despite all the Foles magic, this is a team that needed a missed game-ending field goal to escape Chicago with that win. They were out-gained by the Bears by 56 net yards after gaining just 300 yards in that game. Philly is going to struggle to run the football this afternoon as they have averaged just 3.23 Yards-Per-Carry since Foles took over at quarterback. They now face a stout Saints’ run defense that is second in the NFL by allowing just 80.2 rushing YPG and third best in the league using the advanced metrics by Football Outsiders. New Orleans allows opposing rushers to average just 3.3 Yards-Per-Carry when playing at home. Making the Eagles one-dimensional was one of the keys to their blowout victory in November. Furthermore, the Philadelphia defense has been decimated with injuries — and while the three new defensive backs that were exposed in the first meeting between these two teams have developed, that does not change the fact these remains NFL-level backup players with size and/or speed deficiencies now facing Drew Brees. Four of the last five opponents that the Eagles have faced have generated at least 300 passing yards. Brees will be facing a defense that has allowed their last four of their last five opposing quarterbacks to average 11.6 Yards-Per-Attempt while throwing five touchdown passes of over 20 yards in the air. Brees has an impeccable 128.6 Passer Rating of passes of at least 20 yards in the air this season. Philadelphia has simply been exposed by good offenses. In their six games against playoff teams during the regular season, the Eagles surrendered 28.8 PPG with that number rising to a 33.3 PPG mark when playing on the road as compared to the 17.5 PPG they held their twelve opponents who did not make the playoffs with that mark actually falling to 16.8 PPG surrendered when playing non-playoff teams on the road. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 350 yards. And don’t underestimate the problem playing on the faster field turf in the Superdome presents to this Philly team as it will exacerbate the speed issues they have with their backup in their secondary. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games played on field turf. Saints’ head coach Sean Payton had the luxury of resting most of his key starters in that loss to the Panthers that should be ignored when handicapping this game. The New Orleans starters have essentially has had three weeks off to get rested and ready for the playoffs. This team is getting healthy again with the biggest boost being with the return of left tackle Terron Armstead whose shoulder injury played a big role in Brees’ mini-slump late in the season. The Saints’ offense is a machine when they are playing at home — they average 34.1 PPG while putting up over 400 yards of offense this season. Brees has an impeccable 21:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio when playing at home while averaging 9.54 Yards-Per-Attempt as compared to his 11:4 ratio and 6.88 YPA marks on the road. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 25 of the last 31 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Saints defense has also been underappreciated down the stretch of the season. Take out the meaningless Carolina game in Week 17 and New Orleans has held their last seven opponents to just 14.6 PPG while ranking 5th in the NFL with 49 sacks and 101 quarterback hits over that span. This team under Payton has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of January.

FINAL TAKE: The Eagles were my Best Bet to win the Super Bowl back in August — so I really appreciate what Doug Pederson has done with this franchise. Too many injuries, too many road games, too many hurdles to overcome — and now they run into a rested, tanned and ready Saints bulldozer of a team at home. 25* NFC Divisional Playoff Game of the Year with the New Orleans Saints (308) minus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (307) and the New Orleans Saints (308). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (10-7) has won four straight games with Nick Foles under center after their 16-15 upset win at Chicago last Sunday as a 6.5-point underdog. New Orleans (13-3) closed out their regular season with a 33-14 upset loss to Carolina as an 8-point favorite. This is a rematch of the Week Eleven meeting between these two teams back on November 18th where the Saints destroyed the Eagles in the Superdome by a 48-7 score. 

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Saints’ head coach Sean Payton had the luxury of resting most of his key starters in that loss to the Panthers. The New Orleans starters have essentially had three weeks off to get rested and ready for the playoffs — and this is a team that has played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total when coming off a bye week. This team is getting healthy again with the biggest boost being with the return of left tackle Terron Armstead whose shoulder injury played a big role in Brees’ mini-slump late in the season. The Saints’ offense is a machine when at home — they average 34.1 PPG while putting up over 400 yards of offense this season. Brees has an impeccable 21:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio when playing at home while averaging 9.54 Yards-Per-Attempt as compared to his 11:4 ratio and 6.88 YPA marks on the road. New Orleans has played 21 of their 30 games Over the Total at home — and the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Saints have played 6 straight playoff games at home Over the Total. They face a Philadelphia defense has been decimated with injuries — and while the three new defensive backs that were exposed in the first meeting between these two teams have developed, that does not change the fact these three players remain NFL-level backup players with size and/or speed deficiencies now facing Drew Brees again. Four of the last five opponents that the Eagles have faced have generated at least 300 passing yards. Brees will be facing a defense that has allowed their last four of their last five opposing quarterbacks to average 11.6 Yards-Per-Attempt while throwing five touchdown passes of over 20 yards in the air. Brees has an impeccable 128.6 Passer Rating of passes of at least 20 yards in the air this season. Philadelphia has simply been exposed by good offenses. In their six games against playoff teams during the regular season, the Eagles surrendered 28.8 PPG with that number rising to a 33.3 PPG mark when playing on the road as compared to the 17.5 PPG they held their twelve opponents who did not make the playoffs with that mark actually falling to 16.8 PPG surrendered when playing non-playoff teams on the road. I do expect the Nick Foles-led offense to keep pace with the Saints scoring as the New Orleans defense gives up 25.6 PPG along with 373.4 total YPG when playing at home. Besides the calming presence Foles apparently provides his teammates in the huddle, a big strength he provides to head coach Doug Pederson and this Eagles offense is his quick decision-making and release. In this last four-game stretch, Foles is averaging just 2.2 seconds per pass attempt which is the fastest rate in all the NFL during that span. This skill is liberating the Philly offensive coaching brethren to get creative with their play-calling. The Eagles’ offensive line has responded as well — Foles is seeing a clean pocket in 70.4% of his passing plays over their last four games in a metric that is even more impressive considering that they played the ferocious Bears’ defense and three other defenses that rank in the Top 15 in sacks. Philadelphia has played 22 of their last 30 games on the road Over the Total — and this includes them playing five of their last seven home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road and four of their last five games Over the Total when playing on field turf.

FINAL TAKE: I don’t think the Saints get to 48 points again today — but they should approach their 34.1 PPG scoring average when playing at home. The Philly offense will be much better in this rematch — and I see them scoring in the 25.6 PPG range that the Saints are giving up at home. If both those projections are accurate, we get our Over with room to spare. 10* NFL Philadelphia-New Orleans Fox-TV Special with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (307) and the New Orleans Saints (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (306) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (305). THE SITUATION: New England (11-5) has won two straight games to close out the regular season with their 38-3 win over the New York Jets as a 14.5-point favorite two weeks ago. Los Angeles (13-4) has won six of their last seven games with their 23-17 upset win at Baltimore last week as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PATRIOTS MINUS THE POINTS: I like this Chargers team behind Philip Rivers — they have made us a lot of money this season. However, this is just too challenging of circumstances. It is just brutal to ask this west coast team to travel east for the second straight week to play in an early 1 PM ET contest. Los Angeles will have traveled over 10,000 miles over their three-game road trip since Week 17 of the regular season — now they have to play in cold weather with temperatures projected to be in the 20s. It is so hard for the best of teams to play close to their maximum ability with these sets of obstacles. As it is, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing a game on the road — and they have failed to cover there point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a victory on the road. Furthermore, Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after an upset victory. And while the Chargers defense held the Ravens to just 229 yards of offense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread in each of their last two games. Rivers has seen his production decline as of late — he only has one touchdown pass in his last three games. Over that span, the Chargers are scoring just 18.7 PPG over these last three games while average just 239.0 total YPG. Rivers has averaged just 153.7 passing YPG in those last three games with a Passer Rating of only 55.2. In this team’s first fourteen games, they averaged 28.2 PPG along with 392.0 total YPG with Rivers averaging 270.1 passing YPG and posting a 112.4 Passer Rating. Maybe Rivers is fatiguing? These are simply far from ideal conditions for a veteran quarterback who has a career 1-8 mark against the Patriots. In his last four starts against a Bill Belichick defense, Rivers has led his team to only 17.0 PPG. And to compound matters even more, he is facing a New England defense that leads the NFL by playing man-to-man in 57% of their defensive snaps. All-Pro cornerback Stephon Gilmore may be enjoying his best season — he has allowed the second fewest yards after catch this year. He will make things very difficult for wide receiver Keenan Allen. And Rivers averages 7.99 Yards-Per-Attempt against man-to-man coverage this season as compared to his 9.55 YPP mark against zone defenses. New England has allowed only 32 combined points over their last three games. This Patriots team is very tough to beat when the defense is playing well. They have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 22 games after not allowing more than 17 points in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 17 points in three straight contests. The New England defense is very stingy at home as they hold their guests to just 16.6 PPG along with a mere 319.5 total YPG. While we are witnesses the inevitable deterioration of Tom Brady’s skills — this remains a Patriots team was unbeaten at home this year with a +16.3 net point differential in those games. But the Patriots offense still cranks it up when playing in Foxboro as they average 32.9 PPG along with 430.6 total YPG. New England is 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games when favored by no more than 7 points. The Patriots have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 playoff games at home.

FINAL TAKE: Playing the physical Ravens team on both sides of the ball in two of their last three games may be yet another under- appreciated concern for this Chargers team. They now face the gauntlet of this New England team that has won eleven of their last twelve home playoff games in the AFC Divisional playoffs. 25* AFC Playoff Game of the Year with the New England Patriots (306) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (305). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (303) and the Los Angeles Rams (304). THE SITUATION: Dallas (11-6) advanced to the Divisional Round of the NFC playoffs last Saturday with their 24-22 win over Seattle as a 2.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (13-3) takes the field again after their 48-32 victory over San Francisco two weeks ago to close out their regular season.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rams have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. Los Angeles should the pace-setters when it comes to scoring in this game as they average a robust 37.1 PPG along with 453.2 total YPG when playing at home. The Rams have played 4 straight home games Over the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Los Angeles has played 29 of their last 44 home games Over the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 7 point range. But defense has been a concern for this team who allows 28.1 PPG on their home field along with 378.7 total YPG. The Cowboys should be able to run the ball against the Rams’ defense that ranks just 23rd in the NFL by allowing 122.2 rushing YPG. LA allows opposing rushers to average 4.88 Yards-Per-Carry — so Ezekiel Elliott has a good opportunity to have his running the football. The Rams have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Dallas enters this game having won eight of their last nine games — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight contests. The Cowboys have also played 5 of the last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Dallas generated 380 yards of offense last week in their victory over the Seahawks — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Over their last three contests, this Cowboys offense that was jumpstarted with the acquisition of wide receiver Amari Cooper has averaged 29.0 PPG. But their vaunted defense has surrendered 25.7 PPG along with 374.3 total YPG over those last three games as well. The Dallas pass defense has declined down the stretch of the season after peaking in that big Thursday night win when they hosted New Orleans. Since that victory in Week 13, the Cowboys have allowed opposing passers to complete 65.1% of their passes while averaging 7.4 Yards-Per-Attempt. These opposing QBs have thrown 7 touchdown passes with just one interception while the Dallas defense has registered only seven sacks in those last five games. The Cowboys rush defense has also struggled as of late when playing on the road. In their last four road games, Dallas has allowed 105.5 rushing YPG along with a 5.02 Yards-Per-Carry average against the middling rushing attacks of Atlanta, Philadelphia, the NY Giants and Indianapolis. The Cowboys have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: This should be a competitive game — so look for Dallas to keep up with the Rams’ offense that should be rested and ready for this showdown. 25* NFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (303) and the Los Angeles Rams (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (301) and the Kansas City Chiefs (302). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (11-6) advanced to the Divisional Round of the AFC playoffs with their 21-7 upset win at Houston last Saturday as a 2-point underdog. Kansas City (12-4) closed out their regular season with a 35-3 victory over Oakland back on December 30th as 14.5-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: My first point is my last argument — as of this writing, there is a 90% of precipitation with the high in Kansas City being the mid-30s. If there is snow, that very much helps our Under play with the number currently set in the high-50s. I recommend getting down on this play ASAP — because if flurries appear, this number will go down. That said, even if there is no snow during this game, the Under is a strong play (and it is a strong play with a lower number if it does, in fact, snow). Cold weather does not help passing games with quarterbacks and receivers playing with cold hands and less than ideal conditions — remember the Rams playing in chilly Chicago for Sunday Night Football last month. Patrick Mahomes had three of his five games where he failed to generate at least 300 passing yards in the cooler December weather. The Chiefs’ offensive numbers dipped a bit over their last three games as they scored 31.3 PPG while averaging 374.0 total YPG which was 4.0 PPG and over 50 YGP below their season averages. Mahomes may also have some jitters and rust with the extra week off before making his playoff debut — and it does not take many failed drives to make the Over with this high Total unlikely. The Kansas City defense is not great — but they were significantly better at home where they held their opponents to just 18.0 PPG/354.7 YPG as compared to the 34.3 PPG/456.3 YPG they surrendered when playing on the road. The tendency for games played at Arrowhead Stadium trend strongly to the Under as those tickets are 49-22-1 in the last 72 games played there. The Under is also 16-7-1 in KC’s last 24 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and the Chiefs have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total in the playoffs. Indianapolis has played 28 of their last 41 games Under the Total after an upset win on the road as an underdog. The Colts generated 422 yards of offense in that game — but they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Quarterback Andrew Luck has been great all season — but he has thrived at home where he is completing 70.7% of his passes with that number dropping to a 64.2% mark when playing on the road. Wide receiver certainly sees his production decline when playing outside where he averages 24.8 receiving YPG — and he is slowed with an ankle injury still. Indianapolis has played 9 of their last 13 road games Under the Total — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total when playing a winning record at home. The Colts formula for success will likely be to run the football to burn clock and keep Mahomes off the field — especially when playing in a hostile environment. They score only 23.9 PPG when playing away from home. Indy holds their home hosts to scoring just 20.9 PPG — and they have held their last three opponents to only 17.0 PPG along with 324.0 total YPG. Indianapolis should be able to slow down Kansas City offensive juggernaut living life now without running back Kareem Hunt as they are 8th in the NFL by allowing 101.8 rushing YPG — and they hold opposing rushers to just 3.9 Yards-Per-Carry.

FINAL TAKE: Defenses have caught up a bit with the explosive Chiefs offense — but the Total remains historically high for this divisional round playoff game. Indy wants a shorter game to put Luck in a position to outduel Mahomes — and that is a formula for the Under. And if there is snow, both of these offenses might slow significantly down. 25* AFC Divisional Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (301) and the Kansas City Chiefs (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Northern Kentucky Norse (804) minus the points versus the Wright State Raiders (803). Northern Kentucky (13-4) has won five of their last six games with their 95-73 win at Detroit last Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite. Wright State (8-9) looks to build off their 89-73 win at Oakland last Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NORSE MINUS THE POINTS: Northern Kentucky dominated the Titans — they made 57.1% of their shots in that game while limiting them to just a 42.6% field goal percentage. The Norse have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after making at least 55% of their shots — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last games after a contests where they shot at last 57% from the field while holding their opponent to no better than a 43% field goal percentage. Furthermore, Northern Kentucky has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 32 games after a double-digit win — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last contest. Head coach John Brannen has built one of the strongest programs in the Horizon League — the Norse represented the conference in the NCAA Tournament two years but just missed out last year to this Wright State team last year after losing to them twice during the regular season (two of their three Horizon League regular season losses) before being relegated to the NIT after getting upset as the top seed in the conference tournament to Cleveland State. Northern Kentucky has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against Horizon League opponents. Now they return home where they are a perfect 10-0 with an average winning margin of +20.0 PPG. The Norse are making 48% of their shots at home while limiting their visitors to just 60.6 PPG on 37.7% shooting. Northern Kentucky has covered the point spread in 17 of their last 24 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Wright State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit win on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road after a game where they scored at least 85 points. The Raiders like to create pressure as they rank 2nd in the Horizon by forcing turnovers in 21.3% of their opponent’s possessions — but they are facing a Norse team that only turns it over in 17.0% of their possessions this season which ranks 68th in the country. This is Wright State’s third straight game on the road where they are just 1-7 with an average losing margin of -7.5 PPG. They allowing their home hosts to make 51.8% of their shots which is an ominous proposition against a Northern Kentucky team that leads the Horizon League with both a 61.7% shooting percentage inside the arc and a 60.2% effective field goal percentage. The Raiders will have difficulties keeping up as they make only 43% of their shots on the road — and they have a low 40.5% field goal percentage over their last five games. Wright State has failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 road games with the Total set in the 135-139.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Kentucky was upset as a double-digit favorite at home last January in the first meeting between these two teams. Defeating the Raiders is very important to this team that looks to win the Horizon League and gets back to the Big Dance. 25* CBB Friday ESPN2 Game of the Month is on the Northern Kentucky Norse (804) minus the points versus the Wright State Raiders (803). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Arkansas State Red Wolves (638) minus the points versus the South Alabama Jaguars (637). THE SITUATION: Arkansas State (7-8) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 85-75 loss at UL-Monroe as a 7.5-point underdog. South Alabama (9-6) has won five of their last six games with their 84-77 win over Coast Carolina as a 1-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED WOLVES MINUS THE POINTS: Arkansas State has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss to a Sun Belt Conference rival. The Red Wolves have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread setback. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Arkansas State returns home to Jonesboro where they are 5-0 this season while scoring 81.0 PPG and outscoring their opponents by +16.4 PPG. The Red Wolves flex their muscles on defense when playing at home as they hold their visitors to host 65.4 PPG along with only a 33.8% field goal percentage. Arkansas State has covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Red Wolves have also covered the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 65 home games after playing their last two games on the road. Arkansas State should control the offensive glass in this contest — they pull down 33.5% of their missed shots which ranks 113th in the nation. The Jaguars are very vulnerable to teams that hit the boards when they have the basketball — they are allowing their opponents to rebound 33.2% of their missed shots which is 332nd worst in the country. South Alabama likes to shoot 3s with 43.6% of their field goal attempts coming from behind the arc. The Jaguars are making a healthy 38.6% of these shots — but the Red Wolves defense the perimeter well by limiting their opponents to just a 32.6% shooting mark from the 3-point line which is 115th best in the country. Arkansas State is very stingy in defending the arc when playing at home — they hold their visitors to just a 23.8% mark from behind the arc. South Alabama has played their last four boarded games Over the Total — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing at least three straight Overs. Now after playing their last six games on the road, the Jaguars go back on the road for the first time since December 5th. South Alabama is 0-5 on the road this year where they are being outscored by -17.5 PPG. They are shooting just 40.5% from the field away from home which is translating into just 61.7 PPG. They are also allowing their home hosts to make 50.2% of their shots. The Jaguars are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court — and they have failed to cover the point spread on the road after playing their last three games at home.

FINAL TAKE: These are two middling teams in the Sun Belt — but the Jaguars winning record is skewed with a lack of games away from home. Arkansas State matches up well and plays much better on their home court. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (638) minus the points versus the South Alabama Jaguars (637). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (538) plus the points versus the Boston Celtics (537). THE SITUATION: Miami (19-20) has lost their last two games after their 103-99 loss at home to Denver as a 2-point favorite on Tuesday. Boston (25-15) has won four straight games with their 135-108 win over Indiana last night as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HEAT PLUS THE POINTS: The Celtics have been vulnerable when playing with limited rest. They have lost four of their six games when playing the second game in back-to-back days — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing without rest. Boston has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing their third game in four days. The Celtics made 56.8% of their shots last night which was their second-best field goal percentage of the season. But Boston has failed to cover the point spread in 60 of their last 94 games after shooting at least 55% from the field in their last game — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in eight of their last twelve games after making at least 55% of their shots in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 62 games after a contest where at least 235 combined points were scored — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in thirteen of their last twenty games after a game where at least 235 combined points were scored. Now after playing their last four games at home, the Celtics go back on the road where they are just 10-10 this season. Boston has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after playing four straight games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after winning their last three games at home. Now they face this Heat against which they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 encounters. Miami has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 23 games after an upset loss as a home favorite in their last game. And while Miami has failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The Heat are playing without point guard Goran Dragic but they are getting surprisingly good play from Justice Winslow who head coach Erik Spoelstra has inserted at the point. Miami does finally have shooting guard Dion Waiters back in the mix after he missed the first few months with injuries. The Heat lacks an elite go-to scorer but they have a deep roster of quality players. Miami has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Eastern Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams may be separated by 5 1/2 games in the standings but they are currently the fifth and sixth seeds in the Eastern Conference standings. With Boston playing on short rest and the Heat boasting a quality bench, expect a close game that Miami has a chance to pull the outright upset. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Game of the Month with the Miami Heat (538) plus the points versus the Boston Celtics (537). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Dallas Mavericks (530) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (529). THE SITUATION: Dallas (18-22) has lost their last three games after their 107-97 upset loss at home to the Lakers as a 7.5-point underdog as a 7.5-point favorite. Phoenix (10-32) snapped their six-game losing streak last night with their 115-111 upset victory as a 4-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MAVERICKS MINUS THE POINTS: Successful handicapping the dog days of the NBA regular season requires due throughout the afternoon regarding the status of key players dealing with day-to-day injuries. The Suns’ Devon Booker has been downgraded to doubtful with an ailing back after missing the last two games including last night’s contest. The Mavs’ Luka Doncic is listed as questionable with a sore back but he did practice yesterday. Fellow point guard Dennis Smith, Jr. is listed as questionable with a back injury but with trade rumors swirling with him having lost his starting job to the rookie phenom in Doncic, I am going to assume he does not take the court tonight. With the lack of afternoon news on Doncic after morning workouts, I am comfortable in assuming that he will take the court tonight — and that is enough for me to endorse the Mavericks in what is otherwise a fantastic situation. Dallas has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a double-digit loss at home — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Mavericks have also covered the point spread in 32 of their last 45 games after a point spread loss. Dallas stays at home where they are 15-4 this season while scoring 112.7 PPG. The Mavericks have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games on their home court — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Despite their recent losing ways, Dallas has been playing better defense as of late as they have held their last five opponents to just 42.8% field goal percentage. Additionally, the Mavericks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow Western Conference opponents. Phoenix is likely due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. The Suns held the Kings to a 47.5% field goal percentage which was actually the best defensive effort in their last seven contests. Phoenix has seen their last five opponents shoot 51.1% from the field. The Suns have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Now Phoenix goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: If Booker were probable to play tonight, I would still like Dallas in this contest — so the news that he has been downgraded to doubtful only improves this play. 25* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month is with the Dallas Mavericks (530) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (529). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Creighton Bluejays (800) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Panthers (799). Creighton (10-5) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 84-69 loss at Butler as a 4.5-point underdog. Marquette (12-3) has won nine of their last ten games after their 70-52 win over Xavier on Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUEJAYS MINUS THE POINTS: Creighton has bounced back to cover the point spread in 6 straight games at home after a double-digit loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 straight games at home after playing a game on the road as an underdog. Furthermore, the Bluejays have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a loss on the road to a conference rival. And in their last 8 games at home after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Head coach Greg McDermott’s team is not playing very good defense — but this team can shoot the rock. Creighton is 11th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are 3rd in the nation in effective field goal percentage with a 60.0% mark due to their strong 3-point shooting as they make 42.0% of their 3-point shooting which is 5th best in the nation. Now the Bluejays return home where they are 6-2 this season with an average winning margin of +16.3 PPG. Creighton scores 86.0 PPG on their home court while making 53.3% of their shots along with an incredible 48.6% of their 3-pointers. In the Bluejays’ defense, their play on the defensive end of the court is much better at home as they hold their visitors to just a 43.3% field goal percentage. Creighton has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games again teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Marquette may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after a double-digit win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games on the road after a win by at least 15 points. And while the Golden Eagles have covered the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games on the road after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Marquette held the Musketeers to just a 31.5% field goal percentage which was their second-best defensive effort of the season. But the Golden Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 35 of their last 54 games after holding their last opponent to no better than a 33% field goal percentage. Now this team goes back on the road for just the fifth time this season. Marquette has lost both their true road games this year — they are 1-3 overall away from home playing in road or neutral court contests while getting outscored by -12.3 PPG in these contests. The Golden Eagles make just 41.4% of their shots away from home. Even worse, Marquette allows their opponents to make 50% of their shots including 41.9% of their 3-pointers when playing away from home — and this has translated into 84.0 PPG. The Golden Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Marquette swept the two-games between these two teams last season. Look for Creighton to flex their shooting muscles back on their home court with the opportunity to avenge those two losses last year. 25* CBB Wednesday CBS Sports Network Game of the Month with the Creighton Bluejays (800) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Panthers (799). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Baylor Bears (606) plus the points versus the Iowa State Cyclones (605). THE SITUATION: Iowa State (12-2) has won five straight games after their 77-60 win over Kansas as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Baylor (8-5) looks to bounce-back from their 85-81 loss at TCU as a 6.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: The Cyclones were the toast of the College Basketball punditry world on Saturday after their huge win over the Jayhawks — but they may be due for a letdown now. This is a team that was just 13-18 last season so head coach Steve Promm’s core group of players are not experienced at sustaining success. Iowa State benefited from Bill Self’s decision to not use Udoka Azubuike after he sprained his wrist the day before — that left the Jayhawks without much size and neutralized a vulnerability that the Cyclones had in that matchup with four of their starters in the 6’4 to 6’6 height range. Iowa State also nailed 13 of their 25 shots from behind the arc in that game including making 9 of 13 3-pointers in the second-half of that game. The Cyclones have covered the point spread in each of their last three games while laying points in all three of those contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread as the favorite in at least three straight games. Iowa State now goes on the road where they are making only 44.4% of their shots as compared to their 48.3% field goal percentage overall. The Cyclones only make 32.9% of their 3-pointers when playing on the road which is far below their 36.1% field goal percentage. Iowa State has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Cyclones have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 22 road games when laying no more than 3 points. Baylor has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. The Bears have covered the point spread in three straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in three straight contests. Baylor was 19-15 last year after losing in the second round in the NIT but they lost the top four scorers from that team. However, last year was the first time that the Bears did not make the Big Dance so a rebuild may be in order for Scott Drew who brought in two impact transfers and two four-star freshman to the mix this season. 6’9 freshman Matthew Mayer and Yale graduate transfer Makai Mason have played very well for this team while senior King McClure has stepped up his game as the team’s top returning scorer from last year. Baylor’s length should give the Cyclones problems tonight. They are 3rd in the nation by blocking their opponent’s shots in 17.7% of their attempts — and they also rank 16th in the country by pulling down 37.1% of their missed shots. The Bears return home where they are 6-2 this season with an average winning margin of +14.7 PPG. Drew once again has his team playing very good on the defensive end of the court. Baylor holds their opponents to just 58.2 PPG when playing at home while limiting their visitors to just a 38.3% field goal percentage. The Bears have also held their last five opponents to just 36.6% shooting. Baylor has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Iowa State is due for a letdown after their big win over Kansas — and this Baylor team is very tough when playing at home in Waco. 25* CBB Big 12 Underdog of the Month with Baylor Bears (606) plus the points versus the Iowa State Cyclones (605). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Clemson Tigers (151) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (152). THE SITUATION: Clemson (14-0) reached the National Championship Game two Saturdays ago with their dominant 30-3 win over Notre Dame as a 10.5-point favorite. Alabama (14-0) later matched that effort in the nightcap of the College Football Playoff Semifinals with their 45-34 victory against Oklahoma as a 14.5-point favorite. These two teams play for the National Championship in Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS PLUS THE POINTS: Back in August, my Best Bet to win the National Championship was on Clemson because I preferred the value in their future odds in the 4:1 to 5:1 range as more appetizing than Alabama’s odds in the 2:1 to 3:1 range. With this final pairing set, I have observed some pundits claim that there is little value in Clemson getting +4.5 to +6 or so points. Say what? The Tigers lost the first playoff meeting between these two teams in 2016 by a 45-40 score before upsetting the Tide by a 35-31 score in the second meeting the next year. Nick Saban then had a month to prepare for last year's third showdown which Bama won by a 24-6 score — and that game exposed the limitations of Clemson QB Kelly Bryant. It is with this fourth chapter in mind that Dabo Swinney made the difficult decision to bench an effective Bryant this season for freshman Trevor Lawrence. In hindsight, that move looks brilliant as it jumpstarted the Tigers offense who they closed the season ranked 4th in the nation by scoring 44.3 PPG while ranking above Bama at 3rd in the FBS by averaging 530.4 total YPG. Lawrence looked great in decimating a good Notre Dame defense by completing 27 of 39 passes for 327 yards while tossing three touchdown passes. He now faces a vulnerable Crimson Tide secondary that has surrendered 308 and 301 passing yards to Oklahoma and Georgia in their last two games. The Alabama defensive backfield was an initial concern for me this season considering that they replaced their top four starters along with their top six on the depth chart. It is more difficult to repeat as champions since it is challenging to muster the same level of energy and urgency as that which drove the team in their first triumph over the proverbial mountain. And I see red flags when defending champions start losing focus by getting chippy with trash talk and cheap shots — and that is exactly what happened to Alabama when they blew their point spread cover against the Sooners. Rather than tactics of intimidation, I fount it indicated a lack of confidence — or, perhaps it displayed chemistry issues for a group with national championship or bust expectations that has played all season with a divided locker room over their two quarterbacks? Something seems off — and now they will face a program that has reached their level over the last four seasons. That is not a good sign for the Crimson Tide who have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in January — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when favored by less than 7 points. Clemson has notched 54 victories over the last four seasons while perhaps being more talented than the team that won the 2016 National Championship. Even without Dexter Lawrence with his PED suspension, this could be their best defense under star defensive coordinator Brent Venables. This group ranks above Bama in all major defensive categories for what that is worth. Clemson has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 bowl games — and they have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 bowl games as the underdog while winning six of those games straight-up.

FINAL TAKE: I lean to Clemson to win this game outright given the lingering chemistry/cohesion issues with Alabama that reared its ugly head in the Semifinals along with the motivational edge this team has in revenge against a reigning champion that might be just a little less hungry this time around. But please take as many points as you can for some valuable insurance. 25* CFB National Championship A-List Special with Clemson Tigers (151) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (151) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (152). THE SITUATION: Clemson (14-0) reached the National Championship Game two Saturdays ago with their dominant 30-3 win over Notre Dame as a 10.5-point favorite. Alabama (14-0) later matched that effort in the nightcap of the College Football Playoff Semifinals with their 45-34 victory against Oklahoma as a 14.5-point favorite. These two teams play for the National Championship in Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Both these teams have top-five scoring offenses and defenses — but I think both teams’ offenses seem a little of their defense and the urgency of this contest should eventually push the scoring Over the Total. Alabama is second in the nation by scoring 47.7 PPG while ranking fourth in the FBS by averaging 527.6 total YPG. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa competed 24 of 27 passes against the Sooners defense last week for 318 yards with four touchdown passes to lead the Crimson Tide to victory. The Over is 19-9-1 in Alabama’s last 29 games after they pass for at least 280 yards in their last game. This dynamic passing attack is a new wrinkle for a Nick Saban Crimson Tide team as they rank 6th in the nation by averaging 325.6 passing YPG. While Bama has sported elite wide receivers who have found great success in the NFL, Saban may have recruited his most diverse set of receiver targets for this season’s offense. They should exploit a vulnerable Clemson secondary that was torched for 430 passing yards by Texas A&M and 510 passing yards by South Carolina. Alabama has played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field when favored — and they have played eleven of their last sixteen bowl games Over the Total including six of their last seven major bowl games played in January. The Tide have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams outside the SEC. Furthermore, Alabama has played 7 straight games Over the Total with the number set in the 56.5 to 63 points range. But the Crimson Tide displayed some weaknesses in their defense again Oklahoma by allowing 471 yards of offense. The Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Bama secondary was a question mark for this team entering the season with them losing their top six defensive backs from last year’s depth chart. Alabama allowed the Sooners to pass for 308 yards after Georgia passed for 301 yards in their last two games. Dabo Swinney made the move at quarterback early in the season to prepare freshman Trevor Lawrence for this potential rematch because of his strong arm. The 6’5 gunslinger completed 27 of 39 passes against the Fighting Irish for 327 yards with three touchdowns. He leads an offense that has averaged 567.0 total YPG over their last three games. Overall, Clemson ranks 4th in the nation by averaging 44.3 PPG while generating 530.4 total YPG which ranks 3rd in the FBS. The Tigers have only allowed 13 combined points over their last two games — but they have then played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last game while also playing 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not giving up more than 14 points in two straight games. Furthermore, the Tigers have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. And in their last 5 games played in the month of January, the Tigers have played 4 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: This is the fourth straight season that these two teams have met in the College Football Playoffs. Alabama won the first game by a 45-40 score before Clemson won the rematch in January 2017 in a 35-31 contest. The Tide won in last year’s Semifinals in a defensive contest with Clemson using Kelly Bryant at quarterback in a 24-6 result. Expect the fourth chapter of this series to resemble the first two in it being a high-scoring shootout. 25* College Football Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (151) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (105) and the Baltimore Ravens (106). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (12-4) has won five of their last six games with their 23-9 win at Denver as a 7-point favorite last week. Baltimore (10-6) has won three games in a row with their 26-24 victory over Cleveland as a 7-point favorite last Sunday. This is a rematch of the Ravens’ 22-10 upset victory in Los Angeles back on December 22nd as a 4-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chargers have seen the Under go a decisive 35-15-1 in their last 51 games after a straight-up win. They have also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Under is also 10-4-1 in Los Angeles’ last 15 games after not allowing more than 15 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Chargers have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Los Angeles defense is one of the best in the league by allowing just 20.1 PPG which is 8th in the NFL — and that number drops to 19.8 PPG when playing on the road. The Chargers have a huge benefit in facing the new run-dominant Ravens offense two weeks ago. It is a challenge to prepare for this Baltimore offense since practice squads do not have players that can adequately replicate rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson’s skill set. In this quick turnaround rematch, look for the Chargers’ defense to stay committed to assignment football which is the most effective way to slow down these wishbone style rushing attacks. Don’t be surprised if Los Angeles also has their defensive backs employ inside presses along while running some corner or safety blitzes to put the pressure on Jackson. The rookie has completed only 17 of 34 passes when facing a blitz this season while getting sacked 5 times. The Chargers should force Jackson to beat him with his arm — and he was not adept in his college career in accurately delivering fade route passes that he should be forced into making this afternoon. 115 of Jackson’s 185 pass attempts this season (68%) have been no longer than 10 passing yards — so daring him to execute medium and longer passes should be the order of the day. However, a problem for the Chargers has been that their offense has been sputtering as of late after suffering their worst points and yardage games for the season in each of the last two seasons. 7 of their points last week against the Broncos were from an 18-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown — and their only touchdown the previous week against the Ravens was from a short drive after recovering a fumble at the 17-yard line. Quarterback Philip Rivers has thrown for less than 220 yards in three of his last four starts while tossing six interceptions over his last three games. To compound matters, Los Angeles will be traveling east to play this 1 PM ET game with their body clocks thinking it is 10 AM (with me). The Chargers have played two straight games Under the Total — and they have then played 7 straight road games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders. And while LA has only allowed two field goals in the first half of their last two games, they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than a touchdown in the first half in two straight games. And while the Broncos gained 370 yards against them last week, the Chargers have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Baltimore gave up an uncharacteristic 426 yards last week to the Browns — but they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. Cleveland only had 56 offensive plays in that game which was 10.6 snaps below their season average. One of the benefits of the Ravens’ commitment to running the football is burning time off the clock. Baltimore has averaged 45.1 rushes per game in the seven games that Jackson has started — and this has correlated to opposing offenses averaging 10.9 fewer offensive plays during that span. The Ravens have the best statistical defense in the NFL by allowing 292.0 total YPG and they rank second in the league by giving up only 17.9 PPG. Over their last three games, Baltimore has allowed just 15.3 PPG along with only 288.3 total YPG. The Ravens have played 5 of their last 6 playoff games Under the Total when playing at home — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games in the month of January.

FINAL TAKE: This game features two good defenses that just faced the respective offenses two weeks ago. Combine that dynamic with a Chargers team that likes to control Time of Possession facing a Baltimore team obsessed with controlling the clock — and the result is a great formula for the Under. 25* AFC Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (105) and the Baltimore Ravens (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (103) and the Dallas Cowboys (104). THE SITUATION: Seattle (10-6) has won two straight games as well as six of their last seven contests after their 27-24 win over Arizona as a 14-point favorite last week. Dallas (10-6) has also won two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests with their 36-35 victory in New York against the Giants as a 7.5-point underdog. This is a rematch of the Seahawks 24-13 win at home in Seattle as a 2-point favorite back on September 30th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Seattle has become a power running team that has averaged at least 28 rushing attempts per game since Week Two. But this team’s ability to burn time off the clock does not necessarily translate into a bunch of Unders. The Seahawks have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against NFC rivals — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. This running of the football sets up their play-action passing which they deploy in 32% of their pass attempts which is the second most in the NFL — and they are sixth in the league by averaging 8.8 Yards-Per-Play from play-action. The Cowboys are vulnerable against play-action passing — they have only seen in it 21% of their opponent’s pass attempts but they are in the bottom half of the league by allowing 7.9 YPP against play-action. Play-action also sets up QB Russell Wilson to throw the deep ball — and he ranks second in the NFL by averaging 15.6 YPP when throwing at least 16 yards past the line of scrimmage. The Seattle play-action game is so dangerous because opposing defenses have to commit to slow down their rushing attack that leads the NFL by averaging 160.0 rushing YPG. The Seahawks trio of running backs of Chris Carson, Mike Davis and Rashard Penny combine to average 4.6 YPC. The Cowboys’ defense has allowed 26.0 PPG along with 398.0 total YPG over their last three games. Seattle has averaged 29.3 PPG along with 380.0 total YPG over their last three contests. They go on the road where they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 31 of their last 46 road games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. The Seahawks have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total in the playoffs. Dallas has played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after an upset win as a road underdog. The Cowboys will have a rested Ezekiel Elliott who got last week off to mend and rest for this game. They managed just 51 rushing yards last week — but they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Dallas is getting as healthy again on their offensive line with Tyron Smith, Connor Williams and Zack Martin all upgraded to probable for this game. The Cowboys should be able to find success running the football against this Seahawks defense that has allowed opposing rushers to average 5.13 Yards-Per-Carry since Week Nine. Dallas gets to host this game where they score 25.0 PPG while averaging 363.4 total YPG. Of course, the Cowboys season numbers on offense are skewed down because their acquisition of wide receiver Amari Cooper transformed their offense by offering QB Dak Prescott a legitimate number one wide receiver target — and the mere threat of Cooper down the field opens the running game up for Elliott. In their three-game homestand from Thanksgiving until the second Sunday in December against Washington, New Orleans, and Philadelphia, Dallas averaged 429.3 YPG which demonstrates the positive impact Cooper had on their offense. The Cowboys have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 45 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams seem likely to be able to move the ball running the football — and that will open up their respective passing attacks. This shapes up to be a close game — and the urgency of this single-elimination playoff game should push the scoring into the high-40s. 25* NFL Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (103) and the Dallas Cowboys (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (102) minus the point(s) versus the Indianapolis Colts (101). THE SITUATION: Houston (11-5) has won two of their last three games after their 20-3 win over Jacksonville as a 7-point favorite last Sunday. Indianapolis (10-6) has won four straight games after they defeated the Titans in Tennessee last Sunday night to clinch the final wildcard spot in the AFC. These two teams will be meeting for the third time: the Texans won the first matchup on September 30th by a 37-34 score as a 1-point favorite before the Colts won the rematch on December 9th by a 24-21 upset score despite being a 4-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE HOUSTON MINUS THE POINT(S): This is a tough spot for Indianapolis who stay on the road for the second straight week in a must-win situation. It might be difficult for the Colts to maintain the intensity they needed to bring last Sunday night to defeat the Titans in Nashville. As it is, Indianapolis has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least two touchdowns — and they are just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Colts rushed for 158 yards in that game as this has become a team that likes to run the ball to establish their offense. But getting their ground game going will be difficult against this Texans defense that ranks 3rd in the NFL by allowing just 82.7 rushing YPG. Indianapolis has covered the point spread in three of their last four games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after covering three of their last four contests. Quarterback Andrew Luck is having a great comeback season but he is leading a team that is just 4-4 on the road this season while scoring 24.2 PPG and averaging 369.4 total YPG — and those numbers are -2.9 PPG and -16.8 YPG below their overall season averages. The Colts have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 road games as an underdog getting no more than 3 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 playoff games on the road. Houston has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win. The team is getting relatively healthy for this game with running back Lamar Miller returning to the field last week while rookie slot receiver Keke Coutee (who caught 10 passes in the first encounter with the Colts this year) looks set to finally play again after missing significant time with his hamstring. One of the reasons I give the Texans the edge in this game is they have more established star talent. This is the first season that head coach Bill O’Brien has had the services of defensive ends J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney for the entire season along with linebacker Whitney Mercilus healthy and playing together. I expect defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel will dial up a good scheme in his third opportunity to slow down Luck on offense. Houston also has DeAndre Hopkins who might have enjoyed the best season of all the wide receivers in the NFL simply because he catches everything thrown his way. Second-year DeShaun Watson is also a dynamic player who can match Luck on the field. Home field advantage certainly plays a role in this game as the Texans are 6-2 at home with an average winning margin of +8.9 PPG — and they out-gain their opponents by +52.2 net YPG. Houston’s defense flexes their muscles at home where they hold their visitors to just 17.0 PPG along with only 327.2 YPG. The Texans have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 home games as a favorite laying no more than 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: Houston has covered the point spread in 27 of their last 40 opportunities to avenge a loss when playing on their home field. While Watson lacks the playoff experience of Luck, the core of this Texans team got playoff experience after winning two straight AFC South titles before injuries derailed their campaign last year. Expect home field advantage to make the difference between these two teams. 25* AFC South Game of the Month with the Houston Texans (102) minus the point(s) versus the Indianapolis Colts (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (805) and the Toledo Rockets (806). Ball State (9-4) has won three straight games as well as eight of their last nine contests after their 116-57 win over Delaware State last Saturday as a 29.5-point favorite. Toledo (12-1) looks to build off their 77-45 win over Penn on Saturday as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cardinals have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Ball State has also played 7 straight games on the road Over the Total after a double-digit win on their home court. The Cardinals made 55.7% of their shots in that game which was the sixth time in their last seven games where they shot at least 50.9% from the field. Ball State has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after making at least 55% of their shots. This is a veteran team with four returning starters along with three impact transfers from last year’s team that finished 19-13. The Cardinals are 39th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while ranking 11th in the country with an effective field goal percentage of 57.3%. Ball State makes 38.2% of their 3-point shots which is the 36th best mark in the nation. They go on the road where they are making 49.2% of their shots while scoring 76.0 PPG and allowing 77.0 PPG. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Cardinals have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Toledo has played 26 of their last 38 home games Over the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. The Rockets are also an explosive offensive team that ranks 42nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 16th in the nation with a 3-point field goal percentage of 39.8%. Toledo stays at home where they are 7-0 this season while scoring 86.7 PPG and making 47.3% of their shots. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 35 of their last 54 home games Over the Total as the favorite laying no more than 6 points. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Coincidentally, both these teams are coming off their best defensive performances of the season with Ball State and Toledo holding their last opponent to just 30.1% and 30.5% field goal percentages. These two teams have played 14 of their last 20 meetings Over the Total. Expect a higher-scoring game between these teams that will be competing to with the Mid-American Conference championship. 25* CBB Friday CBS Sports Network Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (805) and the Toledo Rockets (806). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (513) and the Chicago Bulls (514). Orlando (16-20) has lost five of their last seven games with their 125-100 loss at Charlotte as an 8.5-point underdog on Monday. Chicago (10-27) has lost two of their last three games with their 95-89 loss at Toronto as a 10.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Magic have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Orlando has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss where at least 225 combined points were scored. Furthermore, the Magic have played 28 of their last 41 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and this includes them playing six of their last eight games Under the Total after a loss away from home. This team is dealing with a host on injuries with the worst being at point guard where starter D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathan Simmons dealing with ankle injuries. Not all injuries disproportionally impact one end of the court but Orlando really misses Augustin’s 11.5 PPG along with a 4.9 Assists-Per-Game average along with his 43.8% shooting from behind the arc. The Magic have resorted to using Jerian Grant primary point guard but his lack of penetration skills to the paint limits their offense. Grant started in their last loss to the Hornets where Orlando shot just 41.3% from the field which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. The Magic may also be without center Nikola Vucevic who is questionable with a calf injury. Now Orlando goes on the road where they score 100.6 PPG with a 43.1% field goal percentage while allowing 103.1 PPG with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.1% — and all those numbers are below their 103.4 PPG/44.4% offensive and 107.5 PPG/45.9% defensive numbers for the season. The Magic have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road  - — and they have played 12 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Orlando has also played 10 of their last 13 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Magic will have revenge on their minds from a 90-80 loss at Chicago back on December 21st — and they have played 30 of their last 47 games Under the Total when avenging a road loss with seven of those last ten circumstances finishing Under the Total. Chicago has seen the Under go 19-6-1 in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. The Bulls have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. Chicago is last in the NBA by scoring just 100.4 PPG. Interim head coach Jim Boylen is preaching to his players to embrace a slowed-down grinding style on offense perhaps as a contrarian philosophy to all the teams that have gone up-tempo this season. The Bulls are scoring only 97.2 PPG over their last five games — and being without their injured point guard Bobby Portis who is dealing with an ankle injury of his own does not help. But Chicago is playing better defense with this approach as they have held their last five opponents to just 95.6 PPG along with a low opponent’s field goal percentage of 40.9%. Those defensive numbers are a far cry from the 109.3 PPG and 45.3% field goal percentage they sport for the season — so perhaps Boyle is on to something for this team. The Bulls return home where they have played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total — and this includes them playing four of their last five home games Under the Total. The Under is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in the last 46 games when Chicago was favored, they have played 30 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing in Chicago. With the injuries with Orlando and the new emphasis on defense with the Bulls, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (513) and the Chicago Bulls (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:45 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (277) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (278). THE SITUATION: Texas (9-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on December 1st with their 39-27 loss to Oklahoma as a 9.5-point underdog in the Big 12 Championship Game. Georgia (11-2) looks to bounce-back from their heartbreaking 35-28 loss to Alabama as an 11-point underdog in the SEC Championship Game. These two teams meet in a consolation prize in New Orleans in the Sugar Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE THE LONGHORNS PLUS THE POINTS: Georgia fancies themselves as an elite program despite rarely winning a big game since Hershel Walker led them to a national championship just before Ronald Reagan took office as President of the United States. The Bulldogs feel they were robbed out of being one of the top four teams in the country tapped to play in the College Football Playoffs despite blowing a 28-14 lead to the Crimson Tide and despite a 20-point loss to LSU (and playing a weakling non-conference schedule). Georgia are worse than blue bloods because they think they have earned the privileges of the elite without putting in any of the work to garner requisite achievements. If only the Bulldogs could rely on nepotism to get into the playoffs! This is all to say that I expect Georgia to be over-confident in this matchup as they will likely expect the Longhorns to faint at the sight of them taking the field. Star cornerback DeAndre Baker might have set the tone for this team when he decided to bypass this game to stay healthy for the upcoming NFL draft. His absence does leave the Bulldogs secondary vulnerable to Texas’ pair of big wide receivers in Collin Johnson (6’6) and Jordan Humphrey (6’4) who combined to accumulate 1964 receiving yards with 16 combined touchdowns. Georgia also displayed some issues in their run defense against the better teams on their schedule as they allowed Alabama, Auburn, and LSU to rush for over 5.0 Yards-Per-Carry. The Bulldogs allowed 25.2 PPG when away from home which is almost a touchdown more than their season average. Georgia got into some high-scoring affairs down the stretch of the season with at least 63 combined points scored in each of their last three games. That is not exactly the style of play that Kirby Smart likes to nurture as a defensive-minded head coach — and the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after playing at least three straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored. Quarterback Jake Fromm completed 25 of 39 passes for 301 yards in their loss to Alabama — and Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Texas is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss. Their sophomore QB Sam Ehlinger played well in defeat by completing 23 of 36 passes for 349 yards while adding another 42 rushing yards and accounting for four overall touchdowns in their loss to the Sooners. The Longhorns are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Ehlinger has done a very good job of protecting the football as he threw 25 TD passes while tossing only five interceptions with eleven games this season where he did not throw an interception. But Texas did surrender 379 passing yards to Oklahoma in that game — but they have covered the point spread in 15 of the last 19 games after allowing at least 375 passing yards in their last game. This Texas defense has steadily improved as they held their last three opponents to just 338.0 total YPG. The Longhorns play well in these big games under head coach Tom Herman as they are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. They also have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games played on a neutral field — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on a neutral field with the Total set in the 56.5 to 62 point range. Furthermore, Texas has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games as an underdog — and this includes them covering the point spread in four of their last five games played on a neutral field as the dog.

FINAL TAKE: Herman has certainly thrived in these underdog situations in his head coaching tenure at Houston and now in Austin, Texas. His teams are 12-3 ATS in their fifteen games as an underdog with Herman leading his team to the upset victory in ten of these contests. Texas certainly has more to prove in this game with a high-profile win in this bowl game doing wonders for their psyche and recruiting profile moving forward — while Georgia still complains that they would have beaten Notre Dame and Oklahoma last Saturday. Expect a close game. 25* College Football Bowl Game of the Year with the Texas Longhorns (277) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (273) and the Central Florida Knights (274). THE SITUATION: LSU (9-3) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in their final regular season game with their 74-72 loss in overtime at Texas A&M as a 3-point underdog back on November 24th. Central Florida (12-0) won the American Athletic Conference Championship Game to remain unbeaten over the last two seasons with their 56-41 win over Memphis as a 1-point favorite on December 1st. These two teams meet in Phoenix for the Fiesta Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: LSU has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Under is 5-2-2 in the Tigers’ last 9 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 18 of their last 25 road games after a game where at least a combined 60 points were scored. The LSU defense was once again one of the best units in the nation as they ranked 24th in the nation by allowing only 20.9 PPG and they also ranked 29th in the FBS by giving up just 346.1 total YPG. Even with that multiple overtime game against the Aggies, the Tigers only allowed 311.7 total YPG over their last three games. Their secondary will be without their two starting cornerbacks with Greedy Williams taking the game off to prepare for the NFL draft and Kristian Fulton dealing with a foot injury. But LSU always has talent at the cornerback position — and the Tigers coaching staff has had a month to develop the next players up on the depth chart. LSU has played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing with at least two weeks between games. The Tigers outstanding defensive line will help alleviate some of the pressure that the Knights wide receivers will offer to their secondary. LSU has played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total as the favorite. The Tigers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field — and they have played 5 of their last 7 bowl games Under the Total. Central Florida has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Knights have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a game where they scored at least 40 points — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after scoring at least 50 points. And while UCF generated a whopping 698 yards of offense against the Memphis defense, they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. But the Knights surrendered 583 yards to the Memphis offense with 401 yards being on the ground. UCF has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after giving up at least 275 rushing yards in their last contest. The Knights have had a bend but not break defense that has allowed only 21.3 PPG which is 25th best in the nation. UCF has covered the point spread in five of their last six games — but they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Knights’ freshman quarterback, Darriel Mack, accounted well for himself to win the AAC Championship by completing 19 of 27 passes for 348 yards while adding another 59 yards on the ground. But facing the Memphis Tigers defense is not nearly the same as facing the LSU Tigers defense with their NFL talent they put on the field. Expect the freshman to struggle against the advanced schemes LSU will throw at the rookie in just his second start of the season after he took over for the injured McKenzie Milton. The big question for this game is how this Group of Five team will handle the significant step up in competition against an elite Power-Five Conference opponent. This year’s UCF team faced only one top-25 statistical defense in Cincinnati (who just surrendered 31 points to a mediocre Virginia Tech offense). Tellingly, the Knights have seen the Under go 8-0-1 in their last 9 games against fellow SEC opponents.

FINAL TAKE: LSU will commit to running the football to control the line of scrimmage and keep the explosive UCF offense off the field. That dynamic should help contribute to this being a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB New Year’s Six Bowl Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (273) and the Central Florida Knights (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (267) and the Texas A&M Aggies (268). NC State (9-3) has won three straight games with their 58-3 win over East Carolina back on December 1st as a 24.5-point favorite. Texas A&M (8-4) has also won three straight games with their 74-72 win in multiple overtimes against LSU as a 3-point favorite back on November 24th. These two teams meet in Jacksonville for the Taxslayer Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: NC State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Led by senior quarterback Ryan Finley, the Wolfpack offense scores 35.6 PPG while averaging 471.3 total YPG — those numbers rank 20th and 15th best in the nation. Over their last three games, this offense was clicking on all cylinders by scoring 48.0 PPG while averaging 526.7 total YPG. Finley will be without wide receiver Kelvin Harmon who is skipping this game to avoid injury prior to the NFL draft but he still has a host of other weapons including a 1000-yard receiver in Jakobi Meyers. He will be using this game to build his own NFL draft resume — and he should feast off an Aggies secondary that ranked 111th in the nation by allowing 262.7 passing YPG. Opposing quarterbacks completed 61% of their passes against the Texas A&M defense while throwing 25 touchdown passes to just 5 interceptions. But the Wolfpack defense will likely struggle to slow down the Aggies’ offense. In their five games on the road, NC State surrendered 30.0 PPG while allowing those opponents to average 439.2 total YPG. Their defense will be without their best player and top tackler in linebacker Germaine Pratt who is also bypassing this game for NFL prep. This is a defense that was torched by opposing quarterbacks as they ranked 120th in the nation by allowing 271.2 passing YPG. The Over is 11-4-1 in the Wolfpack’s last 16 games against non-conference opponents. NC State has also played 6 straight bowl games Over the Total — and they have played 8 straight games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field. The Wolfpack have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing as an underdog on a neutral field. Texas A&M has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Aggies have also played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after allowing at least 42 points in their last game. Texas A&M has their own dynamic quarterback in Kellen Mond who threw 23 touchdown passes while leading an offense that scored 34.7 PPG (26th in the nation) and averaged 465.8 total YPG (19th in the FBS). The Aggies have played 4 of their last 5 bowl games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams outside the SEC.

FINAL TAKE: NC State and Texas A&M have run defense that rank 13th and 2nd in the nation respectively — so don’t be surprised if the running games are abandoned for more passing. More passing means more possessions which helps our Over play. This shapes up to be a wild high-scoring affair. 25* CFB Bailout Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (267) and the Texas A&M Aggies (268). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Colorado Bears (763) and the Portland State Vikings (764). THE SITUATION: Northern Colorado (7-5) snapped a four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 70-65 victory at Sacramento State as a 2-point favorite. Portland State (5-6) has lost three straight games with their 76-71 loss to Cal-State Bakersfield as a 1-point favorite back on December 20th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Northern Colorado has played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Over their last five games, the Bears are scoring a robust 88.6 PPG while making 51% of their shots from the field. But now this team stays on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 48.6% of their shots this season. Northern Colorado has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing on the road. Portland State has played 9 straight games Over the Total after a loss on their home court — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after an upset loss at home. They stay at home for this contest where they are scoring 89.2 PPG while making 46.9% of their shots which is well-above their 41.9% shooting clip overall (mental note: be on the lookout to fade this team in their conference road games). If and when the Vikings miss their shots, there is a very good chance they will get a second-chance scoring opportunity since they lead the nation by pulling down 44.2% of their missed shots. Offensive rebounds should be easy to come by facing this Bears team that allows their opponents to rebound 27.4% of their missed shots which ranks 122nd in the nation. Portland State has not covered the point spread in three straight games. The Vikings have played 24 of their last 33 home games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in two straight games — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in three straight contests. Additionally, while Portland State has allowed their last four opponents to make at least 47.3% of their shots (as they sacrifice transition defense for crashing the offensive glass), they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing their last four opponents to make at least 47% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: These are two defensively-challenged teams who rank 214th and 267 in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. In the wild-wild-west of the Big Sky conference, expect this game to be another higher-scoring game between these two teams. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Northern Colorado Bears (763) and the Portland State Vikings (764). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (261) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (262). Michigan State (7-5) snapped a two-game losing streak to close out their regular season on November 24th with their 14-10 win over Rutgers as a 24.5-point favorite. Oregon (8-4) has won three of their last four games with their 55-15 win at Oregon State on November 23rd as an 18-point favorite. These two teams meeting Santa Clara’s Levi Stadium for the newly named Redox Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SPARTANS PLUS THE POINTS: Michigan State had sky-high expectations this season with nineteen starters back from a team that went 10-3 last season which culminated in a 42-17 drubbing of a Washington State team in the Holiday Bowl who then defeated these Ducks this season by double-digits. Injuries on offense held Sparty back this year with quarterback Brian Lewerke and running back L.J. Scott both battling injuries all season. Both players have had five weeks to heel and both should as healthy as they have been in months for this bowl game as the Spartans look to end their season on a high note. There is little wrong with the Michigan State defense that ranked 12th in the nation by allowing just 18.0 PPG while also ranking 14th in the FBS by allowing their opponents to average just 311.5 total YPG. Sparty was also 10th in the nation by holding their opponents to -106 YPG below their season offensive average. They limited Ohio State to just 347 yards of offense — so they should be able to contain Justin Herbert and this Ducks’ offense with the few weeks of preparation. Michigan State has allowed only four offensive touchdowns in their last five games. After shutting down the Buckeyes offense, the Spartans then limited Nebraska to 248 yards of offense before allowing Rutgers to gain a mere 217 yards in their final regular season game. Michigan State is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game — and they have also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 23 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in two straight games. This defense travels as well as they only allowed 13.2 PPG in their five games away from East Lansing while limiting those opponents to just 294.0 YPG. The Spartans out-gained their five opponents on the road by +64.0 net YPG. Head coach Mark Dantoni should have his team ready to play this game as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 bowl games — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games when played on a neutral field. Oregon has been reliably inconsistent as of late. The Ducks have failed to cover the point spread in 11 straight games after a win by at least 20 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread cover as a double-digit favorite. Furthermore, Oregon is just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a point spread victory. And while the Ducks offense generated 510 yards against Beavers, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after scoring at least 50 points in their last contest. This Oregon team was riding high after they pulled off an upset win over Washington — but then they fell to earth with double-digit losses to Washington State and Arizona while allowing an offensively-challenged Utah team score 32 points against them. In their five games away from home, the Ducks were out-gained by -24.8 net YPG. Oregon has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside the Pac-12. The Ducks have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games played on a neutral field when favored by no more than 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: Michigan State is a very physical team with five weeks to rest up and heal for this game. The team with the closest profile to their style of play that Oregon played was Stanford — and the Cardinal defeated the Ducks by a 38-31 score. Dantoni relishes the underdog role for his Spartans. His teams have covered the point spread in their last five bowl games as the dog with Dantoni leading his team to the straight-up upset win in those last four bowl contests. Expect another upset — but take the points for some valuable insurance. 25* CFB Bowl Game of the Month with the Michigan State Spartans (261) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (262). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (322) plus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (321). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (9-6) has won four straight games with their 25-16 win over Washington last Saturday where they failed to cover the -11.5-point spread they were laying as the favorite. Indianapolis (9-6) has won three straight games as well as eight of their last nine contests with their 28-27 win over the Giants as a 10-point favorite. This is a de-facto playoff game for both teams: the victor wins the AFC South title and plays next week in the AFC playoffs while the winner goes home.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TITANS PLUS THE POINTS: It certainly is tempting to take Andrew Luck with the Colts in this game as he offers a significant edge at the quarterback position over Blaine Gabbert who was named the starter this afternoon after Marcus Mariota was officially ruled out with his stinger injury. This situation is a perfect example why it is often prudent to wait on the decision to invest in certain situations. And after the news of Gabbert being the quarterback, I had to get in the trenches with research to block my natural inclination to want to bet-against this quarterback that has failed to meet his prior expectations. All the while, I have watched most of the betting world take the Colts in this game — and that has compelled me to believe that it looks awfully easy to take that side of the equation right now. Well, let’s not forget that it is this Tennessee team that has the playoff team — and it is this Titans team with the better defense that will also have the benefit of home field and an energetic crowd for this nationally-televised night game. Tennessee is second in the NFL by allowing only 18.0 PPG — and that number drops to just 16.9 PPG when they are playing at home. The Titans have held their last three opponents to a mere 8.0 PPG while limiting them to just 269.0 total YPG. The 16 points that Washington scored last week was the most that this defense has allowed in three straight games. They limited the Skins to just 131 passing yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Admittedly, this Tennessee defense is dealing with some tough injuries with defensive lineman Jurrell Casey, cornerback Logan Ryan and linebacker Brian Orakpo all out for this game. With everything at stake, head coach Mike Vrabel will be preaching the “next man up” — and it helps that this team is playing at home with these subs being energized by the crowd. The Titans are 6-1 at home this year with an average winning margin of +6.1 PPG. Tennessee is 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 home games as an underdog. The Titans have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. And in their last 9 games against fellow AFC South opponents, Tennessee has covered the point spread in 7 of these games. This team is further motivated to avenge their ugly 38-10 loss at Indianapolis back on November 18th. The embarrassment of that loss should ensure this team is primed and ready for this game. The Titans have covered the point spread in 4 straight games when avenging a loss where their opponent allowed at least 35 points — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with revenge from a loss by at least four touchdowns. Going full circle back to Gabbert, the fact is that he has been a capable professional quarterback since leaving the team that drafted him in Jacksonville. Gabbert completed 11 of 16 passes in relief in that game last month with the Colts albeit in garbage time. Gabbert has won his two starts for this team this season when playing for Mariota. He has completed 18 of 27 passes over his last two appearances for 219 yards for a nice 8.1 Yards-Per-Attempt average while completing 67% of those passes. He has two TD passes and only one interception in those games. He is capable — but perhaps his presence on the field will ensure that Tennessee commits to pounding the football. Running back Derrick Henry is in the zone right now with 492 rushing yards in his last three games. A decision to use heavy personnel with Henry leading the way can exploit the Colts’ Tampa-2 defense which is a scheme that is vulnerable to teams that decide to run the ball since the onus becomes so important on the weak side linebacker to be the primary help in stopping the rushing attack — and that is rookie Darius Leonard who has played very well this season but it is not quite Derrick Brooks or Lance Briggs at that position. Indianapolis is just 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win at home. Furthermore, the Colts have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games coming off a game where both teams scored at least 24 points. Luck passed for 357 yards last week while leading an offense that gained 402 yards. But Indy has then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after passing for at least 300 yards — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. The Colts have been much better at home in Lucas Oil Stadium: on the road, they are just 3-4 while being outscored by -0.4 PPG. Indianapolis had that stinker of a game last month where they were shutout on the road in Jacksonville. They have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 23 road games after winning at least eight of their last ten games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games after gaining at least 400 yards.

FINAL TAKE: I recommend holding out as long as possible to see if you can grab a +6 with the Titans — all anything at +4.5 points or higher is nice for this situation. The question is not “who will win this game” — it is whether or not Luck and company cover the point spread they are being required to lay with Mariota out against a team with a great home field edge and an even better defense that is through-the-roof motivated to avenge a loss and get back to the playoffs. The value is all on the side of the Titans given this situation. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Year with the Tennessee Titans (322) plus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (321). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (328) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (327). THE SITUATION: Denver (6-9) has lost three straight games with their 27-14 loss at Oakland as a 2.5-point underdog. Los Angeles (11-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with their 22-10 loss at Baltimore as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS PLUS THE POINTS: The Chargers have clinched a playoff spot and will the fifth seed in the AFC playoffs unless Kansas City gets upset at home against the Raiders as near two-touchdown favorites. Head coach Anthony Lynn may be scoreboard watching and may decide to rest his key starters (like QB Philip Rivers) if things get out of hand at Arrowhead. As it is, I do not expect an easy time of things for this Chargers team that has lost their last five games at Denver. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a double-digit loss. There are lingering concerns with this team moving forward after they managed to generate just 198 yards of offense against the Ravens. Over their last three games, the Chargers have averaged just 21.7 PPG along with only 297.7 total YPG. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. Some of the issues on offense has been a breakdown with their offensive line. Rivers has been sacked 20 times over their last six games after enduring just 12 sacks in their first nine contests. That is an ominous sign for Rivers when now facing Von Miller and rookie phenom Bradley Chubb on the other side of the line of scrimmage. It is December as well — and the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games in the last month of the regular season. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. Denver has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after a double-digit loss to an AFC West rival. While this team has been eliminated from the playoffs, they should be motivated to play hard to end their season. It is likely Vance Joseph’s last game as the head coach with John Elway likely to sack him tomorrow. But Joseph is well-liked in the locker room and his players should play hard for him. Quarterback Case Keenum is also playing for his job with it being a disappointing season for after the Broncos signed him as a free agent in the offseason. The team will be without rookie running back Phillip Lindsey who suffered a season-ending wrist injury — but that creates space for their higher-drafted rookie Royce Freeman to show off his skills in this game. While Freeman lacks Lindsey’s pass-catching abilities, he is a tough inside runner — and the team can turn to Dovontae Booker in passing downs. Denver may be down to young players as receiving targets for Keenum but their defense should keep them competitive in this game. The Broncos have allowed their last three visitors to Denver to average just 323.7 total YPG. Their loss to the Raiders on Monday was helped by a -2 net turnover margin along with allowing a 99-yard punt return for a touchdown earlier in the first quarter that took the winds out of their sails. They did out-gain Oakland by +23 net yards in that game. The Broncos have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Denver has suffered three straight upset losses to ruin their season — but they have played much better at home than they have on the road. This is a team that plays up or down to their competition. They should play one of their better games of the season in this one in their last home contest facing a divisional rival that they will be very confident against after they defeated them in LA last month by a 23-22 score. 25* AFC West Game of the Year with the Denver Broncos (328) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (327). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (325) and the Minnesota Vikings (326). THE SITUATION: Chicago (11-4) has won three straight games with their 14-9 win at San Francisco last Sunday as a 4-point favorite. The Bears have clinched a playoff spot but have an outside chance to earn a first-round bye with a win in this game accompanied by an LA Rams loss. Minnesota (8-6-1) has won their last two games with their 27-9 win at Detroit as a 6.5-point favorite. The Vikings challenge is simple: win and they are in the playoffs as a Wildcard.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Chicago has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game where they failed to score more than 14 points. The Bears offense is scoring only 17.7 PPG in their last three games while averaging just 316.0 total YPG over that span. Chicago also averages just 318.9 total YPG when playing on the road. The Bears have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Chicago managed to rush for just 90 yards against the 49ers — and they have played 26 of their last 39 road games Under the Total after failing to rush for more than 99 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Bears have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last contest. Chicago has held their last three opponents to just 10.7 PPG along with only 272.0 total YPG. The Bears have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total in the month of December — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing in a domed stadium. Minnesota has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, the Vikings have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win on the road. Now this team returns home where they have played 13 of their last 16 home games Under the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last contest. Minnesota flexes their defensive muscles back at home where they are allowing just 19.0 PPG along with only 259.1 total YPG. The Vikings have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total at home — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Over their last three games, Minnesota has allowed these three opponents to score only 15.7 PPG along with totaling a mere 230.0 YPG. Furthermore, the Vikings have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December — and they have played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total against fellow NFC North opponents.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played on November 18th where the Bears won at Soldier Field by a 25-20 score. That game finished just above the 44 point Total — but that was before Kevin Stefanski took over as the offensive coordinator which cemented the team’s commitment to run the football. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total when playing in Minnesota. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* NFC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (325) and the Minnesota Vikings (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (320) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (319). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (5-10) has lost three of their last four games after their 24-12 loss at New England last Sunday as a 13.5-point underdog. Miami (7-8) has lost two in a row with their 17-7 upset loss at home to Jacksonville as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BILLS PLUS THE POINTS: The Dolphins are playing out the string with head coach Adam Gase and quarterback Ryan Tannehill likely to lose their jobs after this game. While both those individuals are competing for their next job, their lame duck statuses make this an uninspiring game for the rest of the roster and staff who are likely thinking about their offseason plans. That is not a good way for a team to end a season. As it is, Miami is just 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 games after a point spread loss — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in eight of their last nine games on the road after a point spread loss. The Dolphins are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. To compound matters, Miami has been a dreadful road team this season where they are 1-6 with an average losing margin of -14.0 PPG while being out-gained by -131.9 net YPG. The Dolphins are allowing their home hosts to score 31.1 PPG along with averaging 402.9 total YPG. Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road. Furthermore, the Dolphins have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 trips to Buffalo where they are scoring just 15.2 PPG. Tannehill has struggled in these contests as he is 0-4 in his last four starts at Buffalo while throwing only two touchdown passes and getting sacked 16 times. Unquestionably, the cold weather will bother this Miami team — they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. While they rank 30th in the NFL by averaging 294.2 total YPG, that number has dropped to just 262.7 total YPG over their last three games. The Dolphins defense also ranks 30th in the league by allowing 391.7 total YPG. Those abysmal numbers explain why Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 51 games in the last two weeks of the regular season, the Dolphins has failed to cover the point spread in 33 of these contests. Buffalo has covered the point spread in 18 of their last 30 games after a loss where they covered the point spread as the underdog. And while that was the first point spread cover for the Bills in their last four games, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. This Buffalo team sports an outstanding defense as they rank 2nd in the NFL by holding their opponents to just 298.7 total YPG — and that number drops to only 291.6 total YPG when playing at home. This team has plenty to play for as they want to use this game as a building block into next season behind their rookie quarterback Josh Allen. Head coach Sean McDermott is underrated — not only has he overseen the development of a strong defense but he also gets his team ready to play against divisional rivals. While Buffalo lacks offensive weapons, they are averaging 371.2 YPG in their six games against AFC East rivals which is over 80 YPG above their season average. The Bills also hold their divisional opponents to just 279.8 total YPG. Buffalo has also covered the point spread in 44 of their last 80 home games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Defensive lineman Kyle Williams has announced that he will retire after this game — and this added emotional element for this player who has served as the foundation of this defense for years should inspire his teammates to play hard so that he goes out a winner. The Bills will also be motivated by a 21-17 loss in Miami back on December 2nd. Buffalo is moving forward and will remain motivated to have a great game — while this Dolphins team looks to have already moved on. 25* AFC East Game of the Year with the Buffalo Bills (320) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Jets (307) and the New England Patriots (308). THE SITUATION: New England (10-5) enters this game coming off their 24-12 win over Buffalo last Sunday. They need a victory to clinch the second seed in the AFC playoffs which gives them a first-round bye — and a loss by the Chiefs could put them in play to get the top seed in the AFC overall. New York (4-11) is playing out the string after they lost their second straight game as well as their eighth of their last nine contests after their 44-38 loss in overtime at home to Green Bay as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. New England did generate 390 yards of offense in that game — but they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. With the loss of wide receiver Josh Gordon and the apparent decline of tight end Rob Gronkowski, the Patriots are focusing more on their ground game to burn time off the clock to keep their defense off the field. New England held the ball for 35:38 minutes in their win over the Bills. But over their last three games, the Patriots are scoring just 22.3 PPG. They say at home where they have held their seven visitors to just 18.6 PPG along with only 331.0 total YPG. The Patriots have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total at home — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Bill Belichick’s team is also very stingy on defense against divisional rivals. AFC East opponents are scoring only 14.4 PPG while averaging just 308.8 total YPG against the Patriots this season. New England has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow AFC East rivals. And in their last 11 games in the month of December, the Patriots have played 9 of these games Under the Total. New York has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Additionally, the Jets have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 35 points — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Furthermore, New York has played 6 straight games on the road Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Jets did allow the Packers to average 7.2 Yards-Per-Play against them — but they have then played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after allowing at least 7.0 YPP in their last game. New York now goes back on the road to close out their season where they are scoring just 20.3 PPG while averaging a mere 258.9 total YPG. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold has had his moments but he lacks weapons at the skill position — and that will make things very easy for a Belichick defense. The Jets have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road against teams with a winning record at home. New York has also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow AFC East rivals.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the November 25th meeting between these two teams that the Patriots won by a 27-13 score. The Jets have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home by at least two touchdowns. These two teams have also played 5 straight games Under the Total. With New England wanting the victory before keeping Tom Brady and company healthy for the playoffs, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Jets (307) and the New England Patriots (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Seton Hall Pirates (650) minus the points versus the St. John’s Red Storm (649). THE SITUATION: Seton Hall (9-3) has five straight games after their 78-74 upset win at Maryland last Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. St. John’s (12-0) remained undefeated this season last week with their 104-82 win over Sacred Heart as a 20-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PIRATES MINUS THE POINTS: The Red Storm completed the fall non-conference schedule last year with a 10-2 mark before promptly losing their first eleven games in Big East play — so let’s slow our roll with getting overly excited about the return of this program. Head coach Chris Mullin has embraced a soft non-conference schedule as their most challenging games were either against VCU or Georgia Tech who both are outside Ken Pomeroy’s top 72 teams in the nation as of this writing. There is optimism in this basketball program with a potential first-round NBA draftee in Shamorie Ponds being joined by Auburn transfer Mustapha Heron who was granted immediate eligibility to play with this team this fall. But the team is missing some beef in the middle with 6’9 Sedee Keita out another couple weeks with his knee injury. The Red Storm may be rusty in this game as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when playing with five or six days of rest. St. John’s has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after playing three straight games against non-conference opponents. The Red Storm have scored at least 86 points in their last two games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after scoring at least 80 points in two straight games. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after winning at least three in a row. Now this team goes on the road for just the fourth time this season to play in just their second true road game. St. John’s has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 trips to Seton Hall. The Red Storm like to create pressure on the basketball as they are 32nd in the nation by forcing turnovers in 22.8% of their opponent’s possessions — but they are facing a Pirates team that is 10th in the nation by only turning the ball over in 15.1% of their possessions. Seton Hall has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread victory. And while the Pirates have only covered the point spread twice in their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Seton Hall has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when playing with five or six of their last seven days of rest. The Pirates have made the NCAA Tournament in three straight seasons and have added an influx of transfers to keep them in the mix to go to the Big Dance again this season. They have played a tough non-conference schedule that included nice wins over the Terrapins and Kentucky who rank in Pomeroy’s Top-50 while losing to top-100 Pomeroy teams in Nebraska, St. Louis and Louisville. Seton Hall has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. They return home where they are holding their opponents to just a 38.9% field goal percentage — and this stout defensive play has helped them go 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This team likes to get to the free throw line as they have a 39.4% Free Throw Attempt to Field Goal Attempt ratio which is 59th in the nation — and the Red Storm are vulnerable here as they rank 278th in the nation with an opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio of 36.6%. Lastly, the Pirates have covered the point spread in 5 straight games against Big East foes.

FINAL TAKE: Look for Seton Hall’s home court advantage to expose and overwhelm this St. John’s team. 25* CBB Big East Game of the Month with the Seton Hall Pirates (650) minus the points versus the St. John’s Red Storm (649). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Alabama Crimson Tide (254) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (253). Alabama (13-0) won the SEC Championship Game back on December 1st with their 35-28 win over Georgia as an 11-point favorite. Oklahoma (12-1) won the Big 12 Championship Game with their 39-27 win versus Texas as a 9.5-point favorite. These two teams meeting in Miami, Florida in the Orange Bowl for the second Semifinals showdown in the College Football Playoff.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CRIMSON TIDE MINUS THE POINTS: The Sooners were playing with revenge on their minds when facing the Longhorns to begin this month — but I suspect they get exposed tonight for their subpar play on defense. Oklahoma allows 32.4 PPG which is 96th in the nation along with 448.1 total YPG which is 108th in the nation. Over their last three games, the team has not improved as they have surrendered 41.0 PPG along with an incredible 555.0 total YPG. In their six games on the road this year, the Sooners have given up 472.8 YPG. The team’s lack of competent safeties has consistently burned them all season — they rank 129th in the nation by giving up 291.4 passing YPG. This team allowed their opponents to average +31 YPG above their season average. These are very ominous signs when considering that they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. The theory for Oklahoma backers is that they will simply outscore Bama in this game. Heisman Trophy winner Kyle Murray led the nation’s number one statistical offense in the nation — and he passed for 379 yards in their win over Texas. But the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after passing for at least 325 yards in their last game. Murray may not have his best target available — or at full strength — given the foot injury to Marquise Brown that he suffered in the Big 12 Championship that did not look very encouraging at the time. These circumstances are not encouraging given that this is a football team that has is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 bowl games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games played on a neutral field. Furthermore, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games against SEC opponents. Alabama played their closest game of the season in their comeback win over the Bulldogs. Head coach Nick Saban typically gets his team to respond with a strong effort after a game where he can show them the bad game tape. The Crimson Tide have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road game after a narrow victory of 7 points or less against a conference rival. The theory that Oklahoma will simply outscore Bama has to account for the fact that the Tide are the second-best scoring team in the nation by putting up 47.9 PPG — and they rank 5th in the nation by averaging 527.6 total YPG. When Alabama plays outside Tuscaloosa, they see their offensive production rise to them scoring 50.0 PPG while averaging 533.0 total YPG. This team averaged +155 YPG more than what their opponents allowed on average this season which was the third-best mark in the nation. The Crimson Tide did allow 454 yards against Georgia — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Alabama did take a step back on defense this season after losing eight starters along with their top six defensive backs from last year’s National Championship team. But this remains a unit loaded with blue-chippers (as opposed to Oklahoma) who should benefit from the extra week of bowl practices. The Crimson Tide have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Alabama has suspended a few players — but they have the depth on the offensive line to sustain those losses for this game. Tua Tagovailoa seems to be 80-85% with his foot injury that he suffered against Georgia. I would worry about these issues more if they were playing a better defensive unit. Jaylen Hurts proved in the SEC Championship Game that he is willing and able to provide this team a spark if Tagovailoa is not effective. Ultimately, I think the Alabama defense will be able to generate at least some defensive stops — and I don’t think Oklahoma can slow down the Tide’s powerful offense. 25* CFB Playoff Game of the Year with the Alabama Crimson Tide (254) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (253). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (253) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (254). THE SITUATION: Notre Dame (12-0) closed out their perfect regular season with their 24-17 win at USC as a 13.5-point favorite back on November 24th. Clemson (13-0) won the ACC Championship Game on December 1st with their 42-10 win against Pittsburgh as a 27-point favorite. These two teams meet in Dallas’ AT&T Stadium in the Cotton Bowl which serves as a proxy for the College Football Semifinals.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Sooners have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Oklahoma generated 508 yards in that contest with the Longhorns — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 405 yards in their last contest. The Sooners led the nation by scoring 49.5 PPG while also leading the FBS with an average of 577.9 total YPG. They also led the country by averaging +196 YPG above their opponent’s defensive YPG average this season. QB Kyle Murray fits the prototype of the quarterback that has given Nick Saban’s defense fits over the years with his dual-threat capabilities. He passed for over 4000 yards while averaging 11.9 Yards-Per-Passing attempt. The Heisman Trophy winner rushed for 943 yards with 642 of those yards accounted for from designed running plays where he averaged 7.2 Yards-Per-Carry. Texas A&M’s QB Kellen Mond rushed for 129 yards against the Bama defense with 92 of those yards coming from designed plays earlier this season. But the bigger defensive concerns below to the Sooners. Oklahoma allows 32.4 PPG which is 96th in the nation along with 448.1 total YPG which is 108th in the nation. Over their last three games, the team has not improved as they have surrendered 41.0 PPG along with an incredible 555.0 total YPG. In their six games on the road this year, the Sooners have given up 472.8 YPG. The team’s lack of competent safeties has consistently burned them all season — they rank 129th in the nation by giving up 291.4 passing YPG. This team allowed their opponents to average +31 YPG above their season average. Oklahoma has paled 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams outside the Big 12. Alabama’s defense looked vulnerable against a Georgia team that generated 454 yards against them. The Crimson Tide have seen the Over go 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Tide are the second-best scoring team in the nation by putting up 47.9 PPG — and they rank 5th in the nation by averaging 527.6 total YPG. When Alabama plays outside Tuscaloosa, they see their offensive production rise to them scoring 50.0 PPG while averaging 533.0 total YPG. This team averaged +155 YPG more than what their opponents allowed on average this season which was the third-best mark in the nation. The Crimson Tide have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams outside the SEC. Alabama has also played 11 of their last 15 bowl games Over the Total — and they have seen the Over go 20-5-2 in their last 27 games played on a neutral field.

FINAL TAKE: The Total set is at Big 12 level heights in the high-70s which is not uncommon for Oklahoma games. Alabama has a better offense than what the Sooners have seen all season. The pressure to continue scoring creates a self-fulfilling prophecy — expect a wild high-scoring game. 10* CFB Oklahoma-Alabama ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (253) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (254). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (255) and the Clemson Tigers (256). THE SITUATION: Notre Dame (12-0) closed out their perfect regular season with their 24-17 win at USC as a 13.5-point favorite back on November 24th. Clemson (13-0) won the ACC Championship Game on December 1st with their 42-10 win against Pittsburgh as a 27-point favorite. These two teams meet in Dallas’ AT&T Stadium in the Cotton Bowl which serves as a proxy for the College Football Semifinals.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers have won three straight games by at least three touchdowns — and they have played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after winning at least their last two games by 21 points. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Clemson once again boasts an outstanding defense that ranks 2nd in the nation by allowing 13.7 PPG while also ranking 3rd in the FBS by only giving up 276.7 total YPG. Those defensive numbers drop to 12.8 PPG and 252.0 YPG allowed in their six games played away from home. The Tigers are going to make things very difficult for this Irish offense. Clemson leads the nation by pressuring the quarterback in 45.8% of opponent passing plays. They also rank tops in the country by limiting opposing rushers to just 0.9 Yards-Per-Carry before delivering the first hit on the runner. Notre Dame has relied on clean holes from their offensive line as they average 2.5 Yards-Per-Carry before their rusher is hit which ranks 37th in the nation. While the Clemson will be without defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence for this game as he was suspended for this contest for positive PED test, their defensive line is loaded with talent and depth. This group should be even more ferocious with the extra rest and preparation — and this team has played 29 of their last 41 games Under the Total when playing with two or more weeks of rest. The Tigers do have a dynamic offense that became more powerful when freshman Trevor Lawrence took over under center early in the season. Clemson has scored 98 points over their last two games — but they have played 15 of their last 17 games Under the Total after scoring at least 42 points in two straight games. The Tigers have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Clemson has also played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total in bowl games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. Notre Dame has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while they generated 473 yards of offense against the Trojans defense, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Irish surrendered 349 passing yards in that game with USC — but they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Notre Dame is an outstanding defensive team that ranked 10th in the nation by allowing only 17.3 PPG — and they also ranked 20th in the FBS by giving up just 331.5 total YPG. This team has not allowed an opponent to score more than 27 points all season. The key to their efforts has been to minimize big plays — they gave up only five plays that accounted for more than 40 yards this season. They also have a stout run defense that limits their opponents to just 3.7 Yards-Per-Carry. The Fighting Irish have played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. Notre Dame has also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total as an underdog giving 10.5 to 21 points.

FINAL TAKE: This is a matchup between two similar teams that employ run-first offenses that help to protect talented but inexperienced quarterbacks — and both teams like to rely on their strong defensive units. Expect this to be a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Playoff Semifinals Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (255) and the Clemson Tigers (256). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (521) and the New Orleans Pelicans (522). THE SITUATION: Dallas (16-17) snapped a six-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 122-119 win at home over New Orleans (15-20) as a 2.5-point favorite. These two teams now travel to the Big Easy to play the back-end of this home-and-home series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks have played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. Dallas should have both Dennis Smith and rookie phenom Luka Doncic on the court tonight as they both are listed as probable despite their nagging injuries. Over their last five games, the Mavericks are scoring 119.0 PPG which is eight points higher than their season average. But Dallas is also allowing their last five opponents to score 122.2 PPG on 50.1% shooting which are both much higher than the 110.2 PPG they are allowing this season on 46.7% shooting. Now the Mavs go on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Dallas has also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220 to 229.5 point range — and this includes them playing 6 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total with the over/under number in that range. The Mavericks have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow Southwest Division opponents. New Orleans has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against Southwest Division rivals. They return home where they have played 20 of their last 29 home games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Pelicans are scoring 120.0 PPG on 48.3% shooting when playing on their home court with both those numbers far above their 116.4 PPG scoring average an 47.6% field goal percentage overall this season. New Orleans has played 30 of their last 46 home games Over the Total as the favorite. And in their last 33 opportunities to avenge a loss on the road, the Pelicans have played 23 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 5 straight meetings Over the Total. The Over is also 19-7-1 in the last 27 encounters between these two teams in New Orleans. Even with the high total, with the fast pace that the Pelicans like to play, expect a very high-scoring game. 25* NBA Southwest Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (521) and the New Orleans Pelicans (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UT-Arlington Mavericks (817) and the Texas Longhorns (818). THE SITUATION: UT-Arlington (4-8) snapped their seven-game losing streak last Friday with their 75-70 win at Cal-Poly SLO in a pick ‘em contest. Texas (7-4) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Friday in a 71-65 upset loss to Providence as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Longhorns allowed the Friars to make 45.6% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for them in their last five games. This Texas team is playing outstanding defense for head coach Shaka Smart as they rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Longhorns have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. This team stays at home where they are holding their opponents to just 62.2 PPG while limiting these visitors to only a 38.1% field goal percentage. Texas has played 7 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total — and they have also played 44 of their last 60 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Longhorns are heavy favorites in this game which is a good sign for the Under. Texas has played 7 straight games Under the Total as a double-digit favorite — and they have also played 18 of their last 24 home games Under the Total when laying 18.5 to 24 points. The Longhorns have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. UT-Arlington has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Mavericks made only 39.7% of their shots in their victory last week which is concerning since they made only 26.8% of their shots in their previous game against Gonzaga. UT-Arlington ranks 303rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Mavericks do play solid defense as they rank 156th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency which is above average — and they will be playing a Longhorns team that ranks just 100th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. UT-Arlington stays on the road where they are scoring just 59.7 PPG with a low 37.1% field goal percentage. The Mavericks have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home field. Additionally, UT-Arlington has played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road as a double-digit underdog — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: UT-Arlington is going to struggle to score points in this game — but this Longhorns team is not equipped to put up a bunch of points. Texas has scored more than 78 points three times this season. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the UT-Arlington Mavericks (817) and the Texas Longhorns (818). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (241) and the Purdue Boilermakers (242). THE SITUATION: Auburn (7-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 52-21 loss at Alabama as a 25.5-point underdog back on November 24th. Purdue (6-6) snapped their two-game losing streak on that November 24th with their 28-21 victory at Indiana as a 3-point favorite. These two teams meeting in Nashville in the Music City Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Auburn has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is also 19-6-2 in their last 27 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by at least three touchdowns. The Auburn defense was humiliated by the arch-rivals in the Iron Bowl as they surrendered 500 yards of offense in their loss to Alabama. While most of the attention has since been on the Tigers offense that saw their offensive coordinator in Chip Lindsey leave for the same job at Kansas, the Tigers defense has much to prove in this game. The Under is 4-0-1 in Auburn’s last 5 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after surrendering at least 450 yards in their last game. The Tigers had not given up more than 30 points in one game all season before their showdown with the Crimson Tide — they still enter this bowl game ranked 18th in the nation by allowing only 19.6 PPG. There is plenty of talent on the defensive side of the football, particularly on the defensive line. Head coach Gus Malzahn takes over the play-calling once again with Lindsey defection but I do not see this leading to a transcendent difference in the play of their offense. This will be junior QB Jarrett Stidham’s last collegiate game before he makes himself available for the NFL draft but he oversaw an underperforming offense that scored just 18.4 PPG — almost 10 PPG below their season average — in their five games played on the road. The history of this team suggests this will be a lower-scoring game than expected. Auburn has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when priced in the +/- 3-point range — and the Under is 15-4-2 in their last 21 games against teams outside the SEC. The Under is also 6-0-2 in the Tigers’ last 8 games played on a neutral field — and the Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Purdue has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Senior QB David Blough passed for 310 yards in their last win over the Hoosiers to end the season — but the Boilermakers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Purdue has only committed one turnover in three straight games — but they have then played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not committing more than one turnover in their last game. Some observers are expecting a big offensive output from this team with head coach Jeff Brohm staying with the program after turning down overtures from Louisville where he oversaw huge offensive numbers as their quarterback. The Boilermakers put up 49 points against Ohio State in their upset win over the Buckeyes this season — but that was against a mess of an OSU defense that was not responding to coaching and basic fundamentals at that point of the season. This same offense scored only 13 points at Michigan State and a mere 10 points at Minnesota. Over their last three games, Purdue has averaged just 378.3 total YPG. This offense will likely struggle against the size and speed of the Auburn defensive line. Lastly, the Boilermakers have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after playing a conference rival.

FINAL TAKE: While both these teams have intriguing offensive head coaches, expect this bowl game to be a lower-scoring game this afternoon. 25* CFB Bowl Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (241) and the Purdue Boilermakers (242). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (22) with the money-line versus the Colorado Avalanche (21). THE SITUATION: Vegas (21-15-3) takes the ice again after losing three of their last four games with their 4-3 in overtime on Sunday. Colorado (19-12-5) has lost three of their last four games as well with their 6-4 loss at Arizona on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas has been snake-bit with two straight losses in overtime by a 4-3 score. This team should show the resolve necessary to bounce-back with a victory tonight. Vegas has bounced-back to win 4 of their last 5 games after losing two games in a row — and they have won 15 of their last 21 games after losing three of their last four contests. Additionally, the Golden Knights have won 8 of their last 12 games when playing with at least three days of rest. Vegas stays at home where they are 11-3-2 this season and they have won a decisive 21 of their last 26 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This is the Knights’ fourth straight game at home — and they have won 12 of their last 14 games when playing at least their fourth game in a row at home. Marc-Andre Fleury gets the start between the pipes tonight. Fleury has a strong 2.22 Goals-Against-Average at home this season with a .922 save percentage in seventeen starts. Vegas has won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record — and they have also won 7 of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents. Colorado has lost 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least six goals in their last game. The Avalanche have also lost 4 of their last 5 games when playing with at least three days of rest. Now this team stays on the road after the holiday break where they have lost 26 of their last 36 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. They likely with stay with their backup goaltender Phillip Grubauer tonight with Semyon Varlamov dealing with an illness from the weekend while struggling mightily as of late. But Grubauer has just a 3.38 Goals-Against-Average with a .900 save percentage on the road this season. He also has a 3.33 GAA in the month of December with an .892 save percentage. Lastly, the Avalanche have lost 5 of their last 6 games against Western Conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: I have been waiting on an update to Varlamov’s status for tonight — I am still only seeing that he is questionable. After being called away for some holiday family obligations, let's commit to this one and hope everyone can still catch it (especially with the price under -150 for a Vegas team that will be very motivated to end their home losing streak). 25* NHL Western Conference Game of the Month with money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (22) with the money-line versus the Colorado Avalanche (21). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take the Baylor Bears plus the points versus the Vanderbilt Commodores in the Texas Bowl. Baylor (6-6) looks to build off their 35-24 win at Texas Tech in their last game as a 6-point underdog. The Bears got their offense going by generating 478 yards of offense in that game. Baylor has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Bears have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games in the month of December. Vanderbilt (6-6) has won three of their last four games with their 38-13 win over Tennessee to close out their regular season. The Commodores held the Volunteers to just 139 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, while Vanderbilt did not force a turnover in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after not forcing more than one turnover in their last game. Take Baylor plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports CA$HED the Denver-Oakland Under in the NFL on Monday in their last Football Totals play which continued their 19 of 28 (68%) FOOTBALL TOTALS TEAR! Now after passing in CFB Bowl Totals plays yesterday, Frank’s TOP THURSDAY TOTAL is with the Vandy-Baylor O/U winner on ESPN at 9 PM ET! WATCH & WIN — and BANK on Frank!

At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Orlando Magic (568) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (567). THE SITUATION: Orlando (14-18) has lost three straight games with their 115-91 upset loss at home to Miami as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday. Phoenix (8-26) looks to rebound from a 111-103 loss at Brooklyn three days ago.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MAGIC MINUS THE POINTS: Orlando has been a feisty team this season under head coach Steve Clifford. They have an emerging star in the middle in seven-footer Nikola Vucevic — and Clifford has employed a democratic offensive scheme around him that emphasizes passing to produce better-shot opportunities. The Magic have lost their last three games by double-digits with a bad 29-point loss to San Antonio followed up by a 10-point loss on the road at Chicago before their upset loss at home to the Heat. But this team should play better tonight as they are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a double-digit loss — and they have covered the point spread after losing three straight games by double-digits. Orlando has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 115 points in their last game. The Magic stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Orlando has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall. Phoenix has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games on the road after a loss as an underdog where they covered the point spread. The Suns complete a long five-game road trip over the Holidays where they have been with their suitcases since December 17th. This team is just 3-15 on the road with an average losing margin of -11.5 net Points-Per-Game. Phoenix plays at a fast pace but their lack of defense can make things get ugly for them pretty quickly. They allow their home hosts to score 117.5 PPG while making 48.8% of their shots. The Suns have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games on the road as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 54 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Phoenix has covered the point spread in their last two games while losing both as the underdog. But not only have the Suns failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after losing two straight games but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after losing their last two games an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Orlando’s patient style on offense should once again exploit this work-in-progress Suns defense. When these two teams last met on November 30th, the Magic defeated them by a 99-85 score. Given their recent struggles, Orlando will not have the luxury to take this young Phoenix team for granted tonight — while the Suns may be anxious to get this game over with and get back home. 25* NBA Game of the Month with the Orlando Magic (568) minus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (567). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Lakers (563) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (564). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (19-14) has lost three of their last four games with their 107-99 upset loss to Memphis despite being a 5-point favorite on Sunday. Golden State (23-11) looks to build off their 129-127 win over the LA Clippers on Sunday as an 11-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE LAKERS PLUS THE POINTS: Los Angeles hold play well in this high-profile contest as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. The Lakers have also covered the point spread in 26 of their last 40 games after losing two of their last three games. Los Angeles had been on a fifteen of twenty run but a four-game road trip out east ended with them losing three of those four games while suffering upsets at Washington and Brooklyn. This young team is playing up and down based on their competition — but it is certainly encouraging that they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. LeBron James is still taking a step back in some of these games to see what his proverbial “supporting cast” can do without him. I expect him to bring his A-Game for this nationally-televised contest with the NBA having the monopoly of the public’s attention for sporting events today. The team has played better since head coach Luke Walton moved Kyle Kuzma to the power forward position on defense. Center JaVale McGee is likely out for this contest with an injury but they hope that Tyson Chandler can take the court again with his back injury. Of course, having big men as defenders on the court is not as big a concern when facing the Warriors with their perimeter-oriented style of play. The Lakers have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against Pacific Division rivals. Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against fellow Pacific Division foes. The Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. And while Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Motivation is an issue for the two-time defending NBA champions. This group seems content to do just enough of what is necessary to win these regular season games. It is quite telling that they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. Golden State is an impressive 15-3 at home this season but they are only defeating their visitors by +6.2 net PPG. The Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Golden State is making only 44.15% of their shots over their last five games.

FINAL TAKE: The Warriors have not been very reliable when asked to lay close to 10 points. James has been sensational this season when he has decided to take over games. He should keep his team close in this one. 25* NBA Divisional Game of the Month with the Los Angeles Lakers (563) plus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (559) and the Houston Rockets (560). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (21-11) saw their four-game winning streak on Sunday with a 114-112 loss at home to Minnesota despite being 6-point favorites in that game. Houston (17-15) has won six of their last seven games with their 108-101 win over San Antonio as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Thunder have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss against a divisional rival as a home favorite. Oklahoma City allowed the Timberwolves to make 49.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. The Thunder have been playing outstanding defense even without their star defender Andre Roberson on the shelf with a knee injury. Oklahoma City leads the NBA in Points-Per-Possession allowed along with forced turnovers. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. Now the Thunder go back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total — and they have played 39 of their last 55 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. OKC has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 9 straight games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Houston (17-15) has played 30 of their last 48 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Rockets have played 32 of their last 45 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Houston has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. This team will once again be without Chris Paul for two to four weeks after he suffered a hamstring strain a few days ago. His loss is critical since he was the best complementary scoring option to James Harden this season. The Rockets stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 40-18-1 in their last 59 games when facing a team with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. The Rockets will revenge on their home from a 98-80 upset loss to the Thunder back on November 8th as a 5-point favorite. Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent.

FINAL TAKE: The absence of Paul makes the Rockets easier to defend since their opponents can focus on slowing down Russell Westbrook. As it is, these two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. Expect that trend to continue this afternoon. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break ABC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (559) and the Houston Rockets (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (131) and the Oakland Raiders (132). THE SITUATION: Oakland (3-11) has lost three of their last four games with their 30-16 loss at Cincinnati last week as a 3-point underdog. Denver (6-8) has lost two straight games with their 17-16 upset loss at home against Cleveland two Saturdays ago.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Broncos have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an upset loss. Additionally, Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. This team is struggling to move the ball down the stretch of the season as they are scoring just 18.0 PPG while averaging only 301.7 Yards-Per-Game. But their defense is keeping them in games as they are holding their opponents to just 15.7 PPG along with only 336.3 total YPG. The Broncos run defense has been quite good as of late as they are holding their opponents to just 79.6 rushing YPG over their last eight games along with only 3.84 Yards-Per-Carry. Denver goes back on the road where the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games. The Broncos have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Furthermore, Denver has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. The Broncos have also seen the Under go 12-3-1 in their last 16 games against AFC opponents with the Under being 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against fellow AFC West foes. Oakland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Raiders did hold the Bengals to just 123 passing yards in that game — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last contest. Oakland returns home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have also played 6 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as an underdog. The Raiders struggle against good pass rushes as the 48 sacks they have given up is the third most in the league. Denver is 7th in the NFL by producing sacks in 7.8% of their opponents passing plays. Oakland has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow AFC West opponents — and the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games played in the month of December. 

FINAL TAKE: This game is a rematch of the Broncos’ 20-19 victory over the Raiders back on September 16th. Oakland has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge on their minds. Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams who both have offenses that can struggle to score double-digits on any given game. 25* AFC West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (131) and the Oakland Raiders (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (129) and the Seattle Seahawks (130). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (11-3) looks to bounce-back from their 29-28 upset loss to the Los Angeles Chargers back on December 13th. Seattle (8-6) looks to rebound from their 26-23 upset loss in overtime at San Francisco last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Chiefs have played 4 straight games Over the Total after suffering an upset loss — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Additionally, Kansas City has played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a loss by 3 points or less to a fellow AFC West rival — and they have played 4 straight Overs after a point spread loss. The Chiefs have been basically unstoppable on offense when playing on the road. Kansas City averages 39.3 PPG while generating 459.6 total YPG when playing away from home. Perhaps the Chiefs are this prolific on offense because they have difficulty slowing down the offenses of the home teams. They are allowing their home hosts to score 34.1 PPG while averaging 455.1 total YPG. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been able to raise his level of play away from Arrowhead Stadium as his 28:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio of 28:6 along with a 9.47 Yards-Per-Attempt passing mark on the road are actually better than his 17:5 touchdown-to-interception ratio and 8.17 YPA at home this season. Kansas City has played 4 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total when playing a team with a winning record at home. The Chiefs have also played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher. Furthermore, Kansas City has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight Overs in the month of December. Seattle has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the month of December. They rushed for 168 yards in their loss to the 49ers — and they should find success with their rushing attack against this Chiefs’ defense that ranks 26th in the NFL in stopping the run. The Seahawks’ reliance on their ground game might be tempting some bettors to lead to them burning the clock which helps produce lower scoring games — but Seattle has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. The Seahawks average 27.2 PPG at home and they are scoring 29.0 PPG over their last three games. But Seattle allows their visitors to average 372.7 total YPH when playing at home. The Seahawks run defense has been faltering as of late with their last six opponents averaging 5.21 Yards-Per-Carry. Seattle has played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Seahawks have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the month of December.

FINAL TAKE: The Total of this game is the highest number for Week Sixteen. But with this likely to be a close game with both teams likely to score at least in the high-20s, look for this final score to reach the Over. 25* NFL Non-Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (129) and the Seattle Seahawks (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (113) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (114). THE SITUATION: Houston (10-4) has won ten of their last eleven games with their 29-22 win in New York against the Jets as a 7-point favorite last Saturday. Philadelphia (7-7) has won three of their last four games with their 30-23 win at Los Angeles against the Rams as a +13.5-point underdog last Sunday night.

THE SITUATION: The Eagles found life last week behind Nick Foles as they pulled the shocking upset over the Rams. However, this remains a team ravaged with injuries on both sides of the football and I expect a big emotional letdown for the defending Super Bowl Champions. Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. The Eagles were out-gained by 26 net yards to Los Angeles as they gave up 407 yards in that game but benefited from a +2 net turnover margin. Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Eagles return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 home games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. Furthermore, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Houston (10-4) should build off their continued momentum after their bad 0-3 start as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. The Texans are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. This team has outscored their last three opponents by +6.6 Points-Per-Game. Houston is 5-2 on the road this season — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Eagles play an inspired game last week behind their Super Bowl MVP — but that effort may have said more about the problems with the Rams than it did about the possibility of another Philly resurgence behind Nick Foles. Look for Houston to pull the upset in this game — but take the points for some insurance. 25* NFL Non-Conference Underdog of the Year with the Houston Texans (113) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (227) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (228). THE SITUATION: Louisiana Tech (7-5) has lost their last two games after closing out their regular season on November 24th with a 30-15 upset loss at Western Kentucky as a 10.5-point favorite. Hawai’i (8-5) has won two straight games after they pulled off a 31-30 upset victory at San Diego State on November 24th as an 18-point underdog. The Rainbow Warriors are the host team in the Hawai’i Bowl taking place a couple days earlier than it’s traditional Christmas Eve or day spot.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINT(S): If there is one coach I am not going to worry too much about having his team ready to play even in Hawai’i over winter break, it is Skip Holtz who has led Louisiana Tech to win all four of their bowl games under his guidance in the previous five seasons with the program. Even better, the average winning margin for the Bulldogs under Holts has been by -20.5 PPG. After this team lost three of their last four games of the regular season, this is a business trip for this team. As it is, Louisiana Tech has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 17 games after a loss by at least 10 points on their home field. The Bulldogs did out-gain the Hilltoppers by a decisive +92 net yards in that contest while holding them to just 288 net yards but lost the Time of Possession battle by having the ball for only 25:57 minutes of that game. Little worries of that History Repeating itself tonight against this pass-happy Warriors offense. Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Louisiana Tech ranks 32nd in the nation by holding their opponents to just 350.9 total YPG — and they have held their last three opponents to only 298.0 total YPG. Defensive coordinator Blake Baker will benefit from the extra few weeks to prepare for the unique relic of an offense that Hawai’i operates with their old Run-and-Shoot resurrected by their third-year head coach Nick Rolovich. Four close wins decided by one scoring possession for this Rainbow Warriors team obscures the fact that they were out-scored and out-gained in yardage by their opponents this season. They do have the home field advantage for this game but despite their 5-2 home record, they are only outscoring their visitors by 1.0 PPG. Over their last three games, Hawai’i was outscored by -10.3 PPG. They did generate 516 total yards against a collapsing San Diego State defense to end the season — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 32 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Louisiana Tech should be able to move the ball at will against this suspect Rainbow Warriors defense that ranked 101st in the nation by allowing 438.7 total YPG. Hawai’i has failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games against teams with a winning record — and they are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference.

FINAL TAKE: Home field advantage is tempting for the Rainbow Warriors tonight — but that edge only goes so far. A motivated Bulldogs team that is well-coached with a very good defense should overwhelm this Hawai’i team that has become too one dimensional on offense with the Run-and-Shoot gimmick. 25* CFB Bailout Game of the Year with the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (227) (or plus) the point(s) versus the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (228). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (123) and the Los Angeles Chargers (124). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (8-6) has won four of their last five games with their 20-12 win over Tampa Bay as an 8.5-point favorite last Sunday. Los Angeles (11-3) teaks the field again after their triumphant 29-28 upset win at Kansas City last Thursday where they were a +3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chargers have seen the Under go 34-16-1 in their last 51 games after a straight-up win — and they have also played nine of their last eleven games Under the Total after a win on the road. Additionally, Los Angeles has played five of their last seven games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have played 24 of their last 35 home games Under the Total after a game on the road where both teams scored at least 24 points. The Chargers did gain 407 yards against the Chiefs defense — but the Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. Despite their numbers last week, Los Angeles is averaging only 355.3 Yards-Per-Game over their last three contests which is almost 47 YPG below their season average. The Chargers return home where they are holding their opponents to only 297.3 total YPG. LA has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home — and the Under is 11-3-1 in their last 15 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Chargers have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of December. Baltimore has played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Ravens have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Baltimore boasts the best statistical defense in the league that is best in the NFL by holding their opponents to just 18.1 PPG and only 290.2 total YPG. The Ravens are 3rd in the NFL in both run and pass defense — so it is difficult to exploit a weakness. Over their last three games, Baltimore is only allowing 271.0 total YPG — and they have held four of their last five opponents to under 260 yards. But the Baltimore offense manages to score just 21.4 PPG on the road. Rookie Lamar Jackson is playing well as a dual-threat quarterback — but this will be the most challenging defense he has yet played in his young professional career. Jackson has yet to throw for 200 yards in a game so the Chargers may be able to make him one-dimensional. The Ravens have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on grass — and they have played 29 of their last 42 games Under the Total in the last two weeks of the regular season.

FINAL TAKE: The Chargers employ the slowest pace on offense in the NFL — and with Malcolm Gordon returning to the field, expect this team to run the ball plenty against this stout Ravens defense. Baltimore leads the NFL in rushing since Jackson has taken over at quarterback. This game sets up to be an old-fashioned battle at the line of scrimmage where both coaches will look to impose their will and tire the opposing defenses out. That is a great formula for the Under. 25* NFL Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (123) and the Los Angeles Chargers (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (225) and the Troy Trojans (226). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (10-3) has lost two of their last three games with their 3-29 upset loss to Northern Illinois in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game as a 3-point favorite back on November 30th. Troy (9-3) looks to bounce-back from a 21-10 loss at Appalachian State back on November 24th as a 12-point underdog. These two teams meet in Mobile, Alabama for the Dollar General Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Buffalo has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a narrow loss by just 3 points or less against a conference rival — and the Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. This Bulls team has a balanced offense that averages 195.8 rushing YPG (44th in the nation) and 221.6 passing YPG (73rd in the FBS) to produce an offense that ranks 24th in the nation by scoring 34.8 PPG. But stopping opposing offenses can be an issue for this team after they allowed a Northern Illinois offense that has been rather meek this season to generate 409 yards of offense. 300 of those yards were in the air in that game — and Buffalo has played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Over their last three games, the Bulls are allowing 420.0 total YPG which is over 70 YPG more than their defensive average for the season. Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against non-conference opponents — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Bulls have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with more than two weeks between games — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. Troy has played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 19 road games Over the Total after a loss on the road where they covered the point spread as an underdog. The Trojans have a good defense that ranks 23rd in the FBS by allowing just 21.2 PPG. But Troy has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 38 of their last 55 games Over the Total against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference. Furthermore, the Trojans have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total in expected close games where they were listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, Troy has played 7 straight games Over the Total played on a neutral field — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total in bowl games.

FINAL TAKE: Troy lost their starting quarterback, Kaleb Barker, to a season-ending ACL injury in the middle of the year — so the extra few weeks of practice and repetitions should really help sophomore QB Sawyer Smith. Boise State, UL-Monroe, Georgia State and South Alabama all had success moving the football against the Trojans defense. This should be a competitive game which should help push the Total over the number. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (225) and the Troy Trojans (226). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (510) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Milwaukee Bucks (509). THE SITUATION: Boston (18-12) has suffered two straight upset losses with their 111-103 loss to Phoenix on Wednesday despite being an 11.5-point favorite in that game. Milwaukee (21-9) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 123-115 win over New Orleans on Wednesday as an 8.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CELTICS MINUS THE POINTS: Boston had been on an eight-game winning streak before losing these last two games to the Suns and the Pistons in Detroit last Saturday. Injuries have played a role with Al Horford and Marcus Morris both out with knee injuries. The good news for the Celtics is that Morris has been upgraded to probable for tonight’s game. This team raised their level of play as of late with head coach Brad Stevens’ decision to insert Marcus Smart into the starting lineup. Smart is an outstanding defensive player who is happy to play a supporting role on the offensive end of the court. This Boston team is so loaded with talent that sharing the basketball has been a problem. Stevens’ decision to settle on Smart to form a core starting foursome with Kyrie Irving, Jayson Tatum and Morris has been electric as those four have outscored their opponents by +27.2 points per 100 possessions in their last ten games when playing together on the court. The second unit has also improved with the clarification that Gordon Hayward, Jaylen Brown, and Terry Rozier will be anchoring that group. The Celtics should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after losing two straight games. Boston stays at home where they are 9-4 with this season with an average winning margin of +9.6 PPG. The Celtics hold their visitors to just a 42.7% field goal percentage. They have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 30 games on their home court — and they have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Boston has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, not only have the Celtics covered the point spread in 24 of their last 36 games in expected close games with the point spread in the +/- 3-point range but they have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Milwaukee is just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 34 games after winning three of their last four games. This team has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Bucks are just 7-6 on the road — and they are only 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Boston will be very motivated to get back to their winning ways against one of the biggest threats in the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee struggles against the Celtics as they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 encounters with them — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in their last 6 trips to Boston. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Game of the Month with the Boston Celtics (510) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Milwaukee Bucks (509). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Gasparilla Bowl between the Marshall Thundering Herd (215) and the South Florida Bulls (216). THE SITUATION: Marshall (8-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on December 1st with their 41-20 loss at Virginia Tech as a 3.5-point underdog. South Florida (7-5) has lost five straight games after their 38-10 loss to Central Florida as a 16.5-point favorite back on November 23rd. With this bowl game being moved from St. Petersburg to Raymond James Stadium on Tampa Bay, the Bulls playing in their home stadium for this bowl game.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 21-9-1 in South Florida’s last 31 games after a straight-up loss. The Bulls have also played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total after a loss by at least 17 points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total after a loss by at least four touchdowns. Furthermore, not only has South Florida played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after suffering three straight losses to conference rivals but they have also played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. The big question for this team is whether or not junior quarterback Blake Barnett will be able to take the field in this game. The former Alabama QB injured his ankle two games ago which kept him out of that final game with UCF. Barnett is officially listed as questionable for this contest and while he has taken off his walking boot this week, there is little other indication that he is actually ready to play in this game. I suspect that second-year head coach Charlie Strong will not risk further injury to his likely incumbent starter who has not practiced for this game and who will not be at 100%. But even if he plays, he will be running an offense that has scored only 16.7 PPG over their last three contests while wavering only 296.0 total YPG over that span. South Florida will lean on their rushing attack that averaged 202.5 rushing YPG which was 34th best in the nation. But running the ball will be difficult against this Thundering Herd defense that ranks 10th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 105.3 rushing YPG — and they limit opposing rushers to just a 2.98 Yards-Per-Carry. The Bulls only managed to pass for 113 yards against Central Florida in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 14 games at home Under the Total after a game where they failed to pass for at least 125 yards. South Florida has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing at home. Marshall has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 17 points. The Thundering Herd allowed the Hokies to average 7.09 Yards-Per-Play in their last game — but they have then played 25 of their last 36 games Under the Total after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Head coach Doc Holliday should see his defense rebound with a better game tonight as they rank 23rd in the nation by allowing just 336.9 total YPG while also ranking tied for 29th in the FBS by giving up only 22.0 PPG. Marshall did not force any Virginia Tech turnovers in their last game — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after not forcing a turnover in their last game. Furthermore, the Thundering Herd have played 7 of their last 11 road games Under the Total when favored by no more than 3 points. And in their last 7 bowl games, Marshall has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The challenges for the South Florida offense increased when their offensive coordinator, Sterlin Gilbert, left for the McNeese State head coaching job during bowl prep. Strong has tapped Justin Blake to be his interim play-caller despite his lack of experience with those duties. With the Total set in the low-50s, expect this to be a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Gasparilla Bowl between the Marshall Thundering Herd (215) and the South Florida Bulls (216). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the San Diego State Aztecs (214) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (213). THE SITUATION: San Diego State (7-5) limps into the bowl season having lost three straight games after their 31-30 upset loss at home to Hawai’i to end their regular season despite being an 18-point favorite in that game back on November 24th. Ohio (8-4) has won two straight games with their 49-28 win over Akron as a 24-point favorite back on November 23rd. These two football programs meet for the first time in the Frisco Bowl in Frisco, Texas tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE AZTECS PLUS THE POINTS: It was a strange season for San Diego State. After an opening week loss at Stanford, the Aztecs rattled off six-straight wins including impressive wins against Arizona State and at Boise State. But Rocky Long’s team was hit with the injury bug with starting quarterback Christian Chapman and running back Juwan Washington missing significant time with injuries — and that coincided with a difficult stretch of the season where they had challenging road games at Nevada and Fresno State. San Diego State lost three of four games down the stretch against Mountain West Conference rivals that were decided by just 15 combined points. The team was then flat in their season finale where they got upset by Hawai’i. But now Chapman and Washington are healthy again — and one thing this program has been under Long’s leadership is reliable when bouncing-back a from loss. The Aztecs have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 road games after a loss decided by 3 points or less — and they have covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 road games after a loss to a conference rival. Additionally, San Diego State has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games on the road after losing three of their last four games. Having Washington healthy should jumpstart this offense as he rushed for 870 yards with ten touchdowns despite playing in just eight games. The Aztecs are once again outstanding on the defensive side of the football where they rank 20th in the nation by limiting their opponents to only 327.4 total YPG. The Bobcats want to run the football as they rank 9th in the nation by rushing for 262.2 rushing YPG. But San Diego State ranks 4th in the nation by allowing only 94.5 rushing YPG this season — and opposing rushers averaged just 2.7 Yards-Per-Carry. The Aztecs faced six teams that qualified for bowl games this season — and those six teams averaged only 64.3 rushing YPG against this stout San Diego State defense. The Aztecs entered this season with a 32-9 record over their last three seasons. They are rarely an underdog under Long’s leadership — but when they are, they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when getting the points. Ohio has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Bobcats preceded that 21-point win over the Zips with a 35-point win over Buffalo the previous week — but Frank Solich’s team has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after winning their last two games by at least three touchdowns. Ohio has also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games when playing away from after winning their last two games by double-digits. The Bobcats out-rushed Akron by a whopping 349 net yards in their last game — but they have failed cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after out-rushing their last opponent by at least 200 yards. Ohio has benefited from averaging +1.08 net turnovers per game this season which is the 5th best mark in the nation. They have not committed more than one turnover in six straight games. But after playing their last two games at home, they go on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after not committing more than one turnover in three straight games. They will be facing an Aztecs team that has not committed a turnover in two straight games. The Bobcats thrived at home where they were a perfect 6-0 this season — but they were just 2-4 on the road while being out-gained by -30 net YPG.

FINAL TAKE: Ohio has reached a bowl game in nine of the last ten seasons under Solich while enjoying a 41-6 blowout win over UAB in the Bahamas Bowl last year. San Diego State has reached a bowl game in all eight years in Long’s tenure but fourteen returning starters will look to redeem themselves from a 42-35 upset loss to Army in the Armed Forces Bowl as a 7-point favorite. With the Aztecs healthy again, they are probably the better team in this game — and they will be doubly motivated to use this game to erase last year’s underwhelming performance as well as the poor effort over three weeks against Hawai’i. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Game of the Year with the San Diego State Aztecs (214) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (213). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (553) and the Philadelphia 76ers (554). THE SITUATION: New York (9-23) has lost two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests with their 128-110 loss to Phoenix on Monday as a 1.5-point underdog. Philadelphia (20-12) has lost three of their last four games with their 123-96 loss in San Antonio on Monday as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Knicks have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, New York has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. Furthermore, while the Knicks have allowed at least 110 points in eleven straight games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 110 points in four straight contests. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in six of their last eight games — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after only covering the point spread once or twice in their last six games. This is an injured group right now with Allonzo Trier, Mitchell Robinson, and Damyean Dotson all out for this game and Tim Hardway listed as questionable with a heel injury. These absences probably hurt the Knicks defense more than it does their offense. Over their last five games, New York is scoring 109.6 PPG but they are giving up 118.8 PPG to their opponents while playing at a fast pace. Now they go on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total. They have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog. And while they will be looking to avenge a 117-91 loss to the Sixers back on November 28th, the Knicks have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when motivated by revenge from a loss by at least 20 points. New York made only 40.4% of their shots in their last game which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last six games — but Philadelphia comes off a game where they made just 40.8% of their shots which was the lowest field goal percentage they have endured all season. The 76ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Furthermore, Philly has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. And while they have allowed at least 105 points in seven straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 105 points in their last game. The Sixers return home where they are scoring 116.1 PPG while allowing 108.8 PPG to their opponents. Over their last five games, they are allowing their opponents to make 49.3% of their shots. This is their sixth game in ten days — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing at least their sixth game in the last ten days.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are likely to shoot much better from the field after poor shooting efforts in their last game. Defense will likely be hard to come by given injuries and fatigue — and that means plenty of scoring from two teams very happy to push the pace. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (553) and the Philadelphia 76ers (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (545) and the Indiana Pacers (546). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (7-23) has lost two straight games with their 128-105 loss to Philadelphia on Sunday as a 9-point underdog. Indiana (20-10) has won seven straight games with their 110-99 win over New York as a 12-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pacers have raised their level of play on the defensive end of the court. During their seven-game winning streak, Indiana is allowing their opponents to score just 97.4 points per 100 possessions. Their last five opponents are shooting just 41.6% from the field. The Under is 35-16-1 in the Pacers’ last 52 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. This team stays at home where they are scoring 105.2 PPG while holding their opponents to just 97.7 PPG — and both those numbers are below their 106.7 PPG scoring average along with their 101.2 PPG defensive average overall this season. Indiana has played 39 of their last 58 games Under the Total on their home court — and this includes them playing twelve of their last fifteen home games Under the Total. The Pacers have also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Indiana has played ten straight games Under the Total — and while that might perk the interests of some contrarian bettors, the Pacers have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total when on an Under streak of at least four games which includes them playing eight of their last nine Under the Total if they have played at least four straight Unders before that game. Furthermore, Indiana has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% — and the Under is 19-6-1 in their last 27 games against fellow NBA Central opponents. Cleveland has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against Central Division rivals. They have lost two straight games by double-digits with their loss to the 76ers preceded by a 114-102 loss to Milwaukee — and the Cavaliers have plated 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing two straight games by double-digits. This team is ravaged with injuries with Tristan Thompson joining Kevin Love being on the shelf — and they are not playing their outside shooting threat in J.R. Smith so he can be kept healthy so that he retains some trade value. Head coach Larry Drew will want his team to play harder on defense after allowing the Sixers to make 56% of their shots which was the second worst defensive effort of the season. Now the Cavs go on the road where they score 100.7 PPG which is -2.7 PPG below their overall season average. Cleveland has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road. They also have played 8 of the last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: The Cavaliers are looking to avenge a 119-107 loss at home to the Pacers back on October 27th — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the total when playing with same-season revenge. The Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 games between these two teams — and these two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when meeting at Indiana. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (545) and the Indiana Pacers (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Carolina Panthers (332) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (331). THE SITUATION: Carolina (6-7) has lost five straight games after their 26-20 upset loss at Cleveland as a 1-point favorite last Sunday. New Orleans (11-2) enters this game coming off a 28-14 win at Tampa Bay last week as a 10-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS PLUS THE POINTS: Carolina has had this night circled on their calendar all season as it is their first opportunity to avenge being beaten three by the Saints last year. The Panthers lost both regular-season games to New Orleans before losing in the first round of the playoffs by a 31-26 score on the road in the Superdome. Carolina should play one of their best games of the season as they have rebounded to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after an upset loss as a road favorite. The Panthers remain alive in the NFC playoff hunt but they must win this game tonight. Quarterback Cam Newton is not at full strength as he is dealing with a shoulder issue that is limiting his ability to throw longer passes. Yet going deeper into the numbers, it is the not offense that has been holding this team back. Carolina is averaging only 21.3 PPG in their last three games despite averaging a robust 437.7 Yards-Per-Game over that span — that is almost 60 YPG above their season average. The 393 yards they generated last week against the Browns was the lowest offensive output in their last three games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 375 yards in three straight games. The Panthers out-gained Cleveland last week by 50 yards — in fact, they have out-gained their last four opponents despite losing all four games on the scoreboard. Carolina’s run defense is playing quite well at this point of the season. Over their last three games, they are allowing only 60 rushing YPG while holding opposing rushers to just a 3.05 Yards-Per-Carry average. The Panthers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Carolina returns home where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games. New Orleans has covered the point spread in ten of their last eleven games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Saints have also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 40 games after a win on the road against a fellow NFC South rival. Despite their continued success, the New Orleans offense has slowed down a bit as they are averaging only 23.0 PPG along with just 262.0 total YPG over their last three games. Opposing defenses are finding success by focusing on taking away Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara in the passing game to make Drew Brees use his other less-talented passing targets. Defenses are also finding success by going into dime coverage on third down. These defensive adjustments are taking away the Saints explosiveness. Brees has passed for at least 200 yards just once in his last three games — and only six of his passes over those last three games have resulted in more than 20 yards. Lastly, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on Monday Night Football.

FINAL TAKE: Carolina has been snake-bit during their losing streak — they are a better team than their losing record indicates. The Panthers should have a few tricks up their sleeve for this first opportunity to avenge their three losses to the Saints last season which defined their year. New Orleans may win this game — but it is difficult to defeat a divisional rival on the road by this many points that they are laying. 25* NFC South Game of the Year with the Carolina Panthers (332) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Philadelphia Eagles (329) and the Los Angeles Rams (330). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (6-7) looks to rebound from their 29-23 overtime loss in Dallas last week as a 3.5-point favorite. Los Angeles (11-2) saw their three-game winning streak snapped with their 15-6 loss in Chicago last Sunday night as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Eagles have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Philly will be turning to Nick Foles at quarterback with Carson Wentz dealing with back issues and likely to be put on the shelf for the rest of this season with their playoff hopes likely dashed. Foles started the first two games of the season with the Eagles scoring only 19 combined points in those two games. Philadelphia will likely to commit to running the football considering that they have won all six of their games this season when they attempt at least 27 rushes. Running the football will also serve to protect their injury-riddled defense that surrendered 576 yards against the Cowboys. The Eagles have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 500 yards in their last game. Philadelphia stayed competitive last week despite only managing to gain 256 yards of offense — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after being out-gained by at least 100 yards in their last game. Los Angeles has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Rams will likely look to run the football as well after struggling to move the football in the colder weather in Chicago — Todd Gurley ran the ball only 11 times last week. Los Angeles also needs to do better with their run defense after allowing the Bears to rush for 194 yards last week. The Rams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Los Angeles returns home where they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Rams have also played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: With Los Angeles big favorites of almost two touchdowns, the Total remains in the low-50s for this game. With both teams running the football, expect this to be a lower-scoring game than expected. 25* NFL Sunday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between Philadelphia Eagles (329) and the Los Angeles Rams (330). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (308) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (307). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (6-6-1) has lost two straight games after their 21-7 loss at Seattle on Monday as a 3-point underdog. Miami (7-6) enters this game still buzzing off the “miracle in Miami” where they scored on a last-second hook-and-ladder play to pull a 34-33 upset over New England as a 9.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE VIKINGS MINUS THE POINTS: Minnesota should play well this afternoon as they have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 37 games after a straight-up loss. Their loss on Monday was preceded by a 24-10 loss in New England the previous week — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after losing two straight games by at least two touchdowns. Returning home will help where they are 4-2 while out-gaining their opponents by +91.1 net YPG. The Vikings hold their guests to just 19.3 PPG along with only 270.2 YPG. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 16  of their last 22 games on their home field. There should also be a better atmosphere on the sidelines after head coach Mike Zimmer fired offensive coordinator John DeFilippo and replaced him with Kevin Stefanski. DeFilippo was not a good personality fit with the demanding Zimmer who has a different philosophy. Stefanski is very highly regarded around the league and appears to be a better fit with Zimmer’s style. He takes over an offense for a team that has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games in the month of December. Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after an upset win over a divisional rival. Furthermore, the Dolphins have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Additionally, Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games off a home game where both teams scored at least 24 points. Now the Dolphins go back on the road where they are 1-5 with an average losing margin of -12.3 PPG while being out-gained by -116.3 net YPG. Miami allows their home hosts to score 29.5 PPG while gaining 400.3 total YPG. Defense is a concern for this team as they have surrendered at least 377 yards in four straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after allowing at least 375 yards in four straight games. They are allowing 430.3 total YPG over their last three contests. And in their last 11 games on the road, the Dolphins have failed to cover the point spread 9 times.

FINAL TAKE: The Vikings have endured a difficult stretch of games but remain alive in the NFC playoff hunt. Look for them to take out their frustrations on an overachieving Dolphins team that is not very good when playing away from south beach. 25* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year with the Minnesota Vikings (308) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (306) minus the points versus the Cleveland Browns (305). THE SITUATION: Denver (6-7) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Sunday with their 20-14 loss at San Francisco as a 3-point favorite. Cleveland (5-7-1) has won three of their last four games with their 26-20 upset win at home over Carolina last week as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS MINUS THE POINTS: Denver was caught flat last week after winning three straight games and playing a 49ers team that will be missing the playoffs. But the Broncos have rebounded to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after suffering an upset loss on the road as the favorite. Denver had covered point spread expectations in their three previous games — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after covering two of their last three games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, returning home should help this team. They are playing outstanding run defense right now as they have held their last seven opponents to just a 3.58 Yards-Per-Carry mark song with only 72.7 rushing YPG. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after the first month of the season. They also have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC opponents. Cleveland may be due for a letdown after pulling the upset at home against the reeling Panthers. The Browns have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. That game finished below the 47.5-point Total — but Cleveland has then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. And while the Browns have played their last two games Under the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after playing at least two straight Unders. Cleveland is flirting with danger having lost the turnover battle in their last two games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after suffering a -1 or worse turnover battle in two straight games. The Browns defense surrendered 393 yards to Carolina in their victory but they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. They have allowed their last three opponents to rush for 108 rushing YPG while averaging 5.06 YPC — and those are scary numbers when facing this Broncos team that is 7th in the NFL by averaging 130.2 rushing YPG. Cleveland now plays their third game in their last four contests on the road where they are 1-5 this season while surrendering 29.0 PPG along with 412.2 total YPG. The Browns are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games on the road while failing to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog getting no more than 7 points. And in their last 5 games against fellow AFC opponents, Cleveland has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: Expect this Browns team to struggle in the high-altitude in Denver where the Broncos typically enjoy a significant home-field advantage. Both those teams remain technically alive in the playoff race — but it is Denver that has a more realistic chance of qualifying for the playoffs if they win their remaining games. 25* AFC Game of the Year with the Denver Broncos (306) minus the points versus the Cleveland Browns (305). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (303) and the New York Jets (304). THE SITUATION: Houston (9-4) looks to bounce-back from their 24-21 upset loss to Indianapolis last week where they were a 4-point favorite. New York (4-9) enters this Saturday game coming off a 27-23 upset victory at Buffalo as a 4.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Texans’ offense stalled in that game as they generated only 315 yards at home against the Colts. Houston has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Texans did limit Indianapolis to just 50 rushing yards in that contest — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 rushing yards in their last game. Houston is 5th in the NFL by allowing only 88.2 rushing YPG — and they are holding their opponents to just a 3.35 Yards-Per-Carry average. Over their last three games, the Texans allowing only 18.0 PPG. Now after playing their last three games at home, Houston goes on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have also played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total when laying 3.5 to 7 points. Furthermore, the Texans have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 31 games played in the month of December, Houston has played 23 of these games Under the Total including nine of their last eleven. New York has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. Furthermore, the Jets have also played 22 of their last 32 home games Under the Total after a narrow win by 6 points or less. They did surrender 176 rushing yards to the Bills in that win — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The New York offense is riddled with injuries with running back Isaiah Crowell going on IR with a foot injury and wide receiver Quincy Enunwa being declared out with an ankle. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold is left without much help at the skill positions. He has only passed for 300 yards once in his ten starts and his lead running back is now third-stringer Elijah McGuire. The Jets have scored only 20.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging a mere 288.7 total YPG. Lastly, in their last 15 games after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored, New York has then played 10 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: This shapes up to be a low-scoring contest. The Jets’ offense was already limited before their rash of injuries. Houston has evolved into a run-first team to protect their offensive line (it is easier on that group to run block rather than offer pass protection). With the Texans on the road, they will lean even more on the road. 25* NFL Saturday Afternoon O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (303) and the New York Jets (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Texas Mean Green (201) plus the points versus the Utah State Aggies (202). THE SITUATION: North Texas (9-3) has won two straight games as well as three of their last four games with their 24-21 win over UTSA as a 25-point favorite back on November 24th. Utah State (10-2) saw their ten-game winning streak snapped on that Saturday when they lost by a 33-24 score at Boise State as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MEAN GREEN PLUS THE POINTS: I do not like the dynamic from which Utah State enters this game. They suffered a deflating loss to the Broncos that ruined their Mountain West championship aspirations. As it is, the Aggies have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when bouncing back from a loss on the road to a conference rival. And while Utah State has not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The team is also without their head coach Matt Wells who left the program after that game to become the new head coach for Texas Tech. With interim head coach Frank Maile operating as a lame duck before Gary Andersen returns to the program to serve as the Aggies’ head coach again, it is questionable as to just how motivated this team will be for this game. Utah State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games in the month of December. The Aggies have benefited from a +0.92 net turnover margin per game which is 8th best in the nation — but they did not force a turnover and suffered a -2 net turnover margin in that loss to Boise State. Utah State has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after failing to force a turnover in their last game. Defense is also a concern for this team as they have allowed 471.1 total YPG which is over 85 YPG above their season average. Teams can pass on this team as they rank 84th in the nation by giving up 240.1 passing YPG. This is also a team that thrives at home with a dominant 35-9 mark at home over the years. Both of the Aggies’ losses were on the road this year where they were out-gained away from home by -47.8 net YPG. Additionally, Utah State has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. North Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by 3 points or less against a Conference USA rival — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games after winning two straight games against conference rivals. Furthermore, the Mean Green has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. North Texas may scare off some bettors considering that they have only covered the point spread once in their last eight games — but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Led by quarterback Matt Fine who has passed for over 3700 yards this season while posting a sterling 27:5 touchdown-to-interception ratio, the Mean Green has generated 511 and 516 yards in each of their last two games. North Texas has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after gaining at least 450 yards in two straight contests. Fine should find success against this Aggies pass defense as he leads an offense that ranks 11th in the nation by averaging 316.3 passing YPG. While the UNT pass defense is vulnerable, the Mean Green defense can make Utah State one-dimensional as they rank 15th in the nation by allowing only 113.5 rushing YPG. Lastly, North Texas has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games against non-conference opponents.

FINAL TAKE: North Texas has reached a bowl game in each of the first two seasons under third-year head coach Seth Littrell — but they have yet to win that final game. The Mean Green should be very motivated to earth their first bowl win under Littrell while reaching the ten-win milestone this season. 25* CFB New Mexico Bowl Special Feature with the North Texas Mean Green (201) plus the points versus the Utah State Aggies (202). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Tulane Green Wave (203) minus the points versus the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (204). THE SITUATION: Tulane (6-6) became bowl eligible by winning four of their last five games with their 29-28 victory over Navy on November 24th as a 5-point favorite. UL-Lafayette (7-6) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on December 1st in the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game where they lost at Appalachian State by a 17.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GREEN WAVE MINUS THE POINTS: Tulane will be very excited to be playing in their first bowl game since 2014 — and their first postseason game under third-year head coach Willie Fritz. The Green Wave were inches away from being bowl eligible last season before getting stuff on the goal line in their upset bid against SMU leaving them at 5-7 and ailing to become bowl eligible. This moment has been a long time coming for this program that returned fourteen starters from last year’s team. Tulane has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a narrow win at home by 3 points or less. The Green Wave have lost three games this season decided by 7 points or less. And while they have not covered the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. This team has improved on offense since Justin McMillan took over at quarterback. The graduate transfer from LSU has throw ten touchdown passes in his last five games after completing 18 of 29 passes for 291 yards with three TD passes against the Midshipmen while adding another touchdown with 51 rushing yards in that victory. The Green Wave have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Tulane did not force a turnover in that game — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to force at least one turnover in their last contest. This team led the American Athletic Conference by allowing just 5.4 Yards-Per-Play in conference games. They are particularly tough against the run as they ranked second in the AAC by allowing just 152.6 rushing YPG — and they held their opponents to only 3.95 Yards-Per-Carry. They held their opponents to 38 YPG below their offensive season average. Furthermore, the Green Wave have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 29 games when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. UL-Lafayette has covered the point spread in eight of their last ten games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. This is not a good matchup for this Ragin’ Cajuns team facing an opponent from a superior conference. UL-Lafayette relies on running the football so they will be playing into the strength of the Tulane defense — and they only average 208.0 passing YPG which is 89th in the FBS. The Ragin’ Cajun defense struggles to defend the run as they rank 107th in the nation by allowing 210.0 rushing YPG — and their opponents average 5.8 Yards-Per-Carry. They face a big challenge when facing this Green Wave offense that is 30th in the nation by averaging 208.3 rushing YPG. UL-Lafayette may be facing some new wrinkles as well after Fritz fired his offensive coordinator Doug Ruse after the Navy game. Alex Atkins will be calling the plays for this game. The Ragin’ Cajuns allowed their opponents to average 41 YPG above their offensive season average. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. And while they have played two straight games Under the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing two straight Unders.

FINAL TAKE: I like the dynamic this Tulane team has entering this game with the challenge of a new offensive coordinator helping to focus their attention as they play their first bowl game in years. UL-Lafayette usually is tapped to play in the New Orleans Bowl in the opening Saturday of the bowl season. This Green Wave is more battle-tested having played in an American Athletic Conference that is significantly better than the Sun Belt. 25* CFB CBS Sports Network Game of the Year with the Tulane Green Wave (203) minus the points versus the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (204). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Milwaukee Bucks (571) minus the points versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (572). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (18-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 113-97 loss at Indiana as a 2-point favorite. Cleveland (7-21) has won two of their last three games with their 113-106 upset win over the Knicks as a 1.5-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: Milwaukee made just 41.3% of their shots on Wednesday which was their fourth-lowest shooting percentage of the season — and they failed to score triple digits for just the second time all season. They also allowed the Pacers to make 47.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive performance in their last five games. The Bucks should respond with a strong effort after playing one of their worst games of the season. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 road games after an upset loss. The Bucks stay on the road where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Central Division opponents. Cleveland held New York to just a 43.6% field goal percentage on Wednesday which was the best defensive game they have played in their last five contests. But the Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 3 home games after a straight-up win. Cleveland has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing with one day of rest. The Cavs stay at home for this one where they have failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 40 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Cleveland has also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 31 home games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in their last 12 games against fellow Central Division opponents, the Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread 9 times.

FINAL TAKE: Giannis Antetokounmpo had missed some time but is healthy again after playing in Wednesday’s game with the Pacers. After a disappointing effort against Indiana, look for the Bucks to take out their frustrations against the hapless Cavaliers. 25* NBA Central Division Game of the Milwaukee Bucks (571) minus the points versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (572). Best of luck for us — Frank.