At 6:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Xavier Musketeers (858) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (857). Providence (20-12) has won three of their last four games after their 72-68 upset win over Creighton yesterday in a game that went to overtime. Look for the Friars to suffer a letdown tonight — they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win by 6 points or less. That win for Providence came after a 61-57 narrow win over St. John’s in their last game in the regular season — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games after eking out two straight wins by 6 points or less. The Friars were 3.5-point underdogs against the Bluejays yesterday — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, Providence has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when winning two of their last three games. And in their last 17 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, the Friars have failed to cover the point spread 11 times.

Xavier (28-4) looks to build off their dominant 88-60 win over St. John’s yesterday as a 7-point favorite. The Musketeers may be hard to stop in this contest as they have covered the point spread in 39 of their last 56 games after a win by at least 20 points. Xavier has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last contest. The Musketeers is dominating the glass as of late as they have out-rebounded their last four opponents by at least 9 rebounds — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after out-rebounding their last four opponents by at least 6 RPG. Moving forward, Xavier has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games played on a neutral court — and this includes covering the point spread in eight of their last nine games when the total was set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. The Musketeers have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games in Tournament action. Lastly, Xavier has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Big East Game of the Year with the Xavier Musketeers (858) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (857). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Rhode Island Rams (830) minus the points versus the VCU Rams (829). Rhode Island (23-6) enters the Atlantic-10 Tournament coming off two straight losses after their 63-61 loss at Davidson in a pick ‘em contest last Friday. That loss came on the heels of an embarrassing 30-point loss at home for Senior Night against St. Joseph’s. Get this Rams team remains the regular season champions of the conference with their 15-3 record. They should get back to their winning ways in A-10 play this afternoon while benefiting from the rest as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when playing just their second game in eight days. This team is built to play well in tournament situations as they some of the extra things to create more scoring opportunities if their shots are not falling. Rhode Island is 2nd in the conference by rebounding 31.4% of their missed shots. These Rams also led the A-10 by forcing turnovers in 22.9% of their opponent’s possessions — and this is an area of vulnerability for VCU as they were 12th in the conference by turning the ball over in 19.5% of their possessions. These characteristics have helped Rhode Island cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a neutral court as a favorite or pick em. The Rams limited their turnovers against the Wildcats last week as they only committed 7 turnovers — and they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after not turning the ball over more than 8 times in their last contest. Furthermore, Rhode Island has allowed their last two opponents to pull down only 7 and 9 offensive rebounds — and they have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games. This team just needs to shoot the ball better — they made only 40.3% of their shots against Davidson after shooting an awful 28.1% from the field in that loss to St. Joe’s in their final home game of the season. Rhode Island makes a healthy 46% of their shots when playing on the road so don’t be surprised if they break out with a strong shooting effort this afternoon.

VCU (18-14) has won and covered the point spread in their last two games while laying the points after they rallied with a late 10-0 run yesterday to pull out a 77-72 win over Dayton yesterday. But this team may be due for a letdown now as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after covering their last two games as the favorite. This Rams team has not been as effective as an underdog considering that they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games when getting the points as the dog. Frankly, this is a mediocre VCU team that ranked 10th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 7th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the Atlantic-10. The old days of Shaka Smart’s “havoc” pressure defense are gone as this team was 8th in the conference in forcing turnovers and steals-rate. They also are 6th in the conference in offensive rebounding. They pulled down only 5 offensive rebounds yesterday — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where they did not pull down more than 5 boards on the offensive end of the court. This team is dependent on taking full advantage of their shots since they do not do the little things to create more scoring opportunities — they survived yesterday by shooting 49.1% from the field. But they shot only 41.4% from the field in their lone meeting with Rhode Island this season back on February 2nd in an 81-68 loss at home. Unfortunately for VCU, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponents. Lastly, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Atlantic-10 Game of the Year with the Rhode Island Rams (830) minus the points versus the VCU Rams (829). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (719) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (720). San Diego State (19-10) has won six straight games with their 79-74 win over Nevada last Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Aztecs made 49.2% of their shots in that game which was their best shooting effort in their last four games. They also allowed the Wolf Pack to make 49.2% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last seven contests. Both of those results should see some regression this afternoon which points to an Under. As it is, the Under is 5-0-1 in San Diego State’s last 6 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Aztecs have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after winning three straight games against conference rivals. Now this team goes back on the road after playing their last two games at home — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after playing their last two games on their home court. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Under is 4-1-1  for San Diego State.

Fresno State (21-10) has lost two of their last three games with their 95-86 loss at New Mexico as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Bulldogs did shoot 49.1% from the field in that game which was their best film goal parentage in their last four games. But Fresno State allowed the Lobos to make 53.7% of their sots which was their worst defensive effort in their last eight contests. Both marks should see declines in this game to help our Under. The Bulldogs have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Furthermore, Fresno State has managed to pull down only 8 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after not rebounding more than 9 boards in two straight games. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 26 of their last 38 road games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Lastly, in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Fresno State has played all 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (719) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Florida Atlantic Owls (619) plus the points versus the UAB Blazers (620). UAB (19-12) probably played their best game of the season last Saturday when they upset Western Kentucky by a 101-73 score as a 1-point underdog. The Blazers held the Hilltoppers to just a 42.9% shooting percentage which was impressive — but they also made a sizzling 61.7% of their shots from the field which was their best shooting performance of the season. Now as a double-digit favorite against a team they destroyed by a 75-44 score back on January 4th, it would not be the first time that a team in this situation did not bring their proverbial “A-Game.” As it is, UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 18 games after a game where they made at least 57% of their shots while holding their opponents to no better than a 43% shooting mark. The Blazers have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games hitting the century mark in points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Blazers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games when playing on a neutral court.

Florida Atlantic (12-18) has lost two straight games — as well as seven of their last nine contests — with their 85-78 upset loss at Charlotte last Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Owls had held their previous three opponents to no better than a 38.7% shooting percentage before allowing the 49ers to make 44.4% of their shots. Florida Atlantic should get back to playing their stingy defense that ranked 3rd in Conference USA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Owls have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 85 points in their last game. FAU is also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games artery a point spread loss. Additionally, the Owls have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after losing five or six of their last seven contests. FAU will be motivated with revenge after losing to the Blazers by a 75-44 score. The Owls have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when attempting to avenge a loss where they failed to score more than 60 points. Lastly, FAU has covered the point spread in a decisive 54 of their last 88 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 25* CBB Conference USA Underdog of the Year with the Florida Atlantic Owls (619) plus the points versus the UAB Blazers (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the UL-Monroe Warhawks (590) minus the points versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (589). UL-Monroe (15-14) has lost two of their last three games entering the Sun Belt Conference Tournament after an upset lose to this Red Wolves team by an 83-79 score despite being a 7.5-point favorite on Saturday. Look for the Warhawks to exact their revenge tonight with this game being playing in the New Orleans Superdome in the Big Easy. UL-Monroe has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after an upset loss at home — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after an upset loss to a conference rival. Additionally, the Warhawks have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after a point spread loss. And while this team has failed to cover the point spread in two straight games, UL-Monroe has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after suffering two straight point spread losses. These Warhawks have raised their level of play in the second-half of the season by winning eight of their last eleven games. The insertion of freshman guard Michael Ertel jumpstarted this group and completed two dynamic wing players in Travis Munnings and Sam McDaniel. This team can score with of their peers in the Sun Belt Conference — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points. They also have covered the point spread in 30 of their last 43 games after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. This will be a very motivated Warhawks team as they lost both their games with the Red Wolves this season. But UL-Monroe has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when playing with double revenge.

Arkansas State (11-20) had their best offensive performance in their last eighteen contests by making 52.7% of their shots with their win over the Warhawks on Saturday. They were also on fire from behind the arc by making 11 of their 20 shots from 3-point land. That was why they were able to outlast UL-Monroe in that scoring fest — but that is not something that will likely repeat itself tonight. Head coach Keith Richard typically has his UL-Monroe teams play intense defense: six of their previous seven opponents had not shot better than 44.8% from the field before the Red Wolves went off on them. But Arkansas State shoots only 43% from the field away from home which includes a 32.4% mark from downtown. But the defensive struggles for the Red Wolves will likely continue after allowing the Warhawks to make 50.9% of their shots. Arkansas State is last in the Sub Belt in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while six of their last eight opponents have made at last 50.9% of their shots. A letdown is very likely for this team that has suffered offseason turmoil regarding internal discipline which compelled Mike Balado to suspend some of his players including the team’s most talented players in Deven Simms. The Red Wolves have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after an upset loss to a conference rival. Arkansas State has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win over a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Red Wolves have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 29 games played on a neutral court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Frankly, Arkansas State is looking to build the right chemistry for the future while UL-Monroe still has aspirations that they can make a run in this tournament in the Crescent City. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Tournament Game of the Year with the UL-Monroe Warhawks (590) minus the points versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (589). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Portland State Vikings (536) minus the points versus the Sacramento State Hornets (535). Portland State (19-12) has won four of their last five games with their 97-90 win over North Dakota on Saturday as an 8.5-point favorite. Look for the Vikings to build off the momentum of that victory as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win on their home court — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a home victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. They also have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. This team finished 9-9 in the Big Sky Conference — and they will be at full attention against this Hornets team who earned two of their four conference wins this season against them. The Vikings to shoot the basketball in both these previous games this season — they made only 41.7% in the first meeting between these two teams back on December 30th before making just 34.4% of their shots in the rematch at home where they lost by a 71-61 score. Sacramento State has allowed their last five opponents to make 47.8% of their shots — so Portland State has a good chance to shoot better tonight. The Hornets made 48.9% of their shots in that February meeting and have made a sizzling 55% of their (100) shots from the field against the Vikings this season. But the Regression Gods will likely make an appearance tonight as Sacramento State is shooting only 40.9% on the road this year. Portland State should dominate the offensive glass once again tonight after pulling down 38.3% and 34.1% of their missed shots in the first two meetings between these two teams. The Vikings led the Big Sky by rebounding 35.8% of their missed shots — and the Hornets are last in the conference by allowing their opponents to rebound 28.8% of their missed shots. Moving forward, Portland State has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a neutral court. The Vikings have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range.

Sacramento State (7-24) snapped a nine-game losing streak on Saturday with their 88-77 upset win over Northern Colorado as a 7.5-point underdog. The Hornets enjoyed a momentous Senior Day in that contest but they are likely ripe for a letdown now as they have failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 34 games after a double-digit win against a Big Sky rival. Additionally, Sacramento State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Lastly, the Hornets have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after losing two of their last three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after losing five or six of their last seven games. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Tournament Game of the Year with the Portland State Vikings (536) minus the points versus the Sacramento State Hornets (535). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the BYU Cougars (527) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (528). Gonzaga (29-4) was absolutely dominant last night as they made 16 of their first 20 shots en route to a scorching 64.3% shooting percentage in the first-half which overwhelmed San Francisco in their eventual 88-60 victory. The Bulldogs cooled off with their shooting but still ended up making 53.3% of their shots. They held the Dons to a 36.7% opponent’s field goal percentage in what was their best defensive effort in their last five games. But I am expecting a letdown in this game for the National Championship runner-ups in a game that they do not need in qualifying for the Big Dance. Gonzaga is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and they are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games are a win by at least 20 points. And while this Gonzaga team actually shot their lowest field goal percentage last night as they have in their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after making at least 47% of their shots in three straight games. This Bulldogs team is usually a bit overvalued relative to their point spread expectations. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 11 games on a neutral court as a favorite in the 9.5 to 12 point range, Gonzaga has failed to cover the point spread 7 times.

BYU (24-9) has won two straight games — as well as six of their last eight contests — with their 85-72 upset win over Saint Mary’s last night as a 5-point underdog. The Cougars got 32 points from Yoeli Childs and another 25 points from Elijah Bryant to offer this team a dangerous 1-2 punch on offense. This BYU team was very efficient against an outside Gaels’ defensive unit as they generated 20 assists while turning the ball over 6 times. Look for the Cougars to build off their momentum and being a very dangerous underdog tonight. They have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. They have also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after scoring at least 85 points in their last game. BYU pulled down only 24 rebounds last night after only pulling down 27 and 29 boards in their previous two games — but for this team that likes to play disciplined on offense while sacrificing offensive boards for transition defense, fewer rebounds tends to be a sign of them playing well in terms of making shots while gearing the tempo to their style of play. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after not rebounding more than 31 boards in three straight games. BYU is doing a great job of protecting the basketball as they have committed more than 8 turnovers in three straight games. Not only have the Cougars covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not turning the ball over more than 8 times in their last game but they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not committing more than 11 turnovers in each of their last two contests. Another thing this BYU team does very well is protect their defensive glass as they rank 7th in the nation by limiting their opponents to rebounding only 22.5% of their missed shots — and that number improved to a mere 20.9% rate in conference play. This will likely make Gonzaga uncomfortable as they led the West Coast Conference by rebounding 32.8% of their missed shots. Lastly, the Cougars were swept by the Bulldogs in their two meetings this year after losing by a 79-65 score at home back on February 24th — but BYU has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they surrendered at least 75 points. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Game of the Year with the BYU Cougars (527) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Northeastern Huskies (730) minus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (729). Northeastern (22-9) is the hottest team in the Colonial Athletic Association as they have won eight straight games with their 74-50 blowout win over Delaware yesterday. The Huskies made 51.9% of their shots in a ho-hum effort for them when considering that they have shot better than that in five of their last eight contests. But perhaps the most encouraging aspect regarding that win over the Blue Hens was that they held them to just a 36% shooting percentage. Look for Northeastern to build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Huskies have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, Northeastern has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 games after recording at least five straight wins — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after registering at least six straight victories. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral court as a favorite or pick ‘em, the Huskies have covered then point spread 3 times.

UNC-Wilmington (11-20) pulled off their second straight upset win yesterday when they shocked Hofstra by a 93-88 score despite being a 6-point underdog. The two-time defending CAA champions are led by Devontae Cacok who is the only player in the nation that averages more than 13 Rebounds-Per-Game. Considering that this team took the Huskies to overtime twice this season, they may look like a dangerous underdog tonight in this spot. But I see them being overwhelmed by a team that is both very familiar with them yet who will not dare look past them given those two close results. Northeastern has done a nice job in limiting the Seahawks’ typical edge on the glass. UNC-Wilmington is 29th in the nation by pulling down 34.0% of their missed shots — but they only rebounded 29.2% and 27.5% of their missed shots in their two meetings with the Huskies who rank 47th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just a 25.5% offensive rebounding rate. The Seahawks were buoyed yesterday by making 49.2% of their shots — but regression is likely tonight when considering that was their shooting performance in their last seventeen games. They made 10 of their 25 shots (40%) from behind the arc against the Dragons but are still shooting just 34.7% from the 3-point line this season. This team is also making only 42.2% of their shots when on the road. UNC-Wilmington has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 85 points in their last contest. This team may be playing with fire by getting involved in these higher-scoring affairs as they have give up at least 82 points in four straight games. The Seahawks have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 85 points in their last contest. And while they have covered the point spread in six of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. That second meeting between these two teams was the Huskies’ first win on this eight-game run they are on as they have raised their level of play down the stretch. Expect them to pull away from the Seahawks while dethroning the two-time CAA champs. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Tournament Game of the Year with the Northeastern Huskies (730) minus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (729). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland State Vikings (723) and the Oakland Grizzlies (724). Cleveland State (11-22) pulled off their third straight upset victory on Saturday with their 89-80 shocking 89-80 win over tournament favorite Northern Kentucky by an 89-80 score despite being a 14-point underdog. The Vikings have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. Cleveland State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Vikings have played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 85 points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last contest. Additionally, Cleveland State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 80 points — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games after a game that finished Over the Total as their game with Norse finished well above that 140 point total. Despite that high scoring game, the Vikings are playing better on defense which explains why they are pulling off these upsets. Cleveland State has held their last five opponents to just a 40.0% shooting percentage. Moving forward, the Vikings have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

Oakland (19-13) looks to build off their 62-55 win over IUPUI yesterday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Grizzlies flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Jaguars to just a 37.7% shooting percentage in the win. Oakland has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after winning a game where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Additionally, the Grizzlies have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while this Oakland team has failed to cover the point spread in nine of their last ten games, they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. Moving forward, the Grizzlies have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 6 games against teams playing on a neutral field, the Under is 4-1-1. 25* CBB Horizon League Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland State Vikings (723) and the Oakland Grizzlies (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (809) and the Milwaukee Bucks (810). Philadelphia (34-27) has won two straight games with their 110-99 win over Charlotte on Friday as a 3.5-point favorite. The 76ers made 50.6% of their shots in that game — but they are still shooting only 44.8% over their last five games which a click or two below their 46.5% field goal percentage for the season. The 76ers have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 10 points. Philadelphia has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And in their last 14 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game, the 76ers have played 11 of these games Under the Total. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

Milwaukee (33-29) has lost four games in a row with their 103-96 loss to Indiana as a 3.5-point favorite on Friday. The Bucks shot just 38.3% from the field in that game as they continued to struggle on offense while missing two important pieces in their rotation in the injured Matthew Dellavedova and Malcolm Brogdon. Milwaukee is making only 43.3% of their shots over their last five games which is far below their 47.5% season average. The Bucks have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now the Bucks stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total. And in their last 21 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, Milwaukee has played 16 of these games Under the Total. 25* NBA Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (809) and the Milwaukee Bucks (810). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:50 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (638) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (637). Purdue (27-5) has bounced-back from a three-game losing streak last month by winning four straight games after they disposed of Rutgers yesterday by an 82-75 score. The Boilermakers may be a little under appreciated given that three-game slide — but it was a product of a grueling Big Ten schedule. Purdue lost a one possession game at home to Ohio State before traveling to Michigan State where they lost again by a single possession. They were then flat on the road in their third game in eight days against an improving young Wisconsin team (that lost by just 3 points to the Spartans yesterday). This remains an outstanding team that does many things quite well. Despite that losing streak, the Boilermakers still enjoyed the top Efficiency Margin in the Big Ten even with a more difficult schedule than Michigan State. They are 3rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while ranking 25th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their offense can is nearly unstoppable with 7’2 center Isaac Hays a beast down low while being surrounded by four players that can all nail 3-point shots. The Boilermakers are 2nd in the nation by making 42.1% of their 3-point shots. In their victory over the Scarlet Knights yesterday, Purdue made 13 of their 30 shots from behind the arc for a 43.3% mark. The Boilermakers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after making at least 13 shots from 3-point land in their last game. This offensive juggernaut has shot at least 51.4% from the field in each of their last three games. Not only has Purdue covered then point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after making at least 50% of their shots in two straight games but they have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after making at least 50% of their shots in three straight games. Moving forward, the Boilermakers have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 31 games after winning four or five of their last six games. They have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when playing with one day or less of rest. Furthermore, they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 11 games on a neutral court as a favorite laying 6.5 to 12 points, Purdue has covered the point spread 9 times. With a rising superstar guard in sophomore Carsen Edwards surrounded by four seniors, this tight-knit team has the makeup to win high-stakes contests.

Penn State (21-12) pulled their third straight upset against Ohio State yesterday in their 69-68 victory over the Buckeyes as a 5.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions made only 37.9% of their shots but made it count from behind the arc where they made 9 of 19 shots for a sizzling 47.4% mark. But that win may speak more to some of the limitations of that Ohio State team than it does about Penn State. This Nittany Lions team is solid with no glaring weaknesses — but they also lack significant strengths which they will need to defeat elite opponents. They finished 7th in the Big Ten in both Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They suffered a major blow towards the end of the conference season when their best interior defender in Mike Watkins suffered a season-ending injury. Penn State will miss his bulking 6’9 frame against this outstanding Purdue offense. Another area of concern for this Nittany Lions regards the points they give up at the charity stripe. Penn State was 13th in the Big Ten with a free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 27.0%. They also ranked 12th in the conference with an opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio of 34.7% which is a dangerous proposition when facing this Boilermakers team that makes 74.2% of their free throws. The Nittany Lions did play the Boilermakers close in their first meeting back on February 18th when Purdue pulled out a 76-73 victory — but they have then failed to cover point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when attempting to avenge a loss on the road. Lastly, while Penn State has covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Year with the Purdue Boilermakers (638) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (637). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Illinois State Redbirds (862) minus the point(s) versus the Indiana State Sycamores (861). Illinois State (16-14) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 68-61 loss at Loyola-Illinois as a 12-point underdog. The Redbirds should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, Illinois State has covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after winning two of their last three games. This team suffered some key injuries this season which contributed to their disappointing 10-8 record in Missouri Valley Conference play — but they have recently seen the return of two injured starters in Phily Fayne and Keyshawn Evans. On paper, this team is as talented as the Loyola-Ill team that has received much more attention this season. They have a Player of the Year candidate in Milik Yarbrough. This team is steady on both ends of the court with offensive and defensive effective field goal percentages that each rank 3rd nest in the conference. This Illinois State team is also 2nd in the Missouri Valley by making 51.2% of their shots inside the arc. The Redbirds are also tops in the conference by holding their opponents to just a 31.3% shooting mark from 3-point land. They will be motivated with revenge tonight after losing by an ugly 84-54 score to these Sycamores back on January 20th. But the Redbirds have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 opportunities to avenge a loss to their opponents. Furthermore, Illinois State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing on a neutral court.

Indiana State (13-17) has won two straight games with their 66-64 win at Bradley as a 5.5-point underdog last Saturday. The Sycamores have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a point spread win. And while this Indiana State team has only allowed 64 and 53 points in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after not allowing more than 65 points in two straight games. This team made only 37.7% of their shots in their win over the Braves — and their 37.8% shooting percentage over their last five games is red flag for them now in Arch Madness. They are 301st in the nation by making only 46.5% of their shots inside the arc. They also give their opponents too many free throw attempts as they are 326th in the nation with an opponent’s free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 42.2% — so this team simply does not make things easier for themselves. The Sycamores have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Indiana State has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral court, the Sycamores are just 0-4-1 ATS. Lastly, this Indiana State team has covered the point spread just once in their last six games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 42 of their last 58 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least four of their last five games. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year with the Illinois State Redbirds (862) minus the point(s) versus the Indiana State Sycamores (861). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) Redhawks (838) minus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (837). Miami (OH) (15-15) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 90-83 loss at Kent State as a 3-point underdog. The Redhawks should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread setback. Additionally, while that game fished well above the 138.5 point total for that contest, Miami has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Now this team returns home where they are 8-4 with an average winning margin of +12.6 PPG. This the 3rd best team in the Mid-American Conference when it comes to Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their visitors to just a 41.9% shooting percentage. The Redhawks have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They will be motivated by revenge tonight after losing to the Bobcats on the road by a 92-87 score back on February 17th. Not only has this Miami covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games when playing with same-season revenge but they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when looking to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 75 points.

Ohio (13-16) has won three of their last four games with their 75-59 win over Bowling Green on Tuesday as a 4-point favorite. The Bobcats held the Falcons to just a 39.3% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last five games. But Ohio has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bobcats have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 road games after a double-digit victory over a conference rival. Ohio has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game — so a letdown from this team is likely. This team struggles on the road where they are just 2-11 with an average losing margin of -9.7 PPG. This team made 52.2% of their shots in their win against the Redhawks two weeks ago. But this is a team that usually struggles on offense as they are last in the Mid-American Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. On the road, Ohio makes just 42.6% of their shots. They rely on making 3s as they are 2nd in the conference by making 39.1% of their shots — but this Miami team is 2nd in the MAC with an opponent’s 3-point field goal percentage of just 33.0%. Even worse for the Bobcats, the Redhawks limit their visitors to a mere 28.0% shooting percentage from behind the arc. Ohio has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they are only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Game of the Year with the Miami (OH) Redhawks (838) minus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (837). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (847) and the Michigan State Spartans (848). Wisconsin (14-17) advanced to the Quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament yesterday afternoon with their 59-54 upset win over Maryland as a 2.5-point underdog. The Badgers won that game despite making just 36% of their shots. Wisconsin has won four of their last five games in large part because they have finally started limiting their turnovers. Not offering opponents fast break transition opportunities was a foundational principle for this program under head coach Bo Ryan as they finished in Top-Five nationally in limiting turnovers in the final seven seasons of his coaching tenure. But this Badgers’ team under head coach Greg Gard was turning the ball over in 20.7% of their possessions after their first four games in Big Ten play. This young Wisconsin team has improved significantly in this department as they have not turned the ball over more than 15.9% of their possessions in each of their last eight games. Protecting the basketball has helped the Badgers slow the tempo and grind games out. They have played 4 of their last 5 games in conference play Under the Total. Wisconsin will certainly try to shorten the game and limit the number of scoring possessions for the Spartans. Michigan State is outscoring their opponents by +17.5 PPG — and the Badgers have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Wisconsin has also played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, the Under is 12-3-2 in the Badgers’ last 17 games played on a neutral court. Furthermore, Wisconsin is playing with double-revenge this season after losing to Sparty twice this season — and they have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total when facing a team that has beaten them in at least two straight games.

Michigan State (28-3) takes to the court again after their 68-63 win at this same Wisconsin team last Sunday in Madison as a 7.5-point favorite. The Spartans have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing just their second game in a week. Additionally, Michigan State has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This Tom Izzo team may very well be his best defensive team ever in his long career. They lead the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.0%. Furthermore, this team is absolutely filthy in protecting the rim as they are limiting their opponents to just a 37.8% shooting mark inside the arc which is the second lowest mark for any team in College Basketball over the last fifteen seasons. But this Spartans team can get stuck on offense if their superstar Miles Bridges can not get his offensive game going. Bridges has not scored more than 10 points in four of his last seven games — and Michigan State has played 6 of those 7 conference games Under the Total. Moving forward, the Spartans have played 28 of their last 42 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range. And while Sparty has only covered the point spread twice in their last eight games, they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Lastly, Michigan State has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. 25* CBB Big Ten Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (847) and the Michigan State Spartans (848). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oregon State Beavers (553) and the Washington Huskies (554). Oregon State (14-14) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-75 win over Arizona State as a 2.5-point underdog. The Beavers made 52.8% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last four contests. Oregon State has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory over a conference rival. Additionally, the Beavers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, while that game finished Over the 149.5-point Total, they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. This Oregon State is one of the best defensive teams in the Pac-12 — they rank 4th in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, opponent’s effective field goal percentage and opponent’s 3-point percentage. But this Beavers team struggles on offense as they rank 8th in all three of those offensive categories as well. Oregon State makes only 43.2% of their shots on the road — but they do hold their home hosts to just a 42.8% shooting percentage. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Beavers’ last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall.

Washington (19-10) is the best team in the Pac-12 when it comes to Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, opponent’s effective field goal percentage and opponent’s 3-point field goal percentage. But this Huskies team ranks second to last on offense in all three of those categories. They enter this game having won two of their last three games with their 68-51 win at California as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. Washington has then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, this team has now played a decisive 23 of their last 28 games Under the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Lastly, the Huskies are looking to avenge a 97-94 loss to Oregon State back on February 10th — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oregon State Beavers (553) and the Washington Huskies (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Tennessee State Tigers (768) minus the points versus the Eastern Illinois Panthers (767). Tennessee State (15-14) limps into the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament on a three-game losing streak after their lost by an 84-59 score at Belmont on Saturday as an 11.5-point underdog. The Tigers made only 36.1% of their shots in that contest which was their worst offensive effort in their last eighteen games. They also allowed the Bruins to make 56.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last twelve games. But conference tournaments offer blank slates — and this Tennessee State team has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Tigers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while Tennessee State has not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 3 straight games after going at least 0-3 ATS in their last three games. The Tigers have also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 30 road games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Tennessee State is equipped to play well on a neutral court as they led the OVC by forcing turnovers in 22.9% of their opponent’s possessions — and the Panthers are 8th in the conference by committing turnovers in 19.8% of their possessions. Additionally, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 120 to 129.5 point range.

Eastern Illinois (11-18) has won two of their last three games after their 68-56 win over SIU-Edwardsville on Saturday as a 6-point favorite. The Panthers made 46% of their shots which was their best offensive effort in their last four games — and they held the Cougars to just a 37.7% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last six contests. But a letdown is likely for this team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. And while that game finished well below the 140.5 point total, Eastern Illinois has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. This team may struggle to score points tonight as they are last in the Ohio Valley Conference by making just 44.3% of their shots inside the arc. They make only 38.5% of their shots on the road. Not surprisingly then, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral court. Eastern Illinois has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the Panthers are looking to avenge a 50-47 loss to Tennessee State back on January 27th in a game where they turned the ball over in 22.8% of their possession. Eastern Illinois has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games when avenging a loss where they did not score at least 50 points. 25* CBB Tournament Game of the Month with the Tennessee State Tigers (768) minus the points versus the Eastern Illinois Panthers (767). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (701) and the Detroit Pistons (702). Detroit (28-32) has lost three straight games after their 123-94 loss at Toronto on Monday as a 10-point underdog. The Pistons allowed the Raptors to make 52.5% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last twenty-one games. Detroit started out red hot after bringing Blake Griffin into tow — but things have gone south very quickly for this team. Head coach Stan Van Gundy has to get this team playing harder on the defensive end of the court when considering that their shots are not falling. The Pistons are making only 41.9% of their shots over their last five games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Detroit returns home where the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 contests. Additionally, the Pistons have played 12 of their last 13 road games Under the Total after suffering at least two straight losses on the road. Additionally, the Under is 19-7-3 in their last 29 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 18-6-2 in their last 26 games games after a loss by at least 10 points.

Milwaukee (33-27) has lost two straight games after their 107-104 loss to Washington last night as a 3-point favorite. The Bucks have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. Milwaukee has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with winning records on their home court. Detroit launches 28 shots from 3-point land per game - -and the Bucks have played 13 of their last 18 games in the second-half of the season Under the Total against opponents that average at least 18 shots from behind the arc per contest. Lastly, in the last 9 meetings between these two teams, the Under is 6-2-1. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (701) and the Detroit Pistons (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Xavier Musketeers (720) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (719). Providence (18-11) snapped their two-game losing streak snapped on Saturday with their 74-69 win at Georgetown as a 2-point underdog. But the Friars have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a close win by 6 points or less — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win in general. Additionally, Providence has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 6-7 for the season while making only 44% of their shots. The Friars have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, Providence has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

Xavier (25-4) has won ten of their last eleven games after their 89-77 win at Georgetown last Wednesday as a 5-point favorite. The Musketeers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after a point spread victory. And while Xavier has scored at least 79 points in their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 75 points in three straight games. The Musketeers will be looking to avenge an 81-72 upset loss to Providence in their gym back on January 6th — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge. Xavier gets the rematch at home where they are 16-1 with an average winning margin of +15.2 PPG. The Musketeers are scoring 89.0 PPG on their home court while making 50% of their shots — and they are holding their opponents to just a 41% shooting percentage. Xavier has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games as the favorite or a pick ‘em. Lastly, the Musketeers have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Television Game of the Month with the Xavier Musketeers (720) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (719). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (18) versus the Edmonton Oilers (17). San Jose (33-21-6) has lost three straight games after their 3-2 loss at Minnesota on Sunday. The Sharks return home now after that four-game road trip. San Jose has allowed at least three goals in three straight games — but they have then won 7 straight home games after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. The Sharks have also won 11 of their last 16 games on their home ice. San Jose made a big move yesterday at the trade deadline with the acquisition of Evander Kane from Buffalo. The forward has scored 20 goals while adding another 20 assists in 61 games this season. This team is poised to make a run in the Western Conference playoffs again this season with management thinking the core group of players remain young enough to challenge for the Stanley Cup. This franchise has the second most wins in the NHL since the 2006-2007 season just behind the Penguins. Goalie Martin Jones has raised his level of play this month with a 2.09 Goals-Against-Average along with a .933 save percentage in ten February starts. The Sharks have won 16 of their last 23 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 12 games against Pacific Division rivals, the Sharks have won 10 of these contests.

Edmonton (27-31-3) were sellers at the trade deadline over the last week as they traded Patrick Maroon to the New Jersey Devils. It has been a disappointing season for this group that made the Western Conference Semifinals last season. This group had trouble dealing with the pressure of expectations early on this season — and there is a speed deficit for this team after their 20-year old superstar Connor McDavid. The Oilers have won four of their last five games after their 6-5 win in Anaheim on Sunday — but they have then lost 19 of their last 28 games after a victory. Edmonton has also lost 11 of their last 12 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have also lost 7 straight games after scoring at least six goals in their last contest. Furthermore, the Oilers have lost 6 of their last 8 games when playing their fourth game in the last six days. Another one of the issues for this team this season has been the play of goaltender Cam Talbot after he was outstanding for this team last year. Talbot has a missing 2.91 GAA in ten starts this month with a .911 save percentage after a rough 3.57 GAA with an .890 save percentage in ten starts last month. The Oilers have allowed eight combined goals over their last two games — and they have then lost 14 of their last 21 games after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. Additionally, Edmonton has lost 5 of their last 7 games against fellow Pacific Division opponents. Lastly, the Oilers are looking to avenge a 6-4 loss to the Sharks back on February 10th — and they have lost 21 of their last 33 games when playing with revenge. 25* NHL Pacific Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (18) versus the Edmonton Oilers (17). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Philadelphia 76ers (505) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Miami Heat (506). Philadelphia (32-26) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 109-94 loss at Washington on Sunday as a 1-point underdog. The 76ers played one of their worst games of the season. They made only 36% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort of the season. Philadelphia also allowed the Wizards to shoot 54.4% from the field which was the worst defensive performance in their last thirty-two contests. This young but talented 76ers team should bounce-back with a strong effort. Philadelphia has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the 76ers have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after a loss by at least 15 points. Additionally not only has Philly covered the point spread in 31 of their last 43 games after a loss on the road but they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after a loss on the road by double-digits. And in their last 17 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game, the 76ers have covered the point spread in 13 of these contests.

Miami (31-29) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 115-89 win over Memphis as a 9.5-point favorite. But the Heat have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a double-digit win — and they have failed to cover then point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit win on their home court. But Miami is still struggling as of late having lost eight of their last ten games. This is a team that lacks superstars — and the rag-tag group of solid player has seen its depth hit with the season-ending injury to Dion Waiters along with the nagging shoulder injury to Kelly Olynyk that has him questionable again for tonight’s game. Miami stays at home where they are an ugly 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games. Additionally, the Heat have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 home games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month with the Philadelphia 76ers (505) minus (or plus) the point(s) versus the Miami Heat (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (517) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (518). Ball State (19-10) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 87-80 upset loss to Western Michigan as a 4.5-point favorite. The Cardinals allowed the Broncos to shoot 51.7% from the field in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. They did stay competitive in that game since they made 53.6% of their shots. Now this Ball State goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. The Cardinals have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Now they travel to Muskegon to face this Chippewas team that is outscoring their opponents by +5.3 PPG — and Ball State has played 21 of their last 29 games against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Furthermore, Central Michigan launches 28 shots from 3-point range per game — and the Cardinals have played 22 of their last 31 games Over the Total against teams that average at least 21 shots from the 3-point line per game. 

Central Michigan (16-13) has lost three straight games after their 89-76 loss at Toledo on Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Chippewas have then played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. Central Michigan has also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last contest. Now this team returns home where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. The Chippewas have also played 6 straight home games Over the total as an underdog. Ball State launches 23 shots from behind the arc themselves — and Central Michigan has played 17 of their last 20 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 21 shots per game from 3-point land. Additionally, the Chippewas are looking to avenge a 82-76 loss to Ball State back on January 16th — and they have played 14 of the last 19 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (517) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (715) and the Dallas Mavericks (716). Indiana (34-25) has won four straight games with their 116-93 win over Atlanta on Friday as a 7-point favorite. The Pacers have then seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a double-digit loss. Indiana has also seen the Under after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And while that game finished just above the 208.5 point total, they have then played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the number. Now this team goes back on the road where the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games. Furthermore, Indiana has played 13 of their last 17 road games in the second half of the season against opponents with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range. And in the last 10 games against Western Conference foes, the Pacers have played 8 of these games Under the Total.

Dallas (18-42) has lost four straight games after their 97-90 loss at Utah on Saturday as a 10-point underdog. The Mavericks have then played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total after losing at least two straight games. Dallas has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total. The Mavericks have also played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 30 home games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range, Dallas has played 21 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Mavericks have played 23 of their last 35 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, while the Pacers average 106.9 PPG, Dallas has played 11 of their last 13 home games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams that score at least 106 PPG. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (715) and the Dallas Mavericks (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (55) versus the Montreal Canadiens (56). Philadelphia (33-19-5) has won five straight games as well as nine of their last ten contests with their 5-3 win over Ottawa on Saturday. The Flyers have then won 18 of their last 24 games after a victory — and they have won 13 of their last 18 games after winning two straight games. Philadelphia has also won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. This team is making a big push to win the Metropolitan Division and be a major player in the Eastern Conference playoffs. Claude Giroux is leading the way as he has scored seven goals while adding nine assists over his last nine games. The team is getting good goaltending from their recent acquisition from Detroit in Petr Mrazek who is 2-0 so far with the Flyers with a solid .917 save percentage. Now this team goes back on the road where they have won 6 straight games. Philadelphia has also won 6 straight games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 5 games against Eastern Conference opponents, the Flyers have won all 5 games.

Montreal (23-29-5) has lost seven of their last eight games with their 4-3 loss to Tampa Bay on Saturday. The Canadiens have then lost 9 straight games after a loss by just one goal on their home ice. Montreal has also lost 11 of their last 16 games after a loss at home. This team is officially in the tank after they chose to trade center Tomas Plekanec at the trade deadline. This team is already without defenseman Shea Weber who is out the season along with their star goaltender Carey Price who is still recovering from a concussion. The Canadiens will turn to backup goalie Antti Niemi tonight who has played better as of late but still has an uninspiring 3.76 Goals-Against-Average along with an .892 save percentage for the season. Montreal has lost 24 of their last 32 games against teams with a winning record. The Canadiens have also lost 10 of their last 14 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And they have lost 13 of their last 17 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. Lastly, Montreal has lost their last three meetings with the Flyers after losing to them by a 3-2 score back on February 20th. The Canadiens have lost 16 of their last 21 games when playing with at least double-revenge. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month with the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (55) versus the Montreal Canadiens (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (724) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (723). Virginia Tech (20-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 75-68 upset loss to Louisville as a 4-point favorite. The Hokies have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Virginia Tech stays at home where they are 13-4 with an average winning margin of +14.7 PPG. The Hokies are scoring 84.2 PPG on their home court based on strong 52.2% shooting. Virginia Tech is one of the best offensive teams in the nation. They are 8th in the nation with a 57.5% shooting percentage inside the arc. They also are 8th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.1% which is buoyed by their 39.4% shooting mark from the 3-point line. The Hokies also hold their visitors to just a 41.8% shooting percentage. Virginia Tech is a decisive 27-12-1 ATS in their last 40 games on their home court. The Hokies have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This team will be looking to avenge a 74-52 loss to the Blue Devils back on February 14th. Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games when avenging a double-digit loss on the road.

Duke (24-5) has won five straight games after their 60-44 win over Syracuse on Saturday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Blue Devils held the Orange to just a 31.5% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last sixteen contests. But this team has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing no more than 50 points in their last game. This Duke team held Syracuse to just 16 points in the first-half on Saturday after limiting Louisville to only 25 first-half points in their previous game. I have expected the Blue Devils to improve their play on the defensive end of the court as the season moved on — but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 30 points in the first-half of their last two games. Now this young Duke team goes back on the road after playing their last two games at home where they were double-digit favorites. The Blue Devils have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after playing their last two games at home as the favorite. Lastly, Duke has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 79-28-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big Monday ESPN Game of the Year with the Virginia Tech Hokies (724) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (723). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cleveland Cavaliers (806) minus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs (805). San Antonio (35-25) limps into this game on a four-game losing streak while also losing six of their last seven games after a 122-119 loss at Denver. The absence of their best player on both ends of the floor in Kawhi Leonard is really hurting this team. Leonard has played only nine games this season and his future with the organization is now very much in doubt with the tension that exists regarding his quad injury. The team has medically cleared Leonard to play but he remains resolved in saying that he still does not feel healthy enough to take the court. Without Leonard, this Spurs team lacks a reliable go-to scorer along with a premier defender. This team now looks old and lacking in talent and athleticism. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Their cast of role players tend to play well at home where the team is 22-6 — but they are just 13-19 when on the road. Furthermore, San Antonio has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss as an underdog where they still covered the point spread as an underdog. The Spurs have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. This is a bad matchup for this team as they tend to struggle against good offensive teams. The Cavaliers are shooting 48.4% from the floor this season — and San Antonio has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games against teams with a field goal percentage of at least 46% on the season.

Cleveland (35-23) has won five of their last six games after they rebounded from their ugly loss to Washington on Thursday with a 112-89 win at Memphis on Friday as a 5-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Cleveland has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with one day of rest. The Cavs dispatched of the Grizzlies despite making only 46% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort over their last six games. Their new four of Jordan Clarkson, Larry Nance Jr, Rodney Hood and George Hill combined to score 57 points and take much of the pressure off LeBron James. Cleveland flexed their newfound muscles on defense by limiting Memphis to just a 39.3% shooting percentage. These four new players have completely changed the dynamic of this team on the defensive end of the court. In their four games with the Cavs, the team is 4th in the NBA in Defensive Efficiency. They have held their last five opponents to just a 43.2% shooting percentage as compared to the 47% opponent’s field goal percentage this team has for the season. The fact is that James was going to get whatever group of teammates he had going after the dog days of January and subsided. Cleveland has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games in the second-half of the season. Lastly, the Cavaliers will be motivated by revenge after losing to the Spurs back on January 23rd despite being a 2.5-point road favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 26 games when looking to avenge a loss on the road as the favorite. 25* NBA ABC-TV Game of the Month with the Cleveland Cavaliers (806) minus the points versus the San Antonio Spurs (805). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Mercer Bears (857) and the Wofford Terriers (858). Mercer (17-13) has won seven straight games after their 83-70 win at the Citadel on Friday as a 6.5-point favorite. The Bears shot 49.2% from the field in that game which was actually their worst offensive effort in their last four games. This Mercer team won by playing one of their better games of the season on defense as they held the Citadel to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was tied for the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six contests. The Bears have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after a point spread win. Mercer has also played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning at least four straight games. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 12 of their last 16 road games Over the Total as the underdog or as a pick ‘em. The Bears have also played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Mercer has played 4 of these games Over the Total.

Wofford (20-10) has won three of their last four games with their 75-71 upset win at East Tennessee State on Friday as a 9-point underdog. The Terriers have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. Wofford has also played a decisive 31 of their last 44 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 9 home games after winning three of their last four, the Terriers have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Now this team returns home where they have played 37 of their last 53 games Over the Total — and this includes playing twenty-two of their last thirty home games Over the Total. Wofford has also played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, the Terriers are looking to avenge a 73-65 loss to the Bears back on February 3rd. Wofford has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss on the road. 25* CBB Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Mercer Bears (857) and the Wofford Terriers (858). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (515) and the Sacramento Kings (516). Los Angeles (24-34) snapped their three-game losing streak last night with their 124-102 win over Dallas as a 4-point favorite. The Lakers were buoyed by the return of Lonzo Ball to the court who helped them shoot 51.6% from the field. Los Angeles has scored at least 106 points in seven straight games — and they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. The Lakers also held the Mavericks to just a 40.7% shooting percentage in their best defensive effort in their last four games. But LA has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Lakers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. Now they go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on their home court, Los Angeles has played 4 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 7 of their lsat 9 games Over the Total against Pacific Division rivals.

Sacramento (18-40) has lost two straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 110-107 loss to Oklahoma City on Thursday as an 8-point underdog. The Kings have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, Sacramento has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. The Kings stay at home where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total. Sacramento has also played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 10 home games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points, the Kings have played 9 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, Sacramento has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against fellow Pacific Division rivals. Lastly, in their last 27 opportunities to host the Lakers, the Kings have played 19 of these games Over the Total. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Lakers (515) and the Sacramento Kings (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Golden State Warriors (508) minus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (507). Golden State (45-14) has won four of their last five games with their 134-127 win over the Clippers as a 10.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Warriors shot 62.7% from the field in that game — and that hot shooting should carry over tonight as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after making at least 60% of their shots in their last game. Golden State has also covered the point spread in a decisive 37 of their last 62 games after a contest where they scored at least 120 points. The Warriors will be looking to tighten things up on defense tonight after allowing the Clippers to make 50% of their shots in what was their worst defensive performance in their last eight games. Golden State should be very motivated in this game after losing in their two previous meetings to the Thunder this season. After losing in November by 17 points, the Warriors then lost to Oklahoma City by a 125-105 score back on February 6th despite being a 10.5-point favorite in the Oracle Center. Golden State has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a double-digit home favorite. The Warriors ave also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with double-revenge.

Oklahoma City (34-26) has won two straight games — as well as four of their last six games — after their 110-107 win at Sacramento on Thursday. But the Thunder have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, Oklahoma City has failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 32 of their last 46 road games after a win by 3 points or less. And in their last 19 games after winning two of their last three games, the Thunder have failed to cover the point spread 15 times. Furthermore, OKC has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with one day of rest. Moving forward, the Thunder have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against Western Conference opponents. Oklahoma City does not meet expectations in higher scoring games as well as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games with the Total set at 230 or higher. The Warriors average 116.2 PPG — and the Thunder have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 33 road games against teams that score at least 106 PPG. Lastly, Oklahoma City has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 trips to Golden State. 25* NBA Saturday Night ABC-TV Game of the Month on the Golden State Warriors (508) minus the points versus the Oklahoma City Thunder (507). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (613) and the George Mason Patriots (614). UMass (11-17) has lost four games in a row after their 82-78 loss to VCU on Wednesday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Minutemen allowed the Rams to make 54.2% of their shots as their play on the defensive end of the court continues to falter. UMass has allowed their last three opponents to shoot at least 50.8% from the field — and seven of their last nine opponents have made at least 50.8% of their shots. Furthermore, all eight of their last eight opponents have scored at least 82 points. The Minutemen have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Additionally, UMass has played 7 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Minutemen go back on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. And while the Patriots attempt 21 shots from the 3-point line per game, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 21 shots from behind the arc per game.

George Mason (13-15) has won three of their last four games with their 79-76 win at St. Joseph’s on Wednesday as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots have then played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. George Mason has also played 11 of their last 13 home games Over the Total after a win by 3 points or less. Now this team returns home where they have played a decisive 43 of their last 63 games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, George Mason has played 12 of their last 15 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 145 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Patriots have played 16 of these games Over the Total. They will be hosting this Minutemen team that makes 9 shots from the 3-point land per game — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams that average at least 9 made 3-pointers per game. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 154-47 combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (613) and the George Mason Patriots (614). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Drake Bulldogs (548) minus the points versus the Valparaiso Crusaders (547). Drake (10-2) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 89-81 loss at Illinois State as a 3.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs managed to make only 36.8% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. Drake has then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss to a fellow Missouri Valley Conference rival. Now this team returns home where they are 10-2 with an average winning margin of +11.2 PPG. Drake should shoot much better this afternoon as they are making 47.2% of their shots — and they are holding their visitors to just a 42.4% field goal percentage. The Bulldogs are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on their home court. Drake has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em. Drake will be looking to avenge a 77-60 loss to the Crusaders back on January 10th — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with revenge.

Valparaiso (4-12) has lost four of their last six games with their 68-63 upset loss to Northern Iowa on Tuesday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Crusaders committed 28 personal fouls in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games after a game where they committed at least 22 personal fouls. Valparaiso goes back on the road where they are just 4-12 with an average losing margin of -5.3 PPG. They are making only 42.5% of their shots away from home. That has contributed to their 2-6-1 ATS mark in their last 9 games on the road. The Crusaders have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range. And in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, Valparaiso is just 2-5-1 ATS. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year with the Drake Bulldogs (548) minus the points versus the Valparaiso Crusaders (547). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Miami Heat (809) plus the points versus the New Orleans Pelicans (810). One of the things I look for after the NBA All-Star Break are teams with a good track record coming off extended hiatuses. Miami (30-28) has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with at least three days of rest. The Heat need to get back to their winning ways after going into the break losing seven of their last eight games after a 104-103 loss in Philadelphia last Wednesday. They remain 1 1/2 games ahead of Detroit for the 8th and final playoff slot in the Eastern Conference. Miami is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Heat have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after losing two of their last three games. This team has been capable road warriors under head coach Erik Spoelstra due to their sound fundamental basketball with good team principles. They have covered the point spread in 36 of their last 52 games on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 24 of their last 31 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Miami has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. This team will be motivated with revenge after losing to the Pelicans at home by a 109-94 score back on December 23rd. The Heat have covered the point spread in 29 of their last 44 games when avenging a loss at home. They have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with New Orleans.

New Orleans (31-26) saw the All-Star Break come at an inopportune time as they had won three straight games after their 139-117 win over the Lakers last Wednesday. They made 53.5% of their shots in that game which was their best shooting effort in their last nine games. The nine-day break may have stalled their momentum over a scorching stretch on offense where they scored at least 118 points in those three victories in games where they covered the point spread all three times. But the Pelicans have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games when playing with at least three days of rest — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in five of these last six situations. Additionally, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 30 off the last 43 games after a blowout win at home by at least 20 points — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in six of these last seven situations. Furthermore, the Pelicans have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 110 points in three straight games. New Orleans has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. The Pelicans stay in the Crescent City for this contest — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on their home court. Together, these team trends produce our specific 207-74-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. The team is without DeMarcus Cousins for the rest of the season but Anthony Davis has stepped up in his absence by being more aggressive down low without his front court partner. But the Heat play very good defense led by Hassan Whitesode down low who will not let Davis run rampant on them. 25* NBA Underdog of the Month on the Miami Heat (809) plus the points versus the New Orleans Pelicans (810). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (854) minus the points versus the Wofford Terriers (853). East Tennessee State (23-6) has lost two of their last three games after their 84-82 loss to the Citadel despite being an 18.5-point favorite on Tuesday. The Buccaneers should bounce-back with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 11 straight games after an upset loss as a favorite laying at least 6 points. Additionally, East Tennessee State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, this team has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Now the Buccaneers return home where they are 12-2 this season with an average winning margin of +17.0 PPG. East Tennessee State averages a robust 81.1 PPG on 50.2% shooting on their home court while holding their visitors to just a 39.7% shooting percentage. The Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games on their home court. East Tennessee State has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

Wofford (19-10) snapped a two-game winning streak on Tuesday when they lost to UNC-Greensboro on their home court by a 76-66 loss to UNC-Greensboro as a 3-point underdog. The Terriers are not likely to rebound with a strong effort as they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss at home. Furthermore, Wofford has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss. The Terriers have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing a game where they were a home underdog. Wofford goad back on the road where they are 7-7 but getting outscored by -1.8 PPG. They have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-17-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, while Wofford is looking to avenge a 75-62 loss to the Buccaneers back on January 27th, they simply do not match up well with this East Tennessee State team. The Terriers lead the Southern Conference by making 40.4% of their 3-pointers — but the Buccaneers lead the conference in 3-point defense by holding their opponents to just a 31.5% shooting mark. Wofford made only 8 of their 25 shots from behind the arc (32.0%) — and now they will be taking these shots on East Tennessee State’s home court where they hold their opponents to just a 30.3% shooting mark from the 3-point line. The Buccaneers are vulnerable against teams that force turnovers as they are coughing it up in 20.3% of their possessions. But the Terriers are 9th in the Southern Conference by forcing turnovers in just 18.0% of their opponent’s possessions.  25* CBB Southern Conference Game of the Year with the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (854) minus the points versus the Wofford Terriers (853). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee State Tigers (651) and the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (652). Tennessee State (15-12) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their upset 72-59 loss to Eastern Kentucky. The Tigers allowed the Colonels to make 53.3% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last ten contests. They should play much better on defense tonight as they are holding their conference opponents to just 41.6% of their shots this season. Tennessee State also made just 37.5% of their shots in that game — but they may not improve much on that mark when considering that they are making only 40.7% of their shots on the road. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total. Tennessee State has also played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They will be looking to avenge an 87-81 loss to Tennessee Tech back on January 8th — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge for a loss at home to their opponents. 

Tennessee Tech (17-12) has lost four of their last five games with their 75-65 loss at Murray State on Saturday as a 13.5-point underdog. The Golden Eagles have then played 7 straight home games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Tennessee State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Eagles are making only 41.5% of their shots in their last five games which is far below their 44.5% season average. Now they return home where they are holding their opponents to just a 40.6% shooting percentage which is much better than their opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.2% for the season. Tennessee State has played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total on their home court — and this includes playing four straight Unders. The Eagles have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, Tennessee State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. Together, these team trends produce our specific 88-31 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Ohio Valley Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee State Tigers (651) and the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the UT-Arlington Mavericks (596) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (595). UT-Arlington (16-12) has lost two straight games with their 100-79 loss at UL-Lafayette last Saturday as a 9.5-point underdog. This was one of this team’s worst games of the season. They made only 38.1% of their shots which was their worst field goal percentage in their last seven games — and they allowed the Ragin’ Cajuns to shoot 50% from the field which was their worst defensive performance in their last ten contests. The Mavericks should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a loss by at least 20 points. UT-Arlington has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after a point spread defeat. Furthermore, the Mavericks have covered the point spread in 6 straight home games after a loss on the road. UT-Arlington’s previous game was an 84-71 loss on the road at UL-Monroe — but they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last two games. Now this team returns home where they are 11-2 this season with an average winning margin of +9.5 PPG. They are holding their visitors to a low 37.7% shooting percentage. The Mavericks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on their home court. And this team will be motivated to avenge a 74-59 loss to Georgia Southern back on January 27th — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. Led by 6’7 forward Kevin Hervey, UT-Arlington is rebounding a healthy 31.4% of their missed shots which is 4th best in Sun Belt play. This is an area of vulnerability for the Eagles as they rank 10th in the conference by allowing their opponents to pull down 32.1% of their missed shots.

Georgia Southern (17-10) snapped their three-game losing streak on Friday with their 85-80 upset victory over Georgia State as a 2-point underdog. The Eagles have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 ames after a win by 6 points or less. Georgia Southern has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are just 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a point spread win. This team is 9-7 on the road — but they are outscoring their home hosts by just +0.7 PPG. The Eagles are making only 41.5% of their shots away from home. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They are struggling on defense as of late by allowing their last five opponents to make 46.2% of their shots which is far above their 42% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Furthermore, the Eagles are 9th in the Sun Belt by allowing their opponents to make 50.9% of their shots inside the arc. Lastly, Georgia Southern has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 101-27-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year with the UT-Arlington Mavericks (596) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (595). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Air Force Falcons (762) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (761). San Diego State (15-10) enters this game coming off their 95-56 blowout win over UNLV on Saturday as a 4-point favorite. But the Aztecs have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win against a conference rival where they scored at least 80 points. San Diego State did make 11 of their 13 free throw attempts in that game for a sizzling 85.7% rate — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a game where they made at least 78% of their free throw attempts. Getting to the free throw line is perhaps the biggest weakness of this team as they are last in the Mountain West Conference with a free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 26.9%. San Diego State has won two straight games after they defeated Wyoming by an 87-77 margin — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning two straight games by double-digits. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 4-8 with an average losing margin of -3.3 PPG. The Aztecs have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. San Diego State has struggled against this Falcons team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 encounters — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in four of their last five trips to Colorado Springs.

Air Force (10-15) has lost two straight games with their 76-52 loss at Boise State on Saturday. The Falcons played one of their worst games of the season in that contest. They made just 38.5% of their shots in that game — their worst shooting effort in their last four games while allowing the Broncos to make 52.8% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last nine contests. This team has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a loss by at least 20 points in their last game. Additionally, Air Force has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games after a point spread setback. Now after playing these last two games on the road, the Falcons return home where they are making a healthy 47.3% of their shots. Air Force has covered the point spread in 5 straight games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Falcons have also covered the point spread in 7 straight home games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. They do play up to their opponents — while the Aztecs are outscoring their opponents by +9.4 PPG, Air Force has covered the point spread in 6 straight games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG. Their defensive pressure should help keep this game close tonight. The Air Force is 2nd in the Mountain West by forcing turnovers in 19.5% of their opponent’s possessions — and the Aztecs are 7th in the conference by turning the ball over in 17.3% of their possessions. Lastly, the Falcons are looking to avenge an 81-50 loss to San Diego State back on February 3rd — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 99-20-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Underdog of the Year with the Air Force Falcons (762) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (761). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (705) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (706). Georgia (15-11) has won two straight games — both upset victories — with their 72-62 win over Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while this Georgia team has played their last two games Over the Total, they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing two straight games Over the Total. The Volunteers committed a whopping 27 personal fouls in that game on Saturday which helped produce a 38 free throw attempts for the Bulldogs (they made 27 of these shots from the charity stripe). Georgia has then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent committed at least 22 personal fouls — and they have played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent committed at least 27 personal fouls. Now this team goes back on the road where they are making only 41.5% of their shots. The Bulldogs have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have also played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Georgia has also seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall. The Bulldogs will be looking to avenge a 64-57 loss at South Carolina back on January 13th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with revenge.

South Carolina (14-13) snapped their six-game losing streak game after their 84-75 upset victory over Auburn on Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Gamecocks played one of their best defensive games of the season in that contest by holding the Tigers to just a 31.7% shooting percentage. South Carolina is playing tough defense on their home court where they are holding their visitors to just a 41.4% shooting percentage. Yet the Gamecocks are only making 36.2% of their shots over their last five games overall. South Carolina has 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. The Gamecocks have also played 19 of their last 27 home games Under the Total after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. South Carolina stays at home where they are making just 40.5% of their shots. The Gamecocks have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. South Carolina has also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 26 games when they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Gamecocks have played 18 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, in the last 16 games between these two teams in Columbia, the Under is 11-4-1. 25* CBB SEC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (705) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (527) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (528). Indiana (16-12) has won four games in a row with their 84-82 upset win at Iowa on Saturday as an 11-point favorite. The Hoosiers pulled that game out despite allowing the Hawkeyes to make 55.1% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last five games. Improving the play on defense for this team was priority number one for first-year head coach Archie Miller who came over from a Dayton program where he had very competitive NCAA Tournament teams predicated on strong defensive play. This team has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots. Indiana has still held their last five opponents to just a 39.8% shooting percentage. The Hoosiers are also a surprising 3rd in the Big Ten in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Indiana has played 19 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after an upset victory. The Hoosiers have also seen the Under go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Indiana won that game against Iowa because they made 56.1% of their shots which was actually their worst offensive effort in their last three games. Expect the Regression Gods to make an appearance tonight. Not only have the Hoosiers played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where they shot at least 50% of their shots but they have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after shooting at least 47% from the field in three straight contests. Now this team stays on the road where they are making only 44.4% of their shots this season. Indiana has seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games on the road — and the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Additionally, the Hoosiers have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams wit ha winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range, Indiana has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

Nebraska (20-9) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 72-66 loss at Illinois as a 1-point underdog. The Cornhuskers have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Nebraska has also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. Now this team returns home where they are playing very tough defense by holding their opponents to just a 40.9% shooting percentage. These Cornhuskers are also limiting their Big Ten opponents to shooting only 40.9% from the field. Nebraska has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And while the Hoosiers are making 46.0% of their shots this season, the Cornhuskers have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams that are making at least 45% of their shots. Nebraska has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Cornhuskers have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total in Big Ten play. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (527) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (715) and the Kansas Jayhawks (716). Oklahoma (16-10) has lost five straight games after their upset loss at home to Texas on Saturday as a 7-point favorite. The Sooners shot just 30.8% from the field in that game. At times, such a poor shooting effort may be a harbinger of a visit from the Regression Gods. However, this Oklahoma team has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after failing to make more than 33% of their shots in their last game — and this includes four Unders in those last five situations. The team’s struggles on offense start with freshman sensation Trae Young who is in the midst of a terrible shooting slump. He has made only 10 of the 51 shots from 3-point land he has hoisted up during his team’s losing streak. Young tends to force his shot when his teammates are not making their shots — and this problem gets worse when they are playing on the road. Oklahoma is still averaging 87.5 PPG on 47.1% shooting. But the Sooners are scoring over 13 PPG less than their season average over their last five games while making just 43% of their shots over that stretch. Unfortunately for this Oklahoma team, that low shooting mark is just about what they are shooting on the road given their 43.8% shooting percentage. The Sooners have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Oklahoma has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Additionally, the Sooners have played 3 straight Unders after getting upset by at least ten points despite being the favorite in that game. And in their last 9 games after an upset loss to a conference rival, Oklahoma has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Sooners have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

Kansas (21-6) has won three of their last four games with their 77-69 won over West Virginia on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Jayhawks have then played 10 straight games Under the Total after a win on their home court. Additionally, not only has Kansas played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win but they have also seen the Under go 38-16-1 in their last 55 games after a point spread victory. The Jayhawks scored 83 points in their previous game against Iowa State — but they have then played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. Moving forward, Kansas has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow Big 12 opponents. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Jayhawks have played 7 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB Big 12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (715) and the Kansas Jayhawks (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Montana Grizzlies (699) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Idaho Vandals (700). Montana (20-6) looks to bounce-back from a 74-65 loss at Eastern Washington on Thursday as a 4-point favorite that snapped their thirteen game winning streak. The Grizzlies have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. And while this team has failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 39 road games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. This Montana team remains the class of the Big Sky Conference with their 13-1 record: they lead the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while ranking 2nd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are making 48.6% of their shots in conference play while holding their opponents to just a 39.6% shooting percentage. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have allowed only 5 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. Now this team stays on the road where they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games which includes covering the point spread in eight of their last ten games away from home. Additionally, Montana has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Grizzlies have also covered the point spread in 7 straight games against teams with a winning record. Montana matches up well against this Vandals team that averages 21 shots from behind the arc per game as they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 34 games against teams that average at least 21 shots from 3-point land per game.

Idaho (18-7) has won five straight games after their defeated Montana State on Thursday by an 88-78 score. But the Vandals have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, Idaho has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games after a point spread loss. And while the Vandals have failed to cover the point spread in their last two contests, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight contests. Now this team stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 contests. Furthermore, this is not a good matchup for this Idaho team that turns the ball over in 19.8% of their possessions this season — which is 260th in the nation. The Grizzlies rank 24th in the nation (and tops in the Big Sky) by forcing turnovers in 21.1% of their opponent’s possessions — and this will be the first time that the Vandals will be facing the pressure from this Montana team this season. Lastly, in Idaho’s last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage, Idaho has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these contests. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Game of the Year is with the Montana Grizzlies (699) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Idaho Vandals (700). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (4) versus the Anaheim Ducks (3). Minnesota (31-20-5) will be looking to bounce-back from a 5-2 loss at home to Washington on Thursday which snapped a 10-0-3 hot streak on their home ice. The Wild had not lost a game at home during regulation time since back on December 16th. But Minnesota has then rebounded to win 11 of their last 13 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Wild have also won 16 of their last 25 games after a loss in general — and they have won 6 of their last 9 games after a loss at home. Furthermore, Minnesota has won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. And in their last 5 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game, the Wild have won all 5 games. This is a crucial game in the Western Conference playoff race. Minnesota is tied for 8th place and the final slot in the playoff race with 68 points — but they are just 1 point ahead of the Ducks. Goalie Devan Dubnyk admitted after the Capitals loss that he had an off-night by allowing some soft goals. But Dubnyk has been outstanding at home this season where he has a 2.19 Goals-Against-Average with a .930 save percentage as compared to his 3.25 GAA and .901 save percentage when on the road. The Wild are outstanding at home where they are 20-5-5 this season while outscoring their visitors by a full +1.0 Goal-Per-Game. Minnesota has won 20 of their last 28 games on their home ice — and they have won 7 of their last 10 home games against teams without a winning record on the road.

Anaheim (28-20-5) snapped their two-game losing streak on Thursday with their 3-2 win at slumping Chicago. But the Ducks have then lost 9 of their last 12 games after a victory on the road. Anaheim has also lost 8 of their last 9 games after allowing no more than 2 goals in their last contest. And while the Ducks have played four straight Unders, they have then lost 4 of their last 5 games after playing at least four straight Unders. Goalie John Gibson has a 2.57 GAA along with a good .923 save percentage this season. But those numbers worsen to a 2.70 GAA along with a .918 save percentage when playing against a Western Conference opponent. And when Gibson is playing with just one day of rest, he sees his GAA rise to a 2.70 mark while seeing his save percentage drop to a .915 clip. The Ducks have also lost 5 of their last 6 games when playing with one day of rest. Lastly, Anaheim has lost 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams after losing at home to the Wild by a 3-2 score back on December 8th. 25* NHL Western Conference Game of the Year is with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (4) versus the Anaheim Ducks (3). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (58) versus the St. Louis Blues (57). Dallas (33-20-2) gets back on the ice tonight after they saw their five-game winning streak snapped last Sunday in a 6-0 loss to Vancouver. Expect a spirited effort from Ken Hitchcock’s team as they face his former club after such an embarrassing loss. The Stars have won a decisive 36 of their last 52 games after a loss by at least three goals — and this includes them winning seventeen of their last twenty-two games after a loss at home by at least three goals. Dallas has also won 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Stars have won 8 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 6 goals in their last game. They also have won 27 of their last 36 home games after a loss — and they have won 18 of their last 22 home games after a loss by at least two goals. They turn to Ben Bishop between the pipes tonight who has been much better at home this season where he has a 2.18 Goals-Against-Average along with a .929 save percentage as compared to his 3.02 GAA along with a .899 save percentage. Dallas has won 20 of their last 29 games on their home ice — and this includes winning 10 of their last 12 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

St. Louis (34-21-4) has lost two straight games after their 4-3 loss at Nashville on Tuesday. Now the Blues are looking to avenge a 4-2 loss to this Stars team back on December 29th — but they have then lost 8 of their last 10 games when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. This St. Louis team does not match-up well with the Stars when playing in Dallas. While the Blues average 33.3 shots per game while allowing just 30.3 shots per game, the Stars have won 13 of their last 15 home games against teams who outshoot their opponents by at least 3 shots per game. Bishop has a .918 save percentage this season — and St. Louis has lost 15 of their last 25 games against goaltenders with a save percentage of .915 or better. They counter with Jake Allen who is struggling in 2018. He endured a 4.93 Goals-Against Average along with an .871 save percentage in January and has an improved but still subpar 2.76 GAA along with a .901 save percentage so far this month. Lastly, the Blues have lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. 25* NHL Central Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (58) versus the St. Louis Blues (57). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the IUPUI Jaguars (817) and the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (818). Milwaukee (14-14) has won two of their last three games — as well as five of their last seven contests — after their 74-73 upset win at Wright State as a 7-point favorite. The Panthers made 59.2% of their shots which was the best offensive effort in their last 27 games going all the way back to their first game of the season. The Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance with this team tonight — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% of their shots in their last game. Additionally, the Panthers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Milwaukee’s improved play has much to do with their improved play on the defensive end of the court. They have held their last five opponents to just a 40.8% field goal percentage.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Columbia Lions (812) plus the points versus the Pennsylvania Quakers (811). Columbia (6-15) has lost two straight games after their 91-88 loss at Brown last Saturday. But these Lions typically respond well to adversity as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Columbia has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 gamers after a loss to a fellow Ivy League team. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after losing two of their last three games. Now this team returns home where they are 5-3 while outscoring their visitors but 9.5 PPG. The Lions leads the Ivy League in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring a healthy 79.9 PPG on their home court while limiting their visitors to just a 41.7% shooting percentage. Columbia is 2nd in the Ivy by making 39.2% of their 3-point shots — and that number rises to a 40.3% clip on their home court. The Lions should enjoy a significant advantage on the boards tonight as they lead the Ivy League by pulling down 30.8% of their missed shots — and the Quakers are 5th in the league by allowing their conference opponents to rebound 25.7% of their missed shots. In the first meeting between these two teams, Columbia rebounded 32.4% of their missed shots — but they shot just 39.4% from the field while making only 6 of their 25 shots from downtown (25%) in a 77-71 loss at Penn. The Lions will be playing with revenge on their minds in this one — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Penn (17-7) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 76-67 loss at Harvard as a 1.5-point underdog. But the Quakers have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss on the road. And while this will be Penn’s fourth straight game on the road, they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after playing two straight games on the road. The Quakers are 8-4 on the road this year they are only outscoring these opponents by +1.2 PPG. Penn has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. The Quakers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow Ivy League opponents. And in their last 5 trips to Columbia, Penn is just 0-4-1 ATS. 25* CBB Ivy League Underdog of the Year with the Columbia Lions (812) plus the points versus the Pennsylvania Quakers (811). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (607) and the Portland State Vikings (608). Weber State (17-7) has won seven straight games with their 71-66 win over Northern Colorado on Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Wildcats made just 43.5% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last five contests. This Weber State team made up for their poor shooting performance by holding the Bears to just a 34.2% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance in their last ten contests. The Wildcats have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Weber State has played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a win by 6 points or less. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total. They also have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. And in their last 9 road games as an underdog of 6 points or less, the Wildcats have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Weber State has covered the point spread in six of their last seven games — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. And in the last 9 road games against teams with a winning record after 15 games into the season, the Wildcats have played all 9 games Over the Total.

Portland State (15-10) has won two of their last three games with their 80-77 win at Montana State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. The Pilots have then seen the Over go 12-3-1 in their last 16 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after a point spread victory. And while Portland has covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 8 of the last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three contests. Now this team returns home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total. The Over is also a decisive 15-4-2 in their last 21 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, in the last 4 meetings between these two teams, the Over is 3-0-1. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (607) and the Portland State Vikings (608). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Minnesota Timberwolves (504) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (503). Los Angeles (23-33) was completely flat last night in their 139-117 loss in New Orleans as a 5.5-point underdog. We had a big play on the Lakers last night so that result was very disappointing — and head coach Luke Walton along with Isaiah Thomas getting ejected early in that game certainly did not help matters. This Los Angeles team now falls into a strong “play-against” situation for themselves after that awful effort. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 130 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Lakers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, LA committed 20 turnovers last night while only forcing the Pelicans to commit 11 turnovers — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after committing at least 7 more turnovers than their opponents. Moving forward, the Lakers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when playing without a day of rest. LA stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in the Lakers’ last 11 road games as an underdog in the 6.5 to 12 point range, they have failed to cover the point spread 7 times.

Minnesota (35-25) has lost three of their last four games with their 126-108 loss to Houston as a 3-point underdog on Tuesday in what the second most points they have allowed all season. The Timberwolves have bounced-back to go 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a double-digit loss at home. And while Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Now this team stays at home where they are 23-6 so far this season which amounts to the second most wins at home for any team in the NBA. They have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on their home court. The Timberwolves have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 9 home games with the Total set at 220 or higher, Minnesota has covered the point spread 7 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break TNT Game of the Year with the Minnesota Timberwolves (504) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (503). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Lakers (717) plus the points versus the New Orleans Pelicans (718). Los Angeles (23-32) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 130-123 loss in Dallas as a 3.5-point underdog. The Lakers were hot from the field as they made 54.8% of their shots from the field but they saw the Mavericks make 53.9% of their shots in what was their worst defensive effort in their last five games. This team is playing better basketball as of late — and Isaiah Thomas is a nice addition for them if he warms to the role of offering them instant offense coming off the bench. Thomas did just that in his first game with the team on Saturday as he scored 22 points while adding 6 assists in 31 minutes of play. Expect head coach Luke Walton to use that loss to the Mavericks as an opportunity to preach the need to play harder on the defensive end of the court. The Lakers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. LA has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 115 points in their last contest. Now this team stays on the road where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games away from home with the Total set at 220 or higher. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Lakers have covered the point spread 4 times.

New Orleans (30-26) has won two straight games with their 118-103 upset win at Detroit on Saturday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Pelicans played one of their best defensive games of the season by holding the Pistons to just a 36.8% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last forty-six games. But New Orleans has then failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after an upset victory by at least 15 points. The Pelicans have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit win. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. New Orleans has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, the Total is set in the sky-high 230.5 range — and the Pelicans have failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games when the Total was set at 230 or higher. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Game of the Year with the Los Angeles Lakers (717) plus the points versus the New Orleans Pelicans (718). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (719) and the Memphis Grizzlies (720). Oklahoma City (32-260 has lost two of their last three games — as well as six of their last eight contests — with their 120-112 upset loss to Cleveland last night as 3-point favorites. The Thunder saw the new-look Cavs’ made 51.1% of their shots which tied for their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Oklahoma City has then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a favorite. The Thunder have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team now goes back on the road where the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Oklahoma City has also played 4 of the last games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall. Additionally, the Thunder have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.

Memphis (18-37) has lost six straight games with their 110-92 loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday as a 4-point underdog. The Grizzlies have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Memphis has also played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, not only have the Grizzlies played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after losing three straight games but they have also played 7 straight games on their home court Under the Total after losing at least four straight games. This team is undermanned even more than usual right now given the season-ending injury to Michael Conley. Wayne Seldon is out for tonight with JaMychal Green and Chandler Parsons both being questionable — and these absences are having more of an impact for this team on the offensive end of the floor. Memphis made just 39% of their shots against the Thunder on Sunday. Now this team returns home where they have played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total. The Grizzlies have also played 9 of their last 14 home games Under the Total as the underdog. Lastly, they will be looking to avenge that loss to the Thunder on Sunday — and not only have they played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road but they have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (719) and the Memphis Grizzlies (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (716) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (715). West Virginia (18-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 88-85 upset loss to Oklahoma State as a 12.5-point favorite. That loss should ensure that Bob Huggins had the full attention of his team in practice since. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after an upset loss as a home favorite laying at least 12 points. West Virginia has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. This team stays at home where they remain 11-3 with an average winning margin of +21.2 PPG. The Mountaineers are holding their visitors to scoring just 63.2 PPG on low 38.8% shooting. West Virginia has covered the point spread in 6 of the last 8 home games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 6 points. The Mountaineers are also 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, this West Virginia team will be motivated with revenge on their minds after losing to these Horned Frogs by an 82-73 score. Huggins’ teams at West Virginia have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points.

TCU (17-8) snapped their two-game losing streak on Saturday with their 87-71 win over Texas as a 6.5-point favorite. The Horned Frogs shot 54.8% from the field in what was their best shooting effort in their last four games. But TCU has then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up win. The Horned Frogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games after a point spread victory. And in their last 8 games after a win at home against a conference rival, TCU has failed to cover the point spread 7 times. Defense is an issue for this team as they have allowed their last four opponents to shoot 48.0% from the field after seeing the Longhorns make 51.9% of their shots. Now the Horned Frogs go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 6 point range. 25* CBB Monday ESPN2 Game of the Year with the West Virginia Mountaineers (716) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (715). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (705) and the Brooklyn Nets (706). Los Angeles (28-26) saw their three-game winning streaks snapped on Saturday with their 112-98 loss at Philadelphia as a 5-point favorite. The Clippers allowed the 76ers to make 47.8% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Los Angeles has played 6 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Clippers have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 4 straight games Under the Total when on the road. They also have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. Furthermore, while the Clippers have played seven straight games Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games Under the Total. And in their last 25 games in the month of February, LA has played 17 of these games Under the Total.

Brooklyn (19-38) has lost five straight games — as well as nine of their last ten contests — with their 138-128 loss in double-overtime on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Nets shot just 37.7% from the field in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their last eight games. This team really misses Rondae Hollis-Jefferson who has been declared out the season with a groin injury. Brooklyn will also likely be without Caris LeVert who has been downgraded to out with a knee injury — and this leaves the team very thin on the offensive end of the court. As it is, the Nets have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Brooklyn has also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Nets have scored at least 106 points in three straight games, they have then played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Now this team stays at home where they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total. Brooklyn has also played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 4 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (705) and the Brooklyn Nets (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (804) minus the points versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (803). Cleveland (32-22) will be debuting their new revamped team in this game after they traded away six players at the trade deadline this week. Usually, teams use all of training camp to incorporate a batch of new players while deciding on how they best fit with the existing group — but head coach Tyron Lue has to accomplish this on the fly. Even if LeBron James tries to take this team on his shoulders, it is too much to ask that their new unit can thrive immediately. While the Cavaliers got younger — and definitely got better on defense — they did not add a superstar. Yes, the team is better now — but that speaks to just how and the roster had become with aging stars of the past. This group is down to just two “superstars” — and Kevin Love is still on the shelf with his hand injury. Out of the new players, only George Hill will be inserted immediately into the starting lineup. While Hill is a quality veteran, he is the same point guard that the Pacers considered too much of a liability on offense to keep him around to compete against this same Cavaliers team. As it is, James has shown that he just does not care too much about these regular season games. The Cavs have won two straight games after their 123-107 win at Atlanta on Friday as a 2-point favorite. But Cleveland has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a straight-up win. Furthermore, Cleveland has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. And in their last 14 games after winning two of their last three contests, the Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of those games. Now this team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games. Cleveland has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall, the Cavs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games. Additionally, Cleveland has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in their last 5 games against the Celtics, the Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

Boston (40-17) has lost two of their last three games with their 97-91 loss to Indiana despite being a 4-point favorite on Friday. The Celtics made just 38.2% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort in their last fourteen games. But Boston is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after a straight-up loss. The Celtics are also 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a points spread loss. Additionally, Boston has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after an upset loss as a favorite. And in their last 8 games after losing two of their last three games, the Celtics have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these games. Moving forward, Boston has covered then point spread in 9 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. They have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the Cavaliers are looking to avenge a 102-88 loss to the Celtics back on January 3rd — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 20 games when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 10 points. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Television Game of the Year with the Boston Celtics (804) minus the points versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (803). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (680). St. Mary’s (24-2) continues to roll as they enter this game coming off an 83-62 win at Loyola-Marymount on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. This is an excellent offensive basketball team — but they are not likely to come close to replicating their 64% shooting mark that they enjoyed against the Lions which was their best offensive performance in their last seven games. St. Mary’s has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field. And while the Gaels have made at least 50.8% of their shots in three straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in three straight games. St. Mary’s has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Under is also a decisive 64-29-2 in the Gaels’ last 95 games after a straight-up win. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total. St. Mary’s has also played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Gaels have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 16 games in conference play, the Under is 12-3-1.

Gonzaga (22-4) has won six straight games with their 71-61 win at Pacific on Thursday as a 13-point favorite. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Gonzaga has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team stays on the road where they are holding their home hosts to just a 41.6% shooting mark after limiting the Tigers on Thursday to a low 35.7% shooting mark. The Bulldogs have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Gonzaga has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record Under the Total — and this includes playing four straight Unders against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Zags have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against fellow West Coast Conference opponents. They first meeting meeting between these two teams resulted in a 74-71 upset win for St. Mary’s back on January 18th. The final score finished below the 149 point total for that contest which was the 12th Under between these two teams in their last 14 meetings. Lastly, the Bulldogs have played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss to their opponents. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Gonzaga Bulldogs (679) and the St. Mary’s Gaels (680). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (507) and the Chicago Bulls (508). Washington (31-24) has lost two straight games with their 110-104 loss to Boston on Thursday as a 2-point underdog. The Wizards shot just 40% from the field in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their last five contests. Washington has made at lest 51.8% of their shots in four of the seven games they have played since the injury to John Wall. The Over is 9-1-1 in the Wizards’ last 11 games after a straight-up loss. Washington has also played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Wizards have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. And in their last 8 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, Washington has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

Chicago (19-35) snapped a seven-game losing streak last night in their 114-113 upset win over Minnesota and their former teammate Jimmy Butler as a 7.5-point underdog. The Bulls’ five starters combined to play 169:44 minutes last night — and they have then seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after playing a game the day before where their five starters combined to play at least 160 minutes. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. And while that was the Bulls’ first point spread victory in their last eight games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. This team stays at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 11 home games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6 points or less. Chicago will be looking to avenge a 114-110 win over the Wizards back on December 31st — and they have played 11 of their last 16 Over the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up at least 110 points. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (507) and the Chicago Bulls (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Clippers (803) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (804). Los Angeles (27-25) has won two straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 104-101 win over Dallas on Monday as a 6-point favorite. The Clippers are then 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games after a straight-up win. Los Angeles is also an impressive 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing with three days of rest. These days off has offered head coach Doc Rivers the opportunity to fully integrate the two new players they acquired in their blockbuster trade with this Pistons team. I really like the additions that the Clippers made in Avery Bradley in Tobias Harris as they are both productive players on both ends of the court. They continue to fit Rivers’ evolving vision of his team which is one that is sound fundamentally with two cornerstones in rising superstar Lou Williams at guard and big man DeAndre Jordan down low. This entire team should be motivated with this being their first opportunity to defeat their former teammate Blake Griffin. The Clippers have been very reliable on the road where they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on the road. Los Angeles has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Clippers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents. LA will be looking to avenge a 95-87 loss at home to Detroit as an 8-point favorite back on October 28th. The Clippers have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite — and this includes covering the point spread in five of their last six games in those situations when they were favored by at least 7 points.

Detroit (27-26) has won five games in a row since acquiring Griffin after their 115-106 win over Brooklyn on Wednesday as a 10-point favorite. But this Pistons team has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Detroit has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Pistons have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. Additionally, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games with at two straight wins. While the addition of Griffin gives this team an interesting and formidable frontline with Andre Drummond, point guard and outside shooting remains big question marks for this team — especially with Reggie Jackson still out with his ankle injury. Now this team stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games. The Pistons have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 31 of their last 44 games when priced in the +/- 3-point range. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Friday ESPN Game of the Year with the Los Angeles Clippers (803) plus the points versus the Detroit Pistons (804). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Capitals (4) versus the Columbus Blue Jackets (3). Columbus (27-22-0) has lost four straight games with their 3-2 loss to this Capitals team on Tuesday in the first of this home-and-home series between these two Metropolitan teams. The Blue Jackets have lost 7 of their last 8 games after a loss by just one goal. Columbus has also lost 4 straight games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, the Blue Jackets have lost 8 of their last 10 games in the second half of back-to-back games. And while the Blue Jackets will be playing with revenge on their minds in this game, they simply struggle to match up with Washington as they have lost 5 straight of their meetings with the Capitals. Tellingly, Columbus has lost 6 straight games when playing with at least double-revenge against their opponents. They also have lost their last 5 trips to Washington to face the Capitals. They will turn to goalie Sergei Bobrovsky again tonight — but the Russian is struggling on the road this season. While Bobrovsky has a nice 2.15 Goals-Against-Average along with a .930 save percentage at home, he sees these numbers rise to a 2.78 GAA along with a .910 save percentage when on the road. The Blue Jackets have lost 9 of their last 12 games on the road. They also have lost 5 straight games against teams with a winning record.

Washington (31-17-4) snapped their two-game losing streak with their win over the Blue Jackets on Tuesday. That victory was in dramatic fashion with Nicklas Backstrom scoring the game-winner with just 42.9 seconds left in the 3rd period. The Capitals have then won 6 straight games in the back half of a home-and-home series. Additionally, Washington has won 11 of their last 16 games after a victory — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. The Blue Jackets will likely regret trying to make up ground with the Caps on Tuesday as they now find themselves 9 points behind the first place Washington team. Now they have to defeat the Capitals’ goalie Braden Holtby who is very tough to beat on home ice. Holtby owns a 16-5-1 record at home this season with a 2.17 GAA along with a sizzling .930 save percentage as compared to his subpar 3.60 GAA and .894 save percentage when on the road. The Capitals have won 42 of their last 57 home games in the Holtby and Alex Ovechkin era — and they have also won 67 of their last 95 home games against teams with a losing record at home. Evgeny Kuznentsov is probably the team’s best player now — but this remains a very talented team that always thrives during the regular season (the playoffs remains a different challenge — but they have lost to the eventual Stanley Cup Champions the last two seasons). I’m surprised to see them open just below our important -150 money-line — and they have been bet down from that to the -130 range. With such great value, lets attack! 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Washington Capitals (4) versus the Columbus Blue Jackets (3). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (574) minus the points versus the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (573). Cal-State Fullerton (12-9) has lost four of their last five games after their 63-58 loss to UC-Irvine on Saturday as a pick ‘em. The Titans shot just 32.8% from the field which was their worst shooting effort in their last 20 games. That was a surprisingly poor performance for this Cal-State Fullerton team that still leads the Big West with an effective field goal percentage of 53.1% this season. The Titans have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. This team should shoot much better tonight as they are making 47.7% of their shots in conference play. Cal-State Fullerton is 6-3 at home this season with an average winning margin of +9.8 PPG. They also play very good defense as they are holding their visitors to scoring just 63.2 PPG on low 38.2% shooting. The defense did their job on Saturday as they held the Anteaters to just a 38.6% shooting percentage in their losing effort. The Titans have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on their home court. Cal-State Fullerton has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Besides leading the Big West with their effective field goal percentage combining their 2-point and 3-point shooting, this Titans team also leads the nation with a Free Throw Attempt to Field Goal Attempt ratio of 49.5% — and they are hitting a healthy 72.0% of these shots from the charity stripe this season. This is an area where Cal-State Fullerton should seize a big advantage as Cal-Poly SLO is 265th in the nation with an opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio of 37.7%. The Mustangs are also last in Big West with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.0%.

Cal-Poly SLO (8-15) had been on a five-game losing streak — but they enter this game having won two straight games with their 78-64 upset win over Hawai’i on Saturday as a 4-point underdog. Frankly, the Mustangs played one of their best games of the season in that contest. They made 48.1% of their shots which was their best shooting effort in their last 15 games. Cal-Poly SLO also held the Warriors to just a 39.3% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance in their last nine contests. I expect a big letdown. Not only have the Mustangs failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after a point spread victory. And while that game finished Over the Total that was in the 137.5 point range (which secured our big play with that Over), Cal-Poly SLO has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, the Mustangs have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 2-11 with an average losing margin of -10.7 PPG. Scoring is an issue for this team away from home as they are averaging just 61.5 PPG on low 38.6% shooting. Cal-Poly SLO is just 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on theory. Furthermore, they are a mere 7-21-3 ATS in their last 31 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. This team may be undermanned in this contest with junior Marcellus Garrick questionable with an illness. Lastly, this Mustangs team is playing with revenge on their minds from a 101-97 loss at home back on January 6th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 36 games when looking to avenge a loss to their opponents. 25* CBB Big West Conference Game of the Year with the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (574) minus the points versus the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (573). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (501) and the Orlando Magic (502). Atlanta (17-37) has won two games in a row with their 108-82 win over Memphis on Tuesday as a 3-point favorite. The Hawks are playing better defense as of late as they held the Grizzlies to just a 43% shooting percentage from the field after holding the Knicks to a 43.6% from the field in their last game. Atlanta also made 50.6% of their shots in that game which appears to be an outlier as that was their best offensive effort in their last eleven contests. The Hawks have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Atlanta has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total against fellow Southeast Division rivals. The Hawks have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, Atlanta has played 20 of these games Under the Total.

Orlando (17-36) has won three of their last four games after registering their second-straight upset victory on Tuesday with their 116-98 win over Cleveland despite being a 6.5-point underdog. The Magic made 52.9% of their shots which was their best offensive effort in their last seventeen games. Orlando is also playing better defense as they held the Cavaliers to just a 42.9% shooting mark after limiting the Heat to just a 43% shooting mark despite that game being played in Miami in their previous game. The Magic have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Orlando has also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And in their last 12 games after winning two of their last three games, the Magic have played 10 of these games Under the Total. Now this team stays at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Orlando has also played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Magic will be motivated to avenge a 117-110 loss in Atlanta back on December 9th — and they have played 14 of their 20 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge. Lastly, in the last 56 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 39 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Southeast Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Hawks (501) and the Orlando Magic (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (723) and the Fordham Rams (724). George Mason (10-13) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-75 upset win at Richmond as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots held the Spiders to just a 38% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort of the season. George Mason has still allowed their last five opponents to make 46.9% of their shots even with that strong effort — so the Regression Gods are likely to make an appearance tonight. The Patriots have allowed at least 75 points in eight straight games — and they have then played 8 straight games Over thew Total after allowing at least 75 points in two  straight games. Additionally, George Mason has played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Furthermore, George Mason has played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 8 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Patriots gave played 7 of these games Over the Total.

Fordham (7-15) has lost seven of their last eight games with their 73-50 loss at St. Louis on Saturday. The Rams made only 34% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort in their last four games. Fordham has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total a loss — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Additionally, not only have the Rams played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points but they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points against a conference opponent. And in their last 16 games after just a point spread loss, the Over is 12-3-1 for Fordham. Now the Rams return home where they have played 12 of their last 19 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 142-4301 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Atlantic-10 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the George Mason Patriots (723) and the Fordham Rams (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (511) and the Philadelphia 76ers (512). Washington (31-22) is on fire since losing John Wall for six to eight weeks with a knee injury. They have won five games in a row since losing their point guard after their 111-102 win at Indiana last night. The Wizards are making 51.2% of their shots over this five-game winning streak while making at least 51.8% of their shots in four of those five games. The difference clearly seems to be a renewed commitment to passing the basketball. Washington is assisting on a whopping 73.9% of the field goals since the Wall injury. They have produced at least 27 assists in each of their last five games which is a franchise record. This is the Wizards third game in a row on the road — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games on the road. Washington has also played 28 of their last 39 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, the Wizards have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 straight road games Over the Total against a team with a winning record at home.

Philadelphia (25-25) has lost four of their last five games with their 100-92 loss at Indiana on Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The 76ers have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing four of their last five games. Philadelphia has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And while that game finished Under the 210 Total in that contest, they have then played 38 of their last 63 games Over the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. The Wizards have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against an opponent that allowed at least 100 points in their last game. Moving forward, the 76ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Philadelphia has played 13 of these games Over the Total. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 122-52 combined angle for this situations. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Tuesday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (511) and the Philadelphia 76ers (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, February 4th, we will be playing the New England Patriots (102) minus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (101) in the Super Bowl. Everything for Philadelphia (15-3) went right after falling behind in the NFC Championship Game after they fell behind by a 7-0 score as they then rattled off 38 unanswered points to upset the Vikings by a 38-7 score. Their momentum was triggered by a 50-yard interception return for a touchdown that tied the score at 7-7 and settled down Nick Foles and the Eagles offense while also igniting the crowd. We had Minnesota in that game — and, frankly, I am largely dismissing that result as the outcome of two outlier performances. The Vikings probably played their worst game of the season as they admitted in retrospect that they were emotionally spent after their dramatic last-second win over the Saints the previous week. Philadelphia also played one of their best games of the season — and I am expecting a big letdown for this team after such a dominant performance. As it is, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. But Philadelphia has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after an upset win by at least three touchdowns as an underdog. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit win as a home underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games after an upset win by at least three touchdowns as a home dog. Remember, this Eagles team squeaked by Atlanta in their previous playoff game due in large measure to the ineffective Falcons Red Zone offense this season. Despite how good Foles’ playoff numbers are (that we will hear about for two weeks), the Eagles scored only 15 points against Atlanta despite being at home. Over their last three games, Philly is scoring just 17.7 PPG while averaging a mere 336.3 total YPG. In Foles’ first four games since taking over for Carson Wentz, he was Checkdown Charlie who completed just 2 of his 15 passes of more than 20 yards in the air for a miserable 13.8 Passer Rating. Foles exploded against Minnesota by completing 4 of 6 passes of 20 or more yards in the air for 172 yards and two TD passes — but I have to credit some of that to the Vikings’ simply being shellshocked during what turned out to be a 38-0 run. Foles looked awful in his final two regular season games. I expect the true Nick Foles is somewhere in the middle of these performances — and that is not in Tom Brady’s dimension. The Philadelphia defense also deserves mention as they have flexed their muscles by allowing just 33 combined points over their last four games while never allowing more than 10 points in any of those games. But all those games were at home. In their three previous games on the road (before this recent stretch), the Eagles allowed 88 combined points at Seattle, at the Los Angeles Rams and at the New York Giants (and no doubt the Patriots will study what Eli Manning did in shredding the Philly defense for 795 passing yards in two games this season). Philadelphia allowed 23.5 PPG on the road this season with six of their eight opponents scoring at least 23 points — their seasonal stats are skewed by allowing just 9 points against that Cowboys team without both Ezekiel Elliott and left tackle Tyron Smith. Playing on turf might also be an issue for this team after playing on field turf just three times this season. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games on the faster field turf. Throw-in their lack of recent playoff experience playing away from home and the lack of Super Bowl experience for most of the players and coaches on the staff and this is all new territory for this team. With the back of all the members of this organization knowing that they reached the Super Bowl without QB Carson Wentz, left tackle Jason Peters and linebacker Jordan Hicks, this team has the profile of a group that may turn out to just be happy to be in the Super Bowl.

New England (15-3) is clearly focused on winning a second straight Super Bowl while adding credentials to the mark in the history books. Remember that this team began the year with talk of them going through the season undefeated. While that did not happen, they have now won five straight games with their 24-20 win over Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after winning at least five straight games. The Patriots have also covered the point spread in ten of their last twelve games — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The Eagles were able to seize momentum against the Vikings not only with that defensive touchdown but also with a +3 net turnover margin. It is highly unlikely that the Patriots will be as giving as Minnesota was. New England has only turned the ball over three times in their last five games — and never more than one time during those five games. In fact, the Patriots only had 13 turnovers all season with just four of those games seeing them turn the ball over more than once and never more than twice in a game. New England has turned the ball over twice in only two games over their last twelve contests. This is a team that emphasizes protecting the football. They also have a significantly better Special Teams than the Eagles (at least according to Football Outsiders than ranks the Patriots as 2nd in the NFL while rating the Philly Special Teams unit 21st in the league). Additionally, let me state something that will appear obvious at first glance but perhaps a subtler reason to like New England in this game upon deeper reflection: the key to this game for the Eagles is to prevent the Patriots from getting off to a fast start. New England has played ten playoffs games over the last four postseasons where they are 9-1 straight-up with two Super Bowl trophies and a third pending. The Patriots have gone into halftime with a lead in five of those games — and they have gone on to win all five of those games by an average winning margin of +20.6 PPG with the closest final score being their 27-20 win over Kansas City in the Divisional round in January 2016 where they went on to lose at Denver. In those remaining five games where they either trailed or were tied at halftime, they still on to win four of those games. Three of those wins were by 4 points with last year’s Super Bowl being that 34-26 overtime win over the Falcons. So perhaps Eagles bettors will take comfort in their potential halftime lead given those numbers? Yeah, maybe — as if those three 4-point wins represents overwhelming evidence versus a point spread that looks destined to be in the -4.5 to -5.5 point range (as of this writing). But I took note of the fact that the Patriots have not gone to halftime without a lead in two straight playoff games since this latest Super Bowl run started in the 2014-15 season. After trailing Jacksonville last week at the half by a 14-10 score and the memory of their near-disastrous 21-3 halftime deficit to the Falcons in last year’s Super Bowl, I think that Bill Belichick will place a premium on getting off to a good start. And with their vast playoff experience and the fact that almost everything went right for the Eagles in the first-half last week when they went to the lockers with a 24-7 lead, why would one not expect New England to once again avoid trailing (or being tied) at halftime in two straight playoff games? Consistency defines Belichick and Tom Brady. They have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. They have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the playoffs. And in their last 36 games as the favorite, the Patriots have then covered the point spread in 27 of these games. Perhaps the Eagles pull off their third straight upset victory? Perhaps the Patriots will win yet another Super Bowl by 4 points or less like they have done in four of their five Super Bowl Championships in the Belichick-Brady era? Perhaps … but it seems like almost everything has to go right for the Eagles to be in that position. New England has shown that even if everything does not go right for them, they still enter into coin-flip situations regarding if they will cover the point spread. And if the breaks go mostly their way, the Patriots cover the point spread easily. That is a great betting scenario when our worst case scenario still puts us in solid shape. 25* NFL Game of the Year with the New England Patriots (102) minus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (101) in the Super Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, February 4th, we will be playing Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles (101) and the New England Patriots (102). New England (15-3) reached the Super Bowl with their 24-20 win over Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots offense was slowed down a bit from both Rob Gronkowski’s concussion as well as a questionable fumble call on running back Deion Lewis for what was looking like a touchdown drive midway through the second-half. That game finished below the 46-point total for that game — but New England has still played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total in the playoffs. The Patriots have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as the number one seed in the playoffs. This offense has been remarkably consistent this season. For the year, they are scoring 28.7 PPG while averaging 393.3 total YPG. In their eight games away from this season, New England is scoring 27.9 PPG while averaging 398.9 total YPG. In their last three contests, the Pats are scoring 28.3 PPG while averaging 370.7 total YPG. And in their twelve games played on field turf this year, New England is scoring 28.4 PPG while generating 392.2 total YPG. In fact, the Patriots have played a decisive 67 of their last 100 games Over the Total when playing on field turf which includes not only their home games but also those away games on turf which is the surface for this Super Bowl in Minnesota. Gronkowski should be able to play in this game with two weeks to get through the concussion protocol (and how high is his normal baseline test that he has to reach anyways?). At full strength, this New England offense is simply loaded with diverse weapons this season. Tom Brady has much more options at his disposal than the one last year that scored 34 points in overtime in their win over the Falcons.

Philadelphia (15-3) generated 456 yards of offense against an outstanding Vikings defense last week in their 38-7 win over Minnesota to win the NFC Championship Game. Doug Pederson and the offensive coaching staff for the Eagles have done a masterful job in using the bye week in the first-round of the playoffs to install an offense tailored to the skill set of QB Nick Foles. He completed 26 of 33 passes last week against the Vikings for 352 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions. In the playoffs, Foles has completed 49 of his 63 passes for 602 yards. Philadelphia has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after passing for at least 300 yards in their last contest. On the defensive side of the football, the Under deserves consideration since the Eagles have allowed just 33 combined points over their last four games while never allowing more than 10 points in any of those games. But all those games were at home. In their three previous games on the road (before this recent stretch), the Eagles allowed 88 combined points at Seattle, at the Los Angeles Rams and at the New York Giants (and no doubt the Patriots will study what Eli Manning did in shredding the Philly defense for 795 passing yards in two games this season). Philadelphia allowed 23.5 PPG on the road this season with six of their eight opponents scoring at least 23 points — their seasonal stats are skewed by allowing just 9 points against that Cowboys team without both Ezekiel Elliott and left tackle Tyron Smith. As it is, the Eagles have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight games. Playing on turf is also an issue since Philly played most of their games on grass which tends to slow down speedy offensive players. The Eagles have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing on field turf. Furthermore, their win over the Vikings finished above the 39 point total for that game — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Lastly, the pressure of the Super Bowl and needing to defeat Brady and his uncanny ability to generate 4th quarter comebacks will likely compel Doug Pederson to be aggressive with his play-calling and decisions — and that should create more scoring opportunities for both teams (one way or another). 25* NFL Super Bowl *A-List* O/U Special with Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles (101) and the New England Patriots (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

SUPER BOWL PROPOSITIONS BETTING CARD. Please note that this Prop Bets Report is only a bonus; the Guarantee policy applies only to the Super Bowl Over part of this Report. Thanks, Frank.

Our Best Bet Wager is on the Tom Brady completing more passes than Nick Foles with the line at -3 passes — priced at -170 at Bovada. To be clear, Brady has to complete four more passes than Foles to win this bet (with Brady completing three more passes than Foles pushing the bet). Philadelphia is more anxious to run the football to control the line of scrimmage while burning time off the clock to keep the Patriots offense off the field. New England will pass a bit more for two reasons in addition to that. First, they are going to run more plays on offense because it is highly likely they will operate their no-huddle offense to attempt to thwart the Eagles ability to rotate players on the defensive line. Second, Jim Schwartz’s defense will likely protect the deeper ball which will leave a soft underbelly for 5 to 7 yard passing plays — and Brady has shown a proclivity to be very happy to nickel-and-dime his way down the field with these short passes. I much prefer a Brady-Completions Bet to a Brady-Passing Yards Bet for this reason. Additionally, if the Eagles are winning this game in the second half, they will move to running the ball even more. However, even if the Patriots are winning in the second half, the trust in Brady is so high that they will continue to pass the ball with those short but safe passes.

Our Top Underlay Wager is with the Patriots -0.5 points in the 4th quarter which Bovada prices at -110. We all know how good Tom Brady has been in the 4th quarter in Super Bowls with the memory of New England’s big 4th quarter comeback against Atlanta last year (as well as against Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game two weeks ago). In Brady’s last two Super Bowls, he has completed 29 of 36 passes in the 4th quarter for 320 yards with two TDs, no interceptions and a Quarterback Rating of 129. If the Patriots are trailing again, Brady should make the game close (at the very least). But if New England is winning, I don’t love Nick Foles’ ability to rally his team if he is forced to throw the football. Foles is at his best when operating the Run-Pass Option — and those plays require the ability to take what the defense gives you when the receiver is covered. Foles will feel compelled to throw the football if the Eagles need quick scoring. Foles’ productivity also significantly declines if and when he is under pressure. The Patriots will certainly feel free to apply pressure with blitzes and other schemes if they know Foles is throwing the football.

Our Long Shot Wager is on Zack Ertz to have the most receiving yards in this game which Bovada places at +400. The value is in choosing an Eagles passing target since the Patriots have so many weapons in their passing game with Brady often going to his running backs (in those short safety valve passes which makes our Top Underlay Bet so intriguing). So I consider all the Patriot options for this bet Overlays (with Rob Gronkowski the favorite at +300 and Brandin Cooks tied for second favorite at +400). Ertz is not only one of the best tight ends in the NFL by also Philadelphia’s most reliable pass catcher. Furthermore, the Patriots’ linebackers to struggle in pass coverage — and this is a prime area for the Eagles to exploit. If the Eagles enjoy a second-half lead, Ertz will likely have played a big part. If they are trailing, Ertz will be a key component in their passing game. In the end, have fun with these bets but please keep in mind I still consider the best (and most reliable) two betting options for the Super Bowl to be our Side and Totals plays. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (832) minus the points versus the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix (831). Milwaukee (12-13) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday in a 74-56 upset loss to Illinois-Chicago despite being a 4-point favorite. The Panthers made just 35.1% of their shots in that contest which was their worst shooting effort in their last twenty-two games. Milwaukee also allowed the Flames to make 45.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last four contests. Look for the Panthers to bounce-back with an outstanding effort as they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 26 games after a double-digit loss at home. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a double-digit loss to a conference opponent. And in their last 32 home games after failing to score at least 60 points, the Panthers have covered the point spread 25 times. More passing to set up better shots should reap dividends for this team tonight. They had only 9 assists against Illinois-Chicago — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to dish out more than 9 assists in their last game. This team should be very focused tonight as they have now lost five straight times to their cross-town rivals after their 99-92 upset loss to the Phoenix as a 2.5-point road favorite back on January 15th. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 34 of their last 52 games when looking to avenge an upset loss — and this includes covering the point spread in eight of their last eleven of these situations.

Green Bay (10-15) has won two straight games with their 85-67 win over Youngstown State last Saturday as a 6-point favorite. That came on the heels of a 66-44 win at home over Cleveland State — but that might set this team up for an emotional letdown now. The Phoenix have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after winning two of their last three games. Green Bay has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games after winning two straight games by double-digits. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 0-10 with an average losing margin of -13.5 PPG. The Phoenix make just 39.7% of their shots on the road while allowing their home hosts to score 83.0 PPG on 48% shooting. Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 21 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range, they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of these contests. 25* CBB Horizon League Game of the Year with the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (832) minus the points versus the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix (831). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (509) and the Denver Nuggets (510). Oklahoma City (30-21) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 102-96 loss to the Wizards as a 3-point favorite. The Thunder did play one of their best defensive games of the season as they held Washington to just a 38.2% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last twenty games. That was a very encouraging performance for this team that will be without their best defensive player in Andre Roberson for the rest of the season with his leg injury last weekend. The Thunder stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Oklahoma City has also played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. Furthermore, the Thunder have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against Northwest Division opponents overall. Additionally, the Under is 5-0-1 in Oklahoma City’s last 6 games against teams with a winning record.

Denver (26-25) has lost two straight games after their 106-104 loss at San Antonio on Tuesday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Nuggets have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Denver has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total. They have also played 20 of their last 26 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Denver has played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. The Nuggets will be playing with revenge on their minds from a 95-94 loss to the Thunder back on December 18th — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss to their opponents. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 110-20-2 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (509) and the Denver Nuggets (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Northeastern Huskies (534) minus the points versus the College of Charleston Cougars (533). Northeastern (14-8) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 68-67 loss at Drexel despite being a 6-point favorite in that game. The Huskies made just 42.4% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last ten games. Northeastern has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they are 8-1 this season with an average winning margin of +10.0 PPG. The Huskies are scoring 77.2 PPG on 49.7% shooting on their home court so they should get back to looking like the team that leads the Colonial Athletic Association with an effective field goal percentage of 59.5%. Northeastern has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And while their loss to the Dragons finished below the 147.5 point total, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games after a game that finished Under the Total. Additionally, the Huskies have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They will be motivated to avenge an 82-66 loss to the Cougars back on January 11th where they only made 44.4% of their shots. More on why that game was an aberration below — as it is, Northeastern has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponent.

Charleston (16-6) has won four straight games with their 66-59 win over James Madison on Saturday as a 9.5-point favorite. The Cougars look due for a letdown here as they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after a win at home against a conference rival. The College of Charleston has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after winning two straight games against a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after winning at least three straight games in a row against conference opponents. The Cougars have covered the point spread in two of their last three games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games which includes failing to cover the point spread in three straight contests under those situations. Furthermore, Charleston has not forced more than 9 turnovers in three straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 contests after failing to force more than 11 turnovers in two straight contests. Now the Cougars go back on the road where they are 5-6 while being outscored by -1.1 PPG. They shoot only 40.3% from the field away from home along with making just 32.2% of their 3-point shots. This is a far cry from the 60% shooting mark they enjoyed at home in their first game with the Huskies which included them making 7 of 15 (46.7%) of their shots from behind the arc. That is highly unlikely to occur again tonight. Lastly, the College of Charleston has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games against with a winning percentage over 60% at home. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Game of the Year with the Northeastern Huskies (534) minus the points versus the College of Charleston Cougars (533). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (715) and then Phoenix Suns (716). Dallas (16-35) has lost four straight games — as well as seven of their last eight contests — with their 95-88 loss to Miami. The Mavericks have then played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Dallas has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Now the Mavs go back on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 19 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Dallas has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.

Phoenix (17-34) has lost five straight games — as well as eight of their last nine games — with their 120-109 loss at Memphis. The Suns allowed the Grizzlies to make 56.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last 21 games. Phoenix has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Suns have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And in the last 10 games after a double-digit loss, Phoenix has played 8 of these games Under the Total. This team may be handicapped tonight if Devin Booker does not play given his ribs injury. Even if Booker plays despite being listed as questionable, his effectiveness has to be questioned since he is not at 100%. The Suns return home where he has played 5 straight games Under the Total. And in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning percentage at 40% or less, Phoenix has played all 4 of those games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 136-42-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (715) and then Phoenix Suns (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (769) and the Colorado State Rams (770). Wyoming (14-7) has won three games in a row with their 90-86 win at San Jose State as an 11-point favorite on Saturday. The Cowboys have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 44 of the last 58 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. That win over the Spartans finished well over the 141.5 point total for that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished above the number. In fact, the Cowboys have played four straight Overs — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Wyoming will be looking to avenge a 78-73 upset loss to the Rams back on January 13th — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss to their opponent. The Cowboys have also played 7 straight Overs when attempting to avenge a same-season loss. Furthermore, Wyoming has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against fellow Mountain Western Conference opponents.

Colorado State (10-13) has lost four straight games with their 80-65 loss at New Mexico on Saturday as a 10.5-point underdog. The Rams shot a sizzling 53.1% from the field in that game but they allowed the Lobos to make 51.9% of their shots in the loss. Colorado State has played 25 of their last 33 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Rams have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. Additionally, Colorado State has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 12 games against Mountain West Conference opponents, the Rams have played 9 of these games Over the Total. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, that game finished Over the Total all 5 times. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (769) and the Colorado State Rams (770). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Davidson Wildcats (734) minus the points versus the LaSalle Explorers (733). Davidson (10-9) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 66-63 upset loss to Richmond despite being an 11-point favorite. The Wildcats allowed the Spiders to make 49.4% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last last eleven contests. Davidson has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after upset loss to a conference rival after being a favorite of at least 6 points. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 46 of their last 72 games after a loss to a conference rival. Davidson made 10 of their 12 free throw attempt in that game — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after taking at least 12 free throws in their last game. The Wildcats also pulled down only 8 offensive rebounds in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not rebounding at least 9 offensive boards in their last game. Now this team returns home where they are 6-1 this season with an average winning margin of +19.3 PPG. They are scoring 80.6 PPG on a 49.4% shooting percentage while holding their visitors to just  a 41.1% shooting mark. Additionally, Davidson is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against fellow Atlantic 10 opponents.

LaSalle (9-12) has won two of their last three games with their 87-72 win over UMass as a 7-point favorite last Wednesday. But the Explorers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win by at least 15 points. LaSalle has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after a point spread victory. And in their last 16 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game, the Explorers have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of these contests. Furthermore, LaSalle has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after winning two of their last three games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 2-10 with an average losing margin of -7.4 PPG. They are shooting just 41.1% from the field on the road. They have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. This team is also faltering on defense as of late as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 48.8% of their missed shots. Lastly, the Explorers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against Atlantic 10 opponents. 25* CBB Atlantic-10 Conference Game of the Month with the Davidson Wildcats (734) minus the points versus the LaSalle Explorers (733). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Brooklyn Nets (503) plus the points versus the New York Knicks (504). Brooklyn (18-32) is really struggling right now having lost three straight games as well as nine of their last twelve contests with their 111-97 loss at Minnesota on Saturday as an 11-point underdog. This Nets team is also undermanned with Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Caris LeVert out tonight with injuries. So, it might be a little surprising that Brooklyn is just a 5 or so point underdog in this game. This fishy situation is compounded by the fact that the Knicks have won all three of their encounters with the Nets this season by an average winning margin of +14 PPG. But that is the fact that might compel New York to mail-in their performance tonight. These two teams last met on January 15th in what turned out to be a 119-104 win for the Knicks as a 4-point underdog. But Brooklyn has then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games when avenging a double-digit loss. The Nets have also covered the point spread in 30 of their last 48 games when playing with triple revenge against their opponents. Additionally, while Brooklyn has lost six of their last eight games, they have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after losing five or six of their last seven games. The Nets stay on the road where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games. And in their last 22 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, Brooklyn has covered the point spread 16 times.

New York (22-28) snapped their three-game losing streak with their 107-85 win at Phoenix on Friday as a 1-point favorite. The Knicks held the Suns to just a 35.1% shooting percentage in that game which is tied for their best defensive effort of the season. But this New York team looks primed to be rusty and not as focused for this contest. The Knicks have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a double-digit victory. Additionally, New York has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after a win on the road. And in their last 7 games when playing with at least three days of rest, the Knicks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of those games. Now New York returns to Madison Square Garden where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Knicks have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 120-43 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month with the Brooklyn Nets (503) plus the points versus the New York Knicks (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) Redhawks (532) minus the points versus the Akron Zips (531). Miami (OH) (11-10) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 58-48 upset loss to Eastern Michigan as a 1.5-point favorite. The Redhawks made only 30.4% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort of the season. Look for this Miami (OH) team to bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Redhawks have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after failing to score more than 55 points in their last game. They should shoot better tonight considering that the are making 47.5% of their shots on their home court. They are also making a sizzling 41% of their shots from behind the arc at home — and they are facing a Zips team that allows their home hosts to make 41.2% of their 3-point shots. Miami (OH) is 6-3 on their home court but they are outscoring their opponents by +15.5 PPG. The Redhawks thrive on the defensive end of the court as they rank 2nd in the Mid-American Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are holding their visitors to scoring just 64.2 PPG while shooting a low 40.6% from the field. Miami (OH) has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.

Akron (10-10) looks to bounce-back from a 111-106 loss at Ball State in double-overtime on Saturday as an 8.5-point underdog. The Zips have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last contest (and it was 81-81 after regulation time) — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 85 points in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they are winless in nine games with an average losing margin of -12.7 PPG. Akron makes only 40.8% of their shots on the road. They are also allowing their home hosts to score 80.7 PPG with a 49.6% shooting percentage. Defense is a clear concern for this team as they rank last in the Mid-American Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Depth is now an issue as well after losing two of their regular rotation players off the bench in 6’8 sophomore Emmanuel Olojakpoke and 6’9 freshman Jaden Sayles both suffering injuries last week. That leaves the Zips thin on their frontline while reducing them to seven players in their rotation. These are all bad signs for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games on the road. Akron has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Zips have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 meetings with the Redhawks, Akron has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these encounters — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in 5 straight games at Miami. Together, these team trends produce our specific 71-19 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* College Basketball Game of the Month with the Miami (OH) Redhawks (532) minus the points versus the Akron Zips (531). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Kansas State Wildcats (720) plus the point(s) versus the Kansas Jayhawks (719). Kansas State (16-5) has won four straight games with their 56-51 win over Georgia on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. The Wildcats won that game despite shooting just 38.3% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last seven contests. Kansas State made up for some of those missed shots was their free throw shooting as they made 17 of their 19 shots for a sizzling 89.5% mark. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after making at least 88% of their free throws in their last game. Kansas State has also covered the point spread in 3 straight games after a win by 6 points or less. And while the Wildcats had covered the point spread in five straight games before not meeting point spread expectations against the Bulldogs, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Kansas State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games against Big 12 opponents. They stay at home where they are 11-1 with an average winning margin of +15.9 PPG. The Wildcats make 48.4% of their shots on their home court while limiting their opponents to just 61.5 PPG on low 38.8% shooting. Kansas State is 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, Kansas State has covered the point spread 5 times. The Wildcats are looking to avenge a 73-72 loss to the Jayhawks back on January 23rd. Kansas made 10 of their 23 shots from behind the arc (43.5%) that helped them squeeze by their in-state rivals. They are highly unlikely to repeat that mark again tonight as Kansas State limits their visitors to just a 28.2% shooting percentage from the 3-point line. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games when playing with revenge.

Kansas (17-4) has won six of their last seven games with their 79-68 win over Texas A&M on Saturday as a 9-point favorite. The Jayhawks made 48.4% of their shots in that game which was their best shooting effort in their last four contests. But this Kansas team has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. The Jayhawks have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow Big 12 opponents. And while that game finished just Over the 146 point Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Kansas is doing a good job of protecting the basketball as they have not turned the ball over more than 11 turnovers in seven straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after not turning the ball over more than 14 times in at least five straight games. They did turn the ball over 13 times which represented 20.6% of their possessions in their first meeting with the Wildcats. Kansas State turns the ball over in 22.3% of their opponent’s possessions which is 27th best in the nation. Playing in a hostile environment in this rematch will be a challenge for the Jayhawks as they are making just 45.5% of their shots away from home which is far below their 49.8% mark overall. This Bill Self team shoots more 3s than in past seasons — and while they are making 40.7% of their 3-pointers overall, this proficiency drops to just a 36.2% mark when on the road. Easy baskets should make the difference for Kansas State. They lead the Big 12 with a free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 40.5%. The Wildcats also lead the Big 12 by making 55.2% of their shots inside the arc. Kansas is thin in their interior this season — they are allowing their Big 12 opponents to make 51.8% of their shots inside the arc. Lastly, the Jayhawks have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games in the month of January. 5* CBB Big Monday Game of the Month with the Kansas State Wildcats (720) plus the point(s) versus the Kansas Jayhawks (719). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (846) minus the points versus Connecticut Huskies (845). Temple (10-10) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their ugly 75-42 loss at Cincinnati. That was worst offensive performance of the season for the Owls as they made just 28.6% of their shots against the tough Bearcats defense. Expect a much better effort from this Temple team tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Owls have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after failing to score more than 50 points in their last game. Temple trailed by a 35-19 score at halftime of that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games at home after trailing by at least 15 points at halftime of their last game. The Owls have not scored more than 58 points in three straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score at least 60 points in three straight games. Temple should shoot the ball better this game after bottoming out at Cincinnati. They made only 3 of their 23 shots from behind the arc (13%) — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to make at least 20% of their 3-point attempts in their last game. The Owls also only made 7 of their 18 free throw attempts for a 43.8% mark in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after not making at least 45% of their free throw attempts in their last game. Fran Dunphy’s team had been showing steady improvement as of late as they have held their last five opponents to just a 40.7% shooting percentage from the field. And in their last 7 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, Temple has covered the point spread 5 times.

UConn (11-9) snapped their two-game losing streak on Thursday with their 63-52 upset victory over SMU as a 6-point underdog. The Huskies played their best defensive game of the season by limiting the Mustangs to shooting just 28.1% from the field. But UConn has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after an upset win as the underdog. In fact, this team has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games even after just coming off a game as the underdog. The Huskies have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. And while UConn has won four of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after winning four or five of their last six games. The Huskies go back on the road where they are 2-7 while being outscored by 12.4 PPG. They play solid defense on the road by seeing their home hosts make 44.8% of their shots — but this is not the stout defensive group that head coach Kevin Ollie has often had at his alma mater. UConn ranks 80th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But the bigger concern for the Huskies is that are making just 39.6% of their shots on the road. UConn has failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 27 road games with the Total set in the 130 to 134.5 point range. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Game of the Month is on the Temple Owls (846) minus the points versus Connecticut Huskies (845). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bulls (804) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (803). Milwaukee (25-22) has won two straight games since head coach Jason Kidd was dismissed with their 116-91 victory over Brooklyn on Friday. The Bucks held the Nets to shooting just 37.1% from the field which was their best defensive effort in their last 33 games. Interim head coach Joe Prunty was tapped in part to have this team place more emphasis on the defensive end of the court. Of course, getting their best player back in Giannis Antetokounmpo after he missed the previous two games with a sore knee certainly helped. But Milwaukee is still not a full health with Jabari Parker out for this game with a knee injury and point guard Malcolm Brogdon questionable with a calf injury. As it is, the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit setback. Additionally, Milwaukee has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Bucks are just 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 13 games against fellow Central Division rivals, Milwaukee is just 2-9-2 ATS.

Chicago (18-31) has lost three straight games with their 108-103 loss to the Lakers on Friday as a 4-point favorite. The Bulls shot just 37.6% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort inter last nine games. Chicago will likely still be without their starting point guard Kris Dunn who is recovering from a concussion — but that is still no excuse for their poor shooting night on Friday. They made only 38.3% of their shots in their previous game at Philadelphia — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to shoot better than 39% in two straight games. The Bulls have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a loss at home. Better play on the defensive end of the court would be a good start for this team as they have allowed at least 108 points in three straight games. Chicago has then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. The Bulls have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Chicago stays at home where they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games on their home court. The Bulls are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, in their last 7 games against Central Division rivals, Chicago has covered the point spread in 6 of these games. 25* NBA Central Division Underdog of the Month with the Chicago Bulls (804) plus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (803). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Maryland Terrapins (820) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (819). Maryland (15-7) has lost three of their last four games this season after their 71-68 loss at Indiana as a 2-point underdog on Monday. But the Terrapins have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after loss to a conference rival on the road. Maryland has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while the Terrapins have played three straight games Under the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after playing at least two straight Unders. This Maryland team returns home to College Park where they are 12-1 this season with an average winning margin of +18.4 PPG. They are scoring 79.6 PPG at home on a strong 49.6% shooting percentage while holding their visitors to just 61.2 PPG on low 37% shooting. The Terrapins have covered the point spread in 6 straight games on their home court. This team will also be very motivated to redeem themselves from an ugly 91-61 loss at Michigan State back on January 4th. The Spartans could not miss from the field in that game as they made 16 of their 28 shots from behind the arc (57.1%) to fuel a 57.1 field goal percentage overall while holding Maryland to just a 37.7% shooting percentage. The Terrapins have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. They have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponents. Additionally, Maryland has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games as the underdog.

Michigan State (19-3) has won three straight games after their 76-61 win over Wisconsin on Friday as a 17-point favorite. The Spartans have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a victory over a Big Ten rival. I have to say that I don’t love the emotional state of this team right now amidst the scandals that this university is under as it has spread to the basketball program with head coach Tom Izzo seeming to turn the other cheek regarding credible accusations made with his players. Frankly, Izzo (and football head coach Mark Dantoni) may not survive when everything is said and done regarding the cleaning of house that will occur once Michigan State hires a new President and Athletic Director. At the very least, it is a big distraction. As it is, the Spartans have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on the road. Michigan State has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Additionally, the Spartans have now allowed more than 28 rebounds in each of their last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after not allowing more than 31 rebounds in their last three games. Michigan State has not forced more than 11 turnovers in four straight games as well — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not forcing more than 11 turnovers in their last four gams. Lastly, the Spartans have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Month on the Maryland Terrapins (820) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (819). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (586) minus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (585). Kentucky (15-5) snapped their two-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 78-65 win over Mississippi State as a 7.5-point favorite. We had the Wildcats in that game — but this is a terrible matchup now for John Calipari’s team. As it is, Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. The Wildcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after a double-digit victory — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games after a point spread cover. But this young team makes too many mistakes with their young roster to not play right into the Mountaineers’ formula which is to force mistakes from their opponent. “Press Virginia” is 2nd in the nation in forcing turnovers in 26.2% of their opponent’s possessions — and Kentucky is 231st in the nation by turning the ball over in 19.7% of their possessions. West Virginia plays very physical and pounds the offensive glass as well — they are 9th in the nation by rebounding 36.5% of their missed shots. The Wildcats are 248th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 30.8% of their missed shots — and that number has actually risen to a 31.3% mark in SEC play. Kentucky is 3-4 on the road this year where they are being outscored. They have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 14 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread 9 times.

West Virginia (16-4) has lost three of their last four games after their 82-73 upset loss at TCU on Monday as a 2-point favorite. The Mountaineers have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. Now Bob Huggins team returns home where they are 10-1 with an average winning margin of +24.3 PPG. West Virginia scores 84.6 PPG on their home court while holding their opponents to just 60.3 PPG on low 38.3% shooting. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 home games as a favorite in the 9.5 to 12 point range. West Virginia is also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games with the Total set at 155 or higher, the Mountaineers have covered the point spread 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 73-22-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB SEC-Big 12 Challenge Game of the Year with the West Virginia Mountaineers (586) minus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (585). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Chicago Bulls (814) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (813). Chicago (18-30) has lost two straight games with their 115-101 loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Bulls shot just 38.3% from the field while allowing the 76ers to make 51.9% of their shots — and both marks was their worst respective efforts in their last eight games. Expect a strong effort from this Bulls team tonight — they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Chicago has also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And while the Bulls had covered the point spread in their previous six games before the loss to Philly, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Chicago returns home where they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games — and they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Bulls have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less. Furthermore, Chicago is 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, the Bulls are looking to avenge a 103-99 loss to the Lakers back on November 21st — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when playing with revenge from a same-season loss.

Los Angeles (18-29) has won three straight games — all upset victories — with their 108-107 win over the Celtics on Tuesday. The Lakers out-rebounded Boston by a whopping 68 to 48 margin — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after out-rebounding their last opponent by at least 15 boards. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 road games after playing a game on their home court. Now after pulling off three straight upsets on their home court, the Lakers go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 road games against teams with a losing record at home. 25* NBA Game of the Month with the Chicago Bulls (814) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (813). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (557) and the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (558). Long Beach State (10-12) has won three of their last four games with their 81-73 win over Cal-State Fullerton last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. The 49ers have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Additionally, while that game barely finished below the 156 point total, they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Long Beach State has also played 22 of their last 32 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Over is 4-1-1.

Cal Poly SLO (6-13) has lost four straight games with their 72-54 loss at CS-Northridge as a 4-point favorite last Saturday. The Mustangs have then played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. Additionally, Cal Poly SLO has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Mustangs have also played 12 of their last 13 home games Over the Total after losing four straight games. This team returns home for the first time since January 6th after playing their last three games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games on the road. Furthermore, Cal Poly SLO have played 6 straight games Over the Total on their home court. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Lastly, the Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams at Cal-Poly SLO. Together, these team trends produce our specific 115-29-3 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big West Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (557) and the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Nashville Predators (53) versus the New Jersey Devils (54). New Jersey (24-15-4) is racing for the All-Star Break this weekend as they have only two wins over their last eleven games amidst a rash of injuries. Their leading scorer Taylor Hall is questionable with a hand injury along with left-winger Marcus Johansson who is dealing with the concussion protocol after their 3-2 loss in Boston on Tuesday. Brian Gibbons with his 11 goals along with defenseman Mirco Mueller are already on Injured Reserve. And to compound matters, both their goalies are also out with injuries forcing the team to turn to Ken Appleby tonight. The rookie will make his first professional start after being called up earlier this week to serve as a backup — he has played in the Devils’ last two games. But the the undrafted free agent is likely to return to his Binghamton team in the AHL after this game where he has a completely uninspiring 3.21 Goals-Against-Average along with an .888 save percentage. The goal for tonight’s game might be to get out of it and into the break without any more injuries. As it is, New Jersey has lost 4 straight games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. The Devils have also lost 21 of their last 27 games after losing eight of their last ten games. Furthermore, not only has New Jersey lost 9 of their last 13 games when playing their fourth game in six days but they have also lost 8 of their last 9 home games when playing their sixth game in ten days.

Nashville (28-11-3) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 4-3 loss in overtime to Tampa Bay. The Predators cannot afford any let up before the break this weekend as they are among four teams in the Central with at least 60 points. This Nashville team has rebounded to win 6 straight games after a loss in overtime. The Predators have also won 7 of their last 8 road games after a loss by one goal on their home ice. Nashville has scored seven goals in their last two games — and they have then won 12 of their last 14 games after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. But they have also allowed seven goals over these last two contests — yet they have then won 10 of their last 12 games after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. They will have a significant edge between the pipes tonight with Pekka Rinne who has an outstanding 1.95 GAA along with a .941 save percentage in his 15 starts on the road this year. Lastly, the Predators have won 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record on their home ice. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Game of the Year with the money-line on the Nashville Predators (53) versus the New Jersey Devils (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the DePaul Blue Demons (747) plus the points versus the Georgetown Hoyas (748). Georgetown (13-6) enters this game coming off their 93-89 win over St. John’s as a pick ‘em back on Saturday. The Hoyas have then failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 men after a straight-up win. Georgetown has also failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 36 home games after a win by 6 points or less. And while the Hoyas have only covered the point spread once in their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 home games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. Georgetown stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on their home court. And in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record, the Hoyas have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.

DePaul (8-11) has lost three straight games — as well as six of their last seven contests — with their 79-67 loss to Butler as a 6-point underdog on Saturday. The Blue Demons allowed the Bulldogs to make 51% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. Look for this DePaul team to bounce-back with a strong effort. The Blue Demons have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a double-digit loss — and this includes covering the point spread in four straight games as a double-digit loss at home. DePaul has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. And in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Blue Demons have covered the point spread in 7 of these games. 25* CBB Big East Game of the Month with the DePaul Blue Demons (747) plus the points versus the Georgetown Hoyas (748). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (713) minus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks (714). Houston (33-12) have won three straight games — as well as six of their last seven contests — after their 99-90 win over Miami on Monday as an 11-point favorite. This Rockets team is finally at full strength with no players injured nor suspended. Houston is a perfect 18-0 this season when James Harden, Chris Paul and their dunker Clint Capela down low are all healthy and playing together. Look for this Rockets team to build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 road games after winning four or five of their last six games. Houston has also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after a victory at home where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Now this Rockets team goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, Houston is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Furthermore, the Rockets have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against Western Conference opponents. And in their last 7 trips to Dallas, Houston has covered the point spread in 5 of these games.

Dallas (16-31) snapped their three-game winning streak on Monday with their 98-75 upset win over Washington as a 2-point underdog. The Mavericks held the Wizards to just a 30.6% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort of the season — but some of that needs to credit should go to that Washington team that could not hit the side of a barn in that game. Dallas is due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after an upset victory by at least 15 points as an underdog — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after an upset win by at least 20 points on their home court. The Mavericks have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a win by at least 20 points in general. Dallas stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 15 home games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the Mavericks have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of these contests. Lastly, Dallas looks to avenge a 107-91 loss to the Rockets in Houston back on October 21st — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when attempting to avenge a loss on the road where they allowed at least 100 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 102-32-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Game of the Month with the Houston Rockets (713) minus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Boston Celtics (509) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (510). Boston (34-13) has lost three straight games — all upset losses — after their 103-95 loss to Orlando despite being a 10.5-point underdog. The Celtics should bounce-back with a strong effort as they are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up loss. Boston is also 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Celtics have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after losing three of their last four games. And while Boston has failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Now the Celtics go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games. Boston has also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 29 road games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range.

Los Angeles (17-29) has won two straight games — both upset victories at home in the Staples Center — with their 127-107 win over the Knicks as a 2-point underdog on Sunday. The Lakers shot 56% from the field which was their best offensive effort of their season. But this Los Angeles team has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Lakers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after winning two of their last three games. Additionally, not only has LA failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after winning their last two games at home but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 36 games after just playing their last two games on their home court. The Lakers will likely still be without their rookie point guard Lonzo Ball for this game as he deals with a knee injury. Los Angeles may also be without Kentavious Caldwell-Pope who is listed as questionable with an Achilles injury. The Lakers have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. 25* NBA TNT Game of the Month with the Boston Celtics (509) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Lakers (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (541) and the St. John’s Red Storm (542). Creighton (15-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 85-71 loss at Providence on Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Jays’ defensive effort was lacking in that contest as they allowed the Friars to shoot 53.4% which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen games. But Creighton also shot just 39.4% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last fifteen contests. But while the Blue Jays are making 50.4% of their shots overall, they see that number drop to just a 45.4% mark when on the road — so a complete reversal of fortune on the offensive end of the court is unlikely. Creighton has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Blue Jays have also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total in Big East play. Additionally, Creighton has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the month of January. Moving forward, the Blue Jays have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 6 points or less. And in their last 15 games listed in the +/- 3-point range, Creighton has played 10 of these games Under the Total.

St. John’s (10-10) has lost eight straight games with their 93-89 loss at Georgetown as a pick ‘em on Saturday. The Red Storm have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Furthermore, St. John’s has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. That loss came on the heels of an 88-82 loss at Xavier last Wednesday — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where both teams scored at least 75 points in two straight games. The Red Storm return home where they only allow 66.1 PPG while holding their visitors to just a 39.8% shooting percentage. St. John’s has played 9 of their last 12 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. And in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above 60%, the Red Storm have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-30 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (541) and the St. John’s Red Storm (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Oklahoma Sooners (522) minus the point(s) versus the Kansas Jayhawks (521). Oklahoma (14-4) has lost two straight games after their 83-81 loss at Oklahoma State on Saturday despite being a 2-point favorite. That was on the heels of their losing at Kansas State earlier in the week despite being 2-point favorites in that contest. That has triggered a flurry of articles trying to dissect what is wrong with freshman sensation Trae Young who has not been quite as spectacular in conference play while seeing a few ugly games in the Turnover Department. I say that what is wrong with Young and this Sooners team is nothing more than a trip back home and a visit from the Regression Gods can fix. Oklahoma shot a season-low 34.1% against the Cowboys on Sunday. But now they return home where they are a perfect 9-0 with an average winning margin of +19.8 PPG. The Sooners make 52.8% of their shots on their home court which translates into 98.9 PPG — and they hold their opponents to just a 41.9% shooting clip. Young’s supporting cast should shoot better at home which will take the pressure off him and open things up again for better offensive efforts all the way around for this team. As it is, Oklahoma has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. The Sooners have also covered the point spread in 28 of their last 42 home games after losing two of their last three games — and this includes covering the point spread in eight of their last twelve games at home after dropping two of three. This is certainly a battle-tested team that will be facing their fifth opponent ranked in the Top-Ten — and they have won three of those four encounters entering the evening. Oklahoma has also covered the point spread in 37 of their last 58 home games when favored by 6 points or less.

Kansas (16-3) has won five straight games with their 70-67 win over Baylor on Saturday as an 8-point favorite. But the Jayhawks have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Kansas has also played three straight games Under the Total — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after playing at least three straight Unders. Furthermore, the Jayhawks have not committed more than 13 turnovers in five straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least five straight games. Moving forward, Kansas has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games in the month of January. And in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Kansas has failed to cover the point spread 7 times. 25* CBB Super Tuesday ESPN Game of the Month with the Oklahoma Sooners (522) minus the point(s) versus the Kansas Jayhawks (521). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Denver Nuggets (716) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (715). Denver (23-23) has lost two straight games after their 108-100 loss to Phoenix on Friday as a 9-point favorite. The Nuggets have bounced back to cover the point spread in 38 of their last 62 games after a straight-up loss. And while Denver has failed to cover the point spread in four straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Nuggets are a bit undermanned right now with Paul Millsap still out with a wrist injury and Kenneth Faried is questionable for tonight with an ankle. But Denver stays at home for this one where they are still 16-6 with an average winning margin of +6.5 PPG. The Nuggets have covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. Denver has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games as a favorite laying 6 points or less. Furthermore, the Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 4 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents, Denver has covered the point spread on all 4 occasions.

Portland (25-21) has won three straight games with their 117-108 win versus Dallas on Saturday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Trail Blazers made 52.3% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last six games. But this Portland team has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. They are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. And in their last 21 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the Blazers have failed to cover the point spread 13 times. Portland now goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. And in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Trail Blazers have failed to cover the point spread 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 87-42-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Northwest Division Game of the Month with the Denver Nuggets (716) minus the points versus the Portland Trail Blazers (715). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (725) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (726). Nebraska (14-7) has won two straight games after their 72-52 upset win over Michigan as a 5-point underdog. the Cornhuskers shot 55.3% from the field which was their best offensive performance in their last fifteen games. But now this Nebraska team goes back on the road where they are making just 39.3% of their shots. The Cornhuskers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Nebraska has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 7 games on the road, the Cornhuskers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, Nebraska has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games against fellow Big Ten opponents, the Cornhuskers have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

Ohio State (17-4) enters this game coming off their 67-49 win over Minnesota as an 8.5-point favorite. The Buckeyes shot only 40.9% from the field in that victory but they held the Golden Gophers to just 38.3% shooting. Ohio State has then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Buckeyes have also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Ohio State has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Buckeyes stay at home where they have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total. Ohio State has also played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, in their last 6 games as a double-digit favorite, the Buckeyes have played all 6 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-17 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (725) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (726). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (313) minus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (314). Philadelphia (14-3) has won four of their last five games with their 15-10 upset win at home against the Falcons last Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Eagles got out their Dog Masks after the game to bask in their pulling the upset against Atlanta — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after an upset win at home as an underdog. Philadelphia has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up victory. The Eagles survived that game despite a -2 net turnover margin in that game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after a game where they committed at least two more turnovers than their opponent. QB Nick Foles is the reason why this team is an underdog yet again in this game — but it is for good reason. He was solid against the Falcons after completing 23 of 30 passes for 246 yards with no interceptions. But he did not throw a touchdown pass - -and he rushed for -2 yards. Unfortunately for the Eagles, that was probably the most they can expect to get out of their backup QB. Remember that Foles struggled in his previous two starts against Dallas and Oakland — he completed just 23 of 49 passes for 202 yards with one TD pass and two interceptions in those two games combined. The Eagles did use the bye week to redesign their offense by having Foles run the read-option plays that he thrived executing in his one season running the Chip Kelly offense with the Eagles a few years ago. Who knows if the Falcons spent much time preparing for that blast from the past last week in practice — but it is a guarantee that the Mike Zimmer will make sure his team invests a significant amount of time preparing for read-options that other teams like the Cowboys and Panthers also deploy. So the element of surprise for Philadelphia running this offense is gone. Foles sees his effectiveness decline significantly when facing pressure — and he does not do a great job making quick decisions regarding his read progressions with wide receivers. Those are bad qualities to have when facing this ferocious Vikings’ defense. The Eagles are scoring just 11.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging only 256.3 total YPG. The rushing game has not been able to step up to take pressure off Foles. Philadelphia has not rushed for more than 96 yards in three straight games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after failing to rush for more than 100 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the playoffs.

Minnesota (14-3) survived their game with New Orleans last week with their 29-24 win Saints salvaged by the 61-yard touchdown pass to Stefan Diggs as time expired. I think that miraculous victory will galvanize this team and give them confidence moving forward — and it certainly cements any lingering doubts about the ability of Case Keenum to lead this team to the promise land. As it is, the Vikings have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win. And while Minnesota failed to cover the 5.5-point spread as the favorite, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Keenum completed 25 of 40 passes for 318 yards and a touchdown pass against the Saints — and the Vikings have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The Minnesota defense did give up 358 yards to the Drew Brees-led New Orleans offense — but they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The encouraging aspect of the Vikings defense for this game is their run defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL by limiting team to just 83.6 rushing YPG. They have allowed only 74 rushing YPG over their last  three games after giving up just 30 and 80 rushing yards in each of their last two games. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 99 rushing yards in two straight games. This stout Vikings defense is particularly good on 3rd Down where they were tops in the NFL in limiting opposing offenses in converting 3rd Down plays. In fact, Minnesota only allowed opposing offenses to convert 51 3rd Downs during the regular season. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 31 games as the favorite. 25* NFC Playoff Game of the Year with the Minnesota Vikings (313) minus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.

BRADY WRIST-GATE UPDATE (Friday): The line has moved down to New England to the 45 point total range with the news that Tom Brady injured his throwing wrist in practice. I released my AFC plays before this took place (taking the Over at 46.5). The Patriots’ Beat Writer says that the “chatter” is that Brady injured the area between his thumb forefinger. Brady can still throw but his snaps under center may be limited. Pain is the biggest issue (and he will likely be shot up before kickoff). That all said, in general, I don’t let rumors of injuries sway my handicapping on a game — so my recommendation is to just ride things out (like I am) if you you have already invested in this play. If you have yet to bet, I would jump all over any 45s you can find and be happy with -45.5. I am not letting these rumors diffuse from the strong fundamental play on the Over. For those needing a pick me up, I did hear that Brady has, in fact, thrown some passes in practice. It makes sense for the Pats to exhibit extreme caution with their veteran. Brady still benefited from just walking through the Thursday/Friday practices where specific offensive game plans and Red Zone plays were worked on — and many former NFL QBs argued that just walking through those plays to intellectualize them is all Brady really needs. Thanks, Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (311) and the New England Patriots (312). Jacksonville (12-6) reached the AFC Championship Game with their 45-42 upset win at Pittsburgh last Sunday as a 7-point underdog. The Jaguars have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Jags scored a defensive touchdown in that game while enjoying a +2 net turnover margin — and they then played 7 straight games Over the Total after a game where they enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin. Jacksonville generated 378 yards of offense in that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Jags have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. This Jacksonville offense is underrated — they ranked 5th in the NFL by scoring 26.1 PPG while ranking 6th by averaging 365.9 total YPG. After last week’s explosion, the Jags are averaging 28.1 PPG when playing on the road. The irony of this team is they are also a bit overrated when it comes to the strength of their defense. They allowed Ben Roethlisberger to pass for 462 yards en route to their 545 total yards of offense for the Steelers — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Jaguars finished 2nd in the NFL in both points allowed (16.8 PPG) and total yardage (286.1 total YPG) — but check out their strength of schedule. Jacksonville was able to pad their numbers with NFL’s least productive division in terms of offense in the AFC South against Tennessee, Indianapolis and Houston (they were fortunate to avoid QB DeShaun Watson both times). Throw in additional games against Cleveland, Baltimore in Week Three (that London game when their offense was ravaged with injuries and still finding itself), Cincinnati in Week Seven (when their offensive line was imploding) and then Buffalo in the Wild Card game. Then throw in their first game with the Steelers where they won by a 30-9 score with the benefit of two defensive touchdowns and five interceptions — and they allowed 65 combined points for a measly 6.5 PPG scoring average in those top ten defensive performances. There are six games — representing 33% of their results this year that should raise eyebrows for the wrong reasons: last week against the Steelers where they allowed 42 points and 545 yards of offense; allowing 44 points and 364 yards of offense against a Jimmy Garoppolo-led 49ers offense on December 24th; allowing 27 points and 344 yards of offense led by Blaine Gabbert; allowing 27 points in a loss to the LA Rams on October 15th; allowing 23 points and a whopping 471 yards in a loss to the Jets on October 1st; allowing 37 points and 390 yards of offense to Titans back on September 17th. Of their eighteen games including their two in the playoffs, Jacksonville has played six playoff teams (with the Bills and Steelers’ second-meeting being in the actual playoffs). They are 3-3 overall in those games — but they are allowing 22.2 PPG and 341.7 total YPG in those six contests. Of course, the Jaguars had the benefit of facing the likely two worst teams to make the playoffs in Tennessee (twice) and Buffalo in the Wildcard round. Take away those three games to just assess how this Jaguars defense performed against Pittsburgh (twice) and the LA Rams and the results are simply unimpressive: 26.0 PPG and 388.3 total YPG allowed. Where this Jags’ defense struggles when compares to those Super Bowl winning Ravens and Giants teams that defeated the Brady/Belichick combo is in run defense. Jacksonville ranked 21st in the NFL during the regular season by allowing 116.2 rushing YPG. This is where the Patriots will attack.

New England (14-3) has won four straight games with their 35-14 win over Tennessee last Sunday. The Patriots have won their last three games by at least three touchdowns — and they have then played 17 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after winning at least two games in a row by at least two touchdowns. New England has also played a decisive 48 of their last 69 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Patriots have also played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Patriots stay at home for this game where they are scoring 30.0 PPG while generating 394.8 total YPG. Over their last three games, they are scoring 32.7 PPG. New England has played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total — and they have played 12 of their last 17 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 7 Playoff games at home, the Patriots have played all 7 games Over the Total. 25* AFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (311) and the New England Patriots (312). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (17) and the St. Louis Blues (18). Arizona (10-28-5) has lost five straight games with their 3-2 loss in Nashville on Thursday. The Coyotes have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Arizona has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. This Coyotes team is scoring only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game this season. They will go with their top goaltender tonight in Antti Raanta whose .917 save percentage on the road is exactly the same as it is when playing at home. Arizona has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road — and this includes playing six straight Unders when on the road against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice.

St. Louis (28-17-3) has won two games in a row with their 4-1 win at Ottawa on Thursday. The Under is then 33-16-2 in their last 51 games after a victory. Additionally, the Blues have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less in their last game. Now St. Louis returns home where they have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total. They will be going with their backup goalie Carter Hutton who has been outstanding this season in that role. Hutton has a 1.72 Goals-Against-Average with a .943 save percentage this season in fourteen starts and eighteen appearances overall. He has been even better at home where he sees those numbers improve to a 1.67 GAA along with a .944 saver percentage. Moving forward, the Under is 19-4-3 in their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Lastly, in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in St. Louis, the Under is 8-1-2. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (17) and the St. Louis Blues (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (519) and the College of Charleston Cougars (520). UNC-Wilmington (5-13) has lost three of their last four games with their 81-77 loss to Northeastern on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Seahawks have then played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total after playing a game at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. UNC-Wilmington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total. Additionally, the Seahawks have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 5 games against Colonial Athletic Conference opponents, UNC-Wilmington has played 4 of these games Over the Total.

Charleston (12-6) has lost three of their last four games themselves after their 63-58 upset loss at Elon as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Cougars have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a loss to a conference rival. Charleston has also played 12 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Cougars return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 30 games against conference opponents, the Over is 21-8-1. Together, these team trends produce our specific 110-27-1 combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (519) and the College of Charleston Cougars (520). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Washington Wizards (701) plus the point(s) versus the Charlotte Hornets (702). Washington (25-19) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Monday with their 104-95 upset loss to Milwaukee despite being a 5.5-point favorite. The Wizards have now failed to cover the point spread in six straight games — but they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Washington may not have the services of forward Markieff Morris who is questionable with an ankle injury — but this remains a dangerous underdog who have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games as the dog. Additionally, the Wizards have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog of 6 points or less. This Washington team is looking to avenge a 129-124 loss to the Hornets back on November 22nd — and they have covered the point spread in 29 of their last 45 games when playing with revenge. And in their last 8 meetings with their Southeast Division rivals, the Wizards have covered the point spread 6 times.

Charlotte (17-25) has won two of their last three games after their 118-107 upset win at Detroit as a 3-point underdog on Monday. But the Hornets are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after after a straight-up win — and they are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a double-digit victory. And while the Hornets have covered the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games. Charlotte is also 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. And in their 10 home games in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 110-39-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Southeast Division Underdog of the Month with the Washington Wizards (701) plus the point(s) versus the Charlotte Hornets (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (547) and the North Dakota State Bison (548). North Dakota State (10-8) has won two of their last three games with their 82-64 win over Oral Roberts on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. We had the Over in that game and won that play with the number finishing around 140.5 despite the Bison holding the Golden Eagles to just a 31.7% shooting mark which was their best defensive performance of the season. North Dakota State has then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. The Bison stay at home for this game where they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall, North Dakota State has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

North Dakota (6-11) has won two straight games with their 89-79 win over Weber State as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Fighting Hawks have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, North Dakota has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total against non-conference opponents. This is a rematch of the 88-79 victory for the Bison between these two non-conference in-state rivals back on December 9th. The Fighting Hawks have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with a revenge against a team that scored at least 75 points in a victory against them. North Dakota goes back on the road for this game where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 99-24 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Non-Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (547) and the North Dakota State Bison (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Central Florida Knights (524) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bearcats (523). Central Florida (12-5) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Wednesday with their 62-53 win at UConn as a 1-point underdog. The Knights made just 36.5% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last eleven games. They scored only 21 first-half points against the Huskies — but they have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after failing to score more than 25 points in the first-half of their last game. This Central Florida team has rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a point spread setback. Head coach Johnny Dawkins’ team plays outstanding defense — they rank 4th in the nation Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (according to kenpom.com) and they have not allowed more than 65 points all season. They are led by their 7’6 junior Tacko Fall who leads the nation with a 76.8% shooting percentage while scoring 11.6 PPG along with 7.2 RPG and 2.0 Blocks-Per-Game. The team may also see the return of B.J. Taylor who was the team’s leading scorer at 17.4 PPG last year. Taylor has been nursing a broken foot and has yet to play this season — he will be a game-time decision for Dawkins. Returning home will help for this Knights team that is 8-1 on their home court this season with an average winning margin of +9.0 PPG. Offense has been an issue for this team — but they are scoring 71.2 PPG at home with a solid 47.9% shooting percentage. The UCF defense at home is outstanding as they hold their opponents to just 60.2 PPG along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 37.9%. The Knights have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 8 home games after winning three of their last four games, UCF has covered the point spread all 8 times.

Cincinnati (15-2) has won eight games in a row with their 78-55 victory at South Florida on Saturday. But the Bearcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a win by at least 20 points. Cincinnati committed only 8 turnovers in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games on the road after not committing more than 8 turnovers in their last game. Once again, this Bearcats team is outstanding on the defensive end of the court as they rank 3rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Offense is going to determine how deep a run Mick Cronin’s team can make in the Big Dance after they won 30 games last year but still lost in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. Cincy has scored at least 76 points in two straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. This season, the Bearcats rank 46th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency which is a bit lower than their seasonal ranking of 34th in the nation last season. Cincinnati stays on the road where they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last road games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Underdog of the Month with the Central Florida Knights (524) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bearcats (523). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (715) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (716). Cleveland (716). Cleveland (26-16) has lost seven of their last nine games after their 97-95 loss in Indiana on Friday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Cavaliers have lost their last two games despite being the favorite — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after suffering at least two straight upset losses. Cleveland has also played 12 straight games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 33 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Now this team returns home for the first time since January 2nd after playing five straight games on the road — and they have played 9 straight home games Over the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. Cleveland has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. This is a rematch of the Christmas Day game between these two teams that finished well below the 216 Total with the Warriors winning by a 99-92 score. We had a big play on the Over that day — and neither team could hit the side of a barn that day. The Cavaliers made just 31.8% of their shots along with making only 27% of their 3-pointers. They should shoot much better tonight as they have a 48.6% shooting percentage along with a 37.6% mark behind the arc when playing at home. Of course, Cleveland has since seen Isaiah Thomas return from injury — and his insertion into this rivalry should help the scoring on both sides since he is both a prolific scorer and a liability on defense because of his size. It is interesting that the Total has been installed in the 230s for this game like the Totals ended in last year’s NBA Finals — even after a combined 191 points were scored between these two teams three weeks ago. It looks easy to take the Under — and that makes me feel even more comfortable with this contrarian play.

Golden State (35-9) did not have Stephen Curry in that Christmas Day meeting between these two teams — so that explains some of the reasons why the Total has shot up over 15 points from that contest. The Warriors made only 46.3% of their shots in that contest which was well below their 51% mark for the season. That game started at a blistering pace — but with both teams unable to make their baskets, that fast tempo eventually waned as both coaches wanted their teams to take more time to get better shots. Golden State comes off a 127-125 win in Toronto on Saturday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Warriors have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Golden State has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 7 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game, the Warriors have played 6 of these games Over the Total. Additionally, Golden State has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. This team is fully healthy again with Andre Iguodalo listed as probable despite his hip injury. The Warriors got on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total. Golden State has also played 12 of their last 16 road games with the Total set at 220 or higher. Lastly, in the last 8 games between these two teams in Cleveland, the game finished Over the Total 6 times. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (715) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the New England Patriots (304). New England (13-3) has been a favorite laying at least 13 points three times in the AFC Divisional Round of the Playoffs in the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady era. The results were as follows: a 34-16 win over Houston last year with the Total at 44; a 45-10 win over Denver in 2012 with the Total set at 50; a 31-20 win over Jacksonville with the Total set at 51. While the Total was 2-0-1 for those three games, all three games saw at least 50 combined points scored with the Patriots averaging 36.7 PPG over that stretch. If New England approaches that number in this game, then this game should go safely Over the Total. The Patriots enter this game with momentum as they followed up their 37-16 win over Buffalo in Week 16 with a 26-6 victory over the Jets to close out their regular season. New England has then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games by double-digits. The Patriots are averaging 29.4 PPG at home this season — and they have not only played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total at home but they have also played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. Furthermore, New England has played 6 straight playoff games at home Over the Total. And in their last 8 games in the AFC Divisional Playoffs, the Over is 7-0-1.

Tennessee (10-7) got their offense going in the second-half last week by scoring 19 points to stun Kansas City with their 22-21 upset victory as an 8.5-point underdog. The Titans have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after failing to score more than a field goal in the first-half of their last game. Tennessee has also played 16 of their last 22 games after a victory by 3 points or less in their last game. The Titans have played two straight games Under the Total — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing two straight games that finished below the number. Tennessee’s defense ranks 13th in the NFL by allowing 328.0 total YPG — but Pro Football Focus ranks their strength of schedule of opposing offenses to be last in the league. The Titans pass defense allowed 239.2 passing YPG this season which was 25th in the NFL. Considering that the Tennessee run defense ranks 4th in the NFL by allowing 88.8 rushing YPG, it is the passing game from which the Patriots are likely to exploit — and that helps our Over play with more stoppages of the clock likely coming from incomplete passes. The Titans have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 5 trips to Foxboro to play the Patriots, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. 25* AFC Divisional Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the New England Patriots (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (301) and the Philadelphia Eagles (302). Atlanta (11-6) has now played six straight games Under the Total given the steadily improved play of their defense combining with too many bettors not catching up to the reality that this Falcons offense is not as powerful this year as the one last year that led the NFL by scoring 33.8 PPG. This Total opened in the 43.5 range and has been bet down to 41 — and that is simply too low for how this game will likely play out. For starters, both these teams have amped up the number of offensive plays they are generating per game. Atlanta leads all teams left in the Playoffs by averaging 68.0 offensive plays per game over their last four contests — and that is well above their 62.5 offensive plays per game average for the regular season which was just 25th in the league. They now face an Eagles team that opponents passed the ball against in 61.4% of their offensive plays which was 3rd most this season. It stands to reason that the Falcons will emphasize the pass in this game considering that this Philadelphia team led the NFL by allowing a 79.2 rushing YPG. Atlanta behind Matt Ryan has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the Playoffs. The Over is also 11-4-2 in the Falcons’ last 17 games in the month of January. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in Atlanta’s last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Falcons come off their 26-13 upset win in Los Angeles as a 6.5-point underdog against the Rams last week, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after upset win as a road underdog.

Philadelphia (13-3) ran the 3rd most plays this season averaging 67.1 offensive plays per game this season — and that number dropped only slightly to 66.1 offensive plays per game over their last four contests which encompasses the time where Nick Foles became the starting quarterback for the injured Carson Wentz. The Eagles hale the field again after losing their last game of the regular season by a 6-0 score at home to the Cowboys as a 4-point underdog. Philadelphia has then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss at home. The Eagles have also played a decisive 47 of their last 69 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and this includes playing fifteen of their last twenty games Over the Total after a defeat. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. And they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Eagles ran the ball only 18 times in that game for 70 yards with their number one seed in the NFC already secured. The Eagles will surely attempt to get their ground game going support Foles under center — and they have seen he over go 40-15-1 in their last 56 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. 25* NFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (301) and the Philadelphia Eagles (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Butler Bulldogs (822) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (821). Butler (12-6) has lost three straight games with their 85-74 loss at Creighton on Tuesday as a 6-point underdog. The Bulldogs allowed the Blue Jays to make 54.1% of their shots in what was their worst defensive effort of the season. This has been a very difficult stretch in Big East play for this Butler team that was riding high after they upset the number-one ranked Villanova team (at the time) by a 101-93. They have since lost to Xavier, Seton Hall and Creighton that all rank in the Top-35 in the kenpom.com rankings system. The Bulldogs are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a point spread loss. And while Butler has not covered the point spread in these last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Now this team returns home where they are 9-1 with an average winning margin of +19.7 PPG. The Bulldogs shoot 53.6% from the field at home which translates into 88.0 PPG — and they hold their opponents to just 42.4% shooting on their home court. Butler has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Marquette (12-5) has won three of their last four games with their 84-64 upset win over Seton Hall on Tuesday as a 1-point underdog. But the Golden Eagles have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset victory as an underdog against a conference rival — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in three straight games after an upset win as a home underdog. Additionally, the Golden Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a double-digit victory. And while this Marquette team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Golden Eagles made all 13 of their free throws in that contest against the Pirates — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games after making at least 88% of their free throws in his last game. Now Marquette goes back on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to make 49.3% of their shots. Additionally, not only are the Golden Eagles 1-7-2 ATS in their 10 games against Butler but they have failed to cover the point spread in their last four trips to play on their home court. Together, these team trends produce our specific 90-33-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Friday Fox Sports 1 Game of the Month with the Butler Bulldogs (822) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (821). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Los Angeles Lakers (508). Los Angeles (13-27) played their best defensive game of the season on Tuesday when they held the Kings to just 34.5% shooting in their 99-86 victory. Even with that strong defensive performance, the Lakers have allowed their last five opponents make 46% of their shots which is right in line with their 45.9% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Los Angeles did see the return of their rookie point guard Lonzo Ball who bolstered the offense with 11 assists along with pulling down 11 rebounds. While Ball’s shooting numbers have been disparaged by his many critics this season, his contributions to his team as the Floor General have been unappreciated. The Lakers have covered the point spread in two straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in their last two games. Los Angeles stays at home in the Staples Center for this game where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Lakers have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

San Antonio (28-14) is a M*A*S*H Unit right now as they are burdened with a host of injuries. The biggest loss for the team is two-time Defensive Player of Year Kawhi Leonard who is out tonight with the shoulder injury he suffered a few days ago. Rudy Gay is also out for tonight with a heel injury while Tony Parker and Danny Green are questionable with ailments. Gregg Popovich has lamented that missing these players will impact the cohesiveness of the five players he can send out on the court — and that likely will hurt the team on defense much more than on offense. The Spurs come off a 107-100 win at Sacramento on Monday. That game finished well above the 199.5 point total which was the 22nd game that San Antonio has played Over the Total in their last 33 games in the month of January. Additionally, the Spurs have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Additionally, San Antonio has played 4 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Lastly, these two teams have played 7 of their last 8 meetings Over the Total — including playing four straight Overs when playing in LA at the Staples Center. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-21 combined angle for this situation. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Thursday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Los Angeles Lakers (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Pioneers (587) and the North Dakota State Bison (588). North Dakota State (9-7) has won four of their last five games with their 84-79 upset win at South Dakota as an 8-point underdog. The Bison nailed 52.8% of their shots in that win — and that momentum may very well carry over into tonight’s game. North Dakota State has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And with that game with the Coyotes ending far above the 142.5 point total in that game, the Bison have now played a decisive 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total against fellow Summit League members. North Dakota State stays at home for this contest where they are shooting a slick 52.6% from the field. The Bison have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played eight of their last nine home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Defense is an issue for this team as they are allowing Summit foes to make 47% of their shots. Additionally, North Dakota State has played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%.

Denver (6-10) has lost two straight games — as well as five of their last six contests — with their 82-63 loss to IUPU-Fort Wayne last Saturday as a 3-point underdog. The Pioneers have then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. This is Denver’s second game in the last eight days — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing their second game in ten days. The Pioneers are allowing their Summit League foes to make 49.1% of their shots which helps explain why they have played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total against conference opponents. Denver is making 48.8% of their shots over their last five games. And in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record, the Pioneers have played 21 of these games Over the Total. 25* CBB Summit League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Pioneers (587) and the North Dakota State Bison (588). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Arkansas Razorbacks (776) minus the points versus the LSU Tigers (775). Arkansas (11-4) has lost two straight games after their 88-77 loss at Auburn last Saturday as a 4-point underdog. The Razorbacks have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Arkansas has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games after a game on the road where both teams scored at least 75 points. The Razorbacks return home where they are a perfect 8-0 this season with an average winning margin of +22.6 PPG. The Arkansas offense cranks out 95.0 PPG on their home court while making 53.7% of their shots. They limit their opponents to just 41.7% shooting. The Razorbacks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. This team ranks 27th in the nation by making 39.7% from the field — and that number rises to a 41.2% mark when they are playing at home.

LSU (10-4) looks to build off their 69-68 upset win at Texas A&M on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Tigers have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a narrow win by 6 points or less. LSU has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after an upset victory. Furthermore, the Tigers are just 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games after a straight-up win. And in their last 21 games after a point spread victory, LSU is only 5-15-1 ATS. Now this LSU team stays on the road where they are being outscored by -7.2 PPG in their five games. The Tigers have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against SEC opponents. 25* CBB SEC Game of the Month on the Arkansas Razorbacks (776) minus the points versus the LSU Tigers (775). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) minus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (152) in the National Championship Game. Georgia (13-1) earned one of the biggest victories in their school’s program history with their 54-48 epic overtime victory over Oklahoma last Monday. But the fact that this history does not include championship game experience may play a role in how this showdown plays out. The Bulldogs have an inferiority complex with the Crimson Tide which will likely rear its ugly head in this game. Most of the teams in the SEC are insecure relative to the Alabama football program. Georgia fired Mark Richt despite him being one of their most successful coaches in their history because he was not leading them into enough championship games — as if the program was rife with those opportunities before they arrived. This is a football culture that still considers the Hershel Walker era as a recent event. The school tried to model themselves off the Crimson Tide program when they replaced Richt with Alabama defensive coordinator Kirby Smart. While Smart has done a good job with the program, he lacks the pedigree and certainly the experience to out-coach his mentor in Nick Saban. Throw in the lack of playoff experience this roster has (as compared to that Clemson team that faced Alabama for the third straight time in the last three years in the playoffs) along with a true freshman at quarterback in Jake Fromm — and the results look like a team happy to be in this National Championship Game but also with likely significant doubts that they can pull off this upset. The Bulldogs showed some weaknesses in their win over the Sooners. Oklahoma generated a whopping 531 yards against what had been considered a stout Georgia defense. 289 of those yards were in the air — and the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Georgia has also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after a game where they scored at least 30 points while their opponent also scored at least 30 points. And while the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least three straight games.

Alabama (12-1) has played in the College Football Playoffs in four straight years — and this will be the third straight postseason where they play to win the National Championship. After avenging their 35-31 loss to Clemson in last year’s Championship Game on Monday, this team with eleven returning starters from that team will not be satisfied with just that victory. This is a team that is groomed to win championships each and every season under Saban — and this group is hungry. And while the Bulldogs are talented, this Crimson Tide team has better players. They dominated the Tigers in their 24-6 victory. They held the Clemson offense to just 188 total yards in that game at a paltry 2.69 Yards-Per-Play mark — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after not allowing more than 3.25 YPP in their last game. Alabama has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after winning at least six or seven of their last eight games. Additionally, the Crimson Tide has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral field. Alabama has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games played on a field turf. And in their last 11 games as the favorite laying 3.5 to 10 points, the Crimson Tide has covered the point spread 7 times. 25* CFB Alabama-Georgia A-List Special with the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) minus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (152) in the National Championship Game. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Alabama (12-1) flexed their muscles on defense last Monday by holding Clemson to just 188 yards of offense en route to their 24-6 win over the Tigers. Considering that the Crimson Tide generated just 261 yards of offense against the Clemson defense, it might appear that the Under is the preferred totals play when they face off against another Top-Ten defense in this Alabama team. But each game has its own internal narrative. The third contest in the Crimson Tide-Tigers trilogy played out as a defensive battle. Don’t be surprised if this Alabama-Georgia showdown between two teams of similar compositions ends up seeing much more offense — and with a Total set in just the mid-40s. The Crimson Tide have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their lsat game. And while Alabama has played three straight games that finished Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. Remember that while this Crimson Tide team has the nation’s top scoring defense (11.1 PPG) and total defense (252.4 YPG), they are no slouches on offense either. Alabama was 12th in the nation by scoring 37.9 PPG while averaging 449.7 total YPG (27th in the FBS). And remember that these offensive numbers are a little lower than they could be since their outstanding defense helped them earn comfortable leads without putting up Oklahoma-like numbers. An elite defense is nothing new for a Nick Saban-coached team. Yet they have played 10 of their last 14 Bowl games Over the Total — and this includes playing five of their last six games in the month of January Over the Total.

Georgia (13-1) finished Top-Five in scoring defense (15.7 PPG) while finishing 6th in total defense (289.5 YPG). But this Bulldogs team scored 36.3 PPG while averaging 440.3 total YPG which ranked 17th and 31st in the FBS respectively. As Georgia proved against the Sooners on Monday, they can crank up their offense into high gear to winning a scoring fest if they need to in order to win. In their 54-48 win in overtime against Oklahoma, they generated 527 yards of offense. The Bulldogs have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. But the Georgia defense had trouble slowing down the Sooners offense as they gave up 531 yards along with 6.55 Yards-Per-Play. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Additionally, while Georgia has covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 5 of the last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow SEC opponents. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* CFB Bowl Total of the Year with Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the New Orleans Saints (108). Carolina (11-5) will be facing this Saints’ offense for the third time this season — and that should give an advantage to their defense given this familiarity. The Panthers have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against NFC South rivals — and this includes playing four of their last five games Under the Total against divisional rivals. Carolina looks to bounce-back from their 22-10 loss in Atlanta last week with that final score falling far below that 44.5 point total. The Panthers offense managed to generate just 248 yards of offense in that game. Carolina also allowed 371 yards in that contest — and the Under is then 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Panthers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in a domed stadium. They only generate 308.2 YPG when playing on the road this season. But this stout Carolina defense only allows the home team to score 19.6 PPG while limiting them to just 303.2 total YPG.

New Orleans (11-5) looks to bounce-back from their 31-24 upset loss in Tampa Bay despite being a 6-point favorite in that game. The Saints have then played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss as a road favorite. New Orleans has also played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Saints defense allowed the Bucs to generate 455 yards of offense in that loss. But now New Orleans returns home where they held the Panthers to just 279 yards of offense back on December 3rd in their 31-21 victory. That does not seem to be a fluke when considering that the Saints only allowed 288 total yards in the first meeting between these two teams back on September 24th in their 34-13 victory. Those numbers average out to just 17 PPG along with 283.5 total YPG for Carolina in their two games against New Orleans this season — so the Saints defense looks poised to have a much better day. Additionally, while New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then played 23 of their last 38 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. 25* NFC South Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the New Orleans Saints (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.