The set-up: Houston comes into this game riding a four-game win streak and it's just a 1/2 game behind the Nuggets for the division lead. This latest win streak includes a come from behind victory over the Spurs, followed by victories over the Clippers, Suns and Kings. Golden State has inexplicably won two in a row itself, but I believe the injury depleted home side has a hard time keeping pace with Houston's scoring depth of James Harden and Russell Westbrook on the national stage (note that Harden is 5-2 on X-Mas Day games as well.) 

The pick: Additionally note that Houston is 4-0 ATS in its last four on the road and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 vs. clubs with losing records, while GS is only 11-29-1 ATS in its last 41 following a SU victory. D'Angelo Russell has been decent for GS this season, but I think his lack of scoring help dooms the home side tonight. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

10* BEATDOWN on the Houston Rockets.

The set-up: Both teams are headed to the playoffs, but each is fighting for a better spot. In a game which I see being decided by whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Green Bay beat Minnesota 21-16 at home and I do indeed feel that another outright victory isn't out of the question here either. Green Bay beat the Bears 21-13 last weekend and with a victory here it can wrap up the division crown. Look for veteran QB Aaron Rodgers to continue his brilliant season, so far he has 24 TD's and just two INT's. Also RB Aaron Jones had two TD's last weekend. 

The pick: The Vikes have won eight of their last ten, led by the great play of QB Kirk Cousins, who has 25 TD's and only five INT's. Also note, Minnesota is now already in the playoffs, having clinched after the Rams last outright to the 49ers yesterday. Finally note that Minnesota is just 2-11 ATS in its last 13 MNF contests, while GB is 6-1 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with winning records. Grab the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Green Bay Packers.

The set-up: With a big X-Mas day game on the horizon, I think the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Of course, the 11-19 Pistons can't afford to look past anyone at this point. The 76ers avoided a fourth straight defeat with a win over the Wizards at home last time out, but the Pistons suffered their fourth loss in a row in a disappointing performance vs. the Bulls. Additionally note that the Pistons play with revenge here after falling 117-111 in Philadelphia earlier in the year. On paper the 76ers are the better team, but I believe the situation sets up great for the desperate/hungry home side. 

The pick: The numbers/trends support as well, as note that the visitors are only 4-7 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records, while Detroit is already a perfect 3-0 ATS off a loss by ten points or more to a division rival. This one has "upset" written all over it, but I'll gladly grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Detroit Pistons.

The set-up: Canisius has won three staright in this series, including a 68-62 victory back in March last year. The Golden Griffins are 5-5, but the Saints are just 3-5. All that said, I think the hungry home side finally bounces back here and gets some revenge in this series in a big way at home tonight to open MAAC play. Note that Canisius is only 1-4 in true road contests this season, most recently falling 82-73 at Buffalo. 

The pick: The Saints are a "different" team at home. So far they're 3-0 there this season. Siena comes in with momentum as well after besting Bucnell 81-71 last time out. Finally note that the Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while the Golden Griffins are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. teams with a losing SU record. With revenge on their minds and momentum on their side, I like the Saints to dominate from start to finish. Lay the points.

10* MID-MAJOR GAME OF THE WEEK on Siena.

The set-up: Marshall finished 8-4 overall, including 2-2 in non-conference play. Its two win were over Ohio (33-31) and VMI, while it lost to Boise State (14-7) and Cincinnati (42-17.) Marshall won this bowl 38-20 last year, but I think it takes a step back here. Overall the Herd average 24.8 PPG and allow 23.1. 

The pick: UCF lost 27-24 to Cincinnati, but it finished 9-3 overall. The Knights average a whopping 43 PPG, while conceding just 22.8. Marshall has struggled in this spot for bettors as well, both over the long and short-term, going just 2-4 ATS in its last six after a win by six points or less, including only 1-2 ATS this year. Conversely, UCF has been money in the bank in this position by going 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, including 2-1 ATS this season. I think Marshall gets smoked on both sides of the ball from start to finish. Lay the points.

10* BLOWOUT on UCF.

The set-up: The Chiefs have a lot to play for, as while they've clinched the division, they're still gunning for home field advantage. The Bears are 7-7 and have fallen out of playoff contention. Is the thought of playing "spoiler" here an actual factor we can take into consideration? I don't think so. The Bears are out and now they face a non-conference power house. Yes Mitchell Trubisky has something to prove, but I don't think his slightly improved play of late is going to be enough here. 

The pick: The Chiefs have rebounded from a tough stretch and they're looking sharp on both sides of the ball, averaging 28.1 PPG, while the defense has recorded 14 INT's and 39 sacks this season. Additionally note that Chicago is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records, while KC is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite. I'm laying the points and expecting a complete lop-sided destruction.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the KC Chiefs.

The set-up: The Hawks come in off another loss, but were competitive by covering the spread at home vs. Utah last time out. The Nets return home off a loss to the Spurs, a game in which they led for most of until the final moments when they stumbled and blew it. Atlanta's weakness is on the defensive end, but it looked a lot better vs. Utah most recently and I think it carries that momentum over here. 

The pick: Spencer Dinwiddie is doing everything he can for the Nets this year with Kyrie Irving still sidelined with injury, but note that the Nets have been disastrous in this spot for bettors, going 4-7 ATS in their last 11 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, including 0-2 ATS this year. The Hawks conversely have gone a strong 9-4 ATS already this season after three or more consecutive SU losses. In a game which I see coming down to the final moments, I'm grabbin the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Atlanta Hawks.

The set-up: Buffalo's won ten games for the first time in more than 20 years and it's headed back to the playoffs. The Patriots have also already clinched. Each team though is still jockeying for better playoff positioning. The Bills' young QB Josh Allen has made significant strides since the first time he faced New England earlier in the year and I believe he has a legitimate shot at avenging that setback. Note that when they played Tom Brady the first time, they kept the hall of fame QB in check by allowing him only 150 yards on 39 attempts. The Bills have been tremendous at home, but they come in the under radar here afte rgoing 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight away from friendly confines.

The pick: New England has an 11-3 record, but Brady looks a step behind (he's thrown for less than 190 yards in three of his past four games.) The defense has looked shaky at times over the last month as well. Additionally note that the Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last five in revenging a close loss by seven points or less to an opponent, while NE is just 1-5 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records. I'm grabbing the points.

10* BLOOD-BATH on Buffalo.

The set-up: Cal Irvine comes to Illinois Chicago with a 7-6 record. The Flames are the "hungrier" team here in my estimation after starting just 4-8. UIC returns home for the first time in three games, which I believe is going to help it tremendously. UCI though is playing its third straight away from friendly confines and I believe this works against it. UCI comes in off a dishearening 67-61 loss to UTEP in the championship game of the Sun Bowl Tournament on December 17th as well. 

The pick: UIC is fighting hard and will be in a particularly foul mood here after falling 67-66 to Illinois State last time out. Tarkus Ferguson was a bright spot in defeat with 22 points. Not as well that UIC is already 3-1 ATS this season off a road loss, while UCI is only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a favorite. In a contest which I envision coming down to the final moments, I'm grabbing the points.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Illinois Chicago.

The set-up: I think the Kings come in under the radar here and keep this one competitive until the final moments. Sacramento is just 12-15 on the year, but it's looked a lot better despite a loss to Charlotte last time out. Overall the Kings average 104.7 PPG and concede 107. The Pacers are 19-9 on the year and 12-3 at home. Overall the Pacers average 109.2 PPG and concede 104.2. 

The pick: The Kings can't afford to look past anyone, but would anyone fault Indiana "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent todayw tih a game at Milwaukee on Sunday, followed by a game at home vs. Toronto on the 23rd (in fact, key players could be rested for the home side here.) This one has "upset" written all over it in my opinion, but I'm grabbing the points in the end.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Sacramento Kings.

The set-up: Hofstra is 7-4 and Princeton is 3-7. Hofstra enters off a win over Stony Brook, after falling by 28 to St. Bonaventure. Overall the Pride average 77.6 PPG, but I think they'll have their hands full from this suddenly surging home side. 

The pick: After a slow start though the Tigers come in off two straight victories, inlcuding a 90-86 OT win over Iona at the inaugural Air Force Reserve Basketball Hall of Fame Invitational at the Barclays Center. NOte that the Tigers are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten following an ATS victory, while Hofstra is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine following a victory and only 1-4 ATS in its last five road games vs. teams with a losing road record. I think the momentum the Tigers are riding is real and I look for them to carry it over for at least one more game. Lay the points.

10* MID MAJOR MAULING on Princeton.

The set-up: I think the 1-5 Marist Red Foxes give the 6-2 Rider Broncos everything they can handle. Marist is only averaging 56.2 PPG, but it's been good defensively in conceding only 62. 

The pick: The Broncs have won four in a row and I think they come in complacent here. On paper clearly Rider is the better team, but I think the situation and the numbers point to the Red Foxes being able to cover with this huge number they've been afforded. Note as well that Marist is a solid 4-1 ATS in its last five off a close road loss by three points or less, while Rider is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Marist.

The set-up: The Lakers come in off a big 113-110 road win over Miami, handing the Heat their first loss of the year. The Lakers have the best record in the NBA, but with a game at Indiana, followed by a tilt at Milwaukee, then at home to Denver before their X-Mas Day matchup at home vs. the Clippers, would anyone fault the visitors in some small way "looking past" their lowly opponent today? Note that this is a "revenge" game as well for ATL after it fell 122-101 in LA on November 19th as a 15 point underdog. 

The pick: The Hawks can't look ahead or look past anyone on any given night with their 6-20 record. ATL has lost three straight, but note that it's 8-2 ATS in its last ten after three straight losses by ten points or more (and that includes going 2-0 ATS this year.) LA on the other hand is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) Grab the points, expect a comfortable cover.

10* PLAY-BOOK on the Atlanta Hawks.

The set-up: CSUN is only 2-8 and the Pacific Tigers are 9-3, but I'm expecting a competitive battle until the final horn. CSUN comes in highly motivated after three straight losses, while Pacific comes in complacent after four straight victories. The numbers on paper firmly favor the Tigers, but as stated above, I think from a situational stand point this one sets up great for the hungry Matadors. 

The pick: Note as well that Pacific is 2-4 ATS in its last six home games, while CSUN is 4-0 ATS in its last four on the road. Pacific is also 0-3 ATS the last three in this series in front of the home town crowd. I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, keep this one very tight until the final moments. Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on CS Northridge.

The set-up: Denver still has a mathematical shot at making the playoffs, but it has to win out and also get some outside help. It's obviously never going to happen, but I love playing on highly motivated teams and clearly the visiting side fits that bill here. The Chiefs on the other hand have already clinched the division, so a minor letdown here mentally is definitely in the cards as well in my opinion. Denver comes to town on a role as well after two straight wins, most recently steam-rolling the Texans 38-24 on the road. Rookie QB Drew Lock had 300 yards vs. the Texans last week and the Chiefs' secondary is a lot worse. 

The pick: Clearly it won't be a cake walk, as KC enters having won three straight. With a tough road game in Chicago next week, KC could be caught looking past its opponent this afternoon as well. Finally note that the Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last seven as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while KC is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a home favorite of 7.5 to ten points. I'm banking the Broncos fighting tooth and nail and because of that, I'm grabbing the points.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Denver Broncos.

The set-up: The 8-2 San Francisco Dons are at Cal State Fullerton to take on the 3-7 Titans. San Francisco has the much better early numbers across the board, but I think the desperate/hungry home side will give the Conference leader everything it can handle. San Fran comes in off a highly satisfying 76-64 win over Cal and I think it does indeed come in complacent here. 

The pick: Cal State on the other hand will be desperate here to pull off the upset and snap a five-game slide, most recently falling 66-55 to San Diego. San Fran though has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 as a road favorite, while Cal State has gone 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in three straight games. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a war until the final horn. 

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Cal State Fullerton.

The set-up: For over a decade Navy domianted this series, but over the last five it's been Army that's had the decisive upper-hand. But that was then and this is now. These teams are moving in opposite directions coming into this one and I expect those trends to continue. Army finished 5-7 and it ended its campaign with a listless 52-31 road loss to Hawaii. Navy on the other hand finished 9-2 and it enters this contest on a two game win streak. 

The pick: Army averages 30.3 PPG and it allows 22.3. Navy averages 39.3 PPG and it allows 24.2. Both teams run the triple option, but Army allows 144 rushing yards per game. I think that Navy' QB Malcom Perry is going to have a big day here. Additionally note that the Midshipmen are 7-1 ATS in their last eight as a favorite and 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. teams with losing records, while Army is only 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout from start to finish.

10* SIDE WINNER on Navy.

The set-up: The Hoosiers opened up the season 9-0. Then last week they lost their first Big Ten Game 84-64 to Wisconsin. This is the Hoosiers first home conference game of the year, but I think they'll come out flat here vs. this hungry 4-5 Cornhuskers side. Note that the Hoosiers have only played one ranked team so far, so their win/loss record needs to be taken with a grain of salt in my opinion. Nebraska comes in off a 95-76 loss to a red hot Creighton team, but I think it bounces back here and keeps this one more competitive than what this spread would suggest. 

The pick: Note as well that Indiana is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 home games following a road conference loss of 20 points or more, while Nebraska is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog of 15 points or more and off of a loss of 15 points or more. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* COACH'S CLINIC on Nebraska.

The set-up: I had a play on the Pacers in their home win over the Celtics two nights ago. I then played against the Celtics last night in their second straight contest, this time at home to the 76ers. Philly won that game and now I think the Pacers will stumble here in similar fashion vs. this desperate Hawks side. Outright upset? Possible, but in a game which I do definitely envision coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab up what I feel to be a generous amount of points. 

The pick: The Hawks give up a whopping 118.8 PPG, but the Pacers aren't blowing anyone away with their offense (Oladipo still sidelined with injury and while Malcolm Brogdon has been decent, offense is still Indiana's weakness.) Where the Pacers excel is on the defensive side, but Trae Young and company's strength is clearly on the offensive side (27.9 PPG average.) Finally note that Indiana is already a terrible 1-5 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less, while ATL is already a solid 3-1 ATS this season off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more (Hawks were just humbled in Chicago.) A three game home stretch follows this game for the Pacers, including a high-profile contest vs. the Lakers. I think the visitors get caught looking ahead and I look for the desperate/hungry home side to take advantage. Grab the points.

10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Atlanta Hawks.

The set-up: I had a big play on the Pacers last night and after a back and forth battle with Boston, the home side eventually pulled away and held on for the victory in the final moments. Some could argue that Boston got caught "looking ahead" to this game at home vs. the now division leading 76ers, but I'll argue against that. Just look at the performance of Kemba Walker, who poured in 44 points, with three rebounds and seven assists.

The pick: Philadelphia has been poor on the road and the C's have been fantastic at home this season. But all good and bad things come to an end, and I think the highly motivated 76ers come in and take advantage of this tired Boston team that laid everything on the line last night in Indiana. Note that Philly is 7-3 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records, while Boston is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine in the second game of a back to back following a loss in which it allowed 100 or more points in. The situation highly favors the 76ers here.

10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Philadelphia 76ers.

The set-up: I think this is a non-conference opponent in which K-State will get caught looking past. Alabama State is just 1-7, most recently comign off a 73-59 loss to South Dakota on Monday. Tobi Ewuosho continues to lead Alabama State in scoring at 13.8 points per game, while he is also grabbing a team-high 6.3 rebounds per game. K-State is 5-3, but I think it comes out flat here after it's disappointing 73-65 loss to Marquette on December 7th. In fact, the loss ended a 33-game home winning streak vs. non-conference opponents (in the loss the Wildcats shot a season-low in field goal percentage at 32.3 percent.) 

The pick: Alabama State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference games following a loss by ten or more points, while K-State is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 non-conference home games following an ATS home loss. The Wildcats have a ten day break after this game before a home contest vs. St. Louis. Alabama State is right back on the road at Boise State this weekend though. I think the hungry dog keeps this ine competitive late. Grab the points.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Alabama State.

The set-up: The Celtics have a game tomorrow night at home vs. the 76ers, who took a .5 game lead with last night's win at home over the Nuggets. Indiana though will be the more motivated side in my opinion after losing two of three. Previous to that though the Pacers had won eight of 11. Indiana also lost three of four to Boston in the regular season last year, while also getting swept by the Celtics in the first round of the playoffs. Revenge is certainly a motivating factor working in favor of the home side as well. Boston averages 110.6 PPG and it allows 104.7, while Indiana averages 108.8 and it concedes 102.8. 

The pick: Note that Boston is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off three or more straigth home wins, while Indiana is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four off an upset loss by ten points or more as a home favorite. I think the C's do get caught looking ahead to their game tomorrow night and I like the motivated and revenge minded home side to take advantage. Lay the point/s.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Indiana Pacers. 

The set-up: Here's another "David vs. Goliath" matchup and while I'm obviously not calling for an outright upset here, I do think that the hungry 1-7 Detroit Titans can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest vs. the 6-3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish. ND looks vulnerable after two straight losses as well. Yes the Irish have beaten up on the "lesser" competition, but it's already lost to heavyweights Maryland, Boston College and North Carolina. Notre Dame is clearly the better team, but the Titans do have a stand-out in Antoine Davis, who averages 23.8 PPG. 

The pick: The Titans have responded well in this spot for bettors as well, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while ND is just 11-21 ATS in its last 32 as a home favorite and only 2-5 ATS in all non-conference games alread this season. I like the hungry visiting side to keep this one close down the stretch.

10* play on Detroit.

The set-up: The 9-14 Detroit Pistons are in the Big Easy to take on the 6-17 Pelicans. Detroit's won three in a row, including a victory over the Pacers last time out. New Orleans on the other hand is struggling with consistency, but it clearly won't be lacking for motivation here after eight straight losses. After narrowly getting by the Pacers, I think this does indeed finally set up as a letdown spot for Detroit. Last night I had a play on the Kings and they wound up winning outright on the road vs. the Mavericks. I think this is a similar type situation here, as the Mavericks entered last night's contest as one of the hottest teams in the league and the Kings were desperate for a victory. 

The pick: Additionally note that Detroit is 0-4 ATS in its last four whne playing on two days rest and a poor 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight following an ATS victory, while New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last ten at home in this series. I think the Pelicans finally get over the hump here vs. a complacent Pistons team that struggles on the road anyways. Lay the point/s.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Pelicans.

The set-up: Interesting to note, this game won't actually be played on the Dukes home court, as the UPMC Copper Fieldhouse is being renovated. Instead its at the Kerr Fitness Center ten minutes away. The Lions won't be lacking for motivation here, as they fell to Bryant, 67-65, on a last-second steal and dunk in Smithfield. Columbia got a career-high 25 points from Randy Brumant, who also had 12 boards and also 22 points from Mike Smith. The Dukes are 7-0 after a 71-58 win over VMI on Wednesday, but I think Duquesne will have its hands full here vs. a Lions team which has plenty of talent to match. 

The pick: Additionally note that Columbia is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog or pick, while the Dukes are just 9-14 ATS in their last 23 as a home favorite or pick. I think the "hungrier" team catches the complacent home side flat-footed and I expect it to comfortably sneak in through the back door once it's all said and done. Grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Columbia.

The set-up: Dallas is looking fantastic behind the play of 20 year old phenom Luca Doncic. Doncic has plenty of talent around him as well, but after yesterday's big win over the Pelicans, I think the home side finally gets caught complacent here. The Kings on the other hand are 8-13 and they're hungry for a victory here after three straight losses. The Kings came close though in their last one, falling 105-104 in OT to the Spurs. 

The pick: Clearly in every respect, the Mavericks are better on than the Kings on paper. But Sacramento remains competitive and it's playing its best ball of the young season right now. Additionally note that the Kings are already 8-4 ATS on the road this year and 6-2 ATS off a road loss. The Mavs on the other hand are just 5-6 ATS at home this season. This one comes down to the wire, so grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Sacramento Kings.

The set-up: I think the 2-5 Thundering Herd can keep this one competitive until the final moments vs. the 6-2 Toledo Rockets. The Herd play with immediate revenge here, as they fell to Toledo 96-70 at home just last week. Marshall then lost to Akron, while Toledo defeated Cleveland State in its last trip to the court. 

The pick: The Rockets have won three straight, but I think they'll have much more of a fight on their hands vs. Taevion Kinsey and the hungry visiting side. I'll point out as well that Marshall has responded well for bettors in a "revenge" role, going 8-2 ATS in its last ten in revenging a loss where an opponent scored 85 or more points. Toledo on the other hand has struggled in this position, going 13-16 ATS in its last 29 as a home favorite or pick, including only 1-2 ATS this season. In a contest which I envision coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Marshall.

The set-up: I have the Bills at 5.5. Whether you have 5, 5.5 or 6, I love this play. So far the Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have passed almost every test this year, but I think they're in trouble here this weekend vs. this under the radar Bills team which continues to get little respect from the oddsmakers. The Ravens have a "cream puff" at home vs. the Jets next weekend, followed by games vs. the Browns and then at home vs. the Steelers. Both teams have superb defenses, so I'm calling that area a "wash." Jackson have been phenomenal, but Bills' QB Josh Allen has gotten progressively better each week as well and he's been particularly sharp over the last month. 

The pick: The road ahead though is not quite as "easy" for the Bills, who have back-to-back road games at Pittsburgh and New England. Neither of those games are going to be "easy." This game isn't going to be "easy" either, but Buffalo clearly has to be looking at this contest as a "must win" game. In fact, I'm banking on it! Of course Jackson and company really "want" to win this one, but would anyone fault the second year pro and Baltimore for finally having a "letdown" here and looking ahead to that much more winnable game at home next week? Baltimore managed the SU win over the 49ers last weekend, but not ATS. I think it stumbles here as well (additionally note that Baltimore is just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 after one more loss vs. the spread, including 1-3 ATS this season, while Buffalo is already a perfect 4-0 ATS this year as an underdog.) The bottom line is that I think the Ravens do indeed finally have their letdown, while I expect Buffalo to risk life and limb in front of the home town crowd. While the outright is possible, in the end let's grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE YEAR on the Buffalo Bills.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. I expect the hungry home side to go up early and to maintain throughout vs. a Kings team which enters off a hard-fought 2-1 loss in Edmonton just last night. Calgary lost six in a row, but it's since won five of its last six, including three in a row. The Flames also play with revenge here after falling 4-1 to the Kings earlier in the season. From a situational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for a lop-sided destruction in my opinoin. 

The pick: Note as well that LA is a terrible 4-10 (-4.2 units) vs. the division this year, while Calgary is 45-31 (+8.3 units) in its last 76 following a non-conference game. For all the reasons listed above, lay the 1.5 goals for the small return.

10* PUCK-lINE ULTRA DESTRUCTION on the Calgary Flames.

The set-up: I think the high-paced, high-flying 12-0 Ohio State Buckeyes keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Ohio State has won nine of the last ten in this series and covered in eight. Wisconsin has won four straight after dropping two in a row to these very Buckeyes, and also inexplicably to Illinois. But Ohio State has overcome every challenge so far this year and now that it's gotten this far, I expect an even more focussed effort from QB Justin Fields (37 TD's and only one pick.) Keep your eyes on RB JK Dobbins as well. 

The pick: Wisconsin averages 35.8 PPG and it only allows 14.6. QB Jack Coan has 17 TD's and four INT's. The Badgers though are only 2-4 ATS in their last six as a dog and only 1-3 ATS this year off a win by ten points or more vs. a conference rival. Ohio State on the other hand is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a neutral field favorite. Look for Ohio State's experience and depth to once again prove to be too much for the Badgers to handle. Lay the points.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Ohio State.

The set-up: EMU is 7-1 and Detroit is just 1-6. Detroit's had a difficult early schedule, while the Eagles have had an easy go of it to open the campaign. Note that three of EMU's four wins vs. D1 teams have come by six points or less. Also note that the Eagles have allowed at least 77 points in each of their last two games. 

The pick: Detroit's first two games of the year came on the road vs. good ACC opponents. The Titans have one of the most dynamic players in the country in Antonie Davis though and I expect this team to finally show up here today. According to the Kenpom.com rankings, EMU has been the "luckiest" team so far this season and I believe that luck finally runs out here vs. this battle tested and extremely desperate home side. Grab the points.

10* MAULING on Detroit.

The set-up: Oregon lost a game to ASU a couple of weeks ago. The Ducks likely won't be invited to the Playoff Championship with a win today, but Utah likely would. The Ducks are out to play spoiler and to pull off a big upset in the Pac 12 Championship and in a contest which I see coming down to the wire, I'm going to ultimately recommend to grab the points. Utah's only loss came against USC and since then it's been pretty much perfect, led by a tough defense. Oregon lost to Auburn in its opener and then posted nine straight wins. And with what I feel to be the best QB in the conference in Justin Hebert leading the way, I absolutely believe that the Ducks have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one (also note that the Ducks rank 10th in the nation in rushing defense.) 

The pick: Utah's been unbelievable, but it's had to "bend" and not "break" a couple of times (allowing 30 points to USC and 28 to Washington.) Additionally note that the Utes are just 1-3 ATS in their last four played on a neutral field, while the Ducks are 4-1 ATS this season following a home victory. I think that matters here as I look for Oregon to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Oregon.

The set-up: The Central Arkansas Bears won't be going down without a fight here. The Bears come in off back-to-back OT losses, most recently falling 78-72 to Prairie View A&M. Hayden Koval was a bright spot in a losing cause with 20 points and 11 boards, along with three blocked shots. 

The pick: But the Bears are still only 1-6, while the mighty Wichita State Shockers are 6-1. Simply put I believe that the home side goes up big early and then takes the foot off the gas in the second half. The Shockers are off their first loss of the year in a 75-63 setback to WVU in the championship game of the Cancun Challenge. I like the battle tested Bears to keep pace late. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on Central Arkansas. 

The set-up: The Lakers come in off a hard-fought 105-96 win at Denver last night and I believe they'll be hard pressed to keep pace with the hungry and revenge minded Jazz, who return home off a poor road trip which saw them get humbled in LA vs. the Lakers. Utah's always been much better at home and with a night off to prepare for this one, I do indeed believe that from a situational stand point, this one absolutely sets up fantastically for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well though that despite last night's win, the Lakers are still only 4-5 ATS on the road this year. Utah is 0-2 ATS to open December, but note that it's 11-3 ATS in its last 14 after two more straight road losses. The numbers/trends and the overall situation points to a home side blowout here in my opinion.

10* REVENGE ELITE OF ELITE on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: Akron had won seven straight in this series, before Marshall took the last two. The Zips are 5-2 and the Herd are 2-4. Akron is 5-0 at home and it's two road losses have come against Louisville and WVU. Akron is ranked 168th in the country in offensive efficiency, shooting 32.7 percent. Overall the Zips concede just 62.5 PPG. 

The pick: The Herd are hungry for a big win here obviously. So far they're averaging 70.8 PPG, while allowing 73.7. Taevion Kinsey is averaging 14.8 PPG. On paper, Akron would appear to have the advantage. But I think both sides early numbers are skewed somewhat due to the level of competition. I absolutely believe though that Marshall is the "hungrier" team here. I'll point out additionally that the Herd are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with a winning SU record, while the Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last four as a radof favorite. Clearly the outright isn't out of the question, but let's grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Marshall.

The set-up: I think the division leading Mavs get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. This is a revenge game for the home side after the Mavs took the first meeting of the year by a score of 123-116. But after ending the Lakers ten game win streak in LA with a 114-100 road win last time out, I do indeed feel this sets up as a "trap" for Dallas. 

The pick: The Pelicans have been dealing with injury issues since Day 1 this year, which has resulted in the sub-par record. But after five-straight losses, I think their "hunger" is the difference here. Keep your eyes on New Orleans' Brandon Ingram, who leads the team with 25.5 PPG. Additionally note that Dallas is a poor 3-9 ATS in its last 12 off a win by ten points or more as an underdog, while New Orleans is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. While I wouldn't be shocked by the outright, in the end I'm grabbing the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the New Orleans Pelicans.

The set-up: Of course I'm not predicting an outright upset, but I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Simply put I think the 4-2 Wildcats, who return home for this contest, are going to get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent to their highly anticipated Big 12/Big East battle on Saturday night

The pick: K-State also looks vulnerable here after back-to-back losses to Pittsburgh and Bradley. Note that A&M is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games as a 22 point underdog or higher. Grab the points.

10* BEAT-DOWN on Florida A&M.

The set-up: The Wizards are 1-2 on their current four game trip and they come in off a loss to the defensive minded Lakers. The Wizards do allow 121 PPG, but the Clippers more methodical offensive pace works in our favor here considering the large spread the visitors have been afforded in this situation. Despite the defensive ineptitude, Washington remains the highest scoring team in the league as well.  

The pick: LA has plenty of talent and it will be contending for the Western Conference title at the end of the year, but the Clippers return home off a 107-97 loss to the Spurs and I think they'll come out flat here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent. Note as well that Washington is 7-3 ATS as a road dog already this year, while LA is just 7-8 ATS as a favorite. Grab the points.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Washington Wizards.

The set-up: Both teams come in off victories. SIU beat UNC Central, while SLU got the better of Boston College. SIU has to be feeling confident here though as it's won three of the last four in this series, including last year's contest 61-56. Overall the Salukis average 63.4 PPG and allow 38.9 percent shooting from the field. 

The pick: Saint Louis averages 72.7 PPG and it's allowing 37.8 percent shooting from the field. Southern Illinois is also 5-1 ATS in its last six after a win by 15 points or more, while Saint Louis is 0-6 ATS in its last six as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. Grab the points and expect a spirited battle until the end. 

10* HIGH-ROLLER on Southern Illinois. 

The set-up: San Francisco is 10-1 and the Ravens are 9-2. Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson has been unbelievable, but I think the second year pro will have a difficult time today vs. the 49ers top ranked defense. Jimmy Garropolo and the 49ers come in off a complete game destruction of the Packers. 

The pick: The Ravens have looked fantastic, but I think they'll have a real fight on their hands here. San Francisco matches up extremely well with Baltimore and Kyle Shannahan has made all the right calls in the early going as head coach (note as well that SF is already 2-0 ATS this season as a road dog, while Baltimore is just 1-3 ATS as a home favorite. In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the San Fran 49ers.

The set-up: I like the 2-5 Pirates to pull off the minor upset here, vs. 3-4 James Madison. JMU fell to Coppin State on Wednesday, while ECU was 1-2 in the Bahamas, but now coming into this contest well rested after an extended break due to the travel associated with the Tournament. The Pirates' rebounding is top 100 in the nation and it's kept them in games early. 

The pick: JMU fell 94-78 to Coppin State last time out. The Dukes allow 73 PPG, so the Pirates' offense has a big opportunity here tonight as well. ECU matches up well vs. the Dukes and note that it's 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with five of six days rest. Conversely note that this is a spot in which JMU has been a disaster for bettors, going just 7-14 ATS as a favorite. While the outright is possible, in the end I'm grabbing the points.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on East Carolina. 

The set-up: BC won't be guaranteed a bowl game if it wins today, but at 6-6, it'll become "eligible." Pittsburgh is 7-4 on the year and it's already thinking about its bowl contest. Pitt comes in flat as well after its 28-0 loss to VT last weekend. The Eagles defense is admittedly terrible, but there are two key players out on the Pitt offense today, which leaves the door open for the BC defense to step up and perform in this crucial contest. Overall BC's 457.7 YPG on offense rank it 23rd in the country. 

The pick: Pitt was in the ACC Championship Game last year, but the Panthers won't be making a repeat in that contest this season. Last time out Panthers' QB Kenny Pickett posted a QB rating of 4.8. Panthers' are hurt here today with the absence of RB Todd Sibley Jr and WR Maurice French. Pitt's defense is going to be tested here today and note that the Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with a losing road record. In a game which comes down to the wire, let's grab up all these points.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on Boston College.

The set-up: Clearly "on paper" the Clippers are the better team. LA has won seven straight, most recently holding on for a 121-119 victory at Memphis. Winning as a favorite on the road is never easy though and I think the now complacent Clippers finally have a letdown here. The Spurs lost eight in a row before a victory, but they've since dropped two more straight on the bounce. 

The pick: I think LA is as good as it appears to be at the moment, but I definitely do not believe that the Spurs are as horrible as their recent losing streak would indicate. As a situational handicapper (primarily), these are the types of games which I'm constantly on the look out for. San Antonio has a very real shot at winning this one outright in my opinion (note tht LA is a poor 2-5 ATS on the road this season and 0-2 ATS off a road victory, while San Antonio is still 12-6 ATS in its last 18 as a home dog,) but in the end I'm going to grab all the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: App State is 10-1. Troy is 5-6. At 6-6, the Trojans wouldn't even necessarily be guarateed a bowl spot, but with a victory over the Mountaineers as part of that resume, they'd almost assuredly "get the call." App State has won three straight, while Troy's two game win streak came to an end with a loss to Louisiana Lafayette last weekend. Troy though has covered its last two in this series as a double-digit dog and with a bowl berth on the line, I think the Trojans can keep this one competitive late. App State is getting balanced production on both sides of the ball, led by QB Zac Thomas. 

The pick: Troy has been much better at home than on the road (lost 53-3 at the Cajuns last weekend, but allowed an average of only 20 points in winning two straight previous home contests over South Alabama and Georgia Southern.) The Trojans won't be scared to throw here either, as QB Kaleb Barker has 3,300 passing yards this season with 30 TD's and nine picks. Note as well that App State is already 0-3 ATS this year off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, while Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five off a road loss. Expect a war unitl the end and grab the points with the Trojans.

10* BEST OF THE BEST on Troy.

The set-up: USC is 5-1 and Fairfield is 1-4. USC though comes in off its first loss of the year and I think it'll still be mentally caught up on that setback. SDSU ended the Trojans five-game win skein. Overall USC averages 77.5 PPG and it allows 66.5. The Stags are averaging 64 PPG and allowing 70.2. To their credit, the Stags have played some stiff competition, most recently calling to SMU 74-55. 

The pick: Note though that the Stags have been money in the bank for bettors in this spot though already this year, going 4-1 ATS as an underdog (note that they're also 7-3 ATS in their last ten tournament contests.) USC on the other hand is just 17-21 ATS in its last 38 after playing a home game and only 5-6 ATS in its last 11 vs. schools with losing records. I'm grabbing the points.

10* SITUATIONAL BEATDOWN on Fairfield.

The set-up: The Raptors are dominating with Paskall Siakim and Fred VanFleet running the show. Serge Ibaka and Kyle Lowry are still sidelined with minor injuries, but Toronto just keeps on finding ways to win. Most recently the Raptors dominated their second half game at home vs. the 76ers and pulled away for the 101-96 victory. The Knicks won't be going down with a fight here though as they suffered another slim loss to the Nets last time out, falling 103-101. New York has lost three in a row and four of five. With upcoming games vs. Philly, Boston, Milwaukee and Denver, the Knicks' road ahead isn't getting any easier. 

The pick: Toronto has a game in Orlando on Friday, followed by home contests vs. Utah, Miami and Houston. After its emotional victory over Philly, would anyone fault the home side for looking past their lowly opponent in some small way today? The trends support our theory as well, as note that the Knicks are a sharp 5-1 ATS in their last six as a road dog, while Toronto is a poor 7-11 ATS in its last 18 off a home win vs. a division rival. No outright upset, but decided in the final moments. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the New York Knicks.

The set-up: I think this is a good spot to lay a mid sized price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. The Bruins just destroyed the Habs in Montreal 8-1 last night and I think that a predictable letdown is very possible in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. 

The pick: The Sens have looked a lot better of late too, as their three-game streak came to an end in a 1-0 loss to the Jackets on Monday. Note as well that they're 7-4-0 on their own ice. Also note that Boston is just 4-5 (-3.5 units) vs. the division this season. The Bruins clearly have the better numbers, but I think the situation favors an upset. That said, the reasonable mid sized price for the extra 1.5 goals is the correct call in my opinoin. 

10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Ottawa Senators.

The set-up: Niagara won't be lacking for motivation here as it searches for its first win of the season. Most recently NU fell 73-62 to Bryan on November 18th. The Purple Eagles though play six of their next seven on the road, so there's no question that they'll be out to get off on the "right foot" here. They're also desperate to get off the schneid. They came close vs. Stephen F. Austin, shooting 55 percent from the floor for the first time since 2018, while James Towns had 21 points in a losing cause to Bryant most recently. And with tough games vs. Syracuse, Rutgers, Buffalo and St. Bonaventure, the Purple Eagles will be out to score the upset vs. this "lesser" competition. 

The pick: The Fort Wayne Mastadons are 3-5 this year, including 3-0 at home. Their victories come over suspect competition though and note that they're just 1-6 ATS in their last seven after a blowout win by 20 points or more. Conversely note that Niagara is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range (including 2-0 this year.) In a contest which I see being decided in the final moments, I'll gladly grab all these points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Niagara.

The set-up: Ohio has everything to play for here at 5-6, but I look for the home side to make it tougher on the Bobcats than what this spread would suggest. The Zips don't want to go winless this year and last week they almost pulled off a massie upset, but they'd eventually fall 20-17 to Miami Ohio. Ohio is the much better team on paper, but the Zips have been playing much better of late and I like that progression (on both sides of the ball), to carry over in their final game in front of the home town crowd. 

The pick: Additionally note that Ohio is a poor 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite and only 1-3 ATS in its last four off a double digit road victory. Akron on the other hand is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a cover where it last as the underdog. A great situational play in my opinion. Grab the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Akron.

The set-up: Western Illinois scored its first win of the season in a 113-62 destruction of lowly Central Christian Bible College and while today's opponent is obviously significantly better, I still think the Leathernecks can carry that momentum over here and keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. Dre' Shawn Allen would go on to lead all scorers with a career-high 17 points in the victory. 

The pick: Ball State is coming off a 100-69 victory over Howard. Note that the Leathernecks won't be intimidated here though, as they have already played another MAC team this year, falling 86-81 to Northern Illinois in a tight affair just last week. Expect a similar final combined score here as well once it's all said and done. Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Western Illinois.

The set-up: The Ravens have a firm grip on the AFC North at 8-2. Baltimore comes in having won five straight, but I think it'll have its hands full with this desperate home side, which must now win tonight after both Seattle and San Francisco prevailed. The Rams made it to the Super Bowl last year, but if they don't win this game tonight, then they won't have the opportunity to try and do it again. 

The pick: LA only allows 89 rushing yards per game and the Ravens count on RB Mark Ingram to open things up for Ravens' QB Lamar Jackson. Jackson's been having a great year, but note that he's been sacked 18 times this year and LA already has 29 sacks under its belt. LA has actually won three of its last five, most recently a 17-7 victory over Chicago. Note as well that the Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last ten following a SU victory, while Baltimore is a poor 12-16 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite. In a game which comes down to the wire, let's grab the points.

10* BLOOD-BATH on the Rams.

The set-up: The Steelers are coming off a loss to the Browns. Pittsburgh's season is on the line here and while the 0-10 Bengals may not win this one outright, I do think the home side catches the right team at the right time to pull out its first victory. Pittsburgh is better than Cincinnati in two of three phases, but I certainly think that its QB Mason Rudolph is a major liability. Last week Rudolph threw four INT's. Also note that Pittsburgh is dealin with injuries to JuJu Smith-Schuster and RB James Conner. And to make matters worse, the Steelers lost center Maurkice Pouncey after last week's brawl with the Browns. Pittsburgh has had to deal with plenty of off-field distractions this week and I believe all of these add up to a major "letdown" here this weekend. 

The pick: Joe Mixon and the Bengals won't be going down without a fight today. Note as well that the Bengals are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games, while the Steelers are only 3-7 ATS in their last ten as a road favorite. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Cincinnati Bengals.

The set-up: SMU is 4-0 after narrowly getting by Evansville last time out. UNLV is 2-4 after falling to Texas State in its last game. The Mustangs had to hold on for dear life vs. the Purple Aces, prevailing 59-57, but I think they'll have their hands full here today from this hungry UNLV side. Tyson Jolly leads SMU with 18.3 points and 6.5 rebounds per game, but note that the Mustangs commit 15 turnovers a night. 

The pick: Amauri Hardy led the Rebels with 18 points in a losing cause last time out. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are pretty close, but I think UNLV comes in as the "hungrier" team here. SMU is also a terrible 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road favorite (and 0-3 ATS this season as a favorite overall), while UNLV is 4-1 ATS in its last five off an upset loss as a home favorite. For all the reasons listed above, play on the home side.

10* PLAY-BOOK on UNLV.

The set-up: Washington is 6-4 and bowl eligible, while Colorado is 4-6 and desperate for a vitory here to keep its chances alive awith only two games to play. Washington has been hit or miss this year, as losses to Utah and Oregon State is expected, while a setback to the Cal is now considered a poor one. 

The pick: Colorado has some big wins over Nebraska and Arizona State, but it's also been extremely inconsistent from game to game as well. But the Buffs have been a "different" team at home, having beaten Nebraska and Stanford (and they haven't suffered a home setback by more than one score.) Also note that Colorado QB Steven Montez has a 139 passer rating at home with ten TD's and three INT's, compared to a 109.6 rating on the road with a 4:7 TD:INT. At home the Buffs are averaging 11.5 more points per game on offense (26.8 at home vs. 15.3 on the road) and allowing 8.2 fewer points per game on the defensive side. I won't call for the outright, but the stage is certainly set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

10* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Colorado.

The set-up: LIU is 1-3 and it starts off the Western portion of its schedule with this game. SDSU is 4-0 and I think it gets caught sleeping on its opponent here. LIU posted its first win of the season on the road Monday , beating Delaware State 92-84. The Sharks had five players score in double digits in the win. I expect the team to carry that confidence and momentum over here. 

The pick: The Aztecs beat in-State rival San Diego most recently. NOte that only two players average in double-digit points for the Aztecs though. SDSU has a stout defense, but I think it'll be tested here by the Sharks' pace. No outright, but this spread is much too large considering the situation. Grab the points.

10* MAULING on Long Island.

The set-up: At 4-6 and with only two games left, Colorado has to win out to become eligible. Colorado State has won three of its past four games and it enters with momentum to face a Wyoming side which started the year, but which enters having dropped three of its last five. Having already earned eligibility, the Cowboys are going to have their hands full today again in my opinion vs. this desperate visting side. The Rams lost at home to Air Force in their last game, but they've won two in a row on the road. QB Patrick O'Brien has led CSU to score at least 35 points in three of his past four games.  

The pick: The Cowboys once rosey start is firmly in the rear view mirror now. Note that Wyoming's secondary has completely fallen off the map now as it allows 281.2 yards per game through the air. Finally note that CSU is a sharp 10-2 ATS in its last 12 following a double-digit home loss. I think the outright is possible, but in the end I'll recommend grabbing the points. 

10* BLOOD-BATH on Colorado State.

The set-up: I think this one sets up great for a competitive matchup. The 76ers have the Heat coming to town tomorrow night, followed by a game vs. the Raptors. If ever this team was going to "look past" an opponent, surely it's the non-conference Spurs who come to town having lost seven in a row. San Antonio will be risking life and limb here to try and reverse its fortunes and while the outright win isn't out of the question in my opinion, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in the end. 

The pick: Note that the 76ers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. teams with a losing SU record and 0-4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU victory, while the Spurs are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 off an upset loss as a road favorite. Grab the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: After a big home win over the Pelicans, I think they have a predictable letdown here vs. a Suns team which comes in focussed on the task at hand after a recent scuffling stretch. Note that despite their recent "up tick" in play the Pelicans are still allowing a horrible 118.9 PPG this year. New Orleans is getting promising play from Brandon Ingram of late, but New Orleans' poor defensive play is going to come back to haunt it again here in my opinion. 

The pick: Phoenix has lost three of its last five. It's once brilliant start is going to be firmly in the rear view mirror without a victory here today. Note though that the Pelicans are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last ten vs. clubs with winning SU records, while the Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games vs. clubs with losing road records. Enough is enough. Look for Devin Booker and company to lay the hammer down from start to finish and lay the points. 

10* PLAY-BOOK on the Phoenix Suns.

The set-up: The Colts come in off a win over the Jaguars, but I think they'll struggle here vs. a Houston team which enters off a loss to the Ravens. While Indianapolis will have Jacoby Brissett under center, note that it'll be without the services of top RB Marlon Mack, who suffered a broken hand. This is a major hit to an offense which relies on a strong run game to open things up for Brissett. 

The pick: The Texans not only want to bounce back after last week's loss to the surging Ravens, but they also play with revenge here after losing to the Colts by 7 in Indianapolis earlier in the year. Houston has had plenty of difficulties over the years with the Colts and while the struggled last week, I think this one sets up well for a bounce back performance. The short week favors the home side and I'll point out that Indy is in fact just 12-15 ATS in its last 27 as an underdog and 0-2 ATS in its last two "Thursday night" games, while Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last six in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent and 2-0 ATS in its last two Thursday night games. Lay the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Texans.

The set-up: Georgia Tech is going to try and play the role of spoiler here, but I like the 4-6 NC State Wolfpack to get one more victory to eligiblity after tonight. NC State has lost four in a row, most recently a 34-20 setback to Louisville. Tech has lost four straight as well, most recently a 45-0 shutout loss at Virginia Tech. NC State though actually outgained Louisville 377 to 326 last week, but it was unable to convert red zone chances. But a date vs. the inept Yellow Jackets is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked finally in my opinion. 

The pick: NC State is the better team on paper and I think it'll be the much better team on the field of play as well. Finally note that Georgia Tech is 0-7 ATS in its last seven at home, while NC State is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four road games vs. teams with a losing home record. For all the reasons listed above, play on NC State.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State.

The set-up: Central Michigan is 4-0, but it faces a stiff test here in this difficult road venue vs. a 1-3 Gophers team which is looking to get its four game home stand started off on the "right foot." Minnesota has faced tough power conference opponents, while the Chips' competition has been suspect. Note as well that despite the sub-par win/loss record, the Gophers already rank high in several team categories, including 37th in 3-pointers made.

The pick: As note above, two of CMU's victories have in fact come over non-Division 1 opposiion. This is also the Chips very first true road game of the year, with all four victories coming on their home floor. Minnesota has a 22-2 lifetime record vs. the MAC and I expect that number to go up by 1 after tonight. And in blowout fashion. The stage is set for a beatdown, so lay the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on Minnesota. 

The set-up: Buffalo's three-game winning run came to an end in it's 30-27 loss at Kent State last weekend. The Bulls had a 27-6 lead in that one as well with 11:18 left to play, but uncharacteristically fell apart and lost. Now at 5-5, time is running out to punch their eligibility. Toledo on the other hand gained eligibility and the lost to Northern Illinois 31-28 last weekend. Toledo started backup QB Eli Peters in that one and he's also expected to get the call here. The Rockets of course would love to improve their bowl standing, but after last week's loss, conference title contention is now definitely out of the question. Toledo is also the MACs top rushing team and its No. 1 RB Bryant Koback was taken out of the NIU game with a lower leg injury.

The pick: The Bulls suffered a rare mental lapse last week, but I think they bounce back in this "must win" scenario. Before the disastrous third quarter Buffalo held Kent State to just six points. With all of the issues and injuries Toledo is having on the offensive side of the ball, I look for the home side to take full advantage and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points.

10* MAC-SPLOSION on Buffalo.

The set-up: San Antonio is "desperate" here as it looks to break a six-game slide. However, the Wizards are equally as "hungry" for a victory and they could clearly care less about any of the Spurs' issues. Note. This is NOT the same Spurs of team of year's past. DeMar DeRozan is carrying the load well, but LaMarcus Aldridge isn't getting any younger and I think the the final game of this long and brutal road-trip will see the veteran struggle here. 

The pick: Both teams comes in off losses and each sport similar offensive and defensive numbers. But note that the Spurs are a terrible 17-22 ATS in their last 39 as a road favorite and only 1-8 ATS this season vs. teams which average 106 plus points or more per game. The Wizards and Bradely Beal on th eother hand are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 as a home dog of six points or less. Clearly the outright isn't out of the question, but grab the points as insurance.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Washington Wizards.

The set-up: Princeton is 0-3 and Indiana is 0-4. I think the hungry underdog keeps this one much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Tigers were 16-12 last year and they return four of their five starters. Note that outside of a blowout loss to Duquesne, Princeton has been solid overall this year and competitive in all of its losses. 

The pick: Indiana's four wins have come over Western Illinois, Portland State, North Alabama, and Troy. Clearly not murderers row. Last year Indiana was only 19-16 and now it faces its stiffest test so far. Note that the Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last ten when playing with five or six days rest, while the Hoosiers are only 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight covers as a double digit favorite. I'm grabbing the points on the desperate Tigers.

10* DESTRUCTION on Princeton.

The set-up: The Suns are starting to stumble and they come in off a poor 99-85 loss to the Celtics, who were playing the second game of a back-to-back, after they lost in Sacramento the night before. The Kings though are trending in the opposite direction in a big way and I believe the books are slow in recognizing the sudden drop off for Phoenix, and the "up-tick" in overall play from Sacramento. Combined with the fact that the Suns are playing the second game of a back to back here, there's no question in my mind that this one sets up fantastically for the Kings. 

The pick: And finally note that Sacramento is 36-20 ATS in its last 56 when trying to revenge a season season loss vs. an opponent, including having already gone 2-0 ATS this year. I'm expecting a blowout from start to finish.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Sacramento Kings.

The set-up: Fairfield is 1-3, but I think it'll sneak in under the radar this evening and post a solid cover. Note that while the Stags have the sub-par record, they've been competitive in every game, as their first two losses were by four points (vs. Bucknell) and two (UMass), then after beating Holy Cross, they fell to Loyola in OT 84-75. Note that Fairfield has veteran experience as well, as its top three scorers are all upperclassmen.

The pick: The Terps have won all three of their opening games by an average of 24 points. Mark Turgeon has a group of players which look poised for a deep run. Anthony Cowan Jr. leads the nightly charge and four others average more than 10 PPG. I never said it would be a cake walk, I simply feel this spread is much too high. Note as well that Fairfield is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contestw, while Maryland is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after three straight SU home victories. I think the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on Fairfield.

The set-up: Northern Illinois needs to run the table to become eligible. EMU is 5-5 and needs one more win to go Bowling. The Eagles killed lowly Akron 42-14 last weekend, but I think they'll have their hands full with this no surging Huskies side which enters off an impressive 31-28 win over Toledo to keep their slim chances alive. EMU is led by QB Mike Glass III and RB Shaq Vann, while NIU leans more on its run game than passing game. The Huskies are led by QB Ross Bowers, who has seven TD's and eight INT's thus far. But NIU RB Tre Harbison is a force to be reckoned with and I think he'll be a difference maker tonight (had 158 rushing yards last weekned.) 

The pick: Eastern Michigan is also only 1-5 ATS in its last six off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival, while NIU is 5-1 ATS in its last six off an upset win as a road underdog. I thik that "home field" is significant in this matchup, so I'm laying the points.

10* MAC-DESTRUCTION on NIU.

The set-up: UTSA comes in under the radar and desperate for a spark after starting 0-4. The Aggies are on the other end of the spectrum at 4-0. Clearly on paper this is a massive mismatch, but I think from a situational stand point this one sets up great for the hungry visiting side. 

The pick: And that's because UTSA has a monumental matchup with SEC heavyweight LSU up next! UTSA has an opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door here as I don't expect the home side to run up the score here as it gets caught looking ahead. Note as well that UTSA is 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with seven days rest, while Utah State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 15.5 to 18 points range. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on UTSA.

The set-up: The Spurs are on a five-game losing skid, but the Mavericks just broke a two-game losing streak with a win over the Raptors. Dallas could care less about the Spurs' issues and I think it'll lay the hammer down and try to kick this division opponent while its down. The Spurs let a 15 point lead slip away in their most recent 121-116 setback to the Blazers. Portland was desperate for a spark as well in that one. Spurs' big man LaMarcus Aldridge was exceptional with 30 points and 13 boards, but I have a hard time seeing the veteran mustering up the same energy here in the final game of this gruelling road trip. 

The pick: The Spurs offense has been decent, but their defense has been atrocious, ranking in the bottom quarter of the league statistically. Note as well that San Antonio is just 15-17 ATS in its last 32 as a road dog of six points or less (including 0-2 ATS this year), while Dallas is 3-1 ATS in its last four vs. clubs that allow 106 plus points per contest. No mercy here, look for the Spurs to pack up their tents early and lay the points with confidence.

10* DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR on the Dallas Mavericks. 

The set-up: This game is being played in Mexico City. Both teams enter off hard-fought and very close losses. KC fell 35-32 to Tennessee, while LA lost 26-24 to the Raiders. I think another "battle" is on our hands here and in a contest which I envision coming down to the final moments, I'll grab the points. KC has lost three of its last five and I believe its ripe for the picking here. Patrick Mahomes has 18 TD's and one INT so far, but I think he'll struggle in this difficult road venue vs. this desperate Chargers team which needs to win, or be eliminated from playoff contention. 

The pick: KC is just 2-6 ATS In its last eiht after a loss by six points or less and just 6-10 ATS in its last 16 after an ATS loss, while LA is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 as an underdog. While I wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

10* DESTRUCTION on the LA Chargers.

The set-up: Boston is 10-1 and Sacaramento is 4-7. Boston got it's road trip started off with a 105-100 win in Golden State, but with a game tomorrow night against the re-surgent Suns, followed by heavyweights LA Clippers and to finish their trip at Denver, I think Boston finally gets caught "looking ahead" in this classic "trap" game. Also note that Boston could rest players in anticipation of the upcoming grueling schedule.

The pick: The Kings on the other hand will be laying everything on the line here. Sacramento has won five of its last seven and it enters off a tough 99-97 loss on the road to the Lakers. Note as well that Boston is only 1-3-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory, while Sacramento is interestingly 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine in this series in front of the home town crowd. Look for the home side to throw everything it has into this game, but make sure to grab as many points as you can as well.

10* COAST-TO-COAST DESTRUCTION on the Sacramento Kings.

The set-up: The Mavericks are going to be in a foul mood here as they've lost three of their last four, including a second straight to the Knicks in the last ten days. A date vs. the defending champs, who have been getting unreal play from Paskal Siakim and Fred VanVleet and while they've won three straight in this series, I believe the defending champs finally get caught flat footed here vs. this determined home side. Toronto beat the Lakers, then lost 98-88 to the Clippers, before then beating the Pacers 114-106 in Portland. 

The pick: I'll point out though that Toronto is just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight when playing on two days rest, while Dallas is 8-2 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records and 4-1 ATS in its last five after a SU loss. This is Toronto's fifth road game in the last nine days and I look for it come in with "heavy legs" for this one. Lay the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks. 

The set-up: WVU won this game by a score of 35-6 last year, it's third straight in the series. But that was then and this is now. K-State is ranked No. 24, but after becoming bowl eligible it lost to Texas 27-24 last weekend and I think it gets caught looking past the Mountaineers. WVU's bowl aspirations are firmly on the line here. The Mountaineers are desperate after losing five straight. WVU will be looking to keep this one on the ground and try to grind out a victory here vs. a K-State side which allows 172 rushing yards per game. WVU has two strong backs in Leddie Brown and Kennedy McCoy. 

The pick: The Wildcats have bigger aspirations than just finishing with six wins, but I think they get caught looking past their opponent today to their upcoming bigger contest vs. Virginia Tech. WVU is also a strong 9-3 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records, while K-State is 0-3 ATS this year after a two-game road trip. Expect the home side to stumble again here and look for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

10* play on WVU. 

The set-up: Both teams comes in off losses. Fresno State fell to Utah State and it's now 4-5, while 7-2 SDSU lost to Nevada. Last year the Bulldogs won this game by a score of 23-14. But Fresno State is running out of time and after back-to-back games in which its lost in the final seconds by FG, I think the Bulldogs finally get the job done here. Overall Fresno State averages 34.3 points behind QB Jore Renya, while allowing 32.4 PPG on the defensive side. 

The pick: SDSU only allows 14.4 PPG, but it only averages 20.8. Aztecs' QB Ryan Agnew has ten TD's and four INT's. The Aztecs are a run oriented offense, but I think they'll have a hard time keeping up with their high-flying opponent today. Additionally note that Fresno State is 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 37 points or ore in its previous outing, while SDSU is 0-3 ATS in its last three after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. Look for the Bulldogs' high-powered offense to be the difference tonight. 

10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST on Fresno State.

The set-up: Clearly on paper CS Northridge is over-matched here. But I think the 0-3 Matadors can comfortably sneak in through the back door here vs. the 3-0 Auburn Tigers. CSUN's defense has been terrible, but it's offense has been decent. Last time out it lost 94-82 to Pepperdine. Auburn is the 22nd ranked team in the country, but it's yet to face anyone from a major conference yet. 

The pick: Yes the Matadors have lost both road games this year, but note that they're 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 away from friendly confines. Auburn may be 3-0, but it had to hold on for dear life in its 70-69 win over South Alabama last time out. Note as well that CSUN is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a home loss by ten or more points, while Auburn is just 1-3 ATS in its last four vs. teams with losing records. I like the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on CS Northridge.

The set-up: LBSU comes in battle tested already. This is its third straight road game to open the year and fourth game in nine days. If this were the end of the season then I'd be worried about fatigue, but I believe at the start of the year all of this recent action can only help the 49ers' chemistry in this one vs. No. 18 Saint Mary's. LBSU was destroyed 86-58 at Stanford, but I think it'll play with a lot more confidence here. 

The pick: The Gaels beat Wisconsin to open the year, but then suffered a terrible loss to Winthrop with a buzzer-beater. I think the Gaels come in shell shocked from that loss and it's the foot in the door that the 49ers can use to keep this one competitive late. Note as well that the Gaels are a poor 1-6 ATS in their last seven at home and only 2-5 ATS in their last seven following an ATS loss, while LBSU is 8-1 ATS in its last nine on the road. I'm grabbing the all these points.

10* SHOCKER BLOWOUT on LBSU. 

The set-up: The Knicks beat the Mavericks 106-102 in Dallas last week and I think they have a legitimate shot at doing it again tonight. Dallas plays the final game of a three-game trip and I think it gets caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent here, despite having just lost to it. Kristaps Porzingis returns to The Big Apple, which once again will be added incentive for the home side. In that victory the Knicks had five players score in double figures and they shot 50 percent from range. 

The pick: Both teams come in off losses, with New York losing at Chicago, and Dallas falling at Boston. Note though that the Mavericks are already only 1-4 ATS this season in non-conference games and a poor 10-17 ATS in their last 27 in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. I don't think the "revenge" angle works here at all. New York is the "hungrier" team and I expect it to put up a fight at home. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the New York Knicks.

The set-up: UNC is 4-5 and it comes out of its bye week in need of a victory to keep its bowl aspirations alive. The Panthers became bowl eligible last time out by holding on for a 20-12 win over Georgia Tech last time out and I think a predictable mental letdown is imminent here. Last year the Tar Heels won a 38-35 shootout at home in this game and I expect a similarily hard-fought and ultimately competitive battle here as well. UNC has to be feeling confident as well with QB Sam Howell, who has 26 TD passes and only five INT's. So far UNC is averaging 27.6 PPG and conceding 27.1. 

The pick: The Panthers aren't the greatest on offense, but htey make up for it on the defensive side by conceding only 20.1 PPG. I'll point out though that UNC is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing 37 points or more in its last game, while Pittsburgh is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a home favorite. The conditions are right for a SU upset, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points. 

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on North Carolina.

The set-up: NIU is 3-6 overall and 2-3 in MAC play. It sits one game behind Toledo. The Rockets have won two in a row and they're now bowl eligible because of it. The Huskies' offense revolves around RB Tre Harbison, who has 741 rushing yards and seven TD's.  The Rockets are allowing almost 200 yards per game on the ground. 

The pick: Toldeo got a break out game from Shakif Seymour, as he'd explode for 175 yards and two TD's in the win over the Golden Flashes. I don't foresee Seymour duplicating that feat here. NIU is also 7-4 ATS in its last 11 as a road underdog (including 3-1 ATS this season), while Toledo is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine off a home win vs. a conference rival (including 0-2 ATS this year.) I like NIU's run game to be the main story line in tomorrow's summaries.

10* DESTRUCTION on Northern Illinois.

The set-up: The Western Illinois Leathernecks are 0-2. This is the final game of their opening home-stand and I think they're going to lay everything on the line here to secure their first victory of the year vs. the Tennessee Martin Skyhawks, who come in off a 92-75 loss to East Tennessee State on Saturday. UT Martin has three double-digit scorers, led by Quinton Dove. 

The pick: But the Leathernecks also have plenty of talent, including Zion Young, who had 24 points in his team's heart-breaking 77-75 loss to Stetson. I think it's interesting to note as well the Western Illinois is the No. 1 free-throw shooting team in the nation at 93.3 percent thus far. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Western Illinois.

The set-up: Philadelphia fought tooth and nail last night and barely held on for 98-97 win over the Cavaliers at home and now it has to hit the road to face a Magic team desperate for a spark and hungry to take advantage of a team which could be without the services of scorer Ben Simmons in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Regardless of whether or not Simmons plays, I think this one sets up great from a situational stand point for Orlando. 

The pick: The Magic were a dark horse for many in the East after last year's great campaign, but at 3-7, clearly Orlando has some work to do. While Orlando has clearly been a disappointment, so to has Philadelphia's performance to this point. The East is wide open and I'm not going to over-react at this point to any of the team's play at this moment. I will however point out that Philly is a poor 2-7 ATS in its last nine after winning a close game by three or less points and playing the second game of a back-to-back, while the Magic are 52-40 ATS in their last 92 after a loss (including 3-2 ATS this season.) I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright.

10* DEMOLITION on the Orlando Magic. 

The set-up: Detroit has lost two in a row. The Pistons finally got Blake Griffin back, but they still lost 120-114 to the visiting Wolves last night. Clearly the Pistons are going to get better now that Griffin is back in the line-up, but it's not going to be an instantaneous transformation and playing here on the second game of the back to back isn't going to help either. The Heat enter off a road loss to the Lakers, after laying a beatdown on the Suns in Phoenix. 

The pick: The Heat are one of the best defensive teams in the league right now, allowing just 105.4 PPG. The Pistons are allowing 113.3 and I expect that number to go up here in this difficult road venue. Additionally note that the Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last four following a SU loss, while the Pistons are a poor 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. I'm banking on a double-digit rocking-chair victory. Lay the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Miami Heat. 

The set-up: Troy is 0-1 and it's looking to take out its frustrations here in the second game of a short two-game home stand. The Trojans enter off a 76-75 loss to UAB, a game in which they trailed by 12 points late. KJ Simon set a new career-high, leading all scorers with 21 points on 9-12 shooting. 

The pick: The Chattanooga Mocs are 1-1, losing 79-68 at EKU, before then holding on for a 59-57 win over Tennessee State at home in their second. Transfer Matt Ryan led the way scoring 11 points on 4-14 shooting. Troy is the deeper and more experienced team and I think it lays everything on the line here to secure the victory in front of what should be a record-setting crowd to watch. Additionally note that the Mocs are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight after scoring 60 points or less in their previous contest, while the Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a cover where the team lost SU as an underdog. For all the reasons listed above, I'm on the home side in this one.

10* DESTRUCTION on Troy.

The set-up: The Western Michigan Broncos are 6-4 on the year after winning two straight. They're now bowl eligible after holding on for a 35-31 win at Ball State last weekend. Ohio though is just 4-5 on the year (3-2 in Conference action) and it'll be risking life and limb here to try and secure a victory with time now running out to do so. Last year the Bobcats broke a four game slide in this series with a convincing 59-14 win over the Broncos. Overall WMU averages 36 PPG and it allows 26.

The pick: Ohio averages 29 PPG and it allows 29 PPG. The Bobcats lost to division leader Miami Ohio last time out, but I think they'll take care of business here at home vs. this now contented WMU side. Note as well that WMU is a poor 3-9 ATS in its last 12 as a dog (including 0-3 ATS this year), while Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with a winning record. I'm banking on the desperate home side to step up here and deliver the goods.

10* DESTRUCTION on Ohio.

The set-up: After winning the opener of this tournament, Hawaii was upset at home last night 81-75 by South Dakota. Pacific lost to South Dakota in its opening game of this tournament by a score of 72-62, but it then bounced back in fine fashion with a 76-54 win over FAMU. These teams haven't met since 2013, but I think they're very evenly matched after what I've seen in the early going. 

The pick: Additionally note that Pacific is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 vs. teams with winning records, while Hawaii is only 5-12 ATS in its last 17 non-conference contests. In a game which I see being decided by whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Pacific.

The set-up: The Spurs come in off a poor effort at home to the red hot Celtics and they'll be eager to erase that performance by handling the Grizzlies in front of the home town crowd. The Grizzlies are looking terrible though, getting shut down recently in Orlando in a poor offensive display, before then coming back home and allowing 138 points to the Mavericks in a loss. Overall the Grizzlies average 108.7 PPG and they allow 120.1.

The pick: The Spurs come in off the 135-115 loss to Boston, but they average 112.6 PPG and allow 112.7. San Antonio is also 7-1 ATS in its last eight after a double-digit home loss, while Memphis is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after an ATS loss. I'm banking on a blowout from start to finish, so lay the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: The Cowboys are off a 37-18 Monday night win over the Giants. Dallas' QB Dak Prescott threw for three TD's. But now the Cowboys face the red hot Vikings, led by Dalvin Cook, who had 71 yards in his team's close 26-23 loss to Kansas City. Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins had 222 passing yards and three TD's in a losing cause. Overall the Vikes are No. 1 in stopping the run and they've only allowed two rushing TD's all season. 

The pick: Dallas has won two in a row, but with back-to-back tough road games in Detroit and New England upcoming, clearly this is a tough stretch for the home side. Note that Dallas WR Amari Cooper didn't practice on Thursday and he's a game time decision here. NOte as well that Minnesota is a sharp 8-2 ATS in its last ten following a SU loss (including 2-0 ATS this season,) while Dallas is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive victories. I think Minnesota's defense is not getting enough credit here. Grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Minnesota Vikings.

The set-up: Philadelphia comes in off a hard-fought and high-scorign 4-3 win in Toronto just last night and I think it'll predictably struggle here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Philadelphia has looked a lot better of late after a terrible start to the 2019/20 campaign, but they're definitely in the wrong place at the wrong time here. 

The pick: And that's because Boston enters having lost two in a row, falling 5-4 in Montreal on Tuesday, before then suffering an upset loss to the Wings. The Bruins come in focussed and I believe they'll lay the hammer down here from start to finish. Note as well that the Flyers are 0-5 on the second night of their last five in the second game of the back-to-back, while Boston is 5-0 in its last five at home. Expect a lop-sided destruction in this one and lay the 1.5 goals for the small plus money return.

10* PUCK-LINE PLAY-BOOK on the Boston Bruins.

The set-up: Houston comes in off a win vs. the Warriors, but I think its inconsistencies on the road comes back to haunt it again here vs. this hungry home side. Chicago has been "hit or miss" early, but it comes in off a big road win in Atlanta and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here. Besides James Harden and Russell Westbrook, the Rockets get pretty thin after that. 

The pick: Houston's defense is suspect as well after allowing 112 points to an undermanned Warriors squad last time out. Chicago has plenty of young talent and I'm not reading too much into its early poor numbers. Now that the team has had a few games to get acclimated, I think the Bulls' last victory over the Hawks is going to be more indicative of they play moving forward. Additionally note that the Rockets are a poor 11-12 ATS in their last 23 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Chicago is 16-10 ATS in its last 26 as a home dog in the same points range. In a game which I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on the Chicago Bulls.

The set-up: Cal Irvine won its first game on the road, but I think it'll have its hands full vs. Pepperdine, which lost by 16 in its opener to Cal. Irvine barely held on for a 76-73 win over San Diego. 

The pick: The Waves were only down two at half to the Golden Bears, but they weren't able to hold it together in the second half. The Waves finished 16-18 last year, so they'll be desperate for a victory here as they try to get the 2019/20 campaign out to a better start. Note though that the Waves were 9-5 at home last year and they've covered in 13 of their last 19 in friendly confines. I'm banking on the hungry Waves getting back on track here.

10* BLOWOUT on Pepperdine.

The set-up: Notre Dame just became eligible after its 21-20 win over Virginia Tech last weekend and I expect a bit of a letdown here. Duke is 4-4 and it's lost three of its last four. Clearly the Blue Devils will be risking life and limb here to pull off the upset with just a handful of games left. These are in fact two evenly matched sides, so in a contest which I think'll be decided late, I'm going to grab the handful of points. Note that the Irish have lost two of three on the road already this year and their one win over Louisville was hardly impressive.

The pick: Duke returns home after two straight on the road and it's also had its bye week off to prepare for this one. From a situational stand point, this one sets up beautifully for the home side. Additionally note that the Irish are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six on the road, while the Blue Devils are 8-1 ATS in their last nine following their bye week. Duke destroyed the Hokies by 35 earlier in the year, so the outright upset is in fact possible here as well. That said, I'm grabbing the points in the end.

10* play on Duke.

The set-up: The Pens come in off a 4-3 win over the Islanders, but I think they get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent today. The Blackhawks are just 5-10 this year, but they've won two of their past three and I think their momentum builds again here. Most recently Chicago destroyed the Canucks 5-2. Also note that Chicago goaltender Robin Lehner is a solid 3-3-2 with a 2.33 GAA this year. 

The pick: The Pens have Matt Murray in net and for the most part he's been solid, but he did allow three goals on 23 shots to New York before winning in OT. But with two whole nights off before a game at New York and then New Jersey, I do definitely think this sets up as a classic "trap/letdown/look-ahead" spot for Pittsburgh. I'm laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the Chicago Blackhawks.

The set-up: Washington has was seven straight in this series, including a decisive 42-23 win last year. Suffice it to say, I expect that trend to continue here as well. The Huskies are 5-4 and they're desperate for a win here after falling 33-28 at home to Utah last weekend. The Beavers are 4-4 and they come in off an upset 56-38 win over on the road over Arizona. In fact note that Washington has lost back-to-back games, but over some pretty stiff competition in No. 12 Oregon and No. 9 Utah. 

The pick: Oregon State allows 254 passing yards per game and Huskies' QB Jacob Eason has 2,297 passing yards with 20 TD's to just five INT's. The Huskies allow 257 passing yards and Beavers' QB Jake Luton has 19 TD's to just one INT. However note that the Beavers are a sub-par 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games, while the Huskies are interestingly 4-1 ATS in their last five after posting less than 100 rushing yards in their last outing. After losing two straight, expect Washington to lay everything on the line here and after winning two in a row, look for the Beavers to take a mental step backwards. Lay the points.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on Washington.

The set-up: The Knicks are 1-7 and the Mavericks are 5-2. On paper, of course the Mavericks are the "better" team. However, as primarily a "situational" handicapper I think the desperate Knicks, who have lost four in a row, will give the over confident Mavericks everything they can handle tonight. One bright spot for New York in its last loss in Detroit was that it won the rebound battle 49-40. 

The pick: Facing former team-mate Kristaps Porzingis will only add motivation for the visitors as well. Dallas won 107-106 over the Magic on Wednesday, which was the first time all year that Orlando scored over 100 points. Note as well that New York is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Dallas is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten home games as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range (including 0-2 ATS this year.) I believe the home side goes up early, takes the foot off the gas and I expect the hungry/desperate visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on the New York Knicks.

The set-up: Both teams are 1-0. UNC beat Notre Dame by 11 on Opening Night, managing to cover the spread by a single bucket. Cole Anthony had a massive game for the Tar Heels by dropping 34 points and grabbing 11 boards, but the Seahawks won't be going down without a fight today after they exploded in a 103-83 win over Johnson and Wales. Wilmington is an experienced team and I think that plays favorably for it here. 

The pick: Note as well that UNC is a sub-par 5-6 ATS in its last 11 off a home win vs. a conference rival, while Wilmington is 19-11 ATS in its last 30 as an underdog. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright, but I do absolutely believe the stage is set for a comfortable cover. Grab the points.

10* SUPER SHOCKER on NC Wilmington.

The set-up: Miami enters off a loss to a desperate Nuggets team, but I think its depth and experience will help it pull off the minor upset here vs. the surprising Suns. Phoenix has won three straight and it just handed the 76ers their first loss of the year. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? 

The pick: The Suns have been getting massive production from Devin Booker, but behind him Phoenix is actually pretty thin (Aron Baynes and Kelly Oubre Jr?!). Despite falling to Denver, note as well that Miami is still 52-33 ATS in it last 85 on the road and already 2-0 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest, while Phoenix is a poor 14-18 ATS in its last 32 when playing on two days rest. I'm grabbing the points, but obviously expecting an outright upset.

10* COAST-TO-COAST ULTIMATE ATS BLOWOUT is on the Miami Heat.

The set-up: Louisiana Lafayette has won six in a row and it's now bowl eligible after laying the hammer down on Texas State last week. But on the short week here and facing a 4-4 Coastal Carolina side, I think the Ragin Cajuns finally have a bit of a mental letdown in this spot. Coastal Carolina is coming off a much needed win over Troy and I like the home side to build off that victory and give their visiting side everything it can handle. 

The pick: QB Bryce Carpenter has been hit or miss for the Chanticleers, but Coastal Carolina is still putting up decent offensive numbers. Louisiana Lafayette's offensive and defensive numbers are much better than its hosts, but this a situationally based selection, which I believe highly favors the home side. I think the Cajuns have a letdown after six straight wins and with their eligibility achieved last weekend. Coastal Carolina on the other hand still needs two more wins to become eligible. Additionally note that Louisiana Lafayette is 0-3 ATS in its last three after a cover as a double digit favorite, while Coastal Carolina is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an upset win as an underdog. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final whistle.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Coastal Carolina.

The set-up: UNC was upset by Auburn in the Sweet 16 last year. The Tar Heels lost their top five scorers, but they have a top 10 recruiting class, led by point guard Cole Anthony. Mike Brey has been the head coach in Notre Dame for 19 years, but the Irish won just 14 games last year, the lowest win total of his tenure. Last year the Irish took a 36-33 halftime lead against UNC and eventually lost 75-69. With five seniors returning, I expect Notre Dame to put up a similarily hard-fought effort here. 

The pick: The Tar Heels lost their top five scorers, but also four of their five starters from a year ago. UNC is still picked to finish second in the ACC, but I think chemistry is going to be an issue early. Look for the Irish to take this one down to the wire and grab up the generous amount of points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on Notre Dame.

The set-up: Denver comes in off a win over Orlando and I think it keeps the momentum rolling here vs. the 5-1 Heat. While Miami has performed well at home, this is a big test with games at Phoenix and the Lakers up next. Miami blew the Rockets out of the water in their 129-100 home victory, but I think it takes a step back here in this difficult non-conference venue. 

The pick: The Nuggets have gone through some early growing pains to open the year, with losses to Dallas and New Orleans. Denver though battled tough against the Magic and there's no reason not to think it won't carry over that hunger here at home vs. this top East Coast team. Note that Miami is only 11-21 ATS in its last 32 after a win by ten points or more, while Denver is 24-16 ATS in its last 40 after playing two straight on the road. After their "ho hum" start and facing this red hot Heat side, I look for Nikola Jokic and company to lay the hammer down from start to finish here. Lay the points.

10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Denver Nuggets.

The set-up: These teams are playing at Madison Square Garden in New York City in this one. The last time these teams met was in the NCAA Tournament in 2018 and the Jayhawks won 85-81. Kansas though is on a mission here after failing to win the Big 12 for the first time since 2004, finishing with a 26-10 record last year. Kansas was hurt last season by the loss of Udoka Azubuike, who hurt his wrist early on and would have gone to the NBA, but he's back this season instead to work on his "stock" for the upcoming draft. 

The pick: The Blue Devils went 32-6 last year, but losing Zion Williamson and RJ Barrett isn't going to be the easiest transition in my opinion. Duke is loaded with talent (Tre Jones), but it also has to replace leadership type players like Cam Reddish (he had 13.5 PPG last year.) Additionally note that Duke is 0-4 ATS in its last four neutral site games, while Kansas is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. I think the talent and experience that the Jayhawks bring back turn out to be the difference maker on Opening night. 

10* PLAY-BOOK on Kansas.