The set-up: Ultimately I think that Pitt comes in under the radar here after five-straight losses. NC State has issues as well, as it enters having lost two straight. Neither team is "hungrier" than the other, so we can throw overall motivation out the window here in this one. Overall the Panthers average 64.9 PPG and they allow 64.6, while NC State averages 74.5 PPG and it allows 69.6.

The pick: Note as well that Pitt is 7-3 ATS in its last ten conference road games following a five-games or longer SU losing streak, while NC State is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten home conference games as a favorite in the 7.5 to 9.5 points range. I'm grabbing the points.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on Pittsburgh.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. The Sacramento Kings have been playing their best ball of the season over the last three weeks, but they're coming off a tight 112-108 loss in OKC just last night and I have a hard time seeing this team mustering much of an attack here from this desperate home side. The Grizzlies will be risking life and limb here to get back into the winners circle after going 0-4 on their most recent road trip. Note that the Kings are also 2-1 so far in this season series, meaning that the "revenge factor" also comes into play. 

The pick: It's interesting to note as well that Sacramento is a poor 1-6 ATS in its last seven after having won six or seven of its last eight games, while Memphis is 4-1 ATS this year off a loss against a division rival. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The set-up: This is the opener of a three-game road trip for the Western Conference leading Lakers. Clearly LA is the much better team here. That said, I do indeed believe that the Lake-Show will get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent tonight to much more difficult contests on the immediate horizon. Golden State comes in under-manned, but motivated here to break a seven-game slide. Situationally for sure I think this one sets up well for the underdog home side. 

The pick: Note as well that the Lakers are a poor 10-12 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Golden State is a perfect 2-0 ATS this year as a home dog of 12.5 points or more. With the visiting side likely sitting out some players tonight and considering all of the other above situational and trend based factors, I will in the end recommend to grab as many points as you can.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Golden State Warriors. 

The set-up: Villanove will be playing in the tournament, but St. John's is desperate for a few more wins. An outright upset here would solidify its spot and while I'm not actually calling for the outright upset, I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Red Storm play with revenge here after losing by 20 to the Wildcats at home earlier in the season. Clearly Villanova is the better team, but after four straight wins I beleive it'll struggle to maintain focus today. 

The pick: Note as well that St. John's is 7-3 ATS in its last ten conference road games in trying to revenge a same season home loss of 20 points or more, while Villanova is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after a three-games or longer SU/ATS unbeaten streak. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on St. John's.

The set-up: I fancy the Oilers to find a way to win this game, but only win, but to find a way to win by a wide margin. Most recently Connor McDavid returned to Edmonton's line-up and he scored a goal and had two assists in his team's 4-2 win at LA. The Ducks have lost four in a row and I think they'll have a hard time keeping pace tonight after they fell 6-5 to Las Vegas last time out. Overall Edmonton averages 3.16 GPG and it allows 3.06, while Anaheim averages 2.52 GPG and it allows 3.16. 

The pick: Additionally note that the Ducks are 0-5 in their last five at home, while Edmonton is 7-3 in its last ten on the road. I don't think it'll be necessary to rely on an "empty netter" to cash this one. Look for Edmonton to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn.

10* PUCK-LINE DESTROYER on the Edmonton Oilers.

The set-up: Detroit's patchwork line-up is coming off another disheartening loss on the road in Portland last time out and I think this team will now struggle in the thin air of this difficult road venue. Denver is staying focussed as well right now, as evidenced by its double digit win over the Wolves (another team that won't be in the playoffs) in its latest action. 

The pick: Denver is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten following an ATS loss, while Detroit is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest. The situation AND the numbers/trends all point to a home side blowout in this one. Lay the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK the Denver Nuggets.

The set-up: Kent State comes in hungry after its 104-98 double OT loss to Buffalo last time out. Buffalo now moves two games ahead of the Flashes and with just four games remaining, it's now or never for Kent State. A date vs. the last place Redhawks is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well. Kent State also plays with revenge here after inexplicably falling to Miami Ohio 77-74 in the reverse fixture. 

The pick: Kent State is also 4-1 ATS in its last five after back-to-back SU losses and as a home favorite in the -9.5 to -11.5 points range, while Miami Ohio is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten on the road. If not now, when for the Flashes?! I'm expecting a victory of the "rocking chair" variety here. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Kent State.

The set-up: Kansas is better than Oklahoma State in every conceivable way, but the Jayhawks look primed for a classic "letdown" here in my estimation after their big road win over then No. 1 Baylor last time out. Oklahoma State comes in with nothing to lose and the Cowboys are also confident, as they enter off an 83-66 win over Oklahoma. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully for the visiting side. 

The pick: Note though that Oklahoma State is 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while KU is already 0-4 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 15 points range. Grab the points, expect a competitive battle until the end.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State.

The set-up: The Rockets are the better team. They have better players and their offense is better. Houston's defense isn't that much better than the Knicks on most nights though. Off three straight wins and with conference rival Memphis coming to town, followed by a tough game at Boston, this one definitely sets up as a bit of a "trap" for the Rockets as well. New York has had two nights off and I believe this young team takes advantage of his complacent home side.

The pick: Outright upset? I'm stopping short in call for a straight up win for the Knicks, but note that they're 11-5 ATS in their last 16 following a home loss. Also note that Houston is just 5-11 ATS already this season after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. Grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the New York Knicks.

The set-up: Indiana lost four straight before a win over the Bucks in their final outing before the All Star break. It then came out and posted a win and cover in New York to open the second half. The Pacers will have their work cut out for them here as well if they hope to win SU on the road and while they may not occur, I do think that the visitors will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Toronto hasn't had many lapses this year, but with the Bucks coming to town on Tuesday night, the possibility of a "look ahead" is definitely in the cards for the home side as well. 

The pick: Indiana plays with revenge today and note that it's 6-2 ATS in its last eight when playing with double revenge after two straight losses vs. an opponent. Toronto on the other hand is already an extremely poor 3-8 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. I'm banking on a battle until the final shot. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: The Sharks led the Rangers for most of their game in The Big Apple yesterday, but in the end they came up short in the 3-2 setback. Now I think that San Jose simply "goes through motions" in the second game of the back to back. The Islanders are in a dog fight for positioning right now, but they are among the league leaders in giving up just 2.82 GPG overall (just 2.52 at home).

The pick: And that's bad news for a Sharks team which only averages 2.57 GPG overall. Expect the home side to grind this one down to a snails pace and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable PUCK LINE cover.

10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the New York Islanders.

The set-up: Boise State is 18-10 overall and 10-6 in conference polay, but 17-11 New Mexico (6-9) isn't going to simply roll over here. New Mexico comes in desperate after three straight losses (all to stiff competition: SDSU, UNLV and Nevada). Overall New Mexico averages 78.5 PPG, while allowing 76.6. Boise State averages 77 PPG and it allows 69.4. 

The pick: New Mexico is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after three or more SU conference losses, while Boise State is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight home games as a favorite in the -8.5 to -11.5 points range. This spread is just too large considering all of these factors listed above.

10* DESTRUCTION on New Mexico.

The set-up: Cal is jsut 11-15, while Washington is only 12-15. The Huskies though play with revenge here after falling 61-58 in OT at Cal earlier in the year. The Golden Bears broke a four-game slide with their first road win of the year last time out in beating Washignton State, but I think a predictable letdown is inevitable here vs. this revenge minded home side. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar (poor), but note that the Huskies are still 9-6 at home this year and they're two Pac 12 victories have also been on their own floor.

The pick: Finally note that Cal is just 1-5 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four vs. poor offensive teams which average 64 points or less per contest. I think the hungrier home side keeps the foot on the gas until the final horn. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Washington.

The set-up: I like the Clippers to cover the big number at home today. The Kings opened up the second half of the season with a big 129-125 home win over Memphis, but I think that an immediate return to mediocrity is in store here. The Clippers return home off a 141-133 road loss in Boston and I think a little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked. I look for the veterans on the Clippers to go at the young Kings backcourt of Buddy Hield and D'Aron Fox. 

The pick: The Clippers recently added Macus Morris and Reggie Jackson to the line-up. LA has dominated this series at home as well, going 5-1 the last six at home vs. Sacarmento. The Kings on the other hand are a poor 7-8 ATS already this season after allowing 120 points or more in their previous outing. Look for Sac to take a step back and for the Clippers to put the foot on the gas from start to finish.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the LA Clippers.

The set-up: The defending National Champs are going to be in a dog-fight today in my opinion. And in a contest which I believe is decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. UVA has won three straight after an 80-73 loss to Louisville earlier in the month. UVA's defense remains elite this year, holding opponents to just 52.6 PPG, but it's offense has been putrid in averaging only 57.6 PPG. 

The pick: Pittsburgh will need a miracle to make it into the NCAA tournament, but the Panthers are still gunning for a spot in the NIT. Off three straight losses, I think Pittsburgh hangs tough here at home. Overall Pitt averages 65.9 PPG and it allows 64.6. Additionally note that UVA is just 6-14 ATS as the favorite this year, while Pittsburgh is a stellar 5-1 ATS this year vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per game. Grab the points.

10* UNDERDOG BLOOD-BATH on Pittsburgh.

The set-up: This is a big game for these middle of the pack A 10 teams. VCU is 17-9 and Saint Louis is 18-8. VCU is on the bubble now after four straight losses, meaning that every contest from here on out is essentially 'do or die.' VCU though comes in off two tight losses vs. two really good teams in Richmond and Dayton, holding the high-flying Flyers to just 66 points. The Billikens come in with zero momentum as well after losing three of their last four. Saint Louis recently suffered a big blow when guard Gibson Jimerson was lost to a foot injury. 

The pick: VCU is also an awesome 11-5 ATS in its last 16 as a road favorite or pick (including 3-1 ATS this year), while Saint Louis is already a poor 2-5 ATS in its last seven after playing a road game. The Rams' recent losing streak can be attributed to the level of their competition of late. I'm banking on a blowout from start to finish.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on VCU.

The set-up: The Pacers fell victim to a red hot Knicks team a week before the All Star break. Indiana earned a victory in its final game of the first half over Milwaukee (sans Giannis) and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here after a poor scuffling stretch leading up. The Knicks' run came to an end shortly after the Pacers victory with back-to-back losses going into the All Star game to the lowly Hawks and Wizards. 

The pick: Both teams have struggled with consistency this season, but Indiana clearly has much better depth. Also note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine on the road. New York on the other hand is just 5-15 in its last 20 at home. I look for Indiana's experienced backcourt of Brogdon and Oladipo to be the difference here. Lay the points.

10* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: Both teams still have an outside shot at The Tournament. Belmont comes in off a 101-84 win over Jacksonville State, but after six straight wins, I believe the visiting side does indeed get caught "looking past" its opponent in some small way today. Morehead State is clearly the "hungrier" team after three straight losses. Morehead State also plays with revenge here. 

The pick: Note as well that Belmont is already a poor 4-7 ATS this year as a road favorite or pick and just 1-4 ATS in its last five after two straight covers as a double digit favorite, while Morehead State is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a conference rival. I'm banking on the hungier, revenge-minded home side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with teh ample points it's been afforded in this one.

10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST is Morehead State.

The set-up: The Citadel won't be lacking for motivation here, as it's just 6-19 overall and winless in conference play. I had a pick on St. Joe's last night and it also was winless in conference action, until its monster come from behind upset outright victory. While I don't expect anything as dramatic as that in this one, everything does point to the home side keeping it competitive throughout in my opinion. Chattanooga is 7-7 in the Southern Conference. Note that Chattanooga averages 72 PPG, while the Citadel averages 76. 

The pick: Additionally I'll point out that Chattanooga is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven after successfully covering the spread in three or more straight outings, while The Citadel is 6-2 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent which scored 85 points or more. Grab the points, expecting a close battle.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on The Citadel.

The set-up: Both teams should be in the NCAA Tournament. The Illini though come in as the "hungrier" team though after a loss to Rutgers last time out. Illinois has a balanced attack and it's ranked as the 32nd best tam according to KenPom. Penn State beat Northwestern 77-61 last time out, its eighth straight win. KenPom has the Nittany Lions ranked as the 11th best team in the Nation, but I think the home side will have its hands full with this determined visiting side.

The pick: Illinois is also already 2-0 ATS this year off an embarrassing road loss in which it scored less than 60 points in and 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. good offensvie teams which score 77 plus points per contest. I'm banking on the hungry visiting side to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire.

10* 'COACH'S CORNER' on Illinois.

The set-up: Kansas has won ten straight and it sits just one game back of 12-0 Baylor for the lead. The Jayhawks are at the Bears in their next game and I think that sets this one up as a bit of a "trap" for the home side. Note that Iowa State also plays with revenge after losing 79-53 at home to the Jayhawks earlier in the year. The Cyclones additionally come in "under the radar" after winning two of their last three. That includes their best offensive performance of the year in their 81-52 win over Texas. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up well for the Cyclones. Kansas can't afford to lose any ground on Baylor, but I believe that the conditions are all in place to classify this as a "trap" for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Iowa State is 3-1 ATS in its last four in revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Kansas is already 0-4 ATS this year as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State. 

The set-up: For these types of events/wagers, I always try to "find an angle" to use. Team LeBron won this event last year, so Team Giannis already plays with the "revenge" factor. But overall I think Team Giannis holds a lot of value because of the way that Antetokounmpo's draft has widely been viewed. While on paper Team LeBron could look better, I believe the way that Team Giannis has been viewed by the media as being the "lesser" team will only add fuel to the fire to these All Stars.

The pick: And that's the case. This game is being played by the best of the best. And in these types of games, everyone is looking for some sort of motivation to use. And in this case, as mentioned above, Team Giannis has two big motivational factors working in its favor today. While I obviously would not be shocked by the outright upset, in the end I'm going to grab the points.

10* BLOWOUT SPECTACULAR on Team Giannis.

The set-up: Villanova won't want to take the foot off the gas now in this dangerous non-conference road matchup on Sunday afternoon. The Wildcats escaped most recently with a slim 72-71 win over Marquette on Wednesday, while the Owls nudged past Tulane 72-68. Villanova's five starters all average in double figures; overall the Wildcats average 73.5 PPG. Temple has just two players averaging in double figures and the Owls average 69.3 PPG. 

The pick: Temple's been great at home of late, but now the level of competition gets raised dramatically. Villanova's depth is going to be the difference for me today, as I expect the Wildcats to come in focussed on the task at hand after their most recent "close call." Lay the points.

10* SUPER-DESTRUCTION on Villanova.

The set-up: Both teams will be equally as "hungry" here. Both teams come in off losses. Syracuse is in a two-way tie for fifth place and so far its 4-2 on the road this year. Overall the Orange average 74 PPG and they allow 68.3. The Seminoles are coming in off a loss to Duke. FSU averages 75.1 PPG and it allows 65.1. 

The pick: I'll point out though that Syracuse is 7-3 ATS in its last ten conference road games as an underdog in the 8.5 to 11.5 points range, while FSU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games following a SU loss and favored by 8.5 points or more. I like the Orange to fight until the end. Grab the points.

10* VERY EARLY NATIONAL TV BLOCKBUSTER on Syracuse.

The set-up: Off a 4-1 win at home over Detroit, I execpt the Devils to predictably stumble here in the second game of the back-to-back. Also note that Carolina plays with revenge after falling 5-3 in New Jersey back in early November. Carolina is very much in the playoff hunt, but after dropping five of its last ten, it's now or never to make its push in my estimation. Most recently the Hurricanes lost 4-1 in Dallas. 

The pick: It's interesting to note as well that the Devils are a terrible 1-9 (-9.1 units) on "Friday nights" for some reason this season, while the Hurricanes are 10-6 (+2.9 units) when playing with two days rest. Not only do I expect Carolina to win, but I look for it to win big here.

10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the Carolina Hurricanes.

The set-up: This is a big game, as both teams are tied for eighth spot with a 5-7 record in the MAAC. The Stags play with revenge today after the Red Foxes picked up the 70-58 road win, snapping an 11 game losing streak for Marist at the time. Both teams season averages are comparable. They're bad. Marist's recent/current form is better, but I think that swings the value the other way here. Fairfield is the hungrier/more desperate team and it's also playing with revenge. 

The pick: And note that Fairfield is 10-5 ATS as an underdog this year and 4-0 ATS this season revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Marist is 0-2 ATS this year as a favorite and just 2-3 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Fairfield.

The set-up: The Thunder won nine of ten and got complacet and then lost two in a row at home to the Celtics and Thunder. OKC won't be taking the Pelicans for granted here and I believe its depth and experience will prove to be too much for the younger home side. The Pelicans do indeed look ripe for a letdown here in my estimation after three straight victories. OKC has won the first three of this four game season series and I expect them to find a way to get the job done here as well. The Thunder average 110.8 PPG, while the Pelicans allow 117.2. New Orleans averages 115.7 PPG, but OKC allows only 107.9. 

The pick: OKC has lost two in a row at home, but it's won seven straight on the road. I'm throwing the revenge factor out the window here, as I believe the Thunder are just as motivated to try and complete the season sweep, while also looking to get back on track after back-to-back losses. The Pelicans on the other look primed for a letdown, as I've mentioned above already. Grab the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The set-up: Wichita State opened the season 15-1, but it's since lost five of its last seven. It beat UCF 89-79 at home earlier in the year, but it didn't cover the 11.5 point spread. The UCF Knights have won two in a row, but I think they'll have their hands full here vs. the No. 45 Shockers who average 72.3 PPG, and allow 64.5. UCF averages 68.3 PPG and it allows 66.7. 

The pick: Note though that the Shockers are a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last three after three or more consecutive losses, while UCF is only 3-7 ATS at home this year and just 1-2 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. This is a big game for the Shockers and I look for them to finally get back on track in this favorable matchup. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Wichita State.

The set-up: The Musketeers won their third game in a row by beating Providence 64-58, but I think they'll have their hands full with this hungry home side this evening. Butler won't be lacking for motivation after a poor 76-57 loss to Marquette in its latest action. Overall Xavier is averaging 71.3 PPG, while the Bulldogs average 68.9. The Bulldogs though are ranked 48th in field goal percentage in the nation. 

The pick: The Musketeers are also only 3-4 ATS on the road, including 0-2 ATS as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while Butler is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite or pick. I think the "hungrier" home side rises up to the challenge and gets back no track with a conviving win. Lay the points.

10* BLOCKBUSTER on Butler.

The set-up: Notre Dame comes in off a four-point road win over Clemson to improve to 15-8 on the year and 6-6 in league play, but I believe it'll take a step back here vs. the defensive-minded Cavaliers. Virginia comes in highly motivated after a seven point loss to Louisville in its last action, falling to 15-7 overall and 7-5 in conference play. Notre Dame averages 76.2 PPG and it allows 68.4. UVA averages 56.8 PPG and it allows only 51.7. 

The pick: As good as the Irish have looked of late, note that they're still just 3-4 ATS as an underdog this year and just 1-3 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. And note that UVA has performed well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in its last five off a road loss. I believe the hungrier home side's suffocating defensive play is the difference maker in this one. Lay the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Virginia. 

The set-up: Northwestern comes in focussed after having a week off to absorb its one point loss to Purdue last weekend. This is the first time these teams have played this year, but last season they split, each winning on the road. Note that the Wildcats are 4-1 all time at the RAC. This is the start of four games in ten days for Northwestern, so getting out on the "right foot" of a journey like this always paramount and with a week off to prepare, I expect NW to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. Rutgers returns home after a two-game trip. The Scarlet Knights are 15-0 at home so far this year. Note though that NU has suffered four conference defeats this season by four points or less. 

The pick: Note as well that NW is 6-3 ATS in its last nine road games when playing with six or more days rest and as a double-digit underdog, while Rutgers is only 4-5 ATS in its last nine home games as a favorite in the -10 to -13.5 points range. I think the home side comes in complacent and I believe the visitors come in hungry. Probably no outright, but it'll be close. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on Northwestern.

The set-up: I base my picks on many things. Primarily though I'm a "situational" handicapper and from a situational stand-point, I think this one works highly in favor of the visiting side. The Kings have won two straight, most recently a very satisfying victory over the Heat at home just last night. The Spurs come in as the "hungrier" team after three straight losses. The Kings are just 10-15 at home this season anyways. 

The pick: The Spurs are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten after two or more consecutive losses and 3-1 ATS in their last four as a road favorite, while Sacramento is just 5-9 ATS as a home dog this year and only 3-4 ATS this season vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. Look for the Spurs to take advantage of this tired/content Kings side and lay the points.

10* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: Harvard is 13-6 and it's looking to bounce back after losing its last two games by a combined four points. Most recently The Crimson fell to Princeton, 70-69. Harvard is still 6-3 on the road though and I think it will in fact use the last two losses as motivation to once again take this contest down to the wire. Outright victory? Clearly very possible. But in a game which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Yale is 7-0 at home and 14-4 ATS this year. The Bulldogs are no pushovers, but I think that's just added incentive for The Crimson to "come to play" today. 

The pick: Note as well that Harvard is 20-4 ATS in its last 24 as an underdog, including 2-0 ATS this year, while Yale is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 off a home vs. a conference rival, including 0-2 ATS this season. This one has "nail biter" written all over it, so grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on Harvard.

The set-up: I think the second place Cougars get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight. Now, I'm not calling for the outright upset or anything, but I'm definitely expecting a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest. Yes, BYU is 6-3 in WCC action and Portland is just 9-15 overall and 1-7 in league play, but I believe the home side "comes to play" tonight. BYU comes in off a monumental 81-79 win over Saint Mary's last time out, which sets it up for a classic "letdown" here in my opinion. Portland most recently fell 85-61 to Santa Clara. 

The pick: Note though that BYU is just 1-3 ATS this season already as a road favorite or pick and just 9-19 ATS in its last 28 off a win vs. a conference rival, while Portland is already 3-0 ATS this season in revenging a loss in which the opponent scored 85 points or more in. Look for the Pilots to play with passion as they try to avenge the earlier setback and expect the visitors to leave the back door open just enough for home side to comfortably sneak in through once it's all said and done.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Portland.

The set-up: Denver destroyed Portland 127-99 last night, but I think it'll come out flat here vs. this desperate Jazz team. Utah has last four straight and I believe it's going to keep the foot on the gas from to finish here as it looks ot take advantage vs. the now weary Nuggets team. The Jazz are still 18-4 at the Vivint Smart Home Arena this year and I expect that record to improve resoundinly after this one. 

The pick: The Nuggets are also just 48-60 ATS in their last 108 on the raoad and only 2-4 ATS this season after covering in four or five of their last six vs. the spread, while Utah is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this year after failing to cover four of its last five vs. teh spread, 5-2 ATS in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent and 2-0 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of six points or more. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction for the home side. Lay the points. 

10* DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: Southern Illinois has won five straight and is 7-3 in the Missouri Valley Conference, but I believe it'll finally have a letdown here vs. this hungry home side. Evansville is desperate beyond believe after opening conference play by going 0-10, most recently falling 80-68 to Northern Iowa. The Salukis are just 10-12 overall though and if not now, when for the Purple Aces? The Salukis average 63.3 points and it allows 60.8. Evansville averages 69.2 PPG and it allows 75.2. Yes, on paer this one favors SIU, but I think the visitors finally get caught looking past their opponent today. 

The pick: Note as well that SOuthern Illinois is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten off a road win, while Evansville is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 80 points or more (including 4-2 ATS this season.) I'm primarily a "situational" handicapper and this one falls into several of my systems. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Evansville.

The set-up: Duke is is coming off a 97-88 win and cover on the road over Syracuse, but I think it'll have its hands full here vs. this hungry BC side. Boston College is just 7-7 at home, but it comes in off an impressive 71-70 win over UNC and I have no reason not to believe that the Eagles can't carry over that confidence/momentum here. BC is playing its best basketball of the season and it's out to avenge a terrible 88-49 loss to Duke on December 31st. On paper the Blue Devils are clearly the better team. But BC's recent improvement in play, combined with these strong situational factors make the home side the correct call here in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that Duke is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite in teh 12.5 to 18 points range, while BC is a solid 5-2 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent which scored 75 points or more in. I'm grabbing the points and expecting an all out battle until the end.

10* DESTRUCTION on Boston College.

The set-up: Enough is enough. After 11 straight losses, I look for the Wolves to risk life and limb to pull out this victory today. The Kings come in off a double-digit loss to the Lakers. The Wolves still have one of the best players in the league in Karl Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins is putting up career best numbers. I look for these two to put their team on their backs tonight. The Kings have played only slightly better than the Wolves this year, but I think their young core struggles to keep up with this determined veteran Wolves team. 

The pick: Note as well that Minnesota is 12-10 ATS in its last 22 on the road, while the Kings are just 3-6 ATS as a home favorite this year and only 8-15 ATS at home overall. Grab the points.

10* play on the Wolves.

The set-up: While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The Bears hold a one game lead over Kansas with a perfect 8-0 conference record. K-State is only 2-6 in league play and it's to pull off the upset here. Baylor is 5-0 on the road and its been exceptional defensively, but the Bears look poised for a mental letdown here in my opinion, with bottom feeder Oklahoma State up next, BU has hit a very "vanilla" part of its schedule. 

The pick: K-State has played its best basketball of the year at home, going 8-4 at Bramlage Coliseum thus far. Additionally note that K-State is still a sharp 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss. I'm grabbing the points and expecting an all out war until the final horn. 

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on K-State.

The set-up: I think Dayton is going to get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent today. Dayton has won ten in a row, but the Rams aren't going to roll over here. Most recently Fordham fell 62-52 to St. Bonaventure. Dayton comes off a 73-69 win over Duquesne. On paper, clearly the Flyers are the better team, but everything points to this being a letdown/trap in my opinion. 

The pick: Note that Fordham is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 conference road games as an underdog in the +23.5 to +27.5 points range, while Dayton is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine conference home games following a nine games or more SU unbeaten streak. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a solid cover.

10* play on Fordham.

The set-up: The Wolves are out of playoff contention, but I think they'll put up a fight here after falling in OT at home to the Kings. Note that LA is also coming off a 20 points loss to the Kings. Karl Anthony Towns and Anthony Wiggins both continue to play hard for Minnesota and I believe they'll keep their team in this one late. Kawhi Leonard didn't play last time out and there's a chance he won't play here either. The Clippers are not at 100% health and I think they're going to struggle with consistency again here. 

The pick: Also note that the Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games following an OT home loss, while the Clippers are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games following a 20 points or more SU loss. Grab the points, expecting a tight battle.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The set-up: I think the 14-4 Yale Bulldogs get caught looking past the 6-12 Columbia Lions. Columbia is 1-1 in Conference play after falling to Cornell at home last time out 62-50. Yale comes in complacent here though in my opinion after four straight wins, including starting conference play 2-0. Columbia averages 66.8 PPG and it allows 69.1. Yale averages 75.7 PPG and it allows 62.7. 

The pick: Note though that Columbia is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Yale is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. This is a letdown spot for the Bulldogs in my opinion. Conversely, the Lions will be eager to pull of the upset here and while that likely won't happen, everything points to a more competitive battle than what this spread suggests. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on Columbia.

The set-up: The Spartans and Wildcats played on December 18th and MSU hung on for the 77-72 win. I expect a similarily hard-fought affair tonight as well. MSU is tied for first in the Big Ten with a 7-2 record, while Northwestern is just 1-8 in league play. Note though that the Wildcats have faced the 17th most difficult schedule in the country according to BPI. Most recently the Wildcats fell 71-59 to the Buckeyes. Overall NW averages 66.3 PPG and it allows 67.6. The Spartans lost 67-63 in Indiana, then bounced back with a 70-52 win over Minnesota. MSU averages 77.1 PPG and it allows 63.2. 

The pick: On paper MSU is the better team, but Northwestern comes in as the much "hungrier" side this evening. Note that none of the Wildcats' eight losses in conference play have come by more than 14 points. Additionally note that NW is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog of 13 points or more. I believe the home side leaves the back door open just enough for desperate visiting team to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Northwestern.

The set-up: Nebraska is 7-13 and I think it'll have its hands full here with this determined 11-8 Michigan team. After starting 7-0, the Wolverines have gone just 8-4 since. The Wolverines had plenty of turn-over from last season and they've been dealing with injuries, but Nebraska is the perfect opponent to get untracked against. 

The pick: Note that Michigan is 6-0 ATS in its last six after a loss by six points or less and 5-0 ATS in its last five after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while Nebraska is already just 4-6 ATS at home this season and only 4-6 ATS this year after covering the spread in its previous game. I'm laying the points and expecting the "hungrier" team to deliver tonight.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Michigan.

The set-up: The Vandals won't be lacking for motivation today as they've dropped four in a row. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds can empathize, as they've lost two of their last three, including a crushing OT loss to EWU last time out. The "revenge factor" comes into play here as well for the home side, who has lost three straight in this series, including two in a row at home. 

The pick: Southern Utah averages 67 PPG and it allows 64. The Vandals have a stout defense as well which holds the opposition to just under 38 percent shooting on the year. Southern Utah is just 4-5 ATS this season as a favorite, while Idaho is 9-7 ATS as an underdog. In a contest which I envision being decided late, I'm grabbing as many points as I can.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Idaho.

The set-up: I think Luka Doncic will single-handidly will his team to victory here as he tries to make some sense of Kobe Bryant's death. The entire NBA World is in shock still and Doncic had a special early and recent relationship with Black Mamba. The Mavs are coming off a loss in Utah as well. OKC has won five straight and I think it's poised for a letdown here finally though. Also note that the Mavs play with the revenge factor after falling 106-101 here earlier in the season. Overall Dallas averages 116.6 PPG and it allows 108.1. The Thunder though average 110.8 PPG and they allow 109.8. 

The pick: Additionally note that Dallas is still a sharp 7-3 ATS this year as a road underdog and 5-2 ATS in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite this season, while OKC is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. Everything points to a big bounce back for this potent Mavs' offense in my opinion. Lay the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: While I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Orlando has lost 12 straight in this series, so motivation to break that slide is definitely working in their favor as well. The Clippers come in content after winning five of their last six, while the Magic have lost four of their last five. Most recently LA beat the Heat 122-117. LA averages 112.7 PPG and it allows 106.7. The Magic though are desperate here after a listless 109-98 to the Celtics on Friday. The Magic are averaging 105.8 PPG and they're allowing 106.8. 

The pick: Orlando's early offensive numbers are skewed though because of early injusry issues, but there's no excuses today. Note as well that the Clippers are already a poor 7-10 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more, while Orlando is a perfect 2-0 ATS off two or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite. With a game "on the road" at the Lakers on Tuesday, I believe the visitors rest players and get caught looking ahead as well. Grab the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Orlando Magic.

The set-up: I think 7-11 Fordham sneaks in under the radar here and finds a way to keep this one competitive vs. 14-5 St. Louis. The Rams come in with momentum as well, as they broke a five-game slide with a win over George Washington last time out. Saint Louis however enters suscepitble after two straight losses in my opinion. The Rams have struggled offensively this year, but the defense has been sharp in allowing only 61 PPG. The Billikens allow 66. And note that over its last four games Saint Louis has averaged just 66 PPG. 

The pick: Additionally note that the Billikens are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in its last four following a SU loss, while Fordham is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games following a SU/ATS win/cover. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Fordham.

The set-up: The Citadel Bulldogs return home to start a two-game home stand. The Citadel is 54-47 all time vs. the Paladins in Charleston. The Citadel play with revenge here as well after Furman took both games last year. Furman is the better team on paper, but after its win over Samford, I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. 

The pick: Also note that Furman is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight on the road and off a victory and as a favorite of ten points or more, while Citadel is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a home dog in the ten to 15.5 points range and off a loss. Revenge is a dish best served cold. Grab the points.

10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on Citadel.

The set-up: BOston is 11-9 away from TD Garden and it enters on a two-game win streak. Orlando is 13-9 at home this year and it's looking to bounce back off a loss. Overall Boston averages 112.3 PPG and it allows 105.7. Orlando averages 104 PPG and it concedes a league best 104 as well. Orlando has gotten healthier over the last month and that's seen the team have a dramatic turnaround in play across the board. The Magic though allow only 100 PPG at home, while the Celtics' offensive average drops to 108 on the road. 

The pick: Additionally note that Boston is a poor 2-4 ATS this year already after two or more consecutive home victories, while Orlando is a sharp 3-1 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. Boston is dealing with injuries right now as well. I'm laying the points and expecting a decisive home victory.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic.

The set-up: Yale is 13-4 and its on the road to take on a hungry 7-7 Brown Bears team. Brown plays with revenge here, as it fell at Yale in mid January by a score of 70-56. Yale comes in off an 89-75 road win at Howard, but I think the Bulldogs will have their hands full tonight. This is a great situational play in my opinion, as Brown has had an extended period off, having not played since the loss at Yale. 

The pick: On paper Yale has the advantage, but note that it's just 1-3 ATS in its last four after playing a game as a road favorite, while Brown is 4-2 ATS in its last six revenging a road loss of ten points or more and 4-1 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more. I think the outright upset is definitely possible, but in the end I'm going to grab the points.

10* ANNIHILATOR on Brown.

The set-up: Clearly the Nets have a lot of issues to resolve. They've been a much better home team than on the road though and they won't be lacking for motivation tonight facing the Lakers. LA comes to town off a come from behind win in New York just last night and it could very likely be sitting key pieces of its rotation in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Situationally I believe this one sets up great for the hungrier home side. 

The pick: But note as well that the Lakers are still just 8-9 ATS in non-conference games this year and only 40-49 ATS in their last 89 vs. clubs with losing records, while Brooklyn is already 6-3 ATS this season as a home underdog. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a "nail biter." 

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Brooklyn Nets.

The set-up: FIU is 13-6 and after two straight victories, I think it comes in a tiny bit complacnet here vs. 7-12 ODU, which enters off two straight losses. FIU plays at a fast pace, averaging 81 PPG, but its defense is horrible. The Monarchs are coming off a tough 66-62 loss to Charlotte. ODU's defense has been fantastic though, ranked 42nd in the league overall. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up nicely for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that the Monarchs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last five at home, while the Panthers just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road dog after back-to-back victories. I'm laying the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Old Dominion.

The set-up: The Marist Red Foxes are after their second straight victory after getting the better of Iona 83-73. Matt Herasme had 17 points and 11 boards in the victory. It was a break out game for Marist, as it set season highs for field goal percentage, points scored, three-pointers made, three-point percentage, assists, rebounds and free throws made. The Manhattan Jaspers had won four of five to open league play before then falling 65-58 to Monmouth on Saturday. 

The pick: Manhattan is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after playing two straight home games (including 0-2 ATS this year), while Marist is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous game. The Red Foxes come in off an inspiring win and I look for them to carry that momentum over here. That said, grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Marist.

The set-up: This game will be broadcast nationally on Fox Sports 1 and I'm expecting an all out war. The Terps are 14-4, but I believe they'll have a fight on their hands today. In fact note, Maryland is 0-4 in true road games this year. The Terps have not let an opponent exceed 70 points in league play so far, but they come in averaging just 71.2 PPG. Northwestern is just 6-11 and it'll have a big opportunity to snap its frustration with a quality win this evening. Easier said than done, but note that the Wildcats do in fact have two wins over Top 100 teams and six of their last seven losses have been by single digits. Northwestern's offense catches a break today facing the slower paced Terrapins.

The pick: Maryland is 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a road favorite (including 0-3 ATS this year), while Northwestern is 8-3 ATS this season as an underdog. This one has "nail-biter" written all over it, so grab the points.

10* play on Northwestern.

The set-up: On paper the Bucks are the much better team here. At 38-6 though, I think the home side comes out a bit complacent here vs. this 16-28 Bulls team. Chicago though does come in with some momentum after taking down the Cavaliers 118-116 last time out. The Bucks average 119.5 PPG and the Bulls average only 105.8. Chicago though had key players injured again to start the season, so this offense is only finally starting to come together. Both however sport similar defensive numbers, with the Bulls allowing only 107.8 PPG, while the Bucks concede 106.9. 

The pick: Chicago is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a road dog and 5-3 ATS in its last eight in trying to revenge a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more, while Milwaukee is just 11-14 ATS already this season after three or more SU victories. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a competitive battle.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Chicago Bulls.

The set-up: Charlotte is 10-6, but it comes in off an 80-63 loss to WKU. A game vs. 6-12 ODU sets up as a look-ahead/let-down spot for the 49ers though in my opinion. And ODU definitely won't be lacking for motivation here after it fell 68-67 to Marshall last time out. 

The pick: Note as well that Charlotte is a terrible 11-19 ATS in its last 30 as a road dog (including only 2-3 ATS this season), while ODU is a strong 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home favorite. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Old Dominion.

The set-up: The Packers jumped out to an early lead vs. the Seahawks in the Divisional Round and then had to hold on for dear life for the victory. Green Bay took the foot off the gas, but it won't have that luxury this weekend in hostile territory. The Packers lost to the 49ers in the regular season, but I believe Aaron Rodgers and company have much more than just a "punchers chance" at winning this one outright. The 49ers beat the Vikings 27-10 last weekend. San Francisco has the home field advantage and the slightly better defense, but Green Bay still has the clear advantage at the QB position in my opinion. Jimmy Garropolo is putting together a great season, but would anyone out there claim that he's solely responsible for getting his team to this point? Rodgers' vast experience gives the Packers the upper-hand at the QB position in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that Green Bay is already 3-1 ATS as an underdog thi syear, while San Fran is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after two or more straight wins vs. the spread, including only 1-3 ATS this season. Grab the points, expect a battle until the final moments.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Packers.

The set-up: I think 6-11 Illinois State is the "hungrier" team here. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question with a spread like this, but I'm going to grab the points in the end. Most recently Illinois State fell 84-74 to Drake to fall to 1-4 in Conference play. Overall the Redbirds average 67.2 PPG and they allow 70.6. Loyola Chicago averages 70 PPG and it allows 61. On paper and as stated above, this one favors the visitors. But I believe the Ramblers come in complacent after two straight wins. 

The pick: Note as well that Loyola Chicago is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten road games following a two games or more unbeaten ATS/SU streak, while Illinois State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games following a loss by ten or more points and as an underdog of four points or less. Everything points to the slight upset, grab the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Illinois State.

The set-up: Miami looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its impressive road win over the Thunder, while I expect the Spurs to risk life and limb here for a victory after getting embarrassed at home by the Hawks in a close loss. Miami is at home tomorrow night as well to the Kings, so I believe this does in fact set up as a "look ahead" spot for the visitors as well. The Spurs are now below .500 and they can ill afford to look past anyone. San Antonio has a game tomorrow night in Phoenix vs. an equally as desperate Suns team, making tonight's contest that much more imporant for the home side here. 

The pick: Note that Miami is just 4-5 ATS this year as a road favorite and only 4-5 ATS this season off a road win, while San Antonio is a sharp 7-3 ATS this season in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Look for the home side to pull away down the stretch.

10* NON-CONFERENCE BEST OF THE BEST on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: After falling to Kansas to open league play, WVU has rattled off thee straight Big 12 victories and it enters at 14-2 overall. K-State comes in as the "hungrier" team though as it's lost nine of its last 12. The Wildcats will be looking to get off the schneid here and earn their first conference victory of the year. The Wildcats are sharp defensively as well, holding the opposition to just 61.8 PPG on average. WVU averages only 72.1 PPG and I believe it'll have its hands full with his now desperate home side. 

The pick: Additionally note that WVU is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten conference road games after three or more SU/ATS victories, while K-State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after three or more losses and as an underdog of five points or more. I'm grabbing the points and expecting this contest to be decided in the final moments.

10* CASH-BOMB on Kansas State.

The set-up: Dallas plays with revenge here after falling 121-119 in Portland earlier in the season. The Blazers have been more "miss" than "hit" this season, but after two straight victories and playing against this revenge minded home side, I believe Portland reverts to its usual sub-par self. The Mavs have looked better now that Luka Doncic is fully recovered from his ankle injury, as the Mavs enter this one off three straight victories. Doncic had 25 points, 15 boards and 17 assists in the most recent 127-123 win over the Kings. 

The pick: Note as well that Dallas is 10-3-2 ATS in its last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing SU record, while Portland is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten on the road and only 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in a SU win in its previous outing. After a big win at Houston, I look for the Blazers to stumble in this difficult road venue. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: I think the 9-6 Rider Broncs get caught lookin past the 4-11 Niagara Purple Eagles tonight. The Broncs come in off a 69-52 win over a weak Marist team, while Niagara enters off a much-needed 70-69 victory over Iona at home in its latest action. Rider has so far averages 72.9 PPG and it's allowed 71.3. The Purple Eagles average 66.6 PPG and they allow 76.2. Clearly on paper Rider is the better team, but I think this one sets up great situationally for the "hungrier" home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Rider is already a poor 2-6 ATS on the road this season and just 3-4 ATS after playing a road game this year, while Niagara is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog. Rider's form on the road hasn't been great and I believe it'll have its hands full. Clearly the outright win isn't out of question, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Niagara.

The set-up: The Golden Knights made a controversial coaching change which hasn't sat well with players, fans and the media. Expectations are so unreal in Las Vegas after its improbable run to the Stanley Cup Final in its inaugural season. Sometimes coaching changes have a positive effect right out of the gate for a team (just look at the Leafs this year as a prime example), but in this case I believe it's going to back fire. The Knights have lost four in a row and I think the Sens are going to pour it on here to try and pull off the upset and to kick this team while its down. Besides, the Sens could care less about a four-game win streak, as they enter desperate to break an eight-game slide. Situationally, this sets up great for the home side in my opinion. 

The pick: NOte as well that Las Vegas is a horrible 7-11 (-10.3 units) this year in all non-conference games. These are two poor teams. But in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to recommend to lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Senators on the PUCK LINE.

The set-up: I think 4-13 MTSU comes in under the radar here and keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest vs. 11-6 FAU. The Blue Raiders have lost eight straight, while FAU has gone 9-3 in its last 12. The Owls though come off a poor 81-58 loss to UNT and with 11-6 UAB invading in two nights, I think this definitely sets up as a bit of a "trap" for the home side. On paper, clearly FAU is the better team. But losing wears on teams and I don't think we have to question MTSU's resolve and focus tonight. A great situational play for sure here in my opinion. 

The pick: Additionally note that MTSU is a sharp 7-2 ATS in its last nine off two straight losses against a conference rival, while FAU is already a poor 4-5 ATS this season vs. schools with losing records. No outright, but a 'nail-biter.' Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Middle Tennessee State.

The set-up: In a game which I see being decided late or in extra time, I'm going to lay the very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. I think Brian Elliot and Jordan Binnington are a "wash" here. The Flyers come in off a hard-fought 6-5 shootout win over the Bruins and I think they carry that offensive momentum over here (outshot Boston 39-31.) I think St. Louis, which enters having won four in a row, takes the foot off the gas here in this non-conference matchup. Note that the Blues have two whole nights off after this before an extended Western road trip which games at Colorado, Vancouver, Calgary and Edmonton all on the horizon. This is definitely a letdown/look-ahead spot for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Philly is 10-5 (+5 units) in its last 15 after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest, while St. Louis is a money-burning 9-9 (-1.9 units) this season in non-conference games.

10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Philadelphia Flyers.

The set-up: The Pacers are the better team on paper. But this is the opener of a home and home set and I think the home side is going to risk life and limb here to try and pull off the minor upset. After two straight wins, complacency kicks in for Indiana and after two straight losses, a sence of urgency for the home side. The Pacers just managed a 101-95 win over the 76ers last time out, but it certainly wasn't pretty. In fact note that Indiana has lost six of its last 11 overall. Note as well that the home team won and covered in each game in this series last year. The Wolves are coming off a 117-104 loss at home to OKC. Both teams are playing without key players for this series (Victor Oladipo and Karl Anthony Townes), but I think this one sets up great for the Wolves situationally.

The pick: Note as well that the Pacers are already a poor 3-5 ATS this year after covering in three of their last four against the spread, while Minnesota is a sharp 8-4 ATS in non-conference games this season. I'm banking on the home court advantage being sigificant tonight. This one means more to Minnesota.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The set-up: I think 14-2 Duquesne, which enters having won four straight, will get caught "looking past" the lowly 6-9 Fordham Rams. The Dukes most recently held on for a 66-61 win over George Washington. The Rams though have lost four of their last five and they've yet to get a conference victory. Most recently they fell 64-44 to St. Bonaventure. Fordham has two players averaging in double figures and Duquesne has three. On paper this one favors the Dukes, but with a more difficult 10-5 opponent in the Rhode Island Rams up next, I do indeed belive the home side gets caught looking ahead here as well.  

The pick: The Rams are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five after scoring 65 points or less in four straight games, while the Dukes are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) I'm grabbing the points and expecting a "nail biter."

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Fordham.

The set-up: After winning nine of their last ten, the Leafs come in razor focussed after three straight losses. The Devils are still in last place in the Metropolitan, but they've been playing a lot better of late, including a highly satisfying 3-1 win over the Lightning last time out. Previous to that they beat the Pens. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? 

The pick: Toronto is 10-5 (+4.3 units) in its last 15 after three or more consecutive losses, while New Jersey is just 12-19 (-2 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and only 3-4 (-1.1 units) this season after a win by two goals or more. I expect Toronto to win. And win big! Lay the 1.5 goals for the plus money return in this one.

10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Toronto Maple Leafs PUCK-LINE.

The set-up: If you're watching and wagering on this game, then you know the story lines and strengths/weaknesses of each team. LSU has been an unstoppable juggernaut this year, but note that the underdog has covered in six straight National Championship Games. The defending champs can draw from experience here as well. LSU and Joe Burrow have been the "talk of the town," but this Clemson offense and defense has the talent (and as mentioned above, the experience in "the big game!") to not only cover this game, but to obviously win outright as well. We don't have to look further than some of the NFL upsets or near upsets etc. The Titans are a well coached team which has game-planned perfectly to advance to the Conference Championships. 

The pick: LSU has had some "close calls" as well this season (Texas, Auburn and Alabama.) On top of the underdog covering in six straight Nat Champ Games, note as well that Clemson is 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing on two weeks rest, while LSU is 0-4 ATS this year after posting 450 yards or more of offense in its prevoius game. I think Dabo Swinney still has something up his sleeve. Grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Clemson.

The set-up: Is Russel Wilson a "better" QB than Aaron Rodgers right now? Probably. But not by much. Wilson managed to get the most out of his injured team and they took advantage of the fact that Philly' QB Carson Wentz got knocked out early with an injury. The Hawks looked tired now in my opinion. Note that last week they committed 11 penalties for 114 yards. WR DK Metcalf was a bright spot though with 160 receiving yards. I like Rodgers here at home and with a week off to prepare. The Green Bay furture Hall of Famer isn't the same player he used to be, but this is a spot in which I think he can take full advantage of. Note that Green Bay was sixth in red zone efficiency this year.

The pick: Additionally note that the Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight vs. teams with winning records and 5-1 ATS in their last six playoff contests, while the Hawks are just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. When you add it all up, I think this one has blowout from start to finish written all over it. Lay the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Green Bay Packers.

The set-up: 15-3 Wright STate is at 6-12 Illinois Chicago and I believe that the under the radar home side will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Raiders enter off an 80-64 win over IUPUI, while UIC fell 68-52 to UNK last time out. Revenge also comes into play here after Wright State took both games in this serires last year. Overall Wright State averages 81.1 PPG and it allows 72.2. The Flames average 65.4 PPG and they allow 72.2. 

The pick: Wright State though has responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS In its last nine home games following a loss in which it posted 55 points or less in. Conversely, Wright State is already a poor 1-4 ATS this season after playing a road game. Expect the Flames to lay everything on the line and while I wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. 

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Illinois Chicago. 

The set-up: I like Tennessee to keep this one closer than expected. Derrick Henry is a beast and behind the improved play of QB Ryan Tannehill, the Titans won a very tricky game at Foxborough last weekend. Beating Bill Bellichick on his own field and after such a tragic loss in Week 17 as well is very impressive in my books. The Titans are playing really good football right now in all three phases. They won't be intimidated whatsoever after posting the Playoff win in New England vs. the defending champs either. And will "rest" lead to "rust" for LaMar Jackson and company? Jackson will have to carry the load here with a minor injury to RB Mark Ingram. This is significant in my opinion. 

The pick: Tennessee is a sharp 6-3 ATS in its last nine road games and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Baltimore is a poor 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite in the 7 to 14 points range, including 0-2 ATS this season. I'm not calling for an outright, but all signs point to this one once again coming down to the wire.

10* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR on the Tennessee Titans.

The set-up: I think the 10-7 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are going to have their hands full today with the 6-11 UT Arlington Mavericks. The Chanticleers are averaging over 80 PPG in the early going, but they enter off a poor 78-66 loss to Texas State. A lot of their early numbers are skewed because of the level of competition. UTA on the other hand has struggled for most of the season with consistency, but it comes in playing its best basketball of the season and off its biggest win thus far, outlasting App State 66-56. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but CC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games following a loss in which it allowed 75 points or more inw, while UTA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten home games after a SU win in which it held its opponent to 59 points or less in. This one has "blowout" written all over it. Lay the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on UT Arlington.

The set-up: I think the 2-7 Iona Gaels come in under the radar here and keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest vs. 8-5 Rider. Iona came into this season having won four straight MAAC championships, but it enters this contest having losgin five in a row. The Gaels are 2-5 on the road this season. Coach Tim Cluess has his work cut out for him if he wants to avoid his first losing campaign as boss since he took over ten years ago. Rider has been the better team "on paper" so far this year, but it comes in off its first conference loss (a poor 80-61 setback to Quinnipiac) and I believe it's primed for another letdown here vs. this unbelievably hungry defending league champion. 

The pick: Note as well that the Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last five after faling to cover six or seven of their last eigth vs. the spread, while Riders is a poor 0-3 ATS this season already following a conference game. I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, take this one down to the final moments. Grab the points.

10* UNDERDOG ELITE OF THE ELITE on Iona.

The set-up: Am I predicting that the 5-11 Wyoming Cowboys are going to upset the 15-0 SDSU Aztecs SU tonight? I'm not. But I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive affair than what this spread would suggest. SDSU is no joke, winning big road games at BYU and Utah State. Most recently the Aztecs faced Utah State on the road and won by a score of 77-68. Overall SDSU averages 75.7 PG and it allows 56.8. The Cowboys come in off a 72-61 loss at Colorado State. Overall Wyoming averages 60.4 PPG and it allows 66.4. 

The pick: I'll point out though that the Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four when playing the role of underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last five following an ATS victory, while SDSU is a poor 0-4 ATS in its last four road games vs. a team with a losing home record. I think SDSU wins this game, but I don't think it'll cover this large spread again on the road and in this difficult venue. Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Wyoming.

The set-up: Valpo is 8-7 and Southern Illinois is 7-8. This is a revenge game for the Salukies, as Valparaiso has won three of the last four between the clubs, including 55-52 last year. Both teams come in off victories, but I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one. Valpo though looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its upset OT win over Evansville last time out. The Salukis cruised to a 67-55 win over Illinois State last time out and four starters put up double-digit in points. I believe the home side carries that momentum over here. 

The pick: Valpo is also a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, while SIU is already 6-1 ATS at home this season. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Southern Illinois.

The set-up: The Thunder enter off a loss in Philadelphia. The Nets come in off a loss to Orlando just last night as well. In this contest where both team's played just last night, I believe that the home court advantage can not be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. OKC's recent run came to a crashing halt last night, while Brooklyn has now lost six in a row. I believe that Spencer Dinwiddie and company lay everything on the line here to get off the schneid and to take advantage of this particular matchup. 

The pick: Note as well that the Thunder are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine Eastern road swings in the second game of the back to back and coming off a loss in the first, while the Nets are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season as a home underdog of six points or less. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright.

10* play on the NETS.

The set-up: It's 8-5 Miami Ohio vs. 10-3 Louisiana Lafayette in the Lending Tree Bowl and in my opinion, this one has ATS blowout written all over it. Despite ranking 77th in the KemPom power rankings, Miami Ohio still made it to this bowl game. Lafayette ranks 11th in the KenPom rankings (and note that two of the Cajuns losses this year came from App State by a combined 17 points.) The RedHawks had an easy schedule this year and QB Brett Gabbert finished with an unimpressive 11:8 TD:INT. The Cajuns average 38.8 PPG, led by QB Levi Lewis who had a 24:4 TD:INT. 

The pick: Note that the RedHawks are just 2-10 ATS in their last non-conference games, while Louisiana Lafayette is already 3-1 ATS this season as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range. Look for the high-powered Cajuns to dominate throughout all three phases and lay the points.

10* BLOWOUT on UL Lafayette.

The set-up: The Suns come in off a 120-112 win over New York. They play with revenge here after falling to Memphis earlier in the year. This is an important stretch for the Suns, as they play the Grizzlies today, followed by very winnable games vs. the Kings, Magic, Hornets, Hawks and Knicks. I think the Suns lay the hammer down here from start to finish as they push hard over this stretch vs. this "lesser" competition. And for the Grizzlies? They come in off a highly satisfying 140-114 blowout road victory over the Clippers just last night! 

The pick: Note as well that Memphis is just 36-45 ATS in its last 81 vs. teams with losing records, while Phoenix is already 17-5 ATS this year in revening a loss vs. an opponent. This one has home side blowout written all over it in my opinion. Lay the points.

10* REVENGE ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Phoenix Suns.

The set-up: The Eagles finished 9-7, while the Hawks ended up 11-5. Seattle almost knocked off the 49ers at home in Week 17, but it just wasn't to be. The Eagles had to sweep their final four games to punch their ticket, including a win over the Giants in Week 17. The Hawks will be without the services of WR Jaron Brown, who suffered a torn MCL in the loss to San Fran. That's going to put added pressure on QB Russell Wilson to carry the load and manage the game today. He'll also be leaning heavily on his run game, as Marshawn Lynch looked stronger as the game progressed in his first action in a while vs. the 49ers. The Eagles are also dealing with injury to RB Miles Sanders, who is listed as questionable here. Carson Wentz may have TE Zach Ertz back in the line-up today, but like his counterpart, the veteran pivot will have to shoulder the responsibility today if his team is going to win this one. Both teams are going to rely on their run game to alleviate that pressure from their QB's though. Each is banged up on the offensive side as well. Ultimately though I feel that Wilson's experience and the Seahawks depth across the board will win the day between these two injured teams. 

The pick: Additionally note that Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road and 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road favorite, while Philly is only 3-4 ATS at home this season and just 3-4 ATS when playing the role of underdog. For all the reasons listed above, I'm backing Seattle.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Seahawks.

The set-up: I think 12-2 Dayton gets caught "looking past" lowly 3-10 St. Joe's today. Most recently Dayton got the better of La Salle 84-58. The Flyers are one of the highest scoring teams in the nation and it's difficult to say anything negative about them. I simply feel that they come in complacent here, while I believe the Hawks risk life and limb here to try and pull off the upset. Keep your eyes on Ryan Daly for the home side, he's the only Hawk to average in double digits in scoring this year. 

The pick: Additionally note that Dayton is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a road favorite of 16.5 points or higher on the tail of a three games or more unbeaten streak, while St. Joe's is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games as an underdog in the 15.5 to 21.5 points range. I think the hungry home side keeps this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on St. Joseph's.  

The set-up: I think 5-10 Cleveland State brings everything it has this afternoon to try and pull off this upset vs. 9-6 Youngstown State. This is the home opener for Cleveland State as far as Confernece play is concerned, and that's always a big deal. Cleveland State opened up league action by splitting on the road vs. UIC and IUPUI. The Vikings' record though is more indicative of the level of competition they had to play in non-conference action, as those opponents had a combined record of 95-62. Off an 82-80 win over IUPUI, I like Cleveland State to keep the momentum rolling hee at home. 

The pick: And if recent history is any precedence, then the Vikings have to be loving their chances here, as they took both games vs. Youngstown State last season. I'm throwing the revenge factor out the window. That was last year and the Vikings can't afford to take the foot off the gas now after the slow start. The outright is indeed possible in my opinion, but in the end I'll grab the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on Cleveland State.

The set-up: Tulane is 6-6 and I think it'll give 7-5 Southern Miss everything it can handle today. Both teams backed their way into this Bowl game and each has had plenty of time off to prepare. Tulane's best win of the year came against Houston, 38-31 this season. Overall the Green Wave average 455.2 YPG, which ranks 24th nationally. Tulane isn't terrible defensively either, allowing 378.9 YPG. The Golden Eagles also had some big wins, including a road victory over Troy. Back-to-back losses to end the year didn't help though, falling 28-10 to WKU and 34-17 to FAU. 

The pick: Tulane though is already 5-1 ATS this year as a favorite, while Southern Miss is just 1-3 ATS as an underdog. The Wave have a healthier team on the field today and I think that matters. I'm laying the points and expecting a rout.

10* BLOWOUT on Tulane.

The set-up:

The pick:

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Portland Trail Blazers.

The set-up:

The pick:

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Oakland.

The set-up: I lay chalk when I think the situation calls for it. I believe that the Flyers are worth laying the chalk here for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Philly comes in off a 5-3 loss to LA, so it'll be hungry and focussed here after that hiccup. The Knights come in off a 5-2 win over the Ducks, but I think they'll get caught looking past their non-conference opponent today. 

The pick: The Flyers are 7-3 (+3.7 units) in their last ten after allowing four goals or more in their previous contest, while the Golden Knights are just 6-8 (-5.8 units) this season in non-conference contests. I think Las Vegas is set up for the letdown here, but as mentioned above, in a contest which I envision being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals.

10* NON-CONF PUCK-LINE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Philadelphia Flyers.

The set-up: The Raptors have played better than most thought they would this year without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. Every night Toronto takes the court it has a target on its back as teams try to knock off the defending champs. Toronto is 3.5 games back of Miami and it comes to town without the services of key figures Pascal Siakam and Marc Gasol. Miami beat Toronto 121-110 in OT back on December 3rd in the lone matchup this year and I think an even bigger blowout is in the cards here at home. Toronto is off a 117-97 win over the Cavs, while Miami enters off a poor 123-105 loss to the lowly Wizards. 

The pick: Note that Toronto is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven in South Beach, while Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last ten after a SU loss. Look for the Heat to play with passion from start to finish after their latest embarrassing effort as they look to kick this injured Raptors team from start to finish.

10* play on the HEAT.

The set-up: I'm not calling for an outright upset here. The 3-9 St. Joe's Hawks though won't be lacking for motivation today as they try to pull off the upset vs. the 10-3 Spiders. Richmond's early record has much to do with strength of schedule. The same can also be said of the Hawks. The Spiders though enter having lost two straight, falling 90-78 to Alabama and then getting crushed at home by Radford 73-58. St. Joes on the other hand comes in off a momentum building 84-69 victory over William and Mary. The Spiders average 76.3 PPG and the Hawks average 71.6. 

The pick: I think it sets up well for the hungry Hawks to keep this one close from a situational stand point, but also note that the Hawks have responded well in this spot from an ATS angle as well, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven as a dog. The Spiders on the other hand are a poor 6-10 ATS in their last 16 after a loss by ten points or more. I look for the Hawks to build off their latest performance and to keep this one much more competitive than what this spread would suggest.

10* UPSET SHOCKER BEST OF THE BEST on St. Joes.

The set-up: BC became bowl eligible after knocking off Pittsburgh in its regular season finale. Cincinnati was rolling along nicely until back-to-back losses to Memphis (losing in the regular season finale, as well as the Conference USA Championship game.)BC Head Coach Steve Addazio was let go, so that means that this one means a lot to interim coach Rich Gunnel. BC' QB Dennis Grosel stepped in admirably for Anthony Brown and I think he'll have his opportunities vs. this Bearcats' secondary which ranks 80th in the league vs. the pass. BC is going to have its hands full stopping Cincinnati's rush attack, which averages 198 YPG on the ground. QB Desmond Ridder had a week 17:9 TD:INT though. 

The pick: I'll point out as well that BC is a perfect 9-0 ATS in its last nine as a dog in teh 3.5 to ten points range (including 5-0 ATS this year), while Cinncy is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest. I'm grabbing the points.

10* BLOWOUT on Boston College.

The set-up: Wyoming beat Nebraska Wesleyan 82-68 in its last outing, while Boise State got the better of CSU Northridge on Saturday, winning 103-72. Jake Hendricks had 21 points for the Cowboys in their latest win. I think the lowly Cowboys catch the Broncos complacent here. Boise State has won three straight and I do indeed expect it to get caught looking past its lowly opponent today. 

The pick: The numbers/trends support us as well, as note that Boise State is just 9-12 ATS in its last 21 off a home win by ten points or more, including only 1-3 ATS this year, while Wyoming is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a home victory. I like the improving visiting side to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Wyoming.

The set-up: It's 9-3 Michigan vs. 10-2 Alabama. Michigan QB Shea Patterson finished with a 22:6 TD:INT. The Wolverines allow just 3.03 YPC on the defensive side. For the most part Michigan looked pretty good this year, but it did struggle against its elite opponents, which led to the overall disappointing record once it was all said and done.

The pick: Talk about disappointments, the fact that the Tide weren't in the playoff was viewed by many as a major mistake. A loss to Auburn in the Iron Bowl was the final nail in the coffin to their hopes. That said, I still think that Mac Jones is going to have his opportunities here. Additionally note that Michigan is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a dog (including only 1-2 ATS this season,) while Bama is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring and allowing 30 points or more in its previous outing. Lay the points.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Alabama.

The set-up: I think this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the Suns. Phoenix just broke its seven-game losing streak vs. the Kings and they now face a desperate Blazers team, which has lost three in a row and which will emabark on tough Western road swing after this contest. For all intents and purposes, this becomes a "must win" scenario for Phoenix. The Blazers defeated the Suns by only one point earlier in the year, so they definitely won't be looking past their opponent today either. 

The pick: Additionally note that Phoenix is a poor 3-9 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revenge a close loss vs. an opponent of three points or less, while Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last six after two or more consecutive losses. I'm laying the points and expecting the home side to risk life and limb from start to finish.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Portland Trail Blazers.

The set-up: Wisconsin Green Bay is 5-9 and Northern Kentucky is 9-4. The Phoenix are the "hungrier" team here and while their defense leaves everything to be desired, they average a whopping 82.7 PPG. Most recently Green Bay fell 90-84 to a tough Wright State team. The Phoenix often play five guards on the floor at once and I think they'll stretch the Norse today, who rely on their play in the paint to score. UNK has won three of its last four after pulling away for a 74-64 win over Milwaukee last time out. 

The pick: I'll point out though that the Phoenix are already 6-3 ATS on the road this season and 6-1 ATS in their last seven after a loss by six points or less. UNK on the other hand is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range and interestingly 0-2 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which concede 77 plus points per contest. I think the Phoenix' unorthodox style and high-scoring rate proves to be the difference in this one. That said, let's grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Wisconsin Green Bay.

The set-up: The winner of this game will win the NFC West. Forget that the Seahawks have "Beast Mode" as their RB now. Forget about what each team has done to this point, and please just look at these stats below, as they are what I'm basing my pick on entirely:

Seahawks in primetime:

16-4-2 ATS L22 at home

14-4-1 ATS L19 divisional games

14-2 ATS L16 as an underdog

Seahawks as a home underdog:

9-0 ATS L9 

Seahawks after an ATS loss:

9-1-1 ATS

The pick: 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Seattle Seahawks.

The set-up: The 1-9 Cornell Big Red are going to slide under the radar here vs. the 10-2 Nittany Lions in my opinion. In their most recent 80-76 loss at Hartford, Cornell was led by Jimmy Boeheim with 26 points. Cornell though is on the brink though, as note that it's lost five games by four points or less and a sixth against reigning Patriot League champ Colgate in a game it led by double digits in the second half. The Lions have won ten in a row and they're perfect at home. But with the New Year's break on the horizon, before conference play starts with a game at home vs. Iowa, I do indeed feel this sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. 

The pick: Cornell is also 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog, while Penn State is only 1-4 ATS in its last five off a home win by ten points or more. Grab the points.

10* SHOCKER SPECIAL on Cornell.

The set-up: I'm not calling for an outright upset, but with nothing to loe, I like Oklahoma to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Oklahoma is in its third playoff in a row and it's done it with three different QB's. This is a team which won't be intimidated in the "big moment." Jalen Hurts is a legit NFL prospect and I look for him to go down fighting. Ed Orgeron and QB Joe Burrow come into this game with an unblemished 13-0 record so far. In four of their last five games they've scored at least 46 points. But Hurts has the ability to keep this one close in my opinion. 

The pick: Oklahoma has been fantastic in this spot as wel lfor bettors, going 3-1 ATS in its last four as an underdog and 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference games, while LSU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. Burrow has been amazing. The Tigers have a great defense as well. But the long lay off is going to cause some issues with chemistry in my opinion. I think the Sooners' overall experience in this big game pays dividends for the team here and helps in keeping this one much closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma.

The set-up: The Warriors have won three straight games after upsetting the Rockets at home on X-Mas Day as double-digit underdogs, but I think they'll predictably return to mediocrity today vs. this hungry visiting side. Phoenix comes to town desperate to break a seven-game slide. 

The pick: Here is what Steve Kerr said after the X-Mas day win for the Warriors: "We're probably not going to play a bigger game than this all year," Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. "A national TV game against the Rockets. This game meant a lot to us." Can anyone say "letdown" spot? NOte as well that the Suns are already 4-1 ATS this year off a cover where it lost the game SU as a dog, while GS is only 2-3 ATS this season as a home dog of six points or less. I like the "hungry/desperate" team to find a way to get the job done tonight.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns.

The set-up: The Bulldogs went 9-3 this season and for their above average performance, they get the 6-6 Hurricanes in the Independence Bowl on Thanksgiving Day. Louisiana Tech went just 1-2 over its last three games though and I think it'll have difficulty with this team from the Power 5 Conference. Yes Louisiana Tech beat UTSA 41-27 in its finale, but in the two losses previous it scored a total of 24 points. Overall the Bulldogs average 34 PPG and allow 23.7. 

The pick: The Hurricanes lost their final 27-17 to Duke. Five of their six losses though have been by seven points or less. Overall Miami averages 27.8 PPG and it allows just 20.8. Louisiana Tech has had considerably more sucess in the Bowl Season than the Hurricanes over the last ten years, but I think the Bulldog's get overwhelmed on the defensive end from this hungry 6-6 Miami Florida team. I'm laying the points.

10* BLOWOUT on Miami Florida.

The set-up: The Yellow Jackets come in hungry here as they've lost four of their last five over the last two weeks. Overall the Yellow Jackets average 65.6 PPG and allow 67.8. The Warriors had their two-game win streak snapped by Washington last time out. Overall Hawaii averages 71.3 PPG, while coneding 72. 

The pick: Georgia Tech though is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 following a SU loss, while Hawaii is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 tournament games. Strengh of schedule is the issue here and GT has played a much more difficult one to this point. These early numbers are skewed. Expect a decisive victory from the Power 5 Conference member today and lay the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Georgia Tech.