Orlando has its back up against the wall as they are down 2-0 in this series, and will now be primed for a huge bounce back performance here at home where they have played their best hoops this season winning 29 of their 40 games while covering 27 of those tilts. The last game between these two teams was a grinding affair in Cleveland with the Cavs pounding out a 96-86 win. Note: Bickerstaff is 0-10 ATS  in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND. Also Bickerstaff is 17-33 ATS L/50 in road games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached . 

CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 12-4 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.

ORLANDO is 15-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus sub standard pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 37-4 L/28 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-11 ATS L/28 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Pelicans played the Thunder tough in game 1 of this series losing by a 94-92 count and now Im betting on another very close physical playoff game. Note: The road team in this series has covered 8 straight meetings and number 9 Im betting is on tonights agenda.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 ATS  as an underdog this season with a +0.5 ppg diff. NEW ORLEANS is 14-6 ATS as a road underdog this season with average ppg diff of +2.4.

Daigneault is 11-25 ATS in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record L/43 games dating back 5 seasons have seen a average ppg diff of +3.8 ppg . 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 58-25 ATS L/27 seasons for 68% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover

Everything seemed to go well for the Wolves in game 1, they made tough contested shots, grabbed a plethora of rebounds, and snatched and stole some errant passes from the Suns.However,  doing that two games in a row will be a tough assignment for the Wolves . Yes, Minnesota owns a great defense, but when the men from the Arizona desert are flying their hard to stop and Im betting that will be the case here as they get back into a groove and shoot at above tor at their season average . The Suns dominated the Wolves during the current campaign, winning all three reg season meetings by DDs, and Im now betting they bounce back. 

PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS  after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 61-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Suns to cover

The New Orleans Pelicans won Friday night's elimination game in the West play-in with a 105-98 victory over the Sacramento Kings and must not be under estimated in their ability to play this  Thunder side tough. I know Zion Williamson will be out, but the Pelicans have come together in efficiently and proved in a top tier defensive game to get here.  It must be noted that New Orleans is 4-1 SU L/5 here in Oklahoma City and the road team have covered seven straight meetings between these teams.Daigneault is 11-24 ATS  in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a -9.6 ppg diff. NBA Underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 64-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pelicans to cover

 The  Pacers since March 20,  have the best offense in the league and sit third in Net Rating and deserve respect here in Game 1 vs a Milwaukee side that is expected to be without their super star Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff of -10.7. 

INDIANA is 12-1 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996. INDIANA is 12-4 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

The Pacers have won the last two meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today.

Play on Indiana to cover

The Suns finished off their reg season with a astounding 125-106 win at Minnesota as underdogs for their third straight win this season vs the Wolves. With that said, Im now betting the Wolves will be ready for redemption/revenge against a team that has soundly beat them this season. Note:PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS L/20  in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog . Also

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS  revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 39-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a home loss are 101-150 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win/cover

The Magic have played some great defensive ball this season, but their offense can sometimes be stagnant and have been a better team at home in the Magic Kingdom, than they have been on the road. A tell take sign for me going against Orlando today was because they were just  5-10 SU against top-six defenses like the Cavs, averaging 104.4 points per game, Considering the Cavs are fairly healthy at least from the starting unit  perspective with Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen all expected to play, they have a pronounced edge at home. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 27-4 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on the ATS offering. CLEVELAND is 5-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons at home. 

Play on the Cavaliers to cover

In a game like this the physicality  and die heard defense that ranks 3rd in NBA in ppg allowed gives the  the Heat  an advantage. The Bulls rank 16th in the league in D, and their offense has generally been sub standard  ranking 22nd in ppg output. 

MIAMI is 22-10 ATS  in April games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (MIAMI) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 34-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors 

Play on Miami to cover

The Clippers clinched the Pacific Division, with their road win in Phoenix last night, and now with revenge on board and in desperation mode Im betting we now see the Suns play with ultimate urgency as they look to avoid the play in tournament.  It also looks like Harden and Leonard will not play tonight for the Clippers giving an edge to the Suns. 

LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS   in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.2.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more, playing on back-to-back days are 32-2 L/28 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6 which easily qualities on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more are 30-8 L/28 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Suns to cover

 The Thunder looked a little tired during their recent  5 game road trip, losing 3 of those games. However,  now home andwith a couple of days of rest in their own beds, Im betting the Thunder, will be prepared to put forward a top tier effort vs a side they dominated the last time they visited here on Feb 11 th, by a 127-113 count.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-15 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 ATS  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -10.8 .

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Houston has lost 5 straight games, while Orlando continues to be a force to be reckoned with as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have.been consistently competitive all season long.  ORLANDO is 25-7 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+13.80 Units / 8% ROI)

HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in a t+5.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Heat are  currently playing a top tier brand of hoops  and deserve respect here as underdogs, and according to my projections could easily be slight favs here vs the Pacers .

The Heat are  a half-game back of the Pacers for the sixth and final playoff spot in the East, and makes for what Im betting will be a hard contested game, that favors the more physical and defensive minded Heat. 

MIAMI is 17-7 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 46-69 ATS  in home games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached since 1996.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

Saturday marks the conclusion of the two-game season series between the teams. The Lakers beat Cleveland 121-115 back on Nov. 25.Note:CLEVELAND is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. It must be noted that the key LAL cogs James and Anthony are banged up and less than 100% and if they play will be on limited minutes. As far as seeding goes James has said hes not worried about seeding so its obvious he wont push himself here to over extend his body as the playoffs approach. Advantage to Cleveland getting points.

CLEVELAND is 13-2 ATS   off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.

LA LAKERS are 3-13 ATS  off a road win this season.Ham is 9-27 ATS  off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS.

Cleveland to cover

The Timberwolves are playing their fourth game in six days and are on tired legs entering this tilt at Phoenix.Phoenix's Big Three of Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal Im betting will be to much for the Wolves to compete with from a offensive standpoint., especially considering the Wolves are without  the often injured Towns.  These teams could meet in the play offs , and home court advantage will be key. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games 7-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. ( Minn beat Toronto 133- 85 last time out- while, the Suns offense exploded for two plus 120 points out wins vs the Pelicans and Cavs. 

Suns are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.

Play on Suns to cover 

Julius Randle's season is over, as he will undergo surgery to repair a torn labrum, and this has to be disheartening to this Knicks  team. Another key NYK asset Anunoby is currently out with elbow bursitis.Considering the Knicks are running a short rotation, and accumulating alot of minutes, exhaustion maybe starting to set in as is evident by having lost three straight games previous to beating up on another tired group in the Sacramento Kings. Im betting the Chicago takes advantage of out of gas Knicks  group and grabs the victory. 

NBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Bulls to win /cover

When these teams met back on Dec 20th in Sacramento the Celtics ran over their hosts by a 144-119 count and very much looked like the superior side, and Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Boston, After manhandling a very good Oklahoma City side, last time out, winning by a 135-100 count its obvious to me the Celtics mean business down the stretch drive here entering the play offs and will prepared to send another message tonight. Boston is 5-0 ATS/SU L/5 in this series. 

Play on the Celtics to cover

From a SRS perspective we are getting value with the home dog tonight LA Clippers. The defending NBA champs demand respect, but this line is a little bloated according both my projections and the SRS data. The Clippers rank7th in the NBA in SRS with a 3.38. rating while the Nuggets rank 4th with a 4.83. Taking into consideration home court advantage we have close a 2 point advantage on the line with the home side.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Note: The Clippers won the last meeting here at home  111-102 back on Dec 6th of this season. 

DENVER is 15-27 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

Injury notes: Jokic and Murray are less than 100% , and may or may not play and if they do should see limited/restricted minutes/ action. 

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The Hawks despite of losing their top scoring star Trey Young to injury have been playing inspired hoops of late, and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight vs the Mavericks. The Hawks have won 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here in this current form as DD dogs. Note:Atlanta has played the Mavs tough in their 3 most recent meetings winning two of 3 with the loss coming earlier this season in a 148-143 home defeat. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 69-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

Brooklyn just got clobbered by Indiana 133-111 when they met a couple days ago and Im betting on a rinse and repeat performance from the Pacers tonight. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 11-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering.

INDIANA is 8-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and hav covered their L/4 meetings on the road in BROOKLYN. 

Play on Indiana to cover

Dallas enters this game having won 7 straight while their hosts the Golden State Warriors have won 4 straight. With home court advantage and revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to the Mavs  Im recommending we back the experienced veteran laden Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 31-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI) The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (-34.40 Units / -24% ROI)

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Warriors to cover

***The Bulls are in ninth place vs the Hawks and are 10th in the Eastern Conference, and the two l will probably play in the opener of the play-in tournament. However, the  No. 9 team will host the game, in which the loser is eliminated making this a important game for both sides. Home court is huge here according to my projections as neutral court is a essentially a pickem according to SRS numbers. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Atlanta had a 4 game win streak end on Saturday vs the Bucks, and in the past have not been a great bounce back team, especially after a home game as is evident by the following trends:  Atlanta is   11-28 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season and  11-23 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Also ATLANTA is just  3-11 ATS  against Central division opponents this season and considering the Bulls current form that has seen them win 2 of their L/3 against top tier opponents Indiana and Minnesota, Im betting home side is in a viable enough groove to grab the victroy here as short home favs. Chicago is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

 The Nuggets look exhausted lately, as was obvious in recent losses to Minnesota and Phoenix and will probably rest Murray tonight in this tilt vs the Cavs as the play offs approach. There is definite value here taking the Cavaliers in this spot play situation. CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season. 

Play on 
Cleveland to cover 

Two straight ugly efforts against the Atlanta Hawks and now the Celtics  try to avoid their first three-game losing streak of 2023-24 when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday.  Im betting even if the Bean-town crew get the W,  that their  tired legs now playing their their 5th straight road game wont easily get what they want and that they fail to cover vs a undervalued Pelicans side playing at home.  Its obvious to me that the Celtics are  having some regressionary  algorithmic down time after a strong run that saw them win 9 straight games.  Pelicans are  7-0 ATS  L7 vs .700 or better  opposition.NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents this season.

Play on Pelicans to cover

The Magic have uncharacteristically lost two straight games at home (24-11 SU/ATS as hosts) , but Im betting on them having a bounce back effort today vs the visiting Clippers who are off a hard fought 108-107 win vs the Sixers last time out March 27th, in what was their 4th straight time failing to cover  and are just  11-12 with a -2.6 net rating since early Feb.   With this also being the Clippers 3rd straight road game tired legs could make them vulnerable to the leagues best home team ATS with a +6.9 home net rating which ranks them  seventh in the NBA.

LA CLIPPERS are 6-16 ATS  off a road win this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-13 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season Orlando 10-1  ATS on Fridays vs non-conference opposition. 

Play on Orlando to cover

Saints were smashed by the Bucks earlier this season 141-117 and now have payback on their agenda. After playing a hard fought game the day before yesterday vs the Lakers in a OT loss the Bucks will be vulnerable to a letdown performance vs a very motivated and talented group.Note: Bucks are  0-5 ATS away in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opposition.

NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.

MILWAUKEE is 19-33 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on New Orleans 

The Nuggets have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns 117-107 here at home the last time they played and now the defending champs will be out for redemption and to send a message that they are not to be disrespected. Note: Nuggets are on a 13-1 SU as hosts  L/2 campaigns  when seeking same-season double-digit revenge, and in 6 tries only failed to cover once when given the opportunity this season.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 124-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

Both these teams played last night, but the Kings having rested in their own beds will be fresher. After two straight hard fought games in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City the Mavs will be feeling tired as this game progresses which gives us a edge with the home side. Note: Mavs are  1-7 as dogs in back to back situations. Kings are 4-0 ATS L4 vs Mavs. 

I know Dallas is on a nice run but it must be noted that Mavs HC Kidd is 27-50 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached since 1996 with average ppg diff clicking in at -3.1.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

After faltering in their last game against the Minnesota Wolves in a hard fought affair, Im now betting on a big rebound performance against a Heat team that they are in revenge mode against for a loss they suffered  at home by a 114-102  earlier this season. Miami has failed to cover 20 of 32 games at home this season including 3-8 ATS against Western Conference opposition.  Meanwhile, GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS  as a road favorite this season. MIAMI is aslo 8-21 ATS  in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season. Kerr is 87-58 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

Play on Warriors to cover

The Kings are off a 3 game road trip and in the last game of their trek they upset the Orlando Magic in a physical hard fought game, and now Im betting on a letdown spot here vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. It must be noted that despite of playing without Joel Embidd the Sixers have been mostly competitive and should not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight. Philadelphia ha won 10 straight games in this series and if they lose this tilt, it wont come without a valiant fight. 

SACRAMENTO is 10-21 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 1-11 ATS in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. 

SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 3-15 ATS in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 0-7 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Brown is 0-9 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 13-26 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to cover

Denver has a recent reputation for taking the foot off the gas against teams like the Grizzlies, and could easily rest some stars tonight for long stretches of this game, giving us an edge taking DD points with the visitors. 

MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 24-13 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Boston is surging towards the play offs in top form, but there could be a problem here , as they are also not pacing themselves, and with this being their 9th road game in their L/11 trips to the hardwood, and their 3rd road game in their L/4 days ,could find themselves vulnerable due to exhaustion. 

BOSTON is 8-19 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 3-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hawks to cover

 The Warriors  are primed for payback against  a team they would love to send a message to before the play offs arrive . This Golden State team has lost both their tilts vs the Wolves at home this season and will be sky high for this tilt.   It must be noted that the Warriors – are  6-1-1 ATS when Minnesota is above .500 in a double revenge situation.   Golden State is also golden  5-0 ATS as a dog when in redemption mode for a same-season double revenge. situation  Minnesota when facing an opponent with same- season double revenge are  1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS vs sides with a .400 or better record. 

GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS  in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off a upset loss as a favorite are 40-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Warriors to cover

The Spurs are on tired legs after playing last night in a lethargic loss to the Memphis Grizzlies and are now vulnerable to being beat up on by a redemption minded Suns side that has fallen asleep at the proverbial wheel in this last two meetings vs the Spurs this season. It must noted that the Suns are  3-0 ATS L/3 times in this series  when  coming into it with Double revenge and are 13-3 ATS vs any side that took them out in 2 consecutive same season tilts. It must also be noted that the Suns  are a money making  23-3 ATS away in SU wins with same- season double revenge. SAN ANTONIO is 13-22 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover

The well rested Lakers have revenge on board for an ugly 128-94 defeat   in Philadelphia  back in November and now Im betting on a big time redemption situation to unfold here in LA LA land tonight. Super stars like James and Davis don't take kindly to be embarrassed like that , with both expected to play tonight vs  76ers side that struggles on alot of nights without their injured   super star Joel  Embid in the lineup. note: Series host is 5-0 ATS L/5. 

PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.8. 

Play on Lakers to cover

The Nuggets enter this game ready for redemption for a  122-84 loss in New York in January and Im now betting q conclusive DD winning effort here tonight. Note: NBA Favorites (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 73-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Also Malone is 27-14 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite as the coach of DENVER with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8. 

Play on Denver to cover

The last time these teams played back in January the Celtics went into Milwaukee after playing the Minnesota Wolves the night before and were  smashed in a DD beatdown (135-102). Now in revenge mode Im betting the Celtics to get even here plus some . Note: The Celtics are 3-0 ATS L/3 with revenge in this series from a 25 or more point loss. Also the Bucks have failed to cover 8 of their L/9 going against a side with revenge form a 30 or more point loss.

BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 9 ppg.

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas is off a upset win vs the Denver Nuggets on Sunday night and have back to back games against the Utah Jazz after tonights game vs the Spurs. The Mavs have already defeated the Spurs three times this season, with the last two coming by big  DD margins. But because of how easily the Mavs handled the Spurs Im betting they will in some ways be overlooking tonights opponents which leave them vulnerable especially considering they could easily be in a letdown spot after the above mentioned victory vs the top tier Nuggets.DALLAS is 0-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. DALLAS is 0-9 ATS  after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

Philadelphia is in complete disarray and are now 10-22 without their super star Joel Embiid out the lineup this season, which includes dropping five of the last seven overall. Their offensive production has also fallen off a cliff as they have averaged just 93.4 ppg in their last 5 trips to the court. I know Miami is off a game last night, but are a well conditioned side. Note: Miami is 48-32 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.1. I know some key cogs will also be out of the Heats lineup , but the remaining depth is a very physical group that Im betting the light weight Sixers lineup will have problems dealing with. From a coach perspective Nurse is 1-10  in home games versus  defenses - allowing shooting pct defense 46% or worse  - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. PHILADELPHIA is also just  2-10 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

Boston continues to gain momentum as the playoffs approach and have won 4 straight by DDS, while Washington is in tank mode as is evident by having lost their L/3 by DD deficits. Today Im expecting this trend to continue and for the Celtics to roll past the Wizards. 

Note: Boston: 9-1 ATS L/10  in 2/0 rest situation with the Washington Wizards are  0-7 ATS L/7  in 0/2 rest situation.

WASHINGTON is 8-17 ATS  as a home underdog this season with the average -11.8 ppg diff.

Mazzulla is 21-6 ATS   versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better  - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.9. 

Play on Boston to cover 

Bucks have revenge on board for a 114-106 loss back in Feb on the road vs the these same Suns.  With Giannis Antetokounmpo likely to play this TV game the Bucks are the right side.    LATE STEAM

The Wolves are well rested with 3 days off coming into this game, while /Utah played last night and will be on tired legs. Note: The Wolves are 7-1 ATS L/8 on  3 days rest and  11-2 ATS  away vs an unrested div opponent . Meanwhile  Utah: 0-4-1  ATS L/5 vs an  opponent  with 3 days rest.UTAH is 3-12 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.8 . NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, second half of the season are 35-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover

The Suns are pretty well at full strength, with all their key cogs in the lineup. Meanwhile, Charlotte  a side that has been banged up for most of the season, and just 9-23 SU at home this year are fade material here according to my projections. In their only meeting this season, the Suns took out the Hornets by a 133-19 count, and won both contests vs Charlotte last season by DDs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS   revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.7 ppg. 

The Suns played last night in a DD loss to the Celtics and will be out looking for redemption . Note: Pho: 7-1 away with no rest vs non-conference opposition. Meanwhile, Charlotte 1-9 ATS  home in 1/0 rest situation.

One of these teams (Suns) is picking up momentum as the post season nears closer, while the other side should continue their decent into tank mode . 

NBA opening line Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 67-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phoenix to cover

Cleveland is a little banged up but  their key offensive star Donovan Mitchell is expected to come back into the lineup tonight according to multiple sources.  Even if he cant play this Cleveland team must not be disrespected as underdogs . the Pelicans after a big DD win at Atlanta where they shot 57.3% from the field are in a key regressionary  letdown situation and vulnerable as favs . 

NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS  off a road win by 10 points or more this season.

CLEVELAND is 22-10 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  36% or  more of their attempts this season

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 25-8 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

Cleveland played last night, but are a well conditioned team. and more than capable of putting forward a energetic performance.  The Suns have recently not been able to take advantage of these situations as they are just  1-9 away vs unrested non-conference opposition. Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games and far from being viable road favs. I know Booker is expected back in the lineup for the Suns and the Cavs are dealing with injuries but the line is still a little bloated according to my projections. 

PHOENIX is 2-10 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season.

PHOENIX is 16-30 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

CLEVELAND is 21-10 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 67-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix.

Play on Cleveland to cover

The aging Lakers after playing 5 of their L/6 games against very strong opponents maybe feeling a little exhausted here as they go against another top tier opponent the Minnesota Wolves. The Lakers have played the Clippers, Nuggets, Thunder , Kings and Bucks recently and Im betting that kind of action will finally catchup to them in this spot play.  MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Wolves are 4-0 ATS L/4 visits to LA to. play the Lakers and 7-3 SU L/10 meetings overall.

Minny is  4-1  ATS away in 1/1 rest situation. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

The 76ers have revenge on board for a 110-96 defeat  at home to their hosts tonight the NY Knicks a few weeks ago and now will be primed for redemption here this week ,  against a  Philly side  that   4-0 ATS of 3 points or more  in  same- season revenge for a  DD loss,  The Knicks meanwhile have not faired well hat home of late when hosting these types of revenge minded sides going 0-6 ATS L/6 opportunities this season . Also Philadelphia  in this  series with same-season revenge from a loss of 14 or more points, are  6-0 ATS in the visitors role. PHILADELPHIA is also 8-0 ATS  revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite over the last 3 seasons which is the case here today. 

 The 76ers are 6-0 ATS  away in 1/1 rest situation. NYK are  0-7 ATS  in 1/1 rest situation. NEW YORK is 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. NYK is 3-11 ATS L/14 overall. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off a home win, in March games are 33-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cash 

Brooklyn has been highly inconsistent this season, and have hada propensity to overlook opponents. That was obvious last time out vs Detroit, in a loss as favorites. Today I do however, expect the Nets to be ready for some face saving redemption against a Charlotte side they lost a 129-128 decision to back in late November . Note: NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a upset loss as a favorite are 34-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.BROOKLYN is 22-10 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons and get the nod to cash here today.

Play on the Nets to cover

The Bucks  are gaining momentum under new head coach Doc Rivers, but had their  six-game win streak came to an abrupt end on  Wednesday in a ugly 125-90 beat down at  the hands of the  Golden State Warriors. Now in redemption mode Im betting on a huge bounce back performance vs the Lakers this Friday night. 

LA LAKERS are 1-9 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less  turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 18-8 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games are 21-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

The Bucks have won their L/2 visits to LA to play the Lakers and the visitor is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

 The Heat enter this game in top form having won Two straight and 7 of their L/8 and are 18-13 SU on the road this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at plus  1.1. Meanwhile, the Mavs have lost 5 of their L/6 and they are not playing at optimal levels. Kidd is 10-22 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of DALLAS. Advantage Miami. 

Note: I know Tyler Herro is out for the Heat, but  Duncan Robinson in his absence has played admirably as he takes advantage of  his extra minutes. 

MIAMI is 33-19 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. 

DALLAS is 2-10 ATS  in home games in non-conference games this season. 

DALLAS is 8-20 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 7-20 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 19-32 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 1-9 ATS in home games after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Indiana. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 255 points or more are 7-26 ATS L/5 seasons L/5 seasons for a  go against 79% conversion rate. 

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

The Lakers are off a huge win vs the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out and will now be in a letdown spot vs visiting Sacramento and vulnerable in this spot.  LA LAKERS are 13-26 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are off a upset loss to the Bulls last time out, but prior to that had defeated the Minnesota Wolves so they were in the same type of situation the Lakers find themselves in today. Its not always easy to come out and play at a top level after exerting alot of energy in your last game against a top tier team. Im now betting a big rebound from the Kings and a regressionary performance from the Lakers giving us value with the underdog to cover.

SACRAMENTO is 32-18 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 12-3 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 19-8 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.4 in those 27 tilts. 

Sacramento has covered 4 of their L/5 visits to LA to play the Lakers. 

Play on Sacramento to cover

The Magic played last night in a complete game DD victory vs Charlotte , but did not exert alot of effort to dispose of their opponents, and will have enough left in the tank vs a tanking Washington side that has lost 15 straight games and 5 of their L/7 by DD deficits. The Magic have defeated the Wizards 5 straight times with 4 of the wins coming by 8 ore more points. Rinse and repeat projected situation in play here tonight with the road fav.  ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS   as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS   in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Magic to cover

Boston enters this game on fire with a 11 game win streak, but tonight Im betting they will have their hands full with this young under rated Cleveland Cavs group, even without their top scorer  Donavan Mitchell on the floor. I know Boston has already beaten the Cavs twice this season, but it must be noted Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in this series with same season double revenge on board. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 26-55 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Cleveland is 3-1 SU L/4 at home in this series.

Play on the Cavaliers to cover

The Lakers have played the Thunder tough lately winning the last two meetings this season, and will be primed for a big time effort here at home after blowing their last chance to take down a . Western Conference power Denver. Meanwhile, the Thunder enter off a 118-110 road victory against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday and are on tired legs and vulnerable here in this spot play situation.

LA LAKERS are 17-6 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 52-26 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover

The Two sides the visiting Bulls and their hosts the Kings will be  trying to avoid play-in status in the upcoming  NBA playoffs. Knowing the importance of this tilt for both teams, Im expecting a hard fought closely contested tilt with the points proving to be golden in my humble betting opinion. 

CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS   off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.( Lost to Milwaukee last time out by DDs on the road)

SACRAMENTO is 7-21 ATS  in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 1-16 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

 NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 19-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover

The Clippers played last night in Minnesota and came out of the game with a one point win in a grinding  low scoring affair . I know the Bucks are well rested, but from a matchup perspective Clippers matchup well vs a talented but slower Bucks group, with their super star   Antetokounmpo playing at less than 100% or not at all Im betting will not be able to run and gun their way from a top tier Clippers side, that 

LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 8-18 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. 

MILWAUKEE is 25-35 ATS  in all games this season.

LA CLIPPERS is 2-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons in Wisconsin. 

Lue is 29-15 ATS  in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS.

Play on LA Clippers to cover

Phoenix will be playing back to back games in this tilt vs well rested Oklahoma City, but this is a very well conditioned Suns group that deserves respect in this spot play  according to my projections . The Suns Im betting will be very motivated to perform in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Thunder here at home earlier this season.

Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City. Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors which obviously qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Suns to cover

Two teams that rate as being at  the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, have the home side being over valued here according to my projections. We know key cog Joel Embiid  for Philly is out, but the Sixers have still shown they can compete as was evident when they went in to Cleveland last week and pulled off the SU victory as underdogs. Meanwhile, Dallas has shown a propensity to play lackluster basketball at times this season, and are currently struggling as they enter this tilt having lost 3 of their l/4. The Mavs has also performed poorly at home vs non conference opposition from the all important ATS view point as they are just 3-22 ATS . ( My take is they are constantly being over rated by the linesmakers in the role of hosts  and the Mavs as a team are not performing at optimal levels for whatever reason.) With that said, Ill grab the points here with the under valued  underdog vs the over hyped fav)

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover

Atlanta is a very inconsistent side, despite of their decent talent.  They dont regularly take care of business vs lesser teams, and dont back bounce well off losses especially on the road. Note: Atlanta just got blasted by this same Brooklyn side, by a 124-97 count, a couple of days ago and despite of looking redemption just have not shown that zest for bounce bakc revenge performances. 

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS  off a road loss by 10 points or more this season.

ATLANTA is 2-14 ATS  when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-16 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS  as a home favorite this season. BROOKLYN is 21-10 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Brooklyn to cover

The Wizards have lost 13 straight after last nights OT loss to the Lakers. Only 3 of the losses during this ugly run have come by more than this point spread offering. Meanwhile, the Clippers have cooled off since the all star break, and have lost 6 of their L/9 overall while failing to cover 7 of those games. I know the Wizards played last night, but they are still in LA and have had sufficient time to rest up today in preparation for this tilt vs the Clippers. Nothing has come easily for the Clippers lately, and Im betting that will hold true vs a side that has nothing to loose and operating without pressure. The Wizards are 9-0 ATS L/9 playing back to back games.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% OR BETTER ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% OR BETTER ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (-5.5 OR LESS reb/game) are 15-45 ATS L/27 seasons for a  go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover

Denver beat up on Sacramento last night by DDs in a revenge situation and Im betting are now on tired legs, which  will see them be in a letdown situation here both mentally and physically. Meanwhile, the visiting Heat are currently playing a top tier brand of basketball as they have won 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 overall and deserve respect as under dogs in spot play situation. Note:Denver with no rest is   0-7 ATS  L/7 when coming off a game in which they were playing with revenge .

Play on Miami Heat to cover

 Denver has taken all three meetings so far this season vs the Warriors, but you can bet Steve Kerr and company will be prepared to get some redemption here this evening at home  in an effort to save face. Considering the Warriors are finally starting to play a top tier of hoops as is evident by winning 8 of their L/9 overall it will br an easy decision here to back the hosts in revenge mode. Note: NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are just 4-28 L/27 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season.GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover

Boston beat up on the Bulls when they played in Boston in late November and now the Bulls have revenge on board and Im betting they will be alot more competitive in the rematch. Chicago has shown steady improvement behind the top tier  play  of DeRozan and Nikola Vucevic  and emrging elite   guard Coby White, who is averaging 24.2 points per game and shooting 44.7 percent from deep in February. 

Chicago is 2-1 SU/ATS L/3 at home vs the Celtics. Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston. 

CHICAGO is 24-11 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

BOSTON is 8-18 ATS   in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff clicking in at +1.3. 

Boston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games.

NBA  team vs the money line (BOSTON) - off a blowout win by 30 points or more over a division rival, in February games are 8-22 L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.2 which qualifies  on this ATS offering. 

Play on Chicago to cover

 The Bucks have not played at a top level of late as  their big star Giannis Antetokounmpo is playing at less than 100% with nagging injuries as is Damian Lilliard . The bucks also remain without the services  Middleton who is sidelined. Milwaukee is just 3-6 SU/ATS  L/10 and have in the recent past had a tendency to not play hard against lower tier sides like the Memphis Grizzlies as is evident by a  5-17 ATS recored when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Meanwhile , MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons and are  30-15 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win are just 9-29 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. ( Bucks lost 123-97 to Miami last time out while the Grizz beat Houston by a 121-113 count.)

Memphis has won and covered their L/2 meetings at home vs Milwaukee and have covered 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series.

Play on Memphis to cover

Play on Memphis to cover

Sacramento played a grueling game in Phoenix last night losing by a 130-125 count  and now play a back to back games in the thin air of the Mile High City which is never a good situation. The combination of these high altitudes and the physical and emotional letdown scenario make the Denver Nuggets a viable option tonight laying lumber. It must also be noted that the Nuggets have the added motivation of  redemption and revenge on their minds for a loss they suffered to these same Kings  a few days ago by a ugly 136-105 count.  Note: Denver is 6-0 ATS L/6  as hosts vs unrested opposition .

DENVER is 23-11 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 19-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Kings have lost three of their past four overall to fall a half-game behind the Suns in the Pacific and will now be very motivated for a bounce back effort vs a side that they have covered against in 5 straight meetings . Note: The Suns have failed to cover 5 straight at home vs .500 or better opposition. 

Phoenix won the last meeting here back in mid January by a 119-117 count and Im betting on another close game here with the points in my humble opinion being golden.

SACRAMENTO is 21-9 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 12-2 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  this season.PHOENIX is 5-13 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

The Nuggets have a few days rest under their belts and will the have the legs to be physical in transition here v vs the Bucks and control their top tier opponents . Meanwhile, with the Bucks big three of Middleton(out), Lilliard , and  Antetokounmpo banged up with various injuries and playing at less than 100% Im betting the Nuggets have the edge.

MILWAUKEE is 2-11 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 7-21 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Denver is 2-0 ATS L/2 vs Milwaukee as visitors. 

NBA Home underdogs (MILWAUKEE) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 25-40 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver 

Cleveland enters this game on a 8 game win streak behind a stingy D, that ranks 2nd in ppg allowed and 2nd in defensive rating. They go against a Raptors side playing back to back games after squeezing out a hard fought victory vs the Houston rockets last night. Considering the visiting  Cavaliers have redemption on their plate tonight for a loss they suffered on New Years day here in Toronto by a 124-121 count Im betting on a full court start to finish effort from the Cavs vs an exhausted side, playing for the 5th time in 7 days and off playing last night as mentioned above. 

CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, a sub par team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 26-57 L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to covers 

Miami played instate Orlando last night in a win and will now be on tired legs in a back to back situation that has also seen them play 3 games in 4 nights . Now against a  hard working group of Spurs lead by first year  phenom  Victor Wembanyama that have covered 12 of their L/18 overal the Heat will Im betting not have enough gas to get the cover here in this spot play l. 

 aNote: MIAMI is 0-7 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.The /series visitor is 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series and the Heat are 1-10 ATS L/11 playing at home with no rest. 

MIAMI is 4-17 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off a home win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 37-63 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

Utah has had a viable season, and have proven themselves over and over again, and against quality sides like the Thunder they almost always seem to bring their A game  to the court , as is evident by the following trends. UTAH is 10-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. UTAH is 22-8 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. Yes, I know that they have lost both games to Oklahoma City this season, but now with added motivation of double revenge Im betting that the magic of three will pay off for them tonight. In the recent past the Jazz have been strong bets in revenge mode, as is once again evident by the following trends. UTAH is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season  is 12-2 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season. The Jazz have not been covering with consistency of late, losing 3 straight before a cover in a win last time out, but in past this has been a good omen for their betting backers as UTAH is 18-3 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 46-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

The Magic travel into Miami a winner in three straight and in four of the last five, while their hosts have 2 of 3 after a long drought.  The Magic took the most recent matchup on Jan. 21, grabbing 105-87 victory after the Heat won the Jan. 12 contest 99-96 and the Dec. 20 meeting 115-106. Im now betting on the hungry Heat to come out of this with a win in a cover at home where they have won the last 5 meetings against this sunshine state rivals. 

NBA Home favorites (MIAMI) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  Road underdogs vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are just 4-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering.

MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Miami to cover

This might seem like a hefty  chalk selection, but it must be noted that the Hornets , have lost by DDs in 3 of their L/4 overall  at home. With that said, in this spot against a hungry Indiana team off a 3 straight losses they could find themselves as punching bags for a frustrated and redemption minded group that can light up the board in a hurry. CHARLOTTE is 4-19 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons the average ppf diff clicking in at -13.5 . Charlotte is 0-5 SU L/5 overall with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.8. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. ( Indiana beat Charlotte 144-113 earlier this season. )

Play on Pacers to cover

The Hawks do not matchup well vs the visiting Golden State Warriors according to my preferred head to head power ratings data base  as is evident by the following  negative trends :ATLANTA is 0-11 ATS versus teams like the Warriors who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and 0-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. The Hawks have also shown a lack of consistency and the ability able to build momentum. Last time out Atlanta upset the Suns as 3.5 dogs and grabbed the SU victory. But these kinds of efforts have not been a recipe for success for their betting backers in the recent past as they are a bankroll depleting 1-11 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons. Also from a SRS perspective the Warriors are the superior side, despite of their sub par record- as Golden State ranks 13th with a + 1.21 mark while the Hawks ranks 23rd with a - 2.58. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

Snyder is 8-20 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of ATLANTA.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover

The Thunder are superior side, in this matchup vs the visiting Hornets but because of the obvious attention OkCity get from the public the lines attached to their games are sometimes a little skewed , as is what Im betting is the case here this evening. Note: Hornets 4-0 SU/  5-0 L5 ATS  vs Thunder while Oklahoma City has failed to cover 5 of their L/6 vs .333 or less  non-conference foes. After back to back hard fought battles against Minnesota and Denver, this could easily be a letdown spot for the home side vs a sub par team Im sure they are not overly concerned with beating. 

NBA Road underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights. are 39-13 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Take the points with Charlotte to cover 

The visiting Pacers played hard in the 2nd half against the Celtics last time out, and despite of the late rally fell by a 129-125 count, and will now be in an emotional letdown spot vs a under rated opponent that are up-trending in my power rankings and currently on a 8 game win streak.  NEW YORK is 16-4 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.NEW YORK is  also 20-9 ATS as a favorite this season and are  14-2 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

NEW YORK is 13-3 ATS L/16 ) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season and 12-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  this season.NEW YORK is 21-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.

NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 33-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in February games are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

From a SRS perspective the NYK are the superior side. The NY Knicks rank 5th in the NBA with 5.58 mark while the Pacers rank 11th at 1.87.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Play on NY Knicks to cover

Orlando is not a solid fav here as they are just 3-8 SU in their L/11 games. Meanwhile, their opponents the Spurs are showing improvement as they season has progressed especially from a betting perspective as is evident  by covering  11 of their L/15 trips to the hardwood and have also  captured 2 of their L/3 games SU. Considering the Magic are off a heart breaking loss to Dallas by a  131-129 Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown spot vs a young team that is gaining momentum and playing with confidence of late. Giving us an edge with the home side taking points. Spurs have covered 5 of the L/6 vs the Magic. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after playing 4 consecutive home games are 27-14 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.6 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Spurs to cover

The Celtics have revenge on board for a 133-131 loss they suffered to Indiana on Jan 8th just a couple of days after beating up on the Pacers by a 118-101 count in the same road venue. Now Im betting on a very focused effort by the Celtics here at home where they have won 9 of the L/10 meetings vs the Pacers. Note: G Haliburton expected to return to the court tonight for the Pacers , but I doubt he is ready to play alot of minutes after missing a substantial amount of time. 

Boston is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games at home.  

Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

The Nets are 5-17 SU in their past 22 games since Dec. 14 and 3-12 SU in their last 15 and are fade material . Utah cruised to a 17-point home win over Brooklyn on Dec.18 and have proven to me they matchup well against the Nets. Utah is 12-5 SU L/17 vs Eastern Conference teams and 7-3 L/10 overall. Advantage Jazz.

UTAH is 13-4 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 13-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. UTAH is 12-3 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. UTAH is 14-1 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Hardy is 16-2 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games as the coach of UTAH.

BROOKLYN is 3-11 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. BROOKLYN is 1-9 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 11-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 14-45 L/27 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah 

The Heat have lost 6 straight and are fade material in their current form.  I know the Suns have lost 2 straight, but previous this mini skid had won 7 straight and 12 of 15 SU and have been highly competitive for some time now.  MIAMI is 17-32 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

The visitor has covered 4 of the L/5 and 6 of the L/7 without rest . (Suns lost last night, but did not play hard in a lackluster effort scoring just 98 points at Orlando and should be fresh for this tilt despite of this being a back to back affair )

Play on Suns to cover

Clippers are off a dominating DD victory vs the Boston Celtics on the road last time out and Im betting they will be a in letdown situation here tonight vs a Cleveland side on a few days rest . The Cavs are  viable bets against above. 600 opposition like the Clippers this season as is evident by cashing a 6 of their L/7 and get the nod again. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - off an upset win of 15 points or more as a road underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 7-37 L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

LA CLIPPERS are 6-14 ATS   after playing a road game this season.

CLEVELAND is 15-7 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.CLEVELAND is 30-16 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 2-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons at home.

Play on Cleveland to cover

The 76ers had a 5 game win streak end last time out against the Indiana Pacers , but now Im betting on a bounce back situation i for the Sixers in the Mile High city this afternoon. ( Denver lost to the Sixers in Philadelphia 126-121 on Jan 16th and are just 0-10 ATS L/10 in this series looking for revenge from a single digit defeat) 

PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 ATS   versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons and from a SRS perspective are ranked 3rd in the NBA while the Nuggets are ranked 7th. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

DENVER is 2-10 ATS   after playing 2 consecutive road games this season after a 5 game road trip could find it difficult getting acclimated to home cooking again giving us an edge with the visitor.

Philly has covered their L/2 visits here in Colorado.

Play on Philadelphia 76ers. to cover

Washington has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to Detroit earlier in this campaign, but this time around will have a diff coach patrolling the sidelines for them as they look to ramps a more physical type of defensive game plan.Meanwhile,  the Pistons are of just  their fifth win of the season on Wednesday, the Charlotte Hornets 113-106 but consistency has not been their calling card this season, and do not have back to back victories this season and a rinse repeat situation is highly probable. Advantage Wizards. 

WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.WASHINGTON is 16-4 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 8-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons including 4-0 L/4 in Motown. 

Play on Wizards to cover

Oklahoma City is playing at a high level right now , winning four straight and 14 of their L/17 overall. They enter directly off a 140-114 beatdown vs San Antonio last time time out which is a good omen for us, backing them here tonight as the Thunder are a bankroll expanding 12-0 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and  7-0 ATS  after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have been inconsistent and have alternated wins and losses while not winning two in row since Jan 10th They did get the victory last time out putting up 154 points vs Utah while allowing 124 points. Note: The Pelicans have allowed 123 or more points in 4 of their L/6 and against this type of explosive offensive side they could be very vulnerable in this spot play considering their current defensive down trend. Oklahoma City in their L/27 as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons have seen an  average ppg diff clicking in at +0.2. 

The series visitor is 6-0 ATS L/6 and Im betting this trend stays intact tonight. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-6 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

From a SRS perspective theThunder rank 2nd in the NBA with a 8.26 mark while the Pelicans ranks 7th with a 4.80. When factoring in a 3 point obligatory home court advantage the Thunder should actually be short road favs. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 52-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

The Clippers are off a hard fought battle vs the Lakers last time out getting the win . Than they hopped on a plane to travel out east to start a road trip . This Im betting has the Clippers in an emotional and physical letdown state vs a  side they maybe over looking. Also with the Celtics on board, for tomorrow night for the Clippers they could easily be caught looking ahead to that tilt leaving them vulnerable in this spot. Note: Clippers are 0-5 ATS L/5 after playing the Lakers. Note: The Clippers beat the Raptors back on Jan 10 126-120 .  TORONTO is 18-8 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-21 ATS  when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 97-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Raptors to covers 

NY enters this home game with alot of momentum as is evident by winning 10 of their L/12 SU including 4 straight and have an advantage here tonight vs a top tier Denver side that is on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road tilt in 9 days. 

NEW YORK is 10-0 ATS  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.2. 

DENVER is 5-13 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.DENVER is 5-13 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), dominant rebounding team (5.5 or better  reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 38-12 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Knicks to cover

The Spurs have been competitive lately vs what are some over bloated lines that are being offered by the lines-makers as they have now covered 9 of their L/11. However, now as the market has adjusted we now have what Im betting is a viable road fav to back here against the Spurs. I know the Thunder played last night, but they are a well conditioned side and are explosive offensively. The Thunder smashed the the visiting Spurs the last time they met 123-87 back in December, and while it looks like the young men from Texas have improved since then are still over matched here according to my projections. Thunder are 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series and 4-1 ATS with no rest. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-16 ATS  versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-9 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY in tneir 27 games as favorites this season have seen average ppg diff of +11.5. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, sub par team overall, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 23-49 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

The gloves are coming off here tonight as the Clippers look for redemption and revenge for a pair of losses to the Lakers earlier this season. Im betting we see the Clippers at their merciless best.

Clippers are 9-0 ATS as  the home side in this  inter City series when taking the court with same-season double revenge-exact.

Designated Road underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 6-22 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clippers to cover

Atlanta had a 3 game win streak come to an abrupt end last time out vs Cleveland by a 116-95 count. Meanwhile, their hosts Sacramento are on a four game losing streak and very far from being in top form, and in their current state according to my projections are being over rated on this line, giving us an edge with the underdog. Atlanta is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Sacramento.

Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home. Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento.

NBA team (ATLANTA) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 37-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 33-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.

Play on Atlanta to cover

Orlando is on tired legs after playing instate rivals the Miami Heat last night, winning by a lopsided 105-87 score as they played a strong all out two way game. Now in a letdown state Im betting a revenge minded Cleveland side, looking for redemption  for a DD loss here back in December by a 104-94 count to have the edge Note:. The Cavs are on a 7 game win streak, after a DD win vs Atlanta last time out. 
CLEVELAND is 23-11 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.  Bickerstaff is 11-2 ATS  in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of CLEVELAND.CLEVELAND is 18-8 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in same season revenge this season. 

NBA  Favorites (CLEVELAND) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) are 136-80 ATS L/27 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover

On Friday, the Nets put forward  one of their best efforts of the campaign, when they earned a 130-112 win over the Los Angeles Lakers two nights after  they embarrassed themselves by allowing 11-point lead to dissolve  and than  losing in the final second on a shot by Anfernee Simons in Portland. Now with a little bit more confidence and knowing they cannot fall asleep at the proverbial wheel vs a top tier side like the Clippers, Im betting we see them at their competitive best. Note: With the Clippers on 4 days rest, Im betting they will show rust and take time to get rolling here which will aid us in getting the cover. Clippers are 1-9 L/10 with 4 days rest .

Brooklyn is 9-1 ATS  L/10 vs the Clippers. 

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - off a home win, in January games are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Nets to cover

The Minnesota Timberwolves will get their 5th victory in  a row when they welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday night in Minneapolis. The Wolves are off a 118-103 win vs Memphis last time out. MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It must also be noted that the Wolves have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Thunder, back on Dec 26th this season, in a ugly 129-106 beatdown. Minnesota is 5-1 ATS L/6 revenging a 20 point or more same season loss. 

The Thunder took out the Jazz last time out, which has not been a good omen for this franchise in the past as they have lost 9 straight SU after taking out Utah. That was the Thunders 2nd straight high altitude event, after playing Denver previous to that and now Im betting after those exhausting affairs will be in a letdown spot here vs a redemption minded top tier opponent. 

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MINNESOTA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more  on the season, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more  of their shots are 28-5 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 22-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wolves to cover

Two bottom feeders the San Antonio Spurs and Charlotte Hornets will meet for the second time in just over a week Friday  . In that recent meeting The Spurs smashed the Hornets  135-99    on Jan. 12, Now the lines-makers expect a highly inconsistent side tthat has lost 17 of their L/18 overall including 6 straight to bounce back. While anything is possible I view this as a unlikely scenario according to my projections. It must also be noted that previous to losing and failing to cover their L/2 vs Atlanta and Boston the Spurs had been playing completive ATS hoops covering 6 straight and must not be underestimated in their ability to cash for us tonight.Clifford is 16-31 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of CHARLOTTE.

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 62-108 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Charlotte is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against San Antonio. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

Indiana  had won 9 of 10 before their current 2 game losing slide in the high altitudes of Utah  (Salt Lake City) and Denver . Im betting they bounce back here  and are very competitive  vs a Sacramento Kings side that my power rankings suggest they match up well and that  has lost 3 straight games.   INDIANA is 10-1 AT  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.  INDIANA is 15-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts this season. 

Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.

SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS  in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NBA team (INDIANA) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more 31-75 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

Toronto played last night in a DD win vs Miami and will now be on tired legs vs a Chicago team in revenge mode for a DD loss they suffered to the Raptors earlier this season. The Raps were playing better hoops back in November when these teams played , and on the flip-side Chicago has turned things up since then . NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a sub par team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are just are 59-113 ATS L/27 seasons, for a go against  66% conversion rate for bettors. TORONTO is 9-22 L/31 ATS off a blowout win of 20 points or more as an underdog . CHICAGO is 22-11 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

 Raptors  have lost  9 of the L/13 SU in this series vs the Bulls  and are  0-4 ATS without rest.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover

Dallas has won 10 of their L/11 visits to LA to play the Lakers and have won their L/4 trips here vs LAL. Even is Luke Doncic does not play tonight Im betting the The Mavericks who have won two of the three games that  Doncic missed with a sprained right ankle, including a 125-120 victory at home Monday over the New Orleans Pelicans, have enough fire power to hang with a inconsistent group of Lakers . It must also be noted that the Lakers  just pulled off  what in my opinion was an upset last time out vs Oklahoma City .  That was LAs  only 4th fourth victory and their L/15 games. They will now be in a emotional and physical letdown state after that win making them vulnerable as favs.LA LAKERS are 10-22 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Mavs to cover

  MIAMI seems to always overlook sub par opponents or the lines-makers just simply consistently over rate them in this spot as they  are a bankroll depleting 4-17 ATS  when playing against a below 500 team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons .With that said and according to my projections the Heat are weak favs here on the road vs a revenge minded squad that they beat back in early Dec by a 112 -103 count. Note:TORONTO is 19-9 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Also a couple of days ago the Heat went into Brooklyn and pulled of a hard fought 96-95 win and  will now be in a letdown spot after that physical gritty affair. Heat are 0-5 ATS L/5 after playing the Nets. 

Play on the Raptors to cover

Analysis to follow thank you for your patience 

NBA PHILADELPHIA is 26-8 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making  48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.  PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS  as a favorite this season.

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 51-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

 The Lakers enter into Oklahoma City and beat the Thunder 129-120 back in late December and now the Thunder will be primed to get some pay back. OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. Also  Oklahoma City has great momentum entering this tilt as they have notched victories in nine of its past 11 games and are off a 112-100 win vs the Orlando Magic at home Saturday for the Thunder's fourth straight victory . Meanwhile, the Lakers are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum having lost two straight and 6 of their L/8 overall. Advantage Thunder.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-9 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging  23 or more assists/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-8 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 points or more 2 straight games are 25-5 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover /win

The Pacers played yesterday in a loss to the Nuggets in the Mile High City and now on tired legs in another high altitude game will be vulnerable to another defeat vs a Utah side with revenge on board  for a  134-118  beatdown the last time they played . UTAH is 11-1 ATS   in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season with the average ppg diff registering at +9.1. 

Pacers  3-14 ATS L/17 non conference battles and are fade material in this spot play in Salt Lake City tonight. UTAH is 8-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking at +11. 

Play on the Jazz to cover

The Warriors have lost seven of 10 and the Grizzlies and are not viable favorites even against a short handed Grizzlies side .

GOLDEN STATE is 4-19 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS   as a favorite this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-19 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. 

 NBA  Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 77-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

MEMPHIS is 7-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Luka Doncic (Ankle) - Doubtful [01/10/2024] - Doncic is dealing with an ankle injury and is unlikely to take the court for the Mavericks. This one headline alone has me taking the road  short favorite . Even with their super star in the lineup they would have been underdogs according to my projections and were out played on Saturday by the Pelicans 118-108 and rinse and repeat situation is in play tonight. Even if Doncic  plays and is less than 100%  this  makes Dallas vulnerable. NBA Road favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 33-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 28-6 ATS L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. DALLAS is 2-11 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Kidd is 4-15 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite as the coach of DALLAS.

Play on Pelicans to cover