Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Lake Buena Vista, F

Dallas now has the Clippers complete attention, after upsetting LAC in OT last time out behind a amazing performance from Doncic. Now in a letdown spot for Dallas, Im expecting the sleeping giant known as Kawhi Leonard and company to come out here on fire and stop the Mavs cold. 

LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 18-5 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% go against  conversion rate! 

NBA Underdogs (DALLAS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more  of their shots are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Indiana is now in desperation mode as they look to avoid elimination. There are enough quality characters and talent in this Pacers lineup to make the Heat work hard here today and to make sure they dont go down without a harddcore fight.

MIAMI is 4-15 ATS in road games after a combined score of 225 points or more this season.

Heat are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.

Heat are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.

Pacers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.

Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Mavericks young star Luka Doncic rolled his left ankle for the second time in this series last time out, and now things could easily go down hill quickly for the Mavs here in todays tilt vs the Clippers. Even if he does play today I doubt he is 100% and that will be a big problem for his team, as he is the keystone of their offence. We still have not seen the Clippers at their best, but now smelling proverbial blood in the water, they should be ready to roll mercilessly. 

Rivers is 38-19 ATS in non home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) as the coach of LA CLIPPERS.

Play on the Clippers

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, F

Damian Lilliard is not 100%(finger injury) , and thats not a good omen as the Lakers look like they have woken up from their bubble slumber.Los Angeles limited eighth-seeded Portland to 8-of-29 shooting from 3-point range and Lillard hit just 1 of 7 attempts and that trend is worrisome for the Blazers vs what is the better team on paper. 

PORTLAND is 6-16 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL

Oklahoma City outshooting the Rockets from the field (44.3% – 41.8%), and just a sight uptick in their 3 point shooting Im betting will help them cover here today in desperation mode vs a Houston side that is due for some major regressions especially on defense. 

Thunder are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Thunder are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games as an underdog.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Oklahoma city to cover 

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, F
The Heat have smuthered the Pacers with defense, allowing just 100.5 points per game and 11.0 3-pointers per game and Im betting nothing changes here today.The Pacers have been outplayed at both ends of the court as is evident by allowing Miami to shoot 48.4 percent overall and make 15.5 3-pointers per game, data that ranks them third and tied for fourth among all teams through two games. Rinse and repeat with the Heat. 

MIAMI is 21-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102  or more PPG) after 42+ games are 192-124 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Mavericks own the No. 1 offense in the league and produced the highest offensive rating in NBA history, and have proved they can keep track with another fast paced offensive juggernaut the LA Clippers. I know the Clippers rep, but the Mavericks appear to be the better team through two games and have   scored 118 points and 114 points in their first two post season tilts , keeping their offensive averages alive and because of their ability to score and keep pace with any team in the NBA are viable underdogs in this spot.LA CLIPPERS are 5-16 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996.Clippers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 playoff games as a favorite.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL

Philadelphia has given their all, but their body language at the end of game 2 tells me they already feel defeated, and that will translate on the scoreboard Im betting here again today. 

PHILADELPHIA is 4-16 ATS  in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

 BOSTON is 11-2 ATS  in the first round of the playoffs over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 15-2 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. 

BOSTON is 23-10 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 29-10 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, F

Mitchell Jazz’s All-Star guard led his side to a Game 2 victory on Wednesday by picking apart the Denver defense and finishing with 30 points (on just 14 shots) and eight assists. With Denver banged up  with Barton leaving the bubble to rehab his knee,   Gary Harris’ very questionable to return from a hip injury, Im betting Mitchell and company have the edge in game 3, especially with   Mike Conley Jr. probable to return for Friday’.

 Jazz are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.

UTAH is 18-6 ATS  in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog since 1996.

Snyder is 34-17 ATS  in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days as the coach of UTAH.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

I do expect the thunder to bounce back from their ugly game 1 performance a 123-108 loss, but this is still a bad matchup for the Thunder vs a explosive side like the Rockets. Harden reins supreme again, and the Rockets who are the superior side in this matchup prevail and cover.  You can see by this comment how confounded the Thunder are: Quote:“It’s a different team,” Thunder point guard Chris Paul said. “You play a certain way the whole season, and then you’ve got a team that switches everything. It’s Game 1. We’ve got to figure it out. That’s why they are who they are. They play totally different than any other team in the league.” End Quote:

HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS  after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more this season.

Play on Rockets to cover 

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Orlando, FL

The Pacers had a upbeat performance in game 1 off their bench, hitting 56% of their open shots, and today I now expect their stars to standup after a lower tier performance in game 1. 

INDIANA is 13-4 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

MIAMI is 17-36 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Pacers to cover

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 2 - Lake Buena Vista, F

Doncic is a confident competitor with experience . His résumé includes championships and MVPs earned with Real Madrid and the Slovenian national team at the highest levels in Europe. This kid despite of his lack of NBA play off experience  is still capable of giving the Clippers some matchup problems.

DALLAS is 51-33 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.DALLAS is 23-12 ATS  after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

HC Brett Brown and company proved they want this to be a physical series, and thats the kind of basketball they played in game 1 losing. a-hard fought 109-101 decision that they lead going into the 3rd quarter. Quote: We’ve been beaten up and now is our moment,” coach Brett Brown said. “Now is our time to be recognized, and I think this group has the ability to do that as it sits.” End Quote:

Now with key offensive weapon Gordon Hayward expected to miss game 3 fof the Celtics the Sixers can change their lineup a bit become even more physical, which will give them a chance to compete. 

Play on the 76ers to cover 

For the first 46 minutes of Monday's Game 1, it looked like the Jazz might be able to pull off the upset, even with Mike Conley out of the lineup. They did however succumb in OT by a 135-125 count. Im betting on them rebounding with confidence and grabbing us a cover as underdogs.

DENVER is 4-16 ATS  in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Utah to cover 

Boston is simply smoother and more proficient in transition than Philadelphia , and Im betting on a game 1 mismatch. 

PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season.

BOSTON is 21-10 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season. BOSTON is 10-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (BOSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 33-1 l/5 seasons with the average margin of victory clicking in at 12.8 ppg. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

Play on Boston Celtics to cover 

Utah Jazz will be without Mike Conely for this first round game vs Denver because of the birth of his child, which is definitely a detriment to his teams chances today. He has left the bubble and will have to quarantine upon his return. I know the Nuggets have not played all that well, but today they have the edge needed to deliver the cash to their backers. 

UTAH is 5-20 ATS in road games after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent since 1996.

DENVER is 24-13 ATS  vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.Malone is 34-16 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to win 

Memphis has just one game left to earn a spot in the Western Conference play-in series this weekend. They have to leave it all on the floor here today, and look capable of doing so against a Bucks side that will be without super star and reigning league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo was ejected from their game against the Washington Wizards on Tuesday night after he head-butted Moritz Wagner in the second quarter. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 11-36 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

 The Nuggets’ defense since the restart has centered around the team’s ineffectiveness defending the 3-point line, which is not a good omen for Denver in this matchup. The Clippers rank second in the league in 3-point percentage, having  converted on  43.1 percent of their attempts from down town. On the other end of the court, Denver’s defense ranks last defending treys, as their opposition connects at  45.5 percent  clip. Ugly numbers, that tell the story of why I like Clippers today. 

The Clippers are 11-0 ATS /SU  with rest coming off a loss as a favorite.

Play on LA Clippers to win 

The  Oklahoma City Thunder  need their  midrange game  shots to fall consistently  and considering the  Heat are a top team in the bubble at limiting opponents’ accuracy from midrange you have a situation where in a matchup of two slow paced teams that the Thunder have an edge. Add to that the Heat have the motivation of clinching the No.4 seed entering the play offs and you have an edge with Miami. 

NBA team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 38-89 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover

Houston coach Mike D'Antoni made it clear Tuesday that the priority is winning next week, not this week and that was evident last time out in a loss to to San Antonio last time out by a 123-105 lopsided count. With Westbrook not expected to play for the Rockets, I can see the hard working Pacers having an edge from a value point perspective on the line. 

INDIANA is 11-3 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or ,less  turnovers/game this season.

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Arena at ESPN Wide World of Sports - Lake Buena Vista, FL

The  Lakers are trying to rediscover championship-quality basketball after four months off, and to this point alot of disappointment has manifested itself. However, Im betting now that tough times have arrived  via 3 straight losses that this talented group will pull together, and get a complete team effort and win here today vs the Denver Nuggets. 

 DENVER is 3-12 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the ML (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-50 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate with the average margin loss coming by -9.8 ppg.

NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

Im betting  the  Bucks will jam the paint and  make the Raptors beat them from the perimeter. The last time the two teams met, Toronto attempted a season-high 52 3s, connecting on 18 of them (34.6%)  and have attempted 88 in two games against the Bucks this year. . The Raptors attempt 36.9 3s per game After five quarters of very inconsistent shooting, Toronto shot 14-for-30 (46.7%) in the final three quarters of its win on over Memphis and Im betting that their lack of consistent conversion rates from downtown and the field will be their undoing here today vs the Bucks. 

MILWAUKEE is 23-9 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

TORONTO is 1-9 ATS  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games are 114-64 ATS L/24 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

After watching the Robinhooder's and a few pros slam down their wagers on the streaking Suns the line has moved in a direction that is just a bit inflated. I know Phoenix has played great ball, and that the Thunder are short handed to a degree, but Im confident that the Thunder matchup well here getting points. Note: The Suns have not won 6 games in a row since 2014, and getting a victory here will not come as easily as some anticipate. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are just 8-22 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

The Toronto Raptors will be primed to bounce back after losing to the Boston Celtics last time out. The Celtics actually matched up well against the Raptors from downtown, , but that wont be a problem here vs a Memphis side that shoot 3s in the  bottom-five, Memphis looked good in a win last time out vs Oklahoma City, but the Raptors inside superuiority that includes the  the third-best rim defense in the league this season will be a difference maker here and Im betting provide us with a cover.TORONTO is 19-9 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.TORONTO is 21-10 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series.

Play on Toronto to cover 

The Arena at ESPN Wide World of Sports - Lake Buena Vista, FL
Key Utah injuries put them at a disadvantage in this matchup vs Denver. [C] 08/06/2020 - Rudy Gobert is OUT Friday vs San Antonio ( Rest )[SG] 08/06/2020 - Donovan Mitchell is OUT Friday vs San Antonio ( Leg )

I know Denver is also banged up  and not playing with  guards Jamal Murray (left hamstring) and Gary Harris (right hip), as well as forward Will Barton (right knee) for the last four games. But key  Forward Paul Millsap sat out for rest Thursday   should be back in the lineup on Saturday and gives this Denver side a very good chance at victory thanks to a  deep bench, a rising star in Micheal Porter and a top level talent in Jokic.

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)  are 13-77 L/23 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to win 

The defending NBA champions are on a 4-0 SU/ATS run and are playing top tier basketball and must be respected on a short line as favorites. I have not been impressed with the Celtics in the restart or overall this season and feel confident fading them in this spot play. 


Nurse is 17-6 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts as the coach of TORONTO.

NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 10-35 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against  78% conversion rate. 

Play on Toronto to cover 

Desperate Grizzlies after 4 straight losses are desperate for a win and will play hard here giving me confidence in taking points in this spot vs Oklahoma City.

 Memphis are 9-1 ATS/SU in revenging a loss against an opponent with less than two days rest.  

Play on Memphis to cover

The Clippers have matched up well vs the  Mavericks’ this season, as was evident by  114-99 victory as 1.5 point road favorites on Nov. 26 and then again as 2.5 point road underdogs 110-107 win on Jan. 21 and now Im betting they have an edge here in this neutral court environment on a line I have chalked up as closer to -5 whihc gives us value according to my power ranking projections. 

The Clippers are 12-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest after making at least 10 more free throws than their opponen with the average score deficit clicking in a6 16.1 ppg.The Clippers are 11-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end covering by an average of 15.5 ppg. 

NBATeams like the Mavericks' are 0-11-1 ATS /0-12 SU as a dog with rest off a win as a favorite after an overtime win in which they trailed by double digits.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Suns have played great ball out of the break, especially in transition m  but Im betting that comes to end here  vs a very under rated  Pacers group  that  can clean the glass with the best in the league and also has a significant edge behind a offense that has produced the 10th-most points per 100 halfcourt plays as compared to a  Suns’ side that ranks  27th in halfcourt defense.

The Suns are 0-9 ATS /SU with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average.
INDIANA is 5-0 straight up/against the spread against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Alot of piss was taken out of Orlando yesterday as they were easily owned by Indiana  y in a DD loss. Now a little downtrodden and far from fresh the Magic go against a defending champion Toronto Raptors side that has already beaten them 3 times this season, and well equipped to turn the trick here again today and get us the cover in the process. ORLANDO is 0-9 ATS  when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season.

ORLANDO is 2-10 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season.

Play on Toronto to cover 

Indiana (41-26) opened play in the Orlando area on Saturday with a 127-121 win over Philadelphia before routing the Washington Wizards two days later in a 111-100 matinee. Orlando is also undefeated but also offers up a less formidable matchup according to my power rankings. Note: The Pacers have on the two most recent meetings in this seires. ORLANDO is 1-19 ATS   revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

Play on Indiana to cover 

The 76ers are built to control the glass and rank the second-  in rebounding the league while the Spurs rank 20th. The 76ers have a huge advantage  which Im betting will see Embiid to  own the paint and offensive rebounding numbers as he wont have to deal with  LaMarcus Aldridge blocking prowess. 

SAN ANTONIO is 4-17 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 8-21 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 74-36 L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

The Grizzlies lost both games against the Pelicans before the hiatus -- falling 126-116 in Memphis and 139-111 in New Orleans -- just 11 days apart in January. This is a rince and repeat situation. 

The Grizzlies are 0-9-1 ATS /0-10 SU away from home with no rest coming off a loss.

NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS  in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. 

New Orleans to cover 

This years version Bucks are pace demons leading the lead and are extremely dangerous in transition taking  long rebounds off missed 3s and converting them into  quick points .  Considering they rank first in  Bucks lead the NBA in defensive rebounding Im betting they gobble up and make the rockets pay for their any flow problems they may have from downtown and quickly turn this game in their favor.

MILWAUKEE is 17-6 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

note:The Rockets are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 as a dog off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.

NBA Underdogs (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 7-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

The Portland Trail Blazers are off a hard fought comeback victory against the Memphis Grizzlies and may find themselves in a letdown spot after that victory. Boston Im betting takes advatnage of the Blazers lack of depth on the wing and shows us their ability to compete. Also Im expecting a huge comeback from , Tatum  who shot just 2-of-18 from the floor, including 0-for-4 on 3-pointers in the Celtics opener vs the Bucks. BOSTON is 9-1 ATS   in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

The Celtics are 26-1 ATS /27-0 SU L/27 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog after being outscored in the paint by double digits.

NBA Teams like the Blazers  are 0-11 ATS/SU  L/11 as a dog with rest off a win as a favorite after an overtime win in which they trailed by double digits. 

PORTLAND is 5-15 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

BOSTON is 7-0 ATS  in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season.

Play on Boston to cover 

When these teams played back in November the Nuggets spanked the  Heat in the Mile High City, by a 109-89 count. Now with revenge on board I expect the Heat to be wide awake here and ready for revenge. The Nuggets are 0-12-2 ATS L/14 /1-13/SU  on the road with rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

DENVER is 20-33 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. 

MIAMI is 36-21 ATS ) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Miami to cover 

I really like the Spurs young players and feel they are being under valued . We will see alot of this top tier young talent , and Im betting they give  a Kings gropup that is going to have    front-court problems  a go of it here today. Note: Sacramento will be without Marvin Bagley  and Alex Len . The Kings smashed the Spurs before the seasons was abruptly ended and now revenge is on board.SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 ATS  revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS  revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win against a division rival are 54-12 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Any team (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 47-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The NJ Nets are decimated and missing key players, but wins are so important in this restart that I expect the players on the floor to step up and they will not easily disposed of making getting points golden . 

The Nets are 17-0 ATS L/17 on the road with more than two days of rest off a road game.

BROOKLYN is 19-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 26-12 SU for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The Mavs played last night in San Antonio and suffered a loss to their instate rivals. Now they come home and despite of playing on back to back nights have what Im betting is an edge, against what has become a inconsistent Denver side. that has alternated wins and losses since late Feb . Last time out the Nuggets beat a short handed Bucks side, without their key star Antetokounmpo out of the lineup and now I expect some emotional  regression here after being sky high for that tilt ,which makes them vulnerable to a down effort. Note: The Nuggets have lost 3 of their L/4 road tilts. 

Dallas  duo of Doncic and Dorian Finney-Smith are both officially available to play on Tuesday. 

The Mavericks are 15-1-1 ATS/16-1 SU L/17 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road game after a game that was tied 5+ times. 

The Mavericks are 11-0 ATS /SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

The Nuggets are 0-16 ATS/2-14 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range.The Nuggets are 2-21 ATS/3-20 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win.The Nuggets are 1-17 ATS /2-16 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a home favoriteThe Nuggets are 0-12 ATS /1-11 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Atlanta  has been playing well at home of late . The Hawks have won nine of their past 12 at State Farm Arena,  and deserve the respect they are getting on the line here tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks are off a  loss last night that saw them blow a DD lead and finally succumb to the Wizards. The Knicks looked winded last night, and that Im betting carries over into tonight in the second part of their back to back games as they will play on tired legs vs a side that promises to run and gun against them. 

The Knicks are 0-12 ATS /SU off a loss as a road dog after a loss in which they led by 15+ with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13 ppg. 

The Knicks are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

The Hawks are 11-1 ATS /12-0 SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had overtime( They beat Charlotte in OT on Monday night) with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.5 ppg.The Hawks are 14-3-2 ATS /17-2 SU as a favorite with rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 6 ppg. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 Dallas has won all 3 meetings in this series with San Antonio this season and now the desperate Spurs get a chance for some redemption as well as solidifying their opportunities for a late season run into the play offs . Also Dallas star guard Doncic has been added to the injury report and is listed questionable in advance of Tuesday's game with a sprained right wrist which is a new injury. The Spurs are 10-1 ATS L/10 as hosts during the regular season with triple revenge exact behind HC Popovich when not favored by 4 or more points, including 10-0 ATS against above  .500 opposition. Overall the Spurs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a home underdog.

The Spurs are 19-1 ATS /20-0 SU at home with less than two days rest off a loss as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses.

The Mavericks are 1-14 ATS /SU with rest off a loss as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range with the one win in this subset coming by just 1 points. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 35-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Orlando has been playing some very good basketball of late, but there are always uptrending periods as well as down trending runs for all teams in the NBA , and sometimes regency bias can throw some of us off.  However, looking at both teams the I see the Grizzlies as being the more consistent team overall. It must also be noted that MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS   when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. The Grizzlies also have revenge on board for a loss earlier this season to the Grizzlies. Note: The Magic are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they won 2 straight vs current opponent.  . The Magic are 0-13 ATS/SU L/13  as a dog when their last four games are LLWW.

The Grizzlies are 17-1-2 ATS/19-1 SU as a home favorite off a 10+ win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

Washingtons Bradley Beal's 30.4 points per game ranks second in the league behind Houston's James Harden (34.3). Im betting on him being the catalyst for a Wizards cover vs the tanking NY Knicks.The Wizards are 20-4 in the past 24 meetings with the Knicks, who snatched  a 107-100 win in Washington on Dec. 28 when Beal sat out with soreness in his right leg. Wizards with Beals in revenge on board are my choice. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover 

The Toronto Raptors are expected to have both Fred VanVleet and Marc Gasol back in the lineup Sunday night when they visit a tired Sacramento Kings side that will be playing playing on back to back nights. The precense of the two above mentioned key cogs in the Raptors lineup gives them   them an extended edge they already would have had even if they did not play , making laying points with the defending champions  an easy decision.  As far as the line goes, Im making this closer to my -7, but with the Kings upset last night at Portland ,  a little recency bias has tainted the number. Note: SACRAMENTO is 0-10 ATS  in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. 

The Kings are 0-18 ATS /SU L/18 as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16 ppg. The Kings are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 as a home dog after they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter with a combined average of -13.8 ppg. 

Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 37-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

With their full roster intact, the Clippers have recorded an average margin of victory of 17.0 points in their last six games. They are 10-0 SU when all their players are healthy and Im betting that trend stays intact here today vs the Lakers. 

The Lakers are 3-21-2 ATS /4-22 SU  on the road with less than two days rest after they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half.

The Lakers are 0-9 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half. 

NBATeams like the Clippers are 16-0 ATS /SU as a home favorite off a win as a road favorite in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

With Steph Curry back in the lineup and the newly aquired Andrew Wiggins on the court the Warriors look like a viable option getting points vs a depleted and banged up Sixers lineup.

The Warriors are 21-4-1 ATS /22-4 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.

 PHILADELPHIA is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. Sixers are also 10-23 SU on the road this season.

The Seventysixers are 3-18 ATS L/21 on the road off a win in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

Im backing the experience of LeBron James and Anthony Davis over the young raw talent of Giannis. Antetokounmpo and company. The Bucks thanks to their extremely hot start have targets on their backs. Look for the Lakers to be very motivated to send a message to the Bucks that the road to a championship has to come through LA. 

The Lakers are 15-2 ATS /SU with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game. The Lakers are 8-0 ATS/SU L/8  when the line is within 3 of pick off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. 

LA LAKERS are 18-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons

The Bucks are 4-31-1 ATS /2-34 SU as a dog with rest off a win as a home favorite.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 28-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

With Portland MVP Damian Liilard expected to be back in the Blazers lineup tonight I expect them to be juiced up and ready to continue their domination of a inconsistent Suns side that they have beaten 11 of the L/12 times.

The Trailblazers are 12-0 ATS/SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

The Suns are 1-14 ATS (/SU with more than one day of rest after they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Play on Portland to cover /win on the ML

The Rockets are 2-1 against the Clippers this season, including a 102-93 home win on Nov. 13 and now Im, betting the Clippers who are on a 6 game win streak to  even this series tonight and more importantly cover. 

LA CLIPPERS are 26-14 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons

The Rockets are 0-10 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest after a game that was tied 5+ times which was the case in the a loss to the Knicks last time out. 

NBA Teams like the Rockets are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a loss as a road favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. NBA Teams  like the Rockets are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws per game.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 31-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Timberwolves,   have just seven home wins this season so they obviously have no advantage playing as hosts. Chicago defeated Minnesota 117-110 at United Center in the teams' first meeting this season and Im betting they have an edge here getting points. 

The Timberwolves are 0-16 ATS /1-15 SU at home with less than two days rest when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points.The Timberwolves are 1-16/SU/ATS  L/17  at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Jazz have been struggling a bit of late, thanks to some lethargic defensive performances. But Im betting they are wide awake tonight vs a NY team that has been working hard since the team made a coaching change and are recently upset the Rockets. So now in desperation mode and not taking their opponents for granted Im betting the more talented team brings home the win and more importantly the cover in this spot.  note: UTAH is 10-1 ATS  in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg doff clicking in at 8.4 ppg. 

The Jazz are 17-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes with the average ppg diff clicking in a 11.6 ppg. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 17-2-1 ATS / 19-1 SU as a favorite after a game as a road favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field.

Play on Utah to cover 

The Boston Celtics head into Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on the second leg of a back-to-back Tuesday against the Cleveland Cavaliers, trying to avoid a three-game losing streak. Im betting they get it done vs an extremely inconsistent  Cleveland side  even without Kemba Walker and Tatum out of the lineup tonight. Note: The Cavaliers lost on Monday to Utah, 126-113 in a hard fought affair where they showed some surprising work ethic . However NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 1-21-1 ATS /1-22 SU as a dog with rest off a 10+ loss after a game with 8+ lead changes. The Celtics are 13-1 ATS/SU  as a road favorite when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more, playing on back-to-back days are 30-2 SU L/23 seasons. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The list of Motowns walking wounded is enormous and puts them a big disadvantage tonight vs a Oklahoma City team that travels well, having cashed at a 21-7 ATS rate in road games this season. I know Oklahoma State played last night, but they are one of the leagues best conditioned teams going 8-1 ATS this season in the 2nd of back to back tilts. 

[PF] 03/03/2020 - Sekou Doumbouya is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Oklahoma City ( Leg )[PF] 03/03/2020 - Thon Maker is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Oklahoma City ( Ankle )[PG] 03/03/2020 - Derrick Rose is out indefinitely ( Ankle )[PG] 03/03/2020 - Bruce Brown is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Oklahoma City ( Knee )[PG] 03/02/2020 - Brandon Knight left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Oklahoma City ( Knee )[PF] 01/06/2020 - Blake Griffin is out indefinitely ( Knee )[SG] 12/26/2019 - Luke Kennard is out indefinitely ( Knee )

The Thunder are 13-0 ATS/SU  as a favorite off a home game when they are off two games in which less than half their field goals were assisted.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

The Raptors have lost 3 straight games and will now be hungry to get back on a winning track vs a inconsistent Suns team they matchup well against . Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Suns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

The Suns are 0-15 ATS /SU with rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Suns are 0-14 ATS/1-13 SU after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.The Suns are 0-12 ATS/SU after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds.

Toronto is 5-0 SU L/5 in this series vs Phoenix. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 27-7 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Play on Toronto to cover 

The Bulls enter this game agains the Mavericks recording a  2-7 ATS  mark in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and  are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and from a matchup metrics perspective are the superior side. Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago and once again get my support here in the chalk role. 

Mavericks are 15-0-1 ATS /16-0 SU as a road favorite off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.4 ppg.The Mavericks are 15-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent shot under 60% from the free throw line with the average pgg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Bulls are 1-22-1 ATS /`1-23 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss as a road dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff registering in at -15.6 ppg. The Bulls are 2-20 ATS /1-21 SU as a home dog with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3 with the average ppg diff clicking in at -14.5 ppg. CHICAGO is 0-10 ATS  after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Thanks to the Bucks domination of the NBA this season their lines are slightly bloated and as a result they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 like the Heat. Back in October the Heat who are 25-4 SU at home this season walked into Milwaukee and handed the Bucks a 131-126 loss, showing me they matchup well vs the Bucks. Now even though mighty Milwaukee wants revenge Im betting if they get it , it does not come easily, making getting points here golden in my humble opinion. 

The Bucks are 0-13 ATS /SU off a win when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game.The Bucks are 0-11 ATS SU on the road off a win when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game.

 NBA

Teams like the Heat are 10-0-1 ATS /11-0 SU as a favorite with rest off a home game in which they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Lakers have won all three meetings as the teams prepare to finish the season series Sunday night in New Orleans , but today Im betting the Pelicans get some revenge and give the Lakers something to think about. The Lakers' NBA-record streak of 18 consecutive road victories against Western Conference opponents ended last time out, vs Memphis and their vulnerable once again here in this Bayou visit. NBA Teams like Lakers are 0-14-1 ATS/0-15 SU L/15 on the road off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. The Lakers are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with no rest off a game as a favorite in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 better than their season-to-date average.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Suns are off a 113-111 loss last night to the Detroit Pistons and are now playing on tired legs as they play back to back games and vulnerable to having a inconsistent game which is not unfamiliar territory for them. With Golden States Andrew Wiggins being upgraded to probable Saturday vs Phoenix ( Back ) Im betting the Warriors will be competitive and get us the cover. 

The Warriors are 11-0 ATS L/11 on the road with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss facing an opponent averaging less than 4 blocks per game.

The Suns are 0-14 ATS /2-12 SU as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game , with the 2 wins coming by 1 point and 6 points. 

Home favorites (PHOENIX) - after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 6-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Warriors are 15-0-1 ATS /13-3 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 5 or fewer offensive boards.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 9-34 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Magic took the first meeting of the year from San Antonio, 111-109, on Nov. 15 in Orlando and now have revenge on board. . The Spurs have won 15 of the last 20 meetings overall between the teams and eight of the last 10 at home and SAN ANTONIO is 31-9 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

The Spurs are 10-0 ATS /SU L/10 as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits. 

 ORLANDO is 0-9 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Los Angeles Lakers may not know if LeBron James is available to play Saturday until close to tip-off , but if he does play he will be less than 100% as its never easy playing with a sore groin which makes the Lakers less formidable than usual. Add to that Danny Green is out, and we have a situation where the slumping and desperate  Grizzlies look to be competitive. 

The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS L/11 at home with no rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. 

Lakers Vogel is 9-23 ATS  in road games off a win against a division rival in all games he has coached in his career. 

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies

The slumping Miami Heat have lost two straight games to two of the NBA's five-worst teams -- the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday and the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday, but here I am ready to back them  tonight at home on a short line. Why you might ask? Well this Heat team is well coached side that has played their bests hoops at home this season as is evident by a 23-4 record as hosts. Also buying low on this type of team  because of recency biases makes for what I consider a viable  betting opportunity.

The Heat are 18-3 ATS /SU with rest off a loss in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws.

MIAMI is 15-7 ATS  as a home favorite this season and  is 14-3 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 15-2 ATS  in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Miami is 15-2 L/17 vs Dallas and have won 5 straight overall meetings. 

Play on Miami to cover 

The Minnesota Timberwolves ended a 5 game losing streak with a huge upset win vs the Miami Heat on the road last time out, but now Im betting they will experience regression to the. mean and  a letdown vs a Orlando side that has won 4 of their L/5 and up trending in my power rankings. Note: NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a huge upset win as an underdog of 10 points or more are 3-38 SU L/23 years in their followup game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.1 ppg which qualifies under a ATS parameter like we have here in Orlando tonight. ORLANDO is 23-11 ATS   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. 

The Timberwolves are 0-15 ATS /SU L/15 on the road with less than two days rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.4 ppg. 

The Magic are 13-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road game when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.5 ppg with 11 of the 13 games by more than 8 ppg. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

According to my projections there is value backing  Zion and  company when he is in the lineup for New Orleans  as they are posting a +23.2 Net Rating which matches up well vs the Lakers unit. After the Lakers hard back and forth affair against Boston last time out that saw them win 114-112 im betting their are in letdown situation. 

The Pelicans are 21-3 ATS L/24 off a game as a favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS L/10 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range. 

The Lakers are 1-16 ATS L/17 at home after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. The Lakers are 2-17-1 ATS L/19 at home after a game as a home favorite in which they scored more than 50 points in the paintThe Lakers are 4-21 ATS L/15 at home off a win when they won 4 straight vs current opponent

The Lakers are 0-9 ATS L/9 as a home favorite off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

Play on the Pelicans to cover 

Oklahoma City has played their best hoops on the road this season and are currently on a 8 game road win streak, and tonight against  Bulls team that just snapped a 8 game losing streak, Im betting they once again have an advantage.

The Bulls are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 at home off a win in a home game and  are 0-12 ATS/SU at home off a win in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.9 ppg. The Bulls are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 at home with rest off a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff registering at -13.9 ppg. 

The Thunder are 16-0-1 ATS /15-2 SU on the road with less than two days rest.

The Thunder are 16-0 ATS /14-2 SU on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

The Thunder are 16-1-1 ATS /15-3 SU on the road.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Kawhi Leonard said the Los Angeles Clippers weren't ready to play Saturday before losing at home to the Sacramento Kings. He doesn't expect that to be the case Monday when the Clippers host the Memphis Grizzlies. With the Grizzlies expected to be  without power forward Jaren Jackson Jr., who sustained a sprained left knee late in the second quarter against the Lakers last time out, Im  betting the Grizzlies wont have enough offensive to hand with a talented hungry redemption minded team with revenge on board for loss to Memphis earlier this season . LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg. 

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The Suns are off a hard fought win vs the Bulls in Chicago last time out and now go against a hungry Utah Jazz team that has lost two straight including one as home fav vs the Rockets by a 120-110 count . It must be noted that the Suns have not won back to back games since back in mid January, and Im betting they lose again tonight and more importantly fail to cover vs a very motivated opponent. ( Utah has won 10 straight at home in this series with the 4 most  recent battles dating back to 2018 have all seen DD victories with the last 3 coming by 33, 28, 28 points respectively. Rinse and repeat tonight. 

The Jazz are 12-0 ATS /SU L/12 with rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end winning by an average of 15 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 18-1 ATS /SU L/19 as a favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they had fewer than 15 foul with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 ppg. 

The Jazz are 10-0 ATS /SU L/10 as a favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff registering at +13.1 ppg. 

The Suns are 0-11 ATS /SU off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.3 ppg. 

Play on Utah to cover 

The Brooklyn Nets and Orlando Magic are trending in opposite directions of late.Brooklyn  has won 8 of their L/12 since losing five in a row to top tier  teams from Jan. 14-23.The Nets have six victories vs below.500 teams during the 12 game subset  with  seven wins coming by double digits margins while  allowing just  105.4 points. From a SRS standpoint: Orlando owns a -1.37 SRS ranking 19th in the league while Brooklyns number clicks in at -0.58 ranking 15th in the league. With an obligatory home court advantage thrown in im estimating this number should be closer to -4, thus giving us value with the Nets. Note:Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Brooklyn lost the first meeting in this series this season back in January on the road and should be motivated to get redemption tonight. 

The Magic are 2-18 ATS /3-17 SU on the road with more than one day of rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with 10 straight losses all coming by more than this number.The Magic are 1-13-1 ATS /1-14 SU as a dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with every loss in the subset coming by at least 5 ppg or more. ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season.

NBA Teams  like the Nets are 16-0 ATS /SU L/16 at home with rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 12 turnovers per game. 

The Nets are 10-2 in the past 12 home meetings with Orlando. BROOKLYN is 31-16 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a for 80% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The tanking Chicago Bulls bring an ugly  eight-game losing streak when they host the Washington Wizards on Sunday evening. With this being the Bulls 2nd game in two nights, im betting their tired legs wont provide them with a desperation win vs a wizards side that is up trending in power rankings. CHICAGO is 4-17 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 2-12 ATS  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

The Bulls are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 at home off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

 NBA Teams like the Bulls are 2-17 ATS/SU L/19 with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which their turnovers increased by at least 10 from the game before. 

The Wizards are 11-1 ATS/10-2 L/12 when the line is within 3 of pick after they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 129-82 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Wizards to cover 

The thunder are playing with a great deal of confidence as is evident by their 34-22 record and have momentum as they are  fresh off  dismantling of the Denver Nuggets in crunch time for a 113-101 statement win on Friday. The reason Im willing to lay the 5 points here with the Thunder is their ability in close games to finish off their opponents  as this metric will explain: Thunder won the league's  -best plus-27.3 net rating in a league-high 38 games that feature a score within five points in the last five minutes of regulation. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. 

The Spurs are 1-12 ATS/SU as a dog with rest after a game as a road dog in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. The Spurs are 0-8 ATS L/8 off a win in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home.

The Thunder are 12-0 ATS/SU at home off a win as a home favorite when they are off two games in which they had double-digit steals are 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 37-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.9 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

While the Timberwolves are struggling with 16 losses in 17 games, they enter  this tilt   having played Denver tough in the first three meetings. They lost by two points in overtime and fell by seven points and nine points and Im betting on them hanging tough again and getting is the cover. Note: Denver lost their first game after the break at Denver, in a hard fought affair, and may still be feeling the letdown emotional effects of that tilt which brings into play this trend...The Nuggets are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home after a game with 8+ lead changes.

Timberwolves are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Denver.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 49-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Raptors squeaked out a 119-118 home victory on Feb. 5 and had a 115-106 road win over the Pacers two nights later. Both came during Toronto's franchise-best 15-game winning streak. Tonight Im betting on the Pacers hanging tough again, and getting us the cover. Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.

The Raptors are 0-11 ATS off a 10+ win in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

Play on Indiana to cover 

 The Sixers bring a five-game road skid into Saturday nights  tilt vs tbhe  NBA-best Milwaukee Bucks. I know the Sixers continue to get respect, but they are highly inconsistent, and a team as I myself describe a clunky.  Add to that the 76ers seem to have brought unnecessary attention to themselves with narcissistic comments by Embid who at the  the All-Star Game,  was quoted as saying. QUOTE just proving I'm here, I belong, and being the best player in the world, I just intend to keep coming out every single night and just play hard and trying to get wins and just go out and try to win a championship," Embiid told reporters after the game. END QUOTE: What he said , should have the Bucks talking among themselves, and  now Im betting they will be out to send a message to the young self described king of the court  tonight .

Teams like the Bucks  are 24-0 SU/ 23-1 ATS while covering by more than 12.6 ppg  as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a road game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint. The Bucks are q perfect 26-0 / 23-3 AT L/26 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

The Seventysixers are 0-12 ATS /2-10 SU on the road with rest off a win after a win in which they trailed by double digits with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at -8.6 ppg. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

I was appalled how badly the Bulls played at home last night vs a Charlotte team that they should have handled. There is some deep seeded issues that must be dealt with in the off season with the Bulls. I know playing without  without Lauri Markkanen, Denzel Valentine, Kris Dunn, Otto Porter Jr. and Wendell Carter Jr.  are hurting them but the rest of the team should have been able to pick up the slack. Now  Im taking this chance to fade the Bulls on a short line vs a Suns team that has shown alot more fight,  and off a decent effort vs the defending champion Toronto Raptors last night. The Suns are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SU as a road favorite off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 4-16 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

The Bulls are 1-19 ATS /SU as a home dog with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.The Bulls are 0-11-1 ATS /0-12 SU at home off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA

Teams like the Bulls are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a home favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game that will see this team ready to turn a corner. With Boston taking on the  LA Lakers this weekend , Im betting they may not be fully focused here in this spot, giving us value with the. home dog. 

NBA Teams like the Celtics are 1-15 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a win after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected.The Celtics are 1-11 ATS/SU on the road off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

DeAndre Ayton is upgraded to probable Friday vs Toronto ( Ankle ) which will be a big boost for the Suns in this game vs the defending champs. I know the Suns have been highly inconsistent this season, but with Toronto expected to be without Norman Powell and Marc Gasol their short handed and vulnerable. 

The Suns are 15-0 ATS L/15 on the road with rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

The Raptors are 0-12 ATS L/12 off a loss as a road favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digit

Phoenix is 12-0 ATS L/12 games in this series.  

Suns HC Williams is 104-69 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached since 1996. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

I know Chicago lost 6 straight entering the All Star break, but thats makes them all the more hungry, and now  Im betting they are more than capable of taking out a inconsistent Charlotte side that has lost 20 of their 30 road games this season, with average overall diff clicking in at -8.9 ppg. 

The Hornets are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

The Hornets are 1-16 ATS /0-17 SU as a road dog off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 33-0 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualifies under the perimeters of this side wager. 

NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 28-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago 

The Milwaukee Bucks key players Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton took part in the all star game and Im betting will be a bit of an emotional letdown situation on the road today vs a stumbling Motown side Im sure their overlooking. The Bucks have had a propensity to play down to their opponents this season, and with Philadelphia on board for this weekend in a key eastern conference battle, they could easily just go through the motions here, while Detroit will look at this as a big time redemption game , and an opportunity to get some pride and momentum back after a nasty first half of the season. 

 Casey is 18-6 ATS  in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached .

NBA Teams like the Pistons are 19-3-1 ATS at home with more than two days of rest off a loss as a road dog in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. 

NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 27-7 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

Because of rule changes -my projections estimate that LeBron and company will have the edge entering the 4th quarter. Note:  The fourth quarter will be untimed and the teams will play to a final target score. The final target score is determined by taking the team that is  leading after  three quarters and adding 24 points ( in honor of Kobe Bryant.)   The team that is behind need to score 29 points before the leading team scored 24 points in order to win the All-Star Game. I know its alot to take in, but my mathematical projections estimate  LeBron gets it done. 

Play on LEBRON to cover 

Team USA is packed full of explosive star power, with guys like  Ja Morant/Jaren Jackson / Trae Young/ Miles Bridges and Devonte Graham out to prove to the world on a international stage how over powering they are. With team Worlds super star Luka Doncic banged up they just don't seem as formidable and Im betting they get stomped on tonight. 

Play on Team USA to cover 

This is the final game for both teams before the All-Star Break. The Thunder have lost two straight after a 114-106 home loss to San Antonio on Tuesday. Oklahoma City had won nine of 10 games before that and now finally look tired after  all out grueling run that saw them play strong start to finish basketball. The way the Thunder have played is hard on a team, and tonight Im betting it will come back to bite them here in the bayou vs Zion Williamson and company. 

It must be noted that Pelicans were getting clobbered by what was a red hot Portland side in their last tilt , before embarking on a comeback. Note:

The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a favorite after a win in which they trailed by 15. 

The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

New Orleans to cover 

The Grizzlies enter with seven victories in their past nine games, including a 106-99 road win over the Washington Wizards on Sunday, while Portland is off a loss last night in New Orleans in a tilt where they look exhausted in the 2nd half losing by a DDs. Now on back to back games and their 5th game in 8 days, Im betting the Blazers are a big disadvantage vs a Grizzlies side on 3 days rest after playing 3 straight on the road. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

The Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS/SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

The Trailblazers are 2-19 ATS/SU with no rest off a loss as a road dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Raptors are on a 15 game win streak, with one of those wins coming against Brooklyn by just one point. Some teams no matter what the metrics suggest matchup well against what might seem like superior opponents and Brooklyn is one of those teams when considering this matchup vs the Raptors. With that said, Im taking the points here with the home team. BROOKLYN is 14-3 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Teams like the Raptors  are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SU off a 10+ win in which they shot over 55% from the field with the one SU win in the subset coming by just 1 points. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 8-33 SU L/23 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 5-24 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The media has suddenly fell in love with how well the Knicks are playing recently, but Washington is also up-trending winning four of their L/6 overall and matchup well vs the Knicks and get my support here tonight .I know the Wizards played last night but they are on the of the leagues better conditioned teams, as is evident by a    17-4 ATS record when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

 Wizards are 12-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a home favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field.

The Knicks are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU off a loss after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Detroit has really looked bad of late, but Im betting after some embarrassing efforts will be able to muster some energy and here and keep this game competitive vs a Orlando side that might be getting just a bit to much respect from linesmakers. Look for Center John Henson and point guard Brandon Knight, the players acquired from the Cavaliers in the Drummond deal, to get things rolling in the right direction before the all star break. 

The Magic are 1-15 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.The Magic are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU at home with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a game with 8+ lead changes.

NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

Portland Super star Lillard has scored 30 or more points in 25 games this season, but he had one of his worst shooting games the last time Portland faced New Orleans. He shot just 6 of 21 from the field and missed all 10 of his 3-pointers while scoring just 18 points in the visiting Pelicans' 102-94 win Dec. 23 and Im betting his bauyou voodoo will come out to haunt him here again tonight as Zion Williamson and company outshine the visitors. 

Trail Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Trail Blazers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New Orleans.

The Trailblazers are 4-22-1 ATS/ 3-23 SU as a road dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game.The Trailblazers are 2-17 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a home favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. 

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Pelicans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.

Pelicans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

With Andrew Wiggins now in the fold after the Warriors pulled off a trade with the Timberwolves, Im betting on more offensive continuity and more output going forward. Meanwhile, Miami after playing all out top tier hoops for much of the first part of the season, have now suddenly hit a speed bump, and are slumping as they embark on their 4th road game in 6 days in a back to back situation after playing last night against Portland in a loss where they look exhausted and were out worked on the boards. Advantage: Golden State 

OLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more this season. MIAMI is 0-9 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.

Teams like the Heat are 1-15 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5

The Warriors are 13-1 ATS L/14 as a dog with rest off a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

NBA team (MIAMI) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) 22-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover

Things are not good for both these franchises. However, it seems at the time of this game, that the Hornets are the lesser of these two evils. Detroit has absolutely no continuity, and looked extremely weak, last time out, as they were out rebounded by a 47-28 in a 95-92 loss Saturday to the New York Knicks. I feel strongly that trading veteran Andre   Drummond to Cleveland  will wreak temporary havoc on the flow of this team making them fade material in their curret form. Overall, Charlotte has defeated Detroit nine consecutive times and Im betting they get us the cover here tonight. DETROIT is 0-8 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. The Pistons are 1-16 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent. 

'NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-25 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Memphis  has been uptrending for a while now but are off a hard fought loos last night in Philadelphia and are now on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 night. Meanwhile, Washington has shown signs of life of late, as they play hard and show great work ethic , while winning 3 of their L/4 while covering 6 of their L/9. Tonight vs the Grizzlies I expect more consistent work, and some extra motivation in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Grizzlies in Memphis on Dec 14th . 

WASHINGTON is 22-11 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more  this season.

The Grizzlies are 1-15-1 ATS /0-17 SU off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on Washington to cover 

Phoenix blasted the Houston Rockets on the first leg of a back to back Friday, 127-91, snapping a four-game losing skid. However, the Suns have proven highly inconsistent and Im betting they fall flat here tonight vs a Denver Nuggets team that went into Utah and pulled off an upset last time out. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 33-8 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick when they are off two games in which they allowed fewer than 100 points.

NBA  teams like the Suns are 0-19 ATS /0-19 SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Utah looked asleep at the wheel vs a short handed Denver side the other night and suffered a 3 point loss at home as 9 point favorites. It was embarrassing to say the least, for a team that prides itself on hardcore blue collar work ethic. Now looking for redemption Im betting they get it vs a exhausted Portland team that played last night in as come from behind win  and now playing their 4th game in week . UTAH is 13-3 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 season. Note: The Trailblazers are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 as a dog after a win in which they trailed after the third with the average ppg diff registering at -13.6 ppg. 

PORTLAND is 4-12 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

The Jazz are 13-1 ATS /SU as a favorite off a loss after a game with 8+ lead changes.

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg.

The Jazz are 19-3-1 ATS /21-2 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU L/14 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.9 ppg.

Play on Utah to cover 

The Toronto Raptors recorded an impressive victory for their franchise-best 12-game winning streak by come from behind and erasing a  19-point deficit to upend the Indiana Pacers. This Raptors team is confident and is never out of a game because of their consistency at both ends of the court. Im betting they will be pushed tonight, but in the end will find a way to notch a 2nd straight victory in this series. Note:The Raptors are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a win in which they trailed by 15. Teams like the Pacers are 0-10 ATS /SU L/10 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after a loss in which they led by 15. 

NBA Teams like the Raptors are 11-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a home game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. 

NBA  team vs the money line (INDIANA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 11-30 SU L/5 seasons and 0-5 this season! 

NBA team (INDIANA) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 46-105 ATS L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to cover 

Dallas does its best work against teams like Washington. DALLAS is 12-2 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or better  of their attempts this season and have excelled as road chalk going  13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an away favorite. Also when Dallas comes off a home game and then playing on the road they are  19-0 ATS   L/19 overall. I know the Mavericks are with super star Donic and possibly Kristaps Porzingis but from a depth standpoint still have the guns needed to take down a defensively deficient opponent.DALLAS is 15-6 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.

The Mavericks are 15-0 ATS and have won 13 straight SU/ATS on the road with rest off a home game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

NBA teams  like the Mavericks are 25-2-1 ATS /26-2 SU as a road favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent. 

NBA Home underdogs (WASHINGTON) - excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games are 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Utah has dominated this series at home  winning 9 straight here  and are  7-2-1 ATS  and Im betting they have a distinct edge tonight vs a Utah side that played hard last night from start to finish vs Portland which was their 3rd game in 4days. Now in a letdown spot on tired legs the host has the edge.The Denver Nuggets could also find themselves with a short bench for their Wednesday road game against the Utah Jazz after reportedly pulling off a four-team trade Tuesday night. This will effect their flow.  DENVER is 1-9 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

The Jazz are 19-2-1 ATS /21-1 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Halting   a season-long 12-game losing streak when they return home to host the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday Im betting will not be as easy as the line indicates, even though the Hawks are short handed. Nothing comes easy to the Wolves, especially winning. 

MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Timberwolves are 2-17 ATS  at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. 

The Timberwolves are 0-14 ATS /1-13 SU at home when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Spurs fell 108-105 to the Clippers last night in have looked competitive for a while now and up-trending in my power rankings. Its not an easy task playing on consecutive nights in the NBA and especially not here in LA where two top tier teams are located, but San Antonio is one of the leagues better conditioned teams, and are going to be motivated to get revenge for a 114-104 loss  at home in this series back in late November. SAN ANTONIO is 31-7 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Also teams playing  the 2nd of back to back in LA are actually a long term good bets, going 82-65-1 ATS for a 56% conversion rate. ( just the opposite of what you might expect) 

SAN ANTONIO is 32-18 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

The Lakers are 1-18 ATS  as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter.

The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /9-3 SU  as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with all 3 losses ins trends subset coming by exactly 2 points. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 23-6 L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Blazers enter this game on a red hot  4 game win streak behind the blazing efforts of super star Damian Lillard. The Trail Blazers guard is on a historic run—one that could shape the West’s 8-seed race and Portland’s plans at the trade deadline. Tonight behind Lillard Im betting on the Blazers making life tough on the Nuggets and getting us the cover in revenge mode, for the two losses they have suffered to the Nuggets this season home and away. 

Note: Denver is off an OT win vs the Pistons last time out on Sunday, and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. NBA Teams like the Nuggets  are 2-17 ATS 6-13 SU L/19 as a favorite after they had overtime. NBA Teams like the Blazers are 18-0 ATS as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Trailblazers are 21-3-1 ATS  on the road after playing as a home dog.The Trailblazers are also 14-1 ATS  off a win as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Nuggets are 1-16 ATS L/17 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

Play on Portland to cover 

Milwaukee bounced back from a 127-115 home loss to the Denver Nuggets on Friday to close their three-game homestand with a 129-108 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday and roll into the Bayou to play the up trending Pelicans. You can bet because of the hype of Zion Williamson that the powerful Bucks will be in the mood to to make a statement here and give the kid  and his team something to think about. Meanwhile, the Pelicans were humbled last time out vs Houston after imploding late, and giving up a boat load full of points thanks to a massive amount of turnovers. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents are 26-66 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

he Bucks are 23-3 ATS /24-2 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with the L/19 wins coming by 7 ppg or more and the overall ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. 

The Pelicans are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU  at home off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff registering in at 11 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-17-1 ATS /0-18 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.2 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

The Clippers have won two of three against the Spurs, including a 134-109 victory the last time they met on Dec. 21 in San Antonio. However, it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS  revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 4-24-1 ATS L/29 as a home favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-16 ATS  as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

The Spurs are 12-0 ATS L/12 as a dog off a home game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

NBA  Favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are mired in an 11-game losing streak for the second time this season and are fade material in their current form.

The Timberwolves are 0-18 ATS/SU  as a dog after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer by double digits last game.

The Kings are 11-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

NBA Teams like the Kings are 18-0 SU/ 17-1 ATS as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 118-33 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

The Grizzlies enter this game having won 11 of their L/14 and despite of loss are capable home favorites vs a team that continues to play with out their top player Griffin and will now be without  point guard Derrick Rose who is unlikely to play Monday due to a groin injury suffered during the first half of Sunday's game.

The Pistons are 1-18 ATS /SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams like the Pistons  are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU L/10 as a road dog off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 13.3 ppg. 

The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS/12-0 SU as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS /19-1 SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with the average ppg diff registering at +13.9 ppg. 

Play on the Grizzlies to cover