The Hawks were annihilated by the Bucks when they met last week (144-112), and will now get a chance to avenge that defeat here at home . The Hawks deserve out respect here as they have proven their abilities recently against another top tier team by  positing a dramatic 123-121 win over Philadelphia and have confidence heading into this tilt. Meanwhile, Hawks are explosive enough offensively to offer us plenty of value on this line either by being competitive from start to finish or getting us a back door cover. It must also be noted that the Bucks super star Giannis Antekokounmpo, who is experiencing and dealing with  hip and quad injuries will Im betting also effect the flow of this Bucks team. 

MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS  versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a huge upset win as a road underdog of 10 points or more 22-7 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a huge upset win as a road underdog of 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 No John Wall in the lineup no problem  as  Otto Porter Jr. has upped his game and really looks like the real deal, making the Wizards a under rated team, especially with Bradley Beal playing lights out some of the best hoops of career . With that said, Im betting on the  Wizards  6-1 ATS L/7  to come out here looking to make a statement vs a talented Toronto team that they they have double revenge against vs two losses suffered earlier this season. With Toronto  looking ahead to  a matchup with  Boston up next and not fully focused on a team that they have owned ,  I expect the Wizards to surprise the visitors here and more importantly get us the cover.

Brooks is 44-26 ATS as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-101 L/5 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

Sacramento enters this game as one of the most explosive teams in the NBA and are   averaging 13.1 seconds per possession  - a pace that ranked second in the league after Thursday night's games. The Kings also were leading the NBA in fast-break points at 22.6 per game. That type of system matches up well visiting Charlotte a side that is struggling mightily having lost  four of five games and seven of 10 and were smashed by DDs in their last trip to the floor. Note:

CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 2-26 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate with the average point diff  clicking in at 11.9 ppg.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

Dallas and Minnesota have played their L/3 meetings very closely with average point differential of 3.3 ppg deciding these games. My projections once again estimate a closely contested affair with  road dog flashing a value on the line.

DALLAS is 33-20 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 32-16 ATS ( versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 

The Celtics have won 4 straight games after pummelling the Indiana Pacers last night by a 135-108 count  and enter this game vs Miami in top form .  It must be noted that the Celtics are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Meanwhile, the  Heat have lost  back-to-back games after and are suddenly struggling on offence and have averaged 90.5 ppg in this tilts and should have problems scoring again vs a strong Celtics D.

BOSTON is 14-2 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.

The Celtics are 14-0-1 ATS /15-0 SU L/15 as a favorite when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turovers.The Heat are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick after playing as a home favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The Trailblazers have proven themselves to be highly inconsistent this season despite of some flashes of brilliance and are just are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win which was the case vs NYK last time out. With this being the Blazers 4th game in 6 days Im expecting a energy saving effort here tonight against a young Bulls side that Im sure their over looking. I know the Bulls have lost 4 straight but they have proven their competitive ability recently against top tier teams like Indiana and Toronto losing hard fought closely contested affairs by 3 and 6 points respectively, and have the ability to keep this game close as well and get us the cover via a physical defence that is improving significantly of late as is evident by holding 5 of their L/9 opponents under 96 points or less.

The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS and 3-9 SU off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points  ad all 3 wins came by 4 points or less.The Bulls are 14-1-1 ATS L/16  off a 10+ loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and they won 10 of those games SU with only 1 loss coming by more than 9 points. 

CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Jazz come home off a 4 game road trip on tired and legs and in an emotional letdown spot after playing the Milwaukee Bucks last time out and losing 114-102. That  after putting up a solid fight for the first 3 quarters before being out scored 30-16 in the final period. Meanwhile, Orlando will be ready to compete in desperation mode after 3 straight ugly road losses. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Magic are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

The Magic are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they allowed 100+ points and it is before the All-Star break. The Magic are 8-0 ATS as a road 8+ dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with non of the 6 SU losses coming by more than 7 points. 

The Jazz are 0-8-1 ATS at home with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game and lost 7 of those games SU. 

 Play on Orlando to cover 

This line according to my numbers is bloated considering the Dallas Mavs current form that has seen them lose  three straight and 11 of 14 and are banged up with their star guard Luka Doncic dealing with a nagging back issue. That  is not a good  omen for the home team playing their 6th game in 10 nights and having struggled against  Phoenix  in the recent past going just  0-5 against Suns while  scoring an average of just 93 points a game .DALLAS is 7-17 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 8-18 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover ( LATE STEAM)

The 76ers smashed the visiting Wizards 132-115 on Tuesday night and now the Wizards  have revenge on board.Washington has won four of its past five at home and are playing their best ball there despite of being without star John Wall.Tonight Im betting they make life difficult for the 76ers and get us the cover. 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The 76ers are 0-18 ATS and 1-17 SU L/18 when the line is within 3 of pick  on the opening line off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. The one victory for the 76ers came by just 2 points. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

The Thunder have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Wolves earlier this season just before Christmas here in Oklahoma City, and  are also off an embarrassing home loss to Washington last time out and will want to bounce back in a way to get back some lost respect. Note: NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite are 36-5 L/5 seasons and a perfect 4-0 this season.

The Thunder are 9-1 SU with same season revenge for a loss vs the Wolves and a perfect 6-0 SUATS when they have a win percentage of .450 or better. 

The Thunder are 18-0 ATS /SU as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break with every win coming by DDs.

The Timberwolves are 0-12-1 ATS 0-13 SU as a 8+ dog off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds.

Play on Oklahoma  City to cover 

The Lakers like other teams Super Star LeBron James has been on in the recent past get used to him controlling their games, and when their super star quarter back is out, those teams tank. James has missed 21 games over the last few seasons , and when he's out they have proven to be bad bets going  3-18 SUATS . The Lakers proved this correct when they got completely steam rolled by Minnesota yesterday afternoon in a road game. Now on tired legs they go against a Dallas team that plays their best hoops at home, as is evident by a 15-3 record  as hosts that has seen them win 13 of their last 14  here at American Airlines Center. With the Cavs having revenge on board for a DD loss the last time these teams played back in LA 114-103  on Nov 30 they look like solid bets as single digit home favs. Note:DALLAS is 8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and from a league wide trend NBA teams favs of  3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses , are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% Conversion rate for bettors.Dallas is also 9-1 SU /8-2 ATS L/10 as a host in this series.

The Lakers are 0-11-1 ATS/ 0-12 SU off a loss as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road and it is before the All-Star break with the average margin of fefeat coming by 16.3 ppg. 

LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.DALLAS is 12-4 ATS in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Houston had a six-game winning streak come to an  abrupt end  this past Saturday as they  lost for just the second time in 11 tilts last time out vs Portland. Meanwhile, Denver is off a DD 123-110 victory at home at the Pepsi Center last time out,  vs Charlotte. Note: DENVER is 9-19 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more this season and is 7-20 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is also 8-18 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are at a disadvantage vs a Houston team that plays their best ball at home as is evident by a 13-5 and 12-6 record as hosts.

The Rockets took out the Nuggets with  a 109-99 win at Denver on Nov. 13 that extended Houston's winning streak in the series to eight straight. Im betting on it being 9 after tonight. 

The Rockets are 12-0 ATS SU/ATS as a favorite off a road game in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before and it is before the All-Star break and   are 12-0 SU/ATS  facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-216 L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

The Raptors looked very good and worked very hard in a win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last night on the road and notched a impressive win. However, after playing that kind of gruelling physical affair  on the road  and now on tired legs Im betting they will have a problem performing at an optimal level against vs the most under rated team in the NBA ( Indiana Pacers) according to my power rankings assessment charts. It must also be noted that Raptors Kawhi Leonard played 38 minutes last night, and after suffering through numerous injuries, in his career Im sure the coaching staff will be careful with his minutes tonight, and that also gives us an edge with the Pacers. In the most recent meeting in this series here in Toronto back on Dec 19 the Raps were fortunate to get the victory in a 99-96 smash mouth affair, and tonight look for the fresher legs of the visitor and their scorching defence ranked No.1 in points allowed to be the difference maker here. Also from a SRS head to head matchup scenario that tells us the Raptors are ranked 5th with a 4.80 numerical rating, and the Pacers 6th ranking 4.60 , we have a pickem situation, even with home court advantage thrown in. Add to that a fatigue factor ratio , and we have a upset situation edge. Nothings a sure bet , but I like the edge we have here getting points with this live dog. Note: SRS Is a Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Play on Indiana to cover .

Indiana to cover 

Washington is just 4-17 SU on the road this season, dropping eight consecutive games away from Capital One Arena and while I  rarely ever  lay DDs with any team, the odd circumstance offers up value. With that said, this  tilt here in Oklahoma City is one of them.  The Wizards  continued road futility, and a banged up lineup makes them fade material even on a DD line. Note: The visitors are  playing without key cog John Wall ( out for season) arguably the teams best player and are also saddled with the  absence of power forward Markieff Morris who is also out with an injury. Streaky super star Westbrook broke out with a 32 point performance last time out, and will be licking his chops with anticipation here . 

Oklahoma City matches up very well vs the Wizards as was evident in a 134-111 beatdown win by the Thunder as road 3.5 point road dogs on Dec 11 of this season.

Thunder are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City.

WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season Opp. 123.2  Wizards 106.6  for a consistent DD trend presenting itself and is is 3-11 ATS overall as a road underdog this season with the average point differential margin clicking in at 13.5 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are just 1-25 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average margin of defeat coming by 11.1 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma City  to cover 

The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings have in the recent past played closely contested affairs, with both meetings this season decided by scores of 130-125 and  117-116 home and away, and Im betting on another hard fought affair here with the getting points our very best option. 

GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.he Warriors are 0-9 L/9 ATS  on the road with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they had 3+ players with 20+ points . The Kings are 7-0 ATS  and 6-1 SU with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The lone loss came to Golden State by a 130-125 loss as 5 point dogs. 

NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on Sacramento to cover 

Oklahoma City (24-13) might have a better record than the Blazers,( 22-16)  but from a matchup perspective , the Blazers according to my head to head systems ratings offer up a huge amount of trouble for the Thunder. 

The Thunders top player Westbrook has has hands full going against Portland's Damian Lillard, who is having a career season offensively. He ranks eighth in the NBA in scoring at 26.7 points while shooting 45.2 percent from the field, 39.4 percent from 3-point range and 89.5 percent from the foul line, and Thunder also must contend with Portland center Jusuf Nurkic, who is coming off the best game of his career in a 113-108 overtime win over Sacramento on Tuesday.  Note:The Trailblazers are 17-3 ATS and 16-4 SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had overtime which happened last time out. 

Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Trail Blazers are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 home games.PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Thunder are 0-10 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after a win in which they trailed after the third which was the case last time out.The Trailblazers are 10-1 ATS/SU at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

The Lakers are a banged up team, with their key super star LeBron James out with an injury, and will will also go without Kyle Kuzma ( back) and Rajon Rondo. I know the Knicks wont inspire bettors, but they actually have an opportunity to compete and pull off an upset here vs this short handed group tonight according to my current matchup projections based on both teams existing lineups. It must also be noted that the Lakers took part in a gruelling 107-100 loss last time out where numerous lead changes took place and will now be in an emotional letdown situation, and probably less than motivated taking on a lower tier team, that they could easily overlook. Note: The Lakers are 3-19 ATS L/21 and 2-20 SU with rest off a loss as a home dog after a game that was tied 5+ times and 0-8 ATS SU L/8  at home off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times.

LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are 2-10 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS L/6 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Toronto has been erratic in their play of late,  especially as far as converting for their betting backers is concerned as they are just 5-14 ATS L/19 overall including  1-4 SU/ 0-5 ATS L/5 on the road.  Injuries have played a role in the Raptors current state, as key contributor Kyle Lowry remains sidelined and is not expect to play tonight, and also some bloated lines because of their obvious big time superiority on the east. Do not get me wrong, the Raptors are still a talented team with a lot of depth, but here tonight on the road, vs a up trending  San Antonio side that has cashed 11 of their L/13 overall Im betting the Dinos are in trouble. San Antonio is 17-4 L/21 here vs the Raptors and 2-0 SU/ATS here in Texas in their most recent meetings and get the nod again.

Im not going to delve into the Kawhi Leonard / DeMar DeRozen trade because these teams, because I don't believe it will be a deciding factor for which side wins here tonight. 

SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. ANTONIO is 12-1 ATS  in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots this season and  13-4 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 15-69 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate fro bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on San Antonio. to cover 

Chicago is playing some competitive basketball of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up while covering 4 of those games. Now tonight vs a Orlando team expected to play without starting point guard D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathon Simmons after each sustained ankle injuries they are at a disadvantage here on the road. Ever since  Coach Jim Boylen,  took over the team from  the fired Fred Hoiberg, the Bulls are playing a physical grinding style of offense that is led by guard Zach LaVine, averaging 23.5 points per game  and must not be underestimated in their new system. HC Boylen was QUOTED:"We're playing the way I think we have to play for us to have a chance to win. We are going to get a defensive mentality in this program first, and then we're going to work on the rest of it. And as we grow together, we get healthy together, I'm confident the offense will come"END QUOTE:. With that said, I like the way the Bulls matchup here and Ill lay the short chalk in their support. 

Chicago is 6-0 SU L/6 at home in this series dating back to the 2015 season. 

ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

The Mavericks despite of playing much improved hoops this season , are  a team currently struggling desperate for a win away from home . With that said, Im betting  they will be hell bent on trying to snap a nine-game road losing streak in a place Charlotte where they have covered their L/2 visits .  Note: The road team has snatched five of the last six in the series, with Dallas earning a 115-111 win at Charlotte last season. All good bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting the Mavs current run of road futility ends tonight. 

Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.( the Mavs lost vs Ok St last time out by DDs )Mavericks are 19-0 ATS/18-1 SU when the line is within three of pick off a loss as a underdog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games and it is before the All-Star break with the only loss coming by just 1 point. DALLAS is 20-6 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

Hornets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Sixers looked flat without Joel Embiid in the lineup last time out in at lopsided loss to Portland and will look to bounce back with him expected to play tonight despite of a questionable status. He is really a game changer and a difference maker for the Sixers. The 76ers are 9-0 ATS/SU in franchise history off a road loss in which Ben Simmons had a plus/minus at least ten points better than the team which happened in that game vs Portland last time out. Just like the Sixers, the Clippers will enter Tuesday's game coming off a loss losing 122-111 to the San Antonio Spurs, in a game when Williams was held to 16 points .  Their energy levels looked weak which is a troubling factor for them going forward and especially tonight. 

PHILADELPHIA is 25-8 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the 76ers to cover 

Detroit is desperate for a win, after a heart breaking loss to Orlando on a last second buzzer beater.  Following a previous loss to the Pacers -- a 125-88 beatdown -- the Pistons  had  a players-only meeting to clear the air and hopefully find a way to get on track. Now with them at their very lowest point, Im expecting an extremely motivated effort vs a strong Milwaukee side that wont be overly motivated to take them on. 

 DETROIT is 14-6 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.MILWAUKEE is 23-48 ATS   L/71 as a favorite of 10 or more points.

Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games.

The Bucks are 0-19 ATS as a 8-plus point favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss at home , they were 14-5 SU in those games but none  of the victories came by more than 8 points.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Pistons 

The Magic wrapped are off a 109-107 win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday afternoon, and will now be in a letdown spot here on the road vs a Charlotte team, that is averaging 113.4 points-per-game , the seventh-best output average in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Magic have scored more than 100 points just 19 times in their 35 games, which is not a good omen here as they  shot just 38.3 percent in the first meeting.vs the Hornets this season, and have now  lost six straight in Charlotte and been held under 100 points in four of those games. With that said,  Im betting the Hornets romping to a comfortable victory here tonight. 

Orlando F Jonathon Simmons left the win over Detroit with a sprained right ankle and is questionable for Monday.

ORLANDO is 19-32 ATS (versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

We are getting a cheap line here, because super star LeBron James is expected to remain sidelined with a groin injury and the Lakers are 0-2 without him and also because their playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. However, in contrarian fashion, Im going against the Kings, as Im not liking their current form, and their consistent slow starts despite of notching wins. Note: Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS)  tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are actually good long term bets going 66-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Los Angeles was also  without LeBron James when they lost 117-116 at Sacramento on the 27th of this Month, and competed fine without James, and actually had a DD lead, before getting lazy and falling apart. Now with a fire lit underneath their proverbial butts,Im betting they bounce back in the rematch here at home. Note:The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU L/14 on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game like the Lakers. 

LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Sixers are an upward trajectory team, that seems to just keep getting better with experience and jell as a unit. I can see a dominant  type of confidence creeping over this side since the king of egos Jimmy Butler has arrived. making them extremely dangerous for all comers in this league.    Since Butler  has arrived  Philadelphia have been performing optimally especially against top tier opponents winning  7 of 10 against .500 or greater opposition.  With that said, Im betting on a the Sixers  continuing  their climb to elite status in the East with another win tonight vs a side they have revenge against for loss thye suffered here last season by a 114-110 count. With the Trail Blazers off  two consecutive hard fought  back to back tilts against defending champion Golden State, and on tired legs after playing last night  I expect the home team will be at a disadvantage vs a top tier side.  

76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

 Philadelphia is 76-43-1 ATS in its last 120 non-conference games under head coach Brett Brown.PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Trail Blazers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest.76ers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest.76ers are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Western Conference.

NBA  Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are just are 37-152 for a go against 81% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

New York has won just two games in December and carries a six-game losing streak into Salt Lake City after losing back-to-back games against Milwaukee on Tuesday and Thursday and because of that form we are getting decent value here on a slightly bloated line. vs an inconsistent Jazz side.  The Knicks swept the season series with the Jazz last season and have a recent history of playing well against Utah as is evident by going 23-3 ATS in this series, including 12-1 ATS at Salt Lake City. Its never easy backing a side like NYK, but I  have enough line value here to warrant a solid investment recommendation. 

Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Celtics have won the last five in this inter conference rivalry vs Memphis, limiting the Grizzlies to 93 and 98 points in last year's two-game season-series sweep and have the edge again here tonight as I expect the Celtics  behind their top tier D will be primed to rebound off a  127-113 loss in Houston on Thursday night. Yes, the Celtics have struggled of late, but they are a resilient bunch, as far as providing their betting backers with profits as the clovers, are 13-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. 

OSTON is 23-8 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

 Celtics are 15-0 SUATS as a road favorite with rest off a loss in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes which happened last time out vs Houston. 

Play on Boston to cover 

This will be the Spurs fourth game in a week, with their last game coming on Dec 26th in San Antonio when they beat this same Nuggets group 110-103. Now the Nuggets  wth revenge on board and on fresher legs playing only their second game in 6 days, and 3rd in 10 days, look to have an edge here in the thin air of the Mile High City especially as the game goes into the 2nd half. 

DENVER is 16-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games this season.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Popovich is 10-22 ATS in road games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-2 SU L/3 seasons for a 92% conversion rate going back father these teams are 49-5 SU 91% going back 5 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.9 ppg. Also Home favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with a point differential of 12 ppg.

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

Im not a big fan of New Orleans HC Gentry and when he goes against a top tier coach like Randy Carlisle I look for variables that make fading Gentry a viable investment wagering opportunity. Currently the Pelicans are not performing well, as Super Star Anthony Davis is banged up and not operating at 100% efficiency. Anthony has also said, that hes not committed to the Pelicans in the longterm no matter how much money he gets, and trade is now on the table and also a distraction. That kind of thing in itself has a negative  energy sucking effect on a team. With that said, look for the Mavs to be competitive here tonight and get us the cover. 

DALLAS is 31-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 22-11 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 106-82 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of DALLAS.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive road losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 3-15 ATS after playing a road game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Minnesota is coming off a DD win last time out vs Chicago , and for whatever reason, its seems HC Thibodeau, cannot inspire his troops to fire on all cylinders in consecutive tilts as he is just 8-22 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996 and during that lifetime 30 game sample size the point differential click ins in at at just 2.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the young Atlanta Hawks desoite of still being inconsistent, are showing some flashes of brilliance, and have won 3 of heir L/4 SU and been mostly competitive on the road covering 3 of their L/5 as visitors.

Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 43-20 ATS L/5 seasons. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The Charlotte Hornets  will be out looking for revenge vs the  Brooklyn Nets tonight on their own home court after the Nets shocked the Hornets 134-132 in two overtimes Wednesday night. When Hornets coach was asked about the loss he responded with this : QUOTE: We'll see this team again on Friday night," Hornets coach James Borrego vowed to reporters afterward. "We'll play hard on Friday night. I expect our guys to respond." END QUOTE

I like backing motivated teams and Charlotte is very motivated tonight. 

The Hornets are 11-0 ATS SU as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes with none of the wins coming by less than 5 points.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

This is the second meeting between the teams this season. Philadelphia won 113-107 on November 16  and matchup well vs the defensive minded Jazz. Philadelphia  also swept the season series a year ago.

Utahs key defensive stalwart Gobert will have his hands full with Sixers center Joel Embiid. The Sixers top tier group of   Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons play a style of  hoops that could easily exhaust the Jazz giving us an edge here taking points in what should be a closely contested affair. Getting points with a up trending team like Philadelphia is a good long term wager. 

Brown is 32-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents as the coach of PHILADELPHA and  is 42-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons which happened at Boston last time out in OT. UTAH is 8-18 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

Sacramento has been flirting with disaster in their L/2 games before the Christmas break and came back from being down by DDs in those home tilts vs Memphis and New Orleans for wins.  I like Sacramento and their upward overall performance trajectory , but their recent issues with slow starts are an ominous sign in my opinion tonight against a run and gun opponent here in hostile territory. With that said,  Im betting the Kings are in trouble vs a Clippers team that is offensively explosive especially at home where they have averaged just under 117 ppg on the season. 

The Clippers have won 8 of the L/9 meetings in this series.

My projections estimate that LA will score 117 or more points here tonight, vs a side that allows an average of 117.2 ppg on the road this season. Note: SACRAMENTO is 13-33 ATS  when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 19.7 ppg. Also the  LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS when they score 117 or more points in a game this season with a point diff of 6.9 ppg. 

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 68-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Celtics opened the season with a 105-87 victory over the Sixers in Boston, but now the Sixers have Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and should be more competitive. However, Im still betting the Celtics have an edge here at home as short chalk vs a Sixers. side that is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
 I also know the Celtics have been inconsistent of late and the team has had some internal meetings, to try to right their ship, which will have positive effect going forward  . With the Celtics off a momentum building win vs Charlotte last time out, Im betting they are ready to show the pundits and their opponents that they are still a force to be reckoned with in the NBA east. 

BOSTON is 22-8 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.

 Sixers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Boston and have lost 7 of 8 SU. .76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games.

BOSTON is 12-3 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 season.

The Celtics are 16-0 SUATS L/16 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Houston has had some inconsistent stretches during this season, but right now they are in top form after having won 6 of their L/7 games overall SU/ATS. With that said, Im betting they continue their top tier play vs the Oklahoma City Thunder with a win here at home  where they are 10-5 SU this season .The Rockets have won 5 of the L/6  head to head battles vs the Thunder here deep in the heart of Texas are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 overall home games and get the nod again. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 63-105 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 16-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and 10-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

The Pelicans had eight scorers record double figures in a 149-129 home win over the Kings during the first week of the season in October. Now the Kings will play this game with revenge in mind and Im betting they get vs a poor traveling Pelicans side that have lost 13 of their 17 road games this season. 

SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or better of their attempts this season.SACRAMENTO is 13-5 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

Right now entering this game Memphis is struggling and have not scored more than 99 points in a tilt in 7 straight trips to the hardwood. To make matters worse their top player and the energy behind this team Mike Conley is hobbled with a hamstring injury. He is expected to play but is less than 100%.The Grizzlies had no such offensive issues in their 112-104 home win over Sacramento last month, but things have changed since then and Sacramento will have revenge on board. Here at home the Kings have the advantage. 

Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Grizzlies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 6-19 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.  

 SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Spurs  were defeated by a 128-89 count at Minnesota back on November 28 and now have revenge on board for that loss. Thats not good news for the Wolves, as the Spurs have now won 4 straight games by 25 points or more behind the league's best 3-point shooting conversion rate of 38.2 %. Note:MINNESOTA is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Spurs are  10-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

Spurs are 10-0 SU L/10 at home in this series with every win coming by 4 points or more. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Celtics try to bust out of a two game losing run as they host the Bucks this Friday night in a game that Im betting favours the home side. I know the Bucks are now considered a NBA power house and hell bent on taking out a Celtics team  that beat them in last years play offs, but Im betting the Clovers have got what it takes to get the win here at home tonight, and extending a 6-0 SUATS home run in this series. ( Boston won the last meeting here on Nov 1 by a 117 -113 count ) 

BOSTON is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 31-12 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 65-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to cover 

Brooklyn enters this game red hot  winning 7 straight , while the Pacers are off a loss to the very good Raptors team by 3 points last  time out. Im betting Indiana will be ready to put that defeat behind them with big time victory on road vs Brooklyn here tonight and show their doubters that they are a team on the rise. 

Pacers are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the nod to cover here.

Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Pacers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Pacers are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Dallas's DeAndre Jordan  takes on his old team the Los Angeles Clippers at Staples Center on Thursday for . the first time since he signed with the Mavericks as a free agent this past offseason. In the first meeting at  home in Dallas on Dec. 2, the Mavs came away with a 114-110 victory and according to my power rankings match up very well vs the Clippers. Tonight Im betting Jordans tough D, and rebounding circus act will be one of the the difference makers for a Dallas cover. Quote: "(Jordan) is one of the best rebounders in the land," Clippers head coach Doc Rivers said at practice Wednesday. "We know there are some things you have to do with D.J. to at least try to keep him off the glass. He's tough. END QUOTE: 

DALLAS is 7-0 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.DALLAS is 30-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

The Clippers are 0-10 SUATS  at home off a loss in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS /8-1 SU with rest off a game as a dog in which they allowed 55%-plus shooting from the field. the lone SU loss came by 2 pts. 

NBA team vs the money line (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 66-35 SU L/5 seasons . 

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Jazz and the Warriors enter this game playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. But despite of that Im betting he Jazz will be ready for a top tier  team they handle well as is evident by winning 3 of the L/4 meetings with the only loss suffered last time out by a 124-123 score here in Salt Lake City on Oct 17 of this season. It must also be noted that there are many ebbs and flows to a NBA season, and current form does not always indicate how a game will be played out. Matchup discrepancies, system vs system, and coaching consistencies trump form in a league that can see performance charts change over a short period of time and game to game. With that said, Im backing the slumping Jazz to right their ship tonight vs the defending champion Warriors here in their own backyard. 

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 23-4 L22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

San Antonio has been playing better hoops of late after a slow start to their campaign, but in the past being in top form than going on the road has not always been a profitable situation for their betting backers as they are just 1-9 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons

 Meanwhile, Orlando after struggling with defence early on the season, are now playing a more physical and methodical brand of basketball  that has seen them hold 4 of their 7 opponents under 91 points, and has resulted in them  winning 2 straight games thanks to their more responsible defensive stances. As a result the Magic have played some low scoring tilts of late, which have in the past translated in positive ATS results for them and their backers as ORLANDO is 10-0 ATS after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Tonight Im betting the home team, takes the Spurs offensive flow away, and systematically slows their opposition down on their way to a win, much like they did when they met the Spurs back on Nov. 4 in Texas taking out the Spurs by a 117-110 count. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-8 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  on the season against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 4-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

Washingtons been harping on playing better D , and they acquired two way stalwart  Trevor Ariza to help them out in that department. However, for now Im betting  it will take their own flow away and hinder them more than help at least for now.  I know Atlanta does not inspire bettors, but this young team has endless energy and can grind away at an opponent with non stop energizer bunny type of hoops. With that said, Im betting on Atlanta covering here tonight, vs a Washington team that has played its absolute worst hoops on the road this season where they are 4-12 SU/ATS.

WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game this season.

WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS  in road games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season and   is 0-9 ATS  in road games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games this season is 0-8 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. ( Beat LAL 125-110 last time out). WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more  of their shots are 1-10 SU this season. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 Detroit's ended a  six-game losing streak this past Saturday night by  defeating the Boston' Celtics and ending their  opponents eight-game winning streak with a 113-104 victory at Little Caesars Arena. With momentum on their sides, I now expect the Pistons to give the Bucks a team that has won 3 of their L/4 a fight for their money in their spot. Detroit is 3-1 SU l/4 at home in this series, and are 4-1 in division games this season!

DETROIT is 13-3 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 14-25 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are 103-185 L/22 seasons for a go against 64% SU conversion rate foe bettors. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, first half of the season are 14-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Detroit Pistons to cover 

Sunday night's key prime time matchup in the NBA features the top teams in the Eastern and Western Conferences. Both teams are banged up, and missing players. But one key players that Im betting makes a difference here tonight will be hard to replace for the Raptors and that is center Jonas Valanciunas, who just underwent surgery and is out for extended period of time.It must also be noted that Raps Forward Kawhi Leonard also just recently missed two games with a hip injury,  and is less than 100% and guard Kyle Lowry is listed as questionable for Sunday's game with a thigh injury.The Nuggets snapped the Raptors' eight-game winning streak with a 106-103 victory on Dec. 3 and I know the Raps will be out looking for revenge, but you don'T always get what you want as the Nuggets matchup well vs this type of opponent. 

Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest and are 3-8 ATS L/11 in Denver.Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall

 Denver is 14-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. Denver is 5-0 ATS L/5 vs Toronto.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 43-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

I'll start off by saying  that I am not much an admirer of the Pelicans and HC Gentry system. I know he has hands full trying to find stablemates and side kicks for super star Anthony Davis, but this team, runs on Davis's energy, and when he's not 100% , which he's not, the team is also less than 100% The Pelicans have not won back to back games since mid November , and just don't have any real consistency. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Heat, are a well coached team behind, Spoelstra  who knows how to deal with teams like the Pelicans going 16-5 ATS L/21  in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game. Miami despite of not having a super star like Davis in their lineup work hard, and Im betting they get us the cover in this spot via their usual blue collar efforts.

Spoelstra is 22-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI. 

MIAMI is 11-2 ATS  in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

Boston (18-10) has won eight straight, including a 129-108 victory over Atlanta on Friday night and enter this game against their hosts the Pistons with a full head of steam, and despite of a heavy schedule still lookalike very viable options to cover vs a team they matchup well against. Note: NBA Favorites SU (BOSTON) - after 8 or more consecutive wins, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are good long term  bets going 43-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 10.5 ppg making this a viable cover situation for the Celtics .

BOSTON is  also 12-1 ATS  off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

The Celtics have already beaten the Pistons twice this season. They smashed them  at Little Caesars Arena 109-89 on Oct. 27, then beat them in Boston 108-105 three nights later. Note: The Pistons are just 0-6 ATS L/6 vs the Celtics with same season double  revenge . 

DETROIT is 2-12 ATS in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 4 ppg. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

Denver is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs the Thunder and beat them SU the last time they met in Oklahoma City back on Nov 28 this season winning 105-98  as 6 point rod dogs.and according to my matchup power rankings are still the  superior side when comparing system vs system output projections. I know the Thunder who are currently playing top tier hoops will be out to revenge that loss, but it must be noted that OKLAHOMA CITY is just 9-21 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and is 6-18 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 7-0 ATS  in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season, which was the case last time out, in a 105-99 win vs Memphis 3 days ago. 

Bottom line here. Is that Denver is well rested and matchup well vs the Thunder. especially considering this will be the Thunders 5 road game in their L/6 outings. Also after a ha rd fought affair and loss on Wednesday night in New Orleans and now playing in the thin air of the Mile High City I wont be surprised if the Thunder run out of gas as this tilt moves into the 2nd half. Advantage Denver. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 42-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

Golden State after the tremendous success they have had over the last few seasons, are not playing with alot of intensity of late and are showing signs of complacency. That was evident when the Raptors came into Oakland and clobbered the defending champions by a 113-93 count this past Wednesday night. Now the sometimes lethargic looking champs go into Sacramento to play a young high energy Kings team playing inspired hoops and is up trending. The Kings on most nights are handful to handle, and nothing Im betting changes tonight. So if Golden State does get the win Im betting it will not come easily making getting points here with the home dog golden in my opinion. Note: Golden State held off Sacramento 117-116 at home on Nov. 24. A rinse and repeat situation looks to be a high probability event again. 

Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

GOLDEN STATE is 12-25 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Kings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.

SACRAMENTO is 16-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. 

NBA home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous gamePlay on the Sacramento Kings to cover are 51-14 SU L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Pacers are a fine team, big and athletic and probably one of the best in the NBA . Indiana has won five straight, including a 16-point win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. I   know Philadelphia is very talented , despite of some recent down efforts, but from a matchup perspective the Pacers matchup very well against them and must be respected here as underdogs even though they are on the road. With With Victor Oladipo back from a knee injury that sidelined him 11 games, Indiana is back at a full strength and the are according to power rankings the beast of the east.   INDIANA is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons. 

76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Pacers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pacers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The 76ers are 0-13 ATS  and 1-12 SU with rest off a home loss that was tied five-plus times and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by just 2 points. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

The Lakers (17-10) have won six of seven games  and are now fourth in the Western Conference. Their defense,  has been particularly strong while up trending, as they have recorded  a 101.4 defensive rating  ,  ranked third in the NBA  . Tonight Im betting they have a ATS advantage vs a host team  ( Houston) that can't find consistency and constantly 2nd guessing themselves and their overall  approach.  Needless to say the host team is far from being stable at the moment and weak favorites even here on their own home court. 

HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and  are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Lakers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference.

Rockets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game

NBARoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers 

The Pacers, have won four games in a row, and are very ready to take on a very good Milwaukee Bucks team here tonight. The Pacers have been playing well without key cog  Oladipo and because of their never say die attitude and very physical athletic team, are never to be discounted .  Especially at  home where they are 9-4 this season, behind their No.1 ranked defence.  Milwaukee took out the Pacers  back on Oct 19 and now the host team has revenge on board. Note INDIANA is 11-2 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 29-15 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 16-64 SU last 22 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate for bettors with the point differential clicking in at 8.9 ppg. 

Indiana to cover 

The Raptors enter this game against the Clippers struggling. Even a very good team like the Raptors go through slumps, and Im betting thats what thy are in the midst of right now  as they  are scoring just  105 points per game, while going 1-3 over their last four trips to the hardwood. With that said, I look for the Clippers to be very competitive here tonight on their own home floor where they have won 9 of their L/11 overall this season. 

Clippers are 2-0 SU L/2 as hosts in this series and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings overall. 

The Clippers are 10-0 ATS/SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Rockets are not the same team they have been the last couple of season and have  a lot of weaknesses that are becoming obvious. The Rockets defence is ranked 25th in points allowed per 100 possessions (112.2) and their week under the offensive glass ranking 29th in defensive rebounding rate (68.5 percent) and ahead of only the Washington Wizards. The Rockets are playing uninspired ball, and showing very little cohesiveness as a team and as a result have ,lost 7 of their L/9 games. Meanwhile, Portland after an extended slump, have come to life lately with two consecutive wins, and will be primed to continue to jump start themselves here by ending a 4 game road losing streak , which has me recommending we go o take here with the visitors in this spot. 

HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS versus teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 5-14 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.

PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 26-4 ATS L/5 season for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Bulls are a mess and have lost 12 of their L/14 games. Meanwhile, Sacramento had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, losing to a very good Indiana side. Wha tIm betting on here tonight is for Chicago hoops team to continue to struggle in rebuilding mode, and for the Kings to be keen on taking care of business vs a lower tier team. In their last two road games vs sub par competition the Suns and the Cavaliers the Kings came out of those tilts with DD victories and more of the same kind of one sided action looks to be on their agenda tonight .SACRAMENTO is 11-2 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

The Knicks in their current form don't inspire bettors, but my projections estimate this line to be bloated, making the Hornets fade material in this spot. Also the Hornets are off a hard fought win vs Denver last time out. I watched part of that game and you could tell this  Charlotte team was working hard and playing with intensity, which Im betting will have them in a natural letdown situation here today vs a side that not only does not inspire bettors, but their opposition as well. 

CHARLOTTE is 11-29 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Knicks are 6-1 ATS L/7 overall in this series and 4-0 SU/ATS  L/4 here at home in MSG. 

Play NY Knicks to cover 

Im very surprised at how badly the San Antonio Spurs have performed this season, and how atrocious their defence has been overall. With that said, and  from a matchup perspective when factoring in player vs player and system vs system, Utah matches up very well vs their hosts and get my support here based on some long standing strategies I've had success with over the years from a long term perspective. Note:  The Jazz set a franchise record with 20 three-pointers made in Monday's win over San Antonio, shooting 60.6 percent (20-33) from beyond the arc on their way to their 34-point win. 

 I know the Spurs showed some life last time out coming from behind to win 130-122 vs the Lakers, but they exerted a great deal of energy in that game, and could suffer the effects of that hard work here vs a physical Utah Jazz team.Note: The Spurs, haven't won back-to-back games since winning four straight in an eight-day span Oct. 27-Nov. 3 and Im betting they falter here today. 

Utah is off a 118-91 win vs Houston last time out. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 70-13 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average point differential clicking in at 9.8 pg.

NBA Home underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 15-45 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah to cover 

The Pelicans and Anthony Davis come into Motown to play a banged up group of Pistons hobbled by injuries. Davis  loves to play against the Pistons as is evident by averaging  30.4 points in 10 games against them, his highest career mark against any opponent. Im betting he will flourish again against a team that will have rotational issues with player personal adjustments expected. 

DETROIT is 4-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 19-38 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are own a ugly 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS record in this series, including 1-5 SUATS the last six at home.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

This game features Western Conference competitors vying for future play off positioning, and Im expecting a hard fought game with home court advantage being the difference maker for the home side Portland. I know the Wolves have played good ball since Jimmy Butler was traded, and that the Blazers have been less than consistent, but after playing some decent ball in their last trip to the hardwood allowing the Suns just 86 points in a victory. I expect the Blazers to use the momentum of that tilt to buoy them into this tilt. Note: PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Portland is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series.

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 87-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

Both these combatants played last night. The Lakers exhausted four starters upward of 36 minutes Friday night in a 133-120 loss at San Antonio that snapped a four-game winning streak, but now will have very little left in the tank tonight to face a physical hardworking Memphis team playing at home. Meanwhile, The Grizzlies,   played no one more than 35 minutes and  took a 107-103 win at New Orleans. The Grizzlies now have an advantage. Note: MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. LA LAKERS are 19-34 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning recorder 14-64 SU l/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 22-553ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Houston rolls in here looking for revenge for a loss they suffered to the Mavericks 128-108 at home last week, and despite of wanting revenge are not showing much of a winning touch or any consistency of late, losing 6 of their L/8 overall. In their current form they look less than viable road chalk. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a dismal effort in their last trip to the court a 132-106 beat down at the hands of the Pelicans , have shown a historical propensity for a top tier bounce back effort, as is evident by HC Carlisle  10-1 ATS record off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival as the coach of DALLAS. Note: Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 13-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

DALLAS is 10-2 ATS in home games this season. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The  struggling Bulls lost 96-90 vs the  Indiana Pacers last time out, but played well against a top tier team, and look to be ready clean things up with new HC Boylen on the side lines.  The Bulls have now lost  seven straight  and 11th in their last 12 contests, but now coming off an extended road trip will be ready to compete here at home. Note:Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Bulls are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We all know how well the Thunder are playing, but covering 9 points here on the road,  in what will be their 3rd game in 5 nights vs a very hungry team Im betting is asking for to much. With that said, there is value here taking the Bulls to cover. 

Donovan is 9-24 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS  in December games over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-32 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. 

 NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in December games are 19-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

I like the way new HC Casey has the Pistons playing and despite coming off back to back losses including  Milwaukee last time out, look like viable bets here vs a visiting Philadelphia team off a disappointing loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last game.  Note:  Pistons HC Casey is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. Meanwhile, the 76ers despite of being talented have lost 8 of their L/12 road games this season, and now in a letdown situation vs a Motown crew that has played their best ball at home posting a 9-4 record their in trouble, and false favorites in my opinion.  

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Pistons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

76ers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

76ers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 5-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Utah Jazz recorded a season high for points in their last trip to  the hardwood and  Im betting they use the momentum of that explosive offensive  effort to take out the visiting Houston Rockets on Thursday. The hard working never say die Jazz has won four of their  last six games and converted  on a franchise-record 20 3-pointers in Tuesday's 139-105 beat down of the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Look for more of same action here at home vs a Rockets side that has been highly inconsistent this season, and have lost 5 of their L/7 games overall.

Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400

Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  on the season are 69-115 ATS  for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Im a gluten for punishment, as I take the Spurs plus the points here on the road again tonight vs LAL, after losing my recommended wager on them taking points last night in Utah. I know San Antonio does not inspire bettors in their current form, but according to my power rankings they matchup well vs the Lakers. 

Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.

NBA team (LA LAKERS) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite, off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 4-23 ATS L/22 seasons, for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

 The Mavericks enter this Bayou tilt having won nine of 11 overall after a 111-102 home victory against Portland on Tuesday. That gave them three wins in four games against West contenders in the last week and has them playing with confidence. Meanwhile, the Pelicans  are banged up with a fair amount of walking wounded including  starting point guard Elfrid Payton, and have now lost six of their last eight games. Note: Pelicans  Nikola Miratic has also been off, and is suffering from an illness of some type. Advantage Mavericks. 

DALLAS is 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and is 15-7 ATS  in the first half of the season this season.DALLAS is 13-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The matchup pairs the NBA's fourth-leading defense (Grizzlies, 103.1 points per game) against the third-leading offense (Clippers, 117.7). Im betting defense as well as home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight.

The Grizzlies are 17-0 SU/ATS   when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a road loss in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers.

Memphis Grizzlies ( LATE STEAM)

San Antonio  came out of a lethargic state last time out  by beating Portland 131-118 on Sunday. Im betting the momentum of their last victory will carry on into this game vs their host Utah, a team on tired legs after playing 6 games in 10 days. and overall have played 10 of their L/12 games on the road Note:

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 26-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

While the defending champion Warriors have Steph Curry back in the lineup another key cog is still out as Draymond Green has missed the last eight games with a right toe sprain and also  Alfonzo McKinnie has missed the last eight games with left foot soreness. Needless to say their still not at 100%. Note: The Warriors have not been very profitable for their backers of late as they are 2-9 ATS L/11 overall, and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 as favourites. Long termGOLDEN STATE is 55-69 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. 

Golden State won 110-103 when it hosted the Hawks on Nov. 13, and the young men from Atlanta proved they can hang with the big boys in that game, and Im betting they will primed to compete again here at home. 

Historical Trends value also favours this Hawks here as extreme lined home teams (double digit dogs or over 15 pt. favorites) off of a loss  like the Hawks are 185-105-5 63.8% ATS with outliners included) Also teams averaging 103 or more ppg are 268-205-8 ATS 57% after a game where they were behind 15 points or more at the half.

GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS  versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5  or less reb/game) are 16-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The Detroit Pistons are proving their a team that must be respected after taking out Golden State SU as 5 point home dogs last time out for their 5th straight home vicotry. Now their listed as underdogs again vs visiting Oklahoma City. The Motown reserves are standing tall, and showing the teams depth and Im betting they won;t bow down today, vs another deep team, especialy on their own court, where they have an edge. 

Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.

 CITY is 7-20 ATS  in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-48 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are just 96-176 L/22 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

Alot has changed in San Antonio, as they are now showing a lot of defensive holes and deficiencies. Popovich's team has seen the last two opponents combine to make 40 3-pointers in 95 attempts and they are off a ugly 128-89 loss to the Minnesota Wolves last time out. Im betting their fortunes wont get much better tonight vs a Portland side,  that shot 53.6 percent while defeating the Spurs 121-108 at home on Oct. 20, showing their ability to matchup well vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs need to desperately bounce back, but like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones have said before, You don't always get what you want. 

PORTLAND is 36-21 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

The LA Clippers are a red hot 9-1 L/10 behind a balanced team effort, but their hosts Dallas are more than capable of cooling them off. I know the Mavs looked tired last time out, in a 114-103  road loss to the Lakers but now home again and on a couple of days rest should be more than ready to run and gun with the Clippers tonight, and notch a win and cover for us in this spot. DALLAS is 18-5 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and over have covered 11 of their L/16 and have played their best basketball at home where they sport a 8-2 SU/ATS record.

Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Mavericks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Mavericks are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 games following a ATS loss.Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

DALLAS is 29-13 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 128-101 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DALLAS.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Pistons have won four straight, all at home and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover vs the Golden State Warriors here tonight even though previously injured  Seth Curry is expected to return to the lineup for the Warriors.  

DETROIT is 10-2 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. 

NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-53 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

Washington looked lifeless last night in a blowout loss to the Sixers as they shot 40.2 percent (37 of 92) from the field, including 8 of 28 (28.6 percent) from 3-point range . Now on tired legs  the Wizards of OZ come back to face a hard working Brooklyn team, that despite of also playing last night  after taking Memphis to Double OT are better conditioned than the Wizards, and consistently show more fight. 

BROOKLYN is 30-17 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 16-5 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 19-6 ATS in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 20-8 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 13-4 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 14-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after allowing 130 points or more against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are 27-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NJ Nets to cover 

Denver has been playing some very good hoops of late,  winning 4 straight ,but the Trail Blazers at home are no pushovers, going  24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Trail Blazers are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Northwest. They come into this game off a close win vs Orlando last time out ending a 3 game losing streak, which is a good thing as they are  8-0 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is also 14-3 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons and is 21-10 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (PORTLAND) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more re 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - after allowing 85 points or less against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 9-33 ATS  L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Mavericks are 2-7 SU on the road this season and will be trying for their first two-game winning streak on the same road trip since going 3-0 against the Pacers, New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder from Dec. 27-31, 2017. Im betting they don't get it , and that they also fail to cover .With that a said, Im expecting for the the Lakers  to use the 104-96 win against the visiting Indiana Pacers on Thursday night as a confidence and  momentum builder heading in this tilt. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdogs are 1-36 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors witht he average margin point differential coming by 10.7 ppg.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

This will be Utahs 4th game in 6 nights, and Im betting their on tired legs vs a side that can run the hell out of opponents, behind the 6th ranked offence. Charlotte is 8-3  at the Spectrum Center this season and have won four straight over Utah at home and get the nod again here on a short chalk line.

From a SRS perspective: Utah is ranked 18th at -1.80 while, Charlotte is ranked 7th with a 3.80 SRS. ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average)

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are just 3-24 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

My power rankings make the LA Clippers the superior side in this matchup even though they are in the visitors role. The Clippers have won 11 straight games in this series and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Yes, I know the Clippers are playing back to backs , but after not exerting much energy in a 115-99  DD victory vs the Suns last night, they have more than enough left in the tank to dispose of the Kings.

The Clippers are 9-1 ATS as favorites this season and 12-3 ATS L/15 as road chalk.

NBA road favorites like the Clippers.  after a blowout win of 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 100 points or more   after 5 straight games are 32-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Clippers to cover

Utah's been struggling having lost 4 of their L/5 and now on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights.  Im betting the Jazz will  once again have a hard time getting by a under rated Brooklyn side that is fairly well rested and playing at home . Note: UTAH is 17-33 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. BROOKLYN I know the Nets do not inspire bettors, but from a matchup perspective according to my power rankings have an edge here on this side number. Brooklyn is 21-9 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 4-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Indiana is in top form and are off clobbering back to back opponents, and Im betting they still have enough left in the tank to get by a young Phoenix team that despite of flashing some brilliance on occasion still don't know how to win consistently. This is not a good matchup for the home side Suns. 

PHOENIX is 18-32 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 season with a average point differential off 11+ ppg. 

LATE STEAM 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 27-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 11.6 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Memphis after a 5 game win streak, has lost their last two games ,and lost their last time out as home chalk to NY Knicks. Its not uncommon for teams deemed superior to their opposition to take nights off in the /NBA and also overlook their opponents , which is what Im betting happened to the Grizzlies in that game vs a up-trending Knicks team. Now focusedI expect a usually hardworking Memphis group to give top tier visitor the Raptors a fight for the W behind the leagues top defence. Im betting on the Grizzlies methodical style of play to interrupt and ply havoc on the free flowing Raptors, and make life difficult for them. 

NBA  Home underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - average to below average defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 31-61 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. The average point differential of those games clicked in at 3.2 ppg, which adds credence to a cover call of 3.5 points or more with the Grizzlies.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

The Rockets after winning 5 straight games have suffered back to back losses in the first 2 games of their current 3 game road trip. The finale of those 3 away games comes tonight vs a very inconsistent Washington Wizards team, and gives the Rockets a solid chance at getting back into the win column and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover . 

Houston owns a - 0.17 ranking 16th in the league while Washington has recorded a -4.07 SRS which ranks 25th in the NBA. Thus opening line of -3.5 according to my numbers is more accurate , which gives us value laying 2.5 points here. SRS : Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

HC D'Antoni is 14-4 ATS in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of HOUSTON.

NBA team (HOUSTON) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 237-167 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover

The Knicks are just 6-14 start  but have come to life   in their last two games, which featured a surprising win at Boston and close home winner over New Orleans. But now Im betting on the Knicks current gravy train to crash abruptly in the unfriendly confines of Memphis where they will face a grinding opponent that can make life difficult for a  rebuilding young team like the Knicks.  It must be noted that the NYK has lost their L/7 games here and and have not scored more than 100 points in any of those games and Im betting that status quo of that trend continue today . It must be noted that Memphis 6-0 ATS L/6 at home as a favourite and play their best ball right here at home. 

NEW YORK is 4-17 ATS L/21 in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with the average deficit clicking in at more than 12 ppg. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Orlando Magic (9-10) beat the visiting Lakers 130-117 on Nov. 17 to end their season-long four-game winning streak which is the Lakers only loss in their L/8 games. Now with revenge on board I expect the Lakers to come out here with all guns blazing in . a pay back event vs a Orlando team that has fallen back down to earth after a 3 game win streak and  have lost their L/2 games by DDs deficits. Note: The past three opponents the Lakers have faced  are averaging 95. 

LA LAKERS are 13-3 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 5-31 L/5 seasons with the average combined score deficit clicking in at 14.7 ppg. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 PPG or more ), after allowing 90 points or less are 63-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

The Washington Wizards in their current form may not inspire bettors but the tonight in desperation mode Im betting they get it together  on home court vs a New Orleans team that struggles on the road (2-8 SU), and could be playing with Anthony Davis tonight because of a hip injury. If Davis does play he will be less than 100% making the Pelicans fade material. Their are alot of ebbs and flows in the NBA , and Washington is showing some proverbial high tide action entering this game after a come from behind win vs the LA Clippers last time out. 

NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS off a road loss this season which happened against the lowly Knicks last time out. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - good pressure defensive team - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 47-15 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

Miami enters this game in Chicago with the league's third-worst shooting percentage at 43.5, only ahead of Boston and Detroit.  the Miami Heat are really struggling and should not be favorites in their current form on the road against any NBA team , not even the rebuilding Chicago Bulls.The most recent instance of Miami's horrendous play occurred Tuesday in a 104-92 loss to the Brooklyn Nets that pushed its home losing streak to five games. The Heat shot 36 percent and missed 15 of 19 shots in the fourth quarter when the Nets outscored them by a 30-15 margin. Thats just plain ugly, and the return of veteran senior citizen Dwayne Wade Im betting wont be enough to buoy this team to victory and more importantly a cover. The Bulls are off a win last time outs nd will build on that momentum here at home vs the Heat. 

MIAMI is 13-28 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

Ive got a stubborn streak when it comes to sticking to my long term handicapping methods, and with that said, Im going to back Houston team that I have pegged as the superior team in this matchup with Detroit. Last time out I recommended we lay the heavy lumber with the Rockets at home in the first of back to back meetings with these teams, and I failed on my assessments that night, as the Pistons played the Rockets tough in Texas and covered as 9 point underdogs losing by just 2 points 126-124 .  My power rankings however, suggest that the Rockets are a viable bet here at -4 chalk, and Im laying down my cash on them again. I live and die by my methods, and lose or win today will continue down the same path, even though some turbulence may effect the smoothness of my trip. You have too remember that the young men form Motown were trailing by 10 points going into the 4th quarter of the last game, and than amazingly scored 41 points to to put pressure of the Rockets. Im betting that unbelievable shooting performance wont be on todays agenda and that Houston gets the win and cover as they play a complete game. 

HOUSTON is 22-9 ATS  off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons and is 21-8 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 season.

HOUSTON is 32-18 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasonsHOUSTON is 13-3 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 9-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Houston Rockets 

Golden State suffering the loss of super star Steph Curry to injury are looking to snap their 3 game losing streak after losing to the San Antonio Spurs, 104 - 92 last time out and will come out here primed to compete and rebound vs Oklahoma City tonight on their own home court. The Thunder are also off a loss, and  are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.With reports out of Oakland supporting the return of Draymond Green, and the impending battle of former team mates Durant and Westbrook I like the Golden State Warriors to grab a victory here vs a Thunder team exhibiting some key  areas of weakness as they struggle with  three point percentage ( Ranked 30th), free throw percentage ( Ranking 27th) and assists per game (Ranked 26th).Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.Thunder are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.Thunder are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Golden State. 

 GOLDEN STATE is 42-23 ATS in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 40-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

Memphis is a very pesky team that plays a strong physical brand of basketball and are  leading the NBA in scoring defense (100 ppg) and turnover differential (-4.6) while ranking second in steals (9.8),   Their quickly becoming the type of team, that other sides around the league don't look forward to facing. The Grizzlies have won 4 straight games, and could induce a  night mare for a Spurs team that is struggling defensively as was evident last time out when they allowed  the Pelicans to shoot 57.8 percent from the floor in a 140-126 loss. Add to that the Grizzlies star Conely after being injured last year, is rounding back into super star gear, and hitting 38.7 percent from 3-point range this month . This team feeds off Conely's energy and  with Grizzlies C Marc Gasol suddenly back in top form hitting on  three straight double-doubles while averaging 17.7 points and 10.4 rebounds this month the Grizzlies are a dangerous underdog here tonight.

Spurs are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 vs. NBA Southwest.Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 46-16 SU L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

After a fast start to their season, Denver has now lost 6 of their L/7 games, and things don't look to get much better here as they are on tired legs as the Nuggets  prepare to play their 4th game in a week and third straight road tilt. Meanwhile, Minnesota had a three game win streak ended last time out by a pesky Memphis team. but the Wolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games where they play their best hoops.Wolves have a 7-2  SU home record this season, while the Nuggets are 3-4 SU on the road. In their four most recent meetings last season the Timberwolves beat the  Nuggets 3 out of 4 times winning both games at home by an average of 4.5 points and another similar outcome is a high probability outcome considering the current form of both sides and matchup discrepancies favoring the Wolves especially from the land of the downtown trey where the Wolves excel (37.3%). 

Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

MINNESOTA is 39-21 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 12-1 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 57-15 79% L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind .

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 

Houston has suddenly come to life and are on a 4 game win streak  averaging 115.8 points per contest during its current run and on defence have held 6 of their L/8 opponents to 99 points or less.The Rockets now operating in optimal mode host a Detroit team that despite of winning 4 of their L/5 are just 3-4 on the road this season , and not equipped to match firepower with a Rockets team that  are second in both downtown 3s made(14.3) and attempted (42.5) per game.  

 DETROIT is 3-13 ATS  in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 11.9 ppg.  

NBAHome favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 64-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover

Tonight we have a tilt at Madison Square Garden, that has mismatch written all over it and the lines-makers have followed suit by making the Portland Trail Blazers 8 point road chalk,   vs their hosts the  New York Knicks this Tuesday. However from a contrarian perspective, Im betting taking points with the home dog is prudent bankroll expanding choice vs a Portland team on tired legs as they play their 4th road game in less than a week. I know its not easy backing a rebuilding /struggling team like the Knicks that continue to give younger players minutes, but from a advantage players viewpoint, this line is slightly bloated and offers value according to my power rankings numbers.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Brooklyn  a team the this lost 4 of their L/5 overall is not the same team without injured  G Caris LeVert in the lineup . He leads the Nets in scoring (18.4 points per game) but its expected out for net fe months. Now they will go against a very hungry and rested Miami team , desperate to get a win, after getting hammered by the LA Lakers on Sunday night  ( 113-97) for their fourth straight home loss. The media is attacking the team for their lack of grit, and believe me say pros do not like to be embarrassed and will be hell bent on getting some redemption tonight. 

MIAMI is 29-15 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, on Tuesday nights 110-23 SU L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average margin point differential going by 8+ ppg. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

The Hawks are struggling  (3-13)  as they enter this game on a  seven-game losing streak on Monday when they start a four-game home stand against the Los Angeles Clippers (10-5) at State Farm Arena. . Thanks to their ineptness and inability to garner wins  of late, we are getting an exaggerated line to bet into with the home dog Hawks. I know the Clippers are playing well and we have a matchup of  teams playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but desperation and being back on their own home court  after a 4 game road trip against strong teams ( Indiana, Golden State, Denver, Lakers) makes the Hawks battle tested and  a viable wagering option as they play in desperation mode.

LA CLIPPERS are 18-34 ATS L/52  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.

NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 48-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

According to my power rankings and head to head matchup systems and player vs players analysis, the Celtics matchup very well vs the Charlotte Hornets.

CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS  as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Boston is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 vs Charlotte. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less ), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 60-106 ATS  for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors over the L/21 season.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

I know the Warriors played last night and are on tired legs as they embark on their 5th game in 7 days and I also know that Golden State on a current 2 game slide after last nights loss to Dallas  will be without Steph Curry and Draymond Green tonight in this tilt vs San Antonio. However, despite of that my matchup rankings data base suggest even with the injuries, the well conditioned and deep Warriors are capable of pulling off a win here as a road  underdog vs a San Antonio side that has lost their L/3 trips to the hardwood and 5 of their L/6 overall. It must also be noted that NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (GOLDEN STATE) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are a positive long term betting situation as they are 54-20 SU L/22 seasons. Also Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are a bankroll expanding 53-18 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Mavericks are playing top tier basketball at the moment as is evident by  on their  three-game winning streak  and overall  have won four of five trips to the hardwood. Thanks in part to a strong effort on  defense. Against  Utah  the Mavs held the Jazz to 31.3 percent field goal shooting after keeping Chicago and Oklahoma City under 40 percent in the previous two tilts. Tonight against a banged up Golden State team that looks out of sync of late and  playing without Steph Curry, I feel the Mavs have an advantage here as underdogs . on their own home floor. 

DALLAS is 35-18 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 18-8 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Warriors are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 12-38 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA Home teams (DALLAS) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 59-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

The well rested Charlotte Hornets will be very ready to take down a  Philadelphia 76ers  off a gruelling game against the Utah Jazz last night. The Sixers have played well at home this season , but are just 2-7 on the road, and are fade material in this spot vs a side that was embarrassed by Cleveland last time out . But now on 3 days rest Charlotte will be out looking for redemption and also for revenge for a 133-132 OT  loss last week on the road to the Sixers. That game  showed me that the Hornets matchup well against their opponents as did a 105-103 loss in their first meeting here in Charlotte. 

 CHARLOTTE is 13-0 ATS  versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. 

PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATS  in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 1 or more consecutive unders, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 64-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days is 25-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined point differential clicking in at 6.3 ppg. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 45-16 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking at 6 points. 

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 

New Orleans at one point  in the early part of the season lost 6 straight games, and then won three straight. Two of those wins were vs struggling  Phoenix and Chicago,  so Im not going to give them a great deal of accolades. The final  win came against a Raptors team that looked exhausted and did not look themselves. Than last time out the Pelicans lost again, and did not look cohesive vs the Minnesota Wolves on the road. I can't put my finger on it but HC Gentry lead squad just does not seem to make all the moving parts   work in coordination, with Defence, being their key problem point as they rank 27th in the league allowing an average of 115.8 ppg. I know tonights opponent the New York Knicks will not inspire bettors, but their desperate for a win and or  to even stay competitive after 3 straight DD losses, and will be hell bent on not being embarrassed again. The Pelicans in their current form just do not seem like 10 points plus chalk, not even against a struggling Knicks team. With that said, Ill take the points with the lesser of two evils.

Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Pelicans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Knicks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in New Orleans. NEW ORLEANS is 2-12 ATS  in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season.

NBA team (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102  or more PPG), after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 49-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover