The Blazers are starting to heat up as CJ McCollum has shaken off the rust  after a explosive effort on Friday night  and now the Trail Blazers look like viable bets to beat the visiting Dallas Mavericks for the second time in three nights.

Note:The Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS/SU  L/11 off a home win in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their made field goals.

DALLAS is 9-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

Stotts is 120-97 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PORTLAND.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

In the first meeting of this weekends series the Indiana Pacers pounded the Miami Heat 137-110 and now the Heat have revenge on board and will motivated here . MIAMI is 32-19 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 1-9 ATS  after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 33-9 ATS L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

Play on Miami to cover

The Charlotte Hornets aim to halt a 10-game road losing streak to the Los Angeles Clippers when the teams square off on Saturday night and despite of looking like non viable su winners, getting the cover is a viable option.CHARLOTTE is 19-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.CHARLOTTE is 21-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Charlotte to cover

 The Sixers remain quite formidable at home, going 18-4 SU and deserve respect here as medium line price. The Kings are getting respect,  because of a couple of road wins as dogs. However, they are on tired legs with this being their 5th straight away game in a week,  Note: NBA  team (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 53-94 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. SACRAMENTO is 7-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-24 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9+ ppg. 

Play on  Philadelphia to cover

Portland played last night and are now on tired legs as they play their 5th game in 7 nights, and are susceptible to a down effort vs a Dallas side that matches up well against them according to my power rankings and projections. According to SRS ratings the Mavs rank 11th in the league with a 1.10 SRS vs the Blazers who rank 22nd and 0.94 mark. i.e ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average)

Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.Mavericks are 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Mavericks are 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings. Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Portland.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3  ppg. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  on the season, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Dallas to cover

HC Nick Nurse and the Raptors are finally getting  completely healthy   heading into this contest vs the Jazz. Its been the Raptors problems with covid protocols that has derailed some of their previous positive momentum . However, now well rested and the Raptors should prove to be a formidable opponent for a Utah side that after being red hot have now lost 4 of their L/7 overall and looking very mortal. Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nurse is 17-4 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.Toronto is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. 

Play on Toronto to cover

The Blazers took Tuesdays nights tilt by 1 point, and now Im betting on the Pelicans regrouping and getting the Portland split. Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 40-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

PORTLAND is 12-23 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 16-41 L/5 seasons for a 72%  go against conversion rate for bettors, 

Play on New Orleans to cover

The Grizzlies will be primed to take down the red hot Miami Heat here tonight at home and get my support.The Heat are 0-13 ATS L/13 as a road favorite off a win where they allowed 50-plus points in the paint including 7 straight SU losses. MIAMI is 4-13 ATS  after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. 

Play on the Grizzlies to win 

The Sixers are riding a season-best, six-game winning streak entering their matchup with the visiting Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday, and in their current form will not easily be disposed of making getting points a viable wagering opportunity.

MILWAUKEE is 7-22 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 33-4 L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

Play on the 76ers to cover

The banged up Raptors have lost 4 straight, and considering their current form , and knowing nothing comes easy to them right now , it will be an easy decision to take the points with the home side,.  DETROIT is 17-8 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS off a home loss this season.

TORONTO is 3-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 8-35 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

The Trail Blazers will welcome standout shooting guard CJ McCollum back to the lineup after a two-month absence due to a fractured left foot. McCollum averaged 26.7 points and five assists in 13 games prior to the injury and this makes them a dangerous opponent vs a public side ( New Orleans) tonight. I know Zion Williamson is a super star in the making but this still does not make the Pelicans contenders , and tonight that will become evident. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover

The Knicks are in bounce back mode after a frustrating 117-112 road loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Monday in which they cut an 18-point deficit down to three in the final seconds. This team has shown me they are a never say die group and deserve respect as underdogs in this spot play. The Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Also the Knicks have revenge on board for a loss earlier this season to the Sixers. NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. I know the 76ers are hot but they are just   3-15 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons .NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

Play on the Knicks to cover

The Sacramento Kings take on the  Charlotte Hornets,  in desperation mode as they need wins   to improve their chances of reaching the playoffs. Hornets defeated the Kings in Sacramento on the last day of February, 127-126 and one again Im betting on the Kings to keep pace here as underdogs. The Kings have rotated wins and losses of late and are off a loss last time out. This Kings side is much more talented than they are given credit for, and with more cohesive efforts are a dark horse in the 2nd half from a ATS perspective.

SACRAMENTO is 25-13 ATS  in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.

Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.

Hornets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Play on Sacramento to cover

Clippers know how to take care of business vs a average to below sides like the Pelicans. LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 33-19 ATS  as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. I know New Orleans looked good in their first game back after the all star break bumping of Cleveland by a lopsided DD score , but in the recent past the Pelicans have not been a good bet after a big win. NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS  after scoring 115 points or more this season.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-9 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rare for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 33-103 L/24 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

These teams are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial  performance spectrum. The Magic has lost 7 straight, and the Heat have have been victorious in 9 of their L/10 including a 111-103 win the last time these teams met before the all star break.   ORLANDO is 8-29 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasonsORLANDO is 7-18 ATS  as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the a erage ppg diff clicking in at 12.3 ppg. 

NBA Favorites (MIAMI) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 32-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Miami to cover

 Utah has beaten Golden State five straight times, including 14- and 33-point victories in their only previous visits to the two-year-old Chase Center in San Francisco and considering the Warriors are in slumping for after 4 straight losses, a rinse and repeat situation looks like a viable betting opportunity laying points with the Jazz. UTAH is 22-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Play on Utah to cover

Saddled with a nine-game losing streak at the All-Star break, the Timberwolves regrouped over the eight-day break and put together arguably their best effort of the season in a 135-105 shellacking of New Orleans on the road Thursday night, but now in letdown mode are susceptible to a down performance.MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS  after a huge blowout win by 30 or more since 1996. 

PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more are 25-1 L/5 seasons with the average margin of victory clicking in at 7.5 ppg which qualifies under an ATS wagering situation.

The Hornets  have now won  3 of their last  four games and  now with  momentum  play host to the Toronto Raptors on Saturday night in the second of a three-game homestand. The Raptors swept the Hornets in a back-to-back set in Tampa on Jan. 14 and 16, winning each game by three points and now its pay back time for Charlotte . Note: The Raptors are 4-11 SUATS with a .500 or less record versus opposition  seeking same-season double revenge-exact. Charlotte 17-2 ATS in this series when Toronto owns  a .500 or less record and they have a sub .500 record.  

Play on Charlotte to cover

Playing its first game in eight days, Denver is looking to conclude a five-game road swing that began on Feb. 27 a perfect 5-0. Im betting on a fresh group that is in top form to bring home the cash vs the home side tonight. 

DENVER is 11-3 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game this season.

 MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 5-40 L/24 seasons for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home underdogs (MEMPHIS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are just 13-41 L/24 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DENVER) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 41-4 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

The inconsistent  Pelicans who are on a 3 game SU/ATS losing streak do not deserve to be this big favorite vs a Cleveland side, that is getting healthier and playing at a higher level than earlier this season, as is evident by winning 4 of their L/5 .  The Pelicans are 0-19 ATS L/19 at home after they shot worse than 26% on threes last game. They did win 3 of those 19 games, with 2,3 and 4 point victories. ( They Pelicans looked miserable in a 135-105 loss in their first game after the all star break. 

NEW ORLEANS is 2-10 ATS  as a home favorite this season.

CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 19-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover

The Warriors will take the court on a season-worst, three-game skid, coming up empty on a trip to Los Angeles to face the Lakers before falling at Portland and Phoenix. Im betting things dont get much better tonight against Clippers team ready to make a big 2nd half run and revenge mode for a loss to the Warriors earlier this season! Yes, I know the Clippers were slumping before the all star break but from a trends standpoint LAC has been money in the bank. Note: LA CLIPPERS are 16-4 ATS  after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons Home teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 23-5 ATS L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA  Clippers to cover 

Milwaukee has revenge on board for a 130-110 loss to the Knicks earlier this seasons, but this version of the Knicks matches up well vs the Bucks and this is just to many points according to my projections to pass up on with the the underdog.NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS   when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons and is 15-6 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - off a home win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 27-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the Knicks to cover

Charlotte matches up well vs the Detroit Pistons . The Hornets have relied on their perimeter shooting, making 38.5 percent of their 3-point attempts, sixth-best in the league and another rinse and repeat situation looks to be on tap tonight vs a inconsistent  Pistons side that  is 9-21 ATS L/30  as a road underdog of 6 points or less.  

CHARLOTTE is 7-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons CHARLOTTE is 8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Charlotte to cover

The  Mavs have played well at home of late, covering 4 of their L/5 in Dallas  and once again show value on a short fav line, as hosts . The Mavs have also  won four of the past five regular-season meetings against the Spurs and get my support again,

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 39-2 L/5 seasons and a perfect 5-0 this season.

Play on Dallas to cover

Antetokounmpo,  will start with Curry, James, Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic on Sunday. Just to much competitive minded talent for the Durant and company to handle. 

Play on All Star LeBron to cover

 Im betting the Warriors take advantage of up-trending Suns team that played lights out last time out vs the Lakers for a win, and now in an emotional letdown state. With revenge on board for a ,loss they suffered to the Suns the last time they played, there will be not lack of motivation. Warriors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.Kerr is 37-22 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. 

NBA Home favorites (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 23-62 ATS L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover

Thunder are on tired legs after play ing last night and now have to deal with a revenge mined San Antonio group that  they  upset in  San Antonio, 102-99, as a home dog 10 days ago.  Note : the  Spurs’ 7-0 SU / 6-1 ATS L/7 at home when   when they have  revenge on board  for a close loss (3  points or less) Thunder are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Thunder are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Indiana took a 114-111 win at Cleveland on Wednesday ended a four-game skid and stopped a string of nine losses in 12 games. Now with some confidence back and momentum from the above mentioned win Im recommending we take the points here vs a side that is in a regression situation after shooting more than 55%  last time out in a DD win.  

DENVER is 9-25 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 4-15 ATS  after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 11-0 ATS  after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

The Pacers are 10-0 ATS L/10 at home with no rest after playing as a road favorite.

The Nuggets are 0-11-1 ATS L/11 on the road with rest when they shot better than 50 percent from the field in each of their last two games. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 12-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate.

Play on Pacers to cover

Portland and Golden State will seek to become 20-game winners Wednesday night when the Trail Blazers host the Warriors and Im betting on the Blazers to come out of this with the W.Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and  are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and are also  6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 8-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover

The young but talented Thunder have played their best hoops on the road against what is perceived to be superior competition and Im betting they are up to the challenge again vs a inconsistent Dallas side that continues to get to much respect based on what the public perceives as a super star laden side. ie ( Luka Doncic) 

DALLAS is 1-8 ATS  in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma city to cover

Harden comes home to Houston tonight in front of just 4500 fans. But that should be enough to give the Rockets an edge on this spread. Yes, I know how horrible they have played, but Im looking for a concerted effort here from a downtrodden side that should find inspiration in this spot play. 

NBA Underdogs (HOUSTON) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread are 75-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Houston to cover 

The Knicks are playing a top tier brand of hoops at the moment as is evident by 3 straight wins. Tonight Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a inconsistent Spurs side .

NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NBA  team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 29-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover

The Miami Heat, who play host to the Atlanta Hawks for a second straight game on Tuesday night, have not looked like a championship team for much of this season and despite of a nice run , they    are fade material in this pot vs a Atlanta side that is uptrending in my power rankings.Heat are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.Heat are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Heat are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

The Denver Nuggets had lost six of their last seven tilts on the road before they hit the road over the weekend to start a five-game away trip. They started their traveling adventures  with a impressive DD victory Saturday and  now they visit the Chicago Bulls. Note:  Nuggets are 0-14 ATS L/14 as a road favorite with rest coming off a 9+ point win. 

Orlando has looked bad lately, losing 3 straight, but in contrarian fashion, I still like the line value attached to this tilt considering how desperate this Magic team is for a win. Meanwhile,   Dallas has proven themselves inconsistent and over valued for most of the season, as is evident by failing to cash 12 of their L/17 overall . The Mavericks have also  had issues rising to the occasion vs sub standard opposition registering a bankroll depleting  0-4 ATS mark vs below .400 squads, which makes them fade material here in this spot play situation. 

NBA Underdogs (ORLANDO) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 70-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover

I know the Pacers are in a bit of funk losing 3 straight despite of remaining competitive, but they  must be respected here in revenge mode for a earlier loss this season vs the Sixers . Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Philadelphia is 8-25-1 ATS as a home favorite in this series, including 3-15-1 ATS L/19. 

NBA Home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 24-52 ATS L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

The Celtics have revenge on board for a DD loss they suffered earlier this season to the Wizards and will now be ready and motivated to get some redemption. Boston  when looking for  same-season revenge for a  defeat of 13 plus  points under  HC Stevens are  11-1 ATS L/12, and 8-0 ATS L/8 overall. Boston is also 4-0 SU/ATS at home this season with revenge.  Sunday's meeting will be the last of three between the clubs this season. The Celtics were victorious 116-107 at home on Jan. 8.

Play on Boston to cover

San Antonio has revenge on board for a 98-95 loss, in New Orleans back in December. Note : Popovich is 16-1 SU with revenge in this series at home  vs the Pelicans. Considering the Pelicans are just 5-11 away from home this season its not a hard decision to take the motivated home side in this spot play. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

The Jazz lost last time out, but will now be ready to bounce back in a big way vs the Magic, as they go for their 23 win in 26 tries against a  Orlando side that took a  ugly 129-92 road smack down  against the Nets on Thursday. UTAH is 15-1 ATS  after a non-conference game this season. The Magic are 0-13 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 15 ppg after they allowed at least 50 points in the paint last game.

The Clippers got clipped yesterday by the Grizzlies, in a ugly 122-94  DD beatdown where they were out converted by Memphis in the FG% category 54.3 to 40.5  -. Now after being thoroughly embarrassed, Im betting on a huge bounce back effort by LAC tonight in the rematch.  Note:The Clippers are 11-0 ATS L/11 on the road after they had a shooting percentage at least 10 percentage points lower than their opponent last game (covering by more than 14 ppg).  LA CLIPPERS are 27-10 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The Bucks after a unprecedented 5 game losing streak under their current coach  have now bounced back with 3 straight wins and are now back in top form and ready to continue their run vs a Pelicans side that they have revenge against for a earlier loss this season. New Orleans is 0-17-1 ATS in its last 18 SU losses as an underdog against Eastern Conference opposition. NEW ORLEANS is also 1-9 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.3 ppg. MILWAUKEE is 33-19 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

The red hot Nets bring the   NBA's longest active winning streak to eight games Thursday night when they host the Orlando Magic. Meanwhile, their opponents the Orlando Magic that despite of going 4 -2 in they're last 6 games, are an inconsistent side,  and just 18-30 ATS L/48 games vs a an above .500 opponent . The Nets beat the Magic earlier this season, and look like solid bets here laying points even though the Magic want revenge. Note: ORLANDO is 7-27 ATS   revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

 The Magic are 0-12 ATS/SU l/12 after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game failing to cover by more than 14 ppg. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49% are 80-42 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

The Spurs won the first meeting between the teams, 112-102, in Oklahoma City on Jan. 12 and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in the rematch.Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Spurs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog.Spurs are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

The Bucks after a unprecedented  5 game losing streak have now won 2 in a row and are getting back into top form. With that said, Im betting that the 7-24 Wolves, will get gobbled up tonight vs a very strong and up-trending opponent.The Bucks are 14-0-1 ATS SU as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days rest.

Play on The Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Golden State has lost two in a row and are very motivated to get back in winning form here tonight against the NY Knicks that despite of winning 4 of 5 are without top center Mitch Robinson. The Warriors are  4-0 SU this season when trying to snap a 2 game losing streak  which include away victories  over  teams like the Los Angeles Lakers and San Antonio  Spurs. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in revenge mode for. a 119-104 home loss back in January to the Knicks.  Kerr is 32-16 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on Golden State to cover

The Trail Blazers, who are beginning a three-game road trip, after Saturday's 118-111 home loss where they blew a DD lead to the Washington Wizards that suddenly ended a , six-game winning streak. That coincidently was the Wizards fourth straight win as underdogs. Now after taking the Wizards for granted the Blazers will be wide awake here and ready to pull off an upset of their own here in Arizona tonight. 

The Trailblazers are 14-0 ATS as a dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first quarter. PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

The Suns are 0-9 ATS /SU  as a home favorite off a win in which they scored a least 18 fast break points which was the case last time out vs the  Grizzlies . 

Play on Portland to cover 

The Thunder are off an ugly effort last time out vs the Bucks , but will be primed for a bounce back effort vs a Cleveland team that have beaten 4 straight times over the last few seasons. Note: The Cavaliers are 0-15-1 ATS L/16 with less than two days rest when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.  Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. Thunder are also 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 

Cleveland is also off a DD (17 pt) loss to Denver last time out, and are just  0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and  are just  0-11 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Portland has won and covered 6 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall and come into this game playing at a very high level and must be be respected here as short home chalk. I know that Wizards have been playing decent ball as well winning 3 straight as underdogs, but now after traveling form east to west will be a jet  lagged despite of not playing in a couple days and still adapting to a new time zone Note: Brooks is 7-22 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest as the coach of WASHINGTON. 

Wizards are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdogs and  are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 2 days rest.Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Play on Portland to cover

NBA  team (MIAMI) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Before last nights  loss, Memphis hadn't given up more than 134 points in any game this season and the Grizzlies hadn't lost by more than 19. It was definitely embarrassing, and Im betting on this hard working well conditioned young group to now be ready to rebound in this spot vs Oklahoma City. MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS  against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Grizzlies to cover 

Phoenix is on a season-best six-game winning streak and has won nine of its last 10 games and now get to face a Brooklyn side on tired legs after playing last night. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS in home games in non-conference games this season with average margin of victory clicking in at 9.9 ppg .  The Suns are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 off a 10+ point win which is the case after a 109-90 win vs Orlando last time out. 

Play on The Suns to cover 

The Heat are getting healthy again, and are looking more like a eastern conference contender again and tonight they get my support getting points vs the Clippers. I know the Heat had a 4 game losing streak end against red hot Utah last time out, but according to my power rankings this is a much better matchup for them based on system vs system data.Heat are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover

Golden State is getting far to much respect here vs a well conditioned Cleveland side that must not be underestimated despite of an extended bad run and  having played last night. With veteran Andre Drummond expected back in the lineup tonight for the Cavs, Im expecting his presence to  keep this team focused vs a Warriors side that could easily be over looking their downtrodden opponent. 

Clippers are 1-10 ATS at home vs unrested opposition. 

 GOLDEN STATE is 17-34 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 27-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover

The Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA, and I plan on riding this run until the wheels fall off. The Jazz are 17-0 ATS /SU  as a favorite off a win.

Play on Utah to cover

The Hawks have covered  6 of their L/7 games as chalk, behind  super star Trae Young who   is currently averaging 26 points and 9.4 assists per game, and Im betting on them out dueling the Knicks tonight. 

The Hawks enter this game with a 6-1 ATS record in a 1/1 rest situation. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 23-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 23-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Atlanta Hawks 

Houston Rockets guard John Wall will visit the nation's capital for the first time since being acquired from the Washington Wizards prior to the 2020-21 season and Im betting will be juiced up to play and have is energy take the Rockets to the promised land in this spot play. He said he did not appreciate being traded by the Wizards and was disrespected by their choice not to include him in their discussions. Pay back time is at hand. 

The Wizards are 0-16-1 ATS /0-17 SU off a win as a dog where they made at least 10 more free throws than their opponent.

Play on Houston to win 

The Nuggets were eliminated from the play off bubble last season by the Lakers and than were smashed by the Lakers in their first meeting this season. Now Im betting the Nuggets will come out breathing fire tonight in an attempt to get back some respect and get some form of redemption . Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

 Lakers are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Denver.

NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent are 35-18 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

The Suns won their fifth straight game Saturday afternoon, outlasting the visiting Philadelphia 76ers 120-111 which was a followup to a win vs Milwaukee in their previous game. After playing those two top tier teams, Im betting the Suns will be in a letdown mode and vulnerable vs an opponent they may be over looking.PHOENIX is 4-17 ATS   in home games after scoring 120 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The series visitor is 11-1 ATS L/12 meetings.PHOENIX is 3-13 ATS   in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 24-5 ATS L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. ( Orlando took a 123-112 win vs the Kings last time out) -Also Clifford is 24-7 ATS  after scoring 120 points or more as the coach of ORLANDO.

Play on Orlando to cover

HC Van Gundy despite of wanting his team to play attention to defense, continues to get negative results with his teams defending. Van Gundy's New Orleans Pelicans have surrendered 25 3-point makes in each of their last two games and are not reliable favs here in this spot when considering their inability to keep teams from destroying them in transition.  DETROIT is 12-3 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  on the season, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 6-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover

The well rested Raptors have won 16 straight games at home against the Timberwolves and Im betting on a conclusive 17 straight win tonight . Previous to a loss last time out vs the Celtics the Raptors had found their offensive groove pounding out 5 straight 121 plus point outputs. After a few days of home cooking Im now betting on a big time effort from the Raptors, vs a Wolves side that has allowed a whopping an average  118.7 ppg on the road this season . 

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

Utah have won 17 of their L/18 games, and are arguably the hottest team in the league entering this game against visiting Miami. The Heat are no pushovers but with the way the Jazz are playing it wont be a difficult to ride their momentum as home  favorites in this spot. 

UTAH is 8-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. UTAH is 16-4 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. The Jazz are 16-0 ATS /SU as a favorite coming off a win. UTAH is 9-0 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season

MIAMI is 0-7 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season.

Play on Utah to cover 

Brooklyns fast paced run and gun system matches up well vs a Golden State side that likes to play the same style of hoops. BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Phoenix is playing some fine hoops but Im betting that their current good run will come to an abrupt end in this afternoon game. After working hard last time out  and coming back from 16 points down and shooting 52.9 % to  notch a    125-124 upset victory over  Milwaukee  could easily find it difficult  to get up for this tilt and show the same intensity.  Note: The Suns are 0-8 ATS  at home with more than one day of rest coming off a win in a home game. The Suns are 0-6 ATS L/6 as a home dog after a win in which they trailed by double digits.. The Suns are 0-15 ATS L/15 with more than one day of rest after they shot over 50% from the field. 

PHOENIX is 1-10 ATS  in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

NBAHome underdogs (PHOENIX) - in non-conference games, off a close home win by 3 points or less are 39-81 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. 

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover

This is a top tier event between two of the best teams in the NBA. My projections however, place the Jazz having the edge playing here at home. The last time these teams met  the Jazz knocked down a franchise-record 25 3-pointers in a 131-118 victory at Milwaukee earlier this season, and have an edge again tonight even though the Bucks have revenge on board. 

MILWAUKEE is 7-20 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons and 7-17 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

The Jazz are 15-0 ATS/SU L/15  as a favorite coming off a win which is the case. 

UTAH is 20-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996.

Play on Utah to cover

The Raptors have had this game circled on their schedule for a while, as they look for revenge for a Celtics team that eliminated from last seasons play off bubble. With the Celtics  off an extended road trip, Im betting they will take time to get used to home cooking and vulnerable in this spot vs a Raptors side that has surpassed 120 points in each of their past five games. 

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

Milwaukee is off a big time effort last time out vs Denver. and are vulnerable to be upset here vs a Suns side that has won and cover 6 of their L/7 overall. The Bucks win was a double revenge scenario for two losses last season, so the Bucks came in prepared and put in a start to finish effort last time out in the High altitudes of Denver, which will have them on tired legs here and in an emotional letdown state . Note:Phoenix is 33-4 SU L/37 in this series , including 10-2 ATS in tilt  where the  Bucks own an above .500 record including  6-0 ATS at home. 

NBA  Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are 5-28 SU L/24 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Phoenix  Suns to cover 

Los Angeles lost 119-115 to the Boston Celtics on Friday and 113-110 to the Sacramento Kings two nights later and not at the top of their game entering this tilt and vulnerable here to another down effort on the road. Note: Minnesota has covered 6 straight and are in a competitive mode right now . Home underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 51-22 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

  The Pacers Im betting are good bets to halt a three-game losing streak Wednesday night against the defensively deficient Brooklyn Nets  that is also on a 3 game losing streak and  will be on tired legs tonight. BROOKLYN is 8-21 ATS  when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits here and get the nod to cover. Note: The Nets are 0-17-1 ATS /2-16 SU with no rest after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game which was the case yesterday. 

Play on Indiana to cover

NBA Home teams (DALLAS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 15-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Tuesday's contest will be the ninth road outing in 11 games for Boston and are on tired legs and vulnerable here in Salt Lake city. 

The Jazz are 14-0 ATS /SU  as a favorite coming off a win.

Orlando will enter off a two-game split at Chicago where they won the first game 123-119 against the Bulls but dropped the rematch 118-92 on Saturday. It was the fifth time the Magic were held to 92 points or less this season. With that said, Im betting the Magic are just not fluid enough offensively to hang here. The Magic are 0-10 ATS/SU  after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game and have failed to coved by more than 16 ppg. 

Play on Portland to cover 

Milwaukee is 9-40 all-time in games played in Denver and lost both matchups last season and according to my projections are being over rated against a Nuggets team that knows how to slow this opponent. Look for Nuggets super star Jokic to out duel,Giannis Antetokounmpo and company and get us the cover.MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 6-19 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 18-7 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Denver to cover

Minnesota has had some breakdowns of late, but for the most part have been very competitive covering 5 straight games. Meanwhile, Dallas continues to struggle having lost 7 of their L/9 with the victories coming by 5 and 2 points. Anything at or better offers good line value here.DALLAS is 1-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season which is the case entering this tilt. The Mavericks are 0-5 ATS  as a home favorite and 0-7 ATS/1-6 SU L/7 at home as chalk. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

NBA Road teams (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Miami has had a very rigorous schedule, and are on tired legs against what my power rankings estimate to be the best conditioned team in the NBA . Note:MIAMI is 5-15 ATS   when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. The Heat previous to a blowout win last time out had lost 7 of 8, and just don't look like solid favs in this spot. Recently  the  Heat have accumulated a  4-13 ATS (record ) after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons and are fade material for me once again in this spot play vs a up trending NY Knicks team. 

Knicks HC Thibodeau is 105-77 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game in all games he has coached in his pro carrier. 

NY Knicks to cover

Two sides playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head this Sunday afternoon in NBA action. The Jazz who will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days on tired legs  are in top form having won 14 of their L/15 games. Meanwhile, the Pacers have lost 4 of their L/5 , but have been competitive this season, and must be respected as home underdogs. 
NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are  22-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days have lost 20 of 30 SU L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

According to my power rankings this Bradley Beals lead Wizards side matchs up very well vs the Charlotte Hornets and give me enough edge on the offered line to recommend we back them here this afternoon. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  on the season, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 8-33 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to cover

I know the Lakers have revenge on board for a surprising loss to the Pistons earlier this season , but the  Pistons play a type of hoops that actually matches up well against the obviously more talented team. Also despite of their ugly W/L record Detroit has covered 11 of their L/19 and are well conditioned enough to make the Lakers work hard for a win here on the road despite of them playing last night.

DETROIT is 10-2 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots this season. LA LAKERS are 12-29 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs (DETROIT) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 26-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover

The New Orleans Pelicans have struggled to find consistency this season.But they have won four of their last six games after holding on for a 114-113 win at Indiana on Friday but now on tired legs in this back to back situation Im betting the Grizzlies who are 7-2 L/9  have the edge. Note: Grizzlies: 5-0 ATS L/5 as division  road dogs of  6  points or less. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - inconsistent defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are  are 44-71 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Dallas lost to Golden State last time out by a 147-111 count. It was an embarrassing blowout loss, that will now have the Mavericks ready and motivated for  redemption . 

Carlisle is 47-22 ATS  after a blowout loss by 20 points or more as the coach of DALLAS.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 25-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.5. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

The Nets are off a loss last night against the Raptors and on tired legs, as they play a Philadelphia side off a an embarrassing loss to the depleted Portland squad this past Thursday. The 76ers also have revenge on board for a loss to the Nets the last time they played and will now be very motivated to get a win here today.PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. 

Philadelphia head coach Doc Rivers is 14-3 ATS with same-season loss revenge of 10 or more points since 2007.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 season.

BROOKLYN is 8-20 ATS  when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 23-53 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate.

Play on Philadelphia to cover

The Pistons franchise has had a great deal of success vs the Suns going 16-1 L17  in this series and have the edge as underdogs vs a Suns side that is  0-5  L/5 at home in 1/2 rest situation.  PHOENIX is 1-13 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  over the last 2 seasons.  DETROIT is 10-1 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 19-45 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71%. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Pelicans  are off a strong effort last time out beating up on the Suns by a 123-101 count and now are getting some decent respect on a line that Im not sure is deserved. After all this Pelicans side has shown themselves to be very inconsistent this season. I know the Pacers are off a DD loss, but that was to the Milwaukee Bucks who must be considered championship contenders.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-9 ATS off a huge upset win by 20 points or more as a home underdog . The Pelicans are 0-16 ATS /SU L/16 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ point win as a dog

Note: The Pacers beat the Pelicans 118-116 in overtime at New Orleans on Jan. 4  and here at home a reg time win is my projected outcome. 

Play on Indiana to cover

Spurs have struggled recently and have lost two straight, and are desperate to get back on track vs a Minnesota side that upset them 96-88 a few weeks ago. So revenge, redemption, give credence to me suggesting we lay the lumber here with the Spurs on home court. Note: 

San Antonio is 12-3 ATS with same-season loss revenge in this series, including 8-0 ATS from a defeat did not  come by DDs.. 

SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

NBA home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 23-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at +9.5 . 

NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 44-18 ATS L/22 seasons L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

San Antonio to cover 

The Washington Wizards are fresh off their best performance of the season out scoring the Nets by a 149-146 count  and now riding that momentum look very much like good bets vs a Portland side that continues to play without key cog CJ McCollum.  WASHINGTON is 25-9 ATS L/34 in home games after a combined score of 245 points or more . Wizards are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

The Trailblazers are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Damian Lillard was not their high scorer.

Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Play on Washington to cover

The Memphis Grizzlies look for their seventh straight win Monday night when they face the Spurs in the second game of a back-to-back set in San Antonio. However, Im betting their winning streak will come to an abrupt end here. MEMPHIS is 9-24 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 73-122 ATS L/24 seasons for a 63%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

San Antonio Spurs to cover 

We have revenge on board here tonight by the home team, as they look to get some redemption for their NBA 7 game series loss to the Rockets in last seasons play offs.Note:The Thunder are 7-1 ATS with revenge in this series which includes going  7-1 ATS as a dog with revenge. The Thunder are also 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

Rockets are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 17-37-1 ATS in their last 55 games as a road favorite.Rockets are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Rockets are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

The Magic have lost two in a row and 10 of their past 12 games, while the Raptors have lost three straight and four of their past six. Both sides are struggling and desperate for a win, which suggests a dog fight here, which makes taking points a viable option. ORLANDO is 20-8 ATS in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.Clifford is 24-10 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) as the coach of ORLANDO.

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - pathetic team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more  on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 32-8 ATS L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

According to my power rankings the Indiana Pacers matchup well vs the Sixers.I know the Sixers have looked like real contenders , but from a trends perspective they have proven to be an inconsistent side based on recency bias  as their  4-17 ATS record  in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons:  PHILADELPHIA is 6-20 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making  46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 8-21 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

PHILADELPHIA is 8-21 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pacers are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 15 fouls.

Play on Indiana  Pacers to cover 

Utah has reeled off 11 straight wins SU/ATS, and at 15-4 own the best record in the NBA. The Jazz will put that streak on the line when they visit the Nuggets for an early afternoon matchup on Sunday and Im betting they cover and will not be easily defeated. In other words lets ride the momentum of a streaking  hot side. 

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, a top-level team ( 75% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 28-4 L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover

 The Warriors riding 31 points from Stephen Curry and 27 from Andrew Wiggins rolled to a 116-106 victory over Detroit when they met earlier this season, and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation. 

DETROIT is 5-15 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-24 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 8.4 ppg. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover

The Houston Rockets look stable after a rocky start to the season and deserve respect vs a uneven inconsistent New Orleans Pelicans . Houston has now won 4 straight and their 5th in a row Im betting comes tonight. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover 

The Denver Nuggets look to complete a perfect road trip as they take a five-game winning streak into San Antonio on Friday for their first matchup of the season with the surging Spurs. Im recommending we back the momentum of the Nuggets vs a San Antonio side my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Note: San antonio is off a hard fought win last time out and have covered  Note: SAN ANTONIO is 1-13 ATS  in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

SAN ANTONIO is 0-11 ATS    in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Spurs are 0-14-1 ATS /0 -15 SU as a dog after their turnovers increased by at least 10 last game from the game before with every defeat  in this subset comeing by more than 4 points. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 47-19 ATS L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

The Kings have covered in three straight games versus the Eastern Conference and according to my projections matchup well here and have are an advantage play. 

Kings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.

SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
Walton is 18-6 ATS  in road games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of SACRAMENTO. SACRAMENTO is 22-9 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 season


SACRAMENTO is 22-11 ATS   in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

No rest for either team as Warriors visit Suns but Im betting the home side getting home cooking will be better prepared and ready to run just a little bit harder. 

Detroit is coming off a 122-107 loss at Cleveland on Wednesday. Turnovers led to the Pistons' demise, as they committed 22 that the Cavaliers converted into 30 points and they are in trouble again tonight vs a Lakers side ready to rebound off a loss.

 DETROIT is 12-27 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.  Casey is 8-19 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of DETROIT.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 29-71 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Lakers to cover

The Blazers are expected to be  without CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic and this situation is not a good one for a side that was already playing crap D before these key injuries.


Trail Blazers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

 NBA Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after playing 4 consecutive home games, playing with 2 days rest are 5-35 SU L/5 seasons for a go against  87% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 7.8 ppg. 

Play on Houston to cover

Mavericks enter this game having gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and  are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Tonight against a Utah side that played last night and now tired legs the Mavs have an edge on this line. Note: The Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and  are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

DALLAS is 24-10 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 35-17 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 30-14 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Dallas Mavericks to cover

The Raptors are according to my projections actually getting to much respect here vs a Milwaukee team that matches up well against them. I know the Raptors have played well ;lately, but past results do not guarantee future performance, which Im betting is the case here vs the Bucks. 

TORONTO is 2-11 ATS  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 30-16 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 45-15 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover